Speaker 1: Hey there everyone, Welcome back to the Betting Pros NFL podcast,
Speaker 1: brought to you by bet MGM. I'm your host, Dan
Speaker 1: Harris and you can find me on Twitter at Dan
Speaker 1: Harris Ady. It is time to break down some of
Speaker 1: our favorite and our least favorite bets for the weekend
Speaker 1: at NFL Slate. With me to do it all is
Speaker 1: Ian McMillan, a writer for oddshark dot Com. Ian runs
Speaker 1: the gamut over there in terms of his coverage way
Speaker 1: beyond just the NFL. You can find him on Twitter
Speaker 1: at Ian mac os. And I'm going to spell that
Speaker 1: for you because you will never get it right. I
Speaker 1: A I N m ac Os. He can explain that
Speaker 1: if you'd like. Ian, Thank you for joining me today.
Speaker 1: How's it going.
Speaker 2: It's going well, Dan, Yeah, happy to be here, Happy
Speaker 2: to be back. I believe is week one there the
Speaker 2: first time I was on, Hopefully it can do a
Speaker 2: little bit better. I think I was one for two
Speaker 2: with my side bets there that week. So but do
Speaker 2: you go. I'm gonna go perfect sweet sweep this week.
Speaker 2: I can almost guarantee it.
Speaker 1: I love the confidence and we really need it because
Speaker 1: last week was a complete disaster for us. I mean,
Speaker 1: I mean I missed. I'm just gonna put it out
Speaker 1: there because sometimes I sweep. Sometimes it's great. Last week
Speaker 1: was terrible for me. I missed on all three of
Speaker 1: my picks, with the Bears and Saints under thirty eight
Speaker 1: and a half, the forty nine ers laying nine to
Speaker 1: the Redskins of Lough to be fair that pushed, and
Speaker 1: the Bills and the Dolphins under forty and a half. Now,
Speaker 1: I did hit on the top prop, which was Leonard
Speaker 1: Fournette over one hundred and twenty four yards rushing at
Speaker 1: plus two fifty, so hopefully that made up for a
Speaker 1: bit our guest. Meanwhile, Matt Perrault was not much better.
Speaker 1: He missed on both the Eagles plus two and a
Speaker 1: half against the Cowboys and the Jets getting nine and
Speaker 1: a half from the Patriots. He did hit in the
Speaker 1: Colt Slang one to the Texans, and that was after
Speaker 1: again a near perfect week the week before. So let's
Speaker 1: just jump back on the horse and get this nonsense
Speaker 1: straight out. It sounds like you're ready to go, so
Speaker 1: we're gonna get right into it. Okay. As always, We're
Speaker 1: gonna get started with pick six, where both Ian and
Speaker 1: I are going to give three of our favorite bets
Speaker 1: for this weekend, either against the spread or on the
Speaker 1: over under. And as always, I'm gonna know that we're
Speaker 1: recording this on Thursday night, so we will not be
Speaker 1: making any picks on the Vikings Redskins game. But if
Speaker 1: you want to see how I picked that game, you
Speaker 1: can go to betting pros dot com. That's gonna show
Speaker 1: you how I and every single betting expert who makes
Speaker 1: picks on the site made their picks for that In
Speaker 1: every game, we are also going to be using the
Speaker 1: bettingpros dot Com consensus odds and making our picks. Those
Speaker 1: are the aggregate odds that you're gonna find available in
Speaker 1: the market, so they're constantly shifting depending on where things
Speaker 1: are at the various sportsbooks. All right, Ian, let's go
Speaker 1: start us off with's your first pick here?
Speaker 2: Okay, my first pick, my favorite pick for the week.
Speaker 2: I'm gonna take the Eagles plus one point five over
Speaker 2: the Bills. So I believe actually mentioned this the first
Speaker 2: time I was on right before a week one of
Speaker 2: the seasons that Buffalo Bills were actually my pick for
Speaker 2: being the most like the most surprising team this season,
Speaker 2: and they've actually proven that they are, but I do
Speaker 2: think they are being a little bit overvalued in the spot.
Speaker 2: I do think they're gonna make the playoffs. I think
Speaker 2: they're gonna be a wildcare team, but they're going up
Speaker 2: against an Eagles team that's on the other side of
Speaker 2: things where they're undervalued, especially after that ugly performance against
Speaker 2: the Cowboys there on Sunday Night. We need to judge
Speaker 2: teams based on talent, and you need to not let
Speaker 2: recent games affect you. The weird thing about betting on
Speaker 2: the NFL that not a lot of people really talk
Speaker 2: about have mentioned is that the sample size is so small.
Speaker 2: In like the MLB season, I would never place a
Speaker 2: bet until at least ten to fifteen games into the season,
Speaker 2: and the NFL we get sixteen games total before the playoffs,
Speaker 2: so it's a small sample size. So you can't let
Speaker 2: recent games affect your bias. So that's what I'm doing here.
Speaker 2: The Eagles are the more talented and skilled team over
Speaker 2: the Bills in my opinion. Don't forget, they had a
Speaker 2: road win against the Packers this season, so they do
Speaker 2: know how to win on the road. So I like
Speaker 2: the Eagles, especially as a slight underdog in the spot,
Speaker 2: so give me them plus one point five in Buffalo.
Speaker 1: Okay, So I'm gonna be honest, I consider taking this
Speaker 1: game as well as always. You guys know, I have
Speaker 1: our guest email me their picks shortly before we go on,
Speaker 1: so don't steal anything from them. Accidentally, this one was
Speaker 1: definitely under consideration for me. One of the things that
Speaker 1: kind of stuck out to me is that the one
Speaker 1: and a half points spread, you know, given the fact
Speaker 1: that I mean, I guess the Bills didn't look that
Speaker 1: great this weekend against Miami, but you know, they certainly
Speaker 1: did what they need to do, and the Eagles looked
Speaker 1: absolutely horrendous right against Dallas. The line did not move.
Speaker 1: Usually after something like that, like with the Jaguars and
Speaker 1: the Jets, where the Jets immediately lost a point and
Speaker 1: a half on the spread and where the Patriots moved
Speaker 1: up about three points on the spread, you know, given
Speaker 1: what the public's going to react to it, the Eagles
Speaker 1: and the Bills didn't move. They were at one and
Speaker 1: a half before that game, they were at one and
Speaker 1: a half after that game. So that is a sign
Speaker 1: to me that in the end, you know, at least,
Speaker 1: the odds makers are probably feeling relatively bullish on where
Speaker 1: they mark the Eagles going in and when you look
Speaker 1: at the Bills, I too in the preseason. As I
Speaker 1: remind Jason Logan whenever he comes back on this podcast,
Speaker 1: I like them over. I believe it was six and
Speaker 1: a half wins. I felt pretty good about them especially,
Speaker 1: but that was a lot of it because of their
Speaker 1: schedule and when you look at who they've played. They've
Speaker 1: played the Jets, they played the Giants, they've played the Bengals,
Speaker 1: they've played the Dolphins. It's not exactly a murderer's role here.
Speaker 1: So I am inclined to go with you. I'm a
Speaker 1: little glad that you took it so I didn't have
Speaker 1: to because I feel just a little skittish. It doesn't
Speaker 1: look like the Shan Jackson is coming back. The Eagles
Speaker 1: just look like they are in disarray. But the big
Speaker 1: thing about the Eagles, for me at least, was they
Speaker 1: can really stop the run. Right, That's the one thing
Speaker 1: that they have been able to do well consistently this
Speaker 1: whole season. They really struggle in the secondary, but that's
Speaker 1: not exactly where Josh Allen and his you know wildly inaccurate.
Speaker 1: Arm is really going to make his mark, So I'm
Speaker 1: certainly inclined to agree with you.
Speaker 2: Yeah, exactly. Those are great points he made, and especially
Speaker 2: with the strength of schedule. That was one thing I
Speaker 2: didn't mention there is that the wins this season have
Speaker 2: come against teams that are combined I believe six and
Speaker 2: twenty seven if my math is right. So because of that,
Speaker 2: I think they're being a little bit overvalued. And like
Speaker 2: you said, Eagles run defense is definitely their strength. Yeah.
Speaker 1: Now, I mean I do get a little nervous betting
Speaker 1: against teams in Buffalo. I mean it's not the weather
Speaker 1: is in the factory yet, but I did go to
Speaker 1: school there and they are insane because that's pretty much
Speaker 1: all they have there. But still I agree with you.
Speaker 1: I'm on board. I'm glad I didn't have to take
Speaker 1: it though, because I felt a little squishy about it.
Speaker 1: But I'll back you there. With the Eagles getting one
Speaker 1: and a half for my first pick, I'm going to
Speaker 1: take the Panthers getting six from the forty nine ers.
Speaker 1: I talked about this a bit with Alex kalo J
Speaker 1: when we were talking when we were taking a look
Speaker 1: at the opening lines on Monday, and six struck us
Speaker 1: as a little bit too high. Now it ad dropping
Speaker 1: to about five right about when we were about to record,
Speaker 1: and for that I got a little iffy on it.
Speaker 1: But it's back up to six and I feel pretty
Speaker 1: good about it. The Panthers, to me, are just a
Speaker 1: very very good football team. They've won four straight and
Speaker 1: they're coming off a bye here, and I think with
Speaker 1: this offense we kind of forgot how good it can
Speaker 1: be when Norv Turner came on board. Remember there were
Speaker 1: six and two last year before Cam Newton got hurt,
Speaker 1: and he was having a very solid year with an
Speaker 1: excellent completion percentage before the injury. Then he just couldn't
Speaker 1: throw to finish last year. He couldn't throw to start
Speaker 1: this year. So obviously things look stagnant. But now you've
Speaker 1: got Kyle Allen in there, and he's not a superstar
Speaker 1: by any means, but he is a capable quarterback who
Speaker 1: can move the ball complete shorter passes, and that's really
Speaker 1: all they need with extra time to prepare coming off
Speaker 1: the by the extra time also gets them healthier here.
Speaker 1: I mean, it sounds like Turner is going to be
Speaker 1: back from his angle in on their offensive line, which
Speaker 1: should be a boost. The secondary looks like they'll get
Speaker 1: back Dwantae Jackson, and they've had a great pass defense
Speaker 1: all year anyway. James Bradbrier has played extremely well. Ross
Speaker 1: Cockrell has picked it up with late. So it used
Speaker 1: to be like you couldn't you didn't want to pass
Speaker 1: on them, you'd attack them on the ground. But they've
Speaker 1: cleaned that up a little bit over recent weeks. They
Speaker 1: were able to get pressure and I think in this
Speaker 1: matchup particularly that's important because the forty nine ers are
Speaker 1: pretty beat up on their offensive line. And when you
Speaker 1: look at the forty nine ers, who are of course
Speaker 1: undefeated for the most part, they have not been great offensively,
Speaker 1: especially lately. I mean, they've been winning with their defense.
Speaker 1: You want to throw out last week because it was
Speaker 1: in the monsoon against the Redskins. I'm fine with that,
Speaker 1: but they didn't put up a ton of points the
Speaker 1: week before that against the Rams. It's mostly just the defense.
Speaker 1: Now they've added Emmanuel Sanders. That's fine, but I mean
Speaker 1: he's gonna play, but he's not gonna be able to,
Speaker 1: you know, play the whole game. He doesn't know the playbook,
Speaker 1: yet they're down Deebo Samuel probably Marky's Goodwin is dealing
Speaker 1: with the concussion. And you know, again they've been winning,
Speaker 1: but that injury to Kylie Uscheck. When you look at
Speaker 1: their running game, how they've been it has really impacted it.
Speaker 1: The fact that they're winning kind of masks all that.
Speaker 1: Even though the volume is still there with their running backs.
Speaker 1: I mean, Tevin Coleman in particular, is getting a lot
Speaker 1: of carries. It's not a great yard per carry average.
Speaker 1: They're not moving the ball all that well. In the end,
Speaker 1: this just strikes me as a really really close game
Speaker 1: with the Panthers coming off of bye. Again, if it
Speaker 1: was four four and a half, which is where it
Speaker 1: looked like it had been moving at the time that
Speaker 1: we recorded on Monday, I was a little iffy on it.
Speaker 1: But at six, I'm gonna take that.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I love that pick a lot. I mean, the
Speaker 2: forty nine ers week in and week out of just
Speaker 2: I'm not a huge believer in them. Like you kind
Speaker 2: of mentioned, their offense is slowed down a little bit.
Speaker 2: It seems to me like every time they play a team,
Speaker 2: that team doesn't play well. Now, is that because the
Speaker 2: other team's not playing well or is that because their
Speaker 2: defense is that good that it makes it seem like
Speaker 2: the other team's not playing well. But I'm still on
Speaker 2: that point where I'm just gonna I'm gonna bet against
Speaker 2: the forty nine ers because I just don't think they
Speaker 2: are as good as the record shows. So I like
Speaker 2: that pick.
Speaker 1: I don't want to take too much away from them
Speaker 1: because I do like them, I really do. I do
Speaker 1: think the used check injury really really hampers their running game.
Speaker 1: And again, you know they have a good but their schedule,
Speaker 1: you know, the Bucks are certainly not impressive. The Bengals
Speaker 1: are the Steelers. We're dealing with, you know, a rookie
Speaker 1: quarterback with Mason Rudolff. The Browns are a disaster. The
Speaker 1: Rams were missing Todd Gurley, I believe in that game,
Speaker 1: and their offensive line is terrible. And then the Redskins,
Speaker 1: so it's not this murderers row that they've gone through
Speaker 1: a little bit like we're talking about with the Bills.
Speaker 1: So for me, I'm willing to take the value here
Speaker 1: because I've really much more been impressed with Carolina. All right,
Speaker 1: let's move on to your second pick. What do you got.
Speaker 2: Okay, So for my second pick, I'm gonna take a
Speaker 2: total play. I'm gonna be taking the under forty one
Speaker 2: in the Jets in Jaguars game. The first major point
Speaker 2: that's the most obvious. The Jets are brutal on offense.
Speaker 2: They are tied with the Dolphins for the lowest gording
Speaker 2: team the league, only getting ten point five points per game. Now,
Speaker 2: I do recognize that Fulk was a quarterback there for
Speaker 2: most of their games so far the season, but I mean,
Speaker 2: we just saw what happened with Sam Darnold there on
Speaker 2: Monday night. He's seeing ghosts, So I don't.
Speaker 1: By the way, I mean he has to do something
Speaker 1: with Ghostbusters for Halloween, right, I mean that that is
Speaker 1: a guarantee. Right, he should go as the state pub
Speaker 1: marshmallow Man or something like that. Just just mix it
Speaker 1: up a little bit.
Speaker 2: Yeah, And I feel like if you have she makes
Speaker 2: like a self deprecating joke about it, then people will
Speaker 2: stop kind of making fun of him for it.
Speaker 1: I do want to pass. I do want to point
Speaker 1: out just because I'm a Jets fan and you know,
Speaker 1: I've got it. He actually gave a great press conference
Speaker 1: today where he fully owned it. He totally took it,
Speaker 1: so it makes me a little happy. Anyway, go ahead,
Speaker 1: I'm sorry, keep going.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, not even to get two sidetracked on it.
Speaker 2: But really, I don't think it's that big of a
Speaker 2: deal that he said it. He's going up against one
Speaker 2: of the the best defense in the league on primetime football.
Speaker 2: I mean, that kind of stuff just happens for a
Speaker 2: young quarterback. But yeah, completely agree. So under forty one
Speaker 2: with the Jets and Jaguars, Jets are only scoring ten
Speaker 2: point five points per game, and if you've watched Jaguars games,
Speaker 2: I mean they're they're not too much better as far
Speaker 2: as points per game. I think they're twentieth in the
Speaker 2: league at twenty point six points per game. But they're
Speaker 2: not really like this air raid offense. Gardner Minsho's like
Speaker 2: he's a real game manager. They slow the game down.
Speaker 2: They've been feeding Leonard Fournett quite a bit, which, of course,
Speaker 2: you know, if they run the ball, that keeps the
Speaker 2: clock moving. The quicker the clock moves, the less opportunity
Speaker 2: there are for points scored, and that's when unders usually hit.
Speaker 2: And Jaguars are eighth in time of possession as well,
Speaker 2: so that kind of proves that fact, and between the
Speaker 2: two teams for their average combined scores, that Jets are
Speaker 2: averaging combined score in their games at thirty six point
Speaker 2: five Jaguars at forty one point seventy one combined points
Speaker 2: per game, So both teams would have to have an
Speaker 2: above average mark compared to the rest of games this
Speaker 2: season for that total to go over. So I like
Speaker 2: the under forty one. There. I'm just kind of a
Speaker 2: I like unders in general. I pretty rarely bet overs
Speaker 2: in the NFL, just because I think books kind of
Speaker 2: entice it to take overs because they're funder to bet,
Speaker 2: so I just kind of like to go in the
Speaker 2: opposite side of that. I like taking under. So this
Speaker 2: is my favorite underspot for the week with the Jet,
Speaker 2: Jets and Jags.
Speaker 1: Yeah, that is a great point that. I mean, lines
Speaker 1: are designed because they know that the public loves overs.
Speaker 1: Who wants to bet an under that's so boring that
Speaker 1: you're rooting again to go right exactly. So I agree
Speaker 1: generally speaking, I like to bet the under when I can.
Speaker 1: I agree with you here. Also, I mean I don't
Speaker 1: feel overly strongly. I kind of like the Jets getting six,
Speaker 1: but I'm not gonna that's not one of my picks
Speaker 1: or anything like that. I do expect this to be
Speaker 1: a relatively close scoring game. The Jets, look, I mean CJ.
Speaker 1: Mosley may probably you know, reinjured his growing. I don't
Speaker 1: know if he's gonna play here. But either way, even
Speaker 1: without him, the Jets are pretty solid against the run.
Speaker 1: That's the one thing that they've been able to do
Speaker 1: well this year on defense. And with that, you know,
Speaker 1: the Jaguars they want to rely on Fournette, Minshew magic.
Speaker 1: I mean it's fading a little bit. I mean, you know,
Speaker 1: a Djhark has been good. Dede Westbrooks ceiling was a
Speaker 1: little bit of an injury. I think he's gonna play,
Speaker 1: But you know, it's not as if they have this
Speaker 1: explosive passing game, which is really in the end where
Speaker 1: you're able to attack the Jets. As for the Jets,
Speaker 1: they're not gonna look as inept offensively as they looked
Speaker 1: against the Patriots. Hopefully, you know, the offensive line coach
Speaker 1: is either fired or they understand that sometimes you have
Speaker 1: to shift protection. I do expect a little bit of
Speaker 1: a bounce back here, but again, you know they're in
Speaker 1: Selmo they've got Robbie Anderson on the trade block already.
Speaker 1: I don't expect this to be some sort of, you know,
Speaker 1: magical offensive game. The Jaguars are solid on defense as well,
Speaker 1: so overall, I agree with you here. I like the
Speaker 1: under end. It's not one of my picks, but if
Speaker 1: you're thinking thinking about it, I will say that I
Speaker 1: personally do like the Jets a little bit getting six.
Speaker 1: I think that recency bias is something, especially with how
Speaker 1: terrible they looked it was at four and a half
Speaker 1: before the game. I think people, you know, the line
Speaker 1: moves immediately after a game like that. But in the end,
Speaker 1: I think there is value with the Jets of six.
Speaker 1: But I'm with you so far together. Unfortunately, Look, I
Speaker 1: don't want to, you know, make you feel bad, but
Speaker 1: I was with Matt on all three of his picks
Speaker 1: last week and he basically he whiffed, So it might
Speaker 1: be the kiss of death for you here. All right,
Speaker 1: So on to my next pick number two. I'm interested
Speaker 1: to see what you think about this one, because I
Speaker 1: could see you not being fond of this. But I'm
Speaker 1: gonna stick with the spreads here and I'm going to
Speaker 1: take the Chiefs getting three and a half at home
Speaker 1: against the Packers. This is another line that I liked
Speaker 1: on Monday. It was at four, but as long as
Speaker 1: it's above the key number of three, I'm still on
Speaker 1: board with it. Now, the look aheadline before the Mahomes
Speaker 1: injury was Chiefs by four. So this has swung more
Speaker 1: than a full touchdown and it's crossed two key numbers here, right,
Speaker 1: I mean it crossed from the Chiefs laying three to
Speaker 1: the Chiefs getting three. The public is probably going to
Speaker 1: go on the Packers here, which should immediately throw up
Speaker 1: some warning signs. We all know about Andy Reid's success
Speaker 1: off of buye. Now he doesn't actually have a buye here,
Speaker 1: but he has the mini bye with the Thursday night game.
Speaker 1: And look, forget about Patrick Mahomes practicing so far. He's
Speaker 1: not gonna play this week. He's definitely gonna be out
Speaker 1: at least this week, probably next week two. But Matt Moore,
Speaker 1: I mean, he's not in the same conversation as Mahomes,
Speaker 1: don't get me wrong, But in terms of backup quarterbacks
Speaker 1: in the league, and of course this comes from a
Speaker 1: guy who was watching Luke Falk be the backup quarterback
Speaker 1: for his team all season. Matt Moore is one of
Speaker 1: the better backup quarterbacks in the league, and he's got
Speaker 1: ten days of full practice with the first team of offense.
Speaker 1: Mahomes is taking second team reps. They're still Tyreek Hill,
Speaker 1: there's still Travis Kelcey. It sounds like Sammy Watkins is
Speaker 1: going to come back. The Chiefs are at home, They're
Speaker 1: starting to get a little bit healthier. And really, when
Speaker 1: you look at it, the Chiefs gave a pretty dominant
Speaker 1: defensive performance against the Broncos on Thursday night, So you
Speaker 1: might want to, you know, write that off and say, well,
Speaker 1: the Broncos stink, But really, no other defense had shut
Speaker 1: them down like that, particularly not in Denver, and particularly
Speaker 1: not on a short week. And you look at why
Speaker 1: the Broncos drove right down the field right on that
Speaker 1: first drive they scored. They were shut down the entire
Speaker 1: rest of the game. And why is that? It looked,
Speaker 1: I mean, I was watching that closely, it looked like
Speaker 1: the Chiefs just got a little more aggressive. They started
Speaker 1: calling more blitzes, probably because they don't usually play as
Speaker 1: aggressively when they have Mahomes in there, because so long
Speaker 1: as they can just kind of hang around in there.
Speaker 1: They've got enough offense to win the game. But you
Speaker 1: know the blitzing. When they got more aggressive here because
Speaker 1: they needed to, because they figured it was going to
Speaker 1: be closer, it really worked for them, and I think
Speaker 1: they'll at least continue with a more aggressive approach, especially
Speaker 1: with Chris Johnes practicing and looking likely to return. On
Speaker 1: the other side, the Packers are great, okay, but they're
Speaker 1: still going to be down Devonte Adams. I'm sure I
Speaker 1: know right now he's you know, fifty to fifty or
Speaker 1: whatever they're calling him. I highly doubt he's going to play.
Speaker 1: And this game against the Raiders, you know, a team
Speaker 1: with no defense whatsoever, was really the first time that
Speaker 1: they looked dominant offensively. And then you know, the receivers
Speaker 1: were barely involved last week, Like NBS caught two long
Speaker 1: passes and that's it. It was mostly these passes to
Speaker 1: the running backs. Defense they're slipping a little bit. You
Speaker 1: can beat them on the ground, you've always been able
Speaker 1: to this year, but they're starting to be a little
Speaker 1: vulnerable a bit in the passing game. You saw that
Speaker 1: with Oakland, who could have put up a ton of
Speaker 1: points had car not funneled through the end zone and
Speaker 1: had they not turned the ball over another time deep
Speaker 1: in the red zone. So for me, with Andy Reid
Speaker 1: having extra time to prepare, even with the backup quarterback
Speaker 1: at home, anything above three here I'm more than happy
Speaker 1: to take. So I will take it at three and
Speaker 1: a half.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I actually surprisingly do kind of like that pick,
Speaker 2: even though the public is actually all over at Green
Speaker 2: Bay in this game. I'm not too sure what the
Speaker 2: consensus of it. I don't have in front of me,
Speaker 2: but I do know that the Packers, like are a
Speaker 2: very public team this week, and when I first looked
Speaker 2: at the board, since them homes injury, I do actually
Speaker 2: lean the Chiefs getting points in that game, especially because
Speaker 2: it's at home. And I mean, like you said, Matt Moore,
Speaker 2: he's not a terrible backup quarterback, and he didn't he
Speaker 2: didn't look so bad in that Broncos game when he
Speaker 2: just got thrown in there, whenever it was first quarter,
Speaker 2: second quarter, halfway through the game, whatever it was. And
Speaker 2: like you said, a little bit of half a bye
Speaker 2: week almost from Thursday night over to now, so he's
Speaker 2: gonna have time to prepare. Andy Reid's good coaching in
Speaker 2: that situation. I like that, Dick. I don't hate it.
Speaker 2: I'm not gonna play it myself, but I don't hate it.
Speaker 2: If I had to make a play on that game,
Speaker 2: that's probably the way I'd go, at least for a side.
Speaker 2: Now we're gonna get to the player props here in
Speaker 2: a little bit, and that's kind of where my play
Speaker 2: for that game is gonna be at. But I don't
Speaker 2: hate the Chiefs.
Speaker 1: And that gay sure, I look, I will take I
Speaker 1: don't hate it for sure, anybody. And you know, you
Speaker 1: mentioned how the consensus broke down right now, it's about
Speaker 1: sixty to forty taking the packers over here and the
Speaker 1: most accurate Now, because that's one of the other things
Speaker 1: that we do at betting pros Com. We show you
Speaker 1: how the consensus is going in terms of percentages, but
Speaker 1: then we also give you a separate percentages based on
Speaker 1: how the most accurate experts are leaning. And it is
Speaker 1: fifty to fifty completely dead. And again so it had
Speaker 1: moved to four, it's down to three and a half
Speaker 1: because I think people are coming in strong here at least,
Speaker 1: you know, probably more of the money. As I'm looking
Speaker 1: at the breakdown, I mean the public. You're right, they're
Speaker 1: always going to be on the Packers. But again, you
Speaker 1: know the book, My know that, and I think they
Speaker 1: set the odds appropriately understanding that a lot of the
Speaker 1: public is going to like the Packers at the number.
Speaker 1: So I will take I don't hate it, and why
Speaker 1: don't we move on to number three for you?
Speaker 2: Okay? Perfect? So my third pick, I'm gonna take the
Speaker 2: Broncos plus five point five versus the Colts, which is
Speaker 2: actually going against the public as well. I believe the
Speaker 2: Colts are a pretty public pick. The Colts are a
Speaker 2: team that I think is actually a little bit overvalued.
Speaker 2: This is kind of similar to my pick against the Bills.
Speaker 2: I think the Colts are being a little bit overvalued.
Speaker 2: Now there's one stat that I absolutely love. Actually, everyone
Speaker 2: at odd Shark loves it. One of my co workers,
Speaker 2: Joe Osbourne, has an article all about this stat, so
Speaker 2: head over the website check that out if you want.
Speaker 2: But the stat is net yards per play. So if
Speaker 2: you don't know what net yards per play, you take
Speaker 2: the number of yards gained on offense per play, subtract
Speaker 2: the amounts of mount of yards given up per play
Speaker 2: on defense. So when you look at these two teams
Speaker 2: in that stat the Broncos around middle of the pack.
Speaker 2: I think they're thirteen to fourteenth. Their net yards per
Speaker 2: play is zero point one, so it is positive. But
Speaker 2: the Colts, despite their record, they are fourth last in
Speaker 2: the NFL in net yards per play at minus point
Speaker 2: nine yards per play. So that tells me that despite
Speaker 2: their record, they're not quite playing the best football right now.
Speaker 2: And I think the reason why they're still winning well
Speaker 2: giving up negative point nine yards per play is because
Speaker 2: they aren't turning the ball over. I believe they only
Speaker 2: have six turnovers this season, which is near the top
Speaker 2: of the league in that category. But in this spot,
Speaker 2: I think five and a half points is a lot.
Speaker 2: I think the Broncos are a little bit better than
Speaker 2: what people think, and I think the Colts are worse
Speaker 2: than what people think based off what their record is
Speaker 2: right now. So that's gonna be my third pick. I
Speaker 2: like getting the points there with Denver.
Speaker 1: This is an interesting one. I'll be honest, I did
Speaker 1: not have a feel for it whatsoever, And in fact,
Speaker 1: you are you're going against the expert consensus. About two
Speaker 1: thirds of them are going with Indianapolis here laying five
Speaker 1: and a half. Does it worry you at all with
Speaker 1: the trade of Emmanuel Sanders that the team is going
Speaker 1: to kind of mail it in? I mean, is it
Speaker 1: possible at this point the trade, the lines coming up?
Speaker 1: It just I mean, it was such a deflating loss
Speaker 1: to Kansas City after they had won two. Is there
Speaker 1: any chance that they're just gonna come out there? You think?
Speaker 1: And lannegg or do you not let that factor into
Speaker 1: your thinking when you're making your picks.
Speaker 2: I don't let that factor too much into my thinking.
Speaker 2: There are in certain cases where I do. In this case,
Speaker 2: I don't. I mean, at the end of the day,
Speaker 2: we need to remember these guys are still playing for
Speaker 2: their jobs and coaches are coaching, you know, for their jobs,
Speaker 2: no matter if they have a chance to make a
Speaker 2: playoff runner or not this case, the Broncos clearly don't.
Speaker 2: But at the end of the day, the players still
Speaker 2: need to perform because there it's basically every single game
Speaker 2: is basically a job interview for players and coaches. So
Speaker 2: I don't put a whole lot of value in that.
Speaker 2: What I am a little bit worried about is now
Speaker 2: teams are gonna be able to focus on Courtland Sutton
Speaker 2: a little bit more now without without Xanders there, so
Speaker 2: that does worry me a little bit, but regardless, I
Speaker 2: still like the five and a half points.
Speaker 1: All right, I'll move on to my third pick here,
Speaker 1: and I'm gonna switch away from the spreads and go
Speaker 1: to the over Unders, And as we both like usually
Speaker 1: the Unders, I'm gonna go with the Bears and the
Speaker 1: Chargers under forty. I feel like everything about this game
Speaker 1: sets up pretty well for the Unders. The Bears offense
Speaker 1: is terrible, okay, and they basically completely abandoned the run
Speaker 1: against the Saints, even when the game was close to
Speaker 1: Ricohon and David Montgomery got five rushing attempts total. And
Speaker 1: I get that you don't attack the Saints on the ground,
Speaker 1: of course, but five rushing attempts is preposterous. And Matt
Speaker 1: Naggi has essentially admitted it. He got a lot of criticism.
Speaker 1: He basically said he's not an idiot. He agrees he's
Speaker 1: going to need to run run the ball more here,
Speaker 1: and I think that he's going to And that means,
Speaker 1: you know, you run the ball, as you mentioned with
Speaker 1: the Jets and the Jaguars, you run the ball. The clock,
Speaker 1: runs drives are longer. It sets up pretty well for
Speaker 1: the under Meanwhile, the Charters are one of the slowest
Speaker 1: teams in the league. They're notorious for taking as much
Speaker 1: time off the play clock as possible. Their offense just
Speaker 1: looks completely out of sorts. A lot of it is
Speaker 1: because of their poorest offensive line that's not going well.
Speaker 1: The Bears still have a relatively strong defense. They're easier
Speaker 1: to run against right now without akeeum Hicks, of course,
Speaker 1: but the Chargers have not been able to get their
Speaker 1: run game going regardless, so I don't expect either team
Speaker 1: to be able to put up a ton of points.
Speaker 1: This strikes me. I mean, they're both desperate. That's the
Speaker 1: only thing that has me at all worried. I feel
Speaker 1: like when teams are desperate, you never know what's going
Speaker 1: to happen. They could get somehow creative, they could come
Speaker 1: up with something crazy and start putting up some points.
Speaker 1: But overall, this game, to me, I realized, forty is
Speaker 1: a pretty low total. But I'm pretty much looking at
Speaker 1: this as a game that has very little chance of
Speaker 1: being a blowout. It's going to be close throughout, and
Speaker 1: I think both teams are going to try to just
Speaker 1: kind of win it towards the end of the game
Speaker 1: without putting up a crazy amount of points. So give
Speaker 1: me the Bears and the Chargers under forty.
Speaker 2: That's funny because when I was actually looking to make
Speaker 2: my picks for the show to let you know who
Speaker 2: I'm going to be on, that was the other under
Speaker 2: I was deciding between either that one and the Jets
Speaker 2: and the Jags. I ended up going with the Jets
Speaker 2: and the Jags, but that one was a close second.
Speaker 2: So I love that underplay. Like you said, the Bears
Speaker 2: offense absolutely stinks. I don't know what's going on with
Speaker 2: the Chargers right now. After Week one, you may remember,
Speaker 2: I'm a big Falcons fan. The Falcons are absolute trash
Speaker 2: this year. After Week one, I said, I'm no longer
Speaker 2: a Falcons fan. I decided to be a Chargers fan
Speaker 2: for this season. And then the Chargers are basically just
Speaker 2: the foul of the AFC.
Speaker 1: So you know, we we've got room over here on
Speaker 1: the Jets bandwagon, because it sounds like that's kind of
Speaker 1: where you're leaning over there, right, Just keep going to
Speaker 1: The Dolphins are next. They yeah going to be great?
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, exactly maze old cheer for the Redskins tonight. Yeah. So,
Speaker 2: I mean Chargers they're all out of sorts, Bears are
Speaker 2: all out of sorts, are like that under.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think I feel pretty good about it. And
Speaker 1: I'll be honest, it's against the consensus. It's about sixty
Speaker 1: forty in favor of the over there. But for me,
Speaker 1: this is definitely one of the unders that I'm going
Speaker 1: to be playing.
Speaker 2: So it is pretty rare that you'll see consensus. Most
Speaker 2: public like consensus lean towards the under. Does happen, but
Speaker 2: most of the time, just because how we mentioned earlier,
Speaker 2: public loves to bed overs because they're more fun. So no,
Speaker 2: but these are the experts. Oh, the experts are saying that. Okay, yes,
Speaker 2: the experts. I appreciate you trying to save me. It
Speaker 2: is a little interesting. I'm surprised because this struck me.
Speaker 2: This was not what I struggled with. It was the
Speaker 2: first one that jumped out of me when I looked
Speaker 2: at over unders. I did you know, the Jags and
Speaker 2: the and the Jets were certainly under consideration, but this
Speaker 2: one jumped out of me. Now, look to be fair,
Speaker 2: I took the under on the Bears Saints last week
Speaker 2: that was not close, although there was a lot of
Speaker 2: fluky sort of touchdowns in that one. You know, you
Speaker 2: had the kick return for the touch and everything like that.
Speaker 2: So you know, in the end, I feel pretty comfortable
Speaker 2: right now with us under So, you know, expert consensus whatever,
Speaker 2: I'm good with that. I'm willing to go against them
Speaker 2: every once in a while. I like it.
Speaker 1: All right, let's recap here, and you like the Jets
Speaker 1: and the Jaguars under forty one, the Eagles plus one
Speaker 1: and a half against the Bills, and the Broncos getting
Speaker 1: five and a half from the Colts. I'm going to
Speaker 1: take the Bears and the Chargers under forty, the Panthers
Speaker 1: getting six from the Niners, and the Chiefs getting three
Speaker 1: and a half from the Packers. All right, Before we
Speaker 1: move on, I want to tell everybody about the sponsor
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Speaker 1: hunter gambler. All right, Ian, let's move on to it's
Speaker 1: a trap where we list the lines that we are avoiding.
Speaker 1: Go ahead and start us off.
Speaker 2: So I'm going to be avoiding the Cardinals and Saints game.
Speaker 2: I believe the line is it Saints ten and a half?
Speaker 2: I believe, yes, it's I mean Drew Brees. It looks
Speaker 2: like he's gonna play this week, and that just makes
Speaker 2: me a little bit nervous because of that. I mean,
Speaker 2: who knows how healthy he is. It's a little bit
Speaker 2: confusing to me that he's even coming back this week,
Speaker 2: because I think they're on by next week. I don't
Speaker 2: know why you wouldn't just take the extra week of rest,
Speaker 2: But when anytime a quarterback comes back, that kind of
Speaker 2: messes with the flow of the offense. I mean, the
Speaker 2: Saints were absolutely crushing it with Teddy Bridgewater, So who
Speaker 2: knows how kind of their offense is gonna feel about
Speaker 2: Drew Brees coming back, which is weird to say, considering
Speaker 2: Drew Brees the first ballot Hall of Famer. But it
Speaker 2: does just kind of mess with game plans, it messes
Speaker 2: with flows. So the Saints make me a little bit nervous,
Speaker 2: especially with the double digit spread there. And then on
Speaker 2: the other side of things, I don't understand Kyler Murray.
Speaker 2: I thought he was gonna be a bust and I
Speaker 2: still kind of think he is even when I watch
Speaker 2: him play. He makes throws that I don't think are
Speaker 2: the right throws to make. But he's won a couple
Speaker 2: of games and he's actually looked all like. His stats
Speaker 2: are looking all right, so it's hard for me to
Speaker 2: completely fade him. Usually with rookie quarterbacks, it's hard to
Speaker 2: bet on them because one game will look unreal, the
Speaker 2: next game will look bad, and other NFL teams that
Speaker 2: they're playing against they usually figure out rookie quarterbacks a
Speaker 2: few games in the season, and if they can find
Speaker 2: holes or ways to exploit that rookie quarterback, then they'll
Speaker 2: take advantage of them. I don't know if there's one
Speaker 2: there with Kyler Murray but him and it's the same
Speaker 2: with the Giants who It's the reason why I'm staying
Speaker 2: away from the Giants. With Daniel Jones back and then
Speaker 2: rookie quarterbacks just make me a little bit nervous. I
Speaker 2: don't know what I'm gonna get from them, so game
Speaker 2: to avoid. It's a trap for me. Is gonna be
Speaker 2: the Cardinals and Saints game.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I like it. First of all, the spread is
Speaker 1: just it's too much for me to feel comfortable with
Speaker 1: it no matter which way I go, because I do
Speaker 1: you think that the Saints win pretty italy. First of all,
Speaker 1: I'm putting it out there. I don't think Brees plays.
Speaker 1: I get that. Everything right now is pointing to the
Speaker 1: fact that he's gonna play. But you know, in the end,
Speaker 1: as you said, there's just no reason for it. They
Speaker 1: should be able to win this game handily. Bridgewater has
Speaker 1: played well. Why not give in the buy to make
Speaker 1: sure he's good. I think in the end that is
Speaker 1: what they're gonna do. But I agree with Murray. It's like,
Speaker 1: I don't know exactly what I'm gonna see With Murray.
Speaker 1: I like a lot of what I've seen of him,
Speaker 1: but it's still very much of I like the way
Speaker 1: he looks early when every play is scripted for him,
Speaker 1: and then when he goes off a little bit because
Speaker 1: they've run out of like Okay, this is what you're
Speaker 1: gonna do for your first fifteen plays. It's a little
Speaker 1: bit like, Okay, you're kind of all over the place.
Speaker 1: Some of it's good, some of it's not good. I
Speaker 1: don't really know. The Saints have a very tough defense,
Speaker 1: but when you're over ten on the line, it just,
Speaker 1: you know, it's something that makes me very uncomfortable. So
Speaker 1: this is certainly a game I'm not gonna go near.
Speaker 1: So I like it with you.
Speaker 2: Oh yeah, I was just gonna say it is gonna
Speaker 2: be a little bit interesting if Drew Brees is ruled out.
Speaker 2: I'm curious to see if that's gonna move the line
Speaker 2: at all.
Speaker 1: The problem is, I don't think he's going to be
Speaker 1: ruled out until like game day. I think this is
Speaker 1: gonna be a thing where it's going to be like, oh,
Speaker 1: we're gonna make a call on game day, and then
Speaker 1: on Sunday morning, you're gonna hear that he's out. But yeah,
Speaker 1: I mean, it opened at eight and a half, so
Speaker 1: I don't think it moved because I don't think it
Speaker 1: moved because of the money. I think it moved because
Speaker 1: of the fact that they got word that Breeze might
Speaker 1: be playing, and I think it's gonna go. So if
Speaker 1: it comes out late, my guess is it's gonna drop
Speaker 1: below ten. And in that case, you know, I could
Speaker 1: probably lean towards the Saints once it got below the
Speaker 1: key number of ten. But either way, it's just not
Speaker 1: a game that I think I really want to go
Speaker 1: against because I just don't have a good.
Speaker 2: Feel for it. If it gets back to eight and
Speaker 2: a half, it might take the Saints, but still it's tough.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree. As for me, I'm gonna be avoiding
Speaker 1: the Titans laying two and a half to the Bucks. Now,
Speaker 1: I'm gonna change this up next week. But legitimately, the
Speaker 1: Titans and the Bucks are two teams that I say
Speaker 1: every week pretty much I cannot get a read on
Speaker 1: no matter what I do, and this matchup is particularly
Speaker 1: tough for me to read because both teams stop the
Speaker 1: run really really well. So is Ryan Tannehill gonna be
Speaker 1: able to involve his wide receivers this heavily. Again, is
Speaker 1: James Winston gonna benefit from the I or is he
Speaker 1: gonna throw five picks?
Speaker 2: Again?
Speaker 1: It's two teams that I don't understand on a good day,
Speaker 1: and this matchup in particular brings in the variables the
Speaker 1: passing games, which I'm just completely not comfortable with, especially
Speaker 1: since I don't really know with what we saw with
Speaker 1: Tennehell looked, you know, much better in my opinion than
Speaker 1: Marcus Marriotta. But still, you know, I've seen enough of
Speaker 1: him in his career to not think that he's a
Speaker 1: savior or anything. So generally speaking, when the Titans and
Speaker 1: the Bucks get involved, because the Bucks have basically I
Speaker 1: picked the wrong version of the Bucks every single week.
Speaker 1: Every single week, I think it's gonna be uh, Doctor Jekyl,
Speaker 1: It's mister Hyde and vice versa. So for me, I'm
Speaker 1: staying far away from any game pretty much at this
Speaker 1: point involving either of these two teams. The fact that
Speaker 1: they are playing each other makes it really easy for me.
Speaker 1: So I'm avoiding the Titans laying two and a half
Speaker 1: to the Bucks.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I agree with that, I mean both teams. It
Speaker 2: seems like every week that you think they're gonna lose,
Speaker 2: they come out and play really well and win. And
Speaker 2: then every week you think that they're gonna win, they
Speaker 2: come out and play the crap and lose.
Speaker 1: So they both do they both do that exactly. So yeah,
Speaker 1: it's tough, all right. So you're avoiding these Saints laying
Speaker 1: ten and anl half to the Cardinals, and I am
Speaker 1: avoiding the Titans laying two and a half to the Bucks.
Speaker 1: Before we get into our final segment, remember we've got
Speaker 1: a signed Odell Beckham junior helmet giveaway contest going on.
Speaker 1: You can get more details at bettingpros dot com slash contest.
Speaker 1: But to be entered, just leave a review for the
Speaker 1: show on Apple Podcasts or Stitcher and send a screenshot
Speaker 1: of that review to contest at bettingpros dot com. All right, Ian,
Speaker 1: it is time for Top Prop, where we list our
Speaker 1: top player prop for the week.
Speaker 2: Go ahead, So I'm gonna be looking at now. You
Speaker 2: talked about this game earlier, the Packers Chiefs game. So
Speaker 2: my player prop for that game, which I actually love,
Speaker 2: is going to be Aaron Jones over seventy five rushing yards.
Speaker 2: They go to the minus one twelve. So a couple
Speaker 2: points here. The first thing is the Chiefs are tied
Speaker 2: with the Browns for the second last in the league
Speaker 2: and opponent yards per carry, so teams are getting five
Speaker 2: yards per carry against them. And then even if Mahomes
Speaker 2: is out, the game plan should be to keep the
Speaker 2: Chiefs off the field, because that's how we saw both
Speaker 2: the Colts and the Texans ACXU beat the Chiefs was
Speaker 2: to just completely keep the Chiefs explosive offense off the field.
Speaker 2: So what does that That includes running the ball a lot.
Speaker 2: So we can even prove that with numbers if we
Speaker 2: look at Marlon max numbers when the Colts beat the Chiefs,
Speaker 2: he had twenty nine carries in that game, which is
Speaker 2: his season high by pretty wide margin. Same goes for
Speaker 2: Carlos High to the Texans. He had a season high
Speaker 2: twenty six carries for the Texans when they beat the Chiefs.
Speaker 2: So the blueprint has been out on how to beat
Speaker 2: the Chiefs. It's to run the ball keep their offense
Speaker 2: off the field. So Aaron Jones, I think he's going
Speaker 2: to get a lot of carries that over seventy five
Speaker 2: yard mark. I think he's gonna be able to hit
Speaker 2: that with ease. Wouldn't be surprised if he gets over
Speaker 2: one hundred yards, to be completely honest, especially with that
Speaker 2: weak Chiefs run defense. So Aaron Jones over seventy five
Speaker 2: rushing yards, Yeah, I like it.
Speaker 1: I mean I said that the Chiefs defense looks to
Speaker 1: be getting a little healthier and they look to be improving.
Speaker 1: They were much better against the Broncos. Of course, you know,
Speaker 1: Philip Lindsay and Royce Freeman did very little on the
Speaker 1: ground in that game. But before that, Yeah, that's right,
Speaker 1: that was kind of the blueprint. Now, I don't necessarily
Speaker 1: know if the team has to stick to that blueprint
Speaker 1: right now, because the whole point of basically being like,
Speaker 1: let's keep Patrick Mahomes off the field by running the
Speaker 1: ball and controlling the clock is not really in play here.
Speaker 1: Considering More is going to be the starter almost certainly,
Speaker 1: But I don't really think that that matters that much.
Speaker 1: I mean, look, Rogers accounted for six touchdowns last week.
Speaker 1: He threw five, I believe in ran in for one.
Speaker 1: That's not what they want to do. I mean, that's
Speaker 1: not the way the Packers really want to do this.
Speaker 1: They have a very strong defense, which is getting a
Speaker 1: little weaker as I mentioned. But again, Matt Moore is
Speaker 1: not gonna light this up. I mean, they're gonna be
Speaker 1: a play or two to Tyreek Hill where he's gonna
Speaker 1: break one or something like that, but in the end,
Speaker 1: they're not gonna put up a crazy amount of points.
Speaker 1: I don't think this is one where the Packers are
Speaker 1: gonna come out firing. I think they are gonna lean
Speaker 1: on Jones and Williams to the extent. But I think,
Speaker 1: you know, as we have now seen some sanity restored,
Speaker 1: it's probably gonna be Jones leaving the way significantly over here.
Speaker 1: So yeah, I don't hate that at all. Jones over
Speaker 1: seventy five rushing yards'm minus one twelve in particular. I'm
Speaker 1: good to go with that, I am. I'm gonna go
Speaker 1: a little riskier, okay, I'm gonna go with Dante Johnson
Speaker 1: to go over seventy five yards receiving at plus one
Speaker 1: point ninety. Now Johnson is two full games here with
Speaker 1: Mason Rudolf. He's got fifty two yards receiving against the
Speaker 1: forty nine ers, seventy seven yards receiving against the Bengals,
Speaker 1: and now he gets the Dolphins. So I'm not gonna
Speaker 1: lie to you, Ian. The Dolphins are bad. They allow
Speaker 1: thirteen point six yards per catch, that is the most
Speaker 1: in the NFL, and I get it. There's certainly a
Speaker 1: risk here that the Steelers are just gonna run all day,
Speaker 1: that it's just gonna be James Connor all day, or
Speaker 1: Benny Snell or whatever they want to do, because the
Speaker 1: Dolphins are probably not gonna be able to put up
Speaker 1: a ton of points. Although to be fair, Ryan Fitzpatrick
Speaker 1: made that offense look semi competent against a very tough
Speaker 1: Bills defense last weekend, so it's possible that the Dolphins
Speaker 1: put up at least a few points here that make
Speaker 1: the Steelers throw. But in the end, what I really
Speaker 1: think it is is that I think the Steelers probably
Speaker 1: want to use this game to get Rudolph a little
Speaker 1: confidence as he returns back to the field from that
Speaker 1: massive hit that gave him a concussion. So I think
Speaker 1: this is exactly the spot to do it at pretty
Speaker 1: much two for one for your money, given the connection
Speaker 1: that Johnson has shown with Mason Rudolf, especially one of
Speaker 1: those games was against the forty nine Ers, a very
Speaker 1: tough defense I'm gonna take Johnson to go over seventy
Speaker 1: five yards receiving at plus one ninety.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean that's a sneaky little play. I actually
Speaker 2: kind of liked that a lot. To be honest, I
Speaker 2: don't really have a whole lot of thoughts so that
Speaker 2: the Dolphins are the Dolphins. We know we're gonna get
Speaker 2: within the absolutely stink. So yeah, I love that play.
Speaker 1: Wow, thanks boy, you are so excited about it. It
Speaker 1: makes me feel better than I don't hate it.
Speaker 2: Yeah.
Speaker 1: Again, I mean it was kind of I was looking
Speaker 1: through the props and you know, sometimes I like to
Speaker 1: go a little deeper, and this is one I think
Speaker 1: people really, you know, nobody's gonna really be looking at
Speaker 1: playing at this one. But there does seem to be
Speaker 1: a pretty good connection between Rudolph and Johnson. So I
Speaker 1: do think this is something where, you know, even though
Speaker 1: they will run a lot, I think they're gonna want
Speaker 1: to try to at least get Rudolph that comfortable, have
Speaker 1: him make some more throws rather than the gimmicky offense
Speaker 1: that we've kind of seen a little bit. Just to
Speaker 1: you know, this is like essentially the softest matchup that
Speaker 1: you can have so I think they're gonna try to
Speaker 1: take advantage of that as best they can. All right,
Speaker 1: that is going to do it for today's show. Thanks
Speaker 1: again for joining me.
Speaker 2: Ian.
Speaker 1: Can you remind everyone where they can find more of
Speaker 1: you and your work?
Speaker 2: Yeah? Absolutely, Please follow me on Twitter at Ian Macows.
Speaker 2: As you mentioned the top of the show, my name
Speaker 2: is spelled a little weird. It's a I N. M
Speaker 2: Acos on Twitter, so go ahead and give me a
Speaker 2: follow there.
Speaker 1: All right, great, thanks again for coming on, and I
Speaker 1: hope we can do it at least once more before
Speaker 1: the NFL season ends.
Speaker 2: Absolutely sounds good.
Speaker 1: Dan, all right, I want to remind everyone briefly about
Speaker 1: bet MGM, where you can basically win one hundred dollars
Speaker 1: for nothing if Aaron Rodgers throws a touchdown pass against
Speaker 1: the Chiefs. If you sign up using our promo code
Speaker 1: Harris and don't forget to leave us a review on
Speaker 1: Apple Podcasts or Stitcher and send a screenshot of that
Speaker 1: review to contest at bettingpro dot com to be entered
Speaker 1: into our Odell Beckham Junior signed helmet giveaway. Good luck
Speaker 1: with your wagers this weekend, we'll be back breaking down
Speaker 1: the early lines. For Week nine on Monday,