Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to betting pros. It's time to place
Speaker 1: your bets. This be Joey p Joe Pie's a Pia.
Speaker 1: Today we're gonna be talking about some of our favorite
Speaker 1: bets for the Super Bowl. That's right, some best bets
Speaker 1: going on. We're gonna break the game down even further.
Speaker 1: Last week we did our preview where we did our
Speaker 1: first take with Matthew Friedman and Joe Rainieri. If you
Speaker 1: miss that, go back and listen then to or watch
Speaker 1: on our YouTube channel for Betting Pro. Subscribe when you
Speaker 1: do because it's good for your health. And also today
Speaker 1: we're gonna look at the game from a new perspective
Speaker 1: because we have two new people here to talk about that.
Speaker 1: Pat fits Morris of course back from Vegas where he
Speaker 1: was supposed to go put some money down for me.
Speaker 1: We'll talk about that later in the show and see
Speaker 1: how that worked out. And stepping in a last minute
Speaker 1: because Matthew Freedman was out of power, which is you know,
Speaker 1: very not not him himself. We plug him back in
Speaker 1: every single day at the end of the day, but
Speaker 1: his actual area was out of power some electrical storm.
Speaker 1: So Derek Brown debro the King of Bros. Is gonna
Speaker 1: join us, and we're gonna break down the game, break
Speaker 1: down the boys favorite bets, not the problem that's coming tomorrow.
Speaker 1: And of course don't forget one pm Eastern. We've got
Speaker 1: our live stream. Me, Matt Perrault, Matt Friedman, everybody's name
Speaker 1: Matt except me, one pm Eastern live stream, taking your questions,
Speaker 1: talking about the big game, super Bowl fifty seven, of course,
Speaker 1: and we are brought to you by BETMGM, the King
Speaker 1: of sports books. So if you haven't made wagers yet
Speaker 1: or you're thinking about it, go now download the BETMGM
Speaker 1: app and get going. Gentlemen, We've had just about our
Speaker 1: fill now we've had Super Bowl for two weeks. I
Speaker 1: always get like this when we do the Super Bowl shows.
Speaker 1: You know, it's like, yes, yes, it's one game. We're
Speaker 1: gonna sit here overthink everything, all that stuff. But I
Speaker 1: like that the fact that we're getting two new perspectives
Speaker 1: here on this. Now, Pat, here you go, this is
Speaker 1: the situation. The floor is going to be yours. The
Speaker 1: Kansas City Chiefs one and a half point underdog still
Speaker 1: to the Philadelphia Eagles. That is still the case. It's
Speaker 1: the case it was last week, it's the case it
Speaker 1: is right now, this is coming straight from bettingpros dot com.
Speaker 1: Fifteen and a half is the number for the over
Speaker 1: under fifty one. You can get over on DK because
Speaker 1: they like to be a little different, and right now
Speaker 1: fifteen and a half is the consensus pretty much everywhere
Speaker 1: and Kansas City. You're getting plus one oh five on
Speaker 1: the money line. So Pat, walk me through your vision
Speaker 1: of this game, write your narrative, and winant some money.
Speaker 2: Well, Joe, I'm kind of frustrated that I think these
Speaker 2: lines are spot on. Like I think the line and
Speaker 2: the total are just spot on, and I really have
Speaker 2: a hard time like generating much enthusiasm for either side
Speaker 2: of the spread, either side of the total when it
Speaker 2: first came out. I like the Chiefs in the underdog role.
Speaker 2: I think Patrick Mahomes is like seven and two against
Speaker 2: the spread lifetime as an underdog. You know, Jalen Hurts
Speaker 2: is away from Philadelphia. I think like six and twelve
Speaker 2: against the spread for his career. So I put something
Speaker 2: down on the Chiefs and the money line and got
Speaker 2: plus one oh five, Like that was my first thing.
Speaker 2: But the more I look at the Eagles, I wonder
Speaker 2: if that was the right play.
Speaker 3: They're just so well built.
Speaker 2: They have a great offensive line, they have a terrific
Speaker 2: dual threat quarterback. They have three very good pass catchers
Speaker 2: with aj Brown, devot To Smith and Dallas Goddard. They
Speaker 2: have a good trio of running backs. And then on defense,
Speaker 2: you know the number one pass defense Dvoa the most
Speaker 2: sacks by any team in the regular season since nineteen
Speaker 2: eighty four. Monsters of the Midway. Chicago Bears great pair
Speaker 2: of outside cornerbacks in Darius Slay and James Bradberry. Like,
Speaker 2: they are just so well constructed. So I kind of,
Speaker 2: you know, the more I thought about it, I wanted
Speaker 2: to get out of that position of having met the
Speaker 2: Chiefs with a little plus money on the money line.
Speaker 2: So I don't think if the Chiefs win, it's not
Speaker 2: going to be a blowout. They're not going to blow
Speaker 2: out this Eagles team. I think they're just too good.
Speaker 2: But I could potentially see if things go wrong for
Speaker 2: the Chiefs, if those receivers just can't get any separation
Speaker 2: against these corners, if they just can't keep the Philadelphia
Speaker 2: pass rush at bay. So I took an alternative spread,
Speaker 2: and I bet the Eagles minus thirteen and a half
Speaker 2: at plus four forty two. So you know, if it's
Speaker 2: a tight game, if the Eagles win by seven, I'm
Speaker 2: gonna lose everything.
Speaker 4: But you know, if the Chiefs win, the kids the
Speaker 4: car exactly, if the Chiefs win, or if it's a
Speaker 4: Philly blowout, I am, you know, potentially gonna win here.
Speaker 2: And on the total, I'm just I don't even know
Speaker 2: if I'm going to touch the total, Like I think
Speaker 2: it's just so spot on, and I could make a
Speaker 2: plausible argument for either side of it, over or under.
Speaker 3: I could see this playing out either way.
Speaker 2: I mean, I honestly, I mean, I think this could
Speaker 2: very easily be a twenty seven to twenty four game
Speaker 2: where it's just right there on the number.
Speaker 1: Very very similar to our conversations on the Fantasy Pro
Speaker 1: side yesterday in terms of score. That was some of
Speaker 1: the scores that we were thrown out just yesterday on
Speaker 1: that recording. It's funny because the perspective of Juveniri and
Speaker 1: Matthew Friedman last week was chiefs, chiefs role, chiefs go.
Speaker 1: And it's great to hear somebody else kind of bring
Speaker 1: that other side to it. To be honest with you, Pat,
Speaker 1: I kind of feel the same way you do about
Speaker 1: every line here on the game itself. I've got investments
Speaker 1: in the game, but not on the game itself yet,
Speaker 1: which to me screams if you don't see value there,
Speaker 1: you wait and you wait for in game live betting,
Speaker 1: and you wait and see if somebody's down by a
Speaker 1: touchdown or something like that or ten points a half,
Speaker 1: and then you look for where that spread is there,
Speaker 1: and then you go ahead, you make a wager there,
Speaker 1: because I think that's the only way to really make
Speaker 1: money on the game itself in this one, to be honest,
Speaker 1: it's just it's not like you're getting that big underdog.
Speaker 1: It's not like you're getting, you know, a situation where
Speaker 1: these teams are very close. You make a grid point
Speaker 1: too about these corners who are excellent. But Travis Kelsey
Speaker 1: is the guy, right. I mean, if you're gonna get
Speaker 1: mismatches on the linebackers, Kelsey's gonna be that dude. You're
Speaker 1: not trying to beat them with your wide receivers anyway.
Speaker 1: It's not really the game of the Kansasy Chiefs. They
Speaker 1: don't have Tyreek Hill anymore. But it's that question. De
Speaker 1: bro of whether or not the Eagles are for real
Speaker 1: or not and battle tested enough in the NFC. It's
Speaker 1: one thing to look good in the NFC. It's another
Speaker 1: thing to look good in the AFC. The Chiefs that
Speaker 1: look good in the AFC beating premium quarterbacks on a
Speaker 1: pretty regular basis. And I know we talked about the
Speaker 1: sess around the Fantasy prece pod, but you were, mister
Speaker 1: Eagle in the summer. You were talking about the Eagles offense,
Speaker 1: how good it was going to be. You're talking about
Speaker 1: this Eagles team. And sure enough, here we are. It
Speaker 1: is the ninth of February and we're still talking about
Speaker 1: the Eagles. So let's get another perspective here on this game.
Speaker 1: Once again, you're looking at the Eagles being one and
Speaker 1: a half point favorites fifteen and a half unless you're
Speaker 1: a DK at fifty one plus one oh five is
Speaker 1: the money line? D what do you think about this
Speaker 1: line here on this game? And do you see any
Speaker 1: value at this point? Do you want to invest in?
Speaker 5: Not really? I mean to be honest, all these lines
Speaker 5: are spot on. I with Pat, and in that instance,
Speaker 5: you can tick on my fancy a little bit on
Speaker 5: the fifteen and.
Speaker 1: A half hr told me I can't do that. They said,
Speaker 1: don't kick on anyone's fancy anymore.
Speaker 5: I won't tell anybody, Joe, I promise. This is kind
Speaker 5: of like Vegas and Mobile. What happens here stays here. Okay,
Speaker 5: so just saying, but Vegas and Mobile Mobile is like Vegas.
Speaker 5: Whatever happens at Beats stays at Beat's just gonna.
Speaker 1: Say, Wow, I gotta go travel there anyway.
Speaker 5: But looking at this game overall, man, like I all these.
Speaker 1: Lines are extremely good.
Speaker 5: I think the if looking at the total at the
Speaker 5: fifteen and a half, I am willing to take the
Speaker 5: over there if I'm pressed on any of these lines,
Speaker 5: like the money line, even for the Chiefs said plus
Speaker 5: one oh five is not enough for me to really
Speaker 5: go that direction in a game that, yes, like the
Speaker 5: Eagles are one and a half favorites. I would not
Speaker 5: have been surprised ever since this opened if this moved
Speaker 5: more to a pick them, and I still won't be
Speaker 5: surprised if we get late line movement now at this
Speaker 5: point in the week.
Speaker 1: Is that probably waiting for that and it still hasn't
Speaker 1: happened yet, which is fascinating, and it's kind of Super
Speaker 1: Bowl such a public game, and so many people come
Speaker 1: out of the woodwork to bet on it too, so
Speaker 1: it changes the perspective a little bit of it. But
Speaker 1: I keep going back to the same thing where I
Speaker 1: just mentioned, which is, you know, if the Eagles are
Speaker 1: down by ten at half and you get three to
Speaker 1: one on them, I think that's an investment to make.
Speaker 1: I would say the same thing if the Chiefs were
Speaker 1: down by dead and half, I'd be looking to put
Speaker 1: you know, two and a half to one to three
Speaker 1: to one money there. To me, that's how you make
Speaker 1: money on the game itself as you kind of wait
Speaker 1: for it to unfold, because you know, I just it's
Speaker 1: really hard to see the wiggle room here in the
Speaker 1: way it's been set up. It is.
Speaker 5: It's tough and that and honestly, the reasons you're saying
Speaker 5: to live bet it because you see, both of these
Speaker 5: teams have extremely talented offenses. Both of them have the
Speaker 5: ability to come back from these types of deficits. So
Speaker 5: if you're getting plus money live betting it, that that's
Speaker 5: kind of the reasons why, Like I kind of like
Speaker 5: going over on the total, because if you look at
Speaker 5: this game as a whole, like a lot of games
Speaker 5: in the playoffs or just in the NFL in general,
Speaker 5: can be dragged down by one side or the other.
Speaker 5: How fast these teams are running. You know, you and
Speaker 5: I have talked about it the entire season about when
Speaker 5: you played Tennessee. They love to drag down the pace.
Speaker 5: They love to make it a disgusting game. Both of
Speaker 5: these teams run at an extremely high pace. And that's
Speaker 5: why we were talking about with Jim previously on the
Speaker 5: Fantasy Press podcast that like, I like a lot of
Speaker 5: the overs in some of this game because the fact
Speaker 5: is I look at the play volume and I think
Speaker 5: it's going to be fantastic because the Chiefs, we know
Speaker 5: they're going to run fast. They're going to run a
Speaker 5: lot of plays. The Eagles have not been pushed an
Speaker 5: entire game for most of the season. To do that,
Speaker 5: they run a lot of no huddle, they run.
Speaker 1: In a fast pace.
Speaker 5: And if the Chiefs pushed in the entire game, you're
Speaker 5: going to get fantastic play volume amounts in this game.
Speaker 5: So lots of plays, lots of scoring, lots of scoring attempts.
Speaker 5: And that's why if I'm going to be pressed to
Speaker 5: take anything here, I'll take the over on the fifteen
Speaker 5: and a half, but past that, I'm probably just staying
Speaker 5: away for the rest of it.
Speaker 1: I think you'll know if the over is going to
Speaker 1: come in early in this game, I think you're gonna
Speaker 1: see it. You know, if these teams come out flat,
Speaker 1: and that happened so many times. The first quarter of
Speaker 1: the Super Bowl typically is very flat. Teams haven't played
Speaker 1: in a while, they're playing an opponent they're not used to.
Speaker 1: Everyone's got to feeling each other out. The adrenaline's pumping.
Speaker 1: If you get a score in that first drive, even
Speaker 1: a field goal, that's that bodes well if you put
Speaker 1: the money on the over, I think. But if you're
Speaker 1: going to get a scoreless first quarter, I'm telling you
Speaker 1: right now, it's going to be a real tough game
Speaker 1: of catchup. You might want to once again wait for
Speaker 1: a little time to unfold in this game, then attack
Speaker 1: it in the game itself. To me, that is the
Speaker 1: approach with this Super Bowl, with these two teams and
Speaker 1: how it looks. Let's take a quick break in the
Speaker 1: action to tell you about bet MGM, the King of sportsbooks.
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Speaker 1: use that promo code betting Pros. It's one word betting
Speaker 1: Pros when you sign up today. And now back to
Speaker 1: the action. We've seen again, very little movement here, actually
Speaker 1: almost no movement. And if you're looking for any of
Speaker 1: the move and make sure that you have that Betting
Speaker 1: Pros app too, so you could stay on this if
Speaker 1: it does move to even or it does move in
Speaker 1: the next twenty four to forty eight hours, and of
Speaker 1: course we'll have you covered too. Don't forget live stream
Speaker 1: on Sunday one pm Eastern. It's gonna be fantastic live
Speaker 1: talking to you all about some of the best bets
Speaker 1: we can make here of this one. All right, so
Speaker 1: let's chat about this here. We're going to talk about
Speaker 1: the boys' favorite bets here. And these are non player
Speaker 1: prop bets, which means that if you want the player props, well,
Speaker 1: Pafitts Morris is gonna have you covered, I believe tomorrow. Yes, Pat,
Speaker 1: that's gonna be your uh, your lot in life. I
Speaker 1: just did a whole video of my ten favorite bets
Speaker 1: and it's a big mix of things. So this is
Speaker 1: just bets surrounding the game. So Pat, let's talk about
Speaker 1: the first one on your list and we'll go debro.
Speaker 1: We'll go a little back and forth action for you. So,
Speaker 1: nonplayer prop give me one of your favorite bets this
Speaker 1: weekend for the Super Bowl.
Speaker 3: Yeah.
Speaker 2: When I was pouring through the and man, it takes
Speaker 2: a while to get through them all because you can
Speaker 2: bet on virtually anything.
Speaker 1: About this game, virtually anything, pretty much really everything.
Speaker 2: Yeah, So one that kind of stood out to me,
Speaker 2: and I, you know, had to plunge into this and
Speaker 2: research it a bit to see if you know, it
Speaker 2: stood out after I had parsed it a bit more.
Speaker 2: Jersey number of first touchdown scorer over eleven point five
Speaker 2: and you get plus money on this. It's actually juiced
Speaker 2: towards under eleven point five. It's plus one oh five
Speaker 2: if you take over eleven and a half. So for
Speaker 2: the Chiefs, the ways that I could lose this wager
Speaker 2: are with Jerck McKinnon number one, Isaiah P. Jacko number ten,
Speaker 2: Juju Smith Schuster number nine, mvs.
Speaker 3: Number eleven.
Speaker 2: And the Eagles who could thwart this bet are aj
Speaker 2: Brown number eleven, Devata Smith number six, Jalen Hurts number one.
Speaker 2: That's the big one, and then you know maybe Zach
Speaker 2: Pascal number three, then becoming upset. But you know, you
Speaker 2: get some big guns with the Chiefs with Kelsey, you know,
Speaker 2: and then maybe some supporting guys Kadarius Tony, Noah Gray,
Speaker 2: Jody Forts, and the Eagles Miles Sanders, Kenneth Gainwell, Boston Scott,
Speaker 2: all their running backs plus Dallas Goddard. Now, in two
Speaker 2: playoff games, five of the eagles nine touchdowns had been
Speaker 2: scored by the running backs, and one of the other
Speaker 2: four was scored by Dallas Goddard. So six of their
Speaker 2: nine touchdowns in the playoffs by guys wearing jersey numbers
Speaker 2: higher than eleven and a half. And you know, for
Speaker 2: the Chiefs, like, I'm big on that Travis Kelcey. I know,
Speaker 2: we don't want to talk about player props, and you know,
Speaker 2: I'm gonna put something on Travis kelcey first touchdown at
Speaker 2: plus seven hundred. I feel that's you know, a pretty
Speaker 2: good price for him. So yeah, I like getting plus
Speaker 2: money on this one. I think it's you know, it
Speaker 2: should be more like an even money bat, But I
Speaker 2: think this one looks pretty good. I kind of have
Speaker 2: a feeling it's going to be one of those Eagles
Speaker 2: running backs punching it in first.
Speaker 1: I like it. It's outside the box, it's different. I
Speaker 1: have not heard anyone talk about this wager, and I
Speaker 1: feel like I've heard everyone talk about every single wager.
Speaker 1: So this is fantastic. All right, de bro, let's go
Speaker 1: to you for one of your favorite bets on the
Speaker 1: board for Super Bowl fifty seven. What do you got?
Speaker 5: All right, Well, we're essentially going to call this the
Speaker 5: Kadarius Tony bet. Okay, any player to have a pass completion,
Speaker 5: a reception, and a rushing attempt is plus nine hundred
Speaker 5: on DK right now. And I mean, look at Kadarius
Speaker 5: Tony three passing attempts for the Giants last year. You
Speaker 5: cannot sit here and tell me that Andy Reid does
Speaker 5: not have some type.
Speaker 1: Of trickery up his sleeve.
Speaker 5: If we see them playing ring around the rosie before
Speaker 5: they line up and sit here and call a play,
Speaker 5: I'm not ruling anything out with Andy Reid. So Tony
Speaker 5: had the passing attempts last year. We know the trick
Speaker 5: plays are in Andy Reid's bag, and when he's in
Speaker 5: his bag, man, all bets are off. And he's also
Speaker 5: had six rushing attempts since he's been with the Chiefs.
Speaker 5: So you're getting plus nine hundred on this. I know
Speaker 5: it sounds kind of wild, but I mean it's Cadarius Tony.
Speaker 5: They're using him in all different facets. I would like
Speaker 5: this a little bit more if it was like plus
Speaker 5: one thousand, a little bit higher, but it was still
Speaker 5: at plus nine hundred.
Speaker 1: I'm still interested. Well, it's interesting too because we have
Speaker 1: the news on Cadarius Tony that he is running all
Speaker 1: over the place at practice whatever that means. So and
Speaker 1: this is the all I need for him to do
Speaker 1: is vacuum. The Super Bowl creates such an annoying thing.
Speaker 1: Everybody farts and it's a story and we've got to
Speaker 1: tell you, you know. But I will say this. I
Speaker 1: will say this, A healthy Canarius Tony is definitely a gadget.
Speaker 1: And without having me call Harmon around, I don't think
Speaker 1: this is that crazy. I mean, you could throw a
Speaker 1: small unit on this just for fun and plus nine
Speaker 1: hundred still be very happy about that's kind of a
Speaker 1: fun thing. That's over on DK. All right, Pat, let's
Speaker 1: go back to you for another one of your favorite
Speaker 1: bets here for Super Bowl fifty seven on Sunday.
Speaker 2: What we have, all right, this one, it's sort of
Speaker 2: correlated with my Jersey number bet its first first touchdown
Speaker 2: type rushing or passing. I took rushing for plus one sixty,
Speaker 2: so you know, getting some a good payout here if
Speaker 2: the first touchdown is a touchdown run. In the regular season,
Speaker 2: the Eagles had twenty five touchdown passes and thirty two
Speaker 2: touchdown runs, and in the playoffs so far, two touchdown passes,
Speaker 2: seven touchdown runs. So not only all of those running
Speaker 2: backs who've been piling up touchdowns in the playoffs, but
Speaker 2: of course Jalen hurts himself, and you know with the
Speaker 2: Chiefs not quite as well balanced there. They've had forty
Speaker 2: one touchdown passes in the regular season, eighteen touchdown runs
Speaker 2: and no touchdown runs for them.
Speaker 3: In the playoffs.
Speaker 2: But I mean, we know the Eagles have a fantastic
Speaker 2: pass defense, talked about that at the top of the show.
Speaker 2: Number one in DVA, number one in sacks. The run
Speaker 2: defense not as good. I mean they're twenty first in
Speaker 2: DVOA against the run, although granted they have been a
Speaker 2: lot better since November when they traded for or not
Speaker 2: traded for, but signed in Dema Kong Sue and Linval Joseph,
Speaker 2: and they also got Jordan Davis, that big defensive tackle
Speaker 2: rookie from Georgia, back from an injury that it kept
Speaker 2: him out about a month. So I think from week
Speaker 2: thirteen on they've been number eight maybe in DVOA against
Speaker 2: the run, like they've been better, but I think that's
Speaker 2: still the way you want to attack them, and you know,
Speaker 2: maybe that boosts the Chiefs running percentage a little bit
Speaker 2: more than it otherwise would be, just because this Eagles
Speaker 2: pass defense is so tough. So I think if the
Speaker 2: Eagles score first, very good chance it's a running touchdown.
Speaker 2: And I think there's even a little bit of a
Speaker 2: chance that on the Chiefs first score that that would
Speaker 2: be a running touchdown. So I think getting plus one
Speaker 2: point sixty on this bet is a pretty good proposition.
Speaker 1: Will you get Miles Sanders score in a touchdown first
Speaker 1: if it's more somewhere around six forty two Eastern Time
Speaker 1: is gonna be very excited because he's gonna cash not once,
Speaker 1: but twice on that narrative. I like that. Build your narrative, folks,
Speaker 1: That's what we're trying to do here, all right, d
Speaker 1: bro back to you give me another one of your
Speaker 1: favorite bets for Sunday.
Speaker 5: Now, I'm gonna stay on the chief side. I'm gonna
Speaker 5: go with Isaiah Pachecko to be the fastest ball carrier
Speaker 5: you can get this at plus four point fifty on
Speaker 5: DK in the playoffs, Isaiah Pichecko is tied with Jalen
Speaker 5: Waddle for the second fastest ball carrier speed in the
Speaker 5: playoffs at twenty point nine to seven miles per hour.
Speaker 1: Nobody else has come close.
Speaker 5: To that on either side of the aisle for these teams,
Speaker 5: and with Pachecko that came on a thirty nine yard
Speaker 5: rush in the divisional round. You look at the Eagles
Speaker 5: and Pats talked about this a few different times. The
Speaker 5: way that you can beat them, it's a little bit easier,
Speaker 5: is on the ground. This team is top five and
Speaker 5: explosive pass rate allowed, but if we look over to
Speaker 5: the rushing side, they're twenty first an explosive run rate allowed.
Speaker 5: So all we need is for Pacheco, the Tasmanian devil
Speaker 5: himself to get like a twenty yard run, get those
Speaker 5: legs churning and beat the fastest guy on the field
Speaker 5: and walk away with this.
Speaker 1: And we're just all just loving life. Yeah, I've got
Speaker 1: a lot of Pachecko wagers already. I've add this to
Speaker 1: the outo. I didn't even see this one. This is fantastic,
Speaker 1: so fastest ball carrier speed. It's amazing what they've got
Speaker 1: out there. I mean, I want that job. I want
Speaker 1: the job of the guy that sits there or gal
Speaker 1: who sits there and figures out, Well, what else can
Speaker 1: we bet on in this game? I mean, is it
Speaker 1: is stunning how this has evolved over the years and
Speaker 1: what we have in front of us. All right, no
Speaker 1: more deep stats here, Let's get to something else. What
Speaker 1: do you have here for us? Pat fitz Morris favorite
Speaker 1: bets for Sunday? What do you have next?
Speaker 2: Now, Joe, you said player prop bets on Chiefs and
Speaker 2: Eagles were forbidden, but you didn't mention other player prop bets.
Speaker 2: And of course they've got all these lovely sport bets
Speaker 2: that you can make where you tie in some sort
Speaker 2: of Super Bowl bet with the Waste Management Phoenix Open
Speaker 2: or one of the NBA or college basketball games going
Speaker 2: on on Sunday afternoon, and I kind of like one
Speaker 2: of those bets. It is the point total in the
Speaker 2: first half of the Super Bowl being higher than the
Speaker 2: point total for the Toronto Raptors Pascal Siakam against the
Speaker 2: Detroit Pistons on Sunday afternoon.
Speaker 3: So bear with me a second.
Speaker 1: I'm with you. Yeah, I'm captivated by this.
Speaker 2: Wait you, as you noted, the total in this game
Speaker 2: is fifty and a half or fifty one at draft Kings,
Speaker 2: So we're looking at about, you know, if you split
Speaker 2: that in half, twenty five point five for a one
Speaker 2: half over under. And Pascal Siakam is averaging twenty four
Speaker 2: point seven points per game, but that is bullied by
Speaker 2: some really big games he's had. He's had twenty four
Speaker 2: or fewer points in eleven of his last fourteen games. Now, granted,
Speaker 2: this matchup seems like a good one for Siakam. The
Speaker 2: Pistons are fourteen and forty two.
Speaker 3: They are, you.
Speaker 2: Know, among the dregs of the NBA, and they are
Speaker 2: giving up one hundred and nineteen point seven points per game,
Speaker 2: which is second most in the NBA. But that could
Speaker 2: also work in our favor with this bet. Maybe they
Speaker 2: are beating the holy hell out of the Pistons on
Speaker 2: Sunday and decide to sit Siakam in the fourth quarter,
Speaker 2: you know, when he's around the twenty point mark or something.
Speaker 2: And we you know, Coast threw on this bet with
Speaker 2: Siakam cooling his heels on the bench late in that game. So, uh,
Speaker 2: first half Super Bowl point total higher than Pascal Siakam's
Speaker 2: point total against the Pistons on Sunday. Oh and by
Speaker 2: the way, that's plus money plus one twenty So you know,
Speaker 2: another attraction.
Speaker 1: Here, perfect transition. In two weeks after the NBA All
Speaker 1: Star Game, We're going to have a fun little NBA
Speaker 1: special here on betting pros taking through the rest of season. Outlook,
Speaker 1: and Pat is already getting ahead there. He's already bringing
Speaker 1: these worlds together. Well done, pathfits Morris as always, this
Speaker 1: is definitely outside of the box. Love this all right.
Speaker 1: De bro closes out here with one more that you
Speaker 1: have for Sunday, your favorite bets that you want to
Speaker 1: go ahead and make.
Speaker 5: So I'm going to go with the last play of
Speaker 5: the game to be a quarterback kneel down, and I'm
Speaker 5: actually gonna take it not happening for plus money.
Speaker 1: It's at plus one fifty five.
Speaker 5: So if you look at and I think the Chiefs
Speaker 5: are what's critical to this one. We have a tight spread,
Speaker 5: so this game ends up being one of these teams
Speaker 5: are driving at the last part of the game going
Speaker 5: for a field goal.
Speaker 3: What have you?
Speaker 1: Okay, then we hit you. Look at the.
Speaker 5: Kansas City Chiefs games, fifty three percent of their games
Speaker 5: this season have ended without a kneel down, So teams
Speaker 5: getting whether it's been a sack, whether it's been a run,
Speaker 5: whether it's been a play or pass, what have you.
Speaker 5: And I just think this game sets up really well
Speaker 5: for one of these teams to have the ball at
Speaker 5: the end of the game and be going for the
Speaker 5: win and this not to be a kneel down situation.
Speaker 5: So I think the Kansas City Chiefs are probably the
Speaker 5: team that, like, really need to hold up that part
Speaker 5: of the end because with this spread, we were not
Speaker 5: projecting out of the way.
Speaker 1: These teams to blow the other out.
Speaker 5: So as long as that's not happening, I really feel
Speaker 5: good about this, especially getting this a plus money.
Speaker 1: Yeah, you know what's interesting about this one too. We
Speaker 1: talked so much about how whether it be the Bills
Speaker 1: or the Chiefs, you know, they really didn't put teams
Speaker 1: away very well throughout the season, even when they were
Speaker 1: winning games, didn't put people away. That would certainly leave
Speaker 1: the door open to this as well. Pat, what do
Speaker 1: you think about this one? This is an interesting one
Speaker 1: where you're kind of writing the narrative of the ending
Speaker 1: of this game the QB neil A plus one fifty five.
Speaker 1: I want to get your thoughts on this one.
Speaker 2: Yeah, this was on my short list too when I
Speaker 2: was compiling possibilities.
Speaker 3: This was you know, when I was winnowing it down.
Speaker 2: It didn't make the top three, but you know I'd
Speaker 2: sketched out about eight nine ten bets that I liked,
Speaker 2: and this was among them. I could very easily see
Speaker 2: this one ending on a field goal. You know, maybe
Speaker 2: someone kicks a field goal with a couple seconds late
Speaker 2: and you get some sort of crazy.
Speaker 3: Multiple lateral kickoff in the final seconds. Yeah.
Speaker 2: I think Debro is spot on and getting this like
Speaker 2: the price is right for this bat, I think.
Speaker 1: Yeah, some really good ones, some outside the box, a
Speaker 1: little cross pollination with different sports. We did it all
Speaker 1: here today and also gave you a path for the
Speaker 1: game itself, which is, in my opinion, wait, let the
Speaker 1: game get going and then see where it's going and
Speaker 1: then go the other way. And that's how you're gonna
Speaker 1: make money on the gape itself. But lots of ways
Speaker 1: to make money. Pat fits more is tomorrow is gonna
Speaker 1: have more ways on his favorite prop bets. That's gonna
Speaker 1: be must see television and must listen podcast as well.
Speaker 1: Make sure you subscribe to Betting Pros wherever you get
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Speaker 1: and we love to hear from you to drop a comment.
Speaker 1: What are your favorite bets? Let's all do this together.
Speaker 1: That's the point. So if you see something there that's good,
Speaker 1: drop it in the comments there. What do you have
Speaker 1: your investments in? And don't forget Sunday one pm Eastern,
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Speaker 1: That's plenty of time to still go out there, have
Speaker 1: some fun with the kiddos, you know, go out there,
Speaker 1: get all the snacks you need, plenty of time, take
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Speaker 1: at MGM, the King of Sportsbooks. That'll do it for us,
Speaker 1: But the story of the game goes on for Pat
Speaker 1: and Debro. I'm Joey p We'll see you next time. Kids,