1
00:00:00,240 --> 00:00:15,640
Speaker 1: It's time to place your bets. Let's talk to the pros.

2
00:00:15,840 --> 00:00:18,400
Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to betting pros. It is week eight

3
00:00:18,480 --> 00:00:21,560
Speaker 1: in the college football season, and it's time to talk

4
00:00:21,600 --> 00:00:25,279
Speaker 1: about the primetime games, the wagers we like, the leans,

5
00:00:25,320 --> 00:00:27,960
Speaker 1: and everything in between. Also recap a little bit of

6
00:00:27,960 --> 00:00:31,400
Speaker 1: what happened last week in college football. Always very eventful,

7
00:00:31,720 --> 00:00:34,360
Speaker 1: always an ever changing landscape, that's for sure. And of

8
00:00:34,360 --> 00:00:35,879
Speaker 1: course to break it all down with me is the

9
00:00:35,880 --> 00:00:40,320
Speaker 1: one the only Scott Bogman from betting pros. What is up, Bogs?

10
00:00:40,320 --> 00:00:41,200
Speaker 1: How are you doing tonight?

11
00:00:42,159 --> 00:00:44,400
Speaker 2: You want me to lament about the one I missed

12
00:00:44,479 --> 00:00:46,560
Speaker 2: last week six and four? Last week six and four,

13
00:00:47,000 --> 00:00:51,360
Speaker 2: I was two extra points missed away from being seven

14
00:00:51,400 --> 00:00:54,000
Speaker 2: and three because I had the over on the Georgia

15
00:00:54,080 --> 00:00:56,880
Speaker 2: game at forty four and a half and it ended

16
00:00:56,960 --> 00:01:02,520
Speaker 2: thirty to thirteen with two missed points. So that is

17
00:01:02,920 --> 00:01:05,600
Speaker 2: I mean, that's what happens in college football. Man. It's

18
00:01:05,680 --> 00:01:09,240
Speaker 2: college kids are all over the place. So but look,

19
00:01:09,280 --> 00:01:12,800
Speaker 2: this is what we learned. Georgia is by far and

20
00:01:12,920 --> 00:01:15,560
Speaker 2: away the best team in the country. I don't think

21
00:01:15,600 --> 00:01:17,800
Speaker 2: it's even close. I don't think you could call it close.

22
00:01:18,200 --> 00:01:21,160
Speaker 2: The only reason they let Kentucky score thirteen is because

23
00:01:21,200 --> 00:01:23,920
Speaker 2: they let in a touchdown on that last drive with

24
00:01:23,959 --> 00:01:26,080
Speaker 2: no time left in the on the clock after our

25
00:01:26,120 --> 00:01:31,240
Speaker 2: penalty and all that stuff. So Georgia was absolutely dominant.

26
00:01:31,240 --> 00:01:32,400
Speaker 2: Did you get to see any of that one?

27
00:01:33,040 --> 00:01:35,039
Speaker 1: I got so a little bit of it. Actually did

28
00:01:35,040 --> 00:01:36,959
Speaker 1: see a little bit of it. I saw enough of

29
00:01:37,080 --> 00:01:41,680
Speaker 1: Iowa also, which is you know, we talked about being

30
00:01:41,720 --> 00:01:45,160
Speaker 1: a trap game. They went from two to eleven. Yeah,

31
00:01:45,200 --> 00:01:48,760
Speaker 1: so that happened, and it was it was so obvious

32
00:01:48,800 --> 00:01:50,400
Speaker 1: that it was going to happen that it just felt

33
00:01:50,400 --> 00:01:52,760
Speaker 1: like it was just easy money. And at the same

34
00:01:52,840 --> 00:01:56,920
Speaker 1: time you're looking at it, you go still again, really, Iowa,

35
00:01:57,040 --> 00:01:58,800
Speaker 1: But you know what I mean, I guess we should

36
00:01:58,880 --> 00:02:00,480
Speaker 1: know better. I mean, we talked about it, so I

37
00:02:00,480 --> 00:02:02,600
Speaker 1: guess we did know better. But at the same time,

38
00:02:02,640 --> 00:02:04,440
Speaker 1: I mean, this is the difference between I think those

39
00:02:04,560 --> 00:02:06,680
Speaker 1: those big time programs in the programs that always kind

40
00:02:06,680 --> 00:02:07,200
Speaker 1: of knocking into.

41
00:02:07,080 --> 00:02:09,400
Speaker 2: The door I had Iowa, I wrote them up to

42
00:02:09,440 --> 00:02:12,400
Speaker 2: win this game, and but I shouldn't known better because

43
00:02:12,440 --> 00:02:13,200
Speaker 2: Purdue does.

44
00:02:13,919 --> 00:02:15,120
Speaker 3: They'll they'll beat I think.

45
00:02:15,680 --> 00:02:17,160
Speaker 1: Well, then I guess I was the one who's right

46
00:02:17,200 --> 00:02:19,000
Speaker 1: because I told you this sound like a letdown to me.

47
00:02:19,240 --> 00:02:22,880
Speaker 2: The third time, the third time that Iowa has beat

48
00:02:23,000 --> 00:02:26,080
Speaker 2: the number two ranked team or better in that country

49
00:02:26,400 --> 00:02:29,840
Speaker 2: in the last I think six seasons or something like that.

50
00:02:30,160 --> 00:02:31,960
Speaker 3: It's just insane.

51
00:02:32,040 --> 00:02:35,360
Speaker 2: But Georgia, so the athletic did a straw pole of

52
00:02:35,400 --> 00:02:40,080
Speaker 2: Heisman voters, and Jordan Davis, their defensive tackle is like

53
00:02:40,800 --> 00:02:44,640
Speaker 2: fourth in Heisman voting right now. So and because we

54
00:02:44,760 --> 00:02:48,760
Speaker 2: just don't have a clear cut Heisman winner at this point, I.

55
00:02:48,720 --> 00:02:52,320
Speaker 1: Mean, there has been a transcendent quarterback. There hasn't you guess.

56
00:02:52,160 --> 00:02:54,160
Speaker 3: The top three do you think?

57
00:02:54,919 --> 00:02:57,360
Speaker 1: Gosh, you know, I don't even know at this point.

58
00:02:57,400 --> 00:03:00,600
Speaker 3: I feel like your boy Bryce Young would be third

59
00:03:00,800 --> 00:03:01,040
Speaker 3: on that.

60
00:03:01,160 --> 00:03:03,239
Speaker 1: Oh see then if yeah, and right off the bat,

61
00:03:03,240 --> 00:03:05,720
Speaker 1: it's wrong. Like I mean, I was gonna say, they

62
00:03:05,800 --> 00:03:07,920
Speaker 1: probably put Bryce Young in the conversation, but they shouldn't

63
00:03:07,960 --> 00:03:09,799
Speaker 1: because that's that's ridiculous. I don't think they have a

64
00:03:09,840 --> 00:03:10,840
Speaker 1: quarterback in the conversation.

65
00:03:11,240 --> 00:03:15,400
Speaker 2: Matt corral is number one right now, but he's hurt

66
00:03:15,639 --> 00:03:18,960
Speaker 2: because he just had thirty carries against Tennessee and you

67
00:03:19,000 --> 00:03:20,639
Speaker 2: know they threw a bunch of stuff on the field.

68
00:03:21,639 --> 00:03:24,040
Speaker 2: I'm sure you saw that and then Kenneth Walker, the

69
00:03:24,160 --> 00:03:28,040
Speaker 2: running back from Michigan State, is second. So that's kind

70
00:03:28,080 --> 00:03:29,720
Speaker 2: of where it stands right now. So it's gonna be

71
00:03:29,800 --> 00:03:34,880
Speaker 2: real interesting come Heisman time. We have no separation at

72
00:03:34,880 --> 00:03:38,200
Speaker 2: this point, so we're gonna have to have someone separate themselves.

73
00:03:38,240 --> 00:03:39,920
Speaker 2: I didn't put that on the list, but the Heisman

74
00:03:40,520 --> 00:03:42,200
Speaker 2: is really really up in the air.

75
00:03:42,440 --> 00:03:43,560
Speaker 3: Pitt could be for real.

76
00:03:43,880 --> 00:03:46,760
Speaker 2: They held Virginia Tech to seven points in a twenty

77
00:03:46,800 --> 00:03:47,480
Speaker 2: eight seven win.

78
00:03:47,880 --> 00:03:50,280
Speaker 3: That was very interesting. Their ranked twenty third right now.

79
00:03:50,360 --> 00:03:52,960
Speaker 2: They got a big matchup against Clemson this week, so

80
00:03:53,000 --> 00:03:54,680
Speaker 2: I think we're gonna find out a lot about them

81
00:03:55,160 --> 00:03:58,800
Speaker 2: in that game. Bama rebounded like we thought they would

82
00:03:59,000 --> 00:04:00,520
Speaker 2: forty nine nine.

83
00:04:00,800 --> 00:04:01,920
Speaker 1: And stomp a mud hole.

84
00:04:02,000 --> 00:04:04,400
Speaker 3: As we said, good luck with Bama for the rest

85
00:04:04,440 --> 00:04:05,880
Speaker 3: of the year if you're in their way.

86
00:04:05,960 --> 00:04:10,560
Speaker 2: They are looking for massive beatdown, so that we'll be

87
00:04:10,640 --> 00:04:13,640
Speaker 2: talking about them in a little bit. And same I

88
00:04:13,680 --> 00:04:18,320
Speaker 2: did the collapse, Same old Texas, Same old Texas. Uh

89
00:04:18,680 --> 00:04:21,360
Speaker 2: this was I told you this was Sark's big chance

90
00:04:21,839 --> 00:04:24,039
Speaker 2: to show me that he's different from the other coaches.

91
00:04:24,520 --> 00:04:27,719
Speaker 2: And they lost again on another second half comeback, not

92
00:04:27,800 --> 00:04:32,239
Speaker 2: making the correct adjustments. So you know, same old Texas

93
00:04:32,279 --> 00:04:32,720
Speaker 2: here we are.

94
00:04:33,200 --> 00:04:34,960
Speaker 1: I got to ask you this too. You know, last

95
00:04:35,000 --> 00:04:37,560
Speaker 1: year's draft class was very quarterback heavy, obviously, and a

96
00:04:37,640 --> 00:04:41,119
Speaker 1: very good draft class overall, little light on the defensive side.

97
00:04:41,680 --> 00:04:44,200
Speaker 1: This year, how's that draft class stocking for you? Because

98
00:04:44,200 --> 00:04:46,360
Speaker 1: it feels like it feels a little light right now.

99
00:04:46,560 --> 00:04:47,600
Speaker 1: It's in of these games.

100
00:04:47,680 --> 00:04:50,920
Speaker 2: It's incomplete, man like. That's that's how I would say

101
00:04:51,440 --> 00:04:54,920
Speaker 2: it is right now. Because Sam Howe was Sam how

102
00:04:54,960 --> 00:04:58,920
Speaker 2: and Spencer Rattler were one and two and Rattler's completely gone.

103
00:04:59,000 --> 00:05:01,880
Speaker 3: I still think, how can one? I think he can

104
00:05:01,920 --> 00:05:02,240
Speaker 3: be one.

105
00:05:02,560 --> 00:05:06,200
Speaker 2: You know, Matt Crawls obviously, uh pushed himself up into

106
00:05:06,240 --> 00:05:08,919
Speaker 2: the conversation your boy Desmond Ridder has made because I

107
00:05:09,000 --> 00:05:12,280
Speaker 2: was looking at I think pffs they always I love

108
00:05:12,320 --> 00:05:15,920
Speaker 2: pff and I love they do the draft coverage they

109
00:05:15,960 --> 00:05:20,240
Speaker 2: do like a draft guide before the season starts.

110
00:05:19,800 --> 00:05:22,479
Speaker 3: And they didn't have Ridder in the quarterbacks in there.

111
00:05:22,680 --> 00:05:25,760
Speaker 2: So uh, he has made a huge step up and

112
00:05:25,839 --> 00:05:27,520
Speaker 2: they're gonna be in the playoff as long as they

113
00:05:27,520 --> 00:05:28,160
Speaker 2: don't drop one.

114
00:05:29,560 --> 00:05:32,040
Speaker 1: Right now. You know, they're in the driver's seat right now.

115
00:05:32,040 --> 00:05:34,680
Speaker 2: You just got to take care of in there so

116
00:05:34,839 --> 00:05:36,799
Speaker 2: that they all they got to do is beat who's

117
00:05:36,800 --> 00:05:37,360
Speaker 2: in front of them.

118
00:05:37,680 --> 00:05:39,440
Speaker 1: Then they might Georg will smoke them.

119
00:05:39,920 --> 00:05:43,359
Speaker 2: Sure they might get by forty or fifty in the playoff,

120
00:05:43,400 --> 00:05:46,640
Speaker 2: but they'll get there. So I think so Desmond Ridder

121
00:05:46,680 --> 00:05:49,080
Speaker 2: has a real chance to make himself a name. I

122
00:05:49,120 --> 00:05:52,800
Speaker 2: like Dylan Gabriel and he broke his collarbone, right. So

123
00:05:53,600 --> 00:05:59,400
Speaker 2: it's just very very unsettled right now, especially since Rattler

124
00:05:59,520 --> 00:06:02,159
Speaker 2: was going to be the one and now he's not

125
00:06:02,279 --> 00:06:05,479
Speaker 2: even you know, Malik willis a lot of people like,

126
00:06:05,600 --> 00:06:07,640
Speaker 2: but you know, he's been inaccurate.

127
00:06:07,680 --> 00:06:07,960
Speaker 3: Carson.

128
00:06:08,120 --> 00:06:11,120
Speaker 1: I feel people are starting to talk themselves into guys Bogan,

129
00:06:11,160 --> 00:06:13,120
Speaker 1: and that's always a bad thing. That is the worst

130
00:06:13,160 --> 00:06:15,039
Speaker 1: thing is like we got to talk ourselves into because

131
00:06:15,040 --> 00:06:18,400
Speaker 1: we need a quarterback in this draft class or two

132
00:06:18,480 --> 00:06:20,240
Speaker 1: or three, or we need this. You know what, if

133
00:06:20,240 --> 00:06:22,679
Speaker 1: it's not there, it's not their draft. What's on the board.

134
00:06:22,800 --> 00:06:25,200
Speaker 2: A lot of these guys on this list got you know,

135
00:06:25,279 --> 00:06:28,359
Speaker 2: Rattler and Emery Jones just have been replaced on their

136
00:06:28,400 --> 00:06:28,880
Speaker 2: own team.

137
00:06:29,279 --> 00:06:29,479
Speaker 3: JT.

138
00:06:29,680 --> 00:06:33,360
Speaker 2: Daniels isn't even playing right. I'm just looking through this

139
00:06:33,480 --> 00:06:38,400
Speaker 2: draft guide. It's not there are good quarterbacks, but they

140
00:06:38,480 --> 00:06:42,440
Speaker 2: still need to separate themselves because look, whether they're good

141
00:06:42,480 --> 00:06:44,680
Speaker 2: or not, they're gonna get drafted. Quarterbacks are going to

142
00:06:44,760 --> 00:06:46,800
Speaker 2: go in the first round. Four are probably going to

143
00:06:46,839 --> 00:06:49,120
Speaker 2: go in the first round. That's just kind of the

144
00:06:49,200 --> 00:06:50,840
Speaker 2: average of what it's been recently.

145
00:06:50,960 --> 00:06:51,800
Speaker 3: So they're not.

146
00:06:51,760 --> 00:06:55,320
Speaker 2: Gonna get skipped because they aren't that good. Teams are desperate,

147
00:06:55,440 --> 00:06:58,320
Speaker 2: so they'll, like you said, teams will talk themselves into

148
00:06:58,400 --> 00:06:59,040
Speaker 2: quarterbacks too.

149
00:06:59,120 --> 00:07:01,080
Speaker 3: So there's a lot.

150
00:07:00,880 --> 00:07:04,880
Speaker 2: Of time for these teams to put it together and

151
00:07:04,960 --> 00:07:05,720
Speaker 2: make a run here.

152
00:07:05,760 --> 00:07:06,520
Speaker 3: So we'll see.

153
00:07:06,960 --> 00:07:09,320
Speaker 1: All right, let's turn the page from week seven and

154
00:07:09,440 --> 00:07:11,880
Speaker 1: start looking at week eight. If you can believe it already,

155
00:07:11,960 --> 00:07:14,960
Speaker 1: let's talk about the likes Bogman has this week. We'll

156
00:07:14,960 --> 00:07:17,880
Speaker 1: start with TWU Lane at SMU. SMU ranked twenty first

157
00:07:17,880 --> 00:07:19,600
Speaker 1: of the nation. They are favored by thirteen and a

158
00:07:19,640 --> 00:07:22,640
Speaker 1: half in this contest. Seventy and a half is the number.

159
00:07:22,720 --> 00:07:25,360
Speaker 1: This is the Thursday night game, so Boggs take me

160
00:07:25,400 --> 00:07:26,400
Speaker 1: through SMU here.

161
00:07:27,000 --> 00:07:29,080
Speaker 2: Look, Tu Lane is definitely better than their one in

162
00:07:29,120 --> 00:07:32,440
Speaker 2: five record. Right They've only beat an FCS school in

163
00:07:32,480 --> 00:07:36,200
Speaker 2: Morgan State, but their schedule it has been brutal. They

164
00:07:36,240 --> 00:07:38,640
Speaker 2: played Oklahoma Week one, and now it was supposed to

165
00:07:38,680 --> 00:07:40,560
Speaker 2: be at home and ended up on the road. Ole

166
00:07:40,640 --> 00:07:45,000
Speaker 2: miss uab Ecu might have been their easiest game, and

167
00:07:45,040 --> 00:07:47,640
Speaker 2: that was their biggest loss at Houston, and it just

168
00:07:47,640 --> 00:07:50,760
Speaker 2: gets worse with a ranked SMU team on the road here.

169
00:07:50,920 --> 00:07:54,560
Speaker 2: SMU's top ten and scoring offense fourteenth in passing, Tulane

170
00:07:54,640 --> 00:07:56,920
Speaker 2: is bad against the pass one hundred and fifteenth to

171
00:07:56,960 --> 00:08:00,960
Speaker 2: the nation. Obviously, that hard schedule hasn't done them many

172
00:08:00,960 --> 00:08:03,200
Speaker 2: favors with that, but two hundred and seventy seven point

173
00:08:03,200 --> 00:08:06,160
Speaker 2: two yards per game. SU quarterback tan and Mordecai is

174
00:08:06,200 --> 00:08:08,360
Speaker 2: a little bit questionable in this game, but.

175
00:08:08,360 --> 00:08:11,080
Speaker 3: He's expected to play. I got SMU in an absolute

176
00:08:11,160 --> 00:08:11,720
Speaker 3: walk here.

177
00:08:12,400 --> 00:08:14,320
Speaker 2: I like TWU Lane, I like Michael Pratt, I like

178
00:08:14,360 --> 00:08:18,040
Speaker 2: what they've been doing there. But SMU is just another

179
00:08:18,760 --> 00:08:22,440
Speaker 2: brutal beat for them in this awful twenty twenty one

180
00:08:22,480 --> 00:08:24,119
Speaker 2: schedule for two lane.

181
00:08:24,160 --> 00:08:27,080
Speaker 3: So I got SMU just in a SmackDown.

182
00:08:27,040 --> 00:08:30,000
Speaker 1: All right. Michigan is six and oh they are favored

183
00:08:30,000 --> 00:08:32,680
Speaker 1: by twenty three and a half at home against Northwestern.

184
00:08:33,280 --> 00:08:37,040
Speaker 1: Fifty one is the number. Can Michigan cover this twenty

185
00:08:37,040 --> 00:08:39,160
Speaker 1: three and a half though, that is a big spot.

186
00:08:39,400 --> 00:08:42,240
Speaker 3: It is. And I hate trusting Michigan. You know that

187
00:08:42,320 --> 00:08:43,400
Speaker 3: I am, especially.

188
00:08:43,080 --> 00:08:45,400
Speaker 1: Because the way they grind and grind and grind. That's

189
00:08:45,440 --> 00:08:47,480
Speaker 1: a lot of points if you're a grinding team in

190
00:08:47,559 --> 00:08:48,160
Speaker 1: terms of clock.

191
00:08:48,559 --> 00:08:49,720
Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, exactly.

192
00:08:50,200 --> 00:08:51,840
Speaker 2: And they're but they're coming off of bye week, so

193
00:08:51,840 --> 00:08:53,679
Speaker 2: they're going to be fresh, and they have two weeks

194
00:08:53,679 --> 00:08:56,720
Speaker 2: to prep for Northwestern. And look, we've seen Northwestern bow

195
00:08:56,800 --> 00:09:00,040
Speaker 2: up and you know, break up a winning streak e

196
00:09:00,160 --> 00:09:02,520
Speaker 2: some of the best teams in the country. They're not

197
00:09:02,600 --> 00:09:06,440
Speaker 2: that team this year. That's just not gonna happen. Michigan's

198
00:09:06,440 --> 00:09:08,960
Speaker 2: dominant on both sides of the ball. They're fourteenth in scoring,

199
00:09:09,000 --> 00:09:13,680
Speaker 2: their ninth in scoring defense. They've gotten Northwestern's got hammered

200
00:09:13,679 --> 00:09:16,199
Speaker 2: by Michigan State and Nebraska, and I think Michigan is

201
00:09:16,240 --> 00:09:18,680
Speaker 2: better than both of those teams. I think this is

202
00:09:18,720 --> 00:09:23,400
Speaker 2: a smash spot for Michigan. Public agrees. It's way on

203
00:09:24,240 --> 00:09:27,880
Speaker 2: Michigan on the money side and way on the over

204
00:09:28,240 --> 00:09:30,280
Speaker 2: in this game. I think that's an over I would

205
00:09:30,280 --> 00:09:32,480
Speaker 2: play too, because I think Michigan gets most of it

206
00:09:32,760 --> 00:09:36,200
Speaker 2: against Northwestern. They're just not a team that they normally are.

207
00:09:36,440 --> 00:09:38,160
Speaker 2: Like I said, every once in a while we'll see

208
00:09:38,200 --> 00:09:40,760
Speaker 2: them bow up. But I don't think they're that team

209
00:09:40,760 --> 00:09:43,480
Speaker 2: this year. So they're not that guy, Bud, So give

210
00:09:43,520 --> 00:09:44,160
Speaker 2: me Michigan.

211
00:09:44,679 --> 00:09:46,160
Speaker 1: Well, twenty three and a half might sound like a

212
00:09:46,160 --> 00:09:48,520
Speaker 1: big number until you get to the Oklahoma game. Thirty

213
00:09:49,000 --> 00:09:53,440
Speaker 1: eight and a half. Third ranked Oklahoma is favored against Kansas.

214
00:09:53,600 --> 00:09:55,800
Speaker 1: The over under is sixty six and a half of

215
00:09:55,880 --> 00:09:59,040
Speaker 1: this game, and Bogs, I know Calen Williams has played

216
00:09:59,120 --> 00:10:02,120
Speaker 1: very well, but thirty eight and a half, that is

217
00:10:02,200 --> 00:10:05,160
Speaker 1: that is a huge, huge number. Do you think they

218
00:10:05,240 --> 00:10:08,360
Speaker 1: can just steamroll here? And we're talking about like a

219
00:10:08,400 --> 00:10:09,960
Speaker 1: fifty I mean they got to put up a fifty

220
00:10:09,960 --> 00:10:11,720
Speaker 1: spot here or something close to it right.

221
00:10:11,880 --> 00:10:14,280
Speaker 2: Right, which has been a problem with Spencer Ratler. But

222
00:10:14,360 --> 00:10:17,120
Speaker 2: now that Caleb Williams is the quarterback, they've just they've

223
00:10:17,160 --> 00:10:18,720
Speaker 2: hit a different gear on offense.

224
00:10:18,880 --> 00:10:20,040
Speaker 3: Caleb Williams took over.

225
00:10:20,160 --> 00:10:22,040
Speaker 2: Since he took over in the middle of that Texas game,

226
00:10:22,280 --> 00:10:24,760
Speaker 2: he has a sixty seven point eight completion percentage on

227
00:10:24,800 --> 00:10:28,679
Speaker 2: the year, six touchdowns to zero picks, three rushing touchdowns.

228
00:10:28,720 --> 00:10:32,560
Speaker 2: He's averaging twelve yards of carry. Joe like the dude

229
00:10:32,679 --> 00:10:37,839
Speaker 2: is unbelievable. Right now, Kansas has looked improved, right, they've

230
00:10:37,840 --> 00:10:39,080
Speaker 2: looked a little bit better.

231
00:10:39,920 --> 00:10:41,199
Speaker 3: But I just can't deal with them.

232
00:10:41,480 --> 00:10:45,600
Speaker 2: I'm look in the three Power five games that they

233
00:10:45,640 --> 00:10:50,280
Speaker 2: have played, their average loss is by thirty eight points.

234
00:10:50,400 --> 00:10:53,679
Speaker 2: So this thirty nine points, this thirty eight and a

235
00:10:53,679 --> 00:10:57,560
Speaker 2: half is under that. I think this is like a

236
00:10:57,920 --> 00:11:01,160
Speaker 2: you know, seventy to seven hype of the game. You know,

237
00:11:01,320 --> 00:11:05,880
Speaker 2: Rattler might see the field, so I would be shocking

238
00:11:06,000 --> 00:11:09,720
Speaker 2: at all. So I think, oh, you just beats the

239
00:11:09,760 --> 00:11:10,280
Speaker 2: piss out.

240
00:11:10,160 --> 00:11:12,079
Speaker 1: Of Kansas as well, as long as you get taken

241
00:11:12,160 --> 00:11:15,040
Speaker 1: enough time out of his schedule sitting on the bench

242
00:11:15,040 --> 00:11:16,520
Speaker 1: filling out transferforms, we'll see.

243
00:11:16,600 --> 00:11:17,720
Speaker 3: Oh yeah, that's true.

244
00:11:17,880 --> 00:11:20,880
Speaker 2: I mean he had today it was news that he

245
00:11:20,960 --> 00:11:25,520
Speaker 2: removed Oklahoma off of his Twitter follows or Instagram follows.

246
00:11:25,559 --> 00:11:28,000
Speaker 1: That's always it's always a big deal. Whenever you remove

247
00:11:28,120 --> 00:11:32,559
Speaker 1: something from your social media, the earth moves. It's unbelievable.

248
00:11:32,640 --> 00:11:35,280
Speaker 3: God, who was paying attention to? That is what I want.

249
00:11:35,160 --> 00:11:39,640
Speaker 1: Everyone, every one, I wish they were. We are too old,

250
00:11:39,840 --> 00:11:43,400
Speaker 1: I mean, please, don't even get me started. LSU at

251
00:11:43,440 --> 00:11:45,840
Speaker 1: twelve ranth old miss old miss nine point favorites in

252
00:11:45,840 --> 00:11:49,280
Speaker 1: this one. Seventy six and a half is the number.

253
00:11:49,280 --> 00:11:53,920
Speaker 1: Here we see LSU kind of imploding on itself. We

254
00:11:54,000 --> 00:11:56,120
Speaker 1: got the news that the A o'son's going to be

255
00:11:56,400 --> 00:12:00,120
Speaker 1: leaving town win after a win after when well, well

256
00:12:00,200 --> 00:12:01,880
Speaker 1: leave in a high note. You got a castanza thing

257
00:12:01,960 --> 00:12:04,800
Speaker 1: sometimes box. But I mean, look, I don't know how

258
00:12:04,840 --> 00:12:06,280
Speaker 1: this is all going, you know. I don't know if

259
00:12:06,280 --> 00:12:08,280
Speaker 1: any emotion gets wrapped into this at all, or if

260
00:12:08,280 --> 00:12:10,800
Speaker 1: he told the players beforehand and that was the inspiration

261
00:12:10,880 --> 00:12:12,840
Speaker 1: for that win. I don't know. I also don't know

262
00:12:12,840 --> 00:12:16,000
Speaker 1: how long that lasts against a team that's ranked, right, I.

263
00:12:16,000 --> 00:12:18,440
Speaker 2: Mean, did you hear the stuff about Yeah, I heard

264
00:12:18,440 --> 00:12:22,360
Speaker 2: this stuff. Yeah, the gas station interesting? Yeah, great classic

265
00:12:22,480 --> 00:12:26,000
Speaker 2: move ed. You know, after you are your team has

266
00:12:26,000 --> 00:12:29,120
Speaker 2: already been investigating for a lot of improper stuff happening

267
00:12:29,200 --> 00:12:32,520
Speaker 2: under your watch to go and do that type of stuff.

268
00:12:32,559 --> 00:12:35,720
Speaker 2: So but look, I think if if we were only

269
00:12:35,760 --> 00:12:38,760
Speaker 2: talking about the spread here, this one would definitely be

270
00:12:38,760 --> 00:12:40,520
Speaker 2: in a lead, because I think the spread at nine

271
00:12:40,520 --> 00:12:44,040
Speaker 2: and is in all Missus favor is about perfect all

272
00:12:44,080 --> 00:12:47,720
Speaker 2: Missus five and one, but an sec play. They have

273
00:12:47,800 --> 00:12:51,280
Speaker 2: been beat by Bama and played close games against Arkansas.

274
00:12:51,480 --> 00:12:53,840
Speaker 2: They won by that failed two point conversion, and the

275
00:12:53,840 --> 00:12:57,400
Speaker 2: final against Tennessee was closer than the game, but they

276
00:12:57,520 --> 00:12:59,480
Speaker 2: still only won that one by five points. They were

277
00:12:59,480 --> 00:13:01,600
Speaker 2: only a point favor so they did beat the spread there,

278
00:13:01,960 --> 00:13:05,120
Speaker 2: but they just they played real close. The biggest factor

279
00:13:05,200 --> 00:13:07,720
Speaker 2: in this game in my opinion is Matt Corral is

280
00:13:07,760 --> 00:13:10,360
Speaker 2: a big question mark to play. Like I said, before

281
00:13:10,720 --> 00:13:13,599
Speaker 2: those thirty carries against Tennessee, he got pounded into the

282
00:13:13,640 --> 00:13:15,640
Speaker 2: ground Lang Kiff and said, well, he doesn't feel good.

283
00:13:16,000 --> 00:13:17,679
Speaker 3: Our buddy John Lobb on.

284
00:13:17,679 --> 00:13:21,400
Speaker 2: The ITLCFF Show went off on Lane Kiff and how

285
00:13:21,440 --> 00:13:24,679
Speaker 2: do you run this kid thirty times into the teeth

286
00:13:24,679 --> 00:13:31,199
Speaker 2: of the defense? His face, I mean, his redness of

287
00:13:31,280 --> 00:13:34,000
Speaker 2: face was only like a sixth this week when it

288
00:13:34,080 --> 00:13:35,800
Speaker 2: was a nine a couple of weeks ago. But that

289
00:13:35,920 --> 00:13:40,200
Speaker 2: was also about Lane Kiffin. So you know, look, that's

290
00:13:40,240 --> 00:13:42,199
Speaker 2: the biggest thing here for me. LSU was all over

291
00:13:42,240 --> 00:13:44,439
Speaker 2: the damn place. They lose to Auburn, they get smoked

292
00:13:44,440 --> 00:13:47,760
Speaker 2: by Kentucky, and then they beat Florida. Right, So I'm

293
00:13:47,840 --> 00:13:49,760
Speaker 2: keeping this one in my likes because I love the

294
00:13:50,040 --> 00:13:53,000
Speaker 2: under in this game at seventy six and a half.

295
00:13:53,200 --> 00:13:55,520
Speaker 2: I don't know why people are betting on the over here,

296
00:13:55,800 --> 00:13:58,640
Speaker 2: but Matt Corrall is not one hundred percent. And the

297
00:13:58,679 --> 00:14:01,560
Speaker 2: way that els you beat Florida last week was by

298
00:14:01,679 --> 00:14:04,680
Speaker 2: running the ball forty three times and only throwing it

299
00:14:04,760 --> 00:14:08,120
Speaker 2: twenty four times. So if that is the game script again,

300
00:14:08,400 --> 00:14:10,600
Speaker 2: which it should be if they want to win a game,

301
00:14:10,880 --> 00:14:14,200
Speaker 2: keep the ball out of the old miss offense's hands

302
00:14:14,600 --> 00:14:17,319
Speaker 2: and keep that defense on the field and grind them

303
00:14:17,320 --> 00:14:19,640
Speaker 2: and make them tired for the fourth quarter so you

304
00:14:19,640 --> 00:14:22,240
Speaker 2: can rip big chunk runs off. That's the way you

305
00:14:22,280 --> 00:14:24,680
Speaker 2: win this game if you're LSU. So, I think that

306
00:14:24,840 --> 00:14:28,000
Speaker 2: all trends towards the under. So I kept this in

307
00:14:28,040 --> 00:14:31,000
Speaker 2: my likes because I like the under, not either team

308
00:14:31,040 --> 00:14:31,920
Speaker 2: against the spread here.

309
00:14:32,160 --> 00:14:34,160
Speaker 1: Yeah, the under from everything in describing seems like the

310
00:14:34,160 --> 00:14:35,880
Speaker 1: way to go. I need to see a little bit

311
00:14:35,920 --> 00:14:38,040
Speaker 1: more Matt corral before I want to annoint him as

312
00:14:38,120 --> 00:14:39,160
Speaker 1: the best quarterback in this year.

313
00:14:39,160 --> 00:14:40,760
Speaker 3: It's understandable I'm not there yet.

314
00:14:40,840 --> 00:14:42,520
Speaker 1: And the one game that I watched him the most

315
00:14:42,600 --> 00:14:44,560
Speaker 1: was Alabama, and that was the last game one should

316
00:14:44,560 --> 00:14:47,720
Speaker 1: be counting you on. Yeah, so that's all I'm not going,

317
00:14:47,800 --> 00:14:51,800
Speaker 1: although that's also the one game where you're going to say, well,

318
00:14:51,800 --> 00:14:53,560
Speaker 1: this is most like what the NFL is going to

319
00:14:53,560 --> 00:14:56,640
Speaker 1: be sure, So on that note, we'll leave it for

320
00:14:56,680 --> 00:14:57,360
Speaker 1: not I don't know.

321
00:14:57,280 --> 00:14:59,480
Speaker 2: If he has I don't know if he has NFL

322
00:15:00,040 --> 00:15:01,120
Speaker 2: caliber wide receivers.

323
00:15:01,280 --> 00:15:04,040
Speaker 1: That is that is a fair because absolutely fair point

324
00:15:04,200 --> 00:15:07,680
Speaker 1: without a doubt. But we shall see Clemson at twenty

325
00:15:07,800 --> 00:15:11,720
Speaker 1: third ranked pit Pitt is three point favorites in this one,

326
00:15:11,880 --> 00:15:15,840
Speaker 1: forty eight. So I guess the question is the number

327
00:15:15,920 --> 00:15:17,440
Speaker 1: more than anything here, the forty eight. How do you

328
00:15:17,440 --> 00:15:18,400
Speaker 1: feel about this one? Box?

329
00:15:18,680 --> 00:15:21,640
Speaker 2: Yeah, this is another game where I don't like the

330
00:15:22,040 --> 00:15:23,240
Speaker 2: against the spread number at all.

331
00:15:23,280 --> 00:15:24,040
Speaker 3: I like the under.

332
00:15:24,200 --> 00:15:27,600
Speaker 2: Clemson has only played to this low forty eight total

333
00:15:27,680 --> 00:15:30,400
Speaker 2: twice this season, and the most points they've given up

334
00:15:30,480 --> 00:15:33,720
Speaker 2: is twenty seven to NC State on September twenty fifth,

335
00:15:33,840 --> 00:15:37,000
Speaker 2: so I won't touch the spread here. We've been waiting

336
00:15:37,040 --> 00:15:39,240
Speaker 2: for Clemson to turn the offense on the whole season.

337
00:15:39,280 --> 00:15:41,720
Speaker 2: They haven't been able to do it, but they are

338
00:15:41,800 --> 00:15:44,480
Speaker 2: the way better team on paper. Pitt is the scrappy

339
00:15:44,520 --> 00:15:47,000
Speaker 2: team that plays Clemson hard whether they're ranked or not.

340
00:15:47,160 --> 00:15:49,400
Speaker 2: Like I was talking about this on c IF Winning Edge,

341
00:15:49,400 --> 00:15:51,800
Speaker 2: When was the last time we saw these two teams

342
00:15:51,800 --> 00:15:55,360
Speaker 2: play and Pitt was the ranked one and Clemson wasn't right,

343
00:15:56,000 --> 00:16:00,160
Speaker 2: It's been a while since that happened, so I I

344
00:16:00,200 --> 00:16:02,480
Speaker 2: think I'm gonna avoid the line and play the under

345
00:16:02,520 --> 00:16:05,000
Speaker 2: here because Pitt's defense, like we just talked about, he

346
00:16:05,120 --> 00:16:09,480
Speaker 2: just held Virginia Tech to seven points in Blacksburg. So

347
00:16:10,400 --> 00:16:13,400
Speaker 2: I think this game definitely trends towards this under of

348
00:16:13,440 --> 00:16:16,360
Speaker 2: this low total of forty eight. So I'm gonna leave

349
00:16:16,400 --> 00:16:19,680
Speaker 2: it in my likes for the number again and go

350
00:16:19,800 --> 00:16:21,880
Speaker 2: under that forty. It's a low number to go under,

351
00:16:22,160 --> 00:16:26,120
Speaker 2: but Clemson is better on defense and they're bad on offense,

352
00:16:26,200 --> 00:16:27,120
Speaker 2: so I think the.

353
00:16:27,120 --> 00:16:29,080
Speaker 3: Whole pit and also not score.

354
00:16:29,480 --> 00:16:32,640
Speaker 2: So this looks like a seventeen to fourteen game to me,

355
00:16:33,000 --> 00:16:34,880
Speaker 2: you know something like that, all.

356
00:16:34,840 --> 00:16:38,000
Speaker 1: Right, Tennessee at fourth ranked Alabama. It feels weird to

357
00:16:38,000 --> 00:16:41,400
Speaker 1: say fourth ranked Alabama, but I'm saying it anyway. Twenty

358
00:16:41,480 --> 00:16:44,160
Speaker 1: five is the number of Alabama is favored by. The

359
00:16:44,280 --> 00:16:47,440
Speaker 1: over under is sixty seven and a half. Hendon Hooker

360
00:16:47,480 --> 00:16:49,400
Speaker 1: one of the best names out there right now. I mean,

361
00:16:49,440 --> 00:16:53,040
Speaker 1: that's definitely a Tennessee name. I think that you would like,

362
00:16:53,400 --> 00:16:56,480
Speaker 1: Hug laugh Handon Hooker. He's taken over under center.

363
00:16:56,720 --> 00:17:00,960
Speaker 3: He's the he is the transfer from VA Tech. And

364
00:17:01,320 --> 00:17:01,880
Speaker 3: it's funny.

365
00:17:02,720 --> 00:17:05,280
Speaker 2: I just started playing on my twitch with the Welsh

366
00:17:05,320 --> 00:17:08,880
Speaker 2: We have a in this league twitch and we were

367
00:17:09,040 --> 00:17:12,080
Speaker 2: setting up a franchise and I was looking at people

368
00:17:12,240 --> 00:17:15,399
Speaker 2: like to get like the real college draft class and

369
00:17:15,440 --> 00:17:18,119
Speaker 2: all that stuff, because you can do that in Madden

370
00:17:18,200 --> 00:17:23,320
Speaker 2: as well, and there are there are classes getting banned

371
00:17:23,359 --> 00:17:25,640
Speaker 2: because people try to put Hendon Hooker in and it's

372
00:17:25,680 --> 00:17:29,520
Speaker 2: a curse word, hooker, you know. So I thought that

373
00:17:29,680 --> 00:17:32,480
Speaker 2: was hilarious. Doesn't mean anything to us here. It's just

374
00:17:32,520 --> 00:17:35,600
Speaker 2: a goofy thing I wanted to say. But look, Tennessee

375
00:17:35,640 --> 00:17:38,520
Speaker 2: had a different gear when good All Hendon Hooker took

376
00:17:38,560 --> 00:17:41,040
Speaker 2: over at quarterback. And since that lost to Florida where

377
00:17:41,080 --> 00:17:44,120
Speaker 2: he after he started, they've averaged forty four point three

378
00:17:44,400 --> 00:17:47,240
Speaker 2: points per game. The problem is that he's hurt. He's

379
00:17:47,520 --> 00:17:50,359
Speaker 2: been limited in practices, so even if he does suit

380
00:17:50,440 --> 00:17:52,960
Speaker 2: up and go out there, he's less than one hundred percent.

381
00:17:53,480 --> 00:17:57,679
Speaker 2: And they're playing Bama, who's already had their hiccup. You know,

382
00:17:57,720 --> 00:17:59,600
Speaker 2: they lost to Texas A and m We talked about

383
00:17:59,640 --> 00:18:02,720
Speaker 2: it early. They just beat down Mississippi State forty nine

384
00:18:02,800 --> 00:18:03,120
Speaker 2: to nine.

385
00:18:03,119 --> 00:18:05,440
Speaker 1: They're not gonna lose to two unranked teams in the

386
00:18:05,480 --> 00:18:08,480
Speaker 1: same year. That's not gonna happen. Well can, But this

387
00:18:08,560 --> 00:18:09,960
Speaker 1: is the twenty five endanger at all.

388
00:18:10,160 --> 00:18:11,119
Speaker 3: I don't think it is.

389
00:18:12,359 --> 00:18:15,440
Speaker 2: They've won this game fourteen times in a row, Joe

390
00:18:15,800 --> 00:18:18,800
Speaker 2: against Tennessee and one by twenty five or more three

391
00:18:18,840 --> 00:18:22,160
Speaker 2: of the last five years. This you know, Bama knows

392
00:18:22,240 --> 00:18:25,800
Speaker 2: they got to be flawless from this point moving forward

393
00:18:25,960 --> 00:18:30,199
Speaker 2: to make the tournament. So that also means getting you know,

394
00:18:30,320 --> 00:18:33,160
Speaker 2: back up to that number two spot hopefully for them,

395
00:18:33,600 --> 00:18:36,440
Speaker 2: and just beating teams into the ground. So I think

396
00:18:36,440 --> 00:18:39,480
Speaker 2: that twenty five number is safe and I'll be taking

397
00:18:39,560 --> 00:18:41,040
Speaker 2: Bama and laying the points.

398
00:18:41,280 --> 00:18:44,000
Speaker 1: All right, Let's get to the last of the likes,

399
00:18:44,040 --> 00:18:47,320
Speaker 1: which is fifth rank Ohio State favored by twenty one

400
00:18:47,359 --> 00:18:51,160
Speaker 1: points at Indiana. The number is sixty and a half

401
00:18:51,840 --> 00:18:53,440
Speaker 1: Ohio State in a romp here.

402
00:18:54,000 --> 00:18:58,320
Speaker 2: Yeah, Look, Indiana has had too many problems scoring and

403
00:18:58,359 --> 00:19:00,879
Speaker 2: since Ohio State's lost to Orgon and they've won every

404
00:19:00,920 --> 00:19:04,320
Speaker 2: game by at least twenty one points, Indiana has had

405
00:19:04,320 --> 00:19:07,440
Speaker 2: a brutal schedule. They opened up against Iowa that played

406
00:19:07,480 --> 00:19:09,760
Speaker 2: Cincinnati week three. In the last two weeks have been

407
00:19:09,840 --> 00:19:13,800
Speaker 2: Penn State and Michigan State, so you know, that's five

408
00:19:13,960 --> 00:19:17,919
Speaker 2: ranked opponents that they've played with Ohio State coming this week.

409
00:19:18,560 --> 00:19:22,439
Speaker 2: Indiana is for sure underrated, and you know, but at

410
00:19:22,480 --> 00:19:26,600
Speaker 2: this moment they have quarterback issues too, with Pennix being questionable.

411
00:19:26,880 --> 00:19:29,480
Speaker 2: Maybe he'll play, but they're one hundred and seventh in

412
00:19:29,600 --> 00:19:33,360
Speaker 2: scoring in the country. Ohio State is asserted dominance right now,

413
00:19:33,400 --> 00:19:36,200
Speaker 2: another team that knows that they have very little leeway

414
00:19:36,240 --> 00:19:39,000
Speaker 2: after their lost to Oregon early in the season. So

415
00:19:39,160 --> 00:19:42,320
Speaker 2: I just don't think Indiana is going to be going

416
00:19:42,359 --> 00:19:45,080
Speaker 2: to be able to keep up with them, regardless of

417
00:19:45,119 --> 00:19:48,160
Speaker 2: who is that quarterback. So I just think Ohio State

418
00:19:48,200 --> 00:19:49,480
Speaker 2: wins this one and a beat down.

419
00:19:49,880 --> 00:19:52,080
Speaker 1: All right, let's get over to the leans here. First

420
00:19:52,119 --> 00:19:55,320
Speaker 1: one is Illinois at seventh ranked Penn State. Penn State

421
00:19:55,440 --> 00:19:57,720
Speaker 1: twenty four point favorites in this one. The numbers forty

422
00:19:57,760 --> 00:20:00,199
Speaker 1: six and a half. Penn State's always a little up

423
00:20:00,240 --> 00:20:03,280
Speaker 1: and down. Can they muster enough here offensively to separate

424
00:20:03,320 --> 00:20:04,520
Speaker 1: though for this twenty four.

425
00:20:05,119 --> 00:20:07,439
Speaker 2: That's the question. Penn State is definitely the better team

426
00:20:07,600 --> 00:20:10,719
Speaker 2: in this case. The only win Illinois has was against Charlotte.

427
00:20:10,760 --> 00:20:13,040
Speaker 2: Illinois is having problems moving the ball that one hundred

428
00:20:13,040 --> 00:20:16,520
Speaker 2: and twentieth in scoring. Penn State is fourth in scoring defense,

429
00:20:16,800 --> 00:20:19,359
Speaker 2: So this should be a lopsided game in favor of

430
00:20:19,359 --> 00:20:21,800
Speaker 2: the Nitney Lions. But I have it in my leans

431
00:20:22,160 --> 00:20:25,480
Speaker 2: instead of likes because QB Sean Clifford for Penn State

432
00:20:25,840 --> 00:20:29,520
Speaker 2: is highly questionable with an undisclosed injury, and backup Taekwon

433
00:20:29,640 --> 00:20:32,280
Speaker 2: Roberson was brutal in the Iowa game. He was seven

434
00:20:32,359 --> 00:20:35,040
Speaker 2: for twenty one thirty four yards and two picks when

435
00:20:35,040 --> 00:20:38,160
Speaker 2: he came in. Granted that was you know, they weren't

436
00:20:38,160 --> 00:20:40,040
Speaker 2: expecting him to play. And it's against one of the

437
00:20:40,040 --> 00:20:43,200
Speaker 2: best teams in the best defenses in the country. I

438
00:20:43,320 --> 00:20:46,560
Speaker 2: understand that Illinois is not, but they also have freshman

439
00:20:46,960 --> 00:20:51,480
Speaker 2: Christian Velu working with the first team in practice along

440
00:20:51,560 --> 00:20:54,840
Speaker 2: with Robertson. But you know, the old saying goes, if

441
00:20:54,840 --> 00:20:57,560
Speaker 2: you have two qbs, Joe, you don't have one one.

442
00:20:57,680 --> 00:20:58,800
Speaker 3: So I just don't.

443
00:20:58,840 --> 00:21:01,560
Speaker 2: I'm not going to depend on this over and I'm

444
00:21:01,560 --> 00:21:03,439
Speaker 2: not because I don't know how much Penn State is

445
00:21:03,440 --> 00:21:05,720
Speaker 2: going to score, and I'm not going to take them

446
00:21:05,720 --> 00:21:07,760
Speaker 2: minus to twenty four because that line is too big.

447
00:21:07,800 --> 00:21:09,800
Speaker 2: If Shann Clifford's not in this game, if we get

448
00:21:09,880 --> 00:21:13,920
Speaker 2: word that Sean Clifford is playing, I'm smashing Penn State

449
00:21:14,000 --> 00:21:17,119
Speaker 2: minus the points and I'm smashing the over because it's

450
00:21:17,200 --> 00:21:19,600
Speaker 2: not like he's going to be smashed a bunch of

451
00:21:19,640 --> 00:21:24,600
Speaker 2: times by this Illinois defense. He's not really in danger

452
00:21:24,680 --> 00:21:28,000
Speaker 2: of reaggravating stuff if they let him go, in my opinion.

453
00:21:28,320 --> 00:21:31,680
Speaker 2: So now they could yank him if they're up big

454
00:21:32,000 --> 00:21:34,480
Speaker 2: and let Roberson play and make some mistakes.

455
00:21:34,720 --> 00:21:35,800
Speaker 3: So that's diicy two.

456
00:21:36,040 --> 00:21:38,400
Speaker 2: So I think, just for the most part, I'm gonna

457
00:21:38,440 --> 00:21:40,560
Speaker 2: leave this game alone because I don't know who's going

458
00:21:40,600 --> 00:21:42,320
Speaker 2: to be the quarterback for Penn State this week.

459
00:21:43,040 --> 00:21:46,239
Speaker 1: Oklahoma State was twelfth ranked last week. Now they are

460
00:21:46,320 --> 00:21:48,679
Speaker 1: ranked eighth in the nation. They are going to be

461
00:21:48,840 --> 00:21:53,359
Speaker 1: at Iowa State. Iowa State seven point favorites in this one.

462
00:21:53,720 --> 00:21:58,080
Speaker 2: How is Yeah, Look, Okay State, they're undefeated, but the

463
00:21:58,119 --> 00:22:01,239
Speaker 2: margin in every single one of their games it has

464
00:22:01,280 --> 00:22:04,520
Speaker 2: been eleven points or less, and that is why they

465
00:22:04,560 --> 00:22:07,560
Speaker 2: are winning by the skin of their teeth every single week.

466
00:22:07,640 --> 00:22:10,400
Speaker 2: The issue here is that I don't know that Iowa

467
00:22:10,400 --> 00:22:13,040
Speaker 2: State is for sure a touchdown better than Okay State.

468
00:22:13,080 --> 00:22:15,720
Speaker 2: The Cowboys have been in games decided by ten points

469
00:22:15,800 --> 00:22:21,960
Speaker 2: or less absolute blowouts, so they don't I mean Iowa State.

470
00:22:22,240 --> 00:22:24,960
Speaker 2: They don't trend either way as far as against spread

471
00:22:25,040 --> 00:22:30,000
Speaker 2: or the over under that says my gut says, you

472
00:22:30,119 --> 00:22:32,640
Speaker 2: make Okay State an underdog, and Mike Gundy gives those

473
00:22:32,680 --> 00:22:35,280
Speaker 2: guys something to talk about in the locker room, gives

474
00:22:35,280 --> 00:22:37,480
Speaker 2: them inspiration, you know, something like that.

475
00:22:37,600 --> 00:22:39,880
Speaker 1: Seems like the line is wrong, that's I guess that's

476
00:22:39,920 --> 00:22:41,480
Speaker 1: the thing that jumps out to me right away.

477
00:22:41,760 --> 00:22:42,320
Speaker 3: It does.

478
00:22:42,760 --> 00:22:45,879
Speaker 2: But Iowa State came in ranked way better. They have

479
00:22:46,000 --> 00:22:49,200
Speaker 2: a lot of pro ready guys on this Iowa State team.

480
00:22:49,240 --> 00:22:53,400
Speaker 2: They've just slipped a couple times. So I think I'm

481
00:22:53,480 --> 00:22:56,240
Speaker 2: gonna roll with Okay State here, but I don't. I

482
00:22:56,280 --> 00:22:59,120
Speaker 2: don't really like it. This is one where you see

483
00:22:59,119 --> 00:23:02,880
Speaker 2: a line like this, go is the wrong team favored here?

484
00:23:03,440 --> 00:23:03,640
Speaker 3: Don't.

485
00:23:03,800 --> 00:23:06,360
Speaker 2: I don't think the wrong team's favored. But if I'm

486
00:23:06,400 --> 00:23:09,159
Speaker 2: getting points for Oklahoma State, I'm gonna take that. But

487
00:23:09,440 --> 00:23:11,480
Speaker 2: I just don't have a ton of confidence either way.

488
00:23:12,200 --> 00:23:14,640
Speaker 1: All right, Let's move on to the next one here,

489
00:23:15,000 --> 00:23:18,200
Speaker 1: Oregon at UCLA Oregon ranked tenth in the nation. UCLA,

490
00:23:18,240 --> 00:23:20,680
Speaker 1: though favored in this one two and a half points.

491
00:23:20,680 --> 00:23:22,040
Speaker 1: The over unders forty seven.

492
00:23:22,800 --> 00:23:25,840
Speaker 2: Joe, I've said on this show that I am not

493
00:23:25,960 --> 00:23:29,720
Speaker 2: messing around with either one of these teams, both of them.

494
00:23:30,119 --> 00:23:33,320
Speaker 2: So that's why this is in the Leans instead of

495
00:23:33,320 --> 00:23:36,080
Speaker 2: the likes. So i'd look. Oregon plays up or down

496
00:23:36,119 --> 00:23:38,720
Speaker 2: at their opponent every week. They're one in four against

497
00:23:38,760 --> 00:23:41,800
Speaker 2: the spread, so I'm gonna roll with UCLA here, but

498
00:23:41,840 --> 00:23:45,800
Speaker 2: they are unbelievably inconsistent. I like the over in this game,

499
00:23:46,160 --> 00:23:49,679
Speaker 2: as both teams have explosive playmakers and both are averaging

500
00:23:49,720 --> 00:23:51,040
Speaker 2: over thirty points per game.

501
00:23:51,240 --> 00:23:52,720
Speaker 3: I'll take the over forty seven.

502
00:23:52,800 --> 00:23:56,040
Speaker 2: I think that's too low for these teams, but you

503
00:23:56,080 --> 00:24:00,720
Speaker 2: know they both have pretty solid defenses too, and unpredability

504
00:24:01,040 --> 00:24:03,720
Speaker 2: for these teams, and they play late because it's the

505
00:24:03,760 --> 00:24:06,080
Speaker 2: Pac twelve. I do not want to be up late

506
00:24:06,160 --> 00:24:09,679
Speaker 2: depending on one of these clown teams to win me

507
00:24:09,720 --> 00:24:12,200
Speaker 2: some money, so I'm gonna stay away from this one.

508
00:24:12,359 --> 00:24:14,120
Speaker 2: If anything, I like the over here.

509
00:24:14,800 --> 00:24:18,040
Speaker 1: Now, a broken clock is right twice a day, so

510
00:24:18,240 --> 00:24:21,040
Speaker 1: let's talk about Notre Dame here, Bobs. Eventually, we got

511
00:24:21,040 --> 00:24:23,760
Speaker 1: to get this right. At some point in time, Bogmin's

512
00:24:23,760 --> 00:24:25,560
Speaker 1: got to feel good about something when it comes to

513
00:24:25,640 --> 00:24:28,520
Speaker 1: Notre Dame, Notre Dame at home six and a half

514
00:24:28,560 --> 00:24:32,920
Speaker 1: point favorites at USC, old fun rivalry game USC. Notre

515
00:24:33,000 --> 00:24:37,440
Speaker 1: Dame goes back with storied history, going back many many decades.

516
00:24:37,560 --> 00:24:40,480
Speaker 1: Fifty eight and a half is the number. So Bogman,

517
00:24:41,320 --> 00:24:43,840
Speaker 1: I give you the floor for our final game here,

518
00:24:44,000 --> 00:24:46,840
Speaker 1: Notre Dame six and a half over USC. What say you?

519
00:24:47,359 --> 00:24:47,560
Speaker 2: I mean?

520
00:24:47,600 --> 00:24:49,720
Speaker 3: Why does Notre Dame have to be on TV every.

521
00:24:49,600 --> 00:24:52,880
Speaker 1: Day because they're Notre Dame because of the name.

522
00:24:53,920 --> 00:24:56,639
Speaker 2: We got them one week on Peacock right, so they

523
00:24:56,640 --> 00:24:58,960
Speaker 2: weren't on nationally televised so we didn't have to talk

524
00:24:59,000 --> 00:25:02,640
Speaker 2: about them every other week. It's been Notre Dame, Notre Dame,

525
00:25:02,680 --> 00:25:05,639
Speaker 2: Notre Dame. But you know they vex me for sure.

526
00:25:06,200 --> 00:25:08,320
Speaker 2: But they've been in three three point games so far

527
00:25:08,400 --> 00:25:11,080
Speaker 2: this year and only one game decided by more than

528
00:25:11,119 --> 00:25:15,200
Speaker 2: fourteen points. And US see might be more confusing than

529
00:25:15,200 --> 00:25:18,760
Speaker 2: Notre Dame. Joe, they're three and three. They've won big

530
00:25:18,880 --> 00:25:21,880
Speaker 2: or lost big each time, three wins by an average

531
00:25:21,880 --> 00:25:25,720
Speaker 2: of twenty five point six points and the losses by

532
00:25:25,920 --> 00:25:29,919
Speaker 2: sixteen points. So I guess if you're picking this game,

533
00:25:30,400 --> 00:25:32,320
Speaker 2: you just got to pick the team you like and

534
00:25:32,600 --> 00:25:34,760
Speaker 2: know they're gonna beat the spread. So I'm gonna take

535
00:25:34,800 --> 00:25:37,000
Speaker 2: Notre Dame. I think that the better team right now.

536
00:25:37,280 --> 00:25:39,879
Speaker 2: USC has an interim head coach. They might have issues

537
00:25:39,920 --> 00:25:43,600
Speaker 2: at quarterback because Dart is practicing, and I think Slovas

538
00:25:43,680 --> 00:25:46,240
Speaker 2: might be better than him. So I'm gonna roll with

539
00:25:46,280 --> 00:25:50,960
Speaker 2: Notre Dame in this game. But seems like every time

540
00:25:51,160 --> 00:25:54,360
Speaker 2: I put my money or my mouth, you know, towards

541
00:25:54,359 --> 00:25:57,280
Speaker 2: Notre Dame, they screw it up, which is why this

542
00:25:57,320 --> 00:26:00,840
Speaker 2: is in the leans. So I'll take Notre Dame trepidaciously.

543
00:26:01,400 --> 00:26:01,920
Speaker 3: There you have it.

544
00:26:02,040 --> 00:26:03,639
Speaker 1: Make sure you go bet the other side. Now go

545
00:26:03,720 --> 00:26:06,400
Speaker 1: immediately to bet USC now that he likes Notre Dame

546
00:26:06,440 --> 00:26:09,000
Speaker 1: because we know that it's money in the bank and

547
00:26:09,040 --> 00:26:11,440
Speaker 1: Bogmin's done very well this year. But that's that's look.

548
00:26:11,440 --> 00:26:14,440
Speaker 1: Everyone has their Achilles heel. I for an entire season

549
00:26:14,520 --> 00:26:18,159
Speaker 1: on TELL Live National Television, pick the Rams wrong for

550
00:26:18,920 --> 00:26:21,640
Speaker 1: I think it was fifteen straight weeks last year, including

551
00:26:21,680 --> 00:26:22,640
Speaker 1: in the playoffs, so.

552
00:26:24,040 --> 00:26:26,720
Speaker 3: The look, yeah, sometimes it's just granted.

553
00:26:26,760 --> 00:26:29,000
Speaker 1: It was the Jared Goff Rams so I do get

554
00:26:29,040 --> 00:26:30,560
Speaker 1: slight pass on that they were very pro.

555
00:26:31,520 --> 00:26:33,640
Speaker 2: Just a team that has your number. It's not even

556
00:26:33,680 --> 00:26:36,920
Speaker 2: their opponents or the spread or whatever. They get you

557
00:26:37,040 --> 00:26:38,880
Speaker 2: every time because you have too much or not enough

558
00:26:38,880 --> 00:26:39,640
Speaker 2: confidence in them.

559
00:26:39,680 --> 00:26:41,680
Speaker 3: And that seems to be notre dame for me this year.

560
00:26:41,800 --> 00:26:44,040
Speaker 1: Well, I have nothing but confidence in you, Bogs. And

561
00:26:44,119 --> 00:26:46,639
Speaker 1: obviously make sure you check out Bogbin's work over at

562
00:26:46,640 --> 00:26:48,840
Speaker 1: bettingpros dot com where you can get all the consensus

563
00:26:48,840 --> 00:26:52,240
Speaker 1: lines in one place and go ahead and place your bets. Again,

564
00:26:52,320 --> 00:26:54,760
Speaker 1: great content going over there over on betting pro So

565
00:26:54,840 --> 00:26:57,919
Speaker 1: make sure you hit that up. And and look, you know,

566
00:26:57,960 --> 00:27:02,160
Speaker 1: we're we eight so far. I mean, it's funny because

567
00:27:02,160 --> 00:27:05,560
Speaker 1: I think if we took a look at where we

568
00:27:05,560 --> 00:27:08,760
Speaker 1: were earlier in the season, right and going into this year,

569
00:27:09,080 --> 00:27:11,920
Speaker 1: I don't think anybody would look at this top four

570
00:27:12,000 --> 00:27:13,960
Speaker 1: right now and things, yeah, that's what the four would be.

571
00:27:14,280 --> 00:27:17,320
Speaker 2: Yeah, are you telling me people didn't have Cincinnati at

572
00:27:17,320 --> 00:27:21,280
Speaker 2: two overall? That's that's surprising, But I'm telling you they

573
00:27:21,320 --> 00:27:25,120
Speaker 2: did not. It's it's an interesting year. But look, I

574
00:27:25,160 --> 00:27:29,840
Speaker 2: think that I just really hope Cincinnati doesn't slip because.

575
00:27:29,640 --> 00:27:31,600
Speaker 1: Of it's a good story. It's fun.

576
00:27:31,680 --> 00:27:32,760
Speaker 3: Yeah, but if.

577
00:27:32,680 --> 00:27:36,359
Speaker 2: Cincinnati slips, we're gonna have, you know, two SEC teams,

578
00:27:36,359 --> 00:27:38,680
Speaker 2: Oklahoma and Ohio State.

579
00:27:38,760 --> 00:27:39,520
Speaker 3: That's what it's gonna be.

580
00:27:39,560 --> 00:27:44,120
Speaker 2: It's gonna be Georgia Bama, Ohio State and Oklahoma. And

581
00:27:44,200 --> 00:27:46,760
Speaker 2: we've had that too many times. We've seen that story before.

582
00:27:46,920 --> 00:27:49,679
Speaker 2: We need some new blood, so I would love to

583
00:27:49,720 --> 00:27:50,720
Speaker 2: see Cincinnati in that.

584
00:27:51,400 --> 00:27:52,960
Speaker 1: All right, that'll do it for us, But the story

585
00:27:52,960 --> 00:27:54,639
Speaker 1: of the game goes on for Scott bog When I'm

586
00:27:54,720 --> 00:28:09,600
Speaker 1: Joey p We'll see you next time. Kids,