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Speaker 1: Hi there. I'm Caroline Hipker.

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Speaker 2: And I'm Stephen Carol. We know you're here for the

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Speaker 2: latest episode of Stephanomics, but we wanted.

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Speaker 1: To tell you about another podcast we think you'll like.

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Speaker 1: It's called Bloomberg Daybreak You're Petition.

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Speaker 2: Every morning, we bring you headline news from around the world.

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Speaker 1: Exclusive reporting from our global team of two thy seven

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Speaker 1: hundred journalists and analysts.

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Speaker 2: Plus newsmaking interviews with CEOs and global leaders.

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Speaker 1: All of this and more in just fifteen minutes in

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Speaker 1: your podcast feed every morning from seven am London time.

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Speaker 1: Just search for Bloomberg Daybreak You Are Petition And if

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Speaker 1: you can't wait that long, here's the latest episode. Good morning,

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Speaker 1: It's Tuesday, the sixteenth of January here in London. This

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Speaker 1: is the Bloomberg Daybreak You podcast. I'm Caroline Hipker.

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Speaker 2: And I'm Stephen Carroll. Coming up today, IOWA delivers a

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Speaker 2: resounding win for Donald Trump and his bid for the

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Speaker 2: Republican presidential nomination.

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Speaker 1: ZA and the UK worn commercial vessels to avoid the

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Speaker 1: Red Sea as a merchant ship is hit with a

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Speaker 1: ballistic missile.

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Speaker 2: Plus Musk wants more. The Tesla CEO says he needs

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Speaker 2: twenty five percent control before developing the firm's AI projects.

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Speaker 1: Let's start with a roundup of our top stories.

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Speaker 2: Donald Trump has cruised to victory in the Iowa Republican

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Speaker 2: presidential caucus, with Ron De Santis finishing a distant second

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Speaker 2: and Nikki Hayley third. Ohio entrepreneur Vivik Gramaswami ended his

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Speaker 2: presidential bid after a disappointing showing. Republican political consultant Rick

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Speaker 2: Davis explains how the nomination race could now unfold for

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Speaker 2: Donald Trump.

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Speaker 3: If Trump does run the table and gets both Iowa

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Speaker 3: New Hampshire, a really unusual thing, then he's got four

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Speaker 3: weeks to consolidate his hold on South Carolina. And we've

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Speaker 3: seen early polling the campaign hasn't gotten to South Carolina yet,

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Speaker 3: so it's not reflective of a real campaign. But right

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Speaker 3: now he's twenty points ahead of Nikki Haley, who calls

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Speaker 3: it home. So and then after that, the really next

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Speaker 3: big thing is Super Tuesday, so he could actually walk

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Speaker 3: in the Super Tuesday basically unchallenged at that point.

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Speaker 2: Bloomberg Politics contributor and partner at Stone Court Capital, Rick

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Speaker 2: Davis speaking there, allies and adversaries around the world are

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Speaker 2: closely watching the twenty twenty four US presidential race, in

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Speaker 2: which Trump and Biden are offering starkly different visions for

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Speaker 2: America's global role. A December Morning consultant Bloomberg News poll

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Speaker 2: showed Trump leading Biden in the seven swing states that

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Speaker 2: will likely decide the outcome of the election.

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Speaker 1: Whoth the militants have attacked a US owned container ship

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Speaker 1: in the Red Sea. The vessel was hit by a

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Speaker 1: ballistic missile, but avoided significant damage or injuries to its crew.

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Speaker 1: The attack follows a warning from the US and UK

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Speaker 1: to merchant ships to avoid the area until further notice.

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Speaker 1: The EU Economy Commissioner Paulo Gentiloni sees the potential for

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Speaker 1: global economic fallout from the crisis.

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Speaker 4: What is happening in the Red Sea is not for

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Speaker 4: the moment apparently creating consequences on energy prises and inflation.

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Speaker 4: But we think that it should be monitored very closely

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Speaker 4: because these consequences could materialize in the coming weeks.

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Speaker 1: Paalo Gentiloni. There The latest attack in the Red Sea

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Speaker 1: comes after American and British forces bombed the hu Thies

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Speaker 1: in an effort to deter them from disrupting global shipping.

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Speaker 2: Prime Minister Rachisinak defended those joint air strikes in Parliament.

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Speaker 2: He told MPs that who They's aggression was the biggest

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Speaker 2: attack on the Royal Navy for decades.

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Speaker 5: I stress that this action was taken in self defense.

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Speaker 5: It was limited, not esplatory. It was a necessary and

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Speaker 5: proportionate response to a direct threat to UK vessels and

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Speaker 5: their to the UK itself.

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Speaker 2: Whishi si Nakada that he hopes the air strikes would

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Speaker 2: de escalate the conflict. However, the world's largest shipping association,

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Speaker 2: bimco's warning disruption in the area could last for some time.

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Speaker 2: The number of ships passing through the Southern Red seasons

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Speaker 2: Friday has fallen by more than half compared to the

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Speaker 2: corresponding period a month earlier.

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Speaker 1: Iran has launched missile strikes against targets in northern Iraq

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Speaker 1: and Syria. Bloomberg's Dan Schwartzmann has the details.

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Speaker 6: Four people were killed and six others wounded in an

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Speaker 6: Iranian missile attack in the northern Iraqi city of Airbil.

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Speaker 6: The Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps has taken responsibility for the strike.

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Speaker 6: The state run Islamic Republic News agency says the Revolutionary

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Speaker 6: Guard launched ballistic missiles on the quote espionage basis of

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Speaker 6: anti Iranian terrorist groups in Iraq and Syria. In a statement,

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Speaker 6: the IRGC says the strike was in response to recent

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Speaker 6: targeted killings in the country. No American or coalition forces

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Speaker 6: stationed in Iraq and Syria were injured in the missile strikes.

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Speaker 6: The US also out down three drones near Arabial Airport.

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Speaker 6: Dan Schwartzman Bloomberg Radio.

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Speaker 2: UK inflation will drop to one point five percent in May,

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Speaker 2: according to a forecast from Ing. The bank's view is

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Speaker 2: that easing pressure from food and energy bills could pave

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Speaker 2: the way for the Bank of England to cut interest

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Speaker 2: rates sooner. Bloomberg James Wilcock has more.

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Speaker 7: The consensus view among economists has inflation falling to two

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Speaker 7: point one percent in mid twenty twenty five. IG's James

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Speaker 7: Smith thinks it will hit one point five percent in

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Speaker 7: just four months. He predicts falls and price rises in

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Speaker 7: nearly every major component and gas prices will bring the

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Speaker 7: Bank of England under target by May. If correct, the

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Speaker 7: data could be a booster if Yousunak, who has stated

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Speaker 7: political capital on bringing inflation under control in London, James

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Speaker 7: Wilcock Bloomberg Radio.

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Speaker 1: Apple will remove the blood oxygen feature on its smart

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Speaker 1: watches to avoid a US ban if an appeal fails.

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Speaker 1: The International Trade Commission ruled in October that Apple's devices

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Speaker 1: violate the pats of medical equipment maker Massimo. Bloomberg's Mark

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Speaker 1: German says that Apple's challenge against that decision will be

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Speaker 1: crucial in giving the company more time to find a solution.

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Speaker 8: Well, if it's not immediate removal, Apple's going to have

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Speaker 8: about a year to figure out a solution, And I

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Speaker 8: would bet heavily that with a year's time, Apple would

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Speaker 8: be able to retain the feature on the watch indefinitely

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Speaker 8: and rework it to not have to violate Arsenal's patents.

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Speaker 8: In fact, I've been told that they're working on this

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Speaker 8: software fix that changes some of the underlying algorithms from

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Speaker 8: the wording inside the blood oxygen saturation up to get

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Speaker 8: that to happen. But for that's a matter at all.

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Speaker 8: It's really important for Apple that they win tomorrow they

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Speaker 8: win that appeal.

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Speaker 1: Bloomberg's chief correspondent Mark German. There, Apple has increasing the

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Speaker 1: use health and safety features to market its smart watches

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Speaker 1: helping to turn the line into a seventeen billion dollar

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Speaker 1: business for the tech giant.

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Speaker 2: Elon Musk says he's uncomfortable growing Tesla's AI capacity without

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Speaker 2: a larger share of voting control. The automaker is currently

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Speaker 2: investing more than a billion dollars into its Dojo supercomputer

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Speaker 2: project and working to develop humanoid robots. However, in a

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Speaker 2: post on his social platform x, Elon Musk said that

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Speaker 2: without twenty five percent of voting control, he'd prefer to

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Speaker 2: develop products independently. According to data compiled by Bloomberg, Musk

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Speaker 2: currently owns more than twelve percent of the company. One

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Speaker 2: of the things that caught my eye from the coverage

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Speaker 2: of Davos this morning, and it's one of the things

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Speaker 2: that I like about Davos because it does get you

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Speaker 2: a chance to get an insight into some of the

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Speaker 2: workplace trends that are happening. And this conversation that the

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Speaker 2: chair of PwC in the UK has been having about

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Speaker 2: how the rise of AI actually means that more junior

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Speaker 2: staff should spend more time in the office. His logic

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Speaker 2: is is that a lot of the tasks that treat

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Speaker 2: people used to get trained up on are now being

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Speaker 2: taken over by the technology, which means face to face

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Speaker 2: time is even more important. He says it could actually

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Speaker 2: to help people accelerate them up the career ladder if

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Speaker 2: they're spending more time in the office, meeting people, in

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Speaker 2: acting with people. And he says that you need to

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Speaker 2: be in the office for five days a week if

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Speaker 2: you want to succeed in your career, which I'm quite

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Speaker 2: sure plenty of people would disagree with.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, okay, but very interesting advice perhaps the younger people

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Speaker 1: in the office that you need that FaceTime, that learning time,

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Speaker 1: I mean interesting if you get paid more sooner in

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Speaker 1: your career.

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Speaker 6: That's the office. Here's the crux of it.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, people might be interested and if they get that

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Speaker 2: sort of motivation, let's get more to know now though,

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Speaker 2: on the US political story, this morning, Donald Trumps won

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Speaker 2: the first Republican Party caucus of the campaign in Iowa.

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Speaker 2: Our executive editor for US Government, Michael Shepherd joins us

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Speaker 2: now from Iowa for more. Michael, great to have you

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Speaker 2: with us on the program. So the polls are predicted

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Speaker 2: Donald Trump would win big he did. Were there any

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Speaker 2: surprises in his vote?

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Speaker 9: Well, Steven, I thank you for having me. Our team

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Speaker 9: is still hard at work parsing the results and figuring

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Speaker 9: out what's going to come next. As for surprises, look,

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Speaker 9: results in any election are always a surprise, as polls

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Speaker 9: can sometimes get it wrong ahead of time, and in

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Speaker 9: tonight's because it was unclear beforehand just how much support

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Speaker 9: Donald Trump would get. Iowa voters are famously independent minded.

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Speaker 9: But he did end up with fifty one percent of

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Speaker 9: votes from caucus goers. And that's even more than the

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Speaker 9: support that was projected in the final poll of a

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Speaker 9: local authoritative local newspaper taken days before tonight's caucuses.

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Speaker 1: Okay, so that for Donald Trump. What about Rohn de Santis,

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Speaker 1: who came in second, What does it mean for his

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Speaker 1: campaign and indeed for Nicky Haley.

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Speaker 9: Well, let's start with Ron DeSantis. And that's a good question, Caroline.

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Speaker 9: I'm glad you asked that about him, because for Ron DeSantis,

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Speaker 9: this is a vindication of his all out bet on Iowa.

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Speaker 9: He really banked on trying to win the Hawkeye state.

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Speaker 9: He spent so much time in the months ahead of

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Speaker 9: the caucuses. He visited all ninety nine counties in the state,

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Speaker 9: crisscrossing visiting so many different voters. He set up an

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Speaker 9: extensive ground operation. He brought in allies from Florida by

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Speaker 9: the bus load and planeload to go door to door

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Speaker 9: days before the caucuses in freezing cold temperature. So it

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Speaker 9: showed some motivation and actually had some effect. Now for

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Speaker 9: Nikki Haley, look, the last thing she needed heading into

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Speaker 9: New Hampshire, where she has bet big as a stepping

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Speaker 9: stone to her home state of South Carolina. The last

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Speaker 9: thing she needed was a third place finish. She had

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Speaker 9: hoped to do well enough to Iowa to really use

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Speaker 9: it as a launching pad into New Hampshire and then

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Speaker 9: South Carolina. But it didn't work out exactly as she

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Speaker 9: had hoped. And that last poll I just mentioned, taken

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Speaker 9: days before the vote, had actually shown her finishing ahead

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Speaker 9: of DeSanto's.

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Speaker 2: Here and they field already narrowing after this caucus. Vivia

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Speaker 2: Gramaswami dropping out of the race. What went wrong for

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Speaker 2: his campaign?

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Speaker 9: Well, you know, Vivek Ramaswami never really caught fire with

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Speaker 9: more than just the segment that he really appealed to

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Speaker 9: the very independent mind in even more libertarian voters, and

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Speaker 9: in places like Iowa and South Carolina, it was hard

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Speaker 9: for him to fit in. His message just didn't take hold,

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Speaker 9: and he in essence sort of acknowledged that during his speech.

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Speaker 9: He said in the campaign, his speech tonight and drussing Trump,

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Speaker 9: he said, in tonight's race, there are two America First candidates.

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Speaker 9: Now there's only one with me leaving, and that of

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Speaker 9: course is pointing to Donald Trump. So he was signaling

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Speaker 9: that many of the positions that he was espousing were

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Speaker 9: already ones that were reflected by Trump, and he has

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Speaker 9: now thrown his support for the former president.

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Speaker 1: Okay, just lastly and briefly then, the key things to

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Speaker 1: watch out for next as we move towards the New

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Speaker 1: Hampshire primary that takes place next week, Well, this.

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Speaker 9: Is really crucial for the DeSantis campaign to make the

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Speaker 9: most of New Hampshire, where they haven't invested nearly as

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Speaker 9: much time as Haley has. She is the endorsement of

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Speaker 9: the governor there, who's been campaigning very aggressively in the

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Speaker 9: Granite state for her. She also enters that state Desantus

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Speaker 9: does too, facing a very different electorate. It's not nearly

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Speaker 9: as conservative as Iowa, so we could see a different

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Speaker 9: result that could pivot and actually leave Nikki Haley ahead

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Speaker 9: of Ron DeSantis, but behind Trump, but we'll have to

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Speaker 9: see there. Trump is seeking to turn his absolute majority

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Speaker 9: win tonight into something that will allow him to pivot

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Speaker 9: sooner to this general election matchup with Joe Biden in November.

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