WEBVTT - Need-Based Retail Prevails Over Want-Based: Telsey

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome to the Bloomberg Penl Podcast. I'm Paul swing you,

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<v Speaker 1>along with my co host Lisa Brahma wits. Each day

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<v Speaker 1>we bring you the most noteworthy and useful interviews for

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<v Speaker 1>you and your money. Whether at the grocery store or

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<v Speaker 1>the trading floor. Find a Bloomberg Penl podcast on Apple

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<v Speaker 1>podcast or wherever you listen to podcasts, as well as

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<v Speaker 1>at Bloomberg dot com. Earnings very strong numbers coming out

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<v Speaker 1>of Target and Lows today, helping push the market up

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<v Speaker 1>close to one percent. Let's get a breakdown on these

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<v Speaker 1>earnings and all things retail. To do that, nobody better

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<v Speaker 1>to talk to than Dana Telsey. Dana is the CEO

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<v Speaker 1>and founder of Tells, the Advisory Group based in New York. Dana,

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<v Speaker 1>thanks so much for joining us. Let's start with those

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<v Speaker 1>earnings that we've got today, Target and Lows, blockbuster numbers,

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<v Speaker 1>stocks really popping. Gives your takeaways, I think overall, what

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<v Speaker 1>you're seeing is value and convenience is working. When you

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<v Speaker 1>see things in open air centers, they definitely are gaining

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<v Speaker 1>the traffic and gaining share. When you think about both

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<v Speaker 1>Target and Low. Of the numbers certainly came in a

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<v Speaker 1>little bit better than expected. I mean, that's better than

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<v Speaker 1>expected same store sales. That target was very impressive. Keep

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<v Speaker 1>in mind that comp of three point four percent better

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<v Speaker 1>than the the consensus number at just around three percent,

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<v Speaker 1>and it's traffic up two point four percent. That certainly

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<v Speaker 1>is is very super impressive, and it comes from the

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<v Speaker 1>merchandise assortment that they've had, the price investment that they've made,

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<v Speaker 1>the new private brands and remodeling stores. And then you

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<v Speaker 1>see Low's also they maintained their guidance but delivered a

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<v Speaker 1>beat on the second quarter, and their US CAMP of

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<v Speaker 1>three point their US CAMP of three point two percent

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<v Speaker 1>was quite solid. It basically mirrored and came in slightly

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<v Speaker 1>better than home depots US CAMP of three point one percent.

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<v Speaker 1>So I think overall, these big companies have been able

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<v Speaker 1>to integrate, certainly omni channel initiatives they're using buy online,

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<v Speaker 1>pickup in store. The product assortment and price investments are working,

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<v Speaker 1>and there delivering on the gross margin, a big difference

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<v Speaker 1>than what we've seen in some of the apparel companies.

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<v Speaker 1>We've seen gross margin headwinds and apparel companies, we've seen

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<v Speaker 1>gross margin improvement at some of the discounters and home retailers, Dana,

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<v Speaker 1>It's interesting to me to see how people are viewing

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<v Speaker 1>these earnings in light of the US economy. In other words,

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<v Speaker 1>people looking at Target, Walmart and Lows and saying, look,

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<v Speaker 1>they beat. The consumer is strong. And on the flip side,

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<v Speaker 1>these are traditionally discount stores, and Lows not a discount store.

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<v Speaker 1>But people usually renovate rather than move if they don't

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<v Speaker 1>want to make an investment in buying a home. Uh So,

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<v Speaker 1>how are you viewing the beats in terms of that

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<v Speaker 1>broader perspective? I think overall, when I think about the

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<v Speaker 1>US consumer, what it tells me is that the consumer

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<v Speaker 1>is healthy. When I have traffic games like up two

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<v Speaker 1>point four percent in traffic games at Walmart, that's encouraging.

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<v Speaker 1>It wasn't done just on price the loan. It was

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<v Speaker 1>done on more consumers walking in the door. When I

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<v Speaker 1>think about what I'm seeing in apparel, it's a different

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<v Speaker 1>worlds and apparel. The head winds of tariffs are definitely

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<v Speaker 1>going to be an issue, and you had Macy CEO

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<v Speaker 1>who basically said that trying to pass on some of

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<v Speaker 1>the price increases, the consumer won't accept the price increases.

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<v Speaker 1>There's needs and there's wants. I think both the home

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<v Speaker 1>improvement retailers the discounters are more need based retailers. I

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<v Speaker 1>think apparel retailers are more want based retailers. And certainly

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<v Speaker 1>an apparel given that you've had a consolidation of wearing

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<v Speaker 1>occasions work weekend, Jim and going to a party work

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<v Speaker 1>weekend in gim er all one, you can basically get

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<v Speaker 1>more value for your money in in apparel in different

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<v Speaker 1>places today than what you have in the past because

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<v Speaker 1>you don't need to buy as many different outfits, so

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<v Speaker 1>you better get it right in order to make the difference.

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<v Speaker 1>So Dana, give us a sense. Just you've covered the

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<v Speaker 1>broad retail space for such a long time, you've got

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<v Speaker 1>your finger on the pulse of it. You know. One

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<v Speaker 1>of the concerns out there that I hear from investors

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<v Speaker 1>is that the US, despite all the store closings that

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<v Speaker 1>we've seen, whether it's toys, r ust or whatever, the

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<v Speaker 1>US is still way overstored. Can you give us your

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<v Speaker 1>thoughts on that. I think overall, when you're thinking about

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<v Speaker 1>stores today, I think we do have a smaller store

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<v Speaker 1>base that's required for retailers than you had in the past.

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<v Speaker 1>It's got to be the right stores, and it's got

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<v Speaker 1>to be the right centers, and you're seeing transformations happen.

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<v Speaker 1>I call it reinvention for relevancy, and I think you're

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<v Speaker 1>seeing experiential factors being placed in shopping centers. It's being

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<v Speaker 1>placed in retailers too, in order to create that destination.

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<v Speaker 1>And whether it's food, whether it's events, you're seeing every

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<v Speaker 1>type of retailer in order to connect to their customers.

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<v Speaker 1>You have to innovate, you need to offer speed, and

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<v Speaker 1>you need to learn from the data of what to

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<v Speaker 1>offer them. So when I think about the number of stores,

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<v Speaker 1>you're not seeing as many stores open, you're not seeing

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<v Speaker 1>as many shopping centers open. Reinvesting in both the center

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<v Speaker 1>and the store is required to stay relevant. DNA. It's

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<v Speaker 1>so interesting when you talk about investing. It really highlights

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<v Speaker 1>how companies that have money and have scope have such

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<v Speaker 1>an advantage right now over those that are struggling under

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<v Speaker 1>the load of big debts or just a lack of cash.

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<v Speaker 1>Right and so you're seeing sort of a tale of

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<v Speaker 1>two cities within the retail space. But I have to

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<v Speaker 1>wonder size is it a benefit or a detractor? Because

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<v Speaker 1>people were talking about how department stores are trying to

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<v Speaker 1>be everything to all people, and that became a problem.

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<v Speaker 1>On the other hand, Walmart and Target are doing well

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<v Speaker 1>because they are able to sort of leverage all these

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<v Speaker 1>different aspects of their businesses and provide a holistic kind

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<v Speaker 1>of you know, role for for the consumer. I'm just

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<v Speaker 1>wondering where when a size good and when is it not.

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<v Speaker 1>I think, whether you're big or whether you're small, if

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<v Speaker 1>you don't have an innovative products, it won't drive demand.

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<v Speaker 1>When you think of what's happening with the apparel companies,

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<v Speaker 1>the apparel companies, brands, whether it's Levi's reinvented themselves. We

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<v Speaker 1>can look at companies like what BF is doing with

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<v Speaker 1>north Face, with Vans, which has been the collaborations they've had,

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<v Speaker 1>which has been so compelled selling. You're taking a look

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<v Speaker 1>at companies that are in the midst of transformation like Tiffany's,

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<v Speaker 1>who is upgrading their business while you're having Target and Walmart.

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<v Speaker 1>Look at big bought small Target. I mean Walmart has

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<v Speaker 1>bought many smaller companies in order to be able to

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<v Speaker 1>enhance their speed, to identify omni channel and integrate omni

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<v Speaker 1>channel into their business. Look what Greg Bran at Walmart.

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<v Speaker 1>At Walmart did with their U S stores. I think

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<v Speaker 1>investing isn't isn't a just nice to do, It's a

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<v Speaker 1>must do. And I'd rather be small and more profitable

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<v Speaker 1>if you're investing and you're making yourself essential to the consumer,

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<v Speaker 1>rather than just have size for size six steake. Scale

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<v Speaker 1>matters as long as you can drop profits to the

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<v Speaker 1>bottom line. So Dana has Retail America have they weathered

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<v Speaker 1>the Amazon storm? I look at the Target did their

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<v Speaker 1>Their digital sales are kind of really strong. Digital sales

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<v Speaker 1>at Walmart as well as as retail America kind of

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<v Speaker 1>weather that initial on a lot by Amazon over the

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<v Speaker 1>last a dozen years or so. I think they have.

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<v Speaker 1>I think if anything, we've seen every company turned themselves

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<v Speaker 1>inside out and basically having Amazon taught them that we

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<v Speaker 1>need to make the best better and make the best better,

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<v Speaker 1>whether it's data, whether it's logistics, whether it's supply chain.

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<v Speaker 1>There's speed to markets getting faster, and looked at today,

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<v Speaker 1>whatever goes down the runway today should be able to

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<v Speaker 1>be bought in the same time. So I think that

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<v Speaker 1>the paste of newness is faster than it's ever been before.

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<v Speaker 1>Danta Telsey, thank you so much for spending time with

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<v Speaker 1>us today. Dana Telsey, chief executive officer in chief research

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<v Speaker 1>officer at Telsey Advisory Group, who owns Greenland? Who should

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<v Speaker 1>own Greenland? President Trump says that he would like to

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<v Speaker 1>buy Greenland. Dana's primate chain is Minister Meta Frederickson. Spoke

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<v Speaker 1>on this issue at a press conference at nine Eastern

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<v Speaker 1>talking about Trump and Greenland. She was speaking in Copenhagen.

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<v Speaker 1>Listen to what she had to say. A discussion has, however,

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<v Speaker 1>been very raised about a potential sale of Greenland. Um.

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<v Speaker 1>This has clearly been rejected by Kim Kitchen, a position

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<v Speaker 1>that I share. Of course, this does not change the

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<v Speaker 1>character of our good relations. Well, perhaps it doesn't change

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<v Speaker 1>the character of the good relations between what's going on

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<v Speaker 1>there and the u AS. But President Trump decided to

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<v Speaker 1>cancel our reschedule a meeting with the Prime Minister due

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<v Speaker 1>to the issue over Greenland. Here to give us a

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<v Speaker 1>sense of what this hall is about, Morton Butler, political

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<v Speaker 1>reporter for Bloomberg News, coming to us from Copenhagen in Denmark. Martin,

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<v Speaker 1>why is this even a debate right now? Why are

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<v Speaker 1>we talking about Greenland? Well, Greenland. Um, it's got a

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<v Speaker 1>prominent role in international politics right now. Arctics. The Arctics

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<v Speaker 1>are really dominant in both Russian politics, Chinese politics, US politics,

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<v Speaker 1>and of course in the Nordic region as well because

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<v Speaker 1>their massive resources up their natural gas and oil and sorts,

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<v Speaker 1>and a very important trade route UM by Sea is

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<v Speaker 1>opening up up there. So so this area really compiles

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of attention right now all over the globe. Basically, Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>but what what gave President Trump the idea that this

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<v Speaker 1>was actually for sale? Well, I mean, he's not the

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<v Speaker 1>first American president to try to purchase this particular island.

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<v Speaker 1>Truman made similar efforts in forty six. I believe it

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<v Speaker 1>was UM. I suppose UM. With the upcoming trip to

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<v Speaker 1>tow to Denmark and with Greenland in the center of

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<v Speaker 1>attention for that trip, perhaps this seems to be um

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<v Speaker 1>an idea that has has emerged somehow in the White House. Okay,

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<v Speaker 1>so Morton, I guess that then there's a question of

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<v Speaker 1>let's put aside the idea that Denmark is going to

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<v Speaker 1>sell at stake in Greenland and just talk about the

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<v Speaker 1>strategic role of Greenland. Is there a sense that Denmark

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<v Speaker 1>is establishing closer ties with say, rivals of the United

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<v Speaker 1>States over America in terms of giving sort of a

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<v Speaker 1>strategic upper hand with the resources you were talking about. No,

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<v Speaker 1>on the contrary, actually, China a few years back made

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<v Speaker 1>efforts I think actually last year made efforts to invest

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<v Speaker 1>in infrastructure, critical airport infrastructure in Greenland that Denmark. I

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<v Speaker 1>don't know if it's a courtesy to the US, because

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<v Speaker 1>Denmark also had interest in this particul going to move,

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<v Speaker 1>but decided to co fund airports in Greenland instead of

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<v Speaker 1>letting China pitch in on this. So so this is

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<v Speaker 1>just one of many examples of Denmark trying to sort

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<v Speaker 1>of allow us to play a role in in Greenland

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<v Speaker 1>domestic and international politics up there. But also there are

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<v Speaker 1>trying to keep other players out of Greenland, of which

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<v Speaker 1>I mean Greenland has an extensive home rule, but Denmark

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<v Speaker 1>has the final say in security, defense and international affairs.

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<v Speaker 1>So more than you're in Copenhagen right now. What's the

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<v Speaker 1>sense on the street in Copenhagen, the folks in Denmark,

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<v Speaker 1>what do they think about this issue? Well, um, I

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<v Speaker 1>think most people and you could tell by the trader

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<v Speaker 1>reaction this morning, because obviously, Trump tweeted last night and

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<v Speaker 1>a local US time, which was in the middle of

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<v Speaker 1>a night here in Denmark. So most people woke up

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<v Speaker 1>to sort of a big surprise that this visit who

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<v Speaker 1>remember another only to visit the prime minister, but also

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<v Speaker 1>to visit the Queen of Denmark. Um was like a

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<v Speaker 1>big surprise to a lot of people. Remarks on Twitter

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<v Speaker 1>thing like sort of dismay thing that it's incomprehensible, that

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<v Speaker 1>it's um disrespectful. Some are even talking about the potential

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<v Speaker 1>diplomatic crisis between Denmark and the US. I remember, Denmark

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<v Speaker 1>is not just any Scandinavian or European country here. Denmark

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<v Speaker 1>is a founding member of NATO, is a US ally

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<v Speaker 1>in the Iraq War, um longstanding trading partner, as the

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<v Speaker 1>US is Denmark's second biggest export nation, so there are

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<v Speaker 1>strong ties between the two countries historically. So so this

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<v Speaker 1>of course took a lot of Dames by surprise, Martin,

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<v Speaker 1>It took a lot of people by surprise. I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>let's just be completely honest, a cost space spade. I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>when this happened, I think a lot of people destruct

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<v Speaker 1>and said Greenland like, I mean, why why are why

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<v Speaker 1>are we talking about this now and when we with

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<v Speaker 1>the sale etcetera. It just seems a little bit out

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<v Speaker 1>of left field. Are there any ways to explain this, uh,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, perhaps under the cover or just something some

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<v Speaker 1>other motivation that could be behind this that we're not

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<v Speaker 1>really understanding. From a Danish perspective, I haven't heard any

0:13:18.880 --> 0:13:22.200
<v Speaker 1>other speculation than the fact that this, of course would

0:13:22.240 --> 0:13:25.599
<v Speaker 1>be a central part of the meeting between p M

0:13:25.679 --> 0:13:32.920
<v Speaker 1>Frederickson and Greenland PM King Keelson and of course Donald Trump. Um. Obviously,

0:13:33.080 --> 0:13:36.120
<v Speaker 1>when this is supposed to be on the table at

0:13:36.160 --> 0:13:39.560
<v Speaker 1>a meeting, the President gets some sort of of of

0:13:39.679 --> 0:13:43.000
<v Speaker 1>intel and Evans get some meeting preparations, and I mean

0:13:43.559 --> 0:13:47.800
<v Speaker 1>this seems to be the situation where the President then

0:13:48.679 --> 0:13:53.320
<v Speaker 1>decided to to to to talk about potentially purchasing Greenland.

0:13:53.320 --> 0:13:56.080
<v Speaker 1>This is not something that has been mentioned in Danish

0:13:56.120 --> 0:13:59.840
<v Speaker 1>media or in the local media and Greenland recently recently.

0:14:00.080 --> 0:14:01.760
<v Speaker 1>This took a lot of people by surprise when it

0:14:01.840 --> 0:14:05.640
<v Speaker 1>was initially reported last week. UM, and it was also

0:14:05.679 --> 0:14:08.840
<v Speaker 1>debated when the Danish Prime Minister Frederickson actually went to

0:14:08.880 --> 0:14:14.720
<v Speaker 1>Greenland an other assignment on Sunday. So this was clearly

0:14:14.800 --> 0:14:17.160
<v Speaker 1>coming as a surprise as well for the for the

0:14:17.240 --> 0:14:20.320
<v Speaker 1>Danish PM interesting a lot of as elately so mentioned,

0:14:20.320 --> 0:14:22.560
<v Speaker 1>a surprise to a lot of people uh in around

0:14:22.560 --> 0:14:25.360
<v Speaker 1>the world. I think that Morton Butler, political reporter for

0:14:25.360 --> 0:14:27.400
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg News, thank you so much for joining us and

0:14:27.400 --> 0:14:30.920
<v Speaker 1>giving us some local color. Morgan's based in Copenhagen, Denmark,

0:14:31.040 --> 0:14:33.760
<v Speaker 1>so giving a sense that it was certainly this discussion

0:14:33.840 --> 0:14:37.720
<v Speaker 1>about the US possibly purchasing Greenland came certainly as a

0:14:37.760 --> 0:14:41.120
<v Speaker 1>surprise to the Danes who woke up to the tweets

0:14:41.120 --> 0:15:00.600
<v Speaker 1>this morning from President Trump about Greenland. A hundred and

0:15:00.600 --> 0:15:05.120
<v Speaker 1>eighty one chief executive officers gathered together and discussed their

0:15:05.280 --> 0:15:08.440
<v Speaker 1>role in this world. Their result was that we have

0:15:08.640 --> 0:15:12.160
<v Speaker 1>a purpose beyond just that of shareholders shorting us down

0:15:12.200 --> 0:15:15.960
<v Speaker 1>to discuss Brian Stafford's CEO of Diligent. He also is

0:15:16.000 --> 0:15:19.400
<v Speaker 1>the co author of Corporate Governance in the Digital Age.

0:15:19.960 --> 0:15:22.880
<v Speaker 1>So Brian, let's just start there. What did you make

0:15:23.080 --> 0:15:26.680
<v Speaker 1>of this sort of I guess resolution coming out of

0:15:26.720 --> 0:15:30.680
<v Speaker 1>the business round table that had signatories such as Black Rocks,

0:15:30.760 --> 0:15:35.560
<v Speaker 1>Larry Fink as well as JP Morgan's Jamie Diamond. Yeah,

0:15:35.560 --> 0:15:39.400
<v Speaker 1>it's super interesting. Um, conclusion coming out of the Business Roundtable,

0:15:39.680 --> 0:15:42.360
<v Speaker 1>I guess not unexpected in the grand scheme of things.

0:15:42.440 --> 0:15:44.760
<v Speaker 1>Larry Think has been writing about this for a while

0:15:45.200 --> 0:15:49.160
<v Speaker 1>State Street as well, that the expectation should be for

0:15:49.240 --> 0:15:52.080
<v Speaker 1>business leaders to actually serve a broader purpose rather than

0:15:52.120 --> 0:15:55.600
<v Speaker 1>just profits and only profits. And it is a realization

0:15:55.680 --> 0:15:58.600
<v Speaker 1>that other stakeholders matter. And then if you really take

0:15:59.120 --> 0:16:02.400
<v Speaker 1>a long term interest in um in the role that

0:16:02.880 --> 0:16:06.120
<v Speaker 1>your business plays, and in communities, in the um UH

0:16:06.160 --> 0:16:09.440
<v Speaker 1>and with your employees, it's actually it's actually good for business.

0:16:09.480 --> 0:16:11.600
<v Speaker 1>So one of the issues some of the pushback that

0:16:11.640 --> 0:16:14.560
<v Speaker 1>I've read is that if some of these CEOs were

0:16:14.560 --> 0:16:19.560
<v Speaker 1>so concerned about the inequality UM in income, wouldn't it

0:16:19.600 --> 0:16:21.880
<v Speaker 1>be better for them to raise wages for their employees

0:16:21.880 --> 0:16:25.560
<v Speaker 1>and maybe lower executive pay. Well, I mean you do

0:16:25.640 --> 0:16:27.960
<v Speaker 1>see this in many places, with some companies actually raising

0:16:28.080 --> 0:16:31.440
<v Speaker 1>kind of um the average um UH income level or

0:16:31.480 --> 0:16:33.960
<v Speaker 1>the average wage of entry level employees. So I think

0:16:34.000 --> 0:16:36.680
<v Speaker 1>you will see more of that um. Of course, Walmart

0:16:36.680 --> 0:16:39.160
<v Speaker 1>did that a few years ago, and you saw actually

0:16:39.160 --> 0:16:41.960
<v Speaker 1>an increase in UH in the net promoter scores of

0:16:41.960 --> 0:16:44.640
<v Speaker 1>of Walmart stores because actually people who are happier treated

0:16:44.640 --> 0:16:46.880
<v Speaker 1>customers in a better way, and that should translate into

0:16:46.920 --> 0:16:50.360
<v Speaker 1>ideally customers buying more. So you will see that I

0:16:50.560 --> 0:16:53.200
<v Speaker 1>be interesting challenges them to being that actually hasn't really

0:16:53.240 --> 0:16:56.680
<v Speaker 1>been reported in this is you know, the average tenure

0:16:56.720 --> 0:16:58.760
<v Speaker 1>for a board director is close to eight years of

0:16:58.760 --> 0:17:01.680
<v Speaker 1>a public company. The average tenure for CEO is only

0:17:01.760 --> 0:17:04.120
<v Speaker 1>five years, and so I think the reason why that's

0:17:04.160 --> 0:17:07.280
<v Speaker 1>important is the board can take a longer term view

0:17:07.320 --> 0:17:10.359
<v Speaker 1>of governance and the corporation existing over longer period of time.

0:17:10.760 --> 0:17:13.840
<v Speaker 1>I think it can be challenging for the individual CEO,

0:17:13.920 --> 0:17:16.879
<v Speaker 1>who typically has a shorter time horizon or window, to

0:17:17.440 --> 0:17:20.800
<v Speaker 1>not focus more on profit and and change the focus

0:17:20.800 --> 0:17:23.080
<v Speaker 1>more on broader stakeholders. And I think that's a little

0:17:23.080 --> 0:17:25.520
<v Speaker 1>bit of the shift that you've seen the business roundtable,

0:17:25.560 --> 0:17:29.960
<v Speaker 1>which end up being unbelievably tenured CEOs kind of steering organizations.

0:17:29.960 --> 0:17:33.920
<v Speaker 1>And you know, brand a cynic might say CEOs are

0:17:33.960 --> 0:17:37.720
<v Speaker 1>doing this as the cycle turns and want to make

0:17:37.760 --> 0:17:41.520
<v Speaker 1>an excuse for why they may underperform because they're catering

0:17:41.560 --> 0:17:43.840
<v Speaker 1>to the greater good and not their shareholders. What would

0:17:43.880 --> 0:17:47.639
<v Speaker 1>you say to that, I think it's a fair comment

0:17:47.680 --> 0:17:50.719
<v Speaker 1>to actually say, you know, how how is the climate

0:17:50.760 --> 0:17:53.560
<v Speaker 1>evolving and how it is the climate changing? And is

0:17:53.600 --> 0:17:56.840
<v Speaker 1>this in in um? Uh? Is this in response to

0:17:56.840 --> 0:17:59.719
<v Speaker 1>the changing climate? Um? We do have a rise of populism,

0:18:00.119 --> 0:18:02.199
<v Speaker 1>it's in every story that we hear kind of on

0:18:02.240 --> 0:18:05.200
<v Speaker 1>a day to day basis on on your program. Uh.

0:18:05.200 --> 0:18:08.040
<v Speaker 1>And we do have a rise in next generation buyers

0:18:08.600 --> 0:18:13.080
<v Speaker 1>UM in gen Z buyers who actually care more about

0:18:13.080 --> 0:18:16.639
<v Speaker 1>an organization. And it's it's culturalate sense of good in

0:18:16.680 --> 0:18:18.560
<v Speaker 1>the world. So I think it is it is in

0:18:18.720 --> 0:18:21.200
<v Speaker 1>partial response to the environment that we're in today, which

0:18:21.240 --> 0:18:23.240
<v Speaker 1>is less of an end of the cycle comment, but

0:18:23.359 --> 0:18:26.320
<v Speaker 1>more of the different environment that we operate and live in.

0:18:26.880 --> 0:18:30.400
<v Speaker 1>So the CEO stated that the rising cost of healthcare

0:18:30.520 --> 0:18:33.760
<v Speaker 1>and and and all the student debt associated with higher

0:18:33.840 --> 0:18:37.560
<v Speaker 1>education is certainly a motivation for some of their plans.

0:18:37.560 --> 0:18:41.960
<v Speaker 1>Do you anticipate Corporate America ever trying to tackle meaningfully

0:18:42.359 --> 0:18:45.840
<v Speaker 1>either of these two issues? Are both? Uh? You know

0:18:46.160 --> 0:18:47.840
<v Speaker 1>what I see and what I thought was an interest

0:18:47.880 --> 0:18:49.840
<v Speaker 1>in going to come out of the business round table?

0:18:49.960 --> 0:18:52.600
<v Speaker 1>Was um actually a slightly different angle on that? And

0:18:52.600 --> 0:18:56.000
<v Speaker 1>and diligent. We recently published the Place on on the

0:18:56.119 --> 0:18:59.840
<v Speaker 1>increasing tone and conversation around political uncertainty and boards that

0:19:00.000 --> 0:19:03.199
<v Speaker 1>at organizations and corporations are having to deal with in

0:19:03.280 --> 0:19:07.639
<v Speaker 1>many cases, which is a lack of leadership coming from

0:19:07.840 --> 0:19:11.880
<v Speaker 1>UM countries and CEOs and boards actually having to take

0:19:11.920 --> 0:19:14.520
<v Speaker 1>more of a leadership role. And to what I expect

0:19:14.760 --> 0:19:18.320
<v Speaker 1>leading organizations to take more of a role around societal issues.

0:19:18.359 --> 0:19:21.399
<v Speaker 1>You brought up student debt, healthcare, etcetera. Um, yes, I

0:19:21.400 --> 0:19:25.760
<v Speaker 1>think you will see UM CEOs taking incorporations taking increasing

0:19:25.840 --> 0:19:29.160
<v Speaker 1>role in that because maybe that leadership doesn't exist within

0:19:29.200 --> 0:19:31.479
<v Speaker 1>the public sector. You know, Brian, it's an interesting, uh,

0:19:32.160 --> 0:19:35.080
<v Speaker 1>it's an interesting sort of conflict here. How do you lead?

0:19:35.200 --> 0:19:38.280
<v Speaker 1>How do you sort of have a role in these debates?

0:19:38.400 --> 0:19:41.600
<v Speaker 1>Is it sort of a verbal political injection into the

0:19:41.640 --> 0:19:45.760
<v Speaker 1>conversation or is it something just leading by example? Right?

0:19:45.800 --> 0:19:48.439
<v Speaker 1>I mean, so, how do you expect these executives to

0:19:48.520 --> 0:19:54.520
<v Speaker 1>engage beyond just their obligations to their shareholders. It's a

0:19:54.560 --> 0:19:57.000
<v Speaker 1>great question, and I think you've seen that evolve in

0:19:57.040 --> 0:20:00.320
<v Speaker 1>the last few years where I think see those and

0:20:00.520 --> 0:20:03.560
<v Speaker 1>organizations used to fall into more of a lead by

0:20:03.640 --> 0:20:07.840
<v Speaker 1>example kind of silent approach and what you've seen more

0:20:07.960 --> 0:20:11.520
<v Speaker 1>now and Jamie Diamond is increasingly vocal about it UM,

0:20:11.560 --> 0:20:14.119
<v Speaker 1>but actually CEO as having a perspective and a point

0:20:14.119 --> 0:20:18.359
<v Speaker 1>of view around UM different issues. And you know, ultimately

0:20:19.040 --> 0:20:25.560
<v Speaker 1>UM organizations, consumers, employees actually follow authentic leaders and also

0:20:25.600 --> 0:20:29.120
<v Speaker 1>authentic organizations. So an organization taking a stand for something

0:20:29.160 --> 0:20:32.159
<v Speaker 1>they believe in. You've seen this on issues of immigration,

0:20:32.480 --> 0:20:35.000
<v Speaker 1>You've seen this on increasingly number of issues. So I

0:20:35.240 --> 0:20:38.000
<v Speaker 1>don't think that's going going away. What we hear often

0:20:38.080 --> 0:20:40.159
<v Speaker 1>from boards is how does the CEO do it in

0:20:40.200 --> 0:20:43.639
<v Speaker 1>the right way? Maybe maybe not going off on social media,

0:20:43.680 --> 0:20:46.199
<v Speaker 1>but how do people use the right forum and use

0:20:46.240 --> 0:20:48.720
<v Speaker 1>their standing to actually have a point of view, to

0:20:48.760 --> 0:20:51.760
<v Speaker 1>be an authentic leader and do it in the right way. So, Brian,

0:20:51.800 --> 0:20:54.960
<v Speaker 1>do you expect to see changes in any executive compensation?

0:20:55.040 --> 0:20:57.320
<v Speaker 1>I know, you know the biggest a lot of executive

0:20:57.320 --> 0:20:59.919
<v Speaker 1>conversation is tied to stock frice performance with through option

0:21:00.080 --> 0:21:03.000
<v Speaker 1>and stock grants, and uh is that now going and

0:21:03.040 --> 0:21:05.840
<v Speaker 1>that's tied to shareholder you know, stock price performance? Is

0:21:05.840 --> 0:21:07.960
<v Speaker 1>that going to be now include maybe E s G

0:21:08.200 --> 0:21:11.720
<v Speaker 1>scores or employee morale or any other kind of metrics

0:21:11.720 --> 0:21:15.200
<v Speaker 1>to kind of measure some of these stakeholder issues. Yeah,

0:21:15.200 --> 0:21:17.199
<v Speaker 1>I think you saw a proposal for that even with UM,

0:21:17.280 --> 0:21:20.080
<v Speaker 1>with Uber and their board and Dara's compensation being tied

0:21:20.119 --> 0:21:23.520
<v Speaker 1>to diversity metrics. So I think you're seeing elements of

0:21:23.560 --> 0:21:27.639
<v Speaker 1>this rollout into CEO compensation and I would expect that

0:21:27.720 --> 0:21:30.600
<v Speaker 1>to continue. How much of that is driven by specific

0:21:30.680 --> 0:21:33.720
<v Speaker 1>CEO targets and how much it is driven by UM

0:21:34.240 --> 0:21:37.720
<v Speaker 1>the board behind closed doors, and maybe with the CEO

0:21:37.840 --> 0:21:41.560
<v Speaker 1>vocally saying we care about our environment, we care about

0:21:41.760 --> 0:21:46.160
<v Speaker 1>the quality of of living of our employees, and so

0:21:46.400 --> 0:21:49.760
<v Speaker 1>how much is specifically tied to compensation versus just comes

0:21:49.760 --> 0:21:52.040
<v Speaker 1>down the tone and tenor UM. We'll have to see,

0:21:52.080 --> 0:21:55.560
<v Speaker 1>but you do see it creeping its way into executive compensation. Brian,

0:21:55.600 --> 0:21:57.639
<v Speaker 1>just real quick here, I'm wondering, do you think that

0:21:57.760 --> 0:22:00.520
<v Speaker 1>this meeting is sort of the outcome from the business roundtable,

0:22:00.520 --> 0:22:04.840
<v Speaker 1>will actually affect change in anyway. I think you've been

0:22:04.880 --> 0:22:08.679
<v Speaker 1>seeing organizations in the tone of organizations begin to change

0:22:09.000 --> 0:22:13.120
<v Speaker 1>and focus not just on UH each individual dollar of profit,

0:22:13.240 --> 0:22:16.640
<v Speaker 1>but more on the broader set of stakeholders being customers,

0:22:16.720 --> 0:22:20.040
<v Speaker 1>being UM, the environments we live in, being employees. So

0:22:20.240 --> 0:22:22.600
<v Speaker 1>I think this was a more formal announcement of it,

0:22:22.640 --> 0:22:25.000
<v Speaker 1>But like you mentioned. You know, Larry Fink and Black

0:22:25.119 --> 0:22:26.800
<v Speaker 1>Rock have been talking about this for a while, and

0:22:26.840 --> 0:22:29.520
<v Speaker 1>you're also as you see a trend in ownership moving

0:22:29.560 --> 0:22:33.560
<v Speaker 1>away from kind of active managed funds to more index

0:22:33.600 --> 0:22:35.879
<v Speaker 1>fund in the state streets the world, and the Black

0:22:36.000 --> 0:22:40.280
<v Speaker 1>Rocks owning more and more of the stock of these organizations,

0:22:40.320 --> 0:22:42.760
<v Speaker 1>that ends up having a broader role. So I think

0:22:42.800 --> 0:22:45.639
<v Speaker 1>we're still in the early innings of that evolution. How

0:22:45.720 --> 0:22:49.520
<v Speaker 1>much of it is hard targets versus um changing in tone,

0:22:49.560 --> 0:22:51.919
<v Speaker 1>we'll have to see. Bryan Stafford, thanks so much for

0:22:52.040 --> 0:22:55.000
<v Speaker 1>joining us. Brian as the CEO of Diligent UH is

0:22:55.040 --> 0:22:58.120
<v Speaker 1>also the co author of the book of Corporate Governance

0:22:58.119 --> 0:23:01.720
<v Speaker 1>in the Digital Age of very interesting discussion on the

0:23:01.800 --> 0:23:05.720
<v Speaker 1>changing role of CEOs, branching a little bit more from

0:23:05.760 --> 0:23:25.160
<v Speaker 1>just returns to shareholders to maybe more for stakeholders. It

0:23:25.280 --> 0:23:29.560
<v Speaker 1>was the auction heard around the world. Germany sold thirty

0:23:29.640 --> 0:23:34.040
<v Speaker 1>year bonds with a coupon of zero, an effective yield

0:23:34.119 --> 0:23:39.520
<v Speaker 1>of negative eleven basis points, mind boggling data reaching records.

0:23:39.680 --> 0:23:42.760
<v Speaker 1>The question is who wanted to buy it, and it

0:23:42.800 --> 0:23:44.960
<v Speaker 1>turns out not that many people did. Joining us now

0:23:45.400 --> 0:23:48.160
<v Speaker 1>to talk about it. Marcus Ashworth, a columnists covering European

0:23:48.200 --> 0:23:51.679
<v Speaker 1>markets for Bloomberg Opinion in London. Marcus, thank you so

0:23:51.760 --> 0:23:53.600
<v Speaker 1>much for being with us. First, just give us a

0:23:53.640 --> 0:23:58.720
<v Speaker 1>sense of how lackluster the demand was for this auction. Well,

0:23:58.920 --> 0:24:04.520
<v Speaker 1>often German auctions don't get the full allotment. It's a

0:24:04.520 --> 0:24:06.919
<v Speaker 1>weird thing seeing how low they are in yield. You

0:24:06.920 --> 0:24:09.760
<v Speaker 1>think they'll be huge scrambles for them, but it's such

0:24:09.760 --> 0:24:13.680
<v Speaker 1>a tightly control market. The ECB had told us well

0:24:13.800 --> 0:24:15.879
<v Speaker 1>a year and a half ago that an essence is

0:24:15.920 --> 0:24:19.400
<v Speaker 1>only about a ten or fift free float. Uh, we're reality.

0:24:19.560 --> 0:24:22.280
<v Speaker 1>It's all going both by the ECB and by other

0:24:22.400 --> 0:24:27.520
<v Speaker 1>foreign central banks, the majority of of German governments. Nonetheless,

0:24:27.560 --> 0:24:30.679
<v Speaker 1>these things trade and they got auctioned and a regular schedule.

0:24:30.680 --> 0:24:32.800
<v Speaker 1>And what the Bunner's Bank, the German Central Bank does

0:24:32.920 --> 0:24:35.200
<v Speaker 1>is it is it takes the rough of the smooth.

0:24:35.680 --> 0:24:40.199
<v Speaker 1>It allows them to be not taken up fully. In

0:24:40.320 --> 0:24:47.040
<v Speaker 1>July only was taken down. This time only um so

0:24:47.280 --> 0:24:50.400
<v Speaker 1>eight hundred and twenty yard million was sold. The balance

0:24:50.440 --> 0:24:53.360
<v Speaker 1>of a one point nearly one point two billion will

0:24:53.400 --> 0:24:55.880
<v Speaker 1>be taken by the Bunner's Bank and will be drip

0:24:55.920 --> 0:24:58.879
<v Speaker 1>fed out over the course of the next few years

0:24:58.880 --> 0:25:02.119
<v Speaker 1>and months, but months using But the reality is is

0:25:02.160 --> 0:25:05.040
<v Speaker 1>that everyone I had thought this was going to be

0:25:05.040 --> 0:25:07.320
<v Speaker 1>a challenge, because we know this is the first ever

0:25:07.640 --> 0:25:11.520
<v Speaker 1>globally in the history of mankind that a thirty year

0:25:11.520 --> 0:25:14.119
<v Speaker 1>bond would have been sold with a zero coupon and

0:25:14.200 --> 0:25:17.920
<v Speaker 1>effect actually sold below that zero yield level. It would

0:25:17.920 --> 0:25:21.640
<v Speaker 1>be a struggle. But on a relative value basis, it's

0:25:21.720 --> 0:25:26.120
<v Speaker 1>actually quite cheap because the tenure is near the negative

0:25:26.160 --> 0:25:29.240
<v Speaker 1>seventy basis points, so the spread between tens and thirties

0:25:29.240 --> 0:25:31.359
<v Speaker 1>as we follow I'm sure you know in the States,

0:25:31.400 --> 0:25:34.600
<v Speaker 1>so actively um, it's something which you're looking on our

0:25:34.600 --> 0:25:37.920
<v Speaker 1>relative value basis actually, and it gone below zero yield.

0:25:37.960 --> 0:25:42.840
<v Speaker 1>The previous thirty year Germany had gone below zero yield

0:25:43.320 --> 0:25:46.959
<v Speaker 1>in the second third of August and dropped as far

0:25:46.960 --> 0:25:50.320
<v Speaker 1>as near the negative thirty so negative ten it's almost

0:25:50.320 --> 0:25:53.720
<v Speaker 1>the bargain, but it seems not. So what does this

0:25:53.800 --> 0:25:55.640
<v Speaker 1>mean going forward? I mean, is this just a case

0:25:55.720 --> 0:25:58.520
<v Speaker 1>of investors just saying we're not going to take it anymore?

0:25:58.760 --> 0:26:01.480
<v Speaker 1>And I mean, is this potentially sitting at signaling some

0:26:01.640 --> 0:26:04.400
<v Speaker 1>higher rates in Germany? Well, I think you should look

0:26:04.400 --> 0:26:07.280
<v Speaker 1>at it this way. There was a five year bond

0:26:07.480 --> 0:26:10.720
<v Speaker 1>sold by a triple B rated entity called Eon E

0:26:11.000 --> 0:26:13.480
<v Speaker 1>dot O N you can look at on Bloomberg. It's

0:26:13.640 --> 0:26:17.040
<v Speaker 1>it's the German Unsility Electricity Unit utility. They sold a

0:26:17.200 --> 0:26:22.679
<v Speaker 1>five year bond basically the same negative ten, negative fifteen

0:26:22.680 --> 0:26:24.920
<v Speaker 1>basis points. You know, why on earth would you buy

0:26:24.920 --> 0:26:29.639
<v Speaker 1>a credit bond triple B at negative fifteen basis points

0:26:29.640 --> 0:26:33.080
<v Speaker 1>of five years is beyond me? And then you compare

0:26:33.119 --> 0:26:36.760
<v Speaker 1>it to a triple A the best quality of all

0:26:36.960 --> 0:26:42.480
<v Speaker 1>in Europe, German thirty year at actually four basis points more.

0:26:43.000 --> 0:26:46.600
<v Speaker 1>It almost makes that third year look cheap. So you know,

0:26:46.720 --> 0:26:49.159
<v Speaker 1>this is the choice which I think you have to

0:26:49.200 --> 0:26:52.200
<v Speaker 1>appreciate is left to people in Europe. There is nothing.

0:26:52.240 --> 0:26:57.160
<v Speaker 1>You can't even get a triple B credit utility giving

0:26:57.200 --> 0:27:00.520
<v Speaker 1>you for five years any year either. So Morgats just

0:27:00.520 --> 0:27:03.400
<v Speaker 1>sort of taking a step back and and tying this together.

0:27:04.240 --> 0:27:07.560
<v Speaker 1>Should we view this German thirty year auction sort of

0:27:07.600 --> 0:27:10.840
<v Speaker 1>shot across the bow that investors will protest and say

0:27:10.920 --> 0:27:14.120
<v Speaker 1>enough is enough at a certain level? Or is this

0:27:14.440 --> 0:27:18.560
<v Speaker 1>just an idiosyncrasy of German bond auctions paired with the

0:27:18.600 --> 0:27:21.800
<v Speaker 1>idea that you know, they're just you know, there is

0:27:21.880 --> 0:27:25.680
<v Speaker 1>tepid demand, but that you know this is not going

0:27:25.720 --> 0:27:29.400
<v Speaker 1>to change anytime soon. I think I think you've got

0:27:29.440 --> 0:27:32.880
<v Speaker 1>the tone there. On the latter point, I think this

0:27:33.000 --> 0:27:35.479
<v Speaker 1>is a little bit of rejection, a little bit of

0:27:36.200 --> 0:27:39.520
<v Speaker 1>yield gag and the sense of indigestion coming here that

0:27:39.520 --> 0:27:41.280
<v Speaker 1>they know maybe they don't want to pay up and

0:27:41.320 --> 0:27:46.159
<v Speaker 1>look stupid paying uh this little level. Nonetheless, they'll be

0:27:46.200 --> 0:27:50.040
<v Speaker 1>back in for it. And it is, you know, intrinsically

0:27:50.040 --> 0:27:52.239
<v Speaker 1>linked to the fact that that in September twenty five

0:27:52.440 --> 0:27:57.560
<v Speaker 1>European Central Bank will be announcing yet more quey for

0:27:58.080 --> 0:28:01.960
<v Speaker 1>the rest of Europe and including particularly increasingly longer dated

0:28:02.000 --> 0:28:04.960
<v Speaker 1>bonds in Germany. These things will get snappled up slowly.

0:28:05.040 --> 0:28:08.639
<v Speaker 1>But surely this wasn't a great auction. Um it was.

0:28:08.720 --> 0:28:11.040
<v Speaker 1>It was a step too far just here right now.

0:28:11.440 --> 0:28:15.520
<v Speaker 1>But you've got problems in Italy, you've got a recession

0:28:15.560 --> 0:28:19.600
<v Speaker 1>in Germany almost certainly, and they could well spill out

0:28:19.640 --> 0:28:21.919
<v Speaker 1>the rest of Europe. And you've got a European Central

0:28:21.920 --> 0:28:24.920
<v Speaker 1>Bank he wants to not only cut rates but at

0:28:25.000 --> 0:28:27.960
<v Speaker 1>again something they stopped then the last year, back to

0:28:28.040 --> 0:28:31.680
<v Speaker 1>restarting que Look this is a train of events which

0:28:31.720 --> 0:28:33.679
<v Speaker 1>I'm almos. Certainly he's going to leave to you yields

0:28:33.680 --> 0:28:35.600
<v Speaker 1>at some point, and I think these these bonds will

0:28:35.600 --> 0:28:38.720
<v Speaker 1>get swallowed up quite happy. Mark Sashworth, thank you so much.

0:28:38.840 --> 0:28:42.880
<v Speaker 1>Marcus is a calmness covering European markets for Bloomberg Opinion.

0:28:42.880 --> 0:28:44.800
<v Speaker 1>You can read more on this and other stories from

0:28:44.840 --> 0:28:48.320
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Opinion at Bloomberg dot com, slash Opinion and on

0:28:48.360 --> 0:28:51.920
<v Speaker 1>the terminal by typing O p I n go. Thanks

0:28:51.920 --> 0:28:54.760
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0:28:54.760 --> 0:28:57.600
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