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Speaker 1: Hey guys, how why are you welcome into a Sunday

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Speaker 1: morning episode of the Daily Juice podcast.

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Speaker 2: My name is Matt Peralt.

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Speaker 1: You guys can follow me across all of my socials

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Speaker 1: at Sports Talk Matt in this podcast being brought to

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Speaker 1: you by our friends at DraftKings. No good on a Saturday.

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Speaker 1: I got crushed. The official plays only went oh to three.

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Speaker 1: But I got a little lucky with a couple of

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Speaker 1: live bets. But overall it was a very bad Saturday

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Speaker 1: for me and the overall for the podcast. The trends

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Speaker 1: were not my friends here on a Saturday, Oh miss

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Speaker 1: outright bye bye? I mean talk about upset Saturday. We

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Speaker 1: talked about it on the live stream on the Discord

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Speaker 1: chat on Saturday morning about how it felt like this

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Speaker 1: could be a crazy weekend where chaos reeks and comes

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Speaker 1: have you know comes running through the college football playoff

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Speaker 1: all miss outright lost, Alabama outright lost, couple of scares,

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Speaker 1: Penn State got scared, Boise State State got scared. But

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Speaker 1: Ole miss man. I thought they'd make a pretty impressive

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Speaker 1: statement there on the road against Florida. That's four straight

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Speaker 1: wins and four straight covers at home for Billy Napier's club.

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Speaker 2: Pretty darn impressive.

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Speaker 1: Congratulate the Gators BYU had a shot, had a shot

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Speaker 1: at covering. They missed a couple of two point conversions,

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Speaker 1: which kind of stunk. They could have won the game outright.

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Speaker 1: Cal came all the way back down twenty one to

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Speaker 1: seven in the third quarter. They won the game, but

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Speaker 1: they did not cover the fourteen point line that we laid.

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Speaker 1: So unfortunately, you know, in three day down three point

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Speaker 1: four units, and that puts us in kind of a

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Speaker 1: predicament here. We need to have a winning Sunday. To

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Speaker 1: have a winning week comes down to this a lot

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Speaker 1: where the Sunday card tends to dictate. But in November

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Speaker 1: in the NFL, eh tough, Okay, tough, I've got the

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Speaker 1: player props coming at you. Terrell and I will be

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Speaker 1: live on the YouTube tube channel for Betting Pros at

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Speaker 1: noon Eastern time nine am Pacific time for about forty

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Speaker 1: five minutes leading up to kickoff of the early games.

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Speaker 1: We'll break down every game on Sunday, both early and late,

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Speaker 1: give you picks, plays and props all coming at you

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Speaker 1: on the Betting Pros YouTube channel. Looking forward to seeing

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Speaker 1: well being a part of that. If you haven't watched

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Speaker 1: that before, highly recommend that you guys do so. We

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Speaker 1: may find a long teaser. We may run into one.

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Speaker 1: I don't think I will, but we might.

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Speaker 2: I don't know.

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Speaker 1: We've kind of given up on long teasers this year,

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Speaker 1: just given the formula not working as well as it

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Speaker 1: should have. But maybe we find one. Four player props

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Speaker 1: coming at you for sure though. On the live stream

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Speaker 1: happening at noon Eastern time nine am Pacific time on

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Speaker 1: the Betting Prost YouTube channel. This podcast is being brought

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Speaker 1: to you by our friends at DraftKings and the DraftKings

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Speaker 1: draftkinks dot com, slash promos, Okay, let's start in the NFL,

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Speaker 1: and one bet on the early games. Minnesota is a Chicago.

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Speaker 1: The number opened at four and a half. It is

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Speaker 1: now three and a half. Here the Vikings are four

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Speaker 1: and two ats on the road. This is the third

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Speaker 1: consecutive road game for Minnesota. The Bears are four and

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Speaker 1: one at home this year. This is their third consecutive

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Speaker 1: home game. This is a rare situation where you see

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Speaker 1: one team on the road three straight games and one

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Speaker 1: team at home for three straight games. We normally always

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Speaker 1: pick the team that is playing at home on their

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Speaker 1: third straight game, and this time we get a plus

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Speaker 1: three and a half number. Last time out against green

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Speaker 1: Bay the blocked field goal for the Bears, they should

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Speaker 1: have won the game.

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Speaker 2: Green Bay got lucky.

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Speaker 1: Time before that, the Patriots went into Chicago and beat

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Speaker 1: them up pretty good. Four straight losses for Chicago, Eberflus

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Speaker 1: coaching for his job. A lot of turmoil going on

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Speaker 1: in Chicago. For this football game, the Vikings are seven

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Speaker 1: to three ats on the year. The Vikings have won

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Speaker 1: three straight games. They beat Indianapolis at home, Jacksonville on

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Speaker 1: the road by five, in Tennessee on the road by ten.

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Speaker 1: They have covered two of their last three football games.

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Speaker 1: WOK got the trends going into this game. Between these

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Speaker 1: two big rivals, it has been a smart move to

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Speaker 1: fade the Bears generally speaking when it comes to playing

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Speaker 1: the Vikings. The Vikings have won and covered four straight

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Speaker 1: road games in Chicago since the start of the twenty

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Speaker 1: twenty season.

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Speaker 2: That according to the.

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Speaker 1: Action Network, that's the best road mark against the spread

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Speaker 1: in Chicago since nineteen sixty five for the Vikings. Minnesota

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Speaker 1: was three and sixteen straight up in four fourteen and

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Speaker 1: one in Chicago in their previous nineteen trips before these

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Speaker 1: last four.

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Speaker 2: But the Bears are at home.

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Speaker 1: The Bears have played really poorly on the road, but

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Speaker 1: the Bears haven't been awful at home.

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Speaker 2: Matt Eberflus needs a win.

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Speaker 1: Okay, He's not been good against teams who are over

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Speaker 1: five hundred straight up with the Bears. He's two and

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Speaker 1: fourteen straight up. Okay, that is not good. But one

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Speaker 1: of those wins. We're against the Vikings last year. Vikings

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Speaker 1: have had some trouble winning games at times. Historically, though,

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Speaker 1: the Bears have been a fade. I'll give it to

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Speaker 1: you on that in divisional matchups over the past few years.

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Speaker 1: Nine twenty one and one ats against the Lions Packers

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Speaker 1: in Vikings since twenty nineteen. That is not good at all.

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Speaker 1: But again, three straight road games. I'm gonna roll the

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Speaker 1: dice here. I'm gonna think Caleb Williams can avoid the blitz.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna think this team is desperate to get a w.

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Speaker 1: I'll take the three and a half. The hook matters

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Speaker 1: here to me in a divisional game, Home dogs road

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Speaker 1: favorites in the NFL in divisional games don't like to

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Speaker 1: take it, even with the Bear stinking as much as

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Speaker 1: they have this year. I'll take Chicago plus three and

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Speaker 1: a half. They should have beaten the Packers last week.

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Speaker 1: Maybe they'll beat the Vikings this week and get it

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Speaker 1: done and not have black blocked kicks and choke on

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Speaker 1: games that they should win.

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Speaker 2: Let's see what happens with the Bears here.

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Speaker 1: But I'm taking the Bears at plus three and a

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Speaker 1: half for one point one units bet number two. Okay,

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Speaker 1: talk about let's see. Sorry, we're going, Oh, Arizona at Seattle.

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Speaker 1: Number is one or a pick. Arizona on the road

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Speaker 1: three and one ats this year, Seattle at home one

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Speaker 1: in five ats this year one in five.

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Speaker 2: That has to change. They won at San Francisco last week.

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Speaker 1: Okay, big win, big big moment in the season, big

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Speaker 1: win for Gino. It hurt us. I was on the Niners.

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Speaker 1: Gino rallied, Gino got a win. I think Gino can

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Speaker 1: do this again here in back to back games. I

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Speaker 1: think Seattle has an opportunity here to win the game

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Speaker 1: outright and cover.

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Speaker 2: It's only one. I got it at pick either or.

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Speaker 1: I don't think either BET's gonna really I think if

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Speaker 1: we win this, I don't think it's going to come

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Speaker 1: into play here with a pick. But on the road

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Speaker 1: the Cardinals, they've covered three straight games against the NFC West.

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Speaker 1: Prior to that streak, they were one in thirteen ats

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Speaker 1: in the previous fourteen games. This has been a little

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Speaker 1: bit of a shocker, to be quite honest. The Cardinals

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Speaker 1: have played this well Seattle since twenty eighteen. Coming off

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Speaker 1: a straight up win on the road as a dog

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Speaker 1: when they play a divisional opponent the week before, are

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Speaker 1: winning sixty percent and covering sixty percent of their games

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Speaker 1: in the next game. Kyler Murray has started five games

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Speaker 1: after a bye during the season. After the bye, he's

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Speaker 1: one in four straight up in one in four ats

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Speaker 1: in that game, failing to cover by nine point one

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Speaker 1: points per game. The only time they covered after being

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Speaker 1: on a buy was in Chicago of twenty twenty one.

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Speaker 1: Hasn't happened all that that often. Kyler Murray has started

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Speaker 1: fourteen games where his team was on extended rest. He's

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Speaker 1: five and nine ats in those games. Seattle's at home.

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Speaker 1: Seattle has struggled at home this year one in five.

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Speaker 1: But this is tough, Okay, this is a hard place

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Speaker 1: to play. Gino Smith is three in ten at home

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Speaker 1: since the beginning of last year.

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Speaker 2: That has to change, straight up.

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Speaker 1: That has to change against the Cardinals here today, I'm

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Speaker 1: taking Seattle, even with those numbers being a bit scary.

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Speaker 1: I'll take Seattle on a pick just to win the

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Speaker 1: game here one one and a half fine, but just

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Speaker 1: to pick Seattle to win the game against the Cardinals

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Speaker 1: coming off of a bye. Bet number three. Let's talk

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Speaker 1: Philadelphia at the Rams. Philly five and one ats on

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Speaker 1: the road this year. The Rams are two and three

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Speaker 1: against the number at home this year. The Rams went

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Speaker 1: to New England in one, but they went cross country.

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Speaker 1: They were home from Miami across the country to New England,

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Speaker 1: not coming back home here against Philadelphia. The Eagles have

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Speaker 1: won in covered four of their last five games. They

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Speaker 1: beat Washington by eight in covered. They beat Dallas by

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Speaker 1: twenty eight on the road in covered. They didn't cover

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Speaker 1: against Jacksonville, but they won the game by five is

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Speaker 1: seven and a half point favorites, and they beat Cincinnati

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Speaker 1: by twenty as three point dogs. They beat the Giants

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Speaker 1: on the road as three point favorites by twenty five.

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Speaker 1: They beat Cleveland league nine, they won by four. They've

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Speaker 1: won straight up six straight games. They're six and four overall,

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Speaker 1: they're three to zero against their division, but they're five

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Speaker 1: and two against the NFC so far this season. Ats.

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Speaker 1: The Rams are three and four against the NFC ats.

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Speaker 1: They did beat Seattle on the road in the last

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Speaker 1: time they played an NFC team. They beat Minnesota at

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Speaker 1: home as two and a half point dogs. They won

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Speaker 1: that game by ten. Beat the Raiders by five as

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Speaker 1: seven point favorites at home. But I think this Eagles

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Speaker 1: team might be the best team in football. I know

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Speaker 1: everyone says the Lions. I don't think they're that far away.

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Speaker 2: If you want to bet the under in this game,

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Speaker 2: it's not a horrible play.

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Speaker 1: Okay, Sunday Night Football under since twenty twenty two are

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Speaker 1: hitting at a sixty seven percent clip. That's incredible. Thirty

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Speaker 1: four and thirteen during the regular season as well, that's

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Speaker 1: just nuts. But AJ Brown's playing in this game for

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Speaker 1: the Eagles, and when AJ Brown is playing, the Eagles

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Speaker 1: have seen him play in seven games.

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Speaker 2: They are seven to zero.

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Speaker 1: In the games in which AJ Brown has played, They've

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Speaker 1: averaged thirty points per game when he's playing, just seventeen

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Speaker 1: point three points per game when he is not playing.

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Speaker 1: Saquon Barkley is going to be a really big problem

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Speaker 1: I think for this Rams team to stop. Jalen Hurts

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Speaker 1: has not been great on the road, laying points since

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Speaker 1: twenty twenty four, and starting in twenty twenty four, he's

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Speaker 1: six fourteen and one ATS. Is a favorite away from

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Speaker 1: home that is awful. In twenty twenty four, however, he

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Speaker 1: is three to one ATS on a road or a neutral,

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Speaker 1: scoring twenty eight points in three of those four games,

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Speaker 1: which is just tremendous. Eagles have a chance here to

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Speaker 1: come down the stretch run. I'm just not a huge

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Speaker 1: favorite and a huge fan of Sean McVay and Matthew Stafford. Here.

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Speaker 2: I was on the Patriots last week. That burned me.

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Speaker 1: They're six and fourteen straight up as underdogs here. Why

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Speaker 1: McVeigh and Stafford are dogs?

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Speaker 2: You know?

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Speaker 1: Sean McVay coaching at night is twelve twenty seventeen and

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Speaker 1: two ATS. On short rest he's seven and three ATS.

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Speaker 1: But when it's normal or extended rest ten twelve and

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Speaker 1: two ats like they are here.

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Speaker 2: I like the Eagles. Give me Philadelphia.

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Speaker 1: I'll lay the three points on Sunday Night, like the

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Speaker 1: under two Philadelphia minus three for one point one units

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Speaker 1: and my teaser here for this. The Miami Dolphins have

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Speaker 1: just owned the Patriots. Okay, the number is seven. The

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Speaker 1: Dolphins have covered the spread in eight straight games against

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Speaker 1: the Patriots dating back to December of twenty twenty at home.

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Speaker 1: Miami has won four straight games at home and covered

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Speaker 1: four straight times. That's their longest streak since the nineties

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Speaker 1: against the you know, since Tom Brady has retired. This

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Speaker 1: has just not been great for the Patriots taking on

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Speaker 1: teams like Buffalo and the Dolphins.

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Speaker 2: They own the Jets, but teams not named the Jets.

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Speaker 1: Look, Drake May very well might be, you know, the

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Speaker 1: solution for the Patriots, but the Dolphins scored thirty five

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Speaker 1: points last week against the Raiders. I just don't think

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Speaker 1: Drake May is gonna score enough against this Dolphins defense.

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Speaker 1: I think they're gonna blitz some like crazy here. The

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Speaker 1: game is in November, so the weather will be nice.

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Speaker 1: Since twenty twenty one, Dolphins are five and seventeen straight

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Speaker 1: up against teams above five hundred, but they're twenty one

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Speaker 1: and ten straight up against teams below five hundred. Two

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Speaker 1: is twenty one and eight against teams below five hundred,

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Speaker 1: including thirteen and seven ats at home. Take the Dolphins

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Speaker 1: from seven down to minus one, and I'm gonna pair

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Speaker 1: it up with San Francisco and the green Bay Packers,

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Speaker 1: who are laying six points at home. The quarterback swap

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Speaker 1: swap is why this happened. Green Bay's just two and

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Speaker 1: three at home ats. They haven't covered in four straight games.

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Speaker 1: They did win three of those four games, But I'm

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Speaker 1: just gonna pull it down to a money line play

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Speaker 1: for green Bay here up again San Francisco, who's one

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Speaker 1: in three on the road. Brandon Allen's going to play

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Speaker 1: quarterback for them. Yes, George Kittle's coming back, but this

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Speaker 1: is just too much to ask in my opinion of

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Speaker 1: a San Francisco team that's been completely.

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Speaker 2: Underachieving this year.

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Speaker 1: They very well may cover the number, the cover the

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Speaker 1: six here, but green Bay just to win, I'll pull

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Speaker 1: it down green Bay pick Dallas, sorry, Dolphins minus one

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Speaker 1: for one point two units. Okay, so the plays for

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Speaker 1: today Bears plus three and a half, Seattle pick Eagles

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Speaker 1: minus three, Teasers, Dolphins minus one, green Bay Packers on

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Speaker 1: a pick here for us here today up against the

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Speaker 1: San Francisco forty nine ers, four player props coming at

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Speaker 1: you with Terrell and myself at noon Eastern Time on

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Speaker 1: the Bidding Pros YouTube channel. Looking forward to seeing all

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Speaker 1: you coming up later on today minus Matt Parol following

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Speaker 1: us all socials at Sports Doc Matt. Every morning, It's

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Speaker 1: the Deal Juice podcast presented by DraftKings