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All right, 25 00:02:01,800 --> 00:02:03,800 Speaker 1: welcome to Hoops Tonight, presented by fand Will here at 26 00:02:03,840 --> 00:02:06,800 Speaker 1: the Volume. Happy Saturday, everybody, Congrats on making it to 27 00:02:06,880 --> 00:02:09,400 Speaker 1: the weekend. By the time you listen to this, I 28 00:02:09,440 --> 00:02:12,240 Speaker 1: will actually be skiing on the slopes of Mount Humphries 29 00:02:12,280 --> 00:02:16,720 Speaker 1: and Flagstaff, Arizona. Very very excited to get my skis 30 00:02:16,760 --> 00:02:19,640 Speaker 1: on snow finally this year. Today we're gonna be hitting 31 00:02:20,040 --> 00:02:23,680 Speaker 1: six burning questions for the second half of the NBA season. 32 00:02:23,720 --> 00:02:25,960 Speaker 1: Good opportunity for us to hit on a bunch of 33 00:02:25,960 --> 00:02:28,399 Speaker 1: topics on some of the better teams near the top 34 00:02:28,440 --> 00:02:29,880 Speaker 1: of the league. You guys know the drill before we 35 00:02:29,919 --> 00:02:32,040 Speaker 1: get started. Subscribed to the Volumes YouTube channel so you 36 00:02:32,080 --> 00:02:33,960 Speaker 1: don't miss any more of our videos. Follow me on 37 00:02:34,000 --> 00:02:36,280 Speaker 1: Twitter at underscore Jason lt so you guys don't miss 38 00:02:36,280 --> 00:02:38,840 Speaker 1: any show announcements. And then, for whatever reason, you guys 39 00:02:38,880 --> 00:02:40,480 Speaker 1: miss one of these videos and you can't get back 40 00:02:40,520 --> 00:02:42,880 Speaker 1: over to YouTube to finish. You can find them wherever 41 00:02:42,960 --> 00:02:46,760 Speaker 1: you get your podcasts. Under Hoops Tonight, and last, but 42 00:02:46,800 --> 00:02:50,280 Speaker 1: not least, sports around the country are really heating up 43 00:02:50,480 --> 00:02:53,440 Speaker 1: to start. Obviously, we just had the college football National 44 00:02:53,520 --> 00:02:56,560 Speaker 1: Championship beat down, but we also have the NFL playoffs 45 00:02:56,600 --> 00:02:59,440 Speaker 1: starting this weekend. My hot take for this NFL playoff 46 00:02:59,480 --> 00:03:01,799 Speaker 1: run is I think the Dallas Cowboys are gonna get 47 00:03:01,800 --> 00:03:04,040 Speaker 1: beat by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, and then I think 48 00:03:04,040 --> 00:03:07,280 Speaker 1: the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are gonna get absolutely destroyed the 49 00:03:07,360 --> 00:03:10,440 Speaker 1: following week. But that's just me as a pessimistic Cowboys fan. 50 00:03:10,480 --> 00:03:13,280 Speaker 1: But we also got basketball, We've got college hoops heating 51 00:03:13,360 --> 00:03:16,040 Speaker 1: up um, and we have the NBA as we head 52 00:03:16,120 --> 00:03:19,200 Speaker 1: out of football season and into their next four months, 53 00:03:19,320 --> 00:03:22,720 Speaker 1: dominating the sports schedule. So obviously I'd like to watch 54 00:03:22,800 --> 00:03:24,320 Speaker 1: all of these games, But how about we get out 55 00:03:24,320 --> 00:03:27,160 Speaker 1: of the house and go see some of these games 56 00:03:27,200 --> 00:03:30,000 Speaker 1: in person. I want you guys to check out game Time, 57 00:03:30,320 --> 00:03:33,799 Speaker 1: the fastest growing ticketing app in the United States. 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Download Game Time today, 76 00:04:25,200 --> 00:04:29,680 Speaker 1: last minute tickets, lowest price guaranteed. All right, I can 77 00:04:29,760 --> 00:04:31,680 Speaker 1: keep it real simple. I'm gonna ask the question, then 78 00:04:31,680 --> 00:04:34,840 Speaker 1: we'll answer them. So question number one, first earning question 79 00:04:34,920 --> 00:04:37,760 Speaker 1: for the second half of the NBA season, who will 80 00:04:37,880 --> 00:04:43,360 Speaker 1: be the aggressive team at the trade deadline. There are 81 00:04:43,400 --> 00:04:47,240 Speaker 1: two things in particular that I think make this question 82 00:04:47,440 --> 00:04:50,680 Speaker 1: very interesting. One, the league is wide open. And for 83 00:04:50,720 --> 00:04:53,680 Speaker 1: the record, these stats and standings that I'm reading are 84 00:04:53,720 --> 00:04:56,840 Speaker 1: recorded as of Wednesday, as those you guys who've been listening, though, 85 00:04:56,880 --> 00:05:00,479 Speaker 1: I went out of town on Friday to up to 86 00:05:00,480 --> 00:05:04,000 Speaker 1: Flagstaff to ski um, so that's when I'm recording this, 87 00:05:04,040 --> 00:05:07,360 Speaker 1: and that's when these stats are current. But as of Wednesday, 88 00:05:07,760 --> 00:05:10,279 Speaker 1: the top eight teams in the league are all separated 89 00:05:10,279 --> 00:05:13,520 Speaker 1: by just four games. The Celtics, the Nuggets, the Nets, 90 00:05:13,560 --> 00:05:16,279 Speaker 1: the Grizzlies, the Bucks, the SS, the Calves, and the 91 00:05:16,320 --> 00:05:21,560 Speaker 1: Pelicans all just four games apart. Then the next fourteen 92 00:05:21,640 --> 00:05:25,520 Speaker 1: teams are all just four games apart, so the Pacers, 93 00:05:25,560 --> 00:05:27,520 Speaker 1: the MAVs, the Kings, the Knicks, the Heat, the Clippers, 94 00:05:27,520 --> 00:05:30,200 Speaker 1: the Sons, the Warriors, the Timberwolves, the Jazz, the Hawks, 95 00:05:30,240 --> 00:05:33,440 Speaker 1: the Blazers, the Bulls, and the Lakers all just four 96 00:05:33,480 --> 00:05:37,600 Speaker 1: games apart. So there are twenty two teams right now 97 00:05:37,640 --> 00:05:41,120 Speaker 1: in the NBA that can conceivably convince themselves that they 98 00:05:41,160 --> 00:05:43,479 Speaker 1: have a real chance to go on a run and 99 00:05:43,640 --> 00:05:45,200 Speaker 1: end up near the top of the pile in the 100 00:05:45,240 --> 00:05:47,880 Speaker 1: standings and have a chance to win this thing. So 101 00:05:47,920 --> 00:05:52,200 Speaker 1: that is factor number one. Factor number two is there 102 00:05:52,200 --> 00:05:55,480 Speaker 1: seems to be more available trade targets this year than 103 00:05:55,520 --> 00:05:58,480 Speaker 1: I can remember in recent NBA history. There are a 104 00:05:58,520 --> 00:06:01,040 Speaker 1: lot of teams that are likely to become sellers. When 105 00:06:01,040 --> 00:06:03,720 Speaker 1: you're in a bunch like that of twenty two teams, Yeah, 106 00:06:03,760 --> 00:06:05,680 Speaker 1: they're gonna be teams that I think will be like, hey, 107 00:06:05,720 --> 00:06:07,520 Speaker 1: we can go get this thing, let's go after it. 108 00:06:07,680 --> 00:06:09,240 Speaker 1: But I also think there will be teams that will 109 00:06:09,240 --> 00:06:12,360 Speaker 1: pull out and try to see the opportunity to move 110 00:06:12,440 --> 00:06:15,200 Speaker 1: into the lottery. Because if there's twenty two teams that 111 00:06:15,240 --> 00:06:17,800 Speaker 1: are relatively close to the top, that means there's only 112 00:06:17,839 --> 00:06:20,440 Speaker 1: eight teams really competing for those lottery spots, and you 113 00:06:20,480 --> 00:06:24,440 Speaker 1: could see some teams pull out pretty quickly. For instance, 114 00:06:24,600 --> 00:06:27,039 Speaker 1: the Utah Jazz. A lot of good players there that 115 00:06:27,040 --> 00:06:29,800 Speaker 1: could be had. Jordan Clarkson a good backup ball handling, 116 00:06:30,040 --> 00:06:32,799 Speaker 1: interesting guy that I'd like to see someone like Dallas 117 00:06:32,839 --> 00:06:35,360 Speaker 1: go after. For instance, Mike Conley, similar type of deal. 118 00:06:35,600 --> 00:06:38,400 Speaker 1: Rudy Gay as an inexpensive wing for somebody who just 119 00:06:38,440 --> 00:06:40,119 Speaker 1: need someone who's six eight and can do some stuff 120 00:06:40,120 --> 00:06:43,120 Speaker 1: off the bench. Malik Beasley for shooting. Go to Charlotte. 121 00:06:43,279 --> 00:06:46,040 Speaker 1: There's Terry Rosier, Jalen McDaniels is flowing floating around in 122 00:06:46,080 --> 00:06:48,960 Speaker 1: trade rumors. PJ. Washington, Kelly Ubre. They're a good spot 123 00:06:48,960 --> 00:06:51,559 Speaker 1: if you just need a bench wing or something along 124 00:06:51,560 --> 00:06:55,320 Speaker 1: those lines. Detroit is probably gonna trade Boyen Bagdanovitch at 125 00:06:55,360 --> 00:06:59,200 Speaker 1: some point before we get to the deadlight. Washington. Washington 126 00:06:59,240 --> 00:07:01,880 Speaker 1: and Chicago and particular are two teams that a couple 127 00:07:01,960 --> 00:07:04,520 Speaker 1: more losses before the deadline, and you could see them 128 00:07:04,520 --> 00:07:07,640 Speaker 1: trying to consider blow things up. Blowing things up. That's 129 00:07:07,960 --> 00:07:11,560 Speaker 1: Kyle Kuzma and Bradley Beale and Kristaps Porzingis potentially being available, 130 00:07:11,560 --> 00:07:14,840 Speaker 1: that's Zach Lavine and Nikolavuseovitch, maybe even DeMar de Rosen 131 00:07:15,560 --> 00:07:19,600 Speaker 1: being available. So there's tons of quality NBA players that 132 00:07:19,720 --> 00:07:23,800 Speaker 1: could be significantly significant ceiling raisers for good teams that 133 00:07:23,920 --> 00:07:28,240 Speaker 1: could probably be available this year, and twenty two teams 134 00:07:28,280 --> 00:07:30,600 Speaker 1: that are conceivably in range of trying to make a 135 00:07:30,680 --> 00:07:32,760 Speaker 1: run at this thing. So what that means is, I 136 00:07:32,800 --> 00:07:36,600 Speaker 1: think that it's very likely that we have at least one, 137 00:07:36,640 --> 00:07:40,200 Speaker 1: if not multiple teams that view this as an opportunity 138 00:07:40,240 --> 00:07:42,600 Speaker 1: to push their chips in Now. For the record, that's 139 00:07:42,680 --> 00:07:46,400 Speaker 1: my favorite ideology as it pertains the roster building. And 140 00:07:46,400 --> 00:07:51,920 Speaker 1: there's three reasons why one razor thin margins. The difference 141 00:07:52,200 --> 00:07:54,960 Speaker 1: between the best team in the league and the two 142 00:07:55,080 --> 00:07:57,400 Speaker 1: best team in the league is smaller than it's ever been. 143 00:07:58,120 --> 00:08:00,000 Speaker 1: Um when you get into a playoff series and it's 144 00:08:00,000 --> 00:08:02,560 Speaker 1: seven game series, you know, a player here, a player 145 00:08:02,600 --> 00:08:04,640 Speaker 1: there could be the difference between you winning and losing. 146 00:08:05,040 --> 00:08:08,000 Speaker 1: When you're dealing with razor thin margin's talent does matter 147 00:08:08,120 --> 00:08:10,920 Speaker 1: and influx of talent could be the difference between you 148 00:08:11,240 --> 00:08:13,440 Speaker 1: losing in the second round or getting the trophy at 149 00:08:13,440 --> 00:08:16,640 Speaker 1: the end of the day. Secondly, playoff matchup flexibility when 150 00:08:16,680 --> 00:08:19,080 Speaker 1: you get a specific player to address a need. Let's 151 00:08:19,080 --> 00:08:20,520 Speaker 1: say if it's a bench big for a team like 152 00:08:20,560 --> 00:08:23,600 Speaker 1: Golden State, a shooting wing for a team like the Lakers, 153 00:08:23,640 --> 00:08:25,560 Speaker 1: a physical wing for the team like the Miami Heat, 154 00:08:25,560 --> 00:08:28,280 Speaker 1: a backup ball handler for a team like the Dallas Mavericks. 155 00:08:28,560 --> 00:08:31,720 Speaker 1: All of that gives you additional flexibility in a playoff series. 156 00:08:31,760 --> 00:08:33,920 Speaker 1: In the chess match, it's like putting an additional piece 157 00:08:34,320 --> 00:08:37,600 Speaker 1: on the board. It increases your options when you're in 158 00:08:37,640 --> 00:08:39,720 Speaker 1: that setting, and you need a move to counter a 159 00:08:39,760 --> 00:08:41,760 Speaker 1: move that your opponent has made. And the last, but 160 00:08:41,800 --> 00:08:43,240 Speaker 1: not least, I think a lot of teams around the 161 00:08:43,280 --> 00:08:46,559 Speaker 1: league overvalue draft picks. You know, the Lakers are obsessed 162 00:08:46,559 --> 00:08:50,080 Speaker 1: with the first round pick, and the reality is is 163 00:08:50,360 --> 00:08:52,679 Speaker 1: all it really takes is one bad season or two 164 00:08:52,679 --> 00:08:57,040 Speaker 1: bad seasons taking on other teams bad contracts to recoup 165 00:08:57,400 --> 00:09:00,440 Speaker 1: draft assets, and then cap space in general is worth 166 00:09:00,520 --> 00:09:03,680 Speaker 1: less than ever because teams are just resigning players because 167 00:09:03,720 --> 00:09:06,080 Speaker 1: players want the financial security, and then they work out 168 00:09:06,120 --> 00:09:09,559 Speaker 1: deals for trades after the fact. So draft picks are 169 00:09:09,600 --> 00:09:11,560 Speaker 1: just not all that important to me. If you see 170 00:09:11,559 --> 00:09:13,559 Speaker 1: a two or three year window to go for it, 171 00:09:14,000 --> 00:09:16,200 Speaker 1: I'm all about spending your draft picks to go for 172 00:09:16,280 --> 00:09:18,080 Speaker 1: it there, because then there can be a two or 173 00:09:18,080 --> 00:09:21,720 Speaker 1: three year reset window where you recoup those draft assets 174 00:09:21,760 --> 00:09:24,040 Speaker 1: and then that can be your cycle. I think, personally, 175 00:09:24,240 --> 00:09:26,840 Speaker 1: in my opinion, that's the best way to go about 176 00:09:26,920 --> 00:09:28,760 Speaker 1: trying to win in the modern NBA. So I'm a 177 00:09:28,760 --> 00:09:32,719 Speaker 1: big believer in pushing chips in. So one of these 178 00:09:32,720 --> 00:09:34,760 Speaker 1: teams is gonna say screw it and make a splash 179 00:09:34,840 --> 00:09:36,800 Speaker 1: deal at the deadline. It's just a question of who. 180 00:09:36,960 --> 00:09:39,240 Speaker 1: The specific teams that I think are most likely are 181 00:09:39,280 --> 00:09:41,800 Speaker 1: the Mavericks, the Lakers, and the Heat because those are 182 00:09:41,840 --> 00:09:45,000 Speaker 1: all teams that have excellent, high end star power that 183 00:09:45,240 --> 00:09:48,800 Speaker 1: need to fix specific personnel weaknesses, so I expect them 184 00:09:48,840 --> 00:09:51,840 Speaker 1: to be aggressive. We went over those potential deals yesterday. 185 00:09:51,840 --> 00:09:53,560 Speaker 1: For the MAVs, I'd be looking at someone like a 186 00:09:53,679 --> 00:09:56,440 Speaker 1: Jordan Clarkson or Terry Rozier. For the Lakers, I'd be 187 00:09:56,440 --> 00:09:58,680 Speaker 1: looking at someone like Kyle Kuzma or boy and Magdanovich. 188 00:09:58,840 --> 00:10:01,320 Speaker 1: And for the Heat, I'd be looking at someone like 189 00:10:01,480 --> 00:10:03,880 Speaker 1: Jay Crowder or o g And and Noby because they 190 00:10:03,880 --> 00:10:06,280 Speaker 1: need someone a little bit more physical. But other teams 191 00:10:06,280 --> 00:10:08,720 Speaker 1: I keep an eye on, like Brooklyn. It's really thin 192 00:10:08,840 --> 00:10:11,720 Speaker 1: physically on the wing. Perimeter size is kind of an 193 00:10:11,720 --> 00:10:13,800 Speaker 1: issue for them. So what if Brooklyn got someone like 194 00:10:13,880 --> 00:10:16,920 Speaker 1: Kyle Kuzma That would be super interesting. Um. The other 195 00:10:16,920 --> 00:10:19,120 Speaker 1: team I'd be looking at is what about the Phoenix Suns. 196 00:10:19,720 --> 00:10:22,199 Speaker 1: You know what if they take Chris Paul for salary 197 00:10:22,240 --> 00:10:25,120 Speaker 1: filler and a bunch of draft picks with like Cam 198 00:10:25,200 --> 00:10:27,800 Speaker 1: Johnson is an interesting young player and went to Washington 199 00:10:27,840 --> 00:10:29,600 Speaker 1: and said, give us Bradley Beale and let's go at 200 00:10:29,640 --> 00:10:32,599 Speaker 1: this with Devin Booker and Bradley bald McHale Bridges and 201 00:10:32,640 --> 00:10:36,320 Speaker 1: DeAndre eight. Now, there there's gonna be someone that gets 202 00:10:36,360 --> 00:10:39,199 Speaker 1: wacky at this deadline. I'm just genuinely curious to see 203 00:10:39,440 --> 00:10:41,840 Speaker 1: who it's going to be. Everyone needs to get better 204 00:10:42,280 --> 00:10:45,800 Speaker 1: and that's the best way to do it within the season, alright. 205 00:10:45,880 --> 00:10:49,959 Speaker 1: Question Number two, can Milwaukee fix their offense? The Bucks 206 00:10:49,960 --> 00:10:52,520 Speaker 1: are just four and six in their last ten games. Again, 207 00:10:52,559 --> 00:10:55,760 Speaker 1: as of Wednesday, they're dead last in offensive rating over 208 00:10:55,760 --> 00:10:58,600 Speaker 1: that span, scoring just a hundred and six point nine 209 00:10:58,600 --> 00:11:01,480 Speaker 1: points per one hun possessions. On the season, they are 210 00:11:01,520 --> 00:11:05,240 Speaker 1: just twenty third and half court offense. So I attribute 211 00:11:05,280 --> 00:11:09,440 Speaker 1: the Bucks offensive struggles to three things. One spot up 212 00:11:09,480 --> 00:11:12,520 Speaker 1: shooting their nineteenth and spot up points per possession. Big 213 00:11:12,559 --> 00:11:15,400 Speaker 1: part of that is Chris Middleton being out, Joe Ingles 214 00:11:15,400 --> 00:11:18,320 Speaker 1: missing the first chunk of the season with rehabbing his injury, 215 00:11:18,520 --> 00:11:20,120 Speaker 1: and Drew Holiday, who has been in and out of 216 00:11:20,120 --> 00:11:24,120 Speaker 1: the lineup all year long. Number two, they're not running 217 00:11:24,160 --> 00:11:26,960 Speaker 1: nearly enough in transition. That's always been a huge part 218 00:11:26,960 --> 00:11:30,479 Speaker 1: of the Bucks offense. Last year, um, only the Grizzlies 219 00:11:30,559 --> 00:11:33,800 Speaker 1: ran more frequently than the Bucks they ran one of 220 00:11:33,840 --> 00:11:35,959 Speaker 1: their possessions last year, so almost a fifth of their 221 00:11:36,000 --> 00:11:38,840 Speaker 1: offense came in transition last year. This year they are 222 00:11:38,880 --> 00:11:41,680 Speaker 1: a middle of the pack transition frequency team. They only 223 00:11:41,760 --> 00:11:44,600 Speaker 1: run on sixteen point six percent of their possessions, which 224 00:11:44,679 --> 00:11:47,079 Speaker 1: ranks thirteen in the NBA. So they're not getting out 225 00:11:47,160 --> 00:11:50,120 Speaker 1: of the half court frequently enough to generate higher quality 226 00:11:50,800 --> 00:11:52,880 Speaker 1: offense to supplement their offense. When you're the twenty three 227 00:11:52,920 --> 00:11:54,880 Speaker 1: half court offense, you've got to be looking to run 228 00:11:54,920 --> 00:12:00,000 Speaker 1: more frequently than that. And then, third, lastly, Janice's perimeter shooting. Uh. 229 00:12:00,040 --> 00:12:02,120 Speaker 1: Janice has been the best rim finisher in the league 230 00:12:02,120 --> 00:12:04,920 Speaker 1: this year, but he only takes about his shots at 231 00:12:04,920 --> 00:12:07,800 Speaker 1: the rim, so that means that of his shots are 232 00:12:07,840 --> 00:12:11,839 Speaker 1: taken away from the rim. So he's taken three twenty 233 00:12:11,880 --> 00:12:13,880 Speaker 1: two shots outside of the restricted area this year and 234 00:12:13,920 --> 00:12:16,880 Speaker 1: he's only made eighty six of them. That's twenty six 235 00:12:16,880 --> 00:12:19,480 Speaker 1: point seven percent. Now, as you guys know, as we've 236 00:12:19,480 --> 00:12:22,200 Speaker 1: talked about Janice, I don't think Janice needs a reliable 237 00:12:22,240 --> 00:12:24,600 Speaker 1: perimeter jump shot as it pertains to the ceiling of 238 00:12:24,640 --> 00:12:27,720 Speaker 1: the team when they're all healthy, because I think his 239 00:12:27,800 --> 00:12:31,280 Speaker 1: combination of relentless rim pressure, and his ability to pass 240 00:12:31,320 --> 00:12:35,240 Speaker 1: the basketball is a perfectly fine counter to what he 241 00:12:35,280 --> 00:12:40,240 Speaker 1: does in the paint. But when the personnel has dipped 242 00:12:40,240 --> 00:12:42,680 Speaker 1: below a certain point, with Chris Middleton being out, with 243 00:12:42,679 --> 00:12:45,000 Speaker 1: your Holiday being out a lot, now it's at a 244 00:12:45,040 --> 00:12:48,800 Speaker 1: crisis point in Janice's inability to make perimeter jump shots 245 00:12:48,800 --> 00:12:52,320 Speaker 1: has stopped him from being able to elevate the team anyway. 246 00:12:52,840 --> 00:12:54,960 Speaker 1: Um So I don't think it necessarily matters as far 247 00:12:55,000 --> 00:12:57,679 Speaker 1: as we evaluate Jannice, but I do think his inability 248 00:12:58,000 --> 00:13:00,360 Speaker 1: to knock down those shots has been part of the 249 00:13:00,400 --> 00:13:03,120 Speaker 1: reason why their offense hasn't been very good within this season. 250 00:13:04,200 --> 00:13:07,120 Speaker 1: Now here's the silver lining. When Janice is on the 251 00:13:07,160 --> 00:13:10,800 Speaker 1: court with Joe Ingles, they've now played together two d 252 00:13:10,920 --> 00:13:13,720 Speaker 1: and thirty two possessions, which is a decent chunk. And 253 00:13:13,760 --> 00:13:16,120 Speaker 1: in those possessions, the Bucks have an offensive rating of 254 00:13:16,240 --> 00:13:21,520 Speaker 1: one twenty four, which is amazing. That's how just adding 255 00:13:21,679 --> 00:13:24,520 Speaker 1: one competent spot up player and one guy that can 256 00:13:24,559 --> 00:13:28,320 Speaker 1: do some stuff off the dribble has completely reinvigorated their offense. 257 00:13:28,320 --> 00:13:30,800 Speaker 1: So now at Chris Middleton to that when he gets 258 00:13:30,800 --> 00:13:33,120 Speaker 1: into a rhythm, add a healthy Drew Holiday to that, 259 00:13:33,360 --> 00:13:36,200 Speaker 1: it starts to get really excited looking at Joe Ingles 260 00:13:36,240 --> 00:13:39,920 Speaker 1: real quick. Just he's been a legit secondary ball handler 261 00:13:39,960 --> 00:13:43,560 Speaker 1: for them. Um. When Joe shoots or passes out of 262 00:13:43,559 --> 00:13:45,440 Speaker 1: pick and roll this year, the Bucks have scored sixty 263 00:13:45,480 --> 00:13:49,120 Speaker 1: seven points on fifty nine possessions. That's one point one 264 00:13:49,200 --> 00:13:51,520 Speaker 1: four points per possession. There are a hundred and seventy 265 00:13:51,520 --> 00:13:53,040 Speaker 1: one players in the league that have run at least 266 00:13:53,040 --> 00:13:56,439 Speaker 1: fifty pick and rolls this year, and Joe Ingles inefficiency 267 00:13:56,800 --> 00:13:59,960 Speaker 1: on those plays. Um. So my answer to the question 268 00:14:00,280 --> 00:14:03,480 Speaker 1: can the Bucks fix their offense is yes. I think 269 00:14:03,720 --> 00:14:05,800 Speaker 1: Joe Ingles and Chris Middleton will give you honice the 270 00:14:05,840 --> 00:14:08,120 Speaker 1: helping needs to get the offense back on track. And 271 00:14:08,160 --> 00:14:10,200 Speaker 1: I actually expect the Bucks to be excellent the rest 272 00:14:10,200 --> 00:14:12,200 Speaker 1: of the season, and I wouldn't be surprised if they 273 00:14:12,280 --> 00:14:14,920 Speaker 1: had the best record over from here towards the end 274 00:14:14,920 --> 00:14:18,840 Speaker 1: of the season. All Right, the third question, can Denver 275 00:14:19,040 --> 00:14:22,480 Speaker 1: fix their defense? The Bucks are The Nuggets are seventh 276 00:14:22,480 --> 00:14:25,000 Speaker 1: in defense over their last fifteen games, which is encouraging, 277 00:14:25,280 --> 00:14:27,880 Speaker 1: but for the season there twenty two in defensive rating. 278 00:14:28,160 --> 00:14:31,480 Speaker 1: They are dead last in transition defense according to Cleaning 279 00:14:31,520 --> 00:14:34,440 Speaker 1: the Glass and when playing against the top ten point 280 00:14:34,480 --> 00:14:36,720 Speaker 1: differential teams in the league. So when the Nuggets played 281 00:14:36,720 --> 00:14:39,120 Speaker 1: the top ten teams in the league, they are twenty 282 00:14:39,200 --> 00:14:42,640 Speaker 1: four in defensive rating. That's also according to Cleaning the Glass. 283 00:14:42,680 --> 00:14:45,520 Speaker 1: So my answer to can Denver fix their defense is no. 284 00:14:46,640 --> 00:14:49,600 Speaker 1: I think they're capable of manufacturing a fac simile of 285 00:14:49,640 --> 00:14:52,920 Speaker 1: a passable defense for stretches during the regular season, just 286 00:14:52,960 --> 00:14:55,920 Speaker 1: by competing really hard and by running a smart scheme. 287 00:14:56,200 --> 00:14:59,160 Speaker 1: But the reality of their predicament is that their best 288 00:14:59,200 --> 00:15:02,880 Speaker 1: lineup feature there's three average to below average defensive players, 289 00:15:03,400 --> 00:15:05,840 Speaker 1: and two of them, in particular, Michael Porter Jr. And 290 00:15:05,960 --> 00:15:09,040 Speaker 1: Nicola Yo, gets really struggle guarding in space and in transition, 291 00:15:09,080 --> 00:15:10,320 Speaker 1: which is a big part of why they are the 292 00:15:10,360 --> 00:15:14,840 Speaker 1: worst transition team in the league. So inevitably, there's no 293 00:15:15,000 --> 00:15:17,240 Speaker 1: fix for that. There's no trade for that. Those are 294 00:15:17,280 --> 00:15:19,200 Speaker 1: your best players. They have to be on the court 295 00:15:20,160 --> 00:15:22,560 Speaker 1: when we get into April and May, teams are going 296 00:15:22,600 --> 00:15:24,800 Speaker 1: to find a way to target them, and it's going 297 00:15:24,840 --> 00:15:27,960 Speaker 1: to be a problem. The better question is is will 298 00:15:28,000 --> 00:15:30,920 Speaker 1: Denver's offense be good enough to overcome that? And right 299 00:15:30,960 --> 00:15:34,320 Speaker 1: now I'm inclined to say no, but I still view 300 00:15:34,360 --> 00:15:36,240 Speaker 1: them as a contender. So I do think it's a 301 00:15:36,320 --> 00:15:39,680 Speaker 1: chance that they can overcome that. But NBA history has 302 00:15:39,720 --> 00:15:41,240 Speaker 1: just told us too many times that if you can't 303 00:15:41,240 --> 00:15:44,520 Speaker 1: get stops, can't win. And it's a personnel issue, but 304 00:15:44,560 --> 00:15:47,160 Speaker 1: it's a personnel associated with their best players, So it's 305 00:15:47,160 --> 00:15:50,160 Speaker 1: not like you're about to start trading them or benching 306 00:15:50,200 --> 00:15:52,480 Speaker 1: them in favor of defensive minded players. It's just kind 307 00:15:52,520 --> 00:15:56,640 Speaker 1: of a flaw on the roster construct at this point. Alrighty, 308 00:15:56,640 --> 00:16:00,520 Speaker 1: next question, does Golden State go all in at the deadline? Now? 309 00:16:00,600 --> 00:16:03,160 Speaker 1: For the record, I think the Warriors are mostly fine. 310 00:16:03,160 --> 00:16:06,280 Speaker 1: They have some personnel weaknesses. Uh. Like I said before, 311 00:16:06,280 --> 00:16:07,880 Speaker 1: I think they could use it back up big think 312 00:16:07,920 --> 00:16:11,600 Speaker 1: they could use a backup wing. But it's not anything 313 00:16:11,600 --> 00:16:13,640 Speaker 1: that their core players can't overcome. And I think the 314 00:16:13,680 --> 00:16:16,360 Speaker 1: vast majority of their problems are associated with effort, and 315 00:16:16,400 --> 00:16:18,080 Speaker 1: all the metrics show that. You can see that in 316 00:16:18,080 --> 00:16:21,280 Speaker 1: their their road home splits, and mainly just in big 317 00:16:21,280 --> 00:16:24,400 Speaker 1: games and specific settings when they've really needed to be great. 318 00:16:24,920 --> 00:16:27,920 Speaker 1: They've been great in defense and in rebounding and in 319 00:16:27,960 --> 00:16:30,440 Speaker 1: all of those things that they've struggled in as they've 320 00:16:30,480 --> 00:16:33,960 Speaker 1: racked up losses. Particularly on the road. So I think 321 00:16:34,040 --> 00:16:37,240 Speaker 1: this is just a case of really bad championship malaise, 322 00:16:37,280 --> 00:16:40,400 Speaker 1: and I'm not particularly worried about it. But the question 323 00:16:40,440 --> 00:16:42,320 Speaker 1: is does Golden State go all in in terms of 324 00:16:42,360 --> 00:16:45,320 Speaker 1: trades at the deadline, And it's kind of My answer 325 00:16:45,400 --> 00:16:49,960 Speaker 1: is split, because I believe they should, but I don't 326 00:16:50,000 --> 00:16:53,840 Speaker 1: think they will. The case to push all your chips 327 00:16:53,840 --> 00:16:57,160 Speaker 1: in is that the top tier contenders are all better 328 00:16:57,200 --> 00:17:00,520 Speaker 1: than last year. Milwaukee will have Christmas Alton and Joe 329 00:17:00,600 --> 00:17:04,200 Speaker 1: Ingles they did not last year. Brooklyn is a much 330 00:17:04,240 --> 00:17:07,359 Speaker 1: better contender this year than um some of the options 331 00:17:07,359 --> 00:17:09,240 Speaker 1: that we had last year. And then Boston with the 332 00:17:09,240 --> 00:17:11,600 Speaker 1: addition of Malcolm Brogden, in the improvements of Jalen Brown 333 00:17:11,640 --> 00:17:14,720 Speaker 1: and Jason Tatum, they're better than they were last year. Now, 334 00:17:14,760 --> 00:17:17,280 Speaker 1: the West is still wide open, but the challenge waiting 335 00:17:17,320 --> 00:17:19,600 Speaker 1: for the Warriors in the finals is going to be 336 00:17:19,720 --> 00:17:23,120 Speaker 1: very tough. And so I think making a move with 337 00:17:23,160 --> 00:17:26,080 Speaker 1: the young players for a legit backup big and a 338 00:17:26,160 --> 00:17:29,240 Speaker 1: legit backup wing just gives you a much better chance 339 00:17:29,720 --> 00:17:32,560 Speaker 1: to succeed in those environments. And again, let's just make 340 00:17:32,600 --> 00:17:34,960 Speaker 1: it for the sake of argument, let's just make it 341 00:17:35,000 --> 00:17:38,200 Speaker 1: a simple math equation. Let's say that you know you're 342 00:17:39,240 --> 00:17:41,760 Speaker 1: turns out that you get to the NBA Finals and 343 00:17:41,800 --> 00:17:45,000 Speaker 1: your nine seven percent good enough to beat the Milwaukee 344 00:17:45,000 --> 00:17:47,320 Speaker 1: Bucks at full strength, or the Brooklyn Nets or the 345 00:17:47,320 --> 00:17:50,480 Speaker 1: Boston Celtics. It would be really unfortunate at that point 346 00:17:50,600 --> 00:17:52,919 Speaker 1: that you didn't make that trade to where you have 347 00:17:53,040 --> 00:17:56,120 Speaker 1: that slight edge over your opponent. Again, the idea here 348 00:17:56,200 --> 00:17:59,240 Speaker 1: is razor thin margins, and when you have razor thin margins, 349 00:17:59,400 --> 00:18:01,760 Speaker 1: pushing your hips in actually could be the difference between 350 00:18:01,800 --> 00:18:05,000 Speaker 1: you losing and winning. So again that's just always been 351 00:18:05,000 --> 00:18:07,920 Speaker 1: my take. Don't like multiple timelines, don't like planning for 352 00:18:07,960 --> 00:18:11,439 Speaker 1: the future. In the NBA, quick rebuilds are possible, I 353 00:18:11,440 --> 00:18:14,359 Speaker 1: would push chips in the middle. But I have a 354 00:18:14,400 --> 00:18:18,680 Speaker 1: feeling that Joe lacop is more pessimistic about this. I 355 00:18:18,680 --> 00:18:21,680 Speaker 1: would imagine that he kind of use it more negatively, 356 00:18:21,720 --> 00:18:23,800 Speaker 1: as if like the window is closing and his players 357 00:18:23,800 --> 00:18:25,879 Speaker 1: are getting old. There's been some weird quotes about There 358 00:18:25,920 --> 00:18:27,359 Speaker 1: is a quote from Joe Engles the other day that 359 00:18:27,440 --> 00:18:29,960 Speaker 1: was like, yeah, we'll always have Steph Clay Andre as 360 00:18:29,960 --> 00:18:31,879 Speaker 1: long as they're playing at a high level, which is 361 00:18:31,920 --> 00:18:34,000 Speaker 1: basically just a fancy way of saying we'll we'll get 362 00:18:34,080 --> 00:18:37,439 Speaker 1: rid of them when they're not good anymore. UM So 363 00:18:37,600 --> 00:18:39,640 Speaker 1: I would imagine Joe lacop kind of used the young 364 00:18:39,720 --> 00:18:43,240 Speaker 1: players more as the future, unless as assets. So again, 365 00:18:43,440 --> 00:18:45,680 Speaker 1: I would push all my chips in, but I don't 366 00:18:45,680 --> 00:18:49,840 Speaker 1: actually expect the Warriors to do so. Alright. Are the 367 00:18:49,920 --> 00:18:53,479 Speaker 1: Nets contenders or pretenders? I think this is probably one 368 00:18:53,480 --> 00:18:55,240 Speaker 1: of the things that a lot of people disagree with 369 00:18:55,280 --> 00:18:57,520 Speaker 1: me about. Um I have Kevin Durant as an m 370 00:18:57,560 --> 00:18:59,200 Speaker 1: VP of the league at this point. If the season 371 00:18:59,280 --> 00:19:01,400 Speaker 1: ended today, and I think the Nets are a top 372 00:19:01,400 --> 00:19:04,000 Speaker 1: tier championship contender, I would venture to guess that about 373 00:19:04,000 --> 00:19:07,040 Speaker 1: half of you probably disagree about the m v P thing, 374 00:19:07,480 --> 00:19:09,480 Speaker 1: and more than half of you probably disagree as it 375 00:19:09,520 --> 00:19:12,639 Speaker 1: pertains to the championship contender piece, just because of all 376 00:19:12,680 --> 00:19:14,159 Speaker 1: the things that have gone wrong with the Nets over 377 00:19:14,200 --> 00:19:16,639 Speaker 1: the years. So I want to just point out three 378 00:19:16,920 --> 00:19:21,159 Speaker 1: reasons why I believe the Nets are a bona fide 379 00:19:21,280 --> 00:19:25,639 Speaker 1: top tier championship contender. Number one is playoff execution. The 380 00:19:25,680 --> 00:19:28,439 Speaker 1: Nets are third and half court offense and second and 381 00:19:28,520 --> 00:19:31,280 Speaker 1: half and half court defense, so their top three in 382 00:19:31,320 --> 00:19:33,680 Speaker 1: the static half court environment on both ends of the floor. 383 00:19:34,080 --> 00:19:36,639 Speaker 1: In the static half court environment, which is mostly what 384 00:19:36,760 --> 00:19:38,840 Speaker 1: you face in the playoffs because of scouting and just 385 00:19:38,920 --> 00:19:42,159 Speaker 1: better transition defense, that's where games are decided, and the 386 00:19:42,160 --> 00:19:45,000 Speaker 1: Nets are great at both ends of the floor in 387 00:19:45,040 --> 00:19:48,639 Speaker 1: that setting. Secondly, they are an excellent clutch team. The 388 00:19:48,680 --> 00:19:52,159 Speaker 1: Nets are a league best sixteen in three in games 389 00:19:52,160 --> 00:19:55,000 Speaker 1: that involved clutch situations. So any time a game was 390 00:19:55,160 --> 00:19:58,200 Speaker 1: within five with five or fewer minutes left, the Nets 391 00:19:58,200 --> 00:20:01,840 Speaker 1: one sixteen out of nineteen of them. They're outscoring teams 392 00:20:01,840 --> 00:20:04,680 Speaker 1: by twenty eight points per per one possessions in those 393 00:20:04,720 --> 00:20:08,840 Speaker 1: clutch situations. Most playoff games are close, and the Nets 394 00:20:08,840 --> 00:20:12,959 Speaker 1: are great at winning close games. And then three, Katie 395 00:20:13,119 --> 00:20:14,960 Speaker 1: is the best basketball player that I've seen this season 396 00:20:15,040 --> 00:20:18,640 Speaker 1: within this regular season obviously, which is a different conversation. UM. 397 00:20:18,680 --> 00:20:20,520 Speaker 1: I also think Katie has the most to gain by 398 00:20:20,520 --> 00:20:24,000 Speaker 1: winning if you really think about what his career resume is. 399 00:20:24,320 --> 00:20:27,199 Speaker 1: His only two championships are with that Warriors team. In 400 00:20:27,240 --> 00:20:29,760 Speaker 1: the court of public opinion, most people view those championships 401 00:20:29,760 --> 00:20:32,760 Speaker 1: as less valuable than others. By winning one in Brooklyn, 402 00:20:32,760 --> 00:20:35,399 Speaker 1: it kind of changes the entire dynamic of his career resume. 403 00:20:35,440 --> 00:20:38,320 Speaker 1: Now he's a three time champ, and it adds legitimacy 404 00:20:38,359 --> 00:20:40,640 Speaker 1: to what happened in Golden State because you've seen him 405 00:20:40,640 --> 00:20:44,640 Speaker 1: win without Steph and the Warriors. So I just think 406 00:20:44,640 --> 00:20:47,439 Speaker 1: he's extremely motivated, has a lot to gain by it. 407 00:20:47,520 --> 00:20:49,359 Speaker 1: And when I really zoom out from that, there are 408 00:20:49,359 --> 00:20:52,600 Speaker 1: a great half court team. They're an excellent defensive team, 409 00:20:52,640 --> 00:20:56,399 Speaker 1: they are excellent in late game situations, and they have 410 00:20:56,440 --> 00:20:58,439 Speaker 1: a guy that I think is playing better basketball than 411 00:20:58,480 --> 00:21:01,200 Speaker 1: anybody right now. That's enough to make you a top 412 00:21:01,200 --> 00:21:04,119 Speaker 1: tier contender. They do still have flaws. They rely heavily 413 00:21:04,119 --> 00:21:06,040 Speaker 1: on pull up shooting, so when those shots don't fall, 414 00:21:06,119 --> 00:21:08,600 Speaker 1: it could be problematic see the Celtics series last year. 415 00:21:08,920 --> 00:21:12,119 Speaker 1: They're also thin on the perimeter from a physicality standpoint, 416 00:21:12,200 --> 00:21:14,800 Speaker 1: and so you know, I worry about them in specific 417 00:21:14,880 --> 00:21:18,520 Speaker 1: matchups against very strong teams, teams like Boston, but every 418 00:21:18,520 --> 00:21:21,439 Speaker 1: team has issues. So I absolutely think that Brooklyn is 419 00:21:21,480 --> 00:21:24,280 Speaker 1: a contender and a top tier contender that has the 420 00:21:24,320 --> 00:21:27,000 Speaker 1: same type of chance to win as Golden State or 421 00:21:27,000 --> 00:21:32,280 Speaker 1: Boston or Milwaukee. Alright, last question, will the Boston Celtics 422 00:21:32,359 --> 00:21:35,600 Speaker 1: keep their foot on the gas so this time last 423 00:21:35,680 --> 00:21:38,120 Speaker 1: year was when Boston really went on their run. As 424 00:21:38,119 --> 00:21:39,920 Speaker 1: a matter of fact, if you take the last half 425 00:21:40,000 --> 00:21:42,360 Speaker 1: of last year, so the last forty one games last year, 426 00:21:42,840 --> 00:21:44,680 Speaker 1: and the first half of this year, so the first 427 00:21:44,720 --> 00:21:47,960 Speaker 1: forty one games of this year, they're sixty and twenty two. 428 00:21:48,280 --> 00:21:50,600 Speaker 1: So there are sixty win team over the course of 429 00:21:50,640 --> 00:21:54,120 Speaker 1: their full, last full season's worth of games. Uh. They've 430 00:21:54,119 --> 00:21:56,800 Speaker 1: also won three playoff series during that span, and they 431 00:21:56,800 --> 00:21:59,960 Speaker 1: had a to one lead during the finals. So they've 432 00:22:00,040 --> 00:22:03,800 Speaker 1: proven themselves over an extended stretch to be a highly 433 00:22:03,800 --> 00:22:08,119 Speaker 1: capable offense and defense at every single level except for 434 00:22:08,200 --> 00:22:11,320 Speaker 1: the NBA Finals. So the question will I will Boston 435 00:22:11,720 --> 00:22:14,560 Speaker 1: keep their foot on the gas, I answer no from 436 00:22:14,560 --> 00:22:16,760 Speaker 1: the stame point of the regular season. I think they're 437 00:22:16,800 --> 00:22:20,119 Speaker 1: content now to just kind of float along and every 438 00:22:20,160 --> 00:22:22,080 Speaker 1: once in a while, whoop, someone's asked to prove they 439 00:22:22,119 --> 00:22:23,639 Speaker 1: can still do it. And you can see that in 440 00:22:23,680 --> 00:22:25,840 Speaker 1: their recent schedule in the way that they've played. The 441 00:22:25,840 --> 00:22:28,480 Speaker 1: Celtics are just eight and seven in their last fifteen games, 442 00:22:28,720 --> 00:22:31,240 Speaker 1: but they have massively impressive wins over that stretch. They 443 00:22:31,280 --> 00:22:33,280 Speaker 1: beat the Lakers, they beat the Milwaukee Bucks, they beat 444 00:22:33,280 --> 00:22:36,480 Speaker 1: the Los Angeles Clippers, they beat the Dallas Mavericks, demoralize 445 00:22:36,520 --> 00:22:38,800 Speaker 1: the Mavericks, um, and they beat that Bulls team the 446 00:22:38,840 --> 00:22:41,679 Speaker 1: other night that was playing extremely well. Um, So I 447 00:22:41,800 --> 00:22:44,200 Speaker 1: view the Celtics as more of a switch flipping team now, 448 00:22:44,440 --> 00:22:47,800 Speaker 1: which is fine. For the record, Like, nothing could change 449 00:22:47,840 --> 00:22:51,680 Speaker 1: my opinion of Boston either way. Like, they could lose 450 00:22:51,680 --> 00:22:53,399 Speaker 1: ten in a row right now and I'd be like, 451 00:22:53,440 --> 00:22:56,199 Speaker 1: they're just messing around. You know. They could win twenty 452 00:22:56,200 --> 00:22:58,080 Speaker 1: in a row right now and I'd still be like, yeah, 453 00:22:58,119 --> 00:22:59,760 Speaker 1: but can they do it against the Warriors, you know 454 00:22:59,760 --> 00:23:03,399 Speaker 1: what I mean? So, Like, Boston to me is purely established. 455 00:23:03,440 --> 00:23:06,000 Speaker 1: All of this is just dress rehearsal for the late 456 00:23:06,080 --> 00:23:09,520 Speaker 1: rounds of the playoffs, and their biggest enemy is themselves 457 00:23:09,880 --> 00:23:14,240 Speaker 1: and their ability to execute on the offensive end when 458 00:23:14,280 --> 00:23:16,760 Speaker 1: the stakes are highest. And the only way that they 459 00:23:16,800 --> 00:23:19,920 Speaker 1: can prove that is to overcome those shortcomings at the 460 00:23:20,000 --> 00:23:23,400 Speaker 1: highest level in the NBA Finals. Um, I think they're 461 00:23:23,440 --> 00:23:25,360 Speaker 1: the best roster in the league. I think if they 462 00:23:25,400 --> 00:23:29,080 Speaker 1: do overcome that individual problem that they will win the trophy. 463 00:23:29,400 --> 00:23:31,760 Speaker 1: That's the type of talent that they have on the roster. 464 00:23:31,920 --> 00:23:34,760 Speaker 1: It's right there. They just have to go do it, 465 00:23:35,320 --> 00:23:37,280 Speaker 1: all right, guys, that is all I have for today. 466 00:23:37,320 --> 00:23:39,560 Speaker 1: As always, I sincerely appreciate your support. I hope you 467 00:23:39,560 --> 00:23:41,840 Speaker 1: guys enjoyed the rest of the weekend and I will 468 00:23:41,880 --> 00:24:01,640 Speaker 1: be back on Monday. The volume