1 00:00:02,320 --> 00:00:03,000 Speaker 1: What's up, guys? 2 00:00:03,000 --> 00:00:07,040 Speaker 2: How are you welcome into another early bets, Survivor takes 3 00:00:07,040 --> 00:00:09,520 Speaker 2: and things you should fire on right now for Week 4 00:00:09,560 --> 00:00:11,479 Speaker 2: fourteen of the NFL. He is Pat, It's Morris. I'm 5 00:00:11,520 --> 00:00:13,960 Speaker 2: Matt Perultz. We do this every week, guys, Every Tuesday, 6 00:00:14,000 --> 00:00:16,880 Speaker 2: we're here breaking everything down. If you haven't yet subscribe 7 00:00:16,960 --> 00:00:19,400 Speaker 2: yet on the Betty Pros YouTube channel, you should absolutely 8 00:00:19,400 --> 00:00:21,599 Speaker 2: do that so you know when this podcast drops every 9 00:00:21,640 --> 00:00:24,319 Speaker 2: single Tuesday afternoon as we break it down, Pat, what 10 00:00:24,440 --> 00:00:27,400 Speaker 2: a wild week we had Thanksgiving? We had Black Friday. 11 00:00:27,560 --> 00:00:30,040 Speaker 2: It wiped out every Survivor pool. If people are still 12 00:00:30,080 --> 00:00:33,240 Speaker 2: left in watching us for Survivor, you're awesome. You're good 13 00:00:33,520 --> 00:00:35,720 Speaker 2: and you should be in the money very soon. So 14 00:00:35,800 --> 00:00:38,080 Speaker 2: we thank you for coming back to watch Survivor picks 15 00:00:38,080 --> 00:00:41,240 Speaker 2: for today because well, at least here in Vegas, everyone 16 00:00:41,320 --> 00:00:45,680 Speaker 2: got trashed on Black Friday and on Thanksgiving, favorites go 17 00:00:45,840 --> 00:00:48,400 Speaker 2: oh to four straight up over the holiday. 18 00:00:48,520 --> 00:00:51,360 Speaker 1: How are you? I'm doing well? Good to see Matt. 19 00:00:51,400 --> 00:00:54,640 Speaker 3: Yeah, I think that Eagles Bears game crushed a lot 20 00:00:54,640 --> 00:00:57,680 Speaker 3: of people on Black Friday, and you know, speaking of 21 00:00:57,680 --> 00:00:59,520 Speaker 3: the Bears, nice to see you trying to get on 22 00:00:59,600 --> 00:01:01,760 Speaker 3: my good sid By wearing the Green Bay Packers hat 23 00:01:02,280 --> 00:01:05,760 Speaker 3: coupled with your Jamaica warm up. You know, it kind 24 00:01:05,760 --> 00:01:09,640 Speaker 3: of works from a color scheme perspective, but you know, 25 00:01:10,200 --> 00:01:12,399 Speaker 3: something tells me that people are not going to be 26 00:01:13,000 --> 00:01:16,560 Speaker 3: sitting in the sand drinking a red stripe in frozen 27 00:01:16,640 --> 00:01:20,360 Speaker 3: lambeau Field on Sunday against the Bears, where you know, 28 00:01:20,400 --> 00:01:22,680 Speaker 3: we just got about a foot of snow here in 29 00:01:22,720 --> 00:01:27,680 Speaker 3: like Chicago, Wisconsin over the last about eight ten inches Saturday, 30 00:01:28,160 --> 00:01:32,600 Speaker 3: another little round of snow yesterday. Yeah, it already feels 31 00:01:32,640 --> 00:01:37,240 Speaker 3: like winter up here. So Bears, Packers, snowy conditions, It 32 00:01:37,319 --> 00:01:38,000 Speaker 3: just feels. 33 00:01:37,840 --> 00:01:38,840 Speaker 1: Right, all right. 34 00:01:38,880 --> 00:01:41,360 Speaker 2: Talking about three games that each of us want to 35 00:01:41,400 --> 00:01:43,400 Speaker 2: fire on, and then we'll do a locket in game 36 00:01:43,440 --> 00:01:44,959 Speaker 2: at the end as well, something you should fire on 37 00:01:45,000 --> 00:01:47,039 Speaker 2: from a number perspective for the number of moves. But 38 00:01:47,440 --> 00:01:50,320 Speaker 2: for this week, what is your number one play? What 39 00:01:50,360 --> 00:01:52,480 Speaker 2: do you want to bet on right now here on Tuesday? 40 00:01:52,480 --> 00:01:53,200 Speaker 4: For Week fourteen? 41 00:01:53,920 --> 00:01:56,120 Speaker 3: I want to bet the Jaguars catching one and a 42 00:01:56,160 --> 00:01:59,720 Speaker 3: half points at home from the Colts. I'm still not 43 00:01:59,840 --> 00:02:02,720 Speaker 3: in entirely sure what to think about the eight and 44 00:02:02,880 --> 00:02:06,240 Speaker 3: four Jaguars, Matt, but they seem more legitimate now than 45 00:02:06,280 --> 00:02:08,560 Speaker 3: they did when they were getting out to a four 46 00:02:08,600 --> 00:02:14,400 Speaker 3: and one start and living off a huge unsustainable turnover differential. 47 00:02:15,120 --> 00:02:16,320 Speaker 1: But let's take a. 48 00:02:16,320 --> 00:02:19,560 Speaker 3: Quick look at the jaguars last three games. They absolutely 49 00:02:19,600 --> 00:02:22,919 Speaker 3: smoked the Chargers thirty five to six in Jacksonville. They 50 00:02:22,919 --> 00:02:25,360 Speaker 3: went on the road and showed some moxie in pulling 51 00:02:25,360 --> 00:02:27,880 Speaker 3: out a twenty seven to twenty four overtime win in 52 00:02:27,960 --> 00:02:30,639 Speaker 3: Arizona against the Cardinals team that's been pretty feisty ever 53 00:02:30,680 --> 00:02:34,000 Speaker 3: since Jacoby Brissett took over a quarterback, and then this 54 00:02:34,040 --> 00:02:36,320 Speaker 3: past weekend they were very business like in winning a 55 00:02:36,360 --> 00:02:39,240 Speaker 3: road game against the Titans twenty five to three. Had 56 00:02:39,240 --> 00:02:43,440 Speaker 3: a bad opponent handled them easily. So, by no means 57 00:02:43,440 --> 00:02:45,160 Speaker 3: do I think the Jaguars are a great team, But 58 00:02:45,200 --> 00:02:47,880 Speaker 3: I think they're slowly but surely becoming a pretty good 59 00:02:47,880 --> 00:02:52,200 Speaker 3: team under Liam Cohen. The Colts meanwhile, one in three 60 00:02:52,240 --> 00:02:54,680 Speaker 3: over their last four games. The only win was an 61 00:02:54,760 --> 00:02:57,880 Speaker 3: overtime against the Falcons in Berlin. That was the only 62 00:02:57,919 --> 00:03:00,280 Speaker 3: time they scored more than twenty points during this four 63 00:03:00,320 --> 00:03:01,000 Speaker 3: game slump. 64 00:03:01,200 --> 00:03:03,079 Speaker 1: And Daniel Jones. 65 00:03:03,000 --> 00:03:05,400 Speaker 3: Is playing with a fracture in his fibulla and looks 66 00:03:05,400 --> 00:03:08,720 Speaker 3: like he can't move around very well. So the Colts 67 00:03:08,720 --> 00:03:11,240 Speaker 3: still have Jonathan Taylor. But the Jaguars are really tough 68 00:03:11,240 --> 00:03:13,679 Speaker 3: against the run. Over their last seven games, they've held 69 00:03:13,680 --> 00:03:16,200 Speaker 3: opponents to an average it's seventy one point four rushing 70 00:03:16,280 --> 00:03:18,760 Speaker 3: yards and only one of those seven opponents had more 71 00:03:18,760 --> 00:03:22,359 Speaker 3: than ninety rushing yards. So the Jacksonville rundy is pretty legit. 72 00:03:23,000 --> 00:03:25,280 Speaker 3: And on defense, the Colts have given up twenty or 73 00:03:25,320 --> 00:03:27,560 Speaker 3: more points in each of their last four and they 74 00:03:27,639 --> 00:03:29,760 Speaker 3: just lost sauce Gard near to a calf injury. So 75 00:03:30,720 --> 00:03:32,640 Speaker 3: I really like the Jaguars as a home dog. 76 00:03:33,360 --> 00:03:35,119 Speaker 1: I love this play. 77 00:03:35,360 --> 00:03:37,160 Speaker 2: This will be a bet that I will make on 78 00:03:37,320 --> 00:03:41,360 Speaker 2: Sunday or Thursday or some point during the week. Everything 79 00:03:41,400 --> 00:03:43,920 Speaker 2: you said I agree with the Jaguars, but it's more 80 00:03:43,920 --> 00:03:47,480 Speaker 2: of a fade on the Colts. It's Shane Steichen in December. 81 00:03:48,160 --> 00:03:52,160 Speaker 2: Historically speaking, Shane Steichen in December is an absolute fade. 82 00:03:52,600 --> 00:03:55,120 Speaker 4: And Daniel Jones, I completely agree with you. 83 00:03:55,880 --> 00:04:00,000 Speaker 2: His weapon with his legs, his ability to pick up 84 00:04:00,080 --> 00:04:02,560 Speaker 2: first downs in the early part of the year was 85 00:04:02,640 --> 00:04:04,840 Speaker 2: so big, because that's why I really think he was 86 00:04:04,880 --> 00:04:07,920 Speaker 2: able to handle the pressure. He was the best quarterback 87 00:04:07,960 --> 00:04:12,040 Speaker 2: through ten weeks against pressure. If you blitzed him, he 88 00:04:12,160 --> 00:04:14,240 Speaker 2: was either picking up the first down with his legs, 89 00:04:14,960 --> 00:04:17,880 Speaker 2: excuse me, or he was throwing the ball accurately to 90 00:04:18,000 --> 00:04:21,320 Speaker 2: a wide receiver corps that was on fire. This team 91 00:04:21,360 --> 00:04:23,840 Speaker 2: can't move the football right now. This team is having 92 00:04:23,880 --> 00:04:27,400 Speaker 2: a hard time scoring right now. And it's December and 93 00:04:27,480 --> 00:04:30,000 Speaker 2: it's a fading time for the Colts. I am one 94 00:04:30,080 --> 00:04:33,760 Speaker 2: hundred percent with you on the Jaguars. I'm gonna say this. 95 00:04:34,000 --> 00:04:36,400 Speaker 2: I think that they go off as a favorite. I'm 96 00:04:36,480 --> 00:04:38,760 Speaker 2: not sure this number is gonna hold. I think one 97 00:04:38,800 --> 00:04:40,760 Speaker 2: people wake up and start realizing what the number is 98 00:04:40,800 --> 00:04:43,640 Speaker 2: going Wait, whoa, whoa. Hold on a second, I'm getting 99 00:04:43,680 --> 00:04:46,520 Speaker 2: point with the Jaguars. Give me Jacksonville plus the points. 100 00:04:46,640 --> 00:04:47,840 Speaker 2: I think it's a really good play. 101 00:04:48,160 --> 00:04:48,360 Speaker 1: Yeah. 102 00:04:48,360 --> 00:04:51,760 Speaker 3: I debated whether to make this the locket and now 103 00:04:51,839 --> 00:04:54,880 Speaker 3: pick right. This is one I'm not gonna wait to bat. 104 00:04:55,560 --> 00:04:55,880 Speaker 1: Yeah. 105 00:04:56,160 --> 00:04:57,839 Speaker 2: I think you should bet it. If you have a 106 00:04:58,000 --> 00:05:00,360 Speaker 2: you have your book or your books. If you have 107 00:05:00,839 --> 00:05:03,880 Speaker 2: a plus points for Jacksonville, I would take it. I 108 00:05:03,880 --> 00:05:05,640 Speaker 2: don't think you need it. I think you bet money line. 109 00:05:05,680 --> 00:05:08,360 Speaker 2: I think the Jaguars win the game outright, but sometimes 110 00:05:08,400 --> 00:05:10,520 Speaker 2: it's safe to have the security blanket of taking the 111 00:05:10,560 --> 00:05:13,320 Speaker 2: points just in case something funky happens in a divisional game, 112 00:05:13,360 --> 00:05:16,560 Speaker 2: which they tend to do for me. I'm gonna go 113 00:05:16,600 --> 00:05:18,640 Speaker 2: to Sunday night and I'm gonna look at the Houston 114 00:05:18,680 --> 00:05:22,080 Speaker 2: Texans and the Casey Chiefs and play the under forty 115 00:05:22,120 --> 00:05:25,000 Speaker 2: two and a half. Much like you, this number is 116 00:05:25,040 --> 00:05:27,040 Speaker 2: going to move. I think this number is going to 117 00:05:27,120 --> 00:05:30,320 Speaker 2: close either forty or below. I think we're gonna see 118 00:05:30,400 --> 00:05:32,480 Speaker 2: a lot of money come in here. I don't know 119 00:05:32,600 --> 00:05:35,880 Speaker 2: how the Chiefs are going to score against right now, 120 00:05:35,920 --> 00:05:39,320 Speaker 2: the hottest defense in the NFL and the team that 121 00:05:39,480 --> 00:05:42,120 Speaker 2: nobody wants to make the playoffs. You don't want to 122 00:05:42,160 --> 00:05:46,000 Speaker 2: play the Houston Texans. The Patriots don't, the Broncos don't. 123 00:05:46,320 --> 00:05:48,680 Speaker 2: Nobody wants to play the Houston Texans because of how 124 00:05:48,720 --> 00:05:51,800 Speaker 2: ferocious that defense has been playing. And while I know CJ. 125 00:05:51,880 --> 00:05:55,520 Speaker 2: Stroud has struggled, it's why I like the under. But 126 00:05:55,920 --> 00:05:58,000 Speaker 2: in the postseason we'll see what they look like from 127 00:05:58,000 --> 00:06:00,200 Speaker 2: an offensive standpoint. But up against the chief team with 128 00:06:00,240 --> 00:06:02,720 Speaker 2: their backs against the wall, in a game they absolutely 129 00:06:02,800 --> 00:06:05,280 Speaker 2: have to have. I'm assuming that defense is going to 130 00:06:05,320 --> 00:06:08,520 Speaker 2: put their foot down and say, Okay, no one's scoring 131 00:06:08,560 --> 00:06:10,800 Speaker 2: on our watch. I like the under forty two and 132 00:06:10,839 --> 00:06:13,640 Speaker 2: a half Texans Chiefs here on Sunday night. 133 00:06:14,080 --> 00:06:14,800 Speaker 1: I'm with you on this. 134 00:06:15,560 --> 00:06:19,039 Speaker 3: The Texans have had their last three games play under 135 00:06:19,080 --> 00:06:22,280 Speaker 3: forty points and for their last five. It's the best 136 00:06:22,320 --> 00:06:26,640 Speaker 3: defense in the NFL. Matt like Will Anderson is. I 137 00:06:26,680 --> 00:06:30,640 Speaker 3: know Miles Garrett is getting the heavy attention and the 138 00:06:30,720 --> 00:06:33,159 Speaker 3: runaway favorite to be Defensive Player of the Year, but man, 139 00:06:33,240 --> 00:06:36,400 Speaker 3: Will Anderson is so good. That guy is just and 140 00:06:36,440 --> 00:06:39,120 Speaker 3: then you've got daneil Hunter on the other side of him. 141 00:06:39,240 --> 00:06:41,760 Speaker 3: I mean, it's just unfair to quarterbacks. I mean, these 142 00:06:41,800 --> 00:06:46,719 Speaker 3: guys terrorize opposing quarterbacks. The Chiefs can't really run the 143 00:06:46,720 --> 00:06:50,640 Speaker 3: ball effectively. They don't have much of a deep passing game. 144 00:06:50,680 --> 00:06:53,760 Speaker 3: It's all just intermediate dink and dunk their way down 145 00:06:53,800 --> 00:06:55,400 Speaker 3: the field. And that's going to be really hard to 146 00:06:55,400 --> 00:06:59,479 Speaker 3: do against the Houston Texans. And meanwhile, the Texans, they've 147 00:06:59,600 --> 00:07:01,560 Speaker 3: they've got offensive problems of their own. 148 00:07:01,880 --> 00:07:04,000 Speaker 1: Their offensive line's been a little bit better lately. 149 00:07:04,000 --> 00:07:06,279 Speaker 3: It's not the disaster it was early in the season, 150 00:07:06,360 --> 00:07:09,600 Speaker 3: but they have trouble running the ball. They have trouble 151 00:07:09,640 --> 00:07:13,200 Speaker 3: making big plays in the pass a game, So throwing 152 00:07:13,360 --> 00:07:18,400 Speaker 3: some probably pretty inhospitable weather in Kansas City at night, yea, 153 00:07:18,480 --> 00:07:20,720 Speaker 3: And yeah, I like the under a lot here. 154 00:07:21,000 --> 00:07:23,040 Speaker 4: And look, the Chiefs might win the game. 155 00:07:23,120 --> 00:07:25,480 Speaker 2: Okay, and they win the game like thirteen to seven, 156 00:07:25,960 --> 00:07:29,239 Speaker 2: but I still think the Texans have a huge chance 157 00:07:29,280 --> 00:07:30,600 Speaker 2: here to end the season. 158 00:07:30,720 --> 00:07:33,960 Speaker 4: For the Chiefs. They lose this game, I think it's over. 159 00:07:34,440 --> 00:07:35,280 Speaker 1: And so I do. 160 00:07:35,240 --> 00:07:38,920 Speaker 2: Expect I mean, Andy Reid's saying some really wild stuff 161 00:07:38,960 --> 00:07:40,880 Speaker 2: about what the offense is going to look like and 162 00:07:40,920 --> 00:07:44,080 Speaker 2: what he's gonna tickle and whatever else. We'll see what 163 00:07:44,120 --> 00:07:47,600 Speaker 2: they do on offense. But I do expect the Chiefs 164 00:07:47,640 --> 00:07:49,800 Speaker 2: to throw the kitchen sink at the Texans, and I 165 00:07:49,840 --> 00:07:52,400 Speaker 2: could lead to turnovers. That's my one little worry about that. 166 00:07:52,440 --> 00:07:54,000 Speaker 2: But I think that has more to do with who 167 00:07:54,040 --> 00:07:57,360 Speaker 2: wins the game than the high scoring game. To go 168 00:07:57,400 --> 00:08:00,600 Speaker 2: over forty two and a half points, But again, that 169 00:08:00,680 --> 00:08:02,640 Speaker 2: number is going to move. So if you are listening 170 00:08:02,680 --> 00:08:04,680 Speaker 2: to this on Tuesday afternoon and you see a number 171 00:08:04,720 --> 00:08:06,160 Speaker 2: at forty two and a half, I would take it 172 00:08:06,200 --> 00:08:07,560 Speaker 2: because I don't think that number is going to be 173 00:08:07,560 --> 00:08:08,640 Speaker 2: there for long. 174 00:08:09,040 --> 00:08:12,160 Speaker 1: That number two for you, Pat, Where are you going? Jets? 175 00:08:12,360 --> 00:08:15,000 Speaker 1: Plus two and a half at home against the Dolphins? 176 00:08:15,160 --> 00:08:15,440 Speaker 1: Love it? 177 00:08:15,480 --> 00:08:17,600 Speaker 3: And yeah, the Jets are three and two in their 178 00:08:17,680 --> 00:08:20,600 Speaker 3: last five games, and granted they have beaten some pretty 179 00:08:20,600 --> 00:08:25,360 Speaker 3: poor teams. But this this is not a talented Jets roster. 180 00:08:25,880 --> 00:08:29,080 Speaker 3: But the Jets are playing hard under Aaron Glenn. They 181 00:08:29,120 --> 00:08:31,360 Speaker 3: have a little hidden edge in special teams. They rank 182 00:08:31,440 --> 00:08:33,079 Speaker 3: number one in the league in special teams. 183 00:08:33,160 --> 00:08:33,679 Speaker 1: Dvoa. 184 00:08:34,679 --> 00:08:36,960 Speaker 3: The Dolphins defense has been playing really well and Devon 185 00:08:37,080 --> 00:08:39,880 Speaker 3: a Chan has been doing the his best to just 186 00:08:40,000 --> 00:08:41,280 Speaker 3: carry this Miami offense. 187 00:08:41,320 --> 00:08:43,400 Speaker 1: But Matt, how do you feel. 188 00:08:43,080 --> 00:08:46,920 Speaker 3: About a team quarterback by Tua toungua Iiloa being favored 189 00:08:46,960 --> 00:08:49,120 Speaker 3: in a road game when the game time temperature is 190 00:08:49,400 --> 00:08:52,600 Speaker 3: likely to be around forty degrees zero? 191 00:08:53,080 --> 00:08:55,360 Speaker 1: No, yeah, exactly. I mean here's the thing too, to 192 00:08:55,400 --> 00:08:56,640 Speaker 1: back you up, the pros. 193 00:08:56,679 --> 00:08:58,720 Speaker 2: As we're talking here, we tape this on Tuesday morning, 194 00:08:58,720 --> 00:09:01,880 Speaker 2: it drops Tuesday afternoon. The pros are betting the Dolphins. 195 00:09:02,040 --> 00:09:04,480 Speaker 2: It's now three as we're talking, the number has moved 196 00:09:04,480 --> 00:09:07,160 Speaker 2: to three. This is great. Okay, I believe this is 197 00:09:07,200 --> 00:09:09,320 Speaker 2: a headfake. I don't believe this is a real move. 198 00:09:09,720 --> 00:09:12,679 Speaker 2: I think this is just take what the books will 199 00:09:12,679 --> 00:09:15,280 Speaker 2: give you. Take the two and a half points, get 200 00:09:15,280 --> 00:09:17,360 Speaker 2: it to three, and then the real money will come 201 00:09:17,400 --> 00:09:20,560 Speaker 2: in behind it. On the Jets plus three, same number 202 00:09:20,679 --> 00:09:22,960 Speaker 2: was last week at Home plus three. I was all 203 00:09:23,000 --> 00:09:25,320 Speaker 2: over it. It'll be the same thing this week Jets 204 00:09:25,320 --> 00:09:29,120 Speaker 2: plus three. I'm with you, and that was my choice. 205 00:09:29,160 --> 00:09:31,000 Speaker 3: Do I take this, Do I take the two and 206 00:09:31,040 --> 00:09:33,240 Speaker 3: a half or do I take the money line at 207 00:09:33,240 --> 00:09:36,160 Speaker 3: my plus one oh five? And if it's if you're 208 00:09:36,200 --> 00:09:38,040 Speaker 3: seeing it at three in some spots, then I'm just 209 00:09:38,120 --> 00:09:39,199 Speaker 3: going to take the three points. 210 00:09:39,280 --> 00:09:43,280 Speaker 2: Yeah, hundred sent take the three. It's just waight take three. 211 00:09:43,440 --> 00:09:45,559 Speaker 2: I mean literally, as we're talking, the boards lighting up. 212 00:09:45,600 --> 00:09:48,959 Speaker 2: So it's just it's it's the morning of vandos at 213 00:09:48,960 --> 00:09:52,440 Speaker 2: three circles, at three super Books, at three South Points, 214 00:09:52,440 --> 00:09:54,000 Speaker 2: at three ESPN. 215 00:09:53,760 --> 00:09:56,160 Speaker 4: Bet now you know whatever I want to call it. 216 00:09:56,280 --> 00:09:57,880 Speaker 1: The score bet is at three. 217 00:09:58,240 --> 00:10:00,800 Speaker 2: So yeah, I mean it's it's everyone's going to be 218 00:10:00,800 --> 00:10:03,600 Speaker 2: at three by the end of Tuesday afternoon, Tuesday evening, 219 00:10:03,640 --> 00:10:05,920 Speaker 2: I think the whole world will be at three. And 220 00:10:05,960 --> 00:10:07,959 Speaker 2: then I think when the when the limits open up 221 00:10:08,000 --> 00:10:10,280 Speaker 2: on Thursday and Friday, I do think you're gonna see 222 00:10:10,280 --> 00:10:11,760 Speaker 2: people coming in and take the Take the Jets at 223 00:10:11,760 --> 00:10:15,440 Speaker 2: plus three's a good play. Yeah, I agree for my 224 00:10:15,559 --> 00:10:17,480 Speaker 2: second play coming up here, and I you know, I 225 00:10:17,720 --> 00:10:19,839 Speaker 2: bounced around with a lot of these and I kind 226 00:10:19,840 --> 00:10:21,600 Speaker 2: of thought about what I wanted to do with this. 227 00:10:22,360 --> 00:10:24,439 Speaker 2: I'm gonna take the Commanders and I'm gonna lay the 228 00:10:24,480 --> 00:10:27,600 Speaker 2: one and a half, assuming that Jade Daniels is playing. Okay, 229 00:10:28,000 --> 00:10:30,720 Speaker 2: I need Jane Daniels playing. It looks like he's going 230 00:10:30,760 --> 00:10:33,960 Speaker 2: to play, and if he does play, I think you 231 00:10:34,040 --> 00:10:36,680 Speaker 2: will see. I mean, I think Washington might wind up 232 00:10:36,960 --> 00:10:40,280 Speaker 2: going off as the as the favorite here. Circa's gone 233 00:10:40,320 --> 00:10:42,880 Speaker 2: to a pick so as the super book. So is 234 00:10:42,920 --> 00:10:46,079 Speaker 2: the South Point hard Rock bet actually flipped. They're at 235 00:10:46,080 --> 00:10:48,559 Speaker 2: miss one now for Washington, so the favorite. The Commanders 236 00:10:48,559 --> 00:10:51,000 Speaker 2: are favored now they were plus one and a half. 237 00:10:51,240 --> 00:10:54,079 Speaker 2: I'm sorry the Vikings are done like that. That that's it. 238 00:10:54,120 --> 00:10:56,960 Speaker 2: I'm just I'm out. I think the Commanders aren't playing 239 00:10:57,000 --> 00:10:59,319 Speaker 2: for much, but they're playing a lot harder and getting 240 00:10:59,360 --> 00:11:01,640 Speaker 2: Jade Daniels back I think is a huge deal for 241 00:11:01,679 --> 00:11:03,920 Speaker 2: this team, a big pick me up spot for this 242 00:11:04,000 --> 00:11:07,120 Speaker 2: team to have him out there in a Dome environment. 243 00:11:07,200 --> 00:11:09,559 Speaker 2: I know the Vikings don't lose at home all that often, 244 00:11:10,080 --> 00:11:13,600 Speaker 2: but my gosh, has this team fallen apart JJ McCarthy 245 00:11:13,640 --> 00:11:14,120 Speaker 2: and company. 246 00:11:14,360 --> 00:11:15,720 Speaker 4: They didn't score last. 247 00:11:15,520 --> 00:11:19,440 Speaker 3: Week, Pat, and even the defense hasn't been that great, Matt. 248 00:11:19,480 --> 00:11:23,320 Speaker 3: I mean, I know the Seahawks barely did anything through 249 00:11:23,360 --> 00:11:23,600 Speaker 3: the air. 250 00:11:23,640 --> 00:11:26,160 Speaker 1: They didn't have to. It was such an easy. 251 00:11:25,840 --> 00:11:28,640 Speaker 3: Game for them with their defense, and just let the 252 00:11:28,720 --> 00:11:30,680 Speaker 3: running game do the heavy lifting on offense. 253 00:11:31,120 --> 00:11:34,680 Speaker 1: Normally, I would be wary about. 254 00:11:34,440 --> 00:11:39,360 Speaker 3: Taking anything short of a playoff team going up against 255 00:11:39,360 --> 00:11:42,079 Speaker 3: the Vikings in US Bank Stadium because that has traditionally 256 00:11:42,120 --> 00:11:44,200 Speaker 3: been a really hard place for visitors to play. But 257 00:11:45,080 --> 00:11:48,800 Speaker 3: JJ McCarthy a beating up offensive line. I don't think 258 00:11:48,800 --> 00:11:50,840 Speaker 3: they're going to have Aaron Jones for this game, who 259 00:11:51,160 --> 00:11:54,800 Speaker 3: re injured his shoulder. So yeah, and if Jaden and Daniels, 260 00:11:55,040 --> 00:11:56,760 Speaker 3: and I know a lot of people are probably thinking, 261 00:11:56,800 --> 00:12:00,240 Speaker 3: why would the Commanders let Jadeen Daniels play when they're 262 00:12:00,280 --> 00:12:02,480 Speaker 3: pretty much out of the playoffs. I don't know if 263 00:12:02,480 --> 00:12:05,520 Speaker 3: they've been mathematically eliminated or not, but they're really close 264 00:12:05,559 --> 00:12:09,160 Speaker 3: to it. Yeah, But players play, It's what they do. 265 00:12:09,200 --> 00:12:11,240 Speaker 3: They get paid a lot of money to play football. 266 00:12:11,400 --> 00:12:14,720 Speaker 3: And it's not week seventeen or week eighteen, it's week fourteen. 267 00:12:14,840 --> 00:12:17,240 Speaker 3: So if he can play, and by all accounts it 268 00:12:17,320 --> 00:12:19,520 Speaker 3: seems like he was really really close to playing in 269 00:12:19,559 --> 00:12:23,160 Speaker 3: week thirteen. Yeah, best to grab this now while there's 270 00:12:23,160 --> 00:12:26,040 Speaker 3: still some ambiguity about whether he's going to be in uniform. 271 00:12:26,640 --> 00:12:28,480 Speaker 4: I think he's playing. I think the number tells you 272 00:12:29,200 --> 00:12:29,720 Speaker 4: he's playing. 273 00:12:29,960 --> 00:12:32,440 Speaker 2: I think the fact that the move came here on 274 00:12:32,480 --> 00:12:35,200 Speaker 2: Tuesday on Washington tells me he's playing. 275 00:12:35,760 --> 00:12:37,959 Speaker 4: And so and I would be very surprised. 276 00:12:38,400 --> 00:12:40,400 Speaker 2: I know you could say it was the same thought 277 00:12:40,400 --> 00:12:42,880 Speaker 2: like last night with Jackson Dark playing for the Giants, 278 00:12:43,240 --> 00:12:45,840 Speaker 2: like like, why are you playing him? I get it 279 00:12:46,679 --> 00:12:49,439 Speaker 2: there's danger there, but I think because Dame Daniels is 280 00:12:49,480 --> 00:12:51,719 Speaker 2: a young quarterback and he reps a good rep, get 281 00:12:51,760 --> 00:12:53,760 Speaker 2: him out there, let him play, let him get back 282 00:12:53,800 --> 00:12:55,760 Speaker 2: into the swing of things. And frankly, they lost a 283 00:12:55,840 --> 00:12:59,199 Speaker 2: game to a playoff team in the Broncos in overtime 284 00:12:59,400 --> 00:13:02,559 Speaker 2: by going for two with you know, let's be frank 285 00:13:02,600 --> 00:13:05,280 Speaker 2: if it's Jadon Daniels running that two point play, he 286 00:13:05,360 --> 00:13:08,360 Speaker 2: probably pulls that ball down and runs in for a 287 00:13:08,400 --> 00:13:12,160 Speaker 2: two point play. That was wide open. It's Marcus Mariota. 288 00:13:12,400 --> 00:13:14,560 Speaker 2: He throws the ball and gets spiked into his face 289 00:13:14,640 --> 00:13:17,160 Speaker 2: and the game ends. So I think Daniels probably says, 290 00:13:17,200 --> 00:13:18,480 Speaker 2: that's me. We win the game. 291 00:13:19,240 --> 00:13:21,280 Speaker 3: And they were going up, yeah, going up against one 292 00:13:21,320 --> 00:13:24,240 Speaker 3: of the best defenses in the NFL. The Commanders had 293 00:13:24,280 --> 00:13:27,719 Speaker 3: thirty first downs in that game. Yeah, thirty, Like they 294 00:13:27,800 --> 00:13:30,200 Speaker 3: actually looked like a professional outfit. And that was with 295 00:13:30,520 --> 00:13:35,240 Speaker 3: Marcus Mariota. Excuse me, Mariota and quarterback. 296 00:13:36,440 --> 00:13:39,120 Speaker 1: So bad? Couldn't so bad? 297 00:13:39,520 --> 00:13:43,160 Speaker 2: Yeah, Chris Collins, Yeah, stop, guys, just make ske Mike 298 00:13:43,200 --> 00:13:43,800 Speaker 2: and Chris stop. 299 00:13:43,880 --> 00:13:45,480 Speaker 4: Please, we all have to watch you Onceday night. 300 00:13:45,520 --> 00:13:48,079 Speaker 2: Please, just I implore you stop doing what you're doing 301 00:13:48,080 --> 00:13:50,520 Speaker 2: with these broadcast pronunciation pronunciations. 302 00:13:50,760 --> 00:13:53,160 Speaker 1: Anyways, number three, play for you. Where are we going? 303 00:13:54,040 --> 00:13:58,880 Speaker 3: Let's go to the NFL's oldest rivalry, Matt Bears Packers, 304 00:13:59,000 --> 00:14:01,280 Speaker 3: and let me lay it friend on you. This one 305 00:14:01,360 --> 00:14:05,240 Speaker 3: is a oh, this is a personal trend. I moved 306 00:14:05,240 --> 00:14:08,200 Speaker 3: to Chicago in the spring of nineteen ninety seven as 307 00:14:08,240 --> 00:14:11,160 Speaker 3: a young go getter, and I've lived in the city 308 00:14:11,200 --> 00:14:13,679 Speaker 3: of Chicago or in the Chicago suburbs for the vast 309 00:14:13,720 --> 00:14:18,120 Speaker 3: majority of my adult life. Since moving to Chicago, the 310 00:14:18,160 --> 00:14:21,080 Speaker 3: Packers have gone forty three and fourteen against the Bears. 311 00:14:21,080 --> 00:14:25,480 Speaker 3: Straight up, Wow, my friends in Wisconsin sometimes ask me 312 00:14:25,520 --> 00:14:27,400 Speaker 3: what it's like to live behind enemy lines. 313 00:14:28,080 --> 00:14:29,600 Speaker 1: Honestly, it's been pretty painless. 314 00:14:29,720 --> 00:14:31,560 Speaker 3: Bears fans, I haven't had a whole lot to chirp 315 00:14:31,600 --> 00:14:33,760 Speaker 3: about when it comes to the rivalry with the Packers. 316 00:14:33,800 --> 00:14:38,560 Speaker 3: So now, these new loop Bears under Ben Johnson, I 317 00:14:38,600 --> 00:14:41,120 Speaker 3: know there are a lot of data points that suggest 318 00:14:41,120 --> 00:14:43,360 Speaker 3: the Bears are nowhere near as good as their nine 319 00:14:43,400 --> 00:14:45,880 Speaker 3: to three record. And the playoffs started today, they'd be 320 00:14:45,920 --> 00:14:48,520 Speaker 3: the number one seed in the NFC. There's six games 321 00:14:48,560 --> 00:14:51,160 Speaker 3: over five hundred, and yet they're point differential for the 322 00:14:51,240 --> 00:14:55,680 Speaker 3: season is only plus six. The Bears ranked nineteenth in 323 00:14:55,760 --> 00:15:00,440 Speaker 3: total DVA. They've gone six and one in one score games. 324 00:15:01,040 --> 00:15:03,520 Speaker 3: A couple of points about the Bears. First of all, 325 00:15:03,520 --> 00:15:06,200 Speaker 3: they've played most of the season without their two best cornerbacks, 326 00:15:06,320 --> 00:15:07,720 Speaker 3: Jalen Johnson and Kyler Gordon. 327 00:15:07,760 --> 00:15:08,880 Speaker 1: Those guys are back now. 328 00:15:09,320 --> 00:15:11,280 Speaker 3: The Bears have also been dealing with a bunch of 329 00:15:11,360 --> 00:15:14,120 Speaker 3: injuries at linebacker. It's possible they could get a couple 330 00:15:14,200 --> 00:15:17,320 Speaker 3: of those guys back for this game and the Bears 331 00:15:17,400 --> 00:15:21,200 Speaker 3: offensive line has been playing so well. These guys are 332 00:15:21,240 --> 00:15:24,680 Speaker 3: doing work. Matt Caleb Williams took a league high sixty 333 00:15:24,720 --> 00:15:27,600 Speaker 3: eight sacks last year. This year, he's only been sacked 334 00:15:27,640 --> 00:15:31,720 Speaker 3: nineteen times in twelve games, nine times in his last 335 00:15:31,760 --> 00:15:35,480 Speaker 3: seven games, barely getting sacked once a game. And the 336 00:15:35,480 --> 00:15:37,600 Speaker 3: Bears are second in the league in rushing yardage, just 337 00:15:37,640 --> 00:15:40,960 Speaker 3: twenty two yards behind the league leading Bills. Since their 338 00:15:41,000 --> 00:15:43,240 Speaker 3: Week five by the Bears have averaged one hundred and 339 00:15:43,360 --> 00:15:46,600 Speaker 3: seventy nine point six rushing yards per game, and they've 340 00:15:46,640 --> 00:15:48,440 Speaker 3: run for at least one hundred and forty yards in 341 00:15:48,480 --> 00:15:52,040 Speaker 3: all but two of those eight games. So we know 342 00:15:52,080 --> 00:15:54,640 Speaker 3: the Packers tend to play to the level of their opponents. 343 00:15:54,960 --> 00:15:56,880 Speaker 3: We've seen them rise to the challenge and beat the 344 00:15:56,920 --> 00:15:59,480 Speaker 3: Lions twice. We've seen them lose to the Panthers and 345 00:15:59,520 --> 00:16:03,280 Speaker 3: Browns and barely beat the Cardinals. I think the Bears 346 00:16:03,320 --> 00:16:06,360 Speaker 3: are pretty legit. They're kind of like the Jaguars in 347 00:16:06,400 --> 00:16:09,000 Speaker 3: the NFC, a team that was doing it with smoke 348 00:16:09,160 --> 00:16:12,040 Speaker 3: and mirrors and a big turnover differential early in the 349 00:16:12,120 --> 00:16:15,240 Speaker 3: year and since they've kind of actually grown into their 350 00:16:15,280 --> 00:16:19,000 Speaker 3: shoes a little bit and Matt as a Packers fan 351 00:16:19,320 --> 00:16:22,120 Speaker 3: living in Illinois. Pains me to say all of this, 352 00:16:22,240 --> 00:16:24,440 Speaker 3: but I gotta call them like I see them. I 353 00:16:24,480 --> 00:16:26,640 Speaker 3: think the Packers should be favored by four and a 354 00:16:26,680 --> 00:16:29,200 Speaker 3: half or five, not by six and a half. I 355 00:16:29,200 --> 00:16:31,440 Speaker 3: think there's betting value on the Bears, but it seems 356 00:16:31,480 --> 00:16:34,320 Speaker 3: like betters like the Packers here, So I'm I'm maybe 357 00:16:34,320 --> 00:16:36,720 Speaker 3: holding off another day to see if this line runs 358 00:16:36,800 --> 00:16:37,360 Speaker 3: up to seven. 359 00:16:38,760 --> 00:16:39,840 Speaker 1: That's going to be your ceiling. 360 00:16:39,920 --> 00:16:41,880 Speaker 4: Yeah, yeah, seven's going to be your ceiling. 361 00:16:42,160 --> 00:16:42,440 Speaker 1: It is. 362 00:16:42,680 --> 00:16:44,800 Speaker 3: But I would take them at six and a half. 363 00:16:44,880 --> 00:16:46,880 Speaker 3: If I don't get seven, I'm good with six and 364 00:16:46,920 --> 00:16:47,280 Speaker 3: a half. 365 00:16:47,520 --> 00:16:47,760 Speaker 1: Yeah. 366 00:16:47,800 --> 00:16:51,280 Speaker 2: I think there's going to be a lot of disagreements 367 00:16:51,320 --> 00:16:52,920 Speaker 2: in the market, and that's I think it's going to 368 00:16:53,000 --> 00:16:55,600 Speaker 2: keep this number at below seven five and a half 369 00:16:55,680 --> 00:16:58,360 Speaker 2: at open. First move was to the Packers to make 370 00:16:58,440 --> 00:17:01,320 Speaker 2: go six and a half, and it's pretty much rock 371 00:17:01,520 --> 00:17:03,640 Speaker 2: solid sex six and a half across the country, across 372 00:17:03,640 --> 00:17:07,400 Speaker 2: the world, so we don't have right now a lot 373 00:17:07,400 --> 00:17:09,600 Speaker 2: of discrepancy in the market. I do think you're gonna 374 00:17:09,600 --> 00:17:13,120 Speaker 2: see a lot of people arguing on either side all 375 00:17:13,160 --> 00:17:15,800 Speaker 2: week long because it's Lambeau. 376 00:17:16,520 --> 00:17:17,280 Speaker 1: Are we dealing. 377 00:17:17,480 --> 00:17:21,159 Speaker 2: Are we selling high on the Bears. I'm done fading 378 00:17:21,200 --> 00:17:23,720 Speaker 2: the Bears. Okay, I bet against them on Black Friday? 379 00:17:24,920 --> 00:17:27,879 Speaker 2: Was that the Eagles or was that the Bears? 380 00:17:27,960 --> 00:17:28,439 Speaker 1: I don't know. 381 00:17:28,480 --> 00:17:31,119 Speaker 2: I don't care. I'm not gonna bet against them. This 382 00:17:31,160 --> 00:17:33,919 Speaker 2: is Chicago or nothing for me. I wore this in 383 00:17:34,000 --> 00:17:37,439 Speaker 2: solidarity for you to say, here you go, I'm not 384 00:17:37,560 --> 00:17:39,960 Speaker 2: betting the Bears yet, but you took it. 385 00:17:40,080 --> 00:17:40,440 Speaker 1: You are. 386 00:17:40,720 --> 00:17:42,560 Speaker 2: So it makes me feel better to tell about telling 387 00:17:42,600 --> 00:17:45,640 Speaker 2: you that, Like I'm not trusting Matt Lafleur here late 388 00:17:45,680 --> 00:17:48,560 Speaker 2: in the year, another one of these coaches you simply 389 00:17:48,600 --> 00:17:52,600 Speaker 2: cannot trust when the weather, when the calendar turns to December, 390 00:17:53,119 --> 00:17:55,800 Speaker 2: it's just really hard. I mean, the Bears are nine 391 00:17:55,840 --> 00:17:58,160 Speaker 2: and three. I didn't think they'd be nine and three. 392 00:17:58,440 --> 00:18:00,880 Speaker 2: I mean, this is the first time since twenty ten 393 00:18:00,880 --> 00:18:04,920 Speaker 2: to twenty eleven where both teams have hit this late 394 00:18:05,000 --> 00:18:07,840 Speaker 2: in the year with a win percentage of sixty six 395 00:18:07,840 --> 00:18:08,840 Speaker 2: percent or higher. 396 00:18:09,040 --> 00:18:11,439 Speaker 4: Like that is that is wild on this? 397 00:18:11,840 --> 00:18:15,320 Speaker 3: So yeah, you don't get many cold weather games where 398 00:18:15,320 --> 00:18:17,720 Speaker 3: these means something. I'm thinking back to, you know, the 399 00:18:17,840 --> 00:18:21,320 Speaker 3: NFC Championship game with Jay Cutler losing Tom Packers. 400 00:18:21,520 --> 00:18:23,360 Speaker 1: It's been a while, although. 401 00:18:23,040 --> 00:18:25,439 Speaker 3: We are going to get at least a handful of 402 00:18:25,560 --> 00:18:28,400 Speaker 3: viewers watching the show Matt and thinking of themselves, You're 403 00:18:28,400 --> 00:18:32,399 Speaker 3: gonna bet against Jordan Love during Toyota than are you thinking? 404 00:18:33,560 --> 00:18:36,280 Speaker 2: I mean, look at home, Matt laflor he wins okay, 405 00:18:36,400 --> 00:18:39,160 Speaker 2: ten and one straight up in December and on ten 406 00:18:39,240 --> 00:18:41,760 Speaker 2: days prep La floor is four and oh straight up 407 00:18:42,000 --> 00:18:45,080 Speaker 2: in December and six and one straight up in December 408 00:18:45,400 --> 00:18:47,879 Speaker 2: or later. He's just not that great against the number. 409 00:18:48,280 --> 00:18:52,360 Speaker 2: He's thirteen ten and one ats in December, so he's 410 00:18:52,440 --> 00:18:54,800 Speaker 2: just he wins though, like you talk about just a win, 411 00:18:55,320 --> 00:18:57,800 Speaker 2: the Packers winning this game. Yes, I can see the 412 00:18:57,840 --> 00:19:02,640 Speaker 2: Packers winning this game covering. I don't know that that's 413 00:19:02,680 --> 00:19:04,840 Speaker 2: my issue with this. It's the number at six and 414 00:19:04,880 --> 00:19:07,439 Speaker 2: a half being as high as it is. It feels 415 00:19:07,520 --> 00:19:11,199 Speaker 2: heavy on Tuesday here today, it feels heavy for the 416 00:19:11,240 --> 00:19:11,960 Speaker 2: Packers at. 417 00:19:11,800 --> 00:19:14,800 Speaker 3: Home, and that fits how Matt Lafleur likes to play. 418 00:19:14,840 --> 00:19:17,720 Speaker 3: I mean, we saw something a little different on Thanksgiving 419 00:19:17,800 --> 00:19:19,879 Speaker 3: Day when the Packers were kind of pass heavy against 420 00:19:19,920 --> 00:19:23,880 Speaker 3: the Lions. But for the most part, Matt Lafleur sort 421 00:19:23,880 --> 00:19:26,520 Speaker 3: of wants to shorten the game and make it go quickly. 422 00:19:26,520 --> 00:19:29,360 Speaker 3: I'm not sure that's always the prudent move, but that's 423 00:19:29,440 --> 00:19:31,800 Speaker 3: kind of how he likes to coach, and so I 424 00:19:31,800 --> 00:19:35,720 Speaker 3: think that explains the discrepancy between his records straight up 425 00:19:36,160 --> 00:19:38,800 Speaker 3: at home in December and against the number. 426 00:19:39,760 --> 00:19:42,280 Speaker 2: From my final one, I am going to the Seattle 427 00:19:42,320 --> 00:19:45,760 Speaker 2: Seahawks in one of my favorite trend bets of the year. 428 00:19:45,960 --> 00:19:49,720 Speaker 2: It's Mike McDonald, it's Eastern time zone, it's Seattle, it's 429 00:19:50,400 --> 00:19:54,240 Speaker 2: a dome game in the one o'clock window. Seattle, entering 430 00:19:54,280 --> 00:19:57,600 Speaker 2: this week, have won seven games outright in the one 431 00:19:57,680 --> 00:20:00,480 Speaker 2: o'clock window, and when you put it, that's a six 432 00:20:00,520 --> 00:20:02,280 Speaker 2: and oh straight up. Since the start of last season, 433 00:20:02,720 --> 00:20:05,600 Speaker 2: Mike McDonald with the Seahawks on the road is nine 434 00:20:05,680 --> 00:20:08,800 Speaker 2: four and one against the number five to two and 435 00:20:08,960 --> 00:20:11,800 Speaker 2: one when playing on the East Coast. I don't know 436 00:20:11,880 --> 00:20:15,080 Speaker 2: why this team plays better on the East Coast under 437 00:20:15,080 --> 00:20:18,159 Speaker 2: Mike McDonald, but whatever he does to get his team ready, 438 00:20:18,560 --> 00:20:21,719 Speaker 2: they're actually worse at home under Mike McDonald than they 439 00:20:21,760 --> 00:20:23,840 Speaker 2: are on the road. I know the number is heavy, 440 00:20:24,000 --> 00:20:26,040 Speaker 2: I know seven is a big number. I don't care 441 00:20:26,440 --> 00:20:30,160 Speaker 2: Sam Donald's playing so well as a favorite of six 442 00:20:30,200 --> 00:20:34,040 Speaker 2: points or more in the NFL as a starter. Get 443 00:20:34,040 --> 00:20:36,640 Speaker 2: this stat he's ten and oh straight up, and he's 444 00:20:36,720 --> 00:20:40,320 Speaker 2: eight and two against the spread. When the books think 445 00:20:40,359 --> 00:20:42,840 Speaker 2: that Sam Donald and company are going to score and 446 00:20:42,880 --> 00:20:46,600 Speaker 2: going to win, they win, they cover. I like this 447 00:20:46,720 --> 00:20:49,480 Speaker 2: Seattle team, but on the road on the East Coast 448 00:20:49,640 --> 00:20:51,680 Speaker 2: against a team like the Falcons, I love them. 449 00:20:51,920 --> 00:20:54,480 Speaker 4: I'll lay the seven points with Seattle on the road 450 00:20:54,520 --> 00:20:55,480 Speaker 4: as a road favorite. 451 00:20:55,720 --> 00:20:57,679 Speaker 3: You have got me interested in this one, Matt. This 452 00:20:57,840 --> 00:21:01,199 Speaker 3: was not initially on my radar. I certainly wasn't interested 453 00:21:01,200 --> 00:21:04,080 Speaker 3: in betting the Falcons with Kirk Cousins going up against 454 00:21:04,080 --> 00:21:07,600 Speaker 3: the Seattle defense. No, that's a pretty epic mismatch, But 455 00:21:08,960 --> 00:21:10,919 Speaker 3: it seems like a lot of points for a road favorite, 456 00:21:11,000 --> 00:21:14,880 Speaker 3: especially with a team literally going, you know, about as 457 00:21:14,880 --> 00:21:17,640 Speaker 3: far as you can to play this game cross country. 458 00:21:18,119 --> 00:21:22,560 Speaker 3: That trend is fascinating. Obviously, Mike McDonald is doing something 459 00:21:22,600 --> 00:21:26,080 Speaker 3: to make his players view these as business trips and they're. 460 00:21:25,840 --> 00:21:26,800 Speaker 1: Having a lot of success. 461 00:21:26,880 --> 00:21:30,280 Speaker 3: So you have me very interested in this because I 462 00:21:30,320 --> 00:21:33,400 Speaker 3: do think Seattle is the far superior team here. 463 00:21:35,000 --> 00:21:36,879 Speaker 1: Kirk Cousins at quarterback. 464 00:21:36,520 --> 00:21:37,760 Speaker 4: I would love six and a half. 465 00:21:37,880 --> 00:21:39,639 Speaker 2: I just think we're going to I think this number 466 00:21:39,680 --> 00:21:41,919 Speaker 2: is probably going to stay at seven all week. Some 467 00:21:41,960 --> 00:21:43,680 Speaker 2: books opened up at seven and a half, Some books 468 00:21:43,680 --> 00:21:45,680 Speaker 2: open at seven, some books are still at seven and 469 00:21:45,760 --> 00:21:46,159 Speaker 2: a half. 470 00:21:46,520 --> 00:21:48,119 Speaker 1: Find the seven, Take the seven. 471 00:21:48,160 --> 00:21:50,360 Speaker 2: I don't like the hook there, but I do think 472 00:21:50,359 --> 00:21:52,919 Speaker 2: Seattle's going to lay a hurting on the Falcons. And 473 00:21:52,960 --> 00:21:55,399 Speaker 2: I don't like Kirk Cousins in this offense at all? 474 00:21:56,119 --> 00:21:56,680 Speaker 1: Do you? 475 00:21:56,920 --> 00:21:59,639 Speaker 3: And it doesn't help that the Falcons a couple of 476 00:21:59,640 --> 00:22:02,800 Speaker 3: weeks lost, or maybe it was just last week Billy 477 00:22:02,840 --> 00:22:07,520 Speaker 3: Bowman their their slot corner tors Achilles. Not what you 478 00:22:07,560 --> 00:22:09,719 Speaker 3: want when you have to face JSN. 479 00:22:09,880 --> 00:22:11,800 Speaker 1: Best receiver in the game. Yeah. 480 00:22:11,880 --> 00:22:14,680 Speaker 3: And does it matter to you if Drake London is 481 00:22:14,720 --> 00:22:16,320 Speaker 3: able to play for the Falcons this week? 482 00:22:16,440 --> 00:22:18,760 Speaker 4: Yeah, no, it doesn't matter. 483 00:22:18,800 --> 00:22:21,959 Speaker 2: I mean it's great for fantasy or prop bets or 484 00:22:22,080 --> 00:22:23,679 Speaker 2: the over maybe if you want to go that with 485 00:22:23,720 --> 00:22:26,359 Speaker 2: having London available, It doesn't change who I think wins 486 00:22:26,400 --> 00:22:28,480 Speaker 2: the game. I think Sam Darnold's going to put up 487 00:22:28,480 --> 00:22:30,560 Speaker 2: a big number against it. Look that the Falcons defense 488 00:22:30,600 --> 00:22:33,280 Speaker 2: has been opportunistic. But I like this team a lot. 489 00:22:33,320 --> 00:22:36,320 Speaker 2: For Seattle. I mean, I have a fourteen to one 490 00:22:36,320 --> 00:22:40,080 Speaker 2: ticket on the Seahawks to win the Super Bowl, and 491 00:22:40,119 --> 00:22:43,640 Speaker 2: now it's four to one, so I like it a lot. 492 00:22:43,800 --> 00:22:46,080 Speaker 2: As to what this team looks like right now and 493 00:22:46,160 --> 00:22:48,480 Speaker 2: going on the road, I don't think bothers them. One 494 00:22:48,560 --> 00:22:51,200 Speaker 2: bip guys before we give you the survivor picks. This 495 00:22:51,440 --> 00:22:53,480 Speaker 2: broadcast is being brought to you by our friends at 496 00:22:53,560 --> 00:22:56,440 Speaker 2: hard Rock Bet. It is a big week for hard 497 00:22:56,520 --> 00:22:59,200 Speaker 2: Rock Bet. Hard Rock Bet now is live in Michigan. 498 00:23:00,200 --> 00:23:02,920 Speaker 2: In place your first five dollars sports bet. 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And I don't know how 524 00:24:18,280 --> 00:24:20,600 Speaker 2: many people are left in your survivor pool, but it 525 00:24:20,640 --> 00:24:21,480 Speaker 2: can't be a ton. 526 00:24:21,800 --> 00:24:23,440 Speaker 4: You gotta have a short number. 527 00:24:24,480 --> 00:24:25,120 Speaker 1: It. 528 00:24:25,119 --> 00:24:28,080 Speaker 2: It feels like it's a hard thing to recommend pat 529 00:24:28,119 --> 00:24:30,480 Speaker 2: just because we don't know what people have available. But 530 00:24:31,040 --> 00:24:33,359 Speaker 2: if they have these teams available, who do you like 531 00:24:33,400 --> 00:24:34,480 Speaker 2: to get a w this week? 532 00:24:36,160 --> 00:24:40,359 Speaker 3: I know how you feel about betting divisional games, but 533 00:24:40,440 --> 00:24:44,360 Speaker 3: obviously beggars can't be choosers this deep into the season. 534 00:24:44,400 --> 00:24:47,959 Speaker 3: So I think I maybe feel best about Buccaneers against 535 00:24:47,960 --> 00:24:51,280 Speaker 3: the Saints, even though the Bucks offense hasn't been humming 536 00:24:51,680 --> 00:24:53,520 Speaker 3: of late. I think it really helps that they got 537 00:24:53,520 --> 00:24:55,560 Speaker 3: Bucky Irving back last week, and I think they're just 538 00:24:56,880 --> 00:24:59,920 Speaker 3: think they're just gonna outclass the Saints at home at home. 539 00:25:00,200 --> 00:25:03,680 Speaker 1: Yep, yeah, I agree, Yeah, but no mind and yeah, 540 00:25:03,760 --> 00:25:07,000 Speaker 1: I mean other plays that you could consider. 541 00:25:07,200 --> 00:25:10,399 Speaker 3: I mean, certainly the Rams going on the road like 542 00:25:10,440 --> 00:25:15,040 Speaker 3: they're another one betting a divisional road Yeah. 543 00:25:15,200 --> 00:25:20,040 Speaker 1: Favorite, Yeah, that's a little tough. I do like the Broncos. 544 00:25:20,080 --> 00:25:22,400 Speaker 2: I mean, it's it's same conversation with the Broncos right 545 00:25:22,520 --> 00:25:23,360 Speaker 2: against the Raiders. 546 00:25:24,080 --> 00:25:25,680 Speaker 4: It's the same number. You know, it's a big number. 547 00:25:25,760 --> 00:25:26,280 Speaker 4: Rams or eight. 548 00:25:26,359 --> 00:25:29,600 Speaker 2: Broncos are eight. They're big numbers. But I think the 549 00:25:29,640 --> 00:25:32,520 Speaker 2: Cardinals are playing harder than the Raiders are. So I 550 00:25:32,520 --> 00:25:34,359 Speaker 2: think if you're going to be inclined to bet a 551 00:25:34,400 --> 00:25:37,159 Speaker 2: divisional game with a big road favorite, I would take 552 00:25:37,200 --> 00:25:40,200 Speaker 2: the Broncos if you have them available. Most people will 553 00:25:40,240 --> 00:25:44,720 Speaker 2: not have Denver the Rams, the Ravens. Like the problem 554 00:25:44,720 --> 00:25:47,560 Speaker 2: for anybody to you know, in Survivor is trying to 555 00:25:47,560 --> 00:25:50,800 Speaker 2: find which bad team do you have to take to win? 556 00:25:51,480 --> 00:25:55,000 Speaker 2: And I think if you haven't taken the Texans, maybe 557 00:25:55,040 --> 00:25:58,840 Speaker 2: you roll with the Texans. If you haven't taken a 558 00:25:58,920 --> 00:26:02,560 Speaker 2: complete like you know, Jacksonville probably hasn't been on people's. 559 00:26:02,280 --> 00:26:03,560 Speaker 4: Radar screens all that much. 560 00:26:03,840 --> 00:26:06,920 Speaker 2: You could take Jacksonville potentially on that over the Colts. 561 00:26:06,920 --> 00:26:08,919 Speaker 2: But no matter who you play this week, you're not 562 00:26:08,960 --> 00:26:10,840 Speaker 2: going to be running to the window excited about who 563 00:26:10,840 --> 00:26:11,080 Speaker 2: you have. 564 00:26:11,680 --> 00:26:14,119 Speaker 3: What if you're really down to the felt Matt, you've 565 00:26:14,800 --> 00:26:17,919 Speaker 3: used up all these teams with winning records. Could you 566 00:26:17,960 --> 00:26:20,320 Speaker 3: take the Browns at home against the Titans? 567 00:26:20,720 --> 00:26:25,440 Speaker 2: Yes, yes you can. The question is I don't. I'm 568 00:26:25,480 --> 00:26:30,520 Speaker 2: really worried about that locker room in Cleveland. This Shador 569 00:26:30,600 --> 00:26:34,960 Speaker 2: Sanders thing is starting to leak. And if the team 570 00:26:35,000 --> 00:26:37,880 Speaker 2: wants to play for Dylan Gabriel and they don't want 571 00:26:37,920 --> 00:26:42,199 Speaker 2: to play for Ard shidor Sanders, and Dylan Gabriel is 572 00:26:42,240 --> 00:26:45,639 Speaker 2: cleared to play if he gets his concussion protocol cleared, 573 00:26:46,440 --> 00:26:51,120 Speaker 2: and the coaching staff puts Shador in, I'm nervous. 574 00:26:51,600 --> 00:26:52,960 Speaker 1: That's my only worry about Cleveland. 575 00:26:52,960 --> 00:26:55,439 Speaker 2: They're not playing for anything, so you give them a 576 00:26:55,480 --> 00:26:58,280 Speaker 2: reason not to be excited or motivated or focused. 577 00:26:59,080 --> 00:27:00,600 Speaker 4: That's my worry about that game. 578 00:27:01,080 --> 00:27:01,560 Speaker 1: I get it. 579 00:27:01,720 --> 00:27:03,800 Speaker 3: That said, I do think Chadour is a better quarterback 580 00:27:03,840 --> 00:27:08,119 Speaker 3: than Dylan Gabriel has agreed. But yeah, and it's the 581 00:27:08,200 --> 00:27:08,600 Speaker 3: other thing. 582 00:27:08,680 --> 00:27:08,960 Speaker 1: I mean. 583 00:27:10,119 --> 00:27:14,040 Speaker 3: Even though I mistakenly liked the Browns against the forty 584 00:27:14,119 --> 00:27:15,920 Speaker 3: nine ers in part because the weather was going to 585 00:27:15,960 --> 00:27:17,720 Speaker 3: be bad and I thought the Browns would be better 586 00:27:17,760 --> 00:27:21,080 Speaker 3: cut out for that turnout, the weather wasn't that inclined. 587 00:27:21,200 --> 00:27:22,320 Speaker 1: I teased it and I lost. 588 00:27:22,840 --> 00:27:25,040 Speaker 4: Yeah, I gave the Browns eleven and a half and 589 00:27:25,080 --> 00:27:26,440 Speaker 4: I lost, and I. 590 00:27:26,960 --> 00:27:29,359 Speaker 3: You know, barely hit on the under. It just snuck 591 00:27:29,440 --> 00:27:33,440 Speaker 3: under thirty five points. And the weather is not supposed 592 00:27:33,480 --> 00:27:35,879 Speaker 3: to be that bad this weekend in Cleveland. It's supposed 593 00:27:35,920 --> 00:27:38,679 Speaker 3: to be pretty seasonal. I'm not sure if that's a 594 00:27:38,720 --> 00:27:41,240 Speaker 3: good thing or bad thing for the Browns. I think 595 00:27:41,240 --> 00:27:44,040 Speaker 3: if you're in a pinch, you could take them. That's 596 00:27:44,080 --> 00:27:47,320 Speaker 3: that's the one option that most of the remaining survivor 597 00:27:47,359 --> 00:27:49,760 Speaker 3: people would probably have available to them. I doubt they've 598 00:27:49,880 --> 00:27:52,000 Speaker 3: used the Browns anywhere else to this point. 599 00:27:52,960 --> 00:27:55,160 Speaker 2: Guys, track your bets and get line alerts to your 600 00:27:55,160 --> 00:27:57,880 Speaker 2: phone by downloading the Betting Broughs app with sportsbooks Sink 601 00:27:57,880 --> 00:28:00,680 Speaker 2: automatically track your bets across all major sportsbook in one spot. 602 00:28:00,720 --> 00:28:04,200 Speaker 2: Easily montter your bet performance by sport and bet type, 603 00:28:04,320 --> 00:28:06,000 Speaker 2: game picks, props, and parlays. 604 00:28:06,280 --> 00:28:09,560 Speaker 4: Create custom betting systems if I'm winning trends in profitable opportunities. 605 00:28:09,600 --> 00:28:11,960 Speaker 2: New users can get six months of Betting Pros Premium 606 00:28:11,960 --> 00:28:14,840 Speaker 2: for free with your first deposit in wager and one 607 00:28:14,840 --> 00:28:18,960 Speaker 2: of our partners sportsbooks loan more at Bettingpros dot com 608 00:28:19,000 --> 00:28:21,560 Speaker 2: slash Premium. All right, let's go to a lock it in? 609 00:28:21,880 --> 00:28:24,240 Speaker 2: What bet would you make? Right here on a Tuesday 610 00:28:24,320 --> 00:28:25,600 Speaker 2: for Week fourteen. 611 00:28:26,040 --> 00:28:29,240 Speaker 3: Colts Jaguars under forty eight and a half points. And 612 00:28:30,160 --> 00:28:32,920 Speaker 3: we've already talked a lot about this Colts Jaguars game 613 00:28:32,960 --> 00:28:35,360 Speaker 3: and how Daniel Jones is playing hurt for the Colts, 614 00:28:35,920 --> 00:28:38,160 Speaker 3: and I think the Jaguars run defense is good enough 615 00:28:38,160 --> 00:28:42,160 Speaker 3: to at least slow down Jonathan Taylor. Jaguars offense ranks 616 00:28:42,160 --> 00:28:45,800 Speaker 3: twenty first in DVA, the Colts defense ranks thirteenth in DVA, 617 00:28:46,320 --> 00:28:48,320 Speaker 3: So I don't think Trevor Lawrence is really going to 618 00:28:48,360 --> 00:28:50,600 Speaker 3: be lighting up the Colts defense, even though the Colts 619 00:28:50,640 --> 00:28:53,200 Speaker 3: are going to be playing without Sauce Gardner. I just 620 00:28:53,280 --> 00:28:55,680 Speaker 3: don't see these teams racing up and down the field, Matt, 621 00:28:55,960 --> 00:28:59,000 Speaker 3: especially not with Daniel Jones playing in a compromise state 622 00:28:59,160 --> 00:29:02,520 Speaker 3: with that fractured I like the under and I want 623 00:29:02,520 --> 00:29:05,680 Speaker 3: to pounce on it now while it's so overinflated. But 624 00:29:05,720 --> 00:29:08,640 Speaker 3: then again, maybe I should have switched the over under 625 00:29:08,720 --> 00:29:11,400 Speaker 3: in this game with the UH with the line on 626 00:29:11,440 --> 00:29:13,840 Speaker 3: the Jaguars two and a half, because, as you mentioned, 627 00:29:13,840 --> 00:29:15,000 Speaker 3: that's probably going down to. 628 00:29:16,520 --> 00:29:19,680 Speaker 2: For me, I am going to take the Cowboys at 629 00:29:19,680 --> 00:29:22,880 Speaker 2: plus three and a half. It's a number that's going 630 00:29:22,960 --> 00:29:25,400 Speaker 2: to come down to three if you can find it, 631 00:29:25,480 --> 00:29:27,560 Speaker 2: go and search it. The South Point here in Vegas 632 00:29:27,800 --> 00:29:29,840 Speaker 2: has a three and a half. There's others as well 633 00:29:29,840 --> 00:29:31,800 Speaker 2: that are at three and a half, but it's coming 634 00:29:31,840 --> 00:29:33,080 Speaker 2: down opened up at five. 635 00:29:33,600 --> 00:29:34,120 Speaker 4: It's three. 636 00:29:34,520 --> 00:29:35,960 Speaker 2: That feels like that's going to be the number for 637 00:29:36,040 --> 00:29:39,560 Speaker 2: Thursday night, Cowboys on the road against the Lions. I 638 00:29:39,640 --> 00:29:42,200 Speaker 2: know everyone is saying, you're gonna bet against the Lions 639 00:29:42,240 --> 00:29:44,200 Speaker 2: at home in a must win playoff game. 640 00:29:44,240 --> 00:29:45,280 Speaker 4: That's really dangerous. 641 00:29:45,480 --> 00:29:47,840 Speaker 2: Look, the Cowboys just beat the Eagles and the Chiefs 642 00:29:48,000 --> 00:29:50,720 Speaker 2: in back to back weeks. They are the hottest team 643 00:29:50,720 --> 00:29:54,200 Speaker 2: in football. They have the most momentum going into this game. 644 00:29:54,440 --> 00:29:57,080 Speaker 2: They have a defense, they have an offense that can 645 00:29:57,120 --> 00:30:01,200 Speaker 2: score on anybody. It is a primetime game for Dak Prescott. 646 00:30:01,280 --> 00:30:04,320 Speaker 2: I love betting on Dak Prescott in primetime games. This 647 00:30:04,400 --> 00:30:07,600 Speaker 2: guy just simply wins when the lights are the brightest. 648 00:30:07,960 --> 00:30:10,680 Speaker 2: Dallas has a chance here to really put a lot 649 00:30:10,720 --> 00:30:14,000 Speaker 2: of pressure on the Eagles, who play the Chargers on 650 00:30:14,080 --> 00:30:17,760 Speaker 2: Monday Night Football. If Dallas wins and a loss comes 651 00:30:17,800 --> 00:30:20,160 Speaker 2: from the Eagles, all of a sudden, we got a 652 00:30:20,240 --> 00:30:23,520 Speaker 2: chance here. Okay, the Cowboys are five and one against 653 00:30:23,520 --> 00:30:26,160 Speaker 2: the spread as underdogs this season. 654 00:30:26,480 --> 00:30:29,000 Speaker 4: They're better as a dog than they are as a favorite. 655 00:30:29,320 --> 00:30:31,120 Speaker 2: Give me the Cowboys plus three and a half on 656 00:30:31,160 --> 00:30:32,960 Speaker 2: the road against the Lions on Thursday night. 657 00:30:33,640 --> 00:30:35,640 Speaker 3: The Lions are probably not going to have Aman Ross 658 00:30:35,720 --> 00:30:39,160 Speaker 3: Saint Brown, and the Cowboys run defense has quietly been 659 00:30:39,400 --> 00:30:41,080 Speaker 3: very good over the last three weeks. 660 00:30:41,840 --> 00:30:43,840 Speaker 4: Maybe Jerry doesn't know what he's doing. I don't know, 661 00:30:44,760 --> 00:30:45,320 Speaker 4: Maybe he does. 662 00:30:45,400 --> 00:30:48,240 Speaker 1: Who knows, Well, we really have to admit that. 663 00:30:48,360 --> 00:30:50,680 Speaker 2: He just lucked his way into it. He just fell 664 00:30:51,000 --> 00:30:54,200 Speaker 2: into this run defense with two amazing trades, and the 665 00:30:54,320 --> 00:30:57,200 Speaker 2: Jets were stupid enough to give him a three time 666 00:30:57,320 --> 00:31:00,880 Speaker 2: All Pro defensive tackle, so you know, ends up changing everything. 667 00:31:00,880 --> 00:31:03,080 Speaker 2: It's amazing when you get good players playing run defense, right, 668 00:31:03,240 --> 00:31:06,880 Speaker 2: like all amazing, Like you got amazing run stopping defensive lineman. 669 00:31:06,960 --> 00:31:08,800 Speaker 2: It actually helps your defense out and everybody else can 670 00:31:08,880 --> 00:31:10,880 Speaker 2: play better. And you know, draw Bland and go back 671 00:31:10,880 --> 00:31:12,800 Speaker 2: to playing what he did with a secondary and whatnot, 672 00:31:12,840 --> 00:31:15,880 Speaker 2: so we know they can score and this Lions defense, 673 00:31:16,640 --> 00:31:19,360 Speaker 2: everyone's gonna run with the narrative of Jared Goff and 674 00:31:20,280 --> 00:31:22,720 Speaker 2: Dan Campbell at home, bet the over. 675 00:31:22,880 --> 00:31:24,240 Speaker 1: It's not horrible played about the over. 676 00:31:24,280 --> 00:31:25,800 Speaker 4: I think most people are gonna say bet the over. 677 00:31:26,160 --> 00:31:29,280 Speaker 2: But given the fact that the Lions offense has not 678 00:31:29,320 --> 00:31:32,239 Speaker 2: looked like the Lions offense, Like, let's be frankier. This 679 00:31:32,320 --> 00:31:35,320 Speaker 2: offense is someone anemic losing at home in their last 680 00:31:35,320 --> 00:31:36,160 Speaker 2: game to the Giants. 681 00:31:36,240 --> 00:31:39,800 Speaker 4: It's like, what are we doing? Like this is not good? 682 00:31:40,160 --> 00:31:42,200 Speaker 3: What a fun Thursday night game? I mean, this is 683 00:31:42,440 --> 00:31:46,280 Speaker 3: major playoff implications. This is a good old fashioned pro 684 00:31:46,320 --> 00:31:49,360 Speaker 3: wrastling loser. Leaves town match because I don't think whoever 685 00:31:49,400 --> 00:31:51,160 Speaker 3: loses this game is making the playoffs. 686 00:31:51,280 --> 00:31:55,040 Speaker 2: Agreed, one hundred percent, Completely agree, guys. One more reminder 687 00:31:55,040 --> 00:31:57,360 Speaker 2: that you can score six months of Betting Pros Premium 688 00:31:57,360 --> 00:31:59,600 Speaker 2: for free. Just make a deposit and place your wager 689 00:31:59,640 --> 00:32:02,080 Speaker 2: at a part in a sportsbook. Premium gives you access 690 00:32:02,080 --> 00:32:05,040 Speaker 2: to sharp ai, the betting systems, the prop bet cheat sheet, 691 00:32:05,280 --> 00:32:07,440 Speaker 2: and the same game parlay builder, all the tools you 692 00:32:07,480 --> 00:32:09,960 Speaker 2: need to bet smarter. Claim your upgrade now by going 693 00:32:09,960 --> 00:32:15,240 Speaker 2: to Bettingpros dot com Slash Premium. It's week fourteen as 694 00:32:15,240 --> 00:32:18,560 Speaker 2: we wrap here, pat what game are you going to 695 00:32:18,600 --> 00:32:20,600 Speaker 2: be watching the closest in week fourteen? 696 00:32:20,680 --> 00:32:23,400 Speaker 1: What is your attention? I mean, we just talked about that. 697 00:32:25,400 --> 00:32:28,200 Speaker 3: Lions Cowboys game that is going to be a fascinating one. 698 00:32:28,360 --> 00:32:34,240 Speaker 3: I'm really Obviously Jaguars Colts has major playoff implications, so 699 00:32:34,360 --> 00:32:38,600 Speaker 3: does Chiefs Texans, and of course Bears Packers is going 700 00:32:38,600 --> 00:32:42,560 Speaker 3: to have my full attention because you know they play 701 00:32:42,600 --> 00:32:44,440 Speaker 3: each other twice in the next three weeks and those 702 00:32:44,440 --> 00:32:48,280 Speaker 3: games are going to decide the NFC North appears for me. 703 00:32:48,640 --> 00:32:52,560 Speaker 2: Can Joe Burrow do the Patriots a huge favor Oh, 704 00:32:52,840 --> 00:32:56,320 Speaker 2: can Joe Burrow go on the road and beat the 705 00:32:56,360 --> 00:32:59,800 Speaker 2: Buffalo Bills and make the game in two weeks in 706 00:32:59,840 --> 00:33:04,480 Speaker 2: Fiborough basically irrelevant that the Patriots. It's a hat and 707 00:33:04,520 --> 00:33:08,400 Speaker 2: T shirt game already for the Patriots, but if they 708 00:33:08,480 --> 00:33:12,160 Speaker 2: were to have a Bills team that's two and a 709 00:33:12,200 --> 00:33:14,800 Speaker 2: half games behind them, the Patriots would need to win 710 00:33:14,840 --> 00:33:17,360 Speaker 2: that game to win. And some are saying, you know, 711 00:33:17,400 --> 00:33:20,240 Speaker 2: beat Cincinnati and let's set it up for the Bills. Patriots. 712 00:33:20,320 --> 00:33:22,960 Speaker 2: Pat's already beat the Bills once. Let's dethrone, you know, 713 00:33:23,080 --> 00:33:25,960 Speaker 2: Josh Allen. Let's turn the page back, Let's go back 714 00:33:26,000 --> 00:33:28,080 Speaker 2: in time. Let's show the Bills the Patriots are still 715 00:33:28,120 --> 00:33:29,800 Speaker 2: owning the division and they're gonna own it for a 716 00:33:29,920 --> 00:33:32,800 Speaker 2: very long time. So there is some fun narrative with 717 00:33:32,880 --> 00:33:35,160 Speaker 2: that game. But if the Bills were to lose to 718 00:33:35,200 --> 00:33:37,800 Speaker 2: the Bengals, that game doesn't matter. The Patriots would need 719 00:33:37,840 --> 00:33:39,719 Speaker 2: one more win the rest of the way and they 720 00:33:39,720 --> 00:33:43,560 Speaker 2: will clinch the AFC East. So I'll be watching can 721 00:33:43,640 --> 00:33:47,120 Speaker 2: Joe Burrow do it again? To Josh Allen, because you 722 00:33:47,160 --> 00:33:49,600 Speaker 2: know Burrow can't go to the playoffs, but he could 723 00:33:49,640 --> 00:33:52,040 Speaker 2: keep the Bills from going to the playoffs. 724 00:33:51,480 --> 00:33:53,880 Speaker 3: And it will be fun to see what kind of 725 00:33:53,920 --> 00:33:56,040 Speaker 3: game that is. The total right now is fifty one 726 00:33:56,120 --> 00:33:59,520 Speaker 3: and a half points, Matt and for a December game 727 00:33:59,520 --> 00:34:02,640 Speaker 3: in Buffalo Hell. But the weather forecast as of now 728 00:34:02,680 --> 00:34:06,680 Speaker 3: looks pretty mild and innocuous, so which I like because 729 00:34:06,680 --> 00:34:08,239 Speaker 3: I want to see these two teams race up and 730 00:34:08,280 --> 00:34:08,799 Speaker 3: down the field. 731 00:34:09,239 --> 00:34:11,840 Speaker 2: Should be good. Should be good. He is Pat fitz Morris. 732 00:34:11,880 --> 00:34:13,839 Speaker 2: I am Att Perralt. To make sure you guys are 733 00:34:13,880 --> 00:34:18,000 Speaker 2: subscribed to the Betting Pros YouTube channel. We're back every Tuesday, 734 00:34:18,280 --> 00:34:21,359 Speaker 2: breaking down end of the week, Week fifteen coming up next. 735 00:34:21,400 --> 00:34:22,880 Speaker 2: Hope to see you guys back here again on the 736 00:34:22,880 --> 00:34:24,000 Speaker 2: Betting Pros YouTube channel. 737 00:34:24,760 --> 00:34:27,360 Speaker 6: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you 738 00:34:27,440 --> 00:34:29,799 Speaker 6: love the show, the best freeway to support us is 739 00:34:29,800 --> 00:34:33,200 Speaker 6: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify. 740 00:34:33,520 --> 00:34:36,120 Speaker 6: Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and 741 00:34:36,239 --> 00:34:38,080 Speaker 6: Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. 742 00:34:38,480 --> 00:34:39,880 Speaker 4: Also subscribe to our YouTube 743 00:34:39,960 --> 00:34:43,520 Speaker 6: Channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros