1 00:00:02,360 --> 00:00:12,440 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news, single. 2 00:00:12,240 --> 00:00:15,960 Speaker 2: Best idea and a very busy day. Not his disjoint 3 00:00:16,120 --> 00:00:19,640 Speaker 2: is what we saw two days ago, which was absolutely extraordinary. 4 00:00:20,120 --> 00:00:22,040 Speaker 2: There was more of a pattern to it, There was 5 00:00:22,120 --> 00:00:24,920 Speaker 2: more of a cadence to the day, the headlines of 6 00:00:24,960 --> 00:00:26,680 Speaker 2: the war and all. Just as we went to tape 7 00:00:26,720 --> 00:00:31,400 Speaker 2: the Iranians responding to President Trump's fifteen point piece plan. 8 00:00:32,040 --> 00:00:36,960 Speaker 2: Wayne Sanders joined us from Bloomberg Intelligence. Hugely experienced in 9 00:00:37,040 --> 00:00:40,800 Speaker 2: the new technology of our United States Army. Some very 10 00:00:40,840 --> 00:00:45,120 Speaker 2: difficult questions with Wayne Sanders on that Robert Caplan was 11 00:00:45,120 --> 00:00:47,919 Speaker 2: with us, a part owner of the Kansas City Royals. 12 00:00:47,920 --> 00:00:51,280 Speaker 2: It was good to talk Royals baseball with mister Kaplan, 13 00:00:51,360 --> 00:00:55,160 Speaker 2: of course, the former Dallas Fed President. An update from 14 00:00:55,240 --> 00:00:58,320 Speaker 2: Robert Kaplan on the look before the war. 15 00:00:58,840 --> 00:01:02,560 Speaker 3: If we talked literally just a month ago, we would 16 00:01:02,560 --> 00:01:05,039 Speaker 3: have said, we're set up for a strong year of 17 00:01:05,040 --> 00:01:08,880 Speaker 3: growth in twenty twenty six. Tax and centers, regulatory reform, 18 00:01:08,959 --> 00:01:13,679 Speaker 3: AI data center power boom, and I think the Fed 19 00:01:13,840 --> 00:01:16,400 Speaker 3: was hopeful in the back half of the year that 20 00:01:16,600 --> 00:01:18,959 Speaker 3: headline inflation would tail off a bit, so they might 21 00:01:18,959 --> 00:01:22,440 Speaker 3: be able to cut rates once or twice obviously because 22 00:01:22,440 --> 00:01:24,759 Speaker 3: of what's going on in the Middle East. I think 23 00:01:24,800 --> 00:01:28,640 Speaker 3: they're going to need to step back, that's the right 24 00:01:28,680 --> 00:01:30,919 Speaker 3: thing to do and let this unfold. Then the market 25 00:01:31,000 --> 00:01:31,880 Speaker 3: is sort of backed off. 26 00:01:31,920 --> 00:01:35,600 Speaker 2: Also Robert Kaplan of Golden Sachs, and of course the 27 00:01:35,640 --> 00:01:40,240 Speaker 2: former president of the Dallas Fed. Paul's particularly been way 28 00:01:40,280 --> 00:01:43,360 Speaker 2: out front on what in God's name is going on 29 00:01:43,680 --> 00:01:47,160 Speaker 2: in private credit. We had any number of good voices, 30 00:01:47,200 --> 00:01:50,360 Speaker 2: including Gary Gensler in the other day, the former chairman 31 00:01:50,400 --> 00:01:54,320 Speaker 2: of the se C. We had a just piercing conversation 32 00:01:54,400 --> 00:01:58,120 Speaker 2: today with Randy Schrimmer with Churchill Ventures and you know, 33 00:01:58,200 --> 00:02:00,880 Speaker 2: to speak to him about the state of private credit 34 00:02:01,080 --> 00:02:02,960 Speaker 2: and update from Randy Schwimmer. 35 00:02:03,400 --> 00:02:05,600 Speaker 4: At the large end of the market, they're being told 36 00:02:05,920 --> 00:02:10,560 Speaker 4: that liquidity in private credit is very similar, it's converging 37 00:02:10,600 --> 00:02:14,400 Speaker 4: with liquidity in public credit. The problem is, we Churchill 38 00:02:14,440 --> 00:02:17,200 Speaker 4: and you know this are at the core middle market, 39 00:02:17,240 --> 00:02:21,399 Speaker 4: which is very illiquid. The good news about being very 40 00:02:21,440 --> 00:02:24,960 Speaker 4: liquid is that it is an efficient alternative to the 41 00:02:25,000 --> 00:02:27,800 Speaker 4: liquid market that is trading up and down. If you 42 00:02:27,960 --> 00:02:32,000 Speaker 4: try to impose liquidity on ill liquid asset class, you're 43 00:02:32,000 --> 00:02:35,280 Speaker 4: going to create expectations that are being dashed, and so 44 00:02:35,400 --> 00:02:38,520 Speaker 4: retail investors are confused. They think, oh, we can get out, 45 00:02:38,919 --> 00:02:39,639 Speaker 4: No we can't. 46 00:02:40,560 --> 00:02:43,800 Speaker 2: Randy Schwimmer just a brilliant conversation that combined with what 47 00:02:43,840 --> 00:02:47,560 Speaker 2: you heard from mister Gensler, I think is just brilliant 48 00:02:47,600 --> 00:02:53,320 Speaker 2: on this whole retalization of illiquid investments. Well, this will 49 00:02:53,360 --> 00:02:55,920 Speaker 2: be a theme for us, I'm sure as we dive 50 00:02:56,000 --> 00:02:59,959 Speaker 2: into the summer. The news flows is just absolutely extraordinary. 51 00:03:00,080 --> 00:03:02,920 Speaker 2: On our podcast, We're Out an Apple and Spotify and 52 00:03:03,000 --> 00:03:07,840 Speaker 2: YouTube podcasts, a single best idea