Speaker 1: Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly, a production of iHeartRadio.
Speaker 2: Time now for Fantasy Football Weekly from iHeartRadio, your weekly
Speaker 2: source for the nation's best fantasy speculation and advice. Now
Speaker 2: along with the guys from Guillotine Leagues dot com, here's
Speaker 2: your host.
Speaker 1: Welcome to a week one edition of Fantasy Football Weekly.
Speaker 1: We all love our teams for now. By Sunday night,
Speaker 1: half of us are going to be wringing our hands
Speaker 1: in the other half of our hands up in tryumph,
Speaker 1: I am Paul Charchie.
Speaker 3: Is that what you do? I need a picture of
Speaker 3: that this week? Hands up there? You hit your hands
Speaker 3: one of the two? Yeah, you need to post that
Speaker 3: each week. Which one you are?
Speaker 1: Okay? Well, I got too many fantasy teams. I'm probably
Speaker 1: gonna be a lot of both.
Speaker 3: If you one up, one down, it's like jumping Jackson.
Speaker 1: That's the voice of Scott Fish and making a show
Speaker 1: number two appearance. Thort Nystrom.
Speaker 4: Hey, guys, how are you guys doing?
Speaker 1: Very excited? If you've got a few rostered and started
Speaker 1: Kadarius Tony or we're here to help. Yes, Oops, a
Speaker 1: little Jamior Gibbs regret in there too, mixed in. Well,
Speaker 1: we won't spend a ton of time on the game
Speaker 1: that already happened. We're gonna break down fifteen matchups in
Speaker 1: this show, Fantasy Football Weekly style, with letter grades on
Speaker 1: every meaningful player. We'll give you three player well nine
Speaker 1: total players upon me. You can take a chance. We'll
Speaker 1: answer three tough questions, and we'll play premature speculation where
Speaker 1: we give you players to pick up now that everybody
Speaker 1: else is going to try to pick up next week,
Speaker 1: but they're already on your team.
Speaker 3: Nice, we love it.
Speaker 1: Let's jump right in with fifteen matchups to get through.
Speaker 1: Scott Fish Ye Panther's taking on the Falcons. Talk to
Speaker 1: me about a Panthers team that goes to war with
Speaker 1: a new look offense minus two receivers or maybe a
Speaker 1: receiver and a half.
Speaker 5: Yeah.
Speaker 3: So so let's start out the passing game here. I
Speaker 3: have almost everyone on the bench for the Panthers. Adam
Speaker 3: Thielen has mispracticed this week with an injury. Uh, it
Speaker 3: sounds like he's gonna go, but he's a true coin
Speaker 3: flip at this point. H DJ Shark is out with
Speaker 3: a hamstring injury. Terres Marshall came off the injury report
Speaker 3: been limited this week with a back injury, but the
Speaker 3: only one that seems like he's going to get a
Speaker 3: full compliment is Jonathan Mingo, who I'm going to talk
Speaker 3: about a little bit next segment.
Speaker 2: Right.
Speaker 3: Uh, Bryce Young I have on the bench. I'm not
Speaker 3: going to trust him in his first career game in
Speaker 3: a game that has the lowest projected to total points
Speaker 3: from Vegas.
Speaker 1: And missing tree startings.
Speaker 3: And missing all those weapons he's got. Yeah, and his
Speaker 3: main weapon is a thirty year old tight end who
Speaker 3: averages three hundred and fifty yards per yeason per season.
Speaker 3: So uh, I am I am putting herst with a
Speaker 3: segrad though, because despite despite the low volume he's had
Speaker 3: over his career. Uh, the Falcons were fifth worst against
Speaker 3: tight ends last year. Ten of them had sixty five
Speaker 3: plus yards and or a score, and simply due to
Speaker 3: lack of other options in the offense. You almost got it.
Speaker 3: I'm given him a C grade. He's had good connection,
Speaker 3: a good rapport with Bryce Young in the preseason, so
Speaker 3: I'm giving a se grade hurst there in the running game.
Speaker 3: The only guy I trust, despite recent talk of more
Speaker 3: of a split to keep Sanders healthy, is Miles Sanders
Speaker 3: He's the only one I trust in this and I'm
Speaker 3: only given him a see. I know there's video of
Speaker 3: Frank Rake can do stalely talking about the Philly days,
Speaker 3: his fifty catch seasons and whatnot.
Speaker 1: I hope you will catch some passes by this game.
Speaker 3: I do too. I hope that's what he gets. The
Speaker 3: Falcons spent years. Do you remember this charge like three
Speaker 3: years in a row being the worst at defending running
Speaker 3: backs against the past. That was a while ago there
Speaker 3: in middle of the pack last year, but even Hubbard
Speaker 3: and Foreman last year had legit like six one hundred
Speaker 3: yard games averaging over four and a half yards per carry.
Speaker 3: Miles Sanders, I'm giving the sea. You could talk me
Speaker 3: into a bee if there wasn't all that splitting talk
Speaker 3: and the fact that the offense is probably gonna have
Speaker 3: trouble moving on the other side. I have a few
Speaker 3: I have a few grades here. I have an a
Speaker 3: for Bijon Robinson starting out his fantasy career, first rounder
Speaker 3: middle of the pack matching man that sounder. I don't know, man,
Speaker 3: I don't know middle of the pack matchup for his
Speaker 3: first matchup, but he's a likely three down back, great
Speaker 3: pass catcher gamescript might might be you know a lot
Speaker 3: of running. So Patterson is dealing with a thigh injury
Speaker 3: as well, so if he doesn't go, that's just more
Speaker 3: work for Beijeon. It was probably gonna be anyway. Onto
Speaker 3: the passing game, Desmond Ritter. I got on the bench
Speaker 3: because I watched him play last year. Because our eyeballs,
Speaker 3: Yes I have eyeballs. I'm not gonna I'm not gonna
Speaker 3: wait under two hundred and twenty five yards passing in
Speaker 3: all four starts. Come on, Drake London and Kyle Pitts.
Speaker 3: I'm giving c's two. You probably weren't benching them based
Speaker 3: on where you drafted them. The Panther Panthers, however, allowed
Speaker 3: the fourth most yards to wide receivers last year. London
Speaker 3: gets about thirty percent target share. We'll see if that
Speaker 3: continues this year. He's also going to see J. C. Horns,
Speaker 3: so I'm not I'm not super psyched about it, but
Speaker 3: I'm still gonna give him a C grade here. In
Speaker 3: his four games with Rider last year, ninety five yards,
Speaker 3: seventy yards, ninety six yards, one hundred and twenty yards.
Speaker 3: That's a decent amount of fantasy production. Kyle Pits C
Speaker 3: grade in the home game versus the Panthers last year,
Speaker 3: he went five for eighty and a score on nine targets.
Speaker 3: He's going to be one of the only options in
Speaker 3: the options in this offense. But you drafted him as
Speaker 3: a top seven tight end. You're not mentioning.
Speaker 1: Himyah, you only have a C grade on Kyle Pitts.
Speaker 3: Yeah, yep, all right.
Speaker 1: Bengals taking on the Browns thore Joe Burrow completely cleared
Speaker 1: off the injury report. Can we start him with confidence?
Speaker 6: We can, but I'm going to downgrade him in this
Speaker 6: game to a B from the usual A. You mentioned
Speaker 6: he's off the injury report with that calf injury, but
Speaker 6: I do think that calf injury is going to confine
Speaker 6: him to the pocket here.
Speaker 4: I also think this is kind of a tough matchup
Speaker 4: for Burrow.
Speaker 6: Brown's pass defense twelve DVOA last year and allow the
Speaker 6: second fewest Fantasy points. Two opposing quarterbacks through for under
Speaker 6: two hundred and forty yards both times against the Browns
Speaker 6: last year. He's never gone over two hundred and eighty
Speaker 6: five yards against them, so this historically top matchup for him.
Speaker 6: His receivers here Jamar Chase obviously must start. He's obviously
Speaker 6: in a grade T Higgins.
Speaker 4: I give him a B in this game.
Speaker 6: He's gonna get shadowed by Martin Emerson. It's a decent
Speaker 6: but not a great matchup for Higgins, but he's obviously
Speaker 6: going to get the volume there. The volume is also
Speaker 6: the reason to play Joe Mixon here.
Speaker 4: He's going to get that.
Speaker 6: But I think this is a tougher matchup for Mixing
Speaker 6: than it might appear on the surface. People remember Cleveland's
Speaker 6: run defense with terrible last year, finished twenty sixth, but
Speaker 6: I think that's going to be a lot better this year,
Speaker 6: after you hire Jim Schwartz and after you remade your
Speaker 6: defensive front. There, the Browns signed Delvin Tomlinson and Shelby Harris,
Speaker 6: both top forty defensive tackles and run defense last year.
Speaker 6: Also Zadarius Smith, who was twenty six in run defense
Speaker 6: amongst edges.
Speaker 4: So I have to give mix And a B in
Speaker 4: that one.
Speaker 6: Moving to the Browns, the Browns have said all off
Speaker 6: season they want to pass more here. I'm going to
Speaker 6: give DeShawn Watson a great B in this game. The
Speaker 6: Bengals cover two defense wants to take away the deep stuff, keep.
Speaker 4: Everything in front of it.
Speaker 6: Last year, the Cincinnati pass defense allowed the third fewest
Speaker 6: fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks. I do think this is
Speaker 6: a bounce back opportunity for Watson if important caveat if
Speaker 6: he can effectively attack the intermediate area, amark.
Speaker 4: So we'll go to his receivers, Amari Cooper.
Speaker 6: I give him a c here because, as you guys know,
Speaker 6: should do be a woozia is back now off that
Speaker 6: ACL very underrated player.
Speaker 4: You go back to the last full.
Speaker 6: Season that he had twenty twenty one a WUZI A
Speaker 6: shadowed six different times. In four of those six games,
Speaker 6: he held the opposing wide receiver one under fifty receiving yards.
Speaker 6: So I have to downgrade Cooper in his first game
Speaker 6: with Watson here the receiver though that I'm upgrading in
Speaker 6: his first game with Dishall Watson, mister Elijah Moore, because
Speaker 6: I think they're going to have a lot of success
Speaker 6: attacking the slot, attacking the intermediate area here. I give
Speaker 6: Elijah Moore an a grade in this game. Wow Wow
Speaker 6: ran seventy five percent of his routes from the slot
Speaker 6: in the preseason. That is obviously what he's done since college,
Speaker 6: that's what he's going to be here. And I think
Speaker 6: this is a Nikky Austin matchup for him against Mike
Speaker 6: Calton the slot. On the other side, last year, the
Speaker 6: Bengals gave up the tenth highest receiving yards per game
Speaker 6: to opposing slots while seeing the eighth fewest slot targets
Speaker 6: per game. That team stinks at defending the slots when
Speaker 6: they get targeted there. For that reason too, I have
Speaker 6: to give David and djoku in eight great This is
Speaker 6: a great matchup for Djoku too.
Speaker 3: How about a positivity How you beat.
Speaker 6: The Cincinnati defense. It's with slot wide receivers in the
Speaker 6: slot tight end. They're better against the outside receivers obviously
Speaker 6: taken away the deep stuff whatnot. Last year in Djoku
Speaker 6: only played versus the Bengals one time, with Deshaun Watson.
Speaker 6: In that game, nine targets, seven receptions, fifty nine yards
Speaker 6: end a touchdown.
Speaker 4: I really like in Djoku this week.
Speaker 6: Nick Chubb is an obviously must start every week, but
Speaker 6: I got it downgrade him to a be here.
Speaker 4: Okay. Last year, the Bengals.
Speaker 6: Run defense allowed the sixth fewest explosive run routes, the
Speaker 6: second lowest misstackles forced per attempt, and they returned their
Speaker 6: entire defensive line. Last year, Nick Chubb fifty six percent
Speaker 6: of his runs were on gap schemes. The Cincinnati run
Speaker 6: defense is really good against that stuff. They love the
Speaker 6: second lowest yards per carry on gap scheme runs at
Speaker 6: three point six. Chubb is obviously matchup proof, but I
Speaker 6: had to ding him from the eight of the B
Speaker 6: for that reason.
Speaker 1: All right, wow, this is you're coming up bold swinging. Yeah,
Speaker 1: eight grades and Ndjoku and Elijah Moore.
Speaker 3: Yeah, that Elijah Moore thing. I looked at one of
Speaker 3: my lineups and I'm like, I'm gonna swap him out
Speaker 3: for Skymore, get sky Moore, and it won't work. It's
Speaker 3: not working for me.
Speaker 1: That site must be broken.
Speaker 3: I know, I might contact the commissioner. Get sky Moore
Speaker 3: out of there.
Speaker 1: Bucks take on the Vikings. I'm gonna start with the
Speaker 1: Buccaneers wide outs. Mike Evans a potentially very big game
Speaker 1: coming from him, and I've got an A grade sitting
Speaker 1: on him. Because the Vikings are trotting out a very
Speaker 1: inexperienced set of outside cornerbacks. They're gonna start rookie Makai
Speaker 1: Blackman and sophomore A Caleb Evans who have a combined
Speaker 1: two NFL starts and they've seen it combined twenty two
Speaker 1: NFL targets. That's it last year Evans A Caleb. This
Speaker 1: is Evans versus Evans matchup. By the way, A Caleb
Speaker 1: Evans only played one side of the field, and if
Speaker 1: they do that again, Evans can go to the other
Speaker 1: side of the where he'll see Makai Blackman, where he
Speaker 1: enjoys a six inch fifty three pounds size advantage. So
Speaker 1: Mike Evans physically dominating Mackai Blackman when at the time
Speaker 1: they see each other A grade for him. Chris Godwin
Speaker 1: gets a B grade. Playing mostly from the slot, I
Speaker 1: think we'll most often see the Vikings most seasoned cornerback
Speaker 1: Byron Murphy. Last year. Murphy allowed per game averages of
Speaker 1: I'm very modest thirty nine yards and point three touchdowns
Speaker 1: per game. Solid, not spectacular. Godwin will periodically move outside
Speaker 1: with strong matchups out there. When he does. I like
Speaker 1: Godwin's opportunity here B grade for him, And if I've
Speaker 1: got a B grade on Godwin and Evans, I've got
Speaker 1: B grad and Godwin to a on Evans. I've got
Speaker 1: to have a B gran on Baker Mayfield. This is
Speaker 1: week one, might be the most positive matchup for Baker
Speaker 1: Mayfield's entire season. Vikings finished thirty first in passing yards
Speaker 1: allowed last year, twenty eighth and fantasy points allowed to quarterbacks,
Speaker 1: and they overhauled all their cornerbacks as I mentioned, so
Speaker 1: be a totally new defensive scheme. There could be some disorganization,
Speaker 1: some chaos, and the Vikings secondary Baker Mayfield a nice
Speaker 1: plug and playoffs for you. Let's go to one of
Speaker 1: the buccaneer wide receiver. I'm just gonna mention briefly, Trey Palmer,
Speaker 1: their rookie. He's gonna be on the field a lot
Speaker 1: more than I think people realize. And on paper, this
Speaker 1: is a really strong matchup in DFS and you're looking
Speaker 1: for like your three thousand dollars dart throw. Trey Palmer
Speaker 1: might be that guy, but I can't give him a
Speaker 1: letter grade until we get a better look at him.
Speaker 1: All right, Let's go to the running backs. Rashad White
Speaker 1: B grade only one career game with more than thirteen carries,
Speaker 1: which he turned into one hundred and five yards in
Speaker 1: that game, and he's gonna get more than thirteen carries here,
Speaker 1: so I like that part of it. Vikings run defense
Speaker 1: was decent last year, but they've had two key interior
Speaker 1: defensive losses running linebacker Eric Kendrickson defensive tackle Dalvin Tomlinson,
Speaker 1: who Thorge just mentioned a moment ago. White's a solid receiver,
Speaker 1: snaring ninety percent of his targets last year, and as
Speaker 1: a starter, White average four catches per game. The Vikings
Speaker 1: give the tenth most running back receptions last year, so
Speaker 1: I think in totality, Rashad White looking at a nice game,
Speaker 1: B grade for him.
Speaker 3: Baker Mayfield as a heck of a history if throwing
Speaker 3: a running backs too.
Speaker 1: Yeah, there's that rookie running back Sean Taylor is a
Speaker 1: fascinating prospect. But we're gonna take a wait and see
Speaker 1: approach and just see how much he gets on the
Speaker 1: field in this game. Let's go to the Viking side.
Speaker 1: Justin Jefferson obvious a. I also have some optimism for
Speaker 1: Jordan Addison. Kevin O'Connell may choose to establish Addison early,
Speaker 1: I think, just to force defenses to have to play
Speaker 1: Justin Jefferson a little more fairly down the stretch. The
Speaker 1: Bucks have one good corner Jamel Dean, who plays the
Speaker 1: right side of the field only so he's avoidable by Addison,
Speaker 1: and then he got He's got lineups against Carlton Davis
Speaker 1: and d Delaney. Those are positive cornerback matchups for Addison.
Speaker 1: I think you can you can move him into a
Speaker 1: flex position as a starter this week for Jordan Addison.
Speaker 3: Agreed even better call I'm now I'm gonna take skuy
Speaker 3: more of Jordan Addison. Love it.
Speaker 1: DJ Hockinson B grade. Bucks were NFL average tight end
Speaker 1: against tight ends last year, but they did a good
Speaker 1: job against some really good tight ends. They put George
Speaker 1: Kittle and Mark Andrews on dud games, and in the
Speaker 1: second half of last year, the Bucks allowed no tight
Speaker 1: end to top thirty four yards. That's it.
Speaker 3: That's a low mark.
Speaker 1: That is a lowmark. Levonte David's an elite coverage linebackers.
Speaker 1: So just the B grade on TJ. Hockinson. So if
Speaker 1: I've given out AB's and C grades to Kirk Cousins receivers,
Speaker 1: tells you I do like him.
Speaker 3: Here.
Speaker 1: The Bucks allowed the second most passing touchdowns last year
Speaker 1: twenty nine, almost every non backup quarterback through multiple scores
Speaker 1: against Tampa. Here, I've got an A grade on Kirk Cousins.
Speaker 1: And then lastly, let's talk about Alexander Madison. Dalvin Cook
Speaker 1: leaves behind the third most carries and the seventh most
Speaker 1: rushing touchdowns from inside the five yard line. Also gone
Speaker 1: Adam Thielen and all of his receiving touchdowns from up close.
Speaker 1: So I like Madison to score in this game. Probably
Speaker 1: Tampa only gave up seven rushing touchdowns all year, which
Speaker 1: is impressive, But I just think through sheer, volume and opportunity,
Speaker 1: Madison should be fine. And a B grade for Alexander
Speaker 1: Madison in this game ty channeleral factor and at some
Speaker 1: point but not enough that I think we're going to
Speaker 1: give him a start here when we come back. Three
Speaker 1: tough questions for our panel of experts. See if you
Speaker 1: can go three and zero, and it's not too late
Speaker 1: to join a guillotine league, you can still do it
Speaker 1: Thursday night, players count, don't draft, do not draft Cadarius
Speaker 1: Tony on your guillotine league.
Speaker 4: D h A Man.
Speaker 1: Yeah, we'll skip that altogether and we'll talk a little
Speaker 1: bit more about those Chiefs receivers. When we come back
Speaker 1: to Fantasy Football Weekly, take a chance on me nine
Speaker 1: players not normally in your starting lineup. These are all
Speaker 1: guys that you may be able to pick up off
Speaker 1: the waiver wire or take off your benches and give
Speaker 1: a start to this week. In particular, we begin at
Speaker 1: the quarterback position in Scott Fish.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm going with a guy who I think will
Speaker 3: have no trouble this year beating his total amount of
Speaker 3: toilets in his house. It's Russell Wilson. I'm going with
Speaker 3: him against the Raiders who allowed the fourth moost yards
Speaker 3: to QBS last year. It's already a decent spot. They
Speaker 3: ranked thirty first in past DVOA. PFF has them as
Speaker 3: the third worst ranked secondary entering the year. Wilson went
Speaker 3: for two thirty seven and two scores and two forty
Speaker 3: seven against him last year. I think it's just good
Speaker 3: spot for him.
Speaker 1: All right, Russell Wilson, you take a chance with me
Speaker 1: quarterback Thor.
Speaker 4: I'm gonna go with Derek Carr against the Titans.
Speaker 6: Derek Carr been struggling the last couple of years with
Speaker 6: Josh McDaniels.
Speaker 4: I don't think too highly.
Speaker 6: A Josh McDaniels is offensive, vacuum and red, particularly on
Speaker 6: the deep bot.
Speaker 4: Derek Carr struggled the last.
Speaker 6: Couple of years, but if you go back to twenty twenty,
Speaker 6: Derek Carr was number two in PFF deep passing grade
Speaker 6: and this is a great matchup for him to get
Speaker 6: back on track deep. The Titans were dead last and
Speaker 6: deep passing defensive DVA last year and allowed the fourth
Speaker 6: most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks. I also think the
Speaker 6: game script here, it's gonna skew pass heavy and aggressive
Speaker 6: without Alvin Kamara.
Speaker 4: Derek Carr gets back on track here.
Speaker 1: I gotta go with yes, that's right. We knew, Sam Howell,
Speaker 1: we knew it was coming.
Speaker 2: Ye.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I know some of you want to take away
Speaker 1: and see approach, but not with the Cardinals on the schedule.
Speaker 1: They were a bottom ten fantasy pass defense last year
Speaker 1: and they looked like they're going to be quite a
Speaker 1: bit worse this year with the defection of key cornerback
Speaker 1: Byron Murphy. Arizona expected to start cornerbacks Marco Wilson in
Speaker 1: sixth round rookie Ki Trell Clark, and the safety position
Speaker 1: isn't any better with Buddha Baker and Jalen Thompson, neither
Speaker 1: of them finished his NFL starter worthy safeties by PFF
Speaker 1: and coverage last year. Sam Howells got wheels and the
Speaker 1: only mobile quarterback to face Arizona last year Jalen Hurts,
Speaker 1: who rolled up sixty one rushing yards and two scores
Speaker 1: against the Cardinals. You know, new offensive coordinator Eric the
Speaker 1: Enemy faced Arizona last year in Week one, schemed up
Speaker 1: Patrick Mahomes for five touchdowns. I'm just saying, let's.
Speaker 3: Go to did Patrick Mahomes just do that? Because that's
Speaker 3: just Patrick?
Speaker 1: I hear he's pretty good. Sam Howells my gud. Let's
Speaker 1: go to the running back position, Scott.
Speaker 3: I am going with Zach Sharbonnay. He's the pass catching back,
Speaker 3: which you already like in a Carrol offense. It's going
Speaker 3: to run a lot. Ken Walker has had a groin
Speaker 3: injury for the last a long time. It went away
Speaker 3: and then it came back. It was the same groin though,
Speaker 3: just multiple interests one groyd, but it popped back up
Speaker 3: at the end of the week. He's not on the
Speaker 3: injury report right now, but I wouldn't I wouldn't be
Speaker 3: surprised if they're a little cautious with him. Go a
Speaker 3: little light. It's a great game script where they should
Speaker 3: be leading the whole game, where sharp Knick can get
Speaker 3: some work and Walker can get some rest.
Speaker 1: Touchdown, I'm calling a touchdown for Zach sharbonnay cool. All right, Sorry,
Speaker 1: you're take a chance on me running.
Speaker 6: Back deep cutt here, I'm going Kenny Gainwell against the Patriots.
Speaker 4: The Eagles backfielder right now.
Speaker 6: It has four guys co listed as running back, one
Speaker 6: which I haven't seen within college.
Speaker 4: You know, when I with the college depth charts, they
Speaker 4: always do that. I haven't seen that in the NFL.
Speaker 6: The Patriots do have a strong run defense, but this
Speaker 6: is the topical point as far as Gainwell goes. The
Speaker 6: Patriots struggle against receiving backsh tenth highs yards per reception
Speaker 6: allowed last year to running backs. Gainwell's receiving utility, I
Speaker 6: think is what gets him involved here. We just need
Speaker 6: one screen pass touchdown and we're good there. I think
Speaker 6: in the second half some of these guys are going
Speaker 6: to get more run. So I think Kenny Gainwell is
Speaker 6: a streaming option in deeper leagues.
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, it's time for Tank big speeding. Yes, he
Speaker 1: goes up against Indianapolis. I look, I know again, it's
Speaker 1: tough to start a rookie never seen before, but he's
Speaker 1: coming off a phenomenal preseason in which he played with
Speaker 1: the starters. He looked like the best runner on the team,
Speaker 1: honestly led the NFL in explosive runs and caught the ball.
Speaker 3: Well.
Speaker 1: I mean, what more do you want from Tank Bigsby?
Speaker 1: He looks ready here. And last year's Colts NFL average
Speaker 1: and run defense. They made no offseason moves to materially
Speaker 1: improved that run defense. They allowed the fifth most running
Speaker 1: back receptions last year and thirty nine receiving yards per game.
Speaker 1: I see Bigsby getting most of that this in this game.
Speaker 1: Last year, in this matchup, the Jaguars had to resort
Speaker 1: to Trevor Lawrence scoring two goal line touchdowns after Travis
Speaker 1: Etn and James Robinson got stuffed Jacksonville. It's got a
Speaker 1: better option at the goal line this year, and it
Speaker 1: is Tank Biggsby. Yes, baby, let's bring it on right
Speaker 1: here in Week one.
Speaker 3: All right, Scott did that with hell too.
Speaker 1: Green. Let's go to the wide receiver position. Is your take?
Speaker 1: A chance to me a player here.
Speaker 3: I am going with six foot two two and twenty
Speaker 3: five pound rookie Jonathan Mingo on the outside there for
Speaker 3: the Indianapolis Colts. All right, sorry, not the Indiapolis coast.
Speaker 3: Let's try care a lot of Panthers. Uh. With Adam
Speaker 3: Thielen missing practice and being and having that ankle injury
Speaker 3: that could act up again. DJ chark out arras Marshall
Speaker 3: with a back injury. He's the only one locked into
Speaker 3: a definite role in the preseason. He ran with the
Speaker 3: ones the whole time on Bryce Young's thirty one drop
Speaker 3: backs in preseason, he ran a round on twenty nine
Speaker 3: of them. He's in there, so pencil him, man, I'm
Speaker 3: giving I actually gave him a C grade for this, all.
Speaker 1: Right, se grade? Yeah, all right, Jonathan Mina could be
Speaker 1: a B if they're okay, you're taking chance to be
Speaker 1: wide receiver thor.
Speaker 6: I know you're gonna like this one charge. I'm going
Speaker 6: with Rashid Shahed against the Titans. I heard some of
Speaker 6: the resons before with Carr, but Shahid had the growing
Speaker 6: injury earlier in Campany is not listed on the Week
Speaker 6: one injury reports that were good in that regard. The
Speaker 6: Titans last year led the NFL with twenty five point
Speaker 6: nine fantasy points allowed to opposing wide receivers, and as
Speaker 6: I mentioned before, they struggled defending the deepa with Shahed
Speaker 6: not injured anymore, that's what we're looking at. Last year,
Speaker 6: Shahed number four yards route per running the entire NFL
Speaker 6: on go routes. Yeah, Derek Carr is going to be
Speaker 6: targeting this guy deep. The Titans only did one thing
Speaker 6: in this offseason to address their struggling secondary. They signed
Speaker 6: Sean Murphy Bunning, who is decent covering out of the slot,
Speaker 6: but he has always struggled on the perimeter over his career.
Speaker 6: Shaheed's going to stack that guy early and often in
Speaker 6: this game.
Speaker 1: We've given you two young wide receivers so far, and
Speaker 1: take a chance at me. And here comes number three,
Speaker 1: Oh boy, Green Bay wide receiver Jaden Reid yea perfect
Speaker 1: spot for a rookie making his first start. He runs
Speaker 1: mostly from the slot, where he's going to face off
Speaker 1: against Bear's cornerback Kyler Gordon, who gave up an opposing
Speaker 1: passer rating of one hundred and ten. Chicago allowed the
Speaker 1: ninth most fantasy points to slot receivers. Last year, Reid
Speaker 1: was highly productive at Michigan State. As you know, well
Speaker 1: Thor yep, smaller, he's not going to break tackles, but
Speaker 1: he's got some special trades, particularly after the catch, and
Speaker 1: he makes some acrobatic off bounce catches that should translate
Speaker 1: to the NFL. Jaden Reid in a game without Christian
Speaker 1: Watson for sure, and maybe a gimpy Romeo Dobbs who
Speaker 1: may or may not play, We'll take Jayden Reid to
Speaker 1: have a nice first game of his career like that one.
Speaker 1: All right, let's get back to the matchups, including Jaguars
Speaker 1: taking on the Colts Scott Fish.
Speaker 3: Yeah, let's do it. Trevor Lawrence, I got an a
Speaker 3: grade on here. You probably drafted him as a top
Speaker 3: eight quarterback anyway, but it's against a bottom ten coltste
Speaker 3: that didn't really improve much their bottom ten against quarterbacks
Speaker 3: from a year ago. The defensive backfield entirely made up
Speaker 3: of rookies and second year players as well, which Trevor
Speaker 3: Lawrence should have no trouble beating. He's also increased his weapons,
Speaker 3: adding Calvin Ridley and that tank Bigsby guy you just mentioned.
Speaker 1: Oh, you know what you're making to make me do?
Speaker 3: Oh Man, Calvin Ridley, I gave a B grade. Seems
Speaker 3: like he's back. He was a stud before the suspension.
Speaker 3: Remember he played hurt and he was a stud. He
Speaker 3: had that foot injury that he was playing on and
Speaker 3: putting up all those stats. He should find himself close
Speaker 3: to a top twenty four wide receiver this week. In
Speaker 3: this matchup, just Ridley's going to be matched up against
Speaker 3: second year undrafted free agent Darryl Baker junior, possibly Dallas
Speaker 3: Flowers rookie, but it's probably Daryl Baker junior. Dallas Flowers
Speaker 3: would of course go over to Christian Kirk, who I
Speaker 3: got a C grade on the potential for Lawrence to
Speaker 3: shoot this one up, and also just the report that
Speaker 3: they had last year. It's a good matchup for both
Speaker 3: of them. I have Zay Jones on the bench. Evan
Speaker 3: Ingram had ninety eight targets last year and was absolutely
Speaker 3: huge in many games down the stretch. I do have
Speaker 3: a C grade here. He's probably worth it and he's
Speaker 3: probably going to get just enough volume. But I do
Speaker 3: worry how much Ridley is going to take from that.
Speaker 3: Of course, Ridley wasn't there last year when Ingram was
Speaker 3: racking up all those targets. Travis Etn. I got a
Speaker 3: B grade on and I know you're gonna hate that.
Speaker 3: I know you're gonna hang it that because you want
Speaker 3: Tank bagas V to be an A and Etn to
Speaker 3: be on the bench.
Speaker 1: Yes, my perfect world, but yes you've already.
Speaker 3: You've already in tanks. In your talk on Tank mentioned
Speaker 3: to a lot of the points. I'll just add they
Speaker 3: were ninth worst against running backs last year and etm
Speaker 3: Etn himself had one hundred plus in this very matchup
Speaker 3: last year. The Jacks had no problem putting James Robinson
Speaker 3: and James Hasty in at times. Though. That's why Tank
Speaker 3: Bigsby was your take a chance on me player Cartavius.
Speaker 3: Tank Bigsby Cartavius is a great name too.
Speaker 1: What don't it kind of been just cart Bigsby And
Speaker 1: that'd have been pretty cool too. But I know that
Speaker 1: if he were KRT Bigsby, could I do this?
Speaker 2: No?
Speaker 1: No, no, nuts.
Speaker 3: Yeah, let's let's go over to the Let's go over
Speaker 3: to the Indianapolis Colts in the backfield. I don't want
Speaker 3: any of them in Week one. I just don't. Zach
Speaker 3: moss Is is dinged up. He may play. I don't
Speaker 3: know if he's gonna play. But uh, Deon Jackson, he
Speaker 3: was productive but not special last year, but it looks
Speaker 3: like he might get the start. We all kind of
Speaker 3: like Evan Hole here. We think he's the most talented back.
Speaker 3: But it might be a little weak one. But it's
Speaker 3: week one. It might be a little while till he
Speaker 3: gets in. So as long as that's a rotation, and
Speaker 3: the coach even said they're going to play the hot hand,
Speaker 3: I have him on the bench. In the passing game,
Speaker 3: I only have one grade on wide receivers and tight ends,
Speaker 3: and that's Michael Pittman. He's the alpha in the offense.
Speaker 3: We don't know how this offense is quite going to
Speaker 3: run with Anthony Richardson without Jonathan Taylor, but last year
Speaker 3: he went thirteen catches for one hundred and thirty four
Speaker 3: yards on sixteen targets in this matchup, and that was
Speaker 3: Matt Ryan at quarterback. Alec Pearce has had some chemistry
Speaker 3: with Anthony Richardson in the preseason. I think it's a
Speaker 3: little early, and it's not a game where I think
Speaker 3: a lot of points are going to be put up,
Speaker 3: so I'd rather have the alpha in a C grade.
Speaker 1: It makes sense so that no Johnny Woods is breaking
Speaker 1: my heart.
Speaker 3: No, yeah, I know him out. It's going to be
Speaker 3: interesting to see how Josh Downs does in that slot role.
Speaker 3: I like that he's going to get a full compliment
Speaker 3: of snaps with Johnny Woods out, maybe he gets a
Speaker 3: little more work, but I have him on the bench.
Speaker 3: That brings me to Anthony Richardson. Even if the passing
Speaker 3: is you know how much I love him, You love them.
Speaker 3: But even if the passing isn't there, if it's more
Speaker 3: fields in field, can I use field dad, Yes, for sure,
Speaker 3: field deed. If it's more fields, we're looking at maybe
Speaker 3: what one hundred and fifty two hundred yards in a
Speaker 3: matchup like this, maybe he scores a touchdown, but I
Speaker 3: will guarantee you based on the designed runs in the preseason,
Speaker 3: I will guarantee Anthony Richardson gets at least six points
Speaker 3: on the ground at least all right, so sixty plus
Speaker 3: yards or a touchdown. Absolutely that he ran so many
Speaker 3: design runs in the in the in the preseason, and
Speaker 3: without Jonathan Taylor he might get that goal line work.
Speaker 3: We don't know what's going to happen yet. I will say,
Speaker 3: if he does not get that six fancy points guaranteed.
Speaker 1: On the ground, you may get nothing.
Speaker 3: I would know that that's true. But I will personally
Speaker 3: not show my face in the studio next week. I
Speaker 3: won't come on the show.
Speaker 1: Thank you.
Speaker 3: That's I will not come in.
Speaker 1: I have to face the music.
Speaker 3: Yes. Also, if he does get it, and I'm correct,
Speaker 3: I will, I will stay home and celebrate. That's what
Speaker 3: I'll do.
Speaker 1: Next week Titans take on the Saints thor we get
Speaker 1: our first look at DeAndre Hopkins as a Titan. What
Speaker 1: do you think of this passing game?
Speaker 6: In this game, I'm gonna give Hopkins in this one,
Speaker 6: you know, drawing Marshawn Laddimer, Obviously, it's a tough matchup
Speaker 6: for him. I'm gonna give Hopkins a B though, because
Speaker 6: he's gonna get peppered with wide receiver one targets.
Speaker 4: We know that last year.
Speaker 6: You look at Hopkins' win rate against man, against zone,
Speaker 6: and incontested situations, those all suggest that he was still
Speaker 6: a low end wide receiver one in the NFL. So
Speaker 6: I think he's sort of a solid fantasy option in
Speaker 6: his debut, I'm going to give him a be. Ryan Tannehill,
Speaker 6: I have to give him a SE. I do think
Speaker 6: he was better last year than people think. He was
Speaker 6: still number nine in accurate throw rate, and now he's
Speaker 6: got the best pass catchers of his entire career to
Speaker 6: work with in the NFL. But this is not the
Speaker 6: week to go crazy on him against Saints pass defense
Speaker 6: finished number six dv away in the NFL last year.
Speaker 6: Treylon Brooks is a guy that I'm bullish on over
Speaker 6: the course of the season, but not necessarily for this game.
Speaker 6: I give him a grade of B, mostly because he's
Speaker 6: higher than I thought. Oh I'm sorry to see I come.
Speaker 6: That makes more sense for Taylor Burtin mostly I'll give
Speaker 6: him a B in most of the other games this year,
Speaker 6: but in this one he's got a lone Taylor across
Speaker 6: from him. I think that's a tough matchup for Berks.
Speaker 6: We're gonna give him a SEA. I give chick a
Speaker 6: kon Quo a bench grade. I would not recommend him
Speaker 6: this week. The Saints pass defense, sort of like the
Speaker 6: New England Patriot one, is notorious for stifling tight end
Speaker 6: production on the other side. Last year, New Orleans allowed
Speaker 6: the second least Fantasy points to opposing tight ends, so
Speaker 6: I got to keep Chick on the bench. The guy
Speaker 6: who I think this is an awesome matchup for on
Speaker 6: the Titans offense is Derrick Henry.
Speaker 4: Great a.
Speaker 6: Obviously, he's a mus start every week, but this week
Speaker 6: is one of the best matchup you're going to have
Speaker 6: all year. Henry finished fifth in the NFL and gap
Speaker 6: concept runs last year. The Saints allowed the fourth highest
Speaker 6: success rate against gap runs last year, and then over
Speaker 6: the offseason, New Orleans just stuck band aids on their
Speaker 6: hemorrhaging defensive front that has not gotten any better. Derrick
Speaker 6: Henry is going to have a huge opener as far
Speaker 6: as the Saints. Derek Carr and Rashid Shahid earlier this
Speaker 6: or before in this segment, they were both both might
Speaker 6: take a chance on you guys. Yeah, both those guys
Speaker 6: I have B grades on. We're going to continue along
Speaker 6: the same narrative here though with Chris Olave, who I
Speaker 6: give an a grade two in this matchup. Recall that
Speaker 6: I said how bad the Titans were against the deep ball. Yes,
Speaker 6: Chris Olave, awesome deep ball guy. Last year, the Titans
Speaker 6: allowed the most receiving yards end touchdowns on goal routes
Speaker 6: last year. Chris Olave number twelve and deep targets in
Speaker 6: the NFL and number fourteen in yards per route run
Speaker 6: on goal routes. We got to give him an a
Speaker 6: and Christian Fulton, the guy across from him, not very good.
Speaker 6: One hundred two point four NFL q be raiding against
Speaker 6: on targets with only two passes broken up last year.
Speaker 4: Not great.
Speaker 1: How do you go a whole season only break up
Speaker 1: two passes.
Speaker 4: That stuff and he gave up five touchdowns.
Speaker 1: It's cuzzy.
Speaker 6: The guy I'm fading in that passing game is Michael Thomas.
Speaker 6: I'm going to keep him on the bench. Actually in
Speaker 6: this one. I can't trust Michael Thomas until I see
Speaker 6: it over an entire regular season game. Thirty year old
Speaker 6: question mark with ten appearances over the last three years.
Speaker 6: This game, you know, I mentioned I think the game
Speaker 6: script is going to be more aggressive with the downfield
Speaker 6: shots and everything else like that. And that's not Michael Thomas.
Speaker 6: Not Michael Thomas. He's an intermediate guy coming out of
Speaker 6: the slot. And Roger McCreery he's not the most athletic guy,
Speaker 6: but is the most physical guy. Is going to be
Speaker 6: in a fistfight with Michael Thomas the entire game. Maybe
Speaker 6: not the funnest game for Michael Thomas to come back
Speaker 6: in this one. I need to see him get through
Speaker 6: a full game. The other guy that I like, though
Speaker 6: is Juwan Johnson. I give him a B. I was
Speaker 6: more pessimistic about him earlier in camp with they signed
Speaker 6: Foster Moreau right and I thought Foster is a better
Speaker 6: receiver than Troutman, certainly the guy that they shipped out.
Speaker 6: But Juwan Johnson was getting hype all camp long. Obviously
Speaker 6: he's going to be the primary receiving tight end again.
Speaker 6: I think he's going to get more targets, more snaps
Speaker 6: this year. Titans last year allowed the most receiving yards
Speaker 6: to opposing tight ends and the third most receptions to
Speaker 6: opposing tight ends.
Speaker 4: Very very good matchup for Juwan Johnson.
Speaker 6: I actually have him as a top twelve fantasy tight
Speaker 6: end this coming week.
Speaker 1: I like it.
Speaker 6: And then as far as the Saints run game, obviously
Speaker 6: everyone will recall Elvin Kamara is suspended and it does
Speaker 6: not look like Kendray Miller will play, So if nothing else.
Speaker 4: Jamal Williams came over from the lines.
Speaker 6: He is going to get the volume, but it's still
Speaker 6: a sort of a tough matchup for him, so I
Speaker 6: give him a great sea on this.
Speaker 3: The volume C.
Speaker 6: The volume C yes, outside the top fifty yards per
Speaker 6: touch last year for Williams and the Titans, the number
Speaker 6: one run defense DVOA last season.
Speaker 1: When we come back, another block of matchups for you,
Speaker 1: including Arizona Cardinals, a lot of commanders that we like
Speaker 1: a lot, and some sneaky plays. We'll tell you about
Speaker 1: those when we come back to Fantasy Football Weekly.
Speaker 3: All right, good job that one, or.
Speaker 1: Welcome back Fantasy Football Weekly. We've got other block of
Speaker 1: matchups for you. You gotta get this Cardinals game over
Speaker 1: with at some point. Let's just tear off the Vandy
Speaker 1: and get this thing done. There's really not a lot
Speaker 1: to like here, we believe all so. They haven't said
Speaker 1: as of this taping who the quarterback is going to be.
Speaker 1: We think it's gonna be Josh Dobbs. We'll fly in.
Speaker 1: We'll find out later. You're not starting him, obviously. Let's
Speaker 1: go to the running game. And really, the only guy
Speaker 1: you care a lot about is James Connor with little
Speaker 1: threat from the passing game, I think James Connor gets
Speaker 1: a lot of defensive attention from the Commanders. Washington was
Speaker 1: a very good run defense last year, and particularly down
Speaker 1: the stretch final eight games. They allowed just three touchdowns
Speaker 1: to running backs ground or air, and all season only
Speaker 1: Nick Chubb and Derrick Henry managed to top eighty seven yards,
Speaker 1: and those are far better running runners and far better
Speaker 1: offenses than this Arizona one. Washington was also an elite
Speaker 1: defense against pass catching backs, only one runner top thirty
Speaker 1: three receiving yards. I can only muster a C grade
Speaker 1: for James Connor in this one. And the only guy
Speaker 1: you care about to Marquis Brown, and tragically, he's got
Speaker 1: a hamstring, so I struggle to recommend him either by
Speaker 1: a mile the best of the Cardinals receivers, but the Cardinals,
Speaker 1: you know, the Commander's secondary garbage last year. They've added
Speaker 1: first and second round rookies at the cornerback position who
Speaker 1: might help. So maybe garbage time here keeps Brown startable.
Speaker 1: I'm gonna give him the SE grade both the hamstring injury.
Speaker 1: Any play could be his last, and you're really risking
Speaker 1: a lot, so start him at your own warning. A
Speaker 1: C grade on Marquise Brown. Okay, let's go to the
Speaker 1: commander side, beginning with Sam Howell. Might take a chance
Speaker 1: on me quarterback. We love Sam Howell in this one,
Speaker 1: and I like his receivers. Johan Dotson, love his chances
Speaker 1: for a big game hard work. No, I can't go
Speaker 1: double a r Mark. I can't do it. Dotson is
Speaker 1: eric b Enemy's field stretching receiver, averaging a crazy fourteen
Speaker 1: point seven yards per reception last year. Those fifth best
Speaker 1: in the league, and last year Arizona allowed the most
Speaker 1: yards after the catch. Big place coming for Johan Dotson
Speaker 1: potentially here. Cornerback Antonio Hamilton allowed a one hundred plus
Speaker 1: passer rating in four of his six starts. So I
Speaker 1: like the opportunity for Johan Dotson in this game. I've
Speaker 1: got a B grade on him. Got a C grade
Speaker 1: on Terry McLaurin. I would like the matchup more. The
Speaker 1: turf toe looks to be okay, but man, those are
Speaker 1: tricky receivers. Yes, they can limit your acceleration, they can
Speaker 1: limit your cutting. I think those are two important factors
Speaker 1: in this game. So I got a C grade on
Speaker 1: him here It could very well be the Commanders get
Speaker 1: ahead and then just don't pass that much. Maybe so,
Speaker 1: and maybe they rest McLaurin and they rest his toe.
Speaker 1: So I can only muster a se grade on McLaurin,
Speaker 1: the guy I love and who you should with all
Speaker 1: of these tight end injuries. Yes, go get Logan Thomas.
Speaker 3: I started him in place at Kelsey in the league night.
Speaker 3: I'm super happy about it.
Speaker 1: It's silly done. I've heard tight ends can thrive into
Speaker 1: Eric Beta be offense. I've heard he can scheme open
Speaker 1: a tight end or two. Last year, the Cardinals allowed
Speaker 1: the most tight end receptions and the most tight end touchdowns.
Speaker 1: Logan Thomas is your official FFW.
Speaker 3: I love how we have one of those every year,
Speaker 3: like the Giants were that one year the Cardinals. I
Speaker 3: love that there's one that just cannot.
Speaker 1: Beat up on every year.
Speaker 3: Absolutely for streamings so easy. So I've got a.
Speaker 1: B grade and Logan Thomas position adjusted, he'd be an
Speaker 1: A at just the tight end position given all the
Speaker 1: other injuries there, Let's go to the running backs for
Speaker 1: Brian Robinson. If it's not gonna happen now, when I
Speaker 1: didn't love the version I saw last year. But you
Speaker 1: gotta get better here. Cardinals ranked twenty seventh and run
Speaker 1: defense by Pro Football Focus. Last year. They allowed the
Speaker 1: third most fantasy points to opposing runners. There's no obvious
Speaker 1: improvements in the defense for the Cardinals. Let's try Brian
Speaker 1: Robinson with a B grade here, and let's consider Antonio Gibson.
Speaker 1: If you believe he's gonna take the Jeric McKinnon role
Speaker 1: for Eric b enemy as a pass catcher, this might
Speaker 1: be his best opportunity all year. Cardinal's destroyed by runners
Speaker 1: through the air last year, allowing the most running back receptions,
Speaker 1: for the most running back receiving yards, and the second
Speaker 1: most running back receiving touchdowns. So Antonio Gibson nice player
Speaker 1: here as well, will give him a C grade. Let's
Speaker 1: go to our next game, that is the Raiders taking
Speaker 1: on the Broncos.
Speaker 3: Scott, Yeah, on the Raiders side, I don't like much
Speaker 3: in the passing game. I don't like this offense. I
Speaker 3: don't like a Jimmy g Led offense against a Broncos
Speaker 3: team that was third best against quarterbacks last year, second
Speaker 3: best against wide receivers. The only passing game option I
Speaker 3: am even starting in this one is DeVante Adams, and
Speaker 3: he's only getting a B grade. He had a great
Speaker 3: game last year, one hundred plus yards in both games
Speaker 3: against the Broncos last year, but that was with Derek
Speaker 3: Carr slightly different offense, and this year he's going to
Speaker 3: be going up against pat certain Patzertan. I just I
Speaker 3: don't think it's a good spot for him. I've got
Speaker 3: a B grade on him, with an A grade though,
Speaker 3: Josh Jacobs with his new one year deal, I think
Speaker 3: they're gonna do to Josh Jacobs what they did to
Speaker 3: Josh Jacobs last year. Yes, a ton of work won't
Speaker 3: make Jimmy g do much. Last year he had one
Speaker 3: hundred and seventy five yards and two scores in the
Speaker 3: first matchup and one hundred and sixty yards in the
Speaker 3: second matchup. Now, the pass game isn't worthy of being feared,
Speaker 3: so that might bring those numbers down a little bit.
Speaker 3: But I got an A grade on Josh Jacobs. Over
Speaker 3: on the other side, Russell Wilson was might take a
Speaker 3: chance on me player. I mentioned how much they allowed
Speaker 3: to quarterbacks and wide receivers last year, how their defense
Speaker 3: is thirty first past dy of Voa, and they have
Speaker 3: the third worst secondary entering this year, according to Pro
Speaker 3: Football Focus. So I have some grades out here. I
Speaker 3: got a B grade on Sutton. You could talk me
Speaker 3: into an A, but a B grade on Sutton. When
Speaker 3: Judy was out last year, Sutton had huge target shares
Speaker 3: near thirty percent. He went five for fifty two to one,
Speaker 3: and five for eighty in this matchup. Judy missed both
Speaker 3: of those games. We'll see if Judy plays in this one.
Speaker 3: If I have Judy on my team, I am not
Speaker 3: starting him. It's a late game. I don't want to
Speaker 3: have that be an issue to that something comes up late,
Speaker 3: late in the afternoon. I want to make that decision
Speaker 3: before the game start. Denzel mams Man. I love Denzel
Speaker 3: mams He's one of three healthy options for Russell Wilson.
Speaker 3: In college, he only dropped seven balls and most of
Speaker 3: his most of his work, a lot of his work,
Speaker 3: over third of his work was deep downfield, twenty plus
Speaker 3: yard downfield. In fact, he had twenty plus yards per
Speaker 3: catch in college over two seasons. He just needs I
Speaker 3: got a SE grade. All he needs is one big one.
Speaker 3: Marvin Mims Marvin moms C grade. All he needs is
Speaker 3: one big one. I'm keeping Dulcinch and Troutman on the bench.
Speaker 3: I don't I don't know how this joker role is
Speaker 3: gonna work. They were splitting so much in preseason. No thanks.
Speaker 3: As far as the run game, Champagne says Javonte Williams
Speaker 3: is in for a big role. We'll see if that's true.
Speaker 3: He's often used two backs. He's also a liar exactly.
Speaker 3: I actually wrote in here I trust him as much
Speaker 3: as I trust my five year old stories from kindergarten. So,
Speaker 3: given the matchup against the seventh worst d from a
Speaker 3: year ago, a team that allows a ton of receptions
Speaker 3: and receiving yards to backs a year ago, I have
Speaker 3: a B grade on Javonte Williams. You could maybe even
Speaker 3: snick sneak in a C grade for some maj Pierryn.
Speaker 1: Ooh okay, let's go to the final matchup of this segment,
Speaker 1: forty nine Ers taking on the Steelers. Kenny Pickett coming
Speaker 1: off a very promising preseason thor.
Speaker 6: Sure is Yeah, I'm gonna give him a great B
Speaker 6: in this one. It's a weird matchup, right. San Francisco
Speaker 6: has a pass final defense, but they have that very
Speaker 6: good pass rush, So I think Kenny Pickett his utility
Speaker 6: in this game HiT's as much about the pass pro
Speaker 6: as it is about his performance itself. Yeah, I do
Speaker 6: think Darnel Washington helps out with that more twelve personnel
Speaker 6: in this game. Darnald Washington one of the best blocking
Speaker 6: Titans we've seen come out the past several years. The
Speaker 6: forty nine Ers allowed the fourth highest completion rate in
Speaker 6: tenth most deep passing yards on deep balls last year,
Speaker 6: which brings me into the Steelers wide receivers love George
Speaker 6: Pickens in this game. I'm giving George Pickens a greade
Speaker 6: of a wow. Deanna Johnson, I'm gonna give him a B.
Speaker 6: Pickens and Johnson last year they tied for the team
Speaker 6: lead with sixty one goal routes a piece. Johnson was
Speaker 6: targeted on thirty four percent of them, Pickens was on
Speaker 6: forty one percent. You look at the forty nine Ers
Speaker 6: outside cornerbacks Ward six foot one, one ninety eight lenor
Speaker 6: five to ten to two to one. Pickens is six
Speaker 6: foot three and tire five pounds of dynamite. I think
Speaker 6: you're gonna see some mossing going on there with pick
Speaker 6: And chucking it up to him deep Friarm with the
Speaker 6: tight end there. I don't think it's as good of
Speaker 6: a matchup for him. I give him a great see
Speaker 6: in this one. San Francisco gave up the twelve fewest
Speaker 6: receiving yards at tight ends and eight fewest fantasy points
Speaker 6: per game to tight ends last year. I also think
Speaker 6: this isn't a very good matchup for Naje. Harris kind
Speaker 6: of goes without saying he's got to split the carries
Speaker 6: with Jalen Warren, who I got a bench on Warren.
Speaker 6: I'm gonna give Nase a see though in this one.
Speaker 6: Low end started with this matchup San Francisco. I love
Speaker 6: the second fewest rush yards and the lowest explosive run
Speaker 6: rate last year.
Speaker 4: Very good run defense. Moving on to the forty nine ers.
Speaker 6: Yet you have sort of a matchup specific thing for
Speaker 6: the wide receivers going on on this side too. Pittsburgh
Speaker 6: loves man coverage. They always have I Yuki san Francisco's
Speaker 6: man beater, whereas deebo is the zone beater. You can
Speaker 6: just look throughout this thing. I UK versus man coverage
Speaker 6: was number fourteen last year, and targets per route, per route,
Speaker 6: run rate and number nineteen in yards per route run
Speaker 6: rate if I can talk percent and two point four
Speaker 6: for those two things. Deebo versus man coverage last year
Speaker 6: sixteen percent, so fourteen percent lower on target per route
Speaker 6: run rate and one point four yards per route run
Speaker 6: That's a full yard less than Auk. So I give
Speaker 6: Ayuk and I give Debo a C in this one.
Speaker 6: George Kittle is questionable with the groin injury, as you
Speaker 6: guys know, I give him a great B. If he plays,
Speaker 6: are gonna have to monitor that one. Pittsburgh was sort
Speaker 6: of middle of the pack against tight ends last year.
Speaker 6: I expect him to be again. Brock Perty, I'm also
Speaker 6: going to give him a seed. Last year he did
Speaker 6: not face one pass defense that ranked better than thirteenth
Speaker 6: in defensive DVOA against the pass. But I do think
Speaker 6: Perty is startable in super flex formats, and then of
Speaker 6: course Christian McCaffrey startable week that's obvious. Give him give
Speaker 6: him an a here, but if he has a thermonuclear game,
Speaker 6: it's got to come through the air as opposed to
Speaker 6: on the ground. Steelers give up the fifth highest yards
Speaker 6: per reception to opposing running backs last year, but they
Speaker 6: had the third highest stuff rate in the league last year.
Speaker 1: All right, I like it well done. This is uh,
Speaker 1: this is a Steelers offense that I find fascinating. I
Speaker 1: believe the addition of Broderick Jones on that offensive line
Speaker 1: has got to help. First rounder there. You mentioned Elephantine
Speaker 1: tight end Darnell Washington in passing, who I'm fascinated by.
Speaker 1: They called him the big O at Georgia because he
Speaker 1: is gigantic and he wore the number zero. I think
Speaker 1: he's gonna be a sneaky, a little bit of a
Speaker 1: better receiver than people think. You're not not fantasy startable
Speaker 1: or rosterable, but Darnell Washington.
Speaker 3: Is just it's it's good for the offense, you know,
Speaker 3: rising tide, raises elboats. You know, maybe that kind of
Speaker 3: work will help the whole team.
Speaker 6: And if nothing else, is gonna be hard to keep
Speaker 6: him off the field because he's a third offensive tackle
Speaker 6: for you, just a maller.
Speaker 4: But the receiving could come along. Georgia didn't use him much.
Speaker 6: There because they have Brock Bowers, one of the best
Speaker 6: receiving tight end prospects we've got the last decade.
Speaker 1: Brock Bauers is going to go in the top ten
Speaker 1: of next year's draft, maybe the top five of next
Speaker 1: year's draft. I mean, he's he is. His NFL potentials unbelievable.
Speaker 4: It's different.
Speaker 1: Yeah, And if Darnell Washington hadn't played behind him, he'd
Speaker 1: probably have been drafted higher. A lot more targets on
Speaker 1: a lot more targets. Yeah. Absolutely. You can still join
Speaker 1: a guillotine league. You know the format works. You start
Speaker 1: with eighteen teams because there's eighteen weeks of the season,
Speaker 1: and instead of playing head to head every week, the
Speaker 1: low scoring team gets cut from the league and all
Speaker 1: their players go to the waiver wire, where the rest
Speaker 1: of us build superstar rosters to go to war every week.
Speaker 1: It's the freshest, funnest way to play fantasy football. Guillotine
Speaker 1: leagues dot com. You can play private leagues with your friends.
Speaker 1: You can join a public contest for cash totally up
Speaker 1: to you. Also, all of my player rankings available for
Speaker 1: free for week number one at Guillotine leagues dot com.
Speaker 1: When we come back three tough questions, see if you
Speaker 1: can go three to zero against our panel of experts.
Speaker 1: When we return, Hey, it's our number two of Fantasy
Speaker 1: Football Weekly. Paul Jarchi in Scott Fish and Thorn Eistrom
Speaker 1: with you. Thank you for joining us. This is a
Speaker 1: game we like to call three tough questions.
Speaker 5: Tough question number one.
Speaker 1: Obviously, every player and every situation is different, but broadly speaking,
Speaker 1: how much should you react to the revelations that will
Speaker 1: emerge from week one? Is it a lot, a little,
Speaker 1: or not at all? We begin with Scott Fish.
Speaker 3: Yeah, so we work in an industry where we have
Speaker 3: to analyze based on already a small sample size looking
Speaker 3: back at last year's seventeen to twenty one data points.
Speaker 3: Maybe it's not baseball, right, and week one is the
Speaker 3: one of what twenty and it's the most current, it's
Speaker 3: the most updated. We've seen how the offenses are schemed.
Speaker 3: We've seen how the defenses are schemed. We've seen usage
Speaker 3: and snap counts and targets per route run. I mean,
Speaker 3: no one wants to get Frisman Jackson, right, that's for sure.
Speaker 1: I knew you would mention him.
Speaker 3: I will always mention Frisman Jackson with stuff like this
Speaker 3: comes up. But it is the most recent data points,
Speaker 3: so it's not not at all. I don't know that
Speaker 3: it's a lot, because it's only one point. It's it's
Speaker 3: if I have to choose between these three, it's a little,
Speaker 3: but I'd say it's more like thirty seven percent than
Speaker 3: it is like twenty percent. Right, it's a it's a
Speaker 3: it's a decent chunk. It's just not a.
Speaker 1: Lot, a lot. Okay, maybe I should have put it
Speaker 1: up A lot, some, some or not at all.
Speaker 3: I'm going send.
Speaker 1: I'll just changing the question on the foe like a lot,
Speaker 1: some or not at all? Okay.
Speaker 5: Four.
Speaker 1: Broadly, how much should you react to the revelations that
Speaker 1: will emerge in Week one? A lot, some or not
Speaker 1: at all?
Speaker 6: I would say some, but closer to a lot than
Speaker 6: to none. You know, it's like Scott was saying, you
Speaker 6: have to make situational assumptions in the preseason when you know,
Speaker 6: when you do your draft, everything like that. But you
Speaker 6: get finite data points in week one, so that that
Speaker 6: piece of the pie heading into Week two I think
Speaker 6: is bigger than in any other individual week. You can't
Speaker 6: underreact to it like the data you get in week one,
Speaker 6: so I'd say closer to a lot.
Speaker 1: There are definitely strong takeaways from week one, especially in
Speaker 1: the cases of pure talent that exposes itself and also
Speaker 1: a lack of talent that exposes itself and teams aren't
Speaker 1: hiding things. You really hit on this, Scott. You know
Speaker 1: they're playing to win. I mean, you know they're not
Speaker 1: out like hiding their best players. They're trying to win
Speaker 1: games and put their best players in position to win.
Speaker 1: So and I think a lot of times you can
Speaker 1: identify the Week one flukes like Carson wentz is four
Speaker 1: touchdown game from Week one of last year, and the
Speaker 1: other thing I think that you can very much take
Speaker 1: away from those mid to late round flyers you were
Speaker 1: hoping we're gonna hit. You can look at and go,
Speaker 1: this is not gonna work out last year Week one
Speaker 1: like Michael Carter, rex Burghead, Antonio Gibson, Darryl Henderson all
Speaker 1: bombed in Week one. Those are all guys that maybe
Speaker 1: you thought were gonna help you. They didn't help you,
Speaker 1: And I think you can read into that. I can't
Speaker 1: say a lot because there are misleading things that happened
Speaker 1: in Week one, but we will go with the correct
Speaker 1: answer of some. But we're as thor as you put it,
Speaker 1: we're on the a lot side of some.
Speaker 3: Yes. For absolutely Number.
Speaker 5: One tough question number two.
Speaker 1: Should you cut any cheaps wide receivers you may have drafted.
Speaker 1: Let's begin with Thor.
Speaker 6: Only if his name is Cadarius, Tony, get Cadarius off
Speaker 6: your rosters. I think it's too early to judge on
Speaker 6: the rest. But this is obviously a big stock up
Speaker 6: Game four where she Rice and it is obviously a
Speaker 6: very disappointing development for sky Moore, so he'd be stocked down.
Speaker 4: But I'm only cutting Cadarius of those guys, all.
Speaker 1: Right, Scott, are we cutting all of our chiefs wide
Speaker 1: receivers we may have drafted.
Speaker 3: I think the key point is all and it also
Speaker 3: depends on what's on your waiver wire. Uh so, Ross
Speaker 3: you could probably pick back up later. It seems like
Speaker 3: he's going to be behind people Sky and Tony. I
Speaker 3: think that they're gonna get a lot more chances, and
Speaker 3: we're gonna see a different offense when the number one
Speaker 3: receiving threat is back on the field and they aren't,
Speaker 3: you know, hyper focused on stopping those two. So we're
Speaker 3: gonna see a completely different way that they're going to
Speaker 3: deal with those two receivers. But like Thors said, Rashi, Rice,
Speaker 3: he breaks this all part of your comment because he
Speaker 3: looked decent and I like his long term potential.
Speaker 1: So you'll know when the question is should you cut
Speaker 1: all the Chiefs wide receivers you may have drafted? Yeah,
Speaker 1: this is a different question. Then will any of the
Speaker 1: Chiefs wide receivers have like a decent season?
Speaker 3: Oh yeah, it's not absolutely.
Speaker 1: That's not the same question because it's possible that one
Speaker 1: of the two, one of the two Chiefs wide receivers
Speaker 1: are going to end up with decent year long stats.
Speaker 1: But it doesn't matter if you can't predict when the
Speaker 1: good games are gonna happen, when the bad games are
Speaker 1: gonna happen. I need to know when can I put
Speaker 1: Skymore in my lineup? When can I put Rahi Rice
Speaker 1: in my lineup? On this show? Let me ask you
Speaker 1: to this, thinking ahead to the rest of the shows
Speaker 1: you're gonna do this year. How many times is a
Speaker 1: Chiefs receiver going to get a B grade?
Speaker 3: Not often, I've I've been We're years into not wanting
Speaker 3: to start Chiefs wide receivers, like many years into they
Speaker 3: spread around outside of Kelsey. So B grade is right,
Speaker 3: and a B grade's the threshold of confidence. These are
Speaker 3: take a chance on me players most of the season.
Speaker 1: That's all they are, That's what they're just take a chance.
Speaker 3: Their season, take a chance on me.
Speaker 1: And I'm including Rashid Rice in this. It's nice that
Speaker 1: he scored a touchdown, but if that hadn't if that
Speaker 1: had been a six yard touchdown, if that had been
Speaker 1: just a six yard catch, sidelines too, he had he
Speaker 1: had the three catches twenty nine yards. He was only
Speaker 1: on the field for twenty snaps.
Speaker 3: Yeah, that's a problem.
Speaker 1: You know it's gonna be the rotation is going to
Speaker 1: be maddeningly unpredictable, and I gotta start my lineup before
Speaker 1: the game kicks off.
Speaker 3: So you just want to sabotage drop that Week one.
Speaker 1: It's not even know if it's a sabotage drop at
Speaker 1: this point.
Speaker 4: But I do.
Speaker 1: People will pick them up, they will, but I'm dropping
Speaker 1: all Chiefs receivers.
Speaker 5: Tough question number three.
Speaker 1: All Right, your last chance for a big season long
Speaker 1: prediction right here, The highest scoring player in fantasy football
Speaker 1: this year will be who Scott?
Speaker 3: So I immediately think quarterback, and you immediately want to
Speaker 3: go to Josh Allen or Patrick Mahomes or whatever. I
Speaker 3: just I ever wanted maybe maybe I'm or Jalen Hurts.
Speaker 3: Maybe I'm just a little bored. But I'm gonna go
Speaker 3: a few a few spots deeper and go Justin Herbert.
Speaker 3: Two years ago he went for five k and thirty
Speaker 3: eight touchdowns, five thousand yards and thirty eight touchdowns in
Speaker 3: twenty twenty one. Last year, he went for forty seven
Speaker 3: hundred yards and twenty five touchdowns.
Speaker 1: Hurt down here, hurt down.
Speaker 3: Here most of the season, and without Keenan Allen for
Speaker 3: and Mike Williams for I think auld combined something like
Speaker 3: eleven games between the two of them. He's now got
Speaker 3: Kellen Moore, He's now got a better depth forth receiver
Speaker 3: in Quentin Johnson. I just I can see him being
Speaker 3: a five thousand and forty plus touchdown guy again. Maybe
Speaker 3: run a few more in without being injured. He's my goal.
Speaker 1: Justin air bear all right four, the highest scoring player
Speaker 1: in fantasy football this year will be who I'm following.
Speaker 6: Fisher's the same route but with a different guy. Lamar
Speaker 6: Jackson for me, I'm going to put him at the top.
Speaker 6: I love him in Todd Monkins's air Raid system, and
Speaker 6: Baltimore finally has good receivers. You go back to when
Speaker 6: Lamar Jackson was at louisvo it was spreading the field,
Speaker 6: forcing the defenses to defend deep. He's a very good passer,
Speaker 6: very underrated. That's when he got all the rushing opportunities.
Speaker 6: I think spreading the field, getting those guys out there,
Speaker 6: that's it's.
Speaker 4: Also going to open up Lamar Moore running there as well.
Speaker 1: All right, I love the addition as a flowers. I
Speaker 1: think that will help that off starts a lot. That
Speaker 1: neither of those are the correct answer though, that's bad. Yeah.
Speaker 1: In ESPN scoring system, Jalen Hurts scored over one hundred
Speaker 1: Fantasy points, more than any running back, wide receiver, a
Speaker 1: tight end, but still behind Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen.
Speaker 1: But here's where Jalen Hurts is going to be even
Speaker 1: better this year. A the rushing. He scored thirteen rushing
Speaker 1: touchdowns before they had figured out the Tushe push. Now
Speaker 1: with the Toushe push, that thirteen becomes what seventeen I mean,
Speaker 1: could be sitting on Could it be sitting on a
Speaker 1: league leading number of runs touchdowns? Very possibly for Jalen Hurts.
Speaker 1: But it's really the passing that can elevate Hurts last
Speaker 1: year modest numbers thirty six hundred passing yards twenty two scores.
Speaker 1: That was Derek Carr who got bench for two games
Speaker 1: and still put up thirty six hundred yards and twenty
Speaker 1: five scores. Hurts has got the upside to get better
Speaker 1: given who his receivers are to be more like four
Speaker 1: thousand passing yards and thirty passing touchdowns. That would make
Speaker 1: him the clear cut highest scoring player.
Speaker 3: In the league. Okay, I thought about it.
Speaker 1: Let's go back to the matchups Texans are taking on
Speaker 1: the Ravens, and you guys know how I feel about
Speaker 1: Damian Pierce.
Speaker 3: No is that could you tell us the sound of
Speaker 3: a Pierce Darrow that's a dart throw, but you feel
Speaker 3: like he's a dart throw player.
Speaker 1: That's he's really naughty.
Speaker 3: He's in a C grade here.
Speaker 1: No, well, I can only muster a B grade because
Speaker 1: I don't like the matchup and the entire passing games
Speaker 1: on the bench. Let's go with the passing game first.
Speaker 1: Houston's passing games on the bench.
Speaker 2: C J.
Speaker 1: Stroud's preseason was not great. He looked inaccurate, he did
Speaker 1: not look poised. His mechanic were off. I didn't like
Speaker 1: what I saw there first. Start rookie trying to implement
Speaker 1: a brand new offense from a brand new offensive coordinator.
Speaker 1: And the Ravens secondary's good. It's not great, but it's good.
Speaker 1: The cornerback. Houston could pick on his rak Yassin, who
Speaker 1: is already on his third team, But I just don't
Speaker 1: trust the Texans passing game in this situation, and I
Speaker 1: need to see. I want to see a little something first.
Speaker 1: So I've got the entire passing game on the bench.
Speaker 1: Let's go to Damian Pierce. Baltimore is a good run defense.
Speaker 1: They allowed the sixth fewest fantasy points. They ranked seventh
Speaker 1: in PFF grade last year against the run, just three
Speaker 1: point nine yards per carry against, good for third best.
Speaker 1: Baltimore returns pretty much everybody from last year's defense. Only
Speaker 1: one back cracked one hundred yards against the Ravens all year,
Speaker 1: and it took Najee Harris twenty two attempts to get there.
Speaker 1: Everybody expects Pierce to have an expanded receiving role. I
Speaker 1: do too. He's gonna need it. Ravens allowed the sixth
Speaker 1: most running back receptions, the fifth most running back receiving
Speaker 1: yards last year. The good news is, if there's one
Speaker 1: touchdown to be had from Houston's offense in this game,
Speaker 1: in a tough game at the Ravens, I think Damian
Speaker 1: Pierce gets it, hopefully chips in some of the receiving
Speaker 1: that we think we were going to develop. And I've
Speaker 1: got a B grade on Damian Pierce. Better days ahead.
Speaker 1: If he flops in this one, go try to trade
Speaker 1: for Damian Pierce as one of the tougher matchups on
Speaker 1: the schedule. Let's go to the Baltimore side. I'm gonna
Speaker 1: start with JK. Dobbins. The Texans allowed a league worse
Speaker 1: of one hundred and seventy eight total yards and one
Speaker 1: and a half touchdowns per game to opposing running backs
Speaker 1: last season. Now, the Texans defense should be improved. You've
Speaker 1: got a new defensive minded head coach in Demico Ryans,
Speaker 1: and he oversaw San Francisco's league best run defense. And
Speaker 1: the Texans added Sheldon Rankins, Denzel Perriman, Corey Littleton, and
Speaker 1: they added Will Anderson in the draft. I mean, those
Speaker 1: are all people that should improve the front seven here.
Speaker 1: So Dobbins an assassin at the goal line and a
Speaker 1: touchdown feels very likely here. A grade for JK. Dobbins, yep.
Speaker 1: I can't go to to Gus Edwards. I got it.
Speaker 1: I think it could be mop up time though in
Speaker 1: a lot opsided win, so you could start him in
Speaker 1: an absolute pinch here. But we're not going to do that.
Speaker 1: Let's go to the passing game. I want to start
Speaker 1: with the receivers. I got a se grade on Zay
Speaker 1: Flowers in his first game. He looks very promising. He's
Speaker 1: the healthiest of the Ravens receivers, and he'll go up
Speaker 1: against Houston cornerback Tavier Thomas in the slot. Thomas does
Speaker 1: not have a long resume, particularly for a guy in
Speaker 1: a sixth season, but he's graded up pretty well last year.
Speaker 1: Did not allow more than twenty four yards or any
Speaker 1: scores in any game last year, including six as a starter.
Speaker 1: The Houston pass defenses you remember may remember from last
Speaker 1: year sneaky good see grade on Zay Flowers see grade.
Speaker 1: And Rashad Bateman, who should be near full health at
Speaker 1: this point. In last year's offense, he ran mostly from
Speaker 1: the left side of the field. That would put him
Speaker 1: primarily on Darryl Stingley Junior. Last year's first round rookie
Speaker 1: year was pretty good. Last year not great, but pretty good.
Speaker 1: Should be better in year two. The new Todd Munken
Speaker 1: offense should really should really help Bateman here, who suffered
Speaker 1: from low volume under Greg Roman for years. So I've
Speaker 1: got a se grade on Bateman. I don't love the matchup,
Speaker 1: but I do like him. If you were at I
Speaker 1: were sure he was one hundred percent healthy, he had
Speaker 1: probably started here. We're not going to OBJ. He's got
Speaker 1: to prove he's completely healthy off his second ACL, and
Speaker 1: he missed time this week in practice. I don't like that.
Speaker 1: Mark Andrews not healthy. Unfortunately we're already here hamstring injury.
Speaker 1: Were he healthy, I would give him an A grade,
Speaker 1: And if he does not go, Isaiah likely would be
Speaker 1: an amazing waiver wire starter in this matchup. Good tight
Speaker 1: ends roasted the Texans last year. Evan Ingram, Dalton Schultz,
Speaker 1: Travis Kelce, Gerald, Everett, Logan Thomas all top sixty yards,
Speaker 1: half of them scored touchdowns. Hopefully Andrews can go and
Speaker 1: then you kind of have to start him here. But
Speaker 1: if he can't, Isaiah likely a great waiver wire addition.
Speaker 1: So I've given good not great grades to all these receivers.
Speaker 1: This puts me onto a B grade and Lamar Jackson
Speaker 1: maybe not the smash spot. It feels like for the
Speaker 1: first time since getting drafted, totally new offense for Lamar Jackson.
Speaker 1: He's got all these new receivers, right, OBJ, Zay Flowers
Speaker 1: and Integrate. Bateman and Obj didn't play for most of
Speaker 1: training camp. There's a lot of moving parts in what
Speaker 1: could be sort of a rusty offense here. And last year,
Speaker 1: as I mentioned, Texans allowed the fewest passing touchdowns in
Speaker 1: the league fifteen, and they were top ten in passing
Speaker 1: yards allowed. And they were good against rushing quarterbacks, allowing
Speaker 1: just seventeen quarterback rushing yards per game and only two
Speaker 1: quarterback rushing touchdowns all year. So I can only give
Speaker 1: you a B grade on Lamar Jackson in this game.
Speaker 1: Let's go to our final matchup of this segment, and
Speaker 1: that is the Dolphins taking on the Chargers. Scott, I
Speaker 1: think Dolphins are gonna get destroyed in this game. No
Speaker 1: Tarren Armstead from their offensive line, which is a big loss.
Speaker 3: Yeah, this is a game where the projected total is
Speaker 3: well into the fifties, the highest of the highest of
Speaker 3: the weekend. I do expect it to be somewhat of
Speaker 3: a shootout, but in the favor of the Chargers almost
Speaker 3: the entire game. I have a B grade. Onto two
Speaker 3: had his worst full game of the year against the
Speaker 3: Chargers last year, going for just one hundred and forty
Speaker 3: five yards in a score. Granted, that was his worst
Speaker 3: game of his Of last year, he only had three
Speaker 3: games below seventeen Fantasy points. Two he got concussions, and
Speaker 3: one was this one. It makes sense though, because the
Speaker 3: Chargers defense, although riddled riddled with injuries last year, were
Speaker 3: one of the best in the NFL. Let's see. Let's
Speaker 3: go over to the wide receivers, non Cheetah or Penguin
Speaker 3: wide receivers. The tight ends routinely struggled to get even
Speaker 3: three catches. And if you don't catch what I mean,
Speaker 3: Tyreek Hill, the Cheetah and Jalen Waddle, they get almost
Speaker 3: everything in that offense. They should be able to move
Speaker 3: around to avoid a Sante Samuel most of the time,
Speaker 3: but he'll be on Waddle most of the time. So
Speaker 3: Waddle gets the B, Tyreek Hill gets the A. They're
Speaker 3: both great for great spike weeks. Tyreek Hill had ten targets,
Speaker 3: racking up eighty one in a score in this game
Speaker 3: last year. You're not benching Tyrek Hill. Why am I
Speaker 3: wasting time on you? Not? You're also not starting Durn's
Speaker 3: Duram Smythe, even though Brian Brian would love you too.
Speaker 3: But let's let's go over to the run game. The
Speaker 3: only guy I'm willing to start is Raheem Moster, and
Speaker 3: I'm pretty pretty hesitant on that because I think it'll
Speaker 3: be a little bit of a committee. Devin a Chain
Speaker 3: coming off that injury, he should be he should be
Speaker 3: ready to go a little risky though in his first game,
Speaker 3: so iv An Aukman should also be ready to go.
Speaker 3: But the Chargers were fifth worst against running backs just
Speaker 3: a year ago, sixth worst the year before. Maybe Brendon
Speaker 3: Staley focuses on stopping the past too much and doesn't
Speaker 3: just lets teams run on him. Maybe that's the problem.
Speaker 3: So with Jeff Wilson going to IR, Moster's going to
Speaker 3: get the sneaky C grade here, probably going to get
Speaker 3: enough volume. Just a note on that Broncos d it
Speaker 3: was injury plague last year, but it held quarterbacks and
Speaker 3: wide receivers to the seventh lowest yards per game at
Speaker 3: just two hundred and five yards per game. Wow, that's
Speaker 3: really not a lot, So to A getting a B
Speaker 3: might be aggressive from me on that one. Over on
Speaker 3: the other side, justin Herbert, the Dolphins allowed him. The
Speaker 3: Dolphins allowed the fourth most Fantasy points and fifth most
Speaker 3: yards to qbs a year ago. Three hundred and six.
Speaker 3: Three hundred and sixty seven of those yards came from Herbert.
Speaker 3: That was his highest total of the year. Uh, that
Speaker 3: was That was a game where I'm sorry, that was
Speaker 3: his highest total of the year.
Speaker 5: Uh.
Speaker 3: The Miami Dolphins are a banged up secondary missing already
Speaker 3: missing Jalen Ramsey, who's on IR and Herbert's gonna have
Speaker 3: his full complemental weapons. He's gonna have Keenan Allen and
Speaker 3: Mike Williams. Josh Palmer did very little when both of
Speaker 3: them were healthy last year, so he's on the bench.
Speaker 3: I have an A grade on Keenan Allen, a B
Speaker 3: grade on Mike Williams. The slight problem is Xavian Howard
Speaker 3: did shadow him last year, probably will shadow him this year.
Speaker 3: That's why only the B grade. He's gonna need to
Speaker 3: get a big one to get a score. He did
Speaker 3: last year one hundred and sixteen yards in a score.
Speaker 3: So Gerald Everett C grade kind of crapped the bed
Speaker 3: last year in the matchup. But new o c Kellen
Speaker 3: Moore gave Dalton Schutz a Schultz a lot of volume.
Speaker 3: I'm hoping that goes to Everett here c grade in
Speaker 3: what I think is a shootout and Elsin Eckler's an
Speaker 3: eight grade.
Speaker 1: Yeah, we don't have to spend a lot of time
Speaker 1: Ontil Neckler obviously starting him every week for sure. I
Speaker 1: think the Dolphins might be sneaky bad this year.
Speaker 3: We find out.
Speaker 1: Interesting how if I'm wrong?
Speaker 3: Interesting I'm wrong. We don't root for bad things on
Speaker 3: the show. We like fun offenses. They have a fun offense.
Speaker 3: You know it has a fun offense.
Speaker 1: The Eagles. We're gonna talk about the Eagles offense when
Speaker 1: we come back. It's a tricky matchup against an often
Speaker 1: good Bill Belichick defense. We'll fight out if Thorn Eistrom
Speaker 1: is starting all Eagles or do you need to show
Speaker 1: caution on some find out when we return to Fantasy
Speaker 1: Football Weekly. Welcome back to Fantasy Football Weekly. Paul Charchian
Speaker 1: with you. You can follow me on Twitter at Paul Charchian.
Speaker 1: Scott Fish is at Scott Fish twenty four. Thorn Eistrom
Speaker 1: is at thor Ku thor k U.
Speaker 3: Don't worry, it only takes them about seven years to
Speaker 3: start getting your Twitter exactly exactly.
Speaker 1: It's gonna be a while. You can assume that's going
Speaker 1: to be the case. Thorpe Eagles traveled to the Patriots.
Speaker 1: Patriots struggled against RPOs run pass options last year, and
Speaker 1: Jalen Hurts is great at it. I still like Jalen
Speaker 1: Hurts a lot and what could otherwise be a tougher matchup.
Speaker 4: Yeah, charge your pick.
Speaker 6: For most Fantasy points in the league this year, and
Speaker 6: I think he's got a good shot to start out
Speaker 6: number one after this matchup, clearly giving him an a
Speaker 6: second most RPO dropbacks in the NFL. Like you're mentioning,
Speaker 6: Patriots allowed second highest yards per attempt on our pos
Speaker 6: and eleventh highest passer rating. The other thing the Patriots
Speaker 6: love to do is you guys know Bill Belichick. Staple
Speaker 6: is the man coverage. This is double stack week for Hurts,
Speaker 6: Brown and Smith.
Speaker 5: A J.
Speaker 6: Brown eats man coverage for breakfast. He always has second
Speaker 6: highest yards per route run versus man last year Brown
Speaker 6: and he led all wide receivers with six touchdowns versus
Speaker 6: man last year, and DeVonta Smith on the other side
Speaker 6: twenty second in targets per route run versus man, fourteenth
Speaker 6: and yards per route run overall there against Man was
Speaker 6: and he was number two in the NFL with five
Speaker 6: touchdowns against Van Covers show this is a very good
Speaker 6: matchup for the Eagles passing game with Dallas Goddard, though,
Speaker 6: I think for him, he's got a score to be startable.
Speaker 6: I'll give him a seed just on that possibility in
Speaker 6: a week where a whole bunch of tight ends their
Speaker 6: status is questionable. Patriots gave up second most touchdowns to
Speaker 6: opposing tight ends last year, but again they're notoriously tough
Speaker 6: against tight ends as I mentioned before, eighth fewest receiving
Speaker 6: yards to tight ends last year. So we're going to
Speaker 6: give Goddard to see DeAndre Swift at those the three
Speaker 6: other guys at the slash RB one on him. I
Speaker 6: will give DeAndre Swift a see in this one. The
Speaker 6: Philly ran zone concept runs forty four percent plays left year.
Speaker 6: Patriots allowed third lowest yards per carry on zone runs.
Speaker 6: I mentioned that they have a good run defense, but
Speaker 6: I also mentioned before when I mentioned that Kenny Gainwell
Speaker 6: was my taking chance on a running back. Patriots struggled
Speaker 6: defending the running backs in the passing game, so Swift
Speaker 6: also will factor into that potentially.
Speaker 4: That's why I give him a CEE.
Speaker 6: As far as the Patriots, we are benching all the
Speaker 6: Patriots passing game except for Jujus Smith Schuster here, and
Speaker 6: the reason for that is the Eagles boundary cornerbacks course
Speaker 6: Darius Slay and James Bradberry return. I think they're gonna
Speaker 6: take care of those outside guys. Mac Jones doesn't take
Speaker 6: a lot of chances anyways. But as far as Jujus
Speaker 6: Smith Schuster, he's gonna lead this team in targets, I
Speaker 6: think pretty easily. You're going to funnel those targets into
Speaker 6: the slot. So that's what makes him potentially startable here.
Speaker 6: But I can only give Juju a ce KNOW for
Speaker 6: my grade. And then as far as the Patriots running game,
Speaker 6: I'm gonna give Rimondre Stevenson a SE as well. Philly's
Speaker 6: gonna remain zone heavy on defense under Seawan Decide taking
Speaker 6: over for Jonathan Gannon, but same sort of conceptually here.
Speaker 4: Stevenson had the seventh.
Speaker 6: Most gap runs last year in the NFL, six highest
Speaker 6: yards per carry on gap runs. He also this was
Speaker 6: an interesting stat. Romandre Stevenson led the Patriots passing game
Speaker 6: in target share again coverage last year. Yeah, nineteen point
Speaker 6: five percent target share as a receiver.
Speaker 4: So I do think he's gonna get the volume. It's
Speaker 4: just how much.
Speaker 6: Are they going to score and be in a position
Speaker 6: to score? So we'll give Rimandre ACiE.
Speaker 1: Yeah, that's the worry, right, and then if they if
Speaker 1: there is a rushing touchdown to be had, is this
Speaker 1: where Zeke factors in? Another frustrating point. Potentially it could be.
Speaker 6: Yeah, but Romondrie very good of course at grinding out
Speaker 6: the short step. But Zeke, like you mentioned last year,
Speaker 6: he was siphoning off a lot of those touchdowns around
Speaker 6: the goal line.
Speaker 1: Yeah, forty five career touchdowns just from inside the five
Speaker 1: yard line for Ezekiel Elliott. Packers traveled to the Bears. Now,
Speaker 1: a lot of moving parts in this one. Christian Watson's
Speaker 1: been ruled out. Romeo Dobbs has got the hamstring of
Speaker 1: his own, and he was having a nice preseason before
Speaker 1: the hamstring injury, and if he were at full strength,
Speaker 1: I'd be talking him up big time for this one.
Speaker 1: But hamstring injuries and wide receivers bad combo. And I'm
Speaker 1: nervous here now. If they take Dobbs completely off the
Speaker 1: injury report before Sunday's game, I would say, fine, let's
Speaker 1: put him into your starting lineup. But otherwise I don't
Speaker 1: trust hamstrings on wide receivers. I can't do it, and
Speaker 1: I'd have to give him a bench grade for Romeo Dobbs.
Speaker 1: Jayden Reid was might take a chance on me wide receiver.
Speaker 1: We're gonna start him.
Speaker 3: In this game.
Speaker 1: And that brings us to Jordan Love. General manager Ryan
Speaker 1: pulls through a lot of draft picks at the Chicago defense,
Speaker 1: but not a lot in the secondary. And it's still
Speaker 1: beatable Chicago dead last and pass rush last year by
Speaker 1: Pro Football Focus. So Love's gonna have time in the pocket.
Speaker 1: And here's the other thing. Bears all had the most
Speaker 1: quarterback rushing attempts for the most quarterback rushing touchdowns. And
Speaker 1: Love is sneaky. He's got some sneaky wheels. I think
Speaker 1: people don't jet nationally. I don't think people really realize
Speaker 1: that Love is as good a running threat as he is.
Speaker 1: It'll be a factor in this game. And I like
Speaker 1: him here. So if he had all his receiving weapons,
Speaker 1: I'd give Jordan Love a bee, but with a short
Speaker 1: Watson potentially also Romeo Dobbs. I can only give Jordan
Speaker 1: Love to see in this game, but I do think
Speaker 1: he is startable. All right, Let's go to the running back.
Speaker 1: So with all of these problems with the receivers and
Speaker 1: all the injuries, I gotta believe we're gonna see a
Speaker 1: lot of Aaron Jones. And by the way, the first
Speaker 1: start for Jordan Love at really the first real start
Speaker 1: for Jordan Love.
Speaker 3: I got it.
Speaker 1: We're gonna see a lot of running in this game.
Speaker 1: And why not. Aaron Jones murdered the Bears in Week
Speaker 1: two of last year, but got bottled up in the
Speaker 1: Week thirteen matchup. I see, as I mentioned, a lot
Speaker 1: of extra carries and an excellent receiver by the way,
Speaker 1: for Aaron Jones and the Bears good in that department
Speaker 1: last year. I think you can still count on a
Speaker 1: good like four ish receptions out of Aaron Jones, maybe
Speaker 1: forty receiving yards. AJ Dill be great on Aaron Jones,
Speaker 1: B Grant and AJ Dillon to crushed the Bears in
Speaker 1: the week's thirteen matchup one hundred and nineteen total yards
Speaker 1: and a touchdown, and again, like Jones, some extra carries coming.
Speaker 1: He got almost all the goal line work last year,
Speaker 1: and with the Bears allowing the second most rushing touchdowns
Speaker 1: last year, I gotta like Dylan's chances of getting a
Speaker 1: touchdown in this game, So B Grade and AJ Dillon
Speaker 1: as well. I think this is one of the best
Speaker 1: matchups for AJ Dillon all season. Let's go to the
Speaker 1: Chicago side. I'm gonna start with Khalil Herbert expected to
Speaker 1: be the starter here, but we're gonna see a potentially
Speaker 1: frustrating amount of Danta Foreman and Thors guys Roshawn Johnson
Speaker 1: in the mix as well, particularly at the goal line,
Speaker 1: which I don't see Herbert scoring in many games, and
Speaker 1: Johnson is really built for goal line use. Foreman is
Speaker 1: to a lesser extent. Last year, Green Bay was bottom
Speaker 1: ten and rushing attempts, rushing yards, and rushing touchdowns allowed
Speaker 1: to running backs, while only addressing the issue with rookies
Speaker 1: Lucas van Ness and Carl Brooks. So I think Herbert
Speaker 1: likely finishes the nondescript but flex worthy box score, which
Speaker 1: you're gonna have to get used to, like sixty total yards,
Speaker 1: and probably doesn't score C grade.
Speaker 3: Or sixty TOI yards in a score like David Montgomery
Speaker 3: last night.
Speaker 1: I don't think. I don't think Herbert's just gonna get
Speaker 1: used at the stripe. You'd have to score from distance,
Speaker 1: and I don't trust him to do it. That's just
Speaker 1: my opinion. Let's go to the receivers. The receiver. Only
Speaker 1: Chicago receiver you can really care about s DJ Moore,
Speaker 1: but he's got a tangle with excellent quarterback Jaiir Alexander. Now,
Speaker 1: Alexander normally only plays one side of the field, but
Speaker 1: for special opponents, they will let JayR Alexander shadow, and
Speaker 1: Chicago fits the bill perfectly because outside of DJ Moore,
Speaker 1: there's nobody else that's worthy of JayR Alexander. So I
Speaker 1: think he's gonna shadow here, and he is a problem.
Speaker 1: He ranked his coverage corner number five by Pro Football Focus.
Speaker 1: He'll howed just thirty three yards and zero point one
Speaker 1: touchdowns per game in his coverage. So I can't give
Speaker 1: DJ Moore more than a B grade in this game,
Speaker 1: cole Kmet is a needed starter for many of you.
Speaker 1: Green Bay allowed the second fewest receptions and yards to
Speaker 1: tight ends last year, and when Comet duds, he duds hard.
Speaker 1: His non touchdown games last year netted an average of
Speaker 1: two catches for thirty yards. That's not good from your
Speaker 1: tight end is never scored against Green Bay, and last
Speaker 1: year Comet had a zero catch game and a seventy
Speaker 1: two yard catch game against Green Bay. I've got a
Speaker 1: C grade on cole Kmet, so that brings us to
Speaker 1: justin fields. He played arguably the best game of his
Speaker 1: career against the Packers last year. In Week thirteen. He
Speaker 1: completed eighty percent of his passes, he ran for seventy
Speaker 1: one yards and a touchdown. The green Bay secondary unchanged
Speaker 1: from last year, an above average group, and I mentioned
Speaker 1: I'm not that keen on DJ Moore here, but I
Speaker 1: still got an A grade on totality in justin fields.
Speaker 1: Who's likely to run for over fifty yards probably finds
Speaker 1: his way to one passing touch.
Speaker 3: You don't want to guarantee sixty No.
Speaker 1: No, that's your dad, I don't want it. That's your trademark.
Speaker 1: I want to take that from you. We're not gonna
Speaker 1: We're not going to mess with Chase Claypool and Darnell
Speaker 1: Mooney in this matchup. All right, Scott, final matchup of
Speaker 1: this segment, do it? Rams taking on the Seahawks. Rams
Speaker 1: absolutely hamstrung Without Cooper cup here, that offense designed to
Speaker 1: go through him, wad.
Speaker 3: A wide receiver. Matthew Stafford reportedly can't name not a
Speaker 3: good sign. So it's like, yeah, so I have the
Speaker 3: entire passing game on the bench except for Tyler Higbee
Speaker 3: from Week eight on last year, So ten games, only
Speaker 3: two quarterbacks top two hundred and forty passing yards against
Speaker 3: the Seahawks, which makes sense when you see that they
Speaker 3: have like Jamal Adre Adams and Quandre Diggs and Tyrek Woollen,
Speaker 3: and they added Bobby Wagner. They stole them from this
Speaker 3: The Rams they're playing this week, not stole, I shouldn't
Speaker 3: say that, but and they were dealing with a lot
Speaker 3: of injuries. So the only thing that Rams passing offense
Speaker 3: really has going for it is gamescript because they'll probably be behind.
Speaker 3: But I don't trust all the We don't know what
Speaker 3: the splits will be between targets between the pass catchers.
Speaker 3: The only one I do trust is Tyler Higbye, who
Speaker 3: may end up being Stafford's security blanket. Seattle was the worst,
Speaker 3: one of the worst teams against fantasy tight ends last year.
Speaker 3: Ten tight ends topped eighty yards and or scored against them.
Speaker 3: That's a lot of volume, and as mentioned, Stafford his name,
Speaker 3: so he'll get some C grade. Tyler Higbee B grade
Speaker 3: on cam Acres. Acres ended last year with three straight
Speaker 3: games of one hundred and twenty five plus total yards
Speaker 3: and really five straight Fantasy startuple games. The Seahawks maybe improved,
Speaker 3: they got Bobby Wagner obviously, as I just mentioned, but
Speaker 3: it was the fourth worst against running backs last year.
Speaker 3: Even though the game script won't be great for Acres
Speaker 3: because they'll be passing a lot, I don't think that
Speaker 3: that affects Kyrien Williams, who's supposedly the pass catching back.
Speaker 3: If you look at the games last year, the touchcounts
Speaker 3: Acres to Williams were twenty four to three, twenty to seven,
Speaker 3: fifteen to three. Like, something's really going to have to
Speaker 3: change for you to even consider Karen Williams, and we
Speaker 3: need to start see it first. So he's on the
Speaker 3: bench over on the other side, Gino Smith, I have
Speaker 3: an A grade on much like I mentioned with the
Speaker 3: Raiders and the Jaguars, much like I mentioned with the
Speaker 3: Raider second talking about Russell Wilson and the Jaguars matchup
Speaker 3: against the Colts. The Rams secondary is almost consistently, almost
Speaker 3: entirely set up of first and second year players. And
Speaker 3: then they added Duke Shelley, so now they at least
Speaker 3: have one vet former Viking, Duke Shelley, who was actually
Speaker 3: pretty good last year. All right, yeah, he was, all right, Yeah,
Speaker 3: the Rams secondary, But PFF grades the RAMS secondary as
Speaker 3: the worst secondary in football entering the season. Gino was
Speaker 3: already great last year. He added JSN Jackson Smith In
Speaker 3: Jigba who is practicing in full and should go and
Speaker 3: pass catching option, Zach Charboney, who was my take a
Speaker 3: chance on me player for the wide receivers. I got
Speaker 3: a B grade on both Lockett and Metcalf. I could
Speaker 3: be leaned into an A, but they might they might
Speaker 3: monopolize each other in JSN might get just enough that
Speaker 3: I'm gonna keep him down to a bee. It's a
Speaker 3: good matchup. Rams were seventh worst, seventh allowed the seventh
Speaker 3: most yards to wide receivers last year and lost Jalen Ramsey,
Speaker 3: JSN Jackson Smith. And but I'm given a C grade too.
Speaker 3: He looked really good in the preseason and he's gonna
Speaker 3: see a lot of single coverage coming out of this lot.
Speaker 3: Ken Walker. Ken Walker B grade rams were twelfth the
Speaker 3: worst against running backs last year, lost Bobby Wagner. He
Speaker 3: was added to the injury port with that groin injury
Speaker 3: came off it. If he goes, I think he's going
Speaker 3: to get enough volume in a game script where they
Speaker 3: can run a lot late that he will get a
Speaker 3: B grade If he doesn't go. Wheels up for Zach Shu,
Speaker 3: A grade for Zak Shacke, Yeah, I agree, a grade
Speaker 3: for Sharbone if Walker doesn't go, not go. Yeah.
Speaker 1: When we come back, it's the season premiere of premature to.
Speaker 3: Majur Speculo speculation.
Speaker 1: Yes, we'll give you players to pick up off the
Speaker 1: waiver wire now that everybody else will be trying to
Speaker 1: pick up next week. Find out who they are when
Speaker 1: we come back. Final segment Fantasy Football Weekly for week
Speaker 1: number one. We always start this segment with premature speculation.
Speaker 1: This is where we give you a player to pick
Speaker 1: up this week that reels me trying to pick up
Speaker 1: next week. But you win the time Machine and you
Speaker 1: already got him.
Speaker 3: Yes, I love that time Machine.
Speaker 1: I love the time Machine sound. I think that's critical.
Speaker 3: I like the Quantum Leap one a little bit warm.
Speaker 1: All right, Scott, what is your who is your premature
Speaker 1: speculation player?
Speaker 3: I am going with Texas High School all time receiving leader, Marvin.
Speaker 3: Do not call me Denzel charts in, Scott Mims. He
Speaker 3: is thirty seven percent rostered on Yahoo and fifteen percent
Speaker 3: rostered on ESPN, which by my math is sixty three
Speaker 3: percent too low on Yahoo and eighty five percent too
Speaker 3: low on ESPN. He's a great deep ball threat, and
Speaker 3: he's got the single coverage all year for the Broncos.
Speaker 3: Get him before he blows up this week with Jerry Judy,
Speaker 3: you know, potentially.
Speaker 1: Not going Yeah, yeah, Marvin Mims. All right, Thor, who
Speaker 1: is your premature speculation player?
Speaker 6: I'm going with Rams wide receiver Poka Nkua. Have been
Speaker 6: banging the drum for him all summer. We're going to
Speaker 6: keep banging it. Good size, six foot two to two
Speaker 6: pH five and super versatile Pooka Nkua. He averaged nine
Speaker 6: point two yards per carry on thirty nine career carries.
Speaker 6: One of five of those carries ended up in the
Speaker 6: end zone. Jaron Hall, I'm not sure if he gets
Speaker 6: drafted if he didn't play with Puka at Byu. In
Speaker 6: the games where Pooka played a full game last season,
Speaker 6: Jaron Hall four three hundred yard games out of seven.
Speaker 6: In the five where Puka didn't play a full game
Speaker 6: or didn't play at all, Jaren Hall only had one
Speaker 6: three hundred yard game in those ones.
Speaker 3: So he raises the level at the quarterback, raises.
Speaker 6: The bar and with Cooper Cup out here for the Rams,
Speaker 6: I think Puka's gonna get starter snaps. We know that
Speaker 6: Van Jefferson to Touawl, Bench Kronic, et cetera are not
Speaker 6: very good. Puoka's only owned a two percent of Yahoo
Speaker 6: leagues right now.
Speaker 4: That needs to change.
Speaker 3: And you call him discount debo, right, disc deeb. So
Speaker 3: that's that's your comp's right, that's your comp for listeners.
Speaker 3: I like it.
Speaker 1: H Pukah Nikua, I got a Samoan heritage. I'm going
Speaker 1: with gotta be need So I don't know what kind
Speaker 1: of sounder. We can get for him a coconut sounder.
Speaker 1: Cocain makes sound they when they fall in Gilligan's head.
Speaker 6: We could do a Kuna matata and put in Pooka's
Speaker 6: name for the pua oh.
Speaker 1: I like it all right, Just whip that a'll figures Okay, Well, yeah,
Speaker 1: let's do that. Speaking of two percent owned Rashid Shaheed
Speaker 1: Saints receiver. Now you already talked about him for you,
Speaker 1: and you outlined a lot of the reasons you like
Speaker 1: Rashid Shaheed this week against Tennessee. I do too, and
Speaker 1: that's part of the reason you need to get him
Speaker 1: before the Tennessee games. But just a recap of last
Speaker 1: year undrafted from Weaver State debuts mid season, has a
Speaker 1: bunch of splash plays. Looks totally a fit for the NFL.
Speaker 1: Deep ball guy caught eighty two percent of his passes
Speaker 1: really healthy, a dot of eleven and a half yards,
Speaker 1: and that was with Andy Dalton. I think he can
Speaker 1: do better with mister tar Carr.
Speaker 3: So Also, he passes the eyeball test, very important.
Speaker 4: We love the eyeball test around here. Yeah.
Speaker 1: Absolutely, Rashid Shaheed, Let's go get him. I've got a
Speaker 1: bunch of my leaks as well. All right, let's go
Speaker 1: to our Sunday night game. It's Cowboys taking on the Giants.
Speaker 1: This is a Dallas passing game that goes head to
Speaker 1: head with Wink Martindale's blitz packages. What do you like here?
Speaker 6: Yeah, Win Burndale, who sent more blitzer than any other
Speaker 6: defensive coordinator in the NFL last year, and he also
Speaker 6: loves man coverage.
Speaker 4: So that's that brings us to Cede Lamb.
Speaker 6: When Dak Prescott is under pressure, when he gets blitzed,
Speaker 6: he looks the CD immediately throws it there all the time.
Speaker 6: Ceedee Lamb last year forty two percent target share on blitzes.
Speaker 6: That's ridiculous. It just shows you that's the trigger for Prescott,
Speaker 6: looks over there, chucks it up to him. Lamb was
Speaker 6: also top ten amongst all wide receivers with at least
Speaker 6: fifty routes run last year and basically every stat that
Speaker 6: I could find against both the blitz and man coverage. Yeah,
Speaker 6: gotta give Ceedee Lamb an a. He is in play
Speaker 6: to be one of the highest scoring receivers this week.
Speaker 6: Dak Prescott. I gave him a b Okay matchup. For
Speaker 6: him again, he gonna look at CD, but only a
Speaker 6: B for him. I also gave a beat to Brandon
Speaker 6: Cooks because if Adri Jackson shadows CD LAMB, that means
Speaker 6: Cooks is gonna get Deanna Banks.
Speaker 4: Banks does not.
Speaker 6: Have great ball skills yet, He's still a work in progress,
Speaker 6: fabulous athlete.
Speaker 4: But we always like to.
Speaker 6: Target corner rookie cornerbacks, both DFS and Fantasy early on
Speaker 6: in their rookie season, So I like Cooks for that reason.
Speaker 6: All the other passca catching options for Dallas I'm gonna
Speaker 6: keep on the bench this week. I do love the
Speaker 6: matchup for Tony Pollard, though I give him an A.
Speaker 6: I think he's gonna hit some dingers this week. Giants
Speaker 6: run defense last year allowed the third highest explosive run
Speaker 6: rate in the NFL. The Giants also allowed the highest
Speaker 6: yards per carry on gap runs and the second highest
Speaker 6: on zone runs. Very good matchup for Tony Pollard going
Speaker 6: to the Giants. This is one that depends a lot
Speaker 6: on if Darren Waller plays. If he does not, we're
Speaker 6: gonna be ben or if he does, we're gonna bench
Speaker 6: all the Giant wide receivers. But I mean, if he
Speaker 6: does play. We're gonna give Darren Waller an a grade
Speaker 6: in this game.
Speaker 3: I have an idea. So I'm in the league with
Speaker 3: Darren Waller.
Speaker 1: Of course, of course, of course you got up.
Speaker 3: I drafted Darren Waller. I was debating, should I trade
Speaker 3: Darren Waller to himself?
Speaker 1: Who Darren Waller?
Speaker 3: Should I play Darren Waller against Darren Waller?
Speaker 1: What do you think you play Darren Waller this week?
Speaker 3: I do not.
Speaker 1: Okay, So then you need to trade Darren Waller to
Speaker 1: Darren Waller so we know if Darren Waller puts Darren
Speaker 1: Waller into his lineup, that means he's healthy.
Speaker 3: This is brilliant.
Speaker 1: Now you're gonna have to offer him just sweetheart deal.
Speaker 1: The master Darren Waller will trade for Darren Waller.
Speaker 3: Well, you gotta imagine he likes himself for this year,
Speaker 3: I would hope. So, yeah, then we'll know every single
Speaker 3: week what his status is. I love this. Let's do it. Yeah, okay,
Speaker 3: every figured it out.
Speaker 1: We Darren Waller report. We'll go to your league and
Speaker 1: tell us whether or not Darren Waller is star perfect,
Speaker 1: brilliant perfect.
Speaker 6: And I wish we knew that intel because if we
Speaker 6: did I think there's a sneaky good matchup for Darren Waller.
Speaker 4: He's gonna get the volume all season.
Speaker 6: The Giants are just gonna pound with targets, and especially
Speaker 6: in this game, when you're going up against a team
Speaker 6: that has Trayvon Diggs on one side Stefan Gilmour on
Speaker 6: the other side, You're going to funnel even more volume
Speaker 6: into this slot.
Speaker 4: So this one's a Darren Waller parade here.
Speaker 6: Second most slot tight ends allowed last year for the
Speaker 6: Dallas Cowboys to opposing slots. I think Waller has a
Speaker 6: big game if he plays, so I give him an
Speaker 6: A if he plays, But of course we might need
Speaker 6: Scott Fish to get us some intel on that.
Speaker 4: Daniel Jones, I give him a C in this one.
Speaker 6: I think a lot of his fantasy value is going
Speaker 6: to have to come from running, but I will give
Speaker 6: one sliver of hope as far as him in the pocket,
Speaker 6: Dallas allowed the ninth most play action touchdowns last year
Speaker 6: to opposing quarterbacks, eleventh highest passer rating on play actions.
Speaker 6: Dimes had the third most play action drop backs in
Speaker 6: the NFL last year. As far as the run game,
Speaker 6: Saquon Berkley, I'm gonna give him a b running back
Speaker 6: to high running back two on volume alone, but this
Speaker 6: is a tough matchup for him. Cowboys allowed the tenth
Speaker 6: lowest yards per carry on gap runs last year. Sixty
Speaker 6: percent of Saquon's runs were gap runs. Dallas also allowed
Speaker 6: the eighth lowest receiving yardage two opposing running backs last year,
Speaker 6: so that could be tough for sake.
Speaker 1: One two, Bill's take on the Jets and the Monday nighter,
Speaker 1: and this might be the toughest matchup of the year
Speaker 1: for the Bills offense as they travel to the Jets.
Speaker 1: Didn't ever think we'd be talking about this the Justinigans
Speaker 1: this way. Let's start with the wide receivers and Stefan
Speaker 1: Diggs scoreless in both matchups with the Jets last year
Speaker 1: because of that head to head matchup with Sauce Gardner
Speaker 1: in part. Now, Sauce does not does not shadow. He
Speaker 1: plays one side of the field, but he erases that
Speaker 1: side of the field, giving up just twenty one yards
Speaker 1: per game in his coverage and zero point one touchdowns.
Speaker 1: Sauce Gardner totally legit and you might be thinking, well,
Speaker 1: Steph Diggs could just run from the other side of
Speaker 1: the field. Dj Reid is really good. Yeah, he ranked
Speaker 1: fifteenth at the cornerback position by Pro Football Focus and Coverage.
Speaker 1: So there's nowhere to hide for Steph Diggs here. Two
Speaker 1: dud games last year, including three catches thirty seven yards
Speaker 1: in the most recent game against the Jets. So I've
Speaker 1: just got to be great on Steph Diggs, the great
Speaker 1: on Gabe Davis, who did nothing in this matchup last
Speaker 1: year matching up against Sauce and read. He's healthier for
Speaker 1: this matchup, which helps, but he's just a dart throw
Speaker 1: in a very difficult matchup. I love gave Davis scottam
Speaker 1: Rostered a lot, but I can't really advocate for him here. Say,
Speaker 1: with the passing game Dalton Kincaid and Dawson Knox, I
Speaker 1: can't start either one in their first NFL game. It
Speaker 1: feels like it's a total wild card situation. We love
Speaker 1: Kinkaid's upside, but week one for rookie tight end. Maybe
Speaker 1: you know, Sam Laparty got a lot of use, but
Speaker 1: he didn't have somebody as polished to Dawson Knox to
Speaker 1: potentially take reps away from him. I just I'm taking
Speaker 1: a wait and see on this. The Jets allowed the
Speaker 1: sixth most yards and the fifth most receptions of tight
Speaker 1: end So not impossible, but I'd rather wait and see.
Speaker 1: I'm not normally skittish on on players like this.
Speaker 3: I've Kincaid in a lot of places. I'm glad I
Speaker 3: can put him on the bench for now.
Speaker 1: Yes, a luxury not many people have at the tight
Speaker 1: end position right now. So where does that leave Josh Allen?
Speaker 1: I just got to be great on him, right so
Speaker 1: you know, we look at I mentioned the difficult matchups
Speaker 1: for Diggs and Davis. Now the good news is the Jets,
Speaker 1: by the way awesome after Week three of last year
Speaker 1: allowing a meager two hundred passing yards and zero point
Speaker 1: six passing touchdowns allowed, and even worse from Week four
Speaker 1: forward last year, thirteen of fourteen opposing quarterbacks through zero
Speaker 1: or one touchdown against the Jets. Now, last year, Josh
Speaker 1: Allen salvaged too otherwise bad passing games by running in
Speaker 1: touchdowns in each game. You know, and he might hear too,
Speaker 1: he could run in touchdowns any time, but there's danger.
Speaker 1: So just to be great on Josh Allen, where does
Speaker 1: that leave us with James Cook? You might be asking,
Speaker 1: so up ticking usage coming for sure now with Singletary out.
Speaker 1: Jets allow the fourth fewest touchdowns to opposing running backs
Speaker 1: last season, and they finished this Pro Football Focus's sixth
Speaker 1: best run defense overall. I worry about Damian Harris stealings
Speaker 1: more touches than people think. Still easier to run New
Speaker 1: York the pass. Cook will get enough work I think
Speaker 1: through the air to make him startable CEE grade on
Speaker 1: James Cook. But I can't go higher than that. Let's
Speaker 1: go to the Jets side. I want to start with
Speaker 1: Garrett Wilson. We all love Garrett Wilson here, but I
Speaker 1: got a little bit. I'm a little bit nervous that
Speaker 1: he's gonna get shadow coverage from Tradevius White, who's finally
Speaker 1: back to full health for the first time in two years.
Speaker 1: White gave up just one score last year, and when healthy,
Speaker 1: he can be absolutely elite. Fortunately, Buffalo secondary can be yielding.
Speaker 1: They give up eighteen wide receiver scores last year. That
Speaker 1: was the third most, and Garrett Wilson averaged a healthy
Speaker 1: eighty five yards in his two games against Buffalo last year.
Speaker 1: With Zach Wilson and Mike White at quarterback, So only
Speaker 1: because of Tredevious White. I've dropped him down to a
Speaker 1: B grade. Otherwise it would have been an A grade
Speaker 1: for Garrett Wilson. We're very excited about him. Alan Lazard
Speaker 1: boring but startable. Particularly with White glued to Garrett Wilson.
Speaker 1: That puts Lazard on kiter Elam a far easier matchup.
Speaker 1: He ranked his pro football focus is seventy fourth coverage cornerback.
Speaker 1: All of his zards in play. If you need a
Speaker 1: mundane like six catches sixty yards and the familiarity well,
Speaker 1: and yeah, the familiarity is not too bad. So where
Speaker 1: does that leave us with Aaron Rodgers. You may be wondering,
Speaker 1: fared okay against Buffalo last year. He played Buffalo last year
Speaker 1: as a member of the Packers. Obviously, he threw for
Speaker 1: two hundred yards and two touchdowns in Green Bay. He's
Speaker 1: got a lot of the same weapons that he had
Speaker 1: in Green Bay, right Randall Cobb and Aaron Allen Lazard.
Speaker 1: But Buffalo didn't give up any explosive passing games really
Speaker 1: and pretty much every starting quarterback to face Buffalo just
Speaker 1: did okay. And that's kind of what I expect from
Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers. A good not great game and to be
Speaker 1: grade for him. And lastly, Dalvin Cook and Breese Hall.
Speaker 1: Cook and Hall I think likely split reps about evenly here.
Speaker 1: In a tougher matchup, i'd advise you to just take
Speaker 1: away and see approach here. But I like this matchup
Speaker 1: for the Jets runners. Buffalo's run defense ranked twenty six
Speaker 1: par Pro Football Focus. They allowed four and a half
Speaker 1: yards per carry, and the Jets had success running on
Speaker 1: the bills last year with Michael Carter and Zanovin, so
Speaker 1: I think there's an opportunity to start both Cook and
Speaker 1: Brice Hall, but because they're sharing, I can only give
Speaker 1: them a C grade. Okay, all right, that wraps up
Speaker 1: a very complete episode of Fantasy Football Weekly for Week
Speaker 1: number one. I'll encourage you to check out all the
Speaker 1: player rankings that you may have missed at Gillotine leagues
Speaker 1: dot com. We've got them there available for you for free,
Speaker 1: and you can still join a Guillotine League, the funnest,
Speaker 1: freshest way to play fantasy football. We'll be back next
Speaker 1: week for week number two. Will be so much smarter.
Speaker 1: Then we'll do even better.
Speaker 5: Then.
Speaker 3: Is that a shot of me not being here?
Speaker 1: Yes? It is Damn Fantasy Football Weekly is a production
Speaker 1: of iHeartRadio. For more podcasts from iHeartRadio, visit the iHeartRadio app,
Speaker 1: Apple Podcasts, or wherever you listen to your favorite shows.