1 00:00:00,600 --> 00:00:07,280 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. 2 00:00:09,760 --> 00:00:13,280 Speaker 2: You're listening to the Bloomberg Balance of Power podcast. Catch 3 00:00:13,360 --> 00:00:16,239 Speaker 2: Just Live weekdays at noon Eastern on Appo, CarPlay and 4 00:00:16,280 --> 00:00:18,960 Speaker 2: then roud Otto with the Bloomberg Business app. Listen on 5 00:00:19,079 --> 00:00:22,280 Speaker 2: demand wherever you get your podcasts, or watch us live 6 00:00:22,360 --> 00:00:24,520 Speaker 2: on YouTube. 7 00:00:25,600 --> 00:00:27,360 Speaker 3: To the news of the day, including of course, the 8 00:00:27,440 --> 00:00:30,840 Speaker 3: late Friday announcement that Scott Bessett will be if Donald 9 00:00:30,840 --> 00:00:33,320 Speaker 3: Trump gets his way, the next Treasury of the Secretary 10 00:00:34,400 --> 00:00:37,480 Speaker 3: Secretary of the Treasury. It is Monday, after all, of course, 11 00:00:37,520 --> 00:00:39,239 Speaker 3: keeping in mind that if Besson is to be the 12 00:00:39,280 --> 00:00:43,240 Speaker 3: next Treasury Secretary, he does still need to win Senate confirmation. 13 00:00:43,360 --> 00:00:46,720 Speaker 3: But he has had a pretty clear narrative of the 14 00:00:46,760 --> 00:00:48,960 Speaker 3: agenda he would like to pursue. This kind of three 15 00:00:49,000 --> 00:00:52,159 Speaker 3: three three policy. He says, reduce debt to three percent 16 00:00:52,840 --> 00:00:55,960 Speaker 3: from the current six percent, make GDP growth go up 17 00:00:56,000 --> 00:00:59,240 Speaker 3: to three percent, and pump three million more barrels a 18 00:00:59,320 --> 00:01:02,200 Speaker 3: day of crewe in the United States. He also has 19 00:01:02,240 --> 00:01:05,880 Speaker 3: floated the idea of a shadow fed chair and had 20 00:01:05,920 --> 00:01:08,160 Speaker 3: this to say to Joe Matthew and myself last month 21 00:01:08,200 --> 00:01:11,080 Speaker 3: when he joined us about the influence Donald Trump might 22 00:01:11,120 --> 00:01:13,039 Speaker 3: want to have on FED policy. 23 00:01:13,760 --> 00:01:16,600 Speaker 1: He has a deep understanding of financial markets as opposed 24 00:01:16,640 --> 00:01:21,280 Speaker 1: to most politicians, so he wants to be involved in 25 00:01:21,319 --> 00:01:24,720 Speaker 1: the conversation. He has very well formed opinions. He has 26 00:01:24,800 --> 00:01:28,400 Speaker 1: a lot of private sector friends, so he just wants 27 00:01:28,400 --> 00:01:30,800 Speaker 1: to be a voice. 28 00:01:31,360 --> 00:01:33,560 Speaker 3: We want to add another voice to our program here 29 00:01:33,600 --> 00:01:36,240 Speaker 3: on Balance of Power on Bloomberg TV and Radio. In 30 00:01:36,280 --> 00:01:40,040 Speaker 3: turns of the ranking member of the House Financial Services Committee, 31 00:01:40,080 --> 00:01:45,280 Speaker 3: the Democratic Congresswoman from California, Maxine Waters, is joining me now. Congresswoman, 32 00:01:45,319 --> 00:01:47,920 Speaker 3: thanks so much for being here. I would love first 33 00:01:47,960 --> 00:01:51,800 Speaker 3: just your reaction to the nomination of Scott Besson. Will 34 00:01:51,800 --> 00:01:54,560 Speaker 3: he be an adequate steward of the US economy. 35 00:01:56,560 --> 00:01:59,000 Speaker 4: Let me just say this, as the world has been 36 00:01:59,000 --> 00:02:04,760 Speaker 4: watching President Trump's appointees, it is not about competence. 37 00:02:05,240 --> 00:02:06,919 Speaker 5: It is not about the. 38 00:02:06,800 --> 00:02:11,960 Speaker 4: Ability to be an advocate for the people and protect 39 00:02:12,000 --> 00:02:15,400 Speaker 4: investors and do all that needs to be done to 40 00:02:15,720 --> 00:02:21,359 Speaker 4: ensure that, you know, the people of this country that 41 00:02:21,400 --> 00:02:25,280 Speaker 4: the Americans have someone looking out for their best tenters. 42 00:02:25,560 --> 00:02:30,040 Speaker 4: He has made his appointments based on loyalty. Loyalty and 43 00:02:30,160 --> 00:02:32,920 Speaker 4: that means they will do whatever he wants. And so 44 00:02:33,480 --> 00:02:36,560 Speaker 4: you know, I consider the new public policy will be 45 00:02:37,000 --> 00:02:41,079 Speaker 4: whatever Trump wants by his appointees who have been chosen 46 00:02:41,639 --> 00:02:45,000 Speaker 4: because of their loyalty. So I can I get into 47 00:02:45,480 --> 00:02:50,080 Speaker 4: whether or not this appointee, as you know, the Treasury 48 00:02:51,080 --> 00:02:54,919 Speaker 4: is different from anybody else. But I expect right now 49 00:02:55,520 --> 00:02:59,160 Speaker 4: that we're going to be up against appointees and every 50 00:02:59,280 --> 00:03:03,000 Speaker 4: level of govern that are loyal to Trump, and they're 51 00:03:03,000 --> 00:03:05,440 Speaker 4: going to take this country in a whole new direction, 52 00:03:05,880 --> 00:03:09,240 Speaker 4: as identified in Project twenty twenty five. 53 00:03:11,040 --> 00:03:15,120 Speaker 3: So when it comes to Scott Beston specifically Congressoman, do 54 00:03:15,160 --> 00:03:18,160 Speaker 3: you think the market is perhaps misplaced in its notion 55 00:03:18,280 --> 00:03:21,639 Speaker 3: that he actually could be something of a balancing force 56 00:03:21,840 --> 00:03:26,160 Speaker 3: for the president, a kind of steady hand, if you will, 57 00:03:26,240 --> 00:03:28,920 Speaker 3: when it comes to the extent of tariffs that should 58 00:03:28,960 --> 00:03:32,240 Speaker 3: be pursued, for example. You don't believe that to be true. 59 00:03:32,560 --> 00:03:34,720 Speaker 5: No, I do not believe it to be true. 60 00:03:34,920 --> 00:03:39,600 Speaker 4: Again, and let me reiterate, these appointments are based on 61 00:03:39,680 --> 00:03:42,800 Speaker 4: whether they're going to do what Trump wants them to do. 62 00:03:43,360 --> 00:03:48,760 Speaker 4: It is not based on any evidence that they can 63 00:03:48,800 --> 00:03:52,480 Speaker 4: be independent, that they in fact will be looking out 64 00:03:52,640 --> 00:03:54,320 Speaker 4: for the best censures of the people. 65 00:03:54,760 --> 00:03:56,400 Speaker 5: And so I'm prepared. 66 00:03:57,400 --> 00:04:02,200 Speaker 4: I'm prepared for whatever Trump wants them to do, and 67 00:04:02,240 --> 00:04:05,400 Speaker 4: I'm prepared to fight that. I'm prepared to be able 68 00:04:06,120 --> 00:04:10,360 Speaker 4: to help organize that committee the Democratic side to educate 69 00:04:10,400 --> 00:04:13,480 Speaker 4: the public about what they're doing and what's going on. 70 00:04:13,880 --> 00:04:16,440 Speaker 4: So I'm not going to back up and say we 71 00:04:16,480 --> 00:04:20,640 Speaker 4: can't get anything done. We're going to continue to try 72 00:04:21,000 --> 00:04:24,239 Speaker 4: and put before the American people the kind of public 73 00:04:24,279 --> 00:04:29,040 Speaker 4: policy that they expect appointees and elected officials to do. 74 00:04:29,040 --> 00:04:30,200 Speaker 5: On behalf of the people. 75 00:04:30,560 --> 00:04:34,119 Speaker 4: And then we want to see if we cannot only 76 00:04:34,320 --> 00:04:38,000 Speaker 4: educate and inform, but whether or not the American people 77 00:04:38,240 --> 00:04:43,640 Speaker 4: are going to understand that they now have a president 78 00:04:43,920 --> 00:04:46,760 Speaker 4: of the United States of America who has no respect 79 00:04:46,800 --> 00:04:51,080 Speaker 4: for the Constitution, does not care what president is on 80 00:04:51,200 --> 00:04:53,279 Speaker 4: any subject, and that he's going to do what he 81 00:04:53,320 --> 00:04:56,839 Speaker 4: wants to do. And so I'm looking for him to 82 00:04:56,960 --> 00:04:59,800 Speaker 4: reveal himself as he has identified himself. 83 00:05:01,279 --> 00:05:03,360 Speaker 3: Well, Congresswoman, as you look ahead to the work you'd 84 00:05:03,360 --> 00:05:05,760 Speaker 3: like to continue doing as a ranking member of House 85 00:05:05,800 --> 00:05:09,240 Speaker 3: Financial Services, you're going to be working with another Republican 86 00:05:09,880 --> 00:05:13,400 Speaker 3: atop that committee. Is there's jockeying now for the chairmanship. 87 00:05:13,440 --> 00:05:16,359 Speaker 3: A number of candidates, of course, who are vying, is 88 00:05:16,400 --> 00:05:18,560 Speaker 3: there someone you'd most like to work with that you 89 00:05:18,600 --> 00:05:22,480 Speaker 3: think the most productive bipartisan legislative work out of the 90 00:05:22,520 --> 00:05:25,160 Speaker 3: committee could happen under. 91 00:05:25,200 --> 00:05:28,920 Speaker 4: That's a possibility, But if I identify them right now 92 00:05:29,480 --> 00:05:33,240 Speaker 4: to you for the public, this probably would lessen their 93 00:05:33,320 --> 00:05:37,440 Speaker 4: opportunity of getting chosen. So yes, I hope there could 94 00:05:37,440 --> 00:05:40,640 Speaker 4: be someone that follows that description, but I can't tell 95 00:05:40,640 --> 00:05:41,919 Speaker 4: you whom at this point. 96 00:05:42,240 --> 00:05:44,800 Speaker 3: So just one of the candidates, in my understanding, you 97 00:05:44,880 --> 00:05:47,839 Speaker 3: think you could work with on a bipartisan basis of 98 00:05:47,640 --> 00:05:49,400 Speaker 3: the three or four that have been floated. 99 00:05:50,600 --> 00:05:53,400 Speaker 4: Well, to tell you the truth, I could work with 100 00:05:54,480 --> 00:05:57,320 Speaker 4: members from the opposite side of the owl pretty much 101 00:05:57,320 --> 00:06:00,760 Speaker 4: in the way that I've worked with McHenry and others. 102 00:06:01,120 --> 00:06:04,000 Speaker 4: But we've got to see who's willing to step up 103 00:06:04,040 --> 00:06:07,400 Speaker 4: to the plate and do what is necessary to protect 104 00:06:07,440 --> 00:06:11,680 Speaker 4: our investors, do what's necessary to hold on to the 105 00:06:11,720 --> 00:06:17,039 Speaker 4: Consumer Financial Protection Bureau that's protecting our consumers. Any of 106 00:06:17,080 --> 00:06:21,120 Speaker 4: those who can do that, I can certainly work with them. 107 00:06:21,560 --> 00:06:24,359 Speaker 3: Well, we have seen some bipartisan work coming out of 108 00:06:24,360 --> 00:06:27,279 Speaker 3: the MIDI in this committee in one hundred and eighteenth Congress, 109 00:06:27,279 --> 00:06:29,880 Speaker 3: including bill that advanced out of the Committee and ultimately 110 00:06:29,920 --> 00:06:32,040 Speaker 3: passed on the House floor of the FIT twenty one Act, 111 00:06:32,080 --> 00:06:35,920 Speaker 3: the Market Structure, Crypto Legislation and Congressman, and I wonder 112 00:06:35,960 --> 00:06:38,479 Speaker 3: what you think the future is of those kinds of 113 00:06:38,600 --> 00:06:41,719 Speaker 3: legislative initiatives now that Republicans won't just have control of 114 00:06:41,760 --> 00:06:43,680 Speaker 3: your body, but the Senate as well. 115 00:06:44,960 --> 00:06:49,279 Speaker 4: Well, let me tell you, I've worked very closely with 116 00:06:49,440 --> 00:06:52,960 Speaker 4: mce henry where we've tried to get stable going. Our 117 00:06:53,120 --> 00:06:58,920 Speaker 4: efforts have been about guardrails. We're not opposed to legitimate 118 00:06:59,360 --> 00:07:03,440 Speaker 4: legislation that appears to be in the best interest of 119 00:07:03,480 --> 00:07:06,640 Speaker 4: the people of this country. And there may be some 120 00:07:06,839 --> 00:07:11,840 Speaker 4: crypto that would like to have guard rails. If there 121 00:07:11,880 --> 00:07:15,640 Speaker 4: are guardrails that we can agree to working with all 122 00:07:15,680 --> 00:07:19,520 Speaker 4: of the entities that are interested in and a part 123 00:07:19,640 --> 00:07:22,800 Speaker 4: of developing crypto if we're ever going to get there, 124 00:07:23,080 --> 00:07:27,160 Speaker 4: and that means the Treasury, that means the Federal Reserve, 125 00:07:27,760 --> 00:07:31,680 Speaker 4: that means the sec that means all of these agencies 126 00:07:32,000 --> 00:07:36,800 Speaker 4: have to come together with the President on crypto in 127 00:07:36,920 --> 00:07:41,040 Speaker 4: order to have something that will have guardrails and will 128 00:07:41,040 --> 00:07:45,640 Speaker 4: not just be determined by the fact that crypto companies 129 00:07:45,880 --> 00:07:51,120 Speaker 4: are trying to invade all of our financial services members 130 00:07:51,600 --> 00:07:53,640 Speaker 4: with large contributions, etc. 131 00:07:53,920 --> 00:07:54,120 Speaker 5: Etc. 132 00:07:54,640 --> 00:07:58,200 Speaker 4: We know what's going on, and we think now they're 133 00:07:58,200 --> 00:08:01,520 Speaker 4: going to have an opportunity to learn more about what 134 00:08:01,600 --> 00:08:05,280 Speaker 4: crypto really is and how it works in this digital 135 00:08:05,360 --> 00:08:09,320 Speaker 4: economy that we're involved in. So we've got a lot 136 00:08:09,520 --> 00:08:13,840 Speaker 4: of understanding, a lot of searching out, and a lot 137 00:08:13,840 --> 00:08:16,920 Speaker 4: of educating to do. And if we can work with 138 00:08:17,000 --> 00:08:20,680 Speaker 4: anyone who's willing to do that and provide these guardrails, 139 00:08:20,760 --> 00:08:21,720 Speaker 4: I'm ready, and. 140 00:08:21,720 --> 00:08:23,200 Speaker 5: I think some of my members are. 141 00:08:23,440 --> 00:08:26,040 Speaker 4: And I do believe that some of the members who 142 00:08:26,200 --> 00:08:32,640 Speaker 4: voted for the crypto legislation that you're talking about will 143 00:08:32,920 --> 00:08:36,280 Speaker 4: no more now about what they voted for and be 144 00:08:36,360 --> 00:08:39,600 Speaker 4: a lot more skeptical than they were or when they 145 00:08:40,000 --> 00:08:42,840 Speaker 4: decided that they would give it a chance, that they 146 00:08:42,840 --> 00:08:45,880 Speaker 4: would go ahead and vote in ways that they didn't 147 00:08:45,920 --> 00:08:50,400 Speaker 4: quite understand. But I don't think that'll be the case anymore. 148 00:08:52,400 --> 00:08:56,640 Speaker 3: Well, you just mentioned their congressoman the SEC's role in this. 149 00:08:56,880 --> 00:08:59,080 Speaker 3: The chair, Gary Gensler, of course, has announced that he 150 00:08:59,160 --> 00:09:01,920 Speaker 3: will be a step down on January twentieth, when this 151 00:09:02,640 --> 00:09:05,839 Speaker 3: new president and new administration comes in. And I wonder 152 00:09:06,160 --> 00:09:09,560 Speaker 3: given the nominees for other regulatory agencies that we have 153 00:09:09,600 --> 00:09:12,480 Speaker 3: already seen coming from Donald Trump Brendan Carr, for example, 154 00:09:12,520 --> 00:09:14,920 Speaker 3: at the FCC. What concern you might have about the 155 00:09:15,320 --> 00:09:18,320 Speaker 3: kind of person who could ultimately fill the shoes that 156 00:09:18,360 --> 00:09:19,920 Speaker 3: Gary Gensler is stepping out of. 157 00:09:20,880 --> 00:09:24,520 Speaker 4: Well, you know, a Gensler was an expert in crypto. 158 00:09:24,920 --> 00:09:29,760 Speaker 4: He taught crypto at the university, and many of those 159 00:09:30,080 --> 00:09:33,160 Speaker 4: in the crypto business did not like him, did not 160 00:09:33,320 --> 00:09:37,160 Speaker 4: want him because he knew too much and he wanted guardrails. 161 00:09:37,520 --> 00:09:42,040 Speaker 4: And he was absolutely the one who I believe should 162 00:09:42,040 --> 00:09:46,880 Speaker 4: be in position to deal with securities as we understand them. 163 00:09:47,000 --> 00:09:50,240 Speaker 4: Crypto is a security, it is not a commodity, and 164 00:09:50,280 --> 00:09:53,880 Speaker 4: that's what the fight is all about, commodity versus security. 165 00:09:54,120 --> 00:09:56,960 Speaker 4: And I don't know who can fill those shoes, but 166 00:09:57,559 --> 00:10:00,040 Speaker 4: we'll have to see. 167 00:10:00,600 --> 00:10:04,280 Speaker 3: Well, we know gangsters will be out of those shoes 168 00:10:04,320 --> 00:10:07,120 Speaker 3: in January. A term that goes much longer, though, and 169 00:10:07,160 --> 00:10:09,240 Speaker 3: there's no sign that this person will be leaving in 170 00:10:09,280 --> 00:10:11,839 Speaker 3: advance of the term being up. Is Michael Barr, the 171 00:10:11,920 --> 00:10:14,840 Speaker 3: Vice Chair of Supervision at the Federal Reserve, who of 172 00:10:14,840 --> 00:10:18,120 Speaker 3: course initially put forward the Basel three end game proposal 173 00:10:18,160 --> 00:10:21,000 Speaker 3: with higher capital requirements for big banks, something many of 174 00:10:21,000 --> 00:10:24,040 Speaker 3: your colleagues on the Financial Services Committee and the President 175 00:10:24,080 --> 00:10:27,760 Speaker 3: elect have been highly critical of. How do you expect 176 00:10:28,240 --> 00:10:31,760 Speaker 3: Michael Barr will fare under this new administration? Do you 177 00:10:31,800 --> 00:10:35,000 Speaker 3: think that Donald Trump might actually try to fire or 178 00:10:35,040 --> 00:10:35,640 Speaker 3: demote him? 179 00:10:37,280 --> 00:10:39,800 Speaker 5: Well, first of all, let me just go back some 180 00:10:39,960 --> 00:10:42,120 Speaker 5: of what you just said. I think I missed. But 181 00:10:42,240 --> 00:10:43,440 Speaker 5: let me tell you. 182 00:10:43,760 --> 00:10:49,080 Speaker 4: If you mentioned Powell oh at the Federal Reserve, he 183 00:10:49,120 --> 00:10:52,400 Speaker 4: cannot fire him and he's not going to leave, and 184 00:10:52,440 --> 00:10:55,600 Speaker 4: we've already gotten him to make that a public statement, 185 00:10:55,960 --> 00:10:57,160 Speaker 4: and so he'll be there. 186 00:10:57,559 --> 00:10:57,880 Speaker 5: Now. 187 00:10:58,280 --> 00:11:01,880 Speaker 4: If you're talking about Ginstler and why he would be 188 00:11:01,920 --> 00:11:05,240 Speaker 4: stepping down, he knows Trump does not want him. Trump 189 00:11:05,280 --> 00:11:08,439 Speaker 4: would fire him in a hot second, and so he's 190 00:11:08,480 --> 00:11:09,160 Speaker 4: stepping down. 191 00:11:09,360 --> 00:11:10,400 Speaker 5: He will not be there. 192 00:11:10,679 --> 00:11:14,439 Speaker 4: I don't know much about a replacement, and whether or 193 00:11:14,520 --> 00:11:17,679 Speaker 4: not they will come in with the same kind of 194 00:11:18,600 --> 00:11:24,280 Speaker 4: understanding that the securities must be DELA and that crypto 195 00:11:24,880 --> 00:11:29,640 Speaker 4: are securities. And so if they come in already thinking 196 00:11:29,920 --> 00:11:33,120 Speaker 4: that that's not the business of the sec the Securities 197 00:11:33,160 --> 00:11:37,920 Speaker 4: Exchange Commission, that rather it is a commodity, then we 198 00:11:38,000 --> 00:11:38,720 Speaker 4: have a problem. 199 00:11:39,040 --> 00:11:41,360 Speaker 5: And so we've got all of these issues to work out. 200 00:11:43,200 --> 00:11:45,560 Speaker 3: A Congressman, I had asked, and I'm sorry if I 201 00:11:45,679 --> 00:11:48,360 Speaker 3: was hard to understand. Michael Barr, the vice chair of 202 00:11:48,360 --> 00:11:51,040 Speaker 3: Supervision at the Federal Reserve, who of course will oversee 203 00:11:51,040 --> 00:11:54,440 Speaker 3: the future of capital requirements for big banks. What do 204 00:11:54,520 --> 00:11:57,880 Speaker 3: you think his future holds in this incoming administry? 205 00:11:58,160 --> 00:12:01,440 Speaker 4: Let me just tell you, we've got to continue to 206 00:12:01,760 --> 00:12:05,880 Speaker 4: educate our members and the public on why it is 207 00:12:06,000 --> 00:12:10,880 Speaker 4: so important that we have capital requirements and that we 208 00:12:11,000 --> 00:12:14,920 Speaker 4: have what we need to protect against, you know, the 209 00:12:15,040 --> 00:12:18,240 Speaker 4: kind of meltdown that we had in two thousand and eight. 210 00:12:18,760 --> 00:12:23,679 Speaker 4: You know, we cannot eliminate you know, the lessons that 211 00:12:23,720 --> 00:12:27,360 Speaker 4: have been learned about capital requirements, and so we're going 212 00:12:27,400 --> 00:12:30,640 Speaker 4: to push very hard with all of the information, with 213 00:12:30,760 --> 00:12:34,280 Speaker 4: all of the history about what took place when we 214 00:12:34,360 --> 00:12:37,800 Speaker 4: had the meltdown in two thousand and eight, and this 215 00:12:37,880 --> 00:12:42,480 Speaker 4: country was practically ruined because of a lack of the 216 00:12:42,520 --> 00:12:48,160 Speaker 4: ability of the banks of this country to be able 217 00:12:48,720 --> 00:12:54,400 Speaker 4: to ensure all of our depositors and investors that they 218 00:12:54,440 --> 00:12:56,719 Speaker 4: can be safe. 219 00:12:57,120 --> 00:12:59,480 Speaker 3: All right, Congressoman, thank you so much for joining us 220 00:12:59,480 --> 00:13:02,000 Speaker 3: here on Bloomberg TV in radio. That is, the ranking 221 00:13:02,080 --> 00:13:06,400 Speaker 3: member of the House Financial Services Committee. Democratic Congressman Maxine Waters, 222 00:13:06,400 --> 00:13:07,800 Speaker 3: thank you so much. 223 00:13:11,080 --> 00:13:14,640 Speaker 2: You're listening to the Bloomberg Balance of Power podcast. Kensis 224 00:13:14,760 --> 00:13:17,880 Speaker 2: live weekdays at noon Eastern on Applecarplay and then roud 225 00:13:17,920 --> 00:13:20,640 Speaker 2: outro with the Bloomberg Business App. You can also listen 226 00:13:20,760 --> 00:13:23,840 Speaker 2: live on Amazon Alexa from our flagship New York station, 227 00:13:24,240 --> 00:13:28,239 Speaker 2: Just say Alexa play Bloomberg eleven thirty. 228 00:13:29,160 --> 00:13:32,520 Speaker 3: We do have breaking news at this hour from here 229 00:13:32,559 --> 00:13:35,720 Speaker 3: in Washington, where, of course, one of the federal cases 230 00:13:35,720 --> 00:13:39,480 Speaker 3: against Donald Trump was bought by Special Counsel Jack Smith. 231 00:13:39,559 --> 00:13:42,000 Speaker 3: He at the Department of Justice is now moving to 232 00:13:42,200 --> 00:13:47,480 Speaker 3: formally drop that case, the twenty twenty election obstruction case, 233 00:13:47,600 --> 00:13:50,160 Speaker 3: and the charges that were brought against Trump. Then this 234 00:13:50,200 --> 00:13:52,120 Speaker 3: is not a surprise. We knew this might be coming, 235 00:13:52,160 --> 00:13:56,559 Speaker 3: and as it is longstanding DOJ policy to not prosecute 236 00:13:57,000 --> 00:13:59,400 Speaker 3: a sitting president, which Donald Trump is about to become 237 00:13:59,520 --> 00:14:02,240 Speaker 3: in just fifty six days, and when he does take office, 238 00:14:02,240 --> 00:14:04,880 Speaker 3: we know he has promised to make some changes at 239 00:14:04,960 --> 00:14:08,240 Speaker 3: the DOJ. Initially, That's why he wanted Matt Gates to 240 00:14:08,280 --> 00:14:10,320 Speaker 3: be the leader of it when he was nominated for 241 00:14:10,600 --> 00:14:15,040 Speaker 3: Attorney General, only to withdraw his name from consideration last 242 00:14:15,040 --> 00:14:19,000 Speaker 3: week and have Pam Bondi named in his stead. But 243 00:14:19,040 --> 00:14:21,320 Speaker 3: now that Gates is out of the picture for ag 244 00:14:21,600 --> 00:14:25,680 Speaker 3: there's scrutiny on some of the other controversial cabinet selections 245 00:14:25,680 --> 00:14:28,600 Speaker 3: that Donald Trump has made, including, of course RFK Junior 246 00:14:28,600 --> 00:14:32,960 Speaker 3: for Health and Human Services, Pete Hegseth for Secretary of Defense, 247 00:14:33,360 --> 00:14:35,560 Speaker 3: and then there's Tulci Gabbard who was tapped to be 248 00:14:35,640 --> 00:14:39,360 Speaker 3: the Director of National Intelligence. She could face a bit 249 00:14:39,360 --> 00:14:41,880 Speaker 3: of an uphill climb to get Senate confirmation, at least 250 00:14:41,880 --> 00:14:44,840 Speaker 3: if the words of one Republican Senator, James Langford, who 251 00:14:44,880 --> 00:14:48,960 Speaker 3: sits on the Senate Intelligence Committee, is to be believed. 252 00:14:48,960 --> 00:14:51,440 Speaker 3: This is what he told CNN just yesterday. 253 00:14:51,960 --> 00:14:54,200 Speaker 6: Well, we'll have lots of questions she met with Bishiro Sad. 254 00:14:54,240 --> 00:14:55,760 Speaker 6: We'll want to know what the purpose was and what 255 00:14:55,800 --> 00:14:59,160 Speaker 6: the direction for that was. As a member of Congress, 256 00:14:59,200 --> 00:15:00,720 Speaker 6: will want to get it. She has to talk about 257 00:15:00,760 --> 00:15:03,160 Speaker 6: past comments that she's made and get them into full context. 258 00:15:05,600 --> 00:15:08,440 Speaker 3: So let's assemble now our signature political panel for more 259 00:15:08,840 --> 00:15:12,520 Speaker 3: on this. Rick Davis Stone Court Capital Partner and Republican Strategists, 260 00:15:12,520 --> 00:15:16,080 Speaker 3: alongside Democratic analyst Jeanie Schanzeno who is a senior Democracy 261 00:15:16,080 --> 00:15:18,560 Speaker 3: Fellow at the Center for the Study of the Presidency 262 00:15:18,920 --> 00:15:22,880 Speaker 3: and Congress. Rick, if you were on Tolsei Gabbert's team 263 00:15:22,920 --> 00:15:25,920 Speaker 3: trying to make sure that she ultimately gets confirmed and 264 00:15:26,040 --> 00:15:29,960 Speaker 3: takes this job as a Director of National Intelligence, would 265 00:15:30,000 --> 00:15:31,920 Speaker 3: you be pretty nervous right now? What does she need 266 00:15:31,960 --> 00:15:35,280 Speaker 3: to do over the course of the next many weeks 267 00:15:35,320 --> 00:15:37,520 Speaker 3: in order to ensure she gets the requisite votes in 268 00:15:37,520 --> 00:15:37,960 Speaker 3: the Senate? 269 00:15:39,320 --> 00:15:42,240 Speaker 7: Well, I think they're probably doing this meeting directly with 270 00:15:42,480 --> 00:15:46,520 Speaker 7: the staves of the various committee's Armed Services Committee, Intelligence Committee, 271 00:15:46,520 --> 00:15:50,480 Speaker 7: those committees that really care a great deal about that 272 00:15:50,600 --> 00:15:54,440 Speaker 7: posting and talking to the staves and to the members 273 00:15:54,440 --> 00:15:58,560 Speaker 7: directly sort of airing out any issues like what Senator 274 00:15:58,640 --> 00:16:02,560 Speaker 7: Langfort might have about her trip to Syria, what she 275 00:16:03,320 --> 00:16:06,240 Speaker 7: did there, what was the cause, and how did she 276 00:16:06,360 --> 00:16:09,320 Speaker 7: organize a meeting with Bashar al Asad, at the time 277 00:16:09,840 --> 00:16:13,400 Speaker 7: a global criminal for using chemicals against his own people 278 00:16:13,640 --> 00:16:17,640 Speaker 7: chemical warfare. So she's got some explaining to do. But 279 00:16:17,680 --> 00:16:21,800 Speaker 7: if she has a rational explanation for these things, then 280 00:16:22,600 --> 00:16:24,600 Speaker 7: what I can tell is the Senate is in the 281 00:16:24,640 --> 00:16:30,040 Speaker 7: mode of trying to give Donald Trump the appointments he wants, 282 00:16:31,360 --> 00:16:34,000 Speaker 7: and yet I do think it's going to be a 283 00:16:34,080 --> 00:16:38,560 Speaker 7: drawn out process. I mean, there's requirements for high level 284 00:16:38,600 --> 00:16:42,000 Speaker 7: security clearances. Those haven't even begun because of delays in 285 00:16:42,040 --> 00:16:45,000 Speaker 7: the transition, So I think we'll be talking about this 286 00:16:45,040 --> 00:16:48,080 Speaker 7: for quite some time to come. But you know, she's 287 00:16:48,160 --> 00:16:51,680 Speaker 7: a talented individual who if she can explain away some 288 00:16:51,760 --> 00:16:54,000 Speaker 7: of the concerns that people have about her approach to 289 00:16:54,160 --> 00:16:58,040 Speaker 7: Syria and to Russia, then she stands a chance of 290 00:16:58,200 --> 00:16:59,200 Speaker 7: acceding to the job. 291 00:17:00,800 --> 00:17:04,320 Speaker 3: Well, she's also a former Democrat, Genie, so way in 292 00:17:04,359 --> 00:17:06,760 Speaker 3: here is this a job she deserves to have. 293 00:17:09,000 --> 00:17:11,159 Speaker 8: You know, I think the Senate is going to do 294 00:17:11,359 --> 00:17:14,480 Speaker 8: it's vetting on her. I think what's troubling to me 295 00:17:14,880 --> 00:17:18,840 Speaker 8: are the charges that are coming that she is somehow traitorous, 296 00:17:19,440 --> 00:17:22,040 Speaker 8: and I think we have to be very very careful 297 00:17:22,160 --> 00:17:25,719 Speaker 8: with that kind of language when it's being used pretty 298 00:17:25,800 --> 00:17:29,879 Speaker 8: publicly without evidence. She does, to Rick's point, have to 299 00:17:29,960 --> 00:17:34,200 Speaker 8: explain her trips to Asad, she does have to explain 300 00:17:34,640 --> 00:17:38,040 Speaker 8: the language that she's been using as it pertains to Russia. 301 00:17:38,400 --> 00:17:41,399 Speaker 8: But just because somebody has a view that doesn't line 302 00:17:41,480 --> 00:17:46,359 Speaker 8: up with what is expected in certain circles, we have 303 00:17:46,400 --> 00:17:50,720 Speaker 8: to be very careful about calling her obviously a former VET, 304 00:17:50,880 --> 00:17:54,640 Speaker 8: a former congresswoman, a former candidate for president, and now 305 00:17:54,680 --> 00:17:58,080 Speaker 8: this nominee. That said, I think questions have to be 306 00:17:58,160 --> 00:18:01,760 Speaker 8: asked by the Senate, and Senator Lang is right about 307 00:18:01,840 --> 00:18:05,040 Speaker 8: her expertise and ability to do this job, which is 308 00:18:05,080 --> 00:18:09,240 Speaker 8: what is very concerning to me. This is an important job. 309 00:18:09,359 --> 00:18:11,919 Speaker 8: This was a job created after nine to eleven to 310 00:18:12,119 --> 00:18:16,440 Speaker 8: ensure the president gets the best intelligence he can and 311 00:18:16,680 --> 00:18:20,000 Speaker 8: is she able to do that job. There are a 312 00:18:20,080 --> 00:18:23,640 Speaker 8: variety of questions about that, and also questions about whether 313 00:18:23,720 --> 00:18:27,360 Speaker 8: our allies feel comfortable sharing information if she is at 314 00:18:27,359 --> 00:18:30,000 Speaker 8: the top of this. So I think all of those 315 00:18:30,080 --> 00:18:32,520 Speaker 8: are fair game. I would not be surprised if we 316 00:18:32,600 --> 00:18:38,640 Speaker 8: see four people Murkowski, Collins, Mitch McConnell, maybe one from intelligence, 317 00:18:38,920 --> 00:18:41,080 Speaker 8: who say no to her and Donald Trump is forced 318 00:18:41,119 --> 00:18:45,359 Speaker 8: to look elsewhere. It wouldn't surprise me at all. 319 00:18:45,480 --> 00:18:49,520 Speaker 3: Well, as we consider here what is and is not surprising, 320 00:18:49,680 --> 00:18:53,080 Speaker 3: Perhaps not too surprising, as it was already signaled that 321 00:18:53,200 --> 00:18:56,000 Speaker 3: this would be coming by Special Counsel Jack Smith, but 322 00:18:56,040 --> 00:19:00,560 Speaker 3: the DOJ now formally moving to drop the obstruction case 323 00:19:00,560 --> 00:19:03,960 Speaker 3: in the twenty twenty election case, specifically against the now 324 00:19:04,040 --> 00:19:07,320 Speaker 3: president elect. Here in Washington, Genie, we knew that they 325 00:19:07,359 --> 00:19:10,320 Speaker 3: weren't going to try to prosecute a sitting president. Jack 326 00:19:10,359 --> 00:19:13,639 Speaker 3: Smith has signaled this much. He's also apparently looking at 327 00:19:14,000 --> 00:19:17,479 Speaker 3: retiring before Donald Trump can even take office. And I 328 00:19:17,520 --> 00:19:20,800 Speaker 3: just wonder when you couple this with other news we 329 00:19:20,880 --> 00:19:24,040 Speaker 3: have gotten just last week that the sentencing in the 330 00:19:24,080 --> 00:19:28,240 Speaker 3: case that Trump was convicted in has been postponed indefinitely. 331 00:19:28,960 --> 00:19:32,160 Speaker 3: Does this just end every legal inquiry essentially, at least 332 00:19:32,200 --> 00:19:37,040 Speaker 3: in terms of criminal prosecution into Donald Trump. Is this 333 00:19:37,080 --> 00:19:38,240 Speaker 3: ever going to be reignited? 334 00:19:39,640 --> 00:19:41,679 Speaker 8: I think for the most part this ends it, and 335 00:19:41,800 --> 00:19:44,159 Speaker 8: in my mind it should end it. There is a 336 00:19:44,200 --> 00:19:47,480 Speaker 8: big debate about do we end these or freeze these 337 00:19:47,600 --> 00:19:50,400 Speaker 8: as is happening in New York. I think at this 338 00:19:50,480 --> 00:19:53,360 Speaker 8: point ending them is the right course. But you know, 339 00:19:53,480 --> 00:19:57,840 Speaker 8: it's a hard question because you know, setting aside Donald Trump, 340 00:19:58,000 --> 00:20:01,960 Speaker 8: there is a looming question about whether you're getting a 341 00:20:02,000 --> 00:20:04,800 Speaker 8: lot of jail free card is being elected to office. 342 00:20:04,960 --> 00:20:09,240 Speaker 8: That's deeply disconcerting to many Americans. But that said, at 343 00:20:09,280 --> 00:20:12,040 Speaker 8: this point, I do think the DOJ is right to 344 00:20:12,119 --> 00:20:15,440 Speaker 8: drop this, And if I was Jack Smith, I would 345 00:20:15,440 --> 00:20:18,280 Speaker 8: be sending in my resignation as well as I expect 346 00:20:18,359 --> 00:20:20,600 Speaker 8: we see his entire team resign at this point. 347 00:20:21,960 --> 00:20:24,040 Speaker 3: Well, yeah, there's been plenty of reports that everyone who 348 00:20:24,160 --> 00:20:26,160 Speaker 3: was on that team might be fired from the Department 349 00:20:26,160 --> 00:20:30,639 Speaker 3: of Justice under this incoming administration. Anyway, Rick, as we 350 00:20:30,720 --> 00:20:33,000 Speaker 3: consider though, that it's not going to be Matt Gates 351 00:20:33,080 --> 00:20:36,640 Speaker 3: who leads the department going forward. He's taken himself out. 352 00:20:36,640 --> 00:20:39,320 Speaker 3: It's now Pam Bondi, who is the Attorney General designate. 353 00:20:39,359 --> 00:20:42,159 Speaker 3: There isn't much thought that she will face difficulty in 354 00:20:42,240 --> 00:20:46,800 Speaker 3: getting confirmed. How do you expect she'll handle things like 355 00:20:46,840 --> 00:20:49,760 Speaker 3: this or at the suggestions that the President elect made 356 00:20:49,760 --> 00:20:51,720 Speaker 3: on the campaign trail that he would like to go 357 00:20:51,800 --> 00:20:55,480 Speaker 3: after and see prosecuted people who are his own political enemies. 358 00:20:56,840 --> 00:21:02,040 Speaker 7: Yeah, look, I mean there are plenty of that the 359 00:21:02,119 --> 00:21:04,560 Speaker 7: Justice Department have had in the past about how they 360 00:21:04,600 --> 00:21:08,439 Speaker 7: handle issues related to sitting presidents, and I think this 361 00:21:08,560 --> 00:21:11,720 Speaker 7: goes by the wayside just as consistent as any other 362 00:21:11,800 --> 00:21:14,800 Speaker 7: has done in the past, dating back to Richard Nixon. 363 00:21:15,280 --> 00:21:18,600 Speaker 7: The long and short of it, though, is Pam Bondi 364 00:21:18,760 --> 00:21:25,240 Speaker 7: will be the Chief Council Chief cop for the United 365 00:21:25,280 --> 00:21:28,320 Speaker 7: States of America and at this point in time, there's 366 00:21:28,359 --> 00:21:32,920 Speaker 7: no reason to believe that that's inconsistent with serving under 367 00:21:32,920 --> 00:21:36,840 Speaker 7: a Donald Trump presidency. And if in fact, there is 368 00:21:36,880 --> 00:21:40,840 Speaker 7: a date and time where the President instructs her to 369 00:21:40,880 --> 00:21:44,280 Speaker 7: do something otherwise, I think we'll hear from the courts 370 00:21:44,320 --> 00:21:48,960 Speaker 7: and from the Congress to ensure that these norms are 371 00:21:49,160 --> 00:21:52,840 Speaker 7: adhered to. And we certainly have no evidence that the 372 00:21:52,880 --> 00:21:55,920 Speaker 7: division of labor, the division of power in Congress and 373 00:21:56,359 --> 00:22:00,119 Speaker 7: the Supreme Court or federal courts will see otherwise. So 374 00:22:00,960 --> 00:22:04,040 Speaker 7: I think there's systems in place to keep government running. 375 00:22:04,080 --> 00:22:08,800 Speaker 7: And it certainly is totally appropriate that Jack Smith would 376 00:22:08,840 --> 00:22:14,280 Speaker 7: see this opportunity to pursue other interests. And he's served 377 00:22:14,280 --> 00:22:18,719 Speaker 7: his country well over you know, two decades, and you 378 00:22:18,720 --> 00:22:20,240 Speaker 7: know he's not going to want to serve in an 379 00:22:20,320 --> 00:22:23,120 Speaker 7: administration that he's just been prosecuting. 380 00:22:23,200 --> 00:22:24,560 Speaker 2: So it's. 381 00:22:25,960 --> 00:22:29,160 Speaker 7: I don't see anything particularly surprising by the decision other 382 00:22:29,200 --> 00:22:32,560 Speaker 7: than the fact that it's happened now and it kind 383 00:22:32,560 --> 00:22:36,320 Speaker 7: of creates a finality to, you know, this crazy ride 384 00:22:36,359 --> 00:22:39,359 Speaker 7: we had starting back in August of twenty twenty three 385 00:22:39,520 --> 00:22:43,840 Speaker 7: when the President was indicted on federal charges. So it's 386 00:22:44,080 --> 00:22:47,600 Speaker 7: it's been quite something to see in the process work 387 00:22:47,640 --> 00:22:48,480 Speaker 7: its way out. 388 00:22:49,800 --> 00:22:50,000 Speaker 9: Well. 389 00:22:50,040 --> 00:22:52,520 Speaker 3: And as we consider here that we won't see Genie, 390 00:22:52,520 --> 00:22:55,720 Speaker 3: the evidence that was actually gathered by Jack Smith presented 391 00:22:55,800 --> 00:22:58,520 Speaker 3: in a courtroom, we have, to Rick's point, seeing the 392 00:22:58,560 --> 00:23:01,000 Speaker 3: original indictment than the stuper receiving one and the one 393 00:23:01,000 --> 00:23:04,080 Speaker 3: that was changed in light of the Supreme Court decision 394 00:23:04,119 --> 00:23:07,560 Speaker 3: around presidential immunity. A lot of these details made public 395 00:23:07,680 --> 00:23:09,920 Speaker 3: not just by Jack Smith and the judge in this case, 396 00:23:09,960 --> 00:23:12,280 Speaker 3: but also, of course, as it pertains to the events 397 00:23:12,280 --> 00:23:15,720 Speaker 3: of January sixth, specifically by the congressional committee that looked 398 00:23:15,720 --> 00:23:20,919 Speaker 3: into this and had highly publicized, publicized, televised hearings into this. 399 00:23:21,000 --> 00:23:23,439 Speaker 3: The American people already had knowledge of a lot of 400 00:23:23,440 --> 00:23:26,760 Speaker 3: this conduct and voted him to be the forty seventh 401 00:23:26,800 --> 00:23:29,719 Speaker 3: president anyway, So would it ultimately have even mattered if 402 00:23:29,760 --> 00:23:31,600 Speaker 3: everything came to light. 403 00:23:33,280 --> 00:23:35,840 Speaker 8: Yeah, I mean it's an excellent point, because you know, 404 00:23:35,880 --> 00:23:38,159 Speaker 8: you'd have to be living under a rock to not be, 405 00:23:38,480 --> 00:23:41,840 Speaker 8: you know, have knowledge as to what these accusations were, 406 00:23:42,240 --> 00:23:45,399 Speaker 8: and despite that, you had millions of Americans go to 407 00:23:45,440 --> 00:23:48,880 Speaker 8: the polls and choose Donald Trump. I do think it's 408 00:23:48,920 --> 00:23:52,560 Speaker 8: important that Smith and I understand he will issues a 409 00:23:52,720 --> 00:23:56,640 Speaker 8: report on his findings. That's critically important for posterity. It's 410 00:23:56,640 --> 00:24:00,639 Speaker 8: critically important for us as historians and scholars. I also 411 00:24:00,720 --> 00:24:03,520 Speaker 8: think it's critically important that the courts continue to do 412 00:24:03,600 --> 00:24:07,920 Speaker 8: their job, including define for us what the limits of 413 00:24:08,000 --> 00:24:10,679 Speaker 8: immunity are. You know, we don't live in a monarchy. 414 00:24:10,920 --> 00:24:13,760 Speaker 8: The idea of total complete immunity is not what they 415 00:24:13,760 --> 00:24:17,359 Speaker 8: were talking about, So those limits still need to be defined. 416 00:24:17,400 --> 00:24:20,760 Speaker 8: And to me, that is even more important than any 417 00:24:20,800 --> 00:24:23,960 Speaker 8: other continued prosecution of Donald Trump because this speaks to 418 00:24:24,320 --> 00:24:27,560 Speaker 8: people who serve in these positions going forward, and that's 419 00:24:27,600 --> 00:24:30,480 Speaker 8: what the government and the courts in particular need to 420 00:24:30,560 --> 00:24:33,200 Speaker 8: tell us what those limits are, because we've never had 421 00:24:33,200 --> 00:24:34,720 Speaker 8: to answer this question before. 422 00:24:36,520 --> 00:24:40,000 Speaker 3: All Right, Jeanie Shanzano alongside Rick Davis. Together they are 423 00:24:40,000 --> 00:24:43,359 Speaker 3: our signature political panel. Joining me on this Monday edition 424 00:24:43,440 --> 00:24:46,199 Speaker 3: of Balance of Power. Thank you so much, and we 425 00:24:46,280 --> 00:24:48,320 Speaker 3: still have more ahead. I'll be joined by Mick Mulvaney, 426 00:24:48,400 --> 00:24:51,040 Speaker 3: the former chief of staff in the first acting chief 427 00:24:51,040 --> 00:24:53,080 Speaker 3: of staff in the first Trump White House and director 428 00:24:53,520 --> 00:24:56,120 Speaker 3: of the Office of Budget and Management as well during 429 00:24:56,119 --> 00:25:02,320 Speaker 3: that administration. He's next on Bloomberg TV and Radio. 430 00:25:03,480 --> 00:25:07,119 Speaker 2: You're listening to the Bloomberg Balance of Power podcast ketches 431 00:25:07,280 --> 00:25:10,000 Speaker 2: live weekdays at noon Eastern on Appo, car Play and 432 00:25:10,040 --> 00:25:12,720 Speaker 2: then Proud Otto with the Bloomberg Business app. Listen on 433 00:25:12,840 --> 00:25:16,000 Speaker 2: demand wherever you get your podcasts, or watch us live 434 00:25:16,119 --> 00:25:18,480 Speaker 2: on YouTube. 435 00:25:19,440 --> 00:25:23,160 Speaker 3: As expected, the Department of Justice is moving through Special 436 00:25:23,160 --> 00:25:28,280 Speaker 3: counsel Jack Smith to drop the twenty twenty election obstruction 437 00:25:28,440 --> 00:25:32,760 Speaker 3: case against the now President elect Donald Trump. There have 438 00:25:32,880 --> 00:25:34,960 Speaker 3: been signals that this would happen, as it is long 439 00:25:35,040 --> 00:25:39,120 Speaker 3: standing DOJ policy not to prosecute a sitting president, which 440 00:25:39,160 --> 00:25:42,440 Speaker 3: Donald Trump will become once again fifty six days from now. 441 00:25:42,440 --> 00:25:46,679 Speaker 3: But it does end what was already a historic prosecution 442 00:25:46,840 --> 00:25:50,000 Speaker 3: series of prosecutions frankly against Trump as an individual that 443 00:25:50,040 --> 00:25:53,480 Speaker 3: are now going away as he gets set to take 444 00:25:53,520 --> 00:25:55,720 Speaker 3: office for a second time, and of course the first 445 00:25:55,720 --> 00:25:58,720 Speaker 3: time around when he was the forty fifth President of 446 00:25:58,760 --> 00:26:02,520 Speaker 3: the United States, mickmove was active in that administration. He's 447 00:26:02,560 --> 00:26:05,800 Speaker 3: former acting White House Chief of Staff under Trump, former 448 00:26:05,840 --> 00:26:08,359 Speaker 3: Director of the Office of Management and Budget, and of 449 00:26:08,400 --> 00:26:10,879 Speaker 3: course co founder as well of the House Freedom Caucus 450 00:26:10,880 --> 00:26:13,199 Speaker 3: as a former congressman. To boot Mike, we know your 451 00:26:13,200 --> 00:26:15,040 Speaker 3: resume is long. It's always good to have you here 452 00:26:15,080 --> 00:26:17,159 Speaker 3: on Bloomberg TV and Radio. There's a lot I'd like 453 00:26:17,200 --> 00:26:19,320 Speaker 3: to get into when it comes to the OMB specifically, 454 00:26:19,720 --> 00:26:22,080 Speaker 3: but if we could just first get your reaction to 455 00:26:22,320 --> 00:26:24,600 Speaker 3: this news. I know you had strong feelings about the 456 00:26:24,640 --> 00:26:28,679 Speaker 3: events in and around January sixth. Now, Donald Trump not 457 00:26:28,880 --> 00:26:31,639 Speaker 3: necessarily going to be held accountable for any of that 458 00:26:32,240 --> 00:26:35,199 Speaker 3: alleged action that he took in the lead up to 459 00:26:35,560 --> 00:26:38,920 Speaker 3: and during it. But this is largely to be. 460 00:26:38,920 --> 00:26:41,560 Speaker 9: Expected, right it is. 461 00:26:41,560 --> 00:26:43,679 Speaker 10: In fact, I think it's probably the biggest story that 462 00:26:43,760 --> 00:26:45,120 Speaker 10: everybody knew was going to happen. 463 00:26:45,160 --> 00:26:45,880 Speaker 9: Anyway. You can't. 464 00:26:45,920 --> 00:26:48,200 Speaker 10: I mean, it's been long standing policy, as you mentioned, 465 00:26:48,200 --> 00:26:50,919 Speaker 10: that you don't prosecute a sitting president, which means it 466 00:26:50,920 --> 00:26:52,720 Speaker 10: would have to sit there for at least four years 467 00:26:52,720 --> 00:26:55,879 Speaker 10: the prosecution would, which is not tenable. So I guess 468 00:26:56,119 --> 00:26:58,880 Speaker 10: this is an inevitable sort of side effect. 469 00:26:58,520 --> 00:26:59,840 Speaker 9: Of the election. 470 00:27:01,840 --> 00:27:04,359 Speaker 3: Yeah, and now we're getting a new announcement from the 471 00:27:04,440 --> 00:27:07,800 Speaker 3: DJ also formally moving to drop the other federal case 472 00:27:07,840 --> 00:27:11,520 Speaker 3: against Donald Trump, which was the classified documents case down 473 00:27:11,560 --> 00:27:14,960 Speaker 3: in Florida, So both federal prosecutions are now out of 474 00:27:15,000 --> 00:27:17,560 Speaker 3: the picture. He of course has had his sentencing in 475 00:27:17,600 --> 00:27:20,919 Speaker 3: the case in New York, the state case around the 476 00:27:20,960 --> 00:27:24,080 Speaker 3: falsification of business records in which he was convicted, That 477 00:27:24,240 --> 00:27:27,160 Speaker 3: sentencing has been pushed back indefinitely. We're not quite sure 478 00:27:27,200 --> 00:27:28,800 Speaker 3: at this time what's going to happen with the other 479 00:27:28,880 --> 00:27:32,919 Speaker 3: state case down in Georgia. But this effectively Mick puts 480 00:27:32,920 --> 00:27:37,280 Speaker 3: to bed all of his at least criminal legal issues. 481 00:27:37,320 --> 00:27:40,359 Speaker 3: And I do wonder if he wouldn't be about to 482 00:27:40,400 --> 00:27:42,719 Speaker 3: go back into the White House had they not happened, 483 00:27:42,760 --> 00:27:45,159 Speaker 3: Had we not had these series of indictments throughout the 484 00:27:45,160 --> 00:27:48,280 Speaker 3: course of what was his active presidential campaign, do you 485 00:27:48,280 --> 00:27:50,000 Speaker 3: think he still would have won. 486 00:27:51,640 --> 00:27:52,919 Speaker 10: I think it gave him and you and I have 487 00:27:52,960 --> 00:27:54,760 Speaker 10: talked about this before a couple of times. 488 00:27:54,760 --> 00:27:56,560 Speaker 9: It gave him a new message. It gave him a 489 00:27:56,800 --> 00:27:57,679 Speaker 9: rallying cry. 490 00:27:58,880 --> 00:28:01,560 Speaker 10: Some of the criminal chargers were so weak, Kayleye, And 491 00:28:01,600 --> 00:28:03,560 Speaker 10: I know I'm giving an opinion on that, but they 492 00:28:03,560 --> 00:28:06,719 Speaker 10: were facially very weak. The basis of the case, one 493 00:28:06,720 --> 00:28:08,720 Speaker 10: of the cases in New York was that he that 494 00:28:08,800 --> 00:28:11,240 Speaker 10: he paid back a loan early that the debtor didn't 495 00:28:11,400 --> 00:28:15,760 Speaker 10: or the lender didn't complain about. Another case was revolving 496 00:28:15,800 --> 00:28:19,000 Speaker 10: around it, you know, criminal charges for legal hush money payments, 497 00:28:19,280 --> 00:28:21,119 Speaker 10: and it gave him, you know, it raised a lot 498 00:28:21,119 --> 00:28:23,040 Speaker 10: of questions even with Democrats, as to whether or not 499 00:28:23,359 --> 00:28:25,320 Speaker 10: he would have been charged with those things if his 500 00:28:25,440 --> 00:28:26,879 Speaker 10: name wasn't Donald John Trump. 501 00:28:27,160 --> 00:28:28,280 Speaker 9: And it gave him that new. 502 00:28:28,240 --> 00:28:30,360 Speaker 10: Rallying cry that you know, look at what they're doing 503 00:28:30,359 --> 00:28:31,919 Speaker 10: to me. If they can do it to me, they 504 00:28:31,960 --> 00:28:34,399 Speaker 10: can do it to you. Elect me, and that won't happen. 505 00:28:34,400 --> 00:28:37,160 Speaker 10: It reinvigorated his campaign, so said from the very beginning. 506 00:28:37,200 --> 00:28:39,880 Speaker 10: If there's one human being probably most response with Donald 507 00:28:39,880 --> 00:28:42,640 Speaker 10: Trump going back to the White House, it's probably Alvin Bragg, 508 00:28:42,680 --> 00:28:46,280 Speaker 10: followed closely by Letitia James. 509 00:28:46,280 --> 00:28:48,600 Speaker 3: Incredible to consider. And of course, yes, we did hear 510 00:28:48,640 --> 00:28:51,080 Speaker 3: a lot about this from Donald Trump on the campaign trail. 511 00:28:51,200 --> 00:28:54,160 Speaker 3: Something else we heard from Trump frequently while he was 512 00:28:54,200 --> 00:28:56,959 Speaker 3: campaigning is that he had nothing to do with the 513 00:28:56,960 --> 00:29:00,920 Speaker 3: Heritage Foundations Project twenty twenty five. And yet we have 514 00:29:01,480 --> 00:29:03,840 Speaker 3: seen a number of people named to be part of 515 00:29:03,880 --> 00:29:08,040 Speaker 3: his second administration who were affiliated or contributed to that project. 516 00:29:08,120 --> 00:29:10,400 Speaker 3: And in fact, just a few weeks ago, Joe got 517 00:29:10,400 --> 00:29:13,080 Speaker 3: to sit down with the President of Heritage, Kevin Roberts, 518 00:29:13,080 --> 00:29:14,880 Speaker 3: who told him this about the way in which it 519 00:29:14,880 --> 00:29:18,920 Speaker 3: could be informing this incoming administration's policy decisions. 520 00:29:19,480 --> 00:29:21,560 Speaker 11: We think that this is the beginning of a golden 521 00:29:21,600 --> 00:29:25,800 Speaker 11: era of conservative reform. I will say that because the 522 00:29:25,880 --> 00:29:29,800 Speaker 11: work of Project twenty twenty five represents the conservative movement, 523 00:29:30,160 --> 00:29:34,640 Speaker 11: it would be very difficult for anybody to implement policies 524 00:29:34,800 --> 00:29:38,880 Speaker 11: on education, on the border, on taxation without at least 525 00:29:38,880 --> 00:29:42,200 Speaker 11: consulting those ideas in people. That's not some arrogant or 526 00:29:42,280 --> 00:29:43,400 Speaker 11: hubistic comment. 527 00:29:43,160 --> 00:29:43,640 Speaker 12: On our part. 528 00:29:43,840 --> 00:29:46,000 Speaker 11: That's just the nature of how policy making works. 529 00:29:47,280 --> 00:29:49,840 Speaker 3: And one of those people make that contributed to Project 530 00:29:49,880 --> 00:29:53,720 Speaker 3: twenty twenty twenty five has now been tapped to take 531 00:29:53,760 --> 00:29:57,160 Speaker 3: your old job, Omb Director Russ Vote will be reprising 532 00:29:57,800 --> 00:30:00,600 Speaker 3: his role. And I do wonder what you make of 533 00:30:00,640 --> 00:30:03,280 Speaker 3: that choice and if it actually does signal anything about 534 00:30:03,280 --> 00:30:05,360 Speaker 3: the way in which Project twenty twenty five could be 535 00:30:05,400 --> 00:30:08,800 Speaker 3: working its way into outcomes in this administration. 536 00:30:09,560 --> 00:30:09,720 Speaker 5: Yeah. 537 00:30:09,720 --> 00:30:11,760 Speaker 10: I mean, look, what I think the guy from Heritage 538 00:30:11,800 --> 00:30:13,800 Speaker 10: was trying to say in so many words, is twenty 539 00:30:14,160 --> 00:30:18,440 Speaker 10: Project twenty twenty twenty five is just Republican conservative orthodoxy 540 00:30:18,720 --> 00:30:19,880 Speaker 10: in a lot of different places. 541 00:30:19,880 --> 00:30:22,000 Speaker 9: So if you're going to be a Republican president. 542 00:30:21,760 --> 00:30:23,520 Speaker 10: You're going to probably put into place a lot of 543 00:30:23,520 --> 00:30:25,480 Speaker 10: things that happened to be in Project twenty twenty five. 544 00:30:26,240 --> 00:30:28,560 Speaker 10: I do think that the Trump campaign sort of moved 545 00:30:28,560 --> 00:30:31,320 Speaker 10: away from the project because in large part of the 546 00:30:31,320 --> 00:30:34,800 Speaker 10: positions on abortion, which they considered to be a liability politically. 547 00:30:35,120 --> 00:30:37,960 Speaker 10: But look, it's conservative orthodoxy and that's what's going forward. 548 00:30:38,000 --> 00:30:39,960 Speaker 9: You asked me about RUSS. I'm very excited about this. 549 00:30:40,080 --> 00:30:42,680 Speaker 10: In fact, I think, you know, Elon Musk and Vivek 550 00:30:42,760 --> 00:30:46,280 Speaker 10: Ramaswami get all the attention for this Department of Government efficiency, 551 00:30:46,280 --> 00:30:49,000 Speaker 10: and they should, and it's an important thing that they're doing. 552 00:30:49,480 --> 00:30:51,840 Speaker 10: But in order to implement the things that I think 553 00:30:51,840 --> 00:30:54,240 Speaker 10: they're going to start recommending, you have to have Omb 554 00:30:54,440 --> 00:30:57,800 Speaker 10: on board. And nobody knows more about government works or 555 00:30:57,880 --> 00:31:00,000 Speaker 10: doesn't work than RUSS votes. So I thought it was 556 00:31:00,120 --> 00:31:02,800 Speaker 10: a really, really solid decision at Omb, and he'll make 557 00:31:03,120 --> 00:31:05,920 Speaker 10: a good member of that government deficiency team. Keep in mind, 558 00:31:06,040 --> 00:31:08,520 Speaker 10: the last time President Trump asked somebody to restructure the 559 00:31:08,520 --> 00:31:11,440 Speaker 10: federal government, it was me, and we didn't have much 560 00:31:11,480 --> 00:31:14,120 Speaker 10: luck because the whole of the deep state was against us, 561 00:31:14,160 --> 00:31:17,080 Speaker 10: and some of our cabinet secretaries were against us. I 562 00:31:17,080 --> 00:31:20,640 Speaker 10: think I don't think that that troika of Elon, Vevek 563 00:31:20,680 --> 00:31:22,440 Speaker 10: and Russ are going to have the same impediments that 564 00:31:22,440 --> 00:31:23,719 Speaker 10: we had in twenty eighteen. 565 00:31:25,200 --> 00:31:27,320 Speaker 3: Well, and you could potentially add another name to that 566 00:31:27,600 --> 00:31:30,560 Speaker 3: team as well as Congressman Marjorie Taylor Green of Georgia. 567 00:31:30,640 --> 00:31:35,320 Speaker 3: Apparently we'll be leading a House Oversight subcommittee helping implement 568 00:31:35,480 --> 00:31:38,600 Speaker 3: the DOGE recommendations. I do wonder though, as we know 569 00:31:38,680 --> 00:31:43,240 Speaker 3: that that Department quote unquote does have intel July fourth 570 00:31:43,320 --> 00:31:46,239 Speaker 3: of twenty twenty six to make these proposals. To do 571 00:31:46,360 --> 00:31:48,920 Speaker 3: this work, there are going to be spending battles being 572 00:31:48,920 --> 00:31:51,520 Speaker 3: fought in Congress well before that. Basically right when we 573 00:31:51,560 --> 00:31:54,200 Speaker 3: get into the new year, the new Congress and the 574 00:31:54,200 --> 00:31:56,600 Speaker 3: new administration, we're going to have to deal not just 575 00:31:56,600 --> 00:32:00,560 Speaker 3: with regular appropriations, but a debt stealing fight. Well, and 576 00:32:00,600 --> 00:32:04,440 Speaker 3: I wonder how you think russ vote will navigate those 577 00:32:04,520 --> 00:32:06,520 Speaker 3: what it means for the ultimate outcomes of what those 578 00:32:06,520 --> 00:32:07,320 Speaker 3: deals could look like. 579 00:32:08,160 --> 00:32:10,120 Speaker 10: Well, what Russ is going to do, and this is 580 00:32:10,200 --> 00:32:12,600 Speaker 10: what good staffers are supposed to do, and Russ was 581 00:32:12,640 --> 00:32:15,080 Speaker 10: a good staffer in the previous administration. I have every 582 00:32:15,080 --> 00:32:16,960 Speaker 10: expectation he's going to be a good staffer going forward 583 00:32:16,960 --> 00:32:20,120 Speaker 10: is simply laying out the facts and the arguments for 584 00:32:20,160 --> 00:32:23,200 Speaker 10: the president. Russ is a lot more fiscally conservative than 585 00:32:23,200 --> 00:32:25,760 Speaker 10: the president United States is, just as I was. Trump 586 00:32:25,840 --> 00:32:28,520 Speaker 10: wanted to hear from the fiscally conservative wing of the 587 00:32:28,520 --> 00:32:30,760 Speaker 10: party and he wanted to hear from other folks as well, 588 00:32:30,800 --> 00:32:33,880 Speaker 10: and Russ will be the loudest voice in those discussions. 589 00:32:33,880 --> 00:32:35,719 Speaker 10: You're right, we've got appropriations bills to deal with, You've 590 00:32:35,720 --> 00:32:36,680 Speaker 10: got the debt ceiling to deal with. 591 00:32:37,000 --> 00:32:38,640 Speaker 9: You've got to look very closely. 592 00:32:38,360 --> 00:32:41,200 Speaker 10: Kailey, to that first sort of that thin budget that 593 00:32:41,280 --> 00:32:43,640 Speaker 10: will come out in the first couple of weeks of 594 00:32:43,640 --> 00:32:46,760 Speaker 10: the administration, because that will be the first indication is 595 00:32:46,800 --> 00:32:49,800 Speaker 10: what their priorities are. President's budget is a messaging budget, 596 00:32:49,960 --> 00:32:51,880 Speaker 10: you know, what are their priorities going to be? And 597 00:32:51,960 --> 00:32:54,400 Speaker 10: Russ will be obviously have his hand in that. So 598 00:32:54,560 --> 00:32:56,400 Speaker 10: it's going to be a very quick or a fast 599 00:32:56,400 --> 00:32:58,920 Speaker 10: moving couple of weeks on those spending issues, and it 600 00:32:58,960 --> 00:33:01,200 Speaker 10: will be interesting to see what not Trump comes down 601 00:33:01,240 --> 00:33:03,960 Speaker 10: sort of with that more the heavier spending side of 602 00:33:03,960 --> 00:33:05,960 Speaker 10: the party or the fiscally conservative side of the party 603 00:33:05,960 --> 00:33:09,040 Speaker 10: that Russ represents so well. 604 00:33:09,200 --> 00:33:13,240 Speaker 3: Well, and in those initial those first weeks, Mick, there 605 00:33:13,280 --> 00:33:16,520 Speaker 3: also is going to be a really narrow majority in 606 00:33:16,680 --> 00:33:19,120 Speaker 3: the chamber you used to sit in the House of Representatives. 607 00:33:19,160 --> 00:33:21,200 Speaker 3: It's really going to be only a few votes that 608 00:33:21,280 --> 00:33:24,160 Speaker 3: Mike Johnson can afford to lose as Speaker because Trump 609 00:33:24,160 --> 00:33:27,560 Speaker 3: has pulled three members of the House for this administration, 610 00:33:27,720 --> 00:33:30,200 Speaker 3: or I guess when you include Matt Gates having resigned 611 00:33:30,240 --> 00:33:32,280 Speaker 3: no longer being part of the administration, that's still a 612 00:33:32,360 --> 00:33:34,720 Speaker 3: vote gone in a special election that's not being held 613 00:33:35,160 --> 00:33:37,760 Speaker 3: until April first. How hard is this going to be 614 00:33:38,120 --> 00:33:39,840 Speaker 3: to get done with such a slim majority? 615 00:33:40,760 --> 00:33:41,240 Speaker 9: Really hard. 616 00:33:41,280 --> 00:33:43,440 Speaker 10: I think people lose sight of the fact it's not 617 00:33:43,560 --> 00:33:48,800 Speaker 10: quite as bad as it sounds, just because technically Waltz 618 00:33:48,840 --> 00:33:51,240 Speaker 10: is still a member of the House and can still vote. 619 00:33:51,320 --> 00:33:53,040 Speaker 9: Traditionally you don't, but you can. 620 00:33:53,160 --> 00:33:56,240 Speaker 10: I never voted after I was nominated for the OMB 621 00:33:56,360 --> 00:33:58,080 Speaker 10: back in twenty seventeen, but I could have. 622 00:33:58,120 --> 00:34:00,000 Speaker 9: It would have been legal for me to do that. 623 00:34:00,200 --> 00:34:03,320 Speaker 10: So until those folks are confirmed, all those House members, 624 00:34:03,360 --> 00:34:06,200 Speaker 10: they are still sitting and can vote, so they don't 625 00:34:06,240 --> 00:34:08,879 Speaker 10: really lose those Republican votes. Mike Johnson doesn't lose those 626 00:34:08,880 --> 00:34:12,839 Speaker 10: Republican votes until those folks resign. Now, yes, obviously mentioned 627 00:34:12,880 --> 00:34:15,000 Speaker 10: Matt Gates has already gone, so that narrows it a 628 00:34:15,000 --> 00:34:18,000 Speaker 10: little bit. But to your point, it's going to be tight, 629 00:34:18,120 --> 00:34:19,759 Speaker 10: There's no question about that. 630 00:34:20,400 --> 00:34:21,719 Speaker 9: And he's not going to be able to afford to 631 00:34:21,760 --> 00:34:23,480 Speaker 9: lose any folks, I think, any votes. 632 00:34:23,520 --> 00:34:25,600 Speaker 10: I think the one thing that's sort of sitting there, 633 00:34:25,600 --> 00:34:27,120 Speaker 10: the eight hundred pound gerrill in the room, is that 634 00:34:27,200 --> 00:34:29,239 Speaker 10: Donald Trump still has a lot of influence over the 635 00:34:29,239 --> 00:34:32,560 Speaker 10: Republican Party, probably never more so than now, and if 636 00:34:32,560 --> 00:34:35,120 Speaker 10: they want to whip votes, they should be very successful 637 00:34:35,120 --> 00:34:37,360 Speaker 10: in doing that well. 638 00:34:37,200 --> 00:34:40,160 Speaker 3: Perhaps though not enough influence over at least the Republicans 639 00:34:40,160 --> 00:34:42,120 Speaker 3: in the Senate to be able to get someone like 640 00:34:42,200 --> 00:34:46,680 Speaker 3: Gates through the confirmation process, hence himself gains taking himself 641 00:34:46,719 --> 00:34:48,839 Speaker 3: out of contention for that role. When we look at 642 00:34:48,840 --> 00:34:52,640 Speaker 3: some of these other nominees Toolsey Gabbard, RFK Junior, Pete Hegseeth, 643 00:34:52,680 --> 00:34:55,320 Speaker 3: do you think there could still be Republican resistance adequate 644 00:34:55,400 --> 00:34:58,880 Speaker 3: enough to potentially tank those nominations, Mick or is everyone 645 00:34:58,880 --> 00:34:59,879 Speaker 3: else going to get through? 646 00:35:00,880 --> 00:35:02,239 Speaker 9: You know, it's it's a really good question. 647 00:35:02,239 --> 00:35:05,480 Speaker 10: It's one of those inside the Beltway questions, because oftentimes 648 00:35:05,520 --> 00:35:08,120 Speaker 10: it's not every single administration, but oftentimes what will happen 649 00:35:08,239 --> 00:35:11,160 Speaker 10: is an incoming administration will offer up a sacrificial lamb 650 00:35:11,600 --> 00:35:14,040 Speaker 10: somebody they know they can't get confirmed because they're too 651 00:35:14,200 --> 00:35:16,799 Speaker 10: extreme one way or the other, but it satisfies their 652 00:35:16,880 --> 00:35:19,239 Speaker 10: base and it gives sort of a little sop to 653 00:35:19,280 --> 00:35:22,239 Speaker 10: the minority party in the Senate. We saw this back 654 00:35:22,239 --> 00:35:25,080 Speaker 10: in twenty twenty one with Nero Teten, who was nominated 655 00:35:25,080 --> 00:35:27,880 Speaker 10: for omb by the Biden administration, even though a lot 656 00:35:27,920 --> 00:35:30,840 Speaker 10: of Democrats thought she was too progressively left to get confirmed, 657 00:35:31,040 --> 00:35:33,680 Speaker 10: and indeed she wasn't she They took that name down. 658 00:35:34,040 --> 00:35:37,080 Speaker 10: Was Matt Gates that sacrificial lamb? Or was he sort 659 00:35:37,080 --> 00:35:40,239 Speaker 10: of a different thing entirely. I think if you look 660 00:35:40,280 --> 00:35:42,319 Speaker 10: at the if you look at the names you just gave, 661 00:35:42,400 --> 00:35:45,440 Speaker 10: I gotta think Kennedy's got the toughest road just because he's. 662 00:35:45,320 --> 00:35:46,200 Speaker 9: Such a weird guy. 663 00:35:46,320 --> 00:35:48,479 Speaker 10: I mean, I hate to use the word that you know, 664 00:35:48,400 --> 00:35:51,080 Speaker 10: you know, that word meant something before Tim Waal start 665 00:35:51,160 --> 00:35:53,719 Speaker 10: using on the campaign. But he's he's he's an unusual 666 00:35:53,840 --> 00:35:58,160 Speaker 10: human being, and it should make for an interesting confirmation process. 667 00:35:58,360 --> 00:36:01,120 Speaker 9: Heg Seth will get the attention because of the post. 668 00:36:01,800 --> 00:36:04,840 Speaker 10: Obviously, HHS, which Kennedy's nominated for, is not as critical, 669 00:36:04,920 --> 00:36:08,320 Speaker 10: is not as perceived as being as high ranking as 670 00:36:08,360 --> 00:36:11,120 Speaker 10: the Secretary of Defense is. But every time people ask 671 00:36:11,160 --> 00:36:13,360 Speaker 10: about Hegseth, I say, look, if he wasn't on TV 672 00:36:13,920 --> 00:36:16,560 Speaker 10: and he was just somebody with degrees from Princeton and 673 00:36:16,640 --> 00:36:18,840 Speaker 10: Harvard who had written a couple of books on the topic, 674 00:36:18,920 --> 00:36:22,319 Speaker 10: had two Bronze stars served overseas two different times, I 675 00:36:22,360 --> 00:36:24,520 Speaker 10: don't think you'd be getting the negative attention that you were. 676 00:36:24,560 --> 00:36:27,359 Speaker 9: So I think Hegseith is fine. I think Tools is fine. 677 00:36:27,360 --> 00:36:29,840 Speaker 10: I think if anybody is going to have the biggest challenge, 678 00:36:29,840 --> 00:36:31,040 Speaker 10: it's going to be Kennedy. 679 00:36:32,680 --> 00:36:37,400 Speaker 3: Well, and finally Mick. As we consider here the notion 680 00:36:37,560 --> 00:36:41,360 Speaker 3: of future challenges around all of these things, I do wonder, 681 00:36:41,560 --> 00:36:44,440 Speaker 3: assuming that these people can't even get confirmed, what challenges 682 00:36:44,480 --> 00:36:47,920 Speaker 3: they may face upon actually stepping into the job. If 683 00:36:47,920 --> 00:36:50,600 Speaker 3: this transition is delayed because of a lack of signing 684 00:36:50,640 --> 00:36:54,480 Speaker 3: of ethics and transparency pledges in order to get access 685 00:36:54,520 --> 00:36:57,279 Speaker 3: to the classified or at least not public information they 686 00:36:57,320 --> 00:37:00,360 Speaker 3: need to do their roles. What do you make of 687 00:37:00,360 --> 00:37:01,919 Speaker 3: of the slow walking here. 688 00:37:03,040 --> 00:37:05,480 Speaker 9: Listen that slow walking. It works both ways. There's a net. 689 00:37:05,520 --> 00:37:08,279 Speaker 10: You're seeing a natural tension now between the administrative, the 690 00:37:08,320 --> 00:37:10,839 Speaker 10: executive branch, and the legislative branch. It has very little 691 00:37:10,840 --> 00:37:13,200 Speaker 10: to do with party and everything to do with structure. 692 00:37:13,840 --> 00:37:16,440 Speaker 10: The incomeing administration doesn't want to sort of give everything 693 00:37:16,440 --> 00:37:18,360 Speaker 10: to the Senate all at one time, and the Senate 694 00:37:18,360 --> 00:37:20,520 Speaker 10: doesn't want to move very quickly. Keep in mind, I've 695 00:37:20,560 --> 00:37:23,200 Speaker 10: often said that, you know, advise and consent has in 696 00:37:23,280 --> 00:37:26,040 Speaker 10: large part become extort and delay. I can't tell you 697 00:37:26,120 --> 00:37:28,640 Speaker 10: the number of Republican centators who called me when I 698 00:37:28,640 --> 00:37:30,319 Speaker 10: was at OMB, trying to get stuff out of me 699 00:37:30,400 --> 00:37:33,920 Speaker 10: in exchange for lower level confirmations moving forward and so forth. 700 00:37:33,960 --> 00:37:38,200 Speaker 10: So there's that natural tension. I think it's important that 701 00:37:38,239 --> 00:37:41,839 Speaker 10: the Treasury Secretary go early, Secretary State Defense go early, 702 00:37:41,880 --> 00:37:44,880 Speaker 10: and that the OMB go early, just because you do 703 00:37:44,960 --> 00:37:46,320 Speaker 10: have to write that budget very quickly. 704 00:37:46,680 --> 00:37:47,960 Speaker 9: My guess is those. 705 00:37:47,800 --> 00:37:49,640 Speaker 10: Will be the first ones confirmed, and then the other 706 00:37:49,680 --> 00:37:52,000 Speaker 10: ones may drag out over the course of the next 707 00:37:52,000 --> 00:37:52,560 Speaker 10: couple of months. 708 00:37:53,960 --> 00:37:54,040 Speaker 12: Well. 709 00:37:54,080 --> 00:37:56,960 Speaker 3: Of course, he used to be director of the UMB himself. 710 00:37:57,000 --> 00:37:59,759 Speaker 3: Mick mulvaney also former acting Chief of Staff in the 711 00:38:00,200 --> 00:38:02,960 Speaker 3: Trump White House joining us here on Balance of Power. 712 00:38:03,040 --> 00:38:05,920 Speaker 3: Thank you so much, especially as Mick helps us react 713 00:38:05,960 --> 00:38:08,040 Speaker 3: to the breaking news we have gotten just this hour, 714 00:38:08,560 --> 00:38:11,200 Speaker 3: the Justice Department making it official that they are dropping 715 00:38:11,239 --> 00:38:14,880 Speaker 3: the prosecutions the federal ones of the now president elect 716 00:38:14,960 --> 00:38:18,760 Speaker 3: in both cases. That includes the document's case in Florida 717 00:38:18,880 --> 00:38:21,600 Speaker 3: and of course the case related to twenty twenty election 718 00:38:21,719 --> 00:38:25,480 Speaker 3: subversion brought against Donald Trump. Here in Washington. We have 719 00:38:25,640 --> 00:38:29,879 Speaker 3: had reaction from Trump's communications director Stephen Chung, who says, 720 00:38:29,880 --> 00:38:33,520 Speaker 3: in part, the American people re elected President Trump with 721 00:38:33,560 --> 00:38:37,440 Speaker 3: an overwhelming mandate to make America great again. Today's decision 722 00:38:37,480 --> 00:38:42,000 Speaker 3: by the DOJ and the unconstitutional federal cases against President 723 00:38:42,000 --> 00:38:45,319 Speaker 3: Trump and is a major victory for the rule of law. 724 00:38:48,640 --> 00:38:52,000 Speaker 2: You're listening to the Bloomberg Balance of Power podcast kens 725 00:38:52,120 --> 00:38:55,160 Speaker 2: just live weekdays at noon Eastern on Applecarplay and then 726 00:38:55,239 --> 00:38:57,839 Speaker 2: ron Oto with the Bloomberg Business App. You can also 727 00:38:57,920 --> 00:39:01,080 Speaker 2: listen live on Amazon Alecxa from our flagship New York 728 00:39:01,160 --> 00:39:04,479 Speaker 2: station Just Say Alexa, playing Bloomberg eleven thirty. 729 00:39:06,560 --> 00:39:10,160 Speaker 3: You're in Washington. We're getting this work week started after 730 00:39:10,200 --> 00:39:13,720 Speaker 3: what was a short weekend for many political journalists because 731 00:39:14,200 --> 00:39:17,080 Speaker 3: work went well into the night on Friday, as it 732 00:39:17,120 --> 00:39:19,840 Speaker 3: was Friday evening when the President elect Donald Trump decided 733 00:39:19,880 --> 00:39:23,440 Speaker 3: to dump a whole host of cabinet level nominations on us, 734 00:39:23,440 --> 00:39:26,960 Speaker 3: including that, as we've mentioned of Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent 735 00:39:27,080 --> 00:39:30,200 Speaker 3: tapped for that job, but we also got his selection 736 00:39:30,320 --> 00:39:33,880 Speaker 3: to be the next Secretary of Labor. The current congressman 737 00:39:33,920 --> 00:39:37,400 Speaker 3: Republican or congresswoman rather from Oregon, Lori Chavez de Riemer, 738 00:39:38,280 --> 00:39:42,000 Speaker 3: and her nomination is already getting some pushback, not from 739 00:39:42,040 --> 00:39:46,879 Speaker 3: Democrats as you might expect, but actually from Republicans, as 740 00:39:46,960 --> 00:39:51,120 Speaker 3: conservatives have some concern about her support for the pro 741 00:39:51,200 --> 00:39:53,279 Speaker 3: Act protecting the Right to organize. She was one of 742 00:39:53,360 --> 00:39:58,120 Speaker 3: just three Republican co sponsors of that legislation, and some 743 00:39:58,200 --> 00:39:59,960 Speaker 3: see that as a sign that she might be too 744 00:40:00,160 --> 00:40:04,279 Speaker 3: close to labor unions. So for more on this and 745 00:40:04,320 --> 00:40:07,360 Speaker 3: what it signals about the approach to unions this incoming 746 00:40:07,400 --> 00:40:11,120 Speaker 3: administration will be taken, we turn to SETH Harris back 747 00:40:11,160 --> 00:40:13,120 Speaker 3: with us here on balance of power. He of course, 748 00:40:13,480 --> 00:40:16,319 Speaker 3: was a top labor policy advisor to President Biden. He's 749 00:40:16,360 --> 00:40:18,440 Speaker 3: now a senior fellow at the Burn Center for social 750 00:40:18,520 --> 00:40:22,799 Speaker 3: Change at Northeastern University. Seth, Welcome back to the program. 751 00:40:23,760 --> 00:40:29,360 Speaker 3: I do wonder what you know of Shavez Dreamer, excuse me, 752 00:40:29,480 --> 00:40:33,360 Speaker 3: and how close to unions you really perceive her to be. 753 00:40:35,640 --> 00:40:38,719 Speaker 12: What I know about her is that she is a unicorn. 754 00:40:39,320 --> 00:40:43,200 Speaker 12: She is a genuine pro union Republican and we thought 755 00:40:43,200 --> 00:40:46,200 Speaker 12: they had all gone extinct, but here we found one 756 00:40:46,239 --> 00:40:49,960 Speaker 12: in nature or President Trump founder in nature. She had 757 00:40:50,040 --> 00:40:54,200 Speaker 12: support from several unions in her re election campaign, which 758 00:40:54,239 --> 00:40:59,480 Speaker 12: was unsuccessful. As you noted earlier, she is a sponsor 759 00:40:59,680 --> 00:41:02,719 Speaker 12: of co sponsor of the pro Act, which is the 760 00:41:02,880 --> 00:41:07,880 Speaker 12: private sector worker organizing legislation that has been pushed aggressively 761 00:41:07,920 --> 00:41:11,080 Speaker 12: by the labor movement, particularly the AFLCIO. She's also a 762 00:41:11,120 --> 00:41:16,680 Speaker 12: supporter of a very important public sector worker organizing piece 763 00:41:16,719 --> 00:41:20,560 Speaker 12: of legislation. So these are positions taken by only a 764 00:41:20,680 --> 00:41:26,000 Speaker 12: very very very small handful of Republicans in Congress, and 765 00:41:26,080 --> 00:41:29,800 Speaker 12: that's why she is facing some pushback from elements of 766 00:41:29,840 --> 00:41:32,839 Speaker 12: the business community and also from some Senate Republicans. 767 00:41:34,400 --> 00:41:36,759 Speaker 3: So if she's going to be confirmed by the Senate, 768 00:41:36,800 --> 00:41:39,680 Speaker 3: would you expect Actually most of that support comes from 769 00:41:40,320 --> 00:41:45,800 Speaker 3: Democrats instead of the majority Republicans, well. 770 00:41:45,760 --> 00:41:48,440 Speaker 12: The Senate Republican caucuses in a little bit of a 771 00:41:48,480 --> 00:41:52,000 Speaker 12: pickle with a congress Woman Chavez Durimer. They don't want 772 00:41:52,040 --> 00:41:56,080 Speaker 12: to vote no on one of President Trump's nominees, particularly 773 00:41:56,080 --> 00:42:00,080 Speaker 12: when there are several other nominees who are much more serious, 774 00:42:00,360 --> 00:42:04,840 Speaker 12: problematic than the congresswoman is. I won't name them, but 775 00:42:04,920 --> 00:42:08,600 Speaker 12: you know who I'm talking about. So the question is, 776 00:42:09,080 --> 00:42:14,480 Speaker 12: does the business community very aggressively oppose Congresswoman Chavez Dureimer 777 00:42:14,920 --> 00:42:18,040 Speaker 12: in her effort to become Labor Secretary. I expect that 778 00:42:18,120 --> 00:42:21,040 Speaker 12: she will get a large majority, if not all, of 779 00:42:21,080 --> 00:42:24,640 Speaker 12: the Democrats supporting her, because she is just about the 780 00:42:24,640 --> 00:42:28,040 Speaker 12: best candidate for Labor Secretary the Democrats could hope for. 781 00:42:28,880 --> 00:42:31,719 Speaker 12: I expect she will get a very sizeable percentage of 782 00:42:31,719 --> 00:42:35,560 Speaker 12: the Republican caucus simply because President Trump wants them to 783 00:42:35,680 --> 00:42:37,759 Speaker 12: vote for her, and they're going to have to save 784 00:42:37,800 --> 00:42:39,760 Speaker 12: their no votes for other cases. 785 00:42:41,080 --> 00:42:44,040 Speaker 3: Well, as we consider what the president elect wants. Seth 786 00:42:44,080 --> 00:42:46,480 Speaker 3: You of course have been on this program before, arguing 787 00:42:46,520 --> 00:42:49,040 Speaker 3: that he was not a very pro union president the 788 00:42:49,080 --> 00:42:52,840 Speaker 3: first time around, But does this selection suggest that this 789 00:42:53,000 --> 00:42:55,920 Speaker 3: second administration might actually be different? 790 00:42:58,239 --> 00:43:00,560 Speaker 12: I hope so, but I doubt it very much for 791 00:43:00,600 --> 00:43:03,880 Speaker 12: a number of reasons. First, President Trump has made pretty 792 00:43:03,880 --> 00:43:05,919 Speaker 12: clear he is not a fan of unions, and there's 793 00:43:05,920 --> 00:43:08,840 Speaker 12: a lot of people around him who are very aggressively 794 00:43:09,239 --> 00:43:11,680 Speaker 12: opposed to unions and would like to see the union 795 00:43:11,719 --> 00:43:16,680 Speaker 12: movement shrink or disappear. The second reason is that the 796 00:43:16,800 --> 00:43:20,400 Speaker 12: Labor Department is not the National Labor Relations Board. The 797 00:43:20,640 --> 00:43:24,440 Speaker 12: law that is made and the regulations that are promulgated 798 00:43:24,520 --> 00:43:27,160 Speaker 12: having to do with worker organizing and collective bargaining come 799 00:43:27,200 --> 00:43:30,520 Speaker 12: out of the National Labor Relations Board. The Labor Department 800 00:43:30,760 --> 00:43:35,760 Speaker 12: administers job training programs, enforces employment laws like the minimum 801 00:43:35,800 --> 00:43:39,200 Speaker 12: wage and overtime, but it really has nothing whatsoever to 802 00:43:39,239 --> 00:43:43,600 Speaker 12: do with union organizing and collective bargaining. And the third 803 00:43:43,640 --> 00:43:47,279 Speaker 12: reason is President Trump has already made abundantly clear that 804 00:43:47,360 --> 00:43:51,120 Speaker 12: he would like to eliminate or significantly reduce the size 805 00:43:51,120 --> 00:43:55,440 Speaker 12: of federal sector unions, the unions that represent federal employees. 806 00:43:55,719 --> 00:43:58,120 Speaker 12: I don't think that all of a sudden he's going 807 00:43:58,160 --> 00:44:01,719 Speaker 12: to become a union supporter in one sector and the 808 00:44:01,760 --> 00:44:05,719 Speaker 12: aggressive opponent of unions among the employees who are going 809 00:44:05,760 --> 00:44:08,120 Speaker 12: to be working for him. So I'd like to be 810 00:44:08,280 --> 00:44:11,000 Speaker 12: positive about this appointment. I think it is a good 811 00:44:11,080 --> 00:44:14,040 Speaker 12: thing that somebody who thinks about workers and thinks about 812 00:44:14,120 --> 00:44:17,279 Speaker 12: worker power will be sitting in the secretary's office at 813 00:44:17,280 --> 00:44:20,399 Speaker 12: the Labor Department. I didn't expect that, but I don't 814 00:44:20,400 --> 00:44:22,480 Speaker 12: think it means that President Trump all of a sudden 815 00:44:22,520 --> 00:44:23,480 Speaker 12: becomes Joe Biden. 816 00:44:25,600 --> 00:44:28,919 Speaker 3: Well, we also know that President Trump, or as when 817 00:44:28,920 --> 00:44:31,440 Speaker 3: he becomes the forty seventh president, there are a number 818 00:44:31,440 --> 00:44:33,760 Speaker 3: of things that he would like to pursue that would 819 00:44:33,800 --> 00:44:37,319 Speaker 3: impact labor supply in the United States, including the mass 820 00:44:37,400 --> 00:44:42,000 Speaker 3: deportations he's been talking about, which could create a shortage 821 00:44:42,040 --> 00:44:44,040 Speaker 3: in some sectors of workers. And I wonder if you 822 00:44:44,080 --> 00:44:47,520 Speaker 3: actually see that creating an environment in which unions and 823 00:44:47,560 --> 00:44:51,160 Speaker 3: collective bargaining could be able to exercise more power if 824 00:44:51,160 --> 00:44:55,480 Speaker 3: the supply of workers is reduced materially. 825 00:44:57,440 --> 00:45:01,440 Speaker 12: The mass deportation is is going to be tragic for 826 00:45:01,520 --> 00:45:04,200 Speaker 12: our country, and it's going to be catastrophic for our economy. 827 00:45:04,280 --> 00:45:06,440 Speaker 12: I don't think it helps the labor movement in the 828 00:45:06,560 --> 00:45:11,600 Speaker 12: least Organized labor works very closely with immigrant communities in 829 00:45:11,640 --> 00:45:16,520 Speaker 12: their organizing, in their outreach, and their advocacy. There's a 830 00:45:16,560 --> 00:45:21,440 Speaker 12: lot of evidence that some employers use immigration law to 831 00:45:21,600 --> 00:45:26,600 Speaker 12: bust union organizing drives. They call the immigration authorities when 832 00:45:26,760 --> 00:45:31,080 Speaker 12: there's any sense that workers who are undocumented and working 833 00:45:31,160 --> 00:45:35,640 Speaker 12: for those employers might be trying to organize. I fear 834 00:45:35,760 --> 00:45:38,920 Speaker 12: that that will return, and that we will see a 835 00:45:39,040 --> 00:45:44,280 Speaker 12: lot of union organizing sabotage in that way in certain sectors. 836 00:45:44,320 --> 00:45:48,440 Speaker 12: You have undocumented workers in some sectors, but not all sectors. 837 00:45:49,040 --> 00:45:50,799 Speaker 12: But I think it is going to put a lot 838 00:45:50,840 --> 00:45:53,120 Speaker 12: of fear into the hearts of a lot of workers 839 00:45:53,160 --> 00:45:57,080 Speaker 12: all across the country, not merely undocumented immigrants, but others 840 00:45:57,200 --> 00:46:02,600 Speaker 12: like DACA recipient and DOCA beneficiaries, and those who have 841 00:46:02,680 --> 00:46:06,160 Speaker 12: temporary protective status and those who have green cards even 842 00:46:06,200 --> 00:46:08,799 Speaker 12: are going to be very deeply fearful that they could 843 00:46:08,800 --> 00:46:11,920 Speaker 12: be sent out of the United States. So this is 844 00:46:11,960 --> 00:46:14,279 Speaker 12: not good, I think, for anyone, but I think it's 845 00:46:14,320 --> 00:46:16,839 Speaker 12: particularly bad for those workers who would like to see 846 00:46:17,040 --> 00:46:18,600 Speaker 12: more organizing. 847 00:46:19,880 --> 00:46:20,080 Speaker 9: Well. 848 00:46:20,120 --> 00:46:23,200 Speaker 3: And as we consider the potential secondary effects of some 849 00:46:23,239 --> 00:46:26,000 Speaker 3: other policies as well, like tariffs, for example, which could 850 00:46:26,080 --> 00:46:30,520 Speaker 3: raise obviously the cost of importing materials in supply into 851 00:46:30,600 --> 00:46:34,560 Speaker 3: the US, and that could hit ultimately the bottom line 852 00:46:34,600 --> 00:46:37,760 Speaker 3: for many companies I wonder then, how that filters into 853 00:46:37,760 --> 00:46:40,000 Speaker 3: the labor costs they are willing to tolerate. What what that 854 00:46:40,040 --> 00:46:42,560 Speaker 3: would mean for wages, especially if it also creates an 855 00:46:42,560 --> 00:46:46,120 Speaker 3: inflationary environment and workers would be looking for wages to 856 00:46:46,160 --> 00:46:48,880 Speaker 3: try to keep paced with that. How do you see 857 00:46:49,120 --> 00:46:53,600 Speaker 3: that potentially playing out as the way in which tariffs 858 00:46:53,640 --> 00:46:55,360 Speaker 3: ultimately translate to labor. 859 00:46:58,040 --> 00:47:01,680 Speaker 12: The logic of President Trump tariffs is that if you 860 00:47:01,920 --> 00:47:06,480 Speaker 12: build up high tax walls, tariffs are essentially taxes. If 861 00:47:06,520 --> 00:47:09,120 Speaker 12: you build up high tax walls to bringing goods into 862 00:47:09,120 --> 00:47:13,000 Speaker 12: the United States, then we will develop industries in the 863 00:47:13,120 --> 00:47:16,439 Speaker 12: United States to make those same goods, and they will 864 00:47:16,480 --> 00:47:21,360 Speaker 12: be comparatively advantaged. That's the logic, But it's so grossly 865 00:47:21,440 --> 00:47:24,799 Speaker 12: oversimplified that it's just not going to turn out that way. 866 00:47:24,840 --> 00:47:27,640 Speaker 12: First of all, a lot of industries have left the 867 00:47:27,760 --> 00:47:31,080 Speaker 12: United States because it's simply too expensive for them to 868 00:47:31,160 --> 00:47:34,040 Speaker 12: operate here. They don't want to pay a living wage 869 00:47:34,080 --> 00:47:37,160 Speaker 12: to American workers, they don't want to comply with American 870 00:47:37,280 --> 00:47:40,759 Speaker 12: environmental standards, they don't want to pay American taxes, and 871 00:47:40,800 --> 00:47:46,359 Speaker 12: so they have moved overseas. Those manufacturing facilities and other 872 00:47:46,440 --> 00:47:49,720 Speaker 12: kinds of facilities largely are not going to come back, 873 00:47:50,239 --> 00:47:53,400 Speaker 12: and even if they were to come back, it would 874 00:47:53,400 --> 00:47:57,279 Speaker 12: take years and years and years to engage in the 875 00:47:57,360 --> 00:48:00,959 Speaker 12: kind of industrial policy that would be required in order 876 00:48:01,000 --> 00:48:04,239 Speaker 12: to rebuild those industries in the United States. So the 877 00:48:04,480 --> 00:48:09,000 Speaker 12: likeliest content consequence of the tariffs will be much higher 878 00:48:09,040 --> 00:48:14,160 Speaker 12: prices for Americans for consumers, not merely with respect to 879 00:48:14,320 --> 00:48:17,640 Speaker 12: imported products, but also domestic products. The prices will go 880 00:48:17,800 --> 00:48:21,759 Speaker 12: up because they know American producers won't have to keep 881 00:48:21,760 --> 00:48:25,080 Speaker 12: their prices low. And also, I think a lot of 882 00:48:25,120 --> 00:48:27,880 Speaker 12: people are going to lose their jobs because what's important 883 00:48:27,880 --> 00:48:31,080 Speaker 12: into the United States is not all finished goods. Some 884 00:48:32,239 --> 00:48:35,360 Speaker 12: of the goods are inputs to products that are made 885 00:48:35,480 --> 00:48:38,080 Speaker 12: in the United States. And if you're building a car 886 00:48:38,200 --> 00:48:40,719 Speaker 12: and you can't get the part of the car that 887 00:48:40,800 --> 00:48:43,600 Speaker 12: you need that's coming in from another country, you can't 888 00:48:43,600 --> 00:48:46,080 Speaker 12: build cars. And that means that people are going to 889 00:48:46,120 --> 00:48:48,640 Speaker 12: lose their jobs. So this is going to be very, 890 00:48:48,920 --> 00:48:52,319 Speaker 12: very deeply disruptive. It is going to be very expensive, 891 00:48:52,520 --> 00:48:54,200 Speaker 12: and it's going to be bad for the economy and 892 00:48:54,239 --> 00:48:56,240 Speaker 12: workers well. 893 00:48:56,280 --> 00:48:59,000 Speaker 3: And of course a lot of these imports and inputs 894 00:48:59,040 --> 00:49:03,520 Speaker 3: into goods come first through ports, as they enter the 895 00:49:03,600 --> 00:49:06,680 Speaker 3: United States, which brings me to another question set the 896 00:49:06,760 --> 00:49:09,600 Speaker 3: dock workers strike here on the East Coast, that, of 897 00:49:09,640 --> 00:49:13,879 Speaker 3: course a deal was reached to put off until January fifteenth, 898 00:49:14,320 --> 00:49:18,880 Speaker 3: or suspend until then. That's just five days before President 899 00:49:18,920 --> 00:49:23,640 Speaker 3: Trump will be inaugurated. What exactly how difficult a union 900 00:49:23,719 --> 00:49:27,600 Speaker 3: negotiation could he be inheriting essentially from his first days 901 00:49:27,640 --> 00:49:28,720 Speaker 3: back in the Oval office. 902 00:49:30,280 --> 00:49:34,520 Speaker 12: Very very difficult. The biggest issue for the longshore workers 903 00:49:34,520 --> 00:49:38,239 Speaker 12: in their negotiations with the US Maritime Alliance, which is 904 00:49:38,320 --> 00:49:41,640 Speaker 12: the trade association of the East Coast and Gulf Coast ports, 905 00:49:42,239 --> 00:49:46,719 Speaker 12: was wages, and the union and management settled the wages issue. 906 00:49:47,120 --> 00:49:51,400 Speaker 12: But the other biggest and most important issue is automation. 907 00:49:51,680 --> 00:49:54,560 Speaker 12: What the union does not want to see happen is 908 00:49:54,680 --> 00:49:59,960 Speaker 12: for their members to be displaced by automation in the ports. 909 00:50:00,800 --> 00:50:03,800 Speaker 12: Of course, the employers would like to move to automation 910 00:50:04,000 --> 00:50:07,520 Speaker 12: because it's a lot cheaper and it allows them to 911 00:50:07,600 --> 00:50:11,160 Speaker 12: do what they're currently doing with many fewer workers. So 912 00:50:11,360 --> 00:50:15,359 Speaker 12: that is a big sticking point and it is deeply contentious. 913 00:50:15,640 --> 00:50:20,120 Speaker 12: The union and management have started negotiations a number of time, 914 00:50:20,600 --> 00:50:23,279 Speaker 12: number of times over the last several months, and then 915 00:50:23,320 --> 00:50:27,560 Speaker 12: they've stopped negotiations because they simply cannot make progress. So 916 00:50:27,640 --> 00:50:30,320 Speaker 12: I think the possibility of a strike is quite high. 917 00:50:30,680 --> 00:50:32,920 Speaker 12: I think that President Trump is going to face a 918 00:50:33,000 --> 00:50:34,239 Speaker 12: challenge when he gets sworn in. 919 00:50:35,760 --> 00:50:38,200 Speaker 3: All right, Seth Harris, thank you so much for joining me, 920 00:50:38,280 --> 00:50:40,640 Speaker 3: senior fellow at the Burn Center for Social Change at 921 00:50:40,719 --> 00:50:44,680 Speaker 3: Northeastern University and a former top labor policy advisor to 922 00:50:44,880 --> 00:50:47,560 Speaker 3: President Biden here with us on Balance of Power. 923 00:50:50,840 --> 00:50:53,279 Speaker 9: Thanks for listening to the Balance of Power podcast. 924 00:50:53,880 --> 00:50:57,560 Speaker 10: Make sure to subscribe if you haven't already, at Apple, Spotify. 925 00:50:57,120 --> 00:50:59,160 Speaker 5: Or wherever you get your podcasts, and 926 00:50:59,239 --> 00:51:01,839 Speaker 10: You can find us Life every weekday from Washington, DC 927 00:51:02,000 --> 00:51:04,800 Speaker 10: at noontime Eastern at Bloomberg dot com.