WEBVTT - TikTok Ban and Softbank's 'Super' AI Plans

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news from Mahard where Innovation,

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<v Speaker 1>money and power.

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<v Speaker 2>Collie in Silicon Vallet NBN.

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Technology with Caroline Hyde and Ed Loudlove.

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<v Speaker 3>I Meed Ludlow in San Francisco. Caroline hides off. This

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<v Speaker 3>is Bloomberg Technology.

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<v Speaker 4>Coming up. We'll bring you latest on the TikTok ban

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<v Speaker 4>as the.

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<v Speaker 3>Company argues the US disregarded its national security plans. Plus

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<v Speaker 3>Masseoshi's Sun announces his vision for an era of artificial

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<v Speaker 3>super intelligence.

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<v Speaker 4>Will bring you the details.

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<v Speaker 3>And cardialer chaos continues amid a debilitating cyber attack that's

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<v Speaker 3>upending the one point two trillion dollar market. It's full

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<v Speaker 3>coverage coming up. Happy Friday to those of you around

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<v Speaker 3>the world. This is what markets look like over the

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<v Speaker 3>course of the week. But remember we had a market

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<v Speaker 3>holiday here in the United States on Wednesday. This Friday,

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<v Speaker 3>the market is facing five point five trillion dollars of

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<v Speaker 3>derivatives that are due to expire, the so called triple witching.

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<v Speaker 3>That's having an impact on markets. But right now there's

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<v Speaker 3>this conversation around valuations, particularly in some of the megacaps

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<v Speaker 3>that have seen a really AI driven rally. Later in

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<v Speaker 3>the show, we're going to go over some charts and

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<v Speaker 3>have a brief conversation about one name in particular, Apple.

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<v Speaker 3>But i'd note this Friday that Nvidia is down a

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<v Speaker 3>couple of percentage points coming off what's been an astonishing

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<v Speaker 3>rally in that stock, and that is having a factor

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<v Speaker 3>in the markets.

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<v Speaker 4>So we're also going to talk about Bitcoin.

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<v Speaker 3>That it's near a one month low right now, there's

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<v Speaker 3>a lot going in the market. Will go in house

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<v Speaker 3>to Bloomberg Intelligence to ask some key questions about what's

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<v Speaker 3>going on with bitcoin. Let's get to our top technology story.

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<v Speaker 3>TikTok and It's Andy's parent Byte Dancer, arguing the US

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<v Speaker 3>government could have put more options on the table and

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<v Speaker 3>taken less restrictive action than simply banning the Act to

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<v Speaker 3>address national security concerns. In a court finding Thursday, TikTok

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<v Speaker 3>said that Congress disregarded a ninety page national security agreement

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<v Speaker 3>that was made with the federal government, in which TikTok

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<v Speaker 3>argues it offered multi layered safeguards. Let's get out to

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<v Speaker 3>DC and Bloomberg's Mike Shepard, might you lead the intersection

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<v Speaker 3>of tech and politics for US. Basically, what they're saying is,

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<v Speaker 3>we offered lots of options. We offered you technological solutions

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<v Speaker 3>that we think would have safeguarded US user data, and

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<v Speaker 3>the only option Congress gave in return was an outright ban.

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<v Speaker 1>Well, that's right ered, and let's step back for a minute.

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<v Speaker 5>This TikTok saga has just become such a focus of

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<v Speaker 5>attention here in Washington because of all it'd symbolized.

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<v Speaker 1>It's not just about the app.

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<v Speaker 5>It's also about this geopolitical tension between the world's two

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<v Speaker 5>largest economies and their visions for how governance should be

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<v Speaker 5>should be handled, and the concern here in Washington that

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<v Speaker 5>the Chinese government ultimately could have access the US user

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<v Speaker 5>data through TikTok's Chinese parent company, now TikTok and bike Dance.

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<v Speaker 1>The Chinese parents.

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<v Speaker 5>Have claimed that they're set up this so called Project Texas,

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<v Speaker 5>where they invested almost two billion dollars in work with

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<v Speaker 5>Oracle to try to set up some sort of a

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<v Speaker 5>shield and firewall that would keep US data secure and

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<v Speaker 5>away from any purported buying eyes in Beijing. That was

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<v Speaker 5>not enough to satisfy US lawmakers. They were aware of

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<v Speaker 5>the proposal, they were aware of the project, and Senator

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<v Speaker 5>Mark Warner, who heads the Intelligence Committee, expressed skepticism from

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<v Speaker 5>the start that that would be an adequate safeguard to

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<v Speaker 5>satisfy lawmakers' concerns.

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<v Speaker 3>It's difficult for users of TikTok, and in this country

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<v Speaker 3>there are one hundred and seventy million or so of them,

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<v Speaker 3>and for the public to kind of get a sense

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<v Speaker 3>of where we're at. So, after this legislation made its

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<v Speaker 3>way through Congress, legal challenges were bought by TikTok, Byte

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<v Speaker 3>Dance's parent company, but also the users themselves. When the

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<v Speaker 3>court filing hit last night, the DOJ came out with

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<v Speaker 3>statement and said, you know, the legislation accounts for a

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<v Speaker 3>lot of the issues we were worried about. A long

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<v Speaker 3>preamble to ask Mike, where do we stand? What happens next?

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<v Speaker 5>Well, right now we are in that kind of tennis

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<v Speaker 5>match of court five. So it was TikTok's volley yesterday

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<v Speaker 5>and now we're waiting for the Justice Department to return

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<v Speaker 5>the serve the face a July twenty sixth deadline to

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<v Speaker 5>respond with their own brief papers, and then in early

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<v Speaker 5>September we're expecting the Appeals Court here in Washington to

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<v Speaker 5>hear this case, and the company is asking for a

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<v Speaker 5>ruling by December sixteenth or so so that, if need be,

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<v Speaker 5>it can go straight to the US Preme Court for

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<v Speaker 5>an emergency injunction if it doesn't get relief here at

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<v Speaker 5>the appeals court level. So it's moving fast, but it's

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<v Speaker 5>so much of it is happening in court, and it

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<v Speaker 5>will really come down to a handful of judges to

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<v Speaker 5>decide whether the national security concerns raised by Congress override

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<v Speaker 5>and overwhelm any free speech concerns and considerations that the

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<v Speaker 5>company is raising as part of its bids o returnal law.

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<v Speaker 3>Bloomberg's Mike Shepherd, Washington, DC, Thank you so much. Let's

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<v Speaker 3>get to another story in the realm with social media,

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<v Speaker 3>New York has become the first state in the nation

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<v Speaker 3>to place curbs on how social media platforms present content

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<v Speaker 3>to miners. Under a measure signed by Governor Kathe Hokel yesterday,

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<v Speaker 3>platforms such as TikTok and Instagram will now need parental

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<v Speaker 3>consent to use algorithmic feeds or notify underage users between

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<v Speaker 3>midnight and six am. According to the language and the bill,

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<v Speaker 3>I want to break that down with the Chamber Progress

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<v Speaker 3>CEE Adam Canvacuvates.

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<v Speaker 4>I was interested, Adam.

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<v Speaker 3>To read through not just the content of the bill

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<v Speaker 3>and what it will provide for, but also the idea

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<v Speaker 3>that New York did this first.

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<v Speaker 4>What do you make of it?

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<v Speaker 6>Well, what I make of it is we know there's

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<v Speaker 6>concern among parents about kids and teens in social media,

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<v Speaker 6>and I think that's understandable. Unfortunately, I think that in

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<v Speaker 6>this case they went after the wrong target, which was algorithms.

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<v Speaker 6>I think they got into their head and a variety

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<v Speaker 6>of critics have focused on algorithmic feeds as being kind

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<v Speaker 6>of a problem here. And so the bill, as you said,

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<v Speaker 6>bans algorithmic feeds and services like TikTok and Instagram YouTube

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<v Speaker 6>by default for teenagers unless their parents opt them into

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<v Speaker 6>those algorithmic feeds. And just the problem with this is

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<v Speaker 6>that I think that chronological feeds are actually going to

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<v Speaker 6>be a worse experience for teenagers.

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<v Speaker 1>They're more likely to.

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<v Speaker 6>Surface, you know, the last post that might be spammy, clickbait,

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<v Speaker 6>hate harassment, and algorithm algorithms are actually providing a pretty

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<v Speaker 6>important role and making these feeds better for teenagers. Usually

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<v Speaker 6>they're allowing them to curate their experiences. And Common Sense Media,

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<v Speaker 6>which actually ironically is the support of this will, actually

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<v Speaker 6>had a survey of teenagers about two weeks ago where

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<v Speaker 6>they said, team, most teenagers are liking you know, or

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<v Speaker 6>actually use curation in their feeds, and unfortunately this bill

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<v Speaker 6>kind of we'll do away with that completely by default.

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<v Speaker 6>So unfortunately it's well intentioned, but it goes after the

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<v Speaker 6>wrong target in my view, and I think is likely

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<v Speaker 6>to make feeds worse for teens.

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<v Speaker 3>And the Chamber of Progress of which you lead is

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<v Speaker 3>basically an industry group, but your work is to look

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<v Speaker 3>at public policy and make sure that it is impactful

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<v Speaker 3>to society in a fair way. So you think that

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<v Speaker 3>they went about this in the wrong way, how would

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<v Speaker 3>you have done it differently?

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<v Speaker 6>Well, you know, I think what we're starting to see is,

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<v Speaker 6>for example, this week in California the governor, Governor Newsom

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<v Speaker 6>talked about, well, maybe schools should have a blanket rule

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<v Speaker 6>against phones in school.

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<v Speaker 1>They're proving to be a distraction.

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<v Speaker 6>I think there's pros and cons of a policy of

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<v Speaker 6>like that, but one thing about those policies is they're

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<v Speaker 6>not getting involved in regulating platforms at the speech level.

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<v Speaker 1>One of the things we've seen, and again New York's.

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<v Speaker 6>Not the first state to do a bill related to

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<v Speaker 6>social media and kind of content. They've gone about a

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<v Speaker 6>little bit differently. But one of the problems that all

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<v Speaker 6>these laws have faced, and now this has happened in

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<v Speaker 6>California and Arkansas, in Ohio, every single time state legislators say, well, no,

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<v Speaker 6>we're not We're not regulating the content of these services.

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<v Speaker 6>We're regulating their design, right, and that's different that therefore

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<v Speaker 6>it doesn't run a foul of the First Amendment. Every

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<v Speaker 6>single time so far, courts have said, no, that's actually

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<v Speaker 6>not true. You are regulating the platform speech, and I

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<v Speaker 6>expect the same will be true here.

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<v Speaker 1>So I think we're in that we have.

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<v Speaker 6>The kind of the dynamic where this bill feels really

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<v Speaker 6>great to Governor Hochle and policymakers have pushed it, but

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<v Speaker 6>it will it might inevitably be struck down in court,

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<v Speaker 6>and then I think, you know, be right back where

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<v Speaker 6>we started from. So unfortunately, I don't see a lot

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<v Speaker 6>of legislators saying, look, how can we approach us in

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<v Speaker 6>a way that is really like constitution proof, legally sound

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<v Speaker 6>they've asserted that it is, but I don't think this

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<v Speaker 6>will be in the.

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<v Speaker 4>End, Adam.

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<v Speaker 3>I want to go back to the latest on TikTok

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<v Speaker 3>that our editor Mike Shephard was giving us from DC

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<v Speaker 3>a few minutes ago.

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<v Speaker 4>This is not a new conversation for you or I.

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<v Speaker 4>The idea that you know.

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<v Speaker 3>TikTok and its users have frustrations that they feel they

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<v Speaker 3>put forward technological and policy solutions that would have allowed

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<v Speaker 3>TikTok to continue to operate in this country, and they

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<v Speaker 3>feel the only option that they were given by Congress

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<v Speaker 3>was a ban. What did you make of them court

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<v Speaker 3>filing which hit last night.

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<v Speaker 6>Well, I think what TikTok is trying to do in

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<v Speaker 6>their court filing is they're trying to address what's called

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<v Speaker 6>sort of the least restrictive means, right, which to say that,

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<v Speaker 6>if you're concerned about TikTok and Chinese connections, for example,

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<v Speaker 6>is there some other way the government could have gone

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<v Speaker 6>about addressing that concern short of pass in the law

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<v Speaker 6>that did. And that's what their Project Texas is all about.

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<v Speaker 6>And that is legally relevant at this stage because that

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<v Speaker 6>is an actual principle under the law, and so I

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<v Speaker 6>completely understand what TikTok was doing. I have a concern

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<v Speaker 6>about TikTok and Chinese control, but I understand that, and

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<v Speaker 6>ultimately I actually think it's kind of a jump ball.

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<v Speaker 6>I think whether or not TikTok succeeds in this in

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<v Speaker 6>its legal challenge is truly a legal jump ball, and

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<v Speaker 6>so I don't it's completely understandable to me that they

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<v Speaker 6>would make that argument.

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<v Speaker 3>But what is the Chamber of Progress is position on

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<v Speaker 3>whether TikTok should be able to operate in the United States.

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<v Speaker 1>We haven't taken an organizational position on it.

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<v Speaker 6>I think that I share a lot of concern that, like,

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<v Speaker 6>this is an really unprecedented situation where an app that

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<v Speaker 6>is so popular, you know, frankly has this nexus and

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<v Speaker 6>really is obligated to advance the Chinese government's interests. That's

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<v Speaker 6>always been a concern for me, more than that data concern,

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<v Speaker 6>more just kind of like look at the idea that like,

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<v Speaker 6>look after Russian and raided Ukraine, we look back and said,

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<v Speaker 6>why do we allow our tea Russia's propaganda network on

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<v Speaker 6>our cable systems?

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<v Speaker 1>And I think, I know I feel the same way about.

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<v Speaker 3>This Chamber of Progress CEO Adam Kavakovitch, thank you an

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<v Speaker 3>intense start actually to this Friday's bienveig technology. Okay, you're

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<v Speaker 3>about to be looking at the US listed shares or

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<v Speaker 3>ADR's of soft Bank, the Japanese tech conglomerate, kind of

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<v Speaker 3>like Japanese trading Overnight down the most in about three months.

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<v Speaker 3>Overnight founder Masaoshi's son pledged to help create AI that's

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<v Speaker 3>thousands of times smarter than any human. A SoftBank's annual meeting,

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<v Speaker 3>he outlined a future that's built on SoftBank's investment in

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<v Speaker 3>the chit design firm ARM, and argued that ARMS technology

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<v Speaker 3>will go into a thriving ecosystem of robots and powerful

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<v Speaker 3>data centers, and at times, Sun was visibly emotional talking

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<v Speaker 3>about his goal of realizing artificial super intelligence.

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<v Speaker 7>It may sound strange, but I think I was born

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<v Speaker 7>to realize ASI.

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<v Speaker 1>I am super serious about it. Thought we'll go up do.

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<v Speaker 7>I think ASI will continue in the next ten years.

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<v Speaker 1>It will be ten times smarter than humans.

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<v Speaker 3>So soft banks japan listed shares are up almost sixty

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<v Speaker 3>percent this year, and the net asset value of its

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<v Speaker 3>holdings has hit two hundred and fourteen billion dollars largely

0:12:38.320 --> 0:12:41.160
<v Speaker 3>on arms performance and a turnaround in some of its

0:12:41.200 --> 0:12:46.040
<v Speaker 3>startup bets. But activists are circling Elliott Investment Management has

0:12:46.080 --> 0:12:48.160
<v Speaker 3>built a stake in soft Bank of more than two

0:12:48.200 --> 0:12:52.559
<v Speaker 3>billion dollars and is calling for buybacks. Some brushed off

0:12:52.640 --> 0:12:56.360
<v Speaker 3>questions and pleaded with investors to quote root for him

0:12:56.520 --> 0:13:01.000
<v Speaker 3>as he chases his dream of artificial super inteentgence. Joining

0:13:01.040 --> 0:13:03.440
<v Speaker 3>me mout to discuss the markets and a bit about

0:13:03.440 --> 0:13:07.079
<v Speaker 3>soft Bank is Fiona Senkota from City Index. I mean,

0:13:07.080 --> 0:13:10.640
<v Speaker 3>what was so interesting about this kind of spectacle almost

0:13:10.920 --> 0:13:14.719
<v Speaker 3>in soft Bank's annual meeting is Massiosci's son wanted to

0:13:14.760 --> 0:13:19.200
<v Speaker 3>talk about the big picture ASI, but investors wanted what

0:13:19.280 --> 0:13:22.680
<v Speaker 3>investors always want, dividend, buy back, stock split.

0:13:22.760 --> 0:13:23.640
<v Speaker 4>What did you make of that?

0:13:24.320 --> 0:13:24.560
<v Speaker 8>Yeah?

0:13:24.640 --> 0:13:27.559
<v Speaker 9>Completely, you know, I think it's quite an interesting because

0:13:27.559 --> 0:13:29.640
<v Speaker 9>it sort of almost brings up about.

0:13:29.360 --> 0:13:31.160
<v Speaker 8>A change of strategy for.

0:13:32.840 --> 0:13:35.600
<v Speaker 9>Soft Bank from this sort of defensive position that I

0:13:35.600 --> 0:13:37.480
<v Speaker 9>think it has had over the past few years for

0:13:37.600 --> 0:13:41.319
<v Speaker 9>much more offensive position, as we have this really ambitious

0:13:41.480 --> 0:13:46.160
<v Speaker 9>vision from some about ASI and the future of AI

0:13:46.280 --> 0:13:49.400
<v Speaker 9>and what that means to some bank for soft Bank.

0:13:49.440 --> 0:13:51.600
<v Speaker 9>But I think you can't get away from the fact

0:13:51.600 --> 0:13:54.440
<v Speaker 9>that at the end of the day, investors do want

0:13:54.480 --> 0:13:58.600
<v Speaker 9>to have returns. They have seen strong gains on the

0:13:58.640 --> 0:14:00.840
<v Speaker 9>share price, you know, as you pointed out, we've seen

0:14:00.840 --> 0:14:04.199
<v Speaker 9>a sixty percent rally in the share price so far

0:14:04.280 --> 0:14:06.360
<v Speaker 9>this year. That obviously comes on the back of one

0:14:06.400 --> 0:14:10.120
<v Speaker 9>hundred and twenty four percent rally in arm holdings. But

0:14:10.320 --> 0:14:12.199
<v Speaker 9>you know, at the end of the day, yet, investors

0:14:12.240 --> 0:14:14.840
<v Speaker 9>want to see what those numbers are bringing back, and

0:14:14.880 --> 0:14:16.040
<v Speaker 9>they want to see you.

0:14:16.000 --> 0:14:18.800
<v Speaker 8>Know, share buyo bike, share buy back. That's going to

0:14:18.800 --> 0:14:20.080
<v Speaker 8>be useful for them as well.

0:14:20.240 --> 0:14:23.440
<v Speaker 9>Although as we said, you know, the share price growth

0:14:23.560 --> 0:14:24.920
<v Speaker 9>has been strong.

0:14:25.040 --> 0:14:29.600
<v Speaker 3>It's hard to pick out what the prevailing factor is.

0:14:29.560 --> 0:14:30.840
<v Speaker 4>In the market right now.

0:14:30.960 --> 0:14:32.400
<v Speaker 3>You know, at the top of the program, we talked

0:14:32.400 --> 0:14:35.840
<v Speaker 3>about the concern with valuations in videos trading it forty

0:14:35.880 --> 0:14:39.000
<v Speaker 3>five times twelve month forward earning. So we're going to

0:14:39.000 --> 0:14:42.720
<v Speaker 3>look at Apple's valuation later in the program. And then

0:14:42.760 --> 0:14:47.280
<v Speaker 3>if you take the soft bank example, like many investors

0:14:47.320 --> 0:14:50.600
<v Speaker 3>to summarize, there just seems to be a wholehearted belief

0:14:50.640 --> 0:14:52.600
<v Speaker 3>that you have to be in AI at all layers

0:14:52.640 --> 0:14:54.600
<v Speaker 3>of the stack, and if you're not, you'll be left behind.

0:14:54.880 --> 0:14:56.160
<v Speaker 4>So which comes out on top.

0:14:56.840 --> 0:14:59.520
<v Speaker 9>Yeah, you know, I think we can't get away from this.

0:14:59.720 --> 0:15:03.360
<v Speaker 9>I that AI has really driven such a strong rally

0:15:04.280 --> 0:15:07.320
<v Speaker 9>in AI stocks, and obviously that's sort of bled out

0:15:07.320 --> 0:15:11.120
<v Speaker 9>into or transferred out into record highs in the s

0:15:11.200 --> 0:15:11.440
<v Speaker 9>and P.

0:15:11.520 --> 0:15:15.440
<v Speaker 8>Five hundred and on the Nasdak this week as well.

0:15:15.560 --> 0:15:17.200
<v Speaker 9>So you know, I think at the end of the day,

0:15:17.200 --> 0:15:20.760
<v Speaker 9>there might be this sense that perhaps the AI try

0:15:20.920 --> 0:15:23.760
<v Speaker 9>trade right now is a little bit over hyped, but

0:15:23.840 --> 0:15:27.000
<v Speaker 9>I think over the long term that's just not the case,

0:15:27.040 --> 0:15:29.400
<v Speaker 9>and that's the sense that investors are having.

0:15:30.200 --> 0:15:32.120
<v Speaker 8>You know, we're just really opening the.

0:15:32.160 --> 0:15:37.280
<v Speaker 9>Door to the realization and the understanding of what the

0:15:37.320 --> 0:15:43.160
<v Speaker 9>real world applications of AI actually are, and that's what's

0:15:43.280 --> 0:15:45.000
<v Speaker 9>really supporting.

0:15:44.680 --> 0:15:46.400
<v Speaker 8>The rally that we have seen.

0:15:46.520 --> 0:15:49.160
<v Speaker 9>So, you know, although as you mentioned, there are some

0:15:49.240 --> 0:15:53.840
<v Speaker 9>suggestions that there could be some level of lofty valuations

0:15:53.920 --> 0:15:55.800
<v Speaker 9>involved here, I think at the end of the day,

0:15:55.840 --> 0:16:00.000
<v Speaker 9>the long term case is very bullish as far as

0:16:00.040 --> 0:16:03.480
<v Speaker 9>AI is concerned, and that's really supporting the share price.

0:16:03.720 --> 0:16:06.080
<v Speaker 8>Obviously, we're going to have some pullbacks.

0:16:06.160 --> 0:16:09.800
<v Speaker 9>No, no, rally is just one hundred percent higher, sure,

0:16:10.320 --> 0:16:11.040
<v Speaker 9>but I think you.

0:16:10.960 --> 0:16:13.480
<v Speaker 8>Know, investors are in, they're in on this case.

0:16:14.160 --> 0:16:16.320
<v Speaker 3>We just showed in video it's down two percent in

0:16:16.360 --> 0:16:18.280
<v Speaker 3>the session, but over the course of a week where

0:16:18.320 --> 0:16:21.480
<v Speaker 3>it became the world's most valuable company, it's down a

0:16:21.520 --> 0:16:22.600
<v Speaker 3>percentage point.

0:16:22.800 --> 0:16:23.680
<v Speaker 4>Is this rally over?

0:16:24.360 --> 0:16:24.680
<v Speaker 1>Do you know?

0:16:24.840 --> 0:16:28.280
<v Speaker 9>You know, it's just a very small move lower after

0:16:28.520 --> 0:16:31.640
<v Speaker 9>some very strong moves higher, you know, this month so far,

0:16:31.680 --> 0:16:35.560
<v Speaker 9>and the video is up around sixteen percent, had impressive

0:16:35.640 --> 0:16:38.880
<v Speaker 9>games last week. I mean, I don't think that the

0:16:38.960 --> 0:16:42.680
<v Speaker 9>rally can necessarily maintain the speed that it's had, because

0:16:42.720 --> 0:16:45.920
<v Speaker 9>it has been a really impressive speed that we've seen

0:16:45.960 --> 0:16:47.960
<v Speaker 9>this share price rocket.

0:16:48.000 --> 0:16:50.040
<v Speaker 8>You know, it's up one hundred and seventy.

0:16:49.720 --> 0:16:53.880
<v Speaker 9>Percent so far this year, and that's not maintainable. It's

0:16:53.920 --> 0:16:56.080
<v Speaker 9>not going to be maintainable. But I don't think that's

0:16:56.120 --> 0:16:58.320
<v Speaker 9>to say that the rally's over. I think we could

0:16:58.320 --> 0:17:01.840
<v Speaker 9>just perhaps potentially expect to slow for a more sustainable

0:17:01.960 --> 0:17:03.160
<v Speaker 9>pace going forward.

0:17:03.560 --> 0:17:07.680
<v Speaker 3>Piero Sua City Index, Happy Friday, have a fantastic weekend,

0:17:07.920 --> 0:17:10.040
<v Speaker 3>and thank you for joining us on the show. Coming up,

0:17:10.160 --> 0:17:14.560
<v Speaker 3>open Ai makes its first big and genuine acquisition. We're

0:17:14.560 --> 0:17:17.120
<v Speaker 3>going to bring you the details next be right back.

0:17:17.359 --> 0:17:31.320
<v Speaker 3>This is Bloomberg time for talking tech and first start.

0:17:31.400 --> 0:17:36.640
<v Speaker 3>Former President Donald Trump finally appeared on the All In podcast.

0:17:36.119 --> 0:17:37.240
<v Speaker 4>After a month of teasing.

0:17:37.480 --> 0:17:41.479
<v Speaker 3>The podcast, co hosted by David sachsh Jamath Palihapatia, covered

0:17:41.520 --> 0:17:44.840
<v Speaker 3>a range of topics, including real estate, the war in Ukraine,

0:17:45.280 --> 0:17:50.000
<v Speaker 3>and artificial intelligence. Trump defended his tariff proposal, saying it

0:17:50.040 --> 0:17:53.960
<v Speaker 3>would be crucial to keeping the dollar, the world's reserve currency.

0:17:54.280 --> 0:17:58.760
<v Speaker 3>Plus Huawei Near's one billion active devices, The Chinese tech

0:17:58.760 --> 0:18:02.880
<v Speaker 3>company saw sales of its smartphones climbed seventy two percent

0:18:03.240 --> 0:18:06.000
<v Speaker 3>in the first five months of twenty twenty four, growing

0:18:06.000 --> 0:18:09.760
<v Speaker 3>the number of Huawei's gadgets, which also use its operating system,

0:18:10.000 --> 0:18:13.440
<v Speaker 3>to over nine hundred million. The latest figures underscore how

0:18:13.480 --> 0:18:16.600
<v Speaker 3>the US sanctioned company is taking on the likes of

0:18:16.640 --> 0:18:20.720
<v Speaker 3>Apple in the Chinese market and Indian groceries. Livery startup

0:18:20.880 --> 0:18:24.040
<v Speaker 3>Zepto is preparing to go public this after the company

0:18:24.320 --> 0:18:27.560
<v Speaker 3>more than doubled its valuation to three point six billion

0:18:27.600 --> 0:18:30.360
<v Speaker 3>dollars from a financing round that was led by US

0:18:30.480 --> 0:18:33.119
<v Speaker 3>and local investors. The company says it's on track to

0:18:33.200 --> 0:18:35.880
<v Speaker 3>handle more than one billion dollars in goods a year

0:18:35.920 --> 0:18:38.800
<v Speaker 3>and plans to double its warehouses to more than seven

0:18:38.880 --> 0:18:42.919
<v Speaker 3>hundred by twenty twenty five. Also, car dealers aren't the

0:18:42.920 --> 0:18:45.440
<v Speaker 3>only ones to be hit by recent attacks.

0:18:45.480 --> 0:18:47.280
<v Speaker 4>The data of Quote Wizard.

0:18:46.960 --> 0:18:50.520
<v Speaker 3>Consumers, a lending Tree subsidiary, are being sold off by hackers.

0:18:50.760 --> 0:18:56.080
<v Speaker 3>Unauthorized access was detected on a cloud database hosted by Snowflake.

0:18:56.160 --> 0:18:59.280
<v Speaker 3>Lending Tree shares are down as the company continues to

0:18:59.320 --> 0:19:03.960
<v Speaker 3>investigate the size and scope of the hack. All right,

0:19:04.040 --> 0:19:07.439
<v Speaker 3>let's get some m and a. Open ai has bought

0:19:07.640 --> 0:19:11.760
<v Speaker 3>rock Set, an enterprise search analytics startup, marking the most

0:19:11.800 --> 0:19:15.679
<v Speaker 3>significant acquisition to date for the high profile artificial intelligence

0:19:15.680 --> 0:19:18.480
<v Speaker 3>company joining US now Bloomberg Sharing Gafari.

0:19:18.600 --> 0:19:19.560
<v Speaker 4>So this is kind of interesting.

0:19:19.560 --> 0:19:22.320
<v Speaker 3>The terms won't disclose, we don't know how much money

0:19:22.440 --> 0:19:25.600
<v Speaker 3>was involved, basically, but it's kind of new and novel

0:19:25.640 --> 0:19:26.240
<v Speaker 3>for open ai.

0:19:26.320 --> 0:19:29.520
<v Speaker 10>Give me the details, right, So, this is the first

0:19:29.520 --> 0:19:32.200
<v Speaker 10>time that open ai is acquiring a company where they're

0:19:32.240 --> 0:19:34.479
<v Speaker 10>not just taking in the talent or doing what's called

0:19:34.520 --> 0:19:37.240
<v Speaker 10>an aqua hier, but they're actually going to integrate the

0:19:37.320 --> 0:19:39.840
<v Speaker 10>technology as well, which makes this a good Guinness.

0:19:40.600 --> 0:19:42.800
<v Speaker 3>What I understand is, why is open ai need a

0:19:42.840 --> 0:19:44.760
<v Speaker 3>company like rock Set, Like, what's the point?

0:19:45.160 --> 0:19:46.119
<v Speaker 4>Well, if you think about it.

0:19:46.160 --> 0:19:48.680
<v Speaker 11>Open Ai is really right now trying to grow not

0:19:48.720 --> 0:19:51.440
<v Speaker 11>just their consumer but their enterprise business. And this is

0:19:51.480 --> 0:19:55.720
<v Speaker 11>a company that has experience working with major customers across

0:19:55.760 --> 0:19:59.639
<v Speaker 11>industries from finance to gaming. One big one that I

0:19:59.680 --> 0:20:02.399
<v Speaker 11>saw on previous reports was jet Blue, for example, and

0:20:02.440 --> 0:20:04.720
<v Speaker 11>what they do is actually work with customer data to

0:20:04.800 --> 0:20:08.399
<v Speaker 11>help those customers index and search through that data. So

0:20:08.880 --> 0:20:10.080
<v Speaker 11>you know, if you kind of put you and two

0:20:10.119 --> 0:20:12.440
<v Speaker 11>together and think about where open Eye is trying to

0:20:12.440 --> 0:20:14.640
<v Speaker 11>grow their business, it might make sense that they would

0:20:14.640 --> 0:20:17.879
<v Speaker 11>go acquire a company that's specialized in dealing with this

0:20:18.000 --> 0:20:21.520
<v Speaker 11>kind of more detailed business data to help them build

0:20:21.520 --> 0:20:21.880
<v Speaker 11>that out.

0:20:22.080 --> 0:20:23.159
<v Speaker 4>Bloomberg shrin Gufari.

0:20:23.200 --> 0:20:25.160
<v Speaker 3>I have to say it's been a tremendously busy week

0:20:25.200 --> 0:20:28.880
<v Speaker 3>for you all across the AIB, from Anthropic to open Ai,

0:20:29.240 --> 0:20:30.720
<v Speaker 3>and a lot going on in the enterprise as well.

0:20:30.720 --> 0:20:31.639
<v Speaker 4>Happy Friday to you.

0:20:40.240 --> 0:20:43.159
<v Speaker 3>Welcome back to Bloomberg Technology ed Lovelow in San Francisco.

0:20:43.280 --> 0:20:45.600
<v Speaker 3>So I've been talking about valuations and there's one chart

0:20:45.840 --> 0:20:48.200
<v Speaker 3>that I saw this morning on the terminal and Bloomberg

0:20:48.200 --> 0:20:49.720
<v Speaker 3>dot Com that I wanted to share with you, and

0:20:49.720 --> 0:20:54.440
<v Speaker 3>this is it. Apple trading at around thirty times forward earnings,

0:20:54.640 --> 0:20:58.120
<v Speaker 3>and there's been an a rally and Apple shares driven

0:20:58.600 --> 0:21:01.360
<v Speaker 3>largely by artificial intelligence. It's the idea that we now

0:21:01.400 --> 0:21:05.440
<v Speaker 3>have a clearer understanding of Apple's AI strategy. A lot

0:21:05.440 --> 0:21:08.400
<v Speaker 3>of concern from both the byside and sell side is well,

0:21:08.400 --> 0:21:11.280
<v Speaker 3>when does that strategy pay off? If you look at

0:21:11.480 --> 0:21:14.800
<v Speaker 3>Bloomberg estimates for top line growth, there is some recovery

0:21:15.200 --> 0:21:18.000
<v Speaker 3>in the second half twenty twenty four later in the year,

0:21:18.040 --> 0:21:20.920
<v Speaker 3>but as the chart behind me shows pretty clearly, when

0:21:20.960 --> 0:21:23.760
<v Speaker 3>Apple gets to a level of trading at thirty times

0:21:23.760 --> 0:21:27.720
<v Speaker 3>forward earnings, it historically finds it really hard to sustain

0:21:27.800 --> 0:21:30.640
<v Speaker 3>that level. And this is a conversation that's happening quite

0:21:30.680 --> 0:21:33.879
<v Speaker 3>a lot across the megacaps where we're trading. We keep

0:21:33.960 --> 0:21:37.000
<v Speaker 3>referencing in video trading at forty to five times forward earnings.

0:21:36.960 --> 0:21:39.120
<v Speaker 3>So there's we loads of you out there. Contact meon

0:21:39.600 --> 0:21:42.280
<v Speaker 3>x LinkedIn Instagram. You're going to say, oh, well, look

0:21:42.320 --> 0:21:44.480
<v Speaker 3>at top line growth of the two you can't compare.

0:21:44.800 --> 0:21:46.399
<v Speaker 3>But I'm just saying this is a chart that's got

0:21:46.440 --> 0:21:48.560
<v Speaker 3>a lot of investors talking. We're happy to share it

0:21:48.600 --> 0:21:50.960
<v Speaker 3>with you on Bloomberg technology. Okay, let's get back to

0:21:51.000 --> 0:21:53.919
<v Speaker 3>cyber security and hacks. Checking in on shares of all

0:21:53.920 --> 0:21:57.960
<v Speaker 3>the automotive companies, lots of the car dealers, lots of

0:21:58.040 --> 0:22:03.280
<v Speaker 3>the retailer, and you can see some downward pressure. Sustained

0:22:03.520 --> 0:22:06.639
<v Speaker 3>AutoNation down four tenth to foe percent, Route one automotive

0:22:06.680 --> 0:22:10.640
<v Speaker 3>down half of a cent. Penske kind of stabilize and

0:22:11.560 --> 0:22:14.840
<v Speaker 3>there's a warning. CDK is the company that basically operates

0:22:14.920 --> 0:22:20.200
<v Speaker 3>the software platform, and they've warned their customers that their

0:22:20.240 --> 0:22:23.560
<v Speaker 3>platforms can be down for several more days. It's crippling

0:22:23.600 --> 0:22:27.119
<v Speaker 3>car dealers across the United States amid a cyber attack

0:22:27.200 --> 0:22:30.240
<v Speaker 3>on the company, the second round of which was spelt

0:22:30.240 --> 0:22:34.040
<v Speaker 3>on Thursday. Joining us out of London is Bloomberg's Craig Trudell,

0:22:34.080 --> 0:22:35.560
<v Speaker 3>who's our Global Auto's editor.

0:22:35.600 --> 0:22:37.640
<v Speaker 4>In Craig, you're joining us from London.

0:22:37.720 --> 0:22:39.560
<v Speaker 3>This attack was in the US and Canada, but you've

0:22:39.640 --> 0:22:42.119
<v Speaker 3>kind of been leading the team that's been covering this

0:22:42.240 --> 0:22:46.440
<v Speaker 3>around the clock, and the impact on this industry has

0:22:46.480 --> 0:22:48.440
<v Speaker 3>been very big. We've got a new story out in

0:22:48.480 --> 0:22:50.880
<v Speaker 3>the turn of this morning. Just summarize it for us.

0:22:52.000 --> 0:22:55.359
<v Speaker 12>Yeah, I mean this came at a really inopportune time

0:22:55.520 --> 0:23:00.520
<v Speaker 12>on the juneteenth, Holladay. You know, for car dealers, you know,

0:23:01.119 --> 0:23:04.400
<v Speaker 12>a day when a lot of their customers or would

0:23:04.440 --> 0:23:06.680
<v Speaker 12>be customers, you know, have more time to go through

0:23:06.680 --> 0:23:10.000
<v Speaker 12>the rigamarole of of buying a new car or getting

0:23:10.080 --> 0:23:14.480
<v Speaker 12>their their current vehicle service. For their software system to

0:23:14.600 --> 0:23:18.639
<v Speaker 12>go down has been extremely disruptive. We also have you know,

0:23:18.720 --> 0:23:21.399
<v Speaker 12>an end of quarter push that we're in the midst of,

0:23:21.480 --> 0:23:24.520
<v Speaker 12>which you know, retailers do want to sort of close

0:23:24.560 --> 0:23:26.320
<v Speaker 12>deals before the end of the month, before the end

0:23:26.320 --> 0:23:30.280
<v Speaker 12>of the quarter. So this has been a really disruptive

0:23:30.920 --> 0:23:34.119
<v Speaker 12>attack because there's only a handful of these companies that

0:23:34.160 --> 0:23:37.760
<v Speaker 12>provide these dealership management systems that CDK is one of

0:23:37.760 --> 0:23:40.640
<v Speaker 12>the leading providers of, So for them to go down

0:23:40.680 --> 0:23:43.720
<v Speaker 12>and not be able to sort of provide those services

0:23:43.760 --> 0:23:46.959
<v Speaker 12>for their many customers really has thrown a wrench in thing.

0:23:47.040 --> 0:23:50.400
<v Speaker 12>So we're hearing from dealers about you know, having to

0:23:50.440 --> 0:23:54.320
<v Speaker 12>gasp close deals with pen and paper as opposed to

0:23:54.880 --> 0:23:58.840
<v Speaker 12>you know, going through their computer system. And you know

0:23:59.520 --> 0:24:02.560
<v Speaker 12>it all right, it takes time to close deals, as

0:24:02.560 --> 0:24:05.680
<v Speaker 12>we know, it's not even in the year twenty twenty

0:24:05.680 --> 0:24:09.040
<v Speaker 12>four a seamless process. This is only throwing sort of

0:24:09.080 --> 0:24:09.880
<v Speaker 12>more of a wrench.

0:24:09.680 --> 0:24:14.359
<v Speaker 4>In things pen and paper. I don't even know what

0:24:14.480 --> 0:24:15.280
<v Speaker 4>that is anymore.

0:24:16.240 --> 0:24:18.879
<v Speaker 3>There is a serious side of this that you know

0:24:18.920 --> 0:24:21.240
<v Speaker 3>in the US and Canada. If I'm a consumer and

0:24:20.960 --> 0:24:24.119
<v Speaker 3>I'm participating in this end of court to sprint to

0:24:24.200 --> 0:24:27.080
<v Speaker 3>get myself a new vehicle, what are the brand names

0:24:27.119 --> 0:24:30.679
<v Speaker 3>involved those impacted? If I think I read Subaru and

0:24:30.720 --> 0:24:32.119
<v Speaker 3>maybe Toyota.

0:24:33.040 --> 0:24:35.520
<v Speaker 12>Yeah, Superu and Toyota at this point, at least out

0:24:35.520 --> 0:24:37.760
<v Speaker 12>of Japan have sort of downplayed this for US, and

0:24:38.040 --> 0:24:40.239
<v Speaker 12>we are touching base with them in the US and

0:24:40.280 --> 0:24:44.359
<v Speaker 12>have heard from the likes of Ford and Volkswagen, Mercedes, BMW,

0:24:44.760 --> 0:24:47.600
<v Speaker 12>all of those last few companies I mentioned have confirmed

0:24:47.600 --> 0:24:51.440
<v Speaker 12>that their dealers u CDK. They're not necessarily being particularly

0:24:51.480 --> 0:24:54.080
<v Speaker 12>forthcoming at this juncture about how many of their dealers

0:24:54.119 --> 0:24:58.119
<v Speaker 12>are affected, but this is a substantial number because again,

0:24:58.280 --> 0:24:59.880
<v Speaker 12>you know, this is a space, you know, a sort

0:24:59.880 --> 0:25:03.840
<v Speaker 12>of sliver of the auto retailing industry where there's been

0:25:03.880 --> 0:25:06.560
<v Speaker 12>a lot of consolidation over the years. So you only

0:25:06.920 --> 0:25:11.040
<v Speaker 12>have a handful of companies that aren't necessarily household names

0:25:11.320 --> 0:25:14.360
<v Speaker 12>that provide this really important sort of you know, piping

0:25:15.080 --> 0:25:18.440
<v Speaker 12>that that makes everything work. So you know, we've heard

0:25:18.520 --> 0:25:22.800
<v Speaker 12>again from from dealers also talking about challenges with lining

0:25:22.880 --> 0:25:26.000
<v Speaker 12>up credit, having to sort of, you know, themselves make

0:25:26.080 --> 0:25:28.119
<v Speaker 12>judgments as to whether or not, you know, somebody is

0:25:28.160 --> 0:25:31.159
<v Speaker 12>worthy of a loan by sort of cobbling together what

0:25:31.240 --> 0:25:35.360
<v Speaker 12>information they can you know, parts repairs and not being

0:25:35.400 --> 0:25:38.080
<v Speaker 12>able to sort of confirm whether or not a part

0:25:38.200 --> 0:25:40.639
<v Speaker 12>is available for a customer who has a you know,

0:25:40.760 --> 0:25:43.760
<v Speaker 12>jeep say in the shop. So this is is just

0:25:43.840 --> 0:25:46.520
<v Speaker 12>causing a mess. And so if you're a consumer, uh,

0:25:46.880 --> 0:25:49.680
<v Speaker 12>you know, I guess you know. The general sort of

0:25:49.760 --> 0:25:51.919
<v Speaker 12>takeaway here is if you're planning to go to a

0:25:51.960 --> 0:25:55.400
<v Speaker 12>dealership this weekend, maybe hold off on it and wait

0:25:55.480 --> 0:25:56.680
<v Speaker 12>until this storm passes.

0:25:57.880 --> 0:26:00.320
<v Speaker 3>Bloombag's global Calar d It said, Craigs, you down great

0:26:00.320 --> 0:26:01.200
<v Speaker 3>to have you on the program.

0:26:01.240 --> 0:26:01.480
<v Speaker 4>Thank you.

0:26:01.600 --> 0:26:04.840
<v Speaker 3>Let's bring in somebody who knows the automotive space very well.

0:26:04.920 --> 0:26:08.120
<v Speaker 3>Diana Lee is the CEO and co founder of Constellation,

0:26:08.720 --> 0:26:12.399
<v Speaker 3>the leading marketing, technology and data intelligence company in the

0:26:12.440 --> 0:26:16.840
<v Speaker 3>automotive space. Personally have three decades of experience in the

0:26:16.840 --> 0:26:19.080
<v Speaker 3>world of cars, and you know, I think what our

0:26:19.200 --> 0:26:21.840
<v Speaker 3>editor Creag Trudell set out is that the timing of

0:26:21.880 --> 0:26:26.760
<v Speaker 3>this hack is bad because the industry.

0:26:26.359 --> 0:26:27.600
<v Speaker 4>Is under so much pressure.

0:26:27.920 --> 0:26:30.919
<v Speaker 3>What are you hearing from clients, customers, and those who

0:26:30.960 --> 0:26:31.840
<v Speaker 3>work alongside.

0:26:32.720 --> 0:26:37.200
<v Speaker 2>Absolutely, it's just mass chaos at this point. I've been

0:26:37.200 --> 0:26:40.280
<v Speaker 2>in the auto industry since nineteen eighty nine and also

0:26:40.320 --> 0:26:44.600
<v Speaker 2>in retail automotive. In all of those years, I've never

0:26:44.760 --> 0:26:51.119
<v Speaker 2>seen a DMS operating system down. The dealer requires to

0:26:51.240 --> 0:26:54.800
<v Speaker 2>actually run a DMS for sales, service parts, for every

0:26:54.960 --> 0:26:58.960
<v Speaker 2>single functionality, even stocking in a vehicle, you can't do

0:26:59.040 --> 0:27:03.040
<v Speaker 2>without the DMS system. So it is a disaster. I

0:27:03.080 --> 0:27:05.399
<v Speaker 2>feel like it's even worse than COVID when it first

0:27:05.440 --> 0:27:10.440
<v Speaker 2>hit the dealerships because you're not functioning at this point.

0:27:11.560 --> 0:27:13.359
<v Speaker 3>So what you just said really jumps out of me,

0:27:13.440 --> 0:27:16.880
<v Speaker 3>worse than COVID the impact because I remember covering that.

0:27:16.880 --> 0:27:20.600
<v Speaker 3>That was my beat March twenty twenty working for Craig,

0:27:20.680 --> 0:27:24.000
<v Speaker 3>who is my editor. Let me ask you this, if

0:27:24.040 --> 0:27:28.000
<v Speaker 3>you're advising CDK and telling them what to do to

0:27:28.160 --> 0:27:30.240
<v Speaker 3>manage this fallout, what would you suggest.

0:27:31.160 --> 0:27:33.760
<v Speaker 2>I think it's printing services at this point. I know

0:27:33.840 --> 0:27:37.400
<v Speaker 2>that sounds so crazy, but at this point, nobody can

0:27:37.480 --> 0:27:41.160
<v Speaker 2>actually just have a DMS pop up overnight. So there's

0:27:41.200 --> 0:27:45.159
<v Speaker 2>only two other DMS providers that are really known in

0:27:45.240 --> 0:27:48.680
<v Speaker 2>the automotive industry, and it's Techion and Reynolds and Rentals.

0:27:48.920 --> 0:27:51.880
<v Speaker 2>So there is no way that either one of those

0:27:51.920 --> 0:27:56.720
<v Speaker 2>companies could start uploading any type of DMS system for

0:27:56.800 --> 0:28:00.399
<v Speaker 2>any dealers that are down. But printing services is what

0:28:00.880 --> 0:28:04.760
<v Speaker 2>basically anybody can do right now, right which is loading

0:28:04.840 --> 0:28:08.040
<v Speaker 2>up the printing services to allow dealers to be able

0:28:08.080 --> 0:28:12.680
<v Speaker 2>to hand print contracts as well as all the ROS

0:28:12.800 --> 0:28:16.240
<v Speaker 2>repair orders that need to happen right now. So we're

0:28:16.280 --> 0:28:19.399
<v Speaker 2>going back to ancient stages right now, where this is

0:28:19.400 --> 0:28:21.320
<v Speaker 2>what we need to do is print.

0:28:22.040 --> 0:28:24.880
<v Speaker 3>We joked with Craig about the use of pen and paper,

0:28:25.240 --> 0:28:27.639
<v Speaker 3>something we will do a lot less in this day

0:28:27.680 --> 0:28:29.760
<v Speaker 3>and age. There's a serious side of it though, right

0:28:29.880 --> 0:28:32.840
<v Speaker 3>which is the consumer and the consumer psychology. You have

0:28:33.000 --> 0:28:36.280
<v Speaker 3>very high interest rates buying a vehicle, even leasing a

0:28:36.359 --> 0:28:41.240
<v Speaker 3>vehicle is your biggest financial consideration after your home normally,

0:28:41.720 --> 0:28:44.920
<v Speaker 3>and we have what nine days left of June. Do

0:28:44.960 --> 0:28:46.800
<v Speaker 3>you think this is going to have a really big

0:28:46.840 --> 0:28:49.800
<v Speaker 3>impact on sales in the sprint to the finish of

0:28:49.800 --> 0:28:50.240
<v Speaker 3>the quarter.

0:28:51.200 --> 0:28:54.560
<v Speaker 2>It's absolutely going to and I think the only way

0:28:54.640 --> 0:28:57.320
<v Speaker 2>that a lot of these dealers can actually survive right

0:28:57.320 --> 0:29:00.840
<v Speaker 2>now is if they have friends of theirs that already

0:29:00.920 --> 0:29:04.520
<v Speaker 2>have a Renolds or a teching on system where they

0:29:04.560 --> 0:29:07.120
<v Speaker 2>could tell them what the deal structure needs to be,

0:29:07.600 --> 0:29:11.200
<v Speaker 2>so they could actually put something together at least fax

0:29:11.280 --> 0:29:13.240
<v Speaker 2>it to them, email it to them, and then you're

0:29:13.240 --> 0:29:15.840
<v Speaker 2>going to have to handwrite every single contract at this point,

0:29:15.920 --> 0:29:19.000
<v Speaker 2>right But the only way, and I think dealers that

0:29:19.040 --> 0:29:22.400
<v Speaker 2>are super innovative they've called me and they said, I'm

0:29:22.720 --> 0:29:24.000
<v Speaker 2>limping right now.

0:29:24.160 --> 0:29:24.600
<v Speaker 1>Limping.

0:29:25.160 --> 0:29:27.400
<v Speaker 2>I mean, this is some of the biggest dealerships in

0:29:27.440 --> 0:29:31.400
<v Speaker 2>the country that sell fifteen hundred units a month. Their

0:29:31.480 --> 0:29:35.360
<v Speaker 2>service departments are limping at this point. But obviously they

0:29:35.360 --> 0:29:38.600
<v Speaker 2>are like fighters. And I love that about dealers because

0:29:38.960 --> 0:29:43.120
<v Speaker 2>in many ways, think of all the employees that basically

0:29:43.160 --> 0:29:47.160
<v Speaker 2>are also under fire. But if the auto business goes down,

0:29:47.640 --> 0:29:50.320
<v Speaker 2>and this is why I really fighte for dealerships out

0:29:50.320 --> 0:29:53.120
<v Speaker 2>there all the way across, it's all the Americans that

0:29:53.160 --> 0:29:55.680
<v Speaker 2>would also be out of jobs if we always go

0:29:55.840 --> 0:29:59.400
<v Speaker 2>direct to consumer plans and so just discuss modernizing.

0:29:59.440 --> 0:30:02.040
<v Speaker 3>Then the de model, right, I just leased the model.

0:30:02.080 --> 0:30:04.360
<v Speaker 3>Why a couple of months ago. I did it through

0:30:04.360 --> 0:30:07.160
<v Speaker 3>the Tesla app. My credit was approved through the Tesla App.

0:30:07.200 --> 0:30:08.720
<v Speaker 4>I took the wing mirror off.

0:30:09.280 --> 0:30:11.960
<v Speaker 3>After two weeks it was fixed through the Tesla app.

0:30:12.320 --> 0:30:14.960
<v Speaker 3>Is that something that the industry needs to move toward.

0:30:16.120 --> 0:30:19.120
<v Speaker 2>I am not actually a fan of the Tesla model

0:30:19.280 --> 0:30:22.120
<v Speaker 2>in the sense that basically I understand this is a

0:30:22.200 --> 0:30:26.640
<v Speaker 2>direct to consumer model that makes it easier for customers

0:30:26.720 --> 0:30:29.800
<v Speaker 2>to buy a vehicle. But on the other hand, I

0:30:29.840 --> 0:30:34.400
<v Speaker 2>think that the traditional automakers have to improve the customer process.

0:30:34.800 --> 0:30:39.080
<v Speaker 2>But within it, there's so many people that actually support

0:30:39.080 --> 0:30:42.200
<v Speaker 2>the automotive market. Think of all of the families and

0:30:42.240 --> 0:30:45.640
<v Speaker 2>the communities as well as the little leagues and all

0:30:45.720 --> 0:30:50.479
<v Speaker 2>of the different types of charities within every community that

0:30:50.560 --> 0:30:54.080
<v Speaker 2>gets supported by a local dealer. All of that goes

0:30:54.240 --> 0:30:57.560
<v Speaker 2>down if basically we all decide, hey, we want to

0:30:57.600 --> 0:31:00.960
<v Speaker 2>direct a consumer model. What happens the Americans that will

0:31:01.000 --> 0:31:04.600
<v Speaker 2>be out of jobs right now if everything went straight

0:31:04.720 --> 0:31:08.160
<v Speaker 2>direct to consumer? And for me, I really do believe

0:31:08.200 --> 0:31:11.400
<v Speaker 2>in that community atmosphere where we come in. We get

0:31:11.400 --> 0:31:14.600
<v Speaker 2>to know each other, we get to actually service our vehicles,

0:31:14.600 --> 0:31:17.520
<v Speaker 2>but get to know the people within the organization that

0:31:17.600 --> 0:31:21.600
<v Speaker 2>support those communities. So I think there's different types of

0:31:21.720 --> 0:31:25.400
<v Speaker 2>people out there that purchase vehicles, but there's many types

0:31:25.440 --> 0:31:28.760
<v Speaker 2>of customers out there. They must test drive the vehicle,

0:31:28.840 --> 0:31:32.360
<v Speaker 2>look at the vehicle, know the color and the exact

0:31:32.440 --> 0:31:35.560
<v Speaker 2>model that they want before they actually make a purchase,

0:31:35.920 --> 0:31:38.880
<v Speaker 2>and those are not ideal for customers that are direct

0:31:38.880 --> 0:31:39.680
<v Speaker 2>to consumers.

0:31:40.280 --> 0:31:43.080
<v Speaker 3>Diana Lee from Consolation Agency, just great to have you

0:31:43.120 --> 0:31:43.920
<v Speaker 3>back on the program.

0:31:43.960 --> 0:31:44.760
<v Speaker 4>Thank you so much.

0:31:45.160 --> 0:31:47.080
<v Speaker 3>Okay, coming up on the big technology, we're going to

0:31:47.080 --> 0:31:50.880
<v Speaker 3>talk about investing in artificial intelligence with Shedule Shat of

0:31:50.960 --> 0:31:53.800
<v Speaker 3>Index Ventures that's come out next in our VC Spotlight

0:31:54.520 --> 0:32:01.200
<v Speaker 3>and private market focused from minute, this has been back technology.

0:32:11.240 --> 0:32:13.440
<v Speaker 13>One of the things I really get excited about because

0:32:13.480 --> 0:32:15.800
<v Speaker 13>I'm a labor economist by training, and I think a

0:32:15.840 --> 0:32:19.600
<v Speaker 13>lot about the distribution of opportunities across the nation and

0:32:19.640 --> 0:32:23.120
<v Speaker 13>the world, and I think of AI as potentially being

0:32:23.120 --> 0:32:28.720
<v Speaker 13>a great leveler, leveling the playing field, democratizing the expertise

0:32:29.120 --> 0:32:32.239
<v Speaker 13>by giving people a hand up or a leg up

0:32:32.280 --> 0:32:33.200
<v Speaker 13>in terms of starting.

0:32:34.600 --> 0:32:37.600
<v Speaker 3>That was San Francisco FED President Mary Daily weighing in

0:32:37.760 --> 0:32:41.000
<v Speaker 3>with her thoughts on the impacts of our official intelligence

0:32:41.000 --> 0:32:42.960
<v Speaker 3>and I want to get more on that space with

0:32:43.000 --> 0:32:46.120
<v Speaker 3>our VC Spotlight and bringing shad Or Sharp, a partner

0:32:46.120 --> 0:32:49.800
<v Speaker 3>at Index Ventures and Shuttle. It is June twenty first,

0:32:50.320 --> 0:32:54.040
<v Speaker 3>as I've just learned on Google and Wikipedia, Summer Solstice

0:32:54.400 --> 0:32:57.320
<v Speaker 3>the official start of summer. And I'm going to start

0:32:57.360 --> 0:33:00.640
<v Speaker 3>this conversation by asking you, are we in the private

0:33:00.680 --> 0:33:04.520
<v Speaker 3>markets in an AI winter, an AI spring, or an

0:33:04.520 --> 0:33:05.240
<v Speaker 3>AI summer.

0:33:06.000 --> 0:33:08.960
<v Speaker 14>First that thanks very much for having me. That's my pleasure.

0:33:09.520 --> 0:33:14.440
<v Speaker 14>It definitely feels like summer. The sun is shining in ventureland,

0:33:14.640 --> 0:33:18.840
<v Speaker 14>not only in AI but outside. AI is definitely bringing

0:33:18.840 --> 0:33:22.479
<v Speaker 14>a draft in a windfall to different industries, including cloud

0:33:22.680 --> 0:33:25.640
<v Speaker 14>and cyber and it's led by public market companies.

0:33:26.040 --> 0:33:27.400
<v Speaker 1>If you look at a cloud.

0:33:27.080 --> 0:33:29.600
<v Speaker 14>Derivative like Data Dog, which I've served on the board

0:33:29.640 --> 0:33:33.480
<v Speaker 14>of for ten years, they're definitely seeing acceleration and underlying

0:33:33.520 --> 0:33:37.200
<v Speaker 14>markets thanks to the cloud and use of AI driving

0:33:37.400 --> 0:33:43.000
<v Speaker 14>increased compute and increased use of data. Second, in private markets,

0:33:43.040 --> 0:33:47.640
<v Speaker 14>we're definitely seeing market leading companies like Whiz and Data

0:33:47.680 --> 0:33:51.760
<v Speaker 14>Bricks see acceleration in their business thanks to AI. So

0:33:51.840 --> 0:33:54.800
<v Speaker 14>definitely the VC environment is talking about AI.

0:33:56.560 --> 0:33:59.080
<v Speaker 3>I want to look at deal activity in the private markets.

0:33:59.120 --> 0:34:02.680
<v Speaker 3>You just mentioned that the AI summer that we're in

0:34:02.800 --> 0:34:04.960
<v Speaker 3>is kind of led by public names and throughout the

0:34:04.960 --> 0:34:09.440
<v Speaker 3>how we've talked about the concern around valuations, but deal

0:34:09.520 --> 0:34:12.320
<v Speaker 3>activity in the private markets is really interesting to me

0:34:12.520 --> 0:34:15.880
<v Speaker 3>globally in all stages, Like I'm seeing quite a lot

0:34:15.880 --> 0:34:16.640
<v Speaker 3>the growth.

0:34:16.320 --> 0:34:18.960
<v Speaker 4>Stage as well. Do you see that and what do

0:34:19.000 --> 0:34:19.640
<v Speaker 4>you make of it?

0:34:20.480 --> 0:34:25.240
<v Speaker 14>You're right, we're seeing increased activity this year across geographies,

0:34:25.400 --> 0:34:29.960
<v Speaker 14>across stages. Again, outside of AI. Half of the investments

0:34:30.000 --> 0:34:33.680
<v Speaker 14>that we've considered at Index in this year are in

0:34:33.719 --> 0:34:38.640
<v Speaker 14>categories including gaming, infintech, and cybersecurity. So the sun is

0:34:38.719 --> 0:34:42.560
<v Speaker 14>definitely shining outside of AI. Second to your point, it's

0:34:42.600 --> 0:34:47.200
<v Speaker 14>at every stage. We've seen seed investments, early stage Series

0:34:47.239 --> 0:34:50.400
<v Speaker 14>A investments, as well as growth stage opportunities in and

0:34:50.480 --> 0:34:53.160
<v Speaker 14>outside of AI. So deal activity has definitely picked up

0:34:53.200 --> 0:34:53.600
<v Speaker 14>this year.

0:34:55.040 --> 0:34:58.960
<v Speaker 3>You've put a lot of emphasis on security, cybersecurity names.

0:35:00.200 --> 0:35:03.239
<v Speaker 3>Whiz is one of your port photo companies. You are

0:35:04.239 --> 0:35:08.439
<v Speaker 3>significant on the cap table of that company. Why why

0:35:08.560 --> 0:35:11.000
<v Speaker 3>is cybersecurity such a focus? Loads of people come on

0:35:11.040 --> 0:35:15.160
<v Speaker 3>this show actually at the moment and put forward cybersecurity

0:35:15.239 --> 0:35:17.799
<v Speaker 3>is the area that they're most excited about getting a

0:35:17.800 --> 0:35:18.560
<v Speaker 3>boost from AI.

0:35:19.200 --> 0:35:21.919
<v Speaker 14>Yeah, cybersecurity is one of the hottest sectors in tech,

0:35:21.960 --> 0:35:23.920
<v Speaker 14>so it's no surprise that you've had many guests come

0:35:23.960 --> 0:35:26.960
<v Speaker 14>on and talk about it. If you step back, there's

0:35:27.000 --> 0:35:29.640
<v Speaker 14>about two hundred and fifty billion dollars of market cap

0:35:29.719 --> 0:35:35.600
<v Speaker 14>amongst the top four security publicly traded companies. This is CrowdStrike,

0:35:35.800 --> 0:35:39.480
<v Speaker 14>Pelton Network, c Scaler, and cloud Flare. Ten years ago,

0:35:39.880 --> 0:35:43.680
<v Speaker 14>the top four probably represented less than fifty billion dollars

0:35:43.719 --> 0:35:46.840
<v Speaker 14>of market cap. There are four drivers over the last

0:35:46.880 --> 0:35:50.760
<v Speaker 14>decade that have driven this growth. First, we're seeing every

0:35:50.800 --> 0:35:54.480
<v Speaker 14>single day a new global attack. I think on your

0:35:54.520 --> 0:35:57.440
<v Speaker 14>show you've been talking quite a bit today about CDK Global,

0:35:57.480 --> 0:36:01.239
<v Speaker 14>which is just the most recent example. The SEC now

0:36:01.360 --> 0:36:06.760
<v Speaker 14>has disclosure requirements for publicly traded companies. Third, chief security

0:36:06.800 --> 0:36:10.560
<v Speaker 14>officers are under scrutiny and are being held accountable for fraud.

0:36:10.960 --> 0:36:15.719
<v Speaker 14>And fourth, we're seeing hackers actually tell the SEC when

0:36:15.760 --> 0:36:19.160
<v Speaker 14>they've created a material breach. As a consequence, we're seeing

0:36:19.239 --> 0:36:23.359
<v Speaker 14>an enormous amount of activity in private markets. We've seen

0:36:23.480 --> 0:36:28.120
<v Speaker 14>an explosion of startups. There's now over ten thousand companies

0:36:28.520 --> 0:36:32.000
<v Speaker 14>that are trying to build new businesses to meet the

0:36:32.040 --> 0:36:35.160
<v Speaker 14>needs of customers. At Index we focused on kind of

0:36:35.239 --> 0:36:40.120
<v Speaker 14>two primary themes. One are founders that are obsessed with

0:36:40.200 --> 0:36:43.319
<v Speaker 14>the problems of their customers and second, founders that are

0:36:43.320 --> 0:36:47.880
<v Speaker 14>looking to build coherent platforms to meet the needs of organizations.

0:36:48.480 --> 0:36:52.000
<v Speaker 14>Just as one example to your point on Summer, I

0:36:52.040 --> 0:36:55.640
<v Speaker 14>feel like every small and medium business in the world

0:36:55.960 --> 0:36:59.000
<v Speaker 14>should have insurance. Without insurance, it's like going to the

0:36:59.000 --> 0:37:03.320
<v Speaker 14>beach without sunscreen. You're bound to get burned with enough exposure,

0:37:03.560 --> 0:37:06.960
<v Speaker 14>and so we invested in the category leading cyber insurance

0:37:07.000 --> 0:37:11.400
<v Speaker 14>Company Coalition, which is addressing the needs of small and

0:37:11.480 --> 0:37:15.280
<v Speaker 14>medium companies. On the other hand, enterprises have been served

0:37:15.320 --> 0:37:19.000
<v Speaker 14>by large and growing security companies for over a decade.

0:37:19.120 --> 0:37:23.359
<v Speaker 14>What's different now is the requirement for a coherent platform

0:37:23.520 --> 0:37:26.600
<v Speaker 14>versus kind of a frankensteign that acquires their way to

0:37:26.600 --> 0:37:30.080
<v Speaker 14>creating a collection of solutions and their in laws Whiz,

0:37:30.320 --> 0:37:33.000
<v Speaker 14>which to your point, just started four years ago but

0:37:33.040 --> 0:37:35.759
<v Speaker 14>has become the fastest growing software company of all time

0:37:35.800 --> 0:37:38.440
<v Speaker 14>because of a strong point of view on a product

0:37:38.440 --> 0:37:39.759
<v Speaker 14>that meets the needs of customers.

0:37:40.560 --> 0:37:43.080
<v Speaker 3>A lack of cyberse security is like going to the

0:37:43.120 --> 0:37:46.719
<v Speaker 3>beach without sunscreen. Which on this the official Summer Solstice

0:37:47.080 --> 0:37:50.279
<v Speaker 3>and the aisum are in is an interesting point of view.

0:37:50.280 --> 0:37:52.120
<v Speaker 3>Shout or sharp index beens is great to have you

0:37:52.200 --> 0:38:02.719
<v Speaker 3>on the program. Bitcoin slump to are more than one

0:38:02.760 --> 0:38:05.920
<v Speaker 3>month low with this year's record breaking rally showing signs

0:38:06.000 --> 0:38:10.200
<v Speaker 3>of fatigue in the absence of Frankly fresh Market Cassis says,

0:38:10.200 --> 0:38:14.040
<v Speaker 3>break it all down with Bloomberg Bloomberg Intelligence on this. Sorry,

0:38:14.320 --> 0:38:17.200
<v Speaker 3>Jane Seafert, Sorry, it's been a long short week for me.

0:38:17.560 --> 0:38:19.600
<v Speaker 3>I'm trying to think about what's going on, like in

0:38:19.640 --> 0:38:23.160
<v Speaker 3>the markets generally speaking, maybe some risk appetites come off

0:38:23.160 --> 0:38:26.120
<v Speaker 3>the table triple witching, but there is this kind of

0:38:26.640 --> 0:38:31.640
<v Speaker 3>close or opposite correlation with the equity markets. That's what

0:38:31.680 --> 0:38:33.600
<v Speaker 3>I've read. What's your analysis.

0:38:34.680 --> 0:38:37.040
<v Speaker 7>Yeah, I mean, no matter how you look at it,

0:38:37.080 --> 0:38:39.480
<v Speaker 7>the I don't even know what the word of the

0:38:39.520 --> 0:38:42.680
<v Speaker 7>appetite for bitcoin exposure has slumped a lot.

0:38:42.560 --> 0:38:44.600
<v Speaker 1>Of people were talking about trying to understand.

0:38:44.680 --> 0:38:47.560
<v Speaker 7>So the last few weeks we saw billions file into

0:38:47.640 --> 0:38:51.040
<v Speaker 7>those bitcoin ETFs and the price really wasn't moving. A

0:38:51.040 --> 0:38:53.120
<v Speaker 7>lot of that we think had to do with like

0:38:53.480 --> 0:38:59.480
<v Speaker 7>potentially futures trading and basically arbitrage trading with the futures market.

0:39:00.480 --> 0:39:04.200
<v Speaker 7>But the last week, the last seven ish trading days,

0:39:04.200 --> 0:39:06.080
<v Speaker 7>we've seen a total of about a billion dollars flow

0:39:06.120 --> 0:39:09.520
<v Speaker 7>out at the ETFs. Risk appetite on the crypto markets

0:39:09.520 --> 0:39:11.040
<v Speaker 7>has kind of slumped off. I mean, if you look

0:39:11.040 --> 0:39:12.520
<v Speaker 7>at all the all coins and all the stuff that

0:39:12.560 --> 0:39:14.239
<v Speaker 7>we don't really tend to talk about, those have been

0:39:14.520 --> 0:39:17.400
<v Speaker 7>far worse than the likes of ethereum and bitcoin. But

0:39:17.520 --> 0:39:20.280
<v Speaker 7>what we're paying attention to right now is we're expecting

0:39:20.280 --> 0:39:22.719
<v Speaker 7>those Ethereum ETFs to get approval at some point from

0:39:22.760 --> 0:39:25.120
<v Speaker 7>the SEC over the final approval to launch at some

0:39:25.120 --> 0:39:27.160
<v Speaker 7>point in the next couple of weeks. I think there's

0:39:27.200 --> 0:39:29.360
<v Speaker 7>just kind of a malaise going on in the market

0:39:29.440 --> 0:39:33.600
<v Speaker 7>right now, and it's pretty standard. I mean, honestly, everyone's

0:39:33.640 --> 0:39:36.120
<v Speaker 7>used to these massive run ups, but also there's there's

0:39:36.160 --> 0:39:39.120
<v Speaker 7>corrections and run and turnbacks at different times.

0:39:39.600 --> 0:39:41.799
<v Speaker 3>That's the functioning of the market. I still follow the

0:39:41.840 --> 0:39:43.759
<v Speaker 3>headlines a lot. One that hit last night was that

0:39:43.880 --> 0:39:47.400
<v Speaker 3>micro Strategy had used the proceeds from a convert to

0:39:47.400 --> 0:39:50.400
<v Speaker 3>buy seven hundred and eighty six million dollars of bitcoin.

0:39:50.760 --> 0:39:52.759
<v Speaker 3>And we've reflected a lot in the last few weeks,

0:39:52.800 --> 0:39:55.359
<v Speaker 3>like it's quite a liquid market and correct me if

0:39:55.360 --> 0:39:58.720
<v Speaker 3>I'm wrong, But does a headline like that have impact

0:39:58.760 --> 0:39:59.920
<v Speaker 3>on the market at large?

0:40:01.360 --> 0:40:02.360
<v Speaker 1>I mean it used to.

0:40:02.640 --> 0:40:04.960
<v Speaker 7>I mean you when you when Michael Saler was announcing

0:40:04.960 --> 0:40:08.040
<v Speaker 7>and micro Strategy was announcing these massive, multi one hundred

0:40:08.080 --> 0:40:11.680
<v Speaker 7>million dollar buys of bitcoin, it was impacting the markets.

0:40:11.719 --> 0:40:14.840
<v Speaker 7>I think it kind of almost shows the maturity of

0:40:14.880 --> 0:40:17.319
<v Speaker 7>the market that this they just took. They finished this

0:40:17.560 --> 0:40:21.360
<v Speaker 7>closing of those converts and then just dumped seven hundred

0:40:21.360 --> 0:40:23.640
<v Speaker 7>and eighty million dollars or whatever, I don't know the

0:40:23.719 --> 0:40:26.439
<v Speaker 7>exact number you said into the market over the last

0:40:26.480 --> 0:40:29.800
<v Speaker 7>week or so, and the market is still down decently

0:40:29.840 --> 0:40:32.000
<v Speaker 7>off it's it's all time highs, almost ten thousand dollars off.

0:40:32.040 --> 0:40:34.000
<v Speaker 7>It's all time highs. And I think that just shows

0:40:34.040 --> 0:40:36.120
<v Speaker 7>the liquidity and depth of this market at this point.

0:40:36.239 --> 0:40:37.320
<v Speaker 7>Is as far as I'm concerned.

0:40:38.239 --> 0:40:40.640
<v Speaker 3>Seven hundred and eighty six million dollars was the number

0:40:40.640 --> 0:40:43.960
<v Speaker 3>that I said. Bloomberg Intelligence Handlist James Seth, Happy Friday.

0:40:44.280 --> 0:40:47.880
<v Speaker 3>Thank you appreciate the breakdown that does it for this

0:40:48.080 --> 0:40:49.759
<v Speaker 3>edition of Bloomberg Technology.

0:40:50.680 --> 0:40:52.359
<v Speaker 4>It was a short week in the US.

0:40:52.480 --> 0:40:55.360
<v Speaker 3>Wednesday was a holiday, but a busy week all the

0:40:55.440 --> 0:41:00.200
<v Speaker 3>same recap. The podcasts get involved in the pod it

0:41:00.239 --> 0:41:04.759
<v Speaker 3>on Apple, Spotify, iHeart and the Tech pod is also

0:41:04.800 --> 0:41:07.279
<v Speaker 3>of course on all the Bloomberg platforms. It's good to

0:41:07.280 --> 0:41:09.960
<v Speaker 3>be back here in San Francisco with you. A big

0:41:10.000 --> 0:41:16.480
<v Speaker 3>week coming up next week, AI Bitcoin Space, all of

0:41:16.480 --> 0:41:19.560
<v Speaker 3>that's to come. There's beautiful San Francisco, Happy Friday. This

0:41:19.640 --> 0:41:20.680
<v Speaker 3>is Bloombo Technology