1 00:00:00,760 --> 00:00:03,720 Speaker 1: Hey, guys, ready or not, twenty twenty four is here, 2 00:00:03,880 --> 00:00:06,360 Speaker 1: and we here at breaking points, are already thinking of 3 00:00:06,400 --> 00:00:08,600 Speaker 1: ways we can up our game for this critical election. 4 00:00:08,800 --> 00:00:11,719 Speaker 2: We rely on our premium subs to expand coverage, upgrade 5 00:00:11,760 --> 00:00:15,720 Speaker 2: the studio ad staff give you, guys, the best independent. 6 00:00:15,160 --> 00:00:16,239 Speaker 3: Coverage that is possible. 7 00:00:16,280 --> 00:00:18,279 Speaker 2: If you like what we're all about, it just means 8 00:00:18,320 --> 00:00:20,799 Speaker 2: the absolute world to have your support. But enough with that, 9 00:00:21,040 --> 00:00:32,560 Speaker 2: let's get to the show. 10 00:00:36,880 --> 00:00:39,599 Speaker 3: Good morning, everybody, Happy Thursday. We have an amazing show 11 00:00:39,640 --> 00:00:40,960 Speaker 3: for everybody today. What do we have, Rissel? 12 00:00:41,040 --> 00:00:43,360 Speaker 1: Indeed, we do lots of big news breaking this morning. 13 00:00:43,680 --> 00:00:47,120 Speaker 1: First and foremost, the debt ceiling bill did pass through 14 00:00:47,120 --> 00:00:49,320 Speaker 1: the House of Representatives. We have all the numbers on 15 00:00:49,360 --> 00:00:52,120 Speaker 1: that and what happens next, and also some behind the 16 00:00:52,159 --> 00:00:54,640 Speaker 1: scenes and side deals cut and all the things you 17 00:00:54,720 --> 00:00:56,320 Speaker 1: need to know about that, so we'll break that down 18 00:00:56,360 --> 00:00:58,760 Speaker 1: for you. Also have some big updates on twenty twenty four. 19 00:00:58,880 --> 00:01:01,880 Speaker 1: A new entrant into the race next week, Mike Pence 20 00:01:02,000 --> 00:01:04,760 Speaker 1: going ahead and giving it his shot, so not a 21 00:01:04,800 --> 00:01:07,240 Speaker 1: big surprise, but still interesting. Lots to do over there 22 00:01:07,319 --> 00:01:11,399 Speaker 1: also a New York Times focus group for Biden. It 23 00:01:11,440 --> 00:01:13,520 Speaker 1: was Biden voters talking about how they feel about him. 24 00:01:13,840 --> 00:01:15,680 Speaker 1: That was bad for him, but in some ways even 25 00:01:15,720 --> 00:01:16,440 Speaker 1: worse for Trump. 26 00:01:16,520 --> 00:01:17,360 Speaker 3: It was bad for everybody. 27 00:01:17,440 --> 00:01:18,520 Speaker 4: It was not yeah, and it. 28 00:01:18,440 --> 00:01:20,760 Speaker 1: Painted a very dismal portrait, I'm sure one that you 29 00:01:20,840 --> 00:01:23,240 Speaker 1: probably can relate to of the state of American politics. 30 00:01:23,280 --> 00:01:25,160 Speaker 1: So we'll break that down for you as well. Also 31 00:01:25,240 --> 00:01:28,800 Speaker 1: new war of words between DeSantis and Trump. Some updates 32 00:01:28,840 --> 00:01:31,840 Speaker 1: on how American officials and other officials around the world 33 00:01:31,880 --> 00:01:35,680 Speaker 1: responded to those Ukrainian drone strikes within Russia. Obviously very 34 00:01:35,760 --> 00:01:38,560 Speaker 1: very dangerous situation, and some note were they comments from 35 00:01:38,680 --> 00:01:41,680 Speaker 1: Congresswoman Ilhan Omar that we will play for you as well. 36 00:01:41,840 --> 00:01:44,200 Speaker 2: It is our two year anniversary and honestly feels completely 37 00:01:44,280 --> 00:01:46,800 Speaker 2: surreal to the fact that we. I was just looking 38 00:01:46,840 --> 00:01:49,400 Speaker 2: back at our tweets from two years ago about launching 39 00:01:49,440 --> 00:01:52,120 Speaker 2: how excited we are were the Crystalisaga dot com, the 40 00:01:52,160 --> 00:01:53,120 Speaker 2: mailchimp we. 41 00:01:53,120 --> 00:01:54,880 Speaker 4: Have, ah, oh god, mailchimp. 42 00:01:54,920 --> 00:01:57,200 Speaker 2: We'll save all of this. The very last segment of 43 00:01:57,240 --> 00:01:58,920 Speaker 2: the show today will be reflecting. We have a fun 44 00:01:58,960 --> 00:01:59,680 Speaker 2: highlight reel with the. 45 00:01:59,680 --> 00:02:01,280 Speaker 3: Producer and all them put together. 46 00:02:01,280 --> 00:02:02,760 Speaker 2: But I want to give a special shout out to 47 00:02:02,800 --> 00:02:05,920 Speaker 2: Scarlett Murray. She was the first premium subscriber that we got. 48 00:02:06,000 --> 00:02:10,120 Speaker 2: Scarlet is particularly impressive because she somehow was able to 49 00:02:10,120 --> 00:02:11,799 Speaker 2: sign up before anybody else did. 50 00:02:11,880 --> 00:02:13,120 Speaker 3: Yeah, wee hours before. 51 00:02:13,160 --> 00:02:15,680 Speaker 4: We hadn't even announced, like we didn't exit or anything. 52 00:02:18,680 --> 00:02:20,920 Speaker 3: Scarlet. I don't know how you did it, but you 53 00:02:20,960 --> 00:02:21,680 Speaker 3: did figure it out. 54 00:02:21,680 --> 00:02:23,360 Speaker 2: So I just want to say thank you to you, 55 00:02:23,440 --> 00:02:27,520 Speaker 2: and also to Christine McConnell, one of our lifetime members 56 00:02:27,560 --> 00:02:31,000 Speaker 2: who has been more than generous. She absolutely deserves a 57 00:02:31,040 --> 00:02:33,280 Speaker 2: special shout out from us here today. But really it's 58 00:02:33,320 --> 00:02:36,400 Speaker 2: not just obviously without him, it's all of you. I mean, 59 00:02:36,400 --> 00:02:39,800 Speaker 2: who signed up and backed us from the beginning exactly 60 00:02:40,000 --> 00:02:42,040 Speaker 2: two years ago. So many of you were so excited 61 00:02:42,080 --> 00:02:44,120 Speaker 2: about the show, and I only hope that we've been 62 00:02:44,160 --> 00:02:46,280 Speaker 2: able to deliver on some of that promise. And we're 63 00:02:46,320 --> 00:02:48,760 Speaker 2: just getting started. It's a very last day here at 64 00:02:48,760 --> 00:02:51,359 Speaker 2: the desk again. We'll save all of our sappy reflections, 65 00:02:51,480 --> 00:02:52,120 Speaker 2: yeah for the end. 66 00:02:52,200 --> 00:02:56,480 Speaker 1: That part feels very surreal though, Like I don't actually 67 00:02:56,520 --> 00:02:58,560 Speaker 1: believe that it's real that this is our last time 68 00:02:58,639 --> 00:03:00,840 Speaker 1: on this set, with this desk. Goodbye to the brick, 69 00:03:01,320 --> 00:03:03,720 Speaker 1: bye to the you know, the very special desk to 70 00:03:03,760 --> 00:03:08,720 Speaker 1: the desk, very special, veryci custom made desk, all the 71 00:03:08,760 --> 00:03:09,200 Speaker 1: debt core. 72 00:03:09,440 --> 00:03:11,720 Speaker 3: Some of it will make the transition, but I am. 73 00:03:11,840 --> 00:03:15,160 Speaker 1: Super excited about the news said, it's a huge investment 74 00:03:15,200 --> 00:03:17,000 Speaker 1: for us. So yeah, we'll save some of that for 75 00:03:17,040 --> 00:03:18,799 Speaker 1: the end of the show. We've got our producers to 76 00:03:18,840 --> 00:03:20,960 Speaker 1: put together a little reflection that we actually haven't even 77 00:03:21,000 --> 00:03:23,880 Speaker 1: seen yet, So excited to watch that as well. But 78 00:03:24,639 --> 00:03:27,079 Speaker 1: let's go and get into the news this morning. As 79 00:03:27,120 --> 00:03:30,920 Speaker 1: I mentioned before, Kevin McCarthy able to successfully shepherd that 80 00:03:31,000 --> 00:03:33,640 Speaker 1: debt ceiling bill, that compromise deal that was struck with 81 00:03:33,720 --> 00:03:36,560 Speaker 1: the White House through the House of Representatives, in spite 82 00:03:36,560 --> 00:03:40,720 Speaker 1: of some vociferous operation opposition from within his own caucus. 83 00:03:41,040 --> 00:03:43,280 Speaker 1: Let's go and put the final vote here up on 84 00:03:43,320 --> 00:03:45,160 Speaker 1: the screen. There's a couple of things that are noteworthy here. 85 00:03:45,320 --> 00:03:47,320 Speaker 1: First of all, the House passed the debt ceiling feel 86 00:03:47,360 --> 00:03:50,120 Speaker 1: three fourteen to one seventeen, not close at all. In 87 00:03:50,160 --> 00:03:53,160 Speaker 1: the end, getting over three hundred votes for passage is 88 00:03:53,200 --> 00:03:56,680 Speaker 1: an impressive feat. The one note here though, for McCarthy, 89 00:03:56,840 --> 00:04:00,520 Speaker 1: is you actually had more Republican opposition than you had 90 00:04:00,680 --> 00:04:04,840 Speaker 1: Democrats seventy one Republicans voted against the measure, and only 91 00:04:04,880 --> 00:04:09,400 Speaker 1: forty six Democrats voted in opposition, so he, in particular 92 00:04:09,440 --> 00:04:12,960 Speaker 1: Soccer needed Democratic votes to get passed to pass the 93 00:04:13,080 --> 00:04:15,520 Speaker 1: rule that would bring this thing to the floor. There 94 00:04:15,560 --> 00:04:17,320 Speaker 1: was some reporting, I'll get to this in a minute, 95 00:04:17,360 --> 00:04:20,599 Speaker 1: that he actually cut a side deal with Hikeem Jefferies 96 00:04:21,040 --> 00:04:24,040 Speaker 1: in order to get the Democrats that they needed. 97 00:04:23,720 --> 00:04:26,320 Speaker 4: To be able to get the rule to pass. So 98 00:04:26,640 --> 00:04:27,120 Speaker 4: we don't know. 99 00:04:27,279 --> 00:04:29,760 Speaker 1: This is like one of those backroom deals. Nobody actually 100 00:04:29,839 --> 00:04:32,320 Speaker 1: knows what was in it. They're actually denying that it happened. 101 00:04:32,320 --> 00:04:34,400 Speaker 1: But we'll put that aside for a moment. Let's get 102 00:04:34,400 --> 00:04:37,600 Speaker 1: a little bit more detail about who were the opponents 103 00:04:37,680 --> 00:04:40,200 Speaker 1: of the debt sealing bill within the Republican caucus. It 104 00:04:40,240 --> 00:04:42,400 Speaker 1: can put this next piece up on the screen. This 105 00:04:42,480 --> 00:04:45,000 Speaker 1: is from our friend Kyle Condick. He notes that there 106 00:04:45,000 --> 00:04:47,640 Speaker 1: were twenty one House Republicans who did not support McCarthy 107 00:04:47,680 --> 00:04:50,000 Speaker 1: on every speaker vote back in January. For the New 108 00:04:50,080 --> 00:04:52,840 Speaker 1: York Times tracker of the debt sealing vote, twenty of 109 00:04:52,880 --> 00:04:56,640 Speaker 1: the twenty one were no on the deal. So all 110 00:04:56,720 --> 00:05:00,480 Speaker 1: of his opponents in terms of the speakership, anybody who 111 00:05:00,520 --> 00:05:02,640 Speaker 1: put up any resistance to him being speaker. They all 112 00:05:02,720 --> 00:05:05,599 Speaker 1: voted against the deal. Lauren Bobert apparently missed the vote, 113 00:05:05,640 --> 00:05:07,599 Speaker 1: so she probably would have voted. I know for a 114 00:05:07,600 --> 00:05:09,240 Speaker 1: fact she would have vote. Know, that's what she said 115 00:05:09,279 --> 00:05:12,240 Speaker 1: publicly if she hadn't inexplicably missed the vote. 116 00:05:12,240 --> 00:05:12,800 Speaker 4: But whatever. 117 00:05:12,920 --> 00:05:17,279 Speaker 1: So most of the opposition for this really came from 118 00:05:17,320 --> 00:05:20,359 Speaker 1: that sort of hardcore group freedom Caucus members. We played 119 00:05:20,360 --> 00:05:22,200 Speaker 1: you yesterday with Emily, We played you some of the 120 00:05:22,200 --> 00:05:25,400 Speaker 1: comments from Dan Bishop chip Roy. They seemed to be 121 00:05:25,800 --> 00:05:29,320 Speaker 1: genuinely upset about the way that this all went down. 122 00:05:29,720 --> 00:05:31,760 Speaker 4: But you know, at the end of the day. 123 00:05:31,880 --> 00:05:35,440 Speaker 1: Most of the caucus remained with McCarthy and was able 124 00:05:35,480 --> 00:05:37,920 Speaker 1: to get you know, he got a majority of Republican votes, 125 00:05:37,960 --> 00:05:40,159 Speaker 1: more than a majority of Republican votes on the final 126 00:05:40,240 --> 00:05:42,920 Speaker 1: vote through. And I think there were a couple pieces here, 127 00:05:43,000 --> 00:05:46,400 Speaker 1: Sager Number one. If they voted down this deal, there 128 00:05:46,480 --> 00:05:49,800 Speaker 1: was no plan B. So then you're actually facing like, Okay, 129 00:05:49,800 --> 00:05:52,560 Speaker 1: we're actually going over the cliff, and you have some 130 00:05:52,800 --> 00:05:55,080 Speaker 1: part of the caucus that's like, hell, yeah, let's do it. 131 00:05:55,320 --> 00:05:57,120 Speaker 1: But I think the majority of them were like that's 132 00:05:57,160 --> 00:05:59,560 Speaker 1: a little bit much for me, including McCarthy, and then 133 00:05:59,600 --> 00:06:03,320 Speaker 1: the other pie, says Jim Jordan, who obviously very respected 134 00:06:03,320 --> 00:06:06,080 Speaker 1: among a lot of the sort of hard right, especially 135 00:06:06,080 --> 00:06:09,800 Speaker 1: fiscal hard right conservatives. You know, he's anxious to get 136 00:06:09,800 --> 00:06:12,480 Speaker 1: on with his like weaponization of government stuff and Hunter 137 00:06:12,520 --> 00:06:15,320 Speaker 1: Biden's stuff and wants to lean more into that as 138 00:06:15,320 --> 00:06:18,360 Speaker 1: we head into election season. We're already an election season 139 00:06:18,760 --> 00:06:20,839 Speaker 1: than this, like tussling over the dut ceiling. 140 00:06:21,040 --> 00:06:23,599 Speaker 2: Well, I will say, procedurally, this is a nightmare because 141 00:06:23,720 --> 00:06:26,080 Speaker 2: the fact is is that, as Kyle Condack points out, 142 00:06:26,120 --> 00:06:28,520 Speaker 2: if you have twenty of those twenty one who voted 143 00:06:28,520 --> 00:06:32,440 Speaker 2: against McCarthy in the first place, their entire reason for 144 00:06:32,520 --> 00:06:35,000 Speaker 2: why they caved and ended up allowing McCarthy to be 145 00:06:35,040 --> 00:06:37,560 Speaker 2: the speaker was we got concession so that we can 146 00:06:37,600 --> 00:06:38,320 Speaker 2: get what we want. 147 00:06:38,640 --> 00:06:41,719 Speaker 3: Well, no, you didn't. You actually all just got humiliated. 148 00:06:41,160 --> 00:06:43,840 Speaker 2: And like you know, they were guaranteed all these so 149 00:06:43,960 --> 00:06:47,280 Speaker 2: called procedural things like the rules committee or you know, 150 00:06:47,360 --> 00:06:48,640 Speaker 2: the emotion to vacate and all this. 151 00:06:48,680 --> 00:06:50,560 Speaker 3: So well they haven't done a motion to vacate yet. 152 00:06:50,600 --> 00:06:53,400 Speaker 2: We'll see, I've only seen one member or maybe one 153 00:06:53,480 --> 00:06:55,680 Speaker 2: or two actually even float. It doesn't seem to be 154 00:06:55,680 --> 00:06:58,080 Speaker 2: a real idea. I mean, the truth is actually kind 155 00:06:58,080 --> 00:06:59,400 Speaker 2: of what I said at the time. I'm like the fact, 156 00:06:59,480 --> 00:07:01,159 Speaker 2: when you vote for him, it's like he's a speaker 157 00:07:01,200 --> 00:07:03,800 Speaker 2: now and he's in control, and now, really the gauntlet 158 00:07:03,800 --> 00:07:04,279 Speaker 2: has thrown to you. 159 00:07:04,320 --> 00:07:06,240 Speaker 3: Are you really going to do something about it? I 160 00:07:06,240 --> 00:07:06,719 Speaker 3: don't think so. 161 00:07:06,800 --> 00:07:10,640 Speaker 2: I mean they seem upset, but they told their base 162 00:07:10,800 --> 00:07:14,040 Speaker 2: and the Freedom Caucus guys and all these other Republicans 163 00:07:14,040 --> 00:07:16,800 Speaker 2: who didn't like McCarthy, don't worry. We have all these 164 00:07:16,800 --> 00:07:18,960 Speaker 2: things inside of the deal that can make sure that 165 00:07:19,000 --> 00:07:21,680 Speaker 2: we have all this leverage and controls. Like, well, not really, 166 00:07:21,680 --> 00:07:23,520 Speaker 2: because every single one of you voted against the deal 167 00:07:23,560 --> 00:07:25,680 Speaker 2: and it's still passed. So then how exactly did you 168 00:07:25,680 --> 00:07:27,720 Speaker 2: get it done? Like you gave away the store and 169 00:07:27,760 --> 00:07:30,200 Speaker 2: he didn't McCarthy. I got to give the guy credit. 170 00:07:30,240 --> 00:07:32,200 Speaker 2: He actually ended up giving way less of it away 171 00:07:32,480 --> 00:07:35,000 Speaker 2: than it appeared on paper, or he was able to 172 00:07:35,000 --> 00:07:36,520 Speaker 2: maneuver them very expertly. 173 00:07:36,640 --> 00:07:38,280 Speaker 3: Either works, I guess. 174 00:07:38,440 --> 00:07:41,520 Speaker 1: Yeah. Well, I mean it's kind of weird because they'll 175 00:07:41,520 --> 00:07:43,560 Speaker 1: send on a tweet like Dan Bishop or whoever, we'll 176 00:07:43,560 --> 00:07:46,880 Speaker 1: send on a tweet that's like we agreed that it 177 00:07:47,040 --> 00:07:49,440 Speaker 1: has to be a unanimous vote in the Rules committee, 178 00:07:49,440 --> 00:07:51,679 Speaker 1: and it's like, well, maybe you did, and maybe you didn't. 179 00:07:51,680 --> 00:07:53,440 Speaker 1: You don't have it on paper. None of this was 180 00:07:53,480 --> 00:07:54,320 Speaker 1: disclosed publicly. 181 00:07:54,360 --> 00:07:56,080 Speaker 3: That's why didn't you write it down then? 182 00:07:56,200 --> 00:07:57,720 Speaker 4: And there were other things like that too. 183 00:07:57,800 --> 00:07:59,760 Speaker 1: That was like they said, we were going to have, 184 00:07:59,840 --> 00:08:02,360 Speaker 1: you know, it had to be more Republicans and Democrats 185 00:08:02,440 --> 00:08:04,280 Speaker 1: voting for the bill for something to be brought to 186 00:08:04,320 --> 00:08:06,360 Speaker 1: the floor. First of all, that doesn't even make any 187 00:08:06,440 --> 00:08:08,800 Speaker 1: sense because how are you going to block a vote 188 00:08:09,120 --> 00:08:12,360 Speaker 1: from happening based on the vote that's going to have it? Like, 189 00:08:12,400 --> 00:08:15,200 Speaker 1: that's not even logical. But maybe there was some sort 190 00:08:15,200 --> 00:08:17,920 Speaker 1: of a handshake agreement, and again maybe there wasn't. But 191 00:08:18,000 --> 00:08:20,080 Speaker 1: guess what, the public didn't know about it. It wasn't 192 00:08:20,120 --> 00:08:22,240 Speaker 1: written on paper, so at the end of the day 193 00:08:22,320 --> 00:08:24,800 Speaker 1: it proved to be worthless. One thing I was asking 194 00:08:24,840 --> 00:08:27,520 Speaker 1: Emily about, because you know, she's like well sourced and 195 00:08:27,560 --> 00:08:29,360 Speaker 1: hazard finger on the pulse of some of this stuff 196 00:08:29,480 --> 00:08:33,080 Speaker 1: is how much of their upset is this genuine sense 197 00:08:33,120 --> 00:08:36,359 Speaker 1: of betrayal and how much of it is them posturing 198 00:08:36,360 --> 00:08:39,640 Speaker 1: for their own base that wants to see them, you know, 199 00:08:40,000 --> 00:08:42,720 Speaker 1: play acting that they're upset and they're fighting, and they're 200 00:08:42,720 --> 00:08:45,480 Speaker 1: standing up against leadership, et cetera. That's a real open 201 00:08:45,559 --> 00:08:47,760 Speaker 1: question to me. I would say the fact that you 202 00:08:47,920 --> 00:08:50,680 Speaker 1: only have a couple of them, one or two maybe 203 00:08:50,720 --> 00:08:54,160 Speaker 1: seriously floating the idea of getting rid of McCarthy for speaker, 204 00:08:54,640 --> 00:08:56,760 Speaker 1: I think that kind of reveals that some of this, 205 00:08:56,840 --> 00:09:00,240 Speaker 1: from their perspective too, is a bit of posturing, is 206 00:09:00,280 --> 00:09:03,319 Speaker 1: a bit of theater, because if they genuinely saw this 207 00:09:03,440 --> 00:09:06,600 Speaker 1: as the betrayal that they're portraying it as to, you know, 208 00:09:06,679 --> 00:09:09,520 Speaker 1: to their audience and their base, then I think they 209 00:09:09,520 --> 00:09:11,360 Speaker 1: would be more seriously contemplating those. 210 00:09:11,200 --> 00:09:11,920 Speaker 3: Oh, I think you're right. 211 00:09:12,000 --> 00:09:12,160 Speaker 1: Yeah. 212 00:09:12,200 --> 00:09:14,120 Speaker 2: I mean, look, life is a stage, right, I mean 213 00:09:14,200 --> 00:09:16,160 Speaker 2: this is especially politics, it's all theater. 214 00:09:16,320 --> 00:09:18,720 Speaker 3: Yeah. Yeah, they're like a whole complaining and all. It's like, well, 215 00:09:18,760 --> 00:09:21,520 Speaker 3: then you guys, look objectively, you absolutely lost. 216 00:09:21,559 --> 00:09:23,920 Speaker 2: There's no app there's no way to look at it 217 00:09:24,240 --> 00:09:27,600 Speaker 2: and say that you didn't lose in terms of not 218 00:09:27,640 --> 00:09:30,120 Speaker 2: even in terms of spending. They literally expanded the food 219 00:09:30,160 --> 00:09:32,400 Speaker 2: stamp program. Like, if you're one of those people, that's 220 00:09:32,400 --> 00:09:35,120 Speaker 2: like a nightmare, how can you possibly say that that 221 00:09:35,160 --> 00:09:38,199 Speaker 2: didn't work out? And then procedurally, none of the so 222 00:09:38,280 --> 00:09:41,920 Speaker 2: called backstops that were supposed to ensure your veto power 223 00:09:42,400 --> 00:09:45,079 Speaker 2: ended up existing. So now it's in the chamber of 224 00:09:45,120 --> 00:09:47,079 Speaker 2: the Senate, we'll see. I mean it looks like it's 225 00:09:47,400 --> 00:09:48,800 Speaker 2: I wouldn't say easily going to pass. 226 00:09:48,960 --> 00:09:51,400 Speaker 1: Yeah, but I think it's I think the action was 227 00:09:51,480 --> 00:09:55,120 Speaker 1: mostly on the House side, exactly. You know, obviously the 228 00:09:55,160 --> 00:09:58,600 Speaker 1: Senate is in Democratic control. Uh so you will have 229 00:09:58,640 --> 00:10:02,360 Speaker 1: more Democrats who are willing, I think, to vote for 230 00:10:02,440 --> 00:10:04,560 Speaker 1: it there than even in the House, just because of 231 00:10:04,640 --> 00:10:08,040 Speaker 1: like partisan weird reasons. But John Thunne had very confidently 232 00:10:08,080 --> 00:10:10,480 Speaker 1: stated that they had more than enough Republicans to get 233 00:10:10,480 --> 00:10:13,920 Speaker 1: to that sixty vote threshold as well. Just one other 234 00:10:14,000 --> 00:10:16,360 Speaker 1: note on kind of the politics of this. You can 235 00:10:16,400 --> 00:10:19,960 Speaker 1: see the way that you know, different ideological factions are 236 00:10:20,040 --> 00:10:22,640 Speaker 1: viewing this debt ceiling vote. A lot of the Democratic 237 00:10:22,720 --> 00:10:26,120 Speaker 1: knows were from the progressive side. In the California Senate race, 238 00:10:26,160 --> 00:10:28,679 Speaker 1: you know, you have three contenders. You got Adam Schiff, 239 00:10:29,200 --> 00:10:32,360 Speaker 1: Nancy Pelosi's handpicked choice, so she's trying to like make 240 00:10:32,400 --> 00:10:34,120 Speaker 1: sure Jerry rig him in. 241 00:10:34,559 --> 00:10:35,720 Speaker 4: He voted for the deal. 242 00:10:35,880 --> 00:10:38,120 Speaker 1: He's considered to be you know, more of a centrist, 243 00:10:38,240 --> 00:10:44,280 Speaker 1: certainly very pro establishment, pro the Democratic powers, that being 244 00:10:44,360 --> 00:10:45,520 Speaker 1: Nancy Pelosi, Joe Biden, etc. 245 00:10:45,720 --> 00:10:46,760 Speaker 4: So he votes for the deal. 246 00:10:47,040 --> 00:10:49,199 Speaker 1: The other two who are more progressive, Barber Lee and 247 00:10:49,280 --> 00:10:50,800 Speaker 1: Katie Porter, they vote against the deal. 248 00:10:50,840 --> 00:10:52,240 Speaker 4: So that's interesting on that side. 249 00:10:52,360 --> 00:10:54,600 Speaker 1: Put the next element up on the screen in terms 250 00:10:54,679 --> 00:10:58,120 Speaker 1: of Republicans how they were viewing this. Ten Republicans rated 251 00:10:58,200 --> 00:11:01,640 Speaker 1: as toss ups. So these are Republicans in actual swing districts. 252 00:11:02,600 --> 00:11:04,080 Speaker 4: They all voted. 253 00:11:03,760 --> 00:11:06,640 Speaker 1: For the debt sealing except for one, though, he George Santos, 254 00:11:06,960 --> 00:11:09,199 Speaker 1: who you know, I don't know that you'd really call 255 00:11:09,280 --> 00:11:11,240 Speaker 1: his thing a toss up at this point, given that 256 00:11:11,280 --> 00:11:15,040 Speaker 1: he's been criminally indicted, and I think his prospects look 257 00:11:15,160 --> 00:11:17,520 Speaker 1: a little bit dim. So he's doing whatever he feels 258 00:11:17,559 --> 00:11:20,440 Speaker 1: in the moment without any concern for the politics of it. 259 00:11:20,520 --> 00:11:24,480 Speaker 1: But so that's the way that different ideological factions were 260 00:11:24,679 --> 00:11:27,760 Speaker 1: viewing this vote. One other piece that we wanted to 261 00:11:27,760 --> 00:11:31,560 Speaker 1: share with you here is about the potential side deal 262 00:11:31,600 --> 00:11:35,240 Speaker 1: that was cut between Hakeem Jeffries and Kevin McCarthy. Put 263 00:11:35,280 --> 00:11:38,880 Speaker 1: this up on the screen. They say, these their offices 264 00:11:38,920 --> 00:11:41,440 Speaker 1: both deny that there was any deal to save the 265 00:11:41,480 --> 00:11:46,640 Speaker 1: debt ceiling, but there was reporting suggesting for Democratic lawmakers 266 00:11:46,679 --> 00:11:48,600 Speaker 1: said they had been told of a deal to saying 267 00:11:48,640 --> 00:11:51,079 Speaker 1: they believed it involved boosting federal funding for projects and 268 00:11:51,160 --> 00:11:54,679 Speaker 1: Democrats districts, known as earmarks or community project funding. If 269 00:11:54,720 --> 00:11:57,880 Speaker 1: Democrats voted to advance the bill, that was that rules 270 00:11:57,960 --> 00:12:01,120 Speaker 1: vote that McCarthy ended up needing to lie on Democrats 271 00:12:01,160 --> 00:12:03,520 Speaker 1: to get across the finish line. So, I mean, I 272 00:12:03,520 --> 00:12:05,400 Speaker 1: would think it was more likely than not than some 273 00:12:05,520 --> 00:12:07,760 Speaker 1: kind of deal was cut there with regard to earmarks 274 00:12:07,800 --> 00:12:10,640 Speaker 1: or something else, which I think just underscores, you know, 275 00:12:10,760 --> 00:12:13,880 Speaker 1: part of what has been complicated with regard to the 276 00:12:13,960 --> 00:12:17,040 Speaker 1: actual deal that was cut in terms of as an 277 00:12:17,080 --> 00:12:20,760 Speaker 1: analyst trying to explain what exactly is in it. Some 278 00:12:20,840 --> 00:12:22,839 Speaker 1: of the deal is in the text of what they 279 00:12:23,000 --> 00:12:25,880 Speaker 1: just passed, and some of it was these agreements that 280 00:12:26,000 --> 00:12:30,120 Speaker 1: have to do within the future, these budget you basically 281 00:12:30,120 --> 00:12:34,640 Speaker 1: call them gimmicks that the Republicans agreed to pass that 282 00:12:34,720 --> 00:12:37,800 Speaker 1: would help lift some of the domestic social safety net 283 00:12:37,880 --> 00:12:41,920 Speaker 1: spending that is on its face cut in these deals. 284 00:12:41,960 --> 00:12:44,400 Speaker 1: And so it has been a little complex to wrap 285 00:12:44,440 --> 00:12:46,320 Speaker 1: your arms around exactly what's in this deal. 286 00:12:46,600 --> 00:12:46,839 Speaker 3: I mean. 287 00:12:46,880 --> 00:12:49,520 Speaker 1: Another area where there's a lot of conflicting information is 288 00:12:49,559 --> 00:12:52,160 Speaker 1: on how dract Cody and the cuts to the IRAS are. 289 00:12:52,520 --> 00:12:53,400 Speaker 4: This obviously is a. 290 00:12:53,440 --> 00:12:57,079 Speaker 1: Huge Republican priority. The cut that passed in this bill 291 00:12:57,200 --> 00:12:59,840 Speaker 1: was relatively slim. It was one billion dollars. But again 292 00:13:00,120 --> 00:13:02,400 Speaker 1: there's reporting that there's this sort of side agreement that 293 00:13:02,480 --> 00:13:04,880 Speaker 1: is actually going to be twenty billion dollars. But then 294 00:13:04,920 --> 00:13:07,319 Speaker 1: again the White House is saying, don't worry, we can 295 00:13:07,360 --> 00:13:09,120 Speaker 1: backfill that. So it's actually not going to make that 296 00:13:09,200 --> 00:13:11,959 Speaker 1: much of a difference. So it makes it very challenging 297 00:13:12,200 --> 00:13:16,160 Speaker 1: to actually analyze what was past, what it means, and 298 00:13:16,200 --> 00:13:16,800 Speaker 1: what's going to happen. 299 00:13:16,920 --> 00:13:18,880 Speaker 2: Yeah, on the IRS piece, I actually did a lot 300 00:13:18,880 --> 00:13:22,440 Speaker 2: of digging in. Yeah, if basically they failed completely. What 301 00:13:22,480 --> 00:13:25,120 Speaker 2: they wanted to do was to claw back the current 302 00:13:25,360 --> 00:13:29,520 Speaker 2: initial ability of the IRS to expand. Instead, what they 303 00:13:29,559 --> 00:13:33,319 Speaker 2: did is an overall cut which will take place theoretically 304 00:13:33,600 --> 00:13:36,560 Speaker 2: sometime in the future. The twenty billion to what you're referencing, 305 00:13:36,600 --> 00:13:39,200 Speaker 2: we already did money more or multiples of that. This 306 00:13:39,240 --> 00:13:42,640 Speaker 2: will not impact IRS current operating capacity at all. 307 00:13:42,720 --> 00:13:44,040 Speaker 3: It also does not include. 308 00:13:43,720 --> 00:13:45,400 Speaker 2: Any of the provisions which they talked a big game 309 00:13:45,440 --> 00:13:48,480 Speaker 2: about about making sure that they don't go after anybody 310 00:13:48,480 --> 00:13:50,120 Speaker 2: who is you know, less than two hundred and fifty 311 00:13:50,120 --> 00:13:52,880 Speaker 2: thousand dollars, which in my opinion should be in there ironclad. 312 00:13:52,920 --> 00:13:56,000 Speaker 2: Given the behavior of the IRS, it theoretically cuts it 313 00:13:56,240 --> 00:13:59,080 Speaker 2: in the future, which I mean, as you and I know, Crystal, 314 00:13:59,280 --> 00:14:02,520 Speaker 2: what is stop the government from just backfilling that the 315 00:14:02,559 --> 00:14:04,560 Speaker 2: next time the Democrats have control. Yeah, you're just going 316 00:14:04,640 --> 00:14:06,920 Speaker 2: to do that plus probably times ten, and then we'll 317 00:14:06,920 --> 00:14:09,280 Speaker 2: have a fake game where we calw back like two years. 318 00:14:09,320 --> 00:14:12,160 Speaker 3: It's all bs. Yeah, that's why this whole deal, this 319 00:14:12,200 --> 00:14:14,960 Speaker 3: whole deal to me is just nonsense, Like it's nonsense 320 00:14:15,160 --> 00:14:15,880 Speaker 3: on a space. I guess. 321 00:14:15,880 --> 00:14:18,240 Speaker 2: The only people got taken care of are the Pentagon, 322 00:14:18,840 --> 00:14:19,680 Speaker 2: the Government. 323 00:14:19,320 --> 00:14:21,600 Speaker 4: Of Ukraine, always always the. 324 00:14:21,560 --> 00:14:24,600 Speaker 2: Pentagon, the Government of Ukraine, and then the rest of us. 325 00:14:25,680 --> 00:14:27,720 Speaker 2: Almost none of our lives are going to change, yeah. 326 00:14:27,520 --> 00:14:30,080 Speaker 1: I mean, yeah, just to zoom out to the big 327 00:14:30,120 --> 00:14:32,120 Speaker 1: picture here, because it can get lost in some of 328 00:14:32,120 --> 00:14:34,680 Speaker 1: the details talking about how is our IRS funding work 329 00:14:34,720 --> 00:14:37,160 Speaker 1: and how's this going to go with the budget appropriation process. 330 00:14:37,800 --> 00:14:39,520 Speaker 1: The fact that we are in this place at all 331 00:14:39,800 --> 00:14:43,360 Speaker 1: is just absurd, I mean, especially in some ways especially 332 00:14:43,400 --> 00:14:46,320 Speaker 1: because they ended up not getting really anything work. 333 00:14:46,440 --> 00:14:48,040 Speaker 3: That's my key then what they could have. 334 00:14:48,080 --> 00:14:52,280 Speaker 1: Gotten through a normal, non hostage taking situation where you 335 00:14:52,360 --> 00:14:56,400 Speaker 1: aren't threatening the entire global financial system and threatening by 336 00:14:56,440 --> 00:14:59,040 Speaker 1: the way, like you know, if we defaulted, then you're 337 00:14:59,040 --> 00:15:01,880 Speaker 1: having a way. Okay, seniors get paid, do veterans get paid? 338 00:15:01,920 --> 00:15:04,120 Speaker 1: Do bondholders get paid? What does this all look like? 339 00:15:04,400 --> 00:15:05,920 Speaker 1: I mean, all of this was on the line. This 340 00:15:05,960 --> 00:15:07,480 Speaker 1: is not a joke and it's not a gain you're 341 00:15:07,520 --> 00:15:09,600 Speaker 1: talking at. You're playing with millions of people's lives and 342 00:15:09,680 --> 00:15:14,720 Speaker 1: jobs and their basic security, so that in the end 343 00:15:15,040 --> 00:15:17,640 Speaker 1: it ends up as this sort of just like pathetic, 344 00:15:17,680 --> 00:15:19,760 Speaker 1: confusing mishmash is. 345 00:15:19,960 --> 00:15:22,800 Speaker 4: It's insulting. I think the Biden White House there. 346 00:15:22,680 --> 00:15:24,760 Speaker 1: Was a lot of celebration of like, oh, the deal 347 00:15:24,800 --> 00:15:27,880 Speaker 1: for them is not as bad as it could have been. Okay, sure, 348 00:15:28,400 --> 00:15:31,560 Speaker 1: but they misplayed this from the beginning, and in fact 349 00:15:31,880 --> 00:15:34,360 Speaker 1: it is. That's what was surprising was that McCarthy didn't 350 00:15:34,360 --> 00:15:35,920 Speaker 1: extract even more from them. 351 00:15:35,920 --> 00:15:37,080 Speaker 4: Because he certainly could have. 352 00:15:37,600 --> 00:15:40,720 Speaker 1: They played their hand so poorly and in we're such 353 00:15:40,800 --> 00:15:44,400 Speaker 1: a weak position, they gave themselves no other out than 354 00:15:44,400 --> 00:15:46,800 Speaker 1: to pass some kind of deal with McCarthy. But I 355 00:15:46,800 --> 00:15:48,680 Speaker 1: think at the end of the day, McCarthy was also 356 00:15:48,920 --> 00:15:52,720 Speaker 1: very fearful of going over the cliff. Even though he's 357 00:15:52,720 --> 00:15:55,160 Speaker 1: got these renegades in his caucus who at least act 358 00:15:55,280 --> 00:15:57,320 Speaker 1: like they're crazy enough to do it, he did not 359 00:15:57,360 --> 00:16:01,560 Speaker 1: share that sentiment whatsoever, and so he was also most 360 00:16:01,640 --> 00:16:04,560 Speaker 1: interested in getting to a yes and averting this whole 361 00:16:04,560 --> 00:16:07,800 Speaker 1: catastrophe that he was forced into as part of the 362 00:16:07,800 --> 00:16:08,560 Speaker 1: speakership deal. 363 00:16:08,600 --> 00:16:09,640 Speaker 4: Now that's all on him. 364 00:16:09,680 --> 00:16:12,680 Speaker 1: I'm not like, you know, removing the blame from him whatsoever. 365 00:16:13,120 --> 00:16:15,880 Speaker 1: But it's not like from the beginning he was enthusiastic 366 00:16:15,920 --> 00:16:16,480 Speaker 1: about this fight. 367 00:16:16,560 --> 00:16:17,600 Speaker 4: He was forced into it. 368 00:16:17,760 --> 00:16:19,360 Speaker 3: There. I forgot to add a winner. 369 00:16:19,360 --> 00:16:21,360 Speaker 2: By the way, yeah, Wall Street, because I don't know 370 00:16:21,400 --> 00:16:23,600 Speaker 2: if people know this, but the uncertainty in the debt 371 00:16:23,600 --> 00:16:26,640 Speaker 2: ceiling has spiked treasury bill rates to like near all 372 00:16:26,680 --> 00:16:28,480 Speaker 2: time highs. And so, by the way, it's a great 373 00:16:28,480 --> 00:16:30,400 Speaker 2: opportunity for free money if you're interested. 374 00:16:30,520 --> 00:16:31,240 Speaker 4: And you know what that means. 375 00:16:31,280 --> 00:16:35,040 Speaker 1: That means like it's more expensive, but yeah, government to borrows. 376 00:16:35,080 --> 00:16:38,520 Speaker 2: Really in the reality out all taxpayers are paying out 377 00:16:38,800 --> 00:16:40,480 Speaker 2: huge premiums. 378 00:16:39,960 --> 00:16:42,800 Speaker 3: To Warren Buffett into all these other guys right who. 379 00:16:42,640 --> 00:16:48,080 Speaker 2: Are printing tax free money gains off of Treasury bills 380 00:16:48,160 --> 00:16:51,000 Speaker 2: and the now Wall Street not only got to profit 381 00:16:51,080 --> 00:16:53,440 Speaker 2: off of some of that initial uncertainty, now they don't 382 00:16:53,440 --> 00:16:55,000 Speaker 2: have to deal with any of the fallout from the 383 00:16:55,000 --> 00:16:56,480 Speaker 2: debt ceilings. So yeah, I would be remiss if I 384 00:16:56,520 --> 00:16:58,640 Speaker 2: didn't say a lot of billionaires were actually very happy. 385 00:16:58,360 --> 00:17:00,720 Speaker 4: By very very good and important point. 386 00:17:00,800 --> 00:17:02,480 Speaker 1: And by the way, if you're worried about, you know, 387 00:17:02,520 --> 00:17:05,040 Speaker 1: the interest payments and the level of debt, obviously that's 388 00:17:05,080 --> 00:17:08,159 Speaker 1: wildly counterproductive that you've just spike spiked the cost of 389 00:17:08,240 --> 00:17:11,120 Speaker 1: government borrowing. The last piece we have here for you 390 00:17:11,760 --> 00:17:13,680 Speaker 1: just to preview the fight in the Senate, which again 391 00:17:13,760 --> 00:17:15,280 Speaker 1: I think is going to be smooth ceiling. I don't 392 00:17:15,280 --> 00:17:17,520 Speaker 1: think they have any trouble passing this debt sealing deal 393 00:17:17,560 --> 00:17:19,800 Speaker 1: through the Senate, though you don't know. One thing that 394 00:17:19,840 --> 00:17:21,159 Speaker 1: was interesting I saw this morning. 395 00:17:21,320 --> 00:17:22,080 Speaker 4: Ran Paul is. 396 00:17:22,000 --> 00:17:24,280 Speaker 1: Going to sort of get Republicans on the record force 397 00:17:24,320 --> 00:17:28,480 Speaker 1: a vote on a larger cut that would potentially include 398 00:17:28,520 --> 00:17:30,679 Speaker 1: He says social Security would be off the table, but 399 00:17:30,760 --> 00:17:32,159 Speaker 1: Medicare would be on the table. 400 00:17:32,520 --> 00:17:35,800 Speaker 4: So that's a difficult political vote. 401 00:17:35,520 --> 00:17:37,520 Speaker 1: That Republicans will have to take but I do think 402 00:17:37,520 --> 00:17:39,800 Speaker 1: this thing will get through the Senate, probably without much 403 00:17:39,840 --> 00:17:42,680 Speaker 1: of a problem. However, we did get a statement from 404 00:17:42,760 --> 00:17:45,439 Speaker 1: Bernie Sanders put this up on the screen expressing, I 405 00:17:45,480 --> 00:17:50,439 Speaker 1: think effectively expressing here the progressive stance and upset with 406 00:17:50,600 --> 00:17:53,680 Speaker 1: this deal. He says, I cannot in good conscience vote 407 00:17:53,720 --> 00:17:57,120 Speaker 1: for the debt sealing deal. Among other things, he says, 408 00:17:57,160 --> 00:17:59,240 Speaker 1: the fact of the matter is that this bill is 409 00:17:59,320 --> 00:18:02,240 Speaker 1: totally un necessary. The President has the authority and the 410 00:18:02,280 --> 00:18:04,840 Speaker 1: ability to eliminate the debt ceiling today by invoking the 411 00:18:04,840 --> 00:18:06,879 Speaker 1: fourteenth Amendment. I look forward to the day when he 412 00:18:06,920 --> 00:18:10,000 Speaker 1: exercises this authority and puts an end once in ferralty 413 00:18:10,080 --> 00:18:12,600 Speaker 1: the outrageous actions of the extreme right wing to hold 414 00:18:12,600 --> 00:18:15,640 Speaker 1: our entire economy hostage in order to get what they want. 415 00:18:15,880 --> 00:18:18,400 Speaker 1: He also name checks here, you know the fact that 416 00:18:18,840 --> 00:18:22,119 Speaker 1: as part of this deal, again supposedly the concern is 417 00:18:22,160 --> 00:18:24,560 Speaker 1: over the debt and the deficit, which everybody knows that's 418 00:18:24,600 --> 00:18:27,399 Speaker 1: not really the case. There's just an ideological agenda against 419 00:18:27,400 --> 00:18:30,960 Speaker 1: certain of these programs. They take off the table, closing 420 00:18:31,040 --> 00:18:33,680 Speaker 1: the car at interest loophole, which would obviously raise revenues. 421 00:18:33,720 --> 00:18:35,600 Speaker 4: They take off the table any. 422 00:18:35,359 --> 00:18:38,000 Speaker 1: Sort of hike for the richest among us and for 423 00:18:38,080 --> 00:18:41,600 Speaker 1: corporations that's all, you know, considered not even close to 424 00:18:41,680 --> 00:18:44,480 Speaker 1: being a part of this deal. They take off the 425 00:18:44,520 --> 00:18:49,000 Speaker 1: table things like negotiating drug prices, prescription drug prices through Medicare, 426 00:18:49,000 --> 00:18:50,720 Speaker 1: which again would raise revenue. 427 00:18:50,960 --> 00:18:52,080 Speaker 4: So he points to some of. 428 00:18:52,040 --> 00:18:55,760 Speaker 1: Those pieces that you expose the hypocrisy and the fundamental 429 00:18:55,800 --> 00:18:57,919 Speaker 1: unfairness of the deal itself. But also I think the 430 00:18:57,920 --> 00:19:01,720 Speaker 1: bigger point is the one about how unnecessary this whole 431 00:19:01,760 --> 00:19:04,359 Speaker 1: crisis and this whole quote unquote deal ultimately was. 432 00:19:04,440 --> 00:19:06,520 Speaker 2: And Bernie was the first Democrat to come out against it. 433 00:19:06,560 --> 00:19:08,720 Speaker 2: Jeff Merkley's also come out against it. We'll see how 434 00:19:08,720 --> 00:19:11,400 Speaker 2: many others actually come out on the record. But as 435 00:19:11,400 --> 00:19:14,440 Speaker 2: you said, there may be some procedural hijinks about forcing 436 00:19:14,520 --> 00:19:16,280 Speaker 2: votes and stuff on amendments, and we may have a 437 00:19:16,320 --> 00:19:18,960 Speaker 2: bit of a delay a thirty hour debate rule without 438 00:19:19,480 --> 00:19:22,560 Speaker 2: unanimous consent. But you got four days till the so 439 00:19:22,680 --> 00:19:26,240 Speaker 2: called till the soft deadline, which you know, you could 440 00:19:26,240 --> 00:19:27,919 Speaker 2: probably stretch that out if you need to. 441 00:19:28,040 --> 00:19:30,480 Speaker 3: So very likely not going to see any crisis. But 442 00:19:30,560 --> 00:19:31,639 Speaker 3: we'll keep everybody updated. 443 00:19:31,680 --> 00:19:33,919 Speaker 1: This whole thing was kind of frustrating and raging, and 444 00:19:33,960 --> 00:19:36,000 Speaker 1: I'll be very happy to not talk about it again for. 445 00:19:36,000 --> 00:19:36,520 Speaker 4: Quite a while. 446 00:19:36,560 --> 00:19:40,119 Speaker 3: Good riding two years. We'll cover it on our four 447 00:19:40,200 --> 00:19:40,600 Speaker 3: year endit. 448 00:19:40,880 --> 00:19:42,120 Speaker 4: There you go, there you go. 449 00:19:42,160 --> 00:19:47,720 Speaker 1: Apparently that's what we're at it. Okay, let's talk a 450 00:19:47,760 --> 00:19:50,560 Speaker 1: little bit about some new data we're getting out about 451 00:19:50,600 --> 00:19:55,040 Speaker 1: the likely presidential matchup between former President Trump and current 452 00:19:55,080 --> 00:19:57,200 Speaker 1: President Biden. Put this up on the screen for the 453 00:19:57,200 --> 00:19:59,160 Speaker 1: New York Times. They did a focus group of eleven 454 00:19:59,400 --> 00:20:02,639 Speaker 1: Biden vote and you know, always take these with a 455 00:20:02,640 --> 00:20:04,920 Speaker 1: grain of salt. It's just eleven people, but it's always 456 00:20:04,960 --> 00:20:08,359 Speaker 1: interesting to hear what actually actual voters are saying about 457 00:20:08,400 --> 00:20:10,040 Speaker 1: how they feel about the stay of the country and 458 00:20:10,119 --> 00:20:12,560 Speaker 1: the man that all eleven of them actually voted for 459 00:20:12,840 --> 00:20:14,480 Speaker 1: but are feeling kind of shaky. 460 00:20:14,160 --> 00:20:15,240 Speaker 4: On this time around. 461 00:20:15,280 --> 00:20:16,840 Speaker 1: So keep this up on the screen, guys, because I'm 462 00:20:16,840 --> 00:20:18,800 Speaker 1: gonna read off they asked. One of the questions they 463 00:20:18,800 --> 00:20:20,600 Speaker 1: asked is if you were giving the weather forecast for 464 00:20:20,680 --> 00:20:22,560 Speaker 1: how things are going in America, what would you say. 465 00:20:22,880 --> 00:20:24,560 Speaker 4: Here's the sample of the answers. 466 00:20:24,600 --> 00:20:27,119 Speaker 1: One said, Icee Stormy, I think we're had in the 467 00:20:27,160 --> 00:20:30,040 Speaker 1: wrong direction. Next one says, cloudy with a chance of 468 00:20:30,119 --> 00:20:33,520 Speaker 1: tick tick boom. He's a very literary person. I think 469 00:20:33,560 --> 00:20:35,879 Speaker 1: there's going to be an outer force of danger that 470 00:20:35,960 --> 00:20:37,720 Speaker 1: is going to unite as kind of like nine to eleven. 471 00:20:37,720 --> 00:20:39,760 Speaker 1: Did oh, that's kind of dark too. The pendulint has 472 00:20:39,800 --> 00:20:43,000 Speaker 1: to swing the other way. Another one said, my forecast 473 00:20:43,119 --> 00:20:45,480 Speaker 1: is very cloudy with the chance of a heavy downpour 474 00:20:45,560 --> 00:20:49,960 Speaker 1: and maybe a tornado, you know, just to recap, and 475 00:20:49,960 --> 00:20:52,360 Speaker 1: we've got some other graphics we can show you. They 476 00:20:52,400 --> 00:20:54,600 Speaker 1: asked this group a series of questions about, you know, 477 00:20:54,600 --> 00:20:56,160 Speaker 1: how do you feel about Biden? And is he doing 478 00:20:56,200 --> 00:20:58,240 Speaker 1: a good job? And is he a good leader? On 479 00:20:58,440 --> 00:21:02,080 Speaker 1: a number of questions that you know had positive attributes 480 00:21:02,119 --> 00:21:06,479 Speaker 1: about Biden, no one agreed with the sentiment. So they asked, 481 00:21:06,560 --> 00:21:09,000 Speaker 1: is Biden a good leader? Not a one of them 482 00:21:09,119 --> 00:21:11,560 Speaker 1: raise their hands. They asked, does he share my values? 483 00:21:11,640 --> 00:21:15,080 Speaker 1: This actually surprised me. Not a one of them raise 484 00:21:15,119 --> 00:21:18,320 Speaker 1: their hands. They asked, you know, did he do better, worse, 485 00:21:18,440 --> 00:21:20,840 Speaker 1: or the same than you expected? No one said he 486 00:21:20,880 --> 00:21:24,080 Speaker 1: did better than they expected. They asked, is he up 487 00:21:24,080 --> 00:21:27,240 Speaker 1: to the task of being president through twenty twenty eight? 488 00:21:27,800 --> 00:21:30,680 Speaker 1: No one said yes, And they asked, how do you 489 00:21:30,720 --> 00:21:33,440 Speaker 1: feel about his handling of the economy, and no one 490 00:21:33,880 --> 00:21:37,440 Speaker 1: had a positive feeling about his handling of the economy. 491 00:21:37,960 --> 00:21:40,639 Speaker 1: Go ahead and put this next piece up on the screen. 492 00:21:40,760 --> 00:21:43,240 Speaker 1: So they say, what is one word you would use 493 00:21:43,280 --> 00:21:46,160 Speaker 1: to describe how you feel about the November twenty twenty 494 00:21:46,200 --> 00:21:48,680 Speaker 1: four presidential election You are not going to be surprised by. Well, 495 00:21:48,680 --> 00:21:51,160 Speaker 1: maybe there's one that you'll be surprised about, they say. 496 00:21:51,359 --> 00:21:54,080 Speaker 1: The first person says, is shit show one word or two? 497 00:21:54,240 --> 00:21:58,879 Speaker 1: How about circus nice? One says anxious, apprehensive, scared? I 498 00:21:58,920 --> 00:22:05,000 Speaker 1: think unforgettable, scary, eager, okay, confused, geriatric self. 499 00:22:04,800 --> 00:22:06,840 Speaker 4: Park episode and defeated. 500 00:22:07,520 --> 00:22:09,879 Speaker 1: Put the next graphic we have up on the screen 501 00:22:09,920 --> 00:22:13,200 Speaker 1: here as well. See another piece of this. They say, 502 00:22:13,240 --> 00:22:15,200 Speaker 1: you're all in this group because you voted for Joe 503 00:22:15,200 --> 00:22:17,280 Speaker 1: Biden in twenty twenty. That doesn't mean that you love 504 00:22:17,320 --> 00:22:19,280 Speaker 1: what he's done or that you support him now. It 505 00:22:19,320 --> 00:22:21,080 Speaker 1: just means you voted for him in twenty twenty. So 506 00:22:21,160 --> 00:22:23,920 Speaker 1: why did you vote for Joe Biden in twenty twenty election? 507 00:22:24,720 --> 00:22:26,959 Speaker 1: One person says, it really was the lesser of two evils, 508 00:22:26,960 --> 00:22:28,960 Speaker 1: felt like the only thing I could do. Another says, 509 00:22:29,000 --> 00:22:31,240 Speaker 1: I just couldn't stomach Trump. Another says, I hate to 510 00:22:31,240 --> 00:22:33,399 Speaker 1: say it, but pretty much the same reason, and another 511 00:22:33,440 --> 00:22:37,159 Speaker 1: one says, I didn't vote for Biden, I voted against Trump, 512 00:22:37,280 --> 00:22:41,359 Speaker 1: and sager. This was a consistent theme. Every one of 513 00:22:41,400 --> 00:22:44,760 Speaker 1: these people said they are not impressed with Biden. They 514 00:22:44,800 --> 00:22:46,160 Speaker 1: don't think he's up to the task of. 515 00:22:46,080 --> 00:22:47,160 Speaker 4: Another four years. 516 00:22:47,280 --> 00:22:50,679 Speaker 1: They're disappointed, they're unhappy with the economy, they see the 517 00:22:50,720 --> 00:22:54,600 Speaker 1: outlook as stormy. They're all these sentiments, right, But then 518 00:22:54,640 --> 00:22:57,320 Speaker 1: when you ask them, well, who are going to vote 519 00:22:57,359 --> 00:23:01,160 Speaker 1: for this time, almost all of them said Biden again, Yeah, 520 00:23:01,200 --> 00:23:04,520 Speaker 1: because Trump or DeSantis, in our opinion, is worse. 521 00:23:04,880 --> 00:23:05,160 Speaker 4: Now. 522 00:23:05,280 --> 00:23:09,080 Speaker 1: There was one person, I think who said that they 523 00:23:09,119 --> 00:23:12,080 Speaker 1: were very likely to just not vote, and I do 524 00:23:12,119 --> 00:23:14,600 Speaker 1: think those people. You know, these are people that all 525 00:23:14,680 --> 00:23:16,800 Speaker 1: voted for Biden last time. It was a narrow election, 526 00:23:16,920 --> 00:23:18,880 Speaker 1: so he really needs to win all of these type 527 00:23:18,880 --> 00:23:19,600 Speaker 1: of people again. 528 00:23:20,040 --> 00:23:20,840 Speaker 4: So the fact that you. 529 00:23:20,840 --> 00:23:22,600 Speaker 1: Have even any of them saying, you know what, I 530 00:23:22,600 --> 00:23:24,920 Speaker 1: may just not vote, I may vote third party, I'll 531 00:23:24,920 --> 00:23:27,199 Speaker 1: see who the Republicans put up. The fact that you 532 00:23:27,280 --> 00:23:29,280 Speaker 1: have any of that going on is actually a bit 533 00:23:29,320 --> 00:23:32,040 Speaker 1: of a worrying sign for Biden, and they are concerned 534 00:23:32,040 --> 00:23:35,720 Speaker 1: about there's a higher percentage this time around than last 535 00:23:35,720 --> 00:23:39,679 Speaker 1: time who say they would consider voting third party or independent. 536 00:23:40,040 --> 00:23:42,240 Speaker 1: And you know, that was part of the complex set 537 00:23:42,240 --> 00:23:45,200 Speaker 1: of factors that led to Hillary Clinton losing in twenty sixteen, 538 00:23:45,480 --> 00:23:47,399 Speaker 1: when you had a lot of people who just literally 539 00:23:47,440 --> 00:23:51,040 Speaker 1: would not stomach either Trump or Hillary and voted for 540 00:23:51,400 --> 00:23:53,000 Speaker 1: Johnson or Stein in that election. 541 00:23:53,040 --> 00:23:54,040 Speaker 4: So I thought that was interesting too. 542 00:23:54,160 --> 00:23:56,280 Speaker 2: On DeSantis, I'm not sure it was all of them. 543 00:23:56,280 --> 00:23:58,040 Speaker 2: I think it was only what three or four right 544 00:23:58,080 --> 00:23:59,200 Speaker 2: who said that they wouldn't. 545 00:23:58,920 --> 00:23:59,440 Speaker 3: Vote for him. 546 00:23:59,560 --> 00:24:03,680 Speaker 2: But my personal favorite was this one from the Nick 547 00:24:03,760 --> 00:24:06,480 Speaker 2: what do you mean by south Park episode? He says, 548 00:24:06,520 --> 00:24:08,359 Speaker 2: there was an episode in south Park from two thousand 549 00:24:08,359 --> 00:24:10,480 Speaker 2: and four there was a mock election. Everybody just keeps 550 00:24:10,560 --> 00:24:12,800 Speaker 2: voting for the vote for the lesser of two evils. 551 00:24:12,840 --> 00:24:15,120 Speaker 2: They're voting just to keep someone else out. I hate 552 00:24:15,160 --> 00:24:17,760 Speaker 2: that because that becomes a scenario I have committed to 553 00:24:17,840 --> 00:24:19,919 Speaker 2: vote for a third party this coming election. 554 00:24:20,040 --> 00:24:22,040 Speaker 3: I thought that was really interesting. This was Nick. 555 00:24:22,119 --> 00:24:24,840 Speaker 2: He's a thirty seven year old from Iowa, a white guy, 556 00:24:25,280 --> 00:24:28,959 Speaker 2: independent and business manager. So you know, that's actually a 557 00:24:29,000 --> 00:24:31,760 Speaker 2: good glimpse I think into you know, kind of like 558 00:24:32,040 --> 00:24:35,480 Speaker 2: who and what are thinking about the election and the 559 00:24:35,640 --> 00:24:37,919 Speaker 2: despair and all of that that they feel. I think 560 00:24:38,000 --> 00:24:41,439 Speaker 2: what becomes very clear is that Trump himself does have 561 00:24:41,520 --> 00:24:44,199 Speaker 2: and I think this is what his supporters always underestimate, 562 00:24:44,440 --> 00:24:47,399 Speaker 2: which is as much as you love Trump, which is 563 00:24:47,440 --> 00:24:50,560 Speaker 2: that's the thing with Trump, he gets more love than 564 00:24:50,760 --> 00:24:54,240 Speaker 2: any politician probably that I've ever seen in my lifetime. 565 00:24:54,359 --> 00:24:56,960 Speaker 2: He gets an equal amount of hate from a lot 566 00:24:57,000 --> 00:24:59,520 Speaker 2: of people too. Yeah, and those balance out, you know, 567 00:24:59,600 --> 00:25:01,520 Speaker 2: in terms of the positive. 568 00:25:01,080 --> 00:25:03,240 Speaker 3: Number of people who are willing to come out and vote. 569 00:25:02,920 --> 00:25:05,159 Speaker 2: And then in some cases not even just balance, like 570 00:25:05,359 --> 00:25:08,399 Speaker 2: there are even more people who are both repulsed, and 571 00:25:08,400 --> 00:25:11,119 Speaker 2: then when it comes time to pull the lever, decide 572 00:25:11,200 --> 00:25:13,399 Speaker 2: not to. Now, look, there's obviously a hell of a 573 00:25:13,440 --> 00:25:15,560 Speaker 2: lot that can go on, and he almost did win 574 00:25:15,600 --> 00:25:18,400 Speaker 2: the twenty twenty election. He came incredibly close, as we've 575 00:25:18,400 --> 00:25:20,000 Speaker 2: pointed out here, and DeSantis did too. 576 00:25:20,240 --> 00:25:20,760 Speaker 3: If you just. 577 00:25:20,800 --> 00:25:22,679 Speaker 2: Encourage mail in voting, he literally would have won. So 578 00:25:22,800 --> 00:25:24,840 Speaker 2: that's a whole other narrative that is out there. So 579 00:25:24,880 --> 00:25:27,080 Speaker 2: I don't want to underestimate his strength, but you shouldn't 580 00:25:27,160 --> 00:25:30,199 Speaker 2: underestimate some of his weaknesses either, and the weakness is 581 00:25:30,320 --> 00:25:31,840 Speaker 2: very full on display here. 582 00:25:31,920 --> 00:25:34,119 Speaker 4: And at this point, you know, Biden is incumbent president. 583 00:25:34,280 --> 00:25:37,240 Speaker 1: That comes with significant advantages because people find you know, 584 00:25:37,400 --> 00:25:40,880 Speaker 1: change in switching horses, minstream or whatever that whatever that's 585 00:25:40,880 --> 00:25:43,679 Speaker 1: saying is they find that unsettling, and so incumbents and 586 00:25:43,760 --> 00:25:46,160 Speaker 1: you have the bully pulpit, and you know, you are 587 00:25:46,160 --> 00:25:48,080 Speaker 1: in the office of commander in chief, so nobody has 588 00:25:48,119 --> 00:25:51,240 Speaker 1: any trouble envisioning it. That comes with a significant advantage, 589 00:25:51,280 --> 00:25:53,560 Speaker 1: and so that makes it more difficult for Trump. On 590 00:25:53,600 --> 00:25:56,679 Speaker 1: the other hand, at the time last time around, you 591 00:25:56,800 --> 00:26:00,800 Speaker 1: had the immediate specter of Trump in office is just 592 00:26:00,880 --> 00:26:04,320 Speaker 1: doing a horrific job managing the pandemic and you know, 593 00:26:04,359 --> 00:26:06,640 Speaker 1: people dying, and it was a very bad time in America. 594 00:26:06,720 --> 00:26:08,160 Speaker 4: So you had this immediate. 595 00:26:07,800 --> 00:26:10,359 Speaker 1: Example of what it looked like to actually have Donald 596 00:26:10,400 --> 00:26:13,040 Speaker 1: Trump as president of the United States. You know, one 597 00:26:13,080 --> 00:26:15,000 Speaker 1: of the things that did surprise me was that no 598 00:26:15,040 --> 00:26:18,320 Speaker 1: one said that Biden shares my values because one of 599 00:26:18,320 --> 00:26:21,439 Speaker 1: his political strengths. And the man obviously has political strengths 600 00:26:21,440 --> 00:26:23,639 Speaker 1: because he is president of the United States and was 601 00:26:23,680 --> 00:26:26,000 Speaker 1: previously you know, vice president for eight years, and well 602 00:26:26,080 --> 00:26:29,840 Speaker 1: like during that time. One of his strengths has always 603 00:26:29,880 --> 00:26:32,840 Speaker 1: been that people do feel like he shares their values, 604 00:26:32,880 --> 00:26:34,800 Speaker 1: that they do feel like he's sort of like an 605 00:26:34,800 --> 00:26:37,440 Speaker 1: empathetic person and gets their struggles and what they're going through. 606 00:26:37,440 --> 00:26:40,080 Speaker 1: So I was a little bit surprised by that, by 607 00:26:40,080 --> 00:26:43,840 Speaker 1: that perspective offered by eleven, all eleven of these individuals. 608 00:26:44,280 --> 00:26:49,200 Speaker 1: One woman who is a black independent who's not working, said, 609 00:26:49,359 --> 00:26:51,959 Speaker 1: I think Biden is the corporate elitist type person that 610 00:26:51,960 --> 00:26:55,240 Speaker 1: camouflages himself as a regular guy, and that was her 611 00:26:55,320 --> 00:26:58,920 Speaker 1: answer for why she didn't feel that he shared her values. 612 00:26:59,359 --> 00:27:03,600 Speaker 1: There was another portion, Nick, who's a thirty seven year 613 00:27:03,600 --> 00:27:07,800 Speaker 1: old white independent business manager. He was talking about the 614 00:27:07,840 --> 00:27:09,960 Speaker 1: economy and said, there's not enough being done to help 615 00:27:10,000 --> 00:27:12,360 Speaker 1: shoulder some of these increases. When you see these other 616 00:27:12,400 --> 00:27:15,280 Speaker 1: companies posting record profits. That's concerning to me. Continuing to 617 00:27:15,320 --> 00:27:18,080 Speaker 1: line the pockets of the elite while everyone else is 618 00:27:18,080 --> 00:27:21,240 Speaker 1: struggling is not okay. And I thought those were interesting 619 00:27:21,320 --> 00:27:24,440 Speaker 1: because what a lot of people would take away from 620 00:27:24,440 --> 00:27:26,840 Speaker 1: a focus group like this is like, oh, you know, 621 00:27:26,880 --> 00:27:28,400 Speaker 1: we got to come to the center, and we got 622 00:27:28,440 --> 00:27:30,359 Speaker 1: to be more moderate, and a lot of people express 623 00:27:30,400 --> 00:27:33,240 Speaker 1: sentiments like that, but then when you ask some specifics 624 00:27:33,240 --> 00:27:36,879 Speaker 1: about what they want, it's actually like, it's actually, we 625 00:27:36,960 --> 00:27:39,440 Speaker 1: got to go after the elites. It's actually not sort 626 00:27:39,480 --> 00:27:43,240 Speaker 1: of the classic view of what a corporate centrist moderate 627 00:27:43,280 --> 00:27:47,280 Speaker 1: position would look like. So media's definition of what moderate 628 00:27:47,400 --> 00:27:50,479 Speaker 1: is and actual voters how they articulate it tends to 629 00:27:50,520 --> 00:27:55,280 Speaker 1: be very, very different. Another thing that I thought was interesting, Sager, 630 00:27:55,359 --> 00:27:58,160 Speaker 1: is when they asked people what was it that you 631 00:27:58,400 --> 00:28:00,959 Speaker 1: liked that Biden did, A number of them were like, 632 00:28:01,440 --> 00:28:02,320 Speaker 1: I have to get back. 633 00:28:02,160 --> 00:28:04,080 Speaker 4: To you on that, like I'm not really sure. 634 00:28:04,280 --> 00:28:06,919 Speaker 1: But the people who were able to name things, A 635 00:28:06,920 --> 00:28:09,440 Speaker 1: few people named student loan debt relief that was something 636 00:28:09,480 --> 00:28:11,520 Speaker 1: that was very tangible for them, and I think one 637 00:28:11,520 --> 00:28:14,400 Speaker 1: of them named infrastructure. So I thought that was interesting too, 638 00:28:14,600 --> 00:28:16,480 Speaker 1: And it kind of makes some sense because if you're 639 00:28:16,520 --> 00:28:18,800 Speaker 1: a person who's going to benefit from student loan debt 640 00:28:18,800 --> 00:28:22,560 Speaker 1: relief that is like really measurable, really impacting. 641 00:28:22,160 --> 00:28:23,480 Speaker 4: Your life, it's going to stick with you. 642 00:28:23,600 --> 00:28:26,040 Speaker 1: It's not something that I would some a morphous bill 643 00:28:26,160 --> 00:28:28,440 Speaker 1: that passed and now I can't even remember the details 644 00:28:28,480 --> 00:28:31,000 Speaker 1: of it. It felt very real and very concrete and 645 00:28:31,119 --> 00:28:33,280 Speaker 1: was the thing that most immediately came to mind for 646 00:28:33,359 --> 00:28:34,800 Speaker 1: a number of the people that they interviewed. 647 00:28:34,840 --> 00:28:37,840 Speaker 2: Here kind of interesting. I love looking into the views 648 00:28:37,960 --> 00:28:40,680 Speaker 2: of just like how people actually vote, you know, in 649 00:28:40,760 --> 00:28:43,760 Speaker 2: terms of the pundits, and everybody thinks that people are 650 00:28:43,760 --> 00:28:46,320 Speaker 2: so iconic class they're really not like they're just completely 651 00:28:46,320 --> 00:28:50,600 Speaker 2: they're really they have contradictory beliefs of which they would 652 00:28:50,640 --> 00:28:54,600 Speaker 2: never find contradictory. They don't fit meekly into a box. 653 00:28:54,920 --> 00:28:56,719 Speaker 2: A lot of it is personality based, but a lot 654 00:28:56,760 --> 00:28:59,120 Speaker 2: of it is also policy base. And you just can't 655 00:28:59,160 --> 00:29:01,360 Speaker 2: cast a wide breath, Yeah, telling I love about this country. 656 00:29:01,440 --> 00:29:05,400 Speaker 1: Yeah, bottom line I would say from this poll, not poll, 657 00:29:05,640 --> 00:29:10,120 Speaker 1: focus group, small caveats, remember all of that. But the 658 00:29:10,200 --> 00:29:13,800 Speaker 1: general sentiment is pretty much backing up the theory of 659 00:29:13,840 --> 00:29:17,000 Speaker 1: the case that the Biden White House has, which is, yeah, 660 00:29:17,160 --> 00:29:20,520 Speaker 1: people don't really particularly like our guy. His favorability is 661 00:29:20,560 --> 00:29:23,440 Speaker 1: in the toilet. People are disappointed, they don't feel great 662 00:29:23,440 --> 00:29:25,800 Speaker 1: about the direction of the country. But when push comes 663 00:29:25,840 --> 00:29:29,160 Speaker 1: to shove and they're faced with our guy versus Trump, 664 00:29:29,520 --> 00:29:31,320 Speaker 1: They're all going to come home. They're going to vote 665 00:29:31,360 --> 00:29:33,000 Speaker 1: a guy once again for what they view as the 666 00:29:33,080 --> 00:29:36,320 Speaker 1: lesser of two evils and they're going to have no 667 00:29:36,400 --> 00:29:39,200 Speaker 1: other choice than to come back into our camp. And 668 00:29:39,440 --> 00:29:42,200 Speaker 1: you know, based on these responses, i'd say that it's. 669 00:29:42,080 --> 00:29:45,240 Speaker 4: Frankly, it's not a bad bet. Yep, you're right, Okay. 670 00:29:45,240 --> 00:29:47,640 Speaker 1: At the same time, we got some news about another 671 00:29:47,680 --> 00:29:51,480 Speaker 1: contender entering the Republican side of the equation. This would 672 00:29:51,480 --> 00:29:54,000 Speaker 1: be former Vice President Mike Pence, who's been signaling for 673 00:29:54,160 --> 00:29:56,800 Speaker 1: some time that he was very likely to launch his 674 00:29:56,840 --> 00:29:59,040 Speaker 1: own presidential campaign. Let's put this up on the screen. 675 00:29:59,800 --> 00:30:03,040 Speaker 1: He is eyeing a twenty twenty four campaign launch next week. 676 00:30:03,880 --> 00:30:07,960 Speaker 1: The source said. Pence's team is finalizing plans to launch 677 00:30:08,000 --> 00:30:10,480 Speaker 1: the campaign his campaign for the White House, joining the 678 00:30:10,560 --> 00:30:14,240 Speaker 1: expanding GOP primary field, with a forward looking video announcement 679 00:30:14,320 --> 00:30:16,880 Speaker 1: and speech that makes the case for his candidacy. I 680 00:30:16,880 --> 00:30:20,080 Speaker 1: guess he is going to say no thanks on the 681 00:30:20,080 --> 00:30:21,600 Speaker 1: Elon Musk Twitter launch. 682 00:30:22,280 --> 00:30:25,000 Speaker 4: Given recent experiences, He's going. 683 00:30:24,880 --> 00:30:27,400 Speaker 3: With the sure be offered either true. I guess it. 684 00:30:27,440 --> 00:30:29,960 Speaker 1: Technically, yeah, he theoretically was like, oh sure, I talk 685 00:30:30,000 --> 00:30:32,080 Speaker 1: to anybody anyway. I don't know that there are gonna 686 00:30:32,080 --> 00:30:33,640 Speaker 1: be a lot of takers on that offer at this point. 687 00:30:34,080 --> 00:30:37,560 Speaker 1: Pence going with a more traditional announcement. He is expected 688 00:30:37,600 --> 00:30:39,880 Speaker 1: to put a lot of his focus on Iowa, they say, 689 00:30:39,880 --> 00:30:42,880 Speaker 1: which hosts the first caucus of the GOP primary calendar. 690 00:30:43,160 --> 00:30:46,520 Speaker 1: And also of note, he is participating in a CNN 691 00:30:46,640 --> 00:30:49,000 Speaker 1: town hall in Des Moines on June seventh, so that 692 00:30:49,120 --> 00:30:52,160 Speaker 1: is next week being billed as a presidential town hall. 693 00:30:52,600 --> 00:30:55,640 Speaker 1: And you know, for those who are I guess looking 694 00:30:55,840 --> 00:31:00,160 Speaker 1: to bolster the Pence case, there was a poll that 695 00:31:00,240 --> 00:31:02,840 Speaker 1: found that you know, a majority of Republicans said they 696 00:31:02,840 --> 00:31:05,240 Speaker 1: would consider supporting him, though they don't support him, but 697 00:31:05,240 --> 00:31:07,520 Speaker 1: they would at least consider it. So he's not completely 698 00:31:07,520 --> 00:31:10,000 Speaker 1: off the table here. So that's kind of the layelah 699 00:31:10,040 --> 00:31:12,000 Speaker 1: Land for him. I mean, the Iowa focus saga, I 700 00:31:12,000 --> 00:31:13,640 Speaker 1: think makes a lot of sense because you do have 701 00:31:13,680 --> 00:31:17,640 Speaker 1: a very well organized, sort of evangelical right in Iowa 702 00:31:17,760 --> 00:31:19,719 Speaker 1: that he has spent a lot of time cultivating and 703 00:31:19,720 --> 00:31:22,840 Speaker 1: making inroads with. That's why he's leaned into things like, 704 00:31:22,920 --> 00:31:24,720 Speaker 1: you know, his support of a national abortion ban. We 705 00:31:24,760 --> 00:31:29,080 Speaker 1: noted right away that he was maybe the first major 706 00:31:29,120 --> 00:31:32,840 Speaker 1: politician after Roe versus Wade was overturning that Dobb's decision 707 00:31:32,840 --> 00:31:35,040 Speaker 1: to come out affirmatively for hey, we need to get 708 00:31:35,080 --> 00:31:37,200 Speaker 1: on board with the national abortion ban. It's a very 709 00:31:37,200 --> 00:31:40,160 Speaker 1: extreme position that has very low support among the public 710 00:31:40,200 --> 00:31:42,720 Speaker 1: at large, But I think we'll find an eager audience 711 00:31:42,760 --> 00:31:44,320 Speaker 1: within the Iowa caucus. 712 00:31:44,320 --> 00:31:44,760 Speaker 4: Faithful. 713 00:31:44,920 --> 00:31:48,440 Speaker 2: Yeah, who won the Iowa caucuses in twenty sixteen, Ted Cruz. 714 00:31:48,640 --> 00:31:51,120 Speaker 3: You know why? Evangelicals. I've got the breakdown right here 715 00:31:51,120 --> 00:31:51,560 Speaker 3: in front of me. 716 00:31:51,800 --> 00:31:55,080 Speaker 2: Evangelical Protestants make up the second largest religious group in 717 00:31:55,160 --> 00:31:55,840 Speaker 2: all of Iowa. 718 00:31:55,880 --> 00:31:56,600 Speaker 3: Combine them with. 719 00:31:56,560 --> 00:31:59,000 Speaker 2: Catholics and you've got another eighteen percent, and you're literally 720 00:31:59,000 --> 00:32:01,600 Speaker 2: looking at almost majority of the people in the state 721 00:32:01,640 --> 00:32:03,960 Speaker 2: who are going to have at least a sympathetic view. 722 00:32:04,240 --> 00:32:06,160 Speaker 3: Well, I guess technically on abortion or. 723 00:32:06,160 --> 00:32:08,560 Speaker 2: The very least people were very motivated to vote in 724 00:32:08,560 --> 00:32:11,960 Speaker 2: a GOP primary. It was very key to the Ted 725 00:32:12,040 --> 00:32:16,600 Speaker 2: Cruz victory in Iowa was to go and mobilize the 726 00:32:16,640 --> 00:32:20,120 Speaker 2: evangelical community. They had the Ted Cruz camps as what 727 00:32:20,160 --> 00:32:22,080 Speaker 2: they were called at the time. Firstly would have had 728 00:32:22,080 --> 00:32:25,840 Speaker 2: a better creepy yahtle in my opinion, a little weird, 729 00:32:25,960 --> 00:32:28,200 Speaker 2: but worked out. So, I guess what can you say 730 00:32:28,520 --> 00:32:31,080 Speaker 2: for the Iowa caucuses? This is going to be the 731 00:32:31,120 --> 00:32:34,960 Speaker 2: key and it is also not a surprise that Mike 732 00:32:35,000 --> 00:32:37,720 Speaker 2: Pence has not trained his fire on Donald Trump because 733 00:32:37,720 --> 00:32:39,320 Speaker 2: he's not really competing with a lot of votes for 734 00:32:39,400 --> 00:32:42,959 Speaker 2: him in Iowa. Who's he competing with Ron DeSantis, who 735 00:32:43,160 --> 00:32:45,840 Speaker 2: as we speak, is in Iowa right now, and we're 736 00:32:45,880 --> 00:32:47,719 Speaker 2: going to show you some clips in a little bit 737 00:32:47,760 --> 00:32:50,560 Speaker 2: from his speeches there. He needs to take out DeSantis 738 00:32:50,560 --> 00:32:53,320 Speaker 2: and to compete there if he wants to see any 739 00:32:53,560 --> 00:32:56,080 Speaker 2: sort of victory in the state or place in the 740 00:32:56,120 --> 00:32:58,400 Speaker 2: top three, which is why he actually took a shot 741 00:32:58,400 --> 00:32:59,959 Speaker 2: at DeSantis in a very recent interview. 742 00:33:00,080 --> 00:33:00,800 Speaker 3: Let's take a listen. 743 00:33:02,480 --> 00:33:07,320 Speaker 5: I like Walt Disney, not Walke Disney, and I fully 744 00:33:07,360 --> 00:33:14,720 Speaker 5: support what Florida did and challenging a left wing agenda 745 00:33:14,760 --> 00:33:17,560 Speaker 5: for children under third grade. In fact, I'd like to 746 00:33:17,560 --> 00:33:22,000 Speaker 5: see them expand that in the interest of families in Florida. 747 00:33:22,640 --> 00:33:27,000 Speaker 5: But where I took issue several months ago was as 748 00:33:27,040 --> 00:33:32,400 Speaker 5: a limited government conservative. I don't believe it's the role 749 00:33:32,440 --> 00:33:38,080 Speaker 5: of government to then essentially go after corporations that differed 750 00:33:38,120 --> 00:33:40,600 Speaker 5: with them in the political process. 751 00:33:40,760 --> 00:33:43,800 Speaker 2: So look, Mike Pence is basically trying to run the 752 00:33:43,840 --> 00:33:46,680 Speaker 2: Reagan two point zero playbook, just not as charismatic and 753 00:33:46,760 --> 00:33:50,360 Speaker 2: not as good as a politician. So you know, we'll see. 754 00:33:50,880 --> 00:33:53,280 Speaker 2: I do think I'm not going to say I'll be formidable. 755 00:33:53,480 --> 00:33:56,680 Speaker 2: I think he'll place. I think he's probably good eight 756 00:33:56,720 --> 00:34:00,200 Speaker 2: to ten percent of a decent amount of ceiling any 757 00:34:00,200 --> 00:34:02,800 Speaker 2: of these places. And a lot of the polling bears 758 00:34:02,840 --> 00:34:04,440 Speaker 2: that out put this up there on the screen. This 759 00:34:04,480 --> 00:34:07,280 Speaker 2: is our latest twenty twenty four tracking from Morning Console, 760 00:34:07,400 --> 00:34:09,600 Speaker 2: and it shows you in the polling number one Donald 761 00:34:09,600 --> 00:34:13,239 Speaker 2: Trump at fifty six percent, Number two Ron DeSantis at 762 00:34:13,280 --> 00:34:16,480 Speaker 2: twenty two percent, Mike Pence at five sounds about right, 763 00:34:16,800 --> 00:34:19,560 Speaker 2: maybe double that in Iowa because you got more evangelicals 764 00:34:19,560 --> 00:34:22,480 Speaker 2: and you got more Catholics. But you can't forget a 765 00:34:22,480 --> 00:34:25,719 Speaker 2: lot of those people. They love Trump too because in 766 00:34:25,760 --> 00:34:28,600 Speaker 2: a debate, not that may there may be a debate. 767 00:34:28,600 --> 00:34:30,960 Speaker 2: We'll see whether Trump deans to go on the stage. 768 00:34:30,960 --> 00:34:32,640 Speaker 2: But if he's going to hit back, he's got the 769 00:34:32,640 --> 00:34:33,520 Speaker 2: greatest attack of all. 770 00:34:33,600 --> 00:34:35,960 Speaker 3: I got it done. Mike didn't do anything. 771 00:34:36,000 --> 00:34:37,960 Speaker 2: He didn't stand up for me on January sixth, and 772 00:34:38,040 --> 00:34:40,640 Speaker 2: I'm the one who got it done. A DeSantis also, 773 00:34:40,719 --> 00:34:43,799 Speaker 2: frankly has a good, credible legislative case of I signed 774 00:34:43,800 --> 00:34:46,360 Speaker 2: a six week band in a purple state. I actually 775 00:34:46,400 --> 00:34:49,719 Speaker 2: got that done. So once again, to that community, you're 776 00:34:49,840 --> 00:34:53,600 Speaker 2: looking at two people who have actually done something and 777 00:34:53,640 --> 00:34:56,960 Speaker 2: then one guy rhetorically who is not necessarily there. So 778 00:34:57,320 --> 00:34:59,560 Speaker 2: looking at all that, I think Trump and DeSantis have 779 00:34:59,600 --> 00:35:02,680 Speaker 2: a very coo credible case to make to the Evangelical Protestants, 780 00:35:03,360 --> 00:35:04,040 Speaker 2: and you know. 781 00:35:04,040 --> 00:35:05,560 Speaker 3: Either they're going to have to compete for it. 782 00:35:05,600 --> 00:35:08,720 Speaker 2: If anything, Pence is just a spoiler for the Ronda Santis, 783 00:35:08,760 --> 00:35:09,880 Speaker 2: for the Ronda de Santis campaign. 784 00:35:09,960 --> 00:35:10,680 Speaker 4: That's it. 785 00:35:10,680 --> 00:35:12,759 Speaker 1: It's hard to see a pathway to Mike Pence being 786 00:35:13,200 --> 00:35:18,080 Speaker 1: the GOP nominee. You know, he the Trump people, the 787 00:35:18,080 --> 00:35:20,520 Speaker 1: hardcore Trump people have no love for him because he 788 00:35:20,520 --> 00:35:22,920 Speaker 1: didn't back Trump on January sixth, and has you know, 789 00:35:23,000 --> 00:35:27,479 Speaker 1: castigated him somewhat mildly for his actions on that day. 790 00:35:27,840 --> 00:35:30,279 Speaker 1: The hardcore never trumpers have no love for him because 791 00:35:30,320 --> 00:35:32,760 Speaker 1: he didn't because he you know, carried water for Trump 792 00:35:32,760 --> 00:35:35,359 Speaker 1: for all four years, and then even after you had 793 00:35:35,360 --> 00:35:37,560 Speaker 1: this mob running around threatening hang him, he still could 794 00:35:37,680 --> 00:35:40,680 Speaker 1: barely muster an attack on Trump over any of that. 795 00:35:41,560 --> 00:35:43,320 Speaker 1: But I do think he is a real problem for 796 00:35:43,400 --> 00:35:46,440 Speaker 1: Ronda Santis, maybe more so than some of these other characters. 797 00:35:46,480 --> 00:35:48,800 Speaker 1: Because I do think he has a solid five percent, 798 00:35:48,880 --> 00:35:52,200 Speaker 1: five to ten percent, and especially in a state like Iowa. 799 00:35:52,560 --> 00:35:56,400 Speaker 1: And remember Ron DeSantis is really betting the farm on Iowa, 800 00:35:56,560 --> 00:35:59,120 Speaker 1: Iowa and New Hampshire, but in particular Iowa, because if 801 00:35:59,160 --> 00:36:01,120 Speaker 1: you don't come out of the gate strong and you're him, 802 00:36:01,440 --> 00:36:04,879 Speaker 1: and you're facing down the juggernaut of Donald Trump, it. 803 00:36:04,800 --> 00:36:06,560 Speaker 4: Gets real dicey, real quick. 804 00:36:06,880 --> 00:36:09,640 Speaker 1: So the fact that Pence has any sort of traction 805 00:36:09,800 --> 00:36:11,480 Speaker 1: in that state, and I do think he has some 806 00:36:11,640 --> 00:36:14,400 Speaker 1: limited traction in that state, those are votes that are 807 00:36:14,400 --> 00:36:17,480 Speaker 1: coming not from the Donald Trump pile of the of 808 00:36:17,520 --> 00:36:21,640 Speaker 1: the voter base. They're coming out of the DeSantis group 809 00:36:21,800 --> 00:36:24,040 Speaker 1: of voters. I would very much doubt that there's a 810 00:36:24,040 --> 00:36:26,880 Speaker 1: lot of overlap between the Trump and the Pence voting 811 00:36:26,920 --> 00:36:29,799 Speaker 1: base at this point. So this comes directly out of 812 00:36:29,800 --> 00:36:31,160 Speaker 1: Desanta's to share the pie. 813 00:36:31,480 --> 00:36:32,000 Speaker 4: And when you. 814 00:36:32,000 --> 00:36:37,080 Speaker 1: Already have Donald Trump over fifty percent in certainly nationally 815 00:36:37,239 --> 00:36:39,760 Speaker 1: and in a lot of these early primary states as well, 816 00:36:40,160 --> 00:36:40,960 Speaker 1: you not only have. 817 00:36:40,960 --> 00:36:43,480 Speaker 4: To coalesce all of the other. 818 00:36:43,400 --> 00:36:44,879 Speaker 1: Voters that are out there, you've got to be able 819 00:36:44,880 --> 00:36:48,439 Speaker 1: to eat into the Trump margin as well. Having Pence 820 00:36:48,480 --> 00:36:50,760 Speaker 1: and the race just complicates the situation, you know, Emily 821 00:36:50,760 --> 00:36:53,399 Speaker 1: and I covered yesterday too, Chris Christy getting in the race. 822 00:36:53,760 --> 00:36:55,960 Speaker 1: Not that I think Chris Christy has a shot either 823 00:36:56,080 --> 00:36:58,000 Speaker 1: at this whole thing, but the fact that you have 824 00:36:58,239 --> 00:37:03,680 Speaker 1: so many contender jumping in show's number one DeSantis's weakness. 825 00:37:03,800 --> 00:37:05,720 Speaker 4: He didn't scare them out of the race. He didn't 826 00:37:05,760 --> 00:37:06,480 Speaker 4: do whatever. 827 00:37:06,320 --> 00:37:09,359 Speaker 1: Was necessary to get everybody to cole less behind one 828 00:37:09,440 --> 00:37:13,080 Speaker 1: Trump alternative. And I just think that that really makes 829 00:37:13,080 --> 00:37:15,120 Speaker 1: things difficult for him. It makes it much more like 830 00:37:15,160 --> 00:37:17,520 Speaker 1: twenty sixteen. I know we've said this over and over again, 831 00:37:17,880 --> 00:37:20,160 Speaker 1: but especially when I see like the way that they're 832 00:37:20,160 --> 00:37:23,399 Speaker 1: all positioning themselves as I'm the true conservative, like Mike 833 00:37:23,440 --> 00:37:26,480 Speaker 1: Pence is doing that, DeSantis is doing that, Tim Scott 834 00:37:26,520 --> 00:37:29,960 Speaker 1: is doing that. That's what was tried in twenty sixteen. 835 00:37:30,040 --> 00:37:32,200 Speaker 1: It was the best case they could make against Trump, 836 00:37:32,239 --> 00:37:33,280 Speaker 1: and it wasn't. 837 00:37:33,520 --> 00:37:35,319 Speaker 3: Ye guess close. It actually didn't work. 838 00:37:35,560 --> 00:37:37,520 Speaker 2: Let's go to around DeSantis then, because it's actually Bears 839 00:37:37,520 --> 00:37:40,520 Speaker 2: talking about This is one where I'm not so Look, 840 00:37:40,600 --> 00:37:41,640 Speaker 2: I'm not sure it'll work. 841 00:37:41,800 --> 00:37:42,920 Speaker 3: I personally don't think so. 842 00:37:43,239 --> 00:37:45,400 Speaker 2: But if it was ever going to work, it is 843 00:37:45,440 --> 00:37:50,440 Speaker 2: going to look something like this DeSantis, Unlike Pence, Tim Scott, 844 00:37:50,960 --> 00:37:55,799 Speaker 2: Nikki Haley, who's kicking in various directions, uh vivek Ramaswami, 845 00:37:56,120 --> 00:37:59,560 Speaker 2: all these all these other people, is actually taking Trump 846 00:37:59,600 --> 00:38:02,520 Speaker 2: on head on and casting himself as the only other 847 00:38:02,600 --> 00:38:06,000 Speaker 2: legitimate challenger, which I think is true and is rhetorically 848 00:38:06,520 --> 00:38:10,200 Speaker 2: not really letting any of the Trump attacks go unanswered. 849 00:38:10,239 --> 00:38:11,680 Speaker 3: It's no longer silly season. 850 00:38:11,760 --> 00:38:15,360 Speaker 2: Apparently he is actually decided to come out and confront 851 00:38:15,400 --> 00:38:17,840 Speaker 2: Trump at the very least on some of the attacks 852 00:38:17,840 --> 00:38:19,239 Speaker 2: that have been levied against him. 853 00:38:19,280 --> 00:38:20,439 Speaker 3: And you know, I've been. 854 00:38:20,360 --> 00:38:22,520 Speaker 2: Impressed by it, especially with the way he's been able 855 00:38:22,560 --> 00:38:24,879 Speaker 2: to take it on in Iowa. Here's what he had 856 00:38:24,880 --> 00:38:26,880 Speaker 2: to say on the ground. Keep in mind, in front 857 00:38:26,920 --> 00:38:28,680 Speaker 2: of Republican voters. Let's take a listen. 858 00:38:28,840 --> 00:38:33,480 Speaker 6: I do think unfortunately he's decided to move left on 859 00:38:33,520 --> 00:38:36,279 Speaker 6: some of these issues. If you say Cuomo did a 860 00:38:36,320 --> 00:38:39,200 Speaker 6: better job with COVID than Florida did, first of all, 861 00:38:39,200 --> 00:38:40,880 Speaker 6: that's not what he used to say. This is like 862 00:38:41,000 --> 00:38:43,919 Speaker 6: new like six months ago. He would have never said that, right. 863 00:38:44,160 --> 00:38:46,200 Speaker 6: He used to say how great Florida was. Hell, his 864 00:38:46,280 --> 00:38:49,200 Speaker 6: whole family moved to Florida under my governorship, are you 865 00:38:49,280 --> 00:38:51,600 Speaker 6: kidding me? It's also the case that you know, we're 866 00:38:51,600 --> 00:38:53,400 Speaker 6: proud of what we've been able to do in our state. 867 00:38:53,800 --> 00:38:57,480 Speaker 6: We won the biggest election landslide that Florida Republicans have 868 00:38:57,520 --> 00:39:00,399 Speaker 6: ever won. And did he ever say anything, I got 869 00:39:00,440 --> 00:39:01,680 Speaker 6: a boy, good job. 870 00:39:01,880 --> 00:39:02,040 Speaker 3: No. 871 00:39:02,360 --> 00:39:06,840 Speaker 6: He attacked me three days before the midterm election, and 872 00:39:06,880 --> 00:39:10,120 Speaker 6: then he started attacking after that. And so I'm just 873 00:39:10,160 --> 00:39:13,600 Speaker 6: thinking to myself, you're a Florida resident. If I saw 874 00:39:13,640 --> 00:39:17,920 Speaker 6: an election landslide where we swept every statewide office, super 875 00:39:17,960 --> 00:39:21,720 Speaker 6: majorities in the legislature, elect twenty nine conservative school board members, 876 00:39:22,000 --> 00:39:24,640 Speaker 6: as a Florida resident, I would be cheering for that. 877 00:39:25,280 --> 00:39:27,560 Speaker 6: If you put the mission first, you would definitely be 878 00:39:27,680 --> 00:39:28,359 Speaker 6: cheering for that. 879 00:39:28,560 --> 00:39:31,759 Speaker 3: What can you say, Crystal? He's right, He's obviously correct. A. 880 00:39:31,920 --> 00:39:34,840 Speaker 2: You moved to Florida, your whole family became residents. And 881 00:39:34,880 --> 00:39:37,560 Speaker 2: the second one is I still believe that is the 882 00:39:37,680 --> 00:39:41,800 Speaker 2: strongest attack against Trump, which is I'm an actual winner. 883 00:39:42,120 --> 00:39:45,759 Speaker 3: I one big. You are the one who cost us. 884 00:39:45,840 --> 00:39:48,120 Speaker 2: He actually even said later on, he said we would 885 00:39:48,160 --> 00:39:50,120 Speaker 2: have had fifty five Senate seats if it wasn't for 886 00:39:50,239 --> 00:39:53,560 Speaker 2: mother nonsense that was going on. Also possibly correct, right, 887 00:39:53,719 --> 00:39:56,560 Speaker 2: given what the term, given what the wins were and 888 00:39:56,600 --> 00:40:00,160 Speaker 2: all that. Who knows with roversus Wade, let's put that aside. 889 00:40:00,400 --> 00:40:03,960 Speaker 2: The problem for DeSantis is for him, for the GOP 890 00:40:04,120 --> 00:40:07,839 Speaker 2: bas to overall coalesce around that message, they would also 891 00:40:07,880 --> 00:40:10,040 Speaker 2: have to believe that Trump was a loser, and they 892 00:40:10,040 --> 00:40:12,680 Speaker 2: don't believe Trump was a loser. That that's the has 893 00:40:12,719 --> 00:40:15,200 Speaker 2: like and I've said the Gordian knot before. I really 894 00:40:15,200 --> 00:40:17,319 Speaker 2: think it is because I watched that and I'm like, man, 895 00:40:17,360 --> 00:40:21,359 Speaker 2: that is such a compelling general election case. But we're 896 00:40:21,400 --> 00:40:23,560 Speaker 2: not in a general election. Yeah, We're in a primary. 897 00:40:23,560 --> 00:40:26,319 Speaker 2: And he has got to make he is. He's got 898 00:40:26,360 --> 00:40:28,080 Speaker 2: a project on his hand, which is always the hardest 899 00:40:28,080 --> 00:40:29,719 Speaker 2: thing to do. You have to change the way that 900 00:40:29,880 --> 00:40:32,560 Speaker 2: voters think. You almost never can do that in politics. 901 00:40:32,640 --> 00:40:34,960 Speaker 2: You usually have to come and meet MO voters exactly 902 00:40:34,960 --> 00:40:37,880 Speaker 2: where they are. He has to change, he has to 903 00:40:37,960 --> 00:40:41,720 Speaker 2: change their thoughts from Trump won and was unfairly stolen 904 00:40:41,920 --> 00:40:44,440 Speaker 2: to Trump is a loser and I'm an actual winner. 905 00:40:44,640 --> 00:40:46,600 Speaker 2: I personally just feel that it's such a titanic task 906 00:40:46,640 --> 00:40:48,880 Speaker 2: that it's not able to accomplish. But I think if 907 00:40:48,920 --> 00:40:51,000 Speaker 2: it ever could be, it's going to look something like that. 908 00:40:51,120 --> 00:40:53,359 Speaker 2: Nobody else has been willing to say something, nobody else 909 00:40:53,360 --> 00:40:54,680 Speaker 2: has been willing to take him on this way. 910 00:40:54,719 --> 00:40:56,920 Speaker 1: Well, he tried the other approach of staying quiet, and 911 00:40:56,920 --> 00:40:59,759 Speaker 1: it failed, and he saw his polls go like this. 912 00:41:00,400 --> 00:41:03,560 Speaker 1: So I think he looked at that state of affairs 913 00:41:03,560 --> 00:41:05,840 Speaker 1: and said, all right, well, that strategy is not working, 914 00:41:06,040 --> 00:41:09,920 Speaker 1: especially because everybody else in the race, or even theoretically 915 00:41:09,960 --> 00:41:11,640 Speaker 1: going to get in the race, they were all taking 916 00:41:11,680 --> 00:41:15,440 Speaker 1: shots at him, not at Trump. So after watching that 917 00:41:15,520 --> 00:41:18,560 Speaker 1: all unfold and seeing that it wasn't a winning strategy 918 00:41:18,640 --> 00:41:20,719 Speaker 1: for him, He's decided to go on the offense. And 919 00:41:20,880 --> 00:41:23,080 Speaker 1: I think that makes a lot of you know, logical 920 00:41:23,160 --> 00:41:26,680 Speaker 1: rational sense. I saw this morning Trump just put out 921 00:41:27,080 --> 00:41:30,239 Speaker 1: this mashup I think over on true social of Ron 922 00:41:30,280 --> 00:41:35,040 Speaker 1: DeSantis just kissing his but to try to get his endorsement, 923 00:41:35,360 --> 00:41:39,480 Speaker 1: going on Fox this is the greatest Republican president that 924 00:41:39,520 --> 00:41:43,120 Speaker 1: we've had, and going on and on, Oh, he's the 925 00:41:43,280 --> 00:41:45,360 Speaker 1: art of the deal and he knows how to negotiate 926 00:41:45,480 --> 00:41:47,720 Speaker 1: the whole bit because he was desperate to get Trump's 927 00:41:47,719 --> 00:41:49,400 Speaker 1: approval and get his endorsement. I mean that part is 928 00:41:49,560 --> 00:41:52,920 Speaker 1: actually true that Trump says about him and you know 929 00:41:53,040 --> 00:41:55,160 Speaker 1: that sort of stuff. It's kind of more visceral than 930 00:41:55,280 --> 00:42:01,080 Speaker 1: this like theoretical ideological policy distinctions that he's making here. 931 00:42:01,320 --> 00:42:03,880 Speaker 1: I'm going to be interested to see. I genuinely don't know. 932 00:42:03,960 --> 00:42:06,000 Speaker 1: I'm going to be you know, humble about making any 933 00:42:06,000 --> 00:42:09,799 Speaker 1: predictions here. I want to see does DeSantis going on 934 00:42:09,840 --> 00:42:11,640 Speaker 1: in the offense? Does it move the polls at all? 935 00:42:12,000 --> 00:42:13,960 Speaker 4: It's really open in my mind. 936 00:42:14,000 --> 00:42:18,080 Speaker 1: It's really open whether it changes anything, whether it causes 937 00:42:18,160 --> 00:42:19,800 Speaker 1: him to go up in the polls, or it actually 938 00:42:19,840 --> 00:42:21,880 Speaker 1: could cause him to go down very easily. 939 00:42:22,160 --> 00:42:24,760 Speaker 4: This could have a backlash. There's a reason why every 940 00:42:24,840 --> 00:42:26,080 Speaker 4: other candidate. 941 00:42:25,640 --> 00:42:28,080 Speaker 1: Has decided I'm not even going to say anything about 942 00:42:28,200 --> 00:42:31,480 Speaker 1: Daddy Trump because they're fearful of that backlash. And we've 943 00:42:31,480 --> 00:42:34,400 Speaker 1: seen many instances in the past where people, you know, 944 00:42:34,600 --> 00:42:37,200 Speaker 1: comment Trump and it ends up being too very much 945 00:42:37,239 --> 00:42:39,600 Speaker 1: to their detriment. So I wouldn't be surprised by that 946 00:42:39,640 --> 00:42:41,880 Speaker 1: outcome at all. I think he's got to do what 947 00:42:41,920 --> 00:42:43,799 Speaker 1: he's doing right now. I think it is, you know, 948 00:42:43,840 --> 00:42:45,600 Speaker 1: he's got to take a shot. You can't just sit 949 00:42:45,640 --> 00:42:47,600 Speaker 1: there and continue to take on water and take all 950 00:42:47,600 --> 00:42:49,880 Speaker 1: the hits from Trump and not say anything in your 951 00:42:49,920 --> 00:42:52,360 Speaker 1: defense and not try to push back. But you know, 952 00:42:52,360 --> 00:42:54,879 Speaker 1: I continue to be skeptical that it's really going to work. 953 00:42:54,800 --> 00:42:56,319 Speaker 3: Out for it. That's why I admire it, because it's 954 00:42:56,320 --> 00:42:57,759 Speaker 3: genuinely risky. You know. 955 00:42:57,840 --> 00:42:59,680 Speaker 2: Look, I mean remember how many times we were talking 956 00:42:59,719 --> 00:43:03,400 Speaker 2: during the twenty twenty primary with the Democrats or like 957 00:43:03,440 --> 00:43:06,840 Speaker 2: Bernie Sanders refuses to hit you know, Bernie uh toe 958 00:43:06,880 --> 00:43:09,719 Speaker 2: Biden because you personally likes him, and you know, even 959 00:43:09,760 --> 00:43:12,120 Speaker 2: though tech he's like, oh, it's existential, but also he's 960 00:43:12,160 --> 00:43:13,160 Speaker 2: my old friend Joe. 961 00:43:13,239 --> 00:43:15,000 Speaker 3: It's like, listen, you very rarely see it. 962 00:43:15,040 --> 00:43:18,240 Speaker 2: You very rarely see somebody who's a legitimate contender number 963 00:43:18,320 --> 00:43:22,040 Speaker 2: two actually go after the number one because of their 964 00:43:22,080 --> 00:43:23,600 Speaker 2: overall political popularity. 965 00:43:23,680 --> 00:43:25,400 Speaker 3: It's actually usually you see. 966 00:43:25,200 --> 00:43:27,520 Speaker 2: It from like the the number five and the number 967 00:43:27,560 --> 00:43:30,040 Speaker 2: six and all that, and then there's all because I mean, 968 00:43:30,040 --> 00:43:32,520 Speaker 2: here's the reason why, which is that the number two 969 00:43:32,640 --> 00:43:35,560 Speaker 2: preference for Trump voters is one hundred percent going to 970 00:43:35,560 --> 00:43:38,719 Speaker 2: be Ron DeSantis, and all the second choice data will 971 00:43:38,719 --> 00:43:41,640 Speaker 2: back that up vice versa. In terms of DeSantis, a 972 00:43:41,640 --> 00:43:44,280 Speaker 2: lot of the people who like DeSantis the big portion, 973 00:43:44,480 --> 00:43:47,120 Speaker 2: not the I'm done with Trump are I like Trump, 974 00:43:47,160 --> 00:43:50,399 Speaker 2: I'm willing to consider somebody else. Well, those people they're 975 00:43:50,400 --> 00:43:52,000 Speaker 2: gonna have Trump as their number two. They don't really 976 00:43:52,080 --> 00:43:54,839 Speaker 2: like to see party in fighting the whole Reagan rule 977 00:43:54,920 --> 00:43:58,160 Speaker 2: thou shall not attack or whatever a fellow Republican. And 978 00:43:58,239 --> 00:44:01,520 Speaker 2: DeSantis has decided correctly, I think, which is look, kissing 979 00:44:01,560 --> 00:44:03,680 Speaker 2: his ass all the way to the finish line. It's 980 00:44:03,719 --> 00:44:07,239 Speaker 2: not gonna work, as you saw by his sinking like 981 00:44:07,280 --> 00:44:09,560 Speaker 2: a rock in all of these polls. The only way 982 00:44:09,800 --> 00:44:12,560 Speaker 2: is to draw a contrast high risk because also he 983 00:44:12,600 --> 00:44:15,320 Speaker 2: could flame out, you know, he could lose, go down 984 00:44:15,640 --> 00:44:18,600 Speaker 2: and then never be seen as a treadible, credible alternative 985 00:44:18,600 --> 00:44:21,560 Speaker 2: to Trump in the future. And Trump will not only 986 00:44:21,600 --> 00:44:23,600 Speaker 2: win the primary, but then ridicule and make fun of 987 00:44:23,640 --> 00:44:25,000 Speaker 2: him for the next eight year. 988 00:44:25,080 --> 00:44:27,719 Speaker 3: Yes, you know, so this is a very risky strategy. Yeah, 989 00:44:27,719 --> 00:44:29,839 Speaker 3: which is again why I respect it. It might work. 990 00:44:30,120 --> 00:44:32,360 Speaker 1: That is that's a good point. A lot of the 991 00:44:32,400 --> 00:44:34,880 Speaker 1: other people that are in the race. Yeah, they'd like 992 00:44:34,920 --> 00:44:36,960 Speaker 1: to be president now, they'd like to be Trump, but 993 00:44:36,960 --> 00:44:39,520 Speaker 1: they're also positioning themselves for like maybe. 994 00:44:39,360 --> 00:44:42,240 Speaker 4: I'll get a cabinet stirs terry of Treasury. Maybe, you know, if. 995 00:44:42,080 --> 00:44:44,319 Speaker 1: Trump wins, then he can only serve one term. Maybe 996 00:44:44,360 --> 00:44:46,920 Speaker 1: I'll be next in line. And if that's a strategy 997 00:44:46,960 --> 00:44:49,479 Speaker 1: you are pursuing, the most intelligent thing to do is. 998 00:44:49,400 --> 00:44:52,200 Speaker 4: To you know, basically praise. I like Trump's policies and 999 00:44:52,200 --> 00:44:52,919 Speaker 4: he was a great leader. 1000 00:44:52,920 --> 00:44:54,279 Speaker 1: I just think it's time to move on or say 1001 00:44:54,280 --> 00:44:56,120 Speaker 1: something generic like that, like that's kind of the Tim 1002 00:44:56,120 --> 00:45:00,759 Speaker 1: Scott approach, for example. And so, yeah, Santis has put 1003 00:45:00,760 --> 00:45:04,000 Speaker 1: all his eggs in this basket because very likely if 1004 00:45:04,040 --> 00:45:07,839 Speaker 1: you genuinely go on the offense against Trump and it doesn't. 1005 00:45:07,520 --> 00:45:09,440 Speaker 4: Work out for you, you may. 1006 00:45:09,280 --> 00:45:12,200 Speaker 1: Be dead within Republican politics in terms of ever running 1007 00:45:12,200 --> 00:45:14,399 Speaker 1: for president again. Certainly in terms of getting any sort 1008 00:45:14,400 --> 00:45:17,440 Speaker 1: of like plumb post ambassadorship or cabinet position or whatever 1009 00:45:17,480 --> 00:45:20,520 Speaker 1: in a future potential Trump administration, you could be crushing 1010 00:45:20,560 --> 00:45:21,680 Speaker 1: your entire political future. 1011 00:45:21,719 --> 00:45:23,680 Speaker 2: Yeah, he's only forty four years old. He's not playing 1012 00:45:23,680 --> 00:45:25,920 Speaker 2: it safe, and you know, personally. 1013 00:45:25,640 --> 00:45:27,040 Speaker 3: I like it. Yeah, all right, So let's go to 1014 00:45:27,080 --> 00:45:27,879 Speaker 3: the next one here. 1015 00:45:28,120 --> 00:45:30,360 Speaker 2: It's a bit of a problem for Ron, you know, 1016 00:45:30,400 --> 00:45:32,640 Speaker 2: after we just praised him a little bit. Put this 1017 00:45:32,719 --> 00:45:35,200 Speaker 2: up there about the starring rob. 1018 00:45:35,600 --> 00:45:36,920 Speaker 3: Let's put this up there on the screen. 1019 00:45:37,040 --> 00:45:40,120 Speaker 2: Leaked audio from a Ron Desanta's donor event is very 1020 00:45:40,120 --> 00:45:43,160 Speaker 2: bad news for his campaign. This is a reporter over 1021 00:45:43,200 --> 00:45:45,560 Speaker 2: at the Daily Beast. You got his hands on some 1022 00:45:45,719 --> 00:45:48,200 Speaker 2: leaked audio from inside of this. But it actually shows 1023 00:45:48,320 --> 00:45:52,360 Speaker 2: data internal Ron DeSantis data, which is really not that great. 1024 00:45:52,640 --> 00:45:55,480 Speaker 2: The data they showed showed both Trump and DeSantis quote 1025 00:45:55,520 --> 00:45:58,399 Speaker 2: unquote virtually tied. Now, of course they're trying to show 1026 00:45:58,440 --> 00:46:01,560 Speaker 2: the silver linings, but really what they did is they 1027 00:46:01,640 --> 00:46:05,000 Speaker 2: presented data showing him with better favorability in. 1028 00:46:04,920 --> 00:46:05,800 Speaker 3: Some of these states. 1029 00:46:05,800 --> 00:46:09,000 Speaker 2: But they also had a presentation where they try to 1030 00:46:09,040 --> 00:46:13,560 Speaker 2: explain why Desantas is not running stronger against Trump, but 1031 00:46:13,760 --> 00:46:16,400 Speaker 2: that means that the governor has not faced any current 1032 00:46:16,400 --> 00:46:18,640 Speaker 2: substance of a tax as president. They show that his 1033 00:46:18,800 --> 00:46:22,319 Speaker 2: favorability ratings actually might be inflated because he hasn't been 1034 00:46:22,360 --> 00:46:25,640 Speaker 2: fully attacked and defined by Trump on this. And it's 1035 00:46:25,680 --> 00:46:29,080 Speaker 2: also shows you that his favorability rating Trump's is still 1036 00:46:29,280 --> 00:46:33,239 Speaker 2: so high in every single one of these places, and 1037 00:46:33,640 --> 00:46:36,360 Speaker 2: not only that, according to their internal data, it's. 1038 00:46:36,360 --> 00:46:37,879 Speaker 3: Almost immovable at this point. 1039 00:46:38,200 --> 00:46:41,439 Speaker 2: And to that, I think they're right, which is what 1040 00:46:41,480 --> 00:46:43,600 Speaker 2: can you possibly say about him that has. 1041 00:46:43,480 --> 00:46:44,040 Speaker 3: Not been said? 1042 00:46:44,160 --> 00:46:47,480 Speaker 2: Yeah, everything exists every person in this country has been 1043 00:46:47,520 --> 00:46:50,840 Speaker 2: bombarded for the last seven years with ex Trump, the 1044 00:46:51,160 --> 00:46:54,160 Speaker 2: good things about Trump, bad things about Trump. It's exhausting, 1045 00:46:54,480 --> 00:46:57,480 Speaker 2: and so you're never I really believe at this point 1046 00:46:57,480 --> 00:47:00,000 Speaker 2: you will not change the way that anybody feels about Trump. 1047 00:47:00,200 --> 00:47:02,799 Speaker 2: You may like now, you could change somebody who goes 1048 00:47:02,840 --> 00:47:04,320 Speaker 2: I like him. I don't think it'll be as effective 1049 00:47:04,360 --> 00:47:07,080 Speaker 2: as a president. Again, I just did a whole segment 1050 00:47:07,080 --> 00:47:08,560 Speaker 2: on this where I'm like, I don't. I think that's 1051 00:47:08,560 --> 00:47:11,120 Speaker 2: a very tall order, but maybe that's something that could 1052 00:47:11,200 --> 00:47:14,080 Speaker 2: actually happen. But when you're looking at some of his 1053 00:47:14,239 --> 00:47:17,680 Speaker 2: internal data here even in the early voting states, to 1054 00:47:17,680 --> 00:47:20,720 Speaker 2: basically admit that your favorability ratings aren't as high as Trump, 1055 00:47:21,239 --> 00:47:24,080 Speaker 2: and that you're basically trying to show that, you know, 1056 00:47:24,239 --> 00:47:29,319 Speaker 2: a lot of this is even pre hotly contested primary 1057 00:47:29,719 --> 00:47:31,040 Speaker 2: that's not necessarily the bad thing. 1058 00:47:31,160 --> 00:47:33,399 Speaker 1: Yeah, So you know all campaigns will do this still, 1059 00:47:33,480 --> 00:47:36,120 Speaker 1: cherry pick data to present to donors that's like their 1060 00:47:36,280 --> 00:47:39,919 Speaker 1: best theory of the case. And so Daily Beast gets 1061 00:47:39,920 --> 00:47:42,719 Speaker 1: their hands on this leaked audio, and the problem for 1062 00:47:42,920 --> 00:47:46,000 Speaker 1: the DeSantis camp is that it's sort of obvious by 1063 00:47:46,040 --> 00:47:48,520 Speaker 1: the way they're cherry picking things and what the numbers are. 1064 00:47:48,560 --> 00:47:50,640 Speaker 1: On the other side, that they have a pretty that 1065 00:47:50,680 --> 00:47:52,439 Speaker 1: they got a tough road, and then in some ways 1066 00:47:52,480 --> 00:47:54,600 Speaker 1: the data that they picked actually made a better case 1067 00:47:54,600 --> 00:47:57,440 Speaker 1: for Trump than it made for DeSantis. One of the 1068 00:47:57,440 --> 00:48:02,600 Speaker 1: pieces that I found particularly interesting is DeSantis's team presented 1069 00:48:02,680 --> 00:48:05,480 Speaker 1: datas showing voters believe the governor to be more conservative 1070 00:48:05,480 --> 00:48:07,640 Speaker 1: than Trump, a fact the presenter can be heard in 1071 00:48:07,640 --> 00:48:10,040 Speaker 1: the leaked audio saying quote is really important in a 1072 00:48:10,080 --> 00:48:14,400 Speaker 1: Republican primary. Indeed, DeSantis is considered very conservative by half 1073 00:48:14,480 --> 00:48:17,719 Speaker 1: of likely GOP voters in Iowa, forty three percent in 1074 00:48:17,760 --> 00:48:21,360 Speaker 1: New Hampshire, forty five percent in South Carolina. But the 1075 00:48:21,440 --> 00:48:26,480 Speaker 1: problem is Trump is actually winning voters who say that 1076 00:48:26,560 --> 00:48:30,759 Speaker 1: they are very conservative. So even though voters in the 1077 00:48:30,800 --> 00:48:33,839 Speaker 1: GOP base think DeSantis by and large they think he's 1078 00:48:33,880 --> 00:48:38,080 Speaker 1: more conservative than Trump, even those who self identify as like, yeah, 1079 00:48:38,120 --> 00:48:41,200 Speaker 1: that's my lane and that's how I identify myself, many of 1080 00:48:41,239 --> 00:48:45,120 Speaker 1: them majority are still voting for Trump. So DeSantis, the 1081 00:48:45,120 --> 00:48:47,680 Speaker 1: way he's positioned himself is I'm a hit Trump from 1082 00:48:47,719 --> 00:48:49,640 Speaker 1: the right. I'm a position myself to the right on 1083 00:48:49,719 --> 00:48:53,120 Speaker 1: key issues like abortion for example, and that's going to 1084 00:48:53,120 --> 00:48:56,160 Speaker 1: be my way of sort of stripping some of his 1085 00:48:56,360 --> 00:48:58,680 Speaker 1: voting base from him by persuading them that I am 1086 00:48:58,680 --> 00:49:02,080 Speaker 1: the real conservative. But at least at this early stage 1087 00:49:02,080 --> 00:49:05,160 Speaker 1: in the game, he has successfully convinced voters that he 1088 00:49:05,360 --> 00:49:08,399 Speaker 1: is more conservative than Trump, but they're still like, yeah, 1089 00:49:08,440 --> 00:49:11,600 Speaker 1: I've always still liked Trump. Yes, I mean, that's pretty 1090 00:49:11,680 --> 00:49:13,560 Speaker 1: damaging in terms of your prospects. And the other thing 1091 00:49:13,560 --> 00:49:15,000 Speaker 1: that you were pointing to sober that I think is 1092 00:49:15,000 --> 00:49:19,279 Speaker 1: really important. Trump's favorability, which is high among Republicans, is 1093 00:49:20,040 --> 00:49:21,600 Speaker 1: it's a solid as. 1094 00:49:21,440 --> 00:49:22,640 Speaker 4: It could possibly be. 1095 00:49:22,760 --> 00:49:24,920 Speaker 3: It will change, It's not going to change. 1096 00:49:25,400 --> 00:49:29,040 Speaker 1: DeSantis has a high favorability among Republican voters, but people 1097 00:49:29,120 --> 00:49:30,840 Speaker 1: know him a lot less and so his is a 1098 00:49:30,840 --> 00:49:34,319 Speaker 1: lot softer. So it's unlikely it's going to go up, 1099 00:49:34,920 --> 00:49:38,359 Speaker 1: very possible that it goes down. So that is, you know, 1100 00:49:38,440 --> 00:49:40,920 Speaker 1: that's a potential weakness for him. Now they are presenting 1101 00:49:41,000 --> 00:49:43,200 Speaker 1: it as like, oh, he hasn't even introduced himself to 1102 00:49:43,360 --> 00:49:46,520 Speaker 1: the public, But the flip side of that is, yeah, 1103 00:49:46,520 --> 00:49:49,080 Speaker 1: he also hasn't gotten into the full melee of a 1104 00:49:49,080 --> 00:49:53,359 Speaker 1: presidential campaign, with where ratings almost always go down rather 1105 00:49:53,400 --> 00:49:55,399 Speaker 1: than go up. Because you're just taking on so much 1106 00:49:55,400 --> 00:49:56,239 Speaker 1: water from everybody else. 1107 00:49:56,239 --> 00:49:58,680 Speaker 2: It's also worth talking about favorability to Republicans. Do you 1108 00:49:58,719 --> 00:50:00,520 Speaker 2: know what that actually means. It means how much the 1109 00:50:00,520 --> 00:50:03,719 Speaker 2: liberal mainstream media hates you. That's basically it. And it's 1110 00:50:03,800 --> 00:50:05,960 Speaker 2: like Trump, you can say many things. 1111 00:50:06,040 --> 00:50:07,920 Speaker 3: He is the king of being hated. 1112 00:50:08,280 --> 00:50:11,239 Speaker 2: Sure the media hates DeSantis, but they don't necessarily hate 1113 00:50:11,320 --> 00:50:15,160 Speaker 2: him in the same visceral like he's a fascist and 1114 00:50:15,160 --> 00:50:17,400 Speaker 2: all these other cringe you know, takes that have been 1115 00:50:17,440 --> 00:50:19,560 Speaker 2: flying around now for seven years. Trump is the king 1116 00:50:19,560 --> 00:50:21,839 Speaker 2: of that, Like he is the person who invites more 1117 00:50:21,840 --> 00:50:25,440 Speaker 2: emotional reaction than any single human being probably in the 1118 00:50:25,560 --> 00:50:28,920 Speaker 2: United States, which, by the other, you know, the contrast 1119 00:50:29,040 --> 00:50:32,520 Speaker 2: is a huge number of Republicans love that about him 1120 00:50:32,520 --> 00:50:35,560 Speaker 2: because he pisses off their enemies more than anyone else. Desantus, 1121 00:50:36,080 --> 00:50:37,520 Speaker 2: you know, part of his whole thing about like I'm 1122 00:50:37,520 --> 00:50:40,960 Speaker 2: getting serious. Part of seriousness is not engaging in Mika 1123 00:50:41,000 --> 00:50:45,080 Speaker 2: Brazinski's facelift and pissing people off. So that's difficult, you know, 1124 00:50:45,160 --> 00:50:48,960 Speaker 2: for your favorability ratings. Again, that's a great case. Most 1125 00:50:49,000 --> 00:50:52,120 Speaker 2: of the general election, and most Americans are exhausted by that, 1126 00:50:52,200 --> 00:50:56,120 Speaker 2: but Republicans specifically actually love it more than anything. Now, 1127 00:50:56,200 --> 00:50:59,000 Speaker 2: are there enough of them who are exhausted by it? 1128 00:50:59,440 --> 00:51:00,960 Speaker 2: None of that that currently indicates that. 1129 00:51:01,120 --> 00:51:01,759 Speaker 3: Yeah. 1130 00:51:01,800 --> 00:51:04,279 Speaker 1: Also, by the way, Republicans think that Trump is more 1131 00:51:04,360 --> 00:51:06,840 Speaker 1: likely to win in the fall, now whether that's whether 1132 00:51:06,880 --> 00:51:08,640 Speaker 1: that's the case, so that wasn't from this leaked audio, 1133 00:51:08,640 --> 00:51:11,040 Speaker 1: that's from other peoples. They'd see him as a stronger 1134 00:51:11,080 --> 00:51:14,080 Speaker 1: candidate to defeat Joe Biden. Whether that's true or not, 1135 00:51:14,360 --> 00:51:16,840 Speaker 1: literally don't know. I think that Dessanta, some of the 1136 00:51:16,880 --> 00:51:20,600 Speaker 1: ideological positioning he has done has made him more vulnerable 1137 00:51:20,680 --> 00:51:23,040 Speaker 1: in terms of a general election and compromise some of 1138 00:51:23,080 --> 00:51:27,359 Speaker 1: his electability case to voters in my opinion, But you know, 1139 00:51:27,400 --> 00:51:29,520 Speaker 1: who knows what the whimsor voters are at the end 1140 00:51:29,560 --> 00:51:31,560 Speaker 1: of the day. I really don't advise you all to 1141 00:51:31,600 --> 00:51:33,600 Speaker 1: be thinking about candidates in terms of trying to play 1142 00:51:33,600 --> 00:51:35,360 Speaker 1: pundit and predict which one is going to win and 1143 00:51:35,400 --> 00:51:37,960 Speaker 1: which one is not going to win. But you know 1144 00:51:38,040 --> 00:51:39,879 Speaker 1: that is also an issue for him that his two 1145 00:51:39,920 --> 00:51:42,600 Speaker 1: key cases are I'm the true conservative and people are 1146 00:51:42,640 --> 00:51:45,319 Speaker 1: like that's true, but we still like Trump, and I'm 1147 00:51:45,320 --> 00:51:47,080 Speaker 1: more electable and people are like, yeah, we don't really 1148 00:51:47,080 --> 00:51:49,719 Speaker 1: buy that. We think Trump Trump, We think Trump did win. 1149 00:51:49,800 --> 00:51:52,080 Speaker 1: We think he you know, we obviously won in twenty sixteen. 1150 00:51:52,360 --> 00:51:54,319 Speaker 1: We think he won in twenty twenty. We think he 1151 00:51:54,320 --> 00:51:56,239 Speaker 1: can win again, and we want to stick with our guy. 1152 00:51:56,760 --> 00:52:00,919 Speaker 1: I think, you know, picking up on one you made Zccer, 1153 00:52:00,960 --> 00:52:05,680 Speaker 1: which I think is very insightful. The most successful politicians, Yeah, 1154 00:52:05,680 --> 00:52:09,279 Speaker 1: they don't change people like what they're already thinking. They 1155 00:52:09,360 --> 00:52:15,000 Speaker 1: speak to something people already feel but maybe haven't fully articulated. 1156 00:52:15,120 --> 00:52:17,360 Speaker 1: Maybe hasn't you know, no one has really grabbed on 1157 00:52:17,440 --> 00:52:19,640 Speaker 1: to the sentiment and being able to run with it. 1158 00:52:19,960 --> 00:52:23,080 Speaker 1: So it's something that's there, bubbling under the surface, and 1159 00:52:23,120 --> 00:52:25,320 Speaker 1: they're able to harness that and really capture that. I 1160 00:52:25,320 --> 00:52:27,440 Speaker 1: think Trump is a perfect example of that in twenty 1161 00:52:27,480 --> 00:52:30,839 Speaker 1: sixteen speaking to you know, the carnage and the russ ballot, 1162 00:52:30,840 --> 00:52:32,360 Speaker 1: and I mean there was a lot, in my opinion, 1163 00:52:32,560 --> 00:52:35,799 Speaker 1: very ugly like xenophobia that was packed into that, but 1164 00:52:36,200 --> 00:52:39,600 Speaker 1: there was a genuine sentiment of the area that I 1165 00:52:39,640 --> 00:52:42,800 Speaker 1: live in, my prospects for myself, my prospects for my kids, 1166 00:52:42,840 --> 00:52:45,560 Speaker 1: Like no one is really speaking to these challenges. And 1167 00:52:45,640 --> 00:52:48,600 Speaker 1: Hillary Clinton was the perfect opponent for him to go 1168 00:52:48,719 --> 00:52:50,839 Speaker 1: up against to make the case of like, these are 1169 00:52:50,840 --> 00:52:53,360 Speaker 1: the people that sold you out. So he really spoke 1170 00:52:53,400 --> 00:52:56,840 Speaker 1: to something that was already there that no one was capturing. 1171 00:52:57,280 --> 00:53:00,400 Speaker 1: And I just don't see any sign that DeSantis, in 1172 00:53:00,560 --> 00:53:03,960 Speaker 1: order to overcome Trump, who is a juggernaut within the 1173 00:53:04,000 --> 00:53:06,560 Speaker 1: Republican primary, is a juggernaut in American politics period. 1174 00:53:07,120 --> 00:53:09,160 Speaker 4: In order to do that, you are really. 1175 00:53:08,880 --> 00:53:12,320 Speaker 1: Going to have to have that same like spidy sense 1176 00:53:12,480 --> 00:53:15,120 Speaker 1: of what it is bubbling underneath the surface for the 1177 00:53:15,160 --> 00:53:19,399 Speaker 1: Republican base, that isn't being harnessed, isn't being articulated, isn't 1178 00:53:19,400 --> 00:53:22,600 Speaker 1: being spoken to. I personally don't see that he has 1179 00:53:22,680 --> 00:53:24,719 Speaker 1: managed to pull that off yet, But I'm also not 1180 00:53:24,760 --> 00:53:27,799 Speaker 1: a Republican voter, so maybe he has more insights into 1181 00:53:27,800 --> 00:53:28,319 Speaker 1: this than I do. 1182 00:53:28,480 --> 00:53:28,880 Speaker 3: Exactly. 1183 00:53:28,920 --> 00:53:32,480 Speaker 2: Look, I mean, at this time, it's really a wait 1184 00:53:32,560 --> 00:53:34,600 Speaker 2: and see game and we'll just see how it works out. 1185 00:53:37,160 --> 00:53:39,040 Speaker 3: Let's go to the next part on Ukraine. 1186 00:53:39,080 --> 00:53:42,520 Speaker 2: There's some big important developments that have been happening in 1187 00:53:42,560 --> 00:53:45,560 Speaker 2: the Ukraine conflict. One of them, of course, was the 1188 00:53:45,640 --> 00:53:51,879 Speaker 2: Ukrainian presumptive Ukrainian strikes on Russian territory on Moscow, that 1189 00:53:52,239 --> 00:53:56,480 Speaker 2: ended up going into residential areas. Coming after a second 1190 00:53:56,520 --> 00:54:00,000 Speaker 2: attack on the Kremlin itself, the White House Press Corps 1191 00:54:00,120 --> 00:54:03,920 Speaker 2: asked the Biden administration, Hey, are you guys cool with 1192 00:54:04,120 --> 00:54:09,520 Speaker 2: our allied supposed allied government striking Russia and residential areas 1193 00:54:09,560 --> 00:54:13,640 Speaker 2: and potentially even with US equipment after they promised that 1194 00:54:13,680 --> 00:54:16,080 Speaker 2: they would never do so when you provided them with 1195 00:54:16,160 --> 00:54:18,960 Speaker 2: F sixteen's, And she didn't have a real answer. 1196 00:54:19,000 --> 00:54:19,919 Speaker 3: Here's what she had to say. 1197 00:54:20,080 --> 00:54:22,799 Speaker 6: It's the president belief that Ukraine risks losing the moral 1198 00:54:22,880 --> 00:54:23,640 Speaker 6: high ground. 1199 00:54:23,360 --> 00:54:26,760 Speaker 4: In this conflict if it strikes at Tehia cimillion targets 1200 00:54:26,760 --> 00:54:27,160 Speaker 4: in Moscow. 1201 00:54:27,239 --> 00:54:29,560 Speaker 7: So I'm going to be very clear, we're gathering information. 1202 00:54:29,640 --> 00:54:32,600 Speaker 7: I'm not going to get into hypotheticals from here. We 1203 00:54:32,640 --> 00:54:36,640 Speaker 7: do not support the use of US made equipment being 1204 00:54:36,920 --> 00:54:40,239 Speaker 7: used for attax inside of Russia. We've been very clear 1205 00:54:40,280 --> 00:54:40,680 Speaker 7: about that. 1206 00:54:40,920 --> 00:54:43,440 Speaker 2: Oh, we've been very clear about that. We don't support it. 1207 00:54:43,480 --> 00:54:44,280 Speaker 2: We're still gathering. 1208 00:54:44,400 --> 00:54:45,480 Speaker 3: But here's the issue. 1209 00:54:45,640 --> 00:54:47,560 Speaker 2: The US is not the only one who's involved in 1210 00:54:47,560 --> 00:54:50,400 Speaker 2: this conflict, and in fact, our so called cousins, I 1211 00:54:50,400 --> 00:54:53,480 Speaker 2: guess across the Atlantic, if you think our press and 1212 00:54:53,600 --> 00:54:55,360 Speaker 2: our country is crazy about Ukraine. 1213 00:54:55,600 --> 00:54:57,799 Speaker 3: As I found out while I was over there, we 1214 00:54:57,880 --> 00:54:59,319 Speaker 3: got nothing on the UK. 1215 00:54:59,560 --> 00:55:00,920 Speaker 2: Put this up up there on the screen because it 1216 00:55:00,960 --> 00:55:03,719 Speaker 2: includes an important quote from the British Foreign Secretary, so 1217 00:55:03,719 --> 00:55:07,120 Speaker 2: effectively their Secretary of State, James Cleverly. He says quote 1218 00:55:07,200 --> 00:55:10,360 Speaker 2: Ukraine has the right to project force beyond its borders. 1219 00:55:10,680 --> 00:55:13,400 Speaker 2: And also a spokesperson for the German government said that 1220 00:55:13,520 --> 00:55:16,440 Speaker 2: international law of course allowed Ukraine to strike Russian territory 1221 00:55:16,600 --> 00:55:19,640 Speaker 2: in self defense, but then added that Berlin opposed the 1222 00:55:19,719 --> 00:55:22,880 Speaker 2: use of German weapons for such attacks. The Brits actually 1223 00:55:22,960 --> 00:55:25,720 Speaker 2: did not use the qualifier that they shouldn't use Theirs. 1224 00:55:25,719 --> 00:55:28,640 Speaker 3: And this is why it's so messy. No one is 1225 00:55:28,680 --> 00:55:29,680 Speaker 3: saying that they don't have the. 1226 00:55:29,719 --> 00:55:32,279 Speaker 2: Right to project force beyond their borders, which is what 1227 00:55:32,400 --> 00:55:35,239 Speaker 2: you know, Cleverly seems to be using this as And 1228 00:55:35,280 --> 00:55:35,759 Speaker 2: no one is. 1229 00:55:35,680 --> 00:55:38,000 Speaker 3: Saying that you can do whatever you want now. 1230 00:55:38,360 --> 00:55:40,279 Speaker 2: The idea though, that you should do whatever you want 1231 00:55:40,440 --> 00:55:42,280 Speaker 2: with the stuff that we give you is a whole 1232 00:55:42,280 --> 00:55:46,400 Speaker 2: other conversation. And actually, just this morning, crystal ironically, in 1233 00:55:46,440 --> 00:55:49,719 Speaker 2: the Washington Post, they published a story which is you know, 1234 00:55:49,719 --> 00:55:51,640 Speaker 2: people are already freaking out about because it just tells 1235 00:55:51,680 --> 00:55:55,920 Speaker 2: the truth quote Biden shows growing appetite to cross Putin's 1236 00:55:55,960 --> 00:55:56,719 Speaker 2: red lines. 1237 00:55:57,040 --> 00:55:58,839 Speaker 3: And here's what I love. 1238 00:55:59,160 --> 00:56:03,960 Speaker 2: Here is how the US defense policy makers put aside 1239 00:56:04,719 --> 00:56:08,799 Speaker 2: problems with red lines. US officials say the dynamic reason 1240 00:56:08,880 --> 00:56:11,160 Speaker 2: for brushing aside the threats is that, since the opening 1241 00:56:11,239 --> 00:56:13,919 Speaker 2: doors of the war, Russia's president has not followed through 1242 00:56:14,000 --> 00:56:17,160 Speaker 2: on promises to punish the West for providing weapons to Ukraine. 1243 00:56:17,200 --> 00:56:20,440 Speaker 2: His bluffing has given US and European leaders some confidence 1244 00:56:20,440 --> 00:56:23,799 Speaker 2: they can continue doing so without severe consequences. But to 1245 00:56:23,840 --> 00:56:26,840 Speaker 2: what extent remains one of the most dangerous uncertainty. So 1246 00:56:26,840 --> 00:56:30,000 Speaker 2: basically their argument is, well, they haven't done anything yet, 1247 00:56:30,200 --> 00:56:33,000 Speaker 2: so we'll just keep upping the ante and giving the 1248 00:56:33,080 --> 00:56:36,400 Speaker 2: Ukrainians whatever they want. I will once again remind everyone 1249 00:56:36,560 --> 00:56:40,520 Speaker 2: that we are literally openly crossing Putin's red lines and 1250 00:56:40,560 --> 00:56:44,239 Speaker 2: all this maybe that's worth it. Whenever Texas is at 1251 00:56:44,239 --> 00:56:47,840 Speaker 2: stake or a real ally like NATO or any of 1252 00:56:47,880 --> 00:56:52,360 Speaker 2: other people. We're talking about the eastern Dunboss region of Ukraine. 1253 00:56:52,719 --> 00:56:57,320 Speaker 2: In what world does it make sense to potentially drag 1254 00:56:57,440 --> 00:57:00,640 Speaker 2: us into a world war by Biden's own work, like 1255 00:57:00,719 --> 00:57:04,920 Speaker 2: not my words, his words over a scrap of territory 1256 00:57:05,160 --> 00:57:07,799 Speaker 2: in a place we have no formal agreement with and 1257 00:57:07,920 --> 00:57:10,640 Speaker 2: literally has zero importance to the global economy. 1258 00:57:10,760 --> 00:57:13,600 Speaker 3: This does not mean that I am not do not. 1259 00:57:13,640 --> 00:57:15,960 Speaker 2: Have deep empathy for the people who live in that region, 1260 00:57:16,000 --> 00:57:17,840 Speaker 2: who have been flattened, who have been killed, for all 1261 00:57:17,840 --> 00:57:19,800 Speaker 2: the soldiers, and for all the people in Ukraine who've 1262 00:57:19,800 --> 00:57:21,800 Speaker 2: been unjustly bombed and been killed by. 1263 00:57:21,720 --> 00:57:22,720 Speaker 3: The Russian machine. 1264 00:57:22,800 --> 00:57:25,960 Speaker 2: That does not mean that we should then put ourselves though, 1265 00:57:26,200 --> 00:57:28,720 Speaker 2: in a place where we need to risk our own 1266 00:57:28,800 --> 00:57:32,760 Speaker 2: national security over this you know, area of the globe. 1267 00:57:32,800 --> 00:57:37,280 Speaker 2: It's this basic cost benefit analysis which only you know 1268 00:57:37,360 --> 00:57:39,800 Speaker 2: are makes sense to people, Chrystal when you start using 1269 00:57:39,880 --> 00:57:44,560 Speaker 2: terms like democracy or you know, autocracy versus democracy, when 1270 00:57:44,600 --> 00:57:46,360 Speaker 2: we forget that one of the places that was invader 1271 00:57:46,360 --> 00:57:48,479 Speaker 2: is one of the most corrupt countries on planet Earth, 1272 00:57:48,480 --> 00:57:50,200 Speaker 2: invaded by the way, by one of the other most 1273 00:57:50,240 --> 00:57:52,000 Speaker 2: corrupt countries on planet Earth. 1274 00:57:52,200 --> 00:57:54,080 Speaker 4: I mean, we're using Ukraine as a pawn in our 1275 00:57:54,080 --> 00:57:54,840 Speaker 4: great power games. 1276 00:57:54,880 --> 00:57:55,720 Speaker 3: Ridiculous we're doing. 1277 00:57:55,840 --> 00:57:58,640 Speaker 1: It has nothing to do with the sanctity of democracy 1278 00:57:58,920 --> 00:58:03,080 Speaker 1: or you know, national sovereignty or any or our love 1279 00:58:03,120 --> 00:58:06,840 Speaker 1: for Zelenski or anything like that. It's we see an 1280 00:58:06,840 --> 00:58:10,320 Speaker 1: opportunity to weaken a country that has been a rival 1281 00:58:11,080 --> 00:58:14,440 Speaker 1: still have this like cold war mentality baked in there. 1282 00:58:15,040 --> 00:58:18,520 Speaker 1: We're fearful of their alliance with China. We don't like Putin, 1283 00:58:18,600 --> 00:58:21,040 Speaker 1: he doesn't, you know, sde to our wishes, and you know, 1284 00:58:21,160 --> 00:58:24,080 Speaker 1: he's gone rogues since we like handpicked him for the job, 1285 00:58:24,160 --> 00:58:27,160 Speaker 1: by the way originally, and so they see it as 1286 00:58:27,160 --> 00:58:29,840 Speaker 1: an opportunity to push him out, and they're using Ukrainian 1287 00:58:29,880 --> 00:58:32,920 Speaker 1: lives as like, you know, fodder for our war games. 1288 00:58:34,080 --> 00:58:37,760 Speaker 1: I think it is disgraceful that I don't agree that 1289 00:58:37,880 --> 00:58:39,959 Speaker 1: Ukraine has a right to just do whatever they want, 1290 00:58:40,040 --> 00:58:43,160 Speaker 1: because you're talking about targeting residential civilian buildings, and I 1291 00:58:43,200 --> 00:58:46,400 Speaker 1: don't think that that's acceptable. I mean, in any instance, 1292 00:58:46,440 --> 00:58:48,240 Speaker 1: I don't think it's accepted. I don't think it's acceptable, 1293 00:58:48,240 --> 00:58:50,160 Speaker 1: and Russia does it. I don't think it's acceptable when 1294 00:58:50,200 --> 00:58:53,200 Speaker 1: we do it. You know, these are regular Russian people 1295 00:58:53,440 --> 00:58:56,600 Speaker 1: who you know didn't start this war, and some of 1296 00:58:56,640 --> 00:58:59,480 Speaker 1: them may be adamantly opposed to it. So you know, 1297 00:58:59,520 --> 00:59:01,400 Speaker 1: it's the same thing is saying like we'd be fair 1298 00:59:01,440 --> 00:59:04,840 Speaker 1: game because of our individual civilians in America being fair 1299 00:59:04,840 --> 00:59:06,960 Speaker 1: game because we started the war in a rock. So 1300 00:59:07,160 --> 00:59:10,560 Speaker 1: I don't accept that framing, but you know, do I 1301 00:59:10,720 --> 00:59:14,040 Speaker 1: understand certainly the idea of like Ukraine projecting them and 1302 00:59:14,080 --> 00:59:16,240 Speaker 1: doing everything they can to win the war on there. 1303 00:59:16,360 --> 00:59:20,240 Speaker 1: Of course, right, that doesn't mean that our interests coincide 1304 00:59:20,280 --> 00:59:22,920 Speaker 1: with theirs. It doesn't mean that it's not incredibly risky 1305 00:59:22,960 --> 00:59:26,200 Speaker 1: and dangerous escalation. And if you're Russia looking at our 1306 00:59:26,280 --> 00:59:31,880 Speaker 1: reaction to the targeting of residential apartment buildings in downtown Moscow, 1307 00:59:32,400 --> 00:59:34,880 Speaker 1: and we can't be bothered to even like come close 1308 00:59:34,920 --> 00:59:36,840 Speaker 1: to connect we say this theoret Oh we told them 1309 00:59:36,840 --> 00:59:39,919 Speaker 1: not to use our weapons for these strikes. Yeah, you're 1310 00:59:39,920 --> 00:59:42,960 Speaker 1: gonna just be furthered in your belief that this is 1311 00:59:43,000 --> 00:59:45,400 Speaker 1: in fact a proxy war and that we are in 1312 00:59:45,440 --> 00:59:48,280 Speaker 1: many ways enabling these types of attacks on their soil. 1313 00:59:48,320 --> 00:59:50,720 Speaker 1: I mean not, in many ways, we effectively are enabling 1314 00:59:50,760 --> 00:59:53,000 Speaker 1: these types of attacks on their soil. And it's also 1315 00:59:53,080 --> 00:59:55,360 Speaker 1: very likely to harden the Russian population and make them 1316 00:59:55,400 --> 00:59:58,080 Speaker 1: more committed to the war. Effort and willing to sustain 1317 00:59:58,400 --> 01:00:02,880 Speaker 1: and endure were hardship and you know, difficulties in order 1318 01:00:02,960 --> 01:00:07,240 Speaker 1: to be successful. So you can see that the Krumlin 1319 01:00:07,280 --> 01:00:10,760 Speaker 1: spokesman Dmitri Peskov, he's told reporters to Russia would have 1320 01:00:10,880 --> 01:00:13,760 Speaker 1: preferred to hear at least some words of condemnation and 1321 01:00:13,800 --> 01:00:16,080 Speaker 1: said we will calmly and deliberately think how to deal 1322 01:00:16,120 --> 01:00:19,040 Speaker 1: with this. I also always just reject this idea that's 1323 01:00:19,040 --> 01:00:21,520 Speaker 1: floated in the Washington Post and by the Biden administration 1324 01:00:21,520 --> 01:00:23,280 Speaker 1: that like, oh, Russia hasn't responded. 1325 01:00:23,600 --> 01:00:25,760 Speaker 4: I don't think that's true. I think they have responded. 1326 01:00:25,800 --> 01:00:28,640 Speaker 1: I think they have escalated, they did a draft, they've 1327 01:00:28,680 --> 01:00:31,280 Speaker 1: continued to expand operations, They've you know, stepped up their 1328 01:00:31,320 --> 01:00:33,360 Speaker 1: bombing of Kiev, which is horrific for the people that 1329 01:00:33,440 --> 01:00:37,400 Speaker 1: live there. So and they have just recently started talking 1330 01:00:37,440 --> 01:00:39,640 Speaker 1: again about nuke. Some of that talk had sort of 1331 01:00:39,680 --> 01:00:43,720 Speaker 1: like faded away. Now it's getting back into the official statements. 1332 01:00:43,760 --> 01:00:46,280 Speaker 1: And I think we even if there's a tiny, tiny, 1333 01:00:46,320 --> 01:00:50,040 Speaker 1: tiny percent chance that you know, that's a possibility, it's 1334 01:00:50,040 --> 01:00:51,720 Speaker 1: something we have to take deadly seriously. 1335 01:00:51,760 --> 01:00:52,840 Speaker 3: Of course, you have to take it seriously. 1336 01:00:52,800 --> 01:00:54,920 Speaker 2: These people have once again, these people have nuclear weapons, 1337 01:00:54,920 --> 01:00:56,840 Speaker 2: and everyone's like, oh, you're supposed to just back down. 1338 01:00:56,920 --> 01:01:00,280 Speaker 2: I mean no, whenever we're talking about again Berlin, Yes, 1339 01:01:00,400 --> 01:01:03,040 Speaker 2: maybe when we're talking about a scrap that literally has 1340 01:01:03,320 --> 01:01:06,800 Speaker 2: no effect on any of our lives here whatsoever. And 1341 01:01:06,840 --> 01:01:09,240 Speaker 2: look at the way this is. Medvedev put this up 1342 01:01:09,240 --> 01:01:11,000 Speaker 2: there on the screen. He was supposed to be the 1343 01:01:11,040 --> 01:01:13,880 Speaker 2: reasonable one. Look at the way that these people are talking. 1344 01:01:13,920 --> 01:01:17,160 Speaker 2: Now they've gone nuts, he says. The UK's Foreign secretary 1345 01:01:17,160 --> 01:01:19,640 Speaker 2: cleverly has stated Ukraine is a legitimate right to protect force. 1346 01:01:19,800 --> 01:01:24,000 Speaker 2: According to him, legitimate military beyond military targets beyond Ukraine's 1347 01:01:24,000 --> 01:01:26,440 Speaker 2: borders are part of its self defense. The goofy officials 1348 01:01:26,440 --> 01:01:29,880 Speaker 2: of the UK are quote eternal enemy. Should remember that 1349 01:01:29,920 --> 01:01:32,880 Speaker 2: within the framework of the universally accepted international law, of 1350 01:01:32,920 --> 01:01:35,120 Speaker 2: which they of course ignore, their state can also be 1351 01:01:35,200 --> 01:01:38,000 Speaker 2: qualified as being at war today. The UK acts as 1352 01:01:38,080 --> 01:01:40,240 Speaker 2: Ukraine's ally, providing it with military aid in the form 1353 01:01:40,280 --> 01:01:42,680 Speaker 2: of the equipment and specialist de facto is leading an 1354 01:01:42,760 --> 01:01:45,720 Speaker 2: undeclared war against Russia. That being the case, any of 1355 01:01:45,760 --> 01:01:48,760 Speaker 2: its public officials who facilitate the war can be considered 1356 01:01:48,800 --> 01:01:52,680 Speaker 2: as a legitimate military target. I mean basically openingly threatening 1357 01:01:52,880 --> 01:01:56,200 Speaker 2: assassination and you know death. I mean, look, this is 1358 01:01:56,240 --> 01:01:59,120 Speaker 2: scary stuff, and you know people will say, oh, he 1359 01:01:59,200 --> 01:02:01,680 Speaker 2: said it before I said it before, maybe say at 1360 01:02:01,680 --> 01:02:04,760 Speaker 2: fifteen times on the sixteenth time you're right, and the 1361 01:02:04,840 --> 01:02:07,360 Speaker 2: risk of being right on or the risk of being 1362 01:02:07,440 --> 01:02:10,240 Speaker 2: real on the sixteenth time so high that you should 1363 01:02:10,240 --> 01:02:12,480 Speaker 2: probably just do everything in your power to make sure 1364 01:02:12,520 --> 01:02:14,920 Speaker 2: that it doesn't happen, and that you only breach and 1365 01:02:14,960 --> 01:02:18,360 Speaker 2: get up to this point whenever it's actually worth it, 1366 01:02:18,880 --> 01:02:21,400 Speaker 2: you know. And I guess ilhan Omar who has had 1367 01:02:21,440 --> 01:02:24,160 Speaker 2: a very strange I guess relationship with Ukraine war. She's 1368 01:02:24,160 --> 01:02:26,720 Speaker 2: anti war, but then on Ukraine she's not saying much. 1369 01:02:27,200 --> 01:02:31,400 Speaker 2: She was confronted by a reporter Liam Cosgrove yesterday on 1370 01:02:31,440 --> 01:02:34,160 Speaker 2: Capitol Hill and said, hey, if what are you willing 1371 01:02:34,200 --> 01:02:37,439 Speaker 2: to reconsider at least your support for Ukraine if they're 1372 01:02:37,440 --> 01:02:40,480 Speaker 2: going to be bombing, you know, targets inside of Russia. 1373 01:02:40,560 --> 01:02:41,600 Speaker 3: Here's what she had to say. 1374 01:02:41,760 --> 01:02:48,440 Speaker 8: If there is escalation where Ukraine is now fighting inside 1375 01:02:48,440 --> 01:02:53,120 Speaker 8: of Russia and causing lives to be lost in that regard, 1376 01:02:53,240 --> 01:02:56,320 Speaker 8: then you know, we would have to make a different calculation. 1377 01:02:56,840 --> 01:02:59,080 Speaker 9: I've got some comments from Jerry Nailer last week and 1378 01:02:59,120 --> 01:03:01,320 Speaker 9: he said kind of the opposite. He said he personally 1379 01:03:01,360 --> 01:03:04,400 Speaker 9: wouldn't care if they do attack Russia with our weapons. 1380 01:03:04,960 --> 01:03:06,080 Speaker 9: So you disagree with them on. 1381 01:03:06,040 --> 01:03:09,880 Speaker 4: That, Oh, certainly, I think you know. 1382 01:03:10,000 --> 01:03:15,280 Speaker 8: For me, my support for Ukraine has always been to 1383 01:03:15,520 --> 01:03:18,960 Speaker 8: preserve lives, for them to be able to have the 1384 01:03:19,000 --> 01:03:22,280 Speaker 8: resources that they need to minimize the number of people 1385 01:03:22,280 --> 01:03:26,920 Speaker 8: that were being killed because Russia invaded, and you know, 1386 01:03:27,040 --> 01:03:29,480 Speaker 8: in that space, I only want. 1387 01:03:29,280 --> 01:03:32,320 Speaker 4: People in battle to be heard. So if there are. 1388 01:03:33,880 --> 01:03:39,320 Speaker 8: Ukrainians that are now attacking Russians in Russia, that changes 1389 01:03:39,360 --> 01:03:39,960 Speaker 8: the culculation. 1390 01:03:40,120 --> 01:03:42,640 Speaker 9: And so last question for you, would this change your 1391 01:03:42,680 --> 01:03:46,600 Speaker 9: decision on continued support, continued funding and military support. 1392 01:03:46,840 --> 01:03:49,080 Speaker 8: I would have to learn more, but certainly it does 1393 01:03:49,160 --> 01:03:51,440 Speaker 8: change my calculation in the way that I think about 1394 01:03:51,760 --> 01:03:54,760 Speaker 8: supporting sovereignty and preserving lives. 1395 01:03:55,040 --> 01:03:59,280 Speaker 2: Interesting comments, Interesting listen, I think she deserves well earned 1396 01:03:59,280 --> 01:04:03,240 Speaker 2: criticism or supposedly being anti war then shipping them, voting 1397 01:04:03,240 --> 01:04:03,920 Speaker 2: for weapons. 1398 01:04:03,680 --> 01:04:04,440 Speaker 3: To Ukrainie and all this. 1399 01:04:04,800 --> 01:04:06,800 Speaker 2: But you've got to give credit where it is due, 1400 01:04:07,120 --> 01:04:09,840 Speaker 2: at least willing to come out and say it whenever 1401 01:04:09,960 --> 01:04:10,520 Speaker 2: it's out there. 1402 01:04:10,560 --> 01:04:12,200 Speaker 3: And credit to the guy also for asking. 1403 01:04:12,240 --> 01:04:14,560 Speaker 1: And let me say, you know, I think the calculation 1404 01:04:14,720 --> 01:04:19,400 Speaker 1: on these things is difficult because especially the early packages 1405 01:04:19,640 --> 01:04:22,240 Speaker 1: of aid. I mean, I supported some of the early 1406 01:04:22,320 --> 01:04:25,440 Speaker 1: packages of aid. When you're talking about, you know, Russia 1407 01:04:25,520 --> 01:04:28,160 Speaker 1: invades them, it's an illegal war. They're trying to defend 1408 01:04:28,200 --> 01:04:32,280 Speaker 1: themselves like. That's a very sympathetic cause and one that 1409 01:04:32,320 --> 01:04:36,640 Speaker 1: someone who is anti war could genuinely support. When you 1410 01:04:36,680 --> 01:04:39,320 Speaker 1: get to this point and you've had the Biden administration 1411 01:04:39,640 --> 01:04:43,080 Speaker 1: really clearly spell out that this isn't about just Ukrainians sovereignty, 1412 01:04:43,200 --> 01:04:45,400 Speaker 1: this is about let's try to topple the Putin regime. 1413 01:04:45,760 --> 01:04:48,200 Speaker 1: When you've had not just this instance, you've had multiple 1414 01:04:48,200 --> 01:04:51,480 Speaker 1: instances of the Ukrainians attacking Russians on Russian soil, and 1415 01:04:51,680 --> 01:04:55,760 Speaker 1: you know, increasingly brazen strikes, including one on the Krumlin 1416 01:04:56,120 --> 01:04:58,840 Speaker 1: that you know it was sort of like a rather 1417 01:04:58,920 --> 01:05:01,360 Speaker 1: pathetic attempt in this fascination if it was, but still 1418 01:05:01,400 --> 01:05:04,200 Speaker 1: you're you're striking the Kremlin like that is pretty wild. 1419 01:05:05,360 --> 01:05:08,200 Speaker 1: That should at the very least cause people to pause 1420 01:05:08,440 --> 01:05:11,360 Speaker 1: and reconsider their calculations. What I want to say is, 1421 01:05:11,400 --> 01:05:14,480 Speaker 1: you know, I wish more journalists were pressing politicians in 1422 01:05:14,560 --> 01:05:16,880 Speaker 1: this way and framing it in this regard. 1423 01:05:17,240 --> 01:05:19,400 Speaker 4: In almost every instance, they're. 1424 01:05:19,280 --> 01:05:21,520 Speaker 1: Getting pushed from the other perspective, where it's like why 1425 01:05:21,560 --> 01:05:23,280 Speaker 1: didn't you send the F sixteen sooner? 1426 01:05:23,640 --> 01:05:25,960 Speaker 4: And what about you know, what about the no fly 1427 01:05:26,120 --> 01:05:27,040 Speaker 4: zone or whatever? 1428 01:05:27,160 --> 01:05:31,800 Speaker 1: It's usually it's always pushing in the other direction. So 1429 01:05:31,840 --> 01:05:35,080 Speaker 1: it's nice to see a journalist who is framing questions 1430 01:05:35,080 --> 01:05:37,120 Speaker 1: in this way and pushing in the other direction of 1431 01:05:37,440 --> 01:05:39,560 Speaker 1: what about you know, I'd love to see more. 1432 01:05:39,640 --> 01:05:40,680 Speaker 4: What about the plums? Do you remember? 1433 01:05:40,680 --> 01:05:42,200 Speaker 1: And Ryan asked a question about the plums? He was 1434 01:05:42,200 --> 01:05:44,800 Speaker 1: like the only one in the White House Press briefing 1435 01:05:44,880 --> 01:05:47,320 Speaker 1: room whoever asked a question about, Hey, what can we. 1436 01:05:47,280 --> 01:05:48,600 Speaker 4: Do to enable diplomacy here? 1437 01:05:48,640 --> 01:05:51,600 Speaker 1: We need a whole lot of that because ultimately, you know, 1438 01:05:51,640 --> 01:05:55,760 Speaker 1: if you get politicians on the record and you force 1439 01:05:55,840 --> 01:05:58,160 Speaker 1: them to sort of grapple with what their positions are 1440 01:05:58,200 --> 01:06:00,720 Speaker 1: and how they align or miss the line with their 1441 01:06:00,760 --> 01:06:03,040 Speaker 1: stated principles, it can be a powerful force. 1442 01:06:03,120 --> 01:06:03,560 Speaker 3: I agree. 1443 01:06:03,920 --> 01:06:06,560 Speaker 2: Give a shout out to him. Liam Cosgrove is his name. 1444 01:06:06,560 --> 01:06:08,880 Speaker 2: You guys should go follow him on Twitter. It's done 1445 01:06:08,880 --> 01:06:09,520 Speaker 2: a couple of good things. 1446 01:06:09,520 --> 01:06:11,920 Speaker 4: Actually, he also he got those comments from Jerry Nadler. 1447 01:06:11,920 --> 01:06:12,120 Speaker 3: He did. 1448 01:06:12,240 --> 01:06:14,040 Speaker 2: He also got the comments from Nadler, so hey, you know, 1449 01:06:14,040 --> 01:06:16,080 Speaker 2: we support He also asked of the State Department an 1450 01:06:16,080 --> 01:06:18,440 Speaker 2: interesting question as well, so go throw them the follow 1451 01:06:18,440 --> 01:06:21,560 Speaker 2: We'd like to support people who are doing interesting work stuff. 1452 01:06:21,240 --> 01:06:25,680 Speaker 4: Like that here, all right, so aready looking at well? 1453 01:06:25,800 --> 01:06:27,920 Speaker 2: Last week I did a monologue delving into the price 1454 01:06:27,920 --> 01:06:30,120 Speaker 2: of used cars and what's driving the price up. The 1455 01:06:30,200 --> 01:06:33,280 Speaker 2: usual suspects all appeared demand quality of cars, but really 1456 01:06:33,280 --> 01:06:36,040 Speaker 2: it pointed the finger at the financialization of car companies 1457 01:06:36,040 --> 01:06:39,600 Speaker 2: and of car dealers themselves. I've always been obsessed recently 1458 01:06:39,680 --> 01:06:43,400 Speaker 2: with car dealers their business models now for a few years, 1459 01:06:43,600 --> 01:06:45,800 Speaker 2: and it all traces to a little noticed study that 1460 01:06:45,840 --> 01:06:48,520 Speaker 2: I came across, actually, which opened my eyes as to 1461 01:06:48,560 --> 01:06:51,720 Speaker 2: who the so called blue collar rich in America are. 1462 01:06:52,040 --> 01:06:55,160 Speaker 2: Everyone knows people in finance and Silicon Valley as rich, 1463 01:06:55,360 --> 01:06:57,240 Speaker 2: but what the other rich people who don't work in 1464 01:06:57,240 --> 01:06:57,880 Speaker 2: those sectors. 1465 01:06:57,960 --> 01:06:58,600 Speaker 3: Who are they? 1466 01:06:58,800 --> 01:07:01,280 Speaker 2: A twenty nineteen study of ze point one percent earners 1467 01:07:01,280 --> 01:07:03,680 Speaker 2: in America, defined as those who make more than one 1468 01:07:03,680 --> 01:07:06,960 Speaker 2: point five to eight million dollars cash per year on paper, 1469 01:07:07,280 --> 01:07:10,720 Speaker 2: revealed that the most common occupation among them was one 1470 01:07:10,920 --> 01:07:15,080 Speaker 2: car dealer. In fact, one estimate finds twenty percent of 1471 01:07:15,200 --> 01:07:19,040 Speaker 2: all car dealers in America have an owner making more 1472 01:07:19,080 --> 01:07:20,640 Speaker 2: than one point five million dollars. 1473 01:07:20,880 --> 01:07:22,080 Speaker 3: Now, how is that possible? 1474 01:07:22,840 --> 01:07:25,600 Speaker 2: Well, a new dispatch actually from the National Association of 1475 01:07:25,600 --> 01:07:28,600 Speaker 2: Car Dealers meeting it tells us a lot about it. 1476 01:07:28,840 --> 01:07:31,760 Speaker 2: Car dealers spend tens of millions of dollars per year 1477 01:07:31,800 --> 01:07:34,440 Speaker 2: to lobby federal, state, and local officials. They do a 1478 01:07:34,480 --> 01:07:36,560 Speaker 2: few things that are very important to them. Number one, 1479 01:07:36,600 --> 01:07:38,600 Speaker 2: they regulate land so that nobody else can start a 1480 01:07:38,720 --> 01:07:41,920 Speaker 2: rival dealership. Too, they regulate licensing to prevent the same thing. 1481 01:07:42,200 --> 01:07:44,920 Speaker 2: But now an urgent and important initiative that they care 1482 01:07:44,960 --> 01:07:48,720 Speaker 2: about most of all preventing direct sales of vehicles to 1483 01:07:48,800 --> 01:07:52,560 Speaker 2: consumers by manufacturers. The latest threat arose with the prominence 1484 01:07:52,560 --> 01:07:54,920 Speaker 2: of Tesla, which got rid of the dealer model for 1485 01:07:55,000 --> 01:07:57,280 Speaker 2: its cars, and it allows consumers to buy directly from 1486 01:07:57,320 --> 01:07:59,960 Speaker 2: the company. Naturally, they took issue with that. Car dealers 1487 01:08:00,160 --> 01:08:03,640 Speaker 2: now spent millions of dollars successfully passing laws in states 1488 01:08:03,680 --> 01:08:07,760 Speaker 2: banning consumers from buying cars directly from manufacturers. They do 1489 01:08:07,880 --> 01:08:10,480 Speaker 2: this only because not only does it mean their survival, 1490 01:08:10,720 --> 01:08:14,000 Speaker 2: but actually puts a moat around their ability to extract 1491 01:08:14,000 --> 01:08:17,400 Speaker 2: as much profit as they can from their existing sales. Now, recall, 1492 01:08:17,439 --> 01:08:19,559 Speaker 2: a study has showed you before by the Labor Department. 1493 01:08:19,720 --> 01:08:22,679 Speaker 2: It finds it between twenty nineteen and twenty twenty two, 1494 01:08:22,960 --> 01:08:26,559 Speaker 2: dealers use their regulated monopoly status to dramatically drive. 1495 01:08:26,400 --> 01:08:27,839 Speaker 3: Up the price of used cars. 1496 01:08:28,080 --> 01:08:31,360 Speaker 2: The Labor Department actually found dealer markup alone accounts for 1497 01:08:31,360 --> 01:08:33,840 Speaker 2: anywhere between thirty five to sixty two percent of all 1498 01:08:33,840 --> 01:08:37,120 Speaker 2: inflation in vehicle pricing across the United States. Now, as 1499 01:08:37,160 --> 01:08:38,960 Speaker 2: I've said, that's great work if you can get it. 1500 01:08:39,160 --> 01:08:41,519 Speaker 2: By all accounts, all the auto dealers in the country 1501 01:08:41,520 --> 01:08:43,599 Speaker 2: actually made more money in the last three years than 1502 01:08:43,720 --> 01:08:46,439 Speaker 2: ever before, meaning that if they were making one point 1503 01:08:46,439 --> 01:08:48,920 Speaker 2: five million a year on average in twenty nineteen, it 1504 01:08:49,000 --> 01:08:52,280 Speaker 2: might even be double that today. All of this on 1505 01:08:52,360 --> 01:08:55,679 Speaker 2: display at the latest meeting of this national Association of Dealers, 1506 01:08:55,840 --> 01:08:59,000 Speaker 2: where they were remarkably candid about how well that they 1507 01:08:59,040 --> 01:09:01,600 Speaker 2: did over the last three year, and about worries and 1508 01:09:01,680 --> 01:09:03,519 Speaker 2: what them the most in the future. 1509 01:09:03,760 --> 01:09:06,200 Speaker 3: The answer is simple electric vehicles. 1510 01:09:06,360 --> 01:09:08,760 Speaker 2: As I mentioned before, Tessa's direct to consumer model actually 1511 01:09:08,800 --> 01:09:10,519 Speaker 2: woke a lot of people up, not just in the 1512 01:09:10,520 --> 01:09:13,400 Speaker 2: EV world, but for companies like Rivian, which has been floated. 1513 01:09:13,520 --> 01:09:16,240 Speaker 2: It's also been floated by company CEOs like Ford and 1514 01:09:16,360 --> 01:09:19,640 Speaker 2: others who secretly would love to ditch the dealers. But 1515 01:09:19,680 --> 01:09:21,880 Speaker 2: the dealers are not idiots, and they know this. They 1516 01:09:21,880 --> 01:09:25,760 Speaker 2: have dropped the hammer and money on every politician in America. 1517 01:09:25,880 --> 01:09:29,120 Speaker 2: In fact, as Slate found in Florida, there are currently 1518 01:09:29,160 --> 01:09:32,519 Speaker 2: two dealer sponsored bills making their way through to the 1519 01:09:32,640 --> 01:09:36,439 Speaker 2: Ron DeSantis desk, which, by all accounts, he will likely sign. 1520 01:09:36,680 --> 01:09:39,320 Speaker 2: It will make it illegal for car manufacturers to set 1521 01:09:39,320 --> 01:09:42,719 Speaker 2: transparent prices for their cars, and it would allow buyers 1522 01:09:42,840 --> 01:09:44,559 Speaker 2: to would allow buyers to order. 1523 01:09:44,439 --> 01:09:46,559 Speaker 3: Evs from legacy manufacturers online. 1524 01:09:46,560 --> 01:09:49,959 Speaker 2: It would disallow that, but even with that mote, evs 1525 01:09:50,240 --> 01:09:53,679 Speaker 2: still represent a real threat to dealer profits. The vast 1526 01:09:53,760 --> 01:09:56,280 Speaker 2: majority of dealer profits don't come from the sale of cars. 1527 01:09:56,280 --> 01:09:59,080 Speaker 2: They actually make it from financing and from servicing. EV's, 1528 01:09:59,200 --> 01:10:02,320 Speaker 2: no matter whom may make them have far less component parts, 1529 01:10:02,439 --> 01:10:05,040 Speaker 2: they don't need oil changes, they don't need as much servicing. 1530 01:10:05,240 --> 01:10:09,280 Speaker 2: In fact, evs generate some forty percent less aftermarket revenue 1531 01:10:09,280 --> 01:10:13,160 Speaker 2: for dealers. On top of that, as Slate explains, can't 1532 01:10:13,240 --> 01:10:16,160 Speaker 2: just repurpose a regular old mechanic to work on an 1533 01:10:16,160 --> 01:10:18,400 Speaker 2: EV when they come in actually costs a lot for 1534 01:10:18,439 --> 01:10:21,120 Speaker 2: specialized training, so they make less money and they have 1535 01:10:21,200 --> 01:10:23,720 Speaker 2: to pay for specialized labor. Not a genius then to 1536 01:10:23,760 --> 01:10:26,080 Speaker 2: see why they all hate it so much. It's reflected 1537 01:10:26,080 --> 01:10:29,120 Speaker 2: in the numbers right now. Two thirds of US car 1538 01:10:29,160 --> 01:10:31,280 Speaker 2: dealers in America don't have any. 1539 01:10:31,080 --> 01:10:31,840 Speaker 3: EVS to sell. 1540 01:10:32,120 --> 01:10:34,840 Speaker 2: Forty five percent of dealers say straight up, we will 1541 01:10:34,880 --> 01:10:38,280 Speaker 2: never sell them, no matter what happens. Over and over again, 1542 01:10:38,479 --> 01:10:42,280 Speaker 2: you see massive resistance within the dealer community to EVS. 1543 01:10:42,600 --> 01:10:44,920 Speaker 2: What research I did for this monologue taught me is 1544 01:10:44,960 --> 01:10:47,360 Speaker 2: that the current Biden plan for EVS has a deep flaw. 1545 01:10:47,600 --> 01:10:51,360 Speaker 2: It only focuses on manufacturers and on consumers, but it 1546 01:10:51,439 --> 01:10:54,479 Speaker 2: forgot dealers basically run this country like it or not. 1547 01:10:54,720 --> 01:10:57,160 Speaker 2: We've got to get some programs in place to incentivize 1548 01:10:57,240 --> 01:10:59,720 Speaker 2: uptake amongst dealers for evs, or they will just rig 1549 01:10:59,720 --> 01:11:02,040 Speaker 2: the mart and the local laws to prevent them from 1550 01:11:02,040 --> 01:11:05,320 Speaker 2: being sold. What this represents is the reality of dealing 1551 01:11:05,360 --> 01:11:08,639 Speaker 2: in the car business in America. It also demonstrates another 1552 01:11:08,680 --> 01:11:11,600 Speaker 2: hole in the ev uptake strategy. Remember that, according to 1553 01:11:11,640 --> 01:11:14,439 Speaker 2: the state of California, all new cars trucks sold in 1554 01:11:14,439 --> 01:11:17,120 Speaker 2: the state in a little over a decade must be electric. 1555 01:11:17,400 --> 01:11:18,760 Speaker 3: How is that going to work? 1556 01:11:19,000 --> 01:11:21,920 Speaker 2: Alongside the Biden administration's pledge that half of all new 1557 01:11:21,960 --> 01:11:24,400 Speaker 2: cars sold in the US must be electric in twenty thirty. 1558 01:11:24,600 --> 01:11:27,759 Speaker 2: That is seven years away, and we're only a ten percent. 1559 01:11:28,080 --> 01:11:31,599 Speaker 2: The infrastructure to support these cars for long haul driving 1560 01:11:31,760 --> 01:11:35,400 Speaker 2: is nowhere even close unless you own a Tesla. We 1561 01:11:35,520 --> 01:11:38,960 Speaker 2: have major, major work to do if you want to 1562 01:11:38,960 --> 01:11:41,680 Speaker 2: make this a reality, and increasingly it just doesn't look 1563 01:11:41,720 --> 01:11:43,720 Speaker 2: like it's going to happen. You can either have an 1564 01:11:43,720 --> 01:11:46,800 Speaker 2: electric future or you can have a colossal boondoggle, and 1565 01:11:46,960 --> 01:11:49,120 Speaker 2: right now the latter just looks more likely than ever. 1566 01:11:49,280 --> 01:11:50,599 Speaker 3: I'm curious what you think, Ryssel. 1567 01:11:50,800 --> 01:11:53,559 Speaker 1: And if you want to hear my reaction to Sager's monologue, 1568 01:11:53,640 --> 01:11:59,400 Speaker 1: become a premium subscriber today at breakingpoints dot com. 1569 01:12:00,000 --> 01:12:00,920 Speaker 3: So what do you taking a look at? 1570 01:12:01,120 --> 01:12:03,839 Speaker 1: Well, guys, there is a new anti woke hit topping 1571 01:12:03,840 --> 01:12:06,759 Speaker 1: the charts literally actually, including a video wherein the artist 1572 01:12:06,880 --> 01:12:09,679 Speaker 1: peruses the aisles at target and search for any item 1573 01:12:09,720 --> 01:12:12,200 Speaker 1: that might be construed as LGBTQ friendly. 1574 01:12:12,560 --> 01:12:13,320 Speaker 4: Take a look. 1575 01:12:13,479 --> 01:12:18,320 Speaker 10: Target target ye had azarggian and target target ye had 1576 01:12:18,360 --> 01:12:22,120 Speaker 10: a target cans target target ye had a target and 1577 01:12:22,720 --> 01:12:23,920 Speaker 10: target targean. 1578 01:12:24,200 --> 01:12:26,240 Speaker 4: Anyway, get the point there? This comes a mad. 1579 01:12:26,320 --> 01:12:28,639 Speaker 1: Of course, a rash of conservative freak out over various 1580 01:12:28,640 --> 01:12:32,120 Speaker 1: corporate pride gestures all started with the campaign against bud 1581 01:12:32,200 --> 01:12:34,639 Speaker 1: Light for their use of a trans influencer, But now 1582 01:12:34,680 --> 01:12:37,120 Speaker 1: cloud chasers are looking for all manner of meaningless corporate 1583 01:12:37,160 --> 01:12:40,080 Speaker 1: pro gay virtue signaling to freak out about. One movement 1584 01:12:40,160 --> 01:12:42,280 Speaker 1: is focused on the fact that Chick fil A, a 1585 01:12:42,360 --> 01:12:46,600 Speaker 1: notably conservative corporation, has a diversity officer. Someone dug up 1586 01:12:46,600 --> 01:12:49,280 Speaker 1: an old Ford Raptor ad from like two years ago 1587 01:12:49,320 --> 01:12:51,200 Speaker 1: in an attempt to spark a Ford boycott. 1588 01:12:51,479 --> 01:12:52,400 Speaker 4: Target, of course. 1589 01:12:52,200 --> 01:12:55,519 Speaker 1: Been taking huge incoming over a store pride display. Let's 1590 01:12:55,520 --> 01:12:58,439 Speaker 1: be clear, these companies have no ideology outside of making money, 1591 01:12:58,439 --> 01:13:00,640 Speaker 1: no agenda other than selling like more trucks and more 1592 01:13:00,680 --> 01:13:03,760 Speaker 1: chicken sandwiches. But some segment of conservative media figures and 1593 01:13:03,800 --> 01:13:06,880 Speaker 1: their followers have thoroughly lost their minds on wocism in 1594 01:13:06,920 --> 01:13:09,840 Speaker 1: general and on gay rights in particular. For example, as 1595 01:13:09,840 --> 01:13:13,720 Speaker 1: Emily and I covered yesterday, Ted Cruz was trashed by Republicans, 1596 01:13:13,720 --> 01:13:16,840 Speaker 1: including former Trump lawyer Jenna Ellis, for daring to signal 1597 01:13:16,880 --> 01:13:21,000 Speaker 1: opposition to a Uganda law that would literally imprison all. 1598 01:13:20,880 --> 01:13:23,639 Speaker 4: Gay people for life. What is wrong? With you people. 1599 01:13:23,720 --> 01:13:25,599 Speaker 1: Let me just insert a little bit of political reality 1600 01:13:25,600 --> 01:13:29,040 Speaker 1: into this discussion here. In twenty twenty three, America, gay 1601 01:13:29,120 --> 01:13:31,639 Speaker 1: rights are actually really popular, and it's by a lot. 1602 01:13:31,800 --> 01:13:34,400 Speaker 1: Support for gay marriage has now reached a record breaking 1603 01:13:34,520 --> 01:13:37,439 Speaker 1: seventy one percent. In fact, acceptance of gay marriage is 1604 01:13:37,479 --> 01:13:40,760 Speaker 1: so widespread even a majority of Republicans support. 1605 01:13:40,360 --> 01:13:41,160 Speaker 4: Gay marriage now. 1606 01:13:41,479 --> 01:13:44,559 Speaker 1: And I haven't specifically seen pulling on life in prison 1607 01:13:44,680 --> 01:13:47,000 Speaker 1: for all gays, but I'm gonna go ahead out on 1608 01:13:47,040 --> 01:13:50,360 Speaker 1: a limb, and guess it's pretty unpopular now. Support for 1609 01:13:50,400 --> 01:13:53,400 Speaker 1: trans people has also risen dramatically in recent years. Sixty 1610 01:13:53,400 --> 01:13:56,120 Speaker 1: six percent of Americans support allowing trans men and women 1611 01:13:56,120 --> 01:13:59,719 Speaker 1: to serve openly in the military. Large majority support laws 1612 01:13:59,720 --> 01:14:03,639 Speaker 1: that were protect trans people from discrimination in penance. On balance, 1613 01:14:03,720 --> 01:14:06,719 Speaker 1: tell polsters they see trans people as a net societal good. 1614 01:14:07,200 --> 01:14:11,880 Speaker 1: Corporate America has embraced generic displays of LGBTQ support because 1615 01:14:11,880 --> 01:14:14,200 Speaker 1: it's popular and thus they think it's going to help 1616 01:14:14,240 --> 01:14:17,120 Speaker 1: them make money. Now, the right does have majority support 1617 01:14:17,160 --> 01:14:19,439 Speaker 1: on a few issues. They're with the majority on questions 1618 01:14:19,479 --> 01:14:22,280 Speaker 1: about trans girls competing with ciss girls in sports and 1619 01:14:22,360 --> 01:14:26,000 Speaker 1: on a general level of discomfort around kids transitioning. Now, 1620 01:14:26,080 --> 01:14:27,880 Speaker 1: ladies and gentlemen, we are in the phase of the 1621 01:14:27,920 --> 01:14:28,920 Speaker 1: movement one might. 1622 01:14:28,800 --> 01:14:30,280 Speaker 4: Call wild overreach. 1623 01:14:30,760 --> 01:14:33,200 Speaker 1: It's easy to forget that in the ancient times of 1624 01:14:33,200 --> 01:14:36,960 Speaker 1: twenty twenty, Trump was actually selling pride hats with a 1625 01:14:37,080 --> 01:14:39,520 Speaker 1: rainbow colored MAGA logo to honor. 1626 01:14:39,280 --> 01:14:41,000 Speaker 4: His LGBTQ supporters. 1627 01:14:41,400 --> 01:14:44,360 Speaker 1: But between now and then a politically strategic pushback on 1628 01:14:44,439 --> 01:14:47,240 Speaker 1: wokeness and a narrow focus on the nexus of trans 1629 01:14:47,280 --> 01:14:50,840 Speaker 1: issues and kids, it has morphed wildly into an all 1630 01:14:50,920 --> 01:14:53,759 Speaker 1: out assault on anything with a rainbow that might smack 1631 01:14:53,800 --> 01:14:56,720 Speaker 1: of tolerance. This looks like a mirror image reaction to 1632 01:14:56,760 --> 01:14:59,799 Speaker 1: what people like Ronda Santis call the woke mind virus. 1633 01:15:00,240 --> 01:15:02,439 Speaker 1: Liberals they were on solid footing when they were fighting 1634 01:15:02,439 --> 01:15:05,160 Speaker 1: for civil rights and color blindness, broadly shared. 1635 01:15:04,960 --> 01:15:06,400 Speaker 4: Values across the society. 1636 01:15:06,800 --> 01:15:10,120 Speaker 1: When the push for tolerance slid into authoritarian demands for equity, 1637 01:15:10,200 --> 01:15:13,400 Speaker 1: complete with word policing, censorship, and enforced group think, it 1638 01:15:13,439 --> 01:15:15,400 Speaker 1: was disastrous for Democrats, and it was actually a key 1639 01:15:15,439 --> 01:15:18,679 Speaker 1: component of the appeal of Trump. Republicans have now quickly 1640 01:15:18,720 --> 01:15:21,599 Speaker 1: slid from a critique of woke overreach into their own 1641 01:15:21,720 --> 01:15:25,240 Speaker 1: spiral of extremism and insanity driven by their most rabid 1642 01:15:25,280 --> 01:15:28,679 Speaker 1: and most online base. It's an anti woke mind virus. 1643 01:15:28,760 --> 01:15:31,519 Speaker 1: This has resulted in book bands for speech laws and 1644 01:15:31,600 --> 01:15:35,280 Speaker 1: state mandated ideologies in school curriculum, and has resulted in 1645 01:15:35,320 --> 01:15:37,960 Speaker 1: the current vogue in Republican circles of drudging up any 1646 01:15:37,960 --> 01:15:40,639 Speaker 1: and all pride related virtue, signaling for boycotts and pearl 1647 01:15:40,640 --> 01:15:44,160 Speaker 1: clutching meltowns, having panic attacks over all nods towards any 1648 01:15:44,240 --> 01:15:46,800 Speaker 1: sort of diversity. It's also pretty clear at this point 1649 01:15:46,800 --> 01:15:49,960 Speaker 1: that even the original more narrow focus on kids, athletes, 1650 01:15:50,000 --> 01:15:53,520 Speaker 1: and schools, it wasn't a particular political winner for Republicans. 1651 01:15:53,560 --> 01:15:57,040 Speaker 1: After some promising results in Virginia, Republican candidates across the 1652 01:15:57,040 --> 01:15:59,800 Speaker 1: country leaned into trans panic and races from coast to 1653 01:15:59,840 --> 01:16:03,480 Speaker 1: coo groups sprung up to back school board candidates explicitly 1654 01:16:03,520 --> 01:16:07,080 Speaker 1: running ideological campaigns against so called gender ideology and critical 1655 01:16:07,160 --> 01:16:10,200 Speaker 1: race theory. It didn't actually work out that wall. Republicans, 1656 01:16:10,240 --> 01:16:12,800 Speaker 1: of course, wildly underperformed in the midterms, and many of 1657 01:16:12,800 --> 01:16:16,120 Speaker 1: the right wing crusading school board members ultimately lost. Now, 1658 01:16:16,200 --> 01:16:18,599 Speaker 1: I would chalk this up to two primary factors. First 1659 01:16:18,600 --> 01:16:20,840 Speaker 1: and foremost, just wasn't a top issue for a lot 1660 01:16:20,840 --> 01:16:22,519 Speaker 1: of voters, not a lot of folks heading to the 1661 01:16:22,520 --> 01:16:24,920 Speaker 1: polls to notch their opinion on the like one trans 1662 01:16:25,000 --> 01:16:27,519 Speaker 1: kid playing high school sports in their state, and two 1663 01:16:27,920 --> 01:16:30,880 Speaker 1: the overturning of Roe versus wide handed Democrats the most 1664 01:16:30,920 --> 01:16:34,000 Speaker 1: potent issue electorally that they have had in a very 1665 01:16:34,040 --> 01:16:36,000 Speaker 1: long time, and the abortion dynamic. 1666 01:16:36,040 --> 01:16:37,040 Speaker 4: It's actually instructive. 1667 01:16:37,120 --> 01:16:40,080 Speaker 1: Americans have very complex, conflicting feelings on the issue, just 1668 01:16:40,120 --> 01:16:42,920 Speaker 1: as they do on trans issues. With the Dobbs decision, 1669 01:16:43,320 --> 01:16:45,479 Speaker 1: all of the ground Republicans are fighting on now is 1670 01:16:45,520 --> 01:16:49,280 Speaker 1: extreme ground, things like six week bands and national abortion bands. 1671 01:16:49,600 --> 01:16:53,080 Speaker 1: Whichever party plays most aggressively to their extremists on cultural issues, 1672 01:16:53,160 --> 01:16:55,280 Speaker 1: that party is likely to lose. And with plenty of 1673 01:16:55,320 --> 01:16:58,679 Speaker 1: Republicans eagerly lining up behind the most deranged, anti gay, 1674 01:16:58,720 --> 01:17:01,720 Speaker 1: anti trans parts of their they've taken what was n 1675 01:17:01,760 --> 01:17:04,160 Speaker 1: oka issue for them and turned it into a very 1676 01:17:04,160 --> 01:17:07,840 Speaker 1: clear liability. In twenty twenty two, Republicans, they seemingly had 1677 01:17:07,880 --> 01:17:10,880 Speaker 1: everything going for them. Inflation was high, the president was 1678 01:17:10,960 --> 01:17:14,120 Speaker 1: really unpopular, overwhelming majority said the country was on the 1679 01:17:14,160 --> 01:17:17,800 Speaker 1: wrong track, and yet the red wave never materialized, and 1680 01:17:17,800 --> 01:17:21,839 Speaker 1: there was really one overwhelming reason why in cities, suburbs, 1681 01:17:21,880 --> 01:17:25,240 Speaker 1: and small towns alike, voters were repulsed by the GOP's 1682 01:17:25,360 --> 01:17:29,639 Speaker 1: ideological extremism on abortion and on stop this deal. Now 1683 01:17:29,760 --> 01:17:32,679 Speaker 1: you can add another issue where Republicans are increasingly aligning 1684 01:17:32,680 --> 01:17:35,679 Speaker 1: themselves with an extreme anti gay panic that is less 1685 01:17:35,680 --> 01:17:39,320 Speaker 1: popular than defund the police. Long story short, This whole 1686 01:17:39,360 --> 01:17:42,519 Speaker 1: thing you guys are doing here probably not going to 1687 01:17:42,560 --> 01:17:44,719 Speaker 1: help you if you actually want to beat Joe Biden 1688 01:17:44,920 --> 01:17:45,320 Speaker 1: and Sager. 1689 01:17:45,360 --> 01:17:46,840 Speaker 4: I wonder what you think of all of this. 1690 01:17:47,160 --> 01:17:49,879 Speaker 2: And if you want to hear my reaction to Crystal's monologue, 1691 01:17:49,880 --> 01:17:53,040 Speaker 2: become a premium subscriber today at Breakingpoints dot com. 1692 01:17:55,880 --> 01:17:58,800 Speaker 3: Joining us now is a journalist Alison Young. She is 1693 01:17:58,880 --> 01:17:59,880 Speaker 3: also a professor. 1694 01:17:59,560 --> 01:18:02,120 Speaker 2: At the Misses School of Journalism, but for importantly for 1695 01:18:02,280 --> 01:18:06,479 Speaker 2: our purposes, author of a new book on lab leaks, 1696 01:18:06,479 --> 01:18:10,320 Speaker 2: Pandora's Gamble, lab Leaks, Pandemics, and a World at Risk. 1697 01:18:10,360 --> 01:18:12,120 Speaker 3: Alison, thank you so much for joining us. We really 1698 01:18:12,120 --> 01:18:12,560 Speaker 3: appreciate you. 1699 01:18:12,640 --> 01:18:15,400 Speaker 4: Daddy, Allison, thank you so you came. 1700 01:18:15,240 --> 01:18:18,320 Speaker 2: To notice We've been covering lab leak now here for 1701 01:18:18,400 --> 01:18:21,160 Speaker 2: a couple of years, but I've also been doing some 1702 01:18:21,200 --> 01:18:25,160 Speaker 2: deeper dives for a piece that you published about anthrax 1703 01:18:25,200 --> 01:18:28,519 Speaker 2: that you were able to reveal in your book. Pandora's gamble, 1704 01:18:28,560 --> 01:18:30,840 Speaker 2: Maybe first just give people an overview of the book, and. 1705 01:18:30,800 --> 01:18:32,719 Speaker 3: Then we'll delve a little bit into anthrax itself. 1706 01:18:32,760 --> 01:18:36,760 Speaker 11: Sure, so, I have been an investigative reporter covering laboratory 1707 01:18:36,800 --> 01:18:39,479 Speaker 11: accents for fifteen years. I mean, everyone's interested in lab 1708 01:18:39,560 --> 01:18:43,559 Speaker 11: leaks right now. But the issue of the kinds of 1709 01:18:43,640 --> 01:18:47,360 Speaker 11: problems that are in these high containment labs has been 1710 01:18:47,439 --> 01:18:50,480 Speaker 11: a problem for a very long time. And so Pandora's 1711 01:18:50,520 --> 01:18:53,200 Speaker 11: gamble is looking at the whole question of did COVID 1712 01:18:53,240 --> 01:18:56,559 Speaker 11: nineteen come from a laboratory accident? In the larger context 1713 01:18:56,600 --> 01:18:59,360 Speaker 11: that these kinds of accidents happen all the time. 1714 01:19:00,000 --> 01:19:00,760 Speaker 4: Elaborate on that. 1715 01:19:00,840 --> 01:19:03,479 Speaker 1: When you say these kinds of accidents happen all the time, 1716 01:19:03,640 --> 01:19:05,640 Speaker 1: what are we talking about and what is it that 1717 01:19:05,840 --> 01:19:07,960 Speaker 1: leads to viruses escaping the lab? 1718 01:19:08,120 --> 01:19:08,400 Speaker 5: Sure? 1719 01:19:08,720 --> 01:19:11,919 Speaker 11: So, there are a variety of levels of laboratory accidents. 1720 01:19:11,920 --> 01:19:16,360 Speaker 11: I mean, you have people get bitten by infectious animals, 1721 01:19:16,400 --> 01:19:19,760 Speaker 11: they stick themselves with needles, they cut themselves with scalpels, 1722 01:19:20,080 --> 01:19:26,600 Speaker 11: they splash infectious fluids on themselves, various sort of airflow 1723 01:19:26,720 --> 01:19:32,440 Speaker 11: systems that help keep microbes inside cabinets or inside facilities. 1724 01:19:32,680 --> 01:19:37,440 Speaker 11: Those systems fail, wastewater systems leak. There are all kinds. 1725 01:19:37,080 --> 01:19:39,559 Speaker 12: Of issues in these facilities. The good news is. 1726 01:19:39,560 --> 01:19:43,880 Speaker 11: The majority of time people don't become infected. But that's 1727 01:19:44,040 --> 01:19:47,040 Speaker 11: really a matter of luck. And the question is, you know, 1728 01:19:47,120 --> 01:19:49,759 Speaker 11: how long will our luck last? And has it actually 1729 01:19:49,800 --> 01:19:50,519 Speaker 11: already run out? 1730 01:19:50,640 --> 01:19:50,840 Speaker 3: Yeah? 1731 01:19:50,840 --> 01:19:52,880 Speaker 2: And I think that was so important, which is that 1732 01:19:52,960 --> 01:19:55,240 Speaker 2: you know, you know muhan. We can focus all day 1733 01:19:55,280 --> 01:19:57,040 Speaker 2: on that, and I think, you know, basically, at this 1734 01:19:57,160 --> 01:19:59,559 Speaker 2: point it almost is tedious to go through the details. 1735 01:19:59,600 --> 01:20:01,840 Speaker 2: The more parties, like how many more wuhans are there, 1736 01:20:01,840 --> 01:20:04,920 Speaker 2: how many wuhans have actually happened here in the United States. 1737 01:20:04,960 --> 01:20:07,720 Speaker 2: You really opened my eyes to this piece about did 1738 01:20:07,760 --> 01:20:11,920 Speaker 2: a military lab spill anthrax into public waterways? 1739 01:20:11,920 --> 01:20:14,559 Speaker 3: Focusing on a twenty eighteen accident. 1740 01:20:14,600 --> 01:20:16,160 Speaker 2: Can you give us some of the details what you're 1741 01:20:16,200 --> 01:20:18,040 Speaker 2: able to uncover exclusively in your book. 1742 01:20:18,200 --> 01:20:18,400 Speaker 12: Yes. 1743 01:20:18,760 --> 01:20:22,959 Speaker 11: So, on the Friday before Memorial Day in twenty eighteen, 1744 01:20:23,479 --> 01:20:26,760 Speaker 11: at Fort Dietrich, one of the premier labs run by 1745 01:20:26,760 --> 01:20:31,040 Speaker 11: the US Army USAMRED, they had a wastewater tank, a 1746 01:20:31,080 --> 01:20:34,200 Speaker 11: fifty thousand gallon wastewater tank, which by the way, was 1747 01:20:34,320 --> 01:20:36,560 Speaker 11: rusting and had a variety of other problems. 1748 01:20:36,880 --> 01:20:38,400 Speaker 12: One of the pipes burst. 1749 01:20:38,160 --> 01:20:42,040 Speaker 11: On it and it shot over a containment wall as 1750 01:20:42,120 --> 01:20:46,360 Speaker 11: much as three thousand gallons of unsterilized laboratory waste. And 1751 01:20:46,400 --> 01:20:50,920 Speaker 11: in the weeks before that happened, those labs had been 1752 01:20:50,960 --> 01:20:56,480 Speaker 11: working with anthrax, ebola, marburg virus, I mean, a variety 1753 01:20:56,680 --> 01:20:59,839 Speaker 11: of the most dangerous pathogens in the world. 1754 01:21:01,560 --> 01:21:04,880 Speaker 12: So that's bad enough, But one of the bigger. 1755 01:21:04,640 --> 01:21:08,960 Speaker 11: Problems is that that incident has been kept secret until now. 1756 01:21:09,400 --> 01:21:13,120 Speaker 11: The Army only admitted late a few weeks after the 1757 01:21:13,120 --> 01:21:15,679 Speaker 11: incidents happened that they had had flooding and that there 1758 01:21:15,720 --> 01:21:18,640 Speaker 11: had been a leak, but they didn't say there were 1759 01:21:18,680 --> 01:21:22,200 Speaker 11: three thousand gallons in that leak. And that's a huge omission. 1760 01:21:22,280 --> 01:21:25,759 Speaker 11: And these kinds of omissions, and the secrecy that surrounds 1761 01:21:25,760 --> 01:21:27,440 Speaker 11: these accidents is pervasive. 1762 01:21:27,800 --> 01:21:30,919 Speaker 1: Yeah, and so what was the fallout from that incident? 1763 01:21:31,360 --> 01:21:33,880 Speaker 1: What is the fallout today from that incident? And you 1764 01:21:33,880 --> 01:21:34,960 Speaker 1: know what should be learned from it? 1765 01:21:35,479 --> 01:21:38,680 Speaker 11: So at the time, this was one of a series 1766 01:21:38,720 --> 01:21:44,439 Speaker 11: of problems at that facility. In twenty nineteen, the federal 1767 01:21:44,479 --> 01:21:48,519 Speaker 11: government took the rare step of suspending usamred's ability to 1768 01:21:48,560 --> 01:21:52,200 Speaker 11: work with what are called select agent pathogens. But why 1769 01:21:52,240 --> 01:21:55,719 Speaker 11: that happened, other than that there were various safety issues, 1770 01:21:55,840 --> 01:21:57,680 Speaker 11: was not known until now. 1771 01:21:57,800 --> 01:21:59,320 Speaker 12: So there is now starting to be. 1772 01:21:59,360 --> 01:22:02,160 Speaker 11: Fallout from the revelations of the book that it was 1773 01:22:02,200 --> 01:22:07,280 Speaker 11: three thousand gallons. I mean, there's a citizens commission in Frederick, Maryland, 1774 01:22:07,280 --> 01:22:09,880 Speaker 11: which is just north of the Washington, DC area. 1775 01:22:10,680 --> 01:22:11,400 Speaker 12: They were not aware. 1776 01:22:11,439 --> 01:22:14,240 Speaker 11: They had asked questions of what had happened in this incidant, 1777 01:22:14,320 --> 01:22:17,240 Speaker 11: and the army didn't tell them, and so they're learning 1778 01:22:17,320 --> 01:22:18,519 Speaker 11: about it from the book as well. 1779 01:22:18,560 --> 01:22:20,280 Speaker 3: One of our camera guys that lives there, so he's 1780 01:22:20,280 --> 01:22:21,519 Speaker 3: probably finding this out live. 1781 01:22:22,439 --> 01:22:23,960 Speaker 11: And the thing for people who are not in this 1782 01:22:24,040 --> 01:22:26,960 Speaker 11: area that they don't realize is so this all happened 1783 01:22:27,200 --> 01:22:29,040 Speaker 11: in an area where there was an open storm drain 1784 01:22:29,200 --> 01:22:31,240 Speaker 11: that went into something called Carroll Creek, and that's the 1785 01:22:31,280 --> 01:22:34,960 Speaker 11: centerpiece of downtown Frederick. It's a beautiful area and entertainment 1786 01:22:35,040 --> 01:22:35,840 Speaker 11: district well. 1787 01:22:35,840 --> 01:22:37,840 Speaker 2: And so, Alison, one of the things I respect so 1788 01:22:37,880 --> 01:22:39,559 Speaker 2: much by your work is that you're looking at this 1789 01:22:39,600 --> 01:22:43,440 Speaker 2: dispassionately and you're reporting very basic facts. You've published previously 1790 01:22:43,800 --> 01:22:47,080 Speaker 2: about near misses at the UNC Chapel Hill and high 1791 01:22:47,120 --> 01:22:50,000 Speaker 2: security labs and accidents with coronaviruses. 1792 01:22:50,000 --> 01:22:52,960 Speaker 3: So, once again, put Wuhan aside, why is the some. 1793 01:22:53,120 --> 01:22:56,360 Speaker 2: Of this research, why does it lead to these types 1794 01:22:56,360 --> 01:23:00,200 Speaker 2: of accidents, This particular one, coronavirus research itself, seems to 1795 01:23:00,200 --> 01:23:02,599 Speaker 2: be at the tip of some of the worst accidents 1796 01:23:02,640 --> 01:23:03,519 Speaker 2: that we've seen in labs. 1797 01:23:03,600 --> 01:23:03,800 Speaker 1: Yeah. 1798 01:23:03,920 --> 01:23:04,440 Speaker 12: Yeah. 1799 01:23:04,600 --> 01:23:09,439 Speaker 11: The thing that's really concerning about accidents with coronavirus or 1800 01:23:09,920 --> 01:23:13,720 Speaker 11: various kinds of avian flu viruses are that those are 1801 01:23:13,760 --> 01:23:16,280 Speaker 11: pathogens that can spread from person to person. Is we've 1802 01:23:16,280 --> 01:23:19,840 Speaker 11: all learned with the current pandemic, you want to be 1803 01:23:19,920 --> 01:23:24,080 Speaker 11: sure that you have high safety standards there. The accidents 1804 01:23:24,160 --> 01:23:28,960 Speaker 11: that occurred at UNC show that these accidents happen everywhere. 1805 01:23:29,120 --> 01:23:31,639 Speaker 12: And the question of why is we're human beings. 1806 01:23:31,960 --> 01:23:35,439 Speaker 1: Accidents happen, right, And so with that in mind, you know, 1807 01:23:35,479 --> 01:23:38,839 Speaker 1: what do you do? Do You just stop researching things? 1808 01:23:38,920 --> 01:23:41,080 Speaker 1: You know, are there ways you can tighten up the 1809 01:23:41,320 --> 01:23:44,439 Speaker 1: security procedures so that accidents are much much much less likely, 1810 01:23:44,760 --> 01:23:46,559 Speaker 1: because as you state, I mean, it seems like there 1811 01:23:46,560 --> 01:23:49,559 Speaker 1: are so many ways that something can escape the lab. 1812 01:23:49,680 --> 01:23:52,280 Speaker 1: That it's very difficult to make sure that every single 1813 01:23:52,320 --> 01:23:53,080 Speaker 1: thing is locked down. 1814 01:23:53,200 --> 01:23:55,640 Speaker 11: Yeah, there are a couple of things that have been 1815 01:23:55,680 --> 01:23:58,360 Speaker 11: proposed for a very long time. One of the things 1816 01:23:58,400 --> 01:24:02,000 Speaker 11: I think that surprises people is that there is no 1817 01:24:02,360 --> 01:24:06,400 Speaker 11: universal regulation of biosafety in laboratories. 1818 01:24:06,560 --> 01:24:07,479 Speaker 12: Now, think about that. 1819 01:24:07,560 --> 01:24:11,120 Speaker 11: Okay, a lot of it is sort of a mixture 1820 01:24:11,320 --> 01:24:17,000 Speaker 11: of guidance. There are some regulations of various sort of piecemeal, 1821 01:24:17,080 --> 01:24:20,759 Speaker 11: but it's fragmented and it largely relies on these labs 1822 01:24:20,840 --> 01:24:24,960 Speaker 11: policing themselves. The other issue is that, unlike in a 1823 01:24:25,000 --> 01:24:28,040 Speaker 11: lot of other areas, there is almost no transparency for 1824 01:24:28,080 --> 01:24:31,960 Speaker 11: the public. Which transparency is a key component of accountability, 1825 01:24:32,320 --> 01:24:35,040 Speaker 11: and so it not only shields the mistakes and lacks 1826 01:24:35,040 --> 01:24:39,960 Speaker 11: safety practices of labs, it also shields those organizations that 1827 01:24:40,000 --> 01:24:42,840 Speaker 11: we the public are trusting from the accountability to know 1828 01:24:42,880 --> 01:24:43,960 Speaker 11: that they're doing their jobs. 1829 01:24:44,080 --> 01:24:45,680 Speaker 2: That's been such a difficult part of the line. I've 1830 01:24:45,680 --> 01:24:47,240 Speaker 2: seen it with members of Congress. Most of them don't 1831 01:24:47,240 --> 01:24:49,080 Speaker 2: even know about what any of these research. They don't 1832 01:24:49,080 --> 01:24:51,160 Speaker 2: even know about the money that they are appropriating in 1833 01:24:51,240 --> 01:24:53,599 Speaker 2: bills to fund this. So have you seen you know, 1834 01:24:53,720 --> 01:24:57,599 Speaker 2: obviously COVID woke the entire world up to this dynamic. 1835 01:24:57,680 --> 01:25:00,000 Speaker 2: Yet you know, money wise, it seems like the cannon 1836 01:25:00,160 --> 01:25:01,640 Speaker 2: is still going towards this. 1837 01:25:01,800 --> 01:25:04,000 Speaker 3: Do you think we've made any meaningful progress or. 1838 01:25:03,880 --> 01:25:07,120 Speaker 2: Can you know with the release of books like yours, 1839 01:25:07,200 --> 01:25:09,720 Speaker 2: or even public awareness around the release of COVID, what 1840 01:25:09,720 --> 01:25:10,200 Speaker 2: do you think? 1841 01:25:10,400 --> 01:25:14,480 Speaker 11: Well this area right now there is huge public awareness 1842 01:25:14,479 --> 01:25:17,439 Speaker 11: and concern about the issue of did COVID come from 1843 01:25:17,439 --> 01:25:19,640 Speaker 11: a laboratory accent? And I think it's important for the 1844 01:25:19,680 --> 01:25:21,800 Speaker 11: public to start thinking about this, as you've said, in 1845 01:25:21,840 --> 01:25:26,000 Speaker 11: a wider sense that if whether or not COVID nineteen 1846 01:25:26,040 --> 01:25:27,280 Speaker 11: came from a laboratory accents. 1847 01:25:27,960 --> 01:25:29,960 Speaker 12: The Government Accountability Office, which is. 1848 01:25:29,880 --> 01:25:35,519 Speaker 11: A nonpartisan, not a hysterical organization anyway, they have been 1849 01:25:35,560 --> 01:25:38,320 Speaker 11: warning for more than a decade that the growing number 1850 01:25:38,360 --> 01:25:41,439 Speaker 11: of labs, the more research that we're doing, is increasing 1851 01:25:41,479 --> 01:25:45,320 Speaker 11: the risk of a catastrophic accident. And to your point, 1852 01:25:45,439 --> 01:25:50,080 Speaker 11: this research is really important, and so the issue is 1853 01:25:50,120 --> 01:25:51,320 Speaker 11: how do we do it safely? 1854 01:25:51,680 --> 01:25:54,320 Speaker 12: How is there accountability that's put into it. 1855 01:25:54,360 --> 01:25:56,280 Speaker 11: And one of the things on the funding is there 1856 01:25:56,360 --> 01:25:58,519 Speaker 11: is a lot more funding for research because of COVID. 1857 01:25:58,560 --> 01:26:01,720 Speaker 11: There are more labs being built because of COVID. But 1858 01:26:01,840 --> 01:26:05,800 Speaker 11: what is not usually earmarked in this legislation and in 1859 01:26:05,800 --> 01:26:09,600 Speaker 11: this funding is funding for biosafety. There are biosafety officers, 1860 01:26:09,600 --> 01:26:12,840 Speaker 11: but they often don't have the funding to do the 1861 01:26:12,920 --> 01:26:14,120 Speaker 11: kinds of safety oversight. 1862 01:26:14,320 --> 01:26:15,280 Speaker 4: Got is that part of the. 1863 01:26:15,240 --> 01:26:17,639 Speaker 1: Issue for reform too, that a lot of people do 1864 01:26:17,760 --> 01:26:21,040 Speaker 1: have you know, their careers and their you know, their 1865 01:26:21,040 --> 01:26:23,560 Speaker 1: ability to make money and published papers and whatever is 1866 01:26:23,640 --> 01:26:26,120 Speaker 1: wrapped up in this world and in this research. Is 1867 01:26:26,120 --> 01:26:27,880 Speaker 1: that a barrier to significant reform. 1868 01:26:28,320 --> 01:26:31,360 Speaker 11: There are huge conflicts of interest in this area. So 1869 01:26:31,600 --> 01:26:35,759 Speaker 11: if you're looking at where there are oversight mechanisms, currently, 1870 01:26:36,720 --> 01:26:40,440 Speaker 11: the organizations in the federal government that either have guidelines 1871 01:26:40,560 --> 01:26:45,240 Speaker 11: or some regulatory power, those same organizations fund the research 1872 01:26:45,680 --> 01:26:48,439 Speaker 11: and they do research themselves. And so in the case 1873 01:26:48,479 --> 01:26:50,760 Speaker 11: of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, which is 1874 01:26:50,800 --> 01:26:53,640 Speaker 11: one of the agencies that oversees some of this research. 1875 01:26:53,600 --> 01:26:56,120 Speaker 12: Their labs have had some of the worst accidents. 1876 01:26:56,400 --> 01:26:59,000 Speaker 11: Okay, So I mean those are the same people and 1877 01:26:59,040 --> 01:27:03,800 Speaker 11: they have an interest in secrecy and not having public transparency. 1878 01:27:03,880 --> 01:27:05,040 Speaker 5: So on. 1879 01:27:05,360 --> 01:27:07,120 Speaker 12: The one of the issues that. 1880 01:27:07,640 --> 01:27:10,080 Speaker 11: Various experts have put forth is should there be a 1881 01:27:10,280 --> 01:27:15,599 Speaker 11: separate independent entity outside of the research community, but obviously 1882 01:27:15,640 --> 01:27:18,840 Speaker 11: grounded in science that is overseeing this. I mean a 1883 01:27:18,880 --> 01:27:22,720 Speaker 11: great analogy is how nuclear the nuclear industry is regulated. 1884 01:27:22,840 --> 01:27:24,040 Speaker 4: Right, That's such a great point. 1885 01:27:24,080 --> 01:27:26,200 Speaker 1: And lastly, I think Sager's right that it is sort 1886 01:27:26,200 --> 01:27:27,840 Speaker 1: of tedious at this point to go over all the 1887 01:27:27,880 --> 01:27:30,680 Speaker 1: details of the COVID lab leak or not lab leak. 1888 01:27:30,960 --> 01:27:33,599 Speaker 1: I'm curious though, just given your expertise, that you've been 1889 01:27:33,640 --> 01:27:36,600 Speaker 1: studying this for so long, when you first started to 1890 01:27:36,680 --> 01:27:40,280 Speaker 1: learn about coronavirus and to think about what its origins 1891 01:27:40,360 --> 01:27:42,320 Speaker 1: might be, like, what were the thoughts that were going 1892 01:27:42,360 --> 01:27:43,479 Speaker 1: through your head initially? 1893 01:27:43,600 --> 01:27:46,759 Speaker 11: Yeah, I mean initially I have to say, like most people, 1894 01:27:46,760 --> 01:27:49,559 Speaker 11: I'm like, this couldn't be. You know, this couldn't be. 1895 01:27:50,000 --> 01:27:52,880 Speaker 11: But the more I looked into it, and especially I 1896 01:27:52,880 --> 01:27:55,080 Speaker 11: thought it couldn't be because some of the world's leading 1897 01:27:55,160 --> 01:27:58,040 Speaker 11: scientists came out of the gate saying this is. 1898 01:27:58,080 --> 01:27:59,519 Speaker 12: Absolutely not a lab larian. 1899 01:28:00,040 --> 01:28:04,719 Speaker 11: Absolutely absolutely, And as you know, we have later learned 1900 01:28:05,080 --> 01:28:07,760 Speaker 11: there were a number of secret meetings where they discussed 1901 01:28:07,800 --> 01:28:10,800 Speaker 11: their own concerns that this was not only a lab leak, 1902 01:28:10,880 --> 01:28:15,640 Speaker 11: but of a potentially engineered virus, and so that disconnect 1903 01:28:15,680 --> 01:28:18,800 Speaker 11: between what was being discussed privately by top scientists and 1904 01:28:18,840 --> 01:28:21,000 Speaker 11: what we were being told in the public was very 1905 01:28:21,040 --> 01:28:25,120 Speaker 11: concerning and and so once I started having a greater 1906 01:28:25,720 --> 01:28:29,120 Speaker 11: awareness of that, obviously with my background reporting on this 1907 01:28:29,160 --> 01:28:33,280 Speaker 11: issue for fifteen years, it was always plausible to me 1908 01:28:33,360 --> 01:28:34,759 Speaker 11: that this could be a laboratory accident. 1909 01:28:34,960 --> 01:28:36,760 Speaker 2: Yeah, that's exactly why we need drink. Because you know, 1910 01:28:36,800 --> 01:28:38,080 Speaker 2: you can't rely on these people to play it. 1911 01:28:38,080 --> 01:28:38,720 Speaker 3: They're human beings. 1912 01:28:38,720 --> 01:28:42,040 Speaker 2: They're not you know, specially nobody can police themselves. Probably Allison, 1913 01:28:42,080 --> 01:28:44,200 Speaker 2: you have done such an excellent job here. Really, thank 1914 01:28:44,280 --> 01:28:46,759 Speaker 2: you for in such a professional manner. I encourage everybody 1915 01:28:46,840 --> 01:28:48,400 Speaker 2: go and buy the book. We'll have a link down 1916 01:28:48,880 --> 01:28:51,519 Speaker 2: in the description to go ahead Pandora's Gamble. If you're 1917 01:28:51,520 --> 01:28:53,519 Speaker 2: just listening, go ahead and search it, buy it wherever 1918 01:28:53,560 --> 01:28:54,160 Speaker 2: you buy your books. 1919 01:28:54,160 --> 01:28:56,120 Speaker 4: And thank you so much for joining us. 1920 01:28:56,240 --> 01:28:58,080 Speaker 3: Thank you very much, absolutely. 1921 01:29:00,680 --> 01:29:01,080 Speaker 4: So, guys. 1922 01:29:01,160 --> 01:29:02,920 Speaker 1: As we mentioned at the top of the show, today 1923 01:29:03,040 --> 01:29:05,040 Speaker 1: is officially two years. 1924 01:29:05,240 --> 01:29:05,759 Speaker 3: Two years. 1925 01:29:05,760 --> 01:29:08,439 Speaker 1: Here are breaking points here at the desk. See since 1926 01:29:08,439 --> 01:29:11,439 Speaker 1: we got the desk very famous to usk and it's 1927 01:29:11,520 --> 01:29:13,400 Speaker 1: kind of one of those weird things like it feels 1928 01:29:13,439 --> 01:29:15,360 Speaker 1: like it flew by, but it also feels like a 1929 01:29:15,360 --> 01:29:18,559 Speaker 1: lifetime ago that we were even at Rising doing the thing. 1930 01:29:18,840 --> 01:29:21,040 Speaker 1: You guys know the story. You know, we decided to 1931 01:29:21,240 --> 01:29:23,439 Speaker 1: make the break go on on our own. We put 1932 01:29:23,479 --> 01:29:25,400 Speaker 1: our trust in faith that you all would be there 1933 01:29:25,400 --> 01:29:26,960 Speaker 1: for us, and you have come through in the most 1934 01:29:26,960 --> 01:29:29,960 Speaker 1: amazing way possible. So now as we get ready to 1935 01:29:30,080 --> 01:29:32,120 Speaker 1: you know, move on to year number three and to 1936 01:29:32,160 --> 01:29:35,519 Speaker 1: say goodbye to our beautiful set here and hello to 1937 01:29:35,600 --> 01:29:38,840 Speaker 1: a beautiful even more beautiful professional new set that you 1938 01:29:38,880 --> 01:29:39,759 Speaker 1: all made possible. 1939 01:29:40,320 --> 01:29:42,479 Speaker 4: Our producers and we haven't watched this yet yet, not yet. 1940 01:29:42,520 --> 01:29:44,400 Speaker 1: They put together a little I guess you call it 1941 01:29:44,439 --> 01:29:47,280 Speaker 1: like a highlight reel of Soger and ize time together. 1942 01:29:47,400 --> 01:29:49,880 Speaker 1: So we will be viewing this live along with you all. 1943 01:29:50,000 --> 01:29:50,759 Speaker 1: Let's take a look. 1944 01:29:50,960 --> 01:29:53,680 Speaker 7: Joining me now is saw there and Jet Team is 1945 01:29:53,760 --> 01:29:56,280 Speaker 7: White House correspondent for the Daily Caller. 1946 01:29:56,360 --> 01:29:58,800 Speaker 3: So let's jump right in. Thanks for having me, Arthil. Yeah, 1947 01:29:58,800 --> 01:29:59,880 Speaker 3: that's a very interesting question. 1948 01:30:00,160 --> 01:30:02,840 Speaker 2: Senator Ted Cruz has already come out against this bill, 1949 01:30:03,240 --> 01:30:05,519 Speaker 2: saying that it's just simply a non starter for him 1950 01:30:05,520 --> 01:30:07,639 Speaker 2: and for many of the other Conservatives in the Senate. 1951 01:30:07,840 --> 01:30:11,519 Speaker 1: We selection destroyed more than the Democratic majority in the Senate. 1952 01:30:11,840 --> 01:30:14,000 Speaker 1: It also shattered a number of myths, myths that have 1953 01:30:14,120 --> 01:30:18,320 Speaker 1: enabled democratic elite complacency. The last myth, and the one 1954 01:30:18,320 --> 01:30:21,360 Speaker 1: that will doom Democrats in twenty sixteen, needs to be 1955 01:30:21,439 --> 01:30:24,400 Speaker 1: busted right here. That myth has to do with the 1956 01:30:24,479 --> 01:30:28,840 Speaker 1: inevitability and electability of a Hillary Clinton presidency. I think, 1957 01:30:28,880 --> 01:30:33,040 Speaker 1: for me, the new Left is a democratic party that 1958 01:30:33,360 --> 01:30:37,080 Speaker 1: actually puts the interest of the working class at the center. 1959 01:30:37,320 --> 01:30:38,160 Speaker 3: What is the new right? 1960 01:30:38,240 --> 01:30:42,120 Speaker 2: It's a departure from the free market consensus. Is about 1961 01:30:42,160 --> 01:30:45,559 Speaker 2: your family, and it's about putting policy in place in 1962 01:30:45,640 --> 01:30:47,640 Speaker 2: order to make it so that you can live a 1963 01:30:47,680 --> 01:30:49,920 Speaker 2: successful and meaningful life. 1964 01:30:50,160 --> 01:30:53,320 Speaker 3: Good morning, everybody, Happy Tuesday. We have an amazing show 1965 01:30:53,360 --> 01:30:54,920 Speaker 3: for everybody today. What we have Bristol? 1966 01:30:55,040 --> 01:30:55,559 Speaker 4: Indeed we do. 1967 01:30:55,760 --> 01:30:59,000 Speaker 2: Good morning everybody, Happy Thursday. We have an amazing show 1968 01:30:59,040 --> 01:30:59,840 Speaker 2: for everybody today. 1969 01:31:00,080 --> 01:31:01,599 Speaker 3: Do a convention show. Do we have Crystal? 1970 01:31:01,680 --> 01:31:02,160 Speaker 4: Indeed we do. 1971 01:31:02,320 --> 01:31:05,080 Speaker 3: Good morning everybody, Happy Monday. We have an amazing show 1972 01:31:05,120 --> 01:31:06,799 Speaker 3: for everybody today. What do we have Crystal? 1973 01:31:06,880 --> 01:31:08,800 Speaker 4: Indeed we do? All right, Zider, what's on your radar? 1974 01:31:09,120 --> 01:31:09,920 Speaker 3: Full confession. 1975 01:31:10,200 --> 01:31:12,640 Speaker 2: I had an entire other radar written and I was 1976 01:31:12,680 --> 01:31:13,880 Speaker 2: ready to go for today. 1977 01:31:13,640 --> 01:31:16,120 Speaker 3: But then something happened that made me so hopped up 1978 01:31:16,200 --> 01:31:19,479 Speaker 3: and mad. I literally dropped everything I was doing. All right, Crystal, 1979 01:31:19,520 --> 01:31:20,280 Speaker 3: what's on your radar? 1980 01:31:20,640 --> 01:31:21,080 Speaker 8: Well? 1981 01:31:21,240 --> 01:31:25,160 Speaker 1: As Twitter amuses itself with horrified reactions to Pete's cringiest 1982 01:31:25,320 --> 01:31:28,280 Speaker 1: whitest dands of all time, it's really quite simple, like 1983 01:31:28,479 --> 01:31:29,360 Speaker 1: you're not saying you. 1984 01:31:29,320 --> 01:31:30,320 Speaker 4: Love everything I say. 1985 01:31:30,360 --> 01:31:32,760 Speaker 1: I'm not saying I love everything you say. But there 1986 01:31:32,760 --> 01:31:35,080 Speaker 1: are these two new coalitions rising in America. You can 1987 01:31:35,120 --> 01:31:37,280 Speaker 1: either deal with that or you can try to ignore 1988 01:31:37,320 --> 01:31:41,519 Speaker 1: it and isolate yourself increasingly into these ideological corners. And 1989 01:31:41,560 --> 01:31:43,400 Speaker 1: I just think that is fundamentally the wrong. 1990 01:31:43,479 --> 01:31:44,240 Speaker 3: Well, that's foolish. 1991 01:31:44,280 --> 01:31:47,360 Speaker 1: We also have some big news, which is that today 1992 01:31:47,439 --> 01:31:50,000 Speaker 1: is going to be our last day at the Hill 1993 01:31:50,840 --> 01:31:54,080 Speaker 1: doing rising here, which we feel a lot of praise about. 1994 01:31:54,280 --> 01:31:57,080 Speaker 3: We've had an amazing run here. It's almost two years 1995 01:31:57,120 --> 01:32:00,800 Speaker 3: to the day since I believe officially became your So 1996 01:32:00,840 --> 01:32:03,599 Speaker 3: tell everybody, why'd you leave the Hill? What do you think, 1997 01:32:03,680 --> 01:32:04,920 Speaker 3: Chris Well, why did we leave the Hill? 1998 01:32:05,240 --> 01:32:06,599 Speaker 4: We wanted to live our values. 1999 01:32:06,720 --> 01:32:09,120 Speaker 1: We talk all the time about how much we believe 2000 01:32:09,520 --> 01:32:13,040 Speaker 1: in the new media ecosystem, how much we believe in 2001 01:32:13,040 --> 01:32:16,280 Speaker 1: independent media, free of any sort of corporate influence. And 2002 01:32:16,360 --> 01:32:19,960 Speaker 1: so even though I have to admit, like I'm really 2003 01:32:20,000 --> 01:32:23,599 Speaker 1: nervous and it feels very uncomfortable, but in a good way, 2004 01:32:24,400 --> 01:32:27,320 Speaker 1: we wanted to step out and go independent and do 2005 01:32:27,360 --> 01:32:28,000 Speaker 1: a show of our own. 2006 01:32:28,120 --> 01:32:30,599 Speaker 3: Here's the thing with Rising, We loved it. It's amazing 2007 01:32:30,640 --> 01:32:32,559 Speaker 3: that they let us get away with as much as 2008 01:32:32,600 --> 01:32:35,160 Speaker 3: we got two years through. At the end of the day, 2009 01:32:35,200 --> 01:32:36,759 Speaker 3: though I wanted to do a better show. 2010 01:32:37,000 --> 01:32:38,000 Speaker 4: You guys are honest. 2011 01:32:38,320 --> 01:32:40,120 Speaker 12: I mean we're talking about that early like. 2012 01:32:40,160 --> 01:32:40,920 Speaker 4: It's so rare. 2013 01:32:41,360 --> 01:32:45,200 Speaker 6: You say what you feel, and that is so valuable. 2014 01:32:45,200 --> 01:32:45,559 Speaker 2: Today. 2015 01:32:45,720 --> 01:32:50,400 Speaker 4: Hold on, I'm about to make my entrance. There is 2016 01:32:50,439 --> 01:32:52,280 Speaker 4: the one and only Matt tyav. 2017 01:32:52,080 --> 01:32:54,400 Speaker 2: Of course, the best friend of the show to show, 2018 01:32:54,439 --> 01:32:55,839 Speaker 2: Glenn Greenwald, Tony's. 2019 01:32:55,880 --> 01:32:58,800 Speaker 4: Now we have Ken Clefvenstein, David Serda. Great to see sir, 2020 01:32:59,120 --> 01:33:01,320 Speaker 4: Great to see you, Thank you. 2021 01:33:00,720 --> 01:33:04,000 Speaker 3: Joining us now. My friend Jeremy Corbel, friend of the show. 2022 01:33:03,920 --> 01:33:07,000 Speaker 1: Connerson Rocanna had come out and called for her to resign, 2023 01:33:07,120 --> 01:33:09,439 Speaker 1: something that we considered quite courageous, given that you are 2024 01:33:09,439 --> 01:33:11,920 Speaker 1: a fellow California and you've taken quite a bit of 2025 01:33:11,960 --> 01:33:13,519 Speaker 1: heat for those comments. We're lucky to have you in 2026 01:33:13,560 --> 01:33:16,880 Speaker 1: studio today. Thanks big breaking news regarding lab leak. 2027 01:33:16,960 --> 01:33:19,759 Speaker 2: Yeah, and a news that should absolutely shock anyone except 2028 01:33:19,760 --> 01:33:20,800 Speaker 2: over at MSNBC. 2029 01:33:20,880 --> 01:33:22,439 Speaker 3: Let's put this up there on the screen. 2030 01:33:22,560 --> 01:33:26,760 Speaker 2: The lab leak most likely origin of COVID nineteen pandemic. 2031 01:33:26,840 --> 01:33:29,080 Speaker 3: The Energy Department now says. 2032 01:33:28,880 --> 01:33:35,519 Speaker 1: All out assault on train, land, air, sea, cyber truly 2033 01:33:36,080 --> 01:33:39,040 Speaker 1: just a shock and all effort from the Russians, and 2034 01:33:39,080 --> 01:33:41,280 Speaker 1: we are going to cover it from every angle. 2035 01:33:44,560 --> 01:33:47,960 Speaker 3: Hello Chicago, Hello, Hello Austin. 2036 01:33:48,200 --> 01:33:54,600 Speaker 2: Howdy, as they say in these parts, Hello Boston, Hello London. 2037 01:33:56,240 --> 01:33:57,479 Speaker 4: Guys are fired up tonight. 2038 01:33:57,520 --> 01:33:59,960 Speaker 3: I love it you guys inside into what you want 2039 01:34:00,080 --> 01:34:00,519 Speaker 3: helping us. 2040 01:34:00,600 --> 01:34:02,320 Speaker 4: This is what you have been helping us yet. 2041 01:34:02,360 --> 01:34:05,880 Speaker 2: The beautiful box of Lights is one of almost a 2042 01:34:05,960 --> 01:34:08,479 Speaker 2: dozen boxes that we have here in the studio and 2043 01:34:08,600 --> 01:34:10,840 Speaker 2: want to thank all of the yearly and the lifetime 2044 01:34:10,920 --> 01:34:12,439 Speaker 2: members Crystal who have signed up. 2045 01:34:12,439 --> 01:34:13,120 Speaker 3: We're helping us. 2046 01:34:13,160 --> 01:34:15,479 Speaker 2: This is the biggest expense ever in the history of 2047 01:34:15,520 --> 01:34:16,600 Speaker 2: breaking points. 2048 01:34:16,320 --> 01:34:18,559 Speaker 3: And it's costing a hell of a lot of money. 2049 01:34:18,600 --> 01:34:20,320 Speaker 2: But the reason that we are doing it is because 2050 01:34:20,320 --> 01:34:22,479 Speaker 2: we know how important it is not only to you 2051 01:34:22,520 --> 01:34:25,920 Speaker 2: to have something that looks and feels important, but something 2052 01:34:25,960 --> 01:34:26,800 Speaker 2: that you can share with. 2053 01:34:26,760 --> 01:34:28,280 Speaker 3: Your friends and your family and it will help us. 2054 01:34:28,439 --> 01:34:30,200 Speaker 1: When we launched, we only wanted to do it if 2055 01:34:30,200 --> 01:34:33,080 Speaker 1: we could do it the right way and continuously improve 2056 01:34:33,200 --> 01:34:35,240 Speaker 1: with your support. We believe in you, guys, We believe 2057 01:34:35,240 --> 01:34:36,840 Speaker 1: in the show. So thank you, thank you, thank you 2058 01:34:36,880 --> 01:34:39,080 Speaker 1: for this box and the many more like it, and 2059 01:34:39,600 --> 01:34:41,560 Speaker 1: can't wait for you to see the full set. I 2060 01:34:41,560 --> 01:34:43,439 Speaker 1: think you'll be as excited about it as we are. 2061 01:34:49,040 --> 01:34:51,680 Speaker 4: To growing a bat for going through all of it. 2062 01:34:51,720 --> 01:34:55,080 Speaker 1: They went all the way back to Daily callar Day, 2063 01:34:55,160 --> 01:34:58,840 Speaker 1: all the way back watching MSNBC and the cycle. Thank you, 2064 01:34:58,880 --> 01:35:00,720 Speaker 1: by the way for picking of the clips of me 2065 01:35:00,800 --> 01:35:04,080 Speaker 1: saying something that was actually like good and correct and 2066 01:35:04,400 --> 01:35:06,559 Speaker 1: one of the many cringey things that I said, Well. 2067 01:35:06,400 --> 01:35:08,800 Speaker 3: I don't want to think about it. 2068 01:35:08,840 --> 01:35:10,599 Speaker 2: I was like I need a shot a whiskey, even 2069 01:35:10,640 --> 01:35:13,200 Speaker 2: watching the original clip. Yeah, I mean, it's crazy to 2070 01:35:13,240 --> 01:35:15,920 Speaker 2: think about two years exactly to the day, almost Actually 2071 01:35:15,920 --> 01:35:19,080 Speaker 2: we're it's ten am here on the East Coast. This 2072 01:35:19,200 --> 01:35:23,000 Speaker 2: is exactly whenever we were attempting two years ago Bristol 2073 01:35:23,080 --> 01:35:25,880 Speaker 2: to go live and we were screwed by a mailchimp. 2074 01:35:26,120 --> 01:35:28,840 Speaker 4: We were over an hour and a half panicking. 2075 01:35:28,680 --> 01:35:32,000 Speaker 2: Because Mailchimp just decided not to let us send our 2076 01:35:32,000 --> 01:35:34,840 Speaker 2: email out to everybody. So yeah, we were absolutely losing 2077 01:35:34,840 --> 01:35:38,280 Speaker 2: our mind. Literally, yeah, what is it seven hundred something 2078 01:35:38,320 --> 01:35:38,759 Speaker 2: or whatever. 2079 01:35:39,040 --> 01:35:41,759 Speaker 1: But that was interesting what we said in those clips 2080 01:35:41,760 --> 01:35:44,200 Speaker 1: that almost it was almost two years to the day 2081 01:35:44,200 --> 01:35:46,680 Speaker 1: that we were rising together when we broke off, and 2082 01:35:46,720 --> 01:35:48,519 Speaker 1: now almost two years to the day that we're here 2083 01:35:48,640 --> 01:35:50,519 Speaker 1: launching kind of a new you know, I mean, it's 2084 01:35:50,560 --> 01:35:53,240 Speaker 1: the same show, but it's the set is really quite opning. 2085 01:35:53,360 --> 01:35:57,040 Speaker 2: So June first is the exact four year anniversary of 2086 01:35:57,080 --> 01:36:00,200 Speaker 2: the day officially became your rising co host. So, cause 2087 01:36:00,200 --> 01:36:02,920 Speaker 2: I was looking back through that, Wow, there's a photo 2088 01:36:03,280 --> 01:36:06,360 Speaker 2: first photo I ever found the two of us together 2089 01:36:06,439 --> 01:36:08,160 Speaker 2: from that time. I was like, wow, you know, like 2090 01:36:08,200 --> 01:36:09,160 Speaker 2: the iPhone memories. 2091 01:36:09,320 --> 01:36:11,599 Speaker 3: Yeah, and I was like, what a crazy time. 2092 01:36:11,840 --> 01:36:18,679 Speaker 2: It was actually us eating beef jerky start following. 2093 01:36:19,360 --> 01:36:22,400 Speaker 4: I think that's a sign I guess it's ready to go. Yeah, 2094 01:36:22,439 --> 01:36:22,840 Speaker 4: I guess. So. 2095 01:36:23,120 --> 01:36:25,400 Speaker 1: You know, one of the things that I really reflect 2096 01:36:25,439 --> 01:36:29,200 Speaker 1: on watching back that montage is how much the show 2097 01:36:29,200 --> 01:36:33,599 Speaker 1: has grown, how much we've had to adjust to the news. 2098 01:36:33,680 --> 01:36:37,000 Speaker 1: I mean, when when the Democratic primary, which you know, 2099 01:36:37,080 --> 01:36:38,920 Speaker 1: that was like a key part of what we're focused 2100 01:36:38,960 --> 01:36:40,880 Speaker 1: on and what that really made, you know, the interview 2101 01:36:40,920 --> 01:36:43,439 Speaker 1: with Andrew Yang and the fair coverage of the Bernie 2102 01:36:43,479 --> 01:36:46,320 Speaker 1: Sanders campaign and all of that, like that really sort 2103 01:36:46,360 --> 01:36:47,160 Speaker 1: of built us up. 2104 01:36:47,560 --> 01:36:49,240 Speaker 4: And then in an instant. 2105 01:36:49,439 --> 01:36:51,960 Speaker 1: That was over and it was COVID and that was 2106 01:36:52,000 --> 01:36:54,000 Speaker 1: the first time that we're like, all right, we got 2107 01:36:54,040 --> 01:36:56,160 Speaker 1: to we're going to really find out what we've got here, 2108 01:36:56,320 --> 01:36:58,280 Speaker 1: Like are people just here to hear us like you know, 2109 01:36:58,360 --> 01:36:59,120 Speaker 1: shit on Biden? 2110 01:36:59,680 --> 01:37:02,200 Speaker 4: Like I talk about it. Really you know, people were 2111 01:37:02,240 --> 01:37:02,600 Speaker 4: there for that. 2112 01:37:02,640 --> 01:37:04,759 Speaker 1: I really enjoyed that, the panels and all that stuff, 2113 01:37:04,880 --> 01:37:07,320 Speaker 1: Or is there something more sustainable that we can build here? 2114 01:37:07,360 --> 01:37:09,639 Speaker 1: And so, you know, we went all in on trying 2115 01:37:09,640 --> 01:37:12,280 Speaker 1: to understand what was happening and trying to analyze what 2116 01:37:12,320 --> 01:37:15,320 Speaker 1: the political response to it was and what the reality 2117 01:37:15,400 --> 01:37:17,600 Speaker 1: was going to be for ordinary Americans versus what was 2118 01:37:17,640 --> 01:37:21,080 Speaker 1: being given to elites at the time. And I think 2119 01:37:21,200 --> 01:37:24,040 Speaker 1: when we were able to make that transition, that's when 2120 01:37:24,040 --> 01:37:26,200 Speaker 1: I knew that we would be able to do the 2121 01:37:26,240 --> 01:37:28,920 Speaker 1: show for the long term and that there was an 2122 01:37:28,960 --> 01:37:31,839 Speaker 1: audience there that, you know, really cared about the core values, 2123 01:37:31,880 --> 01:37:33,840 Speaker 1: not just the horse race of the politics of the day. 2124 01:37:34,600 --> 01:37:36,280 Speaker 1: And since then there have been a lot of other 2125 01:37:36,520 --> 01:37:40,120 Speaker 1: obviously major twists and turns in terms of the focus 2126 01:37:40,160 --> 01:37:42,240 Speaker 1: of the show and what's happening in the world and 2127 01:37:42,240 --> 01:37:44,840 Speaker 1: our coverage the Ukraine War that they played, you know, 2128 01:37:44,880 --> 01:37:48,880 Speaker 1: when Russia invaded Ukraine. Initially that was another big moment 2129 01:37:49,120 --> 01:37:51,800 Speaker 1: obviously in world politics most importantly, but in terms of 2130 01:37:51,920 --> 01:37:54,280 Speaker 1: huge shift and focus of coverage here, we both did 2131 01:37:54,320 --> 01:37:55,840 Speaker 1: all that we could to sort of bone up on 2132 01:37:55,920 --> 01:37:57,800 Speaker 1: our understanding of what was happening in the world. 2133 01:37:58,320 --> 01:37:59,479 Speaker 4: And I just want to say, like. 2134 01:37:59,520 --> 01:38:03,720 Speaker 1: First of all, I'm incredibly grateful to you. You know, 2135 01:38:04,560 --> 01:38:05,800 Speaker 1: I've had a lot of co. 2136 01:38:05,840 --> 01:38:08,400 Speaker 4: Hosts in my time, and I'm lucky I never did. 2137 01:38:08,600 --> 01:38:12,520 Speaker 1: I can tell you it's like it's it's a challenging relationship, 2138 01:38:12,680 --> 01:38:13,960 Speaker 1: and you. 2139 01:38:13,920 --> 01:38:17,439 Speaker 4: Know, with you make it easy, like it really is easy. 2140 01:38:17,479 --> 01:38:20,719 Speaker 1: We've had we've had some gnarly moments, but overall, especially 2141 01:38:20,760 --> 01:38:25,120 Speaker 1: since we launched here smooth Sailing, they're amazing partner. I 2142 01:38:25,120 --> 01:38:28,439 Speaker 1: couldn't be more fortunate and grateful. And then also to 2143 01:38:28,479 --> 01:38:31,120 Speaker 1: you guys, like through all those twists and turns and 2144 01:38:31,200 --> 01:38:34,040 Speaker 1: you know, different focuses of the show, and but maintaining 2145 01:38:34,320 --> 01:38:36,760 Speaker 1: the core values. Like you guys have been there and 2146 01:38:36,800 --> 01:38:38,759 Speaker 1: you've put your faith in us to try to interpret 2147 01:38:38,800 --> 01:38:40,439 Speaker 1: what's going on in the world as best we can. 2148 01:38:40,479 --> 01:38:41,960 Speaker 4: And I'm just so grateful for that same. 2149 01:38:42,000 --> 01:38:44,120 Speaker 2: I mean, you can't say it enough, and I'm sorry. 2150 01:38:44,160 --> 01:38:45,639 Speaker 2: You know, you only have to hear about the set 2151 01:38:45,640 --> 01:38:47,360 Speaker 2: for one more week and then it's there. 2152 01:38:48,560 --> 01:38:50,160 Speaker 3: Shut up about it and all that. 2153 01:38:50,240 --> 01:38:52,040 Speaker 2: But for real, I mean, it's just crazy to think, 2154 01:38:52,120 --> 01:38:54,680 Speaker 2: you know, two year anniversary to the day. I mean, 2155 01:38:54,720 --> 01:38:56,320 Speaker 2: you know, you and I we put this whole set 2156 01:38:56,360 --> 01:38:57,800 Speaker 2: on our individual credit cards. 2157 01:38:57,840 --> 01:38:59,479 Speaker 3: You have no idea if this thing is going to 2158 01:38:59,560 --> 01:39:01,920 Speaker 3: work out. I'm am I gonna be broke, like you know, 2159 01:39:02,000 --> 01:39:03,040 Speaker 3: like what's gonna happen? 2160 01:39:03,160 --> 01:39:05,439 Speaker 2: Like it's one of those where we left all this 2161 01:39:05,520 --> 01:39:08,600 Speaker 2: money on the table health insurance, you know, all of 2162 01:39:08,640 --> 01:39:12,519 Speaker 2: the easiness that comes with being attached to a corporate organization. 2163 01:39:12,640 --> 01:39:14,120 Speaker 2: It was a huge risk, I mean, is the biggest 2164 01:39:14,200 --> 01:39:15,719 Speaker 2: risk will probably ever take in our lives. 2165 01:39:15,760 --> 01:39:17,880 Speaker 3: And yet it's one of those where not only. 2166 01:39:17,840 --> 01:39:20,880 Speaker 2: Did it work out, but it actually built something you know, 2167 01:39:20,920 --> 01:39:23,880 Speaker 2: in my opinion, that we could have never imagined. And 2168 01:39:23,920 --> 01:39:26,000 Speaker 2: that's what the new set looks like, and I also 2169 01:39:26,000 --> 01:39:28,840 Speaker 2: want to tell everybody like we take it's such we 2170 01:39:29,000 --> 01:39:32,519 Speaker 2: take it so seriously. The responsibility that we have to 2171 01:39:32,520 --> 01:39:34,400 Speaker 2: all of you, like every day when we wake up 2172 01:39:34,400 --> 01:39:36,599 Speaker 2: in our team. The way that we think about it 2173 01:39:36,640 --> 01:39:39,800 Speaker 2: is like you gave us your hard earned cash and 2174 01:39:39,840 --> 01:39:42,519 Speaker 2: your money because you're supporting you believe in something like 2175 01:39:42,560 --> 01:39:44,840 Speaker 2: that is a leap of faith which we do not 2176 01:39:44,960 --> 01:39:47,519 Speaker 2: take for granted. And also I know that there's so 2177 01:39:47,600 --> 01:39:50,320 Speaker 2: many things that the that people still want to see 2178 01:39:50,360 --> 01:39:51,000 Speaker 2: about the show. 2179 01:39:51,200 --> 01:39:53,160 Speaker 3: We are you know, we try to be humble, like we. 2180 01:39:53,120 --> 01:39:55,280 Speaker 2: Are good if we make We have made so many 2181 01:39:55,320 --> 01:39:57,680 Speaker 2: mistakes and we will always try to not only own 2182 01:39:57,760 --> 01:40:00,320 Speaker 2: up to them, but improve upon them. So on the 2183 01:40:00,320 --> 01:40:02,600 Speaker 2: new set, you're going to see many things which I 2184 01:40:02,640 --> 01:40:04,799 Speaker 2: know people have asked about. We've already got a panel 2185 01:40:04,840 --> 01:40:06,639 Speaker 2: that has booked for the very first week. We've got 2186 01:40:06,800 --> 01:40:08,920 Speaker 2: politicians that are going to be coming in here. We 2187 01:40:08,960 --> 01:40:11,040 Speaker 2: are going to try and level up and take things 2188 01:40:11,120 --> 01:40:13,920 Speaker 2: exactly to where you always wanted it to go. So 2189 01:40:14,000 --> 01:40:17,559 Speaker 2: consider it a building period, a learning period for the 2190 01:40:17,600 --> 01:40:20,439 Speaker 2: two of us. I mean transitioning from just two people 2191 01:40:20,479 --> 01:40:22,879 Speaker 2: who show up, you know, to running your own company. 2192 01:40:23,000 --> 01:40:24,519 Speaker 3: Was was an insane. 2193 01:40:24,040 --> 01:40:26,839 Speaker 2: Transition I think, you know, just at a very basic, 2194 01:40:26,960 --> 01:40:29,920 Speaker 2: like fundamental level, and then also having to sit here 2195 01:40:30,000 --> 01:40:32,840 Speaker 2: and continue to do the show, like so many different 2196 01:40:32,840 --> 01:40:33,360 Speaker 2: things change. 2197 01:40:33,640 --> 01:40:36,719 Speaker 1: Yeah, and you know I want to say, uh, Ryan 2198 01:40:36,760 --> 01:40:40,200 Speaker 1: and Emily, oh my god, joining the fold and what 2199 01:40:40,200 --> 01:40:43,840 Speaker 1: they've put together with counterpoints, which I you know, I'm 2200 01:40:43,880 --> 01:40:46,320 Speaker 1: a fan of. I enjoy watching it. I enjoy when 2201 01:40:46,360 --> 01:40:49,160 Speaker 1: I fill in for Ryan too. You know, they have 2202 01:40:49,280 --> 01:40:52,120 Speaker 1: their own dynamic and energy. A lot of times their 2203 01:40:52,200 --> 01:40:54,360 Speaker 1: issue focused a little different from ours. I think it 2204 01:40:54,360 --> 01:40:57,360 Speaker 1: has been so additive to the overall what we've been 2205 01:40:57,360 --> 01:40:59,360 Speaker 1: able to do here, and that just sort of like 2206 01:40:59,479 --> 01:41:01,559 Speaker 1: you know, came together in a way that has been 2207 01:41:01,640 --> 01:41:04,479 Speaker 1: really exciting. You know, our whole crew that supports us 2208 01:41:04,479 --> 01:41:07,280 Speaker 1: every day, Like, thank you guys so much. You guys 2209 01:41:07,320 --> 01:41:09,800 Speaker 1: have been amazing. Anytime we want, you know, we come 2210 01:41:09,880 --> 01:41:10,719 Speaker 1: up with these crazy ideas. 2211 01:41:10,920 --> 01:41:11,800 Speaker 4: Let's do a live stream. 2212 01:41:12,240 --> 01:41:12,720 Speaker 3: Were there? 2213 01:41:12,840 --> 01:41:15,120 Speaker 4: All right, let's do it down. Here's how it's gonna work. 2214 01:41:15,800 --> 01:41:18,479 Speaker 1: Griffin and Mack both knew this year, and let me 2215 01:41:18,520 --> 01:41:19,320 Speaker 1: tell you, like. 2216 01:41:19,720 --> 01:41:23,320 Speaker 4: They have really stepped up, both of them. 2217 01:41:23,560 --> 01:41:25,840 Speaker 1: You know, Mac is really integral and everything we do, 2218 01:41:25,920 --> 01:41:28,960 Speaker 1: but in particular He's taken a particularly focus on counterpoints, 2219 01:41:29,120 --> 01:41:31,720 Speaker 1: has done a phenomenal job building them up. Griffin has 2220 01:41:31,760 --> 01:41:34,880 Speaker 1: really spearheaded this new set development, which is a whole thing. 2221 01:41:34,960 --> 01:41:36,680 Speaker 1: And I can't tell you how grateful I am to 2222 01:41:36,760 --> 01:41:39,760 Speaker 1: not be parsing through all the details there and to 2223 01:41:39,840 --> 01:41:42,320 Speaker 1: have the confidence that he just has it handled. 2224 01:41:42,800 --> 01:41:45,280 Speaker 4: Those two guys absolutely amazing. 2225 01:41:45,439 --> 01:41:46,959 Speaker 3: They change the game for us. 2226 01:41:46,760 --> 01:41:47,800 Speaker 4: Totally top notch. 2227 01:41:47,920 --> 01:41:50,519 Speaker 1: And they really they have brought so much to the 2228 01:41:50,520 --> 01:41:52,360 Speaker 1: table in terms of development and show and it's just 2229 01:41:52,360 --> 01:41:53,479 Speaker 1: getting started exactly. 2230 01:41:53,479 --> 01:41:54,960 Speaker 3: And you're the ones who may know any of that 2231 01:41:55,000 --> 01:41:57,080 Speaker 3: possible only a reason that we can even pay for 2232 01:41:57,160 --> 01:42:00,360 Speaker 3: real talent, you know, to come in here. You know, 2233 01:42:00,479 --> 01:42:02,360 Speaker 3: all the guys in the control room. I remember our 2234 01:42:02,439 --> 01:42:02,920 Speaker 3: very first. 2235 01:42:02,800 --> 01:42:05,000 Speaker 2: Set, everybody said, hey, the audio sucks. It's like, hey, 2236 01:42:05,080 --> 01:42:07,400 Speaker 2: guess what daily audio? We pay for it now thanks 2237 01:42:07,400 --> 01:42:09,280 Speaker 2: to all of it, we don't even think about it too. 2238 01:42:09,280 --> 01:42:11,000 Speaker 2: It's one of those where it's like a baked in cost. 2239 01:42:11,120 --> 01:42:13,680 Speaker 2: It's not going to change anything whenever it comes to 2240 01:42:13,680 --> 01:42:16,400 Speaker 2: the quality of the show is not It's not something 2241 01:42:16,400 --> 01:42:18,720 Speaker 2: that you and I blink twice at spending money on 2242 01:42:18,800 --> 01:42:20,920 Speaker 2: I was just looking at the original computer that we bought, 2243 01:42:21,720 --> 01:42:23,240 Speaker 2: and we were talking to the guys in the control 2244 01:42:23,280 --> 01:42:25,280 Speaker 2: room before the show about how much you know, we 2245 01:42:25,360 --> 01:42:27,439 Speaker 2: had trouble with all that processing time, and that was 2246 01:42:27,479 --> 01:42:29,320 Speaker 2: the first real purchase that we were able to make 2247 01:42:29,520 --> 01:42:32,280 Speaker 2: that iMac being like we have an M one iMac 2248 01:42:32,360 --> 01:42:35,040 Speaker 2: it can actually process it. Now we've you know, graduated 2249 01:42:35,040 --> 01:42:38,040 Speaker 2: to like some gigantic monstrosity which barely looks like a 2250 01:42:38,080 --> 01:42:41,200 Speaker 2: computer to be capable of handling four K and all 2251 01:42:41,200 --> 01:42:43,720 Speaker 2: these brand new cameras that we're looking at. I mean, 2252 01:42:44,080 --> 01:42:46,639 Speaker 2: so it just like as slow and steady. But also 2253 01:42:46,920 --> 01:42:48,479 Speaker 2: when you think about how much has changed over the 2254 01:42:48,560 --> 01:42:51,519 Speaker 2: last two years, it's remarkable. So that's a I think 2255 01:42:51,560 --> 01:42:54,200 Speaker 2: that's a good place to leave things. Breakingpoints dot com 2256 01:42:54,479 --> 01:42:56,439 Speaker 2: if you're able to help us out, you know, throughout 2257 01:42:56,439 --> 01:42:59,560 Speaker 2: all of this, if you made it this far, this video. 2258 01:42:59,320 --> 01:43:03,360 Speaker 1: But just programming reminder next, this is our last These 2259 01:43:03,360 --> 01:43:03,719 Speaker 1: are our. 2260 01:43:03,680 --> 01:43:04,840 Speaker 4: Last moments on the set. 2261 01:43:05,320 --> 01:43:05,840 Speaker 3: Last time. 2262 01:43:06,160 --> 01:43:08,320 Speaker 4: Take a look around the brick, the. 2263 01:43:08,280 --> 01:43:11,840 Speaker 3: Calvin Hobbes, the TV, all of this. Yeah, we do. 2264 01:43:12,040 --> 01:43:13,640 Speaker 1: It's a little preview on the new set does have 2265 01:43:13,720 --> 01:43:17,080 Speaker 1: little shelves too. They're a little smaller for you know, 2266 01:43:17,160 --> 01:43:20,559 Speaker 1: our little mementos so that some aspect will carry over. 2267 01:43:20,680 --> 01:43:22,080 Speaker 4: But yeah, this is it for the set. 2268 01:43:22,200 --> 01:43:24,200 Speaker 1: We're going to do the show remotely next week while 2269 01:43:24,200 --> 01:43:26,640 Speaker 1: everything gets built down and what we tested and make 2270 01:43:26,680 --> 01:43:29,880 Speaker 1: sure everything is ready to go. And then, assuming all 2271 01:43:29,920 --> 01:43:32,599 Speaker 1: goes according to plan, week after new set. 2272 01:43:32,479 --> 01:43:35,000 Speaker 2: And don't forget, there will be a surprise little event 2273 01:43:35,040 --> 01:43:38,040 Speaker 2: for premium subscribers where they will get the first look 2274 01:43:38,080 --> 01:43:39,800 Speaker 2: at the set and they will get it well well 2275 01:43:39,840 --> 01:43:42,680 Speaker 2: before anything. So if you want to sign up Breakingpoints 2276 01:43:42,680 --> 01:43:44,800 Speaker 2: dot com like I said, otherwise, we will see you 2277 01:43:44,840 --> 01:43:46,080 Speaker 2: all remotely next week. 2278 01:43:46,200 --> 01:43:47,439 Speaker 4: Love you guys, see you soon,