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Speaker 1: Happy Sunday, guys, what's up? Welcome in to a very big,

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Speaker 1: big daily Juice podcast with me, Matt Perrault. This podcast

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Speaker 1: always being found on Bettingpros dot com. You can follow

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Speaker 1: Betting Pros on Twitter at Betting Pros. You can follow

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Speaker 1: me on Twitter at Sports Talk Matt. We have got

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Speaker 1: a ton of stuff to get to here on this

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Speaker 1: podcast and for today, all right. So first and foremost

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Speaker 1: great day. If you don't have a bet MGM offer,

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Speaker 1: why not get one hundred and fifty dollars in free

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Speaker 1: bets from BETMGM ten dollars bet with the promo code

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Speaker 1: Juice one point fifty when you sign up for a

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Speaker 1: new account with BETMGM or betmgm dot com. We have

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Speaker 1: got video for you on YouTube audio wherever you get

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Speaker 1: your audio podcasts. And this is the last Sunday with

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Speaker 1: more than one game. It's insane, we've gotten here. But

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Speaker 1: this is Championship Sunday, all right. This is when if

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Speaker 1: you want to get a little crazy, if you want

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Speaker 1: to bump up things a little bit. I don't I

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Speaker 1: personally flat wager, but if you want to have more

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Speaker 1: prop bets than normal going feel free. I am probably

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Speaker 1: gonna have three prop bets on each game going, which

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Speaker 1: I will give you guys on the live stream on

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Speaker 1: the YouTube live stream coming up at eight am Pacific

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Speaker 1: time eleven am Eastern time this morning on a Sunday

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Speaker 1: for you guys to get a hold of what prop

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Speaker 1: bets I'm betting fate or follow do what you want.

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Speaker 1: But normally I do four a weekend. I'll do six

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Speaker 1: because it is Championship Sunday. Now, I've already given you

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Speaker 1: one of the plays, and I gave it to you

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Speaker 1: in the Discord channel four Chiefs and the Bengals. Okay,

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Speaker 1: I think it's a numbers play for me. Thirty four

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Speaker 1: to thirty one was the first final score between Bengals

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Speaker 1: Chiefs in Cincinnati. Okay, I think seven and a half

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Speaker 1: was the number, and I gave it you to you

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Speaker 1: guys in the Discord channel at plus seven and a half.

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Speaker 1: That was the move. It opened up at six and

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Speaker 1: a half, went to seven, went to seven and a half.

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Speaker 1: If you're wondering where the pros are on this game,

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Speaker 1: they're on both sides. They came out and took six

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Speaker 1: and a half. And then on Saturday afternoon or Saturday morning,

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Speaker 1: really they took seven and a half. Okay, Look, it's

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Speaker 1: just too many points, Okay, in a championship game setting,

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Speaker 1: it's just too many points with Joe Burrow and this

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Speaker 1: passing attack in what everyone just is assuming that this

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Speaker 1: case chief defense is not going to get torched again. Now,

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Speaker 1: Casey was up big in that game. There's no debate

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Speaker 1: in that. Okay, twenty one to seven. They had a

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Speaker 1: big lead, and it was like, oh my gosh, I

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Speaker 1: was on the Bengals. Okay. I bet the Bengals all

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Speaker 1: year long, except for last week, where I didn't back

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Speaker 1: the Bengals. Shame on me. Look if I go down

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Speaker 1: betting on Joe Burrow, I'm totally fine with betting on

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Speaker 1: Joe Burrow going down betting on Joe Burrow. Do I

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Speaker 1: think they win the game? No, I don't think they

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Speaker 1: win the game. But I do think seven and a

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Speaker 1: half is too many points. And I do think that

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Speaker 1: the Bengals have a chance, if not to be in

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Speaker 1: the game late, but to backdoor it. I think it's very,

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Speaker 1: very possible. It's a championship setting, Okay, I think it's

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Speaker 1: absolutely possible that we're talking about a drive late in

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Speaker 1: the game. Up by ten Kansas City, we get a

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Speaker 1: late field goal or something late touchdown, whatever it might be,

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Speaker 1: and we cover the seven and a half points to

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Speaker 1: get to a two score game. We have to kind

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Speaker 1: of think that the Bengals are going to go under

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Speaker 1: their team total of twenty three and a half. Man,

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Speaker 1: I can't see that. In the team total of thirty

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Speaker 1: and a half are the Chiefs? I also can't see that.

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Speaker 1: But this is a championship game, and I'm always petrified

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Speaker 1: of totals. I do have a play though on the

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Speaker 1: totals in a second I'll give to you guys, But personally,

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Speaker 1: I'm betting. Officially, I'm betting Bengals plus seven and a

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Speaker 1: half for Joe Burrow and Tyler Boyd and T Higgins

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Speaker 1: and Jamar Chase and Joe Mixon to keep up. Okay,

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Speaker 1: do I think their defense, the Bengals defense will slow

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Speaker 1: down Mahomes, No, I do not. Is it more than

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Speaker 1: likely the Chiefs are going over their team total? Yeah,

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Speaker 1: more than likely they're going over thirty and a half.

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Speaker 1: So what do I need out of the Bengals. I

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Speaker 1: need the Bengals to score at least twenty four points.

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Speaker 1: Do I think the Bengals can score twenty four points?

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Speaker 1: Can they lose thirty one? Twenty four? Like, right on

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Speaker 1: the number? Fifty five totals fifty four and a half.

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Speaker 1: Can it be right on that number? Yeah, I think

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Speaker 1: it's right on the number. That's what the books are

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Speaker 1: basically projecting here, right, seven and seven point win here,

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Speaker 1: and you bet it late you've got seven. Okay. There

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Speaker 1: is a chance that on the live stream, I will

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Speaker 1: do a teaser. Okay, there is a chance that I'm

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Speaker 1: going to take the Chiefs down to minus one, but

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna wait to see if by some way the

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Speaker 1: number crashes to six and a half the opener for

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Speaker 1: the case Chiefs. I don't think that's gonna happen, but

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Speaker 1: I would love to be able to pull it down

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Speaker 1: to a half a point and just have it CAC

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Speaker 1: minus a half a point, and then take the forty

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Speaker 1: nine ers at plus three and a half. Maybe it

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Speaker 1: gets to four, I don't know before kickoff. Maybe it

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Speaker 1: goes to four, and then we can tease up to

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Speaker 1: ten and it's sam Fram plus ten CAC minus half

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Speaker 1: a point. That's the ideal teaser. Now, we'll talk about

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Speaker 1: that during the live stream. A little bit, but that's

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Speaker 1: a bet I would eyeball and I'm gonna watch and

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Speaker 1: I might very well get into it. But one unit

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Speaker 1: plus seven and a half, it's gone, totally. Betit. Yesterday

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Speaker 1: I said grab it, bet MGM had it and minus

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Speaker 1: one twenty jumped on it. Sincy plus seven and a half.

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Speaker 1: One unit minus one twenty, okay, second bet San Francisco

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Speaker 1: plus three and a half up against the La Rams.

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Speaker 1: Look in the playoffs. I try hard not to get

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Speaker 1: too crazy and overthinking things because it's hard to beat

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Speaker 1: a team three times. Actually, it's not hard to beat

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Speaker 1: a team three times in the postseason if you're better

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Speaker 1: than that team and you have a fundamental advantage over

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Speaker 1: that other team, and that advantage is Kyle shanahan knows

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Speaker 1: exactly what McVeigh is going to do, and they stop

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Speaker 1: the run. They make it about Matthew Stafford and say,

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Speaker 1: you know what, you need to run the football to

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Speaker 1: keep Matthew Stafford from making a mistake. And Matthew Stafford,

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Speaker 1: I think makes mistakes. Okay, he's a gunslinger. He wants

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Speaker 1: to fire the ball around. Everyone's singing the praises because

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Speaker 1: of the throw he made to Cooper Cup, which was

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Speaker 1: an incredible throw. But look, this is Kyle Shanahan who

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Speaker 1: has done an incredible job both against the spread and

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Speaker 1: straight up beating the Rams. The numbers three and a half. Okay,

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Speaker 1: you give me more than a field goal either way,

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Speaker 1: and I'm taking the dog. Okay. In this matchup, it's

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Speaker 1: a three point win one way or the other. All right,

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Speaker 1: it's plus three and a half. Do the Niners have

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Speaker 1: to run the football to win the game. Yes? Do

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Speaker 1: they also have to throw the ball to win the game? Yes?

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Speaker 1: Does Jimmy Garoppolo have to be really effective throwing the football? Yes?

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Speaker 1: Does Deebo Samuel have to be a monster part of

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Speaker 1: the offensive game plan? Yes, all right, someone Kittle, someone

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Speaker 1: else has to step up and have a monster game

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Speaker 1: for the Niners. Probably will be Kittle. Okay, get them

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Speaker 1: the football over the middle. Exploit the safety problems that

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Speaker 1: the Rams have been having. Don't let Aaron Donald eat, okay,

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Speaker 1: don't let him go and disrupt and cause turnovers and

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Speaker 1: cause problems. Okay. Look, it's a three point win one

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Speaker 1: way or the other. I don't know who wins this game.

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Speaker 1: I can see the Rams winning one hundred percent. Can

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Speaker 1: I'll see the Niners coming out and winning out right

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Speaker 1: one hundred percent. Okay for me, it's a numbers play

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Speaker 1: plus three and a half Kyle Shanahan's run on McVeigh.

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Speaker 1: I don't mind Jimmy Garoppolo plus three and a half

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Speaker 1: one unit San Francisco to maybe not win the game,

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Speaker 1: but to lose by three or less against the Rams.

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Speaker 1: One unit. All right, and I've got one more bet

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Speaker 1: to give you, Okay. I have gone back and forth

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Speaker 1: and back and forth on both these totals, Okay. To

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Speaker 1: be honest, I think the first game goes over and

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Speaker 1: the second game goes under. But I'm not sold on it. Okay,

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Speaker 1: I'm not one hundred percent on either. I've done a

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Speaker 1: really poor job on totals this year, okay, But it's

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Speaker 1: hard to see Bengals and the Chiefs going under fifty points.

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Speaker 1: It's just hard to see it. It's at fifty four

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Speaker 1: and a half. I'm gonna tease it down to forty

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Speaker 1: eight and a half and bet over. Okay, just get

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Speaker 1: me to fifty one. Feels like that's the number, that

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Speaker 1: fifty one. The opener was fifty and a half. It

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Speaker 1: feels like fifty one is a pretty safe number, you know,

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Speaker 1: key numbers for totals. Forty one, forty four, fifty one,

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Speaker 1: fifty four. Okay, it's over fifty four. It's why it

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Speaker 1: hasn't gone higher because there are people betting the under

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Speaker 1: at fifty four. So it gets to fifty one and

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Speaker 1: then it goes under. Right, So I'm gonna go to

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Speaker 1: forty eight and a half and I'm gonna bet the

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Speaker 1: over all right now, the late game, the total is

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Speaker 1: forty six and a half. Right, let me double check

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Speaker 1: on this, making sure I'm make sure I'm giving you

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Speaker 1: the right numbers here because it's always a little funky.

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Speaker 1: Let's see. Okay, So the total is, yeah, total is

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Speaker 1: forty forty five and a half at the moment. Okay,

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna tease this up to fifty one and a

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Speaker 1: half and take the under. Okay, I'm gonna kind of

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Speaker 1: go back. The opening number was forty six, I believe, right,

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Speaker 1: and now it's gone down a little bit, so we're

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Speaker 1: gonna tease it back up over fifty one, which is

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Speaker 1: that key number again, get over fifty one and I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna tease and go to the under for one unit.

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Speaker 1: All right, two team six point teaser to the totals.

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Speaker 1: I haven't made this bet this season. I haven't teased

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Speaker 1: totals at all. A lot of people will tell you

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Speaker 1: that teasing totals is stupid, and maybe I'm making a

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Speaker 1: stupid bet would be the first time. But the reason

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Speaker 1: why I'm doing it is because I'm so close to me.

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Speaker 1: It's just such a close to the I think both

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Speaker 1: numbers are right. So if I can move both numbers

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Speaker 1: and pull down to forty eight and a half and

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Speaker 1: go over in the first game and then go under

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Speaker 1: fifty one and a half, I'm gonna do it. Mine

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Speaker 1: one twenty one unit going over in the first game,

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Speaker 1: under in the second game with teased totals here for

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Speaker 1: one unit, all right, So those are the three one

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Speaker 1: unit bets that I have got, going Bengals plus seven

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Speaker 1: and a half, Niners plus three and a half, and

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Speaker 1: a total teaser over in the first teased to the over,

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Speaker 1: tease down to go over, and tease up to go

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Speaker 1: to the under in the second game. Right, mine one

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Speaker 1: twenty on the teaser Mine one twenty et plus seven

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Speaker 1: and a half for the Bengals. So will I tease maybe?

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Speaker 1: Like I mentioned, we'll wait and see what the numbers do.

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Speaker 1: Is we get closer to kickoff on the live stream,

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Speaker 1: then I'll give you six player props coming up here

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Speaker 1: on the live stream, quarter unit each. But there's a

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Speaker 1: bunch to get into. I'm not always great on props,

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Speaker 1: but hopefully I'll have a nice little run here. We've

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Speaker 1: done okay down the stretch with player props here for

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Speaker 1: the NFL. Let's see. I forget if we've updated that

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Speaker 1: y or not. For player props. Let me see real quick,

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Speaker 1: because the math. I think we were fixing the math

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Speaker 1: on the player props to see where I am on

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Speaker 1: the postseason in twenty twenty two. For NFL player props. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: we haven't really updated. Okay, that's fine. Yeah, it says

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Speaker 1: I'm fourteen and seventeen. I'm not positive that's right. On

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Speaker 1: player props. That might be right, but I don't think

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Speaker 1: that's right. I think it's missing a week and then

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Speaker 1: fourteen and eleven. Amazingly enough, in twenty twenty two, I'm

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Speaker 1: fourteen and ten according to our sheet, fifty eight percent

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Speaker 1: hit rate up two point seven units, which is pretty decent.

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Speaker 1: So far in twenty twenty two, I'm flat college basketball.

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Speaker 1: I'm six and eight, but I'm seven and zero college football.

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Speaker 1: NBA is kind of a wishy. Yeah, we'll only do

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Speaker 1: about ten bets in the NFL, nothing too great, just

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Speaker 1: a couple of bets in MMA. So we're still pretty

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Speaker 1: young here in twenty twenty two, but pretty much flat

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Speaker 1: for the year money wise for twenty twenty two. So

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Speaker 1: let's see what today does. Okay, this is a big day.

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Speaker 1: It's a big championship day. I'm super excited. Live stream

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Speaker 1: is gonna have a bunch of stuff to give you

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Speaker 1: guys coming up here, and let's see what we do.

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Speaker 1: Live betting in game opportunities will be there. You know,

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Speaker 1: if you get off to a slow start, you may

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Speaker 1: If it total drops down, you maybe coming and jumping

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Speaker 1: into a total. If Casey gets off to a big

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Speaker 1: lead and you get sincy like plus ten plus fourteen,

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Speaker 1: maybe you jump in on that. Given Joe Burrow's comeback potential.

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Speaker 1: If the Bengals go up and the number goes with

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Speaker 1: plus money on Kansas City, maybe go in there with

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Speaker 1: Kansas City. Same thing could be said with the Rams

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Speaker 1: and the Niners. There's live betting opportunities going to be

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Speaker 1: happening all throughout the game. I'll be on the Discord

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Speaker 1: channel with you guys. If I see anything I like,

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Speaker 1: I'll tell you. If I'm telling you I'm going to

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Speaker 1: take anything, I will tell you. But going in pre

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Speaker 1: live stream bets three of them Bengals plus seven and

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Speaker 1: a half, Rams plus three over forty eight and a

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Speaker 1: half under fifty one and a half in the two

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Speaker 1: games from a total perspective for a six point teaser

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Speaker 1: minus Matt Perrault. I'll talk to them the live stream

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Speaker 1: later on today. For the Daily Juice and betting pros

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Speaker 1: every morning, it's the Deal Juice podcast, always being brought

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Speaker 1: to you by betem jam