1 00:00:00,840 --> 00:00:04,359 Speaker 1: Hey, forballers, it's your pal Dan here and listen. Listen, 2 00:00:04,800 --> 00:00:08,039 Speaker 1: I'm here real quick to remind you about the good 3 00:00:08,119 --> 00:00:11,720 Speaker 1: times that Jeff Schwartz from Fox Sports and Sirius XM 4 00:00:11,720 --> 00:00:14,920 Speaker 1: and he's a former NFL offensive lineman and I are 5 00:00:14,960 --> 00:00:19,239 Speaker 1: having each and every week during season two. I don't 6 00:00:19,239 --> 00:00:22,680 Speaker 1: know why I did that. Of Big Boy Bets, it's 7 00:00:22,760 --> 00:00:26,079 Speaker 1: our weekly college football betting preview, during which we deep 8 00:00:26,160 --> 00:00:29,280 Speaker 1: dive lines over unders, where the public where the sharps 9 00:00:29,280 --> 00:00:32,199 Speaker 1: are going as they look at the weekly college football 10 00:00:32,360 --> 00:00:35,239 Speaker 1: big Board. Do we look at trends and logic and 11 00:00:35,320 --> 00:00:38,680 Speaker 1: reason when betting? Of course? Do we sometimes come up 12 00:00:38,720 --> 00:00:41,560 Speaker 1: with theories and go with our guts with varying levels 13 00:00:41,560 --> 00:00:44,920 Speaker 1: of evidence. Yeah, of course we do. It's our show. 14 00:00:45,120 --> 00:00:47,879 Speaker 1: Every episode, we each pick at least three of our 15 00:00:47,920 --> 00:00:51,080 Speaker 1: best bets and break down the variables that went into 16 00:00:51,120 --> 00:00:55,400 Speaker 1: our selections. And yes, Jeff is also known to deep 17 00:00:55,440 --> 00:00:58,120 Speaker 1: dive what it's like to be a literal big boy. 18 00:00:58,400 --> 00:01:02,080 Speaker 1: New episodes go up every Thursday morning at six am Eastern. 19 00:01:02,160 --> 00:01:05,399 Speaker 1: And you know what, just for you, here's here's a 20 00:01:05,400 --> 00:01:06,880 Speaker 1: little taste of the show. 21 00:01:08,959 --> 00:01:11,200 Speaker 2: We have two coaches that will kick a field goal 22 00:01:11,200 --> 00:01:12,640 Speaker 2: over going for it and a fourth down I think 23 00:01:12,640 --> 00:01:15,399 Speaker 2: every time. And so in spots where you might see 24 00:01:15,440 --> 00:01:18,040 Speaker 2: more aggressive coaches go for it on fourth and two 25 00:01:18,080 --> 00:01:20,320 Speaker 2: from the five yard line, these coaches will kick a 26 00:01:20,319 --> 00:01:21,320 Speaker 2: field goal every time. 27 00:01:21,560 --> 00:01:21,760 Speaker 1: Yep. 28 00:01:21,840 --> 00:01:24,920 Speaker 2: And so I'm the under here. I was leaning Michigan 29 00:01:25,000 --> 00:01:28,240 Speaker 2: minus six minus seven around there, but their offense. I 30 00:01:28,240 --> 00:01:30,120 Speaker 2: went back and watched the offense again, kind of worries 31 00:01:30,120 --> 00:01:32,760 Speaker 2: someome dan like they kind of pack things in after 32 00:01:32,800 --> 00:01:34,720 Speaker 2: Bell got her. Now they were up by twenty twenty 33 00:01:34,760 --> 00:01:37,800 Speaker 2: eight points. I get that. But Washington play defense. Guys. 34 00:01:37,840 --> 00:01:39,959 Speaker 2: They have a great back end and secondary. The rest 35 00:01:39,959 --> 00:01:42,440 Speaker 2: of the pass here kind of med but what I 36 00:01:42,440 --> 00:01:44,360 Speaker 2: looked as a Montana scored the first drive of the 37 00:01:44,360 --> 00:01:48,320 Speaker 2: game field goal. They then had thirty three yards total 38 00:01:48,360 --> 00:01:51,760 Speaker 2: over the next nine drives. Like, so, Washington defense is good. 39 00:01:51,800 --> 00:01:54,560 Speaker 2: So I'm on the under here. It's forty eight and 40 00:01:54,600 --> 00:01:56,480 Speaker 2: a half now, I mean I had it like fifty one, 41 00:01:56,520 --> 00:01:58,240 Speaker 2: but I'll stoll bet it here. 42 00:01:58,640 --> 00:02:01,080 Speaker 1: Yeah, the over is interesting to me in a normal year, 43 00:02:01,080 --> 00:02:02,400 Speaker 1: but yeah, I'm going with the under here. I have 44 00:02:02,400 --> 00:02:05,840 Speaker 1: twenty seven thirteen Michigan, and I think you outlined it 45 00:02:05,880 --> 00:02:08,000 Speaker 1: all pretty easily and one of the things. Michigan ten 46 00:02:08,040 --> 00:02:10,440 Speaker 1: and five as a home favorite since twenty eighteen, so 47 00:02:10,520 --> 00:02:13,200 Speaker 1: that's somewhat of an extreme number. Seventy nine percent of 48 00:02:13,240 --> 00:02:15,680 Speaker 1: the bets around Michigan seventy six percent of the money. 49 00:02:15,880 --> 00:02:19,480 Speaker 1: There's huge actual over betting in this matchup right now. 50 00:02:19,520 --> 00:02:22,160 Speaker 1: I'm not sure why, but there is a lot of 51 00:02:22,240 --> 00:02:24,799 Speaker 1: dudes and ladies or whoever reason. 52 00:02:24,840 --> 00:02:26,679 Speaker 2: So why is they think that this is an aberration 53 00:02:27,040 --> 00:02:33,040 Speaker 2: for Washington. Well, Washington, which I don't think. I think 54 00:02:33,080 --> 00:02:35,239 Speaker 2: it was a little bit on offense, but Dan to 55 00:02:35,400 --> 00:02:37,600 Speaker 2: their offense is pooh. We talked about heading on the season, 56 00:02:37,720 --> 00:02:41,480 Speaker 2: like there's receivers. Sam Huer is not playing this week. 57 00:02:42,200 --> 00:02:44,720 Speaker 1: I really do think Washington too. If you're going to 58 00:02:44,760 --> 00:02:46,680 Speaker 1: make a case for Washington, it's that they went in 59 00:02:46,720 --> 00:02:48,120 Speaker 1: the same way a lot of teams did, which is 60 00:02:48,120 --> 00:02:49,720 Speaker 1: they're going to show nothing in Week one ahead of 61 00:02:49,720 --> 00:02:52,280 Speaker 1: a bigger Week two matchup. I'm not a fan of 62 00:02:52,320 --> 00:02:54,640 Speaker 1: the Washington offense, but there is always going to be 63 00:02:54,680 --> 00:02:56,840 Speaker 1: a jump between week one and week two as teams 64 00:02:56,840 --> 00:02:58,480 Speaker 1: figure out what they have and as they see their 65 00:02:58,480 --> 00:03:01,640 Speaker 1: players playing a game speed. So Washington's offense has to 66 00:03:01,680 --> 00:03:04,280 Speaker 1: be better, just by the law of if they hit 67 00:03:04,400 --> 00:03:07,040 Speaker 1: rock bottom last week, they have to be better. They've 68 00:03:07,080 --> 00:03:09,639 Speaker 1: got decent enough players on offense. I'm not in love 69 00:03:09,680 --> 00:03:11,960 Speaker 1: with their offense. I think they can be outschemed pretty 70 00:03:12,000 --> 00:03:15,280 Speaker 1: easily on offense, but I think they can score thirteen 71 00:03:15,400 --> 00:03:18,079 Speaker 1: seventeen points or something like that. I just think Michigan 72 00:03:18,280 --> 00:03:20,320 Speaker 1: is a little bit more complete. So I have them 73 00:03:20,360 --> 00:03:23,120 Speaker 1: at twenty seven thirteen. So yeah, I'm gonna roll with 74 00:03:23,160 --> 00:03:25,160 Speaker 1: the under. I'm with you as well. I just don't 75 00:03:25,200 --> 00:03:27,600 Speaker 1: see where the points from either side are coming from. 76 00:03:27,639 --> 00:03:30,440 Speaker 1: You right about the deliberate pacing of both of these teams. 77 00:03:31,440 --> 00:03:35,880 Speaker 1: All right, there's your taste. Thanks for any consideration in subscribing, following, 78 00:03:35,920 --> 00:03:39,240 Speaker 1: and lending your ears weekly during the college football season 79 00:03:39,560 --> 00:03:43,000 Speaker 1: to Big Boy Bets, your one stop shop for all 80 00:03:43,080 --> 00:03:45,840 Speaker 1: big boy college football betting. Come on and you can 81 00:03:45,880 --> 00:03:49,280 Speaker 1: find all the pertinent links in one handy place, Big 82 00:03:49,320 --> 00:03:54,320 Speaker 1: Boy Bets Dot Show. Once again, Big Boy Bets Dot Show, 83 00:03:54,560 --> 00:03:55,040 Speaker 1: See you there.