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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into a Wednesday

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Speaker 1: morning edition of the Daily Juice podcast. My name is

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Speaker 1: Matt Parolt. You can follow me on Twitter at Sports

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Speaker 1: Talk Matt on Bettingpros dot com. Every morning, always being

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Speaker 1: brought to you by BETMGM. All right, so last night

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Speaker 1: I gave you three plays for college basketball. For tonight,

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Speaker 1: I gave you UNLV minus eleven and a half against

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Speaker 1: Montana State at one unit, Alabama minus nineteen against Jacksonville

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Speaker 1: State at a half a unit, and the under one

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Speaker 1: thirty five and a half for San Diego State and UCLA.

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Speaker 1: So we've seen a little movement on these games. So

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Speaker 1: we've seen UNLV go up to twelve and a half.

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Speaker 1: Now Alabama's up to twenty and a half, so a

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Speaker 1: point and a half a movement on Alabama. So we

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Speaker 1: got better numbers there, which is always what we want

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Speaker 1: to see. We want better numbers when they're put out

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Speaker 1: and we bet them early and we get better numbers

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Speaker 1: than where you know, the books start to move the

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Speaker 1: line and the under one thirty five. A lot of people,

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Speaker 1: I mean I talk to a bunch of people on

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Speaker 1: my radio show today, and I talk to people around

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Speaker 1: the country about this. The numbers all the way down

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Speaker 1: to minus one thirty three, so we got two and

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Speaker 1: a half points of value on the under. So we're

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Speaker 1: on the right side of all these numbers as of

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Speaker 1: right now. Now is it the public side? Who the

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Speaker 1: hell knows? Right, I mean, the numbers are moving in

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Speaker 1: our favor. We've got better numbers going into the games

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Speaker 1: today for the games that we bet last night. Now,

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Speaker 1: I've got two plays for you on games where the

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Speaker 1: number could have been better if we bet it yesterday.

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Speaker 1: But I wanted to talk to some people before. As

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Speaker 1: I told you, I like to bet on college teams

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Speaker 1: that I have some experience with or with coaches that

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Speaker 1: I know are coaches that know coaches. I try to

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Speaker 1: figure out different conversations I have with people. So I

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Speaker 1: got two plays half a unit on each play going.

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Speaker 1: So in totality, we're gonna have three units going here

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Speaker 1: for Wednesday for the first day of college basketball. Now,

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Speaker 1: what's interesting couple things here. First, thank you to everybody

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Speaker 1: who pointed out that Matt even though you bet you

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Speaker 1: in LV and NOVA wrong because you bet them to

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Speaker 1: win the conference tournament, FanDuel put out odds that are

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Speaker 1: very similar to the bets I made for the conference tournament.

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Speaker 1: Now here's the thing. I can't bet this, but you can,

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Speaker 1: so I'm gonna give this away as a future but

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Speaker 1: I'm not able to bet on FanDuel. I don't have

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Speaker 1: any access to FANDL. So my family's in New England.

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Speaker 1: They can bet in New Hampshire with DraftKings, fanduels on

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Speaker 1: operating in New Hampshire. So fanduels and operating at all

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Speaker 1: in New England. They don't operate here in Nevada. But

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Speaker 1: if you're in a fandual state, you can get Nova

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Speaker 1: to win the Big East regular season at minus one twenty.

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Speaker 1: Do it. That's a good bet. Do it. I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: say put point twenty five units on it just to

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Speaker 1: have something there. But you know what, whatever you want

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Speaker 1: on it. I like that bet a lot and U

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Speaker 1: and LB to win the Mountain West Conference. I got

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Speaker 1: it at eight hundred to win the conference tournament at DraftKings.

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Speaker 1: I did bet that you can get it at plus

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Speaker 1: seven hundred at FanDuel to win the Mountain West Conference

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Speaker 1: regular season, now not the tournament regular season. So love

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Speaker 1: both those bets. So even though officially my wagers are

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Speaker 1: on the conference tournament. You can, and let's add that

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Speaker 1: in as well, not just the regular season, but also

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Speaker 1: the conference tournament. So we bet two point twenty five

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Speaker 1: units last night. Let's add another point twenty five units

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Speaker 1: on here. Again, I can't bet it because I don't

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Speaker 1: have FanDuel. But this is where we're at. Nobody in

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Speaker 1: Vegas is putting this up. Nobody. It's crazy here in Vegas.

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Speaker 1: They haven't even put up the totals yet in terms

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Speaker 1: of money lines for these games. They've put up totals

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Speaker 1: in sorry sides and totals are up for Vegas games,

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Speaker 1: for the games here in Vegas, for the books. No

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Speaker 1: one's got money line at a time of tape here,

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Speaker 1: no one's got money line. No one knows what the

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Speaker 1: hell to do. There's twenty two games canceled already. How

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Speaker 1: many games get played today, I don't know. We'll probably

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Speaker 1: having another three or four canceled before the game tips

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Speaker 1: off today. I mean, so like it's one of these

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Speaker 1: days where if you have the day off, you just

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Speaker 1: kind of grab whatever, you know, a rack of ribs,

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Speaker 1: grab a twelve pack, a bottle of whiskey, whatever it

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Speaker 1: may be. And you just sit and watch basketball literally

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Speaker 1: all day. Starting here in Vegas at least it's nine am,

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Speaker 1: and you can go nine am to midnight tonight just

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Speaker 1: watching college basketball like crazy. So if you like college

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Speaker 1: hoops like I do, look, this is a great day.

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Speaker 1: It's incredible that it's here. We should all take a

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Speaker 1: second to appreciate that it's here. I talked to Seth

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Speaker 1: Greenberg of ESBN on my radio show yesterday, and the

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Speaker 1: dude didn't want to talk about anything except how lucky

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Speaker 1: we are that we have college basketball. He didn't want

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Speaker 1: to talk about you, didn't want to talk about the teams.

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Speaker 1: I asked him, who's the best team in the country.

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Speaker 1: He literally said, I don't care. I don't care. I'm

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Speaker 1: not answering that question. All we should talk about is,

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Speaker 1: holy crap. We got here. We lost March Madness, we

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Speaker 1: didn't get the NAA Tournament, nobody got Crown Champion, we

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Speaker 1: lost all the conference tournaments due to COVID, and now here,

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Speaker 1: six seven months later, here we are, now back in November,

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Speaker 1: starting the college basketball season. Will we finish? Who the

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Speaker 1: hell knows? Should we be playing non conference games? Probably not,

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Speaker 1: But we're here and we're playing them, so let's bet

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Speaker 1: on them, let's have some fun watching them, and let's

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Speaker 1: hope the COVID stays away and we don't have any

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Speaker 1: more COVID problems in college basketball, which is a joke

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Speaker 1: because every single day we're getting coaches positive and players positive,

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Speaker 1: and it's just going to be an absolute bleep show

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Speaker 1: for the next couple of weeks with college basketball. I

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Speaker 1: wish it was not the case, but come on, like,

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Speaker 1: we know that's going to be the case. So let's

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Speaker 1: talk about the bet MGM offer here on Thanksgiving. It's

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Speaker 1: bet one dollar to win one hundred dollars if a

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Speaker 1: touchdown a scored, and you bet one dollar on a

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Speaker 1: money line for a game of the three games yes,

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Speaker 1: Pittsburgh and Baltimore still as of right now is on

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Speaker 1: Pittsburgh Baltimore touchdown scored one dollar money line on either

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Speaker 1: of the six teams here going on Thanksgiving. You win

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Speaker 1: one hundred bucks in free wagers thanks to bet mgm.

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Speaker 1: It's paid out in free bets and it's available in

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Speaker 1: New Jersey, Colorado, Indiana, Tennessee, and West Virginia. You go,

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Speaker 1: like you know, to betmgm dot com for terms and conditions.

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Speaker 1: You're going to use the promo code juice one hundred

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Speaker 1: when you are making this wager. It's very important to

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Speaker 1: use that juice one hundred because it's how this podcast

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Speaker 1: gets credit for sending you to BETMGM, which is important

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Speaker 1: to us because they are our title sponsors. And that's

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Speaker 1: the way you really say thank you to me and

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Speaker 1: betting pros and everybody else about what we're doing. Is

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Speaker 1: by using betmgm. You must be physically located in Colorado, Indiana,

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Speaker 1: New Jersey, in West Virginia or Tennessee. You must be

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Speaker 1: twenty one years or older. Please gamble responsibly. Go to

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Speaker 1: betmgf dot dot com for terms and conditions. Get a

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Speaker 1: gambling problem called one eight hundred five to two two

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Speaker 1: forty five seven hundred in Colorado, Nevada. Onehearded gambler in

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Speaker 1: New Jersey in West Virginia, or one and nine with

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Speaker 1: it in Indiana. All right, two plays half a unit

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Speaker 1: to talk about here today. So he went really long yesterday.

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Speaker 1: This podcast won't be nearly as long. Actually may not

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Speaker 1: be fifteen minutes today. So here is play number one.

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Speaker 1: Darren Devrees was on Dana Altman's staff for ever and

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Speaker 1: I mean ever, he was with him for I don't know,

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Speaker 1: fifteen years. So he goes by the nickname d Rock.

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Speaker 1: The Derees family, his brother played in the NFL. They

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Speaker 1: are Iowa legends. When I say the d Rock family,

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Speaker 1: the deres family is known from state line to state line.

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Speaker 1: They are known from state line to state line. This

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Speaker 1: is a basketball family. So when d Rock finally got

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Speaker 1: a head coaching job, when Drake University finally gave him

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Speaker 1: a shot, I knew he would do big things. I

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Speaker 1: knew he was ready, he wanted it, and he can

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Speaker 1: recruit the holy hell out of the West. He was

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Speaker 1: one of Dane Allman's lead recruiters. He also recruited a

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Speaker 1: very specific type of player to create a university for

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Speaker 1: the Missouri Valley Conference. He was great in the living

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Speaker 1: rooms with the kid that could shoot, the kid that

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Speaker 1: wasn't all the athletic, but loved the game of basketball

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Speaker 1: and was a straight up gym rat, jump shot maniac.

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Speaker 1: That's what d Rock was. That's what his family was.

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Speaker 1: Wasn't the best, wasn't the hardest, or wasn't the most athletic,

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Speaker 1: wasn't the most talented, but he was the hardest worker

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Speaker 1: in the gym. He just wanted it more than anybody else.

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Speaker 1: So he'd work and he'd work and he'd work. And

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Speaker 1: those are the kids he goes out and recruits. He

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Speaker 1: goes out and recruits the kids that are being overlooked

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Speaker 1: by the Big twelve, overlooked by the Big ten. They

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Speaker 1: want to play. They're not as good as they could be.

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Speaker 1: They need some coaching, but they've got talent, and maybe

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Speaker 1: it's a little bit rougher on the edges. Maybe they're

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Speaker 1: not a six foot six point guard with a big

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Speaker 1: wings span and can jump out of the gym right. Instead,

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Speaker 1: they are a six foot two point guard who can

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Speaker 1: really shoot the basketball, but very smart with the ball

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Speaker 1: in his hands, and he never turned to the basketball

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Speaker 1: over zer Missouri Valley Conference kids. They don't hurt themselves.

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Speaker 1: The thing about Kansas State is when you go to

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Speaker 1: k State, you're always the little brother and you're playing

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Speaker 1: in the shadows of Kansas and you always want to

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Speaker 1: beat Kansas, but you always look down on teams in

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Speaker 1: the Valley. Believe me, I was there when Northern Iowa

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Speaker 1: and Ali for Oakmanesh knocked down the three pointer to

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Speaker 1: knock out Kansas in the NCAA tournament. In fact, I

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Speaker 1: was literally fifteen feet from Ali for Oakmanesh when he

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Speaker 1: took the shot. I was also in the locker room

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Speaker 1: before the game and the day before when Kansas players

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Speaker 1: were laughing at how to say Ali for Oakmanesh. Literally,

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Speaker 1: I was in the locker room when news reporters from

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Speaker 1: Kansas City who were incredibly arrogant and stupid about doing this,

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Speaker 1: but they gave a roster sheet to the players at

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Speaker 1: Kansas and said, please say the name Ali for Oakmanesh.

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Speaker 1: Can you say it? And they couldn't and they were

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Speaker 1: laughing about it. The Morris twins were laughing, had a

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Speaker 1: damn good laugh at Ali for Oakmanesh. And then the

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Speaker 1: kids stuck a dagger in their eye and knocked them

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Speaker 1: out as the number one seed in the tournaments. Okay,

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Speaker 1: that's what valley kids do. That's what valley teams do. Now.

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Speaker 1: And I'm not comparing this Drake team to that Northern

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Speaker 1: Iowa team, because that Northern Iowa team was incredible. That

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Speaker 1: was a generational team for the Panthers. However, that's the

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Speaker 1: brand of basketball that Drake University plays in Kansas. I

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Speaker 1: watched them last year play UNLV they were awful. I

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Speaker 1: mean awful. When it came to offense. They averaged less

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Speaker 1: than sixty five points per game. They were awful. Now, look,

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Speaker 1: Bruce Webber's bad anyway. Okay, Bruce Webber is one of

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Speaker 1: these dudes that thinks he's a big deal and thinks

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Speaker 1: he's one of these high brow coaches, right, and he

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Speaker 1: goes out there and recruits kids that play a very

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Speaker 1: tough style of basketball to play against. Okay, they are grinders,

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Speaker 1: they get up in your face, they play aggressive defense.

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Speaker 1: But this team really fell apart down the stretch in

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Speaker 1: the Big twelve. They looked awful. They've got some players

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Speaker 1: coming back, They've got a couple of decent dudes to talk.

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Speaker 1: But they've talked about this. Bruce Weber's talked a lot

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Speaker 1: about the practice problems they have had. I don't think

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Speaker 1: this is a very inexperienced roster with each other. They've

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Speaker 1: not played many games together, and so when you've got

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Speaker 1: issues about five on five practices and not working together,

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Speaker 1: game one out of the gate, this is a bad matchup.

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Speaker 1: This is a bad matchup for Kansas. Kansas State rather

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Speaker 1: up against Drake. The line was seven. It's now five

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Speaker 1: and a half. There's no money line out. I would

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Speaker 1: bet Drake money line if you find it. I like

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Speaker 1: Drake to win this game outright today against Kansas State.

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Speaker 1: It will be a five and a half point line.

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Speaker 1: I'll take the points. I'll lay the minus one ten.

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Speaker 1: My guess is you're gonna get plus one twenty or

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Speaker 1: somewhere in that range here. I just think this is

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Speaker 1: a game where if you look at Drake and you

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Speaker 1: look at Kansas State, I don't like this. Twenty and

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Speaker 1: fourteen last year. Yeah, the top three players for Drake

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Speaker 1: are gone, but they've got some talent coming back. And

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Speaker 1: I loved their coaching staff. Okay, they've just got this

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Speaker 1: toughness about them. They've just got this snarly, nasty, get

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Speaker 1: in your face type of defense. And d Rock is

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Speaker 1: the reason. I mean, this is just the type of

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Speaker 1: coach that he is. They went twelve and six last

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Speaker 1: year in the Valley. You know, they were going into

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Speaker 1: Ars Madness as one of the teams to beat in

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Speaker 1: Arch Madness, but they had a couple of injuries right

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Speaker 1: before that really cost them. Here. No fans being present here.

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Speaker 1: I like Drake, I do, and I talked to a

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Speaker 1: couple of my basketball friends yesterday, and this is sort

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Speaker 1: of one of those sharper plays. You're seeing a lot

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Speaker 1: of the pros, a lot of people recommending this play.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna trail it. I'm gonna hop ran right on

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Speaker 1: as well. I like it. I think Drake can win

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Speaker 1: the game outright. But I'm catching five and a half.

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Speaker 1: I wish it was seven still, but at five and

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Speaker 1: a half, let's go with Drake. Let's go with the Bulldogs.

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Speaker 1: Let's go back to the Missouri Valley Conference, part of

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Speaker 1: my old roots. If you will, I love the valley,

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Speaker 1: I will all love the Valley. I know this is

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Speaker 1: in Manhattan. I get it. It's on ESPNU if you

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Speaker 1: want to watch it. It's an early game, two o'clock

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Speaker 1: Eastern time start, which also I think favors Drake. Five

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Speaker 1: and a half Bulldogs plus five and a half. Play

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Speaker 1: number one, all right, play number two again for a

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Speaker 1: half of units. This is interesting because these two teams,

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Speaker 1: Rhode Island and Arizona State, weren't supposed to play at

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Speaker 1: Mohegan Sun but due to all the craziness and the

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Speaker 1: Rams were supposed to play Stephen F. Austin, but Steven F.

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Speaker 1: Austin left. They were supposed to play Townsend and everything's

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Speaker 1: been shuffled around now because of COVID nineteen, so these

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Speaker 1: two teams were not supposed to play each other. I

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Speaker 1: think that's bad news for Rhode Island personally, because they've

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Speaker 1: got to put together a game plan where their team

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Speaker 1: is basically brand new. Okay, They've got Fetz Russells, who's

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Speaker 1: a very good player. He's on the nasmanth Trophy watch list.

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Speaker 1: He could take this Rhoe Island team to the NCAA tournament. Okay,

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Speaker 1: so that guy's gonna be great. But the rest of

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Speaker 1: the guys, they've got three transfers and two graduating players

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Speaker 1: trens or are coming over graduate players for Rhode Island. Okay,

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Speaker 1: they're not together. Coach David Cox, good luck getting these

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Speaker 1: guys together with eight new players on this roster for

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Speaker 1: Rhode Island, and you're taking on Remy Martin, who I

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Speaker 1: think could be the best player in the country and

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Speaker 1: very well might win the Award. He can score, he

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Speaker 1: can pass, he can rebound, and he is dynamic with

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Speaker 1: the ball in his hands. He does not turn the

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Speaker 1: basketball over. Incredible passer of the basketball for Bobby Hurley.

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Speaker 1: Bobby Hurley coached at Rhode Island. Okay, this is a

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Speaker 1: big game for him. The players at Rhode Island don't

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Speaker 1: remember that Bobby Hurley was the coach of Rhode Island.

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Speaker 1: Arizona State players will know it because Bobby Hurley is

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Speaker 1: gonna want to send a message here and get a

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Speaker 1: victory here. He's not gonna lay down. He's gonna go

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Speaker 1: and I think they play hard. This is not the

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Speaker 1: matchup that you or I wanted. RD Island didn't want it. Again,

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Speaker 1: back to my E ten roots. I'm a UMass graduate.

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Speaker 1: Rhode Island always has like one good player and then

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Speaker 1: a bunch of guys. They kind of try to put

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Speaker 1: him around everyone. Lamar Odom was one of those guys.

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Speaker 1: You know, they have one guy and they try to

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Speaker 1: do big things and sometimes it works out where they

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Speaker 1: get some decent role players, but it's rare for them

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Speaker 1: to have the depth to compete and contend with a

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Speaker 1: team like Arizona State. So I got Bobby Hurley, I

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Speaker 1: got under ten points here. This team's gonna make the tournament.

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Speaker 1: This team could win the PAC twelve again. Marie Martin

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Speaker 1: could put up a huge number here. Arizona State's never

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Speaker 1: lost to Rhode Island. I just think the Rams they

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Speaker 1: may be in the game, they may hang around for

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Speaker 1: a little while, maybe the first half. But I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: lay the eight points here. Arizona State and Bobby Hurley,

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Speaker 1: let's see them go in there get a w Remy

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Speaker 1: Martin put up a big number, setting a message with

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Speaker 1: a matchup there against Fat Russell, right that those were

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Speaker 1: one of the games. Maybe you look back on you like, well,

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Speaker 1: what happened when they played head to head. So don't

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Speaker 1: think that Martin's gonna sleep on that. I think he

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Speaker 1: puts up a big number here. I think Remy goes off.

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Speaker 1: Arizona State rolls nor Rhode Island. Bad matchup up here

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Speaker 1: in the opener at the Mohegan Sun with no fans

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Speaker 1: being present. This game is a seven o'clock Eastern time

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Speaker 1: tip on ESPN. Fun game to watch. Arizona State minus eight.

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Speaker 1: We're half a unit laying it here against Rhode Island.

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Speaker 1: So our two plays for college basketball here going today.

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Speaker 1: We're going Arizona State minus eight against Rhode Island, and

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Speaker 1: we're going Drake plus five and a half taking on

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Speaker 1: Kansas State on the road. My name is Matt Perrault.

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Speaker 1: We are doing a Thursday morning Turkey Day live stream. Okay,

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Speaker 1: that is happening tomorrow, same time as always. Three games

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Speaker 1: to break down. I will go for an hour, or

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Speaker 1: I'll go for as long as you guys want me to.

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Speaker 1: If it's only going to be half an hour, maybe

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Speaker 1: only go half an hour. I mean, it depends on

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Speaker 1: if you show up or not. If you guys are

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Speaker 1: there at eleven am Eastern and not am Pacific. If

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Speaker 1: you're there, I will stay for an hour. If you're

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Speaker 1: asking questions and we're banging things back and forth and

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Speaker 1: we're having to go all the time, we're having fun bingo,

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Speaker 1: let's do it. If you guys have both to do,

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Speaker 1: and you've got honeydew lists and you've got to go

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Speaker 1: ahead and make the bird, and you've got to handle

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Speaker 1: the family or whatever it might be on Thanksgiving, you're

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Speaker 1: not gonna hurt my feelings. We all have lives. Okay,

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Speaker 1: I'm not gonna be mad about that. But I threw

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Speaker 1: it out there. Enough of you guys said yes, they

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Speaker 1: want you'd want it. You want to break down the games,

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Speaker 1: you want to break down the prop as. We may

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Speaker 1: only have two games to do it, but who cares.

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Speaker 1: There's plenty of prop angles and bets to look at.

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Speaker 1: And I'll be loaded up and ready to go on

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Speaker 1: Thursday morning. And I don't have to start cooking the

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Speaker 1: bird until I think about ten o'clock ten thirty or so,

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Speaker 1: so we should be good for me. So eight o'clock

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Speaker 1: in the morning, eight to nine, I'm good. So if

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Speaker 1: you guys want to be around nine am, sorry eight

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Speaker 1: am Pacific, eleven am Eastern live stream Betting Pros YouTube

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Speaker 1: channel for the games on Thursday for Thanksgiving. By the way,

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Speaker 1: speaking of picking games, Dave Cherpan and I our Team

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Speaker 1: Bostonian in the book, we're tied for fourth in the

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Speaker 1: Westgate reboot. Let's see if you can hang around. That's

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Speaker 1: only forty to win that thing, but who care. I

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Speaker 1: take forty thousand if you win that thing. So watch

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Speaker 1: Dave Syrapin and I. We'll keep our picks going. I

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Speaker 1: tweet them out every week. Dan Harris and I continue

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Speaker 1: to try to find our footing in the DraftKings contest,

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Speaker 1: and I'm pretty much sunk in the circa, so I mean,

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Speaker 1: maybe I'll get hot over the final four weeks and

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Speaker 1: contend for the for a quarter poll or something. But

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Speaker 1: has not been great in the CIRCA this year. Have

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Speaker 1: not been great. You haven't been great in the DraftKings,

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Speaker 1: so the Westgate might save everything. If we can cash

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Speaker 1: in that, that would be phenomenal. But we're back tomorrow

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Speaker 1: morning with a live stream and the podcast with picks

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Speaker 1: for Thursday Thanksgiving. Happy Thanksgiving, we got football, three games

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Speaker 1: to break down in the NFL and maybe a college

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Speaker 1: player or two coming up on a Thursday morning edition

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Speaker 1: of the Daily Juice podcast. My name is Matt Paroltz.

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Speaker 1: Follow me on Twitter at sports Talk Matt. Every morning

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Speaker 1: it's the Daily Juice. Even on Thanksgiving. It's the Day

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Speaker 1: of Juice podcast on Betting Pros dot Com, presented by

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Speaker 1: Betting Jam