Speaker 1: You're listening to the Buck Sexton Show podcast, make sure
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Speaker 1: wherever you get your podcasts. Hey, everybody, welcome to the
Speaker 1: Buck Brief Today. We're doing a debate preview. Now. For
Speaker 1: those of you who are going to say, I'm not
Speaker 1: even watching the debate, I don't care, well, let's talk
Speaker 1: about that. Why don't people care? Why isn't this more
Speaker 1: of a thing. Usually a presidential debate would for those
Speaker 1: who follow politics, be a really big deal. So we'll
Speaker 1: discuss that and what it means about the general election
Speaker 1: of the twenty twenty for election, and some other very
Speaker 1: important topics as well. Let me start with this. Okay,
Speaker 1: you've got four people though, on this stage, so let's
Speaker 1: have this discussion, shall we? Four? Thanks to watch in
Speaker 1: tonight's primary debate. And if you're listening to this on
Speaker 1: Thursday or Friday, just note that my analysis I'm sure
Speaker 1: will prove to be incredibly astute and prescient and even predictive.
Speaker 1: I'll throw that out there, predictive analysis. With all this,
Speaker 1: so we've only got four candidates on the stage. You
Speaker 1: are going to have vivek Ramaswami Nicki Haley, Ron DeSantis,
Speaker 1: and Governor Chris Christi. Now here's what I think. First
Speaker 1: of all, Governor Christi even making it to the stage
Speaker 1: is interesting in and of itself. What really is he
Speaker 1: trying to do at this point? And I mean that
Speaker 1: I'm starting with him because to me, Governor Chris Christy
Speaker 1: has no serious plan to be the next president. I
Speaker 1: don't think he thinks he's going to be president. I
Speaker 1: don't think anyone thinks he's going to be president. And
Speaker 1: he hasn't been able to do anything to really knock
Speaker 1: down Trump's support in any meaningful way, which I thought
Speaker 1: was really the primary reason he was even in this game, right,
Speaker 1: He was trying to throw his weight around, so to speak,
Speaker 1: and show that he could stand up to Trump, who
Speaker 1: he says is a bully and all this other stuff. Okay, Well,
Speaker 1: with that in mind, the polls for Trump have actually
Speaker 1: shown that in recent months, not only has his uh
Speaker 1: not not only hasn't he lost votes, but Trump's ceiling
Speaker 1: so to speak, has been expanding. His ceiling has been
Speaker 1: of support has been increasing. People have been falling toward Trump,
Speaker 1: not away from him. And that's just what the poll
Speaker 1: show you he's at over fifty percent support now in
Speaker 1: the GOP. A lot of people have been saying earlier
Speaker 1: on oh, he's at forty something percent. He's And here's
Speaker 1: the thing. I don't recall Chris Christie in recent memory,
Speaker 1: at least taking anywhere near the kind of long position
Speaker 1: against some Democrats that he has in this case against
Speaker 1: Donald Trump. Right. I mean, Christy is known for being
Speaker 1: a brawler, but he only wants to brawl with a
Speaker 1: Republican that he has no chance of beating. That strikes
Speaker 1: me as a little bit strange. Okay, Now, Viveke Ramasswami,
Speaker 1: why is he still in this thing? Well, Viveke is
Speaker 1: a smart guy. He likes the media attention. That is true.
Speaker 1: That is clear. I think anybody who's running for president does.
Speaker 1: But I think Vivike likes it more than others. And
Speaker 1: for him, it's just a brand building exercise. For Viveke,
Speaker 1: this is getting more time on this stage to show
Speaker 1: people his stuff, to show people what he's got, and
Speaker 1: perhaps this is an audition for a cabinet role in
Speaker 1: a Trump administration, or really it's meant to put him
Speaker 1: in a senior role going forward. For twenty twenty eight right,
Speaker 1: or a top position among the possible contenders for all
Speaker 1: of this. Okay, that's all what I see with the
Speaker 1: vag Ramaswami. Nicki Haley the choice of the donor class.
Speaker 1: You remember, remember what it was? Was it? What was it?
Speaker 1: The choice? What was pepsi? The choice of the next generation? Right?
Speaker 1: Nicki Haley the choice of the super rich plutocrats, the GOP.
Speaker 1: She's the donor class candidate, that is obvious. She's the
Speaker 1: GOP candidate from twenty something years ago. She seems to
Speaker 1: think that forever wars are actually a good idea, which
Speaker 1: is I think disqualifying in and of itself, at least
Speaker 1: in terms of who would be best to run the country.
Speaker 1: But you know, Nicki Haley is certainly making her making
Speaker 1: her moments happen here by getting to the place where
Speaker 1: she's pretty much tied with Ron DeSantis. She's pretty much
Speaker 1: neck and neck with Ron DeSantis in some of the polls.
Speaker 1: I should say, and then we'll get into de Santis.
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Speaker 1: Check this out today, all right now. Ron DeSantis rondas sanctimonious,
Speaker 1: as Trump calls him, dysanctimonius is a better nickname, but
Speaker 1: neither of them are particularly good nickname. Sleepy Joe was
Speaker 1: an all time great, and low energy Jeb was probably
Speaker 1: the best of the although Crooked Hillary, okay, Crooked Hillary
Speaker 1: might have won him the presidency. But the da sanctimonious
Speaker 1: nickname is not It's not a good nickname. I just objectively.
Speaker 1: I'm not saying I'm Fortis or for Trump. I'm just
Speaker 1: saying I don't think that's Trump's best nickname work. That's all.
Speaker 1: But ro Is in this one. And here's what I see,
Speaker 1: as you all know, and I don't try to hide
Speaker 1: any of my feelings on this. I think Ron, to
Speaker 1: say this, is a fantastic governor. I think he set
Speaker 1: the standard for Republican governor in this country. And it
Speaker 1: is possible to really like and support multiple people in
Speaker 1: the Republican Party at any given time. So I have
Speaker 1: nothing but good things to say about Ron as governor.
Speaker 1: The candidacy for president, just based on the numbers, has
Speaker 1: not been where we want it to be. If you're
Speaker 1: a Just Santa supporter, if you're a Trump supporter, you
Speaker 1: love it right. And if you hear, by the way,
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Speaker 1: to Ron. Ron hasn't had the campaign that he was
Speaker 1: hoping to that he thought he would. So when you
Speaker 1: look at what the future is here, it's either Iowa
Speaker 1: or bus. I think, right he either wins in Iowa
Speaker 1: or else. What is he really staying in this presidential
Speaker 1: contest for? I mean, I don't think that he's going
Speaker 1: to get momentum after Iowa, in New Hampshire and going
Speaker 1: into Super Tuesday. I just don't see that happening. So
Speaker 1: it's all or nothing for Ron DeSantis. He has to
Speaker 1: win Iowa. Maybe then some dominoes start falling and things
Speaker 1: change dramatically. But right now, I mean, you just look
Speaker 1: at the betting odds. The betting odds or that Donald
Speaker 1: Trump is going to be the next Republican nominee but
Speaker 1: let's talk about expectations for tonight on how these candidates
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Speaker 1: we with what's going to happen tonight? The Veke and
Speaker 1: Haley are going to be going after each other on
Speaker 1: that stage, that is for sure. They don't like each other,
Speaker 1: Ron DeSantis, I think so. I mean that, by the way,
Speaker 1: that's just I think that's clear at this point. They
Speaker 1: don't like each other truly, and I'm not really sure
Speaker 1: where that comes from, other than I think they both
Speaker 1: have convinced themselves that the other is a phony. I
Speaker 1: think that Vivek thinks Nikky Haley is a you know
Speaker 1: Boeing Lockheed forever war donor class Hill. And I think
Speaker 1: Haley thinks that Vivak is a disingenuous, smarmy say anything
Speaker 1: at any moment in time so that he can try to,
Speaker 1: you know, swindle some Trump voters into supporting him because
Speaker 1: he's like Trump, but he's not Trump. So she thinks
Speaker 1: that that's really distasteful and they don't like each other.
Speaker 1: Chris Christy, as I was really started out, I started
Speaker 1: out talking about him beause I'm surprised he's even on
Speaker 1: the stage. He's just gonna take big shots at Donald
Speaker 1: Trump and see how that goes. He's just going to
Speaker 1: do everything that he can to make a mark by
Speaker 1: going after Donald Trump. And then there's DeSantis. What is
Speaker 1: DeSantis's pathway here or what are you gonna hear from DeSantis?
Speaker 1: Because really this is more about connecting with the audience
Speaker 1: than it is any policy, right. This is more about
Speaker 1: what is the audience perception of the individual as they
Speaker 1: sort of finish up the night or if they only
Speaker 1: watch for a few minutes, do they like this guy
Speaker 1: or gal? And that's where Ron DeSantis I think really
Speaker 1: has to make an effort because he's very strong. If
Speaker 1: you're a conservative of Ronda Santis is fantastic on policy
Speaker 1: and if you care about results, He's been a phenomenal governor.
Speaker 1: But sometimes he lacks that connectivity with the folks. I
Speaker 1: don't know how else to say it. I think that's
Speaker 1: where it is. And so when you start to factor
Speaker 1: in that, or either if you could factor that in
Speaker 1: and if you could see some movement in the polls
Speaker 1: for Ron DeSantis, that would be helpful, or that would
Speaker 1: be moving in the right direction, that would be a
Speaker 1: place where he could probably pick up some ground. There
Speaker 1: are people who think he should really go after Trump
Speaker 1: and make his case that way. I don't know if
Speaker 1: that's a wise move at this point. It's but it
Speaker 1: is make or break time. So maybe Ron decides to
Speaker 1: take a page from the Chris Christie book and just
Speaker 1: say Donald Trump won't show up the debate, isn't able
Speaker 1: to beat Joe Biden. I mean, he's I think if
Speaker 1: he really wants to be president, he probably has to
Speaker 1: make that case tonight, even if it doesn't do very
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Speaker 1: AI project dot com. So here's my prediction. I guess
Speaker 1: I started save the best for a last I don't
Speaker 1: think you'll see any movement in any of the polls
Speaker 1: that are meaningful after Tonight's Republican debate. I think that
Speaker 1: a lot of people are just going to tweet out
Speaker 1: Trump one in the middle of it, because it's just
Speaker 1: too much of a golf at this point. It's too
Speaker 1: much of a of a distance for the candidates to
Speaker 1: make up. And we'll see if I'm wrong. If I'm
Speaker 1: not wrong, it's all Iowa or it's Trump right, meaning
Speaker 1: that it's all in on Iowa. I for Ronda Santis
Speaker 1: or else Donald Trump becomes the next nominee. And I
Speaker 1: think Donald Trump can be Joe Biden. So the good
Speaker 1: news is, no matter what, if you're a Republican, there
Speaker 1: are reasons to be optimistic going forward. That's it for
Speaker 1: today's buck brief on the debate specifically, we'll have more
Speaker 1: for you, so check the check out. These buck briefs
Speaker 1: chields high