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Speaker 1: The Action Network Podcast. I'm just about that action also.

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Speaker 1: All right, here we go throwing into spect We're saying

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Speaker 1: it's a catch star. We'll see most gamblers when they

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Speaker 1: go to gamble, they go to win. That's incredible. Big bank,

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Speaker 1: small banks. I like to make money. All right, this

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Speaker 1: is the ultimate kabak if you want to pull. And

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Speaker 1: we are underway. What is up? Everybody? Welcome to the

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Speaker 1: Action Network Podcast presented by FanDuel. I am your host,

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Speaker 1: Chris Raybond, and today we've got our NFL player projections

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Speaker 1: four week number eleven. We'll run through our top five

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Speaker 1: at each skilled position, discuss the players we're high and

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Speaker 1: low on, and throughout a player prop for each position

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Speaker 1: as well. Joining me as always one of the top

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Speaker 1: projectors and rankers in the game, Sean Kerr. Sean, what's

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Speaker 1: going on?

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Speaker 2: What's up? I definitely had a much better Week ten

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Speaker 2: than Week nine, essentially like broke even but crushed in DFS.

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Speaker 2: People's Jones came through, Devin Singletary was a great leverage play,

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Speaker 2: so did good. There went four and one in college

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Speaker 2: football Props. So so you know with that this week,

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Speaker 2: But how was your Week ten?

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Speaker 1: Pretty good? Six and three, so another another winning one. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: so we keep keeping moving.

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Speaker 2: Oh we barely hang on that Mac Hollins probably, Oh yeah,

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Speaker 2: I saw that No Cho was until the last drive

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Speaker 2: and he got targeted four four times in a row.

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Speaker 2: But we survived that one, bringing our record to like

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Speaker 2: sixteen and one on bets. We're on the same side,

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Speaker 2: so that that was fun to see us both win

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Speaker 2: that one.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, like that stood out. I was like, cause I

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Speaker 1: think I was talking to you earlier in the week.

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Speaker 1: I was like mc collins, it's not the time of

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Speaker 1: matchup for mac collins and the Yeah, yeah, like nothing.

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Speaker 1: It was crazy because he had like three targets on

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Speaker 1: the first drive but they all went and then ye,

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Speaker 1: he didn't have anything the whole game until the last

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Speaker 1: drive and then yeah he got crazy. But how about

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Speaker 1: them Colts?

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Speaker 2: Oh yeah, you called that ouright. I was hitting like

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Speaker 2: we might see some Matt Ryan. I didn't know he

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Speaker 2: would actually start, but obviously that was the correct decision. Yeah.

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Speaker 1: Man, it's like, I don't know. Something was just telling

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Speaker 1: me something was up with the rail, something's wrong with

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Speaker 1: the raiders. I don't know. Yeah, I don't know what.

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Speaker 2: The understatement of the century.

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Speaker 1: Let's jump into the pod and let's start with quarterbacks.

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Speaker 1: Who's your top five four week number eleven?

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Speaker 2: So I have Patrick Mahomes number one, Josh Ellen two

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Speaker 2: because of the potential snowy weather this week, and then

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Speaker 2: Jalen Hurts, Lamar Jackson, and Justin Fields.

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Speaker 1: Yep, I got I got a little different order. I

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Speaker 1: still have Josh Allen number one. It's gonna be hard

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Speaker 1: for me to get him down from one even with

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Speaker 1: the weather. I have him like one and a half

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Speaker 1: points above my home. So I'm interested to see our projections.

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Speaker 2: Well, Homes is getting those Russian stats now too.

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Speaker 1: I know, I know, yeah, definitely. I mean, how many

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Speaker 1: rushing yards do you have them for?

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Speaker 2: Probably still like mid twenties, let's see twenty five.

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Speaker 1: I have him for twenties, so maybe I need to

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Speaker 1: bump them up a little bit.

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Speaker 2: But yeah, Josh Allen, I have projected for like two

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Speaker 2: hundred and forty passing yards.

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Speaker 1: I am rattling down.

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Speaker 2: The passing projections for that matchup. I know it's early

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Speaker 2: in the week, but that total did drop like four points,

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Speaker 2: so I think it is safe to say we will

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Speaker 2: see heavy snow there. So I'm just trying to get

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Speaker 2: ahead of it, having some fun on a Tuesday, you know,

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Speaker 2: with my projection. So yeah, I have josh Alcolcter to forty.

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Speaker 1: By the way, I went to you and you and

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Speaker 1: O and too.

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Speaker 2: Oh no oho, you wonder are we talking?

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Speaker 1: I actually didn't tally it. I think we probably are.

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Speaker 1: We're either tired.

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Speaker 2: I was, Yeah, I was out by one or two.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, so you're either up under.

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Speaker 2: Tie and how about us are over Jimmy g I

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Speaker 2: had him at two thirty five. You had him at

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Speaker 2: two forty five, and he finished with two forty passing yards.

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Speaker 1: So hey, yeah, there we go, the power of wisdom

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Speaker 1: of the crowds. Yes, exactly, Okay, but yeah I have

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Speaker 1: I still have our number one, so it is gonna

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Speaker 1: be tough for me to get him down at number two.

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Speaker 1: I would have to knock his projection down quite a bit.

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Speaker 1: But for now, yeah, he's still number one. Mahomes two,

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Speaker 1: Jackson three, Hurts four, and then Justin Field's number five.

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Speaker 1: Who are you high on?

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Speaker 2: Uh so rare time. I'm actually high on Russell Wilson

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Speaker 2: this week. He's my QB ten to Ope in the

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Speaker 2: week who looks like yeah, it looks like Jerry Judy

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Speaker 2: avoided a major injury, which is huge, so he could

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Speaker 2: suit up this week. It looks like and kJ Hammler

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Speaker 2: might return as well. So Russ had a pretty good

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Speaker 2: game last week against the Titans, who are pass funnel defense,

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Speaker 2: and this is another good matchup this week against the

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Speaker 2: Raiders defense that ranked dead last against the pass Indgaway.

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Speaker 2: So yeah, it's like I said, it's rare to have

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Speaker 2: Russell this high in my projections, but he opens the

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Speaker 2: week as my QB ten.

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Speaker 1: I mean, a good game to who not to Drounco

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Speaker 1: fans well, have a big game with Broncos.

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Speaker 2: It was nice to see.

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Speaker 1: Them that Jaymen Virgil was like a big chunk of it.

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Speaker 1: That that was Jamen Virgil's first I had him projected

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Speaker 1: for like twoint one reception, but me Saturday night that

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Speaker 1: he wasn't in Oh, he wasn't in Archie.

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Speaker 2: No, I'm kidding, I think, but usually the guys the

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Speaker 2: only ones that matter on the Giants apparently, But yeah, Virgil,

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Speaker 2: yeah crazy.

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Speaker 1: He's been on the roster. He just he's been a

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Speaker 1: scratch every week. But I knew I remember him for preseason,

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Speaker 1: so I was like this guy could do something and

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Speaker 1: of course first catch. But yeah, Wilson is my QB

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Speaker 1: thirty and so I'm not quite as high. I mean,

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Speaker 1: that's still pretty high for you know, considering Yea where

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Speaker 1: he usually is. But for me, I am high on

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Speaker 1: Daniel Jones. I have him as my QB eight and

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Speaker 1: he looks like he is the QB ten in consensus,

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Speaker 1: so a couple of spots higher. Just love the matchup

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Speaker 1: against this, you know, Detroit defense and the Giants. You know,

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Speaker 1: they have implied one of their higher implied totals of

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Speaker 1: the year because they're three point favorites. The totals forty six,

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Speaker 1: So that's about over twenty four points that the Giants

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Speaker 1: are projected to score, which is pretty rare for them.

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Speaker 1: So you know, Daniel Jones keeps on moving, Darius Slayton's

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Speaker 1: playing well, Wando Robinson, I'm sure he'll still come on.

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Speaker 1: Didn't really do much last week. But you know, I

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Speaker 1: just like what Daniel Jones is doing. And this Lions defense,

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Speaker 1: we saw they had trouble, you know, guarding the running

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Speaker 1: quarterback in justin fields and that's going to happen to

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Speaker 1: this Lion's defense because they like to play a lot

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Speaker 1: of man coverage. That's just what they've been doing under

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Speaker 1: Aaron Gren. But what that does is, you know a

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Speaker 1: lot of times the secondary and just the linebackers are

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Speaker 1: going to be turning and running covering guys, and that

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Speaker 1: could give Joanes some additional running way And so it

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Speaker 1: should be a good game on the ground for him.

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Speaker 1: And he's been doing just enough through the air. So

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Speaker 1: like him as the QB eight this week.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, no, I'm right there with you. I have him

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Speaker 2: at QB eight. And like you mentioned, Darius Slayton playing

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Speaker 2: well certainly elevates Dane Jones ceiling as a passer, so

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Speaker 2: this is a great spot for him. It looks like

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Speaker 2: the David Sills, Marcus Johnson, Richie James experiment is over.

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Speaker 2: So glad to see them sticking with you know, what

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Speaker 2: are their true top receivers in Slayton here?

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, well, you know who played a lot

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Speaker 1: more than we thought Isaiah Hodge so and I you know,

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Speaker 1: I saw they claimed him and I was like, this

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Speaker 1: is interesting because he knows dabos offense. I was like,

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Speaker 1: watch him, like I knew. I just had a feeling

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Speaker 1: he's gonna eat in the Galladay and I think he

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Speaker 1: got benched for Galladay too, So I mean that's probably

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Speaker 1: a step up for Jones, probably a better weapon because

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Speaker 1: Gallady really just hasn't been able to produce anything.

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Speaker 2: Khue Woha, Well, I'm low on Jimmy G once again.

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Speaker 2: This he's like TV fifteen. The consensus has some QB eleven.

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Speaker 2: I agree that you're high on him because he has

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Speaker 2: so many weapons, and I agree, But this is just

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Speaker 2: another spot where I think they're going to lean on

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Speaker 2: the run game. Here. You know they're seven point favorites

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Speaker 2: against Arizona. We might see Colt McCoy under center again here.

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Speaker 2: You know they're without Zach Ertz, so it might be

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Speaker 2: tough for them to put up points against the four

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Speaker 2: ninews defense. So you know, we saw Elijah Mitchell was

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Speaker 2: way more involved than Anticipaid last week. So when he's

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Speaker 2: on the field, you know that takes away CMC as

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Speaker 2: a pass catching option. So and you know, this is

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Speaker 2: a good spot for CMC and George Kittle against this

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Speaker 2: Cardinals defense that tends the funnel targets to the running

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Speaker 2: back and time position. But Jimmy G only has eyes

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Speaker 2: for Brandon Ayuk. So we'll see if you can pivot

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Speaker 2: away from that. But either you know, like you know,

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Speaker 2: Jimmy G threw for two hundred and forty yards last week,

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Speaker 2: no touchdowns, no interceptions. He manage a run in you

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Speaker 2: know that goal line carried no touchdown, which helped, but

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Speaker 2: he was still the QB nineteen. So similar thing here

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Speaker 2: where Yes, I do think he has a ton of

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Speaker 2: upside for the rest of the season, but in these spots,

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Speaker 2: I think they are going to lean heavily on the

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Speaker 2: run game here, so that does kind of limit Jimmy

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Speaker 2: G's upside.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm looking at my numbers. I could like he's

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Speaker 1: I have point oh five. I have him point oh

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Speaker 1: five ahead of Russell Wilson, So he's my QB twelve.

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Speaker 1: Wilson's my QB thirteen. But that's pretty much as far

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Speaker 1: as he could drop this QB thirteen because then there's

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Speaker 1: like my QB fourteen is like almost a point away.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, Like, do you have obviously, Daniel Jones, I'm thinking

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Speaker 2: about like streaming options, but I have Mariota. I actually

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Speaker 2: have Taylor Heinike above Jimmy G right now, and it

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Speaker 2: looks like that's it for streaming options. So I'm just

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Speaker 2: saying in that streamer discussion, I might lean with like

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Speaker 2: Mariota or Heinekey this week.

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Speaker 1: Mariota, Mariota's getting oh right, that dude's getting benched. Bro, Like,

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Speaker 1: even even if he starts, I wouldn't trust his like this.

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Speaker 1: This has gotta be the week where they like they

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Speaker 1: just can't.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, they can't.

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Speaker 1: They can't do it. Yeah, no, I actually I prefer

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Speaker 1: I would just prefer Picket over over those guys. But

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Speaker 1: I do have Heinike sixteen, so he's up there for

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Speaker 1: me too. I am low on Aaron Rodgers though, And

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Speaker 1: you know, I know he kind of came through last

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Speaker 1: week with the with what is it, three touchdowns in

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Speaker 1: that game and all Watson, yeah, exactly, all the Christian Watson.

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Speaker 1: And you know, those were great plays by Christian Watson.

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Speaker 1: But even with those like one hundred and seven yards

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Speaker 1: three touchdowns from Christian Watson, Rogers went fourteen of twenty

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Speaker 1: for two hundred twenty four yards and three touches. You

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Speaker 1: take the Watson, you know, plays away, he's eleven of

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Speaker 1: sixteen for you know, just over one hundred yards and

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Speaker 1: no touchdowns. So like this pass offense is not fixed yet. Uh,

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Speaker 1: this is a tough Tennessee defense. You know, I talked

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Speaker 1: about last week they were missing like five six defensive

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Speaker 1: starters and I was like, I'm still taking under in

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Speaker 1: this Bronco game because they're so deep on defense, so

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Speaker 1: you know, who knows who they'll get back on the

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Speaker 1: short week. But this Tennessee defense, I think they're gonna

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Speaker 1: it's gonna be an ugly row scoring game in this

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Speaker 1: one Thursday night, you know, just typical. I think the

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Speaker 1: hype is a little too high. Like there's I have

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Speaker 1: him at my QB fourteen and pretty much no matter

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Speaker 1: what adjustments I do, like he's not going above there.

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Speaker 1: Like he's kind of locked in into like a tier

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Speaker 1: of his own at QB fourteen. So if I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: if you're if you're in a twelve team league, you know,

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Speaker 1: he's the consensus QB twelve. I actually would not start him,

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Speaker 1: Uh this week. I would. I would look for another

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Speaker 1: option because, uh, just the ugly gave Tennessee has been

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Speaker 1: you know, above averaging pass defense, and they could stop

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Speaker 1: the run where if you can stop the run on

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Speaker 1: Green Bay, you know, now you just you just make

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Speaker 1: it tougher for Rogers because you know, at least when

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Speaker 1: they're running the ball, you know, he's getting first downs,

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Speaker 1: they're getting in a good situations, and they're getting closer

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Speaker 1: to the end zones where he could get some of

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Speaker 1: those touchdowns because you know, it's been struggle when they

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Speaker 1: when they have to kind of go downfield. So yeah,

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Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers for me, could be fourteen.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, and he was screaming out with the Florida run

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Speaker 2: the ball.

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Speaker 1: Oh, that could have got real ugly if just.

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Speaker 2: How how often have you seen Rogers screaming to run

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Speaker 2: the ball. But that's just the way the offense is

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Speaker 2: right now. Doesn't trust his offensive line, doesn't trust his

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Speaker 2: past catchers. So yeah, you don't need to convince me

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Speaker 2: to be law on Rodgers. I'm right there with you

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Speaker 2: with him being QB fourteen as well.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, and he, like I said, he's like locked in,

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Speaker 1: so I know there's nothing really I could change to Like,

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Speaker 1: you know, like sometimes some of these guys, you know,

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Speaker 1: you had just you know, half half a completion five

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Speaker 1: yards and everything goes haywire, but not like Rogers pretty

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Speaker 1: much locked into a tier of his own there. Okay,

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Speaker 1: what are you doing for the prop.

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Speaker 2: Well, we got to stick with the Justin fields rushing yards,

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Speaker 2: especially after last week. What was the line you set

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Speaker 2: last week? Obviously I lost that one.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, like I think mid sixties, sixth high sixties. I

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Speaker 1: think the sixty seven and.

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Speaker 2: A half man. Yeah, so then you know, he throttled

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Speaker 2: the Lions for one hundred and forty seven, has a

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Speaker 2: pretty good matchup this week, aginst the Falcons. So how

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Speaker 2: high can I set it? I'm gonna go with I'm

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Speaker 2: gonna go with seventy four and a half.

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Speaker 1: Over this is this is Michael Vick reincarnated. This dude

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Speaker 1: is breaking wrecords. The offense is different. They're in a

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Speaker 1: see now like because like here's the thing about Justin

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Speaker 1: fields rushing yards, Like the more design runs. That doesn't

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Speaker 1: just give him more design runs. That gives the Bears

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Speaker 1: more first downs, which means more play volume, which means

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Speaker 1: you know, it's just like compounds on each other. So

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Speaker 1: it's like everything kind of is working synergistically with this

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Speaker 1: newfound passing attack here. So yeah, I gotta keep going over.

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Speaker 2: Well, you haven't said that, like I have it right.

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Speaker 1: Around I have it right like right around eighty. But

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Speaker 1: you know, it's like when I look at like the

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Speaker 1: floor versus ceiling, you know it's gonna be hard. We're

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Speaker 1: still only what three or four games into this. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: the way I project, so I separate, you know, kneel

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Speaker 1: down scrambles and then designed runs that are not meel

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Speaker 1: downs or scrambles, and like for me, those only take

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Speaker 1: about three games to kind of stabilize. So you know,

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Speaker 1: we have like a three or four game stample now

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Speaker 1: of him averaging about eight design runs that are not

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Speaker 1: meeel downs over those last four games. So I have them,

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Speaker 1: uh eleven over a little over eleven rushing attempts, which

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Speaker 1: is obviously it's like it's like Jay when hurts, territory

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Speaker 1: actually tigher than Jalen Hurts.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, and I just wonder if we have like the

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Speaker 2: Nick Chubb situation here, we just need to manually give

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Speaker 2: him like over ninety yards now. Yeah, I mean, it's

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Speaker 2: just he's just such an outlier that we were slowly

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Speaker 2: getting there. But I wonder if you just need to pivot.

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Speaker 2: So yeah, I was hoping he would be on the

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Speaker 2: under there, but yeah, I can't blame you. Oh no,

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Speaker 2: it looks like Khalil Herbert was placed.

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Speaker 1: On ir Oh. I did not say news.

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Speaker 2: I haven't been a ton of leagues, but wow, I

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Speaker 2: mean just more rushing attempts for Dustin Fields, potentially.

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Speaker 1: Unleashed trustin Evner him up. Yeah, I mean Montgomery was

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Speaker 1: losing carry so that's it'll be interesting to see. I'm

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Speaker 1: sure he's gonna get like a full workload down. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: you know, he was losing a lot of carries to Herbert.

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Speaker 1: I think last week Herbert actually had more carries, So

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Speaker 1: that is that's great news from Montgomery.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, very good news for Montgomery.

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Speaker 1: Unfortunate news for pel Herbert obviously.

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Speaker 2: Yeah.

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Speaker 1: All right, running back top five.

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Speaker 2: So I got Segon, Barkley, Derreck, Henry, Josh Jacobs, Alvin Kamara,

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Speaker 2: and Chris McCaffrey.

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Speaker 1: I got Barkley, Jonathan Taylor.

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Speaker 2: Here we go.

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Speaker 1: Welcome back, Yeah, welcome back, Welcome back, Jeff Saturday, McCaffrey, third,

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Speaker 1: Eckler and Henry fifth.

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Speaker 2: Nice are you so high? And Taylor? Just the approach

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Speaker 2: to beat the Eagles now is just be run heavy.

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Speaker 1: Who's one of the guys I'm high on. So I'll

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Speaker 1: savor it for that. So, okay, I want you to

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Speaker 1: go first.

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Speaker 2: And then all right, I absolutely love that call. I

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Speaker 2: might have to meet you there eventually. But the running

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Speaker 2: backs I'm high on is Deavin Singletary again this week.

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Speaker 2: You know, he's coming off a nice two touchdown game.

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Speaker 2: Like I said, we could see some heavy snow here.

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Speaker 2: The total has dropped four points, so you know, for

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Speaker 2: a total drop that much that early in the week

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Speaker 2: means it's pretty likely we will see a bunch of

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Speaker 2: snow here. It's a great matchup against the Browns. You

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Speaker 2: know they ranked dead last and dvo against the run.

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Speaker 2: The Bills are coming off back to back losses, so

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Speaker 2: they're going to be giving max effort here this week.

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Speaker 2: That's usually when they like to just lean on Singletary

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Speaker 2: as the lead back, so it could be a big

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Speaker 2: game for Singletary here. He's all the way up to

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Speaker 2: running back sixteen for me. Uh to start the week,

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Speaker 2: the consensus is RB twenty, but I think once more

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Speaker 2: people are aware of the conditions, you know, his his

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Speaker 2: rank will only go up. And then I gotta go

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Speaker 2: with Isaiah Pachecko against the Chargers.

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Speaker 1: You know he's he's started.

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Speaker 2: The past three games, but it took the third game

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Speaker 2: to really break out he had some tougher matchups and

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Speaker 2: his first two starts, but more importantly Tide Edwards Hilaire.

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Speaker 2: His value has hit rock bottom. He didn't record a

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Speaker 2: single touch last week, so that the needle's pointing out

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Speaker 2: for Pacheco. This is a good spot against the Chargers.

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Speaker 2: You know, they rank twenty ninth INDBO against the run,

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Speaker 2: and while Pachecko does lack you know, pass catching upside,

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Speaker 2: he's still a home run a head or who can

355
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Speaker 2: score from anywhere on the field, especially with defenses. You know,

356
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Speaker 2: I'm going to worry about Mahomes in the passing attack,

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Speaker 2: so I would not be surprised if we see a

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Speaker 2: long Pa Checko touchdown very soon, potentially this week. So

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Speaker 2: I'm still buying in on Pachecko.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, where do you have him?

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Speaker 2: Are we twenty seven?

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Speaker 1: Are we twenty six? Sucker?

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Speaker 2: Oh damn it? Oh yeah, I just updated projection. Are

364
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Speaker 2: we twenty five?

365
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Speaker 1: Hal about that I have him? Yeah, but uh eleven

366
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Speaker 1: eleven for fifty two or little over eleven for fifty two?

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Speaker 1: Uh one point one catches? I still project him for

368
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Speaker 1: a catches.

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Speaker 2: Very generous.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, you know, running backs, it takes a while.

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Speaker 1: You know I start him out at kind of like

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Speaker 1: the leak. I'm not giving him five point four targets

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Speaker 1: per round. I'm geting more like twelve. But uh yeah,

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Speaker 1: and I'm with you with Singletary to have him RB

375
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Speaker 1: seventeen so on one spot lower than you, but yeah,

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Speaker 1: I have them for you know, getting about seventy little

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Speaker 1: over seventy scrimmage yards in this game. This Brown's run

378
00:18:31,800 --> 00:18:35,000
Speaker 1: defense has not been very good this year, so that's

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Speaker 1: kind of another And you know he's not really losing

380
00:18:37,520 --> 00:18:40,159
Speaker 1: passing down work like you know, to to Hines or

381
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Speaker 1: any of those guys you know the way might think

382
00:18:42,320 --> 00:18:48,480
Speaker 1: he would. So yeah, uh for me mentioned Jonathan Taylor,

383
00:18:48,640 --> 00:18:51,080
Speaker 1: and yeah he's my rby two this week. He played

384
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Speaker 1: ninety four percent of the snaps in his first game

385
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Speaker 1: with Jeff Saturday, And like when you look at Jeff

386
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Speaker 1: Saturday and like what he was trying to do with Indianapolis,

387
00:19:01,080 --> 00:19:03,120
Speaker 1: I think that this was one of his changes. Remember

388
00:19:03,160 --> 00:19:06,000
Speaker 1: they traded Nim Hines, so there's no more Naim Hines here.

389
00:19:06,119 --> 00:19:10,720
Speaker 1: So it's like his passing down upside has greatly increased

390
00:19:11,040 --> 00:19:14,080
Speaker 1: to where he played on He ran a route on

391
00:19:14,280 --> 00:19:18,560
Speaker 1: eighty three percent of the dropbacks. Last week he was

392
00:19:18,800 --> 00:19:21,240
Speaker 1: he was in the game for ninety four percent of

393
00:19:21,600 --> 00:19:24,920
Speaker 1: the snaps, So you know, I have him projected for

394
00:19:25,160 --> 00:19:27,520
Speaker 1: well over twenty touches this week. I think I haven't

395
00:19:27,520 --> 00:19:30,159
Speaker 1: projected for the most touches of any running back. This

396
00:19:30,560 --> 00:19:32,720
Speaker 1: were very close to Derek Henry. And then you know

397
00:19:33,160 --> 00:19:35,280
Speaker 1: this is you know, I think a lot of people

398
00:19:35,920 --> 00:19:39,120
Speaker 1: may be slow reacting to this Eagles run defense, which

399
00:19:39,440 --> 00:19:42,200
Speaker 1: you know, without Davis they're kind of cratering. They're down

400
00:19:42,240 --> 00:19:45,360
Speaker 1: to twenty eighth in run defense Evoa. And we saw

401
00:19:45,480 --> 00:19:48,080
Speaker 1: what the Commanders were able to do just a high

402
00:19:48,720 --> 00:19:52,600
Speaker 1: volume rushing attack on the road against the Eagles. So

403
00:19:52,720 --> 00:19:55,920
Speaker 1: now you're talking about the Colts at home Eagles on

404
00:19:55,960 --> 00:19:57,760
Speaker 1: a short rest, What do you think the game plan

405
00:19:57,920 --> 00:20:00,280
Speaker 1: is going to be the exact same thing I've volume

406
00:20:00,359 --> 00:20:03,800
Speaker 1: rushing attack, except in this case, really Taylor's not coming

407
00:20:03,840 --> 00:20:06,560
Speaker 1: off the field, So you know, I feel better about

408
00:20:06,640 --> 00:20:08,399
Speaker 1: him than almost any other running back. There's a lot

409
00:20:08,440 --> 00:20:11,120
Speaker 1: of questions about like mccaffreel, how much is Mitchell gonna

410
00:20:11,400 --> 00:20:14,679
Speaker 1: you know, kind of dig in echo where he loses

411
00:20:14,800 --> 00:20:18,320
Speaker 1: random goal line carries. You know, guys like Jacobs, the

412
00:20:18,400 --> 00:20:20,240
Speaker 1: Raiders are just weird, like they don't we don't know

413
00:20:20,280 --> 00:20:23,040
Speaker 1: what we're gonna get them, Camara up and down, you know,

414
00:20:23,160 --> 00:20:24,720
Speaker 1: it's like a lot of these other guys and that

415
00:20:25,160 --> 00:20:28,520
Speaker 1: in that top tier. I have some questions about where's Taylor.

416
00:20:28,880 --> 00:20:30,040
Speaker 1: You know, you're gonna put him on the field for

417
00:20:30,160 --> 00:20:32,720
Speaker 1: ninety percent of the snap. That's the Jonathan Taylor we drafted,

418
00:20:32,960 --> 00:20:36,639
Speaker 1: you know, number one overall. He's back, So yeah, I

419
00:20:36,720 --> 00:20:39,359
Speaker 1: love him. And then I like the two Commanders running

420
00:20:39,400 --> 00:20:42,840
Speaker 1: backs this week, Antonio Gibson and Brian Robinson. I have

421
00:20:42,960 --> 00:20:46,840
Speaker 1: them both in the top twenty it consensus Gibson's RB

422
00:20:46,920 --> 00:20:51,320
Speaker 1: twenty three and Robinson's twenty five. But you know, Jamie McKissick,

423
00:20:51,320 --> 00:20:54,200
Speaker 1: I don't expect him back this week. Thought sounded like

424
00:20:54,240 --> 00:20:56,600
Speaker 1: it was gonna be about a month long, if not more,

425
00:20:57,200 --> 00:20:59,159
Speaker 1: neck issue. So that's always I mean, he could be

426
00:20:59,200 --> 00:21:02,000
Speaker 1: shut down for the season and fro we know, but uh,

427
00:21:02,160 --> 00:21:04,920
Speaker 1: you know, in his stead, Gibsons seeing about you know,

428
00:21:04,960 --> 00:21:08,320
Speaker 1: about thirty five percent of the carries and about fifty

429
00:21:08,359 --> 00:21:11,560
Speaker 1: five percent of the routes, and then uh, Robinson seeing

430
00:21:11,560 --> 00:21:13,399
Speaker 1: about fifty five percent of the carries and thirty five

431
00:21:13,440 --> 00:21:15,040
Speaker 1: percent of the route, so they're kind of you know,

432
00:21:15,080 --> 00:21:18,000
Speaker 1: Gibson's playing little more and passed downs, Robinson's playing more

433
00:21:18,040 --> 00:21:20,720
Speaker 1: in rundowns. But overall, you know, I have them. I

434
00:21:20,800 --> 00:21:24,000
Speaker 1: have Gibson projected for about sixty five scrimmage yards and

435
00:21:24,080 --> 00:21:27,600
Speaker 1: point five touchdowns. Uh and Robinson projected for sixty five

436
00:21:27,640 --> 00:21:31,560
Speaker 1: scrimmage yards and point five touchdowns. So like both of

437
00:21:31,600 --> 00:21:35,000
Speaker 1: those guys this week in another game where you know

438
00:21:35,040 --> 00:21:37,080
Speaker 1: you're going against the Texans debt, you know, what is

439
00:21:37,160 --> 00:21:39,280
Speaker 1: it thirty one? Is it thirty one or thirty two?

440
00:21:39,280 --> 00:21:40,960
Speaker 1: I think they're either dead last or second or last.

441
00:21:41,080 --> 00:21:43,200
Speaker 2: I think their second the last time.

442
00:21:43,200 --> 00:21:45,639
Speaker 3: I think the Browns, yeah, yeah, they're thirty first and

443
00:21:45,760 --> 00:21:49,520
Speaker 3: run and run defense vevo and yeah, but they do

444
00:21:49,680 --> 00:21:53,160
Speaker 3: give up the most explosive runs of twelve or more

445
00:21:53,640 --> 00:21:54,520
Speaker 3: in the in the league.

446
00:21:54,560 --> 00:21:56,720
Speaker 1: So I think you're gonna get big chunks out of

447
00:21:56,760 --> 00:21:59,480
Speaker 1: Gibson and Robinson every time they touched the ball. The

448
00:21:59,520 --> 00:22:02,919
Speaker 1: Commanders are actually a favorite in this spot. It's indoors,

449
00:22:02,960 --> 00:22:05,080
Speaker 1: like it's just you know, this is a nice little

450
00:22:05,160 --> 00:22:08,320
Speaker 1: game for Washington's offense to maybe put something together. So

451
00:22:09,400 --> 00:22:11,280
Speaker 1: like both of them, as will yeah, no, I.

452
00:22:11,320 --> 00:22:14,280
Speaker 2: Love both Commanders running backs, and I'll love your Colin Taylor.

453
00:22:14,320 --> 00:22:16,000
Speaker 2: Like I figured it out before you even got to

454
00:22:16,080 --> 00:22:18,359
Speaker 2: your segment, But the way to beat the Eagles is

455
00:22:18,440 --> 00:22:20,640
Speaker 2: to run the show of the ball, so we saw

456
00:22:20,760 --> 00:22:23,080
Speaker 2: that Texans do that, So it makes no sense. Like

457
00:22:23,200 --> 00:22:26,320
Speaker 2: you said that after Barkley, I would say it's pretty up.

458
00:22:26,480 --> 00:22:28,520
Speaker 2: I guess after Barkley and Henry it's pretty up in

459
00:22:28,560 --> 00:22:30,879
Speaker 2: the air at running back. I mean I touched on

460
00:22:30,920 --> 00:22:34,399
Speaker 2: it at Christian McCaffrey, like as you mention, I had

461
00:22:34,480 --> 00:22:36,800
Speaker 2: more carries than him, so that's concerning. So yeah, like

462
00:22:36,920 --> 00:22:40,120
Speaker 2: Jonathan Taylor, he's trending up and a lot of these

463
00:22:40,160 --> 00:22:41,879
Speaker 2: other backs are trending down. So it makes a ton

464
00:22:41,960 --> 00:22:43,800
Speaker 2: of sense that you'd have in your top three right now.

465
00:22:44,160 --> 00:22:47,400
Speaker 1: And even like Henry, like if Tarror and Henry now

466
00:22:47,720 --> 00:22:51,000
Speaker 1: their carry projections are a lot more similar, just because yeah,

467
00:22:51,080 --> 00:22:53,480
Speaker 1: Tarror's playing so much. But the thing is Tarlor probably

468
00:22:53,560 --> 00:22:57,040
Speaker 1: gonna play on twice as many passing snaps down, so

469
00:22:57,400 --> 00:22:59,240
Speaker 1: like you know, that's that's why I have him over

470
00:22:59,359 --> 00:23:01,800
Speaker 1: Henry as well, especially with Henry as you know, on

471
00:23:01,880 --> 00:23:03,680
Speaker 1: the rows on an underdog. But yeah, I can't I

472
00:23:03,720 --> 00:23:05,639
Speaker 1: can't argue with Henry number two. But yeah, that's why

473
00:23:05,680 --> 00:23:06,520
Speaker 1: I have Yeah, I do.

474
00:23:06,640 --> 00:23:09,560
Speaker 2: I do wonder if Dion Jackson returns this week of

475
00:23:09,680 --> 00:23:12,080
Speaker 2: Hill kind of eat into the pass, catch and roll

476
00:23:12,080 --> 00:23:15,440
Speaker 2: a bit. He sort of filled that role nicely. But again,

477
00:23:15,480 --> 00:23:17,240
Speaker 2: he might still be out this week. I'm not sure,

478
00:23:17,320 --> 00:23:19,280
Speaker 2: but I would think that when he returns, he could

479
00:23:19,320 --> 00:23:19,720
Speaker 2: eat in his.

480
00:23:20,119 --> 00:23:25,560
Speaker 1: Different coaching staff man. He's Jeff Saturday. This is Saturday. Yeah,

481
00:23:25,760 --> 00:23:28,000
Speaker 1: this is it, this is his thing. So yeah, but

482
00:23:28,119 --> 00:23:30,240
Speaker 1: I actually, yeah, I did actually take off some routes,

483
00:23:30,320 --> 00:23:32,760
Speaker 1: like I didn't give Taylor his full like whatever eighty

484
00:23:32,840 --> 00:23:35,199
Speaker 1: something percent from last week. I kind of averaged out

485
00:23:35,280 --> 00:23:37,200
Speaker 1: so a little more along you know that what he's

486
00:23:37,240 --> 00:23:39,600
Speaker 1: doing for the season. And he's still he's still my

487
00:23:39,760 --> 00:23:41,440
Speaker 1: number two. Who you want.

488
00:23:42,960 --> 00:23:46,400
Speaker 2: I'm a low on Michael Carter against the Patriots this week.

489
00:23:46,440 --> 00:23:48,960
Speaker 2: I'm closer to you know, RB thirty five compared to

490
00:23:49,040 --> 00:23:52,280
Speaker 2: the consensus at RB twenty seven. Yeah, I mean, he

491
00:23:52,359 --> 00:23:55,200
Speaker 2: had a nice Week nine game against the Bills. However,

492
00:23:55,760 --> 00:23:58,040
Speaker 2: James Robinson still had one more carry than him, and

493
00:23:58,080 --> 00:24:01,760
Speaker 2: I you know expect after the Robinson's going to be

494
00:24:01,840 --> 00:24:05,200
Speaker 2: only more integrated in this offense, so could be a

495
00:24:05,280 --> 00:24:08,200
Speaker 2: trailing game script, which you know, Carter, he's only seen

496
00:24:08,680 --> 00:24:11,359
Speaker 2: three or more receptions and one of Zach Wilson's starts

497
00:24:11,400 --> 00:24:13,639
Speaker 2: this year, he doesn't really check it down as much

498
00:24:13,640 --> 00:24:15,440
Speaker 2: as Joe Flacco, so I think that does hurt him

499
00:24:15,720 --> 00:24:19,119
Speaker 2: in a potential trailing game script. So I consider him,

500
00:24:19,160 --> 00:24:22,679
Speaker 2: you know, a solid RB three flex option as opposed

501
00:24:22,720 --> 00:24:25,160
Speaker 2: to more of a borderline low end RB two. It's

502
00:24:25,200 --> 00:24:28,080
Speaker 2: nothing crazy there, but and then I'm also low at

503
00:24:28,160 --> 00:24:31,320
Speaker 2: Najie Harris. I'm sort of in line with the ECR

504
00:24:31,400 --> 00:24:33,720
Speaker 2: right now. I have him at RB twenty three, but

505
00:24:34,359 --> 00:24:36,440
Speaker 2: who now might be the time to sell high while

506
00:24:36,520 --> 00:24:38,400
Speaker 2: he can because he is coming off his best game

507
00:24:38,440 --> 00:24:41,080
Speaker 2: of the season, carried them all twenty times for nine

508
00:24:41,160 --> 00:24:43,119
Speaker 2: nine yards against the Saints. But you know, it's a

509
00:24:43,200 --> 00:24:46,840
Speaker 2: positive game script was a ten point win. However, this

510
00:24:46,960 --> 00:24:48,800
Speaker 2: could be a trailing one. You know, they're five point

511
00:24:48,960 --> 00:24:52,640
Speaker 2: underdogs against the Bengals. Jalen Warren has been eating into

512
00:24:52,720 --> 00:24:55,600
Speaker 2: his rule even more lately. I think Tomalin even said

513
00:24:55,640 --> 00:24:58,240
Speaker 2: that that was the plan going forward. So the routs

514
00:24:58,280 --> 00:25:00,840
Speaker 2: round rate was much closer this week. Najia Harris had

515
00:25:00,880 --> 00:25:03,840
Speaker 2: forty percent Jalen more than thirty five percent, So in

516
00:25:03,920 --> 00:25:08,560
Speaker 2: a potential trailing game script that definitely hurts Harris's floor here,

517
00:25:08,960 --> 00:25:11,119
Speaker 2: So he's more on the RB two, RB three, cuss

518
00:25:11,160 --> 00:25:13,359
Speaker 2: free this weekend. Again, he might be a guy to

519
00:25:13,440 --> 00:25:15,360
Speaker 2: sell high on while you can after a pretty good

520
00:25:15,400 --> 00:25:18,800
Speaker 2: game because the needle on his stock is definitely pointing down.

521
00:25:19,720 --> 00:25:21,680
Speaker 1: Yeah, And that's why it's so important to look at

522
00:25:21,840 --> 00:25:24,040
Speaker 1: the you know, the market shares and not just the

523
00:25:24,119 --> 00:25:27,560
Speaker 1: total volume, because you see the twenty carries and you're like, oh, finally,

524
00:25:27,680 --> 00:25:30,040
Speaker 1: you know, Nazie Harris had a big game, but the

525
00:25:30,080 --> 00:25:33,440
Speaker 1: Steelers ran forty three times in that game, so he

526
00:25:33,520 --> 00:25:37,440
Speaker 1: didn't even get half of the carries overall. So yeah,

527
00:25:37,560 --> 00:25:40,000
Speaker 1: I am right there with you. I have him RB

528
00:25:40,359 --> 00:25:44,560
Speaker 1: twenty four, So yeah, low on him as well. For me,

529
00:25:44,800 --> 00:25:47,920
Speaker 1: it is Kareem Hunt. You know, he's just kind of

530
00:25:48,320 --> 00:25:50,600
Speaker 1: he's not getting the same usage that he was earlier

531
00:25:50,680 --> 00:25:53,720
Speaker 1: in the year. It seems like you know, Nick, Earlier

532
00:25:53,760 --> 00:25:56,560
Speaker 1: in the year, first five games, Kareem Hunt was averaging

533
00:25:57,000 --> 00:26:00,280
Speaker 1: eleven point four carries, three point two targets, and a

534
00:26:00,359 --> 00:26:03,520
Speaker 1: forty nine percent snap rate. Over the last four games,

535
00:26:04,040 --> 00:26:07,080
Speaker 1: just six point five carries two targets and a forty

536
00:26:07,119 --> 00:26:11,320
Speaker 1: three percent snap rate, so he's being used like more

537
00:26:11,359 --> 00:26:14,679
Speaker 1: sparingly in this offense and even when they get behind

538
00:26:14,800 --> 00:26:17,400
Speaker 1: in games, which is discouraging. You know, like last week

539
00:26:17,440 --> 00:26:20,199
Speaker 1: you would say, Okay, you know it's a trailing game script.

540
00:26:20,760 --> 00:26:23,520
Speaker 1: You know, you would think Kareem Hunt, that's where he

541
00:26:23,560 --> 00:26:26,480
Speaker 1: would pop. But he didn't pop last week. So that

542
00:26:26,720 --> 00:26:28,760
Speaker 1: that's really concerning to me. So I have him down

543
00:26:28,760 --> 00:26:32,200
Speaker 1: at RB thirty seven. He's a consensus thirty one. The

544
00:26:32,480 --> 00:26:35,320
Speaker 1: Browns are eight and a half point underdogs in this one,

545
00:26:35,359 --> 00:26:37,480
Speaker 1: so it could be another trailing game script, which you know,

546
00:26:37,880 --> 00:26:40,920
Speaker 1: against not being kind to Hunt the way we thought

547
00:26:40,960 --> 00:26:42,399
Speaker 1: it was going to be earlier in the year, it

548
00:26:42,480 --> 00:26:44,879
Speaker 1: seems like they're trying to get chubbed his snaps and

549
00:26:44,920 --> 00:26:47,560
Speaker 1: his touches no matter what. And uh, you know that

550
00:26:47,760 --> 00:26:49,679
Speaker 1: was kind of a point of emphasis because there were

551
00:26:49,760 --> 00:26:51,840
Speaker 1: times I think earlier in the year, like the fan

552
00:26:51,960 --> 00:26:54,000
Speaker 1: base is kind of saying with wirren't they given chubbed

553
00:26:54,000 --> 00:26:57,359
Speaker 1: the ball enough? So yeah, it's just it's tough for Hut.

554
00:26:57,400 --> 00:27:00,280
Speaker 1: I know that's your boy, like you are upside ding,

555
00:27:00,320 --> 00:27:03,000
Speaker 1: But yeah, it's been four games, and like every week

556
00:27:03,080 --> 00:27:04,160
Speaker 1: I kind of lower him a little.

557
00:27:04,200 --> 00:27:07,480
Speaker 4: I'm like, okay, you know, it's tiny bit down, but

558
00:27:07,600 --> 00:27:10,040
Speaker 4: like now he's just you know, I got him at

559
00:27:10,080 --> 00:27:12,080
Speaker 4: like seven carries and I got him at nine and

560
00:27:12,080 --> 00:27:14,879
Speaker 4: a half touches, which you know, again is much fewer

561
00:27:14,960 --> 00:27:17,440
Speaker 4: than you would project him the first month of the year.

562
00:27:17,880 --> 00:27:20,720
Speaker 2: Yeah, No, it's been rough for Hunt. And even though

563
00:27:20,840 --> 00:27:24,080
Speaker 2: I throbbled up the overall, you know, RUSSI attempts for

564
00:27:24,160 --> 00:27:26,440
Speaker 2: the Browns, He's still my Rby thirty eight. I think

565
00:27:26,520 --> 00:27:29,280
Speaker 2: if it's it's like a blizzard, you know, I just

566
00:27:29,560 --> 00:27:31,760
Speaker 2: we could see Nick Chubb get twenty plus carries. I

567
00:27:31,800 --> 00:27:34,239
Speaker 2: think they're just gonna lean on Nick Chubb if if

568
00:27:34,280 --> 00:27:36,600
Speaker 2: there is a ton of snows. So yeah, I do

569
00:27:36,760 --> 00:27:38,760
Speaker 2: not like what I see with Cream. I was kind

570
00:27:38,760 --> 00:27:40,600
Speaker 2: of hoping he would get traded the deadline to a

571
00:27:40,640 --> 00:27:42,879
Speaker 2: team that would use him as a starting back. So

572
00:27:43,160 --> 00:27:47,320
Speaker 2: he so yeah, no kidding, So yeah, that was discouraging

573
00:27:47,520 --> 00:27:49,879
Speaker 2: to have that not happen. But yeah, I'm right. As

574
00:27:49,960 --> 00:27:51,919
Speaker 2: much as I love the guy, I'm lowing him as well.

575
00:27:51,960 --> 00:27:52,119
Speaker 2: With you.

576
00:27:53,119 --> 00:27:55,600
Speaker 1: All right, for the prop, we gotta go with Elijah

577
00:27:55,640 --> 00:27:59,280
Speaker 1: Mitchell here because I am really in trouble, Thistle, like

578
00:27:59,480 --> 00:28:01,880
Speaker 1: not even I'm not even joking, like I legit am

579
00:28:01,920 --> 00:28:05,120
Speaker 1: having trouble. So, yeah, you mentioned he got more carries

580
00:28:05,440 --> 00:28:09,560
Speaker 1: than McCaffrey last game, But I don't know if that,

581
00:28:09,760 --> 00:28:12,440
Speaker 1: you know, I don't know if that's sustainable, Like, I

582
00:28:12,480 --> 00:28:14,760
Speaker 1: don't know if that's the plan every week going forward.

583
00:28:14,840 --> 00:28:16,879
Speaker 1: So I don't have him for more this week, So

584
00:28:17,320 --> 00:28:20,159
Speaker 1: let's do his rushing and receiving yards combined. So just

585
00:28:20,200 --> 00:28:22,879
Speaker 1: trying to project, you know, essentially how many touchdows is

586
00:28:22,920 --> 00:28:28,040
Speaker 1: he going to get? So I will go with forty

587
00:28:28,160 --> 00:28:28,800
Speaker 1: four and a half.

588
00:28:30,920 --> 00:28:35,640
Speaker 2: Damn, that is very close. I'm gonna have to lean

589
00:28:35,840 --> 00:28:38,160
Speaker 2: under here. I have it closer to like forty one

590
00:28:38,200 --> 00:28:41,960
Speaker 2: and a half. How many carries eight and he point

591
00:28:42,080 --> 00:28:45,480
Speaker 2: seven receptions. But you don't think Christian McCaffery is immune

592
00:28:45,520 --> 00:28:47,959
Speaker 2: to shanahanigans, did you? I know? Right?

593
00:28:48,200 --> 00:28:49,640
Speaker 1: Yeah, it doesn't matter who.

594
00:28:49,880 --> 00:28:52,440
Speaker 2: They could draft him in the third round, they could

595
00:28:52,480 --> 00:28:55,120
Speaker 2: trade for him, they could it could be undrafted free.

596
00:28:55,320 --> 00:28:57,120
Speaker 2: It doesn't matter with Shanahan.

597
00:28:58,360 --> 00:29:01,320
Speaker 1: Yeah, no, it's I mean, I might at a loss

598
00:29:01,480 --> 00:29:03,360
Speaker 1: with this because it's a really tough projection. You know,

599
00:29:03,360 --> 00:29:05,000
Speaker 1: I have him, right, around the same, like around nine

600
00:29:05,080 --> 00:29:08,320
Speaker 1: touches as well. But you know, I could see I

601
00:29:08,360 --> 00:29:11,760
Speaker 1: could see going double digits, you know, based on you

602
00:29:11,840 --> 00:29:15,200
Speaker 1: only have a one game sample, and he had more carries,

603
00:29:15,280 --> 00:29:17,200
Speaker 1: so you know, it's it's it's tough.

604
00:29:17,640 --> 00:29:21,240
Speaker 2: The logical thing would just to be keeping CMC fresh

605
00:29:21,440 --> 00:29:25,080
Speaker 2: for the playoffs. Potentially, that would be the only logical explanation.

606
00:29:25,320 --> 00:29:28,320
Speaker 2: Not that I mean Elijah Mitchell's great. I think it's great.

607
00:29:28,440 --> 00:29:30,440
Speaker 2: They have a good one to comble like that, but

608
00:29:30,720 --> 00:29:33,480
Speaker 2: it does, you know, make you scratch your head. Why

609
00:29:34,120 --> 00:29:38,160
Speaker 2: Mitchell out carried Christ McCaffrey last week, But that's Kyle

610
00:29:38,200 --> 00:29:38,840
Speaker 2: shanahan and I.

611
00:29:38,840 --> 00:29:40,640
Speaker 1: Guess yeah, I mean he was doing well, so like,

612
00:29:40,760 --> 00:29:45,440
Speaker 1: you know, yeah, I get it. It's funny though. Collinsworth

613
00:29:46,200 --> 00:29:49,240
Speaker 1: was like, well, now that they have Mitchell and McCaffrey,

614
00:29:49,480 --> 00:29:51,440
Speaker 1: one thing they don't have to do is make Deebo

615
00:29:51,520 --> 00:29:53,760
Speaker 1: Samuel play running back. You know, like the next snap,

616
00:29:54,760 --> 00:29:57,920
Speaker 1: Samuel lines are running back and like hammered it between

617
00:29:57,960 --> 00:30:01,320
Speaker 1: the tackles. After he said that, it's like, oh yeah, anyha,

618
00:30:02,240 --> 00:30:03,520
Speaker 1: all right, will receiver a.

619
00:30:03,600 --> 00:30:08,000
Speaker 2: Top five So I got oh Man wrestling Peace Cooper Cup.

620
00:30:08,080 --> 00:30:11,440
Speaker 2: That's defastitting to see. So the top five is wide

621
00:30:11,480 --> 00:30:17,240
Speaker 2: open right now. I got Justin Jefferson, DeAndre Hopkins, Defawn Diggs,

622
00:30:17,400 --> 00:30:19,240
Speaker 2: Ceedee Lamb, and DeVante Adams.

623
00:30:20,120 --> 00:30:22,680
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm the same but a little different order. Jefferson one,

624
00:30:23,440 --> 00:30:27,240
Speaker 1: Digs two, Wham three, Hopkins four, Adams five.

625
00:30:27,400 --> 00:30:32,520
Speaker 2: Nice. Oh yeah, I am extremely high on DeVante Smith

626
00:30:32,720 --> 00:30:35,880
Speaker 2: this week. He opens the week as my wide receiver ten.

627
00:30:37,280 --> 00:30:39,840
Speaker 2: And you know, he and Dallas godd are typically benefit

628
00:30:39,920 --> 00:30:42,000
Speaker 2: against defenses that play a ton of z own. So

629
00:30:42,480 --> 00:30:45,720
Speaker 2: with godd Her out of the lineup and again another

630
00:30:45,840 --> 00:30:47,760
Speaker 2: guy that I just have a ton of, Dallas Goddard

631
00:30:47,800 --> 00:30:50,840
Speaker 2: rest in peace. Hopefully you get better soon. But got

632
00:30:50,960 --> 00:30:54,000
Speaker 2: HER's definitely out this week, and the Colts use a

633
00:30:54,280 --> 00:30:56,480
Speaker 2: you know, zone defense at the seventh highest rate, So

634
00:30:56,960 --> 00:31:00,640
Speaker 2: this is just an eruption spot for Davonte Smith. The

635
00:31:00,720 --> 00:31:02,840
Speaker 2: Eagles lacked depth at tight end, so a lot of

636
00:31:02,920 --> 00:31:05,920
Speaker 2: these leftover targets that we're going to go to Dallas

637
00:31:05,960 --> 00:31:07,640
Speaker 2: Godder are probably going to go to A J. Brown

638
00:31:07,720 --> 00:31:10,520
Speaker 2: and DeVonta Smith. So it's just a complete eruption spot

639
00:31:10,960 --> 00:31:13,719
Speaker 2: for DeVonta. I'm sure Jalen Hurts is pissed after their

640
00:31:13,760 --> 00:31:16,120
Speaker 2: first loss so could be a big game for Jalen

641
00:31:16,200 --> 00:31:19,600
Speaker 2: Hurts as well. And then Ryndale Moore. Wow, I mean

642
00:31:19,640 --> 00:31:21,800
Speaker 2: he's my wide receiver twenty one to open the week.

643
00:31:22,600 --> 00:31:24,880
Speaker 2: But he's another wide receiver who's just been playing out

644
00:31:24,920 --> 00:31:27,360
Speaker 2: of his mind, six or more receptions in five of

645
00:31:27,440 --> 00:31:30,440
Speaker 2: the past six games. Had a nice nine catch ninety

646
00:31:30,480 --> 00:31:32,800
Speaker 2: four yard game with Colt McCoy under center last week.

647
00:31:32,840 --> 00:31:34,800
Speaker 2: So even if Colt McCoy has to start again this

648
00:31:34,920 --> 00:31:38,840
Speaker 2: week shouldn't really impact more too much. And the Cardinals,

649
00:31:38,880 --> 00:31:41,480
Speaker 2: you know, they lost Zach Ertz for the season unfortunately,

650
00:31:41,600 --> 00:31:44,720
Speaker 2: so that's only going to be more targets for Ronelle

651
00:31:44,720 --> 00:31:48,080
Speaker 2: Moore going forward. So he's approaching mid range wide receiver

652
00:31:48,200 --> 00:31:50,480
Speaker 2: two status at this point. So I'm extremely high on

653
00:31:50,600 --> 00:31:52,600
Speaker 2: Rondelle Moore this week and going forward.

654
00:31:53,040 --> 00:31:56,120
Speaker 1: Yep, Rono Moore's my I'm of both of them. Smith

655
00:31:56,240 --> 00:31:58,520
Speaker 1: is my wide receiver thirteen and More is my wid

656
00:31:58,520 --> 00:32:02,720
Speaker 1: receiver nineteen. So h love both of those guys. Oh no,

657
00:32:02,840 --> 00:32:07,240
Speaker 1: more than my wife she was eighteen. WHOA, yeah, yeah, yeah,

658
00:32:07,280 --> 00:32:09,680
Speaker 1: that's really big. You know, Zach Er it's going down.

659
00:32:09,720 --> 00:32:12,480
Speaker 1: That's just you know, after Hopkins, more is gonna just

660
00:32:12,480 --> 00:32:14,880
Speaker 1: see a ton of targets, and you know he's still

661
00:32:15,160 --> 00:32:17,680
Speaker 1: he's playing inside outside, so his slot rate has kind

662
00:32:17,680 --> 00:32:20,880
Speaker 1: of fluctuated. But I'm hoping that he gets a lot

663
00:32:20,920 --> 00:32:23,600
Speaker 1: of slat stamps because remember I called the the DeAndre

664
00:32:23,760 --> 00:32:26,480
Speaker 1: Carter on Jimmy Ward. You know, that matchup for the

665
00:32:26,560 --> 00:32:28,719
Speaker 1: in the slot against the Niners is really the matchup

666
00:32:28,760 --> 00:32:33,760
Speaker 1: we want. So hopefully they can get more on the interior.

667
00:32:33,800 --> 00:32:36,400
Speaker 1: They are playing AJ Green a little more like Robbie

668
00:32:36,400 --> 00:32:38,200
Speaker 1: Anderson and AJ Green. They're kind of flip flopping with

669
00:32:38,280 --> 00:32:40,600
Speaker 1: the playing time, but either way, both of those guys

670
00:32:40,680 --> 00:32:44,120
Speaker 1: are perimeter guys, so should allow more to to stay

671
00:32:44,880 --> 00:32:47,080
Speaker 1: on the inside, and I think that's that would really

672
00:32:47,120 --> 00:32:49,800
Speaker 1: benefit him in this matchup. Yes, I have him almost

673
00:32:49,840 --> 00:32:51,440
Speaker 1: at six catches, like it's it's absurd.

674
00:32:51,560 --> 00:32:55,400
Speaker 2: Oh yeah, And Trey mc brian's just been running win

675
00:32:55,480 --> 00:32:57,160
Speaker 2: sprints when he has been out there this year.

676
00:32:57,520 --> 00:32:59,800
Speaker 1: Four and a half, four and a half percent targets

677
00:32:59,800 --> 00:33:00,720
Speaker 1: per I mean.

678
00:33:00,720 --> 00:33:02,680
Speaker 2: He's only going to get better, let's face it. But

679
00:33:02,920 --> 00:33:06,240
Speaker 2: still like that's a huge drop off from Ertz. So yeah,

680
00:33:06,600 --> 00:33:08,920
Speaker 2: probably going to go all those targets, probably going to

681
00:33:09,000 --> 00:33:09,560
Speaker 2: go More's way.

682
00:33:10,080 --> 00:33:13,480
Speaker 1: Yep. Yeah, Devonte Smith was a guy I had written

683
00:33:13,520 --> 00:33:15,640
Speaker 1: down first. So love you love the call on that

684
00:33:15,880 --> 00:33:18,760
Speaker 1: always always look not I always look out, always looked

685
00:33:18,760 --> 00:33:21,440
Speaker 1: for him against zone coverage. Like you said, he he

686
00:33:21,600 --> 00:33:24,480
Speaker 1: leads the team among guys you know with you know,

687
00:33:24,560 --> 00:33:27,240
Speaker 1: double digit targets in yards pro out against zone at

688
00:33:27,240 --> 00:33:29,600
Speaker 1: two point one and A J. Brown only one point

689
00:33:29,640 --> 00:33:32,320
Speaker 1: five yards par out against zone. So he's he's the

690
00:33:32,400 --> 00:33:35,200
Speaker 1: alpha when they play you know a lot of like

691
00:33:35,320 --> 00:33:38,080
Speaker 1: the standard NFL defense. It's just you know, when when

692
00:33:38,160 --> 00:33:41,200
Speaker 1: teams dare to play man coverage, that's when AJ Brown

693
00:33:41,400 --> 00:33:44,440
Speaker 1: just eats. But this coach team, it's not really what

694
00:33:44,560 --> 00:33:47,400
Speaker 1: they do. Play a ton of zone top five or eight.

695
00:33:47,480 --> 00:33:50,720
Speaker 1: So love him and Jacobe Myers. I have at my

696
00:33:50,800 --> 00:33:54,400
Speaker 1: wide receiver nineteen. He's just outside the top twenty inconsensus.

697
00:33:54,560 --> 00:33:57,640
Speaker 1: And this is a matchup when you look at the Jets,

698
00:33:57,920 --> 00:33:59,600
Speaker 1: you got sauce on one side, you got read on

699
00:33:59,680 --> 00:34:01,680
Speaker 1: the other. So you have to it's kind of like

700
00:34:01,720 --> 00:34:04,840
Speaker 1: the Eagles. You have to target them on the inside.

701
00:34:05,200 --> 00:34:08,759
Speaker 1: Slot cornerback Michael Carter, the second is the guy that

702
00:34:08,840 --> 00:34:11,480
Speaker 1: you want to target. Myers runs about seventy percent of

703
00:34:11,520 --> 00:34:15,400
Speaker 1: his routes from the slot and put up nine for

704
00:34:15,560 --> 00:34:18,800
Speaker 1: sixty and a touch on eleven targets in the matchup

705
00:34:19,520 --> 00:34:21,680
Speaker 1: in Week eight, and he only saw Gardner and read

706
00:34:21,760 --> 00:34:25,920
Speaker 1: on three of those eleven targets. So love Myers pretty

707
00:34:26,000 --> 00:34:27,640
Speaker 1: much every week at this point. He's running around over

708
00:34:27,760 --> 00:34:31,719
Speaker 1: ninety percent of time. His target share is pretty high

709
00:34:32,520 --> 00:34:35,560
Speaker 1: on a consistent basis, but this is a perfect perfect

710
00:34:35,600 --> 00:34:37,479
Speaker 1: matchup for him. He's getting targeted on twenty three percent

711
00:34:37,520 --> 00:34:41,799
Speaker 1: of his routes this season. So love Jacoby this week.

712
00:34:41,920 --> 00:34:43,960
Speaker 2: Yeah. Yeah, he's playing out of his mind and you know,

713
00:34:44,200 --> 00:34:47,640
Speaker 2: likely his touchdown rates where it should be seven point

714
00:34:47,680 --> 00:34:50,839
Speaker 2: five percent this season, So that's that's nice to see

715
00:34:50,880 --> 00:34:53,400
Speaker 2: him also chipping in touchdowns as well. So yeah, I

716
00:34:53,480 --> 00:34:54,520
Speaker 2: love the Myers call as well.

717
00:34:54,800 --> 00:34:56,200
Speaker 1: It's only a matter of time. I mean, it was

718
00:34:56,480 --> 00:35:00,760
Speaker 1: inexplicable he wasn't getting touchdowns who we want.

719
00:35:01,440 --> 00:35:05,240
Speaker 2: So I'm going two wide receivers from this potential blizzard

720
00:35:05,960 --> 00:35:09,400
Speaker 2: in Buffalo. So I hate to say it, you did this.

721
00:35:09,480 --> 00:35:11,160
Speaker 2: I think it was last week, but I'm low on

722
00:35:11,239 --> 00:35:14,200
Speaker 2: Gay Davis, our boy. He opens the week as my

723
00:35:14,320 --> 00:35:18,080
Speaker 2: wide receiver twenty four, but he would be the guy

724
00:35:18,160 --> 00:35:21,600
Speaker 2: that would probably get the biggest hit from potential snow.

725
00:35:21,920 --> 00:35:24,399
Speaker 2: I still have Digs as a top five wide receiver.

726
00:35:24,480 --> 00:35:26,719
Speaker 2: I don't think it matters so much for Digs, but

727
00:35:26,880 --> 00:35:29,560
Speaker 2: you know, Gave Davis is Josh Allen's top downfield target.

728
00:35:29,680 --> 00:35:31,759
Speaker 2: So in a game where you know, Ella might not

729
00:35:31,880 --> 00:35:33,920
Speaker 2: take as many deep shots, you know, I don't know

730
00:35:34,040 --> 00:35:36,840
Speaker 2: really what's up with his elbow as well, could be

731
00:35:36,920 --> 00:35:39,759
Speaker 2: a down week for Davis. Same goes for the other

732
00:35:39,800 --> 00:35:43,160
Speaker 2: side with Mark Cooper. You know, I see the Brons

733
00:35:43,280 --> 00:35:46,080
Speaker 2: leaning on Nick Chubb and the run game heavily. If

734
00:35:46,120 --> 00:35:48,400
Speaker 2: there is a ton of snow, and you know, David

735
00:35:48,440 --> 00:35:50,960
Speaker 2: Joku could return this week, so that that could eat

736
00:35:51,000 --> 00:35:54,040
Speaker 2: into Cooper's target share. So I have Cooper all the

737
00:35:54,040 --> 00:35:57,279
Speaker 2: way down to wide receiver thirty five to open the week. Yeah,

738
00:35:57,280 --> 00:36:00,440
Speaker 2: I'm being super aggressive on this weather, you know, seven

739
00:36:00,719 --> 00:36:03,720
Speaker 2: six or seven days out, But these are two receivers

740
00:36:03,760 --> 00:36:05,440
Speaker 2: where if they do have a down game here, it's

741
00:36:05,480 --> 00:36:07,920
Speaker 2: not their fault and they would be you know, really

742
00:36:07,960 --> 00:36:11,360
Speaker 2: good BILO options, especially Cooper, who you know, Jashaun Watson's

743
00:36:11,400 --> 00:36:13,000
Speaker 2: expected to make his first start in a couple of

744
00:36:13,040 --> 00:36:15,600
Speaker 2: weeks here, so Cooper's value could be even higher later

745
00:36:15,680 --> 00:36:18,279
Speaker 2: in the season. So both these guys I'm low on

746
00:36:18,360 --> 00:36:20,920
Speaker 2: here due to the potential heavy snow.

747
00:36:22,680 --> 00:36:24,920
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, I thought I was one Cooper I have

748
00:36:25,000 --> 00:36:29,319
Speaker 1: them like mid twenties, but yeah, that's hey, I can't

749
00:36:29,320 --> 00:36:31,439
Speaker 1: I can't argue that I didn't realize that the snow

750
00:36:31,560 --> 00:36:34,000
Speaker 1: is going to be that crazy. But yeah, certainly if

751
00:36:34,040 --> 00:36:38,359
Speaker 1: it is, everyone needs a downgrade. For me, I'm going

752
00:36:38,400 --> 00:36:42,359
Speaker 1: Brandon Cooks here. He's the consensus wide receiver thirty four.

753
00:36:42,800 --> 00:36:45,600
Speaker 1: I have a wide receiver forty eight. He came back

754
00:36:45,760 --> 00:36:48,560
Speaker 1: and he wasn't even the number one receiver. He ran

755
00:36:48,600 --> 00:36:51,680
Speaker 1: a route on just sixty three percent of the dropbacks

756
00:36:51,800 --> 00:36:55,000
Speaker 1: last week. And you know, he's kind of been in

757
00:36:55,120 --> 00:36:57,560
Speaker 1: some I don't even know what to call it, but

758
00:36:57,760 --> 00:37:00,480
Speaker 1: like like the doghouse or they I don't know if

759
00:37:00,520 --> 00:37:02,040
Speaker 1: he doesn't want to play or they don't want to

760
00:37:02,040 --> 00:37:04,399
Speaker 1: play him or what. But you know, he only played

761
00:37:04,400 --> 00:37:06,320
Speaker 1: sixty four percent of the snap so last week. He

762
00:37:06,440 --> 00:37:10,560
Speaker 1: hasn't seen more than seven targets since Week two, and

763
00:37:11,280 --> 00:37:13,799
Speaker 1: he hasn't had more than four catches since Week four.

764
00:37:14,160 --> 00:37:17,080
Speaker 1: So it's and in the yard it hasn't really been

765
00:37:17,160 --> 00:37:19,920
Speaker 1: there either. He hasn't had more than He hasn't top

766
00:37:20,120 --> 00:37:23,960
Speaker 1: fifty seven yards since Week one, So not getting catches,

767
00:37:24,040 --> 00:37:28,040
Speaker 1: not getting targets, one touchdown on the year, and you're

768
00:37:28,120 --> 00:37:31,799
Speaker 1: playing a Washington defense who tends toward man covers. They

769
00:37:31,840 --> 00:37:35,279
Speaker 1: play man at the sixth highest rate Cooks one yard

770
00:37:35,360 --> 00:37:38,080
Speaker 1: per route versus man, one point six versus own. So

771
00:37:38,760 --> 00:37:41,320
Speaker 1: it's a bad matchup for him on top of everything.

772
00:37:41,440 --> 00:37:43,279
Speaker 1: And I just don't know if he's going to be

773
00:37:43,400 --> 00:37:46,160
Speaker 1: back at that ninety percent snap rate that he was

774
00:37:46,320 --> 00:37:48,680
Speaker 1: earlier in the year now, because it's been trending down

775
00:37:48,719 --> 00:37:52,839
Speaker 1: even before this. He was at eighty seven, eighty three

776
00:37:53,440 --> 00:37:55,839
Speaker 1: and then sat out the game and then comes back

777
00:37:55,880 --> 00:37:58,920
Speaker 1: and it's at sixty three. So Cooks is trending downward.

778
00:37:59,000 --> 00:38:01,480
Speaker 1: And I would not treat him like a wide receiver

779
00:38:01,560 --> 00:38:03,040
Speaker 1: three anymore at this point.

780
00:38:05,080 --> 00:38:07,520
Speaker 2: Yeah, I haven't figured out what's going on there either.

781
00:38:07,640 --> 00:38:10,640
Speaker 2: He went to the locker room during the game. Did

782
00:38:10,680 --> 00:38:12,279
Speaker 2: you ever figure out what happened there? Was it his

783
00:38:12,360 --> 00:38:13,759
Speaker 2: wrist or did you just go yeah?

784
00:38:13,760 --> 00:38:15,759
Speaker 1: I think, yeah, I think his risk has been banged up.

785
00:38:15,880 --> 00:38:19,080
Speaker 1: But yeah, we can't like he's a he's like an

786
00:38:19,120 --> 00:38:22,239
Speaker 1: in game injury risk, and I just I just don't

787
00:38:22,320 --> 00:38:26,320
Speaker 1: know like what their intention is with him anyway, another guy.

788
00:38:26,200 --> 00:38:28,919
Speaker 2: Where it would have been better if you just got traded. Yeah,

789
00:38:29,200 --> 00:38:32,799
Speaker 2: oh yeah, for everybody's sake. But here we are. He's

790
00:38:32,840 --> 00:38:35,080
Speaker 2: just gonna waste away the rest of the season on

791
00:38:35,280 --> 00:38:35,840
Speaker 2: the Texans.

792
00:38:35,920 --> 00:38:39,439
Speaker 1: Great, okay, what are you doing for the prop?

793
00:38:39,719 --> 00:38:44,160
Speaker 2: Oh we gotta go with Christian Watson here, let's see.

794
00:38:44,360 --> 00:38:48,400
Speaker 2: So so for his receiving yards against the Titans, I

795
00:38:48,520 --> 00:38:53,279
Speaker 2: am going with Randel Kabb isn't expected to return this

796
00:38:53,360 --> 00:38:54,279
Speaker 2: week because I think he has.

797
00:38:54,239 --> 00:38:56,480
Speaker 1: A chance, Like he's not completely but they did release

798
00:38:56,520 --> 00:38:57,920
Speaker 1: a Mario Rodgers, so you never know.

799
00:38:58,480 --> 00:38:59,239
Speaker 2: Oh they did really?

800
00:38:59,320 --> 00:39:01,520
Speaker 1: Oh man, Kylon Hill, so they at least two of

801
00:39:01,560 --> 00:39:03,120
Speaker 1: those gadgett.

802
00:39:02,520 --> 00:39:06,440
Speaker 2: Well, Hill doesn't impact but Rogers really Wow yeah, probably

803
00:39:06,480 --> 00:39:10,799
Speaker 2: that fumble. Okay, anyways, so this, let's say Randall Cob

804
00:39:10,880 --> 00:39:14,399
Speaker 2: has to be inactive for this to be or fine?

805
00:39:14,440 --> 00:39:16,680
Speaker 1: I mean, yeah, it's fine.

806
00:39:16,760 --> 00:39:18,160
Speaker 2: Yeah, which one?

807
00:39:18,480 --> 00:39:20,560
Speaker 1: No, Like all that's action? Yeah, all that's action.

808
00:39:20,640 --> 00:39:22,800
Speaker 2: Okay, let's go with forty six and a half yards.

809
00:39:23,680 --> 00:39:25,840
Speaker 1: Oh, I have him at forty six suggle under. But

810
00:39:25,920 --> 00:39:28,640
Speaker 1: that's a great fine, Okay, I have him three point

811
00:39:28,719 --> 00:39:31,600
Speaker 1: five for forty six and zero point three to one touchdown.

812
00:39:31,680 --> 00:39:33,919
Speaker 1: So he's my wide receiver twenty eight on the week.

813
00:39:35,440 --> 00:39:36,839
Speaker 1: What do you have him? What do you have him

814
00:39:36,840 --> 00:39:37,960
Speaker 1: for routes, run projection?

815
00:39:39,000 --> 00:39:41,560
Speaker 2: Oh, it's out there. It's at least like eighty five percent.

816
00:39:42,000 --> 00:39:44,000
Speaker 2: Oh wow, let me see. Yeah, I think he's gonna

817
00:39:44,000 --> 00:39:48,000
Speaker 2: stick around there now, I mean the thing eighty four percent.

818
00:39:48,600 --> 00:39:52,200
Speaker 1: Okay, I gave him a conservative seventy five. But yeah,

819
00:39:52,200 --> 00:39:54,040
Speaker 1: he's still coming out of my wide receiver twenty eight.

820
00:39:54,600 --> 00:39:57,520
Speaker 2: Yeah, Like, what do you think happens when, if, and

821
00:39:57,640 --> 00:39:59,480
Speaker 2: when Dobbs comes back?

822
00:40:00,080 --> 00:40:02,080
Speaker 1: So that's what I wonder. But at this point, I

823
00:40:02,200 --> 00:40:04,520
Speaker 1: feel like I don't know how he drops out of

824
00:40:04,600 --> 00:40:07,919
Speaker 1: the top three, you know, whether it's whether he takes

825
00:40:08,360 --> 00:40:11,400
Speaker 1: Cobb's role even when he does come back, or he

826
00:40:11,480 --> 00:40:14,160
Speaker 1: takes Dobbs role. Like I just if he's going to

827
00:40:14,600 --> 00:40:16,799
Speaker 1: play like that, I just don't see how you can

828
00:40:16,920 --> 00:40:20,640
Speaker 1: knock him out of the top three receivers for Green Bay. So, yeah,

829
00:40:21,000 --> 00:40:23,279
Speaker 1: you know, I would suspect that he would play over

830
00:40:23,440 --> 00:40:25,880
Speaker 1: Dobbs if they wanted to keep Cobb in the slot.

831
00:40:26,000 --> 00:40:29,160
Speaker 1: But Watson did play some slot too, so they could

832
00:40:29,160 --> 00:40:32,200
Speaker 1: always and Ozard could play the slot too, so they

833
00:40:32,239 --> 00:40:36,239
Speaker 1: could always go with Dobbs, Watson, Bazaar if they want

834
00:40:36,280 --> 00:40:39,680
Speaker 1: to get there what they feel their top three receivers

835
00:40:39,719 --> 00:40:41,120
Speaker 1: in there, But either way, yeah, I don't I don't

836
00:40:41,160 --> 00:40:43,560
Speaker 1: see Watson kind of falling out of that wide receiver

837
00:40:43,760 --> 00:40:45,560
Speaker 1: three roles. So yeah, that's why I kind of have like,

838
00:40:45,600 --> 00:40:47,640
Speaker 1: I don't see him falling below like that, you know,

839
00:40:48,200 --> 00:40:51,000
Speaker 1: seventy ish percent snap routes run.

840
00:40:51,160 --> 00:40:53,359
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, same here, and he was their second round pick.

841
00:40:53,440 --> 00:40:55,240
Speaker 2: I mean a lot of people thought he could potentially

842
00:40:55,320 --> 00:40:58,640
Speaker 2: go in the first round. He's that talented, and really,

843
00:40:58,760 --> 00:41:01,919
Speaker 2: you know, he's struggled due to injuries so far this season,

844
00:41:02,000 --> 00:41:03,520
Speaker 2: so now he's healthy, he broke out. It would have

845
00:41:03,520 --> 00:41:05,879
Speaker 2: been nice if he ran a ninety one percent route

846
00:41:05,920 --> 00:41:08,160
Speaker 2: rate it went for like, you know, two catches for

847
00:41:08,200 --> 00:41:10,680
Speaker 2: forty yards and no touchdowns, we could just buy in.

848
00:41:10,840 --> 00:41:13,839
Speaker 2: But the fact that he had to rup for three touchdowns,

849
00:41:14,280 --> 00:41:16,919
Speaker 2: you know you're gonna have to spend your entire fab

850
00:41:17,080 --> 00:41:20,000
Speaker 2: for him in fantasy leagues. But yeah, I just think

851
00:41:20,080 --> 00:41:22,560
Speaker 2: that I don't see him really losing playing time with

852
00:41:22,600 --> 00:41:24,680
Speaker 2: Dobbs when he comes back. So he's really just a

853
00:41:24,719 --> 00:41:27,680
Speaker 2: wide receiver three with wide receiver two upside the rest

854
00:41:27,719 --> 00:41:28,400
Speaker 2: of the season for me.

855
00:41:28,920 --> 00:41:31,320
Speaker 1: Yeah, And you know, I think it's interesting though, because

856
00:41:31,920 --> 00:41:34,239
Speaker 1: he went what four for one, O, seven and three

857
00:41:34,400 --> 00:41:37,880
Speaker 1: that will probably go down very highly like high likelihood,

858
00:41:37,880 --> 00:41:39,359
Speaker 1: that will go down as his best game of the year.

859
00:41:39,480 --> 00:41:42,800
Speaker 1: So if you are able to acquire him or have him, like,

860
00:41:43,320 --> 00:41:44,880
Speaker 1: I would try to trade him for a running back

861
00:41:44,920 --> 00:41:47,000
Speaker 1: if I needed, you know, if I needed running back help,

862
00:41:47,520 --> 00:41:50,120
Speaker 1: you know, because he's his value is still never going

863
00:41:50,160 --> 00:41:52,080
Speaker 1: to be higher. Even though the arrow is pointing up

864
00:41:52,440 --> 00:41:53,920
Speaker 1: like that, He's never going to have a better game

865
00:41:54,000 --> 00:41:56,920
Speaker 1: than That's just it's almost impossible to have like one

866
00:41:57,000 --> 00:41:59,280
Speaker 1: hundred yards and three touchdowns twice in a year unless

867
00:41:59,320 --> 00:42:00,799
Speaker 1: you're maybe just and Jefferson or something.

868
00:42:00,880 --> 00:42:03,319
Speaker 2: Yeah, exactly, all right.

869
00:42:04,040 --> 00:42:06,560
Speaker 1: Tight End Top five, oh.

870
00:42:06,520 --> 00:42:09,400
Speaker 2: Man, the top five has really taken a beating with

871
00:42:09,560 --> 00:42:12,320
Speaker 2: you know, godter nerds getting hurt while are on IR

872
00:42:12,480 --> 00:42:15,040
Speaker 2: So it's pretty interesting this week. But I have you know,

873
00:42:15,200 --> 00:42:17,920
Speaker 2: Kelsey and Andrew's top two, and then I have Dalton

874
00:42:17,960 --> 00:42:21,560
Speaker 2: Schultz number three, Kyle Pitts number four, and t J.

875
00:42:21,680 --> 00:42:22,640
Speaker 2: Hawkinson number five.

876
00:42:23,400 --> 00:42:25,759
Speaker 1: Whoa Kyle Pitt's number four that I did not that

877
00:42:26,840 --> 00:42:29,160
Speaker 1: you're you're high on Mariota this week. I don't know

878
00:42:29,239 --> 00:42:29,840
Speaker 1: how apparently.

879
00:42:29,880 --> 00:42:31,640
Speaker 2: I don't know what's going on. I only have protected

880
00:42:31,680 --> 00:42:33,920
Speaker 2: for like one hundred and sixty five yards, like.

881
00:42:34,000 --> 00:42:36,000
Speaker 1: I said, sniffing on some of that stuff that he

882
00:42:36,239 --> 00:42:38,719
Speaker 1: was when he fucking rolled over and threw a fix.

883
00:42:38,800 --> 00:42:43,520
Speaker 2: Oh oh, being high? Is it like an ayahuasca thing?

884
00:42:44,719 --> 00:42:47,319
Speaker 2: I mean, like I said, the tight end position has

885
00:42:47,400 --> 00:42:50,880
Speaker 2: been gutted, absolutely gutted. So who do you have?

886
00:42:51,840 --> 00:42:55,560
Speaker 1: I have Kelsey Andrews, Howkinson, Kittle, Friar, Mooth.

887
00:42:56,320 --> 00:43:03,480
Speaker 2: Oh, Friar, get out of here with that man there

888
00:43:03,960 --> 00:43:07,280
Speaker 2: point two hr But wait, where did you have Pitts?

889
00:43:07,320 --> 00:43:08,520
Speaker 2: Did you say where you have pits?

890
00:43:08,840 --> 00:43:09,719
Speaker 1: Now? That top five?

891
00:43:11,680 --> 00:43:14,759
Speaker 2: Fine? Is he like six or seven? No? He is?

892
00:43:15,840 --> 00:43:18,000
Speaker 2: Do you have George Kittle there? Give me a break.

893
00:43:18,600 --> 00:43:23,240
Speaker 1: Fourth? I have Kelsey Andrews, Hockinson, Kittle, Friarmoth, Schultz, Dulsage

894
00:43:23,400 --> 00:43:23,879
Speaker 1: Pits eight.

895
00:43:24,560 --> 00:43:26,520
Speaker 2: Okay, Well, I mean this is proved my point that

896
00:43:26,760 --> 00:43:30,080
Speaker 2: outside of the top two it's kind of a dumpster

897
00:43:30,200 --> 00:43:32,080
Speaker 2: not a dumpster fire, but it's super close.

898
00:43:32,400 --> 00:43:32,640
Speaker 1: Yeah.

899
00:43:32,840 --> 00:43:35,000
Speaker 2: I mean, Higbee's going to see a big boost potentially

900
00:43:35,040 --> 00:43:38,680
Speaker 2: with Cooper cup out. Doulsich is great. So it just

901
00:43:38,840 --> 00:43:42,239
Speaker 2: there's a lot of fussor moros probably you know, borderline

902
00:43:42,280 --> 00:43:45,439
Speaker 2: top ten option now. But just with you know, Ertz

903
00:43:45,560 --> 00:43:49,399
Speaker 2: and Goddard being out, it just really opened up sort

904
00:43:49,440 --> 00:43:52,040
Speaker 2: of like the tight mid range tight end one for me.

905
00:43:53,200 --> 00:43:53,880
Speaker 1: All right, who you are?

906
00:43:54,800 --> 00:43:57,239
Speaker 2: So I'm high on Dalton Schultz, you know, like I said,

907
00:43:57,280 --> 00:44:00,520
Speaker 2: he's my tight end three this week, and his value

908
00:44:00,560 --> 00:44:02,959
Speaker 2: his skyrocketed over the past couple weeks. Like I said,

909
00:44:03,000 --> 00:44:05,360
Speaker 2: you know, zach Ertz being out for the year, Dallas

910
00:44:05,400 --> 00:44:07,840
Speaker 2: Goddard getting her Darren Waller and I are you know,

911
00:44:08,320 --> 00:44:11,120
Speaker 2: Schultz has emerged and he appears to be fully over

912
00:44:11,280 --> 00:44:14,160
Speaker 2: his pc all injury that was bugging him the past

913
00:44:14,200 --> 00:44:17,200
Speaker 2: few weeks. You know, he had a nice six catch

914
00:44:17,280 --> 00:44:20,399
Speaker 2: fifty four yard game of the touchdown following their bye week.

915
00:44:21,160 --> 00:44:23,520
Speaker 2: He ran a seventy three percent routes run rate, which

916
00:44:23,560 --> 00:44:26,719
Speaker 2: is the first time he's cleared seventy percent since Week four.

917
00:44:27,719 --> 00:44:31,040
Speaker 2: And he feasts against zone and the Vikings that play

918
00:44:31,120 --> 00:44:33,359
Speaker 2: zone the second highest rate, although they have been playing

919
00:44:33,360 --> 00:44:36,239
Speaker 2: a little bit more man with Patrick Pearson playing well

920
00:44:36,320 --> 00:44:38,719
Speaker 2: play but it doesn't matter either way. Should be a

921
00:44:38,760 --> 00:44:41,560
Speaker 2: great spot for Schultz. So I'm projecting him closer to

922
00:44:41,680 --> 00:44:46,320
Speaker 2: five catches and fifty yards with zero point four receiving touchdowns.

923
00:44:46,360 --> 00:44:49,120
Speaker 2: So he's back inside my top five going forward.

924
00:44:50,880 --> 00:44:53,399
Speaker 1: Yeah, that's yeah. Yeah, you have him like a half

925
00:44:53,440 --> 00:44:55,440
Speaker 1: a catch higher than me. That's interesting. I have him

926
00:44:55,440 --> 00:44:57,440
Speaker 1: at four point two. I mean, he's still my tit

927
00:44:57,440 --> 00:44:57,839
Speaker 1: at six.

928
00:44:57,800 --> 00:45:00,160
Speaker 2: But I ran it out technically it's four point eight eight.

929
00:45:00,280 --> 00:45:03,719
Speaker 2: But okay, I've been told around things to the nearest half.

930
00:45:03,800 --> 00:45:07,320
Speaker 2: But yeah, forty eight yards be technical.

931
00:45:07,560 --> 00:45:09,759
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, So I have him four point two for

932
00:45:09,920 --> 00:45:12,759
Speaker 1: forty two, so yeah, yeah, I'm half a cat aero

933
00:45:12,760 --> 00:45:15,759
Speaker 1: point six catches a lower. That's interesting. I do have him.

934
00:45:15,760 --> 00:45:19,359
Speaker 1: I haven't projected for seventy three percent routes. So I wonder,

935
00:45:19,440 --> 00:45:21,959
Speaker 1: what's uh your tight end six?

936
00:45:22,320 --> 00:45:22,520
Speaker 2: Six?

937
00:45:22,640 --> 00:45:27,600
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, just off, okay, Uh, I am high on firemouth.

938
00:45:27,719 --> 00:45:30,840
Speaker 1: I have as my tight end five. He had seventy

939
00:45:30,880 --> 00:45:33,720
Speaker 1: five yards and five catches in the first meeting against

940
00:45:34,080 --> 00:45:37,919
Speaker 1: the Bengals last week. It was the first week without

941
00:45:38,000 --> 00:45:41,000
Speaker 1: Chase Quaypool, but he didn't do much. Remember he was

942
00:45:41,040 --> 00:45:43,760
Speaker 1: going against that Saints defense that's number one in DVOA

943
00:45:44,000 --> 00:45:45,920
Speaker 1: against tight end, so they know they don't really give

944
00:45:46,000 --> 00:45:49,600
Speaker 1: up much to the position, but the Steelers did go

945
00:45:49,840 --> 00:45:52,279
Speaker 1: with a little bit more two tight end personnel and

946
00:45:53,200 --> 00:45:55,520
Speaker 1: Firemouth was able to run a route on ninety percent

947
00:45:55,680 --> 00:45:59,080
Speaker 1: of the dropback. So uh going forward without Quaypool, I

948
00:45:59,160 --> 00:46:03,200
Speaker 1: think Firemouth is gonna see his route participation rate continue

949
00:46:03,239 --> 00:46:05,920
Speaker 1: to tick up above his season average, which was around

950
00:46:06,040 --> 00:46:10,120
Speaker 1: seventy five percent. So uh, yeah, I think Friarmouth And

951
00:46:10,200 --> 00:46:13,080
Speaker 1: remember Tomlin did say, you know, Friarmuth is going to

952
00:46:13,120 --> 00:46:15,120
Speaker 1: be that guy that's going to replace a lot of

953
00:46:15,440 --> 00:46:18,360
Speaker 1: Quaypool's production. So it didn't wasn't a good spot for

954
00:46:18,480 --> 00:46:21,400
Speaker 1: him last week, but like him this week as my

955
00:46:21,600 --> 00:46:22,160
Speaker 1: tight end five.

956
00:46:22,680 --> 00:46:25,080
Speaker 2: Yeah. No, to be fair, I do like that call.

957
00:46:25,120 --> 00:46:27,560
Speaker 2: I wrote my notes. Just the fact that Klay pulls

958
00:46:27,560 --> 00:46:30,480
Speaker 2: out of the picture is a huge boost for Fremouth.

959
00:46:30,560 --> 00:46:33,000
Speaker 2: That was the first game this year he's had what

960
00:46:33,280 --> 00:46:35,279
Speaker 2: even over an eighty percent routes run rate, so it

961
00:46:35,360 --> 00:46:37,800
Speaker 2: was ninety percent. And yeah, it was a tough matchup.

962
00:46:37,840 --> 00:46:41,520
Speaker 2: I think it was katean Ellis, the Saints linebacker, made

963
00:46:41,600 --> 00:46:43,920
Speaker 2: a great play on Fredmuth. Frimuth looked like he was

964
00:46:43,920 --> 00:46:45,879
Speaker 2: going to be open for like a thirty plus yard

965
00:46:45,960 --> 00:46:49,040
Speaker 2: game and Ellis is broke at the right time, made

966
00:46:49,080 --> 00:46:52,040
Speaker 2: a great play. So yeah, no, the needle's definitely pointing

967
00:46:52,120 --> 00:46:53,560
Speaker 2: up on Farremouth going forward.

968
00:46:54,800 --> 00:46:55,239
Speaker 1: Who you wire.

969
00:46:56,120 --> 00:46:59,520
Speaker 2: I'm low on Juan Johnson against the Rams. I know

970
00:46:59,600 --> 00:47:01,799
Speaker 2: he's a popular Oh great, do you have him?

971
00:47:01,880 --> 00:47:03,600
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, great call.

972
00:47:04,400 --> 00:47:06,800
Speaker 2: Yeah, but just the fact that he's getting way for

973
00:47:06,880 --> 00:47:08,640
Speaker 2: are buzz I just want to pump the brakes down

974
00:47:08,680 --> 00:47:11,680
Speaker 2: a little bit. He he has had a nice pass

975
00:47:11,760 --> 00:47:14,440
Speaker 2: you know, a few weeks, and he does carries a

976
00:47:14,520 --> 00:47:16,279
Speaker 2: nice week with upside. You know, there's some times when

977
00:47:16,280 --> 00:47:18,239
Speaker 2: we talk him up, but he's he's really just a

978
00:47:18,400 --> 00:47:21,520
Speaker 2: mid range tight end too going forward, and he took

979
00:47:21,560 --> 00:47:24,000
Speaker 2: advantage of a trout and being out of the lineup

980
00:47:24,040 --> 00:47:26,800
Speaker 2: for a couple of games, Jarvis Landry being out for

981
00:47:26,960 --> 00:47:29,879
Speaker 2: several games, but his routes run rate fell back down

982
00:47:29,920 --> 00:47:32,160
Speaker 2: to earth, you know, sixty five percent last rate, which

983
00:47:32,200 --> 00:47:34,680
Speaker 2: is what we'd expect fro him going forward. Plus Taysom

984
00:47:34,760 --> 00:47:36,760
Speaker 2: Hill has been factoring in more as a pass catcher.

985
00:47:37,160 --> 00:47:39,320
Speaker 2: His routes run rate has been around thirty five percent

986
00:47:39,400 --> 00:47:41,960
Speaker 2: the past three games. So there's just so many different

987
00:47:42,360 --> 00:47:44,719
Speaker 2: weapons and pieces in this offense. It's gonna be hard

988
00:47:44,760 --> 00:47:47,520
Speaker 2: for Justin to put up consistent you know, tight end

989
00:47:47,560 --> 00:47:50,560
Speaker 2: one value. So I'm a bit lower than Ecrhim as

990
00:47:50,600 --> 00:47:52,319
Speaker 2: my tight end seventeen to open the week.

991
00:47:52,600 --> 00:47:55,319
Speaker 1: Yeah, he's my don in twenty six. Oh Jesus, Yeah,

992
00:47:56,200 --> 00:47:58,839
Speaker 1: I mean it's pretty close. Well yeah, and I haven't

993
00:47:58,880 --> 00:48:02,160
Speaker 1: projected for seventy five percent routes, but when you look

994
00:48:02,239 --> 00:48:06,520
Speaker 1: at his underlying use metrics, you know he's targeted on

995
00:48:07,120 --> 00:48:10,480
Speaker 1: just under fifteen percent of his routes as the tight end.

996
00:48:10,960 --> 00:48:14,160
Speaker 1: And you know he's he's been very touchdown de Pennant

997
00:48:14,200 --> 00:48:16,839
Speaker 1: like he hasn't cleared He hasn't had a fifty yard

998
00:48:16,880 --> 00:48:20,200
Speaker 1: game yet this season, I believe me. See you make sure. Yeah,

999
00:48:20,640 --> 00:48:22,759
Speaker 1: he hasn't cleared forty four yards and again so he

1000
00:48:22,760 --> 00:48:24,480
Speaker 1: hasn't even had a forty five yard game. So he's

1001
00:48:24,520 --> 00:48:27,000
Speaker 1: really doing it all on touchdowns. He is third on

1002
00:48:27,040 --> 00:48:28,920
Speaker 1: the team in the red zone targets. But we know

1003
00:48:29,080 --> 00:48:31,080
Speaker 1: week to week that's going to kind of be tough

1004
00:48:31,120 --> 00:48:33,640
Speaker 1: to count on this Ram Saints game, the total is

1005
00:48:33,800 --> 00:48:37,120
Speaker 1: thirty eight. Uh, and you know, I think both teams

1006
00:48:37,480 --> 00:48:39,719
Speaker 1: are kind of going through some things on offense, the

1007
00:48:39,800 --> 00:48:43,799
Speaker 1: offensive line and this Saints team it's really just tough

1008
00:48:43,880 --> 00:48:47,360
Speaker 1: to project, Like even Alvin Kamara week to week, the

1009
00:48:47,480 --> 00:48:50,360
Speaker 1: usages and always there. And you know, tray Quon Smith

1010
00:48:50,600 --> 00:48:53,640
Speaker 1: got one snap last week, kwawait was a scratch. Like

1011
00:48:53,800 --> 00:48:57,040
Speaker 1: you just never know what they're gonna do in terms

1012
00:48:57,080 --> 00:48:59,480
Speaker 1: of the game plan for these guys, So I think

1013
00:48:59,520 --> 00:49:03,040
Speaker 1: you have to just naturally be conservative. And the Rams

1014
00:49:03,080 --> 00:49:06,479
Speaker 1: are allowing the seventh through his schedule adjusted receiving yards

1015
00:49:06,480 --> 00:49:08,359
Speaker 1: per game to the tight end position at thirty nine

1016
00:49:08,719 --> 00:49:12,799
Speaker 1: according to Football Outsiders, so not a great matchup either.

1017
00:49:13,160 --> 00:49:16,160
Speaker 1: So yeah, I'm Wollee Johnson as well. All right, let's

1018
00:49:16,239 --> 00:49:19,440
Speaker 1: go with a prop. Let's go with Greg Docich for

1019
00:49:19,520 --> 00:49:23,520
Speaker 1: the prop because he his usage has been great, but

1020
00:49:23,600 --> 00:49:26,080
Speaker 1: he had a pretty big dud last week in a

1021
00:49:26,160 --> 00:49:28,920
Speaker 1: spot that I thought he could have some success. So

1022
00:49:29,080 --> 00:49:31,160
Speaker 1: now you know, I know, you know, he's only played

1023
00:49:31,160 --> 00:49:33,360
Speaker 1: four games, so a lot of people are gonna wonder,

1024
00:49:33,440 --> 00:49:35,520
Speaker 1: you know, can I trust this guy after he just

1025
00:49:35,600 --> 00:49:39,000
Speaker 1: had one catch for eleven yards last week, his lowest

1026
00:49:39,080 --> 00:49:42,040
Speaker 1: of the season. So I am going to go Greg

1027
00:49:42,120 --> 00:49:45,920
Speaker 1: Docch receiving yard ise and let's put it at forty

1028
00:49:45,920 --> 00:49:46,439
Speaker 1: two and a half.

1029
00:49:47,120 --> 00:49:50,279
Speaker 2: Oh good line to be fair. Any tight end not

1030
00:49:50,400 --> 00:49:54,800
Speaker 2: named Travis Kelcey or Mark Andrews is you know, dud prone.

1031
00:49:55,719 --> 00:49:57,600
Speaker 2: So I wouldn't write him off quite yet. I do

1032
00:49:58,480 --> 00:50:00,480
Speaker 2: like him this week, but I haven't closed it up forty.

1033
00:50:01,560 --> 00:50:04,840
Speaker 2: But I'm also projecting Judy and Handler to play, So

1034
00:50:04,920 --> 00:50:06,640
Speaker 2: maybe that's why I'm a little bit lower. Do you

1035
00:50:06,920 --> 00:50:08,440
Speaker 2: have both guys returning Earth?

1036
00:50:09,280 --> 00:50:12,040
Speaker 1: Yeah, but not not running a full compliment, not playing

1037
00:50:12,040 --> 00:50:13,760
Speaker 1: a full compliment of STAPs though, But yes.

1038
00:50:13,800 --> 00:50:16,480
Speaker 2: Okay, yeah, that's that's the thing that's what makes us tricky.

1039
00:50:17,800 --> 00:50:21,399
Speaker 2: But I'll lean under. But yeah, Judy and Handler out

1040
00:50:21,600 --> 00:50:23,360
Speaker 2: like I'm gonna have this in the fifties.

1041
00:50:23,400 --> 00:50:25,839
Speaker 1: I think, Yeah, it's a you know, it's a tough one.

1042
00:50:25,880 --> 00:50:27,640
Speaker 1: I have him as my tight end seven right now,

1043
00:50:28,040 --> 00:50:32,239
Speaker 1: going against this Raider defense that I think is pretty exploitable,

1044
00:50:32,920 --> 00:50:36,279
Speaker 1: but you know, disappointing with what he did last week.

1045
00:50:36,520 --> 00:50:39,040
Speaker 1: I think Russell Wilson's kind of hurting him. That is

1046
00:50:39,040 --> 00:50:41,200
Speaker 1: gonna wrap it up for a week eleven Player Projections

1047
00:50:41,239 --> 00:50:44,320
Speaker 1: episode of the Action Network podcast presented by Fandel. For

1048
00:50:44,400 --> 00:50:46,400
Speaker 1: more great content from Sean and I, check out the

1049
00:50:46,480 --> 00:50:49,840
Speaker 1: full Fantasy preview episode out now over on the Fantasy

1050
00:50:49,960 --> 00:50:52,360
Speaker 1: Flex podcast channel. If you're into betting, we sure to

1051
00:50:52,480 --> 00:50:54,960
Speaker 1: check out my weekly betting preview episode every Thursday with

1052
00:50:55,120 --> 00:51:00,080
Speaker 1: Stucky right here on this channel. Actionnetwork dot Com all

1053
00:51:00,120 --> 00:51:03,040
Speaker 1: of our NFL betting and fantasy content. Fantasy Labs dot

1054
00:51:03,080 --> 00:51:06,160
Speaker 1: com for all of our DFS tools and models. You

1055
00:51:06,200 --> 00:51:08,719
Speaker 1: can find shown on Twitter at the Underscore Oddsmaker the

1056
00:51:08,920 --> 00:51:11,520
Speaker 1: Actress Raybon. You can find us at those same handles

1057
00:51:11,719 --> 00:51:15,359
Speaker 1: on the free award winning Action Network app. Until next time,

1058
00:51:15,520 --> 00:51:16,439
Speaker 1: let's get this money.