WEBVTT - Kickoff! 0:00:00.240 --> 0:00:06.320 Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly, a production of iHeartRadio. Time 0:00:06.440 --> 0:00:11.479 now for Fantasy Football Weekly from iHeartRadio, your weekly source 0:00:11.520 --> 0:00:13.680 for the nation's best fantasy. 0:00:13.240 --> 0:00:14.720 Speculation and advice. 0:00:15.400 --> 0:00:17.400 Now along with the guys. 0:00:17.040 --> 0:00:19.520 From Guillotine Leagues dot com. 0:00:19.680 --> 0:00:26.640 Here's your host, Paul Jargian. Welcome to a regular season 0:00:26.800 --> 0:00:29.920 edition of Fantasy Football Weekly. And it's week number one 0:00:29.920 --> 0:00:32.640 and we are ready to roll up our sleeves on 0:00:32.720 --> 0:00:35.640 the remaining games on the docket. I'm Paul Charchion, co 0:00:35.760 --> 0:00:40.720 host today Matt Harrison thorneistro. Yoh, hey, hey, hey, hello. 0:00:41.040 --> 0:00:43.879 The juices are flowing now as we've recorded. I think 0:00:43.880 --> 0:00:46.920 most people are gonna hear this after the Friday game. Yes, 0:00:47.360 --> 0:00:50.040 for us, we're recording shortly before the Friday game, so 0:00:50.080 --> 0:00:53.200 we're gonna cover all the Sunday action the Monday night game. 0:00:53.320 --> 0:00:55.080 We won't touch on the Friday one, but we have 0:00:55.120 --> 0:00:55.840 so much to get to. 0:00:56.200 --> 0:00:59.639 We already did the Friday preview in last week's episode 0:00:59.640 --> 0:01:01.280 by the right at the end. 0:01:01.240 --> 0:01:01.960 So great point. 0:01:02.320 --> 0:01:04.520 So we want to listen to our friend Matteo do 0:01:04.640 --> 0:01:05.880 the Friday Brazil game. 0:01:06.200 --> 0:01:09.440 Great, he's there, great point. Take a chance on me. 0:01:09.600 --> 0:01:11.960 Also coming up we get our first take a chance 0:01:12.000 --> 0:01:14.520 on me's of the year nine players not your normally 0:01:14.560 --> 0:01:16.919 in your starting lineup. We'll cover some of our favorite 0:01:16.920 --> 0:01:19.920 sleepers for the week. We'll answer three tough questions and 0:01:20.080 --> 0:01:25.600 will unveil the first premature speculation and Thor at this 0:01:25.760 --> 0:01:30.160 time last year, one year ago, the premature speculation that 0:01:30.200 --> 0:01:34.120 you gave out in week number one leading into the 0:01:34.160 --> 0:01:39.280 first weekend of games, who is your wide receiver? It was, yeah, baby, 0:01:40.000 --> 0:01:42.440 Now you could do this show for twenty more years. 0:01:42.560 --> 0:01:44.640 I will, and you're not gonna hit that any one 0:01:44.760 --> 0:01:45.679 better than that one. 0:01:45.800 --> 0:01:48.080 Yeah, we're going under the bar the rest of the time, 0:01:48.160 --> 0:01:49.680 but we're gonna do our best today. 0:01:49.800 --> 0:01:51.440 You know. By the way, I got to bring up 0:01:51.480 --> 0:01:54.720 some internal beef on the show. I claimed my premature 0:01:54.800 --> 0:01:58.520 speculation guy, Yeah, and Thor said no, he's my guy, 0:01:58.720 --> 0:02:02.360 because every rookie belongs to Thor from here on out, 0:02:02.720 --> 0:02:05.960 they're all his and if they ever were a rookie 0:02:06.080 --> 0:02:08.200 at any time in their career, it's Thorsky. 0:02:08.320 --> 0:02:12.120 Now, Matt Harrison's all over the Thor timeline, as you 0:02:12.160 --> 0:02:13.960 guys will see when you get to take a chance on. 0:02:13.960 --> 0:02:15.880 Me, all right, And I don't know who your guy 0:02:16.000 --> 0:02:18.160 is yet we'll find out. We'll unveil it at the 0:02:18.240 --> 0:02:19.840 end of the show or near the end of the show. 0:02:19.919 --> 0:02:24.640 I'll let you guess. But what year he's in. I 0:02:24.680 --> 0:02:28.320 know he's a rookie. Let's let's we have fourteen games 0:02:28.320 --> 0:02:30.240 to get that. We're gonna break them all down every 0:02:30.280 --> 0:02:33.960 meaningful player letter grades on the mall, ABC's or bench 0:02:34.120 --> 0:02:37.400 letter grades. We begin with the Arizona Cardinals at the 0:02:37.440 --> 0:02:40.280 Buffalo Bills Thoor. This one is yours, and it's the 0:02:40.360 --> 0:02:42.359 debut of Marvin Harrison. 0:02:42.280 --> 0:02:44.359 Sure is, and he's one of our two or three 0:02:44.440 --> 0:02:46.840 must starts in my opinion. On the Cardinals side, Kyler 0:02:46.919 --> 0:02:49.480 Murray I think is a mustar. Marvin Harrison Junior begins 0:02:49.480 --> 0:02:51.480 his career as a mus start, and of course Trey 0:02:51.560 --> 0:02:53.079 McBride also a must start. 0:02:53.480 --> 0:02:55.880 James Connor, I'm gonna give him a B for this matchup. 0:02:56.000 --> 0:02:59.200 Last year top eight and explosive run rate, misstackles, force 0:02:59.280 --> 0:03:02.680 per attempt, and yards after contact per attempt. He is 0:03:02.720 --> 0:03:05.560 going to hold off Trey Benson for just a little 0:03:05.560 --> 0:03:08.160 bit here, but certainly in this game. Bill's run defense 0:03:08.240 --> 0:03:11.040 was bottom seven in explosive run rate en yards after 0:03:11.120 --> 0:03:13.760 contact per attempt last year, So a decent matchup for 0:03:13.840 --> 0:03:17.320 James Connor. Michael Wilson going to give him a CEE. 0:03:17.880 --> 0:03:20.360 He was a top twenty four wide receiver three different 0:03:20.400 --> 0:03:22.880 games last year as a rookie, finished his wide receiver 0:03:22.960 --> 0:03:26.320 fifty seven in Fantasy points per game. Better situation for 0:03:26.400 --> 0:03:28.639 him this year as the third banana in an NFL 0:03:28.680 --> 0:03:31.480 passing game. That was his destiny all along, and that's 0:03:31.520 --> 0:03:33.320 what he's going to be and this is a decent 0:03:33.360 --> 0:03:35.160 matchup for him. He's going to match up mostly in 0:03:35.200 --> 0:03:38.240 this game with rossu Will Douglas and Christian Benford. And 0:03:38.320 --> 0:03:41.240 Christian Benford both those guys allowed higher than sixty six 0:03:41.280 --> 0:03:45.000 percent completions on targets last year. Moving over to the Bills, 0:03:45.120 --> 0:03:48.160 Josh Allen of course is a must start. Next to 0:03:48.200 --> 0:03:50.560 him in the backfield there, James Cook, he gets a 0:03:50.600 --> 0:03:53.680 name for this matchup average almost twenty touches and one 0:03:53.760 --> 0:03:56.520 hundred and four total yards per game. When Joe Brady 0:03:56.560 --> 0:03:59.320 took over his offensive coordinator from week eleven to eighteen 0:03:59.400 --> 0:04:02.840 last year, Arizona's run defense allowed the most rushing yards 0:04:02.840 --> 0:04:07.000 per game last season. Great matchup for James Cook Curtis Samuel. 0:04:07.200 --> 0:04:09.400 He is off the injury report from his turf toe. 0:04:09.480 --> 0:04:11.320 I'm going to give him a B for this matchup. 0:04:11.480 --> 0:04:13.800 He was wide receiver twenty seven and fantasy points per 0:04:13.840 --> 0:04:15.480 game in the one season that he played with Joe 0:04:15.520 --> 0:04:19.280 Brady previously. Samuel is a bit better against two high 0:04:19.279 --> 0:04:22.800 coverage than single high coverage Arizona the Cardinals defense. They 0:04:22.800 --> 0:04:24.880 played that at the second highest rate in the NFL 0:04:24.960 --> 0:04:27.920 last year, so this looks like a good situation for Samuel. 0:04:27.600 --> 0:04:30.200 In week one. Khalil Shakir, I'm going to give him 0:04:30.200 --> 0:04:30.400 a C. 0:04:31.440 --> 0:04:33.760 He finished it was about middle of the road last year, 0:04:33.800 --> 0:04:36.640 forty second out of eighty four qualifiers and fantasy points 0:04:36.640 --> 0:04:38.720 per game after Week six when he started to get 0:04:38.760 --> 0:04:39.640 more playing time. 0:04:39.839 --> 0:04:41.479 This is a solid matchup for him. 0:04:41.680 --> 0:04:44.760 The Cardinals allowed the ninth most PPR points per target 0:04:44.800 --> 0:04:47.760 to slot wide receivers last year. And then, of course, 0:04:47.800 --> 0:04:50.280 my boy, Dalton Kinkaid is a must start and is 0:04:50.320 --> 0:04:51.680 going to be a must start going forward. 0:04:51.760 --> 0:04:53.919 Now, when you say Mustard be as you said, Kyler Murray, 0:04:53.960 --> 0:04:55.160 Marvin Harrison must starts. 0:04:55.160 --> 0:04:55.680 Does that well? 0:04:56.080 --> 0:04:57.760 Letter grade? Does that mean for you? 0:04:57.839 --> 0:04:58.159 What is? 0:04:58.839 --> 0:05:00.600 Where is that? An eighty great, this is not your 0:05:00.600 --> 0:05:02.280 first time doing the show. 0:05:03.120 --> 0:05:06.039 Plus, so you go, so fantasy Fonsi's for all of 0:05:06.080 --> 0:05:07.000 those players, so a. 0:05:07.120 --> 0:05:10.960 Grades and Kyler Murray, Marvin Harrison, and Trey McBride. Sir, 0:05:11.080 --> 0:05:12.760 what I hear you saying? Yes, sir, all right, that's 0:05:12.839 --> 0:05:18.720 very strong first game Marvin Harrison. Wow, New England Patriots 0:05:18.760 --> 0:05:22.920 taking on the Cincinnati Bengals Patriots side. Not a lot 0:05:22.920 --> 0:05:25.800 to talk about except my guy Rimandra Stevenson primarily. 0:05:25.880 --> 0:05:29.200 Yeah, he's the only startable Patriot maybe for the foreseeable future, 0:05:30.200 --> 0:05:31.800 and I'm going to give him a bee this week. 0:05:31.839 --> 0:05:34.280 The Bengals run defense rode the struggle bus for the 0:05:34.360 --> 0:05:36.760 last month of the season last year, and they really 0:05:36.760 --> 0:05:39.880 did nothing to address that weakness in the offseason. Remember, 0:05:39.960 --> 0:05:42.039 ty Chandler went for one hundred and thirty two in 0:05:42.040 --> 0:05:44.559 a score, Najie Harris had seventy eight in a touch. 0:05:44.880 --> 0:05:48.440 Isaiah Pacheco had one hundred and sixty five total yards 0:05:48.440 --> 0:05:50.559 and a score, all in the last month. The common 0:05:50.600 --> 0:05:53.480 denominator at the time, each was pretty much the only 0:05:53.600 --> 0:05:56.200 back in their backfield, and the East had each had 0:05:56.200 --> 0:05:59.520 at least nineteen touches and if Stevenson doesn't get nineteen touches. 0:06:00.080 --> 0:06:01.320 What are we even doing here? 0:06:03.240 --> 0:06:03.960 It's a great point. 0:06:04.040 --> 0:06:06.679 Jacobe Brissett and the passing game all on the bench. 0:06:06.720 --> 0:06:08.680 The O line is bad. Kendrick Bourne is on the 0:06:08.680 --> 0:06:12.359 pup list. That leaves Damerio, Douglas kJ Osborne and the 0:06:12.440 --> 0:06:15.600 rookies Jalen Polk and Javon Baker. They'll probably all get 0:06:15.640 --> 0:06:18.479 exactly three targets in this game. Nobody's starting them anyway. 0:06:18.520 --> 0:06:19.760 Let's go to the Bengals side. 0:06:19.720 --> 0:06:22.240 Before you do. My only worry on On Stevenson is 0:06:22.279 --> 0:06:24.920 this is the game's got some blowout to it. Sure, 0:06:24.960 --> 0:06:26.920 it's got the highest it's got the it's the most 0:06:26.960 --> 0:06:31.120 lopsided Vegas line out of the week. And at some 0:06:31.200 --> 0:06:33.320 point is the running game rendered? 0:06:33.720 --> 0:06:37.800 You know, I went through all the NFL games and 0:06:37.800 --> 0:06:40.400 made a pick on every one of the games earlier 0:06:40.400 --> 0:06:44.040 today actually, and I have the Patriots going oh to seventeen. Wow, yeah, 0:06:44.040 --> 0:06:46.600 all right, they're so bad. They're so bad. 0:06:46.640 --> 0:06:47.320 Shot right here? 0:06:47.320 --> 0:06:50.760 Okay, So Ramandre might be game scripted out of every 0:06:50.839 --> 0:06:54.440 single game possible. Normally it would be all systems go 0:06:54.600 --> 0:06:58.080 for the Bengals with a grades all over. But Jamar 0:06:58.160 --> 0:07:00.840 Chase has been limited in practiced this week. T Higgins 0:07:00.920 --> 0:07:02.640 was added to the injury report on Thursday with a 0:07:02.680 --> 0:07:06.800 hamstring injury injury, and then downgraded to doubtful on Friday. 0:07:06.839 --> 0:07:09.880 I don't think he's gonna go. And Joe Burrow didn't 0:07:09.880 --> 0:07:12.360 throw for three days in a row almost all preseason 0:07:12.440 --> 0:07:15.720 due to his lingering wrist injury. Sounds like Higgins is out. 0:07:15.760 --> 0:07:18.400 With Chase missing all of camp as a holdout and 0:07:18.520 --> 0:07:21.120 just being somewhat dinged up, I'm gonna downgrade him to 0:07:21.160 --> 0:07:22.960 a B grade. And I think it's more likely that 0:07:23.000 --> 0:07:26.000 the Bengals win ugly in this one and the passing 0:07:26.040 --> 0:07:28.800 game puts up a lackluster day and the Bengals are 0:07:29.280 --> 0:07:32.520 just not very past crazy on Sunday. If you're purely 0:07:32.600 --> 0:07:35.440 desperate for a Bengals receiver, Yoshi's probably in line for 0:07:35.520 --> 0:07:39.240 a start here. That's Andre Joshawash for you, scoring at 0:07:39.280 --> 0:07:46.120 home spelled iOS I a s if you want to 0:07:46.160 --> 0:07:48.800 go find him on your waiverwear. 0:07:49.080 --> 0:07:52.400 Zach Moss and I like his opportunity and I do too. 0:07:52.440 --> 0:07:53.200 He's a good receiver. 0:07:53.320 --> 0:07:54.320 He is a good receiver. 0:07:54.760 --> 0:07:57.600 Zach Moss and Chase Brown are expected to split reps. 0:07:57.720 --> 0:08:00.800 Moss is currently listed as the starter on the depth chart. 0:08:01.160 --> 0:08:03.119 If we think it's going to be a pretty close 0:08:03.160 --> 0:08:06.000 to even time share, which I do. Let's split the 0:08:06.000 --> 0:08:08.440 average touches per game by the running back position for 0:08:08.480 --> 0:08:11.040 the Bengals last year. That was twenty three. So let's 0:08:11.040 --> 0:08:13.320 say that each of them get somewhere between nine and 0:08:13.360 --> 0:08:17.520 twelve touches. The average total yardage line against the Patriots 0:08:17.600 --> 0:08:20.120 last year by backs who had anywhere between nine and 0:08:20.160 --> 0:08:23.239 twelve touches, it's very specific, was forty four yards. 0:08:23.640 --> 0:08:24.240 That's not great. 0:08:24.280 --> 0:08:26.400 That's not great. We're hoping one of these guys will 0:08:26.440 --> 0:08:29.320 be really good. Betting odds, they're both really average. 0:08:29.400 --> 0:08:31.760 I think Zach Moss is prehemin, he's I think he's 0:08:31.760 --> 0:08:33.040 going to be the guy we'll see. 0:08:33.640 --> 0:08:35.520 Man, if you drafted one of them as a starter 0:08:35.600 --> 0:08:37.680 and it sounds like charch did, I'm sorry. I can't 0:08:37.760 --> 0:08:41.800 muster that lowest of the C grades in this one. 0:08:41.880 --> 0:08:45.040 I think that they just win this one ugly. A 0:08:45.080 --> 0:08:47.160 Sea is generous too, and it's only a starting grade 0:08:47.160 --> 0:08:49.880 because it feels like the game script will be heavily 0:08:50.080 --> 0:08:51.600 in the Bengals running backs favor. 0:08:53.720 --> 0:08:57.000 You know, I feel about Zach Moss. I know I 0:08:57.040 --> 0:08:58.280 can't give it up that easy. 0:08:58.480 --> 0:09:01.840 You also have Zach lost colored glasses on all the time. 0:09:01.880 --> 0:09:02.080 I do. 0:09:02.320 --> 0:09:05.800 Yeah, Houston takes on Indianapolis. Let's begin with the passing 0:09:05.840 --> 0:09:09.480 game here. CJ. Stroud a grade two games against Indy 0:09:09.559 --> 0:09:13.280 last year, six hundred and forty eight yards and four 0:09:13.320 --> 0:09:16.800 touchdown passes, two in each. Now he's got the deepest 0:09:16.800 --> 0:09:19.320 set of starting receivers in the league, and Indy returns 0:09:19.360 --> 0:09:22.400 almost the exact same secondary as last year, so I 0:09:22.440 --> 0:09:25.240 think we can draw on last year's conclusions. Here a 0:09:25.360 --> 0:09:28.400 grade for Nico Collins, who went berserk against the Colts 0:09:28.400 --> 0:09:31.360 in the two games last year, one hundred and forty 0:09:31.400 --> 0:09:34.719 six yards in a touchdown and then one hundred and 0:09:34.840 --> 0:09:38.720 ninety five yards in a touchdown while catching sixteen of 0:09:38.840 --> 0:09:40.880 eighteen targets for Nico Collins. 0:09:40.880 --> 0:09:43.840 So you're saying one forty six is the low bar here. 0:09:43.760 --> 0:09:46.960 That's right. Wow, Well we'll zoom pass that, okay. Steph 0:09:47.000 --> 0:09:49.319 Diggs and Tank Dell come in with B grades. Last 0:09:49.400 --> 0:09:52.800 year against indian Week two, with all three of Houston's 0:09:52.880 --> 0:09:57.240 starting receivers available, CJ. Stroud fed all three of them 0:09:57.679 --> 0:10:01.200 against this Indie team. It was Nico Collins and Tank 0:10:01.240 --> 0:10:03.640 Dell and then started Robert Woods. He can feed three 0:10:03.679 --> 0:10:07.360 receivers against this team. Diggs and Dell both are going 0:10:07.440 --> 0:10:08.720 to line up on the slot. They're going to line 0:10:08.760 --> 0:10:11.840 up outside. Dell played well versus Indian week two, put 0:10:11.960 --> 0:10:13.800 up seventy two yards in a touchdown before he broke 0:10:13.800 --> 0:10:16.080 his leg later in the year. B grades for them. 0:10:16.200 --> 0:10:19.600 Joe Mixon, I'm not sure much gas he's got left 0:10:19.600 --> 0:10:21.559 in the tank, but it's a very favorable matchup and 0:10:21.600 --> 0:10:23.839 the Colts will be busy defending the pass. Last year, 0:10:23.880 --> 0:10:26.480 the Colts allowed the fifth most fantasy points to running backs. 0:10:26.840 --> 0:10:29.920 They saw the sixth highest run play percentage last year, 0:10:29.960 --> 0:10:32.680 and they ranked as Pro Football Focuses twenty second ranked 0:10:32.720 --> 0:10:35.480 run defense. It's a very similar front seven for Indy 0:10:35.559 --> 0:10:38.280 this year, so I think we can draw that correlation 0:10:38.360 --> 0:10:40.800 to last year. Joe Mixon comes in with a B grade, 0:10:40.880 --> 0:10:42.839 and I'm putting Dalton Schultz on the bench, who was 0:10:42.920 --> 0:10:45.040 very quiet in these games against Indy last year. And 0:10:45.080 --> 0:10:47.360 the Colts were a good tight end defense, allowing just 0:10:47.400 --> 0:10:49.360 three tight end touchdowns all year. 0:10:49.480 --> 0:10:51.640 So Stroud can support three but not four. 0:10:51.760 --> 0:10:53.280 But that not all the way to the tight end, 0:10:53.280 --> 0:10:54.680 all right, I gotta go with that. We'll cut it 0:10:54.720 --> 0:10:57.199 off at three. Let's go to the indie side. Jonathan 0:10:57.200 --> 0:11:00.360 Taylor easya in the eighteen Week eighteen meeting between these 0:11:00.400 --> 0:11:02.760 teams last year, he rolled up thirty carries for one 0:11:02.840 --> 0:11:05.040 hundred and eighty eight yards in a score. And that 0:11:05.600 --> 0:11:07.800 was a game both teams are trying to win, even 0:11:07.840 --> 0:11:10.320 though it was Week eighteen. Let's go to the passing game. 0:11:11.240 --> 0:11:13.839 Anthony Richardson comes in with a B grade. He got 0:11:13.920 --> 0:11:16.840 knocked out of the Week two Houston matchup before half, 0:11:16.880 --> 0:11:20.719 but he still ran in two touchdowns before half. The 0:11:20.760 --> 0:11:25.439 Texans gave up a league worst seven quarterback rushing touchdowns 0:11:25.520 --> 0:11:28.880 last year, but they led the NFL with only seventeen 0:11:28.960 --> 0:11:33.520 passing touchdowns allowed thirteen of seventeen opposing passers through zero 0:11:33.640 --> 0:11:36.280 or one touchdowns against them. This we're point is we're 0:11:36.280 --> 0:11:38.319 really here for the rushing on Anthony Richardson, which keeps 0:11:38.400 --> 0:11:40.640 him in a B grade. I'm not super optimistic about 0:11:41.000 --> 0:11:44.560 his ability to fill a stat line through the air, 0:11:44.920 --> 0:11:47.319 but Michael Pittman, I'm still going in with a B grade. 0:11:47.480 --> 0:11:50.480 Quiet in bost of the Houston games just fifty six 0:11:50.559 --> 0:11:54.280 and forty four scoreless yards last year. But Houston's best cornerback, 0:11:54.320 --> 0:11:57.040 Darryl Stingley, is small and would be a physical mismatch 0:11:57.040 --> 0:11:59.640 for Pittman. So maybe he gets matched up against second 0:11:59.720 --> 0:12:03.079 round rookie Kamari Lassiter, which making his NFL debut, and 0:12:03.120 --> 0:12:05.960 that'd be a strong advantage to Michael Pittman. So I'm 0:12:06.160 --> 0:12:09.000 keeping a B grade on Pittman. Josh Down's not expected 0:12:09.040 --> 0:12:11.559 to play in this game, and the Donnie Mitchell or 0:12:11.760 --> 0:12:15.319 is gonna get some extra time here. With Josh downs out, 0:12:15.600 --> 0:12:18.160 Alt Pierce will get some more work and Mitchell's got 0:12:18.200 --> 0:12:22.880 a chance here. Now it's Mitchell's speed versus Darryl Stingley's speed. 0:12:24.040 --> 0:12:26.280 What do you think about that speed on speed matchup? 0:12:26.360 --> 0:12:27.480 That could be fun. 0:12:27.520 --> 0:12:29.720 I'm not the biggest fan of a Donna Mitchell, I 0:12:29.760 --> 0:12:33.280 will say, very very inconsistent player. I know they want 0:12:33.320 --> 0:12:35.440 to get him some more looks here with Josh downs Down, 0:12:35.520 --> 0:12:37.839 but I would honestly prefer Alec Pierce. I think that 0:12:38.240 --> 0:12:41.520 Mitchell had the great testing profile, but super duber inconsistent 0:12:41.559 --> 0:12:43.400 at two different colleges, and you and. 0:12:43.440 --> 0:12:45.760 I talked about him in the preseason quite a bit, 0:12:45.840 --> 0:12:49.000 and you know, the off season shows. I feel like 0:12:49.040 --> 0:12:51.280 he's just really raw. I don't think he's as ready 0:12:51.320 --> 0:12:54.680 to make an instant debut as say Xavier Worthy did 0:12:54.960 --> 0:12:55.719 on Thursday night. 0:12:55.800 --> 0:12:58.400 Thousand percent. He's a Donna Mitchell in the NFL. Is 0:12:58.400 --> 0:12:59.240 a downfield guy. 0:12:59.280 --> 0:13:02.000 Especially right away. It's a it's a Gabe Davis type profile. 0:13:02.160 --> 0:13:04.960 How many Xavier Worthy tweets did you get last night? 0:13:05.440 --> 0:13:08.480 A lot, A lot, a lot. 0:13:08.720 --> 0:13:11.439 When we come back, take a chance on me the 0:13:11.520 --> 0:13:14.000 hind players not normally in your starting lineup. Find out 0:13:14.040 --> 0:13:16.480 which sleepers you can start this week when we returned 0:13:16.520 --> 0:14:00.280 to Fantasy Football Week, take a chance on me nine 0:14:00.320 --> 0:14:03.760 players not normally in your starting lineup. Let's begin at 0:14:03.760 --> 0:14:06.360 the quarterback position and Matt Harrison, who you got? 0:14:07.000 --> 0:14:09.120 I got Jayden Daniels because I think it might be 0:14:09.120 --> 0:14:11.079 the only time I can use Daniels as to take 0:14:11.080 --> 0:14:14.120 a chance on me quarterback, So I'm gonna do it. Sorry, 0:14:14.160 --> 0:14:17.120 thor I took a rookie. Can't do that, can I? 0:14:17.720 --> 0:14:19.760 He looked sharp in the preseason, both through the air 0:14:19.800 --> 0:14:21.960 and on the ground. He faces a Bucks defense that 0:14:22.040 --> 0:14:25.800 did nothing this offseason but sign all their guys back, 0:14:25.880 --> 0:14:28.760 and last year they allowed the fifth most passing yards 0:14:28.760 --> 0:14:31.640 and were twenty first in pressure rate. This seems like 0:14:31.680 --> 0:14:34.600 a perfect defense for a rookie to start his career against, 0:14:34.960 --> 0:14:37.720 lots of film on them and not great results. Also, 0:14:38.120 --> 0:14:40.960 three quarterbacks had at least six rushing attempts against Tampa 0:14:41.040 --> 0:14:43.880 last year. The average rushing line for those qbs was 0:14:43.920 --> 0:14:46.680 thirty six yards, and all three of them scored a 0:14:46.680 --> 0:14:47.600 touchdown on the ground. 0:14:47.680 --> 0:14:49.920 All right, we're here for the rushing for Jaden Daniels 0:14:49.960 --> 0:14:52.120 as much as anything else. Thor your take a chance 0:14:52.160 --> 0:14:53.160 at me quarterback. 0:14:52.880 --> 0:14:55.760 Taking Jared goffin this game against his former team. This 0:14:55.880 --> 0:14:58.160 is a shootout that has expected the highest total on 0:14:58.200 --> 0:15:00.760 the entire NFL board this week. Has been great in 0:15:00.800 --> 0:15:03.480 shootouts in his career. He's averaged two hundred and seventy 0:15:03.520 --> 0:15:05.960 one yards and over two passing touchdowns when the lines 0:15:05.960 --> 0:15:09.120 have reached twenty five points. This game that the Lions 0:15:09.160 --> 0:15:12.160 is total implied total is nearly thirty points, and of 0:15:12.160 --> 0:15:14.520 course the Rams have an average pass defense, so expecting 0:15:14.520 --> 0:15:15.360 a good game for golf. 0:15:15.560 --> 0:15:18.760 I'm going Gardner Minshew against the Chargers. I'm going to 0:15:19.080 --> 0:15:21.240 I'm looking at the Chargers schedule from last year, and 0:15:21.240 --> 0:15:24.040 I'm going to subtract out three games. A Blame Gabbert 0:15:24.080 --> 0:15:28.360 start against them, a Bailey Zappie start against them, and 0:15:28.480 --> 0:15:31.000 a game against them from Lamar Jackson which was such 0:15:31.040 --> 0:15:32.800 a one sided blowout that he didn't pass in the 0:15:32.800 --> 0:15:37.160 whole game, barely through like nineteen passes. The other fourteen 0:15:37.240 --> 0:15:40.520 quarterbacks to face the Chargers averaged two hundred and eighty 0:15:40.640 --> 0:15:43.400 four yards, which would have made them the bottom ranked 0:15:43.400 --> 0:15:46.240 pass defense across the entire NFL last year, and they 0:15:46.240 --> 0:15:49.440 were like twenty ninth. Anyway, you might be thinking, oh, 0:15:49.480 --> 0:15:52.120 but the Chargers defense got better in the offseason, Well 0:15:52.360 --> 0:15:55.320 not really. The only off season addition to the starting 0:15:55.400 --> 0:15:59.800 Chargers secondary was cornerback Christian Fulton, which is probably subtraction 0:15:59.880 --> 0:16:03.920 by addition, considering he was Pro Football Focuses one hundred 0:16:03.960 --> 0:16:08.320 and twenty third ranked cornerback in coverage and he allowed 0:16:08.320 --> 0:16:10.600 an opposer passer rating of one hundred and twenty nine. 0:16:11.040 --> 0:16:13.600 I think Minshew's sitting on a nice game here. Let's 0:16:13.600 --> 0:16:15.240 go to the running back position, Matt. 0:16:15.560 --> 0:16:18.440 I've got former Charger Austin Eckler. I mentioned that I 0:16:18.560 --> 0:16:21.120 liked this quarterback because The Bucks are weak against the pass, 0:16:21.120 --> 0:16:23.560 but they were absolutely awesome against the run last season, 0:16:23.960 --> 0:16:27.280 So why Eckler here? They were great against the rushing 0:16:27.320 --> 0:16:29.080 part of the run, but they didn't face a ton 0:16:29.120 --> 0:16:32.240 of pass catching backs of note last year. When they did, 0:16:32.600 --> 0:16:37.600 guys like Alvin Kamara had thirteen receptions, McCaffrey had five catches, 0:16:37.920 --> 0:16:40.840 Beijon had five catches, and really those were the guys 0:16:40.840 --> 0:16:42.960 that had anything close to the pedigree of Eckler in 0:16:43.000 --> 0:16:46.240 the pass catching department. Over the last five seasons, Eckler's 0:16:46.320 --> 0:16:49.520 averaged just over five receptions per game. So in a 0:16:49.560 --> 0:16:52.760 PPR league, I'm putting five points in my pocket already, 0:16:52.760 --> 0:16:54.240 and I think he's gonna do a lot more. 0:16:54.120 --> 0:16:56.880 All right, thor you're take a chance with me running back? 0:16:57.120 --> 0:16:59.200 Sticking with that Rams Lions game, I'm gonna go with 0:16:59.240 --> 0:17:01.960 Blake korm here at running back. He has already been 0:17:02.000 --> 0:17:04.560 named the Rams starting kick returner, and I think and 0:17:04.880 --> 0:17:06.920 have mentioned this, you know since over the summer that 0:17:07.000 --> 0:17:09.600 Korum is going to chomp into Kyron's early downwork more 0:17:09.600 --> 0:17:12.800 than most are anticipating this game. Of course, the highest 0:17:12.880 --> 0:17:14.840 the highest point total on the board, the Rams are 0:17:14.840 --> 0:17:16.520 going to be around the goal line quite a bit. 0:17:16.840 --> 0:17:19.800 Koram was last draft class's best goal line back, and 0:17:19.800 --> 0:17:22.439 I'm not sure that it was close. Scored twenty seven touchdowns. 0:17:22.600 --> 0:17:24.600 He's going to be the Rams' goal line back if 0:17:24.640 --> 0:17:26.600 nothing else. I think he gets a bunch of short 0:17:27.119 --> 0:17:29.160 the early downwork as well. And I will have more 0:17:29.200 --> 0:17:31.080 on Blake Koram later in the show. 0:17:31.119 --> 0:17:33.920 Okay, I like it. I like it. My running back 0:17:35.240 --> 0:17:38.520 staying in LA different la running back JK. Dobbins. I 0:17:38.520 --> 0:17:40.320 prefer Gus Edwards and we'll talk more about him later 0:17:40.359 --> 0:17:42.480 in the show. But we still't know what this Chargers 0:17:42.560 --> 0:17:45.399 backfield rotation is going to look like. Is it fifty 0:17:45.400 --> 0:17:49.080 to fifty Edwards and Dobbins? Is it forty forty twenty 0:17:49.119 --> 0:17:53.119 with Kamani Vidala making an immediate impact possible. What we 0:17:53.200 --> 0:17:56.439 do know is that Jim Harbaugh and Greg Roman are 0:17:56.440 --> 0:18:00.600 going to run like crazy, especially considering the unproven receivers 0:18:00.680 --> 0:18:03.760 on the Chargers roster. At this point. The Raiders were 0:18:03.800 --> 0:18:06.520 an average not great run defense last year that did 0:18:06.520 --> 0:18:08.640 not make any obvious improvements to their front seven. We'll 0:18:08.640 --> 0:18:10.840 try the old JK. Dobbins as a deep dark throw. 0:18:11.760 --> 0:18:14.760 Matt Let's go to By the way, we're going to 0:18:14.840 --> 0:18:16.639 talk a little dark throws. I gotta get that. 0:18:16.920 --> 0:18:17.280 There you go. 0:18:17.320 --> 0:18:19.080 Yeah, let's go to the ride receiver position. 0:18:19.520 --> 0:18:22.280 I got Adam Thielen, who faces the Saints this weekend, 0:18:22.400 --> 0:18:26.520 who have one absolutely brutal cornerback and it's their slot 0:18:26.520 --> 0:18:30.520 corner Alonte Taylor. In his coverage last year, Taylor allowed 0:18:30.560 --> 0:18:32.879 the fourth most passing yards in the league and was 0:18:32.960 --> 0:18:37.600 bottom ten in that category against in touchdowns allowed. Guess 0:18:37.600 --> 0:18:40.280 who one of those scores was Adam Thielen in the 0:18:40.320 --> 0:18:43.840 September matchup, where he had seven catches for fifty four yards. 0:18:44.040 --> 0:18:46.560 In the other game, he managed five catches for seventy 0:18:46.600 --> 0:18:49.000 four yards. So in a PPR league, I think it's 0:18:49.040 --> 0:18:51.520 a twelve point game at least. And I know Deonta 0:18:51.680 --> 0:18:53.119 is there and he should be the top dog, But 0:18:53.560 --> 0:18:57.480 Peelan still averaged almost seven catchable targets per game, and 0:18:57.560 --> 0:18:59.400 I think he's got as good as hands as anybody. 0:18:59.440 --> 0:19:00.879 If it's near, he's gonna catch it. 0:19:01.000 --> 0:19:03.040 I like that angle. If you sold me on that. Yeah, 0:19:03.160 --> 0:19:05.600 all right, let's go to Thorpe. You take a chance 0:19:05.600 --> 0:19:06.399 on meat wide receiver. 0:19:06.640 --> 0:19:09.120 Are you ready to be hurt? By Jamison Williams again. 0:19:09.800 --> 0:19:13.120 Well, I have never been hurt by him because I've 0:19:13.200 --> 0:19:16.240 never I've never been out of the believer. But maybe 0:19:16.240 --> 0:19:17.080 this is the time. 0:19:17.160 --> 0:19:19.240 I'm ready to be hurt by James Williams again. 0:19:19.480 --> 0:19:21.639 Now, of course, you only reached sixty percent of the 0:19:21.720 --> 0:19:24.239 snaps in four games last season after her return from 0:19:24.280 --> 0:19:26.720 his gamling suspension. Everyone knows his rookie season. Of course 0:19:26.760 --> 0:19:28.760 got a chomp out of it as well. But at 0:19:28.840 --> 0:19:32.760 least the NFL has confidence in him. ESPN's Jeremy Fowler 0:19:32.800 --> 0:19:35.520 recently reported that Jamison Williams was the number one volt 0:19:35.520 --> 0:19:39.159 geter from league executives and scouts for the breakout player 0:19:39.240 --> 0:19:40.280 in twenty twenty four. 0:19:40.359 --> 0:19:41.879 Okay, so they at least believe. 0:19:42.119 --> 0:19:44.000 And then, of course you have the departure of Josh 0:19:44.040 --> 0:19:47.400 Reynolds opens the door for more potential targets for Jamison Williams. 0:19:47.560 --> 0:19:49.720 And this is a really good matchup for him for 0:19:49.800 --> 0:19:51.359 the Wheels to go up off the ground at the 0:19:51.359 --> 0:19:54.280 start of the season against that mediocre Rams pass defense 0:19:54.440 --> 0:19:56.159 in a game. Again have I mentioned this before? It 0:19:56.160 --> 0:19:57.919 has the highest total on the board this year. The 0:19:57.920 --> 0:20:00.720 point total Williams is hyper. He could lead to a 0:20:00.720 --> 0:20:03.159 few big plays against the secondary that coughs them up. 0:20:03.200 --> 0:20:04.600 We're gonna go with Jamis and Williams. 0:20:05.200 --> 0:20:08.560 Hey, thor which game has the highest total? The highest 0:20:08.640 --> 0:20:09.280 Vegas total? 0:20:09.800 --> 0:20:11.840 Rams, Lions? Maybe get ready for a shootout. 0:20:12.280 --> 0:20:15.080 Hey, I found a ram that we haven't talked about yet, 0:20:15.080 --> 0:20:18.240 DeMarcus Robinson in this game. This is, of course, the 0:20:18.320 --> 0:20:21.160 Rams wide receiver. He didn't start getting real snaps until 0:20:21.160 --> 0:20:24.240 Week twelve of last year, and he had a major 0:20:24.320 --> 0:20:28.360 impact in those final weeks of the season, averaging sixty 0:20:28.400 --> 0:20:32.000 four yards and almost a full touchdown per game. The 0:20:32.080 --> 0:20:34.680 Lions allowed the third most fantasy points to wide receivers 0:20:34.720 --> 0:20:37.840 last year, and in Detroit did overhaul their entire secondary, 0:20:38.040 --> 0:20:41.040 mostly all but all those moving parts. Does it all 0:20:41.040 --> 0:20:44.840 come together in Week one? Maybe not. Robinson's gonna see 0:20:44.840 --> 0:20:47.320 a lot of rookie cornerback Terry and Arnold who makes 0:20:47.320 --> 0:20:50.199 his NFL debut. He's probably gonna be good. He was 0:20:50.200 --> 0:20:51.879 taken in the first round. But is he good in 0:20:51.920 --> 0:20:56.120 week one? Maybe not? DeMarcus Robinson, It's got some opportunities here. 0:20:57.400 --> 0:21:00.760 Let's go back to some matchups. Thore Jacksonville Daguar's taking 0:21:00.760 --> 0:21:04.800 on the mat Miami Dolphins for Jacksonville. A lot of 0:21:04.800 --> 0:21:08.240 the same parts, but no Calvin Ridley. Now Gabe Davis 0:21:08.280 --> 0:21:11.560 comes in. That's a pretty sizable downgrade, but Brian Thomas 0:21:11.600 --> 0:21:15.480 is an exciting addition. Let's talk through the Jaguars side 0:21:15.480 --> 0:21:16.520 of this first BTJ. 0:21:16.760 --> 0:21:19.040 Yeah, start with Trevor Lawrence. I'm gonna give him a 0:21:19.080 --> 0:21:21.080 B grade in this matchup. Of course, he's coming off 0:21:21.080 --> 0:21:24.000 that frustrating twenty twenty three, but he's still ranked KB 0:21:24.119 --> 0:21:27.080 thirteen in Fantasy points per game during that disappointing season, 0:21:27.400 --> 0:21:30.480 and this is a great matchup in another expected shootout. 0:21:30.680 --> 0:21:32.639 This is the second highest total on the board this 0:21:32.680 --> 0:21:33.439 week in the NFL. 0:21:33.520 --> 0:21:33.960 This game. 0:21:34.160 --> 0:21:36.720 Dolphins gave up the tenth most fantasy points per game 0:21:36.760 --> 0:21:39.439 to quarterbacks last year, and everybody knows Miami as a 0:21:39.440 --> 0:21:42.560 good secondary, but their pass rush is compromising this game. 0:21:42.720 --> 0:21:44.720 Bradley Chubble course at the ACL is out. 0:21:44.920 --> 0:21:48.680 Jalen Phillips with his achilles is questionable, so Lawrence's gonna 0:21:48.720 --> 0:21:50.840 have time back there in what is expected to be 0:21:50.840 --> 0:21:55.200 a good game. Script Travis Etn is a great a 0:21:55.200 --> 0:21:57.000 good matchup for him as well in a game that's 0:21:57.040 --> 0:21:58.760 going to be high scoring. He's going to get his 0:21:58.840 --> 0:22:01.720 yardage and should be good for at least a touchdown here. 0:22:02.320 --> 0:22:04.560 Christian Kirk, I'm gonna give him a B was a 0:22:04.600 --> 0:22:08.040 top twenty Fantasy wide receiver between weeks two and twelve. 0:22:08.119 --> 0:22:11.879 Last year, Dolphins were a bottom ten team defending slot 0:22:11.880 --> 0:22:17.160 wide receivers. That's because of Caterkahu, their nickel guy for Miami. 0:22:17.520 --> 0:22:20.640 Eighty three point five percent catch rate allowed last year 0:22:20.680 --> 0:22:23.399 on targets awful, and get this, the passer rating that 0:22:23.440 --> 0:22:24.280 guy allowed. 0:22:24.040 --> 0:22:26.679 One hundred and thirty two point nine. 0:22:27.080 --> 0:22:28.840 That had to be about as bad as any corner 0:22:28.880 --> 0:22:29.399 in the league. 0:22:29.440 --> 0:22:31.520 He gets lit up like a Christmas tree and Chris 0:22:31.720 --> 0:22:33.680 Christian Kirk is going to start the party this year. 0:22:33.720 --> 0:22:35.480 Can we move him to an A? You just sold 0:22:35.560 --> 0:22:37.000 me on it, all right, I'm going a thank you. 0:22:37.119 --> 0:22:41.360 We're switching Kirk to a Brian Thomas making his NFL debut, 0:22:41.520 --> 0:22:45.240 Gonna give him a C bench, Gabe Davis, if there's 0:22:45.280 --> 0:22:47.040 one guy you want to take a shot on that 0:22:47.160 --> 0:22:49.840 is a non Christian Kirk named wide receiver, it is 0:22:49.880 --> 0:22:53.119 BTJ Thomas. So we didn't see him a ton in 0:22:53.160 --> 0:22:56.520 the preseason, but when we did, twenty point five A 0:22:56.680 --> 0:22:58.800 dot for Brian Thomas Junior, and of course he was 0:22:58.800 --> 0:23:01.320 an assassin at LSH You they sort of kept him 0:23:01.400 --> 0:23:05.520 under wraps, you know, beyond that did Jacksonville this preseason. 0:23:05.760 --> 0:23:07.880 But I think it's possible you get some intermediate looks 0:23:07.880 --> 0:23:09.400 there if nothing else. 0:23:09.440 --> 0:23:10.880 He is a rich Man's Gabe Davis. 0:23:10.880 --> 0:23:12.720 So if we're gonna take a shot on upside on 0:23:12.720 --> 0:23:14.600 one guy, it is going to be Brian Thomas Junior 0:23:14.880 --> 0:23:16.680 in this matchup. So I'm gonna give him a C. 0:23:17.240 --> 0:23:21.240 Evan ingram A of course remains he's a mustard in 0:23:21.280 --> 0:23:23.720 this matchup. What's going to be a very good game script. 0:23:24.680 --> 0:23:27.119 Moving over to the Dolphins here to we're gonna give 0:23:27.200 --> 0:23:29.400 him a grade a B. He was the NFL leader 0:23:29.400 --> 0:23:33.040 in passing yardage last season, but still only finish quarterbacks 0:23:33.080 --> 0:23:35.960 sixteen and fantasy points per game. Of course, he still 0:23:35.960 --> 0:23:38.880 has the accuracy was number three and highly accurate throw 0:23:38.960 --> 0:23:41.399 rate last year, and this this is a solid matchup. 0:23:41.440 --> 0:23:43.520 The jaeg Orris are bottom seven last year in passing 0:23:43.560 --> 0:23:46.600 touchdowns and yards allowed per game, and also fantasy points 0:23:46.600 --> 0:23:49.520 per game allowed to quarterbacks. The touchdowns is the only 0:23:49.560 --> 0:23:52.159 thing that the variants on that where I bumped to 0:23:52.200 --> 0:23:52.639 it to a b. 0:23:52.960 --> 0:23:55.800 Well, and it's because they love to run the ball 0:23:56.080 --> 0:23:57.520 for sure, you know. And that's you know, if you're 0:23:57.520 --> 0:24:01.000 gonna get raheem Mostered finished with what eighteen touchdown last year? Sure, 0:24:01.040 --> 0:24:02.480 so yeah, that's part of it. 0:24:02.600 --> 0:24:05.720 And Devin Auchan he gets an a here running back 0:24:05.760 --> 0:24:08.440 five and fantasy points per game number one in explosive 0:24:08.480 --> 0:24:10.960 run rate, was also number two in yards after contact 0:24:10.960 --> 0:24:14.120 per attempt as a rookie. Jaguars allowed the twelfth most 0:24:14.200 --> 0:24:18.480 rushing yards last year a middling run defense. A Chane 0:24:18.600 --> 0:24:22.240 must Art Rahie Moster, the aforementioned Moster great b here 0:24:22.320 --> 0:24:25.360 he averaged seventeen point two fantasy points per game win 0:24:25.520 --> 0:24:28.960 playing with a Chane in twenty twenty three, I felt 0:24:29.000 --> 0:24:31.080 like he went a little bit underdrafted this summer, did 0:24:31.119 --> 0:24:33.760 most of it. This is gonna be great, yeah in 0:24:33.800 --> 0:24:35.879 this game here, this specific matchup, this is going to 0:24:35.920 --> 0:24:38.359 be a fast paced game with points galore. That's a 0:24:38.400 --> 0:24:41.800 Moster game script. Jaguars were twelfth worst in fantasy points 0:24:41.840 --> 0:24:45.320 allowed to running backs per game last year, and Jacksonville 0:24:45.400 --> 0:24:48.520 was dead last in receptions allowed to opposing running backs. 0:24:48.680 --> 0:24:51.520 So Moster a good matchup for him, Tyreek killichourse must start. 0:24:52.080 --> 0:24:55.480 Jaylen Waddell gets a be wide receiver thirty four in 0:24:55.560 --> 0:24:58.960 PPR last year after being wide receiver seven and twenty 0:24:59.000 --> 0:25:01.760 twenty two fight his thousand yard season, but of course 0:25:01.800 --> 0:25:04.760 only had the four touchdowns. Speaking to the game script thing, yeah, 0:25:04.800 --> 0:25:07.719 the Dolphins average three point eight more rushing yards, are 0:25:07.760 --> 0:25:10.399 more rushing attempts than the year before last year, so 0:25:10.440 --> 0:25:13.400 that goes against him. And then last one, John new 0:25:13.440 --> 0:25:16.199 Smith gets a be here. Last year, the Dolphins tight 0:25:16.280 --> 0:25:17.040 ends scored zero. 0:25:17.280 --> 0:25:18.199 I'm going high on him. 0:25:18.240 --> 0:25:20.359 Scored zero touchdowns and average are only a little more 0:25:20.400 --> 0:25:22.679 than three targets per game. I think John new Smith 0:25:22.720 --> 0:25:25.280 finally gives them that third option in the receiving game 0:25:25.440 --> 0:25:26.679 to go a cheetah and waddle. 0:25:26.800 --> 0:25:29.439 He's a skilled receiver and a good athlete charts. 0:25:29.920 --> 0:25:33.119 Keep in mind on a sixty yard touchdown last October, 0:25:33.200 --> 0:25:34.280 John who was clocked by. 0:25:34.160 --> 0:25:36.200 The GPS with the third fastest. 0:25:35.760 --> 0:25:38.080 Top end speed up any tight end in the NFL 0:25:38.280 --> 0:25:41.800 since twenty sixteen, twenty one point one Miles Prower. 0:25:42.119 --> 0:25:43.480 That guy still got juice. 0:25:43.520 --> 0:25:45.960 The Jaguarers gave up the fifth most fantasy points per 0:25:45.960 --> 0:25:48.440 game to tight ends last year, John who wheels up? 0:25:48.600 --> 0:25:51.439 I love it, John hu Smith fantastic. You know you 0:25:51.520 --> 0:25:54.560 know that guy's close to my heart. More matchups coming 0:25:54.640 --> 0:26:10.440 up when we come back. Fantasy Football Weekly. Welcome back 0:26:10.480 --> 0:26:14.680 Fantasy Football Weekly. Guillotine Leagues dot com. It's the funnest, 0:26:14.680 --> 0:26:17.119 freshest way to play fantasy football. You know how it works. 0:26:17.440 --> 0:26:20.560 Start the tea the season with up to eighteen teams, 0:26:20.720 --> 0:26:23.879 and then every week the low scoring team gets chopped, 0:26:23.880 --> 0:26:26.200 other players go to the waiver wire, and the rest 0:26:26.200 --> 0:26:29.919 of us start building superstar rosters. You're playing to not 0:26:30.119 --> 0:26:35.800 finish last leagues forming basically all year. Practically we're gonna go, 0:26:35.880 --> 0:26:38.439 you know, deep into the season. You have lots of 0:26:38.440 --> 0:26:40.960 opportunities to play and private leagues this year totally free 0:26:41.040 --> 0:26:44.880 gating leagues dot com. Let's jump back to the matchups. 0:26:45.240 --> 0:26:48.719 Carolina Panthers New Orleans Saints is not the sexiest matchup, 0:26:48.720 --> 0:26:52.000 but you already identified one sleeper you liked, Adam Thielen 0:26:52.280 --> 0:26:55.560 in this matchup. Any other Panthers that you're grooving on here? 0:26:55.680 --> 0:26:58.040 Yeah, theeling was might take a chance on me wide receiver. 0:26:58.520 --> 0:27:02.480 I'd give him a solid plus. I like him better 0:27:02.520 --> 0:27:04.440 than his running mate Deontay Johnson. 0:27:04.520 --> 0:27:06.680 Unfortunate long pause in that what. 0:27:08.560 --> 0:27:11.040 Deontay Johnson gets a bench grade for me, He'll mostly 0:27:11.119 --> 0:27:14.600 draw Marshawn Lattimore and Paulson to Devo on the perimeter. 0:27:15.040 --> 0:27:18.760 Dabo finished his PFF's number twenty one graded corner out 0:27:18.760 --> 0:27:22.000 of a possible two hundred and twenty seven players, and 0:27:22.119 --> 0:27:25.159 Latimore only allowed three hundred and seventeen yards in his 0:27:25.240 --> 0:27:28.560 coverage all of last year. Both of those guys allowed 0:27:28.640 --> 0:27:31.840 exactly one touchdown in their coverage in twenty twenty three. 0:27:32.400 --> 0:27:34.840 I can't figure out a way to get Deontay into 0:27:34.840 --> 0:27:37.160 a lineup this week. And if I don't like Deontay, 0:27:37.160 --> 0:27:39.840 I really can't start Bryce Young, who in two full 0:27:39.880 --> 0:27:44.040 games against the Saints last year had yardage totals of 0:27:44.119 --> 0:27:47.040 one fifty three and one thirty seven. 0:27:47.160 --> 0:27:47.400 Wow. 0:27:47.480 --> 0:27:47.960 That's bad. 0:27:48.040 --> 0:27:50.840 That's bad. Now. They did bolster the offensive line with 0:27:50.880 --> 0:27:53.240 some free agents, but I'm not sure if it's enough 0:27:53.240 --> 0:27:55.520 for me to start Bryce Young in a scenario where 0:27:55.520 --> 0:27:57.879 I haven't seen him play a good game really in 0:27:57.920 --> 0:28:00.840 a long time. Chuba Hubbard, it's the only guy that 0:28:01.280 --> 0:28:04.439 you would actually think of playing outside of Theelan in 0:28:04.440 --> 0:28:06.919 this one. He should be the main ballcarrier against the 0:28:06.920 --> 0:28:10.119 Saints this weekend. If he's utilized anything like he was 0:28:10.160 --> 0:28:13.000 in their December matchup, where he had twenty five touches 0:28:13.040 --> 0:28:16.240 for ninety six total yards. That's not bad, but new 0:28:16.240 --> 0:28:19.840 head coach Dave Kanalis's track record against the Saints with 0:28:19.920 --> 0:28:22.880 his running backs was if he at best. Last year 0:28:22.880 --> 0:28:26.879 in Tampa, they had Rashad White and either Keishan Vaughn 0:28:27.080 --> 0:28:30.639 or Chase Edmonds basically split touches in their two meetings 0:28:30.640 --> 0:28:33.520 with the Saints last year. He just went totally game 0:28:33.560 --> 0:28:36.320 split in that one. And by the way, Rashad White 0:28:36.359 --> 0:28:38.160 had a ton of touches last year, which I'll talk 0:28:38.160 --> 0:28:40.440 about a little later in the show. But they did 0:28:40.600 --> 0:28:42.400 very little on the ground and they did most of 0:28:42.440 --> 0:28:44.960 their damage through the air. Hubbard not really a pass 0:28:45.000 --> 0:28:47.400 catching back, so it seems like there's just not enough 0:28:47.440 --> 0:28:49.360 meat on the bone for a start here. I'm going 0:28:49.400 --> 0:28:52.400 to keep him on the bench On the Saints side. 0:28:52.480 --> 0:28:54.960 Chris o'lave, I'm only going to give him a B 0:28:55.120 --> 0:28:57.360 grade in this one. The noteworthy thing about the Panthers 0:28:57.440 --> 0:29:00.600 defense last season was they were so bad against the 0:29:00.720 --> 0:29:04.680 run that barely anyone threw against them, or were they 0:29:04.800 --> 0:29:08.560 kind of good in the secondary? That's possible. Troy Hill 0:29:08.640 --> 0:29:12.560 and j. C. Horn were both above average corners. Both 0:29:12.600 --> 0:29:16.040 held opponents to an A dot under twelve, so they 0:29:16.040 --> 0:29:19.360 were definitely fine giving up the underneath stuff. And Olave 0:29:19.520 --> 0:29:23.240 had two like so so days against the Panthers four 0:29:23.320 --> 0:29:25.840 for twenty eight and a score and six for eighty 0:29:25.880 --> 0:29:28.760 six in the other one. If you feel comfortable with 0:29:28.840 --> 0:29:31.800 like ten to twelve PPR points, I think that's about 0:29:32.040 --> 0:29:34.640 where Olave lands here. As for the rest of the 0:29:34.680 --> 0:29:37.880 Saints passing game, including Derek Carr and Taysom Hill, I 0:29:37.920 --> 0:29:39.960 got them all on the bench as a member of 0:29:40.000 --> 0:29:42.800 the Saints last year. Carr did tally three hundred and 0:29:42.800 --> 0:29:48.080 forty seven passing yards against the Panthers total in two games. 0:29:48.480 --> 0:29:51.280 That's not good. And I know, I don't know what 0:29:51.440 --> 0:29:53.920 league you're in where you need to start Car right now. 0:29:54.360 --> 0:29:56.040 It's like one of those leagues where you have no 0:29:56.200 --> 0:29:59.080 choice but to start to start a Saints quarterback. 0:30:00.040 --> 0:30:00.800 It's quarterback. 0:30:00.880 --> 0:30:02.840 You have to start a Saints quarterback in this one 0:30:02.880 --> 0:30:05.000 weird league that Scott Fish made up the weird rules 0:30:05.000 --> 0:30:08.000 on I'm sure Alvin Kamara, he gets a B grade. 0:30:09.120 --> 0:30:12.640 Kamara managed fifty six rushing yards and a score and 0:30:12.800 --> 0:30:15.760 in only twelve touches in his loan outing against the 0:30:15.760 --> 0:30:18.800 Panthers last year, and the Panthers allowed the most total 0:30:18.840 --> 0:30:22.360 touchdowns to running backs last year with twenty five, but 0:30:22.440 --> 0:30:25.080 they did bolster the d line with run stuffer Ashan 0:30:25.200 --> 0:30:28.000 Robinson and Alvin is nearing that age where you put 0:30:28.000 --> 0:30:30.400 your teeth in a glass on your bedside table at night. 0:30:30.480 --> 0:30:33.080 So we're gonna talk more about Cliff could come soon. 0:30:33.280 --> 0:30:37.960 Yes, Vikings taking on the Giants. Let's start with the 0:30:38.000 --> 0:30:42.080 a topic here. Sam Darnold, there's a chance that the 0:30:42.160 --> 0:30:46.560 Giants front four, defensive front four just wrecks this game 0:30:46.640 --> 0:30:50.760 for Minnesota. I'm worried about Brian Burns, Dexter, Lawrence Kevon Thibodeau. 0:30:51.160 --> 0:30:55.000 This might be the league's best pass rushing trifecta that 0:30:55.080 --> 0:30:58.120 there is and doesn't At the end of the day, 0:30:58.160 --> 0:31:00.000 maybe it doesn't matter. Minnesota is going to pass anyway. 0:31:00.240 --> 0:31:03.440 Kevin O'Connell's a former quarterback former quarterback coach. The past 0:31:03.440 --> 0:31:06.240 two years, the Vikings ranked third and third in passing 0:31:06.320 --> 0:31:09.640 play percentage. So just through sheer volume. If nothing else, 0:31:09.920 --> 0:31:12.000 I think you can still start Sam Donald with a 0:31:12.040 --> 0:31:15.240 C grade. But again, there is a chance this whole 0:31:15.280 --> 0:31:17.200 thing goes upside down at the line of scrimmage. The 0:31:17.280 --> 0:31:22.680 Viking's interior offensive line is not particularly good. Justin Jefferson 0:31:23.000 --> 0:31:26.360 obvious a But you know again, I understand the Sam 0:31:26.400 --> 0:31:29.040 Donald concerns. But see Justin Jefferson in this offense goes 0:31:29.080 --> 0:31:32.760 through him first and foremost. Let's not forget Jordan Addison 0:31:33.840 --> 0:31:34.760 all the offseason. 0:31:35.040 --> 0:31:36.000 You know, bad news. 0:31:36.040 --> 0:31:38.320 He got injured in training camp and you know, and 0:31:38.400 --> 0:31:41.280 fallen asleep at the wheel of his rolls. Rice in 0:31:41.320 --> 0:31:44.200 the left hand lane of LA traffic is not a 0:31:44.240 --> 0:31:49.200 good look. Still a reminder last year, nine hundred yards 0:31:49.240 --> 0:31:52.520 and ten touchdowns. Would you guys care to hazard to 0:31:52.600 --> 0:31:58.160 guess thorn matt in the Super Bowl era with thousands 0:31:58.280 --> 0:32:03.160 of rookie receivers that have been literally thousands, how many 0:32:03.200 --> 0:32:06.160 receivers have had a rookie season with nine hundred yards 0:32:06.400 --> 0:32:07.440 and ten touchdowns? 0:32:08.720 --> 0:32:16.800 It's probably count on one hand, five, four, seven. Oh, 0:32:17.080 --> 0:32:17.720 they're close. 0:32:17.920 --> 0:32:21.000 That's a nice job. Nice job. Now the Giants secondary, 0:32:21.040 --> 0:32:23.560 I told you I'm worried about their front four the 0:32:23.640 --> 0:32:29.120 Giant secondary looks like garbage. They were desperate enough that 0:32:29.160 --> 0:32:33.160 they signed free agent Adorri Jackson to start a week ago, 0:32:33.520 --> 0:32:37.760 and he's their starting cornerback. The other cornerback is Deontay Banks, 0:32:37.840 --> 0:32:40.600 drafted in the first round, but he was Pro Football 0:32:40.680 --> 0:32:46.640 Focus's cornerback one hundred and seventy seven last year. So 0:32:46.840 --> 0:32:50.040 I like Jordan Addison here. I've got a B grade 0:32:50.120 --> 0:32:53.360 on Jordan Addison. Aaron Jones plenty of gas left in 0:32:53.400 --> 0:32:57.280 the tank. Remember last December he was a He was 0:32:57.440 --> 0:33:00.840 dominating the backfield touches for Green Bay and on twenty 0:33:00.880 --> 0:33:04.240 touches a game, he was fantastic. Now, Minnesota's offensive line 0:33:04.280 --> 0:33:06.520 is not as good at run blocking as Green Bays, 0:33:07.440 --> 0:33:10.200 but the Giants ranked twenty eighth in run defense last year, 0:33:10.200 --> 0:33:12.920 and they didn't make any apparent improvements to the run 0:33:12.960 --> 0:33:16.720 defensive personnel in the offseason. Jones a very good receiver. 0:33:17.240 --> 0:33:20.560 But let me note this, Giants had the best the 0:33:20.600 --> 0:33:25.520 best defense against pass catching backs last year. They ranked 0:33:25.640 --> 0:33:28.560 number one in receptions allowed to running backs, number two 0:33:28.640 --> 0:33:31.640 and receiving touchdowns allowed to running backs just one, and 0:33:31.760 --> 0:33:35.720 number four in receiving yards to running backs. So Jones 0:33:35.760 --> 0:33:36.800 is not going to be able to help you a 0:33:36.840 --> 0:33:39.200 lot through the air, and just a B grade. Let's 0:33:39.240 --> 0:33:41.520 go to the Giants. Only three guys that really I 0:33:41.520 --> 0:33:44.320 think are worth mentioning here. Let's start with Devin Singletary. 0:33:44.840 --> 0:33:47.479 The Vikings are terrific against the run last year, allowing 0:33:47.560 --> 0:33:50.920 just three point seven yards per carry over the twelve 0:33:50.920 --> 0:33:54.640 games from Week three to Week fifteen last year. That's 0:33:54.760 --> 0:33:59.200 most of the season. No back top sixty five yards 0:33:59.240 --> 0:34:02.360 against Minnesota and they only gave up three touchdowns during 0:34:02.360 --> 0:34:06.080 that long stretch. Two improvements to the Vikings linebacker group 0:34:06.160 --> 0:34:08.359 suggests that will not change as well. And I still 0:34:08.400 --> 0:34:11.120 think they've got a stout run defense. And Singletary doesn't 0:34:11.160 --> 0:34:13.880 catch much, and the Vikings were pretty good at stopping 0:34:14.000 --> 0:34:16.960 opposing receiving backs anyway. So you're only going to probably 0:34:16.960 --> 0:34:19.400 get what Devin Singletary gives you on the ground, and 0:34:19.440 --> 0:34:21.319 I can only get to a C grade on that. 0:34:23.040 --> 0:34:25.920 Let's go to Malik Neighbors, the most exciting of the 0:34:25.960 --> 0:34:29.959 Giants offensive prospects here, coming off a glowing training camp 0:34:30.000 --> 0:34:33.640 and is the presumed focal point of the entire Giants offense. Really, 0:34:33.640 --> 0:34:36.480 even as a first star rookie Neighbors gets a Minnesota 0:34:36.480 --> 0:34:39.239 secondary that gave up the six most fantasy points to 0:34:39.280 --> 0:34:43.560 receivers last season and was overhauled with veterans like Chack 0:34:43.600 --> 0:34:46.399 Griffin and Stefan Gilmore. Gilmour only signed three weeks ago. 0:34:46.480 --> 0:34:50.040 Shack Griffin does not exactly a high demand free agent. 0:34:50.560 --> 0:34:53.480 I got Milk Neighbors with a B Greggs. I think 0:34:53.480 --> 0:34:57.280 he can hit the ground running here one Dale Robinson 0:34:57.320 --> 0:34:59.600 comes into the C grade. He runs from the slot, 0:34:59.680 --> 0:35:02.000 raises to see Byron Murphy the most and a little 0:35:02.000 --> 0:35:05.000 bit of Josh mittell Us. Murphy struggled last year rating 0:35:05.000 --> 0:35:08.360 his Pro Football focuses ninety third ranked cornerback with an 0:35:08.360 --> 0:35:10.920 opposer passer rating of one hundred and two, and mattell 0:35:10.960 --> 0:35:13.160 Us allow an opposer passer rating of one hundred eleven. 0:35:13.239 --> 0:35:17.239 So opportunities there for when Dale Robinson, if you want 0:35:17.239 --> 0:35:21.319 to go deep Pittsburgh Steelers against the Atlanta Falcons, thor 0:35:21.520 --> 0:35:23.640 we don't right now as we're recording this, we don't 0:35:23.640 --> 0:35:25.320 know who the quarterback is going to be for the Steelers. 0:35:25.400 --> 0:35:27.000 I don't know that the Steelers do either. 0:35:28.239 --> 0:35:30.520 They're saying that Russell Wilson is going to be a 0:35:30.560 --> 0:35:32.760 game time decision with his calf injury. 0:35:33.160 --> 0:35:33.880 We'll see. 0:35:34.360 --> 0:35:36.160 If I knew he was going to be playing at 0:35:36.160 --> 0:35:38.080 one hundred percent, I would have gone to see here. 0:35:38.120 --> 0:35:40.319 But you have to keep the Steelers quarterback on the bench, 0:35:40.360 --> 0:35:43.160 especially that then going up to kickoff. This is not 0:35:43.239 --> 0:35:45.600 an easy matchup. Is one of the reasons Falcons have 0:35:45.680 --> 0:35:48.120 a strong pass defense. Last year gave up the six 0:35:48.160 --> 0:35:51.239 to lowest adjusted completion rate in the NFL. Stay away 0:35:51.239 --> 0:35:54.839 from the Steelers quarterbacks this week, Naj Harris give him 0:35:54.880 --> 0:35:57.359 a great at see he fell all the way down 0:35:57.360 --> 0:36:00.440 to eleven and a half fantasy points per game last year, 0:36:00.480 --> 0:36:03.280 which was running back thirty from his peak of seventeen 0:36:03.320 --> 0:36:05.440 point seven back in twenty twenty one when he was 0:36:05.440 --> 0:36:08.000 a rookie. Yeah, and that of course comes because his 0:36:08.080 --> 0:36:10.319 touches fell from two hundred and eighty four last year 0:36:11.120 --> 0:36:13.480 two hundred and eighty four last year from three hundred 0:36:13.480 --> 0:36:16.120 and eighty one as a rookie. All those touches went 0:36:16.160 --> 0:36:19.080 to Jalen Warren. This is a tough matchup against the Falcons. 0:36:19.120 --> 0:36:22.239 The Falcons allowed the fifth fewest fantasy points per game 0:36:22.280 --> 0:36:24.840 to opposing running backs last year of course that the 0:36:24.880 --> 0:36:27.919 same thing applies to Jalen Warren, who was a full 0:36:27.920 --> 0:36:30.879 participant in Pittsburgh's recent practices. Looked like he's a full 0:36:30.920 --> 0:36:33.600 goal he had that hamstring injury. For those reasons, I'm 0:36:33.600 --> 0:36:35.120 gonna give him a set and just put him a 0:36:35.160 --> 0:36:39.279 slight notch. But beneath Nause, his Warrens touches doubled last year. 0:36:39.280 --> 0:36:41.560 Of course, those came right from Nause, and he ended 0:36:41.560 --> 0:36:44.920 with essentially the identical fantasy points to Nause eleven hundred 0:36:44.920 --> 0:36:47.480 and fifty four rushing yards, four touchdowns last year for Warren, 0:36:47.719 --> 0:36:48.520 we're giving. 0:36:48.280 --> 0:36:52.240 Both those guys to see George Pickens. I go between 0:36:52.440 --> 0:36:53.359 A and B here. 0:36:53.400 --> 0:36:55.920 Wow, even though you don't think either quarterback is a start, 0:36:55.960 --> 0:36:58.479 I do, because he's going to get peppered with targets here. 0:36:58.880 --> 0:37:03.239 Last year, so Pickens had a ridiculous fifty point one 0:37:03.360 --> 0:37:06.280 air yard share when Deontay Johnson was out from weeks 0:37:06.320 --> 0:37:10.080 two to five last year. Roman Wilson is out. Obviously, 0:37:10.120 --> 0:37:13.680 Deontay Johnson is out the door. Pittsburgh doesn't have anything 0:37:13.800 --> 0:37:17.160 else at wide receiver. Pickens was wide receiver sixteen and 0:37:17.200 --> 0:37:19.520 fantasy points per game during that aforementioned week two to 0:37:19.520 --> 0:37:22.200 five stretch. I just mentioned he's gonna get wide receiver 0:37:22.280 --> 0:37:25.120 one usage all day here, and it's a decent matchup. 0:37:25.600 --> 0:37:28.520 Everybody knows Raheem Morris the new Falcons head coach. They 0:37:28.600 --> 0:37:31.400 run a lot of zone in that defensive scheme. Pickens's 0:37:31.400 --> 0:37:34.160 effectiveness has always gone up against zone coverage during his 0:37:34.280 --> 0:37:37.160 NFL career. I'm not I'm gonna knock him up to 0:37:37.160 --> 0:37:40.759 an a George Dickens and hey Pat fryar Mouth, We'll 0:37:40.840 --> 0:37:43.000 just give him a c here tight end twenty seven 0:37:43.000 --> 0:37:45.640 and fantasy points per game before it's hamstring injury last year. 0:37:45.640 --> 0:37:46.720 It is a decent matchup. 0:37:46.719 --> 0:37:50.239 Fealcons allowed the fourth most receptions and receiving yards to 0:37:50.239 --> 0:37:53.719 opposing tight ends last year. And I mentioned the drop 0:37:53.760 --> 0:37:57.320 heavy zone system that Morris uses that opens up intermediate looks, 0:37:57.320 --> 0:37:59.520 so friar Mouth could get a look in that regard. 0:37:59.719 --> 0:38:01.880 Moving to the Falcons first game for Kirk Cousins there, 0:38:01.920 --> 0:38:03.880 I'm gonna give him a grade of B here. He 0:38:03.960 --> 0:38:06.440 was quarterback eight and fantasy points per game last year 0:38:06.440 --> 0:38:08.800 before his injury. The Steelers have a middle of the 0:38:08.880 --> 0:38:11.560 road pass defense. They were number fifteen last year in 0:38:11.600 --> 0:38:14.160 passing yards per game allowed. Pittsburgh is going to try 0:38:14.160 --> 0:38:17.120 to hurry Cousins' process because the Steelers last year ranked 0:38:17.120 --> 0:38:19.400 sixth in the NFL in blitz, right, they're going to 0:38:19.440 --> 0:38:22.160 be in the top ten again. But Cousins last year 0:38:22.200 --> 0:38:24.480 before that injury, number two in the NFL and adjusted 0:38:24.520 --> 0:38:27.160 completion rate win blitz. You guys recall he was very 0:38:27.200 --> 0:38:30.040 good under pressure last year. Assuming that holds over here 0:38:30.080 --> 0:38:32.880 after the injury, of course, you know this would be 0:38:32.880 --> 0:38:36.040 a good matchup for that. Bjehn Robinson and Drake London 0:38:36.080 --> 0:38:38.279 are weekly must starts. They both get an A. 0:38:38.719 --> 0:38:42.440 Let's hope Bjohn Robinson is a weekly must start because 0:38:42.560 --> 0:38:45.000 Arthur's last year that was not the case, and we're 0:38:45.040 --> 0:38:47.399 all assuming that's going to be the case this year. 0:38:47.520 --> 0:38:48.759 Let's hope that is the case. 0:38:48.920 --> 0:38:51.520 Yeah, and hopefully Arthur Smith being on the other sideline, 0:38:51.520 --> 0:38:53.160 it's not going to be like seeing the ghosts there. 0:38:53.560 --> 0:38:55.600 Darnell Mooney in his first game with the Falcons, I'm 0:38:55.600 --> 0:38:58.120 gonna give him a grade to see he last year 0:38:58.200 --> 0:39:00.480 was a nightmare. He finished wide receiver eighty six over 0:39:00.560 --> 0:39:03.400 fifteen games. He's in a much better situation here. The 0:39:03.440 --> 0:39:06.040 Steelers were number four in the NFL, in the rate 0:39:06.120 --> 0:39:09.439 of single high coverage, single high safety coverage is used. 0:39:09.800 --> 0:39:12.200 Darnold Mooney is a deep shot guy. That's the kind 0:39:12.200 --> 0:39:13.800 of you know where you can get a couple of 0:39:13.840 --> 0:39:16.120 deep shots off. He's going to need a home run 0:39:16.200 --> 0:39:18.640 or two in this game to return fantasy value. But 0:39:18.719 --> 0:39:20.600 I think it's possible enough that I'm gonna give him 0:39:20.600 --> 0:39:24.000 a C. Kyle Pitts, I am ready to be heard again, Kyle. 0:39:24.719 --> 0:39:27.359 Well, and we'll address that very directly later the show 0:39:27.400 --> 0:39:27.879 and keep going. 0:39:27.920 --> 0:39:30.080 I'm gonna give him a grade of B here. He's 0:39:30.120 --> 0:39:31.160 off the injury report. 0:39:31.560 --> 0:39:34.000 Of course, last year was tight end sixteen fantasy points 0:39:34.000 --> 0:39:36.719 per game, and that aforementioned Arthur Smith offense, but of 0:39:36.719 --> 0:39:39.399 course he was also in Desmond Ritter Hell last year. 0:39:39.400 --> 0:39:41.799 You have a big, big upgrading quarterback and this is 0:39:41.800 --> 0:39:44.360 a decent matchup. The Steelers allowed the second highest PPR 0:39:44.480 --> 0:39:47.719 points per target last year to slot receivers, as Kyle 0:39:47.760 --> 0:39:51.359 Pitts is and that'll do it, Okay, Algier, I keep 0:39:51.360 --> 0:39:52.279 on the bench for this game. 0:39:53.120 --> 0:39:56.520 I need in my guillotine leagues. I need like forty yards. 0:39:56.520 --> 0:39:59.640 You get four, like two catches and just gonna good 0:39:59.680 --> 0:40:03.640 little like eight points. Tyler Lgier, Please these eighteen team leagues. Man, 0:40:03.680 --> 0:40:05.560 do you need guys like Tyler Algier to just do 0:40:05.600 --> 0:40:06.200 a little something? 0:40:06.239 --> 0:40:06.719 You sure do? 0:40:07.280 --> 0:40:10.239 Commanders take on the Bucks, Matt, You've already highlighted two 0:40:10.320 --> 0:40:14.520 commanders as take a chance with me players Jayden Daniels 0:40:14.800 --> 0:40:18.319 and Austin Ecklerer. Fill in the blanks for me here. 0:40:18.440 --> 0:40:20.800 Yeah, Austin eckler was might take a chance on me runner. 0:40:21.040 --> 0:40:23.239 I gave him a B grade in this game, actually too, 0:40:23.280 --> 0:40:26.040 Brian Robinson, I'm leaving on the bench though. Do you 0:40:26.080 --> 0:40:28.840 know how many running backs topped eighty yards against the 0:40:28.880 --> 0:40:29.960 Buccaneers last year? 0:40:30.680 --> 0:40:30.919 Two? 0:40:31.080 --> 0:40:33.920 It's just four four. Do you know how many rushing 0:40:33.960 --> 0:40:35.359 scorers they allowed last year? 0:40:35.400 --> 0:40:38.680 I'm gonna guess like eleven five total. 0:40:38.840 --> 0:40:41.799 Jeez, oh my gosh. The most likely outcome for the 0:40:41.800 --> 0:40:44.799 top rushing yardage player in this game is Jayden Daniels, 0:40:44.960 --> 0:40:46.640 which is why he was might take a chance on 0:40:46.680 --> 0:40:48.960 me quarterback and he gets a B grade. Two. But 0:40:49.800 --> 0:40:53.279 here we go two, I have a car in his 0:40:53.480 --> 0:40:56.799 back and he gets an A grade. This week, he 0:40:56.880 --> 0:41:00.000 will mostly match up with a man named Zion McCay. 0:41:00.960 --> 0:41:05.200 This man Zion was Pro Football Focuses one hundred and 0:41:05.280 --> 0:41:09.400 ninety first ranked quarterback cornerback last year, right next to 0:41:09.440 --> 0:41:13.080 a bunch of names that Charch has mercilessly destroyed for years, 0:41:13.080 --> 0:41:17.359 like Kendall Vildor when you're in Kendall Viildor's neighborhood as 0:41:17.440 --> 0:41:21.040 not a good thing. McLaurin saw twenty percent of the 0:41:21.080 --> 0:41:24.800 targets last season, and the Commanders just shipped off both 0:41:24.920 --> 0:41:29.240 Curtis Samuel and Johan Dotson, who accounted for another thirty 0:41:29.280 --> 0:41:33.120 three percent of the team's total targets. If McLaurin isn't 0:41:33.160 --> 0:41:36.279 targeted at which he won't, at some point, somebody else 0:41:36.320 --> 0:41:38.560 has got account the ball. I think it's gonna be 0:41:38.640 --> 0:41:41.000 zach Ertz, who, by the way, if you're a slave 0:41:41.080 --> 0:41:45.120 to the projections on your fantasy site, he's getting absolutely murdered. 0:41:45.160 --> 0:41:47.040 I have him in scott Fishbowl, which is a tight 0:41:47.160 --> 0:41:51.120 end premium league. He's projected by sleeper to get like 0:41:51.239 --> 0:41:52.279 four Fantasy points. 0:41:52.320 --> 0:41:53.279 I think he's getting more than that. 0:41:53.360 --> 0:41:56.960 It's way more than that. The last time Cliff Kingsbury 0:41:57.040 --> 0:42:00.760 and zach Ertz were together, Ertz had fifty one targets 0:42:00.760 --> 0:42:03.680 in his first six games before getting dinged up, So 0:42:04.239 --> 0:42:06.160 the Bucks gave up the second most yards and the 0:42:06.200 --> 0:42:08.719 third most touchdowns to the tight end position last year. 0:42:09.400 --> 0:42:11.239 I didn't want to take three Commanders and take a 0:42:11.280 --> 0:42:13.360 chance on me, but Ertz is definitely that kind of player. 0:42:13.680 --> 0:42:16.600 B grade for zach Ertz on the Tampa side, fire 0:42:16.640 --> 0:42:18.960 up Mike Evans with an A and Baker Mayfield gets 0:42:19.000 --> 0:42:22.240 a solid B grade two. Washington was the league's worst 0:42:22.280 --> 0:42:26.200 secondary last year, allowing the most passing yards and passing scores, 0:42:26.520 --> 0:42:29.560 and the combo of Michael Davis and Benjamin Saint just 0:42:30.000 --> 0:42:32.480 might be the worst starting corner combination in the league. 0:42:32.800 --> 0:42:35.440 As the one good corner that the Commanders had Kendall Fuller, 0:42:35.480 --> 0:42:38.080 he's now in Miami, Saint just gave up a one 0:42:38.120 --> 0:42:41.400 oh two passer rating in his coverage they acquired Davis 0:42:41.400 --> 0:42:43.759 and free agency from the Chargers. He allowed a one 0:42:43.800 --> 0:42:47.400 to nineteen passer rating and opposing wide receiver scored nine 0:42:47.520 --> 0:42:49.320 times on him last which. 0:42:49.080 --> 0:42:50.240 Is the worst in the league. 0:42:50.360 --> 0:42:53.120 That was second most in the league. League Yeah, right there. 0:42:53.719 --> 0:42:56.120 With Godwin moving back to the slot, I think people 0:42:56.120 --> 0:42:58.239 are hoping for a bounce back. He arguably gets the 0:42:58.280 --> 0:43:02.640 toughest matchup against rookie second rounder Mike Saindris still out 0:43:02.680 --> 0:43:05.800 of Michigan say arguably because he doesn't have a track record, 0:43:05.800 --> 0:43:09.160 but Godwin is four inches taller and twenty six pounds heavier. 0:43:09.680 --> 0:43:12.800 Advantage Godwin, he gets a B grade. And finally, Rashad 0:43:12.800 --> 0:43:16.319 White's volume carried him to fantasy prominence last year, but 0:43:16.520 --> 0:43:18.600 he did not top a thousand yards on the ground 0:43:18.640 --> 0:43:21.440 and did not get to double digit touchdown mark that 0:43:21.480 --> 0:43:24.640 the twelve other running backs in that neighborhood did. Dan 0:43:24.719 --> 0:43:27.640 Quinn really tried to remake that d line with veterans, 0:43:28.400 --> 0:43:30.799 but White gets the A grade here in Week one, 0:43:31.040 --> 0:43:33.880 with the note that I'm watching Buck how the Bucks 0:43:34.160 --> 0:43:37.680 utilize Bucky Irving here, there's a decent possibility that it's 0:43:37.680 --> 0:43:39.600 more of a split than we want it to be. 0:43:40.120 --> 0:43:42.000 When we come back for our number two of Fantasy 0:43:42.080 --> 0:43:46.040 Football Weekly, three tough Questions, see if you can go 0:43:46.120 --> 0:43:49.080 three and oh along with our panel of experts as 0:43:49.080 --> 0:43:52.319 we head into Week one. Fantasy Football Weekly continues on 0:43:52.400 --> 0:44:15.880 after this Welcome back our number two of Fantasy Football Weekly. 0:44:16.640 --> 0:44:20.560 Paul Charchion, Matt Harrison, Thor Nystrom with you Thor You've 0:44:20.600 --> 0:44:23.160 got tons of content on Fantasy life. What can people 0:44:23.160 --> 0:44:23.680 find there? 0:44:24.200 --> 0:44:27.160 My college football picks for the week, we go through, 0:44:27.280 --> 0:44:29.759 do our top ten picks, and on Saturday mornings we 0:44:30.239 --> 0:44:32.360 run through the entire car, give all the player props 0:44:32.400 --> 0:44:33.760 and all the sides and totals. 0:44:34.000 --> 0:44:34.880 All right, fantastic. 0:44:34.960 --> 0:44:36.560 How'd it going in Week one? 0:44:36.760 --> 0:44:37.040 We did? 0:44:37.080 --> 0:44:37.400 Okay? 0:44:37.480 --> 0:44:40.200 We did? Okay? Yeah? Yeah, we're starting out strong and 0:44:40.400 --> 0:44:41.280 hoping to continue. 0:44:41.640 --> 0:44:43.080 Is that week zero? We're on week one? 0:44:43.200 --> 0:44:45.280 Or we're now on week we're heading into week two? 0:44:45.080 --> 0:44:46.480 Two? That was it? 0:44:46.560 --> 0:44:47.200 Okay, got it? 0:44:47.239 --> 0:44:47.520 Thank you. 0:44:47.760 --> 0:44:50.320 I'm excited for the big Syhawk game this weekend. 0:44:50.440 --> 0:44:53.240 Oh yeah, that's gonna be fun. Slaber knocker football. 0:44:54.480 --> 0:44:58.600 I love the slaber knockers speak. Tough question number one. 0:44:58.400 --> 0:45:00.640 Tough question number one. 0:45:00.320 --> 0:45:04.960 What exactly is a slobber knocker? I really don't know. 0:45:06.120 --> 0:45:07.840 I did not prepare for that. Tough question. 0:45:09.719 --> 0:45:11.359 Tough question number one. 0:45:11.800 --> 0:45:15.680 What is the appropriate level of panic when you take 0:45:15.680 --> 0:45:19.600 an L? In week number one? Which we love, you know, right, 0:45:19.880 --> 0:45:22.760 half of us are gonna take els? Is it none? 0:45:23.200 --> 0:45:25.560 Is it some? Or is it a bowel loosening level 0:45:25.640 --> 0:45:27.799 of existential dread? Matt. We begin with you. 0:45:27.960 --> 0:45:30.280 I mean, what's more fun staying the course and riding 0:45:30.320 --> 0:45:33.560 out the storm. We're completely overreacting and trading away all 0:45:33.600 --> 0:45:36.720 your players. I vote over reaction. That's way more fun. 0:45:37.440 --> 0:45:40.160 But in all seriousness, it's more about the usage For 0:45:40.200 --> 0:45:42.600 me in week one? Did a player get the snap, 0:45:42.960 --> 0:45:46.200 touch target totals that I expected? In Week one? Were 0:45:46.200 --> 0:45:50.560 there other dark horse players utilized more or an unexpected way? 0:45:50.960 --> 0:45:53.399 If the answers are not favorable for me in both 0:45:53.400 --> 0:45:57.720 of those scenarios, it's okay to be in a bowel 0:45:57.760 --> 0:46:01.840 loosening level of existential dread and make changes right away. 0:46:01.880 --> 0:46:04.960 All right, Thor what's the appropriate level of panic when 0:46:05.000 --> 0:46:07.240 you take an L in week one? 0:46:07.360 --> 0:46:08.520 For me, it's none. 0:46:08.560 --> 0:46:11.839 I would need a biblical plague of injuries. I mean, 0:46:12.239 --> 0:46:14.759 I expect to win every game, so you know, you 0:46:14.920 --> 0:46:17.239 drop one. I'm expecting to only have one loss in 0:46:17.280 --> 0:46:18.040 the regular season. 0:46:19.000 --> 0:46:21.120 I'm in a dozen leagues. I think every one of 0:46:21.160 --> 0:46:24.480 my twelve teams is really, really good. But the reality is, 0:46:24.680 --> 0:46:26.200 as I mentioned, half of us are going to take 0:46:26.320 --> 0:46:28.960 l's in week one, and we're going to sour on 0:46:29.000 --> 0:46:32.000 our teams a little bit when that happens, and everybody says, 0:46:32.160 --> 0:46:34.960 do not panic in week one. It's just one week, 0:46:35.239 --> 0:46:37.600 or it's such a small sample size, don't worry about it. 0:46:38.000 --> 0:46:41.280 I say, panic, yes, panic away. 0:46:41.480 --> 0:46:42.360 Chart You're with me. 0:46:42.600 --> 0:46:46.600 If some of your foundational beliefs that you held on 0:46:46.719 --> 0:46:50.359 draft day are resoundingly wrong in week one, more than 0:46:50.480 --> 0:46:53.560 likely they're going to stay wrong. You know, there's so 0:46:53.680 --> 0:46:56.279 much we don't know. We make all kinds of assumptions 0:46:56.320 --> 0:46:59.680 going in, and week one is when coaches first tell 0:46:59.760 --> 0:47:03.359 us the real reality. They've only got seventeen NFL games 0:47:03.400 --> 0:47:06.400 to work with. Coaches can't play koy with their future, 0:47:06.680 --> 0:47:10.880 holding back their best weapons for future use. They're trying 0:47:10.880 --> 0:47:13.640 to win every game by putting their best players in 0:47:13.680 --> 0:47:17.080 the best situation starting week one. And if it didn't 0:47:17.080 --> 0:47:22.480 work out for your team in big ways foundational ways, panic. 0:47:24.719 --> 0:47:27.680 Tough. Question number two, are. 0:47:27.520 --> 0:47:30.719 You ready to be hurt again? By Kyle Pitts Well 0:47:30.840 --> 0:47:34.160 and thor you've already touched on this. I believe I 0:47:34.200 --> 0:47:35.880 know what your answer is going to be, but go 0:47:35.920 --> 0:47:39.359 ahead and summarize, he will not. 0:47:39.320 --> 0:47:40.160 Hurt us this time. 0:47:42.040 --> 0:47:43.520 You can't even say with a straight face. 0:47:43.520 --> 0:47:48.680 I feel like this is candy man crossing the figures 0:47:48.760 --> 0:47:49.520 knocking on wood. 0:47:50.000 --> 0:47:52.200 All Right, that's it, that's it. I'm not going to 0:47:52.280 --> 0:47:52.960 hurt us this time. 0:47:53.000 --> 0:47:56.600 All right, Matt, ready to be heard again by Kyle Pitts. 0:47:56.640 --> 0:47:58.840 I think this is my favorite version of Kyle Pits. 0:47:58.840 --> 0:48:02.000 The expectations have never been lower because he's burned so 0:48:02.160 --> 0:48:04.320 many people that there are so many people who just 0:48:04.360 --> 0:48:07.120 wrote him off altogether. But he's got the best quarterback 0:48:07.160 --> 0:48:11.000 he's ever played for, one that has made fantasy tight 0:48:11.080 --> 0:48:14.400 ends look fantastic. Cousins to Howkinson over the last two years, 0:48:14.560 --> 0:48:17.000 when both were healthy and available, that was a top 0:48:17.040 --> 0:48:19.879 three tight end situation in the league. I was never 0:48:19.960 --> 0:48:22.719 hurt by him because I always hated the situation in 0:48:22.719 --> 0:48:26.080 the last few years. So now I'm ready to maybe 0:48:26.120 --> 0:48:29.839 never be hurt by him. Okay, so I'm in on 0:48:29.960 --> 0:48:30.839 Yon Pits. Yes. 0:48:31.120 --> 0:48:33.200 People don't seem to understand how big an upgrade it 0:48:33.280 --> 0:48:36.600 is to go from last year's starting quarterback des been 0:48:36.680 --> 0:48:38.120 Ridder to Kirk Cousins. 0:48:38.760 --> 0:48:39.680 It is a. 0:48:40.160 --> 0:48:43.960 Massive gulf between those two. Two weeks ago, Ritter was 0:48:44.200 --> 0:48:47.840 waived by arguably the worst team in the NFL. He 0:48:48.080 --> 0:48:53.799 cleared waivers and is now a practice squad quarterback for Arizona. Meanwhile, 0:48:54.400 --> 0:48:57.800 last time we saw Kirk Cousins, he was the NFL 0:48:58.000 --> 0:49:02.360 passing leader en route to a five thousand yard passing season. 0:49:03.360 --> 0:49:06.839 Cousins has long supported his tight ends. So yeah, Jay 0:49:06.880 --> 0:49:11.080 Hockinson recently, right before that, Kyle Rudolph before that, he 0:49:11.120 --> 0:49:14.520 made a Pro bowler out of Jordan Reed. Before that, 0:49:14.680 --> 0:49:17.680 Vernon Davis. We're going to get deep into the Cousin's 0:49:17.800 --> 0:49:20.960 career catalog here. He knows how to support tight ends. 0:49:21.640 --> 0:49:23.280 I'm ready to be hurt by Kyle Pitts. 0:49:23.320 --> 0:49:25.279 That's big time football, baby. He can be looking at 0:49:25.320 --> 0:49:25.960 Kyle Pitts. 0:49:26.320 --> 0:49:28.880 I think so. If Brian Roli here, he'd be talking 0:49:28.920 --> 0:49:32.239 about if he's ready to be hurt again again, again, 0:49:32.280 --> 0:49:35.120 again again for the fourth straight year. Whatever by Kyle Pitts. 0:49:35.320 --> 0:49:38.239 Well, he's a wide receiver, obviously he would say that too. 0:49:39.560 --> 0:49:41.560 Tough question number three. 0:49:41.800 --> 0:49:48.120 For three straight years, somebody unexpected has topped fifteen rushing touchdowns. 0:49:48.440 --> 0:49:51.680 Three years ago it was Damien Harris called in the 0:49:51.719 --> 0:49:56.560 preseason this series show, by the way, Wow. Two years 0:49:56.560 --> 0:50:00.760 ago it was Jamal Williams. Last year it was Raheem Moster. 0:50:00.960 --> 0:50:03.840 I mean, for the most part, nobody had fifteen touchdown 0:50:03.880 --> 0:50:07.680 expectations out of these guys. No, who is your dark 0:50:07.719 --> 0:50:11.319 horse runner for fifteen touchdowns this year? Matt? We begin 0:50:11.400 --> 0:50:11.600 with you. 0:50:11.880 --> 0:50:14.880 So each of the guys you mentioned were on teams 0:50:15.160 --> 0:50:18.239 that were top eight in running back rushing attempts in 0:50:18.280 --> 0:50:20.439 the year the player did that. And each of those 0:50:20.480 --> 0:50:23.680 teams had a quarterback that I would say needed a 0:50:23.680 --> 0:50:26.000 good running game to set up the pass or their 0:50:26.040 --> 0:50:29.920 failure rate was imminent. Then that's Mac Jones, Jared Goff, 0:50:30.080 --> 0:50:34.680 and Tua tag Tech Violoa La Man. I can never 0:50:34.719 --> 0:50:36.520 say his name. I'm just gonna go with two of us. 0:50:36.560 --> 0:50:38.640 Good thing his brother's never gonna make it exactly. 0:50:39.400 --> 0:50:42.120 So what team fits the bill this year of a 0:50:42.239 --> 0:50:45.120 run happy offense with a quarterback they're not fully to 0:50:45.200 --> 0:50:48.719 let drop back fifty times per game? Cleveland has entered 0:50:48.760 --> 0:50:51.680 the chat. The Broncos and Giants are here too. You know, 0:50:51.760 --> 0:50:54.560 I love me some Zamir White, but I think it's 0:50:54.640 --> 0:50:58.200 Najie Harris, who almost everyone has written off for dead 0:50:58.239 --> 0:51:01.240 at this point, and many think that Jalen Warren should 0:51:01.239 --> 0:51:04.640 just take that job. But in Arthur Smith, Smith offense 0:51:04.680 --> 0:51:07.160 is one that runs. The Falcons led the league in 0:51:07.239 --> 0:51:10.120 running back rushing attempts last year, and the Steelers were 0:51:10.160 --> 0:51:14.080 already sixth in that category, and they trust Russell Wilson 0:51:14.160 --> 0:51:16.920 enough to trade for Justin Fields, who's not known to 0:51:16.920 --> 0:51:19.479 be a huge passer. I think it's a big time 0:51:19.600 --> 0:51:22.319 running game, and they have a defense that should allow 0:51:22.400 --> 0:51:25.600 them to play grinding, hard nosed run the ball football. 0:51:25.719 --> 0:51:28.200 And by the way, Church loves inside the five guys. Yeah, 0:51:28.320 --> 0:51:31.200 Jalen Warren only had five attempts inside the five last year. 0:51:31.440 --> 0:51:34.160 Nase had twelve, which is more than double if my 0:51:34.280 --> 0:51:35.040 math holds up. 0:51:35.120 --> 0:51:37.680 And I think I think Jalen Warren only had one 0:51:37.719 --> 0:51:39.879 touchdown on those five carries inside the five. 0:51:40.040 --> 0:51:42.560 I think Nase's sitting on a really sneaky year here. 0:51:42.640 --> 0:51:46.600 Okay, for three straight years, somebody unexpected his top fifteen 0:51:46.680 --> 0:51:49.680 rushing touchdowns. Store which runner is your dark horse for 0:51:49.760 --> 0:51:51.239 fifteen touchdowns this year? 0:51:51.560 --> 0:51:52.880 Thought a lot about this one. 0:51:53.040 --> 0:51:57.080 I'm going to go with Blake Koram Blake Corum who 0:51:57.160 --> 0:52:00.960 ran for twenty seven countum twenty seven touchdowns last year 0:52:00.960 --> 0:52:03.200 for the National Champions and he is a better short 0:52:03.239 --> 0:52:06.399 yardage back than Kyraen Williams. I mentioned that before Blake 0:52:06.440 --> 0:52:08.400 Horn was also the best goal line runner in the 0:52:08.520 --> 0:52:11.680 entire draft class coming out here, and his usage is 0:52:11.719 --> 0:52:13.799 going to help ensure that Karen Williams is healthy for 0:52:13.840 --> 0:52:15.759 the passing down work that he is best suited for. 0:52:16.080 --> 0:52:19.360 Korm not a great receiving back, Korum makes tremendous decisions 0:52:19.360 --> 0:52:21.800 behind the line. He finds the crease, he breaks arm tackles. 0:52:22.000 --> 0:52:24.600 He is the perfect short yardage converter around the goal line. 0:52:24.760 --> 0:52:26.640 I believe he's going to get all those carries and 0:52:26.680 --> 0:52:29.160 he's in a really, really good offense. They're going to 0:52:29.160 --> 0:52:30.799 put points on the board when they're around the goal 0:52:30.880 --> 0:52:32.759 line there inside the ten, they're inside the five. Blake 0:52:32.800 --> 0:52:34.239 Korn is going to be on the field. I think 0:52:34.280 --> 0:52:35.839 he's gonna put up a lot of touchdowns this year. 0:52:35.880 --> 0:52:36.560 I love that call. 0:52:36.640 --> 0:52:38.480 Good job I was, Brian was here to fight you 0:52:38.520 --> 0:52:42.360 on that. To get to fifteen touchdowns, I need to 0:52:42.360 --> 0:52:44.560 back who will at a minimum get virtually all the 0:52:44.560 --> 0:52:46.160 goal line us right, So you have to have that. 0:52:46.200 --> 0:52:48.560 You guys have already addressed that with your picks. Ideally, 0:52:48.600 --> 0:52:50.560 he's a workhorse back who will chip in a few 0:52:50.560 --> 0:52:52.799 touchdowns for distance, but you don't need that. As we 0:52:52.840 --> 0:52:56.319 saw with Damien Harrison, Jamal Williams. Those guys really just 0:52:57.040 --> 0:53:01.799 roll committee type backs mostly the players I wanted to get. 0:53:01.800 --> 0:53:03.640 I liked Samir White, I thought about him. He gets 0:53:03.680 --> 0:53:06.120 drafted a little early, maybe not as obvious I consider 0:53:06.239 --> 0:53:09.319 Zach Moss here, I went down far the draft board. 0:53:09.320 --> 0:53:10.719 I'm like, all right, who can we get. That's a 0:53:10.719 --> 0:53:14.839 little sneak here. Let's talk Gus Edwards. Okay, let's talk 0:53:14.880 --> 0:53:19.040 Gus Edwards. Last year, Gus ranked number one with twelve 0:53:19.160 --> 0:53:22.480 rushing touchdowns from inside the five yard line and number 0:53:22.480 --> 0:53:26.399 two with twenty four attempts from inside the five. He's 0:53:26.440 --> 0:53:30.120 reconnected with his old offensive coordinator, Greg Roman, who will 0:53:30.160 --> 0:53:33.040 be the offensive who is the offensive coordinator for the Chargers. 0:53:33.600 --> 0:53:37.640 He had a fifty percent conversion rate on carries inside 0:53:37.680 --> 0:53:41.879 the five into touchdowns and that's extremely good. And even 0:53:41.880 --> 0:53:45.120 if Gus ultimately sees some carries to JK. Dobbins or 0:53:45.160 --> 0:53:47.799 Kamani Vidal over the course of the season, he's still 0:53:47.840 --> 0:53:50.759 gonna be the goal line back, I believe. So we're 0:53:50.760 --> 0:53:53.160 gonna try a little Gus Edwards as a surprise player 0:53:53.160 --> 0:53:54.400 for fifteen touchdowns. 0:53:54.440 --> 0:53:59.120 I feel honorable mention here. Yeah, Devin Singletary. Yeah, maybe 0:53:59.160 --> 0:53:59.920 there's there's no. 0:54:00.080 --> 0:54:02.399 There's nobody else, nobody else to take a goal line 0:54:02.400 --> 0:54:04.879 carry in that offense. Yeah, Yeah, that's that's I think 0:54:04.920 --> 0:54:08.279 that's that's defensible. It's defensible. All right, let's go to 0:54:08.320 --> 0:54:11.680 our next set of matchups. Uh, let's see. Oh, I'm 0:54:11.760 --> 0:54:16.200 up next Tennessee at Chicago. I'm gonna start with the 0:54:16.400 --> 0:54:18.520 I'm gonna start with the running game here between Tajy 0:54:18.600 --> 0:54:21.839 Spears and Pollard. It's all all of the news out 0:54:21.840 --> 0:54:24.160 of Tennessee suggests it's going to be a split backfield, 0:54:24.160 --> 0:54:26.600 which is a bummer. The Bears were an elite run 0:54:26.640 --> 0:54:29.880 defense last year, ranking number three in rushing yards allowed, 0:54:30.520 --> 0:54:32.960 third in yards per carry, and they return all the 0:54:32.960 --> 0:54:36.440 good players from their starting seven from last year. And 0:54:36.880 --> 0:54:38.799 because they were so good, opponents ran the ball at 0:54:38.800 --> 0:54:41.440 the third lowest run percentage. So maybe the right answer 0:54:41.480 --> 0:54:45.960 here is just bench both. But there's this for Spears 0:54:45.960 --> 0:54:51.320 and Pollard. The Bears were destroyed through the air by runners, 0:54:51.360 --> 0:54:54.680 allowing the most receiving yards, the most receiving touchdowns, and 0:54:54.760 --> 0:54:59.080 the second most receptions to running backs. So through the 0:54:59.120 --> 0:55:02.359 air and both guys ten catch not wizards. Through the air, 0:55:02.640 --> 0:55:05.160 but Spears and Pollard can both catch, so I think 0:55:05.160 --> 0:55:07.640 they chip in just enough. PPR helped to make both 0:55:07.680 --> 0:55:11.600 of those guys see grades. The only receiver we're starting 0:55:11.600 --> 0:55:13.799 in this one is Calvin Ridley. DeAndre Hopkins is a 0:55:13.800 --> 0:55:16.960 game time decision, so that means he's either out or 0:55:17.000 --> 0:55:20.160 he's hobbled by an knee injury, and that means Ridley 0:55:20.239 --> 0:55:23.040 is going to get shadow covered from the Bears elite 0:55:23.040 --> 0:55:27.879 cornerback Jalen Johnson. He was ranked as quarterback cornerback two 0:55:28.200 --> 0:55:31.320 by Pro Football Focus, and he allowed per game averages 0:55:31.360 --> 0:55:35.680 of eleven yards eleven yards in his coverage, wow, and 0:55:35.920 --> 0:55:40.920 zero point zero five touchdowns in his coverage. That's nothing. 0:55:41.320 --> 0:55:42.839 So I can only get you to a C grade 0:55:42.880 --> 0:55:45.400 on Calvin Lee, even though this passing offense should largely 0:55:45.440 --> 0:55:47.399 go through him or they'll try to get it going 0:55:47.400 --> 0:55:50.799 through him. For DeAndre Hopkins, I'm just gonna wait till 0:55:50.800 --> 0:55:54.480 he's healthy. And plus i gotta see if Will Levis 0:55:54.560 --> 0:55:58.719 is a functional NFL quarterback. As a reminder, because I've 0:55:58.760 --> 0:56:02.280 brought this up many times since last year, Will Levis's 0:56:02.280 --> 0:56:07.279 debut game four touchdowns every start after that game in 0:56:07.320 --> 0:56:13.040 Week eight four touchdowns combined, staggeringly inefficient in today's NFL, 0:56:13.320 --> 0:56:15.840 and he was under one hundred ninety nine passing yards 0:56:15.840 --> 0:56:18.040 and half of his starts. I'm just not there on 0:56:18.120 --> 0:56:20.600 Will Levis. I hope he gets better. We're rooting for 0:56:20.680 --> 0:56:23.000 Will Levis. I need to see it first. 0:56:23.960 --> 0:56:27.040 It's got all those Mayo commercials. We need those, we do. 0:56:27.200 --> 0:56:28.200 Those actually were good. 0:56:28.320 --> 0:56:32.200 Yeah, good for him for capitalizing on a simply grotesque 0:56:32.400 --> 0:56:33.400 obsession with Mayo. 0:56:33.760 --> 0:56:34.160 Correct. 0:56:34.560 --> 0:56:37.000 Let's go to the Chicago side. DeAndre Swift clacks in 0:56:37.040 --> 0:56:40.800 with a bee. I feel like Swift was unfairly blamed 0:56:40.800 --> 0:56:43.319 for a lot of the Eagles struggles last year. I 0:56:43.360 --> 0:56:45.040 think there's a good chance he's going to be the 0:56:45.040 --> 0:56:49.200 new workhorse back in offensive coordinator Shane Waldron's offense, like 0:56:49.280 --> 0:56:52.560 you like Waldron had in Kenneth Davis or sorry, Kenneth Walker, 0:56:52.640 --> 0:56:55.040 going back a long time for Kenneth Davis, Kenneth Walker. 0:56:55.360 --> 0:56:59.239 Tennessee's run defense largely unchanged, and they were good last year. 0:56:59.640 --> 0:57:03.560 Only three backs topped eighty eight rushing yards against Tennessee 0:57:03.640 --> 0:57:06.880 last year, and they ranked third in yards per carry aloud. 0:57:06.960 --> 0:57:09.000 It's a nice opportunity for swift and I've got a 0:57:09.040 --> 0:57:09.839 B grade on him. 0:57:10.000 --> 0:57:13.440 Was Kenneth Davis, the Bills back up running back in 0:57:13.480 --> 0:57:15.400 the nineties to Thurman Thomas. 0:57:15.440 --> 0:57:17.560 I don't think it was quite nineties, but it was 0:57:17.640 --> 0:57:19.920 probably the probably the odds. Yeah, that's going on. 0:57:20.000 --> 0:57:21.920 I feel like I remember him from tech Mobile. 0:57:23.040 --> 0:57:25.400 Maybe we're maybe I've got barbecue sauce on my mind. 0:57:25.440 --> 0:57:25.840 There we go. 0:57:25.920 --> 0:57:27.600 You know I did put some I put some Ken 0:57:27.680 --> 0:57:30.320 Davis on my turkey to go with the Minnesota State Fair. Okay, 0:57:30.320 --> 0:57:32.800 maybe that was it. Let's go to the passing game. 0:57:33.120 --> 0:57:35.960 DJ Moore is going to draw the Titans best possible 0:57:36.000 --> 0:57:39.520 coverage and that's new cornerback Lagerious Snead, acquired from the Chiefs. 0:57:39.840 --> 0:57:44.320 He allowed zero touchdowns in his coverage last year and 0:57:44.400 --> 0:57:47.800 an opposer passer rating of only fifty seven. So for 0:57:47.920 --> 0:57:50.200 Caleb Williams, I think the path of least resistance is 0:57:50.200 --> 0:57:53.560 going to be with the other receivers. Still, DJ Moore 0:57:53.640 --> 0:57:56.720 too good to bench and his resume, I in pedigree, 0:57:56.760 --> 0:57:59.160 just keeps him at the B level for me. Let's 0:57:59.160 --> 0:58:00.720 go to Keenan Allen. You'll want to be sure to 0:58:00.760 --> 0:58:03.040 monitor his heel injury. We think he's going to play 0:58:03.080 --> 0:58:05.920 in this game, but keep an eye on the heel injury. 0:58:06.320 --> 0:58:10.600 Alan faced Tennessee last year and smoked him for one 0:58:10.680 --> 0:58:13.040 hundred eleventeen yards and two scores. As a member of 0:58:13.080 --> 0:58:15.800 the Chargers. He did all his damage outside, and I 0:58:15.840 --> 0:58:18.440 see Alan playing a lot more slot for Chicago because 0:58:18.480 --> 0:58:21.360 More and a Dunze are outside guys. Alan draws a 0:58:21.360 --> 0:58:24.560 tricky matchup in the slot against Tennessee slot corner Roger McCreary, 0:58:24.560 --> 0:58:27.520 who didn't allow a touchdown last year and held Alan 0:58:27.960 --> 0:58:32.080 to just one catch for fourteen yards in that specific 0:58:32.160 --> 0:58:34.320 coverage matchup. Last year, I mentioned Keenan Allen for one 0:58:34.360 --> 0:58:36.920 hundred and eleven total yards, but only fourteen of it 0:58:36.960 --> 0:58:39.560 came from the slot against Roger McCreary, So I've only 0:58:39.560 --> 0:58:43.400 got a C grade on Keenan Allen. Now Roma Dunza, 0:58:44.280 --> 0:58:47.600 I love his potential matchup more and Allen, as I mentioned, 0:58:47.680 --> 0:58:51.560 draw the two really good quality coverage guys that Tennessee 0:58:51.600 --> 0:58:53.760 has out there. Dunsay's going to see a lot of 0:58:53.800 --> 0:58:58.440 the third cornerback, Chidobe Ouzie, who slumped down to pro 0:58:58.480 --> 0:59:01.880 football focuses cornerbacks seventy seven. Last year, he allowed an 0:59:01.920 --> 0:59:04.600 opposer passer rating of one hundred and thirteen, and the 0:59:04.600 --> 0:59:07.280 Bengals were content to just let him walk in free agency. 0:59:07.560 --> 0:59:11.160 A Duneesay's startable in his NFL debut with a C grade. 0:59:12.160 --> 0:59:15.680 Now let's talk Caleb Williams. I have little hesitation in 0:59:15.720 --> 0:59:19.760 starting him in his first NFL game with three startable receivers, 0:59:20.280 --> 0:59:23.600 give act get his rushing prowess as well. I think 0:59:23.600 --> 0:59:26.520 he's gotten usually say four for a first start rookie. 0:59:26.920 --> 0:59:30.120 Tennessee only faced one particularly mobile quarterback last year. It 0:59:30.120 --> 0:59:32.200 was Lamar Jackson. He ran for sixty two yards. I 0:59:32.240 --> 0:59:34.720 would not be surprised if Caylen Williams runs for forty 0:59:34.800 --> 0:59:37.160 fifty sixty yards in this game. And I've got a 0:59:37.200 --> 0:59:40.200 B grade on the rookie making his first ever start. 0:59:41.600 --> 0:59:46.120 Four Dallas Cowboys taking on the Cleveland Browns is next. 0:59:46.720 --> 0:59:49.040 I am not very optimistic about the Dallas running game, 0:59:49.600 --> 0:59:51.000 and particularly in this matchup. 0:59:52.440 --> 0:59:55.640 Yeah no, nor am I. I mean, I choose your 0:59:55.640 --> 0:59:59.440 own adventure on this. So here here's my tag is 0:59:59.520 --> 1:00:02.800 keep z Kelliott and Delvin Cook, our old man combination 1:00:02.880 --> 1:00:03.760 there on your bench. 1:00:03.760 --> 1:00:04.040 Here. 1:00:04.680 --> 1:00:08.400 I will give Rico Dwell a see in this game. 1:00:09.280 --> 1:00:12.040 This is a good matchup if you can stomach the risk, 1:00:12.240 --> 1:00:15.160 because the Browns allowed the highest explosive run rate and 1:00:15.240 --> 1:00:18.600 missed the most tackles per attempt last year. So just 1:00:18.720 --> 1:00:21.080 on that chance, I'm gonna give Rico Dowdell a see. 1:00:21.520 --> 1:00:23.920 I'm also giving Dak Prescott to see he was QB 1:00:24.040 --> 1:00:26.800 four and fantasy points per game last year. But this 1:00:26.880 --> 1:00:30.000 is a tough matchup. The Browns have a nasty pass defense. 1:00:30.240 --> 1:00:33.120 Cleveland allowed the third fewest yards per game and fourth 1:00:33.160 --> 1:00:36.479 fewest fantasy points per game too opposing quarterbacks last year, 1:00:36.840 --> 1:00:39.600 and of course Miles Garrett and Zadarius Smith were both 1:00:39.720 --> 1:00:43.000 PFF top ten pass rushers last year, so Dak is 1:00:43.000 --> 1:00:44.280 not gonna have a lot of time to make his 1:00:44.360 --> 1:00:48.120 decisions either way. Ceedee Lamb remains a must start. I'm 1:00:48.160 --> 1:00:51.800 going to advise people to keep Brandon Cooks on the bench, though, 1:00:51.840 --> 1:00:54.960 in what is a bad matchup here. Jake Ferguson will 1:00:54.960 --> 1:00:58.080 give him a C ranked number eight last year among 1:00:58.120 --> 1:01:01.040 tight ends and fantasy points. But this is of course 1:01:01.240 --> 1:01:03.440 a tough matchup, so if you have a better option, 1:01:03.680 --> 1:01:07.160 sit Jake Ferguson. The Browns allowed the third fewest passing 1:01:07.200 --> 1:01:09.480 yards per game and least fantasy points per game to 1:01:09.560 --> 1:01:12.680 opposing tight ends last year. Moving over to the Browns, 1:01:13.360 --> 1:01:16.720 keep Deshaun Watson on your bench this week. He, of 1:01:16.760 --> 1:01:20.240 course a middling fantasy quarterback last year, did finish quarterback 1:01:20.320 --> 1:01:22.960 fifteen points per game for quarterbacks last year, but that 1:01:23.080 --> 1:01:26.520 was well, ranking number eight among quarterbacks in rushing yards 1:01:26.560 --> 1:01:29.080 per game. If that falls off any we got problems 1:01:29.160 --> 1:01:32.840 unless his passing magically comes back. And the passing is 1:01:32.880 --> 1:01:34.400 not coming back in this game. The Cowboys allowed the 1:01:34.440 --> 1:01:37.320 fifth fewest passing yeards per game last season. Jerome Ford, 1:01:37.320 --> 1:01:39.760 I'm gonna give him a C. Weeks three to seventeen 1:01:39.840 --> 1:01:42.240 last year, after Chubb went down, he averaged fifteen touches 1:01:42.280 --> 1:01:45.320 a game with sixty seven total yards RB twenty during 1:01:45.360 --> 1:01:48.160 that stretch. The Cowboys are a sure tackling team. They 1:01:48.160 --> 1:01:50.840 had the second least tackles missed per attempt last year, 1:01:51.040 --> 1:01:54.200 but they struggle against gap runs and the Browns run 1:01:54.280 --> 1:01:56.480 a ton of gap and Jerome Ford loves running gap. 1:01:56.680 --> 1:01:58.200 So because of that, I'm gonna give him a sea. 1:01:58.440 --> 1:02:00.640 Amari Cooper, I'm gonna give him a be wide receiver 1:02:00.680 --> 1:02:03.400 seventeen and Fantasy points per game last year average ninety 1:02:03.400 --> 1:02:06.040 six receiving yards per game. And this is a solid 1:02:06.040 --> 1:02:08.960 matchup for him because Deron Blant is out for the Cowboys, 1:02:09.440 --> 1:02:11.880 Cooper's going to face Trevon Diggs coming off with torn 1:02:11.920 --> 1:02:13.960 acl and then you'll probably see a little bit of 1:02:13.960 --> 1:02:16.800 the rookie from wake Forest Kaylen Carson as well, so 1:02:16.880 --> 1:02:18.080 it makes the matchup a little. 1:02:17.920 --> 1:02:18.600 Bit better for him. 1:02:18.680 --> 1:02:21.120 Jerry Judy keep him on the bench wide receiver fifty 1:02:21.160 --> 1:02:23.919 five in Fantasy last year, but this is a tougher 1:02:24.000 --> 1:02:25.800 matchup for him. I think all the targets are going 1:02:25.840 --> 1:02:28.200 to be going to Amari Cooper, David and Joku. 1:02:28.240 --> 1:02:29.880 I'm going to give him a se. He was our 1:02:29.920 --> 1:02:30.520 tight end. 1:02:30.400 --> 1:02:32.960 Seven last year in Fantasy, but was only tight end 1:02:33.080 --> 1:02:37.360 seventeen when Deshaun Watson was behind center. And the Cowboys 1:02:37.360 --> 1:02:39.480 are one of those teams there's a few in the NFL, 1:02:39.600 --> 1:02:42.600 but where they're always good at defending tight ends. Last 1:02:42.680 --> 1:02:44.160 year the Cowboys, and this has been going back a 1:02:44.200 --> 1:02:46.880 couple of years. Cowboys allowed the third fewest receiving yards 1:02:46.880 --> 1:02:48.360 to opposing tight ends last year. 1:02:48.600 --> 1:02:50.360 But we will give Endjoko a seed. 1:02:50.800 --> 1:02:54.960 I think Dante Foreman is really interesting. I think he's 1:02:54.960 --> 1:02:56.600 going to be a factor in this offense. We know 1:02:56.720 --> 1:03:00.400 Kevin Stefanski wants a two headed rushing attack. Yeah, Chubb 1:03:00.480 --> 1:03:03.440 and Hunt for years, right, you know these aren't. 1:03:03.240 --> 1:03:03.920 Chubb and Hunt. 1:03:04.360 --> 1:03:07.960 But I still think I think Jerome Ford's just not 1:03:08.080 --> 1:03:10.520 a workhorse back. So I think Foreman is going to 1:03:10.600 --> 1:03:12.320 be more in the mix. And you know, I think 1:03:12.320 --> 1:03:14.920 there's a sneaky scenario where he's Fantasy relevant in this 1:03:15.040 --> 1:03:17.200 very game when you don't want to pass into the 1:03:17.240 --> 1:03:20.000 teeth of the Dallas defense. I could see it. 1:03:19.960 --> 1:03:20.520 Too for sure. 1:03:20.560 --> 1:03:24.520 When we come back, Denver Broncos, Seattle Seahawks, Bo Nicks 1:03:24.560 --> 1:03:29.640 making his debut. Is this a helpful outcome for the 1:03:29.680 --> 1:03:32.400 Denver Broncos? Is there anybody to play? Find out when 1:03:32.440 --> 1:04:12.360 we come back. Welcome back Fantasy Football Weekly co host 1:04:12.400 --> 1:04:14.760 Matt Harrison. You've got an exciting new game at Fanball. 1:04:14.960 --> 1:04:15.160 Yeah. 1:04:15.200 --> 1:04:19.520 We just launched a brand new mobile app called Fanball Winners, 1:04:20.160 --> 1:04:23.120 and it's a really fun, easy game. It's it's basically 1:04:23.200 --> 1:04:25.880 you pick the winner of each group of three players. 1:04:26.200 --> 1:04:29.960 So this week we have Anthony Richardson, CJ. Stroud, and 1:04:30.040 --> 1:04:32.440 Caleb Williams. Okay, which one of those guys will have 1:04:32.480 --> 1:04:35.160 the most Fantasy points? If you get all three of 1:04:35.200 --> 1:04:39.120 your groups right, you win the split pot overall. And 1:04:39.200 --> 1:04:41.320 it can be you know, a five dollars bet that 1:04:41.360 --> 1:04:43.360 could get you a couple hundred bucks. It's kind of cool, 1:04:43.520 --> 1:04:45.920 all right, And hey, we'll do a deposit match if 1:04:45.960 --> 1:04:49.040 you use FFW as a code. Oh all right, we'll 1:04:49.240 --> 1:04:51.760 do a twenty dollars deposit match. And anybody who wants 1:04:51.760 --> 1:04:53.000 to play it this weekend. 1:04:52.800 --> 1:04:55.440 All right, love it. That's a Fanball Winner app. You 1:04:55.480 --> 1:04:56.560 can download that now. 1:04:56.520 --> 1:05:00.680 Ye download it, download on Apple or Andrew devices. 1:05:00.720 --> 1:05:04.520 Fantastic. While you're chatting with us, Matt, Denver taking on 1:05:04.680 --> 1:05:07.280 the Seattle Seahawks. It's a new era for Denver Broncos 1:05:07.280 --> 1:05:12.520 football with a new new quarterback, bow Knicks. I'm not, honestly, 1:05:12.560 --> 1:05:15.000 I'm not the beggest fan. I'm nervous about bow Nicks. 1:05:15.040 --> 1:05:17.280 I think I think that is an attitude shared by 1:05:17.280 --> 1:05:19.560 Thorne Eystrom. Yep, a lot more than I do about it. 1:05:20.480 --> 1:05:20.800 Matt. 1:05:21.120 --> 1:05:23.520 What are your prospects for your Broncos in this game? 1:05:24.120 --> 1:05:26.920 Well, let's start with Nix and the passing game. I'm 1:05:26.920 --> 1:05:29.640 gonna leave Nix and Courtland Sutton all on the bench 1:05:29.680 --> 1:05:32.280 this week. I think Nix is low A dot in 1:05:32.320 --> 1:05:35.040 the combo of Seattle's decent pass defense is just a 1:05:35.040 --> 1:05:38.080 bad matchup. Over the last eight weeks of the season, 1:05:38.440 --> 1:05:42.400 the Seahawks only allowed eight touchdown passes total, and they 1:05:42.440 --> 1:05:45.080 held seven of the eight quarterbacks they faced under three 1:05:45.160 --> 1:05:48.960 hundred yards. Sutton should see a ton of Devin Witherspoon 1:05:49.040 --> 1:05:53.080 and Tarik Woolan, who both averaged only twenty three yards 1:05:53.320 --> 1:05:55.520 in their coverage per game last season. 1:05:55.560 --> 1:05:55.960 We're good. 1:05:56.000 --> 1:05:58.960 That's tough. So I got the passing game on the bench. 1:05:59.080 --> 1:06:02.960 On the other for the running game, though, Javonte Williams 1:06:03.000 --> 1:06:06.680 and Julil McLaughlin. That McLoughlin, that's a little more interesting. 1:06:07.320 --> 1:06:09.360 The Seahawks defense was one of the worst in the 1:06:09.440 --> 1:06:12.000 league against the run last season, but they re signed 1:06:12.080 --> 1:06:14.880 defensive tackle Leonard Williams, who they traded for during the season, 1:06:15.320 --> 1:06:19.080 and they brought in big run stuffer Jonathan Hankins and 1:06:19.120 --> 1:06:22.440 Michael McDonald, who is a guy from the Baltimore system. 1:06:22.680 --> 1:06:24.800 They're going to try to stop the run here, so 1:06:25.040 --> 1:06:27.920 it's not easy to rely on last year's bad run stats, 1:06:28.000 --> 1:06:30.439 and they were bad even at the end of the year. 1:06:30.480 --> 1:06:32.320 In the last seven games of the year, seven different 1:06:32.400 --> 1:06:35.600 running backs top seventy yards. Five of those also scored. 1:06:36.360 --> 1:06:38.880 But samaj p Ryan is now out of town and 1:06:38.920 --> 1:06:41.640 that opens about twenty snaps per game for Williams and 1:06:41.720 --> 1:06:45.240 McLoughlin to split. Williams averaged thirty three snaps in about 1:06:45.240 --> 1:06:47.960 fourteen carries per game over the last seven weeks. I 1:06:48.040 --> 1:06:50.080 expect him to be the first and second down guy. 1:06:50.160 --> 1:06:53.280 I'll throw a B grade on him this week. McLoughlin, 1:06:53.520 --> 1:06:56.240 I still expect is the third down, passing down back. 1:06:56.560 --> 1:06:58.800 His playing time was kind of goofy over the last 1:06:58.840 --> 1:07:01.800 couple of months of the year, but what was consistent 1:07:01.960 --> 1:07:04.760 is he was targeted out of the backfield about forty 1:07:04.800 --> 1:07:07.360 percent of the time when on the field with checkdown 1:07:07.440 --> 1:07:09.840 nicks at the helm. I think five catches as plausible, 1:07:09.880 --> 1:07:12.160 so I'll throw a C grade at him. On the 1:07:12.200 --> 1:07:15.520 Seattle side, Ken Walker is an A grade when healthy. 1:07:15.600 --> 1:07:18.720 Last year, Walker was the dude o c Ryan Grubb 1:07:18.760 --> 1:07:21.440 tended to use one running back at University of Washington. 1:07:21.760 --> 1:07:25.000 I have reason to believe that Walker is healthy at 1:07:25.040 --> 1:07:27.880 the beginning of this year and he wasn't for most 1:07:27.960 --> 1:07:30.840 of the year. Last year, Denver's run defense was a 1:07:30.920 --> 1:07:34.360 dumpster fire last year. The Broncos allowed the most total 1:07:34.440 --> 1:07:37.480 yards to opposing backs last year at just over twenty 1:07:37.560 --> 1:07:40.320 six hundred, which translates to one hundred and fifty three 1:07:40.440 --> 1:07:44.200 total yards per game. So I love Walker yea. The 1:07:44.240 --> 1:07:47.000 wide outs are a bit trickier. DK Metcalf should see 1:07:47.000 --> 1:07:50.680 a lot of Patrick Certain, who just signed that massive 1:07:50.720 --> 1:07:54.400 contract for six hundred and sixty nine coverage snaps last year, 1:07:54.440 --> 1:07:57.880 Certain was only targeted eighty nine times, but when he 1:07:58.120 --> 1:08:01.000 was beat he did allow some decent just he allowed 1:08:01.160 --> 1:08:03.840 the twenty first most yards in his coverage last year 1:08:03.840 --> 1:08:04.320 in the league. 1:08:04.360 --> 1:08:05.400 Wow, that's surprising. 1:08:05.600 --> 1:08:08.120 Certain is almost as tall as Metcalf, So it's the 1:08:08.200 --> 1:08:11.720 rare case where DK doesn't have that massive heightwaight. 1:08:11.440 --> 1:08:13.640 To balance ring over some helpless cornerback. 1:08:13.760 --> 1:08:18.160 Yeah, so I'll throw a b at DK here. Tyler Lockett, 1:08:18.960 --> 1:08:21.719 he's a little dinged up. He's officially questionable in this one. 1:08:22.160 --> 1:08:25.040 If he goes, he should mostly see Riley Moss on 1:08:25.080 --> 1:08:27.439 the other side of the field. Moss was just a 1:08:27.439 --> 1:08:30.799 backup last year, playing only twenty one snaps, and according 1:08:30.840 --> 1:08:34.639 to Derek Brown of Fantasy pros, Denver ran a ton 1:08:34.680 --> 1:08:38.680 of Cover one defenses last season, and in single high situations, 1:08:39.080 --> 1:08:42.759 Lockett was targeted on just over twenty percent of his routes. 1:08:42.840 --> 1:08:45.960 Run problem with Lockett that thigh injury and he's been 1:08:46.000 --> 1:08:48.439 limited practice earlier in this week, I'll still throw a 1:08:48.479 --> 1:08:51.439 C grade his way if he suited up. Jackson Smith 1:08:51.600 --> 1:08:54.760 Enigma is the one guy we're all expecting to go 1:08:54.800 --> 1:08:57.400 off this year. His draw against Jaqwan McMillan is a 1:08:57.400 --> 1:09:00.559 bit interesting. McMillan covers the slot and only allowed an 1:09:00.560 --> 1:09:03.439 average of thirty one yards against last year. But on 1:09:03.439 --> 1:09:05.559 the flip side, he did give up eight touchdowns in 1:09:05.560 --> 1:09:10.400 his coverage. Eight touchdowns on only forty one catches. One 1:09:10.439 --> 1:09:12.760 in five went for a score. So if JSN can 1:09:12.800 --> 1:09:16.639 get to five catches he scores, that's science right there. 1:09:16.920 --> 1:09:19.880 The problem is he only got to five catches four 1:09:19.920 --> 1:09:22.839 times last year. I'll throw the seed dart at Jackson 1:09:22.880 --> 1:09:26.559 Smith and Jigba. I mentioned starting grades for the receivers, 1:09:26.560 --> 1:09:28.960 so Gino gets a B grade as well, mostly for 1:09:29.000 --> 1:09:31.360 the reasons I liked his receivers, but it's worth mentioning 1:09:31.680 --> 1:09:33.840 that he didn't have many duds last year, even in 1:09:33.920 --> 1:09:37.479 kind of a down season, only five games below eighteen 1:09:37.600 --> 1:09:40.720 standard fantasy points for Gino. So I still like him 1:09:40.720 --> 1:09:43.880 and this matchup doesn't scare me enough to take that 1:09:44.000 --> 1:09:44.280 off me. 1:09:45.360 --> 1:09:49.760 Thor back to Denver for a second. Matt mentioned somemagp 1:09:49.880 --> 1:09:53.639 ran out Audric estime is is he going to follow 1:09:53.680 --> 1:09:55.879 up the works here early in this season? 1:09:55.920 --> 1:09:58.840 Do you think I think he's got a shot? Yeah. 1:09:58.880 --> 1:10:01.160 The only thing that surprises about this stuff the Broncos 1:10:01.240 --> 1:10:03.679 cardon staff has said about him is they keep banging 1:10:03.680 --> 1:10:05.720 the drum that he's like a three down guy. He 1:10:05.760 --> 1:10:08.519 didn't show much on passing downs at Notre Dame, so 1:10:08.920 --> 1:10:11.120 if he's a receiver, that's a dormant skill that they're 1:10:11.120 --> 1:10:11.439 gonna be. 1:10:11.400 --> 1:10:12.760 Picking out Oakland for that. 1:10:12.960 --> 1:10:14.960 And that's the other thing, like I don't understand this 1:10:15.000 --> 1:10:18.360 whole thing, Like Estimate absolutely could be the early downback, 1:10:18.520 --> 1:10:21.280 certainly short yardage guy, be the goal line guy. But yeah, 1:10:21.280 --> 1:10:22.680 he's gonna have to beat out Yavante for that. I 1:10:22.720 --> 1:10:24.000 don't see this three downstuff. 1:10:24.360 --> 1:10:26.439 All right, let's go to the Raiders taking on the Chargers. 1:10:28.400 --> 1:10:30.360 I'm gonna start with Samir White, who got his first 1:10:30.400 --> 1:10:34.400 career start against the Chargers last year, and he wasn't 1:10:34.400 --> 1:10:36.800 bad eighty five total yards in that game. LA's a 1:10:36.960 --> 1:10:40.120 middle of the pack run defense volume backs with seventeen 1:10:40.200 --> 1:10:43.519 or more carries, which Samir Whites getting seventeen or more carries. 1:10:43.600 --> 1:10:45.840 He got more than seventeen, and all of his starts 1:10:45.880 --> 1:10:49.880 last year averaged seventy rushing yards and half a touchdown, 1:10:49.920 --> 1:10:53.800 which is not great. It's just okay. White could chippen 1:10:53.880 --> 1:10:58.160 some better than expected receiving here though. Last year the 1:10:58.240 --> 1:11:01.040 Chargers allowed the second most running back receptions and the 1:11:01.080 --> 1:11:04.200 second most running back receiving yards. And people think Samir 1:11:04.240 --> 1:11:07.640 White can't catch. He's just not a gifted receiver. But 1:11:07.760 --> 1:11:10.000 he can catch. And I wouldn't be surprised if he 1:11:10.040 --> 1:11:11.960 hauls in four or five catches in this one. And 1:11:12.000 --> 1:11:15.160 I've got a B grade on Samir White. Earlier in 1:11:15.200 --> 1:11:17.200 the show, I told you Gardner Minshew was my take 1:11:17.240 --> 1:11:19.240 a chance on me quarterback. I've got to be great 1:11:19.320 --> 1:11:21.840 on him. DeVante Adams comes in as an obvious A 1:11:22.400 --> 1:11:25.080 had two solid games against the Chargers last year, including 1:11:25.080 --> 1:11:27.640 a Week fifteen game with one hundred one yards and 1:11:27.680 --> 1:11:30.400 a touchdown and as I mentioned, didn't take a chance 1:11:30.400 --> 1:11:32.559 on me. The Chargers secondary might be even worse this 1:11:32.680 --> 1:11:35.519 year than it was last year, and that brings us 1:11:35.560 --> 1:11:39.720 to two interesting players. Jacoby Myers, a Fantasy Football Weekly favorite, 1:11:39.880 --> 1:11:42.800 a nice play this week. Last year's Chargers allowed the 1:11:42.920 --> 1:11:46.360 fourth most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers, the fourth 1:11:46.400 --> 1:11:49.680 most wide receiver touchdowns, and as I keep mentioning, the 1:11:49.720 --> 1:11:52.639 secondary is bad, so it might be worse this year. 1:11:52.760 --> 1:11:55.320 Myers was a low was low volume in the two 1:11:55.320 --> 1:11:58.320 matchups against the Chargers last year, but he did score 1:11:58.400 --> 1:12:02.080 in the Week fifteen meeting. Brock Bowers. Oh, this was 1:12:02.120 --> 1:12:05.559 a conundrum for me, like part of it because he's 1:12:05.560 --> 1:12:08.759 been laboring with injury, hasn't been able to participate fully, 1:12:08.720 --> 1:12:10.840 and you want to double check his injury status coming 1:12:10.880 --> 1:12:13.400 into this game. Had he had the full training camp, 1:12:13.439 --> 1:12:17.080 I'd be like, wheels up, let's go. Brock Bauer's elite opportunity. 1:12:18.240 --> 1:12:20.080 I don't know. With him missing the last couple of 1:12:20.080 --> 1:12:23.840 weeks of practice, I'm more nervous here. Chargers were middle 1:12:23.880 --> 1:12:25.960 of the pack as a tight end defense, giving a 1:12:26.040 --> 1:12:30.519 five touchdowns. They got nuked a couple of times by 1:12:30.560 --> 1:12:33.800 some very good tight ends. TJ Hockinson had a huge game, 1:12:33.840 --> 1:12:36.760 Travis Kelcey had a huge game. Cole Kmet randomly had 1:12:36.800 --> 1:12:39.519 a huge game. But otherwise they held opposing tight ends 1:12:39.560 --> 1:12:42.840 in check. So I'm just it's it's the cowards way 1:12:42.880 --> 1:12:44.880 out and Thor. I'm sure you disagree, but I'm just 1:12:44.880 --> 1:12:47.080 putting brock Bawers on the bench for one week until 1:12:47.080 --> 1:12:47.880 I can see what's up. 1:12:48.280 --> 1:12:49.320 I have to disagree. 1:12:49.360 --> 1:12:52.519 He's quarterback proof, he's offensive coordinator proof, he's an idiot proof, 1:12:52.520 --> 1:12:55.360 he's injury proof. That guy's gonna get his manufacturer touch. 1:12:55.400 --> 1:12:58.000 He's going to turn so many five yard throws downfield 1:12:58.040 --> 1:12:59.440 into twenty two yard completions. 1:13:00.200 --> 1:13:04.040 All right, fine, segret Trey Turner. Don't start Trey Turner yet. 1:13:04.320 --> 1:13:07.160 Watch this kid. I love the deep speed that he 1:13:07.200 --> 1:13:10.360 brings to this game. Watch Trey Turner and let's see 1:13:10.360 --> 1:13:12.920 if this kid doesn't develop. But let's not start him yet. 1:13:13.000 --> 1:13:14.800 Let's go to the Chargers side. I've got a couple 1:13:14.800 --> 1:13:17.240 of sea grades for you here. Let's start with the 1:13:17.240 --> 1:13:21.519 passing game. Justin Herbert a lot of potentially negative elements here. 1:13:21.800 --> 1:13:24.719 He played the Raiders once last year and was styming 1:13:24.720 --> 1:13:27.240 through the air inexplicably ran into touchdowns, which is not 1:13:27.280 --> 1:13:30.879 gonna happen again. He lost Keenan Allen, he lost Mike Williams. 1:13:30.920 --> 1:13:32.719 He's going to try to get by with Josh Palmer 1:13:32.920 --> 1:13:35.280 and try to break in Lad McConkey on the fly. 1:13:37.439 --> 1:13:39.720 DJ Chark has been ruled out of this game, so 1:13:39.840 --> 1:13:43.320 that takes another veteran receiver away from Justin Herbert. The 1:13:43.439 --> 1:13:46.639 Raiders weren't above average pass defense last year, and they 1:13:46.680 --> 1:13:49.599 return all the key defensive players. And then the other 1:13:49.640 --> 1:13:52.240 part that worries me about Herbert is Jim Harve is 1:13:52.240 --> 1:13:55.320 just gonna run the ball a lot. And so I 1:13:55.360 --> 1:13:58.599 had all that together and I'm just not very optimistic 1:13:58.600 --> 1:14:00.200 about Herbert and he comes in with the seagus right. 1:14:00.880 --> 1:14:04.679 Josh Palmer absolutely startable though the Raiders. As I mentioned 1:14:04.800 --> 1:14:08.160 good pass defense last year. Josh Palmer put up two 1:14:08.200 --> 1:14:10.519 big games against the Raiders, combining for one hundred and 1:14:10.560 --> 1:14:13.679 ninety yards and one touchdown. He's the only returning veteran 1:14:13.720 --> 1:14:16.160 receiver to the Chargers lineup, and I think this passing 1:14:16.200 --> 1:14:21.200 offense kind of has to go through him. No other 1:14:21.280 --> 1:14:24.599 receivers to start Lad McConkey. I just feel like I don't. 1:14:24.600 --> 1:14:26.679 I'm not ready to go for him in his very 1:14:26.760 --> 1:14:28.800 first game for some of the reasons I mentioned with 1:14:28.840 --> 1:14:31.360 my concern on Justin Herbert. But I understand if you 1:14:31.439 --> 1:14:32.920 drafted him in a spot where you feel like you 1:14:32.960 --> 1:14:34.800 have to start him, I'd rather rest him and just 1:14:34.960 --> 1:14:38.600 check out what happens through one game. JK. Dobbins was 1:14:38.680 --> 1:14:40.240 might take a chance to be running back, but as 1:14:40.240 --> 1:14:42.439 I mentioned when I talked about him, Gus Edwards is 1:14:42.439 --> 1:14:45.479 my preferred play. It's unclear what the handoff ratio is 1:14:45.479 --> 1:14:47.120 going to be between these two, but Gus is a 1:14:47.120 --> 1:14:49.080 top the depth chart and he's probably going to get 1:14:49.080 --> 1:14:51.759 the goal line looks. And the Raiders had a good, 1:14:51.960 --> 1:14:54.040 not great run defense last year. They ranked eighth and 1:14:54.120 --> 1:14:56.920 run stuff win rate ninth by Pro Football Focus. And 1:14:57.040 --> 1:15:00.000 run defense Gus, you know, look, he's a non explosi 1:15:00.200 --> 1:15:04.040 four yard per play per yard per carry grinder with 1:15:04.160 --> 1:15:07.080 some gold line pedigree, and that's about all he brings 1:15:07.080 --> 1:15:10.560 to the table. Here, Come on, Eve, doll boy. 1:15:10.360 --> 1:15:11.160 We're gonna watch him. 1:15:11.200 --> 1:15:13.360 Yeah, we're not starting them, but we're gonna watch him 1:15:13.360 --> 1:15:15.519 and hope that things work out for him in the 1:15:15.520 --> 1:15:15.920 long run. 1:15:15.960 --> 1:15:17.640 And more on him later in the show and. 1:15:17.760 --> 1:15:19.560 Later in the show, and by the way, later in 1:15:19.600 --> 1:15:21.479 the show means next segment, because that's all we got left. 1:15:21.760 --> 1:15:24.599 One segment, left, three games to break down, and our 1:15:24.640 --> 1:15:27.640 premature speculation players find out who they are when we 1:15:27.720 --> 1:15:56.719 come back. Welcome back, final segment of Fantasy Football Weekly 1:15:56.760 --> 1:15:58.600 and my last chance to encourage you to play in 1:15:58.640 --> 1:16:00.880 a Guillotine League. Tons of fun on freshest way to 1:16:00.880 --> 1:16:04.080 play fantasy football. They are blowing up and you can 1:16:04.080 --> 1:16:08.599 play at Guillotine leagues dot com. Premature Speculation. Oh, this 1:16:08.680 --> 1:16:11.800 is where we jump into our time machine and we 1:16:11.880 --> 1:16:14.240 tell you the players that everybody else is going to 1:16:14.360 --> 1:16:18.000 try to pick up next week, but you're already gonna 1:16:18.000 --> 1:16:20.840 pick them up this week. People are gonna wonder how 1:16:20.840 --> 1:16:24.559 you did it. It was the f FW times, Yeah, 1:16:24.560 --> 1:16:28.360 it was the segment. Matt, who is your premature speculation player? 1:16:28.800 --> 1:16:31.000 Well, I've kind of pounded the table for the commanders 1:16:31.000 --> 1:16:33.240 this week, and Thors pounded the table for this guy 1:16:33.240 --> 1:16:37.160 all off season. You notice that I omitted the second 1:16:37.160 --> 1:16:40.479 wide receiver spot there because it's Luke McCaffrey now, who's 1:16:40.520 --> 1:16:43.439 set to start in two wide receiver sets over Diami 1:16:43.520 --> 1:16:47.120 Brown and Ola me Da Zakias, who are just guys 1:16:47.160 --> 1:16:50.679 on an NFL team. If McCaffrey does absolutely anything of note, 1:16:51.080 --> 1:16:53.000 if he catches a ball and makes a good move, 1:16:53.560 --> 1:16:56.960 oh my gosh, if he catches a touchdown, name pedigree 1:16:57.120 --> 1:17:02.320 alone will make people go bonkers. They're gonna blow all 1:17:02.360 --> 1:17:04.880 of their fab on Luke McCaffrey. I'll even throw a 1:17:04.920 --> 1:17:08.040 bonus C grade on him for this week's game against Tampa. 1:17:08.160 --> 1:17:11.360 There we go, Luke McCaffrey. All right, thor your premature 1:17:11.400 --> 1:17:12.360 speculation player. 1:17:12.720 --> 1:17:16.400 Yeah, I'm gonna go with Kimani Vida, my other rookie 1:17:16.439 --> 1:17:20.440 sleeper there. Kamani Vidah and Blake Korm nearly the same dimensions, 1:17:20.439 --> 1:17:22.080 but Vida is the better athlete. 1:17:22.080 --> 1:17:22.760 He's also the. 1:17:22.720 --> 1:17:25.120 Better passing down guy, the best pass blocker in the 1:17:25.280 --> 1:17:28.960 entire class, per Jim Nagy, per PFF. Per his college coach, 1:17:29.000 --> 1:17:31.040 he said he's the best pass blocking running back he's 1:17:31.040 --> 1:17:34.240 ever been around. Vidals also had four thousand rushing yards 1:17:34.240 --> 1:17:37.160 in the FPS over four seasons and caught twenty balls 1:17:37.240 --> 1:17:38.799 or more in all four of those seasons. 1:17:38.800 --> 1:17:42.040 Great contact balance. I love the way that he runs. 1:17:42.400 --> 1:17:44.920 Last year number two in the FPS with ninety two 1:17:44.920 --> 1:17:46.719 broken tackles forced. 1:17:47.200 --> 1:17:49.200 I think Gus Edwards JK. 1:17:49.320 --> 1:17:51.680 Dobbins don't look in your rear view mirrorcause objects are 1:17:51.720 --> 1:17:54.120 closer than they appear. Kamani Vidal will be that team 1:17:54.160 --> 1:17:55.799 starting running back by the end of the season. 1:17:57.520 --> 1:18:01.320 Alvin kamaras cooked as a runner, so I'm going to 1:18:01.400 --> 1:18:04.519 give you Jamal Williams. Let's talk about it. 1:18:04.600 --> 1:18:07.280 He's like the same age. Well yeah, way. 1:18:07.240 --> 1:18:09.920 Different runners in different mileage under four No, they're not 1:18:09.960 --> 1:18:13.240 the same age. Mall Williams younger. I think, I hope 1:18:13.560 --> 1:18:16.439 under four yards per carrie in three straight years for 1:18:16.520 --> 1:18:20.200 Alvin Kamara, four yards per carry is not particularly good. 1:18:20.520 --> 1:18:24.200 His explosive run rate is totally dried up. Kamara's runs 1:18:24.240 --> 1:18:26.360 of twenty or more yards over the last three years 1:18:26.880 --> 1:18:31.160 three three and zero last year, no explosive runs, his 1:18:31.360 --> 1:18:35.240 rushing touchdowns the last three years four, two and five, 1:18:35.680 --> 1:18:37.639 and he's also turned into one of the least effective 1:18:37.680 --> 1:18:40.960 goal line carriers in the league, converting just two of 1:18:41.400 --> 1:18:44.240 sorry seven of twenty seven rushing attempts over the past 1:18:44.240 --> 1:18:47.080 two years into touchdowns from inside the five. That's a 1:18:47.120 --> 1:18:51.760 twenty six percent conversion rate that stinks. Jamal Williams is 1:18:51.800 --> 1:18:54.599 going to get backup runner use and he's gonna get 1:18:54.640 --> 1:18:56.960 goal line carries very possibly, and I like him on 1:18:57.000 --> 1:18:57.360 my team. 1:18:57.439 --> 1:19:01.000 Jamal Williams is three months older than Alvin and they're 1:19:01.040 --> 1:19:02.000 both aged twenty nine. 1:19:02.040 --> 1:19:05.519 I acted very, very upset of me. The Monday Nighter 1:19:05.880 --> 1:19:07.559 is the Jets at San Francisco. 1:19:07.640 --> 1:19:10.080 Matt Yeah, Breisee Hall every week's start and still in 1:19:10.160 --> 1:19:12.679 a grade against a good San fran defense, The Niners 1:19:12.720 --> 1:19:15.400 face five backs who had at least fourteen garys last year. 1:19:15.800 --> 1:19:18.479 Average stat line for those dudes eighty nine total yards 1:19:18.479 --> 1:19:19.920 and zero point eight touchdowns. 1:19:20.120 --> 1:19:20.320 Bad. 1:19:20.760 --> 1:19:23.000 That's good enough. Garrett Wilson is my guy and I 1:19:23.040 --> 1:19:26.040 really love him, but this matchup sucks. Wilson tends to 1:19:26.040 --> 1:19:27.720 move all around the field, so he'll see a few 1:19:27.960 --> 1:19:34.360 characters on Monday Night. Isaac Yaidem, Diamador Lenore. They're tough enough, 1:19:34.400 --> 1:19:37.519 but if he ends up on Charvarius Ward. He's the 1:19:37.560 --> 1:19:40.800 third highest graded corner by Pro Football Focus in seven 1:19:40.920 --> 1:19:44.679 hundred and eighty four coverage snaps last season. Through twenty games, 1:19:44.880 --> 1:19:48.400 they only allowed three touchdowns. I'll still throw a starting 1:19:48.439 --> 1:19:51.280 C grade on Garrett Wilson here. This is about the 1:19:51.280 --> 1:19:54.200 lowest I can personally go on Wilson. I think Rogers 1:19:54.240 --> 1:19:56.679 forces the ball his way enough, maybe a few extra 1:19:56.720 --> 1:19:58.920 times that the volume might be good enough. No one 1:19:59.000 --> 1:20:01.320 else in the passing game for me, including Aaron Rodgers, 1:20:01.320 --> 1:20:03.640 who I will leave on the bench. Last season for 1:20:03.760 --> 1:20:07.000 Rodgers was brutal. He averaged zero passing yards and zero 1:20:07.080 --> 1:20:12.360 scores per game. Just see if you're paying attention charge. 1:20:12.880 --> 1:20:14.800 But in all seriousness, do you know when the last 1:20:14.880 --> 1:20:17.040 three hundred yard passing game for Rodgers was? 1:20:17.680 --> 1:20:20.000 Well, I mean obviously more than a year ago. 1:20:19.960 --> 1:20:23.320 Twenty three games ago Week fourteen of twenty twenty one. 1:20:24.040 --> 1:20:27.200 In that span, he's only hit the three one. Yeah, 1:20:27.240 --> 1:20:30.599 He's only hit the three touchdown pass mark three times 1:20:30.640 --> 1:20:33.200 in the last twenty three games. So while I'm mostly 1:20:33.200 --> 1:20:36.080 bullish on Rodgers being serviceable this week, I'd like to 1:20:36.120 --> 1:20:39.519 see it first. And the matchup sucks. On the Niner side, 1:20:39.600 --> 1:20:43.639 you thought the San Francisco secondary was tough. Sauce Gardner 1:20:43.880 --> 1:20:46.760 number one graded corner by Pro Football Focus last year, 1:20:47.040 --> 1:20:50.920 Michael Carter number ten, the weak spot, DJ Reid number 1:20:50.960 --> 1:20:54.120 twenty six. To me, this feels like a super low 1:20:54.160 --> 1:20:57.280 scoring trap of a Monday nighter. I'm gonna give Brock 1:20:57.320 --> 1:21:01.519 Purdy just a C. I don't want to broct this week. 1:21:01.560 --> 1:21:04.559 I'd rather keep him on the bench in games last 1:21:04.600 --> 1:21:07.120 year against top pass defenses in the league. For this, 1:21:07.200 --> 1:21:10.000 I took a team secondary that was ranked by PFF 1:21:10.040 --> 1:21:13.519 at seventy five or higher. Pretty average, two hund twenty 1:21:13.520 --> 1:21:17.040 one passing yards and a touchdown and a half. I'll 1:21:17.080 --> 1:21:20.320 give both Ayuk and Deebo a C grade. Ayuk missed 1:21:20.320 --> 1:21:22.960 pretty much the entire preseason and holdout mode. I don't 1:21:23.040 --> 1:21:25.799 like that, and he's also the more traditional wide receiver. 1:21:25.920 --> 1:21:28.719 Those guys struggled against the Jets secondary that only allowed 1:21:28.760 --> 1:21:32.200 five total touchdowns the wide receivers last year, But the 1:21:32.240 --> 1:21:34.439 guys that broke through were guys that moved around a 1:21:34.439 --> 1:21:38.599 lot Tyreek Hill once Jalen Waddle twice, both of whom 1:21:38.600 --> 1:21:41.200 are in the Mike McDaniel system, which is the Kyle 1:21:41.240 --> 1:21:45.240 Shanahan system. So maybe there is something here. If I 1:21:45.240 --> 1:21:47.360 have to pick one, it's Debo. I like more because 1:21:47.360 --> 1:21:50.040 of the versatility and the way they can unearth touches 1:21:50.080 --> 1:21:53.559 his way. George Kittle a bee. The Jetes allowed a 1:21:53.600 --> 1:21:57.120 tight end to score double digit PPR Fantasy points nine 1:21:57.200 --> 1:21:59.759 times last season, nine times. 1:22:00.439 --> 1:22:03.240 Consider how great their corners are. I can see where 1:22:03.280 --> 1:22:05.519 teams go to the tight end a lot against the Jets. 1:22:05.560 --> 1:22:08.640 If Shanahan's got a manufacture first downs, Kittle might be 1:22:08.680 --> 1:22:12.240 the top target in this game. Finally, Christian McCaffrey, who's 1:22:12.240 --> 1:22:13.840 been on the shelf for most of the last three 1:22:13.880 --> 1:22:16.680 weeks with a calf injury that suddenly sounds like it's 1:22:16.720 --> 1:22:20.519 also an achilles injury. Yeah, which makes everyone a bit nervous. 1:22:20.560 --> 1:22:22.000 If you have CMC, by the way, and you don't 1:22:22.000 --> 1:22:24.120 have Jordan Mason and he's available in your league, go 1:22:24.280 --> 1:22:26.040 scoop up Jordan Mason right now. 1:22:26.080 --> 1:22:28.799 And even if you have to trade for Jordan Mason, 1:22:29.000 --> 1:22:31.200 you know you might want to go that way. 1:22:31.560 --> 1:22:33.599 Especially if the Niners choose to give him an extra 1:22:33.600 --> 1:22:35.680 week off. This is the Monday nighter, you might not 1:22:35.880 --> 1:22:38.840 have McCaffrey. And by the way, McCaffrey better be in 1:22:38.880 --> 1:22:40.920 your flex right now, just in case you need to 1:22:40.960 --> 1:22:44.479 pivot somewhere else. If he's going, he's still in a grade. 1:22:44.479 --> 1:22:47.080 The Jets were bottom ten against the run last year 1:22:47.080 --> 1:22:50.559 in rushing yards and scores. It's possible that Jordan Mason 1:22:50.640 --> 1:22:52.639 is even a deep dart throw play for this week. 1:22:52.760 --> 1:22:55.879 If CMC is active, I'd give him like the lowest 1:22:55.920 --> 1:22:57.160 C grade imaginable. 1:22:58.400 --> 1:23:04.680 All Right, four, our final matchup of this show, the 1:23:04.800 --> 1:23:07.920 Rams and Lions. You've already alluded to this matchup with 1:23:08.080 --> 1:23:09.840 I don't know. I think we already talked through six 1:23:09.960 --> 1:23:12.639 seven players in this matchup. There's almost nobody left. 1:23:12.760 --> 1:23:14.720 Have I mentioned that as the highest total on the 1:23:14.840 --> 1:23:16.080 NFL board this week? 1:23:17.200 --> 1:23:19.320 No, you don't say this. 1:23:19.640 --> 1:23:22.360 Is gonna be a fantasy bonanza. Jered Goff was my 1:23:22.520 --> 1:23:25.200 take a chance on me. Quarterback Jamiir Gibbs. I'm gonna 1:23:25.200 --> 1:23:27.480 give an a He's a must start here. The big plays, 1:23:27.520 --> 1:23:29.760 just the possibility of them could be a bonanza game. 1:23:30.040 --> 1:23:32.320 Rams have an average pass defense. This is a very 1:23:32.360 --> 1:23:35.759 good opportunity here in a matchup for Gibbs. David Montgomery, 1:23:35.760 --> 1:23:37.599 I'm gonna give him a ce. He was our RB 1:23:37.640 --> 1:23:40.639 fifteen in Fantasy last year and he remains that tackle 1:23:40.680 --> 1:23:43.280 breaking machine that he was at Iowa State for the Cyclones. 1:23:43.479 --> 1:23:46.160 Number eight and yards after contact per attempt last year. 1:23:46.360 --> 1:23:48.439 Rams have a middling run defense and it did not 1:23:48.520 --> 1:23:51.680 get better after they traded the linebacker Ernest Jones the 1:23:51.720 --> 1:23:55.000 fourth to the Titans, but risk of the gamescript flipping 1:23:55.080 --> 1:23:58.080 against Montgomery and going more pass heavy dings them a 1:23:58.120 --> 1:24:00.800 little bit in my eyes. The same Brown and Sam 1:24:00.880 --> 1:24:04.040 Laporte both obviously must starts. Jamison Williams was might take 1:24:04.040 --> 1:24:07.200 a chance on me wide receiver moving over to the Rams. 1:24:07.200 --> 1:24:09.160 Matthew Stafford, I'm gonna give him a bee. This is 1:24:09.160 --> 1:24:11.679 his first game in Detroit as a member of the Rams. 1:24:12.080 --> 1:24:14.360 The Rams, though in this game, they may be without 1:24:14.360 --> 1:24:17.320 both offense starting offensive tackles and Alaric Jackson. We know 1:24:17.520 --> 1:24:21.040 he's gonna be out. He suspended, and Rob Havenstein has 1:24:21.080 --> 1:24:21.759 an ankle injury. 1:24:21.800 --> 1:24:24.639 So those are make Those are relegit losses right there, 1:24:24.760 --> 1:24:27.439 especially against a really good pass rush for the Lions. 1:24:27.439 --> 1:24:29.840 The Lions have so fearsome edge rushers. Uh. 1:24:29.960 --> 1:24:31.840 Stafford coming off the season where he scored twenty two 1:24:31.840 --> 1:24:34.200 point five fantasy points per game in five of the 1:24:34.240 --> 1:24:35.240 last six games. 1:24:35.640 --> 1:24:37.280 Uh, but we're gonna give him a b in this one. 1:24:37.520 --> 1:24:39.559 Kyron Williams, I'm gonna give him a bee, which might 1:24:39.600 --> 1:24:41.400 be scandalous that a lot of people might get, you know, 1:24:41.439 --> 1:24:44.479 call him a mustard. Ah of course, Kyron played eighty 1:24:44.479 --> 1:24:46.240 two percent of the snaps last year, but that's not 1:24:46.360 --> 1:24:50.120 happening again with Blake Kormantown. I'm concerned that Kyron snaps 1:24:50.120 --> 1:24:52.719 and touches both go down and that he's yanked inside 1:24:52.720 --> 1:24:55.360 the ten yard line. Last year he averaged a touchdown 1:24:55.400 --> 1:24:57.679 per game. That is not happening again. But of course 1:24:57.720 --> 1:24:59.680 he's gonna be on the field for all passing down 1:24:59.720 --> 1:25:02.280 work and a bit a little bit more than that presumably, 1:25:02.800 --> 1:25:04.320 and this is gonna be a good game for both 1:25:04.360 --> 1:25:07.679 offense and passing. Blake Corum was might take a chance 1:25:07.720 --> 1:25:11.400 on me running back Poka Nakua is healthy, it seems, 1:25:11.439 --> 1:25:14.240 and he is a must start with that designation. De 1:25:14.280 --> 1:25:16.479 Marcus Robinson was charged to take a chance on me 1:25:16.520 --> 1:25:18.080 wide receiver Cooper Cup. 1:25:18.080 --> 1:25:19.760 I'm gonna give him a bee in this. I think 1:25:19.800 --> 1:25:21.799 this is likely his last year with the Rams. 1:25:22.000 --> 1:25:23.519 The Rams are gonna save twelve and a half million 1:25:23.560 --> 1:25:25.360 dollars if it can trade him next offseasons. So this 1:25:25.439 --> 1:25:27.920 might be the swan Song dealt with ankle the ankle 1:25:27.960 --> 1:25:31.080 spring and hamstring injuries last year, but in this game, 1:25:31.560 --> 1:25:35.400 very good script here the highest total again. Lions secondary 1:25:35.439 --> 1:25:37.519 gave up the most passing yards per game last year. 1:25:37.720 --> 1:25:40.200 Detroit did attempt, I mean over and over again this 1:25:40.240 --> 1:25:43.080 offseason to improve that secondary. They added Terry and Arnold 1:25:43.120 --> 1:25:45.360 and Enis Regsher on the draft and Carlton Davis in 1:25:45.479 --> 1:25:48.439 free agency. But we'll give Cooper a cup of bee here. 1:25:48.720 --> 1:25:50.280 Rams tight Ends, you have to keep him on the bench. 1:25:50.320 --> 1:25:52.559 Tyler Higbee's injured. The other two I don't want any 1:25:52.560 --> 1:25:53.360 part of. In this game. 1:25:53.880 --> 1:25:57.040 The line secondary was the big problem for the whole team. Yeah, 1:25:57.040 --> 1:25:59.400 that's ultimately what costs them a trip to the super Bowl. 1:25:59.439 --> 1:26:02.519 I believe less so than say they're head coach making 1:26:02.640 --> 1:26:06.640 you know, crazy decisions in a particular game. But it 1:26:06.720 --> 1:26:08.640 might take a while for all those moving parts in 1:26:08.680 --> 1:26:12.240 this for sure. That's new line secondary not only cl. 1:26:11.920 --> 1:26:13.120 Not an easy matchup either. 1:26:13.479 --> 1:26:15.240 Yeah, for that thing to jail, it's gonna have to 1:26:15.320 --> 1:26:17.000 je and cohal as quick because they're going to be 1:26:17.000 --> 1:26:18.719 attacking that secondary all game long. 1:26:18.800 --> 1:26:21.679 For sure. And it's Sean McVay. He knows what he's doing. Yes, 1:26:21.720 --> 1:26:23.920 all right, We've got just a couple of moments here 1:26:23.960 --> 1:26:29.120 at the end. What fab bid? What percentage of your 1:26:29.120 --> 1:26:31.800 fab for the season? Would you put on Isaiah Likely 1:26:31.920 --> 1:26:33.920 if he's a free agent in your league. 1:26:35.439 --> 1:26:37.519 Like three or four percent? Because most of my leagues 1:26:37.520 --> 1:26:40.920 I got a tight end, I think. But yeah, that 1:26:41.000 --> 1:26:43.880 seems like a little bit of an over overreach for me. 1:26:43.920 --> 1:26:46.000 All Right, I go if I needed a tight end, 1:26:46.040 --> 1:26:48.040 I go up to thirty, you go up to thirty. 1:26:48.280 --> 1:26:50.880 I'm with you. I'm like, I'm about a third of 1:26:50.920 --> 1:26:54.680 my whole season on Isaiah Likely. What we saw is 1:26:54.800 --> 1:26:58.680 absolutely replicatable. He is going to be there effect effectively. 1:26:58.760 --> 1:27:02.559 There one a flowers of that passing game. Yeah, that kid? 1:27:02.640 --> 1:27:06.519 Is he so legit? Yeah, so legit. I love I love, 1:27:06.600 --> 1:27:08.479 we loved him as a rookie. It's just it's all 1:27:08.520 --> 1:27:08.960 coming again. 1:27:09.080 --> 1:27:10.840 Did you see that stat word that one touchdown he 1:27:10.880 --> 1:27:12.479 had where he turned around deep that guy and then 1:27:12.560 --> 1:27:14.000 ran into the end zone That it was a zero 1:27:14.080 --> 1:27:16.880 point three touchdown expectancy on that play based on the 1:27:16.920 --> 1:27:17.719 next gen stats. 1:27:17.800 --> 1:27:19.000 Dude, So good, so good. 1:27:19.080 --> 1:27:21.759 Thanks for listening to Fantasy Football Weekly, everybody. We're delighted 1:27:21.800 --> 1:27:25.040 to get into the regular season sixteen more shows like 1:27:25.080 --> 1:27:27.880 this one coming up. Fantasy Football Weekly is a production 1:27:27.960 --> 1:27:32.360 of iHeartRadio. For more podcasts from iHeartRadio, visit the iHeartRadio app, 1:27:32.400 --> 1:27:35.519 Apple podcasts, or wherever you listen to your favorite shows.