WEBVTT - Bloomberg Businessweek Weekend - September 27th, 2024

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio news.

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<v Speaker 2>This is Bloomberg business Week Inside from the reporters and

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<v Speaker 2>editors who bring you America's most trusted business magazine, plus

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<v Speaker 2>global business, finance and tech news. The Bloomberg Business Week

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<v Speaker 2>Podcast with Carol Messer and Tim Stenebeck from Bloomberg Radio.

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<v Speaker 3>Hi, everyone, Welcome to the Bloomberg Business Week Weekend podcast.

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<v Speaker 3>Tim is out this week with me in from London.

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<v Speaker 3>Lovely to have Stephen Carroll, He's co host of Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 3>day Break Europe on Bloomberg Radio. Really nice to have

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<v Speaker 3>you here in a week having so much.

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<v Speaker 4>Was going on.

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<v Speaker 5>Gladly and I from important events.

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<v Speaker 3>He does, he does, so I hear well our backdrop

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<v Speaker 3>on this busy past week. Gridlock in New York City,

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<v Speaker 3>no doubt about that. This as the seventy ninth Annual

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<v Speaker 3>youn General Assembly was in session, coinciding with New York

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<v Speaker 3>City's annual Climate Week summit with global leaders in town.

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<v Speaker 3>Bloomberg and Bloomberg for Lanthropy is both founded by Michael R.

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<v Speaker 3>Bloomberg hosted the Bloomberg Global Business Form an Earthshot Prize

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<v Speaker 3>Innovation Summit at the Plaza Hotel, which we did a

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<v Speaker 3>live broadcast.

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<v Speaker 6>Yeah.

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<v Speaker 1>Over the next two hours will bring you some of

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<v Speaker 1>our conversations and highlights from the event. These are discussions

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<v Speaker 1>focusing on innovation and opportunity in the climate space, as

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<v Speaker 1>well as tracking where the investment is going and how

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<v Speaker 1>it all fits into the state of the global economy.

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<v Speaker 1>On that, we have an update on Latin America and

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<v Speaker 1>the Caribbean with Inter American Development Banks Jordan Schwartz, and

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<v Speaker 1>the latest on the surge in wind power with the

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<v Speaker 1>CEO of the Global Wind Energy Council Bend Backwell.

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<v Speaker 3>And later on the Australian billionaire who is spending billions

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<v Speaker 3>on EV trucks. First up this hour. As Managing Director

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<v Speaker 3>of the International Monetary Fund, Kristallina Giorgeva is a leader

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<v Speaker 3>on the world economy, its growth, it stresses, and its

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<v Speaker 3>complicated relationships and so coming off of the Federal Reserves

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<v Speaker 3>halfpoint interest rate cut decision last week, she told us

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<v Speaker 3>the Fed broadly got it right. Here's more from the

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<v Speaker 3>Bloomberg Global Business Forum in New York.

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<v Speaker 7>Oh The global economy has been remarkably resilient despite the

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<v Speaker 7>horrendous shocks of the last years, despite of interest rates

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<v Speaker 7>fighting inflation. For the last more than a year, we

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<v Speaker 7>have seen global rock growth holding. We project three point

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<v Speaker 7>two percent this year three point two percent next year.

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<v Speaker 7>The two engines of this performance US economy and most

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<v Speaker 7>of Emerging Asia, especially India. Assian We are now seeing

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<v Speaker 7>interest rates in most economy is going down, and rightly so,

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<v Speaker 7>because we also see the price being paid for interest

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<v Speaker 7>rates being high. It is affecting somewhat prospects for growth

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<v Speaker 7>in major economies. Two very important points for your audience.

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<v Speaker 7>Number One, yes, growth is holding, but by historic standards

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<v Speaker 7>it is not high enough to retain good prospects for

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<v Speaker 7>our economies before the pandemic average growth three point eight percent. Two,

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<v Speaker 7>we also have very high debt levels, and that combination

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<v Speaker 7>of slow growth and high debt is something that we

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<v Speaker 7>at the Fund worry about. What we want to see

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<v Speaker 7>is countries taking seriously the importance.

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<v Speaker 4>Of fiscal prudence.

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<v Speaker 7>So the center banks have done their job, they fought inflation.

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<v Speaker 7>Inflation is going down, rates are going down. We need

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<v Speaker 7>the fiscal site to be equally committed, and of course

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<v Speaker 7>we want to see more attention as to what drives growth.

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<v Speaker 3>I want to go back to inflation now with the

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<v Speaker 3>Fed finally making that big move last week that have

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<v Speaker 3>a point card. Inflation defeated, mission accomplished, done or would

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<v Speaker 3>you say not necessarily yet watch it.

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<v Speaker 7>Yes, we are in a very good place. We have

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<v Speaker 7>been predicting soft lending. We would see inflation down and

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<v Speaker 7>growth still remaining firmly in positive territory. This is where

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<v Speaker 7>we are. We know that in the services inflation is

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<v Speaker 7>still flaring a little bit more so the FAT is

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<v Speaker 7>going to watch it. But broadly we think that the.

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<v Speaker 5>FED got it right.

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<v Speaker 7>And we would see how that evolves in the next

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<v Speaker 7>meeting of the FAT. Not to exclude that could be

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<v Speaker 7>more cuts. But again, why is the FAT successful Because

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<v Speaker 7>it is data driven, so they would watch incommun data

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<v Speaker 7>very carefully.

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<v Speaker 1>I take note that you're worried about the fiscal side, though,

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<v Speaker 1>how big a risk is what you're hearing in the

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<v Speaker 1>US election campaign that's going to have a huge impact

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<v Speaker 1>on US RISCO policy.

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<v Speaker 7>Look, I mean, let's first give credit where credit is due.

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<v Speaker 4>The US has helped.

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<v Speaker 7>The world economy to stay afloat in this very difficult time.

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<v Speaker 7>So when we think about the response to the pandemic,

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<v Speaker 7>the response to the war in Ukraine, these spike of

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<v Speaker 7>energy and food prices. Having the US economy to perk

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<v Speaker 7>in the way it did a very good news for everybody.

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<v Speaker 7>This being said, we have to all think of the

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<v Speaker 7>beast that may be around the corner. What we learned

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<v Speaker 7>in these last years is that we are in a

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<v Speaker 7>more shock front world and having fiscal space to act

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<v Speaker 7>should that become necessary. Is a message we send to

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<v Speaker 7>all our members is.

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<v Speaker 3>That our number one risk the fiscal position of the

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<v Speaker 3>United States and other well, I.

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<v Speaker 7>Mean, the United States has the ability to fund itself

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<v Speaker 7>in a fairly comfortable manner. What we see in some

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<v Speaker 7>other countries they don't quite have that privilege. So the

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<v Speaker 7>pressure for imminent action, of course, differs in different places.

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<v Speaker 7>We do we have been saying that make sure that

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<v Speaker 7>you are not pushing prices up by getting more money

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<v Speaker 7>into the economy. The economy the economy can handle, so

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<v Speaker 7>be careful.

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<v Speaker 3>But you don't worry about the US Federal Bank in

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<v Speaker 3>particular that by that half a point content there maybe

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<v Speaker 3>are putting a little bit more stimulus when the economy

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<v Speaker 3>seems to be doing well.

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<v Speaker 4>Right, there's growth, Yeah, the economy is doing well. Haber

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<v Speaker 4>markets still as.

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<v Speaker 7>You actually are reporting in your program that consumers seem

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<v Speaker 7>to be saying, well, you're not as confident as we

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<v Speaker 7>were before. Let's remember that when you have interest rates

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<v Speaker 7>so high, that has impact, and it is the desired

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<v Speaker 7>impact to bring inflation down, and the accompany not so

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<v Speaker 7>desired to impact on consumer and business confidence. So my

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<v Speaker 7>message is the following. We have to all be very

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<v Speaker 7>watchful of whether there is risk of inflation to flare

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<v Speaker 7>up again. What is happening around the world. So we

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<v Speaker 7>are not I mean, as the movie would go, we

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<v Speaker 7>are not in Kansas anymore. We're in a different world,

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<v Speaker 7>more shockpron more unpredictable. Keep your powder dry, don't use

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<v Speaker 7>all of it at once.

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<v Speaker 1>One of the shocks that did open the global economy

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<v Speaker 1>is Russia has wore in Ukraine and the Fund was

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<v Speaker 1>criticized recently for planning to restart annual economic consultations with Russia.

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<v Speaker 5>Whose idea was that.

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<v Speaker 7>Look, I mean, we do have an articles of agreement

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<v Speaker 7>and they say you have to have regular consultations. The

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<v Speaker 7>Russian case is a very complex case. This is not

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<v Speaker 7>your normal article for so as you know, we have

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<v Speaker 7>said we need to see whether we have all the

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<v Speaker 7>data we need to see whether we are ready, and

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<v Speaker 7>at this moment.

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<v Speaker 4>We are not.

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<v Speaker 1>What does that damage the Fund's reputation having that sort

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<v Speaker 1>of confusion around starting and then stopping.

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<v Speaker 7>I think that the Fund has been incredibly strong over

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<v Speaker 7>this period of time of shock upon shock upon shock.

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<v Speaker 7>We have supplied liquidity to countries that need it. We

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<v Speaker 7>boosted reserves for countries so they can go through these shocks.

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<v Speaker 7>And I think our reputation speaks for itself by the

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<v Speaker 7>fact that our membership is increasing. We just got our

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<v Speaker 7>one hundred ninety first member, the tiny country of Liechtenstein

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<v Speaker 7>joining us. Why because we are an anchor in a

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<v Speaker 7>sea of trouble. So I would argue that when you

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<v Speaker 7>look at the Fund, you have a credible institution. We

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<v Speaker 7>have come true. We help the world economy to steer

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<v Speaker 7>through very difficult times. We will continue to do that.

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<v Speaker 3>But is it tricky considering the war and in terms

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<v Speaker 3>of advising Russia, like how to survive through this when

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<v Speaker 3>most of the developed world, as you.

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<v Speaker 4>Now of course, cities as a horrible war. Heart bleeds for.

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<v Speaker 7>The people in Ukraine that have been so harshly hit

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<v Speaker 7>by Russia's war. I want to see the war ending

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<v Speaker 7>for the sake of Ukraine and for the sake of

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<v Speaker 7>the global economy. It was incredibly damaging to the whole world.

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<v Speaker 7>When we think of this, is it is it possible

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<v Speaker 7>to do Article four without enhancing Russia's capabilities? We have

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<v Speaker 7>to sit back and think twice.

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<v Speaker 5>And this is what we're.

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<v Speaker 4>Doing right now.

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<v Speaker 5>How long will you wait before that is.

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<v Speaker 7>And why are some of our members, I mean, this

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<v Speaker 7>is our the levels. Some of our members are saying, please,

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<v Speaker 7>if you're the only institution, no treasure. Other members they're saying,

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<v Speaker 7>you're the only institution that can come up with some

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<v Speaker 7>credible assessment what is happening in Russia. So that is

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<v Speaker 7>also something that is in the equation. But I'm telling

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<v Speaker 7>you this is not an adventure we would take ever likely,

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<v Speaker 7>and I care very deeply for the trust of my membership.

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<v Speaker 7>We need to be there as an institution that holds

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<v Speaker 7>strong in a world that has more trouble.

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<v Speaker 3>I want to ask about Argentina because you guys have

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<v Speaker 3>put in there are some complaints by the Argentinian president

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<v Speaker 3>about the IMF negotiator. You put in a new negotiator,

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<v Speaker 3>and we do wonder about, like, what does that signal

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<v Speaker 3>to other countries when they're maybe not happy with negotiations

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<v Speaker 3>or policies or the imafs.

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<v Speaker 7>So the answer is very simple. It is the negotiator

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<v Speaker 7>himself who found the situation being propagated. Yeah, how do

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<v Speaker 7>you negotiate with somebody who does not trust you at all?

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<v Speaker 7>So it was that negotiator that looked into the situation

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<v Speaker 7>in Argentina. Does Argentina needs help from the fund?

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<v Speaker 8>Yes?

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<v Speaker 5>Do they need our advice?

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<v Speaker 9>Yes?

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<v Speaker 7>Let me send somebody who the president would listen to.

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<v Speaker 7>And I can tell you that that was a mature judgment,

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<v Speaker 7>and I stand by this judgment of my staffer, great professional,

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<v Speaker 7>great professional, Rodrigo Valdez. I admire him for the maturity

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<v Speaker 7>it has shown in that environment.

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<v Speaker 1>And are you hopeful for improved relationships with Argentina as

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<v Speaker 1>a result of that change? Will things proceed more smoothly

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<v Speaker 1>with the IMS relationship there Argentina?

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<v Speaker 7>Argentina faces very very tough problems to solve, and I

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<v Speaker 7>know that Argentina would only benefit of having the IMF

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<v Speaker 7>analytically to stand by Argentina and financially to stand by Argentina.

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<v Speaker 3>And I'm justire, I don't know if you realize it,

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<v Speaker 3>but there's an election going on in the United States.

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<v Speaker 4>I am curious.

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<v Speaker 3>You've got two candidates with radically different positions on a

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<v Speaker 3>lot of different issues, whether it's trade, immigration, the US's

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<v Speaker 3>position on the global stage on economic policy. What's your

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<v Speaker 3>advice for the next president of the United States.

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<v Speaker 7>Look, I mean the elections in the United States. This

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<v Speaker 7>is the choice of the American people. They make this choice,

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<v Speaker 7>they have a president, and then this president sets up

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<v Speaker 7>an agenda for the country. We are always there for

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<v Speaker 7>our members to give them our best shot advice.

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<v Speaker 4>So you remembers worried about the outcome of the US election.

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<v Speaker 7>The whole of the membership is now facing a work

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<v Speaker 7>in which sixty percent of people are going to the polls. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 7>you ask different countries. They have different worries. But I

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<v Speaker 7>also very amazing stories that I hope you would tell.

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<v Speaker 7>I was with Professor use of Bangladesh. Here is a

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<v Speaker 7>country in which the youth of the country said, no

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<v Speaker 7>more corruption, We want to turn a page. And for

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<v Speaker 7>us supporting this country to turn that page to get

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<v Speaker 7>a good growth and good prospects for their people amazing.

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<v Speaker 3>So listening to the younger population always important. Chris allnigior Gava,

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<v Speaker 3>thank you so much. We so appreciate your time here.

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<v Speaker 3>Managing director of course at the International Monetary Thought, thank

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<v Speaker 3>you so much.

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<v Speaker 2>You're listening to the Bloomberg Business Week podcast. Catch us

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<v Speaker 3>We are very global all this week here on Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 3>Business Week, and we've had this week the opportunity to

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<v Speaker 3>focus on economic issues in different regions of the world

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<v Speaker 3>and how the changing climate is altering many country these trajectories. Well,

0:15:01.320 --> 0:15:05.240
<v Speaker 3>the African Development Bank finances projects across the continent in

0:15:05.320 --> 0:15:09.600
<v Speaker 3>areas including agriculture, energy, also the private sector development, and

0:15:09.640 --> 0:15:11.800
<v Speaker 3>we know those African countries, something we talk about a

0:15:11.800 --> 0:15:14.160
<v Speaker 3>lot here at Bloomberg, are among those most affected by

0:15:14.200 --> 0:15:16.280
<v Speaker 3>climate change. So that is some of what we wanted

0:15:16.320 --> 0:15:17.880
<v Speaker 3>to talk about here on Business Week.

0:15:17.960 --> 0:15:19.960
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, indeed, to discuss that. We're joined in the Interactive

0:15:19.960 --> 0:15:22.320
<v Speaker 1>Broker studio by doctor a Can wimen at Asena, who

0:15:22.320 --> 0:15:24.080
<v Speaker 1>is the President of the African Development Bank. Thank you

0:15:24.160 --> 0:15:26.200
<v Speaker 1>very much to see We've also got Blomberg Chief Africa

0:15:26.480 --> 0:15:29.560
<v Speaker 1>correspondent Jennifer Sabasagie with us in Studio two to join

0:15:29.600 --> 0:15:31.600
<v Speaker 1>the conversation. Doctor Absina, Welcome to New York.

0:15:31.600 --> 0:15:32.880
<v Speaker 5>Great to have here.

0:15:33.000 --> 0:15:36.680
<v Speaker 1>You're here having conversations with global leaders for Climate Week

0:15:36.680 --> 0:15:38.280
<v Speaker 1>and you and General Assembly. What are you trying to

0:15:38.320 --> 0:15:39.040
<v Speaker 1>get out of this week?

0:15:39.160 --> 0:15:40.720
<v Speaker 6>Well, first and foremost is just for bakeshore.

0:15:40.760 --> 0:15:43.080
<v Speaker 10>Africa's is used on at the top of the agenda

0:15:43.200 --> 0:15:46.720
<v Speaker 10>because when you talk about climate change, Africa only Accouncil

0:15:46.760 --> 0:15:47.120
<v Speaker 10>no more.

0:15:47.000 --> 0:15:49.080
<v Speaker 6>Than three percent of emissions.

0:15:49.240 --> 0:15:52.280
<v Speaker 10>But actually so for us to proportionately from a negative consequences,

0:15:52.320 --> 0:15:55.040
<v Speaker 10>it loses fight seven to fifteen billion dollars a year,

0:15:55.360 --> 0:15:57.560
<v Speaker 10>and the current trend continues, that's going to rise to

0:15:57.640 --> 0:16:00.160
<v Speaker 10>fifty billion dollars a year. But it's not getting the

0:16:00.160 --> 0:16:02.920
<v Speaker 10>amount of financing that it needs. You know, Africa needs

0:16:03.000 --> 0:16:05.760
<v Speaker 10>roughly about two seventy seven billion dollars a year to

0:16:05.800 --> 0:16:07.720
<v Speaker 10>tackle climate change, but it gets to know what a

0:16:07.840 --> 0:16:08.680
<v Speaker 10>thirty billion dollars.

0:16:08.720 --> 0:16:09.800
<v Speaker 5>It's a big gap there.

0:16:10.080 --> 0:16:12.160
<v Speaker 10>So, but most of what is needed there it's really

0:16:12.160 --> 0:16:14.600
<v Speaker 10>to adapt to climate change. It's not so much of mitigation,

0:16:14.920 --> 0:16:17.400
<v Speaker 10>but it's adapting to climate change. Other things that I

0:16:17.440 --> 0:16:19.640
<v Speaker 10>wanted to get out of. Most of this is actually

0:16:19.640 --> 0:16:22.560
<v Speaker 10>how we tackle Africa's debt issues, because at the end

0:16:22.560 --> 0:16:25.200
<v Speaker 10>of the day, you know, you can run up a

0:16:25.280 --> 0:16:27.880
<v Speaker 10>heel if you're carrying a back back of sand, and

0:16:27.960 --> 0:16:30.760
<v Speaker 10>so you can have development in which you have highly

0:16:30.760 --> 0:16:32.760
<v Speaker 10>in deatd countries. And so we have to make sure

0:16:32.800 --> 0:16:36.160
<v Speaker 10>that African countries facing a lot of challenges in terms

0:16:36.160 --> 0:16:40.080
<v Speaker 10>of climate, in terms of also conflict, also in terms

0:16:40.120 --> 0:16:43.920
<v Speaker 10>of high inflation, and strength in fiscal space, that they

0:16:43.920 --> 0:16:45.560
<v Speaker 10>have the space they need to be able to invest

0:16:45.560 --> 0:16:48.800
<v Speaker 10>in education, health, water, sanitation, gals, education and all of

0:16:48.840 --> 0:16:51.560
<v Speaker 10>those things. So dead climate for me a very very

0:16:51.960 --> 0:16:53.800
<v Speaker 10>important part of my conversation here this.

0:16:53.760 --> 0:16:56.200
<v Speaker 11>Week, and doctor Orgerstina, I mean part of that. I

0:16:56.240 --> 0:16:58.280
<v Speaker 11>want to start with climate change, maybe because you have

0:16:58.400 --> 0:17:01.560
<v Speaker 11>talked a lot about in particular the IMS special drawing

0:17:01.640 --> 0:17:05.760
<v Speaker 11>rights and channeling more of those towards addressing climate change

0:17:05.760 --> 0:17:08.400
<v Speaker 11>on the continent. Where is the progress on that? Did

0:17:08.400 --> 0:17:10.640
<v Speaker 11>you make any progress this week while here in New York?

0:17:10.840 --> 0:17:13.120
<v Speaker 10>Well, actually, just to think about the speciat of doing

0:17:13.200 --> 0:17:16.160
<v Speaker 10>rights at the IMF. You know, when we started, everybody

0:17:16.160 --> 0:17:18.879
<v Speaker 10>for well, sers were things you put on the balance

0:17:18.880 --> 0:17:22.399
<v Speaker 10>sheets essentially as reserve assets of central banks. But we

0:17:22.480 --> 0:17:25.960
<v Speaker 10>felt that actually these assets were actually simply latent assets

0:17:26.240 --> 0:17:28.840
<v Speaker 10>that I was convinced that we can actually do better

0:17:29.119 --> 0:17:32.520
<v Speaker 10>in terms of seeing how we can turn those into

0:17:33.119 --> 0:17:35.320
<v Speaker 10>assets that can lock a lot of capital through the

0:17:35.359 --> 0:17:38.159
<v Speaker 10>most lateral development banks. And the model that we develop

0:17:38.200 --> 0:17:40.680
<v Speaker 10>basically was, you know, to see, okay, if you actually

0:17:40.760 --> 0:17:43.639
<v Speaker 10>reachannel the SDRs to us as strip or air rated

0:17:43.680 --> 0:17:47.880
<v Speaker 10>financial institutions, that's actually a hybrid capital that we can

0:17:48.000 --> 0:17:51.040
<v Speaker 10>use and say perpetual in that stage on a balance sheet.

0:17:51.160 --> 0:17:53.240
<v Speaker 10>So we can actually leverage now four times, it can

0:17:53.280 --> 0:17:56.880
<v Speaker 10>even go to photo eight times. And so we're very delighted,

0:17:56.920 --> 0:18:00.280
<v Speaker 10>myself and the president of Inter American Development Bank. We

0:18:00.320 --> 0:18:03.320
<v Speaker 10>walk together very collaboratively to solve some of the technical

0:18:03.600 --> 0:18:06.520
<v Speaker 10>So there are some technical issues about whether what's the

0:18:06.560 --> 0:18:08.960
<v Speaker 10>reserve assets status of it and if you want to

0:18:09.000 --> 0:18:10.719
<v Speaker 10>collect it back, how can you get it back?

0:18:10.800 --> 0:18:12.560
<v Speaker 6>So we had to deal with some technical issues.

0:18:12.720 --> 0:18:15.000
<v Speaker 10>We solve all those technical issues, and I was delighted

0:18:15.280 --> 0:18:20.040
<v Speaker 10>that the IMA board actually approved twenty billion dollars of

0:18:20.280 --> 0:18:22.720
<v Speaker 10>SEIS to be do channel through the most lateral development

0:18:22.800 --> 0:18:25.840
<v Speaker 10>banks as hybrid capital. Now, now the issue is now,

0:18:25.880 --> 0:18:28.480
<v Speaker 10>how do we get that money? To get all that

0:18:28.560 --> 0:18:31.920
<v Speaker 10>money out, yeah, exactly. You know, we had to actually

0:18:31.960 --> 0:18:35.560
<v Speaker 10>put together a group of five We need five SDI

0:18:35.680 --> 0:18:39.480
<v Speaker 10>rich countries that will agree to rechannel that through the

0:18:39.800 --> 0:18:43.879
<v Speaker 10>African Development Bank and the Inter American Development Bank. But

0:18:43.920 --> 0:18:45.960
<v Speaker 10>also we have to make sure we have a group

0:18:46.000 --> 0:18:48.480
<v Speaker 10>of others that are in Europe. For example, European countries

0:18:48.520 --> 0:18:52.000
<v Speaker 10>can't do it because of restrictions by the European Central

0:18:52.040 --> 0:18:54.879
<v Speaker 10>Bank on monetary policy outside of the EU and so,

0:18:55.000 --> 0:18:57.879
<v Speaker 10>but we set up a very nifty structure which is

0:18:57.880 --> 0:19:01.640
<v Speaker 10>called Liquidity Support Agreement, which they can just essentially guarantee

0:19:01.680 --> 0:19:03.880
<v Speaker 10>those that have given it to you. Okay, that's still allowed.

0:19:04.160 --> 0:19:06.560
<v Speaker 10>So that's where we are. We're making progress in terms

0:19:06.560 --> 0:19:08.680
<v Speaker 10>of the countries. We're talking to them, and I'm hoping

0:19:08.720 --> 0:19:10.439
<v Speaker 10>that you know, by the time we do G twenty,

0:19:10.640 --> 0:19:13.560
<v Speaker 10>we'll have gone along way in making sure that way or.

0:19:13.560 --> 0:19:15.199
<v Speaker 4>Will you actually have access to the funds?

0:19:15.240 --> 0:19:17.439
<v Speaker 10>Well, actually, you know the long ways to get access

0:19:17.440 --> 0:19:18.960
<v Speaker 10>to the funds, so which means there has to be

0:19:19.000 --> 0:19:21.600
<v Speaker 10>agreement that that thing. It's not just easy just like

0:19:21.720 --> 0:19:23.919
<v Speaker 10>give it to you. The legal things they have to

0:19:23.920 --> 0:19:25.679
<v Speaker 10>go through in their countries to make sure that that

0:19:25.720 --> 0:19:26.359
<v Speaker 10>gets done.

0:19:26.560 --> 0:19:29.040
<v Speaker 6>So we we know.

0:19:29.000 --> 0:19:33.000
<v Speaker 10>That President Lula as the presidency of the G twenty,

0:19:33.040 --> 0:19:36.320
<v Speaker 10>as I spoke at the event just yesterday, that the

0:19:36.440 --> 0:19:40.560
<v Speaker 10>stars US Okay for hybrid capital and getting it out

0:19:40.600 --> 0:19:43.359
<v Speaker 10>to US is top on the agenda for G twenty.

0:19:43.400 --> 0:19:45.880
<v Speaker 5>This is something that's I mean, we're deep in the weeds.

0:19:45.680 --> 0:19:49.560
<v Speaker 1>Of international financial machinery here and had the money we

0:19:49.640 --> 0:19:52.280
<v Speaker 1>like to do public This is something you know, I

0:19:52.320 --> 0:19:53.960
<v Speaker 1>was at the EU African sulmost two and a half

0:19:54.080 --> 0:19:56.800
<v Speaker 1>years ago when this idea was sort of advanced to

0:19:56.840 --> 0:19:59.320
<v Speaker 1>a level where the reallocation would be able to happen.

0:20:00.000 --> 0:20:02.960
<v Speaker 1>Political will was there from under a manual macro all

0:20:03.000 --> 0:20:05.880
<v Speaker 1>the time. Is the political will still there to action

0:20:06.000 --> 0:20:08.600
<v Speaker 1>this and to make sure that that transmission happens as

0:20:08.680 --> 0:20:09.600
<v Speaker 1>quickly as possible.

0:20:09.680 --> 0:20:11.880
<v Speaker 6>And remember there are two things we're talking about here.

0:20:11.920 --> 0:20:14.479
<v Speaker 10>That is the one in which you you know, there

0:20:14.520 --> 0:20:16.359
<v Speaker 10>was a request to make sure that some amount of

0:20:16.359 --> 0:20:21.280
<v Speaker 10>money actually given okay through the IMF. You know three

0:20:21.359 --> 0:20:26.439
<v Speaker 10>is property reduction and growth trust and residence and so

0:20:26.520 --> 0:20:29.439
<v Speaker 10>salability trust. So that's that's money that's been given to

0:20:29.480 --> 0:20:32.120
<v Speaker 10>IMF that's that's a different thing the one that I'm

0:20:32.160 --> 0:20:34.399
<v Speaker 10>talking about, and that's going very well. I think they

0:20:34.440 --> 0:20:37.280
<v Speaker 10>have probably one hundred billion dollars they're looking for of SDR.

0:20:37.640 --> 0:20:40.399
<v Speaker 10>The one we're looking for is how the seas gets

0:20:40.440 --> 0:20:44.680
<v Speaker 10>re channeled through the multilateral development so we can actually

0:20:44.760 --> 0:20:47.240
<v Speaker 10>leverage that. You know, the thing is that you know

0:20:47.240 --> 0:20:49.600
<v Speaker 10>when you when the money goes to im F. IMF

0:20:49.760 --> 0:20:53.480
<v Speaker 10>is very very great, Crystalionam sister has been mostly helpful.

0:20:54.200 --> 0:20:56.760
<v Speaker 10>But you know, for us, it's a it's a wonderful thing.

0:20:57.119 --> 0:20:59.080
<v Speaker 10>You know, every dollar becomes forth, it's good for you

0:20:59.160 --> 0:21:01.159
<v Speaker 10>as a shareholder, it's good for a tax for us,

0:21:01.160 --> 0:21:02.960
<v Speaker 10>and you don't lose all the money. And so the

0:21:03.400 --> 0:21:05.840
<v Speaker 10>progress has been made is phenomenal. Progress been made. But

0:21:05.920 --> 0:21:07.359
<v Speaker 10>I think we just have to tie the knots and

0:21:07.400 --> 0:21:09.440
<v Speaker 10>make sure the money actually comes home and we can

0:21:09.440 --> 0:21:11.000
<v Speaker 10>continue to do. I just tell you one thing that

0:21:11.000 --> 0:21:13.040
<v Speaker 10>I can do. I take the case of you know,

0:21:13.720 --> 0:21:15.600
<v Speaker 10>our Jai Banker, President of the World Bank and I

0:21:15.640 --> 0:21:18.160
<v Speaker 10>go together during the Spring meeting and we say, look,

0:21:18.359 --> 0:21:20.359
<v Speaker 10>I said, we still have six hundred million Africans that

0:21:20.400 --> 0:21:21.760
<v Speaker 10>don't have access to electricity.

0:21:22.119 --> 0:21:23.160
<v Speaker 6>That doesn't make any sense.

0:21:23.200 --> 0:21:25.159
<v Speaker 10>You can't grow in the dark, you can't industrialize in

0:21:25.200 --> 0:21:28.359
<v Speaker 10>the dark, and you cannot be competitive without electricity. So

0:21:28.400 --> 0:21:29.639
<v Speaker 10>I said, we're going to have to deal with it,

0:21:29.680 --> 0:21:32.160
<v Speaker 10>and so we both agreed and we launched what's called

0:21:32.160 --> 0:21:34.960
<v Speaker 10>Mission three hundred, which is to connect three hundred million

0:21:34.960 --> 0:21:38.919
<v Speaker 10>Africans to electricity by twenty thirty. Now, universal access to

0:21:38.920 --> 0:21:42.040
<v Speaker 10>electricity in Africa is going to require one ninety billion dollars,

0:21:42.359 --> 0:21:45.400
<v Speaker 10>okay by year. Now here's where the SDR connection comes in.

0:21:45.680 --> 0:21:49.200
<v Speaker 10>Because if you actually have fifty billion dollars of SDRs

0:21:49.200 --> 0:21:51.880
<v Speaker 10>and you can leverage it at four times because they

0:21:51.880 --> 0:21:54.240
<v Speaker 10>have r capital for you, that means that problem is

0:21:54.240 --> 0:21:55.440
<v Speaker 10>solved once and for all.

0:21:55.640 --> 0:21:56.800
<v Speaker 6>That is two hundred.

0:21:56.520 --> 0:21:58.560
<v Speaker 10>Billion dollars at least to solve that problem. So that's

0:21:58.600 --> 0:22:02.159
<v Speaker 10>the connection that we are trying to make. And President

0:22:02.200 --> 0:22:05.280
<v Speaker 10>Lula as President of the G twenty it's also we've

0:22:05.320 --> 0:22:08.119
<v Speaker 10>raised the issue also about he has something called the

0:22:08.119 --> 0:22:12.360
<v Speaker 10>Global Alliance against Poverty and Hunger, okay, and so it's

0:22:12.359 --> 0:22:14.400
<v Speaker 10>the same thing. You know, you use this se as

0:22:14.400 --> 0:22:17.840
<v Speaker 10>well a lot massive amount of capital to deal with

0:22:17.880 --> 0:22:19.840
<v Speaker 10>all the things. We say we have a part of

0:22:19.880 --> 0:22:20.359
<v Speaker 10>the future.

0:22:20.640 --> 0:22:22.800
<v Speaker 3>So do you hope you think that within six months

0:22:22.840 --> 0:22:25.080
<v Speaker 3>twelve months you have that capital or that you can

0:22:25.119 --> 0:22:25.560
<v Speaker 3>move forward.

0:22:25.600 --> 0:22:27.560
<v Speaker 10>I believe that we will because I think that the

0:22:27.840 --> 0:22:30.240
<v Speaker 10>most difficult part we've gone over that. So it's a

0:22:30.320 --> 0:22:32.199
<v Speaker 10>question now of how we're going to use it and

0:22:32.240 --> 0:22:36.880
<v Speaker 10>how we can get it at so I think so, yes, absolutely, yeah.

0:22:35.840 --> 0:22:37.240
<v Speaker 3>Well, you know, one of the other things, I'm just

0:22:37.240 --> 0:22:39.520
<v Speaker 3>curious other parts of the world where you you know,

0:22:39.680 --> 0:22:43.040
<v Speaker 3>look to access you know, partnerships money. You guys have

0:22:43.080 --> 0:22:45.919
<v Speaker 3>been working with the Arab Bank for Economic Developments on

0:22:45.960 --> 0:22:48.119
<v Speaker 3>some key projects. What can you tell us about further

0:22:48.160 --> 0:22:51.440
<v Speaker 3>expansion there. We're also curious about, you know, the relationship

0:22:51.440 --> 0:22:53.520
<v Speaker 3>with China and money coming in from China. What can

0:22:53.560 --> 0:22:55.800
<v Speaker 3>you tell us in those those two aspects.

0:22:55.880 --> 0:22:58.760
<v Speaker 10>Yeah, you know, they are a bank for ecomic development

0:22:58.760 --> 0:23:00.439
<v Speaker 10>in Africa. Is a very great partner of the African

0:23:00.560 --> 0:23:04.240
<v Speaker 10>Development Bank, and we have joint projects that we do together.

0:23:05.000 --> 0:23:07.080
<v Speaker 6>We do more, Oh yeah, we will do more.

0:23:07.119 --> 0:23:10.840
<v Speaker 10>And we work in education and water, in sanitation, in

0:23:11.560 --> 0:23:15.720
<v Speaker 10>agriculture and infrastructure and so on, and so they're celebrated

0:23:15.720 --> 0:23:17.760
<v Speaker 10>at fifture that anniversary. I was one of the keynote

0:23:17.760 --> 0:23:20.320
<v Speaker 10>speakers to speak there. They've also invested in one of

0:23:20.359 --> 0:23:22.679
<v Speaker 10>the things that we put up call it Alliance for

0:23:22.720 --> 0:23:26.080
<v Speaker 10>Green Infrastructure in Africa, which is a vehicle that we

0:23:26.200 --> 0:23:30.080
<v Speaker 10>just put together to mobilize ten billion dollars of private

0:23:30.119 --> 0:23:34.359
<v Speaker 10>capital going into greening the infrastructure space, greening the gribbing,

0:23:34.400 --> 0:23:39.000
<v Speaker 10>the green transport, green hydrogen, green Amumonia, and also making

0:23:39.000 --> 0:23:42.919
<v Speaker 10>sure that we can basically have climate resilient infrastructure all

0:23:42.960 --> 0:23:45.560
<v Speaker 10>across Africa. So we have a lot together. We've done,

0:23:46.040 --> 0:23:49.400
<v Speaker 10>you know, together about almost eight hundred and thirty five

0:23:49.520 --> 0:23:52.120
<v Speaker 10>million dollars of joint projects in the last seven years,

0:23:52.160 --> 0:23:54.199
<v Speaker 10>and we've putting six hundred million dollars into that. So

0:23:54.480 --> 0:23:56.639
<v Speaker 10>we have great partners and I look forward to us

0:23:56.640 --> 0:23:57.320
<v Speaker 10>doing more together.

0:23:57.359 --> 0:23:59.960
<v Speaker 3>What about China, You know, over the years we've talked

0:24:00.000 --> 0:24:02.679
<v Speaker 3>about the investments China has done some of it. You know,

0:24:02.680 --> 0:24:06.119
<v Speaker 3>they're concerned about their access certainly to raw materials, basic

0:24:06.160 --> 0:24:08.280
<v Speaker 3>minerals and so on to what can you tell us

0:24:08.280 --> 0:24:08.560
<v Speaker 3>on that f.

0:24:08.680 --> 0:24:10.520
<v Speaker 10>Well, I think, you know, China invests quite a lot

0:24:10.560 --> 0:24:13.040
<v Speaker 10>in infrastructure in Africa, and people get to ask me

0:24:13.080 --> 0:24:14.919
<v Speaker 10>a lot of questions about that, you know, but the

0:24:15.000 --> 0:24:18.320
<v Speaker 10>question really is that you know, Africa Africa's infrastructure gap

0:24:18.400 --> 0:24:21.520
<v Speaker 10>is so massive. You know, Africa needs at least sixty

0:24:21.520 --> 0:24:25.359
<v Speaker 10>two one of an eight billion dollars a year. You know,

0:24:25.440 --> 0:24:27.159
<v Speaker 10>not to talk of different now, not to talk of

0:24:27.200 --> 0:24:28.280
<v Speaker 10>even the challenges you have.

0:24:28.440 --> 0:24:29.720
<v Speaker 6>You know, you're doing.

0:24:29.560 --> 0:24:31.960
<v Speaker 10>The infrastructure and all of a suddenly you have all

0:24:32.000 --> 0:24:35.119
<v Speaker 10>these cyclones and hurricanes and all these things that are happening.

0:24:35.359 --> 0:24:38.359
<v Speaker 10>That's actually setting you back, right and so, but I

0:24:38.400 --> 0:24:42.000
<v Speaker 10>think that what has happened is on the infrastructure space.

0:24:42.040 --> 0:24:44.480
<v Speaker 10>What I just know more generally is a lot being

0:24:44.560 --> 0:24:47.880
<v Speaker 10>done is by governments. And I don't think that infrastructures

0:24:47.880 --> 0:24:50.320
<v Speaker 10>will always be carried by governments. I think you need

0:24:50.359 --> 0:24:53.000
<v Speaker 10>to have a lot more private capital moving into infrastructure.

0:24:53.240 --> 0:24:54.920
<v Speaker 10>I think you have to make sure that the debt

0:24:56.160 --> 0:24:59.280
<v Speaker 10>bodings from infrastructure are reduced. I also think is very

0:24:59.320 --> 0:25:01.920
<v Speaker 10>very important to make sure that the infrastructure being done

0:25:01.920 --> 0:25:06.400
<v Speaker 10>in any case should be infrastructure that you can recycle.

0:25:06.440 --> 0:25:09.479
<v Speaker 10>In other words, governments, if you've actually taken a lot

0:25:09.520 --> 0:25:11.320
<v Speaker 10>of loans to do infrastructure, why not does do as

0:25:11.359 --> 0:25:14.520
<v Speaker 10>said recycling basically just recycle that into private cycle and

0:25:14.560 --> 0:25:16.760
<v Speaker 10>then free of more capital to be able to do more.

0:25:17.840 --> 0:25:19.960
<v Speaker 10>And so that's how I look at it, and I

0:25:20.000 --> 0:25:22.560
<v Speaker 10>think for US as African Development Bank, in the last

0:25:22.840 --> 0:25:25.240
<v Speaker 10>seven years or so, we've put in more than fifty

0:25:25.320 --> 0:25:29.119
<v Speaker 10>five fifty five billion dollars into Africa. We are the

0:25:29.200 --> 0:25:35.200
<v Speaker 10>largest by far. What's large roo financial institution investing in infrastructure?

0:25:35.440 --> 0:25:35.560
<v Speaker 12>Right?

0:25:36.320 --> 0:25:39.240
<v Speaker 11>When you talk to international investors, doctor Odisinea, I know

0:25:39.240 --> 0:25:40.840
<v Speaker 11>you were meeting with a few of them while you

0:25:40.880 --> 0:25:42.159
<v Speaker 11>were here this week.

0:25:42.320 --> 0:25:44.240
<v Speaker 4>I mean, is what is their concern?

0:25:44.320 --> 0:25:47.440
<v Speaker 11>Because we hear a lot about risk in investing potentially

0:25:47.480 --> 0:25:50.080
<v Speaker 11>in a lot of these infrastructure projects that you're talking about.

0:25:50.080 --> 0:25:53.760
<v Speaker 11>I mean, what is it that international investors are hoping

0:25:53.800 --> 0:25:55.919
<v Speaker 11>to see in order to penetrate more into more of

0:25:55.920 --> 0:25:56.639
<v Speaker 11>these markets.

0:25:56.760 --> 0:25:58.600
<v Speaker 10>Yeah, you know, if you take a look at it,

0:25:58.640 --> 0:26:01.800
<v Speaker 10>we don't get that much of private capital moving into

0:26:01.840 --> 0:26:03.320
<v Speaker 10>infrastructure right in Africa.

0:26:03.359 --> 0:26:04.919
<v Speaker 6>But the issue is people.

0:26:04.640 --> 0:26:08.040
<v Speaker 10>Talk about risk, well, life is about risk returns. People

0:26:08.080 --> 0:26:10.719
<v Speaker 10>forget about a return part of that, and so it's

0:26:10.760 --> 0:26:12.600
<v Speaker 10>a risk return world. And I take a look at

0:26:12.600 --> 0:26:15.080
<v Speaker 10>Africa and I don't think Africa is risk here than

0:26:15.119 --> 0:26:16.800
<v Speaker 10>any other part of the world. Don't believe me, just

0:26:16.840 --> 0:26:19.680
<v Speaker 10>believe the data. There was an assessment that was done

0:26:19.720 --> 0:26:23.800
<v Speaker 10>by Moodist analytics who looked at the cumulative losses on

0:26:23.880 --> 0:26:28.160
<v Speaker 10>infrastructure financing globally, not just in Africa. Well, they find

0:26:28.160 --> 0:26:31.080
<v Speaker 10>they look at fourteen years of non performing loans and

0:26:31.119 --> 0:26:34.119
<v Speaker 10>debt and they found that in Africa the non performing.

0:26:33.800 --> 0:26:36.840
<v Speaker 6>Loans was one point nine percent, In.

0:26:37.160 --> 0:26:41.200
<v Speaker 10>North America it was six point six percent, in Latin

0:26:41.240 --> 0:26:44.560
<v Speaker 10>America it was about ten percent, and you know, Eastern

0:26:44.640 --> 0:26:47.000
<v Speaker 10>Europe about twelve point four percent, and Western Asia mo

0:26:47.000 --> 0:26:49.760
<v Speaker 10>Albost four point five percent. So Africa is not as

0:26:49.880 --> 0:26:52.240
<v Speaker 10>risky as people say. Perception is not reality.

0:26:52.440 --> 0:26:53.639
<v Speaker 4>How do we change that perception?

0:26:53.680 --> 0:26:56.119
<v Speaker 3>Because I think you've got this really smart global audience

0:26:56.200 --> 0:26:58.400
<v Speaker 3>right now, and I think we think of emerging world

0:26:58.440 --> 0:27:01.800
<v Speaker 3>and we think, oh yeah, Africa, what what is what's

0:27:01.800 --> 0:27:03.800
<v Speaker 3>the message you would like to get out to the

0:27:03.840 --> 0:27:05.000
<v Speaker 3>audience who's listening right now.

0:27:05.040 --> 0:27:08.040
<v Speaker 10>Well, first informost is that you know the fact that

0:27:08.119 --> 0:27:10.879
<v Speaker 10>I said, you know it's about risk return, Well doesn't

0:27:10.880 --> 0:27:13.159
<v Speaker 10>mean they're no risk, you know. So first infemost is

0:27:13.160 --> 0:27:14.760
<v Speaker 10>that we have the vehicles to do risk those things.

0:27:14.800 --> 0:27:18.120
<v Speaker 10>So we have project risk, market risk, and whether there

0:27:18.119 --> 0:27:21.080
<v Speaker 10>are also political risk insurance that we can actually provide

0:27:21.080 --> 0:27:22.680
<v Speaker 10>the fact that the African.

0:27:22.320 --> 0:27:24.240
<v Speaker 4>Development and say we have a little political rest.

0:27:26.200 --> 0:27:27.840
<v Speaker 10>Yeah, yeah, but we can we can do risk there,

0:27:27.920 --> 0:27:30.000
<v Speaker 10>so I'll stay with within my lane.

0:27:30.640 --> 0:27:31.600
<v Speaker 6>But but but but.

0:27:31.680 --> 0:27:34.919
<v Speaker 10>We're trying to put all of our instruments, so partial

0:27:35.000 --> 0:27:37.960
<v Speaker 10>risk guarantee instruments, partial credit guarantee instruments that we do

0:27:38.040 --> 0:27:40.760
<v Speaker 10>for counterparties with that government private sector. We're trying to

0:27:40.760 --> 0:27:43.120
<v Speaker 10>put all that together into what we call an African

0:27:43.800 --> 0:27:47.800
<v Speaker 10>Insurance and Guarantee Agency, so so so private sector needing

0:27:48.320 --> 0:27:50.960
<v Speaker 10>those risk instruments don't have to run every everywhere to

0:27:51.000 --> 0:27:53.480
<v Speaker 10>lower their transaction costs to do it. And that would

0:27:53.480 --> 0:27:57.400
<v Speaker 10>be a game changer because we also provide insurance against

0:27:57.840 --> 0:28:01.000
<v Speaker 10>equity investments. If we provide insurance for you when you

0:28:01.119 --> 0:28:05.040
<v Speaker 10>actually also have political insurance and ensure you against climate

0:28:05.280 --> 0:28:08.080
<v Speaker 10>climate sharks. And the last thing I'll say about this

0:28:08.160 --> 0:28:11.720
<v Speaker 10>particulating is just that when investors are looking to invest,

0:28:11.760 --> 0:28:13.920
<v Speaker 10>they're asking the question where are the bankable projects?

0:28:14.240 --> 0:28:14.400
<v Speaker 6>Right?

0:28:14.480 --> 0:28:16.040
<v Speaker 10>You have to be able to have a whole series

0:28:16.080 --> 0:28:18.360
<v Speaker 10>of bankable projects, and we're doing very well on that.

0:28:18.400 --> 0:28:21.359
<v Speaker 10>We have, for example, an institution that I actually share

0:28:21.400 --> 0:28:24.199
<v Speaker 10>is board. It's called Africa fifty is a private equity

0:28:24.280 --> 0:28:27.240
<v Speaker 10>vehicle that has about now one point one billion dollars

0:28:27.440 --> 0:28:30.719
<v Speaker 10>and portfolios of eight billion dollars on infrastructure assets. And

0:28:30.800 --> 0:28:33.080
<v Speaker 10>basically what it does, it's a part of a company

0:28:33.160 --> 0:28:36.159
<v Speaker 10>is to it's called project development company and so you

0:28:36.240 --> 0:28:37.520
<v Speaker 10>develop bankableley.

0:28:37.040 --> 0:28:39.600
<v Speaker 6>Projects that it can sell. Right, it doesn't matter what

0:28:39.640 --> 0:28:39.960
<v Speaker 6>it is.

0:28:40.240 --> 0:28:43.080
<v Speaker 10>So we're trying to make project development a business issue,

0:28:43.240 --> 0:28:44.600
<v Speaker 10>not just the development.

0:28:44.200 --> 0:28:46.200
<v Speaker 4>Issue, the financial the private sector involvement.

0:28:46.280 --> 0:28:47.160
<v Speaker 6>Right, that's right, that's right.

0:28:47.200 --> 0:28:49.120
<v Speaker 10>And the last and now I just say about investing

0:28:49.120 --> 0:28:52.560
<v Speaker 10>in infrastructure, it's important of local currency financing. You know,

0:28:52.600 --> 0:28:54.720
<v Speaker 10>we talk about debt just now, but if you actually

0:28:54.760 --> 0:28:57.760
<v Speaker 10>look at the assets that people are investing in, the

0:28:58.360 --> 0:29:01.960
<v Speaker 10>revenue streams are going to becoming in local currencies and

0:29:02.000 --> 0:29:05.200
<v Speaker 10>the currencies are actually depreciating very much. So look at

0:29:05.240 --> 0:29:07.360
<v Speaker 10>currency bunds are very going to be very important for

0:29:07.400 --> 0:29:12.000
<v Speaker 10>financing that. And also synthetic lookout currency instruments are going

0:29:12.040 --> 0:29:13.960
<v Speaker 10>to be there and as well as you know, we

0:29:14.040 --> 0:29:17.440
<v Speaker 10>at the Bank, we support financial institutions in Africa that

0:29:17.560 --> 0:29:21.440
<v Speaker 10>actually lend in local currency, but we take the we

0:29:21.480 --> 0:29:23.880
<v Speaker 10>actually ensure you, we give you the risk you'll lend it,

0:29:23.920 --> 0:29:25.960
<v Speaker 10>and we pay we be at the risk ourselves.

0:29:26.040 --> 0:29:28.160
<v Speaker 11>Right, we're seeing a lot of that volatility with currencies

0:29:28.320 --> 0:29:30.920
<v Speaker 11>all over the continent. Doctor Artistina, we were just talking

0:29:30.960 --> 0:29:34.080
<v Speaker 11>briefly about how this is potentially this is your last

0:29:34.440 --> 0:29:37.920
<v Speaker 11>UNNGA as President of the African Development Bank. I wonder

0:29:37.960 --> 0:29:40.080
<v Speaker 11>how you think about your time in office over the

0:29:40.080 --> 0:29:43.520
<v Speaker 11>past decade or so. You talked about how the bank

0:29:43.520 --> 0:29:45.800
<v Speaker 11>looks a lot differently than how you inherited it. I mean,

0:29:45.840 --> 0:29:47.400
<v Speaker 11>how would you assess it well?

0:29:47.440 --> 0:29:49.400
<v Speaker 10>First and foremus is the greater honer of my life

0:29:49.720 --> 0:29:53.200
<v Speaker 10>to be asked by shareholders. You know, we've got any

0:29:53.240 --> 0:29:56.840
<v Speaker 10>one shareholders to go and actually you have the resources,

0:29:56.840 --> 0:29:59.040
<v Speaker 10>you have the confidence, you have the support, and guess

0:29:59.040 --> 0:30:01.880
<v Speaker 10>what go change it continent of my birth. And that's

0:30:01.920 --> 0:30:03.880
<v Speaker 10>not for me a job, that is a mission. I

0:30:03.920 --> 0:30:06.720
<v Speaker 10>take it as a mission and so that's how I

0:30:06.720 --> 0:30:08.720
<v Speaker 10>look at it every single day. Now, look at what

0:30:09.200 --> 0:30:12.080
<v Speaker 10>has happened to the bank since we actually started. You know,

0:30:12.160 --> 0:30:14.959
<v Speaker 10>for example, you know when we started, I said that

0:30:15.000 --> 0:30:18.080
<v Speaker 10>we have to have a clarity about how the bank

0:30:18.160 --> 0:30:21.040
<v Speaker 10>tackles issues day to day issues of people. People shouldn't

0:30:21.040 --> 0:30:23.400
<v Speaker 10>really looking at you know, you have Africa and Development Bank.

0:30:23.600 --> 0:30:25.000
<v Speaker 10>The issue for me is not just the bank. We

0:30:25.000 --> 0:30:26.920
<v Speaker 10>don't how to run a bank is the issue is

0:30:26.920 --> 0:30:29.760
<v Speaker 10>the development part, right, And so we actually set out

0:30:29.760 --> 0:30:33.360
<v Speaker 10>to actually say five priorities for Africa. Light of empower Africa,

0:30:33.440 --> 0:30:37.960
<v Speaker 10>universal access to electricity, feed Africa, integreat Africa, infrastructure wise,

0:30:38.280 --> 0:30:42.320
<v Speaker 10>industrialized Africa, so Africa can be competitive with global value chains, okay,

0:30:42.440 --> 0:30:45.160
<v Speaker 10>and increase the share of global manufacturing. And then of

0:30:45.200 --> 0:30:48.200
<v Speaker 10>course improve the quality of life of the people of

0:30:48.240 --> 0:30:51.840
<v Speaker 10>Africa the things that we all care about, water, sanitation, education, skills,

0:30:51.920 --> 0:30:54.720
<v Speaker 10>job for young people and all of that. So we

0:30:55.080 --> 0:30:58.360
<v Speaker 10>in the last time, since the last seven years, that

0:30:58.480 --> 0:31:01.080
<v Speaker 10>work has impacted on more than one hundred million people.

0:31:01.360 --> 0:31:03.640
<v Speaker 10>The second is what we've done in times of raising

0:31:03.680 --> 0:31:06.360
<v Speaker 10>more capital for the bank. When I was elected president

0:31:06.360 --> 0:31:08.720
<v Speaker 10>first of the bank quite first time, the capital of

0:31:08.720 --> 0:31:11.600
<v Speaker 10>the bank was ninety three billion dollars. Today the capital

0:31:11.600 --> 0:31:14.400
<v Speaker 10>of the bank is nine three hundred and eighteen billion.

0:31:14.080 --> 0:31:14.680
<v Speaker 4>Big difference.

0:31:14.880 --> 0:31:18.400
<v Speaker 10>And last year last year just one point. Last year,

0:31:18.680 --> 0:31:21.720
<v Speaker 10>the Afghan Development Bank was ranked as the best multilateral

0:31:21.840 --> 0:31:24.720
<v Speaker 10>financiale institution in the world. And last year and this

0:31:24.840 --> 0:31:27.880
<v Speaker 10>year we were ranked also as the most transparent financiale

0:31:27.880 --> 0:31:29.920
<v Speaker 10>institution in the world. So I was thinking that, you know,

0:31:30.000 --> 0:31:34.040
<v Speaker 10>we've done pretty well. I think my staff I've been fantastic,

0:31:34.200 --> 0:31:37.200
<v Speaker 10>but most importantly, my shareholders have just been phenomenal. When

0:31:37.240 --> 0:31:38.920
<v Speaker 10>I was re elected, I was re elected with one

0:31:38.960 --> 0:31:40.720
<v Speaker 10>hundred percent of the votes, so which was fantastic.

0:31:40.840 --> 0:31:42.160
<v Speaker 4>Well, it's certainly a part of the world that we

0:31:42.200 --> 0:31:43.240
<v Speaker 4>focus on so much.

0:31:43.400 --> 0:31:45.400
<v Speaker 3>Genders this as she spent so much time on it

0:31:45.440 --> 0:31:47.920
<v Speaker 3>as well, Doctor Adisina, thank you so much.

0:31:48.040 --> 0:31:49.120
<v Speaker 4>Thank you for finding time for us.

0:31:49.160 --> 0:31:51.920
<v Speaker 3>Jens Abazagia, thank you as well for joining us and

0:31:51.960 --> 0:31:54.800
<v Speaker 3>on this conversation. That's going to do it of course,

0:31:54.840 --> 0:31:57.160
<v Speaker 3>the president of the Africa Development Bank. If you missed

0:31:57.160 --> 0:31:59.000
<v Speaker 3>any of the conversation, be sure to head to Bloomberg

0:31:59.000 --> 0:32:00.440
<v Speaker 3>dot com to hear it.

0:32:03.520 --> 0:32:07.400
<v Speaker 2>You're listening to the Bloomberg Business Week podcast. Listen live

0:32:07.480 --> 0:32:10.640
<v Speaker 2>each weekday starting at two pm Eastern on applecar Play

0:32:10.720 --> 0:32:13.560
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0:32:16.920 --> 0:32:20.560
<v Speaker 2>York station, Just Say Alexa Play Bloomberg eleven thirty.

0:32:21.640 --> 0:32:24.520
<v Speaker 3>This past weeks, Bloomberg Global Business Form gave us an

0:32:24.520 --> 0:32:26.600
<v Speaker 3>opportunity to hear about what is going on in the

0:32:26.640 --> 0:32:31.120
<v Speaker 3>global economy, both the developed and developing worlds. Last segment,

0:32:31.160 --> 0:32:34.640
<v Speaker 3>we talked about Africa. We shift now to another emerging

0:32:34.680 --> 0:32:37.800
<v Speaker 3>part of the world, Latin America and the Caribbean. The

0:32:37.840 --> 0:32:40.760
<v Speaker 3>World Bank forecast that regional GDP in those countries will

0:32:40.760 --> 0:32:43.400
<v Speaker 3>expand by one point six percent this year and two

0:32:43.440 --> 0:32:45.680
<v Speaker 3>point seven percent in twenty twenty five.

0:32:45.760 --> 0:32:46.840
<v Speaker 5>Look, these rates are.

0:32:46.800 --> 0:32:49.160
<v Speaker 1>The lowest compared to all other regions in the world,

0:32:49.240 --> 0:32:51.680
<v Speaker 1>and they're not high enough to drive prosperity. According to

0:32:51.680 --> 0:32:54.640
<v Speaker 1>the United Nations Development Program Report, the economies of Latin

0:32:54.680 --> 0:32:58.000
<v Speaker 1>America and the Caribbeane are more susceptible to external shocks,

0:32:58.320 --> 0:33:02.400
<v Speaker 1>with this volatility affecting this region more than other developing economies,

0:33:02.560 --> 0:33:02.840
<v Speaker 1>and this.

0:33:02.880 --> 0:33:06.080
<v Speaker 3>Is why this next conversation was so important. Jordan Schwartz

0:33:06.120 --> 0:33:09.280
<v Speaker 3>is Executive vice President of the Inter American Development Bank

0:33:09.520 --> 0:33:12.200
<v Speaker 3>and knows about the challenges of these regions. He's also

0:33:12.320 --> 0:33:15.720
<v Speaker 3>Chief Operations Officer of IDB, oversees the quality control and

0:33:15.840 --> 0:33:19.080
<v Speaker 3>risk management of all bank operations of financing for Latin

0:33:19.120 --> 0:33:22.760
<v Speaker 3>America and the Caribbean. Once again from the Bloomberg Global

0:33:22.760 --> 0:33:25.760
<v Speaker 3>Business Form in New York City, here's idb's Jordan Schwartz.

0:33:26.040 --> 0:33:28.680
<v Speaker 1>Where are the economies that you're focused on now in

0:33:28.720 --> 0:33:31.360
<v Speaker 1>terms of a post COVID recovery, what's the outlook?

0:33:31.360 --> 0:33:33.000
<v Speaker 5>What is twenty twenty four looking like for them?

0:33:33.200 --> 0:33:34.320
<v Speaker 12>It's a great set of questions.

0:33:34.560 --> 0:33:38.960
<v Speaker 13>The Latin American Caribbean region is very heterogeneous, not surprising, right.

0:33:39.040 --> 0:33:43.920
<v Speaker 13>We have the Caribbean Islands, relatively small economies, generally single

0:33:43.960 --> 0:33:45.480
<v Speaker 13>commodity dependent.

0:33:45.520 --> 0:33:48.240
<v Speaker 12>In this case, of commodities often are tourism, if you will.

0:33:49.120 --> 0:33:54.360
<v Speaker 13>And we have big, complex economies like Mexico, Brazil, Columbia, Argentina.

0:33:55.120 --> 0:33:57.040
<v Speaker 12>So it's a heterogeneous region.

0:33:57.080 --> 0:34:00.880
<v Speaker 13>But it's a region that has been i think struggling

0:34:00.880 --> 0:34:03.280
<v Speaker 13>to maintain and to increase its level of economic.

0:34:03.120 --> 0:34:05.680
<v Speaker 12>Growth of GDP growth over the years.

0:34:06.200 --> 0:34:10.680
<v Speaker 13>To provide the kind of opportunities and services that the

0:34:10.719 --> 0:34:15.280
<v Speaker 13>population has grown to expect. It's a middle income region overall,

0:34:15.320 --> 0:34:19.000
<v Speaker 13>but it still has vulnerability, important vulnerability. It has a

0:34:19.040 --> 0:34:24.680
<v Speaker 13>few low income countries Haiti for example, Honduddhas and others,

0:34:24.680 --> 0:34:29.080
<v Speaker 13>but it's generally a middle income country. And I would

0:34:29.120 --> 0:34:32.040
<v Speaker 13>say a theme of the day for us, a theme

0:34:32.200 --> 0:34:36.040
<v Speaker 13>of the multilaterals that work in the region, particularly the

0:34:36.040 --> 0:34:39.320
<v Speaker 13>Inter American Development Bank intermeding on the intermediating on the

0:34:39.360 --> 0:34:43.280
<v Speaker 13>capital markets. Trying to bring long term financing for development,

0:34:43.360 --> 0:34:46.520
<v Speaker 13>both public and private, into the region. Is how to

0:34:46.560 --> 0:34:51.200
<v Speaker 13>help the region take advantage of its comparatives. It's comparative advantages,

0:34:51.239 --> 0:34:55.520
<v Speaker 13>to leverage its comparative advantages. It's food production. For example,

0:34:55.600 --> 0:34:59.839
<v Speaker 13>the region already produces probably three times as much of

0:35:01.120 --> 0:35:04.200
<v Speaker 13>as a food at it consumes itself. It produces energy,

0:35:04.200 --> 0:35:07.360
<v Speaker 13>It has a very green matrix. It has a large hydrobase,

0:35:07.400 --> 0:35:10.640
<v Speaker 13>it has geothermal, it has all kinds of renewable resources.

0:35:11.360 --> 0:35:12.000
<v Speaker 5>It can be.

0:35:12.000 --> 0:35:15.120
<v Speaker 13>Part of the solution to the global energy transition, part

0:35:15.160 --> 0:35:17.600
<v Speaker 13>of the solution to global food security.

0:35:17.960 --> 0:35:20.560
<v Speaker 12>And to be able to see investment into those areas.

0:35:20.200 --> 0:35:21.759
<v Speaker 13>And the growth of those areas I think will be

0:35:21.800 --> 0:35:24.160
<v Speaker 13>part of helping the region return to higher level of

0:35:24.200 --> 0:35:25.160
<v Speaker 13>growth in the years ahead.

0:35:25.239 --> 0:35:25.479
<v Speaker 14>Jordan.

0:35:25.560 --> 0:35:26.200
<v Speaker 4>What holds it back?

0:35:26.239 --> 0:35:26.359
<v Speaker 8>Then?

0:35:26.560 --> 0:35:29.040
<v Speaker 3>Is it the case that over the years, over the decades,

0:35:29.080 --> 0:35:30.920
<v Speaker 3>because I feel like we've been talking about let's take

0:35:31.000 --> 0:35:33.520
<v Speaker 3>Latin America in particular, or even a nation like Haiti

0:35:33.640 --> 0:35:37.240
<v Speaker 3>gets caught in the policies of other countries.

0:35:37.320 --> 0:35:39.560
<v Speaker 4>What is it that holds it back? I would say,

0:35:39.920 --> 0:35:41.439
<v Speaker 4>and I hate to love them all in one back.

0:35:41.600 --> 0:35:42.959
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, that's a negative question.

0:35:42.960 --> 0:35:44.560
<v Speaker 12>I find a way to make this positive.

0:35:44.680 --> 0:35:46.279
<v Speaker 4>No, no, no, I'm not trying to be negative. I'm trying to

0:35:46.320 --> 0:35:48.240
<v Speaker 4>be smarter. How do we find a smarter way forward?

0:35:48.680 --> 0:35:51.400
<v Speaker 13>I think part of it is regional integration, so the

0:35:51.440 --> 0:35:55.240
<v Speaker 13>economies of scale and scope that come with greater interregional trade,

0:35:55.520 --> 0:35:58.160
<v Speaker 13>with the trade of energy, with the trade of goods,

0:35:58.480 --> 0:36:01.520
<v Speaker 13>so that you can tease out the productivity, the competitive

0:36:01.560 --> 0:36:04.640
<v Speaker 13>potential of the economies. It has overall been a region

0:36:04.680 --> 0:36:08.360
<v Speaker 13>that has been somewhat atomized and hasn't brought it together

0:36:08.400 --> 0:36:09.560
<v Speaker 13>its own trading systems.

0:36:10.280 --> 0:36:12.520
<v Speaker 12>That's probably part of it. I would say it's a

0:36:12.600 --> 0:36:14.319
<v Speaker 12>vulnerable region. It's vulnerable to.

0:36:14.239 --> 0:36:17.720
<v Speaker 13>Climate, to whether it affects in general, particularly the Caribbean,

0:36:18.400 --> 0:36:22.640
<v Speaker 13>Central America, but also increasingly, as we know, those commodity

0:36:22.680 --> 0:36:26.160
<v Speaker 13>exporting countries that are suffering from drought, suffering from flooding,

0:36:26.200 --> 0:36:27.839
<v Speaker 13>often suffering from flood.

0:36:27.520 --> 0:36:30.759
<v Speaker 12>And drought increasingly at the same time in large weather events.

0:36:30.800 --> 0:36:34.360
<v Speaker 13>So it's a vulnerable region. It has more to do

0:36:34.400 --> 0:36:35.840
<v Speaker 13>in terms of bringing itself together.

0:36:36.239 --> 0:36:36.960
<v Speaker 8>And I think.

0:36:37.520 --> 0:36:39.920
<v Speaker 13>Probably there's a whole theme we could get into if

0:36:39.920 --> 0:36:43.840
<v Speaker 13>we had another six minutes sometime to talk about competitiveness

0:36:43.880 --> 0:36:46.600
<v Speaker 13>and the way in which the economies could encourage greater

0:36:46.640 --> 0:36:48.080
<v Speaker 13>competitiveness comparative.

0:36:48.680 --> 0:36:50.759
<v Speaker 1>We're very focused on climate here today obviously to have

0:36:50.880 --> 0:36:53.040
<v Speaker 1>the art shop innovation, some of it earlier on the

0:36:53.080 --> 0:36:56.360
<v Speaker 1>globe of business form happening as we speak. When you're

0:36:56.680 --> 0:36:59.600
<v Speaker 1>looking at projects to supports across the various countries that

0:36:59.640 --> 0:37:03.200
<v Speaker 1>you work with climate resilience, what are you looking to ask?

0:37:03.320 --> 0:37:05.120
<v Speaker 1>What sort of projects that you involved in, where are

0:37:05.120 --> 0:37:05.880
<v Speaker 1>you seeing success?

0:37:05.920 --> 0:37:09.040
<v Speaker 12>It's a brilliant question. Listen. For us, we look sort

0:37:09.080 --> 0:37:10.120
<v Speaker 12>of at two sets.

0:37:09.880 --> 0:37:12.560
<v Speaker 13>Of challenges at the same time. One is the box

0:37:12.640 --> 0:37:15.359
<v Speaker 13>the asset, the investment. What can be done in order

0:37:15.400 --> 0:37:16.279
<v Speaker 13>to better manage the.

0:37:16.320 --> 0:37:17.640
<v Speaker 12>Risk associated with investors?

0:37:17.719 --> 0:37:20.440
<v Speaker 13>What role can the financial intermediates, the multi level development

0:37:20.480 --> 0:37:24.040
<v Speaker 13>banks with long term finance, with guarantees, with our own.

0:37:23.920 --> 0:37:26.520
<v Speaker 12>Sort of toolbox for investment. What more can we do

0:37:26.600 --> 0:37:27.240
<v Speaker 12>in that space?

0:37:27.719 --> 0:37:30.600
<v Speaker 13>But then we also look at the systems and the utilities,

0:37:30.600 --> 0:37:34.200
<v Speaker 13>the policies, the pricing, the quality of regulation.

0:37:34.040 --> 0:37:35.920
<v Speaker 8>The ability of the utilities.

0:37:35.480 --> 0:37:37.320
<v Speaker 12>To off take that investment.

0:37:37.400 --> 0:37:39.560
<v Speaker 13>What needs to be done in order to make prices

0:37:40.600 --> 0:37:44.160
<v Speaker 13>more self sustaining financial the financial sustainability of the utilities,

0:37:45.080 --> 0:37:48.360
<v Speaker 13>the capacity of the transmission systems to off take to

0:37:48.719 --> 0:37:50.879
<v Speaker 13>absorb all of this energy that's coming, and to deal

0:37:50.920 --> 0:37:54.880
<v Speaker 13>with the intermittency of renewables. We are both a policy

0:37:54.920 --> 0:37:59.440
<v Speaker 13>institution and investment institution, and we're helping our client countries

0:37:59.480 --> 0:38:01.560
<v Speaker 13>when we're deal link with both things at the same time.

0:38:01.800 --> 0:38:04.719
<v Speaker 13>What goes into that investment and the environment in which

0:38:04.719 --> 0:38:07.120
<v Speaker 13>the investment is being made.

0:38:07.320 --> 0:38:09.920
<v Speaker 3>Do you have all the financial instruments that you would

0:38:10.040 --> 0:38:13.080
<v Speaker 3>like to be able to tackle some of the issues,

0:38:13.160 --> 0:38:15.560
<v Speaker 3>especially when they're cross border issues and you're dealing maybe

0:38:15.560 --> 0:38:16.760
<v Speaker 3>with a couple of different countries.

0:38:17.480 --> 0:38:22.200
<v Speaker 13>It's the cross border issues oftentimes are not solely.

0:38:23.360 --> 0:38:23.960
<v Speaker 12>Financial.

0:38:24.160 --> 0:38:28.799
<v Speaker 13>It's about the integrity of contracts, about regulatory integrity and

0:38:29.440 --> 0:38:32.440
<v Speaker 13>the ability to trust and maintain the purchase back and

0:38:32.480 --> 0:38:34.520
<v Speaker 13>forth or the trade back and forth ad energy as

0:38:34.520 --> 0:38:37.640
<v Speaker 13>an example. The question about financial instruments is really interesting

0:38:37.680 --> 0:38:41.040
<v Speaker 13>to me because we have been focused on financial innovation

0:38:41.239 --> 0:38:44.920
<v Speaker 13>even as we are trying to assure the impact of

0:38:44.920 --> 0:38:46.840
<v Speaker 13>the investments that we make. Right, because there's sort of

0:38:46.840 --> 0:38:50.440
<v Speaker 13>two things. So is the instrumentalization How do I spread

0:38:50.480 --> 0:38:53.360
<v Speaker 13>out risk and manage risk better? What are the tools

0:38:53.400 --> 0:38:55.759
<v Speaker 13>that I can I can use to do that. When

0:38:55.800 --> 0:38:59.600
<v Speaker 13>do I deploy credit enhancements, guarantees off take are strengthening

0:38:59.600 --> 0:39:03.759
<v Speaker 13>of all the agreements, termination payments for power. But at

0:39:03.760 --> 0:39:05.440
<v Speaker 13>the same time, what do I need to do to

0:39:05.440 --> 0:39:07.800
<v Speaker 13>protect the consumer? What do I need to do protect

0:39:08.360 --> 0:39:11.000
<v Speaker 13>the natural capital of the investment, in the environment of

0:39:11.000 --> 0:39:13.880
<v Speaker 13>the investments. What role does multilatterle have to make sure

0:39:14.200 --> 0:39:17.239
<v Speaker 13>that whatever money we've mobilized can actually be paid back

0:39:17.239 --> 0:39:22.200
<v Speaker 13>over time? It's actually driving economic growth, the capacity consumers

0:39:22.280 --> 0:39:24.200
<v Speaker 13>and taxpayers to pay back all that fine and.

0:39:24.280 --> 0:39:26.440
<v Speaker 4>To encourage more investment.

0:39:26.200 --> 0:39:27.960
<v Speaker 12>And to encourage more I think that's important.

0:39:28.080 --> 0:39:30.319
<v Speaker 1>I'm not sure you're working with private investors to crid

0:39:30.360 --> 0:39:32.680
<v Speaker 1>funding for projects as well. I'm wondering if we can

0:39:32.680 --> 0:39:35.279
<v Speaker 1>engage investor appetite in some of the projects that you've

0:39:35.239 --> 0:39:36.080
<v Speaker 1>been support.

0:39:36.400 --> 0:39:40.320
<v Speaker 13>The IDB has a private sector wing called the IDB Invest,

0:39:40.440 --> 0:39:43.560
<v Speaker 13>and it has an early equity and venture capital branch

0:39:43.600 --> 0:39:47.640
<v Speaker 13>called IDB LAB IDB invest, which is the only multi

0:39:47.719 --> 0:39:52.399
<v Speaker 13>latter with that kind of of of risk appetite sort

0:39:52.440 --> 0:39:55.840
<v Speaker 13>of derived from an early an early investment withek. On

0:39:55.880 --> 0:39:59.560
<v Speaker 13>the IDB invest side, it has recently been recapitalized, which

0:39:59.640 --> 0:40:02.320
<v Speaker 13>means that the governments that contribute to it, from Latin America,

0:40:02.400 --> 0:40:06.880
<v Speaker 13>the United States, Japan, Europe have agreed to functionally double

0:40:06.920 --> 0:40:10.200
<v Speaker 13>the size of the capital available in this world in

0:40:10.239 --> 0:40:13.759
<v Speaker 13>which the whole concept of multilateralism is sort of being challenged. Yeah,

0:40:13.840 --> 0:40:17.480
<v Speaker 13>we see a recognition that actually the private sector's got

0:40:17.480 --> 0:40:20.200
<v Speaker 13>to be a major part of So we have this vehicle,

0:40:20.239 --> 0:40:22.840
<v Speaker 13>we have this institution. It's going to be doubling in size,

0:40:22.960 --> 0:40:25.799
<v Speaker 13>and the balance of the IDB group is basically going

0:40:25.840 --> 0:40:28.960
<v Speaker 13>to change so that it will be even slightly more

0:40:29.000 --> 0:40:32.120
<v Speaker 13>than half private finance and the public sector side, the

0:40:32.160 --> 0:40:34.799
<v Speaker 13>sovereign guaranteed side growing as well.

0:40:35.000 --> 0:40:38.960
<v Speaker 1>I wonder as well in the MDB space competition, right,

0:40:39.000 --> 0:40:41.600
<v Speaker 1>you have the Asian Infrastructure and Investment Bank among others,

0:40:41.600 --> 0:40:43.560
<v Speaker 1>who were also looking to invest in the same region

0:40:43.600 --> 0:40:47.759
<v Speaker 1>as you as well. Is it a competitive environment? Are

0:40:47.760 --> 0:40:49.480
<v Speaker 1>you all competent to kind of fund the same set

0:40:49.520 --> 0:40:49.960
<v Speaker 1>of projects.

0:40:50.040 --> 0:40:54.279
<v Speaker 13>It's interesting we've seen this year a concerted effort and

0:40:54.360 --> 0:40:56.919
<v Speaker 13>a lot of pressure from our own shareholders to bring

0:40:56.960 --> 0:41:00.719
<v Speaker 13>the multi lateral development banks closer together, to function as more.

0:41:00.520 --> 0:41:03.560
<v Speaker 12>As a group as a unit, come out with platforms

0:41:03.560 --> 0:41:04.360
<v Speaker 12>for investment.

0:41:04.880 --> 0:41:10.359
<v Speaker 13>We are we're not competitive the way commercial banks to compete.

0:41:10.040 --> 0:41:12.279
<v Speaker 5>With each other. Do you have a shared.

0:41:12.280 --> 0:41:15.160
<v Speaker 13>Finance A large part of our financing co finance, particularly

0:41:15.200 --> 0:41:17.160
<v Speaker 13>with the World Bank, which is very active in Latin,

0:41:17.360 --> 0:41:19.200
<v Speaker 13>Latin American and the Cribean, has sort of a similar

0:41:19.280 --> 0:41:25.759
<v Speaker 13>set of protocols around environmental and social safeguards, transparency, procurement, competition,

0:41:26.719 --> 0:41:28.279
<v Speaker 13>and the focus on rule of law.

0:41:28.320 --> 0:41:30.280
<v Speaker 12>It's a somewhat similar culture, though.

0:41:30.080 --> 0:41:34.400
<v Speaker 13>We are unique in that fifty point zero one percent

0:41:34.440 --> 0:41:37.160
<v Speaker 13>are owned by the borrowing countries Latin American and Cribean.

0:41:37.280 --> 0:41:39.400
<v Speaker 12>The United States has thirty percent ownership.

0:41:39.440 --> 0:41:43.560
<v Speaker 13>This is how in the eisenhowerd administration, this this institution

0:41:43.719 --> 0:41:47.759
<v Speaker 13>was designed with this unique balance, and so we bring

0:41:47.880 --> 0:41:49.600
<v Speaker 13>that to the table when we bring in other multi

0:41:49.640 --> 0:41:52.360
<v Speaker 13>level development banks and of course presence in every country.

0:41:52.719 --> 0:41:56.080
<v Speaker 13>We're very decentralized, very client focused institution.

0:41:56.320 --> 0:41:59.520
<v Speaker 3>You talk about, you know, certainly the global country involvement

0:41:59.560 --> 0:42:03.920
<v Speaker 3>and the the collaboration if you will, geopolitics or upcoming

0:42:03.920 --> 0:42:06.239
<v Speaker 3>elections like I mean, we've seen them all around the world,

0:42:06.280 --> 0:42:07.840
<v Speaker 3>but certainly here in the United States as well, with

0:42:07.920 --> 0:42:10.360
<v Speaker 3>someone who's very involved, How does that complicate what you

0:42:10.400 --> 0:42:10.960
<v Speaker 3>guys are doing.

0:42:11.000 --> 0:42:12.320
<v Speaker 12>It's really interesting.

0:42:12.360 --> 0:42:15.719
<v Speaker 13>We see ourselves not as a government but as a

0:42:15.800 --> 0:42:19.839
<v Speaker 13>stabilizing force. Right, so when we're engaged, we're talking about

0:42:19.840 --> 0:42:22.520
<v Speaker 13>the energy sector, but the same is true for the

0:42:22.560 --> 0:42:26.160
<v Speaker 13>social sectors, for health education. We spend decades working with

0:42:26.200 --> 0:42:29.839
<v Speaker 13>these countries to develop their social protection systems, right, their

0:42:29.880 --> 0:42:33.320
<v Speaker 13>health and education systems, their power systems, and we bridge

0:42:33.400 --> 0:42:40.120
<v Speaker 13>governments even when there's dramatic change in policies. We tend

0:42:40.160 --> 0:42:45.520
<v Speaker 13>to help smooth the volatility of policy over time. Interesting

0:42:45.560 --> 0:42:47.799
<v Speaker 13>that should be a function of a multilateral where they're

0:42:47.840 --> 0:42:51.360
<v Speaker 13>as partners for the growth. And even though the governments

0:42:51.640 --> 0:42:55.320
<v Speaker 13>are our intermediaries, it's really the people of the country.

0:42:55.320 --> 0:42:58.439
<v Speaker 13>It's the consumers and the taxpayers that we work for.

0:42:59.040 --> 0:43:01.800
<v Speaker 13>And so I think we're used to seeing changes in

0:43:02.800 --> 0:43:07.680
<v Speaker 13>political parties. We're meant to survive through those changes, and

0:43:07.760 --> 0:43:09.880
<v Speaker 13>so hopefully we'll play that role going forward.

0:43:10.200 --> 0:43:12.799
<v Speaker 1>Can I ask you briefly about the US election and

0:43:12.840 --> 0:43:15.160
<v Speaker 1>what risk DOP could put presides given that the US

0:43:15.200 --> 0:43:17.520
<v Speaker 1>is such a big contrivers to your fund, dignis and.

0:43:17.480 --> 0:43:18.520
<v Speaker 4>Just have about twenty seconds.

0:43:18.560 --> 0:43:20.880
<v Speaker 12>No, it's good, it's a question.

0:43:21.320 --> 0:43:24.399
<v Speaker 13>I mean, we get on with our business, and we

0:43:24.480 --> 0:43:27.720
<v Speaker 13>know and trust that consecutive.

0:43:27.120 --> 0:43:29.759
<v Speaker 12>Administrations, as has happened in the past.

0:43:29.760 --> 0:43:32.480
<v Speaker 13>Support what we do and understand roughly what we do,

0:43:32.680 --> 0:43:34.879
<v Speaker 13>and we hope to work with whoever comes in.

0:43:35.200 --> 0:43:37.880
<v Speaker 3>Jorn Schwartz, thank you so much, Executive VP Inter American

0:43:37.880 --> 0:43:38.759
<v Speaker 3>Development Bank, Thank you.

0:43:38.800 --> 0:43:40.520
<v Speaker 12>So much for general's pleasure. Thank you.

0:43:40.560 --> 0:43:42.040
<v Speaker 4>It's ours. This is Bloomberg.

0:43:48.200 --> 0:43:51.680
<v Speaker 2>You're listening to the Bloomberg Business Week podcast. Catch us

0:43:51.760 --> 0:43:55.000
<v Speaker 2>live weekday afternoons from two to five pm Eastern Listen

0:43:55.040 --> 0:43:57.200
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0:43:57.239 --> 0:44:00.360
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0:44:01.840 --> 0:44:03.719
<v Speaker 4>All right. We are so looking forward to our next guest.

0:44:03.719 --> 0:44:05.680
<v Speaker 3>He's got a great vantage point on the global economy,

0:44:05.719 --> 0:44:09.160
<v Speaker 3>global mining, climate change. Just this past week for Toscu,

0:44:09.239 --> 0:44:11.359
<v Speaker 3>the world's fourth biggest iron ore miner, saying it will

0:44:11.360 --> 0:44:13.600
<v Speaker 3>pay two point eight billion to replace two thirds of

0:44:13.640 --> 0:44:17.080
<v Speaker 3>its fleet of houlage trucks and equipment in Western Australia

0:44:17.120 --> 0:44:20.680
<v Speaker 3>with EV versions as it seeks to cut diesel consumption

0:44:20.760 --> 0:44:23.120
<v Speaker 3>and meet ambitious emissions reduction targets.

0:44:23.160 --> 0:44:23.880
<v Speaker 4>There's a lot going on.

0:44:24.000 --> 0:44:24.640
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, they're sure is.

0:44:24.680 --> 0:44:26.560
<v Speaker 1>And look we've got luck to talk to Andrew Farrest

0:44:26.560 --> 0:44:29.400
<v Speaker 1>about it joins us in studio, executive chairman and billionaire

0:44:29.480 --> 0:44:32.319
<v Speaker 1>of Perth, Australia based Fordescu in ten this week during

0:44:32.360 --> 0:44:33.560
<v Speaker 1>the UN General Assembly.

0:44:33.239 --> 0:44:35.880
<v Speaker 5>And Climate Week as well. Welcome to Bloomberg Business Week.

0:44:36.239 --> 0:44:36.759
<v Speaker 4>How are you?

0:44:37.480 --> 0:44:38.160
<v Speaker 5>I'm on fire?

0:44:38.200 --> 0:44:38.440
<v Speaker 6>Thank you.

0:44:38.480 --> 0:44:41.319
<v Speaker 5>I'm just an exciting place right now. It certainly is.

0:44:41.360 --> 0:44:43.400
<v Speaker 1>And look at a time that we're going to talk

0:44:43.400 --> 0:44:45.080
<v Speaker 1>about your climate transition plan in a moment, because that's

0:44:45.080 --> 0:44:48.160
<v Speaker 1>a really interesting conversation. We spent all week talking about

0:44:48.280 --> 0:44:50.960
<v Speaker 1>China and the stimulus efforts being made there, and this

0:44:51.000 --> 0:44:53.080
<v Speaker 1>is a story that's very central to your business as well.

0:44:53.160 --> 0:44:55.560
<v Speaker 1>Imported iron or used in roughly of eighty percent of

0:44:55.640 --> 0:44:59.160
<v Speaker 1>Chinese steel production. Talk to us about the picture that

0:44:59.239 --> 0:45:01.759
<v Speaker 1>you're seeing the Chinese economy from your side of the

0:45:01.800 --> 0:45:03.560
<v Speaker 1>business and the demand.

0:45:03.640 --> 0:45:05.279
<v Speaker 5>How bad is it? Oh?

0:45:05.360 --> 0:45:05.480
<v Speaker 14>Oh?

0:45:05.600 --> 0:45:06.520
<v Speaker 5>How good is I mean?

0:45:06.600 --> 0:45:09.760
<v Speaker 15>Basically, you've had mining companies being fat, dumb and happy

0:45:09.760 --> 0:45:11.600
<v Speaker 15>for a very long time because the anal price has

0:45:11.640 --> 0:45:14.120
<v Speaker 15>been so good, so we're all heroes. But now, oh

0:45:14.200 --> 0:45:16.520
<v Speaker 15>my god, the annual price is fallen, which means it's

0:45:16.520 --> 0:45:18.240
<v Speaker 15>a lot better value, by the way for the customer.

0:45:18.680 --> 0:45:20.360
<v Speaker 15>And we have to work a lot harder as mine is.

0:45:20.400 --> 0:45:23.320
<v Speaker 15>We have to work harder to actually make a margin.

0:45:23.440 --> 0:45:25.440
<v Speaker 15>And that's a good thing. And when people think that

0:45:25.440 --> 0:45:27.680
<v Speaker 15>one throe, they think, well, how do I lower my margins? Well,

0:45:27.960 --> 0:45:32.319
<v Speaker 15>one third of my cost is diesel fuel one third, right.

0:45:32.320 --> 0:45:32.960
<v Speaker 6>One third.

0:45:33.560 --> 0:45:34.719
<v Speaker 15>Imagine if we get rid of that.

0:45:34.880 --> 0:45:36.120
<v Speaker 6>Oh, by the way, we'd also.

0:45:36.040 --> 0:45:38.719
<v Speaker 15>Be going zero missions if we did that. So we've

0:45:38.719 --> 0:45:40.520
<v Speaker 15>been working on this for years and years and years,

0:45:40.560 --> 0:45:43.440
<v Speaker 15>and to give you an idea of how strong that

0:45:43.560 --> 0:45:46.960
<v Speaker 15>demand is because people are looking hard at their operating costs. Now,

0:45:47.600 --> 0:45:49.759
<v Speaker 15>we took years and years to get up at three

0:45:49.880 --> 0:45:52.120
<v Speaker 15>hundred and sixty truck order. Now these are big trucks, right,

0:45:52.160 --> 0:45:54.520
<v Speaker 15>You've got the hub caps starting at the roof here.

0:45:54.880 --> 0:45:58.840
<v Speaker 15>And we signed another hundred and got walk ins for

0:45:58.880 --> 0:46:03.680
<v Speaker 15>another four hundred in our day. So from three or

0:46:03.680 --> 0:46:05.920
<v Speaker 15>four years for three sixty for a day for another

0:46:05.960 --> 0:46:09.439
<v Speaker 15>five hundred. So this is showing you that the mining

0:46:09.480 --> 0:46:11.560
<v Speaker 15>industry is saying, hey, we've got to really look at

0:46:11.600 --> 0:46:14.640
<v Speaker 15>operating costs and forscu A middlea is driven because it

0:46:14.680 --> 0:46:16.799
<v Speaker 15>wanted to go zero missions because we bloody will have

0:46:16.960 --> 0:46:21.000
<v Speaker 15>to as a human race. But then we also have

0:46:21.120 --> 0:46:23.520
<v Speaker 15>to prove that it's highly commercial. And what you're seeing

0:46:23.560 --> 0:46:27.759
<v Speaker 15>happen yesterday and today is that going zero missions is

0:46:27.800 --> 0:46:30.520
<v Speaker 15>highly commercial. To just say you're not worried about China,

0:46:31.760 --> 0:46:33.440
<v Speaker 15>I mean, I've just come from China, and I've just

0:46:33.560 --> 0:46:37.200
<v Speaker 15>I mean, I get accused when I'm in Chinese, when

0:46:37.239 --> 0:46:40.000
<v Speaker 15>I'm a China being very pro North American. When I'm

0:46:40.440 --> 0:46:42.879
<v Speaker 15>in North America, I get accused of being v being

0:46:43.160 --> 0:46:43.880
<v Speaker 15>very pro China.

0:46:43.960 --> 0:46:47.239
<v Speaker 5>So no, but this is interesting, and love you both.

0:46:47.719 --> 0:46:51.040
<v Speaker 5>The narrative is so negative and has been for so long.

0:46:52.600 --> 0:46:54.640
<v Speaker 15>The problem, I'm afraid you're wrong.

0:46:55.000 --> 0:46:55.520
<v Speaker 6>You are wrong.

0:46:55.560 --> 0:46:59.720
<v Speaker 15>I mean, here in North America you have a completely

0:46:59.719 --> 0:47:03.000
<v Speaker 15>different system. You get lag effects and lowering interest rates

0:47:03.000 --> 0:47:05.880
<v Speaker 15>and things like that, and it's macroeconomic policy and it

0:47:05.920 --> 0:47:08.600
<v Speaker 15>works really well over a long time. If they want

0:47:08.600 --> 0:47:11.120
<v Speaker 15>to hit the accelerator, hit the brakes, you know, you

0:47:11.160 --> 0:47:14.200
<v Speaker 15>see the impact straight away. So they did a little

0:47:14.239 --> 0:47:15.839
<v Speaker 15>bit of priming, not much. I going to say as

0:47:15.880 --> 0:47:18.560
<v Speaker 15>a percentage of GDP, you'd be hard to measure it.

0:47:19.000 --> 0:47:22.680
<v Speaker 15>But that is kicked investments straight away. It's kicked the

0:47:22.719 --> 0:47:24.600
<v Speaker 15>iron or price's kicked iron or demand.

0:47:24.680 --> 0:47:26.560
<v Speaker 5>It's a five percent growth nart a concern. It's going

0:47:26.600 --> 0:47:26.960
<v Speaker 5>to happen.

0:47:27.640 --> 0:47:30.600
<v Speaker 15>Look, I'm completely not worried about it. And by the way,

0:47:30.600 --> 0:47:34.279
<v Speaker 15>if it's four or six, I know big countries who'd

0:47:34.280 --> 0:47:37.279
<v Speaker 15>love to get two or three. So you know, for

0:47:37.440 --> 0:47:40.200
<v Speaker 15>our demand, I'm seeing the iore price come down and

0:47:40.239 --> 0:47:41.240
<v Speaker 15>I'm saying good.

0:47:41.320 --> 0:47:44.040
<v Speaker 3>So Andrew, Basically what you're saying is China's like, Okay,

0:47:44.080 --> 0:47:45.440
<v Speaker 3>if it still isn't enough, we're.

0:47:45.320 --> 0:47:45.959
<v Speaker 4>Going to do more.

0:47:46.600 --> 0:47:46.920
<v Speaker 6>Yeah.

0:47:46.960 --> 0:47:49.640
<v Speaker 15>And also, you know, I love North America because we're

0:47:49.640 --> 0:47:53.160
<v Speaker 15>aligned with North America. I love China because they're actually

0:47:53.200 --> 0:47:55.480
<v Speaker 15>leading the world on going green. I mean, they are

0:47:56.080 --> 0:47:58.680
<v Speaker 15>way ahead of their own plan. And everyone I'm in

0:47:58.719 --> 0:48:00.799
<v Speaker 15>North America and China kicking the hell out of each

0:48:00.800 --> 0:48:04.279
<v Speaker 15>other is really bad for the overall human race. This

0:48:04.719 --> 0:48:08.359
<v Speaker 15>geostrategic war between North America precipitate, I want to put

0:48:08.400 --> 0:48:12.359
<v Speaker 15>it bluntly by North America. And look, China does all

0:48:12.360 --> 0:48:14.399
<v Speaker 15>these things wrong too, And you can jump on their toes,

0:48:14.440 --> 0:48:16.879
<v Speaker 15>but you jump on their toes in private. You don't

0:48:16.880 --> 0:48:19.280
<v Speaker 15>do it by shouting at them from New York or Washington,

0:48:19.360 --> 0:48:19.560
<v Speaker 15>d C.

0:48:20.239 --> 0:48:22.120
<v Speaker 3>Well, does that then worry you about who's in the

0:48:22.120 --> 0:48:22.720
<v Speaker 3>White House?

0:48:22.880 --> 0:48:27.319
<v Speaker 15>Come November Fortescue has a policy that we deal with

0:48:27.400 --> 0:48:30.319
<v Speaker 15>any elected leadership that usackers want to put up. Right,

0:48:30.360 --> 0:48:33.040
<v Speaker 15>So you know, if you want to put up Trump,

0:48:33.160 --> 0:48:36.000
<v Speaker 15>I've got to say this Ukraine badge. If there's a

0:48:36.040 --> 0:48:40.640
<v Speaker 15>deal cut which rewards an invader for invading a country

0:48:41.120 --> 0:48:43.120
<v Speaker 15>which you've had as an enemy for eighty years, and

0:48:43.160 --> 0:48:45.000
<v Speaker 15>you go cut a deal and reward a bad guy

0:48:45.040 --> 0:48:48.080
<v Speaker 15>for being bad, We're down in the Pacific and we're

0:48:48.080 --> 0:48:50.480
<v Speaker 15>going to say hold the phone. If you're going to

0:48:50.560 --> 0:48:54.759
<v Speaker 15>trade Ukraine against Russia, where do we sit with North America?

0:48:54.840 --> 0:48:57.239
<v Speaker 15>I mean, where do we sit? I mean who do

0:48:57.280 --> 0:48:59.200
<v Speaker 15>we now call a friend? If you're going to turn

0:48:59.239 --> 0:49:00.640
<v Speaker 15>around and do that to you Europe.

0:49:00.480 --> 0:49:04.920
<v Speaker 1>Right, I mean, you're obviously very plugged into geopolitical tensions

0:49:04.960 --> 0:49:07.240
<v Speaker 1>because it's part of what affects your business as well.

0:49:07.640 --> 0:49:10.440
<v Speaker 1>When you're thinking about global climate solutions and you gave

0:49:10.480 --> 0:49:12.840
<v Speaker 1>us some of the outlines of your plan there as well.

0:49:13.160 --> 0:49:14.919
<v Speaker 1>There's some people that are going to think it's highly

0:49:14.960 --> 0:49:17.200
<v Speaker 1>ironic that a mining company would be looking at a

0:49:17.200 --> 0:49:20.480
<v Speaker 1>green transition. Agree with them, what you know, green iron

0:49:20.600 --> 0:49:22.919
<v Speaker 1>or what is that is that? Do these things really

0:49:22.960 --> 0:49:25.000
<v Speaker 1>make a difference when it comes to the bottom line

0:49:25.000 --> 0:49:26.640
<v Speaker 1>of limiting climate change.

0:49:26.880 --> 0:49:29.160
<v Speaker 15>Let's start with three million tons of carbon docks, so

0:49:29.160 --> 0:49:31.040
<v Speaker 15>I'm not going out in the atmosphere. I mean, let's

0:49:31.040 --> 0:49:34.200
<v Speaker 15>just start there. And then let's realize that no one

0:49:34.239 --> 0:49:36.200
<v Speaker 15>say ever going to make green iron or green steel,

0:49:36.200 --> 0:49:38.239
<v Speaker 15>which is ten percent of the carbon budget. Now we're

0:49:38.280 --> 0:49:40.920
<v Speaker 15>talking huge, and let's just start with green iron or

0:49:41.040 --> 0:49:43.479
<v Speaker 15>So the fact we're going to green iron or within

0:49:43.520 --> 0:49:45.920
<v Speaker 15>a few years means that we can then go to

0:49:45.960 --> 0:49:49.160
<v Speaker 15>green iron or green steel. Now that's starting to have

0:49:49.160 --> 0:49:52.560
<v Speaker 15>a massive impact because we do that economically. Then the

0:49:52.600 --> 0:49:55.400
<v Speaker 15>pollution which is currently suffered all over the world, particularly

0:49:55.440 --> 0:49:58.080
<v Speaker 15>in China, where they put their steel mills on the

0:49:58.120 --> 0:50:01.000
<v Speaker 15>outskirts to their city's central plan, but their cities grew

0:50:01.080 --> 0:50:03.680
<v Speaker 15>so much bigger. So now the steel was inside the city,

0:50:03.960 --> 0:50:07.919
<v Speaker 15>we send them totally pollution free metal. Their pollution problem

0:50:08.000 --> 0:50:13.040
<v Speaker 15>goes out the window. So that there is a really

0:50:13.480 --> 0:50:18.960
<v Speaker 15>big impact on this slow lethargic backward industry called mining,

0:50:19.560 --> 0:50:23.480
<v Speaker 15>ironically leading the world to go green, and it's hitting

0:50:23.560 --> 0:50:27.120
<v Speaker 15>where the pollution is worse, and it's not saying, oh, well,

0:50:27.200 --> 0:50:29.680
<v Speaker 15>we've got to continue burning all in gas because there's

0:50:29.680 --> 0:50:31.279
<v Speaker 15>such lovely people and we have to look after them.

0:50:31.320 --> 0:50:33.919
<v Speaker 15>We're saying, actually, oil and gas has got us into

0:50:33.960 --> 0:50:37.480
<v Speaker 15>this manure. We've got to stop doing what we've always done.

0:50:37.520 --> 0:50:39.719
<v Speaker 15>If we want a different result, and switch off the

0:50:39.760 --> 0:50:41.760
<v Speaker 15>oil and gas, and then we'll get a different result.

0:50:41.800 --> 0:50:45.600
<v Speaker 15>And that's like green steel, that's like green shipping exactly.

0:50:45.600 --> 0:50:47.759
<v Speaker 3>Though, is green iron ore? And what does it cost

0:50:47.840 --> 0:50:51.120
<v Speaker 3>versus other iron ore? And is it cost competitive?

0:50:51.400 --> 0:50:51.560
<v Speaker 6>Yeah?

0:50:51.640 --> 0:50:54.400
<v Speaker 15>No, it's going to cost less, man, because we can

0:50:54.440 --> 0:50:56.719
<v Speaker 15>make it for less because we're not chopping through a

0:50:56.719 --> 0:51:00.399
<v Speaker 15>billion a billion leaders of digey like nearly five million

0:51:00.440 --> 0:51:02.840
<v Speaker 15>gallons of diesel. We're not going to buy anymore, you know,

0:51:02.880 --> 0:51:04.280
<v Speaker 15>because we're making it ourselves.

0:51:04.360 --> 0:51:06.360
<v Speaker 4>So is it cost competitive already?

0:51:06.760 --> 0:51:10.279
<v Speaker 15>Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah, that's the beauty of it, which

0:51:10.320 --> 0:51:13.279
<v Speaker 15>is why I'm saying, listen, stop looking at going green,

0:51:13.360 --> 0:51:14.000
<v Speaker 15>stop looking.

0:51:13.880 --> 0:51:14.720
<v Speaker 5>At zero missions.

0:51:14.840 --> 0:51:16.759
<v Speaker 15>Is Oh, you're a really nice guy, What a lovely

0:51:16.840 --> 0:51:19.240
<v Speaker 15>chief executive, what a lovely politician thinking of the kids

0:51:19.320 --> 0:51:22.560
<v Speaker 15>not himself. Actually, get out of your whole This is

0:51:22.600 --> 0:51:25.880
<v Speaker 15>a great investment. You should be doing this for your shareholders.

0:51:25.880 --> 0:51:28.080
<v Speaker 15>And if you say you can't go green, well you're right.

0:51:28.120 --> 0:51:30.239
<v Speaker 15>Get off the stage. And let on someone smarter who can.

0:51:30.960 --> 0:51:33.200
<v Speaker 1>But why isn't everyone doing it? If the case is

0:51:33.239 --> 0:51:34.439
<v Speaker 1>that simple and done it sooner?

0:51:34.719 --> 0:51:38.719
<v Speaker 15>Because everything starts somewhere, right, everything starts somewhere. I'm in

0:51:38.760 --> 0:51:41.719
<v Speaker 15>the suit. You're you're getting started with a thread, mate,

0:51:41.719 --> 0:51:44.960
<v Speaker 15>It turned out to be a suit. So we're the thready.

0:51:45.200 --> 0:51:47.520
<v Speaker 1>Talking about the conversations you're having here in New York

0:51:47.560 --> 0:51:49.320
<v Speaker 1>as well. Are people getting the message?

0:51:49.560 --> 0:51:50.680
<v Speaker 5>People are getting the message?

0:51:50.760 --> 0:51:51.000
<v Speaker 6>Yeah?

0:51:51.040 --> 0:51:52.200
<v Speaker 1>I mean, you know, we look at we look at

0:51:52.200 --> 0:51:54.080
<v Speaker 1>the pullback on green agenda and so many parts of

0:51:54.080 --> 0:51:55.840
<v Speaker 1>the world at the moment we see it reflected and

0:51:55.880 --> 0:51:57.280
<v Speaker 1>polling and election results.

0:51:57.800 --> 0:52:00.480
<v Speaker 15>Is that playing that's an opportunity for uce Okay, that's

0:52:00.600 --> 0:52:03.359
<v Speaker 15>a serious opportunity. I mean, we are pushing head going

0:52:03.400 --> 0:52:06.200
<v Speaker 15>green as quickly as possible. We've got technology which can

0:52:06.239 --> 0:52:09.000
<v Speaker 15>take the water in here so to steirly water bottle,

0:52:09.239 --> 0:52:11.560
<v Speaker 15>turn it into the most powerful fuel the walls ever had,

0:52:11.560 --> 0:52:14.440
<v Speaker 15>which is hydrogen. When we turn it from gas liquid

0:52:14.719 --> 0:52:19.479
<v Speaker 15>to really serious energy except soft water, and we're working

0:52:19.520 --> 0:52:21.719
<v Speaker 15>out how to produce that. It's not pure we call

0:52:21.760 --> 0:52:24.880
<v Speaker 15>it in dustrial hydgroen, but a fraction of the cost

0:52:25.680 --> 0:52:29.040
<v Speaker 15>where we've worked out already how to charge cars, not

0:52:29.120 --> 0:52:31.359
<v Speaker 15>in twenty two hours or even eight hours, but in

0:52:31.400 --> 0:52:34.960
<v Speaker 15>twenty two seconds, okay, And these are the fastest electric

0:52:34.960 --> 0:52:38.000
<v Speaker 15>cars in the world, like Formula E winners all the time.

0:52:38.200 --> 0:52:41.440
<v Speaker 15>We've worked out how to charge our huge trucks in

0:52:41.520 --> 0:52:45.160
<v Speaker 15>twenty four minutes. And I've had your US generals say

0:52:45.160 --> 0:52:47.839
<v Speaker 15>to me, hey, hey, you understand the US military can

0:52:47.880 --> 0:52:49.799
<v Speaker 15>never go green. I said, why is that. They said, well,

0:52:50.040 --> 0:52:52.880
<v Speaker 15>our tanks they're fifty sixty tons and they've got to

0:52:52.880 --> 0:52:54.719
<v Speaker 15>go fifty mile an out. And I said, well, hang on, mate,

0:52:54.719 --> 0:52:57.239
<v Speaker 15>our trucks are four hundred tons and they got to

0:52:57.239 --> 0:52:58.239
<v Speaker 15>go sixty mile an out.

0:52:58.280 --> 0:52:58.840
<v Speaker 5>They're green.

0:52:59.400 --> 0:53:02.280
<v Speaker 15>And they've said, well, well, you know shipping shipping our warships.

0:53:02.280 --> 0:53:05.439
<v Speaker 15>Our warships are like one hundred meters long, andrey, I said, honestly, mate,

0:53:05.480 --> 0:53:07.080
<v Speaker 15>we could put three of your warships on the back

0:53:07.080 --> 0:53:09.560
<v Speaker 15>of our arnoor carriers. They're three hundred and thirty meters long,

0:53:09.960 --> 0:53:13.080
<v Speaker 15>and we're sending them green so everyone can go green.

0:53:13.400 --> 0:53:14.800
<v Speaker 3>I am curious if you guys are going to be

0:53:14.840 --> 0:53:18.200
<v Speaker 3>also building wind farms solar forums right next farms, excuse me,

0:53:18.360 --> 0:53:20.880
<v Speaker 3>right next to some of your minds to help supply

0:53:20.960 --> 0:53:23.280
<v Speaker 3>green power, Like, what's is that part of the process.

0:53:23.760 --> 0:53:24.279
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, it is.

0:53:24.480 --> 0:53:27.080
<v Speaker 15>It is absolutely and will supply power us and power

0:53:27.120 --> 0:53:29.680
<v Speaker 15>of others. Right now, we're operating a green grid. It's

0:53:29.760 --> 0:53:32.960
<v Speaker 15>the first fully independent green grid in the world. It

0:53:33.000 --> 0:53:36.440
<v Speaker 15>will be the largest, of course, because it'll be producing

0:53:36.520 --> 0:53:39.400
<v Speaker 15>enough power the size of small countries, and it'll be

0:53:39.400 --> 0:53:41.760
<v Speaker 15>a full grid, but it'll be off the standard grid,

0:53:41.880 --> 0:53:44.560
<v Speaker 15>and that means that we can put this all over

0:53:44.560 --> 0:53:44.920
<v Speaker 15>the world.

0:53:45.239 --> 0:53:47.080
<v Speaker 1>I want to come back to hydrogen because it's been

0:53:47.120 --> 0:53:48.480
<v Speaker 1>talked about for many years. There's been a lot of

0:53:48.480 --> 0:53:51.640
<v Speaker 1>money put behind us yet to yield results. Where are

0:53:51.640 --> 0:53:53.640
<v Speaker 1>the obstacles there? How far away is it from being

0:53:53.640 --> 0:53:55.840
<v Speaker 1>something that's going to be widespread, available, and more heavily

0:53:55.920 --> 0:53:56.880
<v Speaker 1>used as an energy forum?

0:53:56.920 --> 0:53:59.920
<v Speaker 15>Okay, the only thing stopping the production of green hydrogen

0:54:00.000 --> 0:54:02.560
<v Speaker 15>North America. I mean, let's just remember that there's more

0:54:02.600 --> 0:54:05.560
<v Speaker 15>people employed in the renewable energy sector in the fossil

0:54:05.560 --> 0:54:08.000
<v Speaker 15>fuel old state of Texas than there are now is

0:54:08.000 --> 0:54:12.320
<v Speaker 15>by fossil fuel. So everything is changing. What we're seeing

0:54:12.400 --> 0:54:16.080
<v Speaker 15>now is the whole growth, this massive growth of green

0:54:16.120 --> 0:54:19.000
<v Speaker 15>heighten and green energy being held up by perfect getting

0:54:19.040 --> 0:54:21.640
<v Speaker 15>in the road of the good and the IRA and

0:54:21.680 --> 0:54:24.000
<v Speaker 15>if we don't fix what a little thing called forty

0:54:24.000 --> 0:54:27.759
<v Speaker 15>five V, which is where the fossil fuel sector's got

0:54:27.760 --> 0:54:30.920
<v Speaker 15>these environmental independent lobbyists to say, hey, look we should

0:54:30.920 --> 0:54:34.160
<v Speaker 15>have things like ALI matching. Well, okay, that's perfect.

0:54:34.400 --> 0:54:36.040
<v Speaker 5>Parts of your own industry are working against this.

0:54:36.360 --> 0:54:38.759
<v Speaker 15>Yeah, I mean, but it's not my industry. It's the

0:54:39.040 --> 0:54:42.080
<v Speaker 15>environmental lobby is paid ball by fossil fuel. It's the

0:54:42.160 --> 0:54:47.000
<v Speaker 15>same same draw cards, same playbook as tobacco used. They

0:54:47.080 --> 0:54:49.800
<v Speaker 15>get so called scientists into say tobacco doesn't kill you, mate.

0:54:49.960 --> 0:54:52.120
<v Speaker 4>So it's money again, it's politics and it's lobby.

0:54:52.239 --> 0:54:54.359
<v Speaker 15>Yeah, and we have to Carol, we have to look

0:54:54.400 --> 0:54:57.440
<v Speaker 15>straight through that and say to your legislators and your legislators,

0:54:57.440 --> 0:54:58.960
<v Speaker 15>we've got to say, actually, we're not going to let

0:54:59.000 --> 0:55:01.840
<v Speaker 15>perfect kill off the good. We know green hydrogen is

0:55:01.880 --> 0:55:07.600
<v Speaker 15>the answer. We will have weekly month matching or monthly matching.

0:55:07.640 --> 0:55:10.440
<v Speaker 15>But hourly matching just means the person who came up

0:55:10.480 --> 0:55:13.040
<v Speaker 15>with that's never driven or operated anything more complex than

0:55:13.040 --> 0:55:16.480
<v Speaker 15>a bloody computer, not these one two three mile long

0:55:16.520 --> 0:55:17.800
<v Speaker 15>plants which I have to operate.

0:55:17.920 --> 0:55:20.719
<v Speaker 3>So thirty seconds left, are you more optimistic after your

0:55:20.760 --> 0:55:22.839
<v Speaker 3>time here in New York and talking with global leaders

0:55:22.920 --> 0:55:26.120
<v Speaker 3>North American leaders, US leaders, Are you more pessimistic?

0:55:26.200 --> 0:55:26.680
<v Speaker 4>Just quickly?

0:55:27.320 --> 0:55:28.360
<v Speaker 5>No, I'm more optimistic.

0:55:28.400 --> 0:55:32.799
<v Speaker 15>I'm more optimist because they trust what someone does more

0:55:32.840 --> 0:55:35.160
<v Speaker 15>than what someone says, and they can see we're doing it.

0:55:35.160 --> 0:55:40.200
<v Speaker 15>They can see Australia's high sharehold return company ever is

0:55:40.239 --> 0:55:42.160
<v Speaker 15>going fully green and there's got to be a reason

0:55:42.239 --> 0:55:45.200
<v Speaker 15>for that. And they're making huge sales and they're profitable.

0:55:45.239 --> 0:55:46.440
<v Speaker 4>So we wanted to be smart and fun when you

0:55:46.520 --> 0:55:47.359
<v Speaker 4>came in. Did we do it?

0:55:47.680 --> 0:55:48.839
<v Speaker 5>Yeah? You're smart and fun here.

0:55:48.920 --> 0:55:52.520
<v Speaker 4>I love such pressure. Andrew Forrest, thank you so much.

0:55:52.520 --> 0:55:55.560
<v Speaker 3>Executive Chair of course, a Ford Sku joining us right

0:55:55.600 --> 0:55:57.200
<v Speaker 3>here on Bloomberg Business Week.

0:55:58.719 --> 0:56:02.200
<v Speaker 2>You're listening to the bloom Burg Business Week podcast. Listen

0:56:02.320 --> 0:56:05.880
<v Speaker 2>live each weekday starting at two pm Eastern on Applecarplay

0:56:05.880 --> 0:56:08.759
<v Speaker 2>and Android Auto with the Bloomberg Business App. You can

0:56:08.800 --> 0:56:12.000
<v Speaker 2>also listen live on Amazon Alexa from our flagship New

0:56:12.120 --> 0:56:15.720
<v Speaker 2>York station. Just say Alexa play Bloomberg eleven thirty.

0:56:16.960 --> 0:56:18.799
<v Speaker 3>All right by now you know we are all in

0:56:18.880 --> 0:56:22.120
<v Speaker 3>about global climate challenges this week. Adding to that task,

0:56:22.360 --> 0:56:25.880
<v Speaker 3>crypto mining, a recent IMF working paper found that crypto

0:56:25.920 --> 0:56:29.280
<v Speaker 3>mining could generate seven tenths of a percent of global

0:56:29.320 --> 0:56:32.200
<v Speaker 3>carbon dioxide emissions by twenty twenty seven.

0:56:32.480 --> 0:56:35.120
<v Speaker 1>Look, the IMF noted that because of the electricity used

0:56:35.160 --> 0:56:39.279
<v Speaker 1>by high powered equipment to mine crypto assets, one bitcoin

0:56:39.360 --> 0:56:42.840
<v Speaker 1>transaction requires roughly the same amount of electricity as the

0:56:42.880 --> 0:56:46.920
<v Speaker 1>average person in Ghana or Pakistan consumes in three years,

0:56:47.400 --> 0:56:50.600
<v Speaker 1>something that's captured the attention of both US presidential candidates.

0:56:50.640 --> 0:56:53.560
<v Speaker 3>It certainly has, so crypto mining's energy usage was where

0:56:53.560 --> 0:56:56.840
<v Speaker 3>we wanted to start with. Rustine Benham. He is Chairman

0:56:56.880 --> 0:57:00.520
<v Speaker 3>of the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission, the CFTC. He

0:57:00.680 --> 0:57:03.080
<v Speaker 3>joined us from the Bloomberg Global Business Forum in New

0:57:03.160 --> 0:57:04.319
<v Speaker 3>York City this past week.

0:57:04.400 --> 0:57:06.759
<v Speaker 1>Look, we're talking about climate issues for US, and this

0:57:06.800 --> 0:57:09.360
<v Speaker 1>is why we're thinking about the impact of crypto, but

0:57:09.400 --> 0:57:11.360
<v Speaker 1>also more broadly, this is an area that you have

0:57:11.400 --> 0:57:15.840
<v Speaker 1>lots of tentacles in your regulatory position. Talk to us

0:57:15.880 --> 0:57:19.880
<v Speaker 1>about the question of environmental impact when it comes to crypto.

0:57:20.240 --> 0:57:22.720
<v Speaker 1>Where are we thinking about regulation around that, What sort

0:57:22.760 --> 0:57:25.960
<v Speaker 1>of rules are needed, What does the FTC have power over?

0:57:26.560 --> 0:57:29.440
<v Speaker 14>Well, before we even get to the climate impact of

0:57:29.480 --> 0:57:32.360
<v Speaker 14>crypto and crypto mining. I think the larger question in

0:57:32.400 --> 0:57:35.160
<v Speaker 14>the US is the regulatory structure, or really the lack

0:57:35.280 --> 0:57:38.800
<v Speaker 14>of one. I've advocated for almost three years now that

0:57:38.800 --> 0:57:41.200
<v Speaker 14>there's a gap in regulation, and this is just a

0:57:41.240 --> 0:57:43.840
<v Speaker 14>product of the way the US regulatory system is set up,

0:57:44.120 --> 0:57:48.400
<v Speaker 14>multiple agencies, couple market regulators, banking regulators, and for better

0:57:48.480 --> 0:57:51.440
<v Speaker 14>or for worse, we've seen a sustainability in the marketplace,

0:57:52.400 --> 0:57:56.880
<v Speaker 14>sustained demand by customers, both retail and institutional, and really

0:57:56.920 --> 0:57:58.520
<v Speaker 14>what we have to do is make sure that we

0:57:58.640 --> 0:58:02.360
<v Speaker 14>regulate it properly so that customers are protected. Market stability

0:58:02.360 --> 0:58:05.200
<v Speaker 14>is their market resiliency. If we can get there, and

0:58:05.240 --> 0:58:07.439
<v Speaker 14>I think that would be my priority. Then I think

0:58:07.440 --> 0:58:11.840
<v Speaker 14>the conversations about climate impact energy usage for mining are

0:58:11.880 --> 0:58:13.840
<v Speaker 14>important to ask an answer, and I think those have

0:58:13.920 --> 0:58:17.360
<v Speaker 14>been actually within the domain of questions asked over the

0:58:17.400 --> 0:58:19.920
<v Speaker 14>past couple of years. A couple efforts by some of

0:58:19.920 --> 0:58:23.200
<v Speaker 14>the miners to co locate near power sources that are

0:58:23.560 --> 0:58:28.400
<v Speaker 14>renewable or even nuclear, some other efforts to change the

0:58:28.560 --> 0:58:31.360
<v Speaker 14>way mining is done to reduce the carbon footprint. But

0:58:31.680 --> 0:58:34.920
<v Speaker 14>as we worked with Congress over the past couple of

0:58:34.960 --> 0:58:38.200
<v Speaker 14>years to think about legislative efforts. I know this issue

0:58:38.400 --> 0:58:41.080
<v Speaker 14>specifically was on their mind and they wanted to think

0:58:41.080 --> 0:58:45.400
<v Speaker 14>about disclosures, transparency, information to get to the market so

0:58:45.440 --> 0:58:49.240
<v Speaker 14>that those economic incentives and preferences can essentially be manifest

0:58:49.560 --> 0:58:52.080
<v Speaker 14>through decisions about what tokens to buy or not buy.

0:58:52.200 --> 0:58:55.080
<v Speaker 3>Well on the energy component so much an important aspect

0:58:55.080 --> 0:58:58.320
<v Speaker 3>of the reliability right, making sure that it continues to work.

0:58:58.360 --> 0:59:00.040
<v Speaker 3>I want to go back to the regulatory side. And

0:59:00.320 --> 0:59:02.080
<v Speaker 3>Donald Trump has kind of come out and said he's

0:59:02.080 --> 0:59:05.160
<v Speaker 3>a friend of crypto. It seems like Kamala Harris's campaign

0:59:05.240 --> 0:59:07.600
<v Speaker 3>is increasingly embracing.

0:59:07.000 --> 0:59:08.800
<v Speaker 4>Towards the crypto world.

0:59:09.120 --> 0:59:11.640
<v Speaker 3>In terms of your push for more oversight of the

0:59:11.680 --> 0:59:14.560
<v Speaker 3>crypto world, would you continue to do so under a

0:59:14.600 --> 0:59:15.600
<v Speaker 3>Harris administration.

0:59:16.120 --> 0:59:18.280
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, and I just to be no matter.

0:59:18.000 --> 0:59:19.920
<v Speaker 4>Who and as friendly as they might be.

0:59:20.080 --> 0:59:25.320
<v Speaker 14>Yeah, to be clear, it's oversight driven by regulatory protection

0:59:25.440 --> 0:59:29.120
<v Speaker 14>and customer protections. This is not me, as chair of

0:59:29.120 --> 0:59:33.000
<v Speaker 14>the CFTC advocating for the industry saying that crypto is

0:59:33.000 --> 0:59:35.360
<v Speaker 14>going to be the next great thing. This is about

0:59:35.400 --> 0:59:39.240
<v Speaker 14>my observation as the head of a market regulator, saying

0:59:39.280 --> 0:59:42.160
<v Speaker 14>there is a giant gap in regulation. There are a

0:59:42.160 --> 0:59:46.040
<v Speaker 14>lot of customers who are either uninformed or don't really

0:59:46.080 --> 0:59:49.240
<v Speaker 14>know the associated risks with crypto, and we have to

0:59:49.240 --> 0:59:52.680
<v Speaker 14>put the guardrails around this industry. And those guardrails are

0:59:52.720 --> 0:59:56.760
<v Speaker 14>the same guardrails that we put around equity markets, derivatives markets,

0:59:57.000 --> 0:59:58.400
<v Speaker 14>fixed income markets, et cetera.

0:59:58.560 --> 0:59:59.880
<v Speaker 8>No different, no different, but.

0:59:59.760 --> 1:00:01.880
<v Speaker 14>We have to think about Look, there are going to

1:00:01.920 --> 1:00:05.800
<v Speaker 14>be differences on custody, cybersecurity. There are components of the

1:00:05.840 --> 1:00:09.200
<v Speaker 14>financial asset digital assets themselves that are very unique from

1:00:09.240 --> 1:00:10.280
<v Speaker 14>securities or derivatives.

1:00:10.320 --> 1:00:11.280
<v Speaker 8>There's no doubt about that.

1:00:11.600 --> 1:00:14.840
<v Speaker 14>But if we think broadly from a principles based standpoint,

1:00:15.120 --> 1:00:18.120
<v Speaker 14>the market structure components that have been put in place

1:00:18.440 --> 1:00:21.200
<v Speaker 14>for decades and have worked quite well for US markets

1:00:21.480 --> 1:00:23.160
<v Speaker 14>are the same ones we need to think about for

1:00:23.200 --> 1:00:25.800
<v Speaker 14>digital assets because there's a lot of questions about the

1:00:25.800 --> 1:00:29.480
<v Speaker 14>sustainability of digital assets. But here we are twenty twenty four,

1:00:29.760 --> 1:00:35.440
<v Speaker 14>moving into twenty twenty five POSTFTX, other crises, finance a

1:00:35.480 --> 1:00:37.840
<v Speaker 14>lot that we have brought on the enforcement side, and

1:00:37.880 --> 1:00:40.560
<v Speaker 14>there is still I don't know about insatiable demand, but

1:00:40.640 --> 1:00:43.439
<v Speaker 14>there is still demand from retail and institutional and they're

1:00:43.480 --> 1:00:47.440
<v Speaker 14>looking for regulatory structure so that they can increase those flows.

1:00:47.880 --> 1:00:51.840
<v Speaker 1>How open is the industry to regulation. I mean, it's

1:00:52.000 --> 1:00:55.680
<v Speaker 1>obviously a conversation that's ongoing, and you've outlined the complexity

1:00:55.720 --> 1:00:58.080
<v Speaker 1>of how the different agencies work in this front as well.

1:00:58.400 --> 1:00:59.520
<v Speaker 5>Are they engaging?

1:00:59.720 --> 1:01:02.760
<v Speaker 1>Is the something that you're actually able to see productive

1:01:02.840 --> 1:01:05.280
<v Speaker 1>results that won't tend open a risk of overregulation?

1:01:05.720 --> 1:01:07.840
<v Speaker 14>Yeah, So this is really the tricky part of this

1:01:07.960 --> 1:01:11.680
<v Speaker 14>because I think I argue this often, the US capital

1:01:11.720 --> 1:01:14.120
<v Speaker 14>markets are the best in the world because of the

1:01:14.120 --> 1:01:17.200
<v Speaker 14>regulatory structure we have, because of the legal structure we have,

1:01:17.280 --> 1:01:20.080
<v Speaker 14>because of the accountability there is for bad actors and

1:01:20.080 --> 1:01:21.240
<v Speaker 14>those who violate the law.

1:01:21.600 --> 1:01:22.840
<v Speaker 8>So there are many actors.

1:01:22.920 --> 1:01:26.320
<v Speaker 14>I can't speak for the entire crypto community, but there

1:01:26.320 --> 1:01:29.520
<v Speaker 14>are many who have been very engaged with Washington, both

1:01:29.560 --> 1:01:32.720
<v Speaker 14>in Congress and the executive branch to see what kind

1:01:32.720 --> 1:01:36.280
<v Speaker 14>of regulatory structure could work around digital assets. Will this

1:01:36.360 --> 1:01:39.480
<v Speaker 14>benefit them most likely? I've said this publicly in the past. Again,

1:01:39.520 --> 1:01:43.360
<v Speaker 14>to my point, US regulation is the reason in part

1:01:43.440 --> 1:01:46.439
<v Speaker 14>why US capital markets are the strongest, deepest, and most

1:01:46.480 --> 1:01:49.400
<v Speaker 14>liquid in the world, So they see a benefit to regulation.

1:01:49.720 --> 1:01:52.960
<v Speaker 14>The word often thrown around is legitimacy, but again I

1:01:53.000 --> 1:01:56.840
<v Speaker 14>want to pull back to what my responsibilities are, Protecting customers,

1:01:57.040 --> 1:02:01.840
<v Speaker 14>protecting market resiliency and in essence sometimes financial stability.

1:02:02.000 --> 1:02:02.360
<v Speaker 8>And as I.

1:02:02.440 --> 1:02:04.480
<v Speaker 14>Continue to see this market ebb and flow and go

1:02:04.520 --> 1:02:07.680
<v Speaker 14>through it's sort of organic growth, I can't help but

1:02:07.840 --> 1:02:10.200
<v Speaker 14>raise a red flag and say, look, we're seeing this

1:02:10.320 --> 1:02:10.959
<v Speaker 14>market grow.

1:02:11.080 --> 1:02:12.600
<v Speaker 8>We need to protect customers.

1:02:12.720 --> 1:02:14.400
<v Speaker 3>That's what would you say in terms of the powers

1:02:14.400 --> 1:02:18.800
<v Speaker 3>that are necessary in order for any kind of regulation

1:02:18.960 --> 1:02:21.919
<v Speaker 3>over crypto by the CFTC to really work.

1:02:22.000 --> 1:02:23.880
<v Speaker 14>Yeah, this is a unique part, like we have two

1:02:23.880 --> 1:02:27.920
<v Speaker 14>market regulators CFTC SEC. There is a question about around

1:02:27.920 --> 1:02:32.680
<v Speaker 14>some tokens. I've articulated and advocated that bigcoin and ether

1:02:32.920 --> 1:02:34.880
<v Speaker 14>are commodities under existing law.

1:02:35.200 --> 1:02:36.760
<v Speaker 8>Congress wants to change existing law.

1:02:36.840 --> 1:02:40.040
<v Speaker 14>That's we still debate, sure, But look, we've brought a

1:02:40.040 --> 1:02:43.959
<v Speaker 14>lot of enforcement cases and we bring them through the

1:02:44.000 --> 1:02:47.600
<v Speaker 14>authority we have over commodity assets, which in many cases

1:02:47.640 --> 1:02:52.520
<v Speaker 14>is bitcoin and ethereum. But ultimately it's registration of exchanges,

1:02:52.600 --> 1:02:57.480
<v Speaker 14>it's registration of broker dealers, it's registration of custodians, clearing houses,

1:02:57.560 --> 1:03:01.880
<v Speaker 14>data repositories, the same again, and core components and core

1:03:02.080 --> 1:03:06.160
<v Speaker 14>regulatory tools that we use, and with those registration requirements

1:03:06.520 --> 1:03:10.280
<v Speaker 14>come ability to surveil markets, ability to collect data, and

1:03:10.400 --> 1:03:12.880
<v Speaker 14>ability to examine market participants.

1:03:13.280 --> 1:03:15.920
<v Speaker 1>What is from what you're hearing from the election campaign

1:03:15.960 --> 1:03:18.240
<v Speaker 1>because we ask about it, because it's coming up with

1:03:18.360 --> 1:03:21.720
<v Speaker 1>alarming regularity, Someone would say, in how often it's mentioned,

1:03:22.440 --> 1:03:24.480
<v Speaker 1>what are you hearing that sounds like a good idea

1:03:24.680 --> 1:03:26.360
<v Speaker 1>or that sounds like a bad idea in terms of

1:03:26.520 --> 1:03:28.959
<v Speaker 1>where regulator regulation should be going from here.

1:03:29.080 --> 1:03:33.120
<v Speaker 14>So, look, we don't want to undermine existing law. We

1:03:33.200 --> 1:03:38.200
<v Speaker 14>don't want to change existing protections that exist for markets

1:03:38.240 --> 1:03:40.480
<v Speaker 14>like derivatives like stocks and bonds.

1:03:40.920 --> 1:03:42.680
<v Speaker 8>We want to apply what.

1:03:42.560 --> 1:03:45.920
<v Speaker 14>We've learned and what we have in terms of authority

1:03:45.920 --> 1:03:50.320
<v Speaker 14>to regulate markets to crypto. And it's about engagement. It's

1:03:50.360 --> 1:03:53.919
<v Speaker 14>about understanding what the technology is. It's understanding what new

1:03:54.040 --> 1:03:57.920
<v Speaker 14>risks or new variations on existing regulatory tools we would

1:03:57.920 --> 1:04:00.480
<v Speaker 14>have to apply. But I often go and I've had

1:04:00.480 --> 1:04:03.320
<v Speaker 14>conversations with lawmakers in both the Senate the House. There

1:04:03.360 --> 1:04:06.240
<v Speaker 14>have been a lot of really interesting efforts, and credit

1:04:06.240 --> 1:04:08.400
<v Speaker 14>to those who have led the way in both the

1:04:08.440 --> 1:04:13.200
<v Speaker 14>House and the Senate to draft bills to contemplate giving

1:04:13.240 --> 1:04:16.160
<v Speaker 14>the CFDC the authority. It's a unique circumstance where the

1:04:16.160 --> 1:04:21.400
<v Speaker 14>CFTC regulates commodity derivatives markets but not the underlying markets.

1:04:21.440 --> 1:04:24.800
<v Speaker 14>So we have this gap in commodity cash markets or

1:04:24.840 --> 1:04:27.840
<v Speaker 14>spot markets, and this is where we find ourselves with

1:04:27.880 --> 1:04:28.959
<v Speaker 14>digital assets.

1:04:28.640 --> 1:04:30.760
<v Speaker 4>All right, So we're still trying to figure out digital assets.

1:04:31.000 --> 1:04:34.040
<v Speaker 3>We throw artificial intelligence into the mix, right increasingly. Not

1:04:34.160 --> 1:04:36.600
<v Speaker 3>new finance community has been using it for a long time.

1:04:36.840 --> 1:04:39.200
<v Speaker 3>I do wonder if you guys are planning what tools

1:04:39.240 --> 1:04:41.280
<v Speaker 3>you need to have in place to kind of oversee

1:04:41.280 --> 1:04:42.000
<v Speaker 3>that aspect.

1:04:42.360 --> 1:04:44.040
<v Speaker 8>So, yeah, it's important question.

1:04:44.160 --> 1:04:47.280
<v Speaker 14>And at this point, almost nine or ten months ago,

1:04:47.840 --> 1:04:50.880
<v Speaker 14>we put out an advisory, a request for comment, a

1:04:50.920 --> 1:04:54.640
<v Speaker 14>consultation document, and in my mind, the steps we needed

1:04:54.680 --> 1:04:58.520
<v Speaker 14>to take as an agency was one information gathering, engagement,

1:04:59.120 --> 1:05:02.680
<v Speaker 14>getting better smarter ourselves so that we can think about

1:05:02.760 --> 1:05:05.840
<v Speaker 14>what existing rules apply to AI and where there may

1:05:06.280 --> 1:05:09.600
<v Speaker 14>be gaps in the space. So we're working through some

1:05:09.640 --> 1:05:12.760
<v Speaker 14>of those comments. I'm hopefully going to come out with

1:05:12.880 --> 1:05:16.440
<v Speaker 14>some form of advisory guidance in the near future, but

1:05:16.520 --> 1:05:20.040
<v Speaker 14>it really is contingent on us being thoughtful about how

1:05:20.120 --> 1:05:22.600
<v Speaker 14>AI has been used thus far and how it may

1:05:22.600 --> 1:05:23.120
<v Speaker 14>be used.

1:05:23.000 --> 1:05:23.480
<v Speaker 8>In the future.

1:05:23.480 --> 1:05:25.280
<v Speaker 4>Are you talking to big tech about this?

1:05:25.680 --> 1:05:28.840
<v Speaker 14>We look, when we consult, we are as we cast

1:05:28.840 --> 1:05:31.000
<v Speaker 14>a very wide net. We want to learn from everyone,

1:05:31.240 --> 1:05:34.640
<v Speaker 14>and that not only includes the individuals who are directly

1:05:34.720 --> 1:05:38.240
<v Speaker 14>registered or participate in our markets, but it certainly is

1:05:38.320 --> 1:05:41.320
<v Speaker 14>the tech companies who are building these AI platforms and

1:05:41.400 --> 1:05:44.480
<v Speaker 14>models that are essentially being used by the financial institutions.

1:05:44.600 --> 1:05:49.040
<v Speaker 1>The CFTC recently product guidance on voluntary carbon credits. I'm

1:05:49.040 --> 1:05:51.760
<v Speaker 1>curious about the voluntary nature of that and whether that's

1:05:51.920 --> 1:05:55.440
<v Speaker 1>something that's going to be relevant and enforceable given that

1:05:55.440 --> 1:05:57.760
<v Speaker 1>that's the framing that we're given on this area.

1:05:57.880 --> 1:06:00.000
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, so not unlike crypto in some respects.

1:06:00.080 --> 1:06:03.400
<v Speaker 14>We've seen voluntary carbon credit futures contracts listed over the

1:06:03.440 --> 1:06:06.360
<v Speaker 14>past couple of year, derivatives and once we have futures

1:06:06.360 --> 1:06:08.440
<v Speaker 14>and derivatives listed on our registered exchanges.

1:06:08.800 --> 1:06:10.000
<v Speaker 8>I use this phrase a lot.

1:06:10.040 --> 1:06:12.040
<v Speaker 14>We have as an agency of vested interest in the

1:06:12.080 --> 1:06:14.640
<v Speaker 14>health of the underlying market, and in this case it's

1:06:14.680 --> 1:06:17.200
<v Speaker 14>a voluntary carbon market. We want to make sure there's

1:06:17.200 --> 1:06:20.280
<v Speaker 14>resilience in health and high integrity in that cash market,

1:06:20.360 --> 1:06:23.400
<v Speaker 14>so it's reflected in the markets we regulate. Ultimately, from

1:06:23.440 --> 1:06:26.919
<v Speaker 14>a broad perspective, if we're going to transition and hit

1:06:26.960 --> 1:06:30.000
<v Speaker 14>our twenty fifty targets, our one point five target, we're

1:06:30.000 --> 1:06:32.000
<v Speaker 14>going to need voluntary carbon markets. We're not going to

1:06:32.040 --> 1:06:34.440
<v Speaker 14>be able to wean ourselves off of coal and some

1:06:34.960 --> 1:06:38.560
<v Speaker 14>fossil based carbon based energy sources.

1:06:38.880 --> 1:06:40.320
<v Speaker 8>So we're going to need a way.

1:06:40.160 --> 1:06:43.800
<v Speaker 14>To allocate capital transition to the Global South and other

1:06:43.880 --> 1:06:48.400
<v Speaker 14>nations that need to transition to low carbon intensive energy sources.

1:06:48.440 --> 1:06:51.240
<v Speaker 3>Twenty seconds Election betting. I know you guys don't like it.

1:06:51.320 --> 1:06:52.600
<v Speaker 3>You've recently lost a court.

1:06:52.360 --> 1:06:55.640
<v Speaker 4>Case very quickly. Nothing you'll warm up to.

1:06:56.440 --> 1:06:58.440
<v Speaker 14>It's not about what I like or don't like. It's

1:06:58.440 --> 1:07:00.280
<v Speaker 14>not about what the agency likes or doesn't like. It's

1:07:00.320 --> 1:07:02.880
<v Speaker 14>about what the law says, and the law, in our view,

1:07:02.960 --> 1:07:05.560
<v Speaker 14>says that election betting is against the law.

1:07:06.160 --> 1:07:08.520
<v Speaker 5>That's Manam, Thanks very much for joining us the FTC chair.

1:07:13.040 --> 1:07:16.560
<v Speaker 2>You're listening to the Bloomberg Business Week podcast. Catch us

1:07:16.600 --> 1:07:22.560
<v Speaker 2>live weekday afternoon on a car play with the Bloomberg

1:07:22.600 --> 1:07:24.960
<v Speaker 2>Business app on YouTube.

1:07:25.120 --> 1:07:27.760
<v Speaker 16>Are just announced lawn Interest Train, I predict the I'll

1:07:27.800 --> 1:07:31.480
<v Speaker 16>go further. Now we should give business even more confidence

1:07:31.520 --> 1:07:34.720
<v Speaker 16>to invest trillions of dollars that are on the sidelines

1:07:35.040 --> 1:07:36.800
<v Speaker 16>the clean energy industries of the future.

1:07:37.120 --> 1:07:39.640
<v Speaker 3>That is President Biden at this past week's Bloomberg Global

1:07:39.680 --> 1:07:42.280
<v Speaker 3>Business Form in New York City, shortly after he gave

1:07:42.280 --> 1:07:45.120
<v Speaker 3>his final speech as President of the United States to

1:07:45.160 --> 1:07:48.040
<v Speaker 3>the UN General Assembly. President Biden was among the world

1:07:48.120 --> 1:07:50.520
<v Speaker 3>leaders that were in New York City this past week

1:07:50.560 --> 1:07:54.160
<v Speaker 3>for Climate Week and the UN General Assembly. Top of

1:07:54.200 --> 1:07:57.320
<v Speaker 3>mind for many actions and investments in renewable sources of

1:07:57.480 --> 1:07:59.960
<v Speaker 3>energy and ways to tackle the climate crisis.

1:08:00.320 --> 1:08:03.000
<v Speaker 1>The banking sector was in attendance as well, concentrating on

1:08:03.120 --> 1:08:07.880
<v Speaker 1>financing climate solutions and more of those same solutions. The

1:08:07.920 --> 1:08:11.400
<v Speaker 1>sentiment voiced by Standard Charted CEO Bill Winters, speaking from

1:08:11.440 --> 1:08:14.240
<v Speaker 1>the Earthstop Prize Innovation Summit, the only.

1:08:14.080 --> 1:08:16.120
<v Speaker 17>Way that we're going to be successful in the fight

1:08:16.160 --> 1:08:20.320
<v Speaker 17>against climate change is to offer people an acceptable return.

1:08:20.360 --> 1:08:22.759
<v Speaker 17>It doesn't have to be a protest return, just acceptable.

1:08:22.840 --> 1:08:24.640
<v Speaker 17>That's the only way to move trillions and trillions.

1:08:24.880 --> 1:08:27.320
<v Speaker 3>One of those sources of clean energy that countries are

1:08:27.360 --> 1:08:30.519
<v Speaker 3>continuing to invest in and the finance community is certainly

1:08:30.520 --> 1:08:33.960
<v Speaker 3>looking at, is win The World Economic Forum says that

1:08:34.000 --> 1:08:36.919
<v Speaker 3>in twenty twenty three, last year, the global wind industry

1:08:36.960 --> 1:08:40.560
<v Speaker 3>installed a record one hundred and seventeen gigawatts of new capacity,

1:08:40.920 --> 1:08:44.519
<v Speaker 3>a fifty percent increase from the previous year, and that

1:08:44.560 --> 1:08:47.040
<v Speaker 3>countries across the globe are investing in both onshore and

1:08:47.080 --> 1:08:51.160
<v Speaker 3>offshore wind capacities. China leads the pack, adding to substantial

1:08:51.160 --> 1:08:55.679
<v Speaker 3>new capacity annually, supported by ambitious governmental renewable energy targets

1:08:55.760 --> 1:08:57.000
<v Speaker 3>under its five year plans.

1:08:57.240 --> 1:08:59.920
<v Speaker 1>Ben Backwells the CEO of the Global Wind Energy Cancel,

1:09:00.080 --> 1:09:03.720
<v Speaker 1>an international organization dedicated to promoting wind power as a

1:09:03.840 --> 1:09:07.200
<v Speaker 1>key solution for the global energy transition and to combat

1:09:07.240 --> 1:09:10.080
<v Speaker 1>climate change. He's also a journalist. He's written books, including

1:09:10.080 --> 1:09:13.280
<v Speaker 1>one entitled win Power, The Struggle for Control of a

1:09:13.320 --> 1:09:16.760
<v Speaker 1>new Global Industry, and another on offshore wind. Ben joined

1:09:16.840 --> 1:09:19.519
<v Speaker 1>us from the Bloomberg Global Business Forum in New York City.

1:09:19.680 --> 1:09:22.000
<v Speaker 18>The good news is that we're going quite fast in

1:09:22.080 --> 1:09:24.680
<v Speaker 18>terms of expanding. As you said, a record year, and

1:09:24.720 --> 1:09:27.519
<v Speaker 18>we expect to break those records every single year going forward.

1:09:28.880 --> 1:09:31.080
<v Speaker 18>The bad news is that we're not on a tradictory

1:09:31.120 --> 1:09:33.839
<v Speaker 18>to triple renewables. We're probably on a kind of doubling

1:09:33.880 --> 1:09:36.640
<v Speaker 18>tradictory by twenty thirty, so we go one hundred and

1:09:36.680 --> 1:09:38.800
<v Speaker 18>seventeen last year. We think we're going to be one

1:09:38.880 --> 1:09:40.760
<v Speaker 18>hundred and thirty this year, one hundred and forty eight

1:09:40.760 --> 1:09:43.960
<v Speaker 18>next year. So it's building, but we probably need to

1:09:44.000 --> 1:09:48.200
<v Speaker 18>be growing about maybe twice as fast to be on

1:09:48.240 --> 1:09:48.920
<v Speaker 18>a net zero.

1:09:49.160 --> 1:09:51.480
<v Speaker 4>Why aren't we.

1:09:50.600 --> 1:09:52.800
<v Speaker 18>Well, there's a number of reasons. I think the main

1:09:52.880 --> 1:09:56.519
<v Speaker 18>reason is that everything is just too slow. So planning

1:09:56.560 --> 1:09:59.880
<v Speaker 18>around the world continues to be a barrier. I mean

1:10:00.120 --> 1:10:03.880
<v Speaker 18>takes twice or three times as long to plan and

1:10:03.960 --> 1:10:06.200
<v Speaker 18>permit and offshore wind farm that it doest actually build one.

1:10:06.800 --> 1:10:09.880
<v Speaker 18>So in terms of the technology, the capacity to build,

1:10:09.920 --> 1:10:13.120
<v Speaker 18>it's there. In terms of red tape and deureocracy, we've

1:10:13.120 --> 1:10:16.160
<v Speaker 18>got a long way to go. So that's fully number one.

1:10:16.960 --> 1:10:22.439
<v Speaker 18>And then secondly, we're facing some market imbalances as well.

1:10:22.479 --> 1:10:24.280
<v Speaker 18>I mean there's being kind of race to the bottom

1:10:24.760 --> 1:10:28.640
<v Speaker 18>pricing in some areas, which has then led to the

1:10:28.680 --> 1:10:31.799
<v Speaker 18>projects not being profitable. We've we've had about of inflation.

1:10:32.080 --> 1:10:34.560
<v Speaker 18>You've seen in you know, the impact a couple of

1:10:34.640 --> 1:10:35.880
<v Speaker 18>you know, a year ago in the US some of

1:10:35.920 --> 1:10:39.080
<v Speaker 18>the projects had to go back and renegotiate because of inflation.

1:10:39.280 --> 1:10:41.960
<v Speaker 18>So there's some there's some new kind of head winds.

1:10:41.960 --> 1:10:44.280
<v Speaker 18>But we're we're we're speeding up and we're we're going

1:10:44.280 --> 1:10:44.639
<v Speaker 18>where we.

1:10:44.600 --> 1:10:47.040
<v Speaker 1>Need to quite about public money incentives and all of

1:10:47.080 --> 1:10:48.840
<v Speaker 1>this as well. I mean it's something that you know,

1:10:48.880 --> 1:10:51.639
<v Speaker 1>we think about the Green Deal in the U Inflation

1:10:51.680 --> 1:10:54.160
<v Speaker 1>Production Act Here in the US, are the public incentives

1:10:54.240 --> 1:10:58.160
<v Speaker 1>actually doing the job they're supposed to in boasting expansion

1:10:58.720 --> 1:11:01.000
<v Speaker 1>or is it being undone by the obstacles that you're

1:11:01.040 --> 1:11:01.880
<v Speaker 1>talking abouts.

1:11:02.240 --> 1:11:07.479
<v Speaker 18>So generally we don't need subsidy financing for the projects,

1:11:07.520 --> 1:11:10.600
<v Speaker 18>right because our levelized cost of energy is competitive with

1:11:10.760 --> 1:11:14.559
<v Speaker 18>pretty much anything out there, especially vis a vis oil

1:11:14.560 --> 1:11:18.320
<v Speaker 18>and gas fired projects and nuclear. So generally we don't

1:11:18.320 --> 1:11:22.920
<v Speaker 18>need subsidy. Having said that, there's places, especially in the

1:11:22.920 --> 1:11:25.439
<v Speaker 18>Global South and the emerging world, where they're just getting

1:11:25.479 --> 1:11:29.360
<v Speaker 18>started and where the initial projects will be more expensive

1:11:29.400 --> 1:11:31.000
<v Speaker 18>than the projects in the mature markets.

1:11:31.080 --> 1:11:31.200
<v Speaker 5>Right.

1:11:31.240 --> 1:11:33.680
<v Speaker 18>So if you think of somewhere like the Philippines and

1:11:33.720 --> 1:11:36.920
<v Speaker 18>Southeast Asia, I mean, they're starting from a virtual standing start.

1:11:37.120 --> 1:11:39.040
<v Speaker 18>They've got to build the infrastructure, they've got to build

1:11:39.040 --> 1:11:42.160
<v Speaker 18>the grid, they've got to build the ports, and so

1:11:42.200 --> 1:11:45.000
<v Speaker 18>there's a kind of gap I think in financing for

1:11:45.120 --> 1:11:49.360
<v Speaker 18>some of those emerging markets countries where's the growth offshore.

1:11:49.920 --> 1:11:52.840
<v Speaker 18>So on shore is still the biggest part of the market,

1:11:53.520 --> 1:11:56.439
<v Speaker 18>but offshore is growing faster, so the compound growth rate

1:11:56.439 --> 1:11:59.800
<v Speaker 18>for offshore is faster. On Shore is still, you know,

1:12:00.160 --> 1:12:03.680
<v Speaker 18>eighty five percent of the market. And what's interesting is

1:12:03.720 --> 1:12:06.599
<v Speaker 18>that the on shore market is really picking up again

1:12:06.680 --> 1:12:09.559
<v Speaker 18>with new countries, So Germany's really speed up. The US

1:12:09.680 --> 1:12:12.679
<v Speaker 18>we're expecting to really speed up from this year onwards. Right,

1:12:12.760 --> 1:12:15.720
<v Speaker 18>So the IRA has had the transformative effect on the

1:12:15.760 --> 1:12:17.800
<v Speaker 18>on shore market. It's taken a little bit longer than

1:12:18.200 --> 1:12:22.639
<v Speaker 18>we thought, but we can really see now the construction starting,

1:12:22.680 --> 1:12:25.080
<v Speaker 18>a huge amount of projects in construction. So from next

1:12:25.120 --> 1:12:27.479
<v Speaker 18>year we'll really start see the US on shore market

1:12:27.560 --> 1:12:30.760
<v Speaker 18>really take off. And then there's India speeding up as well.

1:12:30.800 --> 1:12:32.920
<v Speaker 18>There's Australia's doing really well, and there's a bunch of

1:12:32.960 --> 1:12:34.719
<v Speaker 18>new markets that are growing as well.

1:12:35.280 --> 1:12:38.080
<v Speaker 1>The red tape issues that you talk about, what is

1:12:38.120 --> 1:12:40.320
<v Speaker 1>the message you're getting from policymakers on that. I'm sure

1:12:40.320 --> 1:12:42.120
<v Speaker 1>this is something that you're engaging with them regularly.

1:12:42.160 --> 1:12:42.360
<v Speaker 12>Hones.

1:12:42.479 --> 1:12:45.120
<v Speaker 1>You were speaking to leaders here at your event here too.

1:12:45.520 --> 1:12:49.320
<v Speaker 1>I'm keen to know how exactly that conversation is going

1:12:49.320 --> 1:12:51.559
<v Speaker 1>are people Is it coming back to people don't want

1:12:51.600 --> 1:12:55.360
<v Speaker 1>wind farms near their homes? Is it much more complex?

1:12:55.400 --> 1:12:57.799
<v Speaker 1>And now this is a systems problem? Where's the roadblock?

1:12:57.920 --> 1:13:00.680
<v Speaker 18>I'd say it's it's mainly a systems probably problem. And

1:13:00.840 --> 1:13:03.719
<v Speaker 18>there's been quite a lot of recognition around this problem

1:13:03.800 --> 1:13:05.840
<v Speaker 18>for the last few years. I mean, we startied Cop

1:13:05.880 --> 1:13:08.840
<v Speaker 18>twenty six in Glasgow three four years ago. We started

1:13:08.880 --> 1:13:10.400
<v Speaker 18>really trying to put this on the gender. It's kind

1:13:10.400 --> 1:13:12.559
<v Speaker 18>of sounds like a bit of a boring issue and

1:13:12.600 --> 1:13:14.600
<v Speaker 18>so it's kind of hard to get people's attention around it.

1:13:14.600 --> 1:13:18.400
<v Speaker 18>You know, it's about permitting after all, but it's pretty important.

1:13:18.439 --> 1:13:20.759
<v Speaker 18>And what's happened since then is a number of countries

1:13:20.800 --> 1:13:24.240
<v Speaker 18>are passing new regulations and new laws. For instance Germany,

1:13:24.280 --> 1:13:28.040
<v Speaker 18>I mean they've now made permitting offshore wind farms what

1:13:28.080 --> 1:13:31.840
<v Speaker 18>they call overriding national interest, So that means that in

1:13:31.880 --> 1:13:35.080
<v Speaker 18>the legal system, unless there's a very good reason to object,

1:13:35.640 --> 1:13:38.120
<v Speaker 18>the project will be approved.

1:13:38.200 --> 1:13:38.320
<v Speaker 2>Right.

1:13:39.160 --> 1:13:40.080
<v Speaker 18>Changes like that are good.

1:13:40.320 --> 1:13:41.960
<v Speaker 1>I wanted to ask you about a particularation that came

1:13:42.040 --> 1:13:45.120
<v Speaker 1>up in Europe this summer when we had such production

1:13:45.280 --> 1:13:48.920
<v Speaker 1>coming out of particularly Spain and Norway that the price

1:13:48.960 --> 1:13:51.679
<v Speaker 1>of power dropped below zero, which.

1:13:51.560 --> 1:13:53.880
<v Speaker 5>Kind of sounds in some ways like a huge triumph.

1:13:53.880 --> 1:13:56.600
<v Speaker 5>It doesn't make for a great business case. How do

1:13:56.640 --> 1:13:59.000
<v Speaker 5>you sort of address that problem, which is down to storage?

1:13:59.000 --> 1:13:59.240
<v Speaker 6>Really?

1:13:59.680 --> 1:14:01.400
<v Speaker 18>Yeah, I mean I think it's a real problem and

1:14:01.439 --> 1:14:03.599
<v Speaker 18>I'm seeing it, you know, as you are in more

1:14:03.640 --> 1:14:06.679
<v Speaker 18>and more markets at at different times. And it's partly

1:14:06.680 --> 1:14:09.840
<v Speaker 18>a function of having just a lot more variable power

1:14:10.320 --> 1:14:12.160
<v Speaker 18>on the system, so a lot of solar and a

1:14:12.160 --> 1:14:14.640
<v Speaker 18>lot of wind, which means that at certain times a

1:14:14.720 --> 1:14:17.679
<v Speaker 18>day you've got a real abundance of power on the system.

1:14:17.880 --> 1:14:20.280
<v Speaker 18>But it's ultimately down to two things. What is the

1:14:20.320 --> 1:14:23.240
<v Speaker 18>market design to make sure that the market design is

1:14:23.320 --> 1:14:26.080
<v Speaker 18>kind of built around those new sources of energy. And secondly,

1:14:26.080 --> 1:14:29.160
<v Speaker 18>it's about interconnectivity. So obviously, the more connected you are,

1:14:29.520 --> 1:14:32.799
<v Speaker 18>and this goes to Iberia right in Spain and Portugal,

1:14:32.880 --> 1:14:34.759
<v Speaker 18>the more connected you are to the rest of Europe,

1:14:35.000 --> 1:14:37.280
<v Speaker 18>the more you're the more the market will work in

1:14:37.320 --> 1:14:39.599
<v Speaker 18>a balanced way. Right, So we've got to work more

1:14:39.600 --> 1:14:43.320
<v Speaker 18>on grid connectivity and connectivity generally around.

1:14:43.120 --> 1:14:43.760
<v Speaker 5>The system, right.

1:14:44.560 --> 1:14:46.760
<v Speaker 3>You know, in the United States in particular, I spent

1:14:46.840 --> 1:14:47.800
<v Speaker 3>a lot of time in the water and for the

1:14:47.840 --> 1:14:50.080
<v Speaker 3>first time. So you know, the turn warns off of

1:14:50.120 --> 1:14:52.960
<v Speaker 3>some of the islands in the United States. But I

1:14:53.040 --> 1:14:54.720
<v Speaker 3>just do wonder there is a pushback.

1:14:54.760 --> 1:14:55.919
<v Speaker 4>It feels like whether.

1:14:55.720 --> 1:14:58.920
<v Speaker 3>It's you know, Nantucket or a Black Island or something

1:14:58.920 --> 1:15:01.800
<v Speaker 3>where people are pushing back on some of these How

1:15:02.439 --> 1:15:04.360
<v Speaker 3>does that perception change in the United States?

1:15:04.360 --> 1:15:05.080
<v Speaker 4>How do we get there?

1:15:05.360 --> 1:15:07.920
<v Speaker 18>Yeah, I mean i'd separate two things maybe. So the

1:15:07.960 --> 1:15:11.840
<v Speaker 18>first thing is people's genuine concern over the impact and

1:15:11.880 --> 1:15:15.439
<v Speaker 18>the impact on nature, environmental which has an industry we're

1:15:15.520 --> 1:15:17.800
<v Speaker 18>very attuned too. And after all, we know most of

1:15:17.880 --> 1:15:20.040
<v Speaker 18>us it here because we care about climate change and

1:15:20.080 --> 1:15:22.280
<v Speaker 18>the environment, and so we want to do things in

1:15:22.320 --> 1:15:25.040
<v Speaker 18>a way that's the best possible way possible. That off,

1:15:25.040 --> 1:15:28.120
<v Speaker 18>your wind farms are nature positive and so on. So

1:15:28.360 --> 1:15:29.960
<v Speaker 18>that's genuine, and I think the way to do that

1:15:30.040 --> 1:15:34.600
<v Speaker 18>is to ensure the highest quality, the best standards of consultation, working.

1:15:34.320 --> 1:15:35.960
<v Speaker 5>With communities and so on.

1:15:36.240 --> 1:15:39.360
<v Speaker 18>Now, the other issue is disinformation and organize disinformation, I

1:15:39.400 --> 1:15:42.160
<v Speaker 18>think is something that the renewables industry as a whole

1:15:42.479 --> 1:15:44.920
<v Speaker 18>should be paying a lot more attention to, and civil

1:15:44.960 --> 1:15:48.400
<v Speaker 18>society journalists editors should be paying a lot more attention

1:15:48.439 --> 1:15:51.240
<v Speaker 18>to it. I mean, we've seen organize this information around

1:15:51.880 --> 1:15:54.160
<v Speaker 18>off your Wind, So the idea that off your Wind

1:15:54.200 --> 1:15:57.280
<v Speaker 18>is somehow killing whales even when there is no construction

1:15:57.360 --> 1:16:01.840
<v Speaker 18>going on at that time, and aized disinformation with AI

1:16:01.960 --> 1:16:06.080
<v Speaker 18>generates images sporting the show marine wildlife has been harmed

1:16:06.080 --> 1:16:08.360
<v Speaker 18>by off the winds. That has then copied and paste

1:16:08.520 --> 1:16:11.120
<v Speaker 18>to places like Australia. It's been copied and pasted into

1:16:11.120 --> 1:16:13.560
<v Speaker 18>places like Europe. Right, that is that's disinformation.

1:16:14.080 --> 1:16:15.000
<v Speaker 4>That's another conference.

1:16:15.040 --> 1:16:17.479
<v Speaker 3>The misinformation that's out there like pick your industry right,

1:16:17.520 --> 1:16:19.080
<v Speaker 3>it's really it makes it much more difficult.

1:16:19.120 --> 1:16:20.800
<v Speaker 4>Ben, thank you though for finding time for us.

1:16:21.160 --> 1:16:22.120
<v Speaker 18>Thanks very much for having me.

1:16:22.200 --> 1:16:23.880
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, we appreciate Ben bake Well, the CEO of the

1:16:23.880 --> 1:16:25.240
<v Speaker 3>Global Wind Energy Council.

1:16:26.000 --> 1:16:29.519
<v Speaker 2>You're listening to the Bloomberg Business Week podcast. Catch us

1:16:29.560 --> 1:16:32.800
<v Speaker 2>live weekday afternoons from two to five pm Eastern. Listen

1:16:32.840 --> 1:16:35.000
<v Speaker 2>on Apple car Play and then brod Auto with a

1:16:35.000 --> 1:16:38.680
<v Speaker 2>Bloomberg Business act or watch us live on YouTube.

1:16:39.720 --> 1:16:42.040
<v Speaker 3>All right, So, before Stephen and I wrap up this week,

1:16:42.200 --> 1:16:44.519
<v Speaker 3>we wanted to remind everyone about the mission the world

1:16:44.600 --> 1:16:47.960
<v Speaker 3>is on to combat climate change toward that renewable energy

1:16:47.960 --> 1:16:50.200
<v Speaker 3>goals were set at last year's U and Climate Summit

1:16:50.240 --> 1:16:54.679
<v Speaker 3>in Dubai to triple global renewable energy capacity by twenty thirty.

1:16:54.800 --> 1:16:57.280
<v Speaker 1>Look, the INTASH Energy Agency is warned that it's unlikely

1:16:57.320 --> 1:17:01.240
<v Speaker 1>to be mess without major policy actions sporting wind and

1:17:01.320 --> 1:17:03.960
<v Speaker 1>solar energy. We heard that from Ben Backwell, wind energy

1:17:04.000 --> 1:17:07.160
<v Speaker 1>capacity has been doubling, not tripling, as many hoped it would.

1:17:07.520 --> 1:17:09.640
<v Speaker 1>So for more on whether it's twenty thirty goal for

1:17:09.720 --> 1:17:12.920
<v Speaker 1>renewables is at all achievable, we spoke with David Cherney,

1:17:13.120 --> 1:17:17.160
<v Speaker 1>clean energy policy leader at the global consultancy firm PA Consulting.

1:17:17.320 --> 1:17:21.519
<v Speaker 9>It is going to be quite challenging to triple renewable

1:17:21.520 --> 1:17:24.599
<v Speaker 9>coke capacity globally, certainly. I think everyone's going to give

1:17:24.640 --> 1:17:28.000
<v Speaker 9>it their best shot. You know, here in the United States,

1:17:28.120 --> 1:17:32.080
<v Speaker 9>we've had a tremendous amount of new clean energy come

1:17:32.120 --> 1:17:35.160
<v Speaker 9>on to the grid over the last decade, you know,

1:17:35.320 --> 1:17:39.160
<v Speaker 9>nearly over one hundred gigawatts of wind, solar and other

1:17:39.200 --> 1:17:43.479
<v Speaker 9>clean energy technologies. So the balls moving in the right direction.

1:17:43.600 --> 1:17:45.680
<v Speaker 9>The question is is how rapidly is it going to

1:17:45.720 --> 1:17:46.400
<v Speaker 9>move down the field?

1:17:46.680 --> 1:17:48.439
<v Speaker 3>All right, So talk to us little bit about initiatives

1:17:48.479 --> 1:17:49.920
<v Speaker 3>in the United States I've been.

1:17:49.840 --> 1:17:52.080
<v Speaker 4>Out in the water seeing the windmills. I feel like

1:17:52.120 --> 1:17:53.120
<v Speaker 4>wind energy.

1:17:53.080 --> 1:17:56.000
<v Speaker 3>That we continue to see some pushback, and it is

1:17:56.040 --> 1:17:58.920
<v Speaker 3>curious to see, you know, what the elections bring in

1:17:59.000 --> 1:18:00.760
<v Speaker 3>terms of the White House come November, and what that

1:18:00.800 --> 1:18:04.240
<v Speaker 3>means for alternative energy policy. Let's maybe start there in

1:18:04.320 --> 1:18:08.480
<v Speaker 3>terms of the political environment. Are you nervous about investments

1:18:08.600 --> 1:18:12.960
<v Speaker 3>even in the US slowing down specifically because of what

1:18:13.040 --> 1:18:14.240
<v Speaker 3>might happen come November.

1:18:14.840 --> 1:18:17.799
<v Speaker 9>Certainly what comes November is going to have an impact

1:18:17.880 --> 1:18:20.760
<v Speaker 9>on specific investments, right, so there will be winners and

1:18:20.760 --> 1:18:23.640
<v Speaker 9>losers whenever we have had policy change. And it's a

1:18:23.680 --> 1:18:25.360
<v Speaker 9>really important point, but I think we need to think

1:18:25.400 --> 1:18:27.479
<v Speaker 9>about the big arcas as well. So if we look

1:18:27.520 --> 1:18:30.040
<v Speaker 9>back over about the last twenty years, and we sort

1:18:30.080 --> 1:18:32.400
<v Speaker 9>of use two thousand and five as the marker, so

1:18:32.479 --> 1:18:33.960
<v Speaker 9>for the United States, that's when.

1:18:33.760 --> 1:18:34.280
<v Speaker 6>We had the.

1:18:35.760 --> 1:18:40.840
<v Speaker 9>Largest amount of carbon emissions from fossil fuels across our economy.

1:18:40.920 --> 1:18:43.920
<v Speaker 9>We've been declining on average about one percent a year

1:18:43.960 --> 1:18:48.080
<v Speaker 9>across the economy pretty consistently from the Bush administration through

1:18:48.120 --> 1:18:51.640
<v Speaker 9>to the Buying and administration, so we've had pretty consistent declinents.

1:18:52.320 --> 1:18:54.519
<v Speaker 9>A big part of that has been the deployment of

1:18:55.439 --> 1:18:58.680
<v Speaker 9>renewable energy. It's also been the downfall a bit of

1:18:58.920 --> 1:19:02.920
<v Speaker 9>coal generations that has retired from the system. And so

1:19:02.960 --> 1:19:05.240
<v Speaker 9>as we think about November and what's going to happen

1:19:05.320 --> 1:19:07.679
<v Speaker 9>in the near term, so thinking about the next four years,

1:19:08.240 --> 1:19:10.519
<v Speaker 9>really we're probably headed on the you know, the same

1:19:10.560 --> 1:19:13.519
<v Speaker 9>trajectory one percent decline per year. It's pretty hard for

1:19:13.640 --> 1:19:17.320
<v Speaker 9>presidential administration to cause a shift in what we see

1:19:17.360 --> 1:19:20.720
<v Speaker 9>on a dime. It'll it'll take some time for policies

1:19:20.720 --> 1:19:21.360
<v Speaker 9>to play out.

1:19:21.680 --> 1:19:24.160
<v Speaker 1>But one of the big policies under this administration was

1:19:24.160 --> 1:19:27.799
<v Speaker 1>the Inflation Reduction Act. Amount of money never seen before

1:19:27.840 --> 1:19:30.280
<v Speaker 1>being pumped into clean technology.

1:19:30.560 --> 1:19:32.639
<v Speaker 5>Has that just not been effective enough?

1:19:32.840 --> 1:19:35.360
<v Speaker 9>Well, it's it's a good question, Stephen, and I do

1:19:35.439 --> 1:19:37.800
<v Speaker 9>think it's actually been been pretty effective. And the question

1:19:37.840 --> 1:19:40.240
<v Speaker 9>is sort of again, what are our expectations in the

1:19:40.479 --> 1:19:45.759
<v Speaker 9>short term, And certainly extending tax credits for for wind solar,

1:19:45.920 --> 1:19:48.479
<v Speaker 9>adding in storage to those types of tax credits, so

1:19:48.560 --> 1:19:52.840
<v Speaker 9>production tax credits, investment tax credits is really helpful at

1:19:53.200 --> 1:19:57.440
<v Speaker 9>moving the ball forward with wind solar storage and technologies

1:19:57.439 --> 1:20:01.080
<v Speaker 9>of the of the Like the Inflation Reduction Act, while

1:20:01.479 --> 1:20:04.800
<v Speaker 9>it's named the Inflation Reduction Act. It certainly is one

1:20:04.840 --> 1:20:07.600
<v Speaker 9>of the most important, if not the largest piece of

1:20:07.760 --> 1:20:11.040
<v Speaker 9>energy in climate policy that the US has seen in decades.

1:20:11.560 --> 1:20:14.280
<v Speaker 9>And really, when I think about that policy, it's not

1:20:14.360 --> 1:20:16.760
<v Speaker 9>just thinking about the near term sort of changing things

1:20:16.760 --> 1:20:17.439
<v Speaker 9>on the dime.

1:20:17.479 --> 1:20:18.280
<v Speaker 6>It's a long term.

1:20:18.479 --> 1:20:21.040
<v Speaker 9>It's going to be really challenging for us to meet

1:20:21.280 --> 1:20:24.200
<v Speaker 9>the climate aspirations that we have said as a nation

1:20:24.360 --> 1:20:28.000
<v Speaker 9>and frankly globally without innovation. So we're going to need

1:20:28.080 --> 1:20:31.880
<v Speaker 9>new technologies besides wind and solar to get to where

1:20:31.880 --> 1:20:34.240
<v Speaker 9>we want to go. And so the Inflation Reduction Act

1:20:34.240 --> 1:20:38.760
<v Speaker 9>has created incentives for things like green hydrogen, carbon captures,

1:20:38.800 --> 1:20:45.720
<v Speaker 9>storage technologies, offshore wind, advanced manufacturing electric vehicles in the like.

1:20:45.800 --> 1:20:49.719
<v Speaker 9>And certainly we can't predict today, ten, fifteen, twenty years

1:20:49.720 --> 1:20:52.000
<v Speaker 9>from now what is going to be the technologies that

1:20:52.080 --> 1:20:54.439
<v Speaker 9>are the winners, but we're planning a lot of seeds,

1:20:54.479 --> 1:20:57.120
<v Speaker 9>both in terms of R and D. Is also incentives

1:20:57.160 --> 1:21:00.559
<v Speaker 9>to try to commercialize new technologies that can help us

1:21:00.640 --> 1:21:04.519
<v Speaker 9>get to that that last mile. And so really both

1:21:04.520 --> 1:21:07.080
<v Speaker 9>in terms of our power sector as well as thinking

1:21:07.120 --> 1:21:11.320
<v Speaker 9>about transportation, commercial, residential, it's innovations to come that the

1:21:11.360 --> 1:21:13.920
<v Speaker 9>Inflation Reduction Act is really going to push forward.

1:21:13.960 --> 1:21:14.960
<v Speaker 5>Certainly the near term.

1:21:14.840 --> 1:21:18.400
<v Speaker 9>Pushes is helpful, but anyone who had expectations will be

1:21:18.439 --> 1:21:20.080
<v Speaker 9>that we were going to see a massive shift in

1:21:20.280 --> 1:21:22.320
<v Speaker 9>you know, a year, a year and a half since

1:21:22.360 --> 1:21:25.160
<v Speaker 9>the passage of that act. I think was misguided a

1:21:25.160 --> 1:21:25.800
<v Speaker 9>bit from the start.

1:21:26.000 --> 1:21:28.000
<v Speaker 3>Hey, David, I do wonder you know what moves the

1:21:28.040 --> 1:21:30.559
<v Speaker 3>needle most when it comes to renewables and green energy.

1:21:30.680 --> 1:21:33.360
<v Speaker 3>Is it the economic environment? Is it the cost of energy?

1:21:33.439 --> 1:21:36.120
<v Speaker 3>Is it the cost of capital? Is it politics? What

1:21:36.240 --> 1:21:39.720
<v Speaker 3>is it in your consultation and what you folks do

1:21:39.920 --> 1:21:42.400
<v Speaker 3>in the United States and around the world. What really

1:21:42.439 --> 1:21:46.240
<v Speaker 3>moves the needle in making changes towards renewable.

1:21:45.880 --> 1:21:49.439
<v Speaker 9>Yeah, yeah, it's a fantastic question. The answer has changed

1:21:49.439 --> 1:21:51.200
<v Speaker 9>over time. Right, So if we were to go back

1:21:51.600 --> 1:21:55.120
<v Speaker 9>ten fifteen years ago with renewables thinking about wind in solars,

1:21:55.160 --> 1:21:59.559
<v Speaker 9>certainly state level of mandates, targets, renewable portfolio standards for

1:21:59.600 --> 1:22:01.520
<v Speaker 9>these technologies were really.

1:22:01.200 --> 1:22:02.840
<v Speaker 6>Helpful in getting the ball rolling.

1:22:03.320 --> 1:22:06.200
<v Speaker 9>Similarly, R and D dollars put forth, both in private

1:22:06.280 --> 1:22:09.479
<v Speaker 9>industry and by the federal government have helped innovation, bringing

1:22:09.520 --> 1:22:12.160
<v Speaker 9>costs down. And I had to argue today, it's about

1:22:12.200 --> 1:22:14.360
<v Speaker 9>the economics at the end.

1:22:14.320 --> 1:22:14.680
<v Speaker 8>Of the day.

1:22:14.760 --> 1:22:18.200
<v Speaker 9>So while we've seen some increase in the near term

1:22:18.479 --> 1:22:21.479
<v Speaker 9>in the installed capital costs of these technologies due to

1:22:21.880 --> 1:22:25.519
<v Speaker 9>global challenges with supply chain that we've seen across industries,

1:22:25.560 --> 1:22:28.560
<v Speaker 9>and you know, on the whole, we've had massive declines

1:22:28.600 --> 1:22:32.040
<v Speaker 9>in the cost of modules, on the cost cost declients

1:22:32.200 --> 1:22:37.559
<v Speaker 9>in turbines and the like, we've essentially been able to

1:22:37.600 --> 1:22:40.719
<v Speaker 9>deploy more and more of these technologies as they become

1:22:40.840 --> 1:22:41.760
<v Speaker 9>more and more.

1:22:41.680 --> 1:22:42.679
<v Speaker 5>On cost competitive.

1:22:42.680 --> 1:22:44.599
<v Speaker 9>And I think a good example, right is to look

1:22:44.640 --> 1:22:49.639
<v Speaker 9>at Texas, which has a renewable portfolio standard for more

1:22:49.680 --> 1:22:52.320
<v Speaker 9>than a decade ago. That was surpassed more than a

1:22:52.320 --> 1:22:54.960
<v Speaker 9>decade to go, and we keep plowing in more and more,

1:22:55.000 --> 1:22:57.639
<v Speaker 9>sold in more and more win into that that market.

1:22:57.680 --> 1:23:01.280
<v Speaker 9>And it's not driven by policy goals specific amounts of

1:23:01.320 --> 1:23:02.560
<v Speaker 9>these types of technologies.

1:23:02.920 --> 1:23:03.800
<v Speaker 5>It's the economics.

1:23:03.880 --> 1:23:07.000
<v Speaker 9>It's a cost effective place to build those technologies and

1:23:07.920 --> 1:23:08.760
<v Speaker 9>the demand.

1:23:08.479 --> 1:23:11.640
<v Speaker 1>Is there, right, But which direction does the economics need

1:23:11.680 --> 1:23:14.280
<v Speaker 1>to move in to make that to make that process

1:23:14.320 --> 1:23:16.120
<v Speaker 1>speed up? Is it that everything else has to get

1:23:16.200 --> 1:23:19.240
<v Speaker 1>much more expensive so that people go to renewables, or

1:23:19.280 --> 1:23:21.680
<v Speaker 1>is it that the cost of production for these technologies

1:23:21.720 --> 1:23:22.439
<v Speaker 1>needs to come down.

1:23:22.680 --> 1:23:23.960
<v Speaker 5>So it's a mix.

1:23:24.080 --> 1:23:25.760
<v Speaker 9>We are going to continue to see the growth of

1:23:26.040 --> 1:23:28.000
<v Speaker 9>renewable so wind and in solar, but I think we

1:23:28.040 --> 1:23:32.160
<v Speaker 9>all recognize that wind in solar only produce electrostricity of

1:23:32.200 --> 1:23:34.680
<v Speaker 9>the winds blowing or the sunshining, right, So it's a

1:23:34.680 --> 1:23:37.639
<v Speaker 9>bit of a tutology in that. And what we really

1:23:37.720 --> 1:23:41.320
<v Speaker 9>need to maintain reliability in the cost effective matter is

1:23:41.479 --> 1:23:46.680
<v Speaker 9>dispatchable technologies that allow the system to balance itself. And

1:23:46.720 --> 1:23:48.479
<v Speaker 9>so really this is where a lot of the innovation

1:23:48.760 --> 1:23:54.559
<v Speaker 9>is needed is clean technologies similar to nuclear that can

1:23:54.640 --> 1:24:00.559
<v Speaker 9>provide baseload clean energy or cleaner dispatchable resources that help

1:24:00.720 --> 1:24:04.360
<v Speaker 9>can help balance the system. And so in the near term,

1:24:04.439 --> 1:24:06.560
<v Speaker 9>a big part of that has been cultural gas and

1:24:07.000 --> 1:24:08.960
<v Speaker 9>can I continue to be you know, continue to be

1:24:09.120 --> 1:24:09.799
<v Speaker 9>natural gas.

1:24:10.000 --> 1:24:11.320
<v Speaker 3>All right, we're going to leave it on that note.

1:24:11.360 --> 1:24:13.960
<v Speaker 3>David Churney, thank you so much, Clean energy policy leader

1:24:14.000 --> 1:24:18.160
<v Speaker 3>at PA Consulting. They are a global consultancy firm joining

1:24:18.240 --> 1:24:19.600
<v Speaker 3>us from Colorado.

1:24:20.160 --> 1:24:24.840
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1:24:24.960 --> 1:24:28.679
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1:24:28.720 --> 1:24:32.320
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