WEBVTT - Super Bowl LVII Best Bets | Odds, Picks & Props for Eagles vs. Chiefs! (Ep. 288) 0:00:01.000 --> 0:00:03.360 Welcome in everybody to betting pros. It's time to place 0:00:03.440 --> 0:00:05.840 your bets. This be Joey p Joe Pie's a Pia. 0:00:05.960 --> 0:00:09.040 Today we're gonna be talking about some of our favorite 0:00:09.280 --> 0:00:11.560 bets for the Super Bowl. That's right, some best bets 0:00:11.600 --> 0:00:14.000 going on. We're gonna break the game down even further. 0:00:14.440 --> 0:00:17.200 Last week we did our preview where we did our 0:00:17.239 --> 0:00:20.040 first take with Matthew Friedman and Joe Rainieri. If you 0:00:20.040 --> 0:00:22.279 miss that, go back and listen then to or watch 0:00:22.320 --> 0:00:24.520 on our YouTube channel for Betting Pro. Subscribe when you 0:00:24.560 --> 0:00:27.440 do because it's good for your health. And also today 0:00:27.480 --> 0:00:29.720 we're gonna look at the game from a new perspective 0:00:29.720 --> 0:00:32.280 because we have two new people here to talk about that. 0:00:32.360 --> 0:00:35.760 Pat fits Morris of course back from Vegas where he 0:00:35.840 --> 0:00:37.479 was supposed to go put some money down for me. 0:00:37.520 --> 0:00:39.200 We'll talk about that later in the show and see 0:00:39.200 --> 0:00:42.120 how that worked out. And stepping in a last minute 0:00:42.120 --> 0:00:45.960 because Matthew Freedman was out of power, which is you know, 0:00:46.120 --> 0:00:48.680 very not not him himself. We plug him back in 0:00:49.240 --> 0:00:51.400 every single day at the end of the day, but 0:00:51.479 --> 0:00:54.240 his actual area was out of power some electrical storm. 0:00:54.320 --> 0:00:56.320 So Derek Brown debro the King of Bros. Is gonna 0:00:56.400 --> 0:00:58.440 join us, and we're gonna break down the game, break 0:00:58.480 --> 0:01:01.320 down the boys favorite bets, not the problem that's coming tomorrow. 0:01:01.480 --> 0:01:03.760 And of course don't forget one pm Eastern. We've got 0:01:03.760 --> 0:01:08.600 our live stream. Me, Matt Perrault, Matt Friedman, everybody's name 0:01:08.640 --> 0:01:11.840 Matt except me, one pm Eastern live stream, taking your questions, 0:01:11.880 --> 0:01:15.080 talking about the big game, super Bowl fifty seven, of course, 0:01:15.160 --> 0:01:17.280 and we are brought to you by BETMGM, the King 0:01:17.400 --> 0:01:19.760 of sports books. So if you haven't made wagers yet 0:01:19.840 --> 0:01:22.640 or you're thinking about it, go now download the BETMGM 0:01:22.640 --> 0:01:26.880 app and get going. Gentlemen, We've had just about our 0:01:26.920 --> 0:01:29.039 fill now we've had Super Bowl for two weeks. I 0:01:29.040 --> 0:01:31.120 always get like this when we do the Super Bowl shows. 0:01:31.440 --> 0:01:33.400 You know, it's like, yes, yes, it's one game. We're 0:01:33.400 --> 0:01:36.240 gonna sit here overthink everything, all that stuff. But I 0:01:36.319 --> 0:01:38.240 like that the fact that we're getting two new perspectives 0:01:38.240 --> 0:01:41.560 here on this. Now, Pat, here you go, this is 0:01:41.560 --> 0:01:43.560 the situation. The floor is going to be yours. The 0:01:43.640 --> 0:01:47.200 Kansas City Chiefs one and a half point underdog still 0:01:47.280 --> 0:01:49.160 to the Philadelphia Eagles. That is still the case. It's 0:01:49.160 --> 0:01:50.920 the case it was last week, it's the case it 0:01:51.000 --> 0:01:53.480 is right now, this is coming straight from bettingpros dot com. 0:01:53.800 --> 0:01:55.600 Fifteen and a half is the number for the over 0:01:55.720 --> 0:01:59.000 under fifty one. You can get over on DK because 0:01:59.000 --> 0:02:00.880 they like to be a little different, and right now 0:02:00.920 --> 0:02:03.480 fifteen and a half is the consensus pretty much everywhere 0:02:03.720 --> 0:02:05.680 and Kansas City. You're getting plus one oh five on 0:02:05.760 --> 0:02:09.320 the money line. So Pat, walk me through your vision 0:02:09.360 --> 0:02:12.799 of this game, write your narrative, and winant some money. 0:02:13.919 --> 0:02:17.720 Well, Joe, I'm kind of frustrated that I think these 0:02:17.919 --> 0:02:20.640 lines are spot on. Like I think the line and 0:02:20.680 --> 0:02:23.639 the total are just spot on, and I really have 0:02:23.840 --> 0:02:28.440 a hard time like generating much enthusiasm for either side 0:02:28.480 --> 0:02:31.000 of the spread, either side of the total when it 0:02:31.040 --> 0:02:34.760 first came out. I like the Chiefs in the underdog role. 0:02:35.160 --> 0:02:37.960 I think Patrick Mahomes is like seven and two against 0:02:38.000 --> 0:02:41.760 the spread lifetime as an underdog. You know, Jalen Hurts 0:02:42.200 --> 0:02:46.640 is away from Philadelphia. I think like six and twelve 0:02:46.639 --> 0:02:52.440 against the spread for his career. So I put something 0:02:52.480 --> 0:02:54.040 down on the Chiefs and the money line and got 0:02:54.080 --> 0:02:56.600 plus one oh five, Like that was my first thing. 0:02:56.639 --> 0:02:59.720 But the more I look at the Eagles, I wonder 0:02:59.800 --> 0:03:01.120 if that was the right play. 0:03:01.120 --> 0:03:02.640 They're just so well built. 0:03:03.200 --> 0:03:06.160 They have a great offensive line, they have a terrific 0:03:06.240 --> 0:03:09.720 dual threat quarterback. They have three very good pass catchers 0:03:09.760 --> 0:03:12.799 with aj Brown, devot To Smith and Dallas Goddard. They 0:03:12.840 --> 0:03:15.800 have a good trio of running backs. And then on defense, 0:03:15.919 --> 0:03:19.880 you know the number one pass defense Dvoa the most 0:03:19.919 --> 0:03:23.000 sacks by any team in the regular season since nineteen 0:03:23.080 --> 0:03:27.799 eighty four. Monsters of the Midway. Chicago Bears great pair 0:03:27.840 --> 0:03:32.480 of outside cornerbacks in Darius Slay and James Bradberry. Like, 0:03:32.560 --> 0:03:37.560 they are just so well constructed. So I kind of, 0:03:37.800 --> 0:03:40.240 you know, the more I thought about it, I wanted 0:03:40.240 --> 0:03:43.200 to get out of that position of having met the 0:03:43.280 --> 0:03:45.400 Chiefs with a little plus money on the money line. 0:03:46.320 --> 0:03:49.800 So I don't think if the Chiefs win, it's not 0:03:49.840 --> 0:03:51.360 going to be a blowout. They're not going to blow 0:03:51.640 --> 0:03:53.880 out this Eagles team. I think they're just too good. 0:03:54.600 --> 0:03:58.240 But I could potentially see if things go wrong for 0:03:58.320 --> 0:04:03.119 the Chiefs, if those receivers just can't get any separation 0:04:03.240 --> 0:04:07.600 against these corners, if they just can't keep the Philadelphia 0:04:07.640 --> 0:04:11.440 pass rush at bay. So I took an alternative spread, 0:04:11.560 --> 0:04:15.760 and I bet the Eagles minus thirteen and a half 0:04:16.080 --> 0:04:19.200 at plus four forty two. So you know, if it's 0:04:19.200 --> 0:04:22.320 a tight game, if the Eagles win by seven, I'm 0:04:22.320 --> 0:04:23.279 gonna lose everything. 0:04:23.560 --> 0:04:28.200 But you know, if the Chiefs win, the kids the 0:04:28.240 --> 0:04:31.880 car exactly, if the Chiefs win, or if it's a 0:04:31.920 --> 0:04:36.360 Philly blowout, I am, you know, potentially gonna win here. 0:04:36.480 --> 0:04:38.840 And on the total, I'm just I don't even know 0:04:38.839 --> 0:04:40.680 if I'm going to touch the total, Like I think 0:04:40.720 --> 0:04:43.080 it's just so spot on, and I could make a 0:04:43.120 --> 0:04:46.640 plausible argument for either side of it, over or under. 0:04:47.080 --> 0:04:48.520 I could see this playing out either way. 0:04:48.600 --> 0:04:50.880 I mean, I honestly, I mean, I think this could 0:04:51.000 --> 0:04:53.280 very easily be a twenty seven to twenty four game 0:04:53.320 --> 0:04:55.640 where it's just right there on the number. 0:04:56.080 --> 0:04:58.880 Very very similar to our conversations on the Fantasy Pro 0:04:59.000 --> 0:05:00.880 side yesterday in terms of score. That was some of 0:05:00.920 --> 0:05:03.320 the scores that we were thrown out just yesterday on 0:05:03.360 --> 0:05:06.000 that recording. It's funny because the perspective of Juveniri and 0:05:06.000 --> 0:05:10.320 Matthew Friedman last week was chiefs, chiefs role, chiefs go. 0:05:10.920 --> 0:05:12.799 And it's great to hear somebody else kind of bring 0:05:12.800 --> 0:05:15.000 that other side to it. To be honest with you, Pat, 0:05:15.040 --> 0:05:16.719 I kind of feel the same way you do about 0:05:16.760 --> 0:05:19.680 every line here on the game itself. I've got investments 0:05:19.720 --> 0:05:23.000 in the game, but not on the game itself yet, 0:05:23.320 --> 0:05:25.919 which to me screams if you don't see value there, 0:05:26.360 --> 0:05:29.680 you wait and you wait for in game live betting, 0:05:30.120 --> 0:05:32.039 and you wait and see if somebody's down by a 0:05:32.120 --> 0:05:34.920 touchdown or something like that or ten points a half, 0:05:35.160 --> 0:05:37.120 and then you look for where that spread is there, 0:05:37.160 --> 0:05:39.160 and then you go ahead, you make a wager there, 0:05:39.160 --> 0:05:40.800 because I think that's the only way to really make 0:05:40.839 --> 0:05:43.200 money on the game itself in this one, to be honest, 0:05:43.560 --> 0:05:45.960 it's just it's not like you're getting that big underdog. 0:05:46.320 --> 0:05:48.520 It's not like you're getting, you know, a situation where 0:05:48.560 --> 0:05:50.480 these teams are very close. You make a grid point 0:05:50.520 --> 0:05:54.719 too about these corners who are excellent. But Travis Kelsey 0:05:54.960 --> 0:05:56.560 is the guy, right. I mean, if you're gonna get 0:05:56.560 --> 0:05:59.560 mismatches on the linebackers, Kelsey's gonna be that dude. You're 0:05:59.560 --> 0:06:02.000 not trying to beat them with your wide receivers anyway. 0:06:02.040 --> 0:06:04.240 It's not really the game of the Kansasy Chiefs. They 0:06:04.240 --> 0:06:07.719 don't have Tyreek Hill anymore. But it's that question. De 0:06:07.839 --> 0:06:10.760 bro of whether or not the Eagles are for real 0:06:10.839 --> 0:06:15.279 or not and battle tested enough in the NFC. It's 0:06:15.400 --> 0:06:17.440 one thing to look good in the NFC. It's another 0:06:17.440 --> 0:06:19.240 thing to look good in the AFC. The Chiefs that 0:06:19.320 --> 0:06:23.080 look good in the AFC beating premium quarterbacks on a 0:06:23.240 --> 0:06:27.200 pretty regular basis. And I know we talked about the 0:06:27.240 --> 0:06:29.080 sess around the Fantasy prece pod, but you were, mister 0:06:29.120 --> 0:06:31.240 Eagle in the summer. You were talking about the Eagles offense, 0:06:31.240 --> 0:06:32.839 how good it was going to be. You're talking about 0:06:32.880 --> 0:06:35.479 this Eagles team. And sure enough, here we are. It 0:06:35.640 --> 0:06:37.920 is the ninth of February and we're still talking about 0:06:37.920 --> 0:06:41.040 the Eagles. So let's get another perspective here on this game. 0:06:41.080 --> 0:06:43.440 Once again, you're looking at the Eagles being one and 0:06:43.440 --> 0:06:45.720 a half point favorites fifteen and a half unless you're 0:06:45.720 --> 0:06:47.880 a DK at fifty one plus one oh five is 0:06:47.920 --> 0:06:50.360 the money line? D what do you think about this 0:06:50.960 --> 0:06:53.360 line here on this game? And do you see any 0:06:53.400 --> 0:06:54.880 value at this point? Do you want to invest in? 0:06:55.680 --> 0:06:58.480 Not really? I mean to be honest, all these lines 0:06:58.520 --> 0:07:00.720 are spot on. I with Pat, and in that instance, 0:07:01.760 --> 0:07:04.279 you can tick on my fancy a little bit on 0:07:04.320 --> 0:07:04.880 the fifteen and. 0:07:04.880 --> 0:07:07.599 A half hr told me I can't do that. They said, 0:07:07.600 --> 0:07:09.320 don't kick on anyone's fancy anymore. 0:07:09.560 --> 0:07:12.280 I won't tell anybody, Joe, I promise. This is kind 0:07:12.280 --> 0:07:15.040 of like Vegas and Mobile. What happens here stays here. Okay, 0:07:15.120 --> 0:07:20.320 so just saying, but Vegas and Mobile Mobile is like Vegas. 0:07:20.360 --> 0:07:23.040 Whatever happens at Beats stays at Beat's just gonna. 0:07:22.800 --> 0:07:25.880 Say, Wow, I gotta go travel there anyway. 0:07:27.560 --> 0:07:31.480 But looking at this game overall, man, like I all these. 0:07:31.320 --> 0:07:33.040 Lines are extremely good. 0:07:33.160 --> 0:07:35.520 I think the if looking at the total at the 0:07:35.520 --> 0:07:40.000 fifteen and a half, I am willing to take the 0:07:40.160 --> 0:07:42.920 over there if I'm pressed on any of these lines, 0:07:43.120 --> 0:07:45.040 like the money line, even for the Chiefs said plus 0:07:45.040 --> 0:07:47.000 one oh five is not enough for me to really 0:07:47.040 --> 0:07:49.720 go that direction in a game that, yes, like the 0:07:49.800 --> 0:07:53.120 Eagles are one and a half favorites. I would not 0:07:53.160 --> 0:07:55.920 have been surprised ever since this opened if this moved 0:07:55.960 --> 0:07:57.800 more to a pick them, and I still won't be 0:07:57.800 --> 0:08:00.200 surprised if we get late line movement now at this 0:08:00.240 --> 0:08:00.760 point in the week. 0:08:00.840 --> 0:08:03.360 Is that probably waiting for that and it still hasn't 0:08:03.360 --> 0:08:06.240 happened yet, which is fascinating, and it's kind of Super 0:08:06.280 --> 0:08:08.040 Bowl such a public game, and so many people come 0:08:08.040 --> 0:08:09.480 out of the woodwork to bet on it too, so 0:08:09.640 --> 0:08:11.920 it changes the perspective a little bit of it. But 0:08:12.240 --> 0:08:13.680 I keep going back to the same thing where I 0:08:13.720 --> 0:08:15.560 just mentioned, which is, you know, if the Eagles are 0:08:16.640 --> 0:08:21.280 down by ten at half and you get three to 0:08:21.360 --> 0:08:24.240 one on them, I think that's an investment to make. 0:08:24.400 --> 0:08:26.080 I would say the same thing if the Chiefs were 0:08:26.080 --> 0:08:29.160 down by dead and half, I'd be looking to put 0:08:29.200 --> 0:08:30.960 you know, two and a half to one to three 0:08:30.960 --> 0:08:32.480 to one money there. To me, that's how you make 0:08:32.520 --> 0:08:34.319 money on the game itself as you kind of wait 0:08:34.360 --> 0:08:37.880 for it to unfold, because you know, I just it's 0:08:38.080 --> 0:08:40.319 really hard to see the wiggle room here in the 0:08:40.360 --> 0:08:42.360 way it's been set up. It is. 0:08:42.400 --> 0:08:45.480 It's tough and that and honestly, the reasons you're saying 0:08:45.520 --> 0:08:47.439 to live bet it because you see, both of these 0:08:47.440 --> 0:08:50.720 teams have extremely talented offenses. Both of them have the 0:08:50.760 --> 0:08:52.839 ability to come back from these types of deficits. So 0:08:52.840 --> 0:08:56.280 if you're getting plus money live betting it, that that's 0:08:56.400 --> 0:08:58.480 kind of the reasons why, Like I kind of like 0:08:58.559 --> 0:09:02.120 going over on the total, because if you look at 0:09:02.120 --> 0:09:04.520 this game as a whole, like a lot of games 0:09:04.520 --> 0:09:06.800 in the playoffs or just in the NFL in general, 0:09:07.080 --> 0:09:09.640 can be dragged down by one side or the other. 0:09:09.840 --> 0:09:12.440 How fast these teams are running. You know, you and 0:09:12.480 --> 0:09:14.600 I have talked about it the entire season about when 0:09:14.600 --> 0:09:17.160 you played Tennessee. They love to drag down the pace. 0:09:17.400 --> 0:09:20.000 They love to make it a disgusting game. Both of 0:09:20.040 --> 0:09:22.760 these teams run at an extremely high pace. And that's 0:09:22.760 --> 0:09:25.520 why we were talking about with Jim previously on the 0:09:25.520 --> 0:09:28.280 Fantasy Press podcast that like, I like a lot of 0:09:28.280 --> 0:09:30.839 the overs in some of this game because the fact 0:09:30.880 --> 0:09:32.839 is I look at the play volume and I think 0:09:32.880 --> 0:09:35.480 it's going to be fantastic because the Chiefs, we know 0:09:35.520 --> 0:09:37.480 they're going to run fast. They're going to run a 0:09:37.520 --> 0:09:40.400 lot of plays. The Eagles have not been pushed an 0:09:40.640 --> 0:09:43.880 entire game for most of the season. To do that, 0:09:44.160 --> 0:09:46.439 they run a lot of no huddle, they run. 0:09:46.280 --> 0:09:47.240 In a fast pace. 0:09:47.760 --> 0:09:51.040 And if the Chiefs pushed in the entire game, you're 0:09:51.080 --> 0:09:54.720 going to get fantastic play volume amounts in this game. 0:09:54.800 --> 0:09:58.880 So lots of plays, lots of scoring, lots of scoring attempts. 0:09:59.160 --> 0:10:00.839 And that's why if I'm going to be pressed to 0:10:00.880 --> 0:10:03.800 take anything here, I'll take the over on the fifteen 0:10:03.800 --> 0:10:05.959 and a half, but past that, I'm probably just staying 0:10:05.960 --> 0:10:06.880 away for the rest of it. 0:10:07.480 --> 0:10:08.920 I think you'll know if the over is going to 0:10:09.000 --> 0:10:10.440 come in early in this game, I think you're gonna 0:10:10.480 --> 0:10:12.360 see it. You know, if these teams come out flat, 0:10:12.400 --> 0:10:15.000 and that happened so many times. The first quarter of 0:10:15.000 --> 0:10:17.240 the Super Bowl typically is very flat. Teams haven't played 0:10:17.240 --> 0:10:19.200 in a while, they're playing an opponent they're not used to. 0:10:19.280 --> 0:10:21.560 Everyone's got to feeling each other out. The adrenaline's pumping. 0:10:22.040 --> 0:10:24.000 If you get a score in that first drive, even 0:10:24.000 --> 0:10:26.400 a field goal, that's that bodes well if you put 0:10:26.400 --> 0:10:28.600 the money on the over, I think. But if you're 0:10:28.640 --> 0:10:30.800 going to get a scoreless first quarter, I'm telling you 0:10:30.840 --> 0:10:32.840 right now, it's going to be a real tough game 0:10:32.840 --> 0:10:35.320 of catchup. You might want to once again wait for 0:10:35.360 --> 0:10:38.559 a little time to unfold in this game, then attack 0:10:38.640 --> 0:10:40.600 it in the game itself. To me, that is the 0:10:40.600 --> 0:10:42.560 approach with this Super Bowl, with these two teams and 0:10:42.600 --> 0:10:44.360 how it looks. Let's take a quick break in the 0:10:44.360 --> 0:10:47.439 action to tell you about bet MGM, the King of sportsbooks. 0:10:47.440 --> 0:10:49.520 Sign up today with bet MGM and use that promo 0:10:49.559 --> 0:10:52.400 code betting Pros when you do, and your first wager 0:10:52.520 --> 0:10:55.720 is risk free up to one thousand dollars. Visit betmgm 0:10:55.760 --> 0:10:58.160 dot com for terms and conditions, and don't forget to 0:10:58.200 --> 0:11:00.839 use that promo code betting Pros. It's one word betting 0:11:00.880 --> 0:11:03.240 Pros when you sign up today. And now back to 0:11:03.280 --> 0:11:06.400 the action. We've seen again, very little movement here, actually 0:11:06.480 --> 0:11:08.719 almost no movement. And if you're looking for any of 0:11:08.760 --> 0:11:10.240 the move and make sure that you have that Betting 0:11:10.240 --> 0:11:12.439 Pros app too, so you could stay on this if 0:11:12.440 --> 0:11:14.320 it does move to even or it does move in 0:11:14.360 --> 0:11:16.640 the next twenty four to forty eight hours, and of 0:11:16.679 --> 0:11:18.679 course we'll have you covered too. Don't forget live stream 0:11:18.760 --> 0:11:22.640 on Sunday one pm Eastern. It's gonna be fantastic live 0:11:22.760 --> 0:11:25.079 talking to you all about some of the best bets 0:11:25.080 --> 0:11:26.800 we can make here of this one. All right, so 0:11:27.000 --> 0:11:29.240 let's chat about this here. We're going to talk about 0:11:29.280 --> 0:11:32.520 the boys' favorite bets here. And these are non player 0:11:32.640 --> 0:11:35.600 prop bets, which means that if you want the player props, well, 0:11:35.600 --> 0:11:38.559 Pafitts Morris is gonna have you covered, I believe tomorrow. Yes, Pat, 0:11:38.840 --> 0:11:40.960 that's gonna be your uh, your lot in life. I 0:11:41.120 --> 0:11:44.320 just did a whole video of my ten favorite bets 0:11:44.360 --> 0:11:46.600 and it's a big mix of things. So this is 0:11:46.640 --> 0:11:49.600 just bets surrounding the game. So Pat, let's talk about 0:11:49.600 --> 0:11:51.520 the first one on your list and we'll go debro. 0:11:51.880 --> 0:11:53.800 We'll go a little back and forth action for you. So, 0:11:53.880 --> 0:11:56.960 nonplayer prop give me one of your favorite bets this 0:11:57.000 --> 0:11:58.040 weekend for the Super Bowl. 0:11:58.400 --> 0:11:58.640 Yeah. 0:11:58.679 --> 0:12:01.120 When I was pouring through the and man, it takes 0:12:01.120 --> 0:12:02.800 a while to get through them all because you can 0:12:02.840 --> 0:12:04.800 bet on virtually anything. 0:12:04.440 --> 0:12:07.840 About this game, virtually anything, pretty much really everything. 0:12:08.240 --> 0:12:11.160 Yeah, So one that kind of stood out to me, 0:12:11.400 --> 0:12:13.520 and I, you know, had to plunge into this and 0:12:14.240 --> 0:12:16.800 research it a bit to see if you know, it 0:12:17.280 --> 0:12:20.360 stood out after I had parsed it a bit more. 0:12:21.200 --> 0:12:26.400 Jersey number of first touchdown scorer over eleven point five 0:12:26.800 --> 0:12:30.040 and you get plus money on this. It's actually juiced 0:12:30.160 --> 0:12:33.240 towards under eleven point five. It's plus one oh five 0:12:33.280 --> 0:12:36.080 if you take over eleven and a half. So for 0:12:36.160 --> 0:12:39.040 the Chiefs, the ways that I could lose this wager 0:12:39.160 --> 0:12:43.120 are with Jerck McKinnon number one, Isaiah P. Jacko number ten, 0:12:43.600 --> 0:12:46.040 Juju Smith Schuster number nine, mvs. 0:12:46.160 --> 0:12:46.840 Number eleven. 0:12:47.520 --> 0:12:50.440 And the Eagles who could thwart this bet are aj 0:12:50.600 --> 0:12:55.120 Brown number eleven, Devata Smith number six, Jalen Hurts number one. 0:12:55.360 --> 0:12:57.280 That's the big one, and then you know maybe Zach 0:12:57.320 --> 0:13:01.120 Pascal number three, then becoming upset. But you know, you 0:13:01.160 --> 0:13:05.120 get some big guns with the Chiefs with Kelsey, you know, 0:13:05.160 --> 0:13:08.840 and then maybe some supporting guys Kadarius Tony, Noah Gray, 0:13:08.960 --> 0:13:13.360 Jody Forts, and the Eagles Miles Sanders, Kenneth Gainwell, Boston Scott, 0:13:13.400 --> 0:13:16.480 all their running backs plus Dallas Goddard. Now, in two 0:13:16.559 --> 0:13:20.360 playoff games, five of the eagles nine touchdowns had been 0:13:20.400 --> 0:13:22.800 scored by the running backs, and one of the other 0:13:22.880 --> 0:13:25.240 four was scored by Dallas Goddard. So six of their 0:13:25.320 --> 0:13:30.079 nine touchdowns in the playoffs by guys wearing jersey numbers 0:13:30.160 --> 0:13:33.640 higher than eleven and a half. And you know, for 0:13:33.720 --> 0:13:38.360 the Chiefs, like, I'm big on that Travis Kelcey. I know, 0:13:38.400 --> 0:13:40.559 we don't want to talk about player props, and you know, 0:13:40.640 --> 0:13:43.880 I'm gonna put something on Travis kelcey first touchdown at 0:13:43.920 --> 0:13:47.400 plus seven hundred. I feel that's you know, a pretty 0:13:47.400 --> 0:13:51.800 good price for him. So yeah, I like getting plus 0:13:51.880 --> 0:13:54.480 money on this one. I think it's you know, it 0:13:54.520 --> 0:13:57.120 should be more like an even money bat, But I 0:13:57.160 --> 0:13:59.560 think this one looks pretty good. I kind of have 0:13:59.559 --> 0:14:01.199 a feeling it's going to be one of those Eagles 0:14:01.280 --> 0:14:02.840 running backs punching it in first. 0:14:03.320 --> 0:14:05.680 I like it. It's outside the box, it's different. I 0:14:05.720 --> 0:14:08.040 have not heard anyone talk about this wager, and I 0:14:08.080 --> 0:14:10.360 feel like I've heard everyone talk about every single wager. 0:14:10.400 --> 0:14:12.280 So this is fantastic. All right, de bro, let's go 0:14:12.280 --> 0:14:13.840 to you for one of your favorite bets on the 0:14:13.840 --> 0:14:15.880 board for Super Bowl fifty seven. What do you got? 0:14:16.760 --> 0:14:19.280 All right, Well, we're essentially going to call this the 0:14:19.360 --> 0:14:24.320 Kadarius Tony bet. Okay, any player to have a pass completion, 0:14:24.600 --> 0:14:27.440 a reception, and a rushing attempt is plus nine hundred 0:14:27.480 --> 0:14:30.920 on DK right now. And I mean, look at Kadarius 0:14:30.920 --> 0:14:34.520 Tony three passing attempts for the Giants last year. You 0:14:34.600 --> 0:14:36.760 cannot sit here and tell me that Andy Reid does 0:14:36.760 --> 0:14:37.920 not have some type. 0:14:37.640 --> 0:14:38.920 Of trickery up his sleeve. 0:14:39.280 --> 0:14:41.280 If we see them playing ring around the rosie before 0:14:41.320 --> 0:14:44.160 they line up and sit here and call a play, 0:14:44.640 --> 0:14:47.520 I'm not ruling anything out with Andy Reid. So Tony 0:14:47.800 --> 0:14:50.200 had the passing attempts last year. We know the trick 0:14:50.240 --> 0:14:52.520 plays are in Andy Reid's bag, and when he's in 0:14:52.560 --> 0:14:56.840 his bag, man, all bets are off. And he's also 0:14:56.880 --> 0:14:59.160 had six rushing attempts since he's been with the Chiefs. 0:14:59.160 --> 0:15:02.200 So you're getting plus nine hundred on this. I know 0:15:02.280 --> 0:15:06.360 it sounds kind of wild, but I mean it's Cadarius Tony. 0:15:06.440 --> 0:15:09.600 They're using him in all different facets. I would like 0:15:09.680 --> 0:15:11.200 this a little bit more if it was like plus 0:15:11.200 --> 0:15:12.880 one thousand, a little bit higher, but it was still 0:15:12.920 --> 0:15:13.880 at plus nine hundred. 0:15:14.760 --> 0:15:18.040 I'm still interested. Well, it's interesting too because we have 0:15:18.240 --> 0:15:21.680 the news on Cadarius Tony that he is running all 0:15:21.720 --> 0:15:24.960 over the place at practice whatever that means. So and 0:15:25.000 --> 0:15:26.720 this is the all I need for him to do 0:15:26.760 --> 0:15:30.640 is vacuum. The Super Bowl creates such an annoying thing. 0:15:30.920 --> 0:15:33.320 Everybody farts and it's a story and we've got to 0:15:33.360 --> 0:15:36.640 tell you, you know. But I will say this. I 0:15:36.680 --> 0:15:40.320 will say this, A healthy Canarius Tony is definitely a gadget. 0:15:40.320 --> 0:15:44.000 And without having me call Harmon around, I don't think 0:15:44.000 --> 0:15:45.480 this is that crazy. I mean, you could throw a 0:15:45.480 --> 0:15:48.280 small unit on this just for fun and plus nine 0:15:48.360 --> 0:15:51.000 hundred still be very happy about that's kind of a 0:15:51.000 --> 0:15:53.720 fun thing. That's over on DK. All right, Pat, let's 0:15:53.760 --> 0:15:55.520 go back to you for another one of your favorite 0:15:55.840 --> 0:15:58.360 bets here for Super Bowl fifty seven on Sunday. 0:15:58.400 --> 0:16:00.600 What we have, all right, this one, it's sort of 0:16:00.960 --> 0:16:06.000 correlated with my Jersey number bet its first first touchdown 0:16:06.120 --> 0:16:11.840 type rushing or passing. I took rushing for plus one sixty, 0:16:12.520 --> 0:16:15.400 so you know, getting some a good payout here if 0:16:15.400 --> 0:16:19.640 the first touchdown is a touchdown run. In the regular season, 0:16:19.680 --> 0:16:22.760 the Eagles had twenty five touchdown passes and thirty two 0:16:22.880 --> 0:16:27.160 touchdown runs, and in the playoffs so far, two touchdown passes, 0:16:27.640 --> 0:16:31.360 seven touchdown runs. So not only all of those running 0:16:31.360 --> 0:16:33.760 backs who've been piling up touchdowns in the playoffs, but 0:16:34.000 --> 0:16:37.480 of course Jalen hurts himself, and you know with the 0:16:37.840 --> 0:16:41.920 Chiefs not quite as well balanced there. They've had forty 0:16:41.960 --> 0:16:45.800 one touchdown passes in the regular season, eighteen touchdown runs 0:16:46.320 --> 0:16:48.400 and no touchdown runs for them. 0:16:48.280 --> 0:16:49.080 In the playoffs. 0:16:49.160 --> 0:16:52.800 But I mean, we know the Eagles have a fantastic 0:16:52.840 --> 0:16:55.360 pass defense, talked about that at the top of the show. 0:16:55.480 --> 0:16:59.280 Number one in DVA, number one in sacks. The run 0:16:59.320 --> 0:17:02.240 defense not as good. I mean they're twenty first in 0:17:02.400 --> 0:17:06.000 DVOA against the run, although granted they have been a 0:17:06.040 --> 0:17:09.000 lot better since November when they traded for or not 0:17:09.080 --> 0:17:13.879 traded for, but signed in Dema Kong Sue and Linval Joseph, 0:17:13.960 --> 0:17:17.320 and they also got Jordan Davis, that big defensive tackle 0:17:17.480 --> 0:17:20.640 rookie from Georgia, back from an injury that it kept 0:17:20.680 --> 0:17:23.160 him out about a month. So I think from week 0:17:23.280 --> 0:17:27.840 thirteen on they've been number eight maybe in DVOA against 0:17:27.880 --> 0:17:30.440 the run, like they've been better, but I think that's 0:17:30.560 --> 0:17:34.080 still the way you want to attack them, and you know, 0:17:34.160 --> 0:17:38.520 maybe that boosts the Chiefs running percentage a little bit 0:17:38.560 --> 0:17:41.520 more than it otherwise would be, just because this Eagles 0:17:41.560 --> 0:17:44.000 pass defense is so tough. So I think if the 0:17:44.000 --> 0:17:47.080 Eagles score first, very good chance it's a running touchdown. 0:17:47.600 --> 0:17:49.040 And I think there's even a little bit of a 0:17:49.160 --> 0:17:51.280 chance that on the Chiefs first score that that would 0:17:51.320 --> 0:17:54.159 be a running touchdown. So I think getting plus one 0:17:54.160 --> 0:17:57.000 point sixty on this bet is a pretty good proposition. 0:17:57.560 --> 0:18:00.000 Will you get Miles Sanders score in a touchdown first 0:18:00.080 --> 0:18:03.400 if it's more somewhere around six forty two Eastern Time 0:18:03.480 --> 0:18:06.200 is gonna be very excited because he's gonna cash not once, 0:18:06.280 --> 0:18:10.000 but twice on that narrative. I like that. Build your narrative, folks, 0:18:10.040 --> 0:18:11.600 That's what we're trying to do here, all right, d 0:18:11.720 --> 0:18:13.600 bro back to you give me another one of your 0:18:13.640 --> 0:18:15.040 favorite bets for Sunday. 0:18:15.640 --> 0:18:17.360 Now, I'm gonna stay on the chief side. I'm gonna 0:18:17.359 --> 0:18:20.080 go with Isaiah Pachecko to be the fastest ball carrier 0:18:20.240 --> 0:18:22.639 you can get this at plus four point fifty on 0:18:22.800 --> 0:18:27.320 DK in the playoffs, Isaiah Pichecko is tied with Jalen 0:18:27.359 --> 0:18:31.520 Waddle for the second fastest ball carrier speed in the 0:18:31.560 --> 0:18:35.320 playoffs at twenty point nine to seven miles per hour. 0:18:35.840 --> 0:18:37.440 Nobody else has come close. 0:18:37.160 --> 0:18:40.200 To that on either side of the aisle for these teams, 0:18:40.520 --> 0:18:43.200 and with Pachecko that came on a thirty nine yard 0:18:43.320 --> 0:18:46.200 rush in the divisional round. You look at the Eagles 0:18:46.200 --> 0:18:48.359 and Pats talked about this a few different times. The 0:18:48.400 --> 0:18:50.560 way that you can beat them, it's a little bit easier, 0:18:51.000 --> 0:18:54.280 is on the ground. This team is top five and 0:18:54.359 --> 0:18:57.960 explosive pass rate allowed, but if we look over to 0:18:58.000 --> 0:19:01.639