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Speaker 1: What's up guys, Happy Saturday. Welcome to Championship Saturday weekends.

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Speaker 2: Everybody. It is the Deli Juice Podcast. My name is

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Speaker 2: Matt Perrault.

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Speaker 1: You guys can follow me across all of my socials

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Speaker 1: at Sports Talk Matt.

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Speaker 2: This podcast being brought to you by DraftKings. I'm going to.

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Speaker 1: Give you my thoughts on all the games today. All

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Speaker 1: the big games are going to go through them all.

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Speaker 1: I will have official place three of them that will

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Speaker 1: be official. I will give you my thoughts on the

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Speaker 1: games going into today. There will be no live chat

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Speaker 1: today instead eight o'clock in the morning. It's when we

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Speaker 1: normally do a Pacific time eleven am on Saturdays, but

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Speaker 1: on Sunday we do a live stream. The live stream

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Speaker 1: for the NFL actually is going to coincide with the

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Speaker 1: releasing of the College Football Playoff brand before the Sunday

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Speaker 1: night game at five pm Pacific eight o'clock PM on Sunday.

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Speaker 1: I will remind you of this tomorrow, but I will

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Speaker 1: do a thirty minute breakdown on the Discord channel. I

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Speaker 1: will do a thirty minute breakdown of the bracket from

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Speaker 1: a betting perspective. We will have the first numbers we

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Speaker 1: will have the first movement of those numbers. We'll have

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Speaker 1: a ways to go to the games get played, but

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Speaker 1: we'll take a look at the futures market. We'll take

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Speaker 1: a look at the path for these teams. Okay, we'll

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Speaker 1: do that on the Discord channel bettingpros dot Com slash

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Speaker 1: Chat at five pm Pacific eight pm Eastern Time on

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Speaker 1: Sunday night, Sunday night on the Discord channel. So no

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Speaker 1: live chat this morning here, only the picks here on

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Speaker 1: the podcast, which I'm going to give you here in

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Speaker 1: a couple of seconds. So to recap last night, it

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Speaker 1: was a flat two and two day down point one.

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Speaker 1: UNLV does not come in. Should have known better. Boise

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Speaker 1: is like, oh maha, there's nothing else there besides Boise

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Speaker 1: State football. That was a great atmosphere, cold, really hard

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Speaker 1: to play, I thought, hodjma Leak Williams played his worst

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Speaker 1: game of the year at the worst possible time.

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Speaker 2: That game was right there.

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Speaker 1: UNLV had multiple trips to the red zone in which

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Speaker 1: they didn't score any points. They missed a field goal.

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Speaker 1: Like all the things you can't do on a championship

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Speaker 1: game to win a championship game, they did not do

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Speaker 1: under was to play should have been the under, but

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Speaker 1: Northwestern wins outright in overtime against Illinois, so that got

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Speaker 1: us there. The props went one in one and was

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Speaker 1: flat with the prop market, so we go to and two.

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Speaker 1: No real blood here as we head towards Saturday. Nothing

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Speaker 1: to worry about. Three official plays like I mentioned, but

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Speaker 1: I will go through the Big twelve, the MAC, the SEC,

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Speaker 1: the ACC, the Big Ten. I have no thoughts on

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Speaker 1: the sun Belt, and I have no thoughts on the Swack,

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Speaker 1: so I don't know anything about those games. We'll give

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Speaker 1: you thoughts on the rest of them here in just

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Speaker 1: one second. This podcast being brought to you by DraftKings

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Speaker 1: let's start with the Big twelve. This is an official play.

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Speaker 1: I think Arizona State's gonna win the game, but I

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Speaker 1: don't know. I don't know. I gotta be honest. The

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Speaker 1: number is one and a half. It was two. It's

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Speaker 1: been that down to one and a half. This is

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Speaker 1: going to be a really, really crazy game. So Iowa

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Speaker 1: State doesn't stop the run at all. I always say

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Speaker 1: it's got big problems stopping the run. And Scattaboo is

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Speaker 1: gonna run the ball like crazy for Arizona State. Just

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Speaker 1: like crazy. Arizona State runs the ball at four point

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Speaker 1: seven yards per clip. They run the ball forty two

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Speaker 1: times a game. That's top fifteen in the country. Their

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Speaker 1: top twenty five in rushing yards per game in Iowa

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Speaker 1: State gives up five point one yards per rush. That's

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Speaker 1: no good against scatabo and this rush offense for Arizona State.

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Speaker 1: On the other side, though Iowa State's pass offense is

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Speaker 1: really pretty good. Iowa State can throw the football two

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Speaker 1: hundred and fifteen yards per game given up for Arizona State.

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Speaker 1: That's not great. They also give up big plays in

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Speaker 1: the passing game. BUYU hit a bunch of big plays

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Speaker 1: in the passing game in their game. As I always say,

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Speaker 1: it's got two really good wide receivers and a good

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Speaker 1: quarterback to throw the football. I think Iowa State's going

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Speaker 1: to have big play opportunities. I think Arizona State's going

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Speaker 1: to have big running play opportunities. I think the best

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Speaker 1: play in this game is the over over fifty and

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Speaker 1: a half. But I do think Arizona State can win

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Speaker 1: the game, and I do think Arizona State's going to

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Speaker 1: win the game. I'll have a personal play on Arizona

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Speaker 1: State to win the game, just a straight money line

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Speaker 1: bet nine, playing around with the one and a half,

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Speaker 1: just Arizona State money line. But I think the official play,

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Speaker 1: the best play is going to be the over. I

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Speaker 1: think that play is more than likely going to come in.

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Speaker 1: Arizona State has gone over their last two games, and

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Speaker 1: four of their last five have gone over. Not far over,

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Speaker 1: but over. Against Arizona they scored forty nine points. Against BUYU,

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Speaker 1: they scored twenty eight points against Kansas State.

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Speaker 2: The game went under.

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Speaker 1: They scored thirty five against Central Florida, and they scored

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Speaker 1: forty two against Oklahoma State. On the flip side, Iowa

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Speaker 1: State scored twenty nine against Kansas State, game went under

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Speaker 1: thirty one against Utah game went over thirty four again

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Speaker 1: since that game went under by two points and thirty

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Speaker 1: six against Kansas that game went over. Iowa State is

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Speaker 1: two and two to the over, but their last two

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Speaker 1: road games have gone over. This isn't a road game,

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Speaker 1: but you know what I mean. This game is being

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Speaker 1: played in Dallas, Texas. Jerry's world. This team, This is

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Speaker 1: being played at a neutral but fast track indoors perfect

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Speaker 1: condition away from ames. Over fifty and a half for

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Speaker 1: Iowa State and Arizona State in the Big Twelve Championship

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Speaker 1: game official play unofficial is I like Arizona State to

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Speaker 1: win the game just on the money line in the

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Speaker 1: MAC Championship. This is going to be if you're looking

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Speaker 1: for kind of a competitive football game, if the other

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Speaker 1: games get kind of boring, same if it's a blowout

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Speaker 1: one side of the other. For the Big Twelve football

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Speaker 1: over and watch this game in Detroit Ohio taking on

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Speaker 1: Miami in the MAC Championship game. Ohio is eight and

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Speaker 1: four ats this year, but they're five and one at

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Speaker 1: home in three and three on the road.

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Speaker 2: They covered five straight games.

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Speaker 1: Miami of Ohio was three and three overall, but they've

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Speaker 1: covered in their last two games. Hard not to like

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Speaker 1: Ohio here with a short number of two and a

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Speaker 1: half on a neutral. They've won their last five games

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Speaker 1: by twenty one, seventeen, twenty five, forty one and thirty one.

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Speaker 1: I think the player is to lay the two and

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Speaker 1: a half with Ohio or take the money line with Ohio.

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Speaker 1: Not official, just my thoughts. SEC Championship. This isn't official.

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Speaker 1: Play man Alive. This is really fun if you're somebody

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Speaker 1: who is involved in college football, watching Georgia and Texas

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Speaker 1: play in the SEC Championship game is just.

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Speaker 2: Going to be really wild and really really fun.

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Speaker 1: Look, Kirby Smart has been really good in this game,

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Speaker 1: and I mean really good in this game, and he

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Speaker 1: doesn't lose this game all that often. Okay, we're talking

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Speaker 1: about guys and coaches. Let me give you some stats

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Speaker 1: here for Kirby Smart in the SEC Championship because I

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Speaker 1: can't go against him.

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Speaker 2: I know everyone likes.

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Speaker 1: Texas, and I know they're saying that this is Texas

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Speaker 1: year and there's no wide outse for Georgia and all

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Speaker 1: this stuff. But Kirby Smart will be a conference title

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Speaker 1: game underdog for just the second time. He was catching

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Speaker 1: seven points against LSU he lost thirty seven to ten

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Speaker 1: in twenty nineteen, and in twenty eighteen he was catching

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Speaker 1: eleven and a half against Alabama and he lost thirty

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Speaker 1: five twenty eight, so one in one against the spread,

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Speaker 1: zero to two straight up as a dog. However, Kirby

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Speaker 1: Smart is now in his seventh SEC Championship game. The

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Speaker 1: Bulldogs are three and three ats in those games, but

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Speaker 1: a lot of those games came against Alabama. Since the

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Speaker 1: SEC Championship game became a thing in nineteen ninety two.

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Speaker 1: The favorite is twenty five and six straight up, okay,

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Speaker 1: but only fourteen sixteen and one against the spread, and

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Speaker 1: two of those six losses have come from Georgia as

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Speaker 1: a favorite against Alabama. Georgia has been horrible against the

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Speaker 1: number this year, three and nine. I understand why everyone

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Speaker 1: looking at this and they're going, you got to get

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Speaker 1: on Texas. Texas has been so much better against the number.

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Speaker 1: I just think Kirby Smart is really good against everybody

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Speaker 1: else except except Texas, sorry, except Alabama and Nick Saban.

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Speaker 1: And I know they lost to Georgia this year, and

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Speaker 1: I know Texas has been tremendous, but you look at

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Speaker 1: Texas's schedule and you have to ask yourself, like, who

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Speaker 1: on this schedule makes you go, oh my gosh, they're

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Speaker 1: really really good. Now Georgia beat Texas head to head

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Speaker 1: when they were there in Texas. This game is being

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Speaker 1: played in Georgia. They're calling this a neutral, but Georgia

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Speaker 1: knows how to play in this building?

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Speaker 2: Does Texas this number? All this steam? Everyone taking Texas?

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Speaker 1: I think we get reminded here about what Georgia is,

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Speaker 1: in particular on the defensive side of the football. I

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Speaker 1: know they're two and four ats on the road. I

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Speaker 1: know Texas is three and two ats away from home.

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Speaker 1: I know Texas has won loss all year and it's

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Speaker 1: against Georgia and they're gonna be able to get revenge

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Speaker 1: for what happened in that game. And I know that

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Speaker 1: Carson Beck is not going to play. You know, he's

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Speaker 1: been a big question mark, and the receivers are a

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Speaker 1: big question Mark and all these things.

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Speaker 2: I get it.

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Speaker 1: Texas defense has been tremendous, giving up less than twelve

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Speaker 1: points per game. Georgia has been giving up more points

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Speaker 1: than normal. They just went to eight overtimes against Georgia Tech.

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Speaker 1: All these things, I understand all of them. I'm an

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Speaker 1: sec homer. Give me the money line, like, just give

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Speaker 1: me money line. Plus one twenty five. Gave me Georgia

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Speaker 1: money line. As this number climbs, I hope you guys

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Speaker 1: get better numbers. I hope you guys get better, better

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Speaker 1: prices than me. Let me take a look and see

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Speaker 1: what the best price is on the planet here that

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Speaker 1: you guys can get on this because this number has

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Speaker 1: been climbing. Here tonight on the money line for Georgia.

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Speaker 1: Plus one twenty five still the best price. Yeah, that's

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Speaker 1: the best price on the planet. So plus one twenty five.

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Speaker 1: Maybe you guys get better. I don't even tell I

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Speaker 1: didn't want the points. I don't want the points. You

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Speaker 1: get two and a half. You can take it if

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Speaker 1: Georgia covers. I think Georgia wins, so I'm taking Georgia.

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Speaker 1: Gimme Kirby Smart, give me the team that's been there.

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Speaker 1: Give me the team from Georgia taking on Texas. They've

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Speaker 1: already beaten him once this year. I don't know about

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Speaker 1: how many points one, two, three or one thousand, I

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Speaker 1: don't care. Georgia money line for one unit at plus

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Speaker 1: one twenty five. And then finally let's see hold on,

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Speaker 1: Sorry not finally we go to I have no word.

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Speaker 1: I have nothing on the sun Belt Clemson LSU. I

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Speaker 1: honest to God, want to take SMU, like I just

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Speaker 1: straight up want to take SMU. But Clemson's dominance in

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Speaker 1: the ACC Championship game has me really scared. Clemson has

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Speaker 1: lost three consecutive games ATS going into this That's the

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Speaker 1: longest ATS losing streak for any team in a title

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Speaker 1: game this year. Over the last decade, teams entering a

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Speaker 1: conference championship game on three or more ATS losing streaks

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Speaker 1: are seven and oh straight up and seven and zero

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Speaker 1: against the spread in their title games. That's enough to

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Speaker 1: keep me off of them. Okay, off of SMU and

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Speaker 1: off of Clemson. I think Clemson wins. Sorry, I think

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Speaker 1: SMU wins the game, but I'm gonna have nothing on

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Speaker 1: the ACC Championship. I'm gonna watch it, but I have

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Speaker 1: nothing on this game. My pick is SMU to win,

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Speaker 1: but I'm not betting it. I don't know what to

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Speaker 1: do with it. Money's on Clemson. I'm not gonna fight it.

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Speaker 1: I'm not gonna say it's wrong. It very well could

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Speaker 1: be Clemson to win the ACC Championship, and that's actually

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Speaker 1: kind of bad news for Alabama. So Bama wants SMU

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Speaker 1: to win, but I don't know about that. And then finally,

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Speaker 1: Penn State and Oregon numbers three and a half. Some

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Speaker 1: books have already gone to three. I grabbed the three

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Speaker 1: and a half. This is just a scary bet. There's

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Speaker 1: no way around this bet. It's scary. Oregon's the last

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Speaker 1: undefeated team in college football. Penn State under James Franklin

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Speaker 1: against top five opponents, he's one in sixteen straight up,

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Speaker 1: one in sixteen straight up. Here's the weird thing about

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Speaker 1: this one. I like the defense a lot for Penn State.

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Speaker 1: I think they can keep them in the game. I

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Speaker 1: think as long as they don't give up big plays,

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Speaker 1: they can keep them in the game. Three and two

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Speaker 1: away from home, both these teams no losses for Oregon.

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Speaker 1: Closest near scare was against Poise. They won by three

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Speaker 1: one by one againess Ohio State was the closest loss,

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Speaker 1: closest near loss one by one against Ohio State, one

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Speaker 1: by three against Poise. Here's the funny thing about this game.

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Speaker 1: If Penn State wins this game, how big is it

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Speaker 1: for Penn State? It's massive, is it not?

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Speaker 2: It's huge.

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Speaker 1: James Franklin gets to get the Monkey office back. He've

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Speaker 1: won a Big Ten championship for Oregon. It's their first

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Speaker 1: year in the Big Ten. First I'm playing in Indianapolis.

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Speaker 1: They're in the tournament. They're playing for national championships. Right,

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Speaker 1: we've all said the five seed is the best seed.

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Speaker 1: You want the five because you play a home game

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Speaker 1: and then you're gonna play Boise again, a team they've

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Speaker 1: already beaten. Don't you want to play Boise in the quarterfinals?

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Speaker 1: Anybody one seed, five seed? Anybody don't you want Boise?

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Speaker 1: Aren't they the weakest team in this field? Boise getting

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Speaker 1: a buye is a clown show.

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Speaker 2: It's a joke.

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Speaker 1: Poise, the Mountain West champion is the four seed in

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Speaker 1: a bracket for a national championship.

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Speaker 2: Get out of here. You guys are all.

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Speaker 1: On the pipe. But fine, put them in there. Gave

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Speaker 1: Oregon a simple path. If Oregon loses this game, I

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Speaker 1: will bet Oregon to win the national championship because their

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Speaker 1: path is going to be very, very easy. They might

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Speaker 1: even get Arizona State at home. I mean the twelve

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Speaker 1: seed might be the Big twelve winner, might be Iowa

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Speaker 1: State or Arizona State. Up again, you don't think Oregon's

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Speaker 1: gonna whip Arizona State. I mean, they know that team,

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Speaker 1: they know what they are. That's easy. That's a win

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Speaker 1: for Oregon. Then they play Boise on a neutral that's easy.

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Speaker 1: Oregon's into the national semi finals. It's the same thing

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Speaker 1: for Penn State. But this game means more for Penn

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Speaker 1: State because James Franklin can get this w and James

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Speaker 1: Franklin can say he won a Big Ten title and

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Speaker 1: he beat a number one team. Overall, I just don't

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Speaker 1: this feels like Kansas and Creighton.

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Speaker 2: To me, this game means way more to Penn State

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Speaker 2: than it does Oregon. I don't think Oregon cares about it.

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Speaker 2: Oregon knows they want to win a national championship. They've

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Speaker 2: got more football to come after this.

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Speaker 1: I think the more passionate, the more focused, the bigger

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Speaker 1: the game's bigger for Penn State. I'll take the three

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Speaker 1: and a half, but I think you have to sprinkle

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Speaker 1: money line on Penn State. You have to take that

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Speaker 1: plus one fifty. It's too juicy. Sitting right there, I

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Speaker 1: would one hundred percent take it, But officially I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: come in and I'm gonna take plus three and a half.

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Speaker 1: The three official plays for the Daily Juice Arizona State,

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Speaker 1: Iowa State over fifteen and a half, Georgia money line

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Speaker 1: plus one twenty five against Texas Penn State plus three

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Speaker 1: and a half for one point one units. I have

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Speaker 1: no bets officially on UFC three ten. Before you ask me,

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Speaker 1: I have no bets on it. I will watch it

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Speaker 1: one hundred percent. I'm gonna watch it, but it's here

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Speaker 1: in Vegas. I'd rather watch college football, to be que honest,

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Speaker 1: I could have gone right now. I'd rather watch college

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Speaker 1: football in these championship games than go to a UFC event.

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Speaker 1: But the co main event in that card at three ten,

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Speaker 1: the Gary fight is WHOA. That is an awesome, awesome fight.

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Speaker 1: The cole Mane is better than the main event in

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Speaker 1: my mind. Comane is great for three ten, really fun fight,

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Speaker 1: to watch. But so let me just recap the full

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Speaker 1: card for the full day. I was Arizona State officially

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Speaker 1: over fifteen and a half. My personal thought is Arizona

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Speaker 1: State money line. Mac Ohio is catching two and a

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Speaker 1: half to Miami. I don't get why Ohio is catching points.

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Speaker 1: They've gone in won five games in a row, They've

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Speaker 1: killed teams. Excuse me, sorry taking Ohio plus two and

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Speaker 1: a half, but I'm not betting in Georgia money line

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Speaker 1: up against Texas. I think they win the game outrights.

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Speaker 1: You can take the three two and a half points

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Speaker 1: if you want. I think Georgia wins the game outright.

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Speaker 1: Clemson SMU, I want to bet SMU not betting anything

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Speaker 1: on it because of what I mentioned with the ATS

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Speaker 1: streak for Clemson and how dominant Clemson has been in

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Speaker 1: the ACC Championship game. This is the first time for

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Speaker 1: SMU to ever be in this game. This is in Charlotte,

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Speaker 1: It's not really a neutral site. There'd be way more

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Speaker 1: Clemson people there. I get why you're taking the two

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Speaker 1: and a half. I get why you're betting Clemson money line.

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Speaker 1: No play on it. My thought is SMU money line,

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Speaker 1: but I can hundred percent see Clemson coming in and

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Speaker 1: winning this game.

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Speaker 2: No play there.

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Speaker 1: Penn State plus three and a half is the official

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Speaker 1: play for the Big Ten, but sprinkle on Penn State

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Speaker 1: money line for sure once again. No live chat this

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Speaker 1: morning at eight o'clock Pacific eleven am eats Eastern but Sunday,

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Speaker 1: in between the late slate and Sunday Night football, we

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Speaker 1: will break down the National Championship bracket, thoughts on picks,

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Speaker 1: plays for the first week, look at lines, look at futures,

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Speaker 1: any bets and plays we want to make. I'll jump

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Speaker 1: in and give you guys a couple of options. I'll

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Speaker 1: make an official one for sure during that live stream

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Speaker 1: coming up on Sunday at eight o'clock pm Eastern Time

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Speaker 1: on the Discord channel Sunday, not Saturday, Sunday at eight pm.

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Speaker 1: Nothing today on the Discord, but it's bettingpros dot Com,

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Speaker 1: slash chat mis Matt Parolt following us all socials at

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Speaker 1: Sports Talk Matt. Every morning, It's The Diligence Podcast presented

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Speaker 1: by DraftKings