1 00:00:02,440 --> 00:00:05,840 Speaker 1: Bloomber Business News twenty four hours a day. If Bloomberg 2 00:00:05,880 --> 00:00:08,920 Speaker 1: dot com, the radio plus mobile last and on your radio. 3 00:00:09,240 --> 00:00:13,280 Speaker 1: This is a Bloomberg Business Flash and I'm Karen Moscow. 4 00:00:13,280 --> 00:00:15,920 Speaker 1: This update drown to you by the accountants and advisers 5 00:00:15,920 --> 00:00:18,639 Speaker 1: at Eisner Emperor. Cyber security is on the mind of 6 00:00:18,680 --> 00:00:22,600 Speaker 1: every business leader. Managing cyber risk should beat you. Get 7 00:00:22,640 --> 00:00:25,600 Speaker 1: started with a cyber risk assessment. Learn more Eisner Emperor 8 00:00:25,640 --> 00:00:29,800 Speaker 1: dot com slash cyber risk. Global equities are rallying, the 9 00:00:29,800 --> 00:00:32,479 Speaker 1: pound is strengthening. The Moss two thousand eight on signs 10 00:00:32,479 --> 00:00:34,720 Speaker 1: of campaign for the UK to stay in the European 11 00:00:34,960 --> 00:00:38,600 Speaker 1: Union is gaining momentum before this week's referendum. We checked 12 00:00:38,600 --> 00:00:41,280 Speaker 1: the markets every fifteen minutes throughout the trading day on 13 00:00:41,320 --> 00:00:43,920 Speaker 1: Bloomberg and the S and P five hundred is higher, 14 00:00:44,000 --> 00:00:47,320 Speaker 1: up one point three percent or twenty six points to seven, 15 00:00:47,560 --> 00:00:50,040 Speaker 1: the down Joones Industrial average up one point four percent 16 00:00:50,120 --> 00:00:53,080 Speaker 1: or two hundred fifty three points, the seventeen thousand, nine 17 00:00:53,120 --> 00:00:55,320 Speaker 1: hundred twenty seven, and then as to acts up one 18 00:00:55,320 --> 00:00:57,800 Speaker 1: point four percent or sixty four points to forty eight 19 00:00:57,960 --> 00:01:01,400 Speaker 1: sixty three ten. Your treasury down seventeen thirty seconds, the 20 00:01:01,440 --> 00:01:04,360 Speaker 1: yield one point six six percent. Yield on the two 21 00:01:04,440 --> 00:01:08,040 Speaker 1: year is point seven one percent. NIMEX scrude oil up 22 00:01:08,040 --> 00:01:10,000 Speaker 1: one point six per cent or seventy eight cents to 23 00:01:10,080 --> 00:01:12,920 Speaker 1: forty eight seventy five a barrel Comax gold down eight 24 00:01:12,920 --> 00:01:15,640 Speaker 1: tenths percent or ten dollars sixty cents to twelve eighty 25 00:01:15,680 --> 00:01:19,199 Speaker 1: four twenty an ounce. The euro anollar thirteen forty three, 26 00:01:19,240 --> 00:01:22,280 Speaker 1: the British pound a dollar forty six thirty three, the 27 00:01:22,360 --> 00:01:26,280 Speaker 1: yen one oh four point four four. Del agreeing to 28 00:01:26,319 --> 00:01:29,280 Speaker 1: sell as software unit to buy out firm Francisco Partners 29 00:01:29,280 --> 00:01:32,959 Speaker 1: Management and the private equity arm of activist investor Elliott Management, 30 00:01:33,200 --> 00:01:37,560 Speaker 1: and Federal Mobile Holdings. Largest stockholder, activist investor Carl Icon 31 00:01:37,920 --> 00:01:40,520 Speaker 1: raising his offer to buy the remaining eighteen percent of 32 00:01:40,520 --> 00:01:43,680 Speaker 1: the auto parts maker. Icon Enterprises, raised its fit to 33 00:01:43,760 --> 00:01:46,240 Speaker 1: eight dollars a share from the seven dollars a share 34 00:01:46,319 --> 00:01:49,840 Speaker 1: offered in February. That's a Bloomberg business flash, Tom and 35 00:01:49,880 --> 00:01:54,440 Speaker 1: Mike Karen Moscow, thank you very much. Well, it is 36 00:01:54,880 --> 00:01:59,880 Speaker 1: tom uh at very bottom eight an extraordinarily volatile were 37 00:02:00,400 --> 00:02:03,560 Speaker 1: right now in the markets. We have seen, for example, 38 00:02:03,600 --> 00:02:08,560 Speaker 1: the Vix two weeks ago on June tenth, Friday three 39 00:02:09,160 --> 00:02:13,880 Speaker 1: last Friday nineteen. During the week last week over twenty 40 00:02:13,919 --> 00:02:17,560 Speaker 1: today back down to seventeen, the same sort of UH 41 00:02:18,120 --> 00:02:20,960 Speaker 1: moves have held in place for the bond market and 42 00:02:20,960 --> 00:02:24,200 Speaker 1: the currency market. How do you invest in a world 43 00:02:24,240 --> 00:02:28,520 Speaker 1: that is this volatile? Kate Warren is with Edward Jones. 44 00:02:28,600 --> 00:02:32,840 Speaker 1: She has to advise people on how to do that, Kate, 45 00:02:33,560 --> 00:02:36,079 Speaker 1: other than hiding under the bed, what's the best thing 46 00:02:36,280 --> 00:02:38,520 Speaker 1: for somebody to do in a time when you have 47 00:02:38,880 --> 00:02:40,960 Speaker 1: because this will be over Thursday, but in a time 48 00:02:40,960 --> 00:02:44,040 Speaker 1: when you have so many crazy things going on in 49 00:02:44,040 --> 00:02:47,880 Speaker 1: the world, how do you play that well? We actually 50 00:02:47,880 --> 00:02:52,560 Speaker 1: think that most investors should own UH quality companies that 51 00:02:52,960 --> 00:02:55,959 Speaker 1: can make their own fortunes in a world that's folatile 52 00:02:56,040 --> 00:02:59,959 Speaker 1: like this. And we like companies UH at the equa 53 00:03:00,080 --> 00:03:04,760 Speaker 1: of companies that have some global positioning so they'll benefit 54 00:03:04,919 --> 00:03:08,360 Speaker 1: from whatever is happening around the world, that pay dividends 55 00:03:08,480 --> 00:03:12,040 Speaker 1: and have a track record of increasing their dividends regularly. 56 00:03:12,560 --> 00:03:16,440 Speaker 1: We think those have the sustainable competitive advantages and that 57 00:03:16,480 --> 00:03:19,960 Speaker 1: makes them a good choice for portfolios, especially in this 58 00:03:20,040 --> 00:03:23,880 Speaker 1: world of volatility. And make one other point, which is 59 00:03:23,919 --> 00:03:25,800 Speaker 1: we don'ts be sure that you have enough in bonds 60 00:03:25,840 --> 00:03:28,440 Speaker 1: even though the rates were low, because even as we've 61 00:03:28,480 --> 00:03:30,920 Speaker 1: seen today, bonds tend to move in the opposite direction 62 00:03:31,000 --> 00:03:34,480 Speaker 1: from stocks. Would you argue that this is sort of 63 00:03:34,560 --> 00:03:40,480 Speaker 1: the ultimate argument for active management as opposed to passive investing. 64 00:03:41,400 --> 00:03:44,280 Speaker 1: I think that's partly the case, and the reason is 65 00:03:44,760 --> 00:03:48,960 Speaker 1: you want active managers who are looking at companies you 66 00:03:49,000 --> 00:03:54,280 Speaker 1: would that aren't necessarily overweight in a benchmark index which 67 00:03:54,320 --> 00:03:58,480 Speaker 1: passive investments tend to follow, and where they're really good 68 00:03:58,480 --> 00:04:02,240 Speaker 1: opportunities for growth US in an environment of very slow growth, 69 00:04:02,560 --> 00:04:05,920 Speaker 1: which is partly the backdrop to why people are even 70 00:04:06,000 --> 00:04:09,680 Speaker 1: voting thinking about voting for Brexit. We are honored to 71 00:04:09,760 --> 00:04:12,920 Speaker 1: have you on because you speak to real investors. We've 72 00:04:12,920 --> 00:04:15,720 Speaker 1: had a lot of lundie dog guests like David Blanchflower, 73 00:04:16,080 --> 00:04:19,599 Speaker 1: thrilled to have them on from Dartmouth College moments ago. Kate, 74 00:04:19,760 --> 00:04:23,680 Speaker 1: how do you respond to people who say, I just 75 00:04:23,960 --> 00:04:28,760 Speaker 1: can't do this with all the news flow that's out there, 76 00:04:29,240 --> 00:04:32,480 Speaker 1: How do you say to them? If bonds are priced 77 00:04:32,520 --> 00:04:35,200 Speaker 1: toro praction yields are where we never imagine they'd be, 78 00:04:35,960 --> 00:04:39,719 Speaker 1: how do you do an investment? I think that's a 79 00:04:39,720 --> 00:04:44,200 Speaker 1: really good question, because it is an environment where rates 80 00:04:44,200 --> 00:04:48,480 Speaker 1: are low, where everything looks expensive. But what we also 81 00:04:48,560 --> 00:04:52,440 Speaker 1: know is that we're not seeing any signs of inflation 82 00:04:52,640 --> 00:04:55,839 Speaker 1: out there, even though US inflation is picking up a 83 00:04:55,880 --> 00:04:59,880 Speaker 1: little bit. And that says that the biggest risk to 84 00:05:00,040 --> 00:05:04,479 Speaker 1: long term investors, which is that your portfolio and your 85 00:05:04,600 --> 00:05:09,160 Speaker 1: spending money is eroded away every day by higher prices, 86 00:05:09,800 --> 00:05:11,919 Speaker 1: isn't likely to be that much of a risk. So 87 00:05:12,000 --> 00:05:15,320 Speaker 1: those still low returns are which you're going to need 88 00:05:15,640 --> 00:05:18,720 Speaker 1: to be able to fund your retirement or to put 89 00:05:18,760 --> 00:05:21,920 Speaker 1: your kids through school. And I think the way you 90 00:05:21,960 --> 00:05:25,200 Speaker 1: address the essence of your question, which is there's lots 91 00:05:25,200 --> 00:05:27,880 Speaker 1: of stuff moving back and forth, is to realize that 92 00:05:27,880 --> 00:05:29,800 Speaker 1: that's really sort of like the waves in the ocean, 93 00:05:29,960 --> 00:05:32,200 Speaker 1: and that you want to focus on the tides to 94 00:05:32,279 --> 00:05:34,880 Speaker 1: gettin into the longer term trends and not pay so 95 00:05:34,960 --> 00:05:38,159 Speaker 1: much attention to pulls that swing from one moment to 96 00:05:38,200 --> 00:05:41,320 Speaker 1: the next and can make you feel really uneasy, but 97 00:05:41,400 --> 00:05:44,720 Speaker 1: those fundamentals are still going to draw the longer term 98 00:05:44,880 --> 00:05:49,560 Speaker 1: returns and um and environment that you'll be investing in. 99 00:05:51,640 --> 00:05:55,720 Speaker 1: We have this headline in tom keeping people on top 100 00:05:55,760 --> 00:05:59,960 Speaker 1: of everything political, the New York Times reporting that Donald 101 00:06:00,080 --> 00:06:05,480 Speaker 1: Chump has fired his campaign manager, Corey Gluwandowski. Oh he is. 102 00:06:06,680 --> 00:06:08,880 Speaker 1: This is basically the top guy, and he's been he's 103 00:06:08,920 --> 00:06:11,120 Speaker 1: been a lot of controversy. That they brought in Paul 104 00:06:11,160 --> 00:06:14,760 Speaker 1: Manaford to to to work with him, and the two 105 00:06:14,800 --> 00:06:17,440 Speaker 1: did not, according to reports, get along. They're having a 106 00:06:17,480 --> 00:06:20,560 Speaker 1: strategy meaning to try to fix the campaign. Uh. And 107 00:06:21,000 --> 00:06:23,360 Speaker 1: this is the first result that we are hearing. Didn't 108 00:06:23,360 --> 00:06:28,080 Speaker 1: move the markets. It's hard to tell what movies moving 109 00:06:28,160 --> 00:06:30,960 Speaker 1: the markets there right now? Okay, when you look at 110 00:06:31,839 --> 00:06:35,480 Speaker 1: the mix between equities and fixed I'm give us perspective 111 00:06:35,600 --> 00:06:38,599 Speaker 1: from Edward Jones, give us the waiting of the two. 112 00:06:38,600 --> 00:06:41,800 Speaker 1: And again I say it, with yields down, prices up, 113 00:06:42,040 --> 00:06:44,560 Speaker 1: how do you mix the two? We're told we're supposed 114 00:06:44,600 --> 00:06:48,359 Speaker 1: to do that. Great, What do I actually do well? 115 00:06:48,440 --> 00:06:51,760 Speaker 1: It actually depends on how uncomfortable you are with the 116 00:06:51,839 --> 00:06:54,080 Speaker 1: day to day headline and the day to day move 117 00:06:54,520 --> 00:06:58,520 Speaker 1: in stocks. That short term volatility is what you want 118 00:06:58,560 --> 00:07:01,360 Speaker 1: to be sure you don't turn it into an actual 119 00:07:01,520 --> 00:07:05,760 Speaker 1: loss in your capital. If you can stomach the day 120 00:07:05,760 --> 00:07:08,600 Speaker 1: to day moves, whether the vix's upper down and the 121 00:07:08,680 --> 00:07:11,800 Speaker 1: votes are bad or good, then you don't need so 122 00:07:11,880 --> 00:07:14,880 Speaker 1: much in fixed income or in bonds, And then we'd 123 00:07:14,880 --> 00:07:19,680 Speaker 1: probably be recommending for each individual that they assess that comfort, 124 00:07:19,800 --> 00:07:24,120 Speaker 1: but maybe something that's sixty percent in stacks and fixed income. 125 00:07:24,680 --> 00:07:27,440 Speaker 1: If you're really uncomfortable with that volatility, then you need 126 00:07:27,480 --> 00:07:31,400 Speaker 1: to have more in fixed income, even though the rates 127 00:07:31,400 --> 00:07:35,120 Speaker 1: of return aren't very high. I would say one other thing, 128 00:07:35,240 --> 00:07:38,320 Speaker 1: which is when you're thinking about all the headlines so 129 00:07:38,400 --> 00:07:42,040 Speaker 1: we're here, keep in mind that everybody is still at 130 00:07:42,080 --> 00:07:45,600 Speaker 1: the stores, everybody is still doing their day to day business, 131 00:07:45,640 --> 00:07:49,160 Speaker 1: and that you can derive some comfort if you're investing 132 00:07:49,200 --> 00:07:53,360 Speaker 1: in companies where you can actually see that the world 133 00:07:53,400 --> 00:07:55,680 Speaker 1: isn't changing that much and that people don't change their 134 00:07:55,720 --> 00:07:58,840 Speaker 1: behavior nearly as much as those head blinds change. And 135 00:07:58,920 --> 00:08:01,840 Speaker 1: a lot of the company as you're invested in actually 136 00:08:01,880 --> 00:08:04,240 Speaker 1: make their money because people keep doing the same thing 137 00:08:04,320 --> 00:08:07,640 Speaker 1: day after day, whether it's spreashing their tea or shopping 138 00:08:07,720 --> 00:08:12,040 Speaker 1: for crushies or going out to uh, you know, add 139 00:08:12,080 --> 00:08:15,080 Speaker 1: another iPhone because they have another, you know, if they've 140 00:08:15,120 --> 00:08:18,040 Speaker 1: broken and they need a new one. Oh, nobody in 141 00:08:18,080 --> 00:08:22,920 Speaker 1: this room would be like that of Mr McKee is 142 00:08:23,000 --> 00:08:26,360 Speaker 1: laughing at mean, folks, I actually finally one of my 143 00:08:26,480 --> 00:08:32,320 Speaker 1: children has never had an unbroken iPhone. I finally, um, Kate, 144 00:08:32,400 --> 00:08:35,040 Speaker 1: I finally did it myself. And the good news was 145 00:08:35,080 --> 00:08:39,079 Speaker 1: I can blame no one. It was totally mindful. And 146 00:08:39,800 --> 00:08:42,760 Speaker 1: good morning, Mr Cook if you're listening, is sometimes you 147 00:08:42,840 --> 00:08:45,719 Speaker 1: do on the West Coast, the Apple service Mike was 148 00:08:45,760 --> 00:08:51,320 Speaker 1: a miracle. To be honest, Kate, you said, don't forget bonds, 149 00:08:51,600 --> 00:08:55,040 Speaker 1: But which bonds would you like to remember in this situation, 150 00:08:55,200 --> 00:08:58,920 Speaker 1: because it's very hard to find one that you make 151 00:08:58,960 --> 00:09:01,160 Speaker 1: a whole lot of money, And um, I guess you're 152 00:09:01,200 --> 00:09:04,720 Speaker 1: just looking for one which you get your money back. Yes. 153 00:09:04,920 --> 00:09:08,560 Speaker 1: And so for many investors it's tom mis simple bonds 154 00:09:08,559 --> 00:09:11,800 Speaker 1: because they're more concerned or at least they're somewhat concerned 155 00:09:11,840 --> 00:09:16,720 Speaker 1: about taxes over time. Uh. And while the additional rate 156 00:09:16,800 --> 00:09:21,040 Speaker 1: you get isn't much above corporate bonds, UH, sometimes it's 157 00:09:21,040 --> 00:09:24,240 Speaker 1: a lot higher than now. For many people, the tax 158 00:09:24,280 --> 00:09:27,720 Speaker 1: advantage is still the thing to think about. UM. We 159 00:09:27,800 --> 00:09:31,839 Speaker 1: like corporate bonds essentially short and intermediate term more than 160 00:09:31,920 --> 00:09:36,480 Speaker 1: long term. But what you're looking for is, uh, you know, 161 00:09:36,600 --> 00:09:39,640 Speaker 1: the rates are love so it's unfortunately not a great 162 00:09:39,640 --> 00:09:41,839 Speaker 1: place to be saying, hey, I make a lot of money, 163 00:09:42,200 --> 00:09:44,360 Speaker 1: but what you're really looking for is that part of 164 00:09:44,360 --> 00:09:49,000 Speaker 1: your portfolio that gives you, you know, basically a return 165 00:09:49,160 --> 00:09:53,080 Speaker 1: over time that you can count on stable income. If 166 00:09:53,120 --> 00:09:56,040 Speaker 1: you're taking money out of your portfolio, it's just not 167 00:09:56,160 --> 00:09:58,920 Speaker 1: a lot in this environment. And we'll you know, look 168 00:09:58,920 --> 00:10:00,880 Speaker 1: at that and saying not good, but you don't want 169 00:10:00,880 --> 00:10:03,960 Speaker 1: to be out of it, just because the rate and 170 00:10:04,040 --> 00:10:06,760 Speaker 1: some of the tension of a single digit world playing 171 00:10:06,800 --> 00:10:09,400 Speaker 1: out in the politics we're covering here in London. Kate Warren, 172 00:10:09,760 --> 00:10:11,800 Speaker 1: thank you so much with Edward Jones. What a great 173 00:10:11,880 --> 00:10:14,600 Speaker 1: job by our team today to get the usual London 174 00:10:14,600 --> 00:10:17,520 Speaker 1: guests and the debate Michael McKee, but also people like 175 00:10:17,640 --> 00:10:22,080 Speaker 1: Kate Warren to balance things out. Mike. Is it a 176 00:10:22,120 --> 00:10:24,680 Speaker 1: busy economic week? I think it sort of is, even 177 00:10:24,679 --> 00:10:27,680 Speaker 1: though today it was quite It's a it's a medium 178 00:10:27,760 --> 00:10:30,920 Speaker 1: economic week, but made more interesting by the fact that 179 00:10:31,000 --> 00:10:34,200 Speaker 1: Janet Yellen will be testifying tomorrow and Wednesday up on 180 00:10:34,320 --> 00:10:38,079 Speaker 1: Capitol Hill, which you kind of know where she's coming from, 181 00:10:38,200 --> 00:10:41,520 Speaker 1: but you've got to pay attention anyway. We have on 182 00:10:41,960 --> 00:10:44,920 Speaker 1: Wednesday existing home sales and of course Thursday job was 183 00:10:45,000 --> 00:10:48,080 Speaker 1: claims Friday new home sales, so there are things to watch, 184 00:10:48,120 --> 00:10:50,840 Speaker 1: but it is really a Jennet Yellen dominated week. In 185 00:10:50,880 --> 00:10:54,320 Speaker 1: the United States, we sit here Brexit here. We say 186 00:10:54,320 --> 00:10:57,240 Speaker 1: thank you to our teams in London and in New York, 187 00:10:57,280 --> 00:11:00,600 Speaker 1: particularly to Breed Taylor who just he has put up 188 00:11:00,640 --> 00:11:04,800 Speaker 1: with you yelling and screaming this morning, yelling and screaming, 189 00:11:05,240 --> 00:11:09,480 Speaker 1: middle morning, yelling and screaming here at lunchtime and beyond UK. 190 00:11:10,840 --> 00:11:13,960 Speaker 1: We'll do this tomorrow from London. Bloomberg Surveillance