WEBVTT - How Everyone Is WRONG About Inflation | Jeff Booth

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<v Speaker 1>Everyone, Welcome to another episode of the Market Disruptor Show. Today,

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<v Speaker 1>I am sitting down with Jeff Booth. He has written

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<v Speaker 1>a book called The Price of Tomorrow and it's a

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<v Speaker 1>very important book for today. It's a book that everybody's

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<v Speaker 1>interesting because it talks about deflation. Everybody must know about

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<v Speaker 1>inflation deflation. So anyway, Jeff, welcome to the show. Thanks

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<v Speaker 1>a lot for having me. Mark. All right, Jeff so um,

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<v Speaker 1>Like I said, you know, I know about your book.

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<v Speaker 1>I've been following you, listen to your interviews. A lot

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<v Speaker 1>of people maybe don't know. So why did you give

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<v Speaker 1>his quick background? I kind of like who you are

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<v Speaker 1>and what led you to this book. I'm a technology

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<v Speaker 1>entrepreneur for first and foremost, started a number of companies,

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<v Speaker 1>one that grew to over half a billion dollars in market,

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<v Speaker 1>capp Um and Boards and and uh many technolog g companies,

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<v Speaker 1>and founder a number of different technology companies. And I think,

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<v Speaker 1>and I would say, I have a front seat of

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<v Speaker 1>where technology is going because because I'm involved in so

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<v Speaker 1>many technology companies and I'm a reluctant author. I didn't

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<v Speaker 1>want to write the book. Okay, I wrote the book

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<v Speaker 1>because because I looked at where society was going because

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<v Speaker 1>of this, where technology was going out, where where technology

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<v Speaker 1>going The government's trying to stop where technology was going.

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<v Speaker 1>And I looked at the impact of society and looked

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<v Speaker 1>at my kids, and I said, what type of world

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<v Speaker 1>will I grow up in? And nobody was talking about

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<v Speaker 1>kind of this problem and I was. I was super frustrated.

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<v Speaker 1>So that's actually why I wrote the book. Yeah, great, Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>it's such an important conversation and it's and it's pretty

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<v Speaker 1>deep one that has a lot of different facets and

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<v Speaker 1>areas to it. But um, if we talk about kind

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<v Speaker 1>of the technique, I want to talk about deflation overall,

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<v Speaker 1>but we'll start with kind of the tech disruption of

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<v Speaker 1>that deflation. UM. I know and probably a lot of

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<v Speaker 1>people know. Like when the presidential kind of cycle was

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<v Speaker 1>just getting started, we had a candidate Andrew Yang, and

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<v Speaker 1>he was this tech entrepreneur and he was telling the

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<v Speaker 1>whole world that tech was going to take everybody's jobs.

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<v Speaker 1>AI was going to take everybody's jobs. And so because

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<v Speaker 1>of that, the government needed to start paying everybody to

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<v Speaker 1>not work. And I guess you see the exact opposite

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<v Speaker 1>of that. So what do you think about that in

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<v Speaker 1>part of Andrew's platform, at the part where technology how

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<v Speaker 1>fast technology is moving and it's going to take jobs,

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<v Speaker 1>He's completely right, right, that's how uh, that is what's coming,

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<v Speaker 1>and it's been coming for some time. If you if

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<v Speaker 1>you just think, what is the point of technology, it's

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<v Speaker 1>two free our time. Right. No ceo that no no

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<v Speaker 1>company I work with, gets up every morning and says,

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<v Speaker 1>I have an idea for a great technology company. I'm

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<v Speaker 1>gonna make it more expensive for people. Right. The point

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<v Speaker 1>is you're using technology to recreate industry, reason make them

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<v Speaker 1>more efficient, right, And and the byproduct of that takes

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<v Speaker 1>jobs away, and the byproduct of that is deflationary. So

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<v Speaker 1>so the byproduct that reduces prices. Now that's a that's

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<v Speaker 1>a super interesting point because I mean I've I've studied

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<v Speaker 1>like the technological revolutions, there's been like five the last

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<v Speaker 1>two and fifty years, like the first one, really like

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<v Speaker 1>the industrial revolution, right, and so um, they created equipment

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<v Speaker 1>to help get things done faster in larger quantities, right,

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<v Speaker 1>whether that's equipment for the field to help people get

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<v Speaker 1>field work done faster, whether that was assembly lines to

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<v Speaker 1>get cars done faster, whether it was telephones to get

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<v Speaker 1>communication done faster. But everything as you're as you're saying,

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<v Speaker 1>everything is made to make work less, are less. And

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<v Speaker 1>let's stay on that point for a second, because there's

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<v Speaker 1>an argument. You could make an argument that where we

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<v Speaker 1>are in technology today, like the Industrial Revolution, detector they

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<v Speaker 1>what what will happen as you automate a whole bunch

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<v Speaker 1>of things and then you've created a whole bunch of

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<v Speaker 1>new industries, that world will replace more jobs than they

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<v Speaker 1>described and create a creative destruction. There's you would have

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<v Speaker 1>to if you're going to accept my thesis, you would

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<v Speaker 1>have to debate that topic. Right, is there a possibility

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<v Speaker 1>that this could create more jobs in the future where

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<v Speaker 1>we are in technology? And that's where I think a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of people look back to history and say it's

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<v Speaker 1>worked before. Right, You've gone through these periods, and those

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<v Speaker 1>periods were always really tough. They always ended kind of

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<v Speaker 1>in wars, right because you because a whole bunch of

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<v Speaker 1>people but were being left out. Right, governments inflated against that,

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<v Speaker 1>and you had revolutions and turned into wars. So forget

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<v Speaker 1>the getting through that part. Let's just argue, let's just

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<v Speaker 1>debate that topic. Could there me more jobs in the future.

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<v Speaker 1>And I don't think anybody that's working in technology believes

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<v Speaker 1>that could be true today. Oh really, that's interesting because

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<v Speaker 1>because it would. And and if if that, if you

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<v Speaker 1>find somebody, I'm happy to debate them on your show.

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<v Speaker 1>Because if you know how fast, if you know what's

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<v Speaker 1>happening in artificial intelligence, and artificial intelligence is replacing labor

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<v Speaker 1>at a rate we've never seen before. At first, artificial

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<v Speaker 1>intelligence needs a bunch of PhD researchers who are creating

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<v Speaker 1>the algorithms. But then the algorithms see things we don't see,

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<v Speaker 1>and it moves faster and faster. So the byproduct of

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<v Speaker 1>what's happening here is when I first started my first company,

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<v Speaker 1>it took me about five million dollars in capital to

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<v Speaker 1>create version one of our website and transportation system. That

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<v Speaker 1>same that same website transportation system is available to shot

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<v Speaker 1>on Shopify today. Actually way better for fifty dollars a month. Yeah, right,

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<v Speaker 1>and and so so so you're building on a stack

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<v Speaker 1>that is moving so fast, little pieces of technology that

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<v Speaker 1>are woven together that that costs almost nothing um for

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<v Speaker 1>entrepreneurs to and and and why do you why do

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<v Speaker 1>you think everything on your phone is free, right, right,

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<v Speaker 1>we celebrate deflation and all of the monopolies with credit right,

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<v Speaker 1>and the consumers if you look at Apple, if you

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<v Speaker 1>look at Um and all those apps competing for your attention,

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<v Speaker 1>have entrepreneurs on the other side competing for your attention,

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<v Speaker 1>and they drive the price down to free. You don't

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<v Speaker 1>you don't pay for your flashlight up. You don't pay

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<v Speaker 1>for your guitartoon or you don't pay for a million

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<v Speaker 1>or your camera anymore. You don't pay for anything um

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<v Speaker 1>And that's the point. It just drives abundance just to

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<v Speaker 1>humanity and price prices coming down. Yeah, I think you know.

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<v Speaker 1>I I think people know that kind of inherently, but

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<v Speaker 1>they haven't really thought through this. So. I mean when

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<v Speaker 1>I was a kid, we had the jets in cartoon, right,

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<v Speaker 1>and like they had like robots that were the maids

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<v Speaker 1>and they were doing their housekeeping, and everybody thought, oh

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<v Speaker 1>my gosh, when I grow up, I'm gonna have a

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<v Speaker 1>robot and they're gonna do all my work for me.

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<v Speaker 1>Like didn't we all want that? But but now we're

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<v Speaker 1>threatened by it somehow, right, I guess is what you're saying. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>we're threatened by it because we created a system that

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<v Speaker 1>requires growth and inflation. Right, It's and we we got

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<v Speaker 1>lulled into a belief that that was the way the

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<v Speaker 1>world worked, and like a fundamental law of nature that

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<v Speaker 1>you need inflation, right, And we were taught in economics

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<v Speaker 1>in school. We were taught it. And and so what

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<v Speaker 1>is inflection? Yeah, well let's let's save let's save that

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<v Speaker 1>for a little bit, because I think that is the

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<v Speaker 1>big thing that the discussions about. Right. It's like, don't

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<v Speaker 1>we want deflation, but we have a system that needs inflation,

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<v Speaker 1>and so the problem is what our once are versus

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<v Speaker 1>what we have don't fit. But before we jump into that, um,

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<v Speaker 1>just sticking back on the deflation thing for a minute. Uh,

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<v Speaker 1>and I guess just generally, so we could kind of

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<v Speaker 1>frame this for everybody when we're talking about deflation, what

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<v Speaker 1>what are you kind of talking about? Generally? Um, So

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<v Speaker 1>people may think like deflation, like the economy crashes. People

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<v Speaker 1>might think deflation, prices go down. When we're talking about

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<v Speaker 1>technology and this deflation, what do you what do you?

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<v Speaker 1>How do you? So? So simply, deflation is when your

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<v Speaker 1>money is worth more all the time, Right, So the

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<v Speaker 1>value or your currency rises in relation to goods and

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<v Speaker 1>services because and services go down, your value of your

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<v Speaker 1>and relate. So so you're purchasing power goes up. Right,

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<v Speaker 1>And if you ask any single person that question, would

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<v Speaker 1>they want that? They would say, Wow, that's excellent. Right,

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<v Speaker 1>that's what you're selling. That's what you want because it

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<v Speaker 1>frees your time, all of your time to as your

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<v Speaker 1>purchasing power goes up your time, you get an impact

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<v Speaker 1>on your time. That seems like a pretty good thing,

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<v Speaker 1>right yeah. Yeah, And as we roll that up into economy,

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<v Speaker 1>we say, well, that's a bad thing because it just

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<v Speaker 1>because and the truth it is a bad thing to

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<v Speaker 1>the existing economy we've built because the existing your economy

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<v Speaker 1>we've build requires inflation and it's it's almost a Ponzi

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<v Speaker 1>scheme of credit. Yeah, it can't be paid back. And

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<v Speaker 1>if you allow inflation to happen, the debt has to

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<v Speaker 1>be reset and there and it becomes it becomes a depression.

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<v Speaker 1>I think, Um, so I want so we'll talk about

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<v Speaker 1>the inflation, we'll talk about the competing systems, and then

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<v Speaker 1>I want to get into why maybe there's people, um

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<v Speaker 1>that resist against that because um, it's not just the

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<v Speaker 1>system that's resisting against it, it's also people. But before

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<v Speaker 1>we jump into that, so back in the deflation, I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>I think we frame that perfectly. And I've actually said

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<v Speaker 1>that many times when people ask, well, don't we need inflation?

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<v Speaker 1>And I say, let me ask you a question, would

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<v Speaker 1>you rather her money by more goods and services in

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<v Speaker 1>the future or less? Of course, everybody once more. I

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<v Speaker 1>mean it's like, it's like the most rhetorical question ever. Um,

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<v Speaker 1>so we want that, and that sounds good, but the

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<v Speaker 1>thought of putting people out of work, that sounds bad.

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<v Speaker 1>But don't we want don't we create the technology so

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<v Speaker 1>we can or less? And I think I think if

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<v Speaker 1>you kind of understand, um, how you know the system works,

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<v Speaker 1>how from bartering to money exchange. Um, it was about specialization.

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<v Speaker 1>And if I can specialize in growing food and you

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<v Speaker 1>can specialize in raising animals, then then you save me time,

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<v Speaker 1>I save you time, and we trade like it starts

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<v Speaker 1>at the most basic level and we're only growing past that. Um.

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<v Speaker 1>And that makes sense. Um, But you so I guess

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<v Speaker 1>let's dive into the system now a little bit. So

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<v Speaker 1>the system is set up inflationary, which means we're kind

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<v Speaker 1>of like on this treadmill, we have to kind of

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<v Speaker 1>keep always moving forward. But I guess maybe what you're

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<v Speaker 1>saying is that if technology, if if we allowed technology

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<v Speaker 1>to be deflationary, um, we could theoretically be working less

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<v Speaker 1>and achieving the same thing if we didn't have this

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<v Speaker 1>inflationary system. Is that we have a massive we have

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<v Speaker 1>a massive ability to free our time, right, and and

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<v Speaker 1>and and let's just forget what I want, forget what

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<v Speaker 1>you want. Let's just look at the facts, right, forget

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<v Speaker 1>what the central banks walked right, the fact Sometimes there's

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<v Speaker 1>a structural change in business. You see, you've been an entrepreneur,

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<v Speaker 1>I've been I'm an entrepreneur. In business, creative destruction happens,

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<v Speaker 1>and it happens because it typically the incumbent can't see

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<v Speaker 1>the structural change right, and they can't move their business

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<v Speaker 1>fast enough. They even sometimes in case of Kodak, they

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<v Speaker 1>invented the digital camera and twice the sass and tried

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<v Speaker 1>to get it to get Kodak executives to understand the

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<v Speaker 1>power of the digital camera and how it would replace

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<v Speaker 1>their business. But they sold, They sold film, right, and

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<v Speaker 1>they couldn't see their way through to what what Kodak

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<v Speaker 1>could become. And you go back to that abundance thing

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<v Speaker 1>I was talking about, we use we use way more

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<v Speaker 1>photos today. Yeah, there's a whole bunch of new businesses

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<v Speaker 1>that are created around photos, like Facebook, Google, Just the

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<v Speaker 1>amount of new businesses that are around photos, and we

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<v Speaker 1>use an abundance of them. With Instagram, they're they're free. Yeah, right,

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<v Speaker 1>they're they're they're completely free. So we used to have

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<v Speaker 1>to spend a bunch of money to take photos. I

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<v Speaker 1>remember buying a roll of film taking it pay to

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<v Speaker 1>get a process and you get to be very select

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<v Speaker 1>if you had shots or whatever. Right, and today now

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<v Speaker 1>I can just take as many of the one for

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<v Speaker 1>free and pick the best one and then and delete

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<v Speaker 1>the rest of That saves me a bunch of money

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<v Speaker 1>that I don't have to go make now exactly. And

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<v Speaker 1>so so in that in that example, you'll see the

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<v Speaker 1>same thing. So now roll that up instead of a

0:12:34.640 --> 0:12:38.000
<v Speaker 1>business example, roll that up to an entire system that

0:12:38.040 --> 0:12:41.760
<v Speaker 1>we all live in. Right, and you have a system

0:12:41.840 --> 0:12:45.319
<v Speaker 1>that's always required inflation, and we were taught that it's required,

0:12:45.320 --> 0:12:49.559
<v Speaker 1>and in fact, it was designed to require inflation. And

0:12:50.040 --> 0:12:54.000
<v Speaker 1>in that system, if you if you if you leverage

0:12:54.000 --> 0:12:58.640
<v Speaker 1>with debt and pay the debt back later with cheaper money.

0:12:58.720 --> 0:13:01.800
<v Speaker 1>Because it's you destroy the value of the currency, you're

0:13:01.800 --> 0:13:04.720
<v Speaker 1>a winner, right, And so if you keep that run,

0:13:04.920 --> 0:13:07.760
<v Speaker 1>that means asset prices keep rising and you if you

0:13:07.800 --> 0:13:11.520
<v Speaker 1>can leverage that, you're a winner. So on that side,

0:13:11.559 --> 0:13:16.960
<v Speaker 1>you're now that system competing against the deflationary the rate

0:13:17.200 --> 0:13:22.480
<v Speaker 1>of technologies driving deflation. Continuing to do that deflate to

0:13:22.679 --> 0:13:25.960
<v Speaker 1>that system is essentially pushing on a string. You create

0:13:26.040 --> 0:13:31.400
<v Speaker 1>your massive debt creation, massive monetization. And if all the

0:13:31.440 --> 0:13:35.280
<v Speaker 1>asset winners are also the belts, all the asset owners,

0:13:35.640 --> 0:13:38.800
<v Speaker 1>you be a whole bunch of billionaires and everything they have.

0:13:39.280 --> 0:13:42.400
<v Speaker 1>They have all the houses, most of the stocks, and

0:13:42.440 --> 0:13:45.720
<v Speaker 1>everything else. And if you do that, they you enriching

0:13:45.800 --> 0:13:49.000
<v Speaker 1>them at a crazy rate. Yes, let's go straight up.

0:13:50.360 --> 0:13:53.160
<v Speaker 1>And and all the people who don't have assets, because

0:13:53.200 --> 0:13:57.280
<v Speaker 1>you're destroying the value of currency, okay, and your currency

0:13:57.320 --> 0:13:59.880
<v Speaker 1>value is going down, you're picking their pocket to give

0:13:59.880 --> 0:14:03.640
<v Speaker 1>them the money, and so you get social disruption. Right.

0:14:03.920 --> 0:14:07.640
<v Speaker 1>And what I would go say is it doesn't matter

0:14:08.520 --> 0:14:12.880
<v Speaker 1>ultimately what we want um because what we want is

0:14:13.040 --> 0:14:16.160
<v Speaker 1>based on first principles. It matters what physics or what

0:14:16.400 --> 0:14:18.760
<v Speaker 1>what Where the trend is taking us, and inflation is

0:14:18.800 --> 0:14:20.920
<v Speaker 1>where the trend is taking us. And so we have

0:14:21.000 --> 0:14:23.480
<v Speaker 1>a couple of choices we could make to do that.

0:14:24.000 --> 0:14:28.680
<v Speaker 1>Andrew Yang's who you mentioned. Choice is this in a nutshell.

0:14:31.040 --> 0:14:34.480
<v Speaker 1>We're going to keep on pushing asset prices up. Assist.

0:14:34.600 --> 0:14:37.440
<v Speaker 1>The system requires inflation, and we're going to do everything

0:14:37.480 --> 0:14:40.920
<v Speaker 1>we can to keep us the prices high and then

0:14:40.960 --> 0:14:43.640
<v Speaker 1>the very because we did that the very same people

0:14:43.680 --> 0:14:47.040
<v Speaker 1>that we killed, because we did this right, We kept

0:14:47.080 --> 0:14:49.640
<v Speaker 1>rents high we could because we let didn't let the

0:14:49.640 --> 0:14:52.360
<v Speaker 1>system have a free market. The very syst those people

0:14:52.400 --> 0:14:54.600
<v Speaker 1>are gonna come to government. We're gonna make government bigger

0:14:55.320 --> 0:14:57.720
<v Speaker 1>to give them money to pay for the prices we

0:14:58.080 --> 0:15:03.120
<v Speaker 1>uh us that's we artificially create. It's just illogical, right,

0:15:03.840 --> 0:15:07.840
<v Speaker 1>and capitalism doesn't work that way, right, So um, and

0:15:08.000 --> 0:15:12.840
<v Speaker 1>and so you have all roads U B I and everything.

0:15:12.880 --> 0:15:15.640
<v Speaker 1>I just I totally understand why people want you be

0:15:15.760 --> 0:15:19.480
<v Speaker 1>I because the system is doesn't work right now. So

0:15:19.600 --> 0:15:22.680
<v Speaker 1>you're going to out you're gonna but but it won't.

0:15:22.720 --> 0:15:26.160
<v Speaker 1>That won't. That's not the fix, right, That is not

0:15:26.240 --> 0:15:31.160
<v Speaker 1>the fix. Yeah, So um, you have the system that

0:15:31.200 --> 0:15:34.160
<v Speaker 1>creates inflation. So we talked about the FED basically printing

0:15:34.200 --> 0:15:37.720
<v Speaker 1>money which is now pushing up asset prices um. And

0:15:37.720 --> 0:15:40.520
<v Speaker 1>then so you're punishing the people, or I shouldn't say punishing.

0:15:40.520 --> 0:15:42.440
<v Speaker 1>You're rewarding the people who have the assets. But then

0:15:42.480 --> 0:15:45.040
<v Speaker 1>you're taking some of their profits and then redistribute back

0:15:45.080 --> 0:15:49.160
<v Speaker 1>down to the people um. In other word, in other words,

0:15:49.240 --> 0:15:52.920
<v Speaker 1>the government is the entire economy. The government. It looks

0:15:53.280 --> 0:15:57.520
<v Speaker 1>it's communism. Yeah, it's socialism to communism. And we know

0:15:57.560 --> 0:16:00.160
<v Speaker 1>how managed markets were, We know how manages just out

0:16:00.240 --> 0:16:03.040
<v Speaker 1>his work. Right, Well, you and I you and I do. Yeah,

0:16:03.320 --> 0:16:08.360
<v Speaker 1>you're you're robbing the entrepreneurial process of creatives destruction and

0:16:08.360 --> 0:16:12.120
<v Speaker 1>and and you have subpart subpart gains to your economy.

0:16:12.400 --> 0:16:16.400
<v Speaker 1>So you have to trust and been evlevent benevolent leaders

0:16:17.760 --> 0:16:23.240
<v Speaker 1>and and and once you grab power, whether your generation

0:16:23.280 --> 0:16:25.560
<v Speaker 1>has been evolent or the next one is once you

0:16:26.320 --> 0:16:29.720
<v Speaker 1>that doesn't work. History shows us over and over that

0:16:29.720 --> 0:16:34.440
<v Speaker 1>that path is just just a path to thugs controlling everything. Yeah,

0:16:34.560 --> 0:16:37.440
<v Speaker 1>so you mentioned something called creative destruction and something that

0:16:37.440 --> 0:16:39.440
<v Speaker 1>I've talked about a bunch of times. And so basically

0:16:39.480 --> 0:16:42.640
<v Speaker 1>that means that the new way kills the old way.

0:16:42.760 --> 0:16:45.480
<v Speaker 1>So I've created a new system that gets rid of

0:16:45.520 --> 0:16:48.120
<v Speaker 1>an old system. Email was created and it killed the

0:16:48.200 --> 0:16:50.280
<v Speaker 1>US Postal service or whatever it is, something like that.

0:16:50.720 --> 0:16:54.360
<v Speaker 1>Um And and then you also mentioned capitalism or like

0:16:54.400 --> 0:16:57.360
<v Speaker 1>a free market, and so in a free market we

0:16:57.360 --> 0:16:59.960
<v Speaker 1>would typically see creative destruction. And as you said, code

0:17:00.200 --> 0:17:02.280
<v Speaker 1>is too big, so a small instagram comes up and

0:17:02.440 --> 0:17:06.000
<v Speaker 1>puts them out. But I think maybe also as the

0:17:06.200 --> 0:17:08.560
<v Speaker 1>as the government gets bigger, the market is less and

0:17:08.680 --> 0:17:10.199
<v Speaker 1>less free. I don't I don't see it as a

0:17:10.280 --> 0:17:12.879
<v Speaker 1>light switch. It's not like we're free. We're not free, right,

0:17:12.920 --> 0:17:15.240
<v Speaker 1>It's like degrees of less free. And as we've got

0:17:15.320 --> 0:17:19.440
<v Speaker 1>less free, the corporations use government to entrench their positions

0:17:19.560 --> 0:17:25.800
<v Speaker 1>and slow, if not stop, creative destruction. Do you see that? Yeah? Absolutely, Again,

0:17:26.080 --> 0:17:28.680
<v Speaker 1>that's a feature of the system, not about so so

0:17:29.040 --> 0:17:33.280
<v Speaker 1>so today. Let's let's a lot of times in this

0:17:33.320 --> 0:17:37.480
<v Speaker 1>type of political everything gets politicized, right, and you people

0:17:37.520 --> 0:17:41.040
<v Speaker 1>take sides and they can't see anything. Okay, let's just

0:17:41.119 --> 0:17:45.080
<v Speaker 1>imagine you're a CEO of an airline, right, and and

0:17:45.119 --> 0:17:47.760
<v Speaker 1>you made made a bunch of money this year and

0:17:47.800 --> 0:17:50.520
<v Speaker 1>the government has a policy of negative interest rates, are

0:17:50.600 --> 0:17:54.160
<v Speaker 1>near zero interest rates, and they effectively are saying, if

0:17:54.200 --> 0:17:57.000
<v Speaker 1>you hold cash on your balance sheet, we're going to

0:17:57.080 --> 0:18:00.159
<v Speaker 1>penalize you through inflection because it's gonna be worth next us.

0:18:00.200 --> 0:18:02.240
<v Speaker 1>Next year, it's gonna be worth less than next year.

0:18:02.680 --> 0:18:05.240
<v Speaker 1>So we're gonna hurt you if you hold cash on

0:18:05.280 --> 0:18:07.760
<v Speaker 1>your balance sheet. So what would you do as a CEO?

0:18:08.680 --> 0:18:11.359
<v Speaker 1>Probably buy back your stock, right, right, You're going to

0:18:11.440 --> 0:18:13.919
<v Speaker 1>try to get a return on that money because the

0:18:13.960 --> 0:18:16.359
<v Speaker 1>government is implying that we're not going to give you

0:18:16.440 --> 0:18:20.080
<v Speaker 1>a return by saving for a any day. Right. So,

0:18:20.119 --> 0:18:22.760
<v Speaker 1>now when you have an event where you need all

0:18:22.840 --> 0:18:25.080
<v Speaker 1>of these people are going to be unemployed. Right, your

0:18:25.119 --> 0:18:27.760
<v Speaker 1>airline is gonna go broken, everything else, what do you do?

0:18:27.880 --> 0:18:30.399
<v Speaker 1>You go back to the government and instead of letting

0:18:30.400 --> 0:18:34.320
<v Speaker 1>you fail, they inject a bunch of money to continue

0:18:34.359 --> 0:18:37.080
<v Speaker 1>the whole the whole game. That game is in housing,

0:18:37.200 --> 0:18:42.000
<v Speaker 1>it's in everything. So the government has prevented a free

0:18:42.000 --> 0:18:46.400
<v Speaker 1>market society. Yeah, and or it's kind of like going

0:18:46.440 --> 0:18:48.879
<v Speaker 1>back to being kids, like watching Star Trek and they

0:18:48.880 --> 0:18:52.000
<v Speaker 1>could like they could beam themselves to another place or whatever. Right,

0:18:52.040 --> 0:18:55.240
<v Speaker 1>So imagine like if an airline came across some technology

0:18:55.240 --> 0:18:56.760
<v Speaker 1>where you could just beam yourself, you didn't have to

0:18:56.800 --> 0:18:59.119
<v Speaker 1>get an airplane, and people would be able to do

0:18:59.160 --> 0:19:01.840
<v Speaker 1>this for really, really cheap, and the airline see was like,

0:19:01.880 --> 0:19:03.720
<v Speaker 1>oh my gosh, I could put us out of business.

0:19:03.960 --> 0:19:05.760
<v Speaker 1>That could eatually all our profits. And there's really a

0:19:05.800 --> 0:19:08.160
<v Speaker 1>way to monetize it because it's so cheap. So let's

0:19:08.200 --> 0:19:11.400
<v Speaker 1>just use the government to say that that's unsafe, will

0:19:11.480 --> 0:19:14.400
<v Speaker 1>create policies to say that that type of travel is banned,

0:19:15.160 --> 0:19:17.480
<v Speaker 1>and we'll to force people to go in an airplane.

0:19:17.560 --> 0:19:22.520
<v Speaker 1>Maybe that's kind of how it is, You're I'm laughing,

0:19:22.600 --> 0:19:26.600
<v Speaker 1>because yesterday I saw a product demo from I can't

0:19:26.600 --> 0:19:28.960
<v Speaker 1>say what, I can't say who it is and everything else,

0:19:29.000 --> 0:19:32.000
<v Speaker 1>but from a friend of mine to a technology later

0:19:32.080 --> 0:19:36.080
<v Speaker 1>a CEO of a different technology company, and that product

0:19:36.119 --> 0:19:39.800
<v Speaker 1>demo had something that I would say, feels like a

0:19:39.840 --> 0:19:46.640
<v Speaker 1>tele teleporter. Really what zoom is today? Think about think

0:19:46.680 --> 0:19:50.320
<v Speaker 1>about an actual experience that feels totally different and it's

0:19:50.440 --> 0:19:53.800
<v Speaker 1>native to native to a screen. It's so what's coming

0:19:54.480 --> 0:19:57.600
<v Speaker 1>is what's not widely distributed yet, but it is available

0:19:57.640 --> 0:20:01.720
<v Speaker 1>with technology would flow people's minds. Wow, that's incredible. So

0:20:02.320 --> 0:20:04.760
<v Speaker 1>we didn't we didn't plan that UM and we've even

0:20:04.840 --> 0:20:08.520
<v Speaker 1>seen it. So like obviously, if if anybody's watching this channel,

0:20:08.560 --> 0:20:10.600
<v Speaker 1>they know I'm a big proponent of of bitcoin. I

0:20:10.640 --> 0:20:12.520
<v Speaker 1>pound the table on that all the time to fight

0:20:12.560 --> 0:20:14.960
<v Speaker 1>against what the FED is doing UM and what we've

0:20:15.000 --> 0:20:20.400
<v Speaker 1>even seen UM from I mentioned earlier Christine Legarde from

0:20:20.440 --> 0:20:23.119
<v Speaker 1>the ECB, she came out and said that we I

0:20:23.160 --> 0:20:25.399
<v Speaker 1>forget the exact quote, but basically she said that we

0:20:25.480 --> 0:20:29.480
<v Speaker 1>need to stop this UM technology because it's going to

0:20:29.720 --> 0:20:35.520
<v Speaker 1>disrupt the entire financial system. But yes, isn't that the point?

0:20:35.880 --> 0:20:38.920
<v Speaker 1>So there purposely she's even saying it, they're purposely going

0:20:38.960 --> 0:20:43.480
<v Speaker 1>to try to shut down technology. I guess so so

0:20:44.280 --> 0:20:48.000
<v Speaker 1>UM yes, And that's where, like you all of these

0:20:48.080 --> 0:20:51.720
<v Speaker 1>roads again, if you come back to first principles, we

0:20:51.800 --> 0:20:54.679
<v Speaker 1>are going to get into flesh. The only question is

0:20:55.200 --> 0:20:59.520
<v Speaker 1>UM when so so so? So? Right now, I would

0:20:59.520 --> 0:21:02.320
<v Speaker 1>say we have a deflationary environment and the only thing

0:21:02.400 --> 0:21:07.040
<v Speaker 1>stopping that is massive liquidity injections. Most of that liquidity

0:21:07.119 --> 0:21:11.640
<v Speaker 1>injection is going straight into asset prises, bitcoin, gold, housing,

0:21:11.760 --> 0:21:15.960
<v Speaker 1>everything else. So it's driving those up and people in

0:21:16.000 --> 0:21:19.840
<v Speaker 1>those are thinking they're going to go up forever. And

0:21:19.840 --> 0:21:24.880
<v Speaker 1>and so so if we slow you can see what's

0:21:24.920 --> 0:21:27.159
<v Speaker 1>happening in stock market right now. It's bouncing around, and

0:21:27.200 --> 0:21:30.320
<v Speaker 1>it's you see a whole bunch more volatility in the

0:21:30.400 --> 0:21:32.960
<v Speaker 1>US right now, and in the stock market. That's because

0:21:32.960 --> 0:21:38.120
<v Speaker 1>there's no new stimulus. If if technology is creating deflation

0:21:38.160 --> 0:21:41.320
<v Speaker 1>at this rate, then the debt creation has to be

0:21:41.520 --> 0:21:45.840
<v Speaker 1>the amount of stimulus um and it's exponential, right, More

0:21:45.880 --> 0:21:51.000
<v Speaker 1>and more technology is creating that that deflation, then it

0:21:51.040 --> 0:21:53.560
<v Speaker 1>needs to be exponential monetary using. On the other side,

0:21:54.160 --> 0:21:58.359
<v Speaker 1>any any stop in that exponential monetary using or printing

0:21:58.400 --> 0:22:03.159
<v Speaker 1>of money, the whole thing collapses in it in the

0:22:03.240 --> 0:22:07.399
<v Speaker 1>unwind would be so crazy from where we are. Stock

0:22:07.440 --> 0:22:10.159
<v Speaker 1>prices would lose eighty percent of their value. Housing the

0:22:10.600 --> 0:22:13.439
<v Speaker 1>if you think over the last twenty years, to stop deflation,

0:22:14.960 --> 0:22:19.560
<v Speaker 1>trillion dollars of debt was created and and so so

0:22:19.640 --> 0:22:23.040
<v Speaker 1>you had two fifty trillion dollars of debt running an

0:22:23.080 --> 0:22:27.600
<v Speaker 1>eighty trillion dollar global economy. And that was before COVID, right,

0:22:27.880 --> 0:22:32.200
<v Speaker 1>and and so that and trillion of that debt came

0:22:32.200 --> 0:22:35.919
<v Speaker 1>in the last twenty years against that that path. And

0:22:35.960 --> 0:22:38.720
<v Speaker 1>so when I wrote the book, I predicted what would

0:22:38.720 --> 0:22:42.399
<v Speaker 1>happen next, right, and and all of these things any

0:22:42.440 --> 0:22:45.879
<v Speaker 1>blepin growth because because the inflation requires of you after

0:22:46.119 --> 0:22:47.680
<v Speaker 1>you have to keep going, and to do that, you're

0:22:47.720 --> 0:22:50.920
<v Speaker 1>just piling more and more. So four dollars of four

0:22:50.920 --> 0:22:54.280
<v Speaker 1>dollars of debt creation for one dollar of growth that debt,

0:22:54.520 --> 0:22:56.360
<v Speaker 1>that debt. If you run kind of what the Fed

0:22:56.640 --> 0:22:59.600
<v Speaker 1>is doing today and you assume that debt has to

0:22:59.600 --> 0:23:05.800
<v Speaker 1>be paid back, right, then then it's more disinflationary right right,

0:23:05.800 --> 0:23:09.280
<v Speaker 1>because it's not going into useful I think it's going

0:23:09.280 --> 0:23:11.480
<v Speaker 1>into asset prices. It's going into and it has to

0:23:11.520 --> 0:23:13.960
<v Speaker 1>be paid back tomorrow. So taxes are going to go

0:23:14.040 --> 0:23:17.040
<v Speaker 1>way up, right, And so you pulled them in from

0:23:17.080 --> 0:23:20.360
<v Speaker 1>the future. And that's where that we're trapped right now.

0:23:20.520 --> 0:23:24.000
<v Speaker 1>It's such a big problem. And if you let it unwined,

0:23:24.080 --> 0:23:27.920
<v Speaker 1>you have a depression, global depression. And if you keep

0:23:27.920 --> 0:23:31.199
<v Speaker 1>doing if you keep doing it, you have outbreak of

0:23:31.240 --> 0:23:35.440
<v Speaker 1>currency collapse, wars, everything out like it's just it's it's

0:23:35.480 --> 0:23:39.160
<v Speaker 1>really ugly on both sides. Yeah, So we have I

0:23:39.160 --> 0:23:42.040
<v Speaker 1>I see kind of two problems. One the technology, as

0:23:42.080 --> 0:23:45.960
<v Speaker 1>you say, is causing deflation. It's causing things to go down. Um,

0:23:45.960 --> 0:23:48.040
<v Speaker 1>there's charts. I'm sure you've seen them. I've seen them.

0:23:48.040 --> 0:23:50.520
<v Speaker 1>I wish I had them handy, I can put them

0:23:50.560 --> 0:23:53.240
<v Speaker 1>up on the screen. But basically it shows like different

0:23:53.280 --> 0:23:58.080
<v Speaker 1>asset prices and you can see you know, a technology TVs, telephones,

0:23:58.119 --> 0:24:02.400
<v Speaker 1>et cetera, all going down, but anything that the government controls, healthcare,

0:24:02.600 --> 0:24:06.240
<v Speaker 1>education have gone up. And so you have like this

0:24:06.240 --> 0:24:08.560
<v Speaker 1>this is like almost like v shape, where like technology

0:24:08.600 --> 0:24:10.679
<v Speaker 1>is going down and government stuff is going up. So

0:24:10.760 --> 0:24:13.120
<v Speaker 1>you have the technology pushing prices down, as you say,

0:24:13.200 --> 0:24:16.200
<v Speaker 1>causing deflation. But back to what you said about the debt,

0:24:16.640 --> 0:24:19.440
<v Speaker 1>I think there's even a bigger problem because the more

0:24:19.680 --> 0:24:22.119
<v Speaker 1>the bigger that balloon gets, the harder it gets to

0:24:22.200 --> 0:24:25.159
<v Speaker 1>reinflate that balloon. And what happens is in order to

0:24:25.240 --> 0:24:27.679
<v Speaker 1>print a trillion dollars, you have to go through you know,

0:24:27.760 --> 0:24:29.720
<v Speaker 1>government and Congress and all these things to get the

0:24:29.760 --> 0:24:33.159
<v Speaker 1>trillion dollars printed. But a trillion dollars can disappear like

0:24:33.240 --> 0:24:36.280
<v Speaker 1>that someone just a default on bankrupt and like it's

0:24:36.320 --> 0:24:39.280
<v Speaker 1>just gone the count. So it's way easier to get

0:24:39.359 --> 0:24:42.520
<v Speaker 1>rid of it than it's laid it back up and

0:24:42.520 --> 0:24:45.720
<v Speaker 1>and let's let's stay with kind of that for a second,

0:24:45.760 --> 0:24:48.360
<v Speaker 1>and again go back to first principles and ask where

0:24:48.480 --> 0:24:52.080
<v Speaker 1>questions Because everybody thinks, oh, no, real estate always goes up, right,

0:24:52.680 --> 0:24:55.960
<v Speaker 1>ask yourself this, without a hundred and eighty five trillion

0:24:56.000 --> 0:24:59.800
<v Speaker 1>dollars of new money over the last twenty years, what

0:25:00.000 --> 0:25:03.120
<v Speaker 1>would real estate prices be? Well, when you adjust for inflation,

0:25:03.160 --> 0:25:06.199
<v Speaker 1>you see a whole different picture, you see, So if

0:25:06.240 --> 0:25:09.400
<v Speaker 1>you would adjust for the cause of those real estate

0:25:09.440 --> 0:25:14.000
<v Speaker 1>prices going up, you can see them, you can you

0:25:14.000 --> 0:25:17.160
<v Speaker 1>can see what's happening. So we and then the next

0:25:17.200 --> 0:25:20.639
<v Speaker 1>question has to be can you keep doing that? Right?

0:25:20.760 --> 0:25:23.160
<v Speaker 1>Can you keep doing that at that scale? And if

0:25:23.200 --> 0:25:26.600
<v Speaker 1>you can't, then what will what will it look like?

0:25:26.640 --> 0:25:30.760
<v Speaker 1>Because you're right, once those defaults happen, it's just on

0:25:30.920 --> 0:25:34.880
<v Speaker 1>wines really fast. Now, I suspect that the governments are

0:25:34.920 --> 0:25:37.400
<v Speaker 1>not going to let on their watch right now all

0:25:37.400 --> 0:25:39.080
<v Speaker 1>over the world, they're not going to let that happen.

0:25:39.760 --> 0:25:43.160
<v Speaker 1>So what choice do they have? So today the federules

0:25:43.200 --> 0:25:46.960
<v Speaker 1>prohibit kind of helicopter money, m m T. Everything else,

0:25:47.000 --> 0:25:49.639
<v Speaker 1>so you'd be a They has to go to the banks,

0:25:49.680 --> 0:25:52.040
<v Speaker 1>and it kind of trickles down at the top level,

0:25:52.680 --> 0:25:56.760
<v Speaker 1>and and and and and the whole bunch of the

0:25:56.800 --> 0:26:02.440
<v Speaker 1>population who because housing prices as are giving an example, sorry,

0:26:02.560 --> 0:26:07.320
<v Speaker 1>before that, my my lakehouse that I'm currently in seven

0:26:07.359 --> 0:26:10.679
<v Speaker 1>years ago, I tore down my small house that was

0:26:10.760 --> 0:26:14.760
<v Speaker 1>here seven years ago. That house rented in the off

0:26:14.800 --> 0:26:17.080
<v Speaker 1>season for six hundred dollars a month, and it was

0:26:17.119 --> 0:26:21.040
<v Speaker 1>hard to get renters for six dollars a month. Down

0:26:21.080 --> 0:26:25.159
<v Speaker 1>the block, there's another cabinet looks exactly like that that

0:26:25.760 --> 0:26:30.440
<v Speaker 1>is now rents for fifteen a month seven years later. Yeah, So,

0:26:30.440 --> 0:26:34.520
<v Speaker 1>so what that means and house prices have gone crazy

0:26:34.560 --> 0:26:37.320
<v Speaker 1>and everything else, but what that means to to if

0:26:37.359 --> 0:26:41.240
<v Speaker 1>your wages haven't gone up by double more than double,

0:26:42.320 --> 0:26:44.760
<v Speaker 1>lost purchasing power. And there's a whole bunch of people

0:26:45.160 --> 0:26:47.760
<v Speaker 1>that don't have assets that are in that that are

0:26:47.800 --> 0:26:50.560
<v Speaker 1>in that camp. And so it's pretty logical that they

0:26:50.560 --> 0:26:54.000
<v Speaker 1>would come and say what's going on and vote for

0:26:54.080 --> 0:26:57.920
<v Speaker 1>people who will say I will give you money. Yeah, yeah,

0:26:58.119 --> 0:27:00.720
<v Speaker 1>I think that's what you just said. They're like purchasing power.

0:27:00.760 --> 0:27:03.120
<v Speaker 1>And I think if if people could look more in

0:27:03.240 --> 0:27:06.800
<v Speaker 1>terms of purchasing power as opposed to an asset price

0:27:06.920 --> 0:27:09.360
<v Speaker 1>in their in their fee currency. So you know, in America,

0:27:09.440 --> 0:27:11.679
<v Speaker 1>we're looking at all priced in US dollars. In Canada

0:27:11.760 --> 0:27:13.760
<v Speaker 1>maybe U S dollars or Canadian dollars or whatever. But

0:27:14.160 --> 0:27:15.399
<v Speaker 1>when you only look at it in the v a

0:27:15.480 --> 0:27:18.679
<v Speaker 1>currency is being inflated, you think, oh, my house went

0:27:18.760 --> 0:27:22.399
<v Speaker 1>up and I made money or whatever. But when you

0:27:22.480 --> 0:27:26.119
<v Speaker 1>look at it in purchasing power, which we started out

0:27:26.160 --> 0:27:27.880
<v Speaker 1>with saying do you want to buy more or less

0:27:27.920 --> 0:27:31.359
<v Speaker 1>in the future, you see a whole a totally different picture. So,

0:27:31.800 --> 0:27:35.639
<v Speaker 1>so all inflation is is it's a hidden tax. Yeah. So,

0:27:36.040 --> 0:27:39.000
<v Speaker 1>so if governments to carry on the services governments have

0:27:39.840 --> 0:27:43.600
<v Speaker 1>without inflation, they would have to charge you the real taxes, right,

0:27:44.040 --> 0:27:46.760
<v Speaker 1>and you would you would say government is too big,

0:27:46.960 --> 0:27:49.080
<v Speaker 1>it needs to be smaller because you wouldn't put up

0:27:49.119 --> 0:27:52.119
<v Speaker 1>with that that type of tax, right right, And so

0:27:52.280 --> 0:27:58.359
<v Speaker 1>they hide a hidden tax and inflation. Yeah. But the

0:27:58.480 --> 0:28:02.080
<v Speaker 1>problem with that hidden tax is it's on society is

0:28:02.119 --> 0:28:06.000
<v Speaker 1>most unable to pay, yeah, right, and so so the

0:28:06.640 --> 0:28:09.879
<v Speaker 1>But when you think about this, how crazy is it

0:28:10.720 --> 0:28:15.399
<v Speaker 1>that the cure that the society is racing, especially the

0:28:15.480 --> 0:28:18.320
<v Speaker 1>people left out, are racing to socialism as a cure

0:28:20.000 --> 0:28:23.840
<v Speaker 1>for for the same thing that created it like you.

0:28:24.160 --> 0:28:26.520
<v Speaker 1>So governments are creating as st price in flesh, and

0:28:26.520 --> 0:28:29.399
<v Speaker 1>they're creating all of the prices to go out, and

0:28:29.440 --> 0:28:31.879
<v Speaker 1>then they need more money that they don't have to

0:28:32.000 --> 0:28:34.720
<v Speaker 1>give people a bunch of money to pay for the

0:28:35.400 --> 0:28:37.720
<v Speaker 1>pay for the same prices that we're artificially inflated in

0:28:37.760 --> 0:28:42.560
<v Speaker 1>the first place. Right, So to me, it's madness. And

0:28:42.640 --> 0:28:45.200
<v Speaker 1>I don't see how people could want to vote for

0:28:45.320 --> 0:28:47.640
<v Speaker 1>more of the problem that caused it in the first place.

0:28:47.720 --> 0:28:50.160
<v Speaker 1>But they obviously are. Why do you think that is

0:28:51.040 --> 0:28:54.239
<v Speaker 1>because because they haven't gone They haven't they're not as

0:28:54.320 --> 0:28:56.680
<v Speaker 1>deep in this as you are, right, they're not as

0:28:57.120 --> 0:29:01.680
<v Speaker 1>That's that's one of the things where what we're talking

0:29:01.720 --> 0:29:05.600
<v Speaker 1>about right now, in inflation, it goes against every natural

0:29:06.160 --> 0:29:09.000
<v Speaker 1>fiber ever being because we were taught something different. Well,

0:29:09.040 --> 0:29:10.960
<v Speaker 1>it goes against not it go doesn't go against our

0:29:11.080 --> 0:29:14.920
<v Speaker 1>natural being, it goes against our education. Our education, right

0:29:15.000 --> 0:29:17.080
<v Speaker 1>and instead of and a lot of times you build

0:29:17.160 --> 0:29:20.360
<v Speaker 1>foundations of knowledge and everything else is built on top

0:29:20.400 --> 0:29:22.480
<v Speaker 1>of that and everything else, and you don't question your

0:29:22.520 --> 0:29:26.120
<v Speaker 1>foundations of knowledge very often, right, And so if you're

0:29:26.160 --> 0:29:32.160
<v Speaker 1>not intellectually curious enough to say, is this true? Right, then,

0:29:33.080 --> 0:29:37.480
<v Speaker 1>then you'll just believe. It's easier to believe somebody like

0:29:37.640 --> 0:29:41.400
<v Speaker 1>Andrew Yang or something saying, there are the problem, we

0:29:41.520 --> 0:29:43.760
<v Speaker 1>need to give you money. It's just easier because it

0:29:44.000 --> 0:29:48.720
<v Speaker 1>matches your picture of Instead of questioning should we have inflation?

0:29:48.760 --> 0:29:51.000
<v Speaker 1>Should we not have inflation, which is a hard thing

0:29:51.080 --> 0:29:53.640
<v Speaker 1>to go go down for most people, it's easy to

0:29:54.040 --> 0:29:56.840
<v Speaker 1>build on top of a narrative that people already understand.

0:29:57.640 --> 0:30:01.120
<v Speaker 1>It's actually the same thing that create such an opportunity

0:30:01.160 --> 0:30:04.640
<v Speaker 1>to entrepreneurs to question why are they doing it that way? Right?

0:30:05.760 --> 0:30:08.520
<v Speaker 1>That's it's exactly the same thing that creates creative destruction

0:30:08.600 --> 0:30:11.320
<v Speaker 1>because somebody, an entrepreneur, looks at the world and says,

0:30:11.680 --> 0:30:15.120
<v Speaker 1>that makes no sense anymore. Why am I carrying this thing?

0:30:15.160 --> 0:30:19.600
<v Speaker 1>Why don't I just put in a wheelbarrel? Exactly. Yeah,

0:30:19.960 --> 0:30:21.760
<v Speaker 1>that's a great point. And uh, it's one that I

0:30:21.840 --> 0:30:23.680
<v Speaker 1>do just want to just drive home because I I

0:30:24.080 --> 0:30:27.560
<v Speaker 1>believe in our natural being. I believe that we're all

0:30:27.800 --> 0:30:31.120
<v Speaker 1>driven towards deflation. We're all looking for an easier way

0:30:31.200 --> 0:30:34.440
<v Speaker 1>to do things. From the beginning of time, a division

0:30:34.480 --> 0:30:36.320
<v Speaker 1>of labor. Hey you do this, I'll do this. Let's

0:30:36.320 --> 0:30:38.360
<v Speaker 1>work together, right, like, hey, let me put in a

0:30:38.400 --> 0:30:41.560
<v Speaker 1>wheebarrow Like I said, so, I think naturally we all

0:30:41.680 --> 0:30:46.240
<v Speaker 1>gravitate towards free trade, free market, and deflationary things. But

0:30:46.400 --> 0:30:49.880
<v Speaker 1>it's the education system that has continued to push this

0:30:50.080 --> 0:30:53.920
<v Speaker 1>narrative indoctrination, if you want to call it that, I

0:30:54.000 --> 0:30:57.320
<v Speaker 1>guess because their system demands it depends on it. And

0:30:58.720 --> 0:31:02.920
<v Speaker 1>I would say most of those people, even at the

0:31:03.000 --> 0:31:05.960
<v Speaker 1>top that you're saying, when it's easy to say that

0:31:06.160 --> 0:31:08.720
<v Speaker 1>group of people at the top, most of those people

0:31:09.000 --> 0:31:13.560
<v Speaker 1>haven't asked this question. A very senior economists who is

0:31:13.600 --> 0:31:17.280
<v Speaker 1>in this circle right and everything else? Who's friends are

0:31:17.280 --> 0:31:20.640
<v Speaker 1>all of the people that monetorization, everything else read my

0:31:20.720 --> 0:31:24.360
<v Speaker 1>book called me and said, how do you see? How?

0:31:24.480 --> 0:31:27.560
<v Speaker 1>How did you see something that the entire world miss misses,

0:31:27.800 --> 0:31:33.560
<v Speaker 1>including I question everything that I teach and economics question

0:31:34.640 --> 0:31:36.280
<v Speaker 1>and how did you see? How did you see it?

0:31:36.600 --> 0:31:40.720
<v Speaker 1>But that's the thing. It's natural for somebody outside the

0:31:40.800 --> 0:31:44.960
<v Speaker 1>system to be able to uh, to quite to question

0:31:45.040 --> 0:31:49.240
<v Speaker 1>it because you're you're not you haven't been indoctrinated inside

0:31:49.320 --> 0:31:52.200
<v Speaker 1>something that you So you're asking you're asking a deeper question,

0:31:52.440 --> 0:31:55.040
<v Speaker 1>looking for the true answer instead of looking to build

0:31:55.080 --> 0:31:57.880
<v Speaker 1>on top of that foundation and knowledge. Yeah, that's a

0:31:57.920 --> 0:32:00.760
<v Speaker 1>great point. I want to talk about, as you said,

0:32:00.800 --> 0:32:03.240
<v Speaker 1>the unwind and it not being smooth and and not

0:32:03.360 --> 0:32:05.320
<v Speaker 1>being good. I want to talk about how you see

0:32:05.400 --> 0:32:07.720
<v Speaker 1>this kind of playing out. But before we do, I

0:32:07.840 --> 0:32:11.640
<v Speaker 1>just want to say one other thing is that, UM,

0:32:12.360 --> 0:32:14.400
<v Speaker 1>you know we talk about I think people have been

0:32:14.400 --> 0:32:16.800
<v Speaker 1>indoctrinated and they've been just trained to just kind of

0:32:16.840 --> 0:32:18.520
<v Speaker 1>look at it one way. And then Andrew jankas, I'm

0:32:18.520 --> 0:32:20.400
<v Speaker 1>gonna give a thousand bucks a month, and everyone says, yes,

0:32:20.440 --> 0:32:22.320
<v Speaker 1>sign me up. I'll take the thousand bucks a month.

0:32:22.680 --> 0:32:24.120
<v Speaker 1>I don't believe in that, but I mean, if we're

0:32:24.120 --> 0:32:25.680
<v Speaker 1>gonna pass it out, I guess then something to me

0:32:25.800 --> 0:32:29.920
<v Speaker 1>as well. Right. But UM, it seems that today, UM

0:32:30.680 --> 0:32:34.240
<v Speaker 1>you also mentioned abundance, people don't have this abundance mindset.

0:32:34.280 --> 0:32:38.640
<v Speaker 1>People have the scarcity mindset. And so UM it seems

0:32:38.720 --> 0:32:43.520
<v Speaker 1>that with this deflation, UM, jobs get lost. I can't

0:32:43.600 --> 0:32:47.240
<v Speaker 1>pick cotton anymore because now machine does it, UM, and

0:32:47.360 --> 0:32:50.200
<v Speaker 1>so whatever. And yes, there will be more jobs created,

0:32:50.240 --> 0:32:51.920
<v Speaker 1>and you said there was a debate about that, But

0:32:52.040 --> 0:32:54.880
<v Speaker 1>it requires me or that person to go learn new

0:32:54.960 --> 0:32:57.840
<v Speaker 1>skills and I have to do something different, have to

0:32:57.960 --> 0:33:00.720
<v Speaker 1>try harder, and it's so much easier if I just

0:33:00.800 --> 0:33:02.240
<v Speaker 1>stay home and watch TV and they just give me

0:33:02.280 --> 0:33:04.920
<v Speaker 1>a thousand bucks. And it seems that we've had this

0:33:05.160 --> 0:33:09.000
<v Speaker 1>massive shift where we have a large percentage of the

0:33:09.040 --> 0:33:11.680
<v Speaker 1>population now that doesn't want to learn new skills or

0:33:11.680 --> 0:33:13.240
<v Speaker 1>figure out how to offer the good and service to

0:33:13.280 --> 0:33:15.479
<v Speaker 1>the economy. They wanted to be taken care of. I mean,

0:33:15.560 --> 0:33:17.800
<v Speaker 1>do you see that as like a big push back

0:33:18.040 --> 0:33:21.040
<v Speaker 1>to this whole system? Isn't that an irony that we're

0:33:21.040 --> 0:33:24.680
<v Speaker 1>talking about this in the United States, which went through

0:33:25.200 --> 0:33:27.920
<v Speaker 1>you and I growing up Russia and the United States,

0:33:28.080 --> 0:33:34.360
<v Speaker 1>I know, and unbelievable, And it's unbelievable that that essentially

0:33:34.760 --> 0:33:40.000
<v Speaker 1>the United States wants to be Russia. Right when when

0:33:40.520 --> 0:33:44.080
<v Speaker 1>when you have when when you know what history looks like,

0:33:44.200 --> 0:33:47.520
<v Speaker 1>they're and and a state can't manage is effectively there's

0:33:47.560 --> 0:33:50.880
<v Speaker 1>only two ways to manage that many people globally, right,

0:33:52.040 --> 0:33:58.160
<v Speaker 1>free markets, which or or control essentially or the biggest

0:33:58.200 --> 0:34:03.520
<v Speaker 1>thug right, and and only two ways um and so

0:34:04.760 --> 0:34:09.360
<v Speaker 1>neither is perfect, right, But so one thing about capitalism

0:34:10.040 --> 0:34:13.439
<v Speaker 1>is it does if you just go kind of around

0:34:13.440 --> 0:34:17.840
<v Speaker 1>the very ends, right, capitalism probably requires some sort of

0:34:17.960 --> 0:34:22.720
<v Speaker 1>checks and balances, so uh to stop it from running

0:34:22.760 --> 0:34:26.680
<v Speaker 1>away those checks and balances. On the other side is

0:34:26.719 --> 0:34:29.239
<v Speaker 1>where U, B I and socialism go to write that

0:34:29.400 --> 0:34:33.160
<v Speaker 1>looks at community and it robs from capitalism. And because

0:34:33.360 --> 0:34:35.839
<v Speaker 1>nobody's asking where it does that. If you're if you're

0:34:35.920 --> 0:34:40.040
<v Speaker 1>ruining the innovative potential of the free market by by

0:34:40.080 --> 0:34:44.239
<v Speaker 1>saying everything goes to government, it can government outcompete the

0:34:44.280 --> 0:34:48.680
<v Speaker 1>free market? Right? And if they can't, your your economy dives.

0:34:48.920 --> 0:34:51.080
<v Speaker 1>And where does the money come from the people that

0:34:51.160 --> 0:34:52.719
<v Speaker 1>the government is saying, well, I'm going to give you

0:34:52.840 --> 0:34:57.040
<v Speaker 1>this money. Um. So, So that's that's the piece that

0:34:57.400 --> 0:35:01.440
<v Speaker 1>it's unbelievable that the US for so long and they

0:35:01.560 --> 0:35:04.799
<v Speaker 1>know what it looks like, right, because we've already played

0:35:04.840 --> 0:35:09.120
<v Speaker 1>this game around the world. Yeah, it's it's interesting. I'm

0:35:09.200 --> 0:35:12.440
<v Speaker 1>I'm I'm forty five. So I grew up kind of

0:35:12.800 --> 0:35:14.920
<v Speaker 1>seeing that Cold War play out. I saw, you know,

0:35:15.040 --> 0:35:18.399
<v Speaker 1>East West Berlin play out. We've seen obviously South Korea

0:35:18.440 --> 0:35:21.160
<v Speaker 1>North Korea play out. Um And so yeah, for me

0:35:21.360 --> 0:35:23.759
<v Speaker 1>to see people wanting that, I just I can't believe it.

0:35:23.800 --> 0:35:27.560
<v Speaker 1>I remember people coming in Cuba trying to get to

0:35:27.680 --> 0:35:30.400
<v Speaker 1>Florida and dying. You know, I'm like shark infested waters.

0:35:30.440 --> 0:35:32.920
<v Speaker 1>I can't believe it? Um, so can I? Can I

0:35:33.080 --> 0:35:36.239
<v Speaker 1>jump in there for one second? And this is this

0:35:36.480 --> 0:35:41.480
<v Speaker 1>is actually, um, this is actually one of those sailing points.

0:35:42.480 --> 0:35:45.640
<v Speaker 1>If you, you and I grew up in that world.

0:35:45.719 --> 0:35:47.799
<v Speaker 1>We saw, We saw that. But a lot of people

0:35:47.880 --> 0:35:51.279
<v Speaker 1>that are wanting you b I didn't. They haven't. They

0:35:51.320 --> 0:35:53.919
<v Speaker 1>haven't read history of what it looks like. They haven't said,

0:35:53.960 --> 0:35:57.200
<v Speaker 1>they haven't studied economics, they don't look you know what

0:35:57.320 --> 0:36:00.200
<v Speaker 1>free markets look like. And the truth is they don't

0:36:00.239 --> 0:36:03.759
<v Speaker 1>live in a free market. You have manipulated chrony capitalism

0:36:04.120 --> 0:36:08.120
<v Speaker 1>that's hurting them, right, and so in an environment where

0:36:08.120 --> 0:36:09.719
<v Speaker 1>you don't have a free market is a free market

0:36:09.800 --> 0:36:13.480
<v Speaker 1>for the rich, right, and and and and so it's

0:36:13.560 --> 0:36:16.600
<v Speaker 1>it's a managed market for where your stimulate government stimula.

0:36:17.600 --> 0:36:20.879
<v Speaker 1>A natural cause is for those people to say there

0:36:20.960 --> 0:36:24.120
<v Speaker 1>has to be a better way. So somebody when somebody

0:36:24.200 --> 0:36:28.000
<v Speaker 1>waves a magic one and saying hey, I'm going to

0:36:28.120 --> 0:36:29.680
<v Speaker 1>give I'm going to give you a better way that

0:36:29.800 --> 0:36:33.319
<v Speaker 1>fits with your knowledge, you'll take it and you believe

0:36:33.360 --> 0:36:36.280
<v Speaker 1>it all day long. Like how how many people believe

0:36:36.360 --> 0:36:39.799
<v Speaker 1>that simple solution, which is not a solution at all

0:36:40.480 --> 0:36:45.120
<v Speaker 1>when they in chaos is it is staggnerant and and

0:36:45.200 --> 0:36:47.440
<v Speaker 1>and and I just continue just to say over and

0:36:47.480 --> 0:36:49.720
<v Speaker 1>over it's just a complete failure of the education system,

0:36:50.200 --> 0:36:52.000
<v Speaker 1>you know, just a complete filure. You know, when when

0:36:52.120 --> 0:36:55.880
<v Speaker 1>you're a business owner, business the founder, and etcetera. You

0:36:55.960 --> 0:36:58.759
<v Speaker 1>solve problems, right, that's what business owners do. And uh,

0:36:59.160 --> 0:37:02.120
<v Speaker 1>and what we typically do is we look for examples

0:37:02.160 --> 0:37:04.120
<v Speaker 1>of what's working and what's not working, and then we

0:37:04.239 --> 0:37:06.560
<v Speaker 1>do more of what works and less of what doesn't work.

0:37:07.080 --> 0:37:09.360
<v Speaker 1>And so we'd call that like looking So instead of

0:37:09.440 --> 0:37:10.839
<v Speaker 1>just looking at a problem and how can we solve

0:37:10.840 --> 0:37:12.200
<v Speaker 1>the problem? How can we solve the problem, you would

0:37:12.239 --> 0:37:15.040
<v Speaker 1>look for a bright spot, where is it working somewhere else?

0:37:15.920 --> 0:37:18.640
<v Speaker 1>And so when you look and see whatever, I don't know,

0:37:18.719 --> 0:37:22.640
<v Speaker 1>two thirds of the world lives in extreme poverty, and

0:37:23.120 --> 0:37:25.399
<v Speaker 1>one or two nations have been able to lift people

0:37:25.440 --> 0:37:28.719
<v Speaker 1>out of poverty and become inventors and creators. You would

0:37:28.760 --> 0:37:31.320
<v Speaker 1>just look at that, well, why why did they become

0:37:31.360 --> 0:37:35.040
<v Speaker 1>in creators? And why are these stuck in third world countries?

0:37:35.080 --> 0:37:37.360
<v Speaker 1>And you would just look at the systems It just

0:37:37.440 --> 0:37:40.320
<v Speaker 1>seems so obvious. But again, I guess the education system

0:37:40.360 --> 0:37:44.040
<v Speaker 1>just blinds people to that. Yeah, or or or When

0:37:44.120 --> 0:37:47.279
<v Speaker 1>people can't pay their rent and feed their families, they

0:37:47.360 --> 0:37:49.440
<v Speaker 1>look for easy narratives. Look look at what happened in

0:37:49.480 --> 0:37:51.920
<v Speaker 1>the Romer Republic. That was a rise of Hitler. Right,

0:37:52.840 --> 0:37:56.400
<v Speaker 1>it's it's natural. It's a totally natural phenomenon that people

0:37:56.440 --> 0:37:59.480
<v Speaker 1>are looking for an answer that fits with their narrative.

0:37:59.600 --> 0:38:05.560
<v Speaker 1>And so um again, these these systems are giant systems

0:38:05.640 --> 0:38:09.200
<v Speaker 1>that have feedback loops and cause unintended consequences, and people

0:38:09.200 --> 0:38:13.000
<v Speaker 1>aren't driving into the unintended consequences on either side of

0:38:13.040 --> 0:38:19.800
<v Speaker 1>the aisle. Right, So so so on on in your economy,

0:38:19.960 --> 0:38:24.279
<v Speaker 1>in a two party system, right, um uh, you have

0:38:24.840 --> 0:38:29.200
<v Speaker 1>two sides yelling at each other, screaming, and camps developing

0:38:29.239 --> 0:38:33.840
<v Speaker 1>on both sides of that, both unaware that they're sitting

0:38:33.880 --> 0:38:36.560
<v Speaker 1>on top of a system that there's nothing they can

0:38:36.640 --> 0:38:39.960
<v Speaker 1>do to keep it going. One side says we're going

0:38:40.320 --> 0:38:42.360
<v Speaker 1>we're going to keep a free market, and it's not

0:38:42.480 --> 0:38:45.759
<v Speaker 1>a free market, right, And the other side says we're

0:38:45.760 --> 0:38:48.560
<v Speaker 1>going to give you money, right and not create more

0:38:48.600 --> 0:38:51.640
<v Speaker 1>and more socialism. So there you have socialism for the

0:38:51.760 --> 0:38:54.160
<v Speaker 1>rich on one side, socialism for the poor on on

0:38:54.280 --> 0:38:57.880
<v Speaker 1>the other, and in both unaware that there's been a

0:38:57.920 --> 0:39:01.560
<v Speaker 1>structural change to how a on them is need to run. Yeah,

0:39:01.719 --> 0:39:05.240
<v Speaker 1>and they're preventing that structural change from happening and causing

0:39:05.520 --> 0:39:08.000
<v Speaker 1>all of the things, all of the divide of society

0:39:08.920 --> 0:39:12.520
<v Speaker 1>that they don't want. Yeah. And and it really comes

0:39:12.560 --> 0:39:14.840
<v Speaker 1>down just that education, which is why you write that

0:39:14.960 --> 0:39:17.279
<v Speaker 1>book The Price of Tomorrow, which I recommend everyone go get.

0:39:17.360 --> 0:39:20.399
<v Speaker 1>It's why I do my YouTube videos as well. Um

0:39:20.800 --> 0:39:23.680
<v Speaker 1>I want to talk about how this plays out then,

0:39:23.840 --> 0:39:27.040
<v Speaker 1>And as you said, like the great Unwined you know,

0:39:27.120 --> 0:39:29.240
<v Speaker 1>I was just thinking though before as you were talking.

0:39:30.000 --> 0:39:31.600
<v Speaker 1>One one way that I look at it and I

0:39:31.640 --> 0:39:33.760
<v Speaker 1>think people can maybe kind of put this into relation.

0:39:33.920 --> 0:39:36.719
<v Speaker 1>Is that like a free market, as you kind of said,

0:39:36.760 --> 0:39:39.600
<v Speaker 1>it's it's not always nice. I could spend a lot

0:39:39.640 --> 0:39:41.360
<v Speaker 1>of time and effort and money to build a product

0:39:41.440 --> 0:39:42.640
<v Speaker 1>and take it to the market and the market may

0:39:42.680 --> 0:39:45.840
<v Speaker 1>not want it. Yeah, that's not nice, but it is

0:39:45.880 --> 0:39:48.960
<v Speaker 1>what it is. Um. I look at it like imagine

0:39:50.400 --> 0:39:55.480
<v Speaker 1>saying that it's that competition, what that entrepreneurs do that

0:39:55.800 --> 0:40:01.080
<v Speaker 1>kind of yield asymmetric debts. Right if you're that is

0:40:01.200 --> 0:40:04.839
<v Speaker 1>the core of innovation. Yep, right, it's that risk group

0:40:04.920 --> 0:40:09.200
<v Speaker 1>turned profile, that having to invent something that really works

0:40:09.239 --> 0:40:12.799
<v Speaker 1>for other people and and having everything on the line.

0:40:12.960 --> 0:40:17.440
<v Speaker 1>That is the core of innovation. Without Without that, innovation

0:40:17.520 --> 0:40:20.719
<v Speaker 1>stops and it's a matter of only going to the

0:40:20.800 --> 0:40:24.360
<v Speaker 1>market with what people want, what solves their needs and problems.

0:40:24.400 --> 0:40:27.080
<v Speaker 1>So people think business owners are greedy. Well, a business

0:40:27.120 --> 0:40:30.520
<v Speaker 1>owner only succeeds by solving needs and problems of others,

0:40:30.880 --> 0:40:34.120
<v Speaker 1>not themselves, of others. And if if it's not solving

0:40:34.200 --> 0:40:36.440
<v Speaker 1>enough needs and problems, it doesn't succeed, I need to

0:40:36.480 --> 0:40:40.040
<v Speaker 1>go back. It does exactly. Yeah, but I was just

0:40:40.120 --> 0:40:43.840
<v Speaker 1>thinking about like nature again, these are natural laws, right,

0:40:43.920 --> 0:40:46.720
<v Speaker 1>So like in nature, you imagine like an animal, a lion,

0:40:46.880 --> 0:40:49.800
<v Speaker 1>right if you will, and or whatever whatever kind of animal.

0:40:50.120 --> 0:40:53.520
<v Speaker 1>And uh, in nature, it's not nice. They may not

0:40:53.800 --> 0:40:56.000
<v Speaker 1>have food for a few days, they might get eaten,

0:40:56.520 --> 0:40:59.040
<v Speaker 1>they may not have a but put they're free to

0:40:59.160 --> 0:41:01.960
<v Speaker 1>live their life. We could just put that animal in

0:41:02.000 --> 0:41:04.560
<v Speaker 1>a cage at the zoo, make sure they're safe from

0:41:05.320 --> 0:41:08.799
<v Speaker 1>from predators, give them one meal a day, and now

0:41:08.880 --> 0:41:11.000
<v Speaker 1>they're safe and they have a meal, but they live

0:41:11.040 --> 0:41:14.640
<v Speaker 1>in a cage. That's actually really good. I think that's

0:41:14.680 --> 0:41:16.960
<v Speaker 1>a really good analogy because when when you when you

0:41:17.080 --> 0:41:20.319
<v Speaker 1>say free markets or managed economy, that's what you're saying.

0:41:20.360 --> 0:41:23.239
<v Speaker 1>You live in a cage under somebody else's control, or

0:41:23.320 --> 0:41:26.359
<v Speaker 1>you live in a free market. Both sides which one

0:41:26.440 --> 0:41:31.000
<v Speaker 1>is worse, right, So, so both both sides have have

0:41:31.880 --> 0:41:34.279
<v Speaker 1>pros and cons and there's just more pros and a

0:41:34.360 --> 0:41:37.200
<v Speaker 1>free market. Well, the problem is and and uh, you know,

0:41:37.400 --> 0:41:39.839
<v Speaker 1>most of the world probably wants now to release all

0:41:39.880 --> 0:41:41.880
<v Speaker 1>the animals and the zoos and whatnot, right, and so

0:41:42.239 --> 0:41:44.040
<v Speaker 1>I think if you put it in as terms, but

0:41:44.160 --> 0:41:46.680
<v Speaker 1>the problem is is that, um, you don't want to

0:41:46.719 --> 0:41:49.240
<v Speaker 1>take a wild animal and put it into a cage,

0:41:49.320 --> 0:41:52.200
<v Speaker 1>an animal that's been free and then put into a cage.

0:41:52.360 --> 0:41:54.840
<v Speaker 1>But you also can't take animals that have been raised

0:41:54.960 --> 0:41:59.120
<v Speaker 1>in cages and put them back into the wild. So

0:41:59.640 --> 0:42:02.160
<v Speaker 1>that's where we at because what ends up happening is

0:42:02.280 --> 0:42:04.960
<v Speaker 1>and that's actually that's why that analogy is probably useful

0:42:05.480 --> 0:42:09.080
<v Speaker 1>because if if you haven't managed society in a cage,

0:42:10.239 --> 0:42:14.000
<v Speaker 1>you lose company, you lose competitive edge for you. That's

0:42:14.160 --> 0:42:16.719
<v Speaker 1>that's where you're taking the money from to put into

0:42:16.719 --> 0:42:20.279
<v Speaker 1>the managed economy, and there is no competition anymore, so

0:42:20.760 --> 0:42:22.719
<v Speaker 1>you lose that competitive edge. You don't have to be

0:42:22.800 --> 0:42:25.719
<v Speaker 1>a competitive economy. That's what we're Yeah, and they just

0:42:25.760 --> 0:42:28.719
<v Speaker 1>can they can't go back to the wild again. So

0:42:29.000 --> 0:42:30.799
<v Speaker 1>so that leads me to the point of the grade

0:42:30.840 --> 0:42:32.160
<v Speaker 1>and Wind. I know, we've got to wrap this up,

0:42:32.239 --> 0:42:34.440
<v Speaker 1>so we'll finish on that. But so how do you

0:42:34.560 --> 0:42:37.759
<v Speaker 1>see this plane out? I mean, technology wins. You said

0:42:37.760 --> 0:42:40.200
<v Speaker 1>it could be very disruptive. I mean, is there an

0:42:40.280 --> 0:42:42.840
<v Speaker 1>easy way to transition out of the system that we

0:42:42.960 --> 0:42:46.080
<v Speaker 1>have into this new system? Or when I wrote the book,

0:42:46.080 --> 0:42:50.000
<v Speaker 1>I was hopeful yes. And remember the book came up

0:42:50.080 --> 0:42:54.440
<v Speaker 1>just before, so it predicts all these events and what

0:42:54.600 --> 0:42:59.720
<v Speaker 1>happens next, right, Um, But and it came out January

0:42:59.840 --> 0:43:02.560
<v Speaker 1>and January and then COVID hit and COVID was a

0:43:02.840 --> 0:43:06.480
<v Speaker 1>great accelerator of the trends I'm talking about, right, So,

0:43:06.960 --> 0:43:10.160
<v Speaker 1>so in response, what my hope was is that you

0:43:10.200 --> 0:43:15.480
<v Speaker 1>could have policy discussions that would manage that on wind

0:43:16.200 --> 0:43:19.880
<v Speaker 1>right in a slow way, and allow that to happen

0:43:20.200 --> 0:43:24.800
<v Speaker 1>and save currencies. Since COVID accelerated technology, right, So you know,

0:43:24.880 --> 0:43:27.680
<v Speaker 1>what's happening online where the rate of growth online and technology,

0:43:27.719 --> 0:43:31.160
<v Speaker 1>all the technology companies are actually winners in this, all

0:43:31.280 --> 0:43:35.880
<v Speaker 1>hitting records in this well, there's all this unemployment. Technology

0:43:36.000 --> 0:43:38.120
<v Speaker 1>is a huge winner of this, so it excels. It's

0:43:38.120 --> 0:43:43.400
<v Speaker 1>accelerated the trend. Also, because it's accelerated trend, it's accelerated

0:43:43.480 --> 0:43:47.440
<v Speaker 1>government's response. So the amount of easing, the amount of

0:43:47.520 --> 0:43:50.880
<v Speaker 1>debt creation, amount of everything else, essentially making the balloon bigger,

0:43:52.080 --> 0:43:58.560
<v Speaker 1>is so outrageous today that that the governments, all governments

0:43:58.800 --> 0:44:01.399
<v Speaker 1>are forced onto this path that's only going to get worse.

0:44:01.640 --> 0:44:04.520
<v Speaker 1>So they will, so you will see way more stimulus.

0:44:05.280 --> 0:44:11.200
<v Speaker 1>You'll see you'll see eventually the FED kind of the treasure,

0:44:11.200 --> 0:44:13.839
<v Speaker 1>you'll bypass the fret FED and you'll get helicopter money.

0:44:14.640 --> 0:44:17.320
<v Speaker 1>So you without without that right now, you're going to

0:44:17.440 --> 0:44:20.400
<v Speaker 1>get more deflation and it's going to accelerate, and that

0:44:20.520 --> 0:44:22.440
<v Speaker 1>deflation is going to accelerate, and you're gonna have this

0:44:24.160 --> 0:44:27.880
<v Speaker 1>inequality that's building even faster than it's building today. So

0:44:28.000 --> 0:44:31.080
<v Speaker 1>at some point you and you can expect rule changes,

0:44:31.160 --> 0:44:33.839
<v Speaker 1>not just the FED, but globally at all the where

0:44:34.160 --> 0:44:38.759
<v Speaker 1>there's direct bypasses of the banking institutions where money goes

0:44:38.800 --> 0:44:43.400
<v Speaker 1>directly to citizens, right, and at that point you can

0:44:43.480 --> 0:44:48.160
<v Speaker 1>expect hyper inflation where your where your wheelbarrows fow of money. Now,

0:44:48.239 --> 0:44:50.360
<v Speaker 1>it might take some time to do that, right because

0:44:50.600 --> 0:44:55.200
<v Speaker 1>because politicians cannot do it right. But you're on a

0:44:55.280 --> 0:44:57.600
<v Speaker 1>path to at some point the currencies are going to

0:44:57.640 --> 0:45:01.040
<v Speaker 1>be totally destroyed and then on the other side of

0:45:01.120 --> 0:45:05.160
<v Speaker 1>that you're gonna have deflation. Right. So so if you

0:45:05.320 --> 0:45:09.560
<v Speaker 1>think about where your bets are placed in that it's you.

0:45:09.960 --> 0:45:13.040
<v Speaker 1>You have to diversify your portfolio because it's really ugly

0:45:13.120 --> 0:45:15.560
<v Speaker 1>on this people are going to be completely wiped out.

0:45:16.040 --> 0:45:17.680
<v Speaker 1>If you have if you have cash and you go

0:45:17.760 --> 0:45:22.279
<v Speaker 1>to hyper inflation, your cash is worthless. If you if

0:45:22.360 --> 0:45:26.799
<v Speaker 1>you have um, if you have stocks or or real

0:45:26.920 --> 0:45:29.160
<v Speaker 1>estate and you go through the deflation and you have

0:45:29.280 --> 0:45:33.239
<v Speaker 1>loans again against that, you're gonna get wiped out. So

0:45:33.680 --> 0:45:36.000
<v Speaker 1>so you've gotta be really careful on those sides of

0:45:36.480 --> 0:45:41.600
<v Speaker 1>those bets. But probably deflation change a change of FED

0:45:42.120 --> 0:45:45.719
<v Speaker 1>FED rules and other government to bypass to bypass that

0:45:46.719 --> 0:45:49.600
<v Speaker 1>creation of inflation because they're forced on that path now

0:45:50.640 --> 0:45:55.200
<v Speaker 1>inflation leading to hyper inflation, reset of the reset of

0:45:55.239 --> 0:45:58.200
<v Speaker 1>the game deflation. Yeah, yeah, that makes sense, and I

0:45:58.280 --> 0:46:00.200
<v Speaker 1>think that it's very logical. I think that kind of

0:46:00.200 --> 0:46:02.839
<v Speaker 1>see the same way. Uh, And so if I'm paraphrasing,

0:46:02.840 --> 0:46:05.560
<v Speaker 1>and then basically, um, it continues to get worse and

0:46:05.640 --> 0:46:08.800
<v Speaker 1>worse and worse the deflation. The FED continues to do

0:46:08.920 --> 0:46:11.279
<v Speaker 1>more and more and more, which finally overshoot their goal,

0:46:11.360 --> 0:46:14.799
<v Speaker 1>which leads to the hyper inflation, which is eventually the Fed.

0:46:15.000 --> 0:46:17.680
<v Speaker 1>The FED can't create the inflation. They think they can,

0:46:17.800 --> 0:46:20.040
<v Speaker 1>they can just signal the market. They can't. They can't

0:46:20.320 --> 0:46:23.279
<v Speaker 1>because the federal requires that they fed money go to

0:46:23.400 --> 0:46:28.640
<v Speaker 1>banking institutions, and the banking institutions won't lend. Right, So

0:46:29.200 --> 0:46:32.399
<v Speaker 1>even though M one, all of you created all this money,

0:46:32.520 --> 0:46:36.320
<v Speaker 1>it's not actually in velocity M two, people aren't spending

0:46:36.360 --> 0:46:39.960
<v Speaker 1>it because it's not being lent out to to society.

0:46:40.400 --> 0:46:43.040
<v Speaker 1>It's going straight into asset price. So asset prices are

0:46:43.080 --> 0:46:46.480
<v Speaker 1>going up, but it's not creating the inflation. So to

0:46:46.560 --> 0:46:48.719
<v Speaker 1>create the inflation, there has to be a bypass of

0:46:48.840 --> 0:46:53.200
<v Speaker 1>that of that instrument to two people who will then

0:46:53.320 --> 0:46:58.000
<v Speaker 1>spend it, who then then create a hyper inflation. Yeah, great,

0:46:58.719 --> 0:47:01.000
<v Speaker 1>well we're going to wrap it up with that, because

0:47:01.040 --> 0:47:03.239
<v Speaker 1>I know we're out of time, but I appreciate that. UM,

0:47:03.760 --> 0:47:06.359
<v Speaker 1>for everybody that wants to know more about this, of course,

0:47:06.440 --> 0:47:08.279
<v Speaker 1>go read the book The Prices tomorrow. I will link

0:47:08.360 --> 0:47:11.360
<v Speaker 1>to it in the show notes. UM, is there anywhere

0:47:11.360 --> 0:47:14.000
<v Speaker 1>else they should follow the website or you're on Twitter?

0:47:14.080 --> 0:47:16.759
<v Speaker 1>I know on Twitter, just at Jeff Booth. Okay, so

0:47:16.960 --> 0:47:18.279
<v Speaker 1>Jeff Booth. So I'm gonna go ahead and link to

0:47:18.320 --> 0:47:20.680
<v Speaker 1>that in the show notes as well. UM, it's an

0:47:20.719 --> 0:47:23.640
<v Speaker 1>important conversation. I think everybody needs to be more aware

0:47:23.680 --> 0:47:25.399
<v Speaker 1>of what's going on. Like we've talked about, the lack

0:47:25.440 --> 0:47:28.080
<v Speaker 1>of education is a big problem. So go educate yourself,

0:47:28.160 --> 0:47:30.279
<v Speaker 1>get the book, and we'll wrap it up with that.

0:47:30.360 --> 0:47:32.439
<v Speaker 1>Thanks so much, Jeff, Thanks Markus, Gregg