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Speaker 1: What's up, guys?

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Speaker 2: How are you welcome into a Tuesday morning edition of

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Speaker 2: the Daily Juice Podcast. My name is Matt Paroltz. You

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Speaker 2: can follow me on Twitter, app, Sports Talk Matt each

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Speaker 2: in Morning. We are here on YouTube for video. We

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Speaker 2: are here wherever you get your audio podcasts, and we're

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Speaker 2: got the Boston Red Sox taking on the New York

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Speaker 2: Yankees al Wildcard game from Benway Park. Use that promo

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Speaker 2: All right, So, like Jalen Hurt said after that bad

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Speaker 2: loss two weeks ago, we are going to take last

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Speaker 2: night and flush it because I was way off and

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Speaker 2: way wrong. So good Sunday, so oh and one on Friday,

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Speaker 2: two and three on Saturday, seven and three on Sunday,

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Speaker 2: and then oh and four on Monday, so not good.

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Speaker 2: I was way off on everything.

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Speaker 1: The game.

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Speaker 2: Well, the second half went as I thought it would go,

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Speaker 2: high scoring, fast paced, back and forth. First half was

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Speaker 2: I don't know what the Raiders were doing. They were

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Speaker 2: down twenty one nothing at the break, and if they

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Speaker 2: had just scored, you know, fourteen points, we would have

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Speaker 2: been live to cover the over. But that is three

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Speaker 2: consecutive games now where primetime unders have come in Thursday, Sunday, Monday.

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Speaker 2: Every game this week came in under, and we are

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Speaker 2: watching more and more unders come in, so the books

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Speaker 2: are starting to juice these numbers up a little bit

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Speaker 2: higher than what they probably should be. Because it was

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Speaker 2: eight and one to primetime overs, it's now eight and

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Speaker 2: four to primetime over, so that trend now is toast.

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Speaker 2: So fifty one fifty two those were fifty one is

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Speaker 2: a key number. It got over that and it was

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Speaker 2: an underplay just because of the Raiders and then the Chargers.

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Speaker 2: I didn't do much with the total. Besides, I teased

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Speaker 2: the Raiders up to plus nine, and I took the

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Speaker 2: total and pulled it down. Even if I had taken

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Speaker 2: the total and teased it up and taken the under,

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Speaker 2: it still wouldn't have come in because it was a

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Speaker 2: fourteen point win, so the bet should have been the Chargers.

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Speaker 2: Nice went out of them. I didn't know what to

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Speaker 2: make of that game. I couldn't make up my mind.

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Speaker 2: I think the Chargers are really good. Their defense is

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Speaker 2: really good. I like Herbert a lot. I mean, Brandon

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Speaker 2: Staley is a coach. I'm a big fan. He made

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Speaker 2: a big fan of me tonight with how aggressive he

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Speaker 2: is going forward on fourth down multiple times, good play calls,

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Speaker 2: taking advantage. I mean he seems like the modern day

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Speaker 2: head coach, defensive minded guy with some gumptions and guts

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Speaker 2: to go for it.

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Speaker 1: Chargers got a.

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Speaker 2: Good one to go from Anthony Lynn to that guy

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Speaker 2: good Higher. I was very skeptical because he looks like

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Speaker 2: a teenager, but I mean good Higher really smart mind,

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Speaker 2: ready for the job, willing to run with it.

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Speaker 1: And John Gourden's the opposite. John Gourdon's afraid.

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Speaker 2: John Gourden is not really the guts you need to

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Speaker 2: be a coach in today's NFL. To play the old

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Speaker 2: school style doesn't work anymore. You have to be willing

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Speaker 2: to lose, and you got to gamble. And John Grdin's

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Speaker 2: not one of these guys who likes to gamble. Old

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Speaker 2: school coaches don't like to gamble. They want to play

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Speaker 2: close to the vest. They want to punt when they

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Speaker 2: have to third and one, fourth and one. You know,

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Speaker 2: Oh it's fourth and one from my own forty two

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Speaker 2: yard line. Nope, can't go for it. Brandon Staley's like,

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Speaker 2: get out of my way, guy, I know what I'm doing.

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Speaker 2: And he trusts his quarterback, he trusts his team, and

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Speaker 2: so just really impressed, really impressed. The teaser misses, the

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Speaker 2: unders does not come in. Eckler got close. He got

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Speaker 2: twenty eight yards. We needed thirty six yards receiving from

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Speaker 2: Austin Eckler. He ran all over the Raiders. Huge game

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Speaker 2: for him running the football. That should have been the play.

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Speaker 2: And then Waller got shut down. He had fifty yards

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Speaker 2: and had one touchdown, but fifty yards for him, so

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Speaker 2: he goes over. His numbers were duced up pretty good,

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Speaker 2: but I thought he'd have a much better first half.

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Speaker 2: He had nothing, so fifty yards in the second half.

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Speaker 2: If he had anything really in the first half, one

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Speaker 2: or two catches that would have gone over.

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Speaker 1: But it didn't.

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Speaker 2: So just no excuses. Oh and four bad day, bad bets,

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Speaker 2: bad day, all on me. I apologize. Hopefully you faded it.

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Speaker 2: If you trailed, I apologize, that stinks.

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Speaker 1: All right, So let's go to today.

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Speaker 2: This podcast won't be very long, but I do want

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Speaker 2: to If you're watching on YouTube, you're seeing this is

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Speaker 2: a two thousand and three Red Sox shirt. Okay, it's

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Speaker 2: now twenty twenty one. This thing is old. It barely

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Speaker 2: even fits me anymore. It's all boxy. But the back,

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Speaker 2: if you can see on YouTube, you can read that

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Speaker 2: keep the faith about two thousand and three. I've saved this.

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Speaker 2: I pull this out for special days. Okay, I pull

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Speaker 2: this out for big days. It is a Homer pick

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Speaker 2: for my half a unit plus one twenty three Red

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Speaker 2: Sox money line bet. But let me try to justify

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Speaker 2: it here for a second. Okay, before you say, oh

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Speaker 2: my goodness, really, the Boston guy, the Red Sox fan.

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Speaker 2: Of course you're gonna take the Red Sox. You're always

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Speaker 2: wrong when you bet on.

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Speaker 1: The Red Sox. That's true. I'm not gonna know. I

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Speaker 1: deny that.

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Speaker 2: But I was right about Boston with the seventy nine

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Speaker 2: and a half wins going over. Okay, so I have

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Speaker 2: been right about this team. Maybe not day to day,

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Speaker 2: but I haven't right about this team. And here is

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Speaker 2: the thing. Nathan Novaldi is going for the Red Sox.

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Speaker 2: Nathan Novaldi has not pitched in the playoffs since twenty eighteen,

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Speaker 2: but in those playoffs, Nathan Nevaldi pitched twenty two and

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Speaker 2: one third innings, gave up just fifteen hits, five earned

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Speaker 2: runs sorry, four earned runs five of them five runs scored,

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Speaker 2: three walks to sixteen strikeouts, only gave up one home run.

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Speaker 2: He beat the Yankees in Game three of the Alds.

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Speaker 2: He beat the Astros in Game three, and he came

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Speaker 2: in in relief in Game five.

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Speaker 1: Went to the World Series.

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Speaker 2: He pitched in Game one and in Game two, both

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Speaker 2: out of the bullpen, and then he started Game three,

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Speaker 2: where he ended up losing that game to the Dodgers

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Speaker 2: in Game three, but he pitched very well when he

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Speaker 2: has started for the Red Sox in the postseason. Seven innings,

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Speaker 2: five hits, one earned run against these very Yankees. Red

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Speaker 2: Sox won the game sixteen to one. In the game

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Speaker 2: against Houston in Game three of the ALCS, seven innings sorry,

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Speaker 2: six innings, six hits to earned runs, four strikeouts. He

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Speaker 2: has a career era in the postseason of one point

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Speaker 2: six one. Okay, one point six to one. He's going

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Speaker 2: up against a guy who was in the Say Young

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Speaker 2: Award running in Garrett Cole. Garrett Cole's record in ERA

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Speaker 2: at Fenway Park this season is one in two with

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Speaker 2: a six point one to nine ERA. Three games started,

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Speaker 2: sixteen innings, pitched, twelve runs, eleven of them earned. Five

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Speaker 2: home runs given up at Fenway Park by Garrett Cole.

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Speaker 2: Garrett Cole was very good early in the year, but

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Speaker 2: in the second half of the season not so much.

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Speaker 2: Seven and four with a four point one four ERA.

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Speaker 2: In the month of September and October, Garrett Cole has

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Speaker 2: an ERA a four point seven eight. Garrett Cole down

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Speaker 2: the stretch did not pitch all that well. Coming down

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Speaker 2: the stretch, Garrett Cole roughed up ERA over seven point six,

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Speaker 2: gave up three to twenty nine hitting in his last

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Speaker 2: three starts and in four outings in totality against the

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Speaker 2: Red Sox, he has a four point nine to one ERA.

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Speaker 2: No sticky stuff against the Red Sox coming up here today.

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Speaker 2: I think the Red Sox are going to rough up

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Speaker 2: Garrett Cole. If this turns into a bullpen game, well,

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Speaker 2: then the Red Sox are going to be in trouble.

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Speaker 2: The Red Sox have to get to Garrett Cole so

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Speaker 2: early that Aaron Boone can't pull him, like they got

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Speaker 2: to score four runs early on this dude. Okay, the

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Speaker 2: lineup for the Yankees is really inconsistent as by what

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Speaker 2: we saw against the Rays when they had to win

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Speaker 2: and the Rays didn't care and the game was zero

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Speaker 2: zero going into the bottom of the ninth inning where

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Speaker 2: the Yankees finally scored. Just don't really like this Yankees

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Speaker 2: offense all that much. But Aaron Judge and jionco Stanton

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Speaker 2: Mike Stanton are hot. You make a mistake to them

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Speaker 2: and they're gonna hit a ball to the moon. But

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Speaker 2: if those are the only two guys hitting balls, and

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Speaker 2: hopefully they just hit, you know, solo home runs, I

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Speaker 2: think the Red Sox could be okay here all right,

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Speaker 2: in a nine yen game with all hands on deck,

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna take the Red Sox lineup because of what

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Speaker 2: happened when the Red Sox had to win and they

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Speaker 2: went down five to one, what did they do? They

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Speaker 2: turned around and they've scored six runs thanks to Rafael

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Speaker 2: Devers hitting two home runs, including one on the top

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Speaker 2: of the ninth inning, where they won the game seven

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Speaker 2: to five. The Red Sox offense top to bottom is

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Speaker 2: better and or I should say hotter better as debatable,

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Speaker 2: but it's hotter than what the Yankees have. Okay, you've

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Speaker 2: got a bunch of power bats with the Red Sox

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Speaker 2: at Fenway Park. Not debating the Yankees at power bats

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Speaker 2: as well, but I think Nathan Nevaldi can get the

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Speaker 2: job done.

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Speaker 1: I think Nathan Valdi can.

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Speaker 2: Pitch well here, all right, So Red Sox at home,

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Speaker 2: Red Sox with the better betting starting pitcher, the hotter

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Speaker 2: starting pitcher, although of all the did get hit up

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Speaker 2: pretty hard in his last start against the Yankees. Definitely

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Speaker 2: got hit hard in that game. But I just think

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Speaker 2: the Red Sox are at home, and there's value on

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Speaker 2: the Red Sox at plus one twenty three.

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Speaker 1: Here. It's a one game situation at home.

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Speaker 2: I don't know how you don't take the home dog right,

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Speaker 2: regardless of me wearing a Red Sox shirt, regardless what,

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Speaker 2: they've got a chance to win the game. It maybe

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Speaker 2: is more of like a coin flip. Red Sox won

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Speaker 2: ten games, and the two teams were separated by one run.

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Speaker 1: I get the Yankees swept the.

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Speaker 2: Red Sox at Fenway Park, but all that tells to

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Speaker 2: me is that the Red Sox are due to win

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Speaker 2: a game. They're like, Okay, they were reeling, but they

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Speaker 2: got in and something happens when it all resets and

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Speaker 2: it's all about one game and the Red Sox are

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Speaker 2: at home, right, huge rivalry. I get it that the

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Speaker 2: Yankees are the big bad Yankees, and they've got bigger

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Speaker 2: lineups and they got better hitters, and I get all that, okay,

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Speaker 2: but this Red Sox lineup in the middle of their lineup.

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Speaker 2: They need devers, they needs enter bullguards. They need everyone

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Speaker 2: to be hit, call early, and score early in this

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Speaker 2: game because the Yankees will panic if you get them.

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Speaker 2: If you go up early on the Yankees, you can

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Speaker 2: really put some stress on Aaron Boone, who, if he

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Speaker 2: loses this game, could lose his job.

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Speaker 1: All Right. I'm not saying he's going to I'm missing

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Speaker 1: he could. Okay.

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Speaker 2: There is a lot of pressure on this guy to win,

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Speaker 2: and a lot of pressure on the Yankees to win

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Speaker 2: and get into the playoffs, because whether it's a wildcard

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Speaker 2: game or not, this is not really the playoffs. Okay,

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Speaker 2: it's a wild card game. It's a winner take all

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Speaker 2: one game situation. It's just kind of it is what

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Speaker 2: it is, all right, So how I am betting this

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Speaker 2: game Red Sox money line plus one twenty three.

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Speaker 1: It's kind of the same thing.

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Speaker 2: With the Patriots a little bit there that like everyone's

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Speaker 2: picking the Yankees and the Red Sox have plus money

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Speaker 2: and they're at home. Everyone was picking Tampa. Patriots were

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Speaker 2: home plus money. Same kind of thing, right, I was

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Speaker 2: wrong with the Patriots. I could be wrong with the

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Speaker 2: Red Sox. Half a unit bet on the Red Sox

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Speaker 2: on the money line at plus one twenty three, and

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Speaker 2: the total in the first five innings is four, much

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Speaker 2: like hockey when we bet five. I like solid numbers

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Speaker 2: because we have a push potential through five innings two two,

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Speaker 2: three one for nothing total being four not bad. Circus

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Speaker 2: Sports is at four minus one fifteen to the over.

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Speaker 2: We're going half unit over four runs in the first

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Speaker 2: five innings for the Red Sox and the Yankees. The

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Speaker 2: game at eight may go over, but I could I

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Speaker 2: could feel it being like a five to two win

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Speaker 2: for somebody or a four to three win for somebody,

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Speaker 2: And I'm just I'm a little bit hesitant to go

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Speaker 2: to the over in the game. I don't mind to

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Speaker 2: play on the over for the game. I think there

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Speaker 2: could be value there on the game over, but just

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Speaker 2: for the first five because I am betting on the

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Speaker 2: Red Sox to get to Garrett Cole and to hit

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Speaker 2: you know, maybe a two run home run early and

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Speaker 2: or score run early, like get on Garrett Cole early

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Speaker 2: in this game, and let's see how fast of a

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Speaker 2: hook will Aaron Boone have on his starter to winner

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Speaker 2: take all situation. But you know, if he goes through

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Speaker 2: his bullpen really early, the Red Sox could pour in

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Speaker 2: some runs fourth fifth inning. It would be great to

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Speaker 2: be in the bullpen by the second third inning for

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Speaker 2: the Red Sox. Or maybe you get three or four

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Speaker 2: runs off Gret Cole, which would be great. So I'm

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Speaker 2: going over four runs first five Red Sox and the

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Speaker 2: in the Yankees for half a unit in money line

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Speaker 2: red Sox at plus one twenty three. If we miss

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Speaker 2: the first and get the second one, it'll be a

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Speaker 2: winning day because of the plus money on the Red

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Speaker 2: Sox at plus one twenty three. So good chance to

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Speaker 2: push at four, but also a chance to go over

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Speaker 2: if both these offenses come in swinging, and maybe Evaldi

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Speaker 2: is bad. Ind if Valdi is bad. First four, Yankee

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Speaker 2: score a bunch of runs, Red Sox score a couple

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Speaker 2: of runs, and we're over four runs, you know, to

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Speaker 2: five run whatever we have three to two after four,

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Speaker 2: after five we win that bet and then we wound up.

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Speaker 2: You know, we can be down just a little bit there,

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Speaker 2: just down the juice if we go one in one

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Speaker 2: on these so I think it's it's a good way

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Speaker 2: of playing it. Plus money on the Reds will be great,

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Speaker 2: not playing into the bullpen, because who knows once you

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Speaker 2: get to a bullpen game how it's going to go.

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Speaker 2: So just a one unit play, two bets, one unit

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Speaker 2: Red Sox money line over four runs in the first

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Speaker 2: five for the Red Sox and the Yankees. All right,

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Speaker 2: Tomorrow we'll do the National League, the National League Wild

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Speaker 2: Cards game between the Dodgers and the Cardinals. Dodgers won

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Speaker 2: one hundred and six games and they're playing in a

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Speaker 2: wild card game. How about that one hundred and six games?

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Speaker 2: They went over their one hundred and two and a

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Speaker 2: half win projection, and they get I mean, just unbelievable.

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Speaker 1: Just so crazy.

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Speaker 2: By the way, the we did some good news yesterday

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Speaker 2: because the ticket was cashed for the Giants to win

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Speaker 2: the National League West at plus three thirty.

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Speaker 1: So that was nice.

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Speaker 2: That was nice one and a half unit pick up

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Speaker 2: there with a plus three to thirty half a unit

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Speaker 2: cash on the Giants to win the National League West.

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Speaker 1: So I liked that. I needed that. I liked that.

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Speaker 2: So that made up for yesterday a little bit. So

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Speaker 2: technically for me when it comes to my bank roll,

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Speaker 2: it was actually just a push for me with being down.

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Speaker 2: Well no, it was actually no. We were down two units,

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Speaker 2: so no, so still a losing day, had down half

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Speaker 2: a unit, but not nearly as bad thanks to that

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Speaker 2: future rager coming in. And I was asked, Dan Harris

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Speaker 2: asked me about future ragers. I'm not there yet for

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Speaker 2: the NBA and for the NHL. I will have NBA

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Speaker 2: win totals to give out at some point in the

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Speaker 2: near future. We get a little bit closer to the

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Speaker 2: start of the regular season. I got to see how

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Speaker 2: teams are playing, but I also need to see injuries.

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Speaker 2: Because you've bet a win total and then a star

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Speaker 2: goes out and gets hurt, it's really not a good situation,

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Speaker 2: so we'll get in on that, and then preseason hockey,

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Speaker 2: we'll get on that a little bit as well, talk

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Speaker 2: about some predictions, some teams that I like. So we

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Speaker 2: are getting close. This is an awesome sports.

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Speaker 1: Week, by the way.

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Speaker 2: So we have the wild Card game tomorrow or the

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Speaker 2: American League to night National League wildcare Game tomorrow.

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Speaker 1: Then we have Thursday Night.

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Speaker 2: Football, which is a really good game. Rams are playing

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Speaker 2: on Thursday night. Then we've got Friday, which is playoff

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Speaker 2: Baseball on Friday, and then on Saturday, we've got playoff baseball,

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Speaker 2: We've got college football, and I have got the Wilder

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Speaker 2: Fury fight number three, which I'm going to, and we

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Speaker 2: will have a bunch of bets going on Wilder and

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Speaker 2: Fury three heavyweight fight here in Las Vegas, which I

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Speaker 2: cannot wait to go to.

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Speaker 1: So I'm psyched to watch that fight.

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Speaker 2: I'm going We add a bunch of the events coming

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Speaker 2: up once a week kind of calms down a little bit.

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Speaker 2: But I got a bunch of things going on. G

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Speaker 2: two E, which is the Global Gambling Summit, is here

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Speaker 2: in Vegas. The biggest convention for gamblers in the world

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Speaker 2: is this weekend. I'm doing a panel on Wednesday, and

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Speaker 2: I'll be hanging out with Matthew.

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Speaker 1: Metcalf and Matt Holt.

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Speaker 2: Matthew Metcalf is from Circus Sports, their lead book maker,

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Speaker 2: and Matthew Holt from US Integrity.

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Speaker 1: So I got a lot of things going on this week.

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Speaker 2: It is a crazy, crazy week, but plays Red Sux

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Speaker 2: money line first five over four one unit half unit

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Speaker 2: bet each for US today. Keep the faith, Let's go

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Speaker 2: Red Sucks. Mine's Matt Parotz. You can follow me on

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Speaker 2: Twitter at sports Tuck Matt. Each every morning it's a

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Speaker 2: Woulduce podcast, always being brought to you by Betham g

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Speaker 2: M