WEBVTT - Judging Sam: Going Infinite – Jacob Weisberg interviews Michael Lewis

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<v Speaker 1>Pushkin. Hey there, it's Michael Lewis. Before we get to

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome to the first episode of Judging Sam, The Trial

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<v Speaker 1>of Sam Bankman Freed. I'm Michael Lewis. Sam was worth

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<v Speaker 1>tens of billions of dollars before FTX his cryptocurrency exchange

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<v Speaker 1>came a part at the seams, and now he's being

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<v Speaker 1>tried for financial crimes. They could send him to prison

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<v Speaker 1>for the rest of his life. In this special series,

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<v Speaker 1>we're following the trial that will decide Sam's fate. We'll

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<v Speaker 1>have a reporter in the courtroom each day. We'll have

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<v Speaker 1>expert interviews and I'll be analyzing it all as someone

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<v Speaker 1>who knows this story as well as anyone knows the story.

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<v Speaker 1>I spent a year and a half following Sam while

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<v Speaker 1>I was reporting and writing a book about him. I

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<v Speaker 1>was there for the good days, which were astronomically good,

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<v Speaker 1>and I was there for the catastrophic collapse. While Sam

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<v Speaker 1>was on house arrest, I visited him often. That's all

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<v Speaker 1>in my new book about Sam, going Infinite, The Rise

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<v Speaker 1>and Fall of a New Tycoon. On today's episode, while

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<v Speaker 1>we wait for the trial to begin, I'm talking with

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<v Speaker 1>Pushkins Jacob Weisberg about the book and trying to approach

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<v Speaker 1>some of the questions you might be asking, like who

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<v Speaker 1>was this rumpled guy in cargo shorts and limp white

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<v Speaker 1>socks whose eyes twitch to cross zoom meetings as he

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<v Speaker 1>played video games on the side. When did I start

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<v Speaker 1>sensing that there might be trouble in the penthouse? And

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<v Speaker 1>how and why did he end up where he is

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<v Speaker 1>now as the defendant and what could well be the

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<v Speaker 1>crypto trial of the century. Thanks for joining us.

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<v Speaker 2>Hey, Michael, Welcome to your new show.

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<v Speaker 1>Pleasure to be here, Jacob.

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<v Speaker 2>I've got a lot that I want to ask you

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<v Speaker 2>about this book. It was so fun to read Michael.

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<v Speaker 2>For people who haven't read the book yet, this trial

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<v Speaker 2>is about to start. Tell them who is Sam Bankman Freed.

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<v Speaker 1>Born to Stanford professors, law professors, grew up completely isolated,

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<v Speaker 1>essentially no one could serve as a character reference. Before

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<v Speaker 1>the age of eighteen, finds his calling on Wall Street

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<v Speaker 1>as a high frequency trader, discovers he has these gifts

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<v Speaker 1>that he didn't know he had. At the same time,

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<v Speaker 1>discovers this movement effective altruism, devoted to like earning as

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<v Speaker 1>much money as possible to save as many lives on

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<v Speaker 1>the planet as you can say, and then goes off

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<v Speaker 1>on a jag into crypto to make as much money

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<v Speaker 1>as he can to fulfill this ambition. After he goes

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<v Speaker 1>into crypto, starts first a hedge fund called Alimeter Research,

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<v Speaker 1>and then so he has a place to trade that's

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<v Speaker 1>worthy of his hedge fund, a crypto exchange called FTX.

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<v Speaker 1>In very short order, it goes from being nothing to

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<v Speaker 1>worth forty billion dollars in the eyes of America's venture capitalist,

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<v Speaker 1>and then it explodes.

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<v Speaker 2>I want to ask you a little bit about how

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<v Speaker 2>you found this story. How did you end up writing

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<v Speaker 2>a book about Sam Bang and Free.

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<v Speaker 1>So it was purely accidental. Two years ago, a friend

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<v Speaker 1>of mine calls me and says, I have a problem.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm about to swap three hundred million dollars in shares

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<v Speaker 1>in my company for shares in this company called FTX.

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<v Speaker 1>And he says, I've kind of looked into the company.

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<v Speaker 1>It's fastest growing financial firm I've ever seen. And my

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<v Speaker 1>problem is, I don't know who this guy is who

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<v Speaker 1>created FTX. I don't I don't have a read on him,

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<v Speaker 1>and I've called all Wall Street and no one else

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<v Speaker 1>has a read on him. Forbes has listed his net

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<v Speaker 1>worth of twenty two and a half billion dollars, but

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<v Speaker 1>he didn't exist a year ago. He kind of came

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<v Speaker 1>out of nowhere. He said, could you sit down with

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<v Speaker 1>him and just tell me who he is? You know,

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<v Speaker 1>you do this for a living. And so a couple

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<v Speaker 1>of weeks later, Sam Beckmanfried showed up at my office

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<v Speaker 1>in Berkeley and we went for a long walk. And

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<v Speaker 1>at the end of the long walk I did two things.

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<v Speaker 1>I called my friend and I said, sure, swap the shares.

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<v Speaker 1>What could go wrong? Weo, yeah, pullips. But I turned

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<v Speaker 1>to Sam and I said, I've never heard a story

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<v Speaker 1>like this. I mean, what has happened to you is

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<v Speaker 1>just extraordinary. I want to watch. Can I be a

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<v Speaker 1>fly on the wall? And he said yes, And I

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<v Speaker 1>just moved into his life starting September October of twenty

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<v Speaker 1>twenty one and watched the ride up and watched the

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<v Speaker 1>ride down. But the first year of it really was

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<v Speaker 1>it was Although the material was fantastic, there was no

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<v Speaker 1>question there was like the kind of material one would

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<v Speaker 1>use for a narrative work of narrative nonfiction. I felt

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<v Speaker 1>very uncomfor starting it unless I knew where it ended,

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<v Speaker 1>and it was so volatile, I had no idea like

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<v Speaker 1>where it was going, and so it wasn't until it

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<v Speaker 1>actually collapsed that I realized that I had the shape

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<v Speaker 1>of a book, and didn't start writing it until January

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<v Speaker 1>this year.

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<v Speaker 2>The Michael Lewis I know doesn't like to write about

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<v Speaker 2>people who were that famous, and doesn't like to write

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<v Speaker 2>about the stories that everyone else is writing about. When

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<v Speaker 2>you started on n FTX, it was a lot less

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<v Speaker 2>of a story than it became, but it was still

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<v Speaker 2>he was on the radar screen of everybody in the

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<v Speaker 2>financial world. He was quickly becoming mister crypto. Did you

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<v Speaker 2>just decide what the hell this is too good to miss?

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah? And I also I instantly had such privileged access,

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<v Speaker 1>and I was seeing so much stuff that wasn't out

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<v Speaker 1>there that that didn't worry me that much. And the

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<v Speaker 1>nature of the coverage he was getting was so superficial

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<v Speaker 1>that whatever book I would write was suffering only flesh wounds.

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<v Speaker 1>And I was animated by like the original question my

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<v Speaker 1>friend had asked, like who is this guy? And I

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<v Speaker 1>didn't feel like anybody was kind of getting him on

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<v Speaker 1>the page or on the screen, or that there was

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<v Speaker 1>a thing to do that nobody was doing. But I

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<v Speaker 1>was frustrated because because I did have this sense that

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<v Speaker 1>this is going somewhere, and I don't know where it's going.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean as late as like in early November of

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<v Speaker 1>last year, moments before it all implodes, I sat down

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<v Speaker 1>with a friend who I used as sort of a

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<v Speaker 1>sounding board for story problems, and I laid it out.

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<v Speaker 1>I said, Look, this is the character, this is the

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<v Speaker 1>kind of material that's been incoming. It's an incredible story.

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<v Speaker 1>But I'm frustrated. He said, I can see why you're frustrated.

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<v Speaker 1>You don't have a third act. He said, in a book,

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<v Speaker 1>you can dance your way out of this, that you

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<v Speaker 1>can kind of fool the reader into thinking you have

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<v Speaker 1>an ending. But it's no movie, you know, like you

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<v Speaker 1>would never be a movie. And he said, you ought

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<v Speaker 1>to think about that. And two days later FTX collapsed

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<v Speaker 1>and I said, this is the best movie ever.

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<v Speaker 2>But you didn't know what the story was going to be.

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<v Speaker 2>I mean, with hindsight, I'm sure there's a lot of

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<v Speaker 2>temptation to think I saw the signs. I saw this coming.

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<v Speaker 2>You knew something would happen. But at one point, if

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<v Speaker 2>at any point before the collapse, did you think there's

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<v Speaker 2>a problem here, something bad's going to happen.

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<v Speaker 1>I didn't, you know. Before the collapse, what I could

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<v Speaker 1>see was chaos, like all the order to the organization

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<v Speaker 1>was inside Sam's head. There was no organization chart, there

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<v Speaker 1>was no list of employees. It was just like there

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<v Speaker 1>had been a history in the place of minor crises,

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<v Speaker 1>and they'd been in particular an episode that had occurred

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<v Speaker 1>that I had sort of reported out, and I knew

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<v Speaker 1>it was an important part of the story. When he

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<v Speaker 1>started his hedge fund, it was called Alometer research in

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<v Speaker 1>Berkeley in twenty eighteen, there was nothing but a group

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<v Speaker 1>of effective altruists, you know, its people he had recruited

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<v Speaker 1>who were not money people. Three months in, they've they've

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<v Speaker 1>raised one hundred and seventy five million dollars from effective

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<v Speaker 1>altruists and are wheeling and dealing in the crypto markets.

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<v Speaker 1>And half the people in the firm realize that they've

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<v Speaker 1>lost track of all the money, that it's like missing

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<v Speaker 1>and they don't know where it is is and like

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<v Speaker 1>literally just gone and and so and so and Sam

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<v Speaker 1>all he wants to do is trade all day, and

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<v Speaker 1>he says, and he's saying, let's not let's not waste

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<v Speaker 1>our time trying to track down the money. It's out

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<v Speaker 1>there somewhere. Uh, let's let's keep trading. And this results

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<v Speaker 1>in a collapse basically that they call it the schism.

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<v Speaker 1>Half the firm gets up and leaves because they're afraid

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<v Speaker 1>he's essentially stealing the money and that it's all it's

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<v Speaker 1>And well, it emerges in the back end of it

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<v Speaker 1>that he hadn't stolen money, that was in fact just

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<v Speaker 1>missing and they were able to go find it on

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<v Speaker 1>a kind of easter egg hunt. Uh, but uh so

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<v Speaker 1>there were these sort of things that had happened before

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<v Speaker 1>that you could see that the seeds were there for

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<v Speaker 1>some problem. But did I know that there was like

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<v Speaker 1>this was going to blow up the way it blew up. No,

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<v Speaker 1>and no one else did either.

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<v Speaker 2>And pause for a second, just because it's so important

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<v Speaker 2>to the story, explain what effective at altruism is.

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<v Speaker 1>Because this is a this is a.

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<v Speaker 2>Strange it's a motive for making money. You gonna make

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<v Speaker 2>money to give it away.

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<v Speaker 1>It was a movement. It's a movement that grew out

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<v Speaker 1>of the work of the philosopher Peter Singer, and it

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<v Speaker 1>was started by several young Oxford philosophers and right after

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<v Speaker 1>the financial crisis. Oddly. The premise is that you look

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<v Speaker 1>at philanthropy rather than just willy nilly do good in

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<v Speaker 1>the world. You analyze it. You try to measure the

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<v Speaker 1>effects of what you're doing and quantify it and look

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<v Speaker 1>at it as a mathematical problem. And the mathematical problem

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<v Speaker 1>you're trying to solve is, in the end, how do

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<v Speaker 1>you maximize with your altruism the number of quality life

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<v Speaker 1>years of human beings? Is that's where they end up.

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<v Speaker 1>And so that once it becomes a math problem. It

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<v Speaker 1>attracts lots of Mathew people, but it pretty quickly collides

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<v Speaker 1>with the observation that humanity faces various existential risks and

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<v Speaker 1>artificial intelligence running amock pandemics or climate change or nuclear war,

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<v Speaker 1>and that these risks risk actually wiping out all future

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<v Speaker 1>human beings, and that the trillions of people and if

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<v Speaker 1>there's even a slight probability of that happening, anything you

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<v Speaker 1>do to reduce that risk ends up saving far more

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<v Speaker 1>lives than you could ever save by addressing the problems

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<v Speaker 1>of people living on the planet today. And so by

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<v Speaker 1>the time Sam gets to it, it's already moving in

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<v Speaker 1>that direction, and the effective altruists who gather in Berkeley

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<v Speaker 1>to create a crypto hedge fund are all in their

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<v Speaker 1>minds generating money in order to mitigate existential risk to humanity. Sam,

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<v Speaker 1>who himself has a two or three year background on

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<v Speaker 1>Wall Street and trading, has proposed this to a whole

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<v Speaker 1>bunch of people who have no background in trading, that

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<v Speaker 1>we're going to gather together, we're going to exploit the

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<v Speaker 1>inefficiencies in crypto to make billions of dollars to give

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<v Speaker 1>it away to prevent I don't know the next pandemic

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<v Speaker 1>or a pandemic that would wipe out all people, and

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<v Speaker 1>they're all in on this.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, So your character Sam Bankman Freed tells you I

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<v Speaker 2>have a motivation. My motivation is effective altruism. It's to

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<v Speaker 2>make as much money as possible and use it as

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<v Speaker 2>efficiently as possible to better humanity.

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<v Speaker 1>Not to save humanity, to save.

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<v Speaker 2>Humanity even more. Did you buy that? Did you think, Okay,

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<v Speaker 2>that's that's pretty interesting, it's pretty unusual and that's what

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<v Speaker 2>he's trying to do, or did you think there might

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<v Speaker 2>be a different or more complicated motivation.

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<v Speaker 1>Well, in the first place, when he collides with the

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<v Speaker 1>effect of altrue as a movement, when he is a

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<v Speaker 1>junior in college and is swept up in it, it's

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<v Speaker 1>all sincere and he becomes he becomes a proselytizer for

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<v Speaker 1>this movement. His identity is all wrapped up in being

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<v Speaker 1>the most important person in this movement, and he had

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<v Speaker 1>a sense of himself being special because of this movement.

0:11:42.116 --> 0:11:44.396
<v Speaker 1>So when he says I'm doing it for this reason,

0:11:44.716 --> 0:11:47.516
<v Speaker 1>he thinks that's true. He's not. He's not just saying that,

0:11:47.556 --> 0:11:50.676
<v Speaker 1>but to try to trick you. So I bought it

0:11:50.716 --> 0:11:54.236
<v Speaker 1>to that extent, and it was really interesting. I mean,

0:11:54.556 --> 0:11:58.716
<v Speaker 1>I had had in the past collided with some of

0:11:58.756 --> 0:12:02.236
<v Speaker 1>the early people who had who had heard the siren song,

0:12:02.676 --> 0:12:04.196
<v Speaker 1>people who might have ended up being I don't know,

0:12:04.236 --> 0:12:08.396
<v Speaker 1>math teachers in high school are doctors. Had instead thought, well,

0:12:08.636 --> 0:12:11.556
<v Speaker 1>I need to earn to give because I buy this argument,

0:12:11.796 --> 0:12:13.356
<v Speaker 1>and I'm going to go to Wall Street to give

0:12:13.396 --> 0:12:15.436
<v Speaker 1>the money away. So I had met the kind of

0:12:15.436 --> 0:12:18.076
<v Speaker 1>people before, and it was kind of refreshing. Right, There

0:12:18.116 --> 0:12:20.156
<v Speaker 1>is a certain sense to it. If someone's going to

0:12:20.196 --> 0:12:22.436
<v Speaker 1>be earning this money, might as well be someone who's

0:12:22.436 --> 0:12:24.036
<v Speaker 1>going to do something good with it, rather than someone

0:12:24.036 --> 0:12:26.276
<v Speaker 1>who's going to build themselves a bigger swimming pool. And

0:12:26.516 --> 0:12:29.636
<v Speaker 1>I was charmed by his single mindedness. I thought that

0:12:29.716 --> 0:12:32.876
<v Speaker 1>was interesting. But mixed up in it all, of course,

0:12:32.956 --> 0:12:35.596
<v Speaker 1>is a sense of ambition that he wanted to think

0:12:35.636 --> 0:12:37.396
<v Speaker 1>of himself as an important person, and this was a

0:12:37.396 --> 0:12:41.436
<v Speaker 1>mechanism for thinking of himself as an important person. He

0:12:41.716 --> 0:12:44.516
<v Speaker 1>liked sort of like living his life by argument. You

0:12:44.516 --> 0:12:47.356
<v Speaker 1>could change Sam bankman Fried's mind. It didn't happen very often,

0:12:47.516 --> 0:12:49.076
<v Speaker 1>but when it happened to happen by argument, and he

0:12:49.116 --> 0:12:50.636
<v Speaker 1>would just buy. He would do things that were very

0:12:50.716 --> 0:12:54.236
<v Speaker 1>uncomfortable for him simply because he heard an argument that

0:12:54.276 --> 0:12:55.956
<v Speaker 1>persuaded him when he was in college a year the

0:12:56.036 --> 0:13:00.236
<v Speaker 1>argument about animal suffering and veganism. And this guy really

0:13:00.276 --> 0:13:03.276
<v Speaker 1>liked his chicken, you know, and he stopped eating meat

0:13:03.796 --> 0:13:06.876
<v Speaker 1>on a dime because he bought the argument. And it

0:13:07.116 --> 0:13:10.836
<v Speaker 1>was miserable, but he did it, so he was capable

0:13:10.876 --> 0:13:12.076
<v Speaker 1>of that kind of action.

0:13:12.596 --> 0:13:14.876
<v Speaker 2>He still world's most unhealthy looking vegan.

0:13:14.996 --> 0:13:18.276
<v Speaker 1>Right, Oh my god, you think vegan means healthy vegans

0:13:18.316 --> 0:13:21.356
<v Speaker 1>means a truckload of crappy snacks. If you leave him

0:13:21.356 --> 0:13:23.796
<v Speaker 1>in a prison with only a vending machine d from

0:13:23.836 --> 0:13:26.436
<v Speaker 1>he's fine because that's kind of what he eats anyway.

0:13:26.916 --> 0:13:31.396
<v Speaker 2>So how did your view of him evolve during the

0:13:31.436 --> 0:13:33.076
<v Speaker 2>period you were working on the book? And you spent

0:13:33.236 --> 0:13:34.916
<v Speaker 2>all this time with him, You spend all the time

0:13:34.916 --> 0:13:37.836
<v Speaker 2>with his family, You spend time with all these people

0:13:37.876 --> 0:13:39.436
<v Speaker 2>of the company. I mean, this is the cast of

0:13:39.516 --> 0:13:42.556
<v Speaker 2>characters we're going to meet at the trial, and a

0:13:42.636 --> 0:13:44.836
<v Speaker 2>number of these people are now testifying against him on

0:13:44.956 --> 0:13:48.436
<v Speaker 2>behalf of the government. Did your understanding of him change

0:13:48.556 --> 0:13:49.916
<v Speaker 2>while you were working on it?

0:13:50.756 --> 0:13:54.316
<v Speaker 1>What accreed it. Over time was just a sense of

0:13:54.356 --> 0:13:57.476
<v Speaker 1>how peculiar he was. The longer I was there, the

0:13:57.516 --> 0:14:01.756
<v Speaker 1>depth of his oddness just increased. I give you an example.

0:14:02.156 --> 0:14:05.036
<v Speaker 1>In the first trip we took together, I went to

0:14:05.036 --> 0:14:06.476
<v Speaker 1>the Super Bowl with him. I went to Los Angeles

0:14:06.516 --> 0:14:08.196
<v Speaker 1>for a bunch of parties and meetings in the super Bowl,

0:14:08.596 --> 0:14:12.396
<v Speaker 1>and we were in a hotel together, and he went

0:14:12.396 --> 0:14:13.796
<v Speaker 1>into his room and I went in my room, and

0:14:13.796 --> 0:14:16.196
<v Speaker 1>I thought, well, he's just like normal people living in

0:14:16.196 --> 0:14:18.196
<v Speaker 1>his hotel room. It was two trips later when I

0:14:18.236 --> 0:14:19.716
<v Speaker 1>realized that what he would do is check into the

0:14:19.716 --> 0:14:22.676
<v Speaker 1>hotel room and never stay there because he was uncomfortable

0:14:22.676 --> 0:14:25.516
<v Speaker 1>sleeping alone. And he would find someone's sofa that he

0:14:25.596 --> 0:14:29.156
<v Speaker 1>knew to sleep on, or sometimes crawl into some some

0:14:29.196 --> 0:14:31.956
<v Speaker 1>colleagues hotel room to sleep on their sofa rather than

0:14:32.196 --> 0:14:34.796
<v Speaker 1>in his own room. That kind of thing happened over

0:14:34.836 --> 0:14:38.196
<v Speaker 1>and over where like he just Oh my god, I thought,

0:14:38.236 --> 0:14:41.396
<v Speaker 1>I knew how unusual, odd peculiar he was, and he

0:14:41.636 --> 0:14:45.156
<v Speaker 1>just gets there's just there's something. There's another door I

0:14:45.196 --> 0:14:49.996
<v Speaker 1>need to open here. I tell you another thing. This

0:14:50.036 --> 0:14:53.436
<v Speaker 1>is going to sound very peculiar. I became kind of

0:14:53.476 --> 0:14:59.236
<v Speaker 1>awed by how almost incapable he was of lying to me,

0:15:00.036 --> 0:15:04.476
<v Speaker 1>of just that that everything he said would check out. Now,

0:15:04.516 --> 0:15:07.836
<v Speaker 1>what he would do is not answer things I asked

0:15:08.156 --> 0:15:10.236
<v Speaker 1>in very crafty way. Sometimes I would ask something and

0:15:10.236 --> 0:15:13.196
<v Speaker 1>he'd give me answer to a slightly different question. But

0:15:13.836 --> 0:15:17.516
<v Speaker 1>I over time I came to be able to rely

0:15:17.836 --> 0:15:20.556
<v Speaker 1>on him more than I did in the beginning. First,

0:15:20.716 --> 0:15:22.636
<v Speaker 1>with the things he were telling me, I thought were preposterous,

0:15:22.676 --> 0:15:25.036
<v Speaker 1>that this can't be true, that can't be true, And

0:15:25.036 --> 0:15:28.036
<v Speaker 1>it all checked out, and it kept checking out. You know,

0:15:28.396 --> 0:15:32.756
<v Speaker 1>there were things that weren't immediately apparent. That the more

0:15:32.796 --> 0:15:35.436
<v Speaker 1>I was there struck me as just kind of I mean,

0:15:35.556 --> 0:15:38.476
<v Speaker 1>just peculiar and shocking the fact that the way he

0:15:38.516 --> 0:15:41.916
<v Speaker 1>had almost systematically removed anybody over about the age of

0:15:41.956 --> 0:15:45.836
<v Speaker 1>thirty two from his life, that the way he had

0:15:45.956 --> 0:15:48.796
<v Speaker 1>come to kind of disdain any kind of grown up

0:15:48.836 --> 0:15:53.836
<v Speaker 1>supervision and grown up methods that he disdains the wrong word.

0:15:54.036 --> 0:15:56.556
<v Speaker 1>He would start, So, you think you start a company,

0:15:56.636 --> 0:15:59.196
<v Speaker 1>and you've never run a company, you never run anything. Basically,

0:15:59.676 --> 0:16:02.276
<v Speaker 1>you would think you, I don't know, take a management class,

0:16:02.356 --> 0:16:05.236
<v Speaker 1>read a book. And he kind of flipped through a

0:16:05.236 --> 0:16:08.436
<v Speaker 1>few things and decided this is all bullshit, and you're

0:16:08.436 --> 0:16:10.356
<v Speaker 1>just gonna have to make it up as I go along.

0:16:10.676 --> 0:16:12.196
<v Speaker 1>And to get yourself in a position where you have

0:16:12.236 --> 0:16:15.196
<v Speaker 1>an almost five hundred person company and nobody knows where

0:16:15.196 --> 0:16:17.116
<v Speaker 1>they are in the company because there's no org chart

0:16:17.196 --> 0:16:18.956
<v Speaker 1>and he doesn't like titles and there's not even a

0:16:18.996 --> 0:16:22.836
<v Speaker 1>list of employees. That kind of stuff just that you

0:16:23.076 --> 0:16:27.156
<v Speaker 1>stumble upon. That the lack of order, because he didn't

0:16:27.196 --> 0:16:30.276
<v Speaker 1>have much respect for the way people had conventionally ordered

0:16:30.316 --> 0:16:35.196
<v Speaker 1>things that you know, I would run into versions of that.

0:16:36.596 --> 0:16:42.036
<v Speaker 1>One last thing that his attitude towards risk. He had

0:16:42.076 --> 0:16:45.836
<v Speaker 1>an appetite for risk that at first I thought was

0:16:45.916 --> 0:16:48.196
<v Speaker 1>kind of funny. And then you know, he's like you're

0:16:48.196 --> 0:16:49.636
<v Speaker 1>in a game of chicken, and then you realize you

0:16:49.636 --> 0:16:51.636
<v Speaker 1>don't want to be playing chicken against this person because

0:16:51.676 --> 0:16:54.636
<v Speaker 1>he actually will do the things that most people won't do.

0:16:55.116 --> 0:16:57.876
<v Speaker 1>Watch out, because he will actually do it. Like, you know,

0:16:57.916 --> 0:16:59.676
<v Speaker 1>he says he's going to go spend a billion dollars

0:16:59.716 --> 0:17:01.876
<v Speaker 1>to buy that, and you think, no, he's just saying that, No,

0:17:02.036 --> 0:17:03.956
<v Speaker 1>we actually will go do it. But it was just

0:17:03.996 --> 0:17:05.676
<v Speaker 1>this took a while for me to appreciate who he was.

0:17:05.996 --> 0:17:08.996
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I mean, reading the book Weird doesn't begin to

0:17:08.996 --> 0:17:11.516
<v Speaker 2>do justice to it. This is someone who is a

0:17:11.636 --> 0:17:14.556
<v Speaker 2>very hard time relating to people, said very few friends,

0:17:14.716 --> 0:17:17.676
<v Speaker 2>is much more at home in the world of numbers

0:17:17.756 --> 0:17:22.996
<v Speaker 2>and data. I mean, nothing about him is like anyone

0:17:23.036 --> 0:17:26.796
<v Speaker 2>else we would see in a position running a company

0:17:26.796 --> 0:17:29.196
<v Speaker 2>and dealing with other human beings. Right, So, if he's

0:17:29.196 --> 0:17:31.396
<v Speaker 2>a kind of genius but he's not good at running

0:17:31.436 --> 0:17:34.116
<v Speaker 2>a company because he can't deal with people, why doesn't

0:17:34.116 --> 0:17:35.716
<v Speaker 2>he get someone else to run the company and he

0:17:35.716 --> 0:17:36.716
<v Speaker 2>can do what he's good at.

0:17:37.276 --> 0:17:39.396
<v Speaker 1>So I don't think he knew he wasn't good at

0:17:39.476 --> 0:17:42.676
<v Speaker 1>running a company. I think he thought basically, people shouldn't

0:17:42.716 --> 0:17:46.076
<v Speaker 1>need to be managed, and so it was their problem

0:17:47.116 --> 0:17:50.116
<v Speaker 1>as a practical matter. What ends up happening is the

0:17:50.196 --> 0:17:54.156
<v Speaker 1>messy business of managing people gets subcontracted to people who've

0:17:54.156 --> 0:17:57.236
<v Speaker 1>got a little bit of emotional intelligence, including his own

0:17:57.276 --> 0:18:00.396
<v Speaker 1>psychiatrist who he brings in to be the corporate psychiatrist,

0:18:00.476 --> 0:18:02.756
<v Speaker 1>who ends up dealing with a lot of the messy problems.

0:18:02.956 --> 0:18:07.276
<v Speaker 1>So what happens is his organization. After Sam's insistence that

0:18:07.316 --> 0:18:09.996
<v Speaker 1>he really should be the one in charge, the organization

0:18:10.076 --> 0:18:13.236
<v Speaker 1>adaptsed to it in various bizarre ways.

0:18:13.956 --> 0:18:16.076
<v Speaker 2>They had like a chief mental health officer.

0:18:17.156 --> 0:18:20.556
<v Speaker 1>No titles in the company, but yes, effectively they did.

0:18:20.996 --> 0:18:24.076
<v Speaker 1>You know, I think that in almost any other era

0:18:24.716 --> 0:18:26.796
<v Speaker 1>it would have occurred to no one to put Sam

0:18:26.796 --> 0:18:29.836
<v Speaker 1>bankmanfreed in the financial markets, but would happened in the

0:18:29.836 --> 0:18:32.276
<v Speaker 1>financial markets over the last fifteen years where they become

0:18:32.316 --> 0:18:34.836
<v Speaker 1>automated and run by people who were really good with

0:18:34.916 --> 0:18:38.476
<v Speaker 1>math and computers and who were not being filtered for

0:18:38.516 --> 0:18:42.236
<v Speaker 1>their social skills or lack thereof. And his aptitude with

0:18:43.316 --> 0:18:46.676
<v Speaker 1>a certain aspect of markets led him to be in

0:18:46.716 --> 0:18:51.156
<v Speaker 1>this very odd position of running a company when he's

0:18:51.196 --> 0:18:55.236
<v Speaker 1>almost singularly incapable of running a company, and he could

0:18:55.236 --> 0:18:59.316
<v Speaker 1>at some things, but the whole human thing and quite

0:18:59.356 --> 0:19:02.436
<v Speaker 1>light in my relationship, I dug into his childhood and

0:19:02.476 --> 0:19:05.596
<v Speaker 1>I could not believe how isolated it was, like just know,

0:19:05.716 --> 0:19:09.076
<v Speaker 1>it was beyond I mean, it isn't just he didn't

0:19:09.236 --> 0:19:13.276
<v Speaker 1>have close friends, like he had nobody, and that he

0:19:13.316 --> 0:19:16.036
<v Speaker 1>really just kind of lived on his own and was

0:19:16.396 --> 0:19:18.956
<v Speaker 1>sorting out the world all by himself. How many people

0:19:18.996 --> 0:19:20.676
<v Speaker 1>do you know when you say to them, could you

0:19:20.716 --> 0:19:22.476
<v Speaker 1>give me the names of two or three people who

0:19:22.516 --> 0:19:25.116
<v Speaker 1>could describe for me how you were up to the

0:19:25.156 --> 0:19:27.996
<v Speaker 1>age of eighteen, looks at you and says, there's nobody

0:19:28.356 --> 0:19:31.196
<v Speaker 1>you know. You know, this is had to be somebody, right,

0:19:31.236 --> 0:19:33.516
<v Speaker 1>there are people who had written in college recommendations. He'd

0:19:33.516 --> 0:19:35.556
<v Speaker 1>gone to school with a bunch of people. He'd you know,

0:19:35.636 --> 0:19:37.916
<v Speaker 1>had parents and a brother. There had to be somebody

0:19:37.916 --> 0:19:42.196
<v Speaker 1>who would actually be able to it's some character reference, right,

0:19:42.556 --> 0:19:44.996
<v Speaker 1>There was none. He said that he had all kinds

0:19:45.036 --> 0:19:47.036
<v Speaker 1>of problems and relating to other people and in particularly

0:19:47.036 --> 0:19:50.356
<v Speaker 1>communicating his inner state to other people, like any kind

0:19:50.356 --> 0:19:52.956
<v Speaker 1>of interaction he had had with other people was a

0:19:52.996 --> 0:19:55.796
<v Speaker 1>calculated exercise. It was something he had to had to

0:19:55.916 --> 0:19:59.236
<v Speaker 1>calibrate in order for it to work. The idea that

0:19:59.276 --> 0:20:01.476
<v Speaker 1>such a person was running a four hundred and fifty

0:20:01.476 --> 0:20:03.916
<v Speaker 1>person company, I mean, that was odd.

0:20:04.516 --> 0:20:06.556
<v Speaker 2>After I finished reading, you asked me how I felt

0:20:06.596 --> 0:20:08.956
<v Speaker 2>about him, and I think my reaction was, I feel

0:20:08.956 --> 0:20:12.436
<v Speaker 2>really sorry for this guy because he had such an

0:20:12.476 --> 0:20:16.156
<v Speaker 2>isolated and seemed like fundamentally unhappy childhood, had so much

0:20:16.156 --> 0:20:20.876
<v Speaker 2>trouble dealing with people. And then he constructed this world,

0:20:21.396 --> 0:20:23.636
<v Speaker 2>which is sort of an abstract world that worked for him,

0:20:23.956 --> 0:20:27.316
<v Speaker 2>but it catastrophically and quickly fell apart.

0:20:28.196 --> 0:20:31.956
<v Speaker 1>There is a feeling to him that there was this

0:20:32.156 --> 0:20:34.916
<v Speaker 1>brief moment where he was able to impose on the

0:20:34.956 --> 0:20:39.356
<v Speaker 1>real world an abstract notion of the way the world

0:20:39.756 --> 0:20:43.036
<v Speaker 1>might work or should work, and the real world sort

0:20:43.036 --> 0:20:47.436
<v Speaker 1>of mimicked his mental model for a brief period, and

0:20:47.476 --> 0:20:49.996
<v Speaker 1>it all worked, but the mental model was missing all

0:20:50.076 --> 0:20:52.036
<v Speaker 1>kinds of stuff that actually is in the real world,

0:20:52.076 --> 0:20:53.396
<v Speaker 1>and the real world finally kind of took.

0:20:53.276 --> 0:20:56.636
<v Speaker 2>Over, And both the EA and the crypto contribute to that.

0:20:56.716 --> 0:21:00.396
<v Speaker 2>I mean, crypto is utopianism about money and finance.

0:21:00.596 --> 0:21:04.156
<v Speaker 1>You know, it's Another important part of his story is

0:21:04.436 --> 0:21:07.796
<v Speaker 1>his indifference to sort of crypto religion. That he saw

0:21:07.836 --> 0:21:12.076
<v Speaker 1>crypto purely as a mechanism for making money for effective altruism.

0:21:12.276 --> 0:21:14.236
<v Speaker 1>He wasn't particularly interested in crypto.

0:21:14.556 --> 0:21:17.236
<v Speaker 2>The biggest person in crypto was not a crypto true believer,

0:21:17.516 --> 0:21:18.236
<v Speaker 2>just the opposite.

0:21:18.276 --> 0:21:21.796
<v Speaker 1>He was very wary of the crypto religionists, and he

0:21:21.876 --> 0:21:23.956
<v Speaker 1>knew he couldn't say what he thought because it would

0:21:23.956 --> 0:21:26.356
<v Speaker 1>get him in trouble with his market. But he was

0:21:26.476 --> 0:21:28.356
<v Speaker 1>he was there to use it. He wasn't there because

0:21:28.356 --> 0:21:30.196
<v Speaker 1>he thought it was going to change the world as

0:21:30.236 --> 0:21:32.316
<v Speaker 1>we knew it. He knew that had some capacity to

0:21:32.356 --> 0:21:34.276
<v Speaker 1>do some things, but it wasn't that big a deal.

0:21:34.636 --> 0:21:36.716
<v Speaker 1>There was an inefficient market. That's what drew him into

0:21:36.756 --> 0:21:38.996
<v Speaker 1>it in the first place. Yeah, I asked you what

0:21:39.036 --> 0:21:40.276
<v Speaker 1>you thought of him, because you know, you write a

0:21:40.276 --> 0:21:43.676
<v Speaker 1>book and you never know this is it. I think

0:21:43.676 --> 0:21:46.716
<v Speaker 1>this is a This is maybe the most powerful case

0:21:46.756 --> 0:21:50.276
<v Speaker 1>of this in my literary career. I've always known since

0:21:50.316 --> 0:21:52.876
<v Speaker 1>my first book that you never know what a reader

0:21:52.916 --> 0:21:55.396
<v Speaker 1>is going to read that You write what you write,

0:21:55.556 --> 0:21:59.516
<v Speaker 1>You tell a story. The story inevitably has holes the

0:21:59.556 --> 0:22:01.516
<v Speaker 1>reader walks into and sort of makes it its own

0:22:01.756 --> 0:22:05.276
<v Speaker 1>or interprets it them. It's the way they want to

0:22:05.316 --> 0:22:07.436
<v Speaker 1>interpret it, but you never know what that's going to

0:22:07.516 --> 0:22:10.156
<v Speaker 1>be until the book comes out. I feel more about

0:22:10.156 --> 0:22:13.036
<v Speaker 1>this book that way than I've felt with any book

0:22:13.116 --> 0:22:16.476
<v Speaker 1>that I don't know how people are going to react

0:22:16.476 --> 0:22:19.756
<v Speaker 1>to Sam Bankman Freed when they see who he really is,

0:22:20.316 --> 0:22:23.436
<v Speaker 1>whether they're going to feel sorry for him, whether they're

0:22:23.436 --> 0:22:25.476
<v Speaker 1>going to be rooting for him, whether they're going to

0:22:25.516 --> 0:22:29.156
<v Speaker 1>hate him. I don't have a great sense. Everybody's trying

0:22:29.196 --> 0:22:31.196
<v Speaker 1>to figure out who he is, and they are all

0:22:31.236 --> 0:22:33.836
<v Speaker 1>these kind of snap judgments being rendered on the way

0:22:33.916 --> 0:22:36.676
<v Speaker 1>up and on the way down, and I just felt

0:22:36.676 --> 0:22:41.116
<v Speaker 1>like I did feel that this is a problem just generally,

0:22:41.236 --> 0:22:44.636
<v Speaker 1>that the radical thing to do here was do with

0:22:44.636 --> 0:22:49.196
<v Speaker 1>whole judgment, to not impose whatever judgment I might have

0:22:49.716 --> 0:22:52.516
<v Speaker 1>on the reader. Let the reader make his or her

0:22:52.556 --> 0:23:00.996
<v Speaker 1>own judgment. We'll be right back, Welcome back to judging Sam.

0:23:01.436 --> 0:23:03.116
<v Speaker 1>The trial of Sam bankman Freed.

0:23:03.636 --> 0:23:07.356
<v Speaker 2>As with any financial catastrophe, they're real victims here. How

0:23:07.396 --> 0:23:10.756
<v Speaker 2>bad should we feel for them? Are crypto speculators or

0:23:10.796 --> 0:23:13.116
<v Speaker 2>they're kind of real people who lost their life savings

0:23:13.156 --> 0:23:15.836
<v Speaker 2>who have a really really good reason to be super

0:23:15.876 --> 0:23:17.396
<v Speaker 2>angry at Sam bankmintrude.

0:23:17.716 --> 0:23:20.436
<v Speaker 1>Well, let me give you just my sense of who

0:23:20.476 --> 0:23:23.236
<v Speaker 1>they are. In the first place, most of them are

0:23:23.236 --> 0:23:27.036
<v Speaker 1>not Americans. I mean most of the Americans weren't allowed

0:23:27.036 --> 0:23:29.996
<v Speaker 1>to trade on FTX International, and the vast majority of

0:23:29.996 --> 0:23:32.676
<v Speaker 1>the millions of accounts that they opened were outside of

0:23:32.676 --> 0:23:37.716
<v Speaker 1>the United States. Next, when you look at the list

0:23:37.796 --> 0:23:39.996
<v Speaker 1>I got ahold of the list of the fifty biggest creditors,

0:23:41.116 --> 0:23:43.356
<v Speaker 1>it was a lot of institutional money. So you had

0:23:43.476 --> 0:23:46.436
<v Speaker 1>the top thirty creditors, or most of them are like

0:23:46.516 --> 0:23:50.116
<v Speaker 1>high frequency traders. But no doubt there are lots of

0:23:50.116 --> 0:23:54.156
<v Speaker 1>little people who thought this is the most trustworthy crypto exchange,

0:23:54.516 --> 0:23:58.516
<v Speaker 1>and they put their savings on them. And interestingly, and

0:23:58.556 --> 0:24:01.476
<v Speaker 1>I think this is like a really relevant point, among

0:24:01.556 --> 0:24:04.116
<v Speaker 1>those people were the employees of FTX, the people who

0:24:04.116 --> 0:24:06.396
<v Speaker 1>were most all in. If you want to find the

0:24:06.436 --> 0:24:09.636
<v Speaker 1>person who lost everything, just go down the list employees

0:24:09.676 --> 0:24:10.276
<v Speaker 1>at FTX.

0:24:10.356 --> 0:24:12.756
<v Speaker 2>There's at the trial we're going to see in part

0:24:13.076 --> 0:24:16.516
<v Speaker 2>a classic drama of loyalty and betrayal. The people at

0:24:16.556 --> 0:24:19.796
<v Speaker 2>the company who are closest to him are now betraying

0:24:19.836 --> 0:24:23.316
<v Speaker 2>each other, trying to cop please make deals with the government.

0:24:23.676 --> 0:24:27.196
<v Speaker 2>Caroline Ellison, who ran Alameda, who was romantically involved with him,

0:24:28.716 --> 0:24:31.716
<v Speaker 2>Ryan Salem, and Gary Wang, these people who are the

0:24:31.756 --> 0:24:36.676
<v Speaker 2>closest people to him at FTX are now presumably judging

0:24:36.756 --> 0:24:40.756
<v Speaker 2>him very negatively. What happened to that web of personal relationships.

0:24:40.796 --> 0:24:44.396
<v Speaker 2>Why is everyone who was with him now against him?

0:24:44.836 --> 0:24:47.236
<v Speaker 1>It's a great question. It's unclear to me exactly what

0:24:47.396 --> 0:24:50.316
<v Speaker 1>everybody's going to say. I'm in an odd position, and

0:24:50.316 --> 0:24:53.876
<v Speaker 1>in a position that neither the defense attorneys nor the

0:24:53.876 --> 0:24:57.116
<v Speaker 1>prosecutors are in, and then I've interviewed everybody. Yeah, you know,

0:24:57.156 --> 0:24:59.476
<v Speaker 1>the prosecutors haven't talked to Sam Magunfried, and the defense

0:24:59.516 --> 0:25:01.596
<v Speaker 1>people aren't able to talk to the shot or Gary

0:25:01.756 --> 0:25:05.516
<v Speaker 1>or Caroline or other witnesses. And even after the collapse,

0:25:05.556 --> 0:25:08.556
<v Speaker 1>I've had access to both sides, not everybody on the

0:25:08.596 --> 0:25:11.476
<v Speaker 1>prosecutor side, but people who I know were the prosecutors

0:25:11.516 --> 0:25:15.396
<v Speaker 1>intend to bring and who the prosecutors think are going

0:25:15.436 --> 0:25:18.236
<v Speaker 1>to get up and say X or why. I know.

0:25:18.596 --> 0:25:20.876
<v Speaker 1>I know that even some of those people, if you

0:25:20.916 --> 0:25:23.676
<v Speaker 1>put a gun to their head and said like, did

0:25:23.716 --> 0:25:28.236
<v Speaker 1>he do it? Might say no. However, on the inside

0:25:28.436 --> 0:25:31.836
<v Speaker 1>the Four Principles, Sam and the first three people to

0:25:31.876 --> 0:25:36.116
<v Speaker 1>turn against him, Gary Wang, Mishad Singing, Caroline Ellison. The

0:25:36.156 --> 0:25:40.156
<v Speaker 1>minute it all collapsed, there was a several beat sort

0:25:40.156 --> 0:25:44.796
<v Speaker 1>of drama that unfolded. First was, willis get someone to

0:25:44.796 --> 0:25:48.556
<v Speaker 1>buy us? This is not that big a problem. Second, Oh,

0:25:48.556 --> 0:25:50.516
<v Speaker 1>we got to quickly find all this money that is,

0:25:50.596 --> 0:25:53.316
<v Speaker 1>we don't know where it is, which is reminiscent of

0:25:53.316 --> 0:25:57.236
<v Speaker 1>what had happened three four years earlier at Alameda. And

0:25:57.356 --> 0:26:00.396
<v Speaker 1>third was we can't get the money in time. Flee

0:26:00.516 --> 0:26:03.996
<v Speaker 1>and they all and everybody you know, they're all basically

0:26:04.316 --> 0:26:06.996
<v Speaker 1>twenty nine years old. They all ran to their parents.

0:26:07.756 --> 0:26:10.436
<v Speaker 2>I remember you calling me from the Bahamas and saying,

0:26:10.436 --> 0:26:13.836
<v Speaker 2>it's like there's a hurricane coming. Everyone's left. Sam's still here,

0:26:13.836 --> 0:26:15.996
<v Speaker 2>his parents are here. I'm still here. And it's like

0:26:16.396 --> 0:26:18.676
<v Speaker 2>people like ran out of their hotel rooms and didn't

0:26:18.676 --> 0:26:19.596
<v Speaker 2>close the door.

0:26:19.996 --> 0:26:22.796
<v Speaker 1>They grabbed. There were seventy company cars. They drove them

0:26:22.796 --> 0:26:24.156
<v Speaker 1>to the airport and left him in the parking lot

0:26:24.196 --> 0:26:26.076
<v Speaker 1>with the keys, oh you know, the engine still running

0:26:26.116 --> 0:26:28.276
<v Speaker 1>kind of thing. And everybody's afraid they were going to

0:26:28.316 --> 0:26:32.516
<v Speaker 1>get arrested wherever they were. And I mean, I can't

0:26:32.516 --> 0:26:34.996
<v Speaker 1>remember the last Has there ever been a financial crisis

0:26:35.276 --> 0:26:38.156
<v Speaker 1>where all the perpetrators ran to their Paris home. I

0:26:38.196 --> 0:26:40.236
<v Speaker 1>don't think that's what they do. Did Michael Milkin run

0:26:40.236 --> 0:26:43.516
<v Speaker 1>to his parents home? I don't think so. Right, So

0:26:44.036 --> 0:26:46.636
<v Speaker 1>they all ran to their parents home, and all of

0:26:46.676 --> 0:26:49.196
<v Speaker 1>a sudden, for the first time, the grown ups are involved,

0:26:49.436 --> 0:26:51.396
<v Speaker 1>the parents. They're going turning to their parents. What do

0:26:51.436 --> 0:26:52.036
<v Speaker 1>we do now?

0:26:52.276 --> 0:26:54.556
<v Speaker 2>In this pre trial period, I've wanted to say to

0:26:54.876 --> 0:26:58.796
<v Speaker 2>Sam Bankman, free too. I've never met. Stop digging, keeps

0:26:58.836 --> 0:27:01.356
<v Speaker 2>talking to the press, kept going on social media, kept

0:27:01.396 --> 0:27:02.956
<v Speaker 2>talking to you, which I don't know how much of

0:27:02.996 --> 0:27:06.636
<v Speaker 2>the problem that was, but he somehow couldn't take what

0:27:06.676 --> 0:27:09.676
<v Speaker 2>would seem like the obvious lawyer's advice when you're going

0:27:09.756 --> 0:27:15.316
<v Speaker 2>to go on trial. Why is that? Is he naive? Hubristic?

0:27:15.556 --> 0:27:18.116
<v Speaker 2>Is there a strategy there, like it is going to

0:27:18.116 --> 0:27:20.156
<v Speaker 2>be fought partly in the court of public opinion and

0:27:20.196 --> 0:27:22.316
<v Speaker 2>he has to get his side out. Why did he

0:27:22.436 --> 0:27:25.076
<v Speaker 2>get himself in additional trouble.

0:27:25.396 --> 0:27:28.236
<v Speaker 1>When the Bahamas police came to arrest him. He was

0:27:28.276 --> 0:27:31.076
<v Speaker 1>in Gary Wang's bathroom trying to send in his testimony

0:27:31.116 --> 0:27:35.036
<v Speaker 1>to Congress. He was trying to speak to the American

0:27:35.036 --> 0:27:38.036
<v Speaker 1>people even as they hauled him away in chains. So

0:27:38.396 --> 0:27:41.636
<v Speaker 1>I think there's several things going on at once. I think,

0:27:42.116 --> 0:27:45.436
<v Speaker 1>for a start, if you or I were in this situation,

0:27:45.516 --> 0:27:47.476
<v Speaker 1>we'd be terrified, and we'd be looking for an expert

0:27:47.476 --> 0:27:49.396
<v Speaker 1>to help us. We'd be looking to the lawyer to

0:27:49.436 --> 0:27:51.396
<v Speaker 1>tell us what to do. I think that's what most

0:27:51.436 --> 0:27:55.236
<v Speaker 1>people in this situation would do. Sam's whole life has

0:27:55.316 --> 0:27:58.316
<v Speaker 1>been looking at the experts, finding the morning and trying

0:27:58.316 --> 0:28:02.076
<v Speaker 1>to figure out the expertise for himself, sometimes with great success,

0:28:02.156 --> 0:28:05.596
<v Speaker 1>to not actually trust what some experts saying instead, rethink

0:28:05.596 --> 0:28:09.116
<v Speaker 1>it for yourself. It was really smart to not less

0:28:09.316 --> 0:28:11.636
<v Speaker 1>to his superiors at Jane Street who were telling him

0:28:11.636 --> 0:28:12.996
<v Speaker 1>you're not gonna make as much money and crypto as

0:28:13.036 --> 0:28:15.876
<v Speaker 1>you wouldn't Jane Street. The markets are thinner, whatever they

0:28:15.956 --> 0:28:18.556
<v Speaker 1>were saying, and just ignore that and did it anyway.

0:28:18.996 --> 0:28:21.116
<v Speaker 1>So he starts with like, I don't listen to lawyers,

0:28:21.476 --> 0:28:24.116
<v Speaker 1>which is funny because his parents are both lawyers.

0:28:23.836 --> 0:28:25.556
<v Speaker 2>Right right, Well, they may have something you do it.

0:28:25.516 --> 0:28:26.916
<v Speaker 1>It may have something to do with it. So the

0:28:26.956 --> 0:28:31.676
<v Speaker 1>second thing is add to this total conviction that he

0:28:31.756 --> 0:28:34.436
<v Speaker 1>is innocent. Now you have to imagine he really thinks

0:28:34.436 --> 0:28:37.236
<v Speaker 1>he's innocent. Yeah, all right, you got it. You've got

0:28:37.276 --> 0:28:39.436
<v Speaker 1>to believe that whether you believe he's innocent or not,

0:28:39.636 --> 0:28:43.956
<v Speaker 1>you've got to believe he believes he's innocent. Okay. Third

0:28:44.156 --> 0:28:48.876
<v Speaker 1>is he's aware that what's going on out there is

0:28:48.876 --> 0:28:52.276
<v Speaker 1>a narrative war, and there is one narrative being told,

0:28:52.956 --> 0:28:56.996
<v Speaker 1>and the narratives is relentlessly negative towards him, and then

0:28:57.236 --> 0:28:59.836
<v Speaker 1>that maybe he can change the narrative if he's out

0:28:59.836 --> 0:29:02.436
<v Speaker 1>there and actually speaking. It's a story war. There are

0:29:02.436 --> 0:29:04.596
<v Speaker 1>two stories. Get cold. The defense is going to tell

0:29:04.636 --> 0:29:06.756
<v Speaker 1>one story. The prosecutor is going to tell another story.

0:29:07.156 --> 0:29:10.396
<v Speaker 1>Each side is going to manipulate the facts in certain ways.

0:29:10.396 --> 0:29:12.396
<v Speaker 1>Each side is going to leave stuff out that they

0:29:12.436 --> 0:29:14.276
<v Speaker 1>shouldn't leave out, that you can't leave out if you

0:29:14.276 --> 0:29:16.716
<v Speaker 1>can tell this story honestly. So each side is going

0:29:16.756 --> 0:29:20.436
<v Speaker 1>to be telling essentially a slightly false story, and then

0:29:20.436 --> 0:29:25.196
<v Speaker 1>the jury's going to decide whose story is better judging.

0:29:25.276 --> 0:29:32.556
<v Speaker 1>Sam will be right back. Welcome back. So we're back

0:29:32.596 --> 0:29:34.476
<v Speaker 1>with one last thing. And so, Jacob, you we have

0:29:34.676 --> 0:29:37.236
<v Speaker 1>had this conversation. Is there anything else you'd like to

0:29:37.276 --> 0:29:38.236
<v Speaker 1>ask me? Well?

0:29:38.276 --> 0:29:41.036
<v Speaker 2>Sure, give us the insider's guide to the trial. What's

0:29:41.076 --> 0:29:43.836
<v Speaker 2>the thing people should be looking for that you're looking

0:29:43.916 --> 0:29:45.956
<v Speaker 2>for that they might not know about otherwise.

0:29:48.076 --> 0:29:51.516
<v Speaker 1>One of the three key witnesses, Gary Wang, does not speak.

0:29:52.196 --> 0:29:54.156
<v Speaker 1>He actually, when you actually try to talk to her

0:29:54.196 --> 0:29:57.516
<v Speaker 1>and interview him, he just stares at you. I've never

0:29:57.596 --> 0:30:00.756
<v Speaker 1>had this experience with a potential source. People sat next

0:30:00.796 --> 0:30:02.956
<v Speaker 1>to him for months and gotten out a word out

0:30:02.956 --> 0:30:04.996
<v Speaker 1>of him. I want to see what happens when he's

0:30:04.996 --> 0:30:05.996
<v Speaker 1>put on a witness stand.

0:30:06.236 --> 0:30:08.156
<v Speaker 2>So not a great interview, not a great witness.

0:30:08.356 --> 0:30:10.636
<v Speaker 1>It may be the most unusual moment in a court

0:30:10.676 --> 0:30:11.956
<v Speaker 1>room in American history?

0:30:13.036 --> 0:30:16.276
<v Speaker 2>Can he win a trial? I mean, the baseline is

0:30:16.316 --> 0:30:19.876
<v Speaker 2>the government wins most of the cases it brings. The

0:30:19.876 --> 0:30:22.436
<v Speaker 2>odds are stacked against him, but he's not taking a plea.

0:30:22.516 --> 0:30:24.636
<v Speaker 2>He's taking his chances. But even if there were a

0:30:24.756 --> 0:30:27.996
<v Speaker 2>hung jury in the first trial, they could try them again,

0:30:28.156 --> 0:30:30.316
<v Speaker 2>and they're holding back other charges and it could be

0:30:30.356 --> 0:30:34.356
<v Speaker 2>tried other places. I mean, is there any outcome for

0:30:34.476 --> 0:30:38.676
<v Speaker 2>Sam Bankman freed other than basically spending years and years,

0:30:38.676 --> 0:30:40.236
<v Speaker 2>if not the rest of his life in prison.

0:30:42.076 --> 0:30:45.756
<v Speaker 1>Last year I saw these stats not long ago. Last

0:30:45.836 --> 0:30:48.516
<v Speaker 1>year there were like seventy thousand criminal cases brought by

0:30:48.516 --> 0:30:52.556
<v Speaker 1>the federal government and the rate of acquittal was less

0:30:52.596 --> 0:30:53.756
<v Speaker 1>than half of one percent.

0:30:54.436 --> 0:30:56.956
<v Speaker 2>So there are worse than I thought, worse.

0:30:56.756 --> 0:30:59.916
<v Speaker 1>Than you thought. No, it is the odds are so

0:31:00.036 --> 0:31:03.796
<v Speaker 1>stacked against you if the Feds bring an actual criminal

0:31:05.036 --> 0:31:08.036
<v Speaker 1>case against you. If you're asking what my intuitive judgment

0:31:08.116 --> 0:31:12.236
<v Speaker 1>is about Sam's the likely Sam is acquitted, I think

0:31:12.276 --> 0:31:14.356
<v Speaker 1>the if you went on too the betting markets, you

0:31:14.516 --> 0:31:17.956
<v Speaker 1>probably get if you wanted to bet he's gonna get off.

0:31:18.476 --> 0:31:20.996
<v Speaker 1>I think you get like ninety to one odds. I

0:31:20.996 --> 0:31:23.356
<v Speaker 1>think that's about what the betting markets were the last

0:31:23.356 --> 0:31:26.476
<v Speaker 1>time I looked. I'd certainly take those odds. I might

0:31:26.516 --> 0:31:29.796
<v Speaker 1>even take like thirty to one, but I don't think

0:31:29.796 --> 0:31:32.676
<v Speaker 1>i'd take better than that or worse than that. The

0:31:32.716 --> 0:31:35.836
<v Speaker 1>odds are really stacked against him. I think his chances

0:31:35.876 --> 0:31:37.516
<v Speaker 1>are better than the markets think.

0:31:38.076 --> 0:31:38.796
<v Speaker 2>Huh, I do?

0:31:38.956 --> 0:31:41.356
<v Speaker 1>I do. I think that better than the markets think,

0:31:41.836 --> 0:31:42.996
<v Speaker 1>but I don't think they're great.

0:31:43.116 --> 0:31:46.756
<v Speaker 2>It's a very Sam Bankman freed way to addalyze make

0:31:46.796 --> 0:31:48.476
<v Speaker 2>the bet and ether or bitcoin.

0:31:48.796 --> 0:31:51.396
<v Speaker 1>Yeah.

0:31:51.716 --> 0:31:54.196
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, Michael, it's really fun talking to you, and I'm

0:31:54.236 --> 0:31:56.196
<v Speaker 2>really glad to be able to tee up this podcast

0:31:56.596 --> 0:31:58.916
<v Speaker 2>with you. Can't wait to see what happens next.

0:31:59.716 --> 0:32:03.076
<v Speaker 1>Tomorrow I'll sit down with producer and reporter Lydia Jean Kott,

0:32:03.276 --> 0:32:07.516
<v Speaker 1>and former prosecutor Rebecca Mermelstein, now a defense attorney to

0:32:07.556 --> 0:32:10.396
<v Speaker 1>talk about the charges against Sam and how his lawyers

0:32:10.476 --> 0:32:13.796
<v Speaker 1>might defend him. Then, Lydia, Gene and I will give

0:32:13.796 --> 0:32:16.436
<v Speaker 1>you a first hand report of what happened on trial

0:32:16.516 --> 0:32:21.556
<v Speaker 1>day one. Join us. This episode of Judging Sam was

0:32:21.556 --> 0:32:25.636
<v Speaker 1>hosted by me, Michael Lewis. Lydia Gencott is our court

0:32:25.716 --> 0:32:30.196
<v Speaker 1>reporter Katherine Girardeau and Nisha Venken produced this show. Sophie

0:32:30.196 --> 0:32:33.476
<v Speaker 1>Crane is our editor. Our music was composed by Matthias

0:32:33.516 --> 0:32:37.636
<v Speaker 1>Bossi and John Evans of stell Wagons. Symphonet Judging Sam

0:32:37.716 --> 0:32:40.796
<v Speaker 1>is a production of Pushkin Industries. Got a question or

0:32:40.836 --> 0:32:44.436
<v Speaker 1>comment for me, There's a website for that atr podcast

0:32:44.556 --> 0:32:50.316
<v Speaker 1>dot com. That's atr podcast dot com. To find more

0:32:50.356 --> 0:32:54.636
<v Speaker 1>Pushkin podcasts, listen on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or

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0:32:57.716 --> 0:33:01.556
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0:33:01.556 --> 0:33:04.996
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0:33:05.036 --> 0:33:09.716
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