1 00:00:13,000 --> 00:00:15,120 Speaker 1: That's up. Guys, How are you welcome into a Tuesday 2 00:00:15,120 --> 00:00:17,520 Speaker 1: morning edition of the Deally Juice Podcast with me Matt 3 00:00:17,560 --> 00:00:20,560 Speaker 1: Paraltire on Bettingpros dot com. You guys can follow Betting 4 00:00:20,560 --> 00:00:23,200 Speaker 1: Pros on Twitter at Betting Pros, me on Twitter at 5 00:00:23,239 --> 00:00:27,000 Speaker 1: sports Talk Matt YouTube for the video by searching Betting 6 00:00:27,040 --> 00:00:29,800 Speaker 1: Pros and always being brought to you by bet MGM 7 00:00:29,880 --> 00:00:32,720 Speaker 1: with the promo code Juice one fifty ten dollars. Bet 8 00:00:32,720 --> 00:00:34,640 Speaker 1: wins you one hundred and fifty dollars when you sign 9 00:00:34,720 --> 00:00:37,720 Speaker 1: up for a new account with bet MGM. This podcast 10 00:00:37,760 --> 00:00:40,320 Speaker 1: is available wherever you get your audio podcasts. All right, 11 00:00:40,360 --> 00:00:42,920 Speaker 1: so an over tonight last night. Look, I'm not going 12 00:00:43,000 --> 00:00:45,239 Speaker 1: to sweat this too much. You know, this is going 13 00:00:45,320 --> 00:00:46,879 Speaker 1: to be a light week. I'm going to have some 14 00:00:46,920 --> 00:00:50,680 Speaker 1: fun this week. We're gonna you know, we got beat. 15 00:00:50,840 --> 00:00:53,760 Speaker 1: We got hit by a hot goaltender for Anaheim Bruins. 16 00:00:53,760 --> 00:00:56,360 Speaker 1: We're just on fire. That game had eight goals, scored 17 00:00:56,880 --> 00:00:59,200 Speaker 1: four of them in the second period. We just have 18 00:00:59,280 --> 00:01:01,760 Speaker 1: the wrong period, the Bruins and Anaheim. That was just 19 00:01:01,960 --> 00:01:03,840 Speaker 1: you know, bad luck. It was a one nothing lead, 20 00:01:04,120 --> 00:01:07,280 Speaker 1: five to three final and the Bruins scored but Anaheim, 21 00:01:07,360 --> 00:01:08,759 Speaker 1: you know, each of them scored two goals a piece 22 00:01:08,760 --> 00:01:11,600 Speaker 1: in the second period, just not goals in the first period, 23 00:01:11,680 --> 00:01:13,440 Speaker 1: and then it was one nothing the final for the 24 00:01:13,480 --> 00:01:18,479 Speaker 1: biggest gold Knights up against the Washington Capital. So first shutout, tooting, 25 00:01:19,280 --> 00:01:22,039 Speaker 1: first shutout of the year for Robin Lehner for the 26 00:01:22,080 --> 00:01:24,119 Speaker 1: for the gold Knights. So zero and two on the night. 27 00:01:24,160 --> 00:01:25,600 Speaker 1: But it was just kind of you know, quick and 28 00:01:25,640 --> 00:01:28,960 Speaker 1: dirty and have some fun and you know, no harmonal 29 00:01:28,959 --> 00:01:32,000 Speaker 1: foul down a unit. It's fine. We move on to Tuesday, 30 00:01:32,080 --> 00:01:37,199 Speaker 1: all right. So look here's where I am. I'm honest 31 00:01:37,200 --> 00:01:40,840 Speaker 1: with you guys, and I hate the card. There's just 32 00:01:40,880 --> 00:01:43,680 Speaker 1: nothing I'm really jumping up and down about. There's nothing 33 00:01:43,680 --> 00:01:46,200 Speaker 1: that I'm like, oh wow, yeah, let's bet this. Let's 34 00:01:46,240 --> 00:01:49,480 Speaker 1: bet that. You know, there's some big spreads. Auburn is 35 00:01:49,520 --> 00:01:51,920 Speaker 1: a fourteen and a half point favorite on the road 36 00:01:51,920 --> 00:01:55,760 Speaker 1: at Missouri. Baylor is a big home favorite against Kansas State. 37 00:01:56,040 --> 00:01:59,200 Speaker 1: Alabama is a big favorite tonight as well. We do 38 00:01:59,320 --> 00:02:03,720 Speaker 1: have one DC in game Arizona and UCLA, and I 39 00:02:03,840 --> 00:02:08,160 Speaker 1: think Arizona wins that game by a nose, like really tightly, 40 00:02:08,600 --> 00:02:11,880 Speaker 1: But I don't know it's gonna be it's gonna be tough. 41 00:02:12,440 --> 00:02:15,400 Speaker 1: So I'm gonna do something that I never do. I'm 42 00:02:15,400 --> 00:02:17,800 Speaker 1: gonna give you a three leg money line parlay for 43 00:02:17,880 --> 00:02:20,240 Speaker 1: basketball because I don't know what to do with all 44 00:02:20,240 --> 00:02:22,760 Speaker 1: this stuff. So I'm gonna take out the point spreads. 45 00:02:22,800 --> 00:02:24,560 Speaker 1: I'm not gonna you know, I'm just gonna go ahead 46 00:02:24,560 --> 00:02:27,000 Speaker 1: and bet what I think is gonna happen. Parlay it 47 00:02:27,000 --> 00:02:29,760 Speaker 1: together in college basketball, and I have an even money 48 00:02:29,760 --> 00:02:32,680 Speaker 1: bet at a half a unit three leg even money 49 00:02:32,760 --> 00:02:36,640 Speaker 1: money line parlay. And I've got one NBA play that 50 00:02:36,680 --> 00:02:38,600 Speaker 1: I want to get into coming up here. Okay, so 51 00:02:38,720 --> 00:02:41,000 Speaker 1: let's get into it all right. Baylor, as I mentioned, 52 00:02:41,680 --> 00:02:44,600 Speaker 1: is at home taking on Kansas State. To start looking 53 00:02:44,639 --> 00:02:46,960 Speaker 1: at some of these numbers here, and it's you know, 54 00:02:47,800 --> 00:02:51,720 Speaker 1: it's hard to see Baylor lose. Even Baylor covering thirteen 55 00:02:51,760 --> 00:02:55,560 Speaker 1: points is probable. Baylor's eleven seven and one against the spread. 56 00:02:56,360 --> 00:02:58,360 Speaker 1: They're six and five at home, but k State is 57 00:02:58,400 --> 00:03:02,480 Speaker 1: six and one on the road to spread. That concerns me. Right, 58 00:03:02,520 --> 00:03:04,880 Speaker 1: it's in Waco, Baylor one of the best teams in 59 00:03:04,919 --> 00:03:08,840 Speaker 1: the country, but it does concern me about laying thirteen 60 00:03:08,880 --> 00:03:12,240 Speaker 1: points at home. Baylor is seventeen and two. They're nine 61 00:03:12,280 --> 00:03:15,320 Speaker 1: and two at home, and Baylor has won their last 62 00:03:15,360 --> 00:03:18,240 Speaker 1: two games on the road and they've lost the last 63 00:03:18,280 --> 00:03:20,200 Speaker 1: two home games. They're not going to want to lose 64 00:03:20,240 --> 00:03:23,400 Speaker 1: three straight home games. Last time out, CA State at 65 00:03:23,400 --> 00:03:26,440 Speaker 1: home against Kansas lost seventy eight to seventy five. They 66 00:03:26,440 --> 00:03:29,239 Speaker 1: beat Texas and Texas Tech the games before that, So 67 00:03:29,280 --> 00:03:32,679 Speaker 1: they're playing decent. So like very possible they cover the thirteen. 68 00:03:33,400 --> 00:03:34,760 Speaker 1: Just don't want to play around with it, like I 69 00:03:34,800 --> 00:03:37,480 Speaker 1: just don't trust it, like Baylor could erupt and destroy them. 70 00:03:37,520 --> 00:03:41,320 Speaker 1: They're due, they're due to destroy. So one leg Baylor 71 00:03:41,400 --> 00:03:44,760 Speaker 1: money line. Second leg, Let's take a look at Auburn 72 00:03:45,160 --> 00:03:47,760 Speaker 1: and where Auburn is going on the road coming up 73 00:03:47,800 --> 00:03:50,960 Speaker 1: here tonight against Missouri. So this is a game in 74 00:03:51,000 --> 00:03:53,800 Speaker 1: which you would think that Auburn should just go and 75 00:03:53,960 --> 00:03:57,640 Speaker 1: absolutely dismantle them, and they very well might do exactly that. 76 00:03:57,840 --> 00:04:00,800 Speaker 1: But you know, this is where you get Auburn, and 77 00:04:01,240 --> 00:04:02,920 Speaker 1: you know their ranked number one of the country for 78 00:04:02,960 --> 00:04:06,680 Speaker 1: the first time. I can't see them losing this game 79 00:04:06,720 --> 00:04:09,480 Speaker 1: to Missouri. Okay, but let's take a look at Auburn 80 00:04:09,480 --> 00:04:12,200 Speaker 1: against the spread. They're eight. Sorry, they're fifteen and four 81 00:04:12,440 --> 00:04:15,600 Speaker 1: against the spread, Missouri eight and nine, but they are 82 00:04:15,720 --> 00:04:18,280 Speaker 1: five and three the Tigers are at home six and 83 00:04:18,320 --> 00:04:20,880 Speaker 1: three on the road. For Auburn, they're far better at home, 84 00:04:21,120 --> 00:04:25,239 Speaker 1: where they're nine in one. They have one every game 85 00:04:25,400 --> 00:04:29,920 Speaker 1: except two this season, and well, Frank, sorry the yeah right, 86 00:04:29,960 --> 00:04:33,360 Speaker 1: they've won every game except two, right, or one, every 87 00:04:33,560 --> 00:04:36,240 Speaker 1: game except one. Sorry, They've only covered. They failed to 88 00:04:36,240 --> 00:04:39,000 Speaker 1: cover four times. They didn't cover against South Florida, against 89 00:04:39,080 --> 00:04:42,560 Speaker 1: Yukon the only game that they lost, and then they 90 00:04:42,600 --> 00:04:45,720 Speaker 1: didn't cover against North Alabama or Saint Louis. Those are 91 00:04:45,720 --> 00:04:47,919 Speaker 1: the only games that they didn't cover. They have covered for 92 00:04:48,160 --> 00:04:51,719 Speaker 1: eight straight games, eight and two over the last ten, 93 00:04:51,839 --> 00:04:55,400 Speaker 1: obviously sixty and three on the road. Auburn's not losing 94 00:04:55,440 --> 00:04:57,960 Speaker 1: this game, but maybe Auburn is not going to cover. 95 00:04:58,160 --> 00:05:02,880 Speaker 1: Fourteen and a half points. Big number, man, Auburn money line. 96 00:05:03,040 --> 00:05:05,720 Speaker 1: That's a big number. Two. Baylor is a big favorite. 97 00:05:05,880 --> 00:05:09,360 Speaker 1: Auburn's a big favorite minus twelve hundred some places for Auburn. 98 00:05:09,880 --> 00:05:12,400 Speaker 1: So that means it goes into we need a game 99 00:05:13,080 --> 00:05:20,719 Speaker 1: to kind of get us some decent odds. Right, Arizona UCLA, Arizona, Man, 100 00:05:20,760 --> 00:05:24,000 Speaker 1: this is really interesting. I was looking at Kenpom kind 101 00:05:24,000 --> 00:05:26,520 Speaker 1: of breaking down Arizona. They're the number two team in 102 00:05:26,560 --> 00:05:29,920 Speaker 1: the country according to ken Pom. Ken Pom's got this 103 00:05:29,960 --> 00:05:32,000 Speaker 1: as a two point spread, which is what it is. 104 00:05:32,160 --> 00:05:35,560 Speaker 1: It's a two point spread Arizona minus two. Okay, so 105 00:05:35,960 --> 00:05:39,719 Speaker 1: they're on the road at UCLA tough place to play, obviously, 106 00:05:39,839 --> 00:05:42,520 Speaker 1: but this is one of the best offenses in the country. 107 00:05:42,720 --> 00:05:47,280 Speaker 1: They're eighth in adjusted efficiency Offensively, they are second in 108 00:05:47,360 --> 00:05:52,240 Speaker 1: adjusted tempo. They are first in average possession length. They 109 00:05:52,279 --> 00:05:55,680 Speaker 1: play fast, they shoot fast, only fourteen point five seconds 110 00:05:55,720 --> 00:05:58,920 Speaker 1: per possession. This is a really fun Arizona team to watch. 111 00:05:59,240 --> 00:06:02,599 Speaker 1: They are seventh an effective field goal percentage. They are 112 00:06:03,040 --> 00:06:07,920 Speaker 1: eighteenth in offensive rebound percentage. They are fifth and two 113 00:06:07,960 --> 00:06:13,200 Speaker 1: point shooting percentage. They're third in blocks per game. I mean, 114 00:06:13,240 --> 00:06:18,719 Speaker 1: they're really really tough to play offensively and defensively adjusted 115 00:06:18,720 --> 00:06:22,520 Speaker 1: efficiency top ten in the country. Defensively, they're number one 116 00:06:22,920 --> 00:06:26,360 Speaker 1: in effective field goal percentage defense at forty one point 117 00:06:26,440 --> 00:06:29,680 Speaker 1: eight percent. That's best in the country. They don't give 118 00:06:29,760 --> 00:06:32,440 Speaker 1: up that many field goal attempts. They play defense, they 119 00:06:32,480 --> 00:06:35,239 Speaker 1: limit your shots, and they're number one and two point 120 00:06:35,240 --> 00:06:39,800 Speaker 1: shooting percentage thirty eight point nine for Arizona. I'm just 121 00:06:39,800 --> 00:06:44,000 Speaker 1: taking Arizona for the win here, Okay, I get Baylor Auburn, 122 00:06:44,360 --> 00:06:50,520 Speaker 1: Arizona three leg moneyline parlay, even money. I never do this, okay, 123 00:06:50,600 --> 00:06:52,920 Speaker 1: but it's the middle of the week and I want 124 00:06:52,960 --> 00:06:57,039 Speaker 1: to have some fun. And I you know, I've said 125 00:06:57,040 --> 00:07:00,720 Speaker 1: this before. Days like today, I wouldn't be betting. Don't 126 00:07:00,760 --> 00:07:03,920 Speaker 1: love the card. But the one game I think is interesting. 127 00:07:04,120 --> 00:07:08,160 Speaker 1: I think Baylor Auburn both win. Do they cover maybe? 128 00:07:08,360 --> 00:07:11,600 Speaker 1: I think Arizona wins on the road at UCLA. So 129 00:07:11,680 --> 00:07:14,840 Speaker 1: I'm gonna take those two kind of guaranteed ws hopefully 130 00:07:14,840 --> 00:07:17,200 Speaker 1: and add it in here with Arizona. Don't deal with 131 00:07:17,240 --> 00:07:20,160 Speaker 1: the minus two. Let's just get a w here for Arizona. 132 00:07:20,600 --> 00:07:24,240 Speaker 1: Even money, half unit, three leg money line parlay. In 133 00:07:24,280 --> 00:07:29,720 Speaker 1: college basketball, one play in the NBA, this is Square Central, 134 00:07:29,840 --> 00:07:32,880 Speaker 1: this is Beth the Streak. You're gonna hear this over 135 00:07:33,040 --> 00:07:37,280 Speaker 1: and over again today. Dallas at Golden State. The Golden 136 00:07:37,280 --> 00:07:40,920 Speaker 1: State Warriors are sixteen twenty nine and two to the over. 137 00:07:41,600 --> 00:07:45,640 Speaker 1: Dallas is thirteen thirty two and two to the over. 138 00:07:46,040 --> 00:07:48,760 Speaker 1: Dallas is nine to thirteen and one to the over 139 00:07:48,920 --> 00:07:52,360 Speaker 1: on the road and Golden State is seven, sixteen and 140 00:07:52,480 --> 00:07:56,880 Speaker 1: two at home. All right, these teams play defense, they 141 00:07:56,920 --> 00:07:59,600 Speaker 1: do not score. Last eight games in a row for 142 00:07:59,680 --> 00:08:03,960 Speaker 1: Dallas have gone under. Four of the last or six 143 00:08:04,040 --> 00:08:07,680 Speaker 1: of the last ten for Golden State have gone under. 144 00:08:07,920 --> 00:08:10,360 Speaker 1: The total is two to eleven and a half. You 145 00:08:10,440 --> 00:08:12,800 Speaker 1: got to go back to the seventh of January to 146 00:08:12,840 --> 00:08:16,560 Speaker 1: find a game that went over for Dallas. And what's 147 00:08:16,600 --> 00:08:19,720 Speaker 1: even worse for Dallas, they before that were on a 148 00:08:19,920 --> 00:08:23,840 Speaker 1: five game streak to the under before they went over 149 00:08:23,960 --> 00:08:27,119 Speaker 1: against Houston by twenty one points in a one thirty 150 00:08:27,120 --> 00:08:30,880 Speaker 1: one oh six victory over the Rockets. But eight straight 151 00:08:31,480 --> 00:08:36,760 Speaker 1: and they've gone what thirteen of the last fourteen have 152 00:08:36,840 --> 00:08:40,360 Speaker 1: gone under for the Dallas Mavericks. Total is two to 153 00:08:40,400 --> 00:08:43,160 Speaker 1: eleven and a half. Here it's available right now at 154 00:08:43,280 --> 00:08:47,680 Speaker 1: multiple books including DraftKings. Last two have gone under for 155 00:08:47,760 --> 00:08:50,520 Speaker 1: the Golden State Warriors three of the last four. And 156 00:08:50,600 --> 00:08:53,680 Speaker 1: these teams played a little while ago. Back on the 157 00:08:53,760 --> 00:08:58,080 Speaker 1: fifth of the fifth of January in Dallas. The game 158 00:08:58,120 --> 00:09:01,800 Speaker 1: went under by thirty two points ninety nine eighty two, 159 00:09:01,920 --> 00:09:05,080 Speaker 1: the final thirty two points to the under half a 160 00:09:05,160 --> 00:09:09,319 Speaker 1: unit under to eleven and a half Dallas and the Warriors. 161 00:09:10,120 --> 00:09:12,640 Speaker 1: Hopefully this number isn't a completely crater for you guys. 162 00:09:12,679 --> 00:09:16,040 Speaker 1: I think it's going to completely crater. But we're going 163 00:09:16,120 --> 00:09:19,840 Speaker 1: under here late night boor Fest. No offense being scored 164 00:09:19,960 --> 00:09:22,600 Speaker 1: at Golden State under two eleven and a half for 165 00:09:22,679 --> 00:09:26,520 Speaker 1: the Warriors and the Mavericks. All right, again, that's gonna 166 00:09:26,520 --> 00:09:29,080 Speaker 1: be a very popular play across gambling Twitter today, but 167 00:09:29,160 --> 00:09:31,120 Speaker 1: I don't care. I'm gonna follow it. Half a unit 168 00:09:31,400 --> 00:09:34,400 Speaker 1: under two eleven and a half Warriors and the Mavericks, 169 00:09:34,400 --> 00:09:38,360 Speaker 1: all right. Baylor, Auburn, Arizona even money, three leg money 170 00:09:38,360 --> 00:09:41,679 Speaker 1: line parlay, stupid bet. Not gonna deny it. I always say, 171 00:09:41,679 --> 00:09:44,319 Speaker 1: don't bet parlays. What the hell, let's bet a parlay. Okay, 172 00:09:44,480 --> 00:09:47,800 Speaker 1: you guys tend to like them. I tend not. But 173 00:09:48,280 --> 00:09:50,439 Speaker 1: I think Baylor and Auburn win relatively easily, So I 174 00:09:50,440 --> 00:09:52,840 Speaker 1: think those are you know, maybe if they may not 175 00:09:52,880 --> 00:09:56,880 Speaker 1: cover though, because they're big spreads. And then Arizona even money, 176 00:09:58,080 --> 00:10:00,560 Speaker 1: come back on the w just win, just beat a 177 00:10:00,559 --> 00:10:03,640 Speaker 1: tough UCLA team. I'll take Arizona on the road, all right. 178 00:10:04,000 --> 00:10:06,400 Speaker 1: Those are the plays for tonight I'm gonna try to 179 00:10:06,440 --> 00:10:08,240 Speaker 1: give you player props today. Okay, I'm gonna try it 180 00:10:08,240 --> 00:10:11,079 Speaker 1: on the Discord channel. I'm gonna try because if Joel 181 00:10:11,080 --> 00:10:14,040 Speaker 1: Embiid plays, have you seen how many times Jewel Embiid 182 00:10:14,080 --> 00:10:17,360 Speaker 1: has gone over his point total, It's like ten straight times. 183 00:10:18,000 --> 00:10:20,160 Speaker 1: I gotta hop in on that. I mean, that's one 184 00:10:20,200 --> 00:10:22,040 Speaker 1: of them. And then we'll grab something off the prop 185 00:10:22,080 --> 00:10:24,439 Speaker 1: bet cheat sheet that we like as well to give 186 00:10:24,440 --> 00:10:26,560 Speaker 1: you guys coming up here today on a Tuesday. All right, 187 00:10:26,600 --> 00:10:28,600 Speaker 1: So those are the plays. Mind's Matt Parolt. You can 188 00:10:28,600 --> 00:10:31,080 Speaker 1: follow me on Twitter at sports Doc Matt. Each every 189 00:10:31,080 --> 00:10:33,199 Speaker 1: morning it's the Deal Juice Podcast, always being brought to 190 00:10:33,240 --> 00:10:47,400 Speaker 1: you by BET'MGM