WEBVTT - Introducing: Bloomberg Daybreak Europe Edition

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<v Speaker 1>Hi there. I'm Caroline Hipker.

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<v Speaker 2>And I'm Stephen Carol. We know you're here for the

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<v Speaker 2>latest episode of Stephanomics, but we wanted.

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<v Speaker 1>To tell you about another podcast we think you'll like.

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<v Speaker 1>It's called Bloomberg Daybreak You're Petition.

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<v Speaker 2>Every morning, we bring you headline news from around the world.

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<v Speaker 1>Exclusive reporting from our global team of two thy seven

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<v Speaker 1>hundred journalists and analysts.

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<v Speaker 2>Plus newsmaking interviews with CEOs and global leaders.

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<v Speaker 1>All of this and more in just fifteen minutes in

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<v Speaker 1>your podcast feed every morning from seven am London time.

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<v Speaker 1>Just search for Bloomberg Daybreak You Are Petition And if

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<v Speaker 1>you can't wait that long, here's the latest episode. Good morning,

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<v Speaker 1>It's Tuesday, the sixteenth of January here in London. This

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<v Speaker 1>is the Bloomberg Daybreak You podcast. I'm Caroline Hipker.

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<v Speaker 2>And I'm Stephen Carroll. Coming up today, IOWA delivers a

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<v Speaker 2>resounding win for Donald Trump and his bid for the

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<v Speaker 2>Republican presidential nomination.

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<v Speaker 1>ZA and the UK worn commercial vessels to avoid the

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<v Speaker 1>Red Sea as a merchant ship is hit with a

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<v Speaker 1>ballistic missile.

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<v Speaker 2>Plus Musk wants more. The Tesla CEO says he needs

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<v Speaker 2>twenty five percent control before developing the firm's AI projects.

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<v Speaker 1>Let's start with a roundup of our top stories.

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<v Speaker 2>Donald Trump has cruised to victory in the Iowa Republican

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<v Speaker 2>presidential caucus, with Ron De Santis finishing a distant second

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<v Speaker 2>and Nikki Hayley third. Ohio entrepreneur Vivik Gramaswami ended his

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<v Speaker 2>presidential bid after a disappointing showing. Republican political consultant Rick

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<v Speaker 2>Davis explains how the nomination race could now unfold for

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<v Speaker 2>Donald Trump.

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<v Speaker 3>If Trump does run the table and gets both Iowa

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<v Speaker 3>New Hampshire, a really unusual thing, then he's got four

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<v Speaker 3>weeks to consolidate his hold on South Carolina. And we've

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<v Speaker 3>seen early polling the campaign hasn't gotten to South Carolina yet,

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<v Speaker 3>so it's not reflective of a real campaign. But right

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<v Speaker 3>now he's twenty points ahead of Nikki Haley, who calls

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<v Speaker 3>it home. So and then after that, the really next

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<v Speaker 3>big thing is Super Tuesday, so he could actually walk

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<v Speaker 3>in the Super Tuesday basically unchallenged at that point.

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<v Speaker 2>Bloomberg Politics contributor and partner at Stone Court Capital, Rick

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<v Speaker 2>Davis speaking there, allies and adversaries around the world are

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<v Speaker 2>closely watching the twenty twenty four US presidential race, in

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<v Speaker 2>which Trump and Biden are offering starkly different visions for

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<v Speaker 2>America's global role. A December Morning consultant Bloomberg News poll

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<v Speaker 2>showed Trump leading Biden in the seven swing states that

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<v Speaker 2>will likely decide the outcome of the election.

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<v Speaker 1>Whoth the militants have attacked a US owned container ship

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<v Speaker 1>in the Red Sea. The vessel was hit by a

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<v Speaker 1>ballistic missile, but avoided significant damage or injuries to its crew.

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<v Speaker 1>The attack follows a warning from the US and UK

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<v Speaker 1>to merchant ships to avoid the area until further notice.

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<v Speaker 1>The EU Economy Commissioner Paulo Gentiloni sees the potential for

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<v Speaker 1>global economic fallout from the crisis.

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<v Speaker 4>What is happening in the Red Sea is not for

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<v Speaker 4>the moment apparently creating consequences on energy prises and inflation.

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<v Speaker 4>But we think that it should be monitored very closely

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<v Speaker 4>because these consequences could materialize in the coming weeks.

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<v Speaker 1>Paalo Gentiloni. There The latest attack in the Red Sea

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<v Speaker 1>comes after American and British forces bombed the hu Thies

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<v Speaker 1>in an effort to deter them from disrupting global shipping.

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<v Speaker 2>Prime Minister Rachisinak defended those joint air strikes in Parliament.

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<v Speaker 2>He told MPs that who They's aggression was the biggest

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<v Speaker 2>attack on the Royal Navy for decades.

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<v Speaker 5>I stress that this action was taken in self defense.

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<v Speaker 5>It was limited, not esplatory. It was a necessary and

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<v Speaker 5>proportionate response to a direct threat to UK vessels and

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<v Speaker 5>their to the UK itself.

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<v Speaker 2>Whishi si Nakada that he hopes the air strikes would

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<v Speaker 2>de escalate the conflict. However, the world's largest shipping association,

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<v Speaker 2>bimco's warning disruption in the area could last for some time.

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<v Speaker 2>The number of ships passing through the Southern Red seasons

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<v Speaker 2>Friday has fallen by more than half compared to the

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<v Speaker 2>corresponding period a month earlier.

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<v Speaker 1>Iran has launched missile strikes against targets in northern Iraq

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<v Speaker 1>and Syria. Bloomberg's Dan Schwartzmann has the details.

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<v Speaker 6>Four people were killed and six others wounded in an

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<v Speaker 6>Iranian missile attack in the northern Iraqi city of Airbil.

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<v Speaker 6>The Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps has taken responsibility for the strike.

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<v Speaker 6>The state run Islamic Republic News agency says the Revolutionary

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<v Speaker 6>Guard launched ballistic missiles on the quote espionage basis of

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<v Speaker 6>anti Iranian terrorist groups in Iraq and Syria. In a statement,

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<v Speaker 6>the IRGC says the strike was in response to recent

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<v Speaker 6>targeted killings in the country. No American or coalition forces

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<v Speaker 6>stationed in Iraq and Syria were injured in the missile strikes.

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<v Speaker 6>The US also out down three drones near Arabial Airport.

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<v Speaker 6>Dan Schwartzman Bloomberg Radio.

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<v Speaker 2>UK inflation will drop to one point five percent in May,

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<v Speaker 2>according to a forecast from Ing. The bank's view is

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<v Speaker 2>that easing pressure from food and energy bills could pave

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<v Speaker 2>the way for the Bank of England to cut interest

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<v Speaker 2>rates sooner. Bloomberg James Wilcock has more.

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<v Speaker 7>The consensus view among economists has inflation falling to two

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<v Speaker 7>point one percent in mid twenty twenty five. IG's James

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<v Speaker 7>Smith thinks it will hit one point five percent in

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<v Speaker 7>just four months. He predicts falls and price rises in

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<v Speaker 7>nearly every major component and gas prices will bring the

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<v Speaker 7>Bank of England under target by May. If correct, the

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<v Speaker 7>data could be a booster if Yousunak, who has stated

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<v Speaker 7>political capital on bringing inflation under control in London, James

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<v Speaker 7>Wilcock Bloomberg Radio.

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<v Speaker 1>Apple will remove the blood oxygen feature on its smart

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<v Speaker 1>watches to avoid a US ban if an appeal fails.

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<v Speaker 1>The International Trade Commission ruled in October that Apple's devices

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<v Speaker 1>violate the pats of medical equipment maker Massimo. Bloomberg's Mark

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<v Speaker 1>German says that Apple's challenge against that decision will be

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<v Speaker 1>crucial in giving the company more time to find a solution.

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<v Speaker 8>Well, if it's not immediate removal, Apple's going to have

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<v Speaker 8>about a year to figure out a solution, And I

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<v Speaker 8>would bet heavily that with a year's time, Apple would

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<v Speaker 8>be able to retain the feature on the watch indefinitely

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<v Speaker 8>and rework it to not have to violate Arsenal's patents.

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<v Speaker 8>In fact, I've been told that they're working on this

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<v Speaker 8>software fix that changes some of the underlying algorithms from

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<v Speaker 8>the wording inside the blood oxygen saturation up to get

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<v Speaker 8>that to happen. But for that's a matter at all.

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<v Speaker 8>It's really important for Apple that they win tomorrow they

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<v Speaker 8>win that appeal.

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg's chief correspondent Mark German. There, Apple has increasing the

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<v Speaker 1>use health and safety features to market its smart watches

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<v Speaker 1>helping to turn the line into a seventeen billion dollar

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<v Speaker 1>business for the tech giant.

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<v Speaker 2>Elon Musk says he's uncomfortable growing Tesla's AI capacity without

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<v Speaker 2>a larger share of voting control. The automaker is currently

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<v Speaker 2>investing more than a billion dollars into its Dojo supercomputer

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<v Speaker 2>project and working to develop humanoid robots. However, in a

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<v Speaker 2>post on his social platform x, Elon Musk said that

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<v Speaker 2>without twenty five percent of voting control, he'd prefer to

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<v Speaker 2>develop products independently. According to data compiled by Bloomberg, Musk

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<v Speaker 2>currently owns more than twelve percent of the company. One

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<v Speaker 2>of the things that caught my eye from the coverage

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<v Speaker 2>of Davos this morning, and it's one of the things

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<v Speaker 2>that I like about Davos because it does get you

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<v Speaker 2>a chance to get an insight into some of the

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<v Speaker 2>workplace trends that are happening. And this conversation that the

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<v Speaker 2>chair of PwC in the UK has been having about

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<v Speaker 2>how the rise of AI actually means that more junior

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<v Speaker 2>staff should spend more time in the office. His logic

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<v Speaker 2>is is that a lot of the tasks that treat

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<v Speaker 2>people used to get trained up on are now being

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<v Speaker 2>taken over by the technology, which means face to face

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<v Speaker 2>time is even more important. He says it could actually

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<v Speaker 2>to help people accelerate them up the career ladder if

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<v Speaker 2>they're spending more time in the office, meeting people, in

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<v Speaker 2>acting with people. And he says that you need to

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<v Speaker 2>be in the office for five days a week if

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<v Speaker 2>you want to succeed in your career, which I'm quite

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<v Speaker 2>sure plenty of people would disagree with.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, okay, but very interesting advice perhaps the younger people

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<v Speaker 1>in the office that you need that FaceTime, that learning time,

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<v Speaker 1>I mean interesting if you get paid more sooner in

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<v Speaker 1>your career.

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<v Speaker 6>That's the office. Here's the crux of it.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, people might be interested and if they get that

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<v Speaker 2>sort of motivation, let's get more to know now though,

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<v Speaker 2>on the US political story, this morning, Donald Trumps won

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<v Speaker 2>the first Republican Party caucus of the campaign in Iowa.

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<v Speaker 2>Our executive editor for US Government, Michael Shepherd joins us

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<v Speaker 2>now from Iowa for more. Michael, great to have you

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<v Speaker 2>with us on the program. So the polls are predicted

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<v Speaker 2>Donald Trump would win big he did. Were there any

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<v Speaker 2>surprises in his vote?

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<v Speaker 9>Well, Steven, I thank you for having me. Our team

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<v Speaker 9>is still hard at work parsing the results and figuring

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<v Speaker 9>out what's going to come next. As for surprises, look,

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<v Speaker 9>results in any election are always a surprise, as polls

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<v Speaker 9>can sometimes get it wrong ahead of time, and in

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<v Speaker 9>tonight's because it was unclear beforehand just how much support

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<v Speaker 9>Donald Trump would get. Iowa voters are famously independent minded.

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<v Speaker 9>But he did end up with fifty one percent of

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<v Speaker 9>votes from caucus goers. And that's even more than the

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<v Speaker 9>support that was projected in the final poll of a

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<v Speaker 9>local authoritative local newspaper taken days before tonight's caucuses.

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<v Speaker 1>Okay, so that for Donald Trump. What about Rohn de Santis,

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<v Speaker 1>who came in second, What does it mean for his

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<v Speaker 1>campaign and indeed for Nicky Haley.

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<v Speaker 9>Well, let's start with Ron DeSantis. And that's a good question, Caroline.

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<v Speaker 9>I'm glad you asked that about him, because for Ron DeSantis,

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<v Speaker 9>this is a vindication of his all out bet on Iowa.

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<v Speaker 9>He really banked on trying to win the Hawkeye state.

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<v Speaker 9>He spent so much time in the months ahead of

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<v Speaker 9>the caucuses. He visited all ninety nine counties in the state,

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<v Speaker 9>crisscrossing visiting so many different voters. He set up an

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<v Speaker 9>extensive ground operation. He brought in allies from Florida by

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<v Speaker 9>the bus load and planeload to go door to door

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<v Speaker 9>days before the caucuses in freezing cold temperature. So it

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<v Speaker 9>showed some motivation and actually had some effect. Now for

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<v Speaker 9>Nikki Haley, look, the last thing she needed heading into

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<v Speaker 9>New Hampshire, where she has bet big as a stepping

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<v Speaker 9>stone to her home state of South Carolina. The last

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<v Speaker 9>thing she needed was a third place finish. She had

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<v Speaker 9>hoped to do well enough to Iowa to really use

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<v Speaker 9>it as a launching pad into New Hampshire and then

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<v Speaker 9>South Carolina. But it didn't work out exactly as she

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<v Speaker 9>had hoped. And that last poll I just mentioned, taken

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<v Speaker 9>days before the vote, had actually shown her finishing ahead

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<v Speaker 9>of DeSanto's.

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<v Speaker 2>Here and they field already narrowing after this caucus. Vivia

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<v Speaker 2>Gramaswami dropping out of the race. What went wrong for

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<v Speaker 2>his campaign?

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<v Speaker 9>Well, you know, Vivek Ramaswami never really caught fire with

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<v Speaker 9>more than just the segment that he really appealed to

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<v Speaker 9>the very independent mind in even more libertarian voters, and

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<v Speaker 9>in places like Iowa and South Carolina, it was hard

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<v Speaker 9>for him to fit in. His message just didn't take hold,

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<v Speaker 9>and he in essence sort of acknowledged that during his speech.

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<v Speaker 9>He said in the campaign, his speech tonight and drussing Trump,

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<v Speaker 9>he said, in tonight's race, there are two America First candidates.

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<v Speaker 9>Now there's only one with me leaving, and that of

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<v Speaker 9>course is pointing to Donald Trump. So he was signaling

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<v Speaker 9>that many of the positions that he was espousing were

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<v Speaker 9>already ones that were reflected by Trump, and he has

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<v Speaker 9>now thrown his support for the former president.

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<v Speaker 1>Okay, just lastly and briefly then, the key things to

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<v Speaker 1>watch out for next as we move towards the New

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<v Speaker 1>Hampshire primary that takes place next week, Well, this.

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<v Speaker 9>Is really crucial for the DeSantis campaign to make the

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<v Speaker 9>most of New Hampshire, where they haven't invested nearly as

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<v Speaker 9>much time as Haley has. She is the endorsement of

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<v Speaker 9>the governor there, who's been campaigning very aggressively in the

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<v Speaker 9>Granite state for her. She also enters that state Desantus

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<v Speaker 9>does too, facing a very different electorate. It's not nearly

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<v Speaker 9>as conservative as Iowa, so we could see a different

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<v Speaker 9>result that could pivot and actually leave Nikki Haley ahead

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<v Speaker 9>of Ron DeSantis, but behind Trump, but we'll have to

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<v Speaker 9>see there. Trump is seeking to turn his absolute majority

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<v Speaker 9>win tonight into something that will allow him to pivot

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<v Speaker 9>sooner to this general election matchup with Joe Biden in November.

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<v Speaker 2>This is Bloomberg Daybreak Europe, your morning brief on the

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<v Speaker 2>stories making news from London to Wall Street and beyond.

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<v Speaker 1>Look for us on your podcast feed every morning on Apple, Spotify,

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<v Speaker 2>I'm Caroline Hepka and I'm Stephen Carol. Join us again

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<v Speaker 2>your day right here on Bloomberg Daybreak Europe