WEBVTT - Best Bets | NFL Week 7

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome to the Favorites, presented by DraftKings. The crown is yours.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm Brandon Kravitz, joined by my Faves and your faves,

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<v Speaker 1>Kendra and Stucky. Week seven in the NFL is upon us,

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<v Speaker 1>and we've got plays for this week. On today's show,

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<v Speaker 1>we will submit those official plays. Two Kings and a

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<v Speaker 1>Queen Parlay. I gotta come through for the group. I

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<v Speaker 1>left us hanging last week. Some public darlings that you

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<v Speaker 1>need to be aware of. Like and subscribe wherever it

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<v Speaker 1>is that you are tuned in, hopefully everybody on this podcast.

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<v Speaker 1>Stucky got ample sleep this week. Great call by you.

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<v Speaker 1>By the way, FIU cashed on a Tuesday night, so

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<v Speaker 1>got us off to a good start this week. Thank you.

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<v Speaker 1>Tip of the cap to you, my friend.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, it's always nice when it can get get an

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<v Speaker 2>easy one like a ten point dog that one by

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<v Speaker 2>But uh yeah that was in the past and now

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<v Speaker 2>no sleep here. We're hopefully into a weekend full of winters,

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<v Speaker 2>so let's let's get to it.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, we got a lot to get to but before

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<v Speaker 1>we do, it's a Thursday tradition, Stucky for you to

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<v Speaker 1>ask us your random question of the week. I feel

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<v Speaker 1>mentally sharp and ready, so give it to us.

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<v Speaker 3>Hey, this is a dumb question.

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<v Speaker 2>Let me ask you a personal question kind of question?

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<v Speaker 1>Is that is question?

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<v Speaker 4>All right?

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<v Speaker 2>What was your most No, you can't answer any no

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<v Speaker 2>feat related answers.

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<v Speaker 1>What was he's talking to you?

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<v Speaker 2>What was your most random or end or funniest job

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<v Speaker 2>that you've ever had?

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<v Speaker 4>Okay, first of all, I'd like it to be known

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<v Speaker 4>that stuck you brought up the feet the first time,

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<v Speaker 4>not me, but most randomed.

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<v Speaker 5>I was Robert Salis nanny for a while. Does that count?

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<v Speaker 5>Is that random?

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<v Speaker 6>You?

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<v Speaker 5>Robert Salas nanny?

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<v Speaker 1>You were?

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, that counts, yes, answer.

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<v Speaker 5>But I was like the coolest lady I've ever met.

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<v Speaker 5>I'm obsessed with her.

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<v Speaker 4>She literally just used to have become nanny so they

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<v Speaker 4>could go on dates and she could go get her

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<v Speaker 4>eyelashes done.

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<v Speaker 2>That's where did he live.

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<v Speaker 5>When he was in Jacksonville?

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<v Speaker 2>Do you have any any uh no, dirt on him?

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<v Speaker 2>Was he messing?

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<v Speaker 4>Now?

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<v Speaker 5>No, he's bess.

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<v Speaker 4>I genuinely when that whole beef happened with him and

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<v Speaker 4>Liam Cohen, I was shocked because, yeah, he's like a

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<v Speaker 4>big tough guy, but like he's the.

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<v Speaker 5>Nicest guy I've ever met.

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<v Speaker 4>Would come in talk football with me, talk about the kids,

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<v Speaker 4>like his wife was really cool. I was so shocked

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<v Speaker 4>when that whole thing went down, because they're just like

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<v Speaker 4>the coolest, most clean sheet normal family ever come to you. Family,

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<v Speaker 4>so many kids, so many kids. I think they've been

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<v Speaker 4>together since like high school.

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<v Speaker 2>How did you get that gig?

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<v Speaker 5>Literally?

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<v Speaker 4>I was on one of the like babysitting websites, and

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<v Speaker 4>I had just ended my prior nannying job and was

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<v Speaker 4>looking for another name job.

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<v Speaker 5>I didn't want to work in retail again.

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<v Speaker 4>Or whatever, And she hit me up and I start

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<v Speaker 4>watching their kids and one day Robert just walks in

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<v Speaker 4>and I'm like, wait a second, what.

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<v Speaker 5>I didn't even know that he.

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<v Speaker 4>Was like their dad or anything because he was gone

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<v Speaker 4>so much. And one day he like did a swapover

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<v Speaker 4>for the kids for me, and he walked in and

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<v Speaker 4>I was like, I know you that's amazing.

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<v Speaker 2>Wow.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, the can't beat that one stuck.

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<v Speaker 2>I think, yeah, I don't. I don't know how I'm

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<v Speaker 2>gonna beat that.

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<v Speaker 1>What was the exact phrasing of the question, is.

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<v Speaker 2>The most random, your funniest job you've had?

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<v Speaker 1>Pretty random? My first job while I was in high school,

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<v Speaker 1>I got a job at a dollar store in Coral Springs,

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<v Speaker 1>Florida called just a Buck, and I worked my way

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<v Speaker 1>up to be the assistant night manager of the dollar store.

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<v Speaker 1>What a clusterfuck that is. If God bless anybody out

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<v Speaker 1>there listening that works in a dollar store, it is

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<v Speaker 1>a total disaster between the inventory and the because there's

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<v Speaker 1>a trillion items and the dirt that walks into those stores.

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<v Speaker 1>It's awful. And I was sixteen, so that was that

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<v Speaker 1>was pretty random. I also worked at the I was

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<v Speaker 1>a bartender for a while. I worked at the ice

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<v Speaker 1>bar in Orlando, so I used to actually work in

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<v Speaker 1>the actual ice portion, so it was like thirty degree weather.

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<v Speaker 3>That was a tough one.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, manager at a dollar store, that is That is

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<v Speaker 2>very random. I'll say I have two answers. In high school,

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<v Speaker 2>I got a lot of trouble a lot, so my

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<v Speaker 2>dad made me work for his friend who in this

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<v Speaker 2>summer to pay off some legal bills for he was

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<v Speaker 2>in concrete foundation. So like pouring concrete, taking down the slat.

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<v Speaker 2>That was miserable. That's when I found out I did

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<v Speaker 2>not want to be in manual labor. I mean I

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<v Speaker 2>always knew that, but that that confirmed it. That was tough,

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<v Speaker 2>but the most random, That was the hardest, most random.

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<v Speaker 2>I worked in the winter my friends when I was

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<v Speaker 2>in high school. My friend's family owned a cut your

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<v Speaker 2>own Christmas tree farm and people would come and cut

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<v Speaker 2>their own Christmas trees this huge farm in the summer.

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<v Speaker 2>A couple of days we would go out and plant

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<v Speaker 2>them all and then people will come. But not everyone

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<v Speaker 2>could cut them on their own, so sometimes you'd have

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<v Speaker 2>to go out with them, walk out, cut them, and

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<v Speaker 2>then come back bail them, load them up onto their car.

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<v Speaker 2>That was probably the most Yeah, that was probably the

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<v Speaker 2>most random job that I've ever had, a working at

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<v Speaker 2>a cut your own Christmas tree farm in the winter.

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<v Speaker 1>The concrete slab one though that the person who runs

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<v Speaker 1>that that business is definitely in the mob, right, Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>we would have we would.

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<v Speaker 2>Have like runnings with like unions in Philly, Like when

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<v Speaker 2>we were on a job where they didn't hire the unions,

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<v Speaker 2>like the unions would be upset. And I mean I

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<v Speaker 2>was just a sixteen year old kid, but uh, it

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<v Speaker 2>was definitely an Italian and I'll say I'll say that,

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<v Speaker 2>but yeah, that was miserable work. I mean that was

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<v Speaker 2>hard work. You had to go. You got to you

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<v Speaker 2>poured the concrete, and then then you would first you

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<v Speaker 2>would put up the the big panels and they would

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<v Speaker 2>be covered in concrete. You'd have to carry them around.

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<v Speaker 2>The next day you would go. You'd have to take

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<v Speaker 2>them down, carry them, put them, stack them up, get

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<v Speaker 2>the crane would come, you'd have to put them. Oh

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<v Speaker 2>my god, it was absolutely miserable work. I don't know

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<v Speaker 2>how people's like backs. People guys have been doing it

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<v Speaker 2>for like twenty years. I don't know how they saw

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<v Speaker 2>backs left. I was a sixteen year old kid dying

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<v Speaker 2>every day.

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<v Speaker 1>So should have just been selling your feet picks. Then

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<v Speaker 1>you wouldn't have had to do any of that.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, if only I know it's never me, it's never

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<v Speaker 4>me bringing it up.

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<v Speaker 5>I would just like that on the record.

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<v Speaker 1>I didn't say anything about Kendra.

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<v Speaker 2>That was just all right. Ken was the winner of

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<v Speaker 2>that this week's question because Robert sawah Nanny that ties

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<v Speaker 2>into the NFL beat, So you're the winner.

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<v Speaker 1>You can't beat that, Evan, do you do you want

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<v Speaker 1>to try and top that or you want to sit

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<v Speaker 1>this one out?

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<v Speaker 4>No?

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<v Speaker 6>I mean construction would have been my answer. I mean,

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<v Speaker 6>I've been working in sports information and gambling for way

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<v Speaker 6>too long to have something as.

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<v Speaker 7>Interesting as being the nanny of Robert Sala.

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<v Speaker 6>I can't beat that one iota.

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<v Speaker 1>Think about all the nuggets that you could give him

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<v Speaker 1>going into a weekend if you were, though, that would

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<v Speaker 1>be uh yeah, it'd.

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<v Speaker 6>Be way too negative though he If Robert Zala would

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<v Speaker 6>have known me personally, he would have hated me because

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<v Speaker 6>his record and stuff was not pristine, so we would

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<v Speaker 6>not have been on the same pitch.

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<v Speaker 1>Unfortunately, that's a great way to start our Thursday episode

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<v Speaker 1>is loaded. We'll get the football conversation going with our

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<v Speaker 1>shrimply unbelievable stat of the week courtesy of Action Network

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<v Speaker 1>Director of Research Evan Abrams. That man, you heard right.

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<v Speaker 1>There got two that I love that are pertinent to

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<v Speaker 1>this week. Mahomes two straight up losses as a touchdown

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<v Speaker 1>or more favorite since twenty twenty. Both of those losses

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<v Speaker 1>are against the Las Vegas Raiders. That's who they play

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<v Speaker 1>this weekend. Chiefs eleven and a half point favorites. Also,

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<v Speaker 1>not the quarterback that you want to back when he's

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<v Speaker 1>favored by a touchdown or more when he's favored by

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<v Speaker 1>seven and a half or more. Thirteen twenty four and

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<v Speaker 1>one against the spread. So that's one of my favorites.

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<v Speaker 1>The Titans, we think are supposed to get the fired

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<v Speaker 1>coach bounce here, as Evan mentioned on the Tuesday episode,

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<v Speaker 1>not as profitable as it feels. Callahan twenty third coach

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<v Speaker 1>to be fired or resigned in season. The prior twenty

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<v Speaker 1>two went ten and twelve straight up in the following

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<v Speaker 1>game a clean eleven and eleven against the spread. Kendra,

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<v Speaker 1>does any of that give you pause? Because your plant

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<v Speaker 1>the flag game was on the Tennessee Titans, and I

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<v Speaker 1>gave you a good amount of grief for that just

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<v Speaker 1>the other day.

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<v Speaker 4>No, I feel actually so good about this, which is

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<v Speaker 4>probably terrifying, and I shouldn't feel this.

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<v Speaker 5>Good about it.

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<v Speaker 4>But everyone up here in Boston has been licking Mike

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<v Speaker 4>rabels boots all week long, saying Drake May is the best,

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<v Speaker 4>and I just cannot I cannot wait for this team

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<v Speaker 4>to find a little bit of a level again. They

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<v Speaker 4>beat the Bills, beat a bad team. I just there's

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<v Speaker 4>no way that they can continue to be the healthiest

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<v Speaker 4>team in the league for the rest of the season.

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<v Speaker 5>I hope that they do.

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<v Speaker 4>I never wish injury upon anybody, but they have statistically

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<v Speaker 4>been the.

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<v Speaker 5>Healthiest healthiest team in the league this year.

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<v Speaker 4>I think that the only saving grace that they have

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<v Speaker 4>right now is Drake May.

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<v Speaker 5>Everything else is in shambles. I get that.

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<v Speaker 4>You know, the Titans are not the best team by

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<v Speaker 4>any stretch. They're probably the worst team in the league.

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<v Speaker 4>I think we could all mute we all agree with that,

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<v Speaker 4>but they've got to find their level a little bit.

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<v Speaker 4>Third straight road game. I feel great. I feel so good.

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<v Speaker 1>I think my issue with the Titans play on the

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<v Speaker 1>Tuesday episode is it's not so much that it's a

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<v Speaker 1>bad bet. I do think that if you're going to

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<v Speaker 1>bet the side, the Titans are the right side. So

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<v Speaker 1>I'll give you. I'll give you some credit on that.

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<v Speaker 1>My issue is that you ran to the window for it.

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<v Speaker 1>Why are we running to the window for the Tennessee Titans.

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<v Speaker 4>Because I'm glad that I did. The seven and a

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<v Speaker 4>half was no longer there I had. I had to

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<v Speaker 4>track a seven in the app today, so we didn't

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<v Speaker 4>get that extra half a point.

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<v Speaker 5>That's why I ran to that window.

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<v Speaker 1>All right. I respect it stucky. Anything on that you

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<v Speaker 1>want to add as far as those wild stats go

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<v Speaker 1>from the primer this week, Yeah, I mean I.

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<v Speaker 2>Do think that there is a coach bounce. I mean,

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<v Speaker 2>like there's number one, the coach be fired is usually bad.

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<v Speaker 2>That like the ten and twelve straight up is that

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<v Speaker 2>you have to look, that's better than expectation. Most of

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<v Speaker 2>the times, these are bad teams that are underdogs. So

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<v Speaker 2>I mean, for example, if they win this game, that

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<v Speaker 2>would be a bit of a major upset. Eleven and

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<v Speaker 2>eleven against the spread. Yeah, you're you're around five, and

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<v Speaker 2>that's against the clothes. A lot of times these teams

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<v Speaker 2>do get back, but I think it depends on the

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<v Speaker 2>exact scenario. I think Callahan was so bad that it

0:10:59.760 --> 0:11:03.480
<v Speaker 2>can only be better. I think that everyone in that

0:11:04.400 --> 0:11:07.439
<v Speaker 2>locker room knew that he was going to get fired. Eventually,

0:11:07.480 --> 0:11:12.000
<v Speaker 2>there's you know, maybe just like a sigh of relief

0:11:12.040 --> 0:11:14.360
<v Speaker 2>for lack of a better word, there's some new things

0:11:14.360 --> 0:11:18.000
<v Speaker 2>that they might implement. So I think it could only

0:11:18.040 --> 0:11:19.640
<v Speaker 2>work in their favor. Do I think it's just some

0:11:19.800 --> 0:11:25.199
<v Speaker 2>massive edge, No, but things you're talking about the worst

0:11:25.480 --> 0:11:32.600
<v Speaker 2>coach in NFL history against the spread from a percentage standpoint,

0:11:33.160 --> 0:11:37.320
<v Speaker 2>and that is like the ultimate measure of who a

0:11:37.400 --> 0:11:40.240
<v Speaker 2>coach is because I mean, this is a pretty efficient

0:11:40.320 --> 0:11:42.560
<v Speaker 2>market in the NFL, and for someone to go four

0:11:42.640 --> 0:11:46.520
<v Speaker 2>and twenty against the spread, you know, we know who

0:11:46.600 --> 0:11:48.320
<v Speaker 2>the players are, we know who the teams are, Like,

0:11:48.360 --> 0:11:53.959
<v Speaker 2>that's an indictment on the coach himself. So yeah, there

0:11:54.000 --> 0:11:57.040
<v Speaker 2>are more upsets than you would expect than the next

0:11:57.080 --> 0:12:00.280
<v Speaker 2>game following the coach getting fired because that ten and

0:12:00.280 --> 0:12:02.559
<v Speaker 2>twelve straight up. Usually, like I said, coach a teen

0:12:02.600 --> 0:12:04.600
<v Speaker 2>that fires their coach, usually a really bad team. They

0:12:04.640 --> 0:12:06.120
<v Speaker 2>have a really bad record, they don't have a great

0:12:06.120 --> 0:12:09.800
<v Speaker 2>team regardless. So yeah, I don't think it's some massive edge.

0:12:09.840 --> 0:12:12.199
<v Speaker 2>But in this case, it's no more callahan. I mean

0:12:12.200 --> 0:12:13.800
<v Speaker 2>some of the things he would do with at the

0:12:13.920 --> 0:12:15.480
<v Speaker 2>end of game, at the end of halfs, at the

0:12:15.520 --> 0:12:18.480
<v Speaker 2>end of games, clock management, time out management when kicking

0:12:18.520 --> 0:12:23.360
<v Speaker 2>field goals, like not knowing the rules at certain times

0:12:23.360 --> 0:12:26.679
<v Speaker 2>for challenges, all of those things stay add up and

0:12:27.880 --> 0:12:29.839
<v Speaker 2>it can't be any worse than it was. So I

0:12:29.920 --> 0:12:32.840
<v Speaker 2>think in this case that there is some more potential

0:12:32.920 --> 0:12:34.520
<v Speaker 2>upside than maybe in some other cases.

0:12:35.080 --> 0:12:37.320
<v Speaker 1>You've been doing this a while, stucky, so maybe you

0:12:37.440 --> 0:12:40.360
<v Speaker 1>have some recollection of betting on or against the coach

0:12:40.440 --> 0:12:42.920
<v Speaker 1>that's stepping in for him, a guy whose name we

0:12:42.960 --> 0:12:44.920
<v Speaker 1>have not mentioned in all of this, because when a

0:12:44.960 --> 0:12:48.880
<v Speaker 1>coach gets fired there's an interim. It's Mike McCoy. He

0:12:48.960 --> 0:12:52.160
<v Speaker 1>was the head coach of the LA Chargers, the San

0:12:52.200 --> 0:12:55.600
<v Speaker 1>Diego Chargers for four seasons. He went nine and twenty

0:12:55.640 --> 0:12:58.440
<v Speaker 1>three straight up in his last two years before he

0:12:58.480 --> 0:13:03.320
<v Speaker 1>was let go. Do you have any recollection of betting

0:13:04.000 --> 0:13:05.440
<v Speaker 1>Mike McCoy games.

0:13:06.000 --> 0:13:08.520
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I mean, I'm not the biggest Mike McCoy fan,

0:13:08.840 --> 0:13:16.880
<v Speaker 2>but like, this is mostly to do with This is

0:13:16.920 --> 0:13:19.760
<v Speaker 2>mostly to do just with Like, all you have to

0:13:19.760 --> 0:13:21.320
<v Speaker 2>do is be a normal human being and like know

0:13:21.400 --> 0:13:24.640
<v Speaker 2>the rules and you'll be better than Callahan. So I

0:13:24.720 --> 0:13:27.719
<v Speaker 2>don't think McCoy is some you know, I'm going to

0:13:27.800 --> 0:13:30.000
<v Speaker 2>be some amazing head coach. I do remember betting on

0:13:30.120 --> 0:13:33.600
<v Speaker 2>him or against him. Was never wowed by him, But

0:13:34.679 --> 0:13:36.760
<v Speaker 2>it's just it's it's gonna be difficult to be worse

0:13:36.800 --> 0:13:37.680
<v Speaker 2>than Callahan.

0:13:38.040 --> 0:13:41.320
<v Speaker 1>The Favorites podcast has teamed up with DraftKings sportsbook, where

0:13:41.360 --> 0:13:43.880
<v Speaker 1>new customers can bet five dollars and get three hundred

0:13:43.920 --> 0:13:46.640
<v Speaker 1>dollars back in bonus bets if your bet wins. And

0:13:46.679 --> 0:13:49.800
<v Speaker 1>that's not all. DraftKings is also giving away three months

0:13:49.840 --> 0:13:52.880
<v Speaker 1>of NBA League Pass to new customers to get started.

0:13:53.000 --> 0:13:56.520
<v Speaker 1>Use the promo code Favorites when signing up with DraftKings Again,

0:13:56.840 --> 0:13:59.480
<v Speaker 1>use the promo code favorites when signing up. Bet five

0:13:59.559 --> 0:14:02.480
<v Speaker 1>dollars and get three hundred back in bonus bets if

0:14:02.520 --> 0:14:06.679
<v Speaker 1>your bet wins plus three months of NBA League Pass.

0:14:06.800 --> 0:14:11.480
<v Speaker 1>The Crown is yours a segment that I believe is

0:14:11.520 --> 0:14:16.440
<v Speaker 1>a really big dill Hendra. What game has you gonna pickle?

0:14:18.040 --> 0:14:20.600
<v Speaker 7>Okay, we're in a pickle now, I'm really in a

0:14:20.680 --> 0:14:21.400
<v Speaker 7>pickle now.

0:14:21.800 --> 0:14:23.240
<v Speaker 1>All right, look we're gonna pickle again.

0:14:26.080 --> 0:14:29.479
<v Speaker 5>We're gonna go with the or off obviously.

0:14:29.640 --> 0:14:32.040
<v Speaker 4>You guys know that I've been loving the Colds this season.

0:14:32.600 --> 0:14:35.160
<v Speaker 4>Just everything about them has been so entertaining to me.

0:14:35.480 --> 0:14:37.960
<v Speaker 4>And you know that I'm addicted to gambling on the Chargers.

0:14:38.000 --> 0:14:41.080
<v Speaker 4>I did not put the Chargers in our parlay this

0:14:41.120 --> 0:14:43.359
<v Speaker 4>week as a nominee, so I.

0:14:43.040 --> 0:14:47.320
<v Speaker 1>I'm a conky touchdown last week, So hopefully you had it.

0:14:47.440 --> 0:14:48.520
<v Speaker 1>We wouldn't let you bet it.

0:14:48.720 --> 0:14:51.800
<v Speaker 4>No, No, I was in bet jail with lad Conky.

0:14:52.360 --> 0:14:56.040
<v Speaker 5>So this number opened at six, it is currently at

0:14:56.120 --> 0:14:56.800
<v Speaker 5>one and a half.

0:14:56.880 --> 0:14:59.240
<v Speaker 4>I think the Chargers are just straight up a bad team,

0:14:59.320 --> 0:15:00.960
<v Speaker 4>and I think the col Through a good team, And

0:15:01.040 --> 0:15:03.320
<v Speaker 4>the fact that the Colts are getting points makes me

0:15:03.400 --> 0:15:05.400
<v Speaker 4>feel like something has to be off here. I mean,

0:15:05.440 --> 0:15:09.600
<v Speaker 4>the Chargers went into an absolute battle with the Dolphins

0:15:09.640 --> 0:15:11.720
<v Speaker 4>last week, Like what is that? I don't know how

0:15:11.720 --> 0:15:13.760
<v Speaker 4>to feel about either of these teams because I keep

0:15:13.840 --> 0:15:16.680
<v Speaker 4>feeling like maybe the Colts will come back to the

0:15:16.680 --> 0:15:18.880
<v Speaker 4>Colts that we know, but I just think they might

0:15:18.920 --> 0:15:20.840
<v Speaker 4>be a good team. I don't know this is I

0:15:20.840 --> 0:15:23.040
<v Speaker 4>am in a pickle about this because everything in me

0:15:23.480 --> 0:15:25.920
<v Speaker 4>says that I should take take the money and run.

0:15:25.800 --> 0:15:26.320
<v Speaker 5>With the Colts.

0:15:26.360 --> 0:15:28.040
<v Speaker 4>The Chargers are bad. I need to get out of

0:15:28.120 --> 0:15:31.960
<v Speaker 4>Chargers jail, but I can't. I'm addicted. Also, it is

0:15:32.000 --> 0:15:36.200
<v Speaker 4>the aura off justin Herbert's girlfriend Madison Beer walked in

0:15:36.240 --> 0:15:38.200
<v Speaker 4>the Victoria's Secret fashion show last night, So I'm like,

0:15:38.480 --> 0:15:40.360
<v Speaker 4>is that does that count for you know a point?

0:15:40.400 --> 0:15:40.760
<v Speaker 5>I don't know.

0:15:41.760 --> 0:15:44.080
<v Speaker 1>Do we do we have models on that? Can we

0:15:44.120 --> 0:15:46.760
<v Speaker 1>add that to the list of the random things that

0:15:46.800 --> 0:15:49.400
<v Speaker 1>we use to get to wagers? Like Moons and such.

0:15:49.960 --> 0:15:52.400
<v Speaker 5>Hey, you hate on the Moon, but that one, okay, that.

0:15:52.360 --> 0:15:55.080
<v Speaker 1>One did cash for us fair point. You have the

0:15:55.280 --> 0:15:58.520
<v Speaker 1>Chargers as point and a half favorites in that game.

0:15:59.760 --> 0:16:02.040
<v Speaker 1>Call the home field advantage what you will for that one.

0:16:02.120 --> 0:16:05.360
<v Speaker 1>I think the Colts are a phenomenal teaser leg. If

0:16:05.400 --> 0:16:07.640
<v Speaker 1>you want to bump that up to seven and a

0:16:07.720 --> 0:16:10.240
<v Speaker 1>half chef's kiss, I feel like that's the way to

0:16:10.280 --> 0:16:12.520
<v Speaker 1>go here. I understand why you are in a pickle.

0:16:12.560 --> 0:16:15.480
<v Speaker 1>I will not be betting this game straight stock.

0:16:17.080 --> 0:16:19.280
<v Speaker 2>I'm on the Chargers, one of my favorite bets the weekend,

0:16:21.360 --> 0:16:24.160
<v Speaker 2>so I'm sad the friend of them want to go

0:16:24.200 --> 0:16:27.080
<v Speaker 2>head to head. But the thing is is that, I mean,

0:16:27.120 --> 0:16:30.720
<v Speaker 2>the Chargers should should be getting healthier this weekend. We'll

0:16:30.720 --> 0:16:37.840
<v Speaker 2>get a better idea today, but the Colts are a

0:16:37.840 --> 0:16:39.040
<v Speaker 2>as of right now. Let me see if there's an

0:16:39.080 --> 0:16:42.880
<v Speaker 2>update this morning. But the Colts last week, I mean,

0:16:42.880 --> 0:16:44.800
<v Speaker 2>there's a reason I almost lost to Kobe Brissett and

0:16:44.880 --> 0:16:46.800
<v Speaker 2>a Cards offense that has done nothing all year and

0:16:46.840 --> 0:16:49.920
<v Speaker 2>had all the receivers hurt either before during the game,

0:16:50.240 --> 0:16:53.640
<v Speaker 2>and with no rush, no running back slacked. That's because

0:16:54.320 --> 0:16:59.480
<v Speaker 2>Tarvari's ward had a concussion. They've been without kennymore they

0:16:59.520 --> 0:17:04.479
<v Speaker 2>lost as I mean, you're talking about one of the

0:17:04.480 --> 0:17:07.200
<v Speaker 2>worst secondaries in the league. Now in Versette threw all

0:17:07.240 --> 0:17:12.320
<v Speaker 2>over them with backup receivers, so you know now and

0:17:12.520 --> 0:17:14.720
<v Speaker 2>and Charia's Ward has been arguab with the best corner

0:17:14.800 --> 0:17:16.920
<v Speaker 2>in the NFL this year. I doubt that he plays

0:17:16.960 --> 0:17:18.959
<v Speaker 2>this weekend. It's not his first concussion. It was it

0:17:18.960 --> 0:17:20.680
<v Speaker 2>looked like a bad one, and it happened right before

0:17:20.680 --> 0:17:23.720
<v Speaker 2>the game. So this is exactly a week over, and

0:17:24.200 --> 0:17:27.200
<v Speaker 2>this is exactly a week after. Kenny Moore hasn't practiced

0:17:27.240 --> 0:17:30.080
<v Speaker 2>in weeks. I know that he practiced yesterday, but he's

0:17:30.080 --> 0:17:32.520
<v Speaker 2>dealing with an achilles. You're, you know, sitting with a

0:17:32.560 --> 0:17:37.119
<v Speaker 2>really good record. So I don't know if he plays.

0:17:37.119 --> 0:17:40.119
<v Speaker 2>And if that's the case, I know that the Charter's

0:17:40.119 --> 0:17:42.880
<v Speaker 2>offensive line has beat up. They could be healthier this weekend.

0:17:44.280 --> 0:17:46.880
<v Speaker 2>It's that the Colts aren't an elite, elite pressure team,

0:17:47.040 --> 0:17:49.520
<v Speaker 2>so I just think that, I mean, look at presetted.

0:17:49.600 --> 0:17:52.840
<v Speaker 2>I think Herbert will be able to cook enough to

0:17:52.880 --> 0:17:56.240
<v Speaker 2>get this done. Also, Daniel Jones, I went back and

0:17:56.280 --> 0:17:57.480
<v Speaker 2>watched him. I was like, am I missing some of

0:17:57.520 --> 0:18:00.320
<v Speaker 2>thetatoes has obviously been good. His weapons are much better

0:18:00.359 --> 0:18:02.080
<v Speaker 2>than they were in New York. His offensive line is

0:18:02.119 --> 0:18:05.280
<v Speaker 2>really good, his play caller is really good. But he's

0:18:05.280 --> 0:18:07.600
<v Speaker 2>gotten away with a lot of throws. He's not really

0:18:07.600 --> 0:18:13.480
<v Speaker 2>seeing safeties and that's not ideal against a mentor defense.

0:18:13.840 --> 0:18:18.240
<v Speaker 2>I think that there could be some turnovers coming for

0:18:18.320 --> 0:18:20.680
<v Speaker 2>Daniel Jones this week. I mean, his turnover worthy play

0:18:20.760 --> 0:18:23.600
<v Speaker 2>rate is more than double Justin Herberts, who has one

0:18:23.640 --> 0:18:25.600
<v Speaker 2>of the lowest in NFL history, one of the lowest

0:18:25.600 --> 0:18:28.920
<v Speaker 2>interception rates of any quarterback in NFL history. So I

0:18:28.960 --> 0:18:31.919
<v Speaker 2>think you might Chargers potential to look the Colts are

0:18:31.960 --> 0:18:33.399
<v Speaker 2>going to run on them a bit, but it's the

0:18:33.400 --> 0:18:35.400
<v Speaker 2>potential that they can get one or two more turnovers.

0:18:35.880 --> 0:18:38.480
<v Speaker 2>And this is in the weeds, but the Chargers have

0:18:38.560 --> 0:18:43.560
<v Speaker 2>the most accurate kicker in NFL history and in Cameron Dicker,

0:18:43.720 --> 0:18:46.600
<v Speaker 2>and the Colts have the money badger who's like a

0:18:46.640 --> 0:18:49.280
<v Speaker 2>eighty percent career. So there could be one or two

0:18:49.280 --> 0:18:52.879
<v Speaker 2>more miskicks from the Colts. But the main thing here

0:18:52.920 --> 0:18:56.600
<v Speaker 2>is the secondary injuries. I also think Daniel Jones is

0:18:57.040 --> 0:18:59.840
<v Speaker 2>due for a couple interceptions that could swing this game.

0:19:00.720 --> 0:19:04.359
<v Speaker 2>I like the Chargers played them on a cheap money line.

0:19:05.000 --> 0:19:06.439
<v Speaker 2>I think they get it done at home. That the

0:19:06.480 --> 0:19:09.439
<v Speaker 2>secondary injuries are major, and if you think about it,

0:19:09.440 --> 0:19:14.719
<v Speaker 2>the Colts this year they have wins over let's see,

0:19:15.080 --> 0:19:17.080
<v Speaker 2>like and look, I think the Colts are a good team.

0:19:17.119 --> 0:19:19.480
<v Speaker 2>Do I think that they're elite? No? But they beat

0:19:19.800 --> 0:19:25.600
<v Speaker 2>They beat Tua, They beat the bo Knicks thanks to

0:19:25.640 --> 0:19:29.840
<v Speaker 2>a leaping penalty. They beat cam Ward and the Titans,

0:19:30.800 --> 0:19:35.119
<v Speaker 2>Gino and the Raiders, and Jacoby Brissett and the Cardinals.

0:19:35.280 --> 0:19:37.439
<v Speaker 2>I mean, what are we saying, like five of the

0:19:37.480 --> 0:19:42.480
<v Speaker 2>seven worst quarterbacks in the NFL. So yeah, I like

0:19:42.520 --> 0:19:44.040
<v Speaker 2>the Chargers, So.

0:19:44.760 --> 0:19:48.679
<v Speaker 1>This won't help any sort of Colts love the We

0:19:48.800 --> 0:19:52.679
<v Speaker 1>do this every week on Thursday because it has been profitable.

0:19:52.840 --> 0:19:57.320
<v Speaker 1>Last year, not as much. The public side was winning

0:19:57.320 --> 0:20:00.159
<v Speaker 1>a lot. This year it's bouncing back the other way.

0:20:00.359 --> 0:20:03.119
<v Speaker 1>Teams with sixty percent or more of the tickets this

0:20:03.240 --> 0:20:06.840
<v Speaker 1>season fifteen and thirty six against the spread through six games.

0:20:06.880 --> 0:20:10.560
<v Speaker 1>That is the worst ATS mark for public betters in

0:20:10.720 --> 0:20:16.600
<v Speaker 1>twenty three years of the database held by Action Network. What.

0:20:16.800 --> 0:20:19.159
<v Speaker 1>I don't know if anybody skipped ahead here? Does anyone

0:20:19.160 --> 0:20:21.720
<v Speaker 1>want to take a guess at the most public side

0:20:21.720 --> 0:20:23.480
<v Speaker 1>this week in the NFL.

0:20:23.800 --> 0:20:28.679
<v Speaker 5>Kendra oh I just read this. It's the Cults.

0:20:29.119 --> 0:20:32.520
<v Speaker 1>It is eighty two percent of the bets are on

0:20:32.560 --> 0:20:33.919
<v Speaker 1>the Indianapolis Colts.

0:20:35.280 --> 0:20:38.080
<v Speaker 2>Josh Down's also DNP with a concussion, so he's probably

0:20:38.080 --> 0:20:40.280
<v Speaker 2>not going to go that's big too. He's been great.

0:20:40.960 --> 0:20:42.600
<v Speaker 1>So did that unpickle you at all?

0:20:45.000 --> 0:20:45.080
<v Speaker 4>No?

0:20:45.560 --> 0:20:47.520
<v Speaker 5>I don't think it did. I wish that it did,

0:20:47.520 --> 0:20:48.040
<v Speaker 5>but it didn't.

0:20:48.800 --> 0:20:51.560
<v Speaker 1>The other teams that are out there that are heavy

0:20:51.640 --> 0:20:55.680
<v Speaker 1>public sides to be aware of. The Giants as road

0:20:55.760 --> 0:20:59.080
<v Speaker 1>dogs against the Denver Broncos, seventy seven percent of the

0:20:59.080 --> 0:21:01.440
<v Speaker 1>bets the Falcons. I want to pause on that one

0:21:01.480 --> 0:21:03.520
<v Speaker 1>for a second. Seventy six percent of the bets against

0:21:03.560 --> 0:21:07.280
<v Speaker 1>the San Francisco forty nine Ers. The Falcons looked awesome

0:21:07.560 --> 0:21:13.840
<v Speaker 1>against the Buffalo Bills. Primetime dogs that come through and

0:21:13.880 --> 0:21:19.000
<v Speaker 1>win and look as incredible as the Falcons did against

0:21:19.000 --> 0:21:21.840
<v Speaker 1>a really good team in the Buffalo Bills. I think

0:21:22.160 --> 0:21:26.160
<v Speaker 1>the idea is you don't want to get sucked into that,

0:21:26.680 --> 0:21:28.200
<v Speaker 1>and that's the kind of team that you maybe want

0:21:28.200 --> 0:21:30.439
<v Speaker 1>to lean off of in the following week. But the

0:21:30.480 --> 0:21:34.520
<v Speaker 1>forty nine ers have some real issues. They were barely

0:21:34.560 --> 0:21:37.639
<v Speaker 1>getting by with Nick Bosa out. Now Fred Warner is missing,

0:21:37.680 --> 0:21:41.480
<v Speaker 1>the middle of that defense is just ravaged. Atlanta, I think,

0:21:41.560 --> 0:21:43.320
<v Speaker 1>is a better team, and the fact that you're getting

0:21:43.320 --> 0:21:46.159
<v Speaker 1>two and a half with them, I feel like we

0:21:46.200 --> 0:21:49.600
<v Speaker 1>should betting the Falcons. But what am I missing here? Stuckey?

0:21:49.680 --> 0:21:53.840
<v Speaker 1>Have you taken a side on forty nine ers Falcons?

0:21:53.880 --> 0:21:58.080
<v Speaker 1>Because it feels like we haven't come fully around market wise,

0:21:58.240 --> 0:22:01.720
<v Speaker 1>power rating wise to to how good this Falcons team

0:22:01.800 --> 0:22:02.399
<v Speaker 1>might actually be.

0:22:03.520 --> 0:22:05.560
<v Speaker 2>No, I need more clarity on the injury report, but

0:22:05.720 --> 0:22:08.720
<v Speaker 2>under three, I mean, like I think that like one

0:22:09.320 --> 0:22:11.159
<v Speaker 2>is probably right, it's not. It's a tough spot for

0:22:11.200 --> 0:22:15.920
<v Speaker 2>Atlanta going cross country to play in San Francisco after

0:22:16.200 --> 0:22:19.520
<v Speaker 2>a huge win on Monday night. Left tackle that's the

0:22:19.520 --> 0:22:21.760
<v Speaker 2>big news. I know that San Francisco's defense is and

0:22:21.960 --> 0:22:25.679
<v Speaker 2>their pressure rate is basically diminished to nothing without Bosa.

0:22:25.720 --> 0:22:27.359
<v Speaker 2>The trickle down effect there is huge. And then you

0:22:27.359 --> 0:22:29.280
<v Speaker 2>don't have Fred Warner. It was the Stars and Scrubs

0:22:29.280 --> 0:22:34.560
<v Speaker 2>team regardless because they had to pay party and they

0:22:34.560 --> 0:22:37.479
<v Speaker 2>were just the defense was uber relyant on Warner and Bosa.

0:22:37.600 --> 0:22:41.600
<v Speaker 2>Now you don't have either. The offense is dealing with

0:22:41.640 --> 0:22:43.560
<v Speaker 2>a ton of injuries, so we'll see who ends up

0:22:43.560 --> 0:22:46.040
<v Speaker 2>playing on that side of the ball. The one to

0:22:46.119 --> 0:22:49.600
<v Speaker 2>watch for the Falcons is their left tackle, Jake Matthews,

0:22:49.600 --> 0:22:52.720
<v Speaker 2>who has the longest active streak of any longest active

0:22:52.720 --> 0:22:55.639
<v Speaker 2>star streak of any player in the NFL. Right now.

0:22:56.520 --> 0:22:59.240
<v Speaker 2>They're already missing their right tackle and their offensive line

0:22:59.240 --> 0:23:03.760
<v Speaker 2>has been good, but they're kind they kind of scheme

0:23:03.840 --> 0:23:05.639
<v Speaker 2>to that if they're missing their left tackle too. In

0:23:05.680 --> 0:23:08.400
<v Speaker 2>his back up, Mike Durrell's horrendous and was really really

0:23:08.400 --> 0:23:10.320
<v Speaker 2>bad in the second half against the Bills, which is

0:23:10.320 --> 0:23:12.800
<v Speaker 2>why the Falcons one of the reasons the Falcons offense

0:23:12.920 --> 0:23:17.520
<v Speaker 2>just didn't look the same in that second half. So

0:23:17.640 --> 0:23:19.840
<v Speaker 2>that's something to keep an eye on. He was listed

0:23:19.840 --> 0:23:22.080
<v Speaker 2>his day to day, but there's a lot of injuries

0:23:22.080 --> 0:23:24.000
<v Speaker 2>in that game. It's not a great spot for the Falcons.

0:23:24.040 --> 0:23:27.280
<v Speaker 2>I do love the Falcons, but ultimately a game I

0:23:27.359 --> 0:23:31.720
<v Speaker 2>might stay. I think it's a good teaser piece, So

0:23:32.160 --> 0:23:36.600
<v Speaker 2>if you're looking for another teaser piece, I would look

0:23:36.600 --> 0:23:39.440
<v Speaker 2>at the Falcons that get them up over eight, crossing

0:23:39.480 --> 0:23:41.160
<v Speaker 2>the three and seven.

0:23:42.880 --> 0:23:45.640
<v Speaker 1>And I feel like for those out there, I look

0:23:45.720 --> 0:23:48.720
<v Speaker 1>at these numbers, these percentages when they when they are

0:23:48.960 --> 0:23:53.560
<v Speaker 1>this outrageous with this many of the bets tilted towards

0:23:53.640 --> 0:23:56.200
<v Speaker 1>one side. It should give you pause. It should give

0:23:56.200 --> 0:23:58.080
<v Speaker 1>you pause in general, and it should definitely give you

0:23:58.080 --> 0:24:00.640
<v Speaker 1>pause this year with the numbers that we're seeing. At

0:24:00.640 --> 0:24:03.240
<v Speaker 1>some point Stucky has mentioned this, it swings back in

0:24:03.280 --> 0:24:06.560
<v Speaker 1>the other direction. But there's a reason why it's hard

0:24:06.560 --> 0:24:08.960
<v Speaker 1>to beat the NFL, because most people just believe what

0:24:09.000 --> 0:24:10.560
<v Speaker 1>they see and they roll with it. You know, I've

0:24:10.560 --> 0:24:12.920
<v Speaker 1>been caught up in that trap as well. I think

0:24:12.960 --> 0:24:18.400
<v Speaker 1>if you love these these heavy public sides and their dogs,

0:24:19.560 --> 0:24:22.680
<v Speaker 1>put two together, teaser that up and we've seen a

0:24:22.680 --> 0:24:25.680
<v Speaker 1>lot of close games lately. Colts Cowboys are a nice

0:24:25.680 --> 0:24:29.199
<v Speaker 1>combo for me. Colts Falcons would be another. Before we

0:24:29.240 --> 0:24:31.600
<v Speaker 1>move off of this completely, Evan, you wrote about this

0:24:31.800 --> 0:24:35.040
<v Speaker 1>in the primer this week, teams off of an outright

0:24:35.080 --> 0:24:37.720
<v Speaker 1>win as a dog in primetime, like the Falcons against

0:24:37.720 --> 0:24:40.320
<v Speaker 1>the Bills, who play in primetime again the following week.

0:24:40.840 --> 0:24:43.320
<v Speaker 1>This is the Sunday night football game fifty nine percent

0:24:43.359 --> 0:24:46.439
<v Speaker 1>against the spread. I was shocked when I read that.

0:24:46.480 --> 0:24:49.879
<v Speaker 1>Were you surprised as you discovered that that bit of

0:24:50.000 --> 0:24:52.920
<v Speaker 1>data that those teams actually perform well the following week.

0:24:53.480 --> 0:24:56.480
<v Speaker 6>Yeah, I mean, I just think it's normal narrative to

0:24:56.600 --> 0:24:58.880
<v Speaker 6>assume the opposite, which is kind of what I tend

0:24:58.920 --> 0:25:01.440
<v Speaker 6>to look for when doing these things. Like I think

0:25:01.440 --> 0:25:04.080
<v Speaker 6>it was a last week with the Bengals and the Packers.

0:25:04.280 --> 0:25:07.560
<v Speaker 6>It's like team loses three straight, other team favored by

0:25:07.560 --> 0:25:10.480
<v Speaker 6>this many points. Normal person looks at the slate, looks

0:25:10.480 --> 0:25:12.400
<v Speaker 6>at the games as oh, Packers have to cover.

0:25:12.600 --> 0:25:14.800
<v Speaker 7>Well, it's like forty two percent last twenty years.

0:25:14.840 --> 0:25:17.959
<v Speaker 6>Like things like that I think are the fun aspects

0:25:18.000 --> 0:25:21.560
<v Speaker 6>of what we do week to week. And same situation here,

0:25:21.640 --> 0:25:24.080
<v Speaker 6>Like most people look at something and make an assumption

0:25:24.160 --> 0:25:26.159
<v Speaker 6>and sometimes it's right, but in this one it was

0:25:26.200 --> 0:25:27.720
<v Speaker 6>kind of fun. I mean, small sample, it was like,

0:25:27.760 --> 0:25:30.840
<v Speaker 6>what forty five games, and we're talking about like eight

0:25:30.960 --> 0:25:33.520
<v Speaker 6>or nine games either way, especially when you have some

0:25:33.600 --> 0:25:34.720
<v Speaker 6>pushes on the cover side.

0:25:34.720 --> 0:25:36.200
<v Speaker 7>I mean, I think.

0:25:36.080 --> 0:25:38.480
<v Speaker 6>Margin probably tells more of a story there, which I

0:25:38.720 --> 0:25:41.679
<v Speaker 6>don't have in the copy, but I can look it up, so.

0:25:41.880 --> 0:25:43.840
<v Speaker 7>That would be my initial thought. But yeah, interesting.

0:25:43.880 --> 0:25:50.199
<v Speaker 1>Nonetheless, Dolphins, Patriots, Cowboys, Seahawks, Saints, Panthers, Eagles also on

0:25:50.240 --> 0:25:52.880
<v Speaker 1>that list above sixty percent. That's the threshold that I'm

0:25:52.880 --> 0:25:55.359
<v Speaker 1>looking for. For this head to actionnetwork dot com. You

0:25:55.400 --> 0:25:57.359
<v Speaker 1>can look at all of this stuff on your own

0:25:57.480 --> 0:26:00.479
<v Speaker 1>as well. By the way, the Luck Rankings point us

0:26:00.480 --> 0:26:02.200
<v Speaker 1>in a couple of directions this week, shout out to

0:26:02.240 --> 0:26:04.280
<v Speaker 1>Nick Giffin. If you're not checking out the luck rankings

0:26:04.280 --> 0:26:07.320
<v Speaker 1>on the website, you're doing yourself a major disservice. Saints

0:26:07.320 --> 0:26:09.040
<v Speaker 1>plus five and a half and what could be a

0:26:09.040 --> 0:26:11.200
<v Speaker 1>weather game. I think there's supposed to be some heavy

0:26:11.280 --> 0:26:16.800
<v Speaker 1>rain in Chicago. Lions minus five against the Bucks. That's

0:26:16.840 --> 0:26:18.880
<v Speaker 1>one that I am very interested in. I might try

0:26:18.880 --> 0:26:20.840
<v Speaker 1>and even tee that up to you guys when we

0:26:20.960 --> 0:26:23.720
<v Speaker 1>do our parlay. Jets plus one and a half against

0:26:23.720 --> 0:26:26.760
<v Speaker 1>Carolina Kendra, this is one that I cannot get behind.

0:26:27.080 --> 0:26:30.480
<v Speaker 1>There's no way I could back the New York Jets

0:26:30.520 --> 0:26:33.520
<v Speaker 1>flew back from London, didn't take the buy. Garrett Wilson

0:26:33.640 --> 0:26:37.399
<v Speaker 1>is out. The luck rankings are saying that on the side,

0:26:38.000 --> 0:26:40.600
<v Speaker 1>but no. I got in on the Panthers early. I'll

0:26:40.600 --> 0:26:44.760
<v Speaker 1>just sit with a light. I have a Panthers plus one.

0:26:44.920 --> 0:26:46.879
<v Speaker 1>I'm just gonna let that ride see how it goes.

0:26:46.960 --> 0:26:49.520
<v Speaker 4>But I'm also on the Panthers this week it's an

0:26:49.520 --> 0:26:52.239
<v Speaker 4>option for our two Kings and a Queen because we

0:26:52.400 --> 0:26:54.960
<v Speaker 4>are a lot of us were opposite for a lot

0:26:54.960 --> 0:26:57.000
<v Speaker 4>of things this week, so I had to find things

0:26:57.040 --> 0:26:58.080
<v Speaker 4>that we wouldn't fight about.

0:26:58.320 --> 0:27:01.120
<v Speaker 1>Well, this might be a good week for us as

0:27:01.119 --> 0:27:02.959
<v Speaker 1>far as going head to head, and I could use

0:27:02.960 --> 0:27:05.520
<v Speaker 1>a couple of wins in that regard. So let's get

0:27:05.560 --> 0:27:07.080
<v Speaker 1>to it. It's time for the reason you all came

0:27:07.119 --> 0:27:09.960
<v Speaker 1>here today, Two Kings and a Queen parlay. I let

0:27:10.040 --> 0:27:12.240
<v Speaker 1>us down last week. We hit two of our three.

0:27:12.640 --> 0:27:14.720
<v Speaker 1>Time to get back on the horse, find some winners,

0:27:14.880 --> 0:27:18.959
<v Speaker 1>four reminders. We each nominate two plays. We see if

0:27:18.960 --> 0:27:21.880
<v Speaker 1>we can find some general consensus on the board, will

0:27:21.920 --> 0:27:24.639
<v Speaker 1>battle if we have to, and eventually land on our

0:27:24.680 --> 0:27:27.760
<v Speaker 1>two Kings and a Queen parlay, which we'll have in

0:27:27.800 --> 0:27:41.840
<v Speaker 1>the app after the episode. Kendra, we'll start with you Chargers.

0:27:41.880 --> 0:27:44.880
<v Speaker 4>My line, No I been Gifford put that in a year,

0:27:44.920 --> 0:27:49.320
<v Speaker 4>which is so funny because low key usually that's the play. However,

0:27:50.000 --> 0:27:53.520
<v Speaker 4>I like the Panthers were one of my nominations. I

0:27:53.680 --> 0:27:57.840
<v Speaker 4>also have the Over and the Seahawks Texans game at

0:27:57.880 --> 0:27:59.879
<v Speaker 4>forty one or if you guys want to stick with

0:27:59.880 --> 0:28:00.640
<v Speaker 4>my Titans play.

0:28:00.640 --> 0:28:01.680
<v Speaker 5>I'm okay with that as well.

0:28:02.359 --> 0:28:04.000
<v Speaker 1>I don't know if I like that. That's a really

0:28:04.040 --> 0:28:08.720
<v Speaker 1>low number. These are two of the slower paced teams.

0:28:08.840 --> 0:28:11.800
<v Speaker 1>They are bottom ten, bottom seven in fact, in terms

0:28:11.840 --> 0:28:16.000
<v Speaker 1>of positions or plays per game rather, so I don't

0:28:16.040 --> 0:28:17.920
<v Speaker 1>know if I love that. And the Texans and Seahawks

0:28:17.960 --> 0:28:21.440
<v Speaker 1>have really good defenses. I would like the Panthers. Was

0:28:21.480 --> 0:28:22.080
<v Speaker 1>that an option?

0:28:22.560 --> 0:28:23.959
<v Speaker 5>Yes, Panthers are an option. We can do.

0:28:24.160 --> 0:28:25.200
<v Speaker 1>What would be the Panthers?

0:28:25.320 --> 0:28:25.879
<v Speaker 5>Do we want to do?

0:28:25.920 --> 0:28:27.960
<v Speaker 4>Panthers money line? I don't know what the price is.

0:28:28.000 --> 0:28:29.200
<v Speaker 4>I'd have to look really quick, but.

0:28:29.160 --> 0:28:30.879
<v Speaker 1>I think I think Panthers.

0:28:31.080 --> 0:28:34.440
<v Speaker 2>I'm gonna I'm I might have avn't come in and

0:28:34.600 --> 0:28:37.560
<v Speaker 2>the I'm videoing Panthers. I mean the Panthers now they're

0:28:38.520 --> 0:28:40.920
<v Speaker 2>they're favored. I mean, in order to show value on them,

0:28:40.920 --> 0:28:44.640
<v Speaker 2>I need to make the Panthers like three points I

0:28:44.640 --> 0:28:49.200
<v Speaker 2>have four points better than the Jets on a neutral

0:28:49.240 --> 0:28:53.280
<v Speaker 2>field like this is a non divisional, non conference road game,

0:28:54.320 --> 0:28:58.720
<v Speaker 2>like I get no Garrett Wilson, which hurts, but this

0:28:58.840 --> 0:29:01.880
<v Speaker 2>is also like look at luck rankings game by Like

0:29:02.240 --> 0:29:05.160
<v Speaker 2>my overarching principle in the NFL is by low sell

0:29:05.240 --> 0:29:07.480
<v Speaker 2>high like Panthers are, and the Panthers are just not

0:29:07.560 --> 0:29:10.920
<v Speaker 2>the same team on the road. They've been dreadful on

0:29:10.960 --> 0:29:13.120
<v Speaker 2>the road. Bryce Young's numbers fall off a cliff on

0:29:13.160 --> 0:29:16.520
<v Speaker 2>the road, but they've won a couple of games in

0:29:16.560 --> 0:29:20.480
<v Speaker 2>a row. The Jets are over. Historically, betting these over

0:29:20.600 --> 0:29:23.400
<v Speaker 2>teams has been profitable, very profitable when no one wants

0:29:23.400 --> 0:29:24.680
<v Speaker 2>to back them. I mean, look at last week. No

0:29:24.680 --> 0:29:26.400
<v Speaker 2>one wanted to bet the Jets against the Broncos, and

0:29:26.440 --> 0:29:30.680
<v Speaker 2>they arguably should have won even with negative ten passing yards.

0:29:31.160 --> 0:29:33.880
<v Speaker 2>So I can't get there. I can't. I can't do

0:29:33.920 --> 0:29:34.520
<v Speaker 2>the Panthers.

0:29:36.040 --> 0:29:36.640
<v Speaker 4>I will.

0:29:38.160 --> 0:29:43.080
<v Speaker 2>It's either the Panthers or I mean, I would vote

0:29:43.160 --> 0:29:45.760
<v Speaker 2>for I don't. There's too much I don't know about

0:29:45.760 --> 0:29:48.440
<v Speaker 2>the Seahawks, secondary injuries, for.

0:29:48.440 --> 0:29:52.840
<v Speaker 4>People stucky in a blunder with this every single weeks.

0:29:53.480 --> 0:29:57.000
<v Speaker 1>I think I don't. I don't like the Titans bet,

0:29:57.080 --> 0:30:00.160
<v Speaker 1>but I will say we've talked more about that game

0:30:00.200 --> 0:30:02.240
<v Speaker 1>than any other this week. I feel like it would

0:30:02.240 --> 0:30:05.360
<v Speaker 1>be on brand for us to see this play out

0:30:05.520 --> 0:30:07.080
<v Speaker 1>on the parlay itself.

0:30:07.120 --> 0:30:08.640
<v Speaker 5>So I think I want to choose.

0:30:08.720 --> 0:30:11.040
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, Evant has to choose. Panthers are Titans.

0:30:11.320 --> 0:30:14.480
<v Speaker 7>Yeah, it's Titans. There's no question. I want nothing to do.

0:30:14.520 --> 0:30:16.600
<v Speaker 6>I don't want to watch the Jets game like I

0:30:16.640 --> 0:30:18.920
<v Speaker 6>just it's Titans.

0:30:18.960 --> 0:30:21.080
<v Speaker 7>We gotta go with. I mean, the seven and a

0:30:21.120 --> 0:30:22.120
<v Speaker 7>half you got early.

0:30:22.000 --> 0:30:24.600
<v Speaker 6>Week could be important in a game where Tennessee may

0:30:24.640 --> 0:30:25.719
<v Speaker 6>score negative points.

0:30:26.600 --> 0:30:28.640
<v Speaker 7>But we will see what happens, all right, Man.

0:30:30.360 --> 0:30:34.320
<v Speaker 5>Ham Ward coming out party this Sunday.

0:30:35.240 --> 0:30:38.080
<v Speaker 1>Kendrill loves trolling her own market. That's one thing I do.

0:30:38.960 --> 0:30:41.880
<v Speaker 5>I'm addicted. It's okay. I was born to troll, and

0:30:41.920 --> 0:30:42.520
<v Speaker 5>that's what I do.

0:30:43.280 --> 0:30:44.320
<v Speaker 1>Stucky, what do you got.

0:30:44.680 --> 0:30:47.720
<v Speaker 2>H Well, one of the one of mine I saw

0:30:47.760 --> 0:30:49.520
<v Speaker 2>it was one of yours was gonna be the Browns

0:30:50.200 --> 0:30:50.920
<v Speaker 2>money line.

0:30:51.120 --> 0:30:53.360
<v Speaker 1>Does that mean that we auto play that one in

0:30:53.440 --> 0:30:54.000
<v Speaker 1>the parlay?

0:30:55.040 --> 0:30:57.640
<v Speaker 2>Yeah? So that's that's gonna be years. I mean you

0:30:57.640 --> 0:30:59.520
<v Speaker 2>said you like the Raiders too, but I mean the

0:30:59.600 --> 0:31:02.960
<v Speaker 2>Raiders are mess. No brock Bowers, no Colton Miller. They're

0:31:03.080 --> 0:31:04.160
<v Speaker 2>so poorly coached.

0:31:04.720 --> 0:31:06.880
<v Speaker 1>Chie. I would like to also, I you know it's

0:31:06.880 --> 0:31:09.120
<v Speaker 1>supposed to be too. I'm gonna break my own rules here,

0:31:09.160 --> 0:31:11.880
<v Speaker 1>but I would also want to nominate the Lions so

0:31:12.600 --> 0:31:13.880
<v Speaker 1>I could make a case for them.

0:31:13.920 --> 0:31:15.800
<v Speaker 5>Also, I did three, you can do three.

0:31:16.560 --> 0:31:18.360
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, I might.

0:31:20.040 --> 0:31:22.400
<v Speaker 2>Left in the secondaries and the Bucks have no I mean,

0:31:22.400 --> 0:31:23.840
<v Speaker 2>I don't know how that game is going to play out.

0:31:26.040 --> 0:31:28.800
<v Speaker 2>So yeah, I like the Browns money line. I'll bank

0:31:28.840 --> 0:31:31.240
<v Speaker 2>my case for that now, just for I guess the content.

0:31:31.320 --> 0:31:35.000
<v Speaker 2>But look, what do the Dolphins have like? They don't.

0:31:35.160 --> 0:31:37.080
<v Speaker 2>They have nothing. They've one of the worst defenses in

0:31:37.080 --> 0:31:39.440
<v Speaker 2>the NFL. Their run defense is one of the three worst.

0:31:40.400 --> 0:31:43.680
<v Speaker 2>Their secondaries arguably the worst. They're blitzing at the top

0:31:43.720 --> 0:31:45.520
<v Speaker 2>five R eight, and Gabriel Lease has been good against the

0:31:45.520 --> 0:31:47.960
<v Speaker 2>blitz throughout his college Crewers. He was elite, one of

0:31:47.960 --> 0:31:50.320
<v Speaker 2>the best quarterbacks in college football history against the blitz.

0:31:50.920 --> 0:31:52.640
<v Speaker 2>But they're blitzing at the top five right They're getting

0:31:52.640 --> 0:31:55.000
<v Speaker 2>pressure at the bottom five or eight. Their offense doesn't

0:31:55.040 --> 0:31:57.440
<v Speaker 2>have Tyreek kill. They've one of the worst offensive lines

0:31:57.560 --> 0:32:00.600
<v Speaker 2>in the NFL. They're not even hitting explosive past plays anymore,

0:32:00.600 --> 0:32:02.080
<v Speaker 2>which is the one area where you have to beat

0:32:02.080 --> 0:32:02.920
<v Speaker 2>the Browns defense.

0:32:03.040 --> 0:32:05.640
<v Speaker 5>Still scoring points though, if the.

0:32:05.560 --> 0:32:08.240
<v Speaker 2>Browns defense at home doesn't give up points to anybody,

0:32:08.520 --> 0:32:10.560
<v Speaker 2>I mean, they just shut down the Packers. They let

0:32:10.880 --> 0:32:11.680
<v Speaker 2>this defense at home.

0:32:11.920 --> 0:32:14.440
<v Speaker 5>I think people oversold the Packers, though.

0:32:15.240 --> 0:32:19.800
<v Speaker 2>There still have a great offense, so they shut down

0:32:19.880 --> 0:32:24.000
<v Speaker 2>everyone who goes to Baltimore, having who goes to Cleveland.

0:32:24.440 --> 0:32:27.440
<v Speaker 2>You talk about I mean Joe Burrow and that Bengals

0:32:27.480 --> 0:32:31.600
<v Speaker 2>offense did absolutely nothing. The Packers offense did absolutely nothing.

0:32:31.640 --> 0:32:33.920
<v Speaker 2>You go back to the last couple of years, even

0:32:33.960 --> 0:32:37.240
<v Speaker 2>when the Browns defense was worse like last year they

0:32:37.240 --> 0:32:40.000
<v Speaker 2>had down here at home, they were still dominant. And

0:32:40.040 --> 0:32:43.880
<v Speaker 2>then there's gonna be weather in this game. So who

0:32:43.920 --> 0:32:45.320
<v Speaker 2>do I want. I want the team that could run

0:32:45.360 --> 0:32:48.880
<v Speaker 2>the ball, and the Browns have a top three rush D.

0:32:50.040 --> 0:32:51.840
<v Speaker 2>Like I said before, the Dolphins have a bottom three

0:32:51.920 --> 0:32:55.000
<v Speaker 2>rush D. To it, this ain't gonna be under fire

0:32:55.080 --> 0:32:57.480
<v Speaker 2>within as soon as he snaps the ball and there's

0:32:57.480 --> 0:33:00.560
<v Speaker 2>no Tyreek Hill, the Browns can play their deep here.

0:33:00.640 --> 0:33:02.480
<v Speaker 2>I think they'll do enough on the ground and win

0:33:02.520 --> 0:33:04.320
<v Speaker 2>an ugly one. That's why I like the Browns. But

0:33:04.360 --> 0:33:08.760
<v Speaker 2>my two two choices that I'll offer up are the Chargers.

0:33:09.240 --> 0:33:14.320
<v Speaker 2>Already made my case there, and then we'll do the

0:33:14.400 --> 0:33:17.920
<v Speaker 2>Vikings money line. I already made my case earlier the

0:33:17.920 --> 0:33:19.960
<v Speaker 2>week on plant the flag.

0:33:20.560 --> 0:33:22.560
<v Speaker 5>On the Eagles, So it's got to be the Chargers.

0:33:23.440 --> 0:33:28.040
<v Speaker 2>So yeah, my case for the Vikings. I mean, if

0:33:28.040 --> 0:33:32.280
<v Speaker 2>you watch the Eagles, this offense is broken. Kevin Pittula

0:33:33.040 --> 0:33:36.400
<v Speaker 2>cannot figure out how to go against the zone or

0:33:36.400 --> 0:33:40.960
<v Speaker 2>a blitz. Well, you're going up against the most blitz

0:33:40.960 --> 0:33:43.400
<v Speaker 2>heavy defensive coordinator and the most zone heavy defense in

0:33:43.400 --> 0:33:44.760
<v Speaker 2>the league this year, and that's been a problem for

0:33:44.800 --> 0:33:47.400
<v Speaker 2>Hurts throughout his career. Very good against the man, very

0:33:47.400 --> 0:33:50.040
<v Speaker 2>good against the man, coverage poor against zone this year.

0:33:50.160 --> 0:33:51.920
<v Speaker 2>Is the worst quarterback in the league against Cover two.

0:33:51.960 --> 0:33:54.280
<v Speaker 2>Guess what, Vikings running more Cover two than any other

0:33:54.280 --> 0:33:56.440
<v Speaker 2>team in the NFL. And on the other side of

0:33:56.440 --> 0:33:59.320
<v Speaker 2>the ball, Quenon Mitchell's hurt, the Eagles don't have a

0:33:59.320 --> 0:34:02.600
<v Speaker 2>corner j Jalen Carter's banged up. Their defense isn't getting pressure.

0:34:02.640 --> 0:34:04.400
<v Speaker 2>I mean, this is a defense that's below average. Their

0:34:04.480 --> 0:34:07.560
<v Speaker 2>nineteenth and success rate nineteenth and EPA pri play Vikings

0:34:07.560 --> 0:34:09.680
<v Speaker 2>with an elite staff off of bye, one of the

0:34:09.680 --> 0:34:13.120
<v Speaker 2>hardest places to play at in the NFL. I assume

0:34:13.160 --> 0:34:15.920
<v Speaker 2>it's going to be Carson Wentz at quarterback. The Eagles

0:34:15.920 --> 0:34:18.399
<v Speaker 2>don't have anyone to cover their receivers. They're not even

0:34:18.400 --> 0:34:21.160
<v Speaker 2>defending the run well. Saquon Barkley can't even get going

0:34:21.160 --> 0:34:23.359
<v Speaker 2>because the offensive line is hurt. I mean, this is

0:34:23.719 --> 0:34:26.200
<v Speaker 2>a guy who's getting tackled behind the line of scrimmage

0:34:26.239 --> 0:34:29.040
<v Speaker 2>on thirty six percent of his carries. Last year was

0:34:29.080 --> 0:34:31.720
<v Speaker 2>twenty four this year it's the second most in the NFL.

0:34:32.800 --> 0:34:36.200
<v Speaker 2>I could keep on going, but this Eagles offense is

0:34:36.239 --> 0:34:39.439
<v Speaker 2>broken right now. So it's either Vikings will say plus

0:34:39.760 --> 0:34:42.840
<v Speaker 2>plus one and a half at DraftKings or the Chargers

0:34:43.400 --> 0:34:48.120
<v Speaker 2>money line. You say Chargers, Kendra, no shot there? What

0:34:48.160 --> 0:34:49.600
<v Speaker 2>do you say, Brandon?

0:34:51.000 --> 0:34:53.400
<v Speaker 1>I know we like to claim that we're a Jags podcast,

0:34:53.480 --> 0:34:57.480
<v Speaker 1>but low key we're kind of a Chargers podcast because

0:34:57.480 --> 0:35:00.640
<v Speaker 1>they're on the Parlay every week. I feel like I

0:35:00.680 --> 0:35:02.400
<v Speaker 1>want to get them off just because I'm tired of

0:35:02.400 --> 0:35:04.680
<v Speaker 1>seeing the Chargers on there. Even though I agree with

0:35:04.719 --> 0:35:07.279
<v Speaker 1>your points, I love the Vikings place, So my vote

0:35:07.280 --> 0:35:09.520
<v Speaker 1>would be on Minnesota on the Eagles.

0:35:09.560 --> 0:35:11.360
<v Speaker 5>It can't be. So Evan's going to have to be

0:35:11.400 --> 0:35:12.480
<v Speaker 5>the voice of god.

0:35:12.560 --> 0:35:15.280
<v Speaker 2>Chargers money line or Vikings plus one and a half.

0:35:15.760 --> 0:35:17.759
<v Speaker 6>Don't you think it says something that I'm needed in

0:35:17.800 --> 0:35:19.000
<v Speaker 6>every one of these conversations.

0:35:19.000 --> 0:35:22.360
<v Speaker 7>This podcast is absolutely incredible. But I will say Chargers

0:35:22.440 --> 0:35:24.799
<v Speaker 7>is the bet. It's always the Chargers. Yeah right, I

0:35:24.800 --> 0:35:26.759
<v Speaker 7>think the Chargers on the right side this week.

0:35:26.840 --> 0:35:29.640
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, we can't off of this team.

0:35:29.480 --> 0:35:30.000
<v Speaker 7>Dude, listen.

0:35:30.280 --> 0:35:32.880
<v Speaker 6>I can't do anything but fade Daniel Jones and the

0:35:32.920 --> 0:35:35.680
<v Speaker 6>Colts until something happens to that team. And if I'm

0:35:35.719 --> 0:35:37.840
<v Speaker 6>wrong and we go to the super Bowl with the Colts,

0:35:38.239 --> 0:35:39.960
<v Speaker 6>that's going to be what it ends up having to happen.

0:35:40.200 --> 0:35:41.400
<v Speaker 6>Can't do anything about it.

0:35:41.480 --> 0:35:42.759
<v Speaker 5>This is the Chargers podcast.

0:35:42.880 --> 0:35:45.080
<v Speaker 1>It's always Chargers money line too. I don't think we've

0:35:45.120 --> 0:35:48.919
<v Speaker 1>taken a Chargers spread yet.

0:35:48.040 --> 0:35:50.359
<v Speaker 6>Points with the Chargers, but you can assume hardball will

0:35:50.400 --> 0:35:51.719
<v Speaker 6>get the win. That's how they work.

0:35:51.960 --> 0:35:55.560
<v Speaker 2>Chargers went by one on a missed honey Honey Badger,

0:35:55.760 --> 0:36:00.400
<v Speaker 2>not honey money badger. Extra point. So Titans plus seven,

0:36:00.840 --> 0:36:04.040
<v Speaker 2>Brown's money line, Chargers money line pays right around five

0:36:04.080 --> 0:36:06.400
<v Speaker 2>to one at DK.

0:36:07.600 --> 0:36:10.280
<v Speaker 1>I dig it and Evan, I appreciate the podcast review.

0:36:10.320 --> 0:36:12.640
<v Speaker 1>Go ahead and leave five stars while you're at it. Okay,

0:36:13.239 --> 0:36:21.120
<v Speaker 1>thank yourself. Useful over there. Chargers money line, Brown's Brown's

0:36:21.160 --> 0:36:23.960
<v Speaker 1>money Line, and Titans plus do we get seven or

0:36:24.000 --> 0:36:24.680
<v Speaker 1>seven and a half?

0:36:24.760 --> 0:36:26.240
<v Speaker 3>Stucky seven?

0:36:26.239 --> 0:36:28.320
<v Speaker 4>All right, there's no seven and a half left. I

0:36:28.320 --> 0:36:30.120
<v Speaker 4>saw a bunch of people commenting on our video the

0:36:30.120 --> 0:36:32.080
<v Speaker 4>other day like where's the seven and a half, And

0:36:32.120 --> 0:36:34.000
<v Speaker 4>it's like, okay, well you better listen on time if

0:36:34.040 --> 0:36:36.160
<v Speaker 4>you want the better numbers. You ask why I got

0:36:36.160 --> 0:36:37.120
<v Speaker 4>to the window so early.

0:36:37.200 --> 0:36:38.640
<v Speaker 5>Don't get out at me, sister.

0:36:39.440 --> 0:36:41.480
<v Speaker 1>We're live on YouTube. Go and check us out. Two

0:36:41.560 --> 0:36:45.160
<v Speaker 1>Kings and a Queen Parlay presented by DraftKings. That'll do

0:36:45.200 --> 0:36:47.840
<v Speaker 1>it for this week's episode special thanks to our producers

0:36:47.880 --> 0:36:51.520
<v Speaker 1>Gifford Gold and David Payne. Evan Abrams busy leaving us

0:36:51.520 --> 0:36:53.399
<v Speaker 1>a five star review. You can do the exact same

0:36:53.440 --> 0:36:56.399
<v Speaker 1>thing wherever you download your favorite podcast, The Favorites. We'll

0:36:56.400 --> 0:36:59.560
<v Speaker 1>return on Sunday night. We have a recap episode Guys

0:37:00.360 --> 0:37:03.919
<v Speaker 1>seven right here on the Action Network YouTube page. Thanks

0:37:03.960 --> 0:37:05.960
<v Speaker 1>for tuning in. We'll be back here next time on

0:37:05.960 --> 0:37:08.359
<v Speaker 1>The Favorites podcast presented by DraftKings.

0:37:08.600 --> 0:37:18.800
<v Speaker 3>Let's Catch these tickets.

0:37:19.880 --> 0:37:24.400
<v Speaker 1>Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or

0:37:24.440 --> 0:37:26.560
<v Speaker 1>someone you care about has a gambling problem.

0:37:26.840 --> 0:37:29.440
<v Speaker 5>Help is available twenty four to seven at one eight

0:37:29.560 --> 0:37:30.320
<v Speaker 5>hundred Gambler