1 00:00:03,080 --> 00:00:07,680 Speaker 1: Broadcasting live to New York, Gloomberg to Washington, d C, 2 00:00:07,880 --> 00:00:14,040 Speaker 1: Bloomber to Boston, Bloomberg dwellers to San Francisco, Bloomberg to 3 00:00:14,160 --> 00:00:18,440 Speaker 1: the Country Sea Channel one, and around the globe the 4 00:00:18,440 --> 00:00:23,079 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Radio bus an Bloomberg dot Com. This is Bloomberg Surveillance. 5 00:00:23,640 --> 00:00:26,319 Speaker 1: Good morning eight thirty on Wall Street. Michael McKee along 6 00:00:26,320 --> 00:00:29,080 Speaker 1: with Tom Keene. Economic indicators brought to you by Commonwealth 7 00:00:29,080 --> 00:00:32,120 Speaker 1: Financial Network. When it's time to change the conversation, talk 8 00:00:32,159 --> 00:00:34,199 Speaker 1: with a broker dealer r I A that's ready to 9 00:00:34,240 --> 00:00:37,320 Speaker 1: listen call eight six six four six two eight or 10 00:00:37,440 --> 00:00:40,880 Speaker 1: is it Commonwealth dot com to learn more? A boatload 11 00:00:41,440 --> 00:00:44,040 Speaker 1: of economic indicators out. Let's go to Vidi Dell judas 12 00:00:44,080 --> 00:00:48,000 Speaker 1: our captain for this cruise. Okay, Michael, Let's look at 13 00:00:48,000 --> 00:00:50,760 Speaker 1: retail sales. A surprise of big surprise and increase of 14 00:00:50,840 --> 00:00:54,120 Speaker 1: one point three percent and April top in Wall Street forecast. 15 00:00:54,360 --> 00:00:57,680 Speaker 1: Now the exclude autos and gasoline. Mindy, gasoline prices have 16 00:00:57,760 --> 00:01:00,040 Speaker 1: been back up and increase the point six first and 17 00:01:00,200 --> 00:01:04,000 Speaker 1: still respectable, still more than Wall Street forecast. Inflation. The 18 00:01:04,000 --> 00:01:07,520 Speaker 1: producer price index up point two percent in April. That 19 00:01:07,640 --> 00:01:10,560 Speaker 1: followed at the client the prior month. Again the headline 20 00:01:10,560 --> 00:01:14,920 Speaker 1: the big story. Retail sales April up one point three percent, 21 00:01:15,080 --> 00:01:19,840 Speaker 1: topping forecast, reversing at decline at the Bloomberg first Word desk, Compel, Judice, 22 00:01:19,920 --> 00:01:22,280 Speaker 1: let's go back to me in my comedia dollar strength 23 00:01:22,360 --> 00:01:25,080 Speaker 1: yon week or got a one eighteen onion d X 24 00:01:25,240 --> 00:01:28,760 Speaker 1: y nine yield. Market doesn't move all that much, but 25 00:01:28,880 --> 00:01:32,600 Speaker 1: definitely a lift feel off that revision. Something to look at. 26 00:01:32,720 --> 00:01:35,240 Speaker 1: Um the retail sales Control Group, which is the part 27 00:01:35,280 --> 00:01:38,959 Speaker 1: that goes into the VP. Everybody watches the Cogniscenty watch 28 00:01:39,319 --> 00:01:42,280 Speaker 1: up nine tenths. The forecast was for a four tenths 29 00:01:42,400 --> 00:01:45,680 Speaker 1: with a revision improved better with a revision improvement as well. 30 00:01:45,880 --> 00:01:49,280 Speaker 1: Howard Divinomitz is the man. He studies the retailers, and 31 00:01:49,320 --> 00:01:54,080 Speaker 1: he comes on Bloomberg and he gives us unvarnished opinions 32 00:01:54,120 --> 00:01:57,840 Speaker 1: about how we're doing. Howard, many times you have come on, 33 00:01:57,920 --> 00:02:00,360 Speaker 1: and as Tom said, you have suggested that hil is 34 00:02:00,480 --> 00:02:03,440 Speaker 1: U in the crap up. But today it doesn't look 35 00:02:03,440 --> 00:02:06,000 Speaker 1: like it. Well, it sure looks like it when you 36 00:02:06,080 --> 00:02:09,120 Speaker 1: go down company by company. I don't know what number 37 00:02:09,440 --> 00:02:12,160 Speaker 1: I mean. When you look at a company like Macy's 38 00:02:12,240 --> 00:02:17,480 Speaker 1: and collapse. Cole's terrible, Nords, Droum bad, Walmart is bad. 39 00:02:17,600 --> 00:02:19,840 Speaker 1: I mean, I don't know what you're looking at. But 40 00:02:19,919 --> 00:02:24,960 Speaker 1: if you go down every Pacific sunwhere in bankruptcy, I mean, uh, 41 00:02:25,320 --> 00:02:28,720 Speaker 1: sports authority, when bus the liquid that, when you go 42 00:02:28,800 --> 00:02:32,040 Speaker 1: down all of the companies, find me a good one. 43 00:02:32,880 --> 00:02:38,800 Speaker 1: I mean, that's your job. Can't find that. Department stores 44 00:02:38,880 --> 00:02:41,240 Speaker 1: were up three tenths of a percent, and people were 45 00:02:41,280 --> 00:02:42,800 Speaker 1: saying that was gonna be the one area that was 46 00:02:42,880 --> 00:02:46,320 Speaker 1: bad because of all these retailers. You're talking about the 47 00:02:46,360 --> 00:02:50,800 Speaker 1: general merchandise and department stores. Somebody's got to be making 48 00:02:50,840 --> 00:02:55,799 Speaker 1: money if all the numbers and nuts. Look, it's impossible 49 00:02:55,960 --> 00:03:00,079 Speaker 1: if you go down every single department store, but do 50 00:03:00,240 --> 00:03:05,639 Speaker 1: one of them. She is norths from Macie's. If you 51 00:03:05,760 --> 00:03:08,639 Speaker 1: got Bond, if you look at Dillard's, if you look 52 00:03:08,639 --> 00:03:13,160 Speaker 1: at every department store in America, coals, they're all bad. 53 00:03:14,040 --> 00:03:17,600 Speaker 1: Now they say the numbers of department stores are up, Hello, 54 00:03:18,520 --> 00:03:24,480 Speaker 1: I mean they're nuts. Every department store, every department store 55 00:03:24,840 --> 00:03:30,079 Speaker 1: is down. Everybody's closing stores. This is the reaction. Okay, 56 00:03:30,280 --> 00:03:34,360 Speaker 1: The reality, Howard is beautiful things updated daily. Amazon is 57 00:03:34,360 --> 00:03:38,040 Speaker 1: getting serious? Is this about economic slowdown or is the 58 00:03:38,080 --> 00:03:41,880 Speaker 1: Amazon finally clicked in. Well, it's a combination of everything. 59 00:03:41,960 --> 00:03:43,800 Speaker 1: We're in a massive we have we're in a no 60 00:03:43,920 --> 00:03:48,720 Speaker 1: growth economy. This we know we're in a no growth economy. 61 00:03:48,840 --> 00:03:53,160 Speaker 1: And there is no question that Amazon is the Walmart 62 00:03:53,280 --> 00:03:57,200 Speaker 1: of today. We used to have the top hundred discounters 63 00:03:57,200 --> 00:04:01,120 Speaker 1: in sam Walton killed every single one of them except Target, 64 00:04:01,440 --> 00:04:04,920 Speaker 1: mote them down. Now we have Amazon, and they're gonna 65 00:04:04,960 --> 00:04:07,160 Speaker 1: mow down a lot and they are not mowing down 66 00:04:07,200 --> 00:04:09,520 Speaker 1: lots of people, and this is going to continue for 67 00:04:09,680 --> 00:04:13,440 Speaker 1: them of fifteen years. That's where we are now. Well, 68 00:04:13,560 --> 00:04:17,039 Speaker 1: the big number outside of gasoline and cars was non 69 00:04:17,200 --> 00:04:20,680 Speaker 1: store retailers. It's a difficult number to part because it 70 00:04:20,720 --> 00:04:24,920 Speaker 1: includes catalogs and door to door salesman and it also 71 00:04:25,240 --> 00:04:29,200 Speaker 1: separates out some of the retailers from their websites. But 72 00:04:29,560 --> 00:04:33,520 Speaker 1: in it does suggest that people are buying, They're just 73 00:04:33,839 --> 00:04:37,320 Speaker 1: not going to bricks and mortar stores. Well, the people 74 00:04:37,320 --> 00:04:43,000 Speaker 1: are buying, let's I don't. When the province stores report 75 00:04:43,040 --> 00:04:47,240 Speaker 1: their sales, that includes online sales. The biggest investment in 76 00:04:47,279 --> 00:04:50,880 Speaker 1: the last five years has been an online sale Nordstromcy's, 77 00:04:50,880 --> 00:04:54,280 Speaker 1: They've invested a fortune. They're doing online. The gap is 78 00:04:54,320 --> 00:04:58,479 Speaker 1: doing online sales. The gaps number that's terrible. So when 79 00:04:58,520 --> 00:05:02,280 Speaker 1: these companies put out there sales, it includes everything, it 80 00:05:02,279 --> 00:05:05,839 Speaker 1: includes their online So every one of them are down, 81 00:05:06,040 --> 00:05:08,960 Speaker 1: including their online powered in the time that we've got 82 00:05:09,040 --> 00:05:11,760 Speaker 1: left and people have great esteem. We love your passion, 83 00:05:11,839 --> 00:05:15,200 Speaker 1: your energy, but what people really like is your experience. 84 00:05:15,240 --> 00:05:18,200 Speaker 1: You've been doing this for a few years. Mr Londrin 85 00:05:18,360 --> 00:05:22,840 Speaker 1: has seen this before. He's enjoying a fifty five drop 86 00:05:23,560 --> 00:05:27,040 Speaker 1: in his share price. What is your prescription for the 87 00:05:27,040 --> 00:05:31,120 Speaker 1: good house of Macy's, Well, I like long Run's prescription. Uh. 88 00:05:31,279 --> 00:05:35,280 Speaker 1: He acquired Blue Mercury, the cosmetics business that will help 89 00:05:35,320 --> 00:05:39,760 Speaker 1: him build those shops in the stores, enhance productivity. He's 90 00:05:39,480 --> 00:05:42,920 Speaker 1: he's very late to the off price business, Terry, He's 91 00:05:42,960 --> 00:05:46,080 Speaker 1: seven years late. But he finally spotted where he's got 92 00:05:46,120 --> 00:05:50,039 Speaker 1: backstage and he's gonna add those backstage departments in the stores. 93 00:05:50,680 --> 00:05:54,479 Speaker 1: The years ago, the Boggain basement was the best part 94 00:05:54,480 --> 00:05:57,919 Speaker 1: of the department store business. That back people are more economic. 95 00:05:58,000 --> 00:06:02,040 Speaker 1: Now that backstage will work to flee to be connectecuted. Well, 96 00:06:02,080 --> 00:06:04,520 Speaker 1: so he's got he's also gonna work on the real 97 00:06:04,640 --> 00:06:07,200 Speaker 1: estate with partnerships, which is a smart way to do it. 98 00:06:07,520 --> 00:06:10,920 Speaker 1: So he's got three or four major initiatives underweight. They 99 00:06:11,000 --> 00:06:14,360 Speaker 1: basically make sense to me. It's not going to happen tomorrow. 100 00:06:14,440 --> 00:06:18,040 Speaker 1: But I think he's on traps left. Unfortunately, do they 101 00:06:18,080 --> 00:06:21,760 Speaker 1: basically have to survive until back to school? Well, they 102 00:06:21,760 --> 00:06:24,680 Speaker 1: were all gonna survive. These companies up very well financed 103 00:06:24,720 --> 00:06:28,279 Speaker 1: to have powerful balance chiefs that the big ones will 104 00:06:28,320 --> 00:06:31,720 Speaker 1: all survive. There's no doubt about it. Our divis Thank 105 00:06:31,760 --> 00:06:33,760 Speaker 1: you so much, Mike. That's great. Can we get Mike? 106 00:06:33,800 --> 00:06:36,039 Speaker 1: Can we get him on for a whole hour? Yes, 107 00:06:36,440 --> 00:06:41,440 Speaker 1: well there's all the time. That would be hilarious, very good. Seriously, 108 00:06:41,480 --> 00:06:45,000 Speaker 1: there how our dividive, it's with good perspective, and you know, 109 00:06:45,040 --> 00:06:46,880 Speaker 1: obviously with the New York it's great to go down 110 00:06:46,920 --> 00:06:49,440 Speaker 1: Fifth Avenue when there's Howard Divisive is walking down the 111 00:06:49,520 --> 00:06:53,359 Speaker 1: street checking out stores. We're gonna come back and link 112 00:06:53,560 --> 00:06:57,640 Speaker 1: this retail challenge into your cell phone. That would be 113 00:06:57,680 --> 00:07:01,360 Speaker 1: the world of Michael Nathanson and Mafatt. We are honored 114 00:07:01,400 --> 00:07:04,360 Speaker 1: to have Moffatt Nathanson with us today. You've heard them 115 00:07:04,360 --> 00:07:07,160 Speaker 1: talk about clicks, talk a little bit about Disney and 116 00:07:07,200 --> 00:07:11,280 Speaker 1: TV coming back. We'll look at your cell phone into 117 00:07:11,320 --> 00:07:18,520 Speaker 1: the next two, three and four years. This our of 118 00:07:18,600 --> 00:07:22,800 Speaker 1: surveillance party by Westchester Subaru is it Westchester Subaru dot com. 119 00:07:22,800 --> 00:07:25,720 Speaker 1: Here's Michael bar with news headlines. Mike Tom, thank you 120 00:07:25,800 --> 00:07:28,440 Speaker 1: very much. Bernie Sanders is not budgeting from his vow 121 00:07:28,520 --> 00:07:29,920 Speaker 1: to stay in the race until the end of the 122 00:07:29,960 --> 00:07:34,800 Speaker 1: presidential primary season. Some Democratic Party leaders are concerned as 123 00:07:34,880 --> 00:07:39,280 Speaker 1: presumptive Republican nominee Donald Trump begins to take tentative fence 124 00:07:39,400 --> 00:07:43,600 Speaker 1: mending steps. Democratic leaders are an increasing the pressure on 125 00:07:43,680 --> 00:07:46,800 Speaker 1: Sanders to end this campaign and allow Hillary Clinton to 126 00:07:47,080 --> 00:07:50,400 Speaker 1: fully pivot to the general election. The Islamic State Crew 127 00:07:50,520 --> 00:07:53,080 Speaker 1: has now claimed responsibility for an attack on the coffee 128 00:07:53,080 --> 00:07:56,360 Speaker 1: shop north of Baghdad that has killed at least thirteen people. 129 00:07:56,880 --> 00:08:00,400 Speaker 1: People flying in the Phoenix airport yesterday I had a luggagemare. 130 00:08:00,560 --> 00:08:04,000 Speaker 1: A luggage screening malfunction held up more than three thousand 131 00:08:04,000 --> 00:08:07,520 Speaker 1: pieces of checked luggage. In other words, travelers were in 132 00:08:07,560 --> 00:08:10,040 Speaker 1: Phoenix while their luggage was struck to another airport to 133 00:08:10,040 --> 00:08:13,440 Speaker 1: be screened and flown separately from the passengers he's still 134 00:08:13,440 --> 00:08:16,360 Speaker 1: trying to sort it out Phoenix Sky. Harvard spokesperson Julie 135 00:08:16,400 --> 00:08:20,040 Speaker 1: Rodriguez had some advice for people traveling to weddings or graduations. 136 00:08:20,680 --> 00:08:22,800 Speaker 1: Make sure that you carry with you what you need 137 00:08:22,840 --> 00:08:25,560 Speaker 1: for that special occasion. If you're gonna wear a certain outfit, 138 00:08:25,800 --> 00:08:27,600 Speaker 1: bring it with you on the plane. Don't put it 139 00:08:27,640 --> 00:08:31,240 Speaker 1: in your check. Lugged Global News twenty four hours a 140 00:08:31,320 --> 00:08:38,320 Speaker 1: day hour by our journalists. Thanks a lot, Michael Barr. Alright, Michael, 141 00:08:38,360 --> 00:08:41,120 Speaker 1: thank you now for the land Rover Parcipani Bloomberg NBC 142 00:08:41,280 --> 00:08:44,880 Speaker 1: Sports Update with John Stashoer, who has all the sports 143 00:08:44,920 --> 00:08:48,240 Speaker 1: on the plane in his carry on. Thanks Mike Bartolo. 144 00:08:48,360 --> 00:08:50,840 Speaker 1: Cologne did not hit a home run this time. Instead, 145 00:08:50,840 --> 00:08:53,319 Speaker 1: he served one up to his money Grindal with two 146 00:08:53,320 --> 00:08:55,600 Speaker 1: one in the first inning, Dodgers scored four and the 147 00:08:55,600 --> 00:08:57,599 Speaker 1: first went on to win five to nothing thanks to 148 00:08:57,720 --> 00:09:01,640 Speaker 1: Clayton Kershaw all the way on a three hit thirteen strikeouts. 149 00:09:01,720 --> 00:09:05,040 Speaker 1: Yankees clearly playing better seven three over Kansas City. They 150 00:09:05,080 --> 00:09:07,319 Speaker 1: hit three homers to back Nathan Novald. The other bullpen 151 00:09:07,720 --> 00:09:10,079 Speaker 1: four scoreless sittings of relief, allowing just one hits the 152 00:09:10,200 --> 00:09:12,840 Speaker 1: five and two on the homestand they've scored thirty one 153 00:09:12,920 --> 00:09:16,200 Speaker 1: runs in the last four wins. Girardi is encouraged. You know, 154 00:09:16,280 --> 00:09:18,400 Speaker 1: we went through some tough times, there's no doubt about it. 155 00:09:18,640 --> 00:09:20,640 Speaker 1: But we've seen to pull out of it, and you know, 156 00:09:20,679 --> 00:09:22,640 Speaker 1: we have a tough series coming up the White Sox. 157 00:09:22,679 --> 00:09:24,920 Speaker 1: They've been playing extremely well and we need to stay 158 00:09:24,960 --> 00:09:27,480 Speaker 1: at it. Still in last place, still seven games by 159 00:09:27,600 --> 00:09:29,960 Speaker 1: Baltimore and Boston, who both have won five in a row. 160 00:09:30,040 --> 00:09:32,560 Speaker 1: NBA Playoffs, Oklahoma City took care of San Antonio one 161 00:09:32,640 --> 00:09:35,440 Speaker 1: thirteen to ninety nine. This was over by halftime in 162 00:09:35,480 --> 00:09:38,560 Speaker 1: the thunder when the series in an upset. Okay see 163 00:09:38,600 --> 00:09:41,000 Speaker 1: twelve fewer wins during the regular season. They lost game 164 00:09:41,040 --> 00:09:43,160 Speaker 1: one of the series by thirty two points, where they 165 00:09:43,160 --> 00:09:45,480 Speaker 1: won four or five after that, and they move on 166 00:09:45,520 --> 00:09:47,800 Speaker 1: to play Golden State in the West Finals starting Monday. 167 00:09:48,080 --> 00:09:50,199 Speaker 1: Question now for the Spurs when last night the final 168 00:09:50,240 --> 00:09:52,600 Speaker 1: game for fourty year old Tim Duncan, he says he 169 00:09:52,600 --> 00:09:55,680 Speaker 1: has not decided about retirement and nhel another one sided 170 00:09:55,720 --> 00:09:58,480 Speaker 1: game seven the West San Jose over in Nashville five 171 00:09:58,559 --> 00:10:00,360 Speaker 1: to not being to move on to play St. Lewis 172 00:10:00,679 --> 00:10:03,160 Speaker 1: in the West Models but the Bloomberg NBC Sports Update, 173 00:10:03,160 --> 00:10:05,920 Speaker 1: I'm John stand John, thanks so much. We didn't look 174 00:10:05,920 --> 00:10:08,199 Speaker 1: at the data. Check here off good retail sales, good 175 00:10:08,240 --> 00:10:11,040 Speaker 1: revision curve flattening. We were at a hundred and three 176 00:10:11,040 --> 00:10:14,240 Speaker 1: basis points early this week. We flattened out two y yield, 177 00:10:14,360 --> 00:10:18,120 Speaker 1: higher tending yield, relatively weaker nineties seven down in ninety 178 00:10:18,160 --> 00:10:22,040 Speaker 1: six basis points. Uh. That's an important uh moment, a 179 00:10:22,120 --> 00:10:24,640 Speaker 1: dollar strengthening. Michael as well, you know what this is. 180 00:10:24,679 --> 00:10:28,000 Speaker 1: This is exactly what John Farrell was talking about with 181 00:10:28,040 --> 00:10:31,280 Speaker 1: me earlier today, that with no theme in the markets, 182 00:10:31,640 --> 00:10:35,480 Speaker 1: any bit of data changes people's nights. We came in 183 00:10:35,480 --> 00:10:37,960 Speaker 1: this morning, it was doom and gloom and things are terrible. 184 00:10:38,000 --> 00:10:40,760 Speaker 1: And then we get this report and now we're seeing 185 00:10:40,760 --> 00:10:43,040 Speaker 1: market in a big swinging Gold as well, down ten 186 00:10:43,120 --> 00:10:45,360 Speaker 1: dollars off the call, non negative five for the day, 187 00:10:45,400 --> 00:10:49,240 Speaker 1: twelve sixty six uh per ounce. We're with Craig Moffatt 188 00:10:49,320 --> 00:10:52,400 Speaker 1: and Michael Nathanson, thrilled to have both of them in 189 00:10:52,400 --> 00:10:56,040 Speaker 1: our studio. We talked media, we talked digital, where you 190 00:10:56,080 --> 00:11:01,839 Speaker 1: can make money in those stocks. Next, the Sports Report 191 00:11:01,880 --> 00:11:04,360 Speaker 1: was brought to by Landroper Parcipani. The Spring Sales event 192 00:11:04,440 --> 00:11:08,000 Speaker 1: is happening now. Visit landroper Parsipani dot com, Landrover Eleve 193 00:11:08,040 --> 00:11:08,480 Speaker 1: and beyond,