1 00:00:03,240 --> 00:00:07,040 Speaker 1: This is Bloomberg Surveillance says, if a big bank gets 2 00:00:07,080 --> 00:00:09,800 Speaker 1: into trouble, the people put their money there, other than 3 00:00:09,840 --> 00:00:12,920 Speaker 1: the insure deposits, you will expect to take losses. Wulfeck 4 00:00:12,960 --> 00:00:15,840 Speaker 1: and cease to exists as an affected cartel. The action 5 00:00:15,840 --> 00:00:18,919 Speaker 1: has shifted to American fractors. There's a large amount of 6 00:00:19,000 --> 00:00:22,640 Speaker 1: debt out there and there's very little room in most countries, 7 00:00:22,880 --> 00:00:26,560 Speaker 1: with the exception of China, for more fiscal stimulus. Bloomberg 8 00:00:26,640 --> 00:00:31,080 Speaker 1: Surveillance your link to the world of economics, finance, and investment. 9 00:00:31,360 --> 00:00:37,080 Speaker 1: On Bloomberg Radio, Good morning, everyone is super Tuesday nationwide. 10 00:00:37,360 --> 00:00:40,480 Speaker 1: This is Bloomberg Surveillance. Good morning of Bloomberg nine sixty 11 00:00:40,520 --> 00:00:44,040 Speaker 1: the Bay Area, Bloomber twelve, Boston, Blooming eleven three oh 12 00:00:44,040 --> 00:00:47,320 Speaker 1: in New York, and here in Washington FM. We said 13 00:00:47,360 --> 00:00:49,920 Speaker 1: good morning to all of Washington and Baltimore and on 14 00:00:50,080 --> 00:00:54,160 Speaker 1: Serious Sex Temp Channel one nineteen, across Canada and across America. 15 00:00:54,280 --> 00:00:57,040 Speaker 1: It will be a most unusual day. I can't say 16 00:00:57,120 --> 00:00:59,320 Speaker 1: enough about our plans for coverage. You're led by Marty 17 00:00:59,360 --> 00:01:04,240 Speaker 1: Schenker from Washington on government and economics today leading up 18 00:01:04,280 --> 00:01:06,720 Speaker 1: to with all due respect, Mark Alpert and John Hilman. 19 00:01:07,319 --> 00:01:10,440 Speaker 1: Look for that tonight, a special broadcast to make you 20 00:01:10,520 --> 00:01:14,240 Speaker 1: smarter about what are presumed and I mean presumed landslides 21 00:01:14,319 --> 00:01:17,080 Speaker 1: for Secretary Clinton and Mr Trump. Will see how that 22 00:01:17,120 --> 00:01:21,000 Speaker 1: plays out, particularly in the Great state of Texas. Right now, 23 00:01:21,080 --> 00:01:22,680 Speaker 1: we need to do the great state of the foreign 24 00:01:22,680 --> 00:01:26,440 Speaker 1: exchange market. The Forex Brief brought to my Interactive Broker's 25 00:01:26,440 --> 00:01:30,360 Speaker 1: winner of that FAX Weeks two thousand fifteen award for 26 00:01:30,360 --> 00:01:33,680 Speaker 1: the Best Retail Forex Trading Platform visit ib at I 27 00:01:33,760 --> 00:01:37,800 Speaker 1: b k R dot com slash for rex. A churn 28 00:01:38,200 --> 00:01:40,920 Speaker 1: to the markets the euro one O eight seventy five 29 00:01:41,000 --> 00:01:44,440 Speaker 1: again one thirteen oh four as well. Michael's got some 30 00:01:44,520 --> 00:01:47,240 Speaker 1: news out as well. Yeah, we have a headline crossing 31 00:01:47,240 --> 00:01:50,600 Speaker 1: the Boomberg Professional terminal here. Honeywell is no longer going 32 00:01:50,640 --> 00:01:55,000 Speaker 1: to pursue accommodation with United Technologies, so they're giving up 33 00:01:55,480 --> 00:01:58,840 Speaker 1: on that effort. And that's an interesting backstory from our 34 00:01:58,880 --> 00:02:01,920 Speaker 1: our work with Michael Holland and Peter Arenett of stern 35 00:02:01,920 --> 00:02:05,920 Speaker 1: Age particularly. Both of them focused Mike on how the 36 00:02:05,960 --> 00:02:10,840 Speaker 1: Honeywell board would react to the spirited effort to go back. 37 00:02:10,840 --> 00:02:15,640 Speaker 1: Both were rather pessimistic about the immediate acquisition of Honeywell 38 00:02:16,080 --> 00:02:21,239 Speaker 1: acquiring U t X. Yes, we will well it, says UM. 39 00:02:21,360 --> 00:02:24,280 Speaker 1: Honeywell disagrees with U t x is characterization of the 40 00:02:24,280 --> 00:02:30,080 Speaker 1: deal risk, but apparently United Technologies unwilling to negotiate. According 41 00:02:30,120 --> 00:02:34,120 Speaker 1: to Honeywell, concerned about I guess anti trust the other possibilities. 42 00:02:34,160 --> 00:02:36,960 Speaker 1: We have no choice. We can't negotiate. We must go 43 00:02:37,080 --> 00:02:40,760 Speaker 1: to David Wilson and look at the markets this morning. David, 44 00:02:40,760 --> 00:02:44,040 Speaker 1: good morning, Good morning Tom. You're seeing an immediate reaction 45 00:02:44,120 --> 00:02:48,720 Speaker 1: in the shares of both United Technologies and Honeywell to 46 00:02:48,919 --> 00:02:55,240 Speaker 1: the news that these companies are no longer potential merger 47 00:02:55,280 --> 00:02:59,400 Speaker 1: targets UH. United Technologies down four percent in early training 48 00:02:59,400 --> 00:03:04,240 Speaker 1: and Honeywell up about three percent. The Chrysler's up four percent. 49 00:03:04,360 --> 00:03:07,800 Speaker 1: The carmakers US sales rose eleven point eight percent last month. 50 00:03:08,040 --> 00:03:11,200 Speaker 1: That was faster than analyst expected the average projection calling 51 00:03:11,280 --> 00:03:14,040 Speaker 1: for growth of nine point two percent. Sales figures from 52 00:03:14,120 --> 00:03:16,760 Speaker 1: Ford Motor and General Motors are due later today, so 53 00:03:16,880 --> 00:03:20,320 Speaker 1: the auto stocks will be worth watching. UH shares of 54 00:03:20,440 --> 00:03:24,400 Speaker 1: Macau casino owners are higher after the Chinese city said 55 00:03:24,480 --> 00:03:27,880 Speaker 1: February revenue fell just one tenth per percent. That was 56 00:03:27,919 --> 00:03:31,600 Speaker 1: actually the best performance in twenty one months. Analyst expected 57 00:03:31,639 --> 00:03:33,520 Speaker 1: to drop a two percent on average. So you've got 58 00:03:33,800 --> 00:03:37,160 Speaker 1: Los Vegas Sands hired by two percent, Mjam Resorts up 59 00:03:37,200 --> 00:03:39,920 Speaker 1: two and a half percent, Win Resorts up three percent, 60 00:03:40,040 --> 00:03:43,800 Speaker 1: and Melco Crown also about three percent higher. In early trading, 61 00:03:43,880 --> 00:03:46,240 Speaker 1: met Tronic down four and a half percent. The medical 62 00:03:46,280 --> 00:03:48,520 Speaker 1: device makers earnings failed to beat the average estimate in 63 00:03:48,560 --> 00:03:50,920 Speaker 1: the Bloomberg survey for the first time in five quarters. 64 00:03:51,160 --> 00:03:55,720 Speaker 1: Metronics revenue trailed analysts average projections as well. Marathon Oil 65 00:03:55,800 --> 00:03:58,040 Speaker 1: down four and a half percent. The energy producer raised 66 00:03:58,120 --> 00:04:00,920 Speaker 1: one point one billion dollars by some a hundred forty 67 00:04:00,960 --> 00:04:04,640 Speaker 1: five million shares, equivalent to an eighteen percent steak. Marathon 68 00:04:04,720 --> 00:04:07,400 Speaker 1: following the lead of Devon Energy, Hess and other oil 69 00:04:07,440 --> 00:04:10,160 Speaker 1: and gas producers by going to the stock market for 70 00:04:10,360 --> 00:04:15,280 Speaker 1: care Enter Continental Exchange down one percent. The owner of 71 00:04:15,320 --> 00:04:17,560 Speaker 1: the New York Stock Exchange is exploring an offer for 72 00:04:17,600 --> 00:04:20,440 Speaker 1: the London Stock Exchange, which is in merger talks with 73 00:04:20,640 --> 00:04:24,360 Speaker 1: Joy Deutsche bors Ice confirmed a report from Bloomberg News 74 00:04:24,520 --> 00:04:28,480 Speaker 1: yesterday about the deliberations and uh why not. Son Edison 75 00:04:28,560 --> 00:04:32,080 Speaker 1: down twenties six percent. The solar plant developer de lated 76 00:04:32,120 --> 00:04:35,480 Speaker 1: t annual report to US regulators. Son Edison attributed the 77 00:04:35,520 --> 00:04:40,320 Speaker 1: postponent to a probe into accusations of financial wrongdoy made 78 00:04:40,360 --> 00:04:44,120 Speaker 1: by former executives as well as current and former employees. 79 00:04:45,279 --> 00:04:47,600 Speaker 1: David Wilson, thank you so much. We've write digressed now 80 00:04:47,720 --> 00:04:50,880 Speaker 1: from our political economics of the morning to talk FED 81 00:04:51,400 --> 00:04:54,920 Speaker 1: and monetary policy. Thirty five years ago. He was in 82 00:04:55,000 --> 00:04:58,160 Speaker 1: the sub sub sub sub basement of the FED were 83 00:04:58,240 --> 00:05:01,839 Speaker 1: the wages prices in product ativity section of the Division 84 00:05:01,880 --> 00:05:04,680 Speaker 1: of Research. This means he's the only guy we know, 85 00:05:04,839 --> 00:05:09,160 Speaker 1: Mike who won't blather on about the dots, got to 86 00:05:09,240 --> 00:05:12,760 Speaker 1: move up a little, knows the machinery of our federal research. 87 00:05:12,839 --> 00:05:14,880 Speaker 1: He he ended up as director of the Division of 88 00:05:14,960 --> 00:05:19,160 Speaker 1: Research and Statistics at the Board of Governors. Now works 89 00:05:19,240 --> 00:05:22,600 Speaker 1: for the Peterson Institute. You would have put together or 90 00:05:23,000 --> 00:05:26,400 Speaker 1: helped put together and present the teal book, the FEDS 91 00:05:26,480 --> 00:05:28,800 Speaker 1: compilation of how things are going in the economy and 92 00:05:28,960 --> 00:05:33,720 Speaker 1: the markets, along with various possible monetary policy options that 93 00:05:33,839 --> 00:05:36,440 Speaker 1: they go over at every meeting. So give us a 94 00:05:36,600 --> 00:05:40,520 Speaker 1: teal book look at the economy right now, particularly the 95 00:05:40,600 --> 00:05:44,200 Speaker 1: idea that the markets are seeing something that we're not 96 00:05:44,400 --> 00:05:47,760 Speaker 1: seeing in the data. So I think obviously that is 97 00:05:47,880 --> 00:05:49,840 Speaker 1: the key question that the FED is going to be 98 00:05:49,880 --> 00:05:52,800 Speaker 1: struggling with this point. You know, I think the issue 99 00:05:53,000 --> 00:05:58,440 Speaker 1: is the tension between the relatively UH well maintained growth 100 00:05:58,760 --> 00:06:01,400 Speaker 1: and employment and a provements in the labor market, which 101 00:06:01,440 --> 00:06:04,880 Speaker 1: looked now to be pretty broad base UH and while 102 00:06:04,920 --> 00:06:08,000 Speaker 1: there was some UH weakening of the economy and the 103 00:06:08,080 --> 00:06:11,440 Speaker 1: fourth quarter, things look like they're bouncing back to a 104 00:06:11,520 --> 00:06:14,680 Speaker 1: two percent range here in the current quarter. I think 105 00:06:14,760 --> 00:06:17,760 Speaker 1: the FED is going to be both concerned about the 106 00:06:17,839 --> 00:06:20,800 Speaker 1: consequences of the financial tightening that's taken place since their 107 00:06:20,839 --> 00:06:25,240 Speaker 1: December meeting UM, but not necessarily yet buying into a 108 00:06:25,400 --> 00:06:27,680 Speaker 1: story that we in fact have gone over the edge 109 00:06:27,720 --> 00:06:30,880 Speaker 1: and that we're facing some serious downside risks. But the 110 00:06:31,000 --> 00:06:34,240 Speaker 1: markets seem to have priced something like that, And can 111 00:06:34,320 --> 00:06:37,480 Speaker 1: they be a self fulfilling prophecy. It can be, And 112 00:06:37,520 --> 00:06:39,080 Speaker 1: in some sense, I think you could look a look 113 00:06:39,120 --> 00:06:43,480 Speaker 1: at UH President Dudley's comments yesterday in China where he 114 00:06:43,600 --> 00:06:49,080 Speaker 1: indicated that if these UH factor, if the recent tightening 115 00:06:49,200 --> 00:06:51,800 Speaker 1: is going to persist, UH, he would be marking down 116 00:06:51,880 --> 00:06:55,000 Speaker 1: his forecast even more than he already has. So I 117 00:06:55,120 --> 00:06:58,360 Speaker 1: think there can be some self fulfilling prophecy. On the 118 00:06:58,440 --> 00:07:00,320 Speaker 1: other hand, if some of the rits, some of the 119 00:07:00,400 --> 00:07:04,200 Speaker 1: downside risks that have currently been built into financial market 120 00:07:04,279 --> 00:07:08,960 Speaker 1: expectations and financial market prices proved to have been too pessimistic, 121 00:07:09,160 --> 00:07:11,200 Speaker 1: that in fact we could see some brightening in the 122 00:07:11,240 --> 00:07:14,920 Speaker 1: financial conditions, that we would be reinforced by improving economic data, 123 00:07:15,440 --> 00:07:17,280 Speaker 1: and in fact that would put the fedback on a 124 00:07:17,400 --> 00:07:21,080 Speaker 1: path of its gradual tightening. The word we're using a 125 00:07:21,160 --> 00:07:24,240 Speaker 1: lot is uncertainty. Chairman Greenspan, use the word advice Chairman 126 00:07:24,280 --> 00:07:27,960 Speaker 1: Fisher recently user or you're the king of degrees of confidence? 127 00:07:28,200 --> 00:07:31,880 Speaker 1: Do you have confidence in our guestimate of our uncertainty. 128 00:07:32,360 --> 00:07:34,600 Speaker 1: So that's a good question, you know. I try to 129 00:07:34,640 --> 00:07:37,000 Speaker 1: avoid always saying now is more uncertain than it's ever 130 00:07:37,080 --> 00:07:39,880 Speaker 1: been before. The economists are almost always saying that yes, 131 00:07:40,440 --> 00:07:43,760 Speaker 1: But in this case it might actually be true. I 132 00:07:43,800 --> 00:07:47,040 Speaker 1: think we're facing a broader range of uncertainties, not just 133 00:07:47,240 --> 00:07:51,880 Speaker 1: economic uncertainties, and not just economic uncertainties abroad, but also 134 00:07:51,960 --> 00:07:56,520 Speaker 1: geopolitical uncertainties that we see the geopolitical uncertainties in Europe, 135 00:07:56,720 --> 00:07:59,240 Speaker 1: in Asia, in the Middle East. I think all of 136 00:07:59,320 --> 00:08:03,800 Speaker 1: that is is weighing on on UH certainly business sentiment, 137 00:08:04,000 --> 00:08:08,680 Speaker 1: less so on consumer sentiment remains, which remains relatively well maintained. UM. 138 00:08:09,480 --> 00:08:11,840 Speaker 1: But I do think businesses in particular, you can see 139 00:08:11,840 --> 00:08:15,200 Speaker 1: it in the investment data themselves just very reluctant to 140 00:08:15,280 --> 00:08:18,640 Speaker 1: commit to large scale capital expenditures at this point, given 141 00:08:18,680 --> 00:08:22,680 Speaker 1: the uncertainties of their Thingsan Greenspan, Yeah, well you you 142 00:08:22,800 --> 00:08:27,400 Speaker 1: are also UH the chief macro economist at l H. 143 00:08:27,480 --> 00:08:31,120 Speaker 1: Meyer Larry Meyers firm. When you talk to clients, what 144 00:08:31,360 --> 00:08:34,360 Speaker 1: is it that they're afraid of? Why are they holding back? 145 00:08:34,640 --> 00:08:37,439 Speaker 1: What needs to change for them to start investing? So 146 00:08:37,559 --> 00:08:41,200 Speaker 1: I think a couple of things. One would be some clarification, 147 00:08:41,480 --> 00:08:45,000 Speaker 1: certainly on the geopolitical front that there aren't any major 148 00:08:45,880 --> 00:08:49,599 Speaker 1: UH breaks here that would cause some significant problems, and 149 00:08:49,640 --> 00:08:53,600 Speaker 1: of course those have been reinforced recently by the migrants 150 00:08:53,640 --> 00:08:57,760 Speaker 1: in Europe. But I think in addition to that, there's 151 00:08:57,760 --> 00:09:01,839 Speaker 1: a general sense that concern that in fact China is 152 00:09:01,920 --> 00:09:05,440 Speaker 1: weakening more than people currently anticipate, and that that could 153 00:09:05,920 --> 00:09:09,200 Speaker 1: have major spillovers to the global economy. And I think 154 00:09:09,600 --> 00:09:14,040 Speaker 1: they right now are reluctant UH in that environment with 155 00:09:14,120 --> 00:09:16,480 Speaker 1: a downside risk that might be associated with not just 156 00:09:16,640 --> 00:09:19,599 Speaker 1: for China, spillovers to emerging markets and then feedback in 157 00:09:19,760 --> 00:09:23,120 Speaker 1: terms of our own financial markets and the time we 158 00:09:23,200 --> 00:09:25,640 Speaker 1: got left with you. You work with Lawrence Meyer, the 159 00:09:25,679 --> 00:09:28,120 Speaker 1: former governor. His wonderful book A Ternam at the Fed. 160 00:09:28,360 --> 00:09:31,120 Speaker 1: I tell every kid to read. It was a time 161 00:09:31,200 --> 00:09:34,800 Speaker 1: of a different communication. Is there too much communication now 162 00:09:35,280 --> 00:09:38,160 Speaker 1: in your world? Is the FED so um? I would 163 00:09:38,200 --> 00:09:42,000 Speaker 1: say there's not necessarily too much in quantity. I think 164 00:09:42,040 --> 00:09:46,120 Speaker 1: communication is always good, but unfortunately in terms of the 165 00:09:46,200 --> 00:09:49,679 Speaker 1: quality of that communication I think has suffered some. I 166 00:09:49,800 --> 00:09:53,280 Speaker 1: do think the FED is UH not sort of bringing 167 00:09:53,360 --> 00:09:56,400 Speaker 1: I think communication could be reinforcing a sense of where 168 00:09:56,440 --> 00:10:00,600 Speaker 1: the uncertainties were, but instead we have many different UH 169 00:10:00,960 --> 00:10:05,360 Speaker 1: speakers to the FED that are I think, perhaps increasing 170 00:10:05,440 --> 00:10:08,319 Speaker 1: the uncertainty about the outlook for policy, then reducing it 171 00:10:08,480 --> 00:10:11,000 Speaker 1: or at least highlighting where the uncertainties are going to be. Well. 172 00:10:11,040 --> 00:10:13,880 Speaker 1: We want to continue this discussion with you, David Stockton, 173 00:10:14,440 --> 00:10:17,360 Speaker 1: with us with the Peterson Institute for International Economics, and 174 00:10:18,080 --> 00:10:22,840 Speaker 1: also with L. H. Meyer. Is to be direct and esteemed. 175 00:10:23,120 --> 00:10:28,000 Speaker 1: UH analysis of the American economy, futures up thirteen, down, 176 00:10:28,120 --> 00:10:32,320 Speaker 1: futures up eighty seven this morning, um a quiescent tate. 177 00:10:32,440 --> 00:10:36,040 Speaker 1: Maybe that's because politics is front and center. I promise 178 00:10:36,080 --> 00:10:38,319 Speaker 1: we're gonna talk to David Stockton. I don't think we'll 179 00:10:38,360 --> 00:10:41,000 Speaker 1: get into the America's politics. Can you somehow get Super 180 00:10:41,080 --> 00:10:44,080 Speaker 1: Tuesday into it? Mike, there's a challenge. There's a challenge 181 00:10:44,080 --> 00:10:47,520 Speaker 1: we'll get. We'll get politics into our discussion with David 182 00:10:47,559 --> 00:10:53,880 Speaker 1: Stockton to get futures up thirteen. All right, let's check 183 00:10:53,880 --> 00:10:55,600 Speaker 1: it with Michael Yer now and get the latest world 184 00:10:55,640 --> 00:10:58,720 Speaker 1: in national headlines. Michael, Mike, Tom, thank you very much. Today. 185 00:10:58,880 --> 00:11:01,240 Speaker 1: Voters in several states so heading to the polls you 186 00:11:01,440 --> 00:11:05,200 Speaker 1: vote in primaries for Super Tuesday, and Democrat Bernie Sanders 187 00:11:05,280 --> 00:11:08,520 Speaker 1: already has voted in his hometown of Burlington, Vermont, saying 188 00:11:08,559 --> 00:11:11,600 Speaker 1: your voter turnout is high. We are going to do well. 189 00:11:12,160 --> 00:11:14,640 Speaker 1: Front runner Donald Trump says it is the media that 190 00:11:14,800 --> 00:11:19,920 Speaker 1: keeps controversy going, involving former KKK leader David Duke, who 191 00:11:20,120 --> 00:11:23,120 Speaker 1: has told people to support Trump. Trump says he has 192 00:11:23,160 --> 00:11:27,400 Speaker 1: disavowed Duke several times. Bloomberg will have NonStop Super Tuesday 193 00:11:27,480 --> 00:11:30,280 Speaker 1: coverage throughout the night, starting with a special edition of 194 00:11:30,360 --> 00:11:33,280 Speaker 1: With All Due Respect starting at five pm Wall Street Time. 195 00:11:34,480 --> 00:11:37,400 Speaker 1: The United States has asked the U N Security Council 196 00:11:37,480 --> 00:11:39,800 Speaker 1: to schedule a vote today on the resolution that was 197 00:11:39,880 --> 00:11:43,120 Speaker 1: set new sanctions against North Korea. It's in response to 198 00:11:43,160 --> 00:11:46,440 Speaker 1: Beyond Gang's latest nuclear test. President Obama will meet later 199 00:11:46,520 --> 00:11:49,400 Speaker 1: today with Republican Senate leaders who have vowed to block 200 00:11:49,440 --> 00:11:52,080 Speaker 1: his nomination to the U. S. Supreme Court. Global News 201 00:11:52,160 --> 00:11:54,800 Speaker 1: twenty four hours a day. I'm Michael Barn, Mike Tom, 202 00:11:56,400 --> 00:12:00,199 Speaker 1: Michael Bart, Thanks so much. Futures up thirteen ridges of mine. 203 00:12:00,200 --> 00:12:07,320 Speaker 1: You won the super Tuesday from Washington. Bloomberg Surveillance. Marcot 204 00:12:07,440 --> 00:12:09,120 Speaker 1: Driver has brought to you by your Mercedes Benz Tri 205 00:12:09,160 --> 00:12:11,480 Speaker 1: State Dealer. Don't matter what the weather, Mercedes Ben's Formatic 206 00:12:11,520 --> 00:12:14,000 Speaker 1: All wheel Drive brings peace of mind and driving confidence. 207 00:12:14,200 --> 00:12:16,440 Speaker 1: Visit your Mercedes Ben's Tri State dealer for a test 208 00:12:16,520 --> 00:12:25,000 Speaker 1: drive today. Global Business News twenty four hours a day 209 00:12:25,200 --> 00:12:28,360 Speaker 1: at Bloomberg dot Com, the Radio, plus mobile and on 210 00:12:28,440 --> 00:12:32,560 Speaker 1: your radio. This is a Bloomberg Business Flash and I'm 211 00:12:32,640 --> 00:12:35,679 Speaker 1: Karin Moscow. This updates brought to you by Interactive Brokers 212 00:12:35,720 --> 00:12:38,480 Speaker 1: and CME group. If you're looking for global futures contracts 213 00:12:38,520 --> 00:12:41,679 Speaker 1: with low trading costs, look no further. Interactive Brokers is 214 00:12:41,720 --> 00:12:44,360 Speaker 1: the industry leader. Learn more at Interactive brokers dot com 215 00:12:44,480 --> 00:12:48,120 Speaker 1: slash cme group. The automakers are reporting their US sales 216 00:12:48,160 --> 00:12:50,880 Speaker 1: figures for a February for It adjust out saying sales 217 00:12:50,960 --> 00:12:55,400 Speaker 1: rose more than twenty percent, beating analysts estimates. Nissan also beat, 218 00:12:55,480 --> 00:12:59,400 Speaker 1: as did Fiat Chrysler Unsack Index futures. Meanwhile, higher SNP 219 00:12:59,559 --> 00:13:02,839 Speaker 1: Emni futures up thirteen points, Dowie Mini futures of eighty 220 00:13:02,920 --> 00:13:05,480 Speaker 1: eight and Nasdachi mini futures have thirty one dacks. In 221 00:13:05,520 --> 00:13:08,199 Speaker 1: Germany's have one and a half percent ten. Your treasury 222 00:13:08,280 --> 00:13:10,920 Speaker 1: up to thirty seconds, the yield one point seven two percent. 223 00:13:11,360 --> 00:13:13,400 Speaker 1: No max Scrude oil up nine tenths per cent or 224 00:13:13,440 --> 00:13:15,840 Speaker 1: twenty nine cents at thirty four oh for a barrel 225 00:13:16,120 --> 00:13:18,920 Speaker 1: Comex gold up six tenths percent or seven dollars sixty 226 00:13:18,960 --> 00:13:22,120 Speaker 1: cents at twelve twenty an ounce. The euro a dollar 227 00:13:22,200 --> 00:13:24,880 Speaker 1: oh eight seven one, the n one thirteen point oh eight. 228 00:13:25,320 --> 00:13:29,800 Speaker 1: That's a Bloomberg business flash. Tom and Mike, thanks so much, 229 00:13:29,880 --> 00:13:33,559 Speaker 1: Karen greatly appreciate it. Good morning everyone, Bloomberg's surveillance from 230 00:13:33,640 --> 00:13:37,920 Speaker 1: Washington this Super Tuesday. We welcome all of you. Right now, 231 00:13:38,160 --> 00:13:41,000 Speaker 1: do we just talk about econometrics, about the greater economy 232 00:13:41,040 --> 00:13:44,400 Speaker 1: in the macroeconomics of the nation. Let's talk about the 233 00:13:44,480 --> 00:13:49,160 Speaker 1: statistical analysis. Who's going to vote? Tom Vannier is with 234 00:13:49,320 --> 00:13:54,280 Speaker 1: clarity and has been instrumental clarity campaign labs Target Target 235 00:13:54,360 --> 00:13:56,720 Speaker 1: smart right. I can't keep track of the names. I mean, 236 00:13:56,760 --> 00:13:59,520 Speaker 1: we're switching from progressive back to liberal as well. But 237 00:13:59,600 --> 00:14:02,599 Speaker 1: we're gonna talked now to someone who actually tries to 238 00:14:02,679 --> 00:14:05,920 Speaker 1: figure out what we're going to do. How is the 239 00:14:06,040 --> 00:14:09,360 Speaker 1: world now different than the simple days of the gallop pole. 240 00:14:10,640 --> 00:14:14,959 Speaker 1: It's it's really infinitely different in so many ways. Um. 241 00:14:15,840 --> 00:14:17,480 Speaker 1: You know, when we look at at the really the 242 00:14:17,559 --> 00:14:21,480 Speaker 1: last two presidential campaigns, the we look at especially President 243 00:14:21,520 --> 00:14:25,760 Speaker 1: Obama's campaigns, but also John McCain, uh Mitt Romney presidential 244 00:14:25,840 --> 00:14:30,280 Speaker 1: campaigns have become billion dollars startups that they ramp up 245 00:14:30,320 --> 00:14:32,720 Speaker 1: in no time and they're very high stakes and so 246 00:14:33,680 --> 00:14:38,240 Speaker 1: uh to go along with that, there's been uh more 247 00:14:38,320 --> 00:14:41,640 Speaker 1: accountability and how these campaigns spend their money and a 248 00:14:41,640 --> 00:14:44,360 Speaker 1: big part of that is data. Uh, it's data driven 249 00:14:44,440 --> 00:14:49,160 Speaker 1: decision making. Um. And and really the sort of data 250 00:14:49,280 --> 00:14:54,560 Speaker 1: that is available to campaigns today uh is infinitely different 251 00:14:54,560 --> 00:14:57,360 Speaker 1: from what campaigns used years ago, where really they relied 252 00:14:57,440 --> 00:15:02,160 Speaker 1: on relatively small sample survey a long surveys, but they 253 00:15:02,160 --> 00:15:04,960 Speaker 1: would dig deep into messaging and they deal with the 254 00:15:05,040 --> 00:15:08,080 Speaker 1: overall strategy, but they really didn't deal with the micro 255 00:15:08,280 --> 00:15:10,400 Speaker 1: aspects of campaigns really because they didn't have to, because 256 00:15:10,400 --> 00:15:13,520 Speaker 1: campaigns didn't really have the capacity nor the ability to 257 00:15:13,600 --> 00:15:15,640 Speaker 1: communicate on a one to one basis like we do 258 00:15:16,000 --> 00:15:19,200 Speaker 1: now you can, and you've worked for Democrats for years. Uh, 259 00:15:19,800 --> 00:15:23,160 Speaker 1: tell me who votes when Hillary Clinton and Bertie Sanders 260 00:15:23,280 --> 00:15:27,080 Speaker 1: face off in his state? Um, you know who's going 261 00:15:27,160 --> 00:15:30,760 Speaker 1: to vote, that's right? And and who is whose supporters 262 00:15:30,800 --> 00:15:35,200 Speaker 1: are actually getting out and voted. Well. Uh, So we 263 00:15:35,360 --> 00:15:37,400 Speaker 1: have an entire process that we go through where we 264 00:15:37,560 --> 00:15:40,320 Speaker 1: model the electorate and we actually apply probabilities to every 265 00:15:40,360 --> 00:15:43,400 Speaker 1: single voter a million rested voters in this country, and 266 00:15:43,440 --> 00:15:45,960 Speaker 1: we have a zero to one probability score assigned every 267 00:15:46,040 --> 00:15:48,280 Speaker 1: voter on the likelihood that they're going to vote in 268 00:15:48,360 --> 00:15:51,400 Speaker 1: both the primary election the general election. Now, generally these 269 00:15:51,440 --> 00:15:54,320 Speaker 1: primaries Uh, the people who vote tend to be older. 270 00:15:54,840 --> 00:15:58,400 Speaker 1: Other people have voted more in past elections. And really 271 00:15:58,840 --> 00:16:01,920 Speaker 1: the pattern that we've seen and the Democratic primary at 272 00:16:01,960 --> 00:16:05,360 Speaker 1: least thus far, has been fairly standard. And in the 273 00:16:05,440 --> 00:16:08,520 Speaker 1: two thousand and eight primary, you saw more younger uh, 274 00:16:08,920 --> 00:16:12,960 Speaker 1: more African American War Latino voters participate in the primaries, uh, 275 00:16:13,240 --> 00:16:15,760 Speaker 1: and and and that pattern is holding for the most part. 276 00:16:15,840 --> 00:16:19,880 Speaker 1: There's nothing all together unusual about the turnout pattern. Bernie 277 00:16:19,920 --> 00:16:23,160 Speaker 1: Sanders hasn't encouraged some more younger voters to participate in 278 00:16:23,200 --> 00:16:25,360 Speaker 1: some of the early states thus far, but early not 279 00:16:25,600 --> 00:16:28,840 Speaker 1: enough to make a substantial difference. So you get a 280 00:16:28,920 --> 00:16:33,080 Speaker 1: call tomorrow morning from Donald Trump's people and they say, 281 00:16:33,160 --> 00:16:34,440 Speaker 1: we love what you do. We know you're on the 282 00:16:34,480 --> 00:16:36,960 Speaker 1: other side of the fence. When you get a consultant 283 00:16:37,000 --> 00:16:39,200 Speaker 1: to tell us what to do, what's your advice to 284 00:16:39,280 --> 00:16:42,080 Speaker 1: a guy who, it appears to me hasn't done much 285 00:16:42,160 --> 00:16:46,360 Speaker 1: data collection? Well, well, well, first of all, I'd likely 286 00:16:46,360 --> 00:16:49,880 Speaker 1: tell him to take a hike, because not your offense, 287 00:16:49,960 --> 00:16:53,520 Speaker 1: yet not my side of the fence. The Trump campaign 288 00:16:53,600 --> 00:16:58,080 Speaker 1: is really fascinating, and that uh, he is running one 289 00:16:58,160 --> 00:17:02,160 Speaker 1: of the least sophisticated camp pains in terms of data technology, 290 00:17:03,040 --> 00:17:07,240 Speaker 1: uh analytics, yet he continues to win. It's it's a 291 00:17:07,440 --> 00:17:12,280 Speaker 1: very gut instinct driven campaign. He's obviously a very smart businessman. 292 00:17:12,720 --> 00:17:14,320 Speaker 1: He can walk into a room and he can know 293 00:17:14,600 --> 00:17:17,800 Speaker 1: immediately what people want to hear. And the room he's 294 00:17:17,840 --> 00:17:20,680 Speaker 1: in now is the Republican primary, and so he's saying 295 00:17:20,680 --> 00:17:22,040 Speaker 1: things that those people want to hear. I think we 296 00:17:22,160 --> 00:17:25,280 Speaker 1: hear something very different in the general election. Uh but 297 00:17:25,960 --> 00:17:29,400 Speaker 1: he has shunned the traditional concept of even pulling something 298 00:17:29,440 --> 00:17:32,199 Speaker 1: the campaigns have been doing for decades, where he somewhat 299 00:17:32,240 --> 00:17:35,639 Speaker 1: famously said, why should we pull when the media is 300 00:17:35,680 --> 00:17:39,760 Speaker 1: doing it for us? Anyhow? Uh So, so my advice 301 00:17:39,800 --> 00:17:42,040 Speaker 1: as a Democrat would be to keep doing what you're doing, 302 00:17:42,119 --> 00:17:45,560 Speaker 1: because he's really wreaking havoc on the Republican Well that's 303 00:17:45,600 --> 00:17:49,000 Speaker 1: where I want to go next. Um, if Trump is 304 00:17:49,040 --> 00:17:50,960 Speaker 1: a nominee, there's a lot of talk about what happens 305 00:17:51,080 --> 00:17:54,159 Speaker 1: down ballot. What do your numbers suggest? Do you have 306 00:17:54,880 --> 00:17:59,320 Speaker 1: enough information enough data to be able to make a forecast? Well, 307 00:18:00,600 --> 00:18:03,840 Speaker 1: I'll add this caveat at the outset that that Donald 308 00:18:03,880 --> 00:18:06,560 Speaker 1: Trump and in this election year, has made a lot 309 00:18:06,640 --> 00:18:09,680 Speaker 1: of very smart pundits look very stupid thus far. I 310 00:18:09,720 --> 00:18:12,280 Speaker 1: don't think anyone would have guessed or predicted that he 311 00:18:12,320 --> 00:18:16,400 Speaker 1: would be where he is now. It's I could look 312 00:18:16,400 --> 00:18:18,960 Speaker 1: anywhere and and and be accurate with that, even in myself. 313 00:18:19,080 --> 00:18:24,280 Speaker 1: So uh so uh In terms of predicting the impact, 314 00:18:24,880 --> 00:18:27,320 Speaker 1: uh A smart money would say that he would have 315 00:18:27,520 --> 00:18:31,720 Speaker 1: a catastrophic impact on Republicans up and down the ticket. 316 00:18:32,480 --> 00:18:35,480 Speaker 1: Uh and and and hearing your your guests earlier today, 317 00:18:35,600 --> 00:18:40,480 Speaker 1: Vin Weber, Secretary Cohen, it's it's really remarkable to hear 318 00:18:41,280 --> 00:18:45,560 Speaker 1: people like that running so far away from but the 319 00:18:47,760 --> 00:18:50,520 Speaker 1: way the districts have been jerry mandering, jerry mandering is 320 00:18:50,600 --> 00:18:52,920 Speaker 1: a significant issue, and we could talk about that for hours. 321 00:18:53,040 --> 00:18:54,800 Speaker 1: It's it's it's likely at the root of a lot 322 00:18:54,840 --> 00:18:56,879 Speaker 1: of the problems that this country is facing right now. 323 00:18:56,960 --> 00:19:01,679 Speaker 1: And so that does insulate uh a number of districts 324 00:19:01,680 --> 00:19:03,720 Speaker 1: against the way. But waves do happen, and we saw 325 00:19:03,840 --> 00:19:07,480 Speaker 1: them happen. That happened in We've seen that happen in 326 00:19:07,560 --> 00:19:10,560 Speaker 1: two thousand six when Democrats took the House back. So 327 00:19:11,480 --> 00:19:15,880 Speaker 1: this is really an unusual election year we're headed into. 328 00:19:16,080 --> 00:19:18,080 Speaker 1: So I think all bets are off and that's why 329 00:19:18,200 --> 00:19:22,639 Speaker 1: you're seeing so many uh nervous members of Congress on 330 00:19:22,760 --> 00:19:24,680 Speaker 1: that side. I didn't even have time to talk to 331 00:19:24,760 --> 00:19:28,600 Speaker 1: you today, Tom Bonnier, about the strange transformation from from 332 00:19:28,680 --> 00:19:32,600 Speaker 1: liberal to progressive in liberal as well. Please can we 333 00:19:32,720 --> 00:19:34,720 Speaker 1: speak to you again sometime soon? I would love that, 334 00:19:34,760 --> 00:19:41,080 Speaker 1: Thanks so much. When listening FM Washington and Baltimore, We've 335 00:19:41,119 --> 00:19:43,800 Speaker 1: got a lot to talk about on Super Tuesday, about 336 00:19:43,840 --> 00:19:47,320 Speaker 1: our economics, about our politics. Trying to give you that 337 00:19:47,480 --> 00:19:51,320 Speaker 1: this morning, a little less hysterian, a more uh take 338 00:19:51,400 --> 00:19:56,480 Speaker 1: towards information that you can use to help form your decision. 339 00:19:56,640 --> 00:20:01,080 Speaker 1: Futures up, four Team down, Futures up. This Bloomberg surveillance. 340 00:20:07,200 --> 00:20:08,760 Speaker 1: We are counting down to the opening bill, brought to 341 00:20:08,760 --> 00:20:11,080 Speaker 1: you by the Grand Cherokee, the most awarded suv ever. 342 00:20:11,160 --> 00:20:13,159 Speaker 1: The Grand Cherokee continues to raise the bar with its 343 00:20:13,240 --> 00:20:16,320 Speaker 1: luxurious interior and legendary four by four capability. Drive on 344 00:20:16,359 --> 00:20:25,280 Speaker 1: at your local jeep dealer today broadcasting live to New York, 345 00:20:25,400 --> 00:20:30,320 Speaker 1: Bloomberg eleventh, RYO through Washington, d C, Bloomberg one to Boston, 346 00:20:30,440 --> 00:20:34,960 Speaker 1: Bloomberg twelve one to San Francisco, Bloomberg to the country 347 00:20:35,160 --> 00:20:38,639 Speaker 1: sees XM Channel one ninety and around the globe the 348 00:20:38,720 --> 00:20:43,320 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Radio Plus appen Bloomberg dot com. This is Bloomberg Surveillance. 349 00:20:43,960 --> 00:20:46,240 Speaker 1: Good morning, I'm terror in Moscow and the opening gal 350 00:20:46,320 --> 00:20:49,280 Speaker 1: brought to you by se I Imagine, a global operating 351 00:20:49,359 --> 00:20:54,160 Speaker 1: platform designed to deliver a differentiated and technologically rich investor experience. 352 00:20:54,480 --> 00:20:56,399 Speaker 1: Find out how I see I can help you succeed 353 00:20:56,480 --> 00:21:00,200 Speaker 1: at se i c dot com. Slash Imagine and bocs 354 00:21:00,240 --> 00:21:02,440 Speaker 1: are higher at the open. The SNP five hundred is 355 00:21:02,520 --> 00:21:04,760 Speaker 1: up six tens per cent or eleven points to nineteen 356 00:21:04,840 --> 00:21:08,040 Speaker 1: forty three Dow Jones Industrial average of four ten percent 357 00:21:08,200 --> 00:21:11,320 Speaker 1: or seventy one points to sixteen thousand, five hundred eighty seven, 358 00:21:11,600 --> 00:21:13,720 Speaker 1: and then a stack up nine ten percent or forty 359 00:21:13,800 --> 00:21:17,359 Speaker 1: points to forty eight ten year Treasury up one thirty second, 360 00:21:17,400 --> 00:21:19,760 Speaker 1: the yield one point seven two percent yield on the 361 00:21:19,800 --> 00:21:23,160 Speaker 1: two year point seven seven percent nimex scrude oil. It'll 362 00:21:23,240 --> 00:21:25,639 Speaker 1: change at thirty three dollars seventy five cents in barrel. 363 00:21:25,920 --> 00:21:28,640 Speaker 1: Comics called up half percent or six dollars seventy cents 364 00:21:28,680 --> 00:21:31,399 Speaker 1: to twelve forty one. Announced the euro a dollar oh 365 00:21:31,480 --> 00:21:34,760 Speaker 1: eight fifty five, then one thirteen point one, eight, Tom 366 00:21:34,840 --> 00:21:38,960 Speaker 1: and Mike, and thank you so much, Bloomberg seven. Lets 367 00:21:39,000 --> 00:21:42,040 Speaker 1: from the nation's capital on the Super Tuesday from a 368 00:21:42,119 --> 00:21:46,720 Speaker 1: news bureau in Washington. Good Morning, FM Washington, Bloomberg eleventh, 369 00:21:46,760 --> 00:21:50,760 Speaker 1: three oh New York, in Boston, in San Francisco in 370 00:21:50,840 --> 00:21:53,679 Speaker 1: good morning. Across the South, What is it like SEC, 371 00:21:53,920 --> 00:21:58,280 Speaker 1: the Southern, Southeast, FM Eastern the Southeastern Conference, which is 372 00:21:58,359 --> 00:22:00,840 Speaker 1: the state of the nation. I'm not a football fan, 373 00:22:00,960 --> 00:22:04,680 Speaker 1: but anyways, it is the SEC. Like Super Tuesday, it 374 00:22:04,720 --> 00:22:07,159 Speaker 1: would be nice, Mike to know what the economy is 375 00:22:07,160 --> 00:22:11,200 Speaker 1: actually doing well, so much attention this Super Tuesday focused 376 00:22:11,280 --> 00:22:14,360 Speaker 1: on the South and centered around the state of Georgia. 377 00:22:14,840 --> 00:22:17,840 Speaker 1: Professor Rajiv Down at Georgia State University is the director 378 00:22:17,880 --> 00:22:21,520 Speaker 1: of the Economic Forecasting Center there at the Robinson School 379 00:22:21,600 --> 00:22:24,560 Speaker 1: of Business in Atlanta, so he's sort of at the 380 00:22:24,600 --> 00:22:28,480 Speaker 1: center of the SEC primary university. We wanted to talk 381 00:22:28,560 --> 00:22:31,479 Speaker 1: with him about what the economy is like they're right 382 00:22:31,560 --> 00:22:36,280 Speaker 1: now and why we are seeing people uh so enthusiastic 383 00:22:36,400 --> 00:22:40,200 Speaker 1: about someone like Donald Trump. Good morning to you. Professor 384 00:22:40,320 --> 00:22:47,080 Speaker 1: Down uh described the economy of the Southeast and how 385 00:22:47,200 --> 00:22:50,280 Speaker 1: it's playing out for people maybe on the lower socio 386 00:22:50,760 --> 00:22:54,440 Speaker 1: end of the socio economic scale. You know, the economy 387 00:22:54,480 --> 00:22:57,560 Speaker 1: in the Southeast has a very big, you know, spectrum, 388 00:22:57,840 --> 00:23:00,560 Speaker 1: like a broad spectrum. If you look at Texas, it's 389 00:23:00,600 --> 00:23:02,480 Speaker 1: not doing very well now, and we all know it's 390 00:23:02,480 --> 00:23:05,680 Speaker 1: because of the shale oil gas prices being down. And 391 00:23:05,800 --> 00:23:08,040 Speaker 1: on the other hand, we have Florida and Georgia which 392 00:23:08,040 --> 00:23:11,000 Speaker 1: are doing very well because we didn't have the shale 393 00:23:11,040 --> 00:23:14,760 Speaker 1: gas revolution, so we were insulated from it. So we 394 00:23:14,920 --> 00:23:18,399 Speaker 1: are suffering from the global headwinds a little bit because 395 00:23:18,480 --> 00:23:21,919 Speaker 1: we have the board activity. We have manufacturing over here, 396 00:23:22,000 --> 00:23:26,680 Speaker 1: cars and autos, and we also have a lot of tourism. Well, 397 00:23:26,720 --> 00:23:30,600 Speaker 1: we think in terms of the South often, as you know, 398 00:23:30,840 --> 00:23:34,479 Speaker 1: the leftovers of the textile industry, that sort of thing. 399 00:23:35,000 --> 00:23:39,040 Speaker 1: We don't focus as much on manufacturing. How inaccurate is 400 00:23:39,280 --> 00:23:42,359 Speaker 1: the general view of the Southern economy. You know, this 401 00:23:42,680 --> 00:23:45,560 Speaker 1: was the view of the early nineties when the textile 402 00:23:45,680 --> 00:23:48,040 Speaker 1: mills were being closed down and they were very big 403 00:23:48,600 --> 00:23:52,159 Speaker 1: proportion of the manufacturing over here. But the manufacturing has 404 00:23:52,240 --> 00:23:55,000 Speaker 1: changed quite a bit now. We have a lot more 405 00:23:55,200 --> 00:23:57,760 Speaker 1: paper and pulp products as we called the forestry. We 406 00:23:57,840 --> 00:24:00,440 Speaker 1: also have a lot of food processing and also have 407 00:24:00,480 --> 00:24:04,800 Speaker 1: a lot of auto manufacturing plants, both here in Georgia, Alabama, 408 00:24:04,920 --> 00:24:07,600 Speaker 1: South Carolina. I mean, you name it, they are here. 409 00:24:08,200 --> 00:24:10,720 Speaker 1: So the foreign auto manufacturers have come and put up 410 00:24:10,760 --> 00:24:14,240 Speaker 1: their base in the southeast of the U. S. Because 411 00:24:14,720 --> 00:24:17,000 Speaker 1: it's the right to work states and they don't have 412 00:24:17,080 --> 00:24:20,359 Speaker 1: too much unionization and when you start from scratch, you 413 00:24:20,440 --> 00:24:24,520 Speaker 1: can have the more basic productivity results. You know, what 414 00:24:24,680 --> 00:24:28,199 Speaker 1: does your take on the politics that we've observed, Oh, 415 00:24:28,280 --> 00:24:31,960 Speaker 1: in the last two weeks, even four weeks, across the 416 00:24:32,040 --> 00:24:35,240 Speaker 1: Super Tuesday States. You witnessed it personally in Georgia, I 417 00:24:35,400 --> 00:24:40,119 Speaker 1: understand major candidates populating Texas and moving on to some 418 00:24:40,240 --> 00:24:43,560 Speaker 1: of the northern states as well. Your take on the politics, 419 00:24:43,680 --> 00:24:47,320 Speaker 1: the polarity of the argument as you look at a 420 00:24:47,440 --> 00:24:50,920 Speaker 1: better economics in the South. Well, the thing is that 421 00:24:51,560 --> 00:24:54,800 Speaker 1: we we tend to think that it's the blue collar 422 00:24:54,880 --> 00:24:59,240 Speaker 1: worker affected by the global demand and supply, the global 423 00:24:59,400 --> 00:25:02,600 Speaker 1: hygiens in the manufacturing that's going to be the so 424 00:25:02,800 --> 00:25:06,200 Speaker 1: called Trump supporter or the other months. But I think 425 00:25:06,280 --> 00:25:08,800 Speaker 1: what I've felt it in the last few years, and 426 00:25:08,880 --> 00:25:12,080 Speaker 1: I go around the country also making speeches, is that 427 00:25:12,880 --> 00:25:17,399 Speaker 1: there is an angst amongst university educated people too, because 428 00:25:17,480 --> 00:25:20,440 Speaker 1: these days, when you get a university degree, there is 429 00:25:20,480 --> 00:25:23,359 Speaker 1: no guarantee you're going to get a job, and you 430 00:25:23,560 --> 00:25:28,000 Speaker 1: feel like you're getting outsourced to the other countries. And 431 00:25:28,119 --> 00:25:33,240 Speaker 1: when that feeling comes in, any populist candidate who we've 432 00:25:33,400 --> 00:25:35,200 Speaker 1: coming up and telling you he's gonna do he or 433 00:25:35,240 --> 00:25:37,520 Speaker 1: she's going to do something, it's going to be a 434 00:25:37,640 --> 00:25:41,960 Speaker 1: viable candidate. And that's what I'm feeling, you know, it's 435 00:25:42,080 --> 00:25:45,800 Speaker 1: the solid middle class that's feeling that my kids may 436 00:25:45,840 --> 00:25:48,520 Speaker 1: not have the same opportunities as I had because of 437 00:25:48,600 --> 00:25:55,480 Speaker 1: the so called globalization. What does pay like? What does 438 00:25:55,640 --> 00:25:59,080 Speaker 1: income inequality like? In that I realize it's a very 439 00:25:59,119 --> 00:26:02,280 Speaker 1: diverse region from Virginia to Texas in the in the 440 00:26:02,359 --> 00:26:05,800 Speaker 1: primaries today, but in general, is it follow the same 441 00:26:05,840 --> 00:26:08,399 Speaker 1: trend as the rest of the country where pay seems 442 00:26:08,440 --> 00:26:12,960 Speaker 1: to have stagnated and income inequality has widened significantly. I 443 00:26:13,000 --> 00:26:15,000 Speaker 1: don't have the exact data, but I would say it's 444 00:26:15,119 --> 00:26:17,879 Speaker 1: most probably most likely that maybe a little bit different 445 00:26:17,920 --> 00:26:20,080 Speaker 1: here and there, like every state is a little bit different. 446 00:26:20,520 --> 00:26:23,240 Speaker 1: But I'm saying to you is that that may have 447 00:26:23,520 --> 00:26:26,960 Speaker 1: been the story ten years ago the income inequality between 448 00:26:27,080 --> 00:26:29,960 Speaker 1: the blue collar workers and the top one. But now 449 00:26:30,359 --> 00:26:34,520 Speaker 1: it's the solid middle class that is very anxious. Their 450 00:26:34,600 --> 00:26:38,000 Speaker 1: income gains are not enough to keep up with the 451 00:26:38,080 --> 00:26:40,640 Speaker 1: way they want to live or the way they want 452 00:26:40,720 --> 00:26:44,240 Speaker 1: to do their spending on their kids, education or other things. 453 00:26:44,840 --> 00:26:48,680 Speaker 1: And they're feeling that they don't have those resources. What's 454 00:26:48,720 --> 00:26:51,960 Speaker 1: going on? What's wrong? You turn around and you always 455 00:26:51,960 --> 00:26:54,840 Speaker 1: suddenly say the first scape good that comes to your 456 00:26:54,880 --> 00:26:58,520 Speaker 1: mind is globalization. And I don't blame them. I'm not 457 00:26:58,720 --> 00:27:02,320 Speaker 1: looking at the How much money did the US corporations 458 00:27:02,359 --> 00:27:05,080 Speaker 1: spend on the stock buybacks last year, in the last 459 00:27:05,119 --> 00:27:07,840 Speaker 1: couple of years more than actually in each year, how 460 00:27:07,960 --> 00:27:11,120 Speaker 1: much money have they spent our macro economists on doing 461 00:27:11,200 --> 00:27:14,840 Speaker 1: investment on information processing equipment, and are in the and 462 00:27:14,920 --> 00:27:18,640 Speaker 1: intellectual property less than that. And if you don't do investment, 463 00:27:18,720 --> 00:27:23,120 Speaker 1: there's no jobs tomorrow. So that's change to the middle Classieling, 464 00:27:24,160 --> 00:27:26,720 Speaker 1: We have a stereotype of the expansion of the South, 465 00:27:26,920 --> 00:27:30,000 Speaker 1: and it doesn't go back to Clark Gable and gone 466 00:27:30,080 --> 00:27:32,440 Speaker 1: with the wind. But even in the last twenty years, 467 00:27:32,520 --> 00:27:36,800 Speaker 1: we carry our stereotypes. What is your singular message about 468 00:27:37,040 --> 00:27:41,159 Speaker 1: what Atlanta has to do to compete. I mean Atlanta 469 00:27:41,440 --> 00:27:44,240 Speaker 1: is actually competing very well. The growth head over here 470 00:27:44,440 --> 00:27:47,119 Speaker 1: has been pretty good. It had a very big downturn 471 00:27:47,720 --> 00:27:51,480 Speaker 1: after the Great Recession because we had a lot of overbuilding. 472 00:27:51,600 --> 00:27:53,639 Speaker 1: We had a lot of but you know, we were 473 00:27:53,640 --> 00:27:56,760 Speaker 1: building seventy thousand homes and our job growth was not 474 00:27:56,920 --> 00:28:00,560 Speaker 1: even fifty. When I started in this business, the rule 475 00:28:00,600 --> 00:28:03,800 Speaker 1: of tomb was that you built two homes you build, 476 00:28:04,119 --> 00:28:06,680 Speaker 1: you build one home for two jobs. We're building four 477 00:28:06,720 --> 00:28:09,280 Speaker 1: to one at that point. So we had an over building. 478 00:28:09,359 --> 00:28:11,400 Speaker 1: We didn't have a price crash. We had an over 479 00:28:11,480 --> 00:28:13,840 Speaker 1: building crash. So we took a while for us to 480 00:28:13,960 --> 00:28:17,440 Speaker 1: recover hospitalities of a big driver over here. And of 481 00:28:17,560 --> 00:28:20,080 Speaker 1: course we have the biggest airport in the Delta Airline, 482 00:28:20,440 --> 00:28:22,800 Speaker 1: so we have to suffer from the gerations of the 483 00:28:22,840 --> 00:28:25,879 Speaker 1: global economy a lot more now than they did it 484 00:28:26,000 --> 00:28:30,760 Speaker 1: fifteen twenty years ago. Georgie, thank you so much. One uh, 485 00:28:30,960 --> 00:28:35,359 Speaker 1: the Economic Forecasting Center for the mac Robinson College of Business, 486 00:28:35,400 --> 00:28:39,320 Speaker 1: Georgia State University. Mike, I know you brought Dr uh 487 00:28:39,640 --> 00:28:42,800 Speaker 1: Dolan too. That was really great. Yeah. And today the 488 00:28:43,400 --> 00:28:46,920 Speaker 1: SEC primary the states from the South voting in the 489 00:28:47,200 --> 00:28:52,160 Speaker 1: Super Tuesday primary Alabama, Arkansas, Georgia. You're putting Vermont, Tennessee, Texas, 490 00:28:52,240 --> 00:28:55,360 Speaker 1: and Virginia. We're gonna leave Vermont to the Northeastern and 491 00:28:55,440 --> 00:28:58,720 Speaker 1: Maple Hall primary. G im growing opposite of some of 492 00:28:58,760 --> 00:29:02,200 Speaker 1: the everybody else is coming strong. General Motors February US 493 00:29:02,240 --> 00:29:04,280 Speaker 1: auto sales are down one and a half percent. The 494 00:29:04,280 --> 00:29:07,680 Speaker 1: forecast was they would be others like a weather thing 495 00:29:07,760 --> 00:29:11,520 Speaker 1: going on in a presidential everybody else's has been strong. 496 00:29:11,680 --> 00:29:14,760 Speaker 1: Perhaps there was a shift in market share during the month. 497 00:29:15,160 --> 00:29:17,800 Speaker 1: Hard to tell, but we have seen an awful lot 498 00:29:17,840 --> 00:29:21,160 Speaker 1: of cars sold so far. Michael McKee and Tom Keane 499 00:29:21,240 --> 00:29:25,520 Speaker 1: in Washington, and we will be here tomorrow as well 500 00:29:25,640 --> 00:29:28,680 Speaker 1: to pick up the debris. Many people looking for landslides 501 00:29:29,240 --> 00:29:39,200 Speaker 1: for Clinton and Trump. Uh futures The Dow rather up Alright, 502 00:29:39,280 --> 00:29:41,120 Speaker 1: Time to check in now with Michael Barr and get 503 00:29:41,160 --> 00:29:43,880 Speaker 1: the latest world in national headlines. Michael, Mike time, Thank 504 00:29:43,960 --> 00:29:46,320 Speaker 1: you very much. Voters are heading to the polls today 505 00:29:46,520 --> 00:29:50,440 Speaker 1: for the big Super Tuesday primaries and caucuses. Republican Donald 506 00:29:50,480 --> 00:29:54,600 Speaker 1: Trump and Democratulary Clinton entered today as front runners for 507 00:29:54,720 --> 00:29:58,840 Speaker 1: their respective presidential nominations, with the chance to build nearly 508 00:29:58,920 --> 00:30:02,920 Speaker 1: an insurmountable le need. Democrat Bernie Sanders has already voted 509 00:30:02,960 --> 00:30:05,840 Speaker 1: in his home state of Vermont after a lot of deliberation, 510 00:30:05,960 --> 00:30:09,680 Speaker 1: I know that Bernie Sanders pot of one vote. Working 511 00:30:09,760 --> 00:30:15,560 Speaker 1: on my WFE, Bloomberg will have NonStop Super Tuesday coverage 512 00:30:15,600 --> 00:30:18,440 Speaker 1: throughout the night, starting with a special edition of With 513 00:30:18,560 --> 00:30:21,120 Speaker 1: All Due Respects starting at five pm, all Street time. 514 00:30:21,560 --> 00:30:24,160 Speaker 1: President Obama plans to sit down today with the Senate 515 00:30:24,200 --> 00:30:27,800 Speaker 1: Republican leaders who are vowing to block his Supreme Court nominee. 516 00:30:28,160 --> 00:30:30,480 Speaker 1: The President says he will nominate a success here to 517 00:30:30,880 --> 00:30:35,280 Speaker 1: late Justice antonin Scalia within weeks. Attorney General Loretta Lynch 518 00:30:35,400 --> 00:30:38,360 Speaker 1: is calling on tech companies and the government to find 519 00:30:38,480 --> 00:30:41,960 Speaker 1: common ground. Lynch, and prepared remarks later today for the 520 00:30:42,120 --> 00:30:46,280 Speaker 1: rs A Cybersecurity conference in San Francisco, says, we do 521 00:30:46,480 --> 00:30:49,000 Speaker 1: have to be engaged in open dialogue so we can 522 00:30:49,080 --> 00:30:52,840 Speaker 1: draw upon each other's resources. Speech comes after a California 523 00:30:52,920 --> 00:30:55,760 Speaker 1: judge ruled that Apple should come up with software to 524 00:30:55,840 --> 00:30:58,960 Speaker 1: hack into the iPhone of the San Bernardino shooter. The 525 00:30:59,040 --> 00:31:02,840 Speaker 1: December incident fourteen people dead. Global News twenty four hours 526 00:31:02,880 --> 00:31:05,760 Speaker 1: a day, powered by our It's twenty four journalists more 527 00:31:05,800 --> 00:31:08,000 Speaker 1: than a d fifty news bureaus from around the world. 528 00:31:08,320 --> 00:31:12,240 Speaker 1: I'm Michael Barn, Mike Tom, Michael bar thank you so much. 529 00:31:13,000 --> 00:31:17,840 Speaker 1: Good morning Bloomberg FM in Washington and nationwide this Super Tuesday, 530 00:31:18,320 --> 00:31:23,520 Speaker 1: It's Bloomberg surveillance. One of the big questions of this 531 00:31:23,680 --> 00:31:27,320 Speaker 1: election year. How will Hispanics react to some of the 532 00:31:27,440 --> 00:31:30,160 Speaker 1: things said on the campaign trail? Loosia Potta is in 533 00:31:30,240 --> 00:31:33,880 Speaker 1: the business of selling politicians to Hispanics. We'll ask you 534 00:31:37,360 --> 00:31:40,720 Speaker 1: Global business news twenty four hours a day at Bloomberg 535 00:31:40,800 --> 00:31:43,880 Speaker 1: dot com, the Radio plus mobile app and on your radio. 536 00:31:44,200 --> 00:31:47,920 Speaker 1: This is a Bloomberg Business Flash and I'm Teren Moscow. 537 00:31:48,040 --> 00:31:50,560 Speaker 1: This updates brought to you by Sector Spider A t F. 538 00:31:50,640 --> 00:31:52,600 Speaker 1: Why buy a single stock when you can invest in 539 00:31:52,640 --> 00:31:56,240 Speaker 1: the entire sector? Visits sector spd r s dot Com 540 00:31:56,480 --> 00:32:00,360 Speaker 1: are called Sector e t F. Ford motor is Light 541 00:32:00,440 --> 00:32:03,760 Speaker 1: vehicle sales were twenty percent in February, while Fiat Chrysler 542 00:32:03,760 --> 00:32:08,360 Speaker 1: automobiles deliveries climbed twelve percent. Both exceeded analysts estimates thanks 543 00:32:08,440 --> 00:32:11,040 Speaker 1: to pay back from January storm promotions tied to the 544 00:32:11,080 --> 00:32:14,560 Speaker 1: President's Day holiday and continued strong demand for sport, utility 545 00:32:14,640 --> 00:32:18,040 Speaker 1: vehicles and pickups. Nissan also beat, while GM sales fell 546 00:32:18,120 --> 00:32:20,160 Speaker 1: one and a half percent last month and had missed 547 00:32:20,160 --> 00:32:24,680 Speaker 1: analysts estimates. U S talks, meanwhile, are rising amid investor 548 00:32:24,720 --> 00:32:28,080 Speaker 1: optimism about Central Bank support, who checked the markets every 549 00:32:28,120 --> 00:32:30,960 Speaker 1: fifteen minutes throughout the trading day. On bloomberg S and 550 00:32:31,040 --> 00:32:33,240 Speaker 1: P five hundred up half percent or nine points in 551 00:32:33,320 --> 00:32:36,440 Speaker 1: nineteen forty one Dow Jones industrial average of four tenths 552 00:32:36,440 --> 00:32:39,320 Speaker 1: percent or sixty seven points to sixteen thousand, five hundred 553 00:32:39,360 --> 00:32:41,720 Speaker 1: eighty three, the nav stack up six tenths percent or 554 00:32:41,760 --> 00:32:45,000 Speaker 1: twenty seven points to forty eighty five ten your treasury 555 00:32:45,040 --> 00:32:47,560 Speaker 1: little change. He had one point seven three percent yield 556 00:32:47,560 --> 00:32:50,680 Speaker 1: on the two year point seven seven percent. Nimax screwed 557 00:32:50,680 --> 00:32:53,000 Speaker 1: oil down one percent or thirty one cents to thirty 558 00:32:53,040 --> 00:32:55,880 Speaker 1: three forty two a barrel, Comacs gold up half percent 559 00:32:56,040 --> 00:32:58,600 Speaker 1: or six dollars fifty cents at twelve forty seventy an 560 00:32:58,640 --> 00:33:02,440 Speaker 1: ounce the euro the end one their teen point oh 561 00:33:02,600 --> 00:33:06,120 Speaker 1: six and Hoteywell International saying it would no longer pursue 562 00:33:06,160 --> 00:33:09,880 Speaker 1: a combination with United Technologies due to the target company's 563 00:33:09,960 --> 00:33:13,240 Speaker 1: unwillingness to negotiate as a Bloomberg Business Flash. Tom and 564 00:33:13,320 --> 00:33:16,880 Speaker 1: Mike and Karen, thank you so much. Good morning everyone, 565 00:33:17,280 --> 00:33:20,280 Speaker 1: this Super Tuesday from our news bureau in Washington. One 566 00:33:20,360 --> 00:33:23,080 Speaker 1: of our themes today is to speak to people with experience, 567 00:33:23,680 --> 00:33:26,160 Speaker 1: people that have linked to strategy and tactics of our 568 00:33:26,240 --> 00:33:30,800 Speaker 1: economic politics or political economics. Jose Par has done that. 569 00:33:30,880 --> 00:33:33,880 Speaker 1: He's worked with Senator Read of Nevada, among others, of 570 00:33:34,080 --> 00:33:37,760 Speaker 1: actually doing something that a lot of people thirty years 571 00:33:37,800 --> 00:33:41,320 Speaker 1: ago weren't sure it was possible, which is organized, get 572 00:33:41,360 --> 00:33:44,520 Speaker 1: out and do the Hispanic vote. We could go for 573 00:33:44,720 --> 00:33:48,280 Speaker 1: three hours today based on what then Weber said earlier 574 00:33:48,760 --> 00:33:53,120 Speaker 1: of Hispanic strong old Minnesota about the importance of the world, 575 00:33:53,600 --> 00:33:57,000 Speaker 1: the Latino and the Hispanic vote. Give us the state 576 00:33:57,240 --> 00:34:00,360 Speaker 1: of the Latino vote. After what we learned in two 577 00:34:00,440 --> 00:34:04,560 Speaker 1: thousand eight, in two thousand twelve, all two eight and 578 00:34:04,680 --> 00:34:08,719 Speaker 1: two thousand ten, we're also um, we're seminal years. It's 579 00:34:08,719 --> 00:34:13,320 Speaker 1: obviously been growing by by leaps and bounds participations and 580 00:34:13,360 --> 00:34:15,520 Speaker 1: not is now where it should be if it were, 581 00:34:16,040 --> 00:34:18,960 Speaker 1: and this could be a limited lismuths test here for that. 582 00:34:19,800 --> 00:34:24,040 Speaker 1: For example, in you had about twenty three million eligible 583 00:34:24,080 --> 00:34:27,120 Speaker 1: Hispanic voters. Close to twelve million turned out to the polls, 584 00:34:27,480 --> 00:34:31,360 Speaker 1: so still underperforming, but still were They played a decisive 585 00:34:31,440 --> 00:34:35,040 Speaker 1: role in states like Florida and Nevada to help President 586 00:34:35,120 --> 00:34:41,600 Speaker 1: Obama win, and in we actually had presidential type turnout 587 00:34:42,320 --> 00:34:45,920 Speaker 1: to Uh in Nevada to back Center Reading. According to 588 00:34:45,960 --> 00:34:49,400 Speaker 1: the Firm of Funeral Decisions, Center read one of the 589 00:34:49,480 --> 00:34:52,320 Speaker 1: vote that year. Interestingly, if you want to compare that 590 00:34:52,560 --> 00:34:57,080 Speaker 1: year to what's occurring right now, the rhetoric was very much, 591 00:34:57,320 --> 00:35:01,560 Speaker 1: very similar. Sharon Angle Uh Center reads um fun at 592 00:35:01,640 --> 00:35:06,000 Speaker 1: the moment was um base air campaign on immigration, and 593 00:35:06,719 --> 00:35:09,239 Speaker 1: she spent about a third of her TV budget on 594 00:35:09,440 --> 00:35:13,160 Speaker 1: antiimmigrant ads, and that contrast between her and Center to 595 00:35:13,200 --> 00:35:17,560 Speaker 1: Read really helped turn the Latino vote out. Well, when 596 00:35:17,600 --> 00:35:20,000 Speaker 1: we speak of the Latino vote, I mean it's people 597 00:35:20,040 --> 00:35:23,200 Speaker 1: from Mexico, people from the Caribbean, people from South America. 598 00:35:23,280 --> 00:35:26,879 Speaker 1: You've got immigrant recent democrats, and you've got families who've 599 00:35:26,880 --> 00:35:31,240 Speaker 1: been here for generations. So what is the Latino slash 600 00:35:31,400 --> 00:35:37,000 Speaker 1: Hispanic vote? Are there issues that are common to all 601 00:35:37,760 --> 00:35:40,920 Speaker 1: or do we make a mistake by lumping everybody together? Well, 602 00:35:41,000 --> 00:35:44,239 Speaker 1: it is definitely a moving target, and no, anybody who 603 00:35:44,280 --> 00:35:47,719 Speaker 1: tells you that they've had the Hispanic vote, figure it out. UM, 604 00:35:48,239 --> 00:35:51,680 Speaker 1: They're they're selling me a bunch of goods because it 605 00:35:51,840 --> 00:35:54,360 Speaker 1: is a moving target, something you need to be measuring 606 00:35:54,440 --> 00:35:56,840 Speaker 1: all the time, and something you need to be And 607 00:35:56,960 --> 00:35:59,759 Speaker 1: then any public you need to be listening to constantly 608 00:35:59,840 --> 00:36:01,640 Speaker 1: in art you figure out where they are. You have 609 00:36:01,760 --> 00:36:05,200 Speaker 1: huge differences between Florida, for example, in Nevada, even in Florida. 610 00:36:05,880 --> 00:36:07,920 Speaker 1: In Florida you need to micro target. For example, you 611 00:36:08,000 --> 00:36:09,799 Speaker 1: need to talk to the Colombians, you need to talk 612 00:36:09,840 --> 00:36:12,879 Speaker 1: to Nicarago, you need to talk to Cubans. And each 613 00:36:12,960 --> 00:36:16,879 Speaker 1: one has different radio stations. For example, they listen to UM. 614 00:36:17,080 --> 00:36:21,160 Speaker 1: How can Mr Trump do so well against a departed 615 00:36:21,280 --> 00:36:25,279 Speaker 1: Bush and a present Rubio in that state given the 616 00:36:25,520 --> 00:36:30,680 Speaker 1: fabulous diversity in Florida advantage. A lot of Americans are 617 00:36:30,719 --> 00:36:33,200 Speaker 1: asking that question. Well, I think the biggest thing here 618 00:36:33,360 --> 00:36:37,759 Speaker 1: is that we're talking about UM, a fractured geop UM 619 00:36:38,000 --> 00:36:40,719 Speaker 1: and you're talking about a fraction of the goop, which 620 00:36:40,840 --> 00:36:46,880 Speaker 1: is a majority, but not I A a proper uh 621 00:36:47,400 --> 00:36:50,719 Speaker 1: big majority of the It's not fifty plus of the 622 00:36:50,960 --> 00:36:55,359 Speaker 1: goop field or geop voters. And uh, I think that's 623 00:36:55,520 --> 00:36:57,920 Speaker 1: what's happening there and he's turning out. I bet you 624 00:36:57,960 --> 00:37:01,200 Speaker 1: a lot of people in northern Florida, uh and roll 625 00:37:01,239 --> 00:37:03,759 Speaker 1: parts of Florida which are very similar to Alabama or 626 00:37:03,840 --> 00:37:08,759 Speaker 1: Georgia and it's demographic makeup. Are there Is there a 627 00:37:09,640 --> 00:37:12,960 Speaker 1: Latino vote that is committed to one side or another? 628 00:37:13,000 --> 00:37:15,320 Speaker 1: Because the Republican argument coming out of two thousand twelves 629 00:37:15,360 --> 00:37:19,840 Speaker 1: we need to appeal more because our issues, conservative issues, 630 00:37:20,280 --> 00:37:23,640 Speaker 1: religious issues would appeal to his banks on an economic basis. 631 00:37:23,719 --> 00:37:26,319 Speaker 1: The Democrats say we can compete. Is the vote still 632 00:37:26,400 --> 00:37:28,600 Speaker 1: up for grabs or has it hardened on one side 633 00:37:28,640 --> 00:37:31,839 Speaker 1: or there not? After what Trump has done, and there's 634 00:37:31,880 --> 00:37:36,920 Speaker 1: been an unfortunate trend within the GOP which Trump in reality, 635 00:37:36,960 --> 00:37:39,640 Speaker 1: what he did was harn as this trend and use 636 00:37:39,719 --> 00:37:43,040 Speaker 1: his megaphone as a media figure to protect it. Because 637 00:37:43,080 --> 00:37:45,080 Speaker 1: this type of language we've been hearing from Steve King, 638 00:37:45,320 --> 00:37:49,840 Speaker 1: from Moe Brooks, from Jan Brewer, and the the Arizona 639 00:37:50,080 --> 00:37:52,799 Speaker 1: Law of of two thousand and ten, which by the way, 640 00:37:52,880 --> 00:37:55,400 Speaker 1: Marco Rubio back to the time, which meant that if 641 00:37:55,440 --> 00:37:58,040 Speaker 1: you look Latino or Sano Latino, you could be stopped 642 00:37:58,680 --> 00:38:01,560 Speaker 1: and that started that turned a great an identity issue. 643 00:38:01,600 --> 00:38:04,000 Speaker 1: The background here for Washington, and we've heard this from 644 00:38:04,840 --> 00:38:09,200 Speaker 1: FM Washington listeners over the last few days, is Robert 645 00:38:09,280 --> 00:38:12,600 Speaker 1: Kagan's important op ed in the Washington Post. He is 646 00:38:12,920 --> 00:38:15,960 Speaker 1: at the Brookings Institution and he just wrote a basic 647 00:38:16,080 --> 00:38:20,480 Speaker 1: theme of what you address about the gop um. The 648 00:38:20,600 --> 00:38:24,400 Speaker 1: president is not only wrong but also anti American, un American, 649 00:38:24,840 --> 00:38:29,120 Speaker 1: non American, and his policies, though barely distinguishable from those 650 00:38:29,160 --> 00:38:33,000 Speaker 1: of previous liberal Democrats such as Michael dukaka sam Mario Cuomo, 651 00:38:33,360 --> 00:38:38,880 Speaker 1: are somewhat representative of something subversive. Do they just lose 652 00:38:39,200 --> 00:38:42,520 Speaker 1: all of the minority vote in America with that language? 653 00:38:43,520 --> 00:38:46,000 Speaker 1: I mean they're pussing that language for a long long 654 00:38:46,120 --> 00:38:49,520 Speaker 1: time now, at least for eighty of Hispanics in the 655 00:38:49,640 --> 00:38:55,200 Speaker 1: Romney election for Mr Romney. About and that number and 656 00:38:55,320 --> 00:38:57,000 Speaker 1: the and and and I would argue that the problem 657 00:38:57,120 --> 00:39:00,800 Speaker 1: that number is probably lower because that's based on exit polling, 658 00:39:01,160 --> 00:39:05,279 Speaker 1: which tends to under measure minority communities. We talked about. 659 00:39:05,640 --> 00:39:07,680 Speaker 1: Donald Trump obviously is sort of the front runner in 660 00:39:07,680 --> 00:39:10,759 Speaker 1: the Republican side. Suppose you get a Hispanic, you get 661 00:39:11,040 --> 00:39:14,200 Speaker 1: Marco Rubio or Ted Cruz, who rests the nomination away 662 00:39:14,239 --> 00:39:17,640 Speaker 1: from him. How does that change the dynamic? I don't 663 00:39:17,680 --> 00:39:20,200 Speaker 1: think much, because what Trump has done is forced the 664 00:39:20,239 --> 00:39:23,560 Speaker 1: party to tach right in its message, on its tone, 665 00:39:23,680 --> 00:39:28,080 Speaker 1: and forced all these guys to chase him as as 666 00:39:28,160 --> 00:39:34,000 Speaker 1: far as rhetoric, maybe with uh much less crass language 667 00:39:34,080 --> 00:39:36,200 Speaker 1: until this weekend when Marco will be going to for 668 00:39:36,280 --> 00:39:40,320 Speaker 1: tat with uh with Trump. But um, even Jeff Bush, 669 00:39:40,400 --> 00:39:43,440 Speaker 1: who a lot of people consider a very pro immigrant 670 00:39:43,640 --> 00:39:47,480 Speaker 1: and and somebody steeped deeply in the and and Hispanic culture. 671 00:39:47,960 --> 00:39:50,200 Speaker 1: Uh use the term anchor babies for example, at some 672 00:39:50,320 --> 00:39:53,320 Speaker 1: point everybody was trying to catch up to Trump, and 673 00:39:53,520 --> 00:39:55,480 Speaker 1: it's gonna be very hard for these guys to come 674 00:39:55,520 --> 00:39:59,880 Speaker 1: back from that started the side of the spectrum. Secretary 675 00:40:00,200 --> 00:40:02,120 Speaker 1: go ahead. Well, I was just gonna say, can can 676 00:40:02,719 --> 00:40:05,279 Speaker 1: Secretary Clinton then take the Hispanic vote for granted? They're 677 00:40:05,320 --> 00:40:08,160 Speaker 1: going to come to her. No, she cannot take the 678 00:40:08,239 --> 00:40:12,960 Speaker 1: vote for granted, because um, the issue with Hispanics is 679 00:40:13,960 --> 00:40:18,000 Speaker 1: and Democrats and Republicans is not so much whether Latinos 680 00:40:18,080 --> 00:40:22,319 Speaker 1: will become Republicans and vote Republican. The question is whether 681 00:40:22,400 --> 00:40:25,480 Speaker 1: they will stay home. Has happened in the midterm of 682 00:40:26,840 --> 00:40:31,719 Speaker 1: For example, UH, in Nevada, we went to a participation 683 00:40:32,160 --> 00:40:39,640 Speaker 1: among Latinos of and we lost even a Latino majority 684 00:40:39,760 --> 00:40:44,480 Speaker 1: district CD four in Nevada. So turnout is the key, 685 00:40:44,640 --> 00:40:48,879 Speaker 1: and the turnout is everything. And you need to give 686 00:40:48,960 --> 00:40:51,239 Speaker 1: the and you need to give people a people and 687 00:40:51,239 --> 00:40:52,800 Speaker 1: you need to give people not just the reason to 688 00:40:53,400 --> 00:40:56,200 Speaker 1: vote against something, but also an alternative to vote for. 689 00:40:57,160 --> 00:40:58,840 Speaker 1: We would love to have you come back when we 690 00:40:59,000 --> 00:41:02,680 Speaker 1: visit was a part where this with its perspective working 691 00:41:02,719 --> 00:41:06,680 Speaker 1: with Senator to read of Nevada on Latino affairs. Prospero 692 00:41:06,800 --> 00:41:11,680 Speaker 1: Latino is a strategic insight organization. Mike, We're gonna go 693 00:41:11,760 --> 00:41:14,160 Speaker 1: to San Francisco. It's something we have not addressed today. 694 00:41:15,080 --> 00:41:18,200 Speaker 1: We're gonna go to San Francisco here in the next hour. Yes, 695 00:41:18,480 --> 00:41:23,560 Speaker 1: Carol Masser and uh Corey Johnson are cybersecurity conference. Um. 696 00:41:23,840 --> 00:41:25,800 Speaker 1: They have Actually they knew that we were going to 697 00:41:25,840 --> 00:41:29,000 Speaker 1: go to them because they've been reading our computer messages earlier. 698 00:41:29,040 --> 00:41:32,359 Speaker 1: They've learned everything they need to learn about. They are 699 00:41:32,719 --> 00:41:35,640 Speaker 1: conference and really front and center on Apple. We know, 700 00:41:35,880 --> 00:41:38,520 Speaker 1: and that is a major issue on Capital Hill today. UH, 701 00:41:38,880 --> 00:41:42,319 Speaker 1: with the hearings on Apple. Yeah, Carol, good morning, Hey, 702 00:41:42,440 --> 00:41:46,600 Speaker 1: good morning guys. Um. We do know everything, um, but yeah, 703 00:41:46,680 --> 00:41:49,680 Speaker 1: this is all about keeping our digital world safe. So 704 00:41:49,800 --> 00:41:53,480 Speaker 1: you've got Google here, Adobe here, You've got the carmakers here, 705 00:41:53,520 --> 00:41:54,960 Speaker 1: and we're gonna be talking to some of them just 706 00:41:55,040 --> 00:41:58,200 Speaker 1: some of the initiatives that are underway to protect everything 707 00:41:58,280 --> 00:42:01,360 Speaker 1: that's going on in the digital space. So kind of fascinating. 708 00:42:01,480 --> 00:42:04,160 Speaker 1: You're right. It's front and center up on Capitol Hill 709 00:42:04,239 --> 00:42:07,719 Speaker 1: today with Apple there and also the Pentagon talking about 710 00:42:07,719 --> 00:42:10,120 Speaker 1: some of the cybersecurity initiatives they need. So we're gonna 711 00:42:10,160 --> 00:42:13,680 Speaker 1: cover it all here from San Francisco and Carol Master, 712 00:42:13,840 --> 00:42:17,520 Speaker 1: thank you so much again. Super TUESI programming all day 713 00:42:17,680 --> 00:42:20,560 Speaker 1: on Bloomberg Radio to give you a perspective we hope, 714 00:42:20,560 --> 00:42:23,800 Speaker 1: away from the Husterian of course, important programming tonight with 715 00:42:23,920 --> 00:42:28,359 Speaker 1: Mark Helper and John Heilman with all due respect as 716 00:42:28,440 --> 00:42:30,560 Speaker 1: we begin to look at the returns for the many 717 00:42:31,160 --> 00:42:34,200 Speaker 1: Super Tuesday states. The good news for me and Mike. 718 00:42:34,800 --> 00:42:37,200 Speaker 1: We'll be here tomorrow morning to pick up the debris 719 00:42:37,880 --> 00:42:41,160 Speaker 1: of the various elections and to give you perspective forward 720 00:42:41,239 --> 00:42:46,520 Speaker 1: on the nation's very political economics. From Washington. This is 721 00:42:46,560 --> 00:42:47,719 Speaker 1: Bloomberg surveillance