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Speaker 1: Hey guys, how are you welcome into a Sunday morning

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Speaker 1: edition of the Dili Juice Podcast with me Matt Perrault.

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Speaker 1: Every single morning, New Year's Day, New Year's Eve, Christmas Eve, whatever,

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Speaker 1: We're always here thanks to our friends at betting Pros.

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Speaker 1: If you, guys ever do not get the podcast where

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Speaker 1: you get your audio podcasts, it's always posted on bettingpros

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Speaker 1: dot com. We have not talked about that for a

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Speaker 1: little while. You can always do that YouTube for the

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Speaker 1: lots and lots to get to here on a Sunday,

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Speaker 1: remember about the live stream coming up with Dan Harris

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Speaker 1: and myself. That'll be eight am Pacific time. Eleven am

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Speaker 1: Eastern time, as we go through all the player props

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Speaker 1: and the Wong teaser, which is now eleven and four

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Speaker 1: on the year.

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Speaker 2: We've been very good with the.

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Speaker 1: Wong teaser on that live stream, extremely profitable, So if

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Speaker 1: you haven't watched it yet, do it Betting Pros YouTube

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Speaker 1: channel for Dan Harris and myself.

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Speaker 2: We'll talk about that.

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Speaker 1: I've got two one unit plays and one one unit

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Speaker 1: teaser to give you guys coming here, and the podcast

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Speaker 1: picks are on a twenty one seven and one run. Okay,

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Speaker 1: we're doing really well. We haven't lost a bet in

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Speaker 1: twenty twenty two. We are undefeated this year after a

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Speaker 1: four to zero to one mark yesterday. The only thing

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Speaker 1: we got wrong was that Kentucky game on a push

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Speaker 1: they won by three, beating Iowa. Everything else came in beautifully.

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Speaker 1: The Utah plus four. Look, I'm not gonna lie. I

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Speaker 1: have no idea what Utah was doing. I have no

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Speaker 1: idea what Kyle Whittingham was doing. Did he have the points?

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Speaker 1: I mean like what no timeouts? Beyond odd as to

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Speaker 1: what was going on with that? And then the mere

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Speaker 1: fact that Ohio State kicked it and not going to

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Speaker 1: punch it in for a touchdown equally like, wait, wow,

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Speaker 1: the plus four comes in, the under easy comes in

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Speaker 1: for us on that that was nice. I had a

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Speaker 1: ton of things live that came in. I took Ohio

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Speaker 1: State minus two and a half live, they won by three.

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Speaker 1: I took the over twenty eight for the game live

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Speaker 1: that pushed with a twenty one seven final. I took

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Speaker 1: Baylor minus three and a half live seven to two

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Speaker 1: and one day for me overall, and I posted every

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Speaker 1: pick on the Discord channel. Okay, on holiday weekends, I

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Speaker 1: just have some extra time. Like it's been you know,

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Speaker 1: my wife's been sick, not with COVID, but she's just

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Speaker 1: been sick. We've had a bug. I probably can hear

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Speaker 1: it in my voice. I have a cold, and my

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Speaker 1: daughter was sick before that. She was tested negative for COVID.

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Speaker 1: My wife tested negative for COVID, so this is not

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Speaker 1: a COVID illness. But it's just it's the winter time

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Speaker 1: and you know, gross crap is going around, unfortunately. But

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Speaker 1: you know, we're just at the house, and we've been

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Speaker 1: at the house for a while, so I've been on

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Speaker 1: my phone more than normal and having more time to

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Speaker 1: you know, out and about doing stuff with the kid

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Speaker 1: and whatnot. So I had a chance to post a

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Speaker 1: bunch of stuff and I this weekend, I posted a

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Speaker 1: ton of places over yesterday the day before, and I

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Speaker 1: tried to do that again today here on a Sunday

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Speaker 1: if I can. But very good weekend, very good run.

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Speaker 1: And the only two bets I got wrong wasn't Baylor

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Speaker 1: and Utah money line parlay, which could have hit.

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Speaker 2: That was a bummer. That was a huge. It was

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Speaker 2: a five to one.

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Speaker 1: I think it was, you know, five hundred plus five

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Speaker 1: hundred plus four hundred somewhere with that range for that

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Speaker 1: four to one, five to one that didn't come in.

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Speaker 1: And then I played the under for the Winter Classic

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Speaker 1: because it was negative nine degrees. I mean, I thought,

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Speaker 1: my gosh, who's going to be able to handle the puck?

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Speaker 1: Who wants to play in that? And really what ended

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Speaker 1: up happening is that nobody wanted to block shots, so

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Speaker 1: no one was gonnat hit with a puck, you know,

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Speaker 1: and not minus nine temperature. So a lot of goals

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Speaker 1: were scored in that game. So flew over six just

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Speaker 1: like cruised. It was juice to the under and mins

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Speaker 1: one twenty. So those are the two bets I got wrong.

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Speaker 1: We pushed on Kentucky, We pushed on the live over

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Speaker 1: for the Sugar Bowl at twenty eight, but everything else

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Speaker 1: came in middled the Rose Bowl, which is really nice,

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Speaker 1: got Baylor right live, and it was just a really

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Speaker 1: good day. So let's get to the picks today. I

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Speaker 1: am due to cool off. Okay, fair warning, Okay, when

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Speaker 1: I'm twenty one seven and one, four zero to one yesterday,

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Speaker 1: what did we go? We two and one the day

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Speaker 1: before that, you know, just heads up, just be careful

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Speaker 1: as I am bound to cool down here. But the

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Speaker 1: pod ended twenty twenty one on a hot streak. We

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Speaker 1: continue that here into twenty twenty two. So two one

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Speaker 1: unit straight bets to give you. Let's start talking about

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Speaker 1: Cincinnati and Kansas City. Okay. I talked about this on

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Speaker 1: the Discord channel already. At plus four and a half

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Speaker 1: for Cincy, the numbers plus four. I still like it

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Speaker 1: at plus four. I don't like it at three and

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Speaker 1: a half, and I don't like it at three. I

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Speaker 1: like it at three. I like it well, I don't

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Speaker 1: hate it at three and a half, but I really

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Speaker 1: four is the number. Okay, I bet plus four and

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Speaker 1: a half. I talked about it. You guys hopefully grabbed it.

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Speaker 1: If it's out there, grab it. Plus four and a

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Speaker 1: half will be the play. I don't mind four though.

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Speaker 1: Case at Cincinnati, Casey's eight and seven to the number.

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Speaker 1: They are on a red hot streak of six consecutive covers.

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Speaker 2: Red Hot Cincy eight and seven to the number.

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Speaker 1: They are three and five at home, but they've covered

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Speaker 1: their last two games, including a twenty point win over

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Speaker 1: Baltimore and a five point win. Has three point dogs

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Speaker 1: up against Denver. Okay, this game means a ton to

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Speaker 1: both these teams. Casey trying to win the one seed,

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Speaker 1: Cincinnati trying to wrap.

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Speaker 2: Up the division.

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Speaker 1: This is a big game for SINCINNTI. It's also a

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Speaker 1: big game for Joe Burrowing Company. This is an opportunity

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Speaker 1: for them to state that they are a legitimate contender

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Speaker 1: here in the AFC. I know Dan Harris and Dan

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Speaker 1: and I will talk about this a lot. I'm assuming

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Speaker 1: Dan's gonna be on Kansas City, which I'm fine with.

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Speaker 2: Okay.

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Speaker 1: A lot of people have been hating on Casey. I

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Speaker 1: started hating on Cincinnati, and this is a prime opportunity

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Speaker 1: to expose Sincy and say, I hate Zach Taylor. Okay,

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Speaker 1: but I like his team a lot, and I like

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Speaker 1: Joe Burrow a lot. I like his wide receivers a lot.

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Speaker 1: This team is scoring twenty seven points per game. That's

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Speaker 1: the same amount of points basically as the Chiefs, who

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Speaker 1: score twenty eight points per game. The Chiefs are giving

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Speaker 1: up twenty points per game. Since he's giving up twenty

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Speaker 1: one points per game. They're very similar teams on paper. Here, okay,

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Speaker 1: talk about an offense. Here for Cincinnati four yards per rush.

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Speaker 1: Casey's giving up four point seven yards per rush. Joe

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Speaker 1: Mixon props hello, Joe Mixon. Zip I like Joe.

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Speaker 2: Mixon to run the football.

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Speaker 1: Well, here for the Bengals passing Cincinnati eight yards of

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Speaker 1: pass play. That's number two against a pass defense that

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Speaker 1: on paper, is not that great. Casey's defense has been improving,

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Speaker 1: but they still go a give up six point eight

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Speaker 1: yards per pass play's tieth in the NFL. They give

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Speaker 1: up two hundred and forty five yards passing per game.

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Speaker 1: That's twenty fifth in the NFL. Two hundred and fifty

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Speaker 1: nine yard passing per game for Cincinnati. Look, I know

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Speaker 1: what the Chiefs do Okay, two eighty five passing seven

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Speaker 1: point two yards for pass play.

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Speaker 2: It's Patrick Mahomes. I understand all.

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Speaker 1: That, Okay, But you got guys coming off the COVID

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Speaker 1: list who had COVID, and sometimes the game after they

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Speaker 1: come off the COVID list, sometimes they're not fully there

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Speaker 1: with the wind and sometimes if they had symptoms.

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Speaker 2: We don't really know what these guys go through.

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Speaker 1: But sometimes guys come back after COVID and they're not

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Speaker 1: that sharp. They're just not on point as to what

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Speaker 1: they should be. You've got a defense here that I

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Speaker 1: think is better than people think. It's tough to run

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Speaker 1: on these guys. No, Clyde Edwards, Hilaier. He's out for

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Speaker 1: this game.

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Speaker 2: Okay.

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Speaker 1: I think that's a big deal, all right. When he

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Speaker 1: was out when they had their real trouble, it was

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Speaker 1: when he was out. Now it's a shoulder collarbone injury

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Speaker 1: for him, but I think it's a big deal. I mean,

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Speaker 1: Matthew is probable with a quad injury. He should go

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Speaker 1: in this game. But if he doesn't go, that questionable

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Speaker 1: secondary is even more vulnerable. I just think when you

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Speaker 1: look at the way the Chiefs played and when they

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Speaker 1: were without him, that was the Tennessee, the Giants, Green

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Speaker 1: Bay games. They weren't covering. Then they got him back,

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Speaker 1: and they've covered all these games. Raiders, Dallas, Denver, Raiders, Chargers, Pittsburgh. Okay,

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Speaker 1: but Dallas is the most impressive performance at home by

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Speaker 1: beating them by ten points and winning that and covering

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Speaker 1: that two and a half point line. But Dallas on

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Speaker 1: the road is different than Dallas at home. Vegas, Well,

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Speaker 1: the Chiefs own the Raiders. We know that Chargers are

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Speaker 1: wishy washy at best. Denver stinks, in Pittsburgh stinks. Okay,

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Speaker 1: I think since he's peaking, I think they're coming into

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Speaker 1: their own I got plus four and a half. I

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Speaker 1: like the Bengals at home plus four and a half.

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Speaker 1: Here Casey wins the game by three since he covers.

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Speaker 1: Gave me the four and a half for the Bengals

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Speaker 1: against the Casey Chiefs here. Great game one unit Cincinnati

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Speaker 1: plus four and a half. Second game Miami at Tennessee.

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Speaker 1: Number was three and a half. Now three plastered. It's

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Speaker 1: three everywhere. I don't think we're coming off three. I

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Speaker 1: don't think we're going below three. So I feel comfortable

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Speaker 1: telling you guys just to lay the three points here.

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Speaker 1: Maybe it's a push situation, maybe you get two and

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Speaker 1: a half. Maybe I'm wrong, Maybe Miami money pours in

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Speaker 1: and keeps on pouring in. But look it, Titans are

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Speaker 1: ten and five to the number. Titans are seven and

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Speaker 1: three over their last ten to the number. Miami's eight

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Speaker 1: and seven. Okay, and Miami has covered sorry, sorry, ten

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Speaker 1: and five overall.

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Speaker 2: Excuse me?

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Speaker 1: This is straight up Tessey ten and five, Miami eight

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Speaker 1: and seven. They are seven and three over the last ten.

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Speaker 1: Same with Miami. Miami has won seven straight games. Everyone's

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Speaker 1: going gaga over the Miami Dolphins. But here's the thing

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Speaker 1: about the Miami Dolphins. Let's talk about those seven wins. Houston, Baltimore, Jets, Panthers, Giants, Jets, Saints.

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Speaker 1: Do you know what the common thread there is on

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Speaker 1: all those teams? Their quarterbacks suck and I mean suck,

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Speaker 1: Ian Book and Mike Glennan and just awful quarterback play

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Speaker 1: all over the place. Yes, against Baltimore, impressive Lamar Jackson,

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Speaker 1: but that's it. Okay, that was a home game, and

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Speaker 1: you know, they were really banged up and they still

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Speaker 1: are really banged up. But nah, I'm not buying this

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Speaker 1: Titans at home are a good team. They're six and

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Speaker 1: two straight up at home. Okay, against the spread this season,

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Speaker 1: Titans are nine and six. Titans at home are five

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Speaker 1: and three against the number. Miami is on the road

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Speaker 1: four to two and one eight six and one. Overall,

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Speaker 1: they've covered in of the seven wins, they've covered in

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Speaker 1: all but one. They laid ten against the Jets and

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Speaker 1: they won by seven. Okay, look at I'm not a

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Speaker 1: big fan of Tua. I think the running game comes

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Speaker 1: in here for this Titans team. Titans are in a

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Speaker 1: battle here to win the division and to get the

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Speaker 1: best seed possible. I just think this defense for Miami

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Speaker 1: is a little bit overrated. Okay, four point three yards

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Speaker 1: per rush for Tennessee, but four point three yards per

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Speaker 1: rush for Miami given up. Miami gives up over one

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Speaker 1: hundred yards per game on the ground, one hundred and two.

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Speaker 1: They give up two hundred and thirty four yards passing.

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Speaker 1: And I think AJ Brown has a game. Okay, AJ

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Speaker 1: Brown props, Joe Mixon props. AJ Brown props. We're talking

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Speaker 1: about them coming up here on the live stream with

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Speaker 1: Dan Harrison myself. Like I mentioned at eleven am, Eastern time.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna lay it three points Tennessee at home. Small favorite.

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Speaker 1: I think people bet Miami simply because of the number

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Speaker 1: three and a half. Okay, and I think the books

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Speaker 1: aren't gonna go to two and a half because the

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Speaker 1: pros will come in on the Titans heavy. Okay, three

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Speaker 1: is the number. I think it stays there. I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: jump on it minus three, Titans at home. The winning

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Speaker 1: streak for the Dolphins ends. I think the Dolphins are

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Speaker 1: gonna lose out. I think they're gonna lose against the

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Speaker 1: Titans tier on the road and against the Patriots coming

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Speaker 1: up at home next week. But I think it's been

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Speaker 1: a fun run. But I think Miami gets exposed a

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Speaker 1: little bit here as to they're taking on a real

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Speaker 1: playoff team and the Titans. I think Aj Brown and

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Speaker 1: Ryan Tannehill they both connect. Big game for them. Titans win,

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Speaker 1: Titans stop the winning streak, Miami loses, lay the three

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Speaker 1: points one unit Titans minus three.

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Speaker 2: Okay.

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Speaker 1: Let's talk about a teaser. And the number I got

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Speaker 1: for Arizona in Dallas was six and a half. It

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Speaker 1: currently is still six and a half. Do you like

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Speaker 1: the Arizona Cardinals to win the game straight up. Forget

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Speaker 1: the number. Can Arizona win this game? Arizona has lost

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Speaker 1: three games in a row. They are much better on

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Speaker 1: the road than they are at home, way better. Two

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Speaker 1: and five at home, seven and one on the road

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Speaker 1: straight up, and ats Really, they've been tremendous, tremendous away

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Speaker 1: from home. And so this team for Dallas six and

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Speaker 1: two straight up at home. Dallas has won four games

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Speaker 1: in a row. Dallas has been very good against the conference,

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Speaker 1: nine and one straight up against the NFC. Arizona six

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Speaker 1: and four straight up. They're reeling, so going on the

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Speaker 1: road is a perfect remedy for them, except they're playing

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Speaker 1: against Dak Prescott at home, and Dak Prescott's numbers at

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Speaker 1: home are ridiculous. I don't think Arizona wins this game.

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Speaker 1: I think Dallas wins this game. I'm gonna pull Dallas

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Speaker 1: down from six and a half down to six sorry,

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Speaker 1: half a point, sorry, down to half a point Dallas

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Speaker 1: just to win this game. Six point teaser, Dallas, point five,

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Speaker 1: lay it, win the game. Dallas covers this leg. Just

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Speaker 1: think that the offense for Dak and company, they're playing

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Speaker 1: at such an elite level and I know a popular

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Speaker 1: fade would be for a team that comes off and

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Speaker 1: Indu will win fifty six fourteen the week before that,

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Speaker 1: say fade it because they're gonna come back down. But

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Speaker 1: I mean, I think I don't know man Indianapolis. Like

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Speaker 1: they lost to Detroit on the road in their last

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Speaker 1: road game, so like all that Arizona magic on the

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Speaker 1: road just fell apart. I think the team's falling apart.

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Speaker 1: I think Kingsbury's falling apart. I like that Dallas defense

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Speaker 1: right now at home, not too much on the road,

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Speaker 1: but at home.

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Speaker 2: I like him just to win.

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Speaker 1: First leg of the teaser, Dallas pull six and a

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Speaker 1: half down to a half a point. Second leg, Las

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Speaker 1: Vegas at Indianapolis. Number has been all over the place,

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Speaker 1: got as high as nine, got as low as two

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Speaker 1: and a half. Now that Carson Wentz is gonna play,

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Speaker 1: and he's going to play, don't tell me Carson Wentz

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Speaker 1: has to pull protocols. If you get up this morning

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Speaker 1: and Carson Wentz has failed protocols, get out of this bet. Okay,

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Speaker 1: I don't know are our way to make this play.

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Speaker 1: I've already made it based upon Carson Wentz playing. Okay,

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Speaker 1: the number I got was eight and a half. Been

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Speaker 1: some buy back a little bit. Eight eight and a

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Speaker 1: half is where you'll see it. But I'm gonna take

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Speaker 1: this and pull this down below seven to below three.

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Speaker 1: Indianapolis just to come in here and win the game. Look,

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Speaker 1: Vegas is not gonna have Darren Waller. He's not traveling.

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Speaker 1: Vegas is six and nine against the spread this season,

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Speaker 1: Indies ten and five against the number. They're four and

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Speaker 1: four at home against the spread, but they've covered their

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Speaker 1: last three games, including the game against the Patriots. Big

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Speaker 1: win against Arizona last week on the road is three

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Speaker 1: point dogs winning the game outright. And I know Vegas

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Speaker 1: just went on the road to Denver and got a

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Speaker 1: big win. I know they beat Cleveland at home. They've

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Speaker 1: won two games in a row. I understand that. I

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Speaker 1: just think this is asking a lot of Vegas to

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Speaker 1: go in and to play a team like Indianapolis that

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Speaker 1: will do a lot of the things that they have

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Speaker 1: a tough time stopping. And Jonathan Taylor is just an incredible,

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Speaker 1: incredible mismatch for this defense. I just don't think Vegas

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Speaker 1: has enough to stop this team. They give up one

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Speaker 1: hundred and fifteen yards on the ground per game. That's

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Speaker 1: nineteenth the NFL, so they're kind of at the bottom

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Speaker 1: of the end of the barrel here. Four point two

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Speaker 1: yards per rush is outside the top ten. You got

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Speaker 1: a five point one yards per rush and Jonathan Taylor

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Speaker 1: in one hundred and fifty four yards on the ground.

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Speaker 2: I just don't think the Raiders score enough.

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Speaker 1: And Indies defense is playing really well at home, just

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Speaker 1: twenty one points giving up per game. I just don't

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Speaker 1: like Vegas' chances here. I'm gonna pull this down from

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Speaker 1: eight and a half down to two and a half,

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Speaker 1: Indianapolis minus two and a half, Dallas minus a half

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Speaker 1: a point, minus one twenty one unit teaser for me

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Speaker 1: here on a Sunday. All right, So we've got Cincy

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Speaker 1: plus four and a half for one unit, We've got

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Speaker 1: the Titans minus three for one unit, and we have

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Speaker 1: a teaser with the Cowboys and the Colts for a

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Speaker 1: teaser at minus one twenty two leg teaser. I'll have

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Speaker 1: the long teaser and the four player props all still

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Speaker 1: to come for you guys coming up here for the podcast.

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Speaker 1: Sorry for the live stream coming up later on today

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Speaker 1: here for that. So Okay podcast has been hot let's

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Speaker 1: see if we can keep going here. Hopefully things stay

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Speaker 1: the way that they are. They're not going to, but

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Speaker 1: let's have some fun and enjoy it. Why while it's

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Speaker 1: still going on, it's been It's been cool, so good

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Speaker 1: run more on right now. I'll talk to you for

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Speaker 1: the live stream eleven am Eastern Time for Dan Harrison

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Speaker 1: myself off the Betting Pros YouTube channel minus Matt Parole

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00:17:18,160 --> 00:17:20,360
Speaker 1: to follow me on Twitter at sports Talk Matt. Each

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Speaker 1: every morning, it's a Deal Juice Podcast always being brought

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Speaker 1: to you by bet MGM