1 00:00:10,320 --> 00:00:12,600 Speaker 1: Hey guys, how are you welcome into the Tuesday morning 2 00:00:12,720 --> 00:00:15,680 Speaker 1: edition of the Daily Juice podcast. My name is Matt Perrault. 3 00:00:15,720 --> 00:00:18,680 Speaker 1: Here every single morning on bettingpros dot com. This podcast 4 00:00:18,720 --> 00:00:22,599 Speaker 1: is always being brought to you by bet MGM and yep, 5 00:00:22,640 --> 00:00:25,040 Speaker 1: we are back with an offer you guys can take 6 00:00:25,079 --> 00:00:31,800 Speaker 1: advantage of from BETMGM when it comes to soccer. Man. Okay, 7 00:00:32,880 --> 00:00:37,120 Speaker 1: so we bet France last night yesterday, and can we 8 00:00:37,760 --> 00:00:43,000 Speaker 1: now officially put soccer on the blacklist of things we're 9 00:00:43,040 --> 00:00:46,760 Speaker 1: not going to be betting on. But because I have 10 00:00:46,840 --> 00:00:49,239 Speaker 1: got to give you a recommendation, you guys did me 11 00:00:49,280 --> 00:00:52,760 Speaker 1: a solid. It is discord bet day and you guys 12 00:00:52,840 --> 00:00:57,760 Speaker 1: voted for a soccer bet. That soccer bet can be 13 00:00:58,000 --> 00:01:01,280 Speaker 1: used if you go to betmg and that risk free 14 00:01:01,360 --> 00:01:05,480 Speaker 1: token twenty five dollars the risk free token. If you 15 00:01:05,520 --> 00:01:07,960 Speaker 1: want the soccer bet, you go ahead and use it 16 00:01:08,319 --> 00:01:11,360 Speaker 1: and you will get it back if we do not hit. 17 00:01:11,560 --> 00:01:14,000 Speaker 1: We're five and eight so far with our discord wager, 18 00:01:14,040 --> 00:01:16,320 Speaker 1: so this is kind of a guarantee. A risk free 19 00:01:16,319 --> 00:01:19,280 Speaker 1: tokens available in your account. Use the token on any 20 00:01:19,319 --> 00:01:22,840 Speaker 1: Euro twenty twenty wager with your bet slip. Activate the 21 00:01:22,880 --> 00:01:25,120 Speaker 1: token and the bet. If the bet is applied with 22 00:01:25,240 --> 00:01:28,040 Speaker 1: the token and it loses, you receive your stake back 23 00:01:28,160 --> 00:01:31,440 Speaker 1: up to twenty five dollars in free bets from bet MGM. 24 00:01:31,640 --> 00:01:34,280 Speaker 1: When you sign up, use that promo code Juice one hundred. 25 00:01:34,319 --> 00:01:38,040 Speaker 1: That's how we get our credit for having you guys 26 00:01:38,120 --> 00:01:40,320 Speaker 1: listen and be a part of us and support. You 27 00:01:40,360 --> 00:01:41,839 Speaker 1: can do that, or you can buy a T shirt 28 00:01:41,880 --> 00:01:44,000 Speaker 1: like you're seeing on YouTube, one of these fun that'll 29 00:01:44,120 --> 00:01:46,800 Speaker 1: leave never leave a half unit behind, which I've done 30 00:01:46,959 --> 00:01:50,160 Speaker 1: over the last couple of days. But BETMGM cool offer 31 00:01:50,280 --> 00:01:54,120 Speaker 1: discord wager day. It all comes together and it doesn't 32 00:01:54,160 --> 00:01:57,520 Speaker 1: count for the record, thankfully. The loss from France yesterday 33 00:01:57,560 --> 00:01:59,400 Speaker 1: does not count for the record. But we're up three 34 00:01:59,440 --> 00:02:04,240 Speaker 1: to one. We're up three to one, and we're all excited, 35 00:02:04,680 --> 00:02:10,120 Speaker 1: we're all jumping up and down, we're loving life. And 36 00:02:10,160 --> 00:02:13,760 Speaker 1: they blow it. Not only does France blow a three 37 00:02:13,800 --> 00:02:16,240 Speaker 1: to one lead, just like Spain did, but Spain won 38 00:02:16,280 --> 00:02:19,280 Speaker 1: over Croatia five to three. They woke up. No, this 39 00:02:19,360 --> 00:02:23,520 Speaker 1: goes to extras and France loses with the best player 40 00:02:23,600 --> 00:02:25,400 Speaker 1: on the team, one of the best players in the world, 41 00:02:25,440 --> 00:02:29,960 Speaker 1: and missing a PK bye Bye France. Kiss of death 42 00:02:30,000 --> 00:02:33,200 Speaker 1: from Matt Perrault. When I am betting on things in soccer, 43 00:02:33,880 --> 00:02:39,600 Speaker 1: look out not good. But the Discord bet is this. 44 00:02:40,520 --> 00:02:45,840 Speaker 1: Germany and England are playing today, so Germany and England 45 00:02:46,520 --> 00:02:50,000 Speaker 1: both have to score. It is a both teams to 46 00:02:50,320 --> 00:02:55,399 Speaker 1: score bet on the Discord Channel Chap. What I'm finding 47 00:02:55,560 --> 00:02:59,920 Speaker 1: is that people don't like to nominate bets that are losing. 48 00:03:00,680 --> 00:03:03,800 Speaker 1: But that's the whole point of this, and you can't 49 00:03:03,840 --> 00:03:06,640 Speaker 1: be afraid. Like we had forty guys at one point 50 00:03:06,639 --> 00:03:09,480 Speaker 1: who are in the Discord Channel stages conversation and we 51 00:03:09,520 --> 00:03:13,320 Speaker 1: only had four recommendations. Now we added one more after 52 00:03:13,360 --> 00:03:15,600 Speaker 1: the fact. That actually was the one. You guys picked 53 00:03:15,919 --> 00:03:20,480 Speaker 1: our guy TJ from the Wonderful Bakery in Illinois that 54 00:03:20,520 --> 00:03:23,480 Speaker 1: we did the fundraiser with with with Cilia and his 55 00:03:23,520 --> 00:03:26,480 Speaker 1: wife and all the great stuff we did with those guys. Well, 56 00:03:26,480 --> 00:03:29,000 Speaker 1: he DMed me a pick because he was having trouble 57 00:03:29,000 --> 00:03:30,919 Speaker 1: with his phone. He was trying to announce it over 58 00:03:30,960 --> 00:03:33,480 Speaker 1: the Discord stage but his phone was acting up, so 59 00:03:34,040 --> 00:03:36,800 Speaker 1: he told me a bet on DM so I posted 60 00:03:36,840 --> 00:03:39,720 Speaker 1: it and that's the bet. You guys voted for both 61 00:03:39,800 --> 00:03:43,800 Speaker 1: teams to score. Germany and England today. Doesn't matter how 62 00:03:43,800 --> 00:03:47,040 Speaker 1: many times they score, it's just if they score. Minus 63 00:03:47,120 --> 00:03:50,680 Speaker 1: one twenty is the odds for this. You can put 64 00:03:50,680 --> 00:03:52,680 Speaker 1: a twenty five dollars bet down on it and it's 65 00:03:52,720 --> 00:03:55,840 Speaker 1: guaranteed to either cash or you guys will get your 66 00:03:55,840 --> 00:03:58,440 Speaker 1: twenty five bucks back. Things to bet MGM if you 67 00:03:58,560 --> 00:04:01,880 Speaker 1: use it. But that is the soccer bet of the day, 68 00:04:02,360 --> 00:04:05,400 Speaker 1: and it's the discord bet of the day. So we 69 00:04:05,560 --> 00:04:07,880 Speaker 1: killed two birds with one stone and we get to 70 00:04:07,920 --> 00:04:09,800 Speaker 1: watch Germany and England in a little bit of a 71 00:04:09,840 --> 00:04:12,560 Speaker 1: sweat free situation. Basically, both teams have the scores, not 72 00:04:12,560 --> 00:04:15,520 Speaker 1: really totally sweat free, but Germany and England the total 73 00:04:15,560 --> 00:04:17,440 Speaker 1: is two and a half. Let's go one to one, 74 00:04:18,360 --> 00:04:21,479 Speaker 1: two to one. Somebody wins, right, that's what has to happen. 75 00:04:21,760 --> 00:04:26,080 Speaker 1: So essentially, if you have both teams scoring, I guess 76 00:04:26,120 --> 00:04:29,360 Speaker 1: you should probably correlate it into the over as well. 77 00:04:29,440 --> 00:04:30,960 Speaker 1: That would probably be a good way of betting it. 78 00:04:31,000 --> 00:04:33,200 Speaker 1: Both teams to score and bet the over three to 79 00:04:33,320 --> 00:04:36,719 Speaker 1: three yesterday goes to pks and five three, So eight 80 00:04:36,760 --> 00:04:39,160 Speaker 1: goals scored in the first game and six goals being 81 00:04:39,200 --> 00:04:42,240 Speaker 1: scored in the second game will that continue today. Probably not, 82 00:04:42,400 --> 00:04:44,839 Speaker 1: but you guys voted for it. So that's the play, 83 00:04:44,920 --> 00:04:47,880 Speaker 1: that's the bet coming up here for and I will 84 00:04:47,880 --> 00:04:49,919 Speaker 1: not bet it. It does not count for the it 85 00:04:49,920 --> 00:04:53,040 Speaker 1: doesn't count for the overall record. The France bet doesn't 86 00:04:53,040 --> 00:04:55,920 Speaker 1: count for the record either, So that's a really fortuitous 87 00:04:55,960 --> 00:04:57,960 Speaker 1: thing for us. So there's your soccer bet for today 88 00:04:58,000 --> 00:05:02,960 Speaker 1: for the Daily Juice Now Hockey. Last night, man, I 89 00:05:03,080 --> 00:05:06,880 Speaker 1: got all kind of wacko. So I initially bet under 90 00:05:06,920 --> 00:05:09,240 Speaker 1: five and a half over four and a half. Told 91 00:05:09,240 --> 00:05:12,080 Speaker 1: you that, right, So the over four and a half 92 00:05:12,320 --> 00:05:15,440 Speaker 1: cash is the under five and a half doesn't cash. 93 00:05:15,480 --> 00:05:17,920 Speaker 1: And here's what I did in game. I added two 94 00:05:18,000 --> 00:05:21,680 Speaker 1: more bets at plus money. At plus one twenty eight, 95 00:05:21,760 --> 00:05:24,640 Speaker 1: I bet under four and a half. Then later in 96 00:05:24,680 --> 00:05:28,480 Speaker 1: the game at plus one twenty six, I bet over 97 00:05:28,720 --> 00:05:32,840 Speaker 1: four and a half. If the Montreal Canadians, if they 98 00:05:32,960 --> 00:05:35,920 Speaker 1: keep their composure and they don't piss off the Tip 99 00:05:35,960 --> 00:05:40,800 Speaker 1: Bay Lightning, Tampa's not leaving five forwards on a power 100 00:05:40,880 --> 00:05:43,200 Speaker 1: play and they're not trying to run the score up 101 00:05:43,240 --> 00:05:46,720 Speaker 1: because the Canadians wouldn't stop being a bunch of whatever. 102 00:05:47,440 --> 00:05:50,480 Speaker 1: That drove me nuts, because I would have cashed two 103 00:05:50,680 --> 00:05:55,320 Speaker 1: units instead. I think I lost, like by the way 104 00:05:55,360 --> 00:05:58,239 Speaker 1: I wagered it, I didn't do it was I can't remember. 105 00:05:58,279 --> 00:06:01,400 Speaker 1: It was like ten dollars. I'm dow was down like 106 00:06:01,440 --> 00:06:04,919 Speaker 1: ten bucks after all that. So four bets and I 107 00:06:05,000 --> 00:06:09,039 Speaker 1: lose nothing. And it's just really annoying that that one 108 00:06:09,160 --> 00:06:12,479 Speaker 1: goal by Stampcos killed everything. It was a five on three. 109 00:06:12,760 --> 00:06:15,240 Speaker 1: I almost survived it a minute and a half and 110 00:06:15,279 --> 00:06:17,760 Speaker 1: I almost got there where it was would have been 111 00:06:17,760 --> 00:06:20,960 Speaker 1: a four to one final and I would have middled everything, 112 00:06:21,240 --> 00:06:23,520 Speaker 1: and that would have been a thing of beauty if 113 00:06:23,560 --> 00:06:26,200 Speaker 1: I had just been able to pull that off. Unfortunately 114 00:06:26,279 --> 00:06:28,920 Speaker 1: that doesn't happen, so there's no hockey tonight. But I 115 00:06:29,000 --> 00:06:34,760 Speaker 1: am Look, the Montreal Canadians are just they're in deep water, man, 116 00:06:34,920 --> 00:06:37,120 Speaker 1: They're in real trouble and they know it. They just 117 00:06:37,160 --> 00:06:39,840 Speaker 1: don't have the offense. They got the defense, but they're 118 00:06:39,920 --> 00:06:43,400 Speaker 1: up against a real team. Vegas would have gotten spanked too, 119 00:06:43,520 --> 00:06:45,360 Speaker 1: by the way, I don't think Vegas would have been 120 00:06:45,720 --> 00:06:48,479 Speaker 1: This Tampa team is something else, man. They've got so 121 00:06:48,600 --> 00:06:52,679 Speaker 1: many great skaters, they've got great goaltending. They're not weak 122 00:06:52,920 --> 00:06:57,200 Speaker 1: really anywhere. Their power play is great, Their PK is phenomenal. 123 00:06:57,520 --> 00:07:00,080 Speaker 1: They've got incredible skaters who can get an open eyes 124 00:07:00,200 --> 00:07:03,080 Speaker 1: and break you down one on one or make spectacular 125 00:07:03,120 --> 00:07:08,920 Speaker 1: plays for their fellow teammates, Brandon Point, Steven Stamkos. I mean, 126 00:07:08,960 --> 00:07:11,440 Speaker 1: just go down. The line of this team is just 127 00:07:11,800 --> 00:07:16,120 Speaker 1: coucher off. They're unbelievable. Look, you can go ahead and run. 128 00:07:16,240 --> 00:07:19,200 Speaker 1: If you want to take the plus three seventy five 129 00:07:19,280 --> 00:07:21,760 Speaker 1: or whatever it is on Montreal to win the series, 130 00:07:21,920 --> 00:07:26,280 Speaker 1: go ahead, okay, But ultimately the better team is Tampa 131 00:07:26,720 --> 00:07:30,160 Speaker 1: and they win the Cup in six at worst, probably five, 132 00:07:30,840 --> 00:07:34,720 Speaker 1: maybe in four. I just can't see it. Tampa's gonna 133 00:07:34,760 --> 00:07:36,560 Speaker 1: run through it. You might go, oh, Matt, it's game one, 134 00:07:36,600 --> 00:07:40,040 Speaker 1: and the last three Cup winners have all won Game 135 00:07:40,120 --> 00:07:42,320 Speaker 1: one and or lost Game one, and they wanted to 136 00:07:42,360 --> 00:07:44,000 Speaker 1: win the Cup. Okay, if you want to bet that, 137 00:07:44,040 --> 00:07:47,280 Speaker 1: go ahead, But I don't believe that's an intelligent wager. 138 00:07:47,720 --> 00:07:52,280 Speaker 1: With games in Montreal or not, it's a mismatch, Okay, Montreal, 139 00:07:52,360 --> 00:07:54,559 Speaker 1: they may win one or two games in Montreal, Okay, 140 00:07:54,560 --> 00:07:57,040 Speaker 1: but I just don't believe the Canadians have the horsepower 141 00:07:57,560 --> 00:08:01,800 Speaker 1: or the offense really to handle the Tampa team. Just 142 00:08:01,840 --> 00:08:04,640 Speaker 1: my personal opinion, not telling you to bet Tampa it's 143 00:08:04,680 --> 00:08:07,400 Speaker 1: minus seven fifty to win the series. No, thank you, 144 00:08:07,760 --> 00:08:10,960 Speaker 1: not getting involved with it. But I just think Tampa's 145 00:08:11,000 --> 00:08:12,760 Speaker 1: too good. I think this thing goes five or six 146 00:08:12,800 --> 00:08:15,360 Speaker 1: and then it's the Cup win for the Tampa Bay Lightning. 147 00:08:15,440 --> 00:08:18,560 Speaker 1: But so no hockey tonight, So no play on hockey. 148 00:08:18,600 --> 00:08:20,400 Speaker 1: But I'm still going to be bitter and crying my 149 00:08:20,840 --> 00:08:24,320 Speaker 1: you know, crying my gatorade because of that loss. That's 150 00:08:24,360 --> 00:08:27,400 Speaker 1: kind of stunk. See here's my gatorade. That my red 151 00:08:27,440 --> 00:08:31,400 Speaker 1: gatorade that's in camera. Sorry for that, but so no 152 00:08:31,480 --> 00:08:34,440 Speaker 1: play here. We get the Clippers right now. I think 153 00:08:34,480 --> 00:08:37,000 Speaker 1: that's either four. I think it's four straight NBA bets 154 00:08:37,040 --> 00:08:39,360 Speaker 1: we've gotten correct, maybe three, I mean I think it's four. 155 00:08:39,840 --> 00:08:41,800 Speaker 1: We gotten that with plus five and a half for 156 00:08:41,800 --> 00:08:44,840 Speaker 1: the Clippers, And so hopefully you guys sprinkled a little 157 00:08:44,840 --> 00:08:46,480 Speaker 1: bit on the money line, like I always say, bet 158 00:08:46,600 --> 00:08:48,920 Speaker 1: the dog and then sprinkle a little on the money line, 159 00:08:48,920 --> 00:08:50,240 Speaker 1: not a ton, just take it a little on the 160 00:08:50,240 --> 00:08:52,120 Speaker 1: money line, and then you could wind up hitting both 161 00:08:52,160 --> 00:08:54,040 Speaker 1: like we did last night with that. So but officially 162 00:08:54,080 --> 00:08:56,559 Speaker 1: it's just the it's the cash for plus five and 163 00:08:56,600 --> 00:08:59,160 Speaker 1: a half for the Clippers, and you know, the public 164 00:08:59,520 --> 00:09:01,440 Speaker 1: was for the most part on the suns. It wasn't 165 00:09:01,440 --> 00:09:03,679 Speaker 1: egregiously heavy on the suns, but for the most part, 166 00:09:03,720 --> 00:09:06,200 Speaker 1: people came in. In particular once we learned that Zubak 167 00:09:06,320 --> 00:09:08,640 Speaker 1: was going to be out, and I said, I said 168 00:09:08,640 --> 00:09:12,240 Speaker 1: it during the discord chap for the stages conversation. I said, look, 169 00:09:12,480 --> 00:09:14,280 Speaker 1: you know we've been here before where we've seen a 170 00:09:14,360 --> 00:09:16,720 Speaker 1: last second scratch and all of a sudden, the lines 171 00:09:16,800 --> 00:09:18,880 Speaker 1: moving and it closed at six and a half. It 172 00:09:18,920 --> 00:09:20,520 Speaker 1: was five and a half, closed at six and a 173 00:09:20,559 --> 00:09:24,439 Speaker 1: half because everybody was hammering the suns and it's kind 174 00:09:24,440 --> 00:09:27,280 Speaker 1: of like hm when that happens and everyone's running to 175 00:09:27,360 --> 00:09:30,000 Speaker 1: the window to go up. They're done. They without Zubach, 176 00:09:30,040 --> 00:09:32,800 Speaker 1: they're done, were they? I mean, we hit the red 177 00:09:32,920 --> 00:09:35,280 Speaker 1: Jackson prop Reggie over nineteen and a half points. That 178 00:09:35,400 --> 00:09:37,800 Speaker 1: was nice. So we got that again. He shot the 179 00:09:37,800 --> 00:09:40,600 Speaker 1: ball really well and scor scored twenty three points. Paul 180 00:09:40,640 --> 00:09:43,520 Speaker 1: George goes for forty one points and a great win 181 00:09:43,559 --> 00:09:45,400 Speaker 1: for the Clippers. They stay alive and they go back 182 00:09:45,440 --> 00:09:48,440 Speaker 1: to Los Angeles now for game number five, and you know, 183 00:09:48,480 --> 00:09:52,040 Speaker 1: we'll see how this series will wind up going and 184 00:09:52,600 --> 00:09:55,840 Speaker 1: you know it's they're alive, right, or it's game six. 185 00:09:55,920 --> 00:09:57,559 Speaker 1: Rather right, it's the game starry, Starry, Sorry, game six, 186 00:09:57,720 --> 00:10:00,280 Speaker 1: it's three to two that they're alive. Could they force 187 00:10:00,320 --> 00:10:02,640 Speaker 1: a game seven? Yeah, they could force a game seven. 188 00:10:02,720 --> 00:10:05,559 Speaker 1: But it's going to be interesting to see how this 189 00:10:06,240 --> 00:10:10,679 Speaker 1: Sun's team responds to some adversity because the small ball Clippers, 190 00:10:10,800 --> 00:10:13,320 Speaker 1: ty Lou's got that working. That's a really good lineup 191 00:10:13,360 --> 00:10:15,960 Speaker 1: for the Clippers. It's been problematic for the Phoenix Suns 192 00:10:16,280 --> 00:10:19,400 Speaker 1: and they really, I mean DeAndre Ayton got abused. Great 193 00:10:19,480 --> 00:10:23,360 Speaker 1: job by Tylo to play small consistently, and Monty Williams 194 00:10:23,360 --> 00:10:26,480 Speaker 1: will adjust and maybe it's taking eight and off the 195 00:10:26,480 --> 00:10:29,400 Speaker 1: floor a bit more. But Ayton was great in the 196 00:10:29,400 --> 00:10:31,240 Speaker 1: first quarter and he really wasn't there at all in 197 00:10:31,280 --> 00:10:33,360 Speaker 1: the first quarter because of the move from Tylo. So 198 00:10:33,440 --> 00:10:36,120 Speaker 1: credit the Clippers coach for making that adjustment and it 199 00:10:36,200 --> 00:10:40,120 Speaker 1: led to a huge outbreak from Paul George and supporting casts. 200 00:10:40,120 --> 00:10:42,680 Speaker 1: And Marcus Morris was a monster in the first half. 201 00:10:42,679 --> 00:10:44,960 Speaker 1: Twenty points in the first half from Marcus Morris. So 202 00:10:45,760 --> 00:10:49,199 Speaker 1: the play today in the NBA, I told you one 203 00:10:49,200 --> 00:10:53,040 Speaker 1: soccer play one NBA play in two baseball plays, the 204 00:10:53,200 --> 00:10:56,240 Speaker 1: NBA play is kind of boring, and it's already moving 205 00:10:56,360 --> 00:10:58,160 Speaker 1: right now, so I would jump on it and shop 206 00:10:58,200 --> 00:11:00,600 Speaker 1: around or buy the half a point down six, it's 207 00:11:00,600 --> 00:11:02,960 Speaker 1: six and a half right now. I got it at six. 208 00:11:03,320 --> 00:11:06,000 Speaker 1: The second that it came out that Trey Young had 209 00:11:06,040 --> 00:11:08,600 Speaker 1: a bone bruise, I bet the I bet the Bucks 210 00:11:08,640 --> 00:11:11,640 Speaker 1: minus six. This is gonna be very public, okay. And 211 00:11:12,200 --> 00:11:13,880 Speaker 1: we were talking about this on the Discord channel a 212 00:11:13,920 --> 00:11:15,760 Speaker 1: bit last night, where people were like, I love when 213 00:11:16,080 --> 00:11:18,480 Speaker 1: you know the public loses and everyone runs in and says, 214 00:11:18,520 --> 00:11:22,120 Speaker 1: fade the public. Look, I don't always fade the public. 215 00:11:22,120 --> 00:11:23,720 Speaker 1: I didn't fade the public with the Bucks. In the 216 00:11:23,760 --> 00:11:26,280 Speaker 1: last game. Eighty five percent of the money was on Milwaukee. 217 00:11:26,320 --> 00:11:29,719 Speaker 1: The public wins, okay. But it's just trying to identify 218 00:11:29,760 --> 00:11:33,440 Speaker 1: those opportunities that you want to consistently be if you 219 00:11:33,600 --> 00:11:36,560 Speaker 1: can on the other side of the vast majority of 220 00:11:36,559 --> 00:11:39,000 Speaker 1: people who are betting. If you hear three or four 221 00:11:39,040 --> 00:11:42,520 Speaker 1: of your buddies say there's no way X team can lose, 222 00:11:43,080 --> 00:11:46,080 Speaker 1: bet on them to lose. I'm serious. Like, you get 223 00:11:46,080 --> 00:11:49,640 Speaker 1: text messages and friends of yours ah lock that team's 224 00:11:49,679 --> 00:11:53,760 Speaker 1: winning tonight, bet the other way. Okay, it is not 225 00:11:53,840 --> 00:11:57,320 Speaker 1: that easy. It's never that easy. And maybe you lose 226 00:11:57,640 --> 00:12:00,720 Speaker 1: two times out of ten when that happens, but the 227 00:12:00,760 --> 00:12:04,400 Speaker 1: other eight times are going to cash. So listen to 228 00:12:04,440 --> 00:12:07,760 Speaker 1: what Listen to your buddies, Listen to the bar conversation. 229 00:12:07,880 --> 00:12:10,120 Speaker 1: Listen to what someone says if they're sitting at end 230 00:12:10,120 --> 00:12:12,240 Speaker 1: of the bar and they're yelling or running their mouth, 231 00:12:12,480 --> 00:12:15,200 Speaker 1: or they're sending you text messages or posting stuff on Twitter, 232 00:12:15,240 --> 00:12:18,679 Speaker 1: whatever it may be. When you start to see everyone 233 00:12:18,760 --> 00:12:22,120 Speaker 1: going one way, go the other way. If you look 234 00:12:22,120 --> 00:12:26,840 Speaker 1: at my Twitter, my Twitter picture, my Twitter picture is 235 00:12:26,880 --> 00:12:29,720 Speaker 1: me wearing a shirt that a friend of mine designed 236 00:12:29,760 --> 00:12:32,560 Speaker 1: who works for the Action Network and no sorry works 237 00:12:32,559 --> 00:12:36,280 Speaker 1: for Vson, excuse me. And Josh Applebaum wrote a great 238 00:12:36,280 --> 00:12:39,320 Speaker 1: book on sports betting and it's you know, look it 239 00:12:39,400 --> 00:12:42,600 Speaker 1: up on in Amazon. It's he's a really good guy 240 00:12:42,760 --> 00:12:46,600 Speaker 1: and he created these t shirts. It says contrarian better 241 00:12:46,800 --> 00:12:49,680 Speaker 1: or contrarian bet. I think, actually it says and that's 242 00:12:49,720 --> 00:12:51,440 Speaker 1: what I've always believed in. I believed in going the 243 00:12:51,440 --> 00:12:53,680 Speaker 1: other way. I've believed in fading the public. It's just 244 00:12:53,920 --> 00:12:56,160 Speaker 1: so I don't always do it. I'm not doing it tonight. 245 00:12:56,480 --> 00:12:59,120 Speaker 1: The play is the Bucks minus six, and the reason 246 00:12:59,280 --> 00:13:01,560 Speaker 1: is pretty base, And the same reason why everyone else 247 00:13:01,600 --> 00:13:04,480 Speaker 1: is gonna be betting on Milwaukee minus six is because 248 00:13:04,520 --> 00:13:08,520 Speaker 1: without Trey Young's offense, they're done. They don't have it, 249 00:13:08,559 --> 00:13:11,520 Speaker 1: they don't have a B they don't have someone to 250 00:13:11,559 --> 00:13:15,080 Speaker 1: turn to. Look, Kawhi Leonards out, Paul George scores forty one. 251 00:13:15,840 --> 00:13:20,160 Speaker 1: Who on that Hawks team is gonna do that? Who? 252 00:13:20,360 --> 00:13:26,240 Speaker 1: John Collins, no, Lou Williams, no Bogdanovic, no who. That's 253 00:13:26,280 --> 00:13:30,120 Speaker 1: the problem. They've got an a guard who needs to 254 00:13:30,160 --> 00:13:33,240 Speaker 1: score thirty five a night, but they've got a bunch 255 00:13:33,320 --> 00:13:36,239 Speaker 1: of B minus C plus role players for a championship 256 00:13:36,280 --> 00:13:39,360 Speaker 1: caliber contender. And so I don't care if it's just 257 00:13:39,360 --> 00:13:41,840 Speaker 1: a bone bruise. He's not gonna be healthy, he's not 258 00:13:41,880 --> 00:13:43,640 Speaker 1: gonna be able to do the things he normally would do, 259 00:13:43,679 --> 00:13:46,400 Speaker 1: and as the game goes on, it's gonna where it's 260 00:13:46,440 --> 00:13:49,640 Speaker 1: gonna hurt. And I'm not positive it's not an achilles issue. Okay, 261 00:13:49,679 --> 00:13:52,720 Speaker 1: they're calling it a bone bruise, eh, I'm still saying 262 00:13:52,720 --> 00:13:54,240 Speaker 1: that it may have something to do with his ankle 263 00:13:54,400 --> 00:13:56,520 Speaker 1: or his Achilles. I'm not buying a bone bruise, but 264 00:13:56,600 --> 00:13:59,000 Speaker 1: it doesn't matter. He's gonna play, Okay. I fully expect 265 00:13:59,080 --> 00:14:01,439 Speaker 1: Trey Young to play. They're gonna shoot it up, but 266 00:14:01,480 --> 00:14:03,200 Speaker 1: it's I think you'll look a lot like he did 267 00:14:03,200 --> 00:14:05,880 Speaker 1: in the fourth quarter. And remember what Donovan Mitchell looked like. Well, 268 00:14:05,880 --> 00:14:08,560 Speaker 1: he was playing on a bum ankle for the Utah Jazz. 269 00:14:09,320 --> 00:14:11,560 Speaker 1: You have to be perfect. You gotta be on, you 270 00:14:11,640 --> 00:14:13,560 Speaker 1: got to be playing, you gotta be shimmying, you gotta 271 00:14:13,559 --> 00:14:16,280 Speaker 1: be doing everything that Trey Young's capable of doing. And 272 00:14:16,600 --> 00:14:20,000 Speaker 1: that injury is significant to me. So I'm laying the six. 273 00:14:20,720 --> 00:14:23,160 Speaker 1: I think it could be a Milwaukee blowout. You might go, well, Matt, 274 00:14:23,160 --> 00:14:25,200 Speaker 1: wait a minute, Milwaukee needed a fourth quarter for the 275 00:14:25,240 --> 00:14:28,800 Speaker 1: ages from you know, from Chris Middleton. Yeah, because Trey 276 00:14:28,840 --> 00:14:31,960 Speaker 1: Young had already scored thirty five points. That's why that's 277 00:14:32,000 --> 00:14:35,320 Speaker 1: the problem. Trey. Everyone's gonna be on the under for 278 00:14:35,400 --> 00:14:39,080 Speaker 1: his props. Probably a good idea. I just think Milwaukee 279 00:14:39,320 --> 00:14:41,560 Speaker 1: minus six. I'll run with the public here and just 280 00:14:41,880 --> 00:14:44,480 Speaker 1: maybe it's too easy, maybe it's too basic. Maybe it's 281 00:14:44,520 --> 00:14:46,200 Speaker 1: gonna blow up in my face and the Hawks win 282 00:14:46,240 --> 00:14:49,080 Speaker 1: the game going away, and it's an ugly loss, very possible, 283 00:14:49,440 --> 00:14:51,680 Speaker 1: But I'm gonna lay the six with Milwaukee just because 284 00:14:51,680 --> 00:14:53,600 Speaker 1: I don't think Trey Young's going to be all that healthy, 285 00:14:53,880 --> 00:14:56,080 Speaker 1: and without him on the floor, they just don't have 286 00:14:56,120 --> 00:14:58,760 Speaker 1: the offense to keep up with Milwaukee's pace, and I 287 00:14:58,760 --> 00:15:00,480 Speaker 1: don't want to be sweating and under. I would bet 288 00:15:00,520 --> 00:15:02,080 Speaker 1: the under, but I don't want to be sweating that 289 00:15:02,200 --> 00:15:05,040 Speaker 1: because what happens if Trey Young does play and scores thirty. 290 00:15:05,480 --> 00:15:08,960 Speaker 1: Bucks might still win by ten, twelve, fifteen points even 291 00:15:08,960 --> 00:15:11,600 Speaker 1: with Trey Young, but the offense may add to the over, 292 00:15:11,640 --> 00:15:13,080 Speaker 1: to the total, and then we're looking at like a 293 00:15:13,240 --> 00:15:15,880 Speaker 1: two thirty total or something like that. So just gonna 294 00:15:15,920 --> 00:15:18,600 Speaker 1: lay the six points with the Bucks here, but Bucks 295 00:15:18,600 --> 00:15:21,280 Speaker 1: minus six. All right, two baseball games to get into 296 00:15:21,360 --> 00:15:24,360 Speaker 1: here for a half unit each. And this is the 297 00:15:24,400 --> 00:15:25,920 Speaker 1: part of the year. As I told you, we're gonna 298 00:15:25,960 --> 00:15:27,880 Speaker 1: have to get into these baseball betting and it's kind 299 00:15:27,880 --> 00:15:31,280 Speaker 1: of grit your teeth and gotta hold on because it's 300 00:15:31,320 --> 00:15:33,320 Speaker 1: going to be tough. So one thing that I've told 301 00:15:33,360 --> 00:15:35,400 Speaker 1: you guys before is I like to bet what I know. 302 00:15:36,120 --> 00:15:39,360 Speaker 1: And I tried to get too exotic and I try to, 303 00:15:40,000 --> 00:15:42,640 Speaker 1: you know, just do the things that I've been paying 304 00:15:42,640 --> 00:15:44,640 Speaker 1: attention to and bet the things that I know. So 305 00:15:44,680 --> 00:15:46,120 Speaker 1: the first game I want to talk about is the 306 00:15:46,240 --> 00:15:49,720 Speaker 1: Rays against the Nationals. Now, this is Rich Hill going 307 00:15:49,760 --> 00:15:52,840 Speaker 1: to the mound for the Tampa Bay Rays. He pitched 308 00:15:52,880 --> 00:15:55,000 Speaker 1: last against the Boston Red Sox. It was good to 309 00:15:55,000 --> 00:15:58,280 Speaker 1: see him pitch Razor on the road at the Nationals. 310 00:15:58,400 --> 00:16:00,960 Speaker 1: Joe Ross is going for the nat Joe Ross pitched 311 00:16:01,080 --> 00:16:04,400 Speaker 1: very well in his last outing, and he's pitched pretty 312 00:16:04,440 --> 00:16:08,360 Speaker 1: well this season. Against the Miami Marlins he pitched seven. 313 00:16:09,280 --> 00:16:13,200 Speaker 1: He went seven innings, four hits, no runs, two K, 314 00:16:13,680 --> 00:16:16,600 Speaker 1: two walks, eight ks. Pitched really well. But the time 315 00:16:16,640 --> 00:16:20,320 Speaker 1: before that against the Mets five innings, six hits, five 316 00:16:20,360 --> 00:16:24,400 Speaker 1: earned runs, five k's, two home runs given up. But 317 00:16:24,560 --> 00:16:28,520 Speaker 1: the time before that against San Francisco, eight innings, five hits, 318 00:16:28,560 --> 00:16:32,000 Speaker 1: no runs. Okay, So he has pitched decent over the 319 00:16:32,080 --> 00:16:35,040 Speaker 1: last couple of times. Kind of a zigzag theory. So 320 00:16:35,080 --> 00:16:37,080 Speaker 1: if he's zigzag and it's going back to where he 321 00:16:37,120 --> 00:16:38,760 Speaker 1: has been. But he's four and seven with a four 322 00:16:38,760 --> 00:16:42,280 Speaker 1: point one two ERA at home. He hasn't been all 323 00:16:42,320 --> 00:16:46,040 Speaker 1: that great at home. He's been okay. At home, five 324 00:16:46,120 --> 00:16:50,240 Speaker 1: games started, twenty six innings, he's got twenty seven hits 325 00:16:50,400 --> 00:16:54,560 Speaker 1: and seventeen earned runs. You know, versus him on the road, 326 00:16:54,640 --> 00:16:57,080 Speaker 1: He's been a better pitcher on the road this year 327 00:16:57,080 --> 00:17:00,480 Speaker 1: than he has been at home. Ross is hit able, 328 00:17:00,760 --> 00:17:04,280 Speaker 1: and this offense for the Tampa Bay Rays is coming 329 00:17:04,320 --> 00:17:08,920 Speaker 1: along here and coming around. It's only minus one point 330 00:17:08,920 --> 00:17:13,800 Speaker 1: fifteen on the money line, which isn't that bad. It's interleague. 331 00:17:13,840 --> 00:17:16,280 Speaker 1: I always like taking American League teams when it comes 332 00:17:16,280 --> 00:17:19,960 Speaker 1: to interleague play, and I think this is a chance here. 333 00:17:20,200 --> 00:17:22,480 Speaker 1: The first two games it was a three to one 334 00:17:22,560 --> 00:17:24,840 Speaker 1: win for the Rays and then a nine seven win 335 00:17:24,880 --> 00:17:28,560 Speaker 1: for the Nationals, but that's before they called up, you know, 336 00:17:28,640 --> 00:17:33,080 Speaker 1: wander Franco, and this Rais team has been scoring since 337 00:17:33,160 --> 00:17:36,520 Speaker 1: they got wander Franco to come on up. And look, 338 00:17:36,640 --> 00:17:39,480 Speaker 1: they scored eight eight against the Red Sox they lost. 339 00:17:39,560 --> 00:17:41,680 Speaker 1: They scored five against the Red Sox eight and then 340 00:17:41,800 --> 00:17:46,639 Speaker 1: one the four, thirteen and four in their last game, 341 00:17:46,800 --> 00:17:51,560 Speaker 1: so they are scoring. Defensively, they are better with wander 342 00:17:51,600 --> 00:17:55,560 Speaker 1: Franco on the field at shortstop, and they are better 343 00:17:55,640 --> 00:18:00,360 Speaker 1: offensively with him at the plate as well. So I'm 344 00:18:00,359 --> 00:18:03,199 Speaker 1: taking Tampa on the money line here to beat the 345 00:18:03,280 --> 00:18:07,240 Speaker 1: Washington Nationals minus one fifteen here for a half a unit. 346 00:18:07,440 --> 00:18:10,560 Speaker 1: Take Tampa to win this game. I do like Tampa 347 00:18:10,600 --> 00:18:13,320 Speaker 1: here to come through. You get a win. I know 348 00:18:14,080 --> 00:18:16,600 Speaker 1: it's always scary with Kyle Schwarberg with what he's doing 349 00:18:16,920 --> 00:18:19,600 Speaker 1: hitting home runs like crazy. I totally understand that. But 350 00:18:20,200 --> 00:18:22,919 Speaker 1: you know, hopefully Ross gets hit around. It could be 351 00:18:22,920 --> 00:18:25,760 Speaker 1: a higher scoring game, but hopefully Ross comes around here. 352 00:18:25,960 --> 00:18:29,560 Speaker 1: The Rays have won six or least eight starts for 353 00:18:29,680 --> 00:18:32,959 Speaker 1: rich Hill, Nationals have lost seven or less ten starts 354 00:18:32,960 --> 00:18:36,960 Speaker 1: from Joe Ross. So money line raise mice one fifteen 355 00:18:37,400 --> 00:18:40,040 Speaker 1: and then the other. We don't leave a half unit behind. 356 00:18:40,080 --> 00:18:43,680 Speaker 1: Right as the shirt says, red Sox and the Royals. 357 00:18:43,800 --> 00:18:47,520 Speaker 1: Red Sox win yesterday six to five. They come back here. 358 00:18:47,960 --> 00:18:50,240 Speaker 1: And this was a bet that was actually recommended on 359 00:18:50,320 --> 00:18:52,479 Speaker 1: the discord that I think and I agreed with this, 360 00:18:52,560 --> 00:18:55,000 Speaker 1: and I'm surprised you guys didn't vote this them. If 361 00:18:55,000 --> 00:18:56,960 Speaker 1: you guys didn't pick it, I was going to use 362 00:18:57,000 --> 00:18:58,840 Speaker 1: it for myself, and so we're going to use it here. 363 00:18:58,880 --> 00:19:01,359 Speaker 1: Brad Keller six and eight with a six point three 364 00:19:01,400 --> 00:19:04,480 Speaker 1: to nine eer a whip of one point eight yikes, 365 00:19:04,520 --> 00:19:06,760 Speaker 1: twelve home runs given up. The Red Sox are swinging 366 00:19:06,800 --> 00:19:10,399 Speaker 1: a hot bat. It is hot in Fenway, hot hot hot. 367 00:19:10,640 --> 00:19:13,439 Speaker 1: Dave Sharapin, our guy is supposed to be going to 368 00:19:13,480 --> 00:19:18,840 Speaker 1: this game at Fenway Park. Okay, This Nick Paveda season 369 00:19:18,880 --> 00:19:21,320 Speaker 1: has been really interesting. Six and three with a four 370 00:19:21,400 --> 00:19:23,760 Speaker 1: ERA but a one point two whip. Not bad. He 371 00:19:23,760 --> 00:19:25,639 Speaker 1: has good of ten home runs, so he has been 372 00:19:25,680 --> 00:19:27,600 Speaker 1: touched up a little bit. But the Red Sox have 373 00:19:27,720 --> 00:19:30,200 Speaker 1: won all four games against the Royals five to three, 374 00:19:30,400 --> 00:19:32,480 Speaker 1: seven to one. Oh sorry, they've They've gone three and 375 00:19:32,520 --> 00:19:35,800 Speaker 1: one against the Royals five three, seven to one, and 376 00:19:35,920 --> 00:19:38,520 Speaker 1: six five the wins. And they lost seven to three 377 00:19:38,920 --> 00:19:41,840 Speaker 1: to the Royals. I think the Red Sox come back here. 378 00:19:42,119 --> 00:19:46,480 Speaker 1: The run line is only minus one twelve. Red Sox 379 00:19:46,640 --> 00:19:51,040 Speaker 1: pound Brad Keller. They pound this bullpen. This team is 380 00:19:51,200 --> 00:19:54,560 Speaker 1: not very good. The Royals continue to lose their fifteen 381 00:19:54,640 --> 00:19:59,000 Speaker 1: and twenty five on the road. Okay, fifteen and twenty 382 00:19:59,000 --> 00:20:02,200 Speaker 1: five on the road, and they're one of the worst 383 00:20:02,200 --> 00:20:05,040 Speaker 1: teams in the American League. They are twelve games behind 384 00:20:05,040 --> 00:20:08,240 Speaker 1: the White Sox in the Central They've lost six consecutive games, 385 00:20:08,720 --> 00:20:11,080 Speaker 1: three wins in their last ten. They have a negative 386 00:20:11,119 --> 00:20:14,000 Speaker 1: sixty four run differential and they've got a bad pitcher starting. 387 00:20:14,560 --> 00:20:17,720 Speaker 1: Let's go Paveta. Let's go Red Sox over the Royals 388 00:20:17,760 --> 00:20:20,680 Speaker 1: at Fenway Park on the run line at minus one 389 00:20:20,840 --> 00:20:24,560 Speaker 1: twelve for the other half a unit. Okay, so we've 390 00:20:24,600 --> 00:20:26,679 Speaker 1: got four bets for you guys. As I said the 391 00:20:27,280 --> 00:20:30,880 Speaker 1: Germany England game, both teams to score one to one 392 00:20:31,119 --> 00:20:33,879 Speaker 1: or something of that. ILK at minus one twenty is 393 00:20:33,920 --> 00:20:36,800 Speaker 1: the Discord bet and the euro bet of the day. 394 00:20:37,200 --> 00:20:39,800 Speaker 1: Those are the two that's soccer bate. My plays are 395 00:20:39,880 --> 00:20:44,040 Speaker 1: bucks minus six. My plays raise minus on the money line, 396 00:20:44,080 --> 00:20:46,439 Speaker 1: minus one fifteen over the Nationals. Red Sox on the 397 00:20:46,480 --> 00:20:49,920 Speaker 1: run line over the Royals at minus one twelve. I'll 398 00:20:49,960 --> 00:20:52,639 Speaker 1: have a player prop, maybe a baseball prop. We will 399 00:20:52,760 --> 00:20:54,800 Speaker 1: fill up that other half a unit that's out there, 400 00:20:54,920 --> 00:20:56,840 Speaker 1: half unit that's hanging. We'll take care of that. In 401 00:20:56,880 --> 00:20:59,639 Speaker 1: the Discord channel bettingpros dot Com slash chat to get 402 00:20:59,680 --> 00:21:02,120 Speaker 1: into that, or on Discord sorry, on YouTube. The link 403 00:21:02,160 --> 00:21:04,680 Speaker 1: to the Discord channel is underneath me here on YouTube 404 00:21:05,000 --> 00:21:07,560 Speaker 1: the picks. Follow me on Twitter at sports Talk Matt. 405 00:21:07,600 --> 00:21:10,040 Speaker 1: Every morning it's the Diligence Podcast. Brought to you by 406 00:21:10,040 --> 00:21:20,080 Speaker 1: bet MGM right here on bettingpros dot com.