1 00:00:00,920 --> 00:00:05,160 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Action Network Podcast, the number one show 2 00:00:05,280 --> 00:00:10,440 Speaker 1: for the invested sports fan. All Right, here we go, 3 00:00:11,280 --> 00:00:17,079 Speaker 1: prob growing in. We're sitting up the cash touchdown. 4 00:00:17,920 --> 00:00:20,880 Speaker 2: We'll see most gamblers when they go to gamble, they 5 00:00:20,960 --> 00:00:21,360 Speaker 2: go to win. 6 00:00:22,040 --> 00:00:26,079 Speaker 3: God, that's incredible, Big Banks, I'm all banks, I like 7 00:00:26,160 --> 00:00:26,800 Speaker 3: to make money. 8 00:00:26,920 --> 00:00:30,160 Speaker 1: All right, this is the ultimate kaboy you want to 9 00:00:30,200 --> 00:00:38,760 Speaker 1: pull and we are underway. Hello everyone, Welcome to the 10 00:00:38,880 --> 00:00:42,760 Speaker 1: Week two XFL Fantasy Flex the x Flex on the 11 00:00:42,880 --> 00:00:45,559 Speaker 1: Action Network Podcast. I'm Matthew Freedman, the editor in chief 12 00:00:45,600 --> 00:00:48,640 Speaker 1: of Fantasy Labs, parts of the Action Network. In this episode, 13 00:00:48,720 --> 00:00:51,440 Speaker 1: we're breaking down the week two XFL games from a 14 00:00:51,520 --> 00:00:54,040 Speaker 1: sports betting perspective. We are highlighting some players who like 15 00:00:54,120 --> 00:00:56,680 Speaker 1: for daily fantasy, and we are looking for value in 16 00:00:56,760 --> 00:01:00,600 Speaker 1: the XFL futures market. With me, as always, Shawn Corner 17 00:01:00,680 --> 00:01:03,600 Speaker 1: and Chris Raybond. Sawn is our director of Predictive Analytics 18 00:01:03,640 --> 00:01:05,919 Speaker 1: and one of the top end season fantasy football rankers 19 00:01:05,959 --> 00:01:08,280 Speaker 1: for the past half decade, and Chris is a senior 20 00:01:08,360 --> 00:01:10,200 Speaker 1: editor and analyst at the Action Network and a co 21 00:01:10,319 --> 00:01:15,440 Speaker 1: host the Action Network show on Serious Exim Fantasy Sports Radio. Gentlemen, 22 00:01:15,800 --> 00:01:19,280 Speaker 1: let's jump into it. Week one. I thought it was fantastic. 23 00:01:19,400 --> 00:01:22,120 Speaker 1: I want to get your thoughts on it, specifically what 24 00:01:22,280 --> 00:01:26,480 Speaker 1: we learned from a sports betting perspective, Sean, What did 25 00:01:26,560 --> 00:01:27,560 Speaker 1: you learn well? 26 00:01:27,680 --> 00:01:29,600 Speaker 4: You know, heading into week one, I I was just 27 00:01:29,680 --> 00:01:32,800 Speaker 4: being pretty cautious about it. I was advising not to 28 00:01:32,880 --> 00:01:35,000 Speaker 4: be too aggressive. You know, we really don't know how 29 00:01:35,040 --> 00:01:36,880 Speaker 4: these teams are going to perform until we see them play. 30 00:01:37,680 --> 00:01:40,640 Speaker 4: So the only futures bet I made was the under 31 00:01:40,840 --> 00:01:42,360 Speaker 4: seven and a half win tolls for Tampa Bay. I 32 00:01:42,400 --> 00:01:44,240 Speaker 4: thought that was way too high, even though I thought 33 00:01:44,280 --> 00:01:46,600 Speaker 4: they could be one of the best teams. I think 34 00:01:46,640 --> 00:01:49,080 Speaker 4: we learned week one that they might not be, and 35 00:01:49,200 --> 00:01:50,680 Speaker 4: we could talk about that later. I think they met 36 00:01:50,800 --> 00:01:54,120 Speaker 4: the offering value this week because of it and the 37 00:01:54,240 --> 00:01:56,720 Speaker 4: other The only other bet I made for week one, 38 00:01:56,800 --> 00:02:00,040 Speaker 4: specifically with Saint Louis getting ten points against Dallas. I 39 00:02:00,080 --> 00:02:02,120 Speaker 4: thought that was way too high, especially with Dallas missing 40 00:02:02,160 --> 00:02:04,680 Speaker 4: their starting QB. But other than that, I mean we 41 00:02:04,800 --> 00:02:06,920 Speaker 4: learned a little bit about the teams themselves. I think 42 00:02:06,960 --> 00:02:08,800 Speaker 4: we have a pretty good idea of you know who. 43 00:02:08,880 --> 00:02:12,120 Speaker 4: The top two teams are probably DC in Houston, and 44 00:02:12,480 --> 00:02:15,720 Speaker 4: the worst team is probably Seattle, But just for a 45 00:02:15,800 --> 00:02:17,679 Speaker 4: high level point of view, I think we still have 46 00:02:17,800 --> 00:02:20,200 Speaker 4: some you know, more learning about the team specifically. I 47 00:02:20,240 --> 00:02:22,079 Speaker 4: think this week will help us out even more. But 48 00:02:22,440 --> 00:02:25,000 Speaker 4: when it came to totals specifically, I thought that was 49 00:02:25,080 --> 00:02:27,240 Speaker 4: what week one was all about. So I was doing 50 00:02:27,280 --> 00:02:29,600 Speaker 4: a lot of live in game betting and trying to 51 00:02:29,639 --> 00:02:31,280 Speaker 4: get a feel for that, and I know we kind 52 00:02:31,320 --> 00:02:33,800 Speaker 4: of agreed that, you know, the totals probably be around 53 00:02:33,880 --> 00:02:36,720 Speaker 4: forty seven would seem about right. And we saw the 54 00:02:36,800 --> 00:02:39,160 Speaker 4: market you know, all the way up to about fifty 55 00:02:39,240 --> 00:02:41,919 Speaker 4: one to fifty two for some of these games, and 56 00:02:43,000 --> 00:02:45,040 Speaker 4: after the first couple of games, it certainly looked like, 57 00:02:45,360 --> 00:02:47,359 Speaker 4: you know, that was a pretty good line. But the 58 00:02:47,440 --> 00:02:49,919 Speaker 4: next two are super low scoring, so it looks like 59 00:02:49,960 --> 00:02:52,720 Speaker 4: the markets settled down to forty about forty seven, which 60 00:02:52,720 --> 00:02:55,120 Speaker 4: we thought this week, So I'm not seeing much value 61 00:02:55,120 --> 00:02:57,280 Speaker 4: on the totals, but again, this week could show us 62 00:02:57,320 --> 00:03:00,240 Speaker 4: something the other way. We could see four high scoring game. 63 00:03:00,320 --> 00:03:02,280 Speaker 4: So curious to hear what you guys think about just 64 00:03:02,360 --> 00:03:05,000 Speaker 4: totals in general, because that's I think that's still all 65 00:03:05,080 --> 00:03:07,840 Speaker 4: the thing that we haven't quite learned, you know, that 66 00:03:08,040 --> 00:03:08,680 Speaker 4: much quite yet. 67 00:03:08,840 --> 00:03:11,320 Speaker 1: Yeah, it'll be interesting to see what happens with totals. 68 00:03:11,520 --> 00:03:14,320 Speaker 1: As we were recording this, FanDuel has just posted lines 69 00:03:14,320 --> 00:03:16,600 Speaker 1: and they are including totals, and I think they're still 70 00:03:16,720 --> 00:03:19,320 Speaker 1: a tad high. So that's something for us to keep 71 00:03:19,360 --> 00:03:21,480 Speaker 1: an eye on. If you look at Action Network right now. 72 00:03:21,800 --> 00:03:24,519 Speaker 1: We posted earlier in the week a piece in which 73 00:03:24,560 --> 00:03:26,680 Speaker 1: we broke down some of the lessons we are taking 74 00:03:26,760 --> 00:03:30,040 Speaker 1: away from week one, and Raymond, you had a lot 75 00:03:30,160 --> 00:03:32,120 Speaker 1: of things to talk about. What are some of the 76 00:03:32,200 --> 00:03:33,560 Speaker 1: things you noticed for week one. 77 00:03:34,200 --> 00:03:35,560 Speaker 2: That's a good way to put it noticed. 78 00:03:35,600 --> 00:03:37,400 Speaker 3: You know, I don't takeaway is a strong word, but 79 00:03:38,200 --> 00:03:41,400 Speaker 3: you know, the first thing, obviously the scoring. The average 80 00:03:41,640 --> 00:03:44,720 Speaker 3: combined points for the two teams over the four games 81 00:03:44,840 --> 00:03:47,760 Speaker 3: was just thirty eight point five. Now in the NFL 82 00:03:47,960 --> 00:03:50,720 Speaker 3: usually expect about forty five and a half to forty six. 83 00:03:50,840 --> 00:03:53,880 Speaker 3: So those two games on Sunday, we only have four 84 00:03:53,920 --> 00:03:56,160 Speaker 3: games to go off of, kind of lowered it down. 85 00:03:56,320 --> 00:03:58,360 Speaker 3: And then a lot of it could have been due 86 00:03:58,400 --> 00:04:00,880 Speaker 3: maybe to some of the teams missing their start during quarterbacks. 87 00:04:00,880 --> 00:04:04,080 Speaker 3: You know, La only scored seventeen, Dallas scored nine. Both 88 00:04:04,120 --> 00:04:07,720 Speaker 3: of those teams project to be starting different quarterbacks going forward, 89 00:04:07,800 --> 00:04:11,520 Speaker 3: but also teams were conservative, you know, fourth downs, conservative 90 00:04:11,600 --> 00:04:15,440 Speaker 3: in terms of their after touchdown conversions. That could also change, 91 00:04:15,480 --> 00:04:19,000 Speaker 3: but right now, those fifty plus totals I think are 92 00:04:19,080 --> 00:04:22,360 Speaker 3: still way too high given what we saw overall in 93 00:04:22,440 --> 00:04:24,960 Speaker 3: week one. And then home field advantage another thing that's 94 00:04:25,080 --> 00:04:26,840 Speaker 3: kind of tough to gauge after just one week, but 95 00:04:27,040 --> 00:04:29,200 Speaker 3: home teams did go three and one straight up and 96 00:04:29,360 --> 00:04:34,000 Speaker 3: against the spread. Their average scoring margin was plus eleven 97 00:04:34,040 --> 00:04:36,400 Speaker 3: and a half, so I thought that was pretty interesting. 98 00:04:36,920 --> 00:04:37,440 Speaker 1: You know, the. 99 00:04:39,000 --> 00:04:41,359 Speaker 3: New York Guardians had a big home win as an underdog, 100 00:04:41,480 --> 00:04:44,120 Speaker 3: so that helped that a lot. And then passing, just 101 00:04:44,240 --> 00:04:46,960 Speaker 3: like in the regular NFL, passing was seemed to be 102 00:04:47,080 --> 00:04:51,240 Speaker 3: the more efficient way to move to football. Interestingly enough, 103 00:04:51,320 --> 00:04:53,640 Speaker 3: the average yards per attempt was only six point three 104 00:04:54,160 --> 00:04:58,239 Speaker 3: when the NFL it's usually you know, well over seven, 105 00:04:58,320 --> 00:05:00,720 Speaker 3: about seven point four to seven point five. So even 106 00:05:00,800 --> 00:05:03,560 Speaker 3: though passing was less efficient, if you looked, you know, 107 00:05:04,240 --> 00:05:08,480 Speaker 3: being able to convert on passing attempts into touchdowns and 108 00:05:08,600 --> 00:05:11,080 Speaker 3: not turning the ball over that was huge. The four 109 00:05:11,160 --> 00:05:14,120 Speaker 3: winning teams had a touchdown to interception ratio of eight 110 00:05:14,160 --> 00:05:17,400 Speaker 3: to one, and the four losing teams had a touchdown 111 00:05:17,440 --> 00:05:20,520 Speaker 3: and interception ratio four to six, so you know, turnovers, passing, 112 00:05:20,600 --> 00:05:22,600 Speaker 3: being able to stop the pass, the same things that 113 00:05:22,680 --> 00:05:25,440 Speaker 3: we kind of are used to on any level of football, 114 00:05:26,200 --> 00:05:28,280 Speaker 3: you know, they played a big part. But and that's 115 00:05:28,320 --> 00:05:30,720 Speaker 3: all without really teams making use of a lot of 116 00:05:30,800 --> 00:05:33,480 Speaker 3: trickery in the double forward pass and all that. So 117 00:05:34,640 --> 00:05:36,280 Speaker 3: those things are interesting and I think that you know, 118 00:05:36,360 --> 00:05:39,560 Speaker 3: as teams get better at that, the totals could tick up. 119 00:05:39,600 --> 00:05:42,360 Speaker 3: But overall, I thought defense is probably played a little 120 00:05:42,400 --> 00:05:45,440 Speaker 3: better than we expected in Week one, and it's called 121 00:05:45,480 --> 00:05:47,800 Speaker 3: some volatility in the futures market, where we saw a 122 00:05:47,880 --> 00:05:50,960 Speaker 3: couple of the favorites, you know, Dallas and New York 123 00:05:51,160 --> 00:05:54,000 Speaker 3: they went from essentially plus you know, three to one 124 00:05:54,120 --> 00:05:55,640 Speaker 3: or four to one all the way down to six 125 00:05:55,720 --> 00:05:57,520 Speaker 3: to one, seven to one. So it's going to be 126 00:05:57,600 --> 00:05:58,920 Speaker 3: early in the year. I think it's a good time 127 00:05:58,960 --> 00:06:02,440 Speaker 3: to kind of hit the futures mark get rather than 128 00:06:03,120 --> 00:06:05,160 Speaker 3: jumping on every single game. You know, you can take 129 00:06:05,200 --> 00:06:07,360 Speaker 3: a team like Tampa Bay, who was one of the 130 00:06:07,400 --> 00:06:10,320 Speaker 3: favorites coming into the year Dallas at a much better 131 00:06:10,360 --> 00:06:12,920 Speaker 3: price right now. In Tampa Bay in particular, they're playing 132 00:06:13,120 --> 00:06:15,440 Speaker 3: They're starting the season with two straight road games, and 133 00:06:15,480 --> 00:06:17,400 Speaker 3: if home field is a little more important than we thought, 134 00:06:17,920 --> 00:06:20,000 Speaker 3: that could factor into their value going forward. 135 00:06:21,279 --> 00:06:25,119 Speaker 1: Great stuff there at Raymond. Let's jump in to these games, 136 00:06:26,160 --> 00:06:29,599 Speaker 1: and I'm excited. Really we have the New York Guardians 137 00:06:29,640 --> 00:06:32,040 Speaker 1: at the DC Defenders. These right now are the two 138 00:06:32,080 --> 00:06:35,400 Speaker 1: teams at the top of the futures market after Week one, 139 00:06:35,520 --> 00:06:39,000 Speaker 1: so you know, presumably, if not the two best teams 140 00:06:39,040 --> 00:06:41,000 Speaker 1: in the league, two of the better teams in the league, 141 00:06:41,480 --> 00:06:45,000 Speaker 1: and this number has moved. The DC Defenders are now 142 00:06:45,240 --> 00:06:47,680 Speaker 1: if you're looking at fandel six and a half point 143 00:06:47,760 --> 00:06:52,360 Speaker 1: favorites and the over under is forty eight. Sean, what 144 00:06:52,560 --> 00:06:54,400 Speaker 1: are you thinking when you see this game? 145 00:06:55,480 --> 00:06:57,680 Speaker 4: Yeah, like you mentioned, I think both teams look really 146 00:06:57,720 --> 00:06:59,719 Speaker 4: good week one, so that this should be a good game. 147 00:07:00,880 --> 00:07:03,320 Speaker 4: New York beat the team that had the highest win 148 00:07:03,400 --> 00:07:06,680 Speaker 4: total entering Week one, Tampa Bay, and DC. You know, 149 00:07:06,760 --> 00:07:09,359 Speaker 4: they beat the team at the lowest win total end 150 00:07:09,480 --> 00:07:11,600 Speaker 4: are probably the worst team in league in Seattle, So 151 00:07:11,600 --> 00:07:13,600 Speaker 4: I think we could take more away from New York's 152 00:07:13,640 --> 00:07:17,120 Speaker 4: win last week. And you know, Cardill Jones does look good. 153 00:07:17,160 --> 00:07:18,760 Speaker 4: He looks like, you know, a top two QB in 154 00:07:18,800 --> 00:07:20,840 Speaker 4: this league. I think they're going to be a tough 155 00:07:20,920 --> 00:07:23,480 Speaker 4: team to beat. But they did benefit from They had 156 00:07:23,520 --> 00:07:27,520 Speaker 4: a block punt return for touchdown, a pick six, a 157 00:07:27,720 --> 00:07:30,960 Speaker 4: double flee flicker deep play to Carrie Lee where he 158 00:07:31,000 --> 00:07:33,600 Speaker 4: stubled in the end zone basically so that there is 159 00:07:33,720 --> 00:07:36,320 Speaker 4: a little bit of luck involved in their blowout win. 160 00:07:36,440 --> 00:07:39,600 Speaker 4: So I think there is some opportunity for value right 161 00:07:39,640 --> 00:07:42,480 Speaker 4: here getting the plus six and half. I know we 162 00:07:42,560 --> 00:07:44,720 Speaker 4: thought it'd be closer to, you know, three and a half. 163 00:07:45,680 --> 00:07:47,720 Speaker 4: So yeah, I think this is probably just a little 164 00:07:47,760 --> 00:07:50,160 Speaker 4: bit of an overreaction in Week one when you know, 165 00:07:50,320 --> 00:07:53,120 Speaker 4: everybody knows that DC is probably one of the top teams, 166 00:07:53,200 --> 00:07:55,920 Speaker 4: but it's still too early to be floating that big 167 00:07:55,960 --> 00:07:57,720 Speaker 4: of a number to a team like New York that 168 00:07:57,800 --> 00:07:59,760 Speaker 4: did actually look good week one is one of the 169 00:07:59,800 --> 00:08:03,520 Speaker 4: more surprising team. So I think i'd be leaning Guardians 170 00:08:03,560 --> 00:08:04,480 Speaker 4: at plus six and a half. 171 00:08:05,440 --> 00:08:08,800 Speaker 1: I'm entirely with you and not I mean the three 172 00:08:08,880 --> 00:08:12,480 Speaker 1: touchdowns that you mentioned, plus the other touchdown that Cardell 173 00:08:12,600 --> 00:08:15,600 Speaker 1: Jones threw was on fourth and six and a like 174 00:08:15,920 --> 00:08:17,920 Speaker 1: a deep attempt down the field when I think the 175 00:08:18,040 --> 00:08:20,760 Speaker 1: defense probably wasn't ready for it. So I don't want 176 00:08:20,800 --> 00:08:23,320 Speaker 1: to say like all four of those touchdowns were fluky, 177 00:08:23,600 --> 00:08:27,080 Speaker 1: but they're not representative of what you normally see in 178 00:08:27,160 --> 00:08:29,440 Speaker 1: a game with the team moving the ball down the 179 00:08:29,480 --> 00:08:32,679 Speaker 1: field and scoring in a normal fashion. So I think 180 00:08:32,679 --> 00:08:35,480 Speaker 1: it's pretty easy to be pessimistic based on what we 181 00:08:35,559 --> 00:08:37,679 Speaker 1: saw last week out of the DC defenders. Not to 182 00:08:37,720 --> 00:08:39,160 Speaker 1: say that they're not one of the better teams in 183 00:08:39,200 --> 00:08:41,160 Speaker 1: the league, but six and a half just feels like 184 00:08:41,320 --> 00:08:43,800 Speaker 1: a lot of points. So I'm going with the Guardians 185 00:08:43,840 --> 00:08:45,719 Speaker 1: plus six and a half. Raybond, do you have a 186 00:08:45,840 --> 00:08:46,600 Speaker 1: lean on this game? 187 00:08:47,720 --> 00:08:50,319 Speaker 2: Yeah, you know, I like the Tampa Bay heading in 188 00:08:50,320 --> 00:08:51,480 Speaker 2: a week one and I was dev wrong. 189 00:08:52,040 --> 00:08:53,839 Speaker 3: And I think one of the biggest factors that was 190 00:08:53,920 --> 00:08:57,160 Speaker 3: so difficult to weigh heading into that first week was defense. 191 00:08:57,360 --> 00:09:00,559 Speaker 3: And when I look at the Guardians, the defense, the 192 00:09:00,600 --> 00:09:03,079 Speaker 3: New York Guardians, I was impressed. 193 00:09:03,080 --> 00:09:04,640 Speaker 2: You know, they held Tampa Bay to three points. 194 00:09:04,679 --> 00:09:07,839 Speaker 3: They were able to limit them from you know, turning 195 00:09:07,880 --> 00:09:09,880 Speaker 3: yards into points, and I think that's key. And I think, 196 00:09:10,280 --> 00:09:12,800 Speaker 3: you know, as you guys kind of hit on, I 197 00:09:12,960 --> 00:09:14,800 Speaker 3: love the Guardians plus six and a half and I 198 00:09:14,840 --> 00:09:17,920 Speaker 3: think they're the DC is going to be overvalued because 199 00:09:17,960 --> 00:09:19,680 Speaker 3: no one knows how to really get a grip on defense, 200 00:09:19,679 --> 00:09:22,160 Speaker 3: so everyone's just kind of looking at the offense is 201 00:09:22,200 --> 00:09:26,720 Speaker 3: still but you know, this defense totally different than Seattle, 202 00:09:27,080 --> 00:09:29,640 Speaker 3: who I think we all agree is the worst team 203 00:09:30,240 --> 00:09:33,040 Speaker 3: in the week. So cardiele Jones ten point two on 204 00:09:33,240 --> 00:09:37,200 Speaker 3: DraftKings a little overvalued for me, and I think all 205 00:09:37,200 --> 00:09:39,559 Speaker 3: the interesting thing was just looking at some of the rotations, 206 00:09:39,600 --> 00:09:42,280 Speaker 3: like the running back rotation. So for New York, Tim 207 00:09:42,360 --> 00:09:45,520 Speaker 3: Cook twenty seven snaps per Pro Football Focus and Darius 208 00:09:45,600 --> 00:09:49,599 Speaker 3: Victor twenty six at running back, Justin Stockton won and 209 00:09:49,679 --> 00:09:52,800 Speaker 3: Matt Coburn zero, So that's something to keep in mind. 210 00:09:52,800 --> 00:09:55,000 Speaker 3: Those two guys were splitting work and the other two 211 00:09:55,040 --> 00:09:56,720 Speaker 3: guys they were not getting any work. 212 00:09:57,080 --> 00:09:59,520 Speaker 1: That New York defense was pretty good. You know, the 213 00:09:59,559 --> 00:10:03,080 Speaker 1: phrase unquote laying the wood is what they were doing. 214 00:10:03,360 --> 00:10:06,320 Speaker 1: They got lots of sacks, a lot of quarterback pressures, 215 00:10:06,559 --> 00:10:09,320 Speaker 1: forced fumbles, interceptions. I mean, I'm not like a ways 216 00:10:09,320 --> 00:10:12,760 Speaker 1: when it comes to evaluating defense, but they immediately looked 217 00:10:12,880 --> 00:10:15,960 Speaker 1: like one of the toughest defenses in the league. Any 218 00:10:16,080 --> 00:10:19,120 Speaker 1: DFS plays that we like from this game, I mean, 219 00:10:19,160 --> 00:10:22,200 Speaker 1: I think Cardell Jones is probably like the obvious one, 220 00:10:22,280 --> 00:10:24,120 Speaker 1: but anyone really come to mind here. 221 00:10:24,520 --> 00:10:27,480 Speaker 4: Yeah, So I think there's two really good cheap receivers 222 00:10:27,520 --> 00:10:29,480 Speaker 4: in this game. I think the key to Week two 223 00:10:29,600 --> 00:10:31,240 Speaker 4: is kind of, you know, looking at guys that they 224 00:10:31,280 --> 00:10:33,079 Speaker 4: probably end up performing the box score, but all the 225 00:10:33,240 --> 00:10:36,200 Speaker 4: underlying usage was there. Joe Horn Junior as a guy 226 00:10:36,240 --> 00:10:38,720 Speaker 4: that stands out at thirty four hundred, I mean Michael 227 00:10:38,800 --> 00:10:41,720 Speaker 4: McKay and Collak Pearson, they got sort of the box 228 00:10:41,760 --> 00:10:44,400 Speaker 4: scorer stats, but Horne loved the team in targets with 229 00:10:44,559 --> 00:10:47,240 Speaker 4: seven all three receivers ran a route on ninety percent 230 00:10:47,280 --> 00:10:50,120 Speaker 4: of the dropback, so they were exclusively running three ride 231 00:10:50,160 --> 00:10:52,760 Speaker 4: receiver sets. So Horne was basically running route on every 232 00:10:52,840 --> 00:10:55,720 Speaker 4: pass attempt and he only went two catches for twenty 233 00:10:55,800 --> 00:10:59,160 Speaker 4: seven yards that game. New York wasn't really forced throw much. 234 00:10:59,200 --> 00:11:01,520 Speaker 4: They had commanding leave the entire game. So I think 235 00:11:01,760 --> 00:11:04,480 Speaker 4: Joe Horn in this matchup has a ton of potential 236 00:11:04,520 --> 00:11:06,679 Speaker 4: of that price on the other side of the ball. 237 00:11:06,760 --> 00:11:10,600 Speaker 4: Almost the same thing with Malakai Dupree, who's actually banged up, 238 00:11:10,640 --> 00:11:12,880 Speaker 4: so we have to monitor status this week. But Hilly 239 00:11:12,960 --> 00:11:16,000 Speaker 4: went two catches for fourteen yards despite leading the team 240 00:11:16,040 --> 00:11:18,920 Speaker 4: with eighty four percent of routes run per dropback, so 241 00:11:19,440 --> 00:11:21,120 Speaker 4: he's not the guy that has a ton of potential 242 00:11:21,240 --> 00:11:23,360 Speaker 4: just by being on the field. And then we also 243 00:11:23,440 --> 00:11:26,480 Speaker 4: have to monitor DeAndre Tompkins might return this week, so 244 00:11:26,600 --> 00:11:29,760 Speaker 4: the DC just the wide receiver depth chart could get 245 00:11:30,000 --> 00:11:31,400 Speaker 4: shaken up a bit this week, so we have to 246 00:11:31,440 --> 00:11:33,960 Speaker 4: be careful with that. But Dupree's super cheap at forty 247 00:11:34,000 --> 00:11:35,880 Speaker 4: five hundred, and you know, if you're getting a guy 248 00:11:35,960 --> 00:11:38,440 Speaker 4: that's leading a team in routes run, that's a ton 249 00:11:38,520 --> 00:11:39,240 Speaker 4: of value. 250 00:11:39,520 --> 00:11:41,640 Speaker 1: All right, Raymond, anyone catch your eye? Yeah? 251 00:11:41,679 --> 00:11:44,520 Speaker 3: I think for New York tight end Jake Powell, he 252 00:11:44,679 --> 00:11:46,559 Speaker 3: was one of the top tight ends. And it's interesting 253 00:11:46,640 --> 00:11:48,840 Speaker 3: it's just one week of data, but I was looking 254 00:11:48,880 --> 00:11:51,080 Speaker 3: at kind of the leag wide trends and tight ends 255 00:11:51,160 --> 00:11:54,760 Speaker 3: actually averaged thirteen point eight yards per reception and wide 256 00:11:54,760 --> 00:11:57,439 Speaker 3: receivers average twelve point seven. So tight ends were kind 257 00:11:57,440 --> 00:11:59,920 Speaker 3: of the big play guys the XFL in week one, 258 00:12:00,080 --> 00:12:02,000 Speaker 3: and I think that's something interesting to watch and to 259 00:12:02,120 --> 00:12:04,360 Speaker 3: keep in mind and at least consider for some some 260 00:12:04,480 --> 00:12:05,920 Speaker 3: hidden ups that I know we were kind of thinking 261 00:12:05,920 --> 00:12:08,280 Speaker 3: that we probably would just fade the position for the 262 00:12:08,360 --> 00:12:10,320 Speaker 3: most part, A lot of guys were because they're all 263 00:12:10,360 --> 00:12:13,080 Speaker 3: lumped in with wide receivers. But Powell at thirty two 264 00:12:13,200 --> 00:12:18,360 Speaker 3: hundred for a guy who got seven seven targets, you 265 00:12:18,440 --> 00:12:20,720 Speaker 3: know that in that first matchup. 266 00:12:20,760 --> 00:12:23,400 Speaker 2: I think it is a great is a great value. 267 00:12:23,880 --> 00:12:26,600 Speaker 1: All right, Let's get to the next game. Tampa Bay 268 00:12:26,720 --> 00:12:31,200 Speaker 1: Vipers at Seattle Dragons. If you are looking at Fandel 269 00:12:31,280 --> 00:12:35,199 Speaker 1: Sportsbook as we're recording this, the Vipers favored by three 270 00:12:35,280 --> 00:12:38,360 Speaker 1: points on the road, the only road favorite for the 271 00:12:38,480 --> 00:12:42,079 Speaker 1: second week in a row, the lowest total on the 272 00:12:42,160 --> 00:12:45,360 Speaker 1: slate at forty five points. Sean, what do you think 273 00:12:45,400 --> 00:12:45,839 Speaker 1: of this game? 274 00:12:46,559 --> 00:12:48,800 Speaker 4: I think this is probably the most fascinating game to 275 00:12:48,920 --> 00:12:52,320 Speaker 4: handicap for week two. Tampa Bay looked horrible week one, 276 00:12:52,440 --> 00:12:54,480 Speaker 4: but I think when you look at the underlying data, 277 00:12:54,600 --> 00:12:57,040 Speaker 4: I mean they have potential there. We have to remember 278 00:12:57,120 --> 00:12:59,840 Speaker 4: that they did lead the league with a win total 279 00:12:59,880 --> 00:13:01,719 Speaker 4: of seven and a half, so we don't want to 280 00:13:01,720 --> 00:13:04,600 Speaker 4: write them off completely after week one. They actually had 281 00:13:04,800 --> 00:13:07,560 Speaker 4: a higher yards per play last week and they lost 282 00:13:07,600 --> 00:13:10,320 Speaker 4: by twenty. You rarely see that, And now, to be fair, 283 00:13:10,440 --> 00:13:12,240 Speaker 4: we have to take that game in context. They were 284 00:13:12,360 --> 00:13:14,040 Speaker 4: losing by double digits mostly. 285 00:13:13,880 --> 00:13:14,520 Speaker 1: The entire game. 286 00:13:14,800 --> 00:13:18,440 Speaker 4: Aaron Murray, he did look bad and he got banged up, 287 00:13:18,559 --> 00:13:20,920 Speaker 4: So we might see Flowers play a lot more quarterback 288 00:13:20,960 --> 00:13:23,400 Speaker 4: this week if that's the case. So I think they're 289 00:13:23,400 --> 00:13:25,080 Speaker 4: gonna have to change things up this week. They had 290 00:13:25,160 --> 00:13:27,760 Speaker 4: four red zone drives and came out with zero touchdowns, 291 00:13:28,280 --> 00:13:30,760 Speaker 4: so I think they're due for some regression. They, like 292 00:13:30,920 --> 00:13:32,640 Speaker 4: Ray Bund said, they did move the ball. They had 293 00:13:32,679 --> 00:13:35,400 Speaker 4: the most yards for the week. Again, that likely due 294 00:13:35,440 --> 00:13:37,880 Speaker 4: to trailing, but you know there is potential there. We 295 00:13:37,920 --> 00:13:41,160 Speaker 4: could see them regress, and they're playing a positive regression, 296 00:13:41,160 --> 00:13:43,839 Speaker 4: i'd say, and they're playing probably the team that we 297 00:13:44,000 --> 00:13:46,600 Speaker 4: know is probably the worst team in league in Seattle. 298 00:13:46,880 --> 00:13:49,719 Speaker 4: So getting them at minus three and a half, I 299 00:13:49,880 --> 00:13:52,600 Speaker 4: was hoping they'd probably be like minus one or something. 300 00:13:52,679 --> 00:13:54,360 Speaker 4: But I think even at minus three and a half, 301 00:13:54,400 --> 00:13:56,240 Speaker 4: I'll probably bite just a buy a law on them. 302 00:13:56,280 --> 00:13:58,360 Speaker 4: I think this is the opportunity where we can buy 303 00:13:58,400 --> 00:14:01,280 Speaker 4: alaw on a team like Vipers, where you leaning I. 304 00:14:01,400 --> 00:14:03,319 Speaker 2: Like to buy well call on Tampa Bay as well 305 00:14:03,520 --> 00:14:04,480 Speaker 2: and Seattle. 306 00:14:04,559 --> 00:14:06,240 Speaker 3: I mean, when you look at their when you look 307 00:14:06,280 --> 00:14:09,240 Speaker 3: at their quarterback situation, Brandon Silvers, if you look at 308 00:14:09,280 --> 00:14:11,559 Speaker 3: Pro Football Focuses grades, he was the worst graded of 309 00:14:11,640 --> 00:14:14,160 Speaker 3: the starting quarterbacks. He had just twenty one of forty 310 00:14:14,320 --> 00:14:16,199 Speaker 3: for two hundred and seventeen yards, so even though he 311 00:14:16,240 --> 00:14:19,400 Speaker 3: threw three touchdowns, he only averaged five point four yards 312 00:14:19,440 --> 00:14:22,200 Speaker 3: per attempt. That's about almost a yard lower than the 313 00:14:22,280 --> 00:14:25,040 Speaker 3: league average. And he threw two picks, so he was 314 00:14:25,080 --> 00:14:27,880 Speaker 3: the He was one of only two quarterbacks along with 315 00:14:28,200 --> 00:14:31,040 Speaker 3: Aaron Murray on the other side. Strangely enough, that threw 316 00:14:31,120 --> 00:14:33,280 Speaker 3: two picks, multiple picks in a game, so you know, 317 00:14:33,360 --> 00:14:35,720 Speaker 3: from that perspective, it could be kind of a little 318 00:14:35,720 --> 00:14:38,760 Speaker 3: bit of a sloppy type of situation. But I think 319 00:14:38,800 --> 00:14:41,360 Speaker 3: we saw, you know, Austin Proll step it up for 320 00:14:41,800 --> 00:14:44,600 Speaker 3: Seattle and then catch five for sixty on ten targets 321 00:14:44,920 --> 00:14:47,880 Speaker 3: for Tampa Bay. Daniel Williams he really kind of showed 322 00:14:47,920 --> 00:14:50,240 Speaker 3: out six for one to twenty three, So I think 323 00:14:50,320 --> 00:14:53,200 Speaker 3: he'll be a guy who going forward, probably have to 324 00:14:53,240 --> 00:14:54,960 Speaker 3: treat him more like the number one guy. I know 325 00:14:55,240 --> 00:14:57,560 Speaker 3: there was kind of a couple other guys near the 326 00:14:57,640 --> 00:14:59,360 Speaker 3: top of that depth chart that we were thinking about, 327 00:14:59,560 --> 00:15:02,240 Speaker 3: but I think Williams really kind of showed out in 328 00:15:02,400 --> 00:15:06,240 Speaker 3: at seventy six hundred. He's actually sixteen hundred cheaper than 329 00:15:06,720 --> 00:15:08,160 Speaker 3: Prole in the same game, and I think he has 330 00:15:08,200 --> 00:15:08,960 Speaker 3: more upset and so I. 331 00:15:09,080 --> 00:15:13,400 Speaker 1: Like them all right. At DFS, I'm thinking dedmie On 332 00:15:13,480 --> 00:15:16,080 Speaker 1: Smith is someone who is kind of standing out for 333 00:15:16,240 --> 00:15:18,360 Speaker 1: me as the you know, like the lead back there 334 00:15:18,440 --> 00:15:22,240 Speaker 1: for Tampa Bay. There are so few locked in lead 335 00:15:22,400 --> 00:15:25,840 Speaker 1: backs in this league that I think you basically have 336 00:15:25,960 --> 00:15:29,840 Speaker 1: to consider almost anyone who seems to be getting the 337 00:15:30,000 --> 00:15:32,240 Speaker 1: majority or close in the majority of the carries for 338 00:15:32,320 --> 00:15:35,160 Speaker 1: his team. So Smith is someone who stands out corner. 339 00:15:35,400 --> 00:15:37,200 Speaker 1: Do you have any DFS thoughts here? 340 00:15:37,520 --> 00:15:40,280 Speaker 4: Yeah, Yeah, I'm kind of disappointed they have Quentin Flowers 341 00:15:40,280 --> 00:15:42,160 Speaker 4: as a quarterback this week. I thought if they had 342 00:15:42,240 --> 00:15:44,560 Speaker 4: him as a running back, there is some sneaky upside 343 00:15:44,560 --> 00:15:46,560 Speaker 4: to have a quarterback in running back slot. But I 344 00:15:46,640 --> 00:15:49,440 Speaker 4: think for this game, again, sticking with the cheaper wide receivers, 345 00:15:50,080 --> 00:15:53,080 Speaker 4: Jalen Tolliver is another guy. He's three point eight k. 346 00:15:53,600 --> 00:15:56,680 Speaker 4: He only went three catches for forty seven yards last week, 347 00:15:56,920 --> 00:15:59,600 Speaker 4: but he saw eight targets, led the team with ninety 348 00:15:59,640 --> 00:16:02,200 Speaker 4: five per of routes run on dropbacks, so there's a 349 00:16:02,240 --> 00:16:04,360 Speaker 4: lot of potential there. Again, this team didn't score a 350 00:16:04,440 --> 00:16:07,400 Speaker 4: touchdown week one, so all these guys will probably be 351 00:16:07,800 --> 00:16:11,240 Speaker 4: under owned in DFS, so they're due for some touchdown aggression. 352 00:16:11,560 --> 00:16:12,120 Speaker 1: I like him. 353 00:16:12,200 --> 00:16:15,360 Speaker 4: And then Seattle brought in SJ. Green. I don't know 354 00:16:15,400 --> 00:16:17,760 Speaker 4: if he'll be playing too much this week, but he's 355 00:16:17,760 --> 00:16:19,480 Speaker 4: the guy we need to look out for. He was 356 00:16:19,520 --> 00:16:22,440 Speaker 4: the active receiving yards leader in the CFL with over 357 00:16:22,560 --> 00:16:25,000 Speaker 4: like ten thousand, so he could hit the ground running 358 00:16:25,000 --> 00:16:26,960 Speaker 4: on in this league. And Seattle, you know they need 359 00:16:27,080 --> 00:16:28,400 Speaker 4: some help it wide receivers. 360 00:16:28,400 --> 00:16:28,920 Speaker 1: So he's a guy. 361 00:16:29,000 --> 00:16:31,160 Speaker 4: Maybe next week will be targeting, but he's a guy 362 00:16:31,200 --> 00:16:33,440 Speaker 4: we'll be monitoring to see how much he's expected to 363 00:16:33,440 --> 00:16:36,040 Speaker 4: play this week and if if he's even available in DFS. 364 00:16:36,160 --> 00:16:39,040 Speaker 1: Might be a good GPP flyer, all right. The next 365 00:16:39,120 --> 00:16:42,200 Speaker 1: game we have the first game on Sunday, the Dallas 366 00:16:42,200 --> 00:16:47,600 Speaker 1: Renegades at the LA Wildcats on Fandel. The Wildcats are 367 00:16:47,800 --> 00:16:50,800 Speaker 1: sorry on Fandel. The Renegades are favored by four points 368 00:16:51,200 --> 00:16:55,040 Speaker 1: a forty eight point over under Sean. Where are you 369 00:16:55,160 --> 00:16:56,080 Speaker 1: leaning in this game? 370 00:16:56,560 --> 00:16:59,120 Speaker 4: This is probably the trickiest game to handicap this week 371 00:16:59,160 --> 00:17:01,160 Speaker 4: because both started quarterbacks were out. 372 00:17:01,240 --> 00:17:03,880 Speaker 1: Last week and we'll be playing this week. So I mean, 373 00:17:04,160 --> 00:17:06,400 Speaker 1: at least LA you know, put up a fight. 374 00:17:06,520 --> 00:17:09,959 Speaker 4: They put up a fourteen point lead against Houston then 375 00:17:10,000 --> 00:17:12,879 Speaker 4: gave up twenty five unanswered points. But you know, Dallas 376 00:17:13,080 --> 00:17:15,439 Speaker 4: just stunk the entire game. They'll probably be a lot 377 00:17:15,520 --> 00:17:18,159 Speaker 4: better with Langy Jones under center. So this is a 378 00:17:18,200 --> 00:17:20,640 Speaker 4: game I'm staying away from. I thought you would see 379 00:17:20,680 --> 00:17:22,560 Speaker 4: Dallas minus three and their minus four and a half 380 00:17:22,680 --> 00:17:24,520 Speaker 4: not that big of a deal. This is just the 381 00:17:24,560 --> 00:17:27,040 Speaker 4: game I'm probably gonna stay away from. I'd like to 382 00:17:27,080 --> 00:17:29,480 Speaker 4: see each team play at their starting quarterback before really, 383 00:17:30,080 --> 00:17:31,960 Speaker 4: you know, taking a stand on a bet, so that 384 00:17:32,080 --> 00:17:33,920 Speaker 4: this game I'll just be watching. I don't think I'll 385 00:17:33,960 --> 00:17:34,639 Speaker 4: be taking this one. 386 00:17:35,160 --> 00:17:38,520 Speaker 1: Yeah, if I had to lean on anything in this game, 387 00:17:38,560 --> 00:17:41,879 Speaker 1: I would probably be leaning towards the under at forty eight. 388 00:17:42,680 --> 00:17:44,720 Speaker 1: You know, you have two quarterbacks who haven't played yet 389 00:17:44,760 --> 00:17:46,879 Speaker 1: in the league. They're both kind of injured. You know, 390 00:17:47,080 --> 00:17:49,679 Speaker 1: they could be rusty, not a strong connection with their 391 00:17:49,680 --> 00:17:52,840 Speaker 1: wide receivers. And then I thought both coaching stabs kind 392 00:17:52,880 --> 00:17:55,920 Speaker 1: of showed the willingness to just sit on the ball 393 00:17:56,040 --> 00:17:58,399 Speaker 1: and not really be as aggressive as they probably should 394 00:17:58,440 --> 00:18:00,840 Speaker 1: have been last week. So that's the way I would 395 00:18:00,920 --> 00:18:03,320 Speaker 1: lean in this game if I were about it rabon 396 00:18:03,480 --> 00:18:04,480 Speaker 1: any thoughts here, I. 397 00:18:04,480 --> 00:18:06,879 Speaker 2: Would probably lean Dallas. 398 00:18:07,160 --> 00:18:09,960 Speaker 3: You know, looking at LA the two, you know, both 399 00:18:10,000 --> 00:18:12,200 Speaker 3: of the teams lost and we've won both of the 400 00:18:12,280 --> 00:18:17,040 Speaker 3: team's new quarterbacks. But the difference is that LA just 401 00:18:17,200 --> 00:18:21,240 Speaker 3: got completely trampled on defense. I mean, like, so, yeah, 402 00:18:21,320 --> 00:18:23,680 Speaker 3: Dallas was and they gave up what fifteen points, But 403 00:18:23,760 --> 00:18:25,960 Speaker 3: then you had LA lose to Houston, And I know, 404 00:18:26,040 --> 00:18:27,600 Speaker 3: Houston was a team we all liked and we had 405 00:18:27,680 --> 00:18:30,280 Speaker 3: we thought was undervalue in the market. 406 00:18:30,400 --> 00:18:33,639 Speaker 2: But that being said, I mean, Philip Walker now is 407 00:18:33,840 --> 00:18:34,800 Speaker 2: the star of the league. 408 00:18:35,000 --> 00:18:38,399 Speaker 3: Threw four touchdowns twenty three to thirty nine, passing two 409 00:18:38,480 --> 00:18:41,480 Speaker 3: hundred and seventy two yards. James Butler got one of 410 00:18:41,520 --> 00:18:43,679 Speaker 3: the few rushing touchdowns in the league in Week one. 411 00:18:44,160 --> 00:18:46,960 Speaker 3: It was just kind of a mess for LA on defense. 412 00:18:47,000 --> 00:18:49,800 Speaker 3: So I think, you know, Dallas probably has some sneaky upside, 413 00:18:49,880 --> 00:18:53,760 Speaker 3: especially if Landry Jones gives their offense a boost. 414 00:18:53,920 --> 00:18:55,640 Speaker 2: So I'm looking at. 415 00:18:55,640 --> 00:18:58,359 Speaker 3: Dallas as one of my favorite GPP teams to kind 416 00:18:58,400 --> 00:19:02,679 Speaker 3: of stack Landry Jones with with some of his wide receivers. 417 00:19:03,200 --> 00:19:07,320 Speaker 3: In Elijah Hood for Tampa excuse me for La though 418 00:19:07,600 --> 00:19:11,800 Speaker 3: he had just around just over seventy percent of the carries, 419 00:19:12,200 --> 00:19:14,560 Speaker 3: So that is a that's a good sign in terms 420 00:19:14,600 --> 00:19:17,720 Speaker 3: of you know, dfs and you mentioned Freedman locked in 421 00:19:18,280 --> 00:19:20,840 Speaker 3: running backs. Not many running backs were getting you know, 422 00:19:21,480 --> 00:19:24,120 Speaker 3: much more than fifty percent of their team's carries even 423 00:19:24,119 --> 00:19:26,640 Speaker 3: if they were in the team leads, So like hould 424 00:19:26,920 --> 00:19:27,520 Speaker 3: for workload. 425 00:19:28,040 --> 00:19:30,360 Speaker 1: I mean one thing to mention with the LA Wildcats. 426 00:19:30,800 --> 00:19:33,560 Speaker 1: They are the only team that is head coached by 427 00:19:33,640 --> 00:19:36,240 Speaker 1: a defensive minded guy. So the fact that they got 428 00:19:36,400 --> 00:19:39,800 Speaker 1: smoked on defense in a week one doesn't speak well 429 00:19:39,840 --> 00:19:42,360 Speaker 1: for them. On top of that, they fired their defensive 430 00:19:42,400 --> 00:19:45,680 Speaker 1: coordinator almost immediate, I mean not immediately after the game, 431 00:19:45,800 --> 00:19:49,080 Speaker 1: but like within twenty four hours. They fired their defensive coordinator, 432 00:19:49,240 --> 00:19:53,800 Speaker 1: Pepper Johnson, and they cut their defensive captain, edge rusher 433 00:19:54,119 --> 00:19:56,960 Speaker 1: Anthony Johnson. It's like, what are they doing? That was 434 00:19:57,400 --> 00:20:00,000 Speaker 1: in theory going to be the strength of their team 435 00:20:00,520 --> 00:20:04,159 Speaker 1: and within one week it's been decimated. So if I 436 00:20:04,240 --> 00:20:06,280 Speaker 1: had to lean on his side, I would be going 437 00:20:06,920 --> 00:20:10,639 Speaker 1: against them almost regardless of whoever is playing against them, 438 00:20:10,680 --> 00:20:13,600 Speaker 1: because they seem to be in disarray right now. Let's 439 00:20:13,640 --> 00:20:15,880 Speaker 1: get to some of the DFS plays. Ray Bonnie mentioned 440 00:20:15,920 --> 00:20:19,840 Speaker 1: some guys there. Nelson Spruce obviously got a lot of 441 00:20:19,920 --> 00:20:22,359 Speaker 1: targets last week. Was pretty impressive. Who knows if that 442 00:20:22,480 --> 00:20:24,840 Speaker 1: is sustainable, but they don't seem to have much else 443 00:20:24,920 --> 00:20:26,840 Speaker 1: on offense, so you could see how the ball gets 444 00:20:26,880 --> 00:20:30,600 Speaker 1: funneled to him quite a bit. Sean, anyone from the 445 00:20:30,680 --> 00:20:33,320 Speaker 1: DFS perspective stand out to you in this game. I'll 446 00:20:33,359 --> 00:20:36,320 Speaker 1: be avoiding La if I can do that. 447 00:20:36,840 --> 00:20:39,879 Speaker 4: It's hard to completely fade Spruce after last week, but 448 00:20:40,040 --> 00:20:43,560 Speaker 4: he could be overhewned. Trey McBride could return this week, 449 00:20:43,640 --> 00:20:45,840 Speaker 4: so that could muddy the waters at wide receiver. Plus 450 00:20:45,960 --> 00:20:48,520 Speaker 4: Josh Johnson probably won't throw as much, so I'll be 451 00:20:48,680 --> 00:20:51,320 Speaker 4: looking to fade them, even though they're a good contrarian 452 00:20:51,720 --> 00:20:54,040 Speaker 4: play if you want to go there. On Dallas's side, 453 00:20:54,119 --> 00:20:57,119 Speaker 4: I do like Daniel Parham at thirty two hundred. I 454 00:20:57,280 --> 00:20:59,639 Speaker 4: kind of thought Sean Price would lead the team and 455 00:20:59,720 --> 00:21:02,880 Speaker 4: you know, routes, run and stuff, but he Parnham had 456 00:21:02,960 --> 00:21:05,000 Speaker 4: him by a fairly large margin. I think it was 457 00:21:05,040 --> 00:21:08,840 Speaker 4: like sixty five to like forty and Parham he's you know, 458 00:21:08,960 --> 00:21:11,399 Speaker 4: he's a beast. He's six foot eight too forty, so 459 00:21:11,600 --> 00:21:13,479 Speaker 4: he could be a red zone thread. I think when 460 00:21:13,480 --> 00:21:14,760 Speaker 4: you to take a tight end, I think you do 461 00:21:14,960 --> 00:21:19,240 Speaker 4: need a touchdown. You know, three three catches for thirty 462 00:21:19,320 --> 00:21:20,920 Speaker 4: yards isn't going to cut it in a GPP. So 463 00:21:21,000 --> 00:21:23,040 Speaker 4: I think he's he's a tight end. At that price, 464 00:21:23,119 --> 00:21:24,080 Speaker 4: I'd be willing to use it. 465 00:21:24,200 --> 00:21:24,560 Speaker 2: Flux. 466 00:21:24,880 --> 00:21:27,360 Speaker 4: You know we talked about earlier, but tight ends we're 467 00:21:27,680 --> 00:21:30,399 Speaker 4: pretty sneaky. They had some value in week one, and 468 00:21:30,440 --> 00:21:32,600 Speaker 4: I think Parham could be the guy in week two. 469 00:21:32,680 --> 00:21:34,359 Speaker 4: That is on a lot of winning teams. 470 00:21:34,600 --> 00:21:36,840 Speaker 1: All right, Let's get to the final game of the slate, 471 00:21:37,359 --> 00:21:42,159 Speaker 1: Saint Louis BattleHawks at the Houston Roughnecks on FanDuel. The 472 00:21:42,280 --> 00:21:45,400 Speaker 1: Roughnecks are favored by eight. I think at one point 473 00:21:45,480 --> 00:21:47,320 Speaker 1: I actually saw this line get up to eight and 474 00:21:47,359 --> 00:21:49,359 Speaker 1: a half at a book, But now we see it 475 00:21:49,440 --> 00:21:52,840 Speaker 1: at eight here and the over under is fifty and 476 00:21:52,920 --> 00:21:56,919 Speaker 1: a half, so the highest total of the slate, Sean, 477 00:21:57,200 --> 00:21:57,840 Speaker 1: what do you think here? 478 00:21:58,640 --> 00:22:01,840 Speaker 4: Yeah, so this is another matchup. Both teams look really 479 00:22:01,880 --> 00:22:04,040 Speaker 4: good week one, and you know, Saint Louis, we thought 480 00:22:04,080 --> 00:22:06,280 Speaker 4: they'd be, you know, sort of a bottom feeder, but 481 00:22:06,320 --> 00:22:08,200 Speaker 4: they're they're probably more middle of the pack. So I 482 00:22:08,240 --> 00:22:10,720 Speaker 4: think you can get some value on them here. I 483 00:22:11,040 --> 00:22:13,040 Speaker 4: did take them when they were plus eight and a half. 484 00:22:13,680 --> 00:22:15,320 Speaker 4: I wish I bet a little bit more at this point. 485 00:22:15,400 --> 00:22:17,760 Speaker 4: But yeah, I think it's it's too early to be 486 00:22:17,840 --> 00:22:21,600 Speaker 4: giving Houston, you know, that much credit. Like you said, Uh, 487 00:22:21,960 --> 00:22:25,000 Speaker 4: it could be more that the LA defense is just terrible. 488 00:22:25,040 --> 00:22:27,240 Speaker 4: We don't really know quite yet. And you know, Saint 489 00:22:27,320 --> 00:22:30,200 Speaker 4: Louis knows it's coming. You know, Houston attempted what was it, 490 00:22:30,359 --> 00:22:32,520 Speaker 4: ninety percent of their plays were passed, so. 491 00:22:33,240 --> 00:22:34,120 Speaker 2: Bill know it's coming. 492 00:22:34,880 --> 00:22:37,719 Speaker 4: And they Saint Louis went into Dallas in one week one, 493 00:22:38,920 --> 00:22:41,159 Speaker 4: despite you know, they had the backup quarterback. Dallas is 494 00:22:41,200 --> 00:22:42,440 Speaker 4: supposed to be one of the better teams. So I 495 00:22:42,520 --> 00:22:44,880 Speaker 4: think we need to give Saint Louis a little more 496 00:22:44,880 --> 00:22:47,520 Speaker 4: respect after week one. So I like them anything greater 497 00:22:47,640 --> 00:22:48,840 Speaker 4: than seven. 498 00:22:48,640 --> 00:22:50,600 Speaker 1: Here, Rayman, what do you think? 499 00:22:52,680 --> 00:22:56,200 Speaker 3: Yeah, I think there's value on Saint Louis because if 500 00:22:56,240 --> 00:23:00,240 Speaker 3: you look at you know, all right, Houston they going 501 00:23:00,320 --> 00:23:04,199 Speaker 3: they play, they played the Wildcats, and I'm looking at 502 00:23:04,240 --> 00:23:07,320 Speaker 3: the grades for the quarterbacks, and you know, even though 503 00:23:07,359 --> 00:23:10,080 Speaker 3: Philip Walker put up that big game with the four touchdowns, 504 00:23:10,119 --> 00:23:14,200 Speaker 3: the one pick. He's actually the fifth rated quarterback in 505 00:23:14,280 --> 00:23:18,080 Speaker 3: PFF's grades and uh and Jordan Tamu, the quarterback for 506 00:23:18,960 --> 00:23:22,600 Speaker 3: Saint Louis, is number three, So that tells me that, 507 00:23:23,080 --> 00:23:25,560 Speaker 3: you know, there was something there. There was a little 508 00:23:25,600 --> 00:23:27,600 Speaker 3: bit to do with that with that LA defense for 509 00:23:28,240 --> 00:23:31,000 Speaker 3: for Houston, and you know, Saint Louis, they got a 510 00:23:31,080 --> 00:23:34,360 Speaker 3: tough win. You know, they kind of grind it out, 511 00:23:34,359 --> 00:23:36,200 Speaker 3: a tough win against a team that we thought was 512 00:23:36,320 --> 00:23:39,399 Speaker 3: very good. So yeah, I think the value will in 513 00:23:39,520 --> 00:23:43,320 Speaker 3: fact be on on them, and uh, you know, I 514 00:23:43,480 --> 00:23:45,840 Speaker 3: still like Houston, but I think last week was the 515 00:23:45,880 --> 00:23:47,760 Speaker 3: time to kind of buy in on them in the 516 00:23:47,800 --> 00:23:50,719 Speaker 3: futures market, and now it looks like a good opportunity 517 00:23:50,800 --> 00:23:53,760 Speaker 3: to kind of play that recency bias and uh and 518 00:23:53,840 --> 00:23:54,919 Speaker 3: fade them for Saint Louis. 519 00:23:55,720 --> 00:23:58,560 Speaker 1: You know, one thing that was interesting is that we 520 00:23:58,720 --> 00:24:03,440 Speaker 1: did see U last week. Saint Louis just dominate the 521 00:24:03,560 --> 00:24:08,280 Speaker 1: ball seventy one plays, I believe on offense, a lot 522 00:24:08,400 --> 00:24:10,399 Speaker 1: of them were running plays. I think they were the 523 00:24:10,680 --> 00:24:12,760 Speaker 1: most run heavy team in the league, and so it'll 524 00:24:12,840 --> 00:24:15,080 Speaker 1: be curious to see if they go that way again 525 00:24:16,160 --> 00:24:18,600 Speaker 1: in an attempt, obviously to keep the high scoring offense 526 00:24:19,280 --> 00:24:22,000 Speaker 1: off of the field for the Houston Roughnecks, and so 527 00:24:22,080 --> 00:24:24,800 Speaker 1: I'm curious what that might end up doing with the 528 00:24:26,000 --> 00:24:28,800 Speaker 1: over under. But if I had the lean, I don't know. 529 00:24:28,880 --> 00:24:31,159 Speaker 1: I guess I just I would probably still lean on 530 00:24:31,280 --> 00:24:35,240 Speaker 1: the under for a lot of these totals. But yeah, 531 00:24:35,640 --> 00:24:38,000 Speaker 1: the Houston Roughnecks. I think if there is one team 532 00:24:38,280 --> 00:24:41,119 Speaker 1: that really on their own has the capability of driving 533 00:24:41,200 --> 00:24:43,840 Speaker 1: a game to the over, that's the team, like they 534 00:24:43,960 --> 00:24:46,440 Speaker 1: have the offense that is fully functional at this point 535 00:24:46,760 --> 00:24:51,960 Speaker 1: to do that. DFS plays anything stand out to you, guys. 536 00:24:52,040 --> 00:24:56,120 Speaker 1: One guy who's interesting to me is Nick Haley, who 537 00:24:56,400 --> 00:25:00,360 Speaker 1: is technically a running back but they are using as 538 00:25:00,480 --> 00:25:03,720 Speaker 1: a wide receiver. Who's lining up and who's actually getting 539 00:25:04,160 --> 00:25:06,879 Speaker 1: a decent share of targets on a team that throws 540 00:25:06,920 --> 00:25:11,080 Speaker 1: the ball relentlessly and at running back position where a 541 00:25:11,160 --> 00:25:14,680 Speaker 1: few guys have really distinguished themselves at this point. To 542 00:25:14,760 --> 00:25:17,200 Speaker 1: find a player who I think could be pretty contrarian 543 00:25:17,840 --> 00:25:20,560 Speaker 1: and who isn't expensive, who has you know, some locked 544 00:25:20,600 --> 00:25:23,760 Speaker 1: in targets on a high scoring offense that might be 545 00:25:23,880 --> 00:25:28,439 Speaker 1: kind of intriguing. Who has caught your eye? Sean Oh, 546 00:25:28,560 --> 00:25:29,600 Speaker 1: I love the holiday call. 547 00:25:29,720 --> 00:25:32,159 Speaker 4: And he's also he also used to play quarterback, and 548 00:25:32,560 --> 00:25:34,960 Speaker 4: even though we didn't really see that double four pounds 549 00:25:34,960 --> 00:25:37,840 Speaker 4: week one, you never know. We could see teams get 550 00:25:37,880 --> 00:25:40,119 Speaker 4: more aggressive, so he'd be a guy that could be 551 00:25:40,200 --> 00:25:41,679 Speaker 4: a part of those plays. So I love him at 552 00:25:41,760 --> 00:25:44,240 Speaker 4: running back too. That's a great call. And then I 553 00:25:44,359 --> 00:25:48,520 Speaker 4: think at QB Jordan Tiamo, like at eighty nine hundred, 554 00:25:48,560 --> 00:25:51,639 Speaker 4: with his rushing upside, he's probably the top play in 555 00:25:51,760 --> 00:25:54,320 Speaker 4: terms of value for me at quarterback. You know, he 556 00:25:54,400 --> 00:25:56,960 Speaker 4: had nine rush rushes for seventy seven yards and he 557 00:25:57,080 --> 00:26:00,480 Speaker 4: looked like a great runner. And this week, you know Houston, 558 00:26:00,480 --> 00:26:02,320 Speaker 4: he might be forced to throw a bit more and 559 00:26:02,400 --> 00:26:05,240 Speaker 4: a potential shootout. So I just love him at that price. 560 00:26:05,720 --> 00:26:08,840 Speaker 4: On Houston side, I know everybody realizes that Houston is, 561 00:26:09,359 --> 00:26:11,320 Speaker 4: you know, basically the Kansas City Chiefs like they're going 562 00:26:11,400 --> 00:26:15,080 Speaker 4: to throw a ton. They're a great DFS team, especially 563 00:26:15,119 --> 00:26:17,840 Speaker 4: at wide receiver. But I think a good pivot player 564 00:26:17,840 --> 00:26:21,080 Speaker 4: would be taking James Butler's spinning up to take the 565 00:26:21,200 --> 00:26:23,840 Speaker 4: running back. He's a bit pricey, so he's in no 566 00:26:23,920 --> 00:26:26,359 Speaker 4: way like a must play, but just a way to 567 00:26:26,440 --> 00:26:28,960 Speaker 4: pivot off the pass heavy offense. And he scored a 568 00:26:29,040 --> 00:26:32,200 Speaker 4: rushing touchdown and a receiving touchdown last week. And he 569 00:26:32,560 --> 00:26:34,920 Speaker 4: returns all their kickoffs, so I think we didn't really 570 00:26:34,960 --> 00:26:38,120 Speaker 4: see any return touchdowns week one, but with the rules 571 00:26:38,160 --> 00:26:40,040 Speaker 4: and stuff, I think it is valuable to have a 572 00:26:40,080 --> 00:26:42,560 Speaker 4: guy that's returning kickoffs. So I think he has a 573 00:26:42,560 --> 00:26:45,320 Speaker 4: ton of potential at sixty three hundred. Like I said, 574 00:26:45,400 --> 00:26:47,159 Speaker 4: he's not a slam dunk play. He's more of a 575 00:26:47,520 --> 00:26:50,560 Speaker 4: spend up to go contrarion and pivot off the Houston 576 00:26:50,880 --> 00:26:51,679 Speaker 4: passing attack. 577 00:26:52,200 --> 00:26:53,280 Speaker 1: Ray Bum, what do you think here? 578 00:26:53,640 --> 00:26:55,520 Speaker 3: I'm looking at the running backs for Saint Louis because, 579 00:26:55,520 --> 00:26:58,400 Speaker 3: as you mentioned Freeman, they play ball control and Matt 580 00:26:58,480 --> 00:27:01,359 Speaker 3: Jones he had twenty one carry for eighty five yards. 581 00:27:01,640 --> 00:27:04,440 Speaker 3: He played forty eight snaps according to Pro Football Focus. 582 00:27:04,640 --> 00:27:08,600 Speaker 3: That was double Kristen Michael, who played just twenty three snaps, 583 00:27:08,640 --> 00:27:11,520 Speaker 3: and then Keith Ford also mixed in for a handful 584 00:27:11,720 --> 00:27:15,040 Speaker 3: ended up getting a touchdown. But I think if they 585 00:27:15,359 --> 00:27:18,119 Speaker 3: are going to continue to play like this, Matt Jones 586 00:27:18,160 --> 00:27:21,320 Speaker 3: could have tremendous upside just because of you know, most 587 00:27:21,359 --> 00:27:24,800 Speaker 3: of these teams aren't really that run heavy, and Saint 588 00:27:24,920 --> 00:27:28,359 Speaker 3: Louis was that exception to the rule ink. When you 589 00:27:28,400 --> 00:27:33,200 Speaker 3: know the average the average team had about average twenty 590 00:27:33,280 --> 00:27:37,000 Speaker 3: two point three carries per game, and Saint Louis had 591 00:27:37,080 --> 00:27:39,240 Speaker 3: thirty nine. So that means the rest of the league 592 00:27:39,840 --> 00:27:42,960 Speaker 3: averaged just under twenty carries per game. Saint Louis almost 593 00:27:43,080 --> 00:27:47,560 Speaker 3: doubled them up in carries, and the average team ninety 594 00:27:47,680 --> 00:27:50,800 Speaker 3: four zero point three rushing yards Saint Louis one hundred 595 00:27:50,800 --> 00:27:54,720 Speaker 3: and ninety one. And then I'm looking at the broken tackles. 596 00:27:54,800 --> 00:27:58,400 Speaker 3: So PFF has Matt Jones with only three broken tackles. 597 00:27:58,440 --> 00:28:00,960 Speaker 3: That's you know, there's a bunch of guys with three 598 00:28:01,080 --> 00:28:04,640 Speaker 3: there's and then another four guys have four or more. 599 00:28:04,880 --> 00:28:06,879 Speaker 3: So that tells me that all those carries, and he 600 00:28:06,960 --> 00:28:09,200 Speaker 3: was kind of consistently, you know, just kind of playing 601 00:28:09,240 --> 00:28:11,000 Speaker 3: physical and consistently making strong runs. 602 00:28:11,000 --> 00:28:13,040 Speaker 2: And this team was making strong runs. And I think 603 00:28:13,400 --> 00:28:15,000 Speaker 2: that's something to kind of keep. 604 00:28:14,840 --> 00:28:17,359 Speaker 3: In mind because there could there could be one or 605 00:28:17,480 --> 00:28:19,359 Speaker 3: even two of the backs, you know, even Michael maybe 606 00:28:19,760 --> 00:28:22,200 Speaker 3: could end up outscoring a lot of the rest of 607 00:28:22,240 --> 00:28:24,240 Speaker 3: the league just because of that volume. 608 00:28:24,320 --> 00:28:26,199 Speaker 2: So I think their team I'll definitely be looking at. 609 00:28:26,240 --> 00:28:28,080 Speaker 3: And then for those same reasons, I think I am 610 00:28:28,119 --> 00:28:30,440 Speaker 3: going to be fading Houston a little bit on offense 611 00:28:30,520 --> 00:28:32,800 Speaker 3: number one, because again I think that their opponent in 612 00:28:32,880 --> 00:28:34,840 Speaker 3: week one was a little bit a little bit weak. 613 00:28:35,000 --> 00:28:37,480 Speaker 3: And then you know number two that ball control on 614 00:28:37,520 --> 00:28:39,200 Speaker 3: the other side. So Saint Louis, you know, they have 615 00:28:39,320 --> 00:28:42,000 Speaker 3: the number three rank out of the eight teams run 616 00:28:42,080 --> 00:28:45,480 Speaker 3: blocking in terms of in week one, and so I 617 00:28:45,520 --> 00:28:48,600 Speaker 3: think Saint Louis could there's definitely a danger of Saint 618 00:28:48,640 --> 00:28:50,520 Speaker 3: Louis kind of keep it playing keep away here. 619 00:28:50,720 --> 00:28:53,960 Speaker 1: Christ and Michael still screwing over fantasy and in the 620 00:28:54,040 --> 00:28:57,640 Speaker 1: year twenty twenty, it's pretty amazing. Seven carries zero yards. 621 00:28:58,320 --> 00:29:02,040 Speaker 1: What a performance. Let's talk about these futures. We have 622 00:29:02,120 --> 00:29:04,880 Speaker 1: the DC Defenders at plus three fifty on FanDuel, the 623 00:29:04,960 --> 00:29:07,600 Speaker 1: New York Guardians at plus four to thirty, the Roughnecks 624 00:29:07,680 --> 00:29:11,320 Speaker 1: at plus five hundred, the Renegades at plus six fifty, 625 00:29:11,440 --> 00:29:14,800 Speaker 1: the Vipers at plus six fifty, the BattleHawks at plus 626 00:29:14,840 --> 00:29:18,280 Speaker 1: seven hundred, the Wildcats at plus twelve hundred, and the 627 00:29:18,400 --> 00:29:22,360 Speaker 1: Dragons bringing up the rear at plus sixteen hundred. Sean 628 00:29:22,680 --> 00:29:25,000 Speaker 1: any of these stand out to you, well. 629 00:29:25,080 --> 00:29:26,600 Speaker 4: I would just say, now that would be a good 630 00:29:26,640 --> 00:29:29,200 Speaker 4: time to sort of buy back in on Dallas and 631 00:29:29,280 --> 00:29:32,400 Speaker 4: even Tampa Bay at plus six fifty. You know, Dallas 632 00:29:32,520 --> 00:29:35,040 Speaker 4: did look bad, but you know they get Landry Jones 633 00:29:35,240 --> 00:29:38,400 Speaker 4: back this week hopefully. So you know, these two teams 634 00:29:38,480 --> 00:29:41,280 Speaker 4: were considered the favorites headediting and heading in, and we 635 00:29:41,360 --> 00:29:43,280 Speaker 4: have to assume every team's gonna lose one game, and 636 00:29:43,360 --> 00:29:45,200 Speaker 4: they just they already got that out of the way. 637 00:29:45,320 --> 00:29:47,680 Speaker 4: So I think that just in terms of playing the market, 638 00:29:47,720 --> 00:29:50,080 Speaker 4: those would be the teams if you're gonna bet, I 639 00:29:50,160 --> 00:29:51,200 Speaker 4: think i'd target those. 640 00:29:51,320 --> 00:29:54,440 Speaker 1: All right, Renegades and Vipers, both both available at plus 641 00:29:54,480 --> 00:29:58,000 Speaker 1: six fifty at DraftKings, Raymond, any of these futures catch 642 00:29:58,000 --> 00:29:58,360 Speaker 1: your eye. 643 00:29:59,280 --> 00:30:01,360 Speaker 3: Yeah, I love the but Bay call, and I like 644 00:30:01,400 --> 00:30:03,200 Speaker 3: the BattleHawks. You know, there's still what do they have 645 00:30:03,280 --> 00:30:07,080 Speaker 3: the third longest odds to win? And if you look 646 00:30:07,120 --> 00:30:10,200 Speaker 3: at their overall team grade and pff, it's just one week, 647 00:30:10,240 --> 00:30:12,640 Speaker 3: but they were the top rated team overall, and I 648 00:30:12,720 --> 00:30:16,320 Speaker 3: think you know, they also beat a very good team, 649 00:30:16,720 --> 00:30:19,600 Speaker 3: and you know that's kind of the difference between Saint 650 00:30:19,680 --> 00:30:23,600 Speaker 3: Louis and potentially some of these other teams. At least 651 00:30:23,680 --> 00:30:27,320 Speaker 3: you know, New York excluded, but St New York's price 652 00:30:27,400 --> 00:30:29,040 Speaker 3: went up. Saint Louis is still I think at a 653 00:30:29,320 --> 00:30:31,880 Speaker 3: decent price. You know, anytime you have an eighteen league 654 00:30:31,880 --> 00:30:34,480 Speaker 3: and you can get a team for you know near that, 655 00:30:34,640 --> 00:30:37,120 Speaker 3: you know, seven to one here for Saint Louis, that's 656 00:30:37,160 --> 00:30:38,240 Speaker 3: the team I want to invest on. 657 00:30:38,360 --> 00:30:41,560 Speaker 2: So before Week one, it was Houston, Now it's Saint Louis. 658 00:30:42,720 --> 00:30:47,640 Speaker 1: All right, guys, favorite bets on the board for Week two? Sean, 659 00:30:47,840 --> 00:30:48,240 Speaker 1: what do you have? 660 00:30:49,200 --> 00:30:52,480 Speaker 4: I'm gonna go with Tampa Bay minus three and a half. 661 00:30:52,600 --> 00:30:54,560 Speaker 4: I mean it's a bit of a leap of faith play, 662 00:30:55,320 --> 00:30:57,520 Speaker 4: and we've talked about it. We've talked about in the 663 00:30:57,560 --> 00:30:59,480 Speaker 4: preview that I think Seattle will have one of the 664 00:30:59,560 --> 00:31:02,480 Speaker 4: better home field advantages, but they're they're probably the worst 665 00:31:02,480 --> 00:31:05,040 Speaker 4: team in the league. And Tampa Bay, I mean, they 666 00:31:05,120 --> 00:31:07,040 Speaker 4: did move the ball, like I said, they had four 667 00:31:07,120 --> 00:31:09,640 Speaker 4: red zone drives, came out with zero touchdowns. I think 668 00:31:09,720 --> 00:31:13,240 Speaker 4: Dolla Regress Murray had two picks. Nick Shruzell looked great 669 00:31:13,480 --> 00:31:16,360 Speaker 4: and he happened to have that fumble that got returned 670 00:31:16,360 --> 00:31:17,880 Speaker 4: for a touchdown. So they had a lot of bad 671 00:31:18,000 --> 00:31:20,600 Speaker 4: luck despite being able to move the ball. So I think, 672 00:31:20,760 --> 00:31:23,920 Speaker 4: you know, due to some positive aggression this week that 673 00:31:24,080 --> 00:31:25,720 Speaker 4: could see them winning by double digits. 674 00:31:26,360 --> 00:31:27,280 Speaker 2: So I'm taking that. 675 00:31:27,360 --> 00:31:30,000 Speaker 4: I don't like taking, you know, field goal favorites on 676 00:31:30,080 --> 00:31:31,680 Speaker 4: the road in the NFL, but I think when it 677 00:31:31,720 --> 00:31:34,280 Speaker 4: comes to this league, variance is our friends. So I 678 00:31:34,320 --> 00:31:36,240 Speaker 4: think we'll see the Vipers bounce back this week and 679 00:31:36,400 --> 00:31:37,600 Speaker 4: look like one of the better teams. 680 00:31:37,920 --> 00:31:40,520 Speaker 1: All right, And they are available at minus three at 681 00:31:40,640 --> 00:31:43,360 Speaker 1: draft Kings and full FanDuel Raybond. Who do you like, 682 00:31:44,520 --> 00:31:46,520 Speaker 1: sank Willis? I mean Lois. 683 00:31:46,640 --> 00:31:48,760 Speaker 3: Yeah, this is a they're plus first of all, the 684 00:31:49,040 --> 00:31:51,040 Speaker 3: biggest bread on the board, plus eight. This is a 685 00:31:51,080 --> 00:31:54,000 Speaker 3: team that they were the top graded team in the 686 00:31:54,120 --> 00:31:57,200 Speaker 3: league per PFF. They were a team that they beat 687 00:31:57,240 --> 00:32:00,480 Speaker 3: a team in Dallas. Yes, Dallas missing their starting quarterback, 688 00:32:00,520 --> 00:32:03,280 Speaker 3: but still, you know, a team we thought would would 689 00:32:03,280 --> 00:32:06,160 Speaker 3: be very good. And now you're sitting here with the 690 00:32:06,280 --> 00:32:08,920 Speaker 3: biggest spread just because Houston beats up on this what 691 00:32:09,080 --> 00:32:13,120 Speaker 3: I think is a pretty bad Wildcats defense. So I 692 00:32:13,360 --> 00:32:15,840 Speaker 3: think there's value on straight up the Saint Louis money line. 693 00:32:16,000 --> 00:32:18,280 Speaker 3: There's gonna be a lot of kind of variants. Anyway, 694 00:32:18,840 --> 00:32:20,720 Speaker 3: you could get their money lined about plus two to 695 00:32:20,720 --> 00:32:23,400 Speaker 3: fifty five but I've take them at plus eight as well. 696 00:32:23,640 --> 00:32:26,040 Speaker 3: I just think that's the that's the team that kind 697 00:32:26,080 --> 00:32:28,840 Speaker 3: of sticks out here in terms of the in terms 698 00:32:28,880 --> 00:32:31,880 Speaker 3: of the value. Again, they played well, they beat a 699 00:32:31,920 --> 00:32:35,960 Speaker 3: good team. Their quarterback Jordan Tamu dual threat ability, who 700 00:32:36,000 --> 00:32:38,200 Speaker 3: was one of the best quarterbacks in Week one, and 701 00:32:38,520 --> 00:32:41,600 Speaker 3: I played against what I think is a much tougher defense, 702 00:32:41,680 --> 00:32:43,840 Speaker 3: so that the overall scored it and stand out. But 703 00:32:44,040 --> 00:32:46,160 Speaker 3: we could be looking back at that, you know, six 704 00:32:46,280 --> 00:32:50,160 Speaker 3: point road win for Saint Louis, you know, in a 705 00:32:50,200 --> 00:32:52,120 Speaker 3: few weeks and saying wow that, you know, that really 706 00:32:52,200 --> 00:32:55,360 Speaker 3: amps up their degree of difficulty, and so I would 707 00:32:55,400 --> 00:32:56,280 Speaker 3: want to take advantage of that. 708 00:32:56,360 --> 00:32:56,520 Speaker 4: Now. 709 00:32:56,560 --> 00:32:58,440 Speaker 3: I think that that line is way too big, No way, 710 00:32:58,480 --> 00:33:00,680 Speaker 3: they should be the biggest under on the board in 711 00:33:00,760 --> 00:33:01,160 Speaker 3: my opinion. 712 00:33:01,920 --> 00:33:05,400 Speaker 1: All right, and my favorite the Guardians plus six and 713 00:33:05,480 --> 00:33:08,000 Speaker 1: a half. We talked about them earlier in the show. 714 00:33:08,360 --> 00:33:11,360 Speaker 1: I just think that they were pretty impressive offensively and defensively, 715 00:33:11,480 --> 00:33:14,720 Speaker 1: and the defenders not one hundred percent sold on what 716 00:33:14,920 --> 00:33:17,400 Speaker 1: they did in Week one. So six and a half 717 00:33:17,640 --> 00:33:20,240 Speaker 1: just a lot to beginning. I will gladly take the 718 00:33:20,320 --> 00:33:22,520 Speaker 1: points there. That is going to do it for this 719 00:33:22,680 --> 00:33:25,880 Speaker 1: episode of the x Flex on the Action Network podcast. 720 00:33:26,120 --> 00:33:27,800 Speaker 1: You can follow Sean, Chris and Me in the Action 721 00:33:27,920 --> 00:33:30,600 Speaker 1: Network app at the Underscore Odds Maker Chris Raybond, and 722 00:33:30,720 --> 00:33:32,800 Speaker 1: Matt f the Oracle. Check out the rest of our 723 00:33:32,840 --> 00:33:35,440 Speaker 1: episodes in live shows this week. Please subscribe to and 724 00:33:35,640 --> 00:33:38,440 Speaker 1: rate interview the show on Apple podcast radio dot com 725 00:33:38,560 --> 00:33:40,640 Speaker 1: or wherever you get your podcasts and don't forget. You 726 00:33:40,680 --> 00:33:43,560 Speaker 1: can listen and download on Spotify. It's what all of 727 00:33:43,640 --> 00:33:46,680 Speaker 1: the cool kids are doing. See you again next episode. 728 00:33:58,440 --> 00:33:59,520 Speaker 1: We're finished talking