WEBVTT - Apple and Lyft Report Mixed Results

0:00:01.360 --> 0:00:05.680
<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Wait inside from the reporters and

0:00:05.880 --> 0:00:09.680
<v Speaker 1>editors who bring you America's most trusted business magazine.

0:00:09.119 --> 0:00:12.039
<v Speaker 2>Plus global business finance and tech news.

0:00:12.200 --> 0:00:16.279
<v Speaker 1>The Bloomberg Business Week Podcast with Carol Messer and Tim

0:00:16.320 --> 0:00:18.960
<v Speaker 1>Stenebek from Bloomberg Radio.

0:00:20.360 --> 0:00:22.480
<v Speaker 3>I got to say investors not loving what they got

0:00:22.520 --> 0:00:25.759
<v Speaker 3>from a Lift. That stock actually down thirteen percent. I

0:00:25.760 --> 0:00:27.440
<v Speaker 3>think I might have said one percent, but I meant

0:00:27.680 --> 0:00:29.600
<v Speaker 3>down about a buck fifty and it's actually down about

0:00:29.600 --> 0:00:33.120
<v Speaker 3>fourteen percent in the aftermarket. It's really a killing here.

0:00:33.200 --> 0:00:35.440
<v Speaker 3>Let's get to it with our Bloomberg Intelligence senior tech

0:00:35.479 --> 0:00:38.400
<v Speaker 3>industry analyst, man Deep Singh here in our Bloomberg Interactive

0:00:38.400 --> 0:00:41.240
<v Speaker 3>Broker studio going through his phone, going through the headlines.

0:00:41.280 --> 0:00:42.559
<v Speaker 3>It's down eleven percent?

0:00:43.880 --> 0:00:44.559
<v Speaker 4>What's up with this?

0:00:45.120 --> 0:00:48.680
<v Speaker 5>Also top line growth to compare lyft to Uber and

0:00:48.800 --> 0:00:53.040
<v Speaker 5>door Dash for just reported like Clift growing twelve percent.

0:00:53.200 --> 0:00:57.240
<v Speaker 5>Fourteen percent is just not enough. And you know Uber

0:00:57.440 --> 0:01:00.520
<v Speaker 5>had thirty percent growth in its mobility segment and you

0:01:00.600 --> 0:01:03.640
<v Speaker 5>see the same way DoorDash growing twenty seven percent. And

0:01:03.720 --> 0:01:07.240
<v Speaker 5>these companies have much higher base, you know, so Lift

0:01:07.319 --> 0:01:12.400
<v Speaker 5>clearly has execution issues. You see that in the plateauing

0:01:12.440 --> 0:01:14.679
<v Speaker 5>of their rider base. You know, it's been stuck around

0:01:14.680 --> 0:01:18.200
<v Speaker 5>twenty million for the past four quarters, and they had

0:01:18.200 --> 0:01:21.800
<v Speaker 5>a CEO change. But in a nutshell, I think they

0:01:21.920 --> 0:01:24.800
<v Speaker 5>really are struggling with that smaller scale that they have,

0:01:25.240 --> 0:01:28.119
<v Speaker 5>so they don't have that driver additions on their platform

0:01:28.200 --> 0:01:29.920
<v Speaker 5>to drive more incremental growth.

0:01:29.920 --> 0:01:32.920
<v Speaker 3>But they were cutting costs right to hopefully increase ridership.

0:01:33.040 --> 0:01:35.000
<v Speaker 3>Is any signs in this release, And.

0:01:35.160 --> 0:01:38.319
<v Speaker 5>That's the problem with this business model is either you

0:01:38.440 --> 0:01:41.679
<v Speaker 5>need scale or you need to keep offering subsidies to

0:01:41.800 --> 0:01:45.320
<v Speaker 5>bring more riders, to bring more drivers on the platform.

0:01:45.360 --> 0:01:48.760
<v Speaker 5>Even though it's an asset light model, you need those subsidies.

0:01:48.760 --> 0:01:52.920
<v Speaker 5>And once you start pairing back subsidies, it hurts your frequency.

0:01:53.040 --> 0:01:55.880
<v Speaker 5>That's what we're saying with the LIFT is the right

0:01:55.920 --> 0:01:57.400
<v Speaker 5>frequency has just fallen off.

0:01:57.520 --> 0:01:58.800
<v Speaker 6>So what does LIFT need to do?

0:02:00.080 --> 0:02:02.360
<v Speaker 5>I think at this point, you know, it's a four

0:02:02.400 --> 0:02:07.600
<v Speaker 5>billion dollar enterprise value company. I think all options are

0:02:07.640 --> 0:02:09.720
<v Speaker 5>on the table. If I have to look at you know,

0:02:09.800 --> 0:02:13.680
<v Speaker 5>any company looking to do last mile delivery beyond right sharing.

0:02:13.760 --> 0:02:18.160
<v Speaker 5>Lift's biggest mistake was it never expanded beyond right sharing.

0:02:18.240 --> 0:02:22.040
<v Speaker 5>In hindsight, everyone kept saying right sharing is more profitable

0:02:22.080 --> 0:02:25.240
<v Speaker 5>than food delivery. But that was a mistake because that's

0:02:25.240 --> 0:02:29.000
<v Speaker 5>what DoorDash did. They bought a company in Europe to

0:02:29.160 --> 0:02:32.679
<v Speaker 5>expand internationally. They have you know, branched out and I

0:02:32.800 --> 0:02:36.480
<v Speaker 5>started offering white gloves services, you know, storefront. So they

0:02:36.600 --> 0:02:41.000
<v Speaker 5>really expanded into adjacent verticals whatever they could find door Dash.

0:02:41.280 --> 0:02:43.840
<v Speaker 5>Same thing with Uber. They kept expanding even though they

0:02:43.840 --> 0:02:46.559
<v Speaker 5>were not profitable, and they got a lot of criticism

0:02:46.840 --> 0:02:49.240
<v Speaker 5>for doing it. That was the right thing to do

0:02:49.320 --> 0:02:52.840
<v Speaker 5>because without scale, you just can't keep the marketplace up.

0:02:52.919 --> 0:02:55.440
<v Speaker 3>Because I was thinking, I don't even think it's fair

0:02:55.520 --> 0:02:58.080
<v Speaker 3>to almost compare Uber versus Lyft because it feels like

0:02:58.120 --> 0:03:00.000
<v Speaker 3>they have very different business models.

0:03:00.480 --> 0:03:01.680
<v Speaker 4>Is that the case?

0:03:02.240 --> 0:03:05.239
<v Speaker 3>Well, or in just in terms about Uber kind of

0:03:05.320 --> 0:03:08.919
<v Speaker 3>keeps expanding some of the services it's providing to those.

0:03:08.960 --> 0:03:14.680
<v Speaker 5>Its, and they are all marketplaces. They're all marketplaces where

0:03:15.000 --> 0:03:18.960
<v Speaker 5>you want to drive frequency by bringing more like the

0:03:19.000 --> 0:03:23.280
<v Speaker 5>writers need to have something that drives them to open

0:03:23.320 --> 0:03:25.600
<v Speaker 5>the app every day. And look, there are no switching

0:03:25.639 --> 0:03:28.400
<v Speaker 5>costs in this business. If I find lower price on Uber,

0:03:28.480 --> 0:03:29.320
<v Speaker 5>I'm going to take that.

0:03:29.440 --> 0:03:31.679
<v Speaker 3>No loyalty either, no loyalty at all.

0:03:31.800 --> 0:03:34.800
<v Speaker 5>So the way to drive prices lower is by scale.

0:03:34.840 --> 0:03:37.280
<v Speaker 5>That's how you drive the et is down. That's how

0:03:37.320 --> 0:03:40.680
<v Speaker 5>you organically build that frequency.

0:03:40.680 --> 0:03:41.840
<v Speaker 3>Can I just say one of the cool things I

0:03:41.880 --> 0:03:44.080
<v Speaker 3>feel like when like Uber, if you order something that

0:03:44.000 --> 0:03:46.400
<v Speaker 3>that something's popping up. Hey, if you add this or

0:03:46.560 --> 0:03:48.080
<v Speaker 3>you want to go to this place as well, you.

0:03:48.000 --> 0:03:48.440
<v Speaker 5>Can do this.

0:03:48.560 --> 0:03:52.440
<v Speaker 3>Like They're very clever trying to create or increase the

0:03:52.520 --> 0:03:54.840
<v Speaker 3>velocity of your usage on the platform.

0:03:54.880 --> 0:03:57.600
<v Speaker 5>Yeah. And look, they are layering on ads now, so

0:03:57.640 --> 0:04:00.680
<v Speaker 5>if you're bros browsing through the Uber app, they're going

0:04:00.760 --> 0:04:04.360
<v Speaker 5>to show you some ads. That's an incremental revenue lift.

0:04:04.360 --> 0:04:07.400
<v Speaker 5>Can't do that because it's so transactional. And that too.

0:04:07.800 --> 0:04:10.960
<v Speaker 5>You know, the monthly active user is stuck at twenty million,

0:04:11.240 --> 0:04:13.880
<v Speaker 5>so they can grow that user base and that's where

0:04:14.040 --> 0:04:16.240
<v Speaker 5>you can't even think of ads right now because you

0:04:16.279 --> 0:04:17.680
<v Speaker 5>don't have enough frequency. Right.

0:04:17.839 --> 0:04:21.520
<v Speaker 6>Can they win on competitive pricing? Because I hate doing

0:04:21.560 --> 0:04:24.599
<v Speaker 6>the anecdotal evidence thing, But the only times that my

0:04:24.640 --> 0:04:26.760
<v Speaker 6>friends are taking Lyft is when it's cheaper than Uber,

0:04:26.800 --> 0:04:30.240
<v Speaker 6>which in New York City is pretty frequently it is.

0:04:30.320 --> 0:04:33.240
<v Speaker 5>But I think what Uber has done well is they've

0:04:33.360 --> 0:04:37.760
<v Speaker 5>created tiered pricing for you know, really attracting all kinds

0:04:37.800 --> 0:04:40.480
<v Speaker 5>of users. So if you're if you care about price,

0:04:40.560 --> 0:04:42.920
<v Speaker 5>you can find that kind of ride on Uber. If

0:04:42.960 --> 0:04:46.000
<v Speaker 5>you want that convenience, you can find an expensive ride

0:04:46.040 --> 0:04:49.560
<v Speaker 5>and shorter ETA. Lift just is struggling to keep that

0:04:49.680 --> 0:04:52.680
<v Speaker 5>driver's supply on the platform, and that's why the ETAs

0:04:52.680 --> 0:04:55.560
<v Speaker 5>are going up. So you know, the user experience won't

0:04:55.600 --> 0:04:57.680
<v Speaker 5>be as good because people don't want to wait. If

0:04:57.720 --> 0:04:59.239
<v Speaker 5>you're looking to take away.

0:04:59.279 --> 0:05:02.720
<v Speaker 6>Time is higher, even if the ride time might be

0:05:02.760 --> 0:05:04.120
<v Speaker 6>a little bit lower.

0:05:03.880 --> 0:05:07.479
<v Speaker 5>And the price may be lower, but the waytime is higher. Well, right,

0:05:07.839 --> 0:05:08.760
<v Speaker 5>you're not going to do that.

0:05:09.040 --> 0:05:10.880
<v Speaker 3>And I have to say, I've got both on my platform,

0:05:10.920 --> 0:05:12.320
<v Speaker 3>and a lot of times I'll be like, I'll compare

0:05:12.320 --> 0:05:15.720
<v Speaker 3>prices and I don't find that lift is always less expensive,

0:05:16.040 --> 0:05:19.520
<v Speaker 3>and so I automatically go in one direction. All right,

0:05:20.120 --> 0:05:24.479
<v Speaker 3>new CEO, This was a big quarter for him. He's obviously,

0:05:24.560 --> 0:05:27.039
<v Speaker 3>you know, cutting costs, he's doing different things. What does

0:05:27.080 --> 0:05:29.159
<v Speaker 3>he need to do going forward? What do you want

0:05:29.160 --> 0:05:29.800
<v Speaker 3>to hear from.

0:05:29.680 --> 0:05:31.240
<v Speaker 4>Him from somebody who follows this company?

0:05:31.279 --> 0:05:34.279
<v Speaker 5>A B too B partnership. He came from Amazon. Yeah,

0:05:34.400 --> 0:05:37.600
<v Speaker 5>they need to drive that velocity and frequency. B two

0:05:37.640 --> 0:05:41.880
<v Speaker 5>B partnership with Amazon Target, any of the retailers would

0:05:41.920 --> 0:05:44.839
<v Speaker 5>give it. So Lift really needs to branch, right, Yeah.

0:05:44.720 --> 0:05:47.160
<v Speaker 3>What like say hey, Target, we'll deliver like people can

0:05:47.240 --> 0:05:48.120
<v Speaker 3>order and deliver for you.

0:05:48.440 --> 0:05:48.800
<v Speaker 1>Yeah?

0:05:48.920 --> 0:05:49.240
<v Speaker 4>Really?

0:05:49.320 --> 0:05:52.200
<v Speaker 5>Yeah? I mean Shopify just got out of their delivery

0:05:52.200 --> 0:05:55.040
<v Speaker 5>business this morning because that wasn't profitable. So you are

0:05:55.120 --> 0:05:58.279
<v Speaker 5>finding there will be fewer companies that are left in

0:05:58.360 --> 0:06:00.680
<v Speaker 5>terms of last mile delivery because they want to compete

0:06:00.680 --> 0:06:03.799
<v Speaker 5>with Amazon, Right, that's your bed in terms of partnering

0:06:03.839 --> 0:06:06.200
<v Speaker 5>with Amazon Amazon as opposed to competing.

0:06:06.480 --> 0:06:08.960
<v Speaker 3>Is there is there an acquisition to that they should

0:06:09.000 --> 0:06:09.680
<v Speaker 3>be making or no?

0:06:09.839 --> 0:06:10.919
<v Speaker 4>Is it more about partnership?

0:06:11.000 --> 0:06:13.200
<v Speaker 5>I think partnership. I mean, what's in it for Amazon

0:06:13.240 --> 0:06:16.360
<v Speaker 5>to buy Lifts? So everyone is coming to them to

0:06:16.480 --> 0:06:20.799
<v Speaker 5>partner and I think they won't want to out. Yeah,

0:06:20.880 --> 0:06:24.640
<v Speaker 5>so I think partnership is probably better for Lyft and

0:06:25.000 --> 0:06:26.520
<v Speaker 5>Amazon just has the network.

0:06:26.600 --> 0:06:27.960
<v Speaker 4>Really that's so interesting.

0:06:28.120 --> 0:06:32.040
<v Speaker 6>Do you have any big questions still that you are

0:06:32.080 --> 0:06:34.000
<v Speaker 6>looking to get answered on any Ornane's call?

0:06:34.440 --> 0:06:34.680
<v Speaker 2>Yeah?

0:06:35.000 --> 0:06:37.760
<v Speaker 5>I think the key to me is what is he

0:06:37.880 --> 0:06:40.920
<v Speaker 5>going to do beyond cost cutting? Really? I mean there

0:06:41.279 --> 0:06:43.000
<v Speaker 5>is a lot you could argue you could do with

0:06:43.120 --> 0:06:46.839
<v Speaker 5>last mile delivery because there are a number of areas

0:06:46.839 --> 0:06:49.760
<v Speaker 5>and that's where you know, having a network is powerful.

0:06:49.839 --> 0:06:52.799
<v Speaker 5>They have the data, but at this point of time,

0:06:52.920 --> 0:06:55.800
<v Speaker 5>really they need to act fast in terms of driving

0:06:55.839 --> 0:06:59.920
<v Speaker 5>that frequency because Uber really is taking share, and they're

0:07:00.200 --> 0:07:04.159
<v Speaker 5>taking share without spending on incentives. So Lift's problem is

0:07:04.200 --> 0:07:07.240
<v Speaker 5>their balance sheet. They're burning cash. They'll run out of

0:07:07.240 --> 0:07:09.440
<v Speaker 5>cash if they keep burning two hundred three hundred million

0:07:09.480 --> 0:07:11.800
<v Speaker 5>dollars a quarter. They just have one point five billion

0:07:11.840 --> 0:07:12.960
<v Speaker 5>on the balance Is there.

0:07:12.920 --> 0:07:16.200
<v Speaker 3>Room enough for two ride sharing services as their core

0:07:16.280 --> 0:07:18.880
<v Speaker 3>business meaning Uber and Lyft, and one where Lift can

0:07:18.920 --> 0:07:24.320
<v Speaker 3>actually grow substantially in terms of market cap, revenues and share.

0:07:24.440 --> 0:07:27.080
<v Speaker 5>I think, I mean, I would say, yes, this market

0:07:27.120 --> 0:07:29.920
<v Speaker 5>could be a duopoly, but I would argue they will

0:07:29.960 --> 0:07:33.560
<v Speaker 5>be more valued as logistics companies going forward as opposed

0:07:33.600 --> 0:07:36.480
<v Speaker 5>to tech companies because the market is so fixated on

0:07:36.560 --> 0:07:41.040
<v Speaker 5>profitability and you know, running things without burning cash. That's

0:07:41.120 --> 0:07:43.960
<v Speaker 5>why it's a little tricky for Lyft given its smaller size.

0:07:44.040 --> 0:07:47.800
<v Speaker 3>You're saying like logistics meaning delivery, that is wild?

0:07:47.960 --> 0:07:48.240
<v Speaker 5>Love it?

0:07:48.760 --> 0:07:49.720
<v Speaker 4>So that's wild.

0:07:49.880 --> 0:07:52.960
<v Speaker 3>Okay, good stuff, Thank you so much. Always man Deep

0:07:53.000 --> 0:07:56.480
<v Speaker 3>saying he is our Bloomberg Intelligence senior tech industry analyst

0:07:57.120 --> 0:07:59.880
<v Speaker 3>here in studio, looking at shares of Lyft off there

0:08:00.280 --> 0:08:03.000
<v Speaker 3>but still down about ten percent here in the aftermarket

0:08:03.280 --> 0:08:05.200
<v Speaker 3>following their update on earnings.

0:08:05.240 --> 0:08:06.480
<v Speaker 4>This is Bloomberg Radio.

0:08:07.280 --> 0:08:10.840
<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Business Week podcast. Catch us

0:08:10.880 --> 0:08:14.320
<v Speaker 1>live weekday afternoons from three to six Eastern Listen.

0:08:14.120 --> 0:08:17.040
<v Speaker 2>On Bloomberg dot com, the iHeartRadio app.

0:08:16.840 --> 0:08:20.960
<v Speaker 1>And the Bloomberg Business app, or watch us live on YouTube.

0:08:21.760 --> 0:08:24.960
<v Speaker 3>We are waiting those earnings out from Apple doing about

0:08:25.040 --> 0:08:26.680
<v Speaker 3>six minutes time, so as soon as they cross the

0:08:26.720 --> 0:08:29.560
<v Speaker 3>Bloomberg terminal, we will certainly bring them to you. In

0:08:29.600 --> 0:08:32.400
<v Speaker 3>the meantime, we do want to check in with Dan Morgan.

0:08:32.400 --> 0:08:34.440
<v Speaker 3>He's going to be here with us when those results

0:08:34.520 --> 0:08:36.800
<v Speaker 3>come out. Dan, of course, you know a friend of

0:08:36.800 --> 0:08:39.679
<v Speaker 3>the show, senior portfolio manager over at Sonova's trust company.

0:08:39.880 --> 0:08:42.440
<v Speaker 3>They've got roughly just shy of twenty two billion in

0:08:42.480 --> 0:08:45.560
<v Speaker 3>acids under management. Dan with us once again out of Atlanta,

0:08:45.679 --> 0:08:48.679
<v Speaker 3>joining us on the phone. Excuse me, Dan, We are

0:08:48.760 --> 0:08:54.000
<v Speaker 3>waiting Apple's earnings a little tickle here, so what we

0:08:54.080 --> 0:08:56.360
<v Speaker 3>wait for that? I do want to ask you about

0:08:56.520 --> 0:09:01.520
<v Speaker 3>Qualcom because this dock down the most since November of

0:09:01.600 --> 0:09:04.480
<v Speaker 3>twenty twenty two, but we did see this stock trading

0:09:04.559 --> 0:09:06.360
<v Speaker 3>off about five and a half percent.

0:09:06.400 --> 0:09:06.800
<v Speaker 4>There was some.

0:09:06.800 --> 0:09:11.160
<v Speaker 3>Disappointment over the results. I'm curious they came out with

0:09:11.200 --> 0:09:14.880
<v Speaker 3>a forecast that really indicated the smartphone slump that we

0:09:14.920 --> 0:09:16.920
<v Speaker 3>have been seeing is going to drag on. What was

0:09:16.960 --> 0:09:19.120
<v Speaker 3>your take on Qualcom specifically.

0:09:19.040 --> 0:09:22.920
<v Speaker 7>Well, Hi, Carol High Medicine. Yeah, it was obviously this

0:09:22.960 --> 0:09:24.960
<v Speaker 7>isn't a good way to kick off to get ready

0:09:24.960 --> 0:09:28.720
<v Speaker 7>for the Apple report, right because we know that Qualcomm,

0:09:28.760 --> 0:09:31.280
<v Speaker 7>we've talked about them in the past, they about twenty

0:09:31.280 --> 0:09:34.439
<v Speaker 7>five percent of their sales go into chipsets that they

0:09:34.480 --> 0:09:37.559
<v Speaker 7>make that go into the modems for the iPhones. And

0:09:37.640 --> 0:09:41.520
<v Speaker 7>what really was kind of disturbing was the QCT, which

0:09:41.559 --> 0:09:47.400
<v Speaker 7>is their chipset division, which makes the CDMA based chips

0:09:47.440 --> 0:09:51.440
<v Speaker 7>that they sell. Their guidance going into the upcoming third

0:09:51.520 --> 0:09:54.160
<v Speaker 7>quarter was pretty shy of what the street was looking for.

0:09:54.280 --> 0:09:57.880
<v Speaker 7>So the guidance was six point nine to seven point

0:09:57.920 --> 0:10:00.720
<v Speaker 7>five billion, the street was at seven point eight. So

0:10:00.800 --> 0:10:05.160
<v Speaker 7>that gives us a kind of preliminary indication that sales

0:10:05.200 --> 0:10:08.959
<v Speaker 7>have been weaker than anticipated in terms of drawdowns of inventories,

0:10:09.520 --> 0:10:13.640
<v Speaker 7>especially in that chipset segment which does sell directly into Apple.

0:10:13.800 --> 0:10:16.319
<v Speaker 7>So we don't know, Carol and Madison, if this is

0:10:16.400 --> 0:10:18.760
<v Speaker 7>kind of a ripple effect of what we're going to

0:10:18.760 --> 0:10:20.240
<v Speaker 7>get here in a minute, which is going to be

0:10:20.280 --> 0:10:24.760
<v Speaker 7>the second quarter Apple results rolling into this Qualcom report

0:10:24.760 --> 0:10:26.240
<v Speaker 7>that we're getting, you know, a little bit ahead of

0:10:26.240 --> 0:10:28.440
<v Speaker 7>the results hitting the tape on Apple.

0:10:28.880 --> 0:10:30.840
<v Speaker 6>Can I talk to you about Apple then? Since you

0:10:30.880 --> 0:10:33.360
<v Speaker 6>bring it up, Daniel, I mean, I wonder to what

0:10:33.480 --> 0:10:37.240
<v Speaker 6>extent you've heard of investor concern that you know, all

0:10:37.280 --> 0:10:40.760
<v Speaker 6>these buybacks can be used to hedge against slowing iPhone

0:10:40.800 --> 0:10:44.600
<v Speaker 6>production because you know what's the longevity of that of

0:10:44.600 --> 0:10:45.160
<v Speaker 6>that move?

0:10:46.200 --> 0:10:48.880
<v Speaker 7>Well, Madison, you're giving up all Apple secrets here. So

0:10:49.480 --> 0:10:53.040
<v Speaker 7>whenever the stock linguishes, this is historically speaking, and when

0:10:53.080 --> 0:10:57.040
<v Speaker 7>iPhone revenues are flat and the other hardware categories are struggling,

0:10:57.640 --> 0:10:59.880
<v Speaker 7>Apple has the ability, as you know, they have about

0:11:00.000 --> 0:11:02.600
<v Speaker 7>one hundred and sixty five billion in cash to go

0:11:02.720 --> 0:11:05.400
<v Speaker 7>out and increase their dividend. Matter of fact, they're supposed

0:11:05.400 --> 0:11:07.760
<v Speaker 7>to increase it on this upcoming second quarter to about

0:11:07.840 --> 0:11:11.480
<v Speaker 7>ninety eight cents a share and increase their share repurchase program.

0:11:11.559 --> 0:11:14.040
<v Speaker 7>They're expected to grow that from four hundred and five

0:11:14.040 --> 0:11:16.400
<v Speaker 7>billion to four hundred and ninety five billion. So, as

0:11:16.400 --> 0:11:19.240
<v Speaker 7>your listeners know, if you're able to increase your dividend

0:11:19.640 --> 0:11:22.720
<v Speaker 7>and lower the number of shares in your denominator of

0:11:22.760 --> 0:11:26.640
<v Speaker 7>your EPs calculation, you're able to grow earnings on basically

0:11:26.679 --> 0:11:29.040
<v Speaker 7>flat growth. And they've done that in the past. They've

0:11:29.080 --> 0:11:31.640
<v Speaker 7>done a lot of financial engineering. They've split their stock

0:11:31.720 --> 0:11:34.920
<v Speaker 7>like they did back in twenty fourteen. Everybody went crazy

0:11:34.960 --> 0:11:39.080
<v Speaker 7>for it. So you're right, Madison, if these earnings act good,

0:11:39.120 --> 0:11:41.360
<v Speaker 7>they'll just come out and announce all this great things

0:11:41.360 --> 0:11:42.880
<v Speaker 7>they're going to do with all that cash they have

0:11:42.960 --> 0:11:43.880
<v Speaker 7>sitting in the balance sheet.

0:11:44.120 --> 0:11:44.520
<v Speaker 8>All right.

0:11:44.640 --> 0:11:47.960
<v Speaker 3>So, having said that, if you look at what the

0:11:48.000 --> 0:11:51.120
<v Speaker 3>stock has done ahead of earnings, DAN, it's up more

0:11:51.120 --> 0:11:53.199
<v Speaker 3>than twenty seven percent year to date. Is that perform

0:11:53.240 --> 0:11:54.439
<v Speaker 3>the Nasdaq one hundred?

0:11:54.960 --> 0:11:55.200
<v Speaker 5>You know?

0:11:55.240 --> 0:11:56.319
<v Speaker 4>But if you do look.

0:11:56.120 --> 0:11:58.679
<v Speaker 3>At what we got from Microsoft and Meta, the bar

0:11:58.800 --> 0:12:01.720
<v Speaker 3>is pretty high for APP. And I do think about

0:12:01.760 --> 0:12:05.360
<v Speaker 3>any kind of disappointment, you know, causing a major reset

0:12:05.360 --> 0:12:07.560
<v Speaker 3>in terms of what investors are really willing to pay

0:12:07.640 --> 0:12:08.680
<v Speaker 3>up for this name right now?

0:12:09.440 --> 0:12:11.840
<v Speaker 7>Yeah, I think what's happening, Carol is that we expect

0:12:11.840 --> 0:12:15.320
<v Speaker 7>this second quarter to be basically flatted down. We expect

0:12:15.400 --> 0:12:18.000
<v Speaker 7>guidance and their upcoming third quarter twenty three to be

0:12:18.040 --> 0:12:22.240
<v Speaker 7>slightly down. But everyone's looking ahead, right We're looking six months,

0:12:22.400 --> 0:12:25.160
<v Speaker 7>nine months ahead, and the glass seems kind of half

0:12:25.200 --> 0:12:27.960
<v Speaker 7>full at this time. And you know, everyone's looking for,

0:12:28.320 --> 0:12:31.000
<v Speaker 7>you know, these catalysts going forward, and that is you

0:12:31.040 --> 0:12:33.240
<v Speaker 7>always want to buy Apple stock six to nine months

0:12:33.280 --> 0:12:35.280
<v Speaker 7>ahead of a product launch. We know that the iPhone

0:12:35.360 --> 0:12:38.319
<v Speaker 7>fifteen is scheduled for September. They're also going to be

0:12:38.400 --> 0:12:41.800
<v Speaker 7>coming out, as you talked about before, a new virtual

0:12:41.840 --> 0:12:45.520
<v Speaker 7>reality headset that's going to compete directly against Meta. There's

0:12:45.559 --> 0:12:49.240
<v Speaker 7>also enthusiasm about the installation base continuing to grow. They

0:12:49.240 --> 0:12:52.080
<v Speaker 7>have two billion users one point five billion users on

0:12:52.120 --> 0:12:54.520
<v Speaker 7>the iPhone. Of course they can harvest that through their

0:12:54.559 --> 0:12:57.880
<v Speaker 7>service revenue, right, that's how they monetize all these users.

0:12:57.880 --> 0:13:00.760
<v Speaker 7>So that's how the glass looks half full right now.

0:13:00.920 --> 0:13:04.520
<v Speaker 7>I think Right now, guys, everyone's looking ahead. Everyone's thinking, Okay,

0:13:04.559 --> 0:13:06.480
<v Speaker 7>we know this server is not good, but wait, it's

0:13:06.480 --> 0:13:07.959
<v Speaker 7>going to be good in September.

0:13:08.000 --> 0:13:10.160
<v Speaker 3>Well it looks like just about a minute, yeah, right,

0:13:10.240 --> 0:13:12.640
<v Speaker 3>exactly what are you going to do for me in

0:13:12.640 --> 0:13:14.439
<v Speaker 3>the future. So about a minute before we get to

0:13:14.480 --> 0:13:17.160
<v Speaker 3>Apple earnings, we're just watching the bloomberg for when they cross.

0:13:17.440 --> 0:13:19.400
<v Speaker 3>But Dan, one thing I did want to ask you AMD.

0:13:19.640 --> 0:13:21.559
<v Speaker 3>We saw that stock up more than six percent in

0:13:21.559 --> 0:13:24.480
<v Speaker 3>today's session, twelve percent higher at its best levels of

0:13:24.520 --> 0:13:28.600
<v Speaker 3>the day, but Microsoft helping finance AMD's expansion into AI

0:13:28.720 --> 0:13:32.200
<v Speaker 3>processors as we wait those Apples results. Significance of that

0:13:32.280 --> 0:13:34.480
<v Speaker 3>news because it certainly seemed to give a little bit

0:13:34.480 --> 0:13:36.480
<v Speaker 3>of a pop two shares of AMD today.

0:13:37.120 --> 0:13:41.200
<v Speaker 7>What's interesting, Carol Madison, as AMD is always behind Intel,

0:13:41.320 --> 0:13:44.120
<v Speaker 7>and it seemed now that they have just been ahead

0:13:44.120 --> 0:13:46.960
<v Speaker 7>of the game in terms of bringing chipsets to the

0:13:46.960 --> 0:13:49.520
<v Speaker 7>market to get ahead of Intel on some offerings that

0:13:49.520 --> 0:13:52.120
<v Speaker 7>they've been delayed on, and this is just another feather

0:13:52.200 --> 0:13:54.880
<v Speaker 7>in their cap in terms of what they've been able

0:13:54.880 --> 0:13:56.920
<v Speaker 7>to do, and not only in data center and servers,

0:13:56.960 --> 0:14:00.680
<v Speaker 7>but also in the CPO space for PCs. So things

0:14:00.720 --> 0:14:03.199
<v Speaker 7>really going well for them. Obviously there's a downturn in

0:14:03.200 --> 0:14:06.200
<v Speaker 7>the PC unit volume sector right now in terms of

0:14:06.240 --> 0:14:10.120
<v Speaker 7>buying PCs after the COVID splurge, but I think AMD

0:14:10.320 --> 0:14:12.480
<v Speaker 7>is much better position now than they ever been. I'n't

0:14:12.480 --> 0:14:14.080
<v Speaker 7>following the company for almost thirty years.

0:14:14.160 --> 0:14:17.959
<v Speaker 3>But the idea that Microsoft is lending a hand and

0:14:18.000 --> 0:14:21.000
<v Speaker 3>that connection and we know Microsoft sent you know, the

0:14:21.000 --> 0:14:24.000
<v Speaker 3>world on fire, you know, with its its deal into

0:14:24.080 --> 0:14:29.800
<v Speaker 3>Chatchipt specifically, so that combination and partnership big deal.

0:14:30.560 --> 0:14:32.680
<v Speaker 7>Well, you know it's a big deal, Carol Madison, is

0:14:32.680 --> 0:14:36.240
<v Speaker 7>that in the past, Microsoft would write directly to the

0:14:36.560 --> 0:14:37.280
<v Speaker 7>l microprocess.

0:14:37.560 --> 0:14:40.440
<v Speaker 3>You've got the numbers, yep, let's get to it, Apple crossing.

0:14:40.840 --> 0:14:44.480
<v Speaker 3>Let's get to second quarter EPs a dollar fifty two, folks,

0:14:44.480 --> 0:14:47.600
<v Speaker 3>that's nine cents better than what the street was expecting.

0:14:47.680 --> 0:14:50.960
<v Speaker 3>I'm looking for the second quarter revenue in total ninety

0:14:50.960 --> 0:14:53.360
<v Speaker 3>four point eighty four billion. That too, is a beat.

0:14:53.400 --> 0:14:56.960
<v Speaker 3>The estimate was for ninety two point six billion dollars.

0:14:57.000 --> 0:14:59.520
<v Speaker 3>So again that's our red sticky. So that's a highlight.

0:14:59.600 --> 0:15:02.960
<v Speaker 3>That stopp is up about three percent in the after hours. Madison,

0:15:03.000 --> 0:15:05.600
<v Speaker 3>you asked about buybacks. Apple to buy back up to

0:15:05.640 --> 0:15:09.720
<v Speaker 3>an additional ninety billion dollars in shares and raising its

0:15:09.800 --> 0:15:13.000
<v Speaker 3>quarterly dividend four point three percent to twenty four cents

0:15:13.000 --> 0:15:16.160
<v Speaker 3>a share. So that is a big kick to the upside.

0:15:16.160 --> 0:15:18.320
<v Speaker 3>Again in the stock up about two percent in the

0:15:18.320 --> 0:15:22.440
<v Speaker 3>after market. Let's go through some of the segments. Second

0:15:22.520 --> 0:15:25.840
<v Speaker 3>quarter service revenue twenty point ninety one billion, that's a

0:15:25.840 --> 0:15:26.480
<v Speaker 3>slight miss.

0:15:26.640 --> 0:15:27.600
<v Speaker 4>Twenty one point.

0:15:27.360 --> 0:15:32.720
<v Speaker 3>Eleven billion, that was the estimate among analysts. iPhone revenue

0:15:32.920 --> 0:15:35.560
<v Speaker 3>fifty one point thirty three billion, that's a beat the

0:15:35.680 --> 0:15:38.320
<v Speaker 3>estimate on the street forty eight point ninety seven billion.

0:15:38.720 --> 0:15:42.680
<v Speaker 3>Greater China revenue seventeen point eighty one billion. That two

0:15:42.760 --> 0:15:46.400
<v Speaker 3>is a slight beat of seventeen point sixteen billion. Second

0:15:46.480 --> 0:15:50.560
<v Speaker 3>quarter MAC revenue seven point seventeen billion, a slight miss.

0:15:50.760 --> 0:15:54.560
<v Speaker 3>The estimate was seven point seventy four billion. iPad revenue

0:15:54.800 --> 0:15:57.440
<v Speaker 3>that was pretty much in line. Six point sixty seven billion,

0:15:57.440 --> 0:16:00.120
<v Speaker 3>the estimate was six point sixty nine billion. Then you

0:16:00.200 --> 0:16:03.840
<v Speaker 3>had wearables, home and accessories eight point seventy six billion.

0:16:03.920 --> 0:16:06.560
<v Speaker 3>The estimate was for eight point fifty one Again, the

0:16:06.560 --> 0:16:08.320
<v Speaker 3>stock is up about one and a half percent in

0:16:08.360 --> 0:16:11.640
<v Speaker 3>the aftermarket. Dan initial thoughts.

0:16:11.440 --> 0:16:13.360
<v Speaker 7>Well, obviously, the big numbers that stand out to me

0:16:13.480 --> 0:16:16.440
<v Speaker 7>Carol and Madison is this huge beat in iPhone revenue,

0:16:16.440 --> 0:16:19.320
<v Speaker 7>because coming in this quarter, I had forty eight point

0:16:19.400 --> 0:16:21.600
<v Speaker 7>ninety seven that came into fifty one point three and

0:16:21.640 --> 0:16:23.960
<v Speaker 7>that forty eight point nine seven would have represented a

0:16:24.000 --> 0:16:27.120
<v Speaker 7>negative growth rate of about three point two percent. This

0:16:27.160 --> 0:16:29.320
<v Speaker 7>is going to put them, I think, probably flatter, even

0:16:29.360 --> 0:16:31.560
<v Speaker 7>slightly up on iPhone revenue. I was looking for about

0:16:31.560 --> 0:16:34.680
<v Speaker 7>fifty five million units, so that's a huge number for them.

0:16:34.960 --> 0:16:37.000
<v Speaker 7>A little bit of a miss you mentioned, Carol on

0:16:37.040 --> 0:16:38.960
<v Speaker 7>the service revenue, that's a little bit of a surprise.

0:16:39.280 --> 0:16:41.720
<v Speaker 7>That's probably about a six percent growth rate. And then

0:16:41.720 --> 0:16:43.480
<v Speaker 7>it's kind of a little bit of a mosh pit here,

0:16:44.360 --> 0:16:47.479
<v Speaker 7>you know, Max missed, but kind of in line with iPads,

0:16:47.680 --> 0:16:49.520
<v Speaker 7>you know, it's kind of a wash out. But I

0:16:49.520 --> 0:16:51.520
<v Speaker 7>think the street's going to zero in, not only on

0:16:51.520 --> 0:16:54.440
<v Speaker 7>that top line number terms of revenues. That was a

0:16:54.480 --> 0:16:57.320
<v Speaker 7>huge beat, was it ninety four point eight versus ninety

0:16:57.320 --> 0:16:59.840
<v Speaker 7>two point six? And a good beat on EPs, but

0:17:00.000 --> 0:17:03.480
<v Speaker 7>that iPhone revenue is a bit of surprise. Guys, after

0:17:03.560 --> 0:17:05.480
<v Speaker 7>we got that Qualcom number, right, we were kind of

0:17:05.480 --> 0:17:07.880
<v Speaker 7>worried about that, but it looks like they were able

0:17:07.880 --> 0:17:10.240
<v Speaker 7>to piece things together and put together a really strong quarter.

0:17:10.960 --> 0:17:16.080
<v Speaker 6>Well, they also expected they had a three percent decline

0:17:16.080 --> 0:17:19.800
<v Speaker 6>in revenue, which I'm sorry. The revenue number came in

0:17:19.880 --> 0:17:22.120
<v Speaker 6>down three percent year over a year, which was better

0:17:22.160 --> 0:17:26.720
<v Speaker 6>than analyst expectations, but that's still revenue down, Daniels, So

0:17:26.760 --> 0:17:29.040
<v Speaker 6>I wonder if you can talk a little bit about

0:17:29.720 --> 0:17:32.120
<v Speaker 6>the impact of that and whether or not you see

0:17:32.160 --> 0:17:33.360
<v Speaker 6>that as a win or a miss for.

0:17:33.320 --> 0:17:37.320
<v Speaker 7>Apple, Well, Madison, as we said before this quarter and

0:17:37.400 --> 0:17:41.080
<v Speaker 7>next quarter, we're expecting slightly negative growth, so it's not

0:17:41.200 --> 0:17:43.800
<v Speaker 7>too big of surprise. Even though they beat estimates, it

0:17:43.880 --> 0:17:48.080
<v Speaker 7>was a negative number. Again, if you were to look

0:17:48.119 --> 0:17:50.840
<v Speaker 7>at some of these other Fang stocks that reported earlier

0:17:50.920 --> 0:17:53.840
<v Speaker 7>last week, it was a very similar type of environment,

0:17:53.880 --> 0:17:56.240
<v Speaker 7>right It was kind of slightly up or slightly down.

0:17:56.359 --> 0:17:59.640
<v Speaker 7>No one huge number beats, you know. I think Amazon

0:17:59.680 --> 0:18:01.840
<v Speaker 7>got it five to ten percent top line growth in

0:18:01.880 --> 0:18:04.760
<v Speaker 7>the next quarter, but we're all in single digit territory

0:18:04.840 --> 0:18:07.520
<v Speaker 7>right now. Unfortunately, with the Fang stocks either plus or

0:18:07.560 --> 0:18:09.119
<v Speaker 7>minus at this point.

0:18:09.720 --> 0:18:12.159
<v Speaker 3>Well, and again we continue to see Apple shares in

0:18:12.200 --> 0:18:16.359
<v Speaker 3>the aftermarket falling their latest update up just about two percent. Here,

0:18:16.520 --> 0:18:19.480
<v Speaker 3>I'm looking at the press release Dan and Tim Cook,

0:18:19.480 --> 0:18:22.120
<v Speaker 3>Apple CEO, of course, saying we are pleased to report

0:18:22.160 --> 0:18:24.560
<v Speaker 3>an all time record and services and a March quarter

0:18:24.600 --> 0:18:29.040
<v Speaker 3>record for iPhone despite the challenging macro economic environment and

0:18:29.080 --> 0:18:31.640
<v Speaker 3>to have our installed base of active devices reach an

0:18:31.680 --> 0:18:34.520
<v Speaker 3>all time high. We continue to invest for the long

0:18:34.600 --> 0:18:37.920
<v Speaker 3>term lead with our values, including making major progress toward

0:18:38.000 --> 0:18:42.280
<v Speaker 3>building carbon neutral products and supply chains by twenty thirty.

0:18:42.320 --> 0:18:44.800
<v Speaker 3>And then they did say that, you know, given our

0:18:44.840 --> 0:18:47.159
<v Speaker 3>confidence in Apple's future and the value we see in

0:18:47.200 --> 0:18:50.000
<v Speaker 3>our stock, our board is author raised an additional ninety

0:18:50.000 --> 0:18:52.760
<v Speaker 3>billion for share repurchases and then of course raising their

0:18:52.840 --> 0:18:56.359
<v Speaker 3>quarterly dividend for the eleventh year in a row. Commentary

0:18:56.400 --> 0:19:00.720
<v Speaker 3>seems pretty pretty safe, if you will. The macroeconomic challenges

0:19:01.119 --> 0:19:02.720
<v Speaker 3>just gives us some idea and clarity.

0:19:03.280 --> 0:19:04.520
<v Speaker 4>What is it that you want to know on the

0:19:04.520 --> 0:19:05.119
<v Speaker 4>call today?

0:19:06.160 --> 0:19:08.160
<v Speaker 7>Well, what is the best way to jump your stock

0:19:08.200 --> 0:19:12.520
<v Speaker 7>price up? In Fangland talk about AI? So I would

0:19:12.600 --> 0:19:15.480
<v Speaker 7>expect them to talk a little bit about their initiative

0:19:15.480 --> 0:19:17.479
<v Speaker 7>and AI. So far, they've been a little bit quiet

0:19:18.119 --> 0:19:20.640
<v Speaker 7>compared to Microsoft and some of the other Fang stocks.

0:19:20.920 --> 0:19:22.960
<v Speaker 7>We know that their initiative is going to be using

0:19:23.000 --> 0:19:28.840
<v Speaker 7>the phone as the apparatus to get you use artificial intelligence,

0:19:29.000 --> 0:19:32.560
<v Speaker 7>opposed to let's say, a chat robot, so to speak.

0:19:32.600 --> 0:19:34.720
<v Speaker 7>Er like we're seeing with some of the other players.

0:19:34.760 --> 0:19:36.320
<v Speaker 7>So I think we're going to get a little more

0:19:36.359 --> 0:19:38.240
<v Speaker 7>hopeful color on that because they've been.

0:19:38.119 --> 0:19:40.200
<v Speaker 3>The one company that really hasn't said a lot.

0:19:40.119 --> 0:19:41.919
<v Speaker 7>Right, they haven't said a lot, Yeah, Carol, they've been

0:19:42.040 --> 0:19:44.520
<v Speaker 7>very quiet. I don't know if you saw the statistics

0:19:44.560 --> 0:19:47.000
<v Speaker 7>of how often AI was mentioned on the conference calls

0:19:47.000 --> 0:19:50.200
<v Speaker 7>with the Fang stocks last week, a lot like forty five,

0:19:50.280 --> 0:19:53.200
<v Speaker 7>you know, plus times, and of course the stocks are reacting,

0:19:53.320 --> 0:19:54.360
<v Speaker 7>so it's kind of like.

0:19:54.280 --> 0:19:57.240
<v Speaker 3>One of those earnings per share AI per year over

0:19:57.320 --> 0:20:00.520
<v Speaker 3>year AI per the other.

0:20:00.400 --> 0:20:03.200
<v Speaker 7>Word exactly, and AN analysts are going to talk about it,

0:20:03.200 --> 0:20:05.439
<v Speaker 7>They're going to ask about it, and you know, hopefully

0:20:05.480 --> 0:20:08.439
<v Speaker 7>get a little more indication to guys in regards to

0:20:08.840 --> 0:20:12.160
<v Speaker 7>some of these new products. And we mentioned iPhone fifteen

0:20:12.200 --> 0:20:15.800
<v Speaker 7>in September, we're looking for virtuality headsets, so those are

0:20:15.840 --> 0:20:19.160
<v Speaker 7>exciting things too, because new products always mean new growth,

0:20:19.640 --> 0:20:21.640
<v Speaker 7>and the street's going to be really kind of zero

0:20:21.720 --> 0:20:23.359
<v Speaker 7>on that. So I think new products and AI are

0:20:23.359 --> 0:20:27.080
<v Speaker 7>the keys to this upcoming conference call on the AI.

0:20:26.960 --> 0:20:30.719
<v Speaker 6>Thing, that thing being very very big, fair we're figuring

0:20:30.760 --> 0:20:33.879
<v Speaker 6>it out the AI space. What would you specifically be

0:20:34.000 --> 0:20:36.919
<v Speaker 6>listening to on the call to indicate that Apple is

0:20:37.720 --> 0:20:41.600
<v Speaker 6>going to be a strong competitor to a Microsoft that's

0:20:41.359 --> 0:20:43.399
<v Speaker 6>for the moment sort of been the front runner on

0:20:43.440 --> 0:20:44.359
<v Speaker 6>the AI discussion.

0:20:45.320 --> 0:20:47.399
<v Speaker 7>Well, Apple has done a lot of things in terms

0:20:47.400 --> 0:20:50.639
<v Speaker 7>of buying kind of like startups, kind of companies that

0:20:50.720 --> 0:20:54.679
<v Speaker 7>are not big names like chat GBT. You know, everybody

0:20:54.720 --> 0:20:58.120
<v Speaker 7>knew about them before Microsoft infused that capital. So trying

0:20:58.160 --> 0:21:01.119
<v Speaker 7>to get some more information from them in regards to

0:21:01.160 --> 0:21:04.560
<v Speaker 7>what is their strategy. Is it to acquire smaller companies

0:21:04.560 --> 0:21:06.600
<v Speaker 7>and kind of fold them under their umbrella or are

0:21:06.600 --> 0:21:10.119
<v Speaker 7>they going to be doing things internally? And the other thing, guys,

0:21:10.200 --> 0:21:12.400
<v Speaker 7>is is it more than just going to be some

0:21:12.440 --> 0:21:15.440
<v Speaker 7>sort of artificial intelligence that's on one of their wearable

0:21:15.480 --> 0:21:18.360
<v Speaker 7>watches that tells us what to do when we work

0:21:18.400 --> 0:21:20.119
<v Speaker 7>out and what our heartbeat is and all that kind

0:21:20.119 --> 0:21:21.840
<v Speaker 7>of stuff. You know what I mean. We're looking for

0:21:21.920 --> 0:21:26.280
<v Speaker 7>transformational type of things, things that are like the Microsoft

0:21:26.359 --> 0:21:29.399
<v Speaker 7>Chat EBT where everyone's very excited about it. So I

0:21:29.440 --> 0:21:31.480
<v Speaker 7>think that's where we got to zero in. Because you're great,

0:21:31.680 --> 0:21:34.359
<v Speaker 7>You're right, guy, Carol Madison that it's been a very

0:21:35.040 --> 0:21:38.480
<v Speaker 7>unexciting announcements coming out of Apple so far in AI

0:21:38.520 --> 0:21:40.520
<v Speaker 7>and they're a little lagging a little bit, I think right.

0:21:41.040 --> 0:21:41.560
<v Speaker 4>Absolutely.

0:21:41.600 --> 0:21:43.480
<v Speaker 3>All right, Hey Dan, thank you so much. Dan Morgan,

0:21:43.560 --> 0:21:46.080
<v Speaker 3>Senior portfolio manager at Sonova's Trust Company.

0:21:47.440 --> 0:21:51.000
<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Business Week podcast. Catch us

0:21:51.040 --> 0:21:55.000
<v Speaker 1>live weekday afternoons from three to six Easter on Bloomberg Radio,

0:21:55.240 --> 0:21:58.520
<v Speaker 1>the Bloomberg Business App and YouTube. You can also listen

0:21:58.640 --> 0:22:01.760
<v Speaker 1>live on Amazon Alexi from our flagship New York station

0:22:02.160 --> 0:22:04.960
<v Speaker 1>Just Say Alexa, playing Bloomberg eleven thirty.

0:22:06.640 --> 0:22:09.719
<v Speaker 3>Well, the Daily Wire is quote deliberately steering into the

0:22:09.720 --> 0:22:11.879
<v Speaker 3>culture war, so it says the co CEO of The

0:22:11.960 --> 0:22:14.399
<v Speaker 3>Daily Wire, the right wing media company that is the

0:22:14.520 --> 0:22:16.880
<v Speaker 3>sixth largest podcast publisher in the US.

0:22:16.960 --> 0:22:17.480
<v Speaker 5>Who knew.

0:22:17.760 --> 0:22:19.879
<v Speaker 3>That's more than Walt Disney and more than the Fox

0:22:19.920 --> 0:22:22.400
<v Speaker 3>Audio Network and more than twice as many as CNM.

0:22:22.760 --> 0:22:25.720
<v Speaker 3>And now it's looking to spread its content wings this story.

0:22:25.720 --> 0:22:28.640
<v Speaker 3>The upcoming new issue Bloomberg Business Week on newstands tomorrow,

0:22:28.640 --> 0:22:31.520
<v Speaker 3>already online at Bloomberg dot com, slash BusinessWeek and on

0:22:31.640 --> 0:22:33.879
<v Speaker 3>the Bloomberg Let's get to it back with us in

0:22:33.920 --> 0:22:37.320
<v Speaker 3>our studio. Devin Leonard, He's Bloomberg BusinessWeek Senior Global Business writer,

0:22:37.440 --> 0:22:39.240
<v Speaker 3>and I was kidding with you that when there's a

0:22:39.280 --> 0:22:43.160
<v Speaker 3>wacky or weird story with some interesting players, I can

0:22:43.280 --> 0:22:45.239
<v Speaker 3>just see like Joel on the team saying, all right,

0:22:45.280 --> 0:22:48.760
<v Speaker 3>let's get Devin on this. You said, you said, I

0:22:48.760 --> 0:22:51.200
<v Speaker 3>always look forward to your story. So I am curious.

0:22:51.560 --> 0:22:53.760
<v Speaker 3>What was the pitch to Joel or did it come

0:22:53.800 --> 0:22:55.960
<v Speaker 3>to you? Tell me what put this story on your radar.

0:22:56.520 --> 0:22:58.520
<v Speaker 9>I want to do something about, you know, sort of

0:22:58.520 --> 0:23:04.119
<v Speaker 9>the battle against the corporations. And actually Daniel Sachs, the

0:23:04.160 --> 0:23:06.600
<v Speaker 9>features editor and the editor on the story and the

0:23:06.680 --> 0:23:09.000
<v Speaker 9>editor on on the Ben and Jerry story, I did,

0:23:09.040 --> 0:23:11.760
<v Speaker 9>but she she said, have you seen this commercial? And

0:23:11.800 --> 0:23:14.520
<v Speaker 9>I was like, no, I haven't seen this commercial. And

0:23:14.560 --> 0:23:17.080
<v Speaker 9>we watched the commercial and then it kind of went

0:23:17.080 --> 0:23:17.480
<v Speaker 9>from there.

0:23:17.560 --> 0:23:18.600
<v Speaker 4>Tell us about the commercial.

0:23:19.920 --> 0:23:23.439
<v Speaker 9>The commercials. It's just really amazing. You know, it's for

0:23:24.840 --> 0:23:27.159
<v Speaker 9>a product called Harry's razors.

0:23:28.359 --> 0:23:29.240
<v Speaker 4>Which is a real product.

0:23:29.280 --> 0:23:32.560
<v Speaker 9>Sorry, excuse me. It's for a product called Jeremy's Jeremy's razors.

0:23:32.560 --> 0:23:36.560
<v Speaker 9>But yeah, and and and and uh so sort of

0:23:36.880 --> 0:23:38.840
<v Speaker 9>you know, you watch the commercial online on.

0:23:38.840 --> 0:23:40.239
<v Speaker 3>You know, you know, we're showing some video for those

0:23:40.280 --> 0:23:42.359
<v Speaker 3>who are watching burg originals on YouTube.

0:23:42.440 --> 0:23:45.040
<v Speaker 9>No, no, this this guy sort of drives drives up

0:23:45.080 --> 0:23:47.200
<v Speaker 9>and you know, you know Mclair and you know, gets

0:23:47.200 --> 0:23:49.240
<v Speaker 9>out in this in this Gucci jacket, and all of

0:23:49.240 --> 0:23:52.639
<v Speaker 9>a sudden he starts talking about, uh, you know, the

0:23:52.720 --> 0:23:56.720
<v Speaker 9>sort of you know, transgender you know stuff and remember

0:23:56.760 --> 0:23:59.000
<v Speaker 9>when met when boys were boys and girls were girls.

0:23:59.040 --> 0:24:01.600
<v Speaker 9>And then he goes to side, he winds up. He says,

0:24:01.600 --> 0:24:04.320
<v Speaker 9>you know, Harry's canceled their advertising, you know, with the

0:24:04.400 --> 0:24:08.680
<v Speaker 9>Daily Wire and and uh because of a comment that

0:24:08.720 --> 0:24:12.199
<v Speaker 9>one of the Daily Wires hosts said about about you know,

0:24:12.240 --> 0:24:16.080
<v Speaker 9>transgender people kind a slur and uh so but he's,

0:24:16.240 --> 0:24:17.440
<v Speaker 9>you know, he's like, I'm going to start my own

0:24:17.520 --> 0:24:21.520
<v Speaker 9>razor company basically, and he's fires a flamethrower a bunch

0:24:21.520 --> 0:24:23.760
<v Speaker 9>of Harry's razors and Gillette razors because he doesn't like

0:24:23.800 --> 0:24:26.760
<v Speaker 9>that anyway. It's just like yeah, you know, but but

0:24:27.119 --> 0:24:29.480
<v Speaker 9>it's like, is this real or what? And literally, you know,

0:24:29.760 --> 0:24:32.440
<v Speaker 9>Danielle told me to watch the video and I said, well,

0:24:33.760 --> 0:24:35.359
<v Speaker 9>you know that's this. This sounds a good story. But

0:24:35.560 --> 0:24:37.560
<v Speaker 9>you know, I had called the company. It's like, you know,

0:24:37.640 --> 0:24:39.640
<v Speaker 9>is this a gag? And they're like no, but but

0:24:39.640 --> 0:24:41.399
<v Speaker 9>but but I really I really didn't know, until I

0:24:41.400 --> 0:24:41.920
<v Speaker 9>called them up.

0:24:42.359 --> 0:24:43.920
<v Speaker 4>That is so fascinating.

0:24:44.320 --> 0:24:47.200
<v Speaker 6>Can you just explain to me what their definition of

0:24:47.240 --> 0:24:50.439
<v Speaker 6>a woke company might be and maybe some examples of

0:24:50.520 --> 0:24:52.880
<v Speaker 6>things companies have done that make them woke.

0:24:53.359 --> 0:24:56.280
<v Speaker 9>Well, I mean, you know, you know, you know, madison

0:24:56.400 --> 0:24:58.000
<v Speaker 9>is I mean, obviously that's the term that kind of

0:24:58.000 --> 0:24:59.919
<v Speaker 9>came out of the left, but it's been co opted

0:25:00.480 --> 0:25:02.400
<v Speaker 9>but you know, you know, by the right. So it's

0:25:02.440 --> 0:25:04.960
<v Speaker 9>tricky to it's tricky to use the term, but basically,

0:25:05.520 --> 0:25:10.040
<v Speaker 9>you know, it's what you know, their argument is is

0:25:10.280 --> 0:25:12.639
<v Speaker 9>sort of the major institutions in the United States have

0:25:12.640 --> 0:25:14.320
<v Speaker 9>been co opted, you know, by the left, and so

0:25:14.359 --> 0:25:16.479
<v Speaker 9>there are a lot you know, as part of this

0:25:16.560 --> 0:25:19.080
<v Speaker 9>whole sort of crusade to you know, get your kids

0:25:19.080 --> 0:25:21.280
<v Speaker 9>to you know, to turn transgender, to you know, like

0:25:21.400 --> 0:25:24.600
<v Speaker 9>you know, like criminals out of out of uh jails,

0:25:24.640 --> 0:25:26.480
<v Speaker 9>and you know, and also all I've said it and

0:25:26.520 --> 0:25:28.920
<v Speaker 9>said it in there, you know, to encourage policies to

0:25:29.000 --> 0:25:31.520
<v Speaker 9>discriminate against white people. I mean, they talk a lot

0:25:31.560 --> 0:25:33.800
<v Speaker 9>about things that are anti white. But so going to

0:25:33.840 --> 0:25:37.520
<v Speaker 9>the corporations though, I guess I guess a lot you know,

0:25:37.560 --> 0:25:43.480
<v Speaker 9>it's it's it's either featuring trans people in in advertisements.

0:25:43.520 --> 0:25:48.439
<v Speaker 9>So the bud Light advertisement with uh, Dylan Mulvaney's an

0:25:48.480 --> 0:25:51.960
<v Speaker 9>obvious one. And then you know Hershey's uh, you know,

0:25:52.040 --> 0:25:53.879
<v Speaker 9>had to head a Canadian uh you know, you know

0:25:54.040 --> 0:25:57.600
<v Speaker 9>trans woman and and uh, you know, and also Harry's

0:25:57.640 --> 0:26:00.640
<v Speaker 9>canceling ads over over the you know, the I guess

0:26:00.680 --> 0:26:02.399
<v Speaker 9>there's sort of some of the anti transit things that

0:26:02.440 --> 0:26:03.720
<v Speaker 9>have been sudden the Daily Wire, but you can going

0:26:03.760 --> 0:26:06.120
<v Speaker 9>on obviously there's Di's Disney, right.

0:26:06.160 --> 0:26:09.080
<v Speaker 4>Well, so tell us about this company.

0:26:09.320 --> 0:26:13.520
<v Speaker 3>Who is the Daily Wire and the individual behind it

0:26:14.280 --> 0:26:16.400
<v Speaker 3>or who's running it and what he's looking to do.

0:26:16.920 --> 0:26:20.080
<v Speaker 9>Well, there's really three people. There's a guy named Caleb

0:26:20.160 --> 0:26:23.040
<v Speaker 9>Robinson who's kind of a finance guy and who was

0:26:23.920 --> 0:26:27.000
<v Speaker 9>I guess he was working for Ferris Wilkes, who's a

0:26:27.040 --> 0:26:29.439
<v Speaker 9>big fracking billionaire and who put up the sort of

0:26:29.440 --> 0:26:31.879
<v Speaker 9>the original sort of Steve Capital for the company. But

0:26:31.880 --> 0:26:36.000
<v Speaker 9>then there's also Ben Shapiro, who you know we haven't mentioned,

0:26:36.000 --> 0:26:38.960
<v Speaker 9>but who is the most popular conservative you know podcaster

0:26:39.840 --> 0:26:42.280
<v Speaker 9>in the Country's you know, thirty nine year old kind

0:26:42.320 --> 0:26:45.120
<v Speaker 9>of wonder kid control depending on what.

0:26:45.040 --> 0:26:45.600
<v Speaker 1>Your thoughts are.

0:26:45.640 --> 0:26:47.920
<v Speaker 9>But there's also a guy named who's the coach you

0:26:48.080 --> 0:26:50.760
<v Speaker 9>named Jeremy Boring and he is sort of the entertainment

0:26:50.800 --> 0:26:53.639
<v Speaker 9>guy and he's he's he's a guy I grew up

0:26:53.680 --> 0:26:55.960
<v Speaker 9>in West Texas, kind of went out to Hollywood and

0:26:56.040 --> 0:27:00.760
<v Speaker 9>kind of flopped got into conservative politics.

0:26:59.760 --> 0:26:59.879
<v Speaker 2>Uh.

0:27:00.800 --> 0:27:03.040
<v Speaker 9>Founded the Daily Wire with these three guys. It was

0:27:03.080 --> 0:27:06.159
<v Speaker 9>sort of a you know, right of Fox, a news site,

0:27:07.080 --> 0:27:12.560
<v Speaker 9>and you know, it's become a podcasting behemoth. They've also

0:27:12.680 --> 0:27:15.720
<v Speaker 9>they've also you know, turned it into a big subscription business,

0:27:15.840 --> 0:27:18.639
<v Speaker 9>scriptian driven business, I should say, the protically double subscriptions

0:27:18.720 --> 0:27:20.720
<v Speaker 9>last year. And now that you know, they want to

0:27:20.760 --> 0:27:23.200
<v Speaker 9>get into and they want to get into movies and

0:27:23.240 --> 0:27:26.040
<v Speaker 9>TV shows and sort of become kind of a you know,

0:27:26.320 --> 0:27:31.640
<v Speaker 9>quote unquote anti woke Disney, well an anti Trump. Well

0:27:31.760 --> 0:27:35.119
<v Speaker 9>it's funny, Well, no, no, no, it's it's funny funny

0:27:35.119 --> 0:27:37.760
<v Speaker 9>that you say that, Carol, because that was one of

0:27:38.080 --> 0:27:41.639
<v Speaker 9>uh Ben Shapiro. I mean, he's sort of he's the

0:27:41.680 --> 0:27:43.399
<v Speaker 9>face of the company. He drove a lot of the

0:27:43.400 --> 0:27:45.800
<v Speaker 9>growth growth for a long time. Uh you know, he

0:27:45.880 --> 0:27:48.320
<v Speaker 9>was already somebody, you know when they founded the company

0:27:48.359 --> 0:27:52.240
<v Speaker 9>in two thousand and five, but he was against Trump

0:27:52.880 --> 0:27:55.440
<v Speaker 9>early on Boring was too, but obviously he wasn't sort

0:27:55.440 --> 0:27:59.280
<v Speaker 9>of the the face of the company. But so so

0:27:59.280 --> 0:28:01.239
<v Speaker 9>so they you know, they get attacked by a lot

0:28:01.240 --> 0:28:03.800
<v Speaker 9>of Trump people and you know, to hear Boring tell it,

0:28:04.119 --> 0:28:06.639
<v Speaker 9>you know that you know that was going on right

0:28:06.680 --> 0:28:08.720
<v Speaker 9>Averen the time they launched the company in twenty fifteen,

0:28:08.760 --> 0:28:10.199
<v Speaker 9>he thought they was going to sink the company, but

0:28:10.280 --> 0:28:12.800
<v Speaker 9>ultimately he thinks that helped the company. So they have

0:28:12.840 --> 0:28:14.840
<v Speaker 9>this sort of reputation, as you know, it's kind of

0:28:14.840 --> 0:28:17.199
<v Speaker 9>more of a straight shoot, not quite as MAGA, but

0:28:17.720 --> 0:28:19.879
<v Speaker 9>they have, you know, a bunch of Trump people on staff,

0:28:19.880 --> 0:28:22.439
<v Speaker 9>So to say they're anti Trump, you know, isn't really

0:28:22.480 --> 0:28:26.200
<v Speaker 9>accurate either, Okay, sorry, no no no, no, no, I back

0:28:26.320 --> 0:28:28.000
<v Speaker 9>no no, no, no no. Nobody says it's sort of

0:28:28.040 --> 0:28:30.199
<v Speaker 9>they're playing kind of kind of a kind of a

0:28:30.200 --> 0:28:32.840
<v Speaker 9>funny like we're independent except for like those guys anyway,

0:28:32.880 --> 0:28:33.680
<v Speaker 9>But it.

0:28:33.680 --> 0:28:37.560
<v Speaker 3>Is I am curious that those in the media industry,

0:28:38.120 --> 0:28:40.320
<v Speaker 3>and it's not like they couldn't miss a fat or

0:28:40.320 --> 0:28:43.040
<v Speaker 3>a trend or seeing a disruptor come in and do

0:28:43.120 --> 0:28:45.960
<v Speaker 3>it differently. What do they say though about their plans

0:28:46.400 --> 0:28:49.320
<v Speaker 3>to have a wider scope in terms of content.

0:28:50.200 --> 0:28:54.000
<v Speaker 9>Well, I mean it it sort of goes back to

0:28:54.000 --> 0:28:56.360
<v Speaker 9>to you know, the whole culture war thing. You know,

0:28:56.400 --> 0:28:58.560
<v Speaker 9>when I was saying, or should say, you know their

0:28:58.640 --> 0:29:00.720
<v Speaker 9>approach that you know, there's of like you know, they

0:29:00.760 --> 0:29:04.320
<v Speaker 9>have a for profit you know model, you know, to

0:29:04.840 --> 0:29:07.080
<v Speaker 9>fight the culture war. And their argument is like, look,

0:29:07.880 --> 0:29:10.160
<v Speaker 9>half the you know, you know, half the country is

0:29:10.240 --> 0:29:12.680
<v Speaker 9>basically you know, you know conservative, I mean's just based

0:29:12.720 --> 0:29:17.720
<v Speaker 9>on sort of the election results. So so big corporations

0:29:18.200 --> 0:29:21.160
<v Speaker 9>have basically taken the position that you know, this is

0:29:21.200 --> 0:29:23.400
<v Speaker 9>again this is this is really where you know their works.

0:29:23.440 --> 0:29:29.360
<v Speaker 9>But they've embraced you know, radical radical race in sort

0:29:29.360 --> 0:29:33.120
<v Speaker 9>of queer theory, and they and knowing that it's going

0:29:33.120 --> 0:29:36.000
<v Speaker 9>to offend half the half to have the country. But

0:29:36.000 --> 0:29:39.000
<v Speaker 9>but you're still going to have to you know, you're

0:29:39.000 --> 0:29:41.320
<v Speaker 9>still have to subscribe to Disney. Plus you're still gonna

0:29:41.320 --> 0:29:43.240
<v Speaker 9>have to buy you know what you're buying from Parcter

0:29:43.320 --> 0:29:45.479
<v Speaker 9>and Gambles. So it's like tough, we're gonna take your

0:29:45.480 --> 0:29:49.400
<v Speaker 9>money anyway. And their argument is like no, right, right, right,

0:29:49.400 --> 0:29:51.480
<v Speaker 9>But we know, you know, we know we're gonna we're

0:29:51.480 --> 0:29:54.840
<v Speaker 9>gonna provide an entertainment and alternative. We're gonna provide, you know,

0:29:54.880 --> 0:29:58.760
<v Speaker 9>an alternative and razors also also chocolates, well be you know.

0:29:58.800 --> 0:30:01.640
<v Speaker 9>But but there's you know, there's half the companies out there.

0:30:01.640 --> 0:30:02.360
<v Speaker 9>It's a big market.

0:30:02.400 --> 0:30:03.000
<v Speaker 4>All right, We got to.

0:30:04.760 --> 0:30:07.760
<v Speaker 3>Read it, folks, go online, get the magazine. Devin Leonard

0:30:07.960 --> 0:30:09.360
<v Speaker 3>of Bloomberg BusinessWeek, thank you.

0:30:10.200 --> 0:30:19.800
<v Speaker 2>This is makes console. I'm spadling. All right.

0:30:20.200 --> 0:30:22.240
<v Speaker 3>We're going to talk a little bit about space exploration

0:30:22.480 --> 0:30:24.640
<v Speaker 3>and when you think about it, Yeah, you think about

0:30:24.640 --> 0:30:27.280
<v Speaker 3>the billionaires, you know, Musk, Bezos and Branson, But what

0:30:27.400 --> 0:30:31.120
<v Speaker 3>about the former dishwasher engineer who is also successful sending

0:30:31.200 --> 0:30:34.160
<v Speaker 3>rockets into space and giving Musk perhaps a run for

0:30:34.200 --> 0:30:36.480
<v Speaker 3>his space money. This story is the cover of the

0:30:36.480 --> 0:30:39.520
<v Speaker 3>new issue of Bloomberg Business Week, on newsstands tomorrow, already

0:30:39.560 --> 0:30:42.360
<v Speaker 3>online at Bloomberg dot com, slash BusinessWeek, and it's on

0:30:42.400 --> 0:30:45.840
<v Speaker 3>the Bloomberg Terminal. The story and excerpt from Ashley Vance's

0:30:45.920 --> 0:30:48.719
<v Speaker 3>new book entitled When the Heavens Went on Sale The

0:30:48.760 --> 0:30:52.840
<v Speaker 3>Misfits and Geniuses Racing to put Space within Reach.

0:30:52.880 --> 0:30:54.120
<v Speaker 4>Excuse me, great.

0:30:53.920 --> 0:30:56.920
<v Speaker 3>Title, Ashally, As you know, Bloomberg BusinessWeek features writer. He's

0:30:56.960 --> 0:31:00.440
<v Speaker 3>also author of another book on Yeah one of those Spacebookllionaires,

0:31:00.440 --> 0:31:03.800
<v Speaker 3>Elon Musk, Tesla, SpaceX and the Quest for a Fantastic Future.

0:31:03.880 --> 0:31:07.200
<v Speaker 3>Ashley Jetning us on Zoom from Palo Alto, California along

0:31:07.200 --> 0:31:09.280
<v Speaker 3>with the editor of Bloomberg Business with Joel Weber here

0:31:09.320 --> 0:31:13.880
<v Speaker 3>in our Interactive Broker's Studio. Joel incredible story and we

0:31:13.920 --> 0:31:16.720
<v Speaker 3>do focus on the billionaires, but there's so much more here,

0:31:16.800 --> 0:31:19.240
<v Speaker 3>including what is in Ashley's book.

0:31:19.360 --> 0:31:23.320
<v Speaker 10>Yeah, I'm really excited about this book because you know,

0:31:23.720 --> 0:31:27.040
<v Speaker 10>BusinessWeek did a space issue of a number of years ago,

0:31:27.200 --> 0:31:29.560
<v Speaker 10>and wow, it was ahead of its time, but not

0:31:29.760 --> 0:31:35.360
<v Speaker 10>as quite as thorough as Ashley's book, which takes this

0:31:35.440 --> 0:31:37.400
<v Speaker 10>idea of like, look, there's going to be a space

0:31:37.440 --> 0:31:40.760
<v Speaker 10>economy and it's going to look completely different than anything

0:31:40.800 --> 0:31:43.600
<v Speaker 10>that's come before it. It's going to involve a lot

0:31:43.720 --> 0:31:48.200
<v Speaker 10>more satellites in space and this low Earth orbit thing.

0:31:48.560 --> 0:31:50.400
<v Speaker 10>Just get ready to hear so much more about it

0:31:50.480 --> 0:31:54.760
<v Speaker 10>and the entrepreneurs that this brings out. Obviously there's the

0:31:54.840 --> 0:31:57.840
<v Speaker 10>Elon Musk and the SpaceX thing, and they really helped

0:31:57.880 --> 0:32:00.960
<v Speaker 10>pioneer what this looks like. But they are not alone.

0:32:01.080 --> 0:32:03.720
<v Speaker 10>And that brings us to the excerpt because there's this

0:32:03.840 --> 0:32:09.680
<v Speaker 10>really unlikely SpaceX rival that Ashley found. And by unlikely,

0:32:09.760 --> 0:32:13.080
<v Speaker 10>I mean you couldn't imagine a more unlikely candidate, right Ashley.

0:32:14.400 --> 0:32:17.440
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, Well, you know it is a one of a

0:32:17.520 --> 0:32:21.680
<v Speaker 8>kind story. You know, You've got this guy named Peter Beck,

0:32:22.800 --> 0:32:24.080
<v Speaker 8>who's from New Zealand.

0:32:25.280 --> 0:32:25.840
<v Speaker 1>I think a.

0:32:25.880 --> 0:32:28.120
<v Speaker 8>Lot of times in space we think of, you know,

0:32:28.240 --> 0:32:32.160
<v Speaker 8>either the billionaires or you're like a NASA veteran or

0:32:32.200 --> 0:32:36.040
<v Speaker 8>some MIT PhD. But but Peter, you know, he essentially

0:32:36.120 --> 0:32:39.960
<v Speaker 8>left school at sixteen, got his equivalent of the ged

0:32:40.240 --> 0:32:44.240
<v Speaker 8>and and was working at a at a dishwasher maker,

0:32:44.440 --> 0:32:46.640
<v Speaker 8>you know, as an apprentice, and then he worked at

0:32:46.640 --> 0:32:49.000
<v Speaker 8>a government lab for a while. But he really just

0:32:49.040 --> 0:32:53.120
<v Speaker 8>did He's like this possessed engineer who was doing all

0:32:53.160 --> 0:32:55.840
<v Speaker 8>this rocketry stuff in his spare time and is in

0:32:55.920 --> 0:32:59.640
<v Speaker 8>the shed outside of his house, and he made it work.

0:32:59.640 --> 0:33:04.200
<v Speaker 8>I mean, like, for one hundred years, individuals had kind

0:33:04.200 --> 0:33:07.280
<v Speaker 8>of tried to make a small rocket that could get

0:33:07.320 --> 0:33:10.400
<v Speaker 8>to space, and Peter's the first one that actually managed

0:33:10.440 --> 0:33:14.080
<v Speaker 8>to pull this off. And today Rocket Lab is like

0:33:14.200 --> 0:33:16.880
<v Speaker 8>the second coming of space X. They're really the only

0:33:16.920 --> 0:33:20.720
<v Speaker 8>two commercial rocket companies that are making a real go

0:33:20.840 --> 0:33:21.160
<v Speaker 8>of it.

0:33:21.680 --> 0:33:24.280
<v Speaker 10>So tell us more about this guy. Because New Zealand

0:33:24.440 --> 0:33:31.280
<v Speaker 10>not exactly known for space exploration or rockets, and yet

0:33:31.360 --> 0:33:35.760
<v Speaker 10>here we have a guy and planet Lab publicly traded company.

0:33:36.720 --> 0:33:38.840
<v Speaker 10>How did this all come about? How do you get

0:33:38.840 --> 0:33:42.160
<v Speaker 10>into rockets when there is no rocket industry around you?

0:33:43.240 --> 0:33:43.480
<v Speaker 1>Yeah?

0:33:43.520 --> 0:33:47.560
<v Speaker 8>I think just through force of will you know, I

0:33:47.600 --> 0:33:50.160
<v Speaker 8>mean Peter is he must be like, I don't know

0:33:50.200 --> 0:33:51.719
<v Speaker 8>what number you want to put on it, like a

0:33:51.720 --> 0:33:55.560
<v Speaker 8>one and a billion kind of engineer. And and you know,

0:33:55.600 --> 0:33:58.320
<v Speaker 8>he did a lot of this early work building sort

0:33:58.320 --> 0:34:01.120
<v Speaker 8>of a small rocket and then a little bit bigger

0:34:01.160 --> 0:34:04.280
<v Speaker 8>one and then and then finally getting to something that

0:34:05.280 --> 0:34:08.480
<v Speaker 8>could could play in this commercial field. And he was

0:34:08.560 --> 0:34:13.880
<v Speaker 8>able to Marshall. You know, there are these regulations around

0:34:13.920 --> 0:34:18.520
<v Speaker 8>the space industry that that forbid American engineers from helping

0:34:18.680 --> 0:34:21.680
<v Speaker 8>a New Zealand company like rocket Lab, and so Peter

0:34:22.840 --> 0:34:25.200
<v Speaker 8>he didn't have anyone that had like built a rocket

0:34:25.239 --> 0:34:30.040
<v Speaker 8>before on his team. Nobody was like real experience doing this,

0:34:30.160 --> 0:34:34.000
<v Speaker 8>and he cobbled together this group of of twenty year

0:34:34.000 --> 0:34:38.399
<v Speaker 8>old New Zealanders and Australians and they managed to pull

0:34:38.440 --> 0:34:41.440
<v Speaker 8>this off. I mean, he's he's sort of like what

0:34:41.520 --> 0:34:45.879
<v Speaker 8>I think of as the platonic ideal of engineer. It's

0:34:45.960 --> 0:34:49.680
<v Speaker 8>just like runs in his blood. He, like Elon wants

0:34:49.719 --> 0:34:53.439
<v Speaker 8>to go to Mars. Peter like just wants to make

0:34:53.719 --> 0:34:56.520
<v Speaker 8>things that go fast and rockets and is just is

0:34:56.640 --> 0:34:58.600
<v Speaker 8>just possessed to have to do that.

0:34:59.440 --> 0:35:03.480
<v Speaker 6>Well, it's so so cool that someone with that perfect

0:35:03.560 --> 0:35:07.719
<v Speaker 6>description of engineer's personality in mind ended up with the

0:35:07.760 --> 0:35:11.600
<v Speaker 6>money needed to sort of take that vision and personality

0:35:11.760 --> 0:35:13.600
<v Speaker 6>and turn it into what he was able to turn

0:35:13.640 --> 0:35:16.239
<v Speaker 6>it into. Can you talk a little bit about how

0:35:16.280 --> 0:35:19.120
<v Speaker 6>he got that money and the operation he built that

0:35:19.200 --> 0:35:22.000
<v Speaker 6>you describe as something that might have looked absurd because

0:35:22.000 --> 0:35:24.239
<v Speaker 6>it was three people in an office the size of

0:35:24.280 --> 0:35:25.560
<v Speaker 6>my New York City apartment.

0:35:26.640 --> 0:35:28.640
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, I mean, you know, this is like the story

0:35:28.640 --> 0:35:32.080
<v Speaker 8>of commercial space right now. You know, for sixty seventy years,

0:35:32.840 --> 0:35:35.719
<v Speaker 8>this was government backed stuff. It was the thing that

0:35:35.960 --> 0:35:39.520
<v Speaker 8>nations did, and only a handful of nations had ever

0:35:39.560 --> 0:35:42.160
<v Speaker 8>really been major players in space. And then we had

0:35:42.160 --> 0:35:45.760
<v Speaker 8>this kind of like billionaire era, obviously led by Elon,

0:35:45.800 --> 0:35:48.480
<v Speaker 8>who is the most successful, and now you know, we're

0:35:48.480 --> 0:35:51.960
<v Speaker 8>in the venture capital era of space. Over the last

0:35:52.040 --> 0:35:54.720
<v Speaker 8>two or three years, about two hundred and fifty billion

0:35:54.760 --> 0:35:58.479
<v Speaker 8>dollars have been put into commercial space companies, and rocket

0:35:58.560 --> 0:36:02.920
<v Speaker 8>Lab was near the front of that line of Peter.

0:36:03.840 --> 0:36:06.200
<v Speaker 8>He was with these three guys in this research lab

0:36:06.239 --> 0:36:09.200
<v Speaker 8>and they built this tiny rocket and sent it off

0:36:09.239 --> 0:36:11.239
<v Speaker 8>and it was it was enough of a proof of

0:36:11.360 --> 0:36:14.600
<v Speaker 8>concept that he seemed real that he could come to

0:36:14.640 --> 0:36:18.680
<v Speaker 8>Silicon Valley. Coastal Adventures was one of the first companies

0:36:18.719 --> 0:36:20.920
<v Speaker 8>to put to put money into it. But you know,

0:36:20.920 --> 0:36:22.719
<v Speaker 8>there's a pretty funny story in my book. I mean,

0:36:23.360 --> 0:36:26.640
<v Speaker 8>Peter comes to the valley, is this total outsider, you know,

0:36:26.719 --> 0:36:29.960
<v Speaker 8>and he's like putting his engines and his rockets on

0:36:30.040 --> 0:36:32.880
<v Speaker 8>the table and just like assuring these guys that he

0:36:32.920 --> 0:36:35.560
<v Speaker 8>can do this. And he kind of like did it

0:36:35.600 --> 0:36:40.560
<v Speaker 8>at the right time and has they're a public company now.

0:36:40.600 --> 0:36:43.600
<v Speaker 8>I mean, you know, he's really gotten quite far with

0:36:43.640 --> 0:36:47.200
<v Speaker 8>all this and paved the way for dozens to hundreds

0:36:47.200 --> 0:36:48.000
<v Speaker 8>of other companies.

0:36:48.040 --> 0:36:49.759
<v Speaker 10>I want to talk about just how crazy that is

0:36:49.800 --> 0:36:52.799
<v Speaker 10>because that burst rocket he built. When you read about

0:36:52.800 --> 0:36:55.279
<v Speaker 10>this in the book, and we excerpted this part, he

0:36:55.719 --> 0:36:59.719
<v Speaker 10>ends up holding a bar of solid rocket fuel in

0:36:59.760 --> 0:37:02.839
<v Speaker 10>this I can't imagine a more dangerous idea. But yet

0:37:03.080 --> 0:37:05.000
<v Speaker 10>in order to do this, he had to figure out

0:37:05.320 --> 0:37:09.120
<v Speaker 10>the propellants. So walk us through how that challenge, how

0:37:09.160 --> 0:37:10.239
<v Speaker 10>he cracked that challenge.

0:37:10.760 --> 0:37:13.280
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, I mean there's a guy who, like I'm not kidding,

0:37:13.640 --> 0:37:16.960
<v Speaker 8>you know, he used to just he would make propellants

0:37:17.120 --> 0:37:19.359
<v Speaker 8>on his own, you know, at his house. He used

0:37:19.360 --> 0:37:22.080
<v Speaker 8>to dress himself up in like garbage bags just to

0:37:22.160 --> 0:37:23.759
<v Speaker 8>keep this toxic stuff up.

0:37:23.800 --> 0:37:26.600
<v Speaker 10>As a parent, when your kids like, I'm gonna go

0:37:26.600 --> 0:37:28.360
<v Speaker 10>over to Peter Beck's house, You're like, no, you're.

0:37:28.280 --> 0:37:31.080
<v Speaker 2>Not exactly right there.

0:37:32.080 --> 0:37:34.440
<v Speaker 8>Like, you know, he as a kid, he had this

0:37:34.520 --> 0:37:36.600
<v Speaker 8>like total freedom growing up. Like he would just go

0:37:36.680 --> 0:37:39.360
<v Speaker 8>in the shed and his parents wouldn't see him for hours.

0:37:39.480 --> 0:37:42.880
<v Speaker 8>And then yeah, he would put these plastic bags on.

0:37:42.960 --> 0:37:45.719
<v Speaker 8>He was telling me, you know, you had this this apartment.

0:37:45.760 --> 0:37:47.799
<v Speaker 8>At one point He's like, yeah, I don't. I did

0:37:47.840 --> 0:37:50.000
<v Speaker 8>so many experiments. I don't think the grass is ever

0:37:50.080 --> 0:37:54.160
<v Speaker 8>going to grow in that spot again. And and there's

0:37:54.160 --> 0:37:57.120
<v Speaker 8>this amazing video that people can find on YouTube. The

0:37:57.160 --> 0:38:00.600
<v Speaker 8>first rocket was called the at One. It's at EA

0:38:00.840 --> 0:38:06.040
<v Speaker 8>and and you know it's Peter two other guys, you know,

0:38:06.080 --> 0:38:08.839
<v Speaker 8>and Peter's got this white lab coat on to sort

0:38:08.880 --> 0:38:11.799
<v Speaker 8>of add some kind of like semblance, so that he

0:38:11.920 --> 0:38:16.160
<v Speaker 8>knows what he's doing. And they're just literally in a

0:38:16.200 --> 0:38:19.239
<v Speaker 8>shed on an island in New Zealand and he hits

0:38:19.280 --> 0:38:21.800
<v Speaker 8>this button and the rocket takes off and it works,

0:38:22.040 --> 0:38:24.360
<v Speaker 8>and he's just out there shouting. I mean, there's something

0:38:24.440 --> 0:38:28.560
<v Speaker 8>like kind of just very wholesome and authentic, and and

0:38:28.760 --> 0:38:30.480
<v Speaker 8>you know, we write about it in the story. I mean,

0:38:30.520 --> 0:38:34.040
<v Speaker 8>he's a bit of like the opposite the anti Elon.

0:38:34.120 --> 0:38:36.680
<v Speaker 8>This is not like a this is not a guy

0:38:37.239 --> 0:38:39.600
<v Speaker 8>on Twitter stirring things up, but you know, he's just

0:38:39.719 --> 0:38:41.359
<v Speaker 8>very focused on what he wants to do.

0:38:41.800 --> 0:38:44.640
<v Speaker 10>Okay, so we can definitely talk about the anti Elon,

0:38:44.719 --> 0:38:46.440
<v Speaker 10>But in order to talk about the anti Elon, we

0:38:46.440 --> 0:38:49.400
<v Speaker 10>also have to talk about the Elon because you know,

0:38:49.560 --> 0:38:54.440
<v Speaker 10>SpaceX obviously has pioneered this. What does Elon have to

0:38:54.440 --> 0:38:57.920
<v Speaker 10>say about Peter Beck and Planet Labs and the two

0:38:57.960 --> 0:38:59.200
<v Speaker 10>of them have met, actually, right.

0:39:00.120 --> 0:39:00.360
<v Speaker 5>They have.

0:39:00.480 --> 0:39:07.239
<v Speaker 8>I mean I actually like arranged this dinner matchmaker. Elon's like,

0:39:08.120 --> 0:39:09.840
<v Speaker 8>Peter wanted to have dinner. I was like, well, you

0:39:09.880 --> 0:39:12.280
<v Speaker 8>better buy me a steak and bring me some flowers.

0:39:12.800 --> 0:39:15.480
<v Speaker 8>But you know, I mean space X, Look, they are

0:39:15.560 --> 0:39:18.880
<v Speaker 8>the giant in this this field, they're sort of lapping everybody,

0:39:19.000 --> 0:39:22.120
<v Speaker 8>but the you know, rocket Lab is incredibly real and

0:39:22.640 --> 0:39:26.200
<v Speaker 8>the only you know, other player. But I think for

0:39:26.280 --> 0:39:30.200
<v Speaker 8>Elon at least he Elon claims, you know, rocket Lab

0:39:30.320 --> 0:39:32.200
<v Speaker 8>was not on his radar. We were talking on the

0:39:32.239 --> 0:39:33.920
<v Speaker 8>phone when I was in New Zealand and he's like, oh,

0:39:34.080 --> 0:39:34.439
<v Speaker 8>what are.

0:39:34.360 --> 0:39:34.759
<v Speaker 1>They up to?

0:39:34.960 --> 0:39:38.640
<v Speaker 8>And then I did set up this this dinner with Peter,

0:39:38.719 --> 0:39:42.320
<v Speaker 8>and I think maybe Elon's tune changed where Peter said,

0:39:42.400 --> 0:39:45.120
<v Speaker 8>you know, it's kind of like, be careful of poking

0:39:45.160 --> 0:39:48.160
<v Speaker 8>the bear. Because because shortly after they had this dinner,

0:39:49.120 --> 0:39:52.439
<v Speaker 8>SpaceX started this program where they do these these ride

0:39:52.440 --> 0:39:55.759
<v Speaker 8>shares for small satellites, and small satellites are like what

0:39:55.960 --> 0:40:00.000
<v Speaker 8>rocket Lab specializes in, and space X drop the price

0:40:00.680 --> 0:40:04.040
<v Speaker 8>drastically for what they charged to take these small satellites

0:40:04.120 --> 0:40:06.759
<v Speaker 8>up to orbit, and it looked, you know, very much

0:40:06.960 --> 0:40:09.960
<v Speaker 8>like a direct shot at rocket Lab. So I don't

0:40:10.000 --> 0:40:12.719
<v Speaker 8>know if Peter regrets that invitation.

0:40:14.680 --> 0:40:18.680
<v Speaker 3>It sounds like, yes, maybe, but it's interesting. I mean, actually,

0:40:18.719 --> 0:40:22.640
<v Speaker 3>when you look at the entire space race again, if

0:40:22.680 --> 0:40:24.719
<v Speaker 3>you will, it's a very different one than it was

0:40:24.840 --> 0:40:27.880
<v Speaker 3>from the sixties, right under President Kennedy, and it was

0:40:28.000 --> 0:40:29.799
<v Speaker 3>very government led, right, and all the money that was

0:40:29.840 --> 0:40:31.600
<v Speaker 3>plowing into it. I had a dad who was involved

0:40:31.600 --> 0:40:33.399
<v Speaker 3>in it, you know, from the government perspective and.

0:40:33.440 --> 0:40:34.839
<v Speaker 4>Public private partnerships.

0:40:35.120 --> 0:40:37.160
<v Speaker 3>When you look at it today, is it going to

0:40:37.200 --> 0:40:41.440
<v Speaker 3>require Yes, the Elon Musks and SpaceX's of the world,

0:40:41.440 --> 0:40:44.520
<v Speaker 3>but also the Peter Becks and the rocket labs of

0:40:44.520 --> 0:40:45.359
<v Speaker 3>this world as well.

0:40:46.440 --> 0:40:48.960
<v Speaker 8>Oh yeah, yeah, I mean things are so different. I

0:40:49.000 --> 0:40:50.839
<v Speaker 8>mean it's kind of you know, sort of amazing. Like

0:40:50.840 --> 0:40:53.960
<v Speaker 8>the from the Apollo era until about I don't know,

0:40:54.040 --> 0:40:57.040
<v Speaker 8>ten or fifteen years ago, things really hadn't changed that much.

0:40:57.120 --> 0:41:00.960
<v Speaker 8>The rockets, look to say, the satellite were on very

0:41:01.040 --> 0:41:05.520
<v Speaker 8>antiquated technology, and we've had this huge shift. You know,

0:41:05.560 --> 0:41:08.000
<v Speaker 8>SpaceX sort of kicked things off, but now we have

0:41:08.480 --> 0:41:11.120
<v Speaker 8>we've got much cheaper rockets the satellites. Like for the

0:41:11.160 --> 0:41:13.160
<v Speaker 8>first time, I write in the book, you know, we've

0:41:13.239 --> 0:41:16.080
<v Speaker 8>brought Moore's law to space. It used to be these

0:41:16.320 --> 0:41:20.480
<v Speaker 8>these very specialized computing systems that we're old we're using

0:41:20.480 --> 0:41:25.920
<v Speaker 8>like consumer electronics. Now it's all very modernized. And you know,

0:41:25.960 --> 0:41:28.640
<v Speaker 8>the biggest data point I can give people is that

0:41:28.920 --> 0:41:32.160
<v Speaker 8>from the sixties until twenty twenty we had put up

0:41:32.280 --> 0:41:36.640
<v Speaker 8>two thousand, five hundred satellites in lower tharbit from twenty

0:41:36.719 --> 0:41:39.080
<v Speaker 8>twenty to twenty twenty two. Just the last two years

0:41:39.160 --> 0:41:42.160
<v Speaker 8>that number doubled. It's going to double again this year

0:41:42.280 --> 0:41:44.160
<v Speaker 8>and the next year. We're going to get to one

0:41:44.239 --> 0:41:48.400
<v Speaker 8>hundred thousand satellites possibly like in the next decade. And

0:41:48.440 --> 0:41:51.680
<v Speaker 8>so you know, it is not governments that are putting

0:41:51.680 --> 0:41:54.080
<v Speaker 8>all those things up. These are companies that are building

0:41:54.440 --> 0:41:57.840
<v Speaker 8>a sort of computing shell around the planet. And I

0:41:57.840 --> 0:42:00.239
<v Speaker 8>think this is like our next is our next big

0:42:00.280 --> 0:42:03.719
<v Speaker 8>technology infrastructure play, you know, like the next stage after

0:42:03.760 --> 0:42:06.160
<v Speaker 8>sort of the dot com boom.

0:42:06.320 --> 0:42:08.319
<v Speaker 6>So by the end of your book, do we know

0:42:08.920 --> 0:42:10.080
<v Speaker 6>who is gonna win?

0:42:12.280 --> 0:42:17.040
<v Speaker 3>No, this is still still I think it's gonna be

0:42:17.040 --> 0:42:20.080
<v Speaker 3>AI generated, Ashley. It's something that we just don't even

0:42:20.120 --> 0:42:20.560
<v Speaker 3>know yet.

0:42:21.760 --> 0:42:24.200
<v Speaker 8>We already have, We've already got AI in space, you

0:42:24.239 --> 0:42:26.959
<v Speaker 8>know for worse. But but you know, there's a couple

0:42:26.960 --> 0:42:29.240
<v Speaker 8>of companies that are kind of clear winners, like Planet

0:42:29.280 --> 0:42:32.680
<v Speaker 8>Labs is this satellite company. They pioneered sort of the

0:42:32.680 --> 0:42:36.839
<v Speaker 8>low cost satellite and and they're doing great. Rocket Lab

0:42:36.920 --> 0:42:38.880
<v Speaker 8>I'm sure will be around. I think we're going to

0:42:38.960 --> 0:42:43.239
<v Speaker 8>have there was such this like frenetic explosion of activity.

0:42:43.280 --> 0:42:46.160
<v Speaker 8>All this SPAC stuff helped, you know, add some gas

0:42:46.239 --> 0:42:48.000
<v Speaker 8>to the fire. And I think we're going to have

0:42:48.080 --> 0:42:50.359
<v Speaker 8>We just saw Virgin Orbit go bankrupt. I think we're

0:42:50.360 --> 0:42:53.960
<v Speaker 8>gonna see a little retrenching here for a minute. But

0:42:54.719 --> 0:42:58.640
<v Speaker 8>the underlying principle that like the economics of this, that

0:42:58.680 --> 0:43:02.320
<v Speaker 8>this is a business as opposed to a government lad endeavor.

0:43:02.440 --> 0:43:04.280
<v Speaker 8>You know, I think all of that stuff holds.

0:43:04.440 --> 0:43:07.279
<v Speaker 10>Okay, So we got to talk about Rocket Labs here.

0:43:07.640 --> 0:43:11.960
<v Speaker 10>Who else figures into the book that you were excited about?

0:43:12.160 --> 0:43:15.439
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, I mean Planet Labs, the one I mentioned. They're

0:43:15.480 --> 0:43:18.360
<v Speaker 8>the satellite company. They've surrounded the Earth with hundreds of

0:43:18.760 --> 0:43:22.120
<v Speaker 8>imaging satellites. They take pictures of every spot on Earth

0:43:22.520 --> 0:43:26.799
<v Speaker 8>all every day and sort of get this sounds like espionage,

0:43:26.800 --> 0:43:28.920
<v Speaker 8>but it's not really. It's more like this this kind

0:43:28.920 --> 0:43:33.400
<v Speaker 8>of like real time accounting system of human activity. You know,

0:43:33.480 --> 0:43:36.080
<v Speaker 8>where is oil going, how many cars are in a

0:43:36.120 --> 0:43:38.719
<v Speaker 8>Walmart parking lot, how many trees are in the Amazon

0:43:38.800 --> 0:43:42.680
<v Speaker 8>sort of counting these things. There's another company called Astra,

0:43:42.840 --> 0:43:45.759
<v Speaker 8>which is like the the opposite of Rocket Lab. It's

0:43:45.800 --> 0:43:49.040
<v Speaker 8>this sort of like chaotic fast paced company that's trying

0:43:49.040 --> 0:43:53.799
<v Speaker 8>to make the cheapest rockets ever created and are sort

0:43:53.800 --> 0:43:56.360
<v Speaker 8>of going through some things and then maybe you know,

0:43:56.560 --> 0:43:59.680
<v Speaker 8>one of my absolute favorite stories is this sky Max

0:43:59.760 --> 0:44:03.080
<v Speaker 8>points Akhoff, who was the former owner of a company

0:44:03.120 --> 0:44:07.320
<v Speaker 8>called Firefly. He was Ukrainian. He poured two hundred and

0:44:07.360 --> 0:44:10.600
<v Speaker 8>fifty million dollars into this rocket company, and then you'll

0:44:10.600 --> 0:44:13.640
<v Speaker 8>see in my book the US government tosses him out

0:44:14.040 --> 0:44:16.800
<v Speaker 8>of the country right before the war with Russia.

0:44:18.640 --> 0:44:23.440
<v Speaker 3>Unbelievable stories. Fifteen seconds. Elon, though in your view based

0:44:23.480 --> 0:44:26.160
<v Speaker 3>on what you're seeing, because is still very central to

0:44:26.160 --> 0:44:26.799
<v Speaker 3>what's going on.

0:44:26.920 --> 0:44:30.920
<v Speaker 4>Just very quickly, is Elon Did you say yeah, Elon?

0:44:31.640 --> 0:44:36.080
<v Speaker 8>Oh yeah, I mean SpaceX is just the dominant force

0:44:36.160 --> 0:44:40.000
<v Speaker 8>looming over everything in commercial space. They're lapping everybody.

0:44:40.120 --> 0:44:41.960
<v Speaker 4>Just watch if you have dinner with them, because he might.

0:44:43.400 --> 0:44:44.560
<v Speaker 5>Might impact what he's going to do.

0:44:45.120 --> 0:44:48.120
<v Speaker 3>Ashley always great stuff features writer a Bloomberg Business Week.

0:44:48.200 --> 0:44:50.360
<v Speaker 3>Check out his new book, When the Heavens Went on Sale,

0:44:50.360 --> 0:44:53.479
<v Speaker 3>The Misfits and Geniuses Racing to put Space within Reach.

0:44:53.520 --> 0:44:56.440
<v Speaker 3>An excerpt in the new issue of Bloomberg BusinessWeek on newstands,

0:44:56.440 --> 0:44:58.520
<v Speaker 3>online and on the Bloomberg and our thanks to Jill

0:44:58.560 --> 0:44:59.200
<v Speaker 3>Webber as well.

0:44:59.360 --> 0:45:00.000
<v Speaker 4>This is Bloomberg.

0:45:03.880 --> 0:45:08.279
<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business. Wait inside from the reporters and

0:45:08.440 --> 0:45:12.319
<v Speaker 1>editors who bring you America's most trusted business magazine, plus.

0:45:12.080 --> 0:45:14.560
<v Speaker 2>Global business, finance and tech news.

0:45:14.719 --> 0:45:18.839
<v Speaker 1>The Bloomberg Business Week Podcast with Carol Messer and Tim

0:45:18.880 --> 0:45:21.320
<v Speaker 1>Stenebek from Bloomberg Radio.

0:45:22.719 --> 0:45:24.319
<v Speaker 3>All right, so, Maddie, we want a little bit more

0:45:24.320 --> 0:45:26.160
<v Speaker 3>about the bank sector because a great story on the

0:45:26.200 --> 0:45:30.360
<v Speaker 3>Bloomberg targets one number in particular. I would safe to

0:45:30.400 --> 0:45:33.360
<v Speaker 3>say that the number is probably growing. Fifty four billion dollars.

0:45:33.360 --> 0:45:35.760
<v Speaker 3>That's how much stock and bond investors have lost following

0:45:35.800 --> 0:45:38.640
<v Speaker 3>the collapse of four regional banks. Some say this is

0:45:38.640 --> 0:45:41.200
<v Speaker 3>how the market is supposed to work. With some size

0:45:41.239 --> 0:45:44.000
<v Speaker 3>and scope though, and perspective of what more could come,

0:45:44.239 --> 0:45:46.920
<v Speaker 3>Let's get to Bloomberg News Consumer finance reporter Paige Smith.

0:45:47.000 --> 0:45:50.000
<v Speaker 3>She joins us from our DC Bureau page. Good to

0:45:50.040 --> 0:45:52.560
<v Speaker 3>have you here with Maddie and myself. So let's start

0:45:52.600 --> 0:45:54.759
<v Speaker 3>with the size and scope about the impact of those

0:45:54.800 --> 0:45:58.720
<v Speaker 3>four regionals, both equity and bond sides of the financial

0:45:58.800 --> 0:45:59.440
<v Speaker 3>markets being hit.

0:45:59.480 --> 0:46:00.480
<v Speaker 4>Give us the perspective.

0:46:01.360 --> 0:46:04.640
<v Speaker 11>Yeah, hi, folks, thanks for having me and gosh, it's

0:46:04.719 --> 0:46:07.239
<v Speaker 11>kind of hard to follow herman, he's so good, you

0:46:07.280 --> 0:46:09.799
<v Speaker 11>know so much. But I'll try to break it down

0:46:09.880 --> 0:46:13.120
<v Speaker 11>as best as well as he did. But so we

0:46:13.320 --> 0:46:15.719
<v Speaker 11>basically did a little math here and looked at the

0:46:15.719 --> 0:46:20.880
<v Speaker 11>four US lenders that have collapsed that have collapsed, so Silvergate, Signature,

0:46:22.080 --> 0:46:25.200
<v Speaker 11>Silicon Valley Bank, and First Republic Bank, and looked at

0:46:25.480 --> 0:46:28.560
<v Speaker 11>basically tallied up all of the losses that investors have

0:46:28.600 --> 0:46:31.239
<v Speaker 11>been saddled with since February twenty eighth, and this was

0:46:31.239 --> 0:46:34.560
<v Speaker 11>calculated on May second, So to put that in perspective,

0:46:34.600 --> 0:46:39.120
<v Speaker 11>it's around forty six point nine billion dollars of market

0:46:39.160 --> 0:46:43.720
<v Speaker 11>capitalization that's been erased since February twenty eighth and around

0:46:43.760 --> 0:46:48.400
<v Speaker 11>seven point five billion dollars gone from bonds and preferred shares.

0:46:48.600 --> 0:46:52.920
<v Speaker 11>So that's totals to be around fifty four billion dollars

0:46:53.200 --> 0:46:56.640
<v Speaker 11>lost just to break it up, Just to have broken that.

0:46:56.600 --> 0:47:00.200
<v Speaker 6>Down, Yeah, it's an insane amount of money, obviously, AG,

0:47:00.280 --> 0:47:02.920
<v Speaker 6>and thanks for breaking that down for us. Going back

0:47:02.960 --> 0:47:06.760
<v Speaker 6>to what you were just mentioning preferred shareholders and bondholders,

0:47:07.800 --> 0:47:12.520
<v Speaker 6>this does not include them, and is the bondholding space

0:47:12.600 --> 0:47:14.600
<v Speaker 6>worthless now for these these investors.

0:47:15.280 --> 0:47:18.520
<v Speaker 11>Well, no, just to clarify, so the that is actually

0:47:18.600 --> 0:47:21.799
<v Speaker 11>how much has been lost, So there is still some

0:47:22.640 --> 0:47:26.719
<v Speaker 11>combined I believe the market the share value still is

0:47:26.800 --> 0:47:30.640
<v Speaker 11>total well as of Tuesday, was totaling around seven hundred

0:47:30.640 --> 0:47:34.319
<v Speaker 11>and twenty five million dollars for those four lenders. But

0:47:34.719 --> 0:47:38.200
<v Speaker 11>so not all is lost just yet or wasn't as

0:47:38.200 --> 0:47:41.960
<v Speaker 11>of tuesday. But you know, a lot of this really

0:47:42.040 --> 0:47:45.359
<v Speaker 11>has to do with, as a great professor said, how

0:47:45.360 --> 0:47:49.600
<v Speaker 11>the market functions, right. You know, depositors were a number

0:47:49.600 --> 0:47:53.400
<v Speaker 11>of depositors were guaranteed and were made whole. But you know,

0:47:53.520 --> 0:47:57.560
<v Speaker 11>the stockholders and junior debt owners are sort of at

0:47:57.600 --> 0:48:01.400
<v Speaker 11>the back of the line in terms of priority for

0:48:01.400 --> 0:48:04.360
<v Speaker 11>for you know, being made.

0:48:04.200 --> 0:48:07.000
<v Speaker 3>Hold here right, so maybe not worthless yet but close

0:48:07.040 --> 0:48:11.160
<v Speaker 3>to it or could be. So how in terms of

0:48:11.480 --> 0:48:14.120
<v Speaker 3>reporting out this story page and looking you know, we

0:48:14.200 --> 0:48:16.279
<v Speaker 3>just as you said, just had herman on and you

0:48:16.320 --> 0:48:18.799
<v Speaker 3>know the banks that we're watching today, Western Alliance and

0:48:18.840 --> 0:48:22.120
<v Speaker 3>pack West, and who knows what else might come our way.

0:48:22.400 --> 0:48:26.440
<v Speaker 3>What were you hearing about maybe the future potential impact

0:48:26.719 --> 0:48:28.720
<v Speaker 3>if we continue to see problems in the sector.

0:48:29.440 --> 0:48:32.880
<v Speaker 11>Gosh, I don't have a crystal ball in front of

0:48:32.920 --> 0:48:34.840
<v Speaker 11>me at the moment. But all I can say is

0:48:34.880 --> 0:48:38.960
<v Speaker 11>that prices are still extremely volatile. I mean to the

0:48:39.040 --> 0:48:43.120
<v Speaker 11>volatilities sort of being felt and across across the market

0:48:43.200 --> 0:48:45.840
<v Speaker 11>right now. And I mean, like you said, pack Western

0:48:45.880 --> 0:48:48.960
<v Speaker 11>Western Alliance have looked a little roller coaster like today,

0:48:49.000 --> 0:48:50.080
<v Speaker 11>I would say, right.

0:48:50.600 --> 0:48:52.360
<v Speaker 3>But what I want to ask you about is you

0:48:52.360 --> 0:48:55.360
<v Speaker 3>talk to somebody at Northwestern University and they talked a

0:48:55.360 --> 0:48:58.600
<v Speaker 3>little bit right about if only half of uninsured depositors

0:48:58.680 --> 0:49:00.640
<v Speaker 3>yank their funds, around a hundred and nine banks with

0:49:00.680 --> 0:49:04.480
<v Speaker 3>assets of three hundred billion could be impaired. So we're

0:49:04.520 --> 0:49:08.399
<v Speaker 3>talking about again, we're just guys. We're just guessing here,

0:49:08.560 --> 0:49:11.680
<v Speaker 3>they're guessing, but right there is the impact that it

0:49:11.680 --> 0:49:12.440
<v Speaker 3>could be a lot.

0:49:12.320 --> 0:49:15.719
<v Speaker 11>More, absolutely, and we just don't know right now, but

0:49:15.880 --> 0:49:18.920
<v Speaker 11>it is. You know, things are a little bit all

0:49:18.920 --> 0:49:21.800
<v Speaker 11>over the place, we'll put it that way. The market

0:49:22.040 --> 0:49:26.200
<v Speaker 11>is definitely still volatile right now. So yes, theoretically, if

0:49:26.239 --> 0:49:29.600
<v Speaker 11>things sort of continue as they are, more could be lost.

0:49:29.880 --> 0:49:32.200
<v Speaker 6>And what did your sources say page about you know,

0:49:32.280 --> 0:49:35.920
<v Speaker 6>the big big question, which is is it fair and

0:49:36.040 --> 0:49:40.120
<v Speaker 6>okay that investors are losing a lot of money as

0:49:40.160 --> 0:49:44.719
<v Speaker 6>we all experience the regional banking turmoil. What were your

0:49:44.800 --> 0:49:48.239
<v Speaker 6>sources responses about what that should look like or any

0:49:48.320 --> 0:49:51.239
<v Speaker 6>changes that should be made to hedge against that.

0:49:52.360 --> 0:49:55.920
<v Speaker 11>Well, to kind of address the last part of that question,

0:49:55.960 --> 0:49:58.239
<v Speaker 11>there are a lot of changes being sort of batted around.

0:49:58.280 --> 0:50:00.560
<v Speaker 11>As Herman sort of said a little bit earlier, you know,

0:50:00.640 --> 0:50:05.319
<v Speaker 11>there talks about how FDIC insurance could change. There was

0:50:05.360 --> 0:50:08.520
<v Speaker 11>a report that said perhaps it could be extended or

0:50:08.560 --> 0:50:11.160
<v Speaker 11>sort of the ideal option would be extending that to

0:50:11.760 --> 0:50:16.000
<v Speaker 11>more business deposits to kind of maybe calm things down

0:50:16.040 --> 0:50:20.040
<v Speaker 11>a little bit theoretically, But we just don't really know

0:50:20.160 --> 0:50:23.240
<v Speaker 11>right now. I did say I spoke with one source

0:50:23.280 --> 0:50:25.319
<v Speaker 11>who did say it could get a lot worse before

0:50:25.360 --> 0:50:28.840
<v Speaker 11>it gets better. But who knows, and we just aren't

0:50:28.840 --> 0:50:29.600
<v Speaker 11>really sure right now.

0:50:29.680 --> 0:50:31.520
<v Speaker 3>Page What did Mike Mayo say to you? And this

0:50:31.560 --> 0:50:33.360
<v Speaker 3>is somebody that we have leaned on, We've leaned on

0:50:33.400 --> 0:50:36.160
<v Speaker 3>certainly during the Great Financial Crisis. This is someone who

0:50:36.160 --> 0:50:39.600
<v Speaker 3>has followed the bank sector, the big banks in a

0:50:39.600 --> 0:50:43.239
<v Speaker 3>big way. Was he thinking that there's more pain to come?

0:50:43.280 --> 0:50:45.279
<v Speaker 3>I'm curious kind of what his take was on all

0:50:45.320 --> 0:50:45.520
<v Speaker 3>of this.

0:50:46.239 --> 0:50:51.160
<v Speaker 11>Yeah, Mike Mayo essentially said that he says that there

0:50:51.160 --> 0:50:53.279
<v Speaker 11>are no more banks that are going to fail right

0:50:53.320 --> 0:50:55.320
<v Speaker 11>now in the S and P. Five hundred at least.

0:50:55.960 --> 0:50:58.440
<v Speaker 11>But again, I would like to check in with Mike

0:50:58.480 --> 0:51:02.760
<v Speaker 11>today perhaps again this report was published on was published

0:51:02.800 --> 0:51:06.280
<v Speaker 11>early yesterday morning, so a lot of a lot has changed.

0:51:06.320 --> 0:51:08.719
<v Speaker 11>Everything is still sort of in flocks. The market is

0:51:08.760 --> 0:51:11.479
<v Speaker 11>still a little bit all over the place. I think

0:51:11.520 --> 0:51:14.279
<v Speaker 11>that we just have to keep asking folks and keep

0:51:14.320 --> 0:51:16.000
<v Speaker 11>making calls and checking in well.

0:51:16.040 --> 0:51:19.680
<v Speaker 3>And as you said, you did report this story out yesterday.

0:51:19.760 --> 0:51:21.239
<v Speaker 3>You do have a story on the Bloomberg though that

0:51:21.719 --> 0:51:24.000
<v Speaker 3>hit the early this morning and the headline this is

0:51:24.000 --> 0:51:26.640
<v Speaker 3>for a Bloomberg business week. In fact, regional bankquos didn't

0:51:26.719 --> 0:51:29.120
<v Speaker 3>end with the first Republic rescue. And you remind us

0:51:29.120 --> 0:51:31.040
<v Speaker 3>that banks run on confidence, right.

0:51:31.080 --> 0:51:32.040
<v Speaker 4>If we all start to.

0:51:32.000 --> 0:51:36.560
<v Speaker 3>Feel a little nervous about where our deposits are, we're

0:51:36.600 --> 0:51:39.600
<v Speaker 3>probably going to yank them absolutely.

0:51:39.680 --> 0:51:42.200
<v Speaker 11>And I think that that is really something that remains

0:51:42.239 --> 0:51:45.719
<v Speaker 11>to be seen. It's a question. And as Herman said before,

0:51:45.719 --> 0:51:48.480
<v Speaker 11>there are you know, if we look at the balance

0:51:48.520 --> 0:51:52.000
<v Speaker 11>sheet of pac West and Western, at least PacWest there

0:51:52.080 --> 0:51:55.880
<v Speaker 11>was sort of guests. They're in talks of determining what

0:51:56.000 --> 0:51:59.080
<v Speaker 11>the best next step might be. But there were you know,

0:51:59.120 --> 0:52:01.880
<v Speaker 11>we checked in on the banks during earnings most recently

0:52:01.920 --> 0:52:05.880
<v Speaker 11>and there were extremely red flags being raised, or at

0:52:05.920 --> 0:52:09.640
<v Speaker 11>least that was my interpretation of things. And we'll just

0:52:09.719 --> 0:52:12.280
<v Speaker 11>have to kind of see how those deposit levels fare

0:52:12.680 --> 0:52:17.520
<v Speaker 11>over the next days or weeks or however long this continues.

0:52:17.640 --> 0:52:20.480
<v Speaker 3>I know you're sound exhausted, because we're all exhausted right

0:52:20.600 --> 0:52:22.960
<v Speaker 3>just when we think it's over right. No, no, no, no, no,

0:52:23.000 --> 0:52:24.960
<v Speaker 3>I don't mean it as a criticism. I just mean

0:52:25.000 --> 0:52:28.000
<v Speaker 3>it's a reality. It's like how we felt reporting out

0:52:28.000 --> 0:52:30.760
<v Speaker 3>the Great Financial Crisis. You know, you'd get some moments

0:52:30.800 --> 0:52:33.280
<v Speaker 3>of common then it just picked up so much momentum.

0:52:33.280 --> 0:52:36.319
<v Speaker 3>And you do wonder, just like the lag time for

0:52:36.400 --> 0:52:39.279
<v Speaker 3>all of the FED rate increases to take effect, you

0:52:39.360 --> 0:52:43.120
<v Speaker 3>do wonder what you know when we have moments of peace,

0:52:43.239 --> 0:52:47.280
<v Speaker 3>are calm? Is it just a case of yeah, exactly?

0:52:47.400 --> 0:52:47.600
<v Speaker 5>Well?

0:52:47.600 --> 0:52:49.960
<v Speaker 6>And one big question I have then I was going

0:52:50.040 --> 0:52:52.280
<v Speaker 6>to mention this to Harman earlier, is that we talk about,

0:52:52.320 --> 0:52:55.560
<v Speaker 6>you know, the banks that are not necessarily struggling with liquidity,

0:52:55.600 --> 0:52:58.960
<v Speaker 6>but the stock prices down, So the question is, you know,

0:52:59.440 --> 0:53:01.640
<v Speaker 6>is there a problem. Is there an issue here? And

0:53:01.680 --> 0:53:05.640
<v Speaker 6>I wonder whether our reporters have had any luck with

0:53:05.760 --> 0:53:09.640
<v Speaker 6>getting some insights into how much that impacts consumer confidence.

0:53:09.800 --> 0:53:13.120
<v Speaker 6>If the stock is tanking and the consumer is, you know,

0:53:13.200 --> 0:53:16.200
<v Speaker 6>embarrassed to pull out their first Republic credit card, is

0:53:16.239 --> 0:53:19.680
<v Speaker 6>that enough to make deposit outflows increase?

0:53:19.760 --> 0:53:20.000
<v Speaker 5>Page?

0:53:20.040 --> 0:53:23.880
<v Speaker 6>Are you hearing anything about that consumer reaction and your reporting?

0:53:24.800 --> 0:53:27.360
<v Speaker 11>Frankly, I think that's kind of the the question of

0:53:27.400 --> 0:53:29.839
<v Speaker 11>the day, you know, of whether what comes first, right,

0:53:29.880 --> 0:53:31.799
<v Speaker 11>sort of the chicken or the egg of you know,

0:53:31.840 --> 0:53:33.759
<v Speaker 11>we see these sort of stock price, we see the

0:53:33.840 --> 0:53:36.560
<v Speaker 11>volatility in the markets, and then do we sort of

0:53:36.640 --> 0:53:39.399
<v Speaker 11>we keep checking in on deposit levels, and this kind

0:53:39.440 --> 0:53:42.319
<v Speaker 11>of going dinging back and forth between deposit levels and

0:53:42.400 --> 0:53:46.680
<v Speaker 11>market continues. So I don't think we can even begin

0:53:46.719 --> 0:53:49.480
<v Speaker 11>to try to answer those questions just yet, but it's

0:53:49.520 --> 0:53:53.839
<v Speaker 11>sort of the continuing of asking those questions and monitoring

0:53:53.880 --> 0:53:56.480
<v Speaker 11>and seeing and checking in with consumer confidence.

0:53:56.480 --> 0:53:58.920
<v Speaker 3>I suppose it's just wild like this whole concept of

0:53:59.000 --> 0:54:02.320
<v Speaker 3>thinking about you know, runs in this day and age

0:54:02.480 --> 0:54:04.760
<v Speaker 3>on Paige good stuff. Thank you so much, Paige Smith.

0:54:04.800 --> 0:54:07.120
<v Speaker 3>She's consumer finance reporter at Bloomberg News.

0:54:07.560 --> 0:54:09.800
<v Speaker 2>I'm brother Marco.

0:54:11.239 --> 0:54:11.920
<v Speaker 8>A journal.

0:54:12.960 --> 0:54:13.919
<v Speaker 5>How about you let me drive?

0:54:14.440 --> 0:54:16.200
<v Speaker 2>No, no, no, no, who's going to drive?

0:54:16.480 --> 0:54:17.560
<v Speaker 5>Honey?

0:54:17.760 --> 0:54:18.080
<v Speaker 2>Please?

0:54:18.200 --> 0:54:19.759
<v Speaker 5>How do the riding gravels?

0:54:20.080 --> 0:54:21.439
<v Speaker 2>Let's mate, I want to drive.

0:54:21.440 --> 0:54:25.600
<v Speaker 8>It's a good question time.

0:54:28.400 --> 0:54:30.240
<v Speaker 1>This is the drive to the clothes.

0:54:30.560 --> 0:54:33.080
<v Speaker 2>Don com think we'll buy an yelled it on?

0:54:33.320 --> 0:54:34.759
<v Speaker 1>I'm on Bloomberg Radio.

0:54:34.840 --> 0:54:37.439
<v Speaker 3>All right, everybody, we've got just about uh, just under

0:54:37.480 --> 0:54:40.040
<v Speaker 3>eighteen minutes left in today's trading session, getting ready to

0:54:40.200 --> 0:54:43.239
<v Speaker 3>wrap up the day of trading, just before that monthly

0:54:43.320 --> 0:54:43.839
<v Speaker 3>John's report.

0:54:43.880 --> 0:54:46.680
<v Speaker 4>We'll get that tomorrow morning. Let's get to it with

0:54:46.920 --> 0:54:48.000
<v Speaker 4>our Drive to the closed. Guest.

0:54:48.040 --> 0:54:50.280
<v Speaker 3>Mark Travis is back with US president and chief executive

0:54:50.280 --> 0:54:53.879
<v Speaker 3>officer over at the registered investment advisor Intrepid Capital, joining

0:54:53.960 --> 0:54:56.880
<v Speaker 3>us once again on zoom from Jacksonville, Florida. Where we

0:54:57.000 --> 0:54:59.839
<v Speaker 3>understand Mark, it is lovely in Jacksonville.

0:55:00.480 --> 0:55:01.759
<v Speaker 4>It's not so lovely here.

0:55:01.840 --> 0:55:04.440
<v Speaker 3>It's a little cold and gray again. But I hear

0:55:04.440 --> 0:55:05.480
<v Speaker 3>it's pretty nice out there.

0:55:06.880 --> 0:55:08.759
<v Speaker 12>Keryl. I think you should do what every other New

0:55:08.840 --> 0:55:10.760
<v Speaker 12>York's done and pack up and move to Florida.

0:55:12.880 --> 0:55:16.000
<v Speaker 4>That we can talk about later. I hear, yeah, I hear.

0:55:16.000 --> 0:55:16.279
<v Speaker 2>You're right.

0:55:16.320 --> 0:55:17.440
<v Speaker 4>There's a lot of people moving there.

0:55:17.920 --> 0:55:20.680
<v Speaker 3>Having said that, I am curious in a week where

0:55:20.719 --> 0:55:22.960
<v Speaker 3>I feel like we've had so many big picture stories,

0:55:23.000 --> 0:55:25.960
<v Speaker 3>whether it's the regional banks, FED policy, We're still talking

0:55:25.960 --> 0:55:29.919
<v Speaker 3>about inflation, recession. We've got the other stuff like US China,

0:55:30.040 --> 0:55:32.960
<v Speaker 3>stress A, Russia, Russia and the rest of the world.

0:55:33.000 --> 0:55:36.319
<v Speaker 3>I feel like that's always top of mine. What's kind

0:55:36.360 --> 0:55:37.960
<v Speaker 3>of top of mind for you? What do you think

0:55:38.040 --> 0:55:41.400
<v Speaker 3>is the really big macro story that you focus on

0:55:41.600 --> 0:55:43.600
<v Speaker 3>when you are stock picking, which we're going to get

0:55:43.600 --> 0:55:44.359
<v Speaker 3>to in just a moment.

0:55:46.200 --> 0:55:50.120
<v Speaker 12>Well, I think, Carol, unfortunately most people buy high and

0:55:50.280 --> 0:55:53.320
<v Speaker 12>sell low, and so I try to resist that the

0:55:53.400 --> 0:55:57.040
<v Speaker 12>best I can. You know, I think we've definitely as

0:55:57.120 --> 0:55:59.520
<v Speaker 12>everyone on the program knows how to reset and rate

0:56:00.080 --> 0:56:03.880
<v Speaker 12>last now fourteen months up five hundred and something basis points.

0:56:03.960 --> 0:56:07.160
<v Speaker 12>So you know, not that my compliance department likes me

0:56:07.280 --> 0:56:09.240
<v Speaker 12>to say this, but I do think you're getting paid

0:56:09.280 --> 0:56:13.320
<v Speaker 12>to wait much better than you have been in recent history.

0:56:14.600 --> 0:56:15.000
<v Speaker 7>And so.

0:56:16.480 --> 0:56:19.359
<v Speaker 12>As a fund manager that owns stocks, bonds, and cash

0:56:19.400 --> 0:56:22.640
<v Speaker 12>and in one case just bonds, I think we're paid

0:56:22.680 --> 0:56:25.400
<v Speaker 12>better now that we have been in some time. And

0:56:25.760 --> 0:56:27.840
<v Speaker 12>I think we're closer to the end of the cycle

0:56:27.880 --> 0:56:30.440
<v Speaker 12>at the beginning. Do I have some crystal ball here

0:56:30.480 --> 0:56:34.759
<v Speaker 12>that tells me when? No, I don't, But I do

0:56:34.960 --> 0:56:40.160
<v Speaker 12>think we've moved pretty fast and pretty hard, maybe one

0:56:40.160 --> 0:56:43.000
<v Speaker 12>of the first or second fastest increases in rates and

0:56:43.760 --> 0:56:49.160
<v Speaker 12>better reserve history. So it has lagging effects, as everyone knows,

0:56:49.280 --> 0:56:52.560
<v Speaker 12>and we're waiting to see what those are. But I

0:56:52.640 --> 0:56:55.440
<v Speaker 12>think there's opportunities out there if you're patient and have

0:56:55.600 --> 0:56:58.600
<v Speaker 12>a longer than the next quarter time arise, in which

0:56:58.640 --> 0:56:58.800
<v Speaker 12>I do.

0:57:00.120 --> 0:57:02.840
<v Speaker 6>What do you think it is that markets are waiting on.

0:57:02.960 --> 0:57:05.239
<v Speaker 6>I know you don't have the crystal ball, but is

0:57:05.320 --> 0:57:09.880
<v Speaker 6>there a specific you know, ECO data point or earning

0:57:10.080 --> 0:57:12.680
<v Speaker 6>cycle that you think will indicate that we're at the

0:57:12.800 --> 0:57:15.520
<v Speaker 6>other side of this right, because.

0:57:15.280 --> 0:57:17.160
<v Speaker 3>What you say we're closer to the end, And you

0:57:17.200 --> 0:57:18.880
<v Speaker 3>said you don't have that crystal ball, But that's a

0:57:18.920 --> 0:57:21.240
<v Speaker 3>really good question, like what is it that makes you

0:57:21.360 --> 0:57:21.680
<v Speaker 3>say that?

0:57:24.280 --> 0:57:28.880
<v Speaker 12>Well, because I guess history going back to the speed

0:57:29.000 --> 0:57:34.200
<v Speaker 12>in which they've moved, I do say someonet sarcastilary, we're

0:57:34.200 --> 0:57:36.840
<v Speaker 12>asking the people that cause the problem to fix it,

0:57:38.440 --> 0:57:45.240
<v Speaker 12>and so we're now getting the antidote. But again, I

0:57:45.880 --> 0:57:51.280
<v Speaker 12>think certainly the market's grasping for when does the FED cut.

0:57:52.320 --> 0:57:58.240
<v Speaker 12>I think that's probably farther out than maybe some or many. Right,

0:57:58.400 --> 0:58:01.000
<v Speaker 12>But again, when I look at some of the companies

0:58:01.120 --> 0:58:05.240
<v Speaker 12>I'm happy to talk about, and it's you know, the

0:58:05.400 --> 0:58:07.920
<v Speaker 12>compounding they've had over a long period of time is

0:58:08.040 --> 0:58:09.480
<v Speaker 12>really quite phenomenal.

0:58:09.640 --> 0:58:10.920
<v Speaker 3>Well, let's get to it, because that's one of the

0:58:11.000 --> 0:58:13.600
<v Speaker 3>things we do, like that you come to play with

0:58:13.760 --> 0:58:15.640
<v Speaker 3>and actually talk about some of the names that you do,

0:58:15.840 --> 0:58:17.960
<v Speaker 3>like Garman is one of them, nineteen billion dollars in

0:58:18.040 --> 0:58:21.040
<v Speaker 3>market cap, It's up about ten percent a year. Today,

0:58:21.160 --> 0:58:23.880
<v Speaker 3>reported earnings early yesterday the stock was up about three

0:58:23.920 --> 0:58:27.040
<v Speaker 3>percent on the news. You saw Barclay's and Morgan both

0:58:27.080 --> 0:58:29.360
<v Speaker 3>raising their price targets on the company. Were you buying

0:58:29.560 --> 0:58:31.960
<v Speaker 3>off of earnings or beforehand? Talk to us a little

0:58:31.960 --> 0:58:33.320
<v Speaker 3>bit about your positioning.

0:58:32.920 --> 0:58:33.360
<v Speaker 7>In this one.

0:58:34.920 --> 0:58:39.760
<v Speaker 12>I've owned it for prior to that announcement, and I'm

0:58:40.160 --> 0:58:43.720
<v Speaker 12>a patient holder and I think it's a great business.

0:58:44.240 --> 0:58:46.880
<v Speaker 12>But again, and you may have seen in the last

0:58:47.280 --> 0:58:49.240
<v Speaker 12>i don't know, three or four weeks of call them

0:58:49.280 --> 0:58:52.840
<v Speaker 12>in the Wall Street by Jason's Wide talking about compounding

0:58:52.920 --> 0:58:55.560
<v Speaker 12>of companies and how the human mind has a hard

0:58:55.640 --> 0:58:59.520
<v Speaker 12>time getting around something that's compounded one thousand percent. But

0:59:00.120 --> 0:59:02.000
<v Speaker 12>if you look at Garment, for example, I believe it

0:59:02.080 --> 0:59:06.640
<v Speaker 12>went public in the early nineties with about two hundred

0:59:06.640 --> 0:59:11.000
<v Speaker 12>million dollars in revenue, and today it's doing run rate

0:59:11.080 --> 0:59:13.560
<v Speaker 12>probably four and a half billion in revenue. They had

0:59:14.600 --> 0:59:18.600
<v Speaker 12>two hundred employees and the day they've got thousands. Yeah,

0:59:19.000 --> 0:59:25.240
<v Speaker 12>and the stock price reflects that. So again, part of

0:59:25.280 --> 0:59:28.480
<v Speaker 12>what I like is the family still ownership. The co

0:59:28.640 --> 0:59:33.520
<v Speaker 12>founding families have a substantial stake in the environment where

0:59:33.600 --> 0:59:36.560
<v Speaker 12>financing is hard to come by, they have billions of

0:59:36.640 --> 0:59:41.120
<v Speaker 12>dollars in cash to buffer them and or acquire something

0:59:41.280 --> 0:59:45.640
<v Speaker 12>or you know, optimously buy backed chair. So all those

0:59:45.720 --> 0:59:48.920
<v Speaker 12>factors are reasons why I'm interested in that equity.

0:59:49.200 --> 0:59:51.880
<v Speaker 6>Yeah, you mentioned buybacks, so I am forced to ask

0:59:51.960 --> 0:59:55.200
<v Speaker 6>you about Apple today. Do you have any take on

0:59:55.880 --> 0:59:59.800
<v Speaker 6>Apple's previous positioning when it comes to buybacks and what

1:00:00.080 --> 1:00:02.960
<v Speaker 6>will your kind of analysis be if they do what's

1:00:03.000 --> 1:00:06.640
<v Speaker 6>expected and continue to push forward on buybacks with some

1:00:06.760 --> 1:00:07.840
<v Speaker 6>of their excess cash.

1:00:09.720 --> 1:00:13.480
<v Speaker 12>Well, I guess I would answer that an indirect way,

1:00:13.720 --> 1:00:17.440
<v Speaker 12>which is I was very much against the tax imposed

1:00:17.720 --> 1:00:21.720
<v Speaker 12>on buybacks of one percent, and now the SEC's voted

1:00:21.760 --> 1:00:24.920
<v Speaker 12>to make the kind of regulatory burden around that even higher.

1:00:26.280 --> 1:00:30.240
<v Speaker 12>I just am against all that. I don't have a

1:00:30.320 --> 1:00:33.600
<v Speaker 12>real strong opinion about Apple, but you know, you can

1:00:33.640 --> 1:00:35.600
<v Speaker 12>certainly look at their balance sheet too and go, why

1:00:35.720 --> 1:00:39.080
<v Speaker 12>isn't my dividend higher? Why aren't you buying back more shares?

1:00:40.240 --> 1:00:43.280
<v Speaker 12>But again, it's it's one tool in the toolkit for

1:00:45.120 --> 1:00:48.200
<v Speaker 12>you know, executive suites to make in terms of trying

1:00:48.280 --> 1:00:53.200
<v Speaker 12>to grow their business and allocate capital. And I think

1:00:53.520 --> 1:00:57.680
<v Speaker 12>now politicians are trying to take that away, which again

1:00:57.720 --> 1:00:58.320
<v Speaker 12>I'm against.

1:00:58.960 --> 1:01:00.920
<v Speaker 3>Hey, I do want to get to another name that

1:01:00.960 --> 1:01:04.680
<v Speaker 3>you like, Watsco. It's an HVAC company, thirteen billion dollar

1:01:04.800 --> 1:01:06.919
<v Speaker 3>market cap, quite a run this year, up about thirty

1:01:06.960 --> 1:01:08.920
<v Speaker 3>four percent year to date. About twelve percent of the

1:01:09.000 --> 1:01:12.040
<v Speaker 3>float is shorted, and we did see the stock rally

1:01:12.600 --> 1:01:14.880
<v Speaker 3>eight percent to a record high when it reported earnings

1:01:15.280 --> 1:01:18.080
<v Speaker 3>on April twentieth. It's got about a three percent dividend.

1:01:18.480 --> 1:01:21.040
<v Speaker 3>What's been your story on this one, Mark.

1:01:22.200 --> 1:01:25.200
<v Speaker 12>Well, I think this was a cultural story and it's

1:01:25.240 --> 1:01:28.680
<v Speaker 12>also again a family business in this case a father

1:01:28.880 --> 1:01:34.000
<v Speaker 12>son business family members of the nay Mad family out

1:01:34.040 --> 1:01:38.000
<v Speaker 12>of basically Miami and I think the perception of some

1:01:38.400 --> 1:01:42.520
<v Speaker 12>is they're going to be subject to a slowdown in housing.

1:01:42.880 --> 1:01:49.600
<v Speaker 12>But they're really strong in their replacement cycle and they're

1:01:49.760 --> 1:01:53.640
<v Speaker 12>very careful in their acquisitions. But they also just culturally

1:01:53.840 --> 1:01:58.960
<v Speaker 12>have a very long tenured management team. They you know,

1:01:59.640 --> 1:02:05.600
<v Speaker 12>have an ESOP that's been very effective. And again I'm

1:02:05.680 --> 1:02:09.360
<v Speaker 12>kind of paid to wait. They two have very unencumbered

1:02:09.400 --> 1:02:13.640
<v Speaker 12>balance sheet. So yeah, Harman and Watscar, I can collect

1:02:13.680 --> 1:02:15.760
<v Speaker 12>a three percent dividend and I'd gott to take that

1:02:15.920 --> 1:02:17.720
<v Speaker 12>than a ten year treasury in three and a half.

1:02:18.200 --> 1:02:19.760
<v Speaker 3>I hear you, right, It's all about you got to

1:02:19.920 --> 1:02:23.240
<v Speaker 3>kind of compare it once the returns on some of

1:02:23.240 --> 1:02:26.720
<v Speaker 3>the different assets. Mark Travis over at Intreumpid Capital. Right

1:02:26.760 --> 1:02:29.880
<v Speaker 3>here on Blomberg BusinessWeek, you are listening and watching Bloomberg Week.

1:02:30.400 --> 1:02:35.000
<v Speaker 1>This is the Bloomberg Business Week podcast, available on Apple, Spotify,

1:02:35.160 --> 1:02:38.880
<v Speaker 1>and anywhere else you get your podcast. Listen live weekday

1:02:38.880 --> 1:02:42.320
<v Speaker 1>afternoons from three to six Eastern on Bloomberg dot Com,

1:02:42.560 --> 1:02:45.840
<v Speaker 1>the iHeartRadio app, tune In, and the Bloomberg Business App.

1:02:45.920 --> 1:02:48.840
<v Speaker 1>You can also watch us live every weekday on YouTube

1:02:49.120 --> 1:02:51.360
<v Speaker 1>and always on the Bloomberg terminal alone