1 00:00:00,040 --> 00:00:02,240 Speaker 1: This episode of the Chuck Podcast is brought to you 2 00:00:02,279 --> 00:00:04,800 Speaker 1: by Incognate. You know, one of the things we talk 3 00:00:05,040 --> 00:00:07,880 Speaker 1: a lot about on this podcast is trust, who deserves 4 00:00:07,880 --> 00:00:09,920 Speaker 1: it and who doesn't. And lately I've been thinking about 5 00:00:09,920 --> 00:00:14,200 Speaker 1: how much of our personal information is just floating around online. 6 00:00:14,520 --> 00:00:17,920 Speaker 1: I'm talking about phone numbers, home addresses, emails, even information 7 00:00:17,960 --> 00:00:20,400 Speaker 1: about your family, all sitting on websites you've probably never 8 00:00:20,440 --> 00:00:22,720 Speaker 1: heard of. 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Use the code you get a discal again, 27 00:01:28,040 --> 00:01:32,120 Speaker 1: that's in cogni dot com slash Chuck podcast and use 28 00:01:32,200 --> 00:01:35,200 Speaker 1: the Code Chuck podcast to get sixty percent off and 29 00:01:35,240 --> 00:01:39,520 Speaker 1: start taking control of your personal data today. Trust me, 30 00:01:40,120 --> 00:01:44,360 Speaker 1: I'm constantly working on this for years myself, and here's 31 00:01:44,360 --> 00:01:46,600 Speaker 1: an opportunity for you to take matters into your own 32 00:01:46,600 --> 00:01:53,360 Speaker 1: hands as well. Hello there, Happy Monday, and welcome to 33 00:01:53,440 --> 00:01:57,160 Speaker 1: another episode of the Chuck Podcast. So I'll be honest 34 00:01:57,200 --> 00:02:01,080 Speaker 1: with you, I'm coming on literally, I'm taping right now, 35 00:02:02,840 --> 00:02:07,640 Speaker 1: probably about thirty minutes after that incredible finish of Yukon 36 00:02:07,960 --> 00:02:11,480 Speaker 1: over Duke, just sort of out of nowhere. Just an 37 00:02:11,520 --> 00:02:15,200 Speaker 1: incredible back to back years for Duke with these choke jobs, 38 00:02:15,520 --> 00:02:17,880 Speaker 1: blowing the double digit lead against Houston in the final 39 00:02:17,919 --> 00:02:22,799 Speaker 1: four last year, blowing this nineteen point lead against u 40 00:02:22,960 --> 00:02:26,800 Speaker 1: Khon and the Elite eight, somebody's going to start getting 41 00:02:26,800 --> 00:02:28,959 Speaker 1: a reputation. But here's what I would say to mister Shier, 42 00:02:29,160 --> 00:02:34,760 Speaker 1: Coach Duke, go look at coach K's record in Elite 43 00:02:34,760 --> 00:02:38,440 Speaker 1: eights and final fours in the eighties, because they was 44 00:02:38,440 --> 00:02:40,440 Speaker 1: in the eighties, he was making all sorts of progress, 45 00:02:40,480 --> 00:02:42,760 Speaker 1: but he didn't break through the wall. Right, It wasn't 46 00:02:42,840 --> 00:02:44,760 Speaker 1: until the nineties that he broke through. And then of 47 00:02:44,800 --> 00:02:48,359 Speaker 1: course once he broke through, then it seemed like when 48 00:02:48,400 --> 00:02:51,120 Speaker 1: he'd get there, he'd be a winner. There's something about 49 00:02:51,160 --> 00:02:55,280 Speaker 1: Yukon though, right they are. They are a tough dragon 50 00:02:55,320 --> 00:02:59,160 Speaker 1: to slay, whether they're loaded with talent, whether they're missing 51 00:02:59,200 --> 00:03:01,560 Speaker 1: a few pieces that they seem off, you're not one 52 00:03:01,600 --> 00:03:04,839 Speaker 1: hundred percent sure. Well, one thing you know about these 53 00:03:04,960 --> 00:03:07,880 Speaker 1: Danny Hurley coach teams is they don't quit. But anyway, 54 00:03:08,120 --> 00:03:10,080 Speaker 1: what I mean, let's just be honest, that's why we 55 00:03:10,080 --> 00:03:12,480 Speaker 1: love this tournament. Right, you got to have one game, 56 00:03:12,520 --> 00:03:15,480 Speaker 1: these final these Ellege eight games were all kind of blowout. 57 00:03:15,560 --> 00:03:18,920 Speaker 1: Ye I mean, Iowa Illinois before this, before we got this, 58 00:03:18,960 --> 00:03:20,160 Speaker 1: and this one looked like it was going to be 59 00:03:20,160 --> 00:03:23,760 Speaker 1: the big blowout. And before we got this like Illinois, 60 00:03:23,760 --> 00:03:25,440 Speaker 1: Iowa was about the best we got and that was 61 00:03:25,440 --> 00:03:27,800 Speaker 1: a game with about five minutes left and then Illinois 62 00:03:28,080 --> 00:03:33,359 Speaker 1: started pulling away. But this means I only got two 63 00:03:33,360 --> 00:03:35,200 Speaker 1: of the final four. Correct. I thought I was about 64 00:03:35,200 --> 00:03:37,360 Speaker 1: to have three of the final four. I went way 65 00:03:37,360 --> 00:03:39,080 Speaker 1: out on a limb and took three number one seeds 66 00:03:39,120 --> 00:03:42,960 Speaker 1: in my final four Duke Michigan in Arizona, so I 67 00:03:43,040 --> 00:03:45,640 Speaker 1: whipped on that had Houston, had Houston winning the whole thing, 68 00:03:45,720 --> 00:03:48,600 Speaker 1: So that was out. But I will tell you this, 69 00:03:48,760 --> 00:03:52,280 Speaker 1: I've met coach Underwood at Illinois, spent a little time 70 00:03:52,280 --> 00:03:55,880 Speaker 1: with him, spend a little time with that program. It is. 71 00:03:56,000 --> 00:03:57,880 Speaker 1: It is one of the schools that I've had some 72 00:03:57,960 --> 00:04:04,000 Speaker 1: family attend. So of the four schools Michigan, Arizona, Yukon, 73 00:04:04,960 --> 00:04:09,240 Speaker 1: and Illinois, my large extended family has the closest ties 74 00:04:09,280 --> 00:04:11,480 Speaker 1: to the Allian Eye. So we will be despite the 75 00:04:11,520 --> 00:04:14,320 Speaker 1: fact that they have those horrible, that horrible pairing of 76 00:04:14,400 --> 00:04:17,120 Speaker 1: colors blue and orange, which you know if you run 77 00:04:17,200 --> 00:04:20,440 Speaker 1: the state of Florida, it's really one of the tougher 78 00:04:20,480 --> 00:04:23,800 Speaker 1: color matches to deal with, right that blue and orange 79 00:04:23,880 --> 00:04:26,520 Speaker 1: is just a terrible color match. And again, people in 80 00:04:26,520 --> 00:04:29,520 Speaker 1: the state of Florida. Understand that, especially blinding when you 81 00:04:29,520 --> 00:04:33,600 Speaker 1: have to go through Gainesville. It's terrible. But despite Illinois 82 00:04:33,600 --> 00:04:37,400 Speaker 1: sharing similar similar colors, I guess you could argue it's 83 00:04:37,400 --> 00:04:42,719 Speaker 1: a darker orange and a slightly darker blue. The toodcast 84 00:04:42,800 --> 00:04:46,760 Speaker 1: will be slightly pulling for the for Illinois and they're 85 00:04:46,800 --> 00:04:50,440 Speaker 1: going to be technically the underdogs, right They're the Cinderella 86 00:04:50,560 --> 00:04:53,360 Speaker 1: story of the three seeds. So we did get the 87 00:04:53,880 --> 00:04:57,719 Speaker 1: chalky end of the tournament as we thought, but wow, 88 00:04:58,600 --> 00:05:01,719 Speaker 1: what a finish there. Before I get to my more 89 00:05:01,760 --> 00:05:05,640 Speaker 1: serious stuff here, I do want to gloat. I had 90 00:05:05,680 --> 00:05:08,120 Speaker 1: one wish for the start of the baseball season for 91 00:05:08,240 --> 00:05:11,200 Speaker 1: my beloved Washington Nationals. I really wanted to win Game 92 00:05:11,240 --> 00:05:13,599 Speaker 1: one so I could guarantee that they would have a 93 00:05:13,600 --> 00:05:17,160 Speaker 1: winning record at some point this season. And what do 94 00:05:17,200 --> 00:05:21,479 Speaker 1: you know, they're two in one at the end of 95 00:05:21,520 --> 00:05:26,520 Speaker 1: the first weekend. They've won their first series against a 96 00:05:26,600 --> 00:05:29,640 Speaker 1: team that's supposed to be a contender for the playoffs. 97 00:05:30,920 --> 00:05:34,640 Speaker 1: I'll take it. And you know, apparently the most unhittable 98 00:05:34,640 --> 00:05:40,760 Speaker 1: player in baseball's Joey Weimer. And I'm not gonna tell 99 00:05:40,800 --> 00:05:44,120 Speaker 1: you I'd never heard of them. But I'm not going 100 00:05:44,200 --> 00:05:46,240 Speaker 1: to pretend to tell you I knew everything about this 101 00:05:46,360 --> 00:05:49,039 Speaker 1: guy when the Nats signed him in January off of 102 00:05:49,040 --> 00:05:53,039 Speaker 1: a waiver wires, so we'll take it. The Nats are 103 00:05:53,080 --> 00:05:55,400 Speaker 1: two and one. It feels good. If I were a 104 00:05:55,440 --> 00:05:59,480 Speaker 1: Cubs fan, I'm a little concerned to drop two of 105 00:05:59,520 --> 00:06:05,040 Speaker 1: three at home. The good news is they're arguably their 106 00:06:05,080 --> 00:06:09,599 Speaker 1: best young pitcher, Kate Horton pitched their best game on Saturday. 107 00:06:10,279 --> 00:06:12,440 Speaker 1: But you're going to be a little bit concerned. But hey, 108 00:06:12,440 --> 00:06:14,880 Speaker 1: it's baseball. It's early in the year. We know that. 109 00:06:15,000 --> 00:06:17,480 Speaker 1: So I'm just happy the Nats have a winning record 110 00:06:17,560 --> 00:06:20,279 Speaker 1: now they have put it this way. They've gone the 111 00:06:20,360 --> 00:06:22,520 Speaker 1: season is four days old and they have yet to 112 00:06:22,600 --> 00:06:27,480 Speaker 1: have a losing record. They were tied for first after 113 00:06:27,520 --> 00:06:29,760 Speaker 1: the game on Thursday, So look, these are the tiny, 114 00:06:30,000 --> 00:06:34,200 Speaker 1: tiniest little baby steps. We Nats fans. It's the only 115 00:06:34,240 --> 00:06:36,640 Speaker 1: thing we have to cling to. So we have that. 116 00:06:37,360 --> 00:06:39,480 Speaker 1: And I think I teased that I was this was 117 00:06:39,480 --> 00:06:42,520 Speaker 1: a big fantasy baseball draft weekend for me. I Am 118 00:06:42,560 --> 00:06:43,880 Speaker 1: not going to be that annoying guy and tell you 119 00:06:43,920 --> 00:06:46,040 Speaker 1: everything about my fantasy baseball team, because you know who 120 00:06:46,120 --> 00:06:49,200 Speaker 1: cares about my fantasy baseball team, not you, guys. I'm 121 00:06:49,200 --> 00:06:52,000 Speaker 1: aware of that, and I'm not interested in having you 122 00:06:52,080 --> 00:06:58,719 Speaker 1: fast forward all the way through other than I one 123 00:06:58,800 --> 00:07:00,560 Speaker 1: was an auction and one was a snake draft. Of 124 00:07:00,680 --> 00:07:04,000 Speaker 1: any of you care that much about it, You're welcome 125 00:07:04,000 --> 00:07:06,600 Speaker 1: to throw some questions at the back and maybe at 126 00:07:06,640 --> 00:07:09,440 Speaker 1: the end of some podcast. I'm happy to talk about it, 127 00:07:09,480 --> 00:07:13,680 Speaker 1: but it is. Here's what I always find out for 128 00:07:13,720 --> 00:07:17,040 Speaker 1: the fantasy draft. Every year I find out, Oh my god, 129 00:07:17,080 --> 00:07:20,120 Speaker 1: I didn't do my homework. I didn't do enough. I 130 00:07:20,160 --> 00:07:23,560 Speaker 1: knew enough. Guy, I was running out of pitchers, especially 131 00:07:23,600 --> 00:07:26,440 Speaker 1: when you're in one league that has twenty four teams 132 00:07:26,480 --> 00:07:30,760 Speaker 1: and eighteen roster spots. Let me repeat twenty four teams 133 00:07:30,800 --> 00:07:36,000 Speaker 1: eighteen roster spots. All right, enough of that side of 134 00:07:36,600 --> 00:07:38,920 Speaker 1: my sports ledger that front, let me give you a 135 00:07:39,000 --> 00:07:42,280 Speaker 1: rundown of what to expect for today's episode. My guest 136 00:07:42,320 --> 00:07:46,480 Speaker 1: today is a candidate for California governor, Matt Mahon. He 137 00:07:46,560 --> 00:07:51,720 Speaker 1: is the mayor of San Jose. He is probably going 138 00:07:51,760 --> 00:07:54,720 Speaker 1: to be one of the best funded candidates not named 139 00:07:54,760 --> 00:07:59,920 Speaker 1: Tom Steyer in this He is somebody that's running a 140 00:08:00,080 --> 00:08:04,840 Speaker 1: bit towards the center left lane and you'll hear in 141 00:08:04,880 --> 00:08:08,400 Speaker 1: the in the conversation, Uh, he definitely is trying to 142 00:08:08,480 --> 00:08:10,840 Speaker 1: run against the Democratic Party a little bit. I think 143 00:08:10,840 --> 00:08:14,119 Speaker 1: he thinks that the California legislature has pulled Gavin Newsom. 144 00:08:14,160 --> 00:08:18,080 Speaker 1: It's interesting he didn't have many critical words for Gavin Newsom. 145 00:08:18,760 --> 00:08:21,400 Speaker 1: He seemed to think that the legislature tied his hands 146 00:08:21,480 --> 00:08:24,840 Speaker 1: quite a bit, which I thought was an interesting way 147 00:08:24,880 --> 00:08:27,040 Speaker 1: to navigate this. And I think it's it's hard you 148 00:08:27,040 --> 00:08:28,960 Speaker 1: have an elector, and I think it's very and I'm 149 00:08:28,960 --> 00:08:31,960 Speaker 1: gonna have a little bit more to say right before 150 00:08:32,000 --> 00:08:34,600 Speaker 1: the right before the interview starts with with the with 151 00:08:34,679 --> 00:08:39,040 Speaker 1: the mayor of San Jose. But I do think, you know, 152 00:08:39,080 --> 00:08:41,320 Speaker 1: it's a tricky it's a tricky environment. This is sixteen 153 00:08:41,320 --> 00:08:44,719 Speaker 1: straight years of Democratic governors that California has the longest 154 00:08:45,160 --> 00:08:48,520 Speaker 1: streak they had in over one hundred years one party. 155 00:08:49,400 --> 00:08:52,280 Speaker 1: And it's definitely you could feel there is there is 156 00:08:52,360 --> 00:08:56,319 Speaker 1: certainly a desire for change, uh of some sort. Well, 157 00:08:56,320 --> 00:08:59,240 Speaker 1: what does change look like in a one party state 158 00:08:59,320 --> 00:09:03,000 Speaker 1: like California? And I think that all of the Democratic 159 00:09:03,040 --> 00:09:06,719 Speaker 1: candidates are struggling with that. It's It is tough when 160 00:09:06,720 --> 00:09:10,600 Speaker 1: you're you're sort of following two gigantic personalities in California politics, 161 00:09:10,600 --> 00:09:13,800 Speaker 1: two terms of Jerry Brown, then two terms of Cavin Newsom. Shoot, 162 00:09:13,800 --> 00:09:16,360 Speaker 1: before Jerry Brown, you had basically the sort of a 163 00:09:16,440 --> 00:09:19,280 Speaker 1: term and a half of Arnold Schwarzenegger. Right, these are giant, 164 00:09:19,440 --> 00:09:22,440 Speaker 1: big personalities, and it's a whole bunch of people with 165 00:09:22,440 --> 00:09:24,080 Speaker 1: a name I d under twenty five percent in the 166 00:09:24,080 --> 00:09:28,880 Speaker 1: state trying to replace them. Right, So I think everybody 167 00:09:28,920 --> 00:09:33,000 Speaker 1: looks small in comparison to the to to I think 168 00:09:33,640 --> 00:09:36,800 Speaker 1: to both Gavin Newsom and of course the current living 169 00:09:37,480 --> 00:09:39,920 Speaker 1: former governors of California as well. So I think that 170 00:09:40,000 --> 00:09:42,960 Speaker 1: probably only adds to the feel that this is the 171 00:09:43,480 --> 00:09:46,400 Speaker 1: you know, the incredible shrinking field of candidates, although that's 172 00:09:46,440 --> 00:09:48,880 Speaker 1: part of the problem. The field's not shrinking, even if 173 00:09:48,880 --> 00:09:52,840 Speaker 1: the candidates are not necessarily standing tall at the moment. 174 00:09:53,200 --> 00:09:56,400 Speaker 1: So we have that conversation, and again you're going to 175 00:09:56,480 --> 00:10:01,120 Speaker 1: hear some interesting, interesting things about sort of where should 176 00:10:01,120 --> 00:10:03,960 Speaker 1: the Democrats go in California, Where should the wealth tax go? 177 00:10:04,000 --> 00:10:08,720 Speaker 1: Where should all those issues that are dividing the Democratic Party. 178 00:10:09,040 --> 00:10:13,480 Speaker 1: We will have my Toddcast time machine and we are 179 00:10:13,480 --> 00:10:18,520 Speaker 1: going back to the year nineteen forty nine, and let's 180 00:10:18,600 --> 00:10:21,720 Speaker 1: just say it's the start of an organization that is 181 00:10:21,720 --> 00:10:25,480 Speaker 1: still very much in the news today. That will be 182 00:10:25,559 --> 00:10:27,319 Speaker 1: my big hint for you. But I want to begin 183 00:10:28,840 --> 00:10:31,480 Speaker 1: essentially with what look we ended the week. I think 184 00:10:32,600 --> 00:10:35,400 Speaker 1: when I last talked with you, it was clear and 185 00:10:35,880 --> 00:10:39,720 Speaker 1: I said, well, they're going to get something done with DHS. 186 00:10:39,880 --> 00:10:42,960 Speaker 1: Well it was not done the way I thought it 187 00:10:43,000 --> 00:10:46,640 Speaker 1: was going to get done. But we have tsa workers 188 00:10:46,679 --> 00:10:52,440 Speaker 1: being paid president doing an executive order sort of finding 189 00:10:53,040 --> 00:10:58,040 Speaker 1: other ways to meet some payrolls temporarily. We had the 190 00:10:58,080 --> 00:11:02,599 Speaker 1: Senate pass a compromise and then the House Republicans completely rejected, 191 00:11:04,280 --> 00:11:07,320 Speaker 1: and I think it's a you know, this is a 192 00:11:07,360 --> 00:11:09,520 Speaker 1: piece of where I want to go with the larger 193 00:11:09,559 --> 00:11:12,440 Speaker 1: point I want to make with today's episode. It really 194 00:11:12,480 --> 00:11:16,800 Speaker 1: is about answering our question. I get a lot, and 195 00:11:16,840 --> 00:11:19,800 Speaker 1: I want to give you a fuller answer to when 196 00:11:19,840 --> 00:11:22,320 Speaker 1: I get this question a lot, which is you know, when, 197 00:11:22,320 --> 00:11:24,840 Speaker 1: when when is this going to end? And when I when? 198 00:11:24,920 --> 00:11:26,920 Speaker 1: When I say this this sort of this moment of 199 00:11:26,920 --> 00:11:30,800 Speaker 1: polarization where everything is a knockdown, drag out fight. Everything 200 00:11:30,920 --> 00:11:34,360 Speaker 1: has to be a battle you know, of the ages 201 00:11:34,600 --> 00:11:37,480 Speaker 1: just to you know, decide how or how's TSA going 202 00:11:37,520 --> 00:11:40,320 Speaker 1: to get funded? Right and and everything. And then you 203 00:11:40,360 --> 00:11:44,480 Speaker 1: have these battles inside the party between half the party 204 00:11:44,480 --> 00:11:46,520 Speaker 1: that wants to govern and half the party that wants 205 00:11:46,559 --> 00:11:51,160 Speaker 1: to fight. And you're starting to see this almost look 206 00:11:51,320 --> 00:11:54,240 Speaker 1: like mirror images of each other. And in each side, 207 00:11:54,320 --> 00:11:57,080 Speaker 1: right you had you had those that were getting exhausted 208 00:11:57,080 --> 00:11:59,679 Speaker 1: and the Democratic side feeling as if this shutdown they 209 00:11:59,720 --> 00:12:01,160 Speaker 1: had got and everything they could get out of it, 210 00:12:01,160 --> 00:12:03,680 Speaker 1: it was time to find a way to land the plane. 211 00:12:04,559 --> 00:12:06,760 Speaker 1: Pun intended on that one. But then you saw a 212 00:12:06,760 --> 00:12:09,120 Speaker 1: sort of similarity on the right right where you saw 213 00:12:09,559 --> 00:12:12,079 Speaker 1: plenty of center Republicans going, yeah, let's land the plane. 214 00:12:12,120 --> 00:12:14,520 Speaker 1: Let's throw them a bone on this, this and this, 215 00:12:15,120 --> 00:12:18,320 Speaker 1: and then the President not enthusiastic about it, and certainly 216 00:12:18,400 --> 00:12:21,000 Speaker 1: Speaker Johnson and House Republicans going, you know what, we're 217 00:12:21,040 --> 00:12:24,360 Speaker 1: not playing ball with that. So you start to see 218 00:12:24,400 --> 00:12:27,400 Speaker 1: you've got and in many cases, right the House is 219 00:12:27,440 --> 00:12:30,000 Speaker 1: home of the hardliners, the hardliners on the left these days, 220 00:12:30,080 --> 00:12:32,880 Speaker 1: hardliners on the right, and the Senate is home of 221 00:12:32,920 --> 00:12:35,440 Speaker 1: the compromisers. If I guess the founders would be happy 222 00:12:35,480 --> 00:12:39,840 Speaker 1: to see that. But even within the Senate, the compromisers 223 00:12:40,520 --> 00:12:46,400 Speaker 1: are barely able to pull off compromises, and I'm not 224 00:12:46,440 --> 00:12:50,760 Speaker 1: sure how enthusiastic they all are. So it gets it 225 00:12:50,840 --> 00:12:53,679 Speaker 1: to this larger question than I want to come back to. 226 00:12:55,480 --> 00:12:57,040 Speaker 1: And it's the one I think that matters more right 227 00:12:57,080 --> 00:13:00,360 Speaker 1: now than any individual election result, or any poll, or 228 00:13:00,360 --> 00:13:03,280 Speaker 1: any piece of legislation. And it's simply this is the 229 00:13:03,280 --> 00:13:06,920 Speaker 1: country ready to move on? Right, It's not just turning 230 00:13:06,960 --> 00:13:10,200 Speaker 1: the page on Trump specifically. This is not just about 231 00:13:10,240 --> 00:13:15,880 Speaker 1: Trump or even trump Ism, right, But it's not about 232 00:13:15,920 --> 00:13:19,880 Speaker 1: ready to move on from one politician or a party. 233 00:13:20,080 --> 00:13:22,360 Speaker 1: But are we ready to move on from this right, 234 00:13:22,480 --> 00:13:27,479 Speaker 1: this era of permanent, polarized warfare politics that has defined 235 00:13:27,600 --> 00:13:31,079 Speaker 1: arguably American life for the better part of most of 236 00:13:31,120 --> 00:13:33,959 Speaker 1: the century, right, two decades now. I mean, in some 237 00:13:34,000 --> 00:13:36,880 Speaker 1: ways it's fitting that this deck that this century began 238 00:13:36,960 --> 00:13:39,920 Speaker 1: with the two thousand election, where we took the Supreme 239 00:13:39,960 --> 00:13:44,839 Speaker 1: Court to decide when to stop the count. Right, we're 240 00:13:44,880 --> 00:13:47,559 Speaker 1: living in an era where the other side isn't just wrong, 241 00:13:49,200 --> 00:13:52,600 Speaker 1: they're it's existential, where every election is the most important 242 00:13:52,640 --> 00:13:55,440 Speaker 1: of our lifetime. Right. I've never covered election that wasn't 243 00:13:55,440 --> 00:13:58,720 Speaker 1: the most important in my lifetime. Apparently compromise is not 244 00:13:58,760 --> 00:14:01,240 Speaker 1: only not a virtue right now now, it can be 245 00:14:01,280 --> 00:14:06,600 Speaker 1: seen as a character flaw. So let's go back to 246 00:14:06,640 --> 00:14:08,800 Speaker 1: the question are we ready to move on from this? 247 00:14:10,080 --> 00:14:11,760 Speaker 1: Because I've been doing this long enough to know that 248 00:14:11,840 --> 00:14:15,720 Speaker 1: ready is an automatic. Societies don't heal on a schedule. 249 00:14:16,760 --> 00:14:21,360 Speaker 1: They heal and the cost of staying sick finally exceeds 250 00:14:21,400 --> 00:14:24,560 Speaker 1: the cost of the cure. And let's just say, I'm 251 00:14:24,560 --> 00:14:27,520 Speaker 1: not sure we're there yet. You know that doesn't You know? 252 00:14:27,680 --> 00:14:30,840 Speaker 1: That doesn't mean we may not have I And what 253 00:14:30,880 --> 00:14:33,040 Speaker 1: I mean is I think we're a few more elections 254 00:14:33,080 --> 00:14:38,600 Speaker 1: away from the electorate demanding resolution to this, and I 255 00:14:38,600 --> 00:14:40,840 Speaker 1: don't think the electorate is just there. So here's the 256 00:14:40,880 --> 00:14:42,520 Speaker 1: case I want to make today, and I'm going to 257 00:14:42,600 --> 00:14:44,120 Speaker 1: use some history to do it, because I think the 258 00:14:44,720 --> 00:14:49,120 Speaker 1: closest parallel to what we're living through is a period 259 00:14:49,360 --> 00:14:53,560 Speaker 1: most Americans know mostly as a blur. And I think 260 00:14:53,600 --> 00:14:56,720 Speaker 1: it's the most understudied period in American history and one 261 00:14:56,760 --> 00:14:58,840 Speaker 1: that all of us should spend a little bit more 262 00:14:58,840 --> 00:15:01,520 Speaker 1: time on. And I think it can teach us a 263 00:15:01,520 --> 00:15:04,920 Speaker 1: lot about the moment we're in right now, and it's 264 00:15:04,960 --> 00:15:08,920 Speaker 1: the twenty eight years between two term president Andrew Jackson 265 00:15:10,160 --> 00:15:14,280 Speaker 1: and twice elected he obviously didn't serve his full second term, 266 00:15:14,480 --> 00:15:19,280 Speaker 1: Abraham Lincoln. We had seven presidents, actually we had eight 267 00:15:19,320 --> 00:15:22,440 Speaker 1: presidents because one took over via death, but seven president 268 00:15:22,520 --> 00:15:29,240 Speaker 1: elected presidents. Okay, in twenty eight years. It's just remarkable 269 00:15:30,160 --> 00:15:33,560 Speaker 1: back and forth, if you will, seven men who each 270 00:15:33,600 --> 00:15:36,960 Speaker 1: saw the divide coming, each reached for a tool to 271 00:15:37,040 --> 00:15:43,000 Speaker 1: manage it, and each watched that tool break in their hands. Right, 272 00:15:43,000 --> 00:15:45,440 Speaker 1: we haven't gone through seven of these presidencies yet, right, 273 00:15:45,480 --> 00:15:50,000 Speaker 1: we got Push Obama Trump, Biden Trump. We're at five. 274 00:15:51,440 --> 00:15:54,040 Speaker 1: One could argue we've probably got a couple more to go, 275 00:15:54,120 --> 00:15:57,000 Speaker 1: and that's my thesis here, but let me keep it going. 276 00:15:57,080 --> 00:16:00,480 Speaker 1: So let's go back and let me walk you through 277 00:16:00,880 --> 00:16:04,240 Speaker 1: that period of history here a little bit. By the 278 00:16:04,280 --> 00:16:06,760 Speaker 1: time Andrew Jackson left office in eighteen thirty seven, the 279 00:16:06,760 --> 00:16:11,280 Speaker 1: American political system was already cracking along a fault line 280 00:16:11,320 --> 00:16:14,240 Speaker 1: that everyone could feel and almost nobody wanted to name directly. 281 00:16:15,000 --> 00:16:21,280 Speaker 1: Slavery was the wound, right, we know, essentially it's our 282 00:16:21,480 --> 00:16:26,160 Speaker 1: original sin of this country. But westward expansion was the pressure, 283 00:16:26,360 --> 00:16:29,200 Speaker 1: and the political class on both sides of this argument 284 00:16:29,200 --> 00:16:34,240 Speaker 1: had developed an almost institutional allergy to have an honest 285 00:16:34,520 --> 00:16:38,600 Speaker 1: reckoning with either one. So what followed was twenty eight 286 00:16:38,680 --> 00:16:42,520 Speaker 1: years of presidents trying everything except the thing that needed 287 00:16:42,520 --> 00:16:45,920 Speaker 1: to be done. Let's start with Martin van Buren. He 288 00:16:46,040 --> 00:16:50,440 Speaker 1: was Jackson's hand picked successor, the original political operator, the 289 00:16:50,480 --> 00:16:54,520 Speaker 1: man who basically invented the modern party machine, and his 290 00:16:54,560 --> 00:16:57,120 Speaker 1: theory the case was, don't touch it, slavery is a 291 00:16:57,160 --> 00:17:00,560 Speaker 1: matter for the states, keep the coalition together, refusing to 292 00:17:00,640 --> 00:17:03,320 Speaker 1: let the coalition fight, keep your head down, keep your 293 00:17:03,320 --> 00:17:06,320 Speaker 1: mouth shut, and hold the line. And then the Panic 294 00:17:06,320 --> 00:17:08,400 Speaker 1: of eighteen thirty seven hit. It was the worst economic 295 00:17:08,440 --> 00:17:11,439 Speaker 1: collapse the country had seen up until that point, and 296 00:17:11,520 --> 00:17:15,199 Speaker 1: Van Buren discovered that avoidance isn't a strategy. It's just 297 00:17:15,240 --> 00:17:18,880 Speaker 1: a slower form of collapse. When you refuse to lead 298 00:17:18,960 --> 00:17:22,600 Speaker 1: on the defining issue of your era, you don't protect 299 00:17:22,600 --> 00:17:25,119 Speaker 1: yourself from it. You just guarantee that when it catches 300 00:17:25,240 --> 00:17:29,919 Speaker 1: up to you, you're already weakened. The next president elected 301 00:17:29,960 --> 00:17:33,560 Speaker 1: was William Henry Harrison, quickly succeeded by John Tyler Right. 302 00:17:33,640 --> 00:17:35,640 Speaker 1: Harrison is the one who died thirty one days after 303 00:17:35,680 --> 00:17:39,359 Speaker 1: taking office, shortest presidency in American history. So John Tyler 304 00:17:39,440 --> 00:17:42,760 Speaker 1: ended up president, and he was a Virginia States rights man. 305 00:17:43,119 --> 00:17:47,760 Speaker 1: He was placed on this Whig ticket purely for geographical balance. 306 00:17:48,760 --> 00:17:51,160 Speaker 1: They never actually wanted him to serve as president. The theory, 307 00:17:51,200 --> 00:17:54,159 Speaker 1: of course, was that you could paper over the fundamental 308 00:17:54,160 --> 00:17:56,680 Speaker 1: divide in the country with a clever lineup card right, 309 00:17:57,560 --> 00:17:59,880 Speaker 1: put a Northerner at the top and a Southerner under, 310 00:18:00,400 --> 00:18:04,560 Speaker 1: call it a coalition, and hope nobody looks too closely. Well. Tyler, 311 00:18:04,880 --> 00:18:07,840 Speaker 1: when he became president after thirty one days, he vetoed 312 00:18:07,920 --> 00:18:11,439 Speaker 1: virtually everything that the Whig control Congress sent him. He 313 00:18:11,520 --> 00:18:14,240 Speaker 1: got expelled from his own party. He spent four years 314 00:18:14,280 --> 00:18:17,679 Speaker 1: proving that ticket balancing is not coalition building. It's just 315 00:18:17,720 --> 00:18:21,280 Speaker 1: a delayed reckoning. The divide didn't go away because you 316 00:18:21,359 --> 00:18:24,840 Speaker 1: dressed it up. It just simply waited. Next came James Polk. 317 00:18:25,720 --> 00:18:28,080 Speaker 1: Now it's an underrated presidency. Might be the best one 318 00:18:28,160 --> 00:18:30,840 Speaker 1: term presidency we've ever had, George H. W. Bush, and 319 00:18:31,240 --> 00:18:34,520 Speaker 1: we would like a little say in that. But in 320 00:18:34,520 --> 00:18:37,960 Speaker 1: a sense that Pope actually did some things. He was decisive, 321 00:18:38,000 --> 00:18:40,320 Speaker 1: he was disciplined, and he had a theory of how 322 00:18:40,359 --> 00:18:44,359 Speaker 1: to avoid the issue expansion. If we just got more land, 323 00:18:44,440 --> 00:18:46,800 Speaker 1: there's enough for everybody, and then we don't have to 324 00:18:46,800 --> 00:18:49,760 Speaker 1: fight about it. The promise of the West would ease 325 00:18:49,800 --> 00:18:51,920 Speaker 1: the tension, he thought, between the North and the South, 326 00:18:52,359 --> 00:18:55,320 Speaker 1: because there'd be room to grow in every direction. The 327 00:18:55,359 --> 00:19:00,359 Speaker 1: Mexican American War gave in California, and the Southwest was 328 00:19:00,359 --> 00:19:04,359 Speaker 1: reopen the slavery question with a ferocity that nobody could contain, 329 00:19:05,320 --> 00:19:08,600 Speaker 1: because now there was new territory, and the question of 330 00:19:08,640 --> 00:19:11,800 Speaker 1: where slavery would expand became the question that consumed everything. 331 00:19:13,600 --> 00:19:16,280 Speaker 1: The Wilmot Proviso, the attempt at ban slavery in any 332 00:19:16,359 --> 00:19:20,359 Speaker 1: territory acquired by Mexico acquired from Mexico, was born in 333 00:19:20,359 --> 00:19:25,280 Speaker 1: his presidency and nearly tore his own party apart. So 334 00:19:25,400 --> 00:19:31,320 Speaker 1: expansion did not relieve the pressure. It multiplied it, sometimes 335 00:19:31,359 --> 00:19:39,560 Speaker 1: solving a symptom to make the disease worse. 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And yes, I too, 364 00:21:11,400 --> 00:21:18,359 Speaker 1: am a customer. Zachary Taylor he was a Southern slave owner. 365 00:21:18,760 --> 00:21:21,240 Speaker 1: He owned more than one hundred enslaved people who nonetheless 366 00:21:21,240 --> 00:21:24,800 Speaker 1: told the South to back off on secession threats over 367 00:21:24,840 --> 00:21:27,720 Speaker 1: California statehood. And he was willing to call their bluff 368 00:21:27,760 --> 00:21:29,840 Speaker 1: and he said, essentially, if you want to leave, try it, 369 00:21:30,520 --> 00:21:32,520 Speaker 1: and he didn't think they would, and he might have 370 00:21:32,560 --> 00:21:35,440 Speaker 1: been right, but we never found out. He died in office, 371 00:21:35,720 --> 00:21:41,199 Speaker 1: supposedly eating poisoned cherries, but most people assume it was 372 00:21:41,240 --> 00:21:45,879 Speaker 1: a cute gastrio enteritis. But there've always been a little bit. 373 00:21:45,920 --> 00:21:47,760 Speaker 1: If you want, you want to talk about a few 374 00:21:47,760 --> 00:21:51,720 Speaker 1: conspiracy theories that are still unresolved about that death, you 375 00:21:51,760 --> 00:21:54,159 Speaker 1: can go down some rabbit holes, because his death was 376 00:21:54,200 --> 00:21:56,680 Speaker 1: a little bit murky, and it was happening an incredibly 377 00:21:56,680 --> 00:21:59,920 Speaker 1: important time. He was a Southerner pushing back on the South, 378 00:22:03,040 --> 00:22:07,840 Speaker 1: so we don't know if his bluff was if the 379 00:22:07,880 --> 00:22:09,919 Speaker 1: bluff was real that he was willing to do. History 380 00:22:09,960 --> 00:22:13,080 Speaker 1: will never know if his toughness was actually the path forward, 381 00:22:13,119 --> 00:22:15,360 Speaker 1: if he was the Nixon to China guy, or if 382 00:22:15,359 --> 00:22:17,000 Speaker 1: it was going to just lead to another dead end. 383 00:22:17,680 --> 00:22:20,639 Speaker 1: He was willing to force the crisis unlike previous presidents. 384 00:22:21,200 --> 00:22:23,400 Speaker 1: Whether forcing it would have resolved in that moment, we're 385 00:22:23,440 --> 00:22:26,359 Speaker 1: never know. But he was gone before the answer arrived. 386 00:22:27,119 --> 00:22:31,199 Speaker 1: Millard Fillmore takes over, and he inherits Taylor's standoff, and 387 00:22:31,240 --> 00:22:33,439 Speaker 1: he resolved it, or so he thought he did. With 388 00:22:33,520 --> 00:22:37,000 Speaker 1: the compromise of eighteen fifty package deal. California comes in 389 00:22:37,000 --> 00:22:39,959 Speaker 1: as a free state. Slave trade, though not slavery itself 390 00:22:40,040 --> 00:22:43,040 Speaker 1: ends in Washington, DC, and in return, the South gets 391 00:22:43,320 --> 00:22:47,719 Speaker 1: the Fugitive Slave Act, a federal law requiring northern states 392 00:22:49,080 --> 00:22:52,520 Speaker 1: to actively return escaped in slave people to their owners, 393 00:22:52,640 --> 00:22:56,520 Speaker 1: so called owners. Fillmore signed it genuinely believing he had 394 00:22:56,560 --> 00:22:59,720 Speaker 1: saved the Republic. He called it the final Settlement of 395 00:22:59,720 --> 00:23:06,000 Speaker 1: the slave every question the final settlement, basically agreeing that 396 00:23:06,040 --> 00:23:10,440 Speaker 1: half the country would have slaves and half would find 397 00:23:10,440 --> 00:23:14,480 Speaker 1: it abhorrent, but anyway, that's what he thought. Obviously, he 398 00:23:14,560 --> 00:23:18,560 Speaker 1: was catastrophically wrong. What the Futitive Slave Act actually did 399 00:23:18,600 --> 00:23:23,320 Speaker 1: was make the North personally complicit in slavery's enforcement for 400 00:23:23,359 --> 00:23:25,960 Speaker 1: the first time. Ordinary northern nurse people in Ohio and 401 00:23:26,000 --> 00:23:29,199 Speaker 1: Pennsylvania and Massachusetts who never thought much about slavery one 402 00:23:29,200 --> 00:23:32,240 Speaker 1: way or another, were being deputized to participate in it, 403 00:23:33,040 --> 00:23:36,639 Speaker 1: and it galvanized the abolitionist movement like nothing before it. 404 00:23:36,680 --> 00:23:40,480 Speaker 1: Harriet Beecher Stowe wrote Uncle Tom's Cabin in direct response 405 00:23:40,560 --> 00:23:44,800 Speaker 1: to this, became the best selling novel of the nineteenth century. 406 00:23:45,520 --> 00:23:48,480 Speaker 1: Sometimes the compromises the crisis. Sometimes the thing you do 407 00:23:48,640 --> 00:23:52,000 Speaker 1: to lower the temperature is the thing that lights the fire. 408 00:23:53,040 --> 00:23:55,439 Speaker 1: Franklin Pierce came in. The Democrats had a theory for 409 00:23:55,480 --> 00:23:58,159 Speaker 1: his presidency. Nominate a northern man. He was from New 410 00:23:58,200 --> 00:24:02,560 Speaker 1: Hampshire with southern sympathies what they called a dough face, 411 00:24:02,640 --> 00:24:05,160 Speaker 1: and you split the difference, you get a candidate who 412 00:24:05,160 --> 00:24:08,199 Speaker 1: can win in the North without alienating the South. Pierce 413 00:24:08,280 --> 00:24:10,439 Speaker 1: was from New Hampshire, charming, he was handsome, and he 414 00:24:10,480 --> 00:24:13,480 Speaker 1: was completely spineless in the question that mattered the most. 415 00:24:13,680 --> 00:24:17,560 Speaker 1: He signed the Kansas Nebraska Act, which repeated the Missouri Compromise. 416 00:24:17,600 --> 00:24:20,280 Speaker 1: Repealed the Missouri Compromise, an agreement that had for three 417 00:24:20,320 --> 00:24:23,560 Speaker 1: decades kept slavery out of the northern territories, and he 418 00:24:23,640 --> 00:24:27,840 Speaker 1: replaced it with popular sovereignty, i e. Let the settlers 419 00:24:27,920 --> 00:24:31,119 Speaker 1: decide the slavery question. Sounds democratic, but what it actually 420 00:24:31,119 --> 00:24:34,119 Speaker 1: produced was a race between pro slavery and anti slavery 421 00:24:34,160 --> 00:24:37,960 Speaker 1: settlers to flood into Kansas and determine its future by force. 422 00:24:38,760 --> 00:24:41,840 Speaker 1: The result was bleeding Kansas, a preview of the Civil War. 423 00:24:42,320 --> 00:24:45,560 Speaker 1: Years before the actual Civil War. Towns burned, people died. 424 00:24:45,680 --> 00:24:50,360 Speaker 1: The federal government just stood by that strategy. The dough 425 00:24:50,400 --> 00:24:55,280 Speaker 1: face strategy did not bridge the divide, it detonated it. Finally, 426 00:24:55,280 --> 00:24:59,280 Speaker 1: there was James Muckinnon, a former Secretary of State right 427 00:25:00,160 --> 00:25:03,400 Speaker 1: or a former ambassador of Britain, the most experienced man 428 00:25:03,520 --> 00:25:08,199 Speaker 1: to assume the presidency and a generation, and he was 429 00:25:08,240 --> 00:25:14,640 Speaker 1: catastrophically wrong about almost everything. He is regularly seen as 430 00:25:14,720 --> 00:25:18,439 Speaker 1: the guy who's last on any list of presidents, simply 431 00:25:18,480 --> 00:25:21,720 Speaker 1: because if you lose, and if you lose the Union, 432 00:25:21,800 --> 00:25:25,480 Speaker 1: you're probably dead last. Now, if you can't in privately 433 00:25:25,520 --> 00:25:28,080 Speaker 1: lobby the Supreme Court justices on the dred Scott case, 434 00:25:28,240 --> 00:25:30,960 Speaker 1: push them to issue a sweeping ruling that would, he believed, 435 00:25:31,160 --> 00:25:35,240 Speaker 1: finally settle the slavery question legally well. The court obliged 436 00:25:35,880 --> 00:25:37,920 Speaker 1: no black person could ever be a US citizen. The 437 00:25:37,960 --> 00:25:41,200 Speaker 1: court claimed Congress had no authority to band slavery anywhere 438 00:25:41,640 --> 00:25:45,520 Speaker 1: you can't and celebrated this decision. He thought it was over. Instead, 439 00:25:45,520 --> 00:25:48,439 Speaker 1: it finished off what was left of his of the 440 00:25:48,440 --> 00:25:52,639 Speaker 1: political center. The Republican Party, young anti slavery organized around 441 00:25:52,920 --> 00:25:57,920 Speaker 1: opposition to exactly this. Won the next election, guy named 442 00:25:57,920 --> 00:26:01,080 Speaker 1: Abraham Lincoln, first time a third already won the presidency, 443 00:26:01,880 --> 00:26:04,919 Speaker 1: and when Southern states began to secede, Buchanan concluded he 444 00:26:04,960 --> 00:26:07,520 Speaker 1: had no constitutional authority to stop them. He was in 445 00:26:07,520 --> 00:26:12,360 Speaker 1: a narrow technical sense correct, but he was morally disastrous. 446 00:26:13,040 --> 00:26:15,679 Speaker 1: He handed Abraham Lincoln the country already on fire, with 447 00:26:15,720 --> 00:26:19,360 Speaker 1: the kindling stacked by every president who came before him. 448 00:26:20,880 --> 00:26:22,879 Speaker 1: But here's the through line, and I think this is 449 00:26:22,880 --> 00:26:27,520 Speaker 1: what should echo today and whyatt continues to ring in 450 00:26:27,560 --> 00:26:30,040 Speaker 1: my ear, and why it's a place I go. Every 451 00:26:30,040 --> 00:26:33,000 Speaker 1: one of these men saw the divide. They weren't oblivious, 452 00:26:33,040 --> 00:26:35,679 Speaker 1: just like we've seen here. Everybody knows the divide that 453 00:26:35,720 --> 00:26:38,040 Speaker 1: we live in at the moment. All of these elected 454 00:26:38,040 --> 00:26:40,920 Speaker 1: senators understand this is a shit show and it's got 455 00:26:40,920 --> 00:26:45,480 Speaker 1: to stop, right just like those men did. They wrote 456 00:26:45,480 --> 00:26:47,639 Speaker 1: about it, they worried about it, they tried to manage it, 457 00:26:48,800 --> 00:26:53,240 Speaker 1: and each one reached for a tool avoidance, ticket balancing, expansion, compromise, 458 00:26:53,920 --> 00:26:58,760 Speaker 1: legal resolution, geographic splitting of the difference, and every tool 459 00:26:58,880 --> 00:27:02,840 Speaker 1: broke in their hands. And it was a simple reason 460 00:27:02,840 --> 00:27:07,120 Speaker 1: the country wasn't ready. The cost of resolution, which turned 461 00:27:07,119 --> 00:27:10,720 Speaker 1: out to be a war that killed seven hundred thousand Americans, 462 00:27:11,760 --> 00:27:15,120 Speaker 1: was still in the political calculus of each of those moments, 463 00:27:15,800 --> 00:27:19,520 Speaker 1: higher than the cost of one more delay, one more patch, 464 00:27:19,960 --> 00:27:23,919 Speaker 1: one more clever maneuver. It took the thing nobody wanted 465 00:27:23,960 --> 00:27:28,760 Speaker 1: before the country finally moved through it. So are we 466 00:27:28,840 --> 00:27:34,840 Speaker 1: there yet? No, I'm not advocating civil war here, guys. Okay, 467 00:27:35,000 --> 00:27:37,439 Speaker 1: So I do want to be careful there, But I 468 00:27:37,480 --> 00:27:39,760 Speaker 1: want to show you what this week past weekend looked like, 469 00:27:40,600 --> 00:27:42,480 Speaker 1: because I think it does tell you almost everything you 470 00:27:42,520 --> 00:27:44,280 Speaker 1: need to know about where we are in the moment. 471 00:27:45,240 --> 00:27:49,520 Speaker 1: Big split screen, right, two countries, same weekend on one side, 472 00:27:49,560 --> 00:27:52,480 Speaker 1: did the third round of the note King's rallies. Organizers 473 00:27:52,480 --> 00:27:57,119 Speaker 1: say eight million people turned turned out nationally might be 474 00:27:57,160 --> 00:27:59,800 Speaker 1: the largest ever. Last time. They estimated seven million turned 475 00:27:59,800 --> 00:28:02,200 Speaker 1: out the last No Kings March a couple months ago. 476 00:28:02,800 --> 00:28:05,720 Speaker 1: They are grassroots organized, they've got real professional money behind it. 477 00:28:05,760 --> 00:28:08,880 Speaker 1: Let's not pretend that this is this is totally organic, 478 00:28:09,480 --> 00:28:12,840 Speaker 1: but it's progressive driven demonstrations against the Trump agenda. And 479 00:28:12,920 --> 00:28:16,119 Speaker 1: this weekend, the two animating issues were immigration enforcement in 480 00:28:16,119 --> 00:28:20,040 Speaker 1: the Iran war now officially a month in month old. 481 00:28:20,960 --> 00:28:24,159 Speaker 1: The biggest hub was Minnesota. That's where Bruce Springsteen performed 482 00:28:24,160 --> 00:28:27,239 Speaker 1: at Saint Paul months after the two American citizens were 483 00:28:27,320 --> 00:28:32,960 Speaker 1: killed by Ice agents. And these rallies reached beyond the 484 00:28:33,000 --> 00:28:38,560 Speaker 1: expected cities. We saw places like Shelbyville, Kentucky, Midland, Texas 485 00:28:39,080 --> 00:28:41,120 Speaker 1: hold some of these No Kings rallies. It wasn't just 486 00:28:41,200 --> 00:28:43,640 Speaker 1: the big cities, the big blue cities, if you will. 487 00:28:44,400 --> 00:28:48,360 Speaker 1: That isn't nothing. There's no doubt the opposition to Trump 488 00:28:48,720 --> 00:28:56,320 Speaker 1: is growing, and the opposition to Trump is in some 489 00:28:56,360 --> 00:29:00,240 Speaker 1: ways very focused and very mission driven here and I 490 00:29:00,240 --> 00:29:02,360 Speaker 1: think we're probably going to see the result of that 491 00:29:02,400 --> 00:29:05,120 Speaker 1: in the midterms. Now, on the other side, he had 492 00:29:05,160 --> 00:29:11,760 Speaker 1: another gathering of partisans seapack down in Texas. They were 493 00:29:11,760 --> 00:29:14,520 Speaker 1: closing out a four day conference in grape buying, Texas. 494 00:29:15,120 --> 00:29:18,840 Speaker 1: The marquis speaker wasn't a sitting American official. It was 495 00:29:18,920 --> 00:29:23,560 Speaker 1: Iran's exiled crown Prince Riza Paul Lavi, the oldest son 496 00:29:23,640 --> 00:29:27,400 Speaker 1: of the late of the last Shaw of Iran, drew 497 00:29:27,480 --> 00:29:30,560 Speaker 1: standing room only crowd, positioning himself as Iran's future leader, 498 00:29:31,040 --> 00:29:34,240 Speaker 1: his supporters waving Iranian flags through the convention hall. Steve 499 00:29:34,280 --> 00:29:37,520 Speaker 1: Bannon was there. RFK Junior was there. Former Border Patrol 500 00:29:37,560 --> 00:29:43,480 Speaker 1: Commander Greg Rovino was there. He ran the Minnesota enforcement 501 00:29:43,560 --> 00:29:46,640 Speaker 1: surge and of course was forced out after the disasters 502 00:29:46,640 --> 00:29:49,040 Speaker 1: that he oversaw. And here's what I want you to 503 00:29:49,080 --> 00:29:52,160 Speaker 1: notice about both of these gatherings, while they were each 504 00:29:52,240 --> 00:29:56,880 Speaker 1: internally coherent and they were also mutually incomprehensible to the 505 00:29:56,920 --> 00:30:02,320 Speaker 1: other side, probably the tell that we're in democratic energy. 506 00:30:02,360 --> 00:30:05,680 Speaker 1: It's very real. Trump's approval ratings are second term lows. 507 00:30:06,400 --> 00:30:08,600 Speaker 1: This is all time lows for him thirty six percent, 508 00:30:08,840 --> 00:30:12,680 Speaker 1: and rip Borders IPSOS thirty eight percent, AP forty one percent. 509 00:30:12,680 --> 00:30:15,640 Speaker 1: In Fox News, I probably, if you want to know 510 00:30:15,680 --> 00:30:17,960 Speaker 1: the truth, I probably feel the best about the Fox 511 00:30:18,000 --> 00:30:20,200 Speaker 1: News poll, meaning I just you know, they have to 512 00:30:20,240 --> 00:30:23,120 Speaker 1: bipartisan team that does it. They always have registered voters. 513 00:30:23,160 --> 00:30:26,240 Speaker 1: They just have a you know, IPSOS and AP NORC 514 00:30:26,480 --> 00:30:28,800 Speaker 1: just their samples. I don't think are as strong is 515 00:30:28,800 --> 00:30:32,280 Speaker 1: what the Fox News folks do. Each poll shows tanking numbers, 516 00:30:32,320 --> 00:30:35,040 Speaker 1: though I mean there's some consistency to all these poles 517 00:30:35,600 --> 00:30:38,040 Speaker 1: tanking numbers on the economy and the Iran war. There's 518 00:30:38,200 --> 00:30:41,720 Speaker 1: genuine grassroots mobilization and for the first time in a while, 519 00:30:42,680 --> 00:30:46,360 Speaker 1: we're seeing younger voters fired up about voting in the midterms. 520 00:30:46,720 --> 00:30:49,520 Speaker 1: There is no doubt there is a movement to throw 521 00:30:49,560 --> 00:30:55,560 Speaker 1: out the party in power. But just remember and Democrats. 522 00:30:55,560 --> 00:30:59,160 Speaker 1: I've been repeating this before, and I think I understand 523 00:30:59,240 --> 00:31:04,239 Speaker 1: the feeling of glossing over this in the moment. Just 524 00:31:04,280 --> 00:31:08,360 Speaker 1: because there's lower approval for Trump doesn't mean that there's 525 00:31:08,440 --> 00:31:11,520 Speaker 1: automatically now higher trust with the Democrats. In fact, we've 526 00:31:11,560 --> 00:31:14,000 Speaker 1: seen plenty of polling indicating, my goodness, I told you 527 00:31:14,000 --> 00:31:16,200 Speaker 1: about that poll last week where the Democrats have the 528 00:31:16,240 --> 00:31:19,960 Speaker 1: worst party brand, worse than the Republicans and worse than 529 00:31:20,000 --> 00:31:24,400 Speaker 1: Mega by a point or two, even though they're winning 530 00:31:24,520 --> 00:31:27,480 Speaker 1: right there is not It is once again, we know 531 00:31:27,520 --> 00:31:29,880 Speaker 1: what we don't want, and I want to go back 532 00:31:29,920 --> 00:31:32,880 Speaker 1: to those That's what we knew in the twenty eight 533 00:31:32,960 --> 00:31:35,720 Speaker 1: years in between Jackson and Lincoln. We knew what we 534 00:31:35,720 --> 00:31:38,000 Speaker 1: didn't want. That's why we kept kicking out those presidents. 535 00:31:38,360 --> 00:31:41,480 Speaker 1: We kept getting trying a new president. We kept looking 536 00:31:41,480 --> 00:31:45,600 Speaker 1: for a different answer. We couldn't figure out. We knew 537 00:31:45,600 --> 00:31:47,160 Speaker 1: what we didn't want. We didn't want a civil war, 538 00:31:48,520 --> 00:31:53,440 Speaker 1: but we didn't find any way around it. And I 539 00:31:53,600 --> 00:31:55,640 Speaker 1: fear we don't have the leaders to meet the moment 540 00:31:55,720 --> 00:32:01,600 Speaker 1: we need right now to avoid this getting worse. And 541 00:32:01,640 --> 00:32:04,920 Speaker 1: that's what's the head scratcher here in the moment that 542 00:32:04,960 --> 00:32:11,120 Speaker 1: we're living in. So people see the problem, but they're 543 00:32:11,160 --> 00:32:13,960 Speaker 1: not ready. We're not ready for a full resolution to 544 00:32:14,000 --> 00:32:16,880 Speaker 1: this yet. So on the Republican side, SEAPEC was a 545 00:32:16,880 --> 00:32:19,360 Speaker 1: snapshot of something a bit more complicated than it appears. 546 00:32:20,640 --> 00:32:23,120 Speaker 1: And yes there were USA chants, Yes there were some enthusiasm, 547 00:32:23,120 --> 00:32:25,720 Speaker 1: but attendees were whispering on the sidelines that this year's 548 00:32:25,720 --> 00:32:29,360 Speaker 1: gathering felt smaller, felt more subdued than recent ones because 549 00:32:29,960 --> 00:32:32,760 Speaker 1: this is a divided party and underneath the service there 550 00:32:32,760 --> 00:32:36,320 Speaker 1: were real fractures, particularly among young men, over the Iran 551 00:32:36,360 --> 00:32:40,160 Speaker 1: War and the still unresolved Jeffrey Epstein questions. One thirty 552 00:32:40,200 --> 00:32:42,080 Speaker 1: year old attendee said it this way. A lot of 553 00:32:42,080 --> 00:32:44,360 Speaker 1: the young generation feels that there's not a lot of 554 00:32:44,360 --> 00:32:47,840 Speaker 1: hope for the economy. This economy is a mess, and 555 00:32:47,920 --> 00:32:52,040 Speaker 1: it is all Donald Trump's economy, right from the tariffs 556 00:32:52,080 --> 00:32:54,400 Speaker 1: to this war, to the spike and gas prices. I mean, 557 00:32:54,600 --> 00:32:57,240 Speaker 1: this is turning into his eye. And I think I 558 00:32:57,240 --> 00:32:59,440 Speaker 1: said this before. I think he is going to I 559 00:32:59,480 --> 00:33:01,600 Speaker 1: think he's probably at the point of no return. You 560 00:33:01,920 --> 00:33:04,360 Speaker 1: get to a point in a second term where you 561 00:33:04,760 --> 00:33:07,880 Speaker 1: don't really get a second shot at recovering barring some 562 00:33:08,120 --> 00:33:11,280 Speaker 1: outside event that allows you to sort of be a 563 00:33:11,320 --> 00:33:14,120 Speaker 1: hero in the moment. And it's just hard to envision some. 564 00:33:14,080 --> 00:33:14,880 Speaker 2: Event like that. 565 00:33:17,800 --> 00:33:20,760 Speaker 1: And then there's also the fact that they and this 566 00:33:20,840 --> 00:33:23,960 Speaker 1: is something that's true on both sides, both parties. Right now, 567 00:33:23,960 --> 00:33:27,240 Speaker 1: there is a divide about how to tackle this moment, 568 00:33:28,840 --> 00:33:31,520 Speaker 1: right you know in Sepack we saw it in the 569 00:33:31,560 --> 00:33:34,320 Speaker 1: results of the straw Phole jd Vance at fifty three 570 00:33:34,360 --> 00:33:36,320 Speaker 1: percent of who they wanted to see. In twenty twenty eight, 571 00:33:36,320 --> 00:33:39,760 Speaker 1: Mark Ruby was at thirty five percent. So the MAGA 572 00:33:39,760 --> 00:33:43,959 Speaker 1: base is not united yet on what kind of success 573 00:33:43,960 --> 00:33:46,840 Speaker 1: door they want to say. And we haven't even had 574 00:33:46,880 --> 00:33:48,760 Speaker 1: the midterms yet. What happens if the midterms are a 575 00:33:48,760 --> 00:33:53,360 Speaker 1: disaster for the right. So it's a party that hasn't 576 00:33:53,360 --> 00:33:56,720 Speaker 1: finished its own internal reckoning, right, you know, Trump's in 577 00:33:56,840 --> 00:34:00,640 Speaker 1: charge of this coalition, but as Trump truly change the 578 00:34:00,680 --> 00:34:05,120 Speaker 1: party for good, you still feel the tension inside this party, right, 579 00:34:05,120 --> 00:34:09,200 Speaker 1: They're still not sure where they're going to go post Trump. Meanwhile, 580 00:34:09,200 --> 00:34:12,440 Speaker 1: back in Washington, the government shutdown continued. We're not a 581 00:34:12,480 --> 00:34:16,719 Speaker 1: record length, you know, with the House just sort of 582 00:34:16,800 --> 00:34:19,200 Speaker 1: dumping on the Senate plan. Obviously there's going to be 583 00:34:19,239 --> 00:34:22,439 Speaker 1: at least some resolution to temporary pay with this weird 584 00:34:22,480 --> 00:34:25,120 Speaker 1: executive order, but it only can last for a small 585 00:34:25,120 --> 00:34:30,839 Speaker 1: period of time. But here we are. Senate won't pass 586 00:34:30,880 --> 00:34:33,359 Speaker 1: the House's plan, The House won't pass the Senate's plan. 587 00:34:34,280 --> 00:34:37,200 Speaker 1: Nobody has the votes, and then nobody has the will 588 00:34:37,239 --> 00:34:40,960 Speaker 1: and nobody has the face saving exit. It really is 589 00:34:41,680 --> 00:34:45,680 Speaker 1: James Buchanan level institutional paralysis that we're in right now. 590 00:34:46,080 --> 00:34:51,000 Speaker 1: Technically everyone has a constitutional argument and practically nothing is working. 591 00:34:51,719 --> 00:34:55,280 Speaker 1: So are we ready to move on. Are we ready 592 00:34:55,280 --> 00:34:59,279 Speaker 1: to get out of this moment? My honest answer, and 593 00:34:59,320 --> 00:35:01,480 Speaker 1: I say this notw with despair, but with it, but 594 00:35:02,120 --> 00:35:06,040 Speaker 1: frankly with the historian's cold I patience. We're just not 595 00:35:06,080 --> 00:35:08,640 Speaker 1: ready yet. Here's why. In the pre Civil War era, 596 00:35:08,719 --> 00:35:12,640 Speaker 1: every tool broke because the underlying condition, the question of 597 00:35:12,640 --> 00:35:16,560 Speaker 1: whether slavery would expand or contract, whether the country future 598 00:35:16,640 --> 00:35:20,360 Speaker 1: was slave or free, hadn't been resolved at the level 599 00:35:20,360 --> 00:35:25,080 Speaker 1: of public consensus. The political class kept reaching for procedural 600 00:35:25,160 --> 00:35:31,479 Speaker 1: solutions to a moral question, and procedural solutions to moral 601 00:35:31,560 --> 00:35:36,400 Speaker 1: questions never hold. They just delay the inevitable. They patch. 602 00:35:37,200 --> 00:35:38,880 Speaker 1: They may be able to put it off for a 603 00:35:38,960 --> 00:35:41,799 Speaker 1: year or two, but they eventually break, and usually in 604 00:35:41,840 --> 00:35:44,640 Speaker 1: ways much worse than if you'd address the thing directly. 605 00:35:45,400 --> 00:35:49,000 Speaker 1: Right works this way in life. Now, what we have 606 00:35:49,040 --> 00:35:51,000 Speaker 1: now is not slavery. And this is what I want 607 00:35:51,040 --> 00:35:54,120 Speaker 1: us to be careful about. Not to over analogize this. 608 00:35:54,239 --> 00:35:55,960 Speaker 1: And I get it, I'm the one doing it, but 609 00:35:56,000 --> 00:35:59,239 Speaker 1: I'm I'm you know, And this is a reminder it 610 00:35:59,400 --> 00:36:02,960 Speaker 1: just there is a familiarity here. We have a version 611 00:36:02,960 --> 00:36:05,120 Speaker 1: of the same core problem. We have two fundamentally different 612 00:36:05,200 --> 00:36:09,360 Speaker 1: visions of what America is who? It's four? Who is 613 00:36:09,400 --> 00:36:13,040 Speaker 1: an American right? It's the same questions, and we haven't 614 00:36:13,080 --> 00:36:16,080 Speaker 1: yet reached the moment where the cost of not deciding 615 00:36:17,880 --> 00:36:21,920 Speaker 1: exceeds the cost of deciding. So you look at the 616 00:36:21,920 --> 00:36:24,439 Speaker 1: split screen again. The No King's rallies are real, eight 617 00:36:24,480 --> 00:36:27,719 Speaker 1: million people is real. Energy is real, But energy doesn't 618 00:36:27,719 --> 00:36:31,640 Speaker 1: automatically become a coalition. The pre Civil War era had 619 00:36:31,800 --> 00:36:35,319 Speaker 1: plenty of energy. The abolitionist movement was vibrant, passionate, and 620 00:36:35,400 --> 00:36:40,200 Speaker 1: morally clear, and it took decades more before that energy 621 00:36:40,239 --> 00:36:48,240 Speaker 1: converted into the political realignment that produced Lincoln. But remember 622 00:36:48,280 --> 00:36:55,440 Speaker 1: Lincoln was a third party solution. Just keep that in mind. 623 00:36:55,680 --> 00:36:58,799 Speaker 1: The fractures at Seapack are real, young men worried about 624 00:36:58,800 --> 00:37:01,120 Speaker 1: the economy, worried about a wrong on quietly whispering that 625 00:37:01,160 --> 00:37:05,799 Speaker 1: something feels off. But fractures don't automatically produce alternatives. The 626 00:37:05,800 --> 00:37:09,480 Speaker 1: Whig Party fractured badly multiple times before it finally collapsed 627 00:37:09,480 --> 00:37:13,360 Speaker 1: and the Republican Party emerged from the wreckage. What I 628 00:37:13,360 --> 00:37:15,239 Speaker 1: think we're missing, and what I'd argue both parties are 629 00:37:15,239 --> 00:37:19,880 Speaker 1: still missing, is the exhaustion from these maximalist positions that 630 00:37:19,960 --> 00:37:22,640 Speaker 1: each side wants to take care. Each side still believes, 631 00:37:22,719 --> 00:37:25,400 Speaker 1: or at least its base beliefs, that one more election, 632 00:37:26,400 --> 00:37:30,560 Speaker 1: one more mobilization, one more wave gets them to dominance, 633 00:37:30,760 --> 00:37:34,200 Speaker 1: and then they can get this done. Democrats look at 634 00:37:34,239 --> 00:37:37,319 Speaker 1: trumpet thirty six percent and think, this is it, this 635 00:37:37,360 --> 00:37:40,120 Speaker 1: is the moment. Republicans look at those twenty twenty four 636 00:37:40,120 --> 00:37:42,719 Speaker 1: results and think, we have the mandate. We just have 637 00:37:42,800 --> 00:37:46,000 Speaker 1: to hold the line. Neither side is fully reckoned with 638 00:37:46,080 --> 00:37:50,640 Speaker 1: the possibility that they can't win this way, that the 639 00:37:50,680 --> 00:37:53,719 Speaker 1: country is too evenly divided, the structural incentives are too 640 00:37:53,760 --> 00:37:59,200 Speaker 1: deeply entrenched for either maximalist project to fully succeed. And 641 00:37:59,280 --> 00:38:02,759 Speaker 1: here's the uncomfort question I keep coming back to, does 642 00:38:02,800 --> 00:38:05,719 Speaker 1: each party need to exhaust its own version of the 643 00:38:05,760 --> 00:38:10,680 Speaker 1: maximalist fantasy before we find something more durable. Now Republicans 644 00:38:10,719 --> 00:38:14,600 Speaker 1: have had basically are having their maximalist moment. It's Donald Trump, right, 645 00:38:14,640 --> 00:38:17,239 Speaker 1: they're living it right now. They have a shutdown that's 646 00:38:17,280 --> 00:38:19,839 Speaker 1: breaking records, they have an Iran war that's generating real 647 00:38:19,840 --> 00:38:22,799 Speaker 1: division within their own coalition, approval numbers that suggest the 648 00:38:22,800 --> 00:38:25,799 Speaker 1: public is increasingly uncomfortable where this goes. But they're trying 649 00:38:25,800 --> 00:38:28,840 Speaker 1: to deport millions of people. Right, They're trying to do 650 00:38:28,880 --> 00:38:33,239 Speaker 1: everything they can. But if Democrats had their equivalent, have 651 00:38:33,280 --> 00:38:35,880 Speaker 1: they found the thing that forces a genuine reckoning with 652 00:38:36,000 --> 00:38:38,520 Speaker 1: why they keep losing ground on the economy, immigration, and 653 00:38:38,560 --> 00:38:41,200 Speaker 1: crime even when the other side is collapsing, Or do 654 00:38:41,239 --> 00:38:45,080 Speaker 1: they win the midterms, feel vindicated and defer the reckoning. Again, 655 00:38:46,760 --> 00:38:49,480 Speaker 1: I'm not asking rhetorically. I think it's the actual question 656 00:38:49,520 --> 00:38:52,600 Speaker 1: that determines whether twenty twenty eight is a stabilizing election 657 00:38:53,440 --> 00:38:57,720 Speaker 1: or another pendulum swing that sets up the next cycle 658 00:38:57,800 --> 00:39:00,120 Speaker 1: of backlash. Bottom line is I think we're still a 659 00:39:00,160 --> 00:39:04,160 Speaker 1: couple of more elections away. All right, I have I am, 660 00:39:04,400 --> 00:39:06,760 Speaker 1: like I say, I'm a long term optimist, short term pessimist. 661 00:39:07,560 --> 00:39:10,359 Speaker 1: But in some ways I think each side and I think, 662 00:39:10,840 --> 00:39:12,799 Speaker 1: you know, the base of the Democratic Party hasn't gotten 663 00:39:12,840 --> 00:39:16,080 Speaker 1: its presidency yet, the Republican base has gotten its presidency, 664 00:39:16,640 --> 00:39:19,040 Speaker 1: and it may be we need to see that play 665 00:39:19,040 --> 00:39:23,640 Speaker 1: itself out. Maybe it succeeds, maybe it's the answer, Maybe 666 00:39:23,640 --> 00:39:26,360 Speaker 1: it's maybe it is maybe it's an FDR like figure, 667 00:39:26,719 --> 00:39:28,920 Speaker 1: but we don't know that yet. The point is, I 668 00:39:28,920 --> 00:39:33,719 Speaker 1: don't think this has played out now. Lincoln understood something 669 00:39:33,760 --> 00:39:38,040 Speaker 1: that the the the eight men before him didn't or wouldn't. 670 00:39:38,160 --> 00:39:41,200 Speaker 1: He understood that you couldn't solve the divide by managing it. 671 00:39:41,960 --> 00:39:45,040 Speaker 1: You could only solve it by going through it. And 672 00:39:45,080 --> 00:39:47,960 Speaker 1: going through it meant naming the thing directly, taking the 673 00:39:47,960 --> 00:39:51,120 Speaker 1: political risk, and accepting that the short term cost of 674 00:39:51,160 --> 00:39:55,040 Speaker 1: honesty was lower than the long term cost of another delay. 675 00:39:56,280 --> 00:39:59,000 Speaker 1: His second inaugural one of the most extraordinary speeches in 676 00:39:59,040 --> 00:40:02,279 Speaker 1: American history, frankly in world history. It didn't pretend the 677 00:40:02,280 --> 00:40:05,239 Speaker 1: war hadn't happened, or that reconciliation would be easy. He 678 00:40:05,360 --> 00:40:09,680 Speaker 1: just simply said, with malice toward none, with charity for all. 679 00:40:12,120 --> 00:40:15,280 Speaker 1: But he said it after four years of war, after 680 00:40:15,320 --> 00:40:18,480 Speaker 1: the cost had been paid, after the country had finally 681 00:40:18,480 --> 00:40:22,279 Speaker 1: brutally decided where are we going and who are we 682 00:40:22,880 --> 00:40:25,759 Speaker 1: So we're not there yet. We're probably somewhere in the 683 00:40:25,760 --> 00:40:29,520 Speaker 1: Franklin Pierce to James Buchanan range of this story. We're 684 00:40:29,560 --> 00:40:32,880 Speaker 1: probably past the early avoidance phase. We're into the phase 685 00:40:32,920 --> 00:40:35,680 Speaker 1: where the tools are breaking faster and more visibly. Right, 686 00:40:36,080 --> 00:40:40,600 Speaker 1: Congress couldn't get every six months, it gets more functional, dysfunctional. 687 00:40:41,239 --> 00:40:43,799 Speaker 1: J Judiciary seems to get a tad more dysfunctional with 688 00:40:43,840 --> 00:40:46,680 Speaker 1: it as well. But we're not yet at the moment 689 00:40:46,680 --> 00:40:48,840 Speaker 1: where the country decides the cost of delay is finally 690 00:40:48,880 --> 00:40:51,960 Speaker 1: too high, where we finally have a leader who meets 691 00:40:51,960 --> 00:40:54,239 Speaker 1: the moment that we may be really fully looking for. 692 00:40:54,800 --> 00:40:59,080 Speaker 1: It might sound grim, I actually think it's useful because 693 00:40:59,120 --> 00:41:00,640 Speaker 1: if you know where you are in the story, you 694 00:41:00,680 --> 00:41:03,200 Speaker 1: can stop being surprised by the chaos and you can 695 00:41:03,239 --> 00:41:06,360 Speaker 1: start paying attention to the signal underneath it. The signal 696 00:41:06,400 --> 00:41:08,520 Speaker 1: isn't the rallies. It isn't the straw poles, That isn't 697 00:41:08,520 --> 00:41:11,600 Speaker 1: the shutdown. The signal is whether either party or some 698 00:41:11,760 --> 00:41:15,360 Speaker 1: new force we can't fully see yet. Right there was 699 00:41:15,640 --> 00:41:20,080 Speaker 1: the Republican Party was not really that's that much in 700 00:41:20,120 --> 00:41:23,719 Speaker 1: the front and center of things in the eighteen thirties, forties, 701 00:41:23,920 --> 00:41:27,160 Speaker 1: and even in the early eighteen fifties. The signal is 702 00:41:27,200 --> 00:41:30,560 Speaker 1: whether either party is developing the thing that comes after 703 00:41:30,680 --> 00:41:33,840 Speaker 1: this maximalism that we're ball that we're all in in 704 00:41:33,880 --> 00:41:36,759 Speaker 1: the moment politics of the country as it actually is, 705 00:41:36,880 --> 00:41:40,200 Speaker 1: rather than the country. Each base imagines it can force 706 00:41:40,760 --> 00:41:45,759 Speaker 1: everybody else to exist it. So that's what I'm watching for. 707 00:41:46,600 --> 00:41:48,520 Speaker 1: That's what twenty twenty six will start to tell us. 708 00:41:48,560 --> 00:41:51,240 Speaker 1: That's why I'm obsessed with what's happening in Michigan. Governor. 709 00:41:51,239 --> 00:41:53,759 Speaker 1: Are they going to go independent or not? Right, we're 710 00:41:53,760 --> 00:41:55,560 Speaker 1: going to see, well some of these independents win. Are 711 00:41:55,560 --> 00:41:58,000 Speaker 1: we going to see a punishment of both parties or 712 00:41:58,000 --> 00:41:59,920 Speaker 1: are we going to see just sort of this continued 713 00:42:00,000 --> 00:42:02,840 Speaker 1: sort of windshield wiper approach to things, or we just 714 00:42:02,880 --> 00:42:08,360 Speaker 1: go back and forth one more time. So we're not 715 00:42:08,400 --> 00:42:14,839 Speaker 1: there yet. But do know this, just like with bankruptcy, 716 00:42:15,040 --> 00:42:20,720 Speaker 1: all this stuff takes forever until it happens almost overnight. 717 00:42:22,239 --> 00:42:28,799 Speaker 1: All right, So with that, and again, let me just 718 00:42:28,840 --> 00:42:32,200 Speaker 1: emphasize I just realized I need emphasiz I'm not saying 719 00:42:32,200 --> 00:42:34,400 Speaker 1: it's going to take a hot civil war for us 720 00:42:34,480 --> 00:42:37,239 Speaker 1: to decide this political divide that we're in, but we 721 00:42:37,280 --> 00:42:41,960 Speaker 1: are sitting here basically right. At some point there's going 722 00:42:42,040 --> 00:42:44,279 Speaker 1: to be an attempt to break this. Maybe it's from 723 00:42:44,320 --> 00:42:48,440 Speaker 1: the center, maybe it's from inside one of the two parties, 724 00:42:48,480 --> 00:42:51,400 Speaker 1: maybe it's from a third party. The point is, I 725 00:42:51,400 --> 00:42:56,000 Speaker 1: don't think we're there yet, or we're probably at least one, 726 00:42:56,040 --> 00:43:00,880 Speaker 1: if not two presidential elections away from that. All right, 727 00:43:00,920 --> 00:43:03,279 Speaker 1: coming up. Like I said, I got Matt Mahon, he 728 00:43:04,080 --> 00:43:08,319 Speaker 1: is the candidate. Then when I talked to Democrats not 729 00:43:08,360 --> 00:43:11,680 Speaker 1: associated with any of the candidates running, and they think 730 00:43:11,719 --> 00:43:15,120 Speaker 1: about the nightmare that is this governor's race has turned into, 731 00:43:15,320 --> 00:43:18,800 Speaker 1: particularly for Democrats, because you have two Republicans Chad Bianco, 732 00:43:19,520 --> 00:43:21,680 Speaker 1: sheriff from Riverside down there in the southern part of 733 00:43:21,719 --> 00:43:25,279 Speaker 1: the state. Steve Hilton, who was one time an aide 734 00:43:25,320 --> 00:43:29,480 Speaker 1: to former British Prime Minister David Cameron, and he's been 735 00:43:29,960 --> 00:43:32,480 Speaker 1: he's likely to be the top vote getter. And the 736 00:43:32,600 --> 00:43:35,600 Speaker 1: possibility is there that two Republicans could finish on top 737 00:43:35,640 --> 00:43:38,839 Speaker 1: and the all party primary and top two and then 738 00:43:38,840 --> 00:43:40,359 Speaker 1: all of a sudden and by the way, if you're 739 00:43:40,400 --> 00:43:42,480 Speaker 1: wondering what would happen, there in a friend of mine outline. 740 00:43:42,520 --> 00:43:45,400 Speaker 1: And so if you had somehow the two Republicans finished 741 00:43:45,440 --> 00:43:50,799 Speaker 1: the top two in California, Hilton versus Bianco, you'd have 742 00:43:51,160 --> 00:43:53,840 Speaker 1: Hilton would probably win. You'd have a whole bunch of 743 00:43:53,840 --> 00:43:57,600 Speaker 1: people saying he's the more center of the two. He 744 00:43:57,640 --> 00:44:00,480 Speaker 1: would clearly tack quicker to the center than the air FOROO. 745 00:44:02,200 --> 00:44:03,719 Speaker 1: And as a friend of mine said, and he'd be 746 00:44:03,760 --> 00:44:07,759 Speaker 1: recalled and there'd be a new recall election probably within 747 00:44:07,800 --> 00:44:13,080 Speaker 1: a year, and so you would have essentially governing paralysis 748 00:44:13,080 --> 00:44:16,960 Speaker 1: in California like we had sort of in that era 749 00:44:17,120 --> 00:44:20,640 Speaker 1: between Gray Davis up through the beginning of Arnold Schwarzenegger 750 00:44:20,640 --> 00:44:23,160 Speaker 1: and really through about the first year of Arnold Schwarzenegger 751 00:44:23,200 --> 00:44:27,000 Speaker 1: before he found his sea legs. That said, there's still 752 00:44:27,000 --> 00:44:29,200 Speaker 1: a couple of months before this primary actually takes place. 753 00:44:29,920 --> 00:44:32,319 Speaker 1: I do think some Democrats going to get traction. Maybe 754 00:44:32,320 --> 00:44:35,960 Speaker 1: it's Eric Swawell, maybe it's Tom Steyer and all the 755 00:44:36,000 --> 00:44:39,799 Speaker 1: money he's spending. Matt Mayhon hopes it's him. He has 756 00:44:39,840 --> 00:44:43,200 Speaker 1: got a ton of financial resources, he's got a ton 757 00:44:43,280 --> 00:44:46,400 Speaker 1: of money helping him, but he's yet to really get 758 00:44:46,440 --> 00:44:51,080 Speaker 1: a lot of traction. But he argues there's still time. 759 00:44:51,320 --> 00:44:52,799 Speaker 1: So with that, we'll take a break and when we 760 00:44:52,840 --> 00:44:55,160 Speaker 1: come back, by conversation with somebody who would like to 761 00:44:55,160 --> 00:44:58,839 Speaker 1: be the next governor Democratic governor of California. That mayn 762 00:45:03,800 --> 00:45:06,080 Speaker 1: This episode of the Chuck Todcast is brought to you 763 00:45:06,120 --> 00:45:10,000 Speaker 1: by Wild Grain. Wild Grain is the first bake from 764 00:45:10,160 --> 00:45:15,040 Speaker 1: frozen subscription box for sour dough breads, artisonal pastries and 765 00:45:15,080 --> 00:45:18,560 Speaker 1: fresh pastas, plus all the items conveniently baked in twenty 766 00:45:18,560 --> 00:45:22,800 Speaker 1: five minutes or less. 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Right now, Wildgrain is 786 00:46:26,200 --> 00:46:29,280 Speaker 1: offering my listeners thirty dollars off your first box plus 787 00:46:29,440 --> 00:46:32,600 Speaker 1: free croissants for life. Come on when you go to 788 00:46:32,680 --> 00:46:36,720 Speaker 1: wildgrain dot com slash podcast to start your subscription today. 789 00:46:36,800 --> 00:46:40,120 Speaker 1: That's thirty dollars off your first box and free croissants 790 00:46:40,120 --> 00:46:43,400 Speaker 1: for life when you visit wildgrain dot com slash podcast, 791 00:46:43,560 --> 00:46:47,399 Speaker 1: or simply use the promo code podcast at checkout. This 792 00:46:47,440 --> 00:46:53,839 Speaker 1: is a sponsor I absolutely embrace, so use that code 793 00:46:55,160 --> 00:46:57,600 Speaker 1: all right. As many of you know, I have spent 794 00:46:57,680 --> 00:47:00,800 Speaker 1: a lot of time featuring candidates for California governor. I 795 00:47:00,920 --> 00:47:02,879 Speaker 1: beat your candidates for a lot of offices, but I've 796 00:47:02,880 --> 00:47:06,000 Speaker 1: been especially interested in, you know, when you have an 797 00:47:06,080 --> 00:47:11,280 Speaker 1: open race for the fourth largest economy in the world. 798 00:47:11,280 --> 00:47:14,000 Speaker 1: Now it's creeping up to number four. Maybe my next 799 00:47:14,000 --> 00:47:16,320 Speaker 1: guest will confirm for me if it's moved from fifth 800 00:47:16,320 --> 00:47:20,400 Speaker 1: to fourth. Now we we have a there's an open contest, 801 00:47:20,440 --> 00:47:23,080 Speaker 1: and there's really no even in the previous years, right, 802 00:47:23,120 --> 00:47:26,120 Speaker 1: you know, Gavin Newsom was sort of it was there 803 00:47:26,160 --> 00:47:28,800 Speaker 1: in waiting. Jerry Brown before that was there in waiting. 804 00:47:28,880 --> 00:47:32,239 Speaker 1: You know, really not since arguably nineteen ninety eight. Have 805 00:47:32,360 --> 00:47:38,239 Speaker 1: we had an open race for the California governorship that 806 00:47:38,400 --> 00:47:42,560 Speaker 1: looks truly open and obviously with the with the all 807 00:47:42,600 --> 00:47:46,160 Speaker 1: party primary, it makes everything kind of fascinating. And so 808 00:47:48,120 --> 00:47:50,799 Speaker 1: the candidate that that's coming on today is the mayor 809 00:47:50,840 --> 00:47:54,400 Speaker 1: of San Jose. He's a Democrat, Matt Mayon. He is 810 00:47:54,440 --> 00:47:58,680 Speaker 1: somebody that I know a lot of a lot of 811 00:47:58,680 --> 00:48:03,919 Speaker 1: folks are cs, somebody that that might be that might 812 00:48:03,960 --> 00:48:06,759 Speaker 1: have the ability to unite the Democratic coalition in a way. 813 00:48:06,800 --> 00:48:11,480 Speaker 1: It's a very fractured primary at the moment, a lot 814 00:48:11,480 --> 00:48:14,520 Speaker 1: of expectations, a lot of interesting supporters that he has 815 00:48:14,640 --> 00:48:17,280 Speaker 1: so wanted to get to know the mayor. Mayor Mayhon, 816 00:48:17,360 --> 00:48:18,800 Speaker 1: Welcome to the podcast. 817 00:48:19,480 --> 00:48:21,319 Speaker 2: Chuck, Thanks so much for having me on. I'm looking 818 00:48:21,320 --> 00:48:22,440 Speaker 2: forward to our conversation. 819 00:48:22,880 --> 00:48:26,040 Speaker 1: Well let me start with this, So why'd you run 820 00:48:26,080 --> 00:48:29,080 Speaker 1: for mayor when you decided to become mayor of San Jose? 821 00:48:29,200 --> 00:48:32,600 Speaker 1: What got you into politics in general and what made 822 00:48:32,640 --> 00:48:34,120 Speaker 1: you want to run for mayor of Santase. 823 00:48:35,800 --> 00:48:38,200 Speaker 2: Yeah, you know, Chuck, my interest in politics goes back 824 00:48:38,239 --> 00:48:40,120 Speaker 2: to my childhood. I grew up in a little farming 825 00:48:40,120 --> 00:48:43,040 Speaker 2: town in California called Watsonville, for those who don't know it. 826 00:48:43,040 --> 00:48:47,120 Speaker 2: It's where your strawberries come from. And like a lot 827 00:48:47,160 --> 00:48:50,600 Speaker 2: of rural communities, we had we had big challenges, high unemployment, 828 00:48:50,680 --> 00:48:52,719 Speaker 2: a lot of crime. Our local high school had a 829 00:48:52,760 --> 00:48:57,120 Speaker 2: higher dropout rate than graduation rate. And it was a 830 00:48:57,200 --> 00:49:00,200 Speaker 2: work study scholarship on literally on the other side of 831 00:49:00,239 --> 00:49:02,759 Speaker 2: a mountain range in San Jose and the heart of 832 00:49:02,800 --> 00:49:06,719 Speaker 2: Silicon Valley that gave me a really big opportunity in 833 00:49:06,719 --> 00:49:09,719 Speaker 2: my life to branch out and be able to go 834 00:49:09,719 --> 00:49:12,360 Speaker 2: to a great college, and it really just changed the 835 00:49:12,480 --> 00:49:16,560 Speaker 2: trajectory of my life. And I was always interested in 836 00:49:16,960 --> 00:49:19,920 Speaker 2: the differences between my hometown with all of its challenges, 837 00:49:19,960 --> 00:49:22,239 Speaker 2: in Silicon Valley, with all of its growth and opportunity. 838 00:49:22,239 --> 00:49:24,960 Speaker 2: I started reading the local newspaper, went to a high 839 00:49:25,000 --> 00:49:28,319 Speaker 2: school that was very into service and civic engagement. My 840 00:49:28,440 --> 00:49:31,080 Speaker 2: parents were into civic engagement. My mom was a teacher, 841 00:49:31,160 --> 00:49:34,280 Speaker 2: my dad was a maleman, And just from a young age, 842 00:49:34,320 --> 00:49:37,640 Speaker 2: I came to this belief that politics and government is 843 00:49:37,680 --> 00:49:40,520 Speaker 2: the area where we work out the big questions, solve 844 00:49:40,600 --> 00:49:43,040 Speaker 2: the big problems, and it's kind of the only game 845 00:49:43,080 --> 00:49:45,719 Speaker 2: in town for really tackling the big things that create 846 00:49:45,760 --> 00:49:48,680 Speaker 2: opportunity for people, which is what I'm really interested in. 847 00:49:49,040 --> 00:49:51,279 Speaker 2: So I ended up being a public school teacher for 848 00:49:51,320 --> 00:49:53,759 Speaker 2: a while, worked in tech for a while, but ultimately 849 00:49:54,080 --> 00:49:57,360 Speaker 2: found myself drawn back to the place where I was 850 00:49:57,400 --> 00:49:59,480 Speaker 2: living and raising a family, San Jose, where it just 851 00:49:59,480 --> 00:50:02,520 Speaker 2: felt like we kept asking people to raise their taxes, 852 00:50:02,520 --> 00:50:04,640 Speaker 2: but the outcomes weren't getting any better. And I thought, 853 00:50:04,760 --> 00:50:06,120 Speaker 2: I'm going to jump in and see if I can 854 00:50:06,160 --> 00:50:07,120 Speaker 2: do this a little differently. 855 00:50:08,239 --> 00:50:10,320 Speaker 1: So let's talk about your decision to run for governor. 856 00:50:10,440 --> 00:50:12,600 Speaker 1: You were in some ways. I know a lot of 857 00:50:12,600 --> 00:50:16,400 Speaker 1: people reach out to you, wanted you to run. There's 858 00:50:16,640 --> 00:50:18,880 Speaker 1: a lot of candidates in this race you could have, 859 00:50:19,560 --> 00:50:21,880 Speaker 1: you know. So I'm going to ask this, what about 860 00:50:21,920 --> 00:50:24,840 Speaker 1: the other candidates in the race, particularly in your party 861 00:50:24,880 --> 00:50:27,920 Speaker 1: on the Democratic side, what are they missing that you 862 00:50:28,080 --> 00:50:29,839 Speaker 1: think you bring to this race. 863 00:50:31,719 --> 00:50:35,080 Speaker 2: Yeah, I was watching the race closely, was not planning 864 00:50:35,360 --> 00:50:37,880 Speaker 2: to run, sort of watched it all of last year, 865 00:50:37,920 --> 00:50:40,879 Speaker 2: and then early this year realized there was a big 866 00:50:41,000 --> 00:50:46,400 Speaker 2: void in the conversation, particularly in the more moderate problem 867 00:50:46,600 --> 00:50:49,960 Speaker 2: solver lane to try to bring people together. And it's 868 00:50:50,040 --> 00:50:52,960 Speaker 2: just I guess a few things felt missing. One I'm 869 00:50:52,960 --> 00:50:56,440 Speaker 2: the only current mayor and executive with both public and 870 00:50:56,480 --> 00:50:59,680 Speaker 2: private sector executive experience in the race. I think we 871 00:50:59,719 --> 00:51:02,480 Speaker 2: are moment where the next governor of California has to 872 00:51:02,480 --> 00:51:06,320 Speaker 2: be very execution focused. We don't have a revenue problem, 873 00:51:06,400 --> 00:51:09,399 Speaker 2: we have an execution and accountability problem, which I'm sure 874 00:51:09,400 --> 00:51:13,759 Speaker 2: we'll talk more about. Number Two, I'm worried about the 875 00:51:14,040 --> 00:51:18,520 Speaker 2: partisan divide in this country and rising populism on the 876 00:51:18,560 --> 00:51:20,440 Speaker 2: right and the left, and people sort of just giving 877 00:51:20,480 --> 00:51:23,479 Speaker 2: easy answers, and so in my party on the left 878 00:51:23,560 --> 00:51:27,919 Speaker 2: right now in California, at least, it's in vogue to say, well, 879 00:51:28,040 --> 00:51:30,200 Speaker 2: all of our problems in California are just because of 880 00:51:30,239 --> 00:51:35,000 Speaker 2: Donald Trump or just because of the tech billionaires. And look, 881 00:51:35,040 --> 00:51:38,000 Speaker 2: I've got plenty of critiques of both, but the truth 882 00:51:38,160 --> 00:51:41,320 Speaker 2: is We've got a lot of resources, a lot of assets. 883 00:51:41,360 --> 00:51:44,840 Speaker 2: We've increased spending in the state of California by seventy 884 00:51:44,880 --> 00:51:48,120 Speaker 2: five percent, or one hundred and fifty billion dollars in 885 00:51:48,320 --> 00:51:52,320 Speaker 2: just the last six years. And I'm the only Democrat 886 00:51:52,360 --> 00:51:55,520 Speaker 2: in this race saying we need to demand that our 887 00:51:55,600 --> 00:51:59,320 Speaker 2: state government do better before we ask people to pay more. 888 00:51:59,600 --> 00:52:01,560 Speaker 2: And I've got out a track record as mayor of 889 00:52:01,600 --> 00:52:04,200 Speaker 2: the largest city in northern California. Of doing that, we 890 00:52:04,239 --> 00:52:08,560 Speaker 2: didn't raise taxes, but we dramatically changed the level of crime. 891 00:52:08,640 --> 00:52:10,719 Speaker 2: We reduced it and became the safest big city in 892 00:52:10,719 --> 00:52:14,319 Speaker 2: the country. Same with reducing homelessness, getting housing built, and 893 00:52:14,360 --> 00:52:16,520 Speaker 2: I just I think accountability is what the state needs. 894 00:52:16,560 --> 00:52:18,279 Speaker 2: And I didn't hear anybody else talking about it. 895 00:52:18,520 --> 00:52:20,680 Speaker 1: You know, it's interesting. I know that I spent a 896 00:52:20,719 --> 00:52:24,719 Speaker 1: little bit of time in San Jose and one of 897 00:52:24,760 --> 00:52:27,719 Speaker 1: the there are times when you're in the city that 898 00:52:27,760 --> 00:52:31,320 Speaker 1: you you can't you're unaware that Silicon Valley's right there. 899 00:52:31,719 --> 00:52:35,480 Speaker 1: And I'll be honest, I the first, you know, I 900 00:52:35,880 --> 00:52:40,319 Speaker 1: expected more of a presence in a positive way, and 901 00:52:40,360 --> 00:52:45,440 Speaker 1: it isn't there. It's it's interesting suburban Yeah, that that 902 00:52:45,440 --> 00:52:48,839 Speaker 1: that the Silicon Valley workers don't really live in San Jose. 903 00:52:49,920 --> 00:52:51,920 Speaker 2: It was actually the opposite. It's the opposite. We we 904 00:52:52,040 --> 00:52:56,000 Speaker 2: housed the workforce. San Jose was built as the bedroom community. 905 00:52:56,040 --> 00:52:58,080 Speaker 1: There's a lot of people that seems to commute, that 906 00:52:58,160 --> 00:53:01,040 Speaker 1: seemed to commute right all the way closer to the Sancisco. 907 00:53:03,080 --> 00:53:07,520 Speaker 2: Yeah. So historically what happened was the defense industry invested 908 00:53:07,560 --> 00:53:11,000 Speaker 2: early and out of that became the semiconductor industry, and 909 00:53:11,080 --> 00:53:14,120 Speaker 2: the jobs were actually closer to Stanford or Palo Alto, 910 00:53:14,239 --> 00:53:17,759 Speaker 2: which is almost the midpoint between San Jose and San Francisco. 911 00:53:18,000 --> 00:53:21,640 Speaker 2: San Jose was all agriculture up until the World War 912 00:53:21,680 --> 00:53:26,000 Speaker 2: two boom, but in the sixties and seventies, all of 913 00:53:26,040 --> 00:53:27,960 Speaker 2: that that valley would used to be called the Valley 914 00:53:28,000 --> 00:53:31,240 Speaker 2: of Heart's Delay. All of those orchards got turned into 915 00:53:31,320 --> 00:53:34,439 Speaker 2: single family home neighborhoods. And so San Jose is one 916 00:53:34,600 --> 00:53:37,800 Speaker 2: million people in the heart of Silicon Valley, but it 917 00:53:37,920 --> 00:53:41,719 Speaker 2: is it is the residential center of the valley. It's 918 00:53:41,719 --> 00:53:44,600 Speaker 2: where tech's workforce lives. It's where their kids go to school, 919 00:53:44,760 --> 00:53:47,480 Speaker 2: they go to the park, the library. But what we've 920 00:53:47,480 --> 00:53:49,719 Speaker 2: been doing in recent years that I'm really excited about 921 00:53:49,800 --> 00:53:52,719 Speaker 2: is we're building an urban center in our downtown and 922 00:53:52,719 --> 00:53:56,080 Speaker 2: it's starting to grow. We're getting housing built. Silicon Valley 923 00:53:56,080 --> 00:53:59,600 Speaker 2: has always lacked a proper downtown or urban center, and 924 00:53:59,640 --> 00:54:03,759 Speaker 2: that's now becoming. That's San Jose's downtown. But you're right, 925 00:54:03,800 --> 00:54:05,960 Speaker 2: it's it's a more sprung It's not like New York 926 00:54:06,040 --> 00:54:07,839 Speaker 2: or Chicago or one of our you know. 927 00:54:08,280 --> 00:54:10,720 Speaker 1: What would you attribute this to though, why why hasn't 928 00:54:10,760 --> 00:54:12,920 Speaker 1: Because I looked at it, It's like, I'm just surprised 929 00:54:12,920 --> 00:54:16,800 Speaker 1: that the companies themselves, you know, I expected to see 930 00:54:17,280 --> 00:54:21,360 Speaker 1: the Facebook Arena, the arts the Apple Arts Center, you know, 931 00:54:21,480 --> 00:54:23,799 Speaker 1: I mean, you know, which is what you see in 932 00:54:23,840 --> 00:54:28,719 Speaker 1: other cities where the industry is sort of connected to 933 00:54:28,760 --> 00:54:32,160 Speaker 1: the community, and it always it has felt as if 934 00:54:32,320 --> 00:54:34,880 Speaker 1: and I'm just curious if you believe this or maybe 935 00:54:34,880 --> 00:54:37,200 Speaker 1: you've improved you feel like you can improve this, which 936 00:54:37,239 --> 00:54:41,080 Speaker 1: is that the big companies of Silicon Valley haven't necessarily 937 00:54:41,120 --> 00:54:43,240 Speaker 1: invested in San Jose and the way you might expect 938 00:54:43,239 --> 00:54:43,480 Speaker 1: them to. 939 00:54:45,960 --> 00:54:48,000 Speaker 2: Yeah, I think that these I worked at the tech 940 00:54:48,080 --> 00:54:54,000 Speaker 2: sector building civic tech tools, helping people essentially organize and 941 00:54:54,400 --> 00:54:57,279 Speaker 2: be civically active and hold their elected officials accountable. And 942 00:54:57,360 --> 00:55:01,279 Speaker 2: I can tell you from working in the space for 943 00:55:01,360 --> 00:55:06,360 Speaker 2: quite a few years that technologists don't start from the 944 00:55:06,440 --> 00:55:11,480 Speaker 2: perspective of politics or or the kind of presence that 945 00:55:11,520 --> 00:55:16,680 Speaker 2: you're talking about, or even brand building. I know. It's 946 00:55:17,600 --> 00:55:19,719 Speaker 2: sort of the myth, although I think kind of the 947 00:55:19,760 --> 00:55:22,759 Speaker 2: reality of tech that it's much more people who are 948 00:55:23,239 --> 00:55:26,960 Speaker 2: tinkers invenors who are literally starting in a garage, and 949 00:55:27,000 --> 00:55:31,000 Speaker 2: they're interested in creating something new and powerful that gives 950 00:55:31,040 --> 00:55:34,640 Speaker 2: you a new capability that can solve a problem. And 951 00:55:34,680 --> 00:55:38,120 Speaker 2: it's sort of like the all the rest, you know, 952 00:55:38,239 --> 00:55:44,880 Speaker 2: the revenue profit, you know, sponsorships, marketing. Politics is super secondary. 953 00:55:44,920 --> 00:55:47,719 Speaker 2: For years, the tech sector had a mutual avoidance with 954 00:55:47,760 --> 00:55:49,839 Speaker 2: government and just wanted to be left alone. It's actually 955 00:55:49,840 --> 00:55:53,600 Speaker 2: a very libertarian sector. And so whether you're in San 956 00:55:53,640 --> 00:55:54,160 Speaker 2: Francisco and. 957 00:55:54,239 --> 00:55:56,840 Speaker 1: Again still is a libertarian mindset. I mean, you know, 958 00:55:57,120 --> 00:55:57,520 Speaker 1: I think. 959 00:55:59,280 --> 00:56:01,080 Speaker 2: We do have some though. I have to give a 960 00:56:01,160 --> 00:56:04,919 Speaker 2: huge shout out to Adobe, headquartered in downtown San Jose, 961 00:56:05,160 --> 00:56:08,640 Speaker 2: thousands of employees. They contribute a ton to the community. 962 00:56:08,640 --> 00:56:11,800 Speaker 2: They're always sponsoring things, investing in arts and culture. 963 00:56:12,480 --> 00:56:15,120 Speaker 1: But they are Why do you think they're the exception 964 00:56:15,440 --> 00:56:17,960 Speaker 1: because they do a minute you just said that. It 965 00:56:18,520 --> 00:56:20,520 Speaker 1: dawned on me. I remember seeing a lot of the 966 00:56:20,680 --> 00:56:21,440 Speaker 1: Adobe brand. 967 00:56:22,320 --> 00:56:24,680 Speaker 2: Yeah, although I've got to say same for Cisco, which 968 00:56:24,719 --> 00:56:26,719 Speaker 2: is here in San Jose. I think it depends on 969 00:56:26,760 --> 00:56:28,920 Speaker 2: the maturity of the company and the maturity of the 970 00:56:29,000 --> 00:56:33,400 Speaker 2: sub industry. If it's a new robotics company or vertical 971 00:56:33,440 --> 00:56:35,880 Speaker 2: takeoff and landing vehicle, they're just focused on trying to 972 00:56:35,880 --> 00:56:37,600 Speaker 2: get the tech to work. They're trying to actually figure 973 00:56:37,640 --> 00:56:39,439 Speaker 2: out as they're a market for this thing, and does 974 00:56:39,480 --> 00:56:42,520 Speaker 2: it work. Once a company has been around twenty thirty 975 00:56:42,600 --> 00:56:45,560 Speaker 2: years as profitable, as more mature, they're a lot more 976 00:56:45,680 --> 00:56:48,440 Speaker 2: likely to actually look around and say, Okay, how do 977 00:56:48,480 --> 00:56:51,399 Speaker 2: we show up in the community. What are our responsibilities? 978 00:56:51,840 --> 00:56:53,520 Speaker 2: But you're right, I mean, I think we're pointing out 979 00:56:53,760 --> 00:56:56,919 Speaker 2: as an industry that until recently at least, has been 980 00:56:57,960 --> 00:57:01,319 Speaker 2: sort of being nascent, just wasn't a totally. 981 00:57:01,000 --> 00:57:03,560 Speaker 1: Mature I mean, I guess if you were to describe 982 00:57:03,600 --> 00:57:05,520 Speaker 1: them as a person, you'd say they're kind of introverted. 983 00:57:06,320 --> 00:57:09,040 Speaker 1: They're just they don't and I don't, I don't, I 984 00:57:09,040 --> 00:57:12,320 Speaker 1: don't write. I don't buy that it's like some nefarious 985 00:57:12,320 --> 00:57:14,759 Speaker 1: reason they don't want to contribute to a community. It's 986 00:57:14,880 --> 00:57:18,200 Speaker 1: just this. It's not like you see with other industries. 987 00:57:18,600 --> 00:57:21,360 Speaker 1: And I remember it. I guess I would. It feels 988 00:57:21,360 --> 00:57:23,760 Speaker 1: as if Santjose should be benefiting more than they are. 989 00:57:24,400 --> 00:57:25,200 Speaker 1: I do you argue that? 990 00:57:25,360 --> 00:57:28,080 Speaker 2: I mean, do you feel like that's my pitch? So 991 00:57:28,200 --> 00:57:31,800 Speaker 2: for example, we have a Super Bowl World Cup coming 992 00:57:31,840 --> 00:57:33,919 Speaker 2: to San Jose this year. We just hosted Super Bowl 993 00:57:34,160 --> 00:57:38,280 Speaker 2: World Cups coming with six matches actually March Madness this week, 994 00:57:38,720 --> 00:57:41,840 Speaker 2: and I went around to our local employers and asked 995 00:57:41,880 --> 00:57:44,920 Speaker 2: them to contribute to a fan experience to make it 996 00:57:44,960 --> 00:57:47,000 Speaker 2: open and accessible to all of our residents, so that 997 00:57:47,080 --> 00:57:49,440 Speaker 2: even residents who couldn't afford a ticket to one of 998 00:57:49,480 --> 00:57:52,160 Speaker 2: the big games could have a great experience. We raised 999 00:57:52,160 --> 00:57:55,600 Speaker 2: about five million dollars from local employers, mostly tech employers, 1000 00:57:55,680 --> 00:57:59,640 Speaker 2: but not all view that as being their sort of 1001 00:57:59,640 --> 00:58:02,720 Speaker 2: civic responsibility. I'll give you another example I'm really proud of. 1002 00:58:03,640 --> 00:58:07,920 Speaker 2: We've created something called AI for all. I am concerned, 1003 00:58:07,920 --> 00:58:11,200 Speaker 2: as I think most people are, that AI is coming quickly. 1004 00:58:11,560 --> 00:58:14,400 Speaker 2: It's very powerful. It could do a lot of good. 1005 00:58:14,440 --> 00:58:17,720 Speaker 2: It could also do a lot of harm. We worked with, 1006 00:58:17,840 --> 00:58:22,080 Speaker 2: reached out to and convinced three of the leading AI companies, Google, 1007 00:58:22,200 --> 00:58:25,880 Speaker 2: Open Ai, and Anthropic to actually partner with our library 1008 00:58:25,920 --> 00:58:30,480 Speaker 2: system to make their tools freely accessible along with tutorials, 1009 00:58:30,840 --> 00:58:34,240 Speaker 2: in person trainings, and really try to open up this 1010 00:58:34,360 --> 00:58:37,560 Speaker 2: technology and make it accessible for all of our residents. 1011 00:58:37,560 --> 00:58:39,720 Speaker 2: We have seven hundred thousand people in San Jose with 1012 00:58:39,760 --> 00:58:42,480 Speaker 2: a library card. City of a million people, seventy percent 1013 00:58:42,520 --> 00:58:45,240 Speaker 2: of a library card. We want everybody in our city, 1014 00:58:45,280 --> 00:58:47,680 Speaker 2: and ultimately everybody in the world needs to have access 1015 00:58:47,680 --> 00:58:50,320 Speaker 2: to these tools and the training and tech that they 1016 00:58:50,360 --> 00:58:53,520 Speaker 2: need to be able to participate and share in this 1017 00:58:53,600 --> 00:58:56,800 Speaker 2: new emerging economy. If we don't get ahead of this, 1018 00:58:57,520 --> 00:59:00,640 Speaker 2: there's real risk of harming you, harming people. 1019 00:59:00,840 --> 00:59:03,560 Speaker 1: To me, there's two challenges with AI. There's accessibility, you 1020 00:59:03,600 --> 00:59:07,680 Speaker 1: just outline that one. But there's also guardrails, and the 1021 00:59:07,720 --> 00:59:11,160 Speaker 1: industry doesn't want any you know, maybe anthropic is more 1022 00:59:11,200 --> 00:59:14,280 Speaker 1: open to guardrails and open AI, but ultimately, you know, 1023 00:59:14,760 --> 00:59:18,360 Speaker 1: other than regulatory capture, I'm the political senate here. You 1024 00:59:18,360 --> 00:59:20,400 Speaker 1: don't have to concur with that. I'm the Senate. I 1025 00:59:20,480 --> 00:59:23,920 Speaker 1: will say it. You know, I think ultimately, usually in 1026 00:59:23,960 --> 00:59:26,280 Speaker 1: one of these instances, there's somebody that is willing to 1027 00:59:26,320 --> 00:59:28,680 Speaker 1: be pro regulation as long as they get to do 1028 00:59:28,760 --> 00:59:31,040 Speaker 1: it on their terms, right, you know, and becomes a 1029 00:59:31,080 --> 00:59:33,560 Speaker 1: bit of industry capture. So let me ask you this, 1030 00:59:33,680 --> 00:59:36,960 Speaker 1: what should Because the state of California here, you guys, 1031 00:59:37,000 --> 00:59:43,960 Speaker 1: decide on some guardrails, it's going it potentially becomes the standard. 1032 00:59:44,560 --> 00:59:48,320 Speaker 1: It potentially can have that kind of impact, Right, California 1033 00:59:48,360 --> 00:59:51,320 Speaker 1: has that kind of ability that it can have outsized 1034 00:59:51,360 --> 00:59:54,000 Speaker 1: impact on you know, we're seeing it now. New York 1035 00:59:54,000 --> 00:59:56,560 Speaker 1: passed a law about surveillance pricing that you've got to 1036 00:59:56,640 --> 00:59:59,600 Speaker 1: let people know about surveillance pricing. So because New York 1037 00:59:59,600 --> 01:00:03,960 Speaker 1: has that law, you see companies even if they're sending 1038 01:00:04,000 --> 01:00:06,919 Speaker 1: an offer to Oklahoma, they know it might be seen 1039 01:00:06,920 --> 01:00:08,480 Speaker 1: in New York, so they have to abide by the law. 1040 01:00:08,560 --> 01:00:11,640 Speaker 1: So the point being is certain states can have outsized 1041 01:00:11,680 --> 01:00:14,920 Speaker 1: influence when it comes to guardrails. What are the guardrails 1042 01:00:14,920 --> 01:00:18,200 Speaker 1: that you'd like to see state government? If you're governor, 1043 01:00:18,880 --> 01:00:21,320 Speaker 1: what would you be proposing for the AI industry? 1044 01:00:22,800 --> 01:00:25,320 Speaker 2: Yeah, I think it's a really important question, and I 1045 01:00:25,760 --> 01:00:27,960 Speaker 2: have the benefit of being the only candidate in this 1046 01:00:28,080 --> 01:00:31,360 Speaker 2: race that has already had experienced regulating AI. We use 1047 01:00:31,960 --> 01:00:36,000 Speaker 2: technology throughout San Jose. In fact, we've been on the 1048 01:00:36,200 --> 01:00:40,400 Speaker 2: leading edge of deploying AI to improve public services. We 1049 01:00:40,480 --> 01:00:44,640 Speaker 2: created something called the gov AI Coalition that has grown 1050 01:00:44,720 --> 01:00:47,560 Speaker 2: from a handful of cities to over nine hundred public 1051 01:00:47,640 --> 01:00:55,640 Speaker 2: agencies that are convening and setting policy around the responsible 1052 01:00:55,680 --> 01:00:58,000 Speaker 2: and ethical use of AI. So what does that mean 1053 01:00:58,040 --> 01:01:00,800 Speaker 2: in practice when we deploy a new tool like automated 1054 01:01:00,800 --> 01:01:06,200 Speaker 2: license plate readers. We have a responsibility for being totally 1055 01:01:06,200 --> 01:01:11,160 Speaker 2: transparent with the public. What do we collect, where, when, why, 1056 01:01:11,360 --> 01:01:13,520 Speaker 2: how's the data used? Is it shared with anyone? So 1057 01:01:13,520 --> 01:01:16,600 Speaker 2: we publish all that on our website, and we're very restrictive. 1058 01:01:16,880 --> 01:01:21,120 Speaker 2: We don't do facial recognition. That is an explicit regulation 1059 01:01:21,240 --> 01:01:24,920 Speaker 2: and standard. We don't keep the data indefinitely. In fact, 1060 01:01:25,120 --> 01:01:28,080 Speaker 2: with our automated license plate readers, we delete the data 1061 01:01:28,360 --> 01:01:31,600 Speaker 2: after thirty days unless it is still actively needed in 1062 01:01:31,680 --> 01:01:35,840 Speaker 2: a prosecution or investigation and it's it's been kept specifically 1063 01:01:35,880 --> 01:01:39,000 Speaker 2: for that purpose. Otherwise it's deleted because we don't want 1064 01:01:39,040 --> 01:01:41,880 Speaker 2: to build long term profiles on time. 1065 01:01:41,800 --> 01:01:45,280 Speaker 1: That government is. How do you guarantee that the company 1066 01:01:45,280 --> 01:01:49,680 Speaker 1: that you've contracted with to do this isn't Well, we make. 1067 01:01:50,000 --> 01:01:53,920 Speaker 2: We make them sign a contract with us on we 1068 01:01:53,960 --> 01:01:55,800 Speaker 2: do not. So in the case of just the license 1069 01:01:55,800 --> 01:01:58,440 Speaker 2: plate readers, we own that. We make sure we own 1070 01:01:58,480 --> 01:02:00,640 Speaker 2: the data so it can't be shared by the company. 1071 01:02:00,960 --> 01:02:03,680 Speaker 2: They don't control it. We do it in our it's 1072 01:02:03,720 --> 01:02:08,600 Speaker 2: in our server. And so I think the importance of 1073 01:02:08,640 --> 01:02:11,200 Speaker 2: being out in front and testing and using these tools 1074 01:02:11,200 --> 01:02:14,280 Speaker 2: in government is so that we don't get blindsided, so 1075 01:02:14,320 --> 01:02:17,400 Speaker 2: that we learn and are in a position to understand 1076 01:02:17,480 --> 01:02:20,560 Speaker 2: the tools so that we can effectively regulate them. And 1077 01:02:20,600 --> 01:02:22,520 Speaker 2: I think that the state of California over the coming 1078 01:02:22,600 --> 01:02:25,720 Speaker 2: years is going to have to create the regulatory framework 1079 01:02:25,760 --> 01:02:29,840 Speaker 2: around privacy, data security, protecting children all in this new 1080 01:02:29,880 --> 01:02:32,280 Speaker 2: context of AI. And I think the biggest thing is 1081 01:02:32,280 --> 01:02:36,640 Speaker 2: what you referenced in your New York example. Transparency is 1082 01:02:36,680 --> 01:02:40,280 Speaker 2: what I think is the most important starting place. There 1083 01:02:40,280 --> 01:02:42,959 Speaker 2: may be specific things that we need to stay Yes 1084 01:02:43,040 --> 01:02:45,200 Speaker 2: you can do this, and no you can't do that, 1085 01:02:45,600 --> 01:02:48,840 Speaker 2: but you need to know when AI is being used. 1086 01:02:48,840 --> 01:02:51,440 Speaker 2: You want to know if a video is AI generated 1087 01:02:51,560 --> 01:02:54,320 Speaker 2: or not. So I think that sort of transparency and 1088 01:02:54,400 --> 01:02:57,000 Speaker 2: truth in labeling almost if you will to use an 1089 01:02:57,000 --> 01:03:01,520 Speaker 2: analogy from a different, different sector, I think that's really important. 1090 01:03:11,120 --> 01:03:14,720 Speaker 1: Let me ask you this, why do you think a 1091 01:03:14,760 --> 01:03:19,640 Speaker 1: fairly large majority of the country is essentially negative on AI. 1092 01:03:22,200 --> 01:03:25,920 Speaker 2: Well, I think it's the unknown. I think it's it's scary. Two. 1093 01:03:26,120 --> 01:03:28,120 Speaker 2: I think there are a couple of things that. 1094 01:03:28,240 --> 01:03:31,320 Speaker 1: We're an outlier with other Western democracies. By the way, 1095 01:03:31,320 --> 01:03:33,440 Speaker 1: on this, like we're AI is more unpopular in the 1096 01:03:33,560 --> 01:03:37,280 Speaker 1: United States than it is in other in in other 1097 01:03:37,320 --> 01:03:40,280 Speaker 1: places where there's been there's been some public opinion research, 1098 01:03:40,560 --> 01:03:42,760 Speaker 1: So it does seem like we're a little bit more. 1099 01:03:43,400 --> 01:03:45,040 Speaker 2: We're on the forefront of it, so we may just 1100 01:03:45,080 --> 01:03:48,800 Speaker 2: be the leading indicator. Maybe that is other countries. I mean, 1101 01:03:48,800 --> 01:03:52,520 Speaker 2: we have the world's leading AI companies in the US. 1102 01:03:52,600 --> 01:03:54,200 Speaker 1: So we're feeling it first. Yeah. 1103 01:03:54,440 --> 01:03:56,480 Speaker 2: I think we're feeling it first. Yeah. I mean, look, people, 1104 01:03:56,600 --> 01:04:00,600 Speaker 2: people are right to be concerned, and I think you know, 1105 01:04:00,680 --> 01:04:03,440 Speaker 2: one area of concern is privacy, and that's where total 1106 01:04:03,480 --> 01:04:08,880 Speaker 2: transparency around what you collect and how it's used, and 1107 01:04:09,640 --> 01:04:11,200 Speaker 2: whether or not it's stored all of that. 1108 01:04:11,640 --> 01:04:14,280 Speaker 1: Right, you saying the right things, but me, I understand, 1109 01:04:14,280 --> 01:04:16,280 Speaker 1: But let me pauge you. Then let me podge you 1110 01:04:16,280 --> 01:04:20,760 Speaker 1: there in privacy because this has been an issue for 1111 01:04:20,760 --> 01:04:24,320 Speaker 1: twenty years with Silicon Valley and the development of social 1112 01:04:24,360 --> 01:04:29,320 Speaker 1: media platforms. Was we were supposed to have all these concerns, 1113 01:04:28,840 --> 01:04:33,040 Speaker 1: and we'd hear plenty of people talking about these concerns, 1114 01:04:33,640 --> 01:04:37,360 Speaker 1: and then the companies themselves didn't behave And you know, 1115 01:04:37,560 --> 01:04:40,120 Speaker 1: I personally, I think the reason why there's no trust 1116 01:04:40,160 --> 01:04:43,160 Speaker 1: with AI and some is because the same people that 1117 01:04:43,200 --> 01:04:46,360 Speaker 1: brought you social media which has been an utter disaster 1118 01:04:46,480 --> 01:04:50,040 Speaker 1: for our information ecosystem. Are the ones bringing you AI, 1119 01:04:50,080 --> 01:04:52,440 Speaker 1: and we're supposed to feel good about this, Like I 1120 01:04:52,600 --> 01:04:58,840 Speaker 1: just that's what frustrates me is the we're going through 1121 01:04:58,880 --> 01:05:01,840 Speaker 1: the same conversationtions we had at the at the advent 1122 01:05:01,840 --> 01:05:04,280 Speaker 1: of social media and and you know, because at first 1123 01:05:04,320 --> 01:05:06,040 Speaker 1: it was awesome, and then of course after they are 1124 01:05:06,280 --> 01:05:09,800 Speaker 1: we really, oh, whoa, this this could be weaponized and manipulated. 1125 01:05:09,840 --> 01:05:12,640 Speaker 1: Now we're and now we're now it's already toothpaste out 1126 01:05:12,680 --> 01:05:14,400 Speaker 1: of the tube. It's nothing we can do about it. 1127 01:05:14,520 --> 01:05:17,919 Speaker 1: And how do we ensure this doesn't happen with AI? 1128 01:05:20,080 --> 01:05:22,040 Speaker 2: Well, Chuck, I mean, look, I'm not I'm not here 1129 01:05:22,080 --> 01:05:24,720 Speaker 2: to defend social media and when they're I'm. 1130 01:05:24,640 --> 01:05:26,520 Speaker 1: Much trying to make you But I do want I 1131 01:05:26,560 --> 01:05:29,400 Speaker 1: do want government to be more skeptical and put these 1132 01:05:29,440 --> 01:05:31,680 Speaker 1: guys a bit through a little bit more of the ringer, 1133 01:05:31,720 --> 01:05:32,200 Speaker 1: if you will. 1134 01:05:32,760 --> 01:05:35,200 Speaker 2: Yeah, well, and I think there's okay. So there's there's 1135 01:05:35,320 --> 01:05:37,360 Speaker 2: a couple of different things. So when there's an actual 1136 01:05:37,680 --> 01:05:41,560 Speaker 2: violation of people's privacy, collecting their data, using it in 1137 01:05:41,680 --> 01:05:44,800 Speaker 2: ways that they have not authorized, there needs to be 1138 01:05:45,040 --> 01:05:48,560 Speaker 2: strict accountability Cambridge Analytica being an example of a firm 1139 01:05:48,840 --> 01:05:50,840 Speaker 2: that scraped a bunch of data used it a ways 1140 01:05:50,840 --> 01:05:53,200 Speaker 2: people weren't aware of, and I believe they were fined 1141 01:05:53,240 --> 01:05:56,040 Speaker 2: five billion dollars and that's appropriate. There ought to be 1142 01:05:56,520 --> 01:06:01,400 Speaker 2: serious law enforcement around the regulations we've put in place 1143 01:06:01,480 --> 01:06:05,320 Speaker 2: around personally identifying information PII. There's a whole body of 1144 01:06:05,400 --> 01:06:08,560 Speaker 2: law around that that needs to be enforced by regulators, 1145 01:06:08,600 --> 01:06:10,960 Speaker 2: and that has to be done. When it comes to 1146 01:06:11,160 --> 01:06:15,160 Speaker 2: the echo chambers of social media, you start to get 1147 01:06:15,200 --> 01:06:17,920 Speaker 2: into a difficult place. And I think it's important to 1148 01:06:17,960 --> 01:06:20,560 Speaker 2: be skeptical and to think about but you also don't 1149 01:06:20,560 --> 01:06:23,280 Speaker 2: want to impose on people's free speech. One of the 1150 01:06:23,280 --> 01:06:27,560 Speaker 2: things that is interesting is the crowdsourcing of community notes 1151 01:06:27,600 --> 01:06:31,880 Speaker 2: on x where somebody can actually say, well, this is 1152 01:06:31,920 --> 01:06:34,520 Speaker 2: not the whole story. Click here to learn more. And 1153 01:06:34,560 --> 01:06:36,880 Speaker 2: so I think there's kind of this evolving space of 1154 01:06:37,320 --> 01:06:40,120 Speaker 2: how do we actually deal with misinformation? And that's a 1155 01:06:40,120 --> 01:06:45,640 Speaker 2: harder one because what you call misinformation maybe somebody else 1156 01:06:45,640 --> 01:06:47,840 Speaker 2: saying well, that's my opinion, and so it becomes hard 1157 01:06:47,880 --> 01:06:51,000 Speaker 2: to police the truth. And I think there are limits 1158 01:06:51,040 --> 01:06:55,160 Speaker 2: there to what government or technology can do in ensuring 1159 01:06:55,200 --> 01:06:58,160 Speaker 2: that what people are saying is truthful and accurate. At 1160 01:06:58,200 --> 01:07:01,280 Speaker 2: some point here you said regotron environment that needs to 1161 01:07:01,280 --> 01:07:03,520 Speaker 2: be enforced. The Cambridge analyticals of the world need to 1162 01:07:03,520 --> 01:07:07,680 Speaker 2: be sued and held accountable, maybe criminally liable, But at 1163 01:07:07,680 --> 01:07:09,680 Speaker 2: some point it's also up to us to think through 1164 01:07:09,680 --> 01:07:15,480 Speaker 2: our public education system about media literacy, critical thinking, you know, 1165 01:07:15,680 --> 01:07:18,520 Speaker 2: training and teaching people so that they don't just passively 1166 01:07:18,520 --> 01:07:21,320 Speaker 2: hear something and think, oh, that must be that must 1167 01:07:21,320 --> 01:07:24,440 Speaker 2: be true. It is, it's on steroids. I'll grant you this, 1168 01:07:24,560 --> 01:07:26,800 Speaker 2: but keep in mind when the country was found and 1169 01:07:26,840 --> 01:07:30,000 Speaker 2: everybody was running off pamphlets in the basement, say whatever 1170 01:07:30,040 --> 01:07:33,320 Speaker 2: the heck you wanted, and we always we've always dealt 1171 01:07:33,360 --> 01:07:34,960 Speaker 2: with this issue of misinformation. 1172 01:07:35,080 --> 01:07:39,040 Speaker 1: This is I and I and I. It makes me 1173 01:07:39,080 --> 01:07:41,080 Speaker 1: happy to hear you put it in those terms, because 1174 01:07:41,080 --> 01:07:43,640 Speaker 1: that is something I'd like to frequently remind people. In fact, 1175 01:07:44,080 --> 01:07:46,919 Speaker 1: you know, people say our media is polarized. Our media 1176 01:07:46,920 --> 01:07:50,480 Speaker 1: has been polarized for a majority of our cunture's history. 1177 01:07:50,720 --> 01:07:52,840 Speaker 1: We just had a brief period called the Cold War 1178 01:07:52,880 --> 01:07:56,320 Speaker 1: where we weren't it. We can we can have an 1179 01:07:56,480 --> 01:07:59,320 Speaker 1: entire debate about why that was for an outlaw period 1180 01:07:59,320 --> 01:08:02,560 Speaker 1: of six years. We had a we were you know, 1181 01:08:02,600 --> 01:08:06,280 Speaker 1: we kept our fringes at the side. All right, I'm 1182 01:08:06,280 --> 01:08:09,680 Speaker 1: going to get off social media, the Silicon Valley issues 1183 01:08:10,320 --> 01:08:13,120 Speaker 1: and get to something that is you're doing in San Jose. 1184 01:08:14,560 --> 01:08:16,760 Speaker 1: Two issues that you're tackling in San Jose that are 1185 01:08:16,800 --> 01:08:20,640 Speaker 1: also issues that this to deal with homelessness and affordable 1186 01:08:20,640 --> 01:08:26,200 Speaker 1: housing and the things you're trying to do. Some people 1187 01:08:26,240 --> 01:08:29,080 Speaker 1: love them, and you're some people are pushing back at you. 1188 01:08:29,160 --> 01:08:31,360 Speaker 1: I mean, you know, there's you get You know in 1189 01:08:31,400 --> 01:08:34,160 Speaker 1: some ways that that means you're trying something. If you 1190 01:08:34,200 --> 01:08:36,680 Speaker 1: don't have people on both sides of stuff, that it 1191 01:08:36,720 --> 01:08:40,000 Speaker 1: meants you're not means it means you're not trying hard enough. 1192 01:08:40,000 --> 01:08:42,519 Speaker 1: In my opinion. So you're trying something, Tell me about it, 1193 01:08:42,520 --> 01:08:44,519 Speaker 1: Tell me about homelessness. What do you think you're getting 1194 01:08:44,600 --> 01:08:46,480 Speaker 1: right in San Jose that you can take statewide? 1195 01:08:47,720 --> 01:08:49,640 Speaker 2: Yeah? Well, first of all, the starting point on this 1196 01:08:49,680 --> 01:08:52,400 Speaker 2: as I came into office was things just kept getting 1197 01:08:52,400 --> 01:08:54,320 Speaker 2: worse year after year, even though we were spending more 1198 01:08:54,320 --> 01:08:57,000 Speaker 2: and more. The state had spent over thirty billion dollars. 1199 01:08:57,040 --> 01:08:59,000 Speaker 2: Even just in a city like San Jose. We were 1200 01:08:59,000 --> 01:09:01,679 Speaker 2: spending one hundred million dollar dollars a year. Our county 1201 01:09:01,680 --> 01:09:05,000 Speaker 2: had passed a billion dollar bond, and I'm I try 1202 01:09:05,000 --> 01:09:07,280 Speaker 2: to be a data driven guy. It's important to have 1203 01:09:07,600 --> 01:09:10,439 Speaker 2: a governing philosophy and some court and core values, but 1204 01:09:10,479 --> 01:09:12,760 Speaker 2: then on top of that, you've got to actually look 1205 01:09:12,760 --> 01:09:15,560 Speaker 2: at data on what works in practice. And everything was 1206 01:09:15,600 --> 01:09:18,519 Speaker 2: going in the wrong direction. We had this community plan 1207 01:09:18,640 --> 01:09:21,479 Speaker 2: to end homelessness in San Jose that didn't have any 1208 01:09:21,560 --> 01:09:23,680 Speaker 2: math behind it, and as I did the back of 1209 01:09:23,720 --> 01:09:27,320 Speaker 2: the envelope math, what I found was what we were 1210 01:09:27,320 --> 01:09:29,920 Speaker 2: doing was never going to solve the problem. We would 1211 01:09:29,920 --> 01:09:33,879 Speaker 2: have needed six billion dollars in twenty years just to 1212 01:09:33,920 --> 01:09:37,400 Speaker 2: address the people on our streets at that moment. And 1213 01:09:37,479 --> 01:09:41,120 Speaker 2: so we moved away from the slowest, most expensive solution, 1214 01:09:41,280 --> 01:09:44,840 Speaker 2: which was using public dollars to build brand new apartments 1215 01:09:44,920 --> 01:09:47,479 Speaker 2: for folks at a million dollars a door, which is 1216 01:09:47,520 --> 01:09:50,320 Speaker 2: thirty percent higher than it costs the private marketplace to 1217 01:09:50,320 --> 01:09:53,640 Speaker 2: build new housing and over six years to build, and 1218 01:09:53,720 --> 01:09:57,920 Speaker 2: we pivoted to building basic, dignified shelter. We converted old motels, 1219 01:09:58,000 --> 01:10:01,360 Speaker 2: bought prefabricated modular units. What they all have in common 1220 01:10:01,920 --> 01:10:05,280 Speaker 2: is we're giving people a safe, dignified place, a room 1221 01:10:05,280 --> 01:10:08,840 Speaker 2: with a door that locks access to services, case management, 1222 01:10:08,920 --> 01:10:12,720 Speaker 2: on site security, meals the basic things people need to 1223 01:10:13,640 --> 01:10:16,360 Speaker 2: be stabilized and start to turn their lives around. And 1224 01:10:16,439 --> 01:10:18,720 Speaker 2: what we have found in the last few years of 1225 01:10:18,760 --> 01:10:22,600 Speaker 2: scaling up safe and dignified shelter with services is that 1226 01:10:22,640 --> 01:10:24,760 Speaker 2: we've been able to move thousands of people in from 1227 01:10:24,800 --> 01:10:29,120 Speaker 2: these unmanaged tent encampments that have been just there where 1228 01:10:29,160 --> 01:10:32,320 Speaker 2: people are just living in human misery and dying at 1229 01:10:32,439 --> 01:10:35,280 Speaker 2: very high rates. We've reduced the number of people who 1230 01:10:35,280 --> 01:10:39,479 Speaker 2: are dying, we've reduced the amount of health issues, and 1231 01:10:39,520 --> 01:10:42,320 Speaker 2: we've given people a real shot. In fact, twenty eight 1232 01:10:42,320 --> 01:10:44,519 Speaker 2: percent of the people we brought indoors over the last 1233 01:10:44,520 --> 01:10:47,519 Speaker 2: few years have already graduated to permanent housing because they 1234 01:10:47,520 --> 01:10:50,320 Speaker 2: were able to take advantage of the services we were offering. 1235 01:10:50,600 --> 01:10:54,519 Speaker 2: So San Jose, by pivoting and looking at the data 1236 01:10:54,880 --> 01:10:58,120 Speaker 2: and thinking differently, has led the state of California and 1237 01:10:58,200 --> 01:11:01,240 Speaker 2: reducing the number of people living outside in tent encampments 1238 01:11:01,400 --> 01:11:03,640 Speaker 2: by about one third, and for the first time in 1239 01:11:03,640 --> 01:11:06,760 Speaker 2: our history, a majority of people who are homeless in 1240 01:11:06,800 --> 01:11:11,000 Speaker 2: San Jose will be living indoors, not outdoors. And you know, 1241 01:11:11,360 --> 01:11:14,400 Speaker 2: it's very rich for folks to criticize this, but they're 1242 01:11:14,400 --> 01:11:16,479 Speaker 2: not the ones living and dying in misery and a 1243 01:11:16,600 --> 01:11:19,360 Speaker 2: tent encampment without even access to a bathroom. And the 1244 01:11:19,400 --> 01:11:22,760 Speaker 2: truth is, cities like New York and Boston and Chicago 1245 01:11:23,320 --> 01:11:27,120 Speaker 2: have similar rates of homelessness, but the differences they build 1246 01:11:27,160 --> 01:11:30,599 Speaker 2: shelter capacity. They don't leave people to die on the streets, 1247 01:11:30,680 --> 01:11:32,519 Speaker 2: because you can't do that in a place with the 1248 01:11:32,560 --> 01:11:35,719 Speaker 2: cold winter. But in California we've been complacent. We never 1249 01:11:35,760 --> 01:11:38,240 Speaker 2: built the shelter capacity to bring people indoors. 1250 01:11:38,760 --> 01:11:41,080 Speaker 1: So we think this is an issue in San Francisco, 1251 01:11:41,240 --> 01:11:43,680 Speaker 1: La San Diego that they need more shelter capacity. 1252 01:11:43,720 --> 01:11:46,880 Speaker 2: Well, look, yeah, I mean the data is so clearuck. 1253 01:11:47,000 --> 01:11:50,480 Speaker 2: I mean, we are twelve percent of the nation's population. 1254 01:11:51,080 --> 01:11:53,720 Speaker 2: We have over forty percent of the people who live 1255 01:11:53,800 --> 01:11:57,519 Speaker 2: outside in the country on our streets. We haven't built 1256 01:11:57,560 --> 01:12:01,360 Speaker 2: enough shelter, we haven't built enough treatment capacity, and even 1257 01:12:01,400 --> 01:12:04,200 Speaker 2: when we have those beds, we have been reticent to 1258 01:12:04,280 --> 01:12:07,160 Speaker 2: hold people accountable for coming indoors. Now, I do want 1259 01:12:07,200 --> 01:12:09,360 Speaker 2: to note something else here. We can get into all 1260 01:12:09,360 --> 01:12:14,040 Speaker 2: the addiction and mental illness points, but a place where 1261 01:12:14,080 --> 01:12:18,040 Speaker 2: I agree wholeheartedly with the advocates in this in this 1262 01:12:18,120 --> 01:12:22,800 Speaker 2: case is that we have broken the housing market in 1263 01:12:22,840 --> 01:12:27,040 Speaker 2: California and the rent is too damn expensive. So we 1264 01:12:27,280 --> 01:12:27,800 Speaker 2: actually agree. 1265 01:12:27,920 --> 01:12:29,559 Speaker 1: You're supposed to say the rant is too damn high. 1266 01:12:29,560 --> 01:12:31,160 Speaker 1: Remember there was that political party. 1267 01:12:30,880 --> 01:12:32,360 Speaker 2: That got that's what it is. 1268 01:12:33,680 --> 01:12:35,360 Speaker 1: I missed that guy. I don't remember, but he was 1269 01:12:35,400 --> 01:12:37,560 Speaker 1: the rent is too damn high guy. I think he 1270 01:12:37,640 --> 01:12:39,760 Speaker 1: ran for mayor of New York City about ten years ago. 1271 01:12:39,840 --> 01:12:42,479 Speaker 1: But that's I think people feel that way in a 1272 01:12:42,520 --> 01:12:43,280 Speaker 1: lot of places. 1273 01:12:44,760 --> 01:12:47,400 Speaker 2: Yeah, so, I mean, look, that's part of the overarching 1274 01:12:47,520 --> 01:12:49,800 Speaker 2: problem here is that we don't have enough housing that 1275 01:12:49,960 --> 01:12:53,080 Speaker 2: is affordable. But I would also say that's largely a 1276 01:12:53,120 --> 01:12:56,720 Speaker 2: public policy failure. We have the slowest permitting times, the 1277 01:12:56,720 --> 01:13:00,720 Speaker 2: most aggressive environmental laws, the highest impact ease. I mean, 1278 01:13:00,760 --> 01:13:04,519 Speaker 2: we just we've made it so slow and expensive to 1279 01:13:04,640 --> 01:13:07,759 Speaker 2: build that the housing market isn't keeping up with demand 1280 01:13:07,800 --> 01:13:10,280 Speaker 2: and actually building housing affordably for people. 1281 01:13:10,920 --> 01:13:14,559 Speaker 1: Let me ask this, because you know, I can we 1282 01:13:14,720 --> 01:13:19,160 Speaker 1: have environmental regulation that's just faster, Like you know, I 1283 01:13:19,439 --> 01:13:23,559 Speaker 1: hate that the choice becomes well, we just won't do 1284 01:13:23,680 --> 01:13:26,880 Speaker 1: this environmental impact statement because it slows things down. Well, 1285 01:13:26,880 --> 01:13:29,240 Speaker 1: why does it have to slow things down? Why can't 1286 01:13:29,720 --> 01:13:33,559 Speaker 1: we Why can't you both have those things but in 1287 01:13:33,600 --> 01:13:37,240 Speaker 1: a timely capacity? What is the And maybe you don't 1288 01:13:37,280 --> 01:13:39,160 Speaker 1: know the answer to this, and I would understand if 1289 01:13:39,200 --> 01:13:41,040 Speaker 1: you didn't, But that's always been one of my head 1290 01:13:41,080 --> 01:13:44,000 Speaker 1: you know, it's always presented as a choice. Well, either 1291 01:13:44,040 --> 01:13:47,160 Speaker 1: you can have an environmental impact, you know that, or 1292 01:13:47,200 --> 01:13:49,559 Speaker 1: that slows things down. No, well, why does it have 1293 01:13:49,600 --> 01:13:51,080 Speaker 1: to Why does it slow things down? 1294 01:13:51,960 --> 01:13:53,920 Speaker 2: Yeah, no, I agree with you. I don't think it 1295 01:13:53,920 --> 01:13:55,840 Speaker 2: needs to be either or at all. Now, I do 1296 01:13:55,880 --> 01:14:00,679 Speaker 2: think there's a big difference between wanting to build out 1297 01:14:00,720 --> 01:14:05,280 Speaker 2: in greenfield open space outside of a growth boundary. If 1298 01:14:05,320 --> 01:14:07,439 Speaker 2: you want to build out in the valleys in the 1299 01:14:07,520 --> 01:14:11,599 Speaker 2: hills of California, that probably should take an environmental review 1300 01:14:11,640 --> 01:14:14,960 Speaker 2: process that is quite a bit more robust and takes 1301 01:14:15,000 --> 01:14:17,839 Speaker 2: more time than if you want to do infill development. 1302 01:14:17,920 --> 01:14:21,519 Speaker 2: My big complaint has been even in our urbanized areas, 1303 01:14:22,040 --> 01:14:25,400 Speaker 2: where we have roads and sewers and we're talking about 1304 01:14:25,400 --> 01:14:28,439 Speaker 2: building on a surface parking lot or a place that 1305 01:14:28,520 --> 01:14:32,439 Speaker 2: is adjacent to a bunch of urbanized development, we will 1306 01:14:32,479 --> 01:14:35,240 Speaker 2: still take, at least up until very recently, on almost 1307 01:14:35,320 --> 01:14:38,639 Speaker 2: all projects have taken over a year to go through 1308 01:14:38,720 --> 01:14:41,559 Speaker 2: environmental and our definition of environmental, just to be clear, 1309 01:14:41,680 --> 01:14:46,360 Speaker 2: with California's Environmental Quality Act SEQUA, is so much broader 1310 01:14:46,400 --> 01:14:50,280 Speaker 2: than what you might imagine is the environment. It's not 1311 01:14:51,280 --> 01:14:55,559 Speaker 2: clean air, clean water, it goes far beyond that. It 1312 01:14:55,680 --> 01:15:03,240 Speaker 2: is noise impacts, traffic impacts, shadow historic registries, Native American 1313 01:15:03,320 --> 01:15:06,679 Speaker 2: remains in the ground. I mean, just an endless list 1314 01:15:07,280 --> 01:15:11,479 Speaker 2: of potential impacts with a lot of discretion or debate 1315 01:15:11,560 --> 01:15:15,120 Speaker 2: over what are the right mitigations. And I think we've 1316 01:15:15,120 --> 01:15:17,320 Speaker 2: got to simplify that now. It's not to say we shouldn't, 1317 01:15:18,240 --> 01:15:20,800 Speaker 2: you know, check if you're destroying a historic building, and 1318 01:15:21,080 --> 01:15:24,360 Speaker 2: sure that's valid, but it can't take as long as 1319 01:15:24,400 --> 01:15:27,000 Speaker 2: it does. And this is where I actually think technology 1320 01:15:27,000 --> 01:15:29,680 Speaker 2: can be really helpful. It ought to be that we 1321 01:15:29,760 --> 01:15:33,040 Speaker 2: have inventory things in advance, and it doesn't take a 1322 01:15:33,160 --> 01:15:35,760 Speaker 2: year to do a one off bespoke study. Where we 1323 01:15:35,840 --> 01:15:39,360 Speaker 2: have this cottage industry of consultants who make millions of 1324 01:15:39,400 --> 01:15:42,519 Speaker 2: dollars taking a year or more to study everything. We 1325 01:15:42,560 --> 01:15:44,760 Speaker 2: ought to be able to run it against a database 1326 01:15:44,840 --> 01:15:48,360 Speaker 2: and say, okay, here's how many people are living here? 1327 01:15:48,560 --> 01:15:52,559 Speaker 2: Here's the decibel level. You can't hit memory and nail after, 1328 01:15:52,720 --> 01:15:54,360 Speaker 2: you know, nine to eight pm or whatever. 1329 01:15:54,840 --> 01:15:57,360 Speaker 1: I'm going to make a really awkward comparison here, and 1330 01:15:57,400 --> 01:15:59,760 Speaker 1: you could say I'm crazy, and I hope it doesn't 1331 01:15:59,760 --> 01:16:01,599 Speaker 1: get you in trouble, but it's I sort of feel 1332 01:16:01,640 --> 01:16:04,000 Speaker 1: about it the way I feel about there should be 1333 01:16:04,040 --> 01:16:07,240 Speaker 1: a time, because you're right, this stuff can be endless 1334 01:16:07,280 --> 01:16:09,240 Speaker 1: when it comes to like waiting for a permit to 1335 01:16:09,280 --> 01:16:11,800 Speaker 1: be approved and all this stuff. It's like, frankly, when 1336 01:16:11,800 --> 01:16:14,680 Speaker 1: I'm watching a sporting event and there's instant replay. If 1337 01:16:14,680 --> 01:16:18,120 Speaker 1: it's taking you so long to decide whether something is 1338 01:16:18,400 --> 01:16:21,280 Speaker 1: in or out, then whatever the call was is the call, 1339 01:16:21,720 --> 01:16:24,360 Speaker 1: and it's like you just time is up, you know there. 1340 01:16:24,880 --> 01:16:26,800 Speaker 1: It's it's like I almost feel that way about like 1341 01:16:27,360 --> 01:16:29,759 Speaker 1: instead of an endless it being, it's almost like people 1342 01:16:29,840 --> 01:16:32,000 Speaker 1: want to have more time so they can find something 1343 01:16:32,560 --> 01:16:36,599 Speaker 1: that's wrong, versus, look, you've got a finite amount of time. 1344 01:16:36,640 --> 01:16:38,400 Speaker 1: This is a reasonable amount of time, and if it 1345 01:16:38,439 --> 01:16:41,080 Speaker 1: doesn't you don't discover it within this amount of time, 1346 01:16:41,400 --> 01:16:43,640 Speaker 1: then it's and it's probably not there and if you 1347 01:16:43,680 --> 01:16:46,400 Speaker 1: miss it, that's on you. And eventually you're going to 1348 01:16:46,439 --> 01:16:47,720 Speaker 1: be held accountable for missing it. 1349 01:16:48,400 --> 01:16:51,599 Speaker 2: Yeah, and that exactly, And actually that's part of my plan. 1350 01:16:51,640 --> 01:16:54,080 Speaker 2: I put up my my big housing plan on mayn 1351 01:16:54,120 --> 01:16:56,879 Speaker 2: from California dot com and it's my you know, fifteen 1352 01:16:56,920 --> 01:16:59,960 Speaker 2: point plan for how we unbreak the housing market in California. 1353 01:17:00,160 --> 01:17:05,320 Speaker 2: One of the fifteen points is to require that conforming 1354 01:17:05,520 --> 01:17:10,400 Speaker 2: projects for infill get that permit within the building permit 1355 01:17:10,439 --> 01:17:11,320 Speaker 2: within thirty days. 1356 01:17:11,400 --> 01:17:12,960 Speaker 1: And it just they're just going to get it. You 1357 01:17:13,000 --> 01:17:15,519 Speaker 1: find out within thirty days, like you know, whatever it is, 1358 01:17:15,560 --> 01:17:17,200 Speaker 1: so that you can move on, you know. 1359 01:17:18,000 --> 01:17:21,040 Speaker 2: Yeah, totally. I also think we're so risk averse and 1360 01:17:21,080 --> 01:17:24,719 Speaker 2: worried about litigation. California is probably the most litigious place 1361 01:17:24,840 --> 01:17:28,479 Speaker 2: on earth that we were scared of ever making a mistake. 1362 01:17:28,600 --> 01:17:31,840 Speaker 2: I mean, I would rather that we bias toward action 1363 01:17:32,000 --> 01:17:34,799 Speaker 2: when we have a crisis like our shortage of housing 1364 01:17:34,880 --> 01:17:38,439 Speaker 2: and our affordability crisis that's pushing working families to the brank, 1365 01:17:38,560 --> 01:17:41,400 Speaker 2: causing people to leave our state, creating so much stress 1366 01:17:41,760 --> 01:17:45,080 Speaker 2: and heartache for folks. Let's bias toward action, particularly when 1367 01:17:45,120 --> 01:17:48,000 Speaker 2: you're in an urban area, Let's build where. 1368 01:17:47,840 --> 01:17:49,840 Speaker 1: Are you and look, one of the first places that 1369 01:17:49,920 --> 01:17:54,439 Speaker 1: I learned about eighty us. Okay, these is San Jose. 1370 01:17:54,640 --> 01:17:56,559 Speaker 1: I feel, I guess you guys were on the cutting 1371 01:17:56,640 --> 01:18:02,840 Speaker 1: edge of this. I'm of mixed minds on this. I 1372 01:18:02,960 --> 01:18:06,080 Speaker 1: just think that that that I can see the I 1373 01:18:06,080 --> 01:18:10,880 Speaker 1: could see the uh, the immediate utility of it and 1374 01:18:11,120 --> 01:18:14,320 Speaker 1: the potential like do we have I think we need 1375 01:18:14,360 --> 01:18:17,160 Speaker 1: to update our landlord laws. We need to update our 1376 01:18:17,400 --> 01:18:20,360 Speaker 1: There's going to be some issues that come into play 1377 01:18:20,520 --> 01:18:23,760 Speaker 1: about Okay, who's got access to a driveway, who's got 1378 01:18:23,800 --> 01:18:27,200 Speaker 1: access to a yard? Right? Do you think we are 1379 01:18:27,320 --> 01:18:29,639 Speaker 1: we have enough up to date laws to protect both 1380 01:18:29,680 --> 01:18:33,519 Speaker 1: tenants and owners here when it comes to these ad us. 1381 01:18:35,360 --> 01:18:38,320 Speaker 2: My senses, in California, we do. I mean I'm always 1382 01:18:38,360 --> 01:18:41,519 Speaker 2: open to learning more and changing my opinion based on 1383 01:18:41,520 --> 01:18:44,360 Speaker 2: on real data. I mean, we have very strong renter 1384 01:18:45,120 --> 01:18:46,400 Speaker 2: or tenant protections. 1385 01:18:47,040 --> 01:18:49,840 Speaker 1: Some might might argue though, that they're so strong that 1386 01:18:49,880 --> 01:18:53,200 Speaker 1: they're anti owners, and yeah, that you got to have 1387 01:18:53,240 --> 01:18:55,919 Speaker 1: a balance here that that if you have a problem 1388 01:18:56,000 --> 01:18:57,880 Speaker 1: tenant and you know it's going to take you three 1389 01:18:57,920 --> 01:19:01,120 Speaker 1: years to deal with it, that's a big So then 1390 01:19:01,120 --> 01:19:01,720 Speaker 1: that's too much. 1391 01:19:01,800 --> 01:19:04,240 Speaker 2: Yeah, And I think particularly so if it's a unit 1392 01:19:04,280 --> 01:19:06,120 Speaker 2: in your backyard. Now, a lot of people who are 1393 01:19:06,120 --> 01:19:08,880 Speaker 2: building eighty use or building them for family members. But 1394 01:19:09,760 --> 01:19:11,559 Speaker 2: I mean, I hear you. I do think, you know, 1395 01:19:11,760 --> 01:19:13,880 Speaker 2: just common sense wise, we can go look at the 1396 01:19:13,960 --> 01:19:16,880 Speaker 2: law and the process and try to get better data 1397 01:19:16,920 --> 01:19:20,880 Speaker 2: on this. But if you've built an accessory, dwelling unit 1398 01:19:20,920 --> 01:19:24,800 Speaker 2: and an in law unit in your backyard and somebody's 1399 01:19:25,360 --> 01:19:27,679 Speaker 2: not paying the rent or there being a bad actor, 1400 01:19:27,880 --> 01:19:30,280 Speaker 2: and this is you know, your yard, your home, your 1401 01:19:30,320 --> 01:19:34,520 Speaker 2: primary residence, I do think you need the ability to 1402 01:19:34,560 --> 01:19:37,360 Speaker 2: tell the person that they that they've got to vacate 1403 01:19:37,400 --> 01:19:39,559 Speaker 2: to promise that being said, you need some kind of 1404 01:19:39,560 --> 01:19:41,760 Speaker 2: greatest period for the person bill to pack up and go. So, 1405 01:19:42,000 --> 01:19:44,800 Speaker 2: you know, striking that balance again kind of what the 1406 01:19:44,880 --> 01:19:47,640 Speaker 2: job of policymakers is. I will tell you though, in 1407 01:19:47,720 --> 01:19:52,280 Speaker 2: a city like San Jose that is relatively suburban and sprawling, 1408 01:19:52,360 --> 01:19:55,479 Speaker 2: you've said, you've been here, it's it's you know, a 1409 01:19:55,520 --> 01:19:59,160 Speaker 2: lot of single family home neighborhoods eighty years are quite popular. 1410 01:19:59,200 --> 01:20:02,719 Speaker 2: In fact, twenty noticed a lot of mom Yeah, twenty 1411 01:20:02,760 --> 01:20:04,880 Speaker 2: two percent of the new housing built in San Jose 1412 01:20:05,040 --> 01:20:08,760 Speaker 2: every year are is a to us and they give 1413 01:20:08,800 --> 01:20:14,760 Speaker 2: people flexibility they can have a family member. You have 1414 01:20:14,840 --> 01:20:18,040 Speaker 2: your grandparent or your child returning from college who needs 1415 01:20:18,080 --> 01:20:19,840 Speaker 2: to save up in order to be able to break 1416 01:20:19,880 --> 01:20:23,200 Speaker 2: into the housing market. They can create income for folks. 1417 01:20:23,240 --> 01:20:25,760 Speaker 2: So that flexibility has been really valuable to a lot 1418 01:20:25,760 --> 01:20:27,320 Speaker 2: of families that I think we should encourage it. 1419 01:20:27,720 --> 01:20:31,360 Speaker 1: All right, let's talk about affordability. And I'm gonna ask 1420 01:20:31,520 --> 01:20:34,400 Speaker 1: probably a question that you may think is a gotcha, 1421 01:20:34,400 --> 01:20:37,520 Speaker 1: it's not meant to be. Are taxes too high in California? 1422 01:20:38,160 --> 01:20:40,679 Speaker 1: Are there too many taxes or taxes too high? Or 1423 01:20:41,560 --> 01:20:46,280 Speaker 1: is hey, it's California, welcome. You know, it's a privilege 1424 01:20:46,280 --> 01:20:48,040 Speaker 1: to live here, and you know something's cost more. 1425 01:20:50,120 --> 01:20:53,639 Speaker 2: Taxes are really are high. We have the second highest 1426 01:20:53,680 --> 01:20:59,240 Speaker 2: taxes in the country. They are mostly very progressive, which 1427 01:20:59,240 --> 01:21:01,880 Speaker 2: I support. Those who make more, earn more, do better 1428 01:21:01,920 --> 01:21:04,240 Speaker 2: in society should pay more back into the pot to 1429 01:21:04,240 --> 01:21:07,160 Speaker 2: help everybody else. So I don't mind at all. In fact, 1430 01:21:07,320 --> 01:21:08,960 Speaker 2: I very much support the fact that we have one 1431 01:21:08,960 --> 01:21:12,799 Speaker 2: of the most progressive tax structures in the country. In fact, 1432 01:21:13,400 --> 01:21:15,320 Speaker 2: the only I would say about that is is it 1433 01:21:15,360 --> 01:21:17,719 Speaker 2: is a bit of a risk and vulnerability. Forty percent 1434 01:21:17,760 --> 01:21:19,760 Speaker 2: of our in we charge an income tax. It's a 1435 01:21:19,800 --> 01:21:23,240 Speaker 2: major source of revenue for the state. Forty percent of 1436 01:21:23,280 --> 01:21:25,960 Speaker 2: that revenue, sometimes up to fifty percent comes from the 1437 01:21:26,000 --> 01:21:28,360 Speaker 2: top one percent of earners each year. So we are 1438 01:21:28,520 --> 01:21:33,360 Speaker 2: very concentrated and vulnerable to capital flight because it's the 1439 01:21:33,360 --> 01:21:35,800 Speaker 2: top earners who pay most of the revenue. We also 1440 01:21:35,840 --> 01:21:38,360 Speaker 2: have some of the oddly enough, some of the most 1441 01:21:38,400 --> 01:21:41,360 Speaker 2: regressive taxes. And so if anything where I would look 1442 01:21:41,720 --> 01:21:44,599 Speaker 2: to maybe, you know, modify things as something like our 1443 01:21:44,680 --> 01:21:48,240 Speaker 2: gas tax. So wealthier folks are buying evs and are 1444 01:21:48,240 --> 01:21:50,400 Speaker 2: sort of opting out of gas tax by doing that, 1445 01:21:50,439 --> 01:21:52,320 Speaker 2: and that's a good thing. We want EV adoption, we 1446 01:21:52,360 --> 01:21:55,120 Speaker 2: want cleaner air, I'm all for it. But what's happening 1447 01:21:55,160 --> 01:21:58,760 Speaker 2: by default is those who can't forty evs and are 1448 01:21:58,800 --> 01:22:03,240 Speaker 2: still driving gas powered vehicles and driving longer distances, which 1449 01:22:03,320 --> 01:22:06,840 Speaker 2: also happens to correlate with lower income communities like the 1450 01:22:06,840 --> 01:22:09,840 Speaker 2: one I grew up in. Rural communities in particular, are 1451 01:22:09,920 --> 01:22:14,400 Speaker 2: paying the disproportionate share of the nation's highest gas taxes 1452 01:22:14,760 --> 01:22:18,720 Speaker 2: that go to maintaining the roads. So that needs to 1453 01:22:18,760 --> 01:22:21,240 Speaker 2: be right sized. EV owners should be paying their fair 1454 01:22:21,320 --> 01:22:22,759 Speaker 2: share to maintain the roads. 1455 01:22:23,280 --> 01:22:26,760 Speaker 1: What is the what is the calculation now I remember, well, 1456 01:22:26,800 --> 01:22:30,720 Speaker 1: I remember about ten years fifteen years ago now, the 1457 01:22:30,760 --> 01:22:35,320 Speaker 1: state of Oregon piloted a program that would sort of 1458 01:22:35,640 --> 01:22:38,800 Speaker 1: get rid of that move from a gas tax to 1459 01:22:39,000 --> 01:22:42,800 Speaker 1: a user basically road user fee. And the idea was 1460 01:22:42,840 --> 01:22:45,280 Speaker 1: you would get charged per mile that you used. And 1461 01:22:45,360 --> 01:22:48,920 Speaker 1: of course the libertarian crowd went bonkers, Right, what do 1462 01:22:49,000 --> 01:22:51,479 Speaker 1: you mean that's you know, privacy and all this stuff. 1463 01:22:52,240 --> 01:22:57,840 Speaker 1: But I understood that. I understood the the larger idea, Well, 1464 01:22:57,880 --> 01:22:59,880 Speaker 1: we've got to figure out not everybody's going to be 1465 01:23:00,439 --> 01:23:03,840 Speaker 1: buying gas, so how do we How do we do this? 1466 01:23:04,000 --> 01:23:06,880 Speaker 1: And I know, you know some states you get charged 1467 01:23:06,960 --> 01:23:10,320 Speaker 1: an annual fee if you're an electric vehicle. That's this 1468 01:23:10,560 --> 01:23:13,559 Speaker 1: what what should what is your plan to do this? 1469 01:23:13,600 --> 01:23:15,439 Speaker 1: How would you level the playing field here? 1470 01:23:15,600 --> 01:23:18,840 Speaker 2: Yeah, my preference would be just when it comes to 1471 01:23:18,840 --> 01:23:22,080 Speaker 2: the road maintenance revenue, that we that we just do 1472 01:23:22,120 --> 01:23:24,800 Speaker 2: a per vehicle fee, because a mileage tax is also 1473 01:23:24,880 --> 01:23:26,400 Speaker 2: regressive like a gas tax. 1474 01:23:26,640 --> 01:23:29,400 Speaker 1: It really when you're what you just mentioned, when you know, 1475 01:23:29,800 --> 01:23:32,280 Speaker 1: a working class person may have to drive more because 1476 01:23:32,320 --> 01:23:33,719 Speaker 1: they're a side hustle or whatever. 1477 01:23:33,800 --> 01:23:35,559 Speaker 2: Yeah, I had to drive. I had to go about 1478 01:23:35,600 --> 01:23:37,639 Speaker 2: two hours to get to a really good high school 1479 01:23:37,720 --> 01:23:39,760 Speaker 2: from my little town, and my parents drove an hour 1480 01:23:39,760 --> 01:23:41,679 Speaker 2: and a half the other direction to get to their jobs. 1481 01:23:41,720 --> 01:23:43,880 Speaker 2: So I just I think a flat fee. Now we 1482 01:23:43,920 --> 01:23:46,519 Speaker 2: do have a fee. We have a flat fee for evs, 1483 01:23:46,880 --> 01:23:49,559 Speaker 2: but when you look at what's actually paid, it is 1484 01:23:49,600 --> 01:23:52,360 Speaker 2: set way too low. Our EV owners are paying on 1485 01:23:52,400 --> 01:23:55,599 Speaker 2: the order of one hundred dollars a year. Are working 1486 01:23:55,600 --> 01:23:58,720 Speaker 2: class families driving a gas powered vehicle or contributing over 1487 01:23:58,840 --> 01:24:01,760 Speaker 2: three hundred per year to the rest? I would just 1488 01:24:01,760 --> 01:24:04,160 Speaker 2: write size that. But look overall, let me answer your 1489 01:24:04,200 --> 01:24:05,000 Speaker 2: bigger question on. 1490 01:24:04,960 --> 01:24:07,920 Speaker 1: Tax about the tax bill. Yeah, the average California. 1491 01:24:08,200 --> 01:24:12,600 Speaker 2: Is it's high. We've also locked in a lot of 1492 01:24:12,680 --> 01:24:16,600 Speaker 2: expenditures and commitments we have, we have pension liabilities, we 1493 01:24:16,680 --> 01:24:20,280 Speaker 2: have a lot of infrastructure to maintain. My goal right 1494 01:24:20,320 --> 01:24:24,080 Speaker 2: now is and as governor, my goal would not be 1495 01:24:24,200 --> 01:24:27,599 Speaker 2: too would be explicitly not to raise or lower. Maybe 1496 01:24:27,600 --> 01:24:29,200 Speaker 2: we can write size to deal with some of the 1497 01:24:29,360 --> 01:24:32,519 Speaker 2: regressive taxation. My goal is to make sure we spend better. 1498 01:24:32,760 --> 01:24:36,840 Speaker 2: I think we can get twenty thirty percent more impact 1499 01:24:36,880 --> 01:24:40,040 Speaker 2: in terms of outcomes out of the dollars we're spending. 1500 01:24:40,360 --> 01:24:43,960 Speaker 2: And what I worry about in California is a complacency 1501 01:24:44,080 --> 01:24:48,160 Speaker 2: that has set in where Sacramento, our state government is 1502 01:24:48,720 --> 01:24:54,960 Speaker 2: basically captured by highly organized interests. We have single party rule, 1503 01:24:55,080 --> 01:24:59,080 Speaker 2: my party. We have controlled every statewide office for fifteen 1504 01:24:59,160 --> 01:25:03,519 Speaker 2: years now, super majority in the legislature, the governor's office 1505 01:25:03,560 --> 01:25:07,080 Speaker 2: and so forth. And every year revenue is going up 1506 01:25:07,280 --> 01:25:10,920 Speaker 2: far faster than population growth or average income, and we're 1507 01:25:10,960 --> 01:25:13,759 Speaker 2: not getting better outcomes. I mean, we are literally spending 1508 01:25:13,880 --> 01:25:16,720 Speaker 2: seventy five percent more than six years ago, and not 1509 01:25:16,920 --> 01:25:19,760 Speaker 2: one outcome that matters is better. The housing costs are 1510 01:25:19,800 --> 01:25:24,920 Speaker 2: as unaffordable as ever, second hized energy costs, highest unemployment rate, 1511 01:25:25,000 --> 01:25:29,240 Speaker 2: highest poverty rate. So of our public schools are lagging 1512 01:25:29,320 --> 01:25:34,519 Speaker 2: behind Mississippi and Louisiana and educating low income students. So 1513 01:25:34,560 --> 01:25:38,720 Speaker 2: we just we have got to demand better before we 1514 01:25:39,000 --> 01:25:49,400 Speaker 2: even think about asking people to pay more. 1515 01:25:50,920 --> 01:25:53,360 Speaker 1: There's some great pilot projects that they're doing down there. 1516 01:25:53,520 --> 01:25:57,280 Speaker 1: Kim Barksdale, former founder of Netscape, for what it's worth, 1517 01:25:58,080 --> 01:26:01,160 Speaker 1: has done some innovative work down there with with phonics, 1518 01:26:01,200 --> 01:26:05,759 Speaker 1: with teacher training. It is the young early reader stuff 1519 01:26:06,040 --> 01:26:10,120 Speaker 1: has been terrific in Mississippi, Louisiana, Alabama. So definitely take 1520 01:26:10,120 --> 01:26:13,080 Speaker 1: a look at that. Look there's I look again. I'm 1521 01:26:13,120 --> 01:26:16,360 Speaker 1: not here to force a fight on the force a 1522 01:26:16,400 --> 01:26:19,000 Speaker 1: fight on you, or force you to criticize somebody. But 1523 01:26:19,479 --> 01:26:24,519 Speaker 1: that's anplicit criticism of the last two democratic governors a 1524 01:26:24,520 --> 01:26:27,280 Speaker 1: little bit or certainly democratic governance. So let me ask 1525 01:26:27,320 --> 01:26:29,680 Speaker 1: you this on Gavin Newsom, what's he gotten right and 1526 01:26:29,720 --> 01:26:30,639 Speaker 1: what's he gotten wrong? 1527 01:26:33,120 --> 01:26:36,720 Speaker 2: But I think what the governor has understood and been 1528 01:26:36,720 --> 01:26:40,880 Speaker 2: willing to push on is in certain areas that we 1529 01:26:41,000 --> 01:26:43,560 Speaker 2: need reform, and he's laid some of the groundwork. And 1530 01:26:43,640 --> 01:26:45,519 Speaker 2: so let me tell you, we all I want to 1531 01:26:45,600 --> 01:26:48,519 Speaker 2: just be sure to give him give him credit. On education, 1532 01:26:48,640 --> 01:26:51,960 Speaker 2: there's a lack of accountability. He's proposed that we align 1533 01:26:51,960 --> 01:26:54,240 Speaker 2: accountability all the way up to the governor's office. Right now, 1534 01:26:54,240 --> 01:26:58,280 Speaker 2: we have a separate superintendent of schools statewide who's elected 1535 01:26:58,320 --> 01:27:01,200 Speaker 2: and runs the Department of Education. The governor does not 1536 01:27:01,280 --> 01:27:04,639 Speaker 2: have executive authority over the education department. Huge problem. We're 1537 01:27:04,640 --> 01:27:07,040 Speaker 2: one of just a dozen states who has that structure. 1538 01:27:07,040 --> 01:27:08,960 Speaker 1: Would you like to get rid of the elected state 1539 01:27:09,000 --> 01:27:11,479 Speaker 1: public school instructor? Do you think that that's an office 1540 01:27:11,479 --> 01:27:13,200 Speaker 1: that probably shouldn't be an elected position. 1541 01:27:14,080 --> 01:27:17,200 Speaker 2: I don't know that it matters as long as basically 1542 01:27:17,200 --> 01:27:20,200 Speaker 2: what Governor Newsom has proposed, which I agree with, is 1543 01:27:20,320 --> 01:27:24,560 Speaker 2: keep the office, but have it be a sort of watchdog, 1544 01:27:24,760 --> 01:27:27,920 Speaker 2: umbudsman and advocate for parents. Don't have it be the 1545 01:27:28,000 --> 01:27:29,920 Speaker 2: executive authority over an entire or. 1546 01:27:29,880 --> 01:27:32,360 Speaker 1: Like a comptroller. More like the way a comptroller works 1547 01:27:32,400 --> 01:27:33,799 Speaker 1: with finances right here. 1548 01:27:34,520 --> 01:27:37,280 Speaker 2: Monitor the spending, to be the advocate for the parents 1549 01:27:37,320 --> 01:27:40,000 Speaker 2: and students. But the governor is the chief executive of 1550 01:27:40,040 --> 01:27:42,320 Speaker 2: the state and the Department of Education on a report 1551 01:27:42,360 --> 01:27:45,599 Speaker 2: directly up into the governor. So that's one I totally 1552 01:27:45,600 --> 01:27:48,479 Speaker 2: agree with. He sees the need for reform there. On housing, 1553 01:27:48,520 --> 01:27:51,400 Speaker 2: we talked earlier. The Governor and I are completely aligned 1554 01:27:51,400 --> 01:27:54,559 Speaker 2: on the importance of interim solutions. In fact, it's his 1555 01:27:54,680 --> 01:27:58,479 Speaker 2: state budgets that have helped fund the solutions that we've 1556 01:27:58,600 --> 01:28:01,080 Speaker 2: championed in San Jose. Now we've done it faster, better, 1557 01:28:01,200 --> 01:28:03,559 Speaker 2: more cost effectively than any other city in the state. 1558 01:28:04,000 --> 01:28:08,439 Speaker 2: But we're aligned there. He also recognizes the need for 1559 01:28:08,680 --> 01:28:12,840 Speaker 2: an alternative on treatment for addiction for mental health, put 1560 01:28:12,920 --> 01:28:17,679 Speaker 2: forward things like care Court Proposition one, which expands treatment beds. 1561 01:28:20,240 --> 01:28:23,160 Speaker 2: The area where I think we differ is I am 1562 01:28:23,600 --> 01:28:29,479 Speaker 2: very I'm very execution focused, and I have been willing 1563 01:28:29,520 --> 01:28:33,280 Speaker 2: to take on members of my own party, highly organized 1564 01:28:33,320 --> 01:28:36,040 Speaker 2: interests in some cases disagree with the governor, the most 1565 01:28:36,200 --> 01:28:39,760 Speaker 2: prominent example being Prop thirty six, where I believe that 1566 01:28:39,760 --> 01:28:44,120 Speaker 2: if someone is repeatedly committing crime due to addiction, at 1567 01:28:44,120 --> 01:28:47,639 Speaker 2: some point they should be given a clear choice between 1568 01:28:47,680 --> 01:28:50,840 Speaker 2: treatment and jail. And that was an area where he 1569 01:28:50,880 --> 01:28:55,120 Speaker 2: and I just just fundamentally disagreed. That's a philosophic difference. 1570 01:28:55,479 --> 01:28:57,479 Speaker 2: I've had a family member who spent time on the 1571 01:28:57,479 --> 01:28:59,519 Speaker 2: streets with addictions, so I maybe just have a different 1572 01:28:59,520 --> 01:29:02,479 Speaker 2: perspective on the level of intervention that's needed to save 1573 01:29:02,520 --> 01:29:07,599 Speaker 2: someone's life. But look, I think he's had a lot 1574 01:29:07,640 --> 01:29:10,280 Speaker 2: of the right directionally, a lot of the right ideas. 1575 01:29:10,800 --> 01:29:15,000 Speaker 2: My focus, though, it will be on following through and 1576 01:29:15,040 --> 01:29:18,439 Speaker 2: making sure people actually use care, court actually implement Prop 1577 01:29:18,479 --> 01:29:22,040 Speaker 2: thirty six, build those beds. And we're when our execution 1578 01:29:22,240 --> 01:29:25,240 Speaker 2: is bad, when we're too slow and too expensive to 1579 01:29:25,280 --> 01:29:28,360 Speaker 2: execute a good idea. We have to be willing to 1580 01:29:28,360 --> 01:29:30,720 Speaker 2: do something I haven't seen anyone in Sacramento do enough 1581 01:29:30,760 --> 01:29:35,000 Speaker 2: of in recent years, which is take on the interest 1582 01:29:35,120 --> 01:29:39,120 Speaker 2: groups the highly organized interests, from trial lawyers to public 1583 01:29:39,160 --> 01:29:42,720 Speaker 2: sector unions to corporate interests who have a veto right 1584 01:29:42,720 --> 01:29:45,080 Speaker 2: now in Sacramento, and this is kind of becoming the 1585 01:29:45,080 --> 01:29:48,600 Speaker 2: case in our democracy everywhere. Highly organized interests have a 1586 01:29:48,720 --> 01:29:51,680 Speaker 2: veto over change because they're so organized and they don't 1587 01:29:51,680 --> 01:29:53,719 Speaker 2: want anything to change. They want to protect a status 1588 01:29:53,800 --> 01:29:57,639 Speaker 2: quo that protects them. So it's the vetoocracy that I'm 1589 01:29:57,640 --> 01:30:00,479 Speaker 2: worried about, and I just haven't seen anybody challenge that 1590 01:30:00,520 --> 01:30:01,480 Speaker 2: because it's painful. 1591 01:30:02,280 --> 01:30:06,320 Speaker 1: How much do you think the governor's been stifled by 1592 01:30:07,200 --> 01:30:09,600 Speaker 1: a by the super majority in the legislature. 1593 01:30:12,800 --> 01:30:16,679 Speaker 2: Well, it doesn't help. But look, I'm as a as 1594 01:30:16,840 --> 01:30:20,040 Speaker 2: you know, my own my own person a different everybody is, 1595 01:30:20,080 --> 01:30:25,760 Speaker 2: everybody's different. I would be more active in putting legislators 1596 01:30:25,840 --> 01:30:31,280 Speaker 2: on the spot and demanding results and getting behind candidates 1597 01:30:32,160 --> 01:30:37,080 Speaker 2: for the legislature who reflected a common sense, problem solving mentality. 1598 01:30:36,600 --> 01:30:38,240 Speaker 1: And like, so if you get elected governor, you're going 1599 01:30:38,320 --> 01:30:42,879 Speaker 1: to be a little more active in state legislative races, 1600 01:30:43,040 --> 01:30:44,080 Speaker 1: both Assembly and Senate. 1601 01:30:44,439 --> 01:30:49,160 Speaker 2: I think we need we need a significant change in 1602 01:30:49,200 --> 01:30:53,200 Speaker 2: the political culture of California, one that is that is 1603 01:30:53,240 --> 01:30:56,679 Speaker 2: really centered on accountability for outcomes. I say this because 1604 01:30:56,680 --> 01:30:59,439 Speaker 2: this has been my experience as mayor of San Jose, 1605 01:31:00,400 --> 01:31:04,400 Speaker 2: where I have had to overcome the objections of highly 1606 01:31:04,520 --> 01:31:07,320 Speaker 2: organized interests who liked the city budget being spent the 1607 01:31:07,320 --> 01:31:09,479 Speaker 2: way that it was spent. I've had to overcome the 1608 01:31:09,520 --> 01:31:15,120 Speaker 2: opposition of colleagues on my city council who also were 1609 01:31:15,160 --> 01:31:17,640 Speaker 2: wedded to the same old way of doing things. And 1610 01:31:17,680 --> 01:31:20,200 Speaker 2: if you want to create change, it should always be 1611 01:31:20,320 --> 01:31:24,280 Speaker 2: rooted in solid core values and a clear sense of 1612 01:31:24,280 --> 01:31:26,559 Speaker 2: where you're trying to go. But you have to be 1613 01:31:26,640 --> 01:31:31,400 Speaker 2: willing to take on the big fights. And our inability 1614 01:31:31,439 --> 01:31:34,680 Speaker 2: to take on the big fights and solve our problems 1615 01:31:34,720 --> 01:31:38,040 Speaker 2: despite spending more and more is frankly giving a lot 1616 01:31:38,040 --> 01:31:43,320 Speaker 2: of ammunition to the MAGA movement, to a president that 1617 01:31:43,479 --> 01:31:46,439 Speaker 2: thinks that might makes right. We are, you know, we 1618 01:31:46,520 --> 01:31:49,839 Speaker 2: talk about being the resistance and pushing back and fighting 1619 01:31:49,920 --> 01:31:55,240 Speaker 2: against trump Ism, and yet we're not minding the story here. 1620 01:31:55,240 --> 01:31:57,720 Speaker 2: If we don't fix our problems and show that our 1621 01:31:57,840 --> 01:32:02,240 Speaker 2: values actually deliver results for working people in practice, we 1622 01:32:02,280 --> 01:32:03,680 Speaker 2: don't have any credibility. 1623 01:32:05,680 --> 01:32:09,160 Speaker 1: The best way, the best case against MAGA movement or 1624 01:32:09,160 --> 01:32:11,040 Speaker 1: trump Ism is governance. 1625 01:32:11,880 --> 01:32:14,799 Speaker 2: The best resistence. Yea, the best resistances results. 1626 01:32:15,200 --> 01:32:19,479 Speaker 1: Yeah. No, I I uh as somebody who considers themselves 1627 01:32:19,520 --> 01:32:22,639 Speaker 1: an incrementalist and a pragmatist. That's you know, I understand, 1628 01:32:22,720 --> 01:32:28,240 Speaker 1: I understand the passionate frustration that's out there in some 1629 01:32:28,280 --> 01:32:30,640 Speaker 1: forms of MAGA movement. Not every you know, there's some 1630 01:32:30,800 --> 01:32:33,120 Speaker 1: that are there for their own reasons, but there are 1631 01:32:33,120 --> 01:32:36,680 Speaker 1: others that are frustrated with the system. Hey, you know, 1632 01:32:36,720 --> 01:32:38,639 Speaker 1: there's a lot of people that I think find themselves 1633 01:32:38,680 --> 01:32:40,519 Speaker 1: in that camp. All right, I mean, let's land the 1634 01:32:40,560 --> 01:32:44,120 Speaker 1: plane here and let's talk about the elephant in the 1635 01:32:44,200 --> 01:32:46,719 Speaker 1: room or the donkeys in the room, and the math 1636 01:32:46,800 --> 01:32:52,280 Speaker 1: problem that the jungle primary is creating, the pressure that 1637 01:32:52,320 --> 01:32:56,719 Speaker 1: I'm sure you're feeling many Democratic candidates running for governor 1638 01:32:56,840 --> 01:32:59,800 Speaker 1: feeling because you've got two Republicans who both have just 1639 01:32:59,800 --> 01:33:02,880 Speaker 1: an enough traction that the likelihood they could take the 1640 01:33:02,920 --> 01:33:06,479 Speaker 1: two slots be one two and end up being you know, 1641 01:33:06,600 --> 01:33:10,439 Speaker 1: it's Steve Hilton and Chad Biaco, right, and there's you know, 1642 01:33:10,720 --> 01:33:12,679 Speaker 1: this might be only forty percent of the state once 1643 01:33:12,680 --> 01:33:15,960 Speaker 1: a Republican. Sixty percent may want a Democrat, but their 1644 01:33:16,080 --> 01:33:18,680 Speaker 1: choice may not be on the ballot because of so 1645 01:33:18,840 --> 01:33:22,839 Speaker 1: many Democrats splitting the vote. How much of a concern 1646 01:33:23,960 --> 01:33:27,240 Speaker 1: is this to you, and how mindful of you are 1647 01:33:27,560 --> 01:33:27,960 Speaker 1: of this? 1648 01:33:30,120 --> 01:33:32,639 Speaker 2: You know, Jeuck To be honest with you, I am 1649 01:33:32,680 --> 01:33:35,000 Speaker 2: not that concerned about I think there's been a lot 1650 01:33:35,000 --> 01:33:37,440 Speaker 2: of inks billed on this. I think it is overblown. 1651 01:33:37,560 --> 01:33:39,800 Speaker 2: Most voters are not paying attention to have People are 1652 01:33:39,840 --> 01:33:42,759 Speaker 2: busy doing their jobs, paying their bills, raising their kids. 1653 01:33:43,120 --> 01:33:46,720 Speaker 2: As voters start to tune in, you will see some consolidation. 1654 01:33:46,920 --> 01:33:51,080 Speaker 2: Right now, undecided is beating everyone, and it's overwhelmingly Yeah, 1655 01:33:51,640 --> 01:33:55,800 Speaker 2: and it's overwhelmingly Democratic and independent voters who are undecided. 1656 01:33:56,120 --> 01:33:56,360 Speaker 1: Yeah. 1657 01:33:56,360 --> 01:34:00,280 Speaker 2: When Republicans see name the name on the ballot with 1658 01:34:00,360 --> 01:34:02,280 Speaker 2: Republican next to it in a state where they haven't 1659 01:34:02,280 --> 01:34:04,600 Speaker 2: won statewide office in fifteen years, they say, yeah, I 1660 01:34:04,640 --> 01:34:07,720 Speaker 2: like that guy who's a Republican. So we have a 1661 01:34:07,760 --> 01:34:12,320 Speaker 2: lot of time for this field to consolidate. And I 1662 01:34:12,439 --> 01:34:17,800 Speaker 2: jumped in because no one was saying what's wrong with 1663 01:34:17,840 --> 01:34:20,280 Speaker 2: the state of California. Everybody in my party wants to 1664 01:34:20,360 --> 01:34:23,080 Speaker 2: simply blame somebody else for the problem. And I think 1665 01:34:23,120 --> 01:34:26,320 Speaker 2: as Democrats, we have to remember that the best resistance 1666 01:34:26,439 --> 01:34:29,599 Speaker 2: is delivering results, and we have to take ownership of 1667 01:34:29,640 --> 01:34:33,679 Speaker 2: our public policy shortcomings and be really honest with voters 1668 01:34:34,360 --> 01:34:37,559 Speaker 2: that we can do better. But it's going to mean 1669 01:34:37,600 --> 01:34:39,800 Speaker 2: taking on the interest within our own party. It's going 1670 01:34:39,840 --> 01:34:42,240 Speaker 2: to mean changing things in a way that won't always 1671 01:34:42,280 --> 01:34:46,000 Speaker 2: be popular. And so I just I think I thought 1672 01:34:46,000 --> 01:34:48,280 Speaker 2: it was critically important to get into this race, to 1673 01:34:48,360 --> 01:34:51,960 Speaker 2: speak to all of those undecided and disillusioned voters. There 1674 01:34:51,960 --> 01:34:55,280 Speaker 2: has been very low enthusiasm for the field up until now. 1675 01:34:55,280 --> 01:34:58,040 Speaker 2: People are now starting to tune in, and I'm saying 1676 01:34:58,040 --> 01:34:59,960 Speaker 2: something very different, and I think we're going to see 1677 01:35:00,080 --> 01:35:03,839 Speaker 2: as we marched Sport election day, is people hear that message. 1678 01:35:03,880 --> 01:35:05,640 Speaker 2: I think it's going to resonate. I'm seeing that as 1679 01:35:05,640 --> 01:35:07,759 Speaker 2: I travel around the state. I was down on the border, 1680 01:35:08,080 --> 01:35:10,599 Speaker 2: you know, looking at the crisis of ross sewage flowing 1681 01:35:10,640 --> 01:35:12,840 Speaker 2: into the country through the two on a river. I 1682 01:35:12,880 --> 01:35:15,559 Speaker 2: walked a skid row and we talked about the failures 1683 01:35:15,600 --> 01:35:19,000 Speaker 2: on homelessness Alta Dina and the Palisades and our issues 1684 01:35:19,040 --> 01:35:21,519 Speaker 2: with with how slow and expensive it is to build housing. 1685 01:35:21,760 --> 01:35:23,519 Speaker 2: As we go around the state and talk to people 1686 01:35:23,520 --> 01:35:26,080 Speaker 2: about what's broken and why and how to fix it, 1687 01:35:26,320 --> 01:35:30,160 Speaker 2: We're getting an enthusiastic response. My biggest challenge is most 1688 01:35:30,200 --> 01:35:32,240 Speaker 2: Californias still don't know who I am. So thank you 1689 01:35:32,240 --> 01:35:33,200 Speaker 2: for leading me on the show. 1690 01:35:33,280 --> 01:35:36,639 Speaker 1: No, I get it. Look, you're you're doing something that's 1691 01:35:36,680 --> 01:35:40,000 Speaker 1: quite difficult, which is to run from a merit one, 1692 01:35:40,120 --> 01:35:43,080 Speaker 1: a singular mayor seat right anytime. I mean, it's just 1693 01:35:43,280 --> 01:35:46,439 Speaker 1: only only thing harder, I would argue is congressional is 1694 01:35:46,479 --> 01:35:50,000 Speaker 1: running from a congressional seat. But let me let me 1695 01:35:50,040 --> 01:35:52,200 Speaker 1: ask it, me, let me ask you this. You know 1696 01:35:52,240 --> 01:35:56,719 Speaker 1: you're look, I'm somebody, I'm I'm I think both parties 1697 01:35:56,720 --> 01:36:00,519 Speaker 1: are broken. I'm somebody who thinks it. Frankly, the only 1698 01:36:00,560 --> 01:36:05,639 Speaker 1: way they're going to fix themselves is if they if 1699 01:36:05,680 --> 01:36:07,920 Speaker 1: an independent of some sort or for a movement of 1700 01:36:07,960 --> 01:36:09,760 Speaker 1: some sort of sort of you know, voters demand it. 1701 01:36:09,800 --> 01:36:12,679 Speaker 1: There's a reason why the fastest growing party is no party. 1702 01:36:13,080 --> 01:36:14,519 Speaker 1: And I don't care what state in the Union you 1703 01:36:14,520 --> 01:36:17,679 Speaker 1: go to, California is no exception, particularly with voters under 1704 01:36:17,680 --> 01:36:21,840 Speaker 1: the age of thirty, you know. And to me, it's 1705 01:36:21,880 --> 01:36:24,320 Speaker 1: pretty logical. Right, they've watched this, they've grown up in 1706 01:36:24,320 --> 01:36:27,080 Speaker 1: this polarized environment, and they're like, neither party seems to 1707 01:36:27,080 --> 01:36:29,880 Speaker 1: want to solve a problem. They're just reaction being They're 1708 01:36:29,920 --> 01:36:33,120 Speaker 1: just reactionary politics. Why are you staying? Why did you 1709 01:36:33,120 --> 01:36:34,760 Speaker 1: stay as a Democrat? You could have run as a 1710 01:36:34,800 --> 01:36:37,600 Speaker 1: no party candidate, and in some ways you are advocating 1711 01:36:38,520 --> 01:36:41,440 Speaker 1: for me. It sounds like a sort of more independent 1712 01:36:42,160 --> 01:36:45,160 Speaker 1: you know, maybe it's small I capital D is what 1713 01:36:45,320 --> 01:36:49,760 Speaker 1: you're going for. But why you know that the D 1714 01:36:49,920 --> 01:36:53,800 Speaker 1: next to your name? Some people who want change will think, well, 1715 01:36:54,160 --> 01:36:57,519 Speaker 1: we've had Democratic governors sixteen years in a row now, 1716 01:36:57,800 --> 01:37:00,719 Speaker 1: which is I'm trying to the last time California went 1717 01:37:00,920 --> 01:37:03,160 Speaker 1: longer than that? I think you have to go back 1718 01:37:03,640 --> 01:37:09,439 Speaker 1: to the thirties. Do you worry that the D next 1719 01:37:09,479 --> 01:37:11,559 Speaker 1: to your name is not going to indicate to voters 1720 01:37:11,560 --> 01:37:12,599 Speaker 1: that you're a change candidate. 1721 01:37:14,400 --> 01:37:17,639 Speaker 2: Look, I'm a I'm a different kind of Democrat who 1722 01:37:18,640 --> 01:37:22,680 Speaker 2: reserves the right to think, Uh, you know, think for myself, 1723 01:37:23,400 --> 01:37:26,760 Speaker 2: be independent in my thinking about policy issues and solutions. 1724 01:37:27,280 --> 01:37:31,880 Speaker 2: But I still believe the Democratic Party is fixable. I 1725 01:37:31,880 --> 01:37:36,880 Speaker 2: grew up in a party whose core values I deeply 1726 01:37:36,960 --> 01:37:41,200 Speaker 2: identify with. I grew up in a working class community where, 1727 01:37:41,400 --> 01:37:43,880 Speaker 2: you know, my folks and most people we lived around 1728 01:37:44,200 --> 01:37:47,840 Speaker 2: were generally paycheck to paycheck, and when the party gets 1729 01:37:47,920 --> 01:37:50,760 Speaker 2: back to its roots and gets back to solving problems, 1730 01:37:51,040 --> 01:37:55,519 Speaker 2: we expand opportunity for people. We create better schools, we 1731 01:37:55,600 --> 01:37:59,240 Speaker 2: build infrastructure, We make sure the economy is inclusive and 1732 01:37:59,280 --> 01:38:02,040 Speaker 2: that people don't left behind. We make sure people have 1733 01:38:02,120 --> 01:38:07,760 Speaker 2: access to healthcare. But we need to upgrade the platform 1734 01:38:08,120 --> 01:38:10,360 Speaker 2: because we're still trying to do things the way we 1735 01:38:10,360 --> 01:38:12,639 Speaker 2: did in the twentieth century, where the answer to every 1736 01:38:12,720 --> 01:38:15,479 Speaker 2: problem is if we just have more tax revenue and 1737 01:38:15,479 --> 01:38:17,800 Speaker 2: more programs, we're going to fix it. And at some 1738 01:38:17,840 --> 01:38:21,720 Speaker 2: point we've got to make government smarter, more responsive, more efficient. 1739 01:38:22,400 --> 01:38:25,040 Speaker 2: We're the party that needs government to work. We believe 1740 01:38:25,120 --> 01:38:27,280 Speaker 2: in government as a force for good. That's why I'm 1741 01:38:27,280 --> 01:38:31,120 Speaker 2: a Democrat. My sense is, you know, many of the 1742 01:38:31,120 --> 01:38:33,160 Speaker 2: folks on the other side of the aisle, if you will, 1743 01:38:34,280 --> 01:38:37,519 Speaker 2: are more interested in just kind of hobbling and shrinking 1744 01:38:37,560 --> 01:38:40,760 Speaker 2: and making government as fall as it can be. And 1745 01:38:40,479 --> 01:38:45,439 Speaker 2: that's kind of an endless debate. But for where I'm at, 1746 01:38:46,160 --> 01:38:49,400 Speaker 2: it's not about making government smaller or bigger. It's especially 1747 01:38:49,439 --> 01:38:51,280 Speaker 2: in a state with the very high tax burden we 1748 01:38:51,320 --> 01:38:54,960 Speaker 2: have in California, let's give people value for their dollars. 1749 01:38:55,000 --> 01:38:58,559 Speaker 2: Let's make sure we're making people's lives better. So I 1750 01:38:58,680 --> 01:39:02,120 Speaker 2: just yeah, I grew up in a Democratic party. I 1751 01:39:02,200 --> 01:39:05,400 Speaker 2: believe in the core values. I think the party is salvagible. 1752 01:39:05,880 --> 01:39:08,120 Speaker 2: But I'm running as a different kind of Democrat to 1753 01:39:08,400 --> 01:39:10,880 Speaker 2: try to make the case for a different kind of politics, 1754 01:39:11,360 --> 01:39:13,880 Speaker 2: whereas by opponents in the race are kind of offering 1755 01:39:13,880 --> 01:39:14,439 Speaker 2: more of the same. 1756 01:39:14,920 --> 01:39:17,519 Speaker 1: No, the only thing, Look, I get what you're trying 1757 01:39:17,560 --> 01:39:20,320 Speaker 1: to do, and my skepticism is not about what you're 1758 01:39:20,360 --> 01:39:23,400 Speaker 1: trying to do. My skepticism is in the voters, meaning 1759 01:39:23,520 --> 01:39:27,880 Speaker 1: voters right now are very in the moment, particularly Democratic voters, 1760 01:39:27,920 --> 01:39:32,840 Speaker 1: and they're very frustrated with the current presidential administration, and 1761 01:39:32,880 --> 01:39:37,280 Speaker 1: in many ways, right that's the you know, and they 1762 01:39:37,280 --> 01:39:42,439 Speaker 1: gravitate towards the resistance warriors, particularly in a campaign. You know, 1763 01:39:42,640 --> 01:39:44,760 Speaker 1: I think if you put them in a focus group, 1764 01:39:44,800 --> 01:39:46,760 Speaker 1: a lot of them would agree with many of the 1765 01:39:46,760 --> 01:39:49,599 Speaker 1: premises you're saying. But you know, sometimes this is more 1766 01:39:49,640 --> 01:39:55,639 Speaker 1: emotional than intellectual. That's that's your challenge. Do you think 1767 01:39:55,640 --> 01:40:00,120 Speaker 1: you're going to be you think that you're not. You 1768 01:40:00,160 --> 01:40:04,040 Speaker 1: could come up short because you don't bash Trump enough. 1769 01:40:06,240 --> 01:40:08,960 Speaker 2: I have a lot of faith in the common sense 1770 01:40:09,160 --> 01:40:12,559 Speaker 2: of the voters of the people of California. I've knocked 1771 01:40:12,600 --> 01:40:16,200 Speaker 2: on well over ten thousand doors, I have spoken with 1772 01:40:16,720 --> 01:40:20,240 Speaker 2: tens of thousands of people over my six years now 1773 01:40:20,280 --> 01:40:25,080 Speaker 2: in public life, and I think when people start to 1774 01:40:25,120 --> 01:40:27,800 Speaker 2: tune into this race, hear what the candidates have to say. 1775 01:40:28,680 --> 01:40:34,000 Speaker 2: I think people's common sense intuition on this is that, yes, 1776 01:40:34,200 --> 01:40:36,960 Speaker 2: we want to elect a Democrat who's going to fight 1777 01:40:37,000 --> 01:40:40,000 Speaker 2: for our values nationally, somebody who understands that Trump is 1778 01:40:40,000 --> 01:40:42,920 Speaker 2: an existential threat to our values in our way of life, 1779 01:40:42,920 --> 01:40:45,080 Speaker 2: and we need to fight through the courts and through 1780 01:40:45,080 --> 01:40:48,200 Speaker 2: the bully pulpit and do everything we can to offer 1781 01:40:48,200 --> 01:40:51,920 Speaker 2: an alternative. But I also think they understand. I think 1782 01:40:51,920 --> 01:40:55,800 Speaker 2: this is actually true across Democrats, Independents, and moderate Republicans 1783 01:40:56,120 --> 01:41:00,160 Speaker 2: that in California, for most of our challenges around public school, 1784 01:41:00,320 --> 01:41:03,160 Speaker 2: housing costs, energy costs, we can't blame anybody else. We 1785 01:41:03,200 --> 01:41:06,320 Speaker 2: need to take ownership of our mistakes, We need to 1786 01:41:06,320 --> 01:41:09,160 Speaker 2: take control of our own destiny, and we need to 1787 01:41:09,280 --> 01:41:13,320 Speaker 2: solve our problems because that's actually the best counter to 1788 01:41:13,439 --> 01:41:17,320 Speaker 2: this populist, authoritarian strain in our politics. 1789 01:41:18,040 --> 01:41:20,160 Speaker 1: And I I'd be remiss if I didn't ask you 1790 01:41:20,160 --> 01:41:23,200 Speaker 1: about the so called wealth tax, I given your answer 1791 01:41:23,240 --> 01:41:25,840 Speaker 1: you gave to me earlier about how the income how 1792 01:41:26,280 --> 01:41:30,080 Speaker 1: how much of the income tax revenue comes from a 1793 01:41:30,200 --> 01:41:33,760 Speaker 1: very tiny percentage of Californians. I'm guessing I have an 1794 01:41:33,760 --> 01:41:35,320 Speaker 1: idea of where you are in the wealth tax, but 1795 01:41:36,000 --> 01:41:37,280 Speaker 1: i'll let you articulated. 1796 01:41:38,520 --> 01:41:40,920 Speaker 2: Yeah, my view of it is there are a number 1797 01:41:41,000 --> 01:41:43,320 Speaker 2: of other things we should be doing to make the 1798 01:41:43,360 --> 01:41:46,480 Speaker 2: tax code fairer and to make sure that the wealthiest 1799 01:41:46,600 --> 01:41:49,599 Speaker 2: amongst us pay their fair share. And as you've heard, 1800 01:41:49,600 --> 01:41:54,439 Speaker 2: I'm worried about regressive taxation, income inequality, and opportunity gaps. 1801 01:41:54,439 --> 01:41:56,920 Speaker 2: That's been kind of my whole career is thinking about 1802 01:41:56,920 --> 01:42:02,320 Speaker 2: those issues. I I am not supportive of the wealth 1803 01:42:02,320 --> 01:42:05,200 Speaker 2: tax specifically because I don't think it'll work, and I 1804 01:42:05,240 --> 01:42:10,920 Speaker 2: think it will actually ultimately burden middle class and working 1805 01:42:10,960 --> 01:42:14,759 Speaker 2: families in California because billionaires aren't going to pay this tax. 1806 01:42:14,800 --> 01:42:16,639 Speaker 2: Half of them have already left the state. Since it's 1807 01:42:16,680 --> 01:42:19,719 Speaker 2: been proposed, We've seen over a trillion dollars in capital flight. 1808 01:42:20,000 --> 01:42:24,559 Speaker 2: I'm interested in what works, and what works in this 1809 01:42:24,720 --> 01:42:27,320 Speaker 2: case is and I know it's harder, but if we're 1810 01:42:27,320 --> 01:42:29,920 Speaker 2: going to be intellectually honest about this. We need to 1811 01:42:29,920 --> 01:42:32,800 Speaker 2: fight at the federal level over things like what should 1812 01:42:32,800 --> 01:42:35,840 Speaker 2: the capital gains tax rate be. I don't believe you 1813 01:42:35,880 --> 01:42:40,160 Speaker 2: should be able to borrow endlessly against your appreciated assets 1814 01:42:40,200 --> 01:42:42,280 Speaker 2: and never have to pay a capital gain. That's a 1815 01:42:42,320 --> 01:42:44,960 Speaker 2: huge loophole. I don't believe Elon mushould be able to 1816 01:42:45,000 --> 01:42:48,000 Speaker 2: pass five hundred billion dollars worth of appreciated stock onto 1817 01:42:48,040 --> 01:42:51,360 Speaker 2: his kids have it rebased at market rate. The day 1818 01:42:51,360 --> 01:42:53,120 Speaker 2: that they inherit it, they can turn around and sell 1819 01:42:53,160 --> 01:42:55,639 Speaker 2: it and pay no capital gains. That's wrong. So there's 1820 01:42:55,680 --> 01:42:59,120 Speaker 2: a lot we can do to deal with the wealth 1821 01:42:59,240 --> 01:43:03,360 Speaker 2: inequality in this country. But a wealth tax targeting two 1822 01:43:03,479 --> 01:43:07,559 Speaker 2: hundred people in one state is doomed to backfire and 1823 01:43:07,640 --> 01:43:09,679 Speaker 2: mean higher costs for middle class families. 1824 01:43:10,240 --> 01:43:12,160 Speaker 1: There are a lot of Democrats that are against this, 1825 01:43:12,280 --> 01:43:15,160 Speaker 1: but it feels nobody wants to be on the side 1826 01:43:15,160 --> 01:43:17,920 Speaker 1: of defending billionaires. But you're making I mean, there's there's 1827 01:43:17,920 --> 01:43:19,080 Speaker 1: just a fiscal I get it. 1828 01:43:19,000 --> 01:43:21,840 Speaker 2: About defending the billionaires, though, It's just like, I mean, 1829 01:43:21,880 --> 01:43:24,360 Speaker 2: you have to think about the second order effects things, 1830 01:43:24,640 --> 01:43:26,360 Speaker 2: and the truth is, I mean, again, we've got to 1831 01:43:26,360 --> 01:43:28,880 Speaker 2: be honest with people and trust that people. You know, 1832 01:43:29,040 --> 01:43:31,360 Speaker 2: people are smart. People will get it. They will if 1833 01:43:31,400 --> 01:43:34,160 Speaker 2: you are if you respect them enough to tell them 1834 01:43:34,160 --> 01:43:37,160 Speaker 2: the truth. I think you, over time breakthrough and people 1835 01:43:37,240 --> 01:43:40,080 Speaker 2: get it. It won't be the billionaires who pay this tax, 1836 01:43:40,120 --> 01:43:41,720 Speaker 2: if it's past, It'll be the rest of us. 1837 01:43:42,840 --> 01:43:44,639 Speaker 1: Do you worry that's going to be the litmus test 1838 01:43:44,880 --> 01:43:48,160 Speaker 1: between you know, two of your leading opponents are pretty 1839 01:43:48,240 --> 01:43:49,800 Speaker 1: pretty in favor of it, I believe. 1840 01:43:50,320 --> 01:43:53,040 Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, they are. They're in favor of a lot 1841 01:43:53,040 --> 01:43:55,080 Speaker 2: of things that don't make sense, frankly, and they'd rather 1842 01:43:55,160 --> 01:43:57,360 Speaker 2: blame Donald Trump for all of our problems. And look, 1843 01:43:57,439 --> 01:44:00,760 Speaker 2: I have deep concern about Donald Trump. We've sued him 1844 01:44:00,760 --> 01:44:03,120 Speaker 2: a number of times in San Jose, and I'll fight 1845 01:44:03,160 --> 01:44:06,920 Speaker 2: them as hard as anybody as governor. But again, if 1846 01:44:06,920 --> 01:44:10,360 Speaker 2: the Democrat Party in California isn't willing to take ownership 1847 01:44:10,360 --> 01:44:12,760 Speaker 2: of our public policy failures and start bringing down the 1848 01:44:12,760 --> 01:44:16,320 Speaker 2: cost of housing, of the cost of energy, and improving 1849 01:44:16,360 --> 01:44:19,840 Speaker 2: our public schools, We've got another thing common. We're going 1850 01:44:19,880 --> 01:44:21,960 Speaker 2: to see a maga movement in California, which is what 1851 01:44:22,080 --> 01:44:25,000 Speaker 2: scares me. So let's actually start owning our problems. And 1852 01:44:25,280 --> 01:44:28,519 Speaker 2: take control of our destiny and make government work for people. 1853 01:44:29,000 --> 01:44:33,000 Speaker 1: All right, Well, Mayor Matt Mahon, it's been good to 1854 01:44:33,000 --> 01:44:38,720 Speaker 1: get to know you. I appreciate it. And you know, 1855 01:44:38,920 --> 01:44:42,000 Speaker 1: as long as it's not been the best of years 1856 01:44:42,000 --> 01:44:46,439 Speaker 1: for California basketball, has it for college basketball? I don't 1857 01:44:46,439 --> 01:44:49,200 Speaker 1: feel like you got enough. You know, a lot of 1858 01:44:49,240 --> 01:44:51,240 Speaker 1: years you will get University of San Francisco, you might 1859 01:44:51,240 --> 01:44:54,880 Speaker 1: get others in there, UCLA. You know, I mean, are 1860 01:44:54,880 --> 01:44:56,920 Speaker 1: you going to do something about all this West coast 1861 01:44:56,960 --> 01:45:00,639 Speaker 1: flight to these conferences in the Midwest and the East coast? 1862 01:45:01,920 --> 01:45:04,559 Speaker 2: Listen, Chuck, I got to focus and prioritize. I can't 1863 01:45:04,600 --> 01:45:06,360 Speaker 2: solve every problem. I'll leave that one to you. 1864 01:45:07,680 --> 01:45:09,479 Speaker 1: Well, I know there's a lot of sports fans that 1865 01:45:09,520 --> 01:45:12,439 Speaker 1: are frustrated that all those West Coast teams always have 1866 01:45:12,520 --> 01:45:16,320 Speaker 1: to sit on an airplane. There is there is a 1867 01:45:16,720 --> 01:45:19,000 Speaker 1: there's got to be a better way. But you're right, 1868 01:45:20,360 --> 01:45:24,200 Speaker 1: go worry about how homelessness and housing first, and then 1869 01:45:24,520 --> 01:45:27,120 Speaker 1: we'll go. We'll get somewhere be safe in the campaign trail. 1870 01:45:27,160 --> 01:45:27,920 Speaker 1: Appreciate you coming on. 1871 01:45:28,280 --> 01:45:28,840 Speaker 2: Thanks. 1872 01:45:37,720 --> 01:45:40,680 Speaker 1: Well, I have to tell you I'm obsessed with all 1873 01:45:40,680 --> 01:45:44,720 Speaker 1: things California Governor, Right, now I'm really curious to see 1874 01:45:44,720 --> 01:45:47,080 Speaker 1: how these Democrats are going to shake out. Will somebody 1875 01:45:47,640 --> 01:45:52,040 Speaker 1: catch up to Katie Porter, Eric Swalwell and Tom Stier. 1876 01:45:53,479 --> 01:45:56,400 Speaker 1: I will tell you this, I think the weakest candidacy 1877 01:45:56,920 --> 01:45:59,240 Speaker 1: is actually Tom Styers when you think about the amount 1878 01:45:59,240 --> 01:46:02,679 Speaker 1: of money he is spent and how little support he has. 1879 01:46:03,200 --> 01:46:06,160 Speaker 1: If any other Democrat has spent had the same amount 1880 01:46:06,200 --> 01:46:08,799 Speaker 1: of money spent on their behalf, Katie Porter, Eric Swalwell, 1881 01:46:09,000 --> 01:46:16,080 Speaker 1: Matt Man, Antonio Via Ragosa, you name it, anybody else 1882 01:46:16,120 --> 01:46:17,960 Speaker 1: with the amount of money that's Styer spent, I promise 1883 01:46:18,000 --> 01:46:20,280 Speaker 1: you they'd be doing they'd be highering the polls in Styre. 1884 01:46:21,320 --> 01:46:23,840 Speaker 1: So I do think that we know with no matter 1885 01:46:23,920 --> 01:46:26,240 Speaker 1: how much money he spends, he's got a hard ceiling, 1886 01:46:27,600 --> 01:46:29,519 Speaker 1: and I just can't imagine he's going to find his 1887 01:46:29,600 --> 01:46:31,120 Speaker 1: way in the top two. I know he's trying to 1888 01:46:31,120 --> 01:46:35,679 Speaker 1: buy it. He may he may destroy Swallwell in the process, 1889 01:46:36,360 --> 01:46:41,879 Speaker 1: but my guess is he will help candidate see somewhere 1890 01:46:42,080 --> 01:46:45,519 Speaker 1: on the Democratic side breakthrough whoever candidates see ends up being. 1891 01:46:45,760 --> 01:46:49,439 Speaker 1: Is it Katie Porter, I'm skeptical. Is it Matt Man 1892 01:46:50,080 --> 01:46:53,439 Speaker 1: hasn't gotten traction yet? Is it via ra Gosa. I'm 1893 01:46:53,439 --> 01:46:56,719 Speaker 1: not going to rule it out, but I'm skeptical as well. 1894 01:46:56,479 --> 01:46:59,719 Speaker 1: But we'll see. But something's going to break here, somebody 1895 01:46:59,760 --> 01:47:03,360 Speaker 1: will start rallying. It'll and the person that it's going 1896 01:47:03,400 --> 01:47:05,680 Speaker 1: to be interesting to watch Gavin Newsoman and all this 1897 01:47:06,280 --> 01:47:08,519 Speaker 1: because it would be really embarrassing if his party can't 1898 01:47:08,560 --> 01:47:11,120 Speaker 1: get a Democrat in the top two. But he doesn't 1899 01:47:11,160 --> 01:47:14,519 Speaker 1: really have an air parent and frankly, many of these 1900 01:47:14,560 --> 01:47:17,720 Speaker 1: Democrats are kind of criticizing him in this so it 1901 01:47:17,840 --> 01:47:23,639 Speaker 1: is kind of a mess there. And let's just say 1902 01:47:23,640 --> 01:47:25,599 Speaker 1: I think there's a lot of Democrats in California. Glad 1903 01:47:25,640 --> 01:47:28,639 Speaker 1: that there's a couple more months to work this out. 1904 01:47:28,680 --> 01:47:37,200 Speaker 1: All right, it is time machine time. As you know. 1905 01:47:37,240 --> 01:47:41,240 Speaker 1: I like to take an anniversary of this week that 1906 01:47:41,320 --> 01:47:47,120 Speaker 1: we're living in, so March thirtieth through April fifth, historical 1907 01:47:47,120 --> 01:47:49,920 Speaker 1: events that have taken place within this seven day period. 1908 01:47:51,160 --> 01:47:54,040 Speaker 1: There were a lot this week to choose from to 1909 01:47:55,160 --> 01:48:00,800 Speaker 1: one assassination attempt Ronald Reagan, one historic assassination tragic in 1910 01:48:00,880 --> 01:48:03,200 Speaker 1: Martin Luther King Junior. That is not the direction we're 1911 01:48:03,240 --> 01:48:07,120 Speaker 1: going today. We're going to go to nineteen forty nine, 1912 01:48:07,240 --> 01:48:12,600 Speaker 1: April fourth, nineteen forty nine, inside Washington, d C. Representatives 1913 01:48:12,600 --> 01:48:15,840 Speaker 1: from twelve countries signed a treaty creating something that was 1914 01:48:15,880 --> 01:48:21,160 Speaker 1: brand new in American history, a permanent military alliance, the 1915 01:48:21,200 --> 01:48:27,360 Speaker 1: North Atlantic Treaty Organization NATO. Now it doesn't sound radical today, 1916 01:48:27,479 --> 01:48:30,000 Speaker 1: but for the United States in nineteen forty nine, this 1917 01:48:30,080 --> 01:48:34,440 Speaker 1: was radical because for most of its history America avoided 1918 01:48:34,439 --> 01:48:42,559 Speaker 1: permanent alliances. George Washington himself warned against permanent alliances, and 1919 01:48:42,560 --> 01:48:45,080 Speaker 1: in fact, there was a belief that so many wars 1920 01:48:45,080 --> 01:48:49,600 Speaker 1: in Europe took place because of these alliances between monarchies 1921 01:48:49,800 --> 01:48:53,400 Speaker 1: that forced countries to take part in wars that maybe 1922 01:48:53,400 --> 01:48:56,599 Speaker 1: they had no issue with and no business being it. 1923 01:48:58,800 --> 01:49:00,559 Speaker 1: And in fact, after World War One, the United States 1924 01:49:00,640 --> 01:49:03,640 Speaker 1: refused to even join the League of Nations, which was 1925 01:49:03,680 --> 01:49:06,600 Speaker 1: an idea by an American. So the real question is 1926 01:49:06,640 --> 01:49:08,479 Speaker 1: not just what NATO is. The real question is why 1927 01:49:08,560 --> 01:49:11,559 Speaker 1: did it take two World wars for the United States 1928 01:49:11,640 --> 01:49:18,040 Speaker 1: to decide it needed one. After War One, there was 1929 01:49:18,080 --> 01:49:21,080 Speaker 1: an attempt at collective security the League of Nations. The 1930 01:49:21,120 --> 01:49:24,320 Speaker 1: idea was similar countries would cooperate to prevent future wars, 1931 01:49:24,680 --> 01:49:27,479 Speaker 1: but there were two fatal flaws. First, the United States 1932 01:49:27,520 --> 01:49:30,200 Speaker 1: never joined. That was a big one. The Senate rejected 1933 01:49:30,240 --> 01:49:32,559 Speaker 1: the membership in the League of Nations. Americans were very 1934 01:49:32,560 --> 01:49:36,760 Speaker 1: wary of foreign entanglement. Second, the League had no enforcement mechanism, 1935 01:49:37,040 --> 01:49:40,400 Speaker 1: no binding military commitment, so when aggression came in the 1936 01:49:40,479 --> 01:49:43,759 Speaker 1: nineteen thirties, the League couldn't condemn it, but it couldn't 1937 01:49:43,800 --> 01:49:49,439 Speaker 1: stop it. That failure shaped everything that came next. After 1938 01:49:49,479 --> 01:49:53,080 Speaker 1: World War II, the calculation changed. The United States wasn't withdrawing, 1939 01:49:53,120 --> 01:49:56,880 Speaker 1: it was staying, and the threat wasn't theoretical. It was 1940 01:49:56,960 --> 01:49:59,960 Speaker 1: the Soviet Union. Between nineteen forty five and nineteen four 1941 01:50:00,000 --> 01:50:03,559 Speaker 1: forty nine, Eastern Europe fell under Soviet control, the Communist 1942 01:50:03,640 --> 01:50:11,120 Speaker 1: coup in then Czechoslovakia, the Berlin Blockade. In fact, Churchill's 1943 01:50:11,120 --> 01:50:14,280 Speaker 1: famous Iron Curtain wasn't just rhetoric, it was actually a 1944 01:50:14,320 --> 01:50:17,080 Speaker 1: map that he was trying to show and visualized. Western 1945 01:50:17,120 --> 01:50:20,760 Speaker 1: Europe could not defend itself alone, and for the first time, 1946 01:50:20,800 --> 01:50:25,440 Speaker 1: the United States accepted something new. Security couldn't be temporary, 1947 01:50:25,680 --> 01:50:29,360 Speaker 1: it had to be permanent. But that idea still had 1948 01:50:29,360 --> 01:50:34,000 Speaker 1: to pass the skeptical United States Senate. The breakthrough came 1949 01:50:34,520 --> 01:50:37,880 Speaker 1: with the Van den Berg Resolution in nineteen forty eight, 1950 01:50:37,960 --> 01:50:41,719 Speaker 1: one year before NATO was born. Senator Arthur Vandenberg helped 1951 01:50:41,720 --> 01:50:45,640 Speaker 1: shift American foreign policy towards internationalism, but he did it 1952 01:50:45,720 --> 01:50:48,200 Speaker 1: very carefully. The key condition he came up with was 1953 01:50:48,240 --> 01:50:51,800 Speaker 1: that any alliance that the United States got into must 1954 01:50:51,920 --> 01:50:58,160 Speaker 1: preserve Congress's authority over war. That constraint would end up 1955 01:50:58,200 --> 01:51:04,200 Speaker 1: shaping the NATO Treaty. The North Atlantic Treaty did not 1956 01:51:04,240 --> 01:51:07,719 Speaker 1: pass automatically. The Senate debated it for ten days because 1957 01:51:07,760 --> 01:51:11,040 Speaker 1: the central issue was would NATO automatically commit the United 1958 01:51:11,040 --> 01:51:14,839 Speaker 1: States to war or would Congress still be the decider 1959 01:51:14,840 --> 01:51:17,519 Speaker 1: on that. I know what you're thinking at the moment 1960 01:51:17,560 --> 01:51:19,200 Speaker 1: here you're like, well, wait a minute, Congress is not 1961 01:51:19,240 --> 01:51:20,880 Speaker 1: the decider. Even now we're in a war and they 1962 01:51:20,880 --> 01:51:24,800 Speaker 1: didn't do a thing about it. I know, but let 1963 01:51:24,800 --> 01:51:28,679 Speaker 1: me finish this. So Article five was written the way 1964 01:51:28,720 --> 01:51:32,120 Speaker 1: it was in order to navigate this question. Each country 1965 01:51:32,160 --> 01:51:37,559 Speaker 1: would take quote such action as it deems necessary, so 1966 01:51:37,560 --> 01:51:40,680 Speaker 1: it was an automatic war. It did allow for some 1967 01:51:40,720 --> 01:51:46,200 Speaker 1: constitutional discretion. That language made ratification possible, So in July 1968 01:51:46,280 --> 01:51:50,759 Speaker 1: twenty first, nineteen forty nine, the Senate approved that April 1969 01:51:50,920 --> 01:51:56,320 Speaker 1: Fourth Treaty eighty two to thirteen strong support, but it 1970 01:51:56,360 --> 01:51:59,640 Speaker 1: took real debate and some compromise. At the center of 1971 01:51:59,720 --> 01:52:03,280 Speaker 1: NATO was Article five. You've heard it before. An attack 1972 01:52:03,320 --> 01:52:05,519 Speaker 1: on one is considered an attack on all. For the 1973 01:52:05,600 --> 01:52:07,960 Speaker 1: United States, that was a big lead a permanent security 1974 01:52:08,000 --> 01:52:12,640 Speaker 1: commitment to Europe. Now there were twelve original members, the 1975 01:52:12,720 --> 01:52:23,360 Speaker 1: United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, France, Belgium, the Netherlands, Luxembourg, Norway, Denmark, Iceland, Italy, 1976 01:52:23,720 --> 01:52:29,439 Speaker 1: and Portugal. That was a North Atlantic alliance, was not global, 1977 01:52:30,320 --> 01:52:33,799 Speaker 1: and it was not open ended. It specifically was focused 1978 01:52:33,800 --> 01:52:41,639 Speaker 1: on Europe and North America. Now NATO would expand, first 1979 01:52:41,640 --> 01:52:43,920 Speaker 1: in nineteen fifty two and then again in nineteen fifty five. 1980 01:52:44,680 --> 01:52:48,200 Speaker 1: In fifty two, Greece and Turkey would join, But the 1981 01:52:48,240 --> 01:52:52,920 Speaker 1: most consequential decision was nineteen fifty five when West Germany joined. 1982 01:52:53,439 --> 01:52:55,680 Speaker 1: Only ten years after World War II, the West integrated 1983 01:52:55,720 --> 01:53:00,679 Speaker 1: a re armed Germany into its defense system. Not everybody 1984 01:53:00,920 --> 01:53:04,160 Speaker 1: was thrilled with that idea. For countries like France, that 1985 01:53:04,360 --> 01:53:08,800 Speaker 1: was deeply uncomfortable, but the logic was clear. Germany would 1986 01:53:08,800 --> 01:53:12,280 Speaker 1: be safer inside the system than outside it, and the 1987 01:53:12,320 --> 01:53:15,200 Speaker 1: payoff was real. West Germany became a stable democracy and 1988 01:53:15,240 --> 01:53:19,759 Speaker 1: eventually would become Europe's largest economy and really the political 1989 01:53:19,800 --> 01:53:23,800 Speaker 1: anchor of the continent. So for decades NATO had a 1990 01:53:23,840 --> 01:53:27,640 Speaker 1: simple purpose contained the Soviet Union, and it worked not 1991 01:53:27,720 --> 01:53:31,320 Speaker 1: by fighting a war, but by making one too costly 1992 01:53:31,400 --> 01:53:37,920 Speaker 1: to start deterrence. Then the Soviet Union collapsed and NATO 1993 01:53:38,080 --> 01:53:43,920 Speaker 1: lost its original purpose. The question became does NATO still exist? Well, 1994 01:53:43,960 --> 01:53:49,360 Speaker 1: the answer was yes, but the reason changed. NATO expanded 1995 01:53:49,360 --> 01:53:53,519 Speaker 1: eastward in nineteen ninety nine Poland, Hungary, and the Czech 1996 01:53:53,520 --> 01:53:57,759 Speaker 1: Republic one half of Czechoslovakia would join. In two thousand 1997 01:53:57,760 --> 01:54:02,960 Speaker 1: and four the Baltic States, Bulgaria, Slovakia, Slovenia, they all 1998 01:54:02,960 --> 01:54:09,080 Speaker 1: would join, and later Albania, which borders on the Adriatic, 1999 01:54:09,840 --> 01:54:12,479 Speaker 1: which we all learned if you watched enough Cheers episodes. Sorry, 2000 01:54:12,479 --> 01:54:14,960 Speaker 1: I couldn't help myself. There's always a little coach in me. 2001 01:54:15,560 --> 01:54:19,800 Speaker 1: It's an easter egg for some of you. Later though, Albania, Croatia, Montenegro, 2002 01:54:19,920 --> 01:54:23,439 Speaker 1: North Macedonia, and of course, most recently, the two that 2003 01:54:23,479 --> 01:54:28,280 Speaker 1: the Russias War with Ukraine triggered Finland and Sweden for 2004 01:54:28,360 --> 01:54:33,080 Speaker 1: new members, NATO mense security for Russia. It meant encroachment. 2005 01:54:33,920 --> 01:54:39,520 Speaker 1: Both perceptions have shaped modern geopolitics. Then there's Ukraine. Ukraine 2006 01:54:39,560 --> 01:54:41,720 Speaker 1: sits at the center of this tension and it always has. 2007 01:54:41,760 --> 01:54:44,800 Speaker 1: In two thousand and eight, NATO decided said that Ukraine 2008 01:54:44,800 --> 01:54:49,880 Speaker 1: would eventually join, but it didn't provide immedia protection created 2009 01:54:49,880 --> 01:54:52,080 Speaker 1: a gray zone. This turned out to be a catastrophic 2010 01:54:52,080 --> 01:54:54,200 Speaker 1: decision by the way by NATO in two thousand and eight. 2011 01:54:54,240 --> 01:54:58,040 Speaker 1: In hindsight, easy to say now understandably why they didn't 2012 01:54:58,040 --> 01:55:01,320 Speaker 1: do it then, but it was enough promised to matter politically, 2013 01:55:02,280 --> 01:55:06,040 Speaker 1: but not enough commitment to deter a conflict. Ukraine became 2014 01:55:06,040 --> 01:55:08,600 Speaker 1: the most dangerous space between alliance and non alliance, and 2015 01:55:08,680 --> 01:55:13,720 Speaker 1: obviously we now know we didn't do enough. Biggest what if? 2016 01:55:15,520 --> 01:55:21,280 Speaker 1: Biggest what if is if we'd let Ukraine join, would 2017 01:55:21,320 --> 01:55:25,320 Speaker 1: rush it ever invaded. But here's another part that many 2018 01:55:25,360 --> 01:55:28,120 Speaker 1: people miss about NATO. Article five has only been invoked 2019 01:55:28,160 --> 01:55:33,920 Speaker 1: once after the September eleventh attacks by the United States. 2020 01:55:35,200 --> 01:55:37,560 Speaker 1: It's not just a historical detail, it's a reminder that 2021 01:55:37,600 --> 01:55:43,880 Speaker 1: alliance has become real in both directions, and once alliance 2022 01:55:43,920 --> 01:55:46,560 Speaker 1: has become real, they also become testable, which brings us 2023 01:55:46,640 --> 01:55:49,600 Speaker 1: to today. For decades, the primary pressure on NATO came 2024 01:55:49,640 --> 01:55:53,600 Speaker 1: from the outside. Now there's pressure from within. In the 2025 01:55:53,680 --> 01:55:56,840 Speaker 1: United States, skepticism about NATO's resurfaced in the form of 2026 01:55:56,920 --> 01:55:59,720 Speaker 1: one Donald Trump. He has repeatedly questioned the value of 2027 01:55:59,720 --> 01:56:02,520 Speaker 1: the allign alliance, particularly where the United States should guarantee 2028 01:56:02,520 --> 01:56:06,240 Speaker 1: the defensive countries that do not meet defense spending expectations. Frankly, 2029 01:56:06,240 --> 01:56:09,000 Speaker 1: he doesn't think we should be warring. It be brought 2030 01:56:09,080 --> 01:56:12,880 Speaker 1: into a conflict by a country that's below us, whatever 2031 01:56:12,920 --> 01:56:17,560 Speaker 1: that means to him. And obviously he's he believes if 2032 01:56:17,640 --> 01:56:20,320 Speaker 1: NATO doesn't do whatever he wants them to do, like 2033 01:56:20,880 --> 01:56:24,920 Speaker 1: secure the strait of war moves. Because he stumbled into 2034 01:56:25,200 --> 01:56:28,480 Speaker 1: a war with Iron without a plan, he gets angry 2035 01:56:28,520 --> 01:56:31,240 Speaker 1: that NATO won't bail him out. Now he hasn't withdrawn 2036 01:56:31,240 --> 01:56:36,280 Speaker 1: from NATO, but he has introduced something pretty new for 2037 01:56:36,360 --> 01:56:40,760 Speaker 1: this alliance, the idea that American commitment is simply conditional. 2038 01:56:41,440 --> 01:56:45,160 Speaker 1: And this idea that American alliances are conditional, America's relationship 2039 01:56:45,240 --> 01:56:49,440 Speaker 1: is conditional. This is a huge problem. America used to 2040 01:56:49,520 --> 01:56:51,760 Speaker 1: be a reliable partner because it didn't matter if we 2041 01:56:51,760 --> 01:56:54,760 Speaker 1: had a Democratic president or Republican president. They were always there. 2042 01:56:54,800 --> 01:56:59,400 Speaker 1: For Europe. They were always there for NATO because NATO 2043 01:56:59,440 --> 01:57:03,760 Speaker 1: isn't just a millilitary structure, it's a psychological one. Deterrence 2044 01:57:03,840 --> 01:57:07,200 Speaker 1: depends on belief, and up until Donald Trump, there was 2045 01:57:07,280 --> 01:57:10,000 Speaker 1: full belief in NATO left and right in this country, 2046 01:57:10,160 --> 01:57:14,240 Speaker 1: democratic republican president eLife. Now at the same time, Europe's 2047 01:57:14,280 --> 01:57:16,560 Speaker 1: begun asking its own question, how dependent should it be 2048 01:57:16,600 --> 01:57:24,640 Speaker 1: in the United States? Germany is shifting to its post 2049 01:57:24,720 --> 01:57:28,280 Speaker 1: Ukraine shift towards a major defense investments. It's part of 2050 01:57:28,280 --> 01:57:32,240 Speaker 1: the answer. So it's the broader conversation about European strategic economy, 2051 01:57:32,520 --> 01:57:36,520 Speaker 1: but it raises some tensions. Is Europe's strengthening NATO or 2052 01:57:36,560 --> 01:57:38,600 Speaker 1: preparing for a world where it may need to operate 2053 01:57:38,640 --> 01:57:44,280 Speaker 1: without it? So NATO's identity crisis has evolved. It's no 2054 01:57:44,360 --> 01:57:46,720 Speaker 1: longer just what is NATO for after the Cold War? 2055 01:57:47,280 --> 01:57:50,640 Speaker 1: It's now how permanent is the American commitment? How independent 2056 01:57:50,680 --> 01:57:54,440 Speaker 1: should Europe become? And can an alliance built on uncertainty 2057 01:57:55,160 --> 01:57:59,800 Speaker 1: function in an era of political uncertainty? I might also 2058 01:57:59,800 --> 01:58:04,760 Speaker 1: are you should it just be about North America and 2059 01:58:04,760 --> 01:58:12,360 Speaker 1: Europe or should we should this umbrella of deterrence include 2060 01:58:12,440 --> 01:58:20,280 Speaker 1: continents like South America, Asia, Africa, at least for countries 2061 01:58:20,280 --> 01:58:23,520 Speaker 1: that would like that kind of protection. But all of 2062 01:58:23,520 --> 01:58:25,360 Speaker 1: it brings us back to April fourth, nineteen forty nine. 2063 01:58:25,400 --> 01:58:27,120 Speaker 1: It was a moment when the United States made a 2064 01:58:27,120 --> 01:58:30,080 Speaker 1: decision it had resisted for more than a century to 2065 01:58:30,240 --> 01:58:35,640 Speaker 1: tie its security to others, not temporarily but permanently, because 2066 01:58:35,680 --> 01:58:39,400 Speaker 1: it had learned twice as standing apart actually carried greater risk. 2067 01:58:39,800 --> 01:58:42,800 Speaker 1: We thought we were protected being surrounded by two oceans 2068 01:58:43,160 --> 01:58:45,240 Speaker 1: and not involved in that and not living on that 2069 01:58:45,280 --> 01:58:48,440 Speaker 1: content that not to be true. So NATO wasn't born 2070 01:58:48,480 --> 01:58:51,800 Speaker 1: out of idealism. It was born out of failure, and 2071 01:58:51,840 --> 01:58:57,640 Speaker 1: ironically that's why it's lasted. But how it evolves after this, 2072 01:58:59,000 --> 01:59:06,760 Speaker 1: and what happens to Ukraine after this war ends, it's 2073 01:59:06,880 --> 01:59:08,960 Speaker 1: probably going to tell us a lot about whether NATO 2074 01:59:09,200 --> 01:59:15,680 Speaker 1: has the ability to survive in perpetuity. So there you go. 2075 01:59:16,800 --> 01:59:29,120 Speaker 1: There's your history lesson for the week, ask Chuck. All right, 2076 01:59:29,200 --> 01:59:31,640 Speaker 1: let's take some questions. First one comes from Ira Shulman, 2077 01:59:32,000 --> 01:59:34,880 Speaker 1: and Ira writes, longtime listener and fan. During the last election, 2078 01:59:35,240 --> 01:59:37,480 Speaker 1: women's rights were at the top of every news story. 2079 01:59:37,640 --> 01:59:39,800 Speaker 1: We were told by almost every new outlet that inflation 2080 01:59:39,920 --> 01:59:41,880 Speaker 1: was transitory and that regular people did not know how 2081 01:59:41,920 --> 01:59:44,280 Speaker 1: great the economy was. You talked about the price of check, 2082 01:59:44,320 --> 01:59:46,640 Speaker 1: and now it's about affordability. How come no candidates talk 2083 01:59:46,680 --> 01:59:49,120 Speaker 1: about job creation? Aren't good paying jobs that protect the 2084 01:59:49,280 --> 01:59:53,800 Speaker 1: social safety net? You know, it's interesting, it's not just 2085 01:59:53,920 --> 01:59:57,600 Speaker 1: job creation, and I think that's an issue that I think, frankly, 2086 01:59:57,600 --> 01:59:59,600 Speaker 1: it's because there's no politicians. They don't know where the 2087 01:59:59,600 --> 02:00:02,520 Speaker 1: next jo are coming from. We're not, We don't. The 2088 02:00:02,600 --> 02:00:05,520 Speaker 1: scary part about the transition we're in right now is 2089 02:00:05,560 --> 02:00:10,160 Speaker 1: we know we're in. We're transitioning rapidly to UH, an 2090 02:00:10,200 --> 02:00:12,960 Speaker 1: economy that's going to be powered in some form by 2091 02:00:13,360 --> 02:00:16,000 Speaker 1: artificial intelligence, and that this is going to be a 2092 02:00:16,040 --> 02:00:19,960 Speaker 1: massive transformation. And we in history says when we have 2093 02:00:20,080 --> 02:00:23,879 Speaker 1: these massive technological transitions like we did with the Industrial Revolution, 2094 02:00:24,880 --> 02:00:26,200 Speaker 1: that there are a bunch of jobs that go away, 2095 02:00:26,280 --> 02:00:27,840 Speaker 1: and there's a bunch of new jobs that come up, 2096 02:00:27,880 --> 02:00:29,600 Speaker 1: but we don't know what they all look like yet. 2097 02:00:31,600 --> 02:00:35,480 Speaker 1: And you're right that we're not in so, you know, 2098 02:00:35,520 --> 02:00:40,960 Speaker 1: even five years ago, I think the Democratic answer to 2099 02:00:41,160 --> 02:00:43,760 Speaker 1: what the new jobs looked like was all things. You know, 2100 02:00:44,120 --> 02:00:46,000 Speaker 1: it was really only a clean energy world that they 2101 02:00:46,000 --> 02:00:49,320 Speaker 1: were focused on. I think the Trump answer has been 2102 02:00:49,360 --> 02:00:53,600 Speaker 1: if if we get rid of illegal immigration, there'll be 2103 02:00:53,600 --> 02:00:55,240 Speaker 1: a lot more jobs that they're ready for people in 2104 02:00:55,280 --> 02:00:58,800 Speaker 1: the United States. I don't think that's not to be true, 2105 02:00:58,880 --> 02:01:01,920 Speaker 1: and it is, you know, clearly when when the political 2106 02:01:01,920 --> 02:01:05,000 Speaker 1: winds shift, these clean energy jobs just totally disappear. So 2107 02:01:05,360 --> 02:01:07,680 Speaker 1: I think the answer your first question come, no Cani's 2108 02:01:07,720 --> 02:01:09,560 Speaker 1: talk about job creation at the moment. I don't think 2109 02:01:09,560 --> 02:01:12,000 Speaker 1: they know where the jobs are coming from. You know, 2110 02:01:12,080 --> 02:01:13,800 Speaker 1: you hear some of it on the left having to 2111 02:01:13,800 --> 02:01:16,600 Speaker 1: do with, you know, some sort of energy transition jobs. 2112 02:01:17,000 --> 02:01:20,120 Speaker 1: You certainly we talk about these you know, chip manufacturing 2113 02:01:20,160 --> 02:01:22,840 Speaker 1: and the and the buildouts that are necessary in order 2114 02:01:22,880 --> 02:01:26,160 Speaker 1: to support artificial intelligence and sort of a temporary you know, 2115 02:01:26,200 --> 02:01:28,960 Speaker 1: And you're hearing more and more commentators going, hey, the 2116 02:01:29,160 --> 02:01:30,880 Speaker 1: great new jobs are going to be things like being 2117 02:01:30,920 --> 02:01:33,520 Speaker 1: a plumber and being an electrician, And you're like, Okay, 2118 02:01:34,400 --> 02:01:36,640 Speaker 1: that's the answer for some people, but that's not you know, 2119 02:01:37,600 --> 02:01:40,440 Speaker 1: what's the next job revolution going to look like? Or 2120 02:01:40,440 --> 02:01:43,640 Speaker 1: are we going to have to start debating a larger 2121 02:01:43,680 --> 02:01:49,760 Speaker 1: social safety net, universal basic income, expanded childcare tax credit, 2122 02:01:50,560 --> 02:01:53,560 Speaker 1: shorter work weeks. Right, where is all that coming from? 2123 02:01:54,080 --> 02:01:58,000 Speaker 1: So what's interesting? I is your question to me crystallizes 2124 02:01:58,080 --> 02:02:04,880 Speaker 1: how why democratic messaging these days in particular feels more 2125 02:02:05,040 --> 02:02:11,040 Speaker 1: reactionary rather than forward looking. Right, and the new ideas 2126 02:02:11,520 --> 02:02:14,480 Speaker 1: are about job creation the way don't seem to have 2127 02:02:14,520 --> 02:02:18,680 Speaker 1: the traction. I think because clean energy is not seen 2128 02:02:18,720 --> 02:02:21,040 Speaker 1: as sort of embraced in that sixty to sixty five 2129 02:02:21,080 --> 02:02:27,160 Speaker 1: percent larger core of the American lector, which I frankly 2130 02:02:27,160 --> 02:02:31,560 Speaker 1: thought we were on our way to pre Trump. I 2131 02:02:31,600 --> 02:02:33,600 Speaker 1: think that's been hard to visualize. Another issue I'd throw 2132 02:02:33,600 --> 02:02:36,400 Speaker 1: out there. So when you don't have the good paying 2133 02:02:36,520 --> 02:02:42,000 Speaker 1: job issue to push and talk about job creation, because 2134 02:02:42,040 --> 02:02:45,840 Speaker 1: right now it feels like it's job replacement R this 2135 02:02:45,920 --> 02:02:49,320 Speaker 1: AI replacement of jobs, then you should be talking about education. 2136 02:02:50,440 --> 02:02:54,440 Speaker 1: And that's another area where Democrats are just decided not 2137 02:02:54,640 --> 02:02:57,840 Speaker 1: to put education as front and center as they once did. 2138 02:02:58,360 --> 02:03:01,680 Speaker 1: I would love to steer you back to my conversation 2139 02:03:01,760 --> 02:03:04,520 Speaker 1: with Ram Emmanuel a couple probably about three or four 2140 02:03:04,520 --> 02:03:08,400 Speaker 1: weeks ago, where he talked about this is all he's 2141 02:03:08,440 --> 02:03:12,320 Speaker 1: been doing is going around the stump talking about education, 2142 02:03:12,600 --> 02:03:16,480 Speaker 1: and he noted with me how much Democrats have sort 2143 02:03:16,520 --> 02:03:21,120 Speaker 1: of let that drop off the national conversation, and you know, 2144 02:03:21,400 --> 02:03:24,120 Speaker 1: I think there's a reason, and I particularly with Latino voters. 2145 02:03:24,120 --> 02:03:25,960 Speaker 1: I think the reason Latino voters have been more open 2146 02:03:26,000 --> 02:03:29,360 Speaker 1: to Republicans is the more they talk about education a 2147 02:03:29,360 --> 02:03:31,920 Speaker 1: lot more. Some of it has to do with school 2148 02:03:32,000 --> 02:03:35,839 Speaker 1: choice things like that, but they're talking about the education issue. 2149 02:03:36,200 --> 02:03:39,800 Speaker 1: Democrats largely have not in the way that they even 2150 02:03:39,880 --> 02:03:43,560 Speaker 1: used to just ten or fifteen years ago. Next question 2151 02:03:43,560 --> 02:03:46,520 Speaker 1: comes from Jim. Jim writes, Hey, the Strait of Ormuz 2152 02:03:46,720 --> 02:03:48,919 Speaker 1: has such an international impact due to a Ran disclosure 2153 02:03:48,920 --> 02:03:50,800 Speaker 1: of it as leverage. What else is out there that 2154 02:03:50,880 --> 02:03:52,520 Speaker 1: is the equivalent of the Strait of Ormus that other 2155 02:03:52,520 --> 02:03:55,680 Speaker 1: countries have potential leverage out there? Well, that's the Panama Canal, 2156 02:03:55,800 --> 02:03:58,560 Speaker 1: there's the Suez Canal. Right, you know, you've got I 2157 02:03:58,600 --> 02:04:02,320 Speaker 1: think what you would argue the Strait of Taiwan is 2158 02:04:02,680 --> 02:04:05,080 Speaker 1: one of these things. So you know, some of these 2159 02:04:05,120 --> 02:04:10,280 Speaker 1: big choke points that could be the cause. Right, geography 2160 02:04:10,320 --> 02:04:14,480 Speaker 1: can have be a cause of war, simple geography, but 2161 02:04:14,600 --> 02:04:18,839 Speaker 1: it's it is you know, we learn this in science 2162 02:04:18,880 --> 02:04:21,640 Speaker 1: fiction if you follow Star Wars, right, what really triggers 2163 02:04:21,680 --> 02:04:25,640 Speaker 1: the war? Between the between the empire and the rebellion. 2164 02:04:25,680 --> 02:04:29,800 Speaker 1: It was trade. Right, when you block trade, when you 2165 02:04:29,920 --> 02:04:33,560 Speaker 1: limit economic opportunity or growth and whatever way you want 2166 02:04:33,560 --> 02:04:36,400 Speaker 1: to in trade is essentially one of those things that 2167 02:04:36,640 --> 02:04:40,120 Speaker 1: is usually some sort of trigger, right, you do an embargo, 2168 02:04:40,200 --> 02:04:43,120 Speaker 1: you do whatever you're doing there that can easily trigger 2169 02:04:44,320 --> 02:04:48,200 Speaker 1: a violent response. And so I think it's it's it's 2170 02:04:48,320 --> 02:04:51,680 Speaker 1: essentially the big shipping lanes are the big ones. You 2171 02:04:51,720 --> 02:04:54,879 Speaker 1: have the Panama, the Suez, and the Strait of Ormons. 2172 02:04:55,400 --> 02:04:57,640 Speaker 1: So those those three, so Suez would be up there 2173 02:04:57,720 --> 02:05:03,400 Speaker 1: by Egypt, Panama Canals, Panama. We know Donald Trump was 2174 02:05:03,640 --> 02:05:05,640 Speaker 1: concerned that the Chinese were going to get control of 2175 02:05:05,640 --> 02:05:07,440 Speaker 1: the Panama Canal. And then if you have the Trait 2176 02:05:07,520 --> 02:05:10,440 Speaker 1: of Taiwan, and there's an interview I'm gonna have pretty 2177 02:05:10,440 --> 02:05:13,720 Speaker 1: soon about sort of potential preparing for a war with 2178 02:05:13,840 --> 02:05:20,880 Speaker 1: China over Taiwan and just sort of how you know 2179 02:05:20,960 --> 02:05:26,960 Speaker 1: how those shipping those those shipping lanes, and that part 2180 02:05:27,640 --> 02:05:31,760 Speaker 1: near Taiwan is a very contested space. So those would 2181 02:05:31,760 --> 02:05:33,880 Speaker 1: be the first the first that jump out at me, 2182 02:05:36,120 --> 02:05:42,160 Speaker 1: Nick Radovic or Radovic, we'll see how I did there, 2183 02:05:42,240 --> 02:05:44,720 Speaker 1: you'll tell me. I hope Nick, He goes, Hey, it 2184 02:05:44,760 --> 02:05:47,600 Speaker 1: never occurred to me that Trump conflated political asylum with 2185 02:05:47,640 --> 02:05:49,840 Speaker 1: insane asilence. I think you're right. Thanks for the laugh 2186 02:05:49,920 --> 02:05:52,440 Speaker 1: this morning. I wish I were making this up, but 2187 02:05:52,480 --> 02:05:54,600 Speaker 1: it's pretty clear to me he's doing it. I mean, look, 2188 02:05:54,640 --> 02:05:58,400 Speaker 1: we learned this right excursion incursion. I mean, you know, 2189 02:05:59,400 --> 02:06:05,840 Speaker 1: he's not the first we all I butcher, as I 2190 02:06:05,920 --> 02:06:08,680 Speaker 1: just did with your last name. I butcher pronunciations all 2191 02:06:08,680 --> 02:06:10,680 Speaker 1: the time. So I am not going to mock anybody 2192 02:06:10,920 --> 02:06:14,560 Speaker 1: that Butcher's pronunciations or anything like this. You know, I 2193 02:06:14,600 --> 02:06:20,080 Speaker 1: love somebody said this, Hey, never criticize somebody that mispronounces 2194 02:06:20,080 --> 02:06:23,320 Speaker 1: something because it means they attempted to read. And I 2195 02:06:23,320 --> 02:06:27,200 Speaker 1: thought that's a I like that. But yeah, it's pretty 2196 02:06:27,280 --> 02:06:32,560 Speaker 1: it's pretty clear that he doesn't quite understand the word asylums. 2197 02:06:34,680 --> 02:06:38,160 Speaker 1: And I wish I were kidding, but I don't think 2198 02:06:38,200 --> 02:06:41,240 Speaker 1: I am Robin San Francisco rites. Hey, your recent comments 2199 02:06:41,280 --> 02:06:43,080 Speaker 1: in democratic leadership got me thinking. I grew up in 2200 02:06:43,120 --> 02:06:45,240 Speaker 1: the UK, where each party is a single leader who 2201 02:06:45,280 --> 02:06:47,760 Speaker 1: speaks for it at all times. In the US, that 2202 02:06:47,840 --> 02:06:50,680 Speaker 1: voice is perpetually split between the national committees, the Senate 2203 02:06:50,720 --> 02:06:53,360 Speaker 1: and the House, with real unity only emerging briefly when 2204 02:06:53,360 --> 02:06:56,360 Speaker 1: a presidential nominee has chosen. Since twenty fifteen, Republicans have 2205 02:06:56,360 --> 02:06:59,600 Speaker 1: had one dominant voice in Trump. Is the Democrats problem 2206 02:06:59,640 --> 02:07:02,640 Speaker 1: less about individual leaders and more about a structural inability 2207 02:07:02,640 --> 02:07:05,880 Speaker 1: to consolidate messaging? And if so, is there any realistic fix? 2208 02:07:07,040 --> 02:07:09,640 Speaker 1: Rob in San Francisco. Well, I'd argue anytime a party 2209 02:07:09,680 --> 02:07:12,080 Speaker 1: is out of power for a period of time, or 2210 02:07:12,120 --> 02:07:14,760 Speaker 1: certainly when they lose a well known leader, they struggle, 2211 02:07:14,840 --> 02:07:19,520 Speaker 1: like I so take you know, Democrats were you know, 2212 02:07:19,560 --> 02:07:21,960 Speaker 1: there were sort of a series of singular Republicans that 2213 02:07:22,000 --> 02:07:25,280 Speaker 1: spoke for the party at Nixon, then Nixon transitioned to Reagan. 2214 02:07:26,240 --> 02:07:28,800 Speaker 1: You had the Kennedy and Johnson in the sixties, and 2215 02:07:28,800 --> 02:07:32,120 Speaker 1: then you sort of Carter never really grabbed that mantle, 2216 02:07:33,080 --> 02:07:36,800 Speaker 1: and so that there was you know, so, but you 2217 02:07:36,800 --> 02:07:38,760 Speaker 1: could argue who was the leader of the Republican Party 2218 02:07:38,840 --> 02:07:44,080 Speaker 1: during the Obama era? Right, they were constantly searching for one. 2219 02:07:44,200 --> 02:07:46,320 Speaker 1: It really wasn't McCain. If it was, they would have 2220 02:07:46,800 --> 02:07:49,960 Speaker 1: had an immigration deal. Right, McCain was leading in somebody's 2221 02:07:50,040 --> 02:07:52,600 Speaker 1: leading the party down that road, but it got him nowhere, Right, 2222 02:07:52,720 --> 02:07:54,560 Speaker 1: Romney wasn't really a leader of the party ended up 2223 02:07:54,560 --> 02:07:59,760 Speaker 1: the nominee. So I think in this case it's this 2224 02:07:59,840 --> 02:08:05,280 Speaker 1: is when you when you get a presidency for two terms, 2225 02:08:06,160 --> 02:08:08,560 Speaker 1: A lot of times you know you have that, and 2226 02:08:08,600 --> 02:08:11,600 Speaker 1: then it's the other party that is constantly looking for 2227 02:08:11,600 --> 02:08:15,040 Speaker 1: a back look the singing. Having the presidency makes it 2228 02:08:15,080 --> 02:08:17,280 Speaker 1: look like your party has a leader. When you don't 2229 02:08:17,280 --> 02:08:20,360 Speaker 1: have the presidency, it looks like everything is split into 2230 02:08:20,360 --> 02:08:23,840 Speaker 1: different factions because everything is split into different factions right A. 2231 02:08:24,440 --> 02:08:28,080 Speaker 1: Usually somebody that successfully gets elected president means they've figured 2232 02:08:28,120 --> 02:08:31,040 Speaker 1: out how to bring their party together, create a coalition 2233 02:08:31,120 --> 02:08:33,320 Speaker 1: that might be slightly bigger than their party. Now, I 2234 02:08:33,320 --> 02:08:36,120 Speaker 1: would argue that neither that. Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, and 2235 02:08:36,160 --> 02:08:39,160 Speaker 1: Kamala Harris have struggled to create a coalition that's bigger 2236 02:08:39,240 --> 02:08:41,760 Speaker 1: than their party. Barack Obama created a coalition that was 2237 02:08:41,760 --> 02:08:44,280 Speaker 1: bigger than his party. Bill Clinton created a coalition that 2238 02:08:44,320 --> 02:08:46,720 Speaker 1: was slightly bigger than his party. Ronald Reagan created a 2239 02:08:46,720 --> 02:08:49,880 Speaker 1: coalition as bigger his party. When you hit that point, 2240 02:08:50,000 --> 02:08:52,640 Speaker 1: I think that's when you feel like you can put 2241 02:08:52,680 --> 02:08:58,240 Speaker 1: your party together, and that's why you know, what direction 2242 02:08:58,520 --> 02:09:02,840 Speaker 1: does the party take? Choosing its next presidential nominee. And 2243 02:09:02,880 --> 02:09:05,560 Speaker 1: then when that person is chosen, how do they choose 2244 02:09:05,560 --> 02:09:07,920 Speaker 1: to lead? Right? Are they going to try to be 2245 02:09:07,960 --> 02:09:10,520 Speaker 1: a sixty percent president or are they going to try 2246 02:09:10,560 --> 02:09:14,160 Speaker 1: to be a fifty percent plus one president. There's a difference, Right, 2247 02:09:14,240 --> 02:09:17,240 Speaker 1: If you're striving for sixty percent approval, you're going to 2248 02:09:17,360 --> 02:09:21,520 Speaker 1: disappoint your base more often than the base would like. 2249 02:09:22,160 --> 02:09:24,440 Speaker 1: If it's fifty percent plus one, then you're going to 2250 02:09:24,520 --> 02:09:26,920 Speaker 1: lean more heavily on your base, and you're essentially going 2251 02:09:26,960 --> 02:09:30,400 Speaker 1: to put the center into a put them in a 2252 02:09:30,400 --> 02:09:34,320 Speaker 1: tough position to make a choice between something that goes 2253 02:09:34,360 --> 02:09:36,240 Speaker 1: too far in one direction versus something that goes too 2254 02:09:36,280 --> 02:09:45,840 Speaker 1: far in the other direction. But that's why we have elections, 2255 02:09:46,000 --> 02:09:47,400 Speaker 1: and that's what I think we're going to learn a 2256 02:09:47,400 --> 02:09:49,200 Speaker 1: little bit in twenty six and a lot of it 2257 02:09:49,360 --> 02:09:52,560 Speaker 1: in twenty eight. Next question does not have a name 2258 02:09:52,600 --> 02:09:57,640 Speaker 1: on It looks like it's from anonymous, but I'll read 2259 02:09:57,680 --> 02:10:02,640 Speaker 1: it anyway. I've been thinking about whether there should be 2260 02:10:02,640 --> 02:10:05,400 Speaker 1: a constitutional amendment requiring that any presidential pardon be approved 2261 02:10:05,400 --> 02:10:07,640 Speaker 1: by a two thirds vote of the Senate Judiciary Committee 2262 02:10:07,680 --> 02:10:09,520 Speaker 1: as a simple check on that power and to prevent 2263 02:10:09,520 --> 02:10:13,240 Speaker 1: potential abuse, especially in cases involving family members are close associates. 2264 02:10:13,240 --> 02:10:16,120 Speaker 1: Do you think a reform like that is realistic or constitutional? 2265 02:10:16,160 --> 02:10:18,960 Speaker 1: Is there any serious discussion in legal or political circles 2266 02:10:19,000 --> 02:10:23,400 Speaker 1: about putting limits on presidential pardon power? Well, I hope 2267 02:10:23,560 --> 02:10:27,120 Speaker 1: you checked out the interview I had with Jolly Johnny 2268 02:10:27,160 --> 02:10:32,200 Speaker 1: Congressman Johnny Olachski. God, I hope I got that right. Anyway, 2269 02:10:32,280 --> 02:10:38,360 Speaker 1: Johnny O Baltimore, congressman who introduced the has introduced a 2270 02:10:38,360 --> 02:10:41,080 Speaker 1: constitutional amendment to see if you can get Congress to pass. 2271 02:10:41,120 --> 02:10:43,960 Speaker 1: It has at least one Republican co sponsor, Don Bacon, 2272 02:10:44,280 --> 02:10:46,720 Speaker 1: and it is a it's similar to what you're describing. 2273 02:10:46,760 --> 02:10:50,720 Speaker 1: It's essentially the ability for Congress to nullify a presidential pardon. 2274 02:10:50,720 --> 02:10:55,280 Speaker 1: And now it would take you know, two essentially two thirds. Essentially, 2275 02:10:55,320 --> 02:10:58,080 Speaker 1: this what it takes to overwrite a presidential veto is 2276 02:10:58,080 --> 02:11:00,640 Speaker 1: what it would take to overwrite a presidential pardon. But 2277 02:11:00,880 --> 02:11:05,040 Speaker 1: just putting that check in there, I think it's I think, 2278 02:11:05,320 --> 02:11:07,880 Speaker 1: you know, I kind of like where you're going. I 2279 02:11:07,920 --> 02:11:09,480 Speaker 1: think we should have a pardon board. I think we 2280 02:11:09,480 --> 02:11:12,600 Speaker 1: should even just get rid of the singular power that 2281 02:11:12,640 --> 02:11:14,640 Speaker 1: the president has to do this. I think it should 2282 02:11:14,640 --> 02:11:16,840 Speaker 1: have been a board from the very beginning, and it 2283 02:11:16,880 --> 02:11:18,680 Speaker 1: has always been one of these head scratches to me, 2284 02:11:18,840 --> 02:11:22,080 Speaker 1: like what why why did the founders who were revolting 2285 02:11:22,120 --> 02:11:27,080 Speaker 1: against the monarch give the president a power that only 2286 02:11:27,280 --> 02:11:31,400 Speaker 1: a monarch used to have. So the point is is 2287 02:11:31,400 --> 02:11:35,440 Speaker 1: that you're going to need a constitutional amendment in order 2288 02:11:35,520 --> 02:11:38,920 Speaker 1: to notify a presidential pardon. So it does have to 2289 02:11:38,960 --> 02:11:41,360 Speaker 1: be a constitutional amendment, or else it wouldn't be constitutional. 2290 02:11:41,720 --> 02:11:44,920 Speaker 1: I know that's redundant to say it that way, but basically, 2291 02:11:45,520 --> 02:11:49,320 Speaker 1: Congress could pass no law without a constitutional amendment that 2292 02:11:49,360 --> 02:11:55,800 Speaker 1: would have any impact on denying a presidential art Next question, 2293 02:11:58,800 --> 02:12:04,840 Speaker 1: another one here, hundred percent sure we have I don't 2294 02:12:04,880 --> 02:12:06,960 Speaker 1: think we have a name on this one either, more 2295 02:12:06,960 --> 02:12:10,520 Speaker 1: anonymous question. I like it, Hey, I've been a long 2296 02:12:10,520 --> 02:12:12,680 Speaker 1: time listener since your days at Meet the Press. Appreciate it, 2297 02:12:12,720 --> 02:12:14,840 Speaker 1: Love your podcast and always listen to it during my 2298 02:12:14,920 --> 02:12:17,520 Speaker 1: walks or on long car trips. I know, and I 2299 02:12:17,600 --> 02:12:19,320 Speaker 1: keep getting longer for you, so you're going to need 2300 02:12:19,360 --> 02:12:22,520 Speaker 1: to do longer card trips. Two things I think you 2301 02:12:22,520 --> 02:12:25,600 Speaker 1: often call Michigan Senate hopeful Mallory McMorrow by the wrong. 2302 02:12:25,600 --> 02:12:27,560 Speaker 1: First name. I think you're right. I don't say Mallory. 2303 02:12:28,640 --> 02:12:30,840 Speaker 1: I call her Molly McMorrow. You are one hundred percent 2304 02:12:30,920 --> 02:12:33,440 Speaker 1: right my error. Thank you for pointing that out. I 2305 02:12:33,440 --> 02:12:35,440 Speaker 1: think she has a bright future in Michigan national politics. 2306 02:12:35,440 --> 02:12:37,920 Speaker 1: I do do. In fact, I think she's if she 2307 02:12:38,040 --> 02:12:42,880 Speaker 1: wins the primary, she wins the Senate race. I think 2308 02:12:42,920 --> 02:12:46,040 Speaker 1: i'd read it's interesting she seems to be the Goldilocks candidate. 2309 02:12:46,120 --> 02:12:47,680 Speaker 1: You know, you have three candidates. Don't mean to like 2310 02:12:47,840 --> 02:12:49,880 Speaker 1: beat up that thing, right, you have one it appears 2311 02:12:49,920 --> 02:12:51,640 Speaker 1: a bit too progressive, one of it appears a bit 2312 02:12:51,640 --> 02:12:55,960 Speaker 1: too establishment, and I think Mallory I keep calling her Molly, 2313 02:12:56,000 --> 02:12:59,280 Speaker 1: and thank you for fixing that. Is doing a pretty 2314 02:12:59,280 --> 02:13:01,560 Speaker 1: good jobs splitting the difference. Sometimes he's put the difference 2315 02:13:01,600 --> 02:13:04,920 Speaker 1: and you can disappoint everybody. In this case, I think 2316 02:13:04,920 --> 02:13:06,880 Speaker 1: it's going to work. Second, I love your interview with 2317 02:13:06,920 --> 02:13:09,760 Speaker 1: floridattorney John Morgan. Yes, mister Morgan and Morgan, you think 2318 02:13:09,800 --> 02:13:11,600 Speaker 1: Morgan will pull the trigger and run for Florida governor 2319 02:13:11,600 --> 02:13:13,720 Speaker 1: as independent? Seems like we are too close to the 2320 02:13:13,720 --> 02:13:16,160 Speaker 1: election if he jumps in this slate. Mike Duggan, an 2321 02:13:16,160 --> 02:13:18,600 Speaker 1: independent former Democratic mayor of Detroit has been running for 2322 02:13:18,640 --> 02:13:21,280 Speaker 1: Michigan gov since he was still in the mayor's office. 2323 02:13:21,440 --> 02:13:23,480 Speaker 1: During your interview, Morgan seemed like he was all in 2324 02:13:23,520 --> 02:13:25,280 Speaker 1: on the race for Florida governor. I think voters in 2325 02:13:25,280 --> 02:13:28,120 Speaker 1: Florida are looking for something different, especially after two terms 2326 02:13:28,120 --> 02:13:29,920 Speaker 1: of Ron DeSantis. Thanks for all you do. I look 2327 02:13:29,960 --> 02:13:31,879 Speaker 1: forward to listening to every episode you drop. I appreciate 2328 02:13:31,920 --> 02:13:35,560 Speaker 1: you asking. Look, I think it's pretty clear, and I've 2329 02:13:35,600 --> 02:13:38,640 Speaker 1: had I've had more conversations with him offline and with 2330 02:13:38,680 --> 02:13:43,960 Speaker 1: people close to John Morgan that he's you know, he's 2331 02:13:45,440 --> 02:13:48,280 Speaker 1: he's still open to doing it. The filing deadline hasn't passed, 2332 02:13:48,320 --> 02:13:49,960 Speaker 1: and he probably is one of the few with the 2333 02:13:50,000 --> 02:13:52,840 Speaker 1: resources if he chooses to do it, could still do it. 2334 02:13:53,480 --> 02:13:55,960 Speaker 1: I think he's skeptical that the Democratic brand is strong 2335 02:13:56,080 --> 02:13:58,160 Speaker 1: enough to win, no matter even if they nominate a 2336 02:13:58,160 --> 02:14:01,840 Speaker 1: former Republican. I you know, we now have a Democratic 2337 02:14:01,840 --> 02:14:05,280 Speaker 1: primary between the mayor of Orlando, Jerry Demings, and the 2338 02:14:07,040 --> 02:14:09,560 Speaker 1: it's Orange County mayor actually sorry, which is the county 2339 02:14:09,560 --> 02:14:17,600 Speaker 1: that encompasses Orlando, and former Republican Congressman David Jolly. And 2340 02:14:17,640 --> 02:14:23,240 Speaker 1: so we'll see how that goes. And you know, I'm 2341 02:14:23,280 --> 02:14:26,640 Speaker 1: still waiting for the Republican primary to get more competitive 2342 02:14:26,680 --> 02:14:29,080 Speaker 1: than people realize. I mean, Byron Donald's has a massive 2343 02:14:29,080 --> 02:14:32,880 Speaker 1: amount of money, Trump's endorsement, it's all very strong, but 2344 02:14:32,920 --> 02:14:38,480 Speaker 1: it's clear Governor DeSantis would like somebody else, And you know, 2345 02:14:38,560 --> 02:14:41,920 Speaker 1: I'm not sure. You know, I don't think Desantas is 2346 02:14:41,960 --> 02:14:45,160 Speaker 1: alone in wanting somebody else. He's just the most vocal 2347 02:14:45,280 --> 02:14:49,040 Speaker 1: about wanting something somebody else. But the candidates that have 2348 02:14:49,080 --> 02:14:52,680 Speaker 1: popped up are not exactly don't look like winners, and 2349 02:14:52,760 --> 02:14:57,400 Speaker 1: I can't imagine would do that. So but I'm I 2350 02:14:57,440 --> 02:15:05,000 Speaker 1: think this is a more fluid state politically then folks realize. 2351 02:15:05,480 --> 02:15:08,520 Speaker 1: But I don't think the Democratic Party is putting in 2352 02:15:08,560 --> 02:15:11,880 Speaker 1: the resources to actually make the state competitive on a 2353 02:15:11,920 --> 02:15:14,680 Speaker 1: state wide level. So then the question is, could I 2354 02:15:14,720 --> 02:15:16,840 Speaker 1: do think this is a case where a third party 2355 02:15:16,880 --> 02:15:18,680 Speaker 1: candidate could really make a lot of noise, because I 2356 02:15:18,720 --> 02:15:21,000 Speaker 1: think there is kind of a hunger. Florida is a 2357 02:15:21,440 --> 02:15:24,200 Speaker 1: I think a right leaning state, but more in the 2358 02:15:24,200 --> 02:15:28,600 Speaker 1: libertarian sense, meaning that there's a you know that when 2359 02:15:28,600 --> 02:15:33,000 Speaker 1: the Republicans get too sort of you know, the conservative 2360 02:15:33,040 --> 02:15:35,840 Speaker 1: movement that Trump has led, and arguably DeSantis has led 2361 02:15:35,880 --> 02:15:38,160 Speaker 1: has not been small government at all. It's been government 2362 02:15:38,480 --> 02:15:41,040 Speaker 1: involved in your lives almost too much. Right, It's really 2363 02:15:41,640 --> 02:15:44,240 Speaker 1: pushed away the libertarian wing of the Republican Party, and 2364 02:15:44,240 --> 02:15:47,080 Speaker 1: that's why you're seeing so many I think the libertarians 2365 02:15:47,160 --> 02:15:49,400 Speaker 1: be less comfortable with the right than they've been in 2366 02:15:49,440 --> 02:15:56,240 Speaker 1: a long time because of this decision by some of 2367 02:15:56,280 --> 02:16:00,400 Speaker 1: these Republican leaders to have government more involved in your life, 2368 02:16:00,520 --> 02:16:05,240 Speaker 1: using government as a weapon to get involved in America's 2369 02:16:05,280 --> 02:16:09,240 Speaker 1: culture and things like this. So I don't disagree that 2370 02:16:09,280 --> 02:16:11,960 Speaker 1: the I think they I think the appetite is there, 2371 02:16:12,960 --> 02:16:16,960 Speaker 1: and I certainly think it's a right. Morgan is the 2372 02:16:17,040 --> 02:16:19,280 Speaker 1: right guy, but he might be a few years too old. 2373 02:16:19,680 --> 02:16:21,680 Speaker 1: I mean, what you really need is a reincarnation of 2374 02:16:21,760 --> 02:16:24,000 Speaker 1: Lotton Childs, who, while it was a Democrat then I 2375 02:16:24,000 --> 02:16:28,160 Speaker 1: think today would be sort of an independent of some sort, 2376 02:16:28,320 --> 02:16:30,760 Speaker 1: you know, sort of more probably closer. I mean John 2377 02:16:30,760 --> 02:16:32,680 Speaker 1: Morgan clearly is more of a Clinton Democrat, more of 2378 02:16:32,680 --> 02:16:38,520 Speaker 1: a Loton Child's Democrat. I think that's that could work, right, 2379 02:16:39,000 --> 02:16:41,879 Speaker 1: you know, sort of somebody out of the somebody out 2380 02:16:41,879 --> 02:16:44,600 Speaker 1: of the head of Carl Hyson, if you will, of 2381 02:16:44,600 --> 02:16:48,120 Speaker 1: how Carl Huson would design an independent governor. Sorry, I'm 2382 02:16:48,160 --> 02:16:53,560 Speaker 1: a huge hyasin fan of his novels. Have some strong 2383 02:16:53,560 --> 02:16:55,760 Speaker 1: feelings about Decker, and I'm not going to get into 2384 02:16:55,840 --> 02:16:58,640 Speaker 1: him now because I don't want to derail my conversation 2385 02:16:59,520 --> 02:17:03,840 Speaker 1: and to all this answer. But you know, I'm you know, 2386 02:17:03,959 --> 02:17:09,400 Speaker 1: look I've been I've been dancing around this moment of 2387 02:17:09,800 --> 02:17:13,400 Speaker 1: looking for you know, I do think voters are looking 2388 02:17:13,440 --> 02:17:17,560 Speaker 1: for an alternative to this, to this NonStop polarization that 2389 02:17:17,600 --> 02:17:20,560 Speaker 1: we're in. I just don't know if there's credible third 2390 02:17:20,560 --> 02:17:23,640 Speaker 1: party or credible independent actors yet that are ready to 2391 02:17:24,280 --> 02:17:26,760 Speaker 1: take the jump. I think Morgan has a lot of 2392 02:17:26,760 --> 02:17:28,880 Speaker 1: the tools you need, a little bit of fame, a 2393 02:17:28,959 --> 02:17:33,160 Speaker 1: lot of bit of money, but he's got to have 2394 02:17:33,200 --> 02:17:36,240 Speaker 1: the ambition. And I actually don't know if he's got 2395 02:17:36,280 --> 02:17:41,680 Speaker 1: the ambition. I think he'd I think he'd be just 2396 02:17:41,720 --> 02:17:47,279 Speaker 1: as just as happy, uh getting getting everything legalized in Florida, 2397 02:17:47,560 --> 02:17:51,520 Speaker 1: if you know what I mean, and focusing on that 2398 02:17:51,600 --> 02:17:55,320 Speaker 1: and enjoying a little bit of retirement. But I do 2399 02:17:55,400 --> 02:17:59,360 Speaker 1: think his there is You're not wrong. He is probably 2400 02:18:00,120 --> 02:18:02,240 Speaker 1: somebody similar to him as the type of person that 2401 02:18:02,240 --> 02:18:04,200 Speaker 1: can break through. He's got a little bit of got 2402 02:18:04,240 --> 02:18:06,920 Speaker 1: a little bit of Jesse venturing him. And I say 2403 02:18:06,920 --> 02:18:10,840 Speaker 1: that as a compliment, And that's why he might just 2404 02:18:10,920 --> 02:18:14,200 Speaker 1: be just be quirky enough in that good in that 2405 02:18:14,440 --> 02:18:17,720 Speaker 1: in the in that Florida man way, he gained traction. 2406 02:18:18,160 --> 02:18:20,080 Speaker 1: But you got to have the ambition to do it. 2407 02:18:20,240 --> 02:18:23,840 Speaker 1: And I'm not one hundred percent sure he's all in 2408 02:18:23,879 --> 02:18:26,039 Speaker 1: on that. I think if he, if he was, he'd 2409 02:18:26,040 --> 02:18:29,320 Speaker 1: already be there. All right, I only got two more 2410 02:18:29,400 --> 02:18:32,240 Speaker 1: questions here, so let's take them. Let's finish it up. 2411 02:18:34,080 --> 02:18:36,160 Speaker 1: Greg from Central Illinois riots, Hey, last week, I was 2412 02:18:36,160 --> 02:18:38,440 Speaker 1: an election judge in Central Illinois. I've been doing it 2413 02:18:38,440 --> 02:18:40,520 Speaker 1: for years, so I was not surprised by the low number. 2414 02:18:40,520 --> 02:18:42,800 Speaker 1: We only had less than one hundred and fifty people vote. 2415 02:18:42,800 --> 02:18:45,040 Speaker 1: But before the poll opened, we were discussing if it 2416 02:18:45,120 --> 02:18:47,680 Speaker 1: was going to be low since it happened, since it 2417 02:18:47,720 --> 02:18:49,920 Speaker 1: happened to be Saint Patrick's day. My question would be 2418 02:18:49,959 --> 02:18:52,000 Speaker 1: if we had open primaries where the top two vote 2419 02:18:52,040 --> 02:18:54,360 Speaker 1: getters have to face off with each other, would that 2420 02:18:54,400 --> 02:18:56,680 Speaker 1: be a solution. The other thing is I noticed on 2421 02:18:56,800 --> 02:18:59,879 Speaker 1: party ballots only I had one candidate for multiple seats, 2422 02:18:59,879 --> 02:19:02,160 Speaker 1: and the other party had many seats with no candidate. 2423 02:19:02,560 --> 02:19:05,320 Speaker 1: Thank you Craig from Central Illinois. Look, I do think 2424 02:19:05,560 --> 02:19:09,760 Speaker 1: putting everybody on the same ballot top two, maybe it's 2425 02:19:10,040 --> 02:19:12,600 Speaker 1: the top four, and then there's a general election, and 2426 02:19:12,600 --> 02:19:14,920 Speaker 1: then if nobody gets fifty percent, there's a runoff from there. 2427 02:19:15,760 --> 02:19:21,240 Speaker 1: But anything that engages more of the electorate I think 2428 02:19:21,320 --> 02:19:25,000 Speaker 1: is healthier for the democracy. Anything that limits the number 2429 02:19:25,040 --> 02:19:27,600 Speaker 1: of people who can participate in election is just not 2430 02:19:27,720 --> 02:19:32,200 Speaker 1: fully democratic hard style all right, I'm not saying ablic 2431 02:19:32,600 --> 02:19:34,760 Speaker 1: A club called the Republican Party and a club called 2432 02:19:34,800 --> 02:19:38,000 Speaker 1: the Democratic Party can't decide who their preferences are, can't 2433 02:19:38,000 --> 02:19:40,600 Speaker 1: say who they would like to see. But I think 2434 02:19:40,680 --> 02:19:44,200 Speaker 1: them deciding who gets to participate in election and that 2435 02:19:44,320 --> 02:19:47,040 Speaker 1: you get to keep other people out, and especially using 2436 02:19:47,080 --> 02:19:49,000 Speaker 1: the power of the state to keep other people out 2437 02:19:49,040 --> 02:19:50,879 Speaker 1: just because they didn't choose to become members of a 2438 02:19:50,879 --> 02:19:58,039 Speaker 1: private institution, feels frankly unconstitutional and certainly feels undemocratic. So 2439 02:19:58,160 --> 02:20:00,880 Speaker 1: I am a huge advocate of this, huge advocate of 2440 02:20:00,920 --> 02:20:05,240 Speaker 1: all party primaries, all open primaries. One Look, I think 2441 02:20:05,240 --> 02:20:09,320 Speaker 1: the ideal situation is that we should be registered voters heartstop. 2442 02:20:10,040 --> 02:20:12,640 Speaker 1: We should not have to pick a political party and 2443 02:20:12,680 --> 02:20:17,680 Speaker 1: tell the government where any government, local, state, or federal, 2444 02:20:18,000 --> 02:20:21,200 Speaker 1: what party I choose to become a member of. I 2445 02:20:21,240 --> 02:20:23,879 Speaker 1: don't understand why that has to be part of the 2446 02:20:23,959 --> 02:20:31,480 Speaker 1: deal in order to participate in a primary election. So 2447 02:20:32,160 --> 02:20:34,240 Speaker 1: it is I think if you want to if we're 2448 02:20:34,240 --> 02:20:35,760 Speaker 1: trying to decide who gets to be in a general 2449 02:20:35,760 --> 02:20:39,680 Speaker 1: election ballot, everybody should have access to that general election ballot. 2450 02:20:39,879 --> 02:20:41,800 Speaker 1: You know, maybe it's just some signatures you need to 2451 02:20:41,840 --> 02:20:47,040 Speaker 1: get on it, you know, but it is. It is. 2452 02:20:48,080 --> 02:20:50,880 Speaker 1: I think how we do it now is more undemocratic 2453 02:20:50,920 --> 02:20:55,600 Speaker 1: than we want to admit. And it would solve this 2454 02:20:55,680 --> 02:20:59,400 Speaker 1: problem of what you're talking about certain races not having 2455 02:20:59,440 --> 02:21:03,480 Speaker 1: any candidate in it. And this is, you know, this 2456 02:21:03,560 --> 02:21:09,520 Speaker 1: is what If we want to refresh this democracy, we 2457 02:21:09,560 --> 02:21:11,760 Speaker 1: need to allow more people to We need to make 2458 02:21:11,800 --> 02:21:14,440 Speaker 1: it some more people have skin in the game, and 2459 02:21:14,480 --> 02:21:17,520 Speaker 1: more people participate. There's your Monday episode. This is a 2460 02:21:17,640 --> 02:21:21,160 Speaker 1: huge holiday week for many people of faith. We've got 2461 02:21:21,240 --> 02:21:25,720 Speaker 1: Passover later this week, good Friday Easter coming up. With 2462 02:21:25,800 --> 02:21:27,520 Speaker 1: the weekend, I know a lot of people are gonna 2463 02:21:27,520 --> 02:21:29,720 Speaker 1: be spending time with family. I will try not to 2464 02:21:29,760 --> 02:21:33,199 Speaker 1: overload your feed this week. I want to be mindful 2465 02:21:34,640 --> 02:21:36,240 Speaker 1: of all the time you're gonna be spending with family, 2466 02:21:36,240 --> 02:21:38,359 Speaker 1: but I'm also mindful that you're going to want to 2467 02:21:38,360 --> 02:21:42,400 Speaker 1: put your headphones in and listen to something while you 2468 02:21:42,440 --> 02:21:46,920 Speaker 1: maybe take a break from family. Anyway, with that, I'll 2469 02:21:46,920 --> 02:21:49,520 Speaker 1: see in forty eight hours. Thanks for listening, and until 2470 02:21:49,520 --> 02:21:50,120 Speaker 1: we upload it,