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Speaker 1: eight nine, or visit one eight hundred gambler dot net

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Speaker 1: in West Virginia. Welcome to the Favorites, the podcast from

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Speaker 1: the Volume Podcast Network. I am Chad Mollman, chief Content

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Speaker 1: Officer of the Action Network. It is the Tuesday before Thanksgiving,

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Speaker 1: a lot to discuss. This will be our only podcast

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Speaker 1: of the week Thursday's Thanksgiving. We don't expect anyone to

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Speaker 1: be downloading podcasts on Thanksgiving. We expect them to be

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Speaker 1: betting on football. We expect them to be ignoring their

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Speaker 1: family on thanks Giving. So Simon and I we're going

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Speaker 1: to load this podcast like a thanks Giving plate. We

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Speaker 1: are going to stuff it like a turkey. Happy Thanksgiving gamblers.

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Speaker 1: We're thankful for you. We're gonna get to the full slate.

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Speaker 1: We'll get to the big balls better the week. We'll

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Speaker 1: get to this. Simon says, bet of the week. I'm

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Speaker 1: talking of course about Simon Hunter, Professional Better, my co

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Speaker 1: host on the podcast. We will do a scooch roulettes.

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Speaker 1: So I'm in. That's the best week, Chad. Thanksgiving week.

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Speaker 1: I mean, I feel like if you're a diary football fan,

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Speaker 1: this has to be your favorite holiday. You get to

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Speaker 1: eat all day and you sit on the couch, done

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Speaker 1: gets anything to you just watch football all day. It's

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Speaker 1: just a great day and the games are always just terrible.

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Speaker 1: So it's truly the best holiday in my opinion. It's

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Speaker 1: an amazing day. I truly love it. It's very American too,

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Speaker 1: like Fourth of July you blow stuff up, which is

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Speaker 1: very American, and then Thanksgiving which is very American. Holly.

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Speaker 1: You just sit around, eat food and watch football. It's

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Speaker 1: just and you know, it's exciting. It's very possible. We

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Speaker 1: are probably right now the two best betters in America

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Speaker 1: because what happened two weeks ago with our five picks

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Speaker 1: we went four and one. What happened this past weekend

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Speaker 1: with our five picks, we went for and one. We

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Speaker 1: lost the Falcons on Thursday. We should have known better,

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Speaker 1: you Canna lie I was getting known better. One of

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Speaker 1: us should be blamed for that because that that was ugly.

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Speaker 1: But we rallied because we told everybody a week ago.

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Speaker 1: Today at the fucking Texas money line, people, this is

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Speaker 1: the spot. Bet the Texans money line, Simon said, bet

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Speaker 1: the Texans plus ten and a half. As soon as

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Speaker 1: he came out. We did all those things. We had

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Speaker 1: him in the contest, we won. We had the Bears

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Speaker 1: in the contest, we won. We had the Vikings in

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Speaker 1: the contest, we one. Who else did we have in

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Speaker 1: the contest? Yeah, the Colts in the contest, dude, and

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Speaker 1: the money line. Yeah. So that's that's one of those weekends. Um,

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Speaker 1: it's just a reminder to the fans of the show,

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Speaker 1: like I love them, they're they're just loyal and they

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Speaker 1: threw it with us all season. And last week we

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Speaker 1: gave out Washington Football team money line against the Buccaneers.

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Speaker 1: No other show in the world's giving you that money

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Speaker 1: line that hit. We gave out Carolina's money line against

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Speaker 1: Arizona that hit. Then this past weekend we got the

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Speaker 1: Colts money line that hit. We give a Houston's money

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Speaker 1: line that hit. That's I feel like, that's what separates

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Speaker 1: our show from other shows, is no one's given that out.

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Speaker 1: No one's given out the one in eight Houston Texans

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Speaker 1: on Tuesday to go beat Tennessee. Who's eight and one.

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Speaker 1: It's It's what my favorite thing about betting is when

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Speaker 1: you're seeing it clear like that and it's just like

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Speaker 1: when that game got going, I was sweating because they're

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Speaker 1: kicking field goals. It was exactly how I planned, And

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Speaker 1: I was giving shipped to a lot of the guys

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Speaker 1: I worked with because they rejected my big bet. Like

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Speaker 1: Bob texted me, you guys, man, you're gonna kill me

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Speaker 1: on this one, and I just texted them back, you

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Speaker 1: made a mistake, because that's what they did passing on

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Speaker 1: that Houston one. I I knew that was a horrible number.

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Speaker 1: I had it at seven, it was ten and a half.

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Speaker 1: Loved it, loved it, and I was just not Like,

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Speaker 1: the only game we really had to sweat was that

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Speaker 1: Vikings one, and I guess you could say it bears

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Speaker 1: but not really. But the Vikings one was so classic,

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Speaker 1: Like I was thinking myself, I knew me Charry get

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Speaker 1: burned by Kirk. But luckily it all came through four.

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Speaker 1: Now we're three games out of being back to five,

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Speaker 1: which it's crazy, I think, because we were just dying there.

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Speaker 1: But apparently we didn't do it as bad as I thought,

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Speaker 1: because little if we go five, not this week will

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Speaker 1: be two games up five d Yeah, it's been a

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Speaker 1: crazy year in which all the fundamentals we believe in

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Speaker 1: have not played an out of favor until the past

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Speaker 1: couple of weeks when things have started to sort of

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Speaker 1: round out into form. Um. You mentioned just now your

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Speaker 1: big bets, and I know the week before. Uh, for

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Speaker 1: people who know, like you're part of the syndicate, you've

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Speaker 1: got a lot of clients. You will give out really

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Speaker 1: big bets three or four times a year, and you won.

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Speaker 1: The first couple of times you did this, you lost

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Speaker 1: on the Colts plus seven. I think it was against

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Speaker 1: the Titans, and um, that hurt quite a bit. In

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Speaker 1: the last couple of weeks, you want to do the Niners.

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Speaker 1: You this past week you wanted to do the Texans,

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Speaker 1: and you've got to find a consensus and your team

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Speaker 1: has to agree with you. Someone had d m me, Um,

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Speaker 1: what are the other two big bets? You were on

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Speaker 1: the Colts and what were the other two? You don't

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Speaker 1: remember Ravens versus Chiefs. I think it was a Monday

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Speaker 1: night game that yeah, so Ravens went out right, but

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Speaker 1: I think we had four and a half or maybe

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Speaker 1: three and a half, so that that was a nice one.

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Speaker 1: And then I get I do do a little bit

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Speaker 1: of chalk. People people are shocked. I get shock you

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Speaker 1: with it. I do if I think it's a good number.

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Speaker 1: So it was the Chiefs and the Buccaneers money line,

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Speaker 1: so it's a little money line parlay. That was my

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Speaker 1: other biggest bet of the year, so that was what

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Speaker 1: I got. Yeah, New England hit the doinked off the

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Speaker 1: field goal. Um, so that's why I don't always do that,

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Speaker 1: but I just do money line to play it safe.

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Speaker 1: Where like we talked um last week, I couldn't believe

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Speaker 1: it a professional group that came in really heavy on

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Speaker 1: the Buccaneers minus ten. That's rare that a pro group

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Speaker 1: will take a double did your favorite They won't buy twenty.

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Speaker 1: Clearly those guys knew that was a bad number last night.

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Speaker 1: So I'm a coward. I go the other way. I

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Speaker 1: tried to do money lines. Some pro groups really do

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Speaker 1: take those big numbers, and they went on. Yeah, I

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Speaker 1: remember both of those plays that I remember talking about

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Speaker 1: that Bucks Chiefs thing and how nervous you were and

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Speaker 1: talking about on the podcast before the games. Because it

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Speaker 1: felt too easy. I hated that, like I hate when

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Speaker 1: it feels too easy like that. That's that was the

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Speaker 1: same reason. Like we talked on Sunday about the Colts.

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Speaker 1: I had the number at three. I didn't get how

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Speaker 1: the bookmakers were off by so many points. I didn't

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Speaker 1: get why the Colts lion was plus seven. Sure enough

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Speaker 1: that played out. They beat him by what forty points?

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Speaker 1: So that's when the bookmakers just lay deadlines. That happens

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Speaker 1: all the time. That's the scariest part, though, is before

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Speaker 1: the game start, You're like, I don't get it. Why

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Speaker 1: what am I seeing that no one else has seen?

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Speaker 1: Why is this so easy? So that, um, that was

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Speaker 1: a nice one. But like you just said, we're already

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Speaker 1: into We're already in the next week. Six weeks left, chat,

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Speaker 1: six weeks left in the season, Buddy, let's rock and roll.

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Speaker 1: We got a Thursday Thanksgiving spectacular Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions.

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Speaker 1: My phone has been blown up all morning because there

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Speaker 1: are rumors out there that Thursday will be Matt Magi's

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Speaker 1: last team coaching the Chicago Bears. Right now, they're about

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Speaker 1: three point favorites. They'll be the opening game against the Lions.

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Speaker 1: I mean, look, last week it was Tim Boyle against

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Speaker 1: Baker Mayfield. This week, I haven't seen reports about Jared Goff.

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Speaker 1: You know, it's it's Dalton. But it's Dalton, right, it's

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Speaker 1: Andy Dalton. But I don't know if it's Jared gofferd

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Speaker 1: Tim Oil. Oh, I'm assuming it's Tim Boyle. Here's what

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Speaker 1: I think. If it's Mattie's last game, you don't think

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Speaker 1: it will be isn't the whole Bears history? They've never

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Speaker 1: fired a coach in season? I know, But I've been

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Speaker 1: thinking about this and like, what's the at this point,

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Speaker 1: They're not going to hire a new coach. Part of

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Speaker 1: the reason they do that is because they are incredibly

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Speaker 1: cheap and so like they don't like to fire coaches

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Speaker 1: and have to pay them out. It's why they brought

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Speaker 1: back Ryan Pace, It's why they brought back mattnege Um.

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Speaker 1: So my feeling is at this point, you're not gonna

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Speaker 1: go hire a new coach, So it doesn't matter if

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Speaker 1: you fire him right now. You're gonna have to pay

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Speaker 1: him either way, and it's only like the rest of

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Speaker 1: the season, so it's just some cost. Why not just

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Speaker 1: get rid of them? So that's the rumor going around

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Speaker 1: in Chicago right now. Uh. Last night at the Bulls game,

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Speaker 1: when the Bulls were down by thirty to the Pacers

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Speaker 1: and yes I was watching that. Shout out Stacy King

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Speaker 1: and Adam Aman best broadcasters in the end be a

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Speaker 1: they were chanting fighter at the United Center. Swear to god,

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Speaker 1: Chicago hates Matt Naggy. He's been a train wreck, so

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Speaker 1: I get it. Yeah, that said bears by three. If

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Speaker 1: it's his last game with a steady Eddie Andy Dalton

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Speaker 1: against a terrible Lions team, or is this the time

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Speaker 1: the Lions rise up? Now? You know what to do here?

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Speaker 1: You take the Bears here? Do you really do? I

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Speaker 1: believe the lines, since I believe there's six and ten

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Speaker 1: a t s um Thanksgiving their last sixteen. There's a

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Speaker 1: weird trend on Thanksgiving. Favorites win, even public favorites like

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Speaker 1: people getting all the money. These favorites usually cover and win.

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Speaker 1: You really love a favorite people don't like on Thanksgiving.

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Speaker 1: And that's why I think rand up with the Bearers team.

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Speaker 1: We want these rumors. Please more rumors, Media, give it,

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Speaker 1: give us more. That's only gonna drive the public to

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Speaker 1: the Lions. We've seen it time and time again this year.

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Speaker 1: When the public is coming and have you on the line,

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Speaker 1: you want to go the other way. That's usually like

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Speaker 1: this line reminds me a lot of the Eagles line.

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Speaker 1: Remember that Eagles line was three and a half m.

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Speaker 1: So it's I'm already can see myself zagging on this.

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Speaker 1: I made this over under to forty three. I see

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Speaker 1: it's down to forty forty one and a half in

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Speaker 1: some books. So I'll be on the Bears. I'll be

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Speaker 1: on the over. Just can see a lot of turnovers

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Speaker 1: coming from that guy. Boyle. You're not gonna have dead

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Speaker 1: arm back there, Baker Mayfield, and I'd better cleet ball

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Speaker 1: four yards. Andy Dalan has been putting it down field,

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Speaker 1: Like that game against the Ravens. He was putting it

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Speaker 1: downfield when he came in. He was completely changed that

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Speaker 1: game once he came in. So clearly any Dylan's more

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Speaker 1: comfortable in this offense and field. So the fact that

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Speaker 1: it is any Dlon, Yeah, I feel good about taking

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Speaker 1: the Bears. And I like this number. My three and

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Speaker 1: a half. As long as it's below four or at four,

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Speaker 1: that's that's that's a good number to me on this game. Well,

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Speaker 1: this will be this will be the game that I'm

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Speaker 1: watching and sweating and being miserable about. Well, I prep

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Speaker 1: my Turkey road favorites ten and two against the lines

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Speaker 1: on Thanksgiving. I think it is our ball better the

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Speaker 1: Week love, I mean the Bears is that is that

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Speaker 1: by far the biggest one, Like no one wants to

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Speaker 1: bet that team. The Bears are definitely that team that

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Speaker 1: we're gonna wake up. We're gonna have instant regret when

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Speaker 1: it's seven nothing Detroit and it's gonna feel like it's

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Speaker 1: gonna take forever Againty Dalton to get us over that hump.

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Speaker 1: But I believe. I believe in the Bears team. This

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Speaker 1: just this one game, big balls better the Week on

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Speaker 1: the Chicago Bears. My team, Chicago Bears. They have my heart,

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Speaker 1: they have my money. Las Vegas Raiders at Dallas Cowboys.

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Speaker 1: Raiders eight point underdogs, seven and a half point underdogs

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Speaker 1: on the road visiting the Cowboys, who did not look good.

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Speaker 1: You and I completely disagreed on this Chiefs Cowboys game. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: you also like the over. I like the younger. So

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Speaker 1: I never said guy, guy. I was noncommittal on the tour.

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Speaker 1: You know, you're pretty dismissive. People are saying you're real

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Speaker 1: dismissive about that, and I think he went under by

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Speaker 1: twenty six points. I I wasn't dismissive about that. You're

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Speaker 1: you're referencing the show convinced me that we do on

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Speaker 1: Sunday mornings, and I will say to people like, because

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Speaker 1: we don't have a show on Thursday, this week, watch

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Speaker 1: convinced me at eleven am on Sunday, because that is

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Speaker 1: when you'll get like our freshest ideas on what's been

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Speaker 1: happening during the week. Um, eleven am at Action Network HQ.

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Speaker 1: Wasn't dismissive. I just liked what someone else was saying.

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Speaker 1: Better about the Browns and the Lions turned out to

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Speaker 1: be right. Um, I loved the Chiefs minus two and

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Speaker 1: a half. You talked to me off it Raiders plus

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Speaker 1: seven and a half? Or are we bet in the Cowboys?

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Speaker 1: Oh God, I hate that I have to take the

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Speaker 1: Raiders here, but I really don't want to. But Ceedee

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Speaker 1: Lamb's out, Amari Cooper's out that that offense. He looked lost,

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Speaker 1: like no receivers can open against the awful chief secondary.

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Speaker 1: I know the Raiders secondary has been great this year,

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Speaker 1: but I mean, man, that's that's a lot of points

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Speaker 1: to be given the Cowboys when they have their two

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Speaker 1: top weapons are out, so I will be taking the

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Speaker 1: Raiders here. But ever since the Rugs accident, they just

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Speaker 1: have not been right. They've had back to back games

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Speaker 1: now they've just been terrible. So I will be on

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Speaker 1: the Raiders, but I don't know if this is gonna

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Speaker 1: be one of my better bets of the week. I

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Speaker 1: don't get this wise guy love for the Raiders, to

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Speaker 1: be honest, Like it continued last week with the Bengals.

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Speaker 1: It happened the week before. They've gotten blown out in

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Speaker 1: both games. Why can't wise guys quit the Raiders. I

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Speaker 1: told you a really wise guy group came in and

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Speaker 1: bet their under wins after that whole incident happened, and

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Speaker 1: they bet the under its six, which is like crazy

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Speaker 1: because they're have five wins. So there are some groups

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Speaker 1: out there that were on this um. I think they're

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Speaker 1: looking at still standpoint from I'm looking at where it's

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Speaker 1: like their cars obviously has been good these last couple

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Speaker 1: of weeks, but he is good this year. I think

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Speaker 1: he's fourth in the league in passing yards. And you

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Speaker 1: have a defense against pressure when they rushed for that's

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Speaker 1: a big deal in football, like not a lot of

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Speaker 1: teams have that kind of ability. So that's why I

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Speaker 1: think they keep coming on this Raiders team. But Derek Carr,

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Speaker 1: he's the reason that keeps getting let down. This guy

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Speaker 1: is throwing picks in the fourth quarter, giving the ball

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Speaker 1: up and turn into seven for their teams. So it's

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Speaker 1: that's why I like, it's hard to say that I

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Speaker 1: want to make this one of my bets, like four

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Speaker 1: or five, but it feels like I have to bet

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Speaker 1: this is a professional. This number is way too inflate,

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Speaker 1: and I think it's just because it's a holiday game,

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Speaker 1: like they opened at seven outs up to eight eight

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Speaker 1: and a half of some books. It's just the publics

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Speaker 1: and are coming so heavy on this Cowboys team, and

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Speaker 1: they are the public is coming in it's like sixty five.

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Speaker 1: That makes sense, but again there are two top weapons

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Speaker 1: are out like they couldn't do anything against a bad

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Speaker 1: Chief's defense. Of course, I see the Dallas bouncing back here,

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Speaker 1: but bouncing back being a team by more than double digits,

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Speaker 1: I just don't see it with this team as they

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Speaker 1: are right now. By the way you mentioned, um, the

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Speaker 1: Lions are a team that when the public is backing him,

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Speaker 1: you want to fade. They're getting the bets right, just

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Speaker 1: kind it's all the drama going on the Barris team.

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Speaker 1: I think everyone's just gonna be off of them. But

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Speaker 1: I I just think it's all noise. Like I get

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Speaker 1: that he might have lost that locker room. He didn't

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Speaker 1: lose any Dalton. Any Dalton's playing for his career right now.

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Speaker 1: So like, if if you have a guy, you're giving

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Speaker 1: me Any Dolan. I know he's terrible. Him versus Tim Boyle,

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Speaker 1: I feel like that really excuse that matchup towards the Bears,

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Speaker 1: even versus Jared Goff. Yeah, but Tim Boyle two picks.

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Speaker 1: Not yet last week in a game, I think he

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Speaker 1: threw the ball in like sixteen times. The guys. He's bad.

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Speaker 1: Andy Dalton professional rifleman, Buffalo Bills at New Orleans Saints.

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Speaker 1: I do want to throw to Matt Mitchell for a second.

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Speaker 1: We have gotten requests in my d M that people

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Speaker 1: like when Matt Mitchell has something to say. The Buffalo

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Speaker 1: Bills are playing on Thanksgiving. It's Matt Mitchell's favorite team

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Speaker 1: playing on his one favorite holiday. If there was ever

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Speaker 1: a holiday that matches a human more, I can't think

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Speaker 1: of it. It's Matt Mitchell getting to bed and stuff

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Speaker 1: his face with food and watch his favorite football team

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Speaker 1: as foreign half point favorites against the New Orleans Saints.

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Speaker 1: Matt Mitchell, please weigh in. Bus part about this game

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Speaker 1: is actually that the game kicks off after both children

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Speaker 1: will be asleep Central Time, which is exhilarating for me,

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Speaker 1: and also that this will be the first time ever

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Speaker 1: in my life that I'll be in my own home

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Speaker 1: on Thanksgiving. I don't have any other responsibilities other than

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Speaker 1: doing exactly as you outlined, eating that second dinner, that

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Speaker 1: third dinner, eating the first layer of pies, working my

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00:17:26,480 --> 00:17:30,119
Speaker 1: way to the to the second tertiary pies, having my

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00:17:30,200 --> 00:17:33,760
Speaker 1: heart stomped on that last Bills game. Confidence has kind

335
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Speaker 1: of been an all time low. I hate the short week.

336
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Speaker 1: I hate that they're traveling. I hate that it feels

337
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Speaker 1: like they're playing for their season already, which is a

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Speaker 1: weird thing to say. Luckily, it's also the two year

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Speaker 1: anniversary of Buffalo going down to Dallas and choking the

340
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Speaker 1: Cowboys to death on Thanksgiving, and they kept showing that

341
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Speaker 1: grizzled old fuck Jerry Jones looking like he wanted to

342
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Speaker 1: jump out of the owner's box and end it all,

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Speaker 1: which is a Thanksgiving memory that will live in my

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Speaker 1: heart forever. So not feeling that confident this Thanksgiving. But

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Speaker 1: I wasn't feeling confident. Bet you're either, So maybe my expectations,

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Speaker 1: like my cholesterol, will be on the rise come Thursday night. Simon,

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Speaker 1: do we play the Saints plus five and a half? Here?

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Speaker 1: This was not on a holiday, we would, This is

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Speaker 1: Sunday we would. But I told you on Thanksgiving chat

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Speaker 1: we bet with the public and listenances, and that's the

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Speaker 1: one of the times we do it right here. Give

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Speaker 1: me the Bills love this all way up to six classic.

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Speaker 1: This number will be way higher if the Bills had

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Speaker 1: done what people thought they were gonna against the Colts.

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Speaker 1: But they didn't. And I think everyone is feeling the

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Speaker 1: same way, man Mitchell's feeling right now. This team does

357
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Speaker 1: not look good. They're on a short week. They have

358
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Speaker 1: not done well against good defense and Saints are a

359
00:18:44,800 --> 00:18:47,760
Speaker 1: good defense. Well, this is what you want when you

360
00:18:47,800 --> 00:18:50,639
Speaker 1: want to bet this Bill's team indoors. That's when they

361
00:18:50,720 --> 00:18:52,959
Speaker 1: killed these teams. You got Digs on turf, You've got

362
00:18:53,080 --> 00:18:57,639
Speaker 1: Sanders on turf. All the receivers performed better on turf.

363
00:18:57,880 --> 00:19:01,560
Speaker 1: That's just the facts. They're a very fairy fast team. Literally,

364
00:19:01,560 --> 00:19:04,159
Speaker 1: the builds are built a perfect indoor team when they

365
00:19:04,200 --> 00:19:06,440
Speaker 1: play all their games outdoors. It's bizarre, but that's what

366
00:19:06,520 --> 00:19:10,359
Speaker 1: they built. It's a very very fast team. I already

367
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Speaker 1: reread a bunch of reports about the coaches talking about

368
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Speaker 1: they're gonna get Josh Allen on the move, like they

369
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Speaker 1: think the biggest issue this year is he's been too

370
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Speaker 1: much stand on the pocket trying to pass instead of

371
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Speaker 1: taking what the defense is given on which if he

372
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Speaker 1: can take a ten yards, he should be taking those

373
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Speaker 1: ten yards. I think we see a big adjustment here.

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Speaker 1: We saw last week with Hurts against the Saints team

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Speaker 1: they could not handle a running quarterback. I feel like

376
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Speaker 1: we see the exact same thing here with Josh Allen

377
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Speaker 1: this week. So exactly what Mamtchell was saying A short

378
00:19:36,640 --> 00:19:38,640
Speaker 1: week is the fear with everyone. I like it. It's

379
00:19:38,680 --> 00:19:41,080
Speaker 1: just a quick turnaround, get that bad days out of

380
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Speaker 1: your mouth, go on the road with the team. It's

381
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Speaker 1: really that's what you kind of want. You want them

382
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Speaker 1: altogether like they are for the holiday. A great team

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Speaker 1: building moment for this Bills team. So this to me

384
00:19:50,640 --> 00:19:52,160
Speaker 1: is a turning point in their season. If they don't

385
00:19:52,160 --> 00:19:55,399
Speaker 1: win this, it really might be New England's defense to

386
00:19:55,480 --> 00:19:58,159
Speaker 1: win this this division to win this year. So this

387
00:19:58,280 --> 00:20:00,960
Speaker 1: is a huge game for the Bills team. What I'm

388
00:20:01,000 --> 00:20:05,640
Speaker 1: not buying from you is the whole Thanksgiving favorites thing.

389
00:20:06,680 --> 00:20:09,000
Speaker 1: It's too small to sample size and there's no logic.

390
00:20:09,160 --> 00:20:11,240
Speaker 1: Do you know what I mean? I I can't public

391
00:20:11,320 --> 00:20:14,400
Speaker 1: favorites getting scent of the bets are better twenty four

392
00:20:14,440 --> 00:20:19,720
Speaker 1: and seven against the spread on Thanksgiving? Yeah, shut up, Nerd. Yeah, well,

393
00:20:19,800 --> 00:20:22,840
Speaker 1: then fuck you because you're telling me that I should

394
00:20:22,880 --> 00:20:28,000
Speaker 1: take the Bears and the Lions are the Bears their favorite? Well,

395
00:20:28,240 --> 00:20:30,800
Speaker 1: let's keep digging the hole deeper, keep going. What else

396
00:20:30,840 --> 00:20:35,199
Speaker 1: you got? Well, by the way, it's Thanksgiving. We all

397
00:20:35,280 --> 00:20:37,600
Speaker 1: love each other, and like you have to make it

398
00:20:37,840 --> 00:20:43,720
Speaker 1: so angry when when I challenge you, it's just hilarious.

399
00:20:44,960 --> 00:20:47,400
Speaker 1: You think that's me being angry. You've never seen me angry. Chat.

400
00:20:47,560 --> 00:20:50,800
Speaker 1: This is You're not You're not signing. You're not signing

401
00:20:50,880 --> 00:20:55,440
Speaker 1: the hope, You're just a human being. What was that

402
00:20:55,520 --> 00:20:59,040
Speaker 1: stat again? It's really good public favorites. I'll treat all

403
00:20:59,080 --> 00:21:01,479
Speaker 1: this stuff outs. I'm steal it all from Brandon, uh

404
00:21:01,680 --> 00:21:05,639
Speaker 1: Brandon and by the way of the bets, getting the

405
00:21:05,680 --> 00:21:09,440
Speaker 1: bets from the public and seven a ts on Thanksgiving,

406
00:21:12,280 --> 00:21:19,359
Speaker 1: that's pretty good. Yeah, I mean that's what I mean.

407
00:21:19,440 --> 00:21:21,640
Speaker 1: Like I've I've always I've noticed this over the years

408
00:21:21,680 --> 00:21:24,919
Speaker 1: where you know, I love Paig taking public like home dogs,

409
00:21:25,359 --> 00:21:27,680
Speaker 1: It's my favorite thing to do. It just did not

410
00:21:27,800 --> 00:21:29,159
Speaker 1: work out for a couple of years ago. I was

411
00:21:29,240 --> 00:21:32,120
Speaker 1: kind of adjusted to it where I kind of beef

412
00:21:32,200 --> 00:21:34,320
Speaker 1: up these lines a little bit for these favorites, just

413
00:21:34,359 --> 00:21:36,320
Speaker 1: because that's how the public is kind of better regardless,

414
00:21:36,600 --> 00:21:39,480
Speaker 1: and it's worked out for me. So you know, I

415
00:21:39,840 --> 00:21:41,639
Speaker 1: do think this this line will get up higher with

416
00:21:41,680 --> 00:21:43,320
Speaker 1: the Bills. So if you get the four right now,

417
00:21:43,359 --> 00:21:46,119
Speaker 1: I would definitely take that number. Well, look, we're taking

418
00:21:46,160 --> 00:21:48,240
Speaker 1: the trend with the Bills, we're ignoring the trend with

419
00:21:48,320 --> 00:21:50,720
Speaker 1: the Raiders, and we're doing whatever we want with the

420
00:21:50,880 --> 00:21:52,879
Speaker 1: Bears lines. So we're really only following the trend for

421
00:21:53,000 --> 00:22:00,320
Speaker 1: one game. Atlanta Falcons at Jacksonville Jaguars. The Falcons basically

422
00:22:00,400 --> 00:22:02,840
Speaker 1: this is a pick. Everything's coming in on the Falcons

423
00:22:02,920 --> 00:22:05,560
Speaker 1: right now. I've we've been banned. I mean, the finances

424
00:22:05,600 --> 00:22:07,680
Speaker 1: have got so many messages were like, please, just don't

425
00:22:07,720 --> 00:22:10,560
Speaker 1: even talk about the Jaguars anymore. I can't stand it anymore.

426
00:22:11,880 --> 00:22:14,000
Speaker 1: We'll pass. But of course I'm gonna be on a

427
00:22:14,040 --> 00:22:15,879
Speaker 1: home dog. I'll be on the Jaguars. This is a

428
00:22:15,960 --> 00:22:18,320
Speaker 1: corner TV game if there ever was one. Yeah, this

429
00:22:18,480 --> 00:22:20,159
Speaker 1: is like one of those I might the tops I'll

430
00:22:20,200 --> 00:22:24,120
Speaker 1: put on as a grant. It's except the other game,

431
00:22:24,840 --> 00:22:29,520
Speaker 1: New York Jets at Houston Texans. The Jets are now

432
00:22:30,119 --> 00:22:33,800
Speaker 1: three point underdogs, and this is a pros Joe's game.

433
00:22:34,280 --> 00:22:36,640
Speaker 1: The bets are coming in on the Jets. The money

434
00:22:36,800 --> 00:22:39,640
Speaker 1: is coming in on the Texas. I'm shocked. The bets

435
00:22:39,680 --> 00:22:41,800
Speaker 1: are coming in on the Jets. And I guess maybe

436
00:22:41,800 --> 00:22:44,360
Speaker 1: people are thinking fade Houston after that win with Tennessee.

437
00:22:44,520 --> 00:22:47,959
Speaker 1: But we talked all the time while we loved Houston.

438
00:22:48,040 --> 00:22:51,280
Speaker 1: We love Taylor, I mean, and he was great. Yeah,

439
00:22:51,480 --> 00:22:53,920
Speaker 1: I'm so mad at myself for not betting his rushing touchdowns.

440
00:22:53,960 --> 00:22:56,919
Speaker 1: He ran for two of them last week. Um, he's

441
00:22:57,280 --> 00:22:58,840
Speaker 1: he's just a difference maker. And that's why I tried

442
00:22:58,880 --> 00:23:01,000
Speaker 1: to explain to my Bob, my boss Bob, It's like

443
00:23:01,480 --> 00:23:03,160
Speaker 1: they really hated that back because they just don't trust

444
00:23:03,200 --> 00:23:05,720
Speaker 1: him as a quarterback, and I kept saying he's way

445
00:23:05,800 --> 00:23:07,480
Speaker 1: better than people give him credit for, like he just

446
00:23:07,600 --> 00:23:09,359
Speaker 1: doesn't make the stupid plays. And I get he did

447
00:23:09,480 --> 00:23:11,800
Speaker 1: that Miami game we talked that was just rust. He

448
00:23:12,080 --> 00:23:14,280
Speaker 1: just looked rust and sloppy in that game, his first

449
00:23:14,320 --> 00:23:16,919
Speaker 1: game back from the injury. So nothing changer. I love

450
00:23:17,000 --> 00:23:19,120
Speaker 1: this number. I'm so happy it's that two and a half.

451
00:23:19,440 --> 00:23:21,320
Speaker 1: That's great. The public will keep betting the Jets and

452
00:23:21,320 --> 00:23:23,320
Speaker 1: hopefully it's Flacco. I would bet it now, but I

453
00:23:23,320 --> 00:23:25,120
Speaker 1: would also wait the beat all the time. I don't

454
00:23:25,119 --> 00:23:26,760
Speaker 1: need to make sure you know who the quarterback is

455
00:23:26,800 --> 00:23:29,120
Speaker 1: because I do think I can make it a close

456
00:23:29,200 --> 00:23:32,040
Speaker 1: game with these these other quarterbacks besides Flacco. But just

457
00:23:32,240 --> 00:23:35,040
Speaker 1: looking on paper, this number should before I have to

458
00:23:35,080 --> 00:23:37,960
Speaker 1: take Houston and this matchup. When Bob says to you,

459
00:23:38,560 --> 00:23:41,720
Speaker 1: we're not doing this big bet that you want to do,

460
00:23:42,480 --> 00:23:45,320
Speaker 1: are you, like, do you say to him as your boss,

461
00:23:45,680 --> 00:23:52,760
Speaker 1: fuck you, nerd. No, because he's not my friend. I

462
00:23:52,920 --> 00:23:54,840
Speaker 1: mouthed off to him in the sense that I just

463
00:23:54,920 --> 00:23:57,800
Speaker 1: simply text back mistake when he when he told me

464
00:23:57,920 --> 00:23:59,959
Speaker 1: not to play them. So that's how you kind of Drew.

465
00:24:00,000 --> 00:24:02,200
Speaker 1: I have to drive the nail in there. All I

466
00:24:02,280 --> 00:24:04,879
Speaker 1: know is that you just called me your friend, best friend, buddy,

467
00:24:05,240 --> 00:24:16,359
Speaker 1: best friend forever. It's Tennessee Titans at New England Patriots. Wow, Wow, Wow.

468
00:24:17,720 --> 00:24:20,160
Speaker 1: The Titans are it looks like six and a half

469
00:24:20,240 --> 00:24:25,760
Speaker 1: point underdogs on the road. What happened here? That's insane.

470
00:24:26,320 --> 00:24:28,320
Speaker 1: We we've been burned by the like. We can't we

471
00:24:28,400 --> 00:24:31,320
Speaker 1: can't fade the Patriots until a further date. Listen, they're

472
00:24:31,359 --> 00:24:33,639
Speaker 1: on our roll. They're just a covering machine. I think

473
00:24:33,680 --> 00:24:36,320
Speaker 1: I've gone against them three out of four of the weeks.

474
00:24:36,400 --> 00:24:39,200
Speaker 1: They've just been covering. So I had to throw the

475
00:24:39,280 --> 00:24:41,360
Speaker 1: numbers out. Of course, the numbers. This is a great

476
00:24:41,440 --> 00:24:44,040
Speaker 1: number to take. The Titans have to throw it out here.

477
00:24:44,200 --> 00:24:47,400
Speaker 1: You really can't go against this this Patriots team. Belichick.

478
00:24:48,080 --> 00:24:49,960
Speaker 1: Not only does he have the defense playing at a

479
00:24:50,000 --> 00:24:53,440
Speaker 1: crazy high level, the offensive scheme right now is just

480
00:24:53,600 --> 00:24:56,280
Speaker 1: perfect matchup for this Tennessee team. They're gonna be able

481
00:24:56,320 --> 00:24:58,920
Speaker 1: to run it against him. The Tennessee Titans are terrible

482
00:24:58,920 --> 00:25:01,560
Speaker 1: against play action. That's what New England loves to do

483
00:25:01,920 --> 00:25:05,480
Speaker 1: with Mac Jones. So yeah, I would love to take

484
00:25:06,119 --> 00:25:08,200
Speaker 1: Tennessee on the road here, but it's just not when

485
00:25:08,240 --> 00:25:10,080
Speaker 1: the dogs won't be taken this week, I'll probably end

486
00:25:10,160 --> 00:25:17,920
Speaker 1: up on the Patriots. Wow, Mac Jones a witch nipple quarterback,

487
00:25:18,480 --> 00:25:20,600
Speaker 1: So there's it. Do you think his brother is going

488
00:25:20,640 --> 00:25:23,520
Speaker 1: to say to him on Thanksgiving like we instructed him to,

489
00:25:24,119 --> 00:25:27,720
Speaker 1: Hey Mac, what's up? Mc nipple? Yeah, he's gotta feel

490
00:25:27,760 --> 00:25:29,520
Speaker 1: like that's a little bit of a trap here. I

491
00:25:29,680 --> 00:25:32,880
Speaker 1: know what you're saying. Oh, I hate it. I want

492
00:25:32,920 --> 00:25:35,840
Speaker 1: to take Titans so bad, but I've had to up

493
00:25:35,880 --> 00:25:38,000
Speaker 1: the numbers on New England. Like I said it last week,

494
00:25:38,040 --> 00:25:40,080
Speaker 1: if they won that game against Atlanta, I would move

495
00:25:40,119 --> 00:25:41,879
Speaker 1: them way up in my power ratings to be like

496
00:25:41,960 --> 00:25:44,200
Speaker 1: a top two, top three team in the NFC. And

497
00:25:44,240 --> 00:25:47,040
Speaker 1: that's what they are, Like they dominated both sides of

498
00:25:47,080 --> 00:25:49,400
Speaker 1: the ball. Of course, Mac looked like a rookie threw

499
00:25:49,440 --> 00:25:52,280
Speaker 1: a pick and like that's what we're expecting. But the

500
00:25:52,320 --> 00:25:54,040
Speaker 1: rest of the team is so complete it didn't even matter.

501
00:25:54,160 --> 00:25:57,920
Speaker 1: They're just a dominant team right now. Every fiber of

502
00:25:58,080 --> 00:26:00,840
Speaker 1: my being is saying take the Titans here. That's fair.

503
00:26:00,920 --> 00:26:02,879
Speaker 1: I mean again, if it comes Sunday, we'll see. But

504
00:26:03,080 --> 00:26:05,639
Speaker 1: as we sit here on Tuesday, I would recommend taking anyone.

505
00:26:05,800 --> 00:26:08,240
Speaker 1: The wise guy play is the Titans. The wise guy

506
00:26:08,400 --> 00:26:11,560
Speaker 1: number is the Titans. It's had a dead number though

507
00:26:11,560 --> 00:26:13,719
Speaker 1: it's a five and a half or five. Like if

508
00:26:13,880 --> 00:26:15,800
Speaker 1: if it got the six and a half, I'd agree

509
00:26:15,800 --> 00:26:17,879
Speaker 1: with you. But there just isn't any really real value

510
00:26:17,880 --> 00:26:20,400
Speaker 1: in the five and a half number. I'm seeing six

511
00:26:20,480 --> 00:26:22,000
Speaker 1: and a half. I do see a six and a

512
00:26:22,040 --> 00:26:24,280
Speaker 1: half out there. It's like if I hit six and

513
00:26:24,280 --> 00:26:25,920
Speaker 1: a half, I would have to pull the trigger on that.

514
00:26:26,000 --> 00:26:28,040
Speaker 1: But I don't feel good about it. I just wanted to.

515
00:26:28,160 --> 00:26:31,879
Speaker 1: I just want it known that I'm convincing you you

516
00:26:31,960 --> 00:26:33,480
Speaker 1: are because I had this number three and a half

517
00:26:33,520 --> 00:26:36,200
Speaker 1: and like I want to take the Titans. It's inflated

518
00:26:36,320 --> 00:26:38,960
Speaker 1: to the max. But I just cannot do it. Wow,

519
00:26:39,600 --> 00:26:42,840
Speaker 1: no courage. Maybe for Thanksgiving you should ask for courage.

520
00:26:43,880 --> 00:26:50,240
Speaker 1: Simon Hunter, professional coward. The Eagles. Your Eagles look strong

521
00:26:50,840 --> 00:26:56,280
Speaker 1: against the Saints. Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants. Every

522
00:26:56,320 --> 00:26:58,520
Speaker 1: time the Saints started to get closer in that game,

523
00:26:58,880 --> 00:27:04,040
Speaker 1: the Eagles and third against a Giants team just fired.

524
00:27:04,359 --> 00:27:07,560
Speaker 1: Jason Garrett. That is just coming across the wire. Really

525
00:27:07,680 --> 00:27:10,760
Speaker 1: looked pathetic on offense only scored last night a touchdown

526
00:27:11,000 --> 00:27:14,120
Speaker 1: when they had an interset. I uh, they were set

527
00:27:14,160 --> 00:27:17,679
Speaker 1: up inside the five yard line. The line is Giants

528
00:27:18,000 --> 00:27:21,840
Speaker 1: plus four. Oh god, I mean, I love the Giants.

529
00:27:22,400 --> 00:27:26,520
Speaker 1: It's it's crazy divisional game. You have to take it though.

530
00:27:26,560 --> 00:27:28,520
Speaker 1: This is such a pro number, the same reason we

531
00:27:28,560 --> 00:27:31,480
Speaker 1: took the Vikings last week. Unfortunately didn't get the Vikings

532
00:27:31,520 --> 00:27:33,600
Speaker 1: out of three, which would have been great because at

533
00:27:33,640 --> 00:27:35,159
Speaker 1: the at the end of that game, you're like, all right,

534
00:27:35,200 --> 00:27:37,040
Speaker 1: this is either team's gonna win this game by field goal.

535
00:27:37,680 --> 00:27:39,880
Speaker 1: But here you're getting a gift for the Giants. It's

536
00:27:39,920 --> 00:27:41,480
Speaker 1: up to four. Now it's gonna be three and a half.

537
00:27:41,520 --> 00:27:43,760
Speaker 1: A lot of books you bet this number. You gotta

538
00:27:43,760 --> 00:27:46,520
Speaker 1: bet this number every time the Eagles are good. They're

539
00:27:46,560 --> 00:27:48,800
Speaker 1: not that good. There they were I think just two

540
00:27:48,840 --> 00:27:51,240
Speaker 1: weeks ago this this line was minus three Giants and

541
00:27:51,280 --> 00:27:54,160
Speaker 1: now it's flipped seven points. So take the value they're

542
00:27:54,160 --> 00:27:56,240
Speaker 1: giving you in these sports books, and it is a

543
00:27:57,680 --> 00:28:00,880
Speaker 1: pros Joe's game. Majority of the money on the U Giants,

544
00:28:00,960 --> 00:28:08,360
Speaker 1: majority of the bets. Let's talk let foxhole, foxhole, Let's

545
00:28:08,400 --> 00:28:12,879
Speaker 1: clide down into the foxhole, and not a lot of

546
00:28:12,960 --> 00:28:14,399
Speaker 1: want of people get in, there's gonna be a lot

547
00:28:14,440 --> 00:28:16,320
Speaker 1: of a lot of bullets flying over top of us here.

548
00:28:16,440 --> 00:28:18,080
Speaker 1: This is this is one of the uglier bets were

549
00:28:18,119 --> 00:28:21,720
Speaker 1: making this week. Listen, you don't win, You don't become

550
00:28:21,800 --> 00:28:24,320
Speaker 1: the best betters in the country over a two week

551
00:28:24,400 --> 00:28:29,480
Speaker 1: period by making the popular decision, being the leader, being

552
00:28:29,520 --> 00:28:33,600
Speaker 1: in the foxhel means doing what's right, not doing what's popular.

553
00:28:33,840 --> 00:28:35,560
Speaker 1: And we're not gonna get any when we've been on

554
00:28:35,560 --> 00:28:38,200
Speaker 1: a roll. Here the double digit dogs money lines, no

555
00:28:38,320 --> 00:28:41,120
Speaker 1: double digit dogs this week, all under ten points. So

556
00:28:41,440 --> 00:28:44,160
Speaker 1: it's sadly it's gonna end our streak. But hey, it

557
00:28:44,240 --> 00:28:46,520
Speaker 1: was a great two weeks run. We still have a

558
00:28:46,600 --> 00:28:50,880
Speaker 1: signmon says, and we still got to do um scooch roulette.

559
00:28:51,080 --> 00:28:55,360
Speaker 1: Don't forget our big balls. Was the pears our foxhole,

560
00:28:55,440 --> 00:29:01,560
Speaker 1: I mean was the giants. And now a quick word

561
00:29:01,600 --> 00:29:04,640
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562
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566
00:29:18,880 --> 00:29:21,920
Speaker 1: I'm considering a Thanksgiving Day same game parlay of the

567
00:29:22,000 --> 00:29:25,600
Speaker 1: Dallas Cowboys minus the points, the under and Zeke Elliott

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593
00:31:04,200 --> 00:31:07,840
Speaker 1: Tampa Bay Buccaneers fresh off of win Indianapolis Colts fresh

594
00:31:08,000 --> 00:31:13,360
Speaker 1: off of a win. Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Indianapolis Colts

595
00:31:13,720 --> 00:31:15,440
Speaker 1: feels like a Cults number to me, two and a

596
00:31:15,480 --> 00:31:18,760
Speaker 1: half three points number one cold Span. It's easy, of course,

597
00:31:18,840 --> 00:31:20,560
Speaker 1: I bet this. I think people are tweeting at me

598
00:31:20,560 --> 00:31:21,920
Speaker 1: before they even put the line up there, like, are

599
00:31:21,920 --> 00:31:23,480
Speaker 1: you gonna know the Cults to get against the Bucks?

600
00:31:23,920 --> 00:31:26,720
Speaker 1: Of course? I mean that team against the Bill is

601
00:31:26,760 --> 00:31:28,800
Speaker 1: exactly what I envisioned coming to this season. What I

602
00:31:28,840 --> 00:31:31,520
Speaker 1: would see from this Colds team just an incredibly dominant

603
00:31:31,560 --> 00:31:34,560
Speaker 1: offensive line with the best running back in football, Carson

604
00:31:34,600 --> 00:31:38,320
Speaker 1: Wentz just not screwing him over. Like again, you saw

605
00:31:38,320 --> 00:31:40,240
Speaker 1: in that game when those third and seven, thirty and eight,

606
00:31:40,520 --> 00:31:42,320
Speaker 1: he was making those plays, and that's what you want

607
00:31:42,360 --> 00:31:45,360
Speaker 1: from Carson, Like, that's what makes him different than guys

608
00:31:45,440 --> 00:31:48,400
Speaker 1: like Sam Donald who cannot make that play consistently. That's

609
00:31:48,440 --> 00:31:51,320
Speaker 1: what I love about Carson. He's healthy right now, that

610
00:31:51,400 --> 00:31:54,320
Speaker 1: old line is healthy. The Bucks team didn't look that

611
00:31:54,480 --> 00:31:57,160
Speaker 1: healthy honestly against that Giants team. They had a bunch

612
00:31:57,200 --> 00:31:59,200
Speaker 1: of little things happening in that game where you're just like,

613
00:31:59,760 --> 00:32:01,959
Speaker 1: it's still not right now, it's getting there. Like they

614
00:32:02,000 --> 00:32:04,000
Speaker 1: had drunk back. They were running the ball against that

615
00:32:04,080 --> 00:32:07,920
Speaker 1: Giants team, but without all those turnovers from I mean

616
00:32:08,520 --> 00:32:11,400
Speaker 1: Daniel Jones, Like that was just a complete meltdown game

617
00:32:11,440 --> 00:32:13,240
Speaker 1: from them. They were going to be in that game

618
00:32:13,360 --> 00:32:14,960
Speaker 1: that whole time. The Giants, it felt like they were

619
00:32:15,000 --> 00:32:19,040
Speaker 1: really going to be in that game. So I we've

620
00:32:19,080 --> 00:32:21,440
Speaker 1: talked about all season, we've just been betting against Brady

621
00:32:21,520 --> 00:32:24,400
Speaker 1: on the road. It's yet to fail us. It's literally

622
00:32:24,640 --> 00:32:26,320
Speaker 1: it's worked out every time we've done it. I Mean

623
00:32:26,400 --> 00:32:28,680
Speaker 1: the Saints, no one thinks they're a good team. We

624
00:32:28,800 --> 00:32:31,040
Speaker 1: bet them on the number and on the money line.

625
00:32:31,080 --> 00:32:33,960
Speaker 1: They beat them out right. Washington Football team. People don't

626
00:32:33,960 --> 00:32:36,080
Speaker 1: think they're a good team. They beat them out right.

627
00:32:36,560 --> 00:32:38,240
Speaker 1: People do think the Cults are a good team. So

628
00:32:38,720 --> 00:32:40,360
Speaker 1: how how can we now take this number with this

629
00:32:40,440 --> 00:32:42,960
Speaker 1: cold team? Plus three? That's just it could be a

630
00:32:43,000 --> 00:32:44,960
Speaker 1: little bit of a sharp trap, but I'm happy to

631
00:32:45,000 --> 00:32:46,600
Speaker 1: walk into it. I think we're getting a great number

632
00:32:46,600 --> 00:32:53,160
Speaker 1: here with this. We got a sharp crap, everybody. We're

633
00:32:53,200 --> 00:32:55,680
Speaker 1: getting some games here that we like, we really are.

634
00:32:57,240 --> 00:32:59,400
Speaker 1: I think. I think come Sunday, we're already looking at

635
00:32:59,440 --> 00:33:01,360
Speaker 1: the Texas, We're looking at the Giants, We're looking at

636
00:33:01,400 --> 00:33:05,040
Speaker 1: the Colts. It's going to be my favorite bets coming up.

637
00:33:05,920 --> 00:33:07,520
Speaker 1: Who is it going to be? Simon says, is it

638
00:33:07,640 --> 00:33:11,640
Speaker 1: the so listen, I'm feeling really good about myself. Uh

639
00:33:12,440 --> 00:33:17,040
Speaker 1: the here's why. Discipline, discipline and instinct. The Steelers are

640
00:33:17,120 --> 00:33:20,240
Speaker 1: visiting the Bengals. The Steelers are four and a half

641
00:33:20,360 --> 00:33:24,000
Speaker 1: point dogs on the road. Two nights ago was Sunday night.

642
00:33:24,320 --> 00:33:27,479
Speaker 1: The Steelers were six point dogs to the Chargers. Right

643
00:33:27,560 --> 00:33:29,760
Speaker 1: before the game, I fired away on the Steelers of

644
00:33:29,800 --> 00:33:33,000
Speaker 1: plus six, went to bed chaos and sued they won.

645
00:33:33,440 --> 00:33:35,600
Speaker 1: Obviously it was the right side or they lost. But

646
00:33:35,640 --> 00:33:39,760
Speaker 1: they covered obviously the right side. Last night. Last night,

647
00:33:40,200 --> 00:33:42,840
Speaker 1: I was very tempted to bet the over didn't do it,

648
00:33:43,320 --> 00:33:46,520
Speaker 1: very tempted about the Giants didn't do it, very tempted

649
00:33:46,560 --> 00:33:49,840
Speaker 1: to bet cad Darius Tony over forty one passing receiving

650
00:33:49,920 --> 00:33:53,880
Speaker 1: yards didn't do it. He landed at forty. So I

651
00:33:54,000 --> 00:33:57,920
Speaker 1: wake up today because I'm the best better in the world. Um,

652
00:33:58,320 --> 00:34:00,040
Speaker 1: you're not even a part of the conversation anymore. And

653
00:34:00,160 --> 00:34:02,760
Speaker 1: I've expanded it beyond the country to the world. I

654
00:34:02,920 --> 00:34:06,160
Speaker 1: feel like I'm in the right place. You're seeing the board, Well,

655
00:34:06,320 --> 00:34:08,560
Speaker 1: that's what it is. I'm seeing the board, seeing the

656
00:34:08,600 --> 00:34:10,359
Speaker 1: whole board. And I look at this and I see

657
00:34:10,400 --> 00:34:15,680
Speaker 1: Steelers plus four and a half Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals.

658
00:34:16,360 --> 00:34:22,279
Speaker 1: Simon says, actually, actually like the Bengals. But yeah, I know,

659
00:34:22,480 --> 00:34:25,200
Speaker 1: I but I'm gonna end up on the Steelers. I

660
00:34:25,320 --> 00:34:27,160
Speaker 1: just thought it was a fishy line. I didn't get

661
00:34:27,160 --> 00:34:29,000
Speaker 1: why it was so high up. I made this line three,

662
00:34:29,520 --> 00:34:32,120
Speaker 1: so my instincts right away where to pound the Steelers.

663
00:34:32,400 --> 00:34:33,920
Speaker 1: I don't get why the books hung this so hot.

664
00:34:34,000 --> 00:34:36,000
Speaker 1: This could be like the Colts game, where if they

665
00:34:36,080 --> 00:34:37,840
Speaker 1: just hung a bad number and you're dead wrong, like

666
00:34:37,920 --> 00:34:40,239
Speaker 1: the Pittsburgh has been by far. The play here I'm

667
00:34:40,280 --> 00:34:41,800
Speaker 1: waiting because I don't really get the number. Kind of

668
00:34:41,840 --> 00:34:44,480
Speaker 1: feels like the Seahawks last week. Like I don't understand

669
00:34:44,480 --> 00:34:46,319
Speaker 1: why the Seahawks were plus two. I stayed away from

670
00:34:46,360 --> 00:34:48,600
Speaker 1: that one that went that game stunk of a trap.

671
00:34:49,040 --> 00:34:50,839
Speaker 1: That's how I feel about this game here. It's, um,

672
00:34:51,000 --> 00:34:54,680
Speaker 1: it feels too easy. Pittsburgh's defense, they would dominate this

673
00:34:54,800 --> 00:34:57,200
Speaker 1: Bengal's offense in my opinion, like that if they had

674
00:34:57,239 --> 00:34:59,879
Speaker 1: T J. Wat back that front, that front seven again,

675
00:35:00,160 --> 00:35:03,759
Speaker 1: this really bad Bengals offensive line. That's that's a great

676
00:35:03,840 --> 00:35:06,800
Speaker 1: matchup for this Pittsburgh team. But it's it's just a

677
00:35:06,840 --> 00:35:09,680
Speaker 1: fishy line. So we'll talk later in the week about

678
00:35:09,719 --> 00:35:10,920
Speaker 1: this one. I'm seeing it down in three and a

679
00:35:10,920 --> 00:35:13,160
Speaker 1: half at some books, so obviously the pros of coming

680
00:35:13,200 --> 00:35:15,239
Speaker 1: on this number, but it just seems off to me.

681
00:35:15,239 --> 00:35:16,879
Speaker 1: I don't get why the sign didn't open at three.

682
00:35:18,239 --> 00:35:21,040
Speaker 1: Fish What do you have a power rated at right now?

683
00:35:21,440 --> 00:35:23,760
Speaker 1: I had it three, so like that's what I assume

684
00:35:23,800 --> 00:35:25,239
Speaker 1: the books would just open at that and just let

685
00:35:25,280 --> 00:35:28,360
Speaker 1: the public betted up or down, let them decide. Instead,

686
00:35:28,400 --> 00:35:31,320
Speaker 1: they opened it heavy. Pittsburgh. Money has come flying in

687
00:35:31,400 --> 00:35:34,000
Speaker 1: on Pittsburgh. I bet the ticket accounts coming on Pittsburgh,

688
00:35:34,080 --> 00:35:36,839
Speaker 1: just because that's my first instance saus. I saw that number,

689
00:35:36,880 --> 00:35:39,480
Speaker 1: I thought, wow, that's that's way too high. So that's

690
00:35:39,480 --> 00:35:41,440
Speaker 1: one of those I bet it. I just didn't. I'm

691
00:35:41,480 --> 00:35:43,399
Speaker 1: not gonna you know, I might have put two grain

692
00:35:43,480 --> 00:35:45,360
Speaker 1: on it right now. I might bet more later in

693
00:35:45,400 --> 00:35:46,719
Speaker 1: the week, but right now I'm just holding off because

694
00:35:46,719 --> 00:35:51,759
Speaker 1: I don't really trust this number. Carolina Panthers at Miami Dolphins.

695
00:35:52,360 --> 00:35:57,439
Speaker 1: The Panthers are one and a half point favorites. Don't

696
00:35:57,480 --> 00:36:00,680
Speaker 1: say anything yet. I'm gonna tell you right now, howably

697
00:36:00,719 --> 00:36:03,600
Speaker 1: not been in the Dolphins here. Really well, I'm shock

698
00:36:03,760 --> 00:36:05,640
Speaker 1: they're gonna come on the Panthers. I like the Panthers here,

699
00:36:05,680 --> 00:36:07,560
Speaker 1: coming off a loss, playing in Miami team that's one

700
00:36:07,600 --> 00:36:10,960
Speaker 1: two in a row. Now they're feeling good. That was

701
00:36:12,000 --> 00:36:13,960
Speaker 1: I mean, I watched that game because for some reason,

702
00:36:13,960 --> 00:36:15,759
Speaker 1: I bet a bunch of money on Miami. I just

703
00:36:16,080 --> 00:36:19,280
Speaker 1: hate Joe Flacker that much. I guess man, Miami's got issues.

704
00:36:19,320 --> 00:36:21,880
Speaker 1: Their defense is getting a little better. But against this

705
00:36:21,960 --> 00:36:25,320
Speaker 1: Carolina team, I love that run, that running style against

706
00:36:25,320 --> 00:36:28,080
Speaker 1: the defense that you know they give up the run Miami,

707
00:36:28,239 --> 00:36:30,000
Speaker 1: that's that's when the things they're not good against. So

708
00:36:30,920 --> 00:36:34,479
Speaker 1: it's I'm leading towards Carolina, but mean you were split

709
00:36:34,480 --> 00:36:36,080
Speaker 1: on this, will probably stay away from It's not one

710
00:36:36,080 --> 00:36:38,800
Speaker 1: of my favorite five anyway. But to me, it's just

711
00:36:40,000 --> 00:36:42,719
Speaker 1: I would like to fade this Miami team after a

712
00:36:42,840 --> 00:36:47,160
Speaker 1: couple of big wins because again, I just it's hard

713
00:36:47,200 --> 00:36:48,920
Speaker 1: for me to really believe in this Miami team to

714
00:36:49,080 --> 00:36:51,360
Speaker 1: tow it just hasn't put it together enough games consistently

715
00:36:51,400 --> 00:36:53,200
Speaker 1: where I'm like, Okay, I really believe in what I've seen.

716
00:36:53,239 --> 00:36:55,480
Speaker 1: This guy get a couple of really bad turnovers against

717
00:36:55,520 --> 00:36:58,759
Speaker 1: that Jets team, So to me, this is ah I

718
00:36:58,800 --> 00:37:03,040
Speaker 1: would either take Carolina or just that one. Interesting. I

719
00:37:03,200 --> 00:37:06,480
Speaker 1: looked at this and thought, and I saw to his numbers,

720
00:37:06,520 --> 00:37:08,320
Speaker 1: and I saw a little bit of the game, and

721
00:37:08,400 --> 00:37:10,839
Speaker 1: I felt like he's starting to make better throws. It's

722
00:37:10,880 --> 00:37:13,680
Speaker 1: not just a Dincon Duck kind of thing he's thrown for.

723
00:37:13,960 --> 00:37:17,680
Speaker 1: He's completing high percentage of his passes and this defense

724
00:37:17,760 --> 00:37:21,640
Speaker 1: is pretty good, and like Kim was terrible, like completely ineffective.

725
00:37:21,719 --> 00:37:24,400
Speaker 1: So it just felt like I'm getting the home team

726
00:37:24,480 --> 00:37:28,040
Speaker 1: as a underdog here. You're right, and the transfavor what

727
00:37:28,120 --> 00:37:30,600
Speaker 1: you're saying too, like Flores has been really good against

728
00:37:30,640 --> 00:37:32,920
Speaker 1: the spread at home as a home dog. But just

729
00:37:33,040 --> 00:37:35,279
Speaker 1: like last night with Tampa, sometimes you got a zig

730
00:37:35,320 --> 00:37:37,800
Speaker 1: and zag against these trends. And I saw the stats

731
00:37:37,920 --> 00:37:40,920
Speaker 1: Tom Brady oh five against the Giants, Tom Brady oh

732
00:37:41,040 --> 00:37:44,080
Speaker 1: and seven on Prime Time. Eventually it always comes back around.

733
00:37:44,160 --> 00:37:45,839
Speaker 1: So this is one of these where I do think

734
00:37:45,880 --> 00:37:50,080
Speaker 1: they dropping here against Carolina team that really needs this one. Alright.

735
00:37:50,280 --> 00:37:57,840
Speaker 1: A classic Don Crickey, Todd Christiansen late afternoon NBC Games,

736
00:37:57,960 --> 00:38:00,120
Speaker 1: shout out to the children of the eighties who know

737
00:38:00,239 --> 00:38:05,759
Speaker 1: exactly what I'm talking about. Los Angeles Chargers at Denver Broncos,

738
00:38:06,400 --> 00:38:10,239
Speaker 1: Chargers two and a half point favorites. Simon says, I

739
00:38:10,320 --> 00:38:25,160
Speaker 1: bet the Denver Broncos, Denver Broncos. Why you know why

740
00:38:25,320 --> 00:38:28,160
Speaker 1: we love Teddy. Teddy is a dog. Teddy is what

741
00:38:28,280 --> 00:38:30,000
Speaker 1: it was, the nineteen and three against the spread as

742
00:38:30,040 --> 00:38:32,200
Speaker 1: a dog in his last twenty two something crazy like that.

743
00:38:32,880 --> 00:38:35,880
Speaker 1: Just anytime Teddy's dog, we bet it even better here

744
00:38:35,920 --> 00:38:38,400
Speaker 1: we're getting great matchups. You have a Denver team that

745
00:38:38,480 --> 00:38:40,360
Speaker 1: wants to run the ball. They have a two headed

746
00:38:40,400 --> 00:38:43,680
Speaker 1: monster against a Chargers team that cannot stop the run.

747
00:38:43,840 --> 00:38:46,960
Speaker 1: They're just so bad against the run. Their secondary still

748
00:38:47,000 --> 00:38:49,759
Speaker 1: has a couple of issues where you know, I say

749
00:38:49,800 --> 00:38:52,160
Speaker 1: what you want about Teddy, he can't get the ball downfield.

750
00:38:52,880 --> 00:38:54,600
Speaker 1: They have a lot of speedy weapons that team. He

751
00:38:54,640 --> 00:38:57,759
Speaker 1: can get it really, really really out of his hands fast,

752
00:38:57,840 --> 00:38:59,960
Speaker 1: where like Bosa, all this pressure coming from the Charge

753
00:39:00,560 --> 00:39:03,480
Speaker 1: shouldn't matter. So a divisional game home dog in Denver,

754
00:39:04,480 --> 00:39:06,480
Speaker 1: I love it. Love the plus three And the reason

755
00:39:06,520 --> 00:39:08,359
Speaker 1: I'm saying sim says, I think pros are gonna bet

756
00:39:08,440 --> 00:39:10,160
Speaker 1: this down. I could see this game closing as a

757
00:39:10,200 --> 00:39:12,160
Speaker 1: pick um. This is gonna be on the Sharper bet

758
00:39:12,239 --> 00:39:15,360
Speaker 1: games for professionals this week. So I love Denver in

759
00:39:15,400 --> 00:39:19,720
Speaker 1: this position. I'm totally with you. A lot of times

760
00:39:20,480 --> 00:39:22,520
Speaker 1: you look at the board and you try to think

761
00:39:22,520 --> 00:39:24,759
Speaker 1: about what the sharp games are gonna be, and for

762
00:39:24,840 --> 00:39:26,799
Speaker 1: whatever reason, like the Broncos are never one of those

763
00:39:26,840 --> 00:39:29,759
Speaker 1: teams that pops up. You know, if you were looking

764
00:39:29,800 --> 00:39:31,600
Speaker 1: at this board, I think people would be more likely

765
00:39:31,680 --> 00:39:34,800
Speaker 1: to say that the Colts are going to be sharp,

766
00:39:35,200 --> 00:39:40,000
Speaker 1: or the Giants are potentially going to be sharp, or

767
00:39:40,040 --> 00:39:42,440
Speaker 1: even the Steelers are going to be sharp. But I

768
00:39:42,520 --> 00:39:44,440
Speaker 1: agree with you, like everyone's gonna look at this and

769
00:39:44,680 --> 00:39:48,120
Speaker 1: look at the Broncos and think this is the side. Yeah.

770
00:39:48,320 --> 00:39:51,000
Speaker 1: Especially it jumped out to where it was like I

771
00:39:51,040 --> 00:39:52,480
Speaker 1: feel like it was Sunday there and maybe it was

772
00:39:52,520 --> 00:39:55,879
Speaker 1: like Monday morning, two am, just like multiple different people

773
00:39:55,920 --> 00:39:58,040
Speaker 1: reaching out to be like you already hit this Broncos line,

774
00:39:58,080 --> 00:40:00,759
Speaker 1: and it's just like, Okay, that's that's that's the play

775
00:40:00,880 --> 00:40:02,719
Speaker 1: this week. So that was one of those where I

776
00:40:02,760 --> 00:40:05,560
Speaker 1: I bet it early hasn't really moved much, which has

777
00:40:05,600 --> 00:40:07,480
Speaker 1: made me a little nervous because I thought for sure

778
00:40:07,520 --> 00:40:10,719
Speaker 1: they'd bump it down because again, we talked all the

779
00:40:10,800 --> 00:40:13,400
Speaker 1: time the books, they like traps all the time, and

780
00:40:14,160 --> 00:40:15,839
Speaker 1: this looks like one of those games that they're gonna

781
00:40:15,880 --> 00:40:18,200
Speaker 1: get a lot of money coming in on the Chargers

782
00:40:18,239 --> 00:40:20,040
Speaker 1: and they're gonna keep it at that three or maybe

783
00:40:20,040 --> 00:40:22,000
Speaker 1: even drop it out two and a half. Those are

784
00:40:22,080 --> 00:40:24,000
Speaker 1: kind of the signals you're looking forward. It's like, Okay,

785
00:40:24,360 --> 00:40:26,080
Speaker 1: we're death on the right side here with this Charger's

786
00:40:26,120 --> 00:40:31,320
Speaker 1: team in Minnesota, Vikings at San Francisco forty Niners. This

787
00:40:31,520 --> 00:40:34,520
Speaker 1: is seems to me to be a perfectly lined game

788
00:40:35,080 --> 00:40:39,080
Speaker 1: with the Niners. Uh they are right now three point favorites.

789
00:40:39,560 --> 00:40:43,160
Speaker 1: Seem no edge here in either direction. Yeah, I want

790
00:40:43,200 --> 00:40:46,160
Speaker 1: to take the Vikings, but I feel like I feel

791
00:40:46,160 --> 00:40:48,000
Speaker 1: like I'm playing with fire here. I've just backed them

792
00:40:48,040 --> 00:40:51,000
Speaker 1: so many weeks in a row. Now it's probably time

793
00:40:51,040 --> 00:40:52,719
Speaker 1: to get off the train. Like this is their peak,

794
00:40:53,280 --> 00:40:57,160
Speaker 1: highest level of and the value is it's not terrible value.

795
00:40:57,160 --> 00:40:58,960
Speaker 1: They're like looking at a plus three, it's that's a

796
00:40:59,000 --> 00:41:00,919
Speaker 1: good that's the number one. You really have the plus

797
00:41:01,000 --> 00:41:04,440
Speaker 1: three in the minus three. But um with you, it's

798
00:41:04,480 --> 00:41:06,160
Speaker 1: just it's a good line. That's what I made. I

799
00:41:06,200 --> 00:41:07,520
Speaker 1: think I made it two and a half, or maybe

800
00:41:07,560 --> 00:41:11,080
Speaker 1: I didn't make it too but I just there's not

801
00:41:11,239 --> 00:41:13,880
Speaker 1: enough of Uh. Yeah, like you just said that, these

802
00:41:13,920 --> 00:41:16,560
Speaker 1: teams are pretty pretty equal the line. There's not that

803
00:41:16,680 --> 00:41:18,520
Speaker 1: much value on taking the three, So I would probably

804
00:41:18,520 --> 00:41:20,040
Speaker 1: pass on this long. If it got to three and

805
00:41:20,040 --> 00:41:21,560
Speaker 1: a half, I would take the Vikings. At three and

806
00:41:21,560 --> 00:41:23,880
Speaker 1: a half, I would like that. Yeah, that would be

807
00:41:23,960 --> 00:41:26,160
Speaker 1: really nice, But at three it doesn't feel like there's

808
00:41:26,160 --> 00:41:29,040
Speaker 1: that much value. This is why we're missing the Thursday

809
00:41:29,080 --> 00:41:31,440
Speaker 1: Pith this week, whise a bummer. This is a game

810
00:41:31,480 --> 00:41:33,560
Speaker 1: that would move and it's a game we would talk about,

811
00:41:34,000 --> 00:41:37,000
Speaker 1: and especially this week, all these short lines, like all

812
00:41:37,080 --> 00:41:40,040
Speaker 1: these threes, I can't remember a week, especially this season,

813
00:41:40,080 --> 00:41:42,400
Speaker 1: we've seen so many home dogs at three, or so

814
00:41:42,480 --> 00:41:45,920
Speaker 1: many home favorites at minus three. It's it's a very

815
00:41:46,040 --> 00:41:49,640
Speaker 1: low low number week. Yeah, it's strange. It's really strange

816
00:41:50,120 --> 00:41:55,359
Speaker 1: speaking of low low number week. Los Angeles Rams at

817
00:41:55,480 --> 00:41:59,800
Speaker 1: Green Bay Packers. Let's say the Rams are one point dogs.

818
00:42:00,480 --> 00:42:05,800
Speaker 1: Let's say that you're bff Chatty kind of likes the

819
00:42:05,920 --> 00:42:10,440
Speaker 1: Rams here? Do you really? I don't. It's still something's

820
00:42:10,480 --> 00:42:13,560
Speaker 1: just wrong. They're like Stafford hasn't played well in two weeks.

821
00:42:14,040 --> 00:42:15,440
Speaker 1: I would love for this to be a get right

822
00:42:15,520 --> 00:42:18,919
Speaker 1: spot for him, but he just in his career, even

823
00:42:18,960 --> 00:42:21,319
Speaker 1: on the lines, he never played well at Lambeau. There's

824
00:42:21,360 --> 00:42:24,719
Speaker 1: just something about an indoor quarterback going outside. Already have

825
00:42:24,840 --> 00:42:27,880
Speaker 1: question marks with Matthew Stafford. The only thing going to

826
00:42:27,960 --> 00:42:29,840
Speaker 1: your favor right now is to me, is this COVID

827
00:42:29,920 --> 00:42:32,719
Speaker 1: toe or whatever Aaron Rodgers dealing with, which, again, that's

828
00:42:32,760 --> 00:42:34,920
Speaker 1: a real thing. People supposed to have gotten this COVID

829
00:42:34,960 --> 00:42:38,279
Speaker 1: toe and it's like turf toe, but way worse, and

830
00:42:39,080 --> 00:42:41,480
Speaker 1: he's really dealing with it. But last week he looked

831
00:42:41,520 --> 00:42:43,759
Speaker 1: pretty damn good. So I'll wait and see what the

832
00:42:43,840 --> 00:42:46,080
Speaker 1: injury report is for this game. We'll see if Aaron

833
00:42:46,120 --> 00:42:48,520
Speaker 1: Jones is back. We'll see if Alexander's back for the

834
00:42:48,600 --> 00:42:52,520
Speaker 1: secondary with Green Bay. But yeah, usually a West Coast

835
00:42:52,560 --> 00:42:56,000
Speaker 1: team going outdoors up to frozen Lambeau. If this is

836
00:42:56,040 --> 00:42:58,799
Speaker 1: under three, every time, I'll take Green Bay. So I'll

837
00:42:58,840 --> 00:43:00,400
Speaker 1: wait and see what this number is. Don't think it's

838
00:43:00,400 --> 00:43:02,120
Speaker 1: gone up to that point. So, no matter what, I think,

839
00:43:02,160 --> 00:43:03,520
Speaker 1: you're gonna abou to get good value on the screen

840
00:43:03,560 --> 00:43:07,920
Speaker 1: Bay team that was COVID too. Apparently it's a real thing.

841
00:43:08,080 --> 00:43:10,320
Speaker 1: That's what Aaron Rodgers apparently has this COVID toe. But

842
00:43:10,400 --> 00:43:12,160
Speaker 1: you know what, I could be fooled by Internet once again,

843
00:43:12,239 --> 00:43:14,560
Speaker 1: but I heard on Howard Stern, so I trusted. Oh,

844
00:43:14,760 --> 00:43:19,080
Speaker 1: come on, have I told you that? You know that

845
00:43:19,600 --> 00:43:22,320
Speaker 1: I've written seven books. Four of them are best sellers.

846
00:43:22,960 --> 00:43:27,120
Speaker 1: Chad Melman wrote a book and one of those best

847
00:43:27,200 --> 00:43:31,759
Speaker 1: sellers is They Call Me Baba Booie, which I co

848
00:43:32,000 --> 00:43:36,360
Speaker 1: authored with Gary Delabate. I was the ghost writer for

849
00:43:36,480 --> 00:43:40,319
Speaker 1: Gary Delabat's autobiography. He's the only guy on that show

850
00:43:40,360 --> 00:43:43,600
Speaker 1: I think I hate. I hate Gary, Dude, you can't

851
00:43:43,640 --> 00:43:47,600
Speaker 1: hate Gary. I do. He's such a tool. You know,

852
00:43:47,719 --> 00:43:49,520
Speaker 1: you think Aaron Rodgers is a tool. I think that

853
00:43:49,640 --> 00:43:52,719
Speaker 1: guy Gary is a giant tool. He is you. You

854
00:43:52,960 --> 00:43:56,960
Speaker 1: spend five minutes with the guy. He is the nicest,

855
00:43:57,520 --> 00:44:04,200
Speaker 1: most sincere, most authent dick. Like just in thirty five

856
00:44:04,360 --> 00:44:08,279
Speaker 1: years of working on the Howard Stern Show, he is

857
00:44:08,480 --> 00:44:15,080
Speaker 1: as sort of open to possibility and excited about making

858
00:44:15,160 --> 00:44:17,640
Speaker 1: connections as he was when he was twenty four years

859
00:44:17,680 --> 00:44:20,640
Speaker 1: old and had a passion for radio and like listening

860
00:44:20,640 --> 00:44:23,080
Speaker 1: to Stern while he was a producer at NBC, like

861
00:44:23,719 --> 00:44:27,680
Speaker 1: there's nothing His wife is lovely, Like he's just a

862
00:44:27,840 --> 00:44:30,800
Speaker 1: wonderful guy. There's nothing not to like about him. I

863
00:44:30,920 --> 00:44:32,719
Speaker 1: bet he is. I'm just like I listened to Stern

864
00:44:32,800 --> 00:44:34,759
Speaker 1: for assholes, like I used to love already back in

865
00:44:34,800 --> 00:44:37,479
Speaker 1: the day, beetle juice, Like I know all that stuff

866
00:44:37,520 --> 00:44:39,960
Speaker 1: is terrible nowadays, that was where my glory is, like

867
00:44:40,040 --> 00:44:42,200
Speaker 1: the late nineties, early two thousands. That's why I just

868
00:44:42,280 --> 00:44:44,719
Speaker 1: love sterns so it's nothing against him. I just I

869
00:44:44,840 --> 00:44:47,680
Speaker 1: like assholes. That's why I listened to that show. Interesting

870
00:44:48,200 --> 00:44:52,360
Speaker 1: says so much about you. Let's talk about Cleveland Browns

871
00:44:52,680 --> 00:44:57,040
Speaker 1: at Baltimore Ravens. The Ravens are what does it look like?

872
00:44:57,160 --> 00:45:00,600
Speaker 1: Three and a half point favorites right now? Yeah, on right,

873
00:45:01,040 --> 00:45:04,000
Speaker 1: just on the record show my favorite shows, Always Sunny

874
00:45:04,000 --> 00:45:05,560
Speaker 1: Those are the biggest asses in the world. Chat so

875
00:45:05,640 --> 00:45:10,799
Speaker 1: people know the love that show. Um, what are we doing?

876
00:45:10,840 --> 00:45:14,120
Speaker 1: Always the Always Sunny Boys? Right now? Talk about podcasts.

877
00:45:14,520 --> 00:45:16,920
Speaker 1: The Always Sunny Boys released a podcast, the first for

878
00:45:17,040 --> 00:45:19,359
Speaker 1: the first time, like three weeks ago. It is now

879
00:45:19,840 --> 00:45:24,640
Speaker 1: beating Joe Rogan as the most downloaded podcast on Spotify

880
00:45:24,920 --> 00:45:26,799
Speaker 1: Have you listened to it yet? No? I haven't listened

881
00:45:26,840 --> 00:45:29,120
Speaker 1: to it. It's amazing. Like the first episode, Charlie Davis

882
00:45:29,160 --> 00:45:31,480
Speaker 1: complained about eating too much cheese and feeling sick like

883
00:45:31,680 --> 00:45:33,560
Speaker 1: it's just hilarious and he's not even doing a character.

884
00:45:33,719 --> 00:45:36,200
Speaker 1: That's who he is. It's so good. It's such a

885
00:45:36,280 --> 00:45:39,320
Speaker 1: good show. Let's get a pep talk for Frank Reynolds.

886
00:45:40,360 --> 00:45:44,720
Speaker 1: This is pathetic, this is awful. We've all been humiliated.

887
00:45:45,160 --> 00:45:51,399
Speaker 1: Our asses are destroyed. Book If Life pushes you down.

888
00:45:51,680 --> 00:45:54,400
Speaker 1: You gotta push back. If you're dumped a bunch of

889
00:45:54,480 --> 00:45:58,360
Speaker 1: women's you gotta take those lemons and stuffing down somebody's

890
00:45:58,440 --> 00:46:01,600
Speaker 1: throw until I see on. You gotta do the only

891
00:46:01,800 --> 00:46:07,560
Speaker 1: thing that's less I do. Yeah, what is it? Well, uh,

892
00:46:07,760 --> 00:46:12,080
Speaker 1: day's the limit stuff And then's my train of thought.

893
00:46:12,160 --> 00:46:14,479
Speaker 1: Let's go back to the bar. I have no idea

894
00:46:14,520 --> 00:46:16,800
Speaker 1: what to make of this Browns Ravens match up. Like,

895
00:46:17,000 --> 00:46:18,600
Speaker 1: my first thing I want to do is take the

896
00:46:18,640 --> 00:46:22,800
Speaker 1: Browns of plus four because both these teams have major injuries.

897
00:46:23,080 --> 00:46:25,680
Speaker 1: We don't know what's going on with Lamar. Like in

898
00:46:25,760 --> 00:46:28,359
Speaker 1: the history of quarterbacks, is a quarterback ever gone sick

899
00:46:28,400 --> 00:46:30,879
Speaker 1: more often Lamar? Like I I can remember him missing

900
00:46:30,960 --> 00:46:33,600
Speaker 1: other games being sick, not COVID related, Like he just

901
00:46:33,719 --> 00:46:37,239
Speaker 1: gets sick, So no clue, like if he really had

902
00:46:37,280 --> 00:46:38,800
Speaker 1: the flu and he's been that bad that he was

903
00:46:38,840 --> 00:46:40,640
Speaker 1: out all week and he missed the game this week

904
00:46:41,080 --> 00:46:42,759
Speaker 1: until I see him on the practice field. I'm not

905
00:46:42,840 --> 00:46:45,920
Speaker 1: putting a dime onto this Ravens team, but if it,

906
00:46:45,960 --> 00:46:48,239
Speaker 1: if it comes Sunday and he's playing and this number

907
00:46:48,280 --> 00:46:50,880
Speaker 1: is still at four, I will take the Ravens baker

908
00:46:52,000 --> 00:46:54,320
Speaker 1: he just does not look right like he had. He

909
00:46:54,400 --> 00:46:56,080
Speaker 1: looked all x start that game, and he had one

910
00:46:56,160 --> 00:46:59,600
Speaker 1: hit from that Detroit Lion defense. The rest of the game,

911
00:46:59,640 --> 00:47:03,680
Speaker 1: he was just off, could not complete throw. So I

912
00:47:03,760 --> 00:47:06,160
Speaker 1: think Colin Coward talked about it, He's cost himself a

913
00:47:06,239 --> 00:47:08,520
Speaker 1: lot of money, Baker, and I agree with him. He's

914
00:47:08,680 --> 00:47:10,680
Speaker 1: he's cost himself a lot of money trying to play

915
00:47:10,719 --> 00:47:13,279
Speaker 1: through this injury the last couple of weeks. So I'm

916
00:47:13,320 --> 00:47:15,560
Speaker 1: off of it. I'm I'll stay away from this game

917
00:47:15,640 --> 00:47:19,640
Speaker 1: until I know more info. Would you say that Lamar Jackson,

918
00:47:19,760 --> 00:47:26,600
Speaker 1: because of his illnesses, is the Charlie Day of any quarterbacks? No,

919
00:47:27,480 --> 00:47:29,600
Speaker 1: I can't. Can't put them that came fut them that low.

920
00:47:31,400 --> 00:47:36,000
Speaker 1: I often get texts from people sending me a picture

921
00:47:36,400 --> 00:47:43,200
Speaker 1: of Glenn Howardtson saying that we look alike. I actually

922
00:47:43,239 --> 00:47:46,040
Speaker 1: see a little bit. Yeah, like when your closed mouth

923
00:47:46,120 --> 00:47:48,759
Speaker 1: like that, you actually do look like yeah, all right,

924
00:47:49,400 --> 00:47:53,440
Speaker 1: all right. Monday night football kind of kind of a

925
00:47:53,480 --> 00:48:01,760
Speaker 1: stinker of the game, Seattle Seahawks at Washington Football Team.

926
00:48:05,080 --> 00:48:11,279
Speaker 1: Basically even maybe the Seahawks are one point favorites. Tell

927
00:48:11,320 --> 00:48:14,040
Speaker 1: me I don't have a strong opinion here, Yes, it's

928
00:48:14,800 --> 00:48:17,880
Speaker 1: it's the same thing. I like again, Chad must I

929
00:48:17,960 --> 00:48:19,640
Speaker 1: must get all the d ms. I remember Chad. People

930
00:48:19,719 --> 00:48:21,800
Speaker 1: reach out to be saying, how did Chad bet against

931
00:48:21,880 --> 00:48:25,080
Speaker 1: his best friend Colt McCoy, How could he take the Seahawks?

932
00:48:25,680 --> 00:48:27,800
Speaker 1: And I told them, sometimes Chad gets caught up in

933
00:48:27,840 --> 00:48:30,040
Speaker 1: the moment, he gets excited, he sees the number and

934
00:48:30,080 --> 00:48:32,319
Speaker 1: he just takes it. Is your guy, and you went

935
00:48:32,360 --> 00:48:34,880
Speaker 1: against him. I can't believe that. But I don't know

936
00:48:34,920 --> 00:48:36,360
Speaker 1: what to make of the Seahawks. We talked to that

937
00:48:36,520 --> 00:48:38,879
Speaker 1: last week. I just don't trust Russ. I've had plenty

938
00:48:38,920 --> 00:48:40,399
Speaker 1: of guys reach out to me that talked to people

939
00:48:40,440 --> 00:48:45,160
Speaker 1: inside the Seahawks organization. He's missing, He's missing guys nonstopping practice.

940
00:48:45,560 --> 00:48:47,600
Speaker 1: We saw it again in the game. He just has

941
00:48:47,640 --> 00:48:50,319
Speaker 1: this wobbly ball right now and it's nose diving on him.

942
00:48:50,320 --> 00:48:52,160
Speaker 1: He keeps putting it into the ground a guy's feet.

943
00:48:52,760 --> 00:48:55,239
Speaker 1: Russ does not do that. Russ does not ever kind

944
00:48:55,239 --> 00:48:56,480
Speaker 1: of do those kind of throws. He's one of the

945
00:48:56,520 --> 00:49:00,719
Speaker 1: most accurate pastors in the in football. So he he's

946
00:49:00,760 --> 00:49:03,880
Speaker 1: not right. He just isn't. So I'll take Washington. I

947
00:49:03,960 --> 00:49:07,400
Speaker 1: hate backing them they're off back to back really big wins,

948
00:49:07,520 --> 00:49:09,440
Speaker 1: like that win against Tampa was huge. Now they won

949
00:49:09,480 --> 00:49:13,160
Speaker 1: again against Carolina coming home. I would love to be

950
00:49:13,200 --> 00:49:15,440
Speaker 1: able to fade this Washington team and take a Seahawks

951
00:49:15,440 --> 00:49:18,480
Speaker 1: team that's lost was a three straight. I can't do it, though.

952
00:49:18,560 --> 00:49:20,239
Speaker 1: I just can't trust for us right now to pick

953
00:49:20,320 --> 00:49:23,239
Speaker 1: up first down. So I'm gonna go with Heineke. I'll

954
00:49:23,280 --> 00:49:25,200
Speaker 1: back this Washington team, but this won't be one of

955
00:49:25,239 --> 00:49:31,160
Speaker 1: our five. I love watching this Washington team. They're so fun.

956
00:49:31,239 --> 00:49:36,880
Speaker 1: Taylor Heineke is just great to watch. Yeah, there was

957
00:49:38,280 --> 00:49:41,920
Speaker 1: a few weeks ago there was a story about Taylor

958
00:49:42,000 --> 00:49:46,799
Speaker 1: Heineke and having a conversation with the coaches and saying

959
00:49:46,840 --> 00:49:49,279
Speaker 1: that he felt tight, that he wasn't playing his game,

960
00:49:49,360 --> 00:49:53,040
Speaker 1: that he wasn't playing loose. And since then he's just

961
00:49:53,120 --> 00:49:55,640
Speaker 1: been a different quarterback. No meet him, go to the

962
00:49:55,719 --> 00:49:57,920
Speaker 1: same shrink. We both worked it out. Cheat. We're leting

963
00:49:57,960 --> 00:50:02,200
Speaker 1: a fly now, you know for and love that huge

964
00:50:02,239 --> 00:50:05,600
Speaker 1: fan of mental health. All right, so let's narrow this

965
00:50:05,719 --> 00:50:10,439
Speaker 1: down here. We definitely come Sunday, we're gonna talk about

966
00:50:10,440 --> 00:50:15,960
Speaker 1: the Broncos. We're going to talk about the Texans. At

967
00:50:16,000 --> 00:50:18,560
Speaker 1: minus two and a half. We're going to talk about

968
00:50:18,600 --> 00:50:21,120
Speaker 1: the Giants at plus four. Maybe we'll keep that one out.

969
00:50:21,360 --> 00:50:23,360
Speaker 1: We're gonna talk the cold to plus two and a half.

970
00:50:23,960 --> 00:50:26,520
Speaker 1: It's for a few we we might talk about the Steelers.

971
00:50:26,560 --> 00:50:28,440
Speaker 1: We might talk about the Washington football team, even though

972
00:50:28,440 --> 00:50:30,440
Speaker 1: they say you don't want to. We'll see what happens

973
00:50:30,440 --> 00:50:32,880
Speaker 1: with the Packers. Got a lot of options here, are

974
00:50:32,920 --> 00:50:35,760
Speaker 1: you ready for Scoot for Lett. We're the best betters

975
00:50:35,760 --> 00:50:38,840
Speaker 1: in the world right now. So it feels to me

976
00:50:39,560 --> 00:50:41,920
Speaker 1: like no matter what we do, we're probably going to

977
00:50:42,000 --> 00:50:43,799
Speaker 1: go four and one or five, and now it sounds

978
00:50:43,840 --> 00:50:46,520
Speaker 1: about right. I don't believe in jinx is. I don't

979
00:50:46,520 --> 00:50:49,799
Speaker 1: believe in not being able to say stuff out loud.

980
00:50:50,040 --> 00:50:51,919
Speaker 1: What I believe in is that if you want something,

981
00:50:52,040 --> 00:50:54,360
Speaker 1: you have to say it out loud. You gotta vision it,

982
00:50:54,400 --> 00:50:56,040
Speaker 1: you gotta see it before you or what is it

983
00:50:56,120 --> 00:50:59,200
Speaker 1: Chadiff at the saying you gotta see it to believe it.

984
00:51:00,719 --> 00:51:05,600
Speaker 1: Time to take down the hops. When all hope is lost,

985
00:51:06,080 --> 00:51:14,880
Speaker 1: all this left is relief. Let's play coach rolette, alright,

986
00:51:15,040 --> 00:51:16,640
Speaker 1: So then I get to keep winning. I get to

987
00:51:16,680 --> 00:51:19,600
Speaker 1: go first again, because it all rolls over and I'm

988
00:51:19,600 --> 00:51:21,760
Speaker 1: the best better in the world and for that reason alone.

989
00:51:22,280 --> 00:51:28,560
Speaker 1: Give me the Denver Broncos. I knew you're gonna do

990
00:51:28,719 --> 00:51:34,319
Speaker 1: that plus two and a half against the Charges any

991
00:51:34,360 --> 00:51:40,320
Speaker 1: covers baby Denver Broncos. Um, all right, I'll go Giants

992
00:51:40,320 --> 00:51:42,640
Speaker 1: against my Eagles. It's like this is a great spot

993
00:51:42,680 --> 00:51:45,160
Speaker 1: for them getting three and a half or four, So

994
00:51:45,320 --> 00:51:48,200
Speaker 1: this is a good number to take with this Giant's team. Alright,

995
00:51:48,400 --> 00:51:52,080
Speaker 1: Teddy covers Broncos plus you got the I got the

996
00:51:52,080 --> 00:51:56,160
Speaker 1: Broncos two and a half, you got the Giants plus four.

997
00:51:57,320 --> 00:51:59,759
Speaker 1: We'll do We'll do the money line money line around

998
00:51:59,800 --> 00:52:02,400
Speaker 1: Rob and just because people love it. It's been cashing

999
00:52:02,440 --> 00:52:05,200
Speaker 1: for him. Now this is this is gonna be as

1000
00:52:05,239 --> 00:52:07,280
Speaker 1: good as it was the last couple of weeks, obviously,

1001
00:52:07,320 --> 00:52:10,120
Speaker 1: because we got a bunch of short home dogs. So

1002
00:52:10,280 --> 00:52:15,160
Speaker 1: let's start off with a very tasty Giants at home.

1003
00:52:16,200 --> 00:52:19,279
Speaker 1: Then we'll go with the Colts at home, go the

1004
00:52:19,360 --> 00:52:23,319
Speaker 1: Broncos at home. I'll take Minnesota on the road because

1005
00:52:23,320 --> 00:52:24,839
Speaker 1: we like we just said that seems like a coin

1006
00:52:24,920 --> 00:52:27,440
Speaker 1: flip kind of game, Like I really want to put

1007
00:52:27,440 --> 00:52:30,080
Speaker 1: Pittsburgh in there. Should we just do that? All right?

1008
00:52:30,160 --> 00:52:32,560
Speaker 1: That's that's a good five. All right. We kind of

1009
00:52:32,640 --> 00:52:35,200
Speaker 1: nailed It's Tuesday's show. We're giving a lot of We're

1010
00:52:35,200 --> 00:52:38,600
Speaker 1: giving people a lot to wait for it. Chew on

1011
00:52:39,360 --> 00:52:43,560
Speaker 1: over to the Thanksgiving holiday. I must do you, hear me.

1012
00:52:44,160 --> 00:52:48,200
Speaker 1: I want to wish everybody a great Thanksgiving. We're thankful

1013
00:52:48,640 --> 00:52:53,840
Speaker 1: for our listeners, both old and new. We're thankful for

1014
00:52:54,040 --> 00:52:58,920
Speaker 1: the comments. We're thankful for the feedback, and Simon the

1015
00:52:59,000 --> 00:53:01,040
Speaker 1: last thing we got to talk about out. We did

1016
00:53:01,160 --> 00:53:03,279
Speaker 1: have one comment with me you and Matt debate the

1017
00:53:03,320 --> 00:53:06,560
Speaker 1: other day. Someone d M me and said, I sound

1018
00:53:06,640 --> 00:53:09,880
Speaker 1: like an idiot when I say love you at the

1019
00:53:10,000 --> 00:53:12,320
Speaker 1: end of the podcast, and I'm too old for that

1020
00:53:12,520 --> 00:53:15,480
Speaker 1: now and I shouldn't say it anymore. And I kind

1021
00:53:15,520 --> 00:53:18,440
Speaker 1: of agreed that it. I've been feeling weird saying in

1022
00:53:18,440 --> 00:53:20,320
Speaker 1: the past couple of weeks. I don't know why. And

1023
00:53:20,360 --> 00:53:22,279
Speaker 1: then you and Matt Mitchell came in strong that it

1024
00:53:22,440 --> 00:53:25,719
Speaker 1: absolutely has to remain as the tagline. Yeah, I feel

1025
00:53:25,760 --> 00:53:29,480
Speaker 1: like that's been your tagline for forever. I mean, how long?

1026
00:53:29,760 --> 00:53:32,680
Speaker 1: How how long did you start this this podcast exactly?

1027
00:53:32,960 --> 00:53:38,320
Speaker 1: We relaunched The Favorites September of two thousand eighteen, Like

1028
00:53:38,520 --> 00:53:40,759
Speaker 1: I'm talking when did you start way before that? Oh? Well,

1029
00:53:40,840 --> 00:53:43,480
Speaker 1: I I launched behind the bets at ESPN, and like

1030
00:53:43,560 --> 00:53:46,680
Speaker 1: two thousand I might have stumbled upon your show maybe then,

1031
00:53:47,719 --> 00:53:50,320
Speaker 1: And even then you said love you. I know exactly

1032
00:53:50,360 --> 00:53:52,200
Speaker 1: when I said it. I started saying it in two

1033
00:53:52,239 --> 00:53:55,279
Speaker 1: thousand eighteen with the Favorites because Matt Ford, who was

1034
00:53:55,520 --> 00:53:58,200
Speaker 1: a producer on the show, producer with the company called

1035
00:53:58,239 --> 00:54:00,080
Speaker 1: Blue Duck that we do a lot of work if

1036
00:54:00,080 --> 00:54:03,279
Speaker 1: their fantastic production company. He was working on the show.

1037
00:54:03,680 --> 00:54:06,799
Speaker 1: He ended a show one time as a guest host

1038
00:54:06,880 --> 00:54:09,120
Speaker 1: and he said love you. I just thought it was cute,

1039
00:54:09,280 --> 00:54:11,239
Speaker 1: and so I picked it up. So it's a thing.

1040
00:54:11,600 --> 00:54:15,520
Speaker 1: You stole a tagline, damn it, Matt Mitchell. I felt

1041
00:54:15,600 --> 00:54:18,200
Speaker 1: like a guy emails you and goes, hey, Chad, that'll

1042
00:54:18,239 --> 00:54:20,000
Speaker 1: be fine if you forgot where you came from, and

1043
00:54:20,080 --> 00:54:23,200
Speaker 1: you said, ah, good point. That's a good that's a

1044
00:54:23,239 --> 00:54:24,880
Speaker 1: good point. I should do that. So I didn't. I

1045
00:54:24,960 --> 00:54:27,440
Speaker 1: didn't care for that attitude. Well, the love you thing,

1046
00:54:27,719 --> 00:54:29,040
Speaker 1: that might be the only time someone in the whole

1047
00:54:29,080 --> 00:54:30,880
Speaker 1: day we'll hear someone say to them love you. So

1048
00:54:31,960 --> 00:54:33,279
Speaker 1: I feel like that's why he should leave it in.

1049
00:54:33,440 --> 00:54:35,160
Speaker 1: You know, it's nice to hear every once in a while.

1050
00:54:35,400 --> 00:54:37,400
Speaker 1: You know what we did it, We debated it. We're

1051
00:54:37,400 --> 00:54:39,799
Speaker 1: gonna stick with it. If people have something better, then

1052
00:54:39,960 --> 00:54:41,680
Speaker 1: they can they can send it in. Our d m

1053
00:54:41,719 --> 00:54:44,000
Speaker 1: s are open. This has been the favorites from the

1054
00:54:44,080 --> 00:54:47,279
Speaker 1: Volume Podcast Network. I am Chad Nolman. He is Simon Hunter.

1055
00:54:47,920 --> 00:54:50,640
Speaker 1: We are thankful for all of you. Download the podcast

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Speaker 1: at Apple podcast that Spotify make us number one on Spotify.

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Speaker 1: We could catch the always sunny guys. I love those

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Speaker 1: guys until next week. I love you