1
00:00:08,000 --> 00:00:11,240
Speaker 1: Hey there everyone, Welcome back to the Betting Pros NFL podcast,

2
00:00:11,280 --> 00:00:14,000
Speaker 1: brought to you by bet MGM. I'm your host, Dan

3
00:00:14,040 --> 00:00:15,960
Speaker 1: Harris and you can find me on Twitter at Dan

4
00:00:16,000 --> 00:00:18,400
Speaker 1: Harris Ady. It is time to break down some of

5
00:00:18,440 --> 00:00:21,240
Speaker 1: our favorite and our least favorite bets for the weekend

6
00:00:21,280 --> 00:00:23,400
Speaker 1: at NFL Slate. With me to do it all is

7
00:00:23,480 --> 00:00:27,160
Speaker 1: Ian McMillan, a writer for oddshark dot Com. Ian runs

8
00:00:27,160 --> 00:00:29,440
Speaker 1: the gamut over there in terms of his coverage way

9
00:00:29,440 --> 00:00:32,040
Speaker 1: beyond just the NFL. You can find him on Twitter

10
00:00:32,159 --> 00:00:34,800
Speaker 1: at Ian mac os. And I'm going to spell that

11
00:00:34,880 --> 00:00:37,159
Speaker 1: for you because you will never get it right. I

12
00:00:37,680 --> 00:00:41,600
Speaker 1: A I N m ac Os. He can explain that

13
00:00:41,600 --> 00:00:43,600
Speaker 1: if you'd like. Ian, Thank you for joining me today.

14
00:00:43,640 --> 00:00:44,120
Speaker 1: How's it going.

15
00:00:44,440 --> 00:00:46,680
Speaker 2: It's going well, Dan, Yeah, happy to be here, Happy

16
00:00:46,680 --> 00:00:48,479
Speaker 2: to be back. I believe is week one there the

17
00:00:48,479 --> 00:00:50,000
Speaker 2: first time I was on, Hopefully it can do a

18
00:00:50,040 --> 00:00:51,520
Speaker 2: little bit better. I think I was one for two

19
00:00:51,600 --> 00:00:54,600
Speaker 2: with my side bets there that week. So but do

20
00:00:54,680 --> 00:00:57,040
Speaker 2: you go. I'm gonna go perfect sweet sweep this week.

21
00:00:57,120 --> 00:00:58,560
Speaker 2: I can almost guarantee it.

22
00:00:58,720 --> 00:01:01,360
Speaker 1: I love the confidence and we really need it because

23
00:01:01,480 --> 00:01:04,800
Speaker 1: last week was a complete disaster for us. I mean,

24
00:01:05,120 --> 00:01:06,960
Speaker 1: I mean I missed. I'm just gonna put it out

25
00:01:06,959 --> 00:01:09,720
Speaker 1: there because sometimes I sweep. Sometimes it's great. Last week

26
00:01:09,920 --> 00:01:12,240
Speaker 1: was terrible for me. I missed on all three of

27
00:01:12,280 --> 00:01:14,840
Speaker 1: my picks, with the Bears and Saints under thirty eight

28
00:01:14,840 --> 00:01:17,319
Speaker 1: and a half, the forty nine ers laying nine to

29
00:01:17,360 --> 00:01:19,480
Speaker 1: the Redskins of Lough to be fair that pushed, and

30
00:01:19,520 --> 00:01:21,679
Speaker 1: the Bills and the Dolphins under forty and a half. Now,

31
00:01:21,680 --> 00:01:24,040
Speaker 1: I did hit on the top prop, which was Leonard

32
00:01:24,080 --> 00:01:26,759
Speaker 1: Fournette over one hundred and twenty four yards rushing at

33
00:01:26,760 --> 00:01:29,480
Speaker 1: plus two fifty, so hopefully that made up for a

34
00:01:29,560 --> 00:01:32,360
Speaker 1: bit our guest. Meanwhile, Matt Perrault was not much better.

35
00:01:32,440 --> 00:01:34,240
Speaker 1: He missed on both the Eagles plus two and a

36
00:01:34,280 --> 00:01:36,880
Speaker 1: half against the Cowboys and the Jets getting nine and

37
00:01:36,880 --> 00:01:39,120
Speaker 1: a half from the Patriots. He did hit in the

38
00:01:39,120 --> 00:01:41,920
Speaker 1: Colt Slang one to the Texans, and that was after

39
00:01:42,280 --> 00:01:45,319
Speaker 1: again a near perfect week the week before. So let's

40
00:01:45,319 --> 00:01:47,120
Speaker 1: just jump back on the horse and get this nonsense

41
00:01:47,120 --> 00:01:48,960
Speaker 1: straight out. It sounds like you're ready to go, so

42
00:01:49,320 --> 00:01:51,320
Speaker 1: we're gonna get right into it. Okay. As always, We're

43
00:01:51,320 --> 00:01:53,960
Speaker 1: gonna get started with pick six, where both Ian and

44
00:01:53,960 --> 00:01:56,080
Speaker 1: I are going to give three of our favorite bets

45
00:01:56,080 --> 00:01:58,360
Speaker 1: for this weekend, either against the spread or on the

46
00:01:58,400 --> 00:02:00,440
Speaker 1: over under. And as always, I'm gonna know that we're

47
00:02:00,480 --> 00:02:02,640
Speaker 1: recording this on Thursday night, so we will not be

48
00:02:02,720 --> 00:02:05,640
Speaker 1: making any picks on the Vikings Redskins game. But if

49
00:02:05,680 --> 00:02:07,880
Speaker 1: you want to see how I picked that game, you

50
00:02:07,920 --> 00:02:09,799
Speaker 1: can go to betting pros dot com. That's gonna show

51
00:02:09,800 --> 00:02:12,239
Speaker 1: you how I and every single betting expert who makes

52
00:02:12,280 --> 00:02:14,600
Speaker 1: picks on the site made their picks for that In

53
00:02:14,680 --> 00:02:16,840
Speaker 1: every game, we are also going to be using the

54
00:02:16,919 --> 00:02:20,359
Speaker 1: bettingpros dot Com consensus odds and making our picks. Those

55
00:02:20,400 --> 00:02:23,080
Speaker 1: are the aggregate odds that you're gonna find available in

56
00:02:23,120 --> 00:02:25,959
Speaker 1: the market, so they're constantly shifting depending on where things

57
00:02:25,960 --> 00:02:28,720
Speaker 1: are at the various sportsbooks. All right, Ian, let's go

58
00:02:28,760 --> 00:02:30,200
Speaker 1: start us off with's your first pick here?

59
00:02:30,360 --> 00:02:32,560
Speaker 2: Okay, my first pick, my favorite pick for the week.

60
00:02:32,600 --> 00:02:35,600
Speaker 2: I'm gonna take the Eagles plus one point five over

61
00:02:35,720 --> 00:02:39,080
Speaker 2: the Bills. So I believe actually mentioned this the first

62
00:02:39,080 --> 00:02:40,480
Speaker 2: time I was on right before a week one of

63
00:02:40,480 --> 00:02:42,880
Speaker 2: the seasons that Buffalo Bills were actually my pick for

64
00:02:43,280 --> 00:02:45,799
Speaker 2: being the most like the most surprising team this season,

65
00:02:45,919 --> 00:02:49,040
Speaker 2: and they've actually proven that they are, but I do

66
00:02:49,120 --> 00:02:51,639
Speaker 2: think they are being a little bit overvalued in the spot.

67
00:02:51,680 --> 00:02:53,120
Speaker 2: I do think they're gonna make the playoffs. I think

68
00:02:53,120 --> 00:02:55,000
Speaker 2: they're gonna be a wildcare team, but they're going up

69
00:02:55,080 --> 00:02:57,000
Speaker 2: against an Eagles team that's on the other side of

70
00:02:57,000 --> 00:03:00,480
Speaker 2: things where they're undervalued, especially after that ugly performance against

71
00:03:00,480 --> 00:03:03,560
Speaker 2: the Cowboys there on Sunday Night. We need to judge

72
00:03:03,600 --> 00:03:06,320
Speaker 2: teams based on talent, and you need to not let

73
00:03:06,360 --> 00:03:08,440
Speaker 2: recent games affect you. The weird thing about betting on

74
00:03:08,480 --> 00:03:10,160
Speaker 2: the NFL that not a lot of people really talk

75
00:03:10,200 --> 00:03:13,440
Speaker 2: about have mentioned is that the sample size is so small.

76
00:03:14,320 --> 00:03:16,560
Speaker 2: In like the MLB season, I would never place a

77
00:03:16,560 --> 00:03:19,160
Speaker 2: bet until at least ten to fifteen games into the season,

78
00:03:19,760 --> 00:03:23,080
Speaker 2: and the NFL we get sixteen games total before the playoffs,

79
00:03:23,080 --> 00:03:25,520
Speaker 2: so it's a small sample size. So you can't let

80
00:03:25,600 --> 00:03:28,799
Speaker 2: recent games affect your bias. So that's what I'm doing here.

81
00:03:28,840 --> 00:03:31,720
Speaker 2: The Eagles are the more talented and skilled team over

82
00:03:31,760 --> 00:03:34,280
Speaker 2: the Bills in my opinion. Don't forget, they had a

83
00:03:34,360 --> 00:03:36,240
Speaker 2: road win against the Packers this season, so they do

84
00:03:36,320 --> 00:03:39,880
Speaker 2: know how to win on the road. So I like

85
00:03:39,920 --> 00:03:42,200
Speaker 2: the Eagles, especially as a slight underdog in the spot,

86
00:03:42,280 --> 00:03:44,960
Speaker 2: so give me them plus one point five in Buffalo.

87
00:03:45,360 --> 00:03:47,720
Speaker 1: Okay, So I'm gonna be honest, I consider taking this

88
00:03:47,760 --> 00:03:49,760
Speaker 1: game as well as always. You guys know, I have

89
00:03:49,920 --> 00:03:52,800
Speaker 1: our guest email me their picks shortly before we go on,

90
00:03:52,880 --> 00:03:55,640
Speaker 1: so don't steal anything from them. Accidentally, this one was

91
00:03:55,680 --> 00:03:58,360
Speaker 1: definitely under consideration for me. One of the things that

92
00:03:58,440 --> 00:04:00,360
Speaker 1: kind of stuck out to me is that the one

93
00:04:00,360 --> 00:04:02,400
Speaker 1: and a half points spread, you know, given the fact

94
00:04:02,400 --> 00:04:04,280
Speaker 1: that I mean, I guess the Bills didn't look that

95
00:04:04,440 --> 00:04:07,400
Speaker 1: great this weekend against Miami, but you know, they certainly

96
00:04:07,400 --> 00:04:09,520
Speaker 1: did what they need to do, and the Eagles looked

97
00:04:09,600 --> 00:04:12,840
Speaker 1: absolutely horrendous right against Dallas. The line did not move.

98
00:04:12,960 --> 00:04:15,560
Speaker 1: Usually after something like that, like with the Jaguars and

99
00:04:15,560 --> 00:04:18,080
Speaker 1: the Jets, where the Jets immediately lost a point and

100
00:04:18,120 --> 00:04:20,600
Speaker 1: a half on the spread and where the Patriots moved

101
00:04:20,640 --> 00:04:22,719
Speaker 1: up about three points on the spread, you know, given

102
00:04:22,720 --> 00:04:24,640
Speaker 1: what the public's going to react to it, the Eagles

103
00:04:24,680 --> 00:04:26,279
Speaker 1: and the Bills didn't move. They were at one and

104
00:04:26,279 --> 00:04:27,800
Speaker 1: a half before that game, they were at one and

105
00:04:27,800 --> 00:04:30,320
Speaker 1: a half after that game. So that is a sign

106
00:04:30,440 --> 00:04:32,719
Speaker 1: to me that in the end, you know, at least,

107
00:04:32,760 --> 00:04:36,240
Speaker 1: the odds makers are probably feeling relatively bullish on where

108
00:04:36,279 --> 00:04:38,080
Speaker 1: they mark the Eagles going in and when you look

109
00:04:38,080 --> 00:04:40,240
Speaker 1: at the Bills, I too in the preseason. As I

110
00:04:40,240 --> 00:04:42,760
Speaker 1: remind Jason Logan whenever he comes back on this podcast,

111
00:04:42,920 --> 00:04:44,480
Speaker 1: I like them over. I believe it was six and

112
00:04:44,520 --> 00:04:46,640
Speaker 1: a half wins. I felt pretty good about them especially,

113
00:04:46,800 --> 00:04:48,600
Speaker 1: but that was a lot of it because of their

114
00:04:48,640 --> 00:04:51,000
Speaker 1: schedule and when you look at who they've played. They've

115
00:04:51,000 --> 00:04:53,760
Speaker 1: played the Jets, they played the Giants, they've played the Bengals,

116
00:04:53,800 --> 00:04:57,200
Speaker 1: they've played the Dolphins. It's not exactly a murderer's role here.

117
00:04:57,240 --> 00:04:59,600
Speaker 1: So I am inclined to go with you. I'm a

118
00:04:59,640 --> 00:05:01,479
Speaker 1: little glad that you took it so I didn't have

119
00:05:01,560 --> 00:05:04,119
Speaker 1: to because I feel just a little skittish. It doesn't

120
00:05:04,120 --> 00:05:06,760
Speaker 1: look like the Shan Jackson is coming back. The Eagles

121
00:05:06,960 --> 00:05:08,800
Speaker 1: just look like they are in disarray. But the big

122
00:05:08,800 --> 00:05:11,000
Speaker 1: thing about the Eagles, for me at least, was they

123
00:05:11,000 --> 00:05:13,200
Speaker 1: can really stop the run. Right, That's the one thing

124
00:05:13,279 --> 00:05:15,560
Speaker 1: that they have been able to do well consistently this

125
00:05:15,600 --> 00:05:18,679
Speaker 1: whole season. They really struggle in the secondary, but that's

126
00:05:18,720 --> 00:05:22,159
Speaker 1: not exactly where Josh Allen and his you know wildly inaccurate.

127
00:05:22,279 --> 00:05:24,840
Speaker 1: Arm is really going to make his mark, So I'm

128
00:05:24,839 --> 00:05:26,039
Speaker 1: certainly inclined to agree with you.

129
00:05:26,160 --> 00:05:28,440
Speaker 2: Yeah, exactly. Those are great points he made, and especially

130
00:05:28,440 --> 00:05:30,440
Speaker 2: with the strength of schedule. That was one thing I

131
00:05:30,440 --> 00:05:32,560
Speaker 2: didn't mention there is that the wins this season have

132
00:05:32,600 --> 00:05:34,839
Speaker 2: come against teams that are combined I believe six and

133
00:05:34,920 --> 00:05:37,880
Speaker 2: twenty seven if my math is right. So because of that,

134
00:05:37,920 --> 00:05:39,680
Speaker 2: I think they're being a little bit overvalued. And like

135
00:05:39,720 --> 00:05:42,800
Speaker 2: you said, Eagles run defense is definitely their strength. Yeah.

136
00:05:42,839 --> 00:05:44,920
Speaker 1: Now, I mean I do get a little nervous betting

137
00:05:44,920 --> 00:05:46,960
Speaker 1: against teams in Buffalo. I mean it's not the weather

138
00:05:47,040 --> 00:05:48,200
Speaker 1: is in the factory yet, but I did go to

139
00:05:48,240 --> 00:05:50,840
Speaker 1: school there and they are insane because that's pretty much

140
00:05:50,839 --> 00:05:52,440
Speaker 1: all they have there. But still I agree with you.

141
00:05:52,520 --> 00:05:54,040
Speaker 1: I'm on board. I'm glad I didn't have to take

142
00:05:54,040 --> 00:05:55,880
Speaker 1: it though, because I felt a little squishy about it.

143
00:05:56,040 --> 00:05:57,599
Speaker 1: But I'll back you there. With the Eagles getting one

144
00:05:57,640 --> 00:05:59,760
Speaker 1: and a half for my first pick, I'm going to

145
00:05:59,839 --> 00:06:03,000
Speaker 1: take the Panthers getting six from the forty nine ers.

146
00:06:03,040 --> 00:06:04,800
Speaker 1: I talked about this a bit with Alex kalo J

147
00:06:05,160 --> 00:06:07,120
Speaker 1: when we were talking when we were taking a look

148
00:06:07,120 --> 00:06:09,640
Speaker 1: at the opening lines on Monday, and six struck us

149
00:06:09,760 --> 00:06:12,160
Speaker 1: as a little bit too high. Now it ad dropping

150
00:06:12,440 --> 00:06:15,560
Speaker 1: to about five right about when we were about to record,

151
00:06:16,440 --> 00:06:18,760
Speaker 1: and for that I got a little iffy on it.

152
00:06:18,839 --> 00:06:21,240
Speaker 1: But it's back up to six and I feel pretty

153
00:06:21,240 --> 00:06:23,320
Speaker 1: good about it. The Panthers, to me, are just a

154
00:06:23,560 --> 00:06:26,400
Speaker 1: very very good football team. They've won four straight and

155
00:06:26,440 --> 00:06:28,400
Speaker 1: they're coming off a bye here, and I think with

156
00:06:28,480 --> 00:06:30,960
Speaker 1: this offense we kind of forgot how good it can

157
00:06:31,000 --> 00:06:33,120
Speaker 1: be when Norv Turner came on board. Remember there were

158
00:06:33,160 --> 00:06:35,320
Speaker 1: six and two last year before Cam Newton got hurt,

159
00:06:35,520 --> 00:06:37,440
Speaker 1: and he was having a very solid year with an

160
00:06:37,440 --> 00:06:40,640
Speaker 1: excellent completion percentage before the injury. Then he just couldn't

161
00:06:40,640 --> 00:06:42,719
Speaker 1: throw to finish last year. He couldn't throw to start

162
00:06:42,760 --> 00:06:45,400
Speaker 1: this year. So obviously things look stagnant. But now you've

163
00:06:45,400 --> 00:06:47,520
Speaker 1: got Kyle Allen in there, and he's not a superstar

164
00:06:47,560 --> 00:06:49,840
Speaker 1: by any means, but he is a capable quarterback who

165
00:06:49,880 --> 00:06:52,760
Speaker 1: can move the ball complete shorter passes, and that's really

166
00:06:52,800 --> 00:06:55,040
Speaker 1: all they need with extra time to prepare coming off

167
00:06:55,080 --> 00:06:57,840
Speaker 1: the by the extra time also gets them healthier here.

168
00:06:57,880 --> 00:06:59,240
Speaker 1: I mean, it sounds like Turner is going to be

169
00:06:59,279 --> 00:07:01,640
Speaker 1: back from his angle in on their offensive line, which

170
00:07:01,680 --> 00:07:03,560
Speaker 1: should be a boost. The secondary looks like they'll get

171
00:07:03,560 --> 00:07:06,320
Speaker 1: back Dwantae Jackson, and they've had a great pass defense

172
00:07:06,320 --> 00:07:09,159
Speaker 1: all year anyway. James Bradbrier has played extremely well. Ross

173
00:07:09,160 --> 00:07:11,400
Speaker 1: Cockrell has picked it up with late. So it used

174
00:07:11,400 --> 00:07:13,240
Speaker 1: to be like you couldn't you didn't want to pass

175
00:07:13,240 --> 00:07:14,880
Speaker 1: on them, you'd attack them on the ground. But they've

176
00:07:14,920 --> 00:07:17,440
Speaker 1: cleaned that up a little bit over recent weeks. They

177
00:07:17,440 --> 00:07:19,160
Speaker 1: were able to get pressure and I think in this

178
00:07:19,240 --> 00:07:22,400
Speaker 1: matchup particularly that's important because the forty nine ers are

179
00:07:22,400 --> 00:07:24,240
Speaker 1: pretty beat up on their offensive line. And when you

180
00:07:24,280 --> 00:07:25,840
Speaker 1: look at the forty nine ers, who are of course

181
00:07:25,960 --> 00:07:28,800
Speaker 1: undefeated for the most part, they have not been great offensively,

182
00:07:28,920 --> 00:07:31,160
Speaker 1: especially lately. I mean, they've been winning with their defense.

183
00:07:31,200 --> 00:07:32,640
Speaker 1: You want to throw out last week because it was

184
00:07:32,680 --> 00:07:34,760
Speaker 1: in the monsoon against the Redskins. I'm fine with that,

185
00:07:35,080 --> 00:07:36,800
Speaker 1: but they didn't put up a ton of points the

186
00:07:36,840 --> 00:07:39,960
Speaker 1: week before that against the Rams. It's mostly just the defense.

187
00:07:40,200 --> 00:07:42,760
Speaker 1: Now they've added Emmanuel Sanders. That's fine, but I mean

188
00:07:42,800 --> 00:07:45,000
Speaker 1: he's gonna play, but he's not gonna be able to,

189
00:07:45,360 --> 00:07:47,120
Speaker 1: you know, play the whole game. He doesn't know the playbook,

190
00:07:47,200 --> 00:07:50,400
Speaker 1: yet they're down Deebo Samuel probably Marky's Goodwin is dealing

191
00:07:50,400 --> 00:07:52,320
Speaker 1: with the concussion. And you know, again they've been winning,

192
00:07:52,320 --> 00:07:54,280
Speaker 1: but that injury to Kylie Uscheck. When you look at

193
00:07:54,280 --> 00:07:57,040
Speaker 1: their running game, how they've been it has really impacted it.

194
00:07:57,080 --> 00:07:59,320
Speaker 1: The fact that they're winning kind of masks all that.

195
00:08:00,080 --> 00:08:01,960
Speaker 1: Even though the volume is still there with their running backs.

196
00:08:01,960 --> 00:08:03,800
Speaker 1: I mean, Tevin Coleman in particular, is getting a lot

197
00:08:03,800 --> 00:08:06,080
Speaker 1: of carries. It's not a great yard per carry average.

198
00:08:06,080 --> 00:08:07,880
Speaker 1: They're not moving the ball all that well. In the end,

199
00:08:08,160 --> 00:08:10,400
Speaker 1: this just strikes me as a really really close game

200
00:08:10,440 --> 00:08:12,440
Speaker 1: with the Panthers coming off of bye. Again, if it

201
00:08:12,520 --> 00:08:14,160
Speaker 1: was four four and a half, which is where it

202
00:08:14,160 --> 00:08:16,200
Speaker 1: looked like it had been moving at the time that

203
00:08:16,240 --> 00:08:18,080
Speaker 1: we recorded on Monday, I was a little iffy on it.

204
00:08:18,120 --> 00:08:19,640
Speaker 1: But at six, I'm gonna take that.

205
00:08:20,080 --> 00:08:21,520
Speaker 2: Yeah, I love that pick a lot. I mean, the

206
00:08:21,520 --> 00:08:23,800
Speaker 2: forty nine ers week in and week out of just

207
00:08:24,080 --> 00:08:26,280
Speaker 2: I'm not a huge believer in them. Like you kind

208
00:08:26,280 --> 00:08:28,040
Speaker 2: of mentioned, their offense is slowed down a little bit.

209
00:08:28,120 --> 00:08:30,720
Speaker 2: It seems to me like every time they play a team,

210
00:08:30,880 --> 00:08:34,040
Speaker 2: that team doesn't play well. Now, is that because the

211
00:08:34,080 --> 00:08:35,880
Speaker 2: other team's not playing well or is that because their

212
00:08:35,880 --> 00:08:37,520
Speaker 2: defense is that good that it makes it seem like

213
00:08:37,559 --> 00:08:40,440
Speaker 2: the other team's not playing well. But I'm still on

214
00:08:40,520 --> 00:08:43,160
Speaker 2: that point where I'm just gonna I'm gonna bet against

215
00:08:43,160 --> 00:08:45,520
Speaker 2: the forty nine ers because I just don't think they

216
00:08:45,520 --> 00:08:48,000
Speaker 2: are as good as the record shows. So I like

217
00:08:48,080 --> 00:08:48,440
Speaker 2: that pick.

218
00:08:48,559 --> 00:08:49,960
Speaker 1: I don't want to take too much away from them

219
00:08:49,960 --> 00:08:51,640
Speaker 1: because I do like them, I really do. I do

220
00:08:51,679 --> 00:08:54,679
Speaker 1: think the used check injury really really hampers their running game.

221
00:08:54,679 --> 00:08:56,920
Speaker 1: And again, you know they have a good but their schedule,

222
00:08:56,960 --> 00:08:59,680
Speaker 1: you know, the Bucks are certainly not impressive. The Bengals

223
00:08:59,679 --> 00:09:02,680
Speaker 1: are the Steelers. We're dealing with, you know, a rookie

224
00:09:02,760 --> 00:09:05,960
Speaker 1: quarterback with Mason Rudolff. The Browns are a disaster. The

225
00:09:06,120 --> 00:09:08,120
Speaker 1: Rams were missing Todd Gurley, I believe in that game,

226
00:09:08,160 --> 00:09:10,600
Speaker 1: and their offensive line is terrible. And then the Redskins,

227
00:09:10,600 --> 00:09:12,800
Speaker 1: so it's not this murderers row that they've gone through

228
00:09:12,800 --> 00:09:14,280
Speaker 1: a little bit like we're talking about with the Bills.

229
00:09:14,280 --> 00:09:16,319
Speaker 1: So for me, I'm willing to take the value here

230
00:09:16,320 --> 00:09:19,320
Speaker 1: because I've really much more been impressed with Carolina. All right,

231
00:09:19,360 --> 00:09:21,280
Speaker 1: let's move on to your second pick. What do you got.

232
00:09:21,240 --> 00:09:23,240
Speaker 2: Okay, So for my second pick, I'm gonna take a

233
00:09:23,280 --> 00:09:25,760
Speaker 2: total play. I'm gonna be taking the under forty one

234
00:09:25,880 --> 00:09:29,760
Speaker 2: in the Jets in Jaguars game. The first major point

235
00:09:29,760 --> 00:09:33,559
Speaker 2: that's the most obvious. The Jets are brutal on offense.

236
00:09:33,679 --> 00:09:36,440
Speaker 2: They are tied with the Dolphins for the lowest gording

237
00:09:36,480 --> 00:09:39,480
Speaker 2: team the league, only getting ten point five points per game. Now,

238
00:09:39,520 --> 00:09:41,600
Speaker 2: I do recognize that Fulk was a quarterback there for

239
00:09:41,640 --> 00:09:43,839
Speaker 2: most of their games so far the season, but I mean,

240
00:09:43,840 --> 00:09:45,840
Speaker 2: we just saw what happened with Sam Darnold there on

241
00:09:45,920 --> 00:09:48,800
Speaker 2: Monday night. He's seeing ghosts, So I don't.

242
00:09:48,720 --> 00:09:51,440
Speaker 1: By the way, I mean he has to do something

243
00:09:51,480 --> 00:09:54,160
Speaker 1: with Ghostbusters for Halloween, right, I mean that that is

244
00:09:54,200 --> 00:09:56,040
Speaker 1: a guarantee. Right, he should go as the state pub

245
00:09:56,120 --> 00:09:58,360
Speaker 1: marshmallow Man or something like that. Just just mix it

246
00:09:58,440 --> 00:09:58,920
Speaker 1: up a little bit.

247
00:09:59,040 --> 00:10:00,480
Speaker 2: Yeah, And I feel like if you have she makes

248
00:10:00,520 --> 00:10:02,760
Speaker 2: like a self deprecating joke about it, then people will

249
00:10:02,760 --> 00:10:05,559
Speaker 2: stop kind of making fun of him for it.

250
00:10:05,720 --> 00:10:07,240
Speaker 1: I do want to pass. I do want to point

251
00:10:07,240 --> 00:10:09,400
Speaker 1: out just because I'm a Jets fan and you know,

252
00:10:09,480 --> 00:10:11,680
Speaker 1: I've got it. He actually gave a great press conference

253
00:10:11,679 --> 00:10:14,040
Speaker 1: today where he fully owned it. He totally took it,

254
00:10:14,559 --> 00:10:16,440
Speaker 1: so it makes me a little happy. Anyway, go ahead,

255
00:10:16,480 --> 00:10:17,240
Speaker 1: I'm sorry, keep going.

256
00:10:17,360 --> 00:10:19,920
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, not even to get two sidetracked on it.

257
00:10:19,960 --> 00:10:21,200
Speaker 2: But really, I don't think it's that big of a

258
00:10:21,200 --> 00:10:22,960
Speaker 2: deal that he said it. He's going up against one

259
00:10:23,000 --> 00:10:25,480
Speaker 2: of the the best defense in the league on primetime football.

260
00:10:25,480 --> 00:10:26,960
Speaker 2: I mean, that kind of stuff just happens for a

261
00:10:26,960 --> 00:10:30,480
Speaker 2: young quarterback. But yeah, completely agree. So under forty one

262
00:10:30,520 --> 00:10:32,600
Speaker 2: with the Jets and Jaguars, Jets are only scoring ten

263
00:10:32,600 --> 00:10:35,920
Speaker 2: point five points per game, and if you've watched Jaguars games,

264
00:10:36,040 --> 00:10:37,920
Speaker 2: I mean they're they're not too much better as far

265
00:10:37,960 --> 00:10:39,439
Speaker 2: as points per game. I think they're twentieth in the

266
00:10:39,520 --> 00:10:41,920
Speaker 2: league at twenty point six points per game. But they're

267
00:10:41,960 --> 00:10:44,280
Speaker 2: not really like this air raid offense. Gardner Minsho's like

268
00:10:44,320 --> 00:10:46,800
Speaker 2: he's a real game manager. They slow the game down.

269
00:10:46,840 --> 00:10:49,240
Speaker 2: They've been feeding Leonard Fournett quite a bit, which, of course,

270
00:10:49,280 --> 00:10:51,040
Speaker 2: you know, if they run the ball, that keeps the

271
00:10:51,040 --> 00:10:54,800
Speaker 2: clock moving. The quicker the clock moves, the less opportunity

272
00:10:54,840 --> 00:10:58,439
Speaker 2: there are for points scored, and that's when unders usually hit.

273
00:10:59,360 --> 00:11:02,400
Speaker 2: And Jaguars are eighth in time of possession as well,

274
00:11:02,440 --> 00:11:05,840
Speaker 2: so that kind of proves that fact, and between the

275
00:11:05,880 --> 00:11:08,679
Speaker 2: two teams for their average combined scores, that Jets are

276
00:11:08,760 --> 00:11:10,960
Speaker 2: averaging combined score in their games at thirty six point

277
00:11:11,040 --> 00:11:14,800
Speaker 2: five Jaguars at forty one point seventy one combined points

278
00:11:14,800 --> 00:11:17,199
Speaker 2: per game, So both teams would have to have an

279
00:11:17,240 --> 00:11:20,120
Speaker 2: above average mark compared to the rest of games this

280
00:11:20,200 --> 00:11:23,520
Speaker 2: season for that total to go over. So I like

281
00:11:23,559 --> 00:11:25,280
Speaker 2: the under forty one. There. I'm just kind of a

282
00:11:25,440 --> 00:11:28,120
Speaker 2: I like unders in general. I pretty rarely bet overs

283
00:11:28,160 --> 00:11:31,120
Speaker 2: in the NFL, just because I think books kind of

284
00:11:31,400 --> 00:11:33,320
Speaker 2: entice it to take overs because they're funder to bet,

285
00:11:33,520 --> 00:11:34,839
Speaker 2: so I just kind of like to go in the

286
00:11:34,880 --> 00:11:36,680
Speaker 2: opposite side of that. I like taking under. So this

287
00:11:36,720 --> 00:11:38,800
Speaker 2: is my favorite underspot for the week with the Jet,

288
00:11:38,880 --> 00:11:39,640
Speaker 2: Jets and Jags.

289
00:11:39,880 --> 00:11:42,200
Speaker 1: Yeah, that is a great point that. I mean, lines

290
00:11:42,200 --> 00:11:45,079
Speaker 1: are designed because they know that the public loves overs.

291
00:11:45,120 --> 00:11:47,160
Speaker 1: Who wants to bet an under that's so boring that

292
00:11:47,200 --> 00:11:49,640
Speaker 1: you're rooting again to go right exactly. So I agree

293
00:11:49,880 --> 00:11:52,600
Speaker 1: generally speaking, I like to bet the under when I can.

294
00:11:52,679 --> 00:11:54,640
Speaker 1: I agree with you here. Also, I mean I don't

295
00:11:54,640 --> 00:11:57,280
Speaker 1: feel overly strongly. I kind of like the Jets getting six,

296
00:11:57,360 --> 00:11:58,960
Speaker 1: but I'm not gonna that's not one of my picks

297
00:11:59,000 --> 00:12:00,920
Speaker 1: or anything like that. I do expect this to be

298
00:12:01,080 --> 00:12:05,640
Speaker 1: a relatively close scoring game. The Jets, look, I mean CJ.

299
00:12:05,720 --> 00:12:08,880
Speaker 1: Mosley may probably you know, reinjured his growing. I don't

300
00:12:08,880 --> 00:12:10,640
Speaker 1: know if he's gonna play here. But either way, even

301
00:12:10,679 --> 00:12:13,360
Speaker 1: without him, the Jets are pretty solid against the run.

302
00:12:13,440 --> 00:12:15,360
Speaker 1: That's the one thing that they've been able to do

303
00:12:15,400 --> 00:12:18,400
Speaker 1: well this year on defense. And with that, you know,

304
00:12:18,520 --> 00:12:21,560
Speaker 1: the Jaguars they want to rely on Fournette, Minshew magic.

305
00:12:21,640 --> 00:12:24,200
Speaker 1: I mean it's fading a little bit. I mean, you know,

306
00:12:24,240 --> 00:12:26,679
Speaker 1: a Djhark has been good. Dede Westbrooks ceiling was a

307
00:12:26,720 --> 00:12:28,640
Speaker 1: little bit of an injury. I think he's gonna play,

308
00:12:28,640 --> 00:12:30,240
Speaker 1: But you know, it's not as if they have this

309
00:12:30,360 --> 00:12:32,880
Speaker 1: explosive passing game, which is really in the end where

310
00:12:32,880 --> 00:12:34,680
Speaker 1: you're able to attack the Jets. As for the Jets,

311
00:12:34,720 --> 00:12:37,640
Speaker 1: they're not gonna look as inept offensively as they looked

312
00:12:37,640 --> 00:12:40,280
Speaker 1: against the Patriots. Hopefully, you know, the offensive line coach

313
00:12:40,360 --> 00:12:42,959
Speaker 1: is either fired or they understand that sometimes you have

314
00:12:43,000 --> 00:12:45,360
Speaker 1: to shift protection. I do expect a little bit of

315
00:12:45,360 --> 00:12:47,200
Speaker 1: a bounce back here, but again, you know they're in

316
00:12:47,280 --> 00:12:50,280
Speaker 1: Selmo they've got Robbie Anderson on the trade block already.

317
00:12:50,280 --> 00:12:52,240
Speaker 1: I don't expect this to be some sort of, you know,

318
00:12:52,480 --> 00:12:55,360
Speaker 1: magical offensive game. The Jaguars are solid on defense as well,

319
00:12:55,400 --> 00:12:57,680
Speaker 1: so overall, I agree with you here. I like the

320
00:12:57,760 --> 00:12:59,600
Speaker 1: under end. It's not one of my picks, but if

321
00:12:59,640 --> 00:13:01,400
Speaker 1: you're thinking thinking about it, I will say that I

322
00:13:01,400 --> 00:13:03,760
Speaker 1: personally do like the Jets a little bit getting six.

323
00:13:03,800 --> 00:13:06,400
Speaker 1: I think that recency bias is something, especially with how

324
00:13:06,480 --> 00:13:07,920
Speaker 1: terrible they looked it was at four and a half

325
00:13:07,920 --> 00:13:10,200
Speaker 1: before the game. I think people, you know, the line

326
00:13:10,240 --> 00:13:13,280
Speaker 1: moves immediately after a game like that. But in the end,

327
00:13:13,320 --> 00:13:14,719
Speaker 1: I think there is value with the Jets of six.

328
00:13:14,800 --> 00:13:17,079
Speaker 1: But I'm with you so far together. Unfortunately, Look, I

329
00:13:17,520 --> 00:13:19,000
Speaker 1: don't want to, you know, make you feel bad, but

330
00:13:19,040 --> 00:13:20,920
Speaker 1: I was with Matt on all three of his picks

331
00:13:21,000 --> 00:13:23,319
Speaker 1: last week and he basically he whiffed, So it might

332
00:13:23,320 --> 00:13:25,280
Speaker 1: be the kiss of death for you here. All right,

333
00:13:25,320 --> 00:13:28,600
Speaker 1: So on to my next pick number two. I'm interested

334
00:13:28,640 --> 00:13:30,199
Speaker 1: to see what you think about this one, because I

335
00:13:30,400 --> 00:13:32,839
Speaker 1: could see you not being fond of this. But I'm

336
00:13:32,880 --> 00:13:34,400
Speaker 1: gonna stick with the spreads here and I'm going to

337
00:13:34,440 --> 00:13:37,160
Speaker 1: take the Chiefs getting three and a half at home

338
00:13:37,600 --> 00:13:40,079
Speaker 1: against the Packers. This is another line that I liked

339
00:13:40,360 --> 00:13:42,360
Speaker 1: on Monday. It was at four, but as long as

340
00:13:42,400 --> 00:13:44,600
Speaker 1: it's above the key number of three, I'm still on

341
00:13:44,600 --> 00:13:46,800
Speaker 1: board with it. Now, the look aheadline before the Mahomes

342
00:13:46,800 --> 00:13:49,560
Speaker 1: injury was Chiefs by four. So this has swung more

343
00:13:49,600 --> 00:13:52,840
Speaker 1: than a full touchdown and it's crossed two key numbers here, right,

344
00:13:52,880 --> 00:13:55,840
Speaker 1: I mean it crossed from the Chiefs laying three to

345
00:13:55,920 --> 00:13:58,199
Speaker 1: the Chiefs getting three. The public is probably going to

346
00:13:58,240 --> 00:14:01,120
Speaker 1: go on the Packers here, which should immediately throw up

347
00:14:01,120 --> 00:14:03,840
Speaker 1: some warning signs. We all know about Andy Reid's success

348
00:14:03,920 --> 00:14:05,920
Speaker 1: off of buye. Now he doesn't actually have a buye here,

349
00:14:05,920 --> 00:14:08,120
Speaker 1: but he has the mini bye with the Thursday night game.

350
00:14:08,400 --> 00:14:11,280
Speaker 1: And look, forget about Patrick Mahomes practicing so far. He's

351
00:14:11,320 --> 00:14:13,280
Speaker 1: not gonna play this week. He's definitely gonna be out

352
00:14:13,320 --> 00:14:16,480
Speaker 1: at least this week, probably next week two. But Matt Moore,

353
00:14:16,640 --> 00:14:19,440
Speaker 1: I mean, he's not in the same conversation as Mahomes,

354
00:14:19,440 --> 00:14:22,080
Speaker 1: don't get me wrong, But in terms of backup quarterbacks

355
00:14:22,080 --> 00:14:23,800
Speaker 1: in the league, and of course this comes from a

356
00:14:23,800 --> 00:14:26,160
Speaker 1: guy who was watching Luke Falk be the backup quarterback

357
00:14:26,320 --> 00:14:28,240
Speaker 1: for his team all season. Matt Moore is one of

358
00:14:28,320 --> 00:14:31,680
Speaker 1: the better backup quarterbacks in the league, and he's got

359
00:14:31,760 --> 00:14:34,480
Speaker 1: ten days of full practice with the first team of offense.

360
00:14:34,520 --> 00:14:37,440
Speaker 1: Mahomes is taking second team reps. They're still Tyreek Hill,

361
00:14:37,520 --> 00:14:39,880
Speaker 1: there's still Travis Kelcey. It sounds like Sammy Watkins is

362
00:14:39,920 --> 00:14:41,880
Speaker 1: going to come back. The Chiefs are at home, They're

363
00:14:41,920 --> 00:14:44,640
Speaker 1: starting to get a little bit healthier. And really, when

364
00:14:44,640 --> 00:14:47,280
Speaker 1: you look at it, the Chiefs gave a pretty dominant

365
00:14:47,320 --> 00:14:50,640
Speaker 1: defensive performance against the Broncos on Thursday night, So you

366
00:14:50,800 --> 00:14:52,760
Speaker 1: might want to, you know, write that off and say, well,

367
00:14:52,840 --> 00:14:56,120
Speaker 1: the Broncos stink, But really, no other defense had shut

368
00:14:56,160 --> 00:14:59,760
Speaker 1: them down like that, particularly not in Denver, and particularly

369
00:14:59,800 --> 00:15:01,560
Speaker 1: not on a short week. And you look at why

370
00:15:01,720 --> 00:15:03,840
Speaker 1: the Broncos drove right down the field right on that

371
00:15:03,920 --> 00:15:07,400
Speaker 1: first drive they scored. They were shut down the entire

372
00:15:07,480 --> 00:15:09,440
Speaker 1: rest of the game. And why is that? It looked,

373
00:15:09,520 --> 00:15:11,080
Speaker 1: I mean, I was watching that closely, it looked like

374
00:15:11,080 --> 00:15:13,800
Speaker 1: the Chiefs just got a little more aggressive. They started

375
00:15:13,840 --> 00:15:17,480
Speaker 1: calling more blitzes, probably because they don't usually play as

376
00:15:17,520 --> 00:15:19,880
Speaker 1: aggressively when they have Mahomes in there, because so long

377
00:15:19,920 --> 00:15:21,680
Speaker 1: as they can just kind of hang around in there.

378
00:15:21,880 --> 00:15:23,960
Speaker 1: They've got enough offense to win the game. But you

379
00:15:23,960 --> 00:15:26,120
Speaker 1: know the blitzing. When they got more aggressive here because

380
00:15:26,120 --> 00:15:27,640
Speaker 1: they needed to, because they figured it was going to

381
00:15:27,680 --> 00:15:29,720
Speaker 1: be closer, it really worked for them, and I think

382
00:15:29,720 --> 00:15:32,760
Speaker 1: they'll at least continue with a more aggressive approach, especially

383
00:15:32,800 --> 00:15:35,560
Speaker 1: with Chris Johnes practicing and looking likely to return. On

384
00:15:35,560 --> 00:15:37,680
Speaker 1: the other side, the Packers are great, okay, but they're

385
00:15:37,720 --> 00:15:39,880
Speaker 1: still going to be down Devonte Adams. I'm sure I

386
00:15:39,920 --> 00:15:42,040
Speaker 1: know right now he's you know, fifty to fifty or

387
00:15:42,040 --> 00:15:44,280
Speaker 1: whatever they're calling him. I highly doubt he's going to play.

388
00:15:44,560 --> 00:15:46,360
Speaker 1: And this game against the Raiders, you know, a team

389
00:15:46,400 --> 00:15:49,240
Speaker 1: with no defense whatsoever, was really the first time that

390
00:15:49,280 --> 00:15:52,680
Speaker 1: they looked dominant offensively. And then you know, the receivers

391
00:15:52,920 --> 00:15:56,040
Speaker 1: were barely involved last week, Like NBS caught two long

392
00:15:56,120 --> 00:15:58,960
Speaker 1: passes and that's it. It was mostly these passes to

393
00:15:59,000 --> 00:16:02,000
Speaker 1: the running backs. Defense they're slipping a little bit. You

394
00:16:02,000 --> 00:16:03,800
Speaker 1: can beat them on the ground, you've always been able

395
00:16:03,840 --> 00:16:05,800
Speaker 1: to this year, but they're starting to be a little

396
00:16:06,080 --> 00:16:08,680
Speaker 1: vulnerable a bit in the passing game. You saw that

397
00:16:08,720 --> 00:16:10,600
Speaker 1: with Oakland, who could have put up a ton of

398
00:16:10,680 --> 00:16:12,960
Speaker 1: points had car not funneled through the end zone and

399
00:16:12,960 --> 00:16:15,200
Speaker 1: had they not turned the ball over another time deep

400
00:16:15,200 --> 00:16:17,720
Speaker 1: in the red zone. So for me, with Andy Reid

401
00:16:17,840 --> 00:16:20,800
Speaker 1: having extra time to prepare, even with the backup quarterback

402
00:16:21,080 --> 00:16:24,080
Speaker 1: at home, anything above three here I'm more than happy

403
00:16:24,080 --> 00:16:25,600
Speaker 1: to take. So I will take it at three and

404
00:16:25,600 --> 00:16:25,920
Speaker 1: a half.

405
00:16:26,640 --> 00:16:29,200
Speaker 2: Yeah, I actually surprisingly do kind of like that pick,

406
00:16:29,240 --> 00:16:31,400
Speaker 2: even though the public is actually all over at Green

407
00:16:31,440 --> 00:16:33,440
Speaker 2: Bay in this game. I'm not too sure what the

408
00:16:33,480 --> 00:16:34,920
Speaker 2: consensus of it. I don't have in front of me,

409
00:16:34,960 --> 00:16:36,680
Speaker 2: but I do know that the Packers, like are a

410
00:16:36,760 --> 00:16:39,360
Speaker 2: very public team this week, and when I first looked

411
00:16:39,360 --> 00:16:42,320
Speaker 2: at the board, since them homes injury, I do actually

412
00:16:42,400 --> 00:16:45,080
Speaker 2: lean the Chiefs getting points in that game, especially because

413
00:16:45,080 --> 00:16:48,040
Speaker 2: it's at home. And I mean, like you said, Matt Moore,

414
00:16:48,040 --> 00:16:50,440
Speaker 2: he's not a terrible backup quarterback, and he didn't he

415
00:16:50,480 --> 00:16:52,800
Speaker 2: didn't look so bad in that Broncos game when he

416
00:16:52,840 --> 00:16:55,280
Speaker 2: just got thrown in there, whenever it was first quarter,

417
00:16:55,320 --> 00:16:58,160
Speaker 2: second quarter, halfway through the game, whatever it was. And

418
00:16:58,200 --> 00:17:00,600
Speaker 2: like you said, a little bit of half a bye

419
00:17:00,600 --> 00:17:03,720
Speaker 2: week almost from Thursday night over to now, so he's

420
00:17:03,760 --> 00:17:06,560
Speaker 2: gonna have time to prepare. Andy Reid's good coaching in

421
00:17:06,560 --> 00:17:09,199
Speaker 2: that situation. I like that, Dick. I don't hate it.

422
00:17:09,240 --> 00:17:11,399
Speaker 2: I'm not gonna play it myself, but I don't hate it.

423
00:17:11,400 --> 00:17:13,840
Speaker 2: If I had to make a play on that game,

424
00:17:13,880 --> 00:17:16,639
Speaker 2: that's probably the way I'd go, at least for a side.

425
00:17:16,680 --> 00:17:18,359
Speaker 2: Now we're gonna get to the player props here in

426
00:17:18,359 --> 00:17:19,840
Speaker 2: a little bit, and that's kind of where my play

427
00:17:19,880 --> 00:17:21,240
Speaker 2: for that game is gonna be at. But I don't

428
00:17:21,240 --> 00:17:22,119
Speaker 2: hate the Chiefs.

429
00:17:21,840 --> 00:17:23,639
Speaker 1: And that gay sure, I look, I will take I

430
00:17:23,640 --> 00:17:26,840
Speaker 1: don't hate it for sure, anybody. And you know, you

431
00:17:26,840 --> 00:17:29,359
Speaker 1: mentioned how the consensus broke down right now, it's about

432
00:17:29,400 --> 00:17:32,920
Speaker 1: sixty to forty taking the packers over here and the

433
00:17:33,000 --> 00:17:34,960
Speaker 1: most accurate Now, because that's one of the other things

434
00:17:35,119 --> 00:17:36,879
Speaker 1: that we do at betting pros Com. We show you

435
00:17:36,960 --> 00:17:39,520
Speaker 1: how the consensus is going in terms of percentages, but

436
00:17:39,560 --> 00:17:42,520
Speaker 1: then we also give you a separate percentages based on

437
00:17:42,600 --> 00:17:45,280
Speaker 1: how the most accurate experts are leaning. And it is

438
00:17:45,400 --> 00:17:48,120
Speaker 1: fifty to fifty completely dead. And again so it had

439
00:17:48,200 --> 00:17:49,640
Speaker 1: moved to four, it's down to three and a half

440
00:17:49,680 --> 00:17:53,080
Speaker 1: because I think people are coming in strong here at least,

441
00:17:53,119 --> 00:17:55,880
Speaker 1: you know, probably more of the money. As I'm looking

442
00:17:55,880 --> 00:17:57,520
Speaker 1: at the breakdown, I mean the public. You're right, they're

443
00:17:57,520 --> 00:17:59,399
Speaker 1: always going to be on the Packers. But again, you

444
00:17:59,400 --> 00:18:01,000
Speaker 1: know the book, My know that, and I think they

445
00:18:01,040 --> 00:18:03,600
Speaker 1: set the odds appropriately understanding that a lot of the

446
00:18:03,600 --> 00:18:05,720
Speaker 1: public is going to like the Packers at the number.

447
00:18:05,760 --> 00:18:08,920
Speaker 1: So I will take I don't hate it, and why

448
00:18:08,920 --> 00:18:10,359
Speaker 1: don't we move on to number three for you?

449
00:18:10,960 --> 00:18:13,840
Speaker 2: Okay? Perfect? So my third pick, I'm gonna take the

450
00:18:13,840 --> 00:18:17,119
Speaker 2: Broncos plus five point five versus the Colts, which is

451
00:18:17,119 --> 00:18:19,159
Speaker 2: actually going against the public as well. I believe the

452
00:18:19,160 --> 00:18:22,679
Speaker 2: Colts are a pretty public pick. The Colts are a

453
00:18:22,720 --> 00:18:25,480
Speaker 2: team that I think is actually a little bit overvalued.

454
00:18:25,520 --> 00:18:27,359
Speaker 2: This is kind of similar to my pick against the Bills.

455
00:18:27,400 --> 00:18:29,080
Speaker 2: I think the Colts are being a little bit overvalued.

456
00:18:29,119 --> 00:18:32,160
Speaker 2: Now there's one stat that I absolutely love. Actually, everyone

457
00:18:32,359 --> 00:18:34,879
Speaker 2: at odd Shark loves it. One of my co workers,

458
00:18:34,920 --> 00:18:37,280
Speaker 2: Joe Osbourne, has an article all about this stat, so

459
00:18:37,480 --> 00:18:39,120
Speaker 2: head over the website check that out if you want.

460
00:18:39,160 --> 00:18:41,280
Speaker 2: But the stat is net yards per play. So if

461
00:18:41,320 --> 00:18:42,879
Speaker 2: you don't know what net yards per play, you take

462
00:18:42,880 --> 00:18:45,720
Speaker 2: the number of yards gained on offense per play, subtract

463
00:18:45,760 --> 00:18:47,880
Speaker 2: the amounts of mount of yards given up per play

464
00:18:47,920 --> 00:18:50,080
Speaker 2: on defense. So when you look at these two teams

465
00:18:50,119 --> 00:18:52,120
Speaker 2: in that stat the Broncos around middle of the pack.

466
00:18:52,160 --> 00:18:54,440
Speaker 2: I think they're thirteen to fourteenth. Their net yards per

467
00:18:54,440 --> 00:18:56,679
Speaker 2: play is zero point one, so it is positive. But

468
00:18:56,720 --> 00:19:00,520
Speaker 2: the Colts, despite their record, they are fourth last in

469
00:19:00,560 --> 00:19:04,240
Speaker 2: the NFL in net yards per play at minus point

470
00:19:04,359 --> 00:19:07,600
Speaker 2: nine yards per play. So that tells me that despite

471
00:19:07,640 --> 00:19:11,479
Speaker 2: their record, they're not quite playing the best football right now.

472
00:19:11,520 --> 00:19:13,240
Speaker 2: And I think the reason why they're still winning well

473
00:19:13,359 --> 00:19:16,560
Speaker 2: giving up negative point nine yards per play is because

474
00:19:16,600 --> 00:19:18,320
Speaker 2: they aren't turning the ball over. I believe they only

475
00:19:18,320 --> 00:19:20,200
Speaker 2: have six turnovers this season, which is near the top

476
00:19:20,240 --> 00:19:22,879
Speaker 2: of the league in that category. But in this spot,

477
00:19:22,960 --> 00:19:25,040
Speaker 2: I think five and a half points is a lot.

478
00:19:25,080 --> 00:19:26,840
Speaker 2: I think the Broncos are a little bit better than

479
00:19:26,840 --> 00:19:28,800
Speaker 2: what people think, and I think the Colts are worse

480
00:19:28,840 --> 00:19:31,560
Speaker 2: than what people think based off what their record is

481
00:19:31,640 --> 00:19:33,879
Speaker 2: right now. So that's gonna be my third pick. I

482
00:19:34,000 --> 00:19:35,919
Speaker 2: like getting the points there with Denver.

483
00:19:36,320 --> 00:19:38,640
Speaker 1: This is an interesting one. I'll be honest, I did

484
00:19:38,680 --> 00:19:40,880
Speaker 1: not have a feel for it whatsoever, And in fact,

485
00:19:40,920 --> 00:19:43,600
Speaker 1: you are you're going against the expert consensus. About two

486
00:19:43,640 --> 00:19:46,359
Speaker 1: thirds of them are going with Indianapolis here laying five

487
00:19:46,400 --> 00:19:48,280
Speaker 1: and a half. Does it worry you at all with

488
00:19:48,400 --> 00:19:50,879
Speaker 1: the trade of Emmanuel Sanders that the team is going

489
00:19:50,920 --> 00:19:52,920
Speaker 1: to kind of mail it in? I mean, is it

490
00:19:52,960 --> 00:19:54,920
Speaker 1: possible at this point the trade, the lines coming up?

491
00:19:55,160 --> 00:19:57,240
Speaker 1: It just I mean, it was such a deflating loss

492
00:19:57,440 --> 00:19:59,440
Speaker 1: to Kansas City after they had won two. Is there

493
00:19:59,480 --> 00:20:01,400
Speaker 1: any chance that they're just gonna come out there? You think?

494
00:20:01,440 --> 00:20:03,120
Speaker 1: And lannegg or do you not let that factor into

495
00:20:03,119 --> 00:20:04,480
Speaker 1: your thinking when you're making your picks.

496
00:20:04,640 --> 00:20:07,159
Speaker 2: I don't let that factor too much into my thinking.

497
00:20:07,560 --> 00:20:09,840
Speaker 2: There are in certain cases where I do. In this case,

498
00:20:09,880 --> 00:20:10,919
Speaker 2: I don't. I mean, at the end of the day,

499
00:20:10,920 --> 00:20:12,480
Speaker 2: we need to remember these guys are still playing for

500
00:20:12,520 --> 00:20:15,159
Speaker 2: their jobs and coaches are coaching, you know, for their jobs,

501
00:20:15,400 --> 00:20:17,440
Speaker 2: no matter if they have a chance to make a

502
00:20:17,480 --> 00:20:20,240
Speaker 2: playoff runner or not this case, the Broncos clearly don't.

503
00:20:20,480 --> 00:20:21,840
Speaker 2: But at the end of the day, the players still

504
00:20:21,840 --> 00:20:24,200
Speaker 2: need to perform because there it's basically every single game

505
00:20:24,280 --> 00:20:26,359
Speaker 2: is basically a job interview for players and coaches. So

506
00:20:26,359 --> 00:20:28,000
Speaker 2: I don't put a whole lot of value in that.

507
00:20:28,160 --> 00:20:30,040
Speaker 2: What I am a little bit worried about is now

508
00:20:30,200 --> 00:20:32,080
Speaker 2: teams are gonna be able to focus on Courtland Sutton

509
00:20:32,119 --> 00:20:35,000
Speaker 2: a little bit more now without without Xanders there, so

510
00:20:35,080 --> 00:20:38,800
Speaker 2: that does worry me a little bit, but regardless, I

511
00:20:38,840 --> 00:20:40,479
Speaker 2: still like the five and a half points.

512
00:20:40,720 --> 00:20:42,480
Speaker 1: All right, I'll move on to my third pick here,

513
00:20:42,480 --> 00:20:44,280
Speaker 1: and I'm gonna switch away from the spreads and go

514
00:20:44,320 --> 00:20:47,200
Speaker 1: to the over Unders, And as we both like usually

515
00:20:47,200 --> 00:20:48,919
Speaker 1: the Unders, I'm gonna go with the Bears and the

516
00:20:49,040 --> 00:20:52,000
Speaker 1: Chargers under forty. I feel like everything about this game

517
00:20:52,440 --> 00:20:55,480
Speaker 1: sets up pretty well for the Unders. The Bears offense

518
00:20:55,880 --> 00:20:59,520
Speaker 1: is terrible, okay, and they basically completely abandoned the run

519
00:20:59,640 --> 00:21:02,119
Speaker 1: against the Saints, even when the game was close to

520
00:21:02,200 --> 00:21:05,960
Speaker 1: Ricohon and David Montgomery got five rushing attempts total. And

521
00:21:06,040 --> 00:21:08,720
Speaker 1: I get that you don't attack the Saints on the ground,

522
00:21:08,960 --> 00:21:13,560
Speaker 1: of course, but five rushing attempts is preposterous. And Matt

523
00:21:13,640 --> 00:21:17,000
Speaker 1: Naggi has essentially admitted it. He got a lot of criticism.

524
00:21:17,119 --> 00:21:19,760
Speaker 1: He basically said he's not an idiot. He agrees he's

525
00:21:19,760 --> 00:21:22,240
Speaker 1: going to need to run run the ball more here,

526
00:21:22,520 --> 00:21:24,520
Speaker 1: and I think that he's going to And that means,

527
00:21:24,520 --> 00:21:26,280
Speaker 1: you know, you run the ball, as you mentioned with

528
00:21:26,320 --> 00:21:28,960
Speaker 1: the Jets and the Jaguars, you run the ball. The clock,

529
00:21:29,040 --> 00:21:31,800
Speaker 1: runs drives are longer. It sets up pretty well for

530
00:21:31,840 --> 00:21:34,400
Speaker 1: the under Meanwhile, the Charters are one of the slowest

531
00:21:34,520 --> 00:21:37,400
Speaker 1: teams in the league. They're notorious for taking as much

532
00:21:37,440 --> 00:21:40,080
Speaker 1: time off the play clock as possible. Their offense just

533
00:21:40,119 --> 00:21:42,600
Speaker 1: looks completely out of sorts. A lot of it is

534
00:21:42,640 --> 00:21:46,720
Speaker 1: because of their poorest offensive line that's not going well.

535
00:21:46,960 --> 00:21:50,439
Speaker 1: The Bears still have a relatively strong defense. They're easier

536
00:21:50,480 --> 00:21:52,800
Speaker 1: to run against right now without akeeum Hicks, of course,

537
00:21:52,840 --> 00:21:55,439
Speaker 1: but the Chargers have not been able to get their

538
00:21:55,480 --> 00:21:58,480
Speaker 1: run game going regardless, so I don't expect either team

539
00:21:58,520 --> 00:21:59,919
Speaker 1: to be able to put up a ton of points.

540
00:22:00,200 --> 00:22:02,280
Speaker 1: This strikes me. I mean, they're both desperate. That's the

541
00:22:02,320 --> 00:22:04,560
Speaker 1: only thing that has me at all worried. I feel

542
00:22:04,560 --> 00:22:06,240
Speaker 1: like when teams are desperate, you never know what's going

543
00:22:06,320 --> 00:22:08,439
Speaker 1: to happen. They could get somehow creative, they could come

544
00:22:08,520 --> 00:22:10,720
Speaker 1: up with something crazy and start putting up some points.

545
00:22:10,720 --> 00:22:13,240
Speaker 1: But overall, this game, to me, I realized, forty is

546
00:22:13,240 --> 00:22:16,359
Speaker 1: a pretty low total. But I'm pretty much looking at

547
00:22:16,400 --> 00:22:18,680
Speaker 1: this as a game that has very little chance of

548
00:22:18,720 --> 00:22:20,560
Speaker 1: being a blowout. It's going to be close throughout, and

549
00:22:20,560 --> 00:22:22,280
Speaker 1: I think both teams are going to try to just

550
00:22:22,359 --> 00:22:24,280
Speaker 1: kind of win it towards the end of the game

551
00:22:24,359 --> 00:22:26,160
Speaker 1: without putting up a crazy amount of points. So give

552
00:22:26,160 --> 00:22:28,520
Speaker 1: me the Bears and the Chargers under forty.

553
00:22:28,680 --> 00:22:30,720
Speaker 2: That's funny because when I was actually looking to make

554
00:22:30,760 --> 00:22:32,439
Speaker 2: my picks for the show to let you know who

555
00:22:32,480 --> 00:22:34,520
Speaker 2: I'm going to be on, that was the other under

556
00:22:34,600 --> 00:22:36,720
Speaker 2: I was deciding between either that one and the Jets

557
00:22:36,760 --> 00:22:38,440
Speaker 2: and the Jags. I ended up going with the Jets

558
00:22:38,440 --> 00:22:40,600
Speaker 2: and the Jags, but that one was a close second.

559
00:22:40,680 --> 00:22:43,480
Speaker 2: So I love that underplay. Like you said, the Bears

560
00:22:43,560 --> 00:22:46,119
Speaker 2: offense absolutely stinks. I don't know what's going on with

561
00:22:46,119 --> 00:22:49,480
Speaker 2: the Chargers right now. After Week one, you may remember,

562
00:22:49,560 --> 00:22:52,399
Speaker 2: I'm a big Falcons fan. The Falcons are absolute trash

563
00:22:52,480 --> 00:22:55,040
Speaker 2: this year. After Week one, I said, I'm no longer

564
00:22:55,080 --> 00:22:57,040
Speaker 2: a Falcons fan. I decided to be a Chargers fan

565
00:22:57,080 --> 00:22:59,680
Speaker 2: for this season. And then the Chargers are basically just

566
00:22:59,680 --> 00:23:00,880
Speaker 2: the foul of the AFC.

567
00:23:01,000 --> 00:23:03,199
Speaker 1: So you know, we we've got room over here on

568
00:23:03,280 --> 00:23:05,680
Speaker 1: the Jets bandwagon, because it sounds like that's kind of

569
00:23:05,720 --> 00:23:08,040
Speaker 1: where you're leaning over there, right, Just keep going to

570
00:23:08,040 --> 00:23:10,080
Speaker 1: The Dolphins are next. They yeah going to be great?

571
00:23:10,160 --> 00:23:14,600
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, exactly maze old cheer for the Redskins tonight. Yeah. So,

572
00:23:14,800 --> 00:23:17,199
Speaker 2: I mean Chargers they're all out of sorts, Bears are

573
00:23:17,200 --> 00:23:18,440
Speaker 2: all out of sorts, are like that under.

574
00:23:18,680 --> 00:23:20,679
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think I feel pretty good about it. And

575
00:23:20,800 --> 00:23:24,040
Speaker 1: I'll be honest, it's against the consensus. It's about sixty

576
00:23:24,119 --> 00:23:26,199
Speaker 1: forty in favor of the over there. But for me,

577
00:23:26,320 --> 00:23:28,359
Speaker 1: this is definitely one of the unders that I'm going

578
00:23:28,400 --> 00:23:28,840
Speaker 1: to be playing.

579
00:23:29,160 --> 00:23:31,760
Speaker 2: So it is pretty rare that you'll see consensus. Most

580
00:23:31,760 --> 00:23:34,639
Speaker 2: public like consensus lean towards the under. Does happen, but

581
00:23:34,800 --> 00:23:36,840
Speaker 2: most of the time, just because how we mentioned earlier,

582
00:23:37,000 --> 00:23:39,359
Speaker 2: public loves to bed overs because they're more fun. So no,

583
00:23:39,480 --> 00:23:42,960
Speaker 2: but these are the experts. Oh, the experts are saying that. Okay, yes,

584
00:23:43,119 --> 00:23:45,399
Speaker 2: the experts. I appreciate you trying to save me. It

585
00:23:45,440 --> 00:23:47,600
Speaker 2: is a little interesting. I'm surprised because this struck me.

586
00:23:47,880 --> 00:23:49,480
Speaker 2: This was not what I struggled with. It was the

587
00:23:49,520 --> 00:23:51,000
Speaker 2: first one that jumped out of me when I looked

588
00:23:51,000 --> 00:23:52,800
Speaker 2: at over unders. I did you know, the Jags and

589
00:23:52,840 --> 00:23:55,280
Speaker 2: the and the Jets were certainly under consideration, but this

590
00:23:55,320 --> 00:23:57,320
Speaker 2: one jumped out of me. Now, look to be fair,

591
00:23:57,400 --> 00:24:00,600
Speaker 2: I took the under on the Bears Saints last week

592
00:24:00,640 --> 00:24:02,440
Speaker 2: that was not close, although there was a lot of

593
00:24:02,520 --> 00:24:04,560
Speaker 2: fluky sort of touchdowns in that one. You know, you

594
00:24:04,640 --> 00:24:06,320
Speaker 2: had the kick return for the touch and everything like that.

595
00:24:06,440 --> 00:24:09,320
Speaker 2: So you know, in the end, I feel pretty comfortable

596
00:24:09,400 --> 00:24:12,760
Speaker 2: right now with us under So, you know, expert consensus whatever,

597
00:24:12,800 --> 00:24:14,520
Speaker 2: I'm good with that. I'm willing to go against them

598
00:24:14,520 --> 00:24:15,840
Speaker 2: every once in a while. I like it.

599
00:24:15,960 --> 00:24:19,160
Speaker 1: All right, let's recap here, and you like the Jets

600
00:24:19,160 --> 00:24:21,960
Speaker 1: and the Jaguars under forty one, the Eagles plus one

601
00:24:22,000 --> 00:24:25,320
Speaker 1: and a half against the Bills, and the Broncos getting

602
00:24:25,359 --> 00:24:27,680
Speaker 1: five and a half from the Colts. I'm going to

603
00:24:27,720 --> 00:24:30,400
Speaker 1: take the Bears and the Chargers under forty, the Panthers

604
00:24:30,400 --> 00:24:33,400
Speaker 1: getting six from the Niners, and the Chiefs getting three

605
00:24:33,440 --> 00:24:36,000
Speaker 1: and a half from the Packers. All right, Before we

606
00:24:36,040 --> 00:24:38,120
Speaker 1: move on, I want to tell everybody about the sponsor

607
00:24:38,160 --> 00:24:41,320
Speaker 1: of today's show, bet MGM. Now you know about BETMGM already.

608
00:24:41,359 --> 00:24:43,960
Speaker 1: I mentioned them every single show, and in particular the

609
00:24:44,000 --> 00:24:47,199
Speaker 1: bet MGM Sports App because it's the easiest and the

610
00:24:47,240 --> 00:24:49,199
Speaker 1: best way to place a bet. If you're in the

611
00:24:49,200 --> 00:24:52,120
Speaker 1: state of New Jersey, search for and download the Betmgmsports

612
00:24:52,160 --> 00:24:54,760
Speaker 1: app on your phone or visit betmgm dot com, sign

613
00:24:54,840 --> 00:24:57,480
Speaker 1: up for account, and you can place a bet right

614
00:24:57,480 --> 00:24:59,560
Speaker 1: from your home and look, there are a ton of

615
00:24:59,600 --> 00:25:02,160
Speaker 1: great things about the bet mgm Sports app. You can

616
00:25:02,320 --> 00:25:04,440
Speaker 1: track your bet in real time, you can cash out

617
00:25:04,480 --> 00:25:06,760
Speaker 1: early to lock in some winnings or cut your losses.

618
00:25:06,760 --> 00:25:09,320
Speaker 1: But the best part, in my opinion, is that they

619
00:25:09,320 --> 00:25:13,280
Speaker 1: offer these insane boosted bets that are basically like free money,

620
00:25:13,280 --> 00:25:15,719
Speaker 1: and right now they've got a ridiculous one going on

621
00:25:15,760 --> 00:25:19,280
Speaker 1: for new users. You bet one dollar, just a single dollar,

622
00:25:19,400 --> 00:25:22,960
Speaker 1: on Aaron Rodgers to throw a touchdown pass against the Chiefs,

623
00:25:23,440 --> 00:25:25,919
Speaker 1: and you win one hundred dollars if he does so.

624
00:25:26,119 --> 00:25:28,960
Speaker 1: To make that clear, you're betting one dollar on Aaron

625
00:25:29,040 --> 00:25:32,800
Speaker 1: Rodgers to throw a touchdown pass. In the highly unlikely

626
00:25:32,840 --> 00:25:36,199
Speaker 1: event that he does not, you lose a dollar. In

627
00:25:36,280 --> 00:25:39,679
Speaker 1: the highly likely event that he does, you win one

628
00:25:39,800 --> 00:25:42,800
Speaker 1: hundred dollars. Here's all you need to do to essentially

629
00:25:42,960 --> 00:25:46,240
Speaker 1: win free money. Download the bet mgm Sports app and

630
00:25:46,359 --> 00:25:48,880
Speaker 1: sign up using our promo code Harris.

631
00:25:49,000 --> 00:25:49,600
Speaker 2: That is it.

632
00:25:49,920 --> 00:25:52,520
Speaker 1: If you can remember my last name, you basically can

633
00:25:52,560 --> 00:25:54,639
Speaker 1: win one hundred dollars. And my last name is easy.

634
00:25:54,720 --> 00:25:56,840
Speaker 1: Like my kids know what it is by now, so

635
00:25:56,960 --> 00:25:59,480
Speaker 1: hurry up and get started. You must be twenty one

636
00:25:59,560 --> 00:26:01,359
Speaker 1: years or old. And although you can sign up an

637
00:26:01,400 --> 00:26:03,760
Speaker 1: easily deposit money anywhere, you must be in the state

638
00:26:03,760 --> 00:26:06,679
Speaker 1: of New Jersey to place the sports bet. Visit BETMGM

639
00:26:06,720 --> 00:26:08,880
Speaker 1: dot com for the full list of terms and conditions.

640
00:26:08,880 --> 00:26:11,040
Speaker 1: And if you've got a gambling problem, call one eight

641
00:26:11,080 --> 00:26:13,480
Speaker 1: hunter gambler. All right, Ian, let's move on to it's

642
00:26:13,480 --> 00:26:15,919
Speaker 1: a trap where we list the lines that we are avoiding.

643
00:26:15,960 --> 00:26:16,960
Speaker 1: Go ahead and start us off.

644
00:26:17,160 --> 00:26:20,880
Speaker 2: So I'm going to be avoiding the Cardinals and Saints game.

645
00:26:21,320 --> 00:26:23,679
Speaker 2: I believe the line is it Saints ten and a half?

646
00:26:23,720 --> 00:26:27,520
Speaker 2: I believe, yes, it's I mean Drew Brees. It looks

647
00:26:27,560 --> 00:26:29,200
Speaker 2: like he's gonna play this week, and that just makes

648
00:26:29,200 --> 00:26:32,000
Speaker 2: me a little bit nervous because of that. I mean,

649
00:26:32,119 --> 00:26:35,479
Speaker 2: who knows how healthy he is. It's a little bit

650
00:26:35,480 --> 00:26:37,040
Speaker 2: confusing to me that he's even coming back this week,

651
00:26:37,040 --> 00:26:38,640
Speaker 2: because I think they're on by next week. I don't

652
00:26:38,640 --> 00:26:40,760
Speaker 2: know why you wouldn't just take the extra week of rest,

653
00:26:40,800 --> 00:26:43,760
Speaker 2: But when anytime a quarterback comes back, that kind of

654
00:26:43,760 --> 00:26:45,480
Speaker 2: messes with the flow of the offense. I mean, the

655
00:26:45,520 --> 00:26:48,280
Speaker 2: Saints were absolutely crushing it with Teddy Bridgewater, So who

656
00:26:48,359 --> 00:26:50,120
Speaker 2: knows how kind of their offense is gonna feel about

657
00:26:50,160 --> 00:26:52,399
Speaker 2: Drew Brees coming back, which is weird to say, considering

658
00:26:52,520 --> 00:26:55,280
Speaker 2: Drew Brees the first ballot Hall of Famer. But it

659
00:26:55,320 --> 00:26:57,480
Speaker 2: does just kind of mess with game plans, it messes

660
00:26:57,520 --> 00:27:00,679
Speaker 2: with flows. So the Saints make me a little bit nervous,

661
00:27:00,720 --> 00:27:03,320
Speaker 2: especially with the double digit spread there. And then on

662
00:27:03,320 --> 00:27:06,560
Speaker 2: the other side of things, I don't understand Kyler Murray.

663
00:27:07,359 --> 00:27:09,320
Speaker 2: I thought he was gonna be a bust and I

664
00:27:09,359 --> 00:27:11,120
Speaker 2: still kind of think he is even when I watch

665
00:27:11,200 --> 00:27:14,040
Speaker 2: him play. He makes throws that I don't think are

666
00:27:14,080 --> 00:27:16,240
Speaker 2: the right throws to make. But he's won a couple

667
00:27:16,280 --> 00:27:18,680
Speaker 2: of games and he's actually looked all like. His stats

668
00:27:18,720 --> 00:27:20,720
Speaker 2: are looking all right, so it's hard for me to

669
00:27:20,800 --> 00:27:24,399
Speaker 2: completely fade him. Usually with rookie quarterbacks, it's hard to

670
00:27:24,400 --> 00:27:26,359
Speaker 2: bet on them because one game will look unreal, the

671
00:27:26,400 --> 00:27:30,080
Speaker 2: next game will look bad, and other NFL teams that

672
00:27:30,080 --> 00:27:33,359
Speaker 2: they're playing against they usually figure out rookie quarterbacks a

673
00:27:33,359 --> 00:27:35,240
Speaker 2: few games in the season, and if they can find

674
00:27:35,280 --> 00:27:37,800
Speaker 2: holes or ways to exploit that rookie quarterback, then they'll

675
00:27:37,800 --> 00:27:40,160
Speaker 2: take advantage of them. I don't know if there's one

676
00:27:40,160 --> 00:27:42,880
Speaker 2: there with Kyler Murray but him and it's the same

677
00:27:42,880 --> 00:27:44,440
Speaker 2: with the Giants who It's the reason why I'm staying

678
00:27:44,440 --> 00:27:46,600
Speaker 2: away from the Giants. With Daniel Jones back and then

679
00:27:46,680 --> 00:27:48,760
Speaker 2: rookie quarterbacks just make me a little bit nervous. I

680
00:27:48,760 --> 00:27:51,280
Speaker 2: don't know what I'm gonna get from them, so game

681
00:27:51,320 --> 00:27:52,879
Speaker 2: to avoid. It's a trap for me. Is gonna be

682
00:27:52,920 --> 00:27:53,960
Speaker 2: the Cardinals and Saints game.

683
00:27:54,240 --> 00:27:56,119
Speaker 1: Yeah, I like it. First of all, the spread is

684
00:27:56,200 --> 00:27:58,320
Speaker 1: just it's too much for me to feel comfortable with

685
00:27:58,359 --> 00:28:00,080
Speaker 1: it no matter which way I go, because I do

686
00:28:00,119 --> 00:28:01,959
Speaker 1: you think that the Saints win pretty italy. First of all,

687
00:28:02,000 --> 00:28:03,800
Speaker 1: I'm putting it out there. I don't think Brees plays.

688
00:28:03,800 --> 00:28:05,800
Speaker 1: I get that. Everything right now is pointing to the

689
00:28:05,840 --> 00:28:08,040
Speaker 1: fact that he's gonna play. But you know, in the end,

690
00:28:08,520 --> 00:28:10,800
Speaker 1: as you said, there's just no reason for it. They

691
00:28:10,800 --> 00:28:12,760
Speaker 1: should be able to win this game handily. Bridgewater has

692
00:28:12,760 --> 00:28:15,040
Speaker 1: played well. Why not give in the buy to make

693
00:28:15,080 --> 00:28:16,680
Speaker 1: sure he's good. I think in the end that is

694
00:28:16,720 --> 00:28:19,199
Speaker 1: what they're gonna do. But I agree with Murray. It's like,

695
00:28:19,280 --> 00:28:21,360
Speaker 1: I don't know exactly what I'm gonna see With Murray.

696
00:28:21,440 --> 00:28:23,440
Speaker 1: I like a lot of what I've seen of him,

697
00:28:23,440 --> 00:28:25,760
Speaker 1: but it's still very much of I like the way

698
00:28:25,800 --> 00:28:27,879
Speaker 1: he looks early when every play is scripted for him,

699
00:28:27,880 --> 00:28:29,440
Speaker 1: and then when he goes off a little bit because

700
00:28:29,440 --> 00:28:30,920
Speaker 1: they've run out of like Okay, this is what you're

701
00:28:30,920 --> 00:28:33,040
Speaker 1: gonna do for your first fifteen plays. It's a little

702
00:28:33,040 --> 00:28:35,320
Speaker 1: bit like, Okay, you're kind of all over the place.

703
00:28:35,440 --> 00:28:37,080
Speaker 1: Some of it's good, some of it's not good. I

704
00:28:37,080 --> 00:28:39,200
Speaker 1: don't really know. The Saints have a very tough defense,

705
00:28:39,480 --> 00:28:42,160
Speaker 1: but when you're over ten on the line, it just,

706
00:28:42,440 --> 00:28:44,680
Speaker 1: you know, it's something that makes me very uncomfortable. So

707
00:28:44,960 --> 00:28:46,680
Speaker 1: this is certainly a game I'm not gonna go near.

708
00:28:46,920 --> 00:28:47,760
Speaker 1: So I like it with you.

709
00:28:47,840 --> 00:28:49,240
Speaker 2: Oh yeah, I was just gonna say it is gonna

710
00:28:49,240 --> 00:28:51,520
Speaker 2: be a little bit interesting if Drew Brees is ruled out.

711
00:28:51,600 --> 00:28:53,520
Speaker 2: I'm curious to see if that's gonna move the line

712
00:28:53,520 --> 00:28:53,800
Speaker 2: at all.

713
00:28:53,960 --> 00:28:55,600
Speaker 1: The problem is, I don't think he's going to be

714
00:28:55,640 --> 00:28:58,840
Speaker 1: ruled out until like game day. I think this is

715
00:28:58,880 --> 00:29:00,280
Speaker 1: gonna be a thing where it's going to be like, oh,

716
00:29:00,320 --> 00:29:02,120
Speaker 1: we're gonna make a call on game day, and then

717
00:29:02,160 --> 00:29:04,200
Speaker 1: on Sunday morning, you're gonna hear that he's out. But yeah,

718
00:29:04,200 --> 00:29:06,000
Speaker 1: I mean, it opened at eight and a half, so

719
00:29:06,280 --> 00:29:08,080
Speaker 1: I don't think it moved because I don't think it

720
00:29:08,120 --> 00:29:10,560
Speaker 1: moved because of the money. I think it moved because

721
00:29:10,560 --> 00:29:13,040
Speaker 1: of the fact that they got word that Breeze might

722
00:29:13,080 --> 00:29:15,000
Speaker 1: be playing, and I think it's gonna go. So if

723
00:29:15,000 --> 00:29:17,400
Speaker 1: it comes out late, my guess is it's gonna drop

724
00:29:17,400 --> 00:29:20,640
Speaker 1: below ten. And in that case, you know, I could

725
00:29:20,720 --> 00:29:23,320
Speaker 1: probably lean towards the Saints once it got below the

726
00:29:23,360 --> 00:29:25,800
Speaker 1: key number of ten. But either way, it's just not

727
00:29:25,880 --> 00:29:27,560
Speaker 1: a game that I think I really want to go

728
00:29:27,560 --> 00:29:29,640
Speaker 1: against because I just don't have a good.

729
00:29:29,480 --> 00:29:31,000
Speaker 2: Feel for it. If it gets back to eight and

730
00:29:31,000 --> 00:29:33,360
Speaker 2: a half, it might take the Saints, but still it's tough.

731
00:29:33,680 --> 00:29:36,160
Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree. As for me, I'm gonna be avoiding

732
00:29:36,200 --> 00:29:38,440
Speaker 1: the Titans laying two and a half to the Bucks. Now,

733
00:29:38,440 --> 00:29:41,040
Speaker 1: I'm gonna change this up next week. But legitimately, the

734
00:29:41,080 --> 00:29:43,680
Speaker 1: Titans and the Bucks are two teams that I say

735
00:29:43,720 --> 00:29:46,200
Speaker 1: every week pretty much I cannot get a read on

736
00:29:46,360 --> 00:29:49,200
Speaker 1: no matter what I do, and this matchup is particularly

737
00:29:49,280 --> 00:29:51,880
Speaker 1: tough for me to read because both teams stop the

738
00:29:51,960 --> 00:29:55,280
Speaker 1: run really really well. So is Ryan Tannehill gonna be

739
00:29:55,320 --> 00:29:58,160
Speaker 1: able to involve his wide receivers this heavily. Again, is

740
00:29:58,240 --> 00:30:00,520
Speaker 1: James Winston gonna benefit from the I or is he

741
00:30:00,560 --> 00:30:01,480
Speaker 1: gonna throw five picks?

742
00:30:01,480 --> 00:30:01,680
Speaker 2: Again?

743
00:30:01,720 --> 00:30:04,840
Speaker 1: It's two teams that I don't understand on a good day,

744
00:30:04,960 --> 00:30:08,320
Speaker 1: and this matchup in particular brings in the variables the

745
00:30:08,360 --> 00:30:11,680
Speaker 1: passing games, which I'm just completely not comfortable with, especially

746
00:30:11,760 --> 00:30:13,720
Speaker 1: since I don't really know with what we saw with

747
00:30:13,760 --> 00:30:16,440
Speaker 1: Tennehell looked, you know, much better in my opinion than

748
00:30:16,440 --> 00:30:18,720
Speaker 1: Marcus Marriotta. But still, you know, I've seen enough of

749
00:30:18,760 --> 00:30:20,480
Speaker 1: him in his career to not think that he's a

750
00:30:20,520 --> 00:30:23,720
Speaker 1: savior or anything. So generally speaking, when the Titans and

751
00:30:23,760 --> 00:30:26,280
Speaker 1: the Bucks get involved, because the Bucks have basically I

752
00:30:27,160 --> 00:30:29,920
Speaker 1: picked the wrong version of the Bucks every single week.

753
00:30:30,000 --> 00:30:32,840
Speaker 1: Every single week, I think it's gonna be uh, Doctor Jekyl,

754
00:30:32,920 --> 00:30:35,080
Speaker 1: It's mister Hyde and vice versa. So for me, I'm

755
00:30:35,120 --> 00:30:37,600
Speaker 1: staying far away from any game pretty much at this

756
00:30:37,600 --> 00:30:39,720
Speaker 1: point involving either of these two teams. The fact that

757
00:30:39,760 --> 00:30:42,200
Speaker 1: they are playing each other makes it really easy for me.

758
00:30:42,280 --> 00:30:44,400
Speaker 1: So I'm avoiding the Titans laying two and a half

759
00:30:44,480 --> 00:30:45,040
Speaker 1: to the Bucks.

760
00:30:45,320 --> 00:30:47,080
Speaker 2: Yeah, I agree with that, I mean both teams. It

761
00:30:47,080 --> 00:30:48,920
Speaker 2: seems like every week that you think they're gonna lose,

762
00:30:48,960 --> 00:30:50,520
Speaker 2: they come out and play really well and win. And

763
00:30:50,560 --> 00:30:52,280
Speaker 2: then every week you think that they're gonna win, they

764
00:30:52,280 --> 00:30:53,760
Speaker 2: come out and play the crap and lose.

765
00:30:53,800 --> 00:30:57,000
Speaker 1: So they both do they both do that exactly. So yeah,

766
00:30:57,040 --> 00:30:59,560
Speaker 1: it's tough, all right. So you're avoiding these Saints laying

767
00:30:59,600 --> 00:31:02,200
Speaker 1: ten and anl half to the Cardinals, and I am

768
00:31:02,240 --> 00:31:05,560
Speaker 1: avoiding the Titans laying two and a half to the Bucks.

769
00:31:05,800 --> 00:31:08,200
Speaker 1: Before we get into our final segment, remember we've got

770
00:31:08,200 --> 00:31:11,120
Speaker 1: a signed Odell Beckham junior helmet giveaway contest going on.

771
00:31:11,400 --> 00:31:14,680
Speaker 1: You can get more details at bettingpros dot com slash contest.

772
00:31:14,680 --> 00:31:16,520
Speaker 1: But to be entered, just leave a review for the

773
00:31:16,520 --> 00:31:20,320
Speaker 1: show on Apple Podcasts or Stitcher and send a screenshot

774
00:31:20,360 --> 00:31:23,920
Speaker 1: of that review to contest at bettingpros dot com. All right, Ian,

775
00:31:24,000 --> 00:31:26,000
Speaker 1: it is time for Top Prop, where we list our

776
00:31:26,040 --> 00:31:27,200
Speaker 1: top player prop for the week.

777
00:31:27,240 --> 00:31:29,640
Speaker 2: Go ahead, So I'm gonna be looking at now. You

778
00:31:29,640 --> 00:31:31,840
Speaker 2: talked about this game earlier, the Packers Chiefs game. So

779
00:31:31,880 --> 00:31:34,440
Speaker 2: my player prop for that game, which I actually love,

780
00:31:34,920 --> 00:31:38,600
Speaker 2: is going to be Aaron Jones over seventy five rushing yards.

781
00:31:38,600 --> 00:31:41,200
Speaker 2: They go to the minus one twelve. So a couple

782
00:31:41,240 --> 00:31:43,480
Speaker 2: points here. The first thing is the Chiefs are tied

783
00:31:43,520 --> 00:31:45,920
Speaker 2: with the Browns for the second last in the league

784
00:31:45,920 --> 00:31:48,600
Speaker 2: and opponent yards per carry, so teams are getting five

785
00:31:48,680 --> 00:31:52,920
Speaker 2: yards per carry against them. And then even if Mahomes

786
00:31:52,920 --> 00:31:55,640
Speaker 2: is out, the game plan should be to keep the

787
00:31:55,680 --> 00:31:58,280
Speaker 2: Chiefs off the field, because that's how we saw both

788
00:31:58,280 --> 00:32:01,120
Speaker 2: the Colts and the Texans ACXU beat the Chiefs was

789
00:32:01,120 --> 00:32:03,960
Speaker 2: to just completely keep the Chiefs explosive offense off the field.

790
00:32:03,960 --> 00:32:06,760
Speaker 2: So what does that That includes running the ball a lot.

791
00:32:06,960 --> 00:32:08,600
Speaker 2: So we can even prove that with numbers if we

792
00:32:08,600 --> 00:32:10,920
Speaker 2: look at Marlon max numbers when the Colts beat the Chiefs,

793
00:32:10,960 --> 00:32:13,120
Speaker 2: he had twenty nine carries in that game, which is

794
00:32:13,160 --> 00:32:16,040
Speaker 2: his season high by pretty wide margin. Same goes for

795
00:32:16,080 --> 00:32:18,000
Speaker 2: Carlos High to the Texans. He had a season high

796
00:32:18,000 --> 00:32:20,840
Speaker 2: twenty six carries for the Texans when they beat the Chiefs.

797
00:32:21,160 --> 00:32:23,120
Speaker 2: So the blueprint has been out on how to beat

798
00:32:23,120 --> 00:32:25,160
Speaker 2: the Chiefs. It's to run the ball keep their offense

799
00:32:25,200 --> 00:32:27,440
Speaker 2: off the field. So Aaron Jones, I think he's going

800
00:32:27,520 --> 00:32:29,440
Speaker 2: to get a lot of carries that over seventy five

801
00:32:29,520 --> 00:32:31,800
Speaker 2: yard mark. I think he's gonna be able to hit

802
00:32:31,800 --> 00:32:33,959
Speaker 2: that with ease. Wouldn't be surprised if he gets over

803
00:32:33,960 --> 00:32:36,040
Speaker 2: one hundred yards, to be completely honest, especially with that

804
00:32:36,160 --> 00:32:39,560
Speaker 2: weak Chiefs run defense. So Aaron Jones over seventy five

805
00:32:39,640 --> 00:32:41,160
Speaker 2: rushing yards, Yeah, I like it.

806
00:32:41,200 --> 00:32:43,920
Speaker 1: I mean I said that the Chiefs defense looks to

807
00:32:43,960 --> 00:32:46,080
Speaker 1: be getting a little healthier and they look to be improving.

808
00:32:46,120 --> 00:32:48,320
Speaker 1: They were much better against the Broncos. Of course, you know,

809
00:32:48,360 --> 00:32:50,680
Speaker 1: Philip Lindsay and Royce Freeman did very little on the

810
00:32:50,720 --> 00:32:53,000
Speaker 1: ground in that game. But before that, Yeah, that's right,

811
00:32:53,080 --> 00:32:55,360
Speaker 1: that was kind of the blueprint. Now, I don't necessarily

812
00:32:55,400 --> 00:32:57,280
Speaker 1: know if the team has to stick to that blueprint

813
00:32:57,360 --> 00:32:59,360
Speaker 1: right now, because the whole point of basically being like,

814
00:32:59,480 --> 00:33:02,240
Speaker 1: let's keep Patrick Mahomes off the field by running the

815
00:33:02,240 --> 00:33:04,720
Speaker 1: ball and controlling the clock is not really in play here.

816
00:33:04,920 --> 00:33:07,479
Speaker 1: Considering More is going to be the starter almost certainly,

817
00:33:07,680 --> 00:33:09,960
Speaker 1: But I don't really think that that matters that much.

818
00:33:10,000 --> 00:33:13,560
Speaker 1: I mean, look, Rogers accounted for six touchdowns last week.

819
00:33:13,560 --> 00:33:15,320
Speaker 1: He threw five, I believe in ran in for one.

820
00:33:15,720 --> 00:33:17,360
Speaker 1: That's not what they want to do. I mean, that's

821
00:33:17,400 --> 00:33:19,120
Speaker 1: not the way the Packers really want to do this.

822
00:33:19,160 --> 00:33:21,000
Speaker 1: They have a very strong defense, which is getting a

823
00:33:21,000 --> 00:33:23,480
Speaker 1: little weaker as I mentioned. But again, Matt Moore is

824
00:33:23,480 --> 00:33:24,920
Speaker 1: not gonna light this up. I mean, they're gonna be

825
00:33:24,920 --> 00:33:26,720
Speaker 1: a play or two to Tyreek Hill where he's gonna

826
00:33:26,720 --> 00:33:28,200
Speaker 1: break one or something like that, but in the end,

827
00:33:28,240 --> 00:33:30,000
Speaker 1: they're not gonna put up a crazy amount of points.

828
00:33:30,000 --> 00:33:31,959
Speaker 1: I don't think this is one where the Packers are

829
00:33:31,960 --> 00:33:34,120
Speaker 1: gonna come out firing. I think they are gonna lean

830
00:33:34,160 --> 00:33:36,240
Speaker 1: on Jones and Williams to the extent. But I think,

831
00:33:36,280 --> 00:33:39,440
Speaker 1: you know, as we have now seen some sanity restored,

832
00:33:39,560 --> 00:33:42,440
Speaker 1: it's probably gonna be Jones leaving the way significantly over here.

833
00:33:42,480 --> 00:33:44,320
Speaker 1: So yeah, I don't hate that at all. Jones over

834
00:33:44,360 --> 00:33:47,320
Speaker 1: seventy five rushing yards'm minus one twelve in particular. I'm

835
00:33:47,360 --> 00:33:50,520
Speaker 1: good to go with that, I am. I'm gonna go

836
00:33:50,760 --> 00:33:54,560
Speaker 1: a little riskier, okay, I'm gonna go with Dante Johnson

837
00:33:54,680 --> 00:33:58,520
Speaker 1: to go over seventy five yards receiving at plus one

838
00:33:58,520 --> 00:34:01,320
Speaker 1: point ninety. Now Johnson is two full games here with

839
00:34:01,400 --> 00:34:04,360
Speaker 1: Mason Rudolf. He's got fifty two yards receiving against the

840
00:34:04,360 --> 00:34:07,960
Speaker 1: forty nine ers, seventy seven yards receiving against the Bengals,

841
00:34:08,000 --> 00:34:09,959
Speaker 1: and now he gets the Dolphins. So I'm not gonna

842
00:34:10,000 --> 00:34:13,000
Speaker 1: lie to you, Ian. The Dolphins are bad. They allow

843
00:34:13,120 --> 00:34:15,640
Speaker 1: thirteen point six yards per catch, that is the most

844
00:34:15,920 --> 00:34:17,840
Speaker 1: in the NFL, and I get it. There's certainly a

845
00:34:17,920 --> 00:34:20,719
Speaker 1: risk here that the Steelers are just gonna run all day,

846
00:34:20,719 --> 00:34:22,560
Speaker 1: that it's just gonna be James Connor all day, or

847
00:34:22,600 --> 00:34:25,279
Speaker 1: Benny Snell or whatever they want to do, because the

848
00:34:25,480 --> 00:34:27,759
Speaker 1: Dolphins are probably not gonna be able to put up

849
00:34:27,960 --> 00:34:30,520
Speaker 1: a ton of points. Although to be fair, Ryan Fitzpatrick

850
00:34:30,640 --> 00:34:35,080
Speaker 1: made that offense look semi competent against a very tough

851
00:34:35,320 --> 00:34:37,960
Speaker 1: Bills defense last weekend, so it's possible that the Dolphins

852
00:34:38,160 --> 00:34:39,920
Speaker 1: put up at least a few points here that make

853
00:34:39,960 --> 00:34:41,799
Speaker 1: the Steelers throw. But in the end, what I really

854
00:34:41,840 --> 00:34:44,160
Speaker 1: think it is is that I think the Steelers probably

855
00:34:44,200 --> 00:34:46,200
Speaker 1: want to use this game to get Rudolph a little

856
00:34:46,280 --> 00:34:49,239
Speaker 1: confidence as he returns back to the field from that

857
00:34:49,520 --> 00:34:51,560
Speaker 1: massive hit that gave him a concussion. So I think

858
00:34:51,640 --> 00:34:53,920
Speaker 1: this is exactly the spot to do it at pretty

859
00:34:54,000 --> 00:34:56,480
Speaker 1: much two for one for your money, given the connection

860
00:34:56,560 --> 00:35:00,320
Speaker 1: that Johnson has shown with Mason Rudolf, especially one of

861
00:35:00,320 --> 00:35:02,160
Speaker 1: those games was against the forty nine Ers, a very

862
00:35:02,160 --> 00:35:05,040
Speaker 1: tough defense I'm gonna take Johnson to go over seventy

863
00:35:05,040 --> 00:35:06,840
Speaker 1: five yards receiving at plus one ninety.

864
00:35:07,040 --> 00:35:09,640
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean that's a sneaky little play. I actually

865
00:35:09,719 --> 00:35:11,120
Speaker 2: kind of liked that a lot. To be honest, I

866
00:35:11,120 --> 00:35:12,440
Speaker 2: don't really have a whole lot of thoughts so that

867
00:35:12,480 --> 00:35:14,359
Speaker 2: the Dolphins are the Dolphins. We know we're gonna get

868
00:35:14,360 --> 00:35:18,680
Speaker 2: within the absolutely stink. So yeah, I love that play.

869
00:35:19,000 --> 00:35:21,640
Speaker 1: Wow, thanks boy, you are so excited about it. It

870
00:35:21,400 --> 00:35:23,200
Speaker 1: makes me feel better than I don't hate it.

871
00:35:23,280 --> 00:35:23,480
Speaker 2: Yeah.

872
00:35:23,480 --> 00:35:25,160
Speaker 1: Again, I mean it was kind of I was looking

873
00:35:25,200 --> 00:35:27,640
Speaker 1: through the props and you know, sometimes I like to

874
00:35:27,680 --> 00:35:29,239
Speaker 1: go a little deeper, and this is one I think

875
00:35:29,239 --> 00:35:31,680
Speaker 1: people really, you know, nobody's gonna really be looking at

876
00:35:32,000 --> 00:35:33,800
Speaker 1: playing at this one. But there does seem to be

877
00:35:33,840 --> 00:35:36,040
Speaker 1: a pretty good connection between Rudolph and Johnson. So I

878
00:35:36,320 --> 00:35:38,719
Speaker 1: do think this is something where, you know, even though

879
00:35:38,719 --> 00:35:40,640
Speaker 1: they will run a lot, I think they're gonna want

880
00:35:40,640 --> 00:35:43,400
Speaker 1: to try to at least get Rudolph that comfortable, have

881
00:35:43,480 --> 00:35:45,920
Speaker 1: him make some more throws rather than the gimmicky offense

882
00:35:46,200 --> 00:35:47,759
Speaker 1: that we've kind of seen a little bit. Just to

883
00:35:48,000 --> 00:35:50,040
Speaker 1: you know, this is like essentially the softest matchup that

884
00:35:50,040 --> 00:35:51,640
Speaker 1: you can have so I think they're gonna try to

885
00:35:51,640 --> 00:35:54,279
Speaker 1: take advantage of that as best they can. All right,

886
00:35:54,480 --> 00:35:56,560
Speaker 1: that is going to do it for today's show. Thanks

887
00:35:56,600 --> 00:35:57,239
Speaker 1: again for joining me.

888
00:35:57,280 --> 00:35:57,480
Speaker 2: Ian.

889
00:35:57,520 --> 00:35:59,600
Speaker 1: Can you remind everyone where they can find more of

890
00:35:59,640 --> 00:36:00,479
Speaker 1: you and your work?

891
00:36:00,800 --> 00:36:05,480
Speaker 2: Yeah? Absolutely, Please follow me on Twitter at Ian Macows.

892
00:36:05,480 --> 00:36:07,080
Speaker 2: As you mentioned the top of the show, my name

893
00:36:07,120 --> 00:36:09,600
Speaker 2: is spelled a little weird. It's a I N. M

894
00:36:09,640 --> 00:36:13,319
Speaker 2: Acos on Twitter, so go ahead and give me a

895
00:36:13,400 --> 00:36:14,000
Speaker 2: follow there.

896
00:36:14,120 --> 00:36:15,840
Speaker 1: All right, great, thanks again for coming on, and I

897
00:36:15,920 --> 00:36:17,600
Speaker 1: hope we can do it at least once more before

898
00:36:17,600 --> 00:36:18,600
Speaker 1: the NFL season ends.

899
00:36:18,840 --> 00:36:19,759
Speaker 2: Absolutely sounds good.

900
00:36:19,800 --> 00:36:22,040
Speaker 1: Dan, all right, I want to remind everyone briefly about

901
00:36:22,080 --> 00:36:25,280
Speaker 1: bet MGM, where you can basically win one hundred dollars

902
00:36:25,360 --> 00:36:28,520
Speaker 1: for nothing if Aaron Rodgers throws a touchdown pass against

903
00:36:28,520 --> 00:36:31,160
Speaker 1: the Chiefs. If you sign up using our promo code

904
00:36:31,160 --> 00:36:33,120
Speaker 1: Harris and don't forget to leave us a review on

905
00:36:33,120 --> 00:36:35,680
Speaker 1: Apple Podcasts or Stitcher and send a screenshot of that

906
00:36:35,719 --> 00:36:38,680
Speaker 1: review to contest at bettingpro dot com to be entered

907
00:36:38,680 --> 00:36:42,160
Speaker 1: into our Odell Beckham Junior signed helmet giveaway. Good luck

908
00:36:42,160 --> 00:36:44,359
Speaker 1: with your wagers this weekend, we'll be back breaking down

909
00:36:44,400 --> 00:36:50,640
Speaker 1: the early lines. For Week nine on Monday,