WEBVTT - Market Meltdown or A MAGIC SETUP 0:00:00.400 --> 0:00:03.520 When people say we need something to break, well, we 0:00:03.640 --> 0:00:06.480 had it. I mean Japan's sudden rate hike broke a 0:00:06.480 --> 0:00:09.760 lot of things, including stock trading platforms that completely shut 0:00:09.800 --> 0:00:13.160 down and stopped working. It broke prices, We saw circuit 0:00:13.160 --> 0:00:16.280 breakers in Japan and the United States being triggered, and 0:00:16.320 --> 0:00:20.120 it seems to have broken people's view on their assets, 0:00:20.280 --> 0:00:23.480 on their asset prices and their investments. But is all 0:00:23.520 --> 0:00:27.920 this really warranted? And more importantly, are the markets really 0:00:28.040 --> 0:00:30.800 melting down? Or you know, is this just a warning 0:00:30.840 --> 0:00:33.320 sign before the big craft like all the headlines are 0:00:33.320 --> 0:00:36.479 telling us right now, or is this a magic setup 0:00:36.600 --> 0:00:39.760 that's going to blast our assets off into next year? Now? 0:00:39.760 --> 0:00:42.120 In this video, I'm going to break down these exact 0:00:42.240 --> 0:00:44.479 questions to see if it's time for us to you know, 0:00:44.720 --> 0:00:46.879 pack it all up and go home while this all 0:00:46.920 --> 0:00:50.040 shakes out, or do we buy the dip? Are you 0:00:50.080 --> 0:00:52.400 ready for that? Well, let's go now real quick. If 0:00:52.400 --> 0:00:54.400 you're knew the channel, my name is Mark Mawson. I've 0:00:54.400 --> 0:00:58.040 been investing through multiple massive market crashes. I invested through 0:00:58.080 --> 0:01:00.840 the two thousand dot Com crash, the two thousand and 0:01:00.840 --> 0:01:04.840 eight Great Financial Crash, the twenty twenty pandemic crash, and well, 0:01:05.040 --> 0:01:07.160 I've taken my fair share of lickings along the way. 0:01:07.200 --> 0:01:09.280 Of course, I've had to pay my dues when I 0:01:09.319 --> 0:01:12.120 was younger and I was less experienced. But now I 0:01:12.200 --> 0:01:15.400 look at these crashes as opportunities. So let's just see 0:01:15.400 --> 0:01:20.280 what we have here, all right, So is the market 0:01:20.319 --> 0:01:23.160 melting down? Well that's what all the mainstream headlines would 0:01:23.200 --> 0:01:26.000 have you say. And now everybody's wondering what the heck 0:01:26.080 --> 0:01:27.559 is going on? Well, what are we talking about? Well, 0:01:27.760 --> 0:01:31.600 recession is here. Now you hear a lot about recession, recession, recession. 0:01:31.600 --> 0:01:33.040 A lot of my friends, a lot of my friends 0:01:33.080 --> 0:01:34.880 that you see on YouTube, a lot of people that 0:01:34.920 --> 0:01:39.120 I consider peers continually pound the table on recession. And 0:01:39.319 --> 0:01:43.160 of course no reason to deny that. We see lots 0:01:43.160 --> 0:01:45.720 of indicators that show the recession, or I should say, 0:01:45.720 --> 0:01:49.200 the economy is getting weak. We had a weak unemployment number, 0:01:49.360 --> 0:01:52.920 we had some weak ism business data, We saw these 0:01:52.960 --> 0:01:57.440 types of things. We saw of course all the TV 0:01:57.720 --> 0:02:01.120 and mainstream YouTube economists come out and telling us that 0:02:01.160 --> 0:02:04.240 it's all coming down. Of course, Harry Dan Junior crashes 0:02:04.240 --> 0:02:06.360 and over markets are going to wash out. Ninety four 0:02:06.400 --> 0:02:09.000 percent that was a day ago ninety four percent. He 0:02:09.040 --> 0:02:10.880 said that six months ago, he said that, one year ago, 0:02:10.880 --> 0:02:13.639 two years ago, three years ago, twelve years ago, and 0:02:13.720 --> 0:02:16.000 yet we've yet to see it. Stock market crash is 0:02:16.040 --> 0:02:19.079 going to come. Emergency rate cuts are incoming, the global 0:02:19.240 --> 0:02:22.800 stock market crash. Everyone's telling us that. So you know, 0:02:22.880 --> 0:02:26.320 we have the bad economic data which means recession. We 0:02:26.440 --> 0:02:29.160 have all the mainstream economists telling us this. We have 0:02:29.240 --> 0:02:32.600 this what's called the Sam rule, and this indicator always 0:02:32.639 --> 0:02:36.160 tells us right before a recession comes. We have all 0:02:36.240 --> 0:02:38.720 these things. Now I'm here to tell you, and I've 0:02:38.800 --> 0:02:41.720 been telling you now for about two years. The recession 0:02:41.840 --> 0:02:45.880 is talking about the economy. The economy and the markets 0:02:45.960 --> 0:02:48.000 are two different things. So we can talk about the 0:02:48.000 --> 0:02:51.359 recession all day, and certainly some businesses will be affected 0:02:51.360 --> 0:02:54.560 by that, but the economy and the market are two 0:02:54.600 --> 0:02:57.480 different things. So keep those two things separate as we 0:02:57.560 --> 0:02:59.440 go down through this. But I do want to show 0:02:59.480 --> 0:03:03.120 you just how quickly things change. And it's very careful, 0:03:03.360 --> 0:03:04.960 or you need to be very careful of who you're 0:03:04.960 --> 0:03:08.320 paying attention to. Are people moving off of gut like 0:03:08.520 --> 0:03:12.520 feeling emotion or off of logic? Now, this right Here 0:03:13.000 --> 0:03:16.480 is the sentiment index of paid newsletter writers. Now I 0:03:16.520 --> 0:03:19.919 do have a paid newsletter. I don't. I don't fall 0:03:19.960 --> 0:03:22.519 into this. Now this is paid newsletters writers. And basically 0:03:22.560 --> 0:03:25.960 what this telling us is that this is bullish and 0:03:26.000 --> 0:03:29.080 this is bearish. And what we saw in the last 0:03:29.280 --> 0:03:34.320 week is the largest sentiment shift of newsletter writers going oh, 0:03:34.360 --> 0:03:37.080 everything's great, market's going to the moon, to oh my god, 0:03:37.120 --> 0:03:39.280 the whole world is going to end, sell everything and 0:03:39.360 --> 0:03:42.600 run away. We saw this is the lowest reading, the 0:03:42.680 --> 0:03:46.880 fastest reading it's been since the nineteen eighty seven panic. 0:03:47.080 --> 0:03:51.240 Here we have the nineteen eighty panic. What happened? Did 0:03:51.240 --> 0:03:54.360 we really get that bad in two weeks? Or is 0:03:54.480 --> 0:03:58.120 everybody moving along like the herd? Are they all moving 0:03:58.160 --> 0:04:02.080 off of emotion and not logic. Well, let's break down 0:04:02.080 --> 0:04:04.120 some data so you don't get caught up in the 0:04:04.120 --> 0:04:07.920 emotional trap. Okay, So really, the question that I'm asking 0:04:07.960 --> 0:04:11.200 myself and you're probably asking yourself, is is this the meldown? 0:04:11.720 --> 0:04:13.480 Is it time to sell everything? I do want to 0:04:13.480 --> 0:04:16.440 go to cash and go hunker down in the basement somewhere, 0:04:16.600 --> 0:04:19.080 or is this the magic setup for us to make 0:04:19.080 --> 0:04:20.240 a lot of money. We're going look at it from 0:04:20.240 --> 0:04:22.479 a data standpoint. Now, a couple things that I have 0:04:22.480 --> 0:04:25.679 to understand. We are in a debt based monetary system. 0:04:25.680 --> 0:04:27.320 If you watch my channel on a regular basis, you 0:04:27.360 --> 0:04:28.680 know a lot of this stuff, but it's good to 0:04:28.720 --> 0:04:30.440 hear it again. If you don't watch my channel on 0:04:30.440 --> 0:04:32.760 a regular basis, hit that subscribe button while you're at 0:04:32.800 --> 0:04:35.040 it so you don't miss these videos. Okay, So the 0:04:35.040 --> 0:04:37.920 world needs liquidy. Why in a debt based monetary system, 0:04:38.040 --> 0:04:40.320 the debt has to continue to expand, The debt never 0:04:40.360 --> 0:04:43.440 gets paid, the debt only gets refinanced. Now we need 0:04:43.560 --> 0:04:47.640 new debt to roll over the old debt. Okay, So 0:04:47.680 --> 0:04:49.880 the world needs that liquidity, that more money in order 0:04:49.920 --> 0:04:53.240 to keep that debt rolling over and over over. Okay, 0:04:53.279 --> 0:04:55.440 we understand that. Now this chart again, I've used it 0:04:55.920 --> 0:04:57.880 quite often, and the reason why is what we can 0:04:57.960 --> 0:05:02.040 see is about seventy five percent of the world's debt 0:05:02.120 --> 0:05:04.440 right now doesn't get paid gets bigger as it rolls over. 0:05:04.720 --> 0:05:10.159 Seventy five percent is less than five years, meaning about 0:05:10.240 --> 0:05:14.320 every four years, the majority of the world's debt has 0:05:14.400 --> 0:05:17.120 to get more debt to roll it over. Okay, So 0:05:17.160 --> 0:05:19.880 we've got put onto these four year cycles that broken 0:05:19.920 --> 0:05:22.839 this down many times. Now, the problem is that and 0:05:22.880 --> 0:05:24.800 what we've seen going on is that we're in this 0:05:24.880 --> 0:05:27.640 what we call like a liquidity pocket. There's debt that 0:05:27.720 --> 0:05:30.400 needs to get rolled over. The world needs the FED, 0:05:30.440 --> 0:05:32.159 the central banks, the FED in the United States, but 0:05:32.200 --> 0:05:34.760 other major central banks. Other major central banks are the 0:05:34.800 --> 0:05:37.760 ECB European Central Bank, the boj Bank of Japan, and 0:05:37.800 --> 0:05:40.280 the PBOC, the Chinese Central Bank. Those are sort of 0:05:40.320 --> 0:05:42.360 the major ones. And what we can see is that 0:05:42.520 --> 0:05:46.000 they need liquidity because they need to keep their markets 0:05:46.240 --> 0:05:48.480 or their debt rolling over to keep their markets going. 0:05:48.720 --> 0:05:51.719 But the problem is that we have been the world 0:05:51.760 --> 0:05:54.360 has been the FED has been in a tightening cycle, 0:05:54.640 --> 0:05:57.120 so they want to tighten up the monetary supply. But 0:05:57.200 --> 0:05:58.880 right now the other nations of the world needed to 0:05:58.920 --> 0:06:01.040 start easy and so they can get that liquidity, they 0:06:01.040 --> 0:06:04.679 can roll that debt over. Now what's happening is China 0:06:04.720 --> 0:06:07.440 desperately needs this, but they can't go into an easing 0:06:07.560 --> 0:06:10.279 right now while the FED is still into tightening. The 0:06:10.360 --> 0:06:12.560 reason why is that's going to crash. Their currency that 0:06:12.600 --> 0:06:15.240 you want will plunge. The same with Japan. Japan desperate 0:06:15.320 --> 0:06:18.479 needs liquidity, but if their currency is already crashing. We 0:06:18.480 --> 0:06:20.000 covered all this in another video. We'll link to it 0:06:20.040 --> 0:06:22.680 down below. How Japan caused all this, so we'll link 0:06:22.760 --> 0:06:24.200 to that if you want to go watch that. But basically, 0:06:24.279 --> 0:06:27.560 Japan's in the same situation, ECB. Everyone's in the same boat. Now. 0:06:27.760 --> 0:06:29.680 Why do you think Janet Yellen has made a couple 0:06:29.640 --> 0:06:33.120 of trips over to China this year, Well, probably talking 0:06:33.160 --> 0:06:35.240 about how the US Treasury is going to work with 0:06:35.360 --> 0:06:38.720 China to make sure they get the liquidity that they want. Now, 0:06:38.760 --> 0:06:41.080 what we can see is that the central banks around 0:06:41.120 --> 0:06:44.200 the world are all starting to join in on this. 0:06:44.880 --> 0:06:47.080 We'll call it regime James, going from a tightening cycle 0:06:47.160 --> 0:06:49.320 to an easing cycle. As a matter of fact, as 0:06:49.320 --> 0:06:51.760 of a couple of days ago, Britain now joins the 0:06:51.920 --> 0:06:56.640 rate cut club. And so now Britain has now started 0:06:56.680 --> 0:06:58.839 to cut their rates. We can see Switzerland has cut 0:06:58.839 --> 0:07:01.960 their rates, Canada's cut their rates, Sweden cut their rates, 0:07:01.960 --> 0:07:05.599 the Eurozone cut their rates, UK cut their rates, the 0:07:05.720 --> 0:07:10.520 US is just pausing, New Zealand is pausing, Norway's pausing, Australia. 0:07:10.680 --> 0:07:13.120 All right, so not everybody is cut, But what's happening 0:07:13.160 --> 0:07:16.760 is while the rest of the world is moving, the 0:07:16.840 --> 0:07:20.280 major central banks, mainly China and Japan, had been waiting. 0:07:20.320 --> 0:07:23.920 Now Japan couldn't wait any longer, and so Japan forced 0:07:23.960 --> 0:07:27.680 their hand by Japan surprising the world with this rate 0:07:27.760 --> 0:07:30.760 hikes through the whole world. It causes carry trade to unwind, 0:07:30.960 --> 0:07:34.080 and now it's forcing the FED to get on board 0:07:34.120 --> 0:07:36.200 with this. Now we can see, and we talked about 0:07:36.200 --> 0:07:38.240 this at the fed's last meeting. Jerome Palace sort of 0:07:38.320 --> 0:07:40.840 hinted that they were going to do it, that they're 0:07:40.920 --> 0:07:45.320 going to reverse course start loosening at the monitary supply 0:07:45.360 --> 0:07:47.320 so we can start to increase and increase the liquidity. 0:07:47.480 --> 0:07:49.760 Now what we can see right here, this is the 0:07:49.800 --> 0:07:52.640 FED Watch tool, and this basically is like a betting market. 0:07:52.680 --> 0:07:55.240 It predicts what's going to happen. Will the FED raise 0:07:55.360 --> 0:07:57.280 or lower rates. Now what we can see, there's a 0:07:57.480 --> 0:08:01.680 one hundred percent chance that will ease rates at the 0:08:01.720 --> 0:08:04.000 next meeting. As a matter of fact, it's about fifty 0:08:04.000 --> 0:08:06.360 to fifty to fifty six percent here, forty three percent 0:08:06.440 --> 0:08:09.320 here that we'll see between four and seventy five to 0:08:09.360 --> 0:08:11.800 five hundred basis points or five hundred to five hundred 0:08:11.840 --> 0:08:14.080 and twenty five. So it's not really a question of 0:08:14.160 --> 0:08:17.000 if right now, if that's only a question of how 0:08:17.040 --> 0:08:20.120 big will this be? Now? Why does all this matter? Well, 0:08:20.160 --> 0:08:23.200 it matters to understand what is going on. This is 0:08:23.280 --> 0:08:26.080 not a complete breakdown. The world's going to die. This 0:08:26.200 --> 0:08:28.720 is a liquidity pocket and the world is sort of 0:08:28.720 --> 0:08:31.840 fighting over and everyone's waiting for the Fed to move. Now, 0:08:31.840 --> 0:08:33.480 the Fed told us when they're going to move. We 0:08:33.520 --> 0:08:36.079 can see it in the betting markets, and we understand 0:08:36.120 --> 0:08:39.040 what's going to happen. So when we start to look 0:08:39.040 --> 0:08:41.439 at this and start to understand this, what we want 0:08:41.480 --> 0:08:43.200 to do is we want to take this new information 0:08:43.280 --> 0:08:48.840 and say, has something fundamentally changed my thesis? Now? You know, again, 0:08:48.880 --> 0:08:51.040 if you've been watching my videos for a while, since 0:08:51.080 --> 0:08:53.959 October of twenty twenty two, I made a video said 0:08:53.960 --> 0:08:56.800 there's no market crash coming, here's why, And all through 0:08:56.800 --> 0:08:58.880 twenty twenty three I made all those videos and explained 0:08:58.920 --> 0:09:00.520 all this. So you you're pretty caught up in this. 0:09:00.840 --> 0:09:03.559 But let's just look, is the thesis that we've been 0:09:03.600 --> 0:09:06.199 talking about for the last now whatever year and a half, 0:09:06.280 --> 0:09:10.240 is it still intact or did something fundamentally changees we 0:09:10.240 --> 0:09:12.960 want to do. We don't want to overtrade on the information. 0:09:13.920 --> 0:09:16.000 Not every single piece of information is something that we 0:09:16.040 --> 0:09:18.000 need to use, but we want to make sure if 0:09:18.040 --> 0:09:20.160 it is or isn't. So the question that we want 0:09:20.160 --> 0:09:22.480 to ask ourselves. In the last year and a half, 0:09:22.480 --> 0:09:25.000 I've been saying, there's the bullmarket is canceled. I motivated 0:09:25.000 --> 0:09:26.840 in August of twenty twenty three, I said, the bear 0:09:26.880 --> 0:09:30.640 market's canceled? Is the bullmarket? Is it over? Are we 0:09:30.679 --> 0:09:32.800 still on track? We can look at a couple of things. 0:09:33.000 --> 0:09:35.120 So the first thing is to understand again, like I've 0:09:35.160 --> 0:09:37.880 already said that, we understand that debt has to get 0:09:37.960 --> 0:09:41.720 rolled over on a four year cycle. It has to. 0:09:42.320 --> 0:09:44.559 If you don't print the money, if you don't increase 0:09:44.600 --> 0:09:46.920 the debt to roll over the existing debt, the whole 0:09:47.000 --> 0:09:49.960 system comes crashing down. Now, there's never been a government 0:09:50.040 --> 0:09:54.520 ever in current times Lebanon, Turkey, Argentina, Venezuela, Zimbabwe, or 0:09:54.559 --> 0:09:57.280 in pastimes that's ever just said, well, boys, it was 0:09:57.280 --> 0:09:58.680 a good run while we had it. Let's just pack 0:09:58.720 --> 0:10:02.040 up shop. No, they will always print and increase the 0:10:02.080 --> 0:10:04.560 debt to roll over the debt. Always there's never been 0:10:04.600 --> 0:10:06.680 a case when they haven't done that. And what we 0:10:06.679 --> 0:10:08.560 can see, as I said, it shows up in that 0:10:08.559 --> 0:10:10.719 four year cycle. But we can see it like this. 0:10:11.559 --> 0:10:13.560 So this is the liquidity cycle right here. This is 0:10:13.720 --> 0:10:16.920 from Michael Howe, and you can see it moving in 0:10:16.960 --> 0:10:20.240 this four year cycle. I used this quite often. Now. 0:10:20.400 --> 0:10:23.520 What's important to understand for us to understand our thesis 0:10:23.760 --> 0:10:29.320 is to understand it doesn't move straight across. It oscillates 0:10:29.440 --> 0:10:31.480 up and down. So we wanted to is we understand 0:10:31.559 --> 0:10:35.160 where are we in this cycle? Are we in the spring, 0:10:35.880 --> 0:10:40.160 the summer, the fall, or the winter. Where are we 0:10:40.400 --> 0:10:44.000 in the cycle? That's a key piece to understand this thesis. 0:10:44.280 --> 0:10:46.920 Now we can take a look at not only the 0:10:47.000 --> 0:10:49.840 debt cycles, the liquidity cycles like I showed you, but 0:10:50.040 --> 0:10:52.640 even the business cycles are caught up. As a matter 0:10:52.679 --> 0:10:55.600 of fact, this is the ism. The Isen sort of 0:10:55.920 --> 0:10:58.640 tracks this business cycle for us, and we can see 0:10:58.640 --> 0:11:01.760 that it's sort of oscillates. It's just like the chart 0:11:01.800 --> 0:11:04.840 I was showing you before. Summer deeper, summer, more shallow. 0:11:05.000 --> 0:11:07.360 But I put these red arrows here to show you 0:11:07.440 --> 0:11:10.040 something important. And what I'm trying to show to you 0:11:10.080 --> 0:11:13.240 with these is that this one, this deep one right here, 0:11:13.640 --> 0:11:16.960 that was two thousand and eight. Now remember I said 0:11:17.000 --> 0:11:21.080 that they move in four year cycles, So two thousand 0:11:21.080 --> 0:11:26.920 and eight, twenty twelve, two thousand and sixteen, two thy 0:11:27.240 --> 0:11:32.760 twenty and two thy twenty four. Every four years we 0:11:32.920 --> 0:11:36.720 see a bottom. Now, this one was the great financial crash, 0:11:36.760 --> 0:11:38.720 That's why it was so much deeper. This one was 0:11:38.760 --> 0:11:41.199 the pandemic when the whole world got shut down. So 0:11:41.240 --> 0:11:43.559 that's why these broke deeper. But you can see this 0:11:43.600 --> 0:11:44.840 is where the trend line is. 0:11:45.160 --> 0:11:45.319 Now. 0:11:45.320 --> 0:11:48.679 The reason why it's important to understand this right here 0:11:49.160 --> 0:11:52.679 is that right now, remember summer, spring, winter, fall. Right now, 0:11:52.720 --> 0:11:55.880 we are at the bottom of the cycle. Okay, so 0:11:55.920 --> 0:11:58.319 what does this mean. If we were starting to see 0:11:58.320 --> 0:12:00.679 this what we call like a market spat, if we're 0:12:00.679 --> 0:12:02.960 starting to see this liquidy pocket, but it was happening 0:12:03.080 --> 0:12:06.400 here or here, then we might go, oh, well, maybe 0:12:06.400 --> 0:12:08.480 the market is done, maybe it is time to roll over. 0:12:08.640 --> 0:12:10.360 So you can see right here it gets like very 0:12:10.400 --> 0:12:13.160 spasmy at the top right or here it gets very 0:12:13.200 --> 0:12:15.520 spasmy at the top. So if it was happening right 0:12:15.559 --> 0:12:18.080 around here, we're like, ooh, this could be it. This 0:12:18.160 --> 0:12:20.320 could be the time that it crashes, doesn't come down. 0:12:20.520 --> 0:12:23.000 But we're not We're not at the top, we're at 0:12:23.040 --> 0:12:25.480 the very bottom now. Of course, nothing goes up and 0:12:25.480 --> 0:12:27.440 down in a straight line, and so we're seeing that 0:12:27.559 --> 0:12:31.240 volatility here at the bottom. But where we go is 0:12:31.320 --> 0:12:33.520 most likely up from here. Now, there's no guarantee, but 0:12:33.559 --> 0:12:36.160 if you're an elementary kid and you understand patterns, it's 0:12:36.160 --> 0:12:39.120 pretty easy to understand what comes next. Now, for a 0:12:39.160 --> 0:12:42.400 more zoomed out view, here's another chart. So that was 0:12:42.440 --> 0:12:45.600 the business cycle. But again, the business cycle, the debt cycle, 0:12:45.640 --> 0:12:48.400 they all go together to increase the liquidity in the world. 0:12:48.640 --> 0:12:50.280 So here's the chart. You probably see me use this 0:12:50.320 --> 0:12:53.079 one before. This is the global liquidity. It's important to 0:12:53.160 --> 0:12:56.120 understand the global liquidity and not just the US. A 0:12:56.120 --> 0:12:58.440 lot of people get stuck into looking at the M 0:12:58.520 --> 0:13:01.520 two money supply, the FED balance sheet. Those are certainly 0:13:01.520 --> 0:13:03.600 important because you know, the Fed sort of dictates the 0:13:03.640 --> 0:13:05.400 movement of the rest of the world. As I said, 0:13:05.440 --> 0:13:08.079 the world waiting on the Fed to act. However, when 0:13:08.080 --> 0:13:11.520 we're looking at commodities, gold, oil, gas, we're looking at bitcoin. 0:13:11.600 --> 0:13:14.400 Those are global assets, and even stocks for that matter, 0:13:14.679 --> 0:13:16.800 get money from across the globe. So if we look 0:13:16.800 --> 0:13:19.120 at the global equity, what we can see is from 0:13:19.160 --> 0:13:22.120 twenty ten to twenty fourteen we had an up year. Now, 0:13:22.520 --> 0:13:24.679 nothing goes up and down in a straight line. As 0:13:24.720 --> 0:13:26.320 you can see, it went up and down and up 0:13:26.360 --> 0:13:28.560 and down, and then we had our down period. Then 0:13:28.600 --> 0:13:31.520 we had from March twenty fifteen to March twenty eighteen up, 0:13:31.760 --> 0:13:34.120 and we in our down here October twenty eighteen to 0:13:34.200 --> 0:13:37.840 March twenty second, down here, and then here October twenty second, 0:13:37.840 --> 0:13:41.000 and we're up. Why October twenty second, Well, remember I 0:13:41.040 --> 0:13:43.719 told you on my channel go back and look October 0:13:43.800 --> 0:13:46.440 of twenty second, twenty two. I said, there is no 0:13:46.600 --> 0:13:49.280 market crash coming. And here's why. And it's because this 0:13:49.559 --> 0:13:53.520 next liquidity cycle started to pick back up again. This 0:13:53.559 --> 0:13:56.080 is where we're at in the cycle. We're nowhere near 0:13:56.160 --> 0:13:58.240 the top. If we were at the top of the market, 0:13:58.920 --> 0:14:02.200 then I'd be concerned. If there was something bigger that changed, like, 0:14:02.240 --> 0:14:05.920 for example, you know, the central banks were not easy 0:14:06.040 --> 0:14:09.080 for example, then maybe my thesis could change. But the 0:14:09.120 --> 0:14:11.760 fact is right now nothing has. Now here's another chart 0:14:11.800 --> 0:14:14.480 that I've used. If you watch my channel regularly, you've 0:14:14.480 --> 0:14:16.840 seen this if you don't watch it regularly, again, click 0:14:16.880 --> 0:14:19.200 on that subscribe button, and what we can see here 0:14:19.440 --> 0:14:22.440 is something very similar this. There's also total liquidity. And 0:14:22.480 --> 0:14:24.920 we can see these blue years as I marked with 0:14:24.960 --> 0:14:29.240 these red arrows, are the down years every fourth year. Now, 0:14:29.400 --> 0:14:31.160 if you did the math in your head, two thousand 0:14:31.200 --> 0:14:34.360 and eight, twenty twelve, twenty sixteen, twenty twenty two, twenty 0:14:34.360 --> 0:14:37.440 twenty twenty twenty four every four years, that just so 0:14:37.760 --> 0:14:42.120 happens to coincide with the four year presidential election cycle 0:14:42.440 --> 0:14:45.120 and the four year bitcoin having cycle. And I showed 0:14:45.120 --> 0:14:48.320 you the ism business cycle, and it all coordinates on 0:14:48.320 --> 0:14:50.680 that date. And so we can see that we have 0:14:51.160 --> 0:14:55.440 one two, three good years and a down year, one two, 0:14:55.640 --> 0:14:57.880 three good years and a down here. And so again, 0:14:57.920 --> 0:14:59.960 if I'm an elementary kid and I can understand pattern, 0:15:00.400 --> 0:15:04.080 I would expect one, two, three good years and then 0:15:04.080 --> 0:15:07.840 a down year. The problem for most of you guys, 0:15:08.440 --> 0:15:10.520 not everybody. Some of you understand it like I do. 0:15:10.920 --> 0:15:12.920 The problem with most of you, guys is that you're 0:15:13.000 --> 0:15:15.480 way too zoomed in. I don't even know how many 0:15:15.560 --> 0:15:18.040 hundreds or maybe even thousands of messages I've gotten across 0:15:18.080 --> 0:15:20.480 social media in the last week telling me. 0:15:20.560 --> 0:15:23.280 Oh, I caught the dip, I shorted this, I made 0:15:23.280 --> 0:15:25.320 money on the shore of this. I'm like, whoa, whoa, whoa, Well, 0:15:25.440 --> 0:15:28.560 all that is just way too short term. All that's 0:15:28.560 --> 0:15:30.880 way too short term, Like at least. 0:15:30.680 --> 0:15:34.200 Be looking a year out or you know, five years out, 0:15:34.280 --> 0:15:37.600 because again, this doesn't move in a straight line. And 0:15:37.640 --> 0:15:39.840 what happens is a lot of you aren't way too 0:15:39.920 --> 0:15:42.800 zoomed in. You're getting yourself all psyched out. And this 0:15:42.840 --> 0:15:46.800 is why I say all the time, don't mess this up. Now, 0:15:46.800 --> 0:15:48.880 what is don't mess this up? Mean? Well, what that 0:15:49.000 --> 0:15:51.880 means is that we have the biggest opportunity to build 0:15:51.920 --> 0:15:54.440 wealth over the next twelve to fifteen months right in 0:15:54.480 --> 0:15:57.400 front of us. And as long as you make a 0:15:57.480 --> 0:16:00.560 couple of basic moves, you're going to make more money 0:16:00.560 --> 0:16:03.000 than you could have imagined. However, most of you're going 0:16:03.040 --> 0:16:04.920 to mess it up because you're going to be too 0:16:05.040 --> 0:16:09.200 zoomed in. You're going to overtrade the situation, and you're 0:16:09.240 --> 0:16:11.040 going to mess it up. But not if you continue 0:16:11.040 --> 0:16:13.680 to watching me. Okay, Now, part of not messing this 0:16:13.880 --> 0:16:16.760 up means that we have to understand where we want 0:16:16.760 --> 0:16:19.240 to be invested. So I use this chart all the time. 0:16:19.360 --> 0:16:23.160 These are the fifty year technological revolution cycles. We know 0:16:23.240 --> 0:16:27.080 that every one of these dictates a new place that 0:16:27.120 --> 0:16:29.680 we need to be investing, and we're in one right now. 0:16:29.800 --> 0:16:33.320 All the richest people in history got rich because they've 0:16:33.320 --> 0:16:38.040 built their businesses that aligned with these cycles. Right, So 0:16:38.160 --> 0:16:41.680 the last fifty years has been dominated by Jeff Bezos, 0:16:41.800 --> 0:16:46.440 by telecom, by personal computers, Bill Gates and Internet. Before that, 0:16:46.800 --> 0:16:49.560 right here, nineteen oh eight, the father of the automobile 0:16:49.600 --> 0:16:54.600 mass production. Before that, we had a steel we had railways, 0:16:54.640 --> 0:16:57.040 we had oil, right and so each one of these 0:16:57.040 --> 0:17:00.440 so not messing up means that we're in the right place, 0:17:00.880 --> 0:17:03.920 which is technology. We're in a technology boom, and so 0:17:04.000 --> 0:17:07.960 the only place to invest right now is exploding technology. Now, 0:17:08.280 --> 0:17:10.680 which part of technology? I'll break that down for you. 0:17:10.760 --> 0:17:12.480 But before I break that down, I do want to 0:17:12.520 --> 0:17:15.920 just tell you real quickly about today's show sponsor. Now, 0:17:16.760 --> 0:17:19.560 in a technology driven black hole that I'm kind of 0:17:19.560 --> 0:17:22.080 referring to, the only place to invest is technology. The 0:17:22.119 --> 0:17:25.480 world's continuing to become more and more driven by technology, 0:17:25.480 --> 0:17:27.680 which is a good thing. Right. We have Wi Fi 0:17:27.760 --> 0:17:31.359 everywhere now five g Bluetooth. We have smart devices, you know, 0:17:31.400 --> 0:17:36.200 sleep trackers, electronic vehicles, Bluetooth headphones and everything else. Right, 0:17:36.400 --> 0:17:38.760 it's a massive convenience. I love this world where all 0:17:38.760 --> 0:17:41.040 this stuff can be tracked and no wires. But there's 0:17:41.080 --> 0:17:43.520 a big problem with it. The big problem is that 0:17:43.680 --> 0:17:47.120 all these devices, the Bluetooth, the Wi Fi, create EMFs, 0:17:47.560 --> 0:17:50.640 and those EMFs are all caused by these devices. Now 0:17:50.720 --> 0:17:54.120 there's one company that's just solved this problem. The company 0:17:54.240 --> 0:17:57.159 is called aries Tech. Now the tickler's ticker symbol is 0:17:57.359 --> 0:18:02.480 us aai RF, all right, and they just solved this problem. Now, personally, 0:18:02.800 --> 0:18:06.399 I went back to using wired headphones. I ditched my 0:18:06.440 --> 0:18:09.040 sleep trackers that I used to use. And the reason 0:18:09.080 --> 0:18:10.960 why is because I'm trying to keep my brain from 0:18:11.000 --> 0:18:13.800 getting scrambled by all these EMFs that are out there. 0:18:13.960 --> 0:18:16.480 They're all around me everywhere, and I can't really get 0:18:16.480 --> 0:18:19.000 away from them in Wi Fi everywhere, which is why 0:18:19.040 --> 0:18:22.359 I started using this little tiny sticker that goes on 0:18:22.400 --> 0:18:24.560 the back of my phone or you can wear it, 0:18:24.800 --> 0:18:28.160 and it basically takes these harmful EMFs and it completely 0:18:28.200 --> 0:18:30.840 neutralizes them. Now, this is a really big deal. EMFs 0:18:30.880 --> 0:18:34.640 caused all types of problems, and they're everywhere all around us, 0:18:34.840 --> 0:18:36.720 and like I said, this is a really big problem. 0:18:36.760 --> 0:18:39.200 As a matter of fact, there's been over one thousand 0:18:39.240 --> 0:18:42.760 studies done in the US and globally showing evidence of 0:18:42.880 --> 0:18:48.200 negati effects from EMF particularly from smartphones, from Wi Fi routers, 0:18:48.400 --> 0:18:50.320 from five G all that as a matter of fact. 0:18:50.680 --> 0:18:52.800 I'm no friend of the World Health Organization, but they 0:18:52.800 --> 0:18:58.160 did a study and they classified radio frequency EMFs as carcinogenic, 0:18:58.359 --> 0:19:02.200 basically like cancer. They put them into a group twenty 0:19:02.520 --> 0:19:05.760 and which is basically the same group as chloroform, same 0:19:05.760 --> 0:19:09.360 group as engine fumes, as welding fumes. It's pretty bad. 0:19:09.640 --> 0:19:13.840 And this little device that Aristech made it changes all that, right. 0:19:14.480 --> 0:19:17.200 And this isn't fake like pseudoscience, nothing like that. This 0:19:17.280 --> 0:19:20.040 little thing is backed by over twenty years of research. 0:19:20.280 --> 0:19:24.080 There's twenty two global patents, there's I think more than 0:19:24.200 --> 0:19:29.240 twenty five clinical trials that have done nine peer reviewed studies. 0:19:29.240 --> 0:19:31.080 I mean, this is the real deal. And you can 0:19:31.119 --> 0:19:34.400 literally see the difference in brain scans of people while 0:19:34.400 --> 0:19:37.000 they're using the smartphones. You can see it with and 0:19:37.040 --> 0:19:39.960 without the device. And while you know I'm using this, 0:19:40.359 --> 0:19:42.720 you should probably be running one. I also love this 0:19:42.800 --> 0:19:46.920 company as an investment because, as a you know, legendary investor, 0:19:47.000 --> 0:19:51.120 billionaire investor Peter Lynch said that most people could actually 0:19:51.200 --> 0:19:54.199 beat the market if they just invested into things that 0:19:54.240 --> 0:19:57.520