Speaker 1: Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly, a production of iHeartRadio. Time
Speaker 1: now for Fantasy Football Weekly from iHeartRadio, your weekly source
Speaker 1: for the nation's best fantasy.
Speaker 2: Speculation and advice.
Speaker 1: Now along with the guys.
Speaker 2: From Guillotine Leagues dot com.
Speaker 1: Here's your host, Paul Jargian. Welcome to a regular season
Speaker 1: edition of Fantasy Football Weekly. And it's week number one
Speaker 1: and we are ready to roll up our sleeves on
Speaker 1: the remaining games on the docket. I'm Paul Charchion, co
Speaker 1: host today Matt Harrison thorneistro. Yoh, hey, hey, hey, hello.
Speaker 1: The juices are flowing now as we've recorded. I think
Speaker 1: most people are gonna hear this after the Friday game. Yes,
Speaker 1: for us, we're recording shortly before the Friday game, so
Speaker 1: we're gonna cover all the Sunday action the Monday night game.
Speaker 1: We won't touch on the Friday one, but we have
Speaker 1: so much to get to.
Speaker 3: We already did the Friday preview in last week's episode
Speaker 3: by the right at the end.
Speaker 1: So great point.
Speaker 3: So we want to listen to our friend Matteo do
Speaker 3: the Friday Brazil game.
Speaker 1: Great, he's there, great point. Take a chance on me.
Speaker 1: Also coming up we get our first take a chance
Speaker 1: on me's of the year nine players not your normally
Speaker 1: in your starting lineup. We'll cover some of our favorite
Speaker 1: sleepers for the week. We'll answer three tough questions and
Speaker 1: will unveil the first premature speculation and Thor at this
Speaker 1: time last year, one year ago, the premature speculation that
Speaker 1: you gave out in week number one leading into the
Speaker 1: first weekend of games, who is your wide receiver? It was, yeah, baby,
Speaker 1: Now you could do this show for twenty more years.
Speaker 1: I will, and you're not gonna hit that any one
Speaker 1: better than that one.
Speaker 4: Yeah, we're going under the bar the rest of the time,
Speaker 4: but we're gonna do our best today.
Speaker 3: You know. By the way, I got to bring up
Speaker 3: some internal beef on the show. I claimed my premature
Speaker 3: speculation guy, Yeah, and Thor said no, he's my guy,
Speaker 3: because every rookie belongs to Thor from here on out,
Speaker 3: they're all his and if they ever were a rookie
Speaker 3: at any time in their career, it's Thorsky.
Speaker 4: Now, Matt Harrison's all over the Thor timeline, as you
Speaker 4: guys will see when you get to take a chance on.
Speaker 1: Me, all right, And I don't know who your guy
Speaker 1: is yet we'll find out. We'll unveil it at the
Speaker 1: end of the show or near the end of the show.
Speaker 1: I'll let you guess. But what year he's in. I
Speaker 1: know he's a rookie. Let's let's we have fourteen games
Speaker 1: to get that. We're gonna break them all down every
Speaker 1: meaningful player letter grades on the mall, ABC's or bench
Speaker 1: letter grades. We begin with the Arizona Cardinals at the
Speaker 1: Buffalo Bills Thoor. This one is yours, and it's the
Speaker 1: debut of Marvin Harrison.
Speaker 4: Sure is, and he's one of our two or three
Speaker 4: must starts in my opinion. On the Cardinals side, Kyler
Speaker 4: Murray I think is a mustar. Marvin Harrison Junior begins
Speaker 4: his career as a mus start, and of course Trey
Speaker 4: McBride also a must start.
Speaker 5: James Connor, I'm gonna give him a B for this matchup.
Speaker 4: Last year top eight and explosive run rate, misstackles, force
Speaker 4: per attempt, and yards after contact per attempt. He is
Speaker 4: going to hold off Trey Benson for just a little
Speaker 4: bit here, but certainly in this game. Bill's run defense
Speaker 4: was bottom seven in explosive run rate en yards after
Speaker 4: contact per attempt last year, So a decent matchup for
Speaker 4: James Connor. Michael Wilson going to give him a CEE.
Speaker 4: He was a top twenty four wide receiver three different
Speaker 4: games last year as a rookie, finished his wide receiver
Speaker 4: fifty seven in Fantasy points per game. Better situation for
Speaker 4: him this year as the third banana in an NFL
Speaker 4: passing game. That was his destiny all along, and that's
Speaker 4: what he's going to be and this is a decent
Speaker 4: matchup for him. He's going to match up mostly in
Speaker 4: this game with rossu Will Douglas and Christian Benford. And
Speaker 4: Christian Benford both those guys allowed higher than sixty six
Speaker 4: percent completions on targets last year. Moving over to the Bills,
Speaker 4: Josh Allen of course is a must start. Next to
Speaker 4: him in the backfield there, James Cook, he gets a
Speaker 4: name for this matchup average almost twenty touches and one
Speaker 4: hundred and four total yards per game. When Joe Brady
Speaker 4: took over his offensive coordinator from week eleven to eighteen
Speaker 4: last year, Arizona's run defense allowed the most rushing yards
Speaker 4: per game last season. Great matchup for James Cook Curtis Samuel.
Speaker 4: He is off the injury report from his turf toe.
Speaker 4: I'm going to give him a B for this matchup.
Speaker 4: He was wide receiver twenty seven and fantasy points per
Speaker 4: game in the one season that he played with Joe
Speaker 4: Brady previously. Samuel is a bit better against two high
Speaker 4: coverage than single high coverage Arizona the Cardinals defense. They
Speaker 4: played that at the second highest rate in the NFL
Speaker 4: last year, so this looks like a good situation for Samuel.
Speaker 5: In week one. Khalil Shakir, I'm going to give him
Speaker 5: a C.
Speaker 4: He finished it was about middle of the road last year,
Speaker 4: forty second out of eighty four qualifiers and fantasy points
Speaker 4: per game after Week six when he started to get
Speaker 4: more playing time.
Speaker 5: This is a solid matchup for him.
Speaker 4: The Cardinals allowed the ninth most PPR points per target
Speaker 4: to slot wide receivers last year. And then, of course,
Speaker 4: my boy, Dalton Kinkaid is a must start and is
Speaker 4: going to be a must start going forward.
Speaker 1: Now, when you say Mustard be as you said, Kyler Murray,
Speaker 1: Marvin Harrison must starts.
Speaker 5: Does that well?
Speaker 1: Letter grade? Does that mean for you?
Speaker 5: What is?
Speaker 1: Where is that? An eighty great, this is not your
Speaker 1: first time doing the show.
Speaker 3: Plus, so you go, so fantasy Fonsi's for all of
Speaker 3: those players, so a.
Speaker 1: Grades and Kyler Murray, Marvin Harrison, and Trey McBride. Sir,
Speaker 1: what I hear you saying? Yes, sir, all right, that's
Speaker 1: very strong first game Marvin Harrison. Wow, New England Patriots
Speaker 1: taking on the Cincinnati Bengals Patriots side. Not a lot
Speaker 1: to talk about except my guy Rimandra Stevenson primarily.
Speaker 3: Yeah, he's the only startable Patriot maybe for the foreseeable future,
Speaker 3: and I'm going to give him a bee this week.
Speaker 3: The Bengals run defense rode the struggle bus for the
Speaker 3: last month of the season last year, and they really
Speaker 3: did nothing to address that weakness in the offseason. Remember,
Speaker 3: ty Chandler went for one hundred and thirty two in
Speaker 3: a score, Najie Harris had seventy eight in a touch.
Speaker 3: Isaiah Pacheco had one hundred and sixty five total yards
Speaker 3: and a score, all in the last month. The common
Speaker 3: denominator at the time, each was pretty much the only
Speaker 3: back in their backfield, and the East had each had
Speaker 3: at least nineteen touches and if Stevenson doesn't get nineteen touches.
Speaker 3: What are we even doing here?
Speaker 1: It's a great point.
Speaker 3: Jacobe Brissett and the passing game all on the bench.
Speaker 3: The O line is bad. Kendrick Bourne is on the
Speaker 3: pup list. That leaves Damerio, Douglas kJ Osborne and the
Speaker 3: rookies Jalen Polk and Javon Baker. They'll probably all get
Speaker 3: exactly three targets in this game. Nobody's starting them anyway.
Speaker 3: Let's go to the Bengals side.
Speaker 1: Before you do. My only worry on On Stevenson is
Speaker 1: this is the game's got some blowout to it. Sure,
Speaker 1: it's got the highest it's got the it's the most
Speaker 1: lopsided Vegas line out of the week. And at some
Speaker 1: point is the running game rendered?
Speaker 3: You know, I went through all the NFL games and
Speaker 3: made a pick on every one of the games earlier
Speaker 3: today actually, and I have the Patriots going oh to seventeen. Wow, yeah,
Speaker 3: all right, they're so bad. They're so bad.
Speaker 1: Shot right here?
Speaker 3: Okay, So Ramandre might be game scripted out of every
Speaker 3: single game possible. Normally it would be all systems go
Speaker 3: for the Bengals with a grades all over. But Jamar
Speaker 3: Chase has been limited in practiced this week. T Higgins
Speaker 3: was added to the injury report on Thursday with a
Speaker 3: hamstring injury injury, and then downgraded to doubtful on Friday.
Speaker 3: I don't think he's gonna go. And Joe Burrow didn't
Speaker 3: throw for three days in a row almost all preseason
Speaker 3: due to his lingering wrist injury. Sounds like Higgins is out.
Speaker 3: With Chase missing all of camp as a holdout and
Speaker 3: just being somewhat dinged up, I'm gonna downgrade him to
Speaker 3: a B grade. And I think it's more likely that
Speaker 3: the Bengals win ugly in this one and the passing
Speaker 3: game puts up a lackluster day and the Bengals are
Speaker 3: just not very past crazy on Sunday. If you're purely
Speaker 3: desperate for a Bengals receiver, Yoshi's probably in line for
Speaker 3: a start here. That's Andre Joshawash for you, scoring at
Speaker 3: home spelled iOS I a s if you want to
Speaker 3: go find him on your waiverwear.
Speaker 1: Zach Moss and I like his opportunity and I do too.
Speaker 3: He's a good receiver.
Speaker 1: He is a good receiver.
Speaker 3: Zach Moss and Chase Brown are expected to split reps.
Speaker 3: Moss is currently listed as the starter on the depth chart.
Speaker 3: If we think it's going to be a pretty close
Speaker 3: to even time share, which I do. Let's split the
Speaker 3: average touches per game by the running back position for
Speaker 3: the Bengals last year. That was twenty three. So let's
Speaker 3: say that each of them get somewhere between nine and
Speaker 3: twelve touches. The average total yardage line against the Patriots
Speaker 3: last year by backs who had anywhere between nine and
Speaker 3: twelve touches, it's very specific, was forty four yards.
Speaker 1: That's not great.
Speaker 3: That's not great. We're hoping one of these guys will
Speaker 3: be really good. Betting odds, they're both really average.
Speaker 1: I think Zach Moss is prehemin, he's I think he's
Speaker 1: going to be the guy we'll see.
Speaker 3: Man, if you drafted one of them as a starter
Speaker 3: and it sounds like charch did, I'm sorry. I can't
Speaker 3: muster that lowest of the C grades in this one.
Speaker 3: I think that they just win this one ugly. A
Speaker 3: Sea is generous too, and it's only a starting grade
Speaker 3: because it feels like the game script will be heavily
Speaker 3: in the Bengals running backs favor.
Speaker 1: You know, I feel about Zach Moss. I know I
Speaker 1: can't give it up that easy.
Speaker 3: You also have Zach lost colored glasses on all the time.
Speaker 5: I do.
Speaker 1: Yeah, Houston takes on Indianapolis. Let's begin with the passing
Speaker 1: game here. CJ. Stroud a grade two games against Indy
Speaker 1: last year, six hundred and forty eight yards and four
Speaker 1: touchdown passes, two in each. Now he's got the deepest
Speaker 1: set of starting receivers in the league, and Indy returns
Speaker 1: almost the exact same secondary as last year, so I
Speaker 1: think we can draw on last year's conclusions. Here a
Speaker 1: grade for Nico Collins, who went berserk against the Colts
Speaker 1: in the two games last year, one hundred and forty
Speaker 1: six yards in a touchdown and then one hundred and
Speaker 1: ninety five yards in a touchdown while catching sixteen of
Speaker 1: eighteen targets for Nico Collins.
Speaker 3: So you're saying one forty six is the low bar here.
Speaker 1: That's right. Wow, Well we'll zoom pass that, okay. Steph
Speaker 1: Diggs and Tank Dell come in with B grades. Last
Speaker 1: year against indian Week two, with all three of Houston's
Speaker 1: starting receivers available, CJ. Stroud fed all three of them
Speaker 1: against this Indie team. It was Nico Collins and Tank
Speaker 1: Dell and then started Robert Woods. He can feed three
Speaker 1: receivers against this team. Diggs and Dell both are going
Speaker 1: to line up on the slot. They're going to line
Speaker 1: up outside. Dell played well versus Indian week two, put
Speaker 1: up seventy two yards in a touchdown before he broke
Speaker 1: his leg later in the year. B grades for them.
Speaker 1: Joe Mixon, I'm not sure much gas he's got left
Speaker 1: in the tank, but it's a very favorable matchup and
Speaker 1: the Colts will be busy defending the pass. Last year,
Speaker 1: the Colts allowed the fifth most fantasy points to running backs.
Speaker 1: They saw the sixth highest run play percentage last year,
Speaker 1: and they ranked as Pro Football Focuses twenty second ranked
Speaker 1: run defense. It's a very similar front seven for Indy
Speaker 1: this year, so I think we can draw that correlation
Speaker 1: to last year. Joe Mixon comes in with a B grade,
Speaker 1: and I'm putting Dalton Schultz on the bench, who was
Speaker 1: very quiet in these games against Indy last year. And
Speaker 1: the Colts were a good tight end defense, allowing just
Speaker 1: three tight end touchdowns all year.
Speaker 3: So Stroud can support three but not four.
Speaker 1: But that not all the way to the tight end,
Speaker 1: all right, I gotta go with that. We'll cut it
Speaker 1: off at three. Let's go to the indie side. Jonathan
Speaker 1: Taylor easya in the eighteen Week eighteen meeting between these
Speaker 1: teams last year, he rolled up thirty carries for one
Speaker 1: hundred and eighty eight yards in a score. And that
Speaker 1: was a game both teams are trying to win, even
Speaker 1: though it was Week eighteen. Let's go to the passing game.
Speaker 1: Anthony Richardson comes in with a B grade. He got
Speaker 1: knocked out of the Week two Houston matchup before half,
Speaker 1: but he still ran in two touchdowns before half. The
Speaker 1: Texans gave up a league worst seven quarterback rushing touchdowns
Speaker 1: last year, but they led the NFL with only seventeen
Speaker 1: passing touchdowns allowed thirteen of seventeen opposing passers through zero
Speaker 1: or one touchdowns against them. This we're point is we're
Speaker 1: really here for the rushing on Anthony Richardson, which keeps
Speaker 1: him in a B grade. I'm not super optimistic about
Speaker 1: his ability to fill a stat line through the air,
Speaker 1: but Michael Pittman, I'm still going in with a B grade.
Speaker 1: Quiet in bost of the Houston games just fifty six
Speaker 1: and forty four scoreless yards last year. But Houston's best cornerback,
Speaker 1: Darryl Stingley, is small and would be a physical mismatch
Speaker 1: for Pittman. So maybe he gets matched up against second
Speaker 1: round rookie Kamari Lassiter, which making his NFL debut, and
Speaker 1: that'd be a strong advantage to Michael Pittman. So I'm
Speaker 1: keeping a B grade on Pittman. Josh Down's not expected
Speaker 1: to play in this game, and the Donnie Mitchell or
Speaker 1: is gonna get some extra time here. With Josh downs out,
Speaker 1: Alt Pierce will get some more work and Mitchell's got
Speaker 1: a chance here. Now it's Mitchell's speed versus Darryl Stingley's speed.
Speaker 1: What do you think about that speed on speed matchup?
Speaker 5: That could be fun.
Speaker 4: I'm not the biggest fan of a Donna Mitchell, I
Speaker 4: will say, very very inconsistent player. I know they want
Speaker 4: to get him some more looks here with Josh downs Down,
Speaker 4: but I would honestly prefer Alec Pierce. I think that
Speaker 4: Mitchell had the great testing profile, but super duber inconsistent
Speaker 4: at two different colleges, and you and.
Speaker 1: I talked about him in the preseason quite a bit,
Speaker 1: and you know, the off season shows. I feel like
Speaker 1: he's just really raw. I don't think he's as ready
Speaker 1: to make an instant debut as say Xavier Worthy did
Speaker 1: on Thursday night.
Speaker 4: Thousand percent. He's a Donna Mitchell in the NFL. Is
Speaker 4: a downfield guy.
Speaker 5: Especially right away. It's a it's a Gabe Davis type profile.
Speaker 3: How many Xavier Worthy tweets did you get last night?
Speaker 3: A lot, A lot, a lot.
Speaker 1: When we come back, take a chance on me the
Speaker 1: hind players not normally in your starting lineup. Find out
Speaker 1: which sleepers you can start this week when we returned
Speaker 1: to Fantasy Football Week, take a chance on me nine
Speaker 1: players not normally in your starting lineup. Let's begin at
Speaker 1: the quarterback position and Matt Harrison, who you got?
Speaker 3: I got Jayden Daniels because I think it might be
Speaker 3: the only time I can use Daniels as to take
Speaker 3: a chance on me quarterback, So I'm gonna do it. Sorry,
Speaker 3: thor I took a rookie. Can't do that, can I?
Speaker 3: He looked sharp in the preseason, both through the air
Speaker 3: and on the ground. He faces a Bucks defense that
Speaker 3: did nothing this offseason but sign all their guys back,
Speaker 3: and last year they allowed the fifth most passing yards
Speaker 3: and were twenty first in pressure rate. This seems like
Speaker 3: a perfect defense for a rookie to start his career against,
Speaker 3: lots of film on them and not great results. Also,
Speaker 3: three quarterbacks had at least six rushing attempts against Tampa
Speaker 3: last year. The average rushing line for those qbs was
Speaker 3: thirty six yards, and all three of them scored a
Speaker 3: touchdown on the ground.
Speaker 1: All right, we're here for the rushing for Jaden Daniels
Speaker 1: as much as anything else. Thor your take a chance
Speaker 1: at me quarterback.
Speaker 4: Taking Jared goffin this game against his former team. This
Speaker 4: is a shootout that has expected the highest total on
Speaker 4: the entire NFL board this week. Has been great in
Speaker 4: shootouts in his career. He's averaged two hundred and seventy
Speaker 4: one yards and over two passing touchdowns when the lines
Speaker 4: have reached twenty five points. This game that the Lions
Speaker 4: is total implied total is nearly thirty points, and of
Speaker 4: course the Rams have an average pass defense, so expecting
Speaker 4: a good game for golf.
Speaker 1: I'm going Gardner Minshew against the Chargers. I'm going to
Speaker 1: I'm looking at the Chargers schedule from last year, and
Speaker 1: I'm going to subtract out three games. A Blame Gabbert
Speaker 1: start against them, a Bailey Zappie start against them, and
Speaker 1: a game against them from Lamar Jackson which was such
Speaker 1: a one sided blowout that he didn't pass in the
Speaker 1: whole game, barely through like nineteen passes. The other fourteen
Speaker 1: quarterbacks to face the Chargers averaged two hundred and eighty
Speaker 1: four yards, which would have made them the bottom ranked
Speaker 1: pass defense across the entire NFL last year, and they
Speaker 1: were like twenty ninth. Anyway, you might be thinking, oh,
Speaker 1: but the Chargers defense got better in the offseason, Well
Speaker 1: not really. The only off season addition to the starting
Speaker 1: Chargers secondary was cornerback Christian Fulton, which is probably subtraction
Speaker 1: by addition, considering he was Pro Football Focuses one hundred
Speaker 1: and twenty third ranked cornerback in coverage and he allowed
Speaker 1: an opposer passer rating of one hundred and twenty nine.
Speaker 1: I think Minshew's sitting on a nice game here. Let's
Speaker 1: go to the running back position, Matt.
Speaker 3: I've got former Charger Austin Eckler. I mentioned that I
Speaker 3: liked this quarterback because The Bucks are weak against the pass,
Speaker 3: but they were absolutely awesome against the run last season,
Speaker 3: So why Eckler here? They were great against the rushing
Speaker 3: part of the run, but they didn't face a ton
Speaker 3: of pass catching backs of note last year. When they did,
Speaker 3: guys like Alvin Kamara had thirteen receptions, McCaffrey had five catches,
Speaker 3: Beijon had five catches, and really those were the guys
Speaker 3: that had anything close to the pedigree of Eckler in
Speaker 3: the pass catching department. Over the last five seasons, Eckler's
Speaker 3: averaged just over five receptions per game. So in a
Speaker 3: PPR league, I'm putting five points in my pocket already,
Speaker 3: and I think he's gonna do a lot more.
Speaker 1: All right, thor you're take a chance with me running back?
Speaker 4: Sticking with that Rams Lions game, I'm gonna go with
Speaker 4: Blake korm here at running back. He has already been
Speaker 4: named the Rams starting kick returner, and I think and
Speaker 4: have mentioned this, you know since over the summer that
Speaker 4: Korum is going to chomp into Kyron's early downwork more
Speaker 4: than most are anticipating this game. Of course, the highest
Speaker 4: the highest point total on the board, the Rams are
Speaker 4: going to be around the goal line quite a bit.
Speaker 4: Koram was last draft class's best goal line back, and
Speaker 4: I'm not sure that it was close. Scored twenty seven touchdowns.
Speaker 4: He's going to be the Rams' goal line back if
Speaker 4: nothing else. I think he gets a bunch of short
Speaker 4: the early downwork as well. And I will have more
Speaker 4: on Blake Koram later in the show.
Speaker 1: Okay, I like it. I like it. My running back
Speaker 1: staying in LA different la running back JK. Dobbins. I
Speaker 1: prefer Gus Edwards and we'll talk more about him later
Speaker 1: in the show. But we still't know what this Chargers
Speaker 1: backfield rotation is going to look like. Is it fifty
Speaker 1: to fifty Edwards and Dobbins? Is it forty forty twenty
Speaker 1: with Kamani Vidala making an immediate impact possible. What we
Speaker 1: do know is that Jim Harbaugh and Greg Roman are
Speaker 1: going to run like crazy, especially considering the unproven receivers
Speaker 1: on the Chargers roster. At this point. The Raiders were
Speaker 1: an average not great run defense last year that did
Speaker 1: not make any obvious improvements to their front seven. We'll
Speaker 1: try the old JK. Dobbins as a deep dark throw.
Speaker 1: Matt Let's go to By the way, we're going to
Speaker 1: talk a little dark throws. I gotta get that.
Speaker 3: There you go.
Speaker 1: Yeah, let's go to the ride receiver position.
Speaker 3: I got Adam Thielen, who faces the Saints this weekend,
Speaker 3: who have one absolutely brutal cornerback and it's their slot
Speaker 3: corner Alonte Taylor. In his coverage last year, Taylor allowed
Speaker 3: the fourth most passing yards in the league and was
Speaker 3: bottom ten in that category against in touchdowns allowed. Guess
Speaker 3: who one of those scores was Adam Thielen in the
Speaker 3: September matchup, where he had seven catches for fifty four yards.
Speaker 3: In the other game, he managed five catches for seventy
Speaker 3: four yards. So in a PPR league, I think it's
Speaker 3: a twelve point game at least. And I know Deonta
Speaker 3: is there and he should be the top dog, But
Speaker 3: Peelan still averaged almost seven catchable targets per game, and
Speaker 3: I think he's got as good as hands as anybody.
Speaker 3: If it's near, he's gonna catch it.
Speaker 1: I like that angle. If you sold me on that. Yeah,
Speaker 1: all right, let's go to Thorpe. You take a chance
Speaker 1: on meat wide receiver.
Speaker 5: Are you ready to be hurt? By Jamison Williams again.
Speaker 1: Well, I have never been hurt by him because I've
Speaker 1: never I've never been out of the believer. But maybe
Speaker 1: this is the time.
Speaker 5: I'm ready to be hurt by James Williams again.
Speaker 4: Now, of course, you only reached sixty percent of the
Speaker 4: snaps in four games last season after her return from
Speaker 4: his gamling suspension. Everyone knows his rookie season. Of course
Speaker 4: got a chomp out of it as well. But at
Speaker 4: least the NFL has confidence in him. ESPN's Jeremy Fowler
Speaker 4: recently reported that Jamison Williams was the number one volt
Speaker 4: geter from league executives and scouts for the breakout player
Speaker 4: in twenty twenty four.
Speaker 1: Okay, so they at least believe.
Speaker 4: And then, of course you have the departure of Josh
Speaker 4: Reynolds opens the door for more potential targets for Jamison Williams.
Speaker 4: And this is a really good matchup for him for
Speaker 4: the Wheels to go up off the ground at the
Speaker 4: start of the season against that mediocre Rams pass defense
Speaker 4: in a game. Again have I mentioned this before? It
Speaker 4: has the highest total on the board this year. The
Speaker 4: point total Williams is hyper. He could lead to a
Speaker 4: few big plays against the secondary that coughs them up.
Speaker 5: We're gonna go with Jamis and Williams.
Speaker 1: Hey, thor which game has the highest total? The highest
Speaker 1: Vegas total?
Speaker 5: Rams, Lions? Maybe get ready for a shootout.
Speaker 1: Hey, I found a ram that we haven't talked about yet,
Speaker 1: DeMarcus Robinson in this game. This is, of course, the
Speaker 1: Rams wide receiver. He didn't start getting real snaps until
Speaker 1: Week twelve of last year, and he had a major
Speaker 1: impact in those final weeks of the season, averaging sixty
Speaker 1: four yards and almost a full touchdown per game. The
Speaker 1: Lions allowed the third most fantasy points to wide receivers
Speaker 1: last year, and in Detroit did overhaul their entire secondary,
Speaker 1: mostly all but all those moving parts. Does it all
Speaker 1: come together in Week one? Maybe not. Robinson's gonna see
Speaker 1: a lot of rookie cornerback Terry and Arnold who makes
Speaker 1: his NFL debut. He's probably gonna be good. He was
Speaker 1: taken in the first round. But is he good in
Speaker 1: week one? Maybe not? DeMarcus Robinson, It's got some opportunities here.
Speaker 1: Let's go back to some matchups. Thore Jacksonville Daguar's taking
Speaker 1: on the mat Miami Dolphins for Jacksonville. A lot of
Speaker 1: the same parts, but no Calvin Ridley. Now Gabe Davis
Speaker 1: comes in. That's a pretty sizable downgrade, but Brian Thomas
Speaker 1: is an exciting addition. Let's talk through the Jaguars side
Speaker 1: of this first BTJ.
Speaker 4: Yeah, start with Trevor Lawrence. I'm gonna give him a
Speaker 4: B grade in this matchup. Of course, he's coming off
Speaker 4: that frustrating twenty twenty three, but he's still ranked KB
Speaker 4: thirteen in Fantasy points per game during that disappointing season,
Speaker 4: and this is a great matchup in another expected shootout.
Speaker 4: This is the second highest total on the board this
Speaker 4: week in the NFL.
Speaker 5: This game.
Speaker 4: Dolphins gave up the tenth most fantasy points per game
Speaker 4: to quarterbacks last year, and everybody knows Miami as a
Speaker 4: good secondary, but their pass rush is compromising this game.
Speaker 5: Bradley Chubble course at the ACL is out.
Speaker 4: Jalen Phillips with his achilles is questionable, so Lawrence's gonna
Speaker 4: have time back there in what is expected to be
Speaker 4: a good game. Script Travis Etn is a great a
Speaker 4: good matchup for him as well in a game that's
Speaker 4: going to be high scoring. He's going to get his
Speaker 4: yardage and should be good for at least a touchdown here.
Speaker 4: Christian Kirk, I'm gonna give him a B was a
Speaker 4: top twenty Fantasy wide receiver between weeks two and twelve.
Speaker 4: Last year, Dolphins were a bottom ten team defending slot
Speaker 4: wide receivers. That's because of Caterkahu, their nickel guy for Miami.
Speaker 4: Eighty three point five percent catch rate allowed last year
Speaker 4: on targets awful, and get this, the passer rating that
Speaker 4: guy allowed.
Speaker 5: One hundred and thirty two point nine.
Speaker 1: That had to be about as bad as any corner
Speaker 1: in the league.
Speaker 4: He gets lit up like a Christmas tree and Chris
Speaker 4: Christian Kirk is going to start the party this year.
Speaker 1: Can we move him to an A? You just sold
Speaker 1: me on it, all right, I'm going a thank you.
Speaker 4: We're switching Kirk to a Brian Thomas making his NFL debut,
Speaker 4: Gonna give him a C bench, Gabe Davis, if there's
Speaker 4: one guy you want to take a shot on that
Speaker 4: is a non Christian Kirk named wide receiver, it is
Speaker 4: BTJ Thomas. So we didn't see him a ton in
Speaker 4: the preseason, but when we did, twenty point five A
Speaker 4: dot for Brian Thomas Junior, and of course he was
Speaker 4: an assassin at LSH You they sort of kept him
Speaker 4: under wraps, you know, beyond that did Jacksonville this preseason.
Speaker 4: But I think it's possible you get some intermediate looks
Speaker 4: there if nothing else.
Speaker 5: He is a rich Man's Gabe Davis.
Speaker 4: So if we're gonna take a shot on upside on
Speaker 4: one guy, it is going to be Brian Thomas Junior
Speaker 4: in this matchup. So I'm gonna give him a C.
Speaker 4: Evan ingram A of course remains he's a mustard in
Speaker 4: this matchup. What's going to be a very good game script.
Speaker 4: Moving over to the Dolphins here to we're gonna give
Speaker 4: him a grade a B. He was the NFL leader
Speaker 4: in passing yardage last season, but still only finish quarterbacks
Speaker 4: sixteen and fantasy points per game. Of course, he still
Speaker 4: has the accuracy was number three and highly accurate throw
Speaker 4: rate last year, and this this is a solid matchup.
Speaker 4: The jaeg Orris are bottom seven last year in passing
Speaker 4: touchdowns and yards allowed per game, and also fantasy points
Speaker 4: per game allowed to quarterbacks. The touchdowns is the only
Speaker 4: thing that the variants on that where I bumped to
Speaker 4: it to a b.
Speaker 1: Well, and it's because they love to run the ball
Speaker 1: for sure, you know. And that's you know, if you're
Speaker 1: gonna get raheem Mostered finished with what eighteen touchdown last year? Sure,
Speaker 1: so yeah, that's part of it.
Speaker 4: And Devin Auchan he gets an a here running back
Speaker 4: five and fantasy points per game number one in explosive
Speaker 4: run rate, was also number two in yards after contact
Speaker 4: per attempt as a rookie. Jaguars allowed the twelfth most
Speaker 4: rushing yards last year a middling run defense. A Chane
Speaker 4: must Art Rahie Moster, the aforementioned Moster great b here
Speaker 4: he averaged seventeen point two fantasy points per game win
Speaker 4: playing with a Chane in twenty twenty three, I felt
Speaker 4: like he went a little bit underdrafted this summer, did
Speaker 4: most of it. This is gonna be great, yeah in
Speaker 4: this game here, this specific matchup, this is going to
Speaker 4: be a fast paced game with points galore. That's a
Speaker 4: Moster game script. Jaguars were twelfth worst in fantasy points
Speaker 4: allowed to running backs per game last year, and Jacksonville
Speaker 4: was dead last in receptions allowed to opposing running backs.
Speaker 4: So Moster a good matchup for him, Tyreek killichourse must start.
Speaker 4: Jaylen Waddell gets a be wide receiver thirty four in
Speaker 4: PPR last year after being wide receiver seven and twenty
Speaker 4: twenty two fight his thousand yard season, but of course
Speaker 4: only had the four touchdowns. Speaking to the game script thing, yeah,
Speaker 4: the Dolphins average three point eight more rushing yards, are
Speaker 4: more rushing attempts than the year before last year, so
Speaker 4: that goes against him. And then last one, John new
Speaker 4: Smith gets a be here. Last year, the Dolphins tight
Speaker 4: ends scored zero.
Speaker 5: I'm going high on him.
Speaker 4: Scored zero touchdowns and average are only a little more
Speaker 4: than three targets per game. I think John new Smith
Speaker 4: finally gives them that third option in the receiving game
Speaker 4: to go a cheetah and waddle.
Speaker 5: He's a skilled receiver and a good athlete charts.
Speaker 4: Keep in mind on a sixty yard touchdown last October,
Speaker 4: John who was clocked by.
Speaker 5: The GPS with the third fastest.
Speaker 4: Top end speed up any tight end in the NFL
Speaker 4: since twenty sixteen, twenty one point one Miles Prower.
Speaker 5: That guy still got juice.
Speaker 4: The Jaguarers gave up the fifth most fantasy points per
Speaker 4: game to tight ends last year, John who wheels up?
Speaker 1: I love it, John hu Smith fantastic. You know you
Speaker 1: know that guy's close to my heart. More matchups coming
Speaker 1: up when we come back. Fantasy Football Weekly. Welcome back
Speaker 1: Fantasy Football Weekly. Guillotine Leagues dot com. It's the funnest,
Speaker 1: freshest way to play fantasy football. You know how it works.
Speaker 1: Start the tea the season with up to eighteen teams,
Speaker 1: and then every week the low scoring team gets chopped,
Speaker 1: other players go to the waiver wire, and the rest
Speaker 1: of us start building superstar rosters. You're playing to not
Speaker 1: finish last leagues forming basically all year. Practically we're gonna go,
Speaker 1: you know, deep into the season. You have lots of
Speaker 1: opportunities to play and private leagues this year totally free
Speaker 1: gating leagues dot com. Let's jump back to the matchups.
Speaker 1: Carolina Panthers New Orleans Saints is not the sexiest matchup,
Speaker 1: but you already identified one sleeper you liked, Adam Thielen
Speaker 1: in this matchup. Any other Panthers that you're grooving on here?
Speaker 3: Yeah, theeling was might take a chance on me wide receiver.
Speaker 3: I'd give him a solid plus. I like him better
Speaker 3: than his running mate Deontay Johnson.
Speaker 1: Unfortunate long pause in that what.
Speaker 3: Deontay Johnson gets a bench grade for me, He'll mostly
Speaker 3: draw Marshawn Lattimore and Paulson to Devo on the perimeter.
Speaker 3: Dabo finished his PFF's number twenty one graded corner out
Speaker 3: of a possible two hundred and twenty seven players, and
Speaker 3: Latimore only allowed three hundred and seventeen yards in his
Speaker 3: coverage all of last year. Both of those guys allowed
Speaker 3: exactly one touchdown in their coverage in twenty twenty three.
Speaker 3: I can't figure out a way to get Deontay into
Speaker 3: a lineup this week. And if I don't like Deontay,
Speaker 3: I really can't start Bryce Young, who in two full
Speaker 3: games against the Saints last year had yardage totals of
Speaker 3: one fifty three and one thirty seven.
Speaker 2: Wow.
Speaker 1: That's bad.
Speaker 3: That's bad. Now. They did bolster the offensive line with
Speaker 3: some free agents, but I'm not sure if it's enough
Speaker 3: for me to start Bryce Young in a scenario where
Speaker 3: I haven't seen him play a good game really in
Speaker 3: a long time. Chuba Hubbard, it's the only guy that
Speaker 3: you would actually think of playing outside of Theelan in
Speaker 3: this one. He should be the main ballcarrier against the
Speaker 3: Saints this weekend. If he's utilized anything like he was
Speaker 3: in their December matchup, where he had twenty five touches
Speaker 3: for ninety six total yards. That's not bad, but new
Speaker 3: head coach Dave Kanalis's track record against the Saints with
Speaker 3: his running backs was if he at best. Last year
Speaker 3: in Tampa, they had Rashad White and either Keishan Vaughn
Speaker 3: or Chase Edmonds basically split touches in their two meetings
Speaker 3: with the Saints last year. He just went totally game
Speaker 3: split in that one. And by the way, Rashad White
Speaker 3: had a ton of touches last year, which I'll talk
Speaker 3: about a little later in the show. But they did
Speaker 3: very little on the ground and they did most of
Speaker 3: their damage through the air. Hubbard not really a pass
Speaker 3: catching back, so it seems like there's just not enough
Speaker 3: meat on the bone for a start here. I'm going
Speaker 3: to keep him on the bench On the Saints side.
Speaker 3: Chris o'lave, I'm only going to give him a B
Speaker 3: grade in this one. The noteworthy thing about the Panthers
Speaker 3: defense last season was they were so bad against the
Speaker 3: run that barely anyone threw against them, or were they
Speaker 3: kind of good in the secondary? That's possible. Troy Hill
Speaker 3: and j. C. Horn were both above average corners. Both
Speaker 3: held opponents to an A dot under twelve, so they
Speaker 3: were definitely fine giving up the underneath stuff. And Olave
Speaker 3: had two like so so days against the Panthers four
Speaker 3: for twenty eight and a score and six for eighty
Speaker 3: six in the other one. If you feel comfortable with
Speaker 3: like ten to twelve PPR points, I think that's about
Speaker 3: where Olave lands here. As for the rest of the
Speaker 3: Saints passing game, including Derek Carr and Taysom Hill, I
Speaker 3: got them all on the bench as a member of
Speaker 3: the Saints last year. Carr did tally three hundred and
Speaker 3: forty seven passing yards against the Panthers total in two games.
Speaker 3: That's not good. And I know, I don't know what
Speaker 3: league you're in where you need to start Car right now.
Speaker 3: It's like one of those leagues where you have no
Speaker 3: choice but to start to start a Saints quarterback.
Speaker 1: It's quarterback.
Speaker 3: You have to start a Saints quarterback in this one
Speaker 3: weird league that Scott Fish made up the weird rules
Speaker 3: on I'm sure Alvin Kamara, he gets a B grade.
Speaker 3: Kamara managed fifty six rushing yards and a score and
Speaker 3: in only twelve touches in his loan outing against the
Speaker 3: Panthers last year, and the Panthers allowed the most total
Speaker 3: touchdowns to running backs last year with twenty five, but
Speaker 3: they did bolster the d line with run stuffer Ashan
Speaker 3: Robinson and Alvin is nearing that age where you put
Speaker 3: your teeth in a glass on your bedside table at night.
Speaker 3: So we're gonna talk more about Cliff could come soon.
Speaker 1: Yes, Vikings taking on the Giants. Let's start with the
Speaker 1: a topic here. Sam Darnold, there's a chance that the
Speaker 1: Giants front four, defensive front four just wrecks this game
Speaker 1: for Minnesota. I'm worried about Brian Burns, Dexter, Lawrence Kevon Thibodeau.
Speaker 1: This might be the league's best pass rushing trifecta that
Speaker 1: there is and doesn't At the end of the day,
Speaker 1: maybe it doesn't matter. Minnesota is going to pass anyway.
Speaker 1: Kevin O'Connell's a former quarterback former quarterback coach. The past
Speaker 1: two years, the Vikings ranked third and third in passing
Speaker 1: play percentage. So just through sheer volume. If nothing else,
Speaker 1: I think you can still start Sam Donald with a
Speaker 1: C grade. But again, there is a chance this whole
Speaker 1: thing goes upside down at the line of scrimmage. The
Speaker 1: Viking's interior offensive line is not particularly good. Justin Jefferson
Speaker 1: obvious a But you know again, I understand the Sam
Speaker 1: Donald concerns. But see Justin Jefferson in this offense goes
Speaker 1: through him first and foremost. Let's not forget Jordan Addison
Speaker 1: all the offseason.
Speaker 3: You know, bad news.
Speaker 1: He got injured in training camp and you know, and
Speaker 1: fallen asleep at the wheel of his rolls. Rice in
Speaker 1: the left hand lane of LA traffic is not a
Speaker 1: good look. Still a reminder last year, nine hundred yards
Speaker 1: and ten touchdowns. Would you guys care to hazard to
Speaker 1: guess thorn matt in the Super Bowl era with thousands
Speaker 1: of rookie receivers that have been literally thousands, how many
Speaker 1: receivers have had a rookie season with nine hundred yards
Speaker 1: and ten touchdowns?
Speaker 3: It's probably count on one hand, five, four, seven. Oh,
Speaker 3: they're close.
Speaker 1: That's a nice job. Nice job. Now the Giants secondary,
Speaker 1: I told you I'm worried about their front four the
Speaker 1: Giant secondary looks like garbage. They were desperate enough that
Speaker 1: they signed free agent Adorri Jackson to start a week ago,
Speaker 1: and he's their starting cornerback. The other cornerback is Deontay Banks,
Speaker 1: drafted in the first round, but he was Pro Football
Speaker 1: Focus's cornerback one hundred and seventy seven last year. So
Speaker 1: I like Jordan Addison here. I've got a B grade
Speaker 1: on Jordan Addison. Aaron Jones plenty of gas left in
Speaker 1: the tank. Remember last December he was a He was
Speaker 1: dominating the backfield touches for Green Bay and on twenty
Speaker 1: touches a game, he was fantastic. Now, Minnesota's offensive line
Speaker 1: is not as good at run blocking as Green Bays,
Speaker 1: but the Giants ranked twenty eighth in run defense last year,
Speaker 1: and they didn't make any apparent improvements to the run
Speaker 1: defensive personnel in the offseason. Jones a very good receiver.
Speaker 1: But let me note this, Giants had the best the
Speaker 1: best defense against pass catching backs last year. They ranked
Speaker 1: number one in receptions allowed to running backs, number two
Speaker 1: and receiving touchdowns allowed to running backs just one, and
Speaker 1: number four in receiving yards to running backs. So Jones
Speaker 1: is not going to be able to help you a
Speaker 1: lot through the air, and just a B grade. Let's
Speaker 1: go to the Giants. Only three guys that really I
Speaker 1: think are worth mentioning here. Let's start with Devin Singletary.
Speaker 1: The Vikings are terrific against the run last year, allowing
Speaker 1: just three point seven yards per carry over the twelve
Speaker 1: games from Week three to Week fifteen last year. That's
Speaker 1: most of the season. No back top sixty five yards
Speaker 1: against Minnesota and they only gave up three touchdowns during
Speaker 1: that long stretch. Two improvements to the Vikings linebacker group
Speaker 1: suggests that will not change as well. And I still
Speaker 1: think they've got a stout run defense. And Singletary doesn't
Speaker 1: catch much, and the Vikings were pretty good at stopping
Speaker 1: opposing receiving backs anyway. So you're only going to probably
Speaker 1: get what Devin Singletary gives you on the ground, and
Speaker 1: I can only get to a C grade on that.
Speaker 1: Let's go to Malik Neighbors, the most exciting of the
Speaker 1: Giants offensive prospects here, coming off a glowing training camp
Speaker 1: and is the presumed focal point of the entire Giants offense. Really,
Speaker 1: even as a first star rookie Neighbors gets a Minnesota
Speaker 1: secondary that gave up the six most fantasy points to
Speaker 1: receivers last season and was overhauled with veterans like Chack
Speaker 1: Griffin and Stefan Gilmore. Gilmour only signed three weeks ago.
Speaker 1: Shack Griffin does not exactly a high demand free agent.
Speaker 1: I got Milk Neighbors with a B Greggs. I think
Speaker 1: he can hit the ground running here one Dale Robinson
Speaker 1: comes into the C grade. He runs from the slot,
Speaker 1: raises to see Byron Murphy the most and a little
Speaker 1: bit of Josh mittell Us. Murphy struggled last year rating
Speaker 1: his Pro Football focuses ninety third ranked cornerback with an
Speaker 1: opposer passer rating of one hundred and two, and mattell
Speaker 1: Us allow an opposer passer rating of one hundred eleven.
Speaker 1: So opportunities there for when Dale Robinson, if you want
Speaker 1: to go deep Pittsburgh Steelers against the Atlanta Falcons, thor
Speaker 1: we don't right now as we're recording this, we don't
Speaker 1: know who the quarterback is going to be for the Steelers.
Speaker 5: I don't know that the Steelers do either.
Speaker 4: They're saying that Russell Wilson is going to be a
Speaker 4: game time decision with his calf injury.
Speaker 5: We'll see.
Speaker 4: If I knew he was going to be playing at
Speaker 4: one hundred percent, I would have gone to see here.
Speaker 4: But you have to keep the Steelers quarterback on the bench,
Speaker 4: especially that then going up to kickoff. This is not
Speaker 4: an easy matchup. Is one of the reasons Falcons have
Speaker 4: a strong pass defense. Last year gave up the six
Speaker 4: to lowest adjusted completion rate in the NFL. Stay away
Speaker 4: from the Steelers quarterbacks this week, Naj Harris give him
Speaker 4: a great at see he fell all the way down
Speaker 4: to eleven and a half fantasy points per game last year,
Speaker 4: which was running back thirty from his peak of seventeen
Speaker 4: point seven back in twenty twenty one when he was
Speaker 4: a rookie. Yeah, and that of course comes because his
Speaker 4: touches fell from two hundred and eighty four last year
Speaker 4: two hundred and eighty four last year from three hundred
Speaker 4: and eighty one as a rookie. All those touches went
Speaker 4: to Jalen Warren. This is a tough matchup against the Falcons.
Speaker 4: The Falcons allowed the fifth fewest fantasy points per game
Speaker 4: to opposing running backs last year of course that the
Speaker 4: same thing applies to Jalen Warren, who was a full
Speaker 4: participant in Pittsburgh's recent practices. Looked like he's a full
Speaker 4: goal he had that hamstring injury. For those reasons, I'm
Speaker 4: gonna give him a set and just put him a
Speaker 4: slight notch. But beneath Nause, his Warrens touches doubled last year.
Speaker 4: Of course, those came right from Nause, and he ended
Speaker 4: with essentially the identical fantasy points to Nause eleven hundred
Speaker 4: and fifty four rushing yards, four touchdowns last year for Warren,
Speaker 4: we're giving.
Speaker 5: Both those guys to see George Pickens. I go between
Speaker 5: A and B here.
Speaker 1: Wow, even though you don't think either quarterback is a start,
Speaker 1: I do, because he's going to get peppered with targets here.
Speaker 4: Last year, so Pickens had a ridiculous fifty point one
Speaker 4: air yard share when Deontay Johnson was out from weeks
Speaker 4: two to five last year. Roman Wilson is out. Obviously,
Speaker 4: Deontay Johnson is out the door. Pittsburgh doesn't have anything
Speaker 4: else at wide receiver. Pickens was wide receiver sixteen and
Speaker 4: fantasy points per game during that aforementioned week two to
Speaker 4: five stretch. I just mentioned he's gonna get wide receiver
Speaker 4: one usage all day here, and it's a decent matchup.
Speaker 4: Everybody knows Raheem Morris the new Falcons head coach. They
Speaker 4: run a lot of zone in that defensive scheme. Pickens's
Speaker 4: effectiveness has always gone up against zone coverage during his
Speaker 4: NFL career. I'm not I'm gonna knock him up to
Speaker 4: an a George Dickens and hey Pat fryar Mouth, We'll
Speaker 4: just give him a c here tight end twenty seven
Speaker 4: and fantasy points per game before it's hamstring injury last year.
Speaker 5: It is a decent matchup.
Speaker 4: Fealcons allowed the fourth most receptions and receiving yards to
Speaker 4: opposing tight ends last year. And I mentioned the drop
Speaker 4: heavy zone system that Morris uses that opens up intermediate looks,
Speaker 4: so friar Mouth could get a look in that regard.
Speaker 4: Moving to the Falcons first game for Kirk Cousins there,
Speaker 4: I'm gonna give him a grade of B here. He
Speaker 4: was quarterback eight and fantasy points per game last year
Speaker 4: before his injury. The Steelers have a middle of the
Speaker 4: road pass defense. They were number fifteen last year in
Speaker 4: passing yards per game allowed. Pittsburgh is going to try
Speaker 4: to hurry Cousins' process because the Steelers last year ranked
Speaker 4: sixth in the NFL in blitz, right, they're going to
Speaker 4: be in the top ten again. But Cousins last year
Speaker 4: before that injury, number two in the NFL and adjusted
Speaker 4: completion rate win blitz. You guys recall he was very
Speaker 4: good under pressure last year. Assuming that holds over here
Speaker 4: after the injury, of course, you know this would be
Speaker 4: a good matchup for that. Bjehn Robinson and Drake London
Speaker 4: are weekly must starts. They both get an A.
Speaker 1: Let's hope Bjohn Robinson is a weekly must start because
Speaker 1: Arthur's last year that was not the case, and we're
Speaker 1: all assuming that's going to be the case this year.
Speaker 1: Let's hope that is the case.
Speaker 4: Yeah, and hopefully Arthur Smith being on the other sideline,
Speaker 4: it's not going to be like seeing the ghosts there.
Speaker 4: Darnell Mooney in his first game with the Falcons, I'm
Speaker 4: gonna give him a grade to see he last year
Speaker 4: was a nightmare. He finished wide receiver eighty six over
Speaker 4: fifteen games. He's in a much better situation here. The
Speaker 4: Steelers were number four in the NFL, in the rate
Speaker 4: of single high coverage, single high safety coverage is used.
Speaker 4: Darnold Mooney is a deep shot guy. That's the kind
Speaker 4: of you know where you can get a couple of
Speaker 4: deep shots off. He's going to need a home run
Speaker 4: or two in this game to return fantasy value. But
Speaker 4: I think it's possible enough that I'm gonna give him
Speaker 4: a C. Kyle Pitts, I am ready to be heard again, Kyle.
Speaker 1: Well, and we'll address that very directly later the show
Speaker 1: and keep going.
Speaker 5: I'm gonna give him a grade of B here. He's
Speaker 5: off the injury report.
Speaker 4: Of course, last year was tight end sixteen fantasy points
Speaker 4: per game, and that aforementioned Arthur Smith offense, but of
Speaker 4: course he was also in Desmond Ritter Hell last year.
Speaker 4: You have a big, big upgrading quarterback and this is
Speaker 4: a decent matchup. The Steelers allowed the second highest PPR
Speaker 4: points per target last year to slot receivers, as Kyle
Speaker 4: Pitts is and that'll do it, Okay, Algier, I keep
Speaker 4: on the bench for this game.
Speaker 1: I need in my guillotine leagues. I need like forty yards.
Speaker 1: You get four, like two catches and just gonna good
Speaker 1: little like eight points. Tyler Lgier, Please these eighteen team leagues. Man,
Speaker 1: do you need guys like Tyler Algier to just do
Speaker 1: a little something?
Speaker 5: You sure do?
Speaker 1: Commanders take on the Bucks, Matt, You've already highlighted two
Speaker 1: commanders as take a chance with me players Jayden Daniels
Speaker 1: and Austin Ecklerer. Fill in the blanks for me here.
Speaker 3: Yeah, Austin eckler was might take a chance on me runner.
Speaker 3: I gave him a B grade in this game, actually too,
Speaker 3: Brian Robinson, I'm leaving on the bench though. Do you
Speaker 3: know how many running backs topped eighty yards against the
Speaker 3: Buccaneers last year?
Speaker 1: Two?
Speaker 3: It's just four four. Do you know how many rushing
Speaker 3: scorers they allowed last year?
Speaker 1: I'm gonna guess like eleven five total.
Speaker 3: Jeez, oh my gosh. The most likely outcome for the
Speaker 3: top rushing yardage player in this game is Jayden Daniels,
Speaker 3: which is why he was might take a chance on
Speaker 3: me quarterback and he gets a B grade. Two. But
Speaker 3: here we go two, I have a car in his
Speaker 3: back and he gets an A grade. This week, he
Speaker 3: will mostly match up with a man named Zion McCay.
Speaker 3: This man Zion was Pro Football Focuses one hundred and
Speaker 3: ninety first ranked quarterback cornerback last year, right next to
Speaker 3: a bunch of names that Charch has mercilessly destroyed for years,
Speaker 3: like Kendall Vildor when you're in Kendall Viildor's neighborhood as
Speaker 3: not a good thing. McLaurin saw twenty percent of the
Speaker 3: targets last season, and the Commanders just shipped off both
Speaker 3: Curtis Samuel and Johan Dotson, who accounted for another thirty
Speaker 3: three percent of the team's total targets. If McLaurin isn't
Speaker 3: targeted at which he won't, at some point, somebody else
Speaker 3: has got account the ball. I think it's gonna be
Speaker 3: zach Ertz, who, by the way, if you're a slave
Speaker 3: to the projections on your fantasy site, he's getting absolutely murdered.
Speaker 3: I have him in scott Fishbowl, which is a tight
Speaker 3: end premium league. He's projected by sleeper to get like
Speaker 3: four Fantasy points.
Speaker 1: I think he's getting more than that.
Speaker 3: It's way more than that. The last time Cliff Kingsbury
Speaker 3: and zach Ertz were together, Ertz had fifty one targets
Speaker 3: in his first six games before getting dinged up, So
Speaker 3: the Bucks gave up the second most yards and the
Speaker 3: third most touchdowns to the tight end position last year.
Speaker 3: I didn't want to take three Commanders and take a
Speaker 3: chance on me, but Ertz is definitely that kind of player.
Speaker 3: B grade for zach Ertz on the Tampa side, fire
Speaker 3: up Mike Evans with an A and Baker Mayfield gets
Speaker 3: a solid B grade two. Washington was the league's worst
Speaker 3: secondary last year, allowing the most passing yards and passing scores,
Speaker 3: and the combo of Michael Davis and Benjamin Saint just
Speaker 3: might be the worst starting corner combination in the league.
Speaker 3: As the one good corner that the Commanders had Kendall Fuller,
Speaker 3: he's now in Miami, Saint just gave up a one
Speaker 3: oh two passer rating in his coverage they acquired Davis
Speaker 3: and free agency from the Chargers. He allowed a one
Speaker 3: to nineteen passer rating and opposing wide receiver scored nine
Speaker 3: times on him last which.
Speaker 1: Is the worst in the league.
Speaker 3: That was second most in the league. League Yeah, right there.
Speaker 3: With Godwin moving back to the slot, I think people
Speaker 3: are hoping for a bounce back. He arguably gets the
Speaker 3: toughest matchup against rookie second rounder Mike Saindris still out
Speaker 3: of Michigan say arguably because he doesn't have a track record,
Speaker 3: but Godwin is four inches taller and twenty six pounds heavier.
Speaker 3: Advantage Godwin, he gets a B grade. And finally, Rashad
Speaker 3: White's volume carried him to fantasy prominence last year, but
Speaker 3: he did not top a thousand yards on the ground
Speaker 3: and did not get to double digit touchdown mark that
Speaker 3: the twelve other running backs in that neighborhood did. Dan
Speaker 3: Quinn really tried to remake that d line with veterans,
Speaker 3: but White gets the A grade here in Week one,
Speaker 3: with the note that I'm watching Buck how the Bucks
Speaker 3: utilize Bucky Irving here, there's a decent possibility that it's
Speaker 3: more of a split than we want it to be.
Speaker 1: When we come back for our number two of Fantasy
Speaker 1: Football Weekly, three tough Questions, see if you can go
Speaker 1: three and oh along with our panel of experts as
Speaker 1: we head into Week one. Fantasy Football Weekly continues on
Speaker 1: after this Welcome back our number two of Fantasy Football Weekly.
Speaker 1: Paul Charchion, Matt Harrison, Thor Nystrom with you Thor You've
Speaker 1: got tons of content on Fantasy life. What can people
Speaker 1: find there?
Speaker 4: My college football picks for the week, we go through,
Speaker 4: do our top ten picks, and on Saturday mornings we
Speaker 4: run through the entire car, give all the player props
Speaker 4: and all the sides and totals.
Speaker 1: All right, fantastic.
Speaker 3: How'd it going in Week one?
Speaker 5: We did?
Speaker 3: Okay?
Speaker 5: We did? Okay? Yeah? Yeah, we're starting out strong and
Speaker 5: hoping to continue.
Speaker 1: Is that week zero? We're on week one?
Speaker 5: Or we're now on week we're heading into week two?
Speaker 1: Two? That was it?
Speaker 5: Okay, got it?
Speaker 1: Thank you.
Speaker 3: I'm excited for the big Syhawk game this weekend.
Speaker 5: Oh yeah, that's gonna be fun. Slaber knocker football.
Speaker 1: I love the slaber knockers speak. Tough question number one.
Speaker 2: Tough question number one.
Speaker 1: What exactly is a slobber knocker? I really don't know.
Speaker 3: I did not prepare for that. Tough question.
Speaker 2: Tough question number one.
Speaker 1: What is the appropriate level of panic when you take
Speaker 1: an L? In week number one? Which we love, you know, right,
Speaker 1: half of us are gonna take els? Is it none?
Speaker 1: Is it some? Or is it a bowel loosening level
Speaker 1: of existential dread? Matt. We begin with you.
Speaker 3: I mean, what's more fun staying the course and riding
Speaker 3: out the storm. We're completely overreacting and trading away all
Speaker 3: your players. I vote over reaction. That's way more fun.
Speaker 3: But in all seriousness, it's more about the usage For
Speaker 3: me in week one? Did a player get the snap,
Speaker 3: touch target totals that I expected? In Week one? Were
Speaker 3: there other dark horse players utilized more or an unexpected way?
Speaker 3: If the answers are not favorable for me in both
Speaker 3: of those scenarios, it's okay to be in a bowel
Speaker 3: loosening level of existential dread and make changes right away.
Speaker 1: All right, Thor what's the appropriate level of panic when
Speaker 1: you take an L in week one?
Speaker 5: For me, it's none.
Speaker 4: I would need a biblical plague of injuries. I mean,
Speaker 4: I expect to win every game, so you know, you
Speaker 4: drop one. I'm expecting to only have one loss in
Speaker 4: the regular season.
Speaker 1: I'm in a dozen leagues. I think every one of
Speaker 1: my twelve teams is really, really good. But the reality is,
Speaker 1: as I mentioned, half of us are going to take
Speaker 1: l's in week one, and we're going to sour on
Speaker 1: our teams a little bit when that happens, and everybody says,
Speaker 1: do not panic in week one. It's just one week,
Speaker 1: or it's such a small sample size, don't worry about it.
Speaker 1: I say, panic, yes, panic away.
Speaker 3: Chart You're with me.
Speaker 1: If some of your foundational beliefs that you held on
Speaker 1: draft day are resoundingly wrong in week one, more than
Speaker 1: likely they're going to stay wrong. You know, there's so
Speaker 1: much we don't know. We make all kinds of assumptions
Speaker 1: going in, and week one is when coaches first tell
Speaker 1: us the real reality. They've only got seventeen NFL games
Speaker 1: to work with. Coaches can't play koy with their future,
Speaker 1: holding back their best weapons for future use. They're trying
Speaker 1: to win every game by putting their best players in
Speaker 1: the best situation starting week one. And if it didn't
Speaker 1: work out for your team in big ways foundational ways, panic.
Speaker 2: Tough. Question number two, are.
Speaker 1: You ready to be hurt again? By Kyle Pitts Well
Speaker 1: and thor you've already touched on this. I believe I
Speaker 1: know what your answer is going to be, but go
Speaker 1: ahead and summarize, he will not.
Speaker 5: Hurt us this time.
Speaker 1: You can't even say with a straight face.
Speaker 4: I feel like this is candy man crossing the figures
Speaker 4: knocking on wood.
Speaker 5: All Right, that's it, that's it. I'm not going to
Speaker 5: hurt us this time.
Speaker 1: All right, Matt, ready to be heard again by Kyle Pitts.
Speaker 3: I think this is my favorite version of Kyle Pits.
Speaker 3: The expectations have never been lower because he's burned so
Speaker 3: many people that there are so many people who just
Speaker 3: wrote him off altogether. But he's got the best quarterback
Speaker 3: he's ever played for, one that has made fantasy tight
Speaker 3: ends look fantastic. Cousins to Howkinson over the last two years,
Speaker 3: when both were healthy and available, that was a top
Speaker 3: three tight end situation in the league. I was never
Speaker 3: hurt by him because I always hated the situation in
Speaker 3: the last few years. So now I'm ready to maybe
Speaker 3: never be hurt by him. Okay, so I'm in on
Speaker 3: Yon Pits. Yes.
Speaker 1: People don't seem to understand how big an upgrade it
Speaker 1: is to go from last year's starting quarterback des been
Speaker 1: Ridder to Kirk Cousins.
Speaker 3: It is a.
Speaker 1: Massive gulf between those two. Two weeks ago, Ritter was
Speaker 1: waived by arguably the worst team in the NFL. He
Speaker 1: cleared waivers and is now a practice squad quarterback for Arizona. Meanwhile,
Speaker 1: last time we saw Kirk Cousins, he was the NFL
Speaker 1: passing leader en route to a five thousand yard passing season.
Speaker 1: Cousins has long supported his tight ends. So yeah, Jay
Speaker 1: Hockinson recently, right before that, Kyle Rudolph before that, he
Speaker 1: made a Pro bowler out of Jordan Reed. Before that,
Speaker 1: Vernon Davis. We're going to get deep into the Cousin's
Speaker 1: career catalog here. He knows how to support tight ends.
Speaker 1: I'm ready to be hurt by Kyle Pitts.
Speaker 5: That's big time football, baby. He can be looking at
Speaker 5: Kyle Pitts.
Speaker 1: I think so. If Brian Roli here, he'd be talking
Speaker 1: about if he's ready to be hurt again again, again,
Speaker 1: again again for the fourth straight year. Whatever by Kyle Pitts.
Speaker 3: Well, he's a wide receiver, obviously he would say that too.
Speaker 2: Tough question number three.
Speaker 1: For three straight years, somebody unexpected has topped fifteen rushing touchdowns.
Speaker 1: Three years ago it was Damien Harris called in the
Speaker 1: preseason this series show, by the way, Wow. Two years
Speaker 1: ago it was Jamal Williams. Last year it was Raheem Moster.
Speaker 1: I mean, for the most part, nobody had fifteen touchdown
Speaker 1: expectations out of these guys. No, who is your dark
Speaker 1: horse runner for fifteen touchdowns this year? Matt? We begin
Speaker 1: with you.
Speaker 3: So each of the guys you mentioned were on teams
Speaker 3: that were top eight in running back rushing attempts in
Speaker 3: the year the player did that. And each of those
Speaker 3: teams had a quarterback that I would say needed a
Speaker 3: good running game to set up the pass or their
Speaker 3: failure rate was imminent. Then that's Mac Jones, Jared Goff,
Speaker 3: and Tua tag Tech Violoa La Man. I can never
Speaker 3: say his name. I'm just gonna go with two of us.
Speaker 1: Good thing his brother's never gonna make it exactly.
Speaker 3: So what team fits the bill this year of a
Speaker 3: run happy offense with a quarterback they're not fully to
Speaker 3: let drop back fifty times per game? Cleveland has entered
Speaker 3: the chat. The Broncos and Giants are here too. You know,
Speaker 3: I love me some Zamir White, but I think it's
Speaker 3: Najie Harris, who almost everyone has written off for dead
Speaker 3: at this point, and many think that Jalen Warren should
Speaker 3: just take that job. But in Arthur Smith, Smith offense
Speaker 3: is one that runs. The Falcons led the league in
Speaker 3: running back rushing attempts last year, and the Steelers were
Speaker 3: already sixth in that category, and they trust Russell Wilson
Speaker 3: enough to trade for Justin Fields, who's not known to
Speaker 3: be a huge passer. I think it's a big time
Speaker 3: running game, and they have a defense that should allow
Speaker 3: them to play grinding, hard nosed run the ball football.
Speaker 3: And by the way, Church loves inside the five guys. Yeah,
Speaker 3: Jalen Warren only had five attempts inside the five last year.
Speaker 3: Nase had twelve, which is more than double if my
Speaker 3: math holds up.
Speaker 1: And I think I think Jalen Warren only had one
Speaker 1: touchdown on those five carries inside the five.
Speaker 3: I think Nase's sitting on a really sneaky year here.
Speaker 1: Okay, for three straight years, somebody unexpected his top fifteen
Speaker 1: rushing touchdowns. Store which runner is your dark horse for
Speaker 1: fifteen touchdowns this year?
Speaker 5: Thought a lot about this one.
Speaker 4: I'm going to go with Blake Koram Blake Corum who
Speaker 4: ran for twenty seven countum twenty seven touchdowns last year
Speaker 4: for the National Champions and he is a better short
Speaker 4: yardage back than Kyraen Williams. I mentioned that before Blake
Speaker 4: Horn was also the best goal line runner in the
Speaker 4: entire draft class coming out here, and his usage is
Speaker 4: going to help ensure that Karen Williams is healthy for
Speaker 4: the passing down work that he is best suited for.
Speaker 4: Korm not a great receiving back, Korum makes tremendous decisions
Speaker 4: behind the line. He finds the crease, he breaks arm tackles.
Speaker 4: He is the perfect short yardage converter around the goal line.
Speaker 4: I believe he's going to get all those carries and
Speaker 4: he's in a really, really good offense. They're going to
Speaker 4: put points on the board when they're around the goal
Speaker 4: line there inside the ten, they're inside the five. Blake
Speaker 4: Korn is going to be on the field. I think
Speaker 4: he's gonna put up a lot of touchdowns this year.
Speaker 3: I love that call.
Speaker 1: Good job I was, Brian was here to fight you
Speaker 1: on that. To get to fifteen touchdowns, I need to
Speaker 1: back who will at a minimum get virtually all the
Speaker 1: goal line us right, So you have to have that.
Speaker 1: You guys have already addressed that with your picks. Ideally,
Speaker 1: he's a workhorse back who will chip in a few
Speaker 1: touchdowns for distance, but you don't need that. As we
Speaker 1: saw with Damien Harrison, Jamal Williams. Those guys really just
Speaker 1: roll committee type backs mostly the players I wanted to get.
Speaker 1: I liked Samir White, I thought about him. He gets
Speaker 1: drafted a little early, maybe not as obvious I consider
Speaker 1: Zach Moss here, I went down far the draft board.
Speaker 1: I'm like, all right, who can we get. That's a
Speaker 1: little sneak here. Let's talk Gus Edwards. Okay, let's talk
Speaker 1: Gus Edwards. Last year, Gus ranked number one with twelve
Speaker 1: rushing touchdowns from inside the five yard line and number
Speaker 1: two with twenty four attempts from inside the five. He's
Speaker 1: reconnected with his old offensive coordinator, Greg Roman, who will
Speaker 1: be the offensive who is the offensive coordinator for the Chargers.
Speaker 1: He had a fifty percent conversion rate on carries inside
Speaker 1: the five into touchdowns and that's extremely good. And even
Speaker 1: if Gus ultimately sees some carries to JK. Dobbins or
Speaker 1: Kamani Vidal over the course of the season, he's still
Speaker 1: gonna be the goal line back, I believe. So we're
Speaker 1: gonna try a little Gus Edwards as a surprise player
Speaker 1: for fifteen touchdowns.
Speaker 3: I feel honorable mention here. Yeah, Devin Singletary. Yeah, maybe
Speaker 3: there's there's no.
Speaker 1: There's nobody else, nobody else to take a goal line
Speaker 1: carry in that offense. Yeah, Yeah, that's that's I think
Speaker 1: that's that's defensible. It's defensible. All right, let's go to
Speaker 1: our next set of matchups. Uh, let's see. Oh, I'm
Speaker 1: up next Tennessee at Chicago. I'm gonna start with the
Speaker 1: I'm gonna start with the running game here between Tajy
Speaker 1: Spears and Pollard. It's all all of the news out
Speaker 1: of Tennessee suggests it's going to be a split backfield,
Speaker 1: which is a bummer. The Bears were an elite run
Speaker 1: defense last year, ranking number three in rushing yards allowed,
Speaker 1: third in yards per carry, and they return all the
Speaker 1: good players from their starting seven from last year. And
Speaker 1: because they were so good, opponents ran the ball at
Speaker 1: the third lowest run percentage. So maybe the right answer
Speaker 1: here is just bench both. But there's this for Spears
Speaker 1: and Pollard. The Bears were destroyed through the air by runners,
Speaker 1: allowing the most receiving yards, the most receiving touchdowns, and
Speaker 1: the second most receptions to running backs. So through the
Speaker 1: air and both guys ten catch not wizards. Through the air,
Speaker 1: but Spears and Pollard can both catch, so I think
Speaker 1: they chip in just enough. PPR helped to make both
Speaker 1: of those guys see grades. The only receiver we're starting
Speaker 1: in this one is Calvin Ridley. DeAndre Hopkins is a
Speaker 1: game time decision, so that means he's either out or
Speaker 1: he's hobbled by an knee injury, and that means Ridley
Speaker 1: is going to get shadow covered from the Bears elite
Speaker 1: cornerback Jalen Johnson. He was ranked as quarterback cornerback two
Speaker 1: by Pro Football Focus, and he allowed per game averages
Speaker 1: of eleven yards eleven yards in his coverage, wow, and
Speaker 1: zero point zero five touchdowns in his coverage. That's nothing.
Speaker 1: So I can only get you to a C grade
Speaker 1: on Calvin Lee, even though this passing offense should largely
Speaker 1: go through him or they'll try to get it going
Speaker 1: through him. For DeAndre Hopkins, I'm just gonna wait till
Speaker 1: he's healthy. And plus i gotta see if Will Levis
Speaker 1: is a functional NFL quarterback. As a reminder, because I've
Speaker 1: brought this up many times since last year, Will Levis's
Speaker 1: debut game four touchdowns every start after that game in
Speaker 1: Week eight four touchdowns combined, staggeringly inefficient in today's NFL,
Speaker 1: and he was under one hundred ninety nine passing yards
Speaker 1: and half of his starts. I'm just not there on
Speaker 1: Will Levis. I hope he gets better. We're rooting for
Speaker 1: Will Levis. I need to see it first.
Speaker 3: It's got all those Mayo commercials. We need those, we do.
Speaker 5: Those actually were good.
Speaker 1: Yeah, good for him for capitalizing on a simply grotesque
Speaker 1: obsession with Mayo.
Speaker 2: Correct.
Speaker 1: Let's go to the Chicago side. DeAndre Swift clacks in
Speaker 1: with a bee. I feel like Swift was unfairly blamed
Speaker 1: for a lot of the Eagles struggles last year. I
Speaker 1: think there's a good chance he's going to be the
Speaker 1: new workhorse back in offensive coordinator Shane Waldron's offense, like
Speaker 1: you like Waldron had in Kenneth Davis or sorry, Kenneth Walker,
Speaker 1: going back a long time for Kenneth Davis, Kenneth Walker.
Speaker 1: Tennessee's run defense largely unchanged, and they were good last year.
Speaker 1: Only three backs topped eighty eight rushing yards against Tennessee
Speaker 1: last year, and they ranked third in yards per carry aloud.
Speaker 1: It's a nice opportunity for swift and I've got a
Speaker 1: B grade on him.
Speaker 3: Was Kenneth Davis, the Bills back up running back in
Speaker 3: the nineties to Thurman Thomas.
Speaker 1: I don't think it was quite nineties, but it was
Speaker 1: probably the probably the odds. Yeah, that's going on.
Speaker 3: I feel like I remember him from tech Mobile.
Speaker 1: Maybe we're maybe I've got barbecue sauce on my mind.
Speaker 3: There we go.
Speaker 1: You know I did put some I put some Ken
Speaker 1: Davis on my turkey to go with the Minnesota State Fair. Okay,
Speaker 1: maybe that was it. Let's go to the passing game.
Speaker 1: DJ Moore is going to draw the Titans best possible
Speaker 1: coverage and that's new cornerback Lagerious Snead, acquired from the Chiefs.
Speaker 1: He allowed zero touchdowns in his coverage last year and
Speaker 1: an opposer passer rating of only fifty seven. So for
Speaker 1: Caleb Williams, I think the path of least resistance is
Speaker 1: going to be with the other receivers. Still, DJ Moore
Speaker 1: too good to bench and his resume, I in pedigree,
Speaker 1: just keeps him at the B level for me. Let's
Speaker 1: go to Keenan Allen. You'll want to be sure to
Speaker 1: monitor his heel injury. We think he's going to play
Speaker 1: in this game, but keep an eye on the heel injury.
Speaker 1: Alan faced Tennessee last year and smoked him for one
Speaker 1: hundred eleventeen yards and two scores. As a member of
Speaker 1: the Chargers. He did all his damage outside, and I
Speaker 1: see Alan playing a lot more slot for Chicago because
Speaker 1: More and a Dunze are outside guys. Alan draws a
Speaker 1: tricky matchup in the slot against Tennessee slot corner Roger McCreary,
Speaker 1: who didn't allow a touchdown last year and held Alan
Speaker 1: to just one catch for fourteen yards in that specific
Speaker 1: coverage matchup. Last year, I mentioned Keenan Allen for one
Speaker 1: hundred and eleven total yards, but only fourteen of it
Speaker 1: came from the slot against Roger McCreary, So I've only
Speaker 1: got a C grade on Keenan Allen. Now Roma Dunza,
Speaker 1: I love his potential matchup more and Allen, as I mentioned,
Speaker 1: draw the two really good quality coverage guys that Tennessee
Speaker 1: has out there. Dunsay's going to see a lot of
Speaker 1: the third cornerback, Chidobe Ouzie, who slumped down to pro
Speaker 1: football focuses cornerbacks seventy seven. Last year, he allowed an
Speaker 1: opposer passer rating of one hundred and thirteen, and the
Speaker 1: Bengals were content to just let him walk in free agency.
Speaker 1: A Duneesay's startable in his NFL debut with a C grade.
Speaker 1: Now let's talk Caleb Williams. I have little hesitation in
Speaker 1: starting him in his first NFL game with three startable receivers,
Speaker 1: give act get his rushing prowess as well. I think
Speaker 1: he's gotten usually say four for a first start rookie.
Speaker 1: Tennessee only faced one particularly mobile quarterback last year. It
Speaker 1: was Lamar Jackson. He ran for sixty two yards. I
Speaker 1: would not be surprised if Caylen Williams runs for forty
Speaker 1: fifty sixty yards in this game. And I've got a
Speaker 1: B grade on the rookie making his first ever start.
Speaker 1: Four Dallas Cowboys taking on the Cleveland Browns is next.
Speaker 1: I am not very optimistic about the Dallas running game,
Speaker 1: and particularly in this matchup.
Speaker 4: Yeah no, nor am I. I mean, I choose your
Speaker 4: own adventure on this. So here here's my tag is
Speaker 4: keep z Kelliott and Delvin Cook, our old man combination
Speaker 4: there on your bench.
Speaker 2: Here.
Speaker 4: I will give Rico Dwell a see in this game.
Speaker 4: This is a good matchup if you can stomach the risk,
Speaker 4: because the Browns allowed the highest explosive run rate and
Speaker 4: missed the most tackles per attempt last year. So just
Speaker 4: on that chance, I'm gonna give Rico Dowdell a see.
Speaker 4: I'm also giving Dak Prescott to see he was QB
Speaker 4: four and fantasy points per game last year. But this
Speaker 4: is a tough matchup. The Browns have a nasty pass defense.
Speaker 4: Cleveland allowed the third fewest yards per game and fourth
Speaker 4: fewest fantasy points per game too opposing quarterbacks last year,
Speaker 4: and of course Miles Garrett and Zadarius Smith were both
Speaker 4: PFF top ten pass rushers last year, so Dak is
Speaker 4: not gonna have a lot of time to make his
Speaker 4: decisions either way. Ceedee Lamb remains a must start. I'm
Speaker 4: going to advise people to keep Brandon Cooks on the bench, though,
Speaker 4: in what is a bad matchup here. Jake Ferguson will
Speaker 4: give him a C ranked number eight last year among
Speaker 4: tight ends and fantasy points. But this is of course
Speaker 4: a tough matchup, so if you have a better option,
Speaker 4: sit Jake Ferguson. The Browns allowed the third fewest passing
Speaker 4: yards per game and least fantasy points per game to
Speaker 4: opposing tight ends last year. Moving over to the Browns,
Speaker 4: keep Deshaun Watson on your bench this week. He, of
Speaker 4: course a middling fantasy quarterback last year, did finish quarterback
Speaker 4: fifteen points per game for quarterbacks last year, but that
Speaker 4: was well, ranking number eight among quarterbacks in rushing yards
Speaker 4: per game. If that falls off any we got problems
Speaker 4: unless his passing magically comes back. And the passing is
Speaker 4: not coming back in this game. The Cowboys allowed the
Speaker 4: fifth fewest passing yeards per game last season. Jerome Ford,
Speaker 4: I'm gonna give him a C. Weeks three to seventeen
Speaker 4: last year, after Chubb went down, he averaged fifteen touches
Speaker 4: a game with sixty seven total yards RB twenty during
Speaker 4: that stretch. The Cowboys are a sure tackling team. They
Speaker 4: had the second least tackles missed per attempt last year,
Speaker 4: but they struggle against gap runs and the Browns run
Speaker 4: a ton of gap and Jerome Ford loves running gap.
Speaker 5: So because of that, I'm gonna give him a sea.
Speaker 4: Amari Cooper, I'm gonna give him a be wide receiver
Speaker 4: seventeen and Fantasy points per game last year average ninety
Speaker 4: six receiving yards per game. And this is a solid
Speaker 4: matchup for him because Deron Blant is out for the Cowboys,
Speaker 4: Cooper's going to face Trevon Diggs coming off with torn
Speaker 4: acl and then you'll probably see a little bit of
Speaker 4: the rookie from wake Forest Kaylen Carson as well, so
Speaker 4: it makes the matchup a little.
Speaker 5: Bit better for him.
Speaker 4: Jerry Judy keep him on the bench wide receiver fifty
Speaker 4: five in Fantasy last year, but this is a tougher
Speaker 4: matchup for him. I think all the targets are going
Speaker 4: to be going to Amari Cooper, David and Joku.
Speaker 5: I'm going to give him a se. He was our
Speaker 5: tight end.
Speaker 4: Seven last year in Fantasy, but was only tight end
Speaker 4: seventeen when Deshaun Watson was behind center. And the Cowboys
Speaker 4: are one of those teams there's a few in the NFL,
Speaker 4: but where they're always good at defending tight ends. Last
Speaker 4: year the Cowboys, and this has been going back a
Speaker 4: couple of years. Cowboys allowed the third fewest receiving yards
Speaker 4: to opposing tight ends last year.
Speaker 5: But we will give Endjoko a seed.
Speaker 1: I think Dante Foreman is really interesting. I think he's
Speaker 1: going to be a factor in this offense. We know
Speaker 1: Kevin Stefanski wants a two headed rushing attack. Yeah, Chubb
Speaker 1: and Hunt for years, right, you know these aren't.
Speaker 5: Chubb and Hunt.
Speaker 1: But I still think I think Jerome Ford's just not
Speaker 1: a workhorse back. So I think Foreman is going to
Speaker 1: be more in the mix. And you know, I think
Speaker 1: there's a sneaky scenario where he's Fantasy relevant in this
Speaker 1: very game when you don't want to pass into the
Speaker 1: teeth of the Dallas defense. I could see it.
Speaker 5: Too for sure.
Speaker 1: When we come back, Denver Broncos, Seattle Seahawks, Bo Nicks
Speaker 1: making his debut. Is this a helpful outcome for the
Speaker 1: Denver Broncos? Is there anybody to play? Find out when
Speaker 1: we come back. Welcome back Fantasy Football Weekly co host
Speaker 1: Matt Harrison. You've got an exciting new game at Fanball.
Speaker 2: Yeah.
Speaker 3: We just launched a brand new mobile app called Fanball Winners,
Speaker 3: and it's a really fun, easy game. It's it's basically
Speaker 3: you pick the winner of each group of three players.
Speaker 3: So this week we have Anthony Richardson, CJ. Stroud, and
Speaker 3: Caleb Williams. Okay, which one of those guys will have
Speaker 3: the most Fantasy points? If you get all three of
Speaker 3: your groups right, you win the split pot overall. And
Speaker 3: it can be you know, a five dollars bet that
Speaker 3: could get you a couple hundred bucks. It's kind of cool,
Speaker 3: all right, And hey, we'll do a deposit match if
Speaker 3: you use FFW as a code. Oh all right, we'll
Speaker 3: do a twenty dollars deposit match. And anybody who wants
Speaker 3: to play it this weekend.
Speaker 1: All right, love it. That's a Fanball Winner app. You
Speaker 1: can download that now.
Speaker 3: Ye download it, download on Apple or Andrew devices.
Speaker 1: Fantastic. While you're chatting with us, Matt, Denver taking on
Speaker 1: the Seattle Seahawks. It's a new era for Denver Broncos
Speaker 1: football with a new new quarterback, bow Knicks. I'm not, honestly,
Speaker 1: I'm not the beggest fan. I'm nervous about bow Nicks.
Speaker 1: I think I think that is an attitude shared by
Speaker 1: Thorne Eystrom. Yep, a lot more than I do about it.
Speaker 3: Matt.
Speaker 1: What are your prospects for your Broncos in this game?
Speaker 3: Well, let's start with Nix and the passing game. I'm
Speaker 3: gonna leave Nix and Courtland Sutton all on the bench
Speaker 3: this week. I think Nix is low A dot in
Speaker 3: the combo of Seattle's decent pass defense is just a
Speaker 3: bad matchup. Over the last eight weeks of the season,
Speaker 3: the Seahawks only allowed eight touchdown passes total, and they
Speaker 3: held seven of the eight quarterbacks they faced under three
Speaker 3: hundred yards. Sutton should see a ton of Devin Witherspoon
Speaker 3: and Tarik Woolan, who both averaged only twenty three yards
Speaker 3: in their coverage per game last season.
Speaker 1: We're good.
Speaker 3: That's tough. So I got the passing game on the bench.
Speaker 3: On the other for the running game, though, Javonte Williams
Speaker 3: and Julil McLaughlin. That McLoughlin, that's a little more interesting.
Speaker 3: The Seahawks defense was one of the worst in the
Speaker 3: league against the run last season, but they re signed
Speaker 3: defensive tackle Leonard Williams, who they traded for during the season,
Speaker 3: and they brought in big run stuffer Jonathan Hankins and
Speaker 3: Michael McDonald, who is a guy from the Baltimore system.
Speaker 3: They're going to try to stop the run here, so
Speaker 3: it's not easy to rely on last year's bad run stats,
Speaker 3: and they were bad even at the end of the year.
Speaker 3: In the last seven games of the year, seven different
Speaker 3: running backs top seventy yards. Five of those also scored.
Speaker 3: But samaj p Ryan is now out of town and
Speaker 3: that opens about twenty snaps per game for Williams and
Speaker 3: McLoughlin to split. Williams averaged thirty three snaps in about
Speaker 3: fourteen carries per game over the last seven weeks. I
Speaker 3: expect him to be the first and second down guy.
Speaker 3: I'll throw a B grade on him this week. McLoughlin,
Speaker 3: I still expect is the third down, passing down back.
Speaker 3: His playing time was kind of goofy over the last
Speaker 3: couple of months of the year, but what was consistent
Speaker 3: is he was targeted out of the backfield about forty
Speaker 3: percent of the time when on the field with checkdown
Speaker 3: nicks at the helm. I think five catches as plausible,
Speaker 3: so I'll throw a C grade at him. On the
Speaker 3: Seattle side, Ken Walker is an A grade when healthy.
Speaker 3: Last year, Walker was the dude o c Ryan Grubb
Speaker 3: tended to use one running back at University of Washington.
Speaker 3: I have reason to believe that Walker is healthy at
Speaker 3: the beginning of this year and he wasn't for most
Speaker 3: of the year. Last year, Denver's run defense was a
Speaker 3: dumpster fire last year. The Broncos allowed the most total
Speaker 3: yards to opposing backs last year at just over twenty
Speaker 3: six hundred, which translates to one hundred and fifty three
Speaker 3: total yards per game. So I love Walker yea. The
Speaker 3: wide outs are a bit trickier. DK Metcalf should see
Speaker 3: a lot of Patrick Certain, who just signed that massive
Speaker 3: contract for six hundred and sixty nine coverage snaps last year,
Speaker 3: Certain was only targeted eighty nine times, but when he
Speaker 3: was beat he did allow some decent just he allowed
Speaker 3: the twenty first most yards in his coverage last year
Speaker 3: in the league.
Speaker 1: Wow, that's surprising.
Speaker 3: Certain is almost as tall as Metcalf, So it's the
Speaker 3: rare case where DK doesn't have that massive heightwaight.
Speaker 1: To balance ring over some helpless cornerback.
Speaker 3: Yeah, so I'll throw a b at DK here. Tyler Lockett,
Speaker 3: he's a little dinged up. He's officially questionable in this one.
Speaker 3: If he goes, he should mostly see Riley Moss on
Speaker 3: the other side of the field. Moss was just a
Speaker 3: backup last year, playing only twenty one snaps, and according
Speaker 3: to Derek Brown of Fantasy pros, Denver ran a ton
Speaker 3: of Cover one defenses last season, and in single high situations,
Speaker 3: Lockett was targeted on just over twenty percent of his routes.
Speaker 3: Run problem with Lockett that thigh injury and he's been
Speaker 3: limited practice earlier in this week, I'll still throw a
Speaker 3: C grade his way if he suited up. Jackson Smith
Speaker 3: Enigma is the one guy we're all expecting to go
Speaker 3: off this year. His draw against Jaqwan McMillan is a
Speaker 3: bit interesting. McMillan covers the slot and only allowed an
Speaker 3: average of thirty one yards against last year. But on
Speaker 3: the flip side, he did give up eight touchdowns in
Speaker 3: his coverage. Eight touchdowns on only forty one catches. One
Speaker 3: in five went for a score. So if JSN can
Speaker 3: get to five catches he scores, that's science right there.
Speaker 3: The problem is he only got to five catches four
Speaker 3: times last year. I'll throw the seed dart at Jackson
Speaker 3: Smith and Jigba. I mentioned starting grades for the receivers,
Speaker 3: so Gino gets a B grade as well, mostly for
Speaker 3: the reasons I liked his receivers, but it's worth mentioning
Speaker 3: that he didn't have many duds last year, even in
Speaker 3: kind of a down season, only five games below eighteen
Speaker 3: standard fantasy points for Gino. So I still like him
Speaker 3: and this matchup doesn't scare me enough to take that
Speaker 3: off me.
Speaker 1: Thor back to Denver for a second. Matt mentioned somemagp
Speaker 1: ran out Audric estime is is he going to follow
Speaker 1: up the works here early in this season?
Speaker 5: Do you think I think he's got a shot? Yeah.
Speaker 4: The only thing that surprises about this stuff the Broncos
Speaker 4: cardon staff has said about him is they keep banging
Speaker 4: the drum that he's like a three down guy. He
Speaker 4: didn't show much on passing downs at Notre Dame, so
Speaker 4: if he's a receiver, that's a dormant skill that they're
Speaker 4: gonna be.
Speaker 1: Picking out Oakland for that.
Speaker 4: And that's the other thing, like I don't understand this
Speaker 4: whole thing, Like Estimate absolutely could be the early downback,
Speaker 4: certainly short yardage guy, be the goal line guy. But yeah,
Speaker 4: he's gonna have to beat out Yavante for that. I
Speaker 4: don't see this three downstuff.
Speaker 1: All right, let's go to the Raiders taking on the Chargers.
Speaker 1: I'm gonna start with Samir White, who got his first
Speaker 1: career start against the Chargers last year, and he wasn't
Speaker 1: bad eighty five total yards in that game. LA's a
Speaker 1: middle of the pack run defense volume backs with seventeen
Speaker 1: or more carries, which Samir Whites getting seventeen or more carries.
Speaker 1: He got more than seventeen, and all of his starts
Speaker 1: last year averaged seventy rushing yards and half a touchdown,
Speaker 1: which is not great. It's just okay. White could chippen
Speaker 1: some better than expected receiving here though. Last year the
Speaker 1: Chargers allowed the second most running back receptions and the
Speaker 1: second most running back receiving yards. And people think Samir
Speaker 1: White can't catch. He's just not a gifted receiver. But
Speaker 1: he can catch. And I wouldn't be surprised if he
Speaker 1: hauls in four or five catches in this one. And
Speaker 1: I've got a B grade on Samir White. Earlier in
Speaker 1: the show, I told you Gardner Minshew was my take
Speaker 1: a chance on me quarterback. I've got to be great
Speaker 1: on him. DeVante Adams comes in as an obvious A
Speaker 1: had two solid games against the Chargers last year, including
Speaker 1: a Week fifteen game with one hundred one yards and
Speaker 1: a touchdown and as I mentioned, didn't take a chance
Speaker 1: on me. The Chargers secondary might be even worse this
Speaker 1: year than it was last year, and that brings us
Speaker 1: to two interesting players. Jacoby Myers, a Fantasy Football Weekly favorite,
Speaker 1: a nice play this week. Last year's Chargers allowed the
Speaker 1: fourth most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers, the fourth
Speaker 1: most wide receiver touchdowns, and as I keep mentioning, the
Speaker 1: secondary is bad, so it might be worse this year.
Speaker 1: Myers was a low was low volume in the two
Speaker 1: matchups against the Chargers last year, but he did score
Speaker 1: in the Week fifteen meeting. Brock Bowers. Oh, this was
Speaker 1: a conundrum for me, like part of it because he's
Speaker 1: been laboring with injury, hasn't been able to participate fully,
Speaker 1: and you want to double check his injury status coming
Speaker 1: into this game. Had he had the full training camp,
Speaker 1: I'd be like, wheels up, let's go. Brock Bauer's elite opportunity.
Speaker 1: I don't know. With him missing the last couple of
Speaker 1: weeks of practice, I'm more nervous here. Chargers were middle
Speaker 1: of the pack as a tight end defense, giving a
Speaker 1: five touchdowns. They got nuked a couple of times by
Speaker 1: some very good tight ends. TJ Hockinson had a huge game,
Speaker 1: Travis Kelcey had a huge game. Cole Kmet randomly had
Speaker 1: a huge game. But otherwise they held opposing tight ends
Speaker 1: in check. So I'm just it's it's the cowards way
Speaker 1: out and Thor. I'm sure you disagree, but I'm just
Speaker 1: putting brock Bawers on the bench for one week until
Speaker 1: I can see what's up.
Speaker 5: I have to disagree.
Speaker 4: He's quarterback proof, he's offensive coordinator proof, he's an idiot proof,
Speaker 4: he's injury proof. That guy's gonna get his manufacturer touch.
Speaker 4: He's going to turn so many five yard throws downfield
Speaker 4: into twenty two yard completions.
Speaker 1: All right, fine, segret Trey Turner. Don't start Trey Turner yet.
Speaker 1: Watch this kid. I love the deep speed that he
Speaker 1: brings to this game. Watch Trey Turner and let's see
Speaker 1: if this kid doesn't develop. But let's not start him yet.
Speaker 1: Let's go to the Chargers side. I've got a couple
Speaker 1: of sea grades for you here. Let's start with the
Speaker 1: passing game. Justin Herbert a lot of potentially negative elements here.
Speaker 1: He played the Raiders once last year and was styming
Speaker 1: through the air inexplicably ran into touchdowns, which is not
Speaker 1: gonna happen again. He lost Keenan Allen, he lost Mike Williams.
Speaker 1: He's going to try to get by with Josh Palmer
Speaker 1: and try to break in Lad McConkey on the fly.
Speaker 1: DJ Chark has been ruled out of this game, so
Speaker 1: that takes another veteran receiver away from Justin Herbert. The
Speaker 1: Raiders weren't above average pass defense last year, and they
Speaker 1: return all the key defensive players. And then the other
Speaker 1: part that worries me about Herbert is Jim Harve is
Speaker 1: just gonna run the ball a lot. And so I
Speaker 1: had all that together and I'm just not very optimistic
Speaker 1: about Herbert and he comes in with the seagus right.
Speaker 1: Josh Palmer absolutely startable though the Raiders. As I mentioned
Speaker 1: good pass defense last year. Josh Palmer put up two
Speaker 1: big games against the Raiders, combining for one hundred and
Speaker 1: ninety yards and one touchdown. He's the only returning veteran
Speaker 1: receiver to the Chargers lineup, and I think this passing
Speaker 1: offense kind of has to go through him. No other
Speaker 1: receivers to start Lad McConkey. I just feel like I don't.
Speaker 1: I'm not ready to go for him in his very
Speaker 1: first game for some of the reasons I mentioned with
Speaker 1: my concern on Justin Herbert. But I understand if you
Speaker 1: drafted him in a spot where you feel like you
Speaker 1: have to start him, I'd rather rest him and just
Speaker 1: check out what happens through one game. JK. Dobbins was
Speaker 1: might take a chance to be running back, but as
Speaker 1: I mentioned when I talked about him, Gus Edwards is
Speaker 1: my preferred play. It's unclear what the handoff ratio is
Speaker 1: going to be between these two, but Gus is a
Speaker 1: top the depth chart and he's probably going to get
Speaker 1: the goal line looks. And the Raiders had a good,
Speaker 1: not great run defense last year. They ranked eighth and
Speaker 1: run stuff win rate ninth by Pro Football Focus. And
Speaker 1: run defense Gus, you know, look, he's a non explosi
Speaker 1: four yard per play per yard per carry grinder with
Speaker 1: some gold line pedigree, and that's about all he brings
Speaker 1: to the table. Here, Come on, Eve, doll boy.
Speaker 5: We're gonna watch him.
Speaker 1: Yeah, we're not starting them, but we're gonna watch him
Speaker 1: and hope that things work out for him in the
Speaker 1: long run.
Speaker 5: And more on him later in the show and.
Speaker 1: Later in the show, and by the way, later in
Speaker 1: the show means next segment, because that's all we got left.
Speaker 1: One segment, left, three games to break down, and our
Speaker 1: premature speculation players find out who they are when we
Speaker 1: come back. Welcome back, final segment of Fantasy Football Weekly
Speaker 1: and my last chance to encourage you to play in
Speaker 1: a Guillotine League. Tons of fun on freshest way to
Speaker 1: play fantasy football. They are blowing up and you can
Speaker 1: play at Guillotine leagues dot com. Premature Speculation. Oh, this
Speaker 1: is where we jump into our time machine and we
Speaker 1: tell you the players that everybody else is going to
Speaker 1: try to pick up next week, but you're already gonna
Speaker 1: pick them up this week. People are gonna wonder how
Speaker 1: you did it. It was the f FW times, Yeah,
Speaker 1: it was the segment. Matt, who is your premature speculation player?
Speaker 3: Well, I've kind of pounded the table for the commanders
Speaker 3: this week, and Thors pounded the table for this guy
Speaker 3: all off season. You notice that I omitted the second
Speaker 3: wide receiver spot there because it's Luke McCaffrey now, who's
Speaker 3: set to start in two wide receiver sets over Diami
Speaker 3: Brown and Ola me Da Zakias, who are just guys
Speaker 3: on an NFL team. If McCaffrey does absolutely anything of note,
Speaker 3: if he catches a ball and makes a good move,
Speaker 3: oh my gosh, if he catches a touchdown, name pedigree
Speaker 3: alone will make people go bonkers. They're gonna blow all
Speaker 3: of their fab on Luke McCaffrey. I'll even throw a
Speaker 3: bonus C grade on him for this week's game against Tampa.
Speaker 1: There we go, Luke McCaffrey. All right, thor your premature
Speaker 1: speculation player.
Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm gonna go with Kimani Vida, my other rookie
Speaker 4: sleeper there. Kamani Vidah and Blake Korm nearly the same dimensions,
Speaker 4: but Vida is the better athlete.
Speaker 5: He's also the.
Speaker 4: Better passing down guy, the best pass blocker in the
Speaker 4: entire class, per Jim Nagy, per PFF. Per his college coach,
Speaker 4: he said he's the best pass blocking running back he's
Speaker 4: ever been around. Vidals also had four thousand rushing yards
Speaker 4: in the FPS over four seasons and caught twenty balls
Speaker 4: or more in all four of those seasons.
Speaker 5: Great contact balance. I love the way that he runs.
Speaker 4: Last year number two in the FPS with ninety two
Speaker 4: broken tackles forced.
Speaker 5: I think Gus Edwards JK.
Speaker 4: Dobbins don't look in your rear view mirrorcause objects are
Speaker 4: closer than they appear. Kamani Vidal will be that team
Speaker 4: starting running back by the end of the season.
Speaker 1: Alvin kamaras cooked as a runner, so I'm going to
Speaker 1: give you Jamal Williams. Let's talk about it.
Speaker 3: He's like the same age. Well yeah, way.
Speaker 1: Different runners in different mileage under four No, they're not
Speaker 1: the same age. Mall Williams younger. I think, I hope
Speaker 1: under four yards per carrie in three straight years for
Speaker 1: Alvin Kamara, four yards per carry is not particularly good.
Speaker 1: His explosive run rate is totally dried up. Kamara's runs
Speaker 1: of twenty or more yards over the last three years
Speaker 1: three three and zero last year, no explosive runs, his
Speaker 1: rushing touchdowns the last three years four, two and five,
Speaker 1: and he's also turned into one of the least effective
Speaker 1: goal line carriers in the league, converting just two of
Speaker 1: sorry seven of twenty seven rushing attempts over the past
Speaker 1: two years into touchdowns from inside the five. That's a
Speaker 1: twenty six percent conversion rate that stinks. Jamal Williams is
Speaker 1: going to get backup runner use and he's gonna get
Speaker 1: goal line carries very possibly, and I like him on
Speaker 1: my team.
Speaker 3: Jamal Williams is three months older than Alvin and they're
Speaker 3: both aged twenty nine.
Speaker 1: I acted very, very upset of me. The Monday Nighter
Speaker 1: is the Jets at San Francisco.
Speaker 3: Matt Yeah, Breisee Hall every week's start and still in
Speaker 3: a grade against a good San fran defense, The Niners
Speaker 3: face five backs who had at least fourteen garys last year.
Speaker 3: Average stat line for those dudes eighty nine total yards
Speaker 3: and zero point eight touchdowns.
Speaker 1: Bad.
Speaker 3: That's good enough. Garrett Wilson is my guy and I
Speaker 3: really love him, but this matchup sucks. Wilson tends to
Speaker 3: move all around the field, so he'll see a few
Speaker 3: characters on Monday Night. Isaac Yaidem, Diamador Lenore. They're tough enough,
Speaker 3: but if he ends up on Charvarius Ward. He's the
Speaker 3: third highest graded corner by Pro Football Focus in seven
Speaker 3: hundred and eighty four coverage snaps last season. Through twenty games,
Speaker 3: they only allowed three touchdowns. I'll still throw a starting
Speaker 3: C grade on Garrett Wilson here. This is about the
Speaker 3: lowest I can personally go on Wilson. I think Rogers
Speaker 3: forces the ball his way enough, maybe a few extra
Speaker 3: times that the volume might be good enough. No one
Speaker 3: else in the passing game for me, including Aaron Rodgers,
Speaker 3: who I will leave on the bench. Last season for
Speaker 3: Rodgers was brutal. He averaged zero passing yards and zero
Speaker 3: scores per game. Just see if you're paying attention charge.
Speaker 3: But in all seriousness, do you know when the last
Speaker 3: three hundred yard passing game for Rodgers was?
Speaker 1: Well, I mean obviously more than a year ago.
Speaker 3: Twenty three games ago Week fourteen of twenty twenty one.
Speaker 3: In that span, he's only hit the three one. Yeah,
Speaker 3: He's only hit the three touchdown pass mark three times
Speaker 3: in the last twenty three games. So while I'm mostly
Speaker 3: bullish on Rodgers being serviceable this week, I'd like to
Speaker 3: see it first. And the matchup sucks. On the Niner side,
Speaker 3: you thought the San Francisco secondary was tough. Sauce Gardner
Speaker 3: number one graded corner by Pro Football Focus last year,
Speaker 3: Michael Carter number ten, the weak spot, DJ Reid number
Speaker 3: twenty six. To me, this feels like a super low
Speaker 3: scoring trap of a Monday nighter. I'm gonna give Brock
Speaker 3: Purdy just a C. I don't want to broct this week.
Speaker 3: I'd rather keep him on the bench in games last
Speaker 3: year against top pass defenses in the league. For this,
Speaker 3: I took a team secondary that was ranked by PFF
Speaker 3: at seventy five or higher. Pretty average, two hund twenty
Speaker 3: one passing yards and a touchdown and a half. I'll
Speaker 3: give both Ayuk and Deebo a C grade. Ayuk missed
Speaker 3: pretty much the entire preseason and holdout mode. I don't
Speaker 3: like that, and he's also the more traditional wide receiver.
Speaker 3: Those guys struggled against the Jets secondary that only allowed
Speaker 3: five total touchdowns the wide receivers last year, But the
Speaker 3: guys that broke through were guys that moved around a
Speaker 3: lot Tyreek Hill once Jalen Waddle twice, both of whom
Speaker 3: are in the Mike McDaniel system, which is the Kyle
Speaker 3: Shanahan system. So maybe there is something here. If I
Speaker 3: have to pick one, it's Debo. I like more because
Speaker 3: of the versatility and the way they can unearth touches
Speaker 3: his way. George Kittle a bee. The Jetes allowed a
Speaker 3: tight end to score double digit PPR Fantasy points nine
Speaker 3: times last season, nine times.
Speaker 1: Consider how great their corners are. I can see where
Speaker 1: teams go to the tight end a lot against the Jets.
Speaker 3: If Shanahan's got a manufacture first downs, Kittle might be
Speaker 3: the top target in this game. Finally, Christian McCaffrey, who's
Speaker 3: been on the shelf for most of the last three
Speaker 3: weeks with a calf injury that suddenly sounds like it's
Speaker 3: also an achilles injury. Yeah, which makes everyone a bit nervous.
Speaker 3: If you have CMC, by the way, and you don't
Speaker 3: have Jordan Mason and he's available in your league, go
Speaker 3: scoop up Jordan Mason right now.
Speaker 1: And even if you have to trade for Jordan Mason,
Speaker 1: you know you might want to go that way.
Speaker 3: Especially if the Niners choose to give him an extra
Speaker 3: week off. This is the Monday nighter, you might not
Speaker 3: have McCaffrey. And by the way, McCaffrey better be in
Speaker 3: your flex right now, just in case you need to
Speaker 3: pivot somewhere else. If he's going, he's still in a grade.
Speaker 3: The Jets were bottom ten against the run last year
Speaker 3: in rushing yards and scores. It's possible that Jordan Mason
Speaker 3: is even a deep dart throw play for this week.
Speaker 3: If CMC is active, I'd give him like the lowest
Speaker 3: C grade imaginable.
Speaker 1: All Right, four, our final matchup of this show, the
Speaker 1: Rams and Lions. You've already alluded to this matchup with
Speaker 1: I don't know. I think we already talked through six
Speaker 1: seven players in this matchup. There's almost nobody left.
Speaker 5: Have I mentioned that as the highest total on the
Speaker 5: NFL board this week?
Speaker 1: No, you don't say this.
Speaker 4: Is gonna be a fantasy bonanza. Jered Goff was my
Speaker 4: take a chance on me. Quarterback Jamiir Gibbs. I'm gonna
Speaker 4: give an a He's a must start here. The big plays,
Speaker 4: just the possibility of them could be a bonanza game.
Speaker 4: Rams have an average pass defense. This is a very
Speaker 4: good opportunity here in a matchup for Gibbs. David Montgomery,
Speaker 4: I'm gonna give him a ce. He was our RB
Speaker 4: fifteen in Fantasy last year and he remains that tackle
Speaker 4: breaking machine that he was at Iowa State for the Cyclones.
Speaker 4: Number eight and yards after contact per attempt last year.
Speaker 4: Rams have a middling run defense and it did not
Speaker 4: get better after they traded the linebacker Ernest Jones the
Speaker 4: fourth to the Titans, but risk of the gamescript flipping
Speaker 4: against Montgomery and going more pass heavy dings them a
Speaker 4: little bit in my eyes. The same Brown and Sam
Speaker 4: Laporte both obviously must starts. Jamison Williams was might take
Speaker 4: a chance on me wide receiver moving over to the Rams.
Speaker 4: Matthew Stafford, I'm gonna give him a bee. This is
Speaker 4: his first game in Detroit as a member of the Rams.
Speaker 4: The Rams, though in this game, they may be without
Speaker 4: both offense starting offensive tackles and Alaric Jackson. We know
Speaker 4: he's gonna be out. He suspended, and Rob Havenstein has
Speaker 4: an ankle injury.
Speaker 1: So those are make Those are relegit losses right there,
Speaker 1: especially against a really good pass rush for the Lions.
Speaker 5: The Lions have so fearsome edge rushers. Uh.
Speaker 4: Stafford coming off the season where he scored twenty two
Speaker 4: point five fantasy points per game in five of the
Speaker 4: last six games.
Speaker 5: Uh, but we're gonna give him a b in this one.
Speaker 4: Kyron Williams, I'm gonna give him a bee, which might
Speaker 4: be scandalous that a lot of people might get, you know,
Speaker 4: call him a mustard. Ah of course, Kyron played eighty
Speaker 4: two percent of the snaps last year, but that's not
Speaker 4: happening again with Blake Kormantown. I'm concerned that Kyron snaps
Speaker 4: and touches both go down and that he's yanked inside
Speaker 4: the ten yard line. Last year he averaged a touchdown
Speaker 4: per game. That is not happening again. But of course
Speaker 4: he's gonna be on the field for all passing down
Speaker 4: work and a bit a little bit more than that presumably,
Speaker 4: and this is gonna be a good game for both
Speaker 4: offense and passing. Blake Corum was might take a chance
Speaker 4: on me running back Poka Nakua is healthy, it seems,
Speaker 4: and he is a must start with that designation. De
Speaker 4: Marcus Robinson was charged to take a chance on me
Speaker 4: wide receiver Cooper Cup.
Speaker 5: I'm gonna give him a bee in this. I think
Speaker 5: this is likely his last year with the Rams.
Speaker 4: The Rams are gonna save twelve and a half million
Speaker 4: dollars if it can trade him next offseasons. So this
Speaker 4: might be the swan Song dealt with ankle the ankle
Speaker 4: spring and hamstring injuries last year, but in this game,
Speaker 4: very good script here the highest total again. Lions secondary
Speaker 4: gave up the most passing yards per game last year.
Speaker 4: Detroit did attempt, I mean over and over again this
Speaker 4: offseason to improve that secondary. They added Terry and Arnold
Speaker 4: and Enis Regsher on the draft and Carlton Davis in
Speaker 4: free agency. But we'll give Cooper a cup of bee here.
Speaker 4: Rams tight Ends, you have to keep him on the bench.
Speaker 4: Tyler Higbee's injured. The other two I don't want any
Speaker 4: part of. In this game.
Speaker 1: The line secondary was the big problem for the whole team. Yeah,
Speaker 1: that's ultimately what costs them a trip to the super Bowl.
Speaker 1: I believe less so than say they're head coach making
Speaker 1: you know, crazy decisions in a particular game. But it
Speaker 1: might take a while for all those moving parts in
Speaker 1: this for sure. That's new line secondary not only cl.
Speaker 5: Not an easy matchup either.
Speaker 4: Yeah, for that thing to jail, it's gonna have to
Speaker 4: je and cohal as quick because they're going to be
Speaker 4: attacking that secondary all game long.
Speaker 1: For sure. And it's Sean McVay. He knows what he's doing. Yes,
Speaker 1: all right, We've got just a couple of moments here
Speaker 1: at the end. What fab bid? What percentage of your
Speaker 1: fab for the season? Would you put on Isaiah Likely
Speaker 1: if he's a free agent in your league.
Speaker 3: Like three or four percent? Because most of my leagues
Speaker 3: I got a tight end, I think. But yeah, that
Speaker 3: seems like a little bit of an over overreach for me.
Speaker 4: All Right, I go if I needed a tight end,
Speaker 4: I go up to thirty, you go up to thirty.
Speaker 1: I'm with you. I'm like, I'm about a third of
Speaker 1: my whole season on Isaiah Likely. What we saw is
Speaker 1: absolutely replicatable. He is going to be there effect effectively.
Speaker 1: There one a flowers of that passing game. Yeah, that kid?
Speaker 1: Is he so legit? Yeah, so legit. I love I love,
Speaker 1: we loved him as a rookie. It's just it's all
Speaker 1: coming again.
Speaker 4: Did you see that stat word that one touchdown he
Speaker 4: had where he turned around deep that guy and then
Speaker 4: ran into the end zone That it was a zero
Speaker 4: point three touchdown expectancy on that play based on the
Speaker 4: next gen stats.
Speaker 5: Dude, So good, so good.
Speaker 1: Thanks for listening to Fantasy Football Weekly, everybody. We're delighted
Speaker 1: to get into the regular season sixteen more shows like
Speaker 1: this one coming up. Fantasy Football Weekly is a production
Speaker 1: of iHeartRadio. For more podcasts from iHeartRadio, visit the iHeartRadio app,
Speaker 1: Apple podcasts, or wherever you listen to your favorite shows.