WEBVTT - Predictions for Bills-Chiefs & Commanders-Eagles in NFL Playoffs 0:00:00.280 --> 0:00:02.920 Welcome in What Try with Nick Wright episode two ninety 0:00:03.000 --> 0:00:05.640 five A little you're gonna be like, well, this looks 0:00:05.680 --> 0:00:09.119 like a different setup. Listen, the landlord at Trentage just 0:00:09.200 --> 0:00:13.039 the rates too high. If the Landlord of Trentage happens 0:00:13.039 --> 0:00:16.319 to be my wife, I'm obviously not serious. But we 0:00:16.480 --> 0:00:21.440 are in the midst of a new studio. This is so, 0:00:21.560 --> 0:00:25.000 this is the current studio for the time being. Demanse 0:00:25.480 --> 0:00:28.000 right now in the midst of a similar change. However, 0:00:28.360 --> 0:00:32.080 he still has his the landlords at Blue Duck. We're 0:00:32.120 --> 0:00:36.440 a little more forgiving on a little race period while 0:00:36.479 --> 0:00:39.040 we developed a new studio. So Demanse's setup still looks 0:00:39.080 --> 0:00:42.239 normal if you're watching his live on YouTube, we appreciate it. Uh. 0:00:42.400 --> 0:00:45.239 We also a few other changes. We're gonna try this 0:00:45.320 --> 0:00:48.680 show with no commercial breaks, no breaks in it, and 0:00:49.120 --> 0:00:52.360 we're gonna try over the next few weeks and months 0:00:52.600 --> 0:00:57.120 to try to roll in more listener comments throughout the show. 0:00:57.480 --> 0:00:59.640 So if you're live on YouTube, try to do that 0:00:59.760 --> 0:01:02.680 rather and just save it for the end of the show. 0:01:02.760 --> 0:01:06.640 But other than that, normal show another week given out 0:01:06.640 --> 0:01:10.280 winning picks just red hot these playoffs, we'll get to 0:01:10.360 --> 0:01:12.960 it fully in a moment Demons, but last week and 0:01:13.120 --> 0:01:17.280 Undefeated one push three wins, so seven to two to 0:01:17.520 --> 0:01:21.800 one for the playoff season so far. One oh one 0:01:21.840 --> 0:01:27.759 added bonus of the show being now from my home 0:01:28.000 --> 0:01:31.319 at the moment at least and not being remote is 0:01:31.760 --> 0:01:34.960 I'm gonna have actual coffee mugs, so I feel like 0:01:35.040 --> 0:01:37.200 maybe I need this is just like as boring of 0:01:37.240 --> 0:01:39.920 a coffee mug as it gets. I feel like, maybe, 0:01:40.600 --> 0:01:44.520 like diehard listeners or whatever that should be, they should 0:01:44.520 --> 0:01:48.520 maybe send me coffee mugs to promote their business. I 0:01:48.520 --> 0:01:50.200 think that could be a cool thing we do. Just 0:01:50.280 --> 0:01:52.840 drink out a coffee for people that listen and whatever 0:01:52.920 --> 0:01:55.040 and do it that way. I didn't really think that 0:01:55.160 --> 0:01:57.280 through when I said it. Now there's a mailing address 0:01:57.320 --> 0:01:58.960 that has to be involved. That's probably gonna involve a 0:01:59.000 --> 0:02:01.400 lot of work for people that aren't named Nick, right, 0:02:01.400 --> 0:02:04.600 But that's fine. Let's get to the show. Championship weekend. 0:02:04.840 --> 0:02:07.960 Here's what missed the cut. Josh McDaniels headed back to 0:02:08.040 --> 0:02:11.000 New England. We're not gonna be discussing that the Spurs 0:02:11.040 --> 0:02:13.160 and Pacers play in Paris today. We're not gonna be 0:02:13.160 --> 0:02:17.240 discussing that. And I guess the Philadelphia Mayor misspelled the 0:02:17.280 --> 0:02:21.320 Eagles in the e A G L E S Eagles chant. 0:02:21.400 --> 0:02:25.760 That's a tough one. That's a tough one. I gotta 0:02:25.800 --> 0:02:28.120 tell you, it's not great. It's not the worst thing 0:02:28.120 --> 0:02:31.040 that's ever happened. It's not great, demons. Let's get right 0:02:31.080 --> 0:02:34.919 to the show, though, because Arrowhead Invitational is upon us. 0:02:35.960 --> 0:02:38.480 Yes, so it is that time of year again, the 0:02:38.600 --> 0:02:42.440 Arrowhead Invitational. Josh Allen will be going into Arrowhead and 0:02:42.480 --> 0:02:45.960 facing Mahomes and the Chiefs. He's done everything that he's 0:02:46.040 --> 0:02:48.160 needed to do this year to get to this point. 0:02:48.680 --> 0:02:51.840 Would you say that Maholmes needs to outplay Josh Allen 0:02:51.880 --> 0:02:54.200 in this game or does Josh Allen need to outplay 0:02:54.200 --> 0:02:54.840 Mahomes here? 0:02:55.240 --> 0:02:57.880 Well, listen, I do not think either team can win 0:02:57.960 --> 0:03:02.600 this game with their corequarterback playing worse than the other teams. 0:03:02.960 --> 0:03:05.680 I don't think this is there are so that might be, like, well, 0:03:05.760 --> 0:03:07.880 isn't in the case in every game? No, Like Eagles 0:03:07.960 --> 0:03:11.320 Rams this weekend, Jalen Hurts did not need to doubt 0:03:11.360 --> 0:03:14.919 play Matt Stafford, which is good because he didn't. Jalen 0:03:14.960 --> 0:03:19.400 Hurts needed to avoid the critical mistake and rely on 0:03:19.520 --> 0:03:23.400 Saquon and his defense. This is I understand James Cook 0:03:23.440 --> 0:03:27.880 has had an underrated and awesome season. This game is 0:03:28.000 --> 0:03:30.560 going to come down to the quarterbacks, and that can 0:03:30.600 --> 0:03:35.800 sometimes be banal or boring commentary. In this specific instance, 0:03:36.160 --> 0:03:38.800 that's what it comes down to. So I want to 0:03:38.840 --> 0:03:42.120 talk about Mahomes here first, and then I want to 0:03:42.160 --> 0:03:45.240 talk about the Bills. But actually, before I even talk 0:03:45.280 --> 0:03:51.480 about Mahomes, I want to one final note on the 0:03:51.520 --> 0:03:56.320 referee commentary of the week because it's really enraged me. 0:03:57.480 --> 0:04:01.360 And I didn't care right after the game, but now 0:04:01.400 --> 0:04:09.800 that dishonest folks listen. It's one thing if you're stupid. 0:04:10.640 --> 0:04:13.760 It's another thing if you're being intention if you're smart 0:04:13.920 --> 0:04:18.760 enough to know better and being intentionally dishonest. And I 0:04:18.839 --> 0:04:22.680 really like Warren Sharp. I think Warren Sharp is a 0:04:22.800 --> 0:04:27.960 smart guy, which makes what he's been peddling this week 0:04:29.200 --> 0:04:35.120 so embarrassing the arbitrary. So folks are trying to all 0:04:35.160 --> 0:04:38.320 of the numbers say the Chiefs are middle of the 0:04:38.360 --> 0:04:42.640 pack in penalties received. We talked about this on Tuesday. 0:04:43.480 --> 0:04:49.320 So and in the twenty twenty Super Bowl, the Chiefs 0:04:49.360 --> 0:04:53.920 got annihilated in the penalty margin against them, the one 0:04:53.960 --> 0:04:56.000 they lost to Tampa. Now, that had nothing to do 0:04:56.040 --> 0:04:57.960 with the loss. And the only reason I'm bringing that 0:04:58.080 --> 0:05:02.080 up is because there is a new sample folks are 0:05:02.120 --> 0:05:06.400 looking at. And obviously in twenty twenty one, the Chiefs 0:05:06.640 --> 0:05:11.000 didn't win the Super Bowl. This run started in twenty 0:05:11.040 --> 0:05:14.920 twenty two. But folks have decided if you start with 0:05:15.040 --> 0:05:19.200 the sample of twenty twenty one to now, you have 0:05:19.920 --> 0:05:23.159 a group of playoff games where the Chiefs won the 0:05:23.200 --> 0:05:27.360 penalty margin ten out of eleven games, and that now 0:05:27.920 --> 0:05:33.360 is the smoking gun. But here's the problem. So Jeff 0:05:33.400 --> 0:05:36.479 Schwartz has done a good job fighting this battle, but 0:05:37.400 --> 0:05:44.080 we are putting all in one bucket. Judgment calls, non 0:05:44.200 --> 0:05:48.400 judgment calls, and we're throwing out called penalties that weren't accepted. 0:05:48.839 --> 0:05:52.600 So if the Chiefs have five penalties in a game 0:05:52.920 --> 0:05:57.279 and the other team has eight penalties, and that happens repeatedly, 0:05:58.040 --> 0:06:01.960 but if the judgment call penalty meaning holding illegal contact 0:06:02.040 --> 0:06:05.719 DPI o PI, those things are dead even. And the 0:06:05.760 --> 0:06:08.839 other ones are pre snap penalties, which are did you 0:06:08.920 --> 0:06:11.440 do it? Did you not? Offside's false start delay a game? 0:06:11.880 --> 0:06:15.920 Does that actually tell you anything about the referees favoring 0:06:15.960 --> 0:06:20.520 one team or another, of course not And so I'll 0:06:20.680 --> 0:06:25.640 read Jeff's tweet exactly without context of these of the penalty. 0:06:25.720 --> 0:06:28.600 These splits are misleading. Take the Chiefs Dolphins wild card 0:06:28.600 --> 0:06:32.960 game last season. Dolphins had eight penalties included two false starts, 0:06:33.000 --> 0:06:35.880 a delay, a game in an illegal formation, So four 0:06:35.920 --> 0:06:38.520 penalties were called based on the judgment of the officials. 0:06:38.560 --> 0:06:41.599 Four that's in this sample of Oh, the Chiefs have 0:06:41.600 --> 0:06:45.600 gotten all the calls. The Chiefs had five accepted penalties 0:06:45.839 --> 0:06:48.600 six total, One was a DPI with it they declined it, 0:06:49.040 --> 0:06:52.880 one false start and four judgment penalties. So that this 0:06:53.080 --> 0:06:57.120 Chiefs Dolphins game as just a one off example that's 0:06:57.160 --> 0:07:00.000 being used as man another game, the Chiefs doubled up 0:07:00.080 --> 0:07:03.039 the other team in penalties. Judgment call penalties were four 0:07:03.080 --> 0:07:06.320 to four. And I really don't want to litigate this 0:07:06.960 --> 0:07:11.960 because I think it's so unbelievably dumb and I that 0:07:12.000 --> 0:07:16.440 this there have been during this run. There have been 0:07:16.560 --> 0:07:21.000 two calls that you can say end of game critical 0:07:21.080 --> 0:07:26.440 situations really benefited the Chiefs. The late hit out of 0:07:26.480 --> 0:07:28.920 bounds in the Bengals game and the hold in the 0:07:28.920 --> 0:07:33.840 Eagles Super Bowl. Both of those players that those penalties 0:07:33.840 --> 0:07:39.200 were called against immediately after the game apologized for committing 0:07:39.240 --> 0:07:43.520 the penalty and acknowledged they committed the penalty, including James Bradbury, 0:07:43.560 --> 0:07:47.400 said yeah, I held him. I was hoping the referees 0:07:47.440 --> 0:07:51.320 would let it go and so that just set that 0:07:51.360 --> 0:07:54.680 part aside as well. The reason this is so frustrating 0:07:54.720 --> 0:08:00.840 for me is because it is allowing some of the worst. 0:08:01.120 --> 0:08:04.920 If I'm loyal to anything, it's to takes. My family 0:08:05.000 --> 0:08:11.000 is of course first, but takes second. And it's allowing 0:08:11.840 --> 0:08:17.160 the worst media members off the hook. I shouldn't say 0:08:17.160 --> 0:08:20.400 the worst media members the worst takes off the hook 0:08:21.200 --> 0:08:29.080 because I was fighting a one man wore this regular 0:08:29.160 --> 0:08:35.800 season saying football media has this Chiefs team wrong. How 0:08:35.800 --> 0:08:39.280 many shows did we do? Where I said, folks are 0:08:39.400 --> 0:08:43.200 arguing this is the worst team of the Mahomes era, 0:08:43.720 --> 0:08:46.400 And I said, how ridiculous. I thought that was how 0:08:46.400 --> 0:08:49.840 many shows did I do? When I said, folks are 0:08:50.480 --> 0:08:54.320 are praying at the altar of the Lion's margin of 0:08:54.440 --> 0:08:58.680 victory as if that is gonna be some type of 0:08:58.679 --> 0:09:00.800 evidence as to how they're going to do in the playoffs. 0:09:00.960 --> 0:09:04.920 Folks are saying, oh, the Chiefs can't keep getting away 0:09:04.960 --> 0:09:10.520 with this jesse and breaking bad style, like the luck's 0:09:10.559 --> 0:09:14.320 going to run out. And we had folks say this 0:09:14.400 --> 0:09:16.880 is the type of team that loses their first playoff game. 0:09:17.920 --> 0:09:20.520 And then we had folks say going into that first 0:09:20.520 --> 0:09:26.000 playoff game that Houston pass rushman watch out. And now 0:09:26.520 --> 0:09:32.160 instead of having to acknowledge, because all of those same 0:09:32.240 --> 0:09:38.360 people last year, when there was legitimate concern last year 0:09:38.800 --> 0:09:41.720 said oh no, never seen this guy win on the road, 0:09:42.280 --> 0:09:46.520 this type of path Buffalo Old Clipham, if not Baltimoreal Clipham. 0:09:46.880 --> 0:09:50.480 They have now two years in a row, been very 0:09:50.520 --> 0:09:55.000 loud and very wrong about the defining dynasty of our era, 0:09:56.080 --> 0:10:00.719 and this week, when they should have to own it, 0:10:01.640 --> 0:10:04.120 they've moved it to where the conversation is about the 0:10:04.160 --> 0:10:08.400 officials in a game that the Chiefs were up by 0:10:08.480 --> 0:10:12.640 eleven with thirty seconds left and then self safety, so 0:10:12.679 --> 0:10:15.800 they end up winning by nine. So that part is 0:10:16.840 --> 0:10:23.400 incredibly irritating to me. And here is the other part 0:10:23.640 --> 0:10:33.080 that is irritating to me. We are missing what is 0:10:34.080 --> 0:10:41.240 one of the most unbelievable singular athlete sports stories of 0:10:41.280 --> 0:10:46.920 all time. And because we have spent this week discussing 0:10:47.000 --> 0:10:53.200 the refs. We might not get to have the discussion 0:10:53.280 --> 0:10:56.360 because it is as and we'll discuss this in a bit. 0:10:56.880 --> 0:10:59.960 It is on the board. The Chiefs lose this weekend. 0:11:00.040 --> 0:11:06.560 Buffalo's excellent. No player has ever gone four and oh, 0:11:07.240 --> 0:11:09.959 no quarterback has ever gone four and oh against another 0:11:10.040 --> 0:11:13.400 quarterback in the playoffs. It's never happened. There have been 0:11:13.559 --> 0:11:19.160 three instances of three and oh Aikeman over Farve, Brady 0:11:19.240 --> 0:11:22.319 over Rivers, and one other one that I don't remember, 0:11:22.559 --> 0:11:25.600 and obviously Mahomes over Allen is three and oh, so 0:11:25.679 --> 0:11:29.160 four instances the one that I can't remember, No one's 0:11:29.200 --> 0:11:32.880 ever gone four and uh. If we look at Brady 0:11:32.960 --> 0:11:37.880 and Peyton as this rivalry in the playoffs, Brady owned 0:11:38.120 --> 0:11:42.040 Brady won the first two, then never beat him in 0:11:42.040 --> 0:11:45.040 the playoffs again. Peyton then won the last one that 0:11:45.080 --> 0:11:48.440 they played Colts Patriots in O six and then won 0:11:48.559 --> 0:11:52.280 both of the matchups Broncos Patriots when he was with Denver. 0:11:53.200 --> 0:11:57.120 So going for like it is going to be a 0:11:57.240 --> 0:12:04.480 war this weekend. And the reason I bring that up 0:12:04.520 --> 0:12:10.559 is what Patrick Mahomes did by getting to his seventh 0:12:10.600 --> 0:12:16.640 consecutive conference championship game, and this Chiefs team did is 0:12:16.840 --> 0:12:24.360 totally glossed over now. The Mahomes now has sixteen playoff 0:12:24.400 --> 0:12:33.480 wins sixteen in his thirties, Brady had twelve. The greatest 0:12:33.520 --> 0:12:37.880 winner ever, Tom Brady had twelve playoff wins in sights 0:12:37.960 --> 0:12:40.800 in his thirties. Pardon me before he turns thirty. I 0:12:40.880 --> 0:12:43.920 said that wrong. He is sixteen with a chance for 0:12:43.960 --> 0:12:50.480 seventeen this weekend. Two guys ever have made seven conference 0:12:50.559 --> 0:12:55.720 championship games other than Mahomes, Montana who made seven, and Brady, 0:12:55.760 --> 0:13:02.640 who made fourteen. For some context on that, Montana made 0:13:02.720 --> 0:13:07.800 his seventh at thirty seven years old as a Kansas 0:13:07.840 --> 0:13:12.360 City chief How old is the audience right now? If 0:13:12.400 --> 0:13:16.320 you had to guess think Tom Brady was when he 0:13:16.400 --> 0:13:21.559 made his seventh conference championship game he made fourteen of them. 0:13:22.080 --> 0:13:28.560 The answer is thirty five years old. Tom Brady throughout 0:13:28.640 --> 0:13:30.760 until he was thirty five years old, had been to 0:13:30.840 --> 0:13:34.680 six conference championship games. Mahomes now has been to seventies 0:13:34.720 --> 0:13:41.000 twenty nine. This Chiefs team now has at the very 0:13:41.120 --> 0:13:47.160 least tied. I would argue set the record, so to speak, 0:13:47.240 --> 0:13:52.920 for the greatest season for a two time defending champion 0:13:53.320 --> 0:13:56.000 for a team going for a three peat. Teams going 0:13:56.040 --> 0:13:58.960 for a three peat, here is what they've done that 0:13:59.120 --> 0:14:03.880 the team's the closest competitors. The Steelers, after their first 0:14:03.920 --> 0:14:08.400 two championships with Bradshaw, made the Conference championship game after 0:14:08.440 --> 0:14:11.760 a ten win season now to be fair, fourteen game schedule, 0:14:11.840 --> 0:14:15.720 so ten and four and lost to the Raiders. The 0:14:15.760 --> 0:14:20.760 Cowboys made the Conference championship game and lost to the Niners. 0:14:21.360 --> 0:14:24.680 And the Niners made the Conference championship game after going 0:14:24.800 --> 0:14:29.440 fourteen and two and lost a classic to the Giants, 0:14:29.440 --> 0:14:32.760 the Roger Craig Fumble Game. And now the Chiefs, after 0:14:32.800 --> 0:14:37.440 starting fifteen and one resting guys in Week eighteen going 0:14:37.480 --> 0:14:41.760 fifteen and two, are in the Conference championship game. It 0:14:41.800 --> 0:14:47.920 is the greatest attempt at a three peat we've ever seen, 0:14:49.240 --> 0:14:54.120 and all year long, folks ignored it, I don't want 0:14:54.120 --> 0:14:57.160 to say ignored it, but tried to downplay it. And 0:14:57.320 --> 0:15:01.920 now in the playoff run we're talking about the reps. 0:15:02.560 --> 0:15:05.880 It's just incredibly irritating. 0:15:06.200 --> 0:15:09.880 Go ahead, going to the to the penalty. Thing behind 0:15:09.920 --> 0:15:13.080 the box office says, why can't people give Andy Reid 0:15:13.080 --> 0:15:15.600 in Spags credit for being arguably the best coaching due 0:15:15.640 --> 0:15:19.000 of all time, little penalties, and always well prepared to 0:15:19.000 --> 0:15:22.280 face teams that have equal that have equal or more 0:15:22.320 --> 0:15:25.320 talent than the Chiefs. So that's the others also come 0:15:25.360 --> 0:15:26.480 down to coaching and stuff. 0:15:27.160 --> 0:15:29.720 That's the other piece of it. That I just the 0:15:29.840 --> 0:15:33.560 idea that it's a shocker that a team with a 0:15:33.680 --> 0:15:36.760 veteran quarterback, the best head coach in the league, the 0:15:36.760 --> 0:15:41.320 best coordinator in the league, the playoff, you know, battle tested, 0:15:42.560 --> 0:15:46.240 would cut down the penalties in the postseason is just lunacy. 0:15:46.920 --> 0:15:50.160 And here's the other thing I will say. One of 0:15:50.200 --> 0:15:55.520 the pieces of why you want to play at home 0:15:56.440 --> 0:16:02.280 is there is It's not huge, but they documented home 0:16:02.360 --> 0:16:06.800 field advantage to the calls. This isn't for the Chiefs, 0:16:06.840 --> 0:16:10.000 this is for the league. Home teams get a slightly 0:16:10.120 --> 0:16:16.560 better whistle across sports than road teams. Well, when you 0:16:16.640 --> 0:16:21.800 have played of your hownty playoff games, they've played nine 0:16:21.840 --> 0:16:25.680 playoff games, two on the road for Super Bowls. So 0:16:25.720 --> 0:16:30.160 they have played nine playoff games nineteen pardon me, thirteen 0:16:30.400 --> 0:16:35.600 home playoff games. Yeah, that's I'm sure there is a 0:16:35.680 --> 0:16:38.120 bit of home field of vantage of that, but that's 0:16:38.120 --> 0:16:40.480 why you want to be at home. And so I 0:16:40.680 --> 0:16:43.760 just I found the whole thing ridiculous. Now, if I 0:16:43.840 --> 0:16:48.840 may on Patrick quickly, and we'll talk more about the 0:16:48.880 --> 0:16:54.280 actual matchups in this game during the picks, Patrick's gonna 0:16:54.280 --> 0:16:58.440 have to be great. The Chiefs have set the record 0:16:58.680 --> 0:17:02.640 all time NFL history. Think about that, all one hundred 0:17:02.640 --> 0:17:06.040 plus years of football, no team has ever gone more 0:17:06.080 --> 0:17:09.960 consecutive games without a turnover. It's not some fugees record. 0:17:10.000 --> 0:17:16.080 That's not Oh, here's the very basic consecutive games no turnovers. 0:17:16.359 --> 0:17:20.679 The Chiefs have set it with eight. Patrick has not 0:17:20.800 --> 0:17:22.879 turned the ball over since the last time they played 0:17:22.880 --> 0:17:28.760 the Bills. Patrick's gonna have to be excellent, and they 0:17:28.800 --> 0:17:32.600 are going to need more than Kelsey and Xavier Worthy 0:17:32.640 --> 0:17:37.280 in this game. Now. I think the Chiefs defense matches 0:17:37.400 --> 0:17:43.800 up far better against Buffalo than it did the first matchup, 0:17:44.200 --> 0:17:47.080 and we'll talk about that in a bit. But to 0:17:47.119 --> 0:17:51.359 answer Demanse's initial question, Yeah, Mahomes needs to play Josh 0:17:51.400 --> 0:17:53.879 out played Josh Allen for the Chiefs to win. I 0:17:53.920 --> 0:17:56.680 think the Bills are an excellent team all year long. 0:17:56.720 --> 0:17:58.520 I've said this is the second best team in football 0:17:58.520 --> 0:18:03.119 to Monse, and I think we're gonn to see the potentially, 0:18:04.119 --> 0:18:07.760 the not potentially. I do think we're gonna see the 0:18:07.800 --> 0:18:11.760 two best teams in football playing Sunday evening for a 0:18:11.880 --> 0:18:13.640 chance to go to the Super Bowl. For the Chiefs, 0:18:13.800 --> 0:18:19.800 they would also become the only team ever right, hold on, 0:18:19.840 --> 0:18:25.160 the Patriots made the Super Bowl in fourteen sixteen, They 0:18:25.200 --> 0:18:28.320 won it in fourteen, sixteen and eighteen, and they lost 0:18:28.359 --> 0:18:31.879 it in seventeen. Yeah, the Chiefs would become the only 0:18:31.960 --> 0:18:35.320 team ever to make five Super Bowls in six years, 0:18:36.560 --> 0:18:39.199 and the one year they didn't, they would have lost 0:18:40.280 --> 0:18:43.160 in overtime of the conference championship game. All right, let's 0:18:43.160 --> 0:18:43.800 go to the Bills. 0:18:44.680 --> 0:18:47.960 So on, Josh Allen. So, Josh Allen has eliminated most 0:18:48.000 --> 0:18:51.040 of that roller coaster trait that you said that he has. 0:18:51.320 --> 0:18:55.200 But you say before, as you said before, whenever teams 0:18:55.200 --> 0:18:56.719 play the Chiefs, they tend to get in their head 0:18:56.760 --> 0:18:58.760 and play outside of their game. Do you think that 0:18:58.800 --> 0:19:01.200 there's a chance that you might find Josh Allen trying 0:19:01.200 --> 0:19:03.600 to play euroball because he gets hisself gets himself into 0:19:03.600 --> 0:19:04.120 a situation. 0:19:05.080 --> 0:19:08.080 So I do think that's gonna happen. And here's why 0:19:09.080 --> 0:19:12.320 it's not an This is not an indictment on Josh. 0:19:13.119 --> 0:19:18.359 But Josh last year in this game, it was very 0:19:18.359 --> 0:19:21.560 odd because on the opening play of the the opening 0:19:21.640 --> 0:19:25.479 drive of the game, he threw that lateral across the field. 0:19:25.880 --> 0:19:27.840 It was by the way, it was in the illegal lateral, 0:19:27.880 --> 0:19:34.240 but whatever. But aside from that, Josh was super conservative. 0:19:34.840 --> 0:19:39.560 Thirty nine passes for one hundred and eighty six total yards, 0:19:40.119 --> 0:19:44.439 not a The Bills did not have a single play 0:19:45.359 --> 0:19:49.919 of twenty yards and they didn't have a single pass 0:19:50.000 --> 0:19:54.679 play of more than fifteen yards. So Josh tried to 0:19:54.880 --> 0:20:02.840 play the conservative safe game. They lost, and I do 0:20:02.920 --> 0:20:05.320 not think they are going to now. He played a 0:20:05.359 --> 0:20:13.879 conservative safe game against Baltimore, but Baltimore was because of 0:20:13.920 --> 0:20:18.320 the mistakes in the first half. The Bills had control 0:20:18.400 --> 0:20:22.760 of that game basically start to finish, and you saw 0:20:23.200 --> 0:20:25.399 he alluded to it in his press conference with the 0:20:26.000 --> 0:20:29.879 He almost lateraled on the third and goal, right before 0:20:29.920 --> 0:20:32.960 the field goal to go up eight. As soon as 0:20:33.359 --> 0:20:35.919 it was like, oh, we have to make a play, 0:20:36.600 --> 0:20:39.760 we have to make a play. As soon as that happened, 0:20:40.280 --> 0:20:42.800 that devil on his shoulder popped back up and like, 0:20:42.840 --> 0:20:44.879 come on, Josh, you know what you want to do. 0:20:45.760 --> 0:20:49.119 I think Josh has been superb this year. I have 0:20:49.280 --> 0:20:52.240 said many times I thought he was the league MVP. 0:20:54.320 --> 0:21:01.520 I don't think the Bills game plan of don't make mistakes, 0:21:01.600 --> 0:21:06.040 just you know, play solid football, run the ball will 0:21:06.080 --> 0:21:09.600 work in this game. I think that the Chiefs are 0:21:09.640 --> 0:21:15.400 going to be too dynamic offensively, and I think that 0:21:15.480 --> 0:21:19.000 the Bills pass rush is not going to create the 0:21:19.040 --> 0:21:22.960 same problems the Texans pass rush did. And because of that, 0:21:23.320 --> 0:21:24.840 I think the Chiefs are going to be able to 0:21:24.880 --> 0:21:27.720 move the ball vertically and Josh is gonna have to 0:21:27.760 --> 0:21:30.800 stay blow for blow. So I'll go ahead and make 0:21:31.840 --> 0:21:40.000 what is a pretty ambitious prediction because Josh hasn't he 0:21:40.040 --> 0:21:43.560 hasn't thrown a pick. Oh, I guess he threw. He's 0:21:43.600 --> 0:21:46.600 thrown one pick in their last eight games. I'm not 0:21:46.640 --> 0:21:49.719 sure about the fumbles. He threw a pick against the 0:21:49.760 --> 0:21:52.600 Patriots in that kind of bad Week sixteen game. I 0:21:52.600 --> 0:21:54.960 think Josh turns the ball over this weekend. I don't 0:21:54.960 --> 0:21:57.400 think it turns it over a bunch, but I think 0:21:57.440 --> 0:22:00.959 he does turn the ball over. And I know the 0:22:01.040 --> 0:22:04.800 Chiefs run defense was not very good against the Texans. 0:22:05.280 --> 0:22:07.440 That you have no one has been able to run 0:22:07.480 --> 0:22:10.520 on the Chiefs this year. I think the Chiefs run 0:22:10.600 --> 0:22:16.359 defense causes problems for James Cook, and I think Josh 0:22:16.960 --> 0:22:24.480 tries to make a play and that unbelievable. I think 0:22:24.520 --> 0:22:27.240 the Bills have what eight turnovers this year? Something insane. 0:22:27.320 --> 0:22:31.040 Josh has the I mean, I really think it's eight 0:22:31.080 --> 0:22:34.840 turnovers for the Bills this year. It's an absurd stat 0:22:35.160 --> 0:22:38.399 and a testament to Josh and what they've done. I 0:22:38.480 --> 0:22:44.520 think that snaps this weekend, and so I think one 0:22:44.560 --> 0:22:52.320 of the key factors when you look at I said 0:22:52.359 --> 0:22:55.280 it going into that Chargers Texans game. One of the 0:22:55.280 --> 0:22:58.399 reasons I picked the Texans was Herbert has done a 0:22:58.480 --> 0:23:02.600 brilliant job of not turning the ball over. Only three 0:23:02.600 --> 0:23:05.119 picks all year. What if he throws a pick? How 0:23:05.119 --> 0:23:07.240 does it affect him? And he did and then he 0:23:07.280 --> 0:23:10.440 threw a bunch lamar I said the same thing, only 0:23:10.480 --> 0:23:14.280 four picks all year, had done a great job protecting 0:23:14.320 --> 0:23:16.680 the ball. What if he throws a pick, how does 0:23:16.720 --> 0:23:20.080 it affect him? And he did it. He threw a 0:23:20.080 --> 0:23:23.159 pick in the very next drive. Turn the ball over again. 0:23:24.040 --> 0:23:27.360 Josh done a great job protecting the football. How does 0:23:27.400 --> 0:23:29.919 it turnover impact him? I think he has one this weekend. 0:23:29.960 --> 0:23:33.639 Let's go on to the next game demonstrat cast a spell. No, 0:23:34.200 --> 0:23:37.520 I think it's gonna happen. Jane daleens a rookie. 0:23:38.200 --> 0:23:40.919 His head coach Dan Quinn is responsible for that terrible 0:23:40.960 --> 0:23:44.840 Super Bowl collapse back in twenty sixteen. Sirianni and Hurts 0:23:44.920 --> 0:23:48.040 obviously have the super Bowl experience and that very top 0:23:48.040 --> 0:23:50.720 heavy roster. Do you think it would be crazy to 0:23:50.720 --> 0:23:52.639 trust Washington more here than Philly. 0:23:53.880 --> 0:23:57.280 I think it's crazy to trust Washington more. I do 0:23:57.400 --> 0:24:02.719 not at all think it's crazy to think Washington can win. Listen, 0:24:02.840 --> 0:24:10.160 I the the game they played them, you know, six 0:24:10.200 --> 0:24:13.159 weeks ago or a month ago, and beat them thirty 0:24:13.200 --> 0:24:16.359 six thirty three. And everyone will say, yeah, well Jalen 0:24:16.440 --> 0:24:19.280 Hurts got hurt in that game, and that's totally true, 0:24:19.880 --> 0:24:23.760 but Philly scored thirty three points. Like I know, Jalen 0:24:23.840 --> 0:24:25.280 was out, and maybe they would have had a totally 0:24:25.280 --> 0:24:28.959 different game plan and Philly, did you know, Kenny Pickett 0:24:29.000 --> 0:24:32.000 made some mistakes. I'm not I'm not saying everything would 0:24:32.040 --> 0:24:35.440 have gone the same, but it's not as if Washington 0:24:35.520 --> 0:24:40.639 won that game, because once Jalen got hurt, Philly couldn't 0:24:40.680 --> 0:24:45.679 move the ball. What's unbelievable about that win, Demansey is 0:24:45.880 --> 0:24:51.280 Washington turned the ball over in that game five times 0:24:53.280 --> 0:24:56.520 and scored thirty six points in one. I couldn't believe 0:24:56.560 --> 0:24:59.680 it when I was rewatching it this week, that that game. 0:24:59.800 --> 0:25:06.080 I yes, I maybe so maybe because it's it's not impossible, 0:25:06.080 --> 0:25:11.359 but it's damn near unprecedented. That game, Washington had five turnovers, 0:25:11.480 --> 0:25:15.880 lost three fumbles, had two Jaden threw two picks, and 0:25:15.960 --> 0:25:18.000 they got stopped I think was the opening drive of 0:25:18.000 --> 0:25:21.919 the game on a fourth down. So they had six 0:25:22.040 --> 0:25:25.960 possessions and in a turnover or turnover on downs and 0:25:26.000 --> 0:25:29.400 they scored thirty six points and won the game. What now? 0:25:29.440 --> 0:25:33.040 That was also a game CJ. Gardner Johnson got ejected 0:25:33.080 --> 0:25:36.320 in and that really seemed to hurt the Eagles secondary. 0:25:36.840 --> 0:25:39.359 But I think I think Washington's going to be able 0:25:39.400 --> 0:25:43.480 to move the football on Philly. And the question is 0:25:44.840 --> 0:25:51.280 can Washington at all slowed down Saquon Barkley, because up 0:25:51.320 --> 0:25:54.280 to this point, not only no one has, but they 0:25:54.400 --> 0:25:59.640 specifically haven't been able to first matchup Saquon twenty six 0:25:59.760 --> 0:26:03.639 care He's a buck forty six, two touchdowns, two catches 0:26:03.800 --> 0:26:06.920 for fifty two yards. So the first matchup one hundred 0:26:06.920 --> 0:26:10.920 and ninety eight yards, two touchdowns. Second matchup twenty nine 0:26:11.000 --> 0:26:14.800 carries for a buck fifty with two touchdowns, no catches. 0:26:14.840 --> 0:26:18.159 But that was again Jalen got hurt. So he's averaging 0:26:18.840 --> 0:26:22.480 a buck seventy five yards from scrimmage and two touchdowns 0:26:22.520 --> 0:26:25.960 in two matchups against Washington this year. That will get 0:26:26.000 --> 0:26:27.680 you beat that, no matter. 0:26:27.840 --> 0:26:31.040 And Jalen Hurts are buffalo banged up going into this game. 0:26:31.080 --> 0:26:34.520 I assume, though I don't think Saquan's banged up. You're 0:26:34.560 --> 0:26:36.080 talking about because of his hand. 0:26:36.359 --> 0:26:39.560 Yeah, it's say a leg thing, but yeah, I mean, 0:26:39.720 --> 0:26:42.360 but it's leaning on Saquon. I don't trust. 0:26:42.320 --> 0:26:44.960 They've got to lean on Saquon. And I did find 0:26:45.000 --> 0:26:50.000 it interesting that Philly yesterday did not hold a practice, 0:26:50.840 --> 0:26:55.720 They held a walk through. Why is that? I think 0:26:55.760 --> 0:27:00.400 the answer is because jail, because Nick Sirianni didn't want 0:27:00.720 --> 0:27:05.000 out there that Jalen Hurts couldn't practice. Because I think 0:27:05.160 --> 0:27:09.879 Listen Jalen is a for as much criticism as Jalen 0:27:10.000 --> 0:27:14.080 fairly receives for the limitations as a passer, he is 0:27:14.160 --> 0:27:18.080