1 00:00:02,440 --> 00:00:06,800 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. 2 00:00:12,320 --> 00:00:14,480 Speaker 2: It is time to go out to the beautiful and 3 00:00:14,600 --> 00:00:18,000 Speaker 2: rather warm Axon Province in southern France. There is an 4 00:00:18,000 --> 00:00:22,440 Speaker 2: economic conference underway. This is conference taking place in the backdrop, 5 00:00:22,480 --> 00:00:26,040 Speaker 2: of course a key Sunday vote, a legislative vote is 6 00:00:26,079 --> 00:00:28,960 Speaker 2: an election. And we head to the conference. Now, former 7 00:00:29,040 --> 00:00:32,680 Speaker 2: EU Commissioner for Brexit Michelle Barnier joins Avari and Carolyne 8 00:00:32,720 --> 00:00:35,040 Speaker 2: Conan take it away, and I'm very happy to. 9 00:00:35,000 --> 00:00:38,000 Speaker 1: Be joined by Michelle Vanier from this economy confernce in 10 00:00:38,159 --> 00:00:41,879 Speaker 1: excellent province, former EU Commissioner of course and a negotiator 11 00:00:42,040 --> 00:00:46,520 Speaker 1: for Brexit. Good after the Michell Vannier first, one question 12 00:00:46,600 --> 00:00:49,600 Speaker 1: on the UK. We had this as stunding victory of 13 00:00:49,640 --> 00:00:52,840 Speaker 1: the Labor Party with Q Sarmer. Do you think this 14 00:00:52,920 --> 00:00:58,040 Speaker 1: is the result of the bad consequences eight years of Brexit? 15 00:00:58,080 --> 00:01:01,680 Speaker 3: Be first to congratulated guest Armor the lib Dems also 16 00:01:02,320 --> 00:01:07,080 Speaker 3: after the great victory. To be fair, I don't think 17 00:01:07,120 --> 00:01:10,880 Speaker 3: that all the current difficulties of the UK, social difficulty 18 00:01:10,920 --> 00:01:17,560 Speaker 3: and employment intation and the change linked thanks to the 19 00:01:17,600 --> 00:01:21,120 Speaker 3: British people to these difficulties. I don't think that all 20 00:01:21,120 --> 00:01:24,399 Speaker 3: these difficulties are linked to the Brexit, But at one 21 00:01:24,440 --> 00:01:27,600 Speaker 3: point I'm sure of is that all the difficulties are 22 00:01:27,920 --> 00:01:33,000 Speaker 3: more serious because of the Brexit, because it was a nonsense. 23 00:01:34,240 --> 00:01:38,080 Speaker 3: Had a great illusion, to repeat the title of my book, 24 00:01:40,120 --> 00:01:42,959 Speaker 3: for the contemptory party to think that they will be 25 00:01:43,400 --> 00:01:48,440 Speaker 3: a stronger outside of the biggest free market, which is 26 00:01:48,800 --> 00:01:50,760 Speaker 3: free the unique the single market that the. 27 00:01:50,840 --> 00:01:54,520 Speaker 1: You we know, the National Valley and many parties across 28 00:01:54,520 --> 00:01:59,360 Speaker 1: Surob have now gone down this idea of Frexit since Brexit, 29 00:02:00,240 --> 00:02:03,480 Speaker 1: but still in your book the great Illusion, you actually 30 00:02:03,880 --> 00:02:10,280 Speaker 1: mentioned warning to France about these problems of the government 31 00:02:10,400 --> 00:02:14,919 Speaker 1: being out of touch with the population, the problem of immigration, 32 00:02:15,200 --> 00:02:17,640 Speaker 1: the cost of living. Do you think what we're living 33 00:02:17,720 --> 00:02:20,640 Speaker 1: right now in France has the same roots as the 34 00:02:20,680 --> 00:02:21,800 Speaker 1: brexst vote. 35 00:02:22,400 --> 00:02:26,320 Speaker 3: My answer is yes, and the reason why I called 36 00:02:26,320 --> 00:02:29,280 Speaker 3: my first chapter in my book the Diary of the 37 00:02:29,320 --> 00:02:36,720 Speaker 3: Breakfast Negotiation the warning. And I always try to respect 38 00:02:36,720 --> 00:02:41,880 Speaker 3: the UK people and my counterparty this negotiation have lots 39 00:02:41,919 --> 00:02:44,520 Speaker 3: of admiration for the UK people for a long time, 40 00:02:44,880 --> 00:02:47,880 Speaker 3: and I will not change, but I work a lot 41 00:02:47,960 --> 00:02:52,200 Speaker 3: on the roots. The reason why fifty two percent of 42 00:02:52,240 --> 00:02:57,200 Speaker 3: the British people vote against Europe eight years ago. And 43 00:02:58,080 --> 00:03:00,079 Speaker 3: when you look at the reason that the roots, you 44 00:03:00,160 --> 00:03:03,600 Speaker 3: can see many regions or UK, but it's talk about 45 00:03:04,080 --> 00:03:07,560 Speaker 3: now but the same the same moods as we can 46 00:03:09,600 --> 00:03:13,280 Speaker 3: What is is oot in France now in many regions, unemployment, 47 00:03:14,800 --> 00:03:19,200 Speaker 3: bad public services. You look in front and you look 48 00:03:19,720 --> 00:03:24,760 Speaker 3: at four curbs which are parallel, the curb of the 49 00:03:24,840 --> 00:03:28,519 Speaker 3: vote for the right, for the far right, for the 50 00:03:28,600 --> 00:03:33,840 Speaker 3: National Valley, the curb of unemployment, the curb of distance 51 00:03:33,880 --> 00:03:38,040 Speaker 3: of your house and the railway station and the route 52 00:03:38,160 --> 00:03:41,840 Speaker 3: under the curb of your house to a doctor. And 53 00:03:42,080 --> 00:03:46,560 Speaker 3: these four curbs are paralleled. So we have to tackle, 54 00:03:47,040 --> 00:03:50,440 Speaker 3: we have to address, We have to understand what is 55 00:03:50,480 --> 00:03:54,600 Speaker 3: in France, the popular feeling, the social anger, the same 56 00:03:54,680 --> 00:03:58,560 Speaker 3: moods are as in the UK eight years ago. 57 00:03:59,360 --> 00:04:02,560 Speaker 1: What do you think possible victory, because that's still possible 58 00:04:03,320 --> 00:04:06,440 Speaker 1: of the far right on Sunday, what do you think 59 00:04:06,440 --> 00:04:09,160 Speaker 1: that would mean for the image of France approad, for 60 00:04:09,320 --> 00:04:13,840 Speaker 1: investors who want to put their money into France today. 61 00:04:15,360 --> 00:04:19,239 Speaker 3: First award it remains for a few hours, two days 62 00:04:19,839 --> 00:04:23,400 Speaker 3: to draw the French lesson of the Brexit and not 63 00:04:23,480 --> 00:04:28,440 Speaker 3: to do the same mistake as the UK eight years before. 64 00:04:28,960 --> 00:04:33,279 Speaker 3: So I think that we can avoid such a result 65 00:04:33,800 --> 00:04:36,719 Speaker 3: and find a way to build a new majority in 66 00:04:36,760 --> 00:04:42,440 Speaker 3: the past, even it will be difficult to refund. I 67 00:04:42,480 --> 00:04:46,680 Speaker 3: think that the program of the far right is incredible, 68 00:04:47,360 --> 00:04:53,240 Speaker 3: is a poution anti business and populist program. So it's 69 00:04:53,279 --> 00:04:56,680 Speaker 3: the reason why I proposed firm little this program. 70 00:04:57,600 --> 00:05:03,200 Speaker 1: The alternative today is a handful where possibly some technical 71 00:05:03,279 --> 00:05:08,320 Speaker 1: figures forming a wide coalition. Do you believe that's possible 72 00:05:08,360 --> 00:05:10,960 Speaker 1: in France? And would you actually be willing to be 73 00:05:11,080 --> 00:05:13,920 Speaker 1: part of this, to be part of a new wide 74 00:05:14,000 --> 00:05:17,120 Speaker 1: coalition that includes the moderates from the left and from 75 00:05:17,120 --> 00:05:19,840 Speaker 1: the right, And I remind of yours that you are 76 00:05:20,040 --> 00:05:21,320 Speaker 1: moderate Republicans. 77 00:05:21,560 --> 00:05:27,039 Speaker 3: Yes, but it's not useful to personalize the discussion. For 78 00:05:27,160 --> 00:05:29,880 Speaker 3: the moment, we have to vote. Let the people vote. 79 00:05:29,880 --> 00:05:34,200 Speaker 3: In France, they are free, they are chuldren and the 80 00:05:34,279 --> 00:05:37,080 Speaker 3: vote will be important. And I don't know what will 81 00:05:37,080 --> 00:05:42,160 Speaker 3: be this vote, And on Sunday night we will see 82 00:05:42,760 --> 00:05:47,159 Speaker 3: exactly how many groups, how many members of the parliament 83 00:05:47,240 --> 00:05:50,040 Speaker 3: in each group, and if it's possible to build something 84 00:05:50,480 --> 00:05:52,919 Speaker 3: different from the far right, I don't know yet. But 85 00:05:53,040 --> 00:05:56,960 Speaker 3: it's difficult to speak about the coalition before knowing the 86 00:05:57,000 --> 00:05:58,760 Speaker 3: exact result of the directions. 87 00:05:59,000 --> 00:06:01,440 Speaker 1: But if President my won't cause you next week and 88 00:06:01,520 --> 00:06:04,040 Speaker 1: offers you the job as prime minister to be taken. 89 00:06:04,080 --> 00:06:06,800 Speaker 3: Once against, it's not useful to personal life. It's too 90 00:06:06,839 --> 00:06:09,719 Speaker 3: soon and we have to respect the vote of the 91 00:06:09,720 --> 00:06:14,440 Speaker 3: people first of all, the right sense. Let the people 92 00:06:14,560 --> 00:06:15,799 Speaker 3: vote on Sunday. 93 00:06:16,160 --> 00:06:19,320 Speaker 1: Jordan Badelad, the National Rally president, has said he would 94 00:06:19,320 --> 00:06:22,080 Speaker 1: refuse to become prime minister if he doesn't have an 95 00:06:22,080 --> 00:06:25,599 Speaker 1: outright majority. Marion Lafin, however, has been saying that she 96 00:06:25,640 --> 00:06:28,960 Speaker 1: will try and grab those fifteen twenty law makers missing 97 00:06:29,279 --> 00:06:31,680 Speaker 1: if she's just a few seats away. Do you think 98 00:06:31,720 --> 00:06:34,280 Speaker 1: some of them moderate Republicans in your camp who might 99 00:06:34,320 --> 00:06:38,799 Speaker 1: be elected on Sunday will actually join this possible national 100 00:06:38,880 --> 00:06:40,080 Speaker 1: value Republican governor. 101 00:06:40,360 --> 00:06:42,680 Speaker 3: I don't think so. I don't think she got the 102 00:06:42,720 --> 00:06:46,120 Speaker 3: people our party want to leave. Has already left with 103 00:06:46,279 --> 00:06:50,200 Speaker 3: mister Curt a few weeks ago to join our right. 104 00:06:50,640 --> 00:06:52,800 Speaker 3: It's not my line, it's not our line, and all 105 00:06:52,800 --> 00:06:56,520 Speaker 3: the other members will be elected as hope large nabor 106 00:06:56,400 --> 00:07:01,239 Speaker 3: of members, perhaps fifty or fifty five will be all 107 00:07:01,400 --> 00:07:04,359 Speaker 3: elected against the fun right. So don't ask them to 108 00:07:04,640 --> 00:07:05,279 Speaker 3: join us. 109 00:07:06,279 --> 00:07:09,400 Speaker 1: Do you think there will be, no matter who wins 110 00:07:09,440 --> 00:07:13,080 Speaker 1: on Sunday, a sort of clash showdown with the EU 111 00:07:13,520 --> 00:07:15,600 Speaker 1: later down the one in the fall when we got 112 00:07:15,680 --> 00:07:17,760 Speaker 1: the budget on his SCOO goals and on. 113 00:07:17,720 --> 00:07:20,920 Speaker 3: The budget, depending on what we'll be elected, what will 114 00:07:20,960 --> 00:07:23,840 Speaker 3: be the majority? I think if we speak about a 115 00:07:24,000 --> 00:07:29,640 Speaker 3: new alternative majority in France, my goal, my wish at 116 00:07:29,680 --> 00:07:32,880 Speaker 3: conviction is that the people who will have to work 117 00:07:32,920 --> 00:07:38,280 Speaker 3: together must be on the European line. It is the 118 00:07:38,320 --> 00:07:40,760 Speaker 3: blue line, the red line for us. 119 00:07:41,360 --> 00:07:43,760 Speaker 1: Finally, how big are the chance is that in a 120 00:07:43,800 --> 00:07:46,880 Speaker 1: few months or in a few years from now will 121 00:07:46,920 --> 00:07:49,520 Speaker 1: have Donald Trump in the US man in THEE ten 122 00:07:50,120 --> 00:07:53,280 Speaker 1: in France, two populist governments on both sides of the advantage. 123 00:07:53,600 --> 00:07:56,760 Speaker 3: The worst is never sure, So we will see in 124 00:07:56,760 --> 00:08:00,840 Speaker 3: France next Sunday. I think it's still possible to avoid 125 00:08:01,240 --> 00:08:04,320 Speaker 3: the far right power to keep the European line and 126 00:08:04,400 --> 00:08:10,120 Speaker 3: the reasonable light for France keeping his role in Europe. 127 00:08:10,560 --> 00:08:13,200 Speaker 3: And we will see for the US. But anyway, what 128 00:08:13,200 --> 00:08:15,960 Speaker 3: would happen in the US, what will be the next president? 129 00:08:18,840 --> 00:08:21,520 Speaker 3: That's very clear. What we are not ready to do 130 00:08:21,560 --> 00:08:24,760 Speaker 3: for ourselves and Europeans, nobody will do for us. 131 00:08:25,120 --> 00:08:27,760 Speaker 1: Michelle Vannie, thank you very much for joining us from 132 00:08:27,960 --> 00:08:31,160 Speaker 1: X on communs. One of the rare political figures present 133 00:08:31,280 --> 00:08:34,760 Speaker 1: here in x at this economic conference, because none of 134 00:08:34,800 --> 00:08:37,640 Speaker 1: the ministers from Macro's government is actually. 135 00:08:37,320 --> 00:08:39,760 Speaker 3: Here these days. 136 00:08:39,760 --> 00:08:41,400 Speaker 1: Interesting, Carolyn conn and thank you so much. 137 00:08:41,400 --> 00:08:42,000 Speaker 3: We appreciate that. 138 00:08:42,040 --> 00:08:45,000 Speaker 1: Carolyn Connan with Michelle Money, a former 139 00:08:45,080 --> 00:08:47,599 Speaker 2: EU Commissioner in charge of the Brexit negotiations.