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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast podcast. All right,

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Speaker 1: here we go spreading the corn ten seconds of eating,

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Speaker 1: so we just go throw it up to the basket.

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Speaker 2: Under the basket, it's the truit for the wind God,

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Speaker 2: a miracle.

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Speaker 3: Water and that one.

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Speaker 1: From the parking lot. Welcome to the Big Bets on

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Speaker 1: Campus Podcast, presented by Bett MGM. I'm your host this week,

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Speaker 1: Jim Root. This is the rest of the three man

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Speaker 1: Weave crew joining me, Kai, McEwan, Matt Cox. Our weekly

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Speaker 1: Wednesday check in with you folks, giving you some some

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Speaker 1: leans for the Wednesday and Thursday games. Will also let

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Speaker 1: you know our official bets at the end. Fellas, let's

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Speaker 1: dive into it because there's no weekend games. This is

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Speaker 1: what everybody's going to be zeroed in on Wednesday Thursday,

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Speaker 1: Huge slates. Let's get right to it. First, up our

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Speaker 1: usual segment to kick it off. Here the live Dog

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Speaker 1: of the week.

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Speaker 3: Where's Mine? Where's mine?

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Speaker 1: Guys? We had a strange week last week. Every one

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Speaker 1: of the live dogs we endorsed covered, but we only

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Speaker 1: got one outright win. That was Chattanooga over Middle Tennessee.

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Speaker 1: But Kai, you had a couple of covers with Tennessee

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Speaker 1: Tech and Radford. Matthew, you joined on Radford well done,

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Speaker 1: and Long Beach State covered for me. Tennessee Tech. I

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Speaker 1: was with Kai there and Chattanooga the outright w so hey,

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Speaker 1: if you listen at least split your bet between spread

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Speaker 1: and money line. You did. Okay, Let's get started though,

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Speaker 1: with looking ahead Wednesday. I've got games Wednesday, I've got

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Speaker 1: games Thursday. I'm hoping Matt and Kai came with a

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Speaker 1: couple other candidates as well. I'm gonna start with Wednesday, Kyle,

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Speaker 1: go to you first here. Chattanooga is plus seven at

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Speaker 1: Georgia the MOCKX thinking about rolling with them again after

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Speaker 1: they pulled it out right when last week Navy is

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Speaker 1: plus seven at VCU, Norfolk State plus ten out at

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Speaker 1: Nevada right before Christmas. There any of these jump out

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Speaker 1: to you on Wednesday.

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Speaker 4: Jim, of these three, I do like the Nuga pick.

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Speaker 4: Obviously have Jake Stevens up front. Terrific basketball player, one

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Speaker 4: of the best players in the country, not just mid majordom.

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Speaker 4: At Georgia, a team coming off a pretty big win

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Speaker 4: against Notre Dame could be a bit of a sleepy

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Speaker 4: spot as they head into the SEC Navy, I'm less

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Speaker 4: keen on. I kind of think VC is going to

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Speaker 4: figure it out pretty soon. Norfolk I'm a big fan of.

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Speaker 4: But man, I've been on Nevada all season. I'm not

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Speaker 4: sure I can go against my Wolfpack. So of those three, Jim,

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Speaker 4: I'm preferring Chattanooga. All my official plays that are going

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Speaker 4: to come on the Thursday slate.

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Speaker 1: Oh so not Wednesday, Matt anything on hump Day jump out.

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Speaker 5: To you now, I like I like Nyuga quite a bit, Jim,

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Speaker 5: and I'm with Kai the best bets here on the

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Speaker 5: Thursday action. I'm gonna take Nugo money line. By the way,

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Speaker 5: the Mox Danyl versus Mike White. Not to disrespect Mike White,

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Speaker 5: but I think there's a clear cut edge from a

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Speaker 5: coaching perspective, and the Mox are now healthy. Get a

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Speaker 5: couple of key guards back to Alvin White, and then

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Speaker 5: Jake Stevens is going to put up thirty twenty five

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Speaker 5: to five and five every night.

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Speaker 1: Out too, So that's always nice. Yeah, he's insane. You

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Speaker 1: can make an argument that Chattanooga, despite being plus seven,

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Speaker 1: would have the best coach as the best player on

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Speaker 1: the floor. That's not so bad if you're trying to

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Speaker 1: back a money line dog. I'm with Kai. I do

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Speaker 1: think VCU is going to trend back up, So I'm

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Speaker 1: not going to back Navy against the Sea or I'm

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Speaker 1: not going to back the Sea Troops against VCU. That's

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Speaker 1: a little bit of a spoiler for our final spotlight

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Speaker 1: section where we're going to talk teams we're looking to

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Speaker 1: back or fade in conference play Norfolk State, I'm going

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Speaker 1: to think about they don't have to travel very far

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Speaker 1: to Nevada. This isn't cross country because they were out

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Speaker 1: in Vegas for the HBCU Challenge. So that does help

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Speaker 1: them a little bit, but it could also be a

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Speaker 1: let's just get home for the holidays. Let's get out

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Speaker 1: of here, not worry about it much. All right, Let's

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Speaker 1: turn to Thursday, because these two chomping at the bit

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Speaker 1: to talk Thursday, and we'll start with maybe my favorite one.

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Speaker 1: And I know we're not going to get the line

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Speaker 1: value that Ken Palm gives us here, but Butler plus

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Speaker 1: eight at Creighton, we don't know Ryan Kolpbrenner's status the

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Speaker 1: absolutely vital big man for the Blue Jays. Blue Jays

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Speaker 1: have six games in a row. Butler's trending up getting healthier.

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Speaker 1: They got Ali Ali and Jalen Thomas back on the

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Speaker 1: floor last game against Yukon. Matt, I can just see

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Speaker 1: you salivating here. I know you want your Bulldogs.

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Speaker 5: Jim, you brought up the angle of fading teams after

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Speaker 5: playing Georgetown and the Big East. I'd like to bring

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Speaker 5: a new proposal to the table that's betting teams. After

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Speaker 5: playing Yukon. It's like you just played the ninety six

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Speaker 5: Bowls and it's like, oh, I get to play a

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Speaker 5: team that's mortal. I think that's the effect that Butler

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Speaker 5: feels in this game. And Butler actually kind of hung

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Speaker 5: around for a little bit in the first half. Yukash

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Speaker 5: is so good, man.

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Speaker 4: They just keep you at arm's length.

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Speaker 5: It's like, even when they're not playing good, it's impossible

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Speaker 5: to score inside. And yeah, just the rejuvenation spiritually, not

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Speaker 5: to get super emotional or whatever. Psychologically, you're just getting

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Speaker 5: guys back for this Butler team, I get just reads

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Speaker 5: so depressing. They've been practicing with like seven guys, six

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Speaker 5: and a half guys for the entire year. It still

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Speaker 5: been pretty good all things considered. I love Butler here.

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Speaker 1: Jim.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, man, gosh, just betting on Creighton to lose a

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Speaker 4: seventh Street sounds terrible to me. Kimpom now has is nine.

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Speaker 4: By the way, it's not even eight. It's plus nine

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Speaker 4: right now. But we've seen all season the market opens

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Speaker 4: Butler a good three or four points below what Kimpom has,

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Speaker 4: which makes sense. I'm probably still looking to bet Butler

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Speaker 4: on the spread. I'll probably stay away from moneyline. I

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Speaker 4: have to think Creighton, with this home stretch coming up,

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Speaker 4: they have three in a row to start Big East play,

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Speaker 4: kind of gets back on track at least in the

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Speaker 4: win column. We'll see about ats. But Jim, the other

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Speaker 4: two games I'm ready to swing. I'm ready to swing.

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Speaker 1: Here we go. Yep. The other two that I have

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Speaker 1: lined up for us Cornell plus seven at Colgate. Matt's

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Speaker 1: gonna love this one because it's high variance. There's gonna

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Speaker 1: be a lot of three pointers taken in that game.

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Speaker 1: Give you some varied ranges and outcomes. Two really good coaches.

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Speaker 1: I think the game plans are going to be sharp

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Speaker 1: between both them, and then Southern Miss plus nine going

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Speaker 1: to UNLV again. Kind of an odd travel before the holiday,

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Speaker 1: but UNLV is a little vulnerable player limitations right now,

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Speaker 1: Southern Miss has been fantastic. Kai, which one of these

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Speaker 1: two is your favorite? I know you like them both,

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Speaker 1: but give me the top one.

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Speaker 4: I'm going Southern Miss, a team I've been back in

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Speaker 4: all season. Yes, UNOV has been great in their own right,

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Speaker 4: but man, not having Eli Parquette that definitely mattered their

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Speaker 4: last game against San Francisco now still almost won that game.

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Speaker 4: An impressive showing for UNLV. But the Golden Eagles have

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Speaker 4: a ton of talent, a ton of talent. They can

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Speaker 4: definitely match up with UNLV here. I think they're pretty

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Speaker 4: well coached as well with Jay Ladner, and Nine's going

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Speaker 4: to be a juicy of value on the money line there,

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Speaker 4: so I do prefer them. However, I'm also probably gonna

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Speaker 4: take US one with Cornell Matt because of the shooting

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Speaker 4: variants that can happen in this game. Both ways, I

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Speaker 4: could definitely see them getting this one out right against Colgate.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, I like Cornell a lot here. I actually faded

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Speaker 5: Cornell with Syracuse last game, but I think this is

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Speaker 5: a much better matchup. Obviously, they could run their stuff.

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Speaker 5: They can get out in the transition. Score I think

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Speaker 5: Cornell is an awesome team except for certain specific matchups

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Speaker 5: in certain spots, and I think this is not one

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Speaker 5: of them, right, I think has many issues guarding them.

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Speaker 5: So yeah, I'll bring to take Cornell money line and

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Speaker 5: Butler spread. I'm just trying to rehash.

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Speaker 4: My portfolio plays here.

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Speaker 1: Okay, yeah, we can reach out with that. I do

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Speaker 1: like all of these Wednesday ones too. I'm going to

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Speaker 1: back Butler money line, Cornell money line, Southern Miss. I'm

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Speaker 1: going to lean more towards Spread on the Southern Miss

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Speaker 1: when I think they can just kind of keep it close.

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Speaker 1: I also think without Parque big time over team UNLV.

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Speaker 1: Keep an eye on that. He's a great defender, one

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Speaker 1: of their more capable perimeter creators. The San Francisco game

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Speaker 1: went over without him. I think that's something to keep

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Speaker 1: an eye on there as well. And then Chattanooga from Wednesday.

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Speaker 1: So I'm going with four to one, four live dogs here, Chattanooga, Cornell, Butler,

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Speaker 1: Southern Miss, Kai, what about you.

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Speaker 4: Southern Missing, Cornell taking the money line swings, and I'm

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Speaker 4: going to back Butler to cover, not to win.

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Speaker 1: Okay, anything off the off the radar of the not

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Speaker 1: in the six games. I mentioned here that jumped out

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Speaker 1: to you fellas that you want to make sure to

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Speaker 1: bring to the table.

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Speaker 4: I got nothing, Jim. I think you picked out some

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Speaker 4: real gyms here, Jim picking up Jim's Jim.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, they call me Jim Jim Jim JEMs Yeah yeah.

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Speaker 5: New Mexico State, Jim probably make plus six against Kent

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Speaker 5: State or Kent State's just awesome and we should.

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Speaker 1: I fear Kent State. New Mexico State is going to

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Speaker 1: be a little more rejuvenated home ish from their long

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Speaker 1: travel that cames in El Paso, so not much travel

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Speaker 1: for New Mexico State. But I respect Kent State.

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Speaker 4: Man.

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Speaker 1: The Golden Flashes can.

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Speaker 4: Hoop, Yeah they can. No argument there.

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Speaker 1: All right, let's move into our next section, blowout City,

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Speaker 1: which fellas oh too last week. But in our defense,

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Speaker 1: none of us really endorsed the blowouts. We said it

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Speaker 1: was a super difficult week to find blowouts because the

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Speaker 1: way the matchup set up its finals week, sometimes the

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Speaker 1: home favorites aren't as locked in as you need them

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Speaker 1: to be to get the blowouts. I think that switches

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Speaker 1: this week. I think there are a lot of appealing

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Speaker 1: blowout candidates. I picked my two favorite ones. But there's

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Speaker 1: a couple other on Wednesday that I think you could

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Speaker 1: go for. There's a couple on Thursday, so if you

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Speaker 1: guys have other ones, feel free to bring them up.

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Speaker 1: I like both of these. Wednesday Kentucky minus thirty five

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Speaker 1: per Ken Pom over Florida A and m I think

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Speaker 1: Florida A and m is Garbaggio like truly terrible. They

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Speaker 1: lost by thirty five to Oregon, thirty seven at Portland,

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Speaker 1: twenty six in Miami, Florida forty at Florida and Kentucky's

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Speaker 1: mad like they just lost in New York. Cal Parry

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Speaker 1: talked about the tweaks he's going to make on offense.

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Speaker 1: I think they want some sort of good note, positive

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Speaker 1: note as they go into the holidays and they get

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Speaker 1: it there. And then Eastern Illinois at Iowa. I've hashed

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Speaker 1: out some of the Fran McCaffrey numbers. He is forty

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Speaker 1: eight and fourteen against the spread as a home favorite

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Speaker 1: November December. I'm sorry, a double digit home favorite. So

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Speaker 1: when he is a big favorite, they murder teams like

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Speaker 1: that is over seventy five percent against the spread net

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Speaker 1: That is a trend. I support. It makes sense. We're

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Speaker 1: not always big into trends, but that is like, it

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Speaker 1: just makes sense. They have an awesome, prolific offense, they

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Speaker 1: are happy to score. It juices their metrics. I like

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Speaker 1: both of these. I don't think EIU can slow them down.

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Speaker 1: Do you have a favorite of these two or do

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Speaker 1: you like anything else?

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Speaker 4: I like I a little more.

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Speaker 5: The one I'll add to the mix show is Ironically

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Speaker 5: It's team I don't really like, but I like this spot.

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Speaker 5: I like the matchup texts tech plan Houston Christian so

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Speaker 5: Texa Tech just be Jackson State by fifty last game.

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Speaker 5: I think they I think they were maybe needled by

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Speaker 5: mister Mark Abams behind the scenes, like, hey, fellas, we've

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Speaker 5: been sleep walking this entire non conference season.

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Speaker 1: Let's get after it.

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Speaker 5: And they force thirty turnovers against Houston Christian a marketbly

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Speaker 5: worst defense and worse team.

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Speaker 4: Than Jackson State.

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Speaker 5: I think maybe they kind of continue that angry non

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Speaker 5: ton Smashville.

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Speaker 4: So that's my third ad to this list. I like

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Speaker 4: all three of these, man I probably will back. I

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Speaker 4: hate I really hate betting thirty points spreads one way

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Speaker 4: or the other. There's just too much variance. But there's

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Speaker 4: pretty good cases in this scenario.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, maybe you look at first half for some of

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Speaker 1: these two or split your bet in some form or another.

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Speaker 1: Houston Christian, Matt to your point, insert a team with

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Speaker 1: talent X against Houston Christian. They are the worst interior

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Speaker 1: defense in the country. It's not close. They are a

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Speaker 1: true layup line. Defensively, teams are making sixty seven percent

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Speaker 1: of their twos. It's ridiculous. It's easy. Daniel Botcho didn't

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Speaker 1: play in that game for Texas Tech and they still

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Speaker 1: won by fifty. It's bad news for Houston Christian. All right,

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Speaker 1: let's move on. Or sorry, Bocho didn't play against Jackson State.

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Speaker 1: Excuse me, but I don't think they need him against

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Speaker 1: Houston Christian because they're so civil like defensively. All right, So, yeah,

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Speaker 1: there's a couple other candidates out there. I know Purdue's

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Speaker 1: got a relatively weak opponent. I think as these dogs

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Speaker 1: are looking ahead to holiday break and they know they're

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Speaker 1: totally outmatch talent wise, I think there's gonna be big

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Speaker 1: time quit factor. So it's a decent to look for blots.

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Speaker 1: I think more than even the three we said you

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Speaker 1: can you can find more out there. Next up will

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Speaker 1: be Power Game of the Week, but before we get

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Speaker 1: to it, we've got to get a little message from

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Speaker 1: our friend Stuckey.

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Speaker 1: All right, appreciate you, Stocky, Thank you, Sir Oz, appreciate

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Speaker 1: you popping in here. We're going to talk power game

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Speaker 1: of the week. Oh, I could feel it. And we're

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Speaker 1: starting with two games on Wednesday, and then we've got

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Speaker 1: one on Thursday that I know Kai is ready to discuss. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: we'll start Wednesday the Jumpman Invitational Michigan versus North Carolina

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Speaker 1: matt Last year, UNC dominated twenty one point when took

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Speaker 1: care of the Wolverines, absolutely smashed them. Got a great

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Speaker 1: matchup inside with Baycotton and Dickinson. How do you see

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Speaker 1: this one playing out? Do you see any value on

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Speaker 1: the Ken palm line of UNC minus five? What do

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Speaker 1: you got?

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Speaker 2: Yeah?

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Speaker 5: I'm kind of looking to ride some many UNC momentum,

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Speaker 5: but I'm not going to do so in this spot.

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Speaker 5: You mentioned what happened last year, Jim. I still have

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Speaker 5: the emphatic commentary from Randolph Schildress on the Field of

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Speaker 5: sixty eight after Dark Show, talking about how important it

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Speaker 5: is to most players, especially like kind of star players

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Speaker 5: who don't show out well, they get a chance at

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Speaker 5: a rematch the next year or within that same year,

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Speaker 5: especially in a marquee spot. Hunter, Dickinson and company are

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Speaker 5: not going to be happy, and I know they haven't

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Speaker 5: played their best basketball, but I would not be surprised

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Speaker 5: to see them go into the Carolina hostile territory. Not

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Speaker 5: a true road game, Kai, but you know, a quasi

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Speaker 5: road game and pull one out here and then back.

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Speaker 1: To your point too.

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Speaker 5: I think you mentioned this on our show today, Big Game,

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Speaker 5: Big team, hasn't gotten a big win yet. Desperation going

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Speaker 5: to play well for the Wolverines, Yeah.

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Speaker 4: For sure. I'm just kind of worried that UNC's also

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Speaker 4: kind of hunting for that first win or big win

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Speaker 4: that they've had one for sure, but they need to

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Speaker 4: keep building their resume a little bit more as they've

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Speaker 4: fallen pretty close to blow expectations. Right now. They finally

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Speaker 4: got their first big winning as Ohio State last game,

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Speaker 4: they were down early. Part of me is leaning towards

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Speaker 4: North Carolina here. I can't really explain it. I just

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Speaker 4: feel like they have the superior talent and I think

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Speaker 4: they have enough resistance to fend off Dickinson. We'll see.

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Speaker 4: That's easier to have than done. He really is an

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Speaker 4: All American and assuming Bacot is fully healthy, he seems

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Speaker 4: to be fully healthy, He's probably gonna be up for

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Speaker 4: this task. Tends to play up to his competition.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I got a little bit of turning the corner

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Speaker 1: since from North Carolina in that second half. We mentioned

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Speaker 1: on various other platforms some of the underlying stats in

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Speaker 1: their prior game had looked pretty good, and it was

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Speaker 1: against no competition in the Citadel. They started to show

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Speaker 1: some of the ball movement against Ohio State that has

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Speaker 1: really improved. Bakeout was a total warrior on the block.

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Speaker 1: Calebloo's still chucking up some bad bad shots sometimes, but

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Speaker 1: they're talented enough to overcome that, and hey, maybe they'll

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Speaker 1: even go in. That would be kind of fun. Look

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Speaker 1: what happened in the postseason last year when they did

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Speaker 1: go in. So yeah, Michigan, I'm not really knocking them

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Speaker 1: for no Jlen Newellen point guard that towards ACL Doug

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Speaker 1: McDaniel has been pretty solid in his stead. I just

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Speaker 1: feel like Michigan's still sorting things out, very young team,

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Speaker 1: whereas Carolina is, like I said, turning a bit of

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Speaker 1: a corner. So I'm gonna lean towards the heels there.

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Speaker 1: I don't think I'll bet it at minus five, but

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Speaker 1: that would be where i'd settle here. The other Wednesday

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Speaker 1: night game, also a neutral sit or semi neutral will

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Speaker 1: call it. I like a lot Kai. I like the

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Speaker 1: TCU horn Frogs getting one point in Salt Lake City

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Speaker 1: at Utah. I think TCU is trending way up there

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Speaker 1: a different team with Damian Baugh on the floor. I

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Speaker 1: know Eddie Lampkins sat out last game, but they've basically

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Speaker 1: rested a guy or to every single SWAT game they

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Speaker 1: played this season. I think he'll be back out there.

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Speaker 1: And Utah. While I love them and they have a

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Speaker 1: little bit of elevation edge here, potentially some solid crowd action,

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Speaker 1: I just think they're kind of going to trend a

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Speaker 1: little back down. If we were high in them preseason, Matthew,

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Speaker 1: but maybe they've they've overachieved too much, so ky Yeah,

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Speaker 1: Like I said, horn Frogs, if they're a dog or

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Speaker 1: even minus one minus two, I would take TCU.

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Speaker 4: Yep. It's sort of a bit of a bilow on

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Speaker 4: TCU and a bit of a cell high on Utah.

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Speaker 4: And he saw Utah finally come back to earth a

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Speaker 4: bit against EYU in the Holy War. They've been due

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Speaker 4: for some shooting regression. The two point defense is real.

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Speaker 4: The top five two point defense in the country I

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Speaker 4: think is real. They do have legit size. Craig Smith

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Speaker 4: is a great coach, but allowing teams to shoot twenty

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Speaker 4: five percent from three, that's probably an aberration. That's probably

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Speaker 4: coming back down to earth. TCU owed some shooting aggression

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Speaker 4: on the offensive side, and I agree with Jim. It's

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Speaker 4: a team about to be about to take off, Matt.

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Speaker 4: It's not a true home game for Utah. So I

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Speaker 4: lean towards the Frogs as well. I do too, and

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Speaker 4: I'm a huge guy. I think the Frogs are a

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Speaker 4: little bit undervalud. You guys mentioned just haven't had a

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Speaker 4: consistent roster all year. I think Dixon said in the

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Speaker 4: post games like man ten different starting lineups this season.

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Speaker 4: How many teams have done that?

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Speaker 5: To this part is to this juncture, Yeah, idling the

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Speaker 5: horn Frogs out now they have fully healthy, a little

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Speaker 5: more time to rest in prep.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I think it's important when they have Baw and

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Speaker 1: Miles together, they're just totally different team with different added playmaking.

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Speaker 1: All right, let's go to Thursday. Full disclosure. We'll wear

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Speaker 1: it on our sleeves here. Kai and I are Miszoo

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Speaker 1: grads and they are taking on Illinois in Saint Louis

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Speaker 1: annual game here Bragging Rights, as it's known Kai. The

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Speaker 1: Missoo interior defense is kind of a shambles. It's really bad.

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Speaker 1: They can be blitzed inside there. They struggled defensively to

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Speaker 1: rebound as well. Illinois does have size to take advantage

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Speaker 1: of that. But the A line I turned the ball

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Speaker 1: over and that fuels Massoo's transition attack. Which one do

400
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Speaker 1: you see winning out here? The line per Kenpoum right

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Speaker 1: now is Illinois minus five.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, tough one here. Zoo always tends to play very

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Speaker 4: well in these Bragging Rights games, at least when they're

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Speaker 4: a competent. This game has been close in recent history. Jim,

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Speaker 4: you'll give us the stats in a bit here, But

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Speaker 4: I'm worried about Missoo. After seeing their transition defense against Kansas,

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Speaker 4: I think Illinois can probably slash them in transition now

408
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Speaker 4: Missoo might be able to do the same to Illinois.

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Speaker 4: And I'm also kind of curious about how Dane Danger

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Speaker 4: does Matthew. He probably should smoke Maszoo. However, I think

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Speaker 4: Illinois's best lineups are when Coleman Hawkins plays the five,

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Speaker 4: and Underwood probably uses that lineup more given Massoo's tendency

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Speaker 4: to run and given how they space the floor, So

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Speaker 4: if Hawkins is playing the five ironically, it would probably

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Speaker 4: help Maszoo, just given the fact that they will not

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Speaker 4: be able to keep Dange off the boards keep him

417
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Speaker 4: from scoring in the post, Mamzoo's gonna have to outshoot Illinois.

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Speaker 4: They're not to cost turnovers. Can they do it? We'll see.

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Speaker 4: At the beginning of the year, I projected Miszoo to

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Speaker 4: either beat Kansas or Illinois. They failed miserably to Kansas,

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Speaker 4: really hoping they can beat the ALIGNI and not make

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Speaker 4: you look silly. I think Illinois smacks them. I really do.

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Speaker 5: Defensive issues are kind of start are going to start

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Speaker 5: to unravel before our eyes as they face more stiff

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Speaker 5: competition and your I I think the matchups just tough here.

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Speaker 5: So Illinois smacked them last year. I think we see

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Speaker 5: a repeat of that movie this season.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm worried about it, Matthew. The total is one

429
00:20:27,680 --> 00:20:29,879
Speaker 1: fifty nine to give everyone in a sense, Kai was

430
00:20:29,880 --> 00:20:31,920
Speaker 1: talking about how both teams can score, like the Ken

431
00:20:31,960 --> 00:20:33,800
Speaker 1: pound total is telling you this is going to be

432
00:20:33,920 --> 00:20:37,520
Speaker 1: up and down. Both teams can score. I just the

433
00:20:37,520 --> 00:20:39,880
Speaker 1: Illinois is probably going to hit ninety as Kansas did.

434
00:20:40,000 --> 00:20:42,680
Speaker 1: The transition defense is so bad interior defense there's no

435
00:20:42,720 --> 00:20:45,560
Speaker 1: one to stand up to Dane danger, and even if

436
00:20:45,560 --> 00:20:48,639
Speaker 1: Hawkins is playing the five, that's a problem. Kay, you

437
00:20:48,640 --> 00:20:51,320
Speaker 1: did reference that this game is usually close when there's

438
00:20:51,359 --> 00:20:55,199
Speaker 1: competence on both sides. Illinois is six and four in

439
00:20:55,240 --> 00:20:58,119
Speaker 1: the last ten straight up before five and one against

440
00:20:58,119 --> 00:21:00,520
Speaker 1: the spreads, so basically even there, Zoo has had some

441
00:21:00,560 --> 00:21:03,960
Speaker 1: bad teams over that stretch. So part of those ATS

442
00:21:03,960 --> 00:21:06,480
Speaker 1: problems last year they got wiped off the floor. Even

443
00:21:06,480 --> 00:21:10,400
Speaker 1: from an ATS perspective, that's part of the issues that's

444
00:21:10,560 --> 00:21:14,480
Speaker 1: inherent in that. But I tend to agree that Illinois

445
00:21:14,520 --> 00:21:16,679
Speaker 1: just has a clear edge over a Miszoo team that

446
00:21:16,680 --> 00:21:20,840
Speaker 1: hasn't stood up well against the one power, big power

447
00:21:20,880 --> 00:21:23,359
Speaker 1: competition that they had to face. All right, let's go

448
00:21:23,400 --> 00:21:27,040
Speaker 1: to mid major game of the week. We start Wednesday

449
00:21:27,280 --> 00:21:30,880
Speaker 1: out in El Paso, Texas, Kent State per Kent palm

450
00:21:30,880 --> 00:21:34,960
Speaker 1: minus three and a semi neutral site here New Mexico

451
00:21:35,000 --> 00:21:39,320
Speaker 1: State in El Paso, very close to Las Cruces, just

452
00:21:39,359 --> 00:21:42,320
Speaker 1: across the border. Not a long travel for New Mexico State,

453
00:21:42,320 --> 00:21:45,000
Speaker 1: whereas for Kent State, that's a long ways out to

454
00:21:45,040 --> 00:21:48,959
Speaker 1: El Paso right before Christmas. The Golden Flashes, though, Matt Man,

455
00:21:48,960 --> 00:21:52,359
Speaker 1: they've been fantastic. I don't have any interest in fading

456
00:21:52,400 --> 00:21:55,160
Speaker 1: that team. I lean their way just because of how

457
00:21:55,240 --> 00:21:58,280
Speaker 1: great they've been with their backcourt and sincere carry and

458
00:21:58,320 --> 00:22:01,240
Speaker 1: even some of the size that they've added over the

459
00:22:01,240 --> 00:22:02,840
Speaker 1: portal of this offseason. What do you think?

460
00:22:03,200 --> 00:22:06,000
Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean, I love Kent State, but the travel

461
00:22:06,040 --> 00:22:08,159
Speaker 5: here is just brutal. Man, I just don't know if

462
00:22:08,160 --> 00:22:09,679
Speaker 5: they're going to be all the way locked in for

463
00:22:09,720 --> 00:22:12,920
Speaker 5: this game, Like they're playing at the southern western tip

464
00:22:12,960 --> 00:22:16,280
Speaker 5: of Texas in a place and area that New Mexico State.

465
00:22:16,320 --> 00:22:17,399
Speaker 4: You'd said, both flier.

466
00:22:17,200 --> 00:22:19,920
Speaker 5: With New Mexico State's guards too, Like, I know this

467
00:22:20,000 --> 00:22:23,040
Speaker 5: is a Kent State pressure inducing defense at least it's

468
00:22:23,080 --> 00:22:25,760
Speaker 5: kind of how it's been morphed into this season. But

469
00:22:25,800 --> 00:22:28,880
Speaker 5: I think they'll welcome that. Like Xavier Pinston and Washington,

470
00:22:28,920 --> 00:22:31,159
Speaker 5: like they can thrive in chaos. I think that they

471
00:22:31,240 --> 00:22:33,840
Speaker 5: eat that up. So if that's how this game morphs into,

472
00:22:33,880 --> 00:22:35,760
Speaker 5: I think New Mexico State actually will be fine in that.

473
00:22:36,480 --> 00:22:38,240
Speaker 5: Just question of how good is Ken State really? Kind

474
00:22:38,280 --> 00:22:40,640
Speaker 5: Like I think if they come in here and emphatically

475
00:22:40,760 --> 00:22:42,439
Speaker 5: rolled New Mexico State, I think we really have to

476
00:22:42,480 --> 00:22:44,680
Speaker 5: take a serious look at Kent State as like maybe

477
00:22:44,680 --> 00:22:46,600
Speaker 5: the best min major in college basketball right now.

478
00:22:47,080 --> 00:22:49,720
Speaker 4: Yeah, I think they could be, and I gosh, I

479
00:22:49,720 --> 00:22:53,000
Speaker 4: agree with you guys that if not for the ridiculous travel,

480
00:22:53,000 --> 00:22:54,960
Speaker 4: I'd be on Kent State. It's not a team I

481
00:22:55,000 --> 00:22:59,000
Speaker 4: want to fade. They covered at Gonzaga and at Houston.

482
00:22:59,119 --> 00:23:01,719
Speaker 1: I mean that's a bit miss more than just covered,

483
00:23:01,840 --> 00:23:04,040
Speaker 1: Like they could have won both of those games in

484
00:23:04,040 --> 00:23:04,840
Speaker 1: the final teens.

485
00:23:05,400 --> 00:23:07,919
Speaker 4: That's ridiculously impressive. I know New Mexico State is a

486
00:23:07,920 --> 00:23:10,280
Speaker 4: good team as well, but this Kent State team might

487
00:23:10,320 --> 00:23:12,480
Speaker 4: be next level. And I do like their coaching, I

488
00:23:12,520 --> 00:23:15,200
Speaker 4: love their players. It's going to be interesting to see

489
00:23:15,200 --> 00:23:17,439
Speaker 4: which way the market moves the game. That'll probably determine

490
00:23:17,440 --> 00:23:18,639
Speaker 4: which way I go with this one.

491
00:23:19,040 --> 00:23:22,200
Speaker 1: Yep. Yeah, the travels bad here, but travel to Spokane

492
00:23:22,800 --> 00:23:25,160
Speaker 1: two days after playing South Dakota State at home, isn't

493
00:23:25,160 --> 00:23:28,160
Speaker 1: it really some travel? Great spot, and they hung right

494
00:23:28,160 --> 00:23:31,919
Speaker 1: in with Gonzaga there. They're just big, physical and have

495
00:23:32,400 --> 00:23:35,159
Speaker 1: a Conference Player of the Year caliber point guard like

496
00:23:35,200 --> 00:23:38,080
Speaker 1: that is such a great formula for solid mid major

497
00:23:38,800 --> 00:23:41,760
Speaker 1: lean their way. New Mexico State has done a very

498
00:23:41,760 --> 00:23:44,399
Speaker 1: good job of rallying around some of the off the

499
00:23:44,440 --> 00:23:47,359
Speaker 1: court issues that they've had, But Kent State's just they're

500
00:23:47,359 --> 00:23:49,720
Speaker 1: just too good for me. At three or lower, I

501
00:23:49,720 --> 00:23:53,320
Speaker 1: will probably be back in the Flashes all right. On Thursday,

502
00:23:53,320 --> 00:23:56,479
Speaker 1: We're going to turn our attention to Santa Clara hosting

503
00:23:56,560 --> 00:24:00,720
Speaker 1: Boise State for KEMPOM. The Blue Bronco are a four

504
00:24:00,760 --> 00:24:03,960
Speaker 1: point favorite on the road. They've been rolling lately. We

505
00:24:04,040 --> 00:24:06,240
Speaker 1: don't know if Marcus Shaver is going to be fully healthy,

506
00:24:06,240 --> 00:24:09,040
Speaker 1: though he's missed three the last four, and the one

507
00:24:09,040 --> 00:24:11,800
Speaker 1: game he played Kai at Slew he was really kind

508
00:24:11,840 --> 00:24:15,800
Speaker 1: of ineffective, just clearly limited. I trust Leon Rice to

509
00:24:15,800 --> 00:24:18,880
Speaker 1: have a pretty solid game plan against Brandon Pajimski air

510
00:24:18,960 --> 00:24:23,520
Speaker 1: Pods the Star for Santa Clara. This one feels like

511
00:24:23,560 --> 00:24:25,760
Speaker 1: a toss up to me, so I would maybe lean

512
00:24:25,760 --> 00:24:28,240
Speaker 1: towards getting the points, but I don't have a strong take.

513
00:24:28,800 --> 00:24:30,159
Speaker 4: I agree it feels like a toss up. I think

514
00:24:30,200 --> 00:24:32,320
Speaker 4: Marcus Shaver will matter more in this game than he

515
00:24:32,400 --> 00:24:35,760
Speaker 4: has in the last couple, especially against like Oakland for instance.

516
00:24:36,640 --> 00:24:39,520
Speaker 4: Santa clair'sn't really could man, They've done really nothing wrong

517
00:24:39,560 --> 00:24:42,720
Speaker 4: all season, Ben solid. They're at home here. You know,

518
00:24:42,760 --> 00:24:44,840
Speaker 4: both teams going to the conference play right after this.

519
00:24:44,840 --> 00:24:47,240
Speaker 4: This is probably kind of a whatever threw your hands

520
00:24:47,320 --> 00:24:49,680
Speaker 4: up type of game. I agree Jim that the dog

521
00:24:49,760 --> 00:24:52,120
Speaker 4: sounds more enticing to me. I would lean towards Santa

522
00:24:52,160 --> 00:24:54,280
Speaker 4: Clara at plus four. That's what it is.

523
00:24:54,640 --> 00:24:56,719
Speaker 5: Yeah, Claire's had some close calls at home, and they

524
00:24:56,720 --> 00:24:58,800
Speaker 5: be Mexico State by one, right, which is a good win.

525
00:24:59,520 --> 00:25:02,680
Speaker 5: San Jose State lost by eleven at home, kind of

526
00:25:02,720 --> 00:25:05,919
Speaker 5: a late squandered down the stretch there. Portland State they

527
00:25:05,920 --> 00:25:08,400
Speaker 5: were lucky to win. I would argue one by three,

528
00:25:08,720 --> 00:25:10,840
Speaker 5: you see, Irvine, think they caught it a good spot,

529
00:25:10,840 --> 00:25:12,720
Speaker 5: one by twelve and then call it's pet by nine,

530
00:25:12,720 --> 00:25:14,920
Speaker 5: So I think they're getting kind of comfortable at home.

531
00:25:15,800 --> 00:25:17,400
Speaker 5: I would lean to back the dog here. I think

532
00:25:17,400 --> 00:25:19,520
Speaker 5: this is a spot where Santa Claire maybe gets feels

533
00:25:19,520 --> 00:25:21,560
Speaker 5: a little bit too fat and happy off a few wins,

534
00:25:22,480 --> 00:25:23,960
Speaker 5: especially with the healthy Marcus Shaver.

535
00:25:24,520 --> 00:25:28,159
Speaker 1: Well, the dog would be Santa Clara. I'm looking at

536
00:25:28,160 --> 00:25:28,920
Speaker 1: the short road favorite.

537
00:25:28,920 --> 00:25:31,280
Speaker 5: Excuse me, Yeah, I'm going to fade Santa Clara feeling

538
00:25:31,280 --> 00:25:32,120
Speaker 5: good about themselves.

539
00:25:32,680 --> 00:25:35,200
Speaker 1: Just to make sure your message to the listeners is

540
00:25:35,240 --> 00:25:36,200
Speaker 1: clear here, Matthew want.

541
00:25:36,040 --> 00:25:38,000
Speaker 5: To say they wrote that down, They wrote that down.

542
00:25:38,040 --> 00:25:38,400
Speaker 4: We're good.

543
00:25:38,440 --> 00:25:40,840
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, okay, good good, They're locked in. Everybody's got

544
00:25:40,840 --> 00:25:43,640
Speaker 1: it all right before we get to our spotlight. Last

545
00:25:43,680 --> 00:25:46,720
Speaker 1: little section here, always a one we are fond of.

546
00:25:46,800 --> 00:25:49,240
Speaker 1: It's the trash man pick of the week. The trash

547
00:25:49,280 --> 00:25:50,480
Speaker 1: man pick of the week.

548
00:25:51,040 --> 00:25:52,120
Speaker 4: I'm the trash man.

549
00:25:52,440 --> 00:25:55,639
Speaker 2: Just throw me the trash, your garbage, and you know it,

550
00:25:55,800 --> 00:25:58,000
Speaker 2: totally unreliable, undependably.

551
00:25:58,280 --> 00:25:58,520
Speaker 3: That's it.

552
00:25:58,640 --> 00:26:01,560
Speaker 1: You've been told off. Hote you like that good? And

553
00:26:01,800 --> 00:26:05,639
Speaker 1: today we're going with Holy Cross at Sacred Heart on Thursday.

554
00:26:06,280 --> 00:26:09,240
Speaker 1: Sacred Heart is seven point favorite here, but they have

555
00:26:09,320 --> 00:26:12,600
Speaker 1: been without two key transfers, Aiden Carpenter and Brenda Maguire.

556
00:26:12,720 --> 00:26:16,159
Speaker 1: Carpenters back out of the lineup on Monday. Both teams

557
00:26:16,160 --> 00:26:18,879
Speaker 1: got smacked on Monday. Let's know how bad they are.

558
00:26:18,920 --> 00:26:21,679
Speaker 1: They're both outside of the Kempond top three hundred. I

559
00:26:21,840 --> 00:26:24,600
Speaker 1: might be crazy, but if both mac transfers are out Kai,

560
00:26:24,640 --> 00:26:28,240
Speaker 1: I'm probably gonna lean holy Cross and might potentially bet them.

561
00:26:28,400 --> 00:26:30,120
Speaker 1: I don't have a huge appetite for it. Though, after

562
00:26:30,160 --> 00:26:32,720
Speaker 1: backing them on Monday and getting wiped off the floor,

563
00:26:32,880 --> 00:26:33,399
Speaker 1: I lean.

564
00:26:33,280 --> 00:26:36,440
Speaker 4: Holy Cross's way. It's a team I'm having trouble figuring out,

565
00:26:36,480 --> 00:26:38,880
Speaker 4: though I've won a couple of games on them. I've

566
00:26:38,880 --> 00:26:40,800
Speaker 4: won a couple of games fading them. But lately they've

567
00:26:40,840 --> 00:26:44,360
Speaker 4: been kind of unpredictable. They covered against Quinnypiak and Northeastern.

568
00:26:44,920 --> 00:26:46,760
Speaker 4: I didn't think they'd cover either of those games. They

569
00:26:46,760 --> 00:26:49,480
Speaker 4: did it pretty convincingly. So there's talent there that grill

570
00:26:49,520 --> 00:26:51,440
Speaker 4: gates the best player on the floor. So you have

571
00:26:51,520 --> 00:26:53,959
Speaker 4: the best player on the floor, you're catching seven. That's

572
00:26:54,000 --> 00:26:55,760
Speaker 4: probably the way i'd lean. Sacred Heart's not been a

573
00:26:55,760 --> 00:26:56,880
Speaker 4: world beater this year.

574
00:26:56,840 --> 00:26:58,840
Speaker 5: Man, I have done a clue other than holy Cross

575
00:26:58,840 --> 00:27:00,560
Speaker 5: has been good when I thought to be bad, and

576
00:27:00,560 --> 00:27:02,000
Speaker 5: they've been bad, and I thought they've been.

577
00:27:02,520 --> 00:27:04,880
Speaker 1: Okay, the old whack them all, the.

578
00:27:04,840 --> 00:27:07,760
Speaker 5: Old wlackam mole, And I guess if that pattern continues,

579
00:27:07,920 --> 00:27:09,760
Speaker 5: my heart is telling me that they're the better team here.

580
00:27:09,800 --> 00:27:12,280
Speaker 5: It just feels like a big number, doesn't it touchdown

581
00:27:12,280 --> 00:27:13,800
Speaker 5: on the road, Not that it's a you.

582
00:27:13,760 --> 00:27:16,600
Speaker 4: Know, but really really bad lately.

583
00:27:17,119 --> 00:27:20,120
Speaker 5: Yeah, Okay, I don't know, I guess I wane holy

584
00:27:20,200 --> 00:27:21,160
Speaker 5: Cross the Gates train.

585
00:27:21,240 --> 00:27:24,120
Speaker 1: It's fun to ride, yeap that the holy Cross game.

586
00:27:24,440 --> 00:27:27,360
Speaker 1: Most recently, I think they just kind of ran into

587
00:27:27,400 --> 00:27:29,919
Speaker 1: a sort of better coach team Bill Harry, and had

588
00:27:29,960 --> 00:27:32,560
Speaker 1: a great game plan. Gates got in foul trouble five

589
00:27:32,560 --> 00:27:34,399
Speaker 1: minutes into that game, sat for almost the rest of

590
00:27:34,440 --> 00:27:38,040
Speaker 1: the first half, and kay, we saw their absolute worst

591
00:27:38,080 --> 00:27:40,520
Speaker 1: effort of the season was the one game that Gates missed.

592
00:27:40,600 --> 00:27:43,800
Speaker 1: They got blown up by forty against Harvard. So you

593
00:27:43,840 --> 00:27:45,679
Speaker 1: need him in there, you need him on the floor,

594
00:27:45,760 --> 00:27:47,280
Speaker 1: and I don't think Sacred Heart's going to get him

595
00:27:47,280 --> 00:27:49,800
Speaker 1: in foul trouble the same way New Hampshire did. That

596
00:27:49,960 --> 00:27:51,840
Speaker 1: is a great breakdown of the trash Man pick of

597
00:27:51,880 --> 00:27:55,320
Speaker 1: the week. Wow, we dug in, we went dumpster diving, fellows.

598
00:27:55,359 --> 00:27:58,280
Speaker 1: I'm proud of us. Well done. Let's turn to our

599
00:27:58,520 --> 00:28:02,880
Speaker 1: final segment here. That would be the spotlight section. We're

600
00:28:02,960 --> 00:28:06,000
Speaker 1: looking at a spotlight on. We're going to cast a

601
00:28:06,040 --> 00:28:09,159
Speaker 1: spotlight on teams were looking to back or fade in

602
00:28:09,280 --> 00:28:12,280
Speaker 1: conference play, and typically the angle we're looking here is

603
00:28:12,840 --> 00:28:15,600
Speaker 1: bilo teams to back because we felt like, oh, they

604
00:28:15,600 --> 00:28:18,159
Speaker 1: haven't performed up to expectations or they haven't been healthy,

605
00:28:18,520 --> 00:28:21,800
Speaker 1: that kind of narrative, and then fade teams, Oh they're

606
00:28:21,840 --> 00:28:24,480
Speaker 1: playing over their head, or there's regression coming on their

607
00:28:24,520 --> 00:28:28,040
Speaker 1: shooting numbers, that that sort of thing. I'm going to

608
00:28:28,160 --> 00:28:30,199
Speaker 1: kick it to Matt first here because he and I

609
00:28:30,280 --> 00:28:32,280
Speaker 1: share a team that we're looking to back heading into

610
00:28:32,359 --> 00:28:34,680
Speaker 1: league play. Matt tell the people who it.

611
00:28:34,680 --> 00:28:36,640
Speaker 4: Is, VC you the Rams.

612
00:28:36,960 --> 00:28:39,160
Speaker 5: Mike Rhodes not a guy like to play for it,

613
00:28:39,280 --> 00:28:43,120
Speaker 5: kind of has that terrifying Bobby Knight meanstreak, militant type

614
00:28:43,120 --> 00:28:45,560
Speaker 5: of vibe. He basically talked openly about how they're going

615
00:28:45,600 --> 00:28:49,800
Speaker 5: to practice exceedingly hard after there's recent struggles. Now a

616
00:28:49,840 --> 00:28:52,880
Speaker 5: lot of that's been due to some injuries and roster

617
00:28:53,400 --> 00:28:55,320
Speaker 5: you know, hiccups, which has been kind of like the

618
00:28:55,360 --> 00:28:57,320
Speaker 5: norm under Roads. I think the key is as Roads

619
00:28:57,320 --> 00:28:59,800
Speaker 5: typically does well in that turbulence because you always has

620
00:28:59,800 --> 00:29:03,200
Speaker 5: so much depth and his players are more or less interchangeable.

621
00:29:04,080 --> 00:29:07,440
Speaker 5: So especially if you get the ladder half the non conference,

622
00:29:07,480 --> 00:29:10,280
Speaker 5: which is which will be VCU as a large ish favorite,

623
00:29:10,400 --> 00:29:13,000
Speaker 5: then heading into the start of conference play with a

624
00:29:13,040 --> 00:29:16,200
Speaker 5: down a ten landscape, I think the Rams are going

625
00:29:16,280 --> 00:29:19,600
Speaker 5: to quietly be an ats Darling here, especially they get

626
00:29:19,600 --> 00:29:21,760
Speaker 5: Brandy John's back from his back spas and stuff.

627
00:29:22,480 --> 00:29:24,240
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm a big fan of BC you, Matt, Like

628
00:29:24,280 --> 00:29:26,880
Speaker 1: you said, Baldwin's been banged up with the wrist thing

629
00:29:26,920 --> 00:29:28,760
Speaker 1: kind of in and out. I think as he gets healthier,

630
00:29:28,760 --> 00:29:31,959
Speaker 1: hopefully over the holiday break, give him some time off,

631
00:29:32,640 --> 00:29:34,280
Speaker 1: that will be huge for them. He's kind of the

632
00:29:34,600 --> 00:29:37,400
Speaker 1: engine that makes them go. And then yeah, like the

633
00:29:37,480 --> 00:29:39,600
Speaker 1: transfers are getting a little more comfortable in the scheme

634
00:29:39,680 --> 00:29:42,960
Speaker 1: and getting used to the defensive approach that that Roads

635
00:29:43,000 --> 00:29:45,480
Speaker 1: brings to the table. I like VCU quite a bit

636
00:29:45,520 --> 00:29:47,800
Speaker 1: as a team to back. Kay, you are in a

637
00:29:47,840 --> 00:29:50,520
Speaker 1: similar realm as a team with a team to back

638
00:29:50,600 --> 00:29:54,120
Speaker 1: same conference, but not VCU. You are looking to back who.

639
00:29:54,000 --> 00:29:57,920
Speaker 4: Yeah, Dayton the preseason eight ten favorites most people have

640
00:29:57,920 --> 00:30:00,360
Speaker 4: forgotten about them for maybe a good reason, have been

641
00:30:00,360 --> 00:30:02,600
Speaker 4: great this season, but I can see them starting to

642
00:30:02,640 --> 00:30:05,840
Speaker 4: turn a corner here. They have been very injured. Malachi

643
00:30:06,000 --> 00:30:08,840
Speaker 4: Smith and Kobe Elvis been out of the lineup. I

644
00:30:08,880 --> 00:30:11,160
Speaker 4: assume they'll be back within the next couple of weeks.

645
00:30:11,160 --> 00:30:14,880
Speaker 4: I don't have the timeframe completely, but if those guys

646
00:30:14,880 --> 00:30:16,480
Speaker 4: do get back, this team is still going to be

647
00:30:16,640 --> 00:30:19,360
Speaker 4: top twenty five upside right. They have the talent, they

648
00:30:19,360 --> 00:30:21,960
Speaker 4: have the experience. Say what you want about the coaching,

649
00:30:21,960 --> 00:30:25,400
Speaker 4: but I think it's solid and going to a ten play,

650
00:30:25,400 --> 00:30:28,200
Speaker 4: which kind of like VCU. The rest of these teams

651
00:30:28,200 --> 00:30:31,200
Speaker 4: in this league have been terrible this season, and teams

652
00:30:31,240 --> 00:30:35,240
Speaker 4: like Dayton, VCU and even Slough can start really exerting

653
00:30:35,280 --> 00:30:36,680
Speaker 4: their will on the conference.

654
00:30:37,120 --> 00:30:38,840
Speaker 1: Yeah. I think that's kind of the key point is

655
00:30:38,880 --> 00:30:41,600
Speaker 1: it's not like these teams that have underperformed at the

656
00:30:41,600 --> 00:30:43,280
Speaker 1: top of the league are going into league play and

657
00:30:43,280 --> 00:30:45,959
Speaker 1: facing a gauntlet. It's a lot of other teams that

658
00:30:46,040 --> 00:30:50,480
Speaker 1: have underperformed to even lesser expectations, and that makes me

659
00:30:50,520 --> 00:30:53,120
Speaker 1: want to trend up with VCU and Dayton and even

660
00:30:53,320 --> 00:30:56,160
Speaker 1: someone like Sleugh I think can also be a potential

661
00:30:56,160 --> 00:30:59,160
Speaker 1: team worth backing. We've each got a second team to

662
00:30:59,280 --> 00:31:01,200
Speaker 1: back here, and I'll kick to you first. You tell

663
00:31:01,240 --> 00:31:03,680
Speaker 1: the folks who you're who else you're looking to get behind.

664
00:31:04,000 --> 00:31:07,160
Speaker 5: Oregon is my team. It's a Ducks team that's getting healthier.

665
00:31:07,840 --> 00:31:09,760
Speaker 5: The problem with the Ducks this season has been their

666
00:31:09,800 --> 00:31:11,880
Speaker 5: guard play, which is where most of their injuries lie.

667
00:31:12,040 --> 00:31:15,480
Speaker 5: But I think the recent ascension I guess of Brendan

668
00:31:15,520 --> 00:31:18,479
Speaker 5: rigsby the Juco stud has been a revelation with all

669
00:31:18,560 --> 00:31:20,400
Speaker 5: those sores as guys just starting to heat up. Two

670
00:31:20,520 --> 00:31:24,320
Speaker 5: Quincy Garrio at their other wing is presumably healthier, and

671
00:31:24,360 --> 00:31:26,240
Speaker 5: they got some beast up front. I think once Oregon

672
00:31:26,280 --> 00:31:28,480
Speaker 5: gets some inside out balance, which we're starting to see,

673
00:31:28,480 --> 00:31:31,200
Speaker 5: which you've already seen evidence the last few games. The

674
00:31:31,240 --> 00:31:33,600
Speaker 5: only annoying part was their kind of a second half

675
00:31:33,720 --> 00:31:37,000
Speaker 5: loll letdown against Riverside. They've taken their foot off the

676
00:31:37,000 --> 00:31:38,320
Speaker 5: gas in some of these games, but I think they've

677
00:31:38,320 --> 00:31:39,800
Speaker 5: shown that they're a really good team. So I think

678
00:31:39,840 --> 00:31:42,040
Speaker 5: when you see them step up in class and it's

679
00:31:42,040 --> 00:31:45,400
Speaker 5: pack twelve teams, you get a full forty minute motivation

680
00:31:46,200 --> 00:31:48,480
Speaker 5: type of Ducks team that's going to show up consistently.

681
00:31:48,560 --> 00:31:51,040
Speaker 5: So I'm looking to back them not as a large favorite,

682
00:31:51,080 --> 00:31:53,680
Speaker 5: but when they enter conference play tighter at close games,

683
00:31:54,360 --> 00:31:54,760
Speaker 5: we see the.

684
00:31:54,800 --> 00:31:57,800
Speaker 1: Vintage Altman February March Ducks.

685
00:31:57,800 --> 00:31:58,600
Speaker 4: Soar Yeah.

686
00:31:58,640 --> 00:32:01,440
Speaker 1: We always love the just need to win type of spreads,

687
00:32:01,480 --> 00:32:03,840
Speaker 1: right Kai. Those are the lower ones that we of.

688
00:32:03,760 --> 00:32:06,800
Speaker 4: Spreads to that absolutely gym and especially Barthelemi's coming back

689
00:32:06,840 --> 00:32:09,840
Speaker 4: in January. Yeah, he's back in the lineup. This team

690
00:32:10,440 --> 00:32:11,880
Speaker 4: has top twenty upside.

691
00:32:12,080 --> 00:32:15,720
Speaker 1: They just do yep ki. What about your second team,

692
00:32:15,800 --> 00:32:16,440
Speaker 1: you know, look in to back.

693
00:32:16,560 --> 00:32:18,560
Speaker 4: Well, I'm going a mid major gym. I'm going to

694
00:32:18,600 --> 00:32:23,640
Speaker 4: the a Sun. Jacksonville State a team that has, will say,

695
00:32:23,720 --> 00:32:27,280
Speaker 4: underachieved analytically this season, but injuries have been a huge

696
00:32:27,280 --> 00:32:31,680
Speaker 4: issue for them, and it's been kind of underscored because

697
00:32:31,880 --> 00:32:34,400
Speaker 4: they're such a brand new team. Ray Harbor brought in

698
00:32:34,400 --> 00:32:37,160
Speaker 4: a bunch of new transfers, Jico guys, freshmen. They weren't

699
00:32:37,240 --> 00:32:39,080
Speaker 4: very cohesive to start the year. I think it'd be

700
00:32:39,120 --> 00:32:41,720
Speaker 4: much better going forward. You saw the first step against

701
00:32:41,720 --> 00:32:43,440
Speaker 4: Little Rock when they were up by twenty in that game,

702
00:32:43,480 --> 00:32:46,320
Speaker 4: ended up covering barely, but still covering. I think this

703
00:32:46,360 --> 00:32:48,120
Speaker 4: is a team that will finish top three in a

704
00:32:48,240 --> 00:32:50,480
Speaker 4: very good a Sun and a team that's going to

705
00:32:50,480 --> 00:32:53,120
Speaker 4: be playing their best basketball over the next couple months.

706
00:32:53,160 --> 00:32:55,640
Speaker 1: I've skirted a couple close wins with them in the

707
00:32:55,680 --> 00:32:59,320
Speaker 1: non con ats barely, but I do think like they

708
00:32:59,400 --> 00:33:02,040
Speaker 1: are a prime get better as a team goes, as

709
00:33:02,040 --> 00:33:04,400
Speaker 1: they all get familiar with each other. That's a great call.

710
00:33:05,040 --> 00:33:07,360
Speaker 1: One of the teams I'm looking to back is TCU.

711
00:33:07,560 --> 00:33:09,480
Speaker 1: We just talked about them in the Power Game of

712
00:33:09,520 --> 00:33:11,720
Speaker 1: the Week section. How I just think they're a different

713
00:33:11,720 --> 00:33:13,960
Speaker 1: team with Miles and Baw. I won't rehash all that stuff.

714
00:33:14,160 --> 00:33:16,600
Speaker 1: I just like the way that they are trending. I

715
00:33:16,680 --> 00:33:19,120
Speaker 1: love them preseason, so it kind of aligns with my

716
00:33:19,240 --> 00:33:22,040
Speaker 1: priors that they're playing better. And when things align with

717
00:33:22,040 --> 00:33:23,960
Speaker 1: my priors, I get to be biased towards them and

718
00:33:24,400 --> 00:33:27,400
Speaker 1: step in. So definitely looking to get to get on

719
00:33:27,640 --> 00:33:29,959
Speaker 1: the side of the horn Frogs. On the flip side,

720
00:33:30,080 --> 00:33:32,240
Speaker 1: I'll just keep the micro real quick here. A couple

721
00:33:32,280 --> 00:33:33,840
Speaker 1: of teams I'm looking to fade also lie in the

722
00:33:33,840 --> 00:33:37,800
Speaker 1: Big Twelve. That would be Texas and West Virginia and Texas,

723
00:33:37,840 --> 00:33:40,280
Speaker 1: I think is more obvious the reason why Chris Beard

724
00:33:40,320 --> 00:33:42,160
Speaker 1: will probably not coach the rest of the year based

725
00:33:42,200 --> 00:33:43,840
Speaker 1: on some of the off the court issues that he

726
00:33:43,920 --> 00:33:46,240
Speaker 1: is going through. And when you go from Chris Beard

727
00:33:46,280 --> 00:33:49,920
Speaker 1: to Rodney Terry, I think you've become a categorically different team,

728
00:33:50,640 --> 00:33:54,200
Speaker 1: worse probably in that direction, and against the gauntlet of

729
00:33:54,240 --> 00:33:56,000
Speaker 1: the Big Twelve, I think they're really going to suffer.

730
00:33:56,440 --> 00:33:59,680
Speaker 1: The coaching in that league is so good that having

731
00:33:59,720 --> 00:34:02,240
Speaker 1: a sort of disadvantage at the coaching spot is really

732
00:34:02,320 --> 00:34:04,880
Speaker 1: going to be a problem for them, So definitely looking

733
00:34:04,920 --> 00:34:07,680
Speaker 1: to fade Texas. West Virginia, on the other hand, is

734
00:34:07,720 --> 00:34:12,759
Speaker 1: more about shooting regression. Using the website shot quality, they

735
00:34:12,760 --> 00:34:15,919
Speaker 1: are due for negative regression in every aspect of the game,

736
00:34:16,120 --> 00:34:18,480
Speaker 1: their own three point shooting, opponents three point shooting, their

737
00:34:18,520 --> 00:34:21,759
Speaker 1: own mid range shooting, opponent's mid range shooting, their own

738
00:34:21,800 --> 00:34:24,960
Speaker 1: post up scenarios, opponents post up scenarios. They just had

739
00:34:25,040 --> 00:34:28,200
Speaker 1: really beneficial luck. And I think when you go against

740
00:34:28,600 --> 00:34:32,439
Speaker 1: tougher opponents that starts to trend back the wrong way

741
00:34:32,440 --> 00:34:34,640
Speaker 1: for West Virginia. And I know you love Huggy Bear,

742
00:34:34,760 --> 00:34:36,839
Speaker 1: but I just think their values a little too high

743
00:34:36,920 --> 00:34:37,239
Speaker 1: right now.

744
00:34:37,560 --> 00:34:39,640
Speaker 5: Yeah, it probably is in the guard play You're right,

745
00:34:39,640 --> 00:34:42,479
Speaker 5: Do you trust it all the way for entire conference season?

746
00:34:42,520 --> 00:34:44,800
Speaker 5: I'm not sure I do. I trust Huggins though. I

747
00:34:44,840 --> 00:34:46,759
Speaker 5: don't know if they're a fade for me, but they're

748
00:34:46,800 --> 00:34:49,040
Speaker 5: certainly not a buye. I'd just be holding if you

749
00:34:49,080 --> 00:34:50,600
Speaker 5: whatever shares you have, kind of hold on them. You

750
00:34:50,600 --> 00:34:53,120
Speaker 5: know the line, it's too far one way. Don't be

751
00:34:53,239 --> 00:34:55,239
Speaker 5: afraid to play them led too far the other way,

752
00:34:55,719 --> 00:34:56,759
Speaker 5: don't be afraid to fade them.

753
00:34:57,080 --> 00:35:00,200
Speaker 1: I somehow manage to cover met this week with Buffalo Aainst.

754
00:35:00,239 --> 00:35:02,319
Speaker 1: West Virginia, one of the most erratic teams. They held

755
00:35:02,360 --> 00:35:05,120
Speaker 1: on to a plus nineteen and a half spread. They

756
00:35:05,200 --> 00:35:07,400
Speaker 1: end up losing by eighteen. I think we started to

757
00:35:07,440 --> 00:35:09,239
Speaker 1: see it a little bit with West Virginia. I'm looking

758
00:35:09,280 --> 00:35:12,239
Speaker 1: forward to hopefully making a little bit more in league play. Kai.

759
00:35:12,280 --> 00:35:15,000
Speaker 1: Who are you looking to fade in conference play?

760
00:35:15,320 --> 00:35:18,319
Speaker 4: Jim, I'm looking at Arizona State and there's one trend

761
00:35:18,360 --> 00:35:21,040
Speaker 4: I'm looking at. It's that Bobby Hurley tends to play

762
00:35:21,080 --> 00:35:24,640
Speaker 4: down in conference play. We've seen in the past this team,

763
00:35:24,680 --> 00:35:27,160
Speaker 4: this program be very good in the non conference. They've

764
00:35:27,160 --> 00:35:29,040
Speaker 4: even gotten a number one in the country before not

765
00:35:29,080 --> 00:35:31,560
Speaker 4: too long ago, and then they come crashing down in

766
00:35:31,680 --> 00:35:34,560
Speaker 4: league play. Why that isn't necessarily I'm not really sure,

767
00:35:34,600 --> 00:35:37,200
Speaker 4: because they have played tough non conference schedules over the

768
00:35:37,280 --> 00:35:39,680
Speaker 4: last couple of years. But it's been a consistent trend

769
00:35:39,680 --> 00:35:41,520
Speaker 4: with him. I don't give him a lot of credit

770
00:35:41,560 --> 00:35:43,560
Speaker 4: as a coach. I'm sorry to all the Bobby Hurley

771
00:35:43,640 --> 00:35:46,440
Speaker 4: fans out there. So I think Arizona State's playing a

772
00:35:46,480 --> 00:35:48,160
Speaker 4: bit above their heads right now. I think they'll come

773
00:35:48,200 --> 00:35:50,680
Speaker 4: crashing down just a little bit impact twelve play at

774
00:35:50,719 --> 00:35:51,640
Speaker 4: least against the number.

775
00:35:52,040 --> 00:35:55,840
Speaker 1: Yeah, that's it always feels like they have these monster

776
00:35:55,960 --> 00:35:59,960
Speaker 1: non conferences and then and it just doesn't totally sustain.

777
00:36:00,000 --> 00:36:03,520
Speaker 1: And Matthew, what about you? Who are you looking to fade?

778
00:36:03,800 --> 00:36:06,120
Speaker 5: A couple of teams. The one that really jumped though

779
00:36:06,200 --> 00:36:08,320
Speaker 5: is Purdue. As well as that sounds when you have

780
00:36:08,360 --> 00:36:11,400
Speaker 5: an alien inside like Zach Edy, My angle here is

781
00:36:11,480 --> 00:36:14,239
Speaker 5: very simple. I think as we've seen with the Big

782
00:36:14,280 --> 00:36:17,439
Speaker 5: Ten struggling in the inns A tournament in years past,

783
00:36:17,520 --> 00:36:20,920
Speaker 5: you can kind of transfer that to Purdue within the

784
00:36:21,000 --> 00:36:24,680
Speaker 5: Big Ten, a league that has multiple, many, many great

785
00:36:24,719 --> 00:36:28,640
Speaker 5: bigs options to You can't neutralize Zak Edi, but you

786
00:36:28,680 --> 00:36:32,560
Speaker 5: can at least throw a partially competent body up against

787
00:36:32,600 --> 00:36:35,319
Speaker 5: him and keep him from completely eating you inside. We've

788
00:36:35,320 --> 00:36:39,800
Speaker 5: also seen some teams devise Nebraska notably good game plans

789
00:36:39,840 --> 00:36:43,280
Speaker 5: to scheme against him, take him away like backside helps

790
00:36:43,280 --> 00:36:45,480
Speaker 5: all the time. As the book comes out on how

791
00:36:45,520 --> 00:36:47,960
Speaker 5: to slow down Zach Edy, I think that kind of

792
00:36:48,000 --> 00:36:51,000
Speaker 5: results in Purdue's value starting to slip a little bit

793
00:36:51,000 --> 00:36:52,400
Speaker 5: because I think It puts a lot of pressure on

794
00:36:52,480 --> 00:36:55,319
Speaker 5: the freshman guards who are good but have had their

795
00:36:55,360 --> 00:36:58,719
Speaker 5: lives made so much easier by how awesome Zach spent

796
00:36:58,880 --> 00:37:01,960
Speaker 5: so at time up, what are they seventh in kempom.

797
00:37:02,160 --> 00:37:02,759
Speaker 4: That's too high.

798
00:37:02,800 --> 00:37:04,480
Speaker 5: I think they're a slight fait for me going into

799
00:37:04,480 --> 00:37:07,040
Speaker 5: the big which which team has figured out Zach ed

800
00:37:08,000 --> 00:37:10,359
Speaker 5: uh Nebraska did pretty well and then the next game

801
00:37:10,360 --> 00:37:11,600
Speaker 5: and they haven't covered the last three. I think the

802
00:37:11,600 --> 00:37:13,200
Speaker 5: throwing three, the last weegainst the spread. I mean, they're

803
00:37:13,200 --> 00:37:15,320
Speaker 5: all very near non covers, but like I think Perdue

804
00:37:15,360 --> 00:37:18,160
Speaker 5: has a slight bit of regression coming the price in

805
00:37:18,200 --> 00:37:18,520
Speaker 5: the Moon.

806
00:37:19,160 --> 00:37:21,520
Speaker 1: Yeah, they kept the ball out of Edie's hands, that

807
00:37:21,600 --> 00:37:23,440
Speaker 1: was like the one thing they did Nebraska. But he

808
00:37:23,480 --> 00:37:25,440
Speaker 1: also had seventeen rebounds and seven blocks.

809
00:37:25,480 --> 00:37:27,320
Speaker 5: So right, you're not going to stop Zach Edi. The

810
00:37:27,400 --> 00:37:29,719
Speaker 5: question is right, he's not salved salt. No one's going

811
00:37:29,760 --> 00:37:30,080
Speaker 5: to solve.

812
00:37:30,600 --> 00:37:32,520
Speaker 1: But yeah, if you keeping the ball out of his

813
00:37:32,560 --> 00:37:34,640
Speaker 1: hands is the way to beat him. And it's much

814
00:37:34,680 --> 00:37:37,680
Speaker 1: easier to do with big men compared to guards. So

815
00:37:38,160 --> 00:37:40,560
Speaker 1: I sort of buy that angle. All right. That wraps

816
00:37:40,560 --> 00:37:42,399
Speaker 1: it up for us this week, Fellas. That is our

817
00:37:42,440 --> 00:37:45,920
Speaker 1: big Bets on Campus episode. This was the last episode

818
00:37:46,000 --> 00:37:49,040
Speaker 1: before Christmas. We'll sneak one in before New Year's next week.

819
00:37:49,120 --> 00:37:51,760
Speaker 1: Looking ahead to the New Year's Eve kind of slate

820
00:37:52,080 --> 00:37:55,080
Speaker 1: give you some breakdowns there. Thank you again to bet MGM,

821
00:37:55,160 --> 00:37:57,880
Speaker 1: to Action Network. Looking forward to talking to you folks

822
00:37:57,880 --> 00:37:59,080
Speaker 1: again next week. We'll see that.

823
00:38:10,560 --> 00:38:15,080
Speaker 5: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or

824
00:38:15,120 --> 00:38:17,880
Speaker 5: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is

825
00:38:17,920 --> 00:38:21,000
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