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I've known him 26 00:01:24,000 --> 00:01:24,600 Speaker 2: a long time. 27 00:01:24,640 --> 00:01:29,120 Speaker 1: He was a longtime staffer for the late Senate Majority leader. 28 00:01:29,160 --> 00:01:33,679 Speaker 1: He's author of a book about the Senate called kill Switch, 29 00:01:33,760 --> 00:01:36,000 Speaker 1: The Rise of the Modern Senate and the Crippling of 30 00:01:36,040 --> 00:01:39,120 Speaker 1: American Democracy. So we'll have a little fun about about 31 00:01:40,360 --> 00:01:43,000 Speaker 1: how broken is the Senate and how to repair it. 32 00:01:43,360 --> 00:01:45,400 Speaker 1: But I have him mind because you just started anew 33 00:01:45,440 --> 00:01:47,880 Speaker 1: and I'll be curious what you describe it, Adam. Is 34 00:01:47,920 --> 00:01:50,800 Speaker 1: it a think tank? Is it a research institute? But 35 00:01:50,840 --> 00:01:54,200 Speaker 1: it's named after the hometown of Harry Reid, Searchlight, Nevada. 36 00:01:54,240 --> 00:01:57,440 Speaker 1: It's called the search Light. Let me make sure I 37 00:01:57,480 --> 00:01:59,320 Speaker 1: get this right. Well, you could tell me for sure, 38 00:01:59,680 --> 00:02:00,760 Speaker 1: search Light Institute. 39 00:02:00,800 --> 00:02:03,280 Speaker 2: Is that right? Right? Got it? There we go, So. 40 00:02:04,840 --> 00:02:09,760 Speaker 1: Basically trying to get Democrats to broaden the tent, make 41 00:02:09,840 --> 00:02:12,720 Speaker 1: the case that this is a big tent. And given 42 00:02:12,720 --> 00:02:15,200 Speaker 1: that you work for Harry Reid, who was for years 43 00:02:15,240 --> 00:02:17,720 Speaker 1: known as personally pro life or pro gun at times, 44 00:02:17,800 --> 00:02:21,280 Speaker 1: you know, certainly was culturally a bit conservative if a 45 00:02:21,520 --> 00:02:25,120 Speaker 1: probably an original populist on economic issues that I think 46 00:02:25,120 --> 00:02:30,480 Speaker 1: people if you didn't follow his career closely, might not realize. 47 00:02:30,800 --> 00:02:33,760 Speaker 1: So in many ways naming it after Harry read makes 48 00:02:33,760 --> 00:02:34,480 Speaker 1: a lot of sense to me. 49 00:02:34,520 --> 00:02:35,000 Speaker 2: But what is it? 50 00:02:35,040 --> 00:02:37,400 Speaker 1: What do you describe search Light Institutes. 51 00:02:37,000 --> 00:02:39,000 Speaker 2: And the think tank? Is it something else? We are 52 00:02:39,000 --> 00:02:43,519 Speaker 2: an action tank, Chuck, And that feels like a focus 53 00:02:43,560 --> 00:02:47,760 Speaker 2: group word, dude, Well, you know the reason I call 54 00:02:47,760 --> 00:02:50,520 Speaker 2: it that is that is that, you know, we develop ideas, 55 00:02:50,520 --> 00:02:52,080 Speaker 2: but we don't want them to sit on the shelf. 56 00:02:52,200 --> 00:02:54,160 Speaker 2: You know, these aren't white papers that are designed to 57 00:02:54,320 --> 00:02:56,840 Speaker 2: just sort of be read by academics and policy wonks. 58 00:02:57,160 --> 00:03:00,520 Speaker 2: You know, they're they're well thought through, their credible, but 59 00:03:00,560 --> 00:03:02,520 Speaker 2: we want them to be put into action, and we 60 00:03:02,560 --> 00:03:04,760 Speaker 2: want them to become legislation. We want them to become 61 00:03:04,800 --> 00:03:08,520 Speaker 2: talked about on campaigns, and we want them to shape 62 00:03:08,520 --> 00:03:10,680 Speaker 2: the debate. And so the part of the reason we 63 00:03:10,720 --> 00:03:13,240 Speaker 2: have both a policy development arm of what we do 64 00:03:13,320 --> 00:03:15,880 Speaker 2: and appolling arm of what we do is to you know, 65 00:03:15,919 --> 00:03:19,040 Speaker 2: try to get that balance right between being responsive to 66 00:03:19,040 --> 00:03:20,880 Speaker 2: the public listening to the American people. I think in 67 00:03:20,880 --> 00:03:23,919 Speaker 2: a democracy it's very important to actually have the policies 68 00:03:23,919 --> 00:03:26,840 Speaker 2: that are developed reflect the will of the people, but 69 00:03:26,880 --> 00:03:29,960 Speaker 2: then factor that in to how we develop our own policies, 70 00:03:30,200 --> 00:03:32,240 Speaker 2: you know, and we don't just pull to say what's popular. 71 00:03:32,240 --> 00:03:33,880 Speaker 2: We just want to understand what people think and then 72 00:03:33,880 --> 00:03:36,440 Speaker 2: design people design policy in a way that sort of 73 00:03:36,440 --> 00:03:39,080 Speaker 2: bridges the divide sometimes between what we think is correct 74 00:03:39,080 --> 00:03:40,880 Speaker 2: on the policy and where the American people are in 75 00:03:40,920 --> 00:03:42,960 Speaker 2: their own thoughts and feelings on the issue. 76 00:03:43,560 --> 00:03:47,000 Speaker 1: Compare yourself to cat Center for American Progress, which is 77 00:03:47,080 --> 00:03:49,880 Speaker 1: arguably the sort of the leading progressive think tank these 78 00:03:49,920 --> 00:03:52,320 Speaker 1: days in Washington. We're more headed then and then and 79 00:03:52,400 --> 00:03:56,680 Speaker 1: Brookings you more center left, I guess, or you might 80 00:03:56,720 --> 00:03:59,240 Speaker 1: say very academic in comparison to the other two. 81 00:03:59,520 --> 00:04:02,800 Speaker 2: That's exact right, And I think on sort of ideology, 82 00:04:03,360 --> 00:04:05,680 Speaker 2: compared to both of those, we are more heterodox. We 83 00:04:05,720 --> 00:04:08,000 Speaker 2: will take the best ideas from wherever they come from, 84 00:04:08,080 --> 00:04:12,040 Speaker 2: from across the ideological spectrum, and it's my own personal 85 00:04:12,120 --> 00:04:15,000 Speaker 2: view that the best and most durable, and frankly, the 86 00:04:15,320 --> 00:04:18,920 Speaker 2: policies that bring the biggest change to this country tend 87 00:04:18,960 --> 00:04:23,000 Speaker 2: to reflect points of view from across the ideological spectrum. 88 00:04:23,160 --> 00:04:26,280 Speaker 2: So I think a lot about Social Security, right and 89 00:04:26,520 --> 00:04:29,640 Speaker 2: you know, people have called Social Security liberal ends by 90 00:04:29,680 --> 00:04:34,280 Speaker 2: conservative means. It's the greatest anti poverty program we've ever implemented, 91 00:04:35,720 --> 00:04:37,920 Speaker 2: is you know, a core part of democrats appeal to 92 00:04:37,920 --> 00:04:41,400 Speaker 2: the American people, but it also embraced conservative principles of 93 00:04:41,400 --> 00:04:45,280 Speaker 2: personal responsibility. People paid in FDR himself was personally would 94 00:04:45,320 --> 00:04:47,599 Speaker 2: rail against the dole and cabinet meetings. He would say, 95 00:04:47,600 --> 00:04:50,080 Speaker 2: this is not a dole, this is not welfare. People 96 00:04:50,120 --> 00:04:51,800 Speaker 2: are going to earn what they get. They're going to 97 00:04:51,800 --> 00:04:53,640 Speaker 2: pay into it through the payroll packs, and then I 98 00:04:53,680 --> 00:04:56,640 Speaker 2: get something back in return. So you know, we try 99 00:04:56,680 --> 00:04:59,640 Speaker 2: to think about that balance as we develop policy. We're smaller. 100 00:05:00,360 --> 00:05:03,120 Speaker 2: I think we're more action oriented than some of the 101 00:05:03,120 --> 00:05:05,440 Speaker 2: folks who've been around for a long time, and I think, 102 00:05:06,040 --> 00:05:07,839 Speaker 2: but you know, it's the more the merrier as far 103 00:05:07,880 --> 00:05:08,560 Speaker 2: as I'm concerned. 104 00:05:09,040 --> 00:05:12,640 Speaker 1: We were talking off camera here for a minute and 105 00:05:12,640 --> 00:05:14,480 Speaker 1: you were talking about how your office space is right 106 00:05:14,480 --> 00:05:17,400 Speaker 1: in your heritage. And it's interesting you brought up Social 107 00:05:17,400 --> 00:05:20,080 Speaker 1: Security as an example that sort of meshed a liberal 108 00:05:20,080 --> 00:05:24,200 Speaker 1: and conservative idea. I could argue Obamacare did the same thing, right, 109 00:05:24,279 --> 00:05:27,520 Speaker 1: you know, the infamous Heritage. You know, Heritage has been 110 00:05:27,560 --> 00:05:31,440 Speaker 1: through a lot of shall we say, facelifts over the years. 111 00:05:32,240 --> 00:05:34,080 Speaker 1: Maybe they have a mar a lago look now that 112 00:05:34,120 --> 00:05:36,760 Speaker 1: they went to the doctor and got my joke, not years, 113 00:05:37,640 --> 00:05:40,680 Speaker 1: but in the nineties they came up with essentially the 114 00:05:40,720 --> 00:05:43,600 Speaker 1: healthcare plan that was the model for met Romney and 115 00:05:44,000 --> 00:05:46,080 Speaker 1: arguably the model for Barack Obama. 116 00:05:46,160 --> 00:05:48,960 Speaker 2: That's exactly right. And you know, having sort of been 117 00:05:49,800 --> 00:05:52,440 Speaker 2: actually a cap for a little while while while the 118 00:05:52,720 --> 00:05:55,320 Speaker 2: affordable character was being debated during the campaign and then 119 00:05:55,760 --> 00:05:58,360 Speaker 2: legislated and then being on the hill through a lot 120 00:05:58,360 --> 00:06:01,840 Speaker 2: of that too, that's exactly right. And you know, part 121 00:06:01,839 --> 00:06:04,800 Speaker 2: of the way that we were able to pass that 122 00:06:05,160 --> 00:06:08,080 Speaker 2: was by embracing conservative ideas, and in fact it was 123 00:06:08,720 --> 00:06:10,719 Speaker 2: modeled You're one hundred percent correct. There was a Heritage 124 00:06:10,720 --> 00:06:13,160 Speaker 2: study in the nineties that that sort of provided the 125 00:06:13,160 --> 00:06:16,920 Speaker 2: intellectual basis for it, and then it was put into practice, 126 00:06:16,960 --> 00:06:21,839 Speaker 2: first by Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney when he was governor there, 127 00:06:21,920 --> 00:06:25,159 Speaker 2: and people called it Romneycare, So you know, before it 128 00:06:25,200 --> 00:06:28,520 Speaker 2: was Obamacare, it was Romneycare, and it certainly reflected you 129 00:06:28,560 --> 00:06:32,000 Speaker 2: know that the idea of having an individual mandate, you know, 130 00:06:32,160 --> 00:06:34,440 Speaker 2: and other aspects of it were and you know, frankly 131 00:06:34,520 --> 00:06:36,480 Speaker 2: being aimed at bending the cost curve, at bringing down 132 00:06:36,480 --> 00:06:38,640 Speaker 2: the deficit. These are all conservative principles that were incorporating 133 00:06:38,680 --> 00:06:40,480 Speaker 2: into that development, although heritage walked away from it. 134 00:06:40,480 --> 00:06:42,919 Speaker 1: But you know, every once in a while, I always 135 00:06:42,960 --> 00:06:45,200 Speaker 1: try to give little breadcrumbs to sort of like, you know, 136 00:06:45,400 --> 00:06:47,840 Speaker 1: how my political mind was shaped by my parents. And 137 00:06:47,960 --> 00:06:50,520 Speaker 1: you know, my father had this saying when I remember 138 00:06:50,520 --> 00:06:52,560 Speaker 1: as a kid, he said, you know, and I'd ask him, 139 00:06:52,600 --> 00:06:55,920 Speaker 1: you know, and he was he became a he was 140 00:06:55,960 --> 00:06:59,000 Speaker 1: a Reagan Democrat that became a Reagan Conservative. And he'd 141 00:06:59,000 --> 00:07:01,400 Speaker 1: say he left the Democratic already over LPJ and Vietnam. 142 00:07:01,720 --> 00:07:03,480 Speaker 1: That was that was sort of where you went. But 143 00:07:03,520 --> 00:07:05,640 Speaker 1: you still also say, he goes, you know, I want 144 00:07:05,720 --> 00:07:07,240 Speaker 1: the Democrats to come up with the ideas and I 145 00:07:07,240 --> 00:07:10,160 Speaker 1: want the Republicans to implement them. It was like that 146 00:07:10,160 --> 00:07:12,440 Speaker 1: that was his in his mindset. You know at the time, 147 00:07:12,480 --> 00:07:15,320 Speaker 1: and that back in the seventies and eighties, the perception 148 00:07:15,400 --> 00:07:18,120 Speaker 1: of the two parties was, you know, the the the 149 00:07:18,280 --> 00:07:23,800 Speaker 1: managerial brain was on the Republican side and the the 150 00:07:23,840 --> 00:07:26,560 Speaker 1: empathy brain was on the Democratic side, and that you know, 151 00:07:26,560 --> 00:07:28,560 Speaker 1: if you had too much empathy, it would be too expensive. 152 00:07:28,600 --> 00:07:30,840 Speaker 1: You needed, you know, that sort of balance. And in 153 00:07:30,880 --> 00:07:33,240 Speaker 1: some ways what you're describing here was what you describe 154 00:07:33,240 --> 00:07:35,360 Speaker 1: to Social Security, what we were retelling the story of 155 00:07:35,360 --> 00:07:38,960 Speaker 1: Obamacare somewhere that does sort of work itself out right, 156 00:07:39,040 --> 00:07:44,160 Speaker 1: that the stuff that sticks is the stuff that is 157 00:07:44,680 --> 00:07:49,520 Speaker 1: more ideologically diverse when it comes to the cooks in 158 00:07:49,600 --> 00:07:51,840 Speaker 1: the kitchen that create the policy. 159 00:07:51,960 --> 00:07:54,320 Speaker 2: Right, That's that's exactly right. I mean, you know, we've 160 00:07:54,400 --> 00:07:58,520 Speaker 2: fallen out of this balance and we're talking polarized. We're 161 00:07:58,560 --> 00:08:00,600 Speaker 2: so polarized. We'll talk about full us to you know. 162 00:08:01,200 --> 00:08:02,480 Speaker 2: You know, I think that's a big part of it. 163 00:08:02,560 --> 00:08:05,400 Speaker 1: I argue the two parties aren't as in. You know, 164 00:08:05,840 --> 00:08:08,080 Speaker 1: I always say, what's the biggest change in American politics 165 00:08:08,400 --> 00:08:11,440 Speaker 1: in my lifetime, It's been the lack of ideological diversity 166 00:08:11,480 --> 00:08:12,800 Speaker 1: inside the two parties. 167 00:08:13,040 --> 00:08:14,880 Speaker 2: Oh well, you know, I mean, think about that was 168 00:08:14,920 --> 00:08:17,320 Speaker 2: the huge chain, one hundred percent. I mean I think 169 00:08:17,360 --> 00:08:20,280 Speaker 2: a lot about what the Senate Democratic caucus looked like 170 00:08:20,400 --> 00:08:22,440 Speaker 2: back when I worked for Harry Reid in the Senate 171 00:08:22,520 --> 00:08:23,640 Speaker 2: and we had, first of all, we. 172 00:08:23,600 --> 00:08:25,920 Speaker 1: Talk about all those northern red states that had Democratic 173 00:08:26,000 --> 00:08:27,720 Speaker 1: senators for yes, well, I. 174 00:08:27,680 --> 00:08:32,160 Speaker 2: Mean yeah, both Dakota's, you know, we had senators there, 175 00:08:32,200 --> 00:08:35,520 Speaker 2: We had a senator Nebraska. We had both Senate boat. 176 00:08:35,480 --> 00:08:37,160 Speaker 1: Senators in Nebraska for a long time. 177 00:08:37,360 --> 00:08:41,200 Speaker 2: That's right, Bob Carry and Ben Nelson. We had both 178 00:08:41,200 --> 00:08:44,319 Speaker 2: Senate seats in Montana for a long time, both seats 179 00:08:44,320 --> 00:08:46,360 Speaker 2: in Arkansas. If you want to move further south, Louisia 180 00:08:46,400 --> 00:08:47,960 Speaker 2: had one seat in Louisiana. I mean, you know, we 181 00:08:48,000 --> 00:08:49,960 Speaker 2: had I think when I went to count it, it 182 00:08:50,000 --> 00:08:52,079 Speaker 2: was we had at least one one Senate seat in 183 00:08:52,200 --> 00:08:54,800 Speaker 2: thirty six of the fifty states, right, so just really 184 00:08:54,840 --> 00:08:58,520 Speaker 2: spread across the country. And the reason why was this 185 00:08:58,760 --> 00:09:02,840 Speaker 2: ideological diversity that you describing. You know, senators like Max Bocchus, 186 00:09:02,960 --> 00:09:07,480 Speaker 2: Ben Nelson, mary Landrew, Blanche Lincoln. They were four things 187 00:09:07,640 --> 00:09:09,959 Speaker 2: like you know, mary Landrew was strongly in favor of 188 00:09:09,960 --> 00:09:12,479 Speaker 2: the fossil fuel industry, coming from a state like Louisiana 189 00:09:12,480 --> 00:09:15,280 Speaker 2: where that was critical to the economy. Ben Nelson was 190 00:09:15,320 --> 00:09:18,360 Speaker 2: pro life, Blanche Lincoln was in favor of fiscal responsibility 191 00:09:18,360 --> 00:09:22,040 Speaker 2: and balanced budgets. Right, And that didn't make them not Democrats, right, 192 00:09:22,040 --> 00:09:24,720 Speaker 2: They still were strongly Democratic on most issues. They still 193 00:09:24,800 --> 00:09:27,200 Speaker 2: voted with the party, you know, on most issues. But 194 00:09:27,920 --> 00:09:32,640 Speaker 2: embracing that ideological diversity is what allowed us to win 195 00:09:32,840 --> 00:09:35,360 Speaker 2: Senate seats in those states. And what we've done over 196 00:09:35,400 --> 00:09:38,600 Speaker 2: the last ten years is to try to purity test 197 00:09:38,760 --> 00:09:42,760 Speaker 2: out anybody who has any kind of ideological diversity, particularly 198 00:09:42,840 --> 00:09:44,640 Speaker 2: when it goes to the right, and that's just shot 199 00:09:44,640 --> 00:09:47,520 Speaker 2: ourselves in the foot. It's left us unable to win 200 00:09:47,640 --> 00:09:50,959 Speaker 2: seats in those red states where we barely can't even 201 00:09:50,960 --> 00:09:51,760 Speaker 2: compete these days. 202 00:09:52,320 --> 00:09:54,600 Speaker 1: You know, it's funny you brought up Blanche Lincoln. Remember 203 00:09:54,640 --> 00:09:56,839 Speaker 1: that primary challenge she had to deal with sure do 204 00:09:57,160 --> 00:10:01,360 Speaker 1: yep and organizing him right, And it was it was 205 00:10:01,600 --> 00:10:03,280 Speaker 1: you're just sitting there going, guys, what are you doing. 206 00:10:03,400 --> 00:10:06,800 Speaker 1: She's already in a tough general election. What are you 207 00:10:06,840 --> 00:10:10,400 Speaker 1: doing to her? And it made a tough situation worse well, 208 00:10:10,440 --> 00:10:10,880 Speaker 1: And it's. 209 00:10:10,720 --> 00:10:13,040 Speaker 2: A good point because you know, I think what gets 210 00:10:13,120 --> 00:10:16,000 Speaker 2: mixed up in the sort of debate on social media 211 00:10:16,040 --> 00:10:19,480 Speaker 2: and elsewhere about this is that to embrace somebody like 212 00:10:19,520 --> 00:10:23,200 Speaker 2: Blanche Lincoln doesn't require you or your friends or most 213 00:10:23,240 --> 00:10:26,800 Speaker 2: other Democrats to change their points of view. Right, I'm 214 00:10:27,000 --> 00:10:30,000 Speaker 2: strongly pro union. Most of my policy views are probably 215 00:10:30,040 --> 00:10:31,920 Speaker 2: pretty far to the left of the American electorate. But 216 00:10:32,400 --> 00:10:34,480 Speaker 2: for someone like Blanche Lincoln to win in a state 217 00:10:34,559 --> 00:10:37,760 Speaker 2: like Arkansas, she's going to have to take different positions, 218 00:10:37,760 --> 00:10:41,560 Speaker 2: positions that diverge from my own, and that impulse towards 219 00:10:41,600 --> 00:10:45,640 Speaker 2: purity is going to guarantee that our caucus is smaller, 220 00:10:45,720 --> 00:10:48,880 Speaker 2: that the number of Americans Democrats are able to represent 221 00:10:49,480 --> 00:10:51,160 Speaker 2: is smaller, that the number of Americans who look at 222 00:10:51,200 --> 00:10:53,160 Speaker 2: Democrats and say that is a party I want to 223 00:10:53,160 --> 00:10:54,160 Speaker 2: be a part of is smaller. 224 00:10:56,240 --> 00:10:59,280 Speaker 1: You know, I got my start at National Journal, and 225 00:10:59,480 --> 00:11:01,880 Speaker 1: they were fit as in the seventies and eighties and 226 00:11:01,920 --> 00:11:04,320 Speaker 1: nineties for doing this. You know, now we've got a 227 00:11:04,320 --> 00:11:06,760 Speaker 1: whole bunch of other ways that people look to use 228 00:11:07,160 --> 00:11:10,800 Speaker 1: sort of votes to put people on the political spectrum. 229 00:11:11,000 --> 00:11:13,240 Speaker 1: But there was always when I first started at National Journal, 230 00:11:13,400 --> 00:11:15,439 Speaker 1: when the Almanek would come out, it was always interesting 231 00:11:16,000 --> 00:11:19,080 Speaker 1: how many Democrats are to the right of the most 232 00:11:19,120 --> 00:11:22,280 Speaker 1: liberal Republican and how many Republicans are to the left 233 00:11:22,320 --> 00:11:25,480 Speaker 1: of the most conservative Democrats. And there was always you know, 234 00:11:25,520 --> 00:11:28,320 Speaker 1: and we would lament. Oh, it's getting smaller every year. 235 00:11:28,679 --> 00:11:31,520 Speaker 1: I think it's been a decade since they're the streams 236 00:11:31,520 --> 00:11:34,600 Speaker 1: have crossed, meaning like you know, I think Mansion and 237 00:11:34,640 --> 00:11:37,360 Speaker 1: Collins were like this. If I'm for those of you 238 00:11:37,480 --> 00:11:39,839 Speaker 1: just listening on audio, my hands are very close together 239 00:11:39,920 --> 00:11:43,160 Speaker 1: but not touching, almost in the way it was almost 240 00:11:43,320 --> 00:11:46,719 Speaker 1: felt like they were being repelled. Do you think that 241 00:11:46,880 --> 00:11:49,160 Speaker 1: is a bad thing or a good thing for the 242 00:11:49,280 --> 00:11:49,800 Speaker 1: US center? 243 00:11:50,320 --> 00:11:52,080 Speaker 2: Oh, I think it's I think it's a very bad thing. 244 00:11:52,120 --> 00:11:57,120 Speaker 2: I think that you have to have people on, you know, 245 00:11:57,200 --> 00:11:58,960 Speaker 2: you have to be able to build bridges across the 246 00:11:59,120 --> 00:12:01,240 Speaker 2: logical lines. You know. Sometimes you can do that in 247 00:12:01,240 --> 00:12:04,040 Speaker 2: a strange Bedfellow's way, where you know, you have you know, 248 00:12:04,200 --> 00:12:06,560 Speaker 2: a Bernie Sanders alliance with a Josh Holly or you 249 00:12:06,559 --> 00:12:07,520 Speaker 2: know on some is. 250 00:12:07,480 --> 00:12:09,640 Speaker 1: Sure and you see this in some of these populous Yeah. 251 00:12:09,880 --> 00:12:12,000 Speaker 2: Yeah, but I but I think that it shouldn't be 252 00:12:12,120 --> 00:12:14,760 Speaker 2: the case that you know, the sort of you know, 253 00:12:14,920 --> 00:12:18,320 Speaker 2: there's no senator in the Democratic caucus who is anywhere 254 00:12:18,360 --> 00:12:21,480 Speaker 2: close to Republicans on ideology. I could get beat up 255 00:12:21,480 --> 00:12:23,319 Speaker 2: by some of my party for saying that, But I think, 256 00:12:23,640 --> 00:12:25,720 Speaker 2: you know what, if that is the case, you know, 257 00:12:25,760 --> 00:12:28,400 Speaker 2: there are consequences, there are trade offs to taking that approach, 258 00:12:28,559 --> 00:12:30,920 Speaker 2: and that's what we have here where Democrats can only 259 00:12:30,920 --> 00:12:34,160 Speaker 2: win forty seven sentence seats at best, you know, maybe 260 00:12:34,160 --> 00:12:37,800 Speaker 2: straight by to the narrowest imaginable majority, but that's you know, 261 00:12:37,840 --> 00:12:40,240 Speaker 2: there's a consequence of taking that approach and narrowing your 262 00:12:40,280 --> 00:12:42,479 Speaker 2: tent simply means you can win in fewer places. 263 00:12:43,040 --> 00:12:44,920 Speaker 1: Look, and to me, this is the I think the 264 00:12:44,960 --> 00:12:47,880 Speaker 1: baseline of what I remember seeing your press release when 265 00:12:47,880 --> 00:12:49,360 Speaker 1: you first came out. I think an op ed that 266 00:12:49,400 --> 00:12:53,480 Speaker 1: you wrote as well. You know, I think that the 267 00:12:53,559 --> 00:12:59,320 Speaker 1: twenty thirty two presidential election, if you just if Kamala 268 00:12:59,360 --> 00:13:02,640 Speaker 1: Harris carried the same the Democratic candidate carries every state 269 00:13:02,679 --> 00:13:11,040 Speaker 1: that Kamala Harris carried, and they won Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania. Well, 270 00:13:11,040 --> 00:13:12,840 Speaker 1: and right now, that was worth two hundred and seventy 271 00:13:12,840 --> 00:13:16,160 Speaker 1: electoral votes she'd have won right on the nose. That's 272 00:13:16,160 --> 00:13:17,559 Speaker 1: only going to be worth two hundred and fifty nine 273 00:13:17,559 --> 00:13:20,800 Speaker 1: electoral votes come twenty thirty two. That path, so every 274 00:13:20,800 --> 00:13:23,000 Speaker 1: state she carried plus the three in the Midwest, the 275 00:13:23,040 --> 00:13:26,760 Speaker 1: three Midwestern states, and then when you look at Senate seats, 276 00:13:27,280 --> 00:13:30,280 Speaker 1: because I've done this math, if Democrats sweep the seven 277 00:13:30,320 --> 00:13:35,480 Speaker 1: battlegrounds in Senate seats, right, and when every Senate seat 278 00:13:35,520 --> 00:13:38,520 Speaker 1: and every blue state that she carried, the max I 279 00:13:38,559 --> 00:13:39,360 Speaker 1: think is fifty two. 280 00:13:40,640 --> 00:13:41,679 Speaker 2: Yep, that's right. 281 00:13:41,920 --> 00:13:44,880 Speaker 1: I mean you just said thirty six states at one point, 282 00:13:45,320 --> 00:13:48,000 Speaker 1: which is why. I mean, let's look at Barack Obama's 283 00:13:48,000 --> 00:13:51,079 Speaker 1: first year, that six month period when you had sixty 284 00:13:51,800 --> 00:13:54,560 Speaker 1: Senate seats. All right, it was a brief period, and 285 00:13:54,600 --> 00:13:56,679 Speaker 1: it was you know, we can yes, it was some 286 00:13:56,760 --> 00:13:59,280 Speaker 1: weird you know, you had the Specter party switch and 287 00:13:59,320 --> 00:14:02,679 Speaker 1: all that. But the fact of the matter is, I 288 00:14:02,720 --> 00:14:04,720 Speaker 1: don't know what a path to sixty would look like. 289 00:14:04,920 --> 00:14:07,040 Speaker 1: Let's say that was your goal, you know, got to 290 00:14:07,080 --> 00:14:10,520 Speaker 1: get to sixty Senate seats. What's that path look like 291 00:14:10,559 --> 00:14:11,600 Speaker 1: in today's politics. 292 00:14:11,640 --> 00:14:13,640 Speaker 2: Well, that is our goal. I mean, that's what Searchlight 293 00:14:13,720 --> 00:14:15,800 Speaker 2: is here to do. We are trying to craft an 294 00:14:15,800 --> 00:14:19,160 Speaker 2: agenda and an approach that will allow Democrats to aim 295 00:14:19,200 --> 00:14:21,240 Speaker 2: at sixty Senate seats. We talk a lot about this 296 00:14:21,320 --> 00:14:25,320 Speaker 2: idea of super majority thinking here, and a supermajority mindset 297 00:14:25,400 --> 00:14:28,200 Speaker 2: is not to aim at two hundred and seventy electoral 298 00:14:28,280 --> 00:14:30,560 Speaker 2: votes and to try to scrape by there or aim 299 00:14:30,600 --> 00:14:32,720 Speaker 2: at you know, narrow majorities in the House and Senate. 300 00:14:33,120 --> 00:14:35,960 Speaker 2: It's to aim at three hundred and sixty five electoral votes, 301 00:14:36,000 --> 00:14:38,160 Speaker 2: which is what Obama won in two thousand and eight. 302 00:14:38,440 --> 00:14:40,600 Speaker 2: And it's to aim at sixty Senate seats and then 303 00:14:40,600 --> 00:14:42,880 Speaker 2: work backwards from there. So you know, what that looks 304 00:14:42,960 --> 00:14:47,760 Speaker 2: like is much more flexibility on issues across the board. 305 00:14:47,960 --> 00:14:49,680 Speaker 2: You know, I personally think that if you were to 306 00:14:49,680 --> 00:14:53,640 Speaker 2: sort of devise a basic template, you know, and again 307 00:14:53,840 --> 00:14:55,680 Speaker 2: I've sort of am allergic to templates. I think part 308 00:14:55,680 --> 00:14:57,840 Speaker 2: of what we're trying to do here is create more flexibility. 309 00:14:57,880 --> 00:14:59,880 Speaker 2: But just for the sake of argument, you know, let's 310 00:15:00,080 --> 00:15:03,960 Speaker 2: route this in some concrete idea of ideology. I think, 311 00:15:04,160 --> 00:15:07,400 Speaker 2: you know, economic populism is a powerful force. It's so 312 00:15:07,520 --> 00:15:10,600 Speaker 2: powerful that Trump has embraced it. Trump has moved to 313 00:15:10,640 --> 00:15:13,960 Speaker 2: the center on issues like social security and Medicare. 314 00:15:14,080 --> 00:15:17,640 Speaker 1: And the only reason Republicans got have won the popular 315 00:15:17,720 --> 00:15:20,160 Speaker 1: vote exactly right, I mean, I think it is at 316 00:15:20,320 --> 00:15:23,560 Speaker 1: that specific decision he doesn't make that that you know, 317 00:15:23,880 --> 00:15:26,160 Speaker 1: we all there's a lot of people that you know, 318 00:15:26,720 --> 00:15:29,000 Speaker 1: say Paul Ryan had high character guy and all of 319 00:15:29,040 --> 00:15:35,920 Speaker 1: those things. But the Paul Ryan view of entitlements was 320 00:15:35,960 --> 00:15:39,320 Speaker 1: a losing issue for the Republican Party, which is why 321 00:15:39,600 --> 00:15:40,760 Speaker 1: Mitt Romney never won the. 322 00:15:40,680 --> 00:15:43,440 Speaker 2: President And this is part of what our theory of 323 00:15:43,440 --> 00:15:46,960 Speaker 2: the case is is that a Democratic presidential candidate can 324 00:15:47,160 --> 00:15:50,760 Speaker 2: just decide to embrace a different set of policy positions 325 00:15:50,800 --> 00:15:52,840 Speaker 2: like we are here to help provide that infrastructure and 326 00:15:52,880 --> 00:15:55,680 Speaker 2: help you know, create those ideas and provide the air cover. 327 00:15:55,760 --> 00:15:57,280 Speaker 1: Put a little bit of a blue stamp on it. 328 00:15:57,280 --> 00:16:00,080 Speaker 1: So it doesn't feel so hard for some left what 329 00:16:00,080 --> 00:16:01,840 Speaker 1: I mean, maybe right. 330 00:16:01,680 --> 00:16:04,760 Speaker 2: But you were there. It's it's difficult to overstate how 331 00:16:04,960 --> 00:16:08,520 Speaker 2: sort of encased in concrete. The conventional wisdom was in 332 00:16:08,600 --> 00:16:12,520 Speaker 2: twenty sixteen that that entitlement cuts were part of what 333 00:16:12,720 --> 00:16:14,800 Speaker 2: you had to be in favor of in order to 334 00:16:14,840 --> 00:16:17,560 Speaker 2: succeed in a Republican primary. You know, Paul Ryan was 335 00:16:17,840 --> 00:16:20,280 Speaker 2: the vice presidential nominee in twenty twelve. He was the 336 00:16:20,280 --> 00:16:22,360 Speaker 2: Speaker of the House by the time the primary was 337 00:16:22,640 --> 00:16:26,160 Speaker 2: in full swing. In twenty sixteen, Ryanism was considered you 338 00:16:26,200 --> 00:16:30,960 Speaker 2: know orthodoxy among Republicans. Trump came as the stool right, 339 00:16:31,240 --> 00:16:33,760 Speaker 2: that's irresponsibility, it's right. And Trump just threw it all 340 00:16:33,760 --> 00:16:35,720 Speaker 2: out the window, you know. I mean, I remember him 341 00:16:35,720 --> 00:16:37,480 Speaker 2: standing on the debate stage. You know, the Iraq War 342 00:16:37,520 --> 00:16:40,040 Speaker 2: is another issue that was considered you know, orthodoxy. In 343 00:16:40,400 --> 00:16:42,440 Speaker 2: twenty fifteen, he stood on a debate stage in South 344 00:16:42,480 --> 00:16:45,120 Speaker 2: Carolina and he turned to Jeb Bush and said, I 345 00:16:45,160 --> 00:16:47,680 Speaker 2: think the Iraq War that your brother started was a big, 346 00:16:47,720 --> 00:16:51,920 Speaker 2: fat mistake, you know. And so it is really difficult 347 00:16:52,000 --> 00:16:57,400 Speaker 2: to imagine a Democratic candidate diverging from their party and 348 00:16:57,480 --> 00:17:01,560 Speaker 2: taking stances in opposition to the Democratic ideology on that level, 349 00:17:01,760 --> 00:17:05,000 Speaker 2: you know, of that magnitude. But that's what we need, 350 00:17:05,119 --> 00:17:07,879 Speaker 2: is we need Democrats to say, you know, we are 351 00:17:07,920 --> 00:17:10,520 Speaker 2: here to break that rigidity, we are here to open 352 00:17:10,640 --> 00:17:13,320 Speaker 2: up a new pathway and to bring in more voters. 353 00:17:13,359 --> 00:17:16,159 Speaker 2: And you know, Trump, it is an underappreciated aspect of 354 00:17:16,160 --> 00:17:19,239 Speaker 2: his appeal that he was truly heterodox. He defied his 355 00:17:19,320 --> 00:17:23,160 Speaker 2: party's orthodoxy on three or four or even more very 356 00:17:23,240 --> 00:17:26,280 Speaker 2: high profile issues that were considered core to the Republican ideology, 357 00:17:26,280 --> 00:17:28,399 Speaker 2: and that's part of why people saw him as a 358 00:17:28,440 --> 00:17:31,000 Speaker 2: different kind of Republican. Oh, I'm convinced. 359 00:17:31,000 --> 00:17:32,880 Speaker 1: And this is also why you can sort of see 360 00:17:32,920 --> 00:17:35,320 Speaker 1: I mean, I'm convinced that this is a coalition it's 361 00:17:35,320 --> 00:17:37,520 Speaker 1: not going to be able to hold itself together without 362 00:17:37,600 --> 00:17:42,119 Speaker 1: him in whatever you know, we you know, set aside 363 00:17:42,200 --> 00:17:44,760 Speaker 1: the character issue the guy has the guy created a 364 00:17:44,760 --> 00:17:48,840 Speaker 1: coalition that was unique. It was durable for him, right, 365 00:17:48,920 --> 00:17:52,040 Speaker 1: It's not really been transferable, but it's been durable for him. 366 00:17:52,200 --> 00:17:55,320 Speaker 1: And the thing is is you can see it, right, 367 00:17:55,359 --> 00:17:59,800 Speaker 1: the conversation on snap benefits, the conversation on healthcare, they're 368 00:18:00,720 --> 00:18:03,280 Speaker 1: singing off the same song sheet because they're actually a 369 00:18:03,280 --> 00:18:06,560 Speaker 1: coalition that that sort of got forged together and culture, 370 00:18:06,600 --> 00:18:09,280 Speaker 1: and they're they're all over the place on economic policy, 371 00:18:09,600 --> 00:18:12,120 Speaker 1: and I think that's where this thing starts to break 372 00:18:12,119 --> 00:18:12,880 Speaker 1: apart pretty soon. 373 00:18:13,080 --> 00:18:15,280 Speaker 2: I think that's right. I mean, that's that's the optimistic 374 00:18:15,359 --> 00:18:18,600 Speaker 2: view for sure, and I think it's probably the right one, you. 375 00:18:18,560 --> 00:18:22,400 Speaker 1: Know, especially the economy keeps feeling the way definitely, that's right. 376 00:18:22,720 --> 00:18:25,000 Speaker 1: This in it it's a I always say, it's like 377 00:18:25,000 --> 00:18:26,520 Speaker 1: if you have a little bit of money, this economy 378 00:18:26,720 --> 00:18:29,320 Speaker 1: is okay. You know, everything's a little more expensive, but 379 00:18:29,359 --> 00:18:31,600 Speaker 1: it's okay. If you have some money in the stock market, 380 00:18:31,600 --> 00:18:34,560 Speaker 1: you feel like, okay, I'm I've got Pad. But if 381 00:18:34,600 --> 00:18:37,160 Speaker 1: you don't have Pad, this economy is horrible. 382 00:18:37,359 --> 00:18:40,159 Speaker 2: Right, just therendous. It's the Disneyland phenomenon. Right. If you 383 00:18:40,160 --> 00:18:43,199 Speaker 2: can afford the express pass, you know, it's great. But 384 00:18:43,320 --> 00:18:45,120 Speaker 2: if you can't, you know, you're stuck in three hour 385 00:18:45,160 --> 00:18:47,640 Speaker 2: lines the whole time for one ride. So yeah, it's 386 00:18:47,640 --> 00:18:50,199 Speaker 2: it's it's you know, it's you know. I worked for 387 00:18:51,400 --> 00:18:53,879 Speaker 2: one of your listeners, remember John Edwards the Center of 388 00:18:53,920 --> 00:18:55,960 Speaker 2: North Carolina in two thousand and eight. He talked about 389 00:18:56,080 --> 00:18:58,520 Speaker 2: two Americas, and I think that's that's what we're seeing 390 00:18:58,960 --> 00:18:59,639 Speaker 2: these days. 391 00:19:01,640 --> 00:19:03,720 Speaker 1: This episode of the Chuck Podcast is brought to you 392 00:19:03,800 --> 00:19:06,720 Speaker 1: by Wild Grain. 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Always use the code, 422 00:20:32,640 --> 00:20:33,400 Speaker 1: get the discount. 423 00:20:33,400 --> 00:20:36,280 Speaker 2: I'm telling you it's excellent, excellent bread. 424 00:20:39,440 --> 00:20:41,919 Speaker 1: Boy, that speech would be really resident today. 425 00:20:42,080 --> 00:20:43,440 Speaker 2: I agree more so. 426 00:20:44,080 --> 00:20:48,760 Speaker 1: I mean, you know, Edwards, he was applaud human being. 427 00:20:49,359 --> 00:20:52,320 Speaker 1: There is a ton and I sort of I have 428 00:20:52,920 --> 00:20:54,720 Speaker 1: not to go off on a tangent here. 429 00:20:54,800 --> 00:20:55,320 Speaker 2: I have. 430 00:20:56,560 --> 00:20:59,680 Speaker 1: I think there's more empathy that the Edwards family deserves. 431 00:21:01,880 --> 00:21:05,600 Speaker 1: You never get over losing a child, and I've always 432 00:21:05,800 --> 00:21:08,919 Speaker 1: thought that their life, so, you know, and it threw 433 00:21:09,000 --> 00:21:11,640 Speaker 1: him into politics, like in some ways it did, but 434 00:21:11,760 --> 00:21:15,520 Speaker 1: you know that that I think that you can't judge 435 00:21:15,640 --> 00:21:19,440 Speaker 1: Edwards without understanding that. So I'm always a little more empathetic, 436 00:21:19,480 --> 00:21:22,520 Speaker 1: I think than the average person on him. But boy, 437 00:21:22,840 --> 00:21:26,320 Speaker 1: his you know, and what he was was it's old 438 00:21:26,320 --> 00:21:29,080 Speaker 1: Southern populace. And it's no different than Zell Miller, Bill Clinton, 439 00:21:29,520 --> 00:21:32,120 Speaker 1: Dick Riley. I think about all everything you're describing here. 440 00:21:32,160 --> 00:21:35,040 Speaker 1: I think about what Trump is doing. This is what 441 00:21:35,080 --> 00:21:39,119 Speaker 1: the Southern Democrats were. Those Southern Democratic governors were. They 442 00:21:39,119 --> 00:21:41,160 Speaker 1: would they were like, hey, government can be a good 443 00:21:41,200 --> 00:21:44,399 Speaker 1: thing for you, and we want to help you. But 444 00:21:44,400 --> 00:21:47,280 Speaker 1: they were also culturally somewhat conservative, right, you're Zell Miller's 445 00:21:47,359 --> 00:21:50,680 Speaker 1: or Bill Clinton's, you're Dick Riley's. But those southern governors 446 00:21:50,680 --> 00:21:54,239 Speaker 1: of the eighties, in some ways, the economic policies they 447 00:21:54,240 --> 00:21:57,440 Speaker 1: were pushing are exactly what's popular. 448 00:21:57,080 --> 00:21:59,400 Speaker 2: Today, that's right. I mean, you know John Edwards, son 449 00:21:59,400 --> 00:22:01,040 Speaker 2: of a mill worker, you know, I mean he was 450 00:22:01,240 --> 00:22:04,960 Speaker 2: in touch with with regular people. And you know that 451 00:22:04,960 --> 00:22:07,240 Speaker 2: that economic populism, I mean, that was the foundation of 452 00:22:07,240 --> 00:22:09,640 Speaker 2: the New Deal coalition, you know, I mean that that 453 00:22:09,760 --> 00:22:13,040 Speaker 2: was the foundation of lbj's coalition too, you know, as 454 00:22:13,040 --> 00:22:14,760 Speaker 2: you mentioned your father, I mean, you know, some of 455 00:22:14,760 --> 00:22:18,080 Speaker 2: the cultural stuff that's that's the you know, on the 456 00:22:18,080 --> 00:22:20,679 Speaker 2: Republican side, it's it's can you hold people together on 457 00:22:20,720 --> 00:22:25,520 Speaker 2: cultural issues while you pass economic policies that primarily benefit 458 00:22:25,520 --> 00:22:28,640 Speaker 2: the wealthiest and the big corporations. And on the Democratic side, 459 00:22:28,680 --> 00:22:32,080 Speaker 2: it's can you hold people together on economic populism issues, 460 00:22:32,359 --> 00:22:34,879 Speaker 2: you know, while you often take stances on cultural issues 461 00:22:34,880 --> 00:22:36,840 Speaker 2: that the American people don't agree with. And I think 462 00:22:37,119 --> 00:22:41,240 Speaker 2: when Democrats and liberals succeed, it's when they're able to 463 00:22:41,320 --> 00:22:45,720 Speaker 2: center their message on those core economic populist ideas and 464 00:22:45,800 --> 00:22:48,960 Speaker 2: provide some flexibility on cultural issues in a way that 465 00:22:49,000 --> 00:22:50,720 Speaker 2: will allow us to win in more states. 466 00:22:51,600 --> 00:22:55,760 Speaker 1: Let me introduce an uncomfortable question about Democrats. I can 467 00:22:55,840 --> 00:22:58,520 Speaker 1: make an argument that the four Democratic presidents of my 468 00:22:58,600 --> 00:23:02,720 Speaker 1: lifetime that have been elect Carter, Clinton, Obama, and Biden, 469 00:23:03,840 --> 00:23:06,480 Speaker 1: none of them win without the economic downturn that was 470 00:23:06,520 --> 00:23:10,080 Speaker 1: happening during their initial campaign. And I say that in 471 00:23:10,080 --> 00:23:13,159 Speaker 1: that is that the only path to the presidency for 472 00:23:13,240 --> 00:23:13,760 Speaker 1: a Democrat. 473 00:23:14,840 --> 00:23:18,120 Speaker 2: Well, I think what that those downturns do is they, 474 00:23:18,200 --> 00:23:21,160 Speaker 2: you know, when you're in times of prosperity, people people 475 00:23:21,240 --> 00:23:23,680 Speaker 2: gravitate more towards cultural issues, you know, and I think 476 00:23:23,720 --> 00:23:28,360 Speaker 2: that's that's sort of a pattern there. And then Republicans, 477 00:23:28,920 --> 00:23:32,560 Speaker 2: you know, win on cultural issues, pass policies that benefit 478 00:23:32,600 --> 00:23:35,000 Speaker 2: the top one percent, and often you know, run up 479 00:23:35,040 --> 00:23:38,680 Speaker 2: huge deficits despite their you know, their claim to care 480 00:23:38,720 --> 00:23:41,680 Speaker 2: about this corresponsibility. And then that leads to a crash 481 00:23:41,720 --> 00:23:43,399 Speaker 2: and Democrats have to come in, and you know, and 482 00:23:43,400 --> 00:23:47,320 Speaker 2: it refocuses the public's attention on how unbalanced and tilted 483 00:23:47,320 --> 00:23:49,720 Speaker 2: towards the one percent Republicans policies, where I don't think 484 00:23:49,760 --> 00:23:56,640 Speaker 2: it's a necessary precondition, but you know, it certainly focuses voters' 485 00:23:56,680 --> 00:24:01,480 Speaker 2: minds on the unfairness and gross inequity of Republican's economic policies. 486 00:24:01,480 --> 00:24:06,480 Speaker 1: For sure, Does that stark reality because I could argue 487 00:24:06,480 --> 00:24:09,480 Speaker 1: that the last Democrat to win the White House without 488 00:24:09,880 --> 00:24:15,280 Speaker 1: help from a poor economy was Kennedy? Does that stark 489 00:24:15,359 --> 00:24:21,359 Speaker 1: reality mean that the Democrats should be less leaning into 490 00:24:21,400 --> 00:24:22,359 Speaker 1: some cultural issues. 491 00:24:23,560 --> 00:24:26,560 Speaker 2: I yeah, I think that's one hundred percent the case. 492 00:24:26,640 --> 00:24:30,399 Speaker 2: I think that, you know, part of what some of 493 00:24:30,400 --> 00:24:32,560 Speaker 2: the work that we've done here at Searchlight has shown 494 00:24:32,840 --> 00:24:36,560 Speaker 2: is that, you know, it's not just that we are 495 00:24:36,560 --> 00:24:37,960 Speaker 2: out of stuff with the public on a lot of 496 00:24:37,960 --> 00:24:40,399 Speaker 2: these cultural issues purely on the merits. It's also that 497 00:24:40,520 --> 00:24:44,760 Speaker 2: focusing on them distracts the public's attention from the economic issues. 498 00:24:44,760 --> 00:24:49,320 Speaker 2: It's what we call a crowding out effect, where you know, simply, 499 00:24:49,359 --> 00:24:51,800 Speaker 2: you know, you listen to the average Democrats stump speech today, 500 00:24:51,800 --> 00:24:54,760 Speaker 2: it's a laundry list, and they go down and they 501 00:24:54,760 --> 00:24:57,280 Speaker 2: acknowledge every issue under the sun, you know. 502 00:24:57,240 --> 00:24:59,560 Speaker 1: And the land acknowledgment, and I say this, I'm not 503 00:24:59,560 --> 00:25:02,560 Speaker 1: trying to be snarky about it, but I just that. 504 00:25:03,359 --> 00:25:06,639 Speaker 2: Listen that, you know, the DNC's most recent meetings started 505 00:25:06,640 --> 00:25:08,720 Speaker 2: out with one and so I think you know, look, 506 00:25:08,760 --> 00:25:10,920 Speaker 2: Republicans will seize on that and they'll attack you for it, 507 00:25:11,040 --> 00:25:13,119 Speaker 2: you know, but you don't have to give them so much, ammo. 508 00:25:13,560 --> 00:25:15,920 Speaker 2: And we and we do that all the time. And 509 00:25:16,119 --> 00:25:18,639 Speaker 2: so then you know, it is not it is not 510 00:25:18,920 --> 00:25:22,119 Speaker 2: inaccurate for a voter to fix to themselves. Hmm. This 511 00:25:22,240 --> 00:25:26,840 Speaker 2: democrat seems more focused on these cultural issues that prior. 512 00:25:26,880 --> 00:25:28,640 Speaker 2: I don't really agree with that. Yeah, so so where 513 00:25:28,680 --> 00:25:30,440 Speaker 2: is your economics? You know what's really interesting though, Chuck, 514 00:25:30,480 --> 00:25:32,959 Speaker 2: is somebody who did an incredible job of avoiding that 515 00:25:33,000 --> 00:25:37,760 Speaker 2: crowding out effect was Zoron Mamdani. We went through and 516 00:25:37,800 --> 00:25:41,280 Speaker 2: we analyzed his paid media and you know, you do 517 00:25:41,320 --> 00:25:44,199 Speaker 2: a word cloud based on the analysis, and in you know, 518 00:25:44,400 --> 00:25:48,120 Speaker 2: words like affordable rent, freeze, billionaires, like all those words 519 00:25:48,119 --> 00:25:50,440 Speaker 2: were huge in the cloud. You literally could not find 520 00:25:50,480 --> 00:25:54,639 Speaker 2: the words climate change or LGBTQ issues didn't appear in 521 00:25:54,640 --> 00:25:58,399 Speaker 2: the cloud because didn't appear in the cloud either. He 522 00:25:58,600 --> 00:26:01,200 Speaker 2: chose not to talk about it, you know, and so 523 00:26:01,320 --> 00:26:04,120 Speaker 2: he became sort of almost like, you know, a joke 524 00:26:04,119 --> 00:26:05,480 Speaker 2: by the end of the campaign that he could take 525 00:26:05,520 --> 00:26:09,840 Speaker 2: any conversation and steer it back towards affordability, right, So 526 00:26:10,000 --> 00:26:12,320 Speaker 2: that kind of message. And of course Zorn cares about 527 00:26:12,359 --> 00:26:14,879 Speaker 2: climate change. Of course he cares about LGBTQ rights. You know, 528 00:26:14,960 --> 00:26:17,160 Speaker 2: he's not throwing those causes under the bus. He's making 529 00:26:17,160 --> 00:26:22,240 Speaker 2: a conscious decision to focus his campaign relentlessly on kitchen 530 00:26:22,240 --> 00:26:24,399 Speaker 2: table issues. So you know, I wouldn't take all of 531 00:26:24,480 --> 00:26:27,280 Speaker 2: his ideological positions and try to apply them in other states, 532 00:26:27,320 --> 00:26:31,000 Speaker 2: but I certainly would take that discipline practice and avoiding 533 00:26:31,000 --> 00:26:33,720 Speaker 2: crowding out that he demonstrated as a lesson that can 534 00:26:33,720 --> 00:26:35,800 Speaker 2: be universalizable in other places. 535 00:26:36,359 --> 00:26:39,920 Speaker 1: So look, we're taping just to timestamp this on a Wednesday, 536 00:26:40,400 --> 00:26:44,080 Speaker 1: November twelve, where the government is in the process of 537 00:26:44,080 --> 00:26:49,199 Speaker 1: being reopened. Perhaps the release of the Epstein emails has 538 00:26:49,280 --> 00:26:54,160 Speaker 1: distracted the left's anger at the at Schumer and the 539 00:26:54,320 --> 00:26:58,560 Speaker 1: Democratic senators that chose to put a pause in this debate. 540 00:26:58,920 --> 00:27:01,000 Speaker 1: And I call it a pause because I I'll just 541 00:27:01,119 --> 00:27:04,720 Speaker 1: be I think a better messenger. You know, I think 542 00:27:04,760 --> 00:27:06,560 Speaker 1: you and I both though Bill Clinton would have been 543 00:27:06,560 --> 00:27:10,119 Speaker 1: able to say we're going to feed people, we're going 544 00:27:10,200 --> 00:27:12,080 Speaker 1: to let you get to grandma, and we're going to 545 00:27:12,119 --> 00:27:14,679 Speaker 1: make sure Grandma comes home to you to this holidays. 546 00:27:15,000 --> 00:27:17,720 Speaker 1: We haven't given we're we're not given up this fight 547 00:27:17,920 --> 00:27:20,600 Speaker 1: on healthcare, and in fact, we've got more people focused 548 00:27:20,640 --> 00:27:23,359 Speaker 1: on it than ever. We've got them super nervous about it. 549 00:27:23,520 --> 00:27:25,399 Speaker 1: But yeah, we're going to reopen the government. And this 550 00:27:25,480 --> 00:27:27,360 Speaker 1: is why we're going to reopen the government. But it's 551 00:27:27,359 --> 00:27:29,440 Speaker 1: only for the next and they they're on the clock 552 00:27:29,480 --> 00:27:31,800 Speaker 1: and they have sixty five days. Why was that not 553 00:27:31,960 --> 00:27:34,800 Speaker 1: an effective way to sell the reopening of this government. 554 00:27:35,160 --> 00:27:37,760 Speaker 2: I think expectations got completely out of whack, you know, 555 00:27:37,800 --> 00:27:40,479 Speaker 2: And this is this is a responsibility of leadership, you know, Frankly, 556 00:27:40,680 --> 00:27:44,600 Speaker 2: is that you know, the idea Republicans were never going 557 00:27:44,640 --> 00:27:47,119 Speaker 2: to give Democrats a full year extension of the subsidies. 558 00:27:47,240 --> 00:27:49,280 Speaker 2: You know, this was just not now without a fight. 559 00:27:49,480 --> 00:27:52,000 Speaker 2: I mean they still might. I still think there will be. 560 00:27:52,440 --> 00:27:55,080 Speaker 1: My theory is it won't be a majority of Republicans 561 00:27:55,080 --> 00:27:57,200 Speaker 1: that do it, but that there's going to be enough 562 00:27:57,240 --> 00:27:58,119 Speaker 1: to force the issue. 563 00:27:58,200 --> 00:27:59,800 Speaker 2: Well, I think that's right. I mean, I think as 564 00:27:59,840 --> 00:28:02,520 Speaker 2: the political pain takes hold, you know, that's that's probably 565 00:28:02,520 --> 00:28:05,879 Speaker 2: the case. But you know, that's gotta that's gotta have. 566 00:28:05,960 --> 00:28:07,800 Speaker 2: You got to give that time to breathe, and give 567 00:28:07,800 --> 00:28:09,920 Speaker 2: that time for people to start feeling that, you know, 568 00:28:09,920 --> 00:28:11,560 Speaker 2: I don't want them to feel the pain, but but 569 00:28:11,840 --> 00:28:15,600 Speaker 2: because of the Republican's policy choices, they're going to So 570 00:28:15,720 --> 00:28:19,000 Speaker 2: I think, look, you know, I mean, the the problem 571 00:28:19,000 --> 00:28:23,160 Speaker 2: with being a congressional leader is that the skills that 572 00:28:23,840 --> 00:28:27,760 Speaker 2: help you get that job aren't always the same skills 573 00:28:28,080 --> 00:28:30,919 Speaker 2: that make you good at communicating with the public, you know. 574 00:28:31,200 --> 00:28:33,960 Speaker 2: And so it is a very inside baseball job. It 575 00:28:34,040 --> 00:28:35,880 Speaker 2: is about. You know, you worked for. 576 00:28:35,800 --> 00:28:38,080 Speaker 1: A senator who was really good behind the scenes, and 577 00:28:38,120 --> 00:28:41,520 Speaker 1: he was was the best community care let's tell you do. 578 00:28:41,520 --> 00:28:43,120 Speaker 2: You'd be the first to say it, you know. I 579 00:28:43,160 --> 00:28:43,680 Speaker 2: mean it was. 580 00:28:45,720 --> 00:28:49,840 Speaker 1: I say this I love talking to right the minute 581 00:28:49,880 --> 00:28:52,920 Speaker 1: it was on the record, his everything changed about it. 582 00:28:52,960 --> 00:28:54,760 Speaker 2: Well, he didn't care, you know. I mean that's the 583 00:28:54,840 --> 00:28:56,800 Speaker 2: other thing is that he didn't care that he didn't 584 00:28:56,840 --> 00:29:01,320 Speaker 2: have a you know, uh, you know, flowery sound bite. 585 00:29:01,360 --> 00:29:03,000 Speaker 2: You know, he would give you exactly what he wanted 586 00:29:03,000 --> 00:29:06,200 Speaker 2: to say. He'd say it very quietly, you know. Uh. 587 00:29:06,400 --> 00:29:09,600 Speaker 2: And and that was it because he had the confidence 588 00:29:09,600 --> 00:29:11,040 Speaker 2: of knowing that he you know, he thought through the 589 00:29:11,040 --> 00:29:13,360 Speaker 2: strategy that he had the caucus behind him. So it's 590 00:29:13,360 --> 00:29:15,120 Speaker 2: always been the case. I mean, Nancy Pelosi was an 591 00:29:15,120 --> 00:29:17,920 Speaker 2: incredible leader, but was also you know, a huge target 592 00:29:17,920 --> 00:29:21,000 Speaker 2: of Republican attacks. Right, So it's the best communicator, that's 593 00:29:21,000 --> 00:29:24,280 Speaker 2: that's right, And it's it's a difficult combination of skills, 594 00:29:25,400 --> 00:29:28,280 Speaker 2: you know, and especially today in a media environment that 595 00:29:28,360 --> 00:29:31,920 Speaker 2: prioritizes or that you know, where the ability to communicate 596 00:29:31,920 --> 00:29:34,760 Speaker 2: across mediums, to be natural on camera, to be quick 597 00:29:34,800 --> 00:29:37,480 Speaker 2: with the quip, you know. It's so that's just something 598 00:29:37,480 --> 00:29:39,720 Speaker 2: that is evolving and we're going to have to figure 599 00:29:39,760 --> 00:29:42,800 Speaker 2: that out as as the caucus decides, you know, what's 600 00:29:42,840 --> 00:29:44,880 Speaker 2: the right mix they want to see in the next leader. 601 00:29:45,360 --> 00:29:50,600 Speaker 1: So it's funny, it's it's one of these cases where 602 00:29:51,840 --> 00:29:55,360 Speaker 1: it's Schumer's fault that this is being misinterpreted, whether it's 603 00:29:55,520 --> 00:29:57,800 Speaker 1: you know, it's this is not It's not as much 604 00:29:57,800 --> 00:30:01,160 Speaker 1: about the tactics. It's more about how he communicated. 605 00:30:02,560 --> 00:30:05,160 Speaker 2: I think there's a there's a communication aspect, but there's 606 00:30:05,160 --> 00:30:07,280 Speaker 2: also a decision making aspect to this too, which is 607 00:30:07,320 --> 00:30:10,800 Speaker 2: that at some there was never really an end game here, right, 608 00:30:11,040 --> 00:30:12,480 Speaker 2: and at some point. 609 00:30:12,720 --> 00:30:15,400 Speaker 1: And every shutdown ends almost exactly how this shutdown is 610 00:30:15,520 --> 00:30:19,920 Speaker 1: exactly the same. Whether right, you don't get what you want. 611 00:30:20,000 --> 00:30:22,240 Speaker 2: You never get up. Literally never in the history of 612 00:30:22,240 --> 00:30:25,120 Speaker 2: shutdowns has the side that is demanding a major policy 613 00:30:25,160 --> 00:30:29,280 Speaker 2: concession gotten that concession. Right, It just doesn't happen. And so, 614 00:30:30,280 --> 00:30:32,080 Speaker 2: you know, the decision to do in the first place, 615 00:30:32,120 --> 00:30:34,560 Speaker 2: I think probably that was inevitable, especially after the one 616 00:30:34,600 --> 00:30:37,400 Speaker 2: in the spring. The caucus just wasn't you could feel it. 617 00:30:37,400 --> 00:30:39,560 Speaker 1: It's like letting steam out of about you kind of 618 00:30:39,600 --> 00:30:43,120 Speaker 1: had and and and they found the issue, right, that's right. 619 00:30:43,400 --> 00:30:45,680 Speaker 1: I look, the reality is this was a shutdown in 620 00:30:45,760 --> 00:30:48,320 Speaker 1: search of a rationale and they found a Russian Yeah. 621 00:30:48,160 --> 00:30:50,480 Speaker 2: It was and and and they succeeded in elevating the 622 00:30:50,480 --> 00:30:53,440 Speaker 2: conversation about healthcare they have not succeeded up to this 623 00:30:53,480 --> 00:30:56,600 Speaker 2: point and being able to drive a consistent, clear message 624 00:30:56,600 --> 00:31:00,680 Speaker 2: about healthcare. So they did that. Trump's numbers came down significantly, 625 00:31:00,720 --> 00:31:03,520 Speaker 2: whether you know, that's a function of the healthcare conversation. 626 00:31:04,000 --> 00:31:06,120 Speaker 2: You know, images of the east wing getting demolished, whatever 627 00:31:06,160 --> 00:31:08,920 Speaker 2: it was, you know it. You know, part of the 628 00:31:08,920 --> 00:31:12,080 Speaker 2: reason the east wing conversation was so salient was that 629 00:31:12,080 --> 00:31:13,320 Speaker 2: we were in the middle of a shutdown and he's 630 00:31:13,360 --> 00:31:15,720 Speaker 2: out here building a ballroom, you know, So they really 631 00:31:15,800 --> 00:31:18,280 Speaker 2: did a great job driving a message setting them on 632 00:31:18,320 --> 00:31:20,520 Speaker 2: their terms. You know, I think a lot. I think 633 00:31:20,520 --> 00:31:24,160 Speaker 2: a lot about the fall of twenty eleven, where Democrats 634 00:31:24,160 --> 00:31:26,479 Speaker 2: came off a really tough summer, you know, coming off 635 00:31:26,560 --> 00:31:28,400 Speaker 2: bad in the terminent in the first place, the whole 636 00:31:28,440 --> 00:31:31,080 Speaker 2: debt ceiling, you know, debate in twenty eleven got our 637 00:31:31,120 --> 00:31:33,920 Speaker 2: butts handed to us. But then we were able in 638 00:31:33,960 --> 00:31:37,080 Speaker 2: the fall to shift the conversation more towards our terms 639 00:31:37,160 --> 00:31:40,200 Speaker 2: by shifting the focus to what we call the Jobs 640 00:31:40,200 --> 00:31:42,000 Speaker 2: Act at the time, you know, which was just a 641 00:31:42,000 --> 00:31:44,400 Speaker 2: bill we put together out of the most popular policies, 642 00:31:45,200 --> 00:31:47,440 Speaker 2: was never really going to pass. But you know, President 643 00:31:47,480 --> 00:31:49,960 Speaker 2: Obama did a speech to the Joint Session of Congress, 644 00:31:50,000 --> 00:31:51,320 Speaker 2: you know, and we put that bill on the floor 645 00:31:51,360 --> 00:31:54,360 Speaker 2: and made Republicans vote on it again and again, and 646 00:31:54,520 --> 00:31:56,560 Speaker 2: we didn't pass it, but it got us back on 647 00:31:56,600 --> 00:31:58,920 Speaker 2: our front foot going into twenty twelve, and we were 648 00:31:58,960 --> 00:32:01,560 Speaker 2: able to sort of take that momentum going to twenty twelve. 649 00:32:01,600 --> 00:32:04,720 Speaker 2: So I hope that you know, the legitimate anger the 650 00:32:04,720 --> 00:32:06,600 Speaker 2: Democrats are feeling right now because I think they were 651 00:32:07,400 --> 00:32:11,080 Speaker 2: fed some false expectations. You know, we should be able 652 00:32:11,120 --> 00:32:13,600 Speaker 2: to move on and say, look, we take the good here, 653 00:32:13,640 --> 00:32:16,880 Speaker 2: which was driving the conversation about healthcare, getting the conversation 654 00:32:16,960 --> 00:32:19,440 Speaker 2: back on our terms, and play that forward into the midterms. 655 00:32:20,000 --> 00:32:22,320 Speaker 1: You know, it's interesting they hold Dems in disarray, you know, 656 00:32:22,400 --> 00:32:25,960 Speaker 1: the fun meme that gets put around, and I think 657 00:32:26,000 --> 00:32:28,360 Speaker 1: about the fractures that were you know, you sort of 658 00:32:28,440 --> 00:32:31,560 Speaker 1: it's like watching you know, a fault line start to 659 00:32:31,920 --> 00:32:34,320 Speaker 1: start to crack, and you see the ones on the 660 00:32:34,400 --> 00:32:36,680 Speaker 1: left and you see the ones on the right. The 661 00:32:36,720 --> 00:32:40,360 Speaker 1: divide on the left right now is not is really 662 00:32:40,560 --> 00:32:46,440 Speaker 1: just tactical, This is not what's interesting is is you know, 663 00:32:46,320 --> 00:32:48,360 Speaker 1: you talked about the word cloud of mom Donnie. You 664 00:32:48,400 --> 00:32:52,200 Speaker 1: probably could have applied that to Spamburger and Cheryl right 665 00:32:52,280 --> 00:32:56,520 Speaker 1: and they both you know, as far as messaging, we're 666 00:32:56,560 --> 00:32:59,880 Speaker 1: talking about the same issues. They may have leaned in 667 00:33:00,000 --> 00:33:02,440 Speaker 1: different ways and may have talked to different constituencies, but 668 00:33:02,440 --> 00:33:06,000 Speaker 1: they were always on the affordability message. So like, this 669 00:33:06,080 --> 00:33:08,840 Speaker 1: is one of those cases where it's like Democrat, you 670 00:33:08,840 --> 00:33:10,600 Speaker 1: guys are all rowing in the same direction, and you 671 00:33:10,640 --> 00:33:11,120 Speaker 1: still want to. 672 00:33:11,120 --> 00:33:15,240 Speaker 2: Fight right like this we find it out like what's 673 00:33:15,240 --> 00:33:17,200 Speaker 2: the line Jurassic Park? You know, life, life finds a 674 00:33:17,200 --> 00:33:20,960 Speaker 2: way right disarray finds a way with Democrats. 675 00:33:21,280 --> 00:33:23,360 Speaker 1: But the big tact I always say, the biggest I 676 00:33:23,400 --> 00:33:25,560 Speaker 1: think the biggest divide right now on the left is 677 00:33:26,800 --> 00:33:28,719 Speaker 1: do you start to look past Trump or do you 678 00:33:28,760 --> 00:33:32,200 Speaker 1: continue to fight Trump? And I think it is an 679 00:33:32,240 --> 00:33:35,400 Speaker 1: either or conversation, even though some might argue, no, you 680 00:33:35,480 --> 00:33:38,760 Speaker 1: got to do both. There are entities that should be 681 00:33:38,800 --> 00:33:41,680 Speaker 1: thinking about fighting Trump. Like, That's what I expect my 682 00:33:41,760 --> 00:33:44,200 Speaker 1: ACLU to do. And that's what I expect. You know, 683 00:33:44,880 --> 00:33:46,920 Speaker 1: where the hell are the good trial lawyers around? Like, 684 00:33:47,200 --> 00:33:51,320 Speaker 1: you know, ultimately I expect the courts to be doing that, 685 00:33:52,120 --> 00:33:55,480 Speaker 1: right I expect the elected officials to be thinking about, Okay, 686 00:33:55,840 --> 00:34:00,360 Speaker 1: what's next? Right where? I have a feeling know where 687 00:34:00,360 --> 00:34:03,520 Speaker 1: you are. But I assume you're on the side of 688 00:34:03,760 --> 00:34:05,800 Speaker 1: it's about thinking of the post Trump. 689 00:34:05,840 --> 00:34:07,680 Speaker 2: One hundred percent. I mean that's why we that's why 690 00:34:07,720 --> 00:34:09,560 Speaker 2: I created Searchlight, you know, I mean, that is what 691 00:34:09,560 --> 00:34:11,960 Speaker 2: we're trying to do here, is to craft a vision 692 00:34:12,000 --> 00:34:14,880 Speaker 2: that will get people excited about the prospect of democratic 693 00:34:14,920 --> 00:34:18,040 Speaker 2: governance again. And we're going to go big on how 694 00:34:18,040 --> 00:34:20,520 Speaker 2: we're thinking about that. But I think, you know, look, 695 00:34:20,560 --> 00:34:22,240 Speaker 2: I think there's also a little bit of a difference 696 00:34:22,239 --> 00:34:25,520 Speaker 2: between a mid term election and a presidential election. And 697 00:34:25,600 --> 00:34:28,440 Speaker 2: so for me, my formative elections were two thousand and 698 00:34:28,520 --> 00:34:31,759 Speaker 2: six in two thousand and eight, and Democrats did a 699 00:34:31,800 --> 00:34:34,720 Speaker 2: good enough job in two thousand and six of putting 700 00:34:34,760 --> 00:34:37,480 Speaker 2: forward a positive vision. They had this six roh six 701 00:34:37,560 --> 00:34:40,400 Speaker 2: agenda that focused on you know, we were the original 702 00:34:40,520 --> 00:34:43,040 Speaker 2: drain the swamp. I mean we wanted after our folio 703 00:34:43,840 --> 00:34:47,000 Speaker 2: was a really salient issue that year, hugely salient. I mean, 704 00:34:47,080 --> 00:34:49,680 Speaker 2: you know, so every opportunity to make corruption salient again. 705 00:34:49,760 --> 00:34:53,120 Speaker 2: This year, we had ideas about you know, getting out 706 00:34:53,120 --> 00:35:01,520 Speaker 2: of Iraq, minimum wage and ethics reform. Uh. And then 707 00:35:01,560 --> 00:35:03,640 Speaker 2: you know that was and that was solid, right, I mean, 708 00:35:03,680 --> 00:35:06,239 Speaker 2: because you have to have something that every Democrat in 709 00:35:06,280 --> 00:35:08,120 Speaker 2: every corner of the country can can run on. 710 00:35:08,440 --> 00:35:10,440 Speaker 1: And you guys are running in tough states. I mean 711 00:35:10,440 --> 00:35:14,560 Speaker 1: think about six I mean the six pickups to get 712 00:35:14,560 --> 00:35:17,560 Speaker 1: they needed six senates. It's less more than what it 713 00:35:17,680 --> 00:35:20,319 Speaker 1: is for this cycle. And you had to win in Montana. 714 00:35:21,120 --> 00:35:23,440 Speaker 1: Virginia was a big deal at the time because that 715 00:35:23,560 --> 00:35:27,879 Speaker 1: was the candidate, a sitting Republican senator that many thought 716 00:35:28,040 --> 00:35:31,239 Speaker 1: was going to be a presidential candidate until he sort 717 00:35:31,280 --> 00:35:38,360 Speaker 1: of his own words, got in, got got him in trouble, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Missouri. Right, Like, 718 00:35:38,719 --> 00:35:42,839 Speaker 1: think of the the antenna that Tester wins in six, 719 00:35:42,960 --> 00:35:47,560 Speaker 1: mccaskell is in O six. You have Casey winning in Pennsylvania, 720 00:35:47,600 --> 00:35:51,600 Speaker 1: You had Shared Brown in Ohio, Jim Webb. Look at 721 00:35:51,600 --> 00:35:53,920 Speaker 1: all the people I'm describing all of them in the 722 00:35:53,960 --> 00:35:55,800 Speaker 1: economic populis category. 723 00:35:55,400 --> 00:35:57,920 Speaker 2: One hundred percent. Jim Webb was very culturally conservative on 724 00:35:57,960 --> 00:36:00,160 Speaker 2: a lot of issues, but was was was a comd 725 00:36:00,200 --> 00:36:05,360 Speaker 2: economic populist, you know. And John Tester, Claire mccaskell, you 726 00:36:05,400 --> 00:36:08,360 Speaker 2: know the same. And I remember that was you know 727 00:36:08,400 --> 00:36:11,200 Speaker 2: when mccaskell won, you know, at his watch party, read 728 00:36:11,239 --> 00:36:13,600 Speaker 2: got down and kissed, kissed the television because I think 729 00:36:13,640 --> 00:36:14,920 Speaker 2: she was the one who put us over. Although actually 730 00:36:14,920 --> 00:36:17,800 Speaker 2: think the Virginia election, I think because it was late counting. 731 00:36:18,280 --> 00:36:20,960 Speaker 1: I was on the air for that, like literally called 732 00:36:21,040 --> 00:36:22,440 Speaker 1: people about Fairfax County. 733 00:36:22,480 --> 00:36:24,640 Speaker 2: How much more is coming in? Right? Yeah? But that's 734 00:36:24,640 --> 00:36:27,800 Speaker 2: the thing is it was defied expectations. You know, the 735 00:36:28,040 --> 00:36:30,400 Speaker 2: pundits did not expect us to take back the Senate. 736 00:36:30,440 --> 00:36:33,080 Speaker 2: I think the House was expected, although I think the 737 00:36:33,120 --> 00:36:36,160 Speaker 2: margin was higher than what people predicted, but the Senate 738 00:36:36,239 --> 00:36:39,080 Speaker 2: was considered a reach at best. And so that's but 739 00:36:39,080 --> 00:36:41,319 Speaker 2: that's where we find ourselves again here. And so for me, 740 00:36:41,400 --> 00:36:44,680 Speaker 2: the litmus test for success though in twenty twenty six 741 00:36:44,719 --> 00:36:46,760 Speaker 2: really should be do we take back the Senate because 742 00:36:46,760 --> 00:36:50,399 Speaker 2: you have to push yourself through there? Yeah, because look 743 00:36:50,600 --> 00:36:52,799 Speaker 2: in the cycles where the you know, the cycles are, 744 00:36:53,320 --> 00:36:55,320 Speaker 2: you know, a lot of it is determined by the fundamentals. 745 00:36:55,800 --> 00:36:58,520 Speaker 2: The Senate is a gnarly beast because you only it's 746 00:36:58,560 --> 00:37:01,000 Speaker 2: resistant to big swings because you only have a third 747 00:37:01,000 --> 00:37:04,600 Speaker 2: of the chamber up for reelection at any election, whereas 748 00:37:04,719 --> 00:37:06,440 Speaker 2: you know, everybody in the House is every seat in 749 00:37:06,440 --> 00:37:08,880 Speaker 2: the House is up. So what you've got to do 750 00:37:08,920 --> 00:37:11,400 Speaker 2: is you really got to maximize your gains in the 751 00:37:11,480 --> 00:37:14,799 Speaker 2: cycles where the fundamentals are in your favor. And for us, 752 00:37:14,800 --> 00:37:18,160 Speaker 2: that maximizing our gains would would look like, you know, 753 00:37:18,280 --> 00:37:20,759 Speaker 2: winning holding all the seats where we have incumbents up, 754 00:37:21,120 --> 00:37:23,960 Speaker 2: and then winning you know, all of the swing states 755 00:37:24,120 --> 00:37:26,719 Speaker 2: and then throwing in some ones that are reaches for us, like. 756 00:37:26,760 --> 00:37:28,279 Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, I look at the you know the 757 00:37:28,320 --> 00:37:30,560 Speaker 1: path I mean, you know, North Carolina, Maine or quick 758 00:37:30,600 --> 00:37:33,359 Speaker 1: and then you start going, oh boy, okay, you need 759 00:37:33,440 --> 00:37:36,960 Speaker 1: Ohio to come in again. You probably need one of 760 00:37:37,000 --> 00:37:38,880 Speaker 1: the following and then you need one of the following 761 00:37:38,960 --> 00:37:42,359 Speaker 1: three Alaska, Iowa, Texas, right, and then you don't want 762 00:37:42,360 --> 00:37:44,239 Speaker 1: to be you know, then you got to sort of 763 00:37:44,880 --> 00:37:47,279 Speaker 1: probably throwing a couple others like you did that six 764 00:37:47,320 --> 00:37:50,319 Speaker 1: for oh six. There were two other races that were 765 00:37:50,520 --> 00:37:53,680 Speaker 1: top tier races in that last month of the campaign. 766 00:37:53,719 --> 00:37:56,320 Speaker 1: One was Harold Ford's Tennessee race against It that was 767 00:37:56,360 --> 00:37:59,920 Speaker 1: a Ford corker, was a competitive race. And then you 768 00:38:00,200 --> 00:38:03,880 Speaker 1: I think Jim Peterson in Arizona, if I remember, that's right, Kyle, that's. 769 00:38:03,800 --> 00:38:05,399 Speaker 2: Right, And I mean you look, you know, so yeah, 770 00:38:05,440 --> 00:38:10,680 Speaker 2: you know, we look Ohio, Iowa, Alaska. We have held 771 00:38:10,719 --> 00:38:13,200 Speaker 2: Senate seats in all three of those states within the 772 00:38:13,280 --> 00:38:16,040 Speaker 2: last ten years. We should be able to win there again. 773 00:38:16,480 --> 00:38:18,120 Speaker 2: And then yeah, you've got it. You've got to reach 774 00:38:18,520 --> 00:38:21,280 Speaker 2: in a place like Texas. That's how you put together 775 00:38:21,320 --> 00:38:24,320 Speaker 2: Senate majorities, you know. And what's crazy is that even. 776 00:38:24,120 --> 00:38:26,680 Speaker 1: That argued Kansas and Mississippi to be on the mat 777 00:38:27,680 --> 00:38:31,359 Speaker 1: and you look at those two there, they're both there 778 00:38:31,640 --> 00:38:34,680 Speaker 1: are what I call green shoots for Democrats. In both 779 00:38:34,680 --> 00:38:36,799 Speaker 1: of those states, but they need some work, Like you've 780 00:38:36,800 --> 00:38:38,160 Speaker 1: got to actually tend that guard. 781 00:38:38,239 --> 00:38:40,440 Speaker 2: You had a democratic government, Cathleen's we have currently have 782 00:38:40,520 --> 00:38:43,200 Speaker 2: a democratic governor, you know, I mean, the Democrats can 783 00:38:43,239 --> 00:38:44,080 Speaker 2: win in these states. 784 00:38:44,360 --> 00:38:46,799 Speaker 1: Sixteen to the last twenty four years in Kansas has 785 00:38:46,800 --> 00:38:47,719 Speaker 1: been that's right. 786 00:38:47,480 --> 00:38:50,200 Speaker 2: That's right, talk about economic populism. I mean, that's the 787 00:38:50,239 --> 00:38:56,600 Speaker 2: home of prairie populism. And yeah, exactly. And so it's 788 00:38:56,640 --> 00:38:59,440 Speaker 2: really a choice, you know. I mean, Democrats can simply 789 00:38:59,600 --> 00:39:03,520 Speaker 2: choose tomorrow to start running on a mix of issues 790 00:39:03,640 --> 00:39:06,920 Speaker 2: that can appeal to folks in those states, the way 791 00:39:06,960 --> 00:39:09,560 Speaker 2: that Trump just simply decided to throw core tenets of 792 00:39:09,560 --> 00:39:13,400 Speaker 2: Republican orthodoxy out out the window. And you know, again, 793 00:39:13,480 --> 00:39:15,680 Speaker 2: that doesn't mean that the entire party has to shift 794 00:39:15,719 --> 00:39:18,000 Speaker 2: its position on some of these cultural issues. It just 795 00:39:18,040 --> 00:39:20,960 Speaker 2: means we have to embrace people who are going to 796 00:39:21,000 --> 00:39:23,600 Speaker 2: have different views than us, because they are the only 797 00:39:23,640 --> 00:39:25,440 Speaker 2: ones who can win in states like that. 798 00:39:26,200 --> 00:39:31,520 Speaker 1: How do you think the unofficial presidential campaign presidential candidates 799 00:39:31,520 --> 00:39:34,200 Speaker 1: are doing right now in moving message? Because I look 800 00:39:34,239 --> 00:39:36,319 Speaker 1: at a guy like Gavin Newsom, who, on one hand, 801 00:39:36,360 --> 00:39:39,759 Speaker 1: it's impressive to me how much the bases embraced him 802 00:39:39,800 --> 00:39:42,200 Speaker 1: and that they love the fact that he's fighting. But 803 00:39:42,280 --> 00:39:45,480 Speaker 1: at the end of the day, he's introduced himself as 804 00:39:46,360 --> 00:39:48,919 Speaker 1: one of the great DNC chairs of all time. Right, 805 00:39:49,040 --> 00:39:52,839 Speaker 1: Like he's meaning like he's attacked, he's winning on tactics. 806 00:39:53,160 --> 00:39:53,279 Speaker 2: Right. 807 00:39:55,120 --> 00:39:57,880 Speaker 1: It's not as if there's some great policy proposal that 808 00:39:58,080 --> 00:40:02,640 Speaker 1: is just taking the world by storm. So I'm a 809 00:40:02,680 --> 00:40:06,160 Speaker 1: skeptic that this holds for him, right that, because this 810 00:40:06,280 --> 00:40:10,280 Speaker 1: is a process moment. Let's a policy moment. But in general, 811 00:40:10,320 --> 00:40:12,640 Speaker 1: how would you you know? I had Bashir, I've done, 812 00:40:12,760 --> 00:40:15,640 Speaker 1: interviewed Pher, I've seen, We've got the rom Stump speech. 813 00:40:16,280 --> 00:40:18,520 Speaker 1: I've got to be interviewing by the time this hits well. 814 00:40:18,560 --> 00:40:22,200 Speaker 1: I've interviewed Wes Moore at Texas the Texas Tribune Festival. 815 00:40:22,680 --> 00:40:25,600 Speaker 1: What what do you think so far of the of 816 00:40:25,640 --> 00:40:29,120 Speaker 1: the field and how they've tried to communicate about twenty. 817 00:40:28,880 --> 00:40:30,799 Speaker 2: Eight Yeah, I mean we are we are a wash 818 00:40:31,040 --> 00:40:33,960 Speaker 2: in raw talent, and it's it's gonna take. But I 819 00:40:33,960 --> 00:40:38,400 Speaker 2: think there's still very powerful forces pushing our candidates to 820 00:40:38,480 --> 00:40:41,880 Speaker 2: stay firmly inside that liberal box, you know. And so 821 00:40:43,000 --> 00:40:45,160 Speaker 2: and it is true that the sort of there's gonna 822 00:40:45,160 --> 00:40:47,120 Speaker 2: be sort of a You're gonna have to marry two 823 00:40:47,160 --> 00:40:50,720 Speaker 2: things together, I think, to get the right candidate here, 824 00:40:50,760 --> 00:40:54,399 Speaker 2: and that's marrying the aggressive you know, taking the fight 825 00:40:54,480 --> 00:40:58,399 Speaker 2: to Trump and the Republicans, that pugnacity that you see 826 00:40:58,400 --> 00:41:01,000 Speaker 2: in someone like Gavin Newsom, No, that's why he's he's 827 00:41:01,040 --> 00:41:04,080 Speaker 2: sort of risen to the top of the conversation in 828 00:41:04,120 --> 00:41:06,239 Speaker 2: a lot of places. But you're going to have to 829 00:41:06,280 --> 00:41:09,680 Speaker 2: marry that pugnacity with an issue mix that can appeal 830 00:41:09,719 --> 00:41:13,760 Speaker 2: to a broad swath of Americans. And so right now, 831 00:41:14,719 --> 00:41:16,520 Speaker 2: you know, I think there's some more sort of tinkering 832 00:41:16,520 --> 00:41:19,759 Speaker 2: around the edges there. You know, you look at at 833 00:41:19,840 --> 00:41:22,560 Speaker 2: Josh Shapiro, who is who's sort of you know, defying 834 00:41:22,920 --> 00:41:25,600 Speaker 2: the left wing of the party on some issues. But 835 00:41:26,760 --> 00:41:28,600 Speaker 2: I think I think we're going to need somebody to 836 00:41:28,640 --> 00:41:31,000 Speaker 2: go further, you know, if we're going to talk about 837 00:41:31,040 --> 00:41:33,399 Speaker 2: a super majority, and I you know, look, you could 838 00:41:33,440 --> 00:41:36,120 Speaker 2: eke buy you know, in a polarized nation, every elections 839 00:41:36,120 --> 00:41:37,880 Speaker 2: a coin flip, right, you could you could get to 840 00:41:38,000 --> 00:41:39,800 Speaker 2: seventy you may even get to fifty in the Senate. 841 00:41:40,280 --> 00:41:43,359 Speaker 2: But but that is a recipe for you know, whip 842 00:41:43,440 --> 00:41:46,319 Speaker 2: last Biden didn't get to govern very well. Didn't. 843 00:41:46,800 --> 00:41:49,319 Speaker 1: He had all three, but he barely had all He 844 00:41:49,400 --> 00:41:50,640 Speaker 1: barely had the trifecta. 845 00:41:52,040 --> 00:41:54,680 Speaker 2: You lose it, you probably lose I think the trifecta. 846 00:41:54,760 --> 00:41:57,680 Speaker 1: Yeah, I think I managed it. From the White House perspective, I. 847 00:41:58,080 --> 00:42:00,960 Speaker 2: Agree, And I think even if you're to have the trifecta, 848 00:42:00,960 --> 00:42:04,040 Speaker 2: you probably lose it in the first midterm, you know, 849 00:42:04,239 --> 00:42:06,840 Speaker 2: and then and then you're stuck. And so I think, 850 00:42:07,239 --> 00:42:10,160 Speaker 2: you know, what I see as a supermajority is having 851 00:42:10,160 --> 00:42:12,920 Speaker 2: a durable governing majority that sustains itself at least through 852 00:42:12,920 --> 00:42:15,960 Speaker 2: a few election cycles, that you can actually pass a 853 00:42:16,040 --> 00:42:19,240 Speaker 2: robust agenda. Most of what Biden has passed has already 854 00:42:19,280 --> 00:42:23,080 Speaker 2: been undone with Republicans. This has already been undone by Republicans. 855 00:42:23,360 --> 00:42:27,800 Speaker 2: You know it. At best, your accomplishments are extremely fragile. 856 00:42:28,440 --> 00:42:31,239 Speaker 2: They don't last, they're quickly repealed, and then the other 857 00:42:31,239 --> 00:42:32,560 Speaker 2: side comes in and does the same thing, and then 858 00:42:32,560 --> 00:42:35,520 Speaker 2: we're stuck in this back and forth. So I think 859 00:42:35,560 --> 00:42:38,200 Speaker 2: that the time is ripe right now for one side 860 00:42:38,280 --> 00:42:41,440 Speaker 2: or the other to craft the supermajority appeal that can 861 00:42:41,520 --> 00:42:44,840 Speaker 2: actually build a governing coalition that can sustain you in power, 862 00:42:44,920 --> 00:42:47,400 Speaker 2: you know, beyond just one one two year period. 863 00:42:49,760 --> 00:42:52,799 Speaker 1: There's a reason results matter more than promises, just like 864 00:42:52,880 --> 00:42:56,000 Speaker 1: there's a reason Morgan and Morgan is America's largest injury 865 00:42:56,080 --> 00:42:58,800 Speaker 1: law firm. For the last thirty five years, they've recovered 866 00:42:58,920 --> 00:43:02,080 Speaker 1: twenty five billion dollars for more than half a million clients. 867 00:43:02,640 --> 00:43:06,240 Speaker 1: It includes cases where insurance companies offered next to nothing, 868 00:43:06,520 --> 00:43:09,280 Speaker 1: just hoping to get away with paying as little as possible. 869 00:43:09,400 --> 00:43:12,399 Speaker 1: Morgan and Morgan fought back ended up winning millions. In fact, 870 00:43:12,520 --> 00:43:15,640 Speaker 1: in Pennsylvania, one client was awarded twenty six million dollars, 871 00:43:16,120 --> 00:43:19,160 Speaker 1: which was a staggering forty times the amount that the 872 00:43:19,200 --> 00:43:22,440 Speaker 1: insurance company originally offered. That original offer six hundred and 873 00:43:22,520 --> 00:43:26,040 Speaker 1: fifty thousand dollars twenty six million, six hundred fifty thousand dollars. 874 00:43:26,120 --> 00:43:28,280 Speaker 1: So with more than one thousand lawyers across the country, 875 00:43:28,400 --> 00:43:31,040 Speaker 1: they know how to deliver for everyday people. If you're injured, 876 00:43:31,160 --> 00:43:33,680 Speaker 1: you need a lawyer, You need somebody to get your back. 877 00:43:34,120 --> 00:43:36,880 Speaker 1: Check out for the People dot com Slash podcast, or 878 00:43:37,320 --> 00:43:42,480 Speaker 1: dial pound Law Pound five to nine law on your 879 00:43:42,520 --> 00:43:45,120 Speaker 1: cell phone. And remember all law firms are not the same, 880 00:43:45,160 --> 00:43:47,320 Speaker 1: so check out Morgan and Morgan their fee is free 881 00:43:47,600 --> 00:43:54,640 Speaker 1: unless they win. Do you worry about a insurgent third 882 00:43:54,680 --> 00:43:55,719 Speaker 1: party or independent? 883 00:43:56,040 --> 00:43:57,919 Speaker 2: Do you worry that? You know? I look at it. 884 00:43:57,880 --> 00:44:00,920 Speaker 1: As somebody who was always dabbled in. My first professional 885 00:44:00,960 --> 00:44:03,600 Speaker 1: year covering politics was the year of Ross Perro. So 886 00:44:04,160 --> 00:44:06,239 Speaker 1: you know when you get introduced to politics that way 887 00:44:06,280 --> 00:44:08,279 Speaker 1: and how crazy. It shook up the map, and it 888 00:44:08,320 --> 00:44:11,840 Speaker 1: shook up ideologies and it really I've always thought that 889 00:44:11,880 --> 00:44:16,719 Speaker 1: the Parro Parro's third party candidacy was extraordinarily successful because 890 00:44:16,760 --> 00:44:19,440 Speaker 1: he made both parties change who they were. You know, 891 00:44:19,440 --> 00:44:21,800 Speaker 1: he made the Democrats a bit more sensitive on fiscal issues, 892 00:44:21,840 --> 00:44:24,080 Speaker 1: made the Republicans a bit more sensitive on trade issues. 893 00:44:24,400 --> 00:44:27,600 Speaker 1: Hey that's that's to me. That's an accomplishment, right. That 894 00:44:27,719 --> 00:44:30,880 Speaker 1: was in theory originally why Ross Pero got it right. 895 00:44:30,920 --> 00:44:31,480 Speaker 2: He was trying. 896 00:44:31,520 --> 00:44:33,640 Speaker 1: He thought, hey, these guys don't know what and any 897 00:44:33,800 --> 00:44:36,680 Speaker 1: in those two issues. He accomplished a lot. 898 00:44:38,680 --> 00:44:39,400 Speaker 2: We're in a moment. 899 00:44:39,440 --> 00:44:42,720 Speaker 1: There is a vacuum, right, you see, sometimes it's simply 900 00:44:42,719 --> 00:44:46,280 Speaker 1: a vacuum in a place like Nebraska, South Dakota or Idaho. 901 00:44:46,480 --> 00:44:48,360 Speaker 1: And I single those guys out because I've interviewed all 902 00:44:48,400 --> 00:44:48,600 Speaker 1: of them. 903 00:44:48,640 --> 00:44:48,879 Speaker 2: There. 904 00:44:48,960 --> 00:44:51,680 Speaker 1: There are a bunch of really strong candidates running as 905 00:44:51,760 --> 00:44:56,000 Speaker 1: economic populists who've chosen to run his independence instead of Democrats, 906 00:44:56,760 --> 00:44:59,239 Speaker 1: and they just simply all I had two of them 907 00:44:59,280 --> 00:45:01,600 Speaker 1: on together and they said, it's simply so they can 908 00:45:01,640 --> 00:45:04,200 Speaker 1: have a conversation with local voters, like they agree with 909 00:45:04,239 --> 00:45:06,279 Speaker 1: the agenda. But if the minute they find out they're 910 00:45:06,280 --> 00:45:08,239 Speaker 1: a Democrat, then they don't want to, like they won't. 911 00:45:08,320 --> 00:45:10,600 Speaker 1: It's like they close their ears, so they're trying to 912 00:45:10,640 --> 00:45:13,320 Speaker 1: open their ears. Do you worry that there's a vacuum 913 00:45:13,320 --> 00:45:16,800 Speaker 1: out there that can be filled by a non democratic entity? 914 00:45:17,040 --> 00:45:19,239 Speaker 2: Oh? I I one hundred percent worry that there's there's 915 00:45:19,280 --> 00:45:21,240 Speaker 2: a vacuum, and I think it's incumbent on the party 916 00:45:21,320 --> 00:45:23,759 Speaker 2: to close it, you know, And if they don't do that, 917 00:45:23,960 --> 00:45:26,440 Speaker 2: then yeah, they lead themselves very vulnerable. It is a 918 00:45:26,480 --> 00:45:28,800 Speaker 2: it's a regular, you know, not a not every election, 919 00:45:28,880 --> 00:45:30,960 Speaker 2: but you know, every once a generation or so, an 920 00:45:31,000 --> 00:45:34,600 Speaker 2: independent candidate comes along and identifies the sort of the 921 00:45:34,960 --> 00:45:37,360 Speaker 2: ways in which neither side is meeting the demands of 922 00:45:37,360 --> 00:45:40,239 Speaker 2: the American people. Nineteen sixty eight, George Wallace, You know 923 00:45:40,840 --> 00:45:43,239 Speaker 2: he did, and that cause you Nixon was sort of 924 00:45:43,280 --> 00:45:45,520 Speaker 2: running on a light southern strategy in sixty eight, and 925 00:45:45,520 --> 00:45:45,719 Speaker 2: then he. 926 00:45:45,760 --> 00:45:48,120 Speaker 1: Said, probably wins by a bigger margin without Wallace. 927 00:45:48,320 --> 00:45:51,160 Speaker 2: I think, right, but I don't think that's yeah, that's 928 00:45:51,160 --> 00:45:53,480 Speaker 2: probably that's probably right. But then he sort of, you know, 929 00:45:53,600 --> 00:45:55,040 Speaker 2: just I mean this, I don't see this is a 930 00:45:55,040 --> 00:45:57,200 Speaker 2: good thing being a liberal. But then he know, decided 931 00:45:57,239 --> 00:45:58,720 Speaker 2: to close off that that. 932 00:45:58,719 --> 00:46:00,160 Speaker 1: He didn't let that, but he wasn't going to let 933 00:46:00,239 --> 00:46:02,160 Speaker 1: that happen to him a second time exactly. 934 00:46:02,200 --> 00:46:04,800 Speaker 2: And then Reagan's will refined that approached and you know, so, 935 00:46:04,840 --> 00:46:07,000 Speaker 2: I mean, I think I think that, you know, it's 936 00:46:07,040 --> 00:46:09,840 Speaker 2: it's sort of a market feature of if neither side 937 00:46:09,880 --> 00:46:12,680 Speaker 2: is meeting the demand, then you know someone's going to 938 00:46:12,719 --> 00:46:16,200 Speaker 2: step in. They won't win, I don't think, but they 939 00:46:16,239 --> 00:46:19,680 Speaker 2: can certainly, you know, cause Democrats to lose. And so 940 00:46:19,880 --> 00:46:22,200 Speaker 2: it really is incumbent on Democrats to take it upon 941 00:46:22,280 --> 00:46:25,640 Speaker 2: themselves to craft a broader appeal to sort of preempt 942 00:46:25,719 --> 00:46:29,040 Speaker 2: the possibility of getting, you know, having an end run 943 00:46:29,040 --> 00:46:32,399 Speaker 2: around them by an independent candidate. Yeah, let's talk about 944 00:46:32,400 --> 00:46:32,760 Speaker 2: the Senate. 945 00:46:32,840 --> 00:46:38,719 Speaker 1: You wrote a book about it, you know, and and 946 00:46:38,719 --> 00:46:41,480 Speaker 1: and the filibuster, you know, one of the things that filibuster. 947 00:46:42,160 --> 00:46:45,040 Speaker 1: I always want to take a little time to educate people. 948 00:46:45,080 --> 00:46:49,200 Speaker 1: It is not in the constitution. The philibuster is a choice, right, 949 00:46:49,239 --> 00:46:57,399 Speaker 1: it's Senate rules, right, that's right. There is the mythology 950 00:46:57,440 --> 00:47:00,399 Speaker 1: that you know I grew up with, certainly was mister Smith, right, 951 00:47:00,560 --> 00:47:05,120 Speaker 1: the famous Jimmy Stewart movie of the fifties, and it 952 00:47:05,239 --> 00:47:09,080 Speaker 1: sort of celebrated the idea that one senator can sort 953 00:47:09,080 --> 00:47:13,359 Speaker 1: of stand up. So give me the ideal. What's your 954 00:47:13,400 --> 00:47:17,319 Speaker 1: ideal of I assume you still embrace the ideal that 955 00:47:17,400 --> 00:47:20,040 Speaker 1: a a senator should feel as if that they can 956 00:47:20,200 --> 00:47:23,560 Speaker 1: do that if they so choose to. How should that 957 00:47:23,640 --> 00:47:25,920 Speaker 1: work and how should we be using it as a 958 00:47:25,920 --> 00:47:27,160 Speaker 1: governing tool in your mind? 959 00:47:27,400 --> 00:47:29,839 Speaker 2: Yeah, exactly that. That's the thing is that people think 960 00:47:29,880 --> 00:47:31,759 Speaker 2: when they think of the filibuster, if they think about 961 00:47:31,760 --> 00:47:34,120 Speaker 2: it at all, they think of they think of Jimmy Stewart, right, 962 00:47:35,480 --> 00:47:36,399 Speaker 2: But that's not how it works. 963 00:47:36,400 --> 00:47:39,640 Speaker 1: I'm hopeful actually that most of the people that are 964 00:47:39,640 --> 00:47:43,080 Speaker 1: listening to this podcast are younger than I am and 965 00:47:43,080 --> 00:47:44,800 Speaker 1: probably are like, who the hell is Jimmy Stewart. 966 00:47:44,880 --> 00:47:47,360 Speaker 2: Yeah, that's true, but I think that. But still the 967 00:47:47,360 --> 00:47:50,560 Speaker 2: idea of you of somebody standing up and talking is 968 00:47:50,560 --> 00:47:53,719 Speaker 2: what people think of, right, and that's just not how 969 00:47:53,760 --> 00:47:56,360 Speaker 2: it works anymore. You know. What's happened is it's become 970 00:47:56,840 --> 00:48:00,320 Speaker 2: a sort of a quiet, you know, passive filibuster, where 971 00:48:00,719 --> 00:48:03,320 Speaker 2: any soccer veto it's pocket veto. I mean you literally 972 00:48:03,320 --> 00:48:06,160 Speaker 2: have your staff call the cloak room and say I object. 973 00:48:06,719 --> 00:48:08,719 Speaker 2: That's it, and nobody has to do to show up 974 00:48:08,719 --> 00:48:10,200 Speaker 2: to the floor. They don't have to say a word. 975 00:48:11,000 --> 00:48:14,480 Speaker 2: And then that automatically raises the threshold for procedural reasons 976 00:48:14,480 --> 00:48:16,960 Speaker 2: that will borri your readers to tears to sixty votes. 977 00:48:17,120 --> 00:48:19,080 Speaker 2: And I think what's important understand is that you know, 978 00:48:19,160 --> 00:48:22,240 Speaker 2: according for the first two hundred years of its existence, 979 00:48:22,239 --> 00:48:24,800 Speaker 2: from the time it was conceived of the Framers until 980 00:48:25,040 --> 00:48:27,800 Speaker 2: about mid century in the twentieth century, the Senate was 981 00:48:27,800 --> 00:48:30,640 Speaker 2: a majority rule institution. It was it was intended to 982 00:48:30,640 --> 00:48:33,320 Speaker 2: be that way, and the Framers it wasn't an accident. 983 00:48:33,360 --> 00:48:36,279 Speaker 2: They thought very hard about whether there should be a 984 00:48:36,320 --> 00:48:40,000 Speaker 2: super majority requirement in Senate rules and they decided against it. 985 00:48:40,160 --> 00:48:42,319 Speaker 2: And the reason they decided against it was because they 986 00:48:42,360 --> 00:48:45,520 Speaker 2: had just had experience with the Articles of Confederation, where 987 00:48:45,520 --> 00:48:48,239 Speaker 2: there was a super majority threshold in the legislature, and 988 00:48:48,280 --> 00:48:50,200 Speaker 2: they put it there, you know, on the theory that 989 00:48:50,200 --> 00:48:53,920 Speaker 2: it would promote compromising consensus, when what happened in reality 990 00:48:54,080 --> 00:48:57,040 Speaker 2: was that it empowered a minority to be obstructionists and 991 00:48:57,080 --> 00:48:58,759 Speaker 2: to grind things to the halt when they didn't get 992 00:48:58,800 --> 00:49:02,080 Speaker 2: their way. And so the framers saw that happen and said, okay, 993 00:49:02,120 --> 00:49:04,240 Speaker 2: well we're not doing that, you know, And so they 994 00:49:04,320 --> 00:49:06,040 Speaker 2: designed the Senate to be different from the House in 995 00:49:06,080 --> 00:49:09,600 Speaker 2: lots of other ways, by giving every state equal representation, 996 00:49:10,280 --> 00:49:12,359 Speaker 2: by having senators serve for six year terms so they 997 00:49:12,360 --> 00:49:14,440 Speaker 2: can be a little bit less responsive to the whims 998 00:49:14,440 --> 00:49:17,520 Speaker 2: of the moment, staggering those elections, like we talked about, 999 00:49:17,560 --> 00:49:20,080 Speaker 2: you know, basically sort of building in things that made 1000 00:49:20,080 --> 00:49:23,920 Speaker 2: it a more deliberate institution. But they were and they 1001 00:49:23,920 --> 00:49:25,840 Speaker 2: wrote about it in the Federals papers. They debated the 1002 00:49:25,840 --> 00:49:28,920 Speaker 2: consertorial convention. They said, we are not putting in a 1003 00:49:28,960 --> 00:49:32,600 Speaker 2: majority a super majority threshold because that would allow and 1004 00:49:32,680 --> 00:49:35,920 Speaker 2: they said explicitly, because that would allow a minority to obstruct, 1005 00:49:36,320 --> 00:49:38,200 Speaker 2: you know, when they didn't get their way. And so 1006 00:49:38,760 --> 00:49:41,320 Speaker 2: that's the difference in the filibuster, is that there should 1007 00:49:41,360 --> 00:49:44,440 Speaker 2: be unlimited debate. You should have the opportunity to stand 1008 00:49:44,600 --> 00:49:47,120 Speaker 2: and say your piece, to join with other colleagues to 1009 00:49:47,160 --> 00:49:50,360 Speaker 2: keep a filibuster going indefinitely if you want to. But 1010 00:49:50,400 --> 00:49:52,000 Speaker 2: you should have to put in the work. You know, 1011 00:49:52,120 --> 00:49:54,080 Speaker 2: you should not be able to do it passively. Why 1012 00:49:54,160 --> 00:49:58,440 Speaker 2: is it hard sell to sell that bipartisipately? 1013 00:49:58,560 --> 00:50:01,840 Speaker 1: That to me seems the upper use of the filibuster. 1014 00:50:02,040 --> 00:50:05,000 Speaker 2: I agree, you know, it's it's it's it's just the 1015 00:50:05,080 --> 00:50:08,080 Speaker 2: sort of the proverb of the frog being boiled in water, 1016 00:50:08,160 --> 00:50:11,440 Speaker 2: where you know, the Senate never decided to have it 1017 00:50:11,520 --> 00:50:14,319 Speaker 2: be the way it is. It was a passive accumulation 1018 00:50:14,520 --> 00:50:18,120 Speaker 2: of one norm being laid on another in layered form 1019 00:50:18,280 --> 00:50:21,840 Speaker 2: over several decades where basically, when you're in the minority 1020 00:50:21,920 --> 00:50:23,600 Speaker 2: you find this thing to be useful. 1021 00:50:24,040 --> 00:50:26,719 Speaker 1: But came up what the filibuster happened? What sometime after 1022 00:50:26,800 --> 00:50:30,200 Speaker 1: direct election of senators? Yeah, well so nineteen seventeen. They 1023 00:50:30,360 --> 00:50:35,120 Speaker 1: when when seventy of the amendment, So when direct election happened, 1024 00:50:35,120 --> 00:50:37,239 Speaker 1: it was around the same time during the progressive era. 1025 00:50:37,360 --> 00:50:39,600 Speaker 2: You know, there was this idea. But what's really interesting 1026 00:50:39,680 --> 00:50:43,800 Speaker 2: about it is that the rule that today gets used 1027 00:50:43,960 --> 00:50:47,319 Speaker 2: to cause the super majority threshold was originally put in 1028 00:50:47,360 --> 00:50:52,040 Speaker 2: place to end filibusters. It's I don't want. 1029 00:50:51,960 --> 00:50:55,400 Speaker 1: To get yeah, it's like it's like you're describing one 1030 00:50:55,400 --> 00:50:57,560 Speaker 1: of my favorite things. You know, a reform in one 1031 00:50:57,640 --> 00:51:00,440 Speaker 1: era turns into it a problem and other you know, 1032 00:51:00,480 --> 00:51:04,359 Speaker 1: the seniority system was actually instituted in the House at 1033 00:51:04,400 --> 00:51:07,880 Speaker 1: the turn of the last century because there were so 1034 00:51:08,000 --> 00:51:10,719 Speaker 1: many cronies that a speaker would put into place, and 1035 00:51:10,719 --> 00:51:13,080 Speaker 1: they said, well, we can't have that. So the seniority 1036 00:51:13,080 --> 00:51:18,279 Speaker 1: system was actually a reform, right, that's right to improve representation. 1037 00:51:18,360 --> 00:51:20,279 Speaker 2: So the super majority rule was, you know, put in 1038 00:51:20,280 --> 00:51:22,560 Speaker 2: place because if you had a talking filibuster that was 1039 00:51:22,600 --> 00:51:26,279 Speaker 2: going on for way too long, right you you said, okay, fine, 1040 00:51:26,320 --> 00:51:29,120 Speaker 2: you know what, We'll give you a tool to bring 1041 00:51:29,160 --> 00:51:32,120 Speaker 2: that to an end. And that's if you know sixty 1042 00:51:32,120 --> 00:51:33,839 Speaker 2: at the time it was three fits. It was three 1043 00:51:33,960 --> 00:51:36,480 Speaker 2: thirds three fourths or something, or at the time it 1044 00:51:36,520 --> 00:51:38,640 Speaker 2: was two thirds. Now it's three fitths. But they said, look, 1045 00:51:38,840 --> 00:51:41,640 Speaker 2: if three fitts of the Senate can decide that, you know, 1046 00:51:42,320 --> 00:51:45,399 Speaker 2: mister Smith has talked too long, you know, presumably that's 1047 00:51:45,440 --> 00:51:47,800 Speaker 2: bringing people together from both sides of the whatever issues 1048 00:51:47,800 --> 00:51:50,439 Speaker 2: being debated, you can sort of say, okay, that's enough guy. 1049 00:51:50,600 --> 00:51:52,480 Speaker 2: Even then you still have like thirty hours. So you know, 1050 00:51:52,480 --> 00:51:55,600 Speaker 2: in true Senate fashion, it wasn't moving that precipitously, but 1051 00:51:55,719 --> 00:51:57,080 Speaker 2: that was supposed to be able to say, okay, that's 1052 00:51:57,120 --> 00:51:59,719 Speaker 2: gone on long enough, let's let's let's end it. Let's 1053 00:51:59,719 --> 00:52:02,400 Speaker 2: move to a vote. Now what happens is because of 1054 00:52:02,440 --> 00:52:04,960 Speaker 2: the ease of implementing the filibuster, because you don't have 1055 00:52:05,000 --> 00:52:06,600 Speaker 2: to go to the floor and you can just have 1056 00:52:06,640 --> 00:52:09,200 Speaker 2: your staff call the cloakroom. That's all it takes to 1057 00:52:09,239 --> 00:52:12,360 Speaker 2: do a filibuster. So there's no there's no you're not 1058 00:52:12,400 --> 00:52:15,800 Speaker 2: putting any onus on the person blocking, But that simple 1059 00:52:15,840 --> 00:52:19,200 Speaker 2: act of calling the cloakroom triggers that supermajority requirement. Now, 1060 00:52:19,239 --> 00:52:21,840 Speaker 2: so every time the Senate votes on the super majority, 1061 00:52:21,920 --> 00:52:24,520 Speaker 2: they're technically still ending a filibuster, even though there's nobody 1062 00:52:24,560 --> 00:52:27,000 Speaker 2: on the floor filibustering. So it's completely a mutation of 1063 00:52:27,000 --> 00:52:29,480 Speaker 2: what the original rule was decided to do, and it's 1064 00:52:29,520 --> 00:52:32,560 Speaker 2: just accumulated in this sort of like accretion of layers 1065 00:52:32,600 --> 00:52:36,480 Speaker 2: of norms and made the Senate completely dysfunctional, just like 1066 00:52:36,480 --> 00:52:39,960 Speaker 2: the Framers predicted it would be if a supermajority requirement 1067 00:52:40,000 --> 00:52:40,560 Speaker 2: was put in place. 1068 00:52:40,960 --> 00:52:44,640 Speaker 1: So let's talk about the different like hacks that were 1069 00:52:44,920 --> 00:52:49,799 Speaker 1: essentially created to avoid the filibuster reconciliation. I got a 1070 00:52:49,840 --> 00:52:52,879 Speaker 1: fun viewer question back to my last episode about it, 1071 00:52:53,440 --> 00:52:56,880 Speaker 1: and I said, well, it was correct me if I'm wrong. 1072 00:52:56,960 --> 00:52:59,760 Speaker 1: It was a creation essentially of Robert byrd right, that's. 1073 00:52:59,680 --> 00:53:03,160 Speaker 2: Right, you know it was. It was sort of downstream 1074 00:53:03,200 --> 00:53:06,160 Speaker 2: of the sort of imperial presidency under Nixon, where you know, 1075 00:53:06,239 --> 00:53:09,600 Speaker 2: Nixon seized a bunch of powers to the executive branch, 1076 00:53:10,000 --> 00:53:13,480 Speaker 2: and so in the post Watergate reaction against that, they 1077 00:53:13,520 --> 00:53:16,000 Speaker 2: wanted to shift more power back to the legislative branch, 1078 00:53:16,080 --> 00:53:18,680 Speaker 2: and so they created this thing called budget reconciliation, where 1079 00:53:18,920 --> 00:53:20,880 Speaker 2: you know, under the power of the purse, one of 1080 00:53:20,880 --> 00:53:23,240 Speaker 2: the most important functions of Congress is to pass a budget. 1081 00:53:23,640 --> 00:53:27,960 Speaker 2: And you know, if Congress gets you know, stuck on budget, 1082 00:53:28,239 --> 00:53:31,280 Speaker 2: that's an abdication of their powers. It shifts more powers 1083 00:53:31,280 --> 00:53:34,080 Speaker 2: to the executive because Congress hasn't told the executive how 1084 00:53:34,120 --> 00:53:36,200 Speaker 2: to spend the money. So they wanted to make sure 1085 00:53:36,560 --> 00:53:40,560 Speaker 2: that budgets could not get stuck or blocked by a minority. 1086 00:53:40,560 --> 00:53:43,680 Speaker 2: So they created a separate pathway for anything related to 1087 00:53:43,680 --> 00:53:46,239 Speaker 2: the budget, and they put in place strict rules where 1088 00:53:46,239 --> 00:53:48,840 Speaker 2: it said, you know, it has to meet these standards. 1089 00:53:48,840 --> 00:53:51,080 Speaker 2: But if it meets these standards and applies to the budget, 1090 00:53:51,440 --> 00:53:54,600 Speaker 2: it has its own pathway where there's no supermajority requirement. 1091 00:53:55,440 --> 00:53:57,839 Speaker 2: It's a straight fifty vote threshold all the way through, 1092 00:53:57,880 --> 00:54:00,120 Speaker 2: but there is sort of almost a talking all the 1093 00:54:00,239 --> 00:54:02,360 Speaker 2: us are built in of this thing called voterama, where 1094 00:54:02,760 --> 00:54:05,680 Speaker 2: you know, anybody can bring an amendment, and so before 1095 00:54:05,760 --> 00:54:08,319 Speaker 2: passage you'll have these night you know, sessions that go 1096 00:54:08,360 --> 00:54:11,120 Speaker 2: all night where everybody's so you know, kind of they 1097 00:54:11,120 --> 00:54:14,200 Speaker 2: they sort of tried to recreate the original Senate, but 1098 00:54:14,400 --> 00:54:18,919 Speaker 2: only for issues related to the budget. Those those criteria 1099 00:54:19,160 --> 00:54:22,200 Speaker 2: that determine what can pass along that pathway that's been 1100 00:54:22,239 --> 00:54:25,960 Speaker 2: expanded steadily over the since the seventies when this was 1101 00:54:26,080 --> 00:54:28,799 Speaker 2: enacted to sort of, you know, expand the definition of 1102 00:54:28,840 --> 00:54:31,480 Speaker 2: what's allowed to pass through it. But even so, you know, 1103 00:54:31,920 --> 00:54:35,440 Speaker 2: anything that's not economic and nature definitely can't pass through 1104 00:54:35,440 --> 00:54:37,200 Speaker 2: that pathway, and even a lot of things that are 1105 00:54:37,239 --> 00:54:39,560 Speaker 2: economic and nature, you know, still get kicked out. 1106 00:54:40,080 --> 00:54:45,200 Speaker 1: I think the first Bush tax cuts were not reconciliation. 1107 00:54:45,320 --> 00:54:47,160 Speaker 1: I think he did that with sixty because I remember 1108 00:54:47,239 --> 00:54:49,440 Speaker 1: him finding five Democratic senators. 1109 00:54:49,520 --> 00:54:51,960 Speaker 2: I know, no, I think that. I think it was 1110 00:54:52,000 --> 00:54:54,359 Speaker 2: reconciliation he did, and both those things are true. He did. 1111 00:54:54,440 --> 00:54:57,719 Speaker 2: Max Bochus supported those, some Democrats supported him, But I 1112 00:54:57,840 --> 00:55:00,399 Speaker 2: still think it was on the reconsilation. But with which, 1113 00:55:00,440 --> 00:55:02,440 Speaker 2: by the way, is the way it used to happen, 1114 00:55:02,440 --> 00:55:04,919 Speaker 2: which was that just because something passed, you know, along 1115 00:55:05,000 --> 00:55:07,840 Speaker 2: majority rule pathway, didn't make it party line, you know. 1116 00:55:07,840 --> 00:55:11,319 Speaker 2: I mean, look, medicare you know? So the things we 1117 00:55:11,360 --> 00:55:14,680 Speaker 2: think of as the greatest by partisan accomplishments generally happened 1118 00:55:14,719 --> 00:55:16,640 Speaker 2: during the period when the Senate was majority rule. And 1119 00:55:16,680 --> 00:55:19,479 Speaker 2: what would happen is people would fight it tooth and nail. 1120 00:55:19,960 --> 00:55:21,360 Speaker 2: But then as soon as it was clear that the 1121 00:55:21,360 --> 00:55:23,759 Speaker 2: majority had the votes, a bunch of people who were 1122 00:55:23,760 --> 00:55:25,560 Speaker 2: holding out for something would would then come on over 1123 00:55:25,560 --> 00:55:27,080 Speaker 2: and say, Okay, I'm going to join on board anyways, 1124 00:55:27,239 --> 00:55:28,880 Speaker 2: and on the right I want to be on the 1125 00:55:28,920 --> 00:55:31,239 Speaker 2: right side of that vote. Sure that vote. 1126 00:55:31,880 --> 00:55:34,080 Speaker 1: Well, let's stuck the judiciary because this is where I 1127 00:55:34,440 --> 00:55:37,360 Speaker 1: I you know, there have been separate rules created, and 1128 00:55:37,800 --> 00:55:42,239 Speaker 1: I kind of think everybody's gone the wrong direction, right, 1129 00:55:42,360 --> 00:55:45,239 Speaker 1: Meaning if I read Federalist seventy eight, which is the 1130 00:55:45,280 --> 00:55:49,240 Speaker 1: Alexander Hamilton Federalist paper on the judiciary, it is pretty 1131 00:55:49,239 --> 00:55:53,000 Speaker 1: clear that the description of the judiciary that the founders 1132 00:55:53,040 --> 00:55:56,800 Speaker 1: intended was for what I call referees, so the least 1133 00:55:56,800 --> 00:56:00,560 Speaker 1: partisan individuals you could get in the least part of way, right, 1134 00:56:00,600 --> 00:56:02,400 Speaker 1: that was the reason for the lifetime appointment. 1135 00:56:02,600 --> 00:56:05,080 Speaker 2: That was so to me. 1136 00:56:05,680 --> 00:56:08,319 Speaker 1: He didn't say there should be And maybe you could 1137 00:56:08,320 --> 00:56:10,799 Speaker 1: make the argument, you know, he should have said, you know, 1138 00:56:10,880 --> 00:56:14,680 Speaker 1: all federal judges should be super majorities. But that's where 1139 00:56:14,680 --> 00:56:16,680 Speaker 1: my head is at, like I don't trust the two 1140 00:56:16,719 --> 00:56:19,680 Speaker 1: parties anymore. And to the point of, with the way 1141 00:56:19,680 --> 00:56:24,279 Speaker 1: the judiciary works, would we be better off if we 1142 00:56:24,360 --> 00:56:28,200 Speaker 1: didn't instead of lowering the threshold from sixty down to fifty, 1143 00:56:28,320 --> 00:56:31,239 Speaker 1: of raising the threshold from sixty to seventy five. And 1144 00:56:31,320 --> 00:56:35,279 Speaker 1: the reason I have come down on this idea is 1145 00:56:35,680 --> 00:56:38,640 Speaker 1: looking at I got to know somebody who worked in 1146 00:56:38,680 --> 00:56:43,120 Speaker 1: the Bush White House Counsel's office in the first Bush 1147 00:56:43,120 --> 00:56:47,160 Speaker 1: forty three and they were the last Republican presidency under 1148 00:56:47,160 --> 00:56:50,120 Speaker 1: the sixty vote threshold right until Trump came in, and 1149 00:56:50,120 --> 00:56:52,640 Speaker 1: then it got lowered, he got to lower it all 1150 00:56:52,719 --> 00:56:56,360 Speaker 1: got lowered, and he said they'd have nominated completely different 1151 00:56:56,400 --> 00:57:00,480 Speaker 1: people for federal judge ships if the threat should was 1152 00:57:00,480 --> 00:57:04,760 Speaker 1: fifty and not sixty, much more ideological, much less. 1153 00:57:04,800 --> 00:57:05,000 Speaker 2: You know. 1154 00:57:07,600 --> 00:57:11,120 Speaker 1: That to me was that is why I'm like, yeah, 1155 00:57:11,200 --> 00:57:13,439 Speaker 1: this is why we shouldn't have lowered the threshold, because 1156 00:57:13,480 --> 00:57:16,880 Speaker 1: ultimately I want the least partisan people as my judge. 1157 00:57:17,280 --> 00:57:21,160 Speaker 1: I don't want partisan people as my judge. I know 1158 00:57:21,200 --> 00:57:23,440 Speaker 1: we're a long way away from us from a from 1159 00:57:23,480 --> 00:57:26,600 Speaker 1: a situation going back to that, but why is that 1160 00:57:26,640 --> 00:57:30,320 Speaker 1: so difficult? How did we allow the judicial? Why did 1161 00:57:30,400 --> 00:57:33,200 Speaker 1: we decide to politicize the judicial much? Yeah, I mean 1162 00:57:33,320 --> 00:57:36,040 Speaker 1: I think one hundred percent. See you know where you're 1163 00:57:36,040 --> 00:57:38,640 Speaker 1: coming from on that. I think that you know, it 1164 00:57:38,760 --> 00:57:41,080 Speaker 1: is a bit cyclical, right, I mean, like, you know, 1165 00:57:41,840 --> 00:57:43,000 Speaker 1: a lot of judges. 1166 00:57:42,640 --> 00:57:44,760 Speaker 2: Did used to be pretty partisan. I mean, you know, 1167 00:57:45,160 --> 00:57:46,680 Speaker 2: the nineteen said, look, I'm not going to sit here. 1168 00:57:46,800 --> 00:57:50,040 Speaker 2: The nineteenth century judiciary in general was corrupt. Yeah okay, yeah, 1169 00:57:50,120 --> 00:57:51,280 Speaker 2: and there was a ton. 1170 00:57:51,160 --> 00:57:53,520 Speaker 1: Of a lot of corruption there. I'm not gonna I 1171 00:57:53,960 --> 00:57:55,360 Speaker 1: take your point right. 1172 00:57:55,280 --> 00:57:57,600 Speaker 2: Right, So I think I think those things work in cycles. 1173 00:57:57,760 --> 00:57:59,760 Speaker 2: I think where I come down on this stuff is 1174 00:57:59,800 --> 00:58:06,479 Speaker 2: that it's really hard to you know, enforce good things 1175 00:58:06,520 --> 00:58:11,680 Speaker 2: like you know, good judgment, moderation by rule. It's just 1176 00:58:12,000 --> 00:58:14,400 Speaker 2: very hard. And that's when you run into this problem 1177 00:58:14,440 --> 00:58:16,480 Speaker 2: we were just talking about, of the rule, you know, 1178 00:58:16,560 --> 00:58:20,480 Speaker 2: having unintended consequences. It's just if the nature of the 1179 00:58:20,520 --> 00:58:23,880 Speaker 2: times is such that, you know, this is what people 1180 00:58:23,880 --> 00:58:27,320 Speaker 2: are demanding, it's it's going to find a way. And 1181 00:58:27,600 --> 00:58:30,960 Speaker 2: I think that, you know, you know, I'm not not 1182 00:58:31,000 --> 00:58:36,120 Speaker 2: a conservative by nature, so I feel, you know, slightlycourable 1183 00:58:36,160 --> 00:58:38,360 Speaker 2: saying this. But when you go back to the Framer's design, 1184 00:58:39,120 --> 00:58:42,000 Speaker 2: you know, I think I am an originalist when it 1185 00:58:42,080 --> 00:58:45,800 Speaker 2: comes to the system design, you know, and and this 1186 00:58:45,960 --> 00:58:48,880 Speaker 2: this system was designed to just not have a super 1187 00:58:48,880 --> 00:58:53,520 Speaker 2: majority threshold anywhere in the path from beginning to end. 1188 00:58:53,880 --> 00:58:56,439 Speaker 1: And the only thing that required is super majority. It 1189 00:58:56,520 --> 00:58:57,760 Speaker 1: was was. 1190 00:58:57,320 --> 00:59:00,000 Speaker 2: Was cast social amendments, yeah, impeachment, you know, but they 1191 00:59:00,040 --> 00:59:02,840 Speaker 2: specified those in the constitution, which just goes to show 1192 00:59:02,880 --> 00:59:04,240 Speaker 2: how they consider this to be. 1193 00:59:04,560 --> 00:59:06,800 Speaker 1: It's a very fair point. The fact that he didn't 1194 00:59:06,880 --> 00:59:09,600 Speaker 1: argue for it, you know, he certainly argued. He argued 1195 00:59:09,640 --> 00:59:14,320 Speaker 1: hard against judicial elections, which to me tells you that 1196 00:59:14,360 --> 00:59:16,640 Speaker 1: what I mean, you want to talk about corrupt those 1197 00:59:16,640 --> 00:59:20,040 Speaker 1: states Supreme Court partisan races to me are just terear. 1198 00:59:20,200 --> 00:59:24,160 Speaker 1: I mean, I think they just the mere existence of 1199 00:59:24,200 --> 00:59:26,080 Speaker 1: them undermined the rule of law. 1200 00:59:26,120 --> 00:59:27,720 Speaker 2: Well, and you're seeing more and more money start to 1201 00:59:27,720 --> 00:59:29,240 Speaker 2: flow to them too, you know. I mean, they're going 1202 00:59:29,280 --> 00:59:31,960 Speaker 2: to become just as political as any election. I think 1203 00:59:31,960 --> 00:59:34,320 Speaker 2: that's right. So I think it's it's just a tough 1204 00:59:34,320 --> 00:59:37,640 Speaker 2: thing to do by rule, and so you know, there 1205 00:59:37,640 --> 00:59:40,080 Speaker 2: are many bad features of the times we live in. 1206 00:59:40,760 --> 00:59:42,440 Speaker 2: I think, you know, sort of a return to the 1207 00:59:42,480 --> 00:59:45,040 Speaker 2: basic features of our system that allow things to move 1208 00:59:45,040 --> 00:59:47,240 Speaker 2: and allow our system to I think if you went 1209 00:59:47,280 --> 00:59:50,320 Speaker 2: to seventy five, which you'd probably have, is just massive 1210 00:59:50,400 --> 00:59:53,439 Speaker 2: judicial backlogs and seats not getting filled. Well, this gets 1211 00:59:53,440 --> 00:59:54,520 Speaker 2: to the whole chicken and egg thing. 1212 00:59:54,560 --> 00:59:57,040 Speaker 1: Like we began earlier talking about the lack of ideological 1213 00:59:57,080 --> 00:59:59,959 Speaker 1: diversity in the two parties. When we had ideological diverse 1214 01:00:00,040 --> 01:00:03,360 Speaker 1: city in the two parties, we regularly had these sixty 1215 01:00:03,360 --> 01:00:07,920 Speaker 1: and seventy vote confirmations because there was this ideological diversity 1216 01:00:07,960 --> 01:00:12,440 Speaker 1: as we polarized ourselves right as you know, the embedding 1217 01:00:12,480 --> 01:00:14,680 Speaker 1: of red and blue right, which you know, we could 1218 01:00:14,680 --> 01:00:16,600 Speaker 1: make an argument it began in two thousand. I sort 1219 01:00:16,600 --> 01:00:19,520 Speaker 1: of think now in hindsight, it began with the fallow 1220 01:00:19,720 --> 01:00:23,680 Speaker 1: of the Berlin Wall, that that that's when both parties bases, 1221 01:00:24,080 --> 01:00:28,320 Speaker 1: you know, got reanimated again. We're like, okay, cold War's over. 1222 01:00:28,440 --> 01:00:30,800 Speaker 1: We can't be told to sit sit quietly in the 1223 01:00:30,840 --> 01:00:36,720 Speaker 1: corner anymore. We're coming right. But you know, that's the 1224 01:00:36,920 --> 01:00:40,160 Speaker 1: I guess it is the better solution than open primaries, 1225 01:00:40,160 --> 01:00:42,840 Speaker 1: getting rid of all partisan primaries and that then you 1226 01:00:43,680 --> 01:00:45,760 Speaker 1: just get a different type of nominee. 1227 01:00:46,040 --> 01:00:48,120 Speaker 2: I think that's I think that's I would be in 1228 01:00:48,160 --> 01:00:52,440 Speaker 2: favor of opening up primaries for sure, you know, and 1229 01:00:52,720 --> 01:00:55,000 Speaker 2: I think that, you know, you look at someone like 1230 01:00:55,480 --> 01:00:58,440 Speaker 2: would Bernie Sanders have won the twenty sixteen presentsional nomination 1231 01:00:58,760 --> 01:01:00,640 Speaker 2: if their primary had been open? You know, it's or 1232 01:01:00,960 --> 01:01:03,000 Speaker 2: more primaries and along the way have been opened. Maybe 1233 01:01:03,160 --> 01:01:05,280 Speaker 2: they I think they argued that at the time. You know, 1234 01:01:05,360 --> 01:01:07,920 Speaker 2: he's interesting because you could say he's ideological, but also 1235 01:01:08,000 --> 01:01:11,600 Speaker 2: he was sort of an underappreciated aspect of his twenty 1236 01:01:11,600 --> 01:01:14,240 Speaker 2: sixteen campaign was that he was more moderate on cultural 1237 01:01:14,280 --> 01:01:17,320 Speaker 2: issues than Hillary, and he was actually sort of presenting 1238 01:01:17,600 --> 01:01:20,600 Speaker 2: much more of that classic poem. Remember how Hillary about. 1239 01:01:20,680 --> 01:01:23,880 Speaker 1: Attacked them, kept attacking him other suns. Yeah, him from 1240 01:01:23,920 --> 01:01:25,320 Speaker 1: the left, not the right, that's right. 1241 01:01:25,360 --> 01:01:27,680 Speaker 2: And he you know, he had at some point said 1242 01:01:27,880 --> 01:01:30,520 Speaker 2: the interest groups are the establishment, you know, plan pared 1243 01:01:30,520 --> 01:01:32,720 Speaker 2: to all these groups. So I think that's I think 1244 01:01:32,760 --> 01:01:35,680 Speaker 2: you've opened the doorway for a more interesting. 1245 01:01:35,320 --> 01:01:40,600 Speaker 1: Mix of ideologies. If you did that, well that let's 1246 01:01:40,640 --> 01:01:46,560 Speaker 1: land the plane this way. What do you plan? You know, 1247 01:01:47,440 --> 01:01:50,280 Speaker 1: do you see searchlight? On one hand, you want to 1248 01:01:50,360 --> 01:01:52,880 Speaker 1: you're going to be an incubator of policy ideas and 1249 01:01:53,640 --> 01:01:56,160 Speaker 1: also an incubator of campaign tactics. 1250 01:01:56,800 --> 01:01:59,960 Speaker 2: Well, I think if we had a sort of campaign advice, 1251 01:02:00,040 --> 01:02:02,200 Speaker 2: it would be basically to be heterodox, you know, I 1252 01:02:02,200 --> 01:02:03,800 Speaker 2: mean we would say which, And I think that's more 1253 01:02:03,840 --> 01:02:06,960 Speaker 2: powerful than any camping tactic. We are, we are a 1254 01:02:06,960 --> 01:02:10,120 Speaker 2: political culture that's a wash in. You know, this or 1255 01:02:10,120 --> 01:02:12,200 Speaker 2: that media strategy, this or that platform, and all those 1256 01:02:12,200 --> 01:02:15,280 Speaker 2: things are important, but fundamentally, the most powerful thing you 1257 01:02:15,280 --> 01:02:18,160 Speaker 2: can do is offer a different mix of issues to 1258 01:02:18,200 --> 01:02:21,320 Speaker 2: the American people, and so much else flows downstream from that. 1259 01:02:21,480 --> 01:02:25,040 Speaker 2: So our advice to candidates would be decide to be heterodox. 1260 01:02:25,120 --> 01:02:26,960 Speaker 2: You know, if you look through your issue positions and 1261 01:02:27,040 --> 01:02:30,520 Speaker 2: every single position on that page on your website. You 1262 01:02:30,520 --> 01:02:33,680 Speaker 2: know it is a rigidly ideological left wing position. Then 1263 01:02:33,920 --> 01:02:36,080 Speaker 2: you know, if you're running in a competitive race, then 1264 01:02:36,120 --> 01:02:39,360 Speaker 2: you're probably doing it wrong. So and listen, look in, 1265 01:02:39,480 --> 01:02:42,160 Speaker 2: look in, Look to your beliefs, Look to the people 1266 01:02:42,600 --> 01:02:45,439 Speaker 2: that you're seeking to represent that works those issues. 1267 01:02:45,440 --> 01:02:47,720 Speaker 1: You are right, Like, yeah, I look at grand I 1268 01:02:47,760 --> 01:02:49,480 Speaker 1: look at the Grand Platiner situation. 1269 01:02:49,800 --> 01:02:52,520 Speaker 2: And you know how I look. I got my. 1270 01:02:52,480 --> 01:02:55,800 Speaker 1: Skepticism on the tattoos story. I will admit that, Like 1271 01:02:57,440 --> 01:02:59,280 Speaker 1: you know, I think you put a permanent marking on 1272 01:02:59,320 --> 01:03:01,440 Speaker 1: your body. You're going to research what that is. But 1273 01:03:02,440 --> 01:03:05,200 Speaker 1: so look, that's me as a voter or as a 1274 01:03:05,200 --> 01:03:06,320 Speaker 1: as a consumer of this. 1275 01:03:07,640 --> 01:03:10,040 Speaker 2: But what do you make of his staying power? What 1276 01:03:10,080 --> 01:03:10,960 Speaker 2: does that tell. 1277 01:03:10,800 --> 01:03:14,880 Speaker 1: You about what you're what you're advising people to be. 1278 01:03:15,360 --> 01:03:17,480 Speaker 2: I think I think it's it's it says a lot. 1279 01:03:17,560 --> 01:03:19,400 Speaker 2: And I think that you know, he's he's a person 1280 01:03:19,480 --> 01:03:23,040 Speaker 2: who served in the military, you know, and enlisted in 1281 01:03:23,080 --> 01:03:25,440 Speaker 2: a war that he says he didn't agree with. But 1282 01:03:25,480 --> 01:03:28,760 Speaker 2: I think that's a powerful story. He loves this guy 1283 01:03:28,800 --> 01:03:30,560 Speaker 2: loves guns, you know, not just in the sort of 1284 01:03:30,600 --> 01:03:32,520 Speaker 2: like carried a gun once way. But I mean, you 1285 01:03:32,520 --> 01:03:35,600 Speaker 2: know that's that's a heterodoxy that that fits the state 1286 01:03:35,640 --> 01:03:40,640 Speaker 2: of Maine. People are looking for authenticity, They're looking for that, 1287 01:03:40,640 --> 01:03:45,080 Speaker 2: that desire to fight that that authenticity being imperfect, having 1288 01:03:45,080 --> 01:03:48,160 Speaker 2: made mistakes, all that stuff. I think it's it's very powerful. 1289 01:03:48,200 --> 01:03:50,960 Speaker 2: And so far the way voters in Maine are reacting 1290 01:03:50,960 --> 01:03:52,840 Speaker 2: to those stories is to dismiss them or even to 1291 01:03:52,840 --> 01:03:55,000 Speaker 2: say that's making me back him even stronger. So I 1292 01:03:55,040 --> 01:03:58,200 Speaker 2: think that's a very powerful phenomenon that's going on right now. 1293 01:03:58,240 --> 01:04:00,640 Speaker 2: And his level of heterodoxy could win state like Maine, 1294 01:04:00,640 --> 01:04:03,400 Speaker 2: which is, you know, pretty blue. If you're going to 1295 01:04:03,480 --> 01:04:06,280 Speaker 2: be running in a state like Iowa, Ohio or Nebraska, 1296 01:04:06,360 --> 01:04:08,240 Speaker 2: you know you've got to be even more heterodox. And 1297 01:04:08,240 --> 01:04:10,960 Speaker 2: that's that's the that's the advice I would give to candidates. 1298 01:04:11,760 --> 01:04:14,960 Speaker 1: And is this about finding how much of this is 1299 01:04:15,000 --> 01:04:17,280 Speaker 1: on the party seeking out those candidates and how much 1300 01:04:17,320 --> 01:04:20,600 Speaker 1: is it just simply more candidates need to not seek 1301 01:04:20,600 --> 01:04:23,240 Speaker 1: out the groups looking for I mean, you see this 1302 01:04:23,360 --> 01:04:26,440 Speaker 1: a lot where and I'm sorry I think that I 1303 01:04:26,520 --> 01:04:29,880 Speaker 1: watch the committees do this right, Well, if you don't 1304 01:04:29,920 --> 01:04:31,480 Speaker 1: do this then we're not going to be able to 1305 01:04:31,560 --> 01:04:35,240 Speaker 1: bunge your general election. They sort of hold you hostage 1306 01:04:35,320 --> 01:04:36,360 Speaker 1: uncertain things, oh. 1307 01:04:36,320 --> 01:04:38,200 Speaker 2: One hundred percent. I mean people, you know, the question 1308 01:04:38,200 --> 01:04:39,520 Speaker 2: we gas a lot is like, oh, these are just 1309 01:04:39,560 --> 01:04:42,520 Speaker 2: little nonprofits, you know, doing the best they can. And 1310 01:04:42,560 --> 01:04:45,600 Speaker 2: that's that's in the post Citizens United world. These groups 1311 01:04:45,600 --> 01:04:48,600 Speaker 2: wield war chests of millions and millions of dollars, and 1312 01:04:48,960 --> 01:04:51,840 Speaker 2: in the primary, if you don't take their preferred positions, 1313 01:04:51,880 --> 01:04:54,080 Speaker 2: they spend those millions of dollars against you and in 1314 01:04:54,080 --> 01:04:56,240 Speaker 2: favor of your opponent. So it's still a lot of power. 1315 01:04:57,200 --> 01:05:00,440 Speaker 2: But I think, you know, it would be smart for 1316 01:05:00,480 --> 01:05:01,800 Speaker 2: the groups to get a little bit smarter in what 1317 01:05:01,840 --> 01:05:04,640 Speaker 2: they're asking people to do and make their asks more about, 1318 01:05:04,640 --> 01:05:07,160 Speaker 2: you know, can you beat the Republican then than you know, 1319 01:05:07,600 --> 01:05:10,520 Speaker 2: going through a purity test. But I think candidates should, 1320 01:05:10,600 --> 01:05:12,320 Speaker 2: you know, if they're being asked to take crazy positions, 1321 01:05:12,320 --> 01:05:14,040 Speaker 2: they should just say no, and they should make they 1322 01:05:14,040 --> 01:05:15,640 Speaker 2: should be clear of the voters that they're saying no. 1323 01:05:15,760 --> 01:05:20,080 Speaker 2: I think we you no longer do questionnaires. A questionnaire 1324 01:05:20,080 --> 01:05:21,720 Speaker 2: with one question, which is the tell me why you 1325 01:05:21,760 --> 01:05:23,920 Speaker 2: can beat the Republican. That would be my qu that's 1326 01:05:23,960 --> 01:05:25,480 Speaker 2: just the questionnaire. Yeah, that's right. 1327 01:05:26,000 --> 01:05:30,080 Speaker 1: Are you can you imagine Searchlight funding a campaign for 1328 01:05:30,240 --> 01:05:32,120 Speaker 1: against a candidate in a primary. 1329 01:05:32,200 --> 01:05:35,320 Speaker 2: We are acumenical for now. I think what we want 1330 01:05:35,320 --> 01:05:36,720 Speaker 2: to do is just sort of put out the best 1331 01:05:36,720 --> 01:05:39,880 Speaker 2: ideas and approaches and hope that that, you know, people 1332 01:05:39,880 --> 01:05:42,320 Speaker 2: adopt them. So that's that is our stance for the 1333 01:05:42,360 --> 01:05:43,560 Speaker 2: time being. We'll see. 1334 01:05:43,920 --> 01:05:46,400 Speaker 1: Well, I love your marker for success in your mind. 1335 01:05:46,680 --> 01:05:49,000 Speaker 1: If Democrats don't win the Senate, they can't say they 1336 01:05:49,040 --> 01:05:49,680 Speaker 1: won the mid terms. 1337 01:05:50,080 --> 01:05:51,320 Speaker 2: That is exactly what I think. 1338 01:05:52,520 --> 01:05:55,560 Speaker 1: Yeah, it's a high bar, but guess what if you 1339 01:05:55,560 --> 01:05:57,840 Speaker 1: want to if you want to succeed, you got to 1340 01:05:57,840 --> 01:05:58,440 Speaker 1: go beat a high bar. 1341 01:05:58,560 --> 01:06:00,919 Speaker 2: You've done it before, you know, it's important name high. 1342 01:06:01,360 --> 01:06:03,040 Speaker 1: Anyway, Hey Adam, this was great. 1343 01:06:03,320 --> 01:06:03,720 Speaker 2: Uh. 1344 01:06:04,080 --> 01:06:06,400 Speaker 1: Look, you have a book out about the Senate. You 1345 01:06:06,520 --> 01:06:08,360 Speaker 1: talked in such detail on Don't you want to tell 1346 01:06:08,400 --> 01:06:09,560 Speaker 1: people how they can go by it? 1347 01:06:09,560 --> 01:06:14,560 Speaker 2: It's absolutely good. Kill Switch by by Me is available 1348 01:06:14,560 --> 01:06:16,400 Speaker 2: on Amazon and anywhere books are sold, So. 1349 01:06:16,960 --> 01:06:19,720 Speaker 1: Go check it out Searchlight Foundations. 1350 01:06:20,680 --> 01:06:22,440 Speaker 2: It's about the Senate, but it's not boring. It's the 1351 01:06:22,440 --> 01:06:23,760 Speaker 2: best is the mine. 1352 01:06:23,760 --> 01:06:25,600 Speaker 1: Think you did a good job sort of talking a 1353 01:06:25,600 --> 01:06:28,480 Speaker 1: little history. I mean, you you you you sort of 1354 01:06:28,720 --> 01:06:30,880 Speaker 1: you scratched all the itches I was hoping you scratched 1355 01:06:30,920 --> 01:06:34,120 Speaker 1: during our conversation, which was talking about the founder's original 1356 01:06:34,120 --> 01:06:38,440 Speaker 1: intent all this, and you've you've certainly been persuasive to 1357 01:06:38,480 --> 01:06:42,840 Speaker 1: me about the lack of mention of supermajorities in certain 1358 01:06:42,880 --> 01:06:46,160 Speaker 1: parts of the founders versus where they did intentionally bring 1359 01:06:46,240 --> 01:06:49,000 Speaker 1: up the decision super majorities. I think if you're going 1360 01:06:49,040 --> 01:06:51,400 Speaker 1: to be an originalist, you got to pay attention to. 1361 01:06:51,360 --> 01:06:53,600 Speaker 2: That as well. That's right, that's right. Well, thanks Je Fran, 1362 01:06:53,840 --> 01:06:54,400 Speaker 2: good to see it.