WEBVTT - Stocks Sink and the Gig Economy Faces Challenges

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<v Speaker 1>From the heart of where innovation, money and power colli

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<v Speaker 1>in Silicon Valley and beyond. This is Bloomberg Technology with

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<v Speaker 1>Emily jay I. Remember we check in San Francisco and

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<v Speaker 1>this is Bloomberg Technology coming up. In the next hour,

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<v Speaker 1>tech stocks turn sharply lower as the semiconductor slowdown takes

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<v Speaker 1>the industry down with it. We're gonna have more on

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<v Speaker 1>the warnings from chipmakers and when we might see a recovery. Plus,

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<v Speaker 1>the gig economy faces a new reality after the labor

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<v Speaker 1>department proposes some gig workers be classified as employees, sending

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<v Speaker 1>shares of Uber down more than We're going to talk

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<v Speaker 1>about what it means for Uberlift, door, dash, and more,

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<v Speaker 1>and we get a glimpse into Mark Zaggerberg's vision for

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<v Speaker 1>them be averse. The company is leaning into the virtual

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<v Speaker 1>workplace with new partnerships with Zoom and Microsoft. Zuckerberg also

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<v Speaker 1>unveiling the new Quest pro headset and showing off his

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<v Speaker 1>Avatar legs. Hundreds of billions of dollars have been wiped

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<v Speaker 1>off the chip industry following a worldwide drop in demand

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<v Speaker 1>for reference Taiwan Semiconductor, the most valuable chip maker in

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<v Speaker 1>the world, suffering its biggest drop since for more, Let's

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<v Speaker 1>bring back our Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Alice ujin Ho, who

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<v Speaker 1>has been of course following all the moves and chips

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<v Speaker 1>and you know, Lu, we were talking about potential glut

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<v Speaker 1>in UH supply for months, but it seems to have

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<v Speaker 1>taken everyone by surprise, just this idea that we didn't

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<v Speaker 1>have enough and now we have too much. You know, why?

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<v Speaker 1>Why is this all happened so fast? Sure? So thanks

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<v Speaker 1>for having me on again, Emily So So a couple

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<v Speaker 1>of things, right, um, I think the recessionary environment, the

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<v Speaker 1>recessionary concerns going to they started to hit the U,

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<v Speaker 1>the end markets, servers, PCs, UH, TV so on and

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<v Speaker 1>self worth, any any electronic goods UH that seems to

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<v Speaker 1>be pairing that back. And we saw evidence of that

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<v Speaker 1>last quarter as in with respect to a m D

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<v Speaker 1>and Intel UH they made their first round of cuts.

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<v Speaker 1>And I think what's surprised everyone else is that when

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<v Speaker 1>we thought it was over, there was another round of

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<v Speaker 1>cuts by Micron as well as a m D. And

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<v Speaker 1>then layer that on with the geopolitical risk which is

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<v Speaker 1>also weighing on t SMC. So would you say a

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<v Speaker 1>downturn in chips is a leading or lagging indicator for

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<v Speaker 1>the rest of the technology industry. Sure so, so why

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<v Speaker 1>don't I take you back into history if we look

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<v Speaker 1>at pre COVID, UH, the chip makers were an early

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<v Speaker 1>cycle has always been an early cycle UH industry, and

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<v Speaker 1>they were the first one to come down once UH

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<v Speaker 1>COVID hit. But once we figured out that COVID was

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<v Speaker 1>not going to be bad as bad as initially thought,

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<v Speaker 1>they were the first ones to come back up. From

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<v Speaker 1>an evaluation perspective, right, it's gonna take a while for

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<v Speaker 1>estimates to to catch up. So I know that there

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<v Speaker 1>were a couple of rounds of cuts on the chip

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<v Speaker 1>sector already. But even at fourteen times, it's still not

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<v Speaker 1>a trough multiple is going back to. It's still seventeen

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<v Speaker 1>times seventeen percent premium to trough multiple. So there's still

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<v Speaker 1>maybe another round of learnings. Because to reflect three expectations,

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<v Speaker 1>which companies are in the worst position based on what

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<v Speaker 1>chips they make? And what is most you know, in

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<v Speaker 1>the most in oversupply? Sure so so, UM, if we

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<v Speaker 1>think about it from an end market perspective, UH companies

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<v Speaker 1>that are over indexed on the consumer side are hurt

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<v Speaker 1>uh if and and one of the reasons why tm

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<v Speaker 1>SMC is hurt so badly is because some of the

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<v Speaker 1>leading chip manufacturers rely on t S, MCS, fabs and

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<v Speaker 1>and think about it, Apple smartphone manufacturers as well as

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<v Speaker 1>A A M d uh for for their PCs chips.

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<v Speaker 1>So those three buckets alone is going to create that lie. Um.

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<v Speaker 1>I think if you think about companies that that manufactured

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<v Speaker 1>their own ships, you have companies like analog devices that

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<v Speaker 1>do not have as much consumer exposure, but they do

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<v Speaker 1>have a fair amount of consumer exposure as well that

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<v Speaker 1>may see a negative impact, as well as companies like

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<v Speaker 1>a video that's already warned on on weakness on the

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<v Speaker 1>consumer side. All right, uh went, how thank you for

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<v Speaker 1>helping us work through all of this new information. Are

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<v Speaker 1>bloomberk Sen your intelligence analysts appreciate it? Meantime, a new

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<v Speaker 1>proposal from the Biden administration would classify millions of gig

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<v Speaker 1>workers as employees rather than independent contractors. That could have

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<v Speaker 1>extreme repercussions for companies like Uber and Left, which plunged

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<v Speaker 1>on this news. Let's bring in Bloomberg's Jackie Dablos. So

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<v Speaker 1>Jackie tell us exactly what this new law involved and

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<v Speaker 1>how it would impact the companies that you cover. So

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<v Speaker 1>the proposal, which is still being considered, UM, is essentially

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<v Speaker 1>a new outline for how companies can determine whether their

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<v Speaker 1>workers are independent contractors or employees which carry certain legal

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<v Speaker 1>and wage benefits. UM, things like dental and medical. We

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<v Speaker 1>all enjoy those as full time employees. However, uh, independent

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<v Speaker 1>contractors like careers and delivery drivers just don't have those

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<v Speaker 1>same kinds of benefits. So this new proposal is effectively

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<v Speaker 1>making it easier for companies to look at this certain

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<v Speaker 1>criteria UM, some of it which has been refined from

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<v Speaker 1>the Trump era rule that it's replacing, like how integral

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<v Speaker 1>are workers uh to the business overall? Um? You know,

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<v Speaker 1>how much control do they have over their earnings? How

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<v Speaker 1>much control do they have over how they can do

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<v Speaker 1>their jobs? And these types of questions which are really um,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, new ones compared to even the Obama era rule.

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<v Speaker 1>UM that that it's mirroring. UM, it's effectively more gig

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<v Speaker 1>worker friendly and Uber Live, Door, Dash, insta cart all

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<v Speaker 1>have workers that have been clamoring for for these types

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<v Speaker 1>of benefits, so for them it's certainly a positive. So

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<v Speaker 1>what happens next. You know, there is a little bit

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<v Speaker 1>of confusion around, uh, just how much of an impact

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<v Speaker 1>this is actually going to have. And if you look

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<v Speaker 1>at the statements that Uber and door Dash and Lift released,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, they just weren't surprised. This is something that

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<v Speaker 1>they were expecting since day one of the Biden administration.

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<v Speaker 1>But what this really does, it's more of an interpretive guidance.

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<v Speaker 1>So it's not going to wipe out the gig worker

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<v Speaker 1>classification system. What it's doing is saying, look, this is

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<v Speaker 1>how we're going to look on it, look at it

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<v Speaker 1>from here on out, and it has more ramifications, say

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<v Speaker 1>and you know, litigation if someone sues one of the

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<v Speaker 1>companies for misclassification. This is the basis that can be

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<v Speaker 1>used now for the companies. You know, we we look

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<v Speaker 1>at Uber, who's kind of had to deal with this

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<v Speaker 1>in London when the Supreme Court over there ruled that

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<v Speaker 1>they had to classify their London drivers as employees. So

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<v Speaker 1>they're not totally new to kind of the uh, the

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<v Speaker 1>impact of what it will take if they have to

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<v Speaker 1>switch the model around a bit, but it's certainly going

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<v Speaker 1>to be somewhat of a hybrid from what legal experts

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<v Speaker 1>UM as well as analysts are are are saying right now. Meantime,

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<v Speaker 1>Uber's former security chief, in another story dealing with some

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<v Speaker 1>old legal issues, was found guilty of hiding information in

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<v Speaker 1>a corporate hack attack dating back to sixteen. You know,

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<v Speaker 1>a pretty astounding verdict here. What was your reaction to this,

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<v Speaker 1>What's been the reaction internally and within the industry to

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<v Speaker 1>this and in terms of what it means for corporate transparency?

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<v Speaker 1>You know, Emily, it's funny because that ruling actually, uh,

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<v Speaker 1>that trial was going ongoing while Uber actually had a

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<v Speaker 1>recent hack for UM, I don't it was their slack

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<v Speaker 1>systems that actually been hacked by by some one, and

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<v Speaker 1>it was incredible to kind of see the UM the

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<v Speaker 1>different reaction the company had. There was a blog post

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<v Speaker 1>that outlined, you know, uh, day by day, what the

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<v Speaker 1>updates were, what the impact were to customer data UM

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<v Speaker 1>and coming out of that trial, it's really two different Ubers.

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<v Speaker 1>Now the Travis Kallinik yours really trickled down into just

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<v Speaker 1>how the company helped handled corporate transparency. Now under new leadership,

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<v Speaker 1>you've really seen that shift. The company is really UM

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<v Speaker 1>I think more focused on just putting everything out on

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<v Speaker 1>the table, all right, uh so intriguing their blooms. Jacky

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<v Speaker 1>Javelos will of course follow what's happening with this new law,

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<v Speaker 1>appreciate it. We build Horizon workrooms as a first step

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<v Speaker 1>towards a virtual office in the metaverse. It feels more

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<v Speaker 1>like being there than any video call. You see more

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<v Speaker 1>of people's body language, and the spatial audio gives you

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<v Speaker 1>a sense of each person's place in the room, and

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<v Speaker 1>you can have side conversations with the people sitting next

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<v Speaker 1>to you or a gesture without physically being there together.

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<v Speaker 1>It's hard to fully wrap your head around this until

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<v Speaker 1>you get to experience it. Just some of Mark Zuckerberg's

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<v Speaker 1>vision there for the workplace of the metaverse, and among

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<v Speaker 1>other news at the Medicannect event, Zuckerberg announced partnerships with

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<v Speaker 1>Microsoft and Zoom to promote virtual collaboration unmail the fifteen

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<v Speaker 1>hundred dollar Quest pro headset, and says Meta will add

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<v Speaker 1>legs soon to avatars. There they are let's bring in

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<v Speaker 1>food works Kurt Wagner and to Economy founder David Kirkpatrick. So, Kurt,

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<v Speaker 1>what are your big takeaways today? Is it the avatar legs?

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<v Speaker 1>The avatar legs was a pretty easy one to point

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<v Speaker 1>out and fun obviously a little bit better than just

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<v Speaker 1>floating around in the metaverse. But now, I mean the

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<v Speaker 1>headset was sort of the flying ship product that was

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<v Speaker 1>announced today, This new kind of high end b our device. Um,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, it's it's as Mark said in that video,

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<v Speaker 1>it's more tailored towards working professionals. They're kind of going

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<v Speaker 1>after a higher end clientele than I think they have

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<v Speaker 1>with some of their other stuff. But you know, a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of the technology that they kind of showed off

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<v Speaker 1>towards the end of the presentation is the stuff, in

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<v Speaker 1>my opinion, that's most interesting. Uh. You know, this is,

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<v Speaker 1>for example, like lifelike avatars, right or even uh you know,

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<v Speaker 1>the ability to kind of use your hand or your

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<v Speaker 1>wrist as a controller. Um, all of that is very cool,

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<v Speaker 1>And the problem is it's just years and years away, right,

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<v Speaker 1>So now you're asking people to be very patient. You're

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<v Speaker 1>asking investors to be very patient as they build and

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<v Speaker 1>work on this stuff. And so I think, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>that's where the issue comes in. It's not that the

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<v Speaker 1>technology is not cool, it's just it's really far off. David,

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<v Speaker 1>the staff dropped almost fo why do you think that is? Well,

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<v Speaker 1>one way to look at it would be, this is

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<v Speaker 1>a company with three and a half billion people in

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<v Speaker 1>a business that's generating like forty billion a year in

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<v Speaker 1>after checks profit. That is talking about a business that

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<v Speaker 1>for which they've sold fifteen million devices and a metaverse

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<v Speaker 1>product that has three thousand users a day, and that's

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<v Speaker 1>what the management is putting its primary focus on. It

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<v Speaker 1>would seem if you're an investor in a company that

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<v Speaker 1>is has such misguided priorities, I think you would be

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<v Speaker 1>very disappointed. Is the workplace David ready for metaverse technology? No,

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<v Speaker 1>not at all. No, it is not. It is not.

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<v Speaker 1>It's simply not. We don't want to meet in the metaverse.

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<v Speaker 1>It's very nice that Zoom and Microsoft have talked meta

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<v Speaker 1>about possibly making a three D version of their meeting products,

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<v Speaker 1>but that is not what most people want to do.

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<v Speaker 1>The company's behaving as if it was a gaming company.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean everything today was talked about as if it

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<v Speaker 1>was a company for gaming, the kind of technologies or

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<v Speaker 1>gaming technologies. It's kind of a gaming psychology, gaming aesthetics, um,

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<v Speaker 1>but that isn't really what this company he is, and

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<v Speaker 1>it's it's a it's a scary, scary situation this company

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<v Speaker 1>has put itself in, in my opinion, what's your response

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<v Speaker 1>to that? I think David's right, I mean, as I

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<v Speaker 1>kind of alluded to their right to tech school, but

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<v Speaker 1>can they convince investors that it's worth waiting ten years

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<v Speaker 1>for right? And and uh, as David points out, like

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<v Speaker 1>they have a business here that that needs at tension

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<v Speaker 1>right now, which is the advertising business, right, I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>they're they're kind of dealing with a real serious threat

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<v Speaker 1>right here and now with TikTok uh and and young

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<v Speaker 1>people not necessarily wanted to use their apps. And so

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<v Speaker 1>when you think about that, that's the current state of

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<v Speaker 1>the business, and then you look at you know, what

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<v Speaker 1>the priorities seem to be from Mark Zuckerberg. It doesn't

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<v Speaker 1>necessarily align. And I imagine that there are a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of people, clearly, I guess given the stock movement today

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<v Speaker 1>that saw this and thought, man, why are they spending

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<v Speaker 1>so much time and money on this problem when they

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<v Speaker 1>have others that they need to be addressing. Now. We

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<v Speaker 1>spoke to Francis Hogan uh last week, of course, that's

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<v Speaker 1>Facebook whistleblower, and she had an interesting thought about Cheryl

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<v Speaker 1>Sandberg leaving the company, and you know the company now,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, for of course being fully in the hands

0:13:11.360 --> 0:13:13.960
<v Speaker 1>of of Mark Zuckerberg. Take a listen to what she

0:13:14.040 --> 0:13:16.960
<v Speaker 1>had to say. You know, Marcus surrounded himself with people

0:13:16.960 --> 0:13:19.280
<v Speaker 1>who tell him the same kinds of stories over and

0:13:19.280 --> 0:13:21.600
<v Speaker 1>over again. You know, Facebook is just a mirror. It

0:13:21.600 --> 0:13:24.760
<v Speaker 1>doesn't have responsibility. All these things that we're complaining about

0:13:24.760 --> 0:13:27.160
<v Speaker 1>have always been present. We're just showing them to people

0:13:27.160 --> 0:13:28.840
<v Speaker 1>who don't. We don't play any role in this. We

0:13:28.880 --> 0:13:33.280
<v Speaker 1>have no power. David curious what your thoughts are on that. Well,

0:13:33.320 --> 0:13:37.480
<v Speaker 1>I completely agree with her analysis of how they see this.

0:13:38.120 --> 0:13:42.160
<v Speaker 1>I mean, to the degree Zuckerberg thinks about the sort

0:13:42.200 --> 0:13:45.840
<v Speaker 1>of socio cultural impact of the products that he's built.

0:13:46.240 --> 0:13:50.160
<v Speaker 1>He's still basically in the mindset of making the world

0:13:50.200 --> 0:13:53.080
<v Speaker 1>more open and connected is really cool, and he thinks

0:13:53.120 --> 0:13:56.160
<v Speaker 1>the metaverse is the next stage of that. He doesn't

0:13:56.240 --> 0:13:59.840
<v Speaker 1>want to take responsibility for the ongoing problems that he

0:14:00.040 --> 0:14:02.920
<v Speaker 1>is not resolved. And I continue to think that the

0:14:02.960 --> 0:14:06.440
<v Speaker 1>reason the company changed its name almost exactly a year ago,

0:14:06.760 --> 0:14:11.200
<v Speaker 1>at the height of Francis Hogan's revelations about numerous misdeeds

0:14:11.200 --> 0:14:15.720
<v Speaker 1>and errors and unresolved problems. Was to change the narrative, which,

0:14:16.200 --> 0:14:18.760
<v Speaker 1>for their to their credit, was very successful as a

0:14:18.800 --> 0:14:22.800
<v Speaker 1>PR move, but isn't really successful as a business move

0:14:22.920 --> 0:14:25.040
<v Speaker 1>long term. And now they're stuck with a new name

0:14:25.520 --> 0:14:30.200
<v Speaker 1>and a sensible direction that isn't really rational. Um. So

0:14:30.360 --> 0:14:33.960
<v Speaker 1>they have such serious problems. And if any other company

0:14:34.120 --> 0:14:36.400
<v Speaker 1>had these problems, the CEO would be out. But this

0:14:36.480 --> 0:14:39.080
<v Speaker 1>is a company with no governance, with a board that

0:14:39.280 --> 0:14:42.560
<v Speaker 1>is just a paperboard. Because Zuckerberg completely controls that he

0:14:42.600 --> 0:14:45.480
<v Speaker 1>can't be fired. He don't. He controls all the shares.

0:14:45.880 --> 0:14:48.080
<v Speaker 1>I mean, he controls a majority of the shares, so

0:14:48.160 --> 0:14:50.400
<v Speaker 1>he can do whatever he wants. And that is a

0:14:50.520 --> 0:14:54.480
<v Speaker 1>very dangerous situation. And it is dangerous for investors to

0:14:54.680 --> 0:14:57.040
<v Speaker 1>be in this company. Even though it's PE is lower

0:14:57.080 --> 0:15:00.000
<v Speaker 1>than any other major company tech company by a substantial mark,

0:15:00.440 --> 0:15:02.840
<v Speaker 1>it's not a good investment going forward. Well, and that's

0:15:02.840 --> 0:15:06.120
<v Speaker 1>in part because it's market captives drops so much since uh,

0:15:06.200 --> 0:15:09.000
<v Speaker 1>Frances how good, And since the company changed its name,

0:15:09.040 --> 0:15:13.320
<v Speaker 1>this is now a million dollar company. David, how bad

0:15:13.320 --> 0:15:16.960
<v Speaker 1>would things have to get before Mark Zuckerberg considers something

0:15:17.360 --> 0:15:21.000
<v Speaker 1>as as extreme as taking it private? Well, you know,

0:15:21.080 --> 0:15:24.280
<v Speaker 1>that that's something that I have thought about as a

0:15:24.360 --> 0:15:28.120
<v Speaker 1>possible remedy for the problems the company has, because then

0:15:28.120 --> 0:15:31.880
<v Speaker 1>it could address the serious challenges it faces without the

0:15:31.880 --> 0:15:34.720
<v Speaker 1>stock market breathing down its neck and judging it, you know,

0:15:35.000 --> 0:15:38.280
<v Speaker 1>with the voting machine of the stock every single day.

0:15:38.320 --> 0:15:41.440
<v Speaker 1>They have a lot of expensive problems to fix, and

0:15:41.480 --> 0:15:43.040
<v Speaker 1>it would be a lot better to do it if

0:15:43.080 --> 0:15:45.000
<v Speaker 1>they were private. But I think it would have to

0:15:45.040 --> 0:15:47.200
<v Speaker 1>get a lot a lot worse. I mean, look, the

0:15:47.240 --> 0:15:49.560
<v Speaker 1>stock is down from almost a trillion to three d

0:15:49.680 --> 0:15:52.240
<v Speaker 1>and fifty billion now it could go down to two

0:15:52.280 --> 0:15:54.200
<v Speaker 1>hundred and fifty billion, at which point I don't think

0:15:54.240 --> 0:15:56.760
<v Speaker 1>it would be irrational for him to consider taking it

0:15:56.840 --> 0:16:00.320
<v Speaker 1>private since he completely controls it. You know, we talked

0:16:00.360 --> 0:16:03.040
<v Speaker 1>and seeing so much of their vision for virtual reality.

0:16:03.120 --> 0:16:08.600
<v Speaker 1>What about augmented reality? How much further does this go? Yeah, well,

0:16:08.640 --> 0:16:11.000
<v Speaker 1>we saw some glimpses of that in the headset right there.

0:16:11.000 --> 0:16:13.520
<v Speaker 1>They're calling it mixed reality, but it's this idea that

0:16:13.600 --> 0:16:15.880
<v Speaker 1>while you're wearing the headset, you can actually see the

0:16:15.880 --> 0:16:18.680
<v Speaker 1>world around you. You can overlay graphics or or you know,

0:16:19.000 --> 0:16:22.400
<v Speaker 1>digital objects on that world, and that's ultimately the vision

0:16:22.520 --> 0:16:25.440
<v Speaker 1>that Zuckerberg has for a our glasses right that we

0:16:25.520 --> 0:16:27.760
<v Speaker 1>might wear them to look sort of like reading spectacles.

0:16:28.000 --> 0:16:30.600
<v Speaker 1>But you'll wear those and that's how you'll interact without

0:16:30.640 --> 0:16:33.920
<v Speaker 1>more you know, not really a bulky headset. But you know,

0:16:34.000 --> 0:16:36.680
<v Speaker 1>I think that David's point here. What's interesting is like

0:16:36.720 --> 0:16:39.320
<v Speaker 1>Mark Zuckerberg would probably tell you, hey, listen, you're betting

0:16:39.360 --> 0:16:42.440
<v Speaker 1>on me, right. I've made, for the most part, pretty

0:16:42.480 --> 0:16:45.840
<v Speaker 1>good business decisions for almost twenty years, um, and that's

0:16:45.840 --> 0:16:48.440
<v Speaker 1>why he has control and that's why people, you know,

0:16:48.520 --> 0:16:51.120
<v Speaker 1>invest in this company. But over the last year or so,

0:16:51.520 --> 0:16:53.760
<v Speaker 1>I think he's really raised some questions as to whether

0:16:53.800 --> 0:16:56.080
<v Speaker 1>this is a pet project of his or whether this

0:16:56.160 --> 0:16:59.280
<v Speaker 1>is actually a good you know, use of of you know,

0:16:59.320 --> 0:17:01.720
<v Speaker 1>funds and attend and we won't know that for like

0:17:01.760 --> 0:17:03.800
<v Speaker 1>ten years, and so that's I think the big trouble

0:17:03.840 --> 0:17:05.960
<v Speaker 1>here is it's hard to say whether or not he's right.

0:17:06.160 --> 0:17:10.040
<v Speaker 1>Ten years very long time, especially if you're an investor

0:17:10.080 --> 0:17:13.480
<v Speaker 1>thinking about the near term. Bloomberg's Kurt Wagner and Economy

0:17:13.560 --> 0:17:17.959
<v Speaker 1>founder David Kirkpatrick, thank you both. We're gonna be right

0:17:17.960 --> 0:17:32.440
<v Speaker 1>back with more of Bloomberg technology. This is Bloomberg More

0:17:32.480 --> 0:17:36.000
<v Speaker 1>allegations in the Elon Musk Twitter battle. Bloomberg has learned

0:17:36.000 --> 0:17:38.840
<v Speaker 1>that just before the billionaire revived his proposal to buy

0:17:38.840 --> 0:17:41.960
<v Speaker 1>the social media company, he accused Twitter of ordering a

0:17:42.000 --> 0:17:45.440
<v Speaker 1>whistle blower to destroy evidence. According to court filings, Peter

0:17:45.680 --> 0:17:49.960
<v Speaker 1>Zack Co said he burned ten handwritten notebooks and deleted

0:17:50.000 --> 0:17:52.320
<v Speaker 1>a hundred computer files at the request of managers as

0:17:52.359 --> 0:17:55.960
<v Speaker 1>part of a seven point eight million dollar sefferance package.

0:17:56.440 --> 0:17:59.760
<v Speaker 1>The SEC is weighing an investigation of Yuga Labs, the

0:18:00.000 --> 0:18:02.639
<v Speaker 1>creator of the popular board Ape yacht club n f

0:18:02.720 --> 0:18:06.040
<v Speaker 1>T S. Sources say the SEC is deciding whether the

0:18:06.119 --> 0:18:09.040
<v Speaker 1>n f T should follow the same disclosure rules as stocks.

0:18:09.440 --> 0:18:11.720
<v Speaker 1>Board Apes are among the most high profile and f

0:18:11.760 --> 0:18:13.840
<v Speaker 1>T s and have been traded for as much as

0:18:13.840 --> 0:18:16.879
<v Speaker 1>two million dollars. The SEC has brought dozens of cases

0:18:16.920 --> 0:18:20.800
<v Speaker 1>against digital asset managers, including the fifteen million dollar fine

0:18:20.960 --> 0:18:34.200
<v Speaker 1>to Block five back in February, Welcome Back to Bonebar Technology,

0:18:34.200 --> 0:18:37.760
<v Speaker 1>and Emily Changing in San Francisco after VC spent years

0:18:37.920 --> 0:18:41.040
<v Speaker 1>aggressively buying steaks in cash burning tech startups. The current

0:18:41.119 --> 0:18:45.200
<v Speaker 1>environment and cretering share prices of even mature tech companies

0:18:45.200 --> 0:18:48.280
<v Speaker 1>have dimmed the prospects for startups that we're working towards

0:18:48.320 --> 0:18:51.000
<v Speaker 1>their own I p O s. What does that mean?

0:18:51.359 --> 0:18:53.720
<v Speaker 1>What does the future hold for them? Let's talk about

0:18:53.720 --> 0:18:55.439
<v Speaker 1>all that and more with Henry Wards, CEO of the

0:18:55.440 --> 0:19:00.400
<v Speaker 1>equity management solutions provider Carter. So Carter has some ascinity

0:19:00.400 --> 0:19:03.480
<v Speaker 1>the insights into these pre I p O companies. Henry,

0:19:03.520 --> 0:19:06.600
<v Speaker 1>what's happening inside these companies right now? And what's the

0:19:06.640 --> 0:19:10.960
<v Speaker 1>mood like? Yeah, sure, it's a tailor two stories. Uh Here,

0:19:11.000 --> 0:19:14.199
<v Speaker 1>there's a growth stage uh story where a lot of

0:19:14.200 --> 0:19:16.760
<v Speaker 1>these gross companies are sort of in a frozen capital

0:19:16.800 --> 0:19:20.840
<v Speaker 1>markets uh rang where they can't raise capital right now

0:19:20.880 --> 0:19:23.600
<v Speaker 1>because they can't justify the prices that they raised previous

0:19:24.119 --> 0:19:26.720
<v Speaker 1>rounds at. They're not willing to do down rounds because

0:19:27.400 --> 0:19:31.359
<v Speaker 1>uh these rounds trigger anti dilution provisions for early investors

0:19:31.359 --> 0:19:34.359
<v Speaker 1>and it penalizes management. And so they're kind of stuck

0:19:34.359 --> 0:19:37.720
<v Speaker 1>in limbo with these high prices that they priced, you know,

0:19:37.800 --> 0:19:40.560
<v Speaker 1>six months a year ago, but the public markets won't

0:19:40.560 --> 0:19:42.320
<v Speaker 1>support and they're trying to figure out what to do.

0:19:42.640 --> 0:19:45.920
<v Speaker 1>In the early stage uh markets, there are a lot

0:19:45.960 --> 0:19:49.560
<v Speaker 1>more active prices are resetting quickly. We're seeing investors continue

0:19:49.600 --> 0:19:51.080
<v Speaker 1>to be active. There's a lot of dry powder, and

0:19:51.119 --> 0:19:52.879
<v Speaker 1>so it's it's a very interesting market. We see this

0:19:52.920 --> 0:19:55.840
<v Speaker 1>in our business a lot where early stage ventures still active.

0:19:55.840 --> 0:19:57.760
<v Speaker 1>There's still a lot of deals happening with growth trade

0:19:57.840 --> 0:20:03.160
<v Speaker 1>ventures at a standstill. What seeing happening with hiring and layoffs.

0:20:03.240 --> 0:20:05.160
<v Speaker 1>We had a guest on an investor a few months

0:20:05.160 --> 0:20:07.280
<v Speaker 1>ago who said he was expecting to see two to

0:20:07.359 --> 0:20:11.119
<v Speaker 1>three million job cuts across the tech industry. Is that

0:20:11.200 --> 0:20:14.440
<v Speaker 1>even close to happening? Not even close? You know, it's

0:20:14.440 --> 0:20:18.360
<v Speaker 1>really interesting in in h when we saw the massive

0:20:18.840 --> 0:20:22.600
<v Speaker 1>set of layoffs happening, we saw headcount growth among our

0:20:22.640 --> 0:20:25.399
<v Speaker 1>customer base grow about seven percent this year. In the

0:20:25.400 --> 0:20:27.560
<v Speaker 1>first half of this year, we've seen about twelve percent

0:20:27.640 --> 0:20:29.840
<v Speaker 1>growth rates. So it's not as high as you know,

0:20:30.040 --> 0:20:32.600
<v Speaker 1>the boom boom years of two, eighteen and nineteen, where

0:20:32.600 --> 0:20:36.600
<v Speaker 1>we're growing at fifteen depending on the year, but twelve

0:20:36.640 --> 0:20:38.639
<v Speaker 1>percent somewhere in the middle. It's not as bad as

0:20:38.680 --> 0:20:41.320
<v Speaker 1>twenty it's not as great as eighteen and nineteen. But

0:20:41.400 --> 0:20:44.160
<v Speaker 1>we're still seeing a lot of startups grow, really being

0:20:44.320 --> 0:20:46.639
<v Speaker 1>led by B two B sas business. So if you

0:20:46.680 --> 0:20:49.720
<v Speaker 1>look at other sectors like healthcare biotech, they're suffering a

0:20:49.720 --> 0:20:52.080
<v Speaker 1>little bit more, but B two B SAS continues to

0:20:52.440 --> 0:20:55.760
<v Speaker 1>trend strongly. So how do you square that with we've

0:20:55.800 --> 0:20:59.080
<v Speaker 1>heard from so many big tech companies there you know, freezing,

0:20:59.160 --> 0:21:03.320
<v Speaker 1>hiring slow and hiring down, there being more deliberate. Uh.

0:21:03.440 --> 0:21:05.880
<v Speaker 1>Do the numbers translate? Yeah, So if you look what's

0:21:05.880 --> 0:21:08.240
<v Speaker 1>happening in the public markets that's translating to the private

0:21:08.240 --> 0:21:10.800
<v Speaker 1>markets is there's you know, in earlier this year, there's

0:21:10.840 --> 0:21:13.680
<v Speaker 1>sort of a massive capitulation of investors saying, hey, these

0:21:13.720 --> 0:21:16.919
<v Speaker 1>all these companies are overpriced. We don't know which companies

0:21:16.960 --> 0:21:19.280
<v Speaker 1>are going to survive, which companies are gonna succeed, which

0:21:19.320 --> 0:21:22.040
<v Speaker 1>companies aren't, and so they punish the entire TUCH sector.

0:21:22.440 --> 0:21:25.520
<v Speaker 1>What's happening now is the emergence of investors deciding, well,

0:21:25.560 --> 0:21:30.439
<v Speaker 1>they're they're all companies aren't created equal. Some are more, Uh,

0:21:30.520 --> 0:21:33.360
<v Speaker 1>will will grow better and and and and survive through

0:21:33.359 --> 0:21:35.600
<v Speaker 1>this period, and others won't. And we have to sift

0:21:35.640 --> 0:21:37.480
<v Speaker 1>through these companies and decide which ones are gonna be

0:21:37.520 --> 0:21:39.600
<v Speaker 1>the winners and which ones aren't. And what you're seeing

0:21:39.680 --> 0:21:42.119
<v Speaker 1>is the bigger companies and even the smaller Companies that

0:21:42.119 --> 0:21:45.520
<v Speaker 1>are transactional revenue based where the revenue can be volatile,

0:21:45.800 --> 0:21:50.560
<v Speaker 1>are punished more more by investors than recurring revenue contractual

0:21:50.600 --> 0:21:52.879
<v Speaker 1>revenue businesses. So when you look at like the great

0:21:53.040 --> 0:21:56.239
<v Speaker 1>you know, software business like Salesforce and Snowflake, where they

0:21:56.240 --> 0:21:59.480
<v Speaker 1>have contractual, recurring revenue and high net dollar retention and

0:21:59.760 --> 0:22:02.760
<v Speaker 1>high growth rates. Uh, they're doing quite well, they're starting

0:22:02.760 --> 0:22:06.200
<v Speaker 1>to recover. But you see other transactional businesses or business

0:22:06.240 --> 0:22:09.399
<v Speaker 1>bad on based on media or other types of revenue models,

0:22:09.560 --> 0:22:12.680
<v Speaker 1>They're being punished more more severely. And so you're starting

0:22:12.680 --> 0:22:15.600
<v Speaker 1>to see a sector or sick rotation between the high

0:22:15.680 --> 0:22:18.080
<v Speaker 1>quality companies and the lower quality companies. And that's that's

0:22:18.119 --> 0:22:20.360
<v Speaker 1>trickling into the to the venture world, where you're starting

0:22:20.359 --> 0:22:23.320
<v Speaker 1>to see investors just be more selective in the business

0:22:23.400 --> 0:22:25.520
<v Speaker 1>models that they're willing to support, rather than just support

0:22:25.560 --> 0:22:29.399
<v Speaker 1>anything that seems like a great idea. Meantime, Carter is

0:22:29.520 --> 0:22:34.080
<v Speaker 1>expanding internationally. I understand you've bought three companies since June.

0:22:34.520 --> 0:22:38.800
<v Speaker 1>How are you expanding uh so quickly in the middle

0:22:38.840 --> 0:22:41.960
<v Speaker 1>of a downturn or is it that you're seeing, um,

0:22:42.000 --> 0:22:45.719
<v Speaker 1>you know, some potentially opportunistic valuations out there and taking

0:22:46.119 --> 0:22:49.560
<v Speaker 1>advantage or taking those opportunities as you see them. Yeah,

0:22:49.600 --> 0:22:51.960
<v Speaker 1>So last year we decided as a board and a

0:22:52.000 --> 0:22:55.400
<v Speaker 1>company that we were going to get more aggressive internationally.

0:22:55.440 --> 0:22:58.480
<v Speaker 1>You we've always believed that are the problem we're solving.

0:22:58.480 --> 0:23:02.879
<v Speaker 1>Its ownership in company is in ownerships to global UH phenomenon,

0:23:02.880 --> 0:23:06.640
<v Speaker 1>a global problem that we can solve across the world. Obviously,

0:23:06.680 --> 0:23:11.040
<v Speaker 1>every region has his own um nuances and regulatory requirements,

0:23:11.080 --> 0:23:14.080
<v Speaker 1>and we're not experts outside the United States UM. And

0:23:14.160 --> 0:23:16.200
<v Speaker 1>so what we've seen over the last few years, which

0:23:16.200 --> 0:23:19.520
<v Speaker 1>has been really exciting for me personally as a founder UH,

0:23:19.800 --> 0:23:23.399
<v Speaker 1>is all these CARDAU startups in different regions. So we

0:23:23.520 --> 0:23:26.320
<v Speaker 1>found the card of UK, we found the CARDA of China,

0:23:26.359 --> 0:23:29.159
<v Speaker 1>we found the car to South Korea. We've found the

0:23:29.200 --> 0:23:31.200
<v Speaker 1>car to of India. We've been been found the card

0:23:31.240 --> 0:23:34.239
<v Speaker 1>of Africa. We've found CARDA in all all regions and

0:23:34.400 --> 0:23:37.320
<v Speaker 1>I would say almost every developed country now we have

0:23:37.440 --> 0:23:39.639
<v Speaker 1>some version of a card to Some founder has started

0:23:40.200 --> 0:23:43.520
<v Speaker 1>a CARDAM for that country, and we've been we've been

0:23:43.520 --> 0:23:45.600
<v Speaker 1>talking all these founders, and some of these founders we've

0:23:45.680 --> 0:23:49.280
<v Speaker 1>invested in their rounds um UH to help support them

0:23:49.280 --> 0:23:51.960
<v Speaker 1>in their region and then others including the three that

0:23:52.000 --> 0:23:55.240
<v Speaker 1>you mentioned like cap Desk in Europe, Velbon in London,

0:23:55.400 --> 0:23:58.359
<v Speaker 1>and then Zen Equity in India. We've actually bought the

0:23:58.400 --> 0:24:00.600
<v Speaker 1>companies UM after getting to the all the founders and

0:24:00.680 --> 0:24:03.119
<v Speaker 1>falling in love with the team and the product, and

0:24:03.160 --> 0:24:05.560
<v Speaker 1>really their goal is to build out what we've built

0:24:05.560 --> 0:24:07.360
<v Speaker 1>in the United States and build it out, build out

0:24:07.400 --> 0:24:11.159
<v Speaker 1>for their region and their local market structure, and then

0:24:11.240 --> 0:24:13.240
<v Speaker 1>start connect these things so that we have a global

0:24:13.280 --> 0:24:16.800
<v Speaker 1>platform for for equity management. It's an amazing time right

0:24:16.800 --> 0:24:20.080
<v Speaker 1>now to do M and A. As prices are resetting,

0:24:20.400 --> 0:24:23.600
<v Speaker 1>capital becomes more scarce, founders are more willing to look

0:24:23.640 --> 0:24:26.679
<v Speaker 1>at opportunities to join larger companies. UM. We have a

0:24:26.720 --> 0:24:30.040
<v Speaker 1>superactive CORPV team. Obviously, as you mentioned, we've done three

0:24:30.080 --> 0:24:33.080
<v Speaker 1>deals just in the last two quarters which we're really

0:24:33.080 --> 0:24:36.320
<v Speaker 1>excited about. Nothing to announce yet, but we've got more

0:24:36.800 --> 0:24:39.280
<v Speaker 1>in the pipe as we look look across the world

0:24:39.359 --> 0:24:41.160
<v Speaker 1>and try to find the cart is for every every

0:24:41.240 --> 0:24:45.440
<v Speaker 1>country in all right, Henry A Ward, CEO of Carter,

0:24:45.520 --> 0:24:47.320
<v Speaker 1>good to have you back with us. Henry, thank you

0:24:47.880 --> 0:24:50.680
<v Speaker 1>for stopping by coming up. Code n f T S

0:24:50.800 --> 0:24:55.040
<v Speaker 1>mean the end of the password era for good. Unstoppable

0:24:55.520 --> 0:25:14.199
<v Speaker 1>Domains is next. This is Bloomberg time Now for our

0:25:14.200 --> 0:25:16.560
<v Speaker 1>Crypto reporter, we're taking a look at diversity in Web

0:25:16.640 --> 0:25:20.640
<v Speaker 1>three with the leading Web three identity platform, Unstoppable Domains,

0:25:20.680 --> 0:25:23.680
<v Speaker 1>which just announced a new goal to provide online courses

0:25:23.680 --> 0:25:25.840
<v Speaker 1>on crypto and Web three and distribute millions in n

0:25:25.920 --> 0:25:29.880
<v Speaker 1>f t S domains to five million latinos to help

0:25:29.920 --> 0:25:34.360
<v Speaker 1>them build and control their digital identity. Senior Vice president

0:25:34.440 --> 0:25:36.640
<v Speaker 1>and channel chief Sandy Carter joins us Now for more

0:25:36.640 --> 0:25:38.240
<v Speaker 1>on this, We're gonna talk about that, but first I

0:25:38.240 --> 0:25:41.040
<v Speaker 1>want to talk about the whole password and user name

0:25:41.160 --> 0:25:45.040
<v Speaker 1>issue which we've been using ever since the Internet's been around.

0:25:45.600 --> 0:25:49.040
<v Speaker 1>How is Unstoppable Domains trying to change that? Yeah, thanks

0:25:49.040 --> 0:25:54.040
<v Speaker 1>for having me, Emily. Unstoppable Domains presents a digital identity

0:25:54.119 --> 0:25:57.919
<v Speaker 1>to every user, and that digital identity can be used

0:25:57.960 --> 0:26:02.760
<v Speaker 1>to log into over four are different applications, also be

0:26:02.920 --> 0:26:07.280
<v Speaker 1>used to supplement email, do into an encrypted email, as

0:26:07.320 --> 0:26:10.520
<v Speaker 1>well as build a website. So it completely changes the

0:26:10.600 --> 0:26:14.359
<v Speaker 1>model on its head. Uses one way to get into

0:26:14.400 --> 0:26:18.760
<v Speaker 1>an application, and then that digital identity travels with you

0:26:19.440 --> 0:26:22.080
<v Speaker 1>and that data stays with you, which is such a

0:26:22.080 --> 0:26:26.280
<v Speaker 1>powerful proposition. I believe that digital identity and that ownership

0:26:26.480 --> 0:26:28.840
<v Speaker 1>is not just something that's nice to have, but is

0:26:29.000 --> 0:26:33.480
<v Speaker 1>a human right. So how realistic is this and how

0:26:33.520 --> 0:26:36.520
<v Speaker 1>far off is it? A world where we don't have

0:26:36.560 --> 0:26:38.800
<v Speaker 1>to use use your names and passwords at all? So

0:26:38.880 --> 0:26:41.359
<v Speaker 1>I think we're just beginning our journey. I like to

0:26:41.400 --> 0:26:44.080
<v Speaker 1>say Emily that we're in the dial up phase of

0:26:44.119 --> 0:26:47.639
<v Speaker 1>Web three. There are so many capabilities you can already

0:26:47.680 --> 0:26:50.400
<v Speaker 1>do with your digital identity and log into a set

0:26:50.440 --> 0:26:55.080
<v Speaker 1>of applications, but the field is really limitless. I believe

0:26:55.119 --> 0:27:00.719
<v Speaker 1>in the future will be storing healthcare data, education records, tickets,

0:27:01.400 --> 0:27:04.120
<v Speaker 1>driver's license in there. So I think it's the right

0:27:04.160 --> 0:27:08.000
<v Speaker 1>time to get started playing around and experimenting with your

0:27:08.080 --> 0:27:10.800
<v Speaker 1>digital identity and to own it now. Since you own it,

0:27:10.880 --> 0:27:14.560
<v Speaker 1>you don't rent it. It's very powerful to have that today,

0:27:14.960 --> 0:27:17.840
<v Speaker 1>as we're getting started versus waiting until it's too late.

0:27:18.240 --> 0:27:21.160
<v Speaker 1>I know you've also been incredibly active getting more women

0:27:21.160 --> 0:27:25.360
<v Speaker 1>into Web three. You now have this announcement focused on

0:27:25.680 --> 0:27:27.879
<v Speaker 1>Latin as you know, talk to us about what this

0:27:27.920 --> 0:27:33.960
<v Speaker 1>means and how you're hoping to increase diversity in this world. Uh,

0:27:34.280 --> 0:27:38.920
<v Speaker 1>for you know, you know, an increasingly important population. Yeah, well,

0:27:38.920 --> 0:27:42.440
<v Speaker 1>you know, we just chatted about how we're early, and

0:27:42.600 --> 0:27:45.400
<v Speaker 1>because we are so early in this initiative, I think

0:27:45.400 --> 0:27:49.240
<v Speaker 1>it's really important that we hear all voices. You know,

0:27:49.720 --> 0:27:53.959
<v Speaker 1>based on data from Mackenzie and from Deloitte, we know

0:27:54.040 --> 0:27:58.280
<v Speaker 1>that diversity breeds more innovation. And right now, the population

0:27:58.400 --> 0:28:01.520
<v Speaker 1>inside of Web three and the metaverse is only eight

0:28:01.560 --> 0:28:04.600
<v Speaker 1>percent women. So we're not going to get that powerhouse

0:28:04.640 --> 0:28:08.639
<v Speaker 1>innovation we need if we stay so homogeneous. Back in

0:28:08.760 --> 0:28:11.960
<v Speaker 1>March eighth of this year, um I announced an initiative

0:28:12.000 --> 0:28:15.480
<v Speaker 1>called Unstoppable Women of Web three, whose goal is to

0:28:15.880 --> 0:28:19.720
<v Speaker 1>educate that next generation of women and to help more

0:28:19.720 --> 0:28:23.080
<v Speaker 1>women come into the space. And because Emily I had

0:28:23.160 --> 0:28:26.640
<v Speaker 1>so many women asked me for that education in their

0:28:26.640 --> 0:28:30.400
<v Speaker 1>own native language. That's why we're announcing today that we're

0:28:30.400 --> 0:28:35.399
<v Speaker 1>bringing that education to our Latina population and providing them

0:28:35.720 --> 0:28:39.880
<v Speaker 1>that education in Spanish. Now, you know, we've heard a

0:28:39.920 --> 0:28:42.200
<v Speaker 1>lot of people in Melinda Gates, for example, has expressed

0:28:42.200 --> 0:28:46.000
<v Speaker 1>concerns about women backsliding as a result of the pandemic

0:28:46.000 --> 0:28:50.120
<v Speaker 1>and now a macroeconomic downturn. We've we've heard concerns about

0:28:50.120 --> 0:28:54.280
<v Speaker 1>this within the broader tech industry as well. Do you

0:28:54.320 --> 0:28:56.720
<v Speaker 1>have concerns about women in crypto, women in Web three

0:28:57.200 --> 0:29:00.760
<v Speaker 1>backsliding or losing some of the progress they've made, you know,

0:29:00.880 --> 0:29:04.840
<v Speaker 1>given you know these dreadful economic conditions that we're facing.

0:29:05.200 --> 0:29:08.480
<v Speaker 1>It's interesting. So I met Fortunes Most Powerful Women conference today.

0:29:08.520 --> 0:29:11.640
<v Speaker 1>I actually got to meet Melinda Gates uh and chat

0:29:11.680 --> 0:29:14.800
<v Speaker 1>with her some about this. I think that the um

0:29:14.880 --> 0:29:18.880
<v Speaker 1>the output that's coming out right now in terms of

0:29:18.920 --> 0:29:22.920
<v Speaker 1>the amount of interest in Web three. You know, conferences,

0:29:22.920 --> 0:29:25.480
<v Speaker 1>even this one here, so many questions about what is

0:29:25.480 --> 0:29:28.040
<v Speaker 1>the metaverse? How can we play, how do we get started?

0:29:28.480 --> 0:29:32.440
<v Speaker 1>Conferences around the world are just bringing in so much interest.

0:29:32.880 --> 0:29:36.120
<v Speaker 1>So I think for Web three in the metaverse, I

0:29:36.160 --> 0:29:39.000
<v Speaker 1>believe that if we can provide the right set of education,

0:29:39.440 --> 0:29:42.200
<v Speaker 1>that we can really accelerate the number of women in

0:29:42.240 --> 0:29:45.240
<v Speaker 1>the space. In fact, the number of developers alone in

0:29:45.280 --> 0:29:47.960
<v Speaker 1>the Web three space is increased by sixty six percent

0:29:48.120 --> 0:29:51.239
<v Speaker 1>most recently. So with the interests, I think now is

0:29:51.320 --> 0:29:55.120
<v Speaker 1>that perfect storm, you know that early days where we

0:29:55.160 --> 0:29:59.000
<v Speaker 1>can get more women interested understanding what it is so

0:29:59.040 --> 0:30:01.760
<v Speaker 1>that they can jump in and have a really big impact.

0:30:01.880 --> 0:30:04.240
<v Speaker 1>And I think now is the time given we are

0:30:04.280 --> 0:30:08.600
<v Speaker 1>so early, all right, Sandy Carter of Unstoppable Domain, Sandy,

0:30:08.640 --> 0:30:23.120
<v Speaker 1>thank you for joining us today. Amazon second prime sale

0:30:23.280 --> 0:30:26.400
<v Speaker 1>of the year. But the question on everyone's mind is

0:30:26.400 --> 0:30:30.360
<v Speaker 1>is it still a bargain? New research suggests maybe not.

0:30:30.960 --> 0:30:33.120
<v Speaker 1>One of the professors behind that research is joining me

0:30:33.120 --> 0:30:36.200
<v Speaker 1>now for more on this. Jin Jinhung. She a a

0:30:36.320 --> 0:30:39.680
<v Speaker 1>marketing professor at the University of Florida's Warrington College of Business,

0:30:39.720 --> 0:30:43.040
<v Speaker 1>along with our very own Brad Storren, who has of

0:30:43.080 --> 0:30:45.760
<v Speaker 1>course covered Amazon for for decades. So Jen Han, tell

0:30:45.840 --> 0:30:49.120
<v Speaker 1>us a little bit more about your research. The main

0:30:49.160 --> 0:30:52.960
<v Speaker 1>thesis seems to be that, uh, these aren't the discounts

0:30:52.960 --> 0:30:55.440
<v Speaker 1>aren't as big as you might think. This is the

0:30:55.560 --> 0:30:59.760
<v Speaker 1>research I can backt with my call. Third San Sekapak

0:31:00.040 --> 0:31:03.120
<v Speaker 1>at the University of South Carolina and the manship at

0:31:03.160 --> 0:31:08.640
<v Speaker 1>the Arizona State University UM. We invested the products sold

0:31:08.680 --> 0:31:11.920
<v Speaker 1>on Amazon, and we find this a new pattern of

0:31:12.240 --> 0:31:20.960
<v Speaker 1>pricing you which the seller simentaneously increased price and displays

0:31:21.120 --> 0:31:25.400
<v Speaker 1>this price, and the make announcement of a prices can

0:31:26.480 --> 0:31:31.600
<v Speaker 1>so in this way, a price increase is framed as

0:31:31.640 --> 0:31:36.960
<v Speaker 1>a price lis Cam and seller um Fire saw the discount,

0:31:37.040 --> 0:31:39.160
<v Speaker 1>and they saw that they get a bargain, but actually

0:31:39.280 --> 0:31:43.800
<v Speaker 1>they paid them more than the consumer who bothered before

0:31:45.520 --> 0:31:49.400
<v Speaker 1>the sailor displayed the discount. Okay, so you're potentially actually

0:31:49.520 --> 0:31:51.560
<v Speaker 1>paying more for something that you think you're getting at

0:31:51.600 --> 0:31:55.040
<v Speaker 1>a discount. Brad, Is this, you know, a long time

0:31:55.120 --> 0:32:00.440
<v Speaker 1>Amazon strategy or is this something new our Yeah? I

0:32:00.760 --> 0:32:05.120
<v Speaker 1>might call it probably a long time retail strategy. I

0:32:05.200 --> 0:32:08.360
<v Speaker 1>don't know that it's necessarily unique to Amazon. I I

0:32:08.440 --> 0:32:10.520
<v Speaker 1>think you can see it in department stores and even

0:32:10.720 --> 0:32:14.880
<v Speaker 1>even discount source. The idea of discounting something uh and

0:32:15.120 --> 0:32:17.800
<v Speaker 1>and and making the discount kind of an illusion inflating

0:32:17.880 --> 0:32:22.040
<v Speaker 1>the the actual retail prices is I think a tactic

0:32:22.440 --> 0:32:24.400
<v Speaker 1>across the retail when I think it's probably harder to

0:32:24.480 --> 0:32:26.719
<v Speaker 1>control at Amazon, given that more than half of those

0:32:26.760 --> 0:32:29.400
<v Speaker 1>sales are going to be broken by third party sellers

0:32:29.880 --> 0:32:32.320
<v Speaker 1>who control their own prices. It's probably something that's hard

0:32:32.360 --> 0:32:40.400
<v Speaker 1>for Amazon to oversee. Okay, go ahead. You know, it

0:32:40.480 --> 0:32:45.080
<v Speaker 1>seems like we we saw some lackluster interest this second

0:32:45.120 --> 0:32:46.640
<v Speaker 1>half of the year, and I'm wondering why that is.

0:32:46.760 --> 0:32:49.760
<v Speaker 1>Is it because the discounts aren't really discounts. Is it

0:32:49.880 --> 0:32:53.040
<v Speaker 1>because they already did this once this year? Is it

0:32:53.120 --> 0:32:55.840
<v Speaker 1>because we're, you know, going into a recession potentially and

0:32:55.880 --> 0:32:58.160
<v Speaker 1>people just don't have as much money to spend, Jan Hong,

0:32:59.680 --> 0:33:02.160
<v Speaker 1>I do. What I'm talking about is not that you

0:33:02.240 --> 0:33:05.400
<v Speaker 1>didn't get a discount. Is you actually were charged at

0:33:05.400 --> 0:33:08.600
<v Speaker 1>the higher price when you you were told you get

0:33:08.640 --> 0:33:13.600
<v Speaker 1>the discount. So usually the seller is played at least

0:33:13.640 --> 0:33:17.360
<v Speaker 1>price or makeing least by comparison, wouldn't they actually drop

0:33:17.480 --> 0:33:20.160
<v Speaker 1>price because the price promotion. They may not give you

0:33:20.320 --> 0:33:24.080
<v Speaker 1>the discount the claim. But in this case, the seller

0:33:24.400 --> 0:33:28.640
<v Speaker 1>actually increase price and to tell you discount and then

0:33:29.200 --> 0:33:32.760
<v Speaker 1>day or two days later they will remove. This is

0:33:32.880 --> 0:33:35.840
<v Speaker 1>discount the claim and the drop price. So this is

0:33:35.880 --> 0:33:38.880
<v Speaker 1>a very difference. Brad, talk to us about the actual

0:33:39.000 --> 0:33:41.400
<v Speaker 1>interest we saw this time around, and you know this

0:33:41.680 --> 0:33:44.000
<v Speaker 1>this whole idea to split it into prime days. You know,

0:33:44.080 --> 0:33:47.000
<v Speaker 1>the thought was that would drive more interest. But I

0:33:47.120 --> 0:33:50.800
<v Speaker 1>wonder if maybe it didn't. It's not necessarily working. I

0:33:50.840 --> 0:33:53.640
<v Speaker 1>would say, Emily, it's probably a little too soon to

0:33:54.120 --> 0:33:57.480
<v Speaker 1>uh to say that today was a failure. I mean, remember,

0:33:57.560 --> 0:33:59.440
<v Speaker 1>this is not a prime day, this is a prime

0:33:59.520 --> 0:34:02.840
<v Speaker 1>early the sale and it's this new creature. Um, it's

0:34:02.880 --> 0:34:04.960
<v Speaker 1>hard to compare it to the summer sale. It's really

0:34:05.000 --> 0:34:08.200
<v Speaker 1>weird timing, right that no one is holiday shopping gift

0:34:08.280 --> 0:34:10.520
<v Speaker 1>or at least you're not if you're a normal procrastinator

0:34:10.640 --> 0:34:13.800
<v Speaker 1>like me. UM. Other big sales days like Cyber Monday

0:34:13.840 --> 0:34:16.279
<v Speaker 1>and Black Friday are around the corner. The numbers we

0:34:16.440 --> 0:34:18.560
<v Speaker 1>have really don't tell a consistent story. I think we

0:34:18.640 --> 0:34:22.440
<v Speaker 1>can both tell that like Twitter mentions and and chatter

0:34:22.680 --> 0:34:26.240
<v Speaker 1>about this sale or down. Um. There's one research firm

0:34:26.880 --> 0:34:29.960
<v Speaker 1>that's saying that basically sales today clovers the research firm

0:34:30.160 --> 0:34:33.000
<v Speaker 1>were similar to the previous thirty day average. But then

0:34:33.040 --> 0:34:36.120
<v Speaker 1>you have another firm numerator saying that the average order

0:34:36.200 --> 0:34:38.719
<v Speaker 1>size his way up and that the big sales, the

0:34:38.760 --> 0:34:42.600
<v Speaker 1>big sale items are Amazon gift cards and and Echo dots,

0:34:42.640 --> 0:34:45.800
<v Speaker 1>the small Alexa devices. So look, if the purpose of

0:34:45.880 --> 0:34:48.680
<v Speaker 1>this for Amazon is the deep in its relationship with

0:34:48.719 --> 0:34:51.600
<v Speaker 1>the prime customers and get more prime customers before the

0:34:51.640 --> 0:34:54.600
<v Speaker 1>holidays to kind of lock shoppers in, then maybe you

0:34:54.719 --> 0:34:56.960
<v Speaker 1>know they can declare this the success as they move

0:34:57.000 --> 0:35:00.200
<v Speaker 1>into the holidays. Jan, is there something that you think

0:35:00.280 --> 0:35:02.400
<v Speaker 1>needs to happen here based on what you found. You know,

0:35:02.480 --> 0:35:05.080
<v Speaker 1>there has been a lot of scrutiny of the way

0:35:05.120 --> 0:35:09.520
<v Speaker 1>Amazon prices uh, certain goods, but you know, not necessarily

0:35:09.600 --> 0:35:11.719
<v Speaker 1>of the practice that you're talking about in particular, do

0:35:11.840 --> 0:35:17.600
<v Speaker 1>we need some regulation, Uh, we think the attention is

0:35:17.719 --> 0:35:21.560
<v Speaker 1>required to this a new practice because the regulation has

0:35:21.600 --> 0:35:24.760
<v Speaker 1>been focused on the regulation and the self be pricing

0:35:25.120 --> 0:35:28.760
<v Speaker 1>has been books on illegitiment value of a least price,

0:35:29.520 --> 0:35:32.440
<v Speaker 1>you know, whether you use inflated or fake this price.

0:35:32.920 --> 0:35:36.399
<v Speaker 1>But this is a different practice. This is the manipulation

0:35:36.520 --> 0:35:40.080
<v Speaker 1>of the timing of least price introduction. So the seller

0:35:40.880 --> 0:35:45.800
<v Speaker 1>synchronized the pricing increased which a least price introduction and

0:35:45.920 --> 0:35:50.000
<v Speaker 1>the comparison. So that's a new practice and this is

0:35:50.080 --> 0:35:55.759
<v Speaker 1>really misleading for consumer. Brad, what's your take on the

0:35:55.880 --> 0:36:00.520
<v Speaker 1>signals we're seeing about shopping and consumer sentim it right now?

0:36:00.840 --> 0:36:04.879
<v Speaker 1>Heading into the holidays, It's it's tough, Emily, Um, You've

0:36:04.960 --> 0:36:08.440
<v Speaker 1>got um the rising costs of food and fuel inflation.

0:36:08.880 --> 0:36:12.680
<v Speaker 1>Folks are pulling back. There's no question that you know,

0:36:12.920 --> 0:36:16.840
<v Speaker 1>overall you are spending over the holidays is slowing down. Adobe.

0:36:16.920 --> 0:36:18.239
<v Speaker 1>I think that it was going to be about two

0:36:18.280 --> 0:36:23.480
<v Speaker 1>point five previous years, you know, eight nine percent. Um.

0:36:23.680 --> 0:36:26.799
<v Speaker 1>Of course it was even higher because of of sort

0:36:26.920 --> 0:36:30.360
<v Speaker 1>pandemic field fear out of walking into stores and and

0:36:30.760 --> 0:36:32.960
<v Speaker 1>retail has been kind of an anvil for Amazon. You've

0:36:33.000 --> 0:36:36.719
<v Speaker 1>got a very successful advertising business aws of course, um,

0:36:36.800 --> 0:36:39.879
<v Speaker 1>even even some sort of successful business around third party

0:36:39.920 --> 0:36:44.000
<v Speaker 1>sellers and commissions. But retail itself, those online stores are

0:36:44.200 --> 0:36:46.839
<v Speaker 1>they were flat last holiday season. It was down four

0:36:46.920 --> 0:36:49.440
<v Speaker 1>percent in the last quarter. Um. I think you know

0:36:49.520 --> 0:36:52.800
<v Speaker 1>Amazon here, which has gottled up share for years decades,

0:36:53.280 --> 0:36:55.960
<v Speaker 1>is probably not going to be doing that this holiday season.

0:36:56.200 --> 0:37:00.759
<v Speaker 1>All right, Bloomers brad Stone along with professor at the

0:37:00.920 --> 0:37:03.759
<v Speaker 1>University of Florida fascinating research from you. Of course, we're

0:37:03.760 --> 0:37:06.480
<v Speaker 1>gonna keep watching to see how this Prime Day unfolds

0:37:06.880 --> 0:37:10.040
<v Speaker 1>and that doesn't. For this edition of Bloomberg Technology Wednesday,

0:37:10.120 --> 0:37:12.799
<v Speaker 1>we're gonna have Amazon's head of Prime on to talk

0:37:12.800 --> 0:37:16.640
<v Speaker 1>about Prime Day two point out and a holiday shopping sentiment.

0:37:17.160 --> 0:37:19.520
<v Speaker 1>And don't forget to check out our podcast wherever you

0:37:19.640 --> 0:37:22.200
<v Speaker 1>get your podcast time, I wily check in San Francisco.

0:37:22.520 --> 0:37:23.560
<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg