WEBVTT - Make Or Break Sophomores 0:00:00.240 --> 0:00:03.920 Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly, a production of I Heart Radio. 0:00:06.040 --> 0:00:09.400 Time now for Fantasy Football Weekly from my Heart Radio, 0:00:09.680 --> 0:00:14.080 your weekly source for the nation's best fantasy football advice, speculation, 0:00:14.240 --> 0:00:17.080 and whatever stupid stuff they decided to drop into the show. 0:00:17.560 --> 0:00:23.799 Now here's your host. It's another addition of Fantasy Football Weekly. 0:00:23.880 --> 0:00:27.880 I am Paul Charch and co host after an extended absence, 0:00:28.880 --> 0:00:31.320 Matt Harrison, Welcome back to the show. You won't remember 0:00:31.320 --> 0:00:33.960 what it was. Wasn't that long. It's been like three weeks, 0:00:34.920 --> 0:00:37.760 so it feels like it's been longer than June when 0:00:37.840 --> 0:00:41.680 I was off traveling around the world, allivanting, allivantin Rather, 0:00:41.760 --> 0:00:45.879 we're toiling and fantasy football advice to the masses by 0:00:45.920 --> 0:00:50.519 around the world. Northern Wisconsin. Yeah, I will. It's like 0:00:50.600 --> 0:00:53.479 dialing back time. It really is. I went to this 0:00:53.520 --> 0:00:57.000 bar in Wisconsin, an Eagle River. It's called Tommy's Bar. 0:00:57.440 --> 0:01:00.080 It's very rarely open, but when the open signs on, 0:01:00.320 --> 0:01:02.840 you go in. Because we had my wife and I 0:01:02.920 --> 0:01:06.119 had six eight drinks between the two of us, eight 0:01:06.120 --> 0:01:15.120 bucks six. It's like, what, all right, that's fantastic. I 0:01:15.200 --> 0:01:19.080 love that the focus of today's show is make or 0:01:19.200 --> 0:01:23.560 break second year players sophomores who have not yet proven 0:01:23.600 --> 0:01:29.560 themselves to be fantasy starters. So first, why we're choosing 0:01:29.560 --> 0:01:31.560 the second year players just because I think by the 0:01:31.640 --> 0:01:34.040 end of your two you you pretty much know some 0:01:34.080 --> 0:01:37.160 players break out in your three and even less rarely 0:01:37.240 --> 0:01:39.640 year four. But you know usually by two years in 0:01:39.840 --> 0:01:43.039 you kind of no, yeah, and we're going make as 0:01:43.120 --> 0:01:47.880 in there they've made it breaking, they're broken, they're breaking bad, 0:01:48.000 --> 0:01:50.560 breaking bad. Yeah, there we go, so were But we're 0:01:50.560 --> 0:01:53.160 looking at these guys from a sophomore perspective, especially in 0:01:53.600 --> 0:01:57.440 dynasty and keeper leagues, looking at them going is their 0:01:57.520 --> 0:02:00.480 value about to go up? Or is it about to 0:02:00.520 --> 0:02:03.559 bottom out? And I think the dynasty empire angle here 0:02:03.720 --> 0:02:06.840 on on on this whole conversation is really really valuable. 0:02:07.600 --> 0:02:10.120 Is this second year players that we're going to talk about. 0:02:10.160 --> 0:02:12.280 Are they guys who want to try to acquire now 0:02:12.320 --> 0:02:15.400 before they have their make season, our guys who want 0:02:15.440 --> 0:02:18.680 to divest from before they have their break season. Um 0:02:18.800 --> 0:02:20.560 makes a ton of sense. Now, the kinds of guys 0:02:20.560 --> 0:02:23.480 who are not going to talk about our sophomores like 0:02:23.520 --> 0:02:26.680 Mac Jones, Patriots quarterback, because we know we already know 0:02:26.840 --> 0:02:29.800 he we already know what he's all about. I think 0:02:29.880 --> 0:02:31.960 I think we now know that mac Jones is a 0:02:33.280 --> 0:02:36.160 run of the mill starting NFL quarterback who's never going 0:02:36.200 --> 0:02:38.440 to have great fantasy upside. I agree, I think we 0:02:38.520 --> 0:02:40.400 know too much about him. But the other guys were 0:02:40.400 --> 0:02:41.840 gonna talking about a lot of times who don't know? 0:02:42.080 --> 0:02:45.120 And by make or break we mean from a fantasy perspective, 0:02:45.680 --> 0:02:47.720 not like, are you going to go to the Pro Bowl? 0:02:48.040 --> 0:02:50.040 You know Teddy Bridgewater went to the Pro Bowl. You 0:02:50.080 --> 0:02:53.799 know that's not what we're talking about. We're talking about, God, 0:02:53.919 --> 0:02:57.000 are you going to be fantasy relevant? Mac Jones could 0:02:57.040 --> 0:02:59.320 end up in a Pro Bowl? Too? Like four guys 0:02:59.360 --> 0:03:02.240 are like, I don't bother showing that the Pro Bowl? 0:03:02.520 --> 0:03:05.280 Where was it last year? Even did they have one? 0:03:05.320 --> 0:03:07.920 I don't even know. It's not it's so not important, 0:03:08.120 --> 0:03:12.880 it's so not important. I think it was in it was. Okay, 0:03:13.200 --> 0:03:16.600 So we're going to do quarterbacks, running backs, wide receivers. 0:03:16.720 --> 0:03:19.400 Normally we would do tight ends here, but the only two, 0:03:19.600 --> 0:03:21.520 the only two tight ends that anybody had any faith 0:03:21.560 --> 0:03:24.800 in last year. Pitts and Friar both are obvious makes. 0:03:24.840 --> 0:03:27.800 They've already hit their's and every nobody else thought anybody 0:03:27.800 --> 0:03:29.720 else was going to do anything out of that draft class. 0:03:29.760 --> 0:03:31.799 So I don't think there's a quarterback or a tight 0:03:31.880 --> 0:03:35.840 end to talk about here. Let's start at the quarterback position, Matt. Yeah, 0:03:35.920 --> 0:03:39.560 we'll start with Trevor Lawrence, good old sunshine, and I 0:03:39.600 --> 0:03:43.680 think it's the make year for for Trevor Lawrence. Uh. 0:03:43.800 --> 0:03:46.760 It couldn't have gone worse last year. Uh, thirty six 0:03:46.880 --> 0:03:51.520 hundred yards, only twelve touchdowns versus seventeen picks. And by 0:03:51.560 --> 0:03:54.160 the way, he had three touchdown passes in Week one 0:03:54.320 --> 0:03:57.680 against Houston. For the final sixteen, he had the same 0:03:57.760 --> 0:04:01.640 amount of games in which he threw touchdown as games 0:04:01.640 --> 0:04:06.240 where he did not throw a touchdown. Touchdown, not a touchdown. Sure, 0:04:06.880 --> 0:04:09.080 I'm trying to you know, I'm trying to get that 0:04:09.120 --> 0:04:12.440 to catch on, like the Ohio State University, which they 0:04:12.440 --> 0:04:15.720 trademark exactly, they were trademarked v So he had and 0:04:16.279 --> 0:04:18.440 you couldn't have got a worse read for what was 0:04:18.480 --> 0:04:21.279 coming in week one that what Trevor Lawrence gave you, 0:04:21.680 --> 0:04:25.840 because at that point you're like a game on Trevor Lawrence. Yeah, 0:04:25.920 --> 0:04:28.240 absolutely got nine touchdowns the rest of the way. Yeah, 0:04:28.279 --> 0:04:31.920 he only supported one yard game for a wide receiver 0:04:32.120 --> 0:04:35.720 last year, and why it all went wrong was basically, 0:04:35.839 --> 0:04:38.320 we're gonna pin it all on Urban Meyer. He was 0:04:38.360 --> 0:04:41.960 a disaster. He was a distraction the entire year until 0:04:42.000 --> 0:04:46.200 they fired him the end of November. They lost Travis e. 0:04:46.320 --> 0:04:49.640 T N before the season began. With Kwan Treadwell might 0:04:49.680 --> 0:04:52.000 have been his best wide receiver over the final month 0:04:52.000 --> 0:04:55.440 of the season. The old line was a mess. Outside 0:04:55.440 --> 0:04:57.560 of beating Buffalo randomly in the middle of the season, 0:04:57.640 --> 0:04:59.599 it was about a bad of a year as you 0:04:59.600 --> 0:05:03.200 could for the Jaguars. Now, why will it be a 0:05:03.320 --> 0:05:06.480 make year this year? Well, Doug Peterson, he's now the 0:05:06.480 --> 0:05:09.880 head coach. Jim Bob Cooter, who's my favorite name in 0:05:09.920 --> 0:05:13.359 the NFL, is now the offensive coordinating a minute, What 0:05:13.880 --> 0:05:19.120 better than Harry Colin? Yeah, Jim Bob Cooter? Yes, definitely, 0:05:19.160 --> 0:05:21.560 both lines. Can both guys have lines? Connection? There we go, 0:05:22.240 --> 0:05:26.560 I mean and and Jim Bob Cooter. You gotta say Cooter? 0:05:27.000 --> 0:05:29.159 Do you say Cootter? Do you say Bob Cooter? What? What? 0:05:29.240 --> 0:05:31.240 How do you what? Do you call? J B? Cooter? 0:05:31.440 --> 0:05:34.520 J B Cooter? As to his friends like me, j 0:05:34.920 --> 0:05:37.680 he ran a decent offense in Detroit for a while 0:05:37.680 --> 0:05:42.239 with Stafford there um, they had some key auditions Christian 0:05:42.279 --> 0:05:45.080 Kirk at wide receiver. He actually broke the wide receiver 0:05:45.200 --> 0:05:49.240 market thanks Christian Kirk's Jones has added there for some depth. 0:05:49.960 --> 0:05:52.440 Dan Arnold is back in Evan Engram make up the 0:05:52.600 --> 0:05:55.640 tight end corps now, so they have some fantasy upside. 0:05:55.680 --> 0:05:58.040 They added Brandon Schurff as a new right guard, which 0:05:58.040 --> 0:06:00.920 should improve that old line quite a bit just just 0:06:01.120 --> 0:06:05.159 with him there. And Lawrence passed over six hundred times 0:06:05.200 --> 0:06:07.560 last year he was in He was in the top 0:06:07.560 --> 0:06:11.400 ten for passing attempts, So I gotta think that it's 0:06:11.440 --> 0:06:13.040 just going to get better this year. He was the 0:06:13.040 --> 0:06:16.640 most clear cut number one quarterback to come out of 0:06:16.680 --> 0:06:19.640 the draft since Andrew Luck. And we shouldn't forget that 0:06:20.040 --> 0:06:22.480 the deck was just so stacked against him last year. 0:06:22.520 --> 0:06:25.000 The stability and the weapons that were added to the 0:06:25.000 --> 0:06:27.800 offense should be enough for him to be a very 0:06:27.880 --> 0:06:32.080 serviceable super flex quarterback this year. Yeah, this year, I 0:06:32.080 --> 0:06:34.760 think he's kind of a mid level QB two this year. 0:06:34.960 --> 0:06:37.360 You know, he's got better running ability than we saw 0:06:37.480 --> 0:06:40.120 last year as well, And my hope is that He'll 0:06:40.120 --> 0:06:44.000 get some designed runs um extended pockets that in which 0:06:44.000 --> 0:06:50.080 he touchdown. It's not too much trouble Trevor Lawrence. I'm 0:06:50.080 --> 0:06:53.080 with you on the on the make side of Trevor Lawrence. 0:06:53.240 --> 0:06:54.880 But we don't have to agree on all these. By 0:06:54.880 --> 0:06:56.600 the way, we may not agree with some of these. 0:06:56.640 --> 0:07:01.160 We might not. The next quarterback make or break sophomore 0:07:01.400 --> 0:07:06.279 quarterback is the Jets Zack Wilson, the number two pick 0:07:06.320 --> 0:07:07.760 in the draft, the number two pick in the draft, 0:07:07.760 --> 0:07:10.000 and I've got him as a make. It looked bad 0:07:10.040 --> 0:07:12.200 for Wilson for much of the year last year, typical 0:07:12.320 --> 0:07:14.400 rookie struggles at the beginning of the year. Then he 0:07:14.400 --> 0:07:16.000 had a knee injury that knocked him out for over 0:07:16.040 --> 0:07:21.000 a month. But everything changed right around Thanksgiving. Prior to that, 0:07:21.120 --> 0:07:25.400 he had posted just two games with double digit Fantasy points. 0:07:25.440 --> 0:07:30.520 After Thanksgiving, every game was double digit Fantasy points for 0:07:30.640 --> 0:07:34.119 Zack Wilson. The play clearly got better. It doesn't always 0:07:34.120 --> 0:07:35.920 showed in the box scores, though, so I'm no Warren. 0:07:35.960 --> 0:07:37.360 You if you just like go to the Zach Wilson 0:07:37.360 --> 0:07:39.360 box score and pull it up, you're not going to 0:07:39.440 --> 0:07:42.880 see like this epic change in box. You're not overwhelmed 0:07:42.880 --> 0:07:46.120 by yards and three touchdowns, and no you don't. There 0:07:46.160 --> 0:07:48.480 was very little that, but I test you look better. 0:07:48.640 --> 0:07:51.320 PFF grades got at least a little bit better, and 0:07:51.360 --> 0:07:53.960 he started connecting on deep balls. In his first five 0:07:54.000 --> 0:07:56.520 full games when he's really struggling, he had almost two 0:07:56.520 --> 0:07:59.520 picks per game. But during that second half of the 0:07:59.520 --> 0:08:01.880 season again and Thanksgiving forward, when he came back from 0:08:01.880 --> 0:08:04.680 the injury, he cut it down from two picks a 0:08:04.760 --> 0:08:08.800 game to zero point three picks per game and just 0:08:08.840 --> 0:08:11.920 two interceptions in the final seven games. Massive improvement in 0:08:11.960 --> 0:08:17.160 the interceptions. Wilson's deep ball was very promising, um as 0:08:17.320 --> 0:08:20.440 was the downfield connection with Elijah Moore, who just went 0:08:20.480 --> 0:08:25.600 on a rampage after Wilson came back. He averaged six catches, 0:08:25.720 --> 0:08:29.120 seventies seven yards and one touchdown until he bowed out 0:08:29.160 --> 0:08:32.400 with injury in December. So there was a really nice 0:08:32.520 --> 0:08:35.600 budding connection with Elijah more who many people are very 0:08:35.679 --> 0:08:41.000 high on now. Also, Zack Wilson gained first rounder Garrett 0:08:41.000 --> 0:08:44.280 Wilson in the draft. He gained second rounder Bruce Hall 0:08:44.360 --> 0:08:47.640 in the draft. And where does it sounds the Jets 0:08:47.679 --> 0:08:50.920 offensive personnel and totality is actually pretty good at this Yeah, 0:08:50.920 --> 0:08:52.960 it looks pretty great. I mean, you know, in addition 0:08:53.040 --> 0:08:55.520 to Elijah More we know is good. Garrett Wilson should 0:08:55.520 --> 0:08:57.880 be good, Breece Hallo should be good. You've also got 0:08:57.960 --> 0:09:01.440 Corey Davis, Braxon Barrios there and what should be an 0:09:01.440 --> 0:09:05.360 improved Al Davis is a serviceable number receiver and he 0:09:05.440 --> 0:09:07.480 might be the wide receiver one on that team. Still 0:09:07.559 --> 0:09:10.839 just in target share, but he's gonna be just fine. 0:09:11.559 --> 0:09:13.880 Accuracy was a huge problem for Wilson last year, the 0:09:13.880 --> 0:09:17.880 bottom of the league accuracy completion rates. But it's here's 0:09:17.880 --> 0:09:20.720 why it should get better for Wilson. The stuff he 0:09:20.760 --> 0:09:23.959 missed was the short stuff where he's where he had 0:09:23.960 --> 0:09:26.440 the big delta between himself and the other quarterbacks were 0:09:26.480 --> 0:09:29.600 behind the line of scrimmage and less than ten yard passes. 0:09:29.640 --> 0:09:33.040 Does that make you worried about Yips? No, not yet. Okay, 0:09:33.120 --> 0:09:34.880 I'm not I'm not there yet. I'm not calling him 0:09:34.920 --> 0:09:38.360 to be at this point, So roll that together. There's 0:09:38.400 --> 0:09:40.679 a lot of reasons for optim isn't on Wilson the 0:09:40.720 --> 0:09:43.280 way he finished last year. The talent around him should 0:09:43.280 --> 0:09:45.440 get better in year number two. I've got to make 0:09:46.000 --> 0:09:48.319 on Zach Wilson. How do you have a make or 0:09:48.320 --> 0:09:50.680 a break on Zach Wilson. I agree with you. I 0:09:50.720 --> 0:09:52.880 think that he's going to have a much improved year. 0:09:53.040 --> 0:09:57.280 Make let's go to San Francisco quarterback Tray Lance. Do 0:09:57.320 --> 0:09:59.920 you have a make or break on him? We might 0:10:00.040 --> 0:10:03.320 to diverge here. I'm usually a pessimist on running quarterbacks, 0:10:03.360 --> 0:10:05.160 and I'll keep that trend going and say that this 0:10:05.240 --> 0:10:07.760 is going to be the break year for Trey Lance. 0:10:08.600 --> 0:10:13.079 As of this recording of the podcast, Jimmy Garoppolo is 0:10:13.160 --> 0:10:15.679 still on the team. The Niners could cut him for 0:10:15.840 --> 0:10:19.800 almost no dead cap. They could solve a lot of issues, 0:10:20.120 --> 0:10:22.640 They could sign Debo long term. They could just cut 0:10:22.760 --> 0:10:25.440 Jimmy Garoppolo. But they haven't. Well, they'll trade him. They 0:10:25.480 --> 0:10:27.280 won't cut him. I don't think that they're going to 0:10:27.400 --> 0:10:30.320 trade him. There's really not that many partners left out there. 0:10:31.160 --> 0:10:34.520 Baker Mayfield was just Delta Carolina, so they're off the board. 0:10:34.559 --> 0:10:36.640 But why they won't cut him, I think is because 0:10:36.760 --> 0:10:39.320 you just wait for some team that thinks it's have 0:10:39.320 --> 0:10:40.720 a going enough a good season and could have their 0:10:40.760 --> 0:10:42.839 quarterback get hurt, and now you've got a lot of 0:10:42.920 --> 0:10:45.000 value in Jimmy Garoppolo. Right now, there is only one 0:10:45.000 --> 0:10:47.760 trade partner of Seattle and they're in division and they're 0:10:47.760 --> 0:10:51.000 probably not going that. Maybe maybe the Saints, but probably not. 0:10:51.360 --> 0:10:53.880 So if they're in division, you're right, so that's probably 0:10:53.920 --> 0:10:57.679 not gonna happen. Although if they really don't believe in 0:10:57.760 --> 0:11:00.920 Jimmy Garoppolo, that could be just sabotaged. Well, what if 0:11:00.920 --> 0:11:04.719 they really don't believe in Tray Lance? That's the other thing. Um, 0:11:05.520 --> 0:11:07.679 Jimmy g is still on the roster. I have a 0:11:07.679 --> 0:11:10.520 sneaking suspicion that the forty Niners are not quite ready 0:11:10.559 --> 0:11:13.000 to hand the full reins full time to Tray Lance. 0:11:13.040 --> 0:11:17.040 With a shredded shoulder last year, they kept Jimmy is 0:11:17.080 --> 0:11:20.640 a little strong. He had it hanging from a tendon. 0:11:20.840 --> 0:11:23.640 It was just dangling there. They kept him in throughout 0:11:23.679 --> 0:11:26.160 the playoffs and he led them to a conference championship game. 0:11:26.200 --> 0:11:28.880 And head coaches are creatures of habit. They go at 0:11:28.920 --> 0:11:31.719 the guy that got them there. Shanahan and Garoppolo, the 0:11:31.800 --> 0:11:34.680 long history together. And on Lance, we saw the rushing 0:11:34.679 --> 0:11:37.480 ability on display and his three starts last season, but 0:11:37.559 --> 0:11:40.680 the passing was if he at best. All the reports 0:11:40.679 --> 0:11:43.079 out of the off season program is Lance is ready, 0:11:43.160 --> 0:11:45.880 Jerry Rice, and Steve Young, they're all believers. They think 0:11:45.880 --> 0:11:49.080 he's the next guy. But you never hear bad reports 0:11:49.080 --> 0:11:52.080 in June or July. And who cares what former players 0:11:52.120 --> 0:11:54.880 that aren't really in camp think about this. Uh. The 0:11:54.960 --> 0:11:58.760 Niners admittedly don't rely heavily on quarterback production to get 0:11:58.760 --> 0:12:01.760 things done in their offense. Over the last five years, 0:12:01.760 --> 0:12:04.599 mostly with Garoppolo, they finished in the bottom half the 0:12:04.640 --> 0:12:08.079 league in QB Fantasy points in four out of five years. 0:12:08.800 --> 0:12:11.439 The Niners deploy a high efficiency passing game, though, and 0:12:11.520 --> 0:12:14.360 Jimmy G's that's because of what Jimmy G brought to 0:12:14.400 --> 0:12:17.079 the table. They were catering that offense to his strengths. Well, 0:12:17.120 --> 0:12:20.040 he's a sixty percent passer over the last three years. 0:12:20.120 --> 0:12:23.160 That's very good. Uh. And they let their playmakers make plays. 0:12:23.160 --> 0:12:27.280 They let Devo move downfield. Now, Lance was only fifty 0:12:27.320 --> 0:12:30.679 seven percent on his passes last year. Fifty seven percent 0:12:30.760 --> 0:12:33.160 is not good. And if Shanahan sees it that way, 0:12:33.200 --> 0:12:37.240 and they're looking at a big downtick eleven percent downtick, 0:12:37.840 --> 0:12:40.280 that makes them one dimensional, That makes them a running team. 0:12:40.320 --> 0:12:43.400 That makes people key off on where's deebo in the backfield? 0:12:44.000 --> 0:12:46.400 Where's Trey Lance going? We can we can cover these 0:12:46.400 --> 0:12:48.640 guys because we don't believe in his arm. I've been 0:12:48.679 --> 0:12:51.440 completely wrong on running quarterbacks before. I hope I'm wrong again, 0:12:51.480 --> 0:12:53.480 but I'm not drafting Trey Lance at all this year. 0:12:53.840 --> 0:12:55.680 I think you're gonna be wrong. I think running the 0:12:55.760 --> 0:12:58.280 running numbers are going to keep him fantasy relevant even 0:12:58.320 --> 0:13:01.240 when his arm is developing and learning earning to use 0:13:01.320 --> 0:13:03.520 the gigantic arm that he's got. Right, I think the 0:13:03.679 --> 0:13:08.320 upside is Hurts this year. Jalen Hurts was quarterback six 0:13:08.320 --> 0:13:11.840 in fantasy last year. You know that's we'll take that upside. 0:13:12.080 --> 0:13:13.559 So we had you didn't hear it to you're on 0:13:13.640 --> 0:13:16.080 vacation last week. Last week we took we detailed Trey 0:13:16.160 --> 0:13:20.720 Lances a we're doing uh all or nothing players, you 0:13:20.760 --> 0:13:23.040 know that sort of sentiment, and he is. He's Trey 0:13:23.120 --> 0:13:25.079 Lance is an all or nothing guy. If things go wrong, 0:13:25.480 --> 0:13:29.120 he's not the starting quarterback. If things go right, he's 0:13:29.240 --> 0:13:31.840 running for ninety yards a game, and he's you know, 0:13:32.000 --> 0:13:34.959 then he chips in two passing yards and one or 0:13:35.000 --> 0:13:38.160 two passing touchdowns and and you've got a top five quarterbacks, 0:13:38.280 --> 0:13:40.160 so things can go very right or wrong for him. 0:13:40.200 --> 0:13:42.480 I'm on break. I'm on the make side of Trey 0:13:42.559 --> 0:13:47.160 Land and I'm on the break side. Let's do one 0:13:47.360 --> 0:13:53.120 more quarterback make or break with Bears quarterback Justin Fields. 0:13:53.880 --> 0:13:57.960 I am firmly in the break. Let me make my 0:13:58.040 --> 0:14:00.440 case for you. Man. There's a center it out there 0:14:00.440 --> 0:14:03.319 that fields automatically get better under Matt Eberflus and offensive 0:14:03.360 --> 0:14:07.240 coordinator Luke Getsy because Nag he's gone. But is that deserved? 0:14:07.640 --> 0:14:10.720 Eberflus is a defensive coordinator issue, so I don't see 0:14:10.720 --> 0:14:15.839 a big effect here. And one of Getsy's NFL experience 0:14:16.080 --> 0:14:20.080 is with Aaron Rodgers as his quarterback. No problem, there 0:14:20.160 --> 0:14:23.280 is no comparison between these two Aaron Rodgers and Justin 0:14:23.400 --> 0:14:27.800 Fields and Fields passing last year was straight up dreadful. 0:14:27.960 --> 0:14:32.000 Second lowest completion percentage next next Gen stats marked him 0:14:32.000 --> 0:14:35.600 with the second worst expected completion percentage, and he was 0:14:35.680 --> 0:14:38.760 particularly bad when pressured, with a p F grade dropping 0:14:38.760 --> 0:14:43.120 in half from pressured plays to clean pocket place. It's 0:14:43.160 --> 0:14:46.360 totally unable to handle pressure. Under pressure, he through just 0:14:46.440 --> 0:14:52.440 two touchdowns all of last year For Justin Fields. Intangibly 0:14:53.080 --> 0:14:57.520 to me, Fields never looked comfortable in the pocket, and frustratingly, 0:14:57.800 --> 0:15:00.480 Naggie didn't give him enough looks outside the pocket. I'd 0:15:00.560 --> 0:15:03.360 had a lot of design to plays for Justin Fields, 0:15:03.360 --> 0:15:05.120 to get him out of the plot a pocket, let 0:15:05.200 --> 0:15:08.320 him run or pass on the run. He was asked 0:15:08.320 --> 0:15:10.400 to do that very very little last year. Maybe that 0:15:10.440 --> 0:15:13.040 comes together this year, and I wish I could give 0:15:13.040 --> 0:15:15.720 you reasons to believe in Fields and to believe he's 0:15:15.720 --> 0:15:19.040 gonna get better. But Matt, the offensive line doesn't look 0:15:19.040 --> 0:15:21.960 like it's gonna be any better. Almost no changes Byron Pringles, 0:15:22.000 --> 0:15:24.880 the best receiver of the team brought in and their 0:15:24.960 --> 0:15:28.440 third round wide receiver draft pick Vellis Jones is widely 0:15:28.520 --> 0:15:31.160 viewed as one of the worst reaches in the entire draft. Yeah, 0:15:31.160 --> 0:15:34.560 he's a kick returner, he's a special teamer. So if 0:15:34.600 --> 0:15:38.680 you draft Fields, it's really with the hope that Eberflus 0:15:38.760 --> 0:15:41.880 and gets he run him and run him a lot 0:15:41.960 --> 0:15:45.160 like Lamar Jackson level of consistency as a runner. It 0:15:45.200 --> 0:15:47.640 would have to be like twenty carries a game kind 0:15:47.640 --> 0:15:50.720 of a thing, because it feels like these Bears are 0:15:50.760 --> 0:15:54.360 gonna try to win games thirteen to seven with the 0:15:54.440 --> 0:15:57.280 defense that shed like everybody you know by the way 0:15:57.320 --> 0:16:00.000 it's it's it's kind of a bizarre team. It looked 0:16:00.200 --> 0:16:02.240 like the Bears could be bottoming out here. I think 0:16:02.280 --> 0:16:04.560 the Bears are bottoming out and I don't. I don't 0:16:04.720 --> 0:16:06.280 for a lot of reasons. So you're with me. It 0:16:06.320 --> 0:16:08.920 sounds like on Justin Fields is a break player I am. 0:16:09.000 --> 0:16:11.040 I want to add in one more quarterback as an 0:16:11.040 --> 0:16:14.920 able mension here. How about Davis Mills. Because of the 0:16:15.000 --> 0:16:18.960 quarterbacks we mentioned before this, Mills had the most touchdowns 0:16:19.240 --> 0:16:22.960 with sixteen played in thirteen games last year, had four 0:16:23.840 --> 0:16:27.960 games five multiple touchdown games. Only Jeff Driskell and Kyle 0:16:28.040 --> 0:16:32.400 Allen pushing him. That's nothing. He's a starter. So I'm 0:16:32.520 --> 0:16:36.880 very bullish on Mills because if he breaks, he's out 0:16:36.880 --> 0:16:39.000 of a job. The Texans are going to draft his 0:16:39.040 --> 0:16:42.360 replacement next year if he doesn't look awesome this year. 0:16:42.440 --> 0:16:45.040 So I kind of think that he's got a shot 0:16:45.040 --> 0:16:47.480 here I showed I guess I tipped my hand and 0:16:47.560 --> 0:16:50.320 how I feel about Davis Mills by not including him 0:16:50.320 --> 0:16:52.840 in this list, because I already think he's kind of 0:16:52.880 --> 0:16:56.120 proven himself to be better than all the other guys. 0:16:56.120 --> 0:16:59.080 So we talked about he's being drafted after all of 0:16:59.080 --> 0:17:01.920 these guys. I think it's a mistake. I think that 0:17:01.960 --> 0:17:04.920 everybody on this show, you, Me, Brian and Scott, all 0:17:04.960 --> 0:17:07.960 of us kind of like Davids Mills more than the 0:17:08.000 --> 0:17:10.840 average person does out. So I you know, I just 0:17:10.960 --> 0:17:14.840 I think Davis. I thought Davis Mills played admirably when 0:17:14.840 --> 0:17:16.640 given the opportunity to do so. And I think there's 0:17:16.640 --> 0:17:20.040 a than anti Houston bias amongst a lot of fantasy 0:17:20.040 --> 0:17:24.240 players that view the whole view it as a dysfunctional 0:17:24.320 --> 0:17:27.040 landing place for anybody. Well, they got to score points 0:17:27.080 --> 0:17:29.520 because their defense is gonna be very good and they're 0:17:29.520 --> 0:17:32.000 gonna be behind. They're gonna be chucking at Yolo style 0:17:32.080 --> 0:17:34.000 the whole season. They did last year too, And David S. 0:17:34.000 --> 0:17:35.800 Mills you still had. You can only start from time 0:17:35.840 --> 0:17:38.119 to time, but probably gets better year to remember, I 0:17:38.200 --> 0:17:42.320 think only thirteen starts in college and so and maybe 0:17:42.320 --> 0:17:44.440 the thirteen numbers in my head because you had because 0:17:44.440 --> 0:17:48.399 you played you mentioned he played in didn't start thirteen 0:17:48.480 --> 0:17:50.480 last year, by the way, had to come in as 0:17:50.480 --> 0:17:52.760 a replacement for Tyrod Taylor a few times. Let's take 0:17:52.760 --> 0:17:55.280 a break. When we come back, make or break running 0:17:55.280 --> 0:17:58.800 backs and wide receivers. When we returned to Fantasy Football Weekly. 0:18:15.119 --> 0:18:17.520 Welcome back Fantasy Football Weekly. This is a make or 0:18:17.560 --> 0:18:21.359 Breaks sophomore edition of Fantasy Football Weekly. All Charging and 0:18:21.400 --> 0:18:24.119 Matt Harrison with you. You can check out Matt Matt's 0:18:24.160 --> 0:18:26.720 work at Shock Fantasy dot com. You've got your Shock 0:18:26.800 --> 0:18:31.120 Fantasy hat. I'm loading up a whole bunch of cheat 0:18:31.160 --> 0:18:35.840 sheets this weekend to we're getting going, uh finally, Draft season. 0:18:35.880 --> 0:18:38.920 Here we go. Let's go to the running back position, 0:18:39.000 --> 0:18:45.240 and I want to start with Philadelphia running back Kenneth Gainwell. 0:18:45.359 --> 0:18:47.960 Do you believe this is a make or break season 0:18:48.040 --> 0:18:51.720 for him? I kind of forgot about Kenny Gainwell, like admittedly, 0:18:51.880 --> 0:18:56.200 like just off my radar um. But so this was 0:18:56.280 --> 0:18:58.600 kind of fun because I got to dig back into him. 0:18:58.640 --> 0:19:00.680 And for the sake of the argument, I'm gonna call 0:19:00.720 --> 0:19:03.600 it a make year for Kenny Gainwell, but not in 0:19:03.600 --> 0:19:07.679 the way that he suddenly becomes a always starting running 0:19:07.680 --> 0:19:10.040 back in fantasy. I think he's going to be a 0:19:10.160 --> 0:19:14.239 serviceable flex play here and there. Um, there's a lot 0:19:14.320 --> 0:19:16.840 of things working against him, but there were glimmers of hope. 0:19:16.840 --> 0:19:20.359 In his rookie year. First, he scored six more touchdowns 0:19:20.400 --> 0:19:25.120 than Miles Sanders at zero. Five of those six were 0:19:25.119 --> 0:19:28.720 on the ground. That's a good thing. Um. Boston Scott 0:19:29.000 --> 0:19:32.960 inexplicably was the inside the five runner for Philadelphia, a 0:19:33.000 --> 0:19:35.960 guy who's not built for that, had seven touchdowns on 0:19:36.040 --> 0:19:39.840 ten attempts. Miles Sanders had five rushing attempts inside the 0:19:39.840 --> 0:19:42.439 five last year, with zero touched out and negative one 0:19:42.480 --> 0:19:47.680 yard negative five yard average, never one, negative one. Um 0:19:47.760 --> 0:19:50.359 Gamewell was only given two attempts inside the five, but 0:19:50.400 --> 0:19:52.280 he did score on one, so that's a good thing. 0:19:52.320 --> 0:19:54.119 You know, Boston Scott is not built to be a 0:19:54.119 --> 0:19:56.280 goal lineback. No, No, I just I can't believe that 0:19:56.320 --> 0:19:59.840 they're gonna keep using Boston Scott there, although he was 0:20:00.040 --> 0:20:02.800 fairly effective in that role. He was, but you know, 0:20:02.880 --> 0:20:05.600 Boston Scott could be one of those cap casualties as 0:20:05.640 --> 0:20:08.080 they come closer to camp, like maybe they don't need 0:20:08.119 --> 0:20:11.280 a veteran guy like that. Who knows. But the second 0:20:11.320 --> 0:20:13.760 thing that I really liked about Gainwell, he was the 0:20:13.800 --> 0:20:16.840 most utilized running back in the passing game for Philadelphia 0:20:16.920 --> 0:20:19.240 last year, and that's kind of where you think Boston 0:20:19.240 --> 0:20:21.960 Scott would kind of flex into there. But it was 0:20:22.000 --> 0:20:25.040 Gainwell more targets and receptions than Sanders, who was on 0:20:25.080 --> 0:20:28.200 the field a lot more more targets and receptions than Scott, 0:20:28.200 --> 0:20:31.000 whose primary role should be the pass catching back. So 0:20:31.080 --> 0:20:34.320 give me the most efficient running back in the passing game, 0:20:34.880 --> 0:20:37.640 a guy who could feasibly steal the goal line role 0:20:37.720 --> 0:20:41.320 from Boston Scott. To me, that's a flexworthy runner. But 0:20:41.400 --> 0:20:44.320 the problem is is we need consistency and touches. He 0:20:44.359 --> 0:20:46.880 needs ten to fifteen touches a game to be interesting. 0:20:47.680 --> 0:20:51.520 In the last six games the last season, seventeen touches 0:20:52.240 --> 0:20:58.600 zero one zero, sixteen six. That's wild usage. Yeah, it's 0:20:58.680 --> 0:21:00.879 it's it's crazy. So I don't know if that's a 0:21:00.920 --> 0:21:03.879 coaching philosophy. There could have been injury injuries to to 0:21:03.960 --> 0:21:06.919 Miles Sanders here and there. But Kenneth Gainwell is an 0:21:06.960 --> 0:21:09.480 interesting guy. He looked good when he had the ability 0:21:09.520 --> 0:21:13.920 to get the touches. So I'll say make Yeah, I 0:21:13.920 --> 0:21:16.800 I like, do you challenge yourself to make a make 0:21:17.080 --> 0:21:18.720 out of that? But I don't. I don't know that 0:21:18.760 --> 0:21:21.280 I can go there. Um, I'm I'm gonna go with 0:21:21.320 --> 0:21:25.359 Travis at the end as our next runner, Jacksonville running back, 0:21:25.600 --> 0:21:28.120 I've got to make on him. It feels obvious now, 0:21:28.160 --> 0:21:29.840 but let's just talk it through and I don't have 0:21:29.840 --> 0:21:30.960 to spend a lot of time, and it's gonna think 0:21:30.960 --> 0:21:34.560 everybody's everybody's interested in him. But I've got a real 0:21:34.640 --> 0:21:36.600