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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast Podcast Poda, All right.

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Speaker 2: Here we go fifteen twenty twenty five, thirty thirty five

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Speaker 2: forty coty five fifty and the kick as block the

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Speaker 2: college football world Stundar, Oh my goodness, he stumbled, and

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Speaker 2: football the lateral turn, the counter on the inside.

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Speaker 1: Don't you believe that I'm not.

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Speaker 3: Gonna table up the field.

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Speaker 2: To night, Molly. It's not the size of the dog

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Speaker 2: in the fight.

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Speaker 3: It's the size of the fight in the dog. What's

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Speaker 3: up the gener nation? Welcome to the Big Bets on

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Speaker 3: Campus Podcast. This is the Week two college football betting preview.

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Speaker 3: I'm stucky and joining me as always my fellow BBOC

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Speaker 3: cost Colin Wilson. We will hit all of the marquee

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Speaker 3: games today. We will go three and out to close

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Speaker 3: out the show, which, if you haven't already found out about,

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Speaker 3: is live on YouTube six pm Eastern. If you want

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Speaker 3: to get a head start, make sure you subscribe to

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Speaker 3: our new BBOC YouTube channel. We'll also get to some

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Speaker 3: Arkansas football, some San Jose State, and even have some

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Speaker 3: FCS games that we're going to talk about, and of

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Speaker 3: course the trash segment and oh boy, it's extra smelly

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Speaker 3: this weekend. This is a sweet, sweet trash colin A

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Speaker 3: lot of weeks we agree. I think this is gonna

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Speaker 3: be the disagreement pod. I'm one of us might have

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Speaker 3: a much better week than the other. So I think

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Speaker 3: those make for the most interesting podcasts presenting both sides.

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Speaker 3: But you ready to get things started?

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Speaker 2: Dying with anticipation?

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Speaker 3: Here?

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Speaker 2: Are you going to be on McMurphy Team McMurphy, Are

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Speaker 2: you gonna be on Team Wilson? Here with the Razorbacks

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Speaker 2: in Oklahoma State this week? I got it over before

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Speaker 2: we start.

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Speaker 3: I don't know. I'm having trouble with that game. Weeks

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Speaker 3: one and two college football for me are always tough.

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Speaker 3: Not totally in love with his card and with roster turnovers.

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Speaker 3: You know, it's hard to get a true feel for

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Speaker 3: some of these teams and determining how much do I

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Speaker 3: adjust team's power ratings, especially when the data point comes

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Speaker 3: against fcst's, which you see a lot of in Week

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Speaker 3: one and Week two. Arkstall is a perfect example. But

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Speaker 3: i'd lean Arkansas. I don't think I'll be betting it.

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Speaker 3: Let's start things off with our marquee matchups of the weekend.

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Speaker 1: It's another fabulous weekend of college football. Let's check out

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Speaker 1: the marquee matchups. We'll all end up bedding for week two.

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Speaker 3: We'll kick things off with the big noon kickoff on Fox,

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Speaker 3: which won't start at noon. I'll never stop complaining about that.

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Speaker 3: Between Michigan and Texas, Texas seven and a half point

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Speaker 3: favorite as we record this. Texas obviously taking money, a

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Speaker 3: lot of money since the look headline, which is around

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Speaker 3: a field goal, that totals come way down. A lot

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Speaker 3: of that had to do with Michigan's performance last week.

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Speaker 3: It was pretty ugly offensively complete rebuilding on the offensive

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Speaker 3: side of the ball. Lost six guys up front to

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Speaker 3: the NFL, lost corm At running back, lost some receivers,

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Speaker 3: and then obviously quarterback JJ McCarthy using Alex Orgi sometimes

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Speaker 3: but he can't really throw the ball. Davis Warren I

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Speaker 3: didn't really look impressive throwing the ball. The wide receivers

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Speaker 3: couldn't really get separation against Fresno, so the offense obviously

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Speaker 3: looked ugly. The market reacted. The question is that it

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Speaker 3: reacts too much. Texas, also on the flip side, had

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Speaker 3: a good performance, exceeded market expectations and a shutout win

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Speaker 3: over Colorado State completely shut down that offense in a

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Speaker 3: fifty two to nothing victory. I you know, it's I

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Speaker 3: think the market that at seven and a half, I

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Speaker 3: can't play Texas. I agreed with the move. I know

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Speaker 3: that you like Michigan. I could see the case at

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Speaker 3: seven and a half. Here, it's only one data point.

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Speaker 3: Maybe Michigan wasn't showing much on offense. You know, there's

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Speaker 3: been a lot of talk about Texas. I think their

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Speaker 3: secondary looked good last week. They'd shut down Tory Horton

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Speaker 3: the offseason talk about Texas. They lost Sweat Murphy, which

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Speaker 3: is important up front and that was going to be

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Speaker 3: tested in this game. Michigan's going to go run heavy.

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Speaker 3: I assume they want to shorten this game, make it

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Speaker 3: low scoring, make it ugly, and I assume that they're

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Speaker 3: going to blitz a lot. It's Twink Mortondale, but blits

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Speaker 3: yours into some mistakes as footwork can kind of get

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Speaker 3: off and potentially have some turnovers. That's really what I

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Speaker 3: think Michigan's path is. But it's not like Texas has

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Speaker 3: me and you out there on the defensive line. They

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Speaker 3: still have guys. My question is Ken. The Michigan offensive

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Speaker 3: line really take advantage. It's not like they look great

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Speaker 3: last week. You like Michigan, here, make your case.

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Speaker 2: I like them all summer. I like them at three.

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Speaker 2: I would have taken four and make this four. I

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Speaker 2: think seven and a half is a complete overreaction to

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Speaker 2: what happened. I mean, you just look at the scores,

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Speaker 2: and that's the reason people are blowing this up. But

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Speaker 2: I got news for everybody. That gaming is called Colorado State.

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Speaker 2: You can throw it away. It is has zero applicable

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Speaker 2: numbers that you can put in and say, well, this

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Speaker 2: is going to matter against Michigan, except for the fact

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Speaker 2: where the Texas defensive line graded out so poorly against

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Speaker 2: the run the Colorado, the vaunted Colorado State run. It's

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Speaker 2: hard to believe. So, you know, Michigan, the offense is

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Speaker 2: going to be in a locker, in a phone booth,

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Speaker 2: whatever you say. It's going to be in a cramp

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Speaker 2: space because it's always inside zone, inside the tackles with

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Speaker 2: Khalil Mullings, and it's always going to be Coulston Lovelan

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Speaker 2: or somebody passing over the middle and shallow passing so

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Speaker 2: over the tackle box. And that's exactly where you need

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Speaker 2: to attack this Texas defense and you know they you

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Speaker 2: lose sweat.

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Speaker 3: But in Texas just going to pack the completely packed

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Speaker 3: the box here like last week, the part of it was,

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Speaker 3: and I agree it's not really applicable's being completely different

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Speaker 3: game plan and obviously Michigan is more talent, but they were.

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Speaker 3: They just dropped everyone against an air raid. Like Michigan's

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Speaker 3: going to have to complete some passes off of play action.

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Speaker 3: And Edwards he's not the best like just down to

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Speaker 3: down efficient running back. That's I worry about that too.

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Speaker 2: Oh No, Donovan Edwards is not the guy you want

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Speaker 2: to ride. Paul Mollings is from down to down to down.

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Speaker 2: What Donovan Edwards is is he just likes to take

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Speaker 2: that inside zone read and if he can find a

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Speaker 2: crease or maybe find someone running cover zero, he could

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Speaker 2: take off down the field. He's not the guy you're

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Speaker 2: going to run. I just think Michigan's going to have

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Speaker 2: a lot of success moving the chains here. When you

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Speaker 2: look at Mullings going four point three yards after first contact.

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Speaker 2: I know it's Fresno State's deed, which isn't bad in

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Speaker 2: Mountain West terms, but it's pretty bad on a big

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Speaker 2: ten terms, and yeah, Texas should load the box. I

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Speaker 2: wouldn't be surprised to see them have more than seven

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Speaker 2: defenders inside the box. But then against Sharon Moore is

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Speaker 2: going to go two tights and maybe the wishbone. I

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Speaker 2: don't know, because it's going to be a nice little

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Speaker 2: chess match between Petekwdokowski and Charon Moore here. But I

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Speaker 2: have every expectation that Michigan is going to be able

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Speaker 2: to run on the defensive interiors of Bill Norton, Alfred Collins,

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Speaker 2: and Vernon Broughton. They were the three worst graded run defenders.

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Speaker 2: That's kind of important when they're there your only defensive

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Speaker 2: interior players. Like I said, the Trio only created one stop,

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Speaker 2: which PFF defines as a complete failure by the offense

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Speaker 2: on defensive interior, defensive tackles and nose tackles. They create

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Speaker 2: a lot of stops because it's one on one tackling

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Speaker 2: through a gaps. Well, they only created one twenty seven

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Speaker 2: Colorado State rushing attempts. And I just can't get over

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Speaker 2: the fact that you know, you're right, David Warren is

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Speaker 2: gonna have to throw at some point or you know,

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Speaker 2: Alex Orgy may come in and run the RPO and

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Speaker 2: that Davis Warreon may need to come in and throw,

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Speaker 2: but I just can't get over that Texas only created

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Speaker 2: seven pressures and fifty four passing attempts by Colorado State.

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Speaker 2: This Colorado State offensive line is not good. It's one

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Speaker 2: of the worst in the Mountain West. And Jay Marvelle

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Speaker 2: has been working on it for years and just a

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Speaker 2: simple Foeman front couldn't get enough push, no sacks, seven pressures.

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Speaker 2: It just doesn't make sense sense to me. It all

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Speaker 2: stuck and listen, we love our service academy offenses. Are

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Speaker 2: we ready to deem Michigan as a service academy offense

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Speaker 2: because that's exactly what they're going to run here. They're

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Speaker 2: going to try to eat up time of possession. They're

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Speaker 2: going to turn this into a game where a one

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Speaker 2: possession is going to mean a lot, which is why

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Speaker 2: I think the seven and a half in the market

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Speaker 2: is really good for Michigan. But you're also one drive

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Speaker 2: away from losing here, so I definitely love Michigan to

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Speaker 2: cover the number. Michigan can win this game.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean I make it six point eight. I

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Speaker 3: agreed with the move up, but it over it's a touchdown.

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Speaker 3: I don't mind the case from Michigan sicily with a

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Speaker 3: low total, how they're going to play this. They just

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Speaker 3: can't fall behind, can't fall too far behind them because

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Speaker 3: then it's lights out at home the home crowd. The

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Speaker 3: case at seven and a half definitely makes sense to me.

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Speaker 3: I think it's a little bit too much of an overreaction,

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Speaker 3: but definitely and in intriguing game. But let's move on

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Speaker 3: to the second marquee game of the day between Iowa

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Speaker 3: and Iowa State, the battle for the Syhawk Trophy three

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Speaker 3: point thirty Eastern on CBS. I. You know, look, I

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Speaker 3: originally played Iowa State in this game plus three. I

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Speaker 3: just simple handed gap. I made it less and I

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Speaker 3: said low total, super low total here, I want the

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Speaker 3: field goal in hand. But I ended up coming back

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Speaker 3: some on Iowa. After I went back, watched the Iowa

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Speaker 3: State game and also got some injury reports. The Iowa

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Speaker 3: State linebacker room really worries me. You already had one

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Speaker 3: of your starters out and then you lost Bacon, who

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Speaker 3: was one of their most important players on defense, so

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Speaker 3: and just to drop off to their replacements. It was bad.

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Speaker 3: Last week and it could be bad again this week,

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Speaker 3: so I bought some back on Iowa money line was

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Speaker 3: also a good chance this game, and you know Iowa

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Speaker 3: by one or two in a typical Iowa Iowa State game.

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Speaker 3: The other things that do worry me about Iowa State are,

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Speaker 3: you know, this game usually cut, you know, low scoring game.

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Speaker 3: A lot of times it's going to come down to

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Speaker 3: just like a special teams play, who's going to turn

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Speaker 3: the ball over? Penalties. Those are the battles that Iowa

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Speaker 3: usually wins. And you have to mention that this Iowa

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Speaker 3: team showed a little bit more of a pulse last week.

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Speaker 3: On offense, you had I think they had the most

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Speaker 3: totally yard since twenty nineteen. That true freshman wide was

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Speaker 3: sever Vandersey. He showed out with two touchdowns that the

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Speaker 3: wider series had three touchdowns, the same amount of touchdowns

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Speaker 3: at all of last season. So you saw them spread

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Speaker 3: it out a little more. It's a little more vertical offense.

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Speaker 3: I feel like you talking about San Diego State calling

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Speaker 3: the Iowa offense vertical. The other thing that worries me

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Speaker 3: about Iowa State is their offense last year worked best

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Speaker 3: when it hit explosive plays. Very explosive offense. But under

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Speaker 3: Phil Parker, no defense has done a better job at

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Speaker 3: limiting explosive plays than Iowa has in recent seasons. So

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Speaker 3: I don't feel as good about Iowa State with some

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Speaker 3: of the injury situations. I don't know if they're going

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Speaker 3: to be able to efficiently move the ball. Maybe this

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Speaker 3: Iowa offense has a little more juice. I will say,

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Speaker 3: I'm going to make a case later in the show

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Speaker 3: for an ugly over this one. I will lean over

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Speaker 3: under thirty seven. Under in this matchup is seventeen and

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Speaker 3: two over the past nineteen meetings, but ten of those

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Speaker 3: nineteen have reached at least thirty seven points, and this

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Speaker 3: looks like a much more confident Iowa offense. There's injuries

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Speaker 3: on the Iowa State defense, so I think that there

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Speaker 3: could be more points than many are expected. And it's

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Speaker 3: not that high of a bar to clear at under

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Speaker 3: thirty seven. Twenty to seventeen gets it done? What do

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Speaker 3: you see here?

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Speaker 2: I'm going to download every word you just said and

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Speaker 2: apply it to Army Davy when the total is like

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Speaker 2: twenty eight, because it's too low. Sometimes it just gets

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Speaker 2: too low and you gotta go over so I'm not

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Speaker 2: surprised by what Iowa State did last week against North Dakota.

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Speaker 2: I mean, it's just in their DNA to suck. In

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Speaker 2: the first game of the season, they won by six

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Speaker 2: as a thirty two and a half point favorite over

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Speaker 2: Northern Illinois. In twenty twenty one, they lost outright to Louisiana,

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Speaker 2: and twenty twenty in the opener, they beat Northern Iowa

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Speaker 2: by three and twenty nineteen as a twenty three point favorite.

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Speaker 2: I just I really don't take anything away from it.

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Speaker 2: But the injuries are a concern. You're right about that

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Speaker 2: freshman Kale Berzigia is going to start a linebacker as

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Speaker 2: a freshman. He was injured last week, but he comes

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Speaker 2: back in the rotation a linebacker crew that's already missing

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Speaker 2: two guys. So I'm not sold on I Well, like

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Speaker 2: everybody else's I know the final scorees is forty to zero.

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Speaker 2: It was six to zero at half. To me, this

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Speaker 2: play is all about who takes care of the ball better.

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Speaker 2: So instead of breaking down offense and defense in this matchup,

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Speaker 2: you're actually breaking down special teams here. Now, rock Obeck

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Speaker 2: has only thrown three interceptions in his last nine games.

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Speaker 2: He has been fantastic with the ball. He's only fumbled

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Speaker 2: twice on sixty one carries last year. Iowa defensive back,

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Speaker 2: they're going to have to be on their game in

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Speaker 2: one on one tackling. I don't really know if that's

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Speaker 2: where it's going to go. I think it's really Abu Sama.

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Speaker 2: I mean, he only fumbled the ball twice last year.

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Speaker 2: And when you hear me bring up fumbles and interception rates,

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Speaker 2: I want to know who's more probable to having the

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Speaker 2: screw up that's going to cost the game. I think

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Speaker 2: of Rock Perty fumbling the ball down in Iowa's red zone.

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Speaker 2: That was the game. You go into the special teams here.

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Speaker 2: You know Jalen Noel, he returns punts, kicks. That's a

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Speaker 2: big plus for Iowa State. Iowa State's punter Tyler Perkins,

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Speaker 2: he averaged forty four yards last season, so it's not

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Speaker 2: like we have an inexperienced punter. They do have a

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Speaker 2: red red shirt freshman kicker Kyle corn Roddy. He was

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Speaker 2: three for three on extra points, but no field goal attempts. Unsurprisingly,

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Speaker 2: Iowa gained one hundred and ninety five hidden yards last

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Speaker 2: week on Illinois State. They connected on two field goals.

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Speaker 2: They connected on all four extra points. Good returns, good returns.

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Speaker 2: So really, if you're backing Iowa State you think it's

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Speaker 2: a Pickham game, because I think it's a Pickham game.

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Speaker 2: You're backing Iowa State because you want the points, you

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Speaker 2: want the field goal, and you're trusting Rock Obec to

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Speaker 2: not have mistakes here because he made a lot against

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Speaker 2: the Hawkeyes last year. Second game for a true freshman.

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Speaker 2: I trust him more than I do. Kate McNamara, you know,

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Speaker 2: I'm back in Iowa State here at three. Pretty confident

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Speaker 2: with it. But I think the game is going to

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Speaker 2: land one, two three, So like the.

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Speaker 3: Number, Yeah, it is worth mentioning. Caleb Johnson was suspended

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Speaker 3: in the first half. He did come out on the

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Speaker 3: second half, looked great, And you know you mentioned Illinois

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Speaker 3: State might have been wearing down. He was fresh and

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Speaker 3: ready to go, motivated after that suspension, and maybe kerk

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Speaker 3: Frantz back on the sidelines, maybe he says no, no, no, no, no, no,

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Speaker 3: we're back to no passing. Let's go to our third

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Speaker 3: marquee matchup of the day between Tennessee and NC State

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Speaker 3: in prime time. This game will be played in Charlotte.

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Speaker 3: I'm guessing fifty to fifty split in the crowd. It's

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Speaker 3: like three and a half four hours from Knoxville, a

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Speaker 3: couple hours from Raleigh. A lot of NC State alum

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Speaker 3: and Charlotte Tennessee fans will travel well. Here be a

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Speaker 3: pretty cool atmosphere. We completely disagree on this game. I

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Speaker 3: will say I completely read the market wrong. I so

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Speaker 3: this this look adline which I made. I made it

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Speaker 3: around four before last weekend. NC State looked bad, Tennessee

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Speaker 3: looked great. They were both against FCS opponents. I said

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Speaker 3: to myself, I just went over a touchdown and I

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Speaker 3: got a plus seven and a half minus one of five.

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Speaker 3: You can get much better than that. Now, That's all

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Speaker 3: I wanted, because I just didn't react as much as

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Speaker 3: the market apparently did. Now, Nico, the Tennessee star Corkate

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Speaker 3: looked great, and maybe there's a chance that I'm underrating

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Speaker 3: him and have not upgraded Tennessee enough. And this offense,

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Speaker 3: there's definitely a chance to that. And then and there's

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Speaker 3: definitely a chance at NC State's has more issues than

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Speaker 3: I'm assuming. But I will say in their defense, one

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Speaker 3: of the reasons why I didn't downgrade NC State as

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Speaker 3: much as others is and it's worth mentioning shouldn't say this.

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Speaker 3: Josh Heipel first half, he is the most profitable coach

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Speaker 3: against the spread in the first half among all college

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Speaker 3: football coaches. But NC State last week, Look, it was rough,

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Speaker 3: but brand new quarterback, some new pieces. You know, you

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Speaker 3: have a new center, some new pieces at the skill positions,

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Speaker 3: so there's gonna be some grun fans. I also think

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Speaker 3: they weren't showing much. McCall missed some throws and so

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Speaker 3: I think it'll be better here. I think that you

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Speaker 3: can use his legs and Tennessee Secondary is still a

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Speaker 3: very very weak area. Now. The question is can the

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Speaker 3: offensive line get any push again that RPO game work

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Speaker 3: to get to downs where it's manageable to throw the

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Speaker 3: ball to make Tennessee respect their run. He's at Tennessee

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Speaker 3: Secondary and we'll get a much better test this weekend.

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Speaker 3: They've lost three guys to the NFL and three guys

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Speaker 3: to Power for to tas. That is the glaring weakness

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Speaker 3: on this team. The NC State defense was a concern

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Speaker 3: last week. There's still gonna be without a very good safety.

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Speaker 3: But to go back and you watch that game. Peyton

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Speaker 3: Wilson is a huge loss, one of the most important

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Speaker 3: positions on the NC State defense. But his replacement the

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Speaker 3: first play at the game, by the way, he dropped

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Speaker 3: a pick six and then on that first drive he

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Speaker 3: got thrown out for targeting and his replacement was horrendous,

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Speaker 3: blown assignments, mistackles, and it led to a lot of

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Speaker 3: yards for Western Carolina. Well, he's obviously back. Still haven't

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Speaker 3: seen that big of a drop off, but the drop

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Speaker 3: off to his backup from Peyton Wilson was glaring. Also,

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Speaker 3: without their nickel, arguably the second most important position in

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Speaker 3: Tony Gibson's defense. He should be back this week, really

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Speaker 3: critical piece and how Gibson uses the nickel. So they

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Speaker 3: were without a couple of starters. But all I wanted

337
00:16:52,080 --> 00:16:54,320
Speaker 3: was over a touchdown. I expect McCall to be better.

338
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Speaker 3: Paul really does. He takes care of the ball, and

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Speaker 3: last week, like NC State dropped a couple of picks,

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Speaker 3: they missed a couple of wide open throws. I didn't

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Speaker 3: downgrade them much. Definitely a bit scared of how Tennessee

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Speaker 3: looked last week. I just I just misjudged the market.

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Speaker 3: I should have waited, could have got a ten. And

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Speaker 3: I've talked to a couple a couple odds makers said

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Speaker 3: every single bet in the world is coming in on Tennessee,

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Speaker 3: so I probably should have anticipated that. And there's obviously

347
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Speaker 3: some sharper money on Tennessee too that has moved the

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Speaker 3: line up. So I missed time the market here, but

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Speaker 3: I just wanted over seven. But you love Tennessee.

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Speaker 2: Absolutely look to us. You got a seventh. I got

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Speaker 2: the seven and a half on Wednesday because I knew

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Speaker 2: moves were coming tonight. When I say tonight, Thursday generally,

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Speaker 2: not that I respect any of them, but there are

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Speaker 2: service plays from places that can move lines, and those

355
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Speaker 2: generally come in Thursday night and on Fridays. So if

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Speaker 2: you're looking to get ahead of a number that's Thursday

357
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Speaker 2: afternoon's pretty much your deadline, kind of like total. So

358
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Speaker 2: they get whacked by Tuesday morning and you're just stuck.

359
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Speaker 2: You know, I think Tennessee is going to roll here,

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Speaker 2: absolutely gonna roll because all of the players that you

361
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Speaker 2: just mentioned, you know, suspensions from people hurt, none of

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Speaker 2: those are on the defensive line and none of them

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Speaker 2: are on the offensive line. And that is where the

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Speaker 2: route or issues are with NC State. Western Carolina was

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Speaker 2: leading entering the fourth quarter for a reason. They were

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Speaker 2: creating methodical drives. That's a drive with at least ten

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Speaker 2: plays fifty yards over three minutes. They were creating explosive drives.

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Speaker 2: That's a drive that averages more than ten yards per play.

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Speaker 2: That shouldn't happen against Tony Gibson's defense. It's not like

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Speaker 2: they're one of the upper tier teams in FCS. So

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Speaker 2: Tony Gibson plays Cover one and Cover zero. You can't

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Speaker 2: go cover one and cover zero, especially Cover zero against

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Speaker 2: Tennessee's offense. Not the way the Hypel stretches the field.

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Speaker 2: You have to commit defenders on the outside. Niko is

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Speaker 2: picking up reads like there's no tomorrow. That's not to

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Speaker 2: say that NC State can't create explosives also, but you know,

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Speaker 2: there is nothing on the NC State defense that tells

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Speaker 2: me there's going to be any resistance into getting to Nico,

379
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Speaker 2: getting him to change, or able to stop these timing routes.

380
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Speaker 2: When Hypel's stretch expands, the field gets those wide receivers

381
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Speaker 2: out in space. I think Tennessee is going to be

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Speaker 2: able to score continuously. Yeah, I haven't touched the total.

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Speaker 2: I would take an over. I mean I would take

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Speaker 2: it over because I think n CT State can provide

385
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Speaker 2: their share of explosive plays, especially when they're busted. Because

386
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Speaker 2: the offensive line couldn't protect Grayson McCall whatsoever and Graysoon.

387
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Speaker 2: McCall is very good with the ball, but nine pressures

388
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Speaker 2: from an SCST was a little unexpected. So I do

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Speaker 2: expect NC State to get theirs. I just don't expect

390
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Speaker 2: Tennessee to be stop here.

391
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Speaker 3: Let's go onto our final market game between Colorado and Nebraska.

392
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Speaker 2: Time to take a bigger pight out of this court stock.

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Speaker 3: Nebraska seven seven and a half point favorite at home,

394
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Speaker 3: looking for revenge from last year. The good news is

395
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Speaker 3: they will have a quarterback who won't just completely vombit

396
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Speaker 3: the game away. Donn Brella looked very good in his debut,

397
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Speaker 3: although again it was against UTEP this but regardless, the

398
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Speaker 3: quarterback position will be significantly upgraded to what Nebraska rolled

399
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Speaker 3: out there last year in Boulder. You know, running backs

400
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Speaker 3: look pretty good. This is an improved Nebraska offense. The

401
00:20:04,800 --> 00:20:08,480
Speaker 3: defensive front is very good, so I think this Nebraska

402
00:20:08,560 --> 00:20:12,080
Speaker 3: team is better. You expected that with Matt Ruhle in

403
00:20:12,200 --> 00:20:18,719
Speaker 3: another season of development. We're gonna absolutely murder you Colorado. Meanwhile,

404
00:20:19,359 --> 00:20:22,520
Speaker 3: it looks like the same team struggles on defense. They

405
00:20:22,560 --> 00:20:25,840
Speaker 3: couldn't They just couldn't cover basic concepts and adjust to

406
00:20:26,119 --> 00:20:29,040
Speaker 3: what North Dakota State was doing. There's no run game, still,

407
00:20:29,240 --> 00:20:31,000
Speaker 3: the offensive line soil issues. But they just have an

408
00:20:31,000 --> 00:20:33,840
Speaker 3: electric passing attack that's going to get points. When you

409
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Speaker 3: have Shadow Sanders at quarterback, you know you have Travis Hunter,

410
00:20:39,000 --> 00:20:42,680
Speaker 3: and you know you add Wester amazing wide receiver room.

411
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Speaker 3: They're going to hit their fair share of explosive plays.

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Speaker 3: This probably comes down to, like al often Nebraska wins

413
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Speaker 3: the battle up front and how often they can get

414
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Speaker 3: to Sanders on third downs and is Sanders able to

415
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Speaker 3: elude them, get enough protection hit the explosives downfield. I

416
00:20:59,160 --> 00:21:01,399
Speaker 3: don't have much on this game. I'll be rooting for

417
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Speaker 3: Nebraska to win. For a Colorado win total under Since

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Speaker 3: Dion has been at Colorado thirteen thirteen games, underdogs have

419
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Speaker 3: gone ten to three in their games. What their joys.

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Speaker 1: I love it.

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Speaker 3: They're not a great favorite because they're d stinks, they

422
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Speaker 3: can't run it, and they're a pretty good underdog because

423
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Speaker 3: they can put up points on top of that. If

424
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Speaker 3: you look back last year at some of their scores

425
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Speaker 3: and some of the times they did cover as underdog,

426
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Speaker 3: they didn't deserve to cover, but they came back late.

427
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Speaker 3: They would just add on touchdowns late because they had

428
00:21:28,359 --> 00:21:31,159
Speaker 3: that explosive pass notes. And we saw last week Dion's

429
00:21:31,160 --> 00:21:32,479
Speaker 3: not going to stop. It doesn't matter if he has

430
00:21:32,480 --> 00:21:34,240
Speaker 3: an opportunity to takeknees, He's still going to throw it.

431
00:21:34,560 --> 00:21:38,400
Speaker 3: So backdoor could be wide open. The hear too for Colorado,

432
00:21:38,520 --> 00:21:41,439
Speaker 3: especially if you can get over seven. Nothing strong here

433
00:21:41,480 --> 00:21:43,320
Speaker 3: for me, I think you actually you like Colorado. You're

434
00:21:43,359 --> 00:21:44,960
Speaker 3: going with the dog Durin in Colorado games.

435
00:21:45,400 --> 00:21:46,960
Speaker 2: I want to put money down on it, And I'm like,

436
00:21:47,000 --> 00:21:49,360
Speaker 2: do you really want to do this with Colorado. There's

437
00:21:49,400 --> 00:21:53,159
Speaker 2: like this an emotional social acceptance of betting Colorado. For me, No,

438
00:21:53,280 --> 00:21:55,640
Speaker 2: I'm on Colorado plus seven and a half. I think

439
00:21:55,680 --> 00:21:58,200
Speaker 2: the handicap. It seems like the handicap of Colorado. We've

440
00:21:58,200 --> 00:22:00,199
Speaker 2: just been so spot on with it since Deon took over.

441
00:22:00,840 --> 00:22:03,600
Speaker 2: You're right, the question is can you flush schadure out

442
00:22:03,640 --> 00:22:06,960
Speaker 2: of the pocket and can your secondary maintain those cover

443
00:22:07,080 --> 00:22:10,159
Speaker 2: assignments on Jimmy Horn, Travis Hunter, and John tay Western. Well,

444
00:22:10,240 --> 00:22:13,240
Speaker 2: let's go look at UTEP. Who is actually Austin p

445
00:22:13,560 --> 00:22:17,399
Speaker 2: dressed up in UTEP clothes. You know, UTEP produced two

446
00:22:17,480 --> 00:22:21,760
Speaker 2: explosive passes on twenty seven attempts. Austin P transfer Skyler

447
00:22:21,840 --> 00:22:24,160
Speaker 2: Locke there finished the game from UTEP. He saw four

448
00:22:24,160 --> 00:22:27,120
Speaker 2: P crushers in eighteen dropbacks, and he recorded a big

449
00:22:27,160 --> 00:22:29,040
Speaker 2: time throw in two turnover worthy plays with an a

450
00:22:29,200 --> 00:22:31,720
Speaker 2: dot of ten dot five. So a little bit of

451
00:22:31,800 --> 00:22:35,480
Speaker 2: success from an Austin P offense playing in UTEP clothes

452
00:22:36,720 --> 00:22:39,959
Speaker 2: and creating big time throws. But the real story here

453
00:22:40,040 --> 00:22:43,639
Speaker 2: for me is that there were zero pass breakups against UTEP.

454
00:22:44,000 --> 00:22:46,159
Speaker 2: The secondary projects to be in the bottom half of

455
00:22:46,240 --> 00:22:49,640
Speaker 2: the Big ten. When you talk about Nebraska three new starters,

456
00:22:49,800 --> 00:22:53,000
Speaker 2: only strong safety Malcolm Hertzog is the one with experience there.

457
00:22:53,200 --> 00:22:55,280
Speaker 2: That is definitely a place to attack Nebraska, and that

458
00:22:55,400 --> 00:22:57,920
Speaker 2: is definitely where Colorado is going to go. I think

459
00:22:57,960 --> 00:23:00,000
Speaker 2: they can flush Schadeur out of the pocket. I don't

460
00:23:00,160 --> 00:23:02,480
Speaker 2: think the secondary can maintain their assignments. And when Travis

461
00:23:02,560 --> 00:23:04,400
Speaker 2: Hunter and Johonte when they all want to come back

462
00:23:04,400 --> 00:23:06,119
Speaker 2: to the ball and come back to Shador, it's going

463
00:23:06,160 --> 00:23:08,240
Speaker 2: to create big plays. You go to the other side

464
00:23:08,240 --> 00:23:11,400
Speaker 2: of the ball. Colorado's defense got better on the defensive line.

465
00:23:11,560 --> 00:23:14,280
Speaker 2: They created seven tackles for loss against North Dakota State.

466
00:23:14,760 --> 00:23:17,720
Speaker 2: They also created fourteen pressures. That is something that we

467
00:23:17,800 --> 00:23:20,080
Speaker 2: didn't see out of the Colorado defensive line last year.

468
00:23:20,400 --> 00:23:22,520
Speaker 2: The fact that they can create pressures is a really

469
00:23:22,560 --> 00:23:25,160
Speaker 2: bad note for Nebraska in their offensive line. Because Dylan

470
00:23:25,200 --> 00:23:29,160
Speaker 2: Reyola saw seven pressures from the UTEB defensive line last week.

471
00:23:29,240 --> 00:23:31,240
Speaker 2: That I just kid, what's going on with this Nebraska

472
00:23:31,280 --> 00:23:34,879
Speaker 2: offensive line. They had severe issues and turning methodical drives

473
00:23:34,920 --> 00:23:38,280
Speaker 2: into points. They had a ton of long drives. They

474
00:23:38,320 --> 00:23:40,560
Speaker 2: averaged what three point four points every time they crossed

475
00:23:40,560 --> 00:23:43,080
Speaker 2: the forty yard line. That's not even national average, not close.

476
00:23:43,880 --> 00:23:45,879
Speaker 2: I think the one thing that interests me stuck. I

477
00:23:45,920 --> 00:23:48,440
Speaker 2: don't think it's applicable here this week, but something to

478
00:23:48,520 --> 00:23:52,080
Speaker 2: keep an eye on. Nebraska had forty minutes of possession.

479
00:23:52,400 --> 00:23:55,400
Speaker 2: They had one hundred plays. They averaged twenty three point

480
00:23:55,480 --> 00:23:58,520
Speaker 2: one to two seconds per play. That's extremely fast. That's

481
00:23:58,560 --> 00:24:00,879
Speaker 2: like a top thirty pace. So I'm going to keep

482
00:24:00,880 --> 00:24:02,920
Speaker 2: an eye on Nebraska and how fast are snapping the ball.

483
00:24:03,000 --> 00:24:05,520
Speaker 2: But I'm not gonna touch the total with Nebraska. It's

484
00:24:05,560 --> 00:24:07,080
Speaker 2: just it's not an offense that I think they can

485
00:24:07,160 --> 00:24:09,480
Speaker 2: take over a game. This is a Nebraska offense that

486
00:24:09,600 --> 00:24:11,639
Speaker 2: could get down the field, but they just couldn't convert

487
00:24:11,680 --> 00:24:14,480
Speaker 2: it into points. You go to the flip side, Shador

488
00:24:14,600 --> 00:24:16,280
Speaker 2: is going to be able to hit a bunch of

489
00:24:16,440 --> 00:24:21,359
Speaker 2: targets where Nebraska will lose their coverage assignment. So I

490
00:24:21,560 --> 00:24:24,040
Speaker 2: like Colorado here plus seven and a half. I think

491
00:24:24,040 --> 00:24:26,680
Speaker 2: they got a shot to win, but definitely just taking

492
00:24:26,680 --> 00:24:27,480
Speaker 2: the points at this point.

493
00:24:27,920 --> 00:24:34,720
Speaker 3: All right, good stuff there, Let's move on to the

494
00:24:34,920 --> 00:24:38,920
Speaker 3: rundown and we're gonna hit. Let's hit. Look about six

495
00:24:39,040 --> 00:24:44,119
Speaker 3: games or so, starting Kansas State at Tulane. I like

496
00:24:44,160 --> 00:24:47,280
Speaker 3: the under here. Someone trust David Johnson is a passer

497
00:24:47,560 --> 00:24:50,240
Speaker 3: noon start here. Some are all out that defense ready.

498
00:24:50,560 --> 00:24:53,639
Speaker 3: Think Kansas State not gonna go fast, lean on their

499
00:24:53,680 --> 00:24:56,760
Speaker 3: run game. Gets the strength of this two lane defense

500
00:24:56,840 --> 00:25:01,480
Speaker 3: up front, very good linebackers, very young, inexperienced starting quarterback

501
00:25:01,520 --> 00:25:03,560
Speaker 3: for Tulane. I think they're going to rely on using

502
00:25:03,560 --> 00:25:07,720
Speaker 3: their run game. So I like to under here at

503
00:25:07,800 --> 00:25:10,080
Speaker 3: the noon start in twu lane.

504
00:25:10,200 --> 00:25:13,200
Speaker 2: Anything there high chance of rain ten mile an hour wins.

505
00:25:13,320 --> 00:25:14,920
Speaker 2: There's gonna be a lot of running in this game.

506
00:25:15,000 --> 00:25:17,800
Speaker 2: That's why you've seen this total open at fifty down

507
00:25:17,840 --> 00:25:19,480
Speaker 2: to forty seven and a half. I think it's worth

508
00:25:19,520 --> 00:25:21,800
Speaker 2: noting that Chris Cleiman was zero to three against spread

509
00:25:21,840 --> 00:25:24,639
Speaker 2: as a road favorite last year. Just not something that

510
00:25:24,720 --> 00:25:26,879
Speaker 2: really suits them as good as they've been since he

511
00:25:26,960 --> 00:25:29,200
Speaker 2: got there as head coach. But Kansas State was just

512
00:25:29,560 --> 00:25:31,639
Speaker 2: monsters on the ground last week against UT Martin two

513
00:25:31,680 --> 00:25:34,080
Speaker 2: andundred eighty three yards on the ground, they blocked a punt,

514
00:25:34,880 --> 00:25:37,000
Speaker 2: they allowed just one hundred and thirty four yards on defense,

515
00:25:37,040 --> 00:25:39,959
Speaker 2: Like Kansas State is firing on all cylinders against the Skyhawks,

516
00:25:40,240 --> 00:25:42,200
Speaker 2: and Tulane had a lot of questions with Troy's coach

517
00:25:42,280 --> 00:25:45,840
Speaker 2: John Sommer all coming in here. The defense shutout Southeastern

518
00:25:45,880 --> 00:25:49,240
Speaker 2: Louisiana fifty two to zero was the final score. That's

519
00:25:49,280 --> 00:25:52,440
Speaker 2: pretty impressive considering there was only eight offensive drives for

520
00:25:52,520 --> 00:25:56,320
Speaker 2: Tulane and scoring fifty two points. I guess the question

521
00:25:56,440 --> 00:26:00,000
Speaker 2: is ken the two lane d slowdown Avery Johnson, DJ Genens,

522
00:26:00,440 --> 00:26:04,600
Speaker 2: Dylan Edwards. You know, Tulane returns as a top three

523
00:26:04,640 --> 00:26:07,600
Speaker 2: defensive front and the AAC seven starters back on defense,

524
00:26:07,640 --> 00:26:11,199
Speaker 2: and they were twenty fifth in rushing success rate last year.

525
00:26:11,240 --> 00:26:12,919
Speaker 2: A lot of those players some have left, but they

526
00:26:12,960 --> 00:26:15,800
Speaker 2: do have seven returning starters. I agree with you, it's

527
00:26:15,800 --> 00:26:17,720
Speaker 2: gonna be a ground game on both sides. I think

528
00:26:17,760 --> 00:26:20,560
Speaker 2: the defense is the best part of Tulane. Kansas State's

529
00:26:20,600 --> 00:26:21,840
Speaker 2: ground game is going to be where it's at, and

530
00:26:21,840 --> 00:26:23,600
Speaker 2: I think with weather involved, under is the only way

531
00:26:23,640 --> 00:26:25,800
Speaker 2: to play here. If the number dips a little bit lower,

532
00:26:25,840 --> 00:26:28,680
Speaker 2: I would be interesting in Kansas State, but probably not

533
00:26:28,680 --> 00:26:30,480
Speaker 2: gonna end up playing that. But I do like the under.

534
00:26:30,840 --> 00:26:33,400
Speaker 3: Tulane for what it's about. It has been dominant, dominant

535
00:26:33,440 --> 00:26:36,200
Speaker 3: against the spread at home over the past seven or

536
00:26:36,200 --> 00:26:39,320
Speaker 3: eight years. There's some voodoo down there. So let's move

537
00:26:39,359 --> 00:26:41,520
Speaker 3: on to another game. Here's another game we disagree on.

538
00:26:42,080 --> 00:26:46,080
Speaker 3: Disagreement Week two, Georgia Tech Syracuse. I took the three

539
00:26:46,680 --> 00:26:49,719
Speaker 3: with Syracuse. I need three, which you can get as

540
00:26:49,840 --> 00:26:53,159
Speaker 3: at the time we're recording. Syracuse sluck there. Rundy was

541
00:26:53,200 --> 00:26:55,800
Speaker 3: bad last week. They couldn't set the edge. It's very worrisome.

542
00:26:56,000 --> 00:26:58,560
Speaker 3: They don't Marlo Wax. They lose their star linebacker against

543
00:26:58,560 --> 00:27:00,840
Speaker 3: his Georgia Tech rush attack. But I had to take

544
00:27:00,880 --> 00:27:03,760
Speaker 3: the three based on my numbers, and it's a good situation.

545
00:27:04,080 --> 00:27:07,320
Speaker 3: Syracuse second straight home game. They're back home to start

546
00:27:07,359 --> 00:27:10,560
Speaker 3: the year. Georgia Tech has gone from Ireland to Atlanta

547
00:27:10,960 --> 00:27:14,200
Speaker 3: now to Central New York their third game. That's a

548
00:27:14,280 --> 00:27:17,159
Speaker 3: lot of traveling. And by the way, they got a

549
00:27:17,240 --> 00:27:20,440
Speaker 3: bump originally for that Florida State win. Is it really

550
00:27:20,480 --> 00:27:23,280
Speaker 3: even that impressive after what we saw from Florida State

551
00:27:23,320 --> 00:27:28,719
Speaker 3: against Boston College, So maybe Georgia that effort wasn't as

552
00:27:28,760 --> 00:27:31,280
Speaker 3: great as it may have looked. And then last week

553
00:27:31,480 --> 00:27:34,640
Speaker 3: against Georgia State, I could tell you it was painful.

554
00:27:34,960 --> 00:27:37,639
Speaker 3: I have painful, painful loss there. Georgia State should have

555
00:27:37,680 --> 00:27:41,159
Speaker 3: covered that game. They were inside the ten three times

556
00:27:41,640 --> 00:27:44,800
Speaker 3: on three separate drives and came away with three total points.

557
00:27:44,840 --> 00:27:46,560
Speaker 3: Said first and goal at the one on the first

558
00:27:46,640 --> 00:27:49,159
Speaker 3: drive of the game, didn't score first and goal at

559
00:27:49,160 --> 00:27:50,960
Speaker 3: the and then they fumbled at their own ten. Georgia

560
00:27:51,040 --> 00:27:53,240
Speaker 3: Tech scored a touchdown, then they had first and goal

561
00:27:53,560 --> 00:27:56,040
Speaker 3: inside the ten, settle for a field goal, even had

562
00:27:56,119 --> 00:27:59,080
Speaker 3: first and goal in garbage time, turned it over on

563
00:27:59,160 --> 00:28:02,160
Speaker 3: downs ten. Two touchdowns came on fourth downs as well.

564
00:28:03,040 --> 00:28:05,040
Speaker 3: Just a brutal, birtal game should not have been in

565
00:28:05,040 --> 00:28:08,399
Speaker 3: a twenty two point margin. So I expect Syracuse to

566
00:28:08,440 --> 00:28:11,040
Speaker 3: clean some of the stuff up defensively. You know, it's

567
00:28:11,119 --> 00:28:14,399
Speaker 3: a new scheme, a lot of new players. But I

568
00:28:14,520 --> 00:28:16,000
Speaker 3: just had I just had to take the three here

569
00:28:16,440 --> 00:28:18,680
Speaker 3: with the home pup. But you like the rambling wreck

570
00:28:18,720 --> 00:28:19,440
Speaker 3: you're going on the road?

571
00:28:19,920 --> 00:28:21,560
Speaker 2: I do. And most of it was because of a

572
00:28:21,640 --> 00:28:25,160
Speaker 2: terrible advanced analytics that I saw in the Syracuse box

573
00:28:25,200 --> 00:28:27,080
Speaker 2: score from week one. I can tell you right now that,

574
00:28:27,080 --> 00:28:27,960
Speaker 2: I mean Tymes ran for.

575
00:28:28,000 --> 00:28:31,560
Speaker 3: Two over two hundred on only sixteen carries. So that's troubling.

576
00:28:31,880 --> 00:28:34,199
Speaker 2: Yeah, Like am I buying Ohio futures in the MAC now?

577
00:28:34,240 --> 00:28:37,199
Speaker 2: It's crazy. I can tell you the market loves Syracuse here.

578
00:28:37,520 --> 00:28:38,880
Speaker 2: I mean, it looks like if you have Georgia Tech,

579
00:28:38,880 --> 00:28:41,000
Speaker 2: you're on the wrong side. But at the same time,

580
00:28:41,360 --> 00:28:44,040
Speaker 2: what was that West Virginia's team last week? But I'm

581
00:28:44,080 --> 00:28:46,320
Speaker 2: not surprised to see the total tick up Syracuse passing

582
00:28:46,360 --> 00:28:49,040
Speaker 2: offense under McCord. They were they were rolling against Ohio.

583
00:28:49,680 --> 00:28:52,440
Speaker 2: Trevor Pinaz did Haynes caught ten passes for one hundred

584
00:28:52,440 --> 00:28:55,959
Speaker 2: and fifty combined. Aronda Gatson's just a beasted tight end.

585
00:28:56,280 --> 00:28:58,920
Speaker 2: You know that four to two five of Tyler Santucci's

586
00:28:58,960 --> 00:29:02,160
Speaker 2: not really seen exactly what's coming down the pipe with

587
00:29:02,240 --> 00:29:04,200
Speaker 2: this kind of tight end. They didn't see it against

588
00:29:04,200 --> 00:29:06,080
Speaker 2: Gegia State. They didn't see it against Florida State. So

589
00:29:06,760 --> 00:29:09,040
Speaker 2: that's a bit of an issue for them to for

590
00:29:09,400 --> 00:29:12,280
Speaker 2: Georgia Tech to worry about. Kyle McCord's box score was

591
00:29:12,400 --> 00:29:15,000
Speaker 2: really not as clean. Three big time throws that matches

592
00:29:15,040 --> 00:29:17,479
Speaker 2: his touchdowns, but two turnover worthy plays. He did make

593
00:29:17,520 --> 00:29:21,400
Speaker 2: some mistakes. Ohio recorded ten defensive pressures on this Syracuse

594
00:29:21,440 --> 00:29:24,520
Speaker 2: offensive line. Georgia Tech's had nineteen pressures through two games

595
00:29:24,560 --> 00:29:26,760
Speaker 2: on Georgia State and FSU, so I expect them to

596
00:29:26,760 --> 00:29:29,040
Speaker 2: get pressure on McCord here. We'll see if McCord commits

597
00:29:29,360 --> 00:29:32,600
Speaker 2: another pair of turnover worthy plays or more. And then

598
00:29:32,640 --> 00:29:34,560
Speaker 2: the question on the Syracuse side for defense is can

599
00:29:34,600 --> 00:29:36,600
Speaker 2: you stop Haynes King, Can you stop Jamal Haynes The

600
00:29:36,720 --> 00:29:39,360
Speaker 2: just the ground assault that these guys are. If Ohio

601
00:29:39,480 --> 00:29:41,880
Speaker 2: is going to run for two fifty five and two

602
00:29:42,000 --> 00:29:44,720
Speaker 2: hundred and three behind running back Anthony Tias, that is

603
00:29:44,760 --> 00:29:47,720
Speaker 2: a severe problem in stopping Georgia Tech may have you

604
00:29:48,120 --> 00:29:49,760
Speaker 2: look into the over a little bit. I think that's

605
00:29:49,800 --> 00:29:51,560
Speaker 2: why it started at fifty nine. It's a sixty one

606
00:29:51,600 --> 00:29:54,000
Speaker 2: and a half. Jamal Ains has not shown that the

607
00:29:54,120 --> 00:29:56,760
Speaker 2: choice that we expect from him. Excuse me so far

608
00:29:56,840 --> 00:29:59,040
Speaker 2: three point five yards after contact. I think that was

609
00:29:59,160 --> 00:30:01,040
Speaker 2: up in the fours last. We'll see if they can

610
00:30:01,040 --> 00:30:03,080
Speaker 2: improve on that. But I do like the over. I

611
00:30:03,160 --> 00:30:04,680
Speaker 2: took a Georgia Tech money line. I think I can

612
00:30:04,720 --> 00:30:06,959
Speaker 2: get it cheap. I would support that side just because

613
00:30:07,560 --> 00:30:11,040
Speaker 2: I can't get over Ohio creating ten defensive pressures on

614
00:30:11,120 --> 00:30:13,200
Speaker 2: the Syracuse offensive line, and I cannot get over them

615
00:30:13,240 --> 00:30:15,120
Speaker 2: having a running back that went over two hundred yards.

616
00:30:15,320 --> 00:30:17,200
Speaker 2: So Ohio team was supposed to be left for dead

617
00:30:17,280 --> 00:30:20,000
Speaker 2: like devoted to FCS. Not a good start for Syracuse

618
00:30:20,040 --> 00:30:20,920
Speaker 2: from the box score.

619
00:30:21,080 --> 00:30:26,440
Speaker 3: Should be an interesting game early on Saturday, Baylor Utah

620
00:30:26,960 --> 00:30:29,400
Speaker 3: for the interesting game. Utah laying a little looks like

621
00:30:29,480 --> 00:30:32,080
Speaker 3: fourteen and a half right now on the surface from

622
00:30:32,080 --> 00:30:36,080
Speaker 3: a numbers perspective, would lean you Baylor. There can't really

623
00:30:36,120 --> 00:30:37,800
Speaker 3: take too much away from their game against Tarleton. I

624
00:30:37,840 --> 00:30:41,840
Speaker 3: think Tarlton would start up Daniel Greek of their backup quarterback.

625
00:30:41,880 --> 00:30:45,600
Speaker 3: If he is bad and Baylor won forty five to three,

626
00:30:46,320 --> 00:30:48,640
Speaker 3: I can't trust akpon Finn though here. That's the thing, right,

627
00:30:48,800 --> 00:30:50,840
Speaker 3: I watched him in the mat. He's gonna make mistakes.

628
00:30:51,120 --> 00:30:55,120
Speaker 3: He even threw two picks against Tarleton. It's not accurate enough.

629
00:30:55,600 --> 00:30:57,040
Speaker 3: I don't trust Baylor to be able to run the

630
00:30:57,080 --> 00:30:59,800
Speaker 3: ball on this Utah front. It's going to come down

631
00:30:59,840 --> 00:31:02,080
Speaker 3: to maybe he can make some plays with his legs,

632
00:31:02,080 --> 00:31:03,680
Speaker 3: but I don't trust him not to make mistakes. And

633
00:31:03,760 --> 00:31:05,680
Speaker 3: that's what could be the difference here. Anything.

634
00:31:06,720 --> 00:31:08,960
Speaker 2: Well, first off, this isn't a conference game. This was

635
00:31:08,960 --> 00:31:12,000
Speaker 2: scheduled before the con you know, before the Big twelve expanded.

636
00:31:12,080 --> 00:31:16,040
Speaker 2: So does Kyle Whittingham feel the need to put his

637
00:31:16,080 --> 00:31:17,800
Speaker 2: foot down on the pedal, Like if there's a backdoor

638
00:31:17,800 --> 00:31:19,720
Speaker 2: opportunity here and you're up by twenty one, got to

639
00:31:19,720 --> 00:31:23,400
Speaker 2: think about that aspect. But who's shaping this number? Like

640
00:31:23,440 --> 00:31:25,480
Speaker 2: every time he gets to fourteen, it does a little bounce.

641
00:31:25,520 --> 00:31:27,760
Speaker 2: I think you're getting in some major resistance at fourteen

642
00:31:27,800 --> 00:31:29,840
Speaker 2: where people want Utah. So it's kind of hanging out

643
00:31:29,840 --> 00:31:33,120
Speaker 2: at fourteen and a half everywhere, you know, I project

644
00:31:33,160 --> 00:31:34,960
Speaker 2: this at seventeen and a half. I think SPPLUS has

645
00:31:34,960 --> 00:31:36,680
Speaker 2: at fifteen and a half, so it's really floating around

646
00:31:36,720 --> 00:31:39,440
Speaker 2: in all these numbers. But I just cannot get off

647
00:31:39,800 --> 00:31:43,360
Speaker 2: to Kwan Fin one big time throw. Three turnover worthy

648
00:31:43,400 --> 00:31:45,920
Speaker 2: plays against Tarleton and oh, by the way, I mean

649
00:31:45,960 --> 00:31:48,680
Speaker 2: we talked about it all summer, Baylor. You're not going

650
00:31:48,720 --> 00:31:50,480
Speaker 2: to save Dave and his job with t Quan Finn

651
00:31:50,480 --> 00:31:52,600
Speaker 2: at quarterback, and you go and look and see what

652
00:31:52,800 --> 00:31:56,120
Speaker 2: he saw. Eleven pressures on twenty four dropbacks. Almost half

653
00:31:56,160 --> 00:31:59,320
Speaker 2: of the dropbacks the Baylor offensive line allowed to Kwan

654
00:31:59,360 --> 00:32:01,840
Speaker 2: Finn to get pressure. That's a really bad scenario going

655
00:32:01,880 --> 00:32:04,760
Speaker 2: up against Utah's defense. Oh, by the way, to Kain Finn,

656
00:32:04,800 --> 00:32:08,440
Speaker 2: who's fumbled as many times as cam Ward. He had

657
00:32:08,480 --> 00:32:10,800
Speaker 2: a fumble on five rushing attempts last week. The guy

658
00:32:10,960 --> 00:32:13,480
Speaker 2: is just a walking turnover machine. I don't know who's

659
00:32:13,480 --> 00:32:15,920
Speaker 2: betting Baylor if if they cover the game, great, Maybe

660
00:32:15,920 --> 00:32:18,520
Speaker 2: it's because Whittingham led them. But at fourteen you see

661
00:32:18,560 --> 00:32:20,840
Speaker 2: the sink and hit fourteen. It flickers. At fourteen. I

662
00:32:20,880 --> 00:32:23,360
Speaker 2: think that's the point where you'd have to buy Utah.

663
00:32:23,480 --> 00:32:24,240
Speaker 2: I'm probably going.

664
00:32:24,240 --> 00:32:28,680
Speaker 3: To pass South Carolina Kentucky. Here in Lexington, you'll have

665
00:32:29,720 --> 00:32:32,960
Speaker 3: your best bet on this game. I will say I

666
00:32:33,120 --> 00:32:35,240
Speaker 3: was thinking about buying South Carolina at ten or more,

667
00:32:35,680 --> 00:32:37,640
Speaker 3: thinking this might be a bit of an overreaction. But

668
00:32:37,680 --> 00:32:40,680
Speaker 3: I've talked about this in the preseason. South Carolina this

669
00:32:40,840 --> 00:32:43,000
Speaker 3: game like they need to run the ball, and you

670
00:32:43,040 --> 00:32:45,520
Speaker 3: can't run the ball in Kentucky. You need to throw

671
00:32:45,640 --> 00:32:47,960
Speaker 3: on this Kentucky team to move the ball against them.

672
00:32:48,640 --> 00:32:50,280
Speaker 3: And from what I saw last week, I know that

673
00:32:50,320 --> 00:32:53,480
Speaker 3: there were some drops, Sailors missed some throws. I'm not

674
00:32:53,480 --> 00:32:55,880
Speaker 3: sure if South Kina do that. I had under forty

675
00:32:55,920 --> 00:32:58,160
Speaker 3: five and a f up on. I was about to

676
00:32:58,240 --> 00:33:00,680
Speaker 3: bet it and it got whacked. But I was a

677
00:33:00,760 --> 00:33:04,280
Speaker 3: little concerned because Kentucky did show at times last week

678
00:33:04,480 --> 00:33:07,600
Speaker 3: that they would run more tempo. They averaged a FBS

679
00:33:07,720 --> 00:33:10,040
Speaker 3: low fifty five plays last year. They want to get

680
00:33:10,040 --> 00:33:12,320
Speaker 3: that up to seventy five. It was a mixed bag

681
00:33:12,360 --> 00:33:15,000
Speaker 3: at tempo. Sometimes they were slow. The helmet communication thing

682
00:33:15,080 --> 00:33:16,640
Speaker 3: is interesting. I don't think it's going to have that

683
00:33:16,760 --> 00:33:18,800
Speaker 3: much of an impact on tempo overall, but there's gonna

684
00:33:18,840 --> 00:33:22,160
Speaker 3: be spots. This isn't necessarily that pertinent to specific game,

685
00:33:22,200 --> 00:33:24,000
Speaker 3: but there's gonna be spots where it means a lot

686
00:33:24,120 --> 00:33:27,560
Speaker 3: more than others. And when I'm talking huge games in

687
00:33:27,760 --> 00:33:31,800
Speaker 3: loud environments, right and teams that are very reliant on

688
00:33:31,840 --> 00:33:34,480
Speaker 3: the helme communication, that's where you could see pace really

689
00:33:34,520 --> 00:33:36,360
Speaker 3: slow down. And then you also got to remember teams

690
00:33:36,360 --> 00:33:38,080
Speaker 3: are going to adjust to a quarterbacks are going to

691
00:33:38,120 --> 00:33:40,640
Speaker 3: adjust it, so they might become more efficient with it

692
00:33:40,720 --> 00:33:42,239
Speaker 3: over time. Something to monitor, but I don't think it's

693
00:33:42,280 --> 00:33:47,040
Speaker 3: happening broadly speaking a huge impact on pace so far,

694
00:33:47,160 --> 00:33:52,280
Speaker 3: but in specific spots might be something worth considering. So yeah,

695
00:33:53,680 --> 00:33:56,120
Speaker 3: Kentucky might go just they're getting used to going much

696
00:33:56,160 --> 00:33:59,120
Speaker 3: more up. Tempo might be a thing here. I would

697
00:33:59,160 --> 00:34:02,280
Speaker 3: lean South Carolina just based on numbers and no reacting,

698
00:34:02,320 --> 00:34:04,239
Speaker 3: but it's just not a good matchup. You have more

699
00:34:04,280 --> 00:34:07,120
Speaker 3: on this on a team total for your best bet

700
00:34:07,200 --> 00:34:08,920
Speaker 3: that you want to add anything before we get to that.

701
00:34:09,520 --> 00:34:12,359
Speaker 2: Lenora Sellers is not going to be allowed to throw rocket.

702
00:34:12,440 --> 00:34:15,040
Speaker 2: Sanders is is rpo man. They just unless they go

703
00:34:15,080 --> 00:34:16,919
Speaker 2: to another quarterback, they're not gonna have the game. Cocks

704
00:34:16,960 --> 00:34:18,239
Speaker 2: are just not going to have a way to pass.

705
00:34:18,719 --> 00:34:21,680
Speaker 2: What they do on offense is exactly what Kentucky's defense

706
00:34:21,680 --> 00:34:24,040
Speaker 2: eats for breakfast. So yeah, match.

707
00:34:24,200 --> 00:34:26,000
Speaker 3: The reason I would still like the under is that

708
00:34:26,360 --> 00:34:28,200
Speaker 3: I don't it's a bad match with the south count

709
00:34:28,200 --> 00:34:33,279
Speaker 3: of offense. Just South Carolina defense I think is going

710
00:34:33,320 --> 00:34:35,839
Speaker 3: to be better this season, especially up front. And there

711
00:34:35,880 --> 00:34:38,240
Speaker 3: also is this I talked about the tempo with Kentucky

712
00:34:38,760 --> 00:34:41,439
Speaker 3: and you know, new offensive coordinator, and maybe they hold

713
00:34:41,480 --> 00:34:43,759
Speaker 3: some things back, especially if they're up, because they know

714
00:34:43,800 --> 00:34:45,480
Speaker 3: other defense can win this game because guess who's coming

715
00:34:45,520 --> 00:34:48,759
Speaker 3: to town next week is Georgia. So it might might

716
00:34:48,840 --> 00:34:52,120
Speaker 3: suppress scoring late and Kentucky might not go as fast

717
00:34:52,160 --> 00:34:55,279
Speaker 3: as maybe they want to. As the season progresses, I

718
00:34:55,400 --> 00:34:57,360
Speaker 3: think I might be depends on what other games are

719
00:34:57,400 --> 00:34:58,560
Speaker 3: at that time. Think I might be geting on to

720
00:34:58,600 --> 00:34:59,279
Speaker 3: that game this week.

721
00:34:59,600 --> 00:35:01,480
Speaker 2: This is seventeen seven A written all over it.

722
00:35:01,719 --> 00:35:07,640
Speaker 3: Houston at Oklahoma. Oklahoma's taken some money since open. Houston

723
00:35:07,719 --> 00:35:12,520
Speaker 3: looked horrendous last week against NLB at home. Complete rebuild.

724
00:35:12,560 --> 00:35:15,880
Speaker 3: There anything here over for me.

725
00:35:16,000 --> 00:35:18,799
Speaker 2: I know it's sinking down, but I think Oklahoma's team

726
00:35:18,840 --> 00:35:21,880
Speaker 2: total venables is going to continue to score as much

727
00:35:21,920 --> 00:35:23,840
Speaker 2: as he is, and Houston's defense is not prepared to

728
00:35:23,840 --> 00:35:28,239
Speaker 2: stop anybody right now? Everyone, everyone, everybody, everybody.

729
00:35:28,719 --> 00:35:31,880
Speaker 3: We better bring it. Okay, bring your mouthpiece.

730
00:35:32,320 --> 00:35:34,279
Speaker 2: Looks like the weather is clear, about ten mile an

731
00:35:34,280 --> 00:35:36,560
Speaker 2: hour winds blowing through one end zone. I do like

732
00:35:36,640 --> 00:35:39,680
Speaker 2: Oklahoma to go over their team total here. Hewson is

733
00:35:39,680 --> 00:35:41,160
Speaker 2: not gonna be able to keep up. So see some

734
00:35:41,320 --> 00:35:42,759
Speaker 2: twenty seven A habs in the market. There is some

735
00:35:42,800 --> 00:35:44,719
Speaker 2: love out there for Houston, but they're gonna have to

736
00:35:44,760 --> 00:35:46,640
Speaker 2: create methodical drives and burn some clock and I just

737
00:35:46,680 --> 00:35:48,560
Speaker 2: don't think that's gonna happen. So I do like the

738
00:35:48,640 --> 00:35:49,960
Speaker 2: Ou going over their team total.

739
00:35:50,520 --> 00:35:52,879
Speaker 3: Curious to see if there's a things keep going south

740
00:35:52,960 --> 00:35:55,759
Speaker 3: or it ends up being quarterback change in Houston. But

741
00:35:55,800 --> 00:36:01,040
Speaker 3: that's a conversation. The other day, Kansas at Illinois. Illinois

742
00:36:01,040 --> 00:36:03,359
Speaker 3: looked pretty good last week, but not sure how much

743
00:36:03,360 --> 00:36:06,640
Speaker 3: you could take against Eastern Illinois. Kansas played Lynden Wood.

744
00:36:07,239 --> 00:36:10,080
Speaker 3: Do you have anything here against your old friend Burt Well.

745
00:36:10,120 --> 00:36:12,040
Speaker 2: I know Kansas can't go over the total because they

746
00:36:12,120 --> 00:36:16,040
Speaker 2: decided in Children's Mercy Stadium soccer stadium in Kansas City

747
00:36:16,120 --> 00:36:18,439
Speaker 2: that they would just lay off the points against Lyndon.

748
00:36:18,440 --> 00:36:20,520
Speaker 2: Would so kind of ruined me there. I think Illinois

749
00:36:20,560 --> 00:36:22,160
Speaker 2: gonna be able to compete here. I think they're thick

750
00:36:22,280 --> 00:36:23,759
Speaker 2: enough in the trench that they're going to be able

751
00:36:23,760 --> 00:36:26,120
Speaker 2: to do some damage here and limit Kansas in the scoring.

752
00:36:26,200 --> 00:36:28,400
Speaker 2: It wasn't a clean box score out of Kansas whatsoever.

753
00:36:28,440 --> 00:36:30,839
Speaker 2: They struggled for a couple of quarters, so I would

754
00:36:30,840 --> 00:36:32,680
Speaker 2: be enticed to take a five, but I haven't touched it.

755
00:36:33,120 --> 00:36:33,239
Speaker 1: All.

756
00:36:33,320 --> 00:36:36,320
Speaker 3: Right, let's want to our first FCS or no of

757
00:36:36,719 --> 00:36:39,920
Speaker 3: the real twenty twenty four college football season.

758
00:36:47,440 --> 00:36:53,000
Speaker 1: Southland or SEC, Big Sky or Big Ten. It's time

759
00:36:53,080 --> 00:36:54,359
Speaker 1: to play e FC.

760
00:36:54,680 --> 00:37:01,400
Speaker 3: Yes or no. I'm going to bring up a spot.

761
00:37:01,480 --> 00:37:04,920
Speaker 3: I've circled. No lines out for some of these yet, Dukine,

762
00:37:05,000 --> 00:37:09,720
Speaker 3: maybe the Dukes, the Dukes of Ducaine against Boston College.

763
00:37:10,160 --> 00:37:14,320
Speaker 3: Boston College sort of like the Service Academy in the

764
00:37:14,360 --> 00:37:16,839
Speaker 3: way that they play, so not they don't profile as

765
00:37:16,840 --> 00:37:20,720
Speaker 3: a great large favor but this spot. BC beats Florida

766
00:37:20,760 --> 00:37:25,560
Speaker 3: State on a Monday night, huge upset. They don't get back,

767
00:37:25,719 --> 00:37:27,719
Speaker 3: they take a day off, Bill O'Brien, get in a

768
00:37:27,760 --> 00:37:29,560
Speaker 3: day out. They don't even start practicing a Wednesday. Guess

769
00:37:29,600 --> 00:37:32,759
Speaker 3: who that where? They go next week at Missouri And

770
00:37:32,920 --> 00:37:34,919
Speaker 3: you think they're game planning for Ducaine or care about

771
00:37:34,920 --> 00:37:37,680
Speaker 3: this game, or want to run it up Dukaine. Meanwhile,

772
00:37:37,680 --> 00:37:39,759
Speaker 3: they played like last Thursday, they got like four or

773
00:37:39,800 --> 00:37:42,839
Speaker 3: five extra days of PC do profiles a big fair.

774
00:37:42,880 --> 00:37:46,000
Speaker 3: There's a great spot Duquine is on my radar for

775
00:37:46,080 --> 00:37:47,000
Speaker 3: when that line comes out.

776
00:37:47,400 --> 00:37:50,600
Speaker 2: That's a great call out the Sacramento State Fresno State one. See.

777
00:37:50,600 --> 00:37:52,759
Speaker 2: I think Sacramento State first half is a great bet.

778
00:37:52,840 --> 00:37:55,799
Speaker 2: And the reason is because Fresno State had an entire

779
00:37:55,840 --> 00:38:00,560
Speaker 2: game plan for Michigan, slow grinding, rush offense. That's not

780
00:38:00,640 --> 00:38:03,000
Speaker 2: what you're getting with Sacramento State, a team that is

781
00:38:03,040 --> 00:38:05,200
Speaker 2: expected to make the quarterfinals, maybe the semi finals of

782
00:38:05,239 --> 00:38:08,160
Speaker 2: the FCS Playoffs return almost everybody on offense, and they're

783
00:38:08,200 --> 00:38:10,200
Speaker 2: heavy in the past with three pass catchers that are

784
00:38:10,239 --> 00:38:13,799
Speaker 2: some of the best in FCS. The second mornets well

785
00:38:13,960 --> 00:38:15,480
Speaker 2: in the first half, I will because it's such a

786
00:38:15,560 --> 00:38:17,400
Speaker 2: change of pace for Fresno to go from Michigan to

787
00:38:17,440 --> 00:38:20,000
Speaker 2: Sacramento State. There's no lines on the board of Stucky

788
00:38:20,000 --> 00:38:21,759
Speaker 2: and I are recording this. It's a projection I make

789
00:38:21,800 --> 00:38:24,160
Speaker 2: with my FCS numbers is about eighteen in favor of

790
00:38:24,239 --> 00:38:26,360
Speaker 2: Fresno State, so I would expect to see ten in

791
00:38:26,400 --> 00:38:28,680
Speaker 2: the first half when it pops. But I think Sacramento

792
00:38:28,719 --> 00:38:29,680
Speaker 2: State's in a good spot here.

793
00:38:30,320 --> 00:38:32,719
Speaker 3: Well, you're going back to Sack State after they burn you.

794
00:38:32,960 --> 00:38:35,640
Speaker 3: The people are dying to know. Are you done? Betting

795
00:38:35,680 --> 00:38:37,400
Speaker 3: on DJU is a favorite this season.

796
00:38:38,000 --> 00:38:40,279
Speaker 2: Florida State's done. I've already lost two units in the app.

797
00:38:40,320 --> 00:38:42,200
Speaker 2: I've lost more money than I want to count, and

798
00:38:42,320 --> 00:38:44,680
Speaker 2: I've done with Florida State. I can't even believe they're

799
00:38:44,680 --> 00:38:46,360
Speaker 2: in that bracket. We need to tear that up and

800
00:38:46,480 --> 00:38:49,920
Speaker 2: create a new one for CW because it so Florida State.

801
00:38:49,840 --> 00:38:53,920
Speaker 3: State my bracket. This is not a DJU podcast.

802
00:38:54,239 --> 00:38:56,520
Speaker 2: Oh did you did you see the Miami I went

803
00:38:56,560 --> 00:38:58,400
Speaker 2: and grab some Miami plus one eighty for the ACC.

804
00:38:58,600 --> 00:39:00,120
Speaker 2: I think if you got your Clemson bet, we got

805
00:39:00,160 --> 00:39:03,520
Speaker 2: our Clemson bets. That's the final, right. I mean, Miami

806
00:39:03,600 --> 00:39:06,600
Speaker 2: looks so buttoned up and clean, which is weird with

807
00:39:06,680 --> 00:39:09,000
Speaker 2: Chris Ball and cam Ward for us to say that.

808
00:39:09,520 --> 00:39:11,520
Speaker 2: But there's no havoc defenses that are going to finish

809
00:39:11,520 --> 00:39:14,320
Speaker 2: in the top fifty on this schedule. Miami, man, I

810
00:39:14,400 --> 00:39:15,520
Speaker 2: know we're going to talk about it. On the pod.

811
00:39:15,560 --> 00:39:18,200
Speaker 2: We another game, but I have to say, holy cow,

812
00:39:18,400 --> 00:39:21,160
Speaker 2: just keep going back through that box score. They look legit.

813
00:39:21,880 --> 00:39:23,520
Speaker 3: Yeah I took some Sam. I joined you with some Sam.

814
00:39:23,560 --> 00:39:26,200
Speaker 3: Houston state you too. Oh yeah. Well all right, before

815
00:39:26,239 --> 00:39:29,400
Speaker 3: we get to some trash, make sure you quick reminder,

816
00:39:29,480 --> 00:39:30,879
Speaker 3: make sure you check out the group of five guys

817
00:39:31,520 --> 00:39:32,759
Speaker 3: in their breakdown each and every week.

818
00:39:32,840 --> 00:39:33,440
Speaker 2: Do a great job.

819
00:39:33,600 --> 00:39:36,719
Speaker 3: They hit their money line underdog parlay last week, so

820
00:39:37,000 --> 00:39:40,320
Speaker 3: give them some love as well, all right. Also a

821
00:39:40,400 --> 00:39:42,200
Speaker 3: quick contest reminder. Last year, our friend's over at the

822
00:39:42,200 --> 00:39:44,279
Speaker 3: Favorites around a free NFL Pick Them contest and gave

823
00:39:44,280 --> 00:39:47,040
Speaker 3: away over one hundred thousand cash prizes, and they just

824
00:39:47,080 --> 00:39:49,560
Speaker 3: announced they're bringing it back for this NFL season. So

825
00:39:49,600 --> 00:39:51,759
Speaker 3: if you want a chance at their forty thousand hours

826
00:39:51,760 --> 00:39:53,719
Speaker 3: first place prize and over one hundred thousand and total

827
00:39:53,760 --> 00:39:56,760
Speaker 3: cash prizes this season, go to Favorites dot Action network

828
00:39:56,760 --> 00:39:59,480
Speaker 3: dot com to sign up. Now, that's Favorites dot Action

829
00:39:59,560 --> 00:40:02,359
Speaker 3: network dot co. It's just five picks against the spread

830
00:40:02,400 --> 00:40:04,640
Speaker 3: every week with a forty thousand hour first place prize

831
00:40:04,840 --> 00:40:07,919
Speaker 3: plus thousands more up for grabs every week, all free.

832
00:40:08,480 --> 00:40:10,920
Speaker 3: Just go to Favorites dot Action network dot com. Now

833
00:40:11,280 --> 00:40:13,400
Speaker 3: sign up and make your Week one picks today.

834
00:40:14,080 --> 00:40:17,560
Speaker 1: All right, it's that time for some trash the trash

835
00:40:17,640 --> 00:40:18,839
Speaker 1: man pick of the week.

836
00:40:19,360 --> 00:40:20,480
Speaker 2: I'm the trash man.

837
00:40:20,800 --> 00:40:23,719
Speaker 3: Just throw me the trash, your garbage, and you know it,

838
00:40:24,160 --> 00:40:27,640
Speaker 3: totally unreliable, undependent, whether that's it, you've been told off?

839
00:40:27,680 --> 00:40:28,879
Speaker 2: How do you like that? Good?

840
00:40:29,920 --> 00:40:33,400
Speaker 3: The trash man is here. We're going extra ugly, extra

841
00:40:33,560 --> 00:40:35,640
Speaker 3: extra ugly. And then you just say if you agree

842
00:40:35,719 --> 00:40:38,960
Speaker 3: or not. The Utah State over four touchdowns against usc

843
00:40:39,560 --> 00:40:42,600
Speaker 3: USC you know, short week here off an emotional win

844
00:40:42,840 --> 00:40:47,200
Speaker 3: against LSU. I mean Riley, Look, I mean mister Miller,

845
00:40:47,280 --> 00:40:49,399
Speaker 3: Moss him or Moss, I call him. He even said

846
00:40:49,400 --> 00:40:51,440
Speaker 3: after the game, we emptied our tank here. You know,

847
00:40:51,520 --> 00:40:54,719
Speaker 3: they got to buy on deck in Michigan. I don't

848
00:40:54,719 --> 00:40:56,880
Speaker 3: think that they really want to show much here. Not

849
00:40:56,960 --> 00:40:58,279
Speaker 3: even sure it is going to start a quarterback for

850
00:40:58,360 --> 00:41:00,919
Speaker 3: UTAs Sage Bryson Barnes remember from Utah or we're Spencer

851
00:41:00,960 --> 00:41:03,080
Speaker 3: Peacher who got hurt last week. Utah State even lost

852
00:41:03,120 --> 00:41:07,799
Speaker 3: a running back but uh to injury. But over all

853
00:41:07,840 --> 00:41:10,320
Speaker 3: I wanted was over four touchdowns is a great spot.

854
00:41:10,719 --> 00:41:14,200
Speaker 3: We're backing theagg He's Lincoln Riley, the least profitable coach

855
00:41:14,320 --> 00:41:17,600
Speaker 3: in college football, as a favorite of over twenty one points,

856
00:41:18,280 --> 00:41:19,560
Speaker 3: agree or disagree.

857
00:41:19,520 --> 00:41:22,440
Speaker 2: Completely agree, and I like the over here. Uh, just

858
00:41:22,680 --> 00:41:24,880
Speaker 2: what's in front of us between a bye and Michigan.

859
00:41:25,320 --> 00:41:27,680
Speaker 2: Utah State is not a bad Mountain West team. Even

860
00:41:27,719 --> 00:41:30,680
Speaker 2: with the change at head coach, with Nate Drilling stepping in,

861
00:41:31,040 --> 00:41:32,719
Speaker 2: They're gonna be what they were before. There's no drop

862
00:41:32,760 --> 00:41:35,120
Speaker 2: off there. I project this game at twenty five. I'm

863
00:41:35,160 --> 00:41:37,400
Speaker 2: with you, and I actually like the overall lot here too.

864
00:41:38,280 --> 00:41:41,600
Speaker 3: This is a disagree pod. At thirty one, I'm going

865
00:41:41,600 --> 00:41:44,600
Speaker 3: to USF. Bama Still's question that second is Stoll's questioning

866
00:41:44,640 --> 00:41:46,840
Speaker 3: the offensive line. It's the same number as Western Kentucky.

867
00:41:46,880 --> 00:41:49,759
Speaker 3: Western Kentucky stinks. USF's defense stinks, but it's better than

868
00:41:49,800 --> 00:41:53,239
Speaker 3: Western Kentucky's. And Finley was awful last week, I mean

869
00:41:53,440 --> 00:41:56,440
Speaker 3: just awful. He just missed so many throws. That game

870
00:41:56,480 --> 00:41:59,560
Speaker 3: should have been more competitive. USF has a better offense,

871
00:42:00,080 --> 00:42:02,440
Speaker 3: better quarterback, and a better defense in West Kentucky. And

872
00:42:02,480 --> 00:42:04,920
Speaker 3: I'm getting the same number. I know debor always covers,

873
00:42:05,239 --> 00:42:06,600
Speaker 3: but we're going bulls at thirty one.

874
00:42:07,040 --> 00:42:09,600
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm not flying in the face of debor. Plus,

875
00:42:09,760 --> 00:42:12,360
Speaker 2: if you're asking an Alabama defense on how to defend

876
00:42:12,719 --> 00:42:14,759
Speaker 2: a head coach that comes straight out of Tennessee and

877
00:42:15,120 --> 00:42:17,400
Speaker 2: that stretch spread, They're gonna know how to do it.

878
00:42:17,480 --> 00:42:20,000
Speaker 2: So I'm gonna stick tight. I see the market movement

879
00:42:20,040 --> 00:42:22,759
Speaker 2: going against the thirty one I took on Alabama at

880
00:42:22,800 --> 00:42:24,520
Speaker 2: the thirty and a half. I'm gonna I'm gonna hold

881
00:42:24,520 --> 00:42:26,080
Speaker 2: tight here. I'm gonna hold with the Crimson time.

882
00:42:26,560 --> 00:42:32,480
Speaker 3: Akron Baby Zips Zips catching over three touchdowns against Rutgers.

883
00:42:32,560 --> 00:42:35,840
Speaker 3: Rutgers doesn't have a quarterback. This total is under forty

884
00:42:35,920 --> 00:42:38,240
Speaker 3: and you're gonna give me over three touchdowns. ACMs defense

885
00:42:38,280 --> 00:42:41,560
Speaker 3: super underrated. Last week, they were still able to cover

886
00:42:41,560 --> 00:42:44,040
Speaker 3: against Ohio State even though they had a ton of turnovers.

887
00:42:44,080 --> 00:42:47,640
Speaker 3: They have two defensive touchdowns. That defense is underrated. Rutgers

888
00:42:48,440 --> 00:42:50,120
Speaker 3: just don't have a quarterback. I mean, this is like

889
00:42:50,200 --> 00:42:52,799
Speaker 3: a Service Academy game. You're gonna give me over three

890
00:42:52,800 --> 00:42:55,360
Speaker 3: touchdowns with Akron Joe more Ed can draw up a

891
00:42:55,400 --> 00:42:58,120
Speaker 3: couple of plays here to get them to ten points,

892
00:42:58,239 --> 00:43:00,560
Speaker 3: which is I think probably all they'll need. Give me

893
00:43:00,560 --> 00:43:01,040
Speaker 3: the Zips.

894
00:43:01,239 --> 00:43:02,280
Speaker 1: This is the Zips.

895
00:43:02,880 --> 00:43:05,000
Speaker 2: I'm not joining you, but this is an undergame all

896
00:43:05,080 --> 00:43:06,879
Speaker 2: the way. I don't care that it's out at thirty nine,

897
00:43:06,920 --> 00:43:08,960
Speaker 2: but I'm telling you, if Akron covers here stuck, I

898
00:43:09,040 --> 00:43:11,839
Speaker 2: might force you to rewrite the MAC manifesto two weeks

899
00:43:11,880 --> 00:43:14,320
Speaker 2: into the season because Ohio and Akron covering games and

900
00:43:14,400 --> 00:43:16,399
Speaker 2: looking good. What is going on in the MAC?

901
00:43:17,280 --> 00:43:19,680
Speaker 3: I did talk about the Acron defense. It's it's underrated

902
00:43:19,719 --> 00:43:22,680
Speaker 3: and they can take a slow down the Rutgers vaunted

903
00:43:22,840 --> 00:43:26,680
Speaker 3: rushing attack. Let's go, it's gonna keep getting uglier and uglier.

904
00:43:27,080 --> 00:43:30,720
Speaker 3: Let's go Temple start with Acron. It just gets uglier.

905
00:43:30,760 --> 00:43:33,480
Speaker 3: Temple at Navy, it's a service. Gotta be laying double digits. Yes,

906
00:43:33,520 --> 00:43:35,680
Speaker 3: Temple looked awful last week and they do stink. Yes,

907
00:43:35,880 --> 00:43:37,560
Speaker 3: but they get an extra day at prep. They already

908
00:43:37,560 --> 00:43:39,839
Speaker 3: saw Navy last year and beat them. I think their

909
00:43:39,880 --> 00:43:42,719
Speaker 3: defensive changes actually are more conduced to stopping the triple option.

910
00:43:43,280 --> 00:43:46,560
Speaker 3: Navy tweaked their offense a bit, but still very slow,

911
00:43:46,760 --> 00:43:48,840
Speaker 3: laying double digits, and I'm gonna wait to see if

912
00:43:48,840 --> 00:43:51,279
Speaker 3: I can get a fourteen. But Temple last week, yes,

913
00:43:51,320 --> 00:43:54,360
Speaker 3: they looked horrendous, but they played Oklahoma. They'd six turnovers.

914
00:43:54,680 --> 00:43:57,440
Speaker 3: There's gotta be some Some turnovers are coming for Temple eventually,

915
00:43:57,719 --> 00:44:00,640
Speaker 3: just natural regression. They've lost six turners last week. Over

916
00:44:00,680 --> 00:44:03,759
Speaker 3: the last fifteen games, they've only forced five. Did one

917
00:44:03,840 --> 00:44:06,399
Speaker 3: more turner last week then they forced over the past

918
00:44:06,440 --> 00:44:09,000
Speaker 3: fifteen games. This is a team that's more in their

919
00:44:09,040 --> 00:44:12,520
Speaker 3: weight class service academula in double digits. Give me Temple.

920
00:44:13,840 --> 00:44:25,480
Speaker 4: It's raining shit, so bus in bull it's raining bull shitty.

921
00:44:25,400 --> 00:44:25,480
Speaker 3: Not.

922
00:44:28,120 --> 00:44:30,279
Speaker 2: Nine to five. Nine bad beat is the hotline number

923
00:44:30,360 --> 00:44:34,200
Speaker 2: for voicemails. If this doesn't cover for Temple, call in

924
00:44:34,280 --> 00:44:36,480
Speaker 2: and boo this man at this Temple.

925
00:44:36,560 --> 00:44:37,200
Speaker 3: We can't do that.

926
00:44:37,440 --> 00:44:38,640
Speaker 2: What was the final for you?

927
00:44:38,840 --> 00:44:42,920
Speaker 3: Oh my god, Olahoma say fumbled every play, all right,

928
00:44:43,560 --> 00:44:45,960
Speaker 3: and then we're gonna get it somehow, give it even uglier.

929
00:44:46,200 --> 00:44:47,920
Speaker 3: We're going u mass baby.

930
00:44:48,320 --> 00:44:51,840
Speaker 2: Hey, ain't nobody trying to hit it? Bullshit?

931
00:44:52,200 --> 00:44:55,000
Speaker 3: You're off the bandwagon. I'm on it now. I told

932
00:44:55,040 --> 00:44:56,880
Speaker 3: you last week. Get off it. They were off one

933
00:44:56,960 --> 00:45:00,040
Speaker 3: special teams that had all kinds of penalties that he

934
00:45:00,080 --> 00:45:02,719
Speaker 3: lost by two touchdowns. It really was actually closer than that.

935
00:45:03,080 --> 00:45:04,399
Speaker 3: Their offensive line was a mess.

936
00:45:04,480 --> 00:45:04,800
Speaker 2: I get it.

937
00:45:04,880 --> 00:45:08,080
Speaker 3: Everything was a mess, But Toledo I watched some of

938
00:45:08,160 --> 00:45:09,560
Speaker 3: that game. They have issues. They have issues on the

939
00:45:09,600 --> 00:45:11,800
Speaker 3: offensive line. Their secondary is questionable.

940
00:45:11,840 --> 00:45:12,040
Speaker 2: To me.

941
00:45:12,920 --> 00:45:15,839
Speaker 3: They played my beloved Dukes, but there was some issues there.

942
00:45:16,520 --> 00:45:19,520
Speaker 3: I can't get to this number anything over seventeen.

943
00:45:19,920 --> 00:45:20,200
Speaker 2: U Mess.

944
00:45:20,600 --> 00:45:22,759
Speaker 3: I want twenty one, but it's not coming. It was

945
00:45:23,000 --> 00:45:25,560
Speaker 3: got up like twenty and came back down. I know

946
00:45:25,640 --> 00:45:28,000
Speaker 3: you're off this, so you don't have to say, May

947
00:45:28,080 --> 00:45:30,720
Speaker 3: God be with you. There you have at the trash

948
00:45:31,000 --> 00:45:35,640
Speaker 3: Utah State usf Akron Temple, and U Mess, pray for me.

949
00:45:36,200 --> 00:45:39,320
Speaker 3: Oh man, I'm gonna have a miserable, miserable Saturday. I

950
00:45:39,320 --> 00:45:41,120
Speaker 3: already hated his card and now I'm going to add

951
00:45:42,800 --> 00:45:46,160
Speaker 3: six trash picks. Now we're moving on to our newest

952
00:45:46,200 --> 00:45:48,720
Speaker 3: segment this year of new, an old but new segment.

953
00:45:49,040 --> 00:45:52,359
Speaker 3: What we call it. It's called Nowhere Fast San Diego State.

954
00:45:54,600 --> 00:45:57,440
Speaker 2: You are about to enter a world unlike any you've

955
00:45:57,480 --> 00:46:01,480
Speaker 2: ever seen before. We're the beautiful, the brutal, and the

956
00:46:01,600 --> 00:46:02,799
Speaker 2: brave all met.

957
00:46:18,600 --> 00:46:21,399
Speaker 3: They somehow went over last week. It was six three

958
00:46:21,440 --> 00:46:24,360
Speaker 3: at the half and somehow went over the host Oregon

959
00:46:24,480 --> 00:46:26,080
Speaker 3: State over or under.

960
00:46:26,360 --> 00:46:27,279
Speaker 2: It's an under this week.

961
00:46:27,360 --> 00:46:27,800
Speaker 3: I hate it.

962
00:46:27,960 --> 00:46:30,160
Speaker 2: I hate it for us to take these overs of

963
00:46:30,239 --> 00:46:32,520
Speaker 2: San Diego State. You have to have a dance partner.

964
00:46:32,920 --> 00:46:35,240
Speaker 2: Let's look at Oregon State's box sport thirty seven minutes,

965
00:46:35,239 --> 00:46:37,680
Speaker 2: twenty nine seconds, time of possession seventy two plays. That

966
00:46:37,800 --> 00:46:41,439
Speaker 2: comes out to thirty one point two seconds per play.

967
00:46:41,520 --> 00:46:43,400
Speaker 2: If those of you that don't know those numbers off

968
00:46:43,440 --> 00:46:46,399
Speaker 2: the top of your head, that might be dead last

969
00:46:46,440 --> 00:46:49,440
Speaker 2: in FBS football, maybe the slowest. I'll know next week.

970
00:46:49,480 --> 00:46:51,160
Speaker 2: Tempo becomes a big deal next week when I get

971
00:46:51,160 --> 00:46:53,879
Speaker 2: two data points. There's no way I'm taking it over

972
00:46:53,920 --> 00:46:56,080
Speaker 2: with Oregon State. Not at thirty one point two seconds

973
00:46:56,080 --> 00:46:56,480
Speaker 2: per play.

974
00:46:57,400 --> 00:46:59,520
Speaker 3: Yeah, I would lean under here as well. I think

975
00:46:59,560 --> 00:47:01,480
Speaker 3: a lot of running in this game. Clock should be moving.

976
00:47:02,400 --> 00:47:05,440
Speaker 3: Speaking of tempo, could see a lot of tempo in

977
00:47:05,480 --> 00:47:08,040
Speaker 3: this game between Arkansas and Oklahoma State. So it's time

978
00:47:08,080 --> 00:47:10,840
Speaker 3: for Colin to get his thoughts on some Arkansas football.

979
00:47:11,360 --> 00:47:14,799
Speaker 3: Arkansas will head to still Water to take on Oklahoma State,

980
00:47:14,920 --> 00:47:17,840
Speaker 3: and I had to head battle between Colin and Brett McMurphy.

981
00:47:18,160 --> 00:47:22,799
Speaker 3: Look forward to the live show on Saturday. Arkansas seven

982
00:47:22,840 --> 00:47:26,080
Speaker 3: and a half point underdog here, what are your thoughts here?

983
00:47:26,760 --> 00:47:31,279
Speaker 1: Whoo pig Suey absolute dumpster fine, dumpster fine.

984
00:47:31,320 --> 00:47:32,640
Speaker 2: I don't know how we win a game the rest

985
00:47:32,680 --> 00:47:34,799
Speaker 2: of the year. Just blow a program up, give us

986
00:47:34,840 --> 00:47:35,560
Speaker 2: a death sentence.

987
00:47:36,040 --> 00:47:38,320
Speaker 1: Colin's talking razorback football.

988
00:47:39,640 --> 00:47:42,560
Speaker 2: Yeah, I am on the over and I took Oklahoma State,

989
00:47:42,680 --> 00:47:45,319
Speaker 2: which I did not think I would be, especially when

990
00:47:45,360 --> 00:47:47,640
Speaker 2: you've banned me from finishing drives because Arkansas had ten

991
00:47:47,680 --> 00:47:50,640
Speaker 2: possessions and ten touchdowns, Like it's the numbers are going

992
00:47:50,680 --> 00:47:52,160
Speaker 2: to be a little inflated, but you got to throw

993
00:47:52,200 --> 00:47:53,400
Speaker 2: that out. And I think the one thing that I

994
00:47:53,480 --> 00:47:55,360
Speaker 2: did look is I was not impressed with the offensive

995
00:47:55,400 --> 00:47:57,839
Speaker 2: line and what they did in pass blocking. The good

996
00:47:57,920 --> 00:48:00,520
Speaker 2: news is is Bobby Petrino's offense is there. They are

997
00:48:00,560 --> 00:48:03,960
Speaker 2: connecting everywhere. Arkansas should get Andrew Armstrong. They're projected number

998
00:48:03,960 --> 00:48:06,759
Speaker 2: one wide receiver back. He's also Taylor Green's roommate. So

999
00:48:07,200 --> 00:48:10,160
Speaker 2: that great connection that we expected all year at Arkansas

1000
00:48:10,280 --> 00:48:12,120
Speaker 2: is finally going to be there. So that's great. Jaquindin

1001
00:48:12,200 --> 00:48:16,880
Speaker 2: Jackson is busting eighty yard touchdowns and waving to UAPB

1002
00:48:17,080 --> 00:48:19,200
Speaker 2: cheerleaders while he's doing it. I mean, that is a

1003
00:48:19,280 --> 00:48:21,920
Speaker 2: viral clip if I've ever seen. So. The Arkansas offense

1004
00:48:22,000 --> 00:48:25,400
Speaker 2: is back. I think there's gonna be a problem defensively here.

1005
00:48:25,560 --> 00:48:28,400
Speaker 2: Travis Williams is a great defensive coordinator for Arkansas, but

1006
00:48:28,520 --> 00:48:30,880
Speaker 2: he loves cover zero. He is a great He has

1007
00:48:30,960 --> 00:48:33,479
Speaker 2: one of the highest rates of blitz. There's a little

1008
00:48:33,960 --> 00:48:36,880
Speaker 2: whispers out there that Gus Malson wasn't too sad to

1009
00:48:36,920 --> 00:48:40,040
Speaker 2: see him leave UCF because of his heavy aggressiveness and

1010
00:48:40,160 --> 00:48:43,120
Speaker 2: because of his cover zero tendencies, he has free reign

1011
00:48:43,200 --> 00:48:45,440
Speaker 2: to call the plays on defense for Arkansas. And if

1012
00:48:45,480 --> 00:48:47,640
Speaker 2: you're gonna run cover zero or you're gonna run some

1013
00:48:47,719 --> 00:48:49,800
Speaker 2: sort of aggressive blitz, you don't want to do it

1014
00:48:49,880 --> 00:48:53,200
Speaker 2: against Alan Bowman. Alan Bowman has been the hot red

1015
00:48:53,320 --> 00:48:56,200
Speaker 2: quarterback king of the world at all of the stops

1016
00:48:56,239 --> 00:48:59,080
Speaker 2: that he's ever been. And we talked about this in

1017
00:48:59,160 --> 00:49:01,520
Speaker 2: the preseason pot there is one wide receiver on this

1018
00:49:01,560 --> 00:49:04,560
Speaker 2: Oklahoma State offense that just kind of got forgotten about

1019
00:49:04,680 --> 00:49:07,720
Speaker 2: injury transferred to Washing State, and that's Design Stribbling. Design

1020
00:49:07,760 --> 00:49:12,239
Speaker 2: Stribbling had eight targets last week, was electric against South

1021
00:49:12,320 --> 00:49:15,319
Speaker 2: Dakota State. And I say all of this because these

1022
00:49:15,400 --> 00:49:19,440
Speaker 2: defenses for Oklahoma State and Arkansas were bad. One hundred

1023
00:49:19,440 --> 00:49:21,640
Speaker 2: and ninth and one hundred and seventeenth graded out in

1024
00:49:21,800 --> 00:49:26,520
Speaker 2: coverage coverages by PFF. The tackling was worse. Both were

1025
00:49:26,560 --> 00:49:29,840
Speaker 2: outside the top one hundred and PFF per tackling. That

1026
00:49:29,960 --> 00:49:32,799
Speaker 2: takes me to Arkansas secondary. You got players, I hate

1027
00:49:32,800 --> 00:49:34,320
Speaker 2: to call them by my name, but Hudson Clark and

1028
00:49:34,320 --> 00:49:36,960
Speaker 2: a couple of the guys in the safety room horrific

1029
00:49:37,080 --> 00:49:40,239
Speaker 2: in defending passing attempts. Alan Bowman is going to go

1030
00:49:40,280 --> 00:49:42,359
Speaker 2: right at him. And that's just to say that Oli

1031
00:49:42,440 --> 00:49:44,080
Speaker 2: Gordon is not going to run to the side of

1032
00:49:44,120 --> 00:49:46,720
Speaker 2: the defensive line of Arkansas that doesn't have Landon Jackson

1033
00:49:46,800 --> 00:49:49,719
Speaker 2: or Xavian Sory Junior on the line. Those two were great,

1034
00:49:50,200 --> 00:49:53,520
Speaker 2: but they still missed tackles last week. The defense was

1035
00:49:54,200 --> 00:49:57,200
Speaker 2: much more rusty than the offense was. I expect a

1036
00:49:57,440 --> 00:49:59,839
Speaker 2: ton of points here. I expect Taylor Green to have six,

1037
00:50:00,600 --> 00:50:02,759
Speaker 2: but the defense of Arkansas over the middle of the

1038
00:50:02,800 --> 00:50:06,439
Speaker 2: safety Alan Bowman is going to hit design Strilling all

1039
00:50:06,560 --> 00:50:09,080
Speaker 2: day and it's going to turn into seven every time

1040
00:50:09,200 --> 00:50:11,759
Speaker 2: because we cannot tackle in the secondary. That has not

1041
00:50:11,960 --> 00:50:15,200
Speaker 2: been changed whatsoever. So full right up. Just posted to

1042
00:50:15,239 --> 00:50:18,360
Speaker 2: day on Thursday at Action Network. There's trouble here for

1043
00:50:18,480 --> 00:50:21,160
Speaker 2: Arkansas from on the defensive side, so a lot of points.

1044
00:50:22,200 --> 00:50:23,520
Speaker 2: I hate to say, I'm not gonna say, go pokes

1045
00:50:23,560 --> 00:50:25,000
Speaker 2: and put my fingers up, but that's where we're.

1046
00:50:24,880 --> 00:50:27,640
Speaker 3: At, all right. Make sure you check out that right

1047
00:50:27,680 --> 00:50:30,480
Speaker 3: up on the Action neworkapinactionwork dot com. Will we get

1048
00:50:30,520 --> 00:50:32,960
Speaker 3: out of here, let's go bringing out.

1049
00:50:34,880 --> 00:50:37,200
Speaker 1: Let's make it a quick three and out.

1050
00:50:37,920 --> 00:50:40,960
Speaker 3: First down, some Friday night lights.

1051
00:50:41,800 --> 00:50:44,640
Speaker 2: That's here, gentlemen, clear eyes, full hearts.

1052
00:50:45,000 --> 00:50:48,680
Speaker 3: Hey, let's go play some football. So only two FBS

1053
00:50:48,840 --> 00:50:53,800
Speaker 3: versus FBS matchups during the week. Let's start with Duke

1054
00:50:54,120 --> 00:51:00,280
Speaker 3: and Northwestern. The total sitting around thirty seven. Northwestern, small

1055
00:51:00,360 --> 00:51:04,960
Speaker 3: home favorite. I was waiting on this total. Some books

1056
00:51:05,000 --> 00:51:09,200
Speaker 3: opened at forty five, I believe came all the way

1057
00:51:09,239 --> 00:51:12,040
Speaker 3: down across thirty seven. I wanted the over. I was

1058
00:51:12,120 --> 00:51:15,280
Speaker 3: just gonna wait on the weather. Right this new Northwestern stadium,

1059
00:51:15,280 --> 00:51:17,440
Speaker 3: which is beautiful way I can't wait to watch this

1060
00:51:17,640 --> 00:51:21,960
Speaker 3: game just from an optics perspective on the lake in

1061
00:51:22,200 --> 00:51:25,120
Speaker 3: prime time. But I just thought this came down way

1062
00:51:25,400 --> 00:51:27,840
Speaker 3: too much. And you know the weather can be a

1063
00:51:27,880 --> 00:51:29,719
Speaker 3: little finicky on the lake. So it's going to watch

1064
00:51:29,760 --> 00:51:33,279
Speaker 3: the wind. It doesn't look crazy, but Duke wants to

1065
00:51:33,440 --> 00:51:36,359
Speaker 3: run a ton of tempo. Their offense looked a little

1066
00:51:36,400 --> 00:51:38,880
Speaker 3: better as that game went on. Granted it was against

1067
00:51:39,040 --> 00:51:43,880
Speaker 3: Elon and you know Northwestern new quarterback. They kind of

1068
00:51:43,920 --> 00:51:46,280
Speaker 3: got their feet under him going up against a pretty

1069
00:51:46,320 --> 00:51:49,160
Speaker 3: good mind Ohio defense. I thought their offense looked a

1070
00:51:49,200 --> 00:51:53,399
Speaker 3: little better as the game went on. It's a scary over,

1071
00:51:53,800 --> 00:51:56,600
Speaker 3: but I think at thirty seven or better, it's a

1072
00:51:56,680 --> 00:51:59,480
Speaker 3: super low number for you know, when you consider the

1073
00:51:59,520 --> 00:52:03,560
Speaker 3: pace that Duke wants to use for me, So I'm

1074
00:52:03,600 --> 00:52:05,920
Speaker 3: going to get on the over. Maybe if the wind

1075
00:52:06,080 --> 00:52:10,360
Speaker 3: is howling, I'll look for a live over. But I

1076
00:52:10,400 --> 00:52:12,279
Speaker 3: thought this total came down too much. Colin, what are

1077
00:52:12,280 --> 00:52:14,600
Speaker 3: you seeing between Northwestern and Duke?

1078
00:52:15,080 --> 00:52:16,920
Speaker 2: I agree with you. I mean, what you're going to

1079
00:52:16,960 --> 00:52:18,840
Speaker 2: need in this game is from Malik Murphy the quarterback,

1080
00:52:18,880 --> 00:52:21,279
Speaker 2: for Duke to hit some explosive plays like he did

1081
00:52:21,840 --> 00:52:24,680
Speaker 2: against Elon to get to this over. There are fifteen

1082
00:52:24,719 --> 00:52:27,719
Speaker 2: million hour crosswinds here at Ryan Field. I think we

1083
00:52:27,880 --> 00:52:29,640
Speaker 2: might need to inspect that a little bit more now

1084
00:52:29,680 --> 00:52:31,880
Speaker 2: that they've taken out essentially the side of the seats

1085
00:52:31,920 --> 00:52:35,360
Speaker 2: that are up against Lake Michigan, so it can change quickly,

1086
00:52:35,440 --> 00:52:37,200
Speaker 2: like you just never know, Like a day or two

1087
00:52:37,239 --> 00:52:39,120
Speaker 2: out right on the lake, that could be much worse,

1088
00:52:39,200 --> 00:52:40,400
Speaker 2: it could not be.

1089
00:52:40,760 --> 00:52:43,640
Speaker 3: So it's hard to say. Even twenty four hours out

1090
00:52:44,040 --> 00:52:44,360
Speaker 3: there was.

1091
00:52:44,360 --> 00:52:47,840
Speaker 2: No rushing attack from Duke whatsoever. Two point two yards

1092
00:52:47,880 --> 00:52:51,160
Speaker 2: per play on twenty seven attempts. They were stuffed eleven times.

1093
00:52:51,320 --> 00:52:53,640
Speaker 2: They were stuffed well over the national average of thirty percent.

1094
00:52:53,960 --> 00:52:55,759
Speaker 2: And the Duke defense was great and it should have

1095
00:52:55,800 --> 00:52:58,399
Speaker 2: been with many Diaz as your head coach. Northwestern's running

1096
00:52:58,400 --> 00:53:01,439
Speaker 2: a heavy RPO with Vanderbilt tran for Mike Right coming

1097
00:53:01,480 --> 00:53:04,000
Speaker 2: in here. But Right ran the rpo nine rushes for

1098
00:53:04,040 --> 00:53:07,080
Speaker 2: sixty five yards. Three rushing attempts went for over fifteen.

1099
00:53:07,160 --> 00:53:09,279
Speaker 2: He is explosive on the ground. He just can't throw

1100
00:53:09,320 --> 00:53:11,879
Speaker 2: the ball now, cam Porter the running back not really

1101
00:53:11,960 --> 00:53:14,040
Speaker 2: a jump and what kind of juice that he has?

1102
00:53:14,120 --> 00:53:17,680
Speaker 2: He averaged two point three yards after contact. Pretty pedestrian there,

1103
00:53:18,080 --> 00:53:20,160
Speaker 2: you know. I think the total has come down too far.

1104
00:53:20,239 --> 00:53:21,960
Speaker 2: It's a number that I would project about forty and

1105
00:53:22,000 --> 00:53:25,479
Speaker 2: a half. I took Northwestern on the cheap money line

1106
00:53:25,520 --> 00:53:27,800
Speaker 2: when it opened up. I feel that this is a

1107
00:53:27,840 --> 00:53:30,040
Speaker 2: three point battle. I don't think any either of these

1108
00:53:30,040 --> 00:53:31,880
Speaker 2: teams are gonna win by more than three points. So

1109
00:53:31,960 --> 00:53:33,799
Speaker 2: I think you're good if you can get a cheap

1110
00:53:33,840 --> 00:53:36,120
Speaker 2: money line here on Northwestern, and if Duke kids three

1111
00:53:36,239 --> 00:53:38,040
Speaker 2: or three and a half before the market closes, or

1112
00:53:38,080 --> 00:53:39,680
Speaker 2: I can get it live. I will come back on

1113
00:53:39,760 --> 00:53:41,480
Speaker 2: that because it is going to be low scoring, but

1114
00:53:41,560 --> 00:53:43,000
Speaker 2: I agree with you. It's going to go over the

1115
00:53:43,080 --> 00:53:45,480
Speaker 2: thirty seven that's out there right now, and I like

1116
00:53:45,560 --> 00:53:46,880
Speaker 2: Northwestern at home to pull this off.

1117
00:53:47,360 --> 00:53:50,840
Speaker 3: Yeah, I would certainly lean hard Duke's way if it

1118
00:53:50,920 --> 00:53:55,280
Speaker 3: gets to a field goal or above. The other FBS

1119
00:53:55,400 --> 00:54:01,239
Speaker 3: matchup on Friday night is between SMU and and BYU.

1120
00:54:02,160 --> 00:54:05,680
Speaker 3: SMU remember around eleven eleven and a half point favorite

1121
00:54:05,680 --> 00:54:10,560
Speaker 3: here total sitting a touch over fifty five BYU. Their

1122
00:54:10,640 --> 00:54:15,279
Speaker 3: quarterback ruts laugh. I think exceeded expectations last week. You know,

1123
00:54:15,400 --> 00:54:18,080
Speaker 3: granted it was against an FCS team, but it wasn't

1124
00:54:18,120 --> 00:54:22,840
Speaker 3: a complete bottom feeder SMU. I'm having trouble getting a

1125
00:54:23,000 --> 00:54:25,400
Speaker 3: true read on them through two weeks. You know, the

1126
00:54:25,480 --> 00:54:28,560
Speaker 3: story on SMU the past few seasons is they struggled.

1127
00:54:28,560 --> 00:54:30,759
Speaker 3: When they stepped up in class, they dominated teams that

1128
00:54:31,200 --> 00:54:35,360
Speaker 3: are a step below them. BYU they're kind of in

1129
00:54:35,480 --> 00:54:38,080
Speaker 3: the middle right, transitioning still to a power forward team.

1130
00:54:38,440 --> 00:54:42,520
Speaker 3: I do expect improvement from the BYU defense under j

1131
00:54:42,760 --> 00:54:46,919
Speaker 3: Hill coordinator. I like in year two last year ton

1132
00:54:47,000 --> 00:54:50,399
Speaker 3: of injuries, just horrible injury luck, and maybe the depth

1133
00:54:50,440 --> 00:54:52,360
Speaker 3: still isn't there, but early in the season, I do

1134
00:54:52,520 --> 00:54:56,480
Speaker 3: expect that defense to be better. Didn't look great against Nevada,

1135
00:54:56,520 --> 00:54:59,239
Speaker 3: but maybe Nevada, I mean Nevada's exceeded expectations two weeks.

1136
00:54:59,520 --> 00:55:02,000
Speaker 3: Maybe that was more about Nevada. So I'm struggling with

1137
00:55:02,120 --> 00:55:04,759
Speaker 3: this one. Probably a pass for me. What are you

1138
00:55:04,800 --> 00:55:05,239
Speaker 3: seeing here?

1139
00:55:06,080 --> 00:55:08,759
Speaker 2: SMU is turning into more of a mystery through two weeks,

1140
00:55:08,800 --> 00:55:11,200
Speaker 2: which is kind of troubling for somebody that loved their

1141
00:55:11,280 --> 00:55:15,239
Speaker 2: season win total over I project the total at fifty two,

1142
00:55:15,440 --> 00:55:17,200
Speaker 2: so the fact that it's hanging around fifty five and

1143
00:55:17,239 --> 00:55:19,000
Speaker 2: a half might be last call here for us to

1144
00:55:19,040 --> 00:55:20,960
Speaker 2: go get an under. With fifty five being the biggest

1145
00:55:21,040 --> 00:55:23,600
Speaker 2: key number in totals. Let's talk about YU first. I mean,

1146
00:55:23,640 --> 00:55:26,719
Speaker 2: they took on the Slukis from Carbondale, Southern Illinois. Eight

1147
00:55:26,800 --> 00:55:29,600
Speaker 2: of twelve drives had two plus first downs. Jake Rhetz

1148
00:55:29,680 --> 00:55:32,480
Speaker 2: laugh at quarterback, three touchdowns, three big time throws, no

1149
00:55:32,600 --> 00:55:35,279
Speaker 2: turnover worth he plays, no interceptions, a thirteen and a

1150
00:55:35,320 --> 00:55:38,839
Speaker 2: half average depth of target. Impressive. I know it's still

1151
00:55:38,920 --> 00:55:42,279
Speaker 2: Southern Illinois, but we didn't expect that BYU did prevent

1152
00:55:42,360 --> 00:55:45,319
Speaker 2: Southern Illinois from creating a methodical or an explosive drive.

1153
00:55:45,600 --> 00:55:48,480
Speaker 2: The BYU defense is coming around. I know it's Southern Illinois,

1154
00:55:48,600 --> 00:55:50,279
Speaker 2: but it's better than what we've had the last couple

1155
00:55:50,280 --> 00:55:52,440
Speaker 2: of years. Now. The SMU portion I spoke about stuck.

1156
00:55:52,920 --> 00:55:54,600
Speaker 2: You would think that you would see a pretty good

1157
00:55:54,680 --> 00:55:57,279
Speaker 2: balance of pass and rush. That's not what we had

1158
00:55:57,320 --> 00:56:00,399
Speaker 2: against Houston Christian. Fifty four attempts on the ground, twenty

1159
00:56:00,440 --> 00:56:03,080
Speaker 2: three passing attempts. Jalen Knighton didn't even run the ball

1160
00:56:03,160 --> 00:56:05,759
Speaker 2: due to injury. Preston Stone went six of nine. Kevin

1161
00:56:05,800 --> 00:56:09,200
Speaker 2: Jennings only had fourteen passing attempts. What is this SMU offense?

1162
00:56:09,520 --> 00:56:11,520
Speaker 2: Why are we running the ball against Houston Christian when

1163
00:56:11,560 --> 00:56:13,840
Speaker 2: we need to get this timing, This ret lash lely

1164
00:56:13,960 --> 00:56:16,480
Speaker 2: offense going, We're running the ball fifty four times with

1165
00:56:16,560 --> 00:56:19,040
Speaker 2: that's your lead rusher. It doesn't make sense to me whatsoever.

1166
00:56:19,200 --> 00:56:22,239
Speaker 2: So SMU's offense is not executing at the level that

1167
00:56:22,320 --> 00:56:25,760
Speaker 2: we expected coming into this season. The BYU defensive front,

1168
00:56:26,000 --> 00:56:28,360
Speaker 2: the strength is the secondary. The front is where you

1169
00:56:28,440 --> 00:56:30,960
Speaker 2: can attack them. So maybe SMU was kind of setting

1170
00:56:31,040 --> 00:56:32,440
Speaker 2: up like we want to get our run game going

1171
00:56:32,440 --> 00:56:34,400
Speaker 2: because we know this is where we can attack BYU.

1172
00:56:34,840 --> 00:56:37,120
Speaker 2: And for that right there alone, I think it's worth

1173
00:56:37,120 --> 00:56:39,560
Speaker 2: an under. Probably going to hit it here while we're recording.

1174
00:56:39,560 --> 00:56:41,480
Speaker 2: I don't want it to dip under fifty five. Just

1175
00:56:41,680 --> 00:56:43,880
Speaker 2: I lean to the underhere. But something's up with this

1176
00:56:44,040 --> 00:56:44,720
Speaker 2: SMU offense.

1177
00:56:45,239 --> 00:56:46,640
Speaker 3: Yeah, you at least do know that they want to

1178
00:56:46,680 --> 00:56:49,359
Speaker 3: go fast, which is the only scary thing with an

1179
00:56:49,480 --> 00:56:51,959
Speaker 3: SMU under. But I wish you leod Out are probably

1180
00:56:52,000 --> 00:56:54,400
Speaker 3: beyond the sidelines for that one. Let's move on to

1181
00:56:54,800 --> 00:56:58,160
Speaker 3: second down and talk our favorite overdogs.

1182
00:56:58,480 --> 00:57:00,680
Speaker 2: It's called the overdog Parlam all.

1183
00:57:00,680 --> 00:57:03,960
Speaker 3: Kick things off. I'm going to go with Oregon going

1184
00:57:04,000 --> 00:57:05,319
Speaker 3: with the Ducks here. I think this is too much

1185
00:57:05,360 --> 00:57:08,120
Speaker 3: of an overreaction to what we saw last week. Just

1186
00:57:08,239 --> 00:57:11,239
Speaker 3: a really weird game against Idaho. They had two trick

1187
00:57:11,320 --> 00:57:14,799
Speaker 3: play touchdowns. Oregon's offensive line, you know they're starting right guard,

1188
00:57:14,800 --> 00:57:16,280
Speaker 3: who I think is gonna be back this week was out.

1189
00:57:16,320 --> 00:57:18,080
Speaker 3: They kicked the center to right guard. They'll walk on

1190
00:57:18,160 --> 00:57:21,120
Speaker 3: starting in center. A couple guys on defense barely played.

1191
00:57:21,440 --> 00:57:24,840
Speaker 3: Some of their starters. Landing said, they're okay. It was

1192
00:57:24,920 --> 00:57:26,800
Speaker 3: just like day that don't really need them. So I

1193
00:57:26,840 --> 00:57:29,480
Speaker 3: think you get a really focused effort last week. Now,

1194
00:57:29,520 --> 00:57:31,560
Speaker 3: Oregon's offense still put up a ton of yards. They

1195
00:57:31,600 --> 00:57:35,400
Speaker 3: dominated the game statistically. OISE's defense, as we saw last week,

1196
00:57:35,760 --> 00:57:38,800
Speaker 3: still broken. They have a ton of experience returning, but

1197
00:57:38,880 --> 00:57:42,479
Speaker 3: that doesn't always lead to improved results, and Georgia Southern

1198
00:57:42,520 --> 00:57:47,240
Speaker 3: put up forty five on them situationally. Also, I think

1199
00:57:47,400 --> 00:57:51,240
Speaker 3: that this spot favors Oregon. Second straight home game, they're

1200
00:57:51,240 --> 00:57:54,000
Speaker 3: able to sit at home. Oisey State went down to

1201
00:57:54,360 --> 00:57:58,479
Speaker 3: Statesboro against Georgia Southern. They're you know, in the heat

1202
00:57:58,560 --> 00:58:01,240
Speaker 3: and humidity. Their defense is on the field for eighty

1203
00:58:01,320 --> 00:58:04,200
Speaker 3: five plays. Now you've got to go up second straight

1204
00:58:04,320 --> 00:58:07,720
Speaker 3: road game play Oregon. That defense did not look good.

1205
00:58:08,120 --> 00:58:11,760
Speaker 3: Landing's entire focus here is going to be let's stop

1206
00:58:11,960 --> 00:58:14,440
Speaker 3: Ashton genty, one of the best backs in the country.

1207
00:58:15,200 --> 00:58:18,040
Speaker 3: But you know, going up against a power four team

1208
00:58:18,280 --> 00:58:21,880
Speaker 3: a lot different than going up against Mountain West foes.

1209
00:58:22,800 --> 00:58:24,720
Speaker 3: Maybe he breaks a few runs here, but I think

1210
00:58:24,720 --> 00:58:27,440
Speaker 3: we're getting Oregon on the cheap. This is one where

1211
00:58:27,480 --> 00:58:30,640
Speaker 3: I think the market overreacted too much. So with this

1212
00:58:30,720 --> 00:58:35,880
Speaker 3: line's still under twenty, I like Oregon at home.

1213
00:58:45,240 --> 00:58:47,680
Speaker 2: I completely agree with you. I have Oregon over the total.

1214
00:58:47,760 --> 00:58:49,760
Speaker 2: And just a side note on that, I was told

1215
00:58:49,800 --> 00:58:52,479
Speaker 2: by somebody within the program at Big ten Media Days,

1216
00:58:52,840 --> 00:58:55,720
Speaker 2: this is a bigger game than Oregon State. I still

1217
00:58:55,760 --> 00:58:58,720
Speaker 2: can't believe it. So within the program, I think they

1218
00:58:58,760 --> 00:59:01,160
Speaker 2: purposely went vanilla last week against Idaho for a reason.

1219
00:59:01,320 --> 00:59:03,480
Speaker 2: All right, I'm going to go Tennessee. It's funny. We

1220
00:59:03,920 --> 00:59:06,080
Speaker 2: about ten hours ago I said Tennessee minus seven and

1221
00:59:06,080 --> 00:59:08,200
Speaker 2: a half is going to be my overdog. That number

1222
00:59:08,240 --> 00:59:11,000
Speaker 2: is now ten. It got whacked today on Thursday, and

1223
00:59:11,120 --> 00:59:13,680
Speaker 2: I completely agree with it. I love the volunteers here.

1224
00:59:13,960 --> 00:59:18,160
Speaker 2: They cruised over Chattanooga. NCA State struggled with Western Carolina.

1225
00:59:18,240 --> 00:59:20,919
Speaker 2: So the question is which one of those is real?

1226
00:59:21,280 --> 00:59:23,200
Speaker 2: Which one of these is fake? Are these is it

1227
00:59:23,280 --> 00:59:25,760
Speaker 2: a real variable that we need to inspect and it

1228
00:59:25,800 --> 00:59:27,680
Speaker 2: doesn't turn into a deliverable And the answer from an

1229
00:59:27,760 --> 00:59:31,320
Speaker 2: NC State position is yes, there's a problem. NC State

1230
00:59:31,400 --> 00:59:34,600
Speaker 2: trailed Western Carolina in the fourth quarter. Pretty terrible from

1231
00:59:34,640 --> 00:59:37,400
Speaker 2: a statistic standpoint in the trenches, and that's just not

1232
00:59:37,480 --> 00:59:39,200
Speaker 2: going to play out here. And I think that all

1233
00:59:39,240 --> 00:59:42,080
Speaker 2: goes back. When you lose a player like linebacker Peyton Wilson,

1234
00:59:42,360 --> 00:59:43,919
Speaker 2: that's going to reflect on the rest of the team.

1235
00:59:43,920 --> 00:59:46,560
Speaker 2: I mean, that is a generational program player that has

1236
00:59:46,600 --> 00:59:49,000
Speaker 2: come through n C State, and now they're without them.

1237
00:59:49,320 --> 00:59:52,160
Speaker 2: The volunteers are already in fifth gear and an NC

1238
00:59:52,320 --> 00:59:54,960
Speaker 2: State has massive issues in the trench and they're not

1239
00:59:54,960 --> 00:59:56,880
Speaker 2: going to be able to stop this Tennessee offense. This

1240
00:59:57,000 --> 00:59:59,440
Speaker 2: one's a runaway Tennessee. I don't care the number ten.

1241
01:00:00,000 --> 01:00:01,320
Speaker 2: Probably gon go eleven take it.

1242
01:00:02,160 --> 01:00:05,120
Speaker 3: I disagree with you, but let's move on to third

1243
01:00:05,200 --> 01:00:09,520
Speaker 3: down and go with our favorite moneyline underdogs of.

1244
01:00:09,640 --> 01:00:10,280
Speaker 2: The week.

1245
01:00:12,840 --> 01:00:17,760
Speaker 1: Turning good weekends into great weekends. It's time for the

1246
01:00:17,960 --> 01:00:19,200
Speaker 1: money line parlay.

1247
01:00:20,120 --> 01:00:22,680
Speaker 3: I'm gonna kick things off. I'm gonna go San Jose

1248
01:00:22,880 --> 01:00:26,720
Speaker 3: State Spartan up I. This is just last week I

1249
01:00:26,800 --> 01:00:28,400
Speaker 3: went with North Texas in a game with a ton

1250
01:00:28,480 --> 01:00:32,000
Speaker 3: of variants, teams turning over their rosters, didn't know a

1251
01:00:32,040 --> 01:00:34,880
Speaker 3: lot about them. Well we have that here as well.

1252
01:00:35,160 --> 01:00:38,680
Speaker 3: San Jose State, New coaching staff, a lot of new

1253
01:00:38,760 --> 01:00:42,400
Speaker 3: pieces and Air Force. I mean, look, Service Academy is

1254
01:00:42,440 --> 01:00:45,120
Speaker 3: usually just relow. They have huge rosters, but we still

1255
01:00:45,120 --> 01:00:46,560
Speaker 3: don't know a lot about this Air foresteam and they

1256
01:00:46,640 --> 01:00:50,240
Speaker 3: lost a ton almost brought nothing back, So it could

1257
01:00:50,240 --> 01:00:52,560
Speaker 3: be one of those years where they are much worse

1258
01:00:53,040 --> 01:00:57,040
Speaker 3: than usual. Wasn't really impressed with their effort last week

1259
01:00:57,600 --> 01:01:00,800
Speaker 3: against Mary Mack. Both these teams play in FCS school,

1260
01:01:00,800 --> 01:01:04,320
Speaker 3: so still a lot of uncertainty here, underdog against a

1261
01:01:04,440 --> 01:01:08,880
Speaker 3: Service academy. Guess what new head coach for San Jose

1262
01:01:09,080 --> 01:01:12,680
Speaker 3: State knows a little bit about defending the triple option,

1263
01:01:13,880 --> 01:01:18,560
Speaker 3: which he saw for many years at Navy. And you're

1264
01:01:18,600 --> 01:01:20,680
Speaker 3: probably gonna have Santase is probably gonna have the best

1265
01:01:20,760 --> 01:01:24,240
Speaker 3: player on the field in Nick Nash, who went off

1266
01:01:24,840 --> 01:01:27,919
Speaker 3: last week a receiver. Not sure anyone on Air Force

1267
01:01:28,320 --> 01:01:30,880
Speaker 3: can contain him. That could be the difference. Give me

1268
01:01:30,960 --> 01:01:32,640
Speaker 3: San Jose State, where you go?

1269
01:01:33,680 --> 01:01:37,440
Speaker 2: Love that pick? I'm gonna go Michigan plus two forty, Yeah,

1270
01:01:37,480 --> 01:01:39,560
Speaker 2: we're gonna do. I'm probably the only person with this ticket,

1271
01:01:39,600 --> 01:01:41,760
Speaker 2: but it's pretty easy to see why this number steamed right.

1272
01:01:41,840 --> 01:01:45,040
Speaker 2: Michigan misses a cover with Fresno, Texas puts a fifty burger,

1273
01:01:45,320 --> 01:01:47,960
Speaker 2: you know, plus no points given to Colorado State. You

1274
01:01:48,040 --> 01:01:49,959
Speaker 2: get all this steam in the market on a number

1275
01:01:50,000 --> 01:01:52,040
Speaker 2: that was below a field goal the entire summer. So

1276
01:01:52,120 --> 01:01:54,840
Speaker 2: it has really been a huge reaction. To me, this

1277
01:01:54,960 --> 01:01:58,640
Speaker 2: is Sharon Moore completely calling a Service Academy offensive game.

1278
01:01:58,800 --> 01:02:00,800
Speaker 2: They're going to turn it into a fight. They're going

1279
01:02:00,880 --> 01:02:02,600
Speaker 2: to make the defenses win this game. And when you

1280
01:02:02,680 --> 01:02:05,320
Speaker 2: put it from that perspective, I trust the Michigan defense

1281
01:02:05,360 --> 01:02:07,880
Speaker 2: on a defensive line and in the secondary. Look for

1282
01:02:07,960 --> 01:02:10,200
Speaker 2: Michigan to Service Academy at up. I like them to

1283
01:02:10,240 --> 01:02:12,280
Speaker 2: win out right, all right, Well more.

1284
01:02:12,240 --> 01:02:14,640
Speaker 3: We'll break this game down further on the main podcast,

1285
01:02:15,600 --> 01:02:18,880
Speaker 3: but we are money on dogs Michigan and San Jose

1286
01:02:19,240 --> 01:02:23,920
Speaker 3: State before we get out of here, just our favorite bets.

1287
01:02:24,400 --> 01:02:26,640
Speaker 2: Hot Dawn, this is fun.

1288
01:02:26,920 --> 01:02:30,000
Speaker 3: I'm going to go Northern Illinois over four touchdowns against

1289
01:02:30,040 --> 01:02:33,160
Speaker 3: Notre Dame. Just historically a lot of trends backed this

1290
01:02:33,320 --> 01:02:35,120
Speaker 3: up with a really bad spot for Notre Dame up

1291
01:02:35,120 --> 01:02:38,880
Speaker 3: but a huge emotional win, physical game. Not a team

1292
01:02:38,960 --> 01:02:42,480
Speaker 3: that I mind fading is a huge favorite. Northern Illinois

1293
01:02:42,760 --> 01:02:46,040
Speaker 3: is worried about their quarterback play. They played nobody last week,

1294
01:02:46,080 --> 01:02:49,240
Speaker 3: but Ethan Hampton actually looked good. Ton of experience on

1295
01:02:49,320 --> 01:02:52,880
Speaker 3: this team. I think that they'll be motivated right in

1296
01:02:52,920 --> 01:02:55,360
Speaker 3: the area of Notre Dame wanting to you know, a

1297
01:02:55,400 --> 01:02:57,960
Speaker 3: lot of these kids didn't get recruited. There so too

1298
01:02:58,000 --> 01:03:00,520
Speaker 3: many points here in which should be a lower scoring game.

1299
01:03:00,960 --> 01:03:02,480
Speaker 3: Give me Northern Illinois. Where you going?

1300
01:03:03,080 --> 01:03:05,840
Speaker 2: Yeah, I agree, I'm going. South Carolina team total under

1301
01:03:06,000 --> 01:03:08,720
Speaker 2: sixteen and a half. We mentioned it on the recap podcast.

1302
01:03:09,360 --> 01:03:12,280
Speaker 2: South Carolina is really bad. I will just say, you know,

1303
01:03:12,320 --> 01:03:14,280
Speaker 2: we'll have more on the main pod, but let me

1304
01:03:14,400 --> 01:03:17,680
Speaker 2: just talk about where South Carolina's average starting field position

1305
01:03:18,000 --> 01:03:20,760
Speaker 2: was against an Old Dominion team that they barely beat.

1306
01:03:21,960 --> 01:03:23,680
Speaker 2: First possession, they were spoted the ball in the Old

1307
01:03:23,720 --> 01:03:27,680
Speaker 2: Dominion three yard line. A couple possessions later, they were

1308
01:03:27,680 --> 01:03:29,640
Speaker 2: spoted the ball in the Old Dominion twenty five and

1309
01:03:29,680 --> 01:03:31,120
Speaker 2: the fourth quarter they were spoted the ball in the

1310
01:03:31,160 --> 01:03:35,880
Speaker 2: Old Dominion six yard line. Those resulted in seventeen of

1311
01:03:35,960 --> 01:03:39,240
Speaker 2: the twenty three points scored by South Carolina. When you

1312
01:03:39,320 --> 01:03:41,720
Speaker 2: look at what their offense is, it's Leonora Sellers running

1313
01:03:41,840 --> 01:03:44,520
Speaker 2: RPO with Rocket Sanders. That is not going to work

1314
01:03:44,520 --> 01:03:48,040
Speaker 2: against Kentucky's defensive front who, outside of Georgia, may be

1315
01:03:48,200 --> 01:03:50,480
Speaker 2: the best defensive front seven in all of college football.

1316
01:03:50,480 --> 01:03:53,600
Speaker 2: They are that talented and rpo inside zone is not

1317
01:03:53,720 --> 01:03:55,880
Speaker 2: going to work from South Carolina because you couldn't even

1318
01:03:55,960 --> 01:03:58,520
Speaker 2: run it against ODU. So give me South Carolina under

1319
01:03:58,560 --> 01:03:59,840
Speaker 2: sixteen and a half points.

1320
01:04:00,120 --> 01:04:03,320
Speaker 3: All right, that'll do it for us. Thanks to Colin

1321
01:04:03,360 --> 01:04:05,600
Speaker 3: as always for joining me. Thanks to our producer Matt

1322
01:04:05,720 --> 01:04:08,040
Speaker 3: Mitchell on the back end. Most importantly, thanks to all

1323
01:04:08,080 --> 01:04:09,720
Speaker 3: of you for joining us. Make sure you subscribe on

1324
01:04:09,800 --> 01:04:12,480
Speaker 3: Subscribe subscribe and leave a five star review. You can

1325
01:04:12,520 --> 01:04:14,600
Speaker 3: say whatever you want. Let me know if you're joining

1326
01:04:14,600 --> 01:04:16,840
Speaker 3: me on the trash this weekend. It's going to be ugly.

1327
01:04:17,080 --> 01:04:19,840
Speaker 3: I'm expecting to get plenty of voicemails and probably plenty

1328
01:04:19,840 --> 01:04:22,480
Speaker 3: of money, but it'll be an interesting day, to say

1329
01:04:22,560 --> 01:04:24,920
Speaker 3: the least. And for those new nine to five nine

1330
01:04:25,000 --> 01:04:27,640
Speaker 3: Bad Beat, that's the voicemail number. Put it in your phone.

1331
01:04:27,720 --> 01:04:31,200
Speaker 3: It's always in my Twitter profile as well, but you're

1332
01:04:31,200 --> 01:04:33,320
Speaker 3: gonna need it when you get upset. Pull it up

1333
01:04:33,360 --> 01:04:33,880
Speaker 3: on your phone.

1334
01:04:34,080 --> 01:04:34,440
Speaker 2: Call in.

1335
01:04:35,000 --> 01:04:37,760
Speaker 3: We always play many of them on our recap show.

1336
01:04:37,800 --> 01:04:39,520
Speaker 3: So nine five nine bad beat. Make sure you put

1337
01:04:39,560 --> 01:04:43,120
Speaker 3: that in your phone. Everyone needs to vent at some

1338
01:04:43,160 --> 01:04:46,280
Speaker 3: point during the college football season. Live show Saturday ten

1339
01:04:46,360 --> 01:04:49,760
Speaker 3: thirty am Eastern recap episode will be out Monday morning,

1340
01:04:50,120 --> 01:04:52,960
Speaker 3: and then we'll do it all again next week. Good

1341
01:04:53,040 --> 01:04:55,800
Speaker 3: luck on all of your wagers this weekend, and we'll

1342
01:04:55,840 --> 01:04:57,440
Speaker 3: catch you all on Saturday morning year so.

1343
01:04:57,920 --> 01:04:58,600
Speaker 2: Peace Out.

1344
01:05:07,160 --> 01:05:11,680
Speaker 1: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or

1345
01:05:11,720 --> 01:05:14,520
Speaker 1: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is

1346
01:05:14,520 --> 01:05:17,600
Speaker 1: available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred Gambler