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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast, Pay all Right, Here.

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Speaker 2: We go.

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Speaker 1: Fifteen twenty twenty five, thirty thirty five, Tony Cody five fifty.

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Speaker 3: And the chick As Block the College Football ware Stunner.

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Speaker 3: Oh my goodness, please stumble and mumble the latter of.

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Speaker 2: Turn a cutter on.

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Speaker 3: The inside, don't you be lad? Came off the field

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Speaker 3: to night By. It's not the side of the dog

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Speaker 3: in the fight. It's the side of the fight in

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Speaker 3: the dog.

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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Big Bets on Campus Podcast, brought to

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Speaker 1: you by bet MGM. This is our coup of five

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Speaker 1: deep dive on Mike Caliberty's joined by Mike Ianello. And

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Speaker 1: if we're feeling ten feet tall, it's because we're coming

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Speaker 1: off a phenomenal eight. We hit our round robin. We

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Speaker 1: hit the underdog money line parlay for the first time

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Speaker 1: in let me check my watch the sun dial like

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Speaker 1: a year and a half. So it feels pretty good

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Speaker 1: to put it all together. I know I'll give it

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Speaker 1: the game ball to you right away because you pulled

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Speaker 1: me essentially in the money line underdog parlay. You went gutsy,

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Speaker 1: you went with Charlotte and man back in Biff worked

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Speaker 1: out good, didn't it?

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Speaker 2: The Fighting Biff Pogi's Saturday Night, I was lighting up

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Speaker 2: with Stogy. My wife graduated from Alabama. He thought I

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Speaker 2: was celebrating the Tennessee win. I said, no, honey, Charlotte

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Speaker 2: just won the Fighting Stogies with Pogie's baby.

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Speaker 1: I was.

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Speaker 2: That was a huge win.

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Speaker 1: There were some really great wins on Saturday, not just ours,

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Speaker 1: but also I'm gonna jump right into our G five

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Speaker 1: Hero of the Week Jose Pizzano for me, the placekicker

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Speaker 1: for UNLV. Once you go specialist, he can't go back.

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Speaker 1: This is, you know, two weeks in a row for

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Speaker 1: me with a specialist. One thing about him not only

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Speaker 1: did go six or six for U and LV, getting

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Speaker 1: them to bowl eligibility for the first time since twenty thirteen.

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Speaker 1: An incredible you know run and by UNLV, a team

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Speaker 1: that we had been hoping for years would be able

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Speaker 1: to put it together with their sideline slot machine, that

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Speaker 1: turnover slot machine, all of it, all the vibes were great.

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Speaker 1: They just couldn't get over the hump. They finally do

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Speaker 1: it this year and Barry Otam's first year in Sin City.

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Speaker 1: I love what they've done, but they needed him to

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Speaker 1: make every kick, including the game winner. He was also

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Speaker 1: three for three on kicks over forty two yards and

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Speaker 1: this is why I love this job. I was like,

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Speaker 1: I should probably take a little deep dive on Jose Pizano.

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Speaker 1: He's the same height as I am. I'm five nine,

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Speaker 1: one hundred and seventy seven pounds on a good day.

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Speaker 1: He's five nine, two twenty. He's a big boy. And

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Speaker 1: I went back. I was like, I don't remember him

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Speaker 1: from U and LV last year, and it's with good reason.

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Speaker 1: He wasn't at UNLV last year. He was an All

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Speaker 1: American kicker at Missouri State. I was like, let me

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Speaker 1: just punch his name into YouTube. See if anything comes up. Oh,

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Speaker 1: this was one of those great moments where you're panning

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Speaker 1: for gold and someone comes up. He had a podcast

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Speaker 1: with the punter on YouTube on a weekly basis called

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Speaker 1: Bear with Us because it was the Missouri State Bears

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Speaker 1: where they just basically shoot the shit and talk about

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Speaker 1: life and what it's like to be really good specialists

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Speaker 1: at the FCS level. And I found out he's a

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Speaker 1: foodie and his number one thing to cook that all

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Speaker 1: of his roommates love deep fried caesadillas. So Jose Pizzano

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Speaker 1: a hattip to you way to get UNLV back in

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Speaker 1: the winning ways. And now they're a live dog, not

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Speaker 1: even a dog. They're the co favorites at this point

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Speaker 1: in the Mountain West. I'd love to see them ride

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Speaker 1: it all the way to the Mountain West Conference title game.

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Speaker 2: Geez, you have way too much time on your hands.

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Speaker 2: The trend Dover press conference must have been short this week.

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Speaker 2: If you're going down to UNLV kicker YouTube rabbit hole,

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Speaker 2: I love that peg. I actually I did one of

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Speaker 2: those things where I cheated and listen like three people

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Speaker 2: so I can name him off because I was gonna

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Speaker 2: be like, yeah, you know, I thought about the UNLV

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Speaker 2: kicker I thought about I mean I obviously the first

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Speaker 2: thing I thought of was the rice gummy worm guy.

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Speaker 2: I mean he might just be like a life hero,

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Speaker 2: not even the G five hero, but instead, in honor

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Speaker 2: of Halloween, I'm going with a ghost because if you

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Speaker 2: look on the Nublea website, it says Mohammed Kamara of

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Speaker 2: Colorado State leads the country in sacks with ten and

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Speaker 2: a half. But no, no, no, it's Jalen Green of

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Speaker 2: James Madison lurking in the Shadows, who actually has thirteen sacks.

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Speaker 2: He also leads the country with eighteen tackles for loss,

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Speaker 2: but you never know it because the n double A

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Speaker 2: is a joke. This dude is so good. Last week

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Speaker 2: against Marshall, he had five sacks and five and a

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Speaker 2: half tackles for loss in one of the most dominant

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Speaker 2: defensive performances I've seen in a long time. And again,

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Speaker 2: it doesn't count statistically, but if you watch that game,

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Speaker 2: which I know we both did, he was an absolute

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Speaker 2: wrecking machine on that defensive line. I can't remember the

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Speaker 2: last time I've seen a player dominate a game that

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Speaker 2: much on the defensive line. I mean, James Madison's finally ranked,

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Speaker 2: but this whole thing about their stat's not counting is

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Speaker 2: a joke. I think James Madison needs to start pulling

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Speaker 2: a Roman Reigns and after every win just tell the

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Speaker 2: nsable A acknowledge me. James Madison, Jaylen Green my hair

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Speaker 2: of the week into double A. Acknowledge them. Acknowledge me.

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Speaker 1: I'm in the stretch around of my college fantasy football

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Speaker 1: league that has an individual defensive player, and I was

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Speaker 1: in the market for a new player, So I think

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Speaker 1: you may have led me in the right direction. I

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Speaker 1: currently have Owen Porter for Marshall, who has been very good.

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Speaker 1: When you when you mentioned five and a half tackles

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Speaker 1: for loss, you have my attention.

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Speaker 2: I've sacked.

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Speaker 1: That's absolutely insane. All Right, I'm going to kick it

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Speaker 1: to a quick portion of our show. That's a little

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Speaker 1: bit new that I'm excited to talk about. Bred mc

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Speaker 1: murphy does Bowl projections every single week, and earlier in

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Speaker 1: the year, you know, there's a lot of extrapolation, and

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Speaker 1: you know, you're trying to look at what they've accomplished

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Speaker 1: in a few games and what's down the pipe in

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Speaker 1: terms of their schedule. But at this point it starts

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Speaker 1: to solidify a little bit. You can really see teams

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Speaker 1: kind of locking in to being, you know, featured in

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Speaker 1: one or two bowl games, and particularly once teams like

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Speaker 1: UNLV start to get Bowl eligible, that the whole picture

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Speaker 1: comes into focus a little bit. What is a G

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Speaker 1: five matchup in his projection at this point that you're

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Speaker 1: most excited to watch?

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Speaker 2: All right, we got with ball it. Yeah, I was

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Speaker 2: just looking down the list that he has and he

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Speaker 2: has currently in the Frisco Bowl, Memphis versus Georgia, Southern

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Speaker 2: I and that could be a very fun, very high

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Speaker 2: scoring game. That one's a lot of fun. I know

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Speaker 2: you want the Myrtle Beach Bowl, obviously, I'm sure you

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Speaker 2: want to talk on that one, so I'll kick that

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Speaker 2: one to you. But obviously that's also a good one. Yeah.

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Speaker 2: I think that the Memphis Georgia though, there would be

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Speaker 2: a fun just just all out shootout.

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Speaker 1: Yeah. Essentially, when NFL fans are like, oh, college should

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Speaker 1: be closer to the NFL in terms of the postseason structure,

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Speaker 1: I've always, you know, rallied against that. But when you

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Speaker 1: look at these minor in you know, air quotes bowl

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Speaker 1: games and you get a Myrtle Beach Bowl matchup between

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Speaker 1: the potentially nationally ranked James Madison, who would move in

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Speaker 1: if there's not enough Bowl eligible teams, and currently in

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Speaker 1: Brett's you know breakdown at this point, there's two holes,

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Speaker 1: which means not only would James Madison move up, but

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Speaker 1: also Jacksonville State, which is awesome. And then in that

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Speaker 1: matchup they'd be taking on Toledo. That would be a

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Speaker 1: matchup I would be really excited to watch. I know

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Speaker 1: that I've thrown a lot of shade at to kwon

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Speaker 1: finn but being able to see this James Madison team

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Speaker 1: on a national, standalone island game I think would be

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Speaker 1: really exciting. So I'm hoping that comes together for the duke.

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Speaker 2: So right, here's one more I just noticed December twenty third, Calvary.

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Speaker 2: Which game would you rather watch on December twenty third,

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Speaker 2: South Alabama against Jacksonville State or Utah versus Iowa. Oh?

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Speaker 1: Man, I guess I'm going with the first one. I

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Speaker 1: think it's because I had higher expectations for South Alabama

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Speaker 1: at the b in the year, although they're putting it

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Speaker 1: together a little bit more week to week offensively.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, when I talk about that there, we may talk

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Speaker 2: you later.

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Speaker 1: All right. BC is presented by Bett MGM used bonus

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Speaker 1: code action when signing up to get a fifteen hundred

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Speaker 1: dollars paid back in bonus bets if your first bet loses.

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Speaker 1: For new users in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan,

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Speaker 1: New Jersey, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Virginia, West Virginia, and Wyoming.

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Speaker 1: Terms and conditions apply. Must be twenty one or older.

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Speaker 1: Gambling problem called one eight hundred gambler. All right, let

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Speaker 1: us now turn to best bets. As I mentioned last week,

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Speaker 1: we were white hot. We did split our best bets

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Speaker 1: and as you like to say, you know, sometimes it's

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Speaker 1: a little bit of gamesmanship. You're moving the pieces around

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Speaker 1: the chess board. It's really my best bet. Do I

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Speaker 1: want to save it for the round robin? I'll get

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Speaker 1: us started here. This bet is absolutely my best bet

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Speaker 1: of week number nine. I love this one. You have

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Speaker 1: a Yukon team Leak and Oil, traveling to Chestnut Hill

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Speaker 1: to take on the Eagles b C. Laying under the

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Speaker 1: key number of two touchdowns minus thirteen in the spot,

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Speaker 1: Yukon has waved the white flag. This season is over.

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Speaker 1: It is toast. They are one and six. They just

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Speaker 1: lost some homecoming to USF twenty four to twenty one.

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Speaker 1: They got Roadies coming up against Tennessee and James Madison

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Speaker 1: after this one. They're not winning out to get Bowl eligible.

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Speaker 1: It's over. Meanwhile, b C now four and three, probably

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Speaker 1: the most low key winning team in you know, the

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Speaker 1: Power five. At this point, no one's talking about them,

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Speaker 1: which is perfect. They've been pretty great since mid September.

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Speaker 1: Remember they nearly upset FSU at home. They only lost

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Speaker 1: that game by two. Now they've won three in a row,

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Speaker 1: winning two on the road at Army at Georgia Tech.

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Speaker 1: The Georgia Tech win to me was an absolute statement

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Speaker 1: win thirty eight twenty three on the road in Atlanta.

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Speaker 1: Tommy Castellanos is an absolute effing problem. This guy is

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Speaker 1: the dual threat that they have essentially never had. Like

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Speaker 1: they've been looking for consistent quarterback play ever since Shirkovic left.

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Speaker 1: He had that one good year and then he was

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Speaker 1: banged up. But they finally have a quarterback. He goes

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Speaker 1: for two fifty five two scores, one hundred and twenty

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Speaker 1: eight on the ground, two scores against the Yellowjackets last week,

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Speaker 1: up against a Yukon team that was supposed to hang

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Speaker 1: their hat on defense. They're not good. Our very own

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Speaker 1: Brett M. Murphy. As I mentioned, we're talking about the

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Speaker 1: bowl projections. They're now projected to play in the Duke's

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Speaker 1: Mayo Bowl. When I can get a Duke Mayo Bowl team,

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Speaker 1: I'm riding with him. So I'm gonna go with BC here.

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Speaker 1: They're special on the ground. They are the most number

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Speaker 1: one with a bullet explosive rushing team in America. They're

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Speaker 1: ninth and explosive plays overall. That just doesn't seem right

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Speaker 1: coming out of my mouth talking about BC. But this

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Speaker 1: is the team they are. And on the other side,

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Speaker 1: they're not very good defense. Usually it's a flip flop.

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Speaker 1: They're trying to win rock fights. Their defense isn't good.

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Speaker 1: They're one hundred and thirteenth and success rate even worse

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Speaker 1: against the pass. Luckily for BC, Yukon cannot pass one

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Speaker 1: hundred and sixteenth and success right through the air. Last

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Speaker 1: week against USF who is not known as world beaters

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Speaker 1: on that side of the ball, to Kwan Roberson put

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Speaker 1: up a QBR sub thirty. He also has games of

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Speaker 1: qbrs of eleven point five and eight point seven. This

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Speaker 1: offense stinks. This number is the way it is purely

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Speaker 1: I think because of BC's recent history and Jeff Haffley

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Speaker 1: at home has not been a good favorite. They're four

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Speaker 1: and seven against the spread in Halfley's tenure as a

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Speaker 1: home favorite. But I think this number is off by

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Speaker 1: I would say almost a full touchdown. If this was

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Speaker 1: at twenty, it would still be a lean for me.

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Speaker 1: At thirteen is my best bet of Week nine.

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Speaker 2: I mean, I'm obviously not gonna endorse it. You know,

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Speaker 2: I'm actually gonna be home in Connecticut this weekend, so

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Speaker 2: I'm sure not gonna bet against Oskis. But I do

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Speaker 2: have a boss to Servia time here.

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Speaker 1: Let's start talking Yukon Huskies basketball. Like the front court,

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Speaker 1: they're gonna be able to keep up with the the

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Speaker 1: national title pressure, everything else. But yeah, it's time to

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Speaker 1: move on to the football team in the that nex

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Speaker 1: state for.

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Speaker 2: My best Like you said, the one we went seven

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Speaker 2: to one last week, the one loss was my best bet.

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Speaker 2: I'm going to blame it on the Gabbert injury. Unfortunately,

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Speaker 2: Gabbert's out for the year. It looks like I think

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Speaker 2: he broke his leg ankle something looked bad. Confirmed out

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Speaker 2: for the year. Probably cost some Miami Mac title futures. Unfortunately,

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Speaker 2: Gays we talked about preseason was kind of depending on

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Speaker 2: Gaberg stay and healthy. So that does suck. But hopefully

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Speaker 2: I'll bounce back this week. I'm going speaking to bounce back.

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Speaker 2: I'm going Boise State minus four against Wyoming both the

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Speaker 2: I think this is just the buy and low and

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Speaker 2: the lowest you're going to get Boise State. Both these

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Speaker 2: teams are coming off of bye but Boise State needed

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Speaker 2: a lot more than Wyoming did. Bois Date was the

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Speaker 2: overwhelming favorite to win the Mountain West coming into the year.

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Speaker 2: They're just three and four, but it's been a really

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Speaker 2: weird year. They got crushed by Washington, obviously understandable. They

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Speaker 2: lost the UCF on a walk off field goal in

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Speaker 2: a very weird game. They lost to Memphis by three,

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Speaker 2: but I thought they outplayed Memphis that whole game. To

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Speaker 2: be honest, I think I bet Memphis in that game

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Speaker 2: and did not feel confident for a second. Then we

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Speaker 2: mentioned it. Last week they lost to Colorado State by

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Speaker 2: one off of hail Mary after they were up twenty

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Speaker 2: with four minutes to go. So it's like their four

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Speaker 2: losses were all kind of weird. Low Obviously, the Washington

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Speaker 2: one is understandable. Like I said, I think this is

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Speaker 2: just the low end of the market. On the Broncos,

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Speaker 2: Taylor Green considered the best quarterback in the conference coming

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Speaker 2: into the air, He's been essentially benched the last three games.

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Speaker 2: The buy should have given them a chance to either

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Speaker 2: figure out what's wrong with Green or fully turn the

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Speaker 2: Maddox Madson. It sounds like they're gonna stick with Green.

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Speaker 2: Hopefully they were able to figure out whatever was going

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Speaker 2: wrong with him during the by or at least you know,

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Speaker 2: recraft the offense to fix him. Either way, Ashton genty

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Speaker 2: has been the best running back in the country. I mean,

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Speaker 2: he's averaging gone here in twenty four yards per game,

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Speaker 2: eleven touchdowns. He's a monster. It looks like George Hallane

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Speaker 2: might be back. He's been practicing this week, so hopefully

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Speaker 2: he'll return. But that's not long. They just like a

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Speaker 2: bonus to this offense. They don't even need Halani. He's there.

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Speaker 2: I mean, they're already seventh in the country in rushing success.

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Speaker 2: Their defensive numbers are bad, but again, like look who

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Speaker 2: they've played. They played Washington, UCF, Memphis, San Jose State,

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Speaker 2: Colorado State. Like they have played a lot of very

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Speaker 2: good offenses, especially good passing offenses. And we know Wyoming

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Speaker 2: isn't great at Wyoming isn't great on offense. They certainly

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Speaker 2: don't have weapons on the outside to be afraid of.

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Speaker 2: I'm not afraid of Andrew Peasley. Harrison Whaley is expected

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Speaker 2: back and he's good, but his knee injury looks pretty nasty.

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Speaker 2: So obviously they had the week off, but who knows

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Speaker 2: if he's one hundred percent. But this is not a

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Speaker 2: normal Wyoming defense. They're one hundred and sixth in success

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Speaker 2: rate on defense, They're one hundred and twenty first in

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Speaker 2: creating havoc, and the most concerning part is their ninety

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Speaker 2: fifth at defending the run, and I just mentioned that's

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Speaker 2: what Boise does very very well. App State put up

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Speaker 2: two hundred and seventeen yards on them. New Mexico rushed

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Speaker 2: for two twenty five. Air Force ripped them for three

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Speaker 2: hundred and fifty six yards on the ground. So I

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Speaker 2: think this is a get right game for Boise State

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Speaker 2: coming off the buy they still have a shot and

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Speaker 2: out type shot at the Mountain West. You mentioned they

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Speaker 2: got you know, air Force UNLV. They have to win

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Speaker 2: this game, so coming off the buy back at home,

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Speaker 2: they should be able to run the ball on this defense.

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Speaker 2: I'm going to back the Broncos to bounce back here

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Speaker 2: at what I think is probably the lowaner of the market.

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Speaker 2: So gimme Boise State mins four.

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Speaker 1: Gene t at this point has an opportunity to go

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Speaker 1: down as one of the greatest single season g five

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Speaker 1: runners of all time.

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Speaker 2: That's how good.

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Speaker 1: That's the rare fight air. And it's not just like scheme.

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Speaker 1: It's not just them giving him for he touches the game.

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Speaker 1: Like all you have to do is watch a single

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Speaker 1: quarter of him playing, and you're like, can this guy

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Speaker 1: get in the transfer portal like mid season and go

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Speaker 1: help somebody, because like he if he was on an

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Speaker 1: Ohio State in that running back room that's banged up,

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Speaker 1: like nobody would blink, they'd be like, this guy deserves

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Speaker 1: to be here and to be the starting running back.

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Speaker 1: That's how good he is. So for anyone listening who

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Speaker 1: has not watched Boise State, like the guy is an

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Speaker 1: absolute revelation. So I agree with you. I think this

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Speaker 1: is the right side.

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Speaker 2: Maybe it's just beating like a Homer, but like he

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Speaker 2: almost reminds me of Saquon Barkley in the sense where

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Speaker 2: every time he touches the ball, the matter where is field,

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Speaker 2: I'm like, he might score.

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Speaker 1: So my quick question for you, you know what everyone

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Speaker 1: the masses they're clamoring. We're coming off the completion of

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Speaker 1: Around Robin. Let's get back into it. The G five

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Speaker 1: High five. Let's high five one more time.

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Speaker 3: The G five High five, be high five High five.

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Speaker 1: Rice plus eleven and a half against two Lane. I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna get it started here. I'm gonna say this. We

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Speaker 1: have been carrying, you know, two Lane's water since our

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Speaker 1: very first episode. We love the Green Wave. We were

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Speaker 1: rooting for them all the way through that Cotton Bowl

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Speaker 1: Classic win last year. Michael Pratt has been somebody that

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Speaker 1: his name is echoed in the halls of the Action Network.

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Speaker 1: But this two Lane team, to me, at this point,

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Speaker 1: they just seem to like they're a little bit bored.

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Speaker 1: They just like want to get through this stretch of

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Speaker 1: their schedule. They're clearly the class of the AAC. They

366
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Speaker 1: could beat the doors off these teams, but they're just

367
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Speaker 1: not doing it. They're one to three against the spread

368
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Speaker 1: in their last four they let UA be comfortably cover

369
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Speaker 1: and rack up four hundred and thirty four total yards

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Speaker 1: North Texas More the same last week, you know, the

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Speaker 1: mean Green at four hundred and twenty six total yards

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Speaker 1: and a comfortable cover. Those are not teams that should

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Speaker 1: be hanging around that. Maybe if you know, one ball

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Speaker 1: bounces their way, they could actually be tied late in

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Speaker 1: the fourth quarter against Tulane. Twolane is so much better,

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Speaker 1: but they continue to do this, and that's why I'm

377
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Speaker 1: buying the Rice offense to score thirty plus in this game,

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Speaker 1: and if they do so, getting in eleven and a

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Speaker 1: half is just too good to pass up. The Owls

380
00:17:31,640 --> 00:17:34,679
Speaker 1: offense thirty second and success fifteenth and explosive, you know,

381
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Speaker 1: rating offensively. JT. Daniels is absolutely dealing. He's thrown for

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Speaker 1: over three hundred and forty yards and multiple touchdowns of

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Speaker 1: three of his last four games. I understand their defense

384
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Speaker 1: is bad you can run up and down the field,

385
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Speaker 1: but actually pretty good in the red zone seventeenth in

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Speaker 1: red zone scoring defense rices this year. So I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: go ahead and take north of ten. I like it

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Speaker 1: any number above ten. It's eleven and a half right

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Speaker 1: now in the market. But there's just something about this

390
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Speaker 1: two lane team, and it makes sense to me from

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Speaker 1: a human element of it, which basically says, like we

392
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Speaker 1: already proved last year that we were a bona fide

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Speaker 1: top fifteen team by beating USC Aside from kind of

394
00:18:11,640 --> 00:18:13,760
Speaker 1: sleepwalking through the second half against Ole Miss with that

395
00:18:13,800 --> 00:18:16,800
Speaker 1: game got away from them and the final score wasn't

396
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Speaker 1: indicative of how close it really was on the field

397
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Speaker 1: between the ReBs and the Green Wave. Other than that,

398
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Speaker 1: Tulane has been the Tulane team that we thought they'd be.

399
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Speaker 1: But I just don't see them, you know, going through Essentially,

400
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Speaker 1: they're gonna go through the motions in a game like this.

401
00:18:29,400 --> 00:18:31,840
Speaker 1: I think they win, let's call it seven ten points.

402
00:18:31,960 --> 00:18:33,960
Speaker 1: They probably get a decisive drive in the fourth quarter

403
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Speaker 1: to put it away. But at this point, I'm kicking myself.

404
00:18:36,320 --> 00:18:38,280
Speaker 1: I didn't take North Texas last week. I'm not going

405
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Speaker 1: to miss the opportunity with this Rice offense.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I think this is one of those games I

407
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Speaker 2: feel like I've been wrong about. I feel like I've

408
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Speaker 2: bet against Tulane like three times, been wrong every time,

409
00:18:47,160 --> 00:18:49,760
Speaker 2: bet on them against UAB and loss. So I'm gonna

410
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Speaker 2: stay away just almost for your sake. I feel like

411
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Speaker 2: this is one of those games where you'll know this

412
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Speaker 2: will cover immediately.

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Speaker 1: I think that's a good game of all. I will

414
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Speaker 1: toss in Rice offense on the ground has been I

415
00:19:02,080 --> 00:19:05,520
Speaker 1: mean another competition is not anywhere near too lane. But

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Speaker 1: they have been able to hit some plays and score

417
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Speaker 1: some rushing touchdowns.

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Speaker 2: So it's Dean Connor's like to where they played to

419
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Speaker 2: Tolsta last week. Don't know Dean Connor's torts whoever they

420
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Speaker 2: played last week. Yeah, all right, we mentioned it Earlierhen

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Speaker 2: we're talking about the bowl game, and I'm also going

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Speaker 2: back to the well here, I'm thinking South Alabama minus

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Speaker 2: ten against Louisiana and they said last week Louisiana's not

424
00:19:23,720 --> 00:19:25,600
Speaker 2: that good and the wins are pretty weak, and we

425
00:19:25,680 --> 00:19:28,159
Speaker 2: both we double dipped on the Georgia State win. I

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Speaker 2: won my plus three. You won your money on an underdog.

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Speaker 2: I think you saw that South Alabama has been able

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Speaker 2: to get their swagger back over the last two weeks.

429
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Speaker 2: And yes they've played two crappy teams, but yeah, I

430
00:19:38,119 --> 00:19:40,119
Speaker 2: don't think that highly of Louisiana. And at the end

431
00:19:40,119 --> 00:19:41,879
Speaker 2: of the day, the way you kind of have to

432
00:19:41,920 --> 00:19:44,040
Speaker 2: judge him of these games is like we've seen it.

433
00:19:44,119 --> 00:19:45,840
Speaker 2: Even at the Power five level. Everyone talks about like

434
00:19:45,880 --> 00:19:48,600
Speaker 2: the non cons, Like, okay, if you play crappy teams,

435
00:19:49,359 --> 00:19:52,440
Speaker 2: crush them. And over the last two weeks, South Alabama

436
00:19:52,480 --> 00:19:56,240
Speaker 2: has outscored ULM and Southern Miss one hundred and ten

437
00:19:56,359 --> 00:20:01,400
Speaker 2: to ten. Like that is good teams whooping bad teams.

438
00:20:01,600 --> 00:20:03,080
Speaker 2: And this is a team we picked to win the

439
00:20:03,119 --> 00:20:05,200
Speaker 2: Sun Belt before the year, and you know we saw

440
00:20:05,240 --> 00:20:07,200
Speaker 2: him going on the road earlier and crush Oklahoma State.

441
00:20:07,359 --> 00:20:09,640
Speaker 2: That looks better and better as Oklahoma State's playing well.

442
00:20:10,320 --> 00:20:12,440
Speaker 2: They lost a weird gain, a bad game the Central

443
00:20:12,480 --> 00:20:15,320
Speaker 2: Michigan bad loss, but I mean they outgained them by

444
00:20:15,320 --> 00:20:17,840
Speaker 2: one hundred and fifty yards, they lost by with thirteen

445
00:20:17,960 --> 00:20:21,000
Speaker 2: seconds left, and then they lost to James Madison, who's

446
00:20:21,040 --> 00:20:22,760
Speaker 2: the best team in the country. So it's kind of like,

447
00:20:23,000 --> 00:20:26,159
Speaker 2: is their schedule that bad? I think Carter Bradley has

448
00:20:26,160 --> 00:20:29,119
Speaker 2: really gotten his conference going and L'amian Webb is running

449
00:20:29,160 --> 00:20:32,040
Speaker 2: like a man possessed. He has twelve rushing touchdowns this season,

450
00:20:32,119 --> 00:20:35,760
Speaker 2: second in the country only behind Blake Corum. Jaguars offense

451
00:20:35,960 --> 00:20:38,880
Speaker 2: is eleventh in the country in explosiveness. Like I said,

452
00:20:38,920 --> 00:20:40,840
Speaker 2: they've scored one hundred and ten points over the last

453
00:20:40,840 --> 00:20:44,320
Speaker 2: two games. They are humming and we know this Louisiana

454
00:20:44,359 --> 00:20:47,520
Speaker 2: defense is horrific they're one hundred and twentieth in the

455
00:20:47,600 --> 00:20:50,520
Speaker 2: nation defending the run. Webb is gonna run all over him.

456
00:20:50,640 --> 00:20:52,240
Speaker 2: And the only thing they raising Cajuns have been able

457
00:20:52,280 --> 00:20:54,000
Speaker 2: to do well is run the ball, and the South

458
00:20:54,040 --> 00:20:56,320
Speaker 2: of Alabama defense is twenty eighth in the country against

459
00:20:56,320 --> 00:20:58,960
Speaker 2: the run. Their defense has really been terrific since Kane

460
00:20:58,960 --> 00:21:02,800
Speaker 2: Womack took over, and they're really good at preventing finishing drives.

461
00:21:02,800 --> 00:21:04,520
Speaker 2: So even if Louisiana is able to move the ball

462
00:21:04,520 --> 00:21:06,040
Speaker 2: a little bit, I don't know how much they're going

463
00:21:06,080 --> 00:21:10,600
Speaker 2: to score. South Alabama played last Tuesday, so they basically

464
00:21:10,640 --> 00:21:12,480
Speaker 2: have a mini bye week. They had an extra four

465
00:21:12,560 --> 00:21:15,159
Speaker 2: days to rest prepare for this game. I think the

466
00:21:15,240 --> 00:21:17,320
Speaker 2: Jaguars keep rolling here, and like I said, I'm just

467
00:21:17,359 --> 00:21:19,400
Speaker 2: going to continue to fade louisianks. I don't think they're

468
00:21:19,440 --> 00:21:21,919
Speaker 2: that good, and basically what I've seen from South Alabama,

469
00:21:22,240 --> 00:21:24,600
Speaker 2: they look like a team we thought they were at

470
00:21:24,600 --> 00:21:26,840
Speaker 2: the end of the year. So give me the Jaguars

471
00:21:26,960 --> 00:21:28,560
Speaker 2: minus ten. I think they run away here.

472
00:21:29,119 --> 00:21:31,520
Speaker 1: It's a pass for me just because watching the Georgia

473
00:21:31,520 --> 00:21:34,240
Speaker 1: State game, you know, Georgia State race out to a

474
00:21:34,240 --> 00:21:37,000
Speaker 1: twenty to zero lead, then Granger gets banged up. He

475
00:21:37,040 --> 00:21:39,520
Speaker 1: plays in the second half. He's clearly limited. They kind

476
00:21:39,520 --> 00:21:41,880
Speaker 1: of went in a shell offensively. It almost costs them.

477
00:21:42,480 --> 00:21:44,840
Speaker 1: I was impressed with young Chris. That was his fourth

478
00:21:44,880 --> 00:21:47,320
Speaker 1: career start. He kind of seems to me like a

479
00:21:47,400 --> 00:21:50,840
Speaker 1: sunbelt like poor Man's Anthony Richardson. Like when you look

480
00:21:50,880 --> 00:21:53,720
Speaker 1: at what Napier did at Louisiana and then bringing that

481
00:21:53,760 --> 00:21:57,800
Speaker 1: to Florida, you can just see the scheme doesn't allow

482
00:21:57,880 --> 00:22:00,399
Speaker 1: him to show his full skill set. But there were

483
00:22:00,400 --> 00:22:02,520
Speaker 1: some times he was shaking people in the middle of

484
00:22:02,560 --> 00:22:04,840
Speaker 1: the field where defenders were full on diving in the

485
00:22:04,880 --> 00:22:08,200
Speaker 1: wrong direction. Like he has gobs of talent. So I

486
00:22:08,240 --> 00:22:11,320
Speaker 1: think if it's a situation where maybe a backdoor covers

487
00:22:11,320 --> 00:22:13,480
Speaker 1: on the table and they just like, you know, let

488
00:22:13,520 --> 00:22:15,760
Speaker 1: him open it up a little bit. He can. He

489
00:22:15,800 --> 00:22:17,600
Speaker 1: has a huge arm, He can make big plays. He

490
00:22:17,600 --> 00:22:19,840
Speaker 1: can also turn the bowl over, as he did critically

491
00:22:19,840 --> 00:22:21,920
Speaker 1: at the end of that Georgia State game. So he's

492
00:22:22,160 --> 00:22:24,439
Speaker 1: clearly a very raw player, you know, just in the

493
00:22:24,440 --> 00:22:26,919
Speaker 1: first few starts of his entire career. But that's the

494
00:22:26,920 --> 00:22:28,480
Speaker 1: only thing that gives me pause because I agree with

495
00:22:28,520 --> 00:22:30,800
Speaker 1: everything you said on the South Alabama side of things,

496
00:22:30,840 --> 00:22:33,520
Speaker 1: Like they're big three wide receiver, running back, quarterback. It's

497
00:22:33,560 --> 00:22:35,920
Speaker 1: all hummon. So I do see them scoring a lot

498
00:22:35,920 --> 00:22:38,480
Speaker 1: in this game, but just a little bit concerned because

499
00:22:38,520 --> 00:22:40,640
Speaker 1: young Chris I think is a difference maker that we'll

500
00:22:40,640 --> 00:22:43,720
Speaker 1: probably talk about next year. As you know, they reposition

501
00:22:43,840 --> 00:22:46,480
Speaker 1: themselves as a real threat to win the Sun Belt West.

502
00:22:46,920 --> 00:22:49,320
Speaker 2: Real quick, just take a little step back. You still

503
00:22:49,320 --> 00:22:51,840
Speaker 2: think South Alabama wins the Thumbelt. I know we both

504
00:22:51,880 --> 00:22:53,760
Speaker 2: were on them preseas, do you still think they win it?

505
00:22:54,160 --> 00:22:58,520
Speaker 1: I think Georgia State, if Grainger is healthy, they're the

506
00:22:58,640 --> 00:23:00,320
Speaker 1: pick that I think is going to get there, because

507
00:23:00,320 --> 00:23:02,640
Speaker 1: they get there the beneficiary of James Madison not being

508
00:23:02,640 --> 00:23:04,760
Speaker 1: able to go to the title game. I think if

509
00:23:04,800 --> 00:23:06,920
Speaker 1: they can get there, that's a team I would prefer

510
00:23:06,960 --> 00:23:09,560
Speaker 1: to back over South Alabama. But I do think at

511
00:23:09,560 --> 00:23:11,440
Speaker 1: this point they're probably going to be the representative from

512
00:23:11,480 --> 00:23:12,120
Speaker 1: some Belt.

513
00:23:11,920 --> 00:23:14,320
Speaker 2: West Troy's playing better doo, But yeah, I agree.

514
00:23:14,359 --> 00:23:15,920
Speaker 1: All right, I'm going to go with the team here

515
00:23:16,040 --> 00:23:19,120
Speaker 1: that you alerted me to last week, and it's fading

516
00:23:19,160 --> 00:23:22,160
Speaker 1: the East Carolina Pirates because they are an absolute corpse.

517
00:23:22,560 --> 00:23:26,600
Speaker 1: I feel that they are just This is an old

518
00:23:26,600 --> 00:23:29,600
Speaker 1: school Sega genesis. Hit the reset button like the season

519
00:23:29,640 --> 00:23:31,960
Speaker 1: didn't go right, just like forget it, walk away from

520
00:23:31,960 --> 00:23:36,040
Speaker 1: the system. They're god awful and now UTSA is totally reborn.

521
00:23:36,080 --> 00:23:38,399
Speaker 1: With Doctor Frank Harris back in the saddle, they have

522
00:23:38,480 --> 00:23:41,479
Speaker 1: an interesting running game to go with Harris. Ivorian Barnes

523
00:23:41,520 --> 00:23:44,120
Speaker 1: and Robert Henry are both clicking, so it's not all

524
00:23:44,160 --> 00:23:46,640
Speaker 1: on him. They're not nearly as explosive as they were

525
00:23:46,640 --> 00:23:50,040
Speaker 1: with Zakari Franklin last year at wide receiver, but they

526
00:23:50,040 --> 00:23:52,200
Speaker 1: have scored one hundred and twenty six points in three

527
00:23:52,240 --> 00:23:55,080
Speaker 1: AAC games lately. That's forty two points per game, and

528
00:23:55,080 --> 00:23:57,159
Speaker 1: they're up against an ECU team that can't move the

529
00:23:57,200 --> 00:23:59,640
Speaker 1: ball at all. This may be the worst FBS offense

530
00:23:59,720 --> 00:24:02,520
Speaker 1: like uts that last last week, and then watching the

531
00:24:02,520 --> 00:24:05,399
Speaker 1: condensed game against Charlotte, there's not too many highlights to

532
00:24:05,440 --> 00:24:07,800
Speaker 1: show in that condensed version. They're one hundred and thirtieth

533
00:24:07,800 --> 00:24:10,800
Speaker 1: in success rate. They had two quarterbacks throw thirty two

534
00:24:10,840 --> 00:24:13,719
Speaker 1: passes against Charlotte. Guess how many passing yards they had

535
00:24:13,720 --> 00:24:15,800
Speaker 1: in that game. I know you were had a vested interest,

536
00:24:15,920 --> 00:24:18,040
Speaker 1: but did you see how many passing yards they had.

537
00:24:18,280 --> 00:24:20,800
Speaker 2: I don't remember if I think it was like fifty six, right,

538
00:24:20,840 --> 00:24:21,720
Speaker 2: something like that.

539
00:24:21,920 --> 00:24:24,199
Speaker 1: One quarterback had in the mid fifties. They finished with

540
00:24:24,240 --> 00:24:28,000
Speaker 1: eighty eight on thirty two pass attempts. Like that's really

541
00:24:28,040 --> 00:24:30,720
Speaker 1: hard to do in the year twenty twenty three, Like

542
00:24:31,080 --> 00:24:33,800
Speaker 1: you would just think by happenstance they'd hit like a

543
00:24:33,800 --> 00:24:37,200
Speaker 1: twenty five yarder. No, they can't play defense. Strangely, well,

544
00:24:37,240 --> 00:24:38,600
Speaker 1: that's the only thing that gives me a little bit

545
00:24:38,640 --> 00:24:40,920
Speaker 1: of pause in a game like this with UTSA lay

546
00:24:40,920 --> 00:24:42,280
Speaker 1: in nineteen, the road Runners.

547
00:24:42,280 --> 00:24:43,520
Speaker 2: Against a run on defense.

548
00:24:43,960 --> 00:24:48,040
Speaker 1: That's true, I think arguably overall their top three AAC defense,

549
00:24:48,040 --> 00:24:50,760
Speaker 1: which is like a huge, you know, half team situation.

550
00:24:51,200 --> 00:24:53,960
Speaker 1: But I still see UTSA probably scoring twenty eight to

551
00:24:54,000 --> 00:24:56,679
Speaker 1: thirty one points, and I don't see more than the

552
00:24:56,720 --> 00:24:59,800
Speaker 1: touchdown for the Pirates. Here UTSA at home in the Alamo.

553
00:25:00,400 --> 00:25:03,880
Speaker 1: I think they're rolling, They're moving towards another conference championship.

554
00:25:03,960 --> 00:25:05,800
Speaker 1: So I'm gonna go with the road Runners.

555
00:25:05,840 --> 00:25:10,400
Speaker 2: Meet Mebecu had one hundred and twenty seven total.

556
00:25:10,200 --> 00:25:13,800
Speaker 1: Yards in that game against Charlotte. It's like, I mean, like,

557
00:25:14,080 --> 00:25:16,920
Speaker 1: at this point, you say, is just flip the sir, worst.

558
00:25:16,760 --> 00:25:18,960
Speaker 2: In Kent State. They're worse in Kent State. All right,

559
00:25:19,040 --> 00:25:22,359
Speaker 2: I'll see it worked last week. We need to like

560
00:25:22,400 --> 00:25:26,119
Speaker 2: point a new segment just Mike's miserable Mac unders. I'm

561
00:25:26,160 --> 00:25:29,680
Speaker 2: going back to the well, this is miserable Western Michigan.

562
00:25:29,800 --> 00:25:32,760
Speaker 2: Eastern Michigan under forty six. Forty six is not. This

563
00:25:32,760 --> 00:25:34,600
Speaker 2: should be forty one and a half. I've taken forty

564
00:25:34,600 --> 00:25:35,840
Speaker 2: two to forty one and a half. You're giving me

565
00:25:35,880 --> 00:25:38,600
Speaker 2: a forty six. I mean, what are we doing here?

566
00:25:39,040 --> 00:25:41,080
Speaker 2: Eastern Michigan's offense has been a mess. You actually were

567
00:25:41,119 --> 00:25:42,960
Speaker 2: saying earlier that, like you don't want to watch his team,

568
00:25:42,960 --> 00:25:44,399
Speaker 2: you probably won't have to because I don't even know

569
00:25:44,400 --> 00:25:47,680
Speaker 2: that they will make a ball. Austin Smith six touchdown passes,

570
00:25:47,920 --> 00:25:50,520
Speaker 2: five picks. He's completing fifty six percent of his passes.

571
00:25:51,000 --> 00:25:53,480
Speaker 2: Samson Evans is not the same back. He's averaging wester

572
00:25:53,480 --> 00:25:56,680
Speaker 2: than fifty yards per game. Eagles are one hundred and

573
00:25:56,720 --> 00:25:59,480
Speaker 2: twenty first in success rate, one hundred and thirty second

574
00:25:59,480 --> 00:26:03,720
Speaker 2: in explode simness. They get zero big plays. The defense

575
00:26:03,760 --> 00:26:06,280
Speaker 2: isn't terrible. They're actually fifth in the country and success

576
00:26:06,359 --> 00:26:08,440
Speaker 2: right against the pass. I don't know how It's true.

577
00:26:08,480 --> 00:26:09,919
Speaker 2: It's probably one of those stats where just like they

578
00:26:09,960 --> 00:26:12,280
Speaker 2: haven't played anybody and nobody feels the need to pass

579
00:26:12,320 --> 00:26:14,760
Speaker 2: the ball. But we're not great against the run. But

580
00:26:14,960 --> 00:26:16,679
Speaker 2: you know they also don't They don't give up big plays,

581
00:26:16,720 --> 00:26:18,840
Speaker 2: So I kind of am not super worried about The

582
00:26:18,840 --> 00:26:22,840
Speaker 2: defense in Western Michigan also stinks on offense. They've started

583
00:26:23,040 --> 00:26:26,240
Speaker 2: three different quarterbacks this year. I believe they're currently going

584
00:26:26,280 --> 00:26:30,080
Speaker 2: with your boy Hayden wolf play the drop. The wolf

585
00:26:30,119 --> 00:26:31,720
Speaker 2: Pack is riding again.

586
00:26:33,480 --> 00:26:36,159
Speaker 3: Wolf in the shot gun and he's caught him asking

587
00:26:36,240 --> 00:26:38,800
Speaker 3: you shall receive my friends from Hayden wolf.

588
00:26:40,560 --> 00:26:45,359
Speaker 2: Bag the wolf bag, your boy from old dominion. I

589
00:26:45,359 --> 00:26:48,040
Speaker 2: know you loved him. All three quarterbacks have been bad,

590
00:26:48,280 --> 00:26:51,680
Speaker 2: so I'm like, we're not really afraid of Hayden Wolf

591
00:26:51,680 --> 00:26:55,199
Speaker 2: no offense wolf Pack for life. Uh, they generate no

592
00:26:55,240 --> 00:26:58,639
Speaker 2: big plays on offense. They lost their entire offense to

593
00:26:58,680 --> 00:27:01,920
Speaker 2: the portal last season. This is a complete start over.

594
00:27:02,800 --> 00:27:05,680
Speaker 2: Their defense isn't great. But like I said, I think

595
00:27:05,720 --> 00:27:08,920
Speaker 2: there's just another gross mac under. I looked, AT's gonna

596
00:27:08,920 --> 00:27:11,640
Speaker 2: be like eight nine ten mile on our wins. It's

597
00:27:11,720 --> 00:27:13,760
Speaker 2: you know that scould about to be pretty nice this weekend.

598
00:27:13,840 --> 00:27:15,639
Speaker 2: But it's just it's a Mac. It's probably gonna be

599
00:27:15,680 --> 00:27:17,720
Speaker 2: gross and windy, just because it always is. It's also

600
00:27:17,720 --> 00:27:19,560
Speaker 2: hard for us to make Mac picks since we record

601
00:27:19,600 --> 00:27:24,280
Speaker 2: on Tuesday night and next week Baby Halloween, Midweek Maction

602
00:27:25,200 --> 00:27:27,920
Speaker 2: is back, so I had to get one last Maction

603
00:27:28,119 --> 00:27:30,160
Speaker 2: under while we still can well we still can get

604
00:27:30,200 --> 00:27:34,200
Speaker 2: them on the pod, but next week Mike's Miserable Midweek

605
00:27:34,240 --> 00:27:36,920
Speaker 2: Maction unders are back, but we're gonna take one more

606
00:27:36,960 --> 00:27:40,040
Speaker 2: on a Saturday. Give me Western Michigan Eastern Michigan under

607
00:27:40,080 --> 00:27:40,600
Speaker 2: forty six.

608
00:27:41,040 --> 00:27:42,719
Speaker 1: If you're one of those lucky people that have like

609
00:27:42,760 --> 00:27:45,240
Speaker 1: the TV setups in your band cave with like three TVs.

610
00:27:45,359 --> 00:27:47,240
Speaker 1: If you bet this game, just go ahead and angle

611
00:27:47,320 --> 00:27:49,439
Speaker 1: that TV right into the corner away from you so

612
00:27:49,480 --> 00:27:51,280
Speaker 1: you don't have to watch a single second. You're at

613
00:27:51,320 --> 00:27:53,760
Speaker 1: a sports bar, and for whatever reason they have ESPN

614
00:27:54,119 --> 00:27:56,680
Speaker 1: Plus on with this game, just request that they put

615
00:27:56,680 --> 00:27:58,920
Speaker 1: on the Home Shopping Network, Like, don't watch a second

616
00:27:59,000 --> 00:28:00,640
Speaker 1: of this game. I think this is the right way.

617
00:28:00,920 --> 00:28:03,040
Speaker 1: I think you just have to ride out these unders

618
00:28:03,119 --> 00:28:06,080
Speaker 1: until it stops spinning that winners, and at this point

619
00:28:06,240 --> 00:28:07,960
Speaker 1: we're not even close to that so yes.

620
00:28:07,960 --> 00:28:11,239
Speaker 2: Let's we do is next week. Next week you'll have

621
00:28:11,320 --> 00:28:13,320
Speaker 2: to watch this because it'll be Tuesday. This is the

622
00:28:13,400 --> 00:28:16,199
Speaker 2: last Saturday to just bet it. Don't ever look at it,

623
00:28:16,320 --> 00:28:18,280
Speaker 2: check your action ever gap and be like perfect. They

624
00:28:18,280 --> 00:28:20,359
Speaker 2: scored twelve points, Like last week was perfect because I

625
00:28:20,359 --> 00:28:22,000
Speaker 2: had forty one and a half and they scored forty

626
00:28:22,000 --> 00:28:23,199
Speaker 2: one and I just have to look at the end

627
00:28:23,240 --> 00:28:24,479
Speaker 2: of the game and be like perfect.

628
00:28:24,600 --> 00:28:28,000
Speaker 1: Now, all right, last week, it only took like betting

629
00:28:28,000 --> 00:28:29,840
Speaker 1: against Utah State, what five six weeks in a row

630
00:28:29,880 --> 00:28:32,080
Speaker 1: to finally had a winner. But not only did they

631
00:28:32,080 --> 00:28:34,240
Speaker 1: get the win with San Jose State, they won going

632
00:28:34,280 --> 00:28:37,240
Speaker 1: away by twenty one. But I think I stumbled into

633
00:28:37,280 --> 00:28:39,160
Speaker 1: a team that is going to be red hot down

634
00:28:39,200 --> 00:28:42,040
Speaker 1: the stretch. As we know with the Spartans, they never retreat,

635
00:28:42,200 --> 00:28:45,280
Speaker 1: they never surrender. They're laying ten at Hawaii and I'm

636
00:28:45,320 --> 00:28:47,480
Speaker 1: calling it right now. They're winning out. They were left

637
00:28:47,480 --> 00:28:49,200
Speaker 1: for dead at one and five. I think they're going

638
00:28:49,280 --> 00:28:52,560
Speaker 1: to finish the season at seven and five and potentially

639
00:28:52,720 --> 00:28:55,120
Speaker 1: on tie breakers, maybe get into the Mountain West title game.

640
00:28:55,240 --> 00:28:57,680
Speaker 1: That's how bullish I am on San Jose State. Last

641
00:28:57,680 --> 00:29:00,600
Speaker 1: two weeks, they murdered New Mexico fifty two twenty four.

642
00:29:00,720 --> 00:29:03,000
Speaker 1: As I mentioned, they dominate Utah State by twenty one.

643
00:29:03,240 --> 00:29:06,160
Speaker 1: Kyrie Robinson is averaging one hundred and forty nine all

644
00:29:06,160 --> 00:29:09,040
Speaker 1: purpose yards and seven touchdowns in those three games. And

645
00:29:09,120 --> 00:29:11,760
Speaker 1: the defense that was a total mess under Brett Brennan

646
00:29:12,080 --> 00:29:14,400
Speaker 1: has forced seven turnovers in the past three games, and

647
00:29:14,440 --> 00:29:16,680
Speaker 1: after being one of the least disruptive teams in the

648
00:29:16,800 --> 00:29:19,920
Speaker 1: entire country from a havoc perspective, they got fifteen TFLs

649
00:29:19,960 --> 00:29:22,440
Speaker 1: in the last three A lot of this was predicated

650
00:29:22,480 --> 00:29:24,760
Speaker 1: on the fact that they had that brutal opening schedule.

651
00:29:24,960 --> 00:29:27,960
Speaker 1: They had USC, Oregon State, Toledo Air Force, all these

652
00:29:28,200 --> 00:29:30,640
Speaker 1: teams that have either been ranked or you know, flirted

653
00:29:30,640 --> 00:29:33,480
Speaker 1: with being ranked for most of the season. Hawaii is

654
00:29:33,720 --> 00:29:36,960
Speaker 1: nowhere near any of those teams. Why is trash? Their

655
00:29:36,960 --> 00:29:41,160
Speaker 1: defense can't stop anybody. Four straight games, They've given up

656
00:29:41,200 --> 00:29:44,280
Speaker 1: forty plus or sorry, three straight games unl the San

657
00:29:44,280 --> 00:29:47,760
Speaker 1: Diego State, New Mexico. So Hawaii's offense don't get sucked into,

658
00:29:48,160 --> 00:29:50,040
Speaker 1: you know, the run and shoot, they are going to

659
00:29:50,080 --> 00:29:52,120
Speaker 1: be able to score points. I understand that San Jose

660
00:29:52,280 --> 00:29:54,360
Speaker 1: State's not going to pitch a shutout. They'll probably score

661
00:29:54,360 --> 00:29:57,000
Speaker 1: twenty you know, maybe let's call it twenty eight. San

662
00:29:57,080 --> 00:30:00,440
Speaker 1: Jose State is going to keep this forty point and going.

663
00:30:00,600 --> 00:30:03,480
Speaker 1: They're gonna pump it in and just a PSA. I

664
00:30:03,600 --> 00:30:07,920
Speaker 1: know that there's a lot of rumors and myths about

665
00:30:08,080 --> 00:30:10,400
Speaker 1: betting on the Hawaii games, dating all the way back

666
00:30:10,440 --> 00:30:13,640
Speaker 1: in the Action Network archives two thousand and three. Haway

667
00:30:13,760 --> 00:30:16,560
Speaker 1: couldn't be more mediocre against the spread at home, they're

668
00:30:16,680 --> 00:30:20,560
Speaker 1: sixty six, sixty seven and five against the spread. Also

669
00:30:20,560 --> 00:30:23,320
Speaker 1: as a home dog, dead on fifty percent. So no

670
00:30:23,400 --> 00:30:26,479
Speaker 1: big island advantage, you know, shout out to Kona Brewing Company,

671
00:30:26,680 --> 00:30:29,560
Speaker 1: No big island advantage whatsoever. I'm gonna go ahead and

672
00:30:29,600 --> 00:30:31,360
Speaker 1: play the Spartans here Atlantam.

673
00:30:31,080 --> 00:30:36,080
Speaker 2: Spots In's never retweet Spotsan's. Also, have you looked at

674
00:30:36,120 --> 00:30:38,280
Speaker 2: like some of the names on the San Jose State roster,

675
00:30:38,440 --> 00:30:40,480
Speaker 2: Like half these dudes are from Hawaii, so it's like

676
00:30:40,520 --> 00:30:42,400
Speaker 2: a homecoming for them. They're probably gonna have more of

677
00:30:42,400 --> 00:30:44,960
Speaker 2: their family in the stands in Hawaii's fans. I mean,

678
00:30:45,000 --> 00:30:46,640
Speaker 2: I don't know about the win out we're going to schedule.

679
00:30:46,680 --> 00:30:49,240
Speaker 2: I mean they got Fresno State UNLV I will.

680
00:30:49,120 --> 00:30:51,920
Speaker 1: I want it right now. It's it's crazy, but I

681
00:30:52,000 --> 00:30:52,800
Speaker 1: just have this feeling.

682
00:30:52,800 --> 00:30:54,000
Speaker 2: I'm going it right now. You can go ahead and

683
00:30:54,080 --> 00:30:57,640
Speaker 2: lock this in. It's my best bet in uh two

684
00:30:57,800 --> 00:31:02,000
Speaker 2: three weeks. Remember eighteenth they are going to smoke San

685
00:31:02,080 --> 00:31:04,680
Speaker 2: Diego State. Go ahead and pencil that one in for me.

686
00:31:05,240 --> 00:31:07,080
Speaker 2: H yeah, I like it. I agree. I should text

687
00:31:07,120 --> 00:31:08,400
Speaker 2: you saying that I was going to take this if

688
00:31:08,400 --> 00:31:10,600
Speaker 2: you didn't, so I definitely this is this is my

689
00:31:10,760 --> 00:31:13,160
Speaker 2: favorite play of yours this week. I love this one

690
00:31:13,240 --> 00:31:13,640
Speaker 2: all right.

691
00:31:13,680 --> 00:31:16,600
Speaker 1: We are now on to the G five money line

692
00:31:16,720 --> 00:31:20,600
Speaker 1: underdog parlay. Feeling feeling pretty good, feeling fresh after hitting

693
00:31:20,600 --> 00:31:23,520
Speaker 1: it last week, first one on the season. If anything,

694
00:31:23,520 --> 00:31:26,160
Speaker 1: we deserve a reward or something like a trophy. It

695
00:31:26,200 --> 00:31:29,120
Speaker 1: doesn't fully wipe away all the red on our sheet

696
00:31:29,160 --> 00:31:31,320
Speaker 1: in this segment of the program, but it gets us

697
00:31:31,360 --> 00:31:33,000
Speaker 1: pretty close to even the pretty quis. At this point,

698
00:31:33,080 --> 00:31:35,280
Speaker 1: let's play with some house money. Let's get it working.

699
00:31:35,480 --> 00:31:39,479
Speaker 1: Hou's money, how's credit? At this point, let's hear yours first.

700
00:31:39,600 --> 00:31:42,320
Speaker 1: I want to see if I'm playing the calibery's role

701
00:31:42,360 --> 00:31:44,920
Speaker 1: with the long shot or if it's on me.

702
00:31:45,040 --> 00:31:47,400
Speaker 2: I'll be honest, this was like the hard. I could

703
00:31:47,440 --> 00:31:50,560
Speaker 2: not find even a remote one. I like, I'm going

704
00:31:50,720 --> 00:31:53,080
Speaker 2: so wimpy, I'm a shaded to myself. Go ahead and

705
00:31:53,120 --> 00:31:56,040
Speaker 2: boom me. Oh this is gross. Give me New Mexico

706
00:31:56,200 --> 00:31:58,240
Speaker 2: plus one hundred against Nevada.

707
00:31:58,440 --> 00:31:59,920
Speaker 1: Man, this is some ball.

708
00:32:00,000 --> 00:32:05,200
Speaker 2: Oh shit, this man, I don't even know if that's legal.

709
00:32:06,000 --> 00:32:08,959
Speaker 1: I think it's legal. I think that's fine below the

710
00:32:09,000 --> 00:32:13,360
Speaker 1: minus one ten threshold and to be fair, minus plus

711
00:32:13,520 --> 00:32:16,480
Speaker 1: two eighty, so it's going to be a decent payout.

712
00:32:16,680 --> 00:32:19,720
Speaker 2: Nevada finally got to win a disgusting, ugly win last

713
00:32:19,720 --> 00:32:22,400
Speaker 2: week over this abomination of the San Diego State team.

714
00:32:22,400 --> 00:32:24,880
Speaker 2: They won six to nothing. I think New Mexico is

715
00:32:25,000 --> 00:32:27,400
Speaker 2: just still clearly the better team. Like Nevada is terrible.

716
00:32:27,400 --> 00:32:29,560
Speaker 2: They're one hundred and twenty second in the country and offense,

717
00:32:29,560 --> 00:32:31,880
Speaker 2: they're one hundred and thirtieth on defense. They can't stop

718
00:32:31,880 --> 00:32:36,080
Speaker 2: a nosebleed. Their quarterback has two touchdowns all year, six picks.

719
00:32:36,120 --> 00:32:39,240
Speaker 2: Their offense is terrible. New Mexico's offense looks pretty good.

720
00:32:39,320 --> 00:32:42,240
Speaker 2: You know, they haven't played anybody but their thirtieth in

721
00:32:42,240 --> 00:32:45,200
Speaker 2: the country in success right, their twenty fifth in explosiveness.

722
00:32:45,320 --> 00:32:48,160
Speaker 2: Dan Hopkins ten touchdowns, four picks. They run the ball

723
00:32:48,200 --> 00:32:51,520
Speaker 2: really well with Corey Krossky Merritt and Andrew Henry. Henry

724
00:32:51,600 --> 00:32:52,920
Speaker 2: has been kind of in and out of the lineup.

725
00:32:52,920 --> 00:32:54,960
Speaker 2: He came back last week at one hundred yards. Look,

726
00:32:54,960 --> 00:32:57,240
Speaker 2: it's easy to say New Mexico's only beating bad teams,

727
00:32:57,240 --> 00:33:00,120
Speaker 2: but Avada is a bad team. They're a really bad team.

728
00:33:00,200 --> 00:33:02,200
Speaker 2: And I think at no point in this year did

729
00:33:02,240 --> 00:33:04,320
Speaker 2: I ever think Nevada was better than New Mexico. So

730
00:33:04,360 --> 00:33:06,080
Speaker 2: I don't even care it. I mean, it's in Nevada,

731
00:33:06,120 --> 00:33:09,960
Speaker 2: but what's that home deald advantage? Worth half a point? Maybe?

732
00:33:10,440 --> 00:33:12,840
Speaker 2: So at the end of the day, I was looking

733
00:33:12,880 --> 00:33:14,880
Speaker 2: through it and I just looked this game, and I said,

734
00:33:15,040 --> 00:33:17,600
Speaker 2: I think New Mexican wins this game, and they're the underdog,

735
00:33:17,760 --> 00:33:21,120
Speaker 2: so I'll take them as the little small pup here.

736
00:33:21,360 --> 00:33:22,960
Speaker 1: I don't know, there's someone in the water. We used

737
00:33:22,960 --> 00:33:25,640
Speaker 1: to clearly between me and you and stuck be like

738
00:33:25,840 --> 00:33:29,080
Speaker 1: a maction podcast flying the Flag. We had like the

739
00:33:29,080 --> 00:33:30,040
Speaker 1: Skull and Crossbones.

740
00:33:30,600 --> 00:33:32,360
Speaker 2: There's only two Mac games this week, so it's a

741
00:33:32,360 --> 00:33:32,959
Speaker 2: weird one.

742
00:33:33,160 --> 00:33:35,680
Speaker 1: But like we're kind of switching over to becoming a

743
00:33:35,680 --> 00:33:39,040
Speaker 1: Mountain West pod. Because my underdog I like mail V

744
00:33:39,200 --> 00:33:43,200
Speaker 1: plus two to eighty to upset Fresno. Who I Am

745
00:33:43,280 --> 00:33:45,240
Speaker 1: not gonna sit here and say the Fresno is not

746
00:33:45,280 --> 00:33:47,280
Speaker 1: a good team. They're absolutely a good team. I love

747
00:33:47,440 --> 00:33:49,880
Speaker 1: like their defense a lot. But they are propped up

748
00:33:49,920 --> 00:33:52,200
Speaker 1: by wins over Purdue in Arizona State, which a month

749
00:33:52,200 --> 00:33:54,080
Speaker 1: ago everybody was like, you know, they got these Power

750
00:33:54,120 --> 00:33:57,280
Speaker 1: five wins produced two and five Arizona State's one and six.

751
00:33:57,600 --> 00:34:00,680
Speaker 1: Neither of them are any good. Fresno lost Iyoming, they

752
00:34:00,680 --> 00:34:03,400
Speaker 1: needed a touchdown in the final minutes and an interception

753
00:34:03,440 --> 00:34:05,680
Speaker 1: at their own nine yard line to escape Logan Utah

754
00:34:05,760 --> 00:34:08,360
Speaker 1: with a win against Utah State. What I'm saying is

755
00:34:08,400 --> 00:34:11,400
Speaker 1: they are both good, and they are beatable, and UNLV

756
00:34:11,520 --> 00:34:13,879
Speaker 1: couldn't be riding higher. As I said, first time they're

757
00:34:13,880 --> 00:34:17,319
Speaker 1: Bowl eligible in a decade. And it's pretty rare for

758
00:34:17,360 --> 00:34:19,959
Speaker 1: me to look at Colin Wilson's Power rankings and take

759
00:34:20,120 --> 00:34:23,080
Speaker 1: issue with where they're they're slotted. He has Fresno State

760
00:34:23,200 --> 00:34:25,200
Speaker 1: sixty fourth. That's within about four or five slots of

761
00:34:25,200 --> 00:34:27,479
Speaker 1: where I have him. He has UNLV one hundred and third.

762
00:34:27,800 --> 00:34:29,759
Speaker 1: UNLV is not the one hundred and third best team

763
00:34:29,760 --> 00:34:32,640
Speaker 1: in the country, absolutely not. UNLV is a good rushing team.

764
00:34:32,680 --> 00:34:35,280
Speaker 1: They're thirteenth in explosives on the ground in Brendan Marion's

765
00:34:35,280 --> 00:34:38,680
Speaker 1: go go system. Defensively, they can stop the run, which

766
00:34:38,719 --> 00:34:42,640
Speaker 1: is critical against this Bulldog team Fresno. It's probably going

767
00:34:42,719 --> 00:34:45,080
Speaker 1: to go with Logan Feife again. I think Mikey Keane's

768
00:34:45,200 --> 00:34:46,760
Speaker 1: questionable or a game time decision.

769
00:34:46,920 --> 00:34:50,040
Speaker 2: They just pulled it up. Ted Ford on Monday said

770
00:34:50,360 --> 00:34:52,560
Speaker 2: no clear updates on Mikey Keane. I think it's going

771
00:34:52,600 --> 00:34:55,439
Speaker 2: to take the full two weeks to figure out where

772
00:34:55,480 --> 00:34:58,040
Speaker 2: they are. M and Lavel Bailey, who's probably their best defender,

773
00:34:58,080 --> 00:35:01,360
Speaker 2: Earl one of the best defenders. So that's yeah, yeah.

774
00:35:01,400 --> 00:35:04,040
Speaker 1: So if we get Logan Fife, he's okay, he's nothing special,

775
00:35:04,080 --> 00:35:07,320
Speaker 1: it's a jag, just a guy. So they're gonna rely

776
00:35:07,480 --> 00:35:10,520
Speaker 1: on the run game and I know UNLV's decent there.

777
00:35:11,000 --> 00:35:12,640
Speaker 1: And then when it comes down to special teams, we

778
00:35:12,680 --> 00:35:16,040
Speaker 1: talked about Jose Pizzano just making every single kick S

779
00:35:16,120 --> 00:35:18,440
Speaker 1: and P plus has U and lv's special teams thirty

780
00:35:18,440 --> 00:35:21,719
Speaker 1: second Fresno fifty six a slight advantage there and as

781
00:35:21,719 --> 00:35:23,640
Speaker 1: a true Mountain West Junkie I'm gonna have a little

782
00:35:23,640 --> 00:35:25,919
Speaker 1: coming out party from me here. I am absolute mount

783
00:35:25,920 --> 00:35:27,800
Speaker 1: and West junkie. I love staying up with the Friday

784
00:35:27,880 --> 00:35:30,440
Speaker 1: night Saturday nights watching these games. And you know the

785
00:35:30,440 --> 00:35:32,120
Speaker 1: Pac twelve's going away, so this is gonna be the

786
00:35:32,120 --> 00:35:35,839
Speaker 1: Mountain West after dark. UNLV always plays Fresno close when

787
00:35:35,880 --> 00:35:38,560
Speaker 1: they visit the San Joaquin Valley. Twenty fifteen three point

788
00:35:38,640 --> 00:35:41,480
Speaker 1: Fresno win. Twenty seventeen, un LV wins in an upset

789
00:35:41,480 --> 00:35:43,799
Speaker 1: by ten, twenty nineteen Fresno wins in a blowout, but

790
00:35:43,840 --> 00:35:47,319
Speaker 1: twenty twenty one, Fresno wins by eight. They always play

791
00:35:47,360 --> 00:35:49,600
Speaker 1: these guys tough. I think they're a live dog here.

792
00:35:49,880 --> 00:35:51,759
Speaker 1: And last year in Vegas, by the way, when these

793
00:35:51,800 --> 00:35:54,600
Speaker 1: two teams played, it was tied midway through the fourth quarter.

794
00:35:54,640 --> 00:35:57,759
Speaker 1: And that's with your man crush Jay Hayner leaning the Bulldogs.

795
00:35:57,880 --> 00:36:00,680
Speaker 1: Fresno won that game by seven. I think everything's pointing

796
00:36:00,680 --> 00:36:04,200
Speaker 1: in UNLV here. Like I said, house Money already Bowl eligible.

797
00:36:04,520 --> 00:36:07,000
Speaker 1: They gotta be feeling great about themselves escaping with that win.

798
00:36:07,280 --> 00:36:09,439
Speaker 1: You know, Colorado State bangs home a fifty five yard

799
00:36:09,480 --> 00:36:11,439
Speaker 1: field goal, they still get off the mat and find

800
00:36:11,440 --> 00:36:13,640
Speaker 1: a way to have a game winning drive. I am

801
00:36:13,680 --> 00:36:18,440
Speaker 1: on the run in ReBs. Let's go plus two eighty.

802
00:36:22,000 --> 00:36:24,239
Speaker 2: It's basically the exact opposite ride did last week where

803
00:36:24,239 --> 00:36:26,279
Speaker 2: I was like, here's a dog shit team playing a

804
00:36:26,320 --> 00:36:28,920
Speaker 2: dogshit team. They could win. You're like, it's a good

805
00:36:28,920 --> 00:36:30,919
Speaker 2: team playing a good team, and the good team could win.

806
00:36:31,280 --> 00:36:33,359
Speaker 1: Yep. And the last piece of it, I still don't

807
00:36:33,360 --> 00:36:35,719
Speaker 1: think you and lv's played their best game offensively. They

808
00:36:35,760 --> 00:36:39,040
Speaker 1: have the perimeter weapons. I think you know, Ricky White

809
00:36:39,080 --> 00:36:41,799
Speaker 1: in particular, could eat in this game. So I'm gonna

810
00:36:41,800 --> 00:36:43,680
Speaker 1: go ahead with them and put it together with your

811
00:36:44,200 --> 00:36:47,239
Speaker 1: plus one hundred Underdog edition, and hopefully we get the

812
00:36:47,560 --> 00:36:50,240
Speaker 1: window with another winner. I'm gonna give you a chance

813
00:36:50,280 --> 00:36:52,799
Speaker 1: to plug the new BCS show because you were just

814
00:36:52,840 --> 00:36:54,759
Speaker 1: mentioning how much you love it and listening to it.

815
00:36:54,800 --> 00:36:57,000
Speaker 1: Like give a pitch to someone who has not listened

816
00:36:57,000 --> 00:36:59,160
Speaker 1: to it on the feed the recap show every Tuesday.

817
00:36:59,160 --> 00:37:00,160
Speaker 1: Why should they get into it?

818
00:37:00,560 --> 00:37:02,479
Speaker 2: I love it because it's the I mean, anyone listens

819
00:37:02,480 --> 00:37:05,160
Speaker 2: to Colin Stuckey, you know all those guys like they're

820
00:37:05,160 --> 00:37:07,719
Speaker 2: two of, if not the two smartest people in the

821
00:37:07,719 --> 00:37:09,960
Speaker 2: world of college football. And I always think is like

822
00:37:09,960 --> 00:37:11,960
Speaker 2: sometimes I just want to hear what their thoughts are

823
00:37:12,080 --> 00:37:14,520
Speaker 2: of the sport as a whole instead of like their

824
00:37:14,760 --> 00:37:16,719
Speaker 2: take on a game, their bet, and then you throw

825
00:37:16,840 --> 00:37:19,680
Speaker 2: you know, Bret McMurphy, who is big Jay journalists to

826
00:37:19,719 --> 00:37:21,720
Speaker 2: the max, and then you throw in you know, Tim's

827
00:37:21,719 --> 00:37:24,480
Speaker 2: brought such a new dynamic where he is kind of

828
00:37:25,000 --> 00:37:28,120
Speaker 2: I mean, this is the biggest compliment ever, Like he's

829
00:37:28,160 --> 00:37:30,360
Speaker 2: like the everyday sports fan where he's just like the

830
00:37:30,400 --> 00:37:32,600
Speaker 2: guy at the bar who gets the opportunity to ask

831
00:37:32,640 --> 00:37:37,040
Speaker 2: these brilliant minds questions that like I'm thinking on my couch,

832
00:37:37,600 --> 00:37:39,759
Speaker 2: Tim gets the chance to ask. I'll even text him

833
00:37:39,760 --> 00:37:41,439
Speaker 2: sometimes like hey, you got to ask him this question

834
00:37:41,440 --> 00:37:44,200
Speaker 2: because I'm like I want to ask him it. It's awesome.

835
00:37:44,239 --> 00:37:44,719
Speaker 2: I love it.

836
00:37:44,719 --> 00:37:47,040
Speaker 1: It is phenomenal. I just love that dynamic. I think

837
00:37:47,040 --> 00:37:49,960
Speaker 1: he does a crazy fun It's not easy to be

838
00:37:50,200 --> 00:37:52,440
Speaker 1: you know, running point in a show like that, but

839
00:37:52,480 --> 00:37:54,439
Speaker 1: he makes it. He makes it fun and I think

840
00:37:54,880 --> 00:37:57,920
Speaker 1: a dynamic that, as you said, so much expertise, like

841
00:37:58,040 --> 00:38:00,879
Speaker 1: just listening in. It's fascinating things that they get into

842
00:38:00,920 --> 00:38:03,000
Speaker 1: the look ahead lines, like when they're able to zoom

843
00:38:03,040 --> 00:38:05,080
Speaker 1: out on the sport a little bit. I agree with you.

844
00:38:05,120 --> 00:38:08,440
Speaker 1: It's phenomenal. A reminder to our audience on Thursday, it's Stuck,

845
00:38:08,520 --> 00:38:11,280
Speaker 1: it's Colin running through their full FBS card. It's about

846
00:38:11,360 --> 00:38:14,000
Speaker 1: ninety minutes they get into every single game. It's not

847
00:38:14,040 --> 00:38:17,000
Speaker 1: just the marquee matchups, it's also getting into those awesome

848
00:38:17,080 --> 00:38:20,719
Speaker 1: situational spots that Stuck sees with such like Laser Clarity.

849
00:38:21,480 --> 00:38:24,279
Speaker 1: And then obviously the live show on Saturday BBOC Live

850
00:38:24,320 --> 00:38:27,239
Speaker 1: with McMurphy Colin Stuckey I parachuted in with my G

851
00:38:27,320 --> 00:38:29,319
Speaker 1: five Pick of the Week as well, and then the

852
00:38:29,320 --> 00:38:31,360
Speaker 1: recap show at the end of the week. So it

853
00:38:31,440 --> 00:38:34,080
Speaker 1: is a full buffet and college hoops is right around

854
00:38:34,080 --> 00:38:35,480
Speaker 1: the corner as well, so we're going to fit in

855
00:38:35,600 --> 00:38:39,120
Speaker 1: even more content getting in there in November as we

856
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Speaker 1: start to look at some of the marquee games to

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Speaker 1: get into some of that as well. All right, for

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Speaker 1: Mike Iella on Mike Calbarys. This has been the group

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Speaker 1: of five Deep Dive under the Big Bets on Campus banner,

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Speaker 1: brought to you by bet MGM. Thank you so much

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Speaker 1: for listening. Please, as a reminder, subscribe on subscribe subscribe again.

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Speaker 1: Leave those five R reviews as a reminder to our audience.

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Speaker 2: I'm happy to do that.

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Speaker 1: midweek Action back Next.

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Speaker 3: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly.

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