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Speaker 1: Welcome in, everybody to betting pros. It's down to place

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Speaker 1: your bets. It is me, Joey P joe p Zapia

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Speaker 1: and this is BP NFL with me as always the undertaker.

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Speaker 1: Andrew Erickson already for fall. Look at him, got his

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Speaker 1: grunge sweatshirt on with his hoodie. I'm not sure if

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Speaker 1: he's Eddie Vedder or a Gilmore girl and figured that

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Speaker 1: out by the end of the show. And the Welsh

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Speaker 1: woe is me Welsh who was so upset last week.

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Speaker 1: In week two because week one was rough. Well, he

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Speaker 1: went four and one last week on this show ericson

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Speaker 1: three and two. The leaderboard for the year so far,

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Speaker 1: ericson seven and four. Overall, Welsh is five and five.

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Speaker 2: So Welsh, you.

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Speaker 1: Made a rebound last week. So is this meaning we're

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Speaker 1: down for a bad week this week? Is it every

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Speaker 1: other week? Are you one of those kind of athletes?

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Speaker 2: Well, we're gonna try to keep it consistent. Last week

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Speaker 2: it was one of those things. My team one and

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Speaker 2: my bets did not in week one, and then week

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Speaker 2: two my team was a fraud and a disaster and

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Speaker 2: I was hitting everything. So I want to find a

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Speaker 2: good happy medium I'll take three and two every single week,

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Speaker 2: but yeah, good, good week. Last week. Got to catch

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Speaker 2: up to ericson seven and three. Ridiculous number. You are

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Speaker 2: ericson right now with your unders and just a few

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Speaker 2: occasional overs. I'm ready to do this. I'm ready to

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Speaker 2: try to get in. But all these lines are moving,

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Speaker 2: Joe Oven, you see, they're moving crazy this week. I

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Speaker 2: have lost three bets that I was going to do

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Speaker 2: on this show. I've lost to line movement because I

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Speaker 2: just can't tell you guys anymore because I was just

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Speaker 2: way too big brain and got it earlier and now

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Speaker 2: it's just too big of a line.

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Speaker 1: So that's the problem, way too big brain. Ericson Speaking

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Speaker 1: of Welsh's team, you know we were fading the four

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Speaker 1: Niners coming into the season, but this is a very

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Speaker 1: winnable matchup for them this week, despite the fact it

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Speaker 1: looks like Kittle might not play now potentially Debo's out,

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Speaker 1: Christian McCaffrey's out, the forty nine ers fade at the

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Speaker 1: beginning of the year, Andrew starting to look like an

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Speaker 1: interesting take you and I had. Maybe we're gonna get it.

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Speaker 1: What do you think so far? It's only week three?

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Speaker 3: Well, you know, Sam Hoppin and I talked about this

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Speaker 3: a lot during the off season, how the forty nine

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Speaker 3: worried the healthiest team in the NFL last year. Regression

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Speaker 3: to the mean, just like Welsh's picks. Regressing to the mean. Baby,

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Speaker 3: you go one and four one week, you go four

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Speaker 3: and one the next progression. Baby, I'm not a slave

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Speaker 3: to the numbers. I'm just slave to regression.

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Speaker 1: Well, before we get into week three of the NFL again,

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Speaker 1: let's take a look at the board. Two weeks into

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Speaker 1: the season. We've got Ericson's seven and three. I said

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Speaker 1: seven and four before, and how you got that extra pick?

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Speaker 1: I gave you too much credit. And then we had

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Speaker 1: Welsh is at five and five overall on the season.

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Speaker 1: So hopefully this week Welsh will get over five hundred

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Speaker 1: and the Undertaker will continue to make us money and

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Speaker 1: that's what we want to do. So let's start getting

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Speaker 1: out the shovels, boys and get to work here for

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Speaker 1: week three in the NFL. Welsh, let's kick things off

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Speaker 1: with you, and let's start with Chris Olav.

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Speaker 2: Yes, I am big old team Chris Olave. As Rashid

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Speaker 2: Shahid has completely taken over for the first two weeks. Rightfully, Zoe,

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Speaker 2: He's been really good. But as I said on the

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Speaker 2: Bicell Trade Show, one hundred and twenty nine of his

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Speaker 2: one hundre and sixty nine receiving yards have come off

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Speaker 2: of two catches, and he has been the leader in

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Speaker 2: kind of always going to be like an air yard guy,

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Speaker 2: but he has been the team share guy. He's kind

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Speaker 2: of been everything, and Chris Olav has just not gotten

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Speaker 2: the big target share, and that is where things are

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Speaker 2: going to start to change because he is the focal

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Speaker 2: point of this offense. We had the Kamara four touchdown game,

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Speaker 2: so he's done with touchdowns the rest of the year.

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Speaker 2: In usage, we don't need any more of him. Rashija

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Speaker 2: Heat has been great deep, but this is a matchup

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Speaker 2: that I think works really well in favor for Chris

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Speaker 2: Olave because we also just need to get him going.

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Speaker 2: He is still even in kind of this early like

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Speaker 2: black area that we've had him in, he is still

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Speaker 2: averaging over eleven point five yards per target. His number

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Speaker 2: I got a little bit earlier. I believe it is

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Speaker 2: at sixty three point five as we're recording this. I

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Speaker 2: got it at sixty point five projections even took a look.

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Speaker 2: I'll give you a PFF projection. We have Fantasy pros

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Speaker 2: projections as well, but an outside source. PFF projections have

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Speaker 2: his receiving yard number at a eighty three and a

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Speaker 2: half this week, so massive if you buy it, massive

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Speaker 2: amounts of value on Chris o Lava to have the

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Speaker 2: bounce back, and I think the only thing that's keeping

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Speaker 2: it down has strictly just been because he hasn't been

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Speaker 2: involved in the offense as much. Philadelphia Eagles have been

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Speaker 2: giving up a bunch of receiving yards. I believe their

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Speaker 2: top ten in receiving yards given up so far this year.

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Speaker 2: Their secondary has not been great. There's gonna be more

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Speaker 2: of a focal point on Alvin Kamara. I love me

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Speaker 2: some Chris olav receiving yards this week. I'm even considering

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Speaker 2: playing them up, playing them up, maybe even into eighty,

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Speaker 2: but sixty to sixty three point five, I'm playing that

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Speaker 2: bad boy over on the receiving yards for chryso Lave

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Speaker 2: bounce back.

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Speaker 1: Yeah. Look, Shaheed's been amazing for the first couple weeks

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Speaker 1: of the season. Some huge plays. I don't know if

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Speaker 1: you can count on that every single week, but I

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Speaker 1: think it's a little doe for more Chris O Lava

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Speaker 1: and certainly some good and this is.

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Speaker 2: The matchup, like I said, the Eagles, the Eagles secondary,

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Speaker 2: this is the matchup for him to help the convince

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Speaker 2: it could be like, I'm not banking on another Rashid Shaheed.

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Speaker 2: I'm not trying to be a hater in Rashid Shaheed,

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Speaker 2: but he's this big, massive play. I think they are

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Speaker 2: going to be steadily able to move the ball down

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Speaker 2: the field of Chrystal Lava. I kind of like it all.

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Speaker 2: I kind of like I think I like the longest reception. Yeah,

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Speaker 2: I like it all.

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Speaker 1: I don't think I don't think it's mutually exclusive where

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Speaker 1: it's only Olave or Shaheed this week necessarily two with

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Speaker 1: the Eagles secondary. All right, speaking of the Eagles, ericson,

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Speaker 1: let's go to Jalen Hurts. Forty and a half rushing

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Speaker 1: yards ready land on that one.

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Speaker 3: I'm taking the over on Jalen Hurts and the forty

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Speaker 3: and a half rushing yards. If you saw him fly

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Speaker 3: over this number last week. I think that they're going

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Speaker 3: to call upon him a little bit more in the

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Speaker 3: ground game because he doesn't have his Binkie doesn't have

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Speaker 3: aj Brown out there, So I think that we're going

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Speaker 3: to see Hurts run more in you look historically at

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Speaker 3: this matchup against Dennis Allen's defense, It's been bad against

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Speaker 3: rushing quarterbacks. In twenty twenty three, they ranked third in

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Speaker 3: terms of the most quarterback rushing yards allowed on defense.

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Speaker 3: And we look at Hurts historically when he's faced this

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Speaker 3: defense before. Two of his highest rushing yard totals of

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Speaker 3: his NFL career one hundred and six yards sixty nine

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Speaker 3: yards came against the Saints defense led by Dennis Allen.

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Speaker 3: So I think when you have Marshall Latimore locking up

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Speaker 3: on DeVante Smith, is it going to be Britain Covey,

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Speaker 3: Dallas Goddard that's exposing the Saints defense? I don't think.

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Speaker 3: SO think it's gonna be Hurts. I gotta take off

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Speaker 3: and run. I gotta make plays on my own. So

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Speaker 3: I am smashing the over here on Jalen Hurts over

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Speaker 3: forty and a half rushing yards. They're going to be

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Speaker 3: aggressive using him with his legs against this defense like

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Speaker 3: we've seen historically. So I love the over here.

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Speaker 1: Okay, So let's continue on to pick number two for

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Speaker 1: the boys for week three. A lot of news has

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Speaker 1: been made this week about what the Kansaity backfield is

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Speaker 1: going to look like. Now that I say, but Check's

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Speaker 1: gonna miss time. Kareem Hunt is getting in the mix.

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Speaker 1: We're gonna have some Samashi p Ryan and some Carson Steele. Now,

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Speaker 1: a lot of people have a lot of different takes

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Speaker 1: on this backfield. Welsh, how do you see it? How

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Speaker 1: can we make money off of it? In week three?

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Speaker 2: I am dipping my toes in the undertaker water this week,

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Speaker 2: my first under of the year. I will say, it's

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Speaker 2: always an interesting dynamic. You had a really funny line

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Speaker 2: with Bogman on the Thursday night BP show Joe where

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Speaker 2: you called him the cane to Eric's undertaker.

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Speaker 1: All over it's all over, yeah.

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Speaker 2: But I will say, like, there is looking at matchups

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Speaker 2: and finding where you know the advantages are, and then

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Speaker 2: there's also targeting and scouting overs or unders, and that's

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Speaker 2: kind of your priority. Like I tend to go into

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Speaker 2: a lot of matchups when I'm looking for what I

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Speaker 2: want to bet, to find where the over advantage is

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Speaker 2: not like, oh yeah, there's the ad that one's going

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Speaker 2: to go under this is going to go over. I

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Speaker 2: am more of an overmarket guy, but as the season

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Speaker 2: goes on, I get a little bit more comfortable and

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Speaker 2: I'll start to play with the under. And that's what's

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Speaker 2: happening in this one. Carson Steel. They're full back, whether

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Speaker 2: you want to have fun with that or not. However,

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Speaker 2: they're listing him on the depth chart. I don't like

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Speaker 2: the rushing yard total here because I first off, my

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Speaker 2: my theory on this backfield is it's a mess. This

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Speaker 2: is not gonna be Isaiah Pachecko. Isaiah Pachecko, I think

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Speaker 2: was averaging last season around like sixty something yards per

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Speaker 2: game rushing. You're not gonna get that from backups. You

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Speaker 2: don't get that from backups in general. This is gonna

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Speaker 2: be pe Ryan, This is gonna be Steele, this is

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Speaker 2: gonna be Worthy, and God knows, with whatever practice squad,

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Speaker 2: whether it's Ingram or the ridiculous Kareem Hunt stuff, it's

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Speaker 2: just going to be a mix. So if there's big

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Speaker 2: play potential, someone can hit these totals. But Carson Steel

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Speaker 2: is the guy. Pe Ryan is under twenty yards projected

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Speaker 2: right now. Carson Steele, the number is actually moved up.

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Speaker 2: I believe it's at forty two point five, and it

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Speaker 2: even moved up to forty three point five as of

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Speaker 2: recent So just a couple of stats on it. Chiefs

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Speaker 2: are currently nineteenth in the league in rushing yards, and

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Speaker 2: that was with Pachecko. Steel is averaging three yards per

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Speaker 2: carry in a very short stint here of what he's

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Speaker 2: actually done. His attempt prop was something I wanted to

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Speaker 2: pay attention to eleven point five, and they juice it

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Speaker 2: up a little bit. So I think they're wanting to

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Speaker 2: play you right at twelve. And if you're around that

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Speaker 2: three yard per carry, you can do math that's under

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Speaker 2: the forty if that's what you want to do. Chiefs

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Speaker 2: on average are putting up around twenty six carries per game.

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Speaker 2: Again with Pacheco and Mahomes is on average around three.

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Speaker 2: You've got a couple of the tricky stuff. Maybe you

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Speaker 2: have Worthy involved in there. So my math is getting

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Speaker 2: down to you get about twenty carries. It looks like

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Speaker 2: on a good day that you're gonna have between Steel

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Speaker 2: and between p Ryan and I do not think Carson

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Speaker 2: Steele is going to be the primary back. So under

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Speaker 2: forty yards, I like taking this out right out the gates.

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Speaker 2: If he gets four or five carries, eight carries or

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Speaker 2: something like that, you might see this number hovering around

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Speaker 2: the thirties, more like a Dallas Cowboys running back situation

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Speaker 2: where Dowbell and Elliott are always like mid thirties. That's

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Speaker 2: where I think Steele will end up being in the

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Speaker 2: betting market. I might be wrong because this is a

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Speaker 2: fresh new week off, but forty three point five under

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Speaker 2: Carson Steel that is my first under bet of the season.

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Speaker 1: I'm with you on this one. I also think this

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Speaker 1: one is going to get interesting. I think it's going

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Speaker 1: to be more of a shootout than people realize. Monday night,

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Speaker 1: I was very in on Kirk Cousins and the Falcons

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Speaker 1: starting to figure things out. They did against the Eagles,

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Speaker 1: So there you go, and unders are okay. Heck I

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Speaker 1: took the under unders. I took the under on Thursday

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Speaker 1: night football. That worked out, didn't it? My Patriots think.

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Speaker 2: I think it becomes part of It's part of the

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Speaker 2: work that you do in the analysis. Ericson is really

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Speaker 2: good at looking at an entire matchup and identifying unders overs.

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Speaker 2: Bupah bah blah buph. There are some people like I

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Speaker 2: tend to do. Bogman definitely does. Where you'll go in

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Speaker 2: and you'll just say, where are my advantages to the over,

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Speaker 2: because that's what I want to end up. I'll tell

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Speaker 2: you this. My pivot on this might be Xavier Worthies

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Speaker 2: rush and receiving yard total in this game, because I

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Speaker 2: do think he'll get involved in the backfield and it's

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Speaker 2: a low number. I think it's like forty two or

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Speaker 2: something for rushing and receiving yards. So I really like

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Speaker 2: that is a tiny little pivot. But it's all about

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Speaker 2: steel under.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, everyone should be watching that Thursday night football preview

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Speaker 1: show too. It comes out on Wednesdays. But I got

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Speaker 1: another one right on too, got the under along with

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Speaker 1: the Breesehall touchdown lest Guiney Parlay boom check that out,

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Speaker 1: and the anytime touchdown call for Garrett Wilson. So things

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Speaker 1: are going very well. I don't know how well they're

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Speaker 1: going for people have Breeze Hall though, because they're a

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Speaker 1: little word about Braylan Allen Boyle boy. Was he getting

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Speaker 1: a lot of work in that game? Yikes, Andrew Erickson,

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Speaker 1: let's put you to work. Let's get you for another

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Speaker 1: pick here four Week three in the NFL, what do

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Speaker 1: you have?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm going with George Pickens over forty seven and

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Speaker 3: a half receiving yards. So last week he basically put

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Speaker 3: up the most impressive two for twenty nine stat line

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Speaker 3: that you could possibly have for a wide receiver. He

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Speaker 3: could look at that against the Denver Broncos and say, oh, well,

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Speaker 3: got locked up by Patrick Tertan. I mean, if you

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Speaker 3: look at all the penalty yardage things with pass interference,

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Speaker 3: he basically could have hadd over one hundred and thirty

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Speaker 3: yards in last week's game. So I think that his

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Speaker 3: receiving number is super suppressed because of the box score

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Speaker 3: from last week. It doesn't necessarily reflect how well he

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Speaker 3: actually played and how he had certained often in that

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Speaker 3: game he was getting open, he was making plays. So

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Speaker 3: I'm really confident in George Pickens in this particular matchup. Again,

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Speaker 3: is the alpha in this passing game, twenty six percent

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Speaker 3: target share of the season with the fourth highest air

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Speaker 3: yard chair. I mean he can get this in one play.

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Speaker 3: But when they do drop back to throw in a

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Speaker 3: potentially more competitive game against the Chargers with a close spread,

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Speaker 3: I think George Pickens can easily get over forty seven

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Speaker 3: and a half receiving yards. He got over this number

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Speaker 3: in Week one against the Atlanta Falcons. He should have

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Speaker 3: gone over it last week had it not been for

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Speaker 3: a lot of these penalties. So I think this is

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Speaker 3: a great spot for George Pickens. Look at the Chargers defense.

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Speaker 3: They run a lot of zone coverage, third highest rate

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Speaker 3: in the NFL through two weeks per Fantasy Points data,

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Speaker 3: and Pickens ranks twelfth in the NFL yards per run

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Speaker 3: against zone coverage. So as the clear alpha in the

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Speaker 3: Steelers passing game, I think that he's going to get

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Speaker 3: at least fifty receiving yards. So he had a fifty

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Speaker 3: one yard catch against certain last week in coverage. So

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Speaker 3: I like Pickens a lot.

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Speaker 2: I love this one. This was original. This is on

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Speaker 2: my card that's not on the show. By the way,

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Speaker 2: the line was moved.

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Speaker 1: It then because I wasn't on there, and then you know,

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Speaker 1: nex see I should have had Pickens, see I should have.

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Speaker 2: Was actually shocked when I saw that Ericson had this

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Speaker 2: on here because I don't think we've had a whole

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Speaker 2: lot of like crossovers so far this year. But it

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Speaker 2: is literally on my own personal card. Also seventh highest

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Speaker 2: team yard percentage like forty one like it's one of

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Speaker 2: the seventh highest in the league, and projections are well

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Speaker 2: over fifty for him on across the sites right now,

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Speaker 2: So I am completely completely with ericson on this one.

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Speaker 1: All right, Before we get to pick's number three for

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Speaker 1: the boys, quick shout out to everybody who's watching today.

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Speaker 1: prop market. You instantly compare sportsbook lines with expert projections

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Speaker 1: and bettype, ensure that you'll only see the most profitable opportunities.

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Speaker 1: All right, let's go to pick number three for the

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Speaker 1: boys and back to your forty nine ers. Yeah, Homer,

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Speaker 1: let's go Welsh.

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Speaker 2: I mean, yeah, definitely, there might be a side of

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Speaker 2: Homer here, but this is a great matchup for the

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Speaker 2: forty nine ers this week, and pieces are falling, so

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Speaker 2: there's only so many pieces out there for the forty

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Speaker 2: nine ers. But guess what when you get into that

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Speaker 2: solidified spot and they're starting losing, Deebo Samuel, you were

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Speaker 2: like assured Kittle's not gonna play. I'm not, by the way,

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Speaker 2: if he does. This is a phenomenal matchup. And there's

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Speaker 2: another guy we're gonna talk about here in a minute.

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Speaker 2: But what I like about this so much is just

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Speaker 2: the disaster pile that the defense for the Rams are.

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Speaker 2: The forty nine ers, even without some of those weapons,

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Speaker 2: can still sling the ball. I mean, I don't love it.

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Speaker 2: If Kittle is going to come out, but you're getting

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Speaker 2: plus money on this right now, brock Purty over one

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Speaker 2: and a half touchdowns. And this one is so nice

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Speaker 2: because the Rams so far they are averaging two passing

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Speaker 2: touchdowns given up per game. Rock Perty has been lighting

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Speaker 2: up their second The forty nine ers are in passing

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Speaker 2: yards in the NFL, even though Jordan Mason has been

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Speaker 2: going off, and the Rams they're giving up the ninth

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Speaker 2: most passing yards. So this is an advantage for a

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Speaker 2: team that has been able to throw the ball, can

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Speaker 2: throw the ball, and a defense that gives up the

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Speaker 2: ball in the air. So I like a wide receiver

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Speaker 2: we're going to talk about Deebro's talked about. It's Brandon

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Speaker 2: Ayuk week. If Kittle is healthy, he's going to be

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Speaker 2: a massive target in here, and they give up a

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Speaker 2: bunch of touchdowns. So Rock Party only has one passing

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Speaker 2: touchdown so far in the year. That's going to change

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Speaker 2: this week. It's plus money over one and a half

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Speaker 2: passing touchdowns against the Rams for the forty nine ers.

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Speaker 1: I don't want to spoil things, but there's a forty

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Speaker 1: nine er I am in on and you are two

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Speaker 1: so we'll save him for the next conversation to be

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Speaker 1: betting on. Let's go to you Eric's for another pick

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Speaker 1: this time, let's go to the Vikings quiet a week

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Speaker 1: from Aaron Jones last week, because that happened two weeks

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Speaker 1: in a row.

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Speaker 3: Yes, it does, because he is facing the Houston Texans,

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Speaker 3: who you cannot run the football, and so I'm going

360
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Speaker 3: under forty eight and a half rushing yards for Aaron

361
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Speaker 3: Jones so per next Gen Stats, so Houston allowed Bears

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Speaker 3: running backs in Week two to gain more yards and

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Speaker 3: expected on just one of their sixteen carries six percent.

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Speaker 3: That was the lowest rate of runs over expectation since

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Speaker 3: twenty eighteen. In twenty twenty three, the Texans allowed negative

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Speaker 3: two hundred and seventy rushing yards over expectation to opposing

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Speaker 3: running backs, the fuse of the NFL third fewest over

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Speaker 3: the last six seasons. This run evens isn't just good,

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Speaker 3: it's historically good. You cannot run the football on the

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Speaker 3: Houston Texans. So with Aaron Jones again, he's banged up,

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Speaker 3: He's already in the committee with ty Chanlmon running even

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Speaker 3: sure who's going to see the most carries potentially in

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Speaker 3: this backfield, so I think the rushing yard again. I

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Speaker 3: love unders, right, I'm searching for runners. I go win

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Speaker 3: looking for unders. This one to me, Oh block of

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Speaker 3: the week, baby.

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Speaker 1: Let's go. You're making unders cool again.

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Speaker 3: I mean when you when you go into games realizing

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Speaker 3: that most NFL players are going to fail to meet expectations,

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Speaker 3: I think you'd come out in the green more often

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Speaker 3: than not.

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Speaker 1: You are you are. I think it's the fan in us,

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Speaker 1: and maybe the fantasy fan in us too. It always

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Speaker 1: wants things to be really good. But you know, if

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Speaker 1: you calculate the times in life where things are good,

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Speaker 1: you should be betting on the unders.

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Speaker 2: On the pessimistic outlook of betting, you're just like, well,

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Speaker 2: it's like.

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Speaker 1: It's not it's you know what. I don't think it's

390
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Speaker 1: a pessimistic. I think it's realistic.

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Speaker 2: And I think what you do.

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Speaker 1: Notice you take the opportunities where you see that glimmer

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Speaker 1: of happiness and then you jump on it and you

394
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Speaker 1: go all in and you hold the slash it.

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Speaker 2: Oh oh, smash smash. Not good. Everything is bad, everything

396
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Speaker 2: is it's emo emo. Ericsson is the under better.

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Speaker 1: This is the week that I bet on you.

398
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Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, I do like how Welsh on his under

399
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Speaker 3: he had to throw an over even when he was

400
00:18:00,640 --> 00:18:03,000
Speaker 3: betting an I but if you're gonna bet the sound

401
00:18:03,000 --> 00:18:04,879
Speaker 3: of you guys gonna bet these overs along with it.

402
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Speaker 2: Just by the way, I do love the Aaron Jones one.

403
00:18:07,600 --> 00:18:11,280
Speaker 2: This was the only other under besides Malik Willis passing

404
00:18:11,359 --> 00:18:13,520
Speaker 2: yards the three hundreds that I was paying attention to.

405
00:18:13,920 --> 00:18:16,359
Speaker 2: I was on this. It was that fifty yard Like

406
00:18:16,760 --> 00:18:19,120
Speaker 2: if it was like fifty two, I would have smashed

407
00:18:19,119 --> 00:18:21,439
Speaker 2: this with Aaron Jones. I still don't hate it. Just

408
00:18:21,520 --> 00:18:23,560
Speaker 2: exactly what you guys said before too. This is like

409
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Speaker 2: a committee. You don't really run on them. Aaron Jones

410
00:18:26,880 --> 00:18:29,560
Speaker 2: just Aaron Jones has some big playability, Like he could

411
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Speaker 2: have nine carries in this game. I know you don't do.

412
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Speaker 3: It to stop the optimism, well off the unders man.

413
00:18:35,200 --> 00:18:37,359
Speaker 3: You're like, oh, well he could do it. It's like, dude,

414
00:18:37,440 --> 00:18:39,840
Speaker 3: I could. We don't know what's gonna happen tomorrow.

415
00:18:39,880 --> 00:18:41,919
Speaker 2: Like I could give some candies and nuts, we'd all

416
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Speaker 2: have them Merry Christmas. Yeah, I get I guess.

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Speaker 1: So I'll have one more Emo related betting songs. I

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Speaker 1: just now my new obsession of stuff. Yeah, all right,

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00:18:49,800 --> 00:18:52,960
Speaker 1: let's get to us, get back to Welsh for another

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Speaker 1: forty nine er. This one though, I'm in on. I've

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Speaker 1: already bet it. I bet it early too. And then

422
00:18:58,040 --> 00:19:00,760
Speaker 1: with the Kittle news breaking yesterday where the practices was

423
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Speaker 1: an issue and now there's again questionable for Sunday. You're

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Speaker 1: more optimistic than I am about it because I think

425
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Speaker 1: they hold him back. With the way things are going there,

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Speaker 1: you could probably beat the Rams with you know, bring

427
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Speaker 1: up some college kids and go beat the Rams right

428
00:19:12,600 --> 00:19:15,639
Speaker 1: now with what's going on that offensive line. But Juwan Jennings,

429
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Speaker 1: I think is in a unique position here. And you

430
00:19:18,520 --> 00:19:21,080
Speaker 1: know that Perdy has shown the proclivity to look for

431
00:19:21,160 --> 00:19:22,760
Speaker 1: him in big spots, and he did it in the

432
00:19:22,760 --> 00:19:24,920
Speaker 1: Super Bowl. He's done at the playoffs in moments. So

433
00:19:25,000 --> 00:19:27,240
Speaker 1: it's not like it's not a hard sell for me

434
00:19:27,320 --> 00:19:30,239
Speaker 1: to see his numbers going over. But there has been

435
00:19:30,240 --> 00:19:31,720
Speaker 1: some movement, so let's talk about that.

436
00:19:31,920 --> 00:19:33,560
Speaker 2: Yeah, the movement is a scary thing, by the way,

437
00:19:33,800 --> 00:19:36,760
Speaker 2: not just the big games this year. Week one, when

438
00:19:36,760 --> 00:19:38,720
Speaker 2: Brandon Ayuk was limited, he had six targets. He had

439
00:19:38,720 --> 00:19:41,879
Speaker 2: a huge game. Big game Week two still had like

440
00:19:41,880 --> 00:19:44,159
Speaker 2: four targets in a couple of game, a couple catches.

441
00:19:44,200 --> 00:19:45,760
Speaker 2: He was a pretty big game. I mean it wasn't

442
00:19:45,760 --> 00:19:48,679
Speaker 2: like I could see them massive touchdowns. He was targeted

443
00:19:48,720 --> 00:19:51,480
Speaker 2: though in the in the end zone in that first game.

444
00:19:51,720 --> 00:19:55,399
Speaker 2: Rock pretty loves him. They love Juwan Jennings. Here is

445
00:19:55,440 --> 00:19:58,640
Speaker 2: the problem, little slight problem. This line has moved pretty dramatically.

446
00:19:59,040 --> 00:20:02,000
Speaker 2: I got this number out of very sexy thirty five

447
00:20:02,080 --> 00:20:05,000
Speaker 2: point five. I would have been willing to go. I mean,

448
00:20:05,040 --> 00:20:06,600
Speaker 2: I'm willing to go to this number. I'm gonna give

449
00:20:06,600 --> 00:20:08,920
Speaker 2: you as well. So if it drops, it all pay attention.

450
00:20:09,200 --> 00:20:12,639
Speaker 2: But when the kittle questionable news this rows up, I

451
00:20:12,640 --> 00:20:14,399
Speaker 2: think it's sitting at forty one point five right now.

452
00:20:14,480 --> 00:20:17,800
Speaker 2: Juwan Jennings over receiving yards. I will also throw in

453
00:20:17,800 --> 00:20:20,919
Speaker 2: the slight caveat the receptions might be the real pretty

454
00:20:20,920 --> 00:20:23,080
Speaker 2: one as well. I think it's three point five over

455
00:20:23,119 --> 00:20:25,840
Speaker 2: on the receptions, and he beat that in week one

456
00:20:26,240 --> 00:20:29,320
Speaker 2: under Perty, which is so good. So they love to

457
00:20:29,359 --> 00:20:31,879
Speaker 2: get the ball to Juwan Jennings. He is playing and

458
00:20:32,000 --> 00:20:37,000
Speaker 2: jumping right into the Deebo Samuel role, which that's what

459
00:20:37,119 --> 00:20:39,840
Speaker 2: I think completely changes, is he's gonna get targets. Ayuka

460
00:20:39,920 --> 00:20:41,880
Speaker 2: is gonna be a focal point for whatever the hell

461
00:20:41,920 --> 00:20:43,360
Speaker 2: the Rams are going to try to do with him,

462
00:20:43,680 --> 00:20:45,639
Speaker 2: and you're gonna they're gonna put him over the middle

463
00:20:45,880 --> 00:20:50,280
Speaker 2: if Kittle is out. This is a no brainer because

464
00:20:50,320 --> 00:20:53,359
Speaker 2: he's gonna take the full brunt of down the middle throws.

465
00:20:53,400 --> 00:20:54,879
Speaker 2: Which party is going to have a bunch of them.

466
00:20:54,920 --> 00:20:58,680
Speaker 2: It's a bad secondary defense. Really, all the Juwan Jenning

467
00:20:58,720 --> 00:21:00,640
Speaker 2: bets makes sense. I have a right does a wide

468
00:21:00,640 --> 00:21:04,280
Speaker 2: receiver three this week? Juwan Jennings. I'm smashing the bets.

469
00:21:04,400 --> 00:21:07,960
Speaker 2: I'm still gonna tail this forty one, forty two point five,

470
00:21:08,160 --> 00:21:10,240
Speaker 2: but I have it at a better number. You know what,

471
00:21:10,760 --> 00:21:12,960
Speaker 2: Maybe we'll play it up to sixty. Maybe we'll just

472
00:21:13,000 --> 00:21:15,399
Speaker 2: move that up. We'll get some plus money on Juwan Jennings.

473
00:21:15,400 --> 00:21:17,080
Speaker 1: Baby, Yeah, I feel good about this one.

474
00:21:17,280 --> 00:21:17,480
Speaker 2: Yeah.

475
00:21:18,520 --> 00:21:19,640
Speaker 3: Are we ready to do last?

476
00:21:20,119 --> 00:21:20,960
Speaker 1: I'm not there yet.

477
00:21:21,400 --> 00:21:25,000
Speaker 2: Ladder ladders with me? It's with me. No, I'm not.

478
00:21:25,600 --> 00:21:27,720
Speaker 1: I'm not doing that. I do.

479
00:21:30,480 --> 00:21:32,480
Speaker 3: I'd rather bet, I'd rather just I.

480
00:21:32,440 --> 00:21:35,000
Speaker 1: Don't know, man, I'm just nothing has hit me yet.

481
00:21:35,000 --> 00:21:37,440
Speaker 1: We're the perfect storm. We're very careful about the ladder betting.

482
00:21:37,440 --> 00:21:39,880
Speaker 1: Here we pick our spots two three times a year.

483
00:21:40,040 --> 00:21:43,360
Speaker 1: There hasn't been anything really yet that I've seen where

484
00:21:43,400 --> 00:21:45,480
Speaker 1: it's just the numbers are way off, the opportunity is

485
00:21:45,480 --> 00:21:48,160
Speaker 1: way big, and I just chase his numbers a little

486
00:21:48,200 --> 00:21:50,680
Speaker 1: high this week. It's in the eighties already, But I

487
00:21:50,760 --> 00:21:52,640
Speaker 1: think he's gonna smash that this week. Like I think

488
00:21:52,640 --> 00:21:55,320
Speaker 1: he's still gonna go way over. But like, there's nothing really,

489
00:21:55,720 --> 00:21:59,840
Speaker 1: nothing's really worked out quite yet here. All right, Ericson,

490
00:22:00,080 --> 00:22:02,720
Speaker 1: let's go back to you for your fourth pick here

491
00:22:02,800 --> 00:22:03,320
Speaker 1: for week.

492
00:22:03,160 --> 00:22:06,440
Speaker 3: Three, going with an over here Zamir White over fourteen

493
00:22:06,480 --> 00:22:09,760
Speaker 3: and a half rushing attempts slash carries. Look, I don't

494
00:22:09,800 --> 00:22:11,920
Speaker 3: think that the Raiders should try to establish the run

495
00:22:11,960 --> 00:22:13,960
Speaker 3: because their offense has kind of been fun with Lukeetzi

496
00:22:14,040 --> 00:22:16,160
Speaker 3: calling a lot of these short quick passes with Brock

497
00:22:16,200 --> 00:22:19,720
Speaker 3: Bowers and Devanta Adams. But head coach Antonio Pierce has

498
00:22:19,760 --> 00:22:22,359
Speaker 3: other ideas. He's been disappointed by the lack of rushing

499
00:22:22,440 --> 00:22:25,200
Speaker 3: in this new zone blocking scheme, and he is set

500
00:22:25,240 --> 00:22:28,320
Speaker 3: out to make it his goal, his mission in life

501
00:22:28,359 --> 00:22:30,880
Speaker 3: in this game. Not to win, No, it's to get

502
00:22:30,920 --> 00:22:34,040
Speaker 3: some mere White twenty touches. That's all this man wants

503
00:22:34,280 --> 00:22:37,879
Speaker 3: is to get some mere White twenty touches at what

504
00:22:38,080 --> 00:22:40,840
Speaker 3: cost I don't know, potentially winning this game covering the

505
00:22:40,880 --> 00:22:42,960
Speaker 3: five and a half points spread. Honestly, it could happen.

506
00:22:43,080 --> 00:22:45,600
Speaker 3: But Samir White's going to get at least fifteen carries

507
00:22:45,600 --> 00:22:47,720
Speaker 3: in this game, and it could be for thirty yards

508
00:22:47,720 --> 00:22:49,280
Speaker 3: because I don't think that he's actually going to be

509
00:22:49,320 --> 00:22:51,720
Speaker 3: effective even against his Carolina Panthers run defense, which is

510
00:22:51,760 --> 00:22:54,399
Speaker 3: why I'm taking the over on attempts and not rushing

511
00:22:54,440 --> 00:22:57,359
Speaker 3: yards because I don't think White really fits this scheme

512
00:22:57,480 --> 00:23:00,480
Speaker 3: but into a high number two. Yeah, I'm not touching

513
00:23:00,560 --> 00:23:04,280
Speaker 3: the yardage, but with the carries the usage, Antonio Pierce

514
00:23:04,320 --> 00:23:06,680
Speaker 3: is doubling down like he's seen Zameier White struggle rushing

515
00:23:06,680 --> 00:23:08,520
Speaker 3: the ball the last two weeks, and he still wants

516
00:23:08,520 --> 00:23:10,879
Speaker 3: to give this guy twenty carries. So it could be

517
00:23:10,880 --> 00:23:12,880
Speaker 3: a twenty for like I said, twenty carries for forty

518
00:23:12,960 --> 00:23:16,040
Speaker 3: yards and maybe a touchdown. But that's why I like

519
00:23:16,080 --> 00:23:19,080
Speaker 3: the over here Again, the projections have him slayd for

520
00:23:19,160 --> 00:23:21,880
Speaker 3: sixteen rushing attempts, so at fourteen and a half, I'm

521
00:23:21,920 --> 00:23:23,960
Speaker 3: taking the over, especially against Carolina, it's.

522
00:23:23,840 --> 00:23:26,000
Speaker 2: Like fifty eight point five. I think was a rushing yard,

523
00:23:26,080 --> 00:23:29,200
Speaker 2: like based on what he's done not Yeah, it doesn't equate.

524
00:23:29,240 --> 00:23:31,720
Speaker 2: The yards don't equate to his production so far. But

525
00:23:31,920 --> 00:23:35,840
Speaker 2: that's the weird thing when the betting market is anticipating

526
00:23:36,359 --> 00:23:39,760
Speaker 2: the coach speak or the potential breakout that hasn't even happened,

527
00:23:39,760 --> 00:23:41,560
Speaker 2: and that's what's like, what happening was Zamir White? Like,

528
00:23:41,600 --> 00:23:44,240
Speaker 2: the production does not equate to the numbers that you

529
00:23:44,320 --> 00:23:46,320
Speaker 2: have to bet this week. So you're playing I think

530
00:23:46,359 --> 00:23:48,359
Speaker 2: you're playing it a lot safer. I'm down with how

531
00:23:48,400 --> 00:23:49,080
Speaker 2: you're taking it.

532
00:23:49,320 --> 00:23:51,679
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean I think I don't. I'm not afraid.

533
00:23:51,680 --> 00:23:53,600
Speaker 3: Again you can talk about how you're afraid of Aaron Jones.

534
00:23:53,600 --> 00:23:54,960
Speaker 3: All he can rip off a big run. Is like,

535
00:23:55,320 --> 00:23:58,240
Speaker 3: I'm not concerned whatsoever. Zama White's gonna rip off a

536
00:23:58,240 --> 00:24:00,600
Speaker 3: big if anything, all these like badr is gonna just

537
00:24:00,600 --> 00:24:02,840
Speaker 3: give him more carries. He's gonna get stuffed over and

538
00:24:02,880 --> 00:24:03,320
Speaker 3: over again.

539
00:24:03,400 --> 00:24:06,000
Speaker 2: Let's fumbles again, Let's see fumbles again again.

540
00:24:06,080 --> 00:24:10,359
Speaker 1: Yeah, here here's fun emo betting song. Ready uh or lyric?

541
00:24:10,480 --> 00:24:12,600
Speaker 1: How about this one? Uh? You gave me the hook

542
00:24:13,280 --> 00:24:16,440
Speaker 1: and you hooked my heart. Ah, we got more betting

543
00:24:16,440 --> 00:24:20,200
Speaker 1: stuff in there. You gave you hook and it hooked

544
00:24:20,240 --> 00:24:21,880
Speaker 1: in my soul.

545
00:24:22,400 --> 00:24:25,520
Speaker 2: Oh yeah, we should use it. That's so awful. We

546
00:24:25,520 --> 00:24:28,800
Speaker 2: should use my Remember that AI program I used?

547
00:24:30,480 --> 00:24:35,399
Speaker 1: Yeah, I should be yeah betting under love it. All right,

548
00:24:35,880 --> 00:24:38,439
Speaker 1: let's close things out here with the fifth pick for

549
00:24:38,480 --> 00:24:40,200
Speaker 1: the boys, and then we'll get to our touchdown calls

550
00:24:40,240 --> 00:24:43,040
Speaker 1: for the week. All right, so let's start with something

551
00:24:43,040 --> 00:24:45,360
Speaker 1: fun here. Well, should put a little something fun here

552
00:24:45,440 --> 00:24:46,520
Speaker 1: for the kids.

553
00:24:46,520 --> 00:24:52,399
Speaker 2: My hearts and my bets are all under I'm actually

554
00:24:52,400 --> 00:24:54,320
Speaker 2: go well, you said this is fun. I'm gonna adjust

555
00:24:54,320 --> 00:24:55,719
Speaker 2: this a tiny bit, but I'll give you what the

556
00:24:55,720 --> 00:24:59,440
Speaker 2: fun side was is. I had a reception prop for everybody,

557
00:24:59,800 --> 00:25:03,119
Speaker 2: h two guys to go over receptions. My official bet

558
00:25:03,200 --> 00:25:04,959
Speaker 2: is going to lay on one of the players. So

559
00:25:04,960 --> 00:25:08,280
Speaker 2: the bet was Travis Kelce over four and a half

560
00:25:08,280 --> 00:25:14,040
Speaker 2: receptions plus Deontay Johnson over three point five receptions. That

561
00:25:14,160 --> 00:25:18,040
Speaker 2: bet was built around Deontay Johnson because they juice the

562
00:25:18,160 --> 00:25:20,840
Speaker 2: hell out of that prop. That reception prop is like

563
00:25:20,880 --> 00:25:24,320
Speaker 2: minus one seventy. Well, the books just adjusted for the

564
00:25:24,320 --> 00:25:26,920
Speaker 2: most part and it's now plus money over four and

565
00:25:26,960 --> 00:25:28,760
Speaker 2: a half, which I like a little bit less I

566
00:25:28,800 --> 00:25:30,480
Speaker 2: like Andy Dalton to be able to sling the ball.

567
00:25:30,560 --> 00:25:33,719
Speaker 2: So my official bet though is I want to stick

568
00:25:34,000 --> 00:25:37,119
Speaker 2: with Travis kelcey on this one on the receptions, and

569
00:25:37,160 --> 00:25:40,760
Speaker 2: he has been atrocious to start the year. But Falcons

570
00:25:40,800 --> 00:25:43,800
Speaker 2: defense so far is allowing five point five receptions. Two

571
00:25:43,920 --> 00:25:47,400
Speaker 2: tight ends so far this year. That was against Pittsburgh

572
00:25:47,440 --> 00:25:49,720
Speaker 2: and Philly. Just want to point out those are those

573
00:25:49,760 --> 00:25:53,879
Speaker 2: tight ends. Here was a stat since twenty sixteen, Travis

574
00:25:53,960 --> 00:25:58,600
Speaker 2: kelce never had three games where he caught under four

575
00:25:59,000 --> 00:26:04,600
Speaker 2: passes sy sixteen and only one time since twenty sixteen

576
00:26:04,920 --> 00:26:07,160
Speaker 2: did he have three games where he had less than

577
00:26:07,720 --> 00:26:10,840
Speaker 2: five catches in three straight games. So the point is

578
00:26:11,119 --> 00:26:15,240
Speaker 2: he doesn't stack these bad games back to back to back.

579
00:26:15,280 --> 00:26:17,399
Speaker 2: He has had two really bad games. This is like

580
00:26:17,440 --> 00:26:22,040
Speaker 2: twenty fifteen era stuff. You could argue he's old, he's done,

581
00:26:22,160 --> 00:26:23,200
Speaker 2: it's not going to happen.

582
00:26:23,760 --> 00:26:25,359
Speaker 1: You can make moments and I mentioned there was a

583
00:26:25,400 --> 00:26:28,040
Speaker 1: Debra in the live shoam on FPS right. There were

584
00:26:28,640 --> 00:26:30,200
Speaker 1: at least last week too. I can't remember if it

585
00:26:30,280 --> 00:26:32,359
Speaker 1: was week one, but there was a big play called

586
00:26:32,359 --> 00:26:34,400
Speaker 1: back too that was to Kelsey, like all of a sudden,

587
00:26:34,440 --> 00:26:36,360
Speaker 1: Some of those big plays that got called back because

588
00:26:36,359 --> 00:26:38,640
Speaker 1: of holding penalties and things like that. So the adamage

589
00:26:38,640 --> 00:26:40,959
Speaker 1: at the statute, things don't look so bad anymore. So

590
00:26:41,040 --> 00:26:42,960
Speaker 1: he hasn't had any of the benefit of that doubt

591
00:26:43,040 --> 00:26:44,160
Speaker 1: yet come his way at all.

592
00:26:44,359 --> 00:26:46,760
Speaker 2: I'm betting the under on the steel rushing. We've talked

593
00:26:46,760 --> 00:26:50,000
Speaker 2: about this game maybe getting in the air more since again,

594
00:26:50,040 --> 00:26:53,399
Speaker 2: since twenty sixteen, he has not had three straight games

595
00:26:53,400 --> 00:26:56,440
Speaker 2: where he has had under five receptions in all three games.

596
00:26:56,440 --> 00:26:59,479
Speaker 2: It's over eight years. I don't think the Falcons are

597
00:26:59,480 --> 00:27:01,919
Speaker 2: going to make that the first time in that period

598
00:27:01,960 --> 00:27:04,520
Speaker 2: of time. They average over five, and you're getting four

599
00:27:04,520 --> 00:27:06,879
Speaker 2: point five over on the Travis kelce reception. So if

600
00:27:06,920 --> 00:27:10,040
Speaker 2: you want to have fun, pair Kelcey with something. I

601
00:27:10,040 --> 00:27:11,800
Speaker 2: don't even hate the feeling one that's still at three

602
00:27:11,800 --> 00:27:14,000
Speaker 2: point five. But Deontay is where I'm going with Andy Dalton.

603
00:27:14,320 --> 00:27:17,359
Speaker 2: But I think the easy safe play here, Travis Kelcey

604
00:27:17,440 --> 00:27:21,720
Speaker 2: over receptions gets back right against that Falcons defense. I'm

605
00:27:21,760 --> 00:27:26,399
Speaker 2: taking that one. Travis Kelcey receptions over. My heart's for

606
00:27:26,480 --> 00:27:27,000
Speaker 2: the over.

607
00:27:27,480 --> 00:27:30,680
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think Kelsey is due and too. Again, I

608
00:27:30,760 --> 00:27:32,479
Speaker 1: keep coming back to that game. I think it's going

609
00:27:32,520 --> 00:27:34,280
Speaker 1: to be a shootout at the end of the day,

610
00:27:34,280 --> 00:27:36,680
Speaker 1: I really do. All right, let's get to ericson your

611
00:27:36,760 --> 00:27:41,320
Speaker 1: final prop bet for a week five? Ah, week three?

612
00:27:41,320 --> 00:27:42,920
Speaker 1: What am I saying? It's a fifth pick for week three?

613
00:27:42,960 --> 00:27:45,320
Speaker 3: That's going it's well, it's it might as.

614
00:27:45,280 --> 00:27:47,560
Speaker 1: Well season over. The season is over already, man. I

615
00:27:47,560 --> 00:27:50,679
Speaker 1: couldn't even believe it when fall just started. Baby, Let's

616
00:27:50,720 --> 00:27:54,040
Speaker 1: go all right. Number five for me is Ezekiel Elliott again.

617
00:27:54,240 --> 00:27:56,399
Speaker 1: I'm I'm rushing. I'm betting on the unders on these

618
00:27:56,480 --> 00:27:58,760
Speaker 1: dusty old running backs. Ezekie la under thirty two and

619
00:27:58,760 --> 00:28:01,840
Speaker 1: a half rushing yard. Week one it was a two

620
00:28:01,920 --> 00:28:05,440
Speaker 1: A committee between Zeke Elliot Rico Daddle. Week two turned

621
00:28:05,440 --> 00:28:08,399
Speaker 1: in two A three A committee between Rico Daddle, Douce Vaughn,

622
00:28:08,480 --> 00:28:11,480
Speaker 1: and Ezekielli. Rico Daddle actually started last week's game for

623
00:28:11,520 --> 00:28:14,240
Speaker 1: the Dallas Cowboys. He had seven carries for thirty yards.

624
00:28:14,359 --> 00:28:18,160
Speaker 1: Zeke had six carries for sixteen yards. Look, this Ravens

625
00:28:18,400 --> 00:28:20,320
Speaker 1: defense is great against the run. If you look at

626
00:28:20,320 --> 00:28:23,080
Speaker 1: the two running running backs that they have faced this season,

627
00:28:23,520 --> 00:28:26,760
Speaker 1: both have gone under their rushing yard projection by more

628
00:28:26,800 --> 00:28:30,240
Speaker 1: than thirteen yards. So in a committee on a Dallas

629
00:28:30,240 --> 00:28:33,719
Speaker 1: offense that has shown zero ability to run the football whatsoever,

630
00:28:34,520 --> 00:28:36,520
Speaker 1: and Elliott being a player that I'm not afraid. Oh

631
00:28:36,560 --> 00:28:38,920
Speaker 1: well if he gets into space, Oh he's gonna rip

632
00:28:38,920 --> 00:28:41,000
Speaker 1: off a big run. No, he's just going to fall down.

633
00:28:41,320 --> 00:28:43,760
Speaker 3: So I think that the under here with Ezekiel Elliot

634
00:28:43,800 --> 00:28:46,080
Speaker 3: under thirty two and a half rushing yards. Again, I

635
00:28:46,080 --> 00:28:49,080
Speaker 3: think that betting unders, especially in these tougher matchups. Game

636
00:28:49,120 --> 00:28:51,400
Speaker 3: script doesn't work in his favor either. If they fall

637
00:28:51,440 --> 00:28:53,680
Speaker 3: behind against the Ravens, then they're trying to run the

638
00:28:53,720 --> 00:28:56,640
Speaker 3: ball at all. So yeah, I'm going under on Zeke

639
00:28:56,680 --> 00:28:59,120
Speaker 3: thirty two and a half rushing yards against the Ravens.

640
00:28:58,840 --> 00:29:00,320
Speaker 2: You know, the one thing like you've done, but with

641
00:29:00,320 --> 00:29:02,560
Speaker 2: your other running backs, I do disagree a little bit

642
00:29:02,560 --> 00:29:05,120
Speaker 2: in like Aaron Jones can bust a big play, Smir

643
00:29:05,160 --> 00:29:09,160
Speaker 2: White can deamere. White's built on speed, Elliott's not. You're

644
00:29:09,200 --> 00:29:12,360
Speaker 2: on a percent, right, Elliott's not. We're not getting some

645
00:29:12,440 --> 00:29:17,120
Speaker 2: big break, explosive boom, broke through through three guys and

646
00:29:17,240 --> 00:29:20,240
Speaker 2: is gonna go fifty yards. This one. Completely agree on

647
00:29:20,280 --> 00:29:22,760
Speaker 2: that explosive play and happening with Elliott.

648
00:29:22,840 --> 00:29:25,040
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm with you, and I think you're gonna start

649
00:29:25,080 --> 00:29:27,440
Speaker 1: to see more Rico Dawdle in the weeks ahead, and

650
00:29:27,520 --> 00:29:30,160
Speaker 1: a lot less Ezekiel Elliott as time goes by. All right,

651
00:29:30,320 --> 00:29:32,840
Speaker 1: let's get to the touchdown calls. Quick reminder, if you're

652
00:29:32,880 --> 00:29:36,160
Speaker 1: watching here on the YouTube channel, subscribe right away here.

653
00:29:36,280 --> 00:29:38,360
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655
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Speaker 1: the corner. We'll be giving it all to you, including

657
00:29:45,880 --> 00:29:48,280
Speaker 1: the daily juice, every single day right here on the

658
00:29:48,280 --> 00:29:51,360
Speaker 1: Betting Pros YouTube channel. So subscribe and be along with

659
00:29:51,440 --> 00:29:53,360
Speaker 1: us for the ride. And I see all the views

660
00:29:53,400 --> 00:29:55,680
Speaker 1: I see your watching, so thank you to everyone who's

661
00:29:55,720 --> 00:29:59,280
Speaker 1: winning with us. Let's get to the touchdown calls here, Welsh,

662
00:29:59,400 --> 00:30:02,120
Speaker 1: let's kick things off with your first selection. Wouldn't you

663
00:30:02,200 --> 00:30:03,320
Speaker 1: know what? It's a forty nine er.

664
00:30:03,640 --> 00:30:05,520
Speaker 2: Do you want me to do both or just one?

665
00:30:05,640 --> 00:30:07,840
Speaker 1: You can do both? You know what, Let's let you

666
00:30:07,920 --> 00:30:08,360
Speaker 1: do both.

667
00:30:08,680 --> 00:30:10,600
Speaker 2: Thanks so much. I wish I got to the sheet

668
00:30:10,680 --> 00:30:12,880
Speaker 2: first too, by the way, because I want just everyone

669
00:30:12,880 --> 00:30:15,400
Speaker 2: to know. The one you're gonna say is my number

670
00:30:15,400 --> 00:30:17,800
Speaker 2: one touchdown call? Your second one you have on the

671
00:30:17,840 --> 00:30:20,720
Speaker 2: second one, yeah, yeah, it's a number one touchdown call

672
00:30:20,800 --> 00:30:23,280
Speaker 2: this week. I've already bet it. I have. I don't

673
00:30:23,320 --> 00:30:25,040
Speaker 2: do a lot of touchdown calls. It's my favorite of

674
00:30:25,080 --> 00:30:27,160
Speaker 2: the week. But my other two, I'm gonna go with

675
00:30:27,320 --> 00:30:31,959
Speaker 2: two over two hundred plus two hundred bets here. Number one,

676
00:30:32,080 --> 00:30:34,000
Speaker 2: we're gonna go back to Juwan Jennings and everything I said.

677
00:30:34,040 --> 00:30:36,120
Speaker 2: I think brock perty is going over one point five.

678
00:30:36,320 --> 00:30:39,040
Speaker 2: Juwan Jennings has already in the red zone when they're

679
00:30:39,040 --> 00:30:41,440
Speaker 2: throwing the ball in Game one, they've already targeted him.

680
00:30:41,640 --> 00:30:44,760
Speaker 2: He's that middle play. He's a touchdown guy. And hey,

681
00:30:44,880 --> 00:30:47,080
Speaker 2: they don't have Deebo Samuel in there. Deebo Samuel has

682
00:30:47,080 --> 00:30:48,840
Speaker 2: been one of their big red zone guys. Obviously, they're

683
00:30:48,840 --> 00:30:51,800
Speaker 2: gonna try to run it with Jordan Mason. I think

684
00:30:51,640 --> 00:30:53,320
Speaker 2: you gets a little bit more locked down and short

685
00:30:53,360 --> 00:30:55,600
Speaker 2: yardage stuff. Jennings doesn't because they'd like to put them

686
00:30:55,680 --> 00:30:58,120
Speaker 2: or over the middle. You can get Juwan Jennings right

687
00:30:58,160 --> 00:31:01,720
Speaker 2: now at plus two sixty five for an anytime touchdown.

688
00:31:01,880 --> 00:31:05,480
Speaker 2: And then my other one is going up for Vegas

689
00:31:05,720 --> 00:31:08,240
Speaker 2: and it is all about Brock Bowers it's gonna be

690
00:31:08,280 --> 00:31:12,000
Speaker 2: Brock Bowers plus two ten going up against Carolina. He

691
00:31:12,080 --> 00:31:14,920
Speaker 2: was the number one target on this team, even when

692
00:31:14,920 --> 00:31:18,080
Speaker 2: DeVante Adams is floating around there. He's gonna be seven

693
00:31:18,160 --> 00:31:20,880
Speaker 2: eight targets a game. I think they're gonna be scoring

694
00:31:20,960 --> 00:31:23,000
Speaker 2: quite a few touchdowns. There might even be some air

695
00:31:23,080 --> 00:31:25,000
Speaker 2: raid going on if Andy Dalton is a fishing in

696
00:31:25,040 --> 00:31:26,880
Speaker 2: this and then Brock Bowers is gonna be one of

697
00:31:26,880 --> 00:31:29,200
Speaker 2: those guys that's targeted, gonna score a touchdown. My two

698
00:31:29,800 --> 00:31:32,160
Speaker 2: plus two hundred touchdown calls of the day.

699
00:31:32,880 --> 00:31:36,040
Speaker 1: All right, So there you go, Bowers and Jennings Erickson,

700
00:31:36,120 --> 00:31:37,760
Speaker 1: give me some touchdowns for we three.

701
00:31:38,120 --> 00:31:41,120
Speaker 3: I'd go with the l low hanging fruit. Josh Jacobs

702
00:31:41,160 --> 00:31:43,160
Speaker 3: minus one p thirty just.

703
00:31:43,360 --> 00:31:45,600
Speaker 1: So close, so close to getting through a whole show

704
00:31:45,600 --> 00:31:46,120
Speaker 1: without the fruit.

705
00:31:46,240 --> 00:31:48,640
Speaker 3: So close score against the Tennessee Titans. Look, he leads

706
00:31:48,680 --> 00:31:50,720
Speaker 3: the NFL in red zone carries without a touchdown. He

707
00:31:50,720 --> 00:31:53,040
Speaker 3: has seven red zone carries scored last week, but he

708
00:31:53,120 --> 00:31:55,280
Speaker 3: fumbled the ball. Won't happen two weeks in a row

709
00:31:55,280 --> 00:31:57,480
Speaker 3: in the Milik Willis Revenge game. Gonna go with Josh

710
00:31:57,520 --> 00:31:59,640
Speaker 3: Shacobs to score a touchdown and then my more long

711
00:31:59,640 --> 00:32:02,160
Speaker 3: shot touchdown bet is actually cool, Herbert. You know, it's

712
00:32:02,160 --> 00:32:03,960
Speaker 3: a great matchup on the ground for the Bears against

713
00:32:04,000 --> 00:32:06,720
Speaker 3: this horrible Colts run defense. But what are the Bears

714
00:32:06,720 --> 00:32:09,200
Speaker 3: shown us through two weeks. They don't really trust DeAndre

715
00:32:09,240 --> 00:32:12,320
Speaker 3: Swift in those short distance rushing attempts. So Herbert scored

716
00:32:12,440 --> 00:32:14,719
Speaker 3: last week as the red zone back for the Bears.

717
00:32:15,080 --> 00:32:16,480
Speaker 3: I think that they could take out Swift if they

718
00:32:16,560 --> 00:32:18,320
Speaker 3: get near the goal line. Put Herbert in, I think

719
00:32:18,360 --> 00:32:20,440
Speaker 3: he's gonna score a plus three eighty out love those odds.

720
00:32:20,600 --> 00:32:23,000
Speaker 1: Okay, there you go, everybody. Those are two from Mericks

721
00:32:23,040 --> 00:32:25,600
Speaker 1: and for me, I'm going with Tyreek Kill plus one

722
00:32:25,640 --> 00:32:29,280
Speaker 1: seventy five. Everyone is just counting out the Dolphins, and

723
00:32:29,480 --> 00:32:31,360
Speaker 1: I don't know if I'm there yet. I'm not sure

724
00:32:31,400 --> 00:32:33,360
Speaker 1: if I'm sold on the Seattle Seahawks just because they

725
00:32:33,360 --> 00:32:36,560
Speaker 1: play Denver and the Patriots so far as this like

726
00:32:36,680 --> 00:32:39,640
Speaker 1: vaunted defense, maybe they are. We'll find out now. They

727
00:32:39,680 --> 00:32:43,840
Speaker 1: are getting the Dolphins without too but I still think

728
00:32:43,880 --> 00:32:45,880
Speaker 1: Tyreek Kill can score a touchdown. They're getting a great

729
00:32:45,960 --> 00:32:47,840
Speaker 1: number on Tyreek Kill, a guy that sometimes in a

730
00:32:47,880 --> 00:32:50,200
Speaker 1: negative You're getting a plus one seventy five I can't

731
00:32:50,200 --> 00:32:52,720
Speaker 1: say no to that. He is too explosive, he's too good,

732
00:32:53,120 --> 00:32:55,200
Speaker 1: and it's too much of an US against the world mentality.

733
00:32:55,200 --> 00:32:57,280
Speaker 1: With some extra rest too. Love that too, They've got

734
00:32:57,320 --> 00:33:00,280
Speaker 1: some extra time off. That's a dangerous thing for a

735
00:33:00,320 --> 00:33:02,880
Speaker 1: team with speed and the guy that I is gonna

736
00:33:02,880 --> 00:33:05,840
Speaker 1: absolutely smash in week three. Give me all the Burrow

737
00:33:05,920 --> 00:33:09,320
Speaker 1: along with Jamar Chase. Jamar Chase plus one ten to

738
00:33:09,360 --> 00:33:11,920
Speaker 1: score a touchdown. I'm over on his eighty one and

739
00:33:11,920 --> 00:33:14,680
Speaker 1: a half number as well, even though it's a high number.

740
00:33:14,720 --> 00:33:16,560
Speaker 1: I think this is the time against the Washington Commander

741
00:33:16,600 --> 00:33:20,160
Speaker 1: secondary that's been terrible this year. That's just the coming

742
00:33:20,200 --> 00:33:23,080
Speaker 1: out party. I mean, if you're gonna keep talking Cincinnati Bengals,

743
00:33:23,120 --> 00:33:25,120
Speaker 1: you gotta start walking. And I think this is when

744
00:33:25,120 --> 00:33:29,000
Speaker 1: the walk begins. Week three for Joe Burrow and the Bengals.

745
00:33:29,280 --> 00:33:32,280
Speaker 1: Monday Night, let's go, and I think Chase is going

746
00:33:32,320 --> 00:33:34,480
Speaker 1: to absolutely smash. I might even go two touchdowns for

747
00:33:34,520 --> 00:33:36,960
Speaker 1: chasing this one too, if you're feeling frisky. So lots

748
00:33:37,000 --> 00:33:39,280
Speaker 1: of ways to make money there. And speaking of touchdowns,

749
00:33:39,480 --> 00:33:42,720
Speaker 1: our touchdown score report at bettingpros dot com slash Touchdown

750
00:33:43,280 --> 00:33:45,160
Speaker 1: is available right now so if you're looking for an

751
00:33:45,280 --> 00:33:47,960
Speaker 1: edge and touchdown bets, our Touchdown Score Report comes with

752
00:33:48,240 --> 00:33:53,200
Speaker 1: anytime touchdown stats to prop bets, odds and projections as

753
00:33:53,240 --> 00:33:56,400
Speaker 1: well to help identify the best anytime touchdown bets that

754
00:33:56,400 --> 00:33:59,080
Speaker 1: you're gonna find. So head over to Bettingpros dot com

755
00:33:59,280 --> 00:34:04,160
Speaker 1: slash touchdown for the latest touchdown prop analysis today. All right, everybody,

756
00:34:04,280 --> 00:34:07,760
Speaker 1: have a great week. Three boys, good luck with all

757
00:34:07,800 --> 00:34:10,640
Speaker 1: of your bets, and of course don't forget to subscribe

758
00:34:10,680 --> 00:34:12,760
Speaker 1: to the channel everybody who's watching, and drop your comments

759
00:34:12,800 --> 00:34:14,719
Speaker 1: below and bring the bell till it goes ding right

760
00:34:14,760 --> 00:34:17,280
Speaker 1: here on Betting Pros. We'll be back again next week

761
00:34:17,400 --> 00:34:19,000
Speaker 1: to do it all again. That'll do it for us,

762
00:34:19,040 --> 00:34:20,759
Speaker 1: But the story of the game goes on for the

763
00:34:20,840 --> 00:34:23,480
Speaker 1: Undertaker in the Welsh I'm Joey p. We'll see you

764
00:34:23,520 --> 00:34:23,919
Speaker 1: next time.

765
00:34:24,000 --> 00:34:24,320
Speaker 2: Kids.

766
00:34:25,480 --> 00:34:28,120
Speaker 4: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you

767
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769
00:34:34,239 --> 00:34:36,880
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770
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