Speaker 1: To on the Move Dallan Jeep Speedways, Peace to Hell.
Speaker 1: From the Baptist Health Studios inside the Baptist Health Training Complex.
Speaker 1: This is Drivetime with Travis Wingfield. He's got my hands
Speaker 1: in the playoffs. What is up Dolphins? And welcome to
Speaker 1: the Drivetime Podcast. I am your host, Travis Wingfield. And
Speaker 1: on today's show, the damn Buffalo Bills are coming to
Speaker 1: town for a Thursday night primetime matchup. We're gonna break
Speaker 1: it all down and tell you how the Dolphins can
Speaker 1: get to victory by breaking down the Buffalo scheme. The
Speaker 1: three keys on either side of the ball, the three
Speaker 1: keys to victory. I'll tell you where they're strong, where
Speaker 1: they're vulnerable, everything you need to know ahead of kickoff
Speaker 1: tomorrow night. From hard Rock Stadium from the Baptist Health
Speaker 1: Studios inside the Baptist Health Training Complex. This is the
Speaker 1: Drivetime Podcast. Hard Rock Stadium could be full of some
Speaker 1: mouth breathing Buffalo Bills fans that came down last year
Speaker 1: for the game, and they make that pilgrimage each and
Speaker 1: every year, but I think this year might be a
Speaker 1: bit different. It is a middle of the week game,
Speaker 1: It is an early September and from my knowledge, I
Speaker 1: don't think there have been quite as many secondary market
Speaker 1: ticket sales for Bills fans, So hopefully we only get
Speaker 1: about eight thousand of those wonderful folks down here with
Speaker 1: US eight to fifteen kickoff on Amazon Prime and local
Speaker 1: CBS Miami wfor the weather for the game, no sunshine,
Speaker 1: so I don't need to call Osha Buffalo eighty four
Speaker 1: degrees a thirty percent chance of rain. It'll be hot
Speaker 1: and hut and muggy and humid. Almost said huggy and mumid.
Speaker 1: That's not words, but that's what the weather forecast calls
Speaker 1: for on Thursday night. Let's go ahead and get to
Speaker 1: know this team. Don't have to do it for very
Speaker 1: long because we know about the Buffalo Jills. This used
Speaker 1: to be a copy and paste segment, so not much
Speaker 1: had to be changed here, but there is some change
Speaker 1: for them. The constants, Josh Allen and Sean McDermott. McDermott
Speaker 1: came one year prior to Allen a playoff season with
Speaker 1: Tyrod Taylor. When they lost a playoff game ten to
Speaker 1: three to the Blake Bortles Jacksonville Jaguaws. They go to
Speaker 1: Josh Allen four games into twenty eighteen, and he had
Speaker 1: those accuracy issues still at that stage of his career.
Speaker 1: They missed the postseason, but have not missed them ever
Speaker 1: since then, as Josh Allen has figured out those accuracy
Speaker 1: issues and elevated himself into a clear position in my opinion,
Speaker 1: as the second best quarterback in the National Football League.
Speaker 1: Ten wins, thirteen, eleven, thirteen, and then eleven more last year,
Speaker 1: after a six and five start, they earn six and
Speaker 1: six start. Rather, they rattle off five straight wins to
Speaker 1: close the season. And if they just call Kadarius Tony
Speaker 1: onside the Dolphins their division champs, I digress, But they
Speaker 1: have one trip to the AFC Championship Game in twenty twenty,
Speaker 1: the pandemic season, the brutal, brutal thirteen second game. Again,
Speaker 1: it's those same Chiefs in the Divisional round one year later,
Speaker 1: and make it three straight Divisional round losses. Now with
Speaker 1: the Bengals in twenty twenty two and those Chiefs again
Speaker 1: in twenty twenty three, hang the banner. Well, not yet,
Speaker 1: I guess, but a lot of the main stays from
Speaker 1: those teams are now gone. Josh Poyer is here, Micah
Speaker 1: Hyde retired, Trey White is in Los Angeles to Fon
Speaker 1: Diggs isn't Houston, and he arrived back in twenty twenty
Speaker 1: when they really took off. Mitch Morse is now in Jacksonville,
Speaker 1: and Leonard Floyd is with the forty nine ers. All
Speaker 1: of those players made plays across the National Football League.
Speaker 1: Really stands the guys that didn't play, which was Hide
Speaker 1: and Trey White. It's a lot of change, an entirely
Speaker 1: different looking Bill's team, and yet can anybody legitimately say
Speaker 1: they're going to win less than double digit games this year?
Speaker 1: I don't think. So let's go ahead and get into
Speaker 1: the weeds on this matchup. Beginning with the Buffalo Bills offense.
Speaker 1: I went through their scheme and wrote down some numbers
Speaker 1: from last year, but I'm not sure how applicable it
Speaker 1: is because they changed a lot. So let's go ahead
Speaker 1: and take a look at the changes here. So this
Speaker 1: one game this year, they ran the same number of
Speaker 1: plays from eleven personnel as they did in twelve personnel.
Speaker 1: It was thirty eight percent of the overall plays. They
Speaker 1: ran a sprinkle of plays from one personnel, which is
Speaker 1: basically their way of getting all these let's call it
Speaker 1: what it is, mid receivers on the field at once
Speaker 1: to just give them a different look, so they have
Speaker 1: more variety than they have in years past. But I
Speaker 1: don't want you to get this twisted because they are
Speaker 1: their bread and butter. Their team identity on offense has
Speaker 1: kind of developed already in my opinion, based upon the
Speaker 1: Joe Brady games from last year and what we saw
Speaker 1: in Week one against the Cardinals. But they ran a
Speaker 1: lot of snaps and heavy personnel. A sixth offensive lineman
Speaker 1: comes into the game on ten of their snaps in
Speaker 1: the game on Sunday, So to me, that says like
Speaker 1: Anthony Walker time. I don't think a Walk played more
Speaker 1: than a handful of snaps in the game, if at
Speaker 1: all did even play. But I think getting into more
Speaker 1: traditional like four to three pasckages or you know, bear
Speaker 1: fronts or three like you're gonna be running lots of
Speaker 1: seven man boxes and eight man boxes against this offense.
Speaker 1: I think I think that'll be the plan because they
Speaker 1: run some of those packages that basically go six to
Speaker 1: zero line, two tight ends, one back, one receiver like
Speaker 1: it is Downhill gonna go ahead and condense their gaps
Speaker 1: inside and play straight ahead and try to bound you
Speaker 1: into a pulp. Maybe you run some big Nickel and
Speaker 1: Marcus may get some more run out there, or maybe
Speaker 1: even Elijah Campbell. You need more punch when they go
Speaker 1: to that. But thankfully, I love the way our backers
Speaker 1: and that includes Walker and Brooks and Long can match
Speaker 1: that physicality. But if you go back to last year
Speaker 1: with Stefan Diggs, it was pretty much what you would
Speaker 1: expect from any offense across the National Football League sixty
Speaker 1: three percent eleven personnel. They were in twelve personnel just
Speaker 1: eighteen percent. And I wrote this before the Jacksonville game,
Speaker 1: this should go way up, and it did. It went
Speaker 1: up by twenty percent in their first game this season.
Speaker 1: They also ran twenty one personnel last year five percent.
Speaker 1: They don't run that two back personnel because they got
Speaker 1: rid of their fullback RPO. Offenses tend to not have
Speaker 1: that unless you're Mike McDaniel and you can cook on
Speaker 1: both sides of the skillet. As it were last year,
Speaker 1: teams played them in too high coverage fifty percent compared
Speaker 1: to single high forty three percent, So basically an even
Speaker 1: split that leaves you with seven percent zero coverage, and
Speaker 1: I think that's not a terrible idea against Josh Allen,
Speaker 1: provided you don't miss on the rush. Anytime I can
Speaker 1: get the ball out of Josh Allen's hands in two
Speaker 1: point five seconds, that's what I want to do. Because
Speaker 1: he's not a precision passer. He is not a sea
Speaker 1: and rip it type of guy. He is a let
Speaker 1: the play develop, break some tackles, scramble and create and
Speaker 1: make big plays outside of structure. He can play inside structure.
Speaker 1: I'm not saying he can't. But if I can get
Speaker 1: him playing inside structure in the pocket all night long,
Speaker 1: that's what I want to do. Like I'd rather not
Speaker 1: have Steph Curry shooting threes, I'd rather have you dump
Speaker 1: the ball into Draymond Green to have him shoot fifteen footers.
Speaker 1: They're time to throw perfect example of that. Two point
Speaker 1: eight eight seconds last year was twenty sixth slowest I
Speaker 1: should say, what's the freakin word there among starting quarterbacks
Speaker 1: thirty first overall, which again is the strange dichotomy and
Speaker 1: why I still don't think I understand the idea behind
Speaker 1: the Joe Brady offense and their influence, because his entire
Speaker 1: schema comes from the LSU days with Burrow and Chase
Speaker 1: and Justin Jefferson and was a terrass Marshall who was
Speaker 1: the third receiver on that offense. Now trying a freaking
Speaker 1: blank how embarrassing. Regardless, doesn't matter. They run this RPO
Speaker 1: like quick game, but that's not Josh's game. So it's
Speaker 1: so strange against the blitz. Last year, he was thirty
Speaker 1: five percent of his dropbacks he was blitzed, I should say,
Speaker 1: at seven point six yards per clip, at sixty four
Speaker 1: percent completion, ten touchdowns and three picks, just eleven sacks
Speaker 1: compared to thirteen sacks when not blitzed. So I think
Speaker 1: that I don't I don't really know. I think the
Speaker 1: way is here. I kind of go back and forth.
Speaker 1: Fangio and the two games last year blitzed him thirty
Speaker 1: one percent and forty five percent, but he did torture
Speaker 1: on some of those plays. But she also got some
Speaker 1: takeaways out of those plays. So I don't really know
Speaker 1: what the plan should be. That's why Anthony we we
Speaker 1: mixed the big bucks. That's why he's a lot smarter
Speaker 1: than I am, and why I just think, well, i'd
Speaker 1: think he's a great defensive coordinator, But yeah, that's his call.
Speaker 1: I do think that Diggs is freelancing last year caused
Speaker 1: some of their spacing issues, and they kind of got
Speaker 1: away from that in this game. Like it was more
Speaker 1: clear to find about where the ball needs to go,
Speaker 1: get it to the open man, spread it around, and
Speaker 1: just kind of, you know, pick your spots and choose
Speaker 1: where you can go with the football rather than trying
Speaker 1: to force it one hundred and fifty times into the
Speaker 1: same guy. But structurally, I just, you know what, Quite frankly,
Speaker 1: the only thing I like about this offense is kind
Speaker 1: of Josh Allen. I like the tight ends. I like
Speaker 1: the running back, but structurally and the skill group outside,
Speaker 1: I just don't love it. Man. There's not a clear
Speaker 1: understanding or commitment to like clear outs versus the actual
Speaker 1: in progression routes. The way this offense asks Josh to
Speaker 1: read out the middle of the field and play from
Speaker 1: off base throws and out of timing and rhythm is
Speaker 1: exactly why they had those long goals last year. And
Speaker 1: quite frankly, in the first game, they scored a touchdown
Speaker 1: early on in the game, but they went several drives
Speaker 1: without moving the football all that much. And it was
Speaker 1: a continuation of what you saw last year. That's why
Speaker 1: they were down by fourteen points early in this game.
Speaker 1: I don't think it matches with his skill set, and
Speaker 1: I'm quite frankly kind of blown away that he was
Speaker 1: kept in that position and they didn't go after someone
Speaker 1: that had more of a mind for what Josh excels at. Anyway,
Speaker 1: there was that massive shift when they went from Dorsey
Speaker 1: to Brady. You know, they run this RPO middle of
Speaker 1: the field concept and it wants him to play more
Speaker 1: instructure on that first read. I thought that where they
Speaker 1: got in trouble last year when they did was compressing
Speaker 1: things a little bit too much with routes that wound
Speaker 1: up too close together, and that's kind of the design
Speaker 1: of the offense. I think some of that was, you know,
Speaker 1: Dig kind of doing his own thing and freelancing, but
Speaker 1: also this conceptual belief of utilizing all five patterns as
Speaker 1: options opposed to having more clearouts and more front side
Speaker 1: tied to backside timing to give Josh the processing he needs,
Speaker 1: one should tell you about the next route and the progression.
Speaker 1: Don't get me wrong, they definitely run clear outs like dagger.
Speaker 1: Your concepts like Dagger who doesn't. But I think that
Speaker 1: was the major shift, and it took them a little
Speaker 1: bit time of time to adapt to that new system.
Speaker 1: Now they've had a full off season and one game
Speaker 1: of time together to adapt and it was it was good.
Speaker 1: I mean a lot of the offense was basically just
Speaker 1: Josh Allen playmaking. And it's why it's why I like
Speaker 1: our matchup between the numbers with the addition of Jordan
Speaker 1: Brooks and Jordan Poyer and Marcus May to add to
Speaker 1: what we had last year, not to mention the two
Speaker 1: interior guys that can help you kind of play light
Speaker 1: because of their ability to to gap in both Zach
Speaker 1: and Kalais and to also get Josh to the ground
Speaker 1: when they get a hold of him, opposed to him
Speaker 1: shaking off you know, sacks from smaller bodied rushers because
Speaker 1: this guy weighs two hundred and fifty five pounds. So
Speaker 1: how do you attack it? Going into it a bit there?
Speaker 1: But I want to play further off of that, I
Speaker 1: think you have to play static, and by that I
Speaker 1: mean just kind of react to what they're doing because
Speaker 1: that quick game, you know your rush does you know
Speaker 1: good Alan pulls the ball back and fires it in
Speaker 1: behind you. But also if you rush and he tucks it,
Speaker 1: then you're chasing him on the back foot. But if
Speaker 1: you mirror and maybe even utilize a spy, then you
Speaker 1: can get a little bit more ability to match him,
Speaker 1: opposed to showing him your move like he adjust and
Speaker 1: if he beats you, you're out of the play. We
Speaker 1: can't have that. And the reason I think the receiving
Speaker 1: Corps desperately needs a vertical threat, and maybe that does
Speaker 1: become Curtis Samuel, is that I think you can commit
Speaker 1: another hat into the box and contend with that. I'd
Speaker 1: be happy to do that. I'm kind of happy to
Speaker 1: let Josh try to throw these vertical shots to Keon
Speaker 1: Coleman and Mac Collins and even Curtis Samuel Khalil Shakurz
Speaker 1: the one guy I worry about. But if he wants
Speaker 1: to take deep shots to the other guys, I'm happy
Speaker 1: to play fifty to fifty ball and go rebound. Basketball's
Speaker 1: all dicks. I don't think that skill group is just
Speaker 1: going to be able to do it. So does that
Speaker 1: look like a lot of cover one challenging them to
Speaker 1: connect deep mug the a gaps and keep a spy
Speaker 1: or rusher to contain Alan. Maybe maybe if they hit one,
Speaker 1: maybe you get out of it. But I think they
Speaker 1: have to prove they can hit that deep shot. It's
Speaker 1: not that far off the twenty one Ravens game. Like
Speaker 1: I talked about, Lamar Jackson missed that first deep shot
Speaker 1: in that game and they could never find the answer
Speaker 1: over the top to that play. So they also have
Speaker 1: a new center who's working with new working with Josh
Speaker 1: Allen this year. Connor McGovern kicked inside. They're on a
Speaker 1: short week, it's a different scheme. I have no doubt
Speaker 1: we can get Alan off the top of his drop
Speaker 1: without options, but how do we play from there? That's
Speaker 1: where it'll be one on this side of the football.
Speaker 1: Before our first break, Let's go ahead and dive into
Speaker 1: the big three versus the Bills offense number one. You've
Speaker 1: heard me talk about it for twelve minutes. Now, don't
Speaker 1: let Superman don his cape. Everything is centered around the quarterback,
Speaker 1: even last year with Diggs, not a ton of separation
Speaker 1: of the passing game or offensive creativity. It just doesn't
Speaker 1: stress or conflict you the way Jacksonville did. For instance,
Speaker 1: I thought Jacksonville had a lot of cool route concepts
Speaker 1: where they would stress like Jordan Poyer as the backside
Speaker 1: safety and run a seam to his right and run
Speaker 1: a takeoff to his left and he has to make
Speaker 1: a decision and the underneath cornerback's out there to help out.
Speaker 1: Not tons of layups or well defined throws in this offense.
Speaker 1: Their big plays come from Josh Allen creating with both
Speaker 1: his arm and his legs, and if he's off with
Speaker 1: the accuracy, then they can go into these massive roles
Speaker 1: for a quarter sometimes a full half. I mean we
Speaker 1: saw it in Week eighteen last year, and that's where
Speaker 1: you have to, you know, put up points offensively and
Speaker 1: get them behind the chains, get them behind the scoreboard.
Speaker 1: If he's on, you just have to try to outscore him,
Speaker 1: which is kind of the nature of the Beast against
Speaker 1: these top quarterbacks in the league. So how do you
Speaker 1: force him into the off night? I think it starts
Speaker 1: with how you generate pressure and force him out a
Speaker 1: rhythm of that one hitch timing. You know, we covered
Speaker 1: his blitzes. I went back and looked at his blitz
Speaker 1: splits in good games and bad games, and there wasn't
Speaker 1: really a clear outlier. It was inconsistent across game plans.
Speaker 1: I think if you squeeze the middle of the field
Speaker 1: and see he has a deep threat he can rely
Speaker 1: upon because that used to be Digs. But again I
Speaker 1: don't know who that is. I don't know who it
Speaker 1: can be this year. As for the pressure ability, I
Speaker 1: don't think you concern yourself all that much with trying
Speaker 1: to confuse Deon Dawkins. He's seen everything and he is
Speaker 1: one of the best players in the league. He can
Speaker 1: squeeze to widen and help pick up outside delays and
Speaker 1: cornerback blitzes. And I thought our delayed blitz game on
Speaker 1: Sunday was kind of what got us in trouble early
Speaker 1: on in the game. I would, however, test that new
Speaker 1: center in Connor McGovern. He was a guard last year.
Speaker 1: Mitch Morris is a big piece inside. We saw him
Speaker 1: on Sunday with the Jags, and I think these mugged
Speaker 1: up a gap pressure looks we have can cause that
Speaker 1: confusion and do it. See what he can do and
Speaker 1: what he can handle and force Josh and those quick throws.
Speaker 1: That's the perfect way to get this quarterback out of
Speaker 1: his game. He does not want to catch rock and throw.
Speaker 1: He wants to scan, run around, create and make the
Speaker 1: big play after the fact. So you know, with how
Speaker 1: some of our guys get off the snap, whether it's
Speaker 1: chop or if Mo Kamara plays or email, then I
Speaker 1: think that with how we've seen the ability to condense,
Speaker 1: you know, phillips or chop inside, with how we've seen
Speaker 1: this team blitz their defensive backs in the preseason, and
Speaker 1: I guess one game in I feel like your best
Speaker 1: bet is to do it from the front side and
Speaker 1: force Alan to flee towards his left, his best protector,
Speaker 1: and in a position where he his creating, he takes
Speaker 1: him to throws back across his body. Now he can
Speaker 1: hit those, but I'd rather have that than him moving
Speaker 1: to his right right. And it also puts that left
Speaker 1: hand front facing in some trouble if he gets hit there.
Speaker 1: This is going to be a theme this year. But
Speaker 1: I think the addition of Jordan Brooks is such a
Speaker 1: force multiplier in the middle for his ability to blitz
Speaker 1: and play coverage. And then you've got all these safeties
Speaker 1: who I think might be a major key here, and
Speaker 1: I'm thinking specifically of Ployer in May. And it's got
Speaker 1: to be better on Thursday than it was on Sunday.
Speaker 1: But they're both just so good at bridging that area
Speaker 1: between a second and third level, and I think from
Speaker 1: there they can disrupt the middle of the field passing
Speaker 1: lanes off those RPO pops and also provide some type
Speaker 1: of spy work from depth on Josh Allen in the
Speaker 1: running game. This is why I would call a ton
Speaker 1: of cover one and just dare them to throw deep
Speaker 1: and if it's not there, then you've got Josh Allen
Speaker 1: trying to create against a fast defense with good middle
Speaker 1: of the field defenders, perhaps you can flag him down
Speaker 1: from there. It is so so integral integral that you
Speaker 1: have good rush land integrity against this guy. We saw
Speaker 1: the Chiefs in that Thursday open essentially mere Lamar Jackson
Speaker 1: like rush up field and the minute he gets off
Speaker 1: that hitch, then you step up and redirect back inside
Speaker 1: with him. We have to have that mindset. I think
Speaker 1: if they try to play rhythm one hitch passing game
Speaker 1: all night, we'll do just fine. But if he gets
Speaker 1: off the spot, that's where the game hangs in the balance.
Speaker 1: I would load up David Edwards, Connor McGovern and Osiris
Speaker 1: torrents inside with games and green dogs and just leave
Speaker 1: their tackles one on one because beating them just gets
Speaker 1: Allen in a creative spot anyways. Or you send that
Speaker 1: blitz from the slot off the blind side, get your
Speaker 1: pressure off the right organically and force him to peel
Speaker 1: back into that run blitz. You know, save this for
Speaker 1: a big moment in the game, maybe after he hasn't
Speaker 1: seen it for twenty year, so snatch. But you have
Speaker 1: lots of options to try to create confusion on this
Speaker 1: Bill's offense, and I think going after the interior offensive
Speaker 1: line is the best way to do it. Let's go
Speaker 1: ahead and take our first break right there, come back
Speaker 1: on the other side and do points two and three
Speaker 1: on the offense. We'll get to the Bill's defense. That's
Speaker 1: all Next Draft Time podcast your host Travis Wingfield, brought
Speaker 1: to you by Auto Nation, previewing Dolphins and Bills in
Speaker 1: a massive matchup at hard Rock Stadium. We've done the intro,
Speaker 1: the scheme on offense, and one thing to take a
Speaker 1: look at on the Bills offense, of course, it's Josh Allen.
Speaker 1: My second of the three big things is to commit
Speaker 1: to stopping James Cook. Both in the run game and
Speaker 1: pass game. Again. Kind of went on this already, but
Speaker 1: I think this is done by adding an additional hat
Speaker 1: into the fit. But also be completely aware of Cook
Speaker 1: as a pass catcher, because they love to sneak him
Speaker 1: out up the perimeter and pick a backer to try
Speaker 1: to get over the top. And so if you do,
Speaker 1: you go into if you get in demand free, that's
Speaker 1: a tough route to cover from there, and with Josh's
Speaker 1: running ability, man, that's always a dangerous proposition. So I
Speaker 1: feel like you play more zone against these guys for
Speaker 1: those two reasons. You also want to mix it up well,
Speaker 1: I don't know, because then you can't, but some those
Speaker 1: you can do fire zones. But this is a tough matchup. Man.
Speaker 1: I get confused by this every single year. You always
Speaker 1: want to mix it up. But I think you can
Speaker 1: get the run game sorted that way. Josh Allen scramble ability,
Speaker 1: those quick hits, by playing that extra hat in the fit,
Speaker 1: zoning things off, and really committing to rush lane integrity,
Speaker 1: all of that should allow you to control gaps in
Speaker 1: the running game, and man, that is so paramount here.
Speaker 1: If you start forcing second longs, if you take away
Speaker 1: the run game. You make all the things we've already
Speaker 1: touched down so much harder for them. That's where I
Speaker 1: like David Long to be a mesh point disruptor, Jordan
Speaker 1: Brooks to be a spot drop middle of the field
Speaker 1: expander in this defense, and both of them on blitzes
Speaker 1: to show the Bills those A and B gaps are
Speaker 1: not open with the run or escape patches for the quarterback.
Speaker 1: And if we win our rushes off the perimeter, there's
Speaker 1: also no escape patches in that way either. It's crazy
Speaker 1: how intertwined I think this plan has to be to
Speaker 1: stop these guys. If we can play lighter, which calls
Speaker 1: upon Zach and Kalais to do the job of two
Speaker 1: gapping not getting washed against a new look interior offensive
Speaker 1: line like kind of happened to Zach a few times
Speaker 1: in the game on Sunday, then I like our chances
Speaker 1: to get all of this accomplished. A lot of my keys. Really.
Speaker 1: Number three is the tight end centric offense of this
Speaker 1: Buffalo Bills team I talked about in the open. They
Speaker 1: increase their twelve personnel packages by twenty percent already in
Speaker 1: game number one. I think their best options are the
Speaker 1: back and then the two tight ends with Cook, with
Speaker 1: Knox and with King Kid. Though I do think that
Speaker 1: Shakira is right there. They have four good options among
Speaker 1: their eligibles. For my money, those are my top four priorities.
Speaker 1: But their ability to get heavier personnel and operate from
Speaker 1: these condensed formations and add gaps in the running game
Speaker 1: because of you know, that is what makes us offense
Speaker 1: so challenging, especially when operated by a cyborg quarterback. That's
Speaker 1: what you're going to get. But Knox and King Kaid
Speaker 1: are one of the more unique tight end tandems in
Speaker 1: the national football I don't think either of them are
Speaker 1: plus run blockers, but I think there are plenty good
Speaker 1: enough when you consider their receiving skill sets. King Kid
Speaker 1: can really stretch you in the middle of the field. Man.
Speaker 1: That's why I like you know one and three variations
Speaker 1: in coverage as the best option trying to limit those
Speaker 1: guys by capping them with trail defenders. I keep coming
Speaker 1: back to the same players in this game down the middle,
Speaker 1: with Holland factoring into the fit as well. But I
Speaker 1: also think that Jalen Ramsey as a possible tight end
Speaker 1: eraser isn't a crazy idea by any stretch. We saw
Speaker 1: him do it last year on Kelsey in the Chiefs game,
Speaker 1: and I think you can solve some of your issues
Speaker 1: created from their those balanced twelve personnel looks where you
Speaker 1: have a tie down on either side of either tackle
Speaker 1: that creates two more gaps in the running game by
Speaker 1: doing some of that with Jalen Ramsey. Ultimately, I just
Speaker 1: like our ability to have options, because options means you
Speaker 1: can mix it up, and the best way to get
Speaker 1: a quarterback playing out of rhythm and off time is
Speaker 1: to have options and mix it up. Additional parts on
Speaker 1: their offense, I mentioned Dion Dawkins Spencer Brown got a
Speaker 1: contract extension to really good pair of bookends. They're off tackle.
Speaker 1: We didn't mention JP and Agbach, Chop or Bell or
Speaker 1: Kamara for that matter, but I do think those guys'
Speaker 1: ability to move around and create matchups inside and force
Speaker 1: pressure in there is a critical part of the game. Now,
Speaker 1: if we do that, we have to be concerned with
Speaker 1: Curtis Samuel on jet sweeps off of the run and
Speaker 1: counteraction from James Cook. Fun fun matchup here. Let's go
Speaker 1: ahead and pivot quickly into the Bills defense and their scheme.
Speaker 1: We've known for a long time how this goes right.
Speaker 1: Almost never leave their nickel defense. They want to play
Speaker 1: variations of zone and try to disrupt early and run
Speaker 1: into capped looks to remove the vertical game from your offense.
Speaker 1: They do give you some chances to run verticals to
Speaker 1: the boundary. I saw Christian Benford defending Marvin Harrison Junior
Speaker 1: on those, but Harrison looked like slow as hell man,
Speaker 1: like he couldn't move in that game, and that was
Speaker 1: an easy cover for Benford. It invites the run a lot,
Speaker 1: but it has you know, a terrific interior defensive line
Speaker 1: play between Oliver and Daikwon Jones. There's no Matt Malonaldore anymore.
Speaker 1: But it's the same look. Even when Taron Johnson exited
Speaker 1: the game, they went with Cam Lewis in that spot
Speaker 1: and he did the exact same things that Taron Johnson did,
Speaker 1: so they're not going to change. Last year, they were
Speaker 1: eighty five percent Nickel on first and second downs. Nickel
Speaker 1: and Dimon even split on third downs. That's what they run.
Speaker 1: They run nickel and dime and nothing else. There was
Speaker 1: no down in which they played a four to three
Speaker 1: more than three percent of the time. They just don't
Speaker 1: do it. It's nickel and dime defense. Too high on sixty percent,
Speaker 1: single high on thirty six percent, and they'll zero you
Speaker 1: up four percent of the time. I doubt they do
Speaker 1: that against the Miami Dolphins and these receivers that we
Speaker 1: have so expect too high expect middle of the field access.
Speaker 1: That's going to be I think a key for the
Speaker 1: Dolphins to find those soft spots in the zones. And
Speaker 1: I really think with the Miami's ability to run all
Speaker 1: that motion, all that backfield action, all the eye candy
Speaker 1: and false keys, I think with the change in players
Speaker 1: in that part of the field with Cam Lewis, with
Speaker 1: the potential of running out there, you know, a cornerback
Speaker 1: converted to a safety and those dime looks and you
Speaker 1: know backup linebacker play behind Matt Milano, I think you
Speaker 1: can create some space and create some you know, false
Speaker 1: steps and open hook zone shots from Tua. With all
Speaker 1: that this offense does so well now they do a
Speaker 1: marvelous job of mixing their coverages. They have a terrific
Speaker 1: spread last year against Cover two, three, four all around
Speaker 1: twenty percent, then a small drop off to Cover one
Speaker 1: and cover six fifteen percent of each. They have the
Speaker 1: occasional two man or zero rep. They mix it up
Speaker 1: very well. Sean McDermott has been doing this for a
Speaker 1: long time. He has a deep roll decks of plays
Speaker 1: that he can go to. Now through one game, it's
Speaker 1: more of the same. Forty eight of their sixty plays
Speaker 1: where in nickel, the other twelve are in dime and
Speaker 1: ten of those dime PA plays were on third down,
Speaker 1: one on fourth down, So it's nickel on first and
Speaker 1: second down, dime on third down unless you're third and short,
Speaker 1: mostly from off positions. So can you run the screen game?
Speaker 1: We saw Miami go quick game all game long. I
Speaker 1: imagine that they're going to do that early to try
Speaker 1: to tire out that Bill's offensive defensive line in this
Speaker 1: weather on a short week. I would be very surprised
Speaker 1: if we don't see a lot more screen action to
Speaker 1: just kind of get things going and get the offense
Speaker 1: ahead of schedule. Hopefully, maybe you pop one, maybe you
Speaker 1: get that backside safety cutoff, and this time eight Chan
Speaker 1: scores the long touchdown provided he plays in the game,
Speaker 1: but force him to come up and tackle you know,
Speaker 1: John Umlik. Eight Chan right, if those guys go throw
Speaker 1: it away from the help side, away from Tyreek and
Speaker 1: waddle like, you have options to do that, right. I
Speaker 1: do think our personnel is much better equipped to go
Speaker 1: get them this year when we're healthy. But you know,
Speaker 1: we had some drops in that game. We had some
Speaker 1: indability to separate in critical matchups. In that Week eighteen
Speaker 1: game a year ago. We did run the ball, but
Speaker 1: we got away from it as well. And we'll we'll
Speaker 1: talk plenty of h chen here, but you know, I
Speaker 1: think this f position the Dolphins went after this offseason
Speaker 1: with both alec Ingolds in corporation and John OUI Smith's
Speaker 1: in corporation and running some Tanner Connor in the game
Speaker 1: on Sunday for three snaps was also intriguing to me
Speaker 1: that it was a message to the Buffalo Bills, like,
Speaker 1: you want to play your too high structure with press,
Speaker 1: bump and run or off coverage on those on those
Speaker 1: positions as well, and you want to do it with
Speaker 1: light boxes and a slot cornerback in the game is
Speaker 1: basically a will linebacker. Well, here comes alec Ingold Downhill,
Speaker 1: here comes John Us Smith, Here comes Julian Hill in
Speaker 1: the running game, who also gives us, you know, some
Speaker 1: pass game options. I would not even touch eleven personnel
Speaker 1: a single time in this game. Stay heavy, stay big.
Speaker 1: They're always They're also going to try and rob our
Speaker 1: crossers or show you know, middle of the field open
Speaker 1: with too high structure. If they fall into that, run
Speaker 1: those seams, run those posts, run those you know Week three,
Speaker 1: twenty two, twenty two shots Jalen waddle down the middle
Speaker 1: of the field. If they fall off and play those
Speaker 1: crossers that cover six, cover three variations. That creates gaps
Speaker 1: in the intermediate width part of the field, the sideline
Speaker 1: part of the field, the outside part of the field.
Speaker 1: Then we just throw deep corners and wheels, maybe even
Speaker 1: a you know, off of mesh spot where you run
Speaker 1: a couple of meshes inside spot route behind that wheel
Speaker 1: to the running back. We saw the Dolphins hit that
Speaker 1: the corner route to Jaalen Wattle for the first down
Speaker 1: on the opening or the first touchdown drive of the game.
Speaker 1: The deep crossers the two big plays. If they run
Speaker 1: six and three, that's going to be open for you.
Speaker 1: I think Miami has some options here. They also love
Speaker 1: to come up and challenge and play man free on
Speaker 1: third and medium in short that could be shot playtime.
Speaker 1: Think about the Jets game last year. You had two
Speaker 1: third and shorts against Sauce and DJ Reid. You took it,
Speaker 1: you got vertical, and you hit big balls to both
Speaker 1: Tyreek Hill and Jelen Wattle. So I just feel like, God,
Speaker 1: I'm talking myself into it again. Man. I think the
Speaker 1: way the Dolphins match up against this defense that just
Speaker 1: does not have the freaking bullets anymore, I like our
Speaker 1: chances that way. How do you attack it? I think
Speaker 1: you start with the running game. By nature of their
Speaker 1: pre snap presentation, you get a size advantage and sometimes
Speaker 1: a that's advantage when you do that. We saw it
Speaker 1: back in that twenty twenty two game up there. We
Speaker 1: saw it in the first half of the finale last year.
Speaker 1: We saw it in the first quarter of the Week
Speaker 1: four game last year. I actually think you can play
Speaker 1: it a lot like the Week eighteen game last year
Speaker 1: on third downs that you face where maybe you don't
Speaker 1: have early down success because well, one we'll have Waddle
Speaker 1: this time, and two John who was here and hopefully
Speaker 1: better than Week one and three. I think eight chan
Speaker 1: is obviously a more versed option in the passing game
Speaker 1: and as a runner two. But I think you have
Speaker 1: to make them come down and play the run game.
Speaker 1: I think you motioned the crap out of them, and
Speaker 1: nobody runs more motion than we do. Get Tua as
Speaker 1: much pre snap information as he can gather, and I
Speaker 1: wonder how well they'll be able to disguise against us
Speaker 1: with all those new parts, with losing critical elements of
Speaker 1: that defense in Johnson and Milano. That was such a
Speaker 1: strength of their unit, with all the stability they had
Speaker 1: back there. So run out some of those two man concepts,
Speaker 1: be it switches, be it vertical crossers, be it dagger,
Speaker 1: whatever it is. See how connected those stafeties are going
Speaker 1: to play with those corners. Let's go ahead and jump
Speaker 1: into the top three here against the Buffalo defense, starting
Speaker 1: with number one. Run them out of light boxes and
Speaker 1: nickel and dime looks. I mean, we've talked about it. Man,
Speaker 1: if they're going to run cam Lewis out there as
Speaker 1: this quasi linebacker, you have to go get him in
Speaker 1: the running game. You mean, if he's in the fit
Speaker 1: and you can create that option and then have overplay
Speaker 1: off of that where he kind of cheats downhill and
Speaker 1: you pop in passes behind him to John us Smith
Speaker 1: or Tann O'Connor. You just have to take advantage of
Speaker 1: cam Lewis. You have to go after that guy. Having
Speaker 1: Reagan Waddle demands that you play, you know, a split
Speaker 1: of three, and that creates room underneath. If they put
Speaker 1: that three high safety look, it creates room underneath for
Speaker 1: Devon and Johnny as well. Hell, we saw Devon damn
Speaker 1: near catch a vertical route in a role that I
Speaker 1: imagine that you know, Jalen Wattle takes back over in
Speaker 1: this game that he wasn't there for in the Week
Speaker 1: eighteen game last year, and that's going to create inside
Speaker 1: routes for again Devon against their linebackers and safeties that
Speaker 1: are getting run off. I think this is a massive
Speaker 1: eight chan game, provided we get a look at him
Speaker 1: after not really practicing all week. I always go back
Speaker 1: to that twenty twenty two game when up in December,
Speaker 1: when we ran really with Alec Ingle leading the way
Speaker 1: at will all night long and moster had like we
Speaker 1: think we had like almost two hundred rushing yards, and
Speaker 1: that was before we had Julian Hill and John new Smith,
Speaker 1: who I think expanded your passing game options with that
Speaker 1: new battery down the middle of the field with DeMar Hamlin,
Speaker 1: Taylor Rapp, Torel Bernard over hide Poyer in Milano. It's
Speaker 1: a new defense there. And if they if they congest
Speaker 1: that area of the field, if they flash robbers down
Speaker 1: the middle, you know what we have that we didn't
Speaker 1: have week eighteen Bothreak and Waddle, and Waddle was coming
Speaker 1: back from an injury in the Week four game. So
Speaker 1: the last time we had those guys, we scored twenty
Speaker 1: eight up there and had the fourth quarter lead that
Speaker 1: we just couldn't quite finish. And that's where I think
Speaker 1: their losses in the middle are additions from a chan
Speaker 1: Wright Smith and Jeweling all those guys. That's why I
Speaker 1: think this is a critical area of the field to win,
Speaker 1: really on both sides of the football. We also saw
Speaker 1: them try to vacate safety help in that game against
Speaker 1: Reek and he won a press swift from Tradevius White
Speaker 1: from a long touchdown pass from Tua in that game.
Speaker 1: We also had that deep cross concept in that game
Speaker 1: that produced a sixty five yard touchdown to wa I
Speaker 1: think we're best equipped to get back to get back
Speaker 1: to that in this game. Then we've been since that
Speaker 1: game in twenty twenty two, and that bleeds into our
Speaker 1: next point, which you're gonna go ahead and take a
Speaker 1: break and come back and do things two and three.
Speaker 1: We'll do the range of outcomes, what's at stake, all
Speaker 1: of that, and a heck of a lot more here
Speaker 1: on the Draft Time podcast, your host Travis Wingfield, brought
Speaker 1: to you by Auto Nation. We've covered the one thing
Speaker 1: for the Dolphins offense to accomplish in this game. Let's
Speaker 1: get to things two and three rate here. Number two
Speaker 1: is taking shots against bump man free. They don't play
Speaker 1: a ton of man. They don't play a ton of bump,
Speaker 1: but when they do, I drink dosukis. They do it
Speaker 1: almost always in third and short medium. They want you
Speaker 1: to they want to threaten. They want you to threaten
Speaker 1: them deep. They want to drive downhill on those plays
Speaker 1: and basically say you're not gonna run vertical, You're gonna
Speaker 1: break this stem off, I'm gonna squat and drive. It's
Speaker 1: a lot like how the Jets playoffs with Sauce and reed,
Speaker 1: and if we hit on top of those guys, we
Speaker 1: can do it against these guys. I think on a
Speaker 1: hot September night. Maybe the conditioning on a short week
Speaker 1: in the humidity, you might be able to spring one
Speaker 1: and that can change a football game. We saw it
Speaker 1: on Sunday, and if you get it once, especially early,
Speaker 1: it changes the way they defend you. Also, now I
Speaker 1: think Rasull Douglas is one of the best cornerbacks in
Speaker 1: the league. I thought Tarren Johnson was as well, but
Speaker 1: he is going to be out of this game. And
Speaker 1: I really like Christian Benford too. But you also have
Speaker 1: Freak and Waddle right, and you go into every game
Speaker 1: feeling comfortable about those guys' ability to beat anybody, and
Speaker 1: they can win no matter who lines up across from them. Shoot,
Speaker 1: we've seen them consistently get on top of those two
Speaker 1: cornerbacks of the Jets. I just think if you have
Speaker 1: third and three from your own thirty two and they
Speaker 1: roll coverage up tight and they don't have safety help
Speaker 1: on Waddle or Hill, that's daring you to hit a
Speaker 1: seventy yard touchdown. Utilize the most precise downfield passing game
Speaker 1: in the league. To say you want to press without
Speaker 1: help on those guys. Bet if you're wrong, it's a
Speaker 1: sixty eight yard touchdown. Because last year we saw them
Speaker 1: squat and drive and get those breakups, and it gets
Speaker 1: us off the field and gets the ball back in
Speaker 1: Josh Allen's hand. If they play it that way, I
Speaker 1: am more than happy to let Tua go after and
Speaker 1: go down swinging. I'd go down trying to hit deep
Speaker 1: shots against single coverage against Rereacan Waddle, then trying to
Speaker 1: force you know, tight window throws to Bracks and Burrios,
Speaker 1: but getting around that physical coverage and the bumping of
Speaker 1: Douglas Benford and all the guys. I keep saying Taron Johnson,
Speaker 1: but he's not there. That's why the run game, the motion,
Speaker 1: the misdirection are big keys here, and Number three is
Speaker 1: always having a plan for at Oliver and Dake one Jones.
Speaker 1: I think the you know, Douglas Johnson combo was the
Speaker 1: strength of this defense, and this is the one b
Speaker 1: to that strength. I love the way both Tistaid and
Speaker 1: Austin can handle their business off the edge in one
Speaker 1: on one situations. I'm very glad that Leonard of Floyd
Speaker 1: is gone because he was one of the best on
Speaker 1: that team. But if you can consistently erase their new
Speaker 1: best in Greg Russeau with one of those two tackles,
Speaker 1: everything else becomes a lot more simple, more black and white.
Speaker 1: And another reason I love the option to run from
Speaker 1: two wide receiver sets, be it an extra tight end
Speaker 1: or a back or an F then you can call
Speaker 1: for more six man protections and just keep your back
Speaker 1: in for protection more. And you can do that, and
Speaker 1: you can do what this offense is best at in
Speaker 1: creating backfield action, misdirection and play action to get those
Speaker 1: guys moving sideways, especially with our outside running game. And
Speaker 1: that's why I think Raheem, Devon, Hefe Jalen are all
Speaker 1: big parts of this game, all three, all four of
Speaker 1: them really, if you can stay in that package and
Speaker 1: just stretch these dudes and make them exhausted by third
Speaker 1: down rushdowns because of the weather, the quick turnaround and
Speaker 1: the fact that we have are three or four deep
Speaker 1: with Jeff Wilson there at this position, you know to
Speaker 1: consistently make these guys run wind sprints to the perimeter,
Speaker 1: which only serves to magnify those things we talked about before.
Speaker 1: In the middle of the field passing game. It's all
Speaker 1: there for you. And if you keep it in third
Speaker 1: and manageable, they never get to pin their ears back,
Speaker 1: but they will get a couple of those chances unless
Speaker 1: you play a rare perfect game. And that's where I
Speaker 1: like sneaking your tailback up into the A gap and
Speaker 1: slide to help with one on one, bringing split flow
Speaker 1: wham action in there with the aforementioned tight ends and
Speaker 1: f like, you have different ways you can attack this.
Speaker 1: It's why I'm so damn bullsh on the Dolphins this year.
Speaker 1: They just have so many options, especially when they get
Speaker 1: guys back additional parts on defense. Didn't mention von Miller,
Speaker 1: but he's just not really It just hasn't really been
Speaker 1: a big part of this team. What's at stake? I
Speaker 1: mean the AFC East right, to me, it's really about
Speaker 1: providing a chance to go sweep the Buffalo built. I
Speaker 1: think if either team gets a sweep in this series,
Speaker 1: it's going to be a rap on the division the
Speaker 1: way it was last year. For the sweeping team to
Speaker 1: get two wins against two good teams in five days,
Speaker 1: then he have extra time for that long trip out
Speaker 1: west against a Seahawks team that I think is going
Speaker 1: to struggle to get off to a hot start this year,
Speaker 1: and then Titans and Patriots, Like, man, you win this game.
Speaker 1: You are in a great position to go into your
Speaker 1: bye week at five and zero like that is. This
Speaker 1: is such a big game. We gotta get this one.
Speaker 1: We just got to get this one. My keys to
Speaker 1: victory Number one, stay in your two back and two
Speaker 1: tight formations and create and exploit matchups with your diverse
Speaker 1: offensive groupings. The key is the key. Just do that.
Speaker 1: Go buck wild with your f usage, get them out there,
Speaker 1: get two of them out there together, force him to
Speaker 1: adapt and play light. And I love the way we
Speaker 1: can attack them with our vertical shots with max pro
Speaker 1: against I think is a bad safety crop. Gosh. I
Speaker 1: like our matchups in this game a whole lot. Number two.
Speaker 1: Win defensive matchups down the middle Zach and Kalaya's first
Speaker 1: their interior line, Brooks and Long versus Cook, Hall and
Speaker 1: Poyer May versus Josh Allen, Knox and King Kate. Gotta
Speaker 1: win those matchups. Number three. Commit to your outside running game,
Speaker 1: even if it's not breaking the big one. I promise you.
Speaker 1: The last thing three hundred and ten pounds defensive tackles
Speaker 1: want to do is run all night to the perimeter.
Speaker 1: In miserable September, Miami weather, the range of outcomes for
Speaker 1: this game. I don't think this game has any blow
Speaker 1: up potential. To be honest with you guys, I think
Speaker 1: either side a ten point win. Another direction is like
Speaker 1: the max here. I love the way we match up,
Speaker 1: but history and Josh Allen have humbled me in that thought.
Speaker 1: I think we can shorten the game and get after
Speaker 1: them with the run game and have more outlets than
Speaker 1: we did back in week eighteen, hopefully hopefully with eight
Speaker 1: chans involvement in that way, if he can play in
Speaker 1: the game, that could leave three way goes inside. And
Speaker 1: it was you know Braxton andt Cedric. Now it's John
Speaker 1: wu Now it's the Penguin. Now it's cheated because of
Speaker 1: our ability to be flexible in twenty one, twelve and
Speaker 1: twenty two personnel packages and they're very bad safety tandement opinion.
Speaker 1: I think we win. I think being at home on
Speaker 1: a short week is a massive advantage, especially them having
Speaker 1: to do it and whether like this, I don't care
Speaker 1: if it's nighttime now, if we fail to run the ball,
Speaker 1: if we don't exhibit rush Land integrity, then I can
Speaker 1: see them getting a thirty one to twenty one win
Speaker 1: over US. I don't think it happens, but it is
Speaker 1: a possibility. I think this game is closed in the
Speaker 1: fourth quarter, and I think there are better depth and
Speaker 1: conditioning for the environment and hardened callust developed mindset from
Speaker 1: last year, the last two years really allow us to
Speaker 1: get over the hump and beat them in the fourth quarter.
Speaker 1: Dolphins twenty seven, Bill's twenty three. That's it, that's my time.
Speaker 1: We're coming back tomorrow with Sal Capaccio from the Bill's
Speaker 1: sideline reporter. He's a sidelineport for the Buffalo Bills. We'll
Speaker 1: also do the game picks and get to some questions
Speaker 1: and answers from coach and players and break those things
Speaker 1: all down. That's tomorrow. In the meantime, you will please
Speaker 1: be sure to subscribe to the podcast. Leave us at
Speaker 1: ready to leave us a review. You can follow me
Speaker 1: on social at Wingfield NFL, follow the team at Miami Dolphins.
Speaker 1: Check out the fish Tank podcast with my guys Seth
Speaker 1: and Juice. Check out the YouTube channel. New edition of
Speaker 1: Dolphins HQ is live for you all right now. We
Speaker 1: had a short episode this week on the short week,
Speaker 1: but I got in some film breakdowns. If you were
Speaker 1: fans of the Lockdown Dolphins Podcast when I was in
Speaker 1: the big chair and doing the the video breakdowns on Twitter.
Speaker 1: You will definitely want to check this out and last,
Speaker 1: but not least, Miami Dolphins dot com. Until next time,
Speaker 1: Finns up, Carolyn and Cameron Daddy's Coming Home.