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Speaker 1: What's going on, everybody, Scott Bog'm gonna here for Betting

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Speaker 1: Pros to give you my favorite picks and props for

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Speaker 1: Round one of the college football Playoff. And by the way,

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Speaker 1: we're gonna be having a great time and going in

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Speaker 1: to game one because Seth Wilcock and I are going

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Speaker 1: to be live streaming the Oklahoma Alabama game. It starts

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Speaker 1: at seven forty five Eastern tonight, Friday twelve nineteen. We're

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Speaker 1: gonna be going for the first half, number eight Oklahoma

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Speaker 1: taking on number nine Alabama. We're tracking line movement in

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Speaker 1: real time, breaking down live odds, and calling out bets

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Speaker 1: as a game unfolds. Get in before kickoff and catch

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Speaker 1: us live on the Betting Pros YouTube channel or on

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Speaker 1: the Fantasy Pros Twitch channel at twitch dot tv slash

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Speaker 1: Fantasy Pros. You're gonna see Seth and I lamenting our bets,

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Speaker 1: watching it, checking out all of the live odds. It's

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Speaker 1: gonna be a great time. So come hang with Seth

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Speaker 1: and I tonight to watch this game. It's gonna be

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Speaker 1: a blast. All right, let's get into the last time

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Speaker 1: I spoke to you guys on this show, I added

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Speaker 1: one Bowl game That was my bet of the week

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Speaker 1: with Seth last week. But conference championship week was not great.

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Speaker 1: I was two and four. I did get the bowl game,

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Speaker 1: so I'm gonna add three and four to my record here.

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Speaker 1: I got that LA Bowl. Washington waxed Boise State thirty

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Speaker 1: eight to ten in the most recent game. Didn't get

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Speaker 1: the team total on James Madison by this much a

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Speaker 1: slip tackle at the end of the game, but we

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Speaker 1: didn't get it. North Texas minus two and a half,

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Speaker 1: absolutely not to Lane wax them thirty four to twenty one.

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Speaker 1: That one was not even close. Didn't get the UNLV

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Speaker 1: team total over twenty six and a half. They only

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Speaker 1: scored twenty one against Boise State. We did get the

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Speaker 1: under on Miami Ohio Western Michigan. We got the BYU

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Speaker 1: team total under of seventeen and a half, but we

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Speaker 1: missed the duke team total under by the hook because

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Speaker 1: that game went into overtime. The final was twenty seven

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Speaker 1: twenty so the props also not good. Three and seven

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Speaker 1: here at Zeburnett scored why young Jaiden Thomas didn't. Barren

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Speaker 1: Morton didn't hit his yardage. I did get the rushing

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Speaker 1: for Retz Laft the attempts for Tys Simpson, didn't get

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Speaker 1: the rushing yards for Cam Cook or Dylan Ryth. Dylan

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Speaker 1: Riley was four yards. That was brutal. Jamari Taylor also

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Speaker 1: didn't get the rushing yards whipted on those and Gary

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Speaker 1: buro Benyard the wide receiver four Kennesesau State got hurt

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Speaker 1: in that game, so we went three and seven, bring

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Speaker 1: us to seventy two and seventy eight on the prop

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Speaker 1: seventy eight and sixty eight on the picks. So that

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Speaker 1: would bring us to be four games over five hundred

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Speaker 1: for the season. So still over frustrating week last week

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Speaker 1: after two really good weeks to end the season. Two

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Speaker 1: So let's go into the picks for the first round

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Speaker 1: of the college football Playoff. I'm gonna pick sides or

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna make picks for every game. Then I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: give you one bowl game I like, and I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: save another bowl game for my hard rock bet of

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Speaker 1: the week. So let's start out with this game that

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Speaker 1: Seth and I are covering Alabama plus one and a

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Speaker 1: half at Oklahoma. I'm also liking the over forty one,

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Speaker 1: but my pick here is going to be Alabama plus

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Speaker 1: one and a half. I just think the last time

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Speaker 1: these teams played here, Alabama should have won, right, and

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Speaker 1: I picked Oklahoma to win that game. Alabama was not

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Speaker 1: playing their best, their best football in that time. In

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Speaker 1: that game, Oklahoma ended up beating them, going to Alabama

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Speaker 1: and beating them, But the yardage was massively different here.

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Speaker 1: I mean Bama moved the ball and turned it over.

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Speaker 1: Oklahoma had a big play and capitalized on turnovers. This

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Speaker 1: was four hundred and six yards for Obama, two hundred

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Speaker 1: and twelve for Oklahoma. Time possession thirty four to twenty

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Speaker 1: eight in favor of Alabama. They had fewer penalties, they

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Speaker 1: had fewer punts, Right, it's the three turnovers. Now, if

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Speaker 1: they can turn over Tys Simpson again three times, of

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Speaker 1: course they're gonna win this game. They're gonna win this

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Speaker 1: game going away. I don't think that's going to be

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Speaker 1: the case. I think we're gonna see a better, more

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Speaker 1: prepared Alabama team. Of course, it's a one and a

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Speaker 1: half point game either way. You look at it right,

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Speaker 1: and you can get plus on either side depending on

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Speaker 1: the books. But I just think that this game is

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Speaker 1: going to go to Alabama. I think Alabama is the

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Speaker 1: better team, and if Oklahoma gets behind, I don't know

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Speaker 1: if they can catch up. I think we're gonna see

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Speaker 1: nice wrinkles from them. I don't think they're gonna get

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Speaker 1: shut out. I don't think they're going to be held

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Speaker 1: on under ten points or anything like that. I think

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Speaker 1: they'll score. Alabama's defense has not been great this year,

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Speaker 1: specifically rushing the passer, but I think Alabama just has

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Speaker 1: too much juice on offense, and I think they will

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Speaker 1: have a better game plan for Oklahoma this time. And

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Speaker 1: they had a good game plan last time, right, they

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Speaker 1: did put up four hundred yards of offense on this

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Speaker 1: killer defense, just cannot turn the ball over like they

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Speaker 1: did in that game. So this one is in Oklahoma,

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Speaker 1: of course that will absolutely be a factor. But in

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Speaker 1: the end, I think this is a tight game that

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Speaker 1: Alabama wins and moves on to the next round. So

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Speaker 1: if you're gonna give me points, I'm gonna take them

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Speaker 1: at plus one and a half. I'm also gonna go

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Speaker 1: with another road dog, give me Miami plus two and

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Speaker 1: a half. Here at Texas A and M And I

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Speaker 1: know I'm a Texas fan, I'm an A and m hater,

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Speaker 1: So take it with a grain of salt, right, Like,

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Speaker 1: don't just listen to me. But the reason I like

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Speaker 1: Miami in this game is because I believe Texas A

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Speaker 1: and M was exposed against Texas and specifically Marcel Reid,

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Speaker 1: right when you put pressure on him, when you hit him,

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Speaker 1: when you force him into tough decisions, he scrambles, he

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Speaker 1: gets happy feet, he makes bad throws. That's what happened

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Speaker 1: against Texas. I feel like that is what's going to

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Speaker 1: happen against Ruben Bain and a Keeme Mezador for Miami

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Speaker 1: as well. I think that is the difference. Both these

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Speaker 1: teams have good offenses, right Carson Beck. I know a

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Speaker 1: lot of people are taking Texas A and M because

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Speaker 1: I cannot trust Carson Beck in a tight spot. And

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Speaker 1: I understand that he's had some dud performances in big

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Speaker 1: games here, but it's got a lot of experience and

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Speaker 1: a lot of experience in tough environments, in hard situations

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Speaker 1: like this game on the road to Texas A and M.

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Speaker 1: So I have an experienced quarterback with a defensive line

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Speaker 1: that can wreck games. That is what I like about

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Speaker 1: Miami against Texas A and M. It has no nothing

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Speaker 1: to do with my thought process. Texas, A and M

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Speaker 1: goes in and whoops A and M. Or if A

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Speaker 1: and M goes into whoops Texas, we're not talking about

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Speaker 1: this because A and M has a bye week. Right.

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Speaker 1: They had an incredible year, great run for them, Also

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Speaker 1: a little bit lenient on the schedule this year, just

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Speaker 1: the SEC you know they had. They didn't have a

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Speaker 1: tough SEC schedule, so when they got in the hard parts,

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Speaker 1: they started losing here against Texas. So I'm going to

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Speaker 1: go with Miami here. The next two are obviously not

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Speaker 1: close games. All Miss versus Dulane at seventeen point and

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Speaker 1: a half point favorites, I'm going to take Ole Miss here.

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Speaker 1: I understand their issues. Obviously, lank Iff and left and

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Speaker 1: then had the big fight about Pete Golden taking over

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Speaker 1: in Charlie West. Junior is going with Lane, but then

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Speaker 1: he's coming back to call plays here and all that.

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Speaker 1: I just think that the roster strength is what matters

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Speaker 1: most in a game like this, and it is lopsided.

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Speaker 1: We've already seen this game once. It was forty five

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Speaker 1: to ten in favor of Ole Miss, right, so we're

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Speaker 1: running it back with more on the line, right, I

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Speaker 1: mean the line's not thirty five, but seventeen and a half.

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Speaker 1: I think anything under three touchdowns I'd be taking ole

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Speaker 1: Miss here. So I am gonna lay the points and

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Speaker 1: take ole Miss. I do not expect this game to

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Speaker 1: be close. Maybe it's close for a half, maybe it's

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Speaker 1: close to start, maybe it's even close going into the

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Speaker 1: fourth quarter. I think ole Miss pulls away. I think

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Speaker 1: they have way too much talent. I think it's gonna

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Speaker 1: be a long day for Tulane. So I like Jake

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Speaker 1: Rutz laugh. I love what he's done with Tulane, getting

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Speaker 1: them into the tournament. You know, a good story for him,

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Speaker 1: for sure. But I think you know, John Sommerl's leaving

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Speaker 1: for Florida as well, So it's not like ole Miss

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Speaker 1: is the only team that has coaching issues, more coaching

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Speaker 1: issues in Oregon versus James Madison as well as Chesney

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Speaker 1: is leaving to go to UCLA. But the line here

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Speaker 1: twenty one and a half is a little dicey. I'm

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Speaker 1: going to take the over forty seven and a half

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Speaker 1: in this game, but of course I think Oregon doing

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Speaker 1: the heavy lifting, and this is a game I think

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Speaker 1: Oregon is just way too fast, way too athletic. You know,

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Speaker 1: we did see jam you play P four team in

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Speaker 1: Louisville and they got smoked. They were good on defense,

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Speaker 1: they really did hold Louisville to a nice total in

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Speaker 1: their yardage, but they ended up losing that game. They

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Speaker 1: could not stick with their offense, could not stick and run.

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Speaker 1: They are primarily run heavy team against Louisville. And if

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Speaker 1: you can run against Louisville, you are absolutely not running

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Speaker 1: against Oregon. So I don't think that they have the

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Speaker 1: horses to really compete in this game. And I think

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Speaker 1: Oregon's gonna score. So we're gonna go with the over here.

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Speaker 1: Obviously Oregon doing the heavy lifting. But a thirty five

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Speaker 1: fourteen game gets us home, A you know, forty two

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Speaker 1: to seven game gets us home. A forty nine to

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Speaker 1: nothing game gets us home, So we're gonna take the

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Speaker 1: over here. I think Oregon is gonna score most of

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Speaker 1: the times they touched the football here against JMU one

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Speaker 1: Bowl game before I get my other bowl game is

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Speaker 1: gonna be the hard rock bet of the week. You

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Speaker 1: know V minus six and a half for so Ohio.

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Speaker 1: I know, you know V. Laid An Egg in the

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Speaker 1: Mount West Conference championship game. I think they're a much

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Speaker 1: better team than Ohio. They have better roster strength, you know,

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Speaker 1: just more talent on their team. Ohio's done a great job,

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Speaker 1: and I think if everything was intact here, uh, this

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Speaker 1: would be a closer game because you can run on

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Speaker 1: un LV. Their run defense is really weak, and that's

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Speaker 1: what Ohio does right, ninth best rushing offense in the country.

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Speaker 1: They ran at a high clip as well, but you know,

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Speaker 1: in talks about PFF grades overall, it's forty nine ver

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Speaker 1: seventy nine UNLV. In roster strength, it's fifty five to

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Speaker 1: eighty one in favor of UNLV. And obviously Brian Smith,

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Speaker 1: their head coach, was just fired as well, which could

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Speaker 1: get us more transfers by the time we get there.

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Speaker 1: So it's six and a half right now. If it's

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Speaker 1: under a touchdown, I'm just laying the points and taking

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Speaker 1: UNLV in this game. All right, let's go to the props.

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Speaker 1: But before we get there, let me let me remind

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Speaker 1: you guys to track your bets, stay accountable, and level up.

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Speaker 1: By downloading the Betting Pros app with Sportsbooks Sync, you

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Speaker 1: can automatically track your bets across all major sports books

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Speaker 1: in one spot. You can easily monitor your bet performance

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Speaker 1: by sport and bet type, including game picks, props, and parlays.

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Speaker 1: You can create custom betting systems to find winning trends

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Speaker 1: and profitable opportunities. Get a seven day free trial Betting

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Speaker 1: Pros Premium by using code juice Juce and activating your

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Speaker 1: trial on the upgrade screen. All right, So just to

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Speaker 1: peel the curtain back a little bit, I'm only taking

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Speaker 1: props for games that really matters, so only the playoffs, right,

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Speaker 1: I'm not going to any of the other Bowl games.

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Speaker 1: I don't know about opt outs for a while from

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Speaker 1: now from recording. Stuff happens right before the games, so

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Speaker 1: I don't want to give you props for those games.

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Speaker 1: I just want to give you props for the games

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Speaker 1: where we know players are definitely playing, so we're gonna

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Speaker 1: stick to that. I'm gonna give you one touchdown call.

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Speaker 1: And this is when you have to pair with something

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Speaker 1: else because the juice is bad on it. But Ole

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Speaker 1: miss running back Keiwan Lacey's definitely scoring a touchdown, so

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Speaker 1: that's an easy one. Pair it with something else to

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Speaker 1: get the odds. Because it is juiced all the way

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Speaker 1: down quarterback props. We're gonna go with the over half

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Speaker 1: an interception from Marcel Reid obviously, Like I said, I

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Speaker 1: think he got exposed a little bit. I think he's

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Speaker 1: gonna get some happy feed against Miami, and I think

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Speaker 1: he's gonna throw a pick, specifically if Miami is up

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Speaker 1: late in that game. Ole Miss quarterback Trinidad Shambliss over

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Speaker 1: one and a half passing touchdowns again, they should dominate

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Speaker 1: two lane this this one. I think they're gonna score

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Speaker 1: a decent amount of points as well, maybe not as

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Speaker 1: much as Oregon, but they're gonna score so over one

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Speaker 1: and a half passing touchdowns there, and I am going

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Speaker 1: to reach down to a team I think is gonna lose.

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Speaker 1: And two lane quarterback Jake russ Laugh. We hit this

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Speaker 1: one the last time we did this show thirty two

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Speaker 1: and a half rushing yards. He didn't get sacked against

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Speaker 1: Ole Miss last time. It's really the only blind spot

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Speaker 1: for this Ole Miss team, or the worst spot I

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Speaker 1: guess I should say, is their pass rush ability. So

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Speaker 1: I think reds Laugh is going to be able to

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Speaker 1: throw it a little bit, and Corners is still really good.

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Speaker 1: But really what he does is pull it down and run. Obviously,

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Speaker 1: sack yards get you know, taken into account for rushing yards.

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Speaker 1: But like I said, he didn't get sacked last time.

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Speaker 1: See either he didn't or it was one second out

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Speaker 1: of the numbers in front of me, but it was

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Speaker 1: it didn't affect me. At fifty eight yards rushing against

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Speaker 1: Ole Miss last time, I think he's going to be

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Speaker 1: able to do it again. Two running back props for you.

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Speaker 1: Oregon running back Noah Whittington over eighty four and a

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Speaker 1: half rushing yards again. I just think they have the

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Speaker 1: ball for most of the game against JAMU. I think

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Speaker 1: they score them most of their drives as well. If

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Speaker 1: they are doing that, no Whittington is definitely going to score.

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Speaker 1: And I'm gonna take Miami running back Mark Fletcher over

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Speaker 1: forty and a half rushing yards against Texas A and

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Speaker 1: M This is again, if Miami gets up, you want

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Speaker 1: to lean on that lead and burn that clock and

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Speaker 1: don't let Marcel read get extra opportunities. Because we saw

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Speaker 1: when they were getting crushed by South Carolina at home right,

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Speaker 1: we saw Marcel Reid get the ball in the second

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Speaker 1: half and pop off. You got to keep the ball

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Speaker 1: away from him. So I think Mark Fletcher over forty

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Speaker 1: and a half rushing yards is on the table. Three

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Speaker 1: overs for receiving yards for you, We're gonna go Alabama

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Speaker 1: wide receiver Jeremy Bernard. He had over seventy yards last time.

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Speaker 1: Fifty eight and a half is a total here. Isaiah's

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Speaker 1: a tang, a big play machine, also been getting a

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Speaker 1: lot of targets recently. Sixty five and a half is

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Speaker 1: his total against Alabama. Again, Alabama's defense not nearly as

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Speaker 1: good as it has been historically and this year has

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Speaker 1: not been great, and we're gonna go Old Miss wide

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Speaker 1: receiver Harrison Wallace over sixty four and a half receiving

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Speaker 1: yards as well. Now let's get to the hard Rock

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Speaker 1: All right, hard rock bet of the week. We are

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Speaker 1: going to take the under in Washington State versus Utah

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Speaker 1: State this game. Look, Washington State's defense is still very good. Now.

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Speaker 1: We are getting some opt outs here, but they're rotational

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Speaker 1: and some of the guys that are in the transfer

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Speaker 1: portal are still going to be able to play. Now.

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Speaker 1: Head coach Jimmy Rodgers is leaving to go to Iowa State,

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Speaker 1: but we have the DC taking over here. I don't

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Speaker 1: think we're gonna lose a lot. Also, Washington State's offense

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Speaker 1: is really really bad. Three and nine Washington State this

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Speaker 1: year playing to the over. The total is fifty two

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Speaker 1: and a half. Utah State has been doing a great

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Speaker 1: job scoring their top thirty six. They score thirty one

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Speaker 1: points a game, but they're gonna be missing the number

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Speaker 1: one wide receiver in this game. He is transferred to

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Speaker 1: us not playing, So I think Jesse Bobbitt taking over

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Speaker 1: for Jimmy Rodgers at Washington State is a fine transition

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Speaker 1: for this game. He's also gonna be leaving to go

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Speaker 1: to Iowa State after this game. So yeah, maybe Washington

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Speaker 1: State's a little distracted, but we've seen them. They They

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Speaker 1: were played great defense against Ole Miss earlier this year. Right,

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Speaker 1: they played great defense against James Madison earlier this year.

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Speaker 1: So the starters are there. I think Washington State is

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Speaker 1: gonna be fineing this game. I don't trust their offense

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Speaker 1: at all. So I think like even if Utah State

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Speaker 1: wins this game and wins this game going away, which

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Speaker 1: normally I'd like to take Washington State, we are showing

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Speaker 1: value on them in Utah State is the favorite favorite

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Speaker 1: in this game. But this total is just to me,

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Speaker 1: is way too high. Fifty two and a half has

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Speaker 1: too many points to ask most teams to score against

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Speaker 1: Washington Washington State, specifically any G five teams. So that

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Speaker 1: is my hard rock bet of the week. It's Washington

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Speaker 1: State Utah State in the Idaho Potato Ball under fifty

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Speaker 1: two and a half points. So that is going to

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Speaker 1: do it for me. Good luck on your bets. Come

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Speaker 1: and hang with Seth and I tonight. If you can

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Speaker 1: and I will see you guys next time. Take it easy, everybody.

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Speaker 3: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you

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Speaker 3: love the show, the best freeway to support us is

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Speaker 3: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify.

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