WEBVTT - Job Losses for 20.5 Million Americans

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week. I'm Carol Masser and I'm

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<v Speaker 1>Jason Kelly. We're right here every day bringing you the

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<v Speaker 1>twenty seven hundred journalists and analysts more than a hundred

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<v Speaker 1>on Bloomberg Radio every weekday, or watch us on YouTube

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<v Speaker 1>by searching Bloomberg Global News. Well, this is a conversation

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<v Speaker 1>we've been looking forward to all week, Carol Masser and

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<v Speaker 1>I have because he's our go to guy when it

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<v Speaker 1>comes to jobs, and this one we have to understand fully.

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<v Speaker 1>Chris lew back with a senior fellow at the University

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<v Speaker 1>of Virginia Miller Center. He's also a former Deputy Secretary

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<v Speaker 1>of Labor under President Obama, worked across all three branches

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<v Speaker 1>of government. He joins us on the phone from Washington. Chris,

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<v Speaker 1>great to talk to you, and what a day to

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<v Speaker 1>try and make sense of it all. Yeah, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>I remember the very first jobs report we got in

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<v Speaker 1>the Obama administration. We had lost eight hundred thousand jobs

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<v Speaker 1>January two thousand nine h This is twenty five times bigger. Uh,

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<v Speaker 1>And so this is staggering for people like me who

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<v Speaker 1>um every Friday look at these numbers and used to

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<v Speaker 1>a hundred thousand up, hundred thousand down. To see twenty

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<v Speaker 1>million losses is it's it's it's hard to explain. So

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<v Speaker 1>I do wonder too, And this is where your insight

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<v Speaker 1>and your experience really helps us out. Chris, is what

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<v Speaker 1>are the conversations that you think are going on inside

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<v Speaker 1>the White House? UM about this? Because obviously a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of steps have already been taken to help out workers,

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<v Speaker 1>but we know these numbers are going to be tough

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<v Speaker 1>for a while. And I do wonder about the conversations

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<v Speaker 1>we need to be having about once we get through

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<v Speaker 1>the virus and things start to reopen. Well, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>the conversation that should be happening is to treat this

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<v Speaker 1>as a public health crisis, which is what it is.

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<v Speaker 1>Because until you get that public health crisis fixed or

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<v Speaker 1>it gets to get it reduced. Um, you can't really

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<v Speaker 1>start to deal with rebuilding the economy. And and that's

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<v Speaker 1>the problem where we are right now. We're kind of

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<v Speaker 1>half reopening the economy, but not really fully dealing with

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<v Speaker 1>the public health issues. You know, we continue to have

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<v Speaker 1>cases at a steady state, well over twenty new cases

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<v Speaker 1>every day. We've continue to have well over two thousand

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<v Speaker 1>deaths every day. Uh. And and that's the problem because

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<v Speaker 1>all of the U. S economy or the U. S

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<v Speaker 1>economy is based on consumer spending, and consumers spend money

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<v Speaker 1>when they feel confident, and right now there's not a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of confidence. And so you could reopen parts of

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<v Speaker 1>the economy, but that's not going to make a big difference.

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<v Speaker 1>The only difference you're probably going to make is you

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<v Speaker 1>may actually be undoing some of the great work that's

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<v Speaker 1>happened over the last six weeks. And so, Chris, help

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<v Speaker 1>us understand where you see that consumer economy in these numbers,

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<v Speaker 1>because we see it, you know, really in the breakdown.

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<v Speaker 1>It feels like of the types of workers who lost

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<v Speaker 1>their job, they are you know, they're working in in

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of consumer facing things because people aren't out

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<v Speaker 1>they're not spending money, so help us understand that aspect

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<v Speaker 1>of it. Yeah, well, well it's a great point because

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<v Speaker 1>the leisure in hospitality, seven point seven million jobs was lost,

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<v Speaker 1>which is sort of what you'd expect. The challenge there

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<v Speaker 1>is that, you know, if you think about something like

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<v Speaker 1>airlines or hotels or tourist areas, those might not come

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<v Speaker 1>back even if the economy is fully opened, because that

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<v Speaker 1>again depends on consumer confidence. But what was striking about

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<v Speaker 1>these numbers is how across the board they work. You

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<v Speaker 1>lost the million jobs in construction and manufacturing and healthcare,

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<v Speaker 1>you lost two million in professional and business services. You

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<v Speaker 1>started to see some of the hemorrhaging of state government.

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<v Speaker 1>So this is uh and across the board economic downturn.

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<v Speaker 1>And if you're sitting in the White House, you're probably

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<v Speaker 1>trying to figure out, Okay, how much of this is permanent,

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<v Speaker 1>how much is this temporary? Which of these industries is

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<v Speaker 1>most likely to bounce back, Which are the ones need

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<v Speaker 1>a little bit of help to stabilize or or to

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<v Speaker 1>grow eventually in the future. Well, that is certainly something

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<v Speaker 1>our Bloomberg News team has been tackling over the last week.

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<v Speaker 1>Chris and and We've written numerous stories about how much

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<v Speaker 1>of the temporary workers who've lost their jobs become permanent.

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<v Speaker 1>With your knowledge of the labor markets, how much do

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<v Speaker 1>you think comes back, how much doesn't. Well, what's interesting

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<v Speaker 1>in these numbers is about of the job losses, at

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<v Speaker 1>least as the Bureau of Labor Statistics characterized, it was

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<v Speaker 1>considered temporary. And if you look at polls of workers,

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<v Speaker 1>about seventy of workers in a recent poll said their

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<v Speaker 1>layoffs are temporary. Now, that may not be consistent with

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<v Speaker 1>the reality of where business owners, restaurant owners are as well.

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<v Speaker 1>And the problem is that, you know, as this continues,

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<v Speaker 1>this shutdown continues to go on, a lot of those moments,

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<v Speaker 1>top businesses, which are such a driver of the US

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<v Speaker 1>economy just won't be able to come back. Um, they

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<v Speaker 1>already were operating under very small profit margins, and they

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<v Speaker 1>just might make the decision they come back, can't come back,

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<v Speaker 1>or they can't come back until they get fully reopened.

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<v Speaker 1>Because even in the states where there are reopening uh

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<v Speaker 1>right now, they're still operating under you know, restaurants can

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<v Speaker 1>only have capacity, cables have to be six ft apart.

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<v Speaker 1>That's hard to really kind of turn a profit or

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<v Speaker 1>be fully employed with those restrictions. Yeah, that's such a

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<v Speaker 1>really that's such an interesting point. And I've been thinking

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<v Speaker 1>a lot about that, Chris, that you know, even if

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<v Speaker 1>you are able to reopen, I mean, I think about

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<v Speaker 1>you know, the restaurants and retail establishments here in my

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<v Speaker 1>little town in suburban New York that you know, maybe

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<v Speaker 1>they don't hire everyone back. Maybe they reopened, and maybe

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<v Speaker 1>they don't hire people back for six twelve months or

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<v Speaker 1>or ever. And I would imagine that's hard to model

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<v Speaker 1>at this point. Well, and it's hard to adele. And

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<v Speaker 1>then it's hard to figure out what the economic remedy

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<v Speaker 1>is that because so much of the relief programs that

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<v Speaker 1>are out there are intended for either businesses that are

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<v Speaker 1>fully closed or for workers that are completely unemployed. We

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<v Speaker 1>don't really know what to do if we've got you know,

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<v Speaker 1>the workers coming back but only working part time, which

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<v Speaker 1>is also an important thing that was in space jobs.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, five million people, there's five million additional people

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<v Speaker 1>were registered as working um part time, not by their

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<v Speaker 1>own choice. Uh, And so I think that's something that's

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<v Speaker 1>not fully considered within these numbers that we have a

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<v Speaker 1>huge number of people unemployed. We've got a lot of

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<v Speaker 1>people who are underemployed as well. All right, well, stick

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<v Speaker 1>with us. We're going to continue this conversation. Always good

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<v Speaker 1>to talk with Chris Lew, senior fellow down at the

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<v Speaker 1>University of Virginia Miller Center, and of course former Deputy

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<v Speaker 1>Secretary of Labor under President Obama, and some great context

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<v Speaker 1>right there at the top that you know, they looked

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<v Speaker 1>at eight hundred thousand jobs lost and probably at that

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<v Speaker 1>moment thought this is catastrophic, and today twenty five times that. Wow,

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<v Speaker 1>it's remarkable. All Right, we'll continue that conversation with Chris.

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<v Speaker 1>In just a moment, you are listening to Bloomberg Radio,

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<v Speaker 1>we are talking with Chris Lew, senior fellow at the

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<v Speaker 1>University of Virginia Miller Center, former Deputy Secretary of Labor

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<v Speaker 1>under President of Bama, still with us on the phone

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<v Speaker 1>from Washington, d C. You know, Chris, I was just

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<v Speaker 1>thinking about as Charlie Pellett recapped the markets, and we

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<v Speaker 1>talked at the top of our show that despite this

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<v Speaker 1>staggering monthly jobs report, which we knew was going to

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<v Speaker 1>be kind of mind blowing, um investors increasingly certainly equity

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<v Speaker 1>investors are looking past it, and you know, we've got

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<v Speaker 1>a risk on trade today. I am always curious about

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<v Speaker 1>how much internal talk goes on at the White House,

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<v Speaker 1>UM and at the various departments about what's going on

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<v Speaker 1>in the financial markets and particularly in the stock market.

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<v Speaker 1>We certainly have a president who watches it very closely,

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<v Speaker 1>But I'm just curious how much of that did you

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<v Speaker 1>guys think about, and how much should we as leaders

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<v Speaker 1>also take that into account when when thinking about policy

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<v Speaker 1>and moves. Well, look, I think it's certainly one measure

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<v Speaker 1>of the health, the economic health of the country, but

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<v Speaker 1>it's probably not the one that most Americans can relate to.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, when we were in the obob administration at

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<v Speaker 1>the depths of the Great Recession, you know, we were

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<v Speaker 1>laser focused on these jobs announcements every month, UM, trying

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<v Speaker 1>to figure out how we get ourselves out of the

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<v Speaker 1>whole as well as the jobs that were created to

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<v Speaker 1>the very stimulus measures. I can't ever remember sort of

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<v Speaker 1>focusing on what the Dow or s and T we're doing,

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<v Speaker 1>and I certainly don't think we ever sent President Obama

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<v Speaker 1>out to tout about that. You know, part of because

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<v Speaker 1>the relatively small number of Americans that own stock at all,

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<v Speaker 1>whether um individual stocks, neutral funds, or four in one case.

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<v Speaker 1>I think it has been a mistake of President Trump

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<v Speaker 1>to continue touting this on the way up, because you

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<v Speaker 1>pat it on the way up, you own it on

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<v Speaker 1>the way down. But I think on a day like today,

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<v Speaker 1>we especially see the disconnect between where the market is

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<v Speaker 1>and what everyday Americans are feeling, and so, Chris, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>part of what's got to happen next, presumably, is everybody

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<v Speaker 1>in Washington has to get on something close to the

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<v Speaker 1>same page about where to put additional stabilization or stimulus

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<v Speaker 1>funds or rescue funds, depending on how you want to

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<v Speaker 1>characterize it or how one wants to characterize it. What

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<v Speaker 1>is the advice you would give, especially to lawmakers. You're

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<v Speaker 1>very familiar with the Congress and how it works in

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<v Speaker 1>terms of where they can and should be putting a

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<v Speaker 1>next round, which could be the last round of stimulus

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<v Speaker 1>or stabilization. Yeah, I think you're right. I think this

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<v Speaker 1>next round is I would say it's the next round

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<v Speaker 1>is probably the last round of economic relief. We may

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<v Speaker 1>be on economic stimulus after that. Uh, there's a couple

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<v Speaker 1>of things that jump that come to mind. One is

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<v Speaker 1>the enhanced unemployment benefits. Those expire at the end of July.

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<v Speaker 1>That's the extra six hundred dollars a week that went

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<v Speaker 1>into people's unemployment checks. That probably needs to be extended.

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<v Speaker 1>Maybe not at the six hundred dollar level, but probably something.

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<v Speaker 1>I do think that there needs to be an infusion

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<v Speaker 1>of money and to stay in local government. We didn't

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<v Speaker 1>see many job losses in this round of of data,

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<v Speaker 1>but you know, when I hear Governor Cuomo saying that

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<v Speaker 1>New York is running a fifteen fifteen billion dollar deficit,

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<v Speaker 1>or Governor Whitmer in Michigan saying they're running a three

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<v Speaker 1>billion dollar deficit and they have no ability to raise

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<v Speaker 1>revenues at this point or even collect the revenues that

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<v Speaker 1>are owed to them, So they're going to have to

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<v Speaker 1>start to layoff teachers and police and firefighters. That's the

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<v Speaker 1>next round of layoffs unless we provide some some additional

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<v Speaker 1>relief to them. And I still think more needs to

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<v Speaker 1>be done with the p p P program um and

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<v Speaker 1>particularly in terms of targeting it to really really small businesses.

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<v Speaker 1>And I know this isn't your your your world Chris,

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<v Speaker 1>but I mean I am still blown away. And Jason

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<v Speaker 1>I talked about this a lot. You know, we hear everyone,

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<v Speaker 1>whether it's a CEO, whether it's members of Congress, whether

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<v Speaker 1>it's governors, talking about the importance of testing, and it

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<v Speaker 1>still seems like there is such, um, you know, a

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<v Speaker 1>roadblock when it comes to that that if we talk

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<v Speaker 1>about reopening the economy and how important that is, but

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<v Speaker 1>yet it still feels like we're not getting to our testing.

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<v Speaker 1>What what is the roadblock that you see or where's

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<v Speaker 1>the problem? Well, look, I think that the approach this

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<v Speaker 1>administration has taken from day one has you know, they

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<v Speaker 1>started going down the road that they were going to

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<v Speaker 1>ceneralize this and then they sort of pulled back and

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<v Speaker 1>kind of left it to the state, uh into the

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<v Speaker 1>private sector, and it's become kind of the wild West

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<v Speaker 1>right now. And unfortunately, this is only the kind of

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<v Speaker 1>thing that the federal governments effectively do. And we can

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<v Speaker 1>look at the contrast. We look at South Korea, which

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<v Speaker 1>does have much more aggressive testing, which really has been

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<v Speaker 1>imposing a structor of social distancing requirements and as a

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<v Speaker 1>results of that, they've been able to keep their cases

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<v Speaker 1>down and actually have some kind of a functioning economy.

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<v Speaker 1>So really this is the federal government that you take

0:12:07.640 --> 0:12:10.160
<v Speaker 1>charge of this issue. Well, thank you so much, Chris.

0:12:10.200 --> 0:12:12.839
<v Speaker 1>We really always appreciate the time you find for us,

0:12:12.920 --> 0:12:15.560
<v Speaker 1>and really a nice in depth conversation again with Chris

0:12:15.640 --> 0:12:18.080
<v Speaker 1>lou Thank you so much, senior fellow, University of Virginia,

0:12:18.080 --> 0:12:21.840
<v Speaker 1>Miller Center, former Deputy Secretary of Labor under President Obama.

0:12:22.160 --> 0:12:25.760
<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week with Carol Messer and Jason

0:12:25.840 --> 0:12:31.880
<v Speaker 1>Kelly on Bloomberg Radio. Well on Saturday tomorrow. America's live

0:12:31.920 --> 0:12:35.240
<v Speaker 1>sports industry, largely shuttered since March, It's gonna lurch back

0:12:35.280 --> 0:12:37.840
<v Speaker 1>into action big time. Our Evan Kobie Williams actually writes

0:12:37.880 --> 0:12:39.760
<v Speaker 1>that on the terminal. We're gonna talk about that little

0:12:39.760 --> 0:12:42.560
<v Speaker 1>bit more later, but in the meantime, also writing about

0:12:42.559 --> 0:12:46.839
<v Speaker 1>the UFC in a timely story on Bloomberg Business Week.

0:12:47.480 --> 0:12:49.880
<v Speaker 1>It's in the magazine this week. It's about how the

0:12:49.960 --> 0:12:53.440
<v Speaker 1>UFC the dominant force in Marshall Mixed Martial Arts. Excuse me,

0:12:53.559 --> 0:12:57.000
<v Speaker 1>m m A has been fighting. Come on, Carol, I'm

0:12:57.040 --> 0:12:58.520
<v Speaker 1>trying to get too much in here. I should just

0:12:58.559 --> 0:13:02.000
<v Speaker 1>go to the story. Josh Idolson morning here. Darn, I'm

0:13:02.040 --> 0:13:04.280
<v Speaker 1>so glad it's Friday. Josh Idle said, his labor reporter

0:13:04.320 --> 0:13:07.080
<v Speaker 1>at Bloomberg News. He wrote this story. It's really interesting

0:13:07.120 --> 0:13:11.120
<v Speaker 1>because it gets into some of the allegations against the UFC.

0:13:11.320 --> 0:13:13.520
<v Speaker 1>Josh is on the phone from Palo Alto, also with

0:13:13.600 --> 0:13:15.680
<v Speaker 1>us at Joe Webber, Bloomberg Business Week editor on the

0:13:15.679 --> 0:13:19.280
<v Speaker 1>phone in Brooklyn. Uh and Joel, UM, come on in

0:13:19.360 --> 0:13:22.720
<v Speaker 1>on here, because UM, just reading even just the beginning

0:13:22.720 --> 0:13:25.280
<v Speaker 1>of this story about what one fighter says he has

0:13:25.320 --> 0:13:29.120
<v Speaker 1>gone through is really gut wrenching. Well, I mean, you

0:13:29.120 --> 0:13:32.680
<v Speaker 1>can watch it UFC fighting. You see the guys get

0:13:32.720 --> 0:13:35.880
<v Speaker 1>into the octagon, and UM, you have to assume that

0:13:35.920 --> 0:13:38.640
<v Speaker 1>it's at least got wrenching. But I think what Josh's

0:13:38.640 --> 0:13:41.280
<v Speaker 1>story is ultimately about is what happens sort of outside

0:13:41.280 --> 0:13:43.600
<v Speaker 1>the ring. Um. I think this is a really finally

0:13:43.640 --> 0:13:47.080
<v Speaker 1>important story. UM. For a for the reason that you

0:13:47.160 --> 0:13:50.760
<v Speaker 1>said at the top, which is this is as as Americans,

0:13:50.760 --> 0:13:53.760
<v Speaker 1>I think right now we are creating sports. UFC is

0:13:53.800 --> 0:13:55.880
<v Speaker 1>almost going to be the first one to really address

0:13:55.960 --> 0:13:58.720
<v Speaker 1>that with this about small But the bigger story here

0:13:58.800 --> 0:14:02.319
<v Speaker 1>is is that jeez are fighters who are effectively contractors,

0:14:02.320 --> 0:14:05.920
<v Speaker 1>they're untrajected workers. And if we're a decade now, there's

0:14:05.960 --> 0:14:09.880
<v Speaker 1>been this case sort of building against UFC that's basically

0:14:09.880 --> 0:14:13.319
<v Speaker 1>an anti trust case. Um, Josh, you want to come

0:14:13.360 --> 0:14:16.439
<v Speaker 1>in there, what's the what's the context that the fighters

0:14:16.679 --> 0:14:21.800
<v Speaker 1>are are kind of uh finding themselves uniting a run. Sure,

0:14:21.880 --> 0:14:26.080
<v Speaker 1>this is a five billion dollar antitrust monopoly case. And

0:14:26.440 --> 0:14:28.800
<v Speaker 1>when people talk about monopoly in the US, they're often

0:14:28.800 --> 0:14:33.320
<v Speaker 1>talking about how companies get an advantage over consumers. In

0:14:33.320 --> 0:14:38.040
<v Speaker 1>this case does allege that the UFC has monopolized the

0:14:38.120 --> 0:14:43.040
<v Speaker 1>market for selling abouts, but it's also about what's called monopsony,

0:14:43.120 --> 0:14:46.800
<v Speaker 1>which is when you're a monopoly in dealing with your workers.

0:14:46.840 --> 0:14:51.920
<v Speaker 1>That the UFC has monopolized the labor market so that

0:14:52.280 --> 0:14:56.440
<v Speaker 1>workers don't have much else to turn to if they

0:14:56.480 --> 0:14:58.680
<v Speaker 1>don't like what the UFC is offering them. As we

0:14:58.720 --> 0:15:01.760
<v Speaker 1>say in the story, it's like the ground in pound

0:15:02.120 --> 0:15:05.560
<v Speaker 1>that you might see in the octagon. According to the plaintiffs,

0:15:05.840 --> 0:15:09.080
<v Speaker 1>that these workers are trapped, there's not somewhere else to go.

0:15:09.640 --> 0:15:11.680
<v Speaker 1>And then the company has been able to layer on

0:15:12.240 --> 0:15:16.560
<v Speaker 1>more and more restrictive rules and keep a much larger

0:15:16.680 --> 0:15:21.240
<v Speaker 1>share of the revenue for the ownership rather than the players,

0:15:21.760 --> 0:15:24.600
<v Speaker 1>then you would see in a lot of major league sports,

0:15:25.840 --> 0:15:27.880
<v Speaker 1>and I'm actually to that end like that. I think

0:15:27.920 --> 0:15:30.960
<v Speaker 1>one of the most interesting little details that Josh found

0:15:31.000 --> 0:15:33.280
<v Speaker 1>out through his reporting was like, even if as a

0:15:33.360 --> 0:15:36.520
<v Speaker 1>fighter you were going to have some sort of endorsement

0:15:36.720 --> 0:15:41.240
<v Speaker 1>deal over time, UFC has actually intermediated that relationship and said,

0:15:41.240 --> 0:15:44.480
<v Speaker 1>we'll actually negotiate those sponsorships for you and then give

0:15:44.520 --> 0:15:47.280
<v Speaker 1>you just you know, a share that we say is reasonable,

0:15:47.320 --> 0:15:49.320
<v Speaker 1>which I just think, you know, it's sort of an

0:15:49.360 --> 0:15:52.320
<v Speaker 1>interesting twist. M Josh. I also just want to talk

0:15:52.360 --> 0:15:55.920
<v Speaker 1>about his sports in general, because this isn't unique to UFC.

0:15:56.240 --> 0:15:59.680
<v Speaker 1>Every other sporting league has has versions of of this

0:16:00.120 --> 0:16:03.480
<v Speaker 1>where there are the players and the owners or the

0:16:03.600 --> 0:16:07.440
<v Speaker 1>leagues and there's always that relationship. I'm thinking of baseball specifically.

0:16:07.680 --> 0:16:11.040
<v Speaker 1>So how do we view this case in that context. Well,

0:16:11.120 --> 0:16:13.800
<v Speaker 1>the argument that plaintiffs would make is they are just

0:16:13.920 --> 0:16:16.600
<v Speaker 1>the latest to go through these struggles, and that it's

0:16:16.640 --> 0:16:20.720
<v Speaker 1>a struggle that in every other great sport comes along eventually,

0:16:20.720 --> 0:16:23.440
<v Speaker 1>as one of them said, and where the players have won.

0:16:23.600 --> 0:16:27.640
<v Speaker 1>So there is the Muhammad Ali Act in boxing, there

0:16:27.760 --> 0:16:30.720
<v Speaker 1>is free agency, now in baseball. And an interesting thing

0:16:30.720 --> 0:16:34.479
<v Speaker 1>about this history is that each time there's been this conflict,

0:16:34.960 --> 0:16:38.840
<v Speaker 1>management has argued, this will destroy the sport if you

0:16:38.960 --> 0:16:42.080
<v Speaker 1>change it in this way. Now Here again you have

0:16:42.360 --> 0:16:46.680
<v Speaker 1>these fighters saying they should have more leverage in dealing

0:16:46.720 --> 0:16:51.440
<v Speaker 1>with management, and UFC has said that this lawsuit is

0:16:51.480 --> 0:16:54.400
<v Speaker 1>an attack not just on them, but a threat to

0:16:54.800 --> 0:16:59.560
<v Speaker 1>business's ability to be risk taking in successful Elsewhere. UFC

0:16:59.640 --> 0:17:03.120
<v Speaker 1>says there wouldn't be much competition in m m A

0:17:03.280 --> 0:17:05.280
<v Speaker 1>without them, because there wouldn't be much of an m

0:17:05.359 --> 0:17:08.480
<v Speaker 1>m A industry in the first place without them. Well,

0:17:08.520 --> 0:17:10.840
<v Speaker 1>and it's an argument, Josh, that's sort of like turns

0:17:10.920 --> 0:17:15.960
<v Speaker 1>onto itself because they have been very savvy about and

0:17:15.960 --> 0:17:18.800
<v Speaker 1>and you described this so well in the story about

0:17:18.920 --> 0:17:22.160
<v Speaker 1>essentially just buying everything up and so this whole idea

0:17:22.160 --> 0:17:24.879
<v Speaker 1>of it wouldn't exist without us. It's like, yeah, it

0:17:24.920 --> 0:17:28.360
<v Speaker 1>wouldn't because you've got the market cornered. So how does

0:17:28.400 --> 0:17:33.840
<v Speaker 1>this get figured out? Well, any day now or any

0:17:33.880 --> 0:17:38.640
<v Speaker 1>month now, we could have a ruling on class certification

0:17:39.160 --> 0:17:42.640
<v Speaker 1>come down from a federal district judge in Nevada. Judges

0:17:42.760 --> 0:17:46.240
<v Speaker 1>when they're ruling gets work from home also So we

0:17:46.320 --> 0:17:49.320
<v Speaker 1>are on the cusp of a very big step in

0:17:49.359 --> 0:17:53.439
<v Speaker 1>this case, which is the judge ruling either for or

0:17:53.480 --> 0:17:58.480
<v Speaker 1>against certifying a class of what could be twelve hundred fighters.

0:17:59.800 --> 0:18:03.960
<v Speaker 1>We would really turbocharge this lawsuit and change the discussion

0:18:04.000 --> 0:18:06.520
<v Speaker 1>about the lawsuit and about what it might look like

0:18:06.680 --> 0:18:09.959
<v Speaker 1>if it could be settled. Now, UFC says this is

0:18:10.480 --> 0:18:14.440
<v Speaker 1>not just a bad lawsuit, but a destructive legal theory

0:18:14.640 --> 0:18:18.080
<v Speaker 1>behind the lawsuit, and that they're committed to defeating it.

0:18:18.200 --> 0:18:21.159
<v Speaker 1>And in fact, the judge has already said he is

0:18:21.240 --> 0:18:24.960
<v Speaker 1>confident that however he rules, this is going to get

0:18:24.960 --> 0:18:28.040
<v Speaker 1>appealed to Federal Appeals Court, could get appealed from there

0:18:28.040 --> 0:18:30.440
<v Speaker 1>to the U. S. Supreme Court. So we are five

0:18:30.520 --> 0:18:34.080
<v Speaker 1>years into a legal struggle that could go on much further,

0:18:34.480 --> 0:18:38.080
<v Speaker 1>but that is going to take a new form very

0:18:38.160 --> 0:18:41.600
<v Speaker 1>soon with this judge's ruling that will get noticed, as

0:18:41.600 --> 0:18:45.320
<v Speaker 1>scholars told me, not just in m m A, but

0:18:45.520 --> 0:18:48.520
<v Speaker 1>in all sorts of companies. But I do wonder, Josh,

0:18:48.560 --> 0:18:52.240
<v Speaker 1>if there was more competition in mm A, would we

0:18:52.320 --> 0:18:58.640
<v Speaker 1>not be having this discussion and why isn't there more competition? Well,

0:18:58.760 --> 0:19:01.720
<v Speaker 1>the argument of the laws suit is that there are

0:19:02.320 --> 0:19:06.600
<v Speaker 1>a series of different exploitative practices that have gone on

0:19:06.720 --> 0:19:11.399
<v Speaker 1>that reinforce each other. The lawsuit talks about everything from

0:19:11.800 --> 0:19:18.199
<v Speaker 1>exclusive contract with sponsors to the contracts with the fighters,

0:19:18.280 --> 0:19:22.520
<v Speaker 1>and there's a catch twenty two in that. The one

0:19:22.560 --> 0:19:25.160
<v Speaker 1>of the phrases that comes up in some of the

0:19:25.320 --> 0:19:29.040
<v Speaker 1>internal correspondence that's been unearthed is people you have seen

0:19:29.119 --> 0:19:32.919
<v Speaker 1>talking about choking off the oxygen to their competition, and

0:19:32.960 --> 0:19:37.800
<v Speaker 1>in particular they mean the players. So you deprive the

0:19:37.960 --> 0:19:41.840
<v Speaker 1>competing promoters of the chance to get at the players.

0:19:42.400 --> 0:19:45.679
<v Speaker 1>You deprive the players of having somewhere else to go

0:19:45.760 --> 0:19:48.200
<v Speaker 1>if they don't like what's being proposed in your contract.

0:19:48.359 --> 0:19:54.040
<v Speaker 1>And these are contracts that allegedly become effectively perpetual because

0:19:54.200 --> 0:19:57.879
<v Speaker 1>UFC has a chance to extend them for everything from

0:19:57.920 --> 0:20:01.159
<v Speaker 1>you got injured too, you became a champion. It's like

0:20:01.200 --> 0:20:04.359
<v Speaker 1>an mm A sweatshop is kind of to some extent

0:20:04.440 --> 0:20:07.360
<v Speaker 1>going on. So this case sounds and we're so craved

0:20:07.560 --> 0:20:10.920
<v Speaker 1>for sports, I know, I know, Well that's exactly the point.

0:20:10.920 --> 0:20:13.040
<v Speaker 1>That's going to be millions of people that watch, and

0:20:13.200 --> 0:20:16.879
<v Speaker 1>you know he again is also in need of it.

0:20:16.960 --> 0:20:20.320
<v Speaker 1>Unless you want to watch Jordan's highlights from the nineties again, which,

0:20:20.400 --> 0:20:23.320
<v Speaker 1>for the record, are our sensational film. Yeah yeah, nothing

0:20:23.320 --> 0:20:25.240
<v Speaker 1>wrong with that, Nothing wrong with that. All right, Thank

0:20:25.280 --> 0:20:27.480
<v Speaker 1>you both so much. I really appreciate it. It's a

0:20:27.520 --> 0:20:30.280
<v Speaker 1>great story. It's on the terminal and on Bloomberger dot Com.

0:20:30.320 --> 0:20:33.200
<v Speaker 1>In next week's issue of Bloomberg Business Week, Josh Idelson

0:20:33.240 --> 0:20:36.040
<v Speaker 1>wrote at UFC wants you to watch brawls, not it's

0:20:36.080 --> 0:20:39.800
<v Speaker 1>five billion dollar lawsuit. This is Bloomberg Business Week with

0:20:39.880 --> 0:20:43.879
<v Speaker 1>Carol Messer and Jason Kelly on Bloomberg Radio. Well, we

0:20:43.920 --> 0:20:46.239
<v Speaker 1>talked with our next guest back in late March, as

0:20:46.240 --> 0:20:48.879
<v Speaker 1>those COVID nineteen cases were adding up, back with us.

0:20:49.280 --> 0:20:52.280
<v Speaker 1>Dr Penny Wheeler, who is president CEO at a Line

0:20:52.280 --> 0:20:56.280
<v Speaker 1>of Health. They've got twelve hospitals in the Minnesotia Minnesota area,

0:20:57.480 --> 0:21:02.680
<v Speaker 1>doctors about clinics, fifteen retail pharmacies um throughout that region.

0:21:02.760 --> 0:21:05.760
<v Speaker 1>The system's total operating revenue in fiscal twenty eight was

0:21:05.800 --> 0:21:09.159
<v Speaker 1>about four point four billions. So let's talk about the

0:21:09.240 --> 0:21:12.199
<v Speaker 1>virus in particular, what's going on in the Midwest. She

0:21:12.320 --> 0:21:15.400
<v Speaker 1>joins us on the phone from Minnesota. Dr Wheeler, nice

0:21:15.400 --> 0:21:18.600
<v Speaker 1>to have you back with us. How are you guys doing. Yeah,

0:21:18.760 --> 0:21:21.560
<v Speaker 1>nice to be back. Thank you for having me. We're

0:21:21.560 --> 0:21:24.000
<v Speaker 1>doing okay. I mean we've used that we still alright,

0:21:24.119 --> 0:21:26.960
<v Speaker 1>just for cover Cuomo saying that down the downslope there

0:21:27.119 --> 0:21:29.119
<v Speaker 1>on the New York side, we are still on the

0:21:29.200 --> 0:21:32.360
<v Speaker 1>upfloat here in the Midwest. So but we've used the time,

0:21:32.400 --> 0:21:34.840
<v Speaker 1>I think, to prepare and really kind of expand our

0:21:34.880 --> 0:21:37.720
<v Speaker 1>capacity for for the community that we're ready. So we're

0:21:37.720 --> 0:21:41.600
<v Speaker 1>continue to see an uptick in cases and sadly in

0:21:41.760 --> 0:21:46.320
<v Speaker 1>death as well in our geography. Well, let's talk about that,

0:21:46.400 --> 0:21:49.800
<v Speaker 1>Dr Wheeler. What have you seen and what have you learned?

0:21:49.920 --> 0:21:53.719
<v Speaker 1>I guess both in terms of preparation, but also you know,

0:21:53.920 --> 0:21:57.080
<v Speaker 1>how has the virus been a little bit different maybe

0:21:57.119 --> 0:21:59.560
<v Speaker 1>in the in the ways that it's played out. You know,

0:21:59.600 --> 0:22:04.119
<v Speaker 1>obviously each state, each locality is a little bit different.

0:22:04.320 --> 0:22:07.480
<v Speaker 1>I wonder what you see versus what we've seen maybe

0:22:07.480 --> 0:22:11.000
<v Speaker 1>on the coasts. Yeah, I think, Well, we're grateful, as

0:22:11.160 --> 0:22:13.560
<v Speaker 1>as many governors have. We're grateful hour for our governors.

0:22:13.760 --> 0:22:18.199
<v Speaker 1>Tim Wallas's actions on the physical distancing parameters and the

0:22:18.320 --> 0:22:21.720
<v Speaker 1>closure and the decrease of elective surgery, and that allowed

0:22:21.800 --> 0:22:24.880
<v Speaker 1>us to build up not only the personal protective equipment.

0:22:25.000 --> 0:22:27.640
<v Speaker 1>But also like in our organization, we've doubled our intensive

0:22:27.640 --> 0:22:30.840
<v Speaker 1>care unic capacity in that time, so we feel much

0:22:30.840 --> 0:22:33.320
<v Speaker 1>more ready to take on the surge as we're still

0:22:33.359 --> 0:22:36.840
<v Speaker 1>approaching it. We still don't anticipate that surge in this geography,

0:22:36.880 --> 0:22:39.720
<v Speaker 1>and all models are helpful for planning a flawed in

0:22:39.760 --> 0:22:42.760
<v Speaker 1>some way, but we don't anticipate that surge until probably

0:22:43.359 --> 0:22:46.560
<v Speaker 1>fully into July now. But but it tells us, but

0:22:46.600 --> 0:22:48.800
<v Speaker 1>it tells us to prepare, right, But it tells us

0:22:48.840 --> 0:22:50.800
<v Speaker 1>a lot about because you guys had a little bit

0:22:50.800 --> 0:22:53.840
<v Speaker 1>of a lead time, right to prepare that, whether it

0:22:53.880 --> 0:22:57.520
<v Speaker 1>was taking some measures to stem the amount of cases

0:22:57.520 --> 0:22:59.480
<v Speaker 1>that maybe you ultimately have to do with, but just

0:22:59.520 --> 0:23:02.320
<v Speaker 1>getting your facilities ready, you know, because that's been a

0:23:02.320 --> 0:23:05.960
<v Speaker 1>big debate, as you know, about the inability for many,

0:23:06.040 --> 0:23:09.720
<v Speaker 1>certainly in these hotspots um to not be prepared, that

0:23:09.760 --> 0:23:14.000
<v Speaker 1>they weren't given maybe enough lead time about it. Boy,

0:23:14.200 --> 0:23:17.199
<v Speaker 1>you are so right, and we are grateful that we

0:23:17.240 --> 0:23:19.159
<v Speaker 1>had the lead time. And I think that we have

0:23:19.240 --> 0:23:22.080
<v Speaker 1>a community, not just our organization, but we've actually collaborated

0:23:22.119 --> 0:23:25.119
<v Speaker 1>with all the health systems in our geography to make

0:23:25.119 --> 0:23:28.800
<v Speaker 1>sure we're preparing for that together well, and that time afforded.

0:23:28.880 --> 0:23:32.320
<v Speaker 1>Us has used that and actually time to increase our

0:23:32.480 --> 0:23:35.840
<v Speaker 1>testing and increase our personal protective equipment for the safety

0:23:35.840 --> 0:23:38.560
<v Speaker 1>of our staff as well. So I am curious about

0:23:38.560 --> 0:23:40.359
<v Speaker 1>what you're seeing in terms of trends of the virus.

0:23:40.400 --> 0:23:42.560
<v Speaker 1>One of the troubling stories that we talked about earlier

0:23:42.760 --> 0:23:45.119
<v Speaker 1>was about what we're seeing in kids and trying to

0:23:45.160 --> 0:23:47.720
<v Speaker 1>make sense out of, you know, different symptoms coming out.

0:23:47.800 --> 0:23:50.440
<v Speaker 1>We're talking about rashes on kids, kids who we thought

0:23:50.920 --> 0:23:55.199
<v Speaker 1>we're not, you know, vulnerable to this virus. Um just

0:23:55.280 --> 0:23:56.800
<v Speaker 1>talk to us about what you're seeing in terms of

0:23:56.840 --> 0:24:00.440
<v Speaker 1>the cases. Yeah, but boy, what we're learning something every day.

0:24:00.480 --> 0:24:03.280
<v Speaker 1>And even though thousands have been affected by this and

0:24:03.280 --> 0:24:06.639
<v Speaker 1>and thousands have sadly died from this, we're still learning

0:24:06.640 --> 0:24:09.520
<v Speaker 1>about this virus all the time. And you're right, it

0:24:09.560 --> 0:24:12.840
<v Speaker 1>has many different manifestation it appears. And so we're actually

0:24:13.119 --> 0:24:16.840
<v Speaker 1>for testing criteria. You know, it used to be coffin fever, right,

0:24:17.280 --> 0:24:21.480
<v Speaker 1>and now the testing criteria for symptoms of things like

0:24:21.520 --> 0:24:24.040
<v Speaker 1>fatigue or lots of smell or other things are expanding

0:24:24.160 --> 0:24:27.560
<v Speaker 1>for our testing criteria. Even as we see different manifestations

0:24:27.600 --> 0:24:30.840
<v Speaker 1>of this diseases, most recently to your point, Carroll, the

0:24:30.880 --> 0:24:34.879
<v Speaker 1>one that we saw in children. And so Dr Wheeler,

0:24:34.920 --> 0:24:38.040
<v Speaker 1>as a physician, what do you make and as someone

0:24:38.080 --> 0:24:40.119
<v Speaker 1>who you know ultimately has to deal with this very

0:24:40.160 --> 0:24:42.840
<v Speaker 1>much on the front lines at your facilities, what do

0:24:42.880 --> 0:24:45.439
<v Speaker 1>you make about the debate that we're having across the

0:24:45.520 --> 0:24:51.680
<v Speaker 1>country amid among everyone about reopening and you know what

0:24:51.760 --> 0:24:55.320
<v Speaker 1>that looks like, and especially in a place like where

0:24:55.359 --> 0:24:58.720
<v Speaker 1>you are, where as you say, it's still on on

0:24:58.800 --> 0:25:01.920
<v Speaker 1>the upswing, how do you sort of come down on them.

0:25:02.600 --> 0:25:04.520
<v Speaker 1>I think that one of the things that we've learned

0:25:04.560 --> 0:25:06.720
<v Speaker 1>is that we are going to have to coexist with

0:25:06.760 --> 0:25:09.600
<v Speaker 1>this virus for a long time. So we're always going

0:25:09.680 --> 0:25:12.080
<v Speaker 1>to have to dial up what we can be able

0:25:12.119 --> 0:25:14.320
<v Speaker 1>to open, what we can be able to do, depending

0:25:14.320 --> 0:25:18.119
<v Speaker 1>on what the community disease burden is in our communities.

0:25:18.440 --> 0:25:21.359
<v Speaker 1>So right now, for example, we've reopened some of the

0:25:21.560 --> 0:25:25.000
<v Speaker 1>I will say scheduled surgeries because nobody really elects to

0:25:25.040 --> 0:25:28.199
<v Speaker 1>have surgery very often, but the scheduled surgeries, we've been

0:25:28.240 --> 0:25:31.880
<v Speaker 1>able to open some of those up um in before

0:25:31.920 --> 0:25:35.040
<v Speaker 1>the wave because we've been seeing more people who need

0:25:35.040 --> 0:25:38.360
<v Speaker 1>either they have intractable pain and need a hip replaced,

0:25:38.480 --> 0:25:40.840
<v Speaker 1>or they have a tissue diagnosis that they need to

0:25:40.880 --> 0:25:43.119
<v Speaker 1>see if they have cancer. So these are kinds of

0:25:43.160 --> 0:25:46.240
<v Speaker 1>things that if delayed too long, would cause patient farms

0:25:46.240 --> 0:25:50.200
<v Speaker 1>who are having to balance those things with actually the

0:25:50.320 --> 0:25:53.159
<v Speaker 1>viral load in our community, and I think we're just

0:25:53.200 --> 0:25:55.879
<v Speaker 1>going to have to coexist and and be able to

0:25:55.880 --> 0:25:58.920
<v Speaker 1>serve those things in addition to those who are affected

0:25:58.960 --> 0:26:01.439
<v Speaker 1>by COVID at the same time. You know, this is

0:26:01.440 --> 0:26:03.879
<v Speaker 1>going to obviously the old world's kind of gone and

0:26:03.920 --> 0:26:05.960
<v Speaker 1>won't go back, and this is a virus we're gonna

0:26:06.440 --> 0:26:08.919
<v Speaker 1>be coexisting with for some time now. And how we

0:26:08.960 --> 0:26:12.480
<v Speaker 1>tight trate up opening up our organization's healthcare, and how

0:26:12.480 --> 0:26:16.600
<v Speaker 1>we tight trade opening up our communities and economies is

0:26:16.680 --> 0:26:20.240
<v Speaker 1>going to have to be continually monitored and watched. Yeah,

0:26:20.320 --> 0:26:22.800
<v Speaker 1>it's a really good point. The coexistence point, I think

0:26:22.920 --> 0:26:25.160
<v Speaker 1>is a really good one and one that I think

0:26:25.160 --> 0:26:28.600
<v Speaker 1>we're all starting to get our heads around, especially as

0:26:28.640 --> 0:26:30.480
<v Speaker 1>we look at a day like today from a market

0:26:30.480 --> 0:26:33.240
<v Speaker 1>perspective and from an economic perspective. You know, this massive

0:26:33.280 --> 0:26:36.199
<v Speaker 1>job loss that we're seeing across the country. Dr Penny Wheeler,

0:26:36.200 --> 0:26:38.040
<v Speaker 1>thank you so much. Presiden Cyo. Good to visit with

0:26:38.080 --> 0:26:42.720
<v Speaker 1>you again. A line of health on the phone from Minnesota, Carol. Yeah,

0:26:42.720 --> 0:26:44.160
<v Speaker 1>we're gonna have to. We're gonna see a world where

0:26:44.160 --> 0:26:47.200
<v Speaker 1>there's medical facilities. You know, if you've got the virus,

0:26:47.200 --> 0:26:49.719
<v Speaker 1>here's where you go, and so that other facilities can

0:26:49.760 --> 0:26:52.440
<v Speaker 1>open up and start doing kind of those normal testings

0:26:52.480 --> 0:26:54.800
<v Speaker 1>and screenings. I'm already seeing it in my world where

0:26:54.880 --> 0:26:56.959
<v Speaker 1>you know, things you know that were canceled are being

0:26:57.160 --> 0:27:00.560
<v Speaker 1>they're now reaching out to me to reschedule. Yeah, it's

0:27:00.600 --> 0:27:03.439
<v Speaker 1>living with risk to some extent is one of the

0:27:03.440 --> 0:27:10.439
<v Speaker 1>things we gotta get used to road macro journal now.

0:27:10.520 --> 0:27:12.359
<v Speaker 1>But you let me drive. Oh no, no, no, no,

0:27:13.400 --> 0:27:18.399
<v Speaker 1>drive home, honey, please, I'll do the riding drivel. I

0:27:18.480 --> 0:27:33.760
<v Speaker 1>want to drive. Just drive, baby, the questions trying. This

0:27:34.240 --> 0:27:37.160
<v Speaker 1>is the drive to the globe. Give me thanks. We'll

0:27:37.280 --> 0:27:40.800
<v Speaker 1>drying us down on bloom Bird Radio. Yep. And as

0:27:40.840 --> 0:27:43.560
<v Speaker 1>we drive to the clothes on this Friday, getting ready

0:27:43.560 --> 0:27:46.200
<v Speaker 1>to trap to wrap up another trading week, we are

0:27:46.240 --> 0:27:48.719
<v Speaker 1>taking another leg up. We're pretty much hovering at our

0:27:48.760 --> 0:27:51.200
<v Speaker 1>highs of this session. And I was just looking Jason

0:27:51.640 --> 0:27:54.879
<v Speaker 1>at the five day moves on the Dawdly, SMP, and

0:27:54.920 --> 0:27:56.960
<v Speaker 1>the NASA. We've had quite a rally this week now,

0:27:57.080 --> 0:27:59.760
<v Speaker 1>Deck alone up about six percent two and a half

0:27:59.760 --> 0:28:01.399
<v Speaker 1>percent and higher on the down the S and P

0:28:01.560 --> 0:28:03.919
<v Speaker 1>up about three and a half per cent. So a

0:28:04.000 --> 0:28:07.240
<v Speaker 1>lot of optimism and the risk trade definitely on. So

0:28:07.320 --> 0:28:10.120
<v Speaker 1>let's see what J. J. Kenahan has to say about it,

0:28:10.320 --> 0:28:12.680
<v Speaker 1>Chief Market Strategies at t D A marriage trade. They've

0:28:12.720 --> 0:28:17.720
<v Speaker 1>got one point to trillion in assets under management. Actually, yeah,

0:28:17.880 --> 0:28:19.840
<v Speaker 1>got that right, uh? And J J joining us on

0:28:19.880 --> 0:28:22.879
<v Speaker 1>the phone from Chicago. JJ, nice to have you here.

0:28:23.640 --> 0:28:29.040
<v Speaker 1>Man investors. Yeah, I hope you're doing okay. UM investors

0:28:29.119 --> 0:28:32.199
<v Speaker 1>definitely looking past, you know, still the numbers that we

0:28:32.280 --> 0:28:36.120
<v Speaker 1>increasingly get on the virus. We just checked in UM

0:28:36.200 --> 0:28:39.000
<v Speaker 1>with the CEO of A Line of Health and they are,

0:28:39.160 --> 0:28:42.240
<v Speaker 1>you know, still on an upward slope when it comes

0:28:42.320 --> 0:28:45.680
<v Speaker 1>to the virus out there in the Midwest. Investors. Are

0:28:45.800 --> 0:28:51.160
<v Speaker 1>they too optimistic too soon? Well? I think that the

0:28:51.320 --> 0:28:55.120
<v Speaker 1>risk is uh, you know exactly what you're saying right now.

0:28:55.200 --> 0:28:58.800
<v Speaker 1>It's optimism. It's fantastic, but I think we have a

0:28:58.880 --> 0:29:01.920
<v Speaker 1>risk to the market and probably four to six weeks

0:29:02.280 --> 0:29:07.920
<v Speaker 1>when optimism perhaps meets the reality of businesses perhaps not

0:29:08.080 --> 0:29:11.920
<v Speaker 1>opening fast enough for people's liking if you will, you know,

0:29:12.000 --> 0:29:14.160
<v Speaker 1>you look at the jobs reports this morning showing all

0:29:14.200 --> 0:29:18.880
<v Speaker 1>those jobs being laid off in you know, uh, restaurants

0:29:19.120 --> 0:29:22.920
<v Speaker 1>and bars, etcetera. Hotels, you would expect that a lot

0:29:22.960 --> 0:29:25.000
<v Speaker 1>of those will come back. Although how long will take

0:29:25.040 --> 0:29:28.520
<v Speaker 1>those those hotel jobs to come back in the hospitality industry?

0:29:28.880 --> 0:29:31.280
<v Speaker 1>And you know, again, so I just think, as I

0:29:31.320 --> 0:29:34.480
<v Speaker 1>look at that jobs reports this morning, will it take

0:29:34.520 --> 0:29:37.960
<v Speaker 1>people longer to get back to work than the markets

0:29:38.000 --> 0:29:41.640
<v Speaker 1>pricing in right now? And uh, in a market that's

0:29:41.640 --> 0:29:45.560
<v Speaker 1>going to be driven by as you're referencing COVID news,

0:29:45.760 --> 0:29:49.360
<v Speaker 1>maybe tariff news. Uh, you have another factor that in

0:29:49.400 --> 0:29:51.600
<v Speaker 1>a few weeks, and that's going to be are we

0:29:51.640 --> 0:29:55.920
<v Speaker 1>getting back to work fast enough? Right? And so when

0:29:56.000 --> 0:29:58.920
<v Speaker 1>you factor all of that in, you know, Carol mentioned

0:29:58.920 --> 0:30:01.320
<v Speaker 1>and Charlie Peller mentioned he was running through the numbers.

0:30:01.640 --> 0:30:06.520
<v Speaker 1>You know, tech has essentially looked entirely past all the

0:30:06.600 --> 0:30:10.600
<v Speaker 1>drama and trauma of this year. Is tech sort of

0:30:10.640 --> 0:30:13.720
<v Speaker 1>the safest place to be at this point? Generally? And

0:30:14.000 --> 0:30:16.800
<v Speaker 1>what are some of the names you like there? Yeah?

0:30:16.880 --> 0:30:20.760
<v Speaker 1>So I think in general, you know, Jason Tech obviously

0:30:20.880 --> 0:30:25.720
<v Speaker 1>has been particularly the chip makers for the last couple

0:30:25.720 --> 0:30:28.880
<v Speaker 1>of years. I think have been the big surprise, because

0:30:29.080 --> 0:30:32.360
<v Speaker 1>you know, all we talked about was they were going

0:30:32.440 --> 0:30:36.280
<v Speaker 1>to get hit badly when we had tariffs, except etcetera.

0:30:36.480 --> 0:30:38.600
<v Speaker 1>But then you look at a company like Quarribo q

0:30:38.800 --> 0:30:41.680
<v Speaker 1>U r v O, I don't don't think I Querribo

0:30:41.800 --> 0:30:44.160
<v Speaker 1>might be something a little different. Do you think you

0:30:44.200 --> 0:30:49.800
<v Speaker 1>had to tonight J. J. Good, I'm thinking about I'm

0:30:49.800 --> 0:30:56.240
<v Speaker 1>thinking about five minutes from now. Quite honestly, you know,

0:30:56.400 --> 0:31:00.200
<v Speaker 1>you look at their numbers today, not only phenomenal, at

0:31:00.840 --> 0:31:03.320
<v Speaker 1>the biggest thing I thought about that willing to come

0:31:03.320 --> 0:31:06.320
<v Speaker 1>out and say, here's what we're projecting, and we're projecting

0:31:06.360 --> 0:31:10.640
<v Speaker 1>good numbers in a market where people are not projecting.

0:31:10.640 --> 0:31:13.440
<v Speaker 1>And it's interesting the one stock that I thought in

0:31:13.640 --> 0:31:16.440
<v Speaker 1>all these companies that have pulled their projections, there was

0:31:16.480 --> 0:31:18.360
<v Speaker 1>only one stock. I thought God heard on that, and

0:31:18.360 --> 0:31:21.480
<v Speaker 1>that was actually Intel. If you remember that morning, they

0:31:21.480 --> 0:31:24.520
<v Speaker 1>got hurt for not not projecting. So it is interesting

0:31:24.560 --> 0:31:28.520
<v Speaker 1>to me that the chips continue to do pretty well

0:31:28.640 --> 0:31:30.880
<v Speaker 1>during all of this, and I think that that's where

0:31:30.880 --> 0:31:33.160
<v Speaker 1>we have to continue to look for leadership. Is it

0:31:33.200 --> 0:31:37.680
<v Speaker 1>a good leading indicator. I believe it is. And because

0:31:38.400 --> 0:31:41.640
<v Speaker 1>h A, if the demand there stops, what you're saying

0:31:41.760 --> 0:31:46.200
<v Speaker 1>is so many electronic devices. Uh, their demand is slowing

0:31:46.200 --> 0:31:50.160
<v Speaker 1>down pretty considerably. Also, so even though Apple had you know,

0:31:50.200 --> 0:31:52.360
<v Speaker 1>the sales there were a little bit disappointing in their

0:31:52.480 --> 0:31:56.720
<v Speaker 1>recent earnings, the fact is, uh, we're still seeing demand

0:31:56.880 --> 0:32:01.080
<v Speaker 1>overall for what you know, people replacing devices, buying new devices.

0:32:01.320 --> 0:32:03.880
<v Speaker 1>And I think that that's a really really positive sign.

0:32:03.920 --> 0:32:05.560
<v Speaker 1>Not to say that that's going to be a straight

0:32:05.600 --> 0:32:09.800
<v Speaker 1>line up also, but as people do get back to work,

0:32:10.040 --> 0:32:12.960
<v Speaker 1>hopefully you see some pent up demand that j J.

0:32:13.040 --> 0:32:15.520
<v Speaker 1>What do you make of the name like Macy's Right now,

0:32:15.560 --> 0:32:18.120
<v Speaker 1>Carol and I were it's sort of in our chat

0:32:18.160 --> 0:32:20.360
<v Speaker 1>that we have going back and forth on the sidelines

0:32:20.360 --> 0:32:23.080
<v Speaker 1>of the show talking about that one, especially in light

0:32:23.120 --> 0:32:24.960
<v Speaker 1>of what you saw with Neimans this week, what you

0:32:25.000 --> 0:32:28.880
<v Speaker 1>saw with Jay Crew. I mean, Macy's is a troubled retailer.

0:32:28.960 --> 0:32:32.400
<v Speaker 1>It's a troubled company in a troubled industry. Do you

0:32:32.480 --> 0:32:35.680
<v Speaker 1>stay away from retail at this point? Right? And which

0:32:35.800 --> 0:32:37.800
<v Speaker 1>and and this and we should point out today right

0:32:37.840 --> 0:32:42.920
<v Speaker 1>they delayed, Um, they're gonna they're announcement. Yeah, yeah, I

0:32:43.480 --> 0:32:45.640
<v Speaker 1>saw they delayed the results. And actually the funny thing

0:32:45.680 --> 0:32:49.120
<v Speaker 1>is the stock up on that news. But uh, you know,

0:32:49.680 --> 0:32:51.280
<v Speaker 1>here's what I would say to most people want it

0:32:51.360 --> 0:32:55.480
<v Speaker 1>is a five dollar stock though, Let's just remember but

0:32:55.640 --> 0:32:58.400
<v Speaker 1>that's exactly where I was going. Is when stocks get

0:32:58.480 --> 0:33:02.480
<v Speaker 1>under ten dollars and you know, not on the ascension,

0:33:02.520 --> 0:33:05.560
<v Speaker 1>but on the descension, I think a that's a little

0:33:05.560 --> 0:33:09.480
<v Speaker 1>bit of a warning sign for most investors generally, when

0:33:09.520 --> 0:33:12.440
<v Speaker 1>everybody in your sector seems to be saying that they're

0:33:12.480 --> 0:33:15.720
<v Speaker 1>having trouble um and and let's face it, most of

0:33:15.720 --> 0:33:18.960
<v Speaker 1>the Macy stories, particularly in Chicago and New York, take

0:33:19.080 --> 0:33:22.720
<v Speaker 1>up some big real estate spaces. It's tough to put

0:33:22.760 --> 0:33:28.360
<v Speaker 1>the amount of inventory in those uh spaces that that

0:33:28.440 --> 0:33:30.680
<v Speaker 1>makes them look filled. But on the other hand, you

0:33:30.720 --> 0:33:33.000
<v Speaker 1>don't want to carry too much inventory, particularly with the

0:33:33.000 --> 0:33:36.280
<v Speaker 1>swiftness with which you can do things online. So there

0:33:36.320 --> 0:33:38.680
<v Speaker 1>they I think they're at that point where they're still

0:33:38.680 --> 0:33:41.560
<v Speaker 1>deciding what they want to be and that's not a

0:33:41.600 --> 0:33:43.640
<v Speaker 1>good place to live right now. And there's stock maybe

0:33:43.680 --> 0:33:45.640
<v Speaker 1>up at their bonds are tumbling, and you know, in

0:33:45.640 --> 0:33:47.280
<v Speaker 1>a case like this, i'd like to watch the debt

0:33:47.280 --> 0:33:50.560
<v Speaker 1>markets for what it tells us Um, I don't know

0:33:50.720 --> 0:33:54.240
<v Speaker 1>you've seen market cycles, I don't know it. For me,

0:33:54.480 --> 0:33:56.040
<v Speaker 1>it seems like it's going to be a while before

0:33:56.040 --> 0:33:58.720
<v Speaker 1>we get back to kind of a normal market cycle

0:33:58.800 --> 0:34:03.200
<v Speaker 1>with normal factors normal quote unquote, you know, impacting it.

0:34:03.640 --> 0:34:07.440
<v Speaker 1>What's what's your thoughts? Got about forty seconds here? Uh yeah, sure,

0:34:07.520 --> 0:34:09.960
<v Speaker 1>I think you're you're hitting out. I had I just

0:34:10.000 --> 0:34:12.239
<v Speaker 1>think our our definition of normal is going to change

0:34:12.320 --> 0:34:16.560
<v Speaker 1>pretty significantly. Uh. The other thing being, at the end

0:34:16.560 --> 0:34:19.640
<v Speaker 1>of the day, you know, talking about this in times

0:34:19.680 --> 0:34:22.360
<v Speaker 1>of crisis, you want to go with perhaps lower beta stocks,

0:34:23.120 --> 0:34:25.319
<v Speaker 1>companies that have a lot of cash, and in this

0:34:25.440 --> 0:34:28.480
<v Speaker 1>market where of a ten year yield, you know about

0:34:28.560 --> 0:34:32.280
<v Speaker 1>points about seventy five basis points, you want to maybe

0:34:32.320 --> 0:34:35.080
<v Speaker 1>look for dividends at least for a while until to

0:34:35.120 --> 0:34:37.120
<v Speaker 1>your point, Carl, you get more of a feel of

0:34:37.120 --> 0:34:39.799
<v Speaker 1>what normal will be. All right, Well, we're gonna leave

0:34:39.800 --> 0:34:44.520
<v Speaker 1>it there paid the way for you to get Quervo J. J.

0:34:44.680 --> 0:34:47.040
<v Speaker 1>Kenahan great to catch up with the chief market strategies

0:34:47.120 --> 0:34:50.120
<v Speaker 1>for t dum are trade soon joining us on the

0:34:50.120 --> 0:34:54.280
<v Speaker 1>phone from Chicago. Soon enough, sooner, than us. It sounds

0:34:54.320 --> 0:34:57.480
<v Speaker 1>like we got a couple of hours to go. I'm

0:34:57.480 --> 0:35:00.680
<v Speaker 1>watching you. I'm watching you get his water in tea

0:35:00.719 --> 0:35:02.960
<v Speaker 1>in front of me. That's all. I have got an apple.

0:35:03.120 --> 0:35:05.680
<v Speaker 1>I'm staying away from the cinnamon rolls. Thanks so much

0:35:05.719 --> 0:35:09.080
<v Speaker 1>for listening to Bloomberg Business Week. Download the podcast on iTunes, Southcloud,

0:35:09.120 --> 0:35:11.880
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg dot com, or wherever you get your podcasts. And

0:35:11.920 --> 0:35:13.879
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0:35:13.880 --> 0:35:16.600
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0:35:16.600 --> 0:35:18.960
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